Investors Presentation

Transcription

Investors Presentation
Investors Presentation
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
Disclaimer
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
This presentation contains certain 'forward-looking statements', which can be
identified by use of terminology such as 'expect', 'expectation', 'intend',
'continue', 'achieve', 'maintain', 'improve', 'foresee', 'anticipate', 'outlook',
'forecast', or similar wording. Such forward-looking statements reflect the
current views of management and are subject to known and unknown risks,
uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that may cause actual results,
performance or achievements of the Group to differ materially from those
expressed or implied herein. Should such risks or uncertainties materialize, or
should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary
materially from those described in this presentation. Kuoni is providing the
information in this presentation as of this date and does not undertake any
obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in it as a result
of new information, future events or otherwise.
2
Key Facts 9M 2007
ƒ
Turnover growth of 14.8% whereof 4.9% organic
ƒ
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ƒ
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Particularly strong growth in Scandinavia and Asia&Destination Management
Favorable circumstances in Scandinavia
Transformation process on Group level, restructuring in Switzerland and UK on track
Acquisitions in Q3:
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Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Three acquisitions to strengthen position in premium market
One acquisition to further improve market position in Scandinavia
Higher amortisations of intangible assets from several acquisitions
Favorable tax rate due to profit mix
Record high Free cash flow at CHF 218.1 m
Shoestring launch in UK and Germany
From the current perspective the Kuoni Group expects:
Group Turnover of above CHF 4.5 bn
Group EBIT of above CHF 130 m
3
Acquisitions Q3 and 9M 2007
share of direct sales
consolidation per
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
annualized turnover
in CHF million
Dorado Latin Tours, CH
70%
April
8
CV Travel, UK
Les Ateliers du Voyage, France
UTE Megapolus-Group, Russia
Falk Lauritsen Rejser A/S, Denmark
100%
68%
30%
100%
July
July
September
September
35
22
51
74
ƒ
ƒ
4
Combined these acquisitions account for additional annual turnover of
approx CHF 190 m
2006 acquisitions were made with an annualized turnover of approx
CHF 290 m
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Highlights Q3 2007
Q3 2006
∆
Q3 2007 total
Turnover
CHF 1 309 m
+ 13.7 %
CHF 1 488 m
Gross profit (GOP)
Gross profit – margin
CHF 278.0m
21.2 %
+ 18.7 %
CHF 330.0 m
22.2%
EBITDA
EBIT
EBIT – margin
CHF 99.2 m
CHF 87.8 m
6.7 %
+ 13.7 %
+ 11.4 %
CHF 112.8 m
CHF 97.8 m
6.6%
Net result
CHF 78.6 m
+ 21.8 %
CHF 95.7 m
1) Includes amortisation of intangible assets of around CHF 4m (Q3 2006: CHF 1m)
5
1)
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Highlights 9M 2007
Improvements 9M 2007 vs 9M 2006
Turnover
Organic growth
+ 14.8 %
+ 4.9 %
+ CHF 453 m
CHF 3.5 bn
Gross profit (GOP)
Gross profit - margin
+ 16.5 %
+ 30 bps
+ CHF 107.0 m
CHF 756.6 m
21.5%
EBITDA
EBIT
EBIT – margin
+ 19.7 %
+ 17.2 %
--
+ CHF 23.9 m
+ CHF 15.2 m
CHF 145.3 m
CHF 103.5 m
2.9%
Net result
+ 14.4 %
+ CHF 12.5 m
CHF 99.2 m
Free cash flow
+ 22.9 %
+ CHF 40.7 m
CHF 218.1 m
1) Includes amortisation of intangible assets of around CHF 9m (9M 2006: CHF 2m)
2) 9M 2006 was positively influenced by a tax provision release of CHF 10 m
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9M 2007 total
1)
2)
Turnover driven by organic
growth and acquisitions (in %)
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
2.7
7.2
14.8
4.9
Organic
7
Acquisitions/
Divestments
Currency
effect
Total
Growth
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Summary by SBU 9M 2007
Turnover
(CHF million)
9M 2007
EBIT
9M 2006
Δ%
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
Switzerland
745
724
+ 2.9
4.3
6.8
- 36.8
Scandinavia
743
636
+ 16.8
41.2
25.6
+ 60.9
Europe
564
506
+ 11.5
16.3
15.4
+ 5.8
UK
573
492
+ 16.5
31.1
37.3
- 16.6
Asia & Destination Mgmt
959
756
+ 26.9
32.3
25.1
+ 28.7
--
--
--
- 21.7
- 21.9
+ 0.9
3 515
3 062
+ 14.8
103.5
88.3
+ 17.2
Corporate
Group
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Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
SBU Switzerland
CHF million
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
Turnover
745
724
+2.9
EBITDA
25.6
27.4
-6.6
4.3
6.8
-36.8
EBIT
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Continuously challenging market environment
Encouraging EBIT improvement in Q3 07 of 6.5% vs last year
Restructuring process on track
Outlook
ƒ Turnover and EBIT expected to be around last year’s level
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Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
SBU Scandinavia
ƒ
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CHF million
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
Turnover
743
636
+16.8
EBITDA
47.3
26.8
+76.5
EBIT
46.1
25.6
+80.1
New Ventures
-4.9
--
EBIT
41.2
25.6
+ 60.9
Demand in Q3 exceptionally boosted by poor summer weather
Lower risk profile: redelivery of two long haul aircraft completed (A-330)
Strengthened market position in Denmark with acquisition Falk Lauritsen
New Ventures: Shoestring launched in UK and Germany
Outlook
ƒ Exceptionally favorable circumstances are expected to generate some 20%
higher sales and an EBIT margin of > 5% (Scandinavia only)
ƒ Shoestring launch costs expected around CHF 7m for full year
10
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
SBU Europe
CHF million
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
Turnover
564
506
+11.5
EBITDA
20.2
19.4
+4.1
EBIT
16.3
15.4
+5.8
All countries achieving volume growth of > 10%
ƒ All organic with exception of France (acquisition of Les Ateliers du
Voyage)
ƒ Expansion of successful Flagship store concept in France
ƒ Continued strong performance of Spain, Benelux and Italy
Outlook
ƒ Turnover growth of > 10% and an EBIT margin of above 2.5% are expected
ƒ
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Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
SBU UK
CHF million
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
Turnover
573
492
+16.5
EBITDA
38.8
38.5
+0.8
EBIT
31.1
37.3
-16.6
New CEO started mid August
Top line growth solely acquisition and currency driven
As expected Q3 2007 profitability considerably below last year
ƒ Includes restructuring costs
ƒ Specialists continuously successful (Kirker, Journeys of Distinction and CV Travel)
ƒ Premium products are outperforming the market –
ƒ launch of new World Class Europe brochure in Q3
Outlook
ƒ EBIT contribution is expected to be above CHF 40 m
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ƒ After amortisation of intangible assets of around CHF 8m
12
SBU Asia & Destination Mgmt
CHF million
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
Turnover
959
756
+26.9
EBITDA
39.3
30.6
+28.4
EBIT
32.3
25.1
+28.7
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Strong performance of Asian Trails in Southeast Asia
Growth rates for DM USA and Africa in Q3 at 19% and 27% respectively
ƒ Weak USD rate helps increase attractiveness of destination USA
ƒ Ongoing excellent performance of DM Africa
ƒ India turnover growth by 63% in Q3
ƒ Visa Facilitation Services (VFS) – roll out UK contract on track
ƒ China improving turnover and profitability in Q3
Outlook
ƒ Strong top line growth around +25% and similar EBIT improvement
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13
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Net Result
CHF million
Net result
9M 2007
9M 2006
Δ%
99.2
86.7
+ 14.4
ƒ Favorable tax rate in 2007 as a result of profit mix
ƒ 9M 2006 result positively impacted by release of tax provision in the
UK of CHF 10 m
ƒ Net result per registered share B +16.3%
(CHF 33.67 vs. CHF 28.96)
14
Strong financial position
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ Solid equity ratio of 28.4% (vs. 33.5% 31.12.2006)
ƒ Decrease as a result of seasonally higher Balance Sheet total
ƒ Net liquid funds of CHF 188 m
ƒ Liquid funds CHF 657 m including advance payments by
customers of CHF 469 m
ƒ Financial debts of CHF 71 m
ƒ Net cash position of CHF 118 m after:
ƒ Several acquisitions
ƒ Dividend payment
ƒ Share buyback CHF 100 m (terminated October 2, 2007)
ƒ Best ever free cash flow of CHF 218 m (9M 2006: CHF 177m)
deriving from improvement of operational performance
15
Outlook
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ Bookings for Tour Operating of Kuoni Group in CHF
as at November 11, 2007 + 14 %
From the current perspective, the Kuoni Group expects to post for
the full year 2007:
A turnover of more than CHF 4.5 bn
An EBIT result above CHF 130 m
16
Group information
17
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
New Organisation Structure: Why?
ƒ The tourism industry is changing at a phenomenal pace:
ƒ extensive consolidation
ƒ increasing pressure on costs and margins
ƒ changes in customer behaviour
ƒ rapid growth of online channels.
ƒ Profitable growth remains a key corporate priority:
ƒ improve the profitability of our core business
ƒ facilitate further growth in promising markets.
Our ability to master these challenges
will be crucial to our continued success.
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Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Strategic focus
ƒ To own and develop leading brands for exclusive travel service
offerings
ƒ To achieve sustainable organic growth that is clearly above overall
market rates
ƒ To generate additional growth through acquisitions, and derive full
benefit from the same
ƒ To adopt and maintain the most efficient processes in the industry
ƒ To focus on customer needs in both source and destination markets
ƒ To build and maintain an integrated service chain, from source to
destination market
19
Strategic targets
Value
drivers
Strategic initiatives
Turnover
Growth
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
Cost
efficiency
ƒ Reduced distribution cost through technology optimization
ƒ Exploitation of synergies by Future Business & IT Architecture
(leverage size and geographical presence)
ƒ Increase of buying power
ƒ Knowledgeable, trained staff → increased sales conversion
rates
Capital
efficiency
ƒ Further improvement of Working Capital Management
ƒ Optimization of Cash Management on group level
ƒ Investment and acquisition decisions based on strict hurdle
rates
20
Development of new markets and customer segments
Adaptation of successful products to other markets
Exploitation of new distribution potentials through e-channels
Further enhancement of brand value and pull
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Targets 2009
(excl. acquisitions)
6 – 8% p.a.
Sustainable EBIT
improvement
ROIC
18% – 20%
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Organisational setup
CEO
A. Meier
Assurance
Management
SBD STYLE
R. Wilhelm
Kuoni UK
IT
Human
Resources
Branding
Corporate
Communications
SBD SMART/BU SPIRIT/BU SWITZERLAND
S. Leser
BU Switzerland
S. Leser
SBD SMART
S. Leser
BU SPIRIT
F. Brusselmans
Kuoni France
Scandinavia
Kuoni Netherlands
Kuoni Italy
Kuoni Austria
Corporate
Responsibility
SBD
DESTINATIONS
R. Schafroth
FINANCE
M.E. Katz
Sales Asia Pacific
Corporate Controlling
Sales Europe & USA
Business Analysis
Shoestring
Kuoni Belgium
Kuoni Spain
Corporate
Development
Global FIT / MidEast
Sweden
Russia
Destination Europe
Norway
Corporate Treasury
Mergers&
Acquisitions
Destination USA
Investor Relations
Denmark
Kuoni India
Destination Africa
Legal & Compliance
Kuoni Hong
Kong/China
21
Executive Board:
A. Meier, M.E. Katz, R. Wilhelm,
S. Leser, R. Schafroth
Destination Asia
Destination India
Benefits
22
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ
Stronger focus on brands (specifically Kuoni), destinations,
businesses and consumers
ƒ
Accessible synergies through shared business focus
ƒ
People working in units with a similar dynamic, and with the
“same job to be done”
ƒ
Further decentralisation for optimum alignment and
responsiveness to specific market needs
ƒ
Swift implementation of groupwide and SBD-wide programmes
ƒ
Enhanced opportunities for employee development
ƒ
Better mileage for marketing money spent
Operating Principles
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ Business Model:
Model is prevailingly 'merchant', i.e.
ƒ Limited risks
ƒ Asset light
ƒ Low commitments setup
Dynamic optimization of business model mix (risk – reward trade off)
ƒ Operating Model:
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
23
Flexible and dynamic operating model
Integration of 'traditional' with 'dynamic' elements
Differentiation through appropriate processes and technology deployments
Leverage of scale across countries i.e. reduction of transaction costs
through economies of scale, standardization of processes and technology
House of brands (Tour Operating) 1/2
Switzerland
Luxury
Segment
World Class
Scandinavia
France
EmotionS
Upper
Segment
Middle
Segment
Direct
Sales
Specialists
Retail
Airline
24
*) subject to the approval of the Russian competition authorities
Spain
Italy
Benelux
Emozioni
EmotionS
Austria Russia*)
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
UK
World Class
India
China
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
House of brands
(Destination Management)
Individual Travel (Global FIT - B2B)
Leisure & Special Interest Groups, MICE
Asia
Leisure
Travel
MICE
25
Africa
2/2
Europe
India
USA
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Customer access in tour operating
Third Parties
51%
Own Shops
17 %
Internet
14%
Call Center
18%
Share of direct customer access:
ƒ
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UK:
Scandinavia:
Switzerland:
Europe:
56% - mainly through call centers
69% - with highest Internet share of over 40%
42% - mainly through own shops
21% - main contributors are Benelux and France
ƒ
Groupwide:
49% is sold through direct channels
26
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Competition of internet
vs other distribution channels in CH
90%
none
80%
slight
strong
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
The more complex the product the lower the internet competition.
27
Source: Credit Suisse Economic Research/SRV, 2007
Rou
ex End trips
urop
e
Rou
n
Eurd trips
ope
Bea
c
ex h holid
Eur ay
ope s
F
ex light
Eu s
rop
e
Be
ach
Eu holid
rop ay
e s
trip
s
Ho
tel
s
Cit
y
Fli
gh
ts
0%
Eu
ro
pe
10%
Market environment - Trends
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ Politics/demographics:
ƒ
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ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
Aging societies and changing social/cultural patterns
More available funds for leisure activities
General economic upswing
Geopolitical situation remains volatile, but people get used to it
Asia with excellent growth perspective for many years to come
ƒ Customer segments
ƒ Growth in premium segments expected in all markets
ƒ High importance of brand franchise, product and service differentiation
ƒ Hybrid, individualistic customers
ƒ Distribution
ƒ Growing importance of customer access / CRM
ƒ Accelerating growth of online distribution
28
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Corporate and Social Responsibility
Our 4 priorities for the next years
ƒ
Child and Adolescent protection
ƒ Kuoni has signed the Code of Conduct for the Protection of Children from Sexual
Exploitation in Travel and Tourism and implemented requested measures
ƒ
Improving labor conditions
ƒ Harmonize suppliers requirements within the group
ƒ Build awareness and organize training among suppliers/partners
ƒ Two projects of education in tourism in India and the Dominican Republic realized
ƒ
Water management
ƒ Water saving and cleaning projects will be conducted and financed in some main
destinations
ƒ
Climate change
ƒ Various Group wide carbon compensation projects (e.g. myclimate and climate
care)
29
Market position
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ
No 1 Swiss tour operator and retailer with own charter fleet (4 aircraft)
ƒ
No 3 in Scandinavia with own charter fleet (3 aircraft as of fall 2007)
ƒ specialist to Greece
ƒ
Strong position as outstanding long haul tour operator in
ƒ France
ƒ Italy
ƒ Netherlands
ƒ
UK strong position in long haul sector
ƒ Best long haul tour operator for 25 years in a row
ƒ
Market leader in India in in- and outbound
ƒ
Market leader in Destination Management into the USA
ƒ
Amongst the Leaders in Destination Management into Europe and Southand East Africa as well as Asia
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Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
Share capital structure
Registered Share A
Registered Share B
Total
2’956’800
75,00%
3’942’400
93,75%
3’153’920
(in CHF)
# of shares
Nominal value
Share capital
985’600
25,00%
0.20
197’120
1.00
6,25%
Not listed
100% owned by Kuoni and
Hugentobler Foundation
31
2’956’800
Broad international
shareholder base
Why invest in Kuoni?
Interim Results – Q3 / 9M 2007
November 2007
ƒ Long term growth trend of tourism sector will continue
ƒ Strong market position in premium and specialist segment
ƒ Solid Balance Sheet
ƒ Only small part of turnover are partially 'vertically' integrated
ƒ Purest play tour operator
ƒ Low asset ownership
ƒ Cash generation out of net working capital
ƒ High free cash flow generation (low capex)
ƒ Traditionally high ROIC
ƒ Strong position in India and China
ƒ Global Destination Management with focus on FIT and MICE
32
Thank you for your attention!