Full version - Aspen Institute Prague
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Full version - Aspen Institute Prague
Price: 20 PLN Index: 287210 4 | 2013 No 4 | 2013 CENTRAL EUROPE Aspen Institute Prague is supported by: THE END OF BIPOLARITY 25 Years After the End of Communism Leonidas Donskis, Frank Furedi, Jiří Pehe, Brendan Peter Simms, Jan Sowa, Tatiana Zhurzhenko Cultural Isolationism Has Prevailed An Interview with Lev Gudkov Hungary and the EU Jan-Werner Müller W W W . A S P E N I N S T I T U T E . C Z POLITICS Europe – the Forgotten Little Thing U. Guérot | Occupy or Monitor? P. Pithart The Beginning of a Lost Decade V. Inozemtsev | Europe Needs Protectionism J.-L. Gréau The West in Crisis K. Šafaříková | The Mysterious Death of Bohumil Hrabal A. Kaczorowski ECONOMY CULTURE No 4 | 2013 Advisory Board Walter Isaacson (co-chairman), Michael Žantovský (co‑chairman), Yuri Andrukhovych, Piotr Buras, Krzysztof Czyżewski, Josef Joffe, KaiOlaf Lang, Zbigniew Pełczyński, Petr Pithart, Jacques Rupnik, Mariusz Szczygieł, Monika Sznajderman, Martin M. Šimečka, Michal Vašečka Editorial Board Tomáš Klvaňa (Chairman), Luděk Bednář, Adam Černý, Martin Ehl, Roman Joch, Jan Macháček, Kateřina Šafaříková, Tomáš Vrba Editors Aleksander Kaczorowski (Editor In Chief ), Maciej Nowicki (Deputy Editor In Chief ), Robert Schuster (Managing Editor) Tra n s l at o r s Tomasz Bieroń, Antonia Lloyd-Jones, Julia Sherwood Published by Aspen Institute Prague o. p. s. Palackého 1, CZ 110 00 Praha e-mail: [email protected] www.aspeninstitute.cz Year II No 4/2013 ISSN 1805–6806 © Aspen Institute Prague The ideas expressed in the articles are authors’ own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the editorial board or of the Aspen Institute Prague. Content F O R E W O R D Radek Špicar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 E D I T O R I A L Aleksander Kaczorowski. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 C O V E R S T O R Y 25 YEARS AFTER THE COLLAPSE OF COMMUNISM The Authority of Democracy Exposed—Frank Furedi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Consequences of German Unification for Europe—Brendan Peter Simms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Lost in Transition: Struggles over Identity in Post-Soviet Ukraine and Belarus—Tatiana Zhurzhenko . . . . . . . From Communism to Democracy without Democrats—Jiří Pehe. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A Quarter-Century of “Really Existing” Capitalism—Jan Sowa. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C O M M E N T Leonidas Donskis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 13 17 21 25 30 THE INTERVIEW Cultural Isolationism Has Prevailed. An interview with Lev Gudkov by Filip Memches. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 C O M M E N T Petr Pithart. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 POLITICS Europe—the Forgotten Little Thing in the New Coalition Agreement?—Ulrike Guérot. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Hungary and the EU—Jan-Werner Müller . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Look Back in Prudence! Civil War Legacies and Crisis in Greece Today—Iannis Carras . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Old Friends, New Leaders: Poland and Turkey in the Early 21st century—Adam Balcer. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . The Personal Is (Again) Political—Ivaylo Ditchev. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C O M M E N T Michal Hvorecký. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 46 50 54 58 63 ECONOMY The Beginning of a Lost Decade—Vladislav Inozemtsev . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Europe Needs Protectionism—Jean-Luc Gréau . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Steering Wheel Stuck on the Left—Mojmír Hampl. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Why is Eastern Europe Backward—Anna Sosnowska. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . How to Trade Economic Independence for Political Sovereignty—Eva Maurina. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C O M M E N T Anis H. Bajrektarevic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 69 73 78 82 85 C U LT U R E The Mysterious Death of Bohumil Hrabal (1914–1997)—Aleksander Kaczorowski . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Oscar Bronner: A Life in Defiance of Austria and Its Situation—Robert Schuster. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93 The West in Crisis—Katerina Šafaříková. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Revisionism and Resurrection—Peter Jukes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 Ukrainisation of Urbanisation—Sociology of the City in the Ukraine—Joanna Konieczna-Sałamatin. . . . . . . 105 Noble and other Kolkhozy—Wojciech Stanisławski . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 3 Dear readers, Puzzle, the Commissioner proposed establishing a body that would bring together the heads of EU and US regulatory agencies. This idea did not go unnoticed even by the biggest media outlets, such as The New York Times. Two panels featured experienced businesspeople from both sides of the Atlantic, including the American Automotive Policy Council President Matt Blunt; the Czech Institute of Directors President Kamil Čermák; the Founder and Member of the Board of the Aspen Institute Prague Ivan Hodač or Peter Stračár, the CEO of General Electric for Central and Eastern Europe. All guests contributed to a very vivid debate, which you can watch on our website. In November, together with the nationwide weekly Respekt, we held a public debate entitled Crowdfunding and Entrepreneurship as part of Global Entrepreneurship Week. The panel hosted four experts—Aleš Burger (Hithit.cz), Martina Jakl (SwissCzech Technology Transfer), Martin Hanzlík (ATRET Consulting), and Martin Strnad (Havel, Holásek & Partners, attorneys at law)— who discussed the practical, economic and legal aspects of alternative forms of supporting innovative business ideas. Even more attention will be I am happy to present the new issue of our quarterly, commemorating the milestone events that took place in Central and Eastern Europe 25 years ago. The focus is on how the fall of Communism has affected global politics as well as the region’s economies and societies. Transformation in Central Europe will also be the main topic of the 2014 Aspen Annual Conference in June. We will follow up on the discussions we had during last year’s annual event—Overcoming Barriers to Growth. The conference was held in October 2013 with the support of our strategic partner PRK Partners, attorneys at law. Recalling the collective achievements and failures of the past two decades, the conference hosted distinguished guests such as entrepreneurs Michaela Bakala, Gabriel Eichler and Zbyněk Frolík, writer and lyricist Michal Horáček, manager Libuše Šmuclerová or the Czech Olympic medalist Martin Doktor. The second day sessions looked at barriers in the wider context of the transatlantic marketplace, with a keynote delivered by the European Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht. In his speech, Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP)—Solving the Regulatory 4 A S P E N R E V I E W / F O R E W O R D devoted to this topic under our 2014 initiatives. Within the project Crowdfunding Visegrad, supported by the International Visegrad Fund, we will assess the state of play in crowdfunding throughout the Visegrad countries. The resulting analysis will be published in the autumn. Our Institute closed its 2013 agenda with a Christmas party for all partners, supporters, Friends of Aspen members, and our program alumni. The diverse mix of guests, coming from different walks of life, be they business, the arts, politics, or the media, best illustrated the Aspen idea, which is to promote interdisciplinary cooperation. This theme will also recur in the second edition of the Aspen Young Leaders Program this February in the Slovak Tatras, supported by VIGO Investments. Much like last year, it will bring together about thirty emerging leaders from Central Europe, who will take part in workshops, seminars and discussions on the varied aspects of leadership, including motivation, ethics, decision-making, team-building and media management. Meanwhile we held the first public event this year—an international debate entitled What did we learn from the economic crisis? Three econo- A S P E N R E V I E W / F O mists: Lord Meghnad Desai, Professor at the London School of Economics, Jacek Rostowski, former Polish Minister of Finance, and William White, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, will offered views on the post-crisis financial world. Lastly, let me inform you that as of this issue the Aspen Review will be published only in English. This decision reflects not only the language preferences of our readers, but also our progressive regional expansion throughout Central and Eastern Europe, which calls for using a common language. Enjoy reading, and have a great 2014! RADEK ŠPICAR Executive Director Aspen Institute Prague R E W O R D Photo: Aspen Institute Prague 5 EDITORIAL Drang nach Westen Aleksander Kaczorowski The west is the best / Get here, and we’ll do the rest J. Morrison, “The End” A quarter of a century after the downfall of communism is a good moment to ask how our region will look like in another twenty-five years. The question if Poland will be a member of the eurozone (and if there will be any eurozone, European Union, NATO, etc.) should be left to fortune-tellers. They cannot complain of lack of demand for their services, just in Poland used by a hundred thousand people a year. Predictions of demographers are much less sought after, which is a pity. If politicians asked them for advice, they would learn that if the current demographic trends persist, in 2050 one in three Polish citizens will be a pensioner and the population will shrink to 30 million. Already In 2030 there will be just 1.5 potentially working persons (against the current 2.6) per one pensioner. As early as 2020 it will be impossible—because of shortages of labor—to maintain the growth of the GDP on a level necessary to save public finances from bankruptcy. For most countries of the region, the prognoses are even more dramatic. It is estimated, for example, that due to low birth rate and high emigration the last citizen of Bulgaria will die in 2134. Why do young Poles, Lithuanians or Bulgarians flee to the West in their masses? One of the reasons is that peripheral, backward economies of Eastern Europe base their competitiveness mainly on low labor costs (even the Chinese press reports that Chinese 6 A S P E N R ALEKSANDER KACZOROWSKI Editor in Chief of Aspen Review Photo: Jacek Herok capital starts to invest in Poland, drawn by low labor costs). So, just like a century ago, to many young people emigration to Western large cities seems to be the most promising strategy of personal advancement. Other enticements, beyond the strictly economic ones, are the Western lifestyle, the quality of public services and civil society, efficiency of government institutions, transparent rules of the game, clear paths of career advancement—in short, all these things they cannot count on in their own countries. This should not surprise us. The essence of the post-1989 transition was, after all, to draw ourselves out of the Soviet sphere of influence and “find a different way of f unctioning E V I E W / E D I T O R I A L countries altogether (with a total population of approximately 65 million people, equivalent to that of France), became exactly as important as France in German exports (101 billion EUR in 2011) and since 2001, they even exceeded France in German imports—reaching 98 billion EUR in 2011, which is 51 percent more than French products (65 billion EUR)” (P. Rusin, op. cit.). Does that mean that Poland in particular or the V4 countries in general may become “the New France for Germany”? (see Ulrike Guérot, Konstanty Gebert, “Why Poland is the New France for Germany,” Open Democracy, 17.10.2012). Not necessarily. First, Polish economy is still five times smaller than the French one (and just fractionally bigger than the Belgian one). Second, it is not clear if Germany needs any “new France” (and what it needs the “old” one for now). Third, the V4 does not speak in one voice—it is an economic bulldog but a political dachshund. Fourth, see under “demography.” A comparison with the former East Germany, rather than France, will be a measure of Eastern European success. The V4 countries more than fulfilled the hopes placed twenty ‑five years ago in the GDR by the advocates of unification. But it is difficult to say if in another quarter century these countries will be more similar to today’s West Germany or East Germany. Shall we ask a fortune-teller? in the international division of labor that an even deeper dependence on the Soviet Union” (J. Staniszkis, “Polskie dylematy,” Aneks 48/1987). Gorbatchev provoked communist elites in Poland or in Hungary to support the changes desired by the most active sections of Eastern European societies when it turned out that a necessary condition of internal reforms initiated by him in the USSR is the deepening of economic dependence of the region. And no one from the generation of Lech Wałęsa (1943), Leszek Miller (1946) or Leszek Balcerowicz (1947) relished such a prospect. Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary found a better “way of functioning in the international division of labor”: they “had become a hinterland for German industry—to the benefit of both sides.” (P. Rusin, “Warsaw and Berlin from the French perspective,” Visegrad Insight 2/2013). In 2012 the Polish economy—yes, the notorious Polnische Wirtschaft of old—became the eighth largest economy of the EU-27. Germany, just a decade ago “the sick man of Europe,” became a “geo‑economic power” (H. Kundnani)— thanks not just to the creation of the eurozone (currently receiving less than half, namely 40%, of German exports) but also to moving a significant part of industrial production to the east: to China, the Czech Republic or Poland. Twenty years after the German unification “the V4 A S P E N R E V I E W / E D I T O R I A L 7 COVER STORY The Authority of Democracy Exposed Frank Furedi The fall of communist regimes had the unintended consequence of forcing Western societies to confront their own divisions and internally generated problems The fall of the regimes in East Europe in 1989 followed by the collapse of the Soviet Union had a devastating impact on the credibility of communist and socialist ideologies. That is why for a very brief moment the collapse of these authoritarian systems was greeted with a tone of triumphalism by Western commentators particularly those of right wing and a conservative disposition. They could look back upon the demise of their traditional opponents on the left and conclude that their marginalization represented the vindication of the Western way of life. However, the tone of triumphalism very rapidly gave way to a mood of anxiety about the future. At the time, a handful of astute observers, such as George Kennan, the influential author of the strategy of containment counseled caution. He warned that the celebration of victory was premature since the collapse of the Soviet bloc did not mean that the West had actually triumphed. As it turned out the fall of communist regimes had the unintended consequence of forcing Western societies to confront their own divisions and internally generated problems. Until the late eighties and early nineties the precarious unity that prevailed during the days of a highly-charged ideological superpower conflict allowed Western A S P E N R E V I E W / C societies to avoid confronting the problem of developing a positive account of themselves. But once the external focus of unity was removed, the fragile state of the social and moral consensus prevailing in the West stood exposed. The end of the cold war served to expose the relatively fragile normative foundation on which authority in Western society was based. Almost immediately after the previous disintegration of the Soviet Union the reliance of Western governments on values and institutions generated through the Cold War became evident. All of a sudden the world looked to be not only a more unpredictable but also a more dangerous place. Observers nostalgically bemoaned the erosion of stable global patterns and feared that the post Second World War global institutions would not be able to deal with the eruption of new nationalist and culturally motivated conflicts. “Historical change is happening in a way it was not meant to happen,” observed an anonymous American defense expert at NATO headquarters in Brussels in April 1990. By this time the triumphalist tone gave way to the realization that compared to the certainties of the Cold War the new world was a confusing, unpredictable and dangerous place. Already in the early 1990s there O V E R S T O R Y 9 was a perceptible mood of nostalgia towards the certainties of the Cold War years. The suspension of Cold War rivalries brought to the surface the divisive issues surrounding the question of legitimacy, which were suppressed during the ideologically driven global conflict. In retrospect it was soon evident that for the West, the Cold War represented an era of stability, legitimacy and relatively high level of trust. In January 1991, The Financial Times reported that the “West’s relief at the ending of the Cold War is history.” Instead of relief the predominant reaction was now one of fear of “political instability and the awareness that integrating Eastern Europe, not to mention the Soviet Union, into the world economy poses difficulties of a hitherto unimagined complexity.” An even more pressing matter confronting societies in the post-Cold War era was the necessity to develop a positive account of their way of life. During the Cold War the effectiveness of the anti-communist crusade meant that this challenge could be evaded and postponed. However, with the disintegration of the Soviet Union the quest for norms and values that could help define a way of life became more pressing. The negative validation of authority provided by an anti ‑Soviet and anti-Communist narrative had lost its capacity to legitimate. As the political analyst, Zaki Laidi argued, “to define oneself by contrast with communism no longer has any meaning.” One reason why the defeat of the Soviet Union did not lead to the strengthening of the normative foundation of liberal democracies was because the West did very little to develop a positive account of it during the Cold War. Aside from the rhetoric of freedom versus enslavement and good versus evil, the West was almost entirely dependent on the appeal of its economic success during its ideological confrontation with the communist world. In other words people were drawn towards the West in the Cold War mainly because of its economic superiority and its promise of prosperity. Arguably it was not 10 A S P E N R E V enthusiastic approval and support for liberal democracy but pragmatism that underpinned the calculation of citizens on both sides of the East-West divide. After the end of the Cold War, Western governments could no longer rely on the legacy of economic efficiency and prosperity to spare them of the responsibility of validating their way of life in the language of politics and culture. In any case by the 1990s the era of the long post-war boom had given way to that of global economic insecurity and instability. For all its limitations Cold War ideology at least provided policy makers and society with an explanatory framework for interpreting global events. Its loss, which led to the rapid disintegration of assumptions, conventions and practices associated with the Cold War order has led to what Laidi has characterized as a “world crisis of meaning.” This crisis of meaning is the outcome of the incapacity of public institutions and conventions to provide clarity of purpose for the conduct of policy. During the 1990s commentators on both side of the Atlantic had to acknowledge the unpleasant fact that their societies lacked moral clarity and consensus and were experiencing an unprecedented decline in public trust in most of the key institutions. The absence of a vision of a common good was most strikingly demonstrated by a steady decline of public confidence in the performance of representative institutions in Western Europe, North America and Japan. The post-Cold War “good-feel” factor soon gave way to a new era of mistrust and alienation from public life. With the termination of the Cold War domestic problems could not be easily externalized. That was why the military historian Michael Howard warned in 1991 that the long-term challenge facing the West was that of “maintaining cohesion in increasingly heterogeneous societies.” He alluded to the escalation of social tensions and cultural conflicts and claimed that mass immigration had “eroded the cultural cohesion of older communities.” I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y The exhaustion of the politics of ideology and the threat of communism served as the prelude to the emergence of a new peril—the politicization of culture. The eruption of the so-called Culture Wars in the United States in the 1990s indicated there was little agreement on what constituted the foundational norms of society. In Europe, competing claims about national identity, social cohesion, multiculturalism, immigration, family life and marriage speak to a society that is far from at ease with itself. In these societies conflicts about group identity and the lifestyles through which they are expressed are rarely suspended in the interest of a wider form of national unity. One symptom of the post-Cold War malaise is the inability of Western societies to forge the consensus and unity of the previous era. The problem of galvanizing public support around a common objective became evident to policy‑makers in the years following the so-called war on terrorism. One study of British public diplomacy concluded that it is far more difficult to convince citizens to back the official line on the war on terror than it was during the Cold War. This loss of Cold War certainty was coupled with the awareness that society’s capacity to integrate its citizens had become seriously compromised. So a study published in 2008 about the security threat facing Britain reported that “we are in a confused and vulnerable condition.” It indicated that one reason for this sense of insecurity was because “we lack the certainty of the old rigid geometry” of the Cold War. Confronted by what it perceived as the “loss of confidence” and the absence of an overarching moral purpose in British society, the authors could not but mourn the loss of the Cold War. The acknowledgment of the loss of Cold War certainty is paralleled by the emergence of a sensibility of vulnerability on both the domestic and external fronts. Cold War ideology was always more than empty rhetoric in service of a public relation exercise. The narrative of the Cold War provided A S P E N R E V I E W / C western societies with a language through which they could define themselves and validate their institutions. Anti-Communism proved to be an extraordinarily powerful vehicle for providing disparate groups on the centre and the right with a counter-ideology that validated their way of life. In effect, during the Cold War, anti-communism served to endorse the claims that conservatives and centrists made about the moral superiority of their society’s way of life. Once anti-communism lost its immediacy and relevance its capacity to validate a way of life was also severely weakened. One symptom of the post-Cold War malaise is the inability of Western societies to forge the consensus and unity of the previous era. At a time when conflicts over values within Western society threatened to weaken domestic consensus, cold war ideology provided a unique resource for minimizing its effects. Consequently, the influence of cold war ideology was not simply confined to the governing of East-West relations it also guided policy makers in the domain of domestic policy. One of the unexpected outcomes of the end of the Cold War was that it deprived Western governments of one of the most effective instruments of legitimization. That is why time and again, politicians and policy makers have acknowledged their yearning for the certainties of the Cold War years. As Dick Cheney, the former Vice-President of the US recalled in February 2002, “when America’s great enemy suddenly disappeared, many wondered what new direction our foreign policy would take.” Confusion about the future direction of foreign policy was by no means the only outcome of the demise of the Cold War. O V E R S T O R Y 11 A similar pattern of disorientation is evident in relation to domestic affairs. Once the Berlin Wall came down and the Soviet Union followed it onto the scrap heap of history, thus ending the Cold War, the Western elite was faced with the fundamental questions that it had evaded for so long. The question of what society stands for could no longer be answered by the statement “its hostility to communism.” It was at this point in time that policy makers and their intellectual consultants unleashed a quest for a “big idea” to replace the now irrelevant anti-Communist crusades of the Cold War. What President George Bush described as “that vision thing” in 1987 continued to elude policy makers to this day. During the Cold War the West did not need a vision thing because as against the negative example of the Soviet bloc it could enjoy moral authority. During this period, Western parliamentary politics could live off its historic legacy and there was no serious attempt to develop an account of liberal democracy that could motivate and inspire the public in the post Cold War world. And then it all came to a sudden end! The most significant unintended consequence of the fall of communism was to expose the fragile normative and intellectual foundation for contemporary liberal democracy. Today, the questions forced on the agenda through the fall of communism demand answers. Democracy remains an ideal in search of conceptual clarification, intellectual validation and meaning. After the bitter experience of a century of ideological conflicts tackling the question of how to ensure that popular consent serve as the foundation for authority remains the question of our time. FRANK FUREDI is the author of Authority: A Sociological Introduction, Cambridge University Press, 2013. Photo: Matthias Haslauer 12 A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y The Consequences of German Unification for Europe Brendan Peter Simms German unification has produced the best of all Germanies historically, but the worst of all the possible outcomes envisaged by the main western protagonists in 1990 The reunification of Germany in 1990 was widely hailed as a revolution in Europe. It marked the end of the more than forty-year division of the continent into two rival ideolo gical blocs, epitomized by the liberal democratic capitalist Federal Republic of Germany (FRG) on the one side and the communist dictatorship of the German Democratic Republic (GDR) on the other. The absorption of the latter by the former was also seen as a tectonic shift in the European territorial and geopolitical order. Already the continent’s largest and most populous state outside of the Soviet Union, the Federal Republic was given a huge territorial and demographic boost. This increase in size and population was accentuated by the disintegration of the Soviet Union itself a year later, and the manifest economic distress of its Russian successor state, which left the new Germany in a relatively much stronger position still. In that sense, the unification of Germany was potentially an even more seismic event than the creation of the original Second Reich in 1871, given that Bismarck’s progeny was A S P E N R E V I E W / C balanced by the continued existence and in some cases growth of the Austro-Hungarian, Tsarist, British, French and Ottoman empires. All this prompted many analysts, commentators, and not a few politicians to predict the revival of German assertiveness in Europe. Conor Cruise O’Brien famously foretold a statue of Hitler in every German town square. The British Secretary of State for Trade and Industry Nicholas Ridley notoriously suggested that European Union “was a German racket” designed to take over the continent. His boss, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher believed that Germany “would once again, dominate the whole of Europe.” She even convened a special conference of experts to the prime minister’s country residence of Chequers in the summer of 1990 to brief her on whether a united Germany could be “trusted.” Mikhail Gorbachev, the Soviet leader feared that the “rejection of the post-war realities, that is the existence of two German states,” threatened “destabilization... not only in Central Europe, but on a larger scale.” The new democratic g overnments in Poland and Czechoslovakia O V E R S T O R Y 13 fretted about demands for territorial revision, or the return of refugees expelled in 1945. At the very least, “realist” international relations scholars such as John Mearsheimer expected a return to the past patterns of multipolar great power rivalries, in which Germany would play an important, perhaps even a dominant role. she correctly blamed primarily on Serbian nationalism, and thus her decision to press ahead on Slovenia and Croatia, was eventually endorsed by the international community. Indeed, it was German restraint rather than German activism, which irritated her allies. Kohl stood on the sidelines as the international coalition ejected Saddam Hussein from Kuwait in 1991. When Germany did eventually intervene, over Kosovo at the end of the decade, it was very much within the framework of the NATO alliance. There were three reasons why German unification did not produce the hegemonic tendencies that many had feared. First, after a short boom, the German economy stagnated for more than a decade as the Federal Republic struggled with the integration of an eastern half wrecked by forty years of communism. Other European economies surged ahead, especially the British and the booming states on the western and southern periphery, Ireland, Spain, and Greece. Secondly, a new and more radical wave of European inte gration—in large part driven by concern to manage unification—succeeded in embedding Germany within a framework of common institutions and shared norms. Margaret Thatcher’s warnings that the European structures designed to contain Germany would ultimately empower her, were ignored. Primarily at French insistence, the euro replaced the mighty Deutschmark and the power of the Bundesbank appeared to be superseded by that of the new European Central Bank. At the same time, Germany and the United States pushed the eastward expansion of NATO into the new democracies of the former Soviet Bloc. These measures were not accompanied, however, by a sustained push for a matching political union, even though this would then have been welcomed by the German elites, and perhaps by the population at large. Thirdly and in relation to that, the Germans themselves showed no signs of wanting to dominate, or even to lead in Europe. The experience of Nazism, the Second World War and of allied In the end, however, Germany did not really start to throw its weight about in Europe. Initially, some of these concerns seemed to be vindicated. Chancellor Helmut Kohl took his time about recognizing the Oder-Neisse border with Poland once and for all. When Germany led the charge to recognize Slovenia and Croatia in late 1991, this was widely interpreted as a bid for hegemony in the Balkans on the basis of alliances dating back to the Third Reich. On the economic front, the costs of integrating the former GDR had a profound impact on the European Exchange rate Mechanism (ERM) by which most currencies in the European Community—as it was then—were supposed to fluctuate only within predetermined “bands.” German interest rates were kept up by the Bundesbank, forcing the British treasury to intervene to support the pound against the more attractive Deutschmark at a time when the country desperately needed lower exchange rates for exports as recession loomed. When Britain eventually crashed out of the ERM, the Germans were blamed for encouraging speculative attacks on sterling. It was widely believed that the Bundesbank was, to use David Marsh’s phrase, “The bank that ruled Europe.” In the end, however, Germany did not really start to throw its weight about in Europe. Her analysis of the conflict in Yugoslavia, which 14 A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y and self-re-education had wrought a fundamental change in the character of the people. They r itually affirmed and genuinely believed in a commitment to “work together” with their European “partners.” Indeed, the long pre-1871 tradition of federalism under the Holy Roman Empire and the German Confederation, together with the experience of the Federal Republic after 1949, made the Germans uniquely well suited to life in the European Union. Far from seeking a military role commensurate with its new diplomatic and economic weight, the Germans remained reticent about the use of military force. They preferred to think of themselves, in Maull’s phrase, as a “civilian power,” which transcended traditional geopolitics and played to their economic and cultural strengths, through conflict prevention, post-conflict reconstruction, and the spread of peaceful norms. The marked improvement in German economics after the turn of the millennium only accentuated the belief that the country put traditional power politics behind it. This is reason why US hopes that Germany would become an active partner in managing European and global problems were gravely disappointed, not because Washington and Berlin differed on what needed doing, though they sometimes did, but because the Federal Republic remained structurally and culturally incapable of “stepping up to the plate.” In the 1990s, US policy makers were disappointed by German refusal to engage more robustly with Saddam Hussein’s territorial aggression, or Serbian ethnic cleansing in Bosnia. “War—that is something we lave to the Americans”—this phrase from a RAND study on German public opinion summed up the prevailing attitude. Washington’s irritation turned to fury in 2002–2003, when Chancellor Schroeder invoked the “German way” against “playing around with war and military intervention.” After Barack Obama’s election in 2008, fresh hopes that the new wind from Washington would produce greater German engagement in Afghanistan were quickly dashed. Neither German unification, nor A S P E N R E V I E W / C the growth of the German economy a decade later, in other words, led to an increased assertion of political and military power. The real consequences of German unification for Europe lie elsewhere, and not all of them are well recognized, even among policy-makers. The introduction of the euro, with its one size fits all interest rates, and the consequent tsunami of cheap mainly German capital created an unsustainable boom on the periphery of the currency union, which spectacularly unraveled from 2008. Ireland, Greece, Spain, Portugal and Cyprus have all been driven into various forms of international receivership, in which Germany—as the principal creditor—calls the shots within the common currency. The result has been to cast Berlin, very much against its own instincts in a leadership role, while increasingly sidelining an economically—and especially fiscally—ailing France. Without wishing to, the Bundesbank has once again become the bank, which controls Europe. And because German unification took place without a subsequent European federal political union, Berlin’s economic power now threatens to undermine the democratic will of the populations under her supervisory arrangements. All this is well known, even if the responsibility for this state of affairs, and the way ahead, are both furiously debated. What is much less widely understood is the huge geopolitical change wrought by the eastward enlargement of the European Union and particularly of NATO during the 1990s. Ever since the Franco-German rapprochement after the Second World, Germany has faced no threat from the west; now the admission of Poland and the Czech Republic provides her with a vital buffer against the revival of Russian power. This marks the end of the Mittellage, as traditionally understood, the central location which has sometimes been a blessing but more often a curse, as the country grappled with predators on every side: the Ottoman Turks from the 15th to the 17th centuries, the France of Louis XIV O V E R S T O R Y 15 and Napoleon from the 17th to the early 19th centuries, Stalin’s Russia and the Soviet Union in the 20th century, and so on. To be sure, Germany remains at the heart of the continent, but of a pacified, almost sedated, Union rather than of the ferocious cockpit of old. “For the first time in its existence,” Hans-Friedrich von Ploetz the state secretary at the foreign office pointed out as the enlargements got underway, “Germany is surrounded by allies, not enemies, who don’t see us as a threat anymore.” This holiday from history dulls German senses of emerging dangers to the south, from terrorism and failing states, and the east, from the resumption of Russian great power ambitions in Eastern Europe, the Baltic and the Caucasus. Thus it was Germany, more than any other power, which put the brakes on a stronger response to the Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008. Germany is among those stalling on the Ukraine’s admission to NATO. It was Germany, which surprised Washington, London and Paris by staying aloof from the NATO coalition of the willing in 2011. Germany also rejected the aborted intervention in Syria two years later before it had even started. This military reticence goes hand in hand with a robust defense of economic concerns, be it interest rates in the common currency or the privileging of export sales over human rights in the EU’s relations with dictatorships such as Red China. The result, Hans Kundnani observes, has been to turn Germany into a “geo-economic power,” which is hardnosed enough when its vital commercial interest are involved, but which takes refuge in its ‘civilian’ status when the military going gets rough. German unification has thus produced the best of all Germanies historically, but the worst of all the possible outcomes envisaged by the main western protagonists in 1990. America gave the green light for unification, but did not reap the dividends of global partnership it expected. Deeper European integration at French insistence did away with the franc, while facili- 16 A S P E N R E V tating continued German economic dominance through the common currency. The broadening of “Europe” wanted by Britain to slow down the Franco-German drive to closer union, and dilute German power, has rendered the Federal Republic safer, and thus more strategically selfish, than ever before. In other words, it was not so much the unification of Germany which transformed Europe, and empowered Berlin, but the measures designed to manage it. BRENDAN PETER SIMMS is an Irish historian and Professor of the History of International Relations in the Department of Politics and International Studies at the University of Cambridge. He is the author of Europe: The Struggle for Supremacy, 1453 to the Present (Allen Lane, 2013) Photo: Ede and Ravenscroft I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y Lost in Transition: Struggles over Identity in Post-Soviet Ukraine and Belarus Tatiana Zhurzhenko The year 1989, marked by the fall of the communist regimes in East Central Europe, has meanwhile become a new lieu de mémoire. But it does not work for the whole of Eastern Europe. In Ukraine and Belarus, as in other former Soviet republics, it was only in 1991 that the end of communist rule finally arrived hand in hand with national independence. This delay is not just a matter of the commemorative calendar. Being part of the same chain reaction, political changes in Ukraine and Belarus differed from the “Velvet Revolutions” in East Central Europe at least in one crucial point: they were not a home-grown phenomenon, but rather a result of the collapse of the imperial center. With the exception of Western Ukraine, there was no mass opposition movement in these countries and the end of the communist rule brought no change of the ruling elites. Hopes for democracy, freedom and prosperity soon drowned in a wave of Soviet nostalgia. Even if the declaration of state independence in 1991 entered the official calendars, the myth of a national revolution that would be comparable to the “Velvet Revolutions” in East Central Europe is largely lacking. Moreover, A S P E N R E V I E W / C in Belarus the Lukashenka regime is stressing its continuity with the Soviet era, while in Ukraine the “national democratic” opposition to president Yanukovych denies the post-Soviet Ukrainian state any national character, as it is allegedly captured by pro-Russian oligarchs and the former communist nomenclatura. Divided Societies That Ukraine is divided into East and West has become a commonplace knowledge to everybody who reads newspapers. Indeed, the religious and cultural peculiarities, the heritage of the Russian and Habsburg empires, the different mass experiences of World War II and other events of the 20th century are reflected in the political attitudes and electoral preferences of the Ukrainians in the respective regions. The discourse of “two Ukraines” (Mykola Riabchuk), so popular among Ukrainian cultural elites, reflects and at the same time perpetuates this division O V E R S T O R Y 17 opposing the pro-European, national-minded West and the pro-Russian, denationalized, still ‑Soviet East. This cultural and political cleavage is often essentialized as a clash of two different civilizations in one country. Although “East and West together!” was one of the slogans of the Orange Revolution, it unfortunately strengthened the discourse of “two Ukraines” and further polarized the Ukrainian society. Playing “West” against “East,” “Galicia” against “Donbas”—and vice versa—has become a universal electoral strategy in absence of new ideas and political projects. Frustrated by Yanukovych’s politics, even prominent Ukrainian intellectuals do not hesitate to speak about a “civilized divorce” as the best solution for the divided country. At first glance Belarus, united by the authoritarian hold of Lukashenka, seems to be rather different in this respect. Rather than being a divided nation, Belarus appears as a “denationalized nation” (David Marples): the weakness of the Belarusian national self-awareness is usually seen as the main reason for the failure of democratization in the 1990s. However, according to Belorusian scholar Nelly Bekus post-Soviet Belarus is not about failed nation building but about the ambiguities of the Belarusian national identity. In her recent book, Bekus focuses on the ongoing “struggle over identity” between the authoritarian state and the marginalized political opposition. She demonstrates how the different concepts and visions of Belarusianness, promoted by the official authorities and represented by the political and intellectual opposition, compete for the souls and minds of the Belarusians. This competition is by no means fair, however: The state tries to monopolize the public sphere and denies the opposition the very right to use the word “Belarusian”; in turn, the marginalized opposition considers the current political regime not only anti-democratic but also anti-national. The opposing sides do not seek dialogue and use different national symbols, historical narratives and systems of cultural references. And as opinion polls show, at least half 18 A S P E N R E V of the population supports nation building à la Lukashenka and has already internalized the symbols and narratives of official “Belarusianness.” The “de-nationalized nation” appears rather as a divided nation, in some ways similar to Ukraine. From the Ukrainian perspective, this diagnosis does not leave much hope for a happy end to the Belarusian identity troubles even after the collapse of the authoritarian regime. Upsurge in Memory In the late 1980s the “right to memory” claimed by writers, journalists and public activists undermined the ideological monopoly of the Soviet regime. But the society’s hunger for truth about the recent past did not transform into a public demand for historical justice. In Belarus, some kind of selective amnesia has been imposed by the Lukashenka’s regime, which builds on symbols and narratives of Soviet Belarussia. Moreover, some dubious memorial projects are officially supported in Belarus. One of them is the reconstruction of the so-called “Stalin line,” a fortification line that had been built before WWII and is now reconstructed and turned into an amusement park. Lukashenka is still drawing on the Soviet myth of Belarus as a “partisan republic,” which heroically resisted Nazi occupation, but today even an autocratic regime does not possess an ideological monopoly. The alternative narrative, supported by the Belarusian oppositional intellectuals, uses the language of postcolonialiy and presents the nation as a victim of both Hitler and Stalin. In Ukraine, the narrative of collective victimhood has meanwhile become the mainstream. Recent opinion polls show that more than half of the population considers the famine of 1933–34 a genocide of the Ukrainian nation deliberately organized by the Bolshevik regime in Moscow. At the same time, the notion of the famine as genocide is denied by the ruling Party of Regions, and still not popular in the East and South of the country. Even more controversial is the new I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y heroic narrative of the OUN-UPA, which presents the Ukrainian nationalist underground and anti ‑Soviet armed resistance as the only legitimate national heroes. This narrative is eagerly instrumentalized by the right wing nationalists of the “Svoboda” party, which is meanwhile represented in the Ukrainian parliament. Banners with the portrait of Stepan Bandera, the icon of Ukrainian nationalism, and the red-black flags of the UPA can be often seen on the tribunes of football stadiums along with neo-Nazi and extremist symbols. On the other extreme of the political spectrum, portraits of Josef Stalin are used in public by Communists and Soviet war veterans, sometimes also during official commemorations. faded away, it became clear that Ukraine had failed to escape its geopolitical fate and will not join the EU and even NATO in the midterm future. A part of the Ukrainian society and the political class perceives this situation as a geopolitical marginalization, an exclusion or even isolation from Europe, which might result in an increasing political and economic dependency on Russia. Moreover, the lack of consensus on such issues as language and history exposes Ukraine to Russian cultural influences: its unfinished nation building perpetuates the country’s “borderlands” status. These tendencies are experienced and perceived differently in the different parts of Ukraine: while in the West the feeling of marginality is related to the failed EU membership aspirations and the new Schengen border, in the East it is caused by the disintegration of the Soviet empire. A Borderland Identity Belarus and Ukraine, however in different ways, demonstrate the limits of the concept of “post-communist transition.” After more than twenty years of reforms, they have not arrived at the final destination—Western-style liberal democracy, the rule of law and well functioning market institutions. It has become increasingly difficult to speak about these countries as “post-Soviet” and “transitional”: The transition seems to be over, but it has ended in the nowhere land and the reasons for this failure cannot be reduced to Soviet heritage only. Instead of temporal categories of transition, we are inclined now to use spatial ones, such as marginality, periphery or borderlands. In Ukraine, the “borderlands” discourse is omnipresent, and it is easy to see why. Most territories of contemporary Ukraine belonged over centuries to the historical borderlands of Poland, the Muscovite state, the Russian and the Ottoman Empires; moreover, the very term “borderlands” actually constitutes the name of the country. With the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union independent Ukraine found itself in the borderlands again—this time between the enlarged EU and post-Soviet Russia. After the hopes connected to the Orange Revolution had A S P E N R E V I E W / C After more than twenty years of reforms, Belarus and Ukraine have not arrived at the final destination— Western-style liberal democracy, the rule of law and well functioning market institutions. At the same time, re-imagined in post‑colonial terms the concept of “borderlands” turns emancipatory and even affirmative. Polish sociologist Tomasz Zarycki pointed to the fact that the new paradigm of “borderlands” so popular today in cultural studies tends to ignore power relations and the centre-periphery hierarchy and that the borderlands are idealized as a free space, where O V E R S T O R Y 19 traditions of various cultures meet and subjects have freedom to choose their identity. Even more so, conceptualizing a region in terms of borderlands, ascribing it multiculturalism, diversity and hybridism often leads to its exotization and orientalization. This discourse plays a compensatory role, as it promises symbolic and moral advantages in compensation for geographic and economic marginality. A Belarus reinvented as “borderlands” by local intellectuals such as Vladimir Abushenko and Igar Babkov evades strict definitions imposed from outside, be it from the West or from Russia. The “borderlands” discourse represents a new politics of identity, alternative to traditional nation building which seems to have failed in Belarus. current events in Ukraine show that the European integration can become a mobilizing or even a consolidating idea and that society and especially the younger generation can exercise significant pressure on the corrupted elites forcing them to democratic changes. If this pro-European enthusiasm in Ukraine is simply situational or if it testifies some deeper societal shifts is still an open question. TAT I A N A Z H U R Z H E N K O is a political scientist at the University of Vienna and currently a Research Fellow at the Aleksanteri Institute, University of Helsinki. Her most recent book is Borderlands into Bordered Lands: Geopolitics of Identity in Post-Soviet Ukraine, Stuttgart 2010. Photo: Archive Tatiana Zhurzhenko A European Future? While I am finishing this article, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians are rallying in the center of Kyiv and in other cities protesting against the government’s decision to suspend the signing of the Association Agreement with the EU. The protests increasingly turn against the corrupted government and a president safeguarding the interests of his family and a few oligarchs. At the moment, the European idea seems to represent a real alternative to the Ukrainian society which is frustrated, de‑ motivated and divided by the failure of the Orange Revolution. For the first time in Ukrainian history, EU flags dominate square and streets along with the national blue-yellow flags. It seems that both the Ukrainian government and the EU politicians have been surprised by such an outbreak of the pro-European feelings. In the last years, Lukashenka’s anti‑Westernism and Yanukovych’s manipulative oscillation between the EU and Russia gave little hope that the political elites in Belarus and Ukraine will embrace European values. It seemed that the EU’s transformative power, which worked so well in East Central Europe, has come to its limits in the “Eastern neighborhood.” However, the 20 A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y From Communism to Democracy without Democrats Jiří Pehe Czech democracy, just like other new European democracies that emerged after the fall of communism in 1989, has undergone an unprecedented institutional modernization in the last 25 years, yet it still shows significant democratic deficits years of political independence. After 1620, when the Czech protestant nobles were defeated by the catholic Hapsburgs in the Battle on the White Mountain, the Czech lands were ruled for 300 years by the Hapsburgs, mostly from Vienna. Independent Czechoslovakia, created in 1918, survived for only 20 years, followed by six years of Nazi occupation. And from 1948 to 1989 the country was essentially controlled by Moscow as one of its satellites. This political history created a deep-seated mistrust of the state among ordinary Czechs as an institution controlled by powers outside the Czech borders. Czech political elites were decimated after 1618, and their reconstitution during the Czech national revival movement in the 19th century was slow. In fact, cultural elites were ahead of political ones in expressing Czech national interests. A culture of subverting the state and political elites that are “not ours” profoundly shaped the Czech national mind-set in the 19th century. Moreover, the state in the Austro-Hungarian Empire—a patriarchal constitutional monarchy with centralized and inefficient bureaucracy—was a rather archaic institution. Its modernization A majority of Czechs are highly dissatisfied with the state of Czech democracy, do not trust traditional political parties, and complain about rampant corruption. The general elections in October 2013 saw a spectacular rise of anti-system movements and parties. The ANO movement, preaching anti ‑politics and running under the slogan “we are not like politicians,” finished second, and a stable government could not be formed without it. The reasons for this sorry state of affairs are numerous, but several stand out, including a problematic economic transformation in the 1990’s, a weak civil society, the building of political parties from above by small elite groups, and a historical tendency, which philosopher Václav Bělohradský describes as a proclivity among Czechs to form opposition against politics, rather than building a political opposition. The State as a Czech Trauma One specific issue is the Czechs’ mistrust of the state. It stems partly from the fact that in the last 400 years, the Czechs enjoyed only roughly 50 A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y 21 lagged significantly behind developments in Western Europe. The way this state has been portrayed in the works of Jaroslav Hašek or Franz Kafka was unfortunately not much of an artistic license. It can be argued that most Czechs perceived the state at the end of the Austro-Hungarian Empire as a corrupt institution, controlled by the police and inefficient bureaucracy. The First Republic lasted for only 20 years, which was not long enough for most Czechs to change their perception of the state as an alien body. Moreover, political elites of this new state showed, perhaps understandably, a lack of political skill in critical moments, contributing to the end of the state in the humiliating Munich dictate trauma. The traditions of a bureaucratic police state, prone to corruption, were later only strengthened by the era of Communism. While democracy in the Austro-Hungarian Empire left much to be desired, there was, after all, a budding multi-party system and genuine efforts to build “Rechtsstaat.” The communist regime destroyed even these fragile traditions. The state was there to be cheated or beaten, the slogan of the era being “He who does not steal from the state steals from his family.” The era of democracy building after 1989 was thus from the beginning saddled with the popular notion that the state is corrupt, inefficient, and oppressive. The new political elites, unfortunately, did not understand the need to rehabilitate the state and thus create conditions for people to identify with the new democratic regime as “theirs.” On the contrary, the state was portrayed by the political elite—mesmerized by the notion of “an invisible hand of the market”—as an essentially hostile institution that is to be as small as possible. One could argue that even a small state could be efficient, but the traditions of the deep public distrust of the state, in combination with neoliberal philosophy (preferring the privatization of some important state functions to simply modernizing 22 A S P E N R E V the existing ones) conspired to maintain the kind of state that most Czech do not identify with even 24 years after the fall of Communism. Democracy without Democrats Democracy-building was impeded not only by the misunderstanding of the state’s role in modern societies, but was also complicated by the gap that lies in the space between the two levels at which to judge the quality of democracy: institutions and culture. The institutional modernization was to some extent accelerated by assistance and expertise from international organizations, such the European Union. However, developing a democratic culture takes much longer and has to do with the quality of a civil society. Democratic behavior, rooted in active citizenship, cannot be instituted from above. The creation of a truly democratic environment is tied to people’s ability to internalize democratic values, which, in turn, is closely tied to the growth of a civil society. Tomáš G. Masaryk, the first president of Czechoslovakia after 1918, was well aware of this dilemma, when, after the creation of independent Czechoslovakia, he remarked: “Now we have a democracy, what we also need are democrats.” Unfortunately, most politicians after 1989 did not realize that the institutional modernization needed to apply to the state as much it was directed at creating a political democracy and a market economy. And that democracy is not just mechanisms, procedures and institutions, but also a culture, which, in turn, is dependent on the quality of a civil society. Unlike Czechoslovakia between 1918 and 1938, Czechoslovakia and later the Czech Republic, were surrounded by countries and international organizations eager to assist with democracy-building and usher them into supranational organizations like the European Union and NATO. Both Western Europe and the United States engaged in a massive transfer of know-how. I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y Judged solely as an exercise in institutional transformation, the results have been spectacular. Arguably, never have so many countries burdened with backward and authoritarian political institutions changed so quickly into essentially modern democratic regimes with market economies and the rule of law. But the speed of this institutional transformation, culminating in NATO and EU accession, has had drawbacks. It created an even larger gap between the new institutional reality and democracy understood as culture. In other words, the very rapid institutional modernization intensified Masaryk’s old problem of democracies without democrats. The new Czech democracy, just like other democracies of Eastern and Central Europe, suffer from a highly confrontational and sharply polarized political environment. There is little culture of dialogue and compromise. Mental stereotypes originating in the communist era are still strong. Some analysts speak of a “Bolshevik mentality” that echoes communist-era attitudes. Political opponents are not to be listened to and worked with; they are to be destroyed. historical political parties, such the Social Democrats, were reestablished as elite projects, basically. In combination with a high level of mistrust among citizens in partisanship after more than 40 years of one-party rule, the creation of parties as elite projects has caused parties to be small and weak. There are no mass parties, to speak off. In fact, the Communist Party, which inherited a large membership base, remains the largest party in Czech politics. The fact that such small and weak parties presided over an extensive privatization process caused the parties themselves to be “privatized.” In other words, while leading parties played a crucial role in creating new entrepreneurs and powerful economic groups that dominated the newly privatized economy, they—due to their internal weaknesses—were becoming not only intertwined with these new economic actors but dependent on them. Today, political parties in the Czech Republic often act more as business entities that trade with political influence than defenders of public interests. The high levels of corruption have to do with the fact that political parties are often controlled by behind-the-scenes economic interests. When the privatization process, which was a source of major corruption, ended, many of the newly created business interests used their close contacts with political parties to manipulate state tenders. According to conservative estimates, some 100 billion Czech crowns, out of some 600 billion the state spend annually on public tenders, disappear in kind of this systemic corruption. The influence of big money on political parties, has, of course, been a problem in all democratic societies, but mass parties with long traditions that still exist in the West have been able to resist the dictate of big money better than weak, “privatized” parties in the Czech Republic. Czech democracy has further been deformed by the fact that the creation of a market economy has heavily depended on foreign capital, mainly foreign direct investment by large multinational companies. In comparison with established Liberal Democracy as a Moving Target The transition to liberal democracy in the region, including the Czech Republic, has taken place amid the accelerating process of globali zation, which calls into question the very notion of the nation-state—the foundation upon which liberal democracy first developed. The Czechs are thus struggling not only with internally generated problems but with dilemmas created by supranational integration, and by changes in the very paradigm of liberal democracy—the declining role of traditional political parties, for example, and the growing influence of the media on the democratic systems’ functioning. As noted above, the most important Czech political parties were created after 1989 by small groups of newly-born elites. Even some of the A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y 23 Western democracies, domestic capital played a relatively small role in the new market economy. If we take into account that market entities, such as small and mid-size businesses, played a crucial role in the creation of civil societies in traditional democracies, the relative absence of this segment of the market economy in post ‑communist countries has been an obstacle in building vibrant civil ones. The public space that Jürgen Habermas saw as one of the pillars of modern democracies has not developed to the extent known from established ones, and may, in fact, never fully develop. Economic policies dominated the process of democracy-building, with the unfortunate result of diminishing the importance of anything “public.” As a result, wherever public space began appearing it came quickly under the pressure of markets and was often colonized by private interests. What impact this development will have on liberal democracy is not yet certain. What is clear, however, is that the pressure that globalization puts on the very concept of the nation state combines with the traditional Czech distrust of the state to create an explosive mix. In other words, the Czech state is not only under pressure of globalization but also under pressure from a number of traditional prejudices against the state. In this context, it is perhaps no surprise that the Czech state is, 24 years after the fall of communism, not only inefficient, but in some ways a failed project. The Czech Republic was, at the end of 2013, the only member of the EU that did not pass a civil service law. The state was seen by most people not only as incompetent and corrupt, but also prone—once again—to spectacular police actions, resulting in little or no success in fighting real corruption. Although several parties successfully ran in the October 2013 elections with promises of modernizing the state, it is questionable whether the Czech political elite, now threatened with a wave of anti-politics, can achieve that in an environment infused with systemic corruption and a lack of trust in anything that has to do with the state among the public. Combined with the traditionally strong antielitist sentiments in Czech society, which, in turn, are come from plebeian traditions and provincialism of a country that did not have its own political elites for centuries, these are potentially dangerous trends. The jury is still out on whether the Czech post-communist era will be replaced in the end by a fully functioning democracy and a state that people trust and identify with. The Unclear Future If we take into account the positive influence of external factors, such as membership in the EU and NATO, it seems natural to argue that the Czech Republic has a better chance than Czechoslovakia before WWII of succeeding in maintaining and developing a democratic regime. Given this seemingly benign international context, it seems easy to agree with Masaryk that the country could be safe as a democratic regime in 50 years if it lived in peace. However, global developments make such arguments somewhat tentative. Liberal democracy’s roots in the Czech Republic began in the context of revolutionary global changes fueled predominantly by globalization, which itself was largely fueled by revolutionary changes in communication technologies and science. In other words, the democratic paradigm may be changing globally. Though the nation-state gave birth to the concept of liberal democracy, the idea itself has come under increasing pressure in this globalised world. Liberal democracy’s viability at the supra-national integration level remains unclear. 24 A S P E N R E V JIŘÍ PEHE is director of New York University’s center in Prague. Photo: Archive Jiří Pehe I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y A Quarter-Century of “Really Existing” Capitalism Jan Sowa The French, the Germans, the English and Americans wandering about the future course of their countries should study the recent history of Central and Eastern Europe and look at the current state of the region Déjà Vu There is an anecdote saying that in 2004 in the United States a man woke up after more than a decade in a coma. He recovered fairly quickly and generally had no problems with understanding what had happened to him. But one thing caused his bafflement and disbelief: that after so many years Bush was still president and that the Gulf War was still going on. I have similar feelings when I hear reports on sovereign debt crisis in the south of Europe. For was it not debt which brought the Soviet Bloc to its knees, ending the failed experiment with introducing “communism”?1 The debt of this block and the accompanying economic collapse achieved more than the Pope, Wałęsa and Reagan put together. After all, there were many revolts against the ruling regimes in the post-war history of Central and Eastern Europe (Poznań, Prague, Budapest, Gdańsk, etc.). None of them resulted in political change. When debt tightened the noose around the neck of the “communist” regime, the system proved easier to dismantle than it had seemed even to the oppositionists themselves. From my childhood in the 1980s I remember the subject of government debt recurring in the A S P E N R E V I E W / C media and in private conversations (I was growing up in a politically aware and dissident family, and I was initiated early: as a 10-year-old I knew the slang terms for samizdat, communists, security police and so on). It was a different debt, taken in the late 1970s in foreign banks, not counted in percentage of the GDP but in billions of dollars, nevertheless its economic weight was similar. The system was going bankrupt, just as Greece and a few other South European countries are standing on the verge of bankruptcy today. Remarkably, there was a similar neoliberal discourse of reforms, which, like today, was to serve as a remedy for the crisis. It follows the three main recommendations of the so-called Washington Consensus: liberalization, privatization and cuts in public expenditure. Just as they did in Poland in the late 1980s and early 1990s, experts from international financial institutions recommend reforms, which result in the growth of inequalities, poverty and social exclusion. A Fluent Passage The analogy between the current debt crisis and the one which a quarter century ago led to the political, economic and social reconfiguration O V E R S T O R Y 25 of Central and Eastern Europe has a more than just anecdotal meaning. The downfall of the so-called communism can be looked at from many perspectives. You may talk about it as a clash between democratic movements and an oppressive and authoritarian regime, you may point at the failure of the planned economy model and victory of liberal capitalism or you may treat the whole process as a triumph of national liberation efforts (after all the Soviet Bloc was also an embodiment of Russia’s imperial ambitions). The point of view I would like to propose in my text is slightly different and focuses above all on external issues. Although I will be also interested in internal transformations in the region, their contribution to the global triumph of neoliberalism will prove more important. The year 1989 functions in the collective memory as a powerful symbolic watershed. It is constituted above all by two events: Polish elections in June 1989, not fully controlled by the Party, and the collapse of the Berlin Wall in the autumn of the same year. Concentrating on these spectacular events, we are ignoring changes of lesser symbolic import, which had taken place in the second half of the 1980s. If we include them in the transitional narrative, it will turn out that the passage from “communism” to capitalism was much more fluent that it is commonly believed and that it had begun before 1989. I will demonstrate that on the example of Poland but in this period similar processes appeared also in other countries of the region. In the twilight years of the People’s Republic, roughly from 1986, a slow but consistent change in economic policy occurred. Many reforms, which were fundamental for later transformations, had been launched then, introduced by the last “communist” governments of Messner and Rakowski. I mean here such decisions as a liberalization of currency trade, making the life of businessmen easier, tax reforms and so on. In 1986, Poland re-entered the International Monetary Fund. 26 A S P E N R E V These changes reflected the evolving outlook of the Party leaders. Although official propaganda remained almost the same and still proclaimed the necessity of “building socialism” (of course without the “deviations” and “with a human face”), the habitus of Party elites was evolving towards more liberal and pro-market positions. In the twilight years of the People’s Republic, roughly from 1986, a slow but consistent change in economic policy occurred. Many reforms, which were fundamental for later transformations, had been launched then, introduced by the last “communist” governments of Messner and Rakowski. At the same time, very importantly for the neoliberal transition of the early 1990s, the attitude of the dissident elites also changed in the 1980s. Before the introduction of Martial Law the most authoritative voices of the dissident intellectuals were supporting social and poli tical changes but in the name of leftist ideals. The best example of that was the open letter to the Party written by Kuroń and Modzelewski in 1964. Social movements shared this left-wing character. “Solidarity,” today wrongly interpreted as an anti-socialist and pro-liberal movement, is the best illustration of that. In its most elaborate policy statement developed in the autumn of 1981 we will not find demands for privatiza- I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y tion or introducing a free market. And this was not because “Solidarity” was afraid of radicalism. Both the demands and actual actions of this movement were bold and radical. “Solidarity” really was not a pro-capitalist and pro-market movement. It was a socialist movement in the purest sense of the word: created by workers and fighting for social justice. In the policy statement I spoke about the word “social” appears more than 160 times on about 60 pages and the demand for social ownership of the means of production is directly articulated. In this sense “Solidarity” may be called the greatest success of Polish “communism.”2 But this attitude changed fundamentally in the second half of the 1980s. Martial Law played a significant role in this process. One could jokingly say that Polish Communist Party did a great favor to the capitalist world, successfully destroying a movement, which might have introduced a self-governing or even anarcho ‑syndicalist version of socialism. After the Martial Law “Solidarity” was a quite different movement, much less grass roots, with a stronger and more centralized leadership and a different ideological message. A powerful position in this new movement was acquired by liberal circles, previously having a weak impact on the mainstream of the opposition. They included liberals from the Krakow Industrial Society (with such members as Mirosław Dzielski, in that period an influential philosopher, admirer of Hayek and ultra-liberal capitalism, and Tadeusz Syryjczyk, industry minister in the crucial period of the transition, that is late 1989 and early 1990) and from Gdańsk, centered around the journal Przegląd Polityczny (Donald Tusk and Jan Krzysztof Bielecki came from this group). So the late 1980s brought a political and ideological configuration which was favorable for a neoliberal transition. Advocates of socialism not only were sidelined within the opposition but they also went missing among the party elite, which started taking over state property towards the A S P E N R E V I E W / C end of the decade and in the 1990s they became businessmen (this process was thoroughly investigated by Jadwiga Staniszkis). The biography of Leszek Balcerowicz looks interesting against this background. He joined the Party in 1969 (that is a year after the anti-Semitic purge in the Party, which forced such people as Zygmunt Bauman or Leszek Kołakowski to leave Poland). At the turn of the 1980s, Balcerowicz worked in the Institute for Problems of Marxism-Leninism and headed the board of economists advising the prime minister. In the 1980s, he travelled to the West, to such places as Sussex, Marburg or New York. It was there that he came in touch with neoliberalism, then the vanguard of the theory of turbo-capitalism. When in 1989 two American economists—David Lipton and Jeffrey Sachs— came to Poland with an IMF mission, Balcerowicz turned out to be an ideal candidate for selling their plan of a radical free-market economic transition to the Polish public. Labeling this plan with Balcerowicz’s name is a marketing success of the Polish economist but is does not reflect the true situation and does not give justice to the actual authors of the reforms program.3 In its general concept, it is difficult to discern anything original or attributable to Leszek Balcerowicz. Its solutions are in line with the Washington Consensus and are based mostly on the experiences of market reforms in Latin America (for example in Chile, Bolivia and Argentine). Towards a Neoliberal Universalism The reforms of the 1990s, introduced after the downfall of the Soviet Bloc, mark an important moment in the history of neoliberalism as a practice and as a set of ideas. They mean for neoliberalism what the revolution in Haiti meant for the French Revolution two centuries before—a repeat opening neoliberal orthodoxy to universalization. For the first time neoliberal reforms were implemented in European countries, peripheral but for more than a millennium living in a more or less the same social and cultural tradi- O V E R S T O R Y 27 tion as France, Germany or England. What is more, capitalism thus triumphed over its iconic rival— the Soviet Bloc. It was a spectacular success, for societies of the former Soviet Bloc were subjected to a shock therapy much more drastic than anything that Thatcher or Reagan had attempted to do in the West. This of course did not escape the attention of today’s Hegelians. Fukuyama’s End of History from early 1990s is an answer to these events. Roughly in the same period the French philosopher Alain Badiou published a short book called Of an Obscure Disaster: on the End of StateTruth, where he comments on the collapse of the Soviet Bloc in a much less enthusiastic way: (…) the fact that the Stalinist mode of politics was saturated and moribund—these are all excellent things [...]. But instead of opening the path to an eventuality from which the deployment of another mode of politics would proceed, another singular figure of emancipation [...], this collapse occurs under the aegis of the “democracy” of imperial owners. That the supreme political adviser of the situation is Bush; that the desire flaunted is that of inequality and ownership, that the measure of all things is the IMF, that “thought” is only the vain reassessment of the most basic and most convenient opinions. If this were really to be the course of things, what melancholy.4 further inside the door which neoliberalism opened in Central and Eastern Europe in the early 1990s: for the first time neoliberal advisors can so extensively format the economy and society of a country belonging to the group of the most developed countries in the world (Greece is a member of the OECD, the European Union and the eurozone). It is difficult to rejoice, knowing that the crisis we are mired in since 2008 to a large degree results from previous “successes” of neoliberal globalization. Twenty-five years have passed but the recipe of the IMF for Greece is the same as the recommendations for Poland then: privatization, liberalization and cuts in public expenditure. The whole process shows an interesting new pattern, which is worth noting in conclusion. For the most part of the second half of the 20th century discussions on social and economic development were dominated by various versions of the modernization theory, proclaiming that developed countries demonstrate to the developing ones what their future will be. This principle was behind the reasoning of Francis Fukuyama in his book I mentioned above, published 25 years ago. The recent history of neoliberalism and the trajectory of its universalization (from exotic Latin American peripheries through the less distant Central European peripheries to the peripheral areas of the European core in Greece) shows that the pattern is exactly opposite: we are living in an Today, in 2014, we can look at this “dark and melancholy disaster” in the context of the crisis in the south of Europe. Twenty-five years have passed but the recipe of the IMF for Greece is the same as the recommendations for Poland then: privatization, liberalization and cuts in public expenditure. After three years of such therapy the public debt to GDP ratio rose by more than a quarter, wages fell by almost 30%, unemployment is twice as big and privatized companies are bought out by foreign capitalists. The situation is very similar to what was happening in Poland in the early 1990s. Welcome to the club! But this is not the most alarming thing. The Greek case means pushing the neoliberal foot 28 A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y era of de-modernization and it is the crisis-stricken countries, which tried to develop but failed in that endeavor, that demonstrate to the developed ones what their future will be. The French, the Germans, the English and Americans wandering about the future course of their countries should study the recent history of Central and Eastern Europe and look at the current state of the region, where, paradoxically, quite good macroeconomic indices (low inflation, GDP growth, stable capital markets, good foreign trade balance, and so on) are coupled with a disastrous social situation (high inequalities, a bankrupt pensions system, demographic calamity, mass emigration, deficient public infrastructure, low quality of and limited access to the health service, low level of professional activity, unstable working conditions and so on). It would be difficult to imagine a more ironic turn of events: a region for centuries lagging behind global history, always catching up and imitating, a region haunted with unfulfilled ambitions, a sense of backwardness, unoriginality and peripheral character, all of a sudden becomes a vanguard of social and economic changes. I do not think it is that kind of success that the neoliberals had in mind but well, as the familiar saying warns, be careful what you wish for, it might just come true. J A N S OWA sociologist, essayist, associate professor at the Institute of Culture at the Jagiellonian University, member of the world anti-globalist movement Photo: Iwona Bojadżijewa 1 Here and below I put “communism” in inverted commas or precede it with a qualifier, as I do not believe that the system which prevailed in Central and Eastern Europe for the most part of the 20th century had anything to do with the communism which can be imagined after reading the works of Marx. There is no room here to develop this argument and I can only refer the readers interested in this issue to the chapter on Polish People’s Republic in my book Ciesz się, późny wnuku! Kolonializm, globalizacja i demokracja radykalna [Rejoice, late grandchild! Colonialism, globalisation and radical democracy], Kraków 2007 (the book is available in PDF format online: http://otworzksiazke.pl/ksiazka/ciesz_sie_pozny_wnuku/). 2 More on that see Majmurek, J., Mikurda, K., Sowa, J., Un événement dans la glacière : le Carnaval de Solidarnosc (1980–81) comme jaillissement de l’imagination politique, [w:] Badiou, A., Žižek, S. (ed.), L’Idée du communisme, 2 , Paris, 2011, 3 See Jeffrey Sachs, David Lipton, “Skok w gospodarkę rynkową” [A leap into market economy], Gazeta Bankowa no 36 (4 September 1989). The dates are worth noting. Sachs’s and Lipton’s text was published in early September and contained claims presented to the American Senate’s Economic Committee in the summer of 1989. Balcerowicz announced “his” plan in early October. 4 A. Badiou, Of an Obscure Disaster: on the End of State-Truth, Maastricht 2009, p. 6. A S P E N R E V I E W / C O V E R S T O R Y 29 LEONIDAS DONSKIS From Politics of Fearlessness to Politics of Fear Twenty-five years passed from the collapse of communism in Europe. Much time has elapsed and much has changed in Europe beyond recognition. Therefore, it is quite legitimate to ask: Where are we now? And what is to be done? L et me start by saying that one of the paradoxes of political change is that the less power you have, the more committed in the moral and political sense you can be. Eastern European dissidents have never exploited hatred and fear, those two precious commodities of modern politics. Instead, they have stressed responsibility for humanity and commitment to human rights. Self-victimization, deliberate and joyful powerlessness, willful disengagement, celebration of one’s own victimhood, and comparative martyrology with its question as to who is suffering the most—as if to say that somebody is more equal than others in his or her suffering— were still to come. Twenty-five years after the fall of Communism, we are tempted to exploit our victimhood as an aspect of foreign policy: Once we do not have power, then powerlessness and suffering becomes the passport to the Heaven of Global Attention. Sometimes we even go so far as to explain away our political failures and low points of recent history as something that inevitably comes from our powerlessness or infinite manipulations around us. Although it appears as quite 30 A S P E N LEONIDAS DONSKIS is a Member of the European Parliament (2009–2014). He has written and edited over thirty books, fifteen of them in English. Among other books, he is co-author (together with Zygmunt Bauman) of Moral Blindness: The Loss of Sensitivity in Liquid Modernity (2013). Photo: Jolanta Donskien̈e a trendy maneuver of power games nowadays, which allows us to get more moral legitimacy through the mechanism of more attention for more suffering and powerlessness, things were very different in those days when Communism was defeated. By and large, this is an awkward tendency in present Eastern and Central Europe, since it springs from a global tendency to seek attention at any cost in exchange for popularity, publicity, and power. Heart-breaking stories, abolition of privacy, and self-exposure have become the means to achieve prestige and power for those who possess the high art of translation of the private into the public making their private R E V I E W / C O M M E N T and intimate stories a public property or even breaking news—the art in great demand now. Normally, this is a function of celebrities, although intellectuals and politicians cannot survive otherwise than becoming celebrities or victims, as Zygmunt Bauman wittily noticed. Whatever the case, things were standing not in this way twenty-five years ago. Our part of Europe became famous for its fearlessness and engagement, rather than fear and disengagement. The Solidarity movement in Poland, the very climax of Eastern and Central European courage and sporadic powers of association, was anticipated by the Helsinki groups in the former USSR, the Memorial group dissidents in Russia, and other units of dissenting minds and naysayers. In those days, almost nobody spoke about suffering and victimhood, as people were concerned with how to win back their sense of self-worth, dignity, and self-confidence. Needless to say, we are talking here about rather small groups of fearless individuals; yet it was they who made it possible to smash Communism from the face of Europe by translating their individual courage into popular fervor, and also into a strong belief in the right cause. Courage, instead of fear and hatred, was behind the miracle of Eastern and Central Europe’s liberty, both in the Annus Mirabilis of 1989, and in the years of dissent that preceded and anticipated liberation and emancipation of Yet Another Europe, as it was called by Czesław Miłosz and Milan Kundera. This especially goes in sharp contrast with hatred and fear that were thoroughly exploited by the Soviet regime and its satellites as a means of political mobilization and social control of the masses. Contempt for fear is deeply grounded in Eastern and Central European thought and politics of dissent and freedom. If we are to grant George Orwell the title of Honorary Eastern E uropean, which the Russian poetess and dissident Natalya Gorbanevskaya strongly suggested we should do, his 1984 also exposes A S P E N R E V I E W / C this characteristically Eastern European moral concern. The main character of 1984, Winston Smith, and his lover Julia despise fear, which they try hard to confront and wipe out from themselves. Courage, instead of fear and hatred, was behind the miracle of Eastern and Central Europe’s liberty, both in the Annus Mirabilis of 1989, and in the years of dissent that preceded and anticipated liberation and emancipation of Yet Another Europe, as it was called by Czesław Miłosz and Milan Kundera. Before George Orwell’s dystopia written in 1948, the Russian writer Mikhail Bulgakov, in his novel The Master and Margarita (written in 1928–1941, and published, severely censored, in 1966–1967), depicted fear as the source of evil. According to him, fear is the reason of betrayal of a friend, our disloyalty to and rejection of a mentor, our amoral failure to take the responsibility for human individual’s life, even if she or he has established an eye contact with us and captivated our attention and imagination. Fear is what Pontius Pilate despises in himself the most after he washes his hands and allows Joshua (the name of Jesus Christ in Bulgakov’s masterpiece deeply influenced by Manichaeism and Joseph Ernest Renan’s version of the history of Christianity) to be crucified. O M M E N T 31 Eastern Europe fulfilled the silent promises and moral obligations of its towering thinkers and eminent writers by overcoming hatred and fear. In 1989, Communism fell in Eastern Europe as a consequence of courage, resolve, fearlessness, and solidarity. To reiterate a subtle point made by Michael Ignatieff, the human rights discourse was the outcome of Eastern courage and Western organization. How ironic that some politicians and public figures in present Eastern Europe tend to describe human rights solely as a West European invention with which they supposedly control us imposing on us their “alien” values of secularism and respect for minorities. This is especially the case when it comes to defend ludicrous legislation on what is called “traditional values” or “genuine family” or other pearls of homophobic and anti-European wisdom. What happened to us? Milan Kundera wrote in his essay “The Tragedy of Central Europe” that all Central European revolts and revolutions were essentially romantic, nostalgic, and, in effect, conservative and anachronistic. Out of our idealization of Europe, especially its early modernity, we firmly identified freedom and democracy with Europe shaping our emancipation policies as a return to Europe. We thought with good reason that the Soviet version of modernity was the most brutal one, and, therefore, we sought to replace it with Europe—yet a drama was that that kind of Europe we envisaged and identified ourselves with did not exist at the time of our upheavals. It did not become any better or worse; it simply became something radically different from what we imagined and thought it would and should be. Our singing revolutions were about how to arrest social change. Yet we ourselves became hostages of rapid social and political change transforming our part of Europe into a laboratory of historically unprecedented acceleration of life with its uncertainties and insecurities. For example, over the past twenty five years, more than half a million people left Lithuania settling in the USA, the UK, Ireland, Spain, Germany, or 32 A S P E N elsewhere. This is hardly a specific Lithuanian phenomenon as Poland and Slovakia are facing similar challenges. Striking social contrasts and endemic corruption frequently led Eastern European countries to disenchantment even with was their most impressive achievements, including their accession to the EU. And here comes a pivotal point. Populism came to our countries firmly establishing itself as a major political trajectory. What is populism then? Is it a genuine concern with well-being of the nation expressed in an exaggerated form of patriotism? In fact, it is not, since the real substance of this phenomenon lies elsewhere. Populism is a skilled and masterful translation of the private into the public with an additional ability to exploit fear to the full. Fear and hatred are twin sisters, as we know quite well. One never walks alone without the other. Yet this time it is not organized hatred, which was something out of Orwell’s Two Minute Hate, or the séance of collective hysteria and group orgy of hatred, orchestrated by the Party and practiced in the Soviet Union and other People’s Democracies. Instead, it is the real fear of a private person elevated to the rank of public concern or sometimes translated even into mass obsession. The question arises as to fear of what? The answer is quite simple: It is fear of someone who comes as personification of our own insecurities and uncertainties, who get their first and last names of facial features due to excessive sensationalist media coverage, tabloid editorials, and conspiracy theories. Fear of Islam and Muslims, fear of immigrants, fear of gays and lesbians, fear of godless pinkos, fear of new Jewish world conspiracies. You name it. We became the same kind of Europe that we thought would never accept us as part of it. We adopted all their phobias and stereotypes that earlier worked against us. Or the world has become a Global Single Eastern and Central Europe. If that is the case, the change could be irreversible. R E V I E W / C O M M E N T Cultural Isolationism Has Prevailed In the past, the world was afraid of Russia and today the Russians are afraid of the world. In 1989 13% of the society said “yes” to the question if Russia had enemies. Today 78% of Russians believe so. This is an incredible change—says Lev Gudkov in conversation with Filip Memches. Does the Soviet past have any meaning for Russians 23 years after the collapse of the USSR, does it define their identity? There is a strong nostalgia for this era. The Brezhnev period is often perceived as the most prosperous time in our 20th-century history. But most Russians also believe that there is no return there. For the USSR does not exist anymore, which means that Soviet Russia also does not exist. Does this nostalgia breed social divisions? Of course. There are two factors defining the divisions: the first is generational, the second is connected with where you live and hence to which social group you belong. Market-based infrastructures have emerged in big cities. A new class has appeared… LEV GUDKOV sociologist, director of the Yuri Levada Analytical Centre, author of many books and articles on sociology of literature, ethnic relations and problems of political and economic transition in the post-Soviet society and other matters Photo: Archive Lev Gudkov The middle class? The description “urban class” is more adequate. It is to a lesser degree dependent on government and to a greater degree oriented towards European values, democracy, political reforms. In contrast to that, the countryside and smalltown Russia preserved relics of uncompetitive 34 A S P E N R Soviet economy, such as the military‑industrial complex. In such places there is a demand for state paternalism, economic planning, social security. Among older or less educated people there is a pronounced desire for social privileges E V I E W / I N T E R V I E W from the Soviet era. Such people believe that market reforms destroy the foundations of their existence. And for that reason they are susceptible to conservative, anti-Western sentiments and form the social basis of the authoritarian regime—Putinism. executing power provided by great leaders. The very greatness of such a ruler absolves the governing elite from responsibility for the crimes they commit. We are rather dealing with using the past as an argument against the present, mainly against social contrasts. In this sense people have forgotten the Soviet epoch, characterized by shortages of goods, lack of prospects, a sense of stagnation. That would mean that the majority of Russian population is like that, for inhabitants of big cities are in a minority... This is the dramatic reason for the absence of democratic and modernizing changes in Russia. Does the post-Soviet nostalgia encompass only the Brezhnev period or does it extend to earlier decades? The situation is of course quite complex. The Brezhnev period was different from the Stalinist period. Repressions were not on such a massive scale. They generally assumed the form of pre-emptive measures targeted at specific groups, such as dissidents, nationalists, some religious communities. But the basic material needs were satisfied, which was an effect of a kind of Gleichschaltung. But it does not mean a genuine nostalgia for the Brezhnev past. We are rather dealing with using the past as an argument against the present, mainly against social contrasts. In this sense people have forgotten the Soviet epoch, characterized by shortages of goods, lack of prospects, a sense of stagnation. And now an idealized picture of this era serves the inhabitants of conservative peripheries as a source of accusations against the current regime. As for the Stalinist period, in the late 1980s and early 1990s it was subjected to a sharp although superficial criticism, which did not touch upon the essence of the totalitarian Soviet system. The whole problem was reduced to mass murders. In fact Stalin ceased to be a significant figure for Russians. But with Vladimir Putin becoming president in 2000 and starting to build an authoritarian system, the dictator gained in importance. For authoritarian regimes need models of A S P E N R E V I E W / I So against the official position of the Russian state a vindication of Stalin took place? It could be noticed in the media, especially in television. First of all, an image of Stalin as the victor in the Great Patriotic War was created. This is why two contradictory pictures of this politician appeared in the social awareness. On the one hand, 65–68% of the population believes that Stalin is responsible for mass repressions, which they find completely unjustifiable. On the other hand, a similar number of people perceive this dictator as a great leader, without whom the Soviet Union would not have won the war. And such contradictions in the social awareness cannot be successfully resolved. For there are no authorities and bodies which could adequately interpret the Stalinist period. As a result, there is no moral reflection on the Soviet past. It is telling that during the twelve years of historical policy promoted by the Kremlin there has been an N T E R V I E W 35 increase in the number of people who are simply not interested in such issues and choose forgetting—this percentage rose to almost 50%. And for me this is the fundamental problem—I call it the lack of moral independence of Russian society. the Caucasus, the neighboring countries, the USA, and there are expressions of xenophobia, both inward and outward-looking. In 1989, 13% of the society said “yes” to the question whether Russia had enemies, and the majority—47%—held the opposite opinion, so the sources of our problems should be sought in ourselves, in Russians, in our past, in our lifestyle. Today, 78% of the population believe that Russia has enemies. And this leap took place mostly in the period after Putin first became president. So the Soviet superpower status is being separated from communist ideology, Putin’s regime tries to associate it with right-wing, conservative values... In this case, Western political categories may be of no use, for in the 1990s liberal reformers such as Yegor Gaidar regarded themselves as right-wingers. To be more precise, today the government is promoting a kind of Orthodox ‑nationalist fundamentalism. It is a completely artificial neo-traditionalism, invoking something, which has never existed. We are dealing with an imitation of the glorious past but only the style or form of this past is important rather than its essence or content. Russian nationalism, in contrast to Central European nationalism, has a defensive and compensatory character. It is suffused with the trauma of the Soviet Union’s collapse. But is there no conflict between the imperial discourse and nationalism? You can often hear that there is no room for nationalism in Russia, as it used to be an empire, that is a multinational polity. The imperial identity is slowly ceasing to be relevant. And Russian nationalism, in contrast to Central European nationalism, has a defensive and compensatory character. It is suffused with the trauma of the Soviet Union’s collapse. It is accompanied by frustration and a collective inferiority complex. This favors shaping identity on the basis of defining and pinpointing an enemy rather than invoking, also in historical terms, a positive image of ourselves. The sense of national pride is supposed to compensate for poverty and the chronic feeling of humiliation provoked by illegal actions of the government. The following notion was present in the Soviet mass consciousness: we are poor but respected and feared in the world. And now Russia is not a great power, so there is a resentment against immigrants, especially from 36 A S P E N R Is this hostility spread only by the regime? Such politicians from the anti-systemic opposition as Alexei Navalny or Eduard Limonov also do not shrink from nationalist rhetoric and use anti-immigrant slogans... This is true, the problem also regards the opposition. But xenophobic feelings are incited by the regime, which provokes the opposition to use them for its own purposes. The government scares the public with immigrants, whom it accuses of taking jobs away from native Russians. And the public is alarmed with such messages. At the same time the government understands that without immigrants, Russian economy could not function. Because for various reasons—including demographic ones—there is a shortage of labor in Russia. So we are seeing an ambiguity in the government’s behavior. And in the sphere of ideology nationalism itself is the E V I E W / I N T E R V I E W only theme in Russian politics. Of course, we have various nationalist tendencies, from the liberal current, opting for the creation of a nation state and civil society based on the Western model, through Russian communism to Russian Nazism or Orthodox fundamentalism, which is almost Medieval in its nature. This broad spectrum of conservative, dark concepts will affect social awareness in the coming years. consider themselves Europeans. On the other hand it does not mean that a growing number of people consider themselves “Eurasians.” There is a common belief that Russia has its own, separate—but only vaguely defined—development path. We are dealing here with a kind of cultural isolationism. On the one hand, the Russian political elite scares the people with the West and on the other hand it enters into various forms of cooperation with the same West... In Russian foreign policy pragmatism trumps over other considerations. Putin’s bureaucracy is aware that its current strong domestic position is not guaranteed to last forever. So to maintain it, the regime requires legitimization from the West. And this calls for a certain caution and restraining from brandishing conspiracy theories. Is there a tension within the ruling elite between perceiving Russia as a European country and perceiving it as a separate civilization? One of the key projects of Putin’s third presidential term is to create a Eurasian union, a form of reintegrating Soviet space. It harks back to the concept of Eurasianism, where Russia appears as a “Eurasian civilization” different from the West. If we look at the public opinion, we will observe that all these discussions on Eurasianism and friendship of nations do not fall on fertile ground. These are conservative projects of the highest echelons of power—they are an unproductive response of Putin’s regime to the problem of not being approved by the West. Hence the reorientation towards China and other Asian countries. But all these tendencies have a slightly phantom nature. They do not influence the collective awareness. The majority of Russians want to live a normal and quiet life, they do not want to make sacrifices for the sake of restoring the empire. This breeds divisions between the society, forced to listen to swaggering pronouncements by politicians, and the feelings within the regime. FILIP MEMCHES is a columnist of the Rzeczpospolita daily Photo: Archive Filip Memches Does the society identify itself with Europe? It did in the period of Perestroika and the early years of Yeltsin’s presidency. Russians believed then that the history of their country had come to a dead end and they felt the need to integrate with Europe. However, the hardships of economic transition and falling standards of living caused a reaction. Today less and less Russians A S P E N R E V I E W / I N T E R V I E W 37 PETR PITHART “Potato Soup” or “Kaleidoscope”? Occupy or Monitor? I n the wake of last October‘s early parliamentary election, few things are clear and definite in the Czech Republic. One thing that is clear though is that the Left has not won a victory that would enable two parties (Social Democrats and Communists) to form a majority government. This was to be expected. The other thing that is clear is that the two‑ -decade long domination by two large parties (a left-wing and a right-wing one) is over. This is because the Czech Social Democratic Party’s victory was far from a landslide. The election triggered an immediate leadership struggle within the party. It is now trying to put together a coalition government. ANO, the runner-up, is not a party but a movement. Its leader, the businessman Andrej Babiš, would like to run the country as a business. Nobody, least of all the leader himself—a food processing and chemical industry magnate with ties to StB (Státní bezpečnost—State Security, the communist secret service)—knows what his constituents want except that they are fed up with absolutely everything: political parties, the parliament, the electoral system… The third party that might join the coalition is the almost century-old Christian Democratic party, KDU-ČSL. Following the 2010 election, which cost them all their seats in the parliament for the first time in history, the party has changed its leadership, rejuvenated itself, started to pay off its debts and may now be the only healthy and normal party in the country. 38 A S P E N PETR PITHART Petr Pithart, Czech politician, political scientist and essayist, signatory of Charter 77. Prime Minister of the Czech Republic between 1990 and 1992. Member of the Senate of the Czech Republic in years 1996–2012, being chairman thereof in periods of 1996–1998 and 2000–2004. Photo: Archive Petr Pithart The Right suffered a heavy defeat. Václav Klaus’s former party, the ODS, seems to be on the brink of extinction while Karel S chwarzenberg’s urban right-wing but non-nationalist and pro‑European party TOP 09 is licking its wounds but will most likely survive. From the eastern part of the country comes the light of salvation—Tomio Okamura’s Dawn of Direct Democracy—a party of one man and one idée fixe: a general referendum on anything and anytime, to dismiss anyone at once. It is a party of cheerfully chaotic minds. R E V I E W / C O M M E N T The respectable Greens did not pass the five per cent hurdle and the rather unpleasant anti-European and nationalist Hlavu vzhůru (Head Up) proved a complete flop. The worrying thing is that over a third of the voters supported populist or non-mainstream parties. On the other hand, it is quite reassuring that both „presidential“ parties—Václav Klaus’s Head Up and Miloš Zeman’s Party of the Citizen’s Rights—have bombed completely. In a country that has a long tradition of revering presidents as a royalty, they mustered fewer votes between them than the marginal Pirates party did! To complete the picture, Czech Communist Party—the only party in the post-communist world that has not dropped the word “communist” from its title—has maintained a steady 15 per cent for nearly quarter of a century. In this period, no other party was prepared to form a coalition with them, certainly not at the national level. neither has it been defined in terms of interests (since we have traditionally lacked an upper class). For a long time the country has had a flat social structure and the entire political scene has gradually shifted to the left. Right from the start of political life in this part of the world, dating back to the 1860s, political parties have been primarily defined by opposition to the local Germans and Vienna. Politics was not so much about ideas, values and interests as an arm-wrestling exercise, a competition to be the first to open a school in a town in the border region. Between the two world wars maintaining a Czech majority in parliament at all costs was a priority. Any change in the upper echelons of power was regarded a “luxury” we could ill afford as the opposition challenged the very existence of the state. Political parties were reduced to playing the trade unionist role and defending the interests of various professional groups. During the Munich conference parliament was not even convened. Czechoslovakia’s representatives in exile—in London, and especially in Moscow—agreed under the influence of President Edvard Beneš that only four parties would exist thenceforth: the ones that had agreed to recognize one another. Due to this “closed pluralism,” subsequently blessed by the nation (i.e. the “National Front’’), by May 1945 C zechoslovakia was well on the way to the communist takeover of February 1948. In November 1989 the celebrated Civic Forum triumphed with its apolitical slogan, Parties are for politicians, Civic Forum is for everyone!, which back then appealed not only to Havel but also to Klaus. But soon afterwards, after the Civic Forum split up, it was Klaus’s grouping, which was well organized along party lines, that went on to win a resounding victory. Václav Havel’s defeated supporters were mockingly dubbed “truth lovers” (a term based on Havel’s casual declaration, from a balcony in the heady days of the Velvet Revolution, that Truth and love will prevail over hatreds and lies…). However, Klaus’s *** Is there some logic or a tendency to be divined from all this? The question on everyone’s lips is whether what we have here is a kind of local “potato soup,” the result of some traditional Czech malaise, or something springing from a general confusion shared by all globalization processes, which are said to have distorted the classical leftright (lib-lab) axis all over the world, replacing it with an intangible, unpredictable “kaleidoscope.” So either we are still haunted by the nationalist 19th century or we have become a plaything in a post-modern game. If the latter is the case, there is not much to discuss. It would mean that the bizarre patterns of non-political flowers that have bloomed in this election—ANO and Dawn—are just the random outcomes of the broken axis. I believe, though, that it is more likely that what we are seeing are the ramifications of a prolonged illness. The population of this country has never clearly defined itself in terms of ideology or values (conservative vs. liberal) but A S P E N R E V I E W / C O M M E N T 39 dogmatic neo-liberalism led the country into an economic slump that continues to this day. Nowadays both the honorable though impractical supporters of Havel and the overly practical supporters of Klaus have become spectators rather than actors. It is tempting to say that it serves them right. Meanwhile the only major party that has kept its own house in order are the communists! So is this potato soup or a kaleidoscope? of the totalitarian regime. Since November 1989 it has not managed to recover. There have been several waves of heated protest movements, mainly involving students, intellectuals and dissidents, but they were all short-lived and ended in exhaustion and general disillusionment. Having said that, only just over a third of Dahrendorf’s sixty years have passed so far. It is too soon to despair: civil society may not have grown in terms of quantity but the quality of its leadership has definitely begun to change. Several initiatives, organized as civic associations or foundations and focusing on targeted monitoring and factual critique of (party) political life in this country, have been operational for quite some time now. They have come up with very specific suggestions, often with solid legislative underpinning. An example is Rekonstrukce státu (State Reconstruction), a platform uniting some twenty initiatives, including Veřejnost proti korupci (The Public Against Corruption) Vraťte nám stat (We Want Our Country Back), Oživení (Revival), Ekologický právní servis (Environmental Legal Service), Inventura demokracie (Democracy Stocktaking), and others. The coalition that is being formed at the time of writing of this article has been ticking off individual points of the coalition agreement based on nine appeals. These are anti-corruption draft bills tabled by the “largest lobby in the country,” as State Reconstruction calls itself—which propose very specific changes in legislation. The majority of newly elected members of parliament have signed a pledge to support these changes. A list of MPs who do not support the appeal is available on the State Reconstruction website, through the page featuring its campaign “Blah blah I’m not voting.” This is something entirely new. It turns out that political life, political parties and parliament are influenced not so much by constituents or by organizations that resemble the thrilling and spectacular yet short-lived movements such as Occupy or Indignez vous but by *** In the early 1990s, Ralf Dahrendorf estimated that under favorable conditions the former communist countries could change their political system within six months; economic transition could bear fruit within six years; but the most vital thing, civil society, would take sixty years to mature. However, it is only the thick, entangled and thus indestructible fabric of civil society that provides a fertile ground for healthy and relatively stable political parties based on value preferences and interests, without systemic corruption, cronyism, election fraud and the dominance of party machines. Even back in the 19th century Czech civil society was not really up to doing its real job, i.e. being a counterweight to government. Instead, like the political parties, it focused mainly on opposing the local German civil society. For decades both party politics (i.e. parties competing for power) as well as its prerequisite (civil society that is independent of government) were reduced to nationalist squabbling. As we have seen, the “potato soup” in Czechoslovak society evolved in a distorted way—both in terms of party politics and non-political public affairs—galvanized as it was by nationalist and, later, ideological notions. The period from 1925 to 1929 was the only time between the wars when both German parties and Slovaks were part of the government. In the late 1940s and throughout the 1950s what was left of civil society fell under the control 40 A S P E N R E V I E W / C O M M E N T professional international organizations like Transparency International, Greenpeace, Amnesty International or, in the Czech Republic, NGOs such as State Reconstruction or We Want Our Country Back. What is needed now are well trained, committed younger people with stamina, some of whom have jobs elsewhere while others are working for non-governmental organizations. They do not expect immediate results. They realize they are in for the long haul and that the prerequisite of success is a roof over their head and funding for basics and activities. Instead of starting or sponsoring political parties or movements, people who are concerned about the present state of politics in the Czech Republic should extend every possible support, including financial, to this “new generation” of civil society. They should support those who are likely never to join political parties yet understand A S P E N R E V I E W / C how parties work and are capable of setting them realistic tasks, monitoring their work and attracting the attention of parties as well as the media. They should support those who—instead of showing their commitment by living for weeks in tents in city squares and parks—will persistently and expertly step on legislators’ toes. This politically committed part of civil society could gradually bring about change in present-day politics, which still does not know whether it is a regional potato soup or a random pattern in a cylinder filled with beads. They are likely to have more impact than pseudo-parties that take ad hoc action based on opinion polls, or their disoriented voters. The impact could be amplified if their activities crossed country divides. Quite a few bright younger people now seem to have what it takes. All they need is some help. Including donations to their bank accounts. O M M E N T 41 Europe—the Forgotten Little Thing in the New Coalition Agreement? Ulrike Guérot Germany cannot afford a continuation of the past four-year’s policies. In the current state of the European Union, Berlin has to take responsibility. One of the most ardently discussed things of the coalition agreement was the question whether or not “strangers” should pay for the use of German highways. The “Maut” question—how to install a system, which would make “strangers” pay, but would be cost-neutral for Germans (and whether administering such a system would be more expensive than the fees collected through a “Highway-Maut”) was one of the most effective blackmailing issues the CSU, the Bavarian sister party of the CDU/Conservatives, brought into the coalition agreement and conditioned its signature. The German provincialism expressed in this topic could barely be worse. It could be an anecdote—and it surely is— and yet: it comes with a peculiar aftertaste, especially for international observers of the new German coalition. It not only fills news headlines and shapes the understanding of how Germany functions these days: very self-centered, satisfied, noble-gazing, and provincial. Germany is fine. Conflicts in Germany these days emerge around trade unions demanding extra work and Schichten in the car industry around the Christmas holidays A S P E N R E V I E W / P because books are bursting with orders: it feels like the 60s, “Wirtschaftswunder”-days! Little attention is given to the tense political situation in France, concerns over the democracy gap in Hungary and the rise of populism in the Netherlands, as well as dreadful economic situation in Greece, Spain or in Ireland, where millions are left with direct and indirect consequences of the crisis. Germany focuses on itself; it has lost sight of Europe, it seems. The key policy the soon-to-be government is facing is the Länderfinanzausgleich (federal fiscal equalization mechanism). This policy, in place since 1950, has undergone a first round of substantial revision in the early 2000’s and is in urgent need for further adjustment. This is going to be tough: Actually, only three of the Bundes länder, Hessen, Bayern and Baden-Württemberg (all more or less in the Southern part of Germany) are net contributors to the system, all others are net receivers. Hessen and Bayern have already placed a plaint at the Constitutional Court in Karlsruhe complaining about the structural imbalance and harm to their Land through durable and O L I T I C S 43 systemic spending for other German regions. They question the entire system—nothing unusual around elections. But this time the criticism is more profound than in any other period of post-war Germany. When observing Germany over the next months and years, two things will need to be understood. First, the political (voting) constellation of the Bundesrat: here, the second chamber is pivotal in the forthcoming years. Second, there are multiple Germanys: The wealthy, sparkling exporting Germany (the one international observers focus on when reading economic statistics of Germany only) is the one of the South, but only of the South. The Eastern part is still poor (and by the way increasingly depopulated), despite the Billions of financial aid after the fall of the Berlin Wall. Then there is the former wealthy West of Germany, e.g. North Rhine-Westphalia, now painfully lacking the money spent in the German East: the lamenting status of public infrastructure is the big issue there, with bridges and highways in desperate need for maintenance, and schools, libraries and other public services threatened to close. In addition, most German towns and local public entities are highly indebted, partially because their public finance system had to face huge credit losses or through high liabilities for public services. The rosy debt to GDP ratio of Germany is for the federal Bund only. This is what citizens care for and this is what drives the political discourse. How to sell money for Greece or more money for Europe in such circumstances? “Transferunion” is the word that needs to be avoided at all costs. And so, the coalition agreement did. This explains why European policy makers may be—in vain again—waiting for a German decisiveness with respect to European integration or a clear orientation, including the most ardent topic: a banking union. This European attentisme is obviously not new. One could already observe it during Merkel’s overly cautious decision-making throughout the past three years and its conti 44 A S P E N nuance during the German election campaign and in the coalition talks. And it does not imply that nothing is happening at all either. Nevertheless, the wait for German clarity on what will follow now is not over yet. The wider implications of Germany’s inner struggles are visible on the European level: both parties, CDU and SPD, have long been working on a joint understanding of what it is that they have so delicately headlined “Germany’s political responsibility for Europe.” Paragraphs have been written and pages filled: misunderstandings, differences, and banalities were found—but there is no trace of much innovative, progressive understanding of Europe’s future and the role of its biggest member country. But of course, to give the new coalition some credit at least, Germany is not the only country being hesitant on European politics and on doing what is needed. In some countries, e.g. France, the political situation looks even worse. Hence, with a stable CDU-SPD majority and a consequently rather weak group of euro ‑skeptics, many expected Germany’s European policies would dare to take bold steps, but reading the agreement, this could be put into question. While Germany’s partners hoped the wait would be worthwhile and Berlin would finally change gear towards motivated determination, a first draft on European policy and banking union presented on the 22nd of November proved disappointingly superficial, amounting to a simple continuation of the past years. If the current crisis is a symptom of institutional shortcomings, continuing with what has brought Europe into trouble and revealed the institutional flaws of monetary union, might not be enough. Hence, the coalition agreement is precisely about this: more of the same. Problem solving should not be about lip-service and generalities, but about concrete measures and actions. The disconnectedness between what should be done, e.g. with respect to deeper fiscal integration and it’s political feasibility jumps into the eyes, and is much less than especially the R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S SPD has been asking for in its election program: While the economic union and single currency is in place, the political mechanisms to manage them are still not. This crisis has exemplified that a stable single currency must be accompanied by a joint backstop and joint fiscal policies. The final paper offered by the new coalition proved better than the first draft, but is still incomplete. It is worth noting though that the “community method” is said to be placed again in the centre of European integration policy.1 And some forward looking, concrete proposals, can, indeed, be found, i.e. a single voting scheme for the EP in all EU member states. Yet, many parts of some 10 pages in total on Europe policy remain vague, pick up the usual rhetoric about subsidiarity and remember the language from the past years of the crisis management, which is the usual commitment to promote growth, competitiveness and innovation, and the strive for sound public finances and fight against youth unemployment. Hence, with respect to common instruments, there is still a looming lack of precision: None of the former projects which especially the SPD— more or less openly—advocated for, i.e. creation of an EU finance ministry, a redemption fund or a full banking union, are mentioned in a really clear and convincing wording, quite the opposite: common liability is excluded2, the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM) is not even mentioned. Other pressing issues such as what position Germany envisions to take on how ailing banks can be stabilized through the ESM3, whether and how to implement the financial transaction tax, or how youth unemployment in the EU can be decreased, are addressed in an equally vague manner. Additionally, it seems that the current draft entirely disregards the EU’s 2020 growth strategy and the Commission’s advice. The wording and semantics is again much more about the self-responsibility of each member states for its reform agenda, than about joint instruments, joint actions and appropriate E uropean tools. With this, Europe is, with respect to schlock absorption, heading at best for individual raincoats rather than for a strong and common umbrella and transnational fiscal solidarity lays way down the road. Germany cannot afford a continuation of the past four-year’s policies. Time is pressing for more decisive action. While hesitation may have felt safe at first, it is by now clear that it was too often shortsighted and hence damaging long-term prospects. In the current state of the E uropean Union, where markets are poorly managed because of political under-integration, Germany has to take responsibility. The upcoming weeks will challenge the reluctant European hegemon in two ways: First, Germany will have to overcome its inner struggle and form a viable government. Second, Germany not only has to find its place within Europe, but it also must take an active role in re-designing it. In short: Germany has to understand its political responsibilities as the biggest and economically strongest member state of the European Union. The re-design with a goal of sound, democratically and socially balanced eurozone governance starts in Berlin—or does not start at all! ULRIKE GUÉROT is a Senior Associate for Germany at the Open Society Initiative for Europe Photo: Private Ulrike Guérot 1 Coalition agreement, p. 156 2 see page 159: „Nationale Budgetverantwortung und supranationale, gemeinsame Haftung sind unvereinbar“ 3 With the deployment of ESM money being conditioned by a vote of the Bundestag A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S 45 Hungary and the EU Jan-Werner Müller Has the EU prevented the worst—or made Viktor Orbán more powerful—or both? The challenge for democracyprotection by Brussels revisited. in 2000 we were witnessing “sanctions against Austria”—as opposed to bilateral measures designed to express concerns about the ÖVP-FPÖ coalition). The balance sheet here is not as bad as some skeptics’ concerns about the EU’s capacity to protect liberal democracy would lead one to believe—though it needs to be added that we have of course no real counterfactual and that only future diplomatic historians might be able to reconstruct the exact interactions between Brussels and Budapest—and what changed because of the EU and what might have changed for reasons that had nothing to do with “Europe.” However, the other challenge is how to devise, for the long term, a new set of institutions or “mechanisms” to respond to deteriorations of democracy and the rule of law in a Member State. The latter challenge has yet to be addressed seriously. So, on the first point, the EU’s actual record: both the European Commission and, in particular, the European Parliament have kept up more pressure than might have been expected; and the European Court of Human Rights as well as the Venice Commission have also clearly tried to show the limits of what the Orbán government can get away with. All have done so, I would argue, without giving the impression that rules are simply made up as they go along to make life difficult for self-declared Hungarian “national revolutionaries.” It has been more than three years since russels and Budapest first clashed over the B “national revolution” undertaken by Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party. The latter had won around 53 percent of the vote in the April 2010 election, which, due to the peculiarities of the electoral system, translated into a two-thirds majority in parliament. Orbán used this majority—interpreted as a “revolution in the voting booths”— for far-reaching changes in politics (a new constitution in particular), the economy, and, not least, culture. Critics from the very beginning charged that Orbán was creating a “Fidesz-state,” staffed by party loyalists, and a nationalist “Fidesz-constitution,” which entrenched many of Orbán’s policy preferences. Even if a party other than Fidesz won an election, Fidesz, or so critics worried, would not really lose power. Some of these critics happened to be sitting in the European Commission. It is time to take stock of how well the EU has been doing in reigning in Orbán’s illiberal ambitions. It is crucial to distinguish two challenges: one is the question how the European Union should or should not have responded to the actions of the current Hungarian government (I insist on the importance of choosing words carefully here: the problem is not “Hungary,” but a particular set of politicians and their disregard for the rule of law. Remember how Wolfgang Schüssel and others managed to convince practically everyone that 46 A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S The reasons for this relative success are somewhat contingent, however—and of course, we do not at this point know the overall conclusion to the story. In particular, the Commission has been so comprehensively sidelined in the Eurocrisis that it has had every reason to re-assert itself as the proper guardian of the treaties. Moreover, a lot—too much—has depended on the interests and initiatives of individual Commissioners, in particular Viviane Reding, who, some observers suspect, has also been trying to position herself as a plausible Commission President in the future. Along with Neelie Kroes and Martin Schulz she made herself extremely unpopular with Hungarian nationalists, facing accusations of being Europe’s “bulldog” in the conservative press and worse insults by individuals who claimed she was helping the opposition. If nothing else, though, she created a sense that Europe was watching and was increasingly trigger-happy with infringement proceedings—and this, in itself, might partly explain why Fidesz retreated at least somewhat on the media and the election law. Even those inclined to celebrate Brussels’ “soft power” in these matters have had to admit, however, that the political and legal instruments the EU has at its disposal are often not a good match for the actual challenges in a Member State. Infringement proceedings can, of course, be based only on EU law—which often does not cover the relevant areas of democracy and the rule of law, other than in the very generally worded Article 2 of the Treaty on European Union. This makes it harder to address systemic problems and comprehensive efforts to undermine the liberal rule of law. The most striking example here is the Hungarian government’s de facto decapitation of the judicial system by lowering the retirement age. The Commission charged Hungary with age discrimination— and won its case. But the judges were never re‑ -instated and, despite its nominal legal success, Europe appeared impotent in getting at the real issue. A S P E N R E V I E W / P Of course, there is an option already in the treaties precisely to address specifically political challenges: Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union, which allows for the suspension of voting rights in the European Council for states persistently violating basic European values. Yet in the past few years academics no less than leading political players—starting with Commission President Barroso—have repeated the mantra that Article 7 is a “nuclear option.” In other words: it is deemed unusable (making the mantra a kind of self-fulfilling prophecy). Countries seem too scared that sanctions might also be applied against them one day. That then has left few other options in dealing with the Orbán government. It is highly probable that some fellow European centre-right politicians criticized Orbán behind closed doors—but none of them ever spoke out publicly in a way that could be classified as an effective form of “naming and shaming.” A report by the Portuguese MEP Rui Tavares—and approved by the European Parliament this past July—broke important new ground in suggesting the possibility of monitoring Hungary closely and also developing a new “Copenhagen mechanism” to apply sanctions to EU Member States violating the “Copenhagen criteria”—once developed to ensure that only full-fledged liberal democracies would enter the EU. But neither the European Commission nor the European Council has properly picked up the ball that Tavares kicked into their courts. Time is running out for this Commission and Council action is highly dependent on who happens to be in charge at any given moment. It seems fair to say that the Irish presidency was significantly more interested in questions to do with rule of law protection than the Lithuanian presidency, which succeeded it. In fact, the most remarkable fact about the Tavares report might turn out to be that it was actually the Parliament which overcame partisanship, since there was nominally a centre-right majority in the legislature—and yet the report passed. O L I T I C S 47 Before considering what else might be done, let me say a few words about how EU actions have been received in Hungary itself—which also relates to the larger question whether criticisms from the EU will necessarily always lead to a “nationalist backlash” and rising anti ‑Europeanism, as the Austrian example suggests. Orbán himself clearly became very adept at playing a certain game with the European institutions: two steps forward and one step back, after having done what he himself called a “peacock dance” for eternal consumption in order to suggest proper compliance with European values. At some points he even seemed determined to start a pan-European Kulturkampf, pitting conservative, Christian and nationally-minded Europeans against a Brussels supposedly dominated by left-liberal, atheist Europhiles. At other moments he flirted with the idea of leaving the EU altogether, hinting at China and even Russia as future partners and expressing admiration for model democracies such as Azerbaijan. For all these highly charged symbolic confrontations and geopolitical gestures, the results might actually not be what the Orbán government would likely consider a strategic success. For one thing, what has sometimes been called Fidesz’s “war of independence” has not proven popular within Hungary itself, beyond a committed nationalist right (if polls are to be believed). There is a more general lesson here: yes, EU action will turn out to provoke anti ‑Europeanism. But a government set on a course that is likely to lead to violations of EU values will preemptively stoke resentments of Brussels anyway. In other words: Europe should have the faith of its convictions; it will be attacked whether it does so or not. Second, if the EU in fact does nothing, the outcome is by no means neutral. Failure by Brussels will disillusion all those citizens of new Member States who trusted that locking a country into supranational institutions such as the EU and the Council of Europe would make a return to 48 A S P E N authoritarianism impossible. Hence Brussels and European elites in general should be much less fearful about “nationalist backlashes”: they will get one, no matter what; and those who actually have faith in European institutions should not be disappointed. There is one other remarkable result of the altercations between Brussels and Budapest, one that has escaped many commentators’ notice. The fact remains that Orbán, for all his talk of Brussels as a quasi-colonial power and all his invectives against the European Parliament, did in principle accept both as legitimate interlocutors—and, in particular, conceded the role of the Commission as the guardian of the treaties. If one is at all inclined to believe—with Machiavelli and Albert Hirschman, for instance—that conflicts can also help people to clarify what they really believe in and what they consider the legitimate boundaries of a shared political project, then the conflicts between Brussels and Budapest might ultimately help European integration. On a less Panglossian note, however, it still has to be asked what the EU can do beyond its confrontations with Hungary to protect liberal democracy in Member States more effectively. One step would be to bundle infringement proceedings to make systemic problems in a Member State more visible, as Kim Lane Scheppele has suggested r ecently—a proposal which has the advantage of not requiring treaty revision. Another would be to strengthen the role of the European Court of Justice in addressing fundamental rights v iolations in a Member State, even if the violation in question does not immediately touch on EU law. Then there is the idea of establishing an EU analogue to the Council of Europe’s Venice Commission— tentatively to be called Copenhagen Commission, as a reminder of the Copenhagen criteria. In contrast to the Venice Commission, this body would not just offer expertise, but could also proactively raise an alarm and even trigger a limited set of s anctions. R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S As the Czech legal scholar Jan Komárek has pointed out, this can look like a typical EU pattern: when Europe cannot solve a problem, it invents a new institution instead. However, a properly designed Copenhagen Commission would have the advantage of concentrating minds in a highly fragmented political space and in a weak pan-European public sphere. Europe, to put it bluntly, suffers from a perennial political attention deficit disorder. And to remedy that disorder at least somewhat, there should be a clear sense that when the Copenhagen Commission raise an alarm, then something must really be going wrong somewhere. One might still object that the EU would be duplicating institutions that have worked well— especially the Venice Commission. Such a criticism overlooks that the EU has reached a depth and density of integration (and a level of interdependence) that finds no equivalent in the Council of Europe. For instance, EU law is much more specific in areas such as data protection, and the Council and the Venice Commission could not really comment on them. Second, the Council of Europe is an even more fragmented political space (with no shared public sphere at all); moreover, one might say—to put it bluntly—that the Council contains members who probably would have a hard time meeting the Copenhagen criteria. The problem of double standards—charges of hypocrisy abound in virtually any discussion of democracy-protecting interventions—would be further exacerbated. Finally, Strasbourg can only properly address individual rights violations— whereas the Copenhagen Commission could take a more holistic view; the Venice Commission cannot be proactive, whereas the Copenhagen Commission could routinely monitor the situation in Member States and raise an alarm without having to be prompted. It would thus also build up an institutional memory that would make it easier to prevent double standards both in assessing an individual country over time and in comparing different countries. A S P E N R E V I E W / P To be sure, there might be a pragmatic worry among some Member States that the EU is likely to deepen its own legitimacy crisis if it were to pass judgment not just on budget numbers, but also on liberal democracy and the rule of law. To deflect the blame, some Member State governments might think, it should delegate the unpopular work to the Council of Europe—just as some of the blame for what Paul Krugman has called “austerianism” might be laid at the doors of the IMF, which was consciously brought in by European elites during the Eurocrisis. But if one is serious about sanctions, then it would still in the end have to be the EU who does the sanctioning. So one might as well accept the responsibility for forming judgments (and not just for implementing them), since, after all, there are also enough EU citizens who precisely placed their trust in the Union as a strong guardian of liberal order (as opposed to the Council which can hardly be said to have any “normative power” at all). Contracting out might have some short-term benefits, if Europeans will really only blame the Council of Europe—but it might also have very significant costs in further eroding the legitimacy of the EU. JAN-WERNER MÜLLER is a professor of politics at Princeton University. His most recent books are Contesting Democracy: Political Ideas in TwentiethCentury Europe and Where Europe Ends: Brussels, Hungary, and the Fate of Liberal Democracy Photo: Archive Jan-Werner Müller O L I T I C S 49 Look Back in Prudence! Civil War Legacies and Crisis in Greece Today Iannis Carras Whether as an irritant or as a balm, the Greek Civil War of 1943–1949 is back The Civil War, fought between the left and sections of the centre and the right, followed on from the Great Depression and the dictatorship of Ioannes Metaxas (1936–1941). Over one‑hundred ‑thousand deaths in combat or by firing squad have been calculated for a population of slightly over seven million. Some one thousand seven hundred villages were destroyed. Proportionally, the population losses during the Greek Civil War may have been three times those of the Spanish Civil War. many prisoners were tortured or subjected to intense psychological pressure to confess, repent of their crimes and renounce their past. Only then could the prisoner be reintegrated into the national body. After the return to democracy, the 1981 victory of Papandreou’s socialists was presented by PASOK as a victory of the “Great Democratic Block.” Most refugees were invited back from behind the iron curtain (the exception being “Slav-Macedonians”), and the period of wars from 1941 on, was celebrated as a period of “national resistance” embracing all of the left and most of the right. Streets and squares renamed in the 1980s to commemorate the resistance constitute an ongoing reminder of this integration of the left into the national story line. Nonetheless, political identity continued to be determined to a considerable extent by the Civil War. It was the anti-Papandreou New Democracy ‑communist coalition of 1989 that finally passed a law stating that the conflict should not be referred to as a “bandit war” but as a “civil war.” As if to preserve the silences, however, the coalition proceeded with the burning of relevant archives Silent Voices Both during the war and after its conclusion, the left presented themselves as the democratic party, whereas they were presented by their opponents as “bandits” or, worse, as an alien body serving the interests of the “Slavo‑communists.” After 1944, the very term “emphylios” translated as “civil war” was shunned, respective opponents being viewed as alien to the national body. Following the left’s defeat, at least eighty thousand faced exile in Eastern Europe, Greek citizenship and right of return to their homeland denied. Others were imprisoned. In these camps, 50 A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S of the Greek intelligence services. This right-left reconciliation of the 1980s and the early 1990s was therefore based on a policy of don’t ask... a Greece of protests on an everyday basis; […] he is in favor of a Greece in which the words nation and fatherland are outlawed.” Civil-war talk reached such a pitch pro-government Kathimerini newspaper condemning the political use of such rhetoric. Equally, however, widespread usage of the Civil War might be interpreted as a turning point: the closure of a period of divided memory. With the certainties of the post-Junta era questioned and with the threat of violence omnipresent, it is natural that Greeks should look back to previous periods of trauma to interpret their current predicament. Rethinking Civil War Connected, perhaps, to the gradual passing away of the generation that lived through the war and its aftermath, the last decade and a half have seen important historical work on the topic of Civil War. Both Athens and Thessaloniki Universities have research teams that focus on the Civil War. A plethora of novels and films have also engaged with the war from new perspectives. From 2008 on, a whole set of slogans linked to the Civil War has come into common usage, in what has been described as “a civil-war syndrome” correlated to the crisis. Politicians have added their voice to this crescendo of noise. Only a few characteristic examples, all of them from the last few months, need be cited: A close advisor to the Prime Minister remonstrating against left wing histories of the Civil War, an (opposition) SYRIZA MP ending a speech in parliament with the trade-mark words of farewell of the communist resistance fighter Aris Velouchiotis (1905–1945) “we’ll meet again at the furriers”; the Mayor of Athens using words that recall the persecution of the left following the Civil War; the Prime Minister expostulating “in the name of God, we are not on the verge of a civil war”; and, repeatedly, Golden Dawn MPs accusing their SYRIZA counterparts of being civil-war era communists. For the government, civil-war talk is expedient. The Civil War is used as an argument against division, thus formulating a rationale for agreement and cooperation. Further, the threat of the left constitutes an effective tool in New Democracy’s struggle to stem the drift of its voters to parties of the populist and far right. Such talk allows the Prime Minister to present himself as a bastion of national stability against the dual threats of the radical-left and fascism. Referring to Alexis Tsipras, leader of the opposition, Antonis Samaras said: “he is in favor of A S P E N R E V I E W / P Threats and Deadlines If the Civil War is back in the public sphere, this does not mean that today’s crisis is a result of the Civil War. At most the trauma of the Civil War and its aftermath help explain certain features of the Greek polity. Contrary to a number of versions purporting to provide explanations of Greece’s current condition, Andreas Papandreou was not the beginning of all things evil, nor does modernGreek history commence with the fall of the Junta. There are, as it should always be remembered, systems of government that are worse than those based on patronage and corruption. Nor is Greece on the verge of another civil war. For the left, the Civil War has often worked in the past as a metaphor for resistance understood as an existential stance. Nonetheless, SYRIZA is doing all it can to capture the centre ground. Alexis Tsipras is attempting to reach out to religious voters and to liberal democrats, and also to all those who want Greece to remain integrated in a reformed European system. Far from corroborating the rhetoric of two extremes with a delegitimized left on one side and Golden Dawn on the other, this has resulted in accusations that SYRIZA is transforming into a repeat-version of PASOK, striving, in other words, to present itself as adept at combining radical rhetoric with a realistic approach to exercising power. O L I T I C S 51 Civil-war talk has little appeal for SYRIZA’s coveted centre ground. The post-Junta consensus embodied by both PASOK and New Democracy may be characterized as a mutually reinforcing amalgam of democracy, party-patronage and Europe. In the context of a depression which is now deeper than that of the US in the 1930s, with patronage in abeyance and Europe turning toxic, it is not only the strength of extreme parties that should surprise, but also the robustness of the parliamentary and democratic ideals which both SYRIZA and New Democracy espouse. This democratic consensus is a direct result of the role of both the left and the liberal right in combating the Greek Junta of 1967–1974 and the legalization of the Greek communist party KKE that followed. There is no left ready to take to the mountains today, no faction waiting to falsify election results, and no military prepared to intervene in the democratic system. At the same time, however, there should be no room for complacency. Alongside economic calamity, the threats to democracy are multiplying. One threat is the pressure applied by the EU for governments of national unity, such unity, enforced by an institution that is only in the process of attaining democratic legitimacy by itself, being seen as the opposite of pluralism. Apart from being unconstitutional, attempts to ban Golden Dawn from participating in the electoral process would also undermine the democratic process that is serving as a major bulwark against extremism in Greece. This is exactly what happened in the 1950s when KKE was banned. It is the racist practices and violent methods of Golden Dawn members and the party leadership that should be prosecuted, not the party as a political entity in and of itself. Another source of instability is the perceived injustice of the privatization process, particularly the privatization of the municipal water authorities of Athens and Thessaloniki that charge reasonable prices and yet make a profit. Equally, there is widespread resentment to new tourist 52 A S P E N land use regulations, which encourage the speculative construction of tourist homes, protected areas included. Enforced privatization on the scale envisaged engenders questions of social relations, and, in the last resort, sovereignty. These are questions that Greeks last confronted in the context of German occupation and, later, of US hegemony during and following the Civil War. The post-Junta consensus embodied by both PASOK and New Democracy may be characterized as a mutually reinforcing amalgam of democracy, party-patronage and Europe. It is in the context of such questions, that the politics of identity is trumping the politics of justice. Camps have once again been set up throughout the Aegean, this time to remove migrant-aliens from the EU. Hunger (last experienced, on an incomparably wider scale, in the famine of the Second World War) is being colored, Golden Dawn having arranged for the distribution of food for those of Greek nationality. That the mood is turning distinctly nationalist is evident in calls for patriotism of the left. Golden Dawn, for its part, is openly using the symbolism of the Civil War and fascist past, including the Greek version of the Nazi Horst ‑Wessel‑Lied. The connections between Golden Dawn support and anti-communist collaborationist traditions in certain parts of rural Greece have been much commented on. Faced with a collapse in standards of living and a feeling of being enslaved many Golden Dawn supporters R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S seem to relish the party’s aggression directed towards others. In a grave indictment of the educational system, Golden Dawn support comes preponderantly from the young, pointing, at least in urban areas, to the breakdown of the family as a bearer of memory. In light of the government’s recent crackdown on Golden Dawn it is impossible to estimate the party’s support come the May 2014 European elections; the clamp-down may even contribute to a degree of heorization, with certain circles viewing the party as the only anti-systemic force in Greek politics. With a strong result for SYRIZA likely, these elections have the potential to lead to a collapse in the legitimacy of the current New Democracy-PASOK coalition. This leaves the EU with a limited window of opportunity up until April 2014 to restructure debt, create a framework for the supply of affordable finance to companies in southern Europe and, by extension, start the process of reducing levels of unemployment in Greece from the current 28%. The Greek Civil War does not then constitute a sufficient explanatory framework for the current crisis. But it should serve as a warning. Greece’s democratic consensus may be remarkable given the magnitude of the downturn, but it is also increasingly vulnerable. been replaced with the rhetoric of competitiveness. And competitiveness has two characteristics: firstly, it requires unequal sacrifices from different sections of the citizen body, and, secondly, it is directed against others, and therefore provides the framework for a politics focused on questions of identity, of “us against them.” The Civil War has many uses in today’s Greece: Some are banal and some moralistic. Many serve narrow party-political ends. Not a few are dangerous. But “cultural traumas” such as that of the Civil War can also be put to work as lighthouses in a stormy sea. In a time when democracy in Europe is showing signs of decomposition and the contours of sovereign authority are being reset, the examination of past wounds is essential. Germany in particular has much to offer Greece and the rest of Europe in this respect; indeed it is in a unique position to deal with the crisis, for the whole European project represents a response to the trauma of the Second World War of which the Greek Civil War constitutes an extension. Any examination of the past should not then be considered an alternative to debt restructuring, on-going structural reforms and a return to growth. Offered in a spirit of humility and forgiveness, however, c ritical understandings of the past constitute a direct challenge to stereotyping and the specter of identity‑politics that are once again haunting Europe. For if Europe is facing its most serious challenge since the era of wars, it is to the contested memories of that era that it needs must return. Not in anger, but as an exercise in prudence and the pursuit of justice. History and Healing It is precisely because the economic crisis and the crisis of institutions connected to it have destabilized identities throughout Europe that critical re-examinations of the continent’s recent past become so important. Debt, the euro, the European project, even the phenomenon of globalization as a whole, have undermined state sovereignty; voting citizens feel increasingly distant from the centers of power where the decisions that affect their lives are made. As long as the standard of living of the majority of European citizens was improving, this was deemed acceptable. Throughout Europe, however, the rhetoric of social inclusion has now A S P E N R E V I E W / P IANNIS CARRAS is an economic and social historian of the 18th century Balkan and Russian worlds. He is active in Greek NGOs and has been a parliamentary candidate in the Athens region for the Greek Green Party. Photo: Private Iannis Carras O L I T I C S 53 Old Friends, New Leaders: Poland and Turkey in the Early 21st century Adam Balcer The 600th anniversary of establishing diplomatic relations with Turkey offers a unique opportunity for Poland to build a permanent strategic partnership with the most dynamic neighbor of the EU big and systematically growing influence in After joining the EU and NATO Poland tries to find its place on the economic and political map of the world, where tectonic shifts occur, such as the growing importance of China and other emerging non-European powers, and the shrinking influence of the West. Focusing our attention on such giants as China and India, we should not forget about a very significant new phenomenon: the increasing role of countries, which could be called—to use the boxing terminology—medium-weight players. Turkey is a classic example of such a power. Among medium-weight players, Turkey is by far the most important for Warsaw, for the following reasons: the post-Soviet area (participation in trade exchange, direct investments, construction contracts, cooperation within regional organizations, development aid, grants, Turkish education abroad, military cooperation, tourism, cultural ties) NATO membership (one of the most powerful armies) and EU accession process (important consequences of the possible Turkish membership for the EU; Turkey is the candidate with the largest potential since Great Britain). The importance of Turkey for Poland will grow in the coming decades due to its economic and demographic prospects, much better than for the EU and Russia. UN prognoses say that in 2050, the population of Turkey will be 95 million, compared to 120 million in Russia and 75 million in Germany. In Germany and especially in Russia there will be a significant increase in the percentage of geography (a regional power closest to Poland) a key geopolitical position (a country to some extent belonging to the Caucasus, the Black Sea region and the Middle East, and lying close to Africa and Central Asia) 54 A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S Muslims, mostly of Turkic origin or culturally connected with Turkey. Their growing role can be observed even today. The most striking example of that is the career of Cem Özdemir, the leader of German Greens. Thanks to its historical and cultural ties with Russian and German Muslims Ankara may acquire new possibilities of shaping its relations with Germany and Russia. Poland needs a comprehensive social and economic strategy, one of its necessary elements being migration policy. The experiences of Western Europe and the demographic situation in the European Neighborhood suggest that Muslims will constitute a major part of “new” Poles (because of its demographic prospects, even worse than for Poland, Eastern Europe cannot be a large immigration reservoir for our country). Turkey (especially if it becomes an EU member) and regions strongly connected with it, such as Kurdistan or Turkic republics, seem to be the optimum choice. Creating an attractive offer for immigrants will of course be the key to a successful immigration policy. Polish-Turkish relations intensified in recent years. Both countries mutually regard themselves as promising markets. Poland is the only EU country, which has been awarded such an official status by the Turkish ministry of the economy. Among Muslim countries, Turkey is Poland’s most important trading partner (a share of about 1.5% in Polish trade balance). In 2013, the volume of trade will probably surpass 6 billion dollars. In Polish exports to non-European markets, Turkey occupies second place, right after the USA (about 15 %). In recent years Turkey doubled its share in Polish exports. But if we take into account the geographic position of both countries and the dynamics of their growth, this exchange could be much greater. Poland is the second most important (after Romania) construction market for Turkey in the EU. In the period of 1989—2013, Turkish building contracts in Poland amounted to 1.2 billion dollars. This sum will grow significantly A S P E N R E V I E W / P when the largest urban construction investment in Poland is completed, that is the second line of the underground railway in Warsaw built by a Polish-Turkish-Italian consortium. The investment is worth almost 2 billion dollars. In all probability, the same consortium will win the tender for the extension of the second line, also worth roughly two billion dollars. Polish-Turkish relations intensified in recent years. Poland is the only EU country, which has been awarded such an official status by the Turkish ministry of the economy. About 400–500 thousand Polish tourists travel to Turkey every year. If we compare it to the number of Czechs, Slovaks or L ithuanians visiting this country, we are tempted to conclude that Polish tourists potentially could be twice as numerous. Poland is the most popular destination for Turkish students under the Erasmus program— Poles form one of the most numerous EU student communities in Turkey. There is a university founded by the Turks in Poland—a rare phenomenon in the EU. As a result, we have 700 full-time students from Turkey, more than from Russia or Germany. A great opportunity for tightening the relations with Turkey and for giving specific substance to the strategic partnership from 2009 is offered by the 600th anniversary of establishing diplomatic relations with Turkey, which will be celebrated in 2014. The leading idea of cooperation between Poland and Turkey, two medium-weight players, should be the idea of a strategic partnership on a global scale, and in Eurasia. O L I T I C S 55 A new format for this cooperation should be provided by the establishment of the High Council for Strategic Cooperation (Ankara established it with a dozen countries in the world). Its main purpose should be an intensification of economic exchange (investments, building sector, trade, tourism, joint ventures, energy), academic exchange (universities, research centers), military cooperation (joint projects for military equipment production) and energy cooperation (building LNG ports, interconnectors, drilling for shale gas, clean coal, renewable energy, atomic energy) as well as political cooperation. be the Turkish company Gulermak, building the Warsaw underground: in the closing months of 2013, with Polish subcontractors, it entered the last stage of the tender for the extension of the underground in Copenhagen and building a huge tunnel in Norway (at the time of writing, the results of the tender were not announced yet). A particularly important area for PolishTurkish cooperation should be the Black Sea region. Its agenda should contain economic exchange (investments, building sector, trade, development of transport infrastructure), academic exchange (research projects), military cooperation (joint training and maneuvers, equipment production), energy cooperation (the southern corridor: new gas-pipes, LNG ports and drilling for deposits) as well as joint diplomatic initiatives regarding frozen conflicts. Poland and Turkey should draw Romania and the Ukraine into these actions; in recent years, Ankara markedly intensified its cooperation with these countries. It is worth recalling that in 2012 Poland, Turkey and Romania established trilateral consultations of their foreign ministries. Regional organizations should form one of the areas of Polish-Turkish cooperation. In October 2013 the Turkish foreign minister for the first time took part in a Visegrád Group summit. It would be advisable to permanently include Turkey in the Visegrád Plus formula. The Visegrád Group itself established relations with the Organization of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC)—with the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland having observer status—and with the Council for Cooperation of Turkic Countries. A stronger support for the Turkish accession is necessary if the Polish-Turkish relations are to intensify. Poland is now more active in this matter than a few years ago. In June 2013, we were one of the main European countries successfully making efforts to avoid a crisis in the negotiations. As a new EU member with fresh experiences, Poland could support the process of Europeanization of Turkey (implementation of The leading idea of cooperation between Poland and Turkey, two medium-weight players, should be the idea of a strategic partnership on a global scale, and in Eurasia. An example to follow could be the strategic partnership between Great Britain and Turkey, providing the framework for close cooperation between British and Turkish companies in third countries. The list of non-European markets vital for Poland is headed by Kazakhstan, with Turkey having awarded the strategic market status to Kazakhstan and the Ukraine recently. And it is these markets that should become areas for cooperation between Polish and Turkish business. Poland and Turkey are also interested in expansion of exports to Russia. This means that they should select a number of Russian federal republics, for example Tatarstan, as Polish-Turkish specializations. A source of inspiration here could 56 A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S the acquis communautaire, cooperation between civil societies). It is worth recalling that among the countries of the world, Poland belongs to those most similar to Turkey. In the Global Competitiveness Index of 2013, published by the World Economic Forum, both countries had an almost identical number of points (the main difference being our poor demographic prospects but an adequate immigration and pro-family policy could help bridge the gap). Poland is also a natural “European connection” for Turkey. A number of elements contribute to that: The reform of local administration should be a Polish export commodity (in the context of the peace process with Kurdish guerrillas, started in 2013, it has a fundamental importance for Turkey). It would be very well received if Poland presented ideas for solving the Cyprus problem on the international and EU forum. It is also extremely important to promote our historical heritage, unprecedented in Europe (the Muslim Tatar minority living in Poland since many centuries, few wars of Poland against the High Porte compared to other Ottoman neighbors, the first friendship treaty between the Ottoman Empire and a Christian state [1533], a very significant role of Poles in the 19th-century modernization of Turkey and the perception of Turkey in Poland, since the 18th century, as a potential liberator from Soviet control). This common heritage provides a very strong foundation for Poland playing the role of the main EU partner of Turkey. successful transition, started 20 years ago and still unfinished (a second modernization leap is necessary, from an economy based on cheap labor to an economy based on innovation) a significant demographic and economic potential (almost 40 million inhabitants and over 800 billion dollars in purchasing power) ADAM BALCER lecturer at the Centre for East European Studies of the Warsaw University, consultant at the Polish Presidential Office and the thinktank demosEuropa—Centre for European Strategy Photo: demosEuropa average per capita income much closer to Turkey than Germany rapid economic growth—much faster than in the countries of the “classic” West position in the region (building coalitions for specific issues within the EU, cooperation within the Visegrád Group and the V-4 Plus mechanism) challenges (economic growth based on savings lower than investments, dependence on short-term foreign capital, a large economic grey area, a much higher level of corruption than in the countries of Northern Europe, low level of innovativeness, a large agricultural sector, infrastructural deficits, much lower levels of employment and productivity that in Northern Europe, a “dirty” energy balance) A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S 57 The Personal is (Again) Political Ivaylo Ditchev Personalized communication channels make it possible for the politicians to express an opinion “off the record.” They try to counter the unprecedented collapse of trust in “the system.” The title recycles a feminist slogan. In her famous text, Carol Hanisch (1969/1970) opposes the possible therapeutic strategies to overcome individual traumas to the fight for changing society, where personal emotions, passions, and even sexuality become a political battleground. Such need to replace the public persona by a feeling body is usually seen at times of trouble in the modern world: sentimentalism, romanticism, nationalism, the radicalisms of the early 20th, the hippie movement, etc. The rise of the digital world, upsetting territorial belongings and social hierarchies, has injected an even stronger portion of emotions into public life. Being accessible, human, passionate, and impulsive has become a certificate for authenticity. There are various ways to personalize politics through the new technologies. Let us start with the famous Blackberry of Obama, through which he was supposed to communicate with ordinary Americans and which, after his election, retained a purely symbolic function as, for reasons of security, only a dozen of people are allowed to be in direct contact with him (they were supplied with special devices by the security services). In‑between, the president main- 58 A S P E N tains a humble Facebook page in an informal and elliptic digital style. For instance, a post saying “Family” is followed by a relaxed picture of him, hugging his two daughters. Comment: “I wanna be like you, sir!” After a while in another post the president will chose to promote real political issues: a poster supporting #obamacare, with the laconic appeal: “Share.”1 His wife’s page seems less sophisticated. “How many smiles for this beautiful smile?” over the photo of Michelle, smiling beautifully. Personalized communication channels make it possible for the politician to express an opinion “off the record,” to simulate truthfulness by transgressing stiff regulations of protocol. R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S Of course, there are cultural variations. igeria’s president Goodluck Jonathan congratN ulates the national football team and passes on good wishes to religious communities. Governor Sarah Palin floods the followers of her page with thanks, blessings, and various raptures. Vladimir Putin, not unlike “The British Monarchy” page, presents us dull press releases of official activities. Nevertheless, if the Russian president curiously provokes a 100% positive feedback, the British Crown still allows for some spontaneous reactions on its wall like “would have been there but had to go to the food bank…” after the announcement of a royal dinner at Buckingham palace. As to Shashi Tharoor, referred to as the “Twitter Minister” (of human resource development), his tweet flow presents photos of him at cultural tourism sites, followed by quotations from prestigious authors, then ideas on India’s future. In short, he creates the character of a cultivated, caring, and competent Indian intellectual.2 Personalized communication channels make it possible for the politician to express an opinion “off the record,” to simulate truthfulness by transgressing stiff regulations of protocol. Thus Putin spontaneously bursts out in indignation at some US law, supposedly legalizing pedophilia, then expresses undue human bias for the Olympics in Sochi, that so many Russians, like himself, are proud of.3 Of course, the simulation of personal presence is a matter of sophisticated balances. Confidences need to suit the temperament in order to convince. Bulgarian right-wing opposition leader Boyko Borissov informs us about the condition of his knee, contused during a football match, then complains that doctors will have to use splints to fix it (“How lucky you have such a strong will, you will need it to recover” comments a polit-fan).4 Obviously such details would not act as “personal touch” for a leader like Angela Merkel, who practically never speaks of her personal life, God forbid her body. It goes without saying that the hosts of the A S P E N R E V I E W / P publications (i.e. his/her team manages) carefully manage reactions by filtering and guiding of the discussion. It is pure outrage that was at the center of social movements in the last couple of years: small causes produced almost civil wars in Sao Paolo and Istanbul, or pure destruction with no demand whatsoever, as in Paris and London. What Are Those Politicians Reacting To? They try to counter the unprecedented collapse of trust in “the system.” Among the reasons for the crisis: excusing of the paralysis of political power by globalization. The rising social differences at the expense of the middle classes. The replacement of majoritarian democracy by a sort of post-democracy (Crouch, 2004), where small, well-organized, vociferous groups attract media attention. The new revolt of the digital masses that invade journalism, science, literature, public debate. The internet, wrote Pierre Rosanvallon, is not merely a tool for doing politics: it is the shape that counter-democracy takes to counter growing mistrust towards authorities through a “spontaneous adaptation to the functions of vigilance, denunciation, and evaluation by the citizens”; we can thus regard it as “a true political form” (Rosanvallon, 2008: 70). Trust is generated through opposing power. Besides rational forms of “sousveillance” (surveillance from below, Fr.) like blocking of political decisions, leaking of information, or signing of petitions, the web has become a theatre of O L I T I C S 59 passions. The curious success of Stephane Hessel’s pamphlet “Get angry!” (Hessel 2010) is telling: it made millions of sales in over 100 countries and influenced the Spanish “Los Indignados,” then “Occupy.” Few people really entered deep into this 92-year-old diplomat’s arguments about resistance during WW2, or the plight of P alestinians; what mattered was the call to outrage. And it is pure outrage that was at the center of social movements in the last couple of years: small causes produced almost civil wars in Sao Paolo and Istanbul, or pure destruction with no demand whatsoever, as in Paris and London. During the series of anti-government movements in Bulgaria, 2013, protesters repeated that it was the absence of leaders, programs and concrete grievances that made them invincible, as it made it impossible for the authorities to give in and thus quench discontent. As in Spain and the USA earlier, this naive idea made them last but not succeed; nevertheless the argumentation is worth considering. A genuine social movement is one that does not have a rational strategy (no “scenario”); it goes back to the etymological link between “emotion” and “emeute” (“uprising”, French, setting people in motion). For two years, I have observed the emergence of a new type of cyber-agitator on the Bulgarian5 Facebook. The users I observed were selected according to activity, considerable number of fiends, and prevailing topics of public interest: journalists, NGO-people, former or future politicians, academics, informed citizens, students; their online activism has made them regularly present in the traditional media and in some new party formations. The main genre of citizen’s indignation has moved from public speech to editorial, from manifesto to personal blog. At present, it seems to be embodied in the Facebook post and Tweet, where a link to someone else’s message is forwarded, usually with a short, passionate comment, intensifying the meaning, or else turning it upside down, possibly with an attached 60 A S P E N photo, etc. (“convergence culture,” Jenkins 2006). The comments and “likes” of other users act like an objectively measurable applause: they also help it survive the instant of posting, as every new reaction is transmitted by a visual and sound signal to those, who already liked or commented it. Its viral quality to be resend or retweeted boasts the digital ego of the author; at any stage of the process he/she acquires new friends and followers, which seems to be the ultimate goal of the exercise, especially for users with public ambitions. The main genre of citizen’s indignation has moved from public speech to editorial, from manifesto to personal blog. Famous people that have a guaranteed digital suite, tend to produce original content, where as new pretenders tend to forward content produced by others by adding personal attitude. Thus they parasitize on prestigious sources of information, but are also able to produce more postings. Because, unlike the traditional libraries, on platforms like Facebook or Twitter the last entry pushes into the background the former ones, making it thus necessary for the user to be present all the time. Andrew Keen called this “the law of digital Darwinism, the survival of the loudest and most opinionated” (Keen 2007: 15). Impulsiveness, speed 6, passionate bias— this makes the cyber-agitator seemingly authentic, as the main suspicion we have about the web (if not about the global world as such) is that invisible players are pulling the strings behind the stages. Emotional reactions forward you to R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S the forestage, by replacing the plotting subject by the feeling body. The style of posts adds to the feeling of spontaneity with orthographic errors made out of hurrying, emoticons, punctuations like five exclamation marks, but also familiarity and rude group jargon (former PM becomes “Pumpkin,” the present one Orecharsky is renamed to “Oligarchsky,” a contested corpulent deputy is represented as a pig...). In fact, the proportion of positive to negative messages, as counted by students of mine is less than 1:20; attacking enemies is systematically preferred to praising friends. On one side, this seems to be due to the overall folklore-like aspect of the web, where the new digital masses tend to ridicule and reject elites of any sort. On the other, there is a semiotic reflex that the media-world has cultivated in us: positive messages tend to be seen as ads, hatred is for free.7 I do not mean this in terms of psychology, which distinguishes primary from socially constructed feelings, but rather as a sort of distinction between ways to generate trust in different fields. When you speak of animals, you are authentic if you show tenderness; of politicians say nothing unless bad. “The web demystifies the hidden scenario, this is its primary function” I was told by one digital leader. The most intricate aspect of the new digital leadership is the imperative of amateurism. The influential cyber-agitators I observed are, as I said, mostly professionals, nevertheless they create their online character by avoiding systematically overstating their expertise. One of the NGO presidents observed had no more than 1 in 10 posts informing about her concrete projects, as she was afraid to put off here Facebook “friends” by instrumentalizing the network. She also runs an institutional site with activities, invitations, documents, etc., but it seems rather dead. “Dynamics are different” she said, “personalized messages are much more influential.” The fear to be identified as “professional citizens” paid for by foreign sponsors is, in between, very vivid in Bulgaria; in Russia a recent law obliges A S P E N R E V I E W / P abroad-funded NGOs need to declare themselves as “foreign agents.” We trust amateurs because they are “digitalized version of Rousseau’s noble savage” (Keen 2007: 36), and one way to fake amateurism is to spend more time and energy on matters of personal interest, react naively outside of one’s sphere of competence. But it would be wrong to think that digital intimacy is something spontaneous. People are extremely conscious about the image they produce—the music they will recommend, the sites they will follow. In the interviews I conducted, this turned out to be a real problem, especially for younger users, who were afraid not to deceive their network. The generalized surveillance in the digital world transforms the tiniest lifestyle detail into a political statement, the same way communist control over consumption transformed wearing blue-jeans into an act of dissidence. You thus feel obliged to “like” the type of music that fits your digital image (folklore for a nationalist, opera for a hereditary conservative...) even if you do not actually listen to it in real life. The trust in the digital leader—your intangible friend who connects you to the daily information flow—can easily acquire a socio‑political dimension. During the nuclear referendum in 2012 those human hubs spontaneously (?) changed their Facebook icons to “yes” or “no”; in 2013 some adopted symbols of mourning for the young person, who immolated himself in protest against the political system, later, of solidarity with the protesting students in Sofia. Again, dosage is essential here, as the suspicion of interested use of the web is what most radically destroys trust: real political engagement should be seriously diluted by the stream of digital consciousness made up of consumer concerns, shocking pictures, congratulations of friends, intriguing news articles, etc. It is the specter of money that overshadows public trust. The deinstitutionalized type of interaction, anonymity, distance, speed, they make it O L I T I C S 61 References difficult to judge whether the interlocutor is paid for what he/she says. According to estimations between 10 and 35% of consumer evaluations in the US are fake, the highest being in the sphere of book sales, where the author can buy them wholesale on specific sites. There is no reliable data about political usage of fake postings, nevertheless it is an issue that is constantly debated in Bulgaria.8 In fact, a constant suspicions accompanies even offline activities like demonstrations or occupations: are those real citizens or are they paid for by some backstage “script writer”? One way to reestablish a minimum of trust by cyber-leaders of public opinion is to put forward the spontaneous, incontrollable, irrational private “me.” Of course, the latter is but a cultural ‑historical convention; as Arlie Hochschild wrote “acts of emotion management are not simply private acts; they are used in exchanges under the guidance of feeling rules. Feeling rules are standards used in emotional conversation” (Hochschild 2003: 18). The ascent of the digital leader in pajamas seems to be, in this perspective, a new standard that aims at making up for the decline of public personae. Andrew Keen (2007) The Cult of the Amateur, Nicholas Brealey Publishing: London. Arlie Hochschild (2003) The Managed Heart. Commercialization of Human Feeling, University of California press: Berkeley, LA, London, Carol Hanisch (1969/1970) The Personal Is Political, Notes from the Second Year: Women’s Liberation, edited by Shulamith Firestone and Anne Koedt, http://www.carolhanisch.org/ CHwritings/PIP.html Colin Crouch (2004) Post-Democracy, Polity: London. Henry Jenkins (2007) Convergence Culture: Where Old and New Media Collide, New York University Press: New York. Pierre Rosanvallon (2008) Counter-Democracy. Politics in an Age of Distrust, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge. Stéphane Hessel Indignez-vous ! (2010) Indigène: Montpellier. I V AY L O D I T C H E V is a professor of cultural anthropology at Sofia University, Bulgaria. He has been teaching abroad, mainly in France and the USA. He is also an editor of the journal for cultural studies “SeminarBG” Photo: Online TV Garelov 1 https://www.facebook.com/barackobama?fref=ts. visited 11/2013. 2 https://www.facebook.com/jonathangoodluck?fref=ts; https://www.facebook.com/Putin.President?fref=ts ; https://www.facebook.com/ TheBritishMonarchy?fref=ts; https://www.facebook.com/sarahpalin?fref=ts; https://twitter.com/ShashiTharoor. Visited 11/2013. 3 Ibid., posted 20/11/2013. 4 Posted 20/11/2013, https://www.facebook.com/boyko.borissov.7?fref=ts. 5 Bulgaria is taken here as a language, not as a territory. 6 A post marked as being sent from a mobile device seems even more trustworthy, as this presupposes that the user does something else and has had no time to think it over. 7 “I hate you free of charge”—this slogan, hoisted by the artist Pravdoliub Ivanov at the anti-government protests in Sofia, 2013, was largely shared over the social networks. Profiting from his instant notoriety, he then put up an artistic exposition of slogans he designed and carried. 8 “Consumer reviews are powerful because, unlike old-style advertising and marketing, they offer the illusion of truth. They purport to be testimonials of real people, even though some are bought and sold just like everything else on the commercial Internet.” The Best Book Reviews Money Can Buy, New York Times, 25/08/2012. Lack of serious control in the relatively generous subsidies for political parties makes it possible to employ students to enter platforms and support the party’s positions and/or attack enemies. They are usually paid according to number, length, variation, and efficiency of posts. Fake consumer reports seem less of an issue in this country, as industries do not have enough know-how or funds for such sophisticated advertisement practices. 62 A S P E N R E V I E W / P O L I T I C S MICHAL HVORECKÝ Marián Kotleba: a Slovak as Well as a European Problem I t is often said that the integration of the Muslim diaspora will be of crucial importance for the internal stability of Europe. For the countries of Central Europe the basic and much more important challenge will be overcoming the exclusion of the numerous Gypsy community. About 12 million people of Gypsy origin are now living in the European Union. An overwhelming majority of them do not regard themselves as Roma but usually they are not accepted as members of the nations with which they identify. Most of them live in Central Europe and constitute a significant minority in Bulgaria, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania (from 5 to 10 %). This percentage will grow in the coming decades, for they have a much higher birth rate than the rest of the shrinking population of the region. The most dramatic is the demographic situation in Bulgaria and, to a lesser extent, in Romania: the UN predicts that until 2050 the population of Bulgaria will fall by 30 % and of Romania by 20 %. The Gypsy population of the EU will also increase by hundreds of thousands of people due to the accession of Western Balkan countries (especially Serbia). Consequently, we can expect that the problem of exclusion of the Gypsies, often separated by a social and economic chasm from the rest of the citizens, will be exacerbated. According to a European Commission report from 2012, entitled “The situation of the Roma in 11 EU member countries,” about 90 % of Gypsies in Central Europe live in poverty or on the verge of poverty. An overwhelming majority of them live in ghettoes, which are slums located on A S P E N R E V I E W / C MICHAL HVORECKÝ is a Slovak writer. Photo: Stanislav Jenis the outskirts of cities. The average number of persons living in one room is 2–2.5, while for non-Gypsies it is one room for one person. Gypsy districts are characterised by high incidence of various social dysfunctions (family violence, alcoholism, petty crime). EU research shows that about 35 % of Gypsies in Slovakia and Hungary and more than 60 % in Romania routinely experience hunger. Unemployment among Gypsies is two times higher than for the general population. According to EU estimates, Slovakia has the highest difference in the region in this respect: Slovak Gypsies’ unemployment rate is five times higher than the rest of the Slovaks. Poverty is inherited due to very low level of education among the Gypsy population. In the 20–24 age group the percentage of persons with secondary education among Romanian Gypsies was six times lower than in the general population. The educational situation of the Gypsies is by far the worst in Romania and O M M E N T 63 Bulgaria. From 15 % to more than 20 % Gypsy children in these countries do not go to school and usually take up unregistered work. Also in terms of social security the situation of Bulgarian and Romanian Gypsies is the worst. Only 40–50 % of them possess health insurance and just 25–35 % have some prospects of receiving an old age pension. The very difficult social and economic situation of Gypsies in Central Europe is not markedly different from that of their kin in Western Europe. But in the countries of Central Europe they constitute a much larger section of the population. Moreover, the countries of Central Europe have a lower financial and administrative potential to deal with integration of Gypsies. Their integration is more difficult than integration of Muslims in Western Europe, for the material and social divide separating Gypsies from the rest of the population is bigger, while their social and cultural background (for example the very low status of women or hostile attitude towards the government) is less conducive to integration. In addition, the dislike of the Europeans towards the Gypsies, effectively leading to discrimination, is more serious than towards Muslims. Of course, Gypsies pose a less severe direct challenge for European security than radical Muslims (terrorism) do. Unfortunately, also their degree of self-organization and social mobility is significantly lower. Among Gypsies in Central Europe, it is very difficult to find great sportspeople, film directors, writers or leading politicians, while in the West it is becoming the norm in the case of Muslims. Central European Gypsies were the social group most painfully affected by the downfall of communism. Since then their situation improved to some degree but the prospect of a growing population of young, poor, uneducated and unemployed persons of Gypsy origin remains a great challenge for Central Europe. It is not only an economic and social but also 64 A S P E N a political problem. In 2008–2009, a group of Hungarian skinheads organized a series of attacks on Gypsies, killing six of them. In 2010 Jobbik, the extreme right Hungarian party gained an all-time high 17 % of the votes in the general election. The main preserve of Jobbik is East Hungary with the biggest number of Gypsy inhabitants. And in Bulgaria there have been numerous reports on buying Gypsy votes (the currency is food, alcohol or money; such methods were also used by Vladimír Mečiar, the authoritarian ruler of Slovakia in the 1990s). In the European Union Bulgaria and Romania are, alongside with Greece, the lowest-placed countries in the Freedom in the World ranking. The Gypsy problem also has an international aspect: in 2009–2010 Gypsies migrating from Bulgaria and Romania to the West created tensions in the relations of Sophia and Bucharest with France, which started to deport them. The Gypsy migration also became an argument against accepting these two countries to the Schengen zone. In the coming decades the countries of Central Europe face a whole range of economic and social challenges connected to catching up with the most developed Western countries, which requires a second modernization leap (increasing competitiveness, creating an economy based on innovation). The alternative is falling into a trap of medium wealth and margina lization within the EU. For Bulgaria, Romania, Macedonia, Slovakia, Serbia and Hungary success of the continued process of modernization will depend to a large degree on strengthening integration of the Gypsies with the mainstream of society. There are no shortcuts here. Increased wealth in the countries of Central Europe does not have to mean assuaging the problem of Gypsy integration. An example of that is Greece from before the crisis. The situation of the Gypsies there was worse than in Slovakia or Hungary despite the fact that Greece was much wealthier. R E V I E W / C O M M E N T The Beginning of a Lost Decade Vladislav Inozemtsev How Russia slips into a new economic recession In 2013, economic growth in Russia had not exceeded 1.4 percent, and hopes it may accelerate in coming years look doubtful. Russian stock exchange indicators remain at around 60–65 percent of their pre-crisis values. Why Russia, the country that during the 2000s served as an example of rapid economic development, came close to a standstill these days? In my opinion, the very comparison of economic dynamics in recent years suggests that the crisis now evolving in Russia has nothing to do with the trends currently unfolding in the global economy. Oil, which play a crucial role in ensuring the country’s financial well-being, trades well above US $100 per barrel; financial markets continue to be flooded with money while interest rates remain low; Russia’s export revenues amount to around US $500b for each of the last three years. Therefore, the roots of the problem should be sought inside Russia—or rather in the policies of its authorities, which are pursued after President Putin’s return to the Kremlin in May, 2012. Among the most important factors explaining the current slowdown of economic growth in the country I would mention just five today. First, in recent years Russia experienced a steady increase of both budgetary incomes and outlays at all levels. In 2013, overall budget 66 A S P E N revenues reached 37% of GDP—roughly the same amount as in Austria, and bigger almost by a third than in Poland. Tax increases happen in Russia with surprising regularity, despite the apparent feeling about its liberal tax policy, fueled by a low 13 percent income tax; the social security payments these days are as high as 30.2 percent, the corporate profit tax stays at 20 percent, and value-added tax at 18 percent. It should be noted as well that about 50 percent of federal revenues originate from customs duties, which corresponds to the level more common in the poorest African nations. Both rising taxes and employment of new tough collection measures disregard investors from starting new businesses and undermine overall investment climate in the country. No less important is the fact that big state-owned companies, such as Gazprom, Rosneft, Russian Railways and many others for many years in a row have raised tariffs on their products and services, thus making their clients increasingly uncompetitive. Thus, the first cause of the coming Russian stagnation is the growth of the state’s involvement in the economy, manifested in different forms. As a result, entrepreneurial activity slows down while the capital flight from Russia becomes a constant process (from 2009 till 2013 more than US $320b were taken out of the country predominantly by domestic investors). R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y Secondly, the economic growth is derailed not only by collection of excessive government revenues, but also by highly inefficient budget spendings. Back in 2010, the then President Medvedev argued that around 1 trillion rubles (US $30b) annually were unappropriately used (read—stolen) by procurement of goods and services for state needs. But even this is not the most important thing. In contrast with the case of the U.S.’ “New Deal” when the public funds helped to bring the country out of the crisis, in today’s Russia their use does not provide a similar effect. On the first glance, the amount of investment is quite ambitious, but the use of funds is either focused in the propaganda-related projects (more than US $100b has been and will be spent on the celebrations like those connected with APEC summit in Vladivostok in 2012, G20 and G8 meetings, as well as the Winter Olympics in Sochi in 2014 and the FIFA World Cup in 2018), or do not produce additional economic activity (such as modernization of the Trans-Siberian railway or construction of high-speed railway from Moscow to Kazan’—both projects are expected to take about US $50b with no chance of a break-even in less than 50 years). With a significant portion of funds stolen or lost, the majority of construction workers being migrants from former Soviet republics, and a substantial part of the equipment and materials purchased abroad, such projects are unable to give a push to the economy. So, the problems arises from the fact that the increase in tax collection slows economic growth and public investment does not accelerate it. Thirdly, an important problem becomes the constant increase in costs. From 2001 to 2012, while the rouble/dollar exchange rate has remained relatively the same, domestic gasoline prices rose 11 times, natural gas prices—16 times, and electricity tariffs—nearly 20 times. Today, aluminum, copper and many other industrial metals are more expensive in Russia than they are traded in the world markets. Similar is the situation with construction materials. Costs of A S P E N R E V I E W / E connecting new enterprises to the grid in many cases exceed estimated profits from their operations for two or three years. As a consequence, a large number of goods and services produced these days in Russia are offered at prices much higher than those existing in the Eastern Europe and in Germany. Of course, under such circumstances, neither the Russian nor the foreign entrepreneurs have a desire to invest in a country where the production factors are so overvalued. Labor costs, which in the first half of the 2000s were one of the factors of competitiveness, has grown over the past years many times—but without increasing either of the quality or the efficiency of Russian workers. Fourth, there is no demand for innovations since the competition between private and public enterprises will almost certainly be won by state monopolies. In Russia today, there is a narrow sector of high-tech industries (mobile communications and Internet providers for example), but it attributes only 3–4 percent to the country’s GDP, and even its rapid growth can not compensate for stagnating industrial and resource sector, which provided rapid growth from 2000 till 2008. Todays Russia produces roughly the same amount of oil and natural gas as the Russian Soviet Federative Republic did back in 1990, while both Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan exceed Soviet-time production figures by 3 to 4 times. Commodity sector, which is extremely competitive worldwide and therefore high-tech, is monopolized in Russia by state corporations and does not spend money on R&D—the result is the preservation of both production structure and its technological base, and, therefore, some extended prerequisites for further stagnation of both resource and overall economy. Fifth, the history of recent decades shows that the most successful in the global economy are those countries which are actively involved in the global division of labor and which attract foreign investment and technology. In Russia, we now see the reverse process: the country has C O N O M Y 67 become virtually the only one in the world where a public company uses tens of billions of dollars for buying foreign companies operating on its territory (as it happened in the case of recent TNK-BP’s acquisition by Rosneft) and thus substitute a foreign investment by a domestic one. In addition, Russia becomes increasingly isolationist power and Putin’s foreign policy strategy is clearly aimed at limiting Western economic and political influence on the country. Meanwhile, as is well known, autarky under modern conditions almost always leads to a slowdown of growth like the one we witness in Russia today. One may note a number of developments which are not of purely economic, but also of political and social nature, and that also undermine the confidence of investors (both domestic and foreign) in Russia’s economy. Nevertheless, the main trend looks very distinct: Russia’s economic growth these days is sacrificed to the political ambitions of the ruling elite. In order to run the country without any challenges, it waives economic growth and competitiveness. Instead of lowering of meaningless government spending and introducing some aggressive tax cuts, Kremlin increases the tax burden and focuses on the administrative measures in handling the economy, rather than on easing it for entrepreneurship. Dynamics of the last two years, during which the quarterly growth fell from 4.9 percent in the 1st quarter of 2012 to almost zero in the 4th quarter of 2013, shows that this choice is wrong. However, it will not be revised, as Putin and his aides are convinced that politics is more important than economics, and “manual control” may replace the market levers. The result looks pretty obvious. While in Moscow the government still argues economic growth will accelerate to 3.0 percent in 2014 and to 3.4 percent in 2015, there is no reason to assume this happens. It takes from one to three years to change the trajectory of economic development—and after such a noticeable deterioration of the business climate, it is difficult 68 A S P E N to assume for its sharp improvement in the short run. Thus, it seems to me that what we all should expect is a significant deterioration in the economic situation in the country—most likely marking the beginning of a “lost decade” that will last as long as Mr. Putin remains in charge of Russia. I am not talking here about a recession or crisis; today Russia has enough means to avoid a classical recession (if necessary it may increase borrowing, cut some government spending, appropriate a share of the profits of state-owned companies) but there is no grounds to bet on growth. During 2014–2016 we might see Russian economy balancing on the brink of recession, going from a small increase into small contraction, and vice versa—but both within the statistical error. This situation is familiar to many developed countries, but quite unusual for a country that has grown at a pace of 5–8 percent annually over the previous decade. The question of how this economically “lost” decade can trigger acceleration of political process in Russia, cannot be answered today but Moscow’s claim for the status of a fast-rising power can be considered insolvent. V L A D I S L AV INOZEMTSEV is the Director at the Centre for PostIndustrial Studies in Moscow and the leader of “Civilian Force” political party. He serves as Presidium member at Russian International Affairs Council and Council for Foreign and Defense Policy. Photo: Archive Vladislav Inozemtsev R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y Europe Needs Protectionism Jean-Luc Gréau Why haven’t the political and economic rulers of the West decided to make a genuine diagnosis of the crisis, which started in 2007? Right after the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, a debate was launched in the media about the usefulness of protectionism. And it ended almost as quickly. Advocates of “happy globalization”1 simply announced that protectionist policy would be “retrograde and untimely.” But the post-crisis reality does not abound in successes. The economic sky cleared briefly in 2009 but this did not translate into a permanent and strong economic rebound for which was everyone hoping. Just two years later, Europe again came to a standstill. The United States did not succeed in filling the chasm produced by the liquidation of almost nine million jobs. The BRICS, which were supposed to take the baton of rapid growth, are themselves in trouble. We are beginning to consider the possibility of a Chinese crisis, which would be a continuation of the American and European one. quick profits was—it was this obsession, which drove banks and investment funds to reach for complex, unfamiliar and above all risky financial products. But these practices would not have developed on such a large scale (since the first decade of the 21st century) without a deliberate policy of stimulating the market of mortgages and consumption credits. This experiment achieved the largest scale in the United States. It was also the American case which showed us what the ultimate costs were. And yet the brief success of the stimulus policy, imitated in many other countries— for example in Great Britain, Spain, Austria, Ireland or Hungary—on the one hand allowed governments to proclaim the viability of neoliberalism and on the other hand allowed economists to declare that the model of open economies proved to have been a great success. It is undeniable that the political and economic rulers of the West have not decided to make a genuine diagnosis of the crisis, which started in 2007—precisely in order to avoid the necessity of changing the previously planned trajectory. But the crisis made us aware of the huge significance of wage deflation, a phenomenon which even earlier—although in a concealed manner—led A Crisis of Globalization An error of judgment was made at the very start. The violent shock which set many Western banks atremble (or even toppled some of them), focused the attention of the world on the very risky practices of financiers on both sides of the Atlantic. Of course there were good reasons for that. We know how strong the obsession with A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y 69 to the breakdown of internal demand in economies based on free exchange. The essence of wage deflation is obvious: human labor, regardless of where it takes place, is rewarded below what is deserved according to the criteria of efficiency and quality. The policy of stimulating demand with various means (above all through encouraging people to go into debt) produced a situation where the consequences of wage compression had not been felt for many years. 2 These consequences were indirectly revealed through the debt crisis and the crisis of the Western banking system. But these crises concealed the original cause of the shock, that is wage compression. As a result, we got mired in an unending technical and moral debate on new regulations governing the financial system, imposed in order to avoid the return of the crisis, but the issue of its most important and objective cause is painstakingly omitted. If it is true—and I believe it is—that wage deflation hampers or endangers a harmonious growth of the economies, then it unambiguously follows that today’s crisis in its deep layers is a crisis of globalization. Recent years prove that we have maneuvered ourselves into a dead end. It is impossible to build permanent growth on the quicksand of competition between all laborers of this Earth. living standards of the workers precipitated progress. After the war Western countries, wiser thanks to the experience of the Great Depression, institutionalized social and economic mechanisms of regulation. For the first time class struggle was combined with class cooperation—to the great benefit of the economies.4 Recent years prove that we have maneuvered ourselves into a dead end. It is impossible to build permanent growth on the quicksand of competition between all laborers of this Earth. In contrast to that, the neoliberal experiment started in the 1980s in the West is based on an unwritten assumption that wages are a random variable dependent only on the macroeconomic balance. This is reflected in the discourse of English and American economists, organizations representing employees and managers of central banks. The issue of wages never appears in their analyses, unless in a negative sense—their only worry is the inflationary effect of all wage raises, nothing more.5 As for the distribution of goods between various categories of workers, they rely on the job market. This resulted in a certain form of economic denial: it ceased to be obvious that demand for labor on the part of companies depends on demand for products on the market of goods and services.6 Let us briefly consider two closely interconnected phenomena, which gave rise to this historical change. They are, first, the growing influence of large stock market shareholders and second, borders more and more open to When Capitalism Is Rejecting Its Own Roots We just recalled the basic rule allowing for stable development of competitive economies: increasing productivity and quality of labor must translate into increasing wages. Marx’s criticism of capitalism was founded on the opposite claim: he believed that exploitation by blinkered capital owners would intensify. But history of economy exploded the Marxist claims. Real wages started to grow long before the period of prosperity, the so called “Trente Glorieuses,” that is the thirty glorious years of uninterrupted development after World War II.3 Class struggle conducted in the name of clichéd slogans of improving the 70 A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y the flow of goods, regardless of the conditions in which they are produced. Stubborn sticking to the principle that shareholders are to be the only beneficiary weakens national economic systems, threatened with repeated crises. These crises give a second life to Marxist ideas. And yet corporations, asked to act only with the good of the shareholders in mind, gained new opportunities for development thanks to the globalization. This process is twofold: locating companies on emerging markets allows them to acquire new markets for selling their products and the use of cheap labor and cheap specialists allows them to bring profit margins up. These two elements of globalization are not inseparable. What is more, we should contrast them with each other. Acquiring new markets is one thing and an opportunistic calculation aimed at reducing costs of labor regardless of the consequences is quite another. And yet these issues are deliberately interchanged in the propaganda of the eulogists of globalization. They still speak only about opening: let us take up the challenge and use the opportunities offered by globalization— this slogan is persistently repeated by economists, media and politicians holding neoliberal views (in a word, by everyone). The banal but crucial question if ability and talent is still rewarded with an honest wage is discreetly sidelined by the ideological and moralizing appeal to open to the others. In this way the de-territorialized capitalism, systematically emerging since the 1930s, is rejecting the operating principles which brought success to its territorial predecessor. It also negates other founding principles of capitalism, as the examples of Foxconn and the Rana Plaza complex show. As we know, the Taiwanese company Foxconn is a huge subcontractor of the American electronic industry. It built large production centers in China, where it uses cheap labor lacking any security but capable of reacting to sudden increases in demand for products very liable to A S P E N R E V I E W / E shifts of fashion. Production methods are not far from slavery. But the cynicism of Foxconn and its large customers, such as Apple, has another, perhaps more important aspect: the customer placing the order is separated from the factory owner. Products are conceived in such a way that the low cost of making them would limit the risk of the commissioning company: the investment will easily be recuperated, for it assumes the use of cheap labor. Even if the introduction of the product ends in a fiasco, the company that invented it will not suffer any loses. The Rana Plaza complex is another illustration of the perversions of de-territorialized capitalism. It is the name of a huge building close to Dhaka, into which textile workers making cloths for big Western brands such as H&M or Zara were squeezed. When this structure collapsed, 1100 people lost their lives. Rana Plaza is the opposite of what we used to call a “factory.” For the factory had been conceived as a place for labor based on rational principles. The employer— who was also the investor—tried to coherently manage parameters of production: receiving and processing materials such as raw materials and parts, internal transport,7 heating the building or quality control in the final stage of production. Moreover, the factory was changing in order to meet these parameters more efficiently. Even the textile industry, although it often requires only modest investments, was subjected to this evolution from the very beginning. But Rana Plaza was just a loose collection of workers and machines, without any rational organization of work or any concern for safety. So we may formulate a claim that in its most radical forms de-territorialized capitalism undermines its historical foundations, that is risk-taking by the company and its shareholders combined with full responsibility for physical investments and labor force. Besides the obvious social regression, de-territorialized capitalism embodies a fundamental regression of responsibility. C O N O M Y 71 What Kind of Protectionism? Protectionist policy should be the answer to the contradictions of capitalism without t erritory. It is a mixed policy,8 which in contrast to the increasingly radical free-trade policy should combine opening borders with closing them. I will name some of its elements. The necessary condition is freedom of investment in production. Every non-European company wanting to start working in the territory of the EU in order to develop its know-how should be able to do so, of course respecting legal regulations which are in force on this territory, including those regarding social security, sanitary conditions or environmental protection.9 Protectionism must—and there is no paradox here—attract foreign investors. Protectionism must be territorially defined in such a way that it would overlap with great regional blocks. The original Common Market proved the viability of open trade space, relatively wide but to the minimum necessary extent protecting companies from Western Europe. This principle should be employed again, this time in the extended space of today’s EU. Let us assume that on the EU market, differences in costs of labor may vary within in the one to three bracket but not more.10 Protectionism must be subject to negotiations as far as possible. Instead of reiterating to our overseas competitors that we are taking up the challenge of free exchange, we must announce to them that we are always ready to start talks on the conditions of access to markets—in the informed interest of our societies.11 But we must add that we reserve the right to unilateral actions. And finally, protectionism must be based on a catalogue of goods. This is a classic procedure. There are thousands of products in hundreds of sectors and subsectors. Regardless of any other factors we must consider protecting all branches of production in which we cope well. In my view we should start with what is today regarded as prospective sectors of industry: production of wind turbines, solar panels, touch screens, led lighting. We all understand that it is just the first stage. The debate has to start from scratch, ignoring the savage screams of the adherents of globalization. JEAN-LUC GRÉAU French economist, author of La trahison des économistes Betrayal of the Economists, 2008) and La Grande Récession (The Great Recession, 2012) Photo: Hannah Assouline 1 According to the time-honoured formula of the essayist Alain Minc. 2 France undoubtedly belongs to the small group of countries where labour is still rewarded in line with productivity but for the price of massive unemployment, which is impossible to bring down. 3 For English workers wages started growing in 1840. 4 But sometimes the increase of wages was excessive—in the 1970s, during the period of stagflation, for the first time in history wages were growing faster than productivity. 5 Minutes of the meetings of Fed’s monetary policy board show that since the 2008 crisis, its members have never discussed the wage situation. 6 Keynes assumed that demand for labour is first felt on the market of goods and services. 7 Railway transport was born in the factory. 8 This is how economic theory defines protectionism—as a mixed trading policy. 9 Let us note here a huge change in the scheme of international division of labour as proposed by Ricardo, a scheme based on the assumption of complete immobility of means of production. In Ricardo’s concept an entrepreneur sticks to his original territory. 10 Poland and the Czech Republic are within this bracket but Bulgaria or Romania are not. 11 Also of their societies, which are entitled to count on a rapid improvement of living conditions. 72 A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y “Steering Wheel Stuck on the Left” Mojmír Hampl Some notes on the debate on the current economic crisis The USA, (Central) Europe AndTheir Intellectual Underpinning. The liberal Slovak weekly týždeň has recently published an interesting probe into the thinking of a few local intellectuals. It examined the way their views of the role of the market and the state have shifted over the past 10 years. And the result? Nearly all of those included in this mini-sample felt closer to the ideological centre today than they had a decade ago. Interestingly, they had all converged towards the centre “from the right.” In other words, their faith in the market used to be greater or significantly greater than it is now. Should this finding surprise us? Probably not. It’s just that in the post-communist world the pendulum of intellectual debate continues to swing to the centre or to the left following the (unfortunately) unbalanced and inexorable—albeit quite logical, from a historical perspective—swing to the right immediately after the end of communism. Central Europe in particular and Europe in general has clearly never been and probably never will be a long-term paradise for liberal economic policies since that does not correspond to the long-term mentality of its population or, indeed, its elites. In this respect, a glance at Austria, the Czech Republic, Bavaria or Slovakia A S P E N R E V I E W / E reveals quite a few rather similar details in support of this argument. This is natural, since it was precisely this region that spawned the neo-Austrian school of thought—the intellectually unsurpassed shop window for the glorification of the market, freedom and spontaneous order and for the dismissal of the tyranny of the state and all forms of deprivation of freedom—so these ideas ought therefore to exert a stronger influence on practical politics in this part of the world. However, this argument fails to pass muster. For the ideas of such intellectual giants as Mises and Hayek would never have emerged had it not been for the day-to-day bureaucracy and etatism prevalent in this part of the world at that particular time. Their ideas were antithetical to the reality of the day, the Realpolitik and to course of everyday events. It is worth noting in this context that in the United States things actually work the other way round. Due to the often (and justly) tough reality of spontaneous market forces—even though, admittedly, this can no longer be taken for granted in the US either—universities, which usually generate intellectual opposition to the established order, tend to be strongly liberal in the American sense of the word, i.e. left-leaning. In this kind of environment, the neo-Austrian school would have been highly unlikely to emerge. C O N O M Y 73 1. The “Sheriff” and Economic Cycles However, in terms of the debate as to what constitutes a desirable intellectual, economic and political response to the current crisis, all of the above also means that nothing extraordinary or exceptional is to be expected because, well, that really does happen only in exceptional cases. However uncomfortable a liberal may find this, calls for state intervention and for “someone to do something about it” tend to intensify in times of crisis. And in public discourse “someone” often means the government. It is, after all, a well-known fact that wars and post-war periods also push the majority towards more radically targeted and etatist policies. Prolonged periods of weak economy are only a mild variation on the same story. So far, nobody has come up with a reliable, convincing and definitive answer to the fundamental economic question, which is: why does the normal market economy basically behave in a cyclical manner? Why is it that manic periods of shopping fever and bubbles alternate with depressed periods of panic and hasty sell-offs? To present the range of theories and hypo theses shedding a light on this question would go beyond the scope of this piece, as would an attempt at explaining how economic policies try (or rather, are supposed to try) to moderate these swings—since they are incapable of putting an end to them. Admittedly, a liberal might object at this point that it’s not the job of economic policies to try anything or do anything, since the most they can achieve is to make things worse or, indeed, that they are in fact the very cause of these cycles and upheavals. Either way it holds true that in good times people demand less from the state, require less support and hand-holding and want more freedom, whereas the minute crisis strikes and the cycle changes, suddenly everyone, including some tough market players, clamors for a “sheriff with a gun” to bring the whole “saloon” under control from one day to another, restoring “order” and days of prosperity by firing his gun a few times. Econ Journal Watch has recently conducted an opinion poll of a sample of economics Nobel Prize winners that was quite similar to the Slovak poll mentioned above but with a rather different outcome. But that does not, in fact, contradict the argument about the intellectual underpinning of the US and European debate. Quite the opposite. Most Nobel prize winners are US-based; having started from markedly etatist and anti-liberal positions, in the course of their careers they have come to champion the market, sometimes even turning into classic liberals. This would confirm the claim by the 1982 economics Nobel Prize winner George Stigler, who said that studying economics makes people naturally conservative (as well as confirming the justified suspicion that among social scientists economists are the most pro-market oriented intellectuals), but it confirms no more than this. So far, nobody has come up with a reliable, convincing and definitive answer to the fundamental economic question, which is: why does the normal market economy basically behave in a cyclical manner? In particular, it offers no additional arguments for the claim that it is easier for liberals to discuss economic and political responses to crises in some countries than in others, or that it makes such discussion easier in general. All that it demonstrates is that people living in different countries might reach similar positions (a kind of intellectual “center”) from very different starting points and for very different reasons. 74 A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y 2. The Misery of Liberal Revolutions Given all the territorial, intellectual, historical and cyclical limitations mentioned above, can you really mount a reasonable defense of the liberal, pro-market response (one that is favorably inclined to spontaneous forces at that) to any crisis, including the current one? Especially if you are a central banker, i.e. a state employee? I still believe that you can. It is a sad and frequently overlooked fact that the sheriffs—the governments—often behave similarly to other players. And by taking part in the pro-cyclical behavior, they tend to worsen the problem. They impose additional restrictions and regulation at the very time when that is most harmful, thereby hampering the normal cleansing market mechanisms or exacerbating existing and already quite serious problems or, in the worstcase scenario, doing both. Moreover, this is often applauded by an audience that is ultimately most adversely affected by all this. In the current, post-2008 crisis, central banks appear to be an exception to this rule. As I have often emphasized, we may have been foolish enough to repeat the 1930s experience in many ways (for instance, by repeating the mistake of increasing the regulation of the financial sector at this difficult time, we have managed not only to weaken it but also weaken the entire real economy) but the central banks have done a 180 degree policy turn, staying in a “permanent state of emergency,” constantly ready to use quantitative easing to stabilize entire economies. Is that a good thing? Let us consider a compa rison: the gold-standard currency policy during the period of the so-called Great Depression era required a radical and rapid elimination of old debts and imbalances. As a result of this policy banks collapsed, unemployment rose and economic output shrank overall. Nowadays, the impact of the crisis on the real economy has been mitigated thanks to central banks’ interventions. However, rather than fundamentally resolving the problem of debt burden, we have only extended it in time and space. Nor have we shut down failing banks either. What is better? The choice is yours, as the history of economics is still waiting for the definitive answer. However, in the developed world the “sheriff” in the shape of a central banker, unlike many others, at least doesn’t do more harm than good, although this claim is fiercely contested too. A S P E N R E V I E W / E Nowadays, the impact of the crisis on the real economy has been mitigated thanks to central banks’ interventions. However, rather than fundamentally resolving the problem of debt burden, we have only extended it in time and space. First of all, it is evident that for decades the entire developed world has been affected by what we might call the “steering-wheel stuck on the left” effect. So far every crisis, whether economic or of any other kind, has resulted in the economic and political steering wheel being turned towards a greater state role in the economy, towards more comprehensive regulation, the creation of new public institutions, and frequently to higher taxation and eventually to an increased redistribution via state budgets— the last being the ultimate indicator of everything listed above. However, once the crisis is over, the steering wheel never fully returns to its original position, always remaining at least slightly C O N O M Y 75 stuck on the left. This tendency has been evident for decades in every developed country of the western world. For example, at the beginning of the 20th century Belgium redistributed some 14 percent of the overall product via the public purse, while comparable data for 2011 show that the redistribution exceeded 54 percent. In Great Britain, the figures are 9 percent and 47 percent respectively, in Germany 10 percent and 48 percent. It is worth noting that no conservative or liberal revolution has managed to make a dent in this long-term trend. Although in Great Britain Margaret Thatcher managed to create a small temporary downward “ripple,” even she wasn’t able to come anywhere near significantly changing, let alone reversing, the overall gradient of the curve. The pendulum swung back again. In the US, Ronald Reagan did not fare much better either. The only positive exception in the developed world might be Switzerland, where redistribution has also increased but markedly less so. However, the world is not based on e xceptions. What is evident is that throughout the entire period the developed world has not been gaining global significance (except, maybe for the US for a while). Rather, the share of its global economic product has been slowly diminishing. We do not yet have any reliable information that might help explain why, after attaining a certain level of wealth, people tend to be increasingly less concerned about the fact that the state keeps shaving ever larger layers off the additional wealth for its own use. Nevertheless, this tendency does not seem to positively affect the ability of the Western world to generate wealth or to dominate in both political and economic terms. Certainly, we can say that we are sufficiently wealthy to have to keep multiplying our wealth. But that is quite a weak argument, one that makes a virtue of necessity. After all, it is well known that increased wealth generally helps to make a country and its economic players more civilized. 76 A S P E N Thus what the anti-liberal trend in general and in times of crisis in particular chiefly does is that it destroys the very foundations that had made the Western world an attractive, strong and prosperous place. It destroys the motivation to look for the best possible solution and best possible course in spontaneous market forces. By contrast, it encourages all the symptoms of societies that are headed towards collapse in the long term: excessive administration, continuously rising taxes, a growing proportion of society dependent on others, a culture of fare-dodging or seeking annuities instead of engaging in productive activities. Of course, these long-term trends are not visible in normal everyday life, hidden as they are under the surface and working as the proverbial subtle tightening of screws. That is what makes them especially dangerous. In democratic and open societies, these tendencies are to some extent counterbalanced by normal spontaneous market forces but they are made to carry an ever-increasing burden and face an ever more arduous struggle for survival. Nevertheless, it is only their increasingly limited existence that keeps the whole system going, even though the etatists are successfully trying to convince all of us (including the market forces themselves) that it is the additional curbing of the remaining spontaneous processes that ensures the working of the system. The car engine is treated as a necessary evil rather than the very thing that makes the vehicle move forward. It is almost tempting to suggest that perhaps one shouldn’t try to maintain the fragile balance by fighting for liberal principles and instead let the etatists carry their ideas to fruition as rapidly as possible. There is a chance that hitting the wall might facilitate a speedier change of course. Nowadays these tendencies are most marked in the European integration process. In difficult times etatist and excessively regulatory tendencies have grown quite strong in the European Union, both on the part of the European R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y ommission, a body with a high concentration C of individuals who sincerely believe that the world can be governed by decree (for example, the Internal Market Directorate might as well be renamed, more aptly, the Regulation Directorate), and at the level of individual countries that are often keener on integration the weaker they feel in economic terms, trying to gain confidence by “leaning on the others.” Incidentally, this is the weakest of all arguments in favor of closer integration, for it ultimately results in making countries inward-looking and in cultivating a sense of “greatness” based on membership and population numbers rather than on the growth of wealth based on principles that encourage this kind of growth. In fact, it has long been a proven fact that it is not the largest and most populous countries that are economically strongest in the long term (the US may be an exception) but rather the small, liberal, open economies that have to compete for capital, taxpayers and investors. It is no accident that global competitiveness and wealth rankings tend to be dominated by the “usual suspects”: Hong Kong, Singapore, Luxembourg, Bermuda, and so on. If, therefore, anti-liberal intellectual tendencies end up locking the European Union (and with it the Czech Republic) into destructive thinking along the lines that “what really matters is size,” never mind gradual impoverishment, this, in addition to the present crisis, will provide further confirmation of the unfortunate trends outlined above. And that is something that all, at least mildly liberal, thinking people should be concerned about, regardless of any mystical “naturalness” of the development described above. MOJMÍR HAMPL is Vice-Governor of the Czech National Bank Photo: Czech National Bank A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y 77 Why Is Eastern Europe Backward Anna Sosnowska The countries of Eastern Europe—except for Bohemia— are economically weak while historically they are nonWestern and peripheral Research by Marian Małowist (1909–1988) and Witold Kula (1916–1988) was introduced into the global academic circulation by a star of economic history, the Frenchman Fernand Braudel, and the controversial but still adored patron of Marxist sociologists of globalization, Immanuel Wallerstein. The picture of Eastern Europe shaped by these researchers dominates in the global economic history. Eastern Europe from the 16th century to the 20th-century interwar period is presented as one of the first peripheral regions of the world capitalist economy with the centre in North-Western Europe. Weak economically and oppressive politically, it unsuccessfully attempted to pull itself out of backwardness. Social inequalities were running deep here and the relations between the lord and the serf were more despotic than in Western Europe. In Poland this picture was and is treated by historians, such as Jerzy Topolski (1928–1998) and Andrzej Wyczański (1924–2008), as highly controversial. Among experts on social sciences and the general public it is virtually unknown. I promote Kula’s and Małowist’s studies among researchers and commentators as useful for understanding Polish social and economic history, including the most recent one after 1989. 78 A S P E N It seems very valuable to me that they open the history and present of Poland to comparisons with other peripheral countries—usually non-Western and often postcolonial ones, undermining our attachment to our self-image as Europeans. Latinos of the East The ideological message of both Kula’s and Małowist’s interpretation is clear. First, economies that come in touch with more developed economies—through international trade— succumb to a dependence on imports. Such cheap products as unqualified labor, grain, coal, cotton or tomatoes can be also delivered by other peripheries, so countries dependent on exports of raw materials have a limited impact on prices and in the long term they become subject to exploitation. Second, since the times of the expansion of capitalism from North-Western Europe to the peripheries, social classes acquired an international character. The majority of global lower classes are located on the peripheries and global elites are concentrated in the countries and metropolises of the capitalist centre: in Amsterdam in the 16 th and 17 th century, in London and Paris in the 18th century, in New R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y York in the 20th century. On the peripheries, the higher rungs of this global social structure are virtually non-existent. International merchants, and today managers of global corporations, arrive only for brief stays. Upper middle class that is the richest bourgeoisie and today’s local managers of global companies, come from the center or try to copy the lifestyle of their bosses from the main headquarters. pre-socialist Eastern Europe, for the countries composing this region are “agricultural countries with strong feudal relics, a strong landowning class and great overpopulation of the countryside.” They were characterized by “insularity and exterritoriality of means of industrial production owned by foreign capital as well as by great social, technological and cultural contrasts.” In the 1960s Kula was convinced that had it not been for state socialism, Eastern Europe would recall Southern Europe and Latin America—poor, with authoritarian rule and social contrasts. “If you have any doubts if such a structure would have a permanent nature, look at Portugal, Spain, Greece or Latin American countries.” In the 19th and 20th century, Southern Europe and Latin America were supposedly similar to pre-socialist Eastern Europe. The West, the East and Russia Significant features of the geographic area of Eastern Europe emphasized by Kula were serfdom lasting up to the 19th century and unsuccessful attempts at industrialization undertaken later than in Western Europe but earlier than in other parts of the world. Therefore Kula placed both Poland and Russia in Eastern Europe. This constitutes the important difference between the concepts of Eastern European character proposed by Kula and Małowist. In the works of the later, serfdom does not belong to the essence of Eastern Europe, in contrast to exports of raw materials (corn from Poland, ores from the Balkans, stock animals from Bohemia and Hungary), which in late Medieval period led to an international division of labor which was unfavorable for Eastern Europe and to a dependence on markets in developed countries. In Małowist’s interpretation the burdens of serfdom, growing since the 16th century, form an important factor of the emergence of this mechanism but just one of many possible such factors. This is why in the East of Europe, best characterized in the book Wschód a Zachód Europy. Konfrontacja struktur społeczno-gospodarczych [The East and the West of Europe. Confrontation of Social and Economic Structures] published in 1973, Małowist includes Witold Kula presented elaborate comparisons between Eastern Europe and the Americas in the colonial period as well as between Eastern Europe and Latin America in the period of “unsuccessful industrialization” in the 19 th and 20th centuries, as he called it. Despite the geographic liberties he took, which sometimes irritate historians, these comparisons are interesting. Comparing the relations between Eastern Europe and American colonies with the West, Kula created such analogies as serf-slave, nobleman-señor, farm-plantation, grain-cotton: “If, despite low productivity and the cost of long sea transport, the products of these »colonies« (Eastern Europe on the one hand and American colonies on the other) win and are sold for good money on English and Dutch markets, it is possible only thanks to paying less to the labor force, which is cheap because of being not free: in servitude in Europe, in slavery in America.” In the 19th and 20th century, Southern Europe and Latin America were supposedly similar to A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y 79 areas between the Baltic and southern Adriatic, that is both north of the Danube, where serfdom persisted until the 19 th century, and in the Ottoman Balkans, where it had never existed. But the servitude-based Russia did not belong to this region, for in the 16th century its despotic state structures banned trading contacts between Western merchants and local gentry, with the government controlling this trade. 16th to the 18th century, international trade had no significant influence on the development of any country and supra-local national economies were only starting to appear. The growth of some economies and failure of others depended on internal factors, also non-economic ones, such as population density, wars and epidemics. In our times, a similar position is taken by Markus Cerman, the author of the book Villagers and Lords In Eastern Europe 1300–1800 published in 2013. He points out that the division into the Western European land of liberty and the Eastern European land of subjugation and serfdom was not so clear, for personal subjugation was less common than the feudal duty of working for the lord. At the same time serfdom was exchangeable for rent, therefore, generally speaking, it was not so different from the duties of peasants towards their overlords in Medieval and Early Modern Western Europe. The countries of Eastern Europe are economically weak while historically they are non-Western and peripheral, and in contrast to non-Western peripheries they lived under the influence of economic, ideological and cultural contacts with the West. Modernisation on the Peripheries The main participants of the Eastern European debate have long been dead. Economic history is asking different questions than in the 1960s and 1970s. But the works of Kula and Małowist and the debate on backwardness conducted forty years ago seem still relevant and inspiring to me, for they remind us that: 1. The countries of Eastern Europe (excluding Bohemia, industrialized early, dominated by the bourgeoisie and more prosperous) are economically weak while historically they are non-Western and peripheral, and in contrast to non-Western peripheries they lived under the influence of economic, ideological and cultural contacts with the West; 2. The post-1989 transition was another attempt at a peripheral modernization imposed from above, similar to other peripheral roads to Modernity; 3. Like in the case of previous attempts at modernization in Central and Eastern Europe, it is imposed from above and motivated by the desire In a slightly similar vein as Małowist, Kula explains Eastern European backwardness not only through domestic socioeconomic structures but also through “external influences,” for the course of development in a backward country cannot be explicated without a reference to international trade relations. Both scholars assumed that a strong influence of this kind was present in Poland as early as in the 16th century, when grain trade with the West started flourishing. They were criticized for that by Andrzej Wyczański and Jerzy Topolski: their detailed calculations showed that only a small part of farms and grain production was exports-oriented. They argued that in the early modern period, that is from the 80 A S P E N R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y of local elites to achieve the lifestyle of Western elites and be culturally recognized as Europeans; 4. As usual, attempts at modernization on the peripheries are accompanied by a fervent ideology. Kula’s argument that ideological intensity is proportional to the lateness of modernization is convincing. While the pioneers of industrialization espoused a liberal ideology, in Prussia and Germany it was nationalism and in Russia—communism. Europeanization—accompanied by the “return to Europe” slogan in the 1990s and “being European” after the 2004 accession—is another modernization ideology, that is, as Karl Mannheim defines it, a justification for the political and social order being what it is; 5. Wage migrations, typically taking place from Eastern European villages to Western industrial centers and big cities, form an under estimated element of our social history as well as our regional and national identity. Migrants from our region, together with the Irish and emigrants from Southern Europe, at the turn of the 20th century were pioneers of wage migrations. In the 20th century, this response to backwardness became common on the remaining peripheries. In the memory of the most industrialized nations of the West we are like Sicilians or Greeks, remembered as cheap laborers (we repress this element of our identity and are ashamed of it); 6. Arguments, political and even partisan divisions in Central and Eastern Europe can be interpreted as arguments about how to treat our peripheral status. The main line of division runs between those accepting this status and those who feel humiliated by it. The former see opportunities for development within the existing international order, while the latter rebel against it from nationalist or anti-capitalist positions; 7. Condemnation for the supposedly lazy, frivolous and financially dissolute Greeks, Spaniards and Italians, common in the Polish public discourse, means assuming the German perspective in looking at the crisis and at the division of “old Europe” into the German centre and A S P E N R E V I E W / E Mediterranean peripheries. Geographic analogies proposed by Kula remind us about the similarities in the economic situation of Eastern and Southern Europe on the eve of Modernity. Understanding these peripheral European identities may be cognitively and politically more p rofitable than focusing on the studies of Germany, France and England. So what are the ideological options for us, representatives of Eastern European middle class, who work with words and ideas, also in the West? The attitude which I regard as beneficial for the region, cognitively honest and psychologically bearable is as follows: let us recognize (following Kula) backwardness as a permanent feature of regional economies and confront it—intellectually and in terms of identity—recognizing what is Central European in us but also cultivating what we share with other European and non-European peripheries. ANNA SOSNOWSKA scholar, University of Warsaw, author of Zrozumieć zacofanie. Spory historyków o Europę Wschodnią (1947–1994) Photo: Nikola Jordanovski C O N O M Y 81 How to Trade Economic Independence for Political Sovereignty Eva Maurina Example of the former Soviet Union country Latvia The Republic of Latvia is a small country situated on the Baltic coast, in Eastern Europe. The estimated population of 2012 slightly exceeds 2 million. 60% of the population is ethnic Latvians, while a significant part, i.e. 27.3%, is Russian, demonstrating the legacy of the past (Eurostat, 2012). Just slightly over 20 years ago, Latvia was under the Soviet rule and Communists were the ones who had the power to make decisions. The nation itself experienced the Soviet economic and political system. Even though the productivity of the agricultural sector was high, all harvest was transported to other Soviet territories. Nevertheless, industrial capacity was significantly improved, employment was high, education was for free, and most of the basic needs of the nation, such as housing, were satisfied. Latvia’s de facto sovereignty was recognized in 1991, and the first years of independence were spent developing a functioning state. When a political stability was reached and reforms initiated, the nation became increasingly concerned about the preservation of its statehood, so in 1995 the Latvian authorities adopted a statement defining foreign policy goals. They 82 A S P E N argued that the sovereignty can be strengthened through early integration into the European and world-wide security and political and economic structures. Latvia became a member state of the UNO in 1991, and joined the EU and NATO in 2004. However, clear existence goals for the country were absent for the first decade of independence. While political sovereignty was at the top of the agenda, the majority of the society believed that the continuous increase of average human wellbeing and a long-term conservation of cultural heritage and Latvian language should be the goals. Even though the initiated reforms increased individual freedom and protected rights, many question whether these reforms improved human well-being only. The Human Development Index, published by UNDP, assesses the long-term progress of human development regarding a long and healthy life, access to knowledge and a decent standard of living. The overall human development value in Latvia has been positive as the HDI value has risen from 0.693 (1990) to 0.805 (2011). Hence, the statistics rank Latvia among other high human development countries. R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y The majority of indicators, compared from 1990 through 2010, have followed a positive trend. Very often, the development was slow during the first years of independence when the reforms were launched. Years later, in the 21st century, especially after Latvia’s accession to the EU, human well-being improved more rapidly until the crisis in 2008, which resulted in its decrease. Nevertheless, improved absolute numbers should not be overestimated. The previously centralized health sector has experienced notable reforms in the last 20 years; thus, the health condition of the inhabitants of Latvia has improved. At the same time, more and more people are unable to afford the health care services due to the growing prices. Despite advancements and reforms in the health care system, demographics are in recession, which is a serious threat to the country’s succession. A natural decrease of population due to lower fertility rates and a considerable migration outflow (especially within the first years of the collapse of USSR and after Latvia’s accession to the EU) has contributed to the fact that the population has decreased from 2.67 million in 1990 to 2.24 million in 2010. As a consequence of a smaller number of new-borns and rising life expectancy, the population is aging, which imposes an increasing burden to the economically active part of the population to finance the retired people. Unfortunately, not only is financing the retired people a serious issue, but also a complete burden to costs of primary goods, which have increased. Even though the absolute income has increased, the amount of people earning less than the subsistence minimum is rising, especially in the rural areas. It has to be mentioned that the content of Latvia’s subsistence basket has not been revised since the first year of renewed statehood; thus, in reality, it does not contain all goods and services required for living decently. Furthermore, since the accession to the EU, prices have risen rapidly. For instance, total A S P E N R E V I E W / E housing costs have increased significantly— in the USSR the rent and public utilities were highly subsidized by the government, whereas in 2005 the average housing costs amounted to 80 US dollars and 170 dollars in 2009. The situation is even worse, considering the fact that the proportion of overcrowded households is one of the highest within the EU. The EU has provided significant advantages to the Latvian population, especially the youth, which is now eligible to study permanently or temporarily at foreign universities, enjoying the same terms and conditions. Also, to the people who are entrepreneurial, open-minded and have a certain understanding of how to take an advantage of new business opportunities. The EU has also contributed to the modernization of hospitals, schools and the infrastructure. On the other hand, the Soviet government paid for housing, education and health care thus more resources were available for food items, leisure time, clothing, and also the employment ratio in the Latvian SSR was close to 100 percent- compared to the 16 percent unemployment level in 2009 Therefore, there are people who believe that the communism times ensured better well-being. Lessons from the past should be learned. One of the main arguments for Latvia entering the EU was the economic advancement. Nonetheless, skeptics argued that not every person residing in Latvia would benefit. Citizens who benefited the most would be young people, as they would enter better-paid jobs, whereas the pensions of retired people would not increase as rapidly as the prices of goods and services. Latvian farms would face serious hardship due to a surplus in the market resulting from foreign competitors that are subsidized by their own governments. They were right. The EU has suppressed the Latvian economy as a result of shutting down industrial plants, uncontrolled FDI inflows, enabling cheap credits, a significant inflation and price increase, and foreign companies creating a competition which small Latvian companies C O N O M Y 83 and farmers cannot defeat. The smaller economy led to an increasing budget deficit, external borrowing and, finally, budget cuts demanded by the IMF and the EU, which have harmed the population as their adjusted income is not as high as living costs. One can say that Latvia traded a part of its economic sovereignty in order to ensure its political independence and the population is paying the price. However, the people living in Latvia have been willing to pay this price for the sake of Latvia’s sovereignty. In a survey, carried out by the national news portal TVNET in 2004 it was asked what the biggest threat to Latvia’s sovereignty is. 53 percent of the 5311 respondents indicated Russia and unknown money influx as the biggest danger. On the contrary, just seven percent perceive integration into the EU and NATO as imminent danger to Latvia’s independence. On one hand, if Latvia had not joined the EU, the threat imposed by a money influx would have been limited, but political independence would have been significantly less insured. If Latvia had not joined the EU in 2004, it could have taken its time to develop the industries, which correspond to the society’s interests, not to the EU regulations. In addition, the migration outflow would have been smaller; therefore, people who are desperately needed in Latvia to cultivate the economy would have been available. In this case, Latvia would have experienced a slow and stable economic and social welfare growth. However, at some point in time, say 10 years later than the original accession date, Latvia should have joined the EU, as it is too small to be acting alone on the global stage. Latvia does not have significant raw materials or highly developed industries; thus, it lacks international power. Its needs and ideas are heard and pushed forward only in cases when stronger partners share the same interests. The EU is a platform where Latvia can find like-minded countries; therefore, it can find “allies” and together strive for developments and economic and political stability. 84 A S P E N As for the Latvia’s situation in the EU, in 2014, opinions whether the country really needs to adapt the euro vary. In September 2012, the public opinion on the euro adoption was all-time low, as only 13% of Latvians support the idea. Being a member of eurozone would further disable Latvia to control its monetary policy and raise the prices, which would not correspond to the income earned by a less productive workforce and industries compared to the ones in other EU states. Therefore, many experts believed that Latvia should postpone its adoption of the euro until the future of the eurozone is clearer and Latvia recovers from the economic recession and advances its production regarding productivity and value added. E VA M AU R I N A is a CFO in an Austrian smarthome company and a Master student of the Vienna University of Economics and Business. Photo: Farah Tashin Alam R E V I E W / E C O N O M Y ANIS H. BA JREK TARE VIC From EURO Back to Europe E urope’s redemption lies in the re-affirmation of the Lisbon Strategy of 2000 (and of Göteborg 2001), a ten-year development plan that focused on innovation, mobility and education, social, economic and environmental renewal. Otherwise a generational warfare will join class and ethnic conflicts as a major dividing line of the EU society in decline. Back in the good old days of the Lisbon Strategy (when the Union was proclaimed to be the most competitive, knowledge-based economy of the world), the Prodi and Barroso Commissions have been both repeatedly stressing that: “at present, some of our world trading partners compete with primary resources, which we in the EU/Europe do not have. Some compete with cheap labor, which we do not want. Some compete on the back of their environment, which we cannot accept…” What has happened in the meantime? The over-financialization and hyper-deregulations of the global(-ized) markets has brought the low-waged Chinese (peasant converted into a) worker into the spotlight of European considerations. Thus, in the last two decades, the EU economic edifice has gradually but steadily departed from its traditional labor-centered base, to the overseas investment-centered construct. This mega event, as we see now with the eurozone dithyramb, has multiple consequences on both the inner-European cultural, socio-economic and political balance as well as on China’s (overheated) growth. That sparse, rarefied and compressed labor, which still resides in the aging Union is either bitterly competing with or is heavily leaning on the guest workers who are by definition underrepresented or A S P E N R E V I E W / C A N I S H . B A J R E K TA R E V I C Professor and Chairperson Intl. Law & Global Political Studies, Vienna. Author of the book Is There Life After Facebook?—Geopolitics of Energy and other Foreign Policy Essays (Addleton Academic Publishers, New York, 2013), and the forthcoming book No Asian Century. Photo: Crans Montana Forum silenced by the “rightist” movements and otherwise disadvantaged and hindered in their elementary socio-political rights. That is how the world’s last cosmopolitan—Europe departed from the world of work, and that’s why the Continent today cannot orient itself (both critically needed to identify a challenge, as well as to calibrate and jointly redefine the EU path). To orient, one needs to center itself: Without left and right, there is no center, right?! Contemporary Union has helplessly lost its political “left.” The grand historical achievement of Europe—after the centuries–long and bloody class struggle—was the final, lasting reconciliatory compromise between capital and labor (e.g. tightening the “financial screws” while unemployment kept its sharp rise, was a big mantra O M M E N T 85 of the French, British, German and Italian political center-right in late 1920s and early 1930s). It resulted in a consolidation of economically entrepreneurial and vibrant but at the same time socially just and beneficial state. This colossal civilizational accomplishment is what brought about the international recognition, admiration, model attraction and its competitiveness as well as inner continuity, prosperity and stability to the post WWII Europe. In the country of origin of the very word dēmokratía, the President of the Socialist International (and the Nation‘s PM) has recently introduced to his own citizenry the most drastic cuts that any European social welfare system had experienced in the last 80 years. The rest of official Europe (and the rest of “unofficial us”) still chews the so-called Greek debt tirade as if it is not about the very life of 12 million souls, but a mare technical item studied at secondary schools’ crash-course on macro economy. The present-day Union, aged but not restaged, is (in) a shadow of the grand taboo that the EU can produce everything but its own life. The Old Continent is demographically sinking, while economically contracting, yet only keeps afloat. Even the EU Commission, back in 2005, fairly diagnosed in its Green Paper Confronting Demographic Change—a New Solidarity between Generations that: “...Never in history has there been economic growth without population growth.” The numbers of unemployed, underemployed or underpaid/working–poor are constantly growing. The average age of the first labor market entry is already over 30 in many MS—not only of Europe’s south. The middle-class is pauperized and a cross-generational social contract is silently abandoned, as one of its main operative instruments—the Lisbon strategy—has been eroded, and finally lost its coherence. To worsen the hardship, nearly all European states have responded wrongly to the crisis by hammering down their respective education and 86 A S P E N science/R&D budgets. It is not a policy move, but an anti-visionary panicking that delivers only cuts on the future (generations). No wonder that our cities at present—instead of blossoming with the new technologies—are full of pauperized urban farmers: a middle class citizenry, which desperately turns to mini agriculture as the only way to meet their nutritional needs. The numbers of unemployed, underemployed or underpaid/working– poor are constantly growing. The middle ‑class is pauperized and a cross-generational social contract is silently abandoned, as one of its main operative instruments—the Lisbon strategy—has been eroded, and finally lost its coherence. Currently, the end game of the so-called euro-crises seems to reveal that the financial institutions are neither under democratic control nor within the national sovereignty domain (e.g. 20 years ago, the value of overall global financial transactions was 12 times the entire world’s gross annual product. By the end of 2012, it was nearly 70 times the size). How else to explain that the EU—so far—prefers the unselective punitive action of collective punishment on the entire population’s (e.g. of Greece, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Ireland, etc.). So far, Iceland remains the only country that indicted and R E V I E W / C O M M E N T sentenced its Prime Minister in relation to the financial crisis. From the democratic, transparent, just, visionary and all-participatory, a holiday from history—model of the European Community, the EU should not downgrade itself to a lame copy of the Federation of Theocracies—the late Ottoman Empire. This authoritarian monarchy is remembered as a highly oppressive and undemocratic although to a degree liberal and minority-right tolerant feudal state. The Ottoman Federation of Theocracies was a simple functioning system: with the Sultan’s handpicked Grand Porta (verticalized/homogeneous monetary space of the EMU and ECB, moderately restrained by the Council of the EU) that was unquestionably serviced by the religious communities from all over the vast Oriental Empire (horizontalized/ heterogeneous fiscal space of the EMU, in which every state freely exercises its sovereignty in A S P E N R E V I E W / C collecting taxes and spending), unless otherwise prescribed off-hand by the Sultan and his Porta (ECB and IMF). Ergo, negotiating on the coined “eurozone debt crisis” (debt bound economies) without restaging the forgotten Lisbon strategy (knowledge‑based Community), while keeping a heavy tax on labor but constantly pardoning financial capital, is simply a lame talk about form without any substance. Clearly, it is a grand bargain of a tight circle behind the closed doors about control via austerity, not a cross ‑generationally wide-open debate about vision of prosperity. Despite a constant media bombardment with cataclysmic headlines, the issue is not what will happen with the EURO or any other socio‑economic and political instrument. The right question is what will happen with us—as means are always changeable and many, but the aim remains only one: the self-realization of society at large. O M M E N T 87 The Mysterious Death of Bohumil Hrabal (1914–1997) Aleksander Kaczorowski “So what actually happened to Hrabal? Did he fall out of the window, or did he jump?” Many people have asked me that question, and when they see the dismayed look on my face, they answer it themselves with great confidence. I wish I could do that too, but I can’t. After all, I wasn’t there with him, when at a few minutes after two pm on 3 February 1997 he leaned out of the window of his room on the fifth floor of Prague’s Bulovka hospital. There was no one there with him whose warnings to be careful not to lean out too far (and ultimately to get the idea of suicide out of his head) he might have heeded. It was already eight years since the death of Karel Marysko, his dear friend and the first reader of his youthful poems, jotted down in green ink on sheets of company headed paper in the deserted office of the brewery at Nymburk whose manager was František Hrabal, the future writer’s father. Not long before Marysko, Hrabal’s wife Eliška had died, his beloved Pipsi (Marysko was the speaker whose tears of emotion prevented him from uttering the final words over her coffin). A few months earlier Hrabal’s brother, Břetislav (known to his family as Slávek) had passed on to the other world. The writer’s parents and his beloved Uncle Pepin had long since led a posthumous existence on the pages of his books, just like the waste paper packer Jindřich Peukert (the prototype A S P E N R E V I E W / C Photo: Tomáš Mazal for Hanta, the hero of Too Loud a Solitude) and the painter and graphic artist Vladimír Boudník, who took his own life (though once again one could argue that it was an accident). On 3 February 1997 there was no longer anyone left in this world whom Hrabal would have care about enough to want to live for them. Apart perhaps from his cats. But what do they matter, when never before had there been so many people who thought of Hrabal as a teacher U L T U R E 89 of life? Could a man like that take his own life? The doctors and the police ruled out the idea of Hrabal’s suicide. Jiří Kolář, his contemporary and mentor from the start of his creative work, also thought it unlikely. But Susanne Roth, Hrabal’s translator into German (to whom he left the rights to foreign-language editions of his books) published a violent protest in the Czech press against the media’s version of the writer’s death as an accident suffered by a decrepit old man. A few months after Hrabal’s death Susanne Roth died of cancer. Perhaps her awareness of her own inevitable death was what made her express such a categorical opinion? But other translators and experts on Hrabal’s work are convinced he committed suicide too. From his books, one can source arguments in support of this theory by the handful, including those written in his declining years as well as his earliest works. The heroes of Hrabal’s books make up a veritable suicide club: old Hanta doesn’t want to live in the new times; perhaps it is purely by accident that the hot-headed Vladimírek strangles himself; and the trainee Pipka punishes himself for losing in love. But at the very beginning there’s Cain, the title hero of an early story by Hrabal (written in 1949), who tries to kill himself, as a substitute for the author himself. But does this mean that half a century later the writer completed the task bungled by his alter ego? Being well versed in modern French literature since before the war, he became engrossed in the existentialists just after it. His Cain is a literary exercise on a theme put forward by Camus: after the war I couldn’t get enough of Camus’ “The Stranger,” which affected me so much that under its patronage and inspiration I wrote “Cain,” he recalled years later. For his hero “the stranger” is himself; he turns the blade of his cold passion on himself. Once rescued, he comes to terms with life—only to be killed after the war by a stray bullet. This theme reappears fifteen years later in Closely Observed Trains: After the failed suicide, Pipka is killed just at the moment when he wants to live the most. Maybe it is this sequence of events, the way Pipka’s desires fail to be realized (how true to life!), that causes the naive hero to sink so deep into the readers’ memory. Suicide attempts by the main characters are a powerful theme in the dramatic development of many of Hrabal’s works. This is the case in Closely Observed Trains, Too Loud a Solitude and Tender Barbarian. But does this mean he himself had suicidal tendencies? Have you ever thought of suicide? As a writer? I’m always thinking about it. As a writer, I’ve been right on the edge of it. But to make up my mind to do it myself and go off to a riverbank somewhere—what an idea, no. Never, he told the Hungarian journalist László Szigeti in the mid 1980s. So what did happen to him? My life has reached its culminating point, he said in an interview a few years before his death. I must surely have lived and written purely in order to write “Loud Solitude,” he said as early as 1989. Hrabal had a long wait for his readers. Time and again the printed stock of his earliest volumes of poetry and collections of short stories got lost in the twists and turns of his country’s history; he did come to land, but only at a minor railway halt, or at the waste-paper depot. But such was the history of his country—it had indeed gone off the rails, such was the fate of everything he loved—sentenced to be put through the mill. On this rubbish heap he discovered a wonderful antidote to history; in ordinary, everyday life he found a remedy against getting stuck in a rut and growing apathetic. Not immediately, and maybe without even meaning to, because he did not spend his life at odds with his era, or even anywhere close to it; his time ran in the opposite direction. In the 1950s when his country was hurrying towards the bright future, he found his world in a suburban bar; in the 1960s when it was busy building socialism with a human face, he was writing about closely observed trains; and after 90 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E the crushing of the Prague Spring in 1968 when Czechoslovakia became one great “suburban hospital,” in spirit he was living at the brewery— the same one where he spent his childhood and youth. Later on, in the autobiographical trilogy he wrote in the mid-1980s, The Weddings in the House, he trod the same path once again, but in the opposite direction, going backwards. Just in time to catch up with history in 1989—and this time with the entire country too. Only then, in his declining years, did he try to keep pace with it, to be a chronicler of modern times. He sent letter after letter, first to the American specialist on Czech studies April Gifford (Dubenka), whom he had met at the Golden Tiger inn, then to his beloved cat Cassius (named after the famous boxer Cassius Clay—alias Muhammad Ali), and finally to himself. But how long can you go on writing to yourself? His readers adored him, but rather in the way we adore an ancient grandfather who cheers us up with anecdotes about the good old days. But he wasn’t at all in the mood for laughing. At that time he wrote: One day the regulars will finally throw me out of the Golden Tiger, because I’m always telling them to go to hell, I’m always calling them cretins, and talking about them and about humanity in general as an evil, stupid and criminal brood. Though people are also soberminded and ingenious (.) Because I myself am a cretin, I’m evil, stupid and criminal. I’m also a Czech writer, the heir to Jaroslav Hašek, and I’m simply not able to behave myself, I behave just like that hysterical McEnroe, when he gets furious on the tennis court, because he thinks the linesmen and the referees are picking on him, even the audience, especially when he’s not winning. But in Andy Warhol’s photograph, McEnroe is a sensitive, likeable young man, just like I was before I began to surround myself, before I began to be surrounded by a personality cult. And thus I was left like the Aurora. High and dry. I’m fine like that! His readers believed he was the person he invented—Bohumil Hrabal, the hero of the books A S P E N R E V I E W / C he wrote. Maybe that was the only sort of existence he wanted for himself now, and like a child who lets his body drop without fear, because he knows the swing will send it flying up again a moment later, he joined company with Hanta and Vladimírek? It came suddenly, almost overnight: I couldn’t drink. Just as if my body and soul were rebelling, agreeing that from now on they would refuse their daily bath (.) One way or another, I discovered that even the tiniest drop of alcohol, just one little sip of wine, caused my liver to rebel and shout out “Stop, stop!” (...) Suddenly vanished, the great ally which for so long had kept my demons at bay was no longer there to prevent those demons from swarming through the subconscious, and I was emotionally naked, vulnerable as I had been before (.) Depression caused by sudden abstinence. No, that is not from an essay by Hrabal. He noted down this quote from William Styron’s Darkness Visible in the summer of 1993, and added a comment of his own: Every day I think about suicide (.) It’s Saturday, I’ve postponed suicide until tomorrow. Hrabal’s final writings bear witness to everdeeper depression. His spiritual suffering came along with the pains he felt in his entire body, and his legs refused to obey him (they seem a bit far away from me, like the wooden legs of a puppet. He could only move about with a stick. This morning, as always after a delirious night, I shaved (sitting down, because I have trouble standing), and thought Dr Rypka may be right— after all, he did discover it from an X-ray—I’ve got degeneracy of the inter-vertebral cartilage, so sooner or later I’ll be in a wheelchair. In December 1996, he fell over outside his summer home in Kersko. Partially paralyzed, he ended up in Bulovka hospital, where he had already spent the previous winter. Week after week went by, the Christmas holidays and then the New Year. January went by. His friends came to visit him, including Tomáš Mazal, translator U L T U R E 91 Monika Zgustová and others; several of them got the impression that he was saying goodbye to them forever. They tried to keep up his spirits and talk about plans for the future, but Hrabal just waved them aside. But several years earlier he wrote the following words about his friend, Professor Jaroslav Kladiva: To my friend Jarulínek, the man who led the funeral procession and spoke over the coffin of Jan Palach, to Jarulinek for making the funerary oration over Palach’s coffin, the heavens repaid him by letting him die of cancer, but all the same, in defiance of the heavens he renewed his fishing license, although he was already lying in the hospital on Charles Square, chained to the bedpost by death. In January 1969 philosophy student Jan Palach set fire to himself in Prague’s Wencelas Square. He sacrificed his life to shake the consciences of his compatriots. Instead he shocked them so much that they ended up resigning themselves to the Soviet occupation. On the twentieth anniversary of his death Hrabal wrote: I’ve thought about jumping from the fifth floor so many times, because I’ve seen my wife (.) but I’ve postponed the jump; if I had the strength I’d buy a can of petrol too and set myself alight, but I’m afraid, I’m not brave. To him, the true champions were people like Mr Ruziczka, who after an acrobatic display jumped into an empty swimming pool in Moscow, broke his spine and cannot walk; he uses his arms like fins, but he has a beautiful wife, and above all, Mr Hrabal, he has the courage to live, a zest for life! But damn and blast, to hell and damnation, go and get stuffed, Mr Hrabal, with all your oy-oy-oying and searching for a reason not to live. You’re a walking reproach, Mr Hrabal! He wrote that almost six years before his death, on 3 March 1991. So where are we to find the key to the riddle of his death? In his books or in his biography? He mystified his own life story so much that there is no way to tell truth from fiction. Did he, in a moment of weakness, go against the grain of his own work, which was a non-stop apology for life, a testimony to the will to live at any price? After all, in his most famous works the theme of suicide acts as a counterpoint to a eulogy of life; throughout his time as a writer, he was only ever playing with the idea of suicide, first that of his heroes and later his own. That is a cruel game, but so is life itself. For as long as he was playing this game, Hrabal was always a writer. But once his eighty-three-year-old body refused to obey him, once his own organism had betrayed him and made it impossible to perform his daily ritual of casting a spell on death, once he could no longer write, the literature was at an end. Now he was nothing but a lonely old man, who could only expect one more thing from life—a slow and gradual death. As Uncle Pepin used to say: This world is madly beautiful. Not that it really is, but that’s how I see it. If Hrabal did commit suicide, it was for one reason only: to spare himself the fate of Uncle Pepin, his “Muse in maltster’s clothing,” who ended his life in an old people’s home, wetting himself and recognizing no one, not even his beloved nephew. To spare himself the fate of his wife Pipsi, who spent months and months dying of cancer before his very eyes. To spare himself the fate of Karel Marysko, his brother Slávek, Professor Kladiva and many others. Was that really what happened? Every time I reach for his books, Vladimírek will hang himself on the door handle, Bondy the poet will stamp his feet in rage in his tiny shoes, Uncle Pepin will let us in on another secret of Mr Batista’s sex manual. But Hrabal will never let us in on the secret of his death. 92 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E Robert Schuster Oscar Bronner: A life in Defiance of Austria and Its Situation JM Stim, Eva Weissenberger: Trotzdem. Oscar Bronner. Eine Biografie, [In spite of. Oscar Bronner. A Biography] rde— redelsteiner dahimène edition, Wien, 2013, 326 pages In October 2013 the Austrian daily Der Standard marked a quarter of a century of its existence in grand style. These days the newspaper, printed on distinctive pink paper, is taken for granted as an integral part of the Austrian media world. So much so that it is hard to believe how difficult the process of its establishment in 1988 had been and, in particular, how hard it was for it to maintain its position on the market. This is just one of the stories covered by the biography of Oscar Bronner, the paper’s founder and its publisher to this day. However, Bronner has left a much deeper mark on Austria’s media space/world, as the driving force behind two other media titles that had significantly affected the media scene in Austria—the economic monthly Trend and the political weekly Profil. The title of Bronner’s biography, co-authored by Austrian journalists Eva Weissenberger a JM Stim (aka Klaus Stimeder) is “Trotzdem“ which translates as “In spite of.“ In fact, much of what Bronner has achieved over the past forty years came about in spite of the existing, mostly unwritten, rules; in spite of the advice of his close friends or busi- A S P E N R E V I E W / C ness partners. For he aspired for nothing less than to make at least a small contribution to overcoming the parochialism that allowed Austria and its inhabitants following 1945 to enjoy quite a good—and especially comfortable—lifestyle. This was because after the war, unlike Poland or Czechoslovakia, Austria had found itself on the “right side” of the Iron Curtain. From the mid fifties Austria slowly ceased to be the West’s poor relative, joining countries which the so-called economic miracle put on the path to prosperity. However, the gradual material rise of broad swaths of society and their growing confidence went hand in hand with silence regarding the role Austria played from 1938 to 1945. The country had been declared “the first victim” of Hitler’s politics by World War II victorious powers as early as 1943. This premise served not only to underpin the argument for the country’s restoration in 1945 but also helped to pass the buck of the emerging Austrian identity. Asking your parents and closest people about their past was not the “done thing,” that was the general consensus. U L T U R E 93 Those who offended against it had to expect being pushed to the margins of society or, to be on the safe side, chose to leave Austria of their own accord. That is why many Jews who had managed to flee Austria after the 1938 Anschluss or who had survived the Holocaust, did not come back. They realized that not only was anyone likely to welcome them with open arms but they might face fresh affronts and bullying as those “responsible for starting the war.” In this respect, Oscar Bronner’s Jewish family was an exception. Although quite a few of their number fell victim to the Nazi rampage, after 1948 they returned to Vienna, the hometown of Bronner’s father Gerhard. As a fifteen-year old he fled to Palestine and made a living as a cabaret actor an pianist with the local British military band. Eventually he made it to the head of music programming of the BBC Palestinian studio and after the war was offered a job at the London head office. Growing up between Germany and Austria Oscar Bronner soon became aware of the differences between the two countries in terms of the relations between politics and the media. What struck him in particular was the fact that the Austrian public often treated politicians as demigods, of whom no critical questions may be asked. Instead of presenting a critical point of view, mass media limited themselves to polite court reporting. It was the Bronner father and son who helped to launch the first great postwar scandal in Austria. It involved personal continuity between the reconstituted democratic republic and the Nazi regime, whereby there were quite a few individuals in key positions who had not only been committed and active Nazis before the war but often continued to espouse the same views. This particular case concerned Taras Borodajkewycz, professor at the Economics University in Vienna, whose lectures abounded in anti-semitic statements and who was well connected with top ranking Austrian politicians. A student of his, the future finance minister Ferdinand Lacina, had secretly recorded his lectures and the recordings reached the Bronners. Gerhard Bronner used the recording on his satirical show on Austrian TV, adapted into a fictitious interview. A huge scandal erupted, leading to violent clashes in Vienna between Borodajkewycz’s supporters and sympathizers and eventually, nevertheless, forcing the anti-Semitic professor into early retirement. In his journalistic career, Oscar Bronner covered similar issues for several Austrian dailies. His texts and reports frequently provoked heated debates and the targets of his criticism often went to courts demanding the entire printrun be seized. That was when Bronner came to realize that Austria sorely lacked a critical media outlet, similar to the German weekly Der Spiegel, willing to publish similar texts on a regular basis, advocating for a change of the situation in the country. He was convinced that Austrian readers were ready for a publication of this kind. As a first step towards an investigative magazine he envisaged an economic journal that would attract potential advertisers. However, the question of funding was of key importance. Asking Austrian banks for credit would have amounted to becoming part of their economic empire and it would result in a complete loss of independence. That is why Bronner approached his good friend, the Czech aristocrat Karl Schwarzenberg, at the time living in Austrian exile. Schwarzenberg had made available half of the start-up capital for the publication of an economic monthly, even though his advisers insisted that he withdrew support for the project later, at the last minute, although this was not made public. Bronner‘s economic monthly, Trend, was a breath of fresh air not only in terms of substance but also in terms of form. It was in full color, individual texts were illustrated with graphics and cartoons and the ads were also in full color. Full ‑color ads were very expensive at the time and 94 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E Bronner assumed that potential advertisers would welcome the possibility of having the same ad appear in two media outlets at the same time. That is why the first issue of Trend, published in January 1970, was followed by the first issue of the political weekly Der Profil in September of the same year. Although Schwarzenberg withdrew from the role of active co-publisher before the first issue had come out, he promised his help, should Der Profil find itself under political pressure. That is why for the next few years the aristocrat would start every telephone conversation with Bronner by asking: “Do you need any help?” A situation like this arrived quite soon, in 1971. The weekly Der Profil published a series of articles exposing the abuse of office on the part of Vienna’s then mayor, the socialist Felix Slavik. Slavik succeeded in the court issuing an injunction and having the entire printrun of the journal impounded twice. In spite of that, Bronner had the relevant issue published for the third time, in its original form. While the issue sold really well, the ancillary expenses required to print it three times were reflected in the publisher’s financial situation. He was short of money to pay staff writers‘ salaries and Schwarzenberg had to step in. Not by intervening with those who held power in Austria or by a financial injection but by giving an impassioned speech to the incensed staff who were owed their salaries. Although the financial situation of the publishing house later stabilized, Oscar Bronner had to sell his shares in both magazines in late 1973 and early 1974. Bronner subsequently used the money from the sale to finance several years in New York, having originally decamped there for six months. While in New York, he socialized with the local intellectual elite and took to painting, even organizing several exhibitions of his paintings. It was here that Bronner became aware of his Jewish roots, and realized how much richer his native Vienna would have been if it had not lost its Jewish population during the war. A S P E N R E V I E W / C Oscar Bronner only followed the events at home from the distance. On his return 13 years later, he found Austria hotly discussing the controversial election of former UN Secretary General Kurt Waldheim the country’s president. The presidential campaign, which had aroused a great amount of attention abroad, at times included openly anti-Semitic rhetoric since Waldheim’s supporters believed the resistance to his candidature was directed by the “US East Coast and the World Jewish Congress.” The situation in Austria at the time seemed conducive to the founding of a liberal daily along the lines of the New York Times. The original concept of the paper was to be similar to that used with the monthly Trend: it was meant to be a daily for CEOs offering exclusive economic information and strictly distinguishing between news, analysis and commentary. It was supposed to be a genuinely new kind of newspaper, at the same time making the readers feel they are holding something that has always been around since, to quote Bronner, a newspaper is “an intimate affair, almost a family member.” Just like in 1969, the main issue was getting started and raising the funds for the project. Again, the publisher’s first point of call was Prince Schwarzenberg. However, unlike on the previous occasion he turned Bronner down claiming there was no room in Austria for a daily of this kind. Since by then Bronner had the reputation of a successful founder of two magazines, very soon a bank consortium emerged willing to fund the launch of the new daily. However, when it came to detail, the banks withdrew from the project from one day to another, possibly bowing to the pressure of the publishers of other dailies that felt threatened by the new project. The reason was that while Bronner lived in New York, Austria had gone through a marked concentration of media, printers and especially newspaper distribution. Any new newspaper project would thus had to either develop the entire infrastructure from scratch or accept the U L T U R E 95 conditions set by established publishers, something that was a priori unacceptable to Bronner as it would have jeopardized his main goal of creating a daily that would be completely independent of all the existing media and political structures in Austria. However, Bronner found unexpected support when he offered a share to Springer, the German publisher. This was quite ironic given the atrocious reputation German publishers, who were behind the tabloid Der Bild and the conservative daily Die Welt, enjoyed in left-leaning liberal circles, i.e. among the planned daily potential readership. To a large extent, this was because of the negative role the Springer group media had played during the 1968 student riots, their irreconcilable attitude to communism as well as their distinctly pro-Israeli stance. Bronner, however, took a rather pragmatist view. He also rightly anticipated that the foreign owner would be primarily interested in economic indicators of the project’s success rather than the context of the Austrian social and political discourse. In addition, it soon became clear that betting on a foreign partner paid off right from the start: when the new daily was in danger of not finding printers because the negotiations had failed at the last moment, the Springer group leadership did not hesitate a second and simply dispatched a printing press to Austria, saving the paper. Quite predictably, rival media reacted to the new arrival on Austria’s media market by commentaries questioning the viability of the new daily. Nevertheless, exactly fifty years after the country’s invasion by the Nazis it was rather unexpected to see some journalists resorting to traditional anti-Semitic clichés familiar from the presidential campaign when they felt it was necessary to remind the readers that Bronner had spent several years living in New York where he had “managed to garner the support of moneyed ‘East Coast’ circles” and so on. With the benefit of hindsight, it is clear that the project of Der Standard, a liberal daily, has firmly established itself in Austria, as witness by the growing readership figures. It even survived when its original foreign strategic partner withdrew when, after an initial euphoric expansion into Central and Eastern Europe in the early 1990 the Springer group began to focus on consolidating its business activities in the reunited Germany. Bronner had to raise money quickly to pay off his partner. His rivals on the Austrian market saw this as another—possibly the last— opportunity to gain control over the daily through affiliated banks. Of course, nothing has to last forever, including a media project success. However, in his life publisher Oscar Bronner has already proven three times that he can realize his visions in an environment that does not seem to be conducive at the first sight. 96 R A S P E N ROBERT SCHUSTER Managing Editor Aspen Review Central Europe E V I E W / C U L T U R E Kateřina Šafaříková The West in Crisis Petr Drulák, Politika nezájmu: Česko a Západ v krizi. [The Politics of Indifference: the Czech Republic and the West in Crisis] SLON, Praha 2012. Petr Drulák’s book explores the direction in which the Czech Republic is headed now that it has returned to Europe. “Czech society lacks a binding agent. It exists solely as a vast group of individuals interconnected by private interests, language and institutions, whose purpose and effectiveness are generally under question. Czech society lacks the concept of public interest which could make public engagement by citizens meaningful, pointing the way to further development. This has resulted in a total lack of interest in public affairs and an escape into the private sphere. In many respects this lack of interest and escapism are reminiscent of the impact of the communist normalization regime in the 1970s and 1980s, complete with moral devastation in the form of indifference and corruption.” It is paragraphs like the one quoted above that make Petr Drulák’s book The Politics of Indifference: the Czech Republic and the West in Crisis essential reading. More attentive observers of Czech affairs will not find this quotation shocking since it contains nothing they have not already suspected. What makes the book attractive is the author’s ability to encapsulate, in a few lines, the basic facts and offer an immediate interpretation. Drulák’s publication may well be read as a textbook in that it follows the logic of a textbook rather than that of an essay: it begins by A S P E N R E V I E W / C defining a problem, goes on to analyze the selected variables and their transformation over time, and then offers a synthesis followed by a recommendation for the future. The author’s starting proposition is that by joining the European Union in 2004 the Czech Republic has completed its return to history and is now in need of a new narrative. Unlike after 1989, however, this narrative is not to be found in the geopolitical West, which is in the grip of the same crisis as the Czech Republic itself. Long Live the Invisible Hand of the Market The first, theoretical part of the book examines liberal democracy as the dominant concept of Euro-Atlantic civilization, providing a basic blueprint for the unfettered organization of individual states. The reader soon realizes that the author’s first message amounts to the following: what we lack is fraternity—the third essential component, in addition to liberty and equality, of any community based on the ideals of the Enlightenment—and our present-day crisis both derives from, and is amplified by the absence of fraternity as a binding agent of society. Petr Drulák does not call for the dismantling of the liberal concept and redefining the paradigm. Rather, he notes that by reducing human freedom solely to its economic value in the free market economy and by emphasizing U L T U R E 97 the m aximizing of individual personal profit we jeopardize solidarity and social equality and thus also society as a whole. It is hard to argue with this conclusion against the backdrop of the bursting of various economic bubbles, the financial crisis and bailouts of institutions deemed too big to fail and Drulák is certainly not the first to reach it. At the same time, already the introductory chapter hints at the author’s general conclusion since, following the logic of his argument and logic in general, self-preservation dictates that Western societies, including that of the Czech Republic, must above all strive to renew fraternity. Czech readers, who have lived through the 1990s—a time when the mantra of “capitalism without modifiers” and of the all-embracing “invisible hand of the market” was more prominent in this country than in any other post-communist state—will find some unexpected retro humor in this chapter, too. long-term process of disintegration of the glue that bound societies. All that is left are atomized individuals whose “materialism [is] focused on the struggle for the greatest possible consumer opportunities,” says Drulák. Present-day Czech society mirrors all these problems. As Václav Klaus’s notion of society prevailed over that of Havel, and privatization acquired the status of a universal remedy in the modern Czech Republic, everything communal has become pointless and public interest has fizzled out. In Drulák’s words, Czech politics is now tantamount to nothing but “servicing the oligarchs.” Servicing the Oligarchs The second part of the book applies the theoretical approaches to historical practice. The author presents a typology of the communities that the West has passed through since emerging from the ruins of the Western Roman Empire—from Christian and dynastic communities, through various forms of nationalism, right up to current liberal market society. This is followed by an analogous survey of the Czech historical development with its moments of glory, from the Great Moravian Empire to 1968 or, indeed, 1989. He then presents a synthesis focusing on the current state of affairs: the disintegrating and fumbling Western stage. Drulák believes that the geopolitical West began to lose self‑confidence as early as 1945 as a result of the rise, and success, of communist ideology. Later, following the decline of the USSR, it also lost its external glue. The 9/11 attacks and the subsequent financial and economic crisis have only deepened the What Is Missing Although in the early parts of the book there are some major generalizations that do not always necessarily apply, they create the expectation that the author will supply a possible solution for all these problems. Nevertheless, in one particular respect, he does not quite succeed. In a brief passage Petr Drulák tries to come to terms with the “dysfunctional European fraternity,” i.e. the repeated negative outcome of referendums held by the founding countries of the EU in an attempt to provide common institutions with new legitimacy. He lays the blame for this largely on the European political elites, on the grounds that they do not treat the European level with the same amount of solidarity and “love” as the national one. “The eurozone crisis provides a good illustration of this,” says the author. “By imposing its solutions on countries that are experiencing serious problems Germany is forgetting that, as its chief architect, it carries responsibility for the eurozone and that in the past it profited from it substantially (…) thereby deepening the crisis and destroying the already incomplete and fragile web of European fraternity.” This step aside seems inappropriate. For one, we lack sufficient distance to reach this conclusion since the eurozone crisis is not yet 98 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E over and the roles of the individual players as well as their assessment of the situation is still subject to change. But first and foremost, by now readers have come to expect a more profound analysis of European fraternity, one that would go beyond the current election cycle. Particularly since Drulák regards the absence of European fraternity as the main reason why Western Europe is currently in free fall. This raises a number of burning questions that the book should have dealt with. Naturally, the reader might ask which of the elements listed by the author are present in the existing EU community and which ones are not, particularly since Petr Drulák regards the outlines of the present-day European Union as the basis for a new incarnation of Western Europe. Is it “love” that is missing in an EU that is strictly secular, technical and based on regulation of commodities? Or is it rather the nation, the oft-invoked single European demos that is missing? Here, too, the book does not go deep enough. Love Us, Angela At the very least, it raises the question of whether a purely instrumental European fraternity symbolized by the EU is a project that has a chance to survive in the long term. Especially in a space formed and reformed on the basis of the nation state—or an even narrower identity— and where the last supranational binding agent was provided by Christianity and royal dynasties which, unlike the EU, involved a mystical link between human beings and the infinite, in other words, emotions? To put it simply, would European fraternity be truly functional if only it was more ardently championed by political elites? Is this the case and if not, why not? Since Petr Drulák’s claim that the reset of the West and the Czech Republic alongside it depends on its “spiritual renewal that will, in turn, revive fraternity,” the absence of answers to the above-mentioned questions fails to prepare the reader for the final chapter. A renewed fraternity, the book reads, must not neglect the following elements: “Love, as we know it from Christianity; nation, as developed by the patriotism of the modern era; and liberty and equality of individuals, as the main focus of various currents of liberal ideology.” Drulák suggests that we should look for an underpinning of this renewal at the supranational level since a “purely national concept of a future community does not meet the requirements of present-day reality.” When Will the Turning Point Come? Nearing his conclusion Petr Drulák adds that a “renewed fraternity can grow from a narrative or narratives” in which the essential elements of the potential glue mentioned above are cultivated in a new way and which grapple with the need for a mystic union between the individual and society on the one hand and God or the universe on the other. This, however, adds even more complexity and generates more questions than answers. For where is this development supposed to come from and what form will it take? The author believes that it will grow out of the “discontent of the people” with the state of their societies and that it will take the form of a “protest movement.” Such a movement can have the chance of making its mark in history only if it represents as many social and professional groups as possible and, while having its national epicenters, only if it involves the entire West, is based on inclusive discussions and grapples with the human desire for the infinite. And—that’s all. By the end of the book, the reader is left with the impression that he or she doesn’t have any idea how the West and the community to which he or she belongs can be salvaged. However, it would be unfair to blame the author for this. The turning point is not easy to predict and is often impossible to recognize as such, even as and when it happens and even A S P E N R E V I E W / C U L T U R E 99 if it is very clearly outlined. Who would have thought that the self-immolation of the Tunisian street vendor Mohamed Bouazizi would spark off a revolution throughout the Arab world? Petr Drulák is right to say that many decisive events depend on forces nobody can control. That is why his book does not provide for a fast and easy step-by-step renewal of the West recipe. After all, providing this kind of exit for today is not the job of an academic, since specific recipes are pre-eminently a task for politics, rather than political science. It is just a pity that the author has not expanded this section of the book by adding a few pages covering the protest movements that have recently emerged in the West, the Occupy movement in particular. Occupy has met the requirements of a supranational movement motivated by popular discontent: it has involved several social groups and elements of positive democracy (active and selfless interest in public affairs on the part of most participants and their willingness to give the movement the “gift” of labor, time, etc.) and possibly, in a wider sense, also love, as defined by Petr Drulák. That is why an analysis of this type of protest movement through the author’s optics might help the reader anticipate a future “grand narrative” and assess future political recipes. 100 R A S P E N Students Who Haven’t Been In my introduction, I said that this publication can be read as a textbook. Its strength lies in the fact that, as opposed to many textbooks, it is not sterile in spite of the occasionally excessively encyclopedic style. This is because it uses “live matter”—our present—and that gives it an urgency. Its weakness consists in the fact that it is most likely to miss its key “student” audience. The Politics of Indifference: the Czech Republic and the West in Crisis will be read mostly by people who are already interested in the issue whereas, in fact, it ought to be read mainly by those who long to be our leaders and want us to enable their ambitions. Most of these people are unlikely to read it. That, however, is hardly Petr Drulák’s fault. K AT E Ř I N A Š A FA Ř Í K O VÁ is a Czech journalist who covers mostly the Czech foreign policy and the EU matters. She now works for Česká Pozice, an online investigative media. E V I E W / C U L T U R E Peter Jukes Revisionism and Resurrection Laima Vince, “Journeys Through the Backwaters of the Heart”, Amazon 2012 In at least one instance, the book ends up romanticizing a Lithuanian resistance leader who has been accused of participating in one of the most notorious pogrom in Kaunas in June 1941, when thousands of Jewish civilians were killed by Lithuanian nationalists in the days before the Germans had set up their administration. Much of the book is uncontentious, and serves as a well-timed reminder of what happened to individual Lithuanians who suffered three rapid invasions; the USSR’s annexation of the country in June 1940 as a Soviet republic; the German invasion of 1941 to free them from “Bolshevik bondage”; and then the return of the Soviets in 1944. By then, around 96 percent of Lithuania’s long-established Jewish population had been annihilated, the highest percentage of any European country during the Holocaust. Though Lithuania ended up being enlarged as result of the 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop pact (the city of Vilnius was transferred from Polish control), the Stalinist terror played out with terrible but familiar logic. As with the Katyn massacres, Stalin was determined to liquidate senior Lithuanian officials, intellectuals or professionals who could lead some kind of opposition. Vince claims that at least a quarter of those executed and deported in 1939 were Jewish (though this probably relates to Vilnius) and maintains that, during the next decade or so, a third of Lithuania’s population would be killed, imprisoned, dispossessed or deported. These are hard numbers to verify, unless they While filming a re-enactment of a battle between Lithuanian nationalists and their Sovietbacked NKVD persecutors, Jonas K adzionis (a survivor of the ‘Forest Brothers’ partisans) warned the author Laima Vince: “Don’t get lost in the forest, and don’t lose your conscience.” Unfortunately, in her book “Journeys Through the Backwaters of the Heart” Vince has managed to do both. There are few more treacherous journeys in history than through the forests and cities that Tim Snyder charted in his book Bloodlands: that triangle of land from Eastern Poland, Belarus, Ukraine and the Baltic states which was multiply ravaged by Soviet Russia and Nazi Germany from the mid-thirties to the early fifties, during which at least 14 million civilians died. With initially admirable intentions and some affecting narratives, Vince tries to navigate a personal path through wartime L ithuania, concentrating on the “stories of women who survived Hitler and Stalin.” In her apparently random encounters, it’s the emotional connections and recommendations that form of the bulk of the historiography. But are the voices representative? And though poignant and heartfelt, are the fading recollections of those in their 80s and 90s the same as historical facts? A S P E N R E V I E W / C U L T U R E 101 include all the victims of farm collectivization. But there’s little doubt that Lithuanian society suffered in Stalin’s attempt to create a “Homo Sovieticus,” shot through with a Russian-centric form of “ethnic cleansing”: the widespread terror and dislocation being the main reason Hitler’s invading troops were welcomed at the outset of Barbarossa. An early target of the NKVD were elementary and high schoolteachers who defiantly sang the national anthem during the first Lithuanian Soviet Teacher’s congress in 1940. Within days, teachers and their families were arrested and sent— in summer clothes and no supplies—to exile in the remote arctic wastes around the Laptev Sea where a large number perished. Ryte Merkyte was a child of this mass deportation. Though her father died of starvation, Ryte refuses to cling to resentment or a victim mentality. “Your body can barely hold on,” Ryte told Vince: “so you gather all your strength and focus on one thing—to live. You throw away all the negative emotions, all the anger, the hurt, the jealousy.” That women figure largely in Vince’s narrative is partly because, as partisan Jonas Kadzionis observed “When times are hard, women are stronger.” Like Anna Akhmatova outside prison in her poem Requiem, women had the duty to care, bear witness, and survive. Whether hiding anti-Soviet partisans, or acting as emissaries and message bearers, Lithuanian women suffered torture, deportation, and up to 25 years hard labor in the Gulag, but they were also less likely than the men to be shot in the forest, and buried in some unmarked grave. Many of the stories Vince has collected are compelling and vivid. Eleonara who spent six months with her Green Partisan husband Bronius before he was killed (“After that time, we only spoke in dreams”), she was arrested, and tortured for months—on one occasion by being locked in a tiny cubicle with hundreds of hungry white rats. Or Grazina, who saw her father disappear into the forest, and still dreams he will emerge from the trees one day, although she knows he was buried in the swamps. Or Konstancija, who was rewarded for rescuing two Jewish children from the Shoah by being deported to a gulag on the principle: “If you resisted the Germans, you will resist us too.” Or the cardiologist Laima, who was deported to Siberia twice, and then targeted in a KGB “romeo trap” by her lover, Ayas, who betrayed, denounced, and literally broke her heart. With these memorable personal accounts of resistance and survival, there is little doubt that these women kept alive stories of national pride and personal independence long after the military struggle for Lithuanian autonomy had collapsed. But how accurate are the wider claims? How many of these self-sustaining narratives have become self-serving since independence? And has history become the ultimate victim of the myth of national sacrifice? Nearly all Vince’s interviewees describe the pre-War Lithuanian state in tolerant terms, where there was no ethnic tension between the various Lithuanian, Polish, Jewish, Russian and German minorities. Paulina Zingeriene, who survived both the notorious Kovno (Kaunas) ghetto and the SS Death Marches says “I did not experience anti-Semitism personally before the War.” Juliana Zarchi, born to a German mother and a Jewish father, also managed to survive Kaunas ghetto, and rushed out to greet the incoming Soviet troops in April 1944 only to be deported to Kazakhstan as a “enemy of the state” even though she was only seven years old: “First I was hated for being a Jew, now I’m hated for being German.” “I hate ideas,” Zarchi laments to Vince; “I hate idealism. Where there are ideas there is no space for the human, for the individual.” Zingeriene also finds the hatred inexplicable: “You can analyze the war for a million years,” she says “and you will never be able to make sense out of what happened to the Jews, to the Lithuanians, to the Russians.” 102 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E Herein lies the problem. Zingeriene’s equation of the persecution of Lithuanians and Jews— the Double Genocide premise– risks a glaring false equivalence. There are virtually no Jews left across the entire swathe of these Eastern borderlands, where abandoned synagogues and neglected graveyards show they were once very populous. And the attitude of mystification risks obfuscation. Just as the Former Yugoslavia in the nineties, portraying the carnage of the bloodlands as some irrational explosion of ancient ethnic rivalries obscures the real perpetrators: imperial powers with carefully prepared programs of expansion. But on this, the Soviets and Nazis differed. Stalin used mass killing as a means to subjugate and dominate the populations of Europe. For Hitler extermination was an end rather than a means. Following on from his final solution, he planned to destroy the Slavs through a “hunger plan”, and thereby clear the bloodlands for German colonization. Accuracy about this past is not just a historical question, but still relevant to judicial i nquiries and criminal investigations (though not in Lithuania where war crimes trials have been few and far between). While modern day Germany has largely extirpated the psychopathology of national victimhood through the courts and documentary inquiry, the Lithuanian past—on the evidence of this book—still seems mired in sentiment, nostalgia and tragic myth. Published by Amazon, Vince’s book has not been edited, and retains many typos. More worrying, it gets many key dates are patently wrong. Sloppy chronology might not matter in normal books of reminiscence, but on the contentious terrain of the bloodlands a lack of factchecking can be fatal. At one point one of Vince’s interviewee’s claims that while 7,000 Lithuanians were involved in the killing of Jews during the war, another 7,000 ran to their rescue. There’s no footnote or questioning of this assertion. A convenient statement is allowed to stand as an unquestioned truth. A S P E N R E V I E W / C And so we come to the most shocking misdirections of all—where emotion and affection leads to a form of Holocaust apology, if not outright denial. One of the most lengthy interviews is with Nijole Brazenaire, who was married to the “resistance hero” Juozas Luksa. Photos of the handsome couple honeymooning in occupied Germany dominate the central part of her book. The couple escaped from the Russian re-invasion before Luksa was smuggled back into Lithuania as part of a CIA plan to discover Soviet plans for attack. From there Luksa writes long letters to Nijole in which he declares he loves her more than anything in the world—except his homeland. After hiding out in a bunker in the house of Eleonara (see above) Luksa is betrayed and shot by the NKVD in 1951. His grave has never been found. Sixty years his widow Nijole declares: “Every day when I awake my first thoughts are about him.“ It is an affecting love story, especially as the book also follows a fruitless attempt to find the last resting place of this “national hero.” It’s also a complete whitewash. Luksa was undeniably an active member of the Lithuanian Action Front which instigated pogroms and mass killing of Jews in late June 1941, before the Nazi troops had arrived or taken control. He is accused of being one of the ringleaders of the Lietukis Garage massacre in Kaunas where, in front of a large cheering audience, dozens of Jews were beaten to death with irons bars, or had high pressure hoses inserted into their mouths or anuses until they died of a burst stomach or rectum. The well-recorded atrocity was so shocking that several German soldiers present photographed it and complained to their senior officers. Luksa himself is accused, by the Society of Lithuanian Jews, of participating in the decapitation of Rabbi Zalmen Osovsky, whose head was placed in the shop front window below. For all the evocative telling, the other stories in this book are tarnished by a ssociation with U L T U R E 103 this grievous oversight. If such a big allegation is omitted, what else are we missing? How reliable are those figures about L ithuanian non‑collaboration with the Holocaust? How reliable are any of the other facts scattered throughout the book? The whole project becomes mired in uncertainty. By putting sentiment above compassion, selective memory over communal record, Vince’s journey to the backwaters of the heart is soon bogged down in the morass of subjectivity, until it is swamped by suspicions of revisionism and obfuscation. PETER JUKES is an English author, screenwriter, playwright, literary critic and blogger. His most recent nonfiction book is The Fall of the House of Murdoch (2012) 104 A S P E N R E V I E W / C U L T U R E Joanna Konieczna-Sałamatin Ukrainisation of Urbanisation— Sociology of the City in the Ukraine Галина Боднар, Львів. Щоденне життя міста очима переселенців із сіл (50–80-ті роки ХХ ст.), Львівський національний університет ім. Івана Франка, 2010; Анатомія міста: Київ. Урбаністичні студії, Смолоскип, 2012. Halyna Bodnar, Lviv. Everyday Life of the City in the Eyes of Rural Immigrants (1950s-1980s), Lviv 2010; An Anatomy of a City: Kyiv. Urban Studies, many authors, Smoloskyp, Kyiv 2012. side, as it was before) and its organization by the civil society, which started to emerge after the collapse of communism. The city as a subject of study intrigues Ukrainian researchers, for it has not been investigated in this way. As for Western scholars, the Ukrainian city attracts them with the problems which in other regions of Europe were either solved long ago or did not appear with such an intensity and power as in today’s Ukraine. The thing is that the history of urbanization of the Ukraine not only starts later than in other parts of Europe but its beginnings lack the Ukrainian national element, that is—as Bohdan Kravchenko3 notes—Ukrainians as an ethnic group experienced a kind of exclusion from “urbanity,” from urban culture. “When in Europe the new city was becoming [in the early 18th century—JKS] a source of market economy, national awareness and national culture, Ukrainian society did not manage to cross the threshold of urbanization.”4 The reasons for that—both in the 18th century and later—are still waiting for their researcher. Explanations proposed by Kravchenko put too much emphasis on psychological factors, as the author himself seems to be aware, and the above-quoted Jaroslaw Pas’ko is content to conclude that the “culture of colonial To an average inhabitant of Poland the Ukraine and Ukrainian culture is associated—if he or she knows anything about it—above all with folk culture. “Average Ukrainians” have a similar perspective: asked about elements distinguishing Ukrainian culture, they usually name embroidered costumes, traditional song, sometimes the cuisine,1 that is they invoke products of rural culture. And this despite the fact that a significant majority, almost 70% of Ukrainian population, lives in the cities.2 They live in the cities today but their parents or at best grandparents arrived from the countryside. The consequences of this state of affairs can be perceived in various areas of Ukrainian social life. This new and constantly emerging urban community attracts researchers, sociologists and social psychologists as well as architects, landscapers, urban planners and managers. In a word, conditions are being created for the development of Ukrainian urban sociology, at the centre of its interest placing urban lifestyle (rather than differences between the city and the country- A S P E N R E V I E W / C U L T U R E 105 dependence and lack of both vertical and horizontal structural mobility prevented the emergence of Ukrainian middle class, blocked the appearance of Ukrainian civil society and Ukrainian high culture.”5 So Ukrainian identity was not shaped in the city, for Ukrainian cities were centers of completely different influences: Russian, Polish, Austrian and later Soviet. Looking with Halyna Bodnar at the everyday life of post-war inhabitants of Lviv, we are witnessing the formation of an urban community practically from scratch: Poles and Jews dominant in 1939 are replaced not only with migrants from neighbouring villages and small towns—although they are in the majority—but also by Russians and representatives of other Soviet nations, previously absent in these regions. The latter arrive and immediately assume management positions in government administration or industrial plants and become academic lecturers. The book Lviv. Everyday Life of the City in the Eyes of Rural Immigrants (1950s-1980s) is a reliable research report preceded with a presentation of statistics showing the dynamics of demographic changes within the Lviv population. These data are juxtaposed with the demographic situation of the whole Ukraine and its largest cities. They allow us to follow not only the changes in ethnic structure we spoke about earlier but also the age and sex of the new arrivals. We observe how in the early post-war years, several dozen thousands of people arrived annually in the city, mainly young persons. In the record-breaking year 1946, the population of Lviv increased by almost 56 thousand. It is as if a medium‑sized district capital in today’s Poland moved to Lviv in one year. In later years, migration streams weakened and stabilized but were still significant. It is enough to recall that in the period from 1959 to 1989, on which the author concentrates, the population of Lviv almost doubled (from 410 thousand in 1959 to 786.9 thousand in 1989). Migrants from surrounding villages form such a large part of the urban community that they essentially become both its creators and building material. Halyna Bodnar’s book is not the first work on Soviet Lviv. The informal social experiment, which is still going on in this city, could not have remained unnoticed: Bodnar includes a complete bibliography of studies on Lviv. But she was the first to give the floor to the main protagonists of these changes—the migrants themselves6—attempting to show both how the city changed under their impact and how they, its new inhabitants, themselves changed. Incomers from Galician villages dominated the social structure of Lviv but they still did not feel completely at home in this city. Interviewees of Bodnar speak about a sense of superiority demonstrated by other migrants—Russians, who, as the author writes, assumed social positions occupied by Poles before the war, and migrants from eastern regions of the Ukraine, who in their own mind arrived to teach culture to those “peasants.” The antagonism was exacerbated by language differences: those who believed themselves superior used Russian while the “peasants” spoke only Ukrainian. And these linguistic and social divides persist until today: descendants of migrants from Russia and the east of the Ukraine who were born in Lviv rarely speak fluent Ukrainian and even more rarely try to change this. So how is it possible that Lviv became and still remains the centre of Ukrainian identity? The author hardly ever considers this question, perhaps thinking that the answer is obvious. And this is slightly disappointing, for identity themes recur in the narratives of the respondents. But in the book we can find many stories which help us in reconstructing this process: stories about a double life imposed by the Soviet reality, when you said different things at home and outside (in your workplace or at the university), about the attachment to Ukrainian traditions, which were easy to cultivate in private, for most people knew them very well, and finally about “illegal sources of information” and Western culture owed to the location of the city close to the border. A sense of lacking roots and not being quite at home, often mentioned in the book, seems to be 106 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E still present for many inhabitants of Lviv, former rural migrants. This is why the book is engrossing, although I am tempted to criticize the author for the fact that having such an ample empirical material at her disposal she devoted too little space to analyses and conclusions. When you lack roots, it is difficult to think about furnishing your city, about civil society. After all a citizen is a person who is at home in his or her city. The city as a social institution, as a space for action—so far not very effective—by the citizens is presented by the second book reviewed here, concerned with more recent times and with another city, no less important for the history and present of the Ukraine—Kyiv. The title “an anatomy of a city” reflects the structure of the work: from a general presentation of the complex organism, which the city is, and of its basic functions to a presentation of its selected elements/organs in their functioning. The book is supplemented by interviews with Ukrainian and Western specialists on urban space. The Ukrainian capital is undergoing its transformation on our eyes—this transformation is perhaps more difficult to extract from official data than what happened in post-war Lviv but its consequences were no less significant. In 1991 Kyiv became the capital of an independent state and almost immediately was cast in the role of a testing ground for capitalist property laws, competition for space, the conflict between various needs and ideas. In the process of adapting the socialist Kyiv to the spatial patterns and architectural forms of post-socialist urbanism we observe raising of so-called “monsters”—buildings violating the normal urban planning practice. The “monsters” spring up in historic districts, parks and other places where they have no right to be, where their external appearance destroys the cityscape. Such designs are possible thanks to corruption and lack of an organized planning process. This fragment comes from one of the first chapters in a book by Roman Cybrivsky and provides the most concise characteristics of the main problems the Ukrainian capital (and probably A S P E N R E V I E W / C also other big cities in this country) is struggling with. In this context it is not especially surprising that the Soviet system of urban planning is still remembered with nostalgia. “It was more or less effective—says Henrich Filvarov interviewed by Natalia Kodel-Perminova—but at least it was understood that there was some documentation, some program of urban development, modest, perhaps even inadequate but to be respected. […] There was a basic control of rational, functional use of the territory in line with the functions defined by a general zoning plan or other documents.” The phenomenon of appropriating space by the rich and influential is well described by the concept of “spatial justice” introduced by Johannes Fiedler. The author describes a situation where spatial justice is missing, that is he shows how growing social inequalities find their reflection in urban infrastructure. Another expression of its absence is when an urban community loses once liked and often visited places in the urban space—parks, squares, buildings and other facilities appropriated by institutions or private persons, or being destroyed. As Fiedler concludes, harmful changes in Kyiv have one cause: a corrupt regime, which cannot resist the power of money. The imbalance between the regime on the one hand and business and inhabitants on the other has many more aspects. Ludmila Males points at centralisation as an important element of the organisation of the Kyiv community and the communities of other post-Soviet cities. Its significance is greater than that of traffic jams and crowded public transport. Overestimated symbolic value of the centre reproduces itself and the resultant centralization of urban life cannot be reverted with the use of simple means: the prestige of a central address encourages employers to locate their activities in the city centre. Cultural institutions, clubs or restaurants also gravitate there. One consequence of that is a vicious competition for space, the winners being those who have the biggest amount of power and other resources. Inhabitants of distant districts U L T U R E 107 spend several hours a day commuting to and from work or university (the author estimates it at 2 to 4 hours). The remaining time is hardly sufficient to rest and completely lacking for public matters or a simple participation in the life of the city. They live in their dormitory districts but they do not feel at home there, they live in the capital but they do not use this fact for self-fulfillment or personal development. Males paints a very suggestive picture of a “conserved centralization” becoming a source of a general stagnation in the social sphere. This may contain an at least partial answer to the question as to why the growing pressure on limiting public space liked by Kyiv citizens meets with such a feeble resistance on their part. Citizens’ activity may be effective, as we can read in the last part of the book—a story about a fight for one street. When Andriyivs’kyi uzviz was renovated, its inhabitants established a consultation board of experts and forced the investors to cooperate with this body. This allowed them to prevent the commercialization of this unique fragment of the city’s public space. “An anatomy of a city” is a book worth recommending to all those interested in the processes of interactions between society, government and business in the post-Soviet area. It seems that the problems described there also affect other big cities of the former socialist camp but in the Ukraine the weakness of the government, or rather its direct ties with business, produce a situation where the citizens’ interests are in potential conflict with the interests of the regime and business seen as one single agent. This fusion of government and business may be partly responsible for the distrust towards capitalism as a system directly or indirectly expressed by most of the authors reviewed here, which is a reminder that sociology of the city in its classic form originated from the tradition of leftist thought. On the other hand the authors, when formulating their generalizations, seem to ignore the fact that in today’s Ukraine we are dealing with a peculiar system, that is “oligarchic democracy,”7 and capitalism not always assumes such a form. The power of the money of Ukrainian oligarchs and new rich could be counterbalanced by democratic institutions—social organizations and local government bodies acting in the interest of the citizens. But they are neither sufficiently strong nor active in their local efforts and this is why the “monsters” more often win than lose. But their arrogant builders unwittingly give rise to a type of social involvement previously unknown in the Ukraine—urban movements. And this is a path leading to the formation of an enrooted identity, the absence of which makes it difficult for the Ukrainians to build a democratic state. J O A N N A K O N I E C Z N A - S A Ł A M AT I N Ph.D. in sociology, lecturer at the Institute of Sociology, University of Warsaw 1 This is confirmed by opinion polls (conducted, among other institutions, by GfK Ukraine), usually published by the press before various holidays. 2 Urban population 68.9%, rural population 31.1%—as of May 1, 2013 (www.ukrstat.gov.ua). 3 Bohdan Kravchenko [Богдан Кравченко], Socialni zminy i nacyonalna swidomist’ w Ukraini XX st. [Соціальні зміни і національна свідомість в Україні ХХ ст]., Кyiv 1997, p. 110. 4 Jaroslaw Pas’ko [Ярослав Пасько], “Istorychni aspekty urbanizatsii,” in: Sotsyologiya mista [“Історичні аспекти урбанізації, в: Соціологія міста], Donetsk 2010, p. 36. translated by JKS. 5 Jaroslaw Pas’ko, op. cit., p. 38. 6 A slightly similar task but on a significantly smaller scale, was undertaken by Aleksandra Matyukhina in a book W sowieckim Lwowie. Życie codzienne miasta w latach 1944–1990 ([In Soviet Lviv. Daily Life of the City in 1944–1990] Kraków 2000), based on her own experiences (she is a Russian, who came to Lviv as a child) and on interviews she conducted. 7 Sławomir Matuszczak, Demokracja oligarchiczna. Wpływ grup biznesowych na ukraińską politykę, Seria Prace OSW no 42, Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich, Warszawa 2012. 108 A S P E N R E V I E W / C U L T U R E Wojciech Stanisławski Noble and Other Kolkhozy Anna Engelking, Kołchoźnicy. Antropologiczne studium tożsamości wsi białoruskiej przełomu XX i XXI wieku [Kolkhozniki. An Anthropological Study of the Identity of Rural Belarus at the Turn of the 21st century], Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Mikołaja Kopernika, Toruń 2012 “Kolkhozniki,” an 800-pages-long volume awarded the Przegląd Wschodni Prize for 2012, belongs to the most often bought monographs published by the Polish Academic Foundation. One factor behind this success may be the legendary Polish nostalgia for the “Borderlands,” free from any revisionist desire to change the established borders but strong and painful. The area described—western and eastern Belarus— is the heart of the former “Great Duchy of the Nobility,” the seat of a thousand manors and petty gentry hamlets, from which a major part of Polish pre-war intellectuals originated and their Arcadian style descriptions compose a significant part of 20th-century Polish fiction. An additional appeal—an appeal for Polish readers but an ordeal for future translators—of the book is due to the diligence of the researcher, who quotes the statements of her interviewees verbatim. So from the pages of “Kolkhozniki” we hear, thanks to quotes longer than in a standard monograph, an extraordinary, familiar “eastern” language. “Eastern,” although in the majority of cases it can neither be called Polish, nor Belarusian nor Russian: it is not so much a collection of dialects but an amalgamation or perhaps mixture, A S P E N R E V I E W / C produced by the pressure of history, an Eastern European pidgin, where Polish, Russian and Lithuanian words co-exist within one typically Slavic grammar. And, it should be added, Soviet words: bureaucratic jargon, technical terminology and horrible abbreviations covered the peasant tongue like verdigris covered a field of rye and accompany it ever since. Anna Engelking and her team pricked their ears for verbal variations but this extraordinary transcript is just an “added value” of the book. The task they undertook was to describe the rural community of today’s Belarus, a country and region which, always poor but once bucolic and unchanging, so painfully experienced history in the 20th century. First there was World War I and later struggle accompanying the break-up of the Russian Empire and the emergence of new states, going on up to the Riga Peace concluded in March 1921. Then we had the fiasco of state-building aspirations and the division of the country which, as it seemed for a moment, had been crystallizing on the map, between two hugely different states: the Polish Second Republic, lame, poor, not free from nationalism, Polonising ambitions, U L T U R E 109 t riumphalism and democracy deficits but in the last analysis European, and the Soviet Union, initially promising for many progressives and peasant activists but more and more openly revealing its atrocious nature. It was in the Soviet Union that the nightmare of collectivization took place. The former petty gentry hamlets, settlements, yeomen farmsteads and manorial properties—a patchwork of ownership and human relations going back to Medieval settlement—into “state-owned,” that is nobody’s, collective farms (kollektivnoye k hozyaystva, kolkhozy). In the east of the country, which came under the Soviet rule in 1921, collectivization occurred in the early 1930s, while in the east in the late 1940s. Two generations later this gap of two decades no longer plays a significant role. It was here, between the Bug and the Berezina, that the epicenter of Timothy Snyder’s “bloodlands” was located. The folk awarded—somewhat patronizingly—the role of protagonists of idylls by romantic poets half a century ago found itself in the Central European heart of darkness. Talking for years with inhabitants of Polesie, Vitebsk, Grodno and Homel regions, Anna Engelking’s team was looking for the truth about identity (“an identity narrative”) of Belarusian villagers. Of course, the researchers were not after a simple answer to the question, “who they are” or “who they regard themselves as.” They wanted to recreate the categories used by the kolkhozniki to describe the world, their hierarchies of values, mechanisms they see as explaining the events of the previous century. When we reach for such a book, we usually have some knowledge about the subject, even if limited and fragmentary: we are aware of the “long lasting” of social and especially mental structures, of the power of the “peasant ethic.” We also understand that the researchers had decided to listen to people with usually poor formal education (the limitations and fallacies of the Soviet curriculum were superimposed on the weaknesses and faults of village schools), often elderly (rural Belarus is experiencing a demographic collapse and wage migration of the young) and simply tired with their uneasy life and hard physical toil. Reading a description of the state of rural awareness in the early 21st century, in areas often lacking a good road but equipped with TV sets and computers, you could expect a radical change in comparison to what we have had an opportunity to learn about—in various forms and through various testimonies—as the practices of “Slavic peasant cultures from the borderland of Latin and Bysantine Europe.” For in so many places of the world local cultures have not resisted the temptations and pressures of modernization and globalization. All the more so in the lands within the Soviet Union, which were modernized in a particularly brutal way and where previous social structures, forming the foundation of all beliefs and projections, were crushed—first with the disappearance of the Tsar and Court and then with collectivization. And yet. Engelking’s volume offers an astounding knowledge, its meaning going beyond Polesie and the Vitebsk region: knowledge about an incredible vitality of categories composing the core of “Christian peasant culture” or “pre-modern mentality.” Inhabitants of the villages described are above all “locals.” They are defined by working the fields—it is the only honest labor, juxtaposed to the passivity or ephemeral occupations of the “masters,” to “Jewish” cunning or possessiveness of “strangers.” But they are also defined, very strongly, by religion—which is perhaps significant first of all as a sign of belonging to the community, of a social rather than metaphysical bond but still explaining the world both on the historical and cosmological level. As some scholars claim, this is the true “Belarusian neo-feudalism” with its basic oppositions (your own vs. stranger, master vs. serf, peasant vs. Jew) helping to comprehend the world. This way of understanding the world was preserved in the descriptions and praises of 110 R A S P E N E V I E W / C U L T U R E working the land, of the toil of simple and hardworking people; in both distrust and recognition of the role of the “city”, “manor”, “intellectual”; in the description of the war, communism and the Holocaust. There is a strikingly strong belief, so characteristic for pre-modern peasant cultures, in sacred antagonisms constituting the order of the world and leaving you with just one option: to bear, suffer and wait out all the hardships. The permanence of this vision—and its incompatibility with our rationalizing understanding of historical changes—is perhaps most clearly revealed in the chapter on the perception of the situation of religious communities in the Soviet Union and later, up to the present times. But even more important for understanding not only post-kolkhoz villages but in my view also the astounding stability of Lukashenka’s Belarus— an increasingly incomprehensible wilderness between Poland, Lithuania, the Ukraine and even Russia—are the notions on social order, on the relations between the “estates” and on the relations with local authorities. First, the memory of pedigree is preserved: whether your ancestors stem from “petty gentry” or from “serfs.” Moreover, this distinction is very important and must be cultivated even if it demands offending some taboos. “And no nobleman will marry a peasant woman, of simple folk, Orthodox or whatever. […] If she not noble— no way.” This is how a respondent describes the local relations and his perspective is by no means unique. Second, and it is difficult to say which of these two phenomena is more flabbergasting— the current local elites of power, that is usually former low-ranked communist officials who took over state property, managed to fit perfectly in A S P E N R E V I E W / C this patriarchal and feudal vision of social order: they are perceived as good or bad “masters.” All possible ingredients of this vision find their use: the dream of Saturnalia and temporary role switching, longing for a profitable marriage, a dream of revolt somewhere in the back of the head. Old “benefactors” were seamlessly replaced with predsyedatsiel—perhaps often well-meaning, caring as befits a good master, perfectly ignorant of the pressures and calamities suffered by these lands. There is, of course, some great bitterness in that but perhaps also the key to the “royal secret,” the puzzle of Alexander Lukashenka holding power for almost twenty years. If gentry and peasant villages still bow down to their old-new overlords, now touring their properties not in a kalamashka [a small horse-drawn buggy] but in a 4WD Toyota, it is the students, democrats, journalists and demonstrators protesting against the Bachka who try to destroy the foundation of the cosmic order. “Kolkhozniki” teach humility—precisely because they show the great permanence of identity narratives and visions of the world order even in those places where, it would seem, wars and totalitarianisms must have blown everything to smithereens. The epigram of the Parisian commentator Jean-Baptiste Karr “plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose”, often quoted in support of the voluntaristic vision of Prince Salina, is never completely true but in Belarusian kolkhozy turns out to be astoundingly accurate. W O J C I E C H S TA N I S Ł AW S K I historian of Russia and the Balkans, commentator of the Rzeczpospolita daily U L T U R E 111 Price: 20 PLN Index: 287210 4 | 2013 No 4 | 2013 CENTRAL EUROPE Aspen Institute Prague is supported by: THE END OF BIPOLARITY 25 Years After the End of Communism Leonidas Donskis, Frank Furedi, Jiří Pehe, Brendan Peter Simms, Jan Sowa, Tatiana Zhurzhenko Cultural Isolationism Has Prevailed An Interview with Lev Gudkov Hungary and the EU Jan-Werner Müller W W W . A S P E N I N S T I T U T E . C Z POLITICS Europe – the Forgotten Little Thing U. Guérot | Occupy or Monitor? P. Pithart The Beginning of a Lost Decade V. Inozemtsev | Europe Needs Protectionism J.-L. Gréau The West in Crisis K. Šafaříková | The Mysterious Death of Bohumil Hrabal A. Kaczorowski ECONOMY CULTURE