World Bank Document - Documentos e informes
Transcription
World Bank Document - Documentos e informes
Public Disclosure Authorized Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FILE CO?" Public Disclosure Authorized Report No. 2454-ME M'EXICO Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized STAFF APPRAISAL REPORT OF THE RIO FUERTE/RIO SINáLOA IRRIGATION PROJECT May 7, 1979 Regional Projects Department Latin America and the Caribbean Regional Office This document has a restrieted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be diselosed without W'orid Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS US$1 = Mex $22.5 Mex$1 = US$0.04 Mex$1 million = US$44,444 WEIGHT AND MEASURES 1 hectare 1 1 1 1 (ha) kilometer (km) 2 square kilometer (km ) kilogram (kg) liter (1) 1 metric ton (mt) 2 = 2.47 acres = 10,000 m = = = = 0.62 miles 0.39 sq. miles 2.2 pounds 0.26 gallons = 1,000 kg = = 100 ha 0.98 long ton ABBREVIATIONS ANAGSA BNCR CIAPAN CIMMYT CONASUPO DITA FERTIMEX FIRA INIA MHIP PLAMEPA PLINO PRONASE SARH : : : : : : : : National Agriculture and Livestock Insurance Company National Bank for Rural Credit Agricultural Research Center for the North-West International Center for Improvement of Maize and Wheat National Marketing Cooperation District Integrated Technical Assistance Program National Fertilizer Company Agriculture Trust Funds of the Bank of Mexico National Institute for Crop Research Major Hydraulic Infrastructure Program On farm Improvement Plan in Irrigation Districts Plan for Irrigation Investments in the North West National Seed Production Company Ministry of Agriculture and Hydraulic Resources MEXICO FOROFFICIALUSE ONLY APPRAISAL OF THE RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Table of Contents Page No. I. II. THE AGRICULTURAL SECTOR ................................ 1 The Resource Base ...................................... Agricultural Production ................................ ............ Rural Population, Employment and Income .... Government Policies .................................... Bank Participation ..................................... 1 1 2 3 4 THE PROJECT AREA ........................................ 5 Location ................................................ Soils, Topography and Drainage ......................... 5 5 Climate .6................................................ Irrigation Systems ..................................... Present Use of Project Lands ........................... Population .............................................. Land Tenure .......................... ..... Credit and Crop Insurance ....................... ....... Agricultural Inputs.. Research and Extension .10 III. 6 7 7 7....... 7 8 8 THE ONGOING SINALOA PROJECT .11 Original Project Description .11 Project Execution, 1974-1977 .11 The Revised Sinaloa Project .12 Revised IV. Project Benefits and Economic Justification .... 13 THE PROJECT ............................................ 14 Project Concept ......................................... Project Description ..................................... Water Supply and Demand .16 Water Quality .17 Construction Schedule and Status of Engineering Cost Estimates .18 Financing Plan .18 Procurement ..................... ...... ...... Disbursements ...................... Accounts and Audit .21 Environmental Impact .21 14 14 18 20 20 This report is based on the findings of an appraisal mission consisting of Messrs. E. Gazit, T. Kimura, D. Myren and Messrs. A. Feinstein, M. Fireman and M. Zohar (consultants) in September 1978 and a follow up mission comprising Messrs. M. Raczynski, R. Milford, L. Moscoso and Mr. C. Houston (consultant) in February 1979. This document has a restricteddistributionand may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disciosed without WoirldBank authorization. TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) Page No. V. ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT ............................ 22 General ................................................ Major Hydraulic Infrastructure Programs .... ............ Irrigation Districts ................................... Monitoring and Evaluation .............................. 22 22 22 24 AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, MARKETS, MARKETING AND PRICES . 25 Area, Cropping Patterns, Yields ........................ Production ............................................. Markets and Prices ..................................... 25 28 28 VII. PROJECT BENEFICIARIES, FARM INCOMES AND COST RECOVERY .. 29 VIII. BENEFITS AND JUSTIFICATION ............................. 31 Benefits ............................................... Risk and Sensitivity ................................... 31 31 RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................ 33 VI. IX. Tables Annex 1. Charts No. Selected Documents and Data Available in the Project File. 20103 Map No. IBRD 13953R Ir I. THE AGRICIJLTURALSECTOR The Resource Base 1.01 Mexico has a land area of some 2 million km and a population of 62 million (in 1976), growing at an annual rate of over 3%. Some 40% of the total population, or about 24 million people, gain their livelihood from agriculture. Agriculture is also an important foreign exchange earner: it had a share of 23% of the total value of exports in 1976. The wide range of latitudes and altitudes results in a great diversity of crop and livestock output; but the extent of arid and mountainous lands is such, however, that only about 18% of the total land area, some 35 million ha, is considered cultivable. Of this, an estimated 15 million ha are harvested of which an estimated 5 million ha under irrigation; Mexico is presently the sixth largest country in the world in expanse of irrigated lands. Agricultural Production 1.02 Crop Production. Until the early 1940s, total cultivated area in Mexico was about 7.5 million ha, located mainly in the central highlands where maize, beans and other food crops were grown under rainfed conditions together with small irrigated areas under fruits and vegetables. Since, the development of irrigation in the arid regions along the Pacific coast, and in the Northern States (combined with successful research efforts to develop irrigated crop technologies) both cropped areas and yields increased substantially and output of wheat, sorghum, oilseeds, cotton, fruits and vegetables and alfalfa grew rapidly. 1.03 Notwithstanding the growth and diversification of crop output over the years, maize is still the most widely grown crop in the country, accounting for about 8 million ha, or over half the country's cultivated area. Most of it is cultivated together with smal]er areas of beans, under rainfed conditions by small farmers and concentrated in the central and southern highlands, along the Gulf coast and in the Chiapas region. In the humid tropical regions along the southern Gulf coast and Chiapas, sugarcane, bananas, cocoa and coffee are also grown. Table 1.01, presents the production of main crops grown in Mexico over the 1960-1976 period. 1.04 Livestock Production. In the past, most of the commercial livestock output used to come from extensive cattle breeding on the arid and semi-arid rangelands of the North with income derived from the sale of feeder cattle, mainly to the U.S. market. Milk, hogs and poultry were produced in small quantities, mostly in the central highlands and for subsistence. The increase in domestic demand has, however, caused a rapid expansion of output country wide. It has enabled the opening up of new cattle producing areas along the Gulf coast where better rainfall and good pasture quality has enabled much higher stocking rate. The growth of Mexico City has also accounted for a rapid increase in milk, pork and polultry meat production iinthe central plateau region. Table 1.02, presents the production of main livestock products in Mexico over the 1960-1976 period. - 2 - 1.05 Production Trends. The table below compares the growth of GDP with the growth in the crop and livestock sector, on an average 10-year basis, in the 1945-1975 period: Average Rate of Growth per Annum Period GDP Crops 1945-55 1955-65 1965-75 5.8 6.7 6.2 7.3 4.4 0.9 Livestock 3.7 3.7 4.2 C + L 6.0 4.2 2.1 1.06 As can be seen above, growth of crop production was most impressive in the first decade, good in the second, but less satisfactory in the third. The early increases were due mainly to large scale irrigation development which commenced about 1945. However since the middle sixties crop production growth almost stagnated in spite of continued high investments in irrigation. This decline and finally the stagnation in production growth came about because: (a) Irrigation projects became increasingly complex and more costly to prepare and carry out and as a result the area under irrigation grew less rapidly; (b) excessive water use and inadequate drainage and maintenance on irrigated lands caused extensive salinization which reduced cropped areas and yields; (c) crop specific problems such as cotton (disease), fruits and vegetables (export limitations) or sugar (production organization) had a dampening effect on output; and (d) in later years, more land in newly irrigated areas were allocated to small farmers and "ejidatarios" rather than to private medium and large scale farmers; the small farmers and ejidatarios needed more and better extension services to insure production increases in line with those being obtained by medium to large size farmers but until recently extension services made available have not been of the extent and quality required to achieve this. 1.07 It also became evident since 1965 that performance in the rainfed subsector had always been poor relative to the irrigation subsector but had also received much less support. It has now become better recognized that with relatively smaller investments than those required for successful irrigation development, substantial increases in rainfed production can be achieved, which has caused government to shift its development strategy towards a more balanced program including both subsectors (paras. 1.10-1.11). 1.08 Contrary to the crop sector, the livestock sector has maintained, and in later years even somewhat increased its growth over the 1945-75 period. This was made possible mainly because the rapid demand growth for livestock products (para 1.04), which even outstripped the supply capabilities in some areas: Mexico has had to import increased quantities of powdered milk to satisfy internal consumption since the mid-1970s. Rural Population, Employment and Income 1.09 The agricultural sector provides the livelihood for a rural population of some 4 million families scattered over 95,000 villages. Unemployment _ 3 - and/or under-employment is a serious problem of the agricultural sector. With a rural labor force between 8 and 12 million people and a harvested area fluctuating around 15 million ha, the ratio of cropped area to potential active population is between 1.3 and 2.0 ha per person, very low when the land use pattern (about two-thirds of the croppecl area devoted to grains) is considered. This is one of the major causes determining the level of income in the agricultural sector, lower than that of other sectors, as the following table illustrates. GDP per Agriculture National Average Industry and Services /a Worker (19-75) US$ Index 120 384 504 1(0 320 420 Based on data of "Prontuario de la Secretaria de Recursos (SRH) Mexico, D.F., 1976. /a Estadistico Hidraulicos" Moreover, the income distribution pattern within the agricultural skewed, as 50% of the rural families account for about 20%' of the output while the upper 10% of the agricultural population provides Government sector is agricultural 50% of it. Policies 1.10 Within the agricultural sector, Government policies aim primarily at increasing production for domestic consumption, particularly basic food crops so as to attain self-sufficiency by 1982, and to increase income levels and generate rural employment. Moreover, with favorable prospects for increased petroleum production and export earnings, coupled with an easier budgetary situation, Mexico has the means to diversify its agricultural development strategy, enable more of its farmers to reach higher levels of productivity and return to the higher sector growth rates of earlier periods. 1.11 To meet these objectives, Government is pursuing the following strategies: (a) In the irrigation subsector, various large-scale projects are still planned to be developed in areas where an unused hydraulic potential exists; attention, however, will be focused on an expansion of irrigated lands through small scale irrigation and an improved performance in presently irrigated areas through rehabilitation of old conveyance systems, reclamation of saline lands and more efficient use of available water; (b) a major effort will be made to expand rainfed cult:ivation in previously utilized or underutilized lands, mostly along the Gu:Lf coast. The latter will require investments in drainage and flood control, but it will also necessitate a strong effort by research services to deveíop adequate crop technologies and by extension services to promote improved cultivation methods; (c) to improve productivity in existing rainfed agriculture, extension services need to be - 4- further expanded and made more effective; towards this end, the Government has recently created "distritos de temporal" or rainfed districts, next to already existing irrigation districts; and (d) Government is using its minimum price support system to induce changes in cropping patterns towards increased production of food crops. The Bank's lending program to Mexico's agricultural sector, ongoing 1.12 or under preparation, contains a mix of projects that respond to the policies of the Government as outlined above. The proposed project which would expand irrigated lands and, at the same time rehabilitate old irrigation systems and reclaim saline lands, would correspond well with Government strategies in this field. Bank Participation In the past five years (FY1974-78) Bank participation in the agri1.13 cultural sector amounted to US$835 million distributed over ten projects as follows: Irrigation (Panuco, Sinaloa and Bajo Bravo/Bajo San Juan), US$174 million; rural development (PIDER I and II and Papaloapan Basin), US$280 million; credit (Fifth and Sixth projects), US$325 million; area development (Tropical Agriculture), US$56 million; and small-scale agriculture infrastructure development, US$44 million. Implementation of irrigation projects were delayed, mainly because of budgetary constraints. These delays were further accentuated by high price increases unforseen at appraisal. As a result Government and Bank agreed that the projects should be financed over a longer period of time. These circumstances led to the reformulation of Bajo Bravo/ Bajo San Juan project with subsequent cancellation of US$100 millíon (from an original loan of US$150 million) and to a supplementary loan of US$25 million, approved by the Bank on July 11, 1978, to assist financing cost overruns of the Panuco project. With these actions, implementation of the above projects is now progressing satisfactorily. PIDER I and II are multi-sectoral projects designed for improving living conditions and increasing productivity in localized areas of rural poverty ("micro-regions"). After some difficulties inherent to their nature, overall progress of these projects is improving along with steps taken to decentralize the decision-making process, although the success in carrying out the different components of the project varies with the implementation capacity of the agencies involved. The Papaloapan project had also a slow start due to a severe shortage of budgetary allocations, a situation that now is being corrected with recently increased appropriations of funds. The disbursement pace of the Fifth Credit project was faster than projected, although lately has slowed down with respect to funds earmarked for low-income producers; the project is however expected to be completed about six months before closing date (January 1, 1980). The Sixth Credit project, the Tropical Agriculture project and the Small Scale Agricultural Infrastructure project became effective on January 12, 1979. 1.14 A Project Performance Audit (OED's Report 1573, April 27, 1977) on the Third Credit Project (Loan 747-ME) pointed out that the Project made a significant contribution to improve financial assistance to commercial farmers, but noted that technical aspects at farm level needed to be improved; to this end, specífic actions for monitoring agricultural development were introduced in the Fifth and Sixth Credit projects. 1-5 II. - THE PROJECT AREA Location 2.01 The proposed project is located in the area of two irrigation distriets, Rio Sinaloa and Rio Fuerte, in the northern part of the State of Sinaloa on Mexico's Pacific coast (mnapIBRD 13953R). The two districts together have a net irrigable area of 315,000 ha (105,000 ha in Sinaloa and 210,000 ha in Fuerte), all in the coastal plains below the Sierra Madre mountain range. 2.02 The region has good transportation links to national and international markets. The international highway linking Mexico City with Nogales, Arizona, passes through the project area, and combined with other paved roads, provides a basic road network suitable for distributing farm inputs and for moving produce to other parts of Mexico or for export. Tle Pacific railway, linking Mexico City with Nogales, also bisects the project-area, while marine transportation is available at Topolabambo and at the major west coast port of Mazatlan. Four small airports within the project area serve local needs, and regularly scheduled air service is available at Culiacan. Soils, Topography and Drainage 2.03 Soils in the Sinaloa district are derived largely from recent alluvial deposits of volcanic origin. About 70% of the soils are clay loams and clays and the remainder, mostly adjacent to stream beds, are of a lighter sandier texture. The soils are moderately fertile, of good depth and waterholding capacity. About 80% of the lands are Class I and II (highly suitable for irrigation) under a five-class system developed by the Ministry of Agriculture and Hydraulic Resources (SARH) and based on US Bureau of Reclamation suitability standards. The area lies between 5 m and 55 inabove sea level and has a gradient of about 2 m to 6 m per km to the sea. As a result, natural drainage conditions are generally satisfactory and except for a limited area of 800 ha lying at low elevation, salinity problems do not occur. 2.04 Soils in Fuerte district are also mainly recent alluvial deposits of volcanic origin. They form extensive flat areas between 3.5 m and 35 m above sea level, intersected by shallow drain ways. As drainage is inefficient the area suffers from high water tables (between one and two meters), and the combination of high water tables, low rainfall and moderately high evaporation has resulted in salt accumulation over much of the area. The soils have good physical properties; they are more than two meters deep, medium to light textured and have good infiltration rates and permeabilities. The pH values range mostly between 7 and 8.5. The content of organic matter is low and crops in the area respond well to nitrogen aindphosphate fertilizers. The potash content is moderate to high. In accordance with the Mexican irrigation capability classification (para. 2.03), close to 70% of all soils are in the Class 1 and II categories. 2.05 Salinization affects about 60,000 ha or 50% of the proposed project area in Fuerte district. Of this, an estimated 12,000 ha are saline-alkali soils. The table below indicates the extent of the salt-affected land in the three units of Fuerte district which are included in the proposed project: Salt-Affected Lands Unit Irrigable Area 1 4 5 Total Saline Land (%) Saline-Sodic Land (%) Total Salt Affected (ha) (ha) 43,690 48,018 27,922 15,000 18,500 14,500 34.3 38.5 51.9 2,000 5,500 4,500 4.6 11.5 16.1 17,000 24,000 19,000 38.9 50.0 68.0 119,630 48,000 40.1 12,000 10.0 60,000 50.2 (ha) (ha) (%) 2.06 Extensive field investigations and previous experiences in the project area have shown, however, that with an expanded drainage network, deeper main drains and better water applícation and distribution, the saline soils can be reclaimed and sustain permanent irrigated agriculture. Saline-sodie soils would require applications of gypsum, which is locally available. Climate 2.07 Climate in the project area is classified as desertic with an average annual precipitation of 347 mm, and pan evaporation of 2,299 mm per annum. Monthly average temperatures vary from 18.2 C (Jaunary) to 30.9%C (July-August), and light frosts may occur occasionally in January and February. About 80% of the precipitation falls between July and October. Irrigation Systems 2.08 Irrigation systems have been built in the two districts over a period of some 30 years, covering altogether about 264,000 ha. In the Sinaloa district, some 54,000 ha now have access to irrigation water from wells and from direct diversion of waters from the Sinaloa River but are not necessarily irrigated fully. In the Fuerte district, some 210,000 ha have access to water from an upstream dam. However, because of poor water distribution systems many areas have been only partly irrigated and inadequate drainage has caused growing salinity levels. As a result of salinization, in Fuerte district about 150,000 ha either suffered from declining production or were completely abandoned. In one of its earliest loans to Mexico for irrigation development (275-ME in 1961) the Bank assisted in the succesful reclamation of saline lands in two of the five units in Fuerte district, covering about 77,000 ha. In addition farmers reclaimed about 13,000 ha. In 1974, the Bank helped to finance the Sinaloa project (970-ME) which will now establish a storage dam, headworks and the distribution system for 29,000 ha in Sinaloa district (see Chapter III). The proposed project would expand the distribution system for the Sinaloa district to cover the remaining irrigable area of 76,000 ha and rehabilitate and reclaim the 120,000 ha in the three remaining units of Fuerte district to provide coverage to all the 210,000 ha of irrigated land. The two proposed actions would thus realize the full irrigation potential of the two districts. Past and proposed irrigation developments in the two distriets are summarized in Table 2.01. 7- Present Use of Project Lands 2.09 Land use is similar in the Sinaloa and Fuerte districts. The main winter crops are wheat, safflower, vegetables, cotton, maize and beans. The main summer crops are soybeans, sorghum, rice, vegetables and maize. 2.10 Sinaloa. Of the 76,000 ha in the Sinaloa part of the proposed project, some 33,000 ha are currently cuJtivated. Of these, about 28,000 ha have some type of irrigation, either through surface water diversions, extraction of groundwater, or a combination of the two, with about 5,000 ha cultivated under dry farming conditions. The 43,000 ha balance (mostly on the right bank), is still under brush. In the portion of Sinaloa district irrigated only by surface water diversion, water availability is restricted to summer and early fall, and cropping is restricted mainly to rice and soybeans with safflower and beans grown on residua:Lmoisture in late fall. Where there is also pumping of groundwater, cropping is more diversified and cropping intensity is high, reflecting year-round availability of water. The mean cropping intensities in the district reach only about 122%. 2.11 Of the 120,000 ha to be rehabilitated in Fuerte ¿listrict,only about 80,000 ha can be cropped because of an inadequate distribution system (10,000 ha) and of excessive salinization of the remaining 30,000 tia. The area planted varies from year to year according to water availability, but the mean cropping intensity for the 80,000 ha is about 109%. Population 2.12 Overall population of the three municipios (counlies)--Ahome, Guasave and Sinaloa--in which the project area lies, is about 550,000. There are about 96,000 households with some 154,000 economically active members of which nearly 50% are employed in agriculture. Annual population growth in the region is estimated at 6% of which about 2.5% is attributed to immigration of people attracted by employment opportunities opened up by development of irrigated agriculture, agro-business and secondary economic activities. The literacy rate is about 76%. Land Tenure 2.13 Table 2.02 shows the farm size distribution for the area of Sinaloa distriet and Units 1, 4 and 5 of Fuerte distriet which together comprise the proposed project area. About 70% of the area belongs to "ejidos" a legal entity which, in essence, consists of the right of rural communities to enjoy the usufruct of lands whose ownership remains with the Fed,erationand defines the rights of individual members (ejidatarios) to share the usufruct right of their community. The average share per family in the project's ejido area is about eight ha and ranges from less than five to a maximum of 20 ha. The remaining land is of private ownership with 66% of the farmers holding less than 20 ha units. 2.14 Under the Agrarian Reform Law all single-owner holdings in excess of 100 ha of irrigated land are subject to expropriation for redistribution to ejidos. The new Federal Water Law 1/ carries this further by specifying that 1/ Ley Federal de Aguas, January ]1, 1972. - 8 - when a Federal Irrigation Distriet is established, the maximum size holding of newly irrigated land is 20 ha. 2.15 In practice, however, it is expected that the applicability of these laws will be minimal and few changes will occur in i-' pre<^1-1 tenure situation since the Agrarian Reform Law would apply to only about 2% of the proposed project area. Furthermore the Federal Water Law gives no legal authority to intervene where lands are already irrigated, i.e. covered by irrigation systems; this excludes all of Fuerte district and most of Sinaloa district as in the latter, it is mostly the larger farms that possess privately developed wells and irrigation systems. Thus it is estimated that in the legal sense, lands liable to expropriation under the existing laws do not exceed 4,000 to 5,000 ha in both districts. The authorities are in the process of purchasing part of these lands for the settlement of farmers whose lands will be covered by the lake behind the Bacurato storage dam. Credit and Crop Insurance 2.16 Credit is provided by more than a dozen private banks as well as five branches of the official Banco Nacional de Credito Rural (BNCR) in the Rio Fuerte/Rio Sinaloa area. BNCR lending for the 1977-78 crop year by its Los Mochis (Fuerte) and Guasave (Sinaloa) branches was, respectively: Mex $417 million for 69,389 ha and Mex $113 million for 26,977 ha. Nearly 98% of the BNCR lending was to the ejido sector for which it is the primary supplier of shortterm credit. All of the above banks are able to use the Fondo de Garantia of the Bank of Mexico (FIRA) for rediscounting long term loan paper. The availability of short- and long-term credit has not been a limiting factor in the project area. A government-sponsored crop insurance program, the Aseguradora Nacional Agricola and Ganadera S.A. (ANAGSA), operates in close cooperation with the lending programs, with the insurance covering on average about 70% of the cost of inputs for irrigated production. Agricultural Inputs 2.17 In addition to commercial firms, associations of private farmers and unions of ejidos are involved in supplying seeds, fertilizers, pest control and custom machine operations. 2.18 Seeds. Most of the improved seed used in the project area is selected and introduced by the local experimental stations (para 2.23). Multiplication is carried out either by the government-operated Productora Nacional de Semillas (PRONASE) or under supervision of the National Service for Inspection and Seed Certification. The farmer's associations also produce seeds of the improved varieties for their members. 2.19 Fertilizer. Production, import and distribution of fertilizers on the national scale is handled by the government owned firm, Fertilizantes Mexicanos (FERTIMEX). Local distribution in the Fuerte/Sinaloa area is handled effectively by a combination of public, private and farmer organizations. Sinaloa state is one of the heaviest users of fertilizers in the nation, particularly nitrogen where the average application under irrigated conditions such as the project area is about 105 kg/ha in terms of elemental N. However, in spite of this high use of N there is a need to improve use efficiency and for research development of more fertilizer responsive varieties. Phosphorus responses are common and there is a continuous need to maintain adequate phosphorus levels which are drawn dosm by high output resulting from irrigation and heavy nitrogen applications. 2.20 Custom Machine Operations. Hiring of machinery for certain farm operations is a well established practice in the project area. Most of the ejidos and small private farmers make use of custom operators for heavy tractor work, harvesting and aerial applications. Most of the operators are private but services are also provided by two large unions of ejidos. 1/ Large private farmers and ejidos have their own tractors and implements and are generally independent for land preparation and cultivation purposes. On the whole the system functions efficiently and the capacity of the operators is such that they are able to perform the farming operations in a timely manner. Price guidelines for each custom operation are set annually through negotiation between representative of the various farmer groups and the union of private custom machine operators (maquileros). These prices then serve as the basis for bank lending for the upcoming season. This system is flexible and more than adequate to meet the needs of any proposed expansion in the area provided that the custom operators are assured adequate access to long term credit for the purchase of additional machinery which to date has been the case (para. 2.16). 2.21 Plant Protection. Adequate control of plant pests and diseases is essential to both present and future development of irrigated agriculture in the project area. The present regional infrastructure provides adequate plant protection programs for the state's irrigation districts and consists of: (a) the SARH offices in charge of plant protection, which have insect, disease and rat control responsibilities and provide leadership in biological control of important pests; (b) custom operators who apply insecticides by tractor or plane; and (c) product distribution points operated by farmer's associations and private farms. Financial support for area-wide programs of biological control is provided in part by farmer's associations. 2.22 Processing and Marketing. The project area is well served by basic processing and storage facilities for grains and cotton, and has developed specialized and efficient procedures for handling some 10,000 ha of vegetable markets. The agro-industries located within production for export and internal gas distribution, ferthe area include cotton gins, rice millls, a sugar mill, tilizer and insecticide mixing, seed processing, and, of major economic value, vegetable packing and cold storage facilities for export via refrigerated vans and railroad cars, and a local canning industry. 1/ These Unions operate ejido-owned businesses, municipio-wide in their coverage. The first is controlled by and serves 38 ejidos in Ahome; the second, 116 ejidos in Guasave. - 10 - Research and Extension 2.23 Research. Research activity in the project area has been limited by modest annual budgets, however, giving the need for expanding this activity, the quality of ongoing programs is generally high. A positive aspect of the research structure is that a mechanism has been developed during the past 12 years for local support of research in the form of a statewide (Sinaloa) permanent Commission for Agricultural Research and Experimentation. Of a total research budget of Mex$32.5 million for Sinaloa in 1977, private farmers and ejidatorios contributed Mex$6.2 million through a special tax on production. The National Institute of Agricultural Research (INIA) has one experiment station located in the project area, between Los Mochis and Guasave (CIAPAN) but has had little budget for off-station trials. CIAPAN's main activities include testing for local adaptability of the improved varieties of rice, sorghum and soybeans developed at international centers, as well as the new wheat varieties emanating from the research conducted cooperatively by INIA and the International Center for Maize and Wheat Improvement (CIMMYT) at Obregon, Sonora. The main deficiency of the station's program is in the need to expand its program for: (a) disease resistant varieties with greater production potential, especially of beans and maize; (b) better advice on water management and fertilizer use taking into account rotations which are most efficient in production per unit of water as well as unit area. 2.24 Extension. Extension services are provided by (i) the technical staff of FIRA and BNCR; and (ii) SAPH extension staff which is numerically the most important. Extension Services in already established districts have been particularly effective. However, recently, the SARH extension effort has been organized and consolidated as part of each district's integrated technical program in line with a countrywide reorganization in all irrigation districts. A main feature of the new approach is its similarity to the training and visit system being used in a number of Bank financed projects in other countries. The irrigation districts in Northern Sinaloa have had no problem in recruiting agricultural graduates and technical staff for this new program: most come from the Agricultural faculties of the University of Sinaloa at Culiacan or from local schools offering agricultural courses at a technical level. However, recruits lack experience and inservice training and supervision is needed to ensure their effective use. - III. 11 - THE ONGOING SINALOA PROJECT Original Project Description 3.01 The original Sinaloa Irrigation Project (Loan 970-ME for US$47 million, approved February 19, 1974) was intended to develop intensive irrigated agriculture on about 105,000 ha on both banks of the Sinaloa river. Project works wers to consist of: (a) the Bacurato dam and storage reservoir (2,900 Mm ); (b) the Sinaloa de Leyva diversion dam; (c) a concrete-lined irrigation coveyance and distribution system; (d) 60 new wells to complement the surface water supply; (e) a system of primary and seccndary drains; (f) land clearing and leveling; (g) an intensive four year farm extension program; and (h) ancillary items such as operation and maintenance equipment, roads, ditchrider houses, a communications system and project headquarters offices. The construction period was estimated to be five years. 3.02 The total project cost amounted to US$145.6 million, inclusive of interest on the Bank loan during the construction period. The Bank loan of US$47.0 million was to finance the foreign exchange component of the project (US$46.3 million) and one-half of thLeestimated cost of the four year extension program (US$0.7 million). 3.03 The net value of agricultural production expressed in 1972 prices was expected to increase from about US$3.5 million to about US$29.5 million in an eight year period, which corresponds to a net incremental value of production expressed in 1978 prices of about US$65 million. The rate of return to the economy was estimated at about 17%. 3.04 In the project area about 651,300ha were occupied by 10,900 families in 74 ejidos (or 5.6 ha per family) and about 39,600 ha were held by 1,170 private producers (or 33.8 ha per family). With the project, it was expected that an ejidatarios' on-farm income would increase 10 times to about US$2,000 1/ equivalent, while the income of a private farmer would increase at least six times to about US$15,000 equivalent. Project Execution, 1974-1977 3.05 The project got off to a s]ow start. Insufficient budget allocations caused delays in project implementation and the budgetary situation became extremely critical during 1976-1977 when Mexico, facing rapid inflation and a severe financial disequilibrium, launched a stringent stabilization program. By mid 1977, little progress in execution had been made and the cost estimate for the original project had more than doubled to US$300 million. 3.06 Government reviewed the situation and consulted with the Bank on how to proceed with the project. The following alternative options were discussed. Firstly, to continue loan disbursements at the rate foreseen in the Loan Contract (e.g., 38% for civil works). This would liaveexhausted 1/ Expressed in 1972 prices. - 12 - the loan amount well before project completion and was not acceptable to either party. Secondly to reduce the loan disbursement percentage to about 15% so that disbursements could be made during the full construction period. This too was rejected by both parties. Thirdly, to redefine the scope of the original Sinaloa project, limiting it to the works underway or those intimately related to them, with the remaining works being rescheduled and financed under a follow-up project. A President's Memorandum containing this proposal was approved by the Board on March 27, 1979. The Revised Sinaloa Project 3.07 The project as now redefined includes the main civil works originally contemplated (dam, diversion structures and main canals) but reduces the irrigation and drainage network considerably. It consists of (a) Bacurato dam and storage reservoir; (b) Sinaloa de Leyva diversion dam; (c) 94 km of lined main irrigation canals on the left bank and 47 km lined main canals on the right bank of the Sinaloa river; (d) an irrigation and drainage network covering 29,250 ha 1/; (e) land clearing and leveling on about 12,000 ha; (f) a farm extension program; and (g) ancillary items such as O&Mequipment. The Rio Sinaloa irrigation network has been connected by two canals to the adjacent Rio Fuerte irrigation distriet. The total cost of the revised project expressed in 1978 prices including price contingencies and interest during construction is estimated to amount to US$137.3 million with a foreign exchange component of US$44.71 million as outlined in the table below. Revised Cost Estimate (US$ million) ítem Foreign Total Civil Works Materíals and Equipment Engineering Technical Assistance 57.8 5.1 12.8 3.6 28.9 4.7 - Base Cost Physical Contingencies Price Contingencies Interest During Construction 79.3 4.2 7.4 - 33.6 2.9 3.9 6.0 112.9 7.1 11.3 6.0 Total 90.9 46.4 137.3 /a 1/ Local /a Cost Exchange rate 86.7 9.8 12.8 3.6 of US$ = Mex$22.5. A further area of 15,750 ha on the left bank will partially benefit this infrastructure, but will achieve full development levels only the infrastructure and services to be provided under the proposed Fuerte/Sinaloa Project. from with - 13 - 3.08 The problems, which initially delayed project implementation (para. 3.05) have been resolved; budget allocations have substantially increased and ít is expected that Government will now execute the remaining items of the revised Sinaloa Project in a timnelymanner. Bacurato dam and reservoir will be completed and fully operational by July 1981. The Sinaloa de Leyva diversion structure was completed in 1976. The main canals, irrigation and drainage networks and land clearing and leveling will be completed and operational by the end of 1979. The extension service has already initiated its activities in the project area and by the end of 1978 about 40% of works under the revised project had been completed. Disbursements have been slow, mainly due to delays in preparation of corresponding requests; about 15% of the Bank loan was disbursed by December 1978. It is expected, however, that execution of the revised project would be completed in December 1981, and disbursements by July 1982. Revised Project Benefits and Economic Justification 3.09 With the reduction in irrigated area to 29,250 ha, Bacurato storage reservoir capacity would be well in excess of maximum irrigation water requirements in Sinaloa distriet, even supposing that high croppirng intensities will be reached on the newly irrigated lands. Assuming, for purposes of calculation that no follow-up project would be carried out, the excess storage could then be used to channel water through interconnecting canals to Fuerte district, where water shortages also exist and cropping intensities on existing irrigated lands could be raised with water froniBacurato dam. 3.10 Benefits under the revised project would therefore consist of (a) incremental production on 29,250 ha of newly rehabilitated lands in Sínaloa, with an estimated cropping i.ntensityof 140% at full development; (b) incremental production on an additional 16,000 ha of existing irrigated lands in Sinaloa, which would produce only 60% of benefits assumed under (a) due to deficient water distribution and drainage facilities; and (c) water releases to Fuerte district which would enable raising cropping intensities on 70,000 ha in the Fuerte district from 110 to 120%. The rate of return of the revised project is estimated at 12%. - 14 - IV. THE PROJECT Project Concept On first appearance the concept for the proposed project was to 4.01 follow the design of the original Sinaloa project and complete the field distribution system on the entire area, i.e. on an additional 76,000 ha. This would, however, have entailed a serious disadvantage: it would take about four years to complete the field distribution system while during this time the Bacurato storage reservoir would have considerable excess capacity. Although these waters could in theory be released to Fuerte district during that period, they could not be used where they would be most urgently needed, i.e. for the leaching of saline lands; without simultaneous improvements in the Fuerte drainage system, leaching would lead to waterlogging and increase salinity levels even further. 4.02 These considerations prompted the Mexican authorities to propose a different concept for a follow-up project under which (a) the field distribution system in Sinaloa would be completed in four years, covering 76,000 ha; (b) meanwhile, excess water from Bacurato reservoir would be channeled to Fuerte district and used for leaching saline lands, which would also take about four years to complete; (c) concurrent with the leaching program in Fuerte, improvements in the drainage network and installation of control structures to avoid excessive water use, covering about 120,000 ha would be carried out; and (d) after completion of leaching in Fuerte, water releases from Bacurato dam would all revert to Sinaloa district and be put to productive use there since by this time the distribution system would have been built. 4.03 This concept is acceptable to the Bank as it would spread the benefits of irrigation over a larger area and more equitably over a larger number of farmers; it would provide water for leaching which could otherwise have been provided only by reducing cropping intensities (and possibly cropped areas) in Fuerte district; and it would implement a project - the rehabilitation of Fuerte district - which was already foreseen by the Mexican authorities as the next stage in the overall Plan for Irrigation Investment in the Northwest (PLINO). Project Description 4.04 The Rio Fuerte/Rio Sinaloa Project would inerease agriculture production productivity and farm incomes of 196,000 ha through rehabilitation and extension of irrigation and drainage networks, and reclamation of saline soils. Project works include: (a) rehabilitation of about 1.7 km of lined main canal, 130 km of unlined main irrigation canals, about 600 km of unlined irrigation laterals, and 154 km of open drains in the Fuerte district; (b) construction of about 375 km of lined irrigation laterals and, 171 km of open drains, in the Fuerte district; - 15 - (c) construction of about 16 km of lined main canal, 313 km of lined and 280 km of unlined irrigation laterals, 510 km of open drains, and 170 km of feeder roads in the Sinaloa dístriet; (d) reclamation of about 60,000 ha of saline and saline-sodie soils in the Fuerte district; (e) land clearing and leveling; (f) telecommunication and other works; (g) expansion of the district agricultural extension and research programs; and (h) execution of drainage and other studies within the Sinaloa and Fuerte river basins. 4.05 The irrigation works would be designed for water delivery to 60 ha blocks. Water control and measuring structures would be part of the canal network and permit monitoring of water use down to the 60 ha block turnouts. Drainage works comprise rehabilitation and deepening of existing drains and construction of new drains. Drain depth would vary from two to four meters and the overall drain density would be about 12 rn/ha. Feeder roads would be 6 m wide. In addition service roads would run along the main drains and canals. 4.06 On-farn development includes leveling of about 60,000 ha in Fuerte a9d 40,000 ha in Sinaloa district. Earth movements would average about 400 m /ha and be generally below 700 m /ha. In Fuerte's district the project would also reclaim 48,000 ha of saline lands, of which 18,000 ha are presently unproductíve and 30,000 ha produce about 35% of normal yield in the region. In addition about 12,000 ha of unproductive saline-sodic lands require gypsum applications (15 tons/ha) and leaching for their reclamation. Although most of the water for leaching in Fuerte would come from Bacuratc reservoir (para. 4.02) Fuerte drainage water would also be used for leaching and is recommended for rehabilitation of saline-sodic solls. Reclamation would require about one and a half meters of water for saline soils and about two meters for saline-sodic soils including half and one meter respectively for evaporation losses. Rice would be grown during reclamation. 4.07 Other civil works include 2915km of telephone línes to link Guasave, Los Mochis and Bacurato dam (Map IBRD 13953), 50 ditch rider houses, and buildings for supporting services. In addition the project would supply equipment for operation and maintenance of project facilities (Table 4.01). Intensive programs for supporting agricultural services would involve provision for buildings and equipment, incremental salaries and incremental recurrent costs for expanding the agricultural extension and research servic,esin the area. Further details are discussed in Chapter V. 4.08 The project would also provide for expansion of the groundwater observation well network and monitoring of the water table (para 5.10) and for studies on drain spacing, use of tubewells for drainage, draínage materials - 16 - etc. This is considered necessary as there is a danger that, with time, after the completion of Bacurato reservoir, groundwater tables could rise to undesirable shallow levels in Sinaloa district and those parts of Fuerte district near to Sinaloa River. Levels of possible future drainage investments cannot be provided at this time, but some allowances for this purpose have been made in the project analysis (para 8.02). In addition Covernment agreed to provide credit for ejidos and private farmers for on-farm drainage as required. Water Supply and Demand 4.09 Sinaloa Irrigation District. The district will derive its water from Bacurato dam and from the3underground aquifer. Bacurato dam will have a maximum capacity of 2,900 Mm and a normal irrigation capacity of 1,800 Mm The average reservoir inflow b sed on 37 continuous years of hydrologic records has been estimated at 1,330 Mm . Water requirements were determined by the modified Blaney-Criddle method and assuming conveyance and field efficients of 70% each (overall efficiency 50%); the results compare with actual water use in the neighboring fully developed El Carriso district. Between 1978 and 1982 the Sinaloa district could supply 1,065 Mm to the Fuerte district for leaching purposes. Details on water availability and requirements are summarized below and shown in more detail in Tables 4.02 and 4.03. Water Balance Sinaloa District A. Availability Inflow Bacurato reservoir Evaporation and seepage losses Spillway discharges Regulated outflow Conveyance and operational losses (30%) Water pumped from wells /a Total Availability B. 1,330 - 44 - 200 1,086 - 326 + 230 990 Requirements Area upstream Leyva diversion (5,000 ha) Sinaloa I area (29,000 ha) Rio Fuerte/Rio Sinaloa project (76,000 ha) Domestic and industrial requirements Total requirements /a _m3 43.5 252.3 659.9 34.3 990.0 Well yields presently estimated at 250 Mm but an ongoing hydrological study may reduce safe yields by approximately 10%. - 17 - Fuerte Irrigation District. The district covers an area of 210,000 4.10 ha and receives its water from (a) Miguel Hidalgo dam; (b) the underground aquifer; and (c) rediversion of return flows at Camayeca/Porvenir and Guamuchilera. The Miguel Hidalgo dam regulates the streamflow of the river for the five units of the Fuerte district and for the Josefa Ortiz dam which regulates the availabilities for the Carrizo district. In accordance with hydrolog cal records the average rese5voir inflow at Miguel Hidalgo is 4,400 Mm and the outflow is 3,093 Mn with a probability of shortage of 3.73%. Water availabilities and requireimentsare summarized below and in more detail shown in Tables 4.04 and 4.05. Water Balance Fuerte District A. Mm3 Availability Net outflow from Miguel Hidalgo to Fuerte district /a River and canal conveyance and operation losses 30% Return flow from Camayeca-Porvenir Return flow from Guamuchilera 110 wells /b Pumping water from Sinaloa river 80% 80% 80% 80% Total Availability B. 3,093.0 - 928.0 2,165.0 + 80.0 + 14.4 + 150.0 + 64.0 2,473.4 Requirements Irrigation Fuerte district units 2 and 3 Irrigation Fuerte district units 1, 4 and 5 Leaching requirements (annual) Domestic and industrial use Total requirements 1,260.0 982.0 80.0 138.0 2,460.0 la After deduction of releases to the Josefa Ortiz reservoir. /b Yields presently estimatedlat 200 Mm but an ongoing hydrological survey may reduce safe yields by approximately 25%. Water Quality The quality of water available for the project is excellent for 4.11 irrigation use, the impurities carried by the water in solution or in suspension are very few. During the dry season from November to May, the dissolved solid contents rarely exceed 200 ppm at the inlets of Bacurato and - 18 - Miguel Hidalgo and the pH factor ranges from neutral to slightly acid. Contamination of quality of irrigation water may be caused by use of return flow or drainage recoveries. At the present, the irrigation water contains no toxic or harmful elements and there is no evidence of water borne diseases. Construction Schedule and Status of Engineering Implementation Schedule. Project implementation would begin in 4.12 January 1980 and be completed in December 1985. Although civil works would be constructed in a four year period (1980-1983), the project would support studies, agricultural research and extension activities during a six year period. This would ensure timely realization of potential benefits from the project. Table 4.06 summarizes the project implementation schedule. Status of Engineering. Feasibility level designs for the irriga4.13 tion and drainage networks have been satisfactorily completed. Detailed designs of the project works would be carried out under the project by the Office of Hydraulic Infrastructure for Northern Sinaloa in Los Mochis (Chart No. 20103) which has sufficient qualified staff and experience for this purpose. The same staff has designed the irrigation and drainage networks for Sinaloa I in a most satisfactory manner. Cost Estimates Total project cost expressed in December 1978 prices amount to 4.14 US$249.7 million (Mex$5,620 million) including price and physical contingencies. There are no identifiable taxes. The foreign exchange component is estimated at US$84.6 million (Mex$1,904 million) or 34% of total costs. Cost estimates for civil works and major equipment are based on unit rates obtained in contracts for the ongoing Sinaloa I irrigation project (Loan 970-H1E). Physical contingencies for civil works and equipment were taken at 15% and for engineering at 10% of civil works in view of recent experience with similar work in the area. Total price contingencies amount to US$65.5 million or 26% of total project cost and were compounded at 7% annually for the foreign exchange component of civil works, at 6% annually for the foreign exchange component of equipment between 1979 and 1985, and for local cost at 15%, 10% and 6.5% in 1979, 1980 and from 1981 to 1985 respectively. These price contingencies are based on projected price inflation in Mexico's civil works industry. Cost estimates are summarized below and shown in detail in Table 4.07. Table 4.08 shows the schedule of expenditures. Financing Plan The proposed Bank loan of US$92 million would finance the estimated 4.15 foreign exchange requirements of the project (US$84.6 million) plus 50% of studies and incremental operational costs of agricultural extension and research services (US$7.4 million). The Government would finance the remainder of project costs amounting to US$157.7 equivalent or 63% of total project costs. The Bank loan would be for a period of 17 years including four years of grace. Interest and commitment charges on the Bank loan during the construction period would be paid by Government. Cost Estimate Item Local Foreign -Mex$ Million I. Fuerte Irrigation Local Foreign ------- US$ MillionL Total ----- 467.5 265.0 10.0 124.1 28.4 324.8 184.1 89.7 - Subtotal 895.0 792.3 449.1 99.7 124.1 28.4 20.8 11.7 0.4 5.5 1.2 14.4 8.2 4.0 - 35.2 19.9 4.4 5.5 1.2 41 41 90 0 0 598.6 1,493.6 39.6 26.6 66.2 40 784.2 131.5 6.3 155.2 53.3 544.9 91.3 56.5 - 1,329.1 222.8 62.8 155.2 53.3 34.9 5.8 0.3 6.9 2.3 24.2 4.1 2.5 - 59.1 9.9 2.8 2.3 41 41 90 0 0 1,130.5 692.7 1,823.2 50.2 30.8 81.0 38 Program 186.5 15.5 202.0 8.2 0.7 8.9 8 and Studies 129.8 28.0 157.8 5.8 1.2 7.0 - Irrigation District Civil Works On-Farm Development Equipment Engineering Indemnization Subtotal III. Agriculture IV. Agricultural Extension Research Total Physical Contingencies 2,337.7 b334.8 6.9 3,672.5 103.8 59.3 163.1 279. 0 198,0 477,0 12,3 8,8 21,1 Price Contingencies 1,100.2 371.3 1>471.5 49.0 16.5 65.5 GRAND TOTAL 3715.9 1,904.1 5,620.0 165.1 84.6 249.7 May 7, Foreign Exchange % District Civil Works On-Farm Development Equipment Engineering Indemnization II. Sinaloa Total ------- 1979 17 34 - 20 - Procurement 4.16 Contracts for principal irrigation and drainage works amounting to about US$108 million would be procured on the basis of international competitive bidding in accordance with the Bank's Guidelines for Procurement. Mexico has a well developed and competent contracting industry, capable of doing all type of civil works at competitive prices, and only rarely is a bid submitted from a non Mexican firm. However to facilitate the participation of international contractors, civil works would, insofar as possible be grouped into contracts having a minimum value of US$2.0 million. 4.17 On-farm development works (US$22 million) would be procured under local competitive bidding or through negotiated contracts on the basis of Government procedures which are satisfactory to the Bank. Most frequently in the project region farmers organize themselves into partnerships to contract land clearing and leveling on small tracts up to 100 ha in size using their own machinery. The work provides income to the farmers pending completion of the rehabilitation works, but more importantly, it trains them in proper leveling procedures and prepares them to maintain their fields in good condition for irrigation. SARH provides engineering services and supervises such contracts. 4.18 To expedite the construction of civil works under international competitive bidding, small jobs (telecommunications, buildings, houses) whicli,because of timing or nature of the work, could be better handled if they were not included in major contracts, would be contracted out under ordinary Government procedures, up to a maximum value per contract of US$0.22 million. 4.19 The estimated cost of vehicles, farm machinery and equipment is about US$8.8 million, out of which US$6 million would be subject to international competitive bidding according to Bank Guidelines for Procurement (March 1977). For bid evaluation a 15% margin of preference or the prevailing custom duties if lower would be allowed for equipment and vehicles produced in Mexico. About US$2.8 million worth of minor equipment are not suitable for international competitive bidding would be purchased through normal local procurement procedures. Government agreed to follow procurement procedures outlined above. Disbursements 4.20 The proposed Bank loan would disburse against itemized categories as outlined below. In the case of incremental staff salaries, the appropriate documentation would be a summary of those staff salaries applicable to the project and based on positions incremental to the staff list at June 30, 1979. Other disbursements would be made against normal documentation. The estimated disbursement schedule is presented in Table 4.09. - 21 Category - Item Cost (US$ m) I II III IV Selected civil works comprising infrastrucand drainage irrigation telecommunication roads, feeder ture, buildon farm development, facilities, costs ings and houses; 43% of total 59.0 and maintenance for operation Equipment and r,esearch extension and for agricultural costs of total 90% and studies; services 8.0 Incremental operational costs of agricultural extension and studies; 50% of total costs 7.5 Unallocated 17.5 The percentage under category I reflects the non financing of retention monies under civil works contracts. Accounts and Audit SARH would maintain separate accounts to reflect the financial 4.21 situation of the project. Such accounts are subject to periodical internal audits conducted by a special audit division of SARH. Government agreed to (a) maintain or cause to be maintained separate accounts adequate to reflect in accordance with constantly maintained sound accounting practices, resources and expenditures in respect of the project of the departments and agencies of the Government responsible for carrying out the project or any part thereof, (b) annually furnish to the Bank a summary statement of such accounts, and (c) furnish to the Bank such other pertinent information concerning such accounts as the Bank shall reasonably request from time to time. Environmental Impact The project would not adversely affect the environment: better 4.22 irrigation water management, drainage and reclamation would in fact improve of the water table Monitoring area. in the project conditions environmental in the future. waterlogging to avoid possible action immediate would permit There are no water borne diseases in the project area. - 22 - V. ORGANIZATION AND MANAGEMENT General The project would be administered by SARH through its established 5.01 channels; no changes to existing arrangements are considered necessary under the proposed project. Thus the nominal responsibility for the project would rest with SARH's representative for the state of Sinaloa, with headquarters in Culiacan, which in turn would be passed to his representative in Los Mlochis,the SARH Coordinator for Northern Sinaloa. This coordinator is responsible for all SARH activities in the northern part of the state. Under the coordinator operate (a) the office of Major Hydraulic Infrastructure Prograns (MHIP) which is the lead office for execution of the ongoing project (970-ME) and would also fulfill this role for the proposed project; and (b) the three irrigation districts of Sinaloa, Fuerte and Carrizo organized along similar lines and responsible for on-farm development operations and maintenance, and extension services. Chart 20103 shows the organization of the proposed project within the framework of the SARH organization in Northern Sinaloa. Major Hydraulic Infrastructure Programs 5.02 The organizational structure of this office has been in existence since the establishment of the first irrigation district in Northern Sinaloa in 1963. It is currently headed by an experienced and competent engineer with management teams assigned for specific activities such as rehabilitation of Fuerte, construction of Bacurato dam, etc. These teams are supported by a headquarter administration and technical staff. The chief of MHIP is responsible for engineering design, field planning, and specifications, for supervision of construction and for the preparation of annual budgets. While the annual budgets have to be approved by the SARH state representative, approval of the engineering design, planning and specification aspects is the responsibility of the SARH Subsecretary of Infrastructure in Mexico City. These arrangements are operating satisfactorily and it is considered that the existing organization and staffing are adequate and could well handle the proposed project without major changes or additions. Irrigation Districts 5.03 Each irrigation district is assisted at the executive level by a steering committee to ensure the participation of non-SARH public and private organizations, and has three departments for its day to day operations Conservation and Maintenance, Operations and Development, and Administrative Services. 5.04 Conservation and Maintenance is responsible for all major repairs for which it operates its own machinery pool and workshop. Details and costs of additional maintenance equipment needed under the proposed project are shown in table 4.01 while operation and maintenance costs, estimated to total Mex$183.6 million (US$8.2 million) annually, are detailed in table 5.01. - 23 Operationsand Development is responsible for the daily operation of 5.05 the irrigationsystem, for extension servícesand for the collectionof water charges. The basic unit for operating the irrigationsystem is the zone covering about 6,000 ha each and employing one zone chief and a team of seven ditch riders. Extension serviceshave been recently reorganized into a newly created District IntegratedTechnical AssistanceProgram,(DITA). 5.06 DITA replaces the services that were provídedunder the umbrella of PLAMEPA and involves two main activities: agriculturalextension,and with procedures similar to the trainingand water management/distribution, visit system which has been supported in a number of Bank financed projects, particularlyin Asia (Chart 20103). At farm level, extension activities are handled by separate teams assigned to specific areas. In addition to regulatingwater supply over these areas the team advises farmers on on-farm levelingprograns. Regarding extension a field extension officer at graduate level is assigned to an area of about 3,000 ha, with responsibilityfor about 300 to 500 families. Depending on work load the field extensionofficer may be assistedby an agriculturaltechnician. Farm visits are nmadeon a regular basis in the course of 10 to 14 days. At each visit the extension officer gives written recommendationsto the farmer or ejido managementkeeping a copy for his own records. Field extension officersmeetings are held regularly at weekly intervals at either the zone or area levels to discuss problemsand fíx field work programs. Meetingsare also held at 2-3 weekly intervals at the unit or district level for more formal trainingand technicaldiscussions. 5.07 Field techniciansare supportedby special units attached to the office of the Chief of Operationsand Development (e.g. hydrology;deep wells; water use; applied research). Of particularimportanceis the unit for applied researchwhich works on selected farmer sites to orient the field extension officerswho in turn use the sites for field days for farmer demonstrations. Also, in this unit are located some six to nine subject matter specialists who work closely in training and problem solving with the field extension workers through their respectivezone, area and unit coordinators. With the DITA system, the overall quality of extension services 5.08 has become quite satisfactoryand is among the best available in Mexico; it has also sufficientflexibilityto meet additionaldemands under the proposed project. New staff would be recruitedgradually as the need arises and new irrigationunits are initiated. In this regard no problemusare anticipatedin recruiting the 68 professional,66 sub-professionaland 46 support staff for the DITA component of the proposedproject. However these staff will need further training before they can be consideredeffectiveextension workers. Thus in service trainingwill be an important feature of the extension activities providedunder the project. Total investmentcosts for the proposed extension program amounts to Mex$7.3 inillion(US$325,000)and incremental operationalcosts for a six year period to Mex$194.7 million (US$8.7million) and are detailed in table 5.02. 5.09 Research. The research being carried out by the -[NIAstaff at the CIAPAN research center is generally well executedand no changes in existing administrativearrangementsare envisaged for the small research component - 24 - under the project. However, under the project research programs will be organized to study water management and plant yield improvement at the farmer level rather than at the research station as at present. For this purpose no major expansion in the existing physical facilities will be needed. The main requirement will be additional 15 research staff with appropr4ate supPrct clerical staff. Thus total investment cost for agricultural research amount to Mex$9.8 million (US$436,000) and incremental operational costs for a six year period to Mex$74.2 million (US$3.3 million) and are outlined in table 5.03. -' Monitoring and Evaluation 5.10 Monitoring and evaluation of the proposed project forms an integral part of the existing operation. Basic data collection is carried out routinely within the system, the most important of which are cropped areas, cropping patterns, water use, yields, prices, marketing and handling, operation and maintenance activities, extension activities, ground water levels, progress of works and reservoir storage. With the exception of expanding the grid for measuring ground water levels (para 4.08) no significant changes in current procedures are envisaged. These procedures will also be applied under the proposed project. - 25 VI. AGRICULTURALPRODUCTION,MARKETS, MARKETING AND PRICES Area, Cropping Patterns, Yields 6.01 Total cropped acreage in the project area totals about 128,000 ha at present (paras 2.10-2.11and table 6.01). Without the project,this area in the future would be reduced as in Fuerte District, land would go out of productiondue to increasingsalinity levels: estimated on the basis of past experienceat about 10,000 ha over 10 years. Croppingintensitieswould increaseas additionalwater becomes available from Bacuratodam to 120% in Fuerte and 140% in the in the Sinaloa area. With the project, this process would be reversed,more land would be brought under productionand cropping intensitywould only be slightlyabove present levels as detailed in table 6.01 and summarizedbelow: Physical Cropped ---------ha--------- Cropping Intensity % 1. Present Situation Sinaloa Fuerte 33,000 80,000 40,400 87,550 122 109 113,000 127,950 113 33,000 70,000 46,500 84,000 140 120 103,000 130,500 127 Sinaloa Fuerte 76,000 120,000 94,000 132,000 124 110 Total 196,000 226,000 115 Total II. Future Without Project Sinaloa Fuerte Total III. Future With Project 6.02 Although with the project th,esame crops would be grown as at present, some crops would increase their share of total area while others would be reduced. Changes in cropping patterns are predieted due to the need to: (a) minimize areas of high water constunption crops (rice, sugar) and to maximize areas of more efficientwater usi.ngcrops (beans, sorghum, safflower);(b) maximize areas for crops with good market prospectsboth domestically(feed - 26 - grains, oil seeds) and for export (cotton);and (c) maintain vegetable production to about the present level in spite of its high returns because of constraints in both the domestic and the internationalmarkets. Yield projections are based on average yields presently obtained on fully irrigated lands in both the project area and neighboringareas. Overall yield increases are relativelysmall compared to many new irrigationdistricts in Mexico, due to the existing high level of applied technologieson lands where water is available;projected increases would mainly be due to more efficientwater use and better drainage and leaching brought about by the project. The following table shows present, projected with and without project status regarding areas and yields for the main crops. - 27 - Present and Future Yields and Production Present Net Cropped Yield Area (mt/ha) (ha) Future Without Project Net Cropped Yield Area (mt/ha) (ha) Future With Project Net Cropped Yield Area (mt/ha) (ha) Soybean 15,000 1.9 18,300 1.9 40,000 2.5 Sorghum 19,600 4.0 22,000 4.0 30,000 5.0 9,900 3.4 10,000 3.4 2,500 4.0 20,100 0.8 17,700 0.8 50,000 1.5 7,400 1.8 6,100 1.8 2,500 3.5 10,000 12.0 10,300 12.0 11,000 17.0 Other 4,500 1.3 4,600 1.3 4,000 2.0 Cotton 7,600 2.4 7,100 2.4 22,000 3.0 21,000 1.8 22,200 1.8 50,000 2.2 Wheat 7,400 3.6 7,200 3.6 5,000 4.5 Alfalfa/Pasture 1,990 12.0 2,000 12.0 4,000 15.0 Fruit Trees 1,560 12.0 1,600 12.0 3,600 15.0 Sugar 1,400 60.0 1,400 60.0 1,400 90.0 Rice Pulses Maize Vegetables Safflower Total Net Cropped Area(ha) Cropping Intensity (%) Physically Cropped Area (ha) April 9, 1979 128,000 130,500 226,000 113 127 115 113,000 103,500 196,000 - 28 - Production 6.03 Based upon the above yields, cropping patterns and cropping intensities, incremental production for the main crops would be: (a) soybean 71,500 mt; (b) sorghum 71,600 mt; (c) vegetables 57,000 mt; (d) seed cotton 47,800 mt; (e) safflower 72,200 mt; (f) alfalfa/pasture 36,160 mt; (g) fruit 35,300 mt; and (h) sugar 42,000 mt. Production of maize, rice and wheat is projected to decline; although yield increases are projected for these crops, these increases would not be sufficient to compensate for the reduction in areas predicted under the project, as the net return on these crops would be decidedly lower than for others such as oil seeds and cotton. With the exception of cotton and vegetables which would be mainly exported, the remainder of the crops would be for local consumption. Markets and Prices 6.04 No marketing problems are foreseen for project produce. Farmers in the project area have in the past shown a strong flexibility to cope with changes in demand for their products, and marketing facilities are operating efficiently and able to cope with additional supplies from the proposed project. At full development, incremental output would be less than 8% of local demand in the State of Sinaloa, Chihuahua and Durango, and less than 2% of the requirements of Mexico City, and no market disruptions due to oversupply are expected. 6.05 The National Marketing Corporation (CONASUPO) purchases agricultural commodities on the basis of official support prices. These prices are generally in line with free market prices except for commodities for which there is a national shortage and/or imports are increasing, such as maize or soybeans, in which case support prices are perceptibly higher. Sales to CONASUPO, however, are on a voluntary basis and CONASUPO purchases nationwide seldom exceed 25-30% of total market production. In northern Sinaloa CONASUPO purchases are mostly limited to beans; most marketing is done by producer organizations or private firms at farm gate prices generally above those fixed by Government. While farm prices have been used in the farm budgets, present and future economic prices converted to farmgate levels have been used to calculate the value of production for purposes of economic analysis; calculations of economic prices are based on Bank projections. Farmgate and economic prices are summarized below: Farm Prices Present …-------------in Cotton Maize Pulses Rice (Paddy) Safflower Sorghum Soybeans Vegetables Wheat Alfalfa Fruits Sugarcane 7,650 2,900 5,250 2,750 4,250 2,030 5,500 2,320 2,050 1,080 2,000 220 Economic Prices (at farmgate) Present Future Mex$ per ton… 8,670 2,760 5,850 2,900 4,140 2,550 5,200 2,320 2,890 1,080 2,000 240 10,745 3,600 5,250 4,610 4,850 3,170 7,175 2,320 3,820 1,080 2,000 450 - 29 - VII. PROJECT BENEFICIARIES FARM INCOMES AND COST RECOVERY IThe proposed project would through increased production directly 7.01 benefit 19,700 families comprising 17,250 ejidatarios and 2,450 private farmers. It would also decrease on-farm underemployment, through provision of additional 3.3 million man-days of labor per year at full development. More than 9C0%of the beneficiaries wou]d be from the lowest income group of than 13 ha representing of less farm sizes in the area with average farmers about 73% of the farm area of the proposed project. The present weighted net farm incomes 1/ before charges and taxes for this group would vary from Mex$12,000 to Mex$38,000 for average farm sizes within the range of 4-13 ha. At full development net farm incomes before charges and taxes for the same range would be Mex$42,000 to Mex$135,000, A detailed breakdown by average farm size showing present status of land use and present and projected NVP values per farm with and without the proposed project are shown in Table 7.01. Representative farm models for the proposed project are shown in Table 7.02 and 7.03. Production costs are sunmmarizedin table 7.04. The FRR's for and 25% for the by salinization the models of 23% for the farm unaffected in most and conservative considered is salinization by farm affected be probably will group landholder small the amongst instances, particularly somewhat higher. Tle recovery of project costs through water charges has been the 7.02 subject of a continuing dialogue betweien the Government and the Bank. Government has recently stated that its aim is to eventually recover all operation and maintenance costs plus those capital investment costs that producers can afford. However, no timoeschedule has been set to achieve these objectives except that changes should be increased gradually on a country wide basis. Under the ongoing Rio Sinaloa Irrigation Project (Loan 970-ME) Governrment agreed to "charge and collect wat,er charges on the basis of the ability of water users to pay and the need to obtain an incentive for them to make best use of the land and water available to them as shall be necessary to recover all operation and maintenance costs of irrigation facilities included in the projoectand as much as practicable of their investment costs". 7te Government proposes to recover for the proposed Rio Fuerte/Rio 7.03 Sinaloa project total operation and maintenance costs plus a proportion of investment costs. Government would carry out a socio-economic study in the Sinaloa and Fuerte irrigation districts to determine farmnersability to pay. The study is important as even with the project, part of the farming population would remain below or close to the poverty level and should in any 1/ Weighted to include: (a) farms on which the present yields and cropping patterns are similar to those from the better developed units/districts in the region; (b) farms on which present production is on average about 35% of (a) because of the scarcity of water, salinity or poor for that have not yet been developed and (c) those areas drainage; irrigation. - 30 case be exempt from any additional charge or levy. Government would in addition recover about Mex$70.7 million per annum of incremental income tax which is directly related to crop grown in the area. 7.04 Assuming full recovery of operation and maintenance costs for the time being, Government would have to raise the water charge from about 70 pesos to about 90 pesos per thousand cubic meters of water. On a per hectare basis this means an average increase from about 430 pesos to about 560 pesos. Water would be levied per ha and kind of crop grown. 7.05 The incremental water charges plus returns from incremental income tax would result in rent recovery indices of 17% for farms of less than 13 ha, and 73% for farms of more than 13 ha; the cost recovery index would amount to 19% (table 7.05). Total charges and taxes would represent 13% of the incremental cash income of small holders and 62% of large landholders. During negotiations Government agreed to: (a) recover full operation and maintenance cost of irrigation and drainage works provided under the proposed project; (b) carry out a study in the Fuerte and Sinaloa project areas to determine the farmers ability to pay for investment costs; (c) not later than December 31, 1984 submit this study to the Bank together with a proposal for recovery of investment costs; and (d) review this study periodically with the view to revising such charges if appropriate. - 31 - VIII. BENEFITS AND JUSTIFICATION Benefits 8.01 Execution of the project would entail significant benefits for both the participating project farmers and the Northern Sinaloa area as a whole. The project would (a) increase agricultural production by providing irrigation water to previously part irrigated or non-irrigated areas and by reclaiming saline lands; and (b) prevent salinizaton on presently non-saline lands which, without drainage improvements, would become affected in th,efuture. The project would also have significant social effects: 87% of farm families and 70% of the land are in ejidos with holdings of 20 ha or less, and as it is presently the larger individual farmnerswho have the better irrigated lands, the share of smallholders in total net value of production would increase (from 57% at present to 71% at full project development for farmers with eight ha or less). Indirect benefits would also be important: not only would small farmers that now mainly depend on seasonal off-farm employment revert to full time employment on the farm, thus increasing total family income and thus liberating employmeritopportunities in the services and industries sector, but increased agricultural production would itself generate more employment in other sectors, as demonstrated by the net influx of people into the area of between 2% and 3% per year. 8.02 The economic rate of return of the project, counting direct benefits alone, has been calculated at 17.9% (table 8.01). The assumptions for this calculation have been (a) the treatmientof investments under the ongoing Sinaloa project - as revised - as stnk cost; (b) the area under crops and crop yields assumptions as given in paras 6.01 and 6.02; (c) economic prices converted to farmgate as specified in para 6.05. An estimate on future drainage investments (para 4.08) has been made at the rate of 1,500 ha per year starting from 1985 onwards, ancl its costs taken into account in the economic cost benefit analysis. Finally, all labor including farmily labor, has been costed at current wage rates for the area. As the project is the completion of an ongoing program in which major infrastructure investments (dam, main canals) will already have been carried out before, however, an integrated analysis of the ongoing -- revised - Sinaloa prc.jectand the Fuerte/ Sinaloa project gives a better indication of its profitability. The rate of return on the integrated project, again counting only direct benefits, is 13.4% (table 8.01). Risk and Sensitivity 8.03 The project carries no major risks. The quality and performance of the project organization in the area is well above average even for Mexican standards, and experience has shown that it is able to carry out infrastructure works, operate the irrigation system and provide extension services in a satisfactory manner. Moreover, farmers are well established, employ modern technology and improved production mnethods, and are open to advice from extension workers; the chances that yield levels on newly irrigated land would not reach predicted levels are remote. Reclamation of saline lands would follow the same principles as those successfully applied in the area in the - 32 - past. The only risks would be that, in view of the many ongoing activities, project execution might be slightly delayed or that, with more rapid inflation, costs might be higher than estimated. Sensitivity tests for the proposed project are summarized below 8.04 and show a range of 14% to 18% for the economic rate of return; in view of the above, the critical parameters are (2), (3) and (6). ERR % (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Expected Investment costs 10% higher, crop yields 10% lower Costs 10% higher Costs 10% lower Crop yields 10% lower Benefits delayed by one year 17.9 14.5 16.3 19.7 16.1 15.5 Sensitivity tests for the combined Sinaloa I Irrigation project 8.05 and the Rio Fuerte/Rio Sinaloa Irrigation Project have shown, that a one year delay in project execution would reduce the rate of return from 13.4% to 11.9% and a 10% increase of overall costs would reduce it to 12.1%. A 10% decrease in benefits would result in a rate of return of 12%. - IX. :33- RECODNiENDATIONS During negotiations agreement was reached that Government would: 9.01 (a) provide credit for ejidos and private farmers for on-farm drainage as required (para 4.08); (b) follow procurement procedures outlined in paras 4.16 to 4.19; (c) (i) maintain or cause to be maintained separate accounts adequate to reflect in accordance with constantly maintairLed sound accounting practices the resources and expenditures in respect of the project of the departments or agencies of the Government responsible for carrying out the project or any part thereof, (ii) annually furnish to the Bank a summary statement of such accounts, and (iii) furnish to the Bank such other peritinentinformation conc:erningsuch accounts as the Bank shall reasonably request from time to time (para 4.21); and (d) (i) recover full operaton and maintenance costs of irrigation and drainage works provided under the project; (ii) carry out socioeconomic studies in the Fuerte/Sinaloa project areas to determine the farmers ability to pay for investment costs; (iii) not later than December 31, 1984, submit this study together with a proposal to recover investment costs; and (iv) review the study periodically with the view to revising such charges if appropriate (para 7.05). With the agreements above the proposed project would be suitable 9.02 for Bank :Loanof US$92 million on standard terms and conditions. May 7, 1979 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Production 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 March 21, Maize Beans Sorghum Wheat 5,420 6,246 6,331 6,870 8,454 8,936 9,271 8,603 9,061 8,410 8,879 9,786 9,222 8,609 7,847 8,458 8,945 528 723 656 677 892 860 1,013 980 857 835 925 954 870 1,009 972 1,027 1,149 209 291 296 402 526 747 1,411 1,667 2,133 2,456 2,747 2,516 2,612 3,270 3,499 5,589 4,194 1,190 1,402 1,455 1,703 2,203 2,150 1,647 2,122 2,081 2,326 2,149 1,831 1,809 2,091 2,786 2,798 3,358 of Ten Maior Crops, 1960-1976 (Thousand m tons) Cotton 1,344 1,285 1,388 1,530 1,615 1,650 1,489 1,413 1,691 1,134 953 624 670 595 826 613 605 Sugar 1,498 1,388 1,428 1,618 1,816 1,983 2,011 2,327 2,196 2,394 2,208 2,393 2,359 2,592 2,649 2,500 2,704 Soya Beans 5 20 57 56 60 58 95 131 275 287 215 256 377 586 574 699 565 Rice (Paddy) 328 333 289 296 274 378 372 418 347 395 405 369 403 451 508 787 510 Safflower Alfalfa 32 41 47 47 47 80 236 149 102 209 288 412 271 298 275 514 240 4,240 4,230 5,090 5,132 5,531 5,685 5,727 7,645 7,645 8,312 9,240 9,689 10,434 11,158 11,901 13,200 13,542 1979 ,- Table 1.02 35 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Production Main Lívestock Commodities, 1960-1976 (Thousands m tons) Beef Milk Mutton Pork Poultry 1960 328 - 35 12 31 1965 421 - 35 18 39 1970 463 3,800 33 22 67 1971 457 3,900 36 21 72 1972 465 3,400 40 21 81 1973 486 4,100 42 22 81 1974 548 4,400 44 23 72 1975 596 4,800 44 24 78 1976 601 5,200 47 24 80 March 21, 1979 36 MEXICO Table 2.01 RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Irrigated Areas Sinaloa - - - Total irrigable area: 105,000 Area originally irrigated: 54,000 of which:affected by salinity: Total --ha 210,000 315,000 210,000 264,000 150,000 150,000 A. Saline lands reclaimed by farmers: - 13,000 13,000 B. Areas reclaimed under 275-ME: -moderately salíne lands: -severely salmne lands: sub-total - 56,000 21,000 77,000 56,000 2I,O 77,000 - 8,000 21,000 - 29,000 C. D. Areas covered under 970-ME: -uncultivated lands: -cultivated lands: sub-total 8,000 21,000 29,000 Areas covered under proposed project: -uncultivated lands: 43,000 -cultivated lands: 33,000 of which affected by salinity: sub-total 76,000 Total a/ Fuerte Of which 30,000 are salíne March 21, 1979 105 000 40,000 -' 80,000 (60,000) 120,000 83,000 113,000 (60,000) 196,000 210 000 315 000 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Land Tenure R í o Area F u e r t e a/ Families R i o Area S i n a 1 o a Families (ha)_ (ha) (ha) T o t a 1 Families Area Ejido Land/Family 5.0 ha or less 5.1 ha to 10.0 ha 10.1 ha to 20.0 ha 7,400 68,300 4,300 1,883 8,654 375 5,300 49,100 3,100 1,090 5,023 219 12,700 117,400 7,400 2,973 13,677 594 Sub-total 80,000 10,912 57,500 6,332 137,500 17,244 5,000 3,400 13,200 15,600 2,800 992 214 384 228 21 2,313 1,572 6,105 7,215 1,295 426 92 163 94 9 7,313 4,972 19,305 22,815 4,095 1,418 306 547 325 30 40,000 1,839 18,500 787 58,500 2,626 120,000 12,751 76,000 7,119 196,000 19,870 Private Land/Family ha or less ha to 20.0 ha ha to 50.0 ha ha to 100.0 ha than 100.0 ha 10.0 10.1 20.1 50.1 More Sub-total Total a/ Units 1, 4 and 5. Source: SARH, Rio Fuerte Commission and Sinaloa District 63. March 21, 1979 H oo 38 Table 4.01 MEXICO RIO FUERTEIRIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Operation and Maintenance Equipment Item Dragline Hydraulic Excavator Backhoe Track-type Loader Bulldozer Motor-grader Canal Trimmer Watering Truck Dump Truck Flatbed Truck Delivery Truck Pickup Truck Truck Crane Centrifugal Pump Welding Machine Air Compressor Pneumatic Hammer Compressor Compressor and Sandblaster Concrete Mixer Concrete Vibrator Compactor Miscellaneous Tools Total March 12, 1979 No. 6 - 7 1 5 4 2 6 4 1 5 14 1 7 2 2 1 - 2 2 2 lot Sinaloa Cost, Mex$1,000 19,000 9,500 1,250 10,900 6,600 1,700 3,900 1,800 1,400 970 2,100 550 1,000 300 100 520 - 50 30 100 1,000 62,770 No. Fuerte Cost Mex$1,000 10 3 6 10 7 33,900 5,300 10,600 23,100 12,600 5 26 - 1,800 8,600 - 14 - 1,700 - 3 1,600 14 500 - - _- 99,700 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO Sinaloa Reserve 1 Jan. 1978 19 79 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Inflow 1,330 1, 330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1, 330 1,330 1,330 530 925 1,025 1, 111 1,197 Evapo. & Seepage Losses 10 30 44 44 44 Spíllway Discharge 200 200 200 200 SINALOA IRRIGATION Water Availability 3 m Million Convey. and Oper. Regulated Lossesal Outflow Project 600 760 800 800 925 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,086 180 228 240 240 277 300 300 300 326 PROJECT and Wells usable 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 Supply W: Expected Supply to Fuerte 110 242 280 280 153 Sinaloa to Supply Scheme 560 540 530 530 745 950 950 950 1,010 Non-regulated 78-81 Bacurato First Dam Construction Spillway Dischxrge W 1,065 fD a/Conveyance April 9, 1979 efficiency 70% o MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO Sinaloa SINALOA IRRIGATION Water Irrigation II PROJECT Reguirement Cropp&d JAN FEB JUN MAy APR MAR cm. ------------------------------------------------------------- Annuals Cotton Maize Pulses Rice Safflower Sorghum Soybeans Vegetables Wheat Others -- ------ ___-_ ----__ (XT 8.7 13.3 6.4 9.3 5.0 14.5 12.1 9.6 10.4 5.0 11.9 16.8 12.1 17.0 18.4 18.0 11.8 5.4 5.0 10,1 9.5 5.6 9.2 13.3 7.3 10.6 18.7 10,3 12.4 3.1 13.1 14,2 11.0 5.0 39.0 5.0 49.5 37.8 13.8 18.4 11.8 5.7 18.0 NOV DEC 16.1 13.3 18.9 5.0 14.8 6.6 7.2 5.0 10.1 5.0 12.6 12.6 9.1 l al 5.2 5.0 5.0 ci Wtaer 11 bArea 106 H.. ----------------- -_ ___--____________________---- 16.7 15.2 6.3 6.4 8.0 6.5 SEP AUG JUL 70.2 63.4 24.9 152.4 49.0 65.3 45.2 34.5 55.7 65.3 100.3 90.5 35.6 217.7 70.0 93.3 64.6 49.3 79.6 93.,3 10,000 500 20,000 500 20,000 5,000 23,000 7,000 2,000 2,000 148.4 92.0 150.8 212.0 131.4 215.4 2,000 2,000 Req. m3 100.300 4.525 71.200 10.885 140.000 46.650 148.580 34.510 15.920 18.660 42.400 26.280 Perennials Alfalfa Fruit Sugar 5.0 5.0 11.6 Trees Cane 13.6 7.6 14.2 16.0 7.8 11.3 20.2 1U.8 12.4 11,3 7.9 15.9 7.3 5.6 15.6 5.0 5.0 13.3 94,000 Total a/ b/ e/ d/ 1 = Net depth of water cm. cm. at farm gate II = Depth of water = 1.236 94.000 intensity Cropping 76,000 for ín depth requirement wster Average March 13, 1979 Irrigation cropping efficieney area = 70'h. = 70 cm. - for physical area = 87 cm. 6 a lo.ln¡e 0. ro g . 0 0a1 ~ ~ w ~ 0 00 D4 ~ n« ~ ~ ' ~ ~ ~ . +4 1 o + 004..-.-0444a. -04444 0..O4444 .4 _4 Ow .4 CI O .O.a. o a o .. Cc aC _4a4a44 aa.e-a.COCO)Cg@OtO 000.0..0000 000.....0..00 00 0 0 o8x 8888Y oE 0 o 0-..-. b O.4S.4.4 .uo.oo ~ M o >w88. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ W ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~ 08 o 0e E .4 . .4 ea- ' °S C n ao.4 O4 _.4-4-40000O 00 .44 Illll,lll¡0l -0 t 3C- 00' .0O0 l_ IC I4O OW030^ a 0 4 g4 4 4 C4 NO nX nW lat rnwww nsSw_~ssOON o,0e-w_N loe> . $- $OC .4 $c .0$444444440...0O . . .4 .4. .... 4444- . . 0 n . . n5 .c o o10 x ¡ o rl ° S~w8O a--0..0 nvP 001004 ah° 00.4WO0Ow0wS~w r > »wi; »°oroO W¡. 1.40»:á - tNbU _~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. n Wa4-,044 01000 0.¡.,01 « >H s8~ g00 :4a ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~o $ .4Ct ~~1 1010 lll* i Oo Ci*>S urwH g O 0: ¡- .4-4 N° l0-. . - C .4r >OSwnu 0( . 000. -. 0~~~~~ nU ° ~ ~~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~ -4.4.4OlaOO.440~ ~ F t w-_a-w4.4COO ¡00 0~~~~~~~~ .4o C 04eO4a4a.. 000~ . .4.4 .4.4.4r oC ;4 .4aO.4 a-1..0 a..4.4. _44a...g ,_ ' a0.4aOoo- e-004 . 0 .~g$O_n OW<H0 o14 X.4WsWWNsswW 0 ase 0 0 .4S oa H S *@PS G 0.48 0.n4.440'.4.4-414.4.4.4-4-4.4.4.4.4.4e.4.4 +40. 0 3 W4 e^ laS |t4 .4S @>* _S . oeeo , DlO D .4.4 o4O orno O - oooo ]0.4~ 0 O o .. .4 . .4 n 5 0 0.4.4O 0 0 0 O 0 00 O o e Sj OO .4 a . -- 5 0.400S0 O .0..0 1 > 0S.oOSewO 00 0 ~ -.. 0 0 aaoc .00.4.eoaeooo . 10 0040.44c . .4.,c o w 00 w¡0 . 0 e>cS 3 w0 nr 55 s° S .4 n4._.40.00.40w Or 0.4 . o$4o>$cc F S ~ -~_55 5 OOCO5OOOgHCOOOOv .$C e a 00~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~D '0.4C0000. w ,., c4 & $$$c 000000000 C O @S * .4.- Y 5 .0 O.400 Ooo w n 0 $$ o 4 0 .4o-0000-'.4 . o O w . | °°°°° eO4.4.o 0.O - e 0 c>9Nnccgc| MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Fuerte Irrigation Distriet - Units 1, 4 and 5 - Water Reguirements CroppingE/ Crops Annuals Cotton Maize Pulses (bean) Rice Safflower Sorghum Soybeans Vegetables (tom) Wheat Others (sorghum) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec la/ IIb/ -----------------------------------------cm--------------------------------------------------6.5 6.4 8.9 - 5.0 9.5 9.6 10.4 10.0 5.0 5.0 11.6 5.4 5.0 10.1 6.6 8.0 6.5 - 13.4 - 14.6 5.0 11.9 16.8 17.1 15.0 13.6 10.0 - 16.7 17.1 - - - - - - 15.5 6.1 - 37.8 10.4 10.3 5.0 49.5 12.4 11.0 5.0 39.0 13.1 16.1 13.3 18.9 6.2 5.0 14.8 6.6 7.2 - 5.0 10.1 5.0 - Area Ha. 70.5 63.4 24.9 152.4 49.3 59.0 48.1 100.7 90.6 35.6 217.7 70.4 84.3 68.7 12,000 2,000 30,000 2,000 30,000 25,000 17,000 - - - - - - 5.0 34.5 49.3 4,000 - - - - - 5.0 - 55.7 59.0 79.6 84.3 3,000 2,000 7.3 5.6 15.6 5.0 5.0 13.3 148.4 92.0 150.8 212.0 131.4 215.4 2,000 1,600 1,400 17.0 15.5 11.4 - 13.3 7.3 10.6 18.7 10.3 12.4 23.1 13.1 14.2 Water Reo. 10 3 120.84 18.12 106.80 43.54 211.20 210.75 116.79 19.72 23.88 16.86 Perennials Alfalfa and Pastures Fruit Trees Sugar Cane 9.5 5.6 9.2 20.2 11.8 12.4 16.0 7.8 11.3 13.6 7.6 14.2 11.3 7.9 15.9 132,000 a/ I = Net depth of water cm. b/ II = Depth of water at farm gate c. - irrigation efficiency = 70% c/ Cropping intensity = 132,000 120,000 d/ Average water requirement in depth for cropping area = 74.4 cm. - for physical area March 20, 1979 81.8 cm. 42.40 21.02 30.16 92&08 d/ 43 Table mico RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT lmplementation Unot I. Fuerte (a) Irrigation Civil Unit Construction: Unít 1983 - _ _ Lloed Main Canals Urllined Maín Canals UClined Laterals Draba. NDw insed ateral N.sw Drains R.ad. km km k. km km km ka 1.7 37.1 187.6 45.0 283.3 98.1 10.0 (1.7) (19.7) (26.8) (22.5) (41.5) 49.1 (2.0) Unlined Main Canals Unlined Laterals Drains New Lined Laterals ¡NewDrains roads k. km k. klo km km 47.1 177.9 62.0 38.7 25.9 22.0 (16.8) (24.3) (8.1) (6.0) (55.2) (37.7) (7.9) (17.8) (8.0) Uolined Majn Canals Unlioed Lateral. Drains Sw Lined Laterals New Drains Roads k. k. km k. km km 46.2 235.8 47.0 52.7 47.0 16.0 (7.6) (17.7) (35.,7) (4.0) (35.7) (3.0) (23,4) (35.5) (11.3) (18.5) (11.3 (5.0) ha ha ha ha 60,000 30 000 18,000 12,000 (10,000) (4.000) (2,000) (1,000) ha - 17,000 (17.4) (37.0) (22.5) (74.7) 49.0 (4.0) (62.3) (61.5) -- (87.0) (80.1) (4.0) - (9.3) (75.9) (21.0) (46.8) - (25.0) (5.8) - - (8.0) - V Rehabilitat.ot : Coostructioon; (6.2) (100.2) (9.0) (82.4) _ (3.9) (26.3) (3.0) (5.0) On Farm Development Land Leveliog productive) Reclamation Sal.íe (presently Reclamation Salinte (presently unproductive) Reclamation Salir-s/Sodic Land Total Sinaloa Area Recla:imed Irrigation Civil Left 90,000 (15,000) (8 000) (4'000) (3,000) 120,000 On Faro (c) Total ultural Lined Laterals Uolined Laterals Maon Drains Secondary Draina Roads km km km km k. 79.2 140.0 77.8 105.2 70.0 (6.0) (14.7) (5.0) (6.0) (14.0) Lined Main Caoels Lined Laterals Unlined Laterals Maji Drains Secondary Drains Ra,ad km km km km km k. 16.0 233.5 140.0 140.0 186.9 100.0 (14.5) (15.0) (12.5) (73.0) km 40,000 ha - (33.2) (25.3) (29.0) (31.3) (14.0) (40.0) (25.0) (29.2) (40.0) (30.0) (1.5) (60.8) (54.0) (48.5) (57.4) (31.4) (6.9) (97.2) (54.0) (55.0) (80.5) (54.6) (7.6) (61.0) (12.0) (24.0) (36.0) (14.2) (15,080) (11,12D) (10,760) 18,375 52,070 76,000 - - (75.0) 14.6) (27.9) : (12.0) Bank (b) May 4, 1979 47,000 (20,000) (10 000) (8.O000 (5,000) Works Construction: Agri (accumulated) (15,000) (8,000) (4,000) (3,000) Bank Right IV. Agricultural or Rehabilitated Land Land District Constructioo: III. 1982 IV Rehabilitation: (a) 1981 1 Construction: (c) 1980 Distritc Rehabilitation: II. Total Works Unit (b) Schedule Development Ares Under Extent.ion Research - Lawd Clearíng Production Program and Studíes ard (accumulative) Leveling - - (3,040) 0 1984 1985 4.06 4abla RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION FROJECT Detalled Cost Faente (a) (d) Eogi.eeiíg-el (e) IOde-oieatioc Total Foerte (a) Civil On Farr (b) 618.4 10.6 143.8 0.9 17.7 0.9 792.3 16.2 0.2 3.7 0.1 0.5 0.1 20.8 11.2 0.2 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 14.4 27.4 0.4 6.4 0.1 0.8 0.1 35.2 41 166.4 98.6 265.0 115.5 6r5.6 184.1 281.9 167.2 449.1 7.4 4.3 11.7 5.1 3.1 8.2 12.5 7.4 19.9 41 89.7 99.7 0.4 4.0 4.4 90 170.1 - 170.1 5.5 - 5.5 0 28.4 - 28.4 1.2 - 1.2 0 39.6 26.6 66.2 40 21.8 1,489.5 890.9 598.6 289.3 42.9 452.0 784.2 201.0 490.3 12.9 8.9 29.8 314.1 544.9 72.7 766.1 1,329.1 1.9 20.1 34.9 1.3 14,0 24.2 20.7 110.8 131.5 14.3 77.0 91.3 35.0 187.8 222.8 0.9 4.9 5.8 District and Drainaga NBetork od Driage Net-rk a 3.2 34.1 59.1 41 0.7 3.4 4.1 1.6 8.3 9.9 41 41 41 D-velpoaP-t Load Clearisg Lod Levelisg Subtotal (o) Equipment 6.3 56.5 62.8 0.3 2.5 2.8 90 (d) Engineering-/ 155.2 - 155.2 6.9 - 6.9 0 (a) Indeonizatios 53.3 - 53.3 2.3 - 2.3 0 50.2 30.8 81.0 38 Agricultlral (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) for Sinabla Total (a) (e) (d) (e) taffxteasto-Salaries f Mobilizatioa CosatDeo-nstration Pogras Costo Exteasion Research Agrioclt-ral 1,823.2 Pro-ra- Buildings (b)Eqi.g.81 Ibquipo--tlalala 1a-ren..ta1 lCos1 MIsc.llan-o-Toebhícal Studiís- Total 692.7 1,130.5 Elteosio Agriccltaral Agnicult-ral and Masntleoace Operatio District BuildinSsdl Eqipmdnt-a Iacrea..ala Incre-eatal Agricultíral Misoellaneo- Total V. 253.5 4.3 59.0 0.4 7.2 0.4 324.8 Works Laft Bok Irrigation Right Bnk Malo Canal Irrgation ubtotal IV. Foretgn Exchange 364.9 6.3 84.8 0.5 10.5 0.5 467.5 10.0 Distriit Itrígatios Sicalca and Mainte--ace fon Operation (o) Equipment III. Total. ------- Oc Far,o Decelopreot Load L-eli"s Load Rclaoation S.btot.1 II. 9 Fori US$ M- Wonk Network Ir-igation Flomes Measaring Draoiagoa Ntwork Hlosas fon Ditchriders Feeder Roads Telecoee,eo,lcatloc Subtotal (b) ----- Distriet Irriatio- Civil Local _ Total ------------ Foreig Local _1. EL.stlle!/ Program 1.8 0.4 152.4 7.0 5.4 19.5 1.2 3.9 10.6 - 3.0 4.3 152.4 17.9 5.4 19.0 0.1 0.0 6.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 - 0.1 0.2 6.8 0.8 0.2 0.8 41 90 0 59 0 0 186.5 15.5 202.0 8.2 0.7 8,9 8 oad StIdios 1.5 Ras-h ad Rese-cnh Stcfft!l Stodies 1.0 2.5 1.2 1.3 0.1 41 - 2.1 1.2 2.3 0 0 0 5 L1.2 7.0 17 0,1 2.3 27.0 29.3 0.1 47.5 26.7 51.8 _ 47.5 26.7 51.8 2.i 1.2 2.3 1Z9.8 i8.0 151.8 0.0 90 Costiagoacie (a) (b) PhysicaI Contiageey Price Coati.geaccia- Total 1s Cotiagoacias 279.0 1,100.2 198.0 377.3 477.0 1,471.5 12.3 49.0 8.8 16.5 21.1 65.5 1,379.2 569.3 1,948.5 61.2 25.3 8b.6 29 5,620.0 165.1 249.7 34 3,715.9 GRABD TOTAL 1,904.1 i December 1978 pricee. - c--t es.i. ate expressed Di-arrpencies d. tlo nousdiag US$1.0 = Me.$22.5. esti.atad at 10% cf civil works, facilitiea. scte-íioa aad deer atralios --oshicíes, faro eqolpralt, IncOadas drilling rigs, dl e .acremeatal .tase.ia staff end po-eating cost. aould fisance d-aric ai year paraid el Prcject T/ Basad oc as-ual d-o--stratios plot areca cf about 600 ha. eqoipaest. 1aboratory and office faro equip-ent, /Iscldeo vahiclea, durlíg ala year periad. salaries re--arch staff iacremeatal -o-ld fin-ace h/ Projact dríai tests. study -and tile dra-iaga .e.corcos, water cf additi-oal d-v-lop-ant TlIclude. cosía. works and eqsip-eat ad 107. of eagí...ring at 157. cf civil coatiag-aciea estiiated Fhysical Pi as follows, esciraled k/ Prico coatisgatccis 1979 1980 1981-85 al b/ El lagiíoen-ia Escha,ge Fareiga Fcorign E-sehoge Lo-a Cosía May 4, 1979 Civil works Eqoip-ot 77. 7r. 67. 05% 67. 107. 77. 61 6.5'4 84.6 - 4.07 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Schedule 1980 1981 M$ M Mex US$S 1. Fuerte (a) Irrigation Civil On Farm Development 2.9 (e) Equipxnt II. for (d) Engineering (e) Indemnization Fuerte Sinaloa (a) Operation 124.4 22.6 7.0 154.0 197.5 57.9 7.6 263.0 8.3 2.0 0.2 10.5 187.0 44.0 4.0 235.0 5.3 0.9 6.2 121.0 19.3 140.3 65.0 5.8 132.0 7.2 162.0 4.0 89.7 2.2 50.8 2.2 48.9 - 0.9 21.9 1.8 39.5 1.8 USMMM U 1985 51ex M US$ Total Mex$ M Mex$ US$ M - 39.7 - - 28.0 6.4 0.8 35.2 629.9 143.8 18.6 792.3 - 19.9 449.1 - - - - - - - 4.4 99.7 23.0 - - - - 5.5 124.1 - 1.0 _- 0.3 8.1 0.3 8.1 0.4 8.8 0.2 3.4 - - - - 1.2 13.1 299.8 21.8 491.5 19.9 445.5 11.4 256.4 - - - - 66.2 1,493.6 28.4 2.1 4,5 6.6 46.2 103.9 150.1 8.7 13.5 22.2 195.9 302.6 498.5 7.1 13.2 20.3 159.9 295.8 455.7 3.9 6.1 10.0 88.3 136.5 224.8 - - - -2 - 2l8 37.3 59.1 490.3 838.8 1,329.1 0.7 17.0 3.7 83.8 2.8 62.0 2.7 60.0 - 9.9 222.8 0.9 21.0 0.4 10.0 0.6 12.9 0.9 18.9 - - - - 2.8 62.8 16.7 2.6 58.2 2.3 51.8 1.3 28.5 - 6.9 0.8 17.3 0.7 17.0 0.7 17.0 - 2.3 29.7 667.8 26.7 599.4 15.6 349.2 _ - 81.0 Infrastructure On Farm Develop-mnt (c) Equipment (d) Engineering 0.7 (e) Indemnization 0.1 Sinaloa for Operation and Maintenance District Agricultural Extension IV. Agricultural Research 9.0 Program and Studies Total Physical Contingencies Pri-e Contingencies rounding. 206.8 _ _ 2.1 0.8 18.5 1.1 24.7 1.2 29.0 1.6 37.0 47.7 2.1 47.3 8.9 24.7 1.3 29.3 1.5 34.3 1.1 24.7 0.9 20.3 1.1 24.7 7.0 24.0 540.0 53.9 1,212.8 49.3 29.7 668.3 3.0 68.0 3.2 72.0 76.5 128.3 7.4 18.3 166.5 411.8 6.6 21.2 3.8 15.8 85.3 355.5 2.0 _ 45.0 - 2.4 54.0 21.1 65.5 744.8 79.6 5.0 113.0 5.6 126.0 249.7 33.1 due to 2.0 1.1 3.4 5.7 GRANDTOTAL 1979 1984 MexSSM M District 111. May 4, US$S$ 8,8 2.6 0.3 11.7 (b) Discrepancies 1983 Mex$ US Works Irrigation/Drainage Left Bank Right Bank Subtotal a/ and Maintenance District Irrigation Civil Total 1982 M Works 5.5 1.0 0.3 6.8 Total Expenditure-/ District Irrigation Infrastructure Drainage Infrastrueture Roads and Telecommunication Subtotal (b) of 1,792.1 77.1 1,109.3 148.5 477.0 1,734.8 49.3 1,109.1 - 163.1 155.2 53.3 1,823.2 202.0 157.8 3,670.4 477.0 1,471.5 5,620.0 46 Table 4.09 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIOSINALOA IRRIGATIONPROJECT DisbursementSchedule IBRD Fiscal Year and Quarter AccumulativeDisbursements at End of Quarter US$ Million 1980 September30, 1979 December31, 1979 March 31, 1980 June 30, 1980 _ 2 1981 September30, 1980 December31, 1980 March 31, 1981 June 30, 1981 6 8 10 14 1982 September30, 1981 December 31, 1981 March 31, 1982 June 30, 1982 20 28 35 42 1983 September30, 1982 December31, 1982 March 31, 1983 June 30, 1983 50 57 64 70 1984 September30, 1983 December 31, 1983 March 31, 1984 June 30, 1984 75 79 82 84 1985 September30, 1984 December31, 1984 March 31, 1985 June 30, 1985 85 86 87 88 1986 September30, 1985 December 31, 1985 March 31, 1986 June 30, 1986 March 9, 1979 89 90 91 92 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATIONPROJECT Operatíon and Maintenance Costs (Mex$11,000ma) Fuerte Gravity Diverted Water Irrigationand Drainage Works Operation Maintenance Operation and Maintenance of Pumps Sinaloa Water Pumped From Wells Water Pumped From Fuerte River Gravity Diverted Water Water Pumped From Wells 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.70 13.70 26.35 26.35 26.35 26.35 26.35 - 47.00 23.00 - 56.00 Management and Administration 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.25 7.25 Miscellaneous 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 99.55 75.55 Total 52.55 52.55 108.55 March 12, 1979 (D ¿4' 1-' MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Extension Program Phased Incremental Program Costs (Mex$ '000) 1. Investments Costs PY-1 PY-2 1,500 800 950 1,500 450 300 600 3,550 PY-3 PY-4 PY-5 PY-6 Total - - 3,000 800 1,900 100 100 1,600 200 100 100 7,300 10,500 6,800 3,910 15,000 10,000 3,910 20,400 13,200 3,910 20,400 13,200 3,910 79,800 51,800 20,740 1,376 250 350 1,720 425 350 2,365 625 350 3,139 825 350 3,139 825 350 12,728 3,162 2,050 900 900 900 900 900 900 5,400 D. Other Operational Costs 1,800 2,800 3,600 3,600 3,600 3,600 19,000 Sub-total Operational Costs 14,956 22,121 28,205 36,750 46,324 46,324 194,680 18,506 24,671 29,005 36,950 46,424 46,424 201,980 Buildings and Office Equipment Vehicles (pick-up) at 160,000 Tractor and Implementation Information and Demonstration Equipment Subtotal Investments Costs - - 500 - 300 200 2,550 800 5,400 3,400 1,955 8,100 5,200 3,145 989 212 300 - - II. Operational Costs A. Incremental Salariesal Agriculturalists at 300,000 Intermediate Technicians at 200,000 Support Staff at 85,000 B. Incremental Vehicle Costs Pick-up Rental at 43,000/unit Motorcycle Rental at 12 ,500/unit Operation Official Vehicles C. CIAPAN Demonstration Programs (600 ha/year) III. Total a/ Salary plus related costs for social security, lfe March 22, 1979 insurance, leave allowance, etc. > MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Research Program and Technical Studies Phased Incremental Program Costs (Mex$000) PY-1 PY-2 Buildings and Office Equipment Equipment Vehicles (pick-up) Scientific Instruments Office and Laboratory Equipment Information and Documentation, Equipment and Supplies 1,000 11,500 1,280 400 300 600 1,000 11,500 800 300 300 400 Subtotal Research Investment Costs 15080 I. Research Investment Costs PY-3 PY-4 PY-5 PY-6 Total 200 200 200 200 2,500 23,000 3,200 700 600 1,800 14,300 1,340 680 200 200 31,800 500 - - - - - - - 480 - - - - - - - - - 640 II. Research Operational Costs Incremental Salaries Other Operational Costs 4,134 2,322 6,201 3,483 8,268 4,644 9,646 5,418 9,646 5,418 9,646 5,418 47,541 26,703 Subtotal Research Operational Costs 6,456 9,684 12,912 15,064 15,064 15,064 74,244 4,200 4,000 20,000 10,000 10,000 3,600 17,800 25,736 27,984 34,252 25,744 25,264 18,864 157,844 III. Technical Studies IV. Total May 2, 1979 o.. C> 50 MEXICO Table 6.01 RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Cropping Pattern, Production, Gross and Net Value of Production Areas Crops Sinaloa (-ha) A. Present Total Physical Cropping Area Intensity Possible Additional B. Future Without Area Physical Area Intensity Possible Additional 18,240 13,320 16,080 33,660 37,800 78,400 29,450 120,000 26,640 23,880 18,720 84,000 5,850 158,140 39,877 94,068 97,614 156,492 199,920 153,140 278,400 76,990 25,790 37,440 20,160 20,475 96,596 38,320 70,350 66,231 83,580 87,416 89,745 176,500 35,007 12,617 15,595 11,984 14,175 61,544 1,557 23,718 31,383 72,912 112,504 63,395 101,900 41,988 13,173 121,535 8,176 6,300 798,121 560 3 7,600 7,400 20,100 9,900 21,000 19,600 15,500 10,000 7,400 1,990 1,540 1,400 4,500 40,400 87,550 127.950 - - 33,000 80,000 113,000 - - - - - - 1097% 113% 43,000 40,000 83,000 2,100 600 1,200 4,500 13,200 2,000 8,300 7,400 4,100 300 200 2.600 5,000 5,500 16,500 5,500 9,000 20,000 10,000 2,900 3,100 1,700 1,400 1,400 2,000 7,100 6,100 17,700 10,000 22,200 22,000 18,300 10,300 7,200 2,000 1,600 1,400 4,600 46,500 84,000 130,500 33,000 70,000 103,000 140% Area NPV Mex$ '000 1.358,506 8 - - - - - - 120% 127% 43,000 50,000 93,000 10,000 500 20,000 500 20,000 5,000 23,000 7,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 12,000 2,000 30,000 2,000 30,000 25,000 17,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,600 1,400 2.000 22,000 2,500 50,000 2,500 50,000 30,000 40,000 11,000 5,000 4,000 3,600 1,400 4 000 2.4 1.8 0.8 3.4 1.8 4.0 1.9 12.0 3.6 12.0 12.0 60.0 1.3 17,040 10,980 14,160 34,000 39,960 88,000 34,770 123,600 25,920 24,000 19,200 84,000 5,980 - 183,095 39,528 74,340 156,740 193,806 278,960 249,475 286,752 99,014 27,153 38,400 37,800 20,930 - - 90,241 31,598 61,950 66,900 88,356 98,120 105,957 181,795 34,056 12,680 16,208 11,954 14,490 1,685,993 871.658 - - - - - 92,854 7,930 12,390 89,840 105,450 180,840 143,518 104,957 64,958 14,473 22,192 25,816 6,440 - - - - - With Proiect Cotton Maize Pulses Rice (Paddy) Safflower Sorghum Soybeans Vegetables Wheat Alfalfa Mangos Sugarcane Others Total Physical Area Cropping Intensity Possible Additional March 22, 2.4 1.8 0.8 3.4 1.8 4.0 1.9 12.0 3.6 12.0 12.0 60.0 1.3 5,800 6,900 19,100 5,900 9,500 17,900 8,300 3,600 3,800 1,750 1,400 1,400 2,200 - Cropping Total Production Cost Mex$ '000 Project Total C. Future GPV Mex$ '000 1,800 500 1,000 4,000 11,500 1,700 7,200 6,400 3,600 240 160 2,300 122%' Cotton Maize Pulses Rice (Paddy) Safflower Sorghum Soybeans Vegetables Wheat Alfalfa Mangos Sugarcane Others Total Production tons Total ha Situation Cotton Maize Pulses Rice (Paddy) Safflower Sorghum Soybeans Vegetables Wheat Alfalfa Mangos Sugarcane Others Total Yielde tonelha Fuerte 7(ha) 1979 94,000 132,000 226,000 76,000 120,000 196,000 124% Area 110% 115% 3.0 3.5 1.5 4.0 2.2 5.0 2.5 17.0 4.5 15.0 15.0 90.0 2.0 - 66,000 8,750 75,000 10,000 110,000 150,000 100,000 187,000 22,500 60,000 54,000 126,000 8,000 - 709,170 31,500 393,750 46,100 533,500 475,500 717,500 433,840 85,950 64,800 108,000 56,700 28,000 3.684.310 325,820 17,450 301,500 20,700 251,000 175,500 284,800 243,760 28,100 30,240 42,840 13,146 16,480 1.751.336 383,350 14,050 92,250 25,400 282,500 300,000 432,700 190,080 57,850 34,560 65,160 43,554 11.520 1927 - MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION Profict Futura StAtus A-a-g Fara Sita (ha) Produ-t-oi st Aertc O.lO- 4 R80 8 4,650 f L nd st 35% af Aostage Oisls- 620 50 - 70 300 - 130 30 - Aptol 0, 1579 440 tOIs Ltsd Ose Proiect) 35% of rg ls - (FU..lítaa PtesentSo P-odaotIou So Praduotis-el-s 1,500 3,720 100 mesas ttst on rOsaaalabolo,y, at A Y 580 3,000 250 ytalds" si sstC9 Prud-tíoa st A--toaN Osl-s-OYs.ld So Itodoation 7,350 35 Status of (Wlthout (Fmulles) 1,500 03 A/ 'ovarsoo b/P-oose Ose 150 3,930 Futura No oduotloa Waltad Pst Paro NVP Total All Faras CAso-?) NVP pat Produti st Aoats*a irIOs- Faro (Ma$ t 35% AvstagB, OílOs-' f O-O)1W-t No Ptoduotlo Prolect) Rlghtled NVP Par FPat PsIS Total All Fa--m (AraM) Reveltpaesa Par Pror (NrsS'000) 28.0 10.0 0 16.0 49.0 34.0 12.0 0 12.0 36.0 42.0 50.0 20.0 0 33.0 496.0 68.0 24.0 0 29.0 435.0 83.0 Nut VP Total AS Faras (MAIs ) 126.0 1,245.0 280 92.0 32.0 0 43.0 37.0 109.0 38.0 0 37.0 32.0 135.0 117.4 50 - - 177.0 - - 177.0 88.0 211.0 - - 211.0 106.0 264.0 132.0 - 300 - - 354.0 - _ 354.0 106.0 423.0 - - 423.0 126.0 529.0 159.0 - 30 - - 657.0 _ - 657.0 20.0 785.0 - - 785.0 24.0 962.0 29.0 atea, l ctoppíag _.. p-ttar- 440 P st 35% o Avaag Y -ie Yi,.sls 920 7,350 PROJECT Sa-aflofar-as s sod ylíld= ore st s. alar lavels .s lar atOar lattr. o PEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO Development Investment Item Unit --- Year----1 2 Tractor/Implements 0.2 90 Leveling Land (ha) (10 Model Programi a/ Mex$) - 3 Production ---------Cropped Area (ha) Farm) ha (000' PROJECT 20 25 5 SINALOA IRRIGATION ------------Cost Production Situation Present GVP NVP ------Future Cropped Area (ha) Data GVP Project----------Cost Production Without NVP --- With Project Cropped Area (ha) at GVP Full Development---Cost Production NVP Soybean 1.5 21,750 6,940 14,810 1.8 26,100 8,330 17,770 2.0 28,600 11,070 17,530 Sorghum 1.8 16,070 6,500 9,570 2.2 19,280 7,800 11,480 1.5 17,050 5,870 11,180 Rice 1.0 8,750 5,310 3,440 1.0 8,750 5,310 3,440 0.1 1,800 Pulses 1.7 4,140 3,790 3,350 1.7 7,140 3,790 3,350 2.6 24,570 1,020 650 10,450 540 1,150 14,120 480 Maize 0.6 3,650 2,150 1,500 0.6 3,650 2,150 1,500 0.1 Vegetables 0.8 22,270 8,000 14,270 1.0 27,840 10,000 17,840 0.6 23,660 7,220 16,440 Other 0.4 2,370 1,550 0.4 2,370 1,540 0.2 1,540 470 1,070 Cotton 0.6 12,290 4,710 7,580 0.7 14,380 5,510 8,870 1.1 27,770 8,480 19,290 Safflower 1.9 13,730 6,360 7,370 2.2 15,900 7,360 8,540 2.6 24,310 11,180 13,130 Wheat 0.7 4,880 2,570 2,310 0.7 4,880 2,570 2,310 0.3 2,770 1,270 1,500 2,226 0.2 4,200 1,100 3,010 760 5,240 0.2 6,000 900 5,100 55,424 84,106 11.5 163,290 Alfalfa/Pasture 0.2 3,240 Fruit 0.1 3,000 11.3 119,140 a/ Trees 820 2,226 0.2 3,240 380 2,620 0.2 6,000 48,544 70,596 12.7 1,014 830 1,014 139,530 of the land js in all situation ín which development a before This model assumed in the El Carrizo, areas for those are average yields and in which present production by poor adversely which are not affected Districts and Rio Sinaloa Rio Fuerte js generally water of irrigation the supply aud for which accumulation and salt drainage situations those present to reflect are presented No models The FRR is 23%. adequate. and from which or poor drainage by salination are affected the lands (i) in which are not yet in the laude or (ii) areas; 35% of the non-affected about is only production two situations latter in these of farmers The majority due to no irrigation. production be will investrents that the FRR on their assumed aud it can be safely own 10 ha or less for the above. than that higher even 59,290 104,000 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Development Model a/ (10 ha Farm) Investment Program (000' Mex$) Item Unit Tractor/Implements Land Leveling (ha) 0.2 9 ------Year-3 1 2 42 42 90 4 42 Production Data ---------Present Situation----------Cost Cropped NVP Production GVP Area (ha) -------Future Without Project-------Cost Cropped NVP Production GVP Area (ha) --With Project at Full Development--Cost Cropped NVP Production GVP Area (ha) Soybean 0.5 3,660 2,310 1,350 - - - - 2.0 28,600 11,070 17,530 Sorghum 0.5 4,660 1,800 2,660 0.5 4,460 1,800 2,660 1.5 17,050 5,870 11,180 Rice 3.5 27,560 9,290 18,270 3.0 23,620 7,965 15,655 0.1 1,800 650 1,150 Pulses 1.0 3,290 2,230 1,060 0.5 1,650 1,120 530 2.6 24,570 10,450 14,120 Maize 0.5 3,040 1,780 1,260 0.5 1,780 1,520 260 0.1 1,020 540 480 Vegetables - - - - - - - - 0.6 23,660 7,220 16,440 Other - - - - - - - - 0.2 1,540 Cotton - - - - - - - - 1.1 27,770 8,480 19,290 Safflower 1.0 7,220 3,345 3,875 0.5 3,610 1,670 1,940 2.6 24,310 11,180 13,130 Wheat 1.0 6,970 3,670 3,300 0.5 3,440 1,840 1,600 0.3 2,770 1,270 1,500 Alfalfa/Pasture 0.5 8,100 3,325 4,775 0.5 8,100 3,325 4,775 0.2 4,200 1,190 3,010 - - - - - - - - 0.2 6,000 27,750 36,550 6.0 46,660 19,240 27,420 Fruit Trees 8.5 64,300 11.5 163,290 1,070 470 5,100 900 59,290 4 a/ Model for an "average" farm ín salíne area. The FRR is 25%. uD MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION Detailed Labor Reguirements Labor Reguirements Without Project With Project Incremental Sorghum Wheat 12 19 15 20 8 11 10 13 7 5 3 3 Soybeans Costs Project, Y'resent/Future Witb 3,500 Project, Costs-a 4 per Rice Other 6 9 13 17 13 17 55 65 75 105 12 15 60 70 30 33 3 4 4 10 30 3 10 3 Cotton tables Alfalfa hectare-------- 2,250 300 300 1,960 400 420 1,950 400 460 2,450 760 200 2,050 180 310 2,610 700 600 990 50 200 3,200 350 780 1,300 450 1,700 2,400 950 600 100 60 180 1,590 400 60 60 90 850 620 50 60 80 1,060 670 210 60 80 1,165 865 - 60 250 90 1,380 1,000 - 60 80 635 665 60 90 1,380 380 790 120 100 5,830 1,540 1,450 1,800 2,100 7,950 900 200 120 200 1,270 6;0 5,180 4,460 4,730 5,790 3,980 6,690 3,150 12,710 17,650 6,340 10,130 8,56C 1,560 500 1,850 2,750 l,0S0 8i'0 800 2,450 300 390 450 1,100 1,800 2i0 2,000 1í:0 2,300 2.0 11,130 1,530 1,02(0 8t0 850 350 120 120 400 110 7,420 3,500 1,560 1,370 1,550 950 300 2,500 400 500 2,350 700 620 2,250 420 560 2,800 840 400 2,300 220 500 2,930 840 770 1,200 90 400 3,750 460 1,000 280 90 250 2,010 600 200 100 360 2,120 800 80 90 120 1,170 720 50 80 120 1,380 760 250 80 120 1,590 1,040 50 80 115 955 800 465 320 130 1,805 1,020 50 60 110 1,760 450 790 120 140 6,890 1,660 Total 6,030 6,980 5,850 5,62C 7,120 5,020 8,280 4,120 14,810 Incremental Prod. Cost 2,530 1,800 1,390 890 1,330 1,040 1,590 970 2,100 4.0 5.0 3.6 4.5 1. 9 2.5 Yield Assumptíons 700 120 300 6,360 1,200 330 120 100 3,180 1,290 22,160 7,5f3 4,510 l,220 1,770 |/ Data used il analysis 0.8 1.5 úf 1.8 3.5 1.8 2.2 3.4 4.0 1.3 2.0 2.4 3.[0 12 0 1l 10.0 15.0 12.0 17.0 farm budgets. b/ Labor figures include family labor but excíLude the machine operators who are included in custor cúerati- S. 1979 2,200 390 950 11,900 9,390 830 (tons per ha) Wjthout Project With Project 5, 800 300 350 Full Developnient Custom Operations Seeds Fertílizers Pesticides and Herbicides Implements and Tools Harvesting Supplies Labor b/ Miscellaneous April Mango Cane Situation Custom Operations 1,020 Seeds 450 Fertilizers 100 Pesticides and Herbicides 150 Implements and Tools 60 Harvesting Supplies 150 Labor b/ 1,270 Miscellaneous 300 Total Safflower 11 15 pesos Without and Production (man days/ha) Pulses Maize Production PROJECT 60.0i 90.0 u ; MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRIGATION PROJECT Rent Proposed 3,000 4 ha farms Indices-/ and Recovery 870 13 ha farms 15-000 8 ha farns Net cash Net cash income income 3. Incremental cash less: 4. Imputed 5. Imputed 6. Imputed 7. Rent 8. Rent value value return with project project without income (1-2) 9O 10. Water charges taxes Benefit 11. Total direct 12. Rent recovery 13. Public 14. Cost 15. Annual income 16. Annual per 17- Estimated of incrsmental 693.0 553.8 833.2 666.2 154.8 123.9 9,495.7 3,985.8 472.5 4,252.5 447.8 139.2 167.0 30.9 5,509.9 47.3 income (9+10) charges/taxes index sector per capita per capita 69.3 - - 425.3 3,142.6 44.6 - - - 6.8 14.2 1.6 3.1 8.4 16.8 333.9 118.2 141.8 74% 85% 85% 85% 61.9 42.0 11.6 7.8 26.2 74% 35.2 24.2 352.8 239.4 33.0 22.6 51.5 35.2 59.4 592.2 55.6 86.7 103.9 177o 17% 17% 737. 73% 737. 295.7 455.7 547.8 101.8 19'h 197. 19% index recovery 684.6 74% 315.1 outlays -------------------------- 616.9 169.1 - cash Total 19, 700 Farms 6,536.3 2,283.8 351.7 as percentage 30 130 ha farras 661.5 189.0 73.5 labor of family for management and risk to capital 300 Ue 0 ha farms Mex$ miliort- - --------------------------------------1. 2. 500 35 ha farms 3,131.7 19% 19% 197h n.4. 827.4 16.8 551.3 4,114.4 75% 546.0 371.2 917.2 227. 4,847.8 197. family at full development (Mex$) 38,240 75,480 122,770 231,100 463,200 855,100 82,944 income at full development (Mex$) 6,709 13,242 21,539 40,543 81,263 150,018 14,552 poverty level (Mex$) 7,762 at 11% over 40 years. al Discounted otherwise. b/ Unless indicated April 6, 1979 a) MEX 1C( RIO FUERTE/RIO SINALOA IRRI(A1 (N PROJECT Econoisic Costs and Benefits (Mex$ mi~llion) Year 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sinaloa Investment Costs 215.9 116.3 130.9 157.1 530.3 971.7 314.8 114.6 15.7 - - - - - - - - lrrigation Operation Maintenance - 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 Fro.jct and Costs (Loan Total Costs 215.9 116.3 130.9 157.1 530.3 971,7 314.8 114.6 84.6 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 68.9 970-ME) Incremental Benefito 0.0 0.0 6.9 14.1 61.2 135.5 233.8 284.2 269.9 424.9 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.] 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 467.1 ERR 127. Fuerte/Rio Investment Costs Sinaloa irrigation Pro ject Operation and Total Increment.] Maintenance Costs Costs Beneiits - - - - - - - 613.1 1,366.9 1,256.7 753.6 61.7 61.7 - - 613.1 1,366.9 1,256.7 753.6 130.7 144.2 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 47.7 135.7 366.6 692.1 870.9 966.4 1,013.4 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 1,061.3 - - - - - - - - - - 69.0 82.5 129.5 129.5 12935 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 129.5 292.0 129.5 129UM - FRR 17.9% Comh. Sinaloa Investment Costa 215.9 1]6.3 130.9 157.1 530.3 971.7 928.7 1,481 5 1,272.4 753.6 61.7 61.7 - - - - - - - Irrig and Operation Maintenance Rio Fuerte/Rio and Total Costs Costs - 215.9 116.3 130.9 157.1 - 530.3 68.9 68.9 137.9 151.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.1 198.4 971.7 928.7 1,481.5 1,341.3 822.5 199.6 213,1 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.4 198.4 198&4 198A4 198.4 198.4 360.9 198.1 19M4 Sinaloa Pr Incremental Benefits - 6.9 14.1 34.5 82.1 178.2 275.2 408.4 720.7 964.0 1,142.8 1,290.4 1,323.8 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 1,357.3 ERR 13.47. H a/ April The incremental benefits on the Sinaloa project and the Rio Fuerte/Rio Sinaloa project exceed the incresental bnefilto of the combined (íntegrated) project as the incremental benefits on the Sinaloa project have been calculated on the basis that the proposed Sinaloa/Fuerte project would not be carried out. Consequently, the already irrigated ar-as -o,ld achiese hígher cropping iL.ensiLies than could be reached when the water has been distributed over a larger area. 6, 1979 o 57 ANNEX 1 MEXICO SELECTED DOCUMENTSAND DATA AVAILABLE IN THE PROJECT FILE A - Economic Evaluationof the Project Components 1. Proyecto de Rehabilitación - Distrito de Riego N°75 - Rio Fuerte. Datos Generales.SARH, Los Mochís, 8/78 2. Proyecto Rio Sinaloa, Sin - Actualizaciónde la EvaluacíónEconómica. SARH, D. G. de Planeaci6n,8/78 3. Proyecto de Rehabilitaciónde la la., 4a. y 5a - Unidades del Distrito de Riego N°75, Valle del Fuerte, Sin - EvaluaciónEcon6mica y Análisis Financieros.SARH, D.G. de Planeación,8/78 4. Proyectos Rio Sinaloa,Sin y de Rehabilitaciónde la la,, 4a. y 5a. Un,idadesdel Distrito de Riego Valle del Fuerte, Sin - Análisis Económicosy FinancierosAdicionales.SARH, D.G. de Planeacio6n, 10/78 5. Estimación de la ComponenteExtetrnade los costos Directos de Inversión, SAR, D.G. de Planeacíin, (segun datos de 1975) B - Engineering Data 1. Proyecto Sinaloa - Mapas de la Margen Izquierda.SARR, Los Mochís, 6/78 2. Proyecto Sinaloa - Mapas de la Margen Derecha. SARH" Los Mochis, 6/78 3. Rio Fuerte - Mapas de Trabajos dleIrrigacióny Drenaje de la Rehabilitación la., 4a. y 5a. unidades. SAEJR,Los Mochis, 9/78 4. Río Fuerte - Maps of works, tenure, soíls and tabulatíons.SARH, Los MoDchis, 9/78 5. Río Fuerte - Backgroundmaterial. SARH, Los Mochis 6. Marg,enIzquierda- Rio Sinaloa - Pozos de observación del Monto Freático SARR, Los Mochis, 9/78 7. Sinaloa and Fuerte Components- Mapas de pozos. SARH, Los Mochis, 9/78 8. Programa - Cantidadesde Obra Proyecto Rio Sinaloa. SARH, Los Mochis, 6/78 9. SalinityProblems in Rio Fuerte. Banks Mission, M. Fireman, 9/78 10. Drainage Problems in Rio Fuerte. Banks Mission, Mr.Houston, 2/79 11. Estudio de la FactibilidadHidrológicadel Proyecto de Rehabilitación. SARH, 10/78 12. Sinaloa/Fuerte- Bacurato Dam - Maps and BackgroundMaterial, SARH, Los M[ochis,6/78 13. Fuerte - Land Leveling - Maps and Evaluation.SARH, Los Mochis, 8/78 14. Sinaloa/Fuerte- Standard Structures- Plans. SARH, Los Mochis, 6/78 15. Sinaloa/Fuerte- HistoricalExpendituresin the Project Area. SARH, Los Mochis, 1975-78 16. Sinaloa/Fuerte- Operation and Maíntenance.SARH, Los Mochis, 1975-77 17. Programa de Actividades durante el año 1978. SARN, Lcs Mochis 18. Maps of the 3 units of Rio Fuerte. SARH, Los Mochis C - Agriculture Data 1. Demanda de los PrincipalesPro,ductos Agropecuarios.SARH, D.G.de Planeación,1978 2. ConsumosAparentes. S.A.G. y D.G.E.A., 1971-75 3. SalariosMínimos. Comisi6nNacional de los SalariosMínimos, 1977-78 4. Informe - Distrito de Riego N°63 - Sector Campesino,Banco de Crédito Rural, Asociacionesde Agricultuores.SARH, Los Mochis, 10/78 5. Fuentes de Crédito. SARH, Los Mochis, 10/78 - 58 - 6. Relacionesde Bodega de Almacenamiento.SARH, Los Mochis, 10/78 7. Relación de Insumos Proporcionadosdurante el ciclo 1977-78. SARH, Los Mochis, 10/78 8. Localizaciónde IndustriasEstablecidasen el Valle del Fuerte. SARE, Los Mochis, 10/78= 9. Asoc. de Agricultoresdel Rio Fuerte - Informe de Actividades Desarrolladas durante el bienio 1975-76 10. CONASUPO 1976 - México D.F., 12/75 11. Programa de CapacitaciónPermanente- El Carrizo. SARH, 6/78 12. Tecnologíay Rentabilidaddel Cultivo del Maíz en el Valle de Culican, Sin. SARH, 12/77 13. Análisis de Costos de ProducciónAgrocpecuaria(Computada).SARH, D.G. de Planeación, 1978 14. Estudio Agrol6gicoDetallado - la. Unidad Distrito Riego N°75. SARH, D.G. de Planeación, 1978 15. Residenciaen Culiacan, Sin - 4a. unidad N°75. SARH, D.G.de Planeacinn,1973 16. Residenciaen Culiacan, Sin - 52. unidad N°75. SARH, D.G.de Planeación, 1972 17. Plano Predial la. Unidad. SARH, Los Mochis, 1978 18. Plano Predial 2a. Unidad. SARH, Los Mochis, 1978 19. Plano Predial 3a. Unidad. SARH, Los Mochis, 1978 20. Rio Fuerte - Rehabílitaciónla., 4a. y 5a. Unidad. SARH, Los Mochis, 9/78 21. Cuadro Analítico de supercicies sembradas- Fuerte. SARH, Los Mochis, 9/78 22. Varios cuadros de superficie,produccióny valor de las cosechas en el ciclo Agrícola. SARH, Los Mochis, 1978 23. Evaluacióneconómica y Social de la SubestaciónAgrc'iolaExperimental para los Municipios de San Ignacio, Cosala y Elota en el Estado de Sinaloa. Chiapan-Guasave,1978 24. Informe de ProducciónAgrícola por Unidades Ciclo 1972-73. SARH, Los Mochis 25. Informe de ProducciónAgrícola por Unidades Ciclo 1973-74. SARH, Los Mochis 26. Informe de ProducciónAgrícola por Unidades Ciclo 1974-75. SARH, Los Mochis 27. Informe de ProducciónAgrícola por Unidades Ciclo 1975-76. SARH, Los Mochis 28. Informe de ProducciónAgrc'iolapor Unidades Ciclo 1976-77. SARH, Los Mochis 29. EstadísticaAgrícola de los Distritos de Riego Ciclo 1975-75. SARH, 10/76 30. EstadísticaAgrícola de los Distritos de Riego Ciclo 1975-76. SAHN, 8/77 D - Technical Assistance 1. Programa de Asistencia Técnica - Proyecto de Rehabilítacióndel Distrito N°75 - Rio Fuerte. SARH, Los Mochis, 9/78 2. Programa de AsistenciaTécnica - Integrale InvestigaciónAgrícola. Distrito N°63 - Rio Sinaloa. SARH, Los Mochis, 9/78 MEXICO RIO FUERTE/RIOSINALOAIRRIGATION PROJECT OrganizationChart SARH Rnpreseraasíe SinaloaState . SARH Coordinator Northe-r Sinaloa r Chnf-s lgatioanadLoecotí Dmstrarcts Directors of StenningCorniatees 1 Rio S.inaloa Steertng Chief Major Hydrauli Infrastr`cutre Programs NortheinSinaloa 2. Rio Fuerte El Carrizo ~~~~~~~~~~~~~3. l Comm,ittaaee esresenratives of 1 Epjos end Comuneros 2 Smiall Holders ad Colono. 3 State Gonernmert 4 AgraraR5 BNCR 6 Pr-vatr banks 7 ANAGASA 8. CONASUPO 9 PRONASE 10. Guanosv- Feniizartes 11 INIA Research Certer CIAPAN | | 1 2 Credit, Rasnotr, Plarat on n , ara1 Fertiliner Supplv eto. Unit for Economíc Suíes and Pubcaon Ch.et Consernaaron Maintenan-t -| ChíeSAdmmnístnl;tíoe Operatons and Dea,lopireasa, rLanc dCtaín M.ana.e nent Teams for n Rio F t Rehabit 2 Construction Bacurato Dan 3. Construction Rio Sinaloa let Bank Rer Sinaloa R.ght Bank 4. Con_trnt S. LeOd Le---Irra 6 . De"gn and Planning 7. A-ea Populatían and Rasettiemnt Lrganmdnua Tenure ard Indennaton HVdrgv aad Mainte-e 0. Oetn n Supportina Unas lo, 1 Hvdroo_gy Macainera Po..í Finld OHyecoves 2. Statiansos 3 Denp Wells 4 Wa-er Use- Records 5 ar-gatsonDavelopm ent Rekoblostíion and Drainage 6. Apphied Resear.ch CIAPAN) -ard Subínnt Matter Specialists Operation and Developmena Units of alent 50,000 ha 1 Ag-onomí-t ICoodinatorl Deoelopmena Operatiaons.d Areas of ebout 25,000 ha 1 Agronomast Aseo CoA-dínator Op,en,tes anrdDlevelopment Zones of about 6 .000 na 1 Agrororeíst oEtensionOpererlots t2 Areasí l2Anort 31000 h. each (Zone Chíefí n Che" nr 12 or 3 Seotionsl Agr'u tura Tealnícoan 2 A9,--7 Dct.h f1-1 Ríanis Tnchni.íans World Ba~nl - Chief Admínínstrator 20103 _ ". '.".\ ' . ^ 42"wMS P i: DAM a {@i6DAto@q&D;LGO \, e;: e RESROR0 X ~~~~MEXICO: IRRIGATIONPROJECT SINALOA/RIO FUERTE "~~F ,| EL CAJON f2 \fl i 3\\ oI ZRIO * 0 V 6 k/} ..... |, lt B R D139553 u : {~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~ / l A 0 L¡,, .; ~~~DE | ~ ~ ~~~~~~~~~~~ CABRERA >, v A/ \ lr , 1,''r4r , - Fin*nDnc H' 0. Q M ES9>-éc2z<g <Hft X ~MO \9 5 çe /SnlRd*rAe 1 5 T r _\1i xG ., & t ;0R L f , > ,>,-,.: Uf q4/1. / tf.- QE a\f L= e.Ee >555rsr5~~~EL ogr.ExY ; » ;1ó >-i > 0r000i i 5«$~~~~~~~~~~~~~ -wl 32S < & 1i i9 i i