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albanchez almeria information spain
Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean Countries Olive waste availability Date: 16/05/2016 Report Number: Version Number: Deliverable Number: Due Date for Deliverable: Actual Submission date Task Leader: WP 2 - Task 2.1 4 D 2.1 31/05/2013 16/05/2016 ISAFOM FFW is co-funded by the European Community Seventh Framework Programme for European Research and Technological Development (2012-2015) FFWaddresses “Liquid and gas Fischer-Tropsch fuel production from olive industry waste: fuel from waste” Start date: October 2012, duration: 3 Years Document Dissemination Level PP PU = Public PP = Restricted to other programme participants (including the Commission Services). RE = Restricted to a group specified by the consortium (including the Commission Services). CO = Confidential, only for members of the consortium (including the Commission Services). FFW Deliverable CL restricted CL confidential CL secret = Classified with the mention of the classification level restricted "Restraint UE" = Classified with the mention of the classification level confidential "Confidential UE" = Classified with the mention of the classification level secret "Secret UE" Document Information Title Lead Author Contributors Distribution Report Number Database o n o l i v e f a r m i n g a n d o l i v e i n d u s t r y i n t h e Mediterranean Countries - Olive waste availability. ISAFoM "[Click here and list Distribution]" "[Click here and enter Report Number]" Document History Date 31/05/2013 30/09/2014 28/07/2015 29/03/2016 Version 1 2 3 4 Prepared by GM,ER GM, MB GM, ER, MB VC, MB,GM Organization ISAFOM- UNIPG ISAFOM- UNIPG ISAFOM - UNIPG ISAFOM Notes Acknowledgement The work described in this publication was supported by the European Community’s Seventh Framework Programme through the grant to the budget of the FFW project, Grant Agreement Number 308733. Disclaimer This document reflects only the authors’ views and not those of the European Community. This work may rely on data from sources external to the members of the FFW project Consortium. Members of the Consortium do not accept liability for loss or damage suffered by any third party as a result of errors or inaccuracies in such data. The information in this document is provided “as is” and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose. The user thereof uses the information at its sole risk, and neither the European Community nor any member of the FFW Consortium is liable for any use that may be made of the information. © Members of the FFW Consortium 2 Summary Task 2.1 aims at identifying the main sources of biomass from the productive areas in the Countries under scrutiny and thus providing the necessary basis for the subsequent activities of the FFW project. For this purpose, the amount of available biomass from olive crop and olive oil production was estimated: 1) at the regional level for Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal by means of a survey managed through web and telephone call campaigns. A first database, named “Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: survey”, was developed containing the data gathered with the survey; 2) at the municipal level (1,025 local administrative units) for the Puglia (258 Comuni) and Andalucìa (767 Municipios) regions. A complementary database, named “Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: desk analysis” containing information on olive cultivated area, olive production, pruning, pomace, total biomass, biomass proximity index, consumption and gross generation of electricity, employment rate has been realised; Two Multi-Criteria Analysis have been realized, a) the first one, aimed at mapping the most suitable sites of possible locations for gasification plants using olive pruning and pomace as raw materials, was developed for Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal at the regional level on the basis of information collected by national and European statistical institutes. This analysis evidenced that Andalucìa in Spain and Puglia in Italy are the two most suitable regions both in terms of biomass production and as potential locations for gasification plants using olive pruning and olive pomace as raw materials; b) the second one for testing the dataset (point 2) and aimed at supplying a tentative and preliminary localisation analysis of suitable locations for gasification plants within Puglia and Andalucìa; this exercise produced a stable and robust ranking of the top 10 municipalities eligible for gasification plant localization in each of the two regions. 3 INDEX Summary ..................................................................................................................................................... 3 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................................... 7 Section I ........................................................................................................................................................ 8 2. The Survey and MCA analysis .................................................................................................................... 8 2.1. The questionnaires ............................................................................................................................. 8 2.2 Biomass availability estimation by Survey response ......................................................................... 10 2.3 Individuation of possible location of Gasification plant at regional level (MCA) .............................. 15 3. The geography of olive plantation and production: descriptive analysis based on official statistics ..... 25 Section II ...................................................................................................................................................... 37 4. A Dataset for the Localisation of Gasification Plants in Andalucía and Puglia ........................................ 37 4.1 Data and Variables............................................................................................................................. 37 4.2 Descriptive Outcomes........................................................................................................................ 41 4.3 A preliminary localisation analysis for gasification plants in Puglia and Andalucía .......................... 46 5. Conclusions .............................................................................................................................................. 49 6. References ............................................................................................................................................... 50 7. Annexes ................................................................................................................................................... 53 Annex 1 - Biomass availability estimation by Survey response: the methodology ................................. 53 Annex 2 – Farm Questionnaire ................................................................................................................ 56 Annex 3 – Mill Questionnaire .................................................................................................................. 61 Annex 4 –Simplified Farm Questionnaire ................................................................................................ 65 Annex 5 – Simplified Mill Questionnaire ................................................................................................. 74 Annex 6 – Data Bases Architecture ......................................................................................................... 80 Tables Index Table 1 Number of e-mail addresses, responses, rejected and skipped back emails rate Table 2 Pruning residues and pomace production in PORTUGAL Table 3: Pruning residues and pomace production in GREECE Table 4 Pruning residues and pomace production in SPAIN 4 Table 5 Pruning residues and pomace production in ITALY Table 6 Pedigree Matrix (from Weidema, Wesnæs, 1996) Table 7 Data quality assessment - Pruning - Italy Table 8 Data quality assessment - Pomace – Spain Table 9 MCA Italy data collected (Source data: ISTAT, EUROSTAT, ISMEA) Table 10 MCA Italy - Effects standardization settings Table 11 Weights of MCA for Italy Table 12 MCA PORTUGAL data collected (Source data: INE.pt) Table 13 MCA- PORTUGAL -Effects standardization settings Table 14 Weights of MCA for Portugal Table 15 MCA Greece - data collected (Source data: EL.STAT, EUROSTAT) Table 16 MCA Greece- Effects standardization Settings Table 17 Weights of MCA for Greece Table 18 Data from MCA Spain data collected (Source data: INE.ESP, EUROSTAT, and AICA: Agencia de Informacion y control alimentarios) Table 19 MCA Spain- Effects standardization Settings Table 20 Weights of MCA for SPAIN Table 21 Localisation index (LI) of olive plantations at region vs. country level Table 22 Harvested production of olive trees across regions (1000 tons) and concentration indexes (C4 and normalized Herfindal-Hirschman Index_HHI) Table 23 Descriptive Statistics at municipality level Table 24 – Multi Criteria Analysis, objectives and alternative weight sets Table 25 Results of the MCA analysis (ranking of municipalities) and sensitivity analysis, Puglia Table 26 Results of the MCA analysis (ranking of municipalities) and sensitivity analysis, Andalucía Table 27 Estimates of biomasses production – Pruning (tons/ha) Table 28 Estimates of the biomasses production – Pomace (tons/mill/year) 5 Figures Index Figure 1 MCA ITALY, weighted summation Figure 2 MCA Portugal weighted summation Figure 3 MCA Greece weighted summation Figure 4 MCA Spain, weighted summation Figure 5 Olive plantations in NUTS2 regions (Land Use, 1000 Hectares) Figure 6. Within-country specialisation in olive plantations (NUTS2 Regions) Figure 7: Olive tree yields (Tons per hectare) Figure 8 Harvested production of olive trees across region and concentration indexes Figure 9 MCA analysis Figure 10.1 Distributions of the key variables along municipalities in Puglia and Andalucía Figure 10.2 Cumulative Distribution Function for the Total Biomass: Puglia vs. Andalucía Figure 10.3 Cumulative Distribution Function for the Proximity Biomass Index: Puglia vs. Andalucía Figure 11. A procedure to estimate the production of biomass Figure 12. Farm Questionnaire Figure 13. Mill Questionnaire Figure 14. English Farm Questionnaire Figure 15. Greek Farm Questionnaire Figure 16. Portuguese Farm Questionnaire Figure 17. English Mill Questionnaire Figure 18. Greek Mill Questionnaire Figure 19. Portuguese Mill Questionnaire Figure 20. Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: survey Figure 21. Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: desk analysis 6 1. Introduction The main aim of this Task is to determine the amount of available olive waste that can be prepared to serve as an input to the synthesis process. The activities were organised in two stages: (i) (ii) Estimation of the amount of available olive waste in selected Mediterranean Countries with the aim of providing a dataset and identifying the most suitable regions for the localization of gasification plants using pruning and olive pomace as raw materials; Enhancement of the database created in stage (i) by means of data at sub-regional level as a starting informative basis for the analysis of biomass energy production plant localization at Municipal level in the regions identified in the previous step of analysis. The document is organized in two main sections: (i) The first section of the analysis has been focused on identifying the main areas of biomass production (olive pruning residues and two-phase and three-phase pomace) and on estimating the available biomass amounts. With respect to the geographic area of interest of FFW, there are not official primary data available on the olive and olive oil biomasses production. Thus two estimates of the biomasses availability were achieved by: a) A survey carried out at farm and mills level in Portugal, Spain, Italy, Greece, Turkey, Tunisia, Morocco and Algeria, followed by and estimation based on the survey results. A Multi-Criteria Analysis with the purpose of mapping the most suitable sites of possible locations for gasification plants was developed for Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal at regional level on the basis of information collected by national and European statistical institutes. In this former study Puglia, in Italy, and Andalucía, in Spain, were identified as the top two eligible regions both in terms of potential biomass production and as sites for localisation of gasification plants. (a). b) A desk analysis on Eurostat data at regional level aimed at validating the results obtained in point The second analysis (b) provided results consistent with the previous one (a); both identified Andalucia in Spain and Puglia in Italy as the two most suitable regions for a possible location of a future gasification plant using olive pruning and olive pomace as raw materials. (ii) The second section focused on Puglia and Andalucía and aimed at identifying the main areas of biomass production (pruning residues from olive crops and pomace) and of potential localisation of gasification plants within each of the two regions. This further analysis was focused at sub-regional level, providing data supporting the mapping of potential sites for localisation of gasification plants at intra-regional level providing also information on the biomass potential transportation costs. A user-friendly database containing all data used in the analysis and produced has been developed. 7 Section I 2. The Survey and MCA analysis To estimate the biomass availability is a difficult task. National statistical data from every target country show that olive yields vary significantly depending on the year, operating system, planting density, growing system, climate conditions and the alternation of production typical of the olive tree. Also the oil production and the proceeding biomass is affected by several factors such as the extraction system, the olive oil containt in the drupae, etc. In order to obtain information about farms and mills existing in the target countries, a questionnaire has been prepared, and e-mail addresses have been selected from stakeholders, professionals, and companies. Targeted countries: Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece, Turkey, Tunisia, Algeria and Morocco. The objective of our survey was to improve information about amount and localization of biomass wastes. In each targeted country e-mail addresses of olive growers and olive oil producers were collected. Namely, the e-mail database was created collecting addresses from: Information and Promotion web portals; Import-export web sites; Agricultural associations web sites; Sales portals (olive oil sale); International olive oil associative organizations web sites. 2.1. The questionnaires 2.1.1 The first questionnaire The questionnaire includes both parts dedicated to the farming system and olive oil production activities, selected by the respondents according to their activity. The questionnaire includes the usual items concerning personal information and contacts of the respondents. The farm-specific questions set concern the size of the farm and the olive growing system; pruning and harvesting methods adopted. The mill-specific questions concern with the type of extraction, working capacity of the plant, the production and management of mill wastes. The last common section is dedicated to the external energy inputs, to estimate, for instance, the ratio of production between Diesel and Natural Gas. (Information required by partner KTH). The text was drafted in different languages (Italian, English, French and Spanish) to reach all the countries targeted in the survey. 8 A small subsample of respondents to be interviewed was randomly selected in order only to test the questionnaire. Therefore 200 Italian, but also for testing 25 Moroccan and 25 Tunisian contacts (approximately 5% of the e-mail addresses were sampled for the pilot test). The pilot test was administrated by SurveyMonkey. The results of the test confirmed the adequateness of the questionnaire. Furthermore after a first telephonic contact with the Commercial Departments of the Embassy of the targeted Countries we asked to spread our survey to producers' associations and/or to olive and olive oil producers or to supply their e-mail addresses to us. The questionnaire was delivered to all the potential respondents by means of Survey Monkey, a platform for Web based surveys. To implement the visibility of the survey among the olive oil producers and farmers it has been created an account on “LinkedIn”, the social networking website for people in professional activities. Some olive and olive oil producers group such as Aceite de Oliva Virgen Extra, extra virgin olive oil, Importers of Food & Beverage, Olive Global Network, Olive Oil, Olive oil importers and distributors, Premium Extra Virgin Olive Oil, Spanish olive oil in the world, UC Davis Olive Center were joined on Linkedin. After the first e-mail campaign, 158 questionnaires were filled out (12 out of 170 contained useless information). Table 1 Number of e-mail addresses, responses, rejected and skipped back emails rate Italian Spanish French English total File Folder e-mail contacts web link e-mail contacts web link e-mail contacts web link e-mail contacts web link Sent 1404 1677 201 811 4093 Filled Response rate 108 7,69 2 48 2,86 1 4 1,99 1 10 1,23 12 170 21.5% of respondents were Spanish, 68,2% Italian, 3.3% Portuguese, 2.5% Greek, 2,5% Tunisian, 1% Moroccan and 1% Turkey.43,83% of respondents were olive farmers,30,25% were mills, 24,69% were both olive farm and mills. During the project, a reminding e-mail has been sent weekly to every contact that did not answer to the questionnaire. We have also been collecting new e-mail addresses with the helpful assistance of Italian Embassies in the target Countries (Commercial Offices), Target Countries Embassies in Italy and the International Olive Oil Council. 9 2.1.2 The second questionnaire To improve the size of the database, a simplified version of the questionnaires was designed and translated in Greek, Portuguese and English. Due to the low response rate registered for Turkey, Tunisia, Algeria and Morocco, the decision of focusing only on the European Countries has been taken. In the meantime, additional e-mail contacts and telephone numbers of olive farmers and olive oil producers and their associations were collected. The planned strategy was to address all farmers and millers’ associations directly by phone to ask them to transmit and spread our questionnaire towards their associates. We contacted 110 Portuguese and 151 Greek Associations among agricultural, production and rural development organization. To sustain the effectiveness of the contacts, Italians olive oil associations were also involved to help us in reaching the target countries, obtaining visibility in olive oil ambiances. Despite all these actions, the database did not increase its information as expected. Two different phone calls campaigns were therefore performed with farmers and millers with the contribution of two mother tongue interviewers for Greece and Portugal. A total amount of about 1000 new telephone numbers and e-mail contacts were collected from different sources on the web and also on the “paginasmarelas.pt” and “xo.gr”. The first step was to contact producers by e-mail to introduce the telephonic survey and the week later our interviewers started their activity. The sample of telephone numbers, and also the e-mail addresses, has been randomly collected on the internet. The phone call campaign allowed us to enforce the dataset with data proceeding from 60 mills and 40 farms from Greece, 50 mills and 18 farms from Portugal and 25 mills from Italy. 2.2 Biomass availability estimation by Survey response Starting from the Survey results, our approach is based on the estimation of the average yield of biomass (pruning and pomace). Referring the analysis to real production systems, we propose to estimate the biomass availability by determining the expected average yield: i.e. the case of pruning the probable yield of biomass per hectare of the agricultural area utilized in olive cropping, in the case of pomace the probable yield of biomass for mill. The full methodology is explained in Annex 1. The following Tables present the estimates achieved by the FFW survey (2013-2015) To be able to compare our estimation with the other data sources, we expressed the estimated pruning production proceeding from our estimates in 1000 tons of dry matter. 10 Table 2 Pruning residues and pomace production in PORTUGAL DISTRICT CENTRO ALENTEJO NORTE Faro Lisboa Area oliviculture (1000 ha) Pruning average Yield (tons/Ha) Estimated pruning production (1000 tons d.m./year) mills number Pomace average yield (tons/mill) EUROSTAT 2013 our estimation our calculation (average moisture content pruning 40%-D 2.3) INE.PT 2011 our estimation 174,2 1,3 140,56 107,0 1,3 7,18 120,4 1,3 82,7 1,3 8,9 0,7 1,3 97,15 271,0 66,73 125,0 0,5 2,0 Estimated pomace production (1000 tons/year) our calculation 1011,5 274,1 1011,5 6,0 108,2 1011,5 126,4 1011,5 2,0 1011,5 6,1 Table 3: Pruning residues and pomace production in GREECE REGION Eastern Makedonia Area oliviculture (1000 ha) Pruning average Yield (tons/Ha) Estimated pruning production (1000 tons d.m./year) EUROSTAT 2013 our estimation 15,1 1,87 our calculation (average moisture content pruning 40%D 2.3) 16,9 mills number MORE 2008 mv Central Makedonia 36,2 1,87 40,6 western Makedonia 0,2 1,87 0,2 Ipiros 23,0 1,87 25,8 mv Central Greece 98,1 1,87 110,1 mv Western Greece 59,2 1,87 66,4 28,0 1,87 mv 1,87 Thessalia Ionian islands Peloponnesus Attiki Northern Egeo Southern Egeo Kriti 32,0 42,0 196,2 mv 172,4 1,87 1,87 35,9 47,1 1,87 220,1 1,87 0,0 1,87 mv mv mv mv mv mv 31,4 mv 0,0 mv 193,4 mv 124 Pomace average yield (tons/mill) our estimation 0,0 Estimated pomace production (1000 tons/year) our calculation 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 1205,5 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 149,5 11 Table 4 Pruning residues and pomace production in SPAIN Region Galizia Principado de Asturias Area oliviculture (1000 ha) Pruning average Yield (tons/Ha) INE data 2012 0,0 0,0 Estimated pruning production (1000 tons d.m./year) Pomace Production (1000 tons/y) Pomace Production (1000 tons/y) Mills number Pomace average yield (tons/mill) our estimation our calculation (average moisture content pruning 40%-D 2.3) anuario de estadistica 2013 Report MORE July 2008 AICA our estimation 1,06 0,0 mv 1,06 0,1 0,2 mv mv mv 1,06 Cantabria 0,0 1,06 Comunidad Foral de Nabarra 5,5 1,06 Aragon 47,1 Castilla y Leon 7,3 1,06 262,2 1,06 Pais Vasco La Rioja Comunidad de Madrid 0,2 4,5 25,7 1,06 1,06 8,1 1,06 23,0 1,06 1514,5 Ciudad Autonoma de Ceuta 0,0 Region de Murcia Ciudad Autonoma de Melilla Canarias 0,0 0,1 5,2 mv 17 2463,0 41,9 2463,0 253,7 46,8 4 22 mv 121 2463,0 50,8 mv 133 2463,0 mv mv mv 20 251 196 9 5985,4 3961,6 819 1,06 0,0 mv mv mv mv 1,06 0,0 0,1 2463,0 290,1 mv 963,2 1,06 2463,0 2463,0 34,1 mv 0,0 2463,0 19 mv 9,9 mv 1,06 14,6 2463,0 our calculation mv mv 30,0 64,3 mv 2463,0 5,7 79,5 1,06 166,8 mv 4 103 366,1 4,6 mv mv 228,6 1,06 Andalucía 30,1 1,06 125,0 Illes Balears 2,9 30,0 mv 12,2 Cataluña 101,1 3,5 mv 16,3 359,4 Comunidad Valenciana 0,0 mv 1,06 Castilla-la Mancha Extremadura 0,0 Estimated pomace production (1000 tons/year) mv mv 2463,0 0,0 9,9 54,2 49,3 2463,0 618,2 2463,0 482,7 2463,0 298,0 327,6 22,2 2463,0 2017,2 mv 2463,0 0,0 mv 2463,0 43 mv 2463,0 2463,0 105,9 0,0 0,0 12 Table 5 Pruning residues and pomace production in ITALY Area oliviculture (1000 ha) Pruning (1000 tons d.m./year) Pruning (1000 tons d.m../year) Pruning average Yield (tons/Ha) ISTAT 2010 Report ANPA 11/2001 De Gennaro 2011 our estimation Piemonte 0,1 mv 0,0 1,6 Liguria 14,8 11,0 6,0 Trentino alto Adige mv 0,2 Region Valle D'Aosta Lombardia 0,0 2,4 mv 1,6 Virgin pomace average production (1000 tons/year) Virgin pomace production (1000 tons/year) Mills number Pomace average yield (tons/mill) Estimated pomace production (1000 tons/year) Report ISPRA 111/2010 Report UNAPOL 2011 De Gennaro 2011 ISMEA Giugno 2013 our estimation our calculation 0,1 0,0 mv 0,0 mv 1353,0 0,0 1,6 14,2 mv 5,5 10,2 2,2 0,2 1,6 0,0 0,5 mv 0,6 0,0 1,6 mv 1,0 Veneto 4,9 Toscana 93,1 98,0 34,6 Friuli-VeneziaGiulia 0,1 3,6 Virgin pomace production (1000 tons) 0,1 1,6 1,6 0,0 2,3 4,7 0,1 1,6 26,7 Emilia Romagna 1,6 3,2 1,0 1,4 1,6 3,1 44,7 62,0 20,1 1,6 42,9 Abruzzo mv 4,7 0,1 17,0 61,1 57,0 23,0 59,3 367 114,6 381 178,0 125,4 1,6 176,5 419,4 233,0 452,5 47,6 15,9 1,6 34,9 19,4 mv 28,4 Sicilia 158,5 36,4 152,8 64,8 1,6 152,1 mv 358 mv 11,8 92,1 13,4 117,8 mv 13,4 183,9 Sardegna mv 3035,0 mv Calabria 30,1 1353,0 mv 508,5 1,6 mv 2,8 11,7 244,0 10,6 0,0 218 465,5 35,0 1353,0 7,8 361,5 31,4 mv 80,9 1,6 Basilicata 0,0 26,0 175,3 69,2 1353,0 12,0 596,0 1,6 mv mv 26,3 376,7 35,5 13,0 mv Puglia 92,0 1,6 mv mv 13,6 72,1 8,2 8,0 mv Molise Campania 16,0 1,6 0,3 60,5 4,6 4,6 4,1 85,3 95,0 6,0 1,9 47,4 88,9 8,3 0,0 89,3 27,8 Marche 3,6 1,6 our calculation (average moisture content pruning 40%D 2.3) Umbria Lazio 31,5 2,0 1,6 Estimated pruning (1000 tons d.m/year) 39,0 mv 54,0 20,3 13,1 145,7 335 1353,0 1353,0 1353,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 1353,0 484,4 1353,0 453,3 1353,0 1353,0 mv 1353,0 mv 1353,0 888 0,0 1353,0 1353,0 295,0 0,0 0,0 496,6 0,0 515,5 1353,0 1201,5 753 1353,0 1018,8 mv 1353,0 0,0 mv 572 1353,0 1353,0 0,0 773,9 13 The collected estimates have various bases and often diverge from the FFW survey estimates. To provide a comparison among the sources, we adopted the Pedigree matrix (Weidema and Wesnæs 1996; Ciroth et al., 2013). Drawing from Weidema and Wesnæs (1996, pp. 168-169) we summarize the five criteria used to assess comparatively the available estimates of biomass: Reliability: The ‘reliability indicator’ relates to the sources, acquisition methods and verification procedures used to obtain the data Completeness: The ‘completeness indicator’ relates to the statistical properties of the data: how representative is the sample, does the sample include a sufficient number of data and is the period adequate to even out normal fluctuations. Temporal correlation: ‘temporal indicator’ represents the time correlation between the year of study (as stated in the data quality goals) and the year of the obtained data. Geographical correlation: the ‘geographical indicator’ illustrates the geographical correlation between the defined area (as stated in data quality goals) and the obtained data. Further technological correlation the ‘technological indicator’ is concerned with all other aspects of correlation The data quality indicators scores are illustrated in the following table 6 (Weidema, Wesnæs, 1996, 169). Table 6 Pedigree Matrix (from Weidema, Wesnæs, 1996) Indicator score Reliability Completeness Temporal correlation 1 2 3 Verified data Verified data partly based Not verified data based on on assumptions or nonpartly based on measurements verified data based on assumptions measurements Representative Representative data from Representative data from a a smaller number of sites data from an sufficient but for adequate periods adequate number sample of sites of sites but from over an shorter period adequate period to even out normal fluctuations Less than three Less than six years Less than 10 years years of difference difference difference to year of study Geographical correlation Data from area under study Further technological correlation Data from Data from processes and enterprises, materials under study but processes and from different technology material under study Average data from larger area in which the area under study is included 4 5 Qualified estimate (e.g. by industrial experts) Non-qualified estimate Representative data but from a smaller number of sites and shorter period or incomplete data from adequate number of sites and period Less than 15 years difference Representative ness unknown or incomplete data from smaller number of sites and/or from shorter periods Age of data unknown or more than 15 years of difference Data from area Data from area with Data from with similar slightly similar unknown area production production or area with conditions conditions very different production conditions Data from Data on related Data on related processes and processes or processes or materials under materials but same materials but study but from technology different different technology technology 14 In the Tables 7 and 8 we summarize the scoring resulting from the “pedigree Matrix” assessment. Table 7 Data quality assessment - Pruning - Italy Report ANPA De Gennaro 2011 Survey FFW Reliability 2 4 1 4 2 1 Completeness 3 Geographical correlation 4 Temporal correlation Further technological correlation Assessment 2 (2, 3, 4, 4, 2) 5 4 3 1 2 (4, 5, 2, 4, 2) 2 (1, 4, 1, 1, 2) Table 8 Data quality assessment - Pomace - Spain Reliability Completeness Anuario de Estadistica 2013 Report M.O.R.E. Survey FFW 2 3 1 3 2 3 ( 2, 2, 3, 2, 2) (2, 3, 3, 3, 2) 3 Further technological correlation 2 Assessment 1 2 Temporal correlation Geographical correlation 2 2 4 1 2 (1, 4, 1, 1, 2) The assessment scores were assigned by evaluating the data sources with respect to the data quality indicators. Most of the estimates available in the literature are based upon experts’ knowledge of technology or experiments and are in some case related to specific geographical areas. This motivates the better assessment assigned to the FFW survey estimates that however present the limits of statistical representativeness mentioned in the Report. 2.3 Individuation of possible location of Gasification plant at regional level (MCA) We carried out a Multicriteria Analysis at the regional level in order identify the potential localization of gasification plants using olive pruning and olive pomace as raw materials. According to the par. 2 results, supported also with Survey results, for the MCA we considered four Countries: Italy, Spain, Portugal and Greece. We took into account the regional level according to the data availability. The outcomes of the analysis provide information complementary to the remaining part of the study. We used a simple weighted sum approach applied to different effects depending on data availability at regional levels in the four Countries. As for the variables related to olive crops and waste, we decided to use the olive crop area and the number of mills as the proxies for the potential amount of biomasses. This is preferable to the use of the above estimated amount of biomass, given the difficulties encountered in 15 collecting complete information through our survey and the consequences of that on the reliability of the estimates already discussed. The choice is, however, neutral with respect to the final outcomes of the MCA, since by construction the two variables (olive crop area and number of mills) fully encapsulate the variability at regional level (within countries) of potential biomass. The regions are considered as a potential alternative location. In the case of Italy, we used the following effects indicators: Territorial land as a proxy of the overall potential supply of biomasses; Residents, as an indicator of the potential demand of energy; Highways, which indicates the possibilities of transportation; Energy consumption an indicator of the current level of energy demand; Protected areas, indicating the areas with zero supply of biomasses and potential sources of other constraints; Olive crop area, indicating the potential amount of biomasses from olive crop; Mills is indicating the potential amount of biomasses from olive oil processing (waste). The original data are presented in Table 9. The standardization criterions are presented in Table 10, and the weights adopted in Table 11. Figure 1 illustrates the set of the outcomes. 16 Table 9 MCA Italy data collected (Source data: ISTAT, EUROSTAT, ISMEA) REGION Territorial la nd Residents ISTAT ISTAT Km SOURCE N 2 Highways Km ISTAT Abruzzo 10831,84 1323223 349,17 Calabria 15221,90 1969385 293,34 22452,78 4411921 563,63 Ba silicata 10073,32 Ca mpania 577292 13670,95 ERomagna FriuliVG 5819858 7862,30 La zio 17232,29 Lombardia 23863,65 Molise 4460,65 Liguria 1225611 5713863 5416,21 Marche 1578532 9883960 9401,38 1549147 314033 Piemonte 25387,07 4405425 Sardegna 24100,02 1652119 Puglia 19540,90 Sicilia 25832,39 Tosca na 22987,04 TrentinoAA Umbria 8464,33 2427099373,55 5122899293,25 Olive crop area Mills ISTAT EUROSTAT ISMEA 1712,46 31,40 Km 3866,97 44,70 2892,16 183,90 2671,88 3,20 3732,17 226,30 9472997108,33 1470,25 26262602456,33 1000 Ha 2 16378002755,43 72,10 0,10 N. 367 753 381 457,44 21452899253,05 3980,66 88,90 598,55 64145196236,82 3722,73 2,40 35,92 1275600772,11 1186,53 13,60 4025,43 376,70 888 4701,49 158,50 572 1303,51 27,80 218 4141,67 4,90 371,85 167,56 815,17 311,48 5901196186,60 6645303180,80 8605199678,64 4530,80 6914844925,34 58,65 113,67 561,31 19234596485,62 5168301526,49 943700549,86 28643506691,16 14,80 1419,61 3985,77 16762896482,87 172,21 444,57 1397,38 23933400848,47 1168890 4904288 Protected areas 438,20 17900801439,28 128218 18407,42 6137300679,92 647,89 891491 3260,90 Kwh/year 5047435 3721669 13605,50 Valled'Aosta Veneto 4070534 28,94 Energy consumption 335 8,30 0,10 36,40 3195,20 93,10 3863,96 988,05 358 Table 10 MCA Italy - Effects standardization settings Effects Unit Standardization method Minimum Range Maximum Range N maximum 0 9883.9 0 26013 Territorial land km2 Highways Km maximum 0 Km2 maximum 0 Residents Energy consumption Kwh/year Olive crop area 1000 Ha Protected areas Mills N. maximum maximum maximum maximum 0 0 0 25837 815.2 4701.5 58836.7 1200 17 Table 11 Weights of MCA for Italy Ra nk order Weight Mills 1 0.299 Res idents 2 0.08 Energy Cons umption 2 0.08 Olive crop a rea 1 Territoria l la nd 0.299 2 Highwa ys 0.08 2 Protected a rea s 0.08 2 0.08 The outcomes are presented in the following figure. Figure 1 MCA ITALY, weighted summation MCA ITALY: Weighted summation 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 Valled'Aosta Molise FriuliVG Sardegna Liguria Marche Umbria Piemonte ERomagna Basilicata TrentinoAA Lombardia Abruzzo Veneto Toscana Lazio Calabria Campania Sicilia 0 Puglia 0,1 Sicilia, Puglia and Campania are the most suitable locations for suitable locations of gasification plants. Good opportunities are also provided by Campania, Lazio, and Toscana. The remaining alternatives appear less attractive. Territorial areas, Olive crop areas, and Mills are the main factors causing the outcomes depicted (with Highways in the case of Sicily). The Indicator Highway is referred to the km of highways existing inside the region. Sicily is an island, for this reason; the Highway effect gives not the real picture of the potential possibilities of transportation. For this reason, Puglia is to be considered as the best potential location for future suitable locations of gasification plants using olive pruning and olive pomace as raw materials in Italy. In the case of Portugal, we used the following effects indicators: Territorial land as a proxy of the overall potential supply of biomasses; Residents, as an indicator of the potential demand of energy; Highways, which indicates the possibilities of transportation; Protected areas, indicating the areas with zero supply of biomasses and potential sources of other constraints 18 The original data are presented in Table 12. The standardization criterions are presented in Table 13, and the weights adopted in Table 14. Figure 2 illustrates the set of the outcomes. Table 12 MCA PORTUGAL data collected (Source data: INE.pt) SUP RES Km2 Aveiro 2800.94 Castelo Branco 6627.47 Coimbra 3973.73 Guarda 5535.31 Leiria 3505.78 Viseu 5009.79 Beja 10263.32 Évora 7393.46 Portalegre 6084.34 Santarém 6718.35 Setúbal 5214.06 Braga 2706.11 Bragança 6598.55 Porto Viana do Castelo Faro 208069 441245 173716 459450 394927 161211 173408 127018 475344 788459 866012 148808 1781826 4307.47 223731 4996.79 Lisboa 713578 2331.70 2218.84 Vila Real n 2816.14 250273 395208 2135992 HIGHW Km 611 709 752 791 PROTECT km2 14644.25 38874 14644.25 686 14644.25 17923 971 47980.5 905 926 711 896 966 14644.25 47980.5 47980.5 877 47980.5 16704 896 26679 672 145209 843 44803 836 460 803 35489 47110 Table 13 MCA- PORTUGAL -Effects standardization settings Unit SUP Km2 HIGHW Km RES PROTECT N Km2 Standardiza tion method Minimum Range Maximum Range maximum 0,00 2135992,00 -47980,50 14520,90 maximum maximum interval 0,00 0,00 10263,32 971,00 19 Table 14 Weights of MCA for Portugal SUP We ight 1 0,313 1 RES HIGHW Ra nk orde r PROTECT 1 2 0,313 0,313 0,063 Figure 2 MCA Portugal weighted summation 0,80 0,70 0,60 0,50 0,40 0,30 0,20 0,10 0,00 MCA Portugal, weighted summation Lisboa seems to be the best solution for the location of a gasification plant, but this outcome is affected by the lack of official information on olive trees and mills distribution at the local level. In the case of Greece, we used the following effects indicators: Territorial land as a proxy of the overall potential supply of biomasses; Residents, as an indicator of the potential demand of energy; Highways, which indicates the possibilities of transportation; Protected areas, indicating the areas with zero supply of biomasses and potential sources of other constraints; Olive crop area indicating the potential amount of biomasses from olive crop. The original data are presented in Table 15. The standardization criterions are presented in Table 16. Figure 3 illustrates the set of the standardized effects plots. 20 Table 15 MCA Greece - data collected (Source data: EL. STAT, EUROSTAT) REGION SUP Km SOURCE RES 2 EL.STAT EL.STAT 18811,00 1882108 281,33 9203,00 336856 15549,00 547390 14157,00 Western Ma kedonia 9451,00 Ipiros Thes sa lia 14037,00 Centra l Greece Ionian isa lnds 2307,00 608182 283689 732762 3808,00 3828434 5286,00 309015 Northern Egeo 3836,00 Southern Egeo Kriti 8336,00 196,25 257,92 2 88,98 36,20 362,42 23,00 2350,49 98,10 33,04 16,61 41,20 8,25 199231 10,69 623065 1000 ha EUROSTAT 451,27 342,00 Olive crop a rea EL.STAT 186,83 288,67 577903 Attiki 21379,00 679796 Km 196,25 137,00 11350,00 PROTECTKm 361,58 207855 Western Greece Poloponnesos Km EL.STAT Ea stern Makedonia Centra l makedonia N HIGHW 61,00 15,10 0,20 32,00 42,00 59,20 196,20 28,00 0,00 0,00 172,40 Table 16 MCA Greece- Effects Standardization Settings SUP RES HIGHW PROTECTKm OLIVETREE Unit Standardization method Minimum Range Maximum Range Km2 maximum 0 maximum 0 N maximum Km2 interval Km 1000 Ha maximum 21379 0 3828434 -451.27 0 0 361.58 196.2 Table 17 Weights of MCA for Greece SUP RES Ra nk order We ight 1 0.2 1 HIGHW 1 OLIVETREE 1 PROTECTKm 1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 21 Figure 3 MCA Greece weighted summation 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 MCA Greece, weighted summation Peloponnesus, Thessalia and Central Makedonia are the most suitable locations. Among the effects considered, we found that Olive tree and protected area play an important role. In the case of Spain, we used the following effects indicators: Territorial land as a proxy of the overall potential supply of biomasses; Residents, as an indicator of the potential demand of energy; Highways, which indicates the possibilities of transportation; Energy consumption an indicator of the current level of energy demand; Protected areas, indicating the areas with zero supply of biomasses and potential sources of other constraints; Olive crop area indicating the potential amount of biomasses from olive crop; Mills is indicating the potential amount of biomasses from olive oil processing (waste). The original data are presented in Table 18. The standardization criterions are presented in Table 19, and the weights adopted in Table 20. Figure 4 illustrates the set of the outcomes. 22 Table 18 Data from MCA Spain data collected (Source data: INE.ESP, EUROSTAT, and AICA: Agencia de Informacion y control alimentarios) SUP RES HIGHW ELECTinhab PROTECT Olive crop area MILLS SOURCE INE.ESP INE.ESP INE.ESP INE.ESP INE.ESP EUROSTAT AICA Aragón 47719 1325385 824 15608 47,1 103 4992 1103442 REGION Km2 Andalucía 87268 Asturias, Principado de 10604 Balears, Illes Canarias 7447 Cantabria 5321 n 8402305 1061756 2104815 588656 km Kwh/year Km2 2686 2299244 140459 447 1333288 64660 322 169880 32773 187 230 1141940 58860 602192 64660 0 0 2353 1420540 100000 Cataluña 32114 7518903 1572 5156864 14119 Extremadura 41634 249276 18118 Madrid, Comunidad de 8028 999 1137836 397 788732 Comunitat Valenciana 1841 945840 17 195712 0 4,5 22 0 0 0 0 11313 1466818 662 País Vasco 7234 2188985 19,51 84963 Ceuta Melilla 13,77 0 5,5 Murcia, Región de 5045 7285 0 2043196 Rioja, La 101,1 20 1107 640790 0 674460 0 601 2497008 0 1 0 319002 169 84509 2 251 25,7 2748695 10391 359,4 0 29574 Navarra, Comunidad Foral de 42757 19 121 2223308 6454440 7,3 359,4 1430 Galicia 0 196 5004844 766 0 125 23255 1099632 0 9 2494790 2078611 0 819 8,1 94223 79463 1514,5 n 8703 Castilla y León Castilla - La Mancha 1000 Ha 0 23 0,2 0 133 4 43 4 0 Table 19 MCA Spain- Effects standardization Settings Unit SUP RES HIGHW Km2 N Km Sta nda rdi za ti on me thod Minimum Ra nge Ma xi mum Ra nge ma ximum 0 8402305 ma ximum ma ximum 0 0 94223 26 86 ELECTi nha b Kwh/ye a r ma ximum 0 5156864 OLIVETREE 1000 ha ma xi mum 0 1514.5 PROTECTKm MILLS Km2 N ma ximum ma ximum 0 0 140459 819 23 Table 20 Weights of MCA for SPAIN SUP HIGHW ELECTi nha b PROTECTKm MILLS We ight 1 0.143 1 RES OLIVETREE Ra nk order 0.143 1 0.143 1 0.143 1 1 1 0.143 0.143 0.143 Figure 4 MCA Spain, weighted summation 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,6 0,5 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 0 MCA Spain, weighted summation Andalucía is the most suitable locations. All the effects considered are influential in determining this solution except than for energy consumption. In the MCA analysis Puglia, in Italy, and Andalucía, in Spain, were identified as the top two eligible regions both in terms of potential biomass production and as sites for localisation of gasification plants. 24 3. The geography of olive plantation and production: descriptive analysis based on official statistics As above mentioned (par.1), an analysis using a crop concentration index (e.g. Singh and Dhillon, 2004) is now carried out to complement the previous estimates and provide a more comprehensive understanding of the results. As well known, the uneven localization of olive plantations within Southern European countries is strictly driven by the climate and soil conditions of their most Mediterranean regions. Moreover, the area dedicated to olive trees is almost time invariant in the short and medium term, due to the perennial character of this crop. These factors explain the large cross-regions variation in the area devoted to olive plantations. Based on Eurostat statistics for NUTS 2 level regions (the highest detail available)1, figure 5 shows the very high existing asymmetric distribution of this crop in Spain, where Andalucía employs in olive trees an area (1.5 million of hectares) that is five times larger than that used by the second important region (Castilla-laMancha, about 300,000 hectares). In contrast, olive plantations in Greece are much more evenly distributed across regions, for example Peloponnesus has about 250,000 hectares dedicated to this crop, whereas the second most important region, Kriti, reaches 200,000 hectares. Italy and Portugal stand as intermediate cases: in these countries, the most important region shows an area invested in olive trees which is twice as big as the one of the region ranking second. This is the case for Puglia and Calabria in Italy and Alentejo and Norte in Portugal, respectively. As well known, the information on extent of land cultivated in a given crop only is not enough to depict the specialization of regional production systems satisfactorily. According to some agricultural geographers (e.g., Singh and Dhillon, 2004) a crop concentration index could better inform us about the interest in the production of that crop in a given region. The idea behind this view is that the larger the specific sector of agriculture at regional level (measured by the percentage of its cropped area with respect to the same percentage at country level), the more important the learning by doing processes that support efficiency and productivity per hectare in the crop production. Of course, in the prospect of our study, higher productivity per hectare also means increasing biomass production. To measure the within-country crop concentration, we used a standard Localization Index (LI) of olive plantations at regional level, LI = 1 OP UAA ∗ UAA OP All statistics used in this section come from Eurostat Agriculture database. 25 Figure 5 Olive plantations in NUTS2 regions (Land Use, 1000 Hectares) Greece 250 200 150 100 2011 2012 50 2013 0 Spain 1.500 1.200 900 600 300 0 2011 2012 2013 26 Puglia Calabria Sicilia Toscana Lazio Campania Abruzzo Umbria Basilicata Sardegna Liguria Molise Marche Emilia-Romagna Veneto Lombardia Provincia Autonoma di… Friuli-Venezia Giulia Piemonte Provincia Autonoma di… 100 50 0 Valle d'Aosta Figure 5 continued Olive plantations in NUTS2 regions (Land Use, 1000 Hectares) Italy 400 350 300 250 200 150 2011 2012 2013 Portugal 200 150 100 50 2011 0 2013 2012 Source: Eurostat, Land Use statistics 27 where OP and OP are the area dedicated to the olive plantations in the NUTS2 region i and in the country j to which it belongs, respectively; UAA and UAA are the utilized agricultural area in the NUTS2 at region and country level. Regions for which this indicator is higher than 1 are considered specialized in olive growing, whereas the opposite holds if the indicator is lower than 1 (de-specialized regions). Table 1 shows specialized and de-specialized regions in olive growing within the four countries under scrutiny. Greece is the country in which more than 50% of regions have LI above 1; hence they are characterized by an agriculture strongly based on olive plantations. In Italy the specialized regions are localized in the South and in the Centre of the country and amount to 7 out of 21. Despite the limited data availability, in Portugal three regions with moderate specialization can be observed (Norte, Alentejo and Algarve). In Spain only a very specialized region emerges, Andalucía, with additional three regions following (Comunidad Valenciana, Cataluña and Extremadura) and composing the group of specialized regions. On the whole, we observe in Spain a minority of regions with specialization in olive growing, they are 4 out of 17 (the latter are regions for which information is available). A ranking of specialized regions according to the rate of LI is displayed in Figure 6. It is worth noting that in the top ten of most specialized areas we find 6 Greek regions, 3 Italian ones and only 1 Spanish (that is Andalucía). By comparing evidence from Figure 6 with the olive tree yields at regional level displayed in Figure 7, we get a more informative picture about the correspondence between specialized regions and their productivity per hectare. We can sum up this information by means of a simple exercise. The median of values related to the 3-years tons per hectare that have been shown for all regions in Figure 7 is 1.83 (tons per hectare). The bulk of specialized regions reported in Figure 6 had productivity per hectare above this median in at least one year. More precisely, 15 out of 22 specialized regions charted in Figure 6 fall into this group, whereas moderately specialized regions, such as Algarve, Alentejo, Extremadura, Cataluña, Comunidad Valenciana, Norte and Attiki had performances under the median. 28 Table 21 Localisation index (LI) of olive plantations at region vs. country level Greece Kriti Voreio Aigaio Ionia Nisia Peloponnesus Attiki Dytiki Ellada Sterea Ellada Notio Aigaio Ipeiros Kentriki Makedonia Thessalia Anatoliki Makedonia, Thraki Dytiki Makedonia Spain Andalucía Comunidad Valenciana Cataluña Extremadura Castilla-la Mancha Comunidad de Madrid Illes Balears Región de Murcia Aragón La Rioja Comunidad Foral de Navarra Canarias Castilla y León País Vasco Galicia Principado de Asturias Cantabria Ciudad Autónoma de Ceuta Ciudad Autónoma de Melilla Local. Index 3.60 3.37 3.35 2.88 2.57 1.85 1.31 1.27 0.36 0.23 0.19 0.15 0.00 Local. Index 3.03 1.24 1.16 1.13 0.81 0.65 0.48 0.37 0.24 0.21 0.13 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 na na Portugal Norte Alentejo Algarve Área Metropolitana de Lisboa Região Autónoma dos Açores Região Autónoma da Madeira Local. Index 1.46 1.10 1.08 0.09 na na Italy Calabria Puglia Liguria Campania Sicilia Lazio Toscana Abruzzo Umbria Molise Local. Index 3.39 3.10 2.35 1.30 1.23 1.14 1.01 0.84 0.71 0.66 Basilicata Piemonte Marche Sardegna Veneto Friuli-Venezia Giulia Emilia-Romagna Lombardia Provincia Autonoma di Trento Valle d'Aosta Provincia Autonoma di Bolzano Source: own elaborations on Eurostat data. Note: na stands for not available 0.62 0.32 0.20 0.19 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 29 Figure 6 Within-country specialisation in olive plantations (NUTS2 Regions) Toscana Algarve Alentejo Extremadura Lazio Cataluña Sicilia Comunidad Valenciana Notio Aigaio Campania Sterea Ellada Localisation Index Norte Dytiki Ellada Liguria Attiki Peloponnisos Andalucía Puglia Ionia Nisia Voreio Aigaio Calabria Kriti 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 3,50 4,00 Source: own elaborations on Eurostat data. 30 Figure 7 Olive tree yields (Tons per hectare) Greece 6 5 4 3 2 2001 1 2002 0 2003 Spain 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 2004 0,0 2006 0,5 2005 Source: Eurostat, yields statistics The result of highest relevance for this study is that the most specialized and highly performing regions in terms of olive tree productions, singled out by means of elaborations on official statistics (Eurostat data), largely corresponds to those regions in which the estimated biomass production is higher (see next section). 31 The Table 22 further supports this evidence by providing information on the harvested production of olive trees. Of course, for this preliminary descriptive analysis, the harvested production is even a much better proxy of the biomass production at regional level. Figure 7 continued Olive tree yields (Tons per hectare) Italy 2004 Molise Calabria Puglia Abruzzo Marche Umbria Provincia Autonoma di… Campania Friuli-Venezia Giulia Lazio Lombardia Emilia-Romagna Veneto Sicilia Liguria Sardegna Toscana Basilicata Valle d'Aosta Provincia Autonoma di… 2005 Piemonte 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2006 Portugal 1,6 1,4 1,2 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 2004 0 2006 0,2 2005 Source: Eurostat, yields statistics 32 Table 22 Harvested production of olive trees across regions (1000 tons) and concentration indexes (C4 and normalized Herfindal-Hirschman Index_HHI) NUTS2 Regions Production Galicia Principado de Asturias Cantabria Ciudad Aut. de Ceuta Ciudad Aut. de Melilla País Vasco Canarias Illes Balears La Rioja Com. Foral de Navarra Comunidad de Madrid Castilla y León Región de Murcia Aragón Comunidad Valenciana Cataluña Castilla-la Mancha Extremadura Andalucía Spain C4 HHI 0.00 0.00 0.00 na na 0.37 0.40 2.27 4.80 11.53 11.80 13.00 20.70 44.53 90.67 114.27 254.17 361.17 4037.30 4966.90 0.96 0.65 Dytiki Makedonia Anatoliki Makedonia Notio Aigaio Attiki Thessalia Voreio Aigaio Kentriki Makedonia Ipeiros Ionia Nisia Sterea Ellada Dytiki Ellada Peloponnesus Kriti Greece C4 HHI NUTS2 Regions 0.20 25.27 27.37 38.07 56.73 64.37 66.57 74.00 125.80 224.33 286.73 619.43 683.43 2292.33 0.79 0.13 Production NUTS2 Regions Região Aut. dos Açores Região Aut. da Madeira Área Metr. de Lisboa Algarve Norte Alentejo Portugal C4 HHI NUTS2 Regions Production na na 0.30 6.33 89.77 103.30 299.13 0.67 0.29 Production Valle d'Aosta 0.00 Piemonte 0.03 Friuli-Venezia Giulia 0.43 Bolzano 0.47 Trento 0.63 Lombardia 4.47 Emilia-Romagna 6.23 Veneto 8.87 Liguria 25.17 Marche 27.77 Basilicata 36.97 Molise 43.10 Sardegna 51.90 Umbria 80.90 Toscana 149.10 Abruzzo 155.23 Lazio 182.07 Campania 225.43 Sicilia 291.53 Calabria 1250.03 Puglia 1367.87 Italy 3908.23 C4 0.80 HHI 0.20 Source: own elaborations on Eurostat data. Note: data on productions are 3-year averages (2001, 2002 and 2003 for Greece; 2004, 2005 and 2006 for the other 3 countries). na stands for not available. Again, this table identifies as the likely producers of biomasses, as we will see also in the survey-based analysis (see par. 2.2), regions such as Kriti, Peloponnesus and Dytiki Ellada in Greece, Norte and Alentejo in Portugal, Puglia, Sicilia and Campania in Italy, and Andalucìa in Spain. 33 Lastly, Table 22 also offers a picture concerning the within-country concentration of production and aims at endowing us with a preliminary idea about possible location of the gasification plants. The C4 index is simply the share of the first 4 larger regional-level producers on the total production of the country. The normalized Herfindal-Hirschmann Index (HHI) is specified as follows: HHI = ∑ s − 1⁄N 1 − 1⁄ N where s is the squared share of olive trees production in region i and N is the number of regions within a specific country. The normalized version of the HHI ranges from 0 to 1. A value close to 1 indicates very high concentration of the olive tree production across regions and within country. Table 22 shows a very high concentration of the harvested production in Spain (C4=0.96 and HHI=0.65), where Andalucía emerge as possible site for a gasification plant. Instead, the low value of HHI in the other 3 countries would suggest that localization in more than one site could be optimal and calls for a thorough examination that a multi-criteria analysis could better satisfy, as it has been done in the previously of the study. 34 Figure 8 Harvested production of olive trees across region and concentration indexes 35 Figure 9 MCA analysis 36 Section II 4. A Dataset for the Localisation of Gasification Plants in Andalucía and Puglia This section aims at describing a dataset on olive crops, production and waste at a detailed territorial level, which has been created and assembled for the municipalities of Andalucía and Puglia. The two regions were identified, in the previous steps of the analysis, as the most suitable regions in Spain and Italy, respectively, for the localisation of gasification plants. The database presented here is intended as a complementary tool to the previous research and provides a starting point for the analysis of localisation choices within the above-mentioned two regions on the basis of an initial set of variables. These variables refer to potential biomass production from olives and olive oil production (pomace and pruning), demand and supply of electricity, existing renewable energy production, transportation costs and socio-economic conditions. This section is organised as follows: in the next paragraph we describe the variables included in the database and the methods used for their construction. Then we present some descriptive statistics (4.2) and an application of the database to the study of localisation choices in the two regions (4.3). The latter is solely intended as a preliminary exercise aimed at showing the potential of the dataset in localisation analysis. The list of variables that can be provided by means of a desk analysis is indeed limited; however, the dataset can be easily enriched with further relevant information (such as the constraints imposed by local environmental and urbanistic legislation and by the revealed preferences of territories in terms of policy objectives). 4.1 Data and Variables The dataset has the municipality as its territorial unit. This level of territorial detail corresponds to “Municipios” in Spain and to “Comuni” in Italy. As for the two regions of interest here, the database is composed of 258 Comuni for Puglia and 767 Municipios in Andalucía. The dataset covers therefore all municipalities of Puglia and 767 out of 778 municipalities of Andalucía, since for eleven of them the data on olive crop area, which are our starting point, are missing in the tables supplied by the Spanish National Statistical Institute. The variables included in the dataset can be grouped into two main sets: (i) variables related to olive crop area, olives production and waste from olive production usable as biomass; (ii) variables related to socioeconomic, productive and geographic conditions of the territory, such as demand/supply of energy and electricity, existing supply of biomass energy, potential biomass transportation costs, labour market conditions. 37 4.1.1 Set 1 Our starting point for the estimation of the quantity of pomace and pruning available at municipal level in Puglia and Andalucía is the information about the area used for olive crops at municipal level. This information is typically available in the Agrarian Census; in our case, we employ the latest available data, which correspond to 2010 for Puglia (source: ISTAT, Istituto Nazionale di Statistica) and 2009 for Andalucía (source: INE, Instituto Nacional de Estadistica). The olive crop area at municipal level is used to estimate the quantity of olives produced in each municipality. This information (on production of olives) is indeed only available at provincial level, both for Italy (for the 6 provinces of Puglia; source: ISTAT) and Spain (for the 8 provinces of Andalucía; Source: INE, Annual Statistics on Areas and Production of Crops). For Andalucía the production of olives is also distinguished between table olives and oil-press olives; this information is conceptually important since while for the estimation of pruning the starting point is the whole olive production/cropping area, the estimation of pomace should ideally be only refereed to oil-press olives production. This distinction is, unfortunately, not available in the Italian statistics. The estimated quantity of olives (in tonnes) available at municipal level has been simply estimated allocating the quantity available at provincial level into the municipalities of the province, assuming that the share of olive production of each municipality is proportional to its share of olive crop area with respect to the total olive crop area of the province. Olive.Prodmunic = Oliv.Prodprov *(Areamunic/Areaprov) [4.1] For Andalucía, as, already explained, we were able to estimate the production of table and oil-press olives separately. In order to avoid distortions due the biannual cycle of olives production, we used as the starting data for olives production at provincial level the average of the last four years available (from 2008 to 2011). The quantity of olives produced at municipal level is functional to estimate the availability of biomasses from olive crops. As regards pruning, the existing empirical literature provides quantitative relationships between the quantity of olives and pruning for both Andalucía and Puglia. As regards Andalucía, we follow Civantos (1981) and Medina and Hernandez (2006) and estimate separately the quantity of Ramón and Leña by means of the following equations: Ramónmunic = Oliv.Prodmunic *0.88 + 4.76 [4.2] Leñamunic = Oliv.Prodmunic *0.74-6.48 [4.3] where the olive production (in tons) includes both table and oil-press olives. Since the pruning is carried out on a biannual basis, the total amount of annual availability of biomass from pruning is: Prunmunic= ½ * (Ramónmunic + leñamunic ) [4.4] 38 As regards Puglia, the corresponding quantitative relationships are available in Probio-Regione Puglia (2012)2, distinguished for two groups of provinces: Pruning/hamunic = Oliv.Prod/hamunic *0.566 + 1.496 [4.5] (Foggia, Bari and Barletta-Andria-Trani) and Pruning/hamunic = Oliv.Prod/hamunic *0.305 + 1.401 [4.6] (Taranto, Brindisi and Lecce) Given the aims of the present project (and the innovativeness of the technical process of biomasses processing), no adjustments of the quantity of pruning available were made in terms of factors affecting the actual collection of pruning (such as accessibility of the crops, climatic conditions at the time of pruning, size distribution on the farms, efficiency of the capital involved in the production processes). Our estimation of pruning is therefore to be intended as the total quantity of biomass potentially available; in other words, it is an upper bound estimation. The estimation of the quantity of pomace was carried out with two different approaches in the two regions, since while for Puglia the quantity of pomace at provincial level is available in Probio-Regione Puglia (2012), and could therefore be allocated at municipal level (see below), this was not the case for Andalucía. For the Spanish region, we made use of the information available in a recent paper by the Agenzia Andaluza Del Energìa (2013), which provides the composition of the output of olive processing in mills (pag.4). In particular, it reports that for each tonne of olives 0.083 tons and 0.197 tons are represented by pit (hueso) and dried pomace (orujillo), the remaining components being extra-vergin olive oil (0.27), oilve pomace oil (0.010) and water (0.438). Acoording to these coefficients, the quantity of pomace available as biomass accounts for around 28% of the quantity of olives; this share is in line with other literature, which reported a share around 25 % (see, for example Abu-Ashour et al., 2010 and the references cited therein). The quantity of pomace available at municipal level for Andalucia is therefore obtained as: Pomacemunic=Oliv.prodmunic*0.28 (0.083+0.197) [4.7] where the quantity of olives here refers of course to oil-press olives only. As for the region of Puglia, the starting point was instead the quantity of pomace available at provincial level, provided by Probio-Regione Puglia (2012) (data referred to the year 2007, since no more recent data are available)3. The allocation of pomace at municipal level was carried out on the basis of the share of employment in oils and fats processing firms (the most detailed industry breakdown available) in each The coefficients of equations 4.5 and 4.6 stem from experimental results carried out by the Department of Agroenvironmental Sciences, University of Bari (see Probio-Regione Puglia (2012). 3 The pomace we considered stems from the traditional extraction methods (cold-pressed and sinolea oil) and from three-phases oil decanters. By following Probio-Regione Puglia (2012, p.26-28) we kept out the two-phases pomace due to its high-moisture content that makes it unsuitable for the energy production purposes. 2 39 municipality on the total employment in the same sector in the province, available in the 2011 Italian Industry and Service Census: Pomacemunic=Pomaceprov*(Employ.millsmunic/Employ.millsprov) [4.8] A summary of the outcomes obtained through these methods of estimation is provided in section 4.2. 4.1.2 Set 2 The second set of variables refers to socio-economic, energy production and geographic conditions of the territory. First of all, we included two metrics of demand and supply of electricity at provincial level, as a proxy of the size of the energy needed for productive and residential purposes and of the supply of energy produced in the territory. Unfortunately, no data are available at municipal level for both Andalucía and Puglia; however, we decided not to re-allocate these data among the municipalities since they better represent, at provincial level, demand/supply of socio-economic contexts in which the municipality is localised. Data are from Agencia Andaluza de la Energia, Consejeria de Empleo, Empresa y Comercio and refer to 2014 for Andalucía; from ISTAT, Atlante statistico territoriale delle infrastrutture, and refer to 2013 for Puglia. The same sources provided the data about the existing supply of energy generated by biomasses (again at provincial level); this variable is intended as a proxy of the existing potential of biomass production and also somehow represents a proxy for revealed preferences of territories on methods of energy production. We then provide an index of optimality of localisation in terms of transportation costs of biomass produced in the region, defined as the Biomass Proximity Index (BPI): BPI i = n1 1 1 Biomassj å j =1 n 1 di, j [4.9] where Biomass is the sum of pomace and pruning estimated as explained in section 4.1.1 and di,j is the distance between each pair of Municipalities derived from a distance matrix in terms of: - travel time (minutes), for the Municipalities of Puglia (available in ISTAT, Territorio e Cartografia, see: http://www.istat.it/it/archivio/157423); - geographical distance for the Municipalities of Andalucía (based on elaborations starting from the geographical coordinates of the town that identifies the Municipio). As it is clear from equation [4.9] the index is, for each municipality i the average of the quantity of biomass available in all j remaining municipalities of the region, weighted by their proximity (the inverse of the distance) with respect to municipality i. The BPI is therefore the higher the more a municipality is close to municipalities with larger availability of biomass; in other terms, the higher the index, the more desirable would be the localisation of a biomass processing plant in terms of input (pruning and pomace) transportation costs. Lastly, we introduced a labour market variable at municipal level in order to capture the local socioeconomic conditions. We opted for an employment rate, built as the percentage of employed individuals 40 (aged 15 years and over) out the population between 15 and 64 years. Data were drawn from the latest ISTAT and INE Population and Housing Census and refer to 2010 and 2011, respectively. To the few Spanish municipalities for which the data on employment is missing, the employment rate of the corresponding province was attributed. As already explained, this is just an initial set of variables that can be used for localisation analysis, which can be enhanced with other information depending on the purpose and objectives of the analysis. 4.2 Descriptive Outcomes Table 23 summarizes the main features referring to the municipalities of Puglia (258) and Andalucía (767). Overall, the central tendency (mean and median) and dispersion (standard deviation and coefficient of variation) indices display an important skewness and heterogeneity for most of the variables we have taken into account, especially in the case of Andalucía. The area devoted to olive crops is on average 1,377 hectares in the municipalities of Puglia and goes up to 1,771 hectares in the Andalucía’s ones. However, the medians are far lower than the means, 746.84 and 369.19 hectares in Puglia and Andalucía, respectively. This outcome reveals that the municipalities in the high tail of the distribution significantly influence the average value. Probably these local administrative units are also the largest ones in terms of total territorial area. In any case, we observe a large dispersion of the olive crops area around the mean, as indicated by the remarkable standard deviation and by the coefficient of variation (CV), which is the ratio of standard deviation to the mean. Especially in Andalucía, the olive crop area across municipalities has a very high-variance distribution, with the standard deviation that almost doubles the mean (CV=1.99). This heterogeneity even increases in the case of olives production. Again, the average value is larger in Andalucía (7,312 tonnes) than in Puglia (4,672 tonnes), whereas the opposite holds in term of medians (2,581 in Puglia versus 1,074 tonnes in Andalucía). The CV for olive production is 2.15 in Andalucía against 1.31 for the municipalities of Puglia. This outcome can be explained by the highly skewed distribution in which few Andalucían municipalities, positioned in the high tail, are characterised by modern high-density olive groves that are located in plain and irrigated areas (Béltran-Esteve, 2013). Although the implementation of Common Agricultural Policy led to the intensification of this crop and the emergence of highly intensive farms in more fertile grounds previously used for other crops (Gallardo et al., 2002), traditional rain-fed olive groves remain predominant in Andalucía (Arriaza et al., 2011; European Commission, 2012). These facts provide support to the conspicuous heterogeneity we find across municipalities in this region. It is also worth noting that olive production in Andalucían municipalities between 2008 and 2011 ranged from zero to 131,542 tonnes of olives (min and max values in the Table 4.1, respectively); the maximum value is nearly three times as large as the quantity that the largest Puglia’s producer (municipality) carried out in the same period (53,716 tonnes). The estimated values of pruning, pomace and total biomass are naturally coherent with that we have found for olive production, even though the dispersion around the mean reported by the coefficient of variation increases for Andalucía (CV is 2.15, 2.24 and 2.17 for pruning, pomace and total biomass respectively). 41 Olive Area (hectares) Mean Stand.Dev. Median CV Min Max Puglia 1,377.70 Andalucía 1,771.36 746.84 369.19 1,773.75 1.29 4.07 14,482.60 3,523.47 1.99 0.00 25,950.10 Proximity Biomass Index (tonnes/distance unit) Mean Stand.Dev Median CV Min Max Puglia Andalucía 20.28 37.75 80.32 84.10 0.25 37.75 141.16 Olive Production (tonnes) Puglia 4,672.02 2,035.08 0.00 13.26 2.15 12.66 53,716.06 13,1542.00 Electricity consumption (GWh at NUTS3_level) Puglia Andalucía 1,303.37 71.16 2,193.96 280.60 1,074.50 1.31 2,728.96 22.82 Puglia 4,007.01 15,690.08 79.70 0.47 Andalucía 7,312.27 6,110.07 2,581.41 0.48 1,044.74 5,679.43 Table 23 Descriptive Statistics at municipality level Pruning (tonnes) Andalucía 5,922.09 236.98 1.41 2.15 1.62 52,069.26 869.64 0.00 106,547.60 Electricity Gross Generation Total (GWh at NUTS3_level) 5,035.02 0.42 1.03 7,297.83 490.82 2,094.42 1,659.77 2,594.65 Andalucía 1,916.18 12,708.81 Andalucía 3,093.58 Puglia 1,294.14 5,633.09 Puglia 3,973.61 Pomace (tonnes) 4,874.99 3,614.60 435.90 19,882.60 0.00 13,124.63 Total Biomass (tonnes) Puglia 5,301.15 Andalucía 7,838.27 4,291.70 7,296.59 16,971.58 2.24 1.38 2.17 0.00 36,537.79 Electricity Generation Renewable (GWh at NUTS3_level) 2,823.84 13.26 64,902.23 1,166.76 0.00 143,085.00 Employment Rate (%) Puglia Andalucía Puglia Andalucía 2,269.18 1,285.35 490.08 0.04 0.06 0.62 0.80 0.32 0.08 3,644.64 3,202.20 1,740.30 9,853.00 1,606.89 1,515.56 1,133.70 1,602.70 427.60 753.70 3,881.00 3,089.10 0.49 0.45 0.49 0.46 0.39 0.30 0.63 0.13 0.63 Notes: All statistics are based on 258 municipalities in Puglia and 767 municipalities in Andalucía. CV is the coefficient of variation, which is the ratio (Stand.Dev./Mean). 42 It is interesting to notice very similar average values for the proximity biomass index (PBI) in Puglia and Andalucía (80.32 versus 79.70). This means that, on average, the municipalities of these two regions share the same level of attractiveness, measured as tonnes of biomass per minute of transport distance (Puglia) or tonnes of biomass per coordinates-based distance (Andalucía). Again, differences in the medians and in the max-min values reveal that all the key variables in our dataset (olive production, biomass and PBI) deserve a thorough analysis of the distributions, which is carried out below. Table 23 also reports information on electricity consumption and gross generation, which are proxies for demand and supply of energy at provincial (NUTS3) level. Although we know that the gross electricity generation cannot be compared with consumption, we can have a first preliminary idea of the energy balance in the territories under scrutiny. For example, the value separating the higher half from the lower half of the municipalities’ distribution in both Puglia and Andalucía, that is the median, shows a gross electricity generation higher than consumption (3,615 vs. 2,194 GWh in Puglia and 3,202 vs. 3,094 GWh in Andalucía). In addition, from Table 23 it can be deduced that in terms of medians renewable sources contribute to 35% of gross electricity generated in Puglia (1,134 to 3,202 GWh) and to 50% of gross electricity generated in Andalucía (1,603 to 3,094 GWh). Some information on the socio-economic context can be grasped by the statistics on employment rate at the municipal level. Both regions under scrutiny here share very low employment rates (on average 45% in Andalucía and 49% in Puglia) if compared with 64 %, the average of the European Union (28 countries), over the period 2010-2013 (Eurostat, 2015). Only maximum values (municipalities with 63% of employment rate in both regions) nearly approach the European Union’s average. This underuse of labour force is rather homogenous across the administrative units under scrutiny, as signaled by the low values of the CV (0.08 in Puglia and 0.13 in Andalucía). Figures 8.1-8.3chart different aspects of the distribution of the key variables included in the dataset and answer to the need to carefully study the heterogeneity across municipalities, as we mentioned above. K-density estimations in Figure 8.1 are performed on the log-transformed variables of Table 23 to improve the graphic readability. First of all, the dispersion coefficients discussed above are confirmed by the distributions depicted in the Figure 8.1. Especially Andalucía shows for olive crops area, olive production and olive wastes (pruning and pomace) a low-kurtosis distribution with fatter tails. It means that a number of municipalities, higher than those in Puglia, have values both far lower and far higher than the modal value. In contrast, the peakedness we observe for the municipalities of Puglia discloses a more uniform distribution with thinner tails; this means that the values are less dispersed around the modal value. It is also worth noting the slight bimodality for pomace in Puglia, indicating two similar size groups of municipalities: on the leftside peak we observe the group with lower pomace production whereas the opposite holds for the right-side peak. The cumulative distribution functions depicted in Figures 8.2 and 8.3 inform us about other features of the distribution of the total biomass and the biomass proximity index. For example, with probability 0.75 (up to the third quartile of the distribution) the total biomass produced by municipalities is equal or less than 5,000 tonnes and normally the Puglia’s territories slightly dominate the Andalucía ones in providing this olive wastes. However, beyond 5,000 tonnes, the last quartile (25% of municipalities with higher waste production) sees a strong dominance of Andalucía municipalities in providing potential biomass. Similarly, for low values of attractiveness (PBI equal or less than 90 tonnes per distance unit) Puglia’s municipalities are 43 slightly ahead of the Andalucía’s ones. In contrast, in the last tertile, (with probability greater than 0.68) we find the Spanish municipalities showing the most advantageous PBI index. Thus, also the comparative analysis of distributions confirms that biomass production and the possibility to minimize the transportation costs seems to be more concentrated within Andalucía with respect to Puglia. Figure 10.1 Distributions of the key variables along municipalities in Puglia and Andalucía Olive Area Olive Production Pruning Pomace 44 Figure 10.2 Cumulative Distribution Function for the Total Biomass: Puglia vs. Andalucía Figure 10.3 Cumulative Distribution Function for the Proximity Biomass Index: Puglia vs. Andalucía 45 4.3 A preliminary localisation analysis for gasification plants in Puglia and Andalucía The choice of the site for the localisation of a productive plant is a complex task involving several social, economic, environmental, political dimensions. A decision-making tool able to support the decision-making process of interrelation of complex data, leading to a more comprehensive vision of the synthesis, is therefore necessary. Decision support systems or multi-criteria decision-making methods have been used with great effectiveness in the areas of energy; particularly, since the beginning of 2000s, the application of multi-criteria methods to issues of energy production from renewable sources has been increasing (Scott et al., 2012). In the last decade, studies on the availability of biomass and relative costs of transportation and transformation to produce renewable energy played a relevant role in supporting policy makers. Examples of such researches applying the Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) tools to identify the least cost for the best suitable area for renewable energy plants for Europe and the US include Panichelli and Gnansounou (2008), Recchia et al. (2010). Similarly, additionally to cost evaluations, several studies consider the problem of choosing the best location for renewable energy plant (PhuaMui-How and Minowa, 2005; Zambelli et al., 2012; Colantoni et al., 2013; Perpifia et al., 2013; Recanatesi et al., 2014). Multi-criteria decision-making implies a process of assigning values to alternatives that are evaluated along multi-criteria. Multi-criteria decision-making can be divided into two broad classes of multi-attribute decision-making and multi-objective decision-making. If the problem is to evaluate a finite feasible set of alternatives and to select the best one based on the scores of a set of attributes, as it is the case here, it is a multi-attribute decision making problem. The multi-objective decision-making deals with the selection of the best alternative based on a series of conflicting objectives. There are many classifications in place for the extensive formal methods and procedures for handling multi-criteria-decision making (Yue and Yang, 2007; Kinoshita et al., 2009; Sacchelli et al., 2013). Here we opt for the weighted sum approach, which allows aggregating the information (indicators) relevant for the localisation analysis and accounting for their relative importance. The final outcome is a ranking of the socalled alternatives (in our case the municipalities of Puglia and Andalucía, in two different MCA exercises), which provides an ordering of the most desirable localisation of biomass production plant. The method presupposes the construction of a so-called evaluation matrix (X), of dimensions j x i, where j are the indicators or objectives (in our case the indicators based on the variables described in section 4.1) and i the alternatives (the 767 and 258 municipalities of Andalucía and Puglia, respectively); the element zij is therefore the value of indicator j for the alternative i. All indicators have of course to be standardised, such as they vary between 0 and 1: z ij = (zij – min zij) / (max zij – min zij) [4.10] Preferences on the criteria and indicators are expressed as weights that are assigned by the researchers or the decision makers. The vector Wj provides information on the relative importance of the criteria. Combining the weights and the indicators generates priority area for best plants location for production of biomass energy: Ei = å z ij ´ wj j [4.11] 46 Ei is the score assigned to each alternative, which summarizes its performance with respect to the objectives set and their hierarchy. The choice of the set of weights is of course an ex ante choice of the researcher and is somehow arbitrary; however, in order to assess how much the outcomes of the MDA depend on the assumptions about the weight set, a sensitivity analysis can be carried out by altering the relative importance of the objectives/indicators. Our MCA, which is a purely descriptive analysis mainly aimed at illustrating the potentials of the database for this kind of investigation, has been carried out on the variables derived from the information illustrated in the previous section and with the sets of weights illustrated in Table 24. Table 24 Multi Criteria Analysis, objectives and alternative weight sets pro/con localisation Quantit y of Biomass (+) Biomass Proximity Index (+) Electricity cons/prod gap (+) % energy by renewable resources (-) Employme nt rate (-) W1 0.25 0.45 0.10 0.10 0.10 W3 0.20 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.10 W2 W4 W5 0.30 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.40 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.10 The set of variables employed for the MCA first of all includes the quantity of biomass available at municipal level and the Biomass Proximity Index (as defined in equation 4.9), as proxies of the potential input available at local level, from both the territory of the municipality and from neighbouring territories. Being normally these variables crucial in the plant localisation decisions, they are assigned a relatively high weight in the initial weighting scheme (W1) and in all alternative ones used for the sensitivity analysis. These two variables are positively correlated with the desirability of plant localisation, since the larger the input availability the lower the costs of employing them. A third variable, again positively correlated with desirability of localisation, is a rough indicator of energy demand/supply gap. Data for this variable is at provincial level (no municipal detail is available) and the higher the gap in the province, the more desirable is to implement further energy production plants in one municipality belonging to that province. The fourth variable illustrates the share of energy produced by renewable resources, again at provincial level; in this case, the lower the indicator, the higher the desirability to locate the biomass processing plant in one of the municipality of the province, in order to achieve a sort of upward convergence of the shares across the region. The last indicator describes the labour market performance at local level and, since the localisation of a plant generates jobs, the lower the employment rate in the municipality, the higher the desirability to localise there the biomass processing plant. Tables 25 and 26 describe the outcomes of the MCA with the initial set of weights and with the alternative ones; we list in the tables the ten municipalities in which our tentative MCA analysis suggests that the localisation of the gasification plant will be most desirable. 47 Table 25 Results of the MCA analysis (ranking of municipalities) and sensitivity analysis, Puglia (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) W1 Bitonto (Ba) Palo del Colle (Ba) Binetto (Ba) Andria (Bt) Grumo Appula (Ba) Bitetto (Ba) Terlizzi (Ba) Corato (Ba) Ruvo di Puglia (Ba) Molfetta (Ba) W2 Bitonto (Ba) Andria (Bt) Palo del Colle (Ba) Binetto (Ba) Grumo Appula (Ba) Corato (Ba) Bitetto (Ba) Terlizzi (Ba) Ruvo di Puglia (Ba) Molfetta (Ba) W3 Palo del Colle (Ba) Binetto (Ba) Bitonto (Ba) Grumo Appula (Ba) Bitetto (Ba) Andria (Bt) Terlizzi (Ba) Ruvo di Puglia (Ba) Molfetta (Ba) Corato (Ba) W4 Bitonto (Ba) Palo del Colle (Ba) Binetto (Ba) Grumo Appula (Ba) Bitetto (Ba) Terlizzi (Ba) Andria (Bt) Corato (Ba) Ruvo di Puglia (Ba) Molfetta (Ba) W5 Bitonto (Ba) Andria (Bt) Palo del Colle (Ba) Binetto (Ba) Grumo Appula (Ba) Bitetto (Ba) Terlizzi (Ba) Corato (Ba) Ruvo di Puglia (Ba) Molfetta (Ba) The outcomes for Puglia reveal that the optimal localisation of the biomass processing plant would be, according to the set of variables employed, in the municipalities of the province of Bari (9 of the first 10 municipalities of the top ranking) listed in table 25, with the only exception of Andria. The sensitivity analysis shows that these results are very weakly dependent on the choice of the weighting scheme; while there is some mobility within the 10 top positions, all five schemes identify the same municipalities as the top ten in the ranking. Table 26 Results of the MCA analysis (ranking of municipalities) and sensitivity analysis, Andalucía (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) W1 Úbeda (Ja) Martos (Ja) Victoria, La (Co) Torredonjimeno (Ja) Jaén (Ja) Alcaudete (Ja) Torre del Campo (Ja) Baena (Co) Jamilena (Ja) Lucena (Co) W2 Úbeda (Ja) Martos (Ja) Jaén (Ja) Baena (Co) Torredonjimeno (Ja) Alcaudete (Ja) Victoria, La (Co) Torre del Campo (Ja) Lucena (Co) Baeza (Ja) W3 Victoria, La (Co) Martos (Ja) Úbeda (Ja) Torredonjimeno (Ja) Jamilena (Ja) Torre del Campo (Ja) Alcaudete (Ja) Jaén (Ja) Baena (Co) Baeza (Ja) W4 Victoria, La (Co) Martos (Ja) Úbeda (Ja) Jamilena (Ja) Alcaudete (Ja) Torredonjimeno (Ja) Torre del Campo (Ja) Jaén (Ja) Baena (Co) Lupión (Ja) W5 Úbeda (Ja) Martos (Ja) Victoria, La (Co) Baena (Co) Torredonjimeno (Ja) Jaén (Ja) Alcaudete (Ja) Torre del Campo (Ja) Lucena (Co) Baeza (Ja) As for Andalucía, Table 26 shows that the most desirable localisation of the plant according to the variables employed here would be in some municipalities of either the province of Jaén or Cordoba. As it was the case for Puglia, the list of the top 10 locations in Andalucía is very robust to changes in the weighting scheme, with some re-ranking and very few new municipalities (Baeza and Lupión) entering the top ten underweight sets W2-W5. However, the set of the top 8 locations remains unaltered under all weighting schemes. As we already emphasized, this analysis is to be considered only as an exercise aimed at illustrating the potentialities of the dataset presented in the previous section; more proper localisation analyses should take into account a larger set of information (economic, environmental, political) relevant for the choice. 48 5. Conclusions The main results stemming from the performed activities can be summarized as follows. The amount of available biomass from olive crop and olive oil production was estimated at regional level for Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal by mean of a survey managed by web and telephone call campaigns. A user-friendly database was developed containing e-mail addresses, telephone numbers and the data gathered with the Survey; A Multi-Criteria Analysis with the purpose of mapping the most suitable sites of possible locations for gasification plants using olive pruning and olive pomace as raw materials was developed for Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal at regional level on the basis of information collected by national and European statistical institutes; A second user friendly database has been developed at municipal level (1,025 local administrative units) for the Puglia (258 Comuni) and Andalucìa (767 Municipios) regions containing information on olive cultivated area, olive production, pruning, pomace, total biomass, biomass proximity index, consumption and gross generation of electricity, employment rate; A descriptive analysis on variables at sub-regional level showing large heterogeneity in terms of biomass production across municipalities and between the two regions of Puglia and Andalucìa has been performed; A Multicriteria Analysis (MCA) has been carried-out aimed at testing the previous dataset and at supplying a tentative and preliminary localisation analysis of gasification plants using olive pruning and olive pomace as raw materials within Puglia and Andalucìa; this exercise produced a stable and robust ranking of the top 10 municipalities eligible for gasification plant localization in each of the two regions. 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Zatelli, M. Ciolli (2012) ‘A GIS decision support system for regional forest management to assess biomass availability for renewable energy production.’ Environmental Modelling and Software, 38: 203-21 52 7. Annexes Annex 1 - Biomass availability estimation by Survey response: the methodology Starting from the Survey results, our approach is based on the estimation of the average yield of biomass (pruning and pomace). Referring the analysis to real production systems, we propose to estimate the biomass availability by determining the expected average yield: i.e. the case of pruning the probable yield of biomass per hectare of the agricultural area utilized in olive cropping, in the case of pomace the probable yield of biomass for mill. For example. Abu-Ashour and Abu-Qdais (2010) state: “Professionals in olive oil industry estimate the dry olive waste production to be 25% of the olive production. Hence the amount of olive solid waste produced in 2005 was around 27.000 tons. As shown in Table 5. about 29% of the olive waste was produced in the governorate of Irbid.”(p.2231). This method is normally based on technical coefficients drawn from literature and, sometimes, on field experience. Furthermore it strongly simplifyies the representation of the production process. Actually the production requires normally more than input, while the method concentrates on a “critical” input (e.g., the land. in the case of agricultural production). In turn this implies the implicit assumption that the quantities of all the remaining input are used in a fixed proportion with the “critical” input considered. In other words, this approach basically considers an idealized production process which is presumed to account to a large extent for the real processes implemented at the real world units level. According to this method it is necessary to assume that the fixed production coefficients do not vary across the productive organization (e.g., the farms) and the territories investigated. Nevertheless this assumption cannot be easily adopted. Therefore this approach can just provide some tentative, preliminary information. Our approach is based on the analysis of the data collected by the questionnaires. The idea is to estimate the probability of each classes of biomass production – as observed by the questionnaire - on the basis of the sampled units and then using these probabilities to estimate the average yield of biomass We assume that the biomass production is connected to the size of the agricultural areas utilized by the cropping system, therefore, the expected average yield in terms of pruning is: y= ∑ π y (1) where: y Is the expected average yield; n is the number of classes of land; π j is the probability of achieving the yield yj and yj is the yield of the j.th class. The equation (1) simply indicates that in a given territory, the average yield biomass can be estimated by knowing: a) the class of biomass productivity (e.g., 0.0-0.49 tons/ha; 0.5-1.0 tons/hectare etc.) observable in the territory; b) the probability of each class of productivity. We assume that the probability π j is a function of the characteristics of the olive production system: the scale (i.e. the size of the utilized area, the n. of tree, the type of the crop, if specialized or not, the technology of pruning and so forth). The probability π j indicates, of course, how much it is likely to achieve the j.th level of yield in the observed productive system. To analyze the quantitative influence of the technological characteristics of the productive system on the probability π j allows to build up scenarios in which the variation of those characteristics are put in relation with the expected biomass yields and availability. Figure 9 summarizes the approach proposed in the case of biomass proceeding from pruning. Figure 11 A procedure to estimate the production of biomass 53 Classification of the biomass yield with respect to the size of the agricultural areas of the cropping system Estimation of the probability of the yield of each class Calculation of the expected average yield Calculation of the biomass production by class and regions In the case of mills the probability π j is a function of the characteristics of the extraction plant: the type (i.e. 2 phases or 3 phases ), the capacity of the plant and the volume of production.. The probability π j indicates, of course, how much it is likely to achieve the j.th level of yield in the observed productive system. To estimate the probability of each class of production of biomass we refer to the Ordered Logit Models (Greene 2008). Table 27 Estimates of the biomasses production – Pruning (tons/ha) Class of yield I ITALY Average Prob Yield Class Yield yj 0,5 pj 0,20 (yj p j ) 0,101 0,281 0,224 0,0653 0,114 0,121 0,0199 0,055 1,25 0,388 0,485 IV 2,25 0,152 0,342 V VI VII VIII 1,75 2,75 3,25 3,75 4 0,128 0,044 0,014 0,029 0,043 pj (yj p j ) 0,5618 II III SPAIN Average Prob Yield Class 0,046 0,109 0,172 0,2425 0,0728 0,0063 0,0127 0,0187 0,303 0,164 0,021 0,048 0,075 PORTUGAL Average Prob Yield Class pj (yj p j ) GREECE Average Prob Yield Class pj (yj p j ) 0,3181851 0,1590926 0,1171237 0,0585619 0,1029112 0,1800946 0,1467707 0,2568487 0,0282248 0,0776182 0,0630054 0,1732649 0,3908476 0,1078876 0,0088655 0,0175583 0,0255197 0,4885595 0,2427471 0,0288129 0,0658436 0,1020788 0,3405572 0,1988464 0,0210362 0,0436728 0,0689877 0,4256965 0,4474044 0,0683677 0,163773 0,2759508 Table 28 Estimates of the biomasses production – Pomace (tons/mill/year) 54 Class of yield I ITALY Average Prob Yield (yj pj) Class Yield yj 500 II 1500 IV 5000 III V 3000 6000 pj 0.582 291.000 0.139 417.000 0.218 0.048 0.013 327.000 240.000 78.000 SPAIN Average Prob Yield (yj pj) Class pj 0.286 143.000 0.267 801.000 0.224 0.155 0.068 336.000 775.000 408.000 PORTUGAL Average Prob Yield (yj pj ) Class pj GREECE Average Prob Yield (yj pj ) Class 0.699 349.5 0.083 249 0.196 0.019 0.004 pj 0.577 294 0.278 95 0.025 24 0.115 0.005 288.5 417 345 125 30 We used the determined coefficients to have a forecast of the total biomass production at regional level in some of the targeted Countries using data derived from EUROSTAT and National Official Statistics Institutes (ISTAT, INE.es, INE.pt, EL.STAT). 55 Annex 2 – Farm Questionnaire Figure 12 Farm questionnaire 56 Figure 12 continued Farm questionnaire 57 Figure 12 continued Farm questionnaire 58 Figure 12 continued Farm questionnaire 59 Figure 12 continued Farm questionnaire 60 Annex 3 – Mill Questionnaire Figure 13 Mill questionnaire 61 Figure 13 continued Mill questionnaire 62 Figure 13 continued Mill questionnaire 63 Figure 13 continued Mill questionnaire 64 Annex 4 –Simplified Farm Questionnaire Figure 14 English Farm questionnaire 65 Figure 14 continued English Farm questionnaire 66 Figure 14 continued English Farm questionnaire 67 Figure 15 Greek Farm questionnaire 68 Figure 15 continued Greek Farm questionnaire 69 Figure 15 continued Greek Farm questionnaire 70 Figure 16 Portuguese Farm questionnaire 71 Figure 16 continued Portuguese Farm questionnaire 72 Figure 16 continued Portuguese Farm questionnaire 73 Annex 5 – Simplified Mill Questionnaire Figure 17 English Mill questionnaire 74 Figure 17 continued English Mill questionnaire 75 Figure 18 Greek Mill questionnaire 76 Figure 18 continued Greek Mill questionnaire 77 Figure 19 Portuguese Mill questionnaire 78 Figure 19 continued Portuguese Mill questionnaire 79 Annex 6 – Data Bases Architecture Two different applications have been realized each one providing an easy way of consultation, synthesis and analysis of the data collected. That was to meet the different needs and requirements and to better use the data related to the biomass which are organized in excel files: in particular, the two applications have been realized separately and independently due to different structural and architectural configurations which have been chosen and selected. Each application has its own database and tools for consultation, according to the different representations to be offered to the users. The choice to use an Access db environment, which is embedded in the Microsoft Suite, has been suggested by the need to avoiding heavy data base managers such as SQLServer or Oracle. Our purpose was to allow a simple as well as articulated use of data in all the different necessary combinations. The complexity of the implementation was inversely proportional to the ease of use; so this choice required an effort and a concentration in engineering the applications to be implemented in harmony with the demands and needs to be met and satisfied. The second application contains a pivot table which is the optimal solution for the dynamic analysis of tabular data and is extremely easy to reshape. Both the applications indicate that the data used were sourced from the internet and they were treated in line with the privacy law. The first database, “Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: survey”, provides the following information: 1) 6728 email addresses of olive oil mills, olive farmers and olive oil associations, stakeholders, pellets producers, etc. in the Mediterranean area; 2) General Information (Nation - Post code – Age – Education); Olive characteristics ( Farm total area (hectares) - Average age of planting (years) - Olive farming area (ha); Total number of olive trees in the farm; Irrigation; Average yearly yield in Olives (tons/ha); Pruning; Frequency of pruning; Pruning system; Pruning season; Average pruning residues production (tons/plant); Olive tree training shape; Olive Varieties (specify name and percentage of each); Average yearly yield in Olives (Quintals); Total number of olive trees in the farm; Olive growing; Age of planting; Total area (hectares); Irrigation; More common plant density in the farm; Age of planting; Total area (Hectares); More common plant density in the farm; Frequency of pruning; Average yearly pruning residues production (average of the last two years); Pruning residues management (Type and e %); How many Km is the mill far from the farm?; Timing of olive harvesting; How many Km is the mill far from the farm?; Do you know any existing service in your area for gathering and removal pruning residues?; Would you be interested in such a service?; Oil extraction plant; Production capacity of the olive mill; Average yield of the last two years (Quintals); Use of pomace; Use of the pit once separated; Availability of specific areas for pomace treatment and storage in the firm (treatment plants, silos, etc.); Pomace average production in the last three years (ton); How many Km do you need to cover to take pomace to the oil extraction plant?; Which of the following would encourage you at utilizing olive mills residues for energy production? The second database, “Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: Desk Analysis”, has 10 variables related to 1025 Municipalities: 1) Olive area (Hectares), harvested production (tonnes), estimated pruning (tonnes), estimated pomace (tonnes), total biomass (tonnes), electricity consumption (MWh), electricity grossgeneration total (MWh), electricity renewable gen (MWh), Proximity biomass index (tonnes/distance unit), employment rate at province level, employment rate at municipality level., 80 2) Intraregional analysis data Regions: Puglia, Andalucia PUGLIA: Foggia: Accadia; Alberona; Anzano di Puglia; Apricena; Ascoli Satriano; Biccari; Bovino; Cagnano Varano; Candela; Carapelle; Carlantino; Carpino; Casalnuovo Monterotaro; Casalvecchio di Puglia; Castelluccio dei Sauri; Castelluccio Valmaggiore; Castelnuovo della Daunia; Celenza Valfortore; Celle di San Vito; Cerignola; Chieuti; Deliceto; Faeto; Foggia; Ischitella; Isole Tremiti; Lesina; Lucera; Manfredonia; Mattinata; Monte Sant'Angelo; Monteleone di Puglia; Motta Montecorvino; Ordona; Orsara di Puglia; Orta Nova; Panni; Peschici; Pietramontecorvino; Poggio Imperiale; Rignano Garganico; Rocchetta Sant'Antonio; Rodi Garganico; Roseto Valfortore; San Giovanni Rotondo; San Marco in Lamis; San Marco la Catola; San Nicandro Garganico; San Paolo di Civitate; San Severo; Sant'Agata di Puglia; Serracapriola; Stornara; Stornarella; Torremaggiore; Troia; Vico del Gargano; Vieste; Volturara Appula; Volturino; Zapponeta; Bari: Acquaviva delle Fonti; Adelfia; Alberobello; Altamura; Bari; Binetto; Bitetto; Bitonto; Bitritto; Capurso; Casamassima; Cassano delle Murge; Castellana Grotte; Cellamare; Conversano; Corato; Gioia del Colle; Giovinazzo; Gravina in Puglia; Grumo Appula; Locorotondo; Modugno; Mola di Bari; Molfetta; Monopoli; Noci; Noicattaro; Palo del Colle; Poggiorsini; Polignano a Mare; Putignano; Rutigliano; Ruvo di Puglia; Sammichele di Bari; Sannicandro di Bari; Santeramo in Colle; Terlizzi; Toritto; Triggiano; Turi; Valenzano. Taranto: Avetrana; Carosino; Castellaneta; Crispiano; Faggiano; Fragagnano; Ginosa; Grottaglie; Laterza; Leporano; Lizzano; Manduria; Martina Franca; Maruggio; Massafra; Monteiasi; Montemesola; Monteparano; Mottola; Palagianello; Palagiano; Pulsano; Roccaforzata; San Giorgio Ionico; San Marzano di San Giuseppe; Sava; Statte; Taranto; Torricella; Brindisi: Brindisi; Carovigno; Ceglie Messapica; Cellino San Marco; Cisternino; Erchie; Fasano; Francavilla Fontana; Latiano; Mesagne; Oria; Ostuni; San Donaci; San Michele Salentino; San Pancrazio Salentino; San Pietro Vernotico; San Vito dei Normanni; Torchiarolo; Torre Santa Susanna; Villa Castelli; Lecce: Acquarica del Capo; Alessano; Alezio; Alliste; Andrano; Aradeo; Arnesano; Bagnolo del Salento; Botrugno; Calimera; Campi Salentina; Cannole; Caprarica di Lecce; Carmiano; Carpignano Salentino; Casarano; Castri di Lecce; Castrignano de' Greci; Castrignano del Capo; Castro; Cavallino; Collepasso; Copertino; Corigliano d'Otranto; Corsano; Cursi; Cutrofiano; Diso; Gagliano del Capo; Galatina; Galatone; Gallipoli; Giuggianello; Giurdignano; Guagnano; Lecce; Lequile; Leverano; Lizzanello; Maglie; Martano; Martignano; Matino; Melendugno; Melissano; Melpignano; Miggiano; Minervino di Lecce; Monteroni di Lecce; Montesano Salentino; Morciano di Leuca; Muro Leccese; Nardò; Neviano; Nociglia; Novoli; Ortelle; Otranto; Palmariggi; Parabita; Patù; Poggiardo; Porto Cesareo; Presicce; Racale; Ruffano; Salice Salentino; Salve; San Cassiano; San Cesario di Lecce; San Donato di Lecce; San Pietro in Lama; Sanarica; Sannicola; Santa Cesarea Terme; Scorrano; Seclì; Sogliano Cavour; Soleto; Specchia; Spongano; Squinzano; Sternatia; Supersano; Surano; Surbo; Taurisano; Taviano; Tiggiano; Trepuzzi; Tricase; Tuglie; Ugento; Uggiano la Chiesa; Veglie; Vernole; Zollino. 81 Andria: Andria; Barletta; Bisceglie; Canosa di Puglia; Margherita di Savoia; Minervino Murge; San Ferdinando di Puglia; Spinazzola; Trani; Trinitapoli. ANDALUCIA: Almeria: Abla; Abrucena; Adra; Albánchez; Alboloduy; Albox; Alcolea; Alcóntar; Alcudia de Monteagud; Alhabia; Alhama de Almería; Alicún; Almería; Almócita; Alsodux; Antas; Arboleas; Armuña de Almanzora; Bacares; Bayárcal; Bayarque; Bédar; Beires; Benahadux; Benitagla; Benizalón; Bentarique; Berja; Canjáyar; Cantoria; Carboneras; Castro de Filabres; Chercos; Chirivel; Cóbdar; Cuevas del Almanzora; Dalías; Ejido , El; Enix; Felix; Fiñana; Fines; Fondón; Gádor; Gallardos , Los; Garrucha; Gérgal; Huécija; Huércal-Overa; Huércal de Almería; Illar; Instinción; Laroya; Láujar de Andarax; Líjar; Lubrín; Lucainena de las Torres; Lúcar; Macael; María; Mojácar; Mojonera , La; Nacimiento; Níjar; Ohanes; Olula de Castro; Olula del Río; Oria; Padules; Partaloa; Paterna del Río; Pechina; Pulpí; Purchena; Rágol; Rioja; Roquetas de Mar; Santa Cruz de Marchena; Santa Fe de Mondújar; Senés; Serón; Sierro; Somontín; Sorbas; Suflí; Tabernas; Taberno; Tahal; Terque; Tíjola; Tres Villas , Las; Turre; Turrillas; Uleila del Campo; Urrácal; Velefique; Vélez-Blanco; Vélez-Rubio; Vera; Viator; Vícar; Zurgena; Cádiz: Alcalá de los Gazules; Alcalá del Valle; Algar; Algeciras; Algodonales; Arcos de la Frontera; Barbate; Barrios , Los; Benalup-Casas Viejas; Benaocaz; Bornos; Bosque , El; Castellar de la Frontera; Chiclana de la Frontera; Chipiona; Conil de la Frontera; Espera; Gastor , El; Grazalema; Jerez de la Frontera; Jimena de la Frontera; Línea de la Concepción , La; Medina-Sidonia; Olvera; Paterna de Rivera; Prado del Rey; Puerto de Santa María , El; Puerto Real; Puerto Serrano; Rota; San Fernando; San José del Valle; San Roque; Sanlúcar de Barrameda; Setenil de las Bodegas; Tarifa; Torre Alháquime; Trebujena; Ubrique; Vejer de la Frontera; Villaluenga del Rosario; Villamartín; Zahara; Cordoba: Adamuz; Aguilar de la Frontera; Alcaracejos; Almedinilla; Almodóvar del Río; Añora; Baena; Belalcázar; Belmez; Benamejí; Blázquez , Los; Bujalance; Cabra; Cañete de las Torres; Carcabuey; Cardeña; Carlota , La; Carpio , El; Castro del Río; Conquista; Córdoba; Doña Mencía; Dos Torres; Encinas Reales; Espejo; Espiel; Fernán-Núñez; Fuente-Tójar; Fuente la Lancha; Fuente Obejuna; Fuente Palmera; Granjuela , La; Guadalcázar; Guijo , El; Hinojosa del Duque; Hornachuelos; Iznájar; Lucena; Luque; Montalbán de Córdoba; Montemayor; Montilla; Montoro; Monturque; Moriles; Nueva Carteya; Obejo; Palenciana; Palma del Río; Pedro Abad; Pedroche; Peñarroya-Pueblonuevo; Posadas; Pozoblanco; Priego de Córdoba; Puente Genil; Rambla , La; Rute; San Sebastián de los Ballesteros; Santa Eufemia; Santaella; Torrecampo; Valenzuela; Valsequillo; Victoria , La; Villa del Río; Villafranca de Córdoba; Villaharta; Villanueva de Córdoba; Villanueva del Duque; Villanueva del Rey; Villaralto; Villaviciosa de Córdoba; Viso , El; Zuheros; Granada: Agrón; Alamedilla; Albolote; Albondón; Albuñán; Albuñol; Albuñuelas; Aldeire; Alfacar; Algarinejo; Alhama de Granada; Alhendín; Alicún de Ortega; Almegíjar; Almuñécar; Alpujarra de la Sierra; Alquife; Arenas del Rey; Armilla; Atarfe; Baza; Beas de Granada; Beas de Guadix; Benalúa; Benalúa de las Villas; Benamaurel; Bérchules; Bubión; Busquístar; Cacín; Cádiar; Cájar; Calahorra , La; Calicasas; Campotéjar; Cáñar; Caniles; Capileira; Carataunas; Cástaras; Castilléjar; Castril; Cenes de la Vega; Chauchina; Chimeneas; Churriana de la Vega; Cijuela; Cogollos de Guadix; Cogollos de la Vega; Colomera; Cortes de Baza; Cortes y Graena; Cuevas del Campo; Cúllar; Cúllar Vega; Darro; Dehesas de Guadix; Deifontes; Diezma; Dílar; Dólar; Dúdar; Dúrcal; Escúzar; Ferreira; Fonelas; Freila; Fuente Vaqueros; Gabias , Las; Galera; Gobernador; Gójar; Gor; Gorafe; Granada; Guadahortuna; Guadix; Guajares , Los; Gualchos; Güejar Sierra; Güevéjar; Huélago; Huéneja; 82 Huéscar; Huétor de Santillán; Huétor Tájar; Huétor Vega; Illora; Itrabo; Iznalloz; Jayena; Jerez del Marquesado; Jete; Jun; Juviles; Láchar; Lanjarón; Lanteira; Lecrín; Lentegí; Lobras; Loja; Lugros; Lújar; Malahá , La; Maracena; Marchal; Moclín; Molvízar; Monachil; Montefrío; Montejícar; Montillana; Moraleda de Zafayona; Morelábor; Motril; Murtas; Nevada; Nigüelas; Nívar; Ogíjares; Orce; Órgiva; Otívar; Otura; Padul; Pampaneira; Pedro Martínez; Peligros; Peza , La; Píñar; Pinar , El; Pinos Genil; Pinos Puente; Polícar; Polopos; Pórtugos; Puebla de Don Fadrique; Pulianas; Purullena; Quéntar; Rubite; Salar; Salobreña; Santa Cruz del Comercio; Santa Fe; Soportújar; Sorvilán; Taha , La; Torre-Cardela; Torvizcón; Trevélez; Turón; Ugíjar; Valle , El; Valle del Zalabí; Válor; Vegas del Genil; Vélez de Benaudalla; Ventas de Huelma; Villamena; Villanueva de las Torres; Villanueva Mesía; Víznar; Zafarraya; Zagra; Zubia , La; Zújar; Huelva: Alájar; Aljaraque; Almendro , El; Almonaster la Real; Almonte; Alosno; Aracena; Aroche; Arroyomolinos de León; Ayamonte; Beas; Berrocal; Bollullos Par del Condado; Bonares; Cabezas Rubias; Cala; Calañas; Campillo , El; Campofrío; Cañaveral de León; Cartaya; Castaño del Robledo; Cerro de Andévalo , El; Chucena; Corteconcepción; Cortegana; Cortelazor; Cumbres de Enmedio; Cumbres de San Bartolomé; Cumbres Mayores; Encinasola; Escacena del Campo; Fuenteheridos; Galaroza; Gibraleón; Granada de RíoTinto , La; Granado , El; Higuera de la Sierra; Hinojales; Hinojos; Huelva; Isla Cristina; Jabugo; Lepe; Linares de la Sierra; Lucena del Puerto; Manzanilla; Marines , Los; Minas de Riotinto; Moguer; Nava , La; Nerva; Niebla; Palma del Condado , La; Palos de la Frontera; Paterna del Campo; Paymogo; Puebla de Guzmán; Puerto Moral; Punta Umbría; Rociana del Condado; Rosal de la Frontera; San Bartolomé de la Torre; San Juan del Puerto; San Silvestre de Guzmán; Sanlúcar de Guadiana; Santa Ana la Real; Santa Bárbara de Casa; Santa Olalla del Cala; Trigueros; Valdelarco; Valverde del Camino; Villablanca; Villalba del Alcor; Villanueva de las Cruces; Villanueva de los Castillejos; Villarrasa; Zalamea la Real; Zufre; Jaén: Albanchez de Mágina; Alcalá la Real; Alcaudete; Aldeaquemada; Andújar; Arjona; Arjonilla; Arquillos; Arroyo del Ojanco; Baeza; Bailén; Baños de la Encina; Beas de Segura; Bedmar y Garcíez; Begíjar; Bélmez de la Moraleda; Benatae; Cabra del Santo Cristo; Cambil; Campillo de Arenas; Canena; Carboneros; Cárcheles; Carolina , La; Castellar; Castillo de Locubín; Cazalilla; Cazorla; Chiclana de Segura; Chilluévar; Escañuela; Espelúy; Frailes; Fuensanta de Martos; Fuerte del Rey; Génave; Guardia de Jaén , La; Guarromán; Higuera de Calatrava; Hinojares; Hornos; Huelma; Huesa; Ibros; Iruela , La; Iznatoraf; Jabalquinto; Jaén; Jamilena; Jimena; Jódar; Lahiguera; Larva; Linares; Lopera; Lupión; Mancha Real; Marmolejo; Martos; Mengíbar; Montizón; Navas de San Juan; Noalejo; Orcera; Peal de Becerro; Pegalajar; Porcuna; Pozo Alcón; Puente de Génave; Puerta de Segura , La; Quesada; Rus; Sabiote; Santa Elena; Santiago-Pontones; Santiago de Calatrava; Santisteban del Puerto; Santo Tomé; Segura de la Sierra; Siles; Sorihuela del Guadalimar; Torre del Campo; Torreblascopedro; Torredonjimeno; Torreperogil; Torres; Torres de Albánchez; Úbeda; Valdepeñas de Jaén; Vilches; Villacarrillo; Villanueva de la Reina; Villanueva del Arzobispo; Villardompardo; Villares , Los; Villarrodrigo; Villatorres; Málaga: Alameda; Alcaucín; Alfarnate; Alfarnatejo; Algarrobo; Algatocín; Alhaurín de la Torre; Alhaurín el Grande; Almáchar; Almargen; Almogía; Álora; Alozaina; Alpandeire; Antequera; Árchez; Archidona; Ardales; Arenas; Arriate; Atajate; Benadalid; Benahavís; Benalauría; Benalmádena; Benamargosa; Benamocarra; Benaoján; Benarrabá; Borge , El; Burgo , El; Campillos; Cañete la Real; Canillas de Aceituno; Canillas de Albaida; Carratraca; Cartajima; Cártama; Casabermeja; Casarabonela; Casares; Coín; Colmenar; Comares; Cómpeta; Cortes de la Frontera; Cuevas Bajas; Cuevas de San Marcos; Cuevas del Becerro; Cútar; Estepona; Faraján; Frigiliana; Fuengirola; Fuente de Piedra; Gaucín; Genalguacil; Guaro; Humilladero; Igualeja; Istán; Iznate; Jimera de Líbar; Jubrique; Júzcar; Macharaviaya; Málaga; Manilva; Marbella; Mijas; Moclinejo; Mollina; Monda; Montejaque; Nerja; Ojén; Parauta; Periana; Pizarra; Pujerra; Rincón de la Victoria; Riogordo; Ronda; Salares; Sayalonga; Sedella; Sierra de Yeguas; Teba; Tolox; Torremolinos; Torrox; Totalán; Valle de 83 Abdalajís; Vélez-Málaga; Villanueva de Algaidas; Villanueva de Tapia; Villanueva del Rosario; Villanueva del Trabuco; Viñuela; Yunquera; Sevilla: Aguadulce; Alanís; Albaida del Aljarafe; Alcalá de Guadaíra; Alcalá del Río; Alcolea del Río; Algaba , La; Algámitas; Almadén de la Plata; Almensilla; Arahal; Aznalcázar; Aznalcóllar; Badolatosa; Benacazón; Bollullos de la Mitación; Bormujos; Brenes; Burguillos; Cabezas de San Juan , Las; Camas; Campana , La; Cañada Rosal; Cantillana; Carmona; Carrión de los Céspedes; Casariche; Castilblanco de los Arroyos; Castilleja del Campo; Castillo de las Guardas , El; Cazalla de la Sierra; Constantina; Coria del Río; Coripe; Coronil , El; Corrales , Los; Cuervo de Sevilla , El; Dos Hermanas; Écija; Espartinas; Estepa; Fuentes de Andalucía; Garrobo , El; Gelves; Gerena; Gilena; Gines; Guadalcanal; Guillena; Herrera; Huévar del Aljarafe; Isla Mayor; Lantejuela , La; Lebrija; Lora de Estepa; Lora del Río; Luisiana , La; Madroño , El; Mairena del Alcor; Mairena del Aljarafe; Marchena; Marinaleda; Martín de la Jara; Molares , Los; Montellano; Morón de la Frontera; Navas de la Concepción , Las; Olivares; Osuna; Palacios y Villafranca , Los; Palomares del Río; Paradas; Pedrera; Pedroso , El; Peñaflor; Pilas; Pruna; Puebla de Cazalla , La; Puebla de los Infantes , La; Puebla del Río , La; Real de la Jara , El; Rinconada , La; Roda de Andalucía , La; Ronquillo , El; Rubio , El; Salteras; San Juan de Aznalfarache; San Nicolás del Puerto; Sanlúcar la Mayor; Santiponce; Saucejo , El; Sevilla; Tocina; Tomares; Umbrete; Utrera; Valencina de la Concepción; Villamanrique de la Condesa; Villanueva de San Juan; Villanueva del Ariscal; Villanueva del Río y Minas; Villaverde del Río; Viso del Alcor; 84 Screens of Databases Figure 20 Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: survey 85 Figure 21 Database on olive farming and olive industry in the Mediterranean countries: desk analysis 86