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©DLIFLC|1 Table of Contents Chapter 1 Geography ...................................................................................................................... 5 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 5 Geographic Divisions and Topographic Features ....................................................................... 5 Climate ........................................................................................................................................ 6 Bodies of Water .......................................................................................................................... 7 Amu Darya .............................................................................................................................. 7 Syr Darya ................................................................................................................................ 7 Zarafshan................................................................................................................................. 8 Aral Sea ................................................................................................................................... 8 Major Cities ................................................................................................................................ 8 Tashkent .................................................................................................................................. 8 Samarkand............................................................................................................................... 9 Bukhara ................................................................................................................................... 9 Shakhrisabz ............................................................................................................................. 9 Environmental Issues ................................................................................................................ 10 Chapter 1 Assessment ................................................................................................................... 12 Chapter 2 History .......................................................................................................................... 13 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 13 Early History ............................................................................................................................. 13 Genghis Khan............................................................................................................................ 14 Tamerlane ................................................................................................................................. 15 Uzbeks....................................................................................................................................... 16 Russian Conquest ...................................................................................................................... 16 The Soviet Empire .................................................................................................................... 17 Independence ............................................................................................................................ 18 Recent Events............................................................................................................................ 18 Andijan Massacre.................................................................................................................. 18 Elections, Violence, and Human Rights ............................................................................... 20 Chapter 2 Assessment ................................................................................................................... 21 Chapter 3 Economy....................................................................................................................... 22 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 22 Agriculture ................................................................................................................................ 22 Human Labor ........................................................................................................................ 23 ©DLIFLC|2 Natural Resources and Industry ................................................................................................ 25 Energy ....................................................................................................................................... 26 Trade and Tourism .................................................................................................................... 26 Banking ..................................................................................................................................... 27 Standard of Living .................................................................................................................... 28 Employment Trends .................................................................................................................. 29 Outlook ..................................................................................................................................... 30 Chapter 3 Assessment ................................................................................................................... 31 Chapter 4 Society .......................................................................................................................... 32 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 32 Ethnic Groups and Languages .................................................................................................. 32 Uzbeks................................................................................................................................... 32 Kazakhs ................................................................................................................................. 33 Kyrgyz................................................................................................................................... 33 Tajiks..................................................................................................................................... 33 Religion ..................................................................................................................................... 33 Islamist Terrorism ................................................................................................................. 34 Cuisine ...................................................................................................................................... 35 Dress ......................................................................................................................................... 36 Gender Issues ............................................................................................................................ 36 The Arts .................................................................................................................................... 37 Dance .................................................................................................................................... 37 Literature ............................................................................................................................... 37 Sports ........................................................................................................................................ 38 Chapter 4 Assessment ................................................................................................................... 39 Chapter 5 Security......................................................................................................................... 40 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 40 U.S.–Uzbekistani Relations ...................................................................................................... 40 Foreign Relations with Neighboring Countries ........................................................................ 42 Kyrgyzstan ............................................................................................................................ 42 Tajikistan............................................................................................................................... 43 Turkmenistan ........................................................................................................................ 43 Afghanistan ........................................................................................................................... 44 China ..................................................................................................................................... 45 ©DLIFLC|3 Russia .................................................................................................................................... 45 Military and Police .................................................................................................................... 46 Army ..................................................................................................................................... 46 Air Force ............................................................................................................................... 47 Internal Security .................................................................................................................... 48 Border Guards ....................................................................................................................... 48 Intelligence Services ............................................................................................................. 48 Issues Affecting Security .......................................................................................................... 49 Terrorism............................................................................................................................... 49 Crime and Drug Trafficking ................................................................................................. 50 Poverty .................................................................................................................................. 50 Water Security ...................................................................................................................... 51 Looking to the Future................................................................................................................ 51 Chapter 5 Assessment ................................................................................................................... 53 Final Assessment .......................................................................................................................... 54 Further Reading ............................................................................................................................ 56 ©DLIFLC|4 Chapter 1 Geography Introduction The dissolution of the Communist Bloc in 1991, in which former Soviet republics were recognized as sovereign states, created an independent Uzbekistan. All Uzbekistan’s Central Asian neighbors, with the exception of Afghanistan, were born as a result of the end of the Soviet era. Uzbekistan, roughly the size of California, shares borders with Afghanistan for 137 km (85 mi), Kazakhstan for 2,203 km (1,369 mi), Kyrgyzstan for 1,099 km (683 mi), Tajikistan for 1,161 km (721 mi), and Turkmenistan for 1,621 km (1,007 mi).1, 2 Except for Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and its neighbors are landlocked. They share transportation linkages that were established by Moscow to meet the needs of the former USSR.3 These countries are mutually dependent in important areas, such as sharing scarce water resources. The prospect of conflict in Central Asia is heightened not only by disputes over natural resources (including hydrocarbons), but the ambitions of powers such as Russia, Iran, Turkey, and China.4 Geographic Divisions and Topographic Features Uzbekistan is a doubly landlocked country, meaning that its neighbors are also landlocked. It is one of only two such countries in the world.5 The nation features a diverse topographical landscape that includes high mountains and glaciers. At lower elevations, dry steppes and deserts predominate.6 Nearly 80% of Uzbekistan is covered with desert. The largest is the Qizilqum Desert in 1 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Geography,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 2 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “Union of Soviet Socialist Republics: The Gorbachev Era,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/614785/Union-of-Soviet-Socialist-Republics 3 Zainiddin Karaev, “Border Disputes and Regional Integration in Central Asia,” Harvard Asia Quarterly (3 February 2006), http://asiaquarterly.com/2006/02/03/ii-130/ 4 Vladimir Milov and Martha Brill Olcott, “The Great Uncertainty: Russian-Central Asian Energy Relations” (lecture discussion, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, DC, 13 June 2007), http://www.carnegieendowment.org/events/index.cfm?fa=eventDetail&id=1013&prog=zru 5 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Geography,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 6 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “Uzbekistan: Relief,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/621059/Uzbekistan ©DLIFLC|5 the north central region. The mountain areas of the far southeast and far northeast have elevations as high as 4,500 m (14,763 ft).7 Arable land is estimated to be less than 11% of the total land area.8 Though the Central Asia region is abundantly endowed with water resources, they are unequally distributed. More than 90% is concentrated in the mountains of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, but Uzbekistan, located downstream, is the largest user.9, 10 Most of the Uzbek population lives in the Ferghana Valley, which was divided among Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan in the 1920s by Russian administrators in Moscow.11, 12, 13 The western part of the country is dominated by lowlands, including the southern half of the Aral Sea.14 Climate Uzbekistan has a harsh continental climate marked by four distinct seasons, and it experiences extremes of temperature.15 During the summer, temperatures may rise as high as 45°C (113°F) in southern Uzbekistan; the average temperature in July ranges from 18°C (64°F) to 35°C (95°F).16, 17 Winter temperatures in the north may drop as low as –35°C (–31°F), and daily average temperatures throughout the country in January range from –5°C (23°F) to 4°C (39°F).18, 19 Humidity is low 7 Nancy Lubin, “Country Profile: Uzbekistan (updated 2007),” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, ed. Glenn E. Curtis (Washington, DC: Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1997), 3, http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Uzbekistan.pdf 8 Australian Centre for Agricultural Research, “Plant Genetic Resources in Central Asia and Caucasus,” 2003, http://www.cac-biodiversity.org/uzb/uzb_geography.htm 9 Zainiddin Karaev, “Water Diplomacy in Central Asia,” The Middle East Review of International Affairs 9, no. 1 (March 2005), http://meria.idc.ac.il/journal/2005/issue1/jv9no1a5.html 10 William B. Hartman, “Central Asia’s Raging Waters: The Prospects of Water Conflict in Central Asia,” (master’s thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, March 2007), 33, http://www.nps.edu/programs/ccs/docs/pubs/hartman_thesis.pdf 11 Best Country Reports, “Population Density Map of Uzbekistan,” 2007, http://www.atozmapsdata.com/zoomify.asp?name=Country/Modern/Z_Uzbeki_Pop 12 Francesc Serra Massansalvador, “The Process of Nation Building in Central Asia and Its Relationship to Russia’s Regional Influence” (paper, Jean Monnet/Robert Schuman Paper Series 10, no. 5, June 2010), 3–5, http://www6.miami.edu/eucenter/publications/SerraNationbldgCentAsiaLongJune10.pdf 13 Zainiddin Karaev, “Border Disputes and Regional Integration in Central Asia,” Harvard Asia Quarterly (3 February 2006), http://asiaquarterly.com/2006/02/03/ii-130/ 14 Nancy Lubin, “Country Profile: Uzbekistan (updated 2007),” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, ed. Glenn E. Curtis (Washington, DC: Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1997), 3, http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Uzbekistan.pdf 15 Mukhiddin Makhmudovich, “Country Pasture/Forage Resource Profiles: Uzbekistan; Climate and AgroEcological Zones,” Food and Agriculture Organization, 2001, http://www.fao.org/ag/AGP/AGPC/doc/Counprof/uzbekistan.htm 16 Climate Temp, “Uzbekistan Climate Guide to the Average Weather and Temperatures with Graphs Elucidating Sunshine and Rainfall Data and Information about Wind Speeds and Humidity,” 2011, http://www.climatetemp.info/uzbekistan/ 17 Bioversity International, “Uzbekistan: Climate,” n.d., http://centralasia.bioversity.asia/uzbekistan.html 18 Climate Temp, “Uzbekistan Climate Guide to the Average Weather and Temperatures with Graphs Elucidating Sunshine and Rainfall Data and Information about Wind Speeds and Humidity,” 2011, http://www.climatetemp.info/uzbekistan/ ©DLIFLC|6 and precipitation is mainly confined to the winter and spring months. The plains receive the least amount of precipitation, 100–200 mm (3.9–7.9 in) per year. To the east and south, the amount rises to 900 mm (35.4 in) annually.20 Bodies of Water Uzbekistan does not possess substantial river systems. The three main rivers in the nation, the Amu Darya, the Syr Darya, and the Zarafshan, flow across a small part of Uzbekistan from other countries.21 Amu Darya Although one of the longest rivers in Central Asia, only about 8.5% of the flow of the Amu Darya is in Uzbekistan.22, 23 Originating in the Hindu Kush, it flows to the Pamir Mountains in Afghanistan. From there it cuts west and marks the 137 km (85 mi) border between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan before emptying into the southern shore of the Aral Sea in Uzbekistan after a 2,540 km (1,578 mi) journey.24 Its high silt level is the result of overuse for irrigation, which has prevented this river from replenishing the shrinking Aral Sea.25 Syr Darya The Syr Darya, which travels 2,137 km (1,328 mi), originates in a remote part of Kyrgyzstan before descending from the Tien Shan range into the Ferghana Valley.26 Skirting Tashkent, it flows through southern Kazakhstan before reaching the Aral Sea. It is the primary source for irrigation in the areas it passes through.27 Because of the overuse of the river, the flow into the Upper Aral Sea has been greatly reduced.28 19 World Bank, “Uzbekistan: Climate Change and Agriculture Country Note,” September 2010, 5, http://siteresources.worldbank.org/ECAEXT/Resources/258598-1277305872360/71901521303416376314/uzbekistancountrynote.pdf 20 Embassy of the Republic of Uzbekistan to the United Arab Emirates, “Nature and Climate,” 2011, http://www.uzbekembassy.net/ProfileofUzbekistan/NatureClimate/tabid/243/Default.aspx 21 Nancy Lubin, “Country Profile: Uzbekistan (updated 2007),” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, ed. Glenn E. Curtis (Washington, DC: Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1997), 4, http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Uzbekistan.pdf 22 Valery Votrin, “Transboundary Water Disputes in Central Asia: Using Indicators of Water Conflict in Identifying Water Conflict Potential,” (master’s thesis, Vrije Universiteit, Brussels, Belgium, 2002–2003), http://www.transboundarywaters.orst.edu/publications/related_research/votrin/votrin_thesis.html 23 Central Asia Water Info, “Amudarya River Basin Morphology,” n.d., http://www.cawaterinfo.net/amudarya/geo_e.htm 24 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “Amu Darya,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/21934/AmuDarya 25 The Columbia Encyclopedia, 6th ed., “Amu Darya,” 2008, http://www.encyclopedia.com/doc/1E1AmuDarya.html 26 Central Asia Water Info, “Physical-Geographic Characteristics of the Region: Republic of Uzbekistan,” n.d., http://www.cawater-info.net/bk/water_land_resources_use/english/docs/fiziko_geog_kharack_uzbekistan.html 27 Yale Center for Earth Observation, “Syr-Darya River/Chu Watershed,” n.d., http://www.yale.edu/emcwa/SyrDarya/syrdarya__chu_watershed2.htm 28 O. S. Savoskul, ed., “Water, Climate, Food, and Environment in the Syr Darya Basin,” July 2003, http://www.weap21.org/downloads/AdaptSyrDarya.pdf ©DLIFLC|7 Zarafshan The Zarafshan is the third-largest river of Uzbekistan. Upstream in Tajikistan, it is called the Mostchokh Darya. It enters Uzbekistan through the Zarafshan Valley, in the Samarkand region.29 It provides water for some of the most important oases in the country.30 Aral Sea The Aral Sea, half of which is in Uzbekistan, is situated in a large, flat desert basin. In 1960, it was the fourth-largest lake in the world. By 2000, the sea had shrunk to three separate lakes (less than 50% of its area) and its level was no higher than 36 m (125 ft) above sea level. The water volume had dropped nearly 75%.31 By 2010, the sea had only two lakes of any size.32 If the Aral declines at its current rate, it will disappear by 2020.33, 34, 35 Wetlands disappeared because of the lack of water, while the falling water tables caused oases to dry up. Average temperatures are becoming colder and summers hotter without the moderating effects of the sea. The quality of drinking water has been adversely affected, especially in Uzbekistan’s western Karakalpakstan Republic. Vozrozhdeniye Island is now connected to the shore, and contains the remains of a Soviet anthrax weapons-testing laboratory.36 The salinity of the lake has diminished the fish population and left the surrounding land hostile to plants and people.37, 38 Major Cities Tashkent The capital city’s name means “stone village,” and its origins are in the first century C.E. By the eighth century, 29 Zh. U. Urchinov, “Fisheries in the Zarafshan River Basin (Uzbekistan),” in Inland Fisheries Under the Impact of Irrigated Agriculture: Central Asia, ed. T. Petr (Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 1995), http://www.fao.org/docrep/V9529E/v9529E06.htm 30 Calum MacLeod and Bradley Mayhew, Uzbekistan: The Golden Road to Samarkand, 2nd ed. (Lincolnwood, IL: Passport Books, 1997). 31 Visualizing Earth, “The Aral Sea,” n.d., http://visearth.ucsd.edu/VisE_Int/aralsea/index.html 32 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “The Incredible Shrinking Aral Sea,” 19 April 2011, http://www.britannica.com/blogs/2011/04/incredible-shrinking-aral-sea/ 33 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “Aral Sea,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/31983/Aral-Sea 34 Salif Diop et al., “The Disappearance of the Aral Sea,” in Vital Water Graphics: An Overview of the State of the World’s Fresh and Marine Waters, 2nd ed. (Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme, 2008), http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article115.html 35 Salif Diop et al., “The Disappearance of the Aral Sea,” in Vital Water Graphics: An Overview of the State of the World’s Fresh and Marine Waters, 2nd ed. (Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme, 2008), http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article115.html 36 Nancy Lubin, “Country Profile: Uzbekistan (updated 2007),” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, ed. Glenn E. Curtis (Washington, DC: Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1997), http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Uzbekistan.pdf 37 Paul Welsh, “The Aral Sea Tragedy,” BBC News, 16 March 2000, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asiapacific/678898.stm 38 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “Aral Sea,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/31983/Aral-Sea 38 Salif Diop et al., “The Disappearance of the Aral Sea,” in Vital Water Graphics: An Overview of the State of the World’s Fresh and Marine Waters, 2nd ed. (Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme, 2008), http://www.unep.org/dewa/vitalwater/article115.html ©DLIFLC|8 it had become a Muslim city.39, 40 The city became part of the Mongol empire in 1220 and the Russian empire in 1865. A Trans-Caspian rail link through Tashkent in 1889 facilitated transportation and brought it more closely into the Russian orbit. Today, little remains of historic buildings because of a 1966 earthquake and the subsequent rebuilding under Soviet rule of Stalinist-inspired architecture.41 The population numbers approximately 2.2 million.42 Samarkand The city of Samarkand, situated on an oasis, is home to approximately 366,000 people.43 It developed as an urban center from the 10th century B.C.E. because it lay on the Silk Road. Thus it is also known as the “Crossroads of Cultures.”44 It was successively conquered by the troops of Alexander the Great, the Arab Abbasid Caliphate, and Genghis Khan, whose army burned the town to the ground in 1220.45 Samarkand, with its distinctive blue-roofed buildings, was added to the UNESCO list of World Heritage Sites in 2001.46 Bukhara Bukhara is known as the historical city of Uzbekistan. When Genghis Khan’s forces burned down the city in 1220, the city’s most famous landmark, the Kalyan Minaret, remained standing. Lore has it that Genghis Khan, impressed by the structure’s beauty, ordered it not to be touched.47 For a time it was the tallest building in Central Asia. Subsequent urban development has witnessed the population rise to 250,000.48 Bukhara’s edifices have earned the distinction of being the most representative of medieval architecture in Central Asia.49 Shakhrisabz In the foothills of the Pamir Mountains, Shakhrisabz is home to almost 75,000 people.50 It is the birthplace of the famed nomadic warrior Tamerlane (1336–1405), who conquered more territory 39 Peter Roudik, The History of the Central Asian Republics (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 2007), 60. Calum MacLeod and Bradley Mayhew, Uzbekistan: The Golden Road to Samarkand, 6th ed. (Hong Kong: Odyssey, 2008), 195. 41 BBC News, “Timeline: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2011, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asiapacific/country_profiles/1295881.stm 42 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: People,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 43 MongaBay, “2005 Population Estimates for Cities in Uzbekistan,” 2005, http://www.mongabay.com/igapo/2005_world_city_populations/Uzbekistan.html 44 Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Earth Observation Research Center, “Samarkand, Uzbekistan: ‘The Blue City’/ ‘The Gem of The East’ Once-flourishing on the Silk Road,” 15 August 2007, http://www.eorc.jaxa.jp/en/imgdata/topics/2007/tp070815.html 45 Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, Michigan State University, “Uzbekistan and the Ancient Cities on the Silk Road,” 1–5 October 2007, http://www.globalchange.msu.edu/nato/uzbekistan.htm 46 “Silk Road City Marks 2,750 Years,” BBC News, 26 August 2007, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6965037.stm 47 Tashkent City of Uzbekistan, “Bukhara: The Religion City,” 1998, http://www.tashkent.org/uzland/bukhara.html 48 Encyclopædia Britannica Online, “Bukhara,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/83938/Bukhara 49 UNESCO, World Heritage Convention, “Historic Centre of Bukhara,” 4 December 2007, http://whc.unesco.org/pg.cfm?cid=31&id_site=602 50 Bradley Mayhew et al., Central Asia: Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, 5th ed. (London: Lonely Planet, 2010), 251. 40 ©DLIFLC|9 in a lifetime than anyone other than Alexander the Great.51 Originally known as Kesh, its current name means “Green City,” after its verdant gardens.52 Environmental Issues Despite its low comparative advantage, Uzbekistan became one of the largest cotton producers in the world.53 This was achieved through massive increases in irrigation. In 1913, there were 1.2 million ha (2,965,265 a) of irrigated land. By 1950, the extent had increase ed to 2.3 million ha (5,683,424 a), and further expanded to 4.2 million ha (10,378,426 a) by 1990, the year before the USSR was disbanded.54 But in the process, an ecological disaster was created. Decades of intensive cotton cultivation have altered the water table, resulting in salinization.55 In areas that were once covered by the Aral Sea, salt blankets the ground like snow.56 In addition to killing the fish, salinization has rendered the water unsuitable for irrigation, forcing Uzbek cotton farmers to rely on the dwindling supply brought by the two rivers. Although cotton (or white gold, as it is referred to locally) continues to be a mainstay of the Uzbek economy, production has largely declined as a result of environmentally-induced constraints.57 The change in the Aral Sea is considered one of the world’s biggest environmental disasters of the 20th century. As the water has receded, more than 40,000 sq km (15,444 sq mi) of former seabed have been left bare.58 It is covered by a thick layer of chemical fertilizer residue, in addition to the salt. This debris is ultimately deposited elsewhere by strong winds, thus affecting 51 Silkroad Foundation, “Tamerlane (1336–1405): The Last Great Nomad Power,” 2000, http://www.silk-road.com/artl/timur.shtml 52 E. Bretschneider, Medieval Researches from Eastern Asiatic Sources: Fragments Towards the Knowledge of the Geography and History of Central and Western Asia From the 13th to the 17th Century, Vol. II (London: Trubner and Co., 1888), 273, http://www.archive.org/stream/medievalresearc00bretgoog#page/n10/mode/2up 53 Comparative advantage refers to a country’s superior conditions for producing a particular good, which is then traded for another good, with a country that has an advantage in producing that good. Dwight R. Lee, “Comparative Advantage Part 1/2,” Foundation for Economic Education. 1999, http://www.commonsenseeconomics.com/Readings/Comparative%20Advantage.CSE.pdf 54 David Tarr and Eskender Trushin, “Did the Desire for Cotton Self-Sufficiency Lead to the Aral Sea and Environmental Disaster? A Case Study on Trade and the Environment” (working paper, World Bank, 2004), http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTRANETTRADE/Resources/Topics/Accession/CaseStudyOnTrade&Envir_En g.doc 55 In arid areas, strong sunlight brings salt in the soil to the surface. When salt accumulates in the top layer of soil, land ceases to be arable. In Uzbekistan, water that accumulates in the surface soil layer is flushed out with winter rainfall, which has intensified the depletion of water in the Aral Sea. Kazuhito Yamashita, “Agriculture and Environmental Problems in Uzbekistan” (policy paper, Research Institute of Economy, Trade & Industry, 14 December 2005), http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/special/policy-update/025.html 56 Paul Welsh, “The Tragedy of the Aral Sea,” BBC News, 16 March 2000, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asiapacific/678898.stm 57 John Baffles, “Cotton-Dependent Countries in the Global Context,” in Cotton Sector in Central Asia: Economic Policy and Development Challenges, ed. Deniz Kandiyoti (proceedings of conference, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, 3–4 November 2005), 45–46, http://www.dol.gov/ilab/programs/ocft/pdf/20080605a.pdf 58 World Future Society, “Reviving the Aral Sea,” 2010, http://www.wfs.org/node/1163 © D L I F L C | 10 crop quality and yields, natural ground cover, air quality, and the life expectancy of livestock and humans.59 Most cleanup projects have been underwritten by the international community.60 Each aid agency typically works on its own and rarely coordinates its efforts with other agencies, while an ecological disaster of this magnitude requires large-scale assistance.61 In addition to problems with the Aral Sea, Uzbekistan’s lakes and rivers have been severely polluted by industrial wastes and the heavy use of fertilizers. The contaminated drinking water is causing numerous health issues for the population. The soil is also seriously contaminated with the synthetic pesticide DDT, an agent known to cause birth defects and other health problems in humans and animals.62 59 Food and Agriculture Organization, United Nations, Fertilizer Use by Crop in Uzbekistan (Rome: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations 2003), ftp://ftp.fao.org/agl/agll/docs/fertuseuzbekistan.pdf 60 Philippe Rekacewicz et al., “Environmental Disaster in Eastern Europe,” Le Monde Diplomatique, July 2000, http://mondediplo.com/2000/07/19envidisaster 61 Alexander Cooley and James Ron, “The NGO Scramble: Organizational Insecurity and the Political Economy of Transnational Action,” International Security 27, no. 1 (Summer 2002): 5–39. http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/international_security/v027/27.1cooley.html 62 Annie Leonard, The Story of Stuff: How Our Obsession with Stuff is Trashing the Planet, Our Communities, and Our Health—and Our Vision for Change (New York: Free Press, 2010), 46–47. © D L I F L C | 11 Chapter 1 Assessment 1. The majority of the Uzbek population lives in the Turanian Plain. False Most Uzbeks live in the Ferghana Valley, which was divided among Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan in the 1920s by Russian administrators. 2. The north central part of Uzbekistan is dominated by the Qizilqum Desert. True The north central part of Uzbekistan is dominated by the Qizilqum Desert, and is surrounded by vast plains to the west, south, and east. 3. The Syr Darya is not a significant source of water for irrigation in the areas through which it passes. False The Syr Darya is the primary source for irrigation in the areas that it passes through. Because of the overuse of the river, the flow into the Upper Aral Sea has been greatly reduced. 4. The Amu Darya flows into Uzbekistan from the north. False The Amu Darya flows in from the south. The Syr Darya flows into the northern portion of the Aral Sea. 5. The growth of cotton in Uzbekistan led to what is considered one of the greatest environmental disasters of the 20th century. True A consequence of intensive irrigation for cotton production, the disappearing Aral Sea is considered one of the world’s biggest environmental disasters of the 20th century. More than 40,000 sq km (15,444 sq mi) of former seabed have been left bare and covered by a thick layer of chemical fertilizer residue and salt. © D L I F L C | 12 Chapter 2 History Introduction Over the centuries, waves of conquest poured through Central Asia. From the west came Alexander the Great, from the east Genghis Khan and the Mongols, and from the north Russian czarists and Soviets.63 Under Soviet rule, Uzbekistan became a vast cotton plantation. It was then the most populous Soviet republic behind Russia and the Ukraine.64, 65 Expectations that independence would open a path to political pluralism have been dashed as the government reverted to Soviet-style rule, in which dissent is not tolerated. Early History During the first millennium B.C.E., Indo-Iranian nomads arrived in present-day Uzbekistan; they established small settlements in which the group leader controlled access to water. They constructed irrigation systems along the rivers of Central Asia and built settlements in Samarkand and Bukhara. These towns became stopping points on the Silk Road, which commercially linked Europe and Asia, and the towns became extremely wealthy.66 By the fourth century B.C.E., after the campaigns of Alexander the Great, the area had assumed a prominent role as a trading center. Cultural mixing intensified, reflected in the number of religions that claimed adherents.67 In the sixth century C.E., western Turks migrated into the area. They became attached to the land and gave up their nomadic way of life.68 63 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/1.htm 64 Dina Rome Spechler and Martin C. Spechler, “Uzbekistan among the Great Powers,” Communist and PostCommunist Studies 42, no. 3 (September 2009), 353–373, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=MImg&_imagekey=B6VGF-4WY5BFH-11&_cdi=6037&_user=3326500&_pii=S0967067X0900035X&_origin=&_coverDate=09%2F30%2F2009&_sk=999 579996&view=c&wchp=dGLzVlz-zSkWW&md5=46ffa762b33a9cb462dfd99de51669c2&ie=/sdarticle.pdf doi:10.1016/j.postcomstud.2009.07.006 65 Heather Griffis, “Mental Health in Post-Socialist Turmoil: The Epidemiology of Depression in Uzbekistan” (paper, European Population Conference, Princeton University, 1–4 September 2010). 66 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: Early History,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/1.htm 67 Global Security, “Military History,” 2000–2011, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/centralasia/uzbekhistory.htm 68 Rasul Yasin, The Rebirth of Uzbekistan: Politics, Economy, and Society in the Post-Soviet Era, (Lebanon: Garnet Publishing Limited, 2002), 26-27. © D L I F L C | 13 In the seventh century C.E., expanded trade and commerce were dominated by Arabs who introduced Islam to the region. It replaced Buddhism as the dominant faith.69 By the 10th century, present-day Uzbekistan had become an important part of the Muslim world. The region, renamed Mawarannahr by the Arabs, continued to thrive under Arab, then Persian, and finally Turkish rule.70 Genghis Khan Genghis Khan’s Mongolian army waged a war in central Asia from 1219 to 1225. This conquest changed the people of Mawarannahr and hastened the Turkification of the region.71 Although Genghis Khan was a Mongol, his army was primarily made up of Turks who had been conscripted as he moved southward.72 In the process, cities were burned to the ground and irrigation systems destroyed. In addition, the Mongol armies intermixed with the population, resulting in a minority Iranian population in Mawarannahr.73 Genghis Khan’s ability to conquer and hold territory, even though the Mongols lacked a written language and any sophisticated appreciation of science and agriculture, has been much noted by historians.74 Following his death, his empire was divided between his three sons, and orderly succession prevailed for the next few generations. But by the early 14th century, the empire broke up because princes of various tribal groups began to compete for influence.75 69 Monica Whitlock, “Uzbekistan’s Best Kept Secret,” BBC News, 18 April 2004, http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/from_our_own_correspondent/3630167.stm 70 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: The Early Islamic Period,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/2.htm 71 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: Mawarannahr,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/3.htm 72 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: The Mongol Period,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/4.htm 73 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: The Mongol Period,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/4.htm 74 Dane Kennedy, “Question: Why Does Mongol Imperialism Seem to be Such an Anomaly to Standard Interpretations of Imperialism?” 2001, http://www.alamo.edu/sac/history/keller/Mongols/scholar3.html 75 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: Timur,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/5.htm © D L I F L C | 14 Tamerlane One tribal chieftain, Tamerlane, fought his way to the top in the 1380s and became the unchallenged ruler of Mawarannahr Province. From there he proceeded to conquer all of western Central Asia, Iran, Asia Minor, the southern steppe region north of the Aral Sea, and Russia.76 Tamerlane, whose Turkish name Timur means “iron,” established the second-largest empire in history (after Alexander the Great), and made Samarkand, his birthplace, the capital.77, 78 As Tamerlane conquered new lands, he sent the best architects and artisans back to his capital, because he valued cultural preservation and scientific inquiry. Though his empire did not remain intact for long after his death in 1405, it left a rich architectural history, much of which survives intact in Samarkand.79, 80 After post-Soviet independence in 1991, his legacy was promoted as part of an effort to create an indigenous, non-Russian historical narrative.81 Once considered a brutal nomad, many now praise him as a wise and compassionate leader.82 Statues of him have been erected around the country.83 Babur, another Turkic-Mongol warrior revered in Uzbekistan, was the father of the Mogul dynasty of India. His memoirs, which were written in a variant of Turkish rather than Persian or Arabic, hold an acclaimed place in Uzbek and Indian literature. In 1519, Babur began his conquest of India when he marched his army through Afghanistan into India, where he established an empire that was still in place when the British colonialists arrived in the early 17th century.84, 85 76 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: Timur,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/5.htm 77 Collaborative International Dictionary of English, “timur-leng,” 2011, http://onlinedictionary.datasegment.com/word/timur-leng 78 Andrew Forbes, “Timur’s Legacy: The Architecture of Samarkand,” CPA Media (website), 2001, http://www.cpamedia.com/history/architecture_of_samarkand/ 79 World Heritage Center, “Samarkand—Crossroads of Cultures,” 2011, http://whc.unesco.org/en/list/603 80 Andrew Forbes, “Timur’s Legacy: The Architecture of Samarkand,” CPA Media (website), 2001, http://www.cpamedia.com/history/architecture_of_samarkand/ 81 Lewis Macleod, “Uzbekistan Restores Timurid Legacy,” BBC News, 6 October 2000, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/monitoring/media_reports/948757.stm 82 Muzaffar Sulaymanov, “Central Asia: A Question of Identity,” Peace & Conflict Monitor, 19 October 2004, http://www.monitor.upeace.org/archive.cfm?id_article=209 83 Ron Sela, The Legendary Biographies of Tamerlane: Islam and Heroic Apocrypha in Central Asia (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2011), 9. 84 James Critchlow, Nationalism in Uzbekistan: A Soviet Republic’s Road to Sovereignty (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1991), 6. 85 Beck, “Mughal Empire 1526-1707,” 2004, http://san.beck.org/2-9-MughalEmpire1526-1707.html © D L I F L C | 15 Uzbeks By the 15th century, the Uzbeks, who migrated into the area as Turkish nomads, had established several states. Of these, the khanate of Bukhara was the most powerful. The khanate controlled the Ferghana Valley, the most fertile region in Central Asia. But the declining fortunes of the region affected the Uzbeks. New routes and modes of transportation, including freight shipped around the Cape of Good Hope, meant less commerce traveled the Silk Road, condemning the region to economic stagnation. It made it more difficult to maintain the standing armies necessary for indigenous leaders to hold their influence and expand their empires.86 The Sunni Uzbeks’ uneasy relations with Shi’ite Iran isolated them from the Muslim world.87 In the late 16th century, invasions from Iran, as well as incursions by the nomad tribes in the North, further weakened the khanate. Russians also appeared on the scene in the late 18th and early 19th centuries, in part to protect their lands from possible conquest by the British who were developing colonial interests in the region.88 Caught between these two powers, Central Asians continued to fight among themselves. Russian Conquest By the 19th century, Russian interest in Central Asia had increased greatly. This was partly driven by concern that the British might acquire control over the region. Shortly after the Russians began asserting control over Central Asia in the mid-19th century, the United States’ Civil War broke out. Because Europeans had relied on cotton grown in the American South to manufacture textiles, they needed to find an alternative source. The czarist rulers of Russia saw Uzbekistan and surrounding regions as a suitable replacement site to grow cotton.89 By 1876, the area of present-day Uzbekistan had fallen under Russian control. This change had little effect on the daily lives of most Uzbeks. Farmers grew more cotton, but Russians did not mingle with the locals. Although transportation links were established, the light textile industry was slow to develop because the cotton was sent to Russia for processing. As the crop balance shifted from food to cotton, the czarist government laid the groundwork for its successor, the USSR, to embark on a program of self-sufficiency in cotton after it came to power in 1917.90 86 Mehwish Hassan Sara, “Resurgence of Islam in Central Asia: A Case Study of Uzbekistan,” 2008–2011, http://www.issi.org.pk/old-site/ss_Detail.php?dataId=394 87 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: The Uzbek Period,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/6.htm 88 Matthew Rank, “Uzbekistan: A New State Project,” 2006, http://www.helium.com/tm/118202/uzbekistanrelatively-player-international 89 Joseph J. Hobbs, World Regional Geography, 6th ed. (Belmont, CA: Brooks/Cole, Cengage Learning, 2009), 203. 90 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 1: History: The Russian Conquest,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/8.htm © D L I F L C | 16 The Soviet Empire When Central Asia was put under Russian rule, the conquerors needed to create an administrative structure to govern their empire.91 After the Soviet Union was established, the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic was created in 1924. The southeastern part was separated into the Tajik Soviet Socialist Republic, 5 years later.92 These borders were established and adjusted with three goals: 1) to prevent a resurgence in loyalty to the traditional khanate boundaries that would challenge Soviet authority; 2) to distribute ethnic groups across political boundaries, in order to avoid domination by one group and to impede the formation of a unified opposition; 3) to ensure dependence on Moscow for political power and, to that end, to establish Russian as the common language.93 Imposing an administrative structure was not difficult; changing longstanding cultural norms was another matter. Pre-existing ties simply adapted to the new empire. The Soviet practice was to install local elites in top administrative positions served by Russian deputies. Since the local elites had no prospect of appointment to a position outside Uzbekistan, those in national positions had every incentive to build up local patronage networks.94 In the mid-1980s, Uzbekistan was the first target of the anti-corruption campaign of newly appointed President Mikhail Gorbachev. Over 2,000 functionaries were dismissed. The death of First Secretary Sharof Rashidov, the leader of Uzbekistan’s Communist Party, exempted him from the purge. Moscow viewed him as corrupt, whereas Uzbeks lauded him for diverting resources that benefited the republic.95 91 Resul Yalcin, Rebirth of Uzbekistan: Politics, Economy and Society in the Post-Soviet Era (New York: Cornell University Press, 2002), 79. 92 Freedom House, “Freedom in the World—Uzbekistan (2007),” 16 April 2007, http://www.unhcr.org/cgibin/texis/vtx/refworld/rwmain?page=printdoc&docid=473c5607c 93 Chris Seiple, “Uzbekistan: Civil Society in the Heartland,” Orbis 49, no. 2 (Spring 2005): 249–250, http://www.fpri.org/orbis/4902/seiple.uzbekistancivilsociety.pdf 94 Chris Seiple, “Uzbekistan: Civil Society in the Heartland,” Orbis 49, no. 2 (Spring 2005): 252–253, http://www.fpri.org/orbis/4902/seiple.uzbekistancivilsociety.pdf 95 Richard Pomfret, “Agrarian Reform in Uzbekistan: Why Has the Chinese Model Failed to Deliver?” (working paper, School of Economics, Adelaide University, Australia, 1998), http://www.economics.adelaide.edu.au/research/papers/doc/wp1998-16.pdf © D L I F L C | 17 Independence The prospect of independence presented opportunities and challenges. In April 1991, Uzbekistan and eight other republics agreed to extend the union treaty. The August coup attempt against Gorbachev led to a court decision disbanding the USSR.96 Though independence offered autonomy, it meant the loss of Soviet subsidies. Since gaining independence, Uzbekistan has been led by Islom Karimov, who had been appointed leader in March 1990. In the December 1991 election, which most observers considered neither free nor fair, Karimov was declared president. In 1995, his presidency was extended by a plebiscite (a referendum determined by direct vote). In 2000, Parliament ruled the extension to be part of his first term, which allowed Karimov to run for a second term in 2000.97 He won with 92.5% of the vote.98 This subsequent election was judged unfair because of the Karimov government’s pre-election machinations.99 In Uzbekistan, as well as its Central Asian neighbors, governments have been cognizant of how an Islamic revival could provide “an alternative means of mobilization and expression,” as one scholar observed in 2000.100 In February 1999, a series of bombings shook Tashkent and led to an immediate crackdown on those perceived to be Islamic fundamentalists (Wahabists in local vernacular) that in reality extended to a broad range of regime opponents.101 Recent Events Andijan Massacre In early May 2005, several dozen armed men, believed to be Islamist extremists, stormed a prison where some 20 businessmen were being held while on trial for allegedly being members of Akramiya, an organization thought to have ties to the Islamist terrorist group Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU).102 The prisoners were freed, along with hundreds of others who 96 Neil J. Melvin, Uzbekistan: Transition to Authoritarianism on the Silk Road (Amsterdam: Harwood Academic Publishers, 2000), 28. 97 U.S. Department of State, “U.S. Department of State Country Report on Human Rights Practices 2001— Uzbekistan,” 4 March 2002, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/3c84d9941c.html 98 Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights and Labor, U.S. Department of State, “Country Reports on Human Rights Practices 2000: Uzbekistan,” 23 February 2001, http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2000/eur/858.htm 99 Paula R. Newberg, “Uzbekistan’s Democratic Smoke Screen,” Yale Global Online, 20 December 2004, http://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/uzbekistans-democratic-smoke-screen 100 Martha Brill Olcott, “Radical Islamic Mobilization in Central Asia,” 14 November 2000, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/events/index.cfm?fa=eventDetail&id=234 101 UZNews (website), “Tashkent Remembers 1999 Blasts,” 17 February 2009, http://www.uznews.net/news_single.php?lng=en&sub=top&cid=30&nid=8842 102 For information on this Central Asian terrorist organization, which is active in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan as well, see Jane’s Defence, “Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU),” Jane’s World Insurgency and Terrorism, 10 August 2010. © D L I F L C | 18 had been incarcerated for various offenses. The commandos took several guards hostage and set off in a convoy. As the army followed, guerrilla warfare filled the streets of Andijan.103 Feelings of anger toward the government for repressing individuals such as these businessmen led to a peaceful gathering of civilians in the streets of Andijan. Men, women, and children protested the deteriorating economic and social conditions, in what witnesses say was a public discussion about the people’s grievances against the government. Security forces were called in and opened fire, killing unarmed citizens. The incident is now known as the Andijan Massacre. The government claimed its reaction was appropriate to provocation by armed Islamist groups. Most outside observers agree that possibly hundreds of victims who had turned out to demonstrate were mostly unarmed civilians, including minors.104 It was the climax to 6 months of widespread economic dissatisfaction.105 People (such as foreign journalists) who contradicted the official version of events faced difficulties remaining in the country. The visas of many nongovernmental organization staff and those in other organizations, such as Peace Corps volunteers, were not renewed. The government’s refusal to convene an outside commission to review the incidents infuriated Western governments, who imposed sanctions or took other measures to register their disapproval.106, 107 In response, the Karimov administration ordered American forces to leave Karshi-Khanabad air base, which was integral to the U.S. mission in Afghanistan.108 103 Jane’s Defence, “Security, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 23 June 2010. Fiona Hill, “Uzbek Fury,” The Brookings Institution, 20 May 2005, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2005/0520russia_hill.aspx 105 International Crisis Group, “Update Briefing: Uzbekistan: The Andijon Uprising,” Crisis Group Asia Briefing no. 38, 25 May 2005, http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/asia/centralasia/uzbekistan/b038_uzbekistan___the_andijon_uprising_.pdf 106 Nathan Hamm, “It’s Official: Peace Corps Quits Uzbekistan,” Registan.net (blog), 6 June 2005, http://www.registan.net/index.php/2005/06/06/its-official-peace-corps-quits-uzbekistan/ 107 Dilip Hiro, “Chapter 2—Uzbekistan the Complex Hub of Central Asia,” in Inside Central Asia: A Political and Cultural History of Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkey, and Iran (New York: Overlook Duckworth, 2009). 108 Geraint Hughes, The Military’s Role in Counterterrorism: Examples and Implications for Liberal Democracies (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 2011), 61–62. 104 © D L I F L C | 19 Elections, Violence, and Human Rights Islom Karimov was reelected president in 2007 with over 88% of the vote.109 He maintains a highly repressive regime and continues severe oppression against the majority Muslim community.110 In early February 2009, violence linked to al-Qaeda broke out in the country. Attacks against the police, including bombings, suicide bombings, and a standoff, sparked a stronger crackdown on Muslims in general. The government closed all border crossings and a number of suspected militants were arrested. Fear spread that there would be even wider crackdowns on any dissent in the country.111, 112 Additional attacks along the Kyrgyz-Uzbek border near Khanabad, bombings in Andijan, and a shooting in Tashkent were all alleged to be linked to the IMU.113 The country continues on its path of serious human rights violations.114 Despite Uzbekistan’s designation as a “country of particular concern,” the U.S. government retains a waiver on sanctions and continues to use routes through Uzbekistan to supply troops in Afghanistan.115 109 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Government,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 110 U.S. Commission on International Religious Freedom, “USCIRF Annual Report 2011—Countries of Particular Concern: Uzbekistan,” 28 April 2011, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4dbe90bd4b.html 111 Associated Press, “Al Qaeda Blamed for Uzbek Violence,” CBS News, 11 February 2009, http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/03/29/world/main609153.shtml 112 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010), 6, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf 113 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010), 6, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf 114 Amnesty International, “Annual Report: Uzbekistan 2011,” 28 May 2011, http://www.amnestyusa.org/research/reports/annual-report-uzbekistan-2011?page=4 115 Human Rights Watch, “World Report 2011: Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://www.hrw.org/en/world-report2011/uzbekistan © D L I F L C | 20 Chapter 2 Assessment 1. Samarkand and Bukhara became wealthy towns because they were stopping points on the Silk Road. True Samarkand and Bukhara became stopping points on the Silk Road, which commercially linked Europe and Asia. As a result, residents of these cities became extremely wealthy. 2. Although statues of him dot the country, most Uzbeks still view Tamerlane as a brutal conqueror. False Once considered a brutal conqueror, Tamerlane is now praised as wise and compassionate by most Uzbeks. 3. Historically, Uzbeks and Iranians related well to each other because both groups were Muslim. False The Sunni Uzbeks’ uneasy relations with Shi’ite Iran isolated them from the Muslim world. 4. The area of Uzbekistan became a republic under Soviet rule in 1924. True After the Soviet Union was established, the Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic was created in 1924. 5. The Andijan Massacre occurred when government security forces opened fire on unarmed protestors. True Although the government claims it was engaging militants who had attacked security personnel, raided an arsenal, and freed inmates, the victims of the massacre were unarmed protestors. © D L I F L C | 21 Chapter 3 Economy Introduction After the demise of the Soviet Union, Uzbekistan’s economy began to improve. Although in 2003 Uzbekistan announced a commitment to full currency convertibility, the government effectively hamstrung the reform by shutting its borders, instituting high tariffs, and curtailing the circulation of money. These severe measures led to an upswing in crime and corruption, and resulted in consumer shortages. The government retains firm control over all exports.116 Today, the main contributors to the economy are petroleum, natural gas, gold, and cotton. A significant portion of Uzbekistan’s finances derives from remittances from workers outside the country, especially in Russia.117 Uzbekistan has had some success as it strives for a more diversified economy. According to some economic forecasts, Uzbekistan will have one of the fastest growing economies in the world in 2011. Official reports state that the economy expanded by more than 8% in 2010.118 Growth was fueled mainly by the industrial and service sectors. Half of industrial growth was accounted for by chemical machinery, light industry, and foods that all benefitted from government investment. Service sector growth reflected increased spending on rural healthcare.119 Agriculture During the years of Soviet rule, the Uzbek agricultural system was characterized by large collectives of stateowned farms. Following independence, the state-owned farms were dismantled but not put into private ownership. The state continued ownership while farmers were given land use rights. State control and regulation of agricultural activities continued.120 116 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010, 10, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf 117 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Foundation, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan: Executive Summary,” 31 March 2010, 1, 5–6, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 118 Central Asia Newswire, “Uzbekistan Will Be Among World’s Fastest Growing Economies in 2011, Says Report,” 5 January 2011, http://centralasianewswire.com/International/Uzbekistan-will-be-among-world39s-fastest-growingeconomies-in-2011-says-report/viewstory.aspx?id=2844 119 Iskandar Gulamov, “Uzbekistan,” in Asian Development Outlook 2011: South–South Economic Links (Mandaluyong City, Philippines: Asian Development Bank, 2011), 114–116, http://www.adb.org/documents/books/ado/2011/ado2011-uzb.pdf 120 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 2–3, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf © D L I F L C | 22 Shirkats are the new version of the old Soviet collectives. Most are devoted primarily to the growth of cotton and food grains, such as wheat. Workers are paid minimal wages and sometimes receive goods rather than money. A relatively small number of privately owned family farms constitute about one-third of the cultivated land in Uzbekistan. These are generally required to raise a specified amount of cotton and wheat or rice, and to sell their produce to the state at regulated prices. Unlike the shirkats, these family farms are marginally profitable, partly because of their ability to grow products other than cotton and wheat.121 Under Soviet rule, dekhan farms, or household plots, were allocated to all rural and a few urban households for the purpose of constructing residences. The land could be used to supplement food sources. Since independence, dekhan farms have increased dramatically in number and have become one of the most significant economic features of the agricultural sector. Although small, dekhan farms play a large role in providing food for Uzbek households. They are vital for the survival of farm workers as well as the poor and unemployed. More than 25% of food for rural homes and nearly 7% of urban household food consumption are provided by these farms.122 Today, agriculture accounts for 21% of Uzbekistan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).123, 124 Cotton is the major agricultural product: today, Uzbekistan is the fifth-largest cotton producer and the second-largest cotton exporter, after the United States.125, 126 Human Labor Instead of harvesting machines, human labor is employed to pick the cotton crop.127 During the harvest season, schools are shut down and everyone helps with the crops. The blatant use of child labor has become a corporate social responsibility issue. There have been calls to boycott Uzbek cotton (which is made into clothing primarily in Bangladesh).128, 129, 130 Those who grow and 121 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 2–3, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 122 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 2–3, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 123 GDP: The total market value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year. 124 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Economy,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 125 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Economy,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 126 The five countries that dominate the world cotton market are the United States, Uzbekistan, China, India, and Pakistan. Toby Webb, “Uzbekistan Cotton—A Thread of Hope in the Retail Fabric,” Ethical Corporation (website), 4 October 2007, http://www.ethicalcorp.com/content.asp?ContentID=5409 127 Catherine A. Fitzpatrick, “Adults Suffer Forced Labor, Beatings in Uzbek Cotton Campaign: Human Rights Groups,” Choihona (blog), 22 October 2010, http://www.eurasianet.org/node/62219 128 Amanda Klowe, “Victory! Gymboree Bans Use of Uzbek Cotton,” 25 May 2011, http://news.change.org/stories/victory-gymboree-bans-use-of-uzbek-cotton 129 European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights (ECCHR), “Child Labour in Uzbek Cotton Production and the Responsibility of European Corporations,” 2011, 8–11, http://www.ecchr.eu/uzbekistan.html?file=tl_files/Dokumente/Publikationen/ECCHR_UZBEKISTAN_EN.pdf 130 Gulnoza Saidazimova, “Uzbekistan: Call for Boycott over Uzbek Child Labor,” Radio Free Europe, 21 November 2007, http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/11/f0656fad-48b9-4aa9-858c-8ed789dc1c7b.html © D L I F L C | 23 harvest the cotton receive little of the revenues from sales, which are estimated to be over USD 1 billion. The government maintains control of the hard currency earnings.131 131 European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights (ECCHR), “Child Labour in Uzbek Cotton Production and the Responsibility of European Corporations,” 2011, 6, http://www.ecchr.eu/uzbekistan.html?file=tl_files/Dokumente/Publikationen/ECCHR_UZBEKISTAN_EN.pdf © D L I F L C | 24 Natural Resources and Industry Other than cotton, a considerable portion of Uzbekistan’s international exports consist of extracted natural resources, particularly gold. Uzbekistan lays claim to the largest open-pit gold mine in the world.132, 133 The country’s reliance on commodity exports causes its earnings to be greatly affected by international price fluctuations.134 In the years since independence, the government of Uzbekistan has pursued a gradual transition to a freemarket economy. Nevertheless, most large businesses are still under state ownership or control.135 The industrial sector accounts for about 32% of GDP.136 The most developed of Uzbekistan’s industrial sectors is textiles. Between 2004–2009, textile output grew 50%. Meanwhile, clothing manufacturing doubled.137 Major exports include gold, uranium, and strategic minerals. Manufacturing, especially of cars exported to Russia, has become increasingly important to the economy.138 132 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm 133 Frank Lasch, Leo Paul Dana, and Jens Mueller, “Diversity in Central Asia: Culture, Transition & Entrepreneurship,” Journal of Asia Entrepreneurship and Stability 5, no. 1 (June 2009): 44–56, http://researchcommons.waikato.ac.nz/bitstream/10289/3536/1/Mueller Diversity in Central Asia.pdf 134 David Zweig, “‘Developmental Communities’ on China’s Coast: The Impact of Trade, Investment, and Transnational Alliances,” in Comparative Politics 27, no. 3 (April 1995): 253–274, http://www.jstor.org/stable/pdfplus/422058.pdf?acceptTC=true 135 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm 136 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Economy,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 137 Office of the Senior Economist, United Nations Development Programme, “Uzbekistan’s Textile Industry: How Can its Development Potential be Captured?” March 2011, 7, http://europeandcis.undp.org/senioreconomist/show/AFF37525-F203-1EE9-B0C2B2ED09435EDE 138 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm © D L I F L C | 25 Energy With its significant reserves of energy sources, Uzbekistan is self-sufficient in energy resources and one of the major energy exporters in Central Asia.139 Once a major oil producer, its oil output has been declining. Estimates are that Uzbekistan has less than three decades of proven reserves remaining.140 Natural gas is now the most important exchange earner in the nation, which ranks 8th in natural gas production.141, 142 Uzbekistan is the largest energy power in Central Asia, with 35% of its output coming from thermal power stations.143 Russia is the largest importer of Uzbekistani gas.144 Uzbekistan and China signed a deal worth more than USD 5 billion to expand natural gas supplies and to construct the Uzbekistani spur of the Central Asia-China pipeline. Uzbekistan is expected to supply an extra 25 billion cubic m (883 billion cu ft) to China each year.145 As a means to pressure Tajikistan over ethnic tensions and its overdue payments, Uzbekistan has disrupted its flow of gas to its neighbor. Afghanistan also is a recipient of some Uzbek petroleum products and electricity.146 Trade and Tourism Uzbekistan holds the dubious distinction of being in the top 15% of most-restrictive trade regimes. Its trade arrangements are the most restrictive in the European and Central Asian regions. Trade measures designed to suppress national and international trade are in place. Imports are further limited by Uzbekistan’s low access to 139 International Exhibition Group, “Energy Resources of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://www.ieguzexpo.com/page/exhibition/clean_energy/energy_expo_eng/energy_resources_eng 140 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Forum, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2010, 7, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 141 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm 142 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm 143 International Exhibition Group, “Energy Resources of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://www.ieguzexpo.com/page/exhibition/clean_energy/energy_expo_eng/energy_resources_eng 144 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010), 11, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf 145 Reuters, “Uzbekistan Says Signs China Deals Worth $5 Bln,” 21 April 2011, http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/04/21/uzbekistan-china-idUKLDE73K18H20110421 146 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010), 11, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf © D L I F L C | 26 foreign exchange.147 Despite these challenges, exports were projected to grow by about 14% in 2011.148 After gaining its independence, Uzbekistan set about structuring and organizing a tourism industry. The early years saw annual tourism growth of as much as 25%, but in recent years that number has decreased significantly. Though tourism contributed just under USD 5 per USD 1,000 of GDP in 2004, it has the potential for substantial growth, because many see the tourism sector as underdeveloped.149, 150 About 90% of tourists in Uzbekistan are middle-aged or older. Visits are largely confined to known cultural and historical attractions.151 Numerous obstacles must be overcome to improve tourism. These include making it easier to obtain visas, extend visas, and reduce their cost. Border crossings and formalities are cumbersome and need to be simplified. Tourist services, such as accommodations, and infrastructure need to be developed.152 Banking Uzbekistan has a two-tiered banking system dominated by the state-owned banks.153 The sector is headed by the Central Bank of Uzbekistan, which is chartered by and accountable to the Parliament (Majlis).154, 155 The Central Bank is responsible for standard central bank functions such as controlling the movement and transfer of currency. Beneath the central bank are various specialized state-owned institutions, which are responsible for lending in particular sectors. In November 2007, the government issued a decree that 147 World Bank, “Uzbekistan Trade Brief,” October 2009, http://info.worldbank.org/etools/wti/docs/Uzbekistan_brief.pdf 148 Uzbekistan Daily, “ADB Forecasts Economic Growth in Uzbekistan,” 6 April 2011, http://www.uzdaily.com/articles-id-13696.htm 149 United Nations Development Programme, “Uzbekistan’s Tourism Sector—An Unrealized Potential,” 2 November 2007, 1–2, http://www.undp.uz/en/download/?type=publication&id=74&parent=1849&doc=7979 150 NationMaster, “Economy Statistics: International Tourism, Receipts; Current US$ (per GDP)”, 2011, http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/eco_int_tou_rec_cur_us_pergdp-receipts-current-us-per-gdp 151 United Nations Development Programme, “Uzbekistan’s Tourism Sector—An Unrealized Potential,” 2 November 2007, 3, http://www.undp.uz/en/download/?type=publication&id=74&parent=1849&doc=7979 152 United Nations Development Programme, “Uzbekistan’s Tourism Sector—An Unrealized Potential,” 2 November 2007, 5–9, http://www.undp.uz/en/download/?type=publication&id=74&parent=1849&doc=7979 153 Embassy of the Republic of Uzbekistan to the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, “Financial System of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://www.uzbekembassy.org/e/financial_system_of_uzbekistan/ 154 Erkin Ahmadov, “Development and Liberalization of Banking System in Uzbekistan,” Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, 28 November 2007, http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/4749 155 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Forum, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2010, 12, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 © D L I F L C | 27 outlines the liberalization of the financial sector as well as a program to increase competition and expand services. One requirement for new financial institutions is that, from 2008, they maintain their nominal capital in euros, not in U.S. dollars as before.156 The second tier comprises about 32 licensed commercial banks, the largest of which is the National Bank for Foreign Economic Activity of Uzbekistan. Companies have difficulties getting credit and this has severely constrained the development of private-sector enterprises. Companies can only make cash withdrawals to pay wages and travel expenses. Companies that do not deposit cash receipts in the banks are penalized.157 Standard of Living Uzbekistan has the third-highest rate of poverty in Central Asia, with a per capita income of USD 1,336 in 2010; nearly 77% of the population live on less than USD 2 per day.158, 159, 160 Nearly 28% live below the national poverty line and 20% of children under age 5 are malnourished.161, 162 The highest rates of poverty are in the Ferghana Valley.163 Despite a reduction in government expenditures in healthcare, Uzbekistan has managed to decrease the infant mortality rate, immunize most children against major childhood diseases, and control major communicable diseases. Nevertheless, out-of-pocket expenses have increased for the average citizen, thus preventing access for the poor.164 Official data proclaim an increase in life expectancy from 69 to 72 years, but other estimates contradict these claims and show that life expectancy has decreased in recent years from 69 to 66.4 years. The World Health Organization shows an even lower life expectancy of 66 years, and the gap between life expectancy in 156 Erkin Ahmadov, “Development and Liberalization of Banking System in Uzbekistan,” Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, 28 November 2007, http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/4749 157 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Forum, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2010, 12, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 158 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 26, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 159 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm 160 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Forum, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2010, 13, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 161 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Forum, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2010, 13, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 162 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 45, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 163 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 28–31, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 164 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 40–43, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf © D L I F L C | 28 Uzbekistan and Europe continues to widen.165 Although infant mortality rates are lower, they are still relatively high at about 22 deaths per 1,000 live births.166 The scarcity of agricultural employment options has led to an exodus from rural areas of young men. After Ukrainians, Uzbek males from their late teens to their early 30s constitute the secondlargest migrant nationality in Russia, where they seek jobs in the construction industry. The wages are high enough to enable them to support their families at home.167 Employment Trends Uzbekistan showed strong economic growth in 2010. Growth trends are strong in chemical, machinery, food production, and light industries. Construction is a growing industry as additional jobs are likely if various planned infrastructure projects come to fruition.168 Expansion in social services, especially healthcare, appears strong. The government intends to raise public sector wages and social payments. Official estimates of unemployment stand at 1.1%, with an additional 20% of the population underemployed.169 Unofficial unemployment estimates range from 8% to 25%. The agricultural sector has particularly high levels of underemployment, which is significant because approximately 62% of the population is rural.170 Forecasts by some agencies suggest that there will be no significant changes in the unemployment rates in Uzbekistan for the next several years.171 165 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 55–56, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 166 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: People,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 167 Farangis Najibullah, “Uzbekistan: Poll Says Youth ‘Satisfied’ Despite Scarce Jobs,” Radio Free Europe, 26 November 2007, http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/11/611688F2-FD03-4D16-AC76-D328C1DDC148.html 168 Iskandar Gulamov, “Uzbekistan,” in Asian Development Outlook 2011: South–South Economic Links (Mandaluyong City, Philippines: Asian Development Bank, 2011), 114–116, http://www.adb.org/documents/books/ado/2011/ado2011-uzb.pdf 169 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Economy,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 170 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm 171 Economy Watch, “Unemployment Rate (% of Labour Force) Data for Year 2012, All Countries,” http://www.economywatch.com/economic-statistics/economicindicators/Unemployment_Rate_Percentage_of_Labour_Force/2012/ © D L I F L C | 29 Outlook Although estimates vary, there is agreement that the agricultural sector has had modest growth. Most of the observed growth comes from the dekhan farms, despite their limited share of cultivated land. The collective shirkat farms have had diminished output over the years, accounting for only about 23% of output despite having 52% of the cultivated land. The new private farms show signs of low productivity, accounting for a mere 14% of output. These data suggest that the only dynamic segment of Uzbek agriculture lies with the dekhan farms, which have shown rapid and strong gains in productivity since independence and are responsible for approximately 75% of food (aside from wheat) produced in the country. A majority of food consumption is now provided by domestic food production.172 The government has announced a plan to implement investments equal to USD 50 billion between 2011 and 2015 in an attempt to increase economic output by at least 60%. Much of that investment will be aimed at modernizing and re-equipping industry.173 One of the priority sectors is the chemical industry.174 Although Uzbekistan managed to avoid serious injury in the global economic crisis, the country remains poor, with more than 46% of the population living on USD 1.25 daily. Poor infrastructure, high unemployment, and weak health and education systems stifle development in the private sector. The small elite have maintained control of the country’s wealth.175 There are several external risks that may stall or slow Uzbekistan recovery. These include uncertainty in global financial markets, increasing food prices, and inflation.176 172 World Food Programme, “Poverty and Food Insecurity in Uzbekistan,” April 2008, 4–6, 11–12, http://documents.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp179011.pdf 173 Central Asian International Textile Machinery Exhibition, “Uzbekistan to Implement 500 Projects for US$50bn in 2011–2015,” 24 January 2011, http://www.iteuzbekistan.uz/vis/caitme/eng/press/news.php?ELEMENT_ID=3992 174 ITE Gulf FZ LLC (firm), “Chemie Uzbekistan,” 16–18 November 2011, http://www.itegulf.com/index.php?part=events&event_id=302 175 eStandards Forum, Financial Standards Forum, “Country Brief: Uzbekistan,” 31 March 2010, 15, http://www.estandardsforum.org/system/briefs/328/original/brief-Uzbekistan.pdf?1272310838 176 Iskandar Gulamov, “Uzbekistan,” in Asian Development Outlook 2011: South–South Economic Links (Mandaluyong City, Philippines: Asian Development Bank, 2011), 114–116, http://www.adb.org/documents/books/ado/2011/ado2011-uzb.pdf © D L I F L C | 30 Chapter 3 Assessment 1. Uzbekistan is the largest cotton producer in the world. False Uzbekistan is the fifth-largest cotton producer and the second-largest exporter, behind the United States. 2. Uzbek schools are closed during the harvest season. True Instead of harvesting machines, humans harvest the cotton crops. Schools are shut down and everyone helps with the harvest. 3. Young Uzbek males have no trouble finding jobs in rural areas. False Lack of employment has led to an exodus from rural areas of young men. Young Uzbek males constitute the second-largest migrant group in Russia. 4. Shirkat farms are household plots available to all rural households. False Shirkat farms are collective, government-owned plots. Dekhan farms are household plots allocated to all rural and some urban households for the purpose of constructing residences. 5. High tariffs on imports have led to an increase in crime and corruption. True Because of the tight government control on imports, a flourishing black market has led to increased crime and corruption throughout the nation. © D L I F L C | 31 Chapter 4 Society Introduction Uzbekistan, as delineated by the Soviets, was an artificially created administrative entity that encompasses ethnic groups other than Uzbeks. At its creation in 1924, some Uzbeks were partitioned off in neighboring Central Asian countries. Before independence, Russians were the largest minority, making up 8% of the population.177 After the Soviet Union disbanded, all long-term residents were offered Uzbek citizenship. Most non-ethnic Uzbeks chose to not accept the offer even though some had lived there for generations.178 Emigration to countries where their ethnicity constituted the majority became an alternative, particularly for Russians, few of whom were fluent in Uzbek. Reflecting the same phenomenon, ethnic Uzbeks in neighboring states returned to their cultural homeland. Thus, the population of Uzbekistan has become more homogeneous since it became an independent state in 1991.179, 180 Ethnic Groups and Languages Uzbeks The Uzbeks, who account for 80% of the population, are primarily of Turkish origin with some Mongolian and Persian ancestry.181 Their language is related to Turkish. Their Turkish-derived language is one of the most widely spoken in Central Asia.182 Uzbeks are generally followers of Sunni Islam.183, 184, 185 The household division of labor follows traditional conventions, with women being primarily responsible for taking care of the home and children. Despite these obligations, about 58% of women work outside the home.186 177 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 3: Population: Ethnic Composition,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/19.htm 178 Immigration and Naturalization Service, U.S. Department of Justice, “Profile Series Uzbekistan: Political Conditions in the Post-Soviet Era,” September 1994, https://www.hsdl.org/?view&did=22570 179 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 3: Population: Ethnic Composition,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/19.htm 180 Anita Sengupta, Heartlands of Eurasia: The Geopolitics of Political Space (Lanham, MD: Lexington Books, 2009), 18. 181 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Population,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 182 UCLA Language Materials Project, “Kazakh,” n.d., http://www.lmp.ucla.edu/Profile.aspx?LangID=60&menu=004 183 The views of Islam practiced in Uzbekistan have evolved since the 1920s. Views and teachings are more in line with the Salafi school but there are heavy influences of the Hanafi school. For a fuller discussion, see Martha Brill Olcott, “The Roots of Radical Islam in Central Asia,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, n.d., http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/olcottroots.pdf 184 Mark Dickens, “The Uzbeks,” 1990, Oxus Communications (website), http://www.oxuscom.com/Uzbeks.pdf 185 İhsan Yilmaz, “Predicaments and Prospects in Uzbek Islamism: A Critical Comparison with the Turkish Case,” Journal of Central Asian and Caucasian Studies 3, no. 6 (2008): 23–57, http://www.usak.org.tr/dosyalar/dergi/iD8GB1oSa2oSqJ8rDHSCfKdoLOnSx7.pdf 186 UN Data, “Uzbekistan: Economic Indicators,” World Statistics Pocketbook, 2008, http://data.un.org/CountryProfile.aspx?crName=UZBEKISTAN © D L I F L C | 32 Kazakhs Kazakhs are descendants of nomadic livestock herders.187 They are found in the northern border region of Uzbekistan, constitute 3% of the population, and are the fourth-largest ethnic group in the country.188 Kyrgyz The small Kyrgyz minority inhabits the Ferghana Valley, a fertile area that the Soviets split into separate administrative entities. The Kyrgyz are mainly Sunni Muslims. This group was primarily nomadic until the 1930s, when the Soviets introduced collectivization. Men still herd flocks in the mountains, while the women stay in the valleys to work the farms.189 The Kyrgyz language is derived from Turkish.190 Tajiks The Tajiks are an Indo-European people who speak a Persian dialect similar to Farsi.191 They officially make up 5% of the population of Uzbekistan.192 But most experts agree that this is an undercount. After independence in 1991, civil war engulfed Tajikistan, making it unlikely that many Tajiks could return to their ancestral homeland.193 Islom Karimov, president of Uzbekistan since its independence in 1991, is of Tajik descent. He is reputed to speak better Russian and Tajik than he does Uzbek.194 Religion Most Uzbeks are Sunni Muslim, and nearly a quarter are considered Sufis. Approximately 9% of the population belongs to the Eastern Orthodox branch of Christianity, a remnant of the Soviet occupation. The other 3% of the country adhere to a variety of faiths including Judaism, Baptists, Jehovah’s Witnesses, Korean Protestants, and Seventh Day Adventists.195, 196 187 Maps of World, “Ethnic Groups in Uzbekistan,” 2009, http://www.mapsofworld.com/uzbekistan/people/ethnicgroups.html 188 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: People,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 189 David J. Phillips, Peoples on the Move: Introducing the Nomads of the World (Pasadena, CA: Piquant, 2001), 304. 190 Dilmurat Tursun, Turdi Tohti, and Askar Hamdulla, “Research in Multilingual Indexing and Query Processing in Uyghur, Kazak, and Kyrgyz Multilingual Information Retrieval System,” in Computer and Information Science 2009, eds. Roger Lee, Gongzu Hu, and Huaikou Miao (NY: Springer, 2009), 264. 191 Maps of World, “Ethnic Groups in Uzbekistan,” 2009, http://www.mapsofworld.com/uzbekistan/people/ethnicgroups.html 192 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: People,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 193 MaryLee Knowlton, Uzbekistan, (New York: Marshall Cavendish, 2006). 194 Chan Van Horn, “Speaks Easy: An Examination of Turkic Literacy in Post-Soviet Central Asia” (paper, George Mason University, n.d.), http://mason.gmu.edu/~calvord/Speaks_Easy.html 195 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: People,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2011, https://www.cia.gov/ligencybrary/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 196 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 3: Population: Ethnic Composition,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/19.htm © D L I F L C | 33 In Uzbekistan, Islam is not monolithic: there are followers of several schools, including the Hanafi and the Shafi’i legal schools, along with the Sufi organizations.197 Uzbek Muslims have traditionally practiced a more tolerant form of the religion, although more radical forms are emerging.198 The modern history of Islam in Uzbekistan includes strong anti-Islamic campaigns by the Soviets, and even purges in the 1920s and 1930s. During their 70 years of rule, the Soviets attempted to purge Islam from the region.199 Between 1950 and 1970, the more moderate Hanafi legal school began to lose influence to the more conservative Salafi-Wahabi schools. These more fundamentalist groups began to operate more openly in the 1980s, resulting in a greater politicization of Islam.200 The repression of religion by the state extends to all religious groups. Muslims continue to be arrested, and individuals, groups, and mosques that do not subscribe to government-approved practices are repressed. This has led to the imprisonment of thousands. While there is some validity to the government’s concerns about extremist groups, many of the targets pose no credible threat to national security.201 Islamist Terrorism The fundamentalist form of Islam became strongest in the Ferghana Valley with the formation of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) in 1992. Established by Juma Namangani, a former Soviet paratrooper, and Tahir Yuldashev, a radical Islamist cleric, the movement represents the merger of four radical Islamist groups. The organization’s original purpose was to overthrow President Karimov and establish an Islamic state.202, 203 This threat led to a violently repressive response from the government, which has declared all opposition groups illegal and views 197 İhsan Yilmaz, “Predicaments and Prospects in Uzbek Islamism: A Critical Comparison with the Turkish Case,” Journal of Central Asian and Caucasian Studies 3, no. 6 (2008): 25–28, http://www.usak.org.tr/dosyalar/dergi/iD8GB1oSa2oSqJ8rDHSCfKdoLOnSx7.pdf 198 Martha Brill Olcott, “The Roots of Radical Islam in Central Asia,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, n.d., 3, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/olcottroots.pdf 199 İhsan Yilmaz, “Predicaments and Prospects in Uzbek Islamism: A Critical Comparison with the Turkish Case,” Journal of Central Asian and Caucasian Studies 3, no. 6 (2008): 25–28, http://www.usak.org.tr/dosyalar/dergi/iD8GB1oSa2oSqJ8rDHSCfKdoLOnSx7.pdf 200 İhsan Yilmaz, “Predicaments and Prospects in Uzbek Islamism: A Critical Comparison with the Turkish Case,” Journal of Central Asian and Caucasian Studies 3, no. 6 (2008): 29, http://www.usak.org.tr/dosyalar/dergi/iD8GB1oSa2oSqJ8rDHSCfKdoLOnSx7.pdf 201 United States Commission on International Religious Freedom, “USCIRF Annual Report 2011 Countries of Particular Concern: Uzbekistan,” 28 April 2011, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4dbe90bd4b.html 202 Martha Brill Olcott, “The Roots of Radical Islam in Central Asia,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, n.d., 52–64, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/olcottroots.pdf 203 IHS Jane’s, “Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU),” Jane’s World Insurgency and Terrorism, 10 August 2011. © D L I F L C | 34 Islamic organizations with great suspicion.204, 205, 206, 207 IMU was driven out of Uzbekistan and has since been active throughout much of Central Asia, including operations in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Tajikistan. American forces in the area killed both Namangani and Yuldashev in ongoing operations in the Afghanistan theater. Usmon Odil has emerged as the group’s current leader.208 Cuisine In contrast to their nomadic neighbors, the forebears of present-day Uzbeks were settled farmers who grew grain centuries ago. Rice was successfully cultivated in the lower reaches of the Ferghana Valley, irrigated by water from the three major rivers.209 As a result, Uzbekistan can claim a long culinary heritage. Plov has the status as the national dish, although the specific ingredients are regional. It is typically rich in meat, sweetened by diced onion and shredded carrot, and spiced. Cooked in a castiron pot, it is served over rice. The recipe was passed from merchant to merchant on the Silk Road. Variants are consumed from Azerbaijan to Xinjiang in northwestern China.210, 211 In addition, a staple of the daily diet is fruit. Grapes and apricots are dried to extend their life beyond summer. Melons can be found seasonally.212 Uzbek food is flavorful but not particularly hot or spicy. Common spices include cumin, pepper, barberries, coriander, sesame seeds, cilantro, dill, parsley, and basil. Fermented milk products are common. Katyk, a yogurt made from sour milk, and suzma, strained clotted milk, are eaten plain, included in salads, or added to soups and main dishes. 213 204 İhsan Yilmaz, “Predicaments and Prospects in Uzbek Islamism: A Critical Comparison with the Turkish Case,” Journal of Central Asian and Caucasian Studies 3, no. 6 (2008): 31–32, http://www.usak.org.tr/dosyalar/dergi/iD8GB1oSa2oSqJ8rDHSCfKdoLOnSx7.pdf 205 Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor, U.S Department of State, “Uzbekistan: International Religious Freedom Report 2010,” 17 November 2010, http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/irf/2010/148810.htm 206 United States Commission on International Religious Freedom, “Uzbekistan: USCIRF Calls for Freedom for Thousands of Religious Prisoners after Poet Released,” 26 May 2011, http://www.uscirf.gov/news-room/pressreleases/3632-5262011-uzbekistan-uscirf-calls-for-freedom-for-thousands-of-religious-prisoners-after-poetreleased.html 207 United States Commission on International Religious Freedom, “USCIRF Annual Report 2011 Countries of Particular Concern: Uzbekistan,” 28 April 2011, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4dbe90bd4b.html 208 IHS Jane’s, “Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU),” Jane’s World Insurgency and Terrorism, 10 August 2011. 209 Travel Centre, “Uzbek Plov,” Passport Travel (website), n.d., http://www.travelcentre.com.au/FoodWineBeer/uzbek_food.htm 210 Abdukakhor Saidov, Abdulkhamid Anarbaev, and Valentina Goriyacheva, “The Ferghana Valley: The PreColonial Legacy,” in Ferghana Valley: The Heart of Central Asia, ed. S. Frederick Starr (New York: M.E. Sharpe, 2011), 3–28. 211 iExplore (firm), “Uzbekistan Food and Dining,” 2010, http://www.iexplore.com/dmap/Uzbekistan/Dining 212 Oriental Express Central Asia (firm), “Cuisine of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://orexca.com/cuisine.shtml 213 Oriental Express Central Asia (firm), “Cuisine of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://orexca.com/cuisine.shtml © D L I F L C | 35 Bread is a staple for most of the population. Non, or flatbread, is commonly served at every meal. Some non are made with onions or meat stuffed in the dough, and sesame seeds may be used as a topping.214 Tea is an important national drink. Green tea is predominant and is the “drink of hospitality,” while black tea is more commonly seen in Tashkent. There is an entire portion of the food culture of Uzbekistan that is devoted to drinking tea, including an elaborate tea ceremony.215, 216 Dress European-style clothing is common among modern, urban Uzbeks.217 Islamic culture normally dictates modesty in dress, and clothing should not show much flesh. Trousers and long-sleeved shirts are appropriate wear for men. Similarly, long-sleeved blouses and long skirts are a good choice for women. Uzbek women often wear headscarves, and occasionally the fuller covering for the head and face is seen.218 Gender Issues After independence, Uzbekistan was one of the first Central Asian Republics to codify equal rights for men and women. In 1995, the government ratified the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women.219 The reality is somewhat different, however, and reflects a strong tradition of patriarchy. Women disproportionately lost their jobs as the economy contracted.220 Unemployment leaves them with no independent claim on housing, rendering them more vulnerable to domestic abuse.221 Women are often victims of domestic violence. Although prohibited by law, domestic violence is often widely accepted and rarely results in conviction against the offender. The trafficking of women for prostitution abroad is a serious problem.222 214 Oriental Express Central Asia (firm), “Cuisine of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://orexca.com/cuisine.shtml Oriental Express Central Asia (firm), “Cuisine of Uzbekistan,” 2011, http://orexca.com/cuisine.shtml 216 Oriental Express Central Asia (firm), “Uzbek Custom,” 2011, http://orexca.com/customs.shtml 217 Uzintour (firm), “Uzbeks,” 2011, http://www.uzintour.com/en/about_uzbekistan/uzbeks/ 218 Marianne Ruth Kamp and Audrey C. Shalinsky, “Uzbeks,” in Encyclopedia of Sex and Gender: Men and Women in the World’s Cultures, Volume 2: Cultures L–Z, eds. Carol R. Ember and Melvin Ember (NY: Springer, 2006), 944. 219 Hande A. Birkalan-Gedik, Dinara Alimdjanova, and Farideh Farhi, “Women’s Studies Programs in Muslim Countries,” in Encyclopedia of Women & Islamic Cultures, ed. Suad Joseph, Brill Online (website), 2006, http://www.brillonline.nl/public/womens-studies.html 220 University of Minnesota, Human Rights Library, “Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination against Women, Concluding Observations (2001),” n.d., http://www1.umn.edu/humanrts/cedaw/uzbekistan2001.html 221 Jeanne Koopman, “Gender Issues in Farm Restructuring in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan: Implications for the BASIS Research Program,” June 1998, 11–12, http://www.usaid.gov/our_work/crosscutting_programs/wid/pubs/uzbekistan_0698.pdf 222 Freedom House, “Uzbekistan 2011,” 2011, http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=22&year=2011&country=8161 215 © D L I F L C | 36 Women face additional discrimination in the form of forced marriage, early marriage, and polygamy. Although the minimum age for legal marriage is 17 for women and 18 for men, the United Nations reports that 13% of girls between 15 and 19 are married, widowed, or divorced. Polygamy is illegal under the current penal code but appears to be on the rise, although no official statistics are available. Men are regarded as the undisputed leader of the household and make most of the important economic decisions.223 Traditional gender roles are being reinforced and strengthened partly because of the resurgence of the nationalist movement in Uzbekistan.224 To date, the economic and educational prospects for women in the nation are limited because of prevailing cultural and religious practices as well as a weakened economy.225 The Arts Dance Uzbekistan has a long dance tradition. Facial gestures and arm and finger movements characterize it. The costumes are too tight-fitting to allow for leaping and large steps, though performers get down on their knees. The dancers are typically women and girls, always performing solo, usually accompanied by music.226 Historically, dancers were men who played female parts, but after incorporation into the Soviet Union, which outlawed female veiling, public dances were performed by females. Since the end of Soviet rule, dances celebrating Navruz, the Persian spring solstice holiday, have made a comeback. Dance companies compete for prizes awarded for the best Navruz festival program.227 Literature Uzbekistan is known for its developed literary tradition. But artists of all types, including writers, suffered greatly because of the Stalinist purges of the 1930s. They faced the prospect of being named an “enemy of the people,” making them eligible for the death penalty. As a result, Uzbekistan’s flourishing literary scene declined under Soviet rule. In order to earn a living, 223 Social Institutions and Gender Index (SIGI), “Gender Equality and Social Institutions in Uzbekistan,” n.d., http://genderindex.org/country/uzbekistan 224 Social Institutions and Gender Index (SIGI), “Gender Equality and Social Institutions in Uzbekistan,” n.d., http://genderindex.org/country/uzbekistan 225 Freedom House, “Uzbekistan 2011,” 2011, http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=22&year=2011&country=8161 226 ZOOM Central Asia Magazine (website), “The Dance Traditions in Uzbekistan,” 2010, http://discoveruzbekistan.com/july2004/6.shtml 227 ZOOM Central Asia Magazine (website), “The Dance Traditions in Uzbekistan,” 2010, http://discoveruzbekistan.com/july2004/6.shtml © D L I F L C | 37 writers were forced to create socialist realist prose that depicted communism in a positive light.228 After the introduction of perestroika and glasnost in the 1980s, writers began to produce works that were mildly critical of their society and its leaders.229 After the USSR was disbanded, restoring the Uzbek language became their mission. The use of Russian lexicon was intentionally minimized. Then 1992 constitution declared Uzbek to be the official language of the newly independent state.230 Yet censorship under President Karimov persists, and works of fiction that have won international prizes have been banned at home.231 In order to survive, many prominent Uzbek writers have had to praise the president and write patriotic works.232 Sports A game known as kok boru (goat grabbing) is Uzbekistan’s national pastime. Traditionally played on Friday afternoons, players on horseback compete to grab a headless goat and drag it around a pole. Regional tournaments can include teams from Afghanistan, China, Kazakhstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Kyrgyzstan. It is said to have been introduced throughout the Central Asian region by Genghis Khan.233, 234 Kurash, a traditional style of wrestling, originated in Uzbekistan more than 3,500 years ago. It is one of the most ancient martial arts forms. President Karimov has worked to develop this native form of wrestling as a way to restore national values and traditions long suppressed by the Soviets. These efforts have met with much success, and Kurash is gaining popularity all over the world.235 Other important sports include football (soccer), boxing, and rugby.236 228 Marshall Cavendish, World and Its Peoples: Arabian Peninsula, (Tarrytown, NY: Marshall Cavendish, 2006),702. 229 Perestroika and glasnost signaled official openness to constructive criticism for the purpose of improving the system. 230 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Population,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/18.htm 231 Ferghana Information Agency, “Day of Uzbek Literature at the Edinburgh Book Fair,” 23 August 2006, http://enews.ferghana.ru/article.php?id=1563 232 Encyclopaedia Britannica Online, “Uzbek Literature: Independence and Beyond,” 2011, http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/621057/Uzbek-literature 233 Peter James La Verne, “The Great Game,” The Great Game (blog), 1 March 2005, http://buzkashi.wordpress.com/ 234 AFP, “Feature: Kyrgyzstan’s Bloody Sport the Pride of the Country,” Taipei Times, 22 April 2007, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/world/archives/2007/04/22/2003357717 235 Kurash Confederation of Asia, “Brief History of Kurash,” 2007, http://www.kurashkca.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=54&Itemid=67 236 Maps of World, “Uzbekistan Sports,” 2009, http://www.mapsofworld.com/uzbekistan/sports/ © D L I F L C | 38 Chapter 4 Assessment 1. Today, the population of Uzbekistan is mostly Uzbek. True Uzbeks account for about 80% of the population. 2. The small Kyrgyz minority inhabits the Qizilqum Desert. False The small Kyrgyz minority inhabits the Ferghana Valley, a fertile area that the Soviets split into separate administrative entities. 3. Ancestors of present-day Uzbeks were nomads who learned from their settled neighbors how to grow rice. False In contrast to their nomadic neighbors, the forebears of present-day Uzbeks were settled farmers who grew grain centuries ago. 4. The Tajiks mostly speak a dialect of Russian. False The Tajiks are an Indo-European people who speak a Persian dialect similar to Farsi. 5. Uzbekistan remains a strongly patriarchal culture. True Uzbekistan is a conservative country with a mostly patriarchal culture. Traditional gender roles are reinforced and strengthened by a resurging nationalist movement. © D L I F L C | 39 Chapter 5 Security Introduction A former Soviet Republic, Uzbekistan gained independence in 1991 after the breakup of the Soviet Union. The country shares borders with Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan.237 Its strategic location makes this predominantly Muslim nation of approximately 28 million people the center of geopolitics and trade in the region.238, 239 The government is an authoritarian republic with limited power outside the executive branch. It is one of the most repressive states in the world and remains a “Country of Concern” with respect to human rights abuses.240, 241 Perceived threats of Islamic fundamentalism among Uzbekistan’s neighbors, particularly Afghanistan and Tajikistan, have laid the foundation for its foreign policy. Relations with neighboring countries have been strained, and the areas that border Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have landmines. Relations with Europe and the United States weakened after the Andijan massacre in 2005. But Uzbekistan has supported nonmilitary supply actions for NATO operations in Afghanistan, which has largely eased relations with the European Union and the United States.242 U.S.–Uzbekistani Relations The abrupt demise of the Soviet Union (USSR) necessitated a change in U.S. foreign policy, which had been driven during the Cold War by the need to contain communism.243 New concepts of Uzbekistan and the rest of Central Asia as independent nations, rather than as part of the Soviet Union, did not come easily to the U.S. 237 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: Geography,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2001, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 238 Chris Seiple, “Uzbekistan: Civil Society in the Heartland,” Orbis 49, no. 2 (Spring 2005): 247, http://www.fpri.org/orbis/4902/seiple.uzbekistancivilsociety.pdf 239 Central Intelligence Agency, “Uzbekistan: People,” in The World Factbook, 21 July 2001, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html 240 Freedom House, “Worst of the Worst 2011: The World’s Most Repressive Societies,” 2011, 26, http://www.freedomhouse.org/uploads/special_report/101.pdf 241 Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs, “Human Rights and Democracy: The 2010 Foreign & Commonwealth Office Report,” March 2011, 322-331, http://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/htcdn/Human-Rightsand-Democracy-The-2010-Foreign-Commonwealth-Report.pdf 242 Freedom House, “Freedom in the World 2011—Uzbekistan,” 16 May 2011, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4dd21a3f8.html 243 Harry Kreisler, “Conversations with History: American Foreign Policy from the End of the Cold War to 9/11,” podcast, University of California Television, 1 December 2008, http://podcast.uctv.tv/mp3/15411.mp3 © D L I F L C | 40 government. Regarded almost as an afterthought by the George H. W. Bush and Clinton administrations, these newly independent nations were categorized as “former Soviet Union.” Only the Department of Defense reviewed their thinking and placed Uzbekistan (and Central Asia) under Central Command’s (CENTCOM) area of responsibility. Uzbekistan was effectively marginalized in U.S. thinking until the 9/11 attacks.244 Following the attacks of 9/11, Uzbekistan became a key strategic ally of the United States.245, 246 Tashkent became a partner in counterterrorism because both governments shared a desire to avoid a “Talibanization” of Central Asia.247 In March 2002, a Declaration on the Strategic Partnership and Cooperation Framework was signed during Uzbek President Islom Karimov’s official visit to the United States.248 Joint counterterrorism-training exercises were initiated, and Washington nearly tripled its economic aid package to approximately USD 300 million.249 Relations cooled after the Andijan uprising in 2005, in which the Uzbek government was accused of killing unarmed civilians.250 President Karimov rebuffed U.S. and European demands for an international investigation into the uprising. American usage rights to the KarshiKhanabad air base were rescinded; Uzbekistan signed a security treaty with Russia and rejoined a regional collective security group.251 It also moved into the Russian and Chinese economic orbit.252 In mid-2007, issues of mutual concern facilitated increased cooperation between the two countries. Uzbekistan is viewed as highly important to ensuring stability and security in that part of the world.253 Uzbekistan is emerging as a major transit hub for NATO supplies to troops in Afghanistan. The strategic importance to the U.S. could enable the Uzbek government to wield even more 244 Chris Seiple, “Uzbekistan: Civil Society in the Heartland,” Orbis 49, no. 2 (Spring 2005): 254–255, http://www.fpri.org/orbis/4902/seiple.uzbekistancivilsociety.pdf 245 EurasiaNet, “New Study Assesses US Security Assistance to Uzbekistan, Afghanistan,” 3 January 2007, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav010407.shtml 246 Freedom House, “Freedom in the World—Uzbekistan (2007),” 16 April 2007, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/473c5607c.html 247 Fiona Hill, “The United States and Russia in Central Asia: Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iran,” Brookings Institution, 15 August 2002, http://www.brookings.edu/speeches/2002/0815russia_hill.aspx?p=1 248 Freedom House, “Freedom in the World—Uzbekistan (2007),” 16 April 2007, http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/473c5607c.html 249 Lionel Beehner, “Severing of U.S.-Uzbek Ties over Counterterrorism” (background paper, Council on Foreign Relations, Washington, DC, 30 September 2005), http://www.cfr.org/publication/8940/ 250 Vladimir Socor, “Uzbekistan Accedes to Collective Security Treaty Organization,” Eurasia Daily Monitor 3, no. 124 (27 June 2006), http://www.jamestown.org/single/?no_cache=1&tx_ttnews[tt_news]=31820 251 Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). Members include Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. 252 Timur Abdullaev, “Uzbekistan Maneuvers,” in Perspective XIV, no. 4 (June–July 2004), http://www.bu.edu/iscip/vol14/Abdullaev.html 253 Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State, “Background Note: Uzbekistan,” 20 June 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm © D L I F L C | 41 influence and to resist efforts by the U.S. and others to increase democratization and human rights.254 Foreign Relations with Neighboring Countries Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan’s relations with Kyrgyzstan have been problematic. One border issue concerns a strip of land over which Uzbekistan gained usage rights under Soviet rule and has not been restored to Kyrgyz sovereignty.255 The bombings in Tashkent in 1999 were blamed on Islamic fundamentalists who entered the country from Kyrgyzstan. This led Uzbekistan to implement more restrictive border-crossing measures and to plant antipersonnel land mines in border regions.256 Another source of tension was Kyrgyzstan’s refusal to repatriate hundreds of Uzbeks who had fled across the border after the Andijan Massacre in 2005.257 These Uzbeks were instead granted refugee status, and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has since arranged for their resettlement in third countries.258 A coup in Kyrgyzstan in April 2010 prompted Uzbekistan to tighten border controls. Relationships became more tense as conflict flared between ethnic Uzbeks and ethnic Kyrgyz in southern Kyrgyzstan in June 2010. As many as 100,000 ethnic Uzbeks fled to refugee camps in Uzbekistan.259 254 Muhammad Tahir, “Central Asia Stands to Gain as NATO Shifts Supply Lines Away from Pakistan,” Radio Free Europe, Radio Liberty, 22 March 2011, http://www.rferl.org/content/central_asia_supply_lines_afghanistan/2345994.html 255 Nick Megoran, “Bad Neighbors, Bad Fences,” Asia Times, 15 March 2000, http://www.atimes.com/casia/BC15Ag01.html 256 International Crisis Group, “Central Asia: Border Disputes and Conflict Potential” (report, International Crisis Group, Brussels, Belgium, 4 April 2002), 14, http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/asia/centralasia/Central%20Asia%20Border%20Disputes%20and%20Conflict%20Potential.pdf 257 Olga Oliker, “Why America Shouldn’t Sever Ties with Uzbekistan” (paper, RAND Corporation, Arlington, VA, 6 September 2005), http://www.rand.org/commentary/090605BS.html 22 Nikola Krastev, “Kyrgyzstan: UN Seeking to Relocate Uzbek Asylum Seekers to Third Countries,” Radio Free Europe, 28 June 2005, http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2005/06/08ebf3a5-1765-4426-bcc3-241a90365ea0.html 259 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010, 4, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf © D L I F L C | 42 Tajikistan Uzbekistan’s relationship with its small neighbor has been unstable.260 Tashkent’s decision to mine parts of the border to prevent passage by fundamentalists is a source of tension. The mines were haphazardly placed, resulting in casualties among residents of border communities. Tajikistan lost territory to Uzbekistan when the Soviets drew borders for the republics. In the words of one American historian, “The Tajik situation in some ways resembles that of post-colonial Africa. Tajiks have been given an impossible piece of territory with a disparate population and have been forced to make a nation out of it.”261 Poor, remote, and engulfed in civil war after independence, Tajikistan has one resource: control of water in a landlocked, desert region. Glaciers inside its territorial borders supply 55% of Central Asia’s water.262 In the past, it has withheld irrigation water from Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan began restricting rail and road transport to and from Tajikistan in February 2010. The likely motive for this action was to pressure Tajikistan to abandon plans for a dam limiting water flow to Uzbekistan. In addition, the government raised tariffs twice in 2010 on trucks crossing into Tajikistan.263 Recently, the two nations have met to discuss issues of mutual concern. Among these are how to deal with drug and weapons trafficking from Afghanistan, and plans for a transportationcommunication corridor through the two countries. A third point of discussion was the natural gas pipeline linking Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan with China.264 Turkmenistan Relations between Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan have been strained. Both the Uzbek minority in Turkmenistan and the Turkmen minority in Uzbekistan have experienced discrimination in the context of economic decline. Residents of villages on one side of the border must pay for visas to visit their ancestral graves on the other. In addition, charges of Uzbek complicity in a 2002 assassination attempt on Turkmenistan’s president 260 Bruce Pannier, “Central Asia: Are Uzbek-Tajik Relations at a New Low?” Radio Free Europe, 19 June 2006, http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2006/06/f4ddbab6-7966-48be-9a3e-30bbd79780b3.html 261 Igor Torbakov, “Tajik-Uzbek Relations: Divergent National Historiographies Threaten to Aggravate Tensions,” 12 June 2001, http://eurasianet.org/departments/culture/articles/eav061201.shtml 262 Konstantin Parshin, “Tajikistan Calls for More Cooperation in Water Management,” Transitions Online, 9 September 2003, http://www.ciaonet.org/pbei/tol/tol_2003/sep2-8/sep2-8_j.html 263 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, August 2011, 4–12, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf 264 Central Asia Newswire, “Turkmen, Uzbek Leaders Holds Talks in Tashkent,” 5 May 2011, http://centralasianewswire.com/Turkmenistan/Turkmen-Uzbek-leaders-hold-talks-inTashkent/viewstory.aspx?id=3985 © D L I F L C | 43 temporarily heightened tensions.265 Since 2004, relations between the two countries have improved marginally. The President of Turkmenistan visited Uzbekistan in 2004. In October 2007, President Karimov paid a state visit to Turkmenistan, which was under new leadership, sparking hopes for an improved bilateral relationship.266 In 2010, the governments met to extend cooperation in areas of mutual concern.267 Afghanistan The government of Islom Karimov felt that the Taliban and their fundamentalist Islamist vision of the future threatened Uzbekistan’s survival. As a result, Uzbekistan backed coalition efforts to topple the Taliban. Unless the Afghan government is stabilized and in control of Afghanistan, Tashkent will continue to view Afghanistan with some alarm. Despite its fears and concerns, Uzbekistan attempts to help development efforts in Afghanistan. Uzbekistan believes that good relations with Afghanistan are central to stability in the region and the country. The Uzbek government built 11 bridges between the cities of Mazar-e Sharif and Kabul to ensure communication links essential to economic development of Afghanistan. Uzbekistan also exports electricity to Afghanistan, with future plans to increase the supply.268 In July 2011, a railway line was opened between the Uzbek border and the Mazar-e Sharif airport. This line offers the potential for trade growth between the two neighbors.269 In 2000, trade was nonexistent, while in 2010 it had increased to USD 1 billion.270 The Uzbekistan government views Afghanistan as a significant member of the Central Asian community; it admits that peace and stability in the region cannot be accomplished without a resolution to Afghanistan’s political problems. To that end, Uzbekistan is taking a guardedly optimistic approach to improved relations between the two nations.271 265 Hooman Peimani, “Turkmenistan Reconsiders Relations with Uzbekistan,” Analyst (Central Asia-Caucasus Institute), 4 June 2003, http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/1204/print 266 Bruce Pannier, “Uzbekistan: President Makes Landmark Visit to Turkmenistan,” Radio Free Europe, 18 October 2007, http://www.rferl.org/content/article/1078981.html 267 Press Service of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan, “Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan: A New Phase of Cooperation,” 21 October 2010, http://www.press-service.uz/en/news/show/main/novyiye_etap_sotrudnichestva/ 268 Shoislam Akmalov, “Uzbekistan’s Role in Stability and Development of Afghanistan,” in Policy Perspectives 6, no. 1 (January–June 2009), http://www.ips.org.pk/pakistan-and-its-neighbours/1048-uzbekistans-role-in-stabilityand-development-of-afghanistan.html 269 Maksim Yeniseyev, “Uzbek-Afghan Railway to Start Running in July,” Central Asia Online (website), 29 June 2011, http://centralasiaonline.com/cocoon/caii/xhtml/en_GB/features/caii/features/business/2011/06/29/feature-01 270 Sodiq Safaev, “Uzbekistan’s View on Providing Security and Stability in Afghanistan: 10/14/10,” Event Media Video, Eurasia Discussion Series hosted by the Atlantic Council, 14 October 2010, http://www.acus.org/event/providing-security-and-stability-afghanistan-uzbekistan%E2%80%99s-view 271 Sodiq Safaev, “Uzbekistan’s View on Providing Security and Stability in Afghanistan: 10/14/10,” Event Media Video, Eurasia Discussion Series hosted by the Atlantic Council, 14 October 2010, http://www.acus.org/event/providing-security-and-stability-afghanistan-uzbekistan%E2%80%99s-view © D L I F L C | 44 China China has a strong interest in Uzbekistan, particularly in the supply of energy. In the spring of 2007, the Chinese and the Uzbekistani governments signed an agreement to build a pipeline to supply Uzbekistani natural gas to China. In 2011, the Chinese agreed to provide more than USD 5 billion to Uzbekistan to improve investment projects. The two countries also agreed to construct a spur to the Central Asia-China natural gas pipeline to increase the amount of natural gas from Uzbekistan to China.272 In 2011, the Chinese defense minister announced that China would strengthen its collaboration with Uzbekistan in the areas of defense and security. Military cooperation and relations are expected to reach higher levels.273 On a similar note, China and Uzbekistan are increasing their trade and economic cooperation. China currently ranks first in investments and second in trade with Uzbekistan. One major new initiative is China’s exploration for oil in the Aral Sea.274 Continuing talks portend expanded cooperation between the two nations on many fronts.275 Russia China and Uzbekistan’s proposed oil pipeline poses a challenge to Russia, whose reluctance to ratify the Energy Charter Treaty and Transit Protocol complicates efforts by third parties to access Central Asian natural resources.276 Using this mechanism, Russia can block Central Asia’s access to alternative markets, particularly Europe. Moscow’s objective is to maintain monopoly control on the transport of hydrocarbons out of Central Asia. The understandable interest of Central Asians, including Uzbeks, to gain greater control over the sales rights of their natural resources has created tensions. The Chinese, by signing a deal with Uzbekistan (among other Central Asian states) to buy natural gas, may cause problems in this regard. In January 2006, Uzbekistan became a member of the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Community.277 In 2011, relations between the two countries warmed, as shown by a state visit to Moscow by President Karimov. During that visit, the two leaders agreed to implement activities related to 272 Reuters, “Uzbekistan Says Signs China Deals Worth $5 bln,” 21 April 2011, http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/04/21/uzbekistan-china-idUKLDE73K18H20110421 273 Xinhua News Agency, “Chinese, Uzbek Defense Ministers Discuss Cooperation,” Ministry of National Defense, People’s Republic of China (website), 18 March, 2011, http://eng.mod.gov.cn/DefenseNews/201103/19/content_4232506.htm 274 The Government Portal of the Republic of Uzbekistan, “Uzbekistan and China Expanding Cooperation,” 18 April 2011, http://www.gov.uz/en/press/politics/8915 275 Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Uzbekistan, “President of Uzbekistan Completes State Visit to China,” 22 April 2011, http://www.mf.uz/en/component/content/article/301-id-175.html 276 Vladimir Milov and Martha Brill Olcott, “The Great Uncertainty: Russian-Central Asian Energy Relations,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 13 June 2007, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2007/06/13/greatuncertainty-russian-central-asian-energy-relations/lgp 277 In addition to Russia, the Eurasian Economic Community includes Belarus, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Radio Free Europe, “Uzbekistan Joins Eurasian Economic Community,” 25 January 2006, http://www.rferl.org/content/article/1065067.html © D L I F L C | 45 military-technical cooperation for 2010–2012. Talks also hinted at expanding bilateral trade.278 But tensions persist over Russia’s desire to build military bases in neighboring Kyrgyzstan. Russia is negotiating a deal to rent a military base with a 49-year lease.279, 280 Military and Police With approximately 67,000 personnel in its army and air force, Uzbekistan commands the largest military in Central Asia. An additional 19,000 internal security forces and 1,000 National Guard personnel assist in security.281 Uzbekistan’s defense establishment extends from divisions of the Ministry of Defense and combat units in the Ministry of the Interior, plus the Ministry of Emergencies and the Customs Service. In 1995, Uzbekistan elaborated its first national security declaration as an independent country. Tashkent vowed not to develop or acquire weapons of mass destruction (WMD), renounced territorial claims on its neighbors, and stated it would only intervene in regional conflicts if its internal stability were threatened. Defensive in orientation, it called for combatready troops to defend its territorial integrity. The civil war that engulfed newly independent Tajikistan and the rise of Islamist fundamentalism in Afghanistan after the Soviet troop withdrawal certainly raised these types of concerns. Uzbekistan’s armed forces are spread across four military. Because it is landlocked, Uzbekistan has no naval forces. The length of service for conscripts is 12 months, although those with higher education serve only 9-month tours. One intent of these shortened tours is to reduce corruption in the national army.282, 283 Army Estimated to have 50,000 troops, the Uzbekistani Army comprises 15 infantry brigades (11 motorized rifle brigades, 1 light mountain brigade, 1 air assault brigade, 1 airborne brigade, and 1 special forces unit), 1 tank brigade, and 7 artillery brigades (including 1 multiple rocket launcher (MRL) brigade). Bases are located in Tashkent, Termez, and Ferghana, and garrisons are situated in Bukhara, Ferghana, Samarkand, Tashkent, Termez, and Urgench.284, 285, 286 278 Erkin Akhmadov, “Karimov Visits Moscow—A Warming in Uzbek-Russian Relations?” Analyst (Central AsiaCaucasus Institute), 28 April 2010, http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/5318/print 279 BBC News, “Uzbekistan Country Profile,” 31 March 2011, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asiapacific/country_profiles/1238242.stm 280 “Russian Negotiates Terms for Military Base in Kyrgyzstan,” RT.com (website), 15 February 2011, http://rt.com/politics/kyrgyzstan-russia-base-rent/ 281 Jim Nichol, “Uzbekistan: Recent Developments and U.S. Interests,” Congressional Research Service, 12 August 2010, 5, http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RS21238.pdf 282 Roger N. McDermott, “The Changing Face of the Uzbek Armed Forces,” Analyst (Central Asia-Caucasus Institute), 12 February 2003, http://www.cacianalyst.org/?q=node/900 283 Global Security, “Uzbekistan: Army,” 9 July 2011, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/centralasia/uzbek-army.htm 284 Rustam Burnashev and Irina Chernykh, “Changes in Uzbekistan’s Military Policy after the Andijan Events,” China and Eurasia Forum Quarterly 5, no. 1 (2007): 67–73, http://www.silkroadstudies.org/new/docs/CEF/Quarterly/February_2007/Burnashev_Chernykh.pdf 285 NationMaster, “Uzbekistan: Military,” 2011, http://www.nationmaster.com/country/uz-uzbekistan/mil-military © D L I F L C | 46 The army relies upon Soviet-made battle tanks, infantry fighting vehicles (IFV), reconnaissance vehicles, and armored personnel carriers (APC). Airborne and special forces units are issued NATO-standard gear and weaponry.287 Uzbekistan is considering creating a more professional army. Emphasis is being placed on mobile, skilled forces capable of combating terrorism and defending against threats to internal security as well as regional stability. A gradual decrease in the size of the army is underway. One new initiative involves enhanced opportunities for language training in English and French.288 Air Force With a strength of 13,700 personnel, the Uzbekistan Air Force comprises 6 fighter aviation units, 1 bomber aviation unit, 2 fighter-bomber aviation unit, 5 helicopter units, and 9 independent, mixed-aviation unites. Bases are situated at Andizhan, Chirchik, Ferghana, Kagan South, Kakaydy, Karshi-Khanabad, Navoi, Pakhtakor, Tashkent, and Termez. All aircraft are of Soviet and Czech manufacture, including some high-end attack helicopters and jet fighters.289, 290 The Uzbekistan Air Force allegedly attacked Tajik rebels during the early years of Tajikistan’s civil war, which seemed to illustrate Karimov’s desire and willingness to project Uzbekistan’s strength in the region.291 The air force has played an active role in the government’s ongoing operations against the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), a terrorist organization bent on the creation of a unified Islamic state in Central Asia. Combat and assault helicopters play a significant role in such engagements, especially in remote regions.292 286 Jane’s Defence, “Army, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 22 December 2010. Jane’s Defence, “Army, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 22 December 2010. 288 Global Security, “Uzbekistan: Army,” 9 July 2011, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/centralasia/uzbek-army.htm 289 Jane’s Defence, “Air Force, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 08 February 2011. 290 Global Security, “Uzbekistan: Air Force,” 09 July 2011, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/centralasia/uzbek-airforce.htm 291 Bess A. Brown, “Security Concerns of the Central Asian States,” in After Empire: The Emerging Geopolitics of Central Asia, ed. Jed C. Snyder (Honolulu: University Press of the Pacific, 2002), 79. 292 Jane’s Defence, “Air Force, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 08 February 2011. 287 © D L I F L C | 47 Internal Security The Ministry of the Interior oversees the work of the police as well as some paramilitary units. Their alleged involvement of both in human rights abuses, including the Andijan massacre, has complicated U.S. efforts to provide training assistance.293 Under the Ministry’s direct command is the National Security Service (NSS), which is responsible for eliminating dissent and suppressing all Islamic-inspired activity that falls outside narrowly defined state parameters.294 But the NSS receives no effective oversight, making it one of the most powerful internal security forces in Central Asia.295, 296 Police units are equipped with predominantly Soviet-made weapons, including pistols, assault rifles, machine guns, and sniper rifles.297 Border Guards Charged with protecting the borders from infiltration by neighboring countries’ Islamist terrorists, the Uzbekistani Border Guards rely heavily upon highly mobile paramilitary units to engage in such counterterrorism operations. At the turn of the century, U.S. military advisors assisted in training units. But with fewer than 1,000 personnel and inadequate equipment, the force is thinly spread over the lengthy borders, and frequently must coordinate with the armed forces when dealing with armed terrorists.298 Intelligence Services Charged with quelling political dissent and quashing Islamist terrorism, the National Security Service (SNB) is Uzbekistan’s primary intelligence service. Built on the model of the Soviet-era 293 Seth Jones et al., “Securing Tyrants or Fostering Reform: U.S. Internal Security Assistance to Repressive and Transitioning Regimes” (paper, prepared for the Open Society Institute, New York, 2006), 86, http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2006/RAND_MG550.pdf 294 Under Soviet rule, the Muslim Board of Central Asia and Kazakhstan regulated Islamic worship and education. Its responsibilities included the registration of mosques, appointing imams to lead local congregations, as well as dictating the content of sermons and approving specific practices. After independence in 1991, the agency was renamed the Muslim Board of Uzbekistan but retained its original mandate. Human Rights Watch, “Memorandum to the U.S. Government Regarding Religious Persecution in Uzbekistan,” 10 August 2001, http://www.hrw.org/backgrounder/eca/uzbek-aug/islam.htm 295 Glenn E. Curtis, ed., “Chapter 9: Government,” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1996, http://countrystudies.us/uzbekistan/44.htm 296 Nancy Lubin, “Country Profile: Uzbekistan (updated 2007),” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, ed. Glenn E. Curtis (Washington, DC: Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1997), 18, http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Uzbekistan.pdf 297 Jane’s Defence, “Security and Foreign Forces, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 16 June 2010. 298 Jane’s Defence, “Security and Foreign Forces, Uzbekistan,” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment—Russia and the CIS, 16 June 2010. © D L I F L C | 48 KGB and incorporating former personnel of the same, the SNB is alleged by international observers to be a Karimov regime tool to eliminate political opposition.299, 300 Issues Affecting Security Terrorism The principal terrorist organization is the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), which has known ties to al-Qaeda. Adherents fought alongside the Taliban in Afghanistan, where they suffered serious losses, and against coalition forces in Iraq.301 Initially aimed at overthrowing the government of President Islom Karimov, its goal shifted to creating an Islamic state in all of Central Asia and in Muslim-dominated Xinjiang, China. It engages in guerrilla warfare and, after it attacks, its combatants retreat to villages where they can blend in with the local population.302 The IMU is based in the Ferghana Valley, a contiguous community that was divided among three countries: Kyrgyzstan, containing half the valley’s population; Tajikistan with one third; and Uzbekistan. Although the Ferghana Valley makes up only 4% of Uzbekistan’s territory, it is home to 27% of the Uzbek population.303 A precise delineation of the area into national states, or even ethnic groups, is fraught with difficulty for several reasons. Patterns of human settlement and a regional economy supported by transportation links predate modern administrative governance. The IMU takes advantage of the difficulty this poses to national law enforcement agencies. After the death of Osama bin Laden in 2011, Uzbekistan placed all law enforcement agencies, the National Security Council, and the Internal Affairs Ministry on high alert. The government had received information of possible terrorist attacks. The terror threat is high and the government is taking precautions to thwart any terrorist activity.304 The roots of political Islam in Uzbekistan developed during the waning years of the USSR, when harsh political controls were relaxed. The revival of religion proved appealing in the absence of alternative outlets of expression. After the collapse of the former Soviet system, outsiders took 299 Jane’s Defence, “Uzbekistan: Special Forces (Government),” Jane’s Amphibious and Special Forces, 17 May 2010. 300 Jeffrey Donovan, “Former Uzbek Spy Accuses Government of Massacres, Seeks Asylum,” Radio Free Europe, 01 September 2008, http://www.rferl.org/content/Former_Uzbek_Spy_Seeks_Asylum/1195372.html 301 U.S. Department of State, “Redesignation of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan as a Foreign Terrorist Organization,” 25 September 2002, http://merln.ndu.edu/archivepdf/centasia/State/13708.pdf 302 Monterey Institute of International Studies, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, “Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU),” 2007, http://cns.miis.edu/archive/wtc01/imu.htm 303 Fatimakhon Ahmedova and Keith Leitich, “Ethnic and Religious Conflict in the Ferghana Valley,” Journal of Central Asian Studies 6, no. 1 (2001): 33–43. 304 Shakar Saadi, “Uzbekistan Tightens Security,” Central Asia Online (website), 24 May 2011, http://centralasiaonline.com/cocoon/caii/xhtml/en_GB/features/caii/features/main/2011/05/24/feature-01 © D L I F L C | 49 advantage of the lack of authority to radicalize the indigenous Islamic community. In an environment in which dissent is not tolerated, political violence and the potential for a radicalization of Islamists threaten to emerge in the place of political pluralism. This has led to speculation that there could be a major upheaval, especially in the Ferghana Valley.305, 306, 307 Crime and Drug Trafficking The traditionally low rate of violent crime is increasing. In the northern part of the country, along the border with Afghanistan, narcotics trafficking is on the increase, stimulating domestic sales and drug addiction. These effects have been accompanied by forms of criminal behavior. Law enforcement officials have allegedly been involved in the trafficking. Afghanistan supplies 93% of the global opiate market. Routes traditionally used for smuggling narcotics serve the added purpose of smuggling terrorists, posing an additional threat to Uzbek security.308 Poverty Rural poverty is severe, even in places like Namangan Province in the Ferghana Valley, which has fertile agricultural conditions.309 One cause of poverty is that cotton, the main crop, is procured under conditions close to slavery.310 Because the government collects most of the revenues, there is little incentive to marketize the rural economy and privatize land ownership. Thus, the rural poor have little prospect of an improvement in their standard of living. As a result, Islamic militancy may prove attractive. Without any legitimate outlets to vent their grievances, the only avenue for protest is extremist groups. All protest channeled through non-Islamist outlets is invariably labeled by the government as dissident Islamist activity. This provides a pretext for harsher repression.311, 312 305 Martha Brill Olcott, “The Roots of Radical Islam in Central Asia,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, n.d., 12–31, http://www.carnegieendowment.org/files/olcottroots.pdf 306 İhsan Yilmaz, “Predicaments and Prospects in Uzbek Islamism: A Critical Comparison with the Turkish Case,” Journal of Central Asian and Caucasian Studies 3, no. 6 (2008): 25–28, http://www.usak.org.tr/dosyalar/dergi/iD8GB1oSa2oSqJ8rDHSCfKdoLOnSx7.pdf 307 Nancy Lubin, “Country Profile: Uzbekistan (updated 2007),” in Uzbekistan: A Country Study, ed. Glenn E. Curtis (Washington DC: Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, 1997), 20, http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Uzbekistan.pdf 308 Togzhan Kassenova, “Central Asia: Regional Security and WMD Proliferation Threats” (paper for the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research, Geneva, 2007), 14, http://www.unidir.org/pdf/articles/pdf-art2684.pdf 309 International Crisis Group, “Incubators of Conflict: Central Asia’s Localised Poverty and Social Unrest: Executive Summary” (report, International Crisis Group, Brussels, 8 June 2001), http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/asia/centralasia/Incubators%20of%20Conflict%20Central%20Asias%20Localised%20Poverty%20and%20Social%20Unrest.pd f 310 International Crisis Group, “The Curse of Cotton: Central Asia’s Destructive Monoculture” (report, International Crisis Group, Brussels, 28 February 2005), http://www.essex.ac.uk/armedcon/story_id/000221.doc 311 Dina Rome Spechler and Martin C. Spechler, “Uzbekistan among the Great Powers,” Communist and PostCommunist Studies 42, no. 3 (September 2009), 353–373, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=MImg&_imagekey=B6VGF-4WY5BFH-1- © D L I F L C | 50 Water Security According to the Water Security Risk Index, Uzbekistan ranks sixth in the world regarding water security risk. The nation is already experiencing internal and international tensions partly because of a scarcity of water in the region.313 Neighboring Turkmenistan ranked ninth on the same list, raising the risk of tensions between the countries. Uzbekistan also faces ongoing water disputes with Kyrgyzstan.314 Part of the problem is that Uzbekistan ceased its participation in the Central Asia energy grid, effectively preventing Tajikistan from importing and exporting electricity. Tajikistan will have to run its hydroelectric plants at full capacity in the winter to compensate for the loss; such an action will deplete the reservoirs for the summer. Uzbekistan needs reservoir water to sustain the agricultural sector, which makes up 25% to 30% of the economy.315 This loss of water seriously threatens stability in the region and increases the chances for conflict.316 Looking to the Future Uzbekistan remains a central player in stability and security in Central Asia. The repressive tactics of the Karimov government and the socioeconomic problems affecting a broad spectrum of the population create an increased risk for domestic unrest. Yet the lack of an organized opposition suggests that, in the short run, the regime is likely to remain unchallenged.317 The Ferghana Valley is often considered the area most likely to experience unrest. Competition for land, water, and resources provide fertile ground for large-scale disturbances. The area around Kyrgyzstan, which previously was the site of violence, remains a threat. This is fueled by ethnic tensions, particularly along the border areas.318 1&_cdi=6037&_user=3326500&_pii=S0967067X0900035X&_origin=&_coverDate=09%2F30%2F2009&_sk=999 579996&view=c&wchp=dGLzVzz-zSkzV&md5=46ffa762b33a9cb462dfd99de51669c2&ie=/sdarticle.pdf 312 Lawrence P. Markowitz, “How Master Frames Mislead: The Division and Eclipse of Nationalist Movements in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan,” Ethnic and Racial Studies 32, no. 4 (2009): 716–738. 313 Maplecroft (firm), “New Maplecroft Index Rates Pakistan and Egypt Among Nations Facing ‘Extreme’ Water Security Risks,” 24 June 2010, http://maplecroft.com/about/news/water-security.html 314 Central Asia Newswire, “Water Shortages Create Instability Risk in Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan,” 15 July 2010, http://centralasianewswire.com/Water-shortages-create-instability-risk-in-UzbekistanTurkmenistan/viewstory.aspx?id=1112 315 Circle of Blue, “Water Becomes a Pawn in Central Asia Energy Dispute,” Water News, 3 December 2009, http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2009/world/news-water-becomes-a-pawn-in-central-asian-energy-dispute/ 316 Circle of Blue, “African, Asian Nations Top Latest Water Security Risk Index,” Water News, 6 July 2010, http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2010/world/african-asian-nations-top-latest-water-security-risk-index/ 317 IHS Jane’s: Defence & Security Intelligence and Analysis, “Uzbekistan: Security,” 23 June 2010, http://search.janes.com/Search/documentView.do?docId=/content1/janesdata/sent/cissu/cisa010.htm@current&page Selected=allJanes&keyword=Uzbekistan&backPath=http://search.janes.com/Search&Prod_Name=CISS& 318 IHS Jane’s: Defence & Security Intelligence and Analysis, “Uzbekistan: Security,” 23 June 2010, http://search.janes.com/Search/documentView.do?docId=/content1/janesdata/sent/cissu/cisa010.htm@current&page Selected=allJanes&keyword=Uzbekistan&backPath=http://search.janes.com/Search&Prod_Name=CISS& © D L I F L C | 51 Although Uzbekistan currently enjoys relatively cordial relations with the United States because of its assistance to NATO efforts in Afghanistan, relations with the West in general are weakening. This had led to a strengthening of ties with Russia and China, thus extending their influence in the area.319 319 IHS Jane’s: Defence & Security Intelligence and Analysis, “Uzbekistan: Security,” 23 June 2010, http://search.janes.com/Search/documentView.do?docId=/content1/janesdata/sent/cissu/cisa010.htm@current&page Selected=allJanes&keyword=Uzbekistan&backPath=http://search.janes.com/Search&Prod_Name=CISS& © D L I F L C | 52 Chapter 5 Assessment 1. There is no strategic partnership agreement in place between the United States and Uzbekistan. False A U.S.-Uzbek strategic partnership agreement was signed in March 2002. Washington nearly tripled its economic aid package to Uzbekistan. 2. Uzbekistan and China have strengthened their defense and security collaboration. True In 2011, China announced it would strengthen its collaboration with Uzbekistan in defense and security. The cooperation is expected to reach new levels. 3. The United States continues to use the airbase at Karshi-Khanabad for operations in Afghanistan. False Following the Andijan Massacre and subsequent American condemnation of the action, American usage rights to the air base at Karshi-Khanabad were rescinded. 4. Uzbekistan is home to the largest armed force in Central Asia. True Uzbekistan’s armed forces are the largest in Central Asia with a substantial army and air force equipped with later-model, Soviet-era equipment. 5. Uzbek relations with neighbors Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Afghanistan are cordial. False Relations with each country—Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Afghanistan— are tense. © D L I F L C | 53 Final Assessment 1. Arable land in Uzbekistan constitutes less than 11% of the total land area. True / False 2. Uzbekistan’s location ensures its commercial importance in Central Asia. True / False 3. The Amu Darya marks the border between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. True / False 4. Cotton production is a small, but growing, industry in Uzbekistan. True / False 5. Independent Uzbekistan was formed in 1991, when the Soviet Union dissolved. True / False 6. Nearly 80% of Uzbekistan’s topography consists of steppes and sandy deserts. True / False 7. Tamerlane’s legacy was promoted by the Soviets. True / False 8. The area that makes up present-day Uzbekistan had fallen under Russian control by 1500 C.E. True / False 9. The Uzbek Soviet Socialist Republic was created in 1953. True / False 10. Islom Karimov was appointed leader of Uzbekistan in March 1990. True / False 11. Agriculture accounts for about 75% of Uzbekistan’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). True / False 12. Energy exploitation in Uzbekistan has been highly successful. True / False 13. Young Uzbek men often work in the Russian construction industry. True / False 14. Uzbekistan is the eighth-largest producer of natural gas in the world. True / False © D L I F L C | 54 15. Uzbekistan was one of the first Central Asian Republics to codify equal rights for men and women. True / False 16. The Soviet Union outlawed female veiling. True / False 17. Uzbek was declared the official language of Uzbekistan in 1992. True / False 18. The border regions between Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan are mined. True / False 19. The government of Islom Karimov did not back coalition efforts to topple the Taliban in Afghanistan. True / False 20. Except for the Aral Sea, Uzbek lakes and rivers remain relatively unpolluted. True / False 21. The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) has been active in recent violent outbreaks in Uzbekistan. True / False 22. Despite low levels of unemployment in the country, most Uzbeks live below the poverty line. True / False 23. Despite a gradual transition to a free-market economy, most businesses are still stateowned. True / False 24. It is against the law to marry under the age of 17 for women and 18 for men. True / False 25. Kok Boru is the national food of Uzbekistan. True / False © D L I F L C | 55 Further Reading Adams, Laura L. The Spectacular State: Culture and National Identity in Uzbekistan. Durham: Duke University Press, 2010. Bureau of Consular Affairs, U.S. Department of State. “Uzbekistan: Country Specific Information.” 8 March 2011. http://travel.state.gov/travel/cis_pa_tw/cis/cis_1057.html Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor, U.S. Department of State. “2010 Human Rights Report: Uzbekistan.” 8 April 2011. http://www.state.gov/g/drl/rls/hrrpt/2010/sca/154489.htm Bureau of Economic, Energy, and Business Affairs, U.S. Department of State. “2011 Investment Climate Statement— Uzbekistan.” March 2011. http://www.state.gov/e/eeb/rls/othr/ics/2010/138166.htm Bureau of South and Central Asian Affairs, U.S. Department of State. “Background Note: Uzbekistan.” 19 August 2010. http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2924.htm Central Intelligence Agency. “Uzbekistan.” The World Factbook. 6 April 2011. https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uz.html Freedom House. “Country Report: Uzbekistan (2010).” 2010. http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=22&year=2010&country=7946 Hiro, Dilip. Inside Central Asia: A Political and Cultural History of Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkey, and Iran. New York: Overlook Duckworth, 2009. Human Rights Watch, World Report 2011. “Uzbekistan: Events of 2010.” 2011. http://www.hrw.org/en/world-report-2011/uzbekistan Jane’s Defence. “Armed Forces, Uzbekistan.” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment—Russia and the CIS. 22 December 2010. Jane’s Defence. “CIS Regional Security Body Creates Cyber-Defence Plan.” Country Risk Daily Report. 18 August 2011. Jane’s Defence. “Executive Summary, Uzbekistan.” Jane’s Sentinel Security Assessment— Russia and the CIS. 23 June 2010. Jones, Bruce. “CSTO Leaders Plan Crackdown on Social Media to Protect Regimes.” Jane’s Defence Weekly. 17 August 2011. Kesler, Michael G. Shards of War: Fleeing to & from Uzbekistan. Durham, CT: Strategic Book Group, 2010. © D L I F L C | 56 Office to Monitor and Combat Trafficking in Persons, U.S. Department of State. “Trafficking in Persons Report 2010: Country Narratives: Countries N Through Z.” 2010. http://www.state.gov/g/tip/rls/tiprpt/2010/142761.htm UCLA Language Materials Project. “Uzbek.” No date. http://www.lmp.ucla.edu/Profile.aspx?LangID=70&menu=004 UN Data. “Country Profile: Uzbekistan.” No date. http://data.un.org/CountryProfile.aspx?crName=Uzbekistan UNESCO World Heritage Convention. “Uzbekistan.” No date. http://whc.unesco.org/en/statesparties/uz University Libraries, University of Colorado. “Uzbekistan.” No date. http://ucblibraries.colorado.edu/govpubs/for/uzbekistan.htm U.S. Energy Information Administration. “Uzbekistan Country Profile.” 14 July 2010. http://www.eia.gov/countries/country-data.cfm?fips=UZ World Trade Organization. “Country Profile: “Uzbekistan.” March 2011. http://stat.wto.org/CountryProfile/WSDBCountryPFView.aspx?Language=E&Country=UZ © D L I F L C | 57