sample thesis - Bemidji State University
Transcription
sample thesis - Bemidji State University
School of Graduate Studies Bemidji State University 1500 Birchmont Dr NE, #48 Bemidji, MN 56601-2699 218-755-2027 i IMPACT OF RECYCLING AND WASTE MANAGEMENT POLICIES ON RESIDENTIAL RECYCLING RATES IN MINNESOTA by Katelyn J. Larsen ____________________ A Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of the CENTER FOR ENVIRONMENTAL, EARTH, & SPACE STUDIES, ECONOMICS & SOCIOLOGY In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES BEMIDJI STATE UNIVERSITY Bemidji, Minnesota, USA August 2013 ii STATEMENT BY THE AUTHOR This thesis has been submitted in partial fulfillment of requirements for an advanced degree at Bemidji State University and is deposited in the University Library to be made available to borrowers under the rules of the library. Brief quotations from this thesis are allowable without special permission, provided accurate acknowledgement of the source is indicated. Requests for permission to use extended quotations or to reproduce the manuscript in whole or in part may be granted by the Center for Environmental, Earth, & Space Studies, Economics & Sociology or the Dean, School of Graduate Studies when the proposed purpose is in the interest of scholarship. In all other instances, however, permission must be obtained from the author. Signed: _________________________ __________________________________________________ APPROVAL BY THESIS ADVISOR THIS THESIS HAS BEEN APPROVED ON THE DATE SHOWN BELOW: __________________________________________ Dr. Patrick Welle, Committee Chair Professor of Environmental, Earth, & Space Studies, Economics & Sociology _______________________ Date __________________________________________ Dean, School of Graduate Studies _______________________ Date iii IMPACT OF RECYCLING AND WASTE MANAGEMENT POLICIES ON RESIDENTIAL RECYCLING RATES IN MINNESOTA Katelyn J. Larsen Several counties in Minnesota are currently struggling to meet recycling goals. Recycling is important because it preserves the life of landfills and prevents recyclable materials from being incinerated. The purpose of this study was to determine what variables positively and negatively impact residential recycling rates in Minnesota. This study examined variables from all 87 counties in Minnesota during 1996-2011. It relied heavily on the use of surveys and informal interviews with county environmental officials to gain information. Nine out of 21 variables contributed significantly to the model explaining annual residential recycling rates. These variables included population density, number of drop-off sites, annual tons of municipal solid waste (MSW) sent to landfills and processing facilities, percentage of MSW required to be sent to resource recovery centers, annual amount spend on educating the public, percentage of county population served by volume-based pricing, percentage of county population with organized pick-up for MSW, percentage of county population with open-market pick-up for recycling, and percentage of county population with open-market pick-up for MSW. The results of this study suggest areas in which counties can improve in order to increase residential recycling rates. However, the results of this study should be read with the understanding that waste management and recycling in Minnesota is very complex, so the model could not capture all variables that might impact residential recycling rates. Approved by: __________________________________________ Committee Chair __________________________________________ Committee Member __________________________________________ Committee Member __________________________________________ Graduate Faculty Representative _______________________ Date iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS First and foremost, I would like to thank my committee, Dr. Patrick Welle, Dr. Patrick Donnay, and Erika Bailey-Johnson, for their constant feedback and support. Without their suggestions, this study would not have been as strong. Secondly, I would like to thank Arlene Vee, Peder Sandhei, and Cathy Jensen from the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency for their input and provision of data and resources. I cannot express my gratitude to them enough. Third, I would like to thank all of the county environmental officials who responded to my survey and provided detailed information on policies within their counties. Lastly, I would like to thank my sister and brother-in-law for believing in me and helping me get through the tough times in the past two years. v TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................vii LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................ix Chapter Page 1. Introduction Statement of the Problem ............................................................................. 1 Background and Need .................................................................................. 2 Purpose of the Study .................................................................................... 4 Significance of the Study .............................................................................. 4 Definitions ..................................................................................................... 5 Limitations.................................................................................................... 6 Ethical Considerations ................................................................................. 6 2. Review of Literature Recycling Behaviors by Individuals and within States ............................... 8 Individuals ........................................................................................ 8 States ............................................................................................... 12 Curbside Recycling .................................................................................... 13 Unit-Based Pricing ..................................................................................... 14 Curbside Recycling and Unit-Based Pricing ............................................. 19 Discussion ................................................................................................... 21 Conclusion .................................................................................................. 22 3. Research Methodology Counties ...................................................................................................... 23 Instrumentation .......................................................................................... 24 Variables ..................................................................................................... 27 Hypotheses .................................................................................................. 28 Statistical Analysis...................................................................................... 30 4. Results Descriptive Statistics .................................................................................. 31 SCORE report data ........................................................................ 31 Survey data ..................................................................................... 33 Inferential Statistics ................................................................................... 35 Paired-samples t test ....................................................................... 35 Multiple linear regression............................................................... 39 Model 1: SCORE report variables ........................................ 39 Model 2: SCORE report and survey variables ...................... 43 Alternative models ................................................................ 49 5. Discussion Paired-Samples T Test ............................................................................... 51 Multiple Linear Regression........................................................................ 52 vi Model 1 ............................................................................................ 52 Model 2 ............................................................................................ 54 Limitations.................................................................................................. 57 Recommendations for Future Research .................................................... 58 Conclusions ................................................................................................. 58 References .................................................................................................................... 60 Appendix A. Minnesota County Data, 2007-2011 ...................................................... 63 Appendix B. Survey for Environmental Services Officials ........................................ 66 Appendix C. Frequencies and Means Reported for Survey for Environmental Services Officials .............................................................................................. 71 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Page Determinants of Recycling Programs ............................................................. 9 2. Effects of Unit-Based Pricing ....................................................................... 17 3. Determinants of Unit-Based Pricing ............................................................. 19 4. Description of Variables............................................................................... 27 5. SCORE Report Data Descriptive Statistics ................................................... 31 6. Survey Data Descriptive Statistics ................................................................ 34 7. Means of County Board and Individual Prioritization of Waste Management and Recycling ............................................................................................... 36 8. Paired-Samples T Test.................................................................................. 36 9. Test for Normality between County Board and Individual Prioritization of Waste Management and Recycling ............................................................... 37 10. Wilcoxon Test for Difference between County Board and Individual Prioritization of Waste Management and Recycling ..................................... 38 11. Significance of Wilcoxon Test ....................................................................... 39 12. Model 1 Summary ........................................................................................ 40 13. Analysis-of-Variance: Model 1 ..................................................................... 40 14. Coefficients of Model 1................................................................................. 41 15. Independent Variables Strongly Correlated with Other Independent Variables in Model 1 .................................................................................... 43 16. Model 2 Summary ........................................................................................ 45 17. Analysis-of-Variance: Model 2 ..................................................................... 45 18. Coefficients of Model 2................................................................................. 46 19. Model 2 Variables Statistically Different from 0 ........................................... 47 viii 20. Independent Variables Strongly Correlated with Other Independent Variables in Model 2................................................................................................ 49 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Page Map of Minnesota displaying county names ................................................. 23 1 Chapter 1: Introduction During the 1970s, recycling became a popular policy meant to divert materials from landfills and incinerators. However, recycling has other benefits as well. According to a report published by the Natural Resources Defense Council, recycling conserves natural resources…prevents pollution caused by manufacturing from virgin resources…saves energy…reduces the need for landfilling and incineration and helps avoid the pollution produced by these technologies…helps protect and expand manufacturing jobs in America…[and] engenders a sense of community involvement and responsibility (Hershkowitz, 1997, Introduction, para. 4). Although there has been criticism from conservatives regarding the benefits of recycling, it cannot be argued that recycling diverts materials from the waste stream that would otherwise end up in landfills or incinerators. Conservatives, and other like-minded citizens, may think that recycling is a waste of resources and argue that landfilling is cheaper, but if the world was to stop recycling, landfills would indeed fill up at a much quicker rate. Of course, conservatives could argue that there are other, more inexpensive ways of solving the solid waste issue such as reducing consumption or reusing/repurposing materials, but if a consumptive nation like the United States cannot achieve a high recycling rate, then it would surely not be able to achieve high rates of reduction or reuse. Furthermore, recycling provides a market and jobs whereas reduction and reuse do not. Therefore, it is important to continue to focus on recycling. Statement of the Problem According to the Environmental Protection Agency, the United States currently recycles about 34.7% of its total solid waste (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency [U.S. EPA], n.d.). While this is very close to the nation’s recycling goal of 35% by 2005 2 (Hershkowtiz, 1997), it is less than half of the entire waste thrown away. More can be done to improve recycling rates. Background and Need In the 1990s, two policies emerged as an attempt to improve recycling rates: curbside recycling and unit-based pricing for solid waste. Several factors caused this recycling trend. As a result of the environmental movement from 1970-1980, the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) of 1976 was passed. Subtitle D of that act implemented new guidelines for landfills, causing older ones to shut down out of noncompliance (Jakus, Tiller, & Park, 1996; Kinnaman, 2006). From 1988 to 1997, the number of landfills decreased from 8000 to less than 3000. According to Kinnaman and Fullerton (2000), the reason for the decline was the change from multiple small, local dumps to large, regional landfills. Local dumps could not keep up with the new guidelines for landfills, and it was more cost-efficient to construct a large regional landfill that met all of the RCRA codes. However, Kinnaman and Fullerton (2000) also noted that while the number of landfills decreased, the capacity increased due to the construction of larger landfills. They indicated that voters at the time may have been confused, thinking that fewer landfills meant reduced capacity. If constituents believed there was a landfill crisis, it only increased the need for a solution to America’s waste. As the world’s population grew, so did the amount of household waste. This did not weigh heavily on the United States until 1987 when the Mobro barge from New York City traveled alongside the Atlantic coast attempting to find a suitable place to dump its garbage (Kinnaman, 2006; “The Truth About Recycling,” 2007). Along the coast, the barge was turned down by city upon city as a result of the Not in My Backyard (NIMBY) 3 phenomenon that became popular during the environmental movement (Kinnaman, 2006). Finally, in 1988, the EPA proposed a national recycling goal of 25% by 1992 (Khator, 1993). Later, the EPA increased that goal to 35% by 2005 (Hershkowitz, 1997). This put pressure on states to adopt waste and recycling policies to meet the national goal. Minnesota attempted to meet the national goal by implementing recycling goals for counties. According to Minnesota statute 115A.551 subdivision 2A, counties outside of the metropolitan area are required to recycle 35% by weight of their total solid waste while counties within the metropolitan area are required to recycle 50% by weight of their total solid waste (Office of the Revisor of Statutes, n.d.b). The metropolitan area refers to Anoka, Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott, and Washington (Office of the Revisor of Statutes, n.d.d). However, not all counties are meeting these goals. According to county responses in the Report on 2011 SCORE Programs: A Summary of Recycling and Waste Management in Minnesota, twenty-four counties reported recycling rates lower than the required amounts (Minnesota Pollution Control Agency [MPCA], 2012). The penalties for failing to meet the goal include “(1) notify[ing] county residents of the failure to achieve the goal and why the goal was not achieved; and (2) provid[ing] county residents with information on recycling programs offered by the county” (Office of the Revisor of Statutes, n.d.b, subd. 5). These penalties do not represent an incentive for the county to improve recycling rates. Rather, they serve as a passive approach to implementing policy. A more sufficient approach would be taking away government funding for failing to meet recycling goals or monetarily rewarding counties that did meet recycling goals. 4 Understanding the variables that are linked to improving recycling rates could help counties that are currently not meeting recycling goals. Purpose of the Study The purpose of this study is to determine what variables negatively and positively influence residential recycling rates in Minnesota. As previously stated, several counties in Minnesota struggle to meet current recycling goals. However, other counties far surpass recycling goals. Understanding why some counties are struggling while others are not in terms of residential recycling should help improve overall recycling in Minnesota. In order to determine the variables responsible for achieving high residential recycling rates, data was obtained on all 87 counties in Minnesota from several sources. The bulk of the data came from the SCORE Reports from 1996-2011, produced by the MPCA. Other data was retrieved from the Minnesota State Demographic Center and U.S. Census American FactFinder. Additionally, a survey was developed to gain further information about each county. By studying the impact recycling and waste management policies have on residential recycling in Minnesota, this study aimed to determine which variables are beneficial and which ones do not have an impact. Significance of the Study This study will contribute significantly to the available literature on the impact policies have on recycling rates. As the first comprehensive study conducted on the subject on Minnesota, the ultimate goal of this thesis is to advance knowledge on 5 Minnesota residential recycling and provide insight to policy makers about effective and ineffective policies. Definitions Bag/tag-based pricing: a special bag, or a tag applied to bags, is used for the purpose of disposing of municipal solid waste. Waste haulers will not pick-up waste disposed in other bags or ones that do not show a tag (Dijkgraaf & Gradus, 2004; Fullerton & Kinnaman, 1996; Hong, 1999; Miranda & Aldy, 1998; Tsai & Sheu, 2009; Van Houtven & Morris, 1999). Curbside recycling: “A program with at least one route-based collection system that picks up at least four broad material categories of recyclables from households” (MPCA, n.d., p. 12). Drop-off site: a drop-off center where residents can drop off their recyclables Frequency-based pricing: There are two ways of administering this method of waste disposal. In the first method, residents prescribe to a certain number of cans and are charged for that number whether the cans are full or not (Dijkgraaf & Gradus, 2004). In the second method, residents are charged based on the number of times they set their can(s) out for collection (Van Houtven & Morris, 1999). Resource recovery: “reclamation for sale, use, or reuse of materials, substances, energy, or other products contained within or derived from waste” (Office of the Revisor of Statutes, n.d.a, subd. 27). Typically, resource recovery refers to waste-toenergy in Minnesota. Unit-based pricing: designed as an incentive to reduce the amount of waste residents throw away, unit-based pricing (also known as variable-rate pricing and pay-as- 6 you-throw) charges residents by the unit, whether that is by bag/tag, weight, volume, or frequency. Volume-based pricing: different sizes of collection cans are used for the purpose of disposing of municipal solid waste. Residents are charged based on the size of can(s) they subscribe to (Dijkgraaf & Gradus, 2004; Miranda & Aldy, 1998). Weight-based pricing: special cans are used for the purpose of disposing of municipal solid waste and are weighed during waste pick-up. Residents are charged for the weight of the waste they throw away (Dijkgraaf & Gradus, 2004; Linderhof, Kooreman, Allers, & Wiersma, 2001). Limitations Although the study includes many variables, it was also limited in several ways. First, the study was limited by time as it was designed to be completed in one year. Second, the study was limited by the scope of the data. Although accounting for many variables, it could not capture all of the variables that might impact residential recycling rates, such as residents’ behaviors. Rather, the study aimed to examine the main variables thought to impact residential recycling rates. It should provide value to counties in evaluating current recycling and waste management programs and showing them areas that can be improved. Ethical Considerations Because the design of the study included the use of a survey to gain information from human subjects, the researcher followed guidelines outlined by the Bemidji State University Human Subjects Committee. These included submitting a proposal to the committee for review as well as completing the National Institutes of Health Training for 7 Human Subjects research. Since the survey was sent out to public service officials and was designed to gain information about public services, there was minimal risk to subjects. After review by the Human Subjects Committee, the study was approved. 8 Chapter 2: Review of Literature Since the implementation of curbside recycling and unit-based pricing policies, researchers have studied these two methods as well as recycling behaviors of individuals and communities. This chapter will provide an analysis of the literature on people’s recycling behaviors, curbside recycling, and unit-based pricing. Recycling Behaviors by Individuals and within States Individuals. The first study to explore human behaviors in relation to recycling was in 1989 when De Young examined how recyclers and non-recyclers varied in attitudes and behaviors. Assuming that non-recyclers had negative attitudes about recycling, he used a telephone survey composed of 92 people along with actual observations of 2,266 residences to conduct his research. De Young (1989) found that recyclers actually did not vary from non-recyclers. Both had similar scores on prorecycling attitudinal, extrinsic motivation, trivialness, and frugality scales but scored differently on the perceived difficulty scale. He determined that the most important factor to increase recycling was familiarizing people with the proper ways of carrying it out (De Young, 1989). Yet, at the time of De Young’s study, recycling was a relatively new policy, so his results may be different if the same study was conducted today. Aside from De Young, there have been several other researchers interested in how people feel about recycling and how they react to it. Oskamp et al. (1991) examined attitudes, behaviors, and knowledge as predictors of recycling in Ontario, California. They conducted a telephone survey to examine the correlation between participation in curbside recycling and knowledge, attitudinal variables, and behavioral variables. However, by using a telephone survey, Oskamp et al. 9 (1991) only received a 27% response rate. This created a volunteer bias in the sampling data, which may have affected the interpretation of the results. Nevertheless, Oskamp et al. (1991) argued that convenient recycling increased recycling rates, so curbside recycling programs would increase recycling. Table 1 shows their findings along with the findings of several other studies. Table 1 Determinants of Recycling Programs Authors Oskamp et al. (1991) Study Area Ontario, CA Variable Income Type of dwelling Derksen & Gartrell (1993) Alberta, Canada Know someone who recycles Concern for environment Rural Convenient recycling program Type of dwelling Reschovsky & Stone (1994) Jakus et al. (1996) Tompkins County, NY Williamson County, TN Married High education Storage space Knowledge of drop-off center Bag/tag program Bag/tag program + mandatory recycling + curbside pickup Well-informed Know someone who recycles Storage space Generation of recyclables Age Time Note: i Low correlation (r=.07) ii Increased recycling for glass, cans, plastic, and cardboard; no effect on newspaper Result More likely to recycle with higher incomes More likely to recycle in single-family house More likely to recycle Small impact on recyclingi Less likely to recycle More likely to recycle More likely to recycle in single-family house More likely to recycle More likely to recycle More likely to recycle with ample storage More likely to recycleii No effect on recycling 23% increase in newspaper; 37% increase in glass More likely to recycle More likely to recycle Less likely to recycle with small storage Less likely to recycle if not enough recyclables are generated More likely to recycle glass if older Less likely to recycle if it takes too much time 10 Oskamp et al. (1991) determined from their results that campaigns should focus on promoting recycling rather than promoting an environmental conscience, specifically targeting people who do not live in single-family homes. However, other researchers found that promoting a general environmental conscience is more effective in increasing recycling rates (Derksen & Gartrell, 1993; Khator, 1993). From results concluded by Oskamp et al. (1991), the most successful curbside recycling programs are located in residential areas with single-family homes and high house values. Derksen and Gartrell (1993) examined the impacts that social context has on recycling in Alberta, Canada. Edmonton provided curbside recycling while Calgary did not provide any recycling opportunities to residents. Like Oskamp et al. (1991), Derksen and Gartrell (1993) assumed that inconvenience and lack of knowledge inhibited recycling. Therefore, they thought that the convenience of a curbside recycling program would increase recycling rates. Derksen and Gartrell (1993) found that urban residents and people living in single-family homes were more likely to recycle than rural residents and people in non-single family homes (see Table 1). However, the strongest predictor of recycling was having access to a convenient recycling program (Derksen & Gartrell, 1993). Therefore, curbside recycling programs were effective in increasing recycling rates in urban areas and in areas with single-family homes. In one of the more recent studies on recycling behavior in individuals, Feldman and Perez (2012) examined people’s preferences to policy instruments. They argued that deposit schemes had greater public support than fine schemes. Deposit schemes place an additional fee on an item at the time of purchase, but the consumer can get that amount back by returning the empty container for recycling. Fine schemes, on the other hand, 11 penalize residents for failing to recycle, otherwise known as criminal sanctions. Feldman and Perez’s basis for their hypothesis came from several economic and behavioral theories. First, they discussed the theory behind economic gains and losses in that people prefer gains to losses. They recognized that both the fine and deposit schemes represent losses, but the deposit scheme emphasized gaining at the time of returning the item for recycling while the fine scheme only represented losing. Feldman and Perez also cited McCaffery and Baron’s study as providing further support based on penalty aversion. According to McCaffery and Baron, “penalty aversion refers to situations in which people prefer bonuses over penalties, when the policies differ only in the form of presentation” (as cited in Feldman & Perez, 2012, p. 409). Feldman and Perez argued that the fine scheme was similar to a penalty while the deposit was similar to a bonus (Feldman & Perez, 2012). After conducting a web-based survey with 1800 participants, Feldman and Perez (2012) found that people preferred deposit schemes over fine schemes. They concluded that deposit schemes gave people more control and were more effective in providing incentives for people to recycle. They also found that legal intervention created a contradictory effect on recycling: it created a positive effect on non-recyclers who would not normally recycle and a negative effect on people who would normally recycle (Feldman & Perez, 2012). Therefore, using fines and mandatory recycling are not effective policies in increasing recycling rates. The studies discussed above were conducted in primarily urban areas where curbside recycling is effective (see Table 1). In rural areas, it is not cost effective to provide curbside recycling, so drop-off sites remain the viable option. Jakus, Tiller, and 12 Park (1996) studied recycling in rural Williamson County, Tennessee and determined that, like Oskamp et al. (1991), people were more likely to recycle if they knew someone who recycled (see Table 1). Furthermore, Jakus et al. (1996) found that people were willing to pay $4.12 per household to recycle glass but only $1.66 per household to recycle paper. While curbside recycling may not be effective in rural areas, Jakus et al.’s (1996) study shows that rural residents have some of the same characteristics as urban residents in recycling behavior. According to De Young (1989), Oskamp et al. (1991), Derksen and Gartrell (1993), and Jakus et al. (1996), curbside recycling is effective in urban areas with singlefamily homes and high incomes. As noted above, recycling is increased if people know someone else who recycles. Additionally, legal intervention and fine schemes are not effective policies for recycling (Feldman & Perez, 2012). States. Rather than looking at recycling behaviors by individuals like the above mentioned studies, Khator (1993) examined the strength of hypothesized predictors on states’ recycling measures. She tested hypotheses in four different models: political, economic, policy-perpetuation, and physical-factor. The political model examined the variables party control, public participation, policy participation, innovation, and local government discretion; the economic model examined the variables per capita income, financial difficulty, and expenditure per capita; the policy-perpetuation model examined the variables environmental commitment, per capita environmental expenses, environmental policy innovativeness, and environmental bureaucratic strength; and the physical-factor model examined the variables density and region. Khator found that the physical-factor model was the strongest in predicting recycling. States with high 13 population density and located in particular regions (i.e. North Atlantic and Great Lakes) within the United States showed more commitment to recycling. Khator (1993) noted that although these physical demographic factors are out of policy makers’ control, they can still be good predictors of where to locate effective curbside recycling programs (Khator, 1993). This further shows that curbside programs are more effective in urban areas. Curbside Recycling In 1982, before curbside recycling programs increased in the United States, Jacobs and Bailey (1982) conducted an experiment on 615 homes similar in size and value in different neighborhoods to determine the impact that promotions, incentives, and convenience programs had on recycling rates in Tallahassee, FL. After assigning homes to different groups (information only, penny-a-pound, lottery, weekly pick-up, and the control), Jacobs and Bailey (1982) recorded the amount of recyclables set out by each house on the first and third Saturdays of the test months. The lottery group, consisting of homes entered into a drawing to win $5 each collection day for recycling, increased by 11.34% in participation during the study period. It also increased new participation by 23% during the study. However, it had the greatest deficit at -10.66 cents per home once costs and revenues were determined. Yet, all groups showed deficit, even the control group that did not receive any treatments (Jacobs & Bailey, 1982). Jacobs and Bailey’s (1982) results showed that promotions, incentives, and convenience programs are effective in increasing recycling rates, but they are not cost effective. Therefore, policy makers should look to other means to increase recycling rates. One possibility is unitbased pricing. 14 Unit-Based Pricing According to Fullerton and Kinnaman (1996), unit-based pricing has several advantages and disadvantages. Unit-based pricing can reduce garbage, and it is fairer than the traditional means of disposal because each household pays for its use of the service. However, unit-based pricing programs have higher administrative costs and produce an incentive to illegally dispose of waste. Because of these disadvantages, the effectiveness of these programs is widely debated. In Minnesota, volume-based pricing or weight-based pricing is required if the local government unit charges waste generators for solid waste collection. Residents who self-haul solid waste, as many do in rural counties in Minnesota, do not have to pay to dispose of their trash at transfer stations and therefore do not face a monetary incentive to reduce solid waste. Local government units can be exempt from the variable-rate pricing requirement if they satisfy certain recycling requirements or have been exempt by the commissioner (Office of the Revisor of Statutes, n.d.c). However, according to Peder Sandhei, Principal Planner at the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency, many volumebased programs in Minnesota are ineffective because they do not have significant price differentials between can sizes (personal communication, April 24, 2013) . According to Skumatz (2008), effective price differentials between can sizes must be 60-80% in order to provide incentives to reduce the amount of waste thrown away. Skumatz also recommended that starting out with smaller container sizes like 20-32 gallons would be more effective than starting out with can sizes around 60-90 gallons. There have been five studies that examined the impacts of unit-based pricing on waste disposal. Fullerton and Kinnaman (1996) conducted a study in Charlottesville, 15 VA, focusing on a bag/tag based program. Their results indicated that the volume of bags decreased more than the weight thrown away after the implementation of unit-based pricing (see Table 2). In other words, residents compressed their waste to fit into fewer bags, increasing the density of each bag. Nevertheless, the unit-based pricing program was moderately effective in reducing waste and increasing recycling (Fullerton & Kinnaman, 1996). Miranda and Aldy (1998) studied the impacts of unit-based pricing in nine cities in California, Illinois, and Michigan. By looking at city data, they found that high unit prices and small container sizes improved waste reduction and recycling. However, not all nine communities experienced the same trend (see Table 2). Linderhof, Kooreman, Allers, and Wiersma (2001) studied the impact of weightbased pricing in the Oostzaan in The Netherlands and found that waste decreased by 56%. Some of the decreased waste resulted from residents taking their trash to other areas without weight-based pricing, but the majority of the waste decreased as a result of the residents buying less packaged products, using fabric shopping bags, using cloth diapers, composting, and recycling (Linderhof et al., 2001). Linderhof et al. (2001) also investigated whether the waste decreased as a result of illegal dumping but found it to be negligible. Dijkgraaf and Gradus (2004) also examined unit-based pricing in The Netherlands, but they studied all forms of unit-based pricing. They found that weightbased and bag-based (13 or 16 gallon bag) pricing systems reduced waste more than frequency-based (subscription) and volume-based (37 or 63 gallon can) systems (see Table 2). According to Dijkgraaf and Gradus (2004), these results were not caused by 16 illegal dumping or waste tourism. Their results also showed that the bag-based program had smaller administrative costs. Table 2 Effects of Unit-Based Pricing Researchers Study area Methods Sample size Program type Waste Reduction Increase recycling? Fullerton & Kinnaman (1996) Charlottesville, VA Household survey (before/after) 75 householdsi Bag/tag 14% waste reduction by weight; 37% reduction by volumeii 16% increase in weight Miranda & Aldy (1998) Downers Grove, IL City data NA Bag/tag 20% waste reduction 41-64% increase Miranda & Aldy (1998) Hoffman Estates, IL City data NA Bag/tag 37.6% waste reduction 41-64% increase Miranda & Aldy (1998) Woodstock, IL City data NA Bag/tag 20% waste reduction 41-64% increase Miranda & Aldy (1998) Grand Rapids, MI City data NA Bag/tag 22% waste reduction NAiii Miranda & Aldy (1998) Lansing, MI City data NA Bag/tag 50% waste reduction Yes Dijkgraaf & Gradus (2004) The Netherlands Municipality survey 538 municipalities Bag/tag 14-36% waste reduction iv Yes 17 Miranda & Aldy (1998) Glendale, CA City data NA Volume 20% waste reduction 60% increase Miranda & Aldy (1998) Pasadena, CA City data NA Volume No 70% increase Miranda & Aldy (1998) San Jose, CA City data NA Volume 20% waste reduction Yes Miranda & Aldy (1998) Santa Monica, CA City data NA Volume >6% waste reduction 30% increase Dijkgraaf & Gradus (2004) The Netherlands Municipality survey 538 municipalities Volume 6% waste reduction No Dijkgraaf & Gradus (2004) The Netherlands Municipality survey 538 municipalities Frequency 21% waste reduction 10% increase Linderhof et al. (2001) Oostzaan in The Netherlands Demographic survey, weighing of compostable waste (GFT) and solid waste (RST) 3459 households Weight 56% waste reduction NA Dijkgraaf & Gradus (2004) The Netherlands Municipality survey 538 municipalities Weight 50% waste reduction 21% increase in glass, paper, textiles Note: Not representative of the population; primarily single-family homes, higher incomes, homeowners, married couples, full-time workers ii 28% of this due to illegal dumping iii At the time of the study, Grand Rapids did not have recycling data because its recycling program was very new iv Municipalities that used a bag/tag program for both non-recyclable and compostable waste saw a 36% waste reduction. Municipalities that did not charge for compostable waste collection saw a 14% waste reduction. i 18 19 Finally, Callan and Thomas (1999) examined what influences adoption of unit pricing for waste disposal by communities in Massachusetts. Table 3 shows their results. Table 3 Determinants of Unit-Based Pricing Authors Callan & Thomas (1999) Study Area Massachusetts Variable Result Income Less likely in higherincome areas Housing value More likely in wealthier areas Education More likely in communities with high education levels Age Less likely in areas with relatively young or old residents Rural classification 20.3% less likely in rural areas Callan and Thomas (1999) stated that their study could be used to predict whether a community would adopt unit-based pricing. Their results are consistent with those found by Oskamp et al. (1991) and Reschovsky and Stone (1994). Curbside Recycling and Unit-Based Pricing Although unit-based pricing has not always been effective in reducing waste on its own, researchers have hypothesized that it is more effective when combined with a curbside recycling program. Five studies examined the effectiveness of unit-based pricing on reducing waste and enhancing recycling in several areas around the world. As noted above, Callan and Thomas (1997) studied the phenomenon in Massachusetts. They learned that unit pricing was effective in increasing recycling, but it was even more effective if accompanied with a curbside pickup program. However, because of differences in local government policies and structure, Callan and Thomas 20 (1997) argued that economic analyses on recycling cannot be used to determine a onesize-fits-all policy. Hong (1999) found that bag/tag based unit pricing increased recycling by 26.8% in South Korea, and it also reduced waste by 17.8%. She noted that her results could have been different if South Korea used a weight based program rather than a bag/tag based one. Like Fullerton and Kinnaman (1996), Hong (1999) also found that the bag/tag based program provided an incentive for people to compact their garbage into fewer bags. Yet, Van Houtven and Morris (1999) found that a bag/tag-based program in Marietta, GA was effective in reducing waste by 51% but not in increasing recycling. Jenkins, Martinez, Palmer, and Podolsky (2003) also found that unit-based pricing did not impact recycling. Additionally, Tsai and Sheu (2009) found a bag/tag-based pricing program in Taipei City, Taiwan to be effective in reducing waste by 22% but not in enhancing recycling. Tsai and Sheu (2009) also found that 60% of the waste reduction resulted from illegal dumping. The contradictory results of Hong (1999), Van Houtven and Morris (1999), Jenkins et al. (2003), and Tsai and Sheu (2009) appear to support Callan and Thomas’ (1997) argument that economic analyses on recycling cannot be used to create a one-size-fits-all policy. Of course, one of the elements of an effective program is cost effectiveness. According to Kinnaman (2006), neither unit-based pricing nor curbside recycling is cost effective. He analyzed several studies that performed economic analysis on unit-based pricing and curbside recycling and examined the administrative costs of those programs. He found that there are very low net benefits after costs are considered. Kinnaman (2006) suggested that instead of implementing programs with high administrative costs, it 21 makes more sense to charge residents the marginal cost of solid waste disposal, which he figured out to be $5.38-8.76 per ton. He argued this reduces administrative costs because it relies on infrastructure already in place for waste disposal. Additionally, he stated this prevents illegal dumping, which has been seen in cities that have adopted unit-based pricing (Kinnaman, 2006). While Kinnaman’s method accounts for the external costs of landfills (odor, sight, emission of greenhouse gases, etc.), it relies on filling up landfills as the method of disposal. In a finite planet, this method is not sustainable even if it does consider the environment. The key, then, is finding a solution that is sustainable while keeping administrative costs low. Discussion The literature presented several things to consider when designing a research project examining the effectiveness of recycling and waste management. First, curbside recycling programs were most effective in urban areas that had medium to high-income residents living in single-family homes (Derksen & Gartrell, 1993; DeYoung, 1989, Jakus et al., 1996; Oskamp et al., 1991). Second, mandatory recycling helped improve recycling rates when it was accompanied by a curbside recycling program and unit-based program (Reschovsky & Stone, 1994). Otherwise, mandatory recycling was not effective (Feldman & Perez, 2012). Third, curbside recycling programs and unit-based pricing were associated with high administrative costs. Fourth, unit-based pricing programs were effective in reducing waste or enhancing recycling when accompanied by a convenient recycling program, but they were not effective on their own. Fifth, weight-based programs were more effective in reducing waste and enhancing recycling, but they were 22 more expensive to run than bag/tag-based programs (Dijkgraaf & Gradus, 2004; Hong, 1999). Conclusion Throughout the world, researchers have been interested in examining the effectiveness of current waste disposal and recycling policies. While not all programs have shown effectiveness, they have shown effective and ineffective methods. Furthermore, studies have shown that people’s demographics and behaviors play a role in predicting whether they recycle or not. Communities with a strong environmental conscience have shown a higher likelihood of recycling and lesser likelihood to illegally dump garbage. Based on this review, communities with an environmental conscience, high population densities, curbside recycling, and unit-based pricing programs should have high recycling rates. 23 Chapter 3: Research Methodology This project served as an observational study of Minnesota’s waste management and recycling policies in all 87 counties. Several types of methods were used in this study including analyzing data from surveys and interviews. This section includes a description of the counties included in the research, discusses the instrumentation used, describes the variables studied, explains hypotheses included in the research, and provides a brief overview of the statistical tests performed. Counties The study area includes all of Minnesota’s 87 counties, which differ in terms of population size, location, population density, household median income, and median value of homes. Figure 1 shows a map of the study area. Figure 1. Map of Minnesota displaying county names. From Minnesota County MapMinnesota Map, by Digital Map Store, n.d. Retrieved from http://www.digital-topomaps.com/county-map/minnesota.shtml 24 The largest counties in terms of population size in Minnesota, according to the 2011 U.S. census, are Hennepin, Ramsey, Dakota, and Anoka, which are all located in the metropolitan region of Minnesota. Understandably, these are also the counties with the highest population density. However, they do not have the highest household incomes or household values. The counties with the highest household incomes include Scott and Carver with a median over $80,000. Scott and Carver are also the two counties with the highest median value of homes. For more detailed information, see Appendix A. While the study area includes all 87 counties, some counties receive different treatment in terms of management. For example, within St. Louis and Carlton counties lies the Western Lake Superior Sanitary District (WLSSD). The entire district includes the cities of Duluth, Cloquet, Carlton, Scanlon, Wrenshall, Hermantown, Proctor and Thomson, and the rural townships of Silver Brook, Thomson, Twin Lakes, Canosia, Duluth, Grand Lake, Lakewood, Midway, Rice Lake, and Solway (Western Lake Superior Sanitary District, n.d.). However, for SCORE reporting purposes, Carlton County reports on all of the cities included within its county while St. Louis County reports on everything within its county that is outside of the WLSDD boundary. For this reason, the WLSSD is viewed as a management district in this research and is treated as a county. Additionally, Pope County and Douglas County are managed together in the SCORE report and will thus be treated as one county for the purpose of this research project. Instrumentation Every year since 1991, all Minnesota counties have been required to report to the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency detailed information regarding their solid waste and 25 recycling policies and processes. Then, the information counties submit as part of a survey is summarized in the SCORE Report, which is then submitted to the Minnesota Legislature in odd-numbered years (Minnesota Pollution Control Agency, 2013). The present study used county data reported in the SCORE Reports from 1996-2011. Although data found on the MPCA website goes back to 1991, information on the variables included in this research could only be obtained from the MPCA records since 1996. The SCORE Reports provided valuable information on several variables included in the research: annual tons of residential recycling, cost of recycling programs, education costs, annual tons of MSW sent to resource recovery centers, annual tons of MSW sent to compost facilities, number of cities and townships per county that offer curbside recycling at least once a month, and county population served by residential curbside recycling. Because information was obtained on all 87 counties over a period of 16 years, this created a sample size of 1,392. Although the SCORE report proved to be a valuable resource for this study, it did not provide information on all variables included in the research. To obtain estimated population data by county dating back to 1996, information from the Minnesota State Demographic Center was used. Information on population density by county was taken from the 2000 and 2010 censuses, obtained through the U.S. Census American FactFinder. Population density by county for the remaining years was calculated by dividing the population data from the Minnesota State Demographic Center by the land area in square miles from the 2010 census. Other variables considered in the present study included the type of fee structure for waste disposal used in each county. There are two different types of fee structures 26 implemented for municipal solid waste: unit-based pricing (pay-as-you-throw) or annual fixed cost. Because this information was not available through the SCORE Report, the Survey for Environmental Services Officials was designed. It was used to obtain information on several variables related to the different fee structures: type of unit-based pricing (volume-based, frequency-based, bag/tag-based, weight-based, or none), number of municipalities per county engaged in unit-based pricing, and county population that is served by unit-based pricing. By using the survey, it could be better determined whether waste management and recycling policies affected residential recycling rates within the past 16 years. Because the survey asked respondents to indicate how long the various policies were in place, the answers could be used for multiple years, creating sample sizes of 816 to 896 (some counties left some questions blank, which is why there are various sample sizes on the Survey for Environmental Services Officials). Beyond unit-based pricing, the Survey for Environmental Services Officials also asked several questions about other variables assumed to impact residential recycling in Minnesota. The other variables gathered from the survey included resource recovery requirements, presence of organized pick-up for recycling and solid waste, presence of open market pick-up for recycling and solid waste, presence of a separate tax on solid waste like an environmental charge, and how waste management and recycling is prioritized within the county. For detailed information on these variables, see Appendix B. The Survey for Environmental Services Officials was sent to environmental contacts from each county. Contact information was found on the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency website (see Appendix B for a copy of the survey). Using that contact 27 information, environmental services officials were first e-mailed about the survey on May 20 and 21 of 2013 with a deadline of June 8, 2013. Reminders were sent out to those who had not responded two weeks after the first e-mails were sent. Noting that the response rate was quite low after the initial deadline, the deadline for the survey was extended to June 17, and reminders were sent out on June 13. Phone calls were also made during the week of June 10 to follow-up with respondents for clarification on responses. The extension of the deadline allowed for a response rate of 64%, meaning 56 out of 87 counties replied (see Appendix A for a list of the counties that responded). Variables Several variables were studied in this research. Table 4 lists and describes all of the variables included in the research. Table 4 Description of Variables Name Annual residential recycling rate County Year Number of years Type Dependent Independent Independent Independent Scale of Measurement Ratio Nominal Ratio Ratio N 1392 1392 1392 1392 Source SCORE Report SCORE Report SCORE Report SCORE Report Population density Independent Ratio 1392 Percent of county with access to curbside recycling programs Number of recycling drop-off sites Percent of MSW sent to resource recovery centers Percent of MSW sent to compost facilities Annual tons of MSW sent to landfills and processing centers Total annual MSW generated (includes recycled material) Annual amount spent on recycling programs Annual amount spent on educating the public Presence of volume-based pricing Independent Ratio 1392 Minnesota Demographic Center SCORE Report Independent Independent Ratio Ratio 1392 1392 SCORE Report SCORE Report Independent Ratio 1392 SCORE Report Independent Ratio 1392 SCORE Report Independent Ratio 1392 SCORE Report Independent Ratio 1392 SCORE Report Independent Ratio 1392 SCORE Report Independent Nominal 864 Percentage of county population served by volume-based pricing Independent Ratio 864 Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials 28 Presence of frequency-based pricing Independent Nominal 864 Percentage of county population served by frequency-based pricing Independent Ratio 864 Presence of bag/tag-based pricing Independent Nominal 880 Percentage of county population served by bag/tag-based pricing Presence of weight-based pricing Independent Ratio 880 Independent Nominal 864 Percentage of county population served by weight-based pricing Percentage of MSW required to send to resource recovery centers Presence of organized pick-up for recycling Percentage of county population served by organized pick-up for recycling Presence of organized pick-up for MSW Percentage of county population served by organized pick-up for MSW Presence of open pick-up for recycling Percentage of county population served by open pick-up for recycling Presence of open pick-up for MSW Independent Ratio 864 Independent Ratio 896 Independent Nominal 896 Independent Ratio 896 Independent Nominal 880 Independent Ratio 880 Independent Nominal 880 Independent Ratio 880 Independent Nominal 896 Percentage of county population served by open pick-up for MSW Presence of tax on MSW Independent Ratio 896 Independent Nominal 880 Percentage of county population served by tax on MSW How county board prioritizes waste management/recycling How environmental services official prioritizes waste management/recycling Independent Ratio 880 Independent Interval 816 Independent Interval 832 Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Survey for Environmental Services Officials Hypotheses This research project served to study several areas related to waste management and recycling policies. These hypotheses included: 1. H1: There is a difference in the average values reported for how county boards versus environmental service officials prioritize waste management and recycling. 2. H2: High population density will positively impact residential recycling rates. 29 3. H3: High county percentage of people with access to curbside recycling programs will positively impact residential recycling rates. 4. H4: High numbers of recycling drop-off sites will positively impact residential recycling rates. 5. H5: High county percentage of MSW sent to resource recovery facilities will negatively impact residential recycling rates. 6. H6: High county percentage of MSW sent to compost facilities will positively impact residential recycling rates. 7. H7: High tonnage of MSW sent to landfills and processing centers will negatively impact residential recycling rates. 8. H8:High percentage of MSW required to be sent to resource recovery centers will negatively impact residential recycling rates. 9. H9: High recycling expenditures will positively impact residential recycling rates. 10. H10: High education expenditures will positively impact residential recycling rates. 11. H11: High county percentage of population with unit-based pricing options (volume-based, frequency-based, bag/tag-based, and weight-based) will positively impact residential recycling rates. 12. H12: High county percentage of population with organized pick-up for solid waste and recycling will influence residential recycling rates, either negatively or positively. 30 13. H13: High county percentage of population with open market pick-up for solid waste and recycling will influence residential recycling rates, either negatively or positively. 14. H14: High county percentage of population with separate tax on MSW will positively impact residential recycling rates. 15. H15: High prioritization of waste management and recycling by county boards and environmental service officials will positively impact residential recycling rates. Statistical Analysis Several statistical tests were run, which will be explained in greater detail in chapter four. Briefly, these tests included paired samples t-test, Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test, and multiple linear regression. 31 Chapter 4: Results As discussed in the introduction of this thesis, the main goal of the study was to determine what variables negatively and positively impact residential recycling rates in Minnesota. Therefore, the majority of the analysis comes from using multiple linear regression. However, the paired-samples t test and Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test were used to examine hypothesis 1. Before the results of the analysis of the pairedsamples t test and multiple linear regression are examined, a description of the data is provided. Descriptive Statistics SCORE report data. Table 4 in chapter 3 provided an overall description of variables. In order to understand the characteristics of the data, it is necessary to examine descriptive statistics using measures of central tendency and measures of variability. Table 5 provides this information for the SCORE report data. Table 5 SCORE Report Data Descriptive Statistics SCORE report variable Residential annual recycling rate Percent of MSW sent to compost facilities Percent of MSW sent to resource recovery Population Population density Percent of people in county that N Mean Median Standard deviation Range Skewness 1392 12.18% 10.90% 6.41% 54.40% 1.30 1392 1.28% 0.00% 6.06% 61% 5.82 1392 12.93% 0.00% 19.84% 80% 1.33 1392 1392 59,589.54 127.53 22,794.00 27.72 139,642.26 425.19 1,165,621 3,398.60 5.81 6.14 1392 54.46% 61.05% 29.58% 114% -.47 32 have access to curbside recycling Number of recycling drop-off sites in county Annual tons of solid waste sent to landfills and processing centers Total annual solid waste generated (includes recycled material) Annual amount spent on recycling program Annual amount spent on educating the public 1392 14.69 10.00 28.90 272 7.72 1392 36,187.24 10,812.00 107,064.28 1,004,722 6.76 1392 65,259.97 21,450.00 182,291.81 1,624,519 6.44 1392 $172,632.37 $104,067.50 $219,106.52 $2,386,623 3.51 1392 $25,010.72 $5,590.00 $69,681.80 $1,598,331 10.38 The most common measure of central tendency is the mean, which is reported for each SCORE variable in Table 5. However, the mean is not very useful when the data is skewed. As is visible in the skewness column, all of the SCORE variables are skewed in some way. The majority are negatively skewed, but there is one positively skewed variable: percent of people in the county that have access to curbside recycling. In a normal distribution, the skewness in SPSS would read 0. Residential annual recycling rate, percent of MSW sent to resource recovery, and the percent of people in the county that have access to curbside recycling are only slightly skewed. The other variables that report skewness values greater than three are highly negatively skewed because the majority of the values are in the lower end of the range. In those cases, the median is more reliable as a measure of central tendency, which is also reported for each SCORE variable in Table 5. 33 When viewing descriptive statistics, measures of variability are also important. These show how spread out the data is. The range shows the difference between the maximum and minimum values in the dataset while the standard deviation shows the average amount of deviation between the individual values and the mean value. The standard deviations reported in Table 5 show that the values of each variable are highly spread out. Lower standard deviations would have indicated that the data did not have much spread. Another important piece of information that needs to be explained further is the range of the percent of people in the county that have access to curbside recycling. Table 5 reports a value of 114%. Because the variable is reported as a percentage, this indicates the maximum value is 114%. The reason for this high percentage could be related to two factors. The variable was calculated by dividing the estimated population in the county that has access to curbside recycling by the estimated population of the county and multiplying that value by 100. However, as was mentioned in chapter three, the estimated population values came from the Minnesota Demographic Center while the estimated population in the county with access to curbside recycling came from the SCORE Reports. Because the range of this variable is greater than 100%, it means that either the counties overestimated the population that had access to curbside recycling, the U.S. Census underestimated the population of the county, or it was a combination of the two. Survey data. Because the multiple linear regression equation uses data obtained from the Survey for Environmental Services Officials, it is necessary to also show descriptive statistics for that part of the dataset. Table 6 shows the results. 34 Table 6 Survey Data Descriptive Statistics Survey variable n Mean Median Range Skewness 81.00% Standard deviation 38.33% Percentage of county population served by volume-based pricing Percentage of county population served by frequency-based pricing Percentage of county population served by bag/tag-based pricing Percentage of county population served by weight-based pricing Percentage of MSW required to send to resource recovery centers Percentage of county population served by organized pick-up for recycling Percentage of county population served by organized pick-up for MSW Percentage of county population served by open pick-up for recycling Percentage of county population served by open pick-up for MSW Percentage of county population served by tax on MSW How County Board prioritizes waste management/recycling How environmental services official prioritizes waste management/recycling 864 67.75% 100.00% -.85 864 8.58% .00% 25.26% 100.00% 2.88 880 13.75% .00% 26.83% 100.00% 1.98 864 1.87% .00% 13.49% 100.00% 7.15 896 15.74% .00% 34.50% 100.00% 1.84 896 39.89% 28.00% 39.70% 100.00% .35 880 21.46% 8.00% 28.46% 100.00% 1.27 880 34.06% 2.40% 40.50% 100.00% .57 896 55.33% 66.00% 39.47% 100.00% -.27 880 47.67% 00% 49.29% 100.00% .09 816 6.84 8.00 2.06 9 -.77 832 8.67 9.00 1.67 8 -1.82 Compared to the SCORE data in Table 5, the data from the Survey for Environmental Services Officials is much less dispersed. This is partly because the majority of the variables in this part of the dataset were standardized into percentages. In this case, the mean is a better measure of central tendency for all of the variables except 35 percentage of county population served by weight-based pricing. This variable shows a skewness of 7.15, which means that it is negatively skewed. In the case of this variable, the median serves as a better measure of central tendency. Table 6 only shows the descriptive statistics for the ratio and interval level data obtained from the Survey for Environmental Services Officials. To examine the frequencies reported for the nominal level data, see Appendix C. Inferential Statistics While descriptive statistics are important for showing the characteristics of the sample or population, inferential statistics help make conclusions about the population that the sample represents. The paired-samples t test is an example of inferential statistics, which was used to study hypothesis 1: there is a difference between the average values reported for how county boards and environmental service officials prioritize waste management and recycling. Paired-samples t test. On the Survey for Environmental Services Officials, the last two questions asked the survey taker to rate how the county board prioritized waste management and recycling and how the person taking the survey prioritized waste management and recycling. The literature review discussed the impact that attitudes and beliefs can have on recycling. These questions were meant to analyze the effect of attitudes and beliefs on recycling from a county environmental official perspective rather than from the perspective of residents. Because these questions only asked about the ratings for the present year, this data was put into a separate spreadsheet in SPSS in order to avoid a great deal of missing data for the years 1996-2010. Additionally, this data allowed for the use of the paired-samples t test because both ratings were provided by the 36 same survey taker, and the ratings also applied to the same county. Using the pairedsamples t test, the null hypothesis states that there is no difference between the average values reported for how county boards and environmental service officials prioritize waste management and recycling. Table 7 shows the means of both variables. Table 7 Means of County Board and Individual Prioritization of Waste Management and Recycling Mean N Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean County board prioritization of waste management and 6.82 50 2.097 .296 8.62 50 1.701 .241 recycling for 2011 Pair 1 Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 Table 7 shows that the survey taker tends to prioritize waste management and recycling more than the county board. In order to test whether these results are significant, it is necessary to examine further output. Table 8 shows the results of the paired-samples t test. Table 8 Paired-Samples T Test Mean Pair 1 County board prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 - Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 -1.800 Std. Deviation 2.040 Paired Differences Std. Error 95% Confidence Mean Interval of the Difference Lower Upper .289 -2.380 -1.220 t -6.238 df Sig. (2tailed) 49 .000 37 The paired-samples t test shows that the mean difference between the two variables is -1.800. Since the alternative hypothesis (H1) was for a two-tailed test, the significance displayed is correct. This means that the null hypothesis that there was no difference between the two variables can be rejected at the 1% level of significance. In other words, there is 99% confidence that H1 is correct, but there is also a 1% chance of rejecting a true null hypothesis. In testing the paired-samples t test, it is assumed that the data comes from a normal population. Based on the Central Limit Theorem, it can be assumed that the distribution of sample means is approximately normal because the sample size is sufficiently large (each variable in this case was over 50). However, the Shapiro-Wilk and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests can test for normality. Table 9 shows the results. Table 9 Test for Normality between County Board and Individual Prioritization of Waste Management and Recycling Kolmogorov-Smirnova Statistic Difference in priorities between county board and individual .212 df Shapiro-Wilk Sig. 50 .000 Statistic .828 df Sig. 50 .000 a. Lilliefors Significance Correction In testing for normality, the null hypothesis states that the distribution is normal. Because of the low significance in both the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Shapiro-Wilk tests, there is reason to doubt the normality assumption. In other words, the null hypothesis would be rejected in this case at the 1% level of significance. However, the results of this test do not necessarily mean the paired-samples t test results were inaccurate. Using a nonparametric test that does not require the normality assumption 38 may yield the same results as the paired-samples t test. In order to test this, the same hypothesis can be run using the Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test. It does require that the differences in the sample be symmetric, but that is a more flexible requirement than the normality requirement. Table 10 shows the results of the Wilcoxon test. Table 10 Wilcoxon Test for Difference between County Board and Individual Prioritization of Waste Management and Recycling N Mean Rank Sum of Ranks Individual prioritization of Negative Ranks 0a .00 .00 waste management and Positive Ranks 32b 16.50 528.00 recycling for 2011 - County Ties 18c board prioritization of waste management and recycling for Total 50 2011 a. Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 < County board prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 b. Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 > County board prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 c. Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 = County board prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 According to Table 10, the mean rank for cases where individual prioritization is less than county board prioritization is 0 while the mean rank for cases where individual prioritization is greater than county board prioritization is 16.50. This would indicate that individual prioritization tends to be higher than county board prioritization, meaning the null hypothesis that there is no difference between the two variables would be rejected. Table 11 confirms this, showing that the null hypothesis can be rejected at the 1% level of significance. 39 Table 11 Significance of Wilcoxon Test Z Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) a. Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test b. Based on negative ranks. Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 - County board prioritization of waste management and recycling for 2011 -4.967b .000 The Wilcoxon Test showed that the results of the paired-samples t test were accurate even though there was reason to doubt the assumption of normality. Therefore, H1 can be accepted with 99% confidence. Multiple linear regression. In order to study H2 through H15, multiple linear regression was used. The first model tested only the variables retrieved from the SCORE Report while the second model combined the variables obtained from the Survey for Environmental Services Officials to show how the model changed when more information was supplied. Model 1: SCORE report variables. The model specification for Model 1 was: Y= β0 + β1(X1) + β2(X2) + β3(X3) + β4(X4) + β5(X5) + β6 (X6) + β7 (X7) + β8 (X8) + β9 (X9) +ε where Y= annual residential recycling rate X1=number of years X2=population density X3=percent of county with access to curbside recycling programs X4=number of recycling drop-off sites X5=percent of MSW sent to resource recovery centers 40 X6=percent of MSW sent to compost facilities X7=annual tons of MSW sent to landfills and processing centers X8=annual amount spent on recycling programs X9=annual amount spent on educating the public ε= error term Using SPSS, Model 1 was run to test its strength. Table 12 shows the strength of the model. Table 12 Model 1 Summary Model R 1 R Square .156 Adjusted R Square .024 Std. Error of the Estimate .018 6.3497 According to the model, only 2.4% of the observed variability in annual residential recycling rates is explained by the independent variables. This is a very weak model and implies that the independent variables are not linearly related to the dependent variable. However, the analysis-of-variance table says otherwise. Table 13 Analysis-of-Variance: Model 1 Model Sum of Squares Regression 1 df Mean Square 1383.923 9 153.769 Residual 55721.186 1382 40.319 Total 57105.109 1391 F Sig. 3.814 .000 The analysis-of-variance tests three null hypotheses: that there is no linear relationship in the population between annual residential recycling rates and the independent variables, all of the population partial regression coefficients are 0, and the 41 population value for multiple R2 is 0. According to Table 13, the null hypotheses can be rejected at the 1% level of significance. This means that there is some linear relationship between the dependent and independent variables. It also means that at least one of the population regression coefficients is not 0. The coefficients are provided by Table 14. Table 14 Coefficients of Model 1 Model 1 Unstandardized Coefficients B Std. Error 11.393 .579 .012 .038 (Constant) Number of years Percent of MSW sent .057 to compost facilities Percent of MSW sent -.009 to resource recovery Population density by -.003 county Percent of people in county that have access .019 to curbside recycling Number of recycling .025 drop-off sites in county Annual tons of solid 2.068E-006 waste sent to landfills Annual amount spent -1.836Eon recycling program 006 Annual amount spent 1.271E-007 on educating the public Standardized Coefficients Beta t Sig. Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF .009 19.683 .313 .000† .755 .942 1.061 .029 .054 2.004 .045** .965 1.036 .009 -.028 -1.017 .309 .913 1.096 .002 -.212 -1.755 .079 .048 20.662 .007 .086 2.748 .006*** .727 1.376 .015 .113 1.630 .103* .146 6.864 .000 .035 .443 .658 .116 8.626 .000 -.063 -1.911 .056 .654 1.529 .000 .001 .033 .974 .393 2.544 Note. Using 1-tailed test: * reject null at the 10% level of significance; ** reject null at the 5% level of significance; ***reject null at the 1% level of significance. Using 2-tailed test: †reject null at the 1% level of significance According to the results of the coefficients, the estimated regression equation would be written as: ̂ ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) The coefficients table tests the null hypotheses that the population partial regression coefficient for a variable is 0 and that the constant is 0. Using a two-tailed test, the null hypothesis for the constant can be rejected at the 1% level of significance. Based on the results, the variables that were not 0 were percent of MSW sent to compost facilities, ( ) 42 percentage of people in county with access to curbside recycling, and number of recycling drop-off sites. These were the only variables whose null hypotheses could be rejected based on hypotheses made in the methods chapter. Based on these results, H3, H4, and H6 predicted correctly in stating residential recycling rates would be positively impacted. Although these variables predicted correctly, they differ in confidence levels. While percentage of people in the county with access to curbside recycling has the most confidence in being accurate at 99%, the number of recycling drop-off sites has the least confidence in being accurate at 90%. Table 14 explained the significance levels in which to reject the null hypothesis for each variable. According to this model, all other variables either predicted incorrectly or did not contribute significantly. The variables that predicted incorrectly included population density and annual amount spent on recycling program. In the methodology chapter, it was shown that these variables would positively impact residential recycling rates. However, this model shows that they predicted negatively. Because the alternate hypotheses were directional in focus, the one-tailed test applied to these variables. Due to the negative sign displayed on the coefficients in the model, these results are not significant. Therefore, the null hypotheses stating that the coefficients for these variables are not different from zero cannot be rejected. The collinearity statistics of Model 1 show that multicollinearity could be a potential problem. Tolerances that are less than 0.10 and variation inflation factors (VIFs) higher than 10 signify a potential problem with multicollinearity. According to Table 14, there is one variable that could be causing multicollinearity: “population density by county.” Typically, the way to correct for multicollinearity is to omit the 43 culprit variable. However, doing so in this case would be erroneous because theory suggests that population density does have an impact on recycling rates. Because only one variable showed a low tolerance and high VIF, multicollinearity is not seen as a serious problem in this model. Table 15 shows the independent variables in Model 1 that are highly correlated with one another (Pearson correlation with absolute value greater than .6). It shows that population density is strongly correlated with three other variables, causing multicollinearity. Table 15 Independent Variables Strongly Correlated with Other Independent Variables in Model 1 Variable Population density by county Annual amount spent on educating the public Strongly Correlated with Number of recycling drop-off sites in county Annual amount spent on educating the public Annual tons of solid waste sent to landfills Annual tons of solid waste sent to landfills Pearson Correlation Sig. (1-tailed) .778 .000 .765 .000 .812 .000 .630 .000 Model 2: SCORE report and survey variables. In the second model, variables obtained from the Survey for Environmental Services Officials were added to Model 1. The model specification for Model 2 was: Y= β0 + β1(X1) + β2(X2) + β3(X3) + β4(X4) + β5(X5) + β6 (X6) + β7 (X7) + β8 (X8) + β9 (X9)+ β10(X10) + β11(X11) + β12(X12) + β13(X13) + β14 (X14) + β15 (X15) + β16 (X16) + β17 (X17) + β18 (X18) + β19 (X19) + β20 (X20) + β21 (X21) + ε where Y=annual residential recycling rate X1=number of years X2=population density X3=percent of county with access to curbside recycling programs 44 X4=number of recycling drop-off sites X5=percent of MSW sent to resource recovery centers X6=percent of MSW sent to compost facilities X7=annual tons of MSW sent to landfills and processing centers X8=annual amount spent on recycling programs X9=annual amount spent on educating the public X10=percentage of county population served by volume-based pricing X11= percentage of county population served by frequency-based pricing X12= percentage of county population served by bag/tag-based pricing X13= percentage of county population served by weight-based pricing X14= percentage of MSW required to be sent to resource recovery centers X15= percentage of county population served by organized pick-up for recycling X16= percentage of county population served by organized pick-up for MSW X17= percentage of county population served by open-market pick-up for recycling X18= percentage of county population served by open-market pick-up for MSW X19= percentage of county population served by separate tax on MSW X20=county board prioritization of waste management/recycling X21=environmental service official prioritization of waste management/recycling ε= error term Using SPSS, Model 2 was run to test its strength. Table 16 shows the results. 45 Table 16 Model 2 Summary Model R 1 R Square .466 Adjusted R Square .217 Std. Error of the Estimate .193 5.2950 Although still weak, this model shows that 21.7% of the observed variability in annual residential recycling rates is explained by the independent variables. Like Model 1, Model 2 also shows that there is some linear relationship between annual residential recycling rates and the independent variables according to the analysis-of-variance output in Table 17. Table 17 Analysis-of-Variance: Model 2 Model Sum of Squares Regression 1 df Mean Square 5297.093 21 252.243 Residual 19121.605 682 28.038 Total 24418.698 703 F Sig. 8.997 .000 According to Table 17, the null hypotheses indicating no linear relationship in the population between the dependent and independent variables, all population partial regression coefficients are 0, and the population value for multiple R2 is 0 can all be rejected at the 1% level of significance. This means that at least one of the population regression coefficients is not 0. The coefficients are provided by Table 18. 46 Table 18 Coefficients of Model 2 Model 1 Unstandardized Coefficients B Std. Error 21.009 1.401 -.033 .046 (Constant) Number of years Percent of MSW sent -.031 to compost facilities Percent of MSW sent .067 to resource recovery Population density by .006 county Percent of people in county that have access -.023 to curbside recycling Number of recycling .055 drop-off sites in county Annual tons of solid -2.386Ewaste sent to landfills 005 Annual amount spent 3.757E-007 on recycling program Annual amount spent 1.511E-005 on educating the public Percentage of county population with .022 volume-based pricing Percentage of county population with -.054 frequency-based pricing Percentage of county population with bag.008 tag-based pricing Percentage of county population with .016 weight-based pricing Percentage of solid waste county is required to send to -.037 resource recovery center Percentage of county population with .005 organized pick-up for recycling Percentage of county population with -.022 organized pick-up for solid waste Percentage of county population with open.035 market pick-up for recycling Standardized Coefficients Beta t Sig. Collinearity Statistics Tolerance VIF -.026 15.000 -.715 .000† .475 .896 1.116 .101 -.011 -.312 .755 .964 1.037 .019 .219 3.487 .001 .290 3.445 .003 .316 1.754 .080** .035 28.260 .013 -.102 -1.816 .070 .365 2.741 .031 .100 1.794 .073** .371 2.697 .000 -.546 -3.144 .002*** .038 26.243 .000 .017 .369 .712 .511 1.958 .000 .132 1.967 .050** .254 3.934 .008 .147 2.777 .006*** .411 2.430 .015 -.187 -3.578 .000 .422 2.371 .010 .038 .778 .437 .481 2.078 .021 .039 .735 .463 .397 2.517 .009 -.236 -4.135 .000*** .353 2.829 .009 .032 .543 .587 .326 3.066 .009 -.106 -2.328 .020† .559 1.789 .010 .237 3.508 .000† .251 3.978 47 Percentage of county population with openmarket pick-up for solid waste Percentage of county population with environmental charge on solid waste County board prioritization of waste management and recycling for all years Individual prioritization of waste management and recycling for all years -.073 .009 -.507 -7.751 .000† .268 3.727 -.006 .005 -.053 -1.213 .226 .608 1.644 .189 .149 .069 1.269 .205 .394 2.541 -.910 .166 -.250 -5.489 .000 .553 1.807 Note. Using 1-tailed test: ** reject null at the 5% level of significance; *** reject null at the 1% level of significance. Using 2-tailed test: †reject null at the 1% level of significance According to the results of the coefficients, the estimated regression equation would be written as: ̂ ( ) ( ( ) ) ( ( ) ) ( ( ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ) ( ) ( ( ) ) ) ( ( ( ) ) ) ( ( ( ) ) ( Similar to Model 1, the null hypothesis that the constant is 0 can be rejected at the 1% level of significance using a two-tailed test. Table 19 shows the variables that were statistically different from 0. Table 19 Model 2 Variables Statistically Different from 0 Variable X2 X4 X7 X9 X10 X14 Name Population density Number of drop-off sites Annual tons of MSW sent to landfills and processing facilities Annual amount spent on educating the public Percentage of county population served by volume-based pricing Percentage of MSW required to be sent to resource recovery centers Corresponding Hypothesis H2 H4 H7 H10 H11 H8 ) ) 48 X16 Percentage of county population with organized pick-up for solid waste Percentage of county population with open-market pick-up for recycling Percentage of county population with open-market pick-up for solid waste X17 X18 H12 H13 H13 The variables listed in Table 19 were the only ones whose null hypotheses could be rejected based on hypotheses made in the methods chapter. Based on these results, H 2, H4, H10, and H11 predicted correctly in stating that residential recycling rates would be positively impacted. In other words, as X2, X4, X9, and X10 increase, so do residential recycling rates. H7 and H8 also predicted correctly in assuming that residential recycling rates would be negatively impacted, which means that as X7 and X14 increase, residential recycling rates decrease. Furthermore, H12 and H13 predicted correctly in stating that residential recycling rates would be impacted in some way. Since X 16 and X18 have negative coefficients, as these variables increase, residential recycling rates decrease. X 17 has a positive coefficient, meaning that as it increases, so do residential recycling rates. According to Model 2, all other variables either predicted incorrectly or did not contribute significantly. The variables that predicted incorrectly included percent of MSW sent to resource recovery, percentage of people with access to curbside recycling, percentage of county population with frequency-based pricing, and environmental service official prioritization of waste management and recycling. According to the hypotheses shown in the methodology chapter, it was predicted that percent of MSW sent to resource recovery centers would have a negative impact on residential recycling rates while the other three variables would have a positive impact on residential recycling. However, the model 49 shows that the opposite is true. Because the hypotheses for these variables were directional, the one-tailed test applied. Yet, because the wrong sign was displayed on the coefficients, the null hypotheses for these variables had to be accepted at the 10% level of significance, meaning these coefficients are not different from zero. In Model 2, the collinearity statistics showed that multicollinearity could also be present based on two variables: “population density by county” and “annual tons of solid waste sent to landfills.” However, omitting these variables would also be erroneous based on theory. Furthermore, this does not represent a serious problem with multicollinearity since only two variables raised questions. Table 20 shows the variables that are strongly correlated with each other (Pearson correlation with absolute value greater than .6). Both of the variables causing multicollinearity appear on the table. Table 20 Independent Variables Strongly Correlated with Other Independent Variables in Model 2 Variable Population density by county Percent of MSW sent to resource recovery Number of recycling drop-off sites in county Annual amount spent on educating the public Percentage of county population with openmarket pick-up for recycling Strongly Correlated with Annual tons of solid waste sent to landfills Annual amount spent on educating the public Percentage of solid waste county is required to send to resource recovery center Percentage of county population with weightbased pricing Annual tons of solid waste sent to landfills Percentage of county population with openmarket pick-up for solid waste Pearson Correlation Sig. (1-tailed) .967 .000 .788 .000 .688 .000 .608 .000 .744 .000 .712 .000 Alternative models. Three multiple linear regression models were run in order to determine the best model to use for Model 2. The first alternative model tested every 50 variable found in Model 2 with the exception of county board and individual prioritization of waste management/recycling. This resulted in a significant F test but lower R square value of .129, meaning only 12.9% of the variability in residential recycling rates was explained by the independent variables. The second alternative model added in the variables of county board and individual prioritization of waste management/recycling but only included those values for 2011 (since the Survey for Environmental Services Officials was done in 2013, the values were first input into the most recent year to align with variables from the SCORE report in order to avoid making a large assumption that the attitudes of environmental services officials remained the same from 1996-2011). However, this resulted in the variable “number of years” becoming a constant, forcing SPSS to delete it from the analysis. This test resulted in an insignificant F test (.564) even though it had a stronger R square value of .447. Due to the results of the F test, this model would not have provided an in-depth analysis for looking at how variables influenced residential recycling rates. The third model tested all of the variables indicated in Model 2, which was the model that was chosen due to its significance and strength. It should be noted that this model included the variables of county board and individual prioritization of waste management/recycling by extending those values reported in 2011 in the second alternative model to 1996, assuming that attitudes of environmental services officials did not change from 1996-2011. Therefore, the results of Model 2 are accurate as long as there were no attitudinal shifts during that time span. Because this assumption is most likely not the case, the results of Model 2 should be read with that in mind. 51 Chapter 5: Discussion Reducing the amount of solid waste produced by humans is important in order to achieve sustainability on Earth. Recycling is one method of diverting solid waste from landfills and incinerators, thereby preserving space for future generations. As discussed earlier, several counties in Minnesota are having a difficult time meeting the required recycling goals of 35% outside of the metropolitan area and 50% within the metropolitan area. This study aimed to find which variables negatively and positively impacted residential recycling rates in order to suggest areas that counties could improve in. The literature review pointed out that areas with curbside recycling and unit-based pricing had higher recycling rates. Additionally, curbside programs were more successful in highly populated areas with medium to high-income residents in single-family homes. If Minnesota followed world-wide trends, then the percentage of people with access to curbside recycling, percentage of people with unit-based pricing, and population density would have positively impacted residential recycling rates. Paired-Samples T Test In the methodology chapter, it was hypothesized that there was a difference in the average values reported for how county boards versus environmental service officials prioritized waste management and recycling. The paired-samples t test and Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test confirmed that the hypothesis was accurate with 99% confidence. In both tests, it was shown that environmental service officials had higher ratings on average than county boards. This finding is noteworthy for several reasons. First, environmental service officials may have provided higher ratings for themselves because they wanted to appear superior to the county board on a psychological level. 52 Second, this result could mean that while environmental service officials are highly dedicated to their positions, county boards have too many other responsibilities to consider recycling and waste management a top priority. Finally, it could be a mixture of these two reasons or other reasons. While both reasons are plausible, the second reason carries heavier implications with it. If county boards are weighed down with too many responsibilities, thereby pushing recycling and waste management to a low priority, this could be a reason for some counties being unable to meet the recycling requirements. This could also be a reflection of the attitude and ideology of the county administrator. For example, conventional wisdom and political theory have shown that Republican leaders tend to prioritize business over the environment while Democrat leaders prioritize the environment over business. Even though county environment positions are nonpartisan, the ideologies of county officials could still affect their actions. While these variables were not explored in this thesis, these could very well be impacting residential recycling rates as well as county board prioritization of waste management and recycling. Multiple Linear Regression Model 1. Model 1 tested linearity between annual residential recycling rates and variables obtained from the SCORE Report. Although it was very weak, it did show that some variables were linearly related to annual residential recycling rates. The variables that contributed the most to the model were percentage of MSW sent to compost facilities, percentage of people with access to curbside recycling, and number of recycling drop-off sites. Each of the three variables correctly predicted that annual residential recycling rates would be positively impacted. 53 Based on this model, Minnesota slightly followed global trends. A prediction was made based on the literature review theorizing that a high percentage of people with access to curbside recycling would positively impact annual residential recycling rates. The reasoning behind this was that when people are presented with a convenient method of recycling, they tend to recycle more. However, the literature review also pointed out that curbside recycling programs were more successful in areas with high population, so it was predicted that population density would have a positive impact on annual residential recycling rates. Yet, the model showed that population density had a negative impact on the dependent variable, meaning that as population density increased, annual residential recycling rates decreased. This suggests that, when statistically controlling for the presence of curbside recycling programs in Minnesota, high population density leads to lower recycling rates. It could mean that where curbside recycling programs are readily available in highly populated areas, people are choosing not to recycle. Nevertheless, the evidence from this model, unlike Model 2, implies that population density does not improve residential recycling rates. The model also showed that the percentage of MSW sent to compost facilities positively impacted residential recycling rates. The original theory behind this hypothesis was that if counties were inclined to send MSW to compost facilities, they had a higher environmental conscience and would be more likely to push recycling. However, composting can also be thought of as a step higher than recycling, so if a county is composting, then they are also most likely recycling. This finding from Model 1 shows that this train of thought makes sense. 54 Model 2. Model 2 also tested linearity between annual residential recycling rates and variables obtained from the SCORE Report, but it also added in variables obtained from the Survey for Environmental Services Officials. It was significantly stronger than Model 1 but still weak overall. In this version of the model, the variables that were significant included population density, number of recycling drop-off sites, annual tons of MSW sent to landfills and processing centers, annual amount spent on educating the public, percentage of county population with volume-based pricing, percentage of MSW counties are required to send to resource recovery, percentage of county population with organized pick-up for MSW, and percentage of county population with open-market pick-up for MSW and recycling. The only variable that was significant in both models was the number of recycling drop-off sites. In all variables that proved to be significant to the model, the rate at which they changed the dependent variable was very minimal. This means they did not have a large impact on the dependent variable. In the methodology chapter, it was thought that sending large amounts of MSW to landfills and processing centers, including being required to send large amounts to resource recovery, would have a negative effect on residential recycling rates. Model 2 showed that this was a correct assumption. This finding could mean that there are recyclable materials currently being thrown away into landfills or sent to incinerators. This would certainly cause lower recycling rates. However, some counties, such as Beltrami County, have contractual obligations with resource recovery centers in that they are required to send a certain percentage of their waste to those centers. This provides a disincentive to recycle due to stricter penalties for not meeting the contractual obligations 55 versus not meeting county recycling goals. Nevertheless, requiring recyclable materials to be recovered prior to landfilling or incineration would improve recycling rates. Some counties are currently doing this by using machinery to recover metals. However, certain recyclable materials like plastic are not as easily removed by machines. Hence, it is necessary to look at other ways of improving recycling rates. As mentioned earlier, the variable “number of recycling drop-off sites” was significant in both models. Based on this finding, one of the ways counties can improve residential recycling rates is by increasing the number of drop-off sites. Essentially, increasing the number would make it more convenient for people to recycle, especially rural people. However, this may be too costly for some counties. According to the model, increasing the amount spent on educating the public could also improve residential recycling rates. While the variable “annual amount spent on educating the public” was significant at the 5% level of significance, the magnitude of its slope coefficient (.00) indicated that it did not affect the dependent variable as much as other variables such as the percentage of people with volume-based pricing (.02). Model 2 showed that as the percentage of people with volume-based pricing increased, so did residential recycling rates. Therefore, counties could improve residential recycling rates by increasing the number of people required to throw MSW away through volume-based pricing. However, as was mentioned in the literature review, counties could also improve the effectiveness of volume-based pricing by increasing the price differential between the different sizes of cans. Improving the effectiveness of volume-based pricing would likely have a positive impact on residential recycling rates. 56 There were four variables that required the use of the two-tailed test because it was unclear how they would impact residential recycling rates. Three of those variables were significant in the model. These included percentage of people with organized pickup for MSW, percentage of people with open-market pick-up for recycling, and percentage of people with open-market pick-up for MSW. As was shown in Table 18, percentage of people with organized pick-up for MSW and percentage of people with open-market pick-up for MSW had a negative impact on residential recycling rates while percentage of people with open-market pick-up for recycling had a positive impact. Increasing access to either method of pick-up for MSW would have the opposite effect on residential recycling rates. This could be a psychological issue in that when people are given a convenient method of disposal for waste, they will be less inclined to recycle. Nevertheless, it does not seem to matter which method of disposal people have access to; both types reduce residential recycling rates. In the case of organized pick-up vs. open-market pick-up for recycling, the type of method does matter. While percentage of people with organized pick-up for recycling was not significant in Model 2, percentage of people with open-market pick-up for recycling was. Furthermore, increasing the amount of people with open-market pick-up for recycling increases residential recycling rates. This finding indicates that it is not having access to a convenient recycling program that is important; rather, having the ability to choose a hauler is important. Of course, this does not mean that open-market pick-up for recycling is superior to organized pick-up for recycling. It simply means that giving people the option to choose a hauler seems to have a positive influence on the 57 amount they recycle. This is related to Feldman and Perez’ (2012) finding that giving people more control increased recycling rates. Limitations Although the author worked diligently to design a well-planned research project, there were several limitations to the study. First, the timeline of sending out surveys and receiving feedback was too short. This meant a lower response rate (64%) than what could have been achieved with more time. Additionally, it was unknown at the time of designing the survey that some of the contact information on county environmental officials from the MPCA website was outdated. This resulted in some county officials not receiving the survey until later in the study. The survey itself presented some limitations as not all county officials were clear on how to answer questions or knowledgeable about the policies within their county. This was mostly due to several policies being managed at the city level rather than the county level. Some of the data was limited as well. For example, the dependent variable residential recycling rates was a function of the residential recycled material divided by the overall waste collected, which included waste produced from the commercial and industrial sectors. Regression results may have been different if information on residential solid waste could have been obtained. Unfortunately, that was not a variable included in the SCORE report. Finally, as was mentioned in the introduction of the thesis, not all variables could be accounted for in the regression analysis. There are several variables, like environmental attitudes of Minnesotans, that would likely have an impact on residential 58 recycling rates. However, it was beyond the scope of this study to examine that type of information. Recommendations for Future Research Based on the results from this study, there are several areas recommended for future research. First, if this study was to be conducted again, it should incorporate data on environmental attitudes of Minnesotans. Based on the literature review, this was a key component that was missing in this research. The survey attempted to resolve the issue by asking county environmental officials to rank their priority on waste management/recycling. However, the officials do not represent the attitudes and believes held by county constituents. Therefore, finding a way to include this information would be crucial. Additionally, a continuation of this study would be to examine the issue from a household perspective, similar to the studies in the literature review. Knowing what the results are from the household perspective could help counties further improve residential recycling rates. Conclusions Three major conclusions can be drawn from this study. First, there was a significant difference between how county environmental officials prioritize waste management and recycling and how they felt county boards prioritize waste management and recycling. As noted in the discussion earlier, this could be a reason for counties not meeting current recycling goals. Second, the models tested using multiple linear regression were not superb predictors for annual residential recycling rates. Although they were significant, the addition of more variables could yield higher R square values. 59 Third, while the models were not very strong, they did provide some useful information, such as identifying variables that counties can look at to improve residential recycling rates. As the discussion noted, these variables included population density, number of recycling drop-off sites, annual tons of MSW sent to landfills and processing centers, annual amount spent on educating the public, percentage of county population with volume-based pricing, percentage of MSW counties are required to send to resource recovery, percentage of county population with organized pick-up for MSW, and percentage of county population with open-market pick-up for MSW and recycling. As mentioned at the beginning of this study, these results do not fully explain the dynamic between the independent and dependent variables. There are several other independent variables working together to explain annual residential recycling rates that could not all be captured by this thesis. Therefore, the results of this thesis should be used to suggest areas to improve in for struggling counties and not as a one-size-fits-all type of policy. 60 References Callan, S. J., & Thomas, J. M. (1997). 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Retrieved from http://www.wlssd.com/about_servicearea.php 63 Appendix A: Minnesota County Data, 2007-2011 County Population Population Density Median Household Income Median Value of Home Aitkin* 16,303 8.9 $41,301 $175,400 Anoka * 329,487 782.1 $69,139 $215,900 Becker * 32,422 24.7 $47,959 $169,300 Beltrami* 44,233 17.7 $43,989 $148,900 Benton * 38,357 94.2 $51,159 $165,800 Big Stone* 5,297 10.6 $44,438 $83,300 Blue Earth * 63,370 85.6 $48,911 $161,700 Brown * 25,926 42.4 $48,149 $122,400 Carlton * 35,141 41.1 $53,553 $163,300 Carver* 90,064 256.9 $82,710 $277,600 Cass 28,584 14.1 $43,042 $185,400 Chippewa* 12,383 21.4 $44,712 $94,900 Chisago* 53,334 129.9 $67,075 $224,700 Clay* 58,032 56.4 $52,108 $149,900 Clearwater* 8,654 8.7 $39,143 $117,300 Cook 5,213 3.6 $49,496 $240,600 Cottonwood 11,695 18.3 $43,111 $83,100 Crow Wing* 62,267 62.6 $45,853 $188,600 Dakota* 396,547 709 $73,723 $238,300 Dodge* 19,961 45.7 $66,216 $162,100 Douglas* 36,051 56.5 $48,436 $188,100 Faribault 14,690 20.4 $43,214 $87,300 Fillmore 20,946 24.2 $47,940 $137,000 Freeborn* 31,301 44.2 $43,447 $109,500 Goodhue* 46,051 61 $56,099 $188,000 Grant 6,055 11 $43,777 $102,600 Hennepin* 1,146,195 2081.7 $62,966 $244,100 Houston* 19,108 34.5 $53,017 $151,000 Hubbard 20,318 22.1 $45,733 $173,400 Isanti 37,910 86.8 $58,721 $196,400 Itasca* 44,955 16.9 $47,106 $151,900 Jackson* 10,326 14.6 $47,455 $97,000 Kanabec 16,344 31.1 $46,863 $162,000 Kandiyohi* 41,992 53 $49,915 $162,000 Kittson* 4,575 4.1 $50,049 $65,600 Koochiching* 13,365 4.3 $41,135 $102,500 Lac qui Parle* 7,298 9.5 $48,269 $80,300 Lake* 10,877 5.2 $47,450 $142,300 Lake of the Woods 4,085 3.1 $43,523 $130,100 La Sueur* 27,754 61.7 $58,074 $190,900 64 Lincoln* 5,898 11 $46,270 $77,400 Lyon* 25,716 36.2 $47,254 $137,600 McLeod* 36,719 74.6 $57,323 $166,200 Mahnomen 5,396 9.7 $39,385 $89,600 Marshall 9,519 5.3 $49,636 $87,500 Martin 20,821 29.3 $44,791 $98,800 Meeker 23,348 38.3 $51,929 $165,600 Mille Lacs* 26,095 45.6 $46,100 $163,100 Morrison 33,178 29.5 $46,054 $157,600 Mower* 38,985 55.1 $45,596 $108,300 Murray 8,729 12.4 $47,833 $88,100 Nicollet 32,471 73 $59,877 $170,000 Nobles 21,188 29.9 $45,552 $100,100 Norman 6,849 7.9 $43,333 $81,400 Olmsted* 142,934 220.8 $66,202 $173,000 Otter Tail* 57,442 29.1 $45,494 $161,400 Pennington 13,915 22.6 $45,007 $94,100 Pine 29,567 21.1 $44,463 $158,200 Pipestone* 9,572 20.6 $42,217 $87,100 Polk* 31,392 16 $49,257 $118,800 Pope* 11,013 16.4 $49,599 $150,500 Ramsey 506,608 3341.6 $52,713 $217,400 Red Lake 4,101 9.5 $47,719 $78,500 Redwood* 16,039 18.3 $45,177 $85,100 Renville* 15,834 16 $48,442 $97,700 Rice * 63,594 129.4 $59,533 $204,200 Rock 9,625 20.1 $44,510 $104,100 Roseau 15,769 9.3 $48,612 $101,300 St. Louis* 199,849 32 $45,399 $141,800 Scott* 128,447 364.5 $83,415 $263,100 Sherburne* 87,881 204.4 $71,819 $218,600 Sibley 15,219 25.9 $52,482 $148,100 Stearns* 149,337 112.2 $53,035 $172,600 Steele* 36,529 85.1 $57,290 $158,800 Stevens 9,703 17.3 $47,712 $119,100 Swift 9,852 13.2 $43,846 $94,600 Todd* 24,848 26.3 $44,202 $135,400 Traverse* 3,603 6.2 $44,773 $69,200 Wabasha 21,701 41.4 $52,346 $160,300 Wadena 13,820 25.8 $35,307 $117,600 Waseca 19,154 45.2 $52,357 $142,700 Washington* 235,802 619.7 $79,571 $257,200 Watonwan* 11,190 25.8 $49,307 $93,400 65 Wilkin 6,613 8.8 $51,957 $103,300 Winona* 51,394 82.2 $44,848 $160,200 Wright* 123,019 188.5 $69,674 $213,900 Yellow Medicine 10,446 13.8 $50,740 $98,500 Note: All data was retrieved from the U.S. Census Bureau using five year estimates from 2007-2011 with the exception of population density, which was obtained from the 2010 census. * denotes counties that responded to the Survey for Environmental Services Officials. WLSSD also responded but is not considered a county on the U.S. Census. 66 Appendix B: Survey for Environmental Services Officials You are invited to participate in a short 10-15 minute survey as part of data collection for a master's thesis at Bemidji State University. The purpose of the thesis is to study the impact of recycling and waste management policies on residential recycling in Minnesota from 1996-2011. Much of the data for the thesis is being obtained from the SCORE reports published by the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency. This survey is designed to gain further details about items presented in the SCORE report. Your participation in this survey is completely voluntary. Please indicate the county that you are reporting for. The 2012 SCORE reporting form discusses variable-rate pricing, also known as unitbased pricing, as an incentive to encourage residents to reduce the amount of waste they throw away. The four main categories include volume-based, frequency-based, bag/tagbased, and weight-based pricing: Volume-based involves the use of different sizes of collection containers. Residents are charged the price of the size of container(s) they subscribe to. Frequency-based can be administered in two different ways. In the first method, residents prescribe to a certain number of cans and are charged for that number whether the cans are full or not. In the second method, residents are charged based on the number of times they set their can(s) out for collection. Bag/tag-based involves the use of special bags or tags that are applied that residents throw their waste into. Residents are charged per bag or per tag. Weight-based involves the use of special cans that are weighed during waste pickup. Residents are charged for the weight of waste they throw away. Volume-based pricing 1A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement volume-based pricing? (If no, skip to 2A). Yes No 1B. Is the policy implemented county-wide? Yes No 1C. If not, how many municipalities engage in volume-based pricing? 1D. Please estimate the county population that is served by volume-based pricing. 1E. Please indicate the years that the policy has been implemented. 67 Frequency-based pricing 2A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement frequency-based pricing? (If no, skip to 3A). Yes No 2B. Is the policy implemented county-wide? Yes No 2C. If not, how many municipalities engage in frequency-based pricing? 2D. Please estimate the county population that is served by frequency-based pricing. 2E. Please indicate the years that the policy has been implemented. Bag/tag-based pricing 3A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement bag/tag-based pricing? (If no, skip to 4A). Yes No 3B. Is the policy implemented county-wide? Yes No 3C. If not, how many municipalities engage in bag/tag-based pricing? 3D. Please estimate the county population that is served by bag/tag-based pricing. 3E. Please indicate the years that the policy has been implemented. Weight-based pricing 4A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement weight-based pricing? (If no, skip to 5A). Yes No 4B. Is the policy implemented county-wide? Yes No 68 4C. If not, how many municipalities engage in weight-based pricing? 4D. Please estimate the county population that is served by weight-based pricing. 4E. Please indicate the years that the policy has been implemented. Resource Recovery 5A. Is the county required to send a percentage of its solid waste to a resource recovery center (i.e. incinerator)? Yes No 5B. Please estimate the percentage that the county is required to send. 5C. Please indicate the years that the county has been required to do so. Organized Pick-up 6A. Does the county engage in organized pick-up for recycling? Organized pick-up is defined as all neighborhoods or municipalities within the county having one collector or hauler; the collector or hauler picks up recycled material from a neighborhood on the same day. (If no, skip to 7A). Yes No 6B. Is organized pick-up implemented county-wide? Yes No 6C. If not, how many municipalities engage in organized pick-up? 6D. Please estimate the county population that is served by organized pick-up. 6E. Please indicate the years that organized pick-up has been implemented. 69 7A. Does the county engage in organized pick-up for solid waste? Organized pick-up is defined as all neighborhoods or municipalities within the county having one collector or hauler; the collector or hauler picks up solid waste material from a neighborhood on the same day. (If no, skip to 8A). Yes No 7B. Is organized pick-up implemented county-wide? Yes No 7C. If not, how many municipalities engage in organized pick-up? 7D. Please estimate the county population that is served by organized pick-up. 7E. Please indicate the years that organized pick-up has been implemented. Open-market Pick-up 8A. Does the county engage in open-market pick-up for recycling? Open-market pick-up is defined as residents finding their own collector or hauler. Under this program, residents living next door to each other could have different collection days. (If no, skip to 9A). Yes No 8B. Is open-market pick-up implemented county-wide? Yes No 8C. If not, how many municipalities engage in open-market pick-up? 8D. Please estimate the county population that is served by open-market pick-up. 8E. Please indicate the years that open-market pick-up has been implemented. 9A. Does the county engage in open-market pick-up for solid waste? Open-market pickup is defined as residents finding their own collector or hauler. Under this program, residents living next door to each other could have different collection days. (If no, skip to 10). Yes No 70 9B. Is open-market pick-up implemented county-wide? Yes No 9C. If not, how many municipalities engage in open-market pick-up? 9D. Please estimate the county population that is served by open-market pick-up. 9E. Please indicate the years that open-market pick-up has been implemented. Tax on MSW 10A. Does the county impose a separate tax on solid waste? An example of this tax would be a county environmental charge. (If no, skip to 11). Yes No 10B. Is the policy implemented county-wide? Yes No 10C. If not, how many municipalities impose the tax? 10D. Please estimate the county population that is imposed by the tax 10E. Please indicate the years that the policy has been implemented. 11. Please rate how the County Board prioritizes waste management and recycling on a scale of 1-10 with 1 being low and 10 being high: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12. Please rate how you prioritize waste management and recycling on a scale of 1-10 with 1 being low and 10 being high: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Thank you for taking the time to participate in this survey! If you would like more information about the study or wish to receive a copy of the completed thesis, please contact Katelyn Larsen at (218)-556-2737 or at [email protected] 71 Appendix C: Frequencies and Means Reported for Survey for Environmental Services Officials You are invited to participate in a short 10-15 minute survey as part of data collection for a master's thesis at Bemidji State University. The purpose of the thesis is to study the impact of recycling and waste management policies on residential recycling in Minnesota from 1996-2011. Much of the data for the thesis is being obtained from the SCORE reports published by the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency. This survey is designed to gain further details about items presented in the SCORE report. Your participation in this survey is completely voluntary. Please indicate the county that you are reporting for. 56 out of 87 counties responded; response rate=64% The 2012 SCORE reporting form discusses variable-rate pricing, also known as unitbased pricing, as an incentive to encourage residents to reduce the amount of waste they throw away. The four main categories include volume-based, frequency-based, bag/tagbased, and weight-based pricing: Volume-based involves the use of different sizes of collection containers. Residents are charged the price of the size of container(s) they subscribe to. Frequency-based can be administered in two different ways. In the first method, residents prescribe to a certain number of cans and are charged for that number whether the cans are full or not. In the second method, residents are charged based on the number of times they set their can(s) out for collection. Bag/tag-based involves the use of special bags or tags that are applied that residents throw their waste into. Residents are charged per bag or per tag. Weight-based involves the use of special cans that are weighed during waste pickup. Residents are charged for the weight of waste they throw away. *Note: Your county may have more than one form of unit-based pricing. Please indicate all types that your county operates. For example, if your county uses a combination of volume-based and frequency-based, please mark yes for both categories. 72 Volume-based pricing 1A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement volume-based pricing? (If no, skip to 2A). Yes 698 No 166 1B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by volumebased pricing. Mean: 67.75%; Standard deviation: 38.33% 1C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 29.6 27.8 24.1 24.1 20.4 18.5 18.5 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 14.8 13.0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 70.4 72.2 75.9 75.9 79.6 81.5 81.5 83.3 83.3 83.3 83.3 83.3 83.3 83.3 85.2 87.0 100 90 80 70 60 Frequency of volume-based 50 pricing (%) 40 30 Yes (%) No (%) 20 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 10 0 73 Frequency-based pricing 2A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement frequency-based pricing? (If no, skip to 3A). Yes 110 No 754 2B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by frequencybased pricing. Mean: 8.58%; Standard deviation: 25.26% 2C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 90.7 90.7 88.9 88.9 87.0 87.0 87.0 87.0 87.0 87.0 87.0 87.0 85.2 85.2 85.2 85.2 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 9.3 9.3 11.1 11.1 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 100 90 80 70 60 Frequency of frequency-based 50 pricing (%) 40 Yes (%) 30 No (%) 20 10 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0 74 Bag/tag-based pricing 3A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement bag/tag-based pricing? (If no, skip to 4A). Yes 303 No 577 3B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by bag/tagbased pricing. Mean: 13.75%; Standard deviation: 26.83% 3C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 67.3 67.3 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 65.5 63.6 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 32.7 32.7 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 34.5 36.4 80 70 60 50 Frequency of bag/tag-based 40 pricing (%) 30 Yes (%) No (%) 20 10 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0 75 Weight-based pricing 4A. Based on the definitions above, does your county implement weight-based pricing? (If no, skip to 5A). Yes 32 No 832 4B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by weightbased pricing. Mean: 1.87%; Standard deviation: 13.49% 4C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 96.3 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 120 100 80 Frequency of weight-based 60 pricing (%) 40 Yes (%) No (%) 20 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0 76 Resource Recovery 5A. Is the county required to send a percentage of its solid waste to a resource recovery center (i.e. incinerator, waste-to-energy center)? Yes 167 No 729 5B. Please estimate the percentage that the county is required to send. Mean: 15.74%; Standard deviation: 34.50% 5C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 83.9 83.9 83.9 83.9 82.1 82.1 82.1 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 78.6 78.6 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 17.9 17.9 17.9 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 21.4 21.4 90 80 70 60 Frequency of 50 resource recovery requirement (%) 40 30 Yes (%) No (%) 20 10 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0 77 Organized Pick-up 6A. Does the county engage in organized pick-up for recycling? Organized pick-up is defined as municipalities or the county contracting for collection, meaning each neighborhood, municipality, or the entire county has one collector or hauler; the collector or hauler picks up recycled material from a neighborhood/municipality on the same day. (If no, skip to 7A). Yes 588 No 308 6B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by organized pick-up. Mean: 39.89%; Standard deviation: 39.70% 6C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 35.7 35.7 35.7 35.7 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 33.9 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 64.3 64.3 64.3 64.3 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 66.1 70 60 50 Frequency of 40 organized pick-up 30 for recycling (%) 20 10 0 Yes (%) Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 No (%) 78 7A. Does the county engage in organized pick-up for solid waste? Organized pick-up is defined as municipalities or the county contracting for collection, meaning each neighborhood, municipality, or the entire county has one collector or hauler; the collector or hauler picks up solid waste from a neighborhood/municipality on the same day. (If no, skip to 8A). Yes 528 No 352 7B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by organized pick-up. Mean: 24.46%; Standard deviation: 28.46% 7C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 43.6 43.6 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 40.0 38.2 38.2 38.2 38.2 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 56.4 56.4 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 61.8 61.8 61.8 61.8 70 60 50 Frequency of 40 organized pick-up 30 for MSW (%) 20 10 0 Yes (%) Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 No (%) 79 Open-market Pick-up 8A. Does the county engage in open-market pick-up for recycling? Open-market pick-up is defined as residents finding their own collector or hauler. Under this program, residents living next door to each other could have different collection days. (If no, skip to 9A). Yes 458 No 422 8B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by open-market pick-up. Mean: 34.06%; Standard deviation: 40.50% 8C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 No (%) 50.9 50.9 49.1 49.1 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 47.3 Yes (%) 49.1 49.1 50.9 50.9 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 52.7 54 53 52 51 50 Frequency of open-market pick- 49 up for recycling (%) 48 47 46 45 44 Yes (%) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 No (%) Year 80 9A. Does the county engage in open-market pick-up for solid waste? Open-market pickup is defined as residents finding their own collector or hauler. Under this program, residents living next door to each other could have different collection days. (If no, skip to 10). Yes 714 No 182 9B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is served by open-market pick-up. Mean: 55.33%; Standard deviation: 39.47% 9C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 No (%) 23.2 23.2 21.4 21.4 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 19.6 Yes (%) 76.8 76.8 78.6 78.6 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 80.4 90 80 70 60 Frequency of 50 open-market pick40 up for MSW (%) 30 20 10 0 Yes (%) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 No (%) Year 81 Tax on MSW 10A. Does the county impose a separate tax on solid waste? An example of this tax would be a county environmental charge. (If no, skip to 11). Yes 420 No 460 10B. Please estimate the percentage of the county population that is imposed by the tax Mean: 47.67%; Standard deviation: 49.92% 10C. Only considering the years 1996-2011, please indicate the years that the policy has been in place No (%) 58.2 56.4 56.4 56.4 54.5 54.5 54.5 52.7 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 49.1 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Yes (%) 41.8 43.6 43.6 43.6 45.5 45.5 45.5 47.3 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 50.9 70 60 50 Frequency of Tax 40 on MSW (%) 30 Yes (%) 20 No (%) 10 Year 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0 82 11. Please rate how the County Board prioritizes waste management and recycling on a scale of 1-10 with 1 being low and 10 being high: 1 1 2 1 3 2 4 1 5 11 6 3 7 6 8 15 9 9 10 2 12. Please rate how you prioritize waste management and recycling on a scale of 1-10 with 1 being low and 10 being high: 1 0 2 1 3 0 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 5 8 10 9 11 10 22 25 20 15 Frequency County Board 10 Env. Official 5 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Prioritization of waste management/recycling rating 10