Whitemans Creek Water Budget - Latornell Conservation Symposium
Transcription
Whitemans Creek Water Budget - Latornell Conservation Symposium
Whitemans Creek Water Budget Balancing the Needs of Water Users James Etienne, Grand River Conservation Authority A.D. Latornell Conservation Symposium, November 17, 2015 Whitemans Creek 404 km2 (situated in Brant and Oxford Counties) Southern portion on Norfolk Sand Plain Significant cold water fishery Dominant water use is agricultural Municipal water supply for Bright and Paris (Bethel) Two streamflow stations Perennial low water issues BRIGHT BETHEL What are Water Budgets? Relationship between supply and demand Through an integrated understanding of system function we can make better planning decisions and are better prepared effectively manage water resources. “ Water Budgets lead us on the path to secure and sustainable source waters ” Water Budgeting QP QET Surface Water Modelling Unsaturated Zone Q Q Ultimate Goal: Balancing Water Needs Q wa GW-C SW-RO ter table QSW-C QGW-R Saturated Zone SW-Out Surface Water QSW-In QGW-D QGW-In QGW-Out Groundwater Groundwater Modelling Grand River Tier 2 Water Budget N Legend W Climate Normals Roads E Drainage 0 - 1100.00 Precipitation (mm/year) < 800.00 S 800.00 - 850.00 850.00 - 900.00 900.00 - 950.00 950.00 - 1000.00 1000.00 - 1050.00 1050.00 - 1100.00 - 850.0 1100.00800.00 - 1150.00 > 1150.00 1000.00 - 1050.00 < 800 Climate Water resource professionals characterized the watershed, using models, statistics and estimates to track the volume of water entering, Surficial Geology moving through and leaving the watershed for Streamflow sustainable water Recharge use. 850.00 - 900.00 Discharge 900.00 - 950.00 950.00 - 1000.00 0 20 km Hydrologic Cycle Groundwater Levels Water Use Water Use Permits Surface Water Permits Groundwater Permits ~700 permits ~1200 sources Municipal: 20% of permits Agricultural: <50% of permits Tier 2 Stress Assessment Bright Bethel Surface Water Groundwater Low Water Conditions in 2007 & 2012 Figure 4: Average Daily values for Whitemans Creek and Burford Level 1 Called 2.5 Level 2 Called 0 10 2.0 20 60 Level 2 flow first reached 70 Beaver dam affects flow readings 0.5 80 Level 3 flow reached 90 0.0 Whitemans Creek Flow Burford Rain Streamflow <30% of average summer low flow Anticipated harmful effects to environment, fishery Unknown: agricultural use vs. water availability 7-Sep 31-Aug 24-Aug 17-Aug 10-Aug 3-Aug 27-Jul 20-Jul 13-Jul 6-Jul 29-Jun 100 22-Jun OLWR Level 3 apparent 1.0 15-Jun Very low precipitation 50 Level 1 flow first reached 8-Jun Voluntary reductions at Levels 1 and 2 40 1-Jun Declared Conditions Flow (m3/s) 1.5 Rainfall (mm) 30 Precipitation (1961‐2014) 1960’s Drier 1970’s & 1980’s Wetter 1990’s Drier 2000’s Mixed Surface Water (1961‐2014) 1960’s Drier 1970’s & 1980’s Wetter 1990’s Drier 2000’s Mixed Groundwater (2001‐2014) 2006 2001‐2002 2004 2008‐2010 2007 2012 Surface and Groundwater (2001‐2014) 2006 2008‐2010 ? 2001‐2002 2004 2007 2012 Water Use Grand Watershed Whitemans Subwatershed Irrigation Water Sources Water Use Timing **estimated monthly water use from the Tier 2 stress assessment Water Use Timing Challenges 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Water use is different than the rest of the watershed Many water users, but one main water use Reliance on shallow groundwater and surface water High water use coincides with low stream flow Water use cycles with crop cycles Watershed Drought Plan Watershed scope Based on past work focused on high water use sectors municipal agriculture industry and commercial rural domestic 19 Drought Preparedness Contingency Planning Best Practices BMP Locations Education & Outreach Pilot Outcomes Supporting Other Initiatives Grand River Water Management Plan Ensuring water supplies Drinking Water Source Protection Water budget assessment Ontario Low Water Response Program Developing drought resistance Whitemans Creek Drought Contingency Plan Transferable to other high use agricultural watersheds Going Forward Tier 3 Water Budget model Encourage growers to implement new BRWQP actions Promote the need Voluntary “no fishing” signage campaign for PTTW workshops Automate data collection from remote soil moisture sensors in Oxford & Brant Seek opportunities and apply for drought preparedness pond renovations funding Deliver a free “Soil WHAT’S NEXT Moisture Probe Borrowing Program” Promote workshops & discussions re: nitrogen legacy Whitemans Creek Tier 3 Water Budget and Water Quantity Risk Assessment Tier 3 Data Updates 2010 Woodstock‐Brantford Surficial Geology Survey 2014/15 Field Work Program Spot Flow Surveys Piezometer & Level Logger Installations 2013 Crop Mapping Imagery Review Whitemans Creek PTTWs 2015 Whitemans Creek Workshop Update Integrated Modeling Tools (SW‐ GW) Whitemans Creek Surface Water – Groundwater Combined Model better represent groundwater and surface water interactions discharge and recharge functions are integrated Tier Three Risk Assessment Characterize Demand (municipal and non‐municipal) Hydrology Hydrogeology We are here Modelling Tools Refine Characterization Refine Modeling Tools SW & GW Delineate “Vulnerable Area” WHPA‐Q1, WHPA‐Q2 Define “Vulnerable Area” Risk Assessment Scenarios Assign semi‐quantitative ‘RISK’ Evaluate hydrogeologic uncertainty Assess Risk Level using Multiple Scenarios Ecological Water Needs Next Steps in Tier 3 Work Monitor water levels across the subwatershed (2015‐16) Assess historic irrigation water use (2015) Consultant Conceptualization Report (September 2015) Develop integrated surface/groundwater model (2015‐16) Assess Bright & Bethel Well water supplies (Summer 2016) Complete Tier 3 Water Budget (Fall 2016) Integrate results in amended Grand River Assessment Report (2017) Beyond Source Water Whitemans is Water Management Plan priority area Use model to assess Water Demand/Permit to Take Water Drought Planning Climate Change Assessment n o i t c e t o r p e c r sou Acknowledgements Farm & Food Care Ontario Hajnal Kovacs, Conservation Sudbury Brant County Federation of Agriculture Ontario Federation of Agriculture AquaResource Inc. (now Matrix Solutions Inc.) EarthFX Incorporated Ministry of Agriculture, Food & Rural Affairs Ministry of Natural Resources & Forestry Ministry of Environment & Climate Change