Effect of directly observed treatment short
Transcription
Effect of directly observed treatment short
Effect of directly observed treatment short course chemotherapy for management of tuberculosis Dr Gulrez Shah Azhar Master of Public Health Copenhagen University Year: 2010 -i- Effect of directly observed treatment short course chemotherapy for management of tuberculosis Supervisors Dr Sören Thybo & Dr Alan O’Rourke Reviewer: Dr. Gulrez Shah Azhar - ii - Acronyms • AFB Acid Fast Bacilli • AIDS Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome • CASP Critical Appraisal Skills Program • DOTS Directly Observed Treatment Short course chemotherapy • GDP Gross Domestic Product • HIV Human Immune-deficiency Virus • MeSH Medical Subject Heading • MDG Millennium Development Goals • MDR Multiple Drug Resistant • RCT Randomised Controlled Trial • RNTCP Revised National Tuberculosis Control Program • SCC Short Course Chemotherapy • TB Tuberculosis • TU Tuberculosis Unit • UN United Nations • WHO World Health Organisation • XDR Extremely Drug Resistant - iii - Abstract Background: Tuberculosis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in developing countries. DOTS is the recommended management strategy which is followed all over the world including under the RNTCP in India. A quarter of patients (relapse, failure & default) under RNTCP return for another round of treatment (retreatment) which is a burden on the program. Data on relapse is not collected under RNTCP as the patients are not followed for any period of time after completion of treatment. Objective: to conduct a systematic review of literature and determine evidence regarding recurrence of TB after its successful treatment with standard short course chemotherapy under DOTS guidelines. Methods: Ten databases were searched including Medline, Cochrane database, Embase and others and reference lists of articles. 255 papers resulted from these searches. Seven studies were finally included in the review after applying the inclusion, exclusion and quality assessment criteria. Results & Conclusions: Relapse rate is high (almost 10%) in India which is higher than international studies. Majority of relapse cases present soon after completion of treatment (first six months). Risk factors for relapse included drug irregularity, initial drug resistance, smoking and alcoholism Sex and weight were not risk factors in India. The outcome of relapse cases put on treatment is positive but less effective than new cases. There are sound arguments and sketchy evidence that DOTS Category 2 treatment may not be adequate for retreatment patients. [Word Count: 233 Words] Keywords DOTS, RNTCP, TB, Relapse, Reinfection, Tuberculosis, India, Systematic review - iv - Acknowledgements I would like this opportunity to express my profound gratitude and heartfelt appreciation to my supervisors Dr Sören Thybo and Dr Alan O’Rourke for their helpful suggestions and assistance. Without their patient encouragement and support for this thesis would not have been possible. I wish to acknowledge all lecturers and staff of the Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Copenhagen and School of Health And Related Research (ScHARR), University of Sheffield for their kind support in directing my post graduate studies. I have to mention the role of the administrative team of the Europubhealth course in Rennes and in concerned Universities in the successful coordination of the course in the various university campuses across different countries. I am especially grateful to all my course colleagues for creating a friendly and fruitful atmosphere throughout the duration of the course. I enjoyed their helpful suggestions & criticism and will cherish their friendship even after this study program is over. I will always remain grateful to my family, wife and son who been very supportive to me during this course of study and patiently waiting for me in India since the last two years. I hope my wife and son will forgive me for the pain I have put them through these years. -v- Contents Chapter 1: Introduction & Background 1. TB 2. WHO STOP TB strategy 3. MDG’s 4. DOTS 5. TB in India 6. RNTCP 7. Relapse / recurrence 8. Aspects of healthcare system in India Chapter 2: Methods for systematic review 1. Research question 2. Scoping search 3. Development of inclusion and exclusion criteria a. Inclusion criteria b. Exclusion criteria 4. Developing search terms 5. Details of each database that was searched 6. Other sources of data a. Grey literature b. Hand searching c. Searching by author and institution 7. Discussion of other possible sources of data and justification for their noninclusion 8. Quality assessment 9. Data extraction - vi - Chapter 3: Method results 1. Characteristics and quantity of the search results a. Preliminary search stage / scoping search b. Main search stage c. Number of studies included in this study at first stage 2. Results of assessment of papers against inclusion and exclusion criteria a. Title and abstract review b. Full text review 3. Results of assessment against quality assessment criteria Chapter 4: Review findings Chapter 5: Discussion 1. Use of terminology and methodology 2. Summary of study findings Chapter 6: Conclusion and recommendations 1. Summary of main findings 2. Strengths and limitations of the study 3. Implications for future research or clinical practice References Appendices: Appendix 1: Ethics declaration Appendix 2: Search Strategy Appendix 3: CASP Checklist Appendix 4: Data Extraction form - vii - Chapter 1: Introduction & Background 1. TB TB is among the oldest infection (more than 5000 years old) known to affect humans. It is among the most important causes of death from a single infectious agent and a major public health problem causing an enormous burden of disease and economic impact especially in the developing countries.(1) It is a chronic illness caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis and estimated to infect around a two billion people (a third of global population). About 10 percent of those infected are expected to develop the disease in their lifetime. And sadly this figure increases to 10 percent in one year for those who are HIV positive. The World Health Organization (WHO) regards TB as a global epidemic. There were 9.27 million incident cases of TB in 2007, the largest percentage (55%) of which was in Asia. (2) Although TB most commonly affects the lungs but it also can involve almost any organ of the body. The most common presenting symptoms are cough, expectoration, fever, weight loss and haemoptysis. It can be cured by a course of antibiotics. (3) During the last century the prevalence of TB has been falling dramatically. This may be due to improvement in living conditions, health care and socio economic changes. What is most surprising is that the largest decline occurred already before antibiotic treatment was introduced.(4) Mismanaged treatment of TB can lead to development of Multi Drug Resistant (MDR) TB. There are second line drugs (more side effects, expensive) to treat MDR TB but misuse of these drugs leads to development of Extremely Drug Resistant (XDR) TB. Because of resistance of XDR TB to both first and second line drugs there are limited treatment options left. (5, 6) TB is an important cause of HIV related deaths. HIV leads to a lowering of immune status and TB develops quickly in this depleted immune state. Thus HIV positive --1-- people are an important reservoir of TB. Since long these two were considered as separate and the efforts were directed accordingly but now it is accepted that shared efforts are needed to battle this dual epidemic.(7) 2. WHO STOP TB strategy Global TB control has made great progress in the past decade. The widespread implementation of the internationally recommended Directly Observed Treatment, Short-course (DOTS) strategy has proved to be an effective tool in controlling TB on a mass basis and is being practised in over 190 countries.(8) While maintaining the current status, the prime task for the next decade is to achieve the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and related Stop TB Partnership targets for TB control. Meeting these targets requires a coherent strategy that enables existing achievements to be sustained, effectively addresses the remaining constraints and challenges, and underpins efforts to strengthen health systems, alleviate poverty and advance human rights. The new WHO Stop TB Strategy, released in 2006, has identified six principal components to realise the global TB related MDGs by 2015. They are:(9) • Pursuing high quality DOTS expansion and enhancement • Addressing TB-HIV, MDR-TB and other challenges • Contributing to health system strengthening • Engaging all care providers • Empowering patients and communities • Enabling and promoting research 3. MDG’s TB control is also a UN priority as mentioned in the UN Millennium development goals.(1, 10) Goal 6: To combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases --2-- Target 8: To have halted by 2015 and reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases, including tuberculosis Indicator 23: Between 1990 and 2015, to halve the prevalence and death rates associated with tuberculosis Indicator 24: By 2005, to detect 70% of new smear positive TB cases arising annually, and to successfully treat 85% of these cases 4. DOTS Directly Observed Treatment Short course (DOTS) is an internationally recommended strategy for TB control that has been recognized as a highly efficient and cost-effective. It comprises of five elements:(9, 11, 12) • Sustained political and financial commitment, • Diagnosis by quality ensured sputum-smear microscopy. • Standardized short-course anti-TB treatment (SCC) given under direct and supportive observation (DOT). • A regular, uninterrupted supply of high quality anti-TB drugs. • Standardized recording and reporting All cases of TB under DOTS are categorised into these categories:(8) Category 1: New sputum smear positive cases (high bacillary population) Category 2: Retreatment Category 3: Sputum smear negative cases (low bacillary population) Category 4: DOTS plus for MDR TB 5. TB in India India accounts for maximum number of cases (2.0 million). India has the highest burden of TB of any country in the world accounting for one-fifth of the global incidence. Every day more than 5000 people develop TB and 1000 die, that is to say --3-- two deaths every three minutes occur in the country due to TB. Deaths due to TB exceed the combined deaths from all other communicable diseases. TB is also the leading killer of women, causing more orphans than those produced by all causes of maternal mortality combined. (1, 8) Given the largest number of cases in the country an effective TB control program in India is essential in the global TB control efforts. 6. RNTCP In India, Revised National Tuberculosis Control Programme (RNTCP), based on the DOTS strategy, began as a pilot project in 1993 and was launched as a national programme in 1997. Rapid RNTCP expansion began in late 1998 and the entire country was covered under DOTS by 24th March 2006. Under this program everyday more than 15,000 suspects are examined for TB free of charge. The diagnosis of these patients and the follow-up of patients on treatment is achieved through the examination of more than 50,000 laboratory specimens. As a result of these examinations, each day, about 3,500 patients are started on treatment stopping the spread of TB in the community and the country. In order to achieve this, more than 600,000 health care workers have been trained and more than 11,500 designated laboratory microscopy centres have been upgraded and supplied with binocular microscopes since the inception of RNTCP.(1, 8) The cure rate under the program is 85 percent and the case detection rate is 70percent. Most of the states in India have achieved this target. Table 1.1: Case definitions under RNTCP(13) Types of cases Treatment outcomes New: A TB patient who has never had Cured: Initially sputum smear positive treatment for TB or has taken anti- patient who has completed treatment and tuberculosis drugs for less than one had negative sputum smears, on two month occasions, one of which was at the end --4-- of treatment. Relapse: A TB patient who was declared cured or treatment completed by a Treatment completed: Sputum smear physician, but who reports back to the positive patient who has completed health service and is now found to be treatment with negative smears at the end of the intensive phase but none at sputum smear positive the end of treatment. Transferred in: A TB patient who has been received for treatment into a OR: Sputum smear negative TB patient Tuberculosis Unit after starting treatment who has received a full course of in another unit where s/he has been treatment and has not become smear positive during or at the end of treatment. registered Treatment after default: A TB patient OR: Extra-pulmonary TB patient who has who received anti-tuberculosis treatment received a full course of treatment and for one month or more from any source has not become smear positive during or and returns to treatment after having at the end of treatment. defaulted, i.e., not taken anti-TB drugs consecutively for two months or more, Died: Patient who died during the course and is found to be sputum smear of treatment regardless of cause. positive. Failure: Any TB patient who is smear Failure: Any TB patient who is smear positive at 5 months or more after positive at 5 months or more after starting treatment. Failure also includes a starting treatment. Failure also includes a patient who was treated with category 3 patient who was treated with Category 3 regimen but who becomes smear regimen but who became smear positive positive during treatment. during treatment Defaulted: A patient who has not taken Chronic: A TB patient who remains anti-TB drugs for 2 months or more smear positive after completing a re- consecutively after starting treatment. treatment regimen. Transferred out: A person who has --5-- Others: TB patients who do not fit into been transferred to another Tuberculosis the above mentioned types. Reasons for Unit / District and his / her treatment putting a patient in this type must be outcome is not known. specified. 7. Relapse / Recurrence In India, under RNTCP, the number of retreatment cases is 24 percent.(1) The causes of retreatment include relapse of the disease after successful completion of treatment, treatment failure and default in treatment. These patients already have taken a course of anti-tubercular treatment and have been forced to return back for another course of treatment. Information about relapse is not collected in RNTCP and the patients are not followed up for any period of time after successful completion of treatment. Given the high cost of treatment for each patient under RNTCP and the potential of spread of disease from these patients, it is crucial for the success of program and control of the disease in the country to find out more about the reasons behind this. Strong evidence regarding the usefulness of DOTS and more information about relapse would need a well-designed randomised controlled trial. But this is considered unethical by some authors given the positive experience from it in practice settings.(14) Thus an attempt is being made in this dissertation to find out more about these aspects of the TB control program in India by reviewing the existing evidence from published studies by the method of systematic review. 8. Aspects of health care system in India Health in India is a neglected subject. It is evident in the government funding of the healthcare system. It used to be 0.9 percent of GDP (fifth lowest in the world).(15) Majority of this amount (two-thirds) is used for the payment of salaries of the employees. There have been numerous committees (Bhore, Kartaar Singh, Jungalwala, Bajaj, Mudliar, Mukerjee, Srivastava, Chaddha) in more than half a --6-- century since independence which have suggested different improvements in the state of the health system.(16, 17) Some of the glaring deficiencies in the public health system include massive shortages of staff, unequal rural-urban distribution of facilities, corruption, poor salaries and working conditions leading to endemic absenteeism, and unregulated private sector.(18) Not surprisingly, expenditure on healthcare is the single largest cause of falling into poverty.(19) There has been criticism that vertical programs (like RNTCP) take away precious resources from the already dysfunctional health system. (20) The private health system is characterised by the variety of health care providers. There are multiple systems recognised by the government including Ayurveda, Unani, Siddha, Homeopathy etc.(21) There are also huge numbers of unregistered medical providers commonly called “quacks” or “jhholachhap”.(22) These are more commonly found in rural areas and slums. It is also very common to observe over the counter purchase of drugs from pharmacy shop, sometimes on the advice of the chemist (who may be the shop owner). Most of the health facilities in the private sector are the single practitioner outpatient clinics and small inpatient nursing homes. These usually lack adequate facilities of diagnosis and treatment.(23) Medical education in India also suffers from bottlenecks. There is a grave shortage of post-graduate (speciality) training programs relative to the number of undergraduate seats.(24) A number (many thousands) of doctors prepare couple of years to clear admission tests for these courses instead of working. This also leads to a huge migration of doctors to developed countries for training opportunities. There has been a gradual but significant decline in the number of students seeking admission to medicine. This is partly also due to very low salaries offered after a decade of studying medicine. Thus the neglected state of health in the country, deficiencies in the system, the sheer variety of providers and bottlenecks in the education system make it a complex setting to understand the TB control program. --7-- Chapter 2 Methods for the systematic review This chapter reports the methods used in the review process. It explains the methods used in identification of search terms and the development and refinement of search strategies for use in various searches including the preliminary scoping and the later final searches. Later in this chapter the development and application of inclusion and exclusion criteria is discussed. The final part of this chapter explains the development and application of quality assessment criteria and data extraction tools. Ethics approval of this study was not required as it was a secondary research, but an ethics declaration signed by the reviewer and supervisor is attached as an appendix (Appendix 1). 1. Research question Is the DOTS based treatment effective in the treatment of tuberculosis? The research question can be broken down into these objectives: • To conduct a systematic review of literature and determine the strength and sufficiency of evidence regarding recurrence / relapse of TB after successful treatment with standard six month treatment regimen • To discuss other factors that influence retreatment under RNTCP in India. • To identify key aspects of further research in this area 2. Scoping search An initial scoping search was conducted in Ovid-MEDLINE database. Use of study questions was made for guidance in identification of search terms. Scoping search was intended to get an idea of the standard and quantity of available studies on this topic. Use of scoping search was also made for identification of appropriate search terms for the main search. The PICO concept was made use of in dividing the study question into its four constituent components. (Table 2.1) --8-- Table 2.1: Detailed breakdown of PICO components for this study PICO concept Breakdown of study question into search terms Population Adult age group (>18 years), developing countries, both genders Interventions Successful completion of six months standardised TB treatment Comparisons Non DOTS (unsupervised) treatment Outcomes Recurrence of TB any time after completion of treatment The preliminary search was too broad with a huge number of results. Because the reviewer did not have any previous experience in this type of research (systematic review) the intention was to not miss out on any potentially relevant articles. Search terms were enlisted for each study question (and its subparts) by using a combination of both MeSH terms and keywords. These search terms were utilised in searching Ovid-MEDLINE. Word truncation was also made use of to improve sensitivity and avoid missing important papers. As no restrictions were used in the initial scoping search this resulted in numerous. Consequently during later searches restriction terms were added to limit the number of results. 3. Development of inclusion and exclusion criteria Inclusion and exclusion criteria were developed based on the research question. Use of preliminary scoping searches was made in their testing and modification. 3.1 Inclusion criteria The inclusion criteria which are used in this systematic review are enlisted below. • Study design: RCT’s, Cohort studies and other studies analysing relapse, failure and default from India • Exposure: Six months standard treatment for TB --9-- • Outcome: Relapse / recurrence of TB any time after • Analysis: studies using appropriate statistical methods • Country of origin: India 3.2 Exclusion criteria For a systematic review, in addition to having a clear inclusion criterion, it is vital to have a clear exclusion criterion also. There was also a practical issue of time constraints and size limitations for a dissertation project. The exclusion criteria used in this systematic review are enlisted below. • Opposite of Inclusion criteria • Old cases of TB • No information of Bacteriological confirmation • Studies using inappropriate statistical methods • MDR-TB, TB-HIV, Category 2 and 3 treatment regimens • Methodologically unsound studies Some publication types not considered suitable for this review included • Economic evaluations • Medical record reviews • Editorials, and • Journal letters 4. Developing search terms The definition and development of search terms for the main search was done from the research question and preliminary searches conducted earlier. Further refinement of search terms was done after studying the articles obtained from preliminary searches. Some search terms were also selectively eliminated. After this process, the entire scoping search was repeated to ensure that the irrelevant results were excluded and the important results remained. The search terms that remained were both free text keywords and MeSH terms. Use of word truncation was done to improve search sensitivity. - - 10 - - MeSH terms have been used in order to have relevant articles in search results. All the articles indexed in Medline have descriptors. The use of such descriptors and qualifiers makes it easy to search for the relevant articles. (25) 5. Details of each database that was searched A large number of electronic databases were searched to ensure that relevant articles are identified and included in this systematic review. This was attempted in order not to miss any potentially relevant article. These included Ovid-MEDLINE, The Cochrane library PsycINFO, CINAHL, Social sciences citation index, ASSIA, ERIC, Embase and sociological abstracts. An estimate was made that the relevant articles could be there in both medical and sociological databases. Thus the chosen databases reflect an attempt to cover both medical (clinical, nursing) and sociological sources of research. 6. Other sources of data Other sources of data for a systematic review are commonly grey literature search, Hand searching and searching by author and institution. 6.1 Grey literature Grey literature is defined by the non-profit Grey literature Network Service (Greynet) as “Information produced on all levels of government academics, business and industry in electronic and print formats not controlled by commercial publishing i.e. where publishing is not the primary activity of the producing body.” (Luxembourg, 1997 – Expanded in New York 2004) However there is a general agreement that there is a need for a new conceptual framework in view of new channels of scientific communications.(26) Grey literature is not a particular type of document but a way of access to information. This is considered difficult to collect due to lack of bibliographic controls - - 11 - - (author, publisher, date) and low print runs. But it is important in systematic reviews (particularly which use meta-analysis) because of publication bias (studies showing significance are more likely to be printed). 6.2 Hand searching It is done in order to make sure that all relevant papers are included in the review. It is especially useful in finding those reports and other publications which may have been missed in electronic searches. The Cochrane handbook for systematic reviews mentions it as an important part of the search process.(27) Hand searching is a useful addition to the electronic search process because: (28, 29) 1. Uncovers relevant articles that may be poorly or inaccurately indexed or sometimes even unindexed. 2. Allows researchers to quickly scan content from high impact journals 3. Ensure relevant studies are not over looked (28) 6.3 Searching by author and institution This technique uses author’s name to search relevant reports. During scoping searches, experts in a particular scientific field are identified by their reports and publications. Further searches are made by using author’s last name and first initial. Truncation function can also be used if author’s initials are known. Searching by institution can be done if only a few parts are recollected like “done in The University of Copenhagen”. Related articles can be retrieved by this method and used along with subject, author and text word searching. (30) 7. Discussion of other sources of data and justification for non-inclusion Ideally for a systematic review, all potential sources of data are used to ensure that all appropriate articles have been retrieved. In practice this is difficult unless working in a team. - - 12 - - Systematic reviews have grey literature search as an important part of the review process for data sourcing. A decision not to search for grey literature was taken due to lack of time and feasibility issues. This slight departure from the otherwise strict review process methodology was undertaken because this review is a part of a master’s dissertation project. Hand searching is also an important part of the review process. It is done for selected journals which are thought to be relevant to the aims and objectives of the review. This was not done due to lack of time and availability of journals. But included articles were searched for their reference lists. Application of the inclusion, exclusion and quality assessment criteria was done for potentially relevant articles found from these reference lists. 8. Quality assessment It is a part of every stage of the review process. All the three stages in the study including the study design, how it is conducted and data analysis should have appropriate measures employed to minimise bias.(31) For this review, checklist from CASP (Critical Appraisal Skills Program) was employed. In the CASP checklist, there are 10 questions of which the first two are screening questions. The remaining questions are assessed only when the response to both of the first two questions is a yes. These screening questions are considered as the basic questions to be answered in order to continue with the rest of the questions in the checklist. For this study if the retrieved studies corresponded with these two questions they were considered as potentially relevant.(32, 33) A sample CASP checklist is attached in the appendix (Appendix 3). A shortcoming of this systematic review is that the author is the only assessor in the quality assessment process. 9. Data extraction - - 13 - - Data extraction is an important stage in the review process. The type of information that is crucial to the study aims and objectives is pre-determined to be thoroughly extracted from each paper. This may be a cause of bias because this is a subjective process. An attempt was made to minimize this bias by developing a data extraction form before the searches were done. A sample of this form was made while drawing the study protocol. The data extraction form has enumerated the data characteristics.(27) The Appendix section of this review contains the data extraction form for this review (Appendix 4). In the data extraction form, there are columns for identification of the study, author, title, journal, publication date, etc. A summary of outcome and results is also included in the form. - - 14 - - Chapter 3: Method results This chapter details the different stages of the search process. 3.1 Quantity and characteristics of search results 3.1.1 Scoping search As mentioned in the previous section, scoping searches were conducted on OvidMedline and other databases and potentially relevant publications were identified. These searches were aimed to identify the correct search terms and assess the quantity of literature available on the topic. A number of these searches were conducted over a period of months and led to a number of studies directly and indirectly related to the dissertation aims and objectives. 3.1.2 Main search stage In this stage, electronic search was done and 255 papers were identified which were considered potentially relevant. Of these, 32 publications were identified in Medline, 3 in Cochrane Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, 27 in Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 12 in NHS Economic Evaluation Database in Cochrane library, 7 in Embase, 4 in CINAHL, 30 in PsycINFO. Other databases searched with keywords Tuberculosis and India included Social Sciences Citation Index via Web of Knowledge (10 results), Applied Social Sciences Index and Abstracts-ASSIA via CSA (25 results), Educational Resources Information CentreERIC via CSA (0 results) and Sociological abstracts via CSA (105 results). A detailed search strategy employed on Medline database has been included in the appendix (Appendix 2) as an example. 3.1.3 Total number of papers included in this study in first stage Table 3.1 shows the selected publications from electronic searches in various databases. The search of the 10 electronic databases led to an identification of 255 potentially relevant papers. - - 15 - - Table 3.1: Electronic literature identification process and search success rate Ovid Cochrane EMBASE PsycINFO CINAHL MEDLINE Total number of papers 32 3+27+12 7 30 4 2 0 0 0 4.76 0 0 0 retrieved = 42 Number of final papers 5 selected Success rate % 15.6 3.2 Results of assessment of papers against inclusion and exclusion criteria 3.2.1 Title and abstract review The inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied on the results of literature search. After title sorting for the inclusion and exclusion criteria 237 papers were rejected. Abstract sorting of remaining 18 studies lead to a rejection of 8 more papers and so only 10 papers were selected as relevant for further full text screening. The majority of publications (8) came from Ovid-MEDLINE. Electronic searches in the Cochrane library resulted in 2 more papers being selected. No relevant papers could be found from PsycINFO, CINAHL, Embase, Social sciences citation index, ASSIA, ERIC and sociological abstracts. Review of papers obtained in scoping searches In the scoping searches, there were a large number of results. These papers were discussed with my supervisor and were helpful in planning the dissertation. However to limit the number of results and make them manageable for a dissertation project some limits were placed in the searches. These included studies only from India. One paper (Hill 2002) considered relevant was excluded by these limits. This was subsequently included in the final results. Table 3.2 lists some of the included studies and other abstracts discussed with supervisor. - - 16 - - Table 3.2: Some details of included papers and abstracts reviewed and consulted with supervisor in preliminary searches No Study ID Authors 1 Sisodia, R. S. Sisodia, D. F. Wares, S. Source of 2006(34) Sahu, L. S. Chauhan, M. Zignol Title retreatment cases under the Revised National TB Control Programme in Rajasthan, India, 2003 2 Banu V.V. Banu Rekha, Rajeswari Assessment of long term status Rekha Ramachandran, 2009(35) Rao, Fathima Rahman, A.R. Patients K.V. Kuppu of sputum positive pulmonary TB Adhilakshmi, D. successfully treated with short course chemotherapy Kalaiselvi, P. Murugesan, V. Sundaram and P.R. Narayanan 3 Vijay Sophia Vijay, V. 2004(36) Balasangameswara, H. Treatment outcome and two & P. S. half years follow-up status of Jagannatha, V. N. Saroja and New smear P. Kumar 4 positive patients treated under RNTCP Mehra R.K. Mehra, V.K. Dhingra, Study of relapse and failure 2008(37) Aggarwal Nishi and R.P. Vashis cases of cat i retreated with cat ii Under RNTCP – an eleven year follow up 5 Hill, Hill, A. Ross M.D., C.M.; Effectiveness 2002(14) Manikal, Vivek M. M.D.; Riska, Observed Therapy (DOT) for Paul F. M.D. of Directly Tuberculosis: A Review of Multinational Experience Reported in 1990–2000 6 Mangura B. Mangura, E. Napolitano, M. Directly observed therapy (DOT) 2002(38) Passannante, M. Sarrel, McDonald, K. Galanowsky, R. is not the entire answer: an operational cohort analysis L. Reichman 7 Walley John D Walley, M Amir Khan, Effectiveness 2001(39) James N Newell, M Hussain observation component of DOTS Khan of the direct for tuberculosis: a randomised - - 17 - - controlled trial in Pakistan 8 Volmink, Volmink J, Garner P Directly observed therapy for 2007(40) 9 treating tuberculosis (Review) Cox, Helen S Cox, Martha Morrow, Long term efficacy of DOTS 2008(41) Peter W Deutschmann regimens for tuberculosis: systematic review 10 Davies, G R Davies, S B Squire Doubts about DOTS: 2008(42) It’s too soon to say that direct observation of short courses of tuberculosis treatment is failing 11 Davidson, Bruce L. Davidson A 1998(43) Controlled Comparison of Directly Observed Therapy vs Self-administered Therapy for Active TB in Urban United States 3.2.2 Full text review Seven potentially relevant studies were considered as included studies after the application of inclusion and exclusion criteria. Majority of these studies originated from Medline database and a few from the Cochrane library. Additional particulars of these studies at this stage have been tabulated in Table 3.3. Table 3.3: Reasons for included / excluded studies No Study ID 1 Included reasons Excluded reasons Anonymous, 2001 studies (TB emergence research the of drug centre, resistance Chennai)(44) treatment and relapse among during sputum pulmonary +ve TB patients treated with SCC regimens 2 Chandrasekaran, This study aims 2007(45) treatment outcomes of various - - 18 - - to assess groups of patients. It also calculates the relapse rate, time for reporting and outcomes.. 3 Cox, 2008(41) This study recurrence assesses after TB successful treatment with SCC. It included studies from India. 4 Hill, 2002(14) Although this study attempts to clarify DOT’s “track record” yet it also discusses relapse. 5 Mehra, 2008(37) Analyses treatment outcome of Cat 1 smear positive relapse and failure cases. 6 Mukherjee, Compares outcomes in sputum 2009(46) positive TB retreatment patient groups (including relapse) at completion of SCC under RNTCP. 7 Ormerod, Reports inter- 1991(47) relationships between relapse, treatment regimen and compliance in patients treated between for TB 1978 and 1987(before the onset of DOTS) 8 Pardeshi, Compares treatment 2007(48) outcomes in new and retreatment categories. 9 Santha, 1989(49) No mention of DOTS, Comparison between different - - 19 - - regimens (with and without rifampicin) for relapse, older study. 10 Thomas, 2005(50) Identify risk factors associated with relapse among cured tuberculosis (TB) patients in a DOTS programme. 11 Volmink, 2007(40) Although it compares DOTS with self-administration of therapy yet it also talks about outcomes and relapse. - - 20 - - Fig 3.1: Process of identification of relevant publications Potentially relevant articles identified and screened for retrieval: N = 255 Papers rejected after reviewing citation details: N = 237 Total abstracts screened: N = 18 Papers rejected at the abstract review stage: N=8 Total full papers screened: N = 10 Full papers excluded: N=3 Total full papers included in this review: N=7 - - 21 - - 3.3 Assessment against quality assessment criteria All of the incorporated studies had a clearly focussed researched question. All the included studies described their study type. The included studies were record analysis of RNTCP program data (Chandrasekaran et al., 2007, Mehra et al., 2008 and Mukherjee et al., 2009), systematic review (Cox et al., 2008 and Volmink and Garner, 2007), prospective observational study (Thomas et al., 2007) and literature review (Hill et al., 2002). Details of ethics approval were not mentioned in any of these studies. Response rates were not ascertained as most of the studies were record based. All the studies clearly describe the results and important outcomes. Although the all the included papers have been successfully evaluated using the CASP checklist. But all of them have not been given equal weight. If there are any discrepancies in the findings, more weight will be given to bigger and better designed studies with more rigorous methodologies. The following two tables (Table 3.4 and 3.5) summarise the included studies. Table 3.4: Main features of included studies Study author and Study year Aims & Study design / Study setting Objectives research Number of participants method Chandrasekaran, Patients 2007 Cox, 2008 registered re- Observational All patients 5255 were after study, record registered for total number default, failure or analysis DOTS successful treatment treatment Tiruvallur completion and district, Tamil to my study evaluate Nadu, their treatment may outcome 2004 TB All recurrence Secondary of patients of in which 2608 were related India 1999- English 4 studies in after successful analysis, language this treatment publications were related with systematic - - 22 - - review standard Hill, 2002 short review from 3 to my study course electronic chemotherapy databases Review on Secondary Manual 6822 culture Effectiveness of analysis search of based DOTS relevant 71431 smear studies, based cases reviews and from and the world. journals. Electronic searches Mehra, 2008 Treatment Observational All cat outcome of cat 1 study, record relapse smear positive analysis relapse and cases their when fate cat 2 outcomes TB Observational cat from 2 a chest All patients 234 cases of of study, record registered for TB positive analysis retreatment groups with clinic in Delhi Compare smear TB treated in regimen Mukherjee, 2009 failure 1994 – 2005 treated with and patients patients and failure 1 5576 TB retreatment in under Bagula RNTCP unit, TB Nadia, West Bengal Thomas, 2005 Identify risk Prospective factors study All patients Of 534 cured registered for patients, 503 associated with cat 1 DOTS were relapse among treatment TB Tiruvallur cured patients in followed up district, Tamil - - 23 - - Nadu, India April 2000 to December 2001 Volmink, 2007 Comparison of Secondary 5609 Electronic DOTS with self- analysis, search of participants administered systematic databases, treatment review manual checking from 11 trials of article reference lists and contact with researchers Table 3.5: Results of included studies Study author and Main ID outcome Main result Other measure results Chandrasekaran, Default, failure and In period of 1999 – Of 2007 relevant category 1 relapse in Category 1 2004 273 patients patients 64(23%) of and category 2 under were re-registered, 273 RNTCP of 248 76(68%) whom (91%) were 112 1796 success were re-registered years. and of re- failures, 117(6.5%) registered within 2 of 68% defaults, of failures for treatment 23% of Median interval defaults from cat 1 between declaring were only registered. re- the outcome treatment and 403 smear positive restart of treatment patients were re- was 228 days for - - 24 - - registered, 57 default, 18 days for were re-registered failure twice, 8 and 212 three days for relapse times and 1 four times. Cox, 2008 Recurrence rates More than 10% No under DOTS from 4 recurrence studies of India difference in between observational relapse and recurrence in studies carried out most studies between DOTS Tendency programs in India higher for recurrence rates among studies rated as poor for TB treatment High degree heterogeneity included of in studies like difference between types of patients initially enrolled and then excluded from analysis of recurrence Hill, 2002 WHO categorisation Crude relapse rate No of successful was 3.6% ±2.4% in difference treatment(completion, cure), in 21 culture based relapse or failure in treatment studies failure, death during provided therapy, major non- treatment adherence significant that prospective post versus follow conditions, (default, up. 3.2% and 3.3% versus prolonged interruption in 2 smear based settings - - 25 - - study program rural urban and or loss to follow up), studies. transfer out developing Quality, versus planned developed Relapse rates were duration and actual countries calculated as simple success of follow proportion of patients Mehra, 2008 up varied widely of 190(3.4%) out of Retreatment outcome 442(9%) out data for relapse and 4905 patients 5576 failure cases category 1 in after Category 1. of relapsed when successful Success treated with category outcome. rate 76.4% for relapse 68.5% of relapse and 2 regimen failed 48.8% for reported within first failure year. 50% of total relapse were reported within first 6 months completion of of treatment Mukherjee, 2009 following Out of 234 patients In Outcomes diagnosis, in classification chemotherapy according guidelines to Cat 2, unfavourable 148 outcomes chronic were cases were more and (63.24%) 52 likely to be in failure relapse, failure group WHO (22.22%) (26.92%) and 34 (14.52%) followed by default default (23.53) and relapse Favourable (6.08%) outcome was most Age, low and hig common in relapse grade (76.35%) default and (53.85%) sputum then positivity (55.88%) sputum conversion failure did not differ significantly among the 3 groups - - 26 - - and Cure greater rate was for grade low sputum versus high grade sputum Thomas, 2005 Relapse (patient Relapse rate was Drug irregularity, (62/503 initial drug cured under DOTS 12.3 % 77.4% resistance, who has 2 sputum patients). samples positive for (48/62) occurred smoking AFB first by direct during smear,1 smear & 1 months 6 alcoholism were of associated with higher likelihood of culture positive from treatment RNTCP relapse. separate samples or Under 2 cultures positive) and case definition (patient who has received full treatment and who is declared cured returns and is found to have 2 positive sputum smear results) the relapse rate was 10% Volmink, 2007 Cure, completion of Retreatment treatment, development participants No difference who between DOTS and of were assigned to self-administered clinical TB (in trials of DOTS fared worse treatment in terms drug prophylaxis) than those who of cure or treatment self-administered treatment in one trial - - 27 - - completion Chapter 4: Review findings Each paper selected for this review is summarised below. This summary is divided into sections which describe the aims and objectives, study setting and time, study methodology and sample size and the final paragraph describes the findings of the study. Chandrasekaran, 2007(45) This study was designed with the objective to assess the proportion of patients reregistered after default, failure or successful treatment completion and evaluate their treatment outcome. This study was under program conditions where the details of patients registered under DOTS were collected from the TB register maintained in the Tuberculosis Unit. The data was verified and keyed in twice, edited and corrected for discrepancy and missing information. All patients registered for DOTS treatment under the RNTCP in Tiruvallur district, Tamil Nadu, South India in the period of May 1999 to 2004. There were 2608 patients related to my study who were started on Category 1 treatment regimen. In the results section the study found that In period of 1999 – 2004, 273 patients were re-registered, of whom 248 (91%) were re-registered within 2 years. Sixty eight percent of failures and 23 percent of defaults from category 1 were only reregistered. The study also showed that many patients were re-registered multiple times. Eg: 403 smear positive patients were re-registered, 57 were re-registered twice, 8 three times and 1 four times. Of category 1 patients, 64 (23%) of 273 defaults, 76 (68%) of 112 failures, 117 (6.5%) of 1796 success were re-registered for treatment. Median interval between declaring the treatment outcome and restart of treatment was 228 days for default, 18 days for failure and 212 days for relapse. It concluded that there was a higher default among re-registered patients resulting in low successful treatment outcome. Only 23 percent of defaults and 68 percent of treatment failures had re-registered for treatment. Compounding this problem is the higher default rate of 57 percent among re-registered patients. The study stresses on - - 28 - - the need for motivation of re-registered patients to continue treatment. The authors admitted that they were unable to estimate the proportion of patients re-registered among those relapsed since they did not have the actual number of relapsed among successful treatment completion. They stress the need for those patients who have successfully completed treatment to report if they develop chest symptoms. The authors also did not visit defaulted patients to find out the reasons for failure to turn up. Also the patients could have gone to another TU or the private sector. Cox, 2008(41) This study aimed to find out the long term efficacy of DOTS regimen for TB by assessing TB recurrence after successful treatment with standard short course regimens for six months. It aimed to determine the strength and sufficiency of evidence in support of current guidelines. This is a systematic review of evidence. A total of 17 study arms from 16 studies were included in the review. Of these 10 were controlled clinical trials and 6 were studies either done under program conditions or observational studies from functioning TB programs. There were four studies from India of which three were from programs and one was a controlled clinical trial. The three program studies (Dholakia et al, Vijay et al and Thomas et al) had a total of 2195 (1483+178+534) patients among them, of these 2118 (1483+132+503) patients were assessed for recurrence. There were 140 (63+14+62) relapses (5.6%). The results were that more than 10 percent recurrence rates in two of the observational studies (Vijay et al and Thomas et al) carried out under DOTS programs in India while the average was 5.6 percent. The authors also found no difference between relapse and recurrence in most studies. Also, there was a tendency for higher recurrence rates among studies rated as poor for TB treatment High degree of heterogeneity was present in included studies like difference between types of patients initially enrolled and then excluded from analysis of recurrence. Exclusion criteria differed for patients with concomitant diseases and there was an exclusion of rural patients in some studies. Definitions of relapse were sometimes - - 29 - - different among studies. The number of deaths which could be attributed to recurrence was also variably assessed. The authors discussed that despite more than a decade having elapsed and millions being treated under DOTS the lack of published data on longer term efficacy of the recommended treatment regimens under programmatic conditions was both surprising and concerning. They tried to explain large variation in recurrence rates on variation in study quality and treatment regimen used, variable inclusion and exclusion criteria, presence of concomitant diseases, and definitions of treatment success and recurrence. Potential contributors to recurrent TB after successful treatment included shorter total duration of treatment (particularly rifampicin), poor adherence during treatment (particularly intensive phase), use of less than three drugs in intensive phase, greater disease severity and cavitation, high bacterial load, smoking, being male, the presence of concomitant disease, being underweight and HIV. Hill, 2002(14) This study aims to clarify DOTS actual track record by examining published treatment outcomes of contemporary era cohorts. The two outcome measures were treatment failure and post-treatment relapse. The reasoning was that constant application of DOTS removed nonadherence from consideration and remaining failures of a first line regimen could be attributed to biological, not behavioural, problems. Electronic searches led to 24 culture based and 10 smear based studies comprising 6822 and 71431 cases respectively. There were nine studies from Asia. The authors advise caution in comparing the studies due to a broad diversity of cultural setting, level of TB program development, clinical and mycobacteriologic methods and prevalence of drug resistance and HIV co infection. The results highlight good efficacy in patients who remained on therapy. The crude relapse rate was 3.6%±2.4% in the 21 culture based studies and 3.2 and 3.3 percent in two smear based studies. There was a substantial number of cases with short - - 30 - - follow up, missing data, or undiagnosed death, plus the likelihood that relapse is more common in noncompleters (usually excluded from relapse analysis), this leads the authors to believe that the overall relapse rate was underestimated. There is also possibility of reinfection having falsely increased the apparent relapse rate in high prevalence communities. Strain typing data was available for very few patients. The authors conclude that the published experience with programmatic DOTS (observational data) indicates that it has improved TB treatment outcomes in a wide variety of settings. Studies in which DOTS failed to outperform unsupervised therapy took place in settings with limited resources and suboptimal settings, indicating that program quality must be strong for DOTS to yield its potential benefits. Mehra, 2008(37) This study aimed to analyse the treatment outcome of Category 1 smear positive relapse and failure cases and their fate when treated with Category 2 regimen under RNTCP. The reasoning behind this evidence based research is that relapses in case of TB have same strain of organisms so are not likely to be resistant. All patients registered under DOTS in the 17 centres covering a population of 1 million people in Gulabi Bagh chest clinic, Delhi, North India. Data pertaining to treatment outcome of Category 1 smear positive cases from the TB register was assessed and analysed. Relapse and failures and their time of presentation after completion of Category 1 treatment was also recorded. They were followed up under Category 2 treatment and their outcome recorded. Of the 5576 patients started on treatment under Category 1, 4905 (87.9%) had a successful treatment outcome. Of these 442 (9%) relapsed and presented on their own to the chest clinic. According to the time of relapse, 303 (68.5%) reported within the first year. More than half of relapses were within the first six months. Of those patients who restarted treatment under Category 2 and could be followed up, 76.4% had a successful outcome. - - 31 - - The authors discussed that due to the long follow up period of 6.4 years, the results represent the actual state of affairs under RNTCP. Of those Category 1 relapse patients put on Category 2, 6.2 percent fail the treatment. The authors argue that this is due to not following the dictum “Never add one drug to a failing regimen” (which may be very true). Such patients are only given one new drug and the duration is increased by only 2 months. As the failure cases have still higher failure rates, there should be a rethinking of treatment regimens to have better results. Mukherjee, 2009(46) The aim of this study was to compare outcomes among sputum positive TB retreatment patient groups (relapse, failure, default) at completion of therapy under RNTCP. The retreatment patient group (Category 2) is heterogeneous and the subgroups are different bacteriologically and pathogenetically. But all these patients are treated with the same regimen under the program. It was a record based study of 234 Category 2 patients from Bagula TU, West Bengal, West India. The TU covers a population of 0.5 million people. The time period was between January 1999 and June 2005. .The diagnosis, classification and chemotherapy were performed according to WHO and RNTCP guidelines. The data was accessed from the TB register at the TU. The results showed that 148 (63.24%) out of 234 Category 2 patients were classified as relapse. 22.22 percent were treatment failures and 14.52 percent were defaults. A favourable outcome was most common in relapse 76.35 percent compared to default (55.88%) and failure (53.85%). Mean age, grade of sputum positivity and sputum conversion did not differ significantly among the 3 groups. But cure rate was greater for those with low grade sputum positivity compared to those with low grade sputum positivity. Incidence of patients not cured on therapy was higher in the high grade sputum positivity group. The conclusion was that there was a favourable outcome in most cases of relapse. This may be because most of the patients who relapse after a regimen to which they were initially sensitive have bacteria that remain susceptible to the same drugs. The - - 32 - - authors feel that addition of parenteral streptomycin to Category 1 drugs in Category 2 should be adequate for most patients. And it should be justified to carry on this regimen in relapse subgroup of retreatment cases. The comparatively unfavourable outcome in chronic (failure and default) categories is due to the development of multi drug resistance. Thus, culture and sensitivity, followed by treatment with sensitive second line drugs be reserved for those patients in these 2 subgroups who present with an initially high bacillary load in their sputum. Thomas, 2005(50) The study aims to examine the rate of relapse under program conditions prospectively (which makes it an important study) and also the predictors of relapse among a cohort of sputum smear positive pulmonary TB patients who successfully completed treatment. Relapse rate, which is an important indicator of the success of any treatment regimen, has not been measured under program conditions. It was a prospective study conducted in Tiruvallur district, Tamil Nadu state of South India. 17 government health centres screened symptomatic patients. The cohort was of 715 patients between April 2000 and December 2001. Of these 534 (75%) were declared cured and considered eligible for participation in the study. Sputum was collected from 503 patients on a six month interval at 6 months, 12 months and 18 months and examined by fluorescent microscopy and culture. Data was collected from multiple sources including interviews and TB register. Results showed that the rate of relapse was 12.3 percent (62/503). The majority of relapses, 77.4 percent (48/62) occurred during the first six months after completion of treatment, 9 relapsed at 12 months and 5 at 18 months. On univariate analysis drug irregularity (aOR 2.5), initial drug resistance (aOR 4.8), smoking (aOR 3.1) and alcoholism were associated with higher likelihood of relapse. Age, sex, weight, initial smear grade and end of intensive phase sputum conversion results did not influence the rate of relapse. The authors discuss the importance of regularity of treatment to ensure high cure rates without relapse. The finding that majority of relapse occurs in the first six - - 33 - - months after completion of treatment is consistent with other studies. Initial drug resistance was found to be associated with high relapse rates. But, low development of drug resistance during therapy justifies treating patients who relapse after treatment with currently recommended Category 2 regimen. The program implications of this study to reduce relapse rate include ensuring that the patient takes regular treatment and an effective counselling for quitting smoking. Proper history of prior anti-TB treatment should be emphasised for correct categorisation of patients for treatment. Volmink, 2009(40) The aim of this study was to compare DOTS with self-administration of treatment or different DOTS options for people requiring treatment for clinically active TB or prevention of active disease. As this was a systematic review, electronic searches were performed, article reference lists were checked and relevant researchers and organisations were contacted. 11 trials with 5609 participants were selected from around the world. Authors’ conclusions were that in low, middle and high income countries there was no assurance that DOTS compared with self-administration of treatment has any quantitatively important effect on cure or treatment completion in people receiving treatment for TB. In one participating study from South Africa, there was an increasingly negative and demoralising effect of direct observation on participants with TB. This study found that in participants with a first episode of TB, the outcomes were equivalent in DOTS and self-administration of treatment arms, while retreatment participants who were assigned to DOTS fared worse than those who self-administered treatment. But as the number of participants in the retreatment group was small, further research is warranted to confirm these findings. - - 34 - - Chapter 5: Discussion The findings of included studies which were selected (electronic literature search) and described in previous chapters are discussed here. A narrative synthesis instead of meta-analysis has been attempted. Reasons for not performing meta-analysis were: firstly, due to the considerable heterogeneity of data and secondly that majority were observational studies in this review and statistical combination of data is usually not a prominent component in reviews of observational studies. 5.1: Use of terminology and methodology Although under DOTS there are standard definitions (described earlier) of various treatment categories and outcomes yet the use of these definitions and terms was inconsistent in different studies. As an example: Thomas 2005 used a more stringent definition of relapse than what is used in RNTCP but he considers that definition to be less stringent than what is used in RCT’s. He defines a relapse case as a patient cured under DOTS who has two sputum samples positive for AFB by smear, culture or combination of both. This has a direct bearing on his results because the rate varies, 12.3 percent according to his definition and 10 percent according to RNTCP definition. There were also different types of studies included in this review including prospective, program based observational studies, literature and systematic reviews. These studies were from different settings, the majority were from program conditions in India and only those studies from reviews were included which had been done in India. However considering that India is a huge country there are considerable variations among the studies for e.g.: Mehra 2008 is from a predominantly urban area in North India (Gulabi Bagh chest clinic, Delhi) while Chandrasekaran 2006 is from a rural area in South India (Tiruvallur, Tamil Nadu). This may have a bearing on results as the Category 1 relapse cases started on Category 2 in the former are 9 percent while in the latter are 6.5 percent. The observation period for relapse also varied in different studies. While Thomas 2005 followed up his patients for 18 months, other studies (Mehra 2008, Mukherjee - - 35 - - 2009 and Chandrasekaran 2006) only do not specify a clear follow up period but rather that the data analysed was from a time frame of 11, 6.5 and 5.5 years respectively. Anti-tubercular treatment under the RNTCP is given intermittently thrice weekly but those seeking the treatment for the same condition outside the program are more likely to have received a non-intermittent therapy. Although RNTCP claims that intermittent therapy is as good as regular treatment yet there is evidence that this is not the case.(51, 52) This is not clear in some of the studies if the treatment given is intermittent or not. It was assumed that all studies under RNTCP were using intermittent therapy. Some studies (Cox 2008, Hill 2002) have included all types of therapies both intermittent and daily. Thus possible difference between intermittent and daily regimens may be very important, however, they are very poorly documented. Diagnosis was smear and also culture based. While most of studies (Mehra 2008, Mukherjee 2009 and Chandrasekaran 2006) used sputum smear microscopy for diagnosis, some (Cox 2008 and Thomas 2005) also used sputum culture along with smear microscopy for diagnosis. Hill 2002 separated the two into different groups and analysed them separately. In some of the studies it has not been made clear the differences between relapse and reinfection. Attempts were not made to diagnose reinfection and this reinfection may be misinterpreted as a failure to eradicate the initial strain. There is a likelihood of this reinfection having falsely increased the apparent relapse rate especially in high prevalence settings and HIV positive people. 5.2: Summary of study findings In the seven studies, three were reviews (Cox 2008, Hill 2002, Volmink 2007), one was a prospective study (Thomas 2005) and the rest three (Chandrasekaran 2006, Mehra 2008, Mukherjee 2009) were record based studies under program conditions of RNTCP. These seven included studies will be discussed in the following section under two headings – relapse and other findings. - - 36 - - 5.2.1: Relapse As mentioned in introduction, retreatment cases constitute about 24 percent of all cases in RNTCP. And given the high human and drug cost of treatment of each patient (especially in the retreatment group) more information and subsequent reduction of patients in this group is critical to the success of TB control activities. And as the patients in RNTCP are not followed up after treatment for any length of time there is very less information about relapse. There seems to be no trend from year to year that the proportion of re-treatment cases becomes reduced as DOTS has now been consolidated. The relapse rate was high in almost all the studies. Only Thomas 2005 actively followed up the patients and found the relapse rate to be 12.3 percent using his stricter definition while the rate was 10 percent using the RNTCP definition. Other researchers (Chandrasekaran 2006, Mehra 2008) reported only those patients who had presented themselves (passively) and their relapse rates were 6.5 percent, 9 percent respectively. The obvious weakness is that the patients may have gone to some other provider or a higher centre for treatment of relapse. Cox 2008 also found relapse rates of more than 10 percent in two studies from India. It might be happening that many TB re-patients (for example those coming from the private sector and now opting for treatment in public sector) may see an advantage in not to report that they were treated previously, so as not to be “sentenced” to eight instead of only six months of treatment. There were differences in relapse rates for national and international studies. Compared to around 10 percent relapse rates in studies from India, the international studies showed an average relapse rate of 3.6 percent in 21 culture based and 3.2 and 3.3 percent in two smear based studies (Hill 2002). Cox 2008 also found considerable variations in recurrence rates from 0 to 14 percent in studies from around the world. Risk factors for relapse included drug irregularity, initial drug resistance, smoking and alcoholism; age, sex and weight had no influence (Thomas 2005). Cox 2008 - - 37 - - also listed potential contributors to recurrent TB as shorter total duration of treatment (particularly rifampicin), poor adherence during treatment (mainly during intensive phase), use of fewer than three drugs in intensive phase, greater disease severity and cavitation, high bacterial load, smoking, being male, the presence of concomitant disease, being underweight, and infection with HIV. The time of presentation of relapse also varied. But the majority (68.5%) of relapse occurred in the first year and 50 percent of total relapses were in the first six months of completion of treatment (Mehra 2008). Thomas 2005 also found that 91.9 percent of the 62 relapses were within the first year and 77.4 percent were within the first six months. The period of observation in these two studies was different (11 years and 1.5 years respectively) but it is obvious that the majority of relapses occur within the first year of successful completion of treatment. Similarly, Chandrasekaran 2006 found 91 percent of his patients were re-registered within 2 years and median interval between declaring the treatment outcome and re-start of treatment was 212 days (approximately 7 months) for relapse patients. The outcome of relapse patients who were put on therapy was positive in the majority of cases. Mehra 2008 and Mukherjee 2009 report 76.4 percent and 76.35 percent of their relapse patients put on therapy as having a positive outcome (cured or treatment completed). But this was not the case for other categories of retreatment regimen (failure and default) which had worse treatment outcomes (discussed later). Even so the outcome of retreatment of relapse cases is poorer than Cat.1 patient outcome, Volmink 2007 argues that DOTS is not recommended for re-treatment patients as retreatment patients assigned to DOTS group had a worse treatment outcome than those in self-administration of treatment group. However the sample size of the concerned study is too small to be conclusive. 5.2.2: Other findings On comparison of DOTS and non-DOTS based treatment of TB Volmink 2007 concludes that there is no statistically significant difference between the two - - 38 - - treatment groups in terms of cure or treatment completion. Hill 2002 also admits that superiority of DOTS over unsupervised therapy for routine TB care has not yet been shown in an evidence-based fashion. But most authorities are convinced that DOTS improves treatment effectiveness, drug resistance rates, and overall TB control. His contention is that it is not better only in suboptimal settings indicating that program quality must be strong for it to yield its optimal benefits. There is also an issue of publication bias in favour of DOTS. Of the new smear positive patients registered under Category 1, the default and failure rates were 12 percent and 5 percent in the study by Chandrasekaran 2006, 16 percent and 4 percent in the study by Thomas 2005. Mehra 2008 recorded a failure rate of 3.4 percent. The distribution of default and failure cases in Category 2 patients was 22 percent and 14 percent in the study by Mukherjee 2009. Hill 2002 in his review of studies from around the world calculated an average failure rate (unweighted mean ± SD) to be 2.4% ± 2.2% for 21 culture-based studies and 2.5% ± 1.7% for nine smear-based studies. The combined rate of failure plus default was 11.1% ± 6.7% (n = 20) and 10.0% ± 7.5% (n = 9) in culture-and smear-based studies, respectively. These findings are comparable to findings from India. The re-treatment outcomes for default and failure cases were not as good as relapse. Mukherjee 2009 found 55.88 percent and 53.85 percent cases have a favourable outcome on retreatment in the two categories respectively. Similarly Mehra 2008 also found that only 48.8 percent cases of treatment failure on restarting therapy had a favourable outcome. These results are similar to RNTCP treatment cohorts. Information about drug susceptibility was not given in most of the studies. Low drug resistance patterns in the country suggest its minimal role in causing unfavourable outcomes. However, the role and impact of Isoniazid resistance (which is increasing over time (53)) may be significant, as the continuation phase of four months is reduced to effective mono-therapy in these cases. Drug resistance was found to be present in 20 percent cases of relapse by Thomas 2005. - - 39 - - Chapter 6: Conclusion and recommendations 6.1: Summary of main findings The main findings of this systematic review are summarised below. Relapse rate is high (almost 10%) in almost all the studies from India. It is higher than those found in international studies. The risk factors for relapse include drug irregularity, initial drug resistance, smoking and alcoholism. Sex and weight have been found to be significant in international studies but not in India. Majority of relapse presented in the first year after completion of treatment and the bulk of it occurs in the first six months itself. The outcome of relapse patients put on treatment is positive in terms of cure in the majority of cases but clearly less effective then the results of DOTS for new TB cases never treated before. And there are sound arguments and some sketchy evidence that DOTS Category 2 treatment may not be adequate for retreatment patients. 6.2: Strengths and Limitations: Although TB is a focus of many international activities and a number of national and international organisations are working on its control yet the results of this systematic review study show that there is a shortage of evidence related to the effectiveness of DOTS versus self administered treatment as such and also a lack of precise knowledge of the extent of relapse under program conditions in India. There are only seven relevant publications which were found for this systematic review study. The number of relapse cases is registered in the statistics of the RNTCP of India. Yet there is no proper routine follow up of TB patients after end of treatment that will allow a precise idea of the size of relapse problem. This is one reason why there is a lack of publications which investigate this topic. Initial scoping searches revealed a number of publications on TB but on closer inspection most of them could not fulfil the inclusion criteria and were not included. Compared to other studies outside India it is obvious that the choice in India of intermittent regimen may play an important role in the creation of relapse cases - - 40 - - compared to daily regimens in many other countries. However, only proper well designed prospective randomised studies may answer this query. There is also a striking absence of good qualitative studies that are at variance to register based studies may cast light over the preferences, adherence and felt problems of the clients of the RNTCP. Without understanding the wishes and the problems seen from the patients, it may be difficult to modify a strategy so strongly advocated by the WHO and many other international organizations working with TB. Systematic reviews of public health interventions are in themselves methodologically challenging due to use of non-standard terminology and extensive heterogeneity. This was the reason for performing a narrative synthesis instead of meta-analysis in this review. There is a strong likelihood of bias in observational studies. Undertaking a systematic review as a masters’ project is one of the limitation of this study. Shortage of time led to this review being completed in four months only. Due to this small timeframe study authors and publishers could not be contacted. Thus, additional information, clarifications and missing information might not have been available. And some papers may also have been overlooked. This would have surely been done if this was a full systematic review and not as a part of dissertation. Hand searching of a number of specific and relevant journals also could not be undertaken. Some other limitations were that I looked for evidence only in India. If evidence from other countries was also included, international comparisons would have been very interesting to observe. However, with some 1.2 million TB patients being treated in India annually in the public sector under the RNTCP, India account for roughly 20 percent of global TB burden. Whatever limitation of the effectiveness of the strategies and implementation of the RNTCP will be highly significant. Considering that there are 15 national languages in India, use of only English language publications is also a limitation. There is a possibility that some papers have been missed. Also there are smaller journals which are not indexed (at all or in major international electronic databases) and articles in these journals are likely to be missed. Conference proceedings also could not be searched for this review. - - 41 - - 6.3: Implications for future research and clinical practice Lack of a common framework for data collection and analysis is an indicator for the need of performing more studies so that the differences can be better understood and methodologies evolved. This would make the comparisons for public health interventions easier. The importance of relapse and its implications in successful implementation of any TB control program using the DOTS strategy should be a point of concern for further research. As discussed in the section above, the choice in India of Intermittent regimen may play an important but unknown role in the creation of relapse cases compared to daily regimens in many other countries. However, only a proper, well designed prospective, randomized study may answer this question. International comparisons might prove to be useful for governments for making changes in existing strategies. 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Indian Journal of TuberculosisApril 2003;50(2). - - 46 - - Appendix 1: Ethics Declaration -I- Appendix 2: Search Strategy -1- -2- -3- -4- -5- -6- -7- Appendix 3: CASP Checklist -1- -2- -3- -4- Appendix 4: Data extraction form No. Study ID Details of the paper 1 Chandrasekaran Chandrasekaran V, Gopi PG, Santha T, Subramani R, , 2007 Narayanan PR. Status of reregistered patients for tuberculosis treatment under DOTS programme. Indian J. 2007 Jan;54(1):12-6. Observatio 2 Cox, 2010 Cox HS, Morrow M, Deutschmann PW. Long term efficacy of DOTS regimens for tuberculosis: systematic review.[see comment]. Bmj. 2008 Mar 1;336(7642):484-7. Secondary -1- Methods Objectives Outcomes To assess the proportion of patients nal study, re-registered after default, failure or record successful treatment, analysis completion and evaluate their treatment outcome According to standardised RNTCP treatment outcome definitions To identify published studies assessing tuberculosis recurrence after successful treatment with standard short course regimens for six months to determine the strength and sufficiency of The primary outcome was the proportion of successfully treated patients recorded with recurrent tuberculosis analysis, systematic review The Notes number of patients There were 2608 patients related to this study who were started on Categor y1 treatmen t regimen The 3 program studies from India had a total of 2195 patients among 3 Hill, 2002 evidence to support current guidelines. To clarify DOT’s actual “track record” we review the published treatment outcomes of contemporary HIV era DOT cohorts. We examine how often and why TB treatment was unsuccessful despite DOT, during the follow-up period. 2 critical outcome measures, treatment failure and post treatment relapse To analyse the treatment outcome of nal study, Cat I smear positive relapse and failure record cases and their fate analysis when treated with Cat II regimen under RNTCP The retreatment outcome data for relapse and failure cases of Cat I when treated with Cat II regimen was reviewed. According to standardised RNTCP treatment outcome Hill, a. Ross; Manikal, Vivek M.; Riska, Paul F,Effectiveness of Directly Observed Therapy (DOT) for Tuberculosis: A Review of Multinational Experience Reported in 1990– 2000.Medicine. Issue: Volume 81(3), May 2002, pp 179-193 Secondary analysis 4 Mehra, 2008 Mehra RK, Dhingra VK, Nish A, Vashist RP, Nish A. Study of relapse and failure cases of CAT I retreated with CAT II under RNTCP--an eleven year follow up. Indian J2008 Oct;55(4):188-91. Observatio 5 Mukherjee, Mukherjee A, Sarkar A, Saha I, Biswas B, Bhattacharyya PS. Outcomes of different subgroups of smear-positive retreatment patients under Observatio 2009 -2- to compare outcomes among nal study, sputum-positive TB retreatment patient record groups (relapse, failure them 24 culture based and 10 smear based studies comprisi ng 6822 and 71431 cases respectiv ely the 5576 patients started on treatmen t 234 Categor y2 patients 6 Thomas, 2005 7 Volmink, 2009 RNTCP in rural West Bengal, analysis India. Rural Remote Health2009 Jan-Mar;9(1):926. definitions Thomas A, Gopi PG, Santha T, Chandrasekaran V, Subramani R, Selvakumar N, et al. Predictors of relapse among pulmonary tuberculosis patients treated in a DOTS programme in South India. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. [Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.]. 2005 May;9(5):556-61. Volmink J, Garner P. Directly observed therapy for treating tuberculosis. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2007, Issue 4. Art. No.: CD003343. DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD00334 3.pub3. and treatment after default) at completion of therapy, under the RNTCP. Prospective To identify risk factors associated with relapse study among cured tuberculosis (TB) patients in a DOTS programme in South India. According to standardised RNTCP treatment outcome definitions cohort was of 715 patients Secondary analysis, systematic review Primary: • Cure. • Completion of treatment. • Development of clinical TB (in trials of drug prophylaxis). 11 trials with 5609 participa nts To compare DOT with self administration of treatment or different DOT options for people requiring treatment for clinically active tuberculosis or prevention of active disease. Secondary: Keeping outpatient appointments. -3-