Recent developments in the family of funds in Mexico
Transcription
Recent developments in the family of funds in Mexico
Recent developments in the family of funds in Mexico February-March, 2013 Index I. Evolution of the family of funds in Mexico II. Characteristics of Current Investments III. Final Considerations The number of funds (SB’s) operated by each Afore in the mandatory defined contribution system, has evolved over time in order to adapt to structural changes The system started 1997 with a single fund operated by each AFORE: o SB1 for everybody In 2005 the single fund was divided into two SBs according to the age of the affiliate, so each AFORE operated for the first time funds with differentiated investment rules: o SB1 (most conservative fund): Age from 56 until retirement o SB2 (for the rest of the population): Ages 55 and younger 3 …(cont) In 2008 the family was enlarged up to five SB’s, refining the fund targeted for younger age workers o SB1 (most conservative fund): Age 56 and older o SB2: Ages between 46 and 55 o SB3: Ages between 37 and 45 o SB4: Ages between 27 and 36 o SB5: 26 and younger The affiliates are sent to a default SB according to their age. When they grow older they are transferred to 4 another SB with more conservative investment rules Since November 2012 the number of SB’s each AFORE has to operate was reduced from 5 to 4 Each fund is targeted to a specific age group of the population The investment limits are more flexible for younger people 3.5 yrs Returns SB4 SB4 12.79% SB3 SB3 11.55% SB2 15% SB1 SB2 10.40% Commodities SB1 8.98% 0.7% 1.1% Reits and PE Equity International debt Local debt 1.4% 2.1% Risk limit In 2012 the target age of the two most conservative SB’s was adjusted. Thus, SB1 manage resources of people from 56 until 5 retirement and the SB2 targets ages between 46 and 59 there has been a number of variables that has influenced the structure of the family of funds 1 Rapid growth of AUMs 2 Demographics of the system: Constant changes in the absolute and relative sizes of each SB 3 Need to foster sustainably competitive returns and diversification 4 Better match between affiliates profiles and alternatives of investments available 5 Specialization of Afores in asset and risk management 6 Contribute to develop financial markets and product innovation 6 High growth creates a challenge to diversify. Funds’ assets under management (AUMs) have grown at an annual rate of 20% during the last 10 years The annual growth pace of AUMs during the past 10 yrs was near 20% AUMs represent 12.8% of GDP 14 2,500 2.5 12.4 10.9 12 10.6 Activos Netos AUM as % ofcomo GDP% del PIB 9.6 7.0 7.3 7.7 8 6.4 5.3 1,000 1.0 5.6 6 4.6 1,903 3.7 1,967 1,566 4 1,385 2.6 0.5 500 1,151 2.0 1.3 0 0 0.2 6.2 1997 56.7 1998 108 1999 164 2000 % of GDP 1,500 1.5 10 Porcentaje del PIB MXN Trillions Miles de millones de pesos Activos de las Siefores AUM asNetos in MXN 2,000 2.0 12.8 248 323 402 479 588 724 831 937 2 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Ene-13 Source: Consar AUMs slightly surpassed US $145 billion (1.9 MXN Trillions) 7 The demographics of the system was the cause to merge SB5 and SB4 Final Distribution, after the merger of SB5 and SB4 43.38 45.00 45.41 43.04 40.00 (Billion Dollar) Assets Under Management 50.00 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 30.4% 31.8% 30.1% 10.96 10.00 5.00 - Age 7.7% 0.59%1 Basic SB1 60 or more 2.33% Basic SB22 Between 46 & 59 2.44%3 Basic SB3 Between 37 & 45 2.31%4 Basic SB4 36 or younger Years old The changing net inflows of the SB5 inhibited its long term allocation due to potential short term demand for liquidity that arises when transferring aging people among funds 8 At the same time with a family of funds it is possible to better pursuit the mandates written down in the law A B C Capital protection − The investment rules are more conservative for people nearer to retirement − Can allow specific assets and forbid others that may not be good for some fund profiles − Less volatility of valuations during financial turbulences Adequacy of pensions may be improved − The family of funds gives room to optimized life cycle glide path that increase replacement rates − Can exploit the comparative advantage of long term horizon of some investors to extract liquidity premium − Longer term investor are less vulnerable to short term market risk Economic wellbeing − The specialization of investments makes more likely to finance more types of economic projects, helping to create jobs, increase productivity and competitiveness The use of default options to assign affiliates to specific funds within the family renders support to A and B above 9 With the family of funds it has been easier to specialize the investment rules to foster diversification and returns and thus rise expected replacement rates 3 1 2002-2003 Private Debt Securities and Derivatives 1997 Governmental and Bank Debt Securities. 2 2005 Equity Investments And International Markets. 2007-2008 Private equity, REITS, Stock Picking And IPO´s 2012 5 Investment grade New Cycle Funds structure Focus on potential leverage through derivatives 4 2011 More FX and eligible countries Commodities, Investment mandates Mutual funds 10 Capital protection was the reason to mandate in 2012 the creation of a new SB specialized in the payment of programmed withdrawals Some resources from the SB1 will be sent to a new SB0, depending on the nature of the accounts. The SB0 will manage the following resources: o Private sector workers that have the right to retire only under the Social Security Law of 1997 (DC scheme) o Public sector affiliates that have the right to retire only under the Law of ISSSTE of 2007 (DC scheme) o Retirees that chose programmed withdrawals Thus the SB1 will invest the resources of private sector workers that can opt for the DB social security law of 1973 The investment regime of SB0 will limit more the potential market risk exposure than the corresponding rules for the SB1, since by construction the latter has a financial immunization (DB scheme) 11 Index I. Evolution of the family of funds in Mexico II. Characteristics of Current Investments III. Final Considerations Each SB has to follow specific and differentiated investment rules, creating a type of life cycle family of funds 13 The current investment rules allow most assets classes used by international pension funds The rules allow also for a variety of investment mechanism: Mandates, Funds, Funds of funds, Derivatives, ETFs, in addition to direct purchases Assets classes Debt FX Equity REITS and PE ABS Commodities 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 14 A more flexible and specialized investment regime has led to a process of diversification of investment portfolios Last 2 yrs 8.4% 13.4% 3.5% 8.7% 2.3% 1.9% 9.2% 3.5% 17.3% 17.6% 60.2% 54.0% Government securities Figures as of December 2012 Domestic debt REITs and PE Domestic Equity International debt International equity 15 50 ene-00 may-00 sep-00 ene-01 may-01 sep-01 ene-02 may-02 sep-02 ene-03 may-03 sep-03 ene-04 may-04 sep-04 ene-05 may-05 sep-05 ene-06 may-06 sep-06 ene-07 may-07 sep-07 ene-08 may-08 sep-08 ene-09 may-09 sep-09 ene-10 may-10 sep-10 ene-11 may-11 sep-11 ene-12 may-12 sep-12 ene-13 Porcentaje …Mainly away from Government securities (only as a percentage of AUM, not in absolute terms) Government securities holdings by Afores 100 95 90 85 Diciembre 2009 69.8% 80 75 2012 70 Enero 54.27% 65 60 55 Figures as of January 31, 2012 16 …Into longer maturity assets EVOLUTION OF WAM (in days) SBs –WAM in days WAM 12.71 yrs 7.5 yrs Governmemt debt SBs Figures as of January 31, 2012 Source: CONSAR- VICEPRESIDENCIA FINANCIERA. 17 …allowing the exploitation of the foreign securities limit (written down in Law) Foreign securities holdings 11.89% 20% Used = 11.89% Limit = 20% Room available= 8.11% The Law establishes a maximum limit of 20% of AUMs for foreign securities holdings. This is a serious constraint to long term diversification Figures as of January 31, 2012 18 …in tandem with less concentration in Mexican peso denominated securities Holdings of securities denominated in eligible FX 12.93% 30% Used = 12.93% Limit= 30% Room available = 17.07% The maximum exposure to FX is 30% of AUMs. This should not be mistaken by foreign securities limit (currency risk vs issuer risk) Figures as of January 31, 2012 19 1 yr. gross returns And the differentiation in the exploitation of the investment possibilities has led to important differences in returns (measure at this point at 3.5 yrs) 17.5% 17.0% 16.5% 16.0% 15.5% 15.0% 14.5% 14.0% 13.5% 13.0% 12.5% 12.0% 11.5% 11.0% 10.5% 10.0% 16.82% 14.76% 14.65% 13.21% 10.84% SB1 B1 Sistema (60 yrs and older) Figures as of January 31, 2012. SB2 B2 Sistema (46 to 59 yrs) Sistema SB3 B3 (37 to 45 yrs) SB4B4 Sistema (36 yrs and younger) 20 Index I. Evolution of the family of funds in Mexico II. Characteristics of Current Investments III. Final Considerations Another advantage of the design of the family of funds in Mexico is that it helped to protect more the capital of the fund for people nearer to retirement in comparison to the rest 8.0% 6.15% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 1.05% Average -1.77% 0.0% -0.53% -2.0% -2.27% -4.0% SB1 (56 yrs and older) -3.61% SB2 (46 to 55 yrs) SB3 (37 to 45 yrs) SB4 (27 to 36 yrs SB4 26 yrs and younger 22 The investment portfolios of Afores would be more resilient to past crisis than a concentrated portfolio en Government debt ‐1.6% ‐1.2% Tequila crisis ‐10.3% ‐13.6% Russian Crisis ‐4.7% ‐4.2% ‐5.4% ‐5.1% Iupward shift of 100 bp in Iterm structure ‐3.8% FX Shocks Down (Todas) 10% ‐3.5% ‐3.8% ‐3.2% Asian crises September 11 ‐3.3% ‐2.9% ‐0.4% ‐0.3% ‐16.0% ‐14.0% ‐12.0% ‐10.0% VaR at 97.5% ‐8.0% Investment Portfolios ‐6.0% ‐4.0% ‐2.0% FX Shocks Down (USD) 10% 0.0% Government securities However, under the current circumstances where interest rates may start to increase, the most conservative fund is the most vulnerable due to its concentration in debt instruments Afore 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 TOTAL SB1 ‐2.15% ‐2.39% ‐2.55% ‐2.60% ‐2.32% ‐0.31% ‐2.74% ‐2.59% ‐3.45% ‐1.18% ‐2.41% ‐2.82% ‐2.55% ‐2.55% SB2 ‐0.58% 0.41% ‐1.97% ‐1.60% ‐1.04% 0.46% ‐1.35% ‐1.72% ‐1.05% 0.14% ‐0.78% ‐2.35% ‐1.96% ‐1.37% SB3 ‐0.38% 0.38% ‐1.85% ‐1.41% ‐0.70% 0.88% ‐1.11% ‐2.04% ‐0.46% 0.43% ‐0.88% ‐2.25% ‐2.17% ‐1.34% SB4 ‐0.19% 0.88% ‐1.75% ‐1.24% ‐0.10% 1.18% ‐0.83% ‐1.90% 0.61% 1.17% ‐0.49% ‐2.21% ‐2.30% ‐1.13% Afore ‐0.54% 0.51% ‐1.88% ‐1.47% ‐0.44% 0.69% ‐1.12% ‐1.91% ‐1.39% 0.44% ‐0.83% ‐2.30% ‐2.14% ‐1.37% The scenario consist of 100 b.p. parallel upward shift in the term structure, a 10% appreciation of the Mexican peso and a rise of 10% in 24 the Mexican stock market. Even though the scenario might be unrealistic the moral holds higher concentration of debt CONSAR continues to use two regulatory approaches in order to tackle with increasing complexity of investment portfolios A more flexible investment regime may lead to higher potential complexity Focused on market, liquidity and credit risk limits Prudential regulation Foster best practices, avoid conflict of interests, and develop asset managers corporate governance and skills Rik managemnt skills Investment regime: - Complexity of portfolios + And thus it will be required better skills of asset managers 25 To optimize the replacement rates is necessary an efficient management of pension resources For this purpose is necessary to implement a dynamic approach There are two traditional views o Life cycle investment: follow a glide path, where the portfolio rebalances over time in order to get exposure to market risk reduced as termination is nearer o Life style investment: keep constant the absolute level of market risks (in practice this is only up to some point at which afterwards exposure to risks is reduced) A family of funds helps to get closer to an optimal design o Asset managers can strike different balances between returns and risk that will fit the heterogeneous profiles/preferences of affiliates o Thus the main financial risks can be tackled according to the different profiles of affiliates 26 …(Cont) o For longer term investors, that is, young affiliates, the main risks are credit and inflation o For short term investors or people closer to retirement, the liquidity and market risks are more relevant, and inflation and credit become second order of importance Diversification will play an important role o It is a kind of self insurance: the opportunity cost you pay in bull markets helps to protect you in bear markets. o For good diversification is not enough to look at correlations o Assets classes are neither synonymous of diversification but very often are considered as basic building elements for this goal o True diversification requires to find out the determinants of (long term) returns The regulator ought to consider freeing the investment rules further 27 …(Cont) Robust risk management is the best tool to tackle with challenging times like the current one o Strong corporate governance: Make asset managers to define and follow an integral approach in the decision making, to define robust processes to execute relevant tasks and ensure that internal checks and balances exists o Make assets managers to get directives, guideline and support from a essential committees like risk, investment, best practices, and ethics o Align the interest of asset managers with those of affiliates, incentivize compensation schemes of managers and operators with long term objectives, and foster transparency and accountability o Ensure that the asset managers have the appropriate human capital, systems, information and infrastructure (systems) to perform effectively activities and execute authorized strategies Strengthen the Risk Based Supervision pillar Support programs to increase the financial education of affiliates 28 What can be done in the short term with looming scenarios There are no recipes and the macroeconomic adjustment will continue for a time. Therefore, it might be helpful to remember the following: o Pension funds should try not to overreact to negative valuations, and try to avoid herd behavior. Conversely, if fundamentals are sound there will be opportunities to take advantage of long term nature of resources o Pension funds must have a sound liquidity management policy in place. o Pension funds must have the skills to analyze/invest in alternative real assets o Defensive financial strategies must be used responsibly by pension funds (short selling, rotating fixed income towards equity, swaps of fixed for variable rates, etc.) o The seek for fundamental diversification must go on during turbuences o Potential pensioners may consider postponement of retirement or if they retire to use hybrid payment schemes (start with a programed withdrawal and later switch to an annuity- the latter are at this point expensive due to small discount rates) 29 Título Recent developments in the family of funds in Mexico February-March, 2013 ANNEX A more flexible investment regime opens the possibility to differentiate across type of SB’s as well as among Afores within each type of SB Observed levels Value at Risk (VaR) AFORE SB1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 System Regulatory Limit SB2 35.4 52.2 54.3 49.0 31.6 5.7 63.5 55.3 57.4 49.9 41.2 56.2 49.8 54.5 70.0 42.4 65.2 82.0 81.2 51.4 14.9 96.8 83.6 82.1 71.1 68.0 86.8 79.7 75.9 110.0 SB3 SB4 48.4 79.5 100.5 92.1 57.8 25.0 114.5 92.9 100.3 78.8 85.1 104.1 93.5 86.6 140.0 Total 54.7 87.5 122.1 111.9 69.5 36.9 144.8 112.0 112.4 94.8 105.5 127.7 112.2 107.3 210.0 43.4 79.3 98.5 85.7 64.7 21.0 118.7 91.8 80.1 80.7 81.3 102.5 91.8 85.5 N/A 2.1 Valor en Riesgo (VaR) 2.0 1.8 Básicas 1 Básicas 2 SB1 SB2 SB3 11 - ene - 2013 Básicas 4 Adicionales SB4 Límite 0.4 - Afore Voluntary Total MIN 1.2 0.8 0.8545 0.8961 1.0727 1.0956 0.8664 Básicas 3 0.3689 0.3073 0.1488 04 - ene - 2013 Figures as of January 31, 2012 0.9178 0.0566 0.2501 0.5844 0.3167 - 0.7767 0.3 0.6352 0.5381 Regulatory limit 0.6 0.7595 0.9 1.1873 1.4477 1.1452 0.9676 1.2 0.5452 Consumption the previous week and the last date 1.6 1.5 MAX 32 …(Cont) Weighted average maturity (in yrs) AFORE SB1 SB2 SB3 SB4 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Systm Max Min Figures as of January 31, 2012 7.2 8.8 8.4 10.6 6.7 2.7 12.2 9.6 13.1 8.7 8.2 12.1 9.1 10.0 13.1 2.7 6.1 6.5 11.2 13.0 8.9 2.2 13.9 10.8 14.0 11.3 10.3 13.6 11.8 11.3 14.0 2.2 7.1 9.6 12.4 14.2 10.3 3.2 16.6 12.0 17.4 12.9 12.7 14.8 13.2 12.9 17.4 3.2 8.2 10.0 13.0 17.1 11.0 3.9 20.2 13.0 18.3 15.7 12.5 15.7 14.2 14.2 20.2 3.9 7.3 9.0 11.9 13.4 10.4 2.9 17.0 11.6 14.6 12.7 11.5 14.5 12.6 12.4 17.0 2.9 33 …(Cont) Differential of CVaR applied on leverage through derivatives (B.P.) AFORE SB1 SB2 SB3 SB4 Total 1 - - - - - 2 3 15.0 8.2 4 5 - 6 - 8 9 2.2 2.5 13.3 7 - 10 11 12 13 System Regulatory Limit 27.0 24.9 37.7 30.8 - 0.7 16.7 25.3 - 9.1 7.8 0.4 14.9 7.1 25.0 2.5 20.5 36.0 7.9 11.4 31.4 26.3 19.0 40.0 7.6 23.9 45.1 35.2 29.1 60.0 69.6 43.0 1.0 4.5 36.8 53.8 6.6 44.3 68.7 51.1 44.2 85.0 44.7 28.5 2.0 25.0 35.8 7.5 24.4 45.0 35.5 28.7 N/A Diferencial Valor en Riesgo Condicional (∆CVaR) 0.9 0.9 0.6962 0.6 Básicas 1 SB1 - SB2 - Básicas 3 SB3 11 - ene - 2013 Básicas 4 Adicionales SB4 Límite Voluntary MIN 0.3093 0.0287 0.3 0.1355 0.0287 0.4722 0.3144 Básicas 2 04 - ene - 2013 Figures as of January 31, 2012 0.1904 0.2064 0.0705 - 0.0771 Regulatory limit 0.1499 0.2911 0.3 0.4420 0.4507 0.3140 0.2871 Consumption the previous week and the last date 0.6 0.4503 - Afore Total MAX 34 …(Cont) Equity limits and Afores holdings 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 System Regulatory Limit SB3 17.88% 26.56% 26.81% 25.23% 17.84% 11.96% 26.03% 28.53% 25.62% 26.98% 23.82% 27.36% 21.13% 24.64% 30.00% SB4 17.18% 32.01% 35.82% 32.31% 23.59% 17.23% 34.53% 37.91% 33.10% 36.03% 32.68% 36.50% 26.95% 32.45% 40.00% Total 15.33% 27.52% 27.45% 22.87% 20.38% 10.37% 26.01% 30.12% 25.50% 19.98% 23.62% 26.94% 20.65% 23.90% N/A Exposición en Renta Variable 40% 40% 35% 35% Regulatory limit 24.64% 25.20% 30% 25% 6.66% 10% 20.08% 15% 4.11% 20% 20.46% 25% 4.11% Consumption the previous week and the last date Porcentaje 30% 5% 23.90% 4 14.86% 23.17% 22.01% 20.94% 14.90% 7.54% 21.68% 23.80% 22.97% 21.59% 19.49% 22.17% 18.10% 20.08% 25.00% 24.39% 3 SB2 6.67% 2 2.68% 5.82% 4.65% 4.18% 4.50% 4.81% 4.73% 4.47% 3.99% 4.66% 3.84% 4.11% 5.00% 32.45% 1 33.15% SB1 AFORE 15% 10% 5% 0% 0% Básicas 1 SB1 Básicas 2 SB2 04 - ene - 2013 Figures as of January 31, 2012 20% Básicas 3 SB3 Básicas 4 SB4 11 - ene - 2013 Adicionales Afore Voluntary Total Límite Regulatorio 35 …(Cont) Government securities holdings SB1 AFORE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 System % 90% SB2 SB3 SB4 Total 84.0% 74.9% 67.9% 63.8% 83.2% 64.7% 60.4% 55.3% 71.9% 55.7% 51.0% 46.6% 63.9% 57.0% 54.0% 47.9% 80.2% 63.6% 60.0% 54.7% 70.7% 72.3% 60.5% 50.0% 80.2% 67.0% 62.1% 56.6% 62.9% 56.8% 50.5% 46.6% 67.1% 54.4% 51.4% 43.1% 63.6% 59.3% 51.0% 42.3% 66.1% 52.6% 43.8% 40.2% 62.4% 51.3% 47.9% 43.1% 64.1% 60.8% 58.2% 56.6% de66.8% Valores57.6% Gubernamentales 52.2% 47.9% 69.7% 59.8% 51.8% 55.1% 57.9% 63.9% 61.7% 52.3% 55.6% 52.0% 46.7% 48.3% 59.4% 53.8% 53.79% 53.55% 73.45% 47.91% 47.53% 52.25% 20% 51.96% 30% 57.61% 40% 57.48% 50% 66.83% 60% 66.93% 70% 73.53% 80% 10% 0% Figures as of January 31, 2012 SB1 1 Básicas SB2 2 Básicas SB3 3 Básicas 04 - ene - 2013 SB4 4 Voluntary Básicas Adicionales 11 - ene - 2013 Total Afore 36 …(Cont) FX denominated securities limits and Afores holdings SB1 AFORE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 System Regulatory Limit SB2 1.1% 1.7% 5.8% 3.9% 5.9% 2.5% 4.4% 2.4% 7.6% 2.4% 12.0% 4.7% 30.0% SB3 0.6% 9.8% 12.6% 13.0% 8.6% 6.5% 11.8% 12.8% 12.5% 11.5% 12.1% 7.0% 13.6% 11.4% 30.0% 0.8% 11.9% 17.5% 15.7% 10.2% 10.0% 12.0% 15.5% 12.6% 13.7% 13.7% 8.8% 15.0% 13.7% 30.0% SB4 0.5% 13.6% 22.3% 19.7% 13.2% 12.3% 14.6% 17.3% 16.7% 16.6% 18.6% 10.3% 16.0% 16.8% 30.0% Total 0.6% 11.9% 17.0% 14.4% 11.5% 8.6% 12.3% 15.1% 13.2% 10.1% 14.2% 8.2% 14.5% 13.2% N/A Exposición en Divisas 30% 16.97% 13.15% 13.17% 6.35% 20% 15% 5% 0% 0% Básicas 1 SB1 Límite Figures as of January 31, 2012 25% 10% 4.39% 16.91% 4.42% 5% 13.65% 17.52% Regulatory limit 13.68% 10% 11.38% 13.57% 15% 11.35% 20% 4.56% Consumption the previous week and the last date 4.67% 11.99% 25% 16.82% 22.28% 30% Básicas 2 SB2 Básicas 3 SB3 04 - ene - 2013 Básicas 4 SB4 Adicionales Voluntary 11 - ene - 2013 Afore Total MAX 37 …(Cont) REITs and PE limits and Afores holdings 12 13 System - 30.0% Consumption the previous week and the last date Posición en instrumentos Estructurados 20.00% Regulatory limit 0.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 20.00% 0.00% 3.68% 11 3.69% 9 10 2.5% 5.6% 2.5% 4.3% 3.6% 6.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 20.00% 0.6% 3.7% N/A 15.00% 0.05% 8 Total 0.05% 7 3.0% 6.6% 3.0% 4.5% 5.5% 7.3% 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 0.7% 4.4% 30.0% 4.45% 6 SB4 4.45% 5 3.0% 6.4% 3.0% 4.3% 4.5% 7.6% 3.0% 3.2% 3.7% 3.3% 5.4% 0.7% 4.5% 30.0% 4.53% 4 SB3 4.54% 3 2.3% 4.6% 2.7% 3.9% 2.4% 5.7% 2.7% 2.1% 3.1% 2.5% 3.1% 0.5% 3.1% 30.0% 3.08% 2 Regulatory Limit SB2 - 3.09% SB1 1 0.00% AFORE BásicasSB2 1 BásicasSB3 2 BásicasSB4 3 Básicas 4 Adicionales Afore SB1 Voluntary Total 04-ene-13 Figures as of January 31, 2012 11-ene-13 LIMITES 38 And the differentiation in the exploitation of the investment possibilities has led to important differences in returns (measure at this point at 3.5 yrs) SB1 Invercap PensionISSSTE Profuturo GNP Bancomer SURA Principal XXI-Banorte Banamex MetLife Azteca Afirme Bajío Coppel Inbursa Simple Avg Weigthed Avg 10.24% 9.84% 9.62% 9.16% 8.91% 8.86% 8.84% 8.65% 8.60% 7.21% 7.08% 6.99% 5.45% 8.42% 8.98% SB3 Figures as of January 31, 2012 Net return SB2 Net return Invercap PensionISSSTE Profuturo GNP SURA MetLife Principal Banamex XXI-Banorte Bancomer Azteca Coppel Afirme Bajío Inbursa 11.73% 11.27% 11.06% 10.96% 10.75% 10.73% 10.52% 10.48% 10.48% 9.13% 7.96% 7.69% 5.84% Simple Avg Weigthed Avg 9.89% 10.40% Net return SB4 Net return Invercap SURA PensionISSSTE MetLife Bancomer Profuturo GNP Banamex Principal XXI-Banorte Azteca Coppel Afirme Bajío Inbursa 13.52% 12.46% 12.21% 11.95% 11.86% 11.78% 11.72% 11.63% 11.39% 10.21% 8.41% 8.41% 6.35% Invercap SURA Profuturo GNP Banamex MetLife Principal Bancomer PensionISSSTE XXI-Banorte Azteca Afirme Bajío Coppel Inbursa 14.93% 13.99% 13.52% 13.45% 13.32% 12.99% 12.95% 12.45% 12.36% 9.95% 8.82% 8.70% 6.79% Simple Avg Weigthed Avg 10.91% 11.55% Simple Avg Weigthed Avg 11.86% 12.79% 39