dtac, 1.48 MB, PDF

dtac
Jon Eddy Abdullah, CEO
Thailand
Country overview
• Population: 65m
- BKK & metro: 10m (15%)
- Upcountry: 55m (85%)
• GDP per capita: USD 5,514
• GDP growth (2013e): 4.3%
Telecom market
• Mobile penetration: 135%
• Fixed-line Internet
penetration: 10%
• Traditional 3-player market
2
dtac: 2nd largest mobile operator in Thailand
3
Subscribers
Revenues
27.2m
USD 2.8 bn
32.5%
Subscribers
total revenues (2012)
service revenue (Q213)
3G coverage
Distribution network
Market capitalisation
Revenue market share
55% pop
200k
USD 8.6 bn
11,000 3G sites nationwide (Q413)
distribution points
Thai #10 largest market cap
USD 1 = THB 32.22
Internet access is the key growth driver
Market service revenue
Market subscribers (m) and penetration (%)
103%
112%
121%
130%
136%
10.6%
9.5%
8.8%
4.8%
31%
22%
44%
45%
-0.6%
66
71
77
84
88
162
170
185
204
213
2009
2010
2011
2012
Q213
2009
2010
2011
2012
LTM
Market subscribers
Mobile data penetration
Mobile penetration
Market service revenue ex. IC
Market voice vs. VAS revenue growth (%)
43.1%
Market share of service revenue
41.2%
31.8%
15.4%
-1.5%
2009
32.0%
32.2%
31.7%
31.1%
32.5%
2009
2010
2011
2012
Q213
16.9%
2.2%
2010
4.6%
2.6%
2011
2012
Voice YoY growth
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YoY growth
-0.2%
LTM
VAS YoY growth
LTM = Last twelve months (Q312-Q213)
VAS = Value-added services (mobile Internet, mobile messaging, and mobile content)
Growing market demand - social and smartphone
Thais spend ~32 hours using internet per week
Growth of social network applications
Smartphone penetration in Thailand (%)
27%
27%
• 18m users in Thailand
• Avg. 31m post/day
21%
16%
• Bangkok #1 Facebook
accounts worldwide
6%
• 18m users in Thailand
• Thailand #2 Line users in the
world
2010
2011
2012
2013E
Smartphones by operating system
• Asia’s fastest-growing
platforms for social marketing
iOS
• 2m users in Thailand
• Avg. 5m tweet/day
• Avg. 2m retweet/day
Android
Blackberry
Windows & Others
5
Winning with “Internet for All”
Internet for All
• Making the Internet relevant and
accessible to 50 million more
Thais
• Applying Internet thinking into
everything we do
Services
• Becoming the preferred Internet
Distribution
company in Thailand
Devices
Pricing
Blended ARPU
Billing /Business Intelligence (BI)
18%
23%
10%
Customer
centricity
One Digital dtac
Network &
technology
Operational excellence / Operating models
6
2011
Data ARPU
2012
Voice ARPU
LTM
% data ARPU
TriNet network well-positioned on widest spectrum
Spectrum band
Technology
2G
1800 MHz
3G
850 MHz
3G
2100 MHz
4G ?
2100 MHz
10 MHz
25 MHz
15 MHz
Capex 2013-2015: THB 34 billion
7
Customer insight is a key enabler for success
TriNet network ‘Go Local’
Devices and pricing
Province/Amphur
Market
share
Brand
pref.
Prepaid
Postpaid
Bite-size pricing
Bundled packages
BI Platform
Micro-segment marketing
Real-time analytics
Contextual marketing
Content
Differentiating innovation through partnership
Physical and virtual channels
• Mobile and social key access points
• Personalised customer service
8
Full range of 3G devices targeting all segments
> USD 650
dtac TriNet phones
Samsung
Galaxy S4
iPhone 5
BlackBerry
Q10
iPad 4
USD 300 – 650
~USD 142
~USD 80
Samsung
Galaxy Note II
Samsung
Galaxy Mega 5.8
BlackBerry
Z10
Nokia
Lumia 820
< USD 300
~USD 40
• High specifications at affordable prices
Samsung
Galaxy
S3 mini
9
Samsung
Galaxy
Pocket Neo
Nokia
Lumia
520
dtac TriNet phones
launched in June 2013
• Quality device with 15-month warranty
• Bundling with attractive price plans
USD 1 = THB 32.22
Innovative pricing drives usage and profitability
Prepaid
• Bite-size strategy for mass e.g. Facebook
Unlimited THB 5/day
• Free Facebook Messenger 90 days & free
Internet with new Prepaid SIMs to
encourage trial and adoption
• Offer right price point after customer finds a
use case
10
Postpaid
• Low-end Smartphone Starter promotes trial of
unlimited data
• Smartphone More Choice gives flexibility to
mix & match voice and unlimited data
• Since May 2013, +200k customers subscribed
to the More Choice packages
Branded retail store
Online store
• Focus on “customer centricity”
• Enhancing customer experience
• Sale and service integration
• 3.5m visits to dtac web site per month
• 300 branches nationwide
• Online sales growth double QoQ
11
Enhance service experiences through partnership
• State-of-the-art service delivery platform
8m
• Exclusive partnership with Deezer,the 1st
global music streaming in Thailand and
Asia
•
2nd
1st
operator in the world and
in Asia to
offer stickers on Facebook Messenger
100
Facebook on
Mobile users
streams per sub
per month
• Wizard of Apps contest for talented Thai
app developers
• dtac Watchever exclusively joined hands
with 29 leading entertainment providers
for live programs anywhere anytime
• dtac store,Thailand’s first exclusive app
200
cool app ideas
submitted
store on Google Play Store
9m
12
fans from all social media
300k
downloads per
month
Mobile financial service as a new innovative offering
Key challenges
Current situation
• Limited access in rural area with 38% of low
income families using formal financial services
How to reach fragmented and lowincome rural areas
• Informal loans dominate low income segment
How to move customers from
informal to formal channels
• Financial institutions face limitations - Distribution
How to reduce serving costs with
a sustainable business model
• Online world is demanding new business models
Online phenomenon
– Smartphone penetration,
ready for digital cash
Higher mobile penetration
– New mass access
Conduit for transactions
Q314
E-wallets
Q214
Open-loop money
transfers
Q413
OTC services
Beyond
Micro-loans, insurance
and payment ecosystem
13
Regulatory clarity improves level playing field
Expected
auction in
2014
900 MHz
Bandwidth (MHz) & expiry year
CONCESSION REGIME
• Uneven playing field
• No ownership of telecom
assets
• Varying revenue sharing
(between 20% and 30%)
17.5 MHz
2015
CONCESSION:
TOT & CAT
1800 MHz
12.5 MHz
12.5 MHz
25/25 MHz
2013
2013
2018
15 MHz
10 MHz
2025
2018
850 MHz
LICENCE REGIME
• Regulatory clarity
• Level playing field
LICENCE:
NBTC
2100 MHz
15 MHz
15 MHz
15 MHz
2027
2027
2027
• Ownership of telecom assets
• Reduced regulatory costs
(5.25%)
New licence regime brings equality, accessibility, and growth to Thai society
14
Regulatory cost saving driven by customer migration
•
•
•
Target min 10 million customers on
licensed network in 2013, ~60% ported
from the existing base
Subscriber development
Regulatory costs as % to service revenue
to reduce from ~32% in 2012 to ~15% by
2016
Actual regulatory cost saving subjects to
various factors
2013e
2014e
dtac subscribers
2015e
2016e
TriNet subscribers
MNP
capacity
15
Ambitions
• Becoming the preferred Internet
company in Thailand
• Revenue potential from subscriber
growth and data usage
• Significant cost savings from
transition to licence regime
• Target EBITDA margin in 2016 in
line with non-concession regimes
16
THANK YOU
17