OK-FIRST - Oklahoma Climatological Survey
Transcription
OK-FIRST - Oklahoma Climatological Survey
OK-FIRST: A Meteorological Information System for Public Safety Dale A. Morris, Kenneth C. Crawford, Kevin A. Kloesel, and J. Michael Wolfinbarger Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma ABSTRACT The Oklahoma Climatological Survey has supported local public safety agencies (fire departments, law enforcement agencies, and emergency management) through its OK-FIRST program since 1996. OK-FIRST provides real-time use of weather data to help public safety agencies fulfill their respective operational missions. Users are taught how to interpret and apply weather data in their operations. The OK-FIRST system has been applied during a wide variety of weather events, including severe weather, floods, wildfires, and hazardous materials incidents. 1. Introduction As the twentieth century ended, considerable attention had been focused on reducing the losses from natural disasters. To enhance disaster awareness, the United Nations declared the 1990s to be the International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (National Research Council 1991). Mitigation efforts, such as Project Impact operated by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, have illustrated the importance of involving stakeholders in public safety from federal agencies through the local community level. Access to quality information and adequate training for local officials are required for disaster mitigation programs to be successful. These resources also address the other emergency management functions of preparedness, response, and recovery (National Research Council 1991, 1999). Although the general weather information needs of emergency managers and other public safety decision makers are well known, only limited progress has been achieved to provide specific, tailored, and real-time weather information to these users. Several panels (e.g., U.S. Weather Bureau 1964; National Research Corresponding author address: Dale A. Morris, 100 E. Boyd, Suite 1210, Norman, OK 73019. E-mail: [email protected] In final form 20 April 2001. ©2001 American Meteorological Society Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Council 1980) concluded that the “link between meteorological service and the users of weather information was markedly deficient.” Many examples have pointed to communication failures between the meteorological community and local decision makers that dealt with weather hazards like floods [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) 1977, 1991], tornadoes (NOAA 1994, 1997), and severe heat (Changnon et al. 1996). In most cases, the National Weather Service (NWS) produced excellent forecasts; yet, local decision makers either did not receive or did not act upon the NWS information. In other cases, the NWS could not make timely warning decisions because they did not receive critical information from local communities. In short, adequate data communication and dissemination systems designed for local officials—and that are affordable—have not been available. Therefore, decisions affecting the safety and protection of citizens have been made without the benefit of critical and local information. Based upon our perception of a near-complete lack of real-time weather information available to local public safety agencies, the Oklahoma Climatological Survey (OCS) began an initiative in 1996 known as OK-FIRST. Demonstration funding was provided by a telecommunications grant from the U.S. Department of Commerce. The goal of OK-FIRST was to develop a transportable, agency-driven information and support system to help public safety agencies to harness the information age. 1911 The lack of weather information at the community level results from near-zero budgetary support for rural emergency management agencies (most have only one funded or part-funded position and cannot afford commercially available data feeds); an inadequate information infrastructure (modern personal computers and access to the Internet); and local officials who often have very limited knowledge of the available weather information and even less experience in using modern information. Thus, the OK-FIRST program was conceived to include critical elements to address these three deficiencies. First, OK-FIRST would provide access to localized, real-time weather information that consisted of data from the Oklahoma Mesonet (Brock et al. 1995), from regional Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) units through a unique Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD) Information Dissemination Service (NIDS; Baer 1991) data-sharing arrangement, and from the NWS and other agencies. This access was designed for fire, law enforcement, and emergency management officials. Additional elements included instruction on the interpretation and use of the available data and follow-up support on a continual basis. As a result of OK-FIRST, Oklahoma’s public safety personnel have reshaped their work routines when dealing with weather-impacted situations. Rather than simply reacting to weather situations, local officials are proactive and predeploy resources. Local communities have benefited, as OK-FIRST participants have become local focal points for weather information in a wide variety of situations. The emergency manager for the city of Moore, Oklahoma, stated, “the ultimate benefactor of [our response to a recent weather event] was, of course, our citizens and those traveling through, as we had only a very small amount of vehicle accidents during the entire event.” Another participant used information from OK-FIRST that “was critical to provide documentation of the current drought. A state [emergency] declaration for Latimer County resulted.” Senior citizens have benefited because caregivers are informed about dangerous heat and wind chill indices. OK-FIRST information also has been applied forensically. In one case, data from OK-FIRST disproved a murder suspect’s alibi, resulting in an arrest and confession. This manuscript documents the components of the OK-FIRST program, provides an assessment from an independent evaluation, and notes improvements made by rural communities in how they responded to weather-impacted situations. Section 2 details the early 1912 history of OK-FIRST. Section 3 documents the data dissemination system of OK-FIRST, including its Web-based decision-support system. Section 4 highlights the user-support components of OK-FIRST by focusing on the instructional workshops. In section 5, the reader will find details from an independent evaluation of OK-FIRST and about the impact OK-FIRST has had in local communities across Oklahoma. The importance of OK-FIRST to the citizens of Oklahoma is summarized in section 6. 2. History The availability of real-time weather hazard information historically has been nonexistent to public safety officials, especially those outside of major metropolitan areas. However, the Oklahoma Mesonet (Brock et al. 1995), developed as a multipurpose, mesoscale, observing network, addressed this deficiency by providing real-time data to a host of users across Oklahoma. Potential user groups targeted from the Mesonet’s inception included agricultural interests, K–12 education, the meteorological community, and public safety. As the Mesonet was implemented, OCS initiated an outreach program for math and science teachers in 1992 known as EARTHSTORM (McPherson and Crawford 1996). This K–12 project initially provided computers and Mesonet data to 50 teachers across Oklahoma using a dial-up bulletin board system and custom software. Completion of a 4-week educational institute was required so that teachers would develop the necessary computer skills and knowledge of how to use Mesonet data in the classroom. As the WSR-88D network became operational in the 1990s, the NWS implemented the NIDS concept using four private vendors. As a result of market forces and costs incurred by the NIDS vendors, many local public safety agencies were unable to purchase WSR88D data due to budgetary constraints. Even so, local emergency managers often assumed the role of stormspotter coordinator [see the description of the integrated warning system for severe weather provided by Doswell et al. (1999)], and became frustrated knowing that safe and efficient spotter coordination could be facilitated through access to real-time weather radar data, if they could only afford it. Thus, radar data had to be the cornerstone of a weather information system for public safety agencies in Oklahoma. Because of the previous success in rural data dissemination using the Mesonet and EARTHSTORM, opVol. 82, No. 9, September 2001 portunities surfaced for OCS to redistribute NIDS data from 15 radars around Oklahoma at reduced subscription rates (Crawford et al. 1999). With a capability to provide radar data, Mesonet data, and additional products from the NWS and other agencies, OK-FIRST was built upon the foundation of experience gained from the Mesonet and EARTHSTORM. 3. Data dissemination OK-FIRST disseminates weather data to users via a comprehensive Web site. This site was designed and developed based upon information needs expressed by local officials in Oklahoma and from results of a national survey of emergency managers by NOAA’s Forecast Systems Laboratory (e.g., Kelsch 1996). These findings indicated that an information system for emergency managers should include radar data, NWS watches and warnings, other observations such as satellite data, local observations of rainfall, winds, and other surface parameters. Because NWS watches and warnings have been widely available to public safety users via a variety of sources, OK-FIRST directed most of its resources into the delivery of radar data and Mesonet data. a. Data sharing strategy OK-FIRST required an infrastructure to efficiently deliver real-time weather information to a host of rural users across Oklahoma. The strategy to share Mesonet and NIDS data was to deliver “raw,” or unprocessed, data files via the Web so each user could display the data using custom software and popular Web browsers (Netscape Communicator or Internet Explorer). These browser “plug-ins” (Wolfinbarger et al. 1998a,b) reduced server overhead because the weather data files did not have to be preconverted to a displayable format (e.g., GIF images) at a central facility before distribution. Several benefits accrued from this strategy. First, the central server could process requests from many more users at once. This strategy is very important when one considers that, during a typical day with precipitation, ∼90 000 distinct radar products are received at OCS from the 15 radars around Oklahoma. While the volume of Mesonet data products remains small, Mesonet data are provided in a multitude of display formats. Providing complete control of the graphical display on the end-user machine allows the data-dissemination system to be more scalable (i.e., more combinations Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society of Mesonet data displays are possible and additional WSR-88D radars or products can be distributed through the server without substantially increasing the processing requirements at the central site). In addition, software residing on the user’s computer permits a high level of interactivity with the data (e.g., animation, querying of data values, zooming, and scrolling) and maintains intuitive data access via the Web. Moreover, the plug-in software and accompanying Web site software gives each user the flexibility to have a customized set of display preferences for geographic overlays, default radars, and Mesonet parameters. b. Incorporation of user feedback One objective of OK-FIRST was to create an “agency-driven” information system. In other words, the system was to be initially designed and subsequently refined based upon continual input from users to ensure that OK-FIRST would be functional to meet their needs. This goal was achieved through the frequent incorporation of user feedback into subsequent software releases and accompanying Web pages. For example, the first release of the plug-in software simply displayed (Fig. 1a) the NIDS product known as composite reflectivity [CREF; see Klazura and Imy (1993) for details]. A separate text file of the storm attributes was also available (Fig. 1b), although these attributes are embedded within the CREF product. Thus, users manually had to match a given storm attribute with its reflectivity signature to determine if the storm attribute information applied to the user’s location. In other words, the manual process of matching storm V8 in Fig. 1b with its location east of the radar site in Fig. 1a was difficult for some users. Thus, several users inquired if an easier method could be developed to use the storm table. A later build of the plug-in software integrated the display of the storm attributes with the CREF radar image via a “hot” cursor-tracking feature. A graphical overlay of the attributes provided detailed information as the cursor was moved over a specific storm centroid (Figs. 1c,d). Numerous other improvements have been made. These include better rendering of the image data and geographic overlays. The software also was extended to produce time series graphs of Mesonet data on-thefly, cursor-tracking, interactive legends, and easier methods to format and present Mesonet data. c. OK-FIRST Web site content As the plug-in display software evolved, so did the Web pages that supported the plug-ins and other data 1913 sources. The OK-FIRST Web site (Fig. 2) organized data into four categories. First, the NIDS content area provided intuitive access to the entire collection of NIDS products from the 15 WSR-88D units around Oklahoma. This unique approach is a major benefit to OK-FIRST: namely, that analysis and use of radar data occurs using a network approach. For example, a public safety official whose area of responsibility is located midway between Oklahoma City and Tulsa, Oklahoma, can view their area using two or more radar units (e.g., Fig. 3). The advantage is twofold. The public safety official can corroborate image information between multiple radars, and the user can mitigate those rare but real-life situations when a given WSR-88D unit might require maintenance at the most inopportune moment. For example, during the tornado outbreak of 3 May 1999, the WSR-88D unit near the Tulsa area required maintenance. Using OK-FIRST, users in northeast Oklahoma could monitor their areas using the radar units located in Oklahoma City; Fort Smith, Arkansas; Springfield, Missouri; and Wichita, Kansas. The second content area focuses on data from the Oklahoma Mesonet, which is presented in the form of maps and time series graphs. Maps are dynamic station plots, line contour plots, and/or color-filled contour plots of measured or calculated parameters (e.g., temperature, humidity, wind chill index, rainfall, or winds). These maps are important for users to discern significant weather patterns for the development of severe weather or to alert firefighters to impending wind shifts. Time series graphs present daily summaries of Mesonet data for given locations. This type of information has been used in forensic investigations (i.e., airplane crashes and homicides). Other static plots of Mesonet data, like long-term rainfall accumulations and daily temperature extremes, are also available. FIG. 1. Evolution of plug-in software capabilities (displays shown use the composite reflectivity product from the WSR-88D near Oklahoma City at 2151 LT on 4 Oct 1998; range rings are 30 n mi): (a) display using version 3.0 of plug-in software; (b) corresponding storm attribute table; (c) display using version 6.0 of software (arrow represents cursor on storm V8, information about storm V8 appears in legend); (d) storm attributes displayed independently from the radar image plus a 1-h storm projection (circles represent hail algorithms, squares represent the WSR-88D mesocyclone detection algorithm, triangles represent tornado detection algorithm). 1914 Vol. 82, No. 9, September 2001 Access to NWS text products and graphical products is achieved through links to various servers around the United States [including a primary NWS server in Washington, D.C., the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, Oklahoma, and the ArkansasRed Basin River Forecast Center (ABRFC) in Tulsa, Oklahoma]. These servers provide watches, warnings, forecasts, and discussions of current and forecast weather. Among OK-FIRST participants, the Convective Outlook Graphic produced by the SPC is a highdemand product. A fourth section provides access to “other” data sources that include derived products from the Oklahoma Mesonet. These value-added Mesonet products include the Oklahoma Rainfall Update, used during rainy episodes and for real-time drought monitoring, and the Oklahoma Fire Danger Model (Carlson and Engle 1998). This model is based upon the normalized difference vegetation index derived from Advanced Very High Radiation Radiometer satellite data, land use information, and Mesonet weather conditions. Updated many times per day, this model provides detailed maps of overall fire danger, fire intensity, rate of fire spread, and the Keetch–Byram Drought Index (KBDI). The other category also links to other useful weather-related Web sites. These data sources are also organized according to six specific weather hazards (Fig. 4). For example, a section on severe weather includes links to outlooks from the SPC, while the flooding section includes outlooks and guidance products from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC), the ABRFC in Tulsa, and the Climate Prediction Center. Thus, the user can easily determine the current weather threat. A decision-support component of the Web site blends instructional material (section 4) with several categories of current data sources. The products on the decision-support pages are organized by their perceived utility before or during an event (Fig. 5; Table 1). Products of use during a specific event are further stratified by specific subthreats (e.g., radar products for hail detection are base and composite reflectivity and vertically integrated liquid). These products are displayed dynamically based upon the user’s preferences. Annotated examples of specific signatures are included to assist with data interpretation of dry lines, cold fronts, hail cores, tornadoes, floods, high fire danger (Fig. 6), and other hazards. In other words, the OK-FIRST site integrates current weather data with online training materials appropriate for specific weather hazards. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 4. Instructional workshops, user certification, and follow-up support Before gaining access to the OK-FIRST Web site, each participant is required to complete a weeklong workshop. The workshop establishes a baseline of skills in computer literacy and the application of modern weather data in the decision-making process. Workshop participants are selected competitively; a narrative is required about the local community and the applicant’s reasons to participate. Geographic diversity is also a factor in selecting agencies. A preference is given to rural participants (65% of the communities represented have populations of less than 10 000 and 49% have fewer than 5000 residents). The Web site supports the workshops through access to extensive project information and instructional materials. These materials include reference materials on basic meteorology and climatology, severe weather, FIG. 2. Illustration of the “current data” section of the OKFIRST Web site. Content areas are accessed using the four buttons at the top left of the screen (Radar, Mesonet, NWS, and Other). The display is a plug-in image of vertically integrated liquid from the WSR-88D at Frederick, OK, at 1755 LT on 3 May 1999. In the radar section, users can choose any of the NIDS products (buttons on the lower-right panel under the radar image) from any of 15 radars (map on the lower-left panel). Bottom panel illustrates how users customize their geographic overlays. 1915 floods, fire weather, and a comprehensive set of data from 10 case studies. During the workshops, “hands-on” computer laboratory exercises are integrated with lectures (Fig. 7). Typically, lectures introduce concepts while laboratory exercises reinforce the lecture material by using actual radar signatures, for instance. During these exercises, project staff assist participants when they encounter difficulty. Project staff also are available during the open computer lab during most evenings of the workshop. This one-on-one instruction with many of the participants produces additional confidence using the OK-FIRST system. The laboratory exercises are based upon data from actual weather events. Four cases deal with severe weather (a classic tornado outbreak on 26 Apr 1991; a major hail and flood event in Dallas–Fort Worth, Texas, on 5 May 1995; a major hail and wind event in northern Oklahoma on 17 Aug 1994; and a tornado and hail event on 2 Apr 1994). Additional case studies focus on floods, on winter weather, on wildfires using the Oklahoma Fire Danger Model, and on a significant heatburst and wind event (22 May 1996). All laboratory exercises and other instructional materials (including a cross-linked glossary) reside on the Web site so participants can refresh their memory when they return to their local jurisdictions. Throughout OK-FIRST, training workshops beyond the initial institutes were deemed to be essential. Two-day refresher workshops have been conducted periodically since the first weeklong workshop. The refresher courses discussed updates to the software and the Web sites in addition to providing new materials on data interpretation. Refresher workshops provided user feedback, which was incorporated into future software releases, Web page updates, and training regimen. In addition, intensive 2-day workshops for “assistants,” who work and volunteer in trained OKFIRST agencies, covered basic data interpretations. Because of the technical nature of the data, the training, and the frequent updates to the Web site and associated software, a user certification policy was developed based upon near-unanimous feedback from participants. The policy required users to be certified through completion of the weeklong course, and to maintain their certification through the refresher workshops. User accounts are terminated if a user does not participate in a refresher course in an 18-month period. Since the policy was implemented, 91% of the users have maintained their certification. Of those who have FIG. 3. Illustration of the “two-screen mode” available in OK-FIRST, which allows users to display products from any of the content areas. Both images are from 4 Oct 1998: on the left, base reflectivity from Oklahoma City and, on the right, the corresponding image from Tulsa. 1916 Vol. 82, No. 9, September 2001 left the program, most are due to attrition issues not related to OK-FIRST (e.g., retirement, job reassignment). Follow-up support for participants is an important component of the program. This support includes helping individuals to interpret imagery between workshops, to ensure that the most recent software updates have been downloaded and installed, and to solicit user input prior to the next generation of improvements to the OK-FIRST system. In addition, user success stories and criticisms have been collected and data requests have been filled to assist participants in documenting specific events. shops. An independent evaluator determined the effectiveness of the instruction and the impact OKFIRST had on participants’ work habits. The instruction was evaluated through the use of pre- and post-tests, while focus groups provided anecdotal documentation of the program’s impact. Anecdotes (not part of the formal evaluation) also were collected informally by project staff. The project evaluator 5. Program evaluation and impact A formal program evaluation was included during the first three sets of weeklong and refresher work- FIG. 4. OK-FIRST Web page used during flood threats. Users can choose from any of the six “threats” by clicking on the dropdown box in the upper right. The product shown is the Day 1 Quantitative Precipitation Forecast from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. The image expands to full screen when clicked. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society FIG. 5. Example of a decision-support page for use during severe weather. Products are stratified by perceived utility before and during an event. They appear in a new browser window when chosen. The products “during an event” are further classified by a specific “subthreat” (hail, tornadoes, high winds). Interpretation guides for many products are linked for side-by-side comparison with the most current edition of the chosen product. 1917 (James et al. 2000) concluded that “OK-FIRST staff were able to enhance significantly the knowledge and skills of the project participants in a very short period of time. This is even more impressive given the very technical nature of the material and the fact the participants did not come from technical backgrounds.” The formal evaluation provided a quantitative analysis of the effectiveness of the instruction during the workshops. For example, the evaluator provided a questionby-question breakdown plus summarized results by content area. Evaluation results were released periodically to project staff so midcourse improvements in instructional strategies could be made. The evaluator also collected information from participants at a refresher workshop that involved all three classes. This investigated the support provided to the users by OK-FIRST staff. The evaluation determined that 98% of the participants were very satisfied with the OK-FIRST Web site. The participants also had overwhelmingly positive responses about training and support (95% said that the training had helped them a great deal and 97% reported that they were very or somewhat satisfied with ongoing project support). In addition to the formal evaluation, project staff also routinely examine Web site usage statistics. These numbers consist of the total number of downloaded data files classified by radar data and Mesonet data. Between 1998 and 2000, the annual number of Mesonet files downloaded by OK-FIRST participants are 62 628, 126 731, 1918 TABLE 1. Products in the OK-FIRST Decision Support System with their corresponding interpretation guides. Product Interpretation guides Severe weather (before the event) SPC day 1 and day 2 outlooks Example Surface temperature and dewpoint contours Thunderstorm initiation Equivalent potential temperature Thunderstorm initiation and propagation Base reflectivity Dry lines; outflow boundaries; intersections of boundaries Surface temperature contours Cold front Surface dewpoint contours Cold front; dry line Severe weather (hail) Base reflectivity Hail cores Composite reflectivity Hail algorithm Vertically integrated liquid (VIL) Oklahoma VIL/hail climatology Severe weather (tornadoes) Base reflectivity Hook echoes; v-notch; bounded weak echo region Composite reflectivity Mesocyclone algorithm; tornado detection algorithm Base velocity Mesocyclones Storm-relative velocity Rotation couplets Severe weather (winds) Base reflectivity Bow echo Fire weather (before the event) Oklahoma Fire Danger Model Burning index; spread component; KBDI example Fire weather (during the event) Mesonet 2-m and 10-m winds Wind shift example Base reflectivity Thin lines Mesonet stability (1.5- vs 9-m temperature) Stability example Vol. 82, No. 9, September 2001 function, type of Internet access, and the weather patterns. For example, several participants Product Interpretation guides have been able to acquire faster Internet access over the past Winter weather (before the event) several years, allowing them to access the OK-FIRST Web site SPC mesoscale discussion Heavy snow example more frequently. For this and other reasons, product usage Observed thickness and 850-mb Snow and other winter precipitation tends to increase from year to temperature year. This increase also results Winter weather (during the event) from adding participants each year and to increasing appliBase reflectivity Snow in clear-air mode; cation of the weather data to distinguishing precipitation type on-the-job challenges by the Upper-air soundings Freezing rain example; snow example participants. The Web site usage statistics Regional temperature and wind chill Wind chill chart can also be stratified according to each user to reveal product usFlooding (before the event) age patterns or an apparent level HPC quantitative precipitation forecasts Example of interest in using OK-FIRST. For example, all but 24 of the HPC quantitative precipitation discussion Contractions used in discussions registered users had more than 5000 accesses during the year ABRFC regional quantitative precipitation Example 2000. Of the users who accessed forecasts the site more infrequently, 10 SPC mesoscale discussion Example for heavy rain were granted access in December during a weeklong data interABRFC flash flood guidance Flash flood guidance example pretation workshop. Most of the remaining 14 users had not ABRFC 24-h precipitation total Example attended a recent refresher workshop, underscoring the imporFlooding (flash flooding) tance of continuing education Base reflectivity Training echoes for a support program like OKFIRST. 1-h rainfall accumulation (NIDS) Flash flood example Negative criticism of OKFIRST has been very minor. 3-h rainfall accumulation (NIDS) Example The most vocal critics have Storm-total rainfall accumulation (NIDS) Storm-total precipitation and been agencies that were denied flooding; brightband effect access to the program. Although these denials resulted from a Heat and drought design criterion to enforce geographic diversity and to elimiOklahoma Keetch–Byram Drought Index KBDI example nate overcrowded workshops, a Mesonet temperature and heat index Heat index chart few agencies were disturbed when they were rejected and a nearby agency was accepted. and 366 732. Corresponding totals for radar data are Many of the agencies that were originally denied ac936 448, 1 404 988, and 1 959 144. Some care must cess were subsequently approved to participate in later be taken when interpreting these figures, because workshops as the geographic diversity requirement many factors influence them, including participant job was slightly relaxed. TABLE 1. Continued. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 1919 a. Overall impact The overall attitude and response by the program participants can be summarized by the following: • • • • • “I’m proactive now rather than just reactive.” “This is the most fantastic tool emergency managers have ever had.” “Each community can have access to data specifically aimed at their community or region. This allows the emergency manager to check his own specific area while the NWS and TV stations are concentrating their coverage on other areas of the state.” “I don’t know what I’d do without it. I’d probably resign. It’s that important.” (H. Gunter, The Daily Oklahoman, 11 May 1999). “I can look at OK-FIRST and figure out where I need to send spotters rather than just scattering them out across the county and hoping that they are in the right places.” “The number of times storm spotters are activated has been drastically reduced, and when they are activated, it is for a shorter duration. Also, fewer spotters are needed.” Comments collected after specific events highlight specific actions that informed personnel could make. “One spotter was assigned to a location west of Moore. As the storms moved in, our spotter coordinator decided—due to her OK-FIRST display— to move the spotter a couple of miles south. It was this spotter who gave us first knowledge of the Specific benefits with respect to type of weather large wall cloud that eventually spawned the torevent include the following. nado that destroyed/severely damaged a dozen homes and apartment buildings. The spotter’s b. Severe weather call—along with a warning from NWS Norman— User comments about the use of OK-FIRST durcaused us to activate our warning system, and we ing severe weather highlighted more efficient use of provided our residents about 10 minutes of warnresources: ing. There were NO injuries or fatalities from the storm. The spotter later told us (numerous times) that had the EOC not moved him, he would not have been in the proper location to see the wall cloud! This scenario is EXACTLY what OK-FIRST was designed to do! It certainly worked here!!!” (G. Kitch, following a tornado in Moore on 4 Oct 1998). • “Following the devastating storms in Oklahoma City, Moore, and Del City, numerous Logan County police and fire crews were eager to go there to assist. Only by real-time OK-FIRST data were we able to persuade department chiefs that our own threat was not over; that crews and equipment should be retained in our area until several additional supercells capable of producing tornaFIG. 6. Example of a data interpretation guide for the Keetch–Byram Drought Index, one of a series of images produced by the Oklahoma Fire Danger Model. does passed. Thus, emer• 1920 • Vol. 82, No. 9, September 2001 • gency response was still strong in Logan County when we were struck about 90 minutes later. When police and rescue crews arrived at the first Logan County damage site near the city of Crescent, one of the first tasks was to open the highway sufficiently to get an ambulance through from Crescent to the hospital in Guthrie. All efforts were to get that ambulance moving with a critically injured tornado victim. About the time they succeeded, a second tornado approached in the dark. The ambulance and the tornado moved on intersecting paths. Emergency management, aware of both events, was able to stop the ambulance until the tornado had passed just in front of it. The town of Mulhall, devastated by the initial tornado after it passed Crescent, was warned primarily by two law enforcement units sounding their vehicle sirens in the town. The units had been dispatched there by the Sheriff’s office based upon OK-FIRST data. Both units continued warning residents until they were each hit by debris: one by power lines down across his car, the second by a large tree on top of his unit. Both officers were uninjured—and so were all but one Mulhall town resident!” (J. Lewis, following the 3–4 May 1999 tornado outbreak). “I promise you we’d have had deaths in Lincoln County without it. I firmly believe that” (B. Springfield, following the 3–4 May 1999 tornado outbreak). Lincoln County residents were informed by frequent updates broadcast via scanner. As result, these rural citizens took shelter. Mr. Springfield also consulted with other local officials to evacuate the Tanger Outlet Mall, which was later destroyed. No physical human casualties resulted, although the town of Stroud lost its three major employers and over half of its tax base in a matter of minutes. • Mesonet data, I initially detected a wind shift ahead of an advancing cold front. NIDS data from the Oklahoma City radar, in clear-air mode, [also] clearly showed the wind shift line. I then projected a precise arrival time in coordination with the NWS forecaster in Norman, and passed the information to the Incident Commander (IC), giving him 45 minutes lead-time. With the advance warning, the IC refueled, rewatered, and repositioned brush pumpers near structures at the southeast edge of the fire. When the sudden wind shift occurred, equipment was in position to protect two rural houses and several outbuildings. Had the wind shift occurred without warning, the response time to the new head of the fire would have been 5–10 minutes after the IC recognized the wind shift. The exposures on the southeast flank would certainly have been seriously threatened” (J. Lewis, following a wildfire event in Dec 1997). “Our fire dispatchers use the KBDI to page multiple rural fire departments when the values get too high. This way, we can direct more efforts in getting the fires knocked down when they are still relatively small, instead of having them get out of control” (H. Trottier, following a major statewide fire emergency during Sep 2000). d. Flooding • “I used the OK-FIRST system (NIDS and Mesonet) to estimate that 6½ inches of rain fell in southern Pittsburg County. I was able to use that information to call the county commissioners and warn them that a particular bridge might wash away two hours before the bridge was destroyed. The people here in McAlester and Pittsburg County are really sold on the system” (B. Young, Oct. 1997, only days after returning from a weeklong workshop). Several other rural emergency managers prevented even greater tragedies from occurring on 3 May by directing crews from their areas around intervening tornadic supercells as they responded to needs in the Oklahoma City area. c. Fire weather OK-FIRST participants have alerted firemen to approaching wind shifts. Participants at fire departments have their adjusted staffing and operational procedures. • “I used OK-FIRST to forecast a significant wind shift during a large grass fire. From Oklahoma Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society FIG. 7. Workshop of 19 emergency managers during Aug 1999. K. Kloesel is shown delivering a live weather briefing where participants are asked to follow using their computers. 1921 • • “We had an ambulance that needed to transport an individual to a different hospital during a flood. I was able to tell them the latest information about where roads were covered and where they could get through.” “On Christmas Day the river was within 6 inches of flood stage. Instead of having to run down to the river every couple of hours or pulling people away from their families, I was able to use OK-FIRST and see that the crest had already passed and it was going back down.” e. Other situations OK-FIRST has been used during outdoor athletic events, concerts, parades, and festivals to protect the public and provide guidance to event organizers. Local users have disseminated heat index and wind chill values to the elderly and to outside workers. Forensic use includes the investigation following homicides, arsons, and aircraft accidents. Other communities have used OK-FIRST for more efficient scheduling of public works projects and directing evacuations during hazardous-materials incidents: • • • “We had a chlorine gas leak at the water treatment plant. We used current data to assist responding agencies and for evacuation of residents of the area.” “This winter we had a storm moving in. We were able to watch it over the course of a few hours and could tell that the snow wasn’t going to hit us. The city could send the snow crews home and saved a lot of overtime pay.” “I’ve used it on several occasions to assist county commissioners on their road work.” 6. Summary OK-FIRST has convincingly demonstrated that local public safety officials, when properly trained and provided with accurate and real-time weather information, can make decisions beneficial to the protection of life and property and to save precious resources. In addition, OK-FIRST has made the transition from a demonstration project to an annually state-funded program. To date, over 140 public safety officials have been trained. Workshops continue to be conducted as participants are recruited from communities not currently served. The workshops also help to continue local involvement following the attrition of partici1922 pants. Through the process of developing and sustaining the program, OK-FIRST staff have gained considerable experience and knowledge regarding the requirements for decision-support systems that benefit public safety and in the training methods that are most effective for nonmeteorologists. As access to federal radar data becomes less restrictive, the experience gained in Oklahoma should benefit other private and public sector groups who desire to build similar systems. Some interest has been expressed by a few neighboring states in building programs like OKFIRST, although none have formally begun the process. While the legislative mandate of OCS limits its direct involvement in building systems like OK-FIRST outside the borders of Oklahoma, the intellectual property created by OCS is available via licensing and consulting arrangements. However, OCS has also been involved in replicating OK-FIRST to solve problems of other user groups (e.g., rural electric cooperatives). Acknowledgments. OK-FIRST began using a grant from the U.S. Department of Commerce and its Telecommunications and Information Infrastructure Assistance Program (now known as Telecommunications Opportunities Program) of the National Telecommunications and Information Administration. The National Weather Service provided additional funding to help test the decision-support system. Annual support is provided by the Oklahoma legislature through the Oklahoma Department of Public Safety. Additional lesiglative support was achieved through the efforts of Oklahoma State Senator Cal Hobson. Unisys Weather Information Services provided the opportunity to redistribute NIDS data for reduced subscription fees. Assistance in the training workshops has been provided by staff from the NWS Forecast Offices in Norman and Tulsa, the ABRFC and the WSR-88D Operational Support Facility. In addition, the success of the program is largely due to the efforts of the participants themselves. Numerous other individuals contributed to the success OKFIRST. The following present and former OCS staff provided assistance in a variety of ways: Andrea Melvin, Andrew Reader, Christopher Duvall, Renee McPherson, Mark Shafer, Howard Johnson, Tim Hughes, Derek Arndt, Justin Greenfield, Amy Cameron, Cerry Leffler, Mike Wolfinbarger, Brad Stanley, Robb Young, Stdrovia Blackburn, Jared Bostic, Jessica Thomale, Sridhar Kulasekharan, Billy McPherson, the Mesonet field technicians and student operations staff. The evaluation was conducted by Tom James and Paula Long from the Institute for Public Affairs at the University of Oklahoma. The support of Oklahoma Governor Frank Keating is also acknowledged. References Baer, V. 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Conf. on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Ogeanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 44–47. Doswell, C. A., III, A. R. Moller, and H. E. Brooks, 1999: Storm spotting and public awareness since the first tornado forecasts of 1948. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 544–557. James, T. E., P. O. Long, and M. A. Shafer, 2000: An independent evaluation of the OK-FIRST decision support system. Preprints, Second Symp. on Environmental Applications, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40–47. Kelsch, M., 1996: Severe weather information for emergency management decision making. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 597– 601. Klazura, G. E., and D. A. Imy, 1993: A description of the initial set of analysis products available from the NEXRAD WSR88D system. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1293–1311. McPherson, R. A., and K. C. 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