A Stepson of Chechnya A Study of Asymmetrical War in the Modern
Transcription
A Stepson of Chechnya A Study of Asymmetrical War in the Modern
A Stepson of Chechnya A Study of Asymmetrical War in the Modern Era by Conor Tucker Tucker i Preface There are many shortcomings in the following paper, not the least of which is my inexperience as a researcher and writer in military history. I would like to thank all of the interviewees for taking time out to meet with me and share their knowledge, documents, and experiences. I am indebted to Joe L’Etoile for his careful tutoring and reading suggestions, as well as his patient willingness to teach me the history of insurgency and counterinsurgency via email. Lieutenant General Richard Natonski suggested David and McKlendin’s Ideas as Weapons, an edited volume which was essential to my understanding of Information Operations. General James Mattis took the time out of his busy schedule to follow up on an email question by personal phone call. Beyond that, almost every Marine I have had the pleasure to talk to has suggested readings or offered documents, efforts above and beyond their requested participation in interviews. Any strength that this paper shows in the areas of military theory and counterinsurgency doctrine is indebted to their analysis and advice. I would like to thank Professors Stan Brubaker and Matt Leone and other members of PPE board at Colgate University for their financial support through the Lampert Fellowship. I would like to thank Professor Nancy Ries for her early mentorship on the peculiarities of studying the military and violence, both in her class CORE 322 Weapons and War and through her office hours. I need to thank Professor Janel Benson who, without knowing me, pointed me towards Charmaz’ Constructing Grounded Theory – a book without which I would not have known how to conduct interviews. Professor Emilio Spadola took time to converse with me via email about the difficulties of studying war from an academic perspective. His advice on narrowing my questions and his suggested readings have been indispensible. Lastly, I need to thank Professor Andy Rotter for reading drafts of this paper. That being said, analysis and opinions herein contained are those of the author alone, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions or positions of any of my interviewees, professors, Colgate University, Colgate’s Institutional Review Board (IRB), the Institute for Philosophy, Politics, and Economics, or the board of directors for the Lampert Fellowship. Mistakes are mine alone. Tucker ii Table of Contents Preface.………………………………………………………………………………….... i Table of Contents .……………………………………………………………..………...ii List of Abbreviations …………………………………………………………...……… iii Introduction .………………………………………………………………………………1 Chapter 1: Stepchildren of Chechnya . ………………...…………………………..….… 7 Chapter 2: The Two Battles for Fallujah ……………………………………………… 38 Conclusions: The Complexities of Four-Block War...……………….………………… 72 Supplementary Material: Appendix 1 ……………………………………………………………… ……………81 Appendix 2 …………………………………………………………………………… 93 Bibliography ……..………………………………………………………...………….97 Tucker iii A Partial List of Abbreviations 1MARDIV – First Marine Division. 4GW – Fourth generation war. AO – Area of Operations. AQ – al-Qaeda. AQI – al-Qaeda in Iraq. COIN – Counterinsurgency, or counterinsurgency operations. CPA – Civilian Provisional Authority. DoD – Department of Defense. DoS – Department of State. HUMINT – Human Intelligence. IED – Improvised Explosive Device. IO – Information Operations. MEF – Marine Expeditionary Force Military Rank Abbreviations (in order of ascending superiority): Maj. – Major. USMC unless otherwise noted. Lt. Col. – Lieutenant Colonel. USMC unless otherwise noted. Col. – Colonel. USMC unless otherwise noted. BGen. – Brigadier General (one star). USMC unless otherwise noted. Maj. Gen. – Major General (two star). USMC unless otherwise noted. Lt. Gen. – Lieutenant General (three star). USMC unless otherwise noted. Gen. – General (four star). USMC unless otherwise noted. MNF-I – Multi-National Force, Iraq. MOOTW – Military Operations other than War. NCO – Non-Commissioned Officer. OpsO – Operations Officer. RCT-1 – Regimental Combat Team 1. RCT-7 – Regimental Combat Team 7. RoE – Rules of Engagement. SIGINT – Signals Intelligence. SIED – Suicide Improvised Explosive Device; Suicide bomb. UAV – Unmanned Aerial Vehicle. USMC – United States Marine Corps. USA – United States Army. USAID – United States Agency for International Development. VBIED – Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Device; Car bomb. Tucker 1 Introduction The United States can assume that in the foreseeable future all wars conducted against it will be either asymmetrical or hybrid wars. These wars are complicated by multiple interrelated actors and forces, such as the media, the military, the weaponization of political opinion, the rise of non-state actors, and the information revolution. Unlike in conventional war, the actors in asymmetrical war are more closely tied and do not operate in their conventional roles. The media is at the same time the public’s “way of knowing” about the war as well as a weapon which both sides will seek to influence the perception of those watching the news. The military is not only an organization dedicated to the kinetic (physical) destruction of the enemy, but also must utilize and integrate other aspects of non-kinetic national power into the battlefield, including cultural awareness, economic assistance, diplomacy, rule of law, and force building. Political contests become the center of gravity in the struggle, as the asymmetrical actor seeks to influence the preponderant power through political, moral, and economic means. This means, first, that political opinions can easily become weaponized in the battle for perceptions. It also suggests that political opinions and decisions have a disproportionate effect on the battlespace. Non-state actors, increasingly, have access to more and better weaponry and are demonstrating increasing independence from state structures and nationalisms. This paper is a study of how the United States Marine Corps (in the words of David Kilcullen, author of The Accidental Guerrilla) completed “the difficult but essential task of integrating military and civilian actions into a viable political strategy under the archlight Tucker 2 of scrutiny of the international media” while engaged in “the ‘viscous medium’ of ground combat, with its fear hatred chaos and friction.”1 The narrative structure of this paper is one of a failure turned into a success by the hard work and intelligence of the Marines who fought in al-Anbar province during the twelve months that followed February 2004. I focus on two battles fought by the 1st Marine Division (1MARDIV) in April and November, 2004, for the control of the budding insurgency’s physical center of gravity. But, the uplifting story-arc should not fool the reader, for the subtext is one of stress and friction between Washington officials (including some in the Pentagon) and some Marine units fighting in Iraq. The central argument of this paper is that, during 2004, the Bush Administration failed to grasp the complexity of the war it started. In al-Anbar, a concerted and conscious counterinsurgency (COIN) strategy set in place by General James N. Mattis, Commanding General of First Marines, was abandoned by direct and unwarranted interference by the Bush Administration. The argument of this paper should not be read as a critique of politicians inserting themselves into the operational and strategic planning-process of the war. Indeed, the most successful American war-time politicians were not afraid to make such decisions themselves. The argument, here, is that the Bush Administration misunderstood not only the war on which it had embarked, but also the role it needed to play in this new complex, interdependent environment. I will not discuss the evolution of the “Shock and Awe” tactics favored by the Bush Administration. However, this paper intends to show that such tactics were unsuited 1 David Kilcullen, The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One (New York: Oxford University Press, 2009), 4. Tucker 3 for the form of war in which the Administration mired itself. Part of this inadequacy of rapid dominance stems from the fact that the tactics are best suited for conventional war where the center of gravity of the conflict is physical control of the ground, key leadership apparatuses, and institutional infrastructure. Another part of the inadequacy stems from the philosophic underpinnings of the tactics themselves, which presuppose the ability to affect the will of the enemy. In asymmetrical war with non-state actors, this presupposition doesn’t hold. The asymmetrical actor expects to be dominated on the physical battlefield (and therefore would not be psychologically impaired by rapid dominance), yet seeks to use moral and economic pressure to affect the withdrawal of troops. The center of gravity, in such a case, is not physical and thus such an enemy’s will cannot be affected by taking away his physical sources of security.2 In fact, “shock and awe” can backfire by appearing to be excessive force.3 Excessive force could turn the preponderant force’s domestic audience against the political objectives of the military action as well as lose the support of the local population by appearing aggressive, imperialistic, or occupational. The presupposition that an enemy’s will is linked to his physical security is similar to effects-based operations (EBO), which has recently been 2 This does not mean that asymmetrical actors do not need physical sanctuary, but rather that astute asymmetric leaders avoid physical contests and seek to utilize non-kinetic fires to attain their aims. Indeed, in the Second Battle of Fallujah the insurgents misunderstood this and were goaded into a physical, conventional, fight. The importance of sanctuary for insurgencies is also not disputed, and therefore any COIN campaign must remove these physical sites of interest. The point here is that while physical sanctuary is important (and perhaps necessary), the struggle is not for that physical space, but the psychological space known as perception. 3 The paradoxical relationship between the amount of force used and the moral consequence of said force is explained well in William Lind, “The Power of Weakness,” in Ideas as Weapons: Influence and Perception in Modern Warfare, eds. G.J. David and T.R. McKeldin (Washington D.C.: Potomac Books, 2009): 35-38. See also “Draft FMFM 1-A: Fourth Generation War,” http://www.d-n-i.net/dni/2008/08/12/new-draft-offmfm-1a Tucker 4 repudiated in Joint Forces Doctrine.4 To assume that any actor does not have an independent will, or that that will can be changed through calculated physical action alone, is the height of hubris. Contests in the modern era driven by ideologically motivated, non-state actors with sufficient military potential to upset political ventures in domestic and international arenas are inherently wars for perception. At the same time, counterinsurgency operations are man-power intensive, a fact which Rumsfeld’s original plan completely missed. This paper explores the context and evolution of this new complex battle-space and then constructs a history of two battles in Iraq in 2004. This paper is written from the perspective of the Marines who fought in al-Anbar. My interviews were all with Marines at various levels of the command structure during Operations Vigilant Resolve and alFajr, including my father, Colonel Craig A. Tucker (USMC, Ret.). In accordance with IRB requirements, I did not mention that my father was Col. Tucker unless specifically asked by the interviewee. However, most of the interviewees put two and two together. While my access to these interviewees is indebted to my father, it is also one of the primary strengths of this paper. The interviews were varied and dealt with concerns ranging from the strategic and operational goals in the two Fallujah battles to the platoonlevel tactics of house-clearing. This paper draws on interviews of Information Operations Officers, battalion, regimental, and divisional commanders, divisional and regimental operations officers, forward artillery operators, among others. The interviews provide a wide-angled view of Operations Vigilant Resolve and Al-Fajr not available in books 4 See James N. Mattis, “USJFCOM Commander’s Guidance for Effects-Based Operations,” in Joint Forces Quarterly 51 (2008): 105-8. Tucker 5 alone, and this advantage far outweighs any selection bias presented by my connection with the Marines. There is a considerable pro-Marine bias in this paper. However, I believe that my bias has been produced by the research and analysis of the interviews and has not been imposed upon the evidence. The Marine Corps has a history of small wars and since the 1990s has been transforming itself into an organization which can fight “Three [Four] Block Wars” – or wars combining complex urban conflict, humanitarian aid, and diplomatic engagement under the intense pressure of the international media. General Mattis’ Commander’s Intent from Operation Iraqi Freedom II and his “Letter to All Hands” (Appendix 2) clearly show attempts to construct a viable counterinsurgency strategy in Iraq that focused on responsible government, rule of law, and economic assistance. In 2004, the Marines understood their position in this interdependent milieu. The Bush Administration slipped on the learning curve and misstepped a few times in 2004 – the consequences of which are the subject of the present paper. The Media, by most accounts (and especially from those within the institution), is still grappling with its role as both the “Fourth Estate” in the U.S. and its own weaponization by both sides in the current conflict. In 2004, the Marines in al-Anbar understood their position while the other two actors were still grasping for their purpose. This paper is split into two chapters and a conclusion. The first chapter seeks to provide context for the short history of the two battles of Fallujah that follows by analyzing the causes of asymmetrical war, the specific actors and strategies found in Iraq, and the interplay between the military and the Media. The second chapter contains a Tucker 6 narrative of the two battles for Fallujah, Operations Vigilant Resolve and al-Fajr. In the conclusion, the author explores the complexities of the four-block war we know as Iraq. Tucker 7 Chapter 1 Stepchildren of Chechnya In the late 1990s, the then-Commandant of the Marine Corps, General Charles Krulak, made a startling prediction: Desert Storms are over, Operation Overlords are over – the wars of the future will be “stepchildren of Chechnya.” In this new war, moral and political authority was the high-ground and perception was the primary weapon. The longest boot camp in the world got longer, half of Marine Corps artillery was scrapped, and two new airplane designs were not completed. It wasn’t a popular decision, but it seems to have been correct. Many – both civilian and military – in the Pentagon rejoiced about the revolution in military affairs, the new world order, and the clear cookie-cutter victory in Desert Storm. The Marines prepared for another Somalia. In the words of General James Mattis, Krulak “had taken the Marine Corps apart on its view of war and put it back together… The whole idea was that you change your view of war, you change your equipment, your organization even.”5 While the Pentagon lavished its dream victory in Desert Storm, the Marines began a long slog through a nightmare. Wars of the future would be, in Krulak’s terms, “Three Block Wars.” On the first block, the Marines would be engaged in multi-directional, 5 Unless otherwise noted, quotes and opinions of Marines are taken from interviews done by the author and will not be cited individually. All interviews are in the possession of the author. Due to IRB requirements, the original voice recordings have been destroyed. However, full transcriptions are available upon request. Certain opinions will not be sourced to the Marines who hold them due to professional promises made by the author to his interviewees or if the opinions raise ethical questions on the part of the author because the Marine is still active duty and may, some day, come under the command of someone with a different opinion. Tucker 8 intense urban combat. On the second block, Marines would be handing out humanitarian supplies. On the third block, Marines would be keeping warring factions apart. James Mattis and Frank Hoffman, in the early 2000s, conceptualized of a fourth block. On that block, Marines were dealing with domestic and international media.6 This view of war is filled with uncertainty, cruelty, complications, and contradictions. It is a war that was difficult to teach Marines and dangerous to wage. It is a war that required taking acceptable risk, not placing fixed security on the flanks of platoons, and waiting to take a casualty before engaging the enemy. It is a war that that requires Marines to hand out humanitarian aid, knowing full well that at any minute they could be embroiled in intense three hundred and sixty degree urban combat, and that media is watching their every move. According to Lt. Gen. Joseph Dunford, U.S. success is based on the flexibility of the troops: “I can think of several stories where Marines were in a close fight, very intense urban combat, and yet came upon innocent civilians and were able to turn on and off, you know, the killing of people at almost a moment’s notice.” In many cases, though, the situation was more nightmarish. In the four-block war we call Iraq, Marines made the decision to use live grenades instead of a flash-bangs, or non-lethal explosives designed to stun, in house entries – and killed civilians in the process. In the next house, they made the decision to use flash-bangs, and Marines were killed or wounded because the nonlethal weapon barely stunned the machine-gunner dug into the back wall. At each step, the media was constantly questioning: Why did you not use flash-bangs to protect civilians? Why did you not use grenades to save your comrades? 6 James Mattis and Frank Hoffman, “Future Warfare: The Rise of Hybrid Wars” U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 131 (11) (Nov. 2005): 18-19. Tucker 9 The primary feature of the current and future U.S. battle-space is increasing complexity. The increase in communications technology, editorial and commercial shifts in the U.S. media, the backlash against increasing economic, social, and military globalization, the rise of non-state actors with sufficient military potential to upset state and international political goals, and the preponderance of U.S. military force contribute to the complex international arena in which the United States conducts foreign policy. The purpose of this chapter is to describe the factors which contributed to the rise of the stepchildren of Chechnya, and discuss the specific instances of these factors in Iraq. Context The precursor to that[operational planning] is getting the context right, or what is called design. The first thing you do is identify the problem. - - General James N. Mattis The most important task of any military or political leader, if I am allowed to extend Clausewitz’ military thought to politics, is to define the war on which they are about to embark and not mistake it for, nor assume it to be, something it is not. This section will set up the context for Iraq in early 2004, when then-Major General James Mattis, Commanding General of the First Marine Division (1MARDIV), arrived in Iraq to take over command of the al-Anbar Province. This section will define the key aspects of the context in which the U.S. is conducting war and the key processes which have contributed to the rise in asymmetrical strategies and tactics and the broad responses developed by the Marines to such strategies and tactics. Tucker 10 First and foremost, the modern era is characterized by the sharing and spread of information. This sharing happens in great quantities and at high speeds through the internet, on cell phones, across airwaves, and through inter-personal contact due to the increased ease of tourism and travel enabled by cheaper and faster flights. The rapid expansion of the internet (which from 1993 to 2000 increased in size from 50 to 5,000,000 websites)7 the increase in numbers of people with access to the internet (currently approaching 2 billion), and the decreased cost of hosting and sending information have created an environment where the cost of entry is low and the potential audience is enormous. Cell phones have become a staple of modern life, even in third world countries. After the 2003 invasion of Iraq, the Iraqi cell phone market survived and patchy service was available. In the United States, this information-sharing is regulated, in a large part, by the main-stream media, an important factor which the last section of this chapter will address. The internet amplifies the effect of globalization while at the same time contributing to the phenomenon. Joseph Nye, a Harvard political scientist, suggests that there are three types of globalization: economic globalization, social globalization, and military globalization. Economic globalization is the most familiar and is characterized by the increasing economic integration of countries. Social globalization is the spread of cultures, peoples and ideas.8 Since this form of globalization follows closely on the heels of economic globalization and is enhanced by the communications revolution, the primary message of social globalization is American. While the United States has no 7 Joseph Nye, The Paradox of American Power: Why the World’s Only Superpower Can’t Go It Alone (New York: Oxford University Press, 2002), 42. 8 Nye, 83. Tucker 11 formal mechanisms to control its cultural output,9 the central message is still branded as “American.” David Kilcullen, an Australian counterinsurgency (COIN) expert and special advisor to General David Petraeus during the Surge, believes that a backlash against economic and social globalization explains pieces of al-Qaeda’s (AQ) general philosophy and appeal. Regardless of whether or not globalization is a form of American Imperialism, it is perceived as American cultural and economic imperialism.10 This perception of American Imperialism contributes to the formation of anti-American nonstate actors in two ways. First, it motivates recruits. Second, the preponderance of U.S. force encourages non-friendly states to resort to non-state pressure to attain political aims. Military Globalization complicates this situation even more. After the end of the Cold War, there was a short trend of military deglobalization, as the distant proxy wars died down.11 However, with the rise of social globalization, terrorism and humanitarian missions undertaken by military forces have become new mutations of military globalization. U.S. intervention in humanitarian disputes is known in U.S. Joint Forces Doctrine by the unwieldy phrase Military Operations Other Than War (MOOTW).12 These operations include intervention, counterterrorism, and humanitarian missions. However, the intent of MOOTW can easily be misinterpreted, in light of perceived economic and cultural imperialism, as imposition of American will, or a physical manifestation of American Imperialism. MOOTW in foreign countries can be easily 9 Nye, 72. David Kilcullen, The Accidental Guerilla, 9. 11 Nye, 87. 12 Joint Vision 2010. For a more in depth, and much more critical, treatment of the topic, see Cols. Qiao and Wang, Unrestricted Warfare: China’s Master Plan to Destroy America, trans. by Al Santori, (Panama City, Panama: Pan American Publishing Company, 2002), 36-44. 10 Tucker 12 manipulated as American Imperialism by non-friendly (although, not necessarily “enemy”)13 actors. In some ways, the United States’ attempt to provide humanitarian assistance may complicate the attainment of its foreign policy goals. Operations undertaken with the intent of alleviating humanitarian crises may be portrayed as imperialist land-grabs unless a sufficient media campaign is undertaken as a supporting operation. Terrorism and other forms of non-state actor violence is also an important feature of military globalization. Nye conceptualizes terrorism as the “privatization of violence.”14 Such a distinction is helpful in understanding why individuals ideologically connected to sub- or supra-state organizations would engage in “irregular” war in order to attain political or ideological goals. Without the recourse to or the resources of a state, and with access to information and materiel, non-state actors are able to further their political or ideological goals through “private” violence, rather than the more expensive and more constrained “public” violence of police forces and state militaries. The last century has seen a rise in the number and power of non-state actors. Nye defines non-state actors broadly – containing anything from the United Nations to multinational corporations, to banks, to terrorist groups.15 Each non-state actor has varying powers and are only linked by the fact that they owe their allegiance (either financially or ideologically) to something other than a “nation-state,” yet may have drastic effects (either positive or negative) on said “nation-state.” Such actors have always been around, 13 This is an important distinction, as all “non-friendly” actors are not necessarily “enemies.” For instance, an Iraqi farmer may be upset with American Marines driving their tanks through his field or scaring his goats, and may express his anti-American sentiment very loudly. However, this does not mean that he is an “enemy” of the U.S. He would perhaps not build an IED, but he would throw his shoe. He does not “hate” Americans so much as he “hates” their direct effect on him, and the most-popular way to express that is through anti-Americanisms. 14 Nye, x. 15 Nye, 43. Tucker 13 but in the modern era they exercise increasing autonomy from states.16 For example, it is now easier for multinational companies to relocate headquarters to tax havens (and therefore drastically change GDPs) and factories to states with less stringent labor laws (and therefore change unemployment rates). At the same time, groups who wish to combat perceived American Imperialism can do so through private means, or terrorism. The growth of non-state actors must be seen in the context of the falling incidence of reliance upon and loss of legitimacy of certain nation-states and nationalisms. When a group is unable to have its needs fulfilled by a state, it can turn to non-state tactics to attain its desired ends. These non-state actors with sufficient military potential and independent ideological or political goals are who the U.S. military is fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan. The internet has facilitated the growth of non-state actors. T.X. Hammes, an American military theorist, has pointed out that the internet provides a forum for “free association across boarders.”17 The internet, in its current form, is a neutral conduit. It can easily be used to link and organize the International Campaign to Ban Land Mines (which was, after all, started on and continues to grow via the internet). At the same time, the same internet can be used to spread AQ’s takfiri18 ideology of Islamic civil-war and state overthrow. These free associations may hold more ideological sway with their members than national affiliations. This makes them difficult to negotiate with and dangerous if, as 16 For a short history of the growth of autonomous non-state or supra-state organizations, see Martin van Creveld, “Technology goes International,” in The Rise and Decline of the State (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1999), pp. 377-394. 17 T.X. Hammes, The Sling and the Stone: On War in the 21st Century (St. Paul, MN: Zenith Press, 2004), 40. 18 A takfiri belief system is a radical, fringe-of-the-fringe Islamic ideology which is repudiated by the majority of Islamic holy men and scholars. For a contemporary American analogy, think of the Westboro Baptist Church. Tucker 14 the Department of Defense feared in the 1995 Joint Vision 2010, they gain “sufficient military potential” to disrupt national and international political agendas.19 It is this feature, the non-state actor with “sufficient military potential,” that is the most visible and dangerous force in the 21st century international environment. The rise of non-state actors and the use of asymmetrical tactics must also be understood in the context of the preponderance of American military force. The United States military has no equal in the world. With nuclear weapons, the United States can destroy any nation it wishes. Without nuclear weapons, U.S. airpower could bomb any city into Carthaginian dust. The United States military yearly invests billions of dollars into training and retraining its officers and enlisted soldiers to think faster, organize quicker, and kill better than any other national force in the world. Thus, it is no surprise, says Kilcullen, that no one fights them mano y mano.20 Instead, opponents of the United States adopt asymmetrical or hybrid warfare. Asymmetrical warfare requires that the enemy shift the center of gravity21 of the war into the political, economic, or moral arena. Such opponents may bleed the military through its logistical lines with high-profile attacks or attack civilian targets or any other form of high-profile violence in order to convince those making political decisions (in this case, the Federal Government and the U.S. populace) that what they want is not worth the price they will have to pay for it or the time it will take to win. Hybrid warfare is warfare which General Mattis and Frank Hoffman call an “unprecedented synthesis,” a method of merging different types of war – 19 Joint Vision 2010, 10. Kilcullen, 22. 21 The U.S. Department of Defense defines “center of gravity” as “The source of power that provides moral or physical strength, freedom of action, or will to act.” 20 Tucker 15 terrorism, irregular, guerrilla, conventional, etc. – and a selection of techniques and tactic appealing to the fighter.22 Non-state actors may utilize asymmetrical strategies to force state actors to bend to their will, and state actors may financially sponsor certain non-state actors to attack preponderant forces (such as the United States). Mattis and Hoffman explain the phenomenon thus: “Our [American] conventional superiority creates a compelling logic for states and non-state actors to move out of the traditional mode of war and seek some niche capability or some unexpected combination of technologies and tactics to gain an advantage.”23 As in conventional war, the point of asymmetric war is a “violent clash of interests” where political power is the central issue.24 However, while asymmetric war is conducted through violent means, the center of gravity of the conflict is not physical, but rather political, social, or economic. Asymmetrical warriors realize that they cannot defeat preponderant powers physically, so they apply indirect pressure on their enemy’s political, moral, and economic support with the hope that they will be able to compel the removal of their enemy’s forces without a conventional contest. In conventional war, the defeat of an army signals the defeat of a political mission – thus, the defeat of Napoleon at Waterloo signaled both his political demise and the demise of the political system he put in place. Asymmetrical war is different. In 1940 the U.S. Marine Corps published the Small Wars Manual – a manual built on almost half a century of Marine expeditionary action against asymmetrical enemies, including actions in the Phillipines, Nicaragua, 22 Mattis and Hoffman. Maddis and Hoffman. 24 U.S. Army and Marine Corps, The Counterinsurgency Field Manual: U.S. Army Field Manual No. 3-24; Marine Corps Warfighting Publication NO. 3-33.5 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2007), 1-2. Henceforth, Counterinsurgency. 23 Tucker 16 Haiti, and the Dominican Republic.25 Asymmetrical war, the Manual explains, is not won by destroying an army. Asymmetrical war requires the combination of “physical and moral means.”26 Strategies and tactics found in the Manual were employed by First Marines during 2004 in al-Anbar. Some people have mistaken this shift in strategic focus for a shift in the nature of war. T.X. Hammes, in his book The Sling and the Stone, advocates a “generational view” of war – in which the nature of war shifts in accordance to political, economic, social, and technological changes.27 Hammes believes that we have entered the Fourth Generation of War, or 4GW. 4GW is characterized by an enemy who “uses all available networks – political, economic, social and military – to convince the enemy’s political decision makers that their strategic goals are either unachievable or too costly for the perceived benefit.”28 I think that Hammes is confusing methods with purpose; confusing shifts in strategy with shifts in the fundamental principles governing the Nature of War – which has always been about compelling another actor to do your will through violent means. In WWII (and I would argue in almost all wars since the beginning of time) all of the networks mentioned above were indeed geared toward the war effort at some level or another. The U.S. mobilized political will (a Declaration of War against Germany and Japan), economic power (industrialization and government purchasing power), social consciousness (through a concerted propaganda machine) and military action (in North Africa, Europe, and the Pacific) to compel Germany and Japan to accept the political 25 For a full discussion of each of these campaigns, and their contribution to the institutional knowledge contained in the Small Wars Manual, see Col. Stephen S. Evans, U.S. Marines and Irregular Warfare, 1987-2007: Anthology and Selected Bibliography (Quantico, VA: Marine Corps University Press, 2008). 26 The Small Wars Manual (USMC, 1940), I-V, 7. 27 Hammes, 16. 28 Hammes, 2. Tucker 17 goals of the United States (unconditional surrender and the restoration of American Allies’ territorial integrity). The U.S. attacked Axis political will (through bombing civilian centers), social consciousness (through propaganda), economic power (firestorm bombing of industrial cities), and military (in North Africa, Europe, and the Pacific). What Hammes is describing is not a shift in the nature of war, but a shift between different types of warfare which have different natures. These shifts are not evolutionary in nature, but result from a process of selection. General Mattis explained it this way: The enemy has an independent will, and “will always move against your point of perceived weakness.” Those wishing to violently contest American political aims cannot do so with the tools of conventional war, so they switch to the tools of asymmetric war. Hammes would have us believe that the hammer evolved from the saw, when in fact they are simply different tools with different purposes. The Actors and their Strategies A gun gives you the body, not the bird. -- Henry David Thoreau In this section of the chapter, I will focus on the conflict in Iraq circa 2004. Here, I will explore the key actors in Iraq in early 2004, their strategies, and the responses of the U.S. military. This study was done without access to the insurgency’s personnel and documents, and therefore is dangerously heavy with U.S. evidence. Part of the purpose of this section is to shed light on perceived strategies of the insurgency, to look at the two battles in 2004 with their strategy in mind. First, as a caveat, I would like explain a few choices in terms. I will refer, throughout, to anti-American actors, both state and non-state as “insurgents” even though Tucker 18 some of the actors are Iraqis and no monolithic “insurgency” exists. I use the term “insurgents” for two reasons. First, almost everyone will understand if I describe “insurgents” in Iraq, even if nuances between the groups have to be explained. Second, Kilcullen fears that the way language describes the conflicts and actors Americans find themselves engaged with (irregular combat with nonstate actors employing unconventional tactics)29 shapes American political response, shapes the way Americans communicate their actions and the actions of their opponents, and shapes the way the public views these actors. It is true that from the standpoint of westernized military doctrine, nation-states, nationalisms, and laws of war they are dealing with “irregulars,” “non-state actors”30 and “unconventional tactics.” But, the negative prefixes only serve to cloud understanding of combat with new actors employing very old tactics. Their tactics have been around since before Thucydides31 and will be around long after Al-Qeada in Iraq (AQI), Osama bin Ladin, Muqtada al-Sadr, and followers of Abu Musab al-Zarqawi are gone. Calling the war irregular or unconventional clouds more than it clears. It is for this last reason that I will also refer to the conflict as “asymmetrical,” rather than “guerrilla” or “irregular” war. The violence in Iraq in 2004 was, and still is today, complex and difficult to understand. By most accounts the political aim of the insurgents in the Iraq conflict is 29 Kilcullen, 295. The term “non-state actors” is very difficult to purge from this paper, however. Its descriptive power is such that in certain instances I find it justified to use the term “non-state actor,” even though it, perhaps unnecessarily, contributes to the confusion of the legitimacy of the claims of the actors. There are two instances where I will use the term “non-state actor” freely, when I am referring to the general class of “institutions acting in the international arena but without the formal authority, duties, responsibilities, and trappings of a state” or to the specific class of “sectarian militias with no legal authority to exercise violence.” 31 For a good treatment of insurgencies through history, see Robert Asprey War in the Shadows: The Guerrilla in History, 2 vol. (New York: Doubleday, 1975). 30 Tucker 19 confused.32 Multiple actors produce multiple layers of political aims that range from the re-establishment of Sunni Ba’athist control to the establishment of an Islamist Caliphate in Baghdad to anarchy as a smokescreen for criminal activity to local family or tribal political aims. At the same time, much of the violence in this conflict was civil and sectarian in nature. The blurred lines between what was “anti-Coalition” or “antiAmerican” violence and what is “anti-Sunni” or “anti-Shia’” or “anti-Kurd” violence makes this conflict hard to describe as an insurgency – even though it still retains the characteristics of asymmetrical war. Indeed The Counterinsurgency Field Manual (henceforth, Counterinsurgency) mentions that elements of civil war will be present in almost any asymmetrical campaign.33 The insurgents in Iraq are varied in composition, ideological commitment, and strategies. In 2004, they broke down, broadly, in to three categories: Former Regime Elements (FREs), Sunni Islamists and Takfiris, and criminals. These three categories will be most important to understanding insurgent politics and strategies in al-Anbar province. FREs were comprised of Saddam loyalists and former army officers. Before Saddam Hussein fell, his army set up weapons caches around the country in order to prevent the capture of all of their equipment by the U.S. Military.34 It is possible that he or his army consciously planned to wage an asymmetrical war against the United States after the conventional failure. FREs, at least until mid-2004, were the main instigators of violence. 32 This has been the majority opinion of most of the Marines in positions to speak about insurgent composition. Also, see Anthony Cordesman Iraq’s Insurgency and the Road to Civil Conflict (Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, 2008) vols. 1 and 2. 33 Counterinsurgency, 2. Although, students of Mao’s On Guerrilla Warfare (trans. Samuel Griffith (New York: Frederick A. Praeger, Inc., 1962)) will realize that this is detrimental to any guerrilla or insurgent campaign: civil struggle prevents “internal purity” – which should perhaps be read as “unity” - among the ranks of the guerrillas or insurgents (Mao, 48). 34 Cordesman, 51. Tucker 20 Their goal was the return of political control to the Sunni minority Ba’ath Party. They were well armed, fairly well organized (although not hierarchically), and had money to pay for mercenaries and contract attacks (such as Improvised Explosive Devices, IEDs, and Suicide/Vehicle-Borne IEDs, S/VBIEDs). Their main strategy was to destabilize or delegitimize the American military, Civilian Provisional Authority (CPA), and any Iraqi government that the previous two elements propped up. Sunni Islamists and Takfiris were comprised of foreign fighters (including alQaeda in Iraq) and radical Islamist Iraqis. They introduced S/VBIEDs into Iraq and were the first to start targeting Iraqi civilians in order to seed civil discontent.35 They were dependent upon Syria as a staging ground for attacks and logistical lines into Iraq. This made al-Anbar Province in general and the cities of Husaybah/al-Qa’im, Hadithah, and Fallujah in particular, strategic as both logistical supply lines and as the insurgents’ center of gravity.36 At the same time, Iranian monetary support, if not direct physical support, was showing up in the form of advanced weapons and IED manufacturing.37 Criminals comprise the last of the broad “insurgent” species. The city of Fallujah had been a smuggling haven for centuries, and was a lawless sanctuary for smugglers and criminals under Saddam Hussein.38 This made Fallujah and its environs a center of criminal activity in Iraq. A period of lawlessness followed the American conquest of Baghdad, which increased the number of Iraqi citizens participating in the Iraqi criminal 35 Cordesman, 54. Cordesman, 55. Interviewees have also confirmed this finding. 37 Interview, Lt. Col. Phil Zeman. 38 John Ballard, Fighting For Fallujah: A New Dawn for Iraq (Santa Barbara, CA: Greenwood Publishing Group, 2006), 3-5. 36 Tucker 21 network.39 This final section of the insurgency was willing to make marriages of convenience with any group or faction willing to turn a blind eye to its criminal activities. As such, they supported the destabilization of law and order. These three categories are not all inclusive and leave out the sectarian organizations which contend against each other as well as U.S. military forces. Various Sunni, Shia’, and Kurdish militias are responsible for sectarian violence, further clouding the complicated pattern of violence in this ever-shifting non-state conflict.40 Insurgent strategies are complex and varied. They vary by commander and are an art more than a science. Inventive insurgent leaders continually rethink their strategies and innovate to keep one step ahead of their counterinsurgent enemies. Broadly, they rely on sanctuary (either external or internal), disorder (both political and physical), support from the populace (to retain their sanctuary or operations), and media attention (the conduit though which they influence their enemy’s political resolve). In the words of Mattis and Hoffman, the insurgent strategy is to “accumulate a series of small tactical effects, [and] magnify them through the media and by information warfare, [in order] to weaken U.S. resolve.”41 Three AQ tactics prove very effective at achieving these strategic goals. First, AQ provokes retaliation from a larger power with a spectacular attack. 9/11 was designed not to inflict irreparable harm on the United States, but to elicit an over-reaction. Second, intimidate local leaders, government officials, and civilians into 39 Cordesman, 57. How, for instance, are we to classify Sadr’s Madhi Army? He is Shia’, and therefore not truly an FRE (who are mostly Sunni). He is religious, and preaches a violent theology to justify his actions, but he is not Sunni Islamist. But he is not, necessarily, a criminal. He is most accurately described as a religious Iraqi nationalist – a category which spans the divide between FRE and Sunni Islamists – but not assimilated into the national government (at least not in 2004). 41 Mattis and Hoffman. 40 Tucker 22 support for AQs goals and methodology. Third, prolong the conflict, hoping to create a protracted engagement that drains its attacker physically and economically. The United States has spent approximately $1.4 million in Iraq and Afghanistan for every dollar that AQ spent on the 9/11 attacks.42 The successful application of these tactics (provoke, intimidate, protract) produces what David Kilcullen describes as the “Accidental Guerrilla Syndrome:” AQ moves in, intimidates the populace, provokes an attack by an outside power which forces the local populace to accept and support AQ (either that or become an American Imperialist’s puppet), focuses the population’s anger against the aggressor, and protracts the conflict.43 By 2004, the American military had proven itself to be the strongest conventional force in Iraq. After conquering Baghdad, however, a series of strategic mistakes were made in the regions of conflict termination, stability, and nation building.44 The mistakes made by the military and the CPA at the national strategic level in the later months of 2003 would lay the foundation for the insurgency in years to come. Lack of stability operations, lack of effective police force, the inability to recruit and stand up a legitimate Iraqi government, the failure to create an effective police force, the dissolution of the Iraqi military, the lack of coordination between aid organizations and the military, insufficient numbers of military personnel to secure key pieces of infrastructure, the inability to prove their causus belli, lack of effective civilian leadership and expertise within the CPA, and the inability to foresee the emergence of guerrilla opponents all 42 Kilcullen, 274. Kilcullen, 34-37. 44 Cordesman, 6. See also Thomas Ricks, Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq (New York: Penguin Books, 2007). Ricks traces the evolution and consequences of these strategic failures in the early years of the war. 43 Tucker 23 contributed to the growing insurgency and shrinking ability of U.S. forces to deal with it.45 Many of these failures rose from the Bush Administration’s planning process in the run up to the war,46 but some of them were built into the national command apparatus. For instance, the inability to provide effective aid and effective civilian leadership is institutional. In terms of personnel, Defense is 210 times as large as State and USAID combined. When compared monetarily, the ratio of Defense to State and USAID funding 350:1.47 In real terms, this means that the civilian teams sent to run Iraq had no experience running organizations as large as Iraq and weren’t funded as well as the military to do their jobs. One lesson learned from this period, and one which is now doctrine in Counterinsurgency, is that “Military efforts are necessary and important to counterinsurgency efforts, but they are only effective when integrated into a comprehensive strategy employing all instruments of national power.”48 In 2004, the United States was not doing that job very well. Historically, there has been much tension between the various branches of the Armed Forces. This tension is especially evident between the two land-based infantry combat branches, the U.S. Army and the U.S. Marines.49 The U.S. military establishment has done a very good job of integrating across the military branches. The military, however, has not been as successful in integrating 45 List can be found in Cordesman, 13-15. See also Ricks, Fiasco, and Ricks The Gamble: General David Petraeus and the American Military Adventure in Iraq, 2006-2008 (New York: Penguin Books, 2009). 46 For broad overviews of these failures, see Ricks, Fiasco and Bob Woodward, Plan of Attack (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2004). 47 Kilcullen, 286. 48 Counterinsurgency, 53. 49 A good summary of the post-WWII interservice clashes can be found in Matt Matthews, “Interservice Rivalries,” in “Operation Al-Fajr: A Study in Army and Marine Corps Joint Operations” (Combat Studies Institute Press: Fort Leavenworth, Kansas), pp. 5-9. A pdf is available at www.cgsc.army.mil/carl/resources/csi/csi.asp Tucker 24 other elements of national power with war efforts. Part of this oversight is due to key leadership personalities. Thomas Ricks reports that even through May 2006, thenSecretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was unwilling to provide security for the State Department Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRT). One Pentagon official remembers thinking “Well, you fucking idiot, that’s your ticket out of Iraq.” 50 There are many reasons that Rumsfeld would not have wanted to secure the PRTs. First, U.S. forces were spread too thin to spare too many forces for security details. Second, the military was trying, very hard, to contract local Iraqi labor for construction projects. The main reason, and the main theme of Ricks’ newest book The Gamble, is that the political leadership in Washington had mistaken the kind of battle that the military was fighting. Yet this anecdote alone, to a certain extent, misses the larger point. If the State and Defense Department objectives and operations were properly aligned on an institutional level and reinforced through joint training, the question of whether Rumsfeld would provide protection for Rice’s PRTs would never have been an issue. In 2004, a military built for dominant maneuver, precision engagement, and full-dimensional protection found itself besieged by an insurgent force using low-tech, high-profile/lowprecision attacks. In Lt. Gen. Natonski’s opinion “too often we try to put too much on the backs of our military.” The trends were downward and it looked like we had asked too much: conquer, secure, rebuild, police, grow the economy and govern – and do it quickly. Counterinsurgency (COIN) strategies are just as complex as insurgency strategies and vary from commander to commander and AO to AO. The Small Wars Manual is a good place to start when studying COIN tactics and strategy. Early in the volume a clear 50 Thomas Ricks, The Gamble, 38. Tucker 25 warning is laid out for practitioners of small wars: “The application of purely military measures may not, by itself, restore peace and orderly governance because the fundamental causes of the condition of the unrest may be economic, political, or social.”51 Any coordinated COIN strategy must therefore integrate economic, political, and social reforms while selectively using military force in such a way as to not harm the economic, political, and social progress. In small wars, unlike conventional wars, the art of political engagement has not been abandoned. Thus, the political or diplomatic objectives of the nation must remain paramount, and all military operations must support diplomatic, political, and economic goals. This is why the Small Wars Manual advocates the close integration of the DoS into any military campaign.52 The center of gravity of the conflict is the local populace. Therefore, cultural understanding is invaluable and tolerance, sympathy, and kindness should be the “keynote” of any civilian/military relationship.53 Counterinsurgency has inherited and adapted many of these lessons. For instance, it instructs that COIN commanders needs to apply political, military, economic and social elements of national power,54 while insisting that COIN commanders must do everything in their power to “address legitimate grievances.”55 The mutations of this strategy are many, and the Paradoxes of Counterinsurgency56 contained in 51 Small Wars Manual, I-IX, 15. Small Wars Manual, I-XVIII, 33. 53 Small Wars Manual, I-XVII, 32. The professional and ethical questions raised by the “mobilization” of culture are dealt with by Roberto Gonzalez, American Counterinsurgency: Human Science and the Human Terrain (Chicago: Prickly Paradigm Press, 2009). 54 Counterinsurgency, 2. Or, more verbosely, military efforts are “only effective when integrated into a comprehensive strategy employing all instruments of national power” (53). 55 Counterinsurgency, 18. 56 The Paradoxes are a Zen exercise in military theory and are an important part of the Field Manual. They include the following: Sometimes the more you protect your force, the less secure they are; sometimes, the more force is used, the less effective it is; the more successful COIN strategy, the less force is used; sometimes, doing nothing is the best reaction; the best weapons for COIN do not shoot; tactical success 52 Tucker 26 Counterinsurgency should be studied for their tactical relevance, but the central strategic theme must be create a secure environment, give the locals a stake in the environment, and work to improve the economic, social, and political environment. 1MARDIV, under Maj. Gen. James Mattis, adapted these strategies in al-Anbar province with the phrases “No better friend, no worse enemy. First, do no harm.” This simple, understandable, and flexible phrase communicated to all levels of the Division the Commanders Intent and made action in complex situations by inexperienced Marines reactive rather than reflective. As we shall see in the next chapter, however, the actual application of this maxim is difficult and the environment is filled with obstacles which vary from IEDs to AQI to American politicians to the media. means nothing; many important decisions are not made by generals; a tactic that works this week, in this province might not work next week in any province (38-50). See also David Kilcullen’s “‘Twenty-eight Articles:’ Fundamentals of Company-level Counterinsurgency” in G.J. David Jr. and T.R. McKeldin III Ideas as Weapons: Influence and Perception in Modern Warfare (Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, 2009): pp. 389-402. Tucker 27 Ways of Knowing and the Battle for Perceptions The media serve a strategic function. We just don’t know what the tactical requirements of that strategic function look like. -- Chief Warrant Officer 5 Jeffery Eby You know, the U.S. media is not beholden to the U.S. government, so they can report the way they see it. They’re not in the role of conducting IO for us either. -- Lt. Col. Nick Vuckovich (Ret.) The last part of this chapter is dedicated to the complex interactions between the military and the media. This section intends to underscore the tension between the two institutions, but also will serve to introduce the concept of Information War and Information Operations, both of which are important to understanding certain actions and their implications within the narrative of Fallujah contained in the next chapter. In the context of Iraq, the rise of non-state actors, free associations, the death of “message unity,” and the use of the internet for both planning attacks and the spread of ideas, “perception” is all that matters. In asymmetrical war, it is “soft power” – or the ability to co-opt rather than coerce a populace – that is paramount. In this type of war, it is possible, Retired Lt. Col. Frank Hoffman reminds us, that “perception may matter more than results on the physical battlefield.”57 In asymmetrical war, both sides rely on projecting the image that their policy objective is morally superior to the policy objective of their opponent. Both sides rely on the narrative that they are fighting the “just war” or 57 Frank Hoffman, “Maneuvering Against the Mind,” in Ideas as Weapons, 109. Tucker 28 that they are supporting the “right” side. Battles are fought over the moral high-ground of an action or operation, and the primary weapon in this battle is the media. Therefore, it is very important that a critical study of the media accompany any discussion of modern asymmetrical war. It is to their function as a ‘way of knowing’ for a populace, the ability of that ‘way of knowing’ to affect the perceptions of a populace, and the methods that both sides in Iraq use to wage that battle that this chapter now turns. The media, as a group of individuals and institutions, is responsible for providing a “way of knowing” what is going on outside the viewer’s or reader’s individual experience. The modern American media establishment is a very complex organization not easily distilled for the purposes of analysis, but I will address a few characteristics important to the context of Iraq in 2004 here. First, the media is both a product of and a contributor to the communications revolution. The rise of the internet, which brought with it a very low cost of entry into the public sphere of ideas, has made “message unity” impossible, i.e. it is impossible for almost any organization to have a monopoly on the story. As an example, take the inability of Iran’s government after the 2009 presidential election to prevent the spread of YouTube videos and Twitter posts which challenged the official story. Even China, which has made multiple deals with Google to prevent “subversive” search results, was not able to prevent stories and videos of unrest in the Xinxiang Province from being posted online. Many of the major cable media networks and print media sources underwent editorial and financial changes in the last two decades. During the 1990s, there was a severe decline in the number of reporters stationed over-seas to cover international Tucker 29 events.58 This has resulted in a decrease in the coverage of international events and reporters who have expertise in foreign affairs. There are a few second- and third-order effects that arise from this shift in focus. The first is that the media, as a whole, have a difficult time reporting on foreign affairs.59 Claims made by those well-linked to the foreign-policy apparatus are very difficult to verify in time to meet editorial deadlines. Because claims are difficult to verify, the media has come to trust evidence presented by officials in the federal government – ostensibly because the officials have access to better intelligence and evidence. This causes a dependence on official sources for evidence and claims which reinforces the phenomenon of “indexing” – or, the process though which opinions and analysis produced by main-stream media outlets mirror the debates of and evidence presented by public officials.60 This process produces what W. Lance Bennett and Steven Livingston call a “Semi-Independent Press:” A press which is not controlled through any official mechanism, but which implicitly bounds its discussion to opinions held by those in power.61 The parameters of discussion in the “semi-independent press” are further restricted by what David Dadge calls the “fairness doctrine,” or the belief that professionalism in reporting comes from telling “both sides” of the story (even if one has less merit than the others) rather than providing context and analysis. Indexing and the fairness doctrine give a lot of power to government officials, who can “simultaneously 58 Philip Taylor, “The Fourth Arm and the Fourth Estate: Psychological Operations and the Media” in Mark Connelly and David Welch (eds.), War and the Media: Reportage and Propaganda, 1900-2003, (New York: I.B. Taurus, 2005), 260. 59 For a more in depth description, and ethical questions raised by this fact, see Dadge, The War in Iraq and Why the Media Failed Us (Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, 2006), 10-11. 60 See W. Lance Bennett, “Toward a Theory of Press-State Relations in the United States,” Journal of Communication 40 (2), Spring 1990: 105-125. 61 W. Lance Bennett and Steven Livingston, “Editor’s Introduction, A Semi-Independent Press: Government Control and Journalistic Autonomy in the Political Construction of News,” Political Communication 20 (2003): 359-362. Tucker 30 stimulate news coverage and regulate the discursive parameters of that coverage.”62 New technologies, such as the satellite phone and expansion of the internet, have loosen these “discursive parameters,”63 but it still remains easier, cheaper, and safer to report official versions of the story. At the same time, two other editorial choices were being made in response to financial demands for “ratings-driven, high-profit content.”64 The first concerns the presentation of the news. From the mid-1980s to 2003, multiple scholars of media noticed a marked rise in “sensationalism, scandal, political games, government waste, infotainment, celebrity, gossip and personal profiles.”65 At the same time that you have less reporting and expertise on international issues, the reporting that is being done is often sensationalized and competes with more popular infotainment stories. Since the 1960s, the increase in the revenue from commercials (from $10 billion in 1963 to $200 billion in 1998),66 has forced the media establishment to make editorial choices based on ratings and the numbers of viewers. A good example of this is the coverage of Micheal Jackson’s death, which lasted for weeks and eclipsed human rights abuses and election fraud in Iran and the launch of missiles by North Korea. The second deals with the production of the news. “Event-driven” news, a movement within the media industry dubbed the “CNN-effect,” is a method of gathering news in which the media institutions wait for something to happen and then rush a camera crew or journalist out to the scene 62 Scott Althaus, “When News Norms Collide: New Evidence for Press Independence,” Political Communication 20 (4), p. 381. Althaus questions the controlling nature of indexing, suggesting that some reporters seek out and report on non-official opinions more than most scholars admit. However, the framing is still done in terms of policy debates within the government. 63 Steven Livingston and W. Lance Bennett, “Gatekeeping, Indexing, and Live-Event News: Is Technology Altering the Construction of News?” Political Communication 20 (2003): 363-380. 64 Bennett and Livingston., 359. 65 Bennett and Livingston, 359.. 66 Dadge, 46. Tucker 31 to report on it.67 The “CNN-effect” has two byproducts. First, they are sensationalized: “A tsunami struck south-east Asia today, millions feared dead,” reads the announcer as pictures of wreckage play in the background. Second, they are left without context: “Four Blackwater Contractors killed in Iraq Today,” reads the headline with pictures of three of the burnt corpses hanging next to the article which contains no mention of the fact that the contractors were operating in the city in violation of policy, regulations, and orders. The sensationalism and lack of context can combine to produce emotional over-responses and pictures of ‘what is going on’ which are more constructed than they are concrete. In such a case, the media fails at their task of providing their viewers and readers a “way of knowing,” as what the viewers and readers “know” might be substantially different from what actually happened or the constructed news narrative might differ from the historical one. The evolution of the modern media establishment has a few important implications for the study of war. First, there is tension between the military and the media. Nick Vuckovich, a retired Marine Corps Lt. Col., is “cynical” about how the media reports the war: “It’s more of a blow by blow, anxiety, keep this perpetual anxiety going to maximize viewers sort of thing.” Lt. Col. Bill Vivian feels that the media doesn’t understand combat operations: The bottom line with the media is that they, you know, they touch the elephant we call war or combat operations in a very, very general way. So they touch the leg, and they all go away and explain what that thing is based on the touch of the leg of the elephant. Whether they have an agenda that they’re trying to get across or not, it’s almost irrelevant. It’s such a narrow scope of looking at issues that they can’t hope to put it in context. And they, quite frankly, don’t. 67 See Steven Livingston and W. Lance Bennett, “Gatekeeping, Indexing, and Live-Event News.” Tucker 32 Second, since the media is the electorate’s “way of knowing,” and what and how they “know” something affects the perception of that object or action, the media becomes a weapon, wittingly or unwittingly, in the battle for the perceptions. Consider the implication of this “way of knowing” in the context of sensationalized reporting. Lt. Gen. Dunford explained it this way: “You know, there is an expression they [reporters] used with me a couple of times: ‘If the house isn’t on fire, its not news.’” But this bias towards the sensational creates the appearance that the house is on fire a lot. The second implication, that the media is a weapon, was a fact that surprised the establishment in the 1999 conflict with Kosovo, when they found out that the military had been using them in a war of perception. Some reporters became angry at the use of the media as a weapon by the US government. But according to Rutgers History Professor Susan Carruthers, their righteous anger is a little bit misplaced, because they were used in the same way by Milosevic. The third concerns the image projected of war to the U.S. electorate. In the wake of the Kosovo conflict in 1999, the media cultivated the idea of a “humanitarian” war,68 or what David Welch calls the “humane war:” successful wars with few American casualties.69 This has produced a culture where the populace is increasingly unsympathetic to the use of force.70 Because of this, the American military public relations campaigns focus on what Roberto Gonzalez calls the “myth of a ‘gentler’ counterinsurgency.”71 A gentler counterinsurgent approach may use Information Operations (IO) to downplay violence as necessary and acceptable, when it may not be. 68 Susan Carruthers, “Missing in Authenticity? Media War in the Digital Age,” in Connelly and Welch: 236-250. 69 Welch, “Introduction,” in Connelly and Welch, xvi. 70 Mark Laity, “Straddling the Divide – Spinning for Both Sides,” in Connelly and Welch, 281. 71 Gonzalez, “The Myth of a ‘Gentler’ Counterinsurgency,” in American Counterinsurgency, 1-24. Tucker 33 There is an incentive, if the purpose of Information Operations is to generate support through perception management, to “spin” violence using Information Operations. The last effect of the media on war is the power of images. “Seeing is believing” is the old fallacy. News that is “seen” as fact has actually been edited many times. First, someone had to direct a camera at point A instead of point B, which means that the image itself is coordinated to show a specific fact. Such “framing” is not necessarily the only fact or the whole truth. Second, this raw footage is edited for the audience, depending on how long the segment is and what the analysis of the story will contain. Third, it may be picked up by other news stations in the process, who edit it further. Fourth, all viewers take from news what they are specifically looking for at the moment, so a form of “editing” occurs in the mind of the viewer, who tags this piece of news in a way that they will remember it and which corresponds to their social, political, intellectual, or personal identity. What should we think about the “artillery shells” footage in Vigilant Resolve, the occurrence of which General James Mattis disputes? Al-Jazeera broadcast (supposedly) falsified images of artillery shells destroying houses in Fallujah. These images were picked up by the American media and played a large role in the eventual ceasefire in April, 2004. If it was false imagery (and I’m inclined to believe Mattis), then even though I may have “seen” artillery shells falling on “Fallujans,” it doesn’t mean that it happened. Who’s responsibility is this lie? Is it the insurgent leader who decided to re-release previous film to discredit American actions, or al-Jazeera’s for running it first, or the American media outlets for re-running it without verifying it, or the viewer’s for believing it without context? The answer is that the responsibility is everyone’s, but not any one’s. All four can blame the others, because Tucker 34 they cannot (and perhaps should not) be wholly at fault. But, it is a particularly vexing situation which annoys U.S. military men and women who command troops in combat – especially if such an information operational failure costs the lives of some of their troops. Images have the power, in the modern age, to affect the course of wars. As Major Jon Dunne, who served as an Information Operations Officer in Iraq, recounted, “Just the very image of a mosque in rubble, even if its justified, is a powerful tool [in the hands of the insurgents].” The U.S. military quickly realized that it had to have a way to fight the battle of perceptions. Hoffman points out that “ideas and grievances are the seeds of most irregular war.”72 It is very difficult to wage an insurgency when the society is not divided, services are run well enough to be tolerated, the government is thought of as legitimate, and the non-elites are philosophically in line with the elites. The point of Information Operations is to gauge which of the above issues is out of line and counter it, either through physical operations (building schools, fixing electricity services, paving roads, etc.) or psychological operations (convincing the populace that one side is the “legitimate” side for reasons x, y, z). Information Operations must effectively integrate the physical with the psychological in order to, in Mattis’ words, “Dry up the swamp” of discontent.73 Information Operations is a “new” component of the military contained in a large branch of military theory known as “non-kinetic operations,” or better conceptualized by Chinese Colonels Qiao and Wang in Unrestricted Warfare as “non-military operations in war.”74 The discipline has not yet coalesced into an easily-definable entity, and is still 72 Hoffman, in Ideas as Weapons, 99. Quoted in Hoffman, in Ideas as Weapons, 105. 74 Unrestricted Warfare, 38. 73 Tucker 35 much more of an art than a science. Major Dunne described the process at the Regimental level: “You need the ability to generate leaflets: meaning a camera, a printer, and a Marine with a cleaver idea.” Up and down the chain of command, IO also includes broadcasting messages, political and diplomatic contact, key leadership engagement, and media spin – although few officers will admit it. The discipline isn’t “new” in the sense that it was just invented, however. According to Dunne, “If you study history you’ll see that Information Operations have been conducted since the beginning of time. But it’s something that has really gained some traction and emphasis by not only the Marine Corps but the Department of the Defense.” In fact, the US already had an institutionalized IO agency: U.S. Information Agency. The Cold War bureau was headed, at one time, by Edward Murrow and was considered a way to leverage the philosophic advantages of a capitalistic, democratic system against Communism in a war of ideology.75 Programs included cultural exchanges, Radio Free Europe, and key leader visits to regions. Information Operations, in broad terms, is the method of fighting the war for perception. “In simple terms,” says Dunne, “it’s the application of ideas or information to reinforce an operation. It could be as simple as pamphlets or leaflets dropped out of a plane or key leadership engagement. It could be something as complicated as computer network attacks, electronic warfare, so on and so forth.” Army Colonel William M. Darley defines it as a “focus on influencing perceptions or attitudes as opposed to destroying things or seizing terrain.”76 One scholar of the media has described IO as an “umbrella term” for military communication, offensive and defensive, in the information 75 The full story of the agency is told by Dizard, who served in it. Wilson Dizard, Inventing Public Diplomacy: The Story of the U.S. Information Agency (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2004). 76 Darley, William M., Col. USA, “Clausewitz’s Theory of War and Information Operations” in Ideas as Weapons. Tucker 36 age.77 IO has even been likened to “marketing” of DoD ideas – selling the best ideas in the marketplace of perception.78 USMC Major E. Lawson Quinn has likened IO to “perception management,” in a perhaps too unsavory phrase.79 Information Operations (or perception management, or marketing) must be coordinated with actions that reinforce the constructed narrative, otherwise it will be ineffective. Inability to prove one’s claims decreases the legitimacy of future claims. In a certain sense, it restricts the ability of the information warrior to lie about empirical actions. While spin can be applied to certain actions, excessive spin may also reduce legitimacy. The inability to coordinate actions with Information Operations can lead to strategic failure, which may be a sufficient check on the military’s tendency to overly “spin” something for an advantage. Take this example, narrated by Col. Craig Tucker, of an information operations failure in 2003: A lot of the Iraqi army did not fight, because we told them in our Information Operations campaign that, if they didn’t fight, once we had overthrown Saddam Hussein the army would remain a functioning institution in Iraq. And we broke that promise. You can argue how you want whether or not at the tactical level, even operational level, that you can’t lie in your propaganda (We call it IO now, but it’s a combination of propaganda and psychological operations). But, they did what we asked and then we disbanded the Iraqi Army. Now, all of a sudden you have this very macho society, male society, that has the same levels of pride and sense of self and sense of accomplishment that any other person has in terms of being able to provide for their family, and have a job, and be treated with respect by the Iraqi people. All this was very much a part of being in the Iraqi army. You disband that and all of a sudden now you’ve got a large group of trained, disgruntled, and betrayed individuals who are now unemployed and know where all the weapons caches are and all the ammunition caches and have all the expertise to use them. They are now amenable to the terrorist elements. They started recruiting and they started forming alliances. Lying, it turns out, comes back to bite you. A similar process happened when RCT7 was called from al-Anbar to support Vigilant Resolve. Individual Iraqis who had cooperated 77 Taylor, in Connelly and Welch, 260. Stoney Trent and James Doty, “Marketing: An Overlooked Aspect of Information Operations,” in Ideas as Weapons: 163-170. 79 E. Lawson Quinn, “Tactical Information Operations in West Rashid: An Iraqi National Police Battalion and its Assigned U.S. Transition Team,” in Ideas as Weapons, 307. 78 Tucker 37 with the Marines (such as builders for projects, tribal sheikhs, a boy who sold Coke to Marines) were tortured and killed, because the Marines – who said that they would stay and protect the populace and grow the economy – had left. Perhaps the most important aspect of any information operation, according to Quinn, is that “the character of physical operations was itself information operations.”80 It matters that a Marine knocks on a door before searching, or that Marines enter mosques with boots on, or that an entire class of Iraqi society is told a lie. Information Operations is what you say, but it is also what you do. This overview of asymmetric war, the actors in Iraq, and the friction between the military and the media should provide the essential context of the narrative that follows. The twelve months following February 2004 saw the emergence of a sophisticate strategic information war between the United States military and the insurgency in Iraq, as well as some of the most intense urban combat since Hue City in Vietnam. This study does not focus on the “human” element of the battle, but intends to provide a short history, highlighting the key aspects of the battle, for an academic audience. 80 Quinn, Ideas as Weapons, 313. Tucker 38 Chapter 2 The Two Battles For Fallujah You are going to write history, my fine young sailors and Marines, so write it well. - - General James Mattis “Letter to All Hands,” February, 2004 In March, 2004, the Marines of the First Marine Division (1MARDIV) relieved the 82nd Airborne from duty and took over control of al-Anbar Province in Western Iraq. AlAnbar is the size of North Carolina with a population of 2 million Iraqis. In the next twelve months, the province would experience tremendous violence – from the infiltration of radical Islamists across the Syrian border, to suicide bombers, to intense urban combat, to public murders of teenagers, and the destruction of cities by the most powerful conventional force in the world. The history of that year starts – and perhaps forever will start – with a particularly ghoulish, but otherwise unremarkable, spat of violence. On 31 March, less than a month after 1MARDIV took over al-Anbar, four American contractors from Blackwater Security were driving without authorization or support down the main highway in Fallujah, Highway 10. They were ambushed by insurgents and surrounded by a mob seized by a bloody muse. The bodies were burned, spat on, beaten with shoes, dragged across the city, and hung from a bridge. Bing West reports then-Col. Joseph Dunford calling it a “scene from Somalia.”1 Dunford was the Division Chief of Staff at the time, responsible for running the Division in accordance with the Commander’s Intent on a day-to-day basis. James Mattis, then a Major General 1 Bing West, No True Glory: A Frontline Account of the Battle for Fallujah (New York: Bantham, 2005), 4. Tucker 39 in command of the Division, was furious, but decided not to order units into the city. UAV feeds saw no signals of struggle or life from the contractors, and the only thing that extracting the bodies by force could accomplish was collateral damage. The Division had sympathizers in the city, so Mattis wanted to go through them. “OK, no problem. Get a hold of our people inside the city. Tell them we want the bodies back, and we want them back right fuckin’ now,” he remembers thinking. “And I want to know who did it, and you tell us or you’re going to pay a price.” Ramping up the violence wouldn’t help anyone in this situation. “Don’t go charging in there, that’s what they want us to do.”2 No better plan, no worse timing After the initial fight up to Baghdad in 2003, Mattis wanted to communicate to his troops that the war had changed. There had been a shift in tempo. They needed to turn off the killing instinct and turn on the humanitarianism. Mattis recycled his maxim from Afghanistan with an added phrase: “No better friend, no worse enemy. First do no harm.” He circulated the slogan through his Division, making sure that every Marine from his Privates to his Colonels, understood this commander’s intent. And in the six months after the initial invasion, out of 12,000 men under his command, one was killed and 55 wounded. Amazing numbers, which Mattis attributes to sound COIN strategy: “We were trying to cycle the violence cycle down – that’s where the ‘First do no harm’ comes in – and it worked. It worked very well.” Mattis and 1MARDIV pulled out of Iraq in late 2 This chapter is composed almost entirely of interviews between the author and Marines at various levels in 1MARDIV and documents given to the author by those Marines. All interviews and documents are available upon request. Unless otherwise stated, quotes come from said interviews and will not be individually cited. Tucker 40 2003 and were replaced by a Polish-led Division. However, Anbar began to heat up and by November, Mattis knew he was going to have to go back in to Iraq. With the success of the combination of Sulla’s epitaph and the physician’s oath, Mattis devised a measured approach to the Anbar. Even though it was defined as an “economy of force” area, or an area where forces were there simply to prevent back-slip, Mattis thought he could “flip it.” Mattis’ Commander’s Intent,3 issued in January 2004, provides a look at the strategy and end-state envisioned: My aim is to make common cause with the Iraqis, providing security until Iraqi forces are fully manned, trained and equipped to assume the mission, in order to restore civil administration. […] Through presence, persistence, and patience, our endstate [sic] is a functioning Iraqi civil administration with Iraqi security forces replacing USMC security elements. Dunford described the Division’s strategy in March of 2004: “Our approach was to conduct COIN operations, to provide that persistent presence, to secure the population, grow the Iraqi security forces, grow governance in each of those key areas we had identified.” To compliment this strategy with a cultural and situational awareness, Mattis established an “intel fusion center” in order to bring MEF information down to the Division level and better inform his operations. He assigned “understudies” to each battalion under his command. The “understudies” were enlisted Marines with language and cultural skills assigned to monitor each battalion’s region and, if they thought something was out of the ordinary, alert the battalion commander. Enacting this strategy would be difficult. Mattis, in a bluntness and with foresight which characterizes the general, acknowledged as much in a letter to all hands: “This is 3 Appendix 2 contains three letters from Mattis and Natonski, respectively, to 1MARDIV in full. Tucker 41 going to be hard, dangerous work.” Along the Syrian border, the twin towns of al-Qa’im and Husaybah were going to be problems. The towns were smuggling havens for foreign fighters. Before 1MARDIV arrived, the area had been patrolled by armored vehicles, with very little interaction between the soldiers there and the locals. Ramadi was also going to be a problem. Before 1MARDIV rolled into town, the city had been patrolled by an Army National Guard MP (Military Police) Battalion. They had kept close to their base, and not patrolled on foot off of the main roads. Mattis knew that Fallujah would be a problem. The city of Fallujah is situated on the eastern bank of the Euphrates River almost half-way between Baghdad and Ramadi. The map to the right4 provides an aerial view of the city. From the west, there are only two ways into Fallujah – over two bridges that cross the Euphrates from the peninsula. The main road, Highway 10, runs east-west. A few weeks before they assumed control of the AO, the MEF commander – a 3 star general – had been shot at while walking through Fallujah. 1MARDIV had a plan, though, which Mattis explains: We knew it was going to be tough, so our plan was to turn on the lights in a nearby town, get the power going. In another town, make sure that the water-treatment was better. In another town, come in with money and hire kids with jobs – day laborers – trying to give them something to do. And all around things would start getting better around Fallujah. 4 http://images.military.com/pics/FallujahOverhead2.jpg . See also Key Terrain slide in Appendix 1. Tucker 42 The basic plan for the Division was this: Address the legitimate grievances of the populace, and they will trust the First Marines. The center of this conflict was not physical, but economic, social, and political. Physical contests in the city were planned and executed very quietly. If there was someone Mattis needed taken care of, they would use intelligence sources to find them, and then send in Special Operations Forces to kill or capture them. Collateral damage was minimized and they worked around tribal loyalties. “We’d keep doing that until we created hell inside the city for them [the insurgents].” Fallujah was not going to be won by physically controlling the city. Fallujah was going to be flipped by the people, who would see what was going on around them and invite the Marines, or Iraqi Security forces, or Iraqi Government, in to do the same for Fallujah. It would take a long time. But it doesn’t appear as if Mattis minded, or as if he was going to let himself be provoked into a fight. In any case, Fallujah was a small fish to fry. By the end of March, 2004, 1MARDIV had bigger problems: “We didn’t expect, though, the supply lines south through our area and south out of Baghdad to get cut,” says Mattis. The insurgents were moving against the perceived point of American weakness, their supply lines. Baghdad ordered Mattis to secure the roads and bridges in his AO, which meant sacrificing troops for road sweeps and bridge-building. Then on 31 March 2004, four Blackwater employees drove across the bridge into Fallujah. The pictures of their charred remains hanging from a bridge with smiling Iraqis waiving shoes towards the cameras instantly became headlines. Almost all of the major newspapers and all of the major media outlets pick up the story. In the White House, Tucker 43 President Bush was infuriated by the images.5 At a fundraiser in Washington that night, President Bush vowed that “America will never be intimidated by thugs and assassins. We are aggressively striking thugs in Iraq.”6 The American political establishment was appalled. Rumsfeld ordered the Marines to take the city and “get those responsible.”7 The insurgents had provoked the President of the United States, and he was not going to back away from the fight. For an Administration ideologically committed to rapid dominance, or “Shock and Awe,” the logical step was to rapidly deploy, display the dominance of U.S. ground forces, and thereby destroy the will of the enemy. The order came down to Mattis, who protested: “No, no, you don’t want me to do this. This is not a good idea. That’s what they want us to do, and let’s not do what they want us to do. Just give me some time, we’ll get the bodies back, and we’ll kill the people who did that.” Mattis didn’t want to “go off [his] game” for multiple reasons. First, he was spread very thin. He had too few troops to hold the border, al-Qa’im, Walid, Ramadi and also secure the supply routes, let alone isolate and assault a city the size of Raleigh, N.C. Second, there were rumblings of insurgent activity in Ramadi and al-Qa’im. Third, he didn’t want to be dragged into a conflict he thought was ill advised. Col. Craig Tucker, Commanding Officer of Regimental Combat Team 7 in the al-Qa’im/Syria region which would be called in as a supporting operation for Vigilant Resolve, summed up the attitude of the commanders at the time: “The incident with the four contractors, first action, led to an emotional, in my mind, strategic action – you know, ‘Go in there and spank the crap out of the Fallujans, the people who did this.’ That’s not a mature national strategy.” But 5 West, 6. Reported in Woodward, State of Denial: Bush at War Part III (New York: Simon & Schuster, 2006), 297. 7 West, 7. 6 Tucker 44 the politicians had spoken and it was national policy. The Bush Administration made an operational decision which would set the tone for conflict in al-Anbar over the next year. “At that point, there’s no more pushing back,” recalls Mattis. “I said, ‘Just give me the orders in writing and don’t stop me.’” “It was a huge disaster,” recalls Col. Tucker, now retired and blessed with freer lips. “It was an operational disaster, it set the tone. The decision to go in there and exact retribution, it set the tone for 1MARDIV operations over there. It created a tremendous propaganda triumph for the adversary. And, they almost shut us down.” An “Entrepreneurial” April Within days of the Blackwater incident, attacks on American military forces in al-Anbar province increased dramatically. In al-Qa’im, Abu Mussab al-Zarqawi let loose his best men. Zarqawi would ally himself with al-Qaedi in Iraq in October 2004 and was a seasoned criminal and insurgent, having spent years fighting Saddam’s regime.8 According to Mattis, “basically all hell broke loose.” In the first hours of fighting, the Americans lost a company commander and five NCOs. The First Lieutenant took over and was reinforced by another company, but the insurgents kept the pressure on the Marines in the city for over 72 hours. Ramadi was also heating up. In the next few weeks, Mattis would tell Lt. Col. Buck Conner “You just hold Ramadi. I don’t give a damn what it costs you, you just hold Ramadi.” The National Command Authority had designated 8 Ironically, it was Zarqawi’s existence in Iraq which led the Bush Administration to claim, in Secretary Powell’s address to the UN, that Saddam had connections to al-Qaeda. See Woodward, Plan of Attack, 371. Tucker 45 Fallujah as a priority, al-Qa’im and the Syrian border were on fire, and the supply lines still needed to be protected. Mattis didn’t have any men to spare to help Conner in Ramadi. “But he knows what he’s gotta do,” said Mattis. “It turned into something like Stalingrad before it’s over.”9 Taking a step back, the attacks in April look like a coordinated offensive. There were sustained attacks in Fallujah, Najaf, Tikrit, Baghdad, al-Qa’im, and Ramadi. The insurgency was organized in networks, however, with no large command and control apparatus. Such a large offensive would have been difficult to organize, but not impossible as communication between insurgent groups was easy with cell-phones and the internet. “At some point, I believe they [the insurgents] were going to strike,” said Col. Tucker. It could be as loosely organized as ‘Sometime in May we’re going to strike’ or as highly organized as ‘At 0600 on May 1 we’re going to hit them.’ Someday we may know. But what I don’t know is in their minds, whoever ‘they’ is in this amorphous alliance of nonstate actors, if they were prepared and ready when Fallujah flashpoint hit and the contractors were killed or if they had to respond pre-maturely. Regardless of the preparation level or coordination of attacks, April’s violence in alAnbar appeared to have an “entrepreneurial effect” on the insurgency. The phrase is Dunford’s, and he goes on to explain: “When violence occurred in one place, it inspired or motivated people to be violent in a different place, but not necessarily with coordination…. We were seeing three, four, five different enemy dynamics that all kind of occurred simultaneously, or near simultaneously.” The destabilization of supply lines, offensives in Ramadi and al-Qa’im, and now an order to have “sustained U.S. Marine presence inside the city within 48 hours” put Mattis in a difficult position. He was facing 9 The battle for Ramadi is dealt with in much greater detail in West “The Tipping Point,” No True Glory, 74-88 and Campell, Donovan Joker One: A Marine Platoon’s Story of Courage, Leadership, and Brotherhood (New York: Random House, 2009). Tucker 46 a series of offensives around al-Anbar province and was being ordered to attack a city with more emotional than strategic importance. But, it was an order. Mattis didn’t have enough troops to take the city. He wanted to be able to seal off the city, in order to prevent the escape, resupply, and free communication of insurgents, but he couldn’t. RCT-7 was engaged in al-Qa’im and patrolling the Syrian and Jordanian borders. Conner was engaged in Ramadi and about to be up to his ears in insurgent violence. The rest of Mattis’ force was engaged in supply-line protection. There were some sections of the AO that didn’t have any troops in them at all. Karma, a city slightly north of Fallujah, was an insurgent safe-haven and the Lake Tartar region was “all enemy territory. You go up there, you’re going to fight every time.” He could move two battalions, at high risk, into the city: 1st Battalion, 5th Marines (1/5) and 2nd Battalion, 1st Marines (2/1). 1/5 and 2/1 started thrusting into the city from opposite directions, making jagged progress. The insurgents hadn’t had time to stockpile weapons or build bunkers, they were not ready for the Marines. Progress was being made, but it was barely tangible. Then the 1st Armored Division, which had been in Iraq for over 13 months, halted its preparations to go home and relieved Mattis’ battalions, 1/23 and 2/2, from their task of securing supply lines. With two more battalions, Mattis sealed off the city to the south and west. “At that point,” Mattis believed, “we had ‘em.” Asymmetrical combat in heavily populated urban areas is always a 360 degree battle. As soon as the troops moved into the city, attacks on Marine unit’s flanks and rears and around Fallujah increased. IEDs and VBIEDs effectively crippled the supply lines into the city. At one point, the Division’s stockpile of supplies for operations in Fallujah was down to one day’s worth of water, food, and ammunition. Lt. Gen. Tucker 47 Natonski,10 the man who would take over command of 1MARDIV in August, put the problem this way: There were certain people in the military that used to believe that we should model our supply system after, say, WalMart: Just In Time logistics. What that means is if WalMart runs out of CocaCola on their shelves, they get on the phone or send an email and within 18 hours an eighteen-wheeler full of Coke is coming to that shop and it’ll be on the shelves on the next day of business. WalMart doesn’t contend with ambushes and IEDs. Mattis sent an order to RCT-7, operating out of al-Assad and engaged in al-Qa’im: “Be prepared to move several hundred miles with your main forces, but make sure to hold the borders. And hold what you can.” Pulling almost all of his forces from their positions in Western al-Anbar to deal with Fallujah was a risky move. Nick Vuckovich, a retired Lt. Col. who served as RCT-7’s Operations Officer, remembers that the order specified a turn-around time of 72-96 hours after Mattis said “Go.” Of the four Battalions attached to RCT-7, 3/4 was already engaged in Fallujah and 3/7 would remain engaged in al-Qa’im. Moving the rest of RCT-7s combat strength, including 1st Light Armored Reconnaissance Battalion (LAR), to Fallujah would leave a platoon of Marines to guard 605km border with Syria and less than a company in Hit and Hadithah. “No doubt in my mind,” recalls Vuckovich, “high amount of risk leaving behind a low level of combat power in alAnbar.” This move was risky for two reasons. First, such a low foot-print of troops would provide an opening for insurgent advances in territory and recruiting. One result of this was that the local populace was without protection, as Dunford explains: We knew that when we went into an area, provide security for the people, establish a relationship of trust, and then we leave those areas – we knew that we would be exposing the Iraqi people who had cooperated with us to a fear and intimidation campaign by the insurgents when we left. That, in fact, happened in many cases. People were punished for having cooperated with us, and we weren’t there to protect them. 10 Then Major General. Tucker 48 The second- and third-order effects of this dynamic form the second reason that this move was risky. The U.S. Marine Corps, which had come in promising security, protection, and economic advancement, now proved itself a purveyor of false promises. Rebuilding that trust would take years.11 Yet Mattis, in a sense, had his hands tied. The NCA had ordered an assault on the city. At the cost of operations elsewhere in the alAnbar, Mattis complied. RCT-7’s supporting operation and the reorientation of 1/23 and 2/2 saved the operation, but endangered the strategic balance of power in al-Anbar. Mattis ordered Tucker to sweep south of Fallujah, through southern Baghdad, and then back north of Fallujah. The idea was to disrupt insurgent communications, supply lines, and psychological support. With RCT-7 taking the pressure off of the Marines in Fallujah, Mattis said that the “Enemy was on the ropes.” They are running out of ammo, Marines are capturing insurgents so hopped up on methamphetamine that they can’t stop shaking, their command and control element had left the city, and Marine snipers were the terror of the insurgents. And then Bush, under pressure from media reports of atrocities in the city and politicians in his own party and abroad, halted the operation with a unilateral ceasefire. I asked Mattis how long, if Bush hadn’t implemented the unilateral ceasefire in Fallujah, it would have taken him to take the city. “Forty-eight hours,” he said without hesitation. The insurgents were out of ammo and had no place to hide. They 11 It would also take self-sacrificing actions by individual U.S. Marines. Lt. Col. Joe L’Etoile, then Division OpsO and later Battalion Commander in Iraq, recounts a story of a Marine sacrificing his own safety after a car bomb struck his post in order to give medical attention to a small Iraqi girl who had also been wounded. Disregarding his own safety and life, the Marine called in a helicopter and flew the girl and her family to the nearest hospital. Shortly thereafter, the local Sheikh came to L’Etoile and told him that there would be no more attacks on “his” (the Sheikh’s) Marines. Attacks stopped. This author has come across no better illustration of the principle of “moral high ground” in his interviews. There is no bomb yet invented, no gun yet manufactured, that can match the power of this human moment to shape the course of wars. Tucker 49 were ill-prepared. “But then we get stopped, for information reasons. Information war stops us and eventually we have to pull back.” Lt. Gen. Thomas Metz (USA), in a 2006 article in the Military Review, claims that Vigilant Resolve failed because “operations in the information domain were not integrated into the battle plan.” 12 Mattis, who advocated “wrapping” kinetic operations in Information Operations in his February 2004 Commander’s Intent, here became a victim of the insurgency’s propaganda machine, American politicians’ meddling, and the global media’s strategic, operational, and tactical effects on war. There are two levels where insurgent information war was able to turn Mattis’ tactical and operational victory into a strategic failure. The first level, of local Iraqi domestic leaders, was never fully supportive of the operation – perhaps because they didn’t see the logic of such a violent operation. Mattis spent his days with the commanders of those battalions engaged in the operation, assessing their needs and adjusting accordingly. He spent his nights doing “key-leadership engagement” – or, having dinner with tribal sheikhs and local politicians. Key-leadership engagement is a integral part of any IO campaign, because it serves to assure the local social and political elite that kinetic operations are necessary. Mattis was also talking to media representatives, many who were embedded in the front lines, making sure that they understood the situation as well as the operational and strategic importance of Vigilant Resolve. The second level was the arena of the international media. The inability of the Marines to gain the advantage here allowed political pressure to build on the White House, which would eventually order a unilateral cease-fire. 12 Thomas Metz, with Mark Garret, James Hutton, and Timothy Bush, “Massing Effects in the Information Domain: A Case Study in Aggressive Information Operations,” Military Review May-June (2006), 106. Tucker 50 Since the media has the greatest effect on this U.S. Information Operations defeat, and since it was the media that legitimized the complaints of Iraqi political leaders, I will start my explanation of the unilateral cease-fire there. Perhaps it was because he knew the damage he could do, or perhaps it was because he knew that the operation would be unpopular, but when Mattis told his superiors “Don’t stop me,” he was delivering them the implicit warning to shore up political support and whether the storm. In discussing the “lessons re-learned” about Vigilant Resolve, Dunford remarks that “when you decide to conduct an attack, and you have a clear end-state in mind, you oughtta think through all of that at the beginning and not change your mind in-stride.” The implication easily drawn, although probably not meant directly by Dunford, was that when the Bush Administration inserted themselves into the war at the operational planning level, they should have made sure that they wanted what they sought. But with the cameras running and the guns firing, things were bound to get ugly. Vuckovich explains that politicians were “not thrilled when the offensive kicked off and the world witnessed the amount of damage a Marine Division does to a city. No surprise to us [Marines], but if you’re going to unleash a Marine Division on the offensive in the city, that’s what you’re going to get.” It is very hard to paint yourself as a ‘liberator’ rather than an ‘occupier’ if the images are showing intense urban combat in a heavily-populated city. At the same time, reports of collateral damage were making their way onto the internet and into the mainstream media. The Iraqi political establishment was not happy about such a violent display of U.S. force on its soil, and in a teleconference with President Bush told him that Tucker 51 continuing an assault on Fallujah would tear the Governing Council apart.13 With the transfer of sovereignty scheduled for 30 June, such a political melt-down would be disastrous for the country and Bush’s re-election campaign. The country would not have a government and Bush had made the 30 June handover and Iraqi sovereignty the “cornerstone of his Iraq policy.”14 Questionable stories had begun surfacing in the media. One concerns the use of footage, released by insurgents to al-Jazeera and then run in the United States, of artillery shells used in 1MARDIV’s offensive. General Mattis claims that no artillery was fired into Fallujah during Vigilant Resolve, and that the insurgents used footage of artillery fires from other cities with false timelines. The author cannot independently verify the veracity of either claim at this stage, but the veracity of the claims is almost beside the point. In an era of images and sound-bites, the footage had many more viewers than the protestations of the General. The house isn’t burning if the Major General was correct and the artillery shells story was falsified. But it is news if artillery shells were killing civilians. An even more disturbing situation would catch the Associated Press publishing a blatant falsity. On April 7, AP reporter Abdul-Qader Saadi reported: A U.S. helicopter fired three missiles at a mosque compound in the city of Fallujah on Wednesday, killing about forty people as American forces battled Sunni insurgents, witnesses said. Cars ferried bodies from the scene, though there was no immediate confirmation of casualties. The strike came as worshippers gathered for afternoon prayers, witnesses said. They said the dead were taken to private homes in the area where temporary hospitals had been set up.15 13 Woodward, State of Denial, 299. Woodward, State of Denial, 299. 15 Quoted from Ben Connable, “The Massacre That Wasn’t” in Ideas as Weapons, 342. 14 Tucker 52 Whether Saadi attempted to verify the “witnesses’” claims or not, we don’t know. The story was picked up and extrapolated upon by the BBC, which reported that Saadi was present and personally witnessed the attacks, and Agence France-Presse attributed the story of the massacre to “a Marine officer.”16 The problem with this story, and its mutations, is that it didn’t happen. The Marines in question were engaged in an hourslong fire-fight with insurgents holed up in the mosque. They had called in a helicopter to take out the minaret, and when it missed they called in two 500lbs bombs to breach the wall for an assault. That much of the story was true. An UAV was watching the mosque the entire time, and declassified Defense Department pictures show no crowd and no dead or wounded after the attack. Marines who took the mosque minutes later report seeing nothing suspicious, not even blood on the ground.17 The proliferation of UAVs in Iraq has made, according to Jeffery Eby who was RCT-7’s Marine Weapons Officer, the veracity of DoD or insurgent claims easier to verify: “We have better cameras now…. You’re recording it, capturing it as evidence which can be used in Rule of Law arrests.” Stories like these, whether true or false, and other media reports, including the alleged use of white phosphorous and mounting civilian casualties, exerted political pressure on Bush to call off the offensive in Fallujah. A unilateral cease-fire was instated, halting the U.S. Marine progress along a ragged line. Mattis was furious about the decision. By the end of April, U.S. forces had pulled out of Fallujah and left security to the Fallujah Brigade – a militia which Mattis had no faith in. Over the summer, Fallujah would become a safe-haven for insurgents, complete with bunkers, command and control 16 17 Connable, 344-5. For a full analysis of this episode, see Connable. Tucker 53 nodes, IED and S/VBIED factories, torture chambers, and brain-washing centers. “Eventually we have to go back,” said Mattis, “and lose hundreds of men, killed and wounded, to retake the city.” Summertime, and the (Insurgent) livin’s easy The unilateral ceasefire stalemated Operation Vigilant Resolve. The Marines holed up in the houses they had occupied and for days took pot-shots at any insurgent who displayed positive hostile intent. Mattis told the Marines “to do whatever they had to do. They couldn’t go on the offensive, [but] make damn sure that no one is a threat around them.” The 4x scopes were an advantage to the stalemated Marines. In the days that followed the ceasefire, Mattis met with the leaders of the insurgency in the city, tribal elders in the region, and Iraqi government officials to negotiate the fate of the city. “The first thing they asked me every day was ‘We want you to pull your snipers back.’ I said ‘No, I don’t think so. You just live with it.’ They were scared to death of the Marine rifleman. They thought they were all snipers.” Mattis was blessed with a retired Iraqi General as his adviser in the negotiations, “He would sit on the opposite side of the table as me amongst the enemy, but he and I had a very good understanding.” It was this retired general who warned Mattis that the Fallujah Brigade – the Iraqi force who was given control of the city – would simply flip sides to the insurgents, with all of their men, guns, supplies, and uniforms. Mattis was uneasy when he pulled his troops out of contact and left the city to the Fallujah Brigade: “There’s only one way I can retire ‘em [the Fallujah Brigade], and that’s to kill them.” Tucker 54 The unilateral ceasefire and eventual Marine withdrawal was a propaganda boon for the insurgents. They painted the operation as a defeat for the Marines, who hadn’t been able to take the city and were scared of taking casualties. Natonski was certain that the Marines’ withdrawal was a recruiting tool for the insurgency: “They thought they had beaten the coalition in Fallujah in April. It became a call for foreign fighters from the Middle East to come in and join the Jihad.” In a war where perception is more important than physical results, the insurgents “won” in April 2004 because they were able to convince various audiences (American domestic, Iraqi domestic, international Islamist, etc.) that they had succeeded. That success gained them respect, recruits, money, and sanctuary – elements essential to the survival of an insurgency. By the time Natonski took control of 1MARDIV in August, “Fallujah had become a sanctuary.” Fallujah became a center of insurgent activity. IED and VBIED factories were built, bunkers were constructed as mutually reinforced defensive positions, attacks were launched from there into Baghdad and Ramadi, hostages were taken to the city and executed, torture chambers were set up to intimidate the local populace, and AQI set up headquarters there. Fallujah was pumping IEDs, VBIEDs, suicide bombers, and coordinated attacks into al-Anbar and Baghdad, a phenomenon which Anthony Cordesman was able to document.18 Natonski witnessed the same thing: “The enemy was launching attacks from there into Baghdad and throughout the al-Anbar province. And then they would come back to Fallujah and they would re-arm, re-fit, and they would rest. It was literally a sanctuary.” 18 Cordesman, 110-1. Tucker 55 There were no pretensions of civil authority in Fallujah. From the insurgent’s standpoint, the best use of Fallujah would have been to provide safety, civil services, and order – as a method of contending the central government in Baghdad’s legitimacy. Sadr, before his eventual fall from grace in the face of increasing U.S. pressure, would attempt this in Sadr City with the Medhi Army. This was not the strategy used by the insurgents in Fallujah, however. “What they wanted to do was take over so they had an operating base,” recalls Mattis. They weren’t really that eager to put out the services like Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, where they come in and provide electricity, and police, and courts, education. There was none of that. These guys were out for one thing, and that was to use it as a base for military operations against us: take over, regain control, and then use this as a location in a globalized insurgency that adds to the al-Qaeda suite. The relationship between insurgent groups inside the city (FRE, AQI, criminals) was stressed, to say the least. The internationals were not interested in protecting the populace – for them destruction was destruction and it eroded the legitimacy of the central government. But “terror always has a half-life,” says Mattis. AQ made some “fundamental mistakes” in their campaign in al-Anbar which started with their behavior this summer. In Ramadi, they cut off the heads of three or four 13-year-old boys and left them on the steps of the government center as a warning. They also killed a neutral sheikh (“he wasn’t really on our side either, but he wasn’t for AQ,” recalls Mattis) and left his body to rot in the August heat. One particularly disturbing phenomenon, recalls Mattis, was the 24-hour Marriage. AQ members would come to a sheikh or citizen and request a 24-hour Marriage with his daughter – “that’s rape in most people’s mind,” says Mattis, “if the lady didn’t want to be in a 24-hour marriage.” Denial of such arrangements could be death for the refusing party. In this climate of terror, the Marines began cultivating a Tucker 56 relationship with the Abu Nimr, one of the larger tribes in al-Anbar. This relationship would eventually snowball into the Sunni Awakening. But in 2004, the tribes were still engaged in an uneasy 24-hour marriage with AQ. By September 2004, however, the drum-beat of IO from the Marines (“You bought in with the wrong guys, we’re your last best friends, we’re the Marines, we’re the only guys you got on your side”) began to wear on the Iraqi central government and people at the political-strategic level in Iraq like General Casey and Iraqi Interim Prime Minister Allawi, were discussing the need to go back into Fallujah. While, strategically, it made sense to take out the insurgent stronghold of Fallujah, it would require that the politicians in both countries had enough political capital to expend on the operation. Allawi eventually seemed to be convinced of the need to take out Fallujah. Free elections, scheduled for January 2005, had very little chance of succeeding in al-Anbar (or providing a sense of legitimacy to the new government) if the stronghold of Fallujah was left uncontested. This time, the decision to take down Fallujah was not hurried or emotional. This time, First Marines had almost two months to plan the operation, plenty of time to shape the physical and psychological environment in their favor. MNF-I commanders had secured the support of Interim PM Allawi (so much so that he refused to order the operation to halt when family members were kidnapped by insurgents). Natonski initiated a whispering campaign to get the residents of Fallujah to leave the city. Leaflets were dropped into the city and humvees with loudspeakers were used to broadcast messages. Natonski knew that he would not be able to achieve operational surprise – he was moving over 12,000 men into position outside the city. At the same time, the IO leaflet drops Tucker 57 were telling everyone in the city that if they were seen in possession of a weapon, they would be treated as a hostile target and engaged. Throughout the summer, AC-130s engaged any vehicle that appeared weaponized.19 Lt. Col. Carroll, the Assistant OpsO for the Division, remembers that they weren’t even thinking about operational surprise: “We had 12,000 U.S. forces and between 12-1700 Iraqi Security Forces – they were coming from all over the country. The hardest thing we had, first, was just to bed down everyone – where are we going to put them?!” The insurgents holed up in the city and waited for the Marines. Eby, who fought in the city, recalls that “they were snuggling up to create as much casualties as they could without having a plan of escape, so it tells you its kind of a suicide defense. They knew they couldn’t escape from it.” Perhaps the insurgents thought that they could win another IO battle. Perhaps they had bought their own propaganda and believed they could defeat the Marines. Perhaps this simply was a suicide mission. But neither side, this time, was going to back down. American Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld added to the pressure by publically announcing that a cease-fire was no longer an option,20 an amount of political support that Mattis would have preferred in April 2004. This was going to be a conventional fight. “We were not trying to secure territory, we were not trying to win the people over,” says Natonski. “It was enemy on enemy in the conventional sense.” The insurgents felt the same way. While their leaders escaped, the foot soldiers remained in the city, dug into the walls of houses, with no hope of escape. They were going to take Marines with them, when they went. 19 20 West, 260. West, 256. Tucker 58 Even the name of the operation had IO importance. Commanders in MNF-I gave the operation the name Phantom Fury. “You know, it’s a manly name,” said Natonski, “but Prime Minister Allawi didn’t think it was sending the right signal, so he named it ‘The New Dawn,’ or ‘al-Fajr.’” Preparation is half the battle “This operation will be critical to the future of Iraq,” opens a letter from Natonski to his men. Natonski went on to explain that this will be a conventional fight, that the Marines will rely on “the professionalism of our troops, our superior firepower, and our technological edge.” The assault must be quick, so the Interim Iraqi Government can “return Fallujah to the Fallujans” and so that, in “this era of political spin” the fight will not become a protracted campaign open to attacks by insurgent IO. The letter concludes by stressing the coalition nature of the fight, that each Regimental Combat Team will be assigned a number of Iraqi battalions, and that commanders should be mindful of the rebuilding which will follow the battle. The Marines would be ready. With two months to plan, the Marines did everything that they could do to prepare battlespace to their advantage. Dunford, now a Brigadier General and serving as Assistant Division Commander, remembers being fearful of repeating the mistakes of April. First, in order to prevent an entrepreneurial insurgency uprising, the Division implemented Operation Roundup. Coalition detention policies allowed suspected insurgents to be held for 15 days at local and 30 days at regional detention centers while evidence was gathered against them. 1MARDIV, in the weeks and days leading up to al-Fajr, began Tucker 59 scooping up suspected insurgent leaders and detaining them. “We thought that if we could take them off the streets for two weeks or a month,” Dunford explained, “it would allow us to set the conditions and allow us to have the initiative… for us to be successful and mitigate the risks of violence elsewhere.” Second, 1MARDIV scrapped the WalMart logistical strategy. Instead, the division created the Iron Mountain, literally a mountain of supplies. Fifteen days of food were stockpiled, including 22,250 Halal meals for the Iraqi soldiers. Fifteen days of ammunition for all American weapons and Iraqi AK47s. 800,000 gallons of fuel was stored for combat vehicles. Also included in the Iron Mountain were “high use” spare parts. Third, 1MARDIV increased in size to about 30,000. RCT-1 would lead the primary effort into the city. They would take the Jolan district in north-western Fallujah, a densely populated section of the city suspected as the command and control center for the insurgency inside the city. RCT-7 would provide a supporting operation in the eastern half of the city. Since RCT-7 would require its full force in the city, Natonski brought in the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit (31st MEU) to take over RCT-7’s AO in al-Assad and along the Syrian border. While their footprint would be small, they engaged in aggressive maneuvers to appear as if a larger force was present. 2nd BCT 1st Cavalry, also known as the “Blackjack Brigade,” was sourced from Baghdad to seal off the city from the south and conduct supporting operations in the Fallujah environs. At the same time ten Iraqi battalions were added to RCT-1 and RCT-7 as assault troops. The 36th Iraqi Commando Battalion would conduct supporting operations on the peninsula west of the city and secure the two bridges crossing the Euphrates. With this many troops, a full scale rehearsal was required to move from Camp Fallujah (to the east of the city) to the final Tucker 60 attacking positions (to the north of the city). Such a rehearsal might alert the enemy to the plans, but Natonski thought it was necessary: “When you’ve got thousands of soldiers and Marines and tanks and track vehicles and humvees moving – it could be the beltway around Washington D.C. at rushour.” One mistake in coordination could have severely hindered the operation. Fourth, the Division conducted a series of feints and shaping maneuvers in order to throw the insurgents off guard. Natonski conducted fake attacks into the city from the south, the east, and the north, but mainly from the south and east. Natonski wanted the insurgents to think he was coming from that direction so that they would concentrate their defenses there. In order to discover command and control nodes, Natonski sent SIGINT vehicles in behind his feints in order to pick up, record, and trace insurgent cell phone conversations. In this way, Natonski used operations to drive intelligence gathering to drive subsequent operations – a clever inversion of the standard maxim that intelligence drives operations. Lt. Col. J.J. Carrol, who was the Assistant OpsO for 1MARDIV recalls that the tactic worked: the majority of the defenses were built up in the southeastern section of the city. In the days before the assault, Natonski used humvees with speakers attached to play fake tank noises in the south of the city in order to throw the insurgents off even further. Fifth, Natonski used “Shawanies” in order to generate HUMINT and map out the insurgent defenses. General Mohammed Shawany was an Iraqi General on the outs with Saddam in 2003. When Saddam fell, Shawany offered his troops, elite Iraqi Army troops, to the U.S. Marine Corps. These individuals would infiltrate into Fallujah and report back insurgent information. They were a welcome asset to Natonski who was fully aware of the personal danger they placed themselves in: “They were in jeopardy if Tucker 61 they were caught. They would have been beheaded. They would have been murdered on the spot.” Between the feints, PSYOPS and Schawanies, 1MARDIV had a “little snapshow of how the city was laid out” and a “pretty good feel” for the situation inside Fallujah, as the Fallujah Threat Overview (October 2004) in Appendix 1 shows. Sixth, Natonski implemented air and artillery support plans for indirect kinetic fires into the city. The innovative air plan was developed by the Division Air Officer Gary “Static” Kling. Kling was responsible for integrating the kinetic fires of fixed wing aircraft, helicopters, and the intelligence feeds of UAVs. He spent the majority of the summer developing a plan for Fallujah which integrated Navy craft on carriers in the Gulf to Marine craft in al-Anbar. Without the ability, as the Air Force would have liked, to track every aircraft individually, Kling opted for what he calls the “upside-down wedding cake” keyhole template. At three different altitudes and with three different radii around the center of Fallujah he stacked helicopters, UAVs, and fixed-wing aircraft. Kling didn’t think that the Air Forces’ template would work in Fallujah, as there would be too many aircraft, from too many different commands. Instead he relied on the individual pilots to stay in assigned quarters of the airspace and strike when needed. At lower altitudes, helicopters could come right up the to edge of the city and provide direct support in the form of kinetic fires and medevacs. It was the middle altitude which caused the problem. The UAVs would be filming as pilots (above them) dropped bombs into the city. Some people feared that bombs would destroy UAVs. Kling didn’t think so: The UAVs were too small and the area was too large. Plus, they didn’t have the ability to track every aircraft, every UAV, and the flight-path of every bomb. To do it would slow down support of the Marines on the ground. Kling’s plan allowed helicopters to come up Tucker 62 to the edge of the city and fire, UAVs to continue filming, and fixed-wing aircraft to drop bombs, both “smart” and “dumb” (guided or unguided), through the UAVs all while leaving enough space for artillery to fire into the city. It was simple, it was effective, and it was deadly. Because the city of Fallujah sat below the water-level of the Euphrates, the artillery fires had to be specially planned and coordinated. Maj. Jon Dunne was RCT-7’s Fires Support Coordinator and remembers spending “an exorbitant amount of time looking through target packages” trying to decide if they should be prosecuted or if they were “authorized legal targets.” There are also difficulties using indirect fire in urban areas, explains Dunne. First, indirect fires are “devastating to infrastructure.” Second, “facts are facts, but sometimes the GPS round doesn’t operate the way the GPS round is supposed to” and collateral damage ensues. This is particularly dangerous if there are civilians around or water pumps, which prevent the city from flooding, are destroyed. The key, and this was true of al-Fajr says Dunne, is proportionality: “Can we take care of this using an M-16 rifle, or do we really need artillery fire?” Seventh, the IO campaign worked well for 1MARDIV. The insurgents in Fallujah made 1MARDIV’s job easier, but the whispering campaign’s success at depleting the city of civilian residents allowed the Marines more freedom in kinetic operations. At the same time, the key leader engagement piece of IO secured the political flanks of 1MARDIV, both in the U.S. and in Iraq. Also, the intel that was gathered by SIGINT teams, HUMINT inside the city, and stories coming out of the city of torture and terrorism made a very good case to the media that action was necessary. With the media geared up, explains Eby, “We had nothing to hide. They were filming and we didn’t think Tucker 63 it could go negative on us.” Prime Minister Allawi forbid al-Jazerra from reporting inside the country and warned all other Arab stations that they would only be granted access to Fallujah with coalition troops.21 While it was impossible to predict, another IO windfall awaited the U.S. military: Yasser Arafat’s death-throws. The Palestinian leader’s “prolonged and orchestrated drama” took Arab media attention away from the battle.22 The U.S. military had the moral high-ground and firm control in the IO realm. The insurgents had Fallujah. Into the Breach 1MARDIV’s original plan was to take the city of Fallujah from the north. The slides named Phase III-A in Appendix 1 graphically represents the battle formation and plan. DDay was 7 November, when the 36th Iraqi Commandos would assault up the peninsula, take the hospital, secure the two bridges across the Euphrates, and seal off the city from the west. This was done for three reasons. First, it demonstrated confidence in the new Iraqi Army. Second, it would have tremendous IO impact – as this operation would be kicked off by Iraqis. “The first thing you saw,” explained Natonski, “was Iraqi soldiers knocking down the door to the hospital.” Natonski’s letter to 1MARDIV leaders was explicit: “Be proactive in highlighting the actions of the Iraqi forces and reach out to incorporate them into your operations.” This would start at the highest level. Third, the hospital had been used as a base of operations for the insurgents in April and controlled 21 22 West, 256. Woodward, State of Denial, 360. Tucker 64 the peninsula to the west of the city. Controlling it would deny a safe-haven for the insurgents and seal off the city from the west. On D-Day plus one, at 1900 hours, RCT-1 would assault into the Jolan district in the northwestern section of the city and then clear the district. RCT-7 would assault into the northeastern section of the city, proceed south of Highway 10, codenamed MSR Michigan, before swinging southwest and clearing the southern half of the city. 2nd BCT would seal off the city in the south and conduct supporting operations around the city. The Marines had reinforced a raised railroad bed with a large wall of soil along the northern section of the city, sealing the insurgents in. This had to be breached, which was a particularly difficult operation and eventually accomplished with a mixture of D-9s (armored bulldozers) and indirect fires from airplanes and artillery. The attack started at night to maximize the technological advantage of the Marines, who had night-vision equipment. “We did, I think, achieve tactical surprise,” remarked Natonski. The rehearsal, two days before, had been treated like another feint. The insurgents were not able, in the ensuing two days, to move the majority of their defensive works from the southeastern section of the city to the northern sector. The Marines’ path had been shaped with indirect fires. Sometimes, these fires were easy to prosecute, such as a weapons cache in the southern half of the city. Natonski remembers watching the attack on suspected cache: The bomb hit the target, the target started to blow - secondary explosions from the ammunition and weapons in the cache. Then right after that we saw sympathetic explosions on the street adjacent to that cache. For about two blocks, we saw IEDs going off at intervals across that entire street. This is all on Predator footage. And then the next thing we saw on the next street over the same thing. IEDs spaced out along two blocks. The insurgents had booby-trapped the streets with lines of IEDs to catch and cripple platoon-sized units. Luckily for the Marines, Natonski ordered that no one was allowed Tucker 65 across the bridges until both sides were secured. A similar booby-trap had been set up across the bridges. Other positions were more difficult to attack, as there was ambiguity as to whether they were legitimate targets. “Its very, very difficult decision making,” recalls Col. Tucker. “You’re sitting there with a lawyer right here and a fires guy right there, and the lawyers giving you advice. It’s still the commanders decision, but the lawyers giving you advice.” Tucker recalls sending a Recon team to place 24-hour observation on a house which he knew contained a large reinforced bunker system, but who’s occupants had not yet demonstrated hostile intent. The team waited and, eventually, was shot at: “As soon as that happened: Boom!” Regimental Gunner Jeffery Eby remembers the battle of Fallujah in three different phases. The first phase was very kinetic, very intense. Here, Marines used indirect fires to shape the conditions for movement into the city. The first phase lasted until the Marines got a few blocks into the city. Once they had their foothold, phase two kicked in: “nonkinetic patrol.” Here, Marines patrolled out in the open, only returning fire when they were fired upon. In Eby’s words, they were “trying to secure with your muzzles and not your bullets and waiting to draw fire.” Once Marines drew fire, they would assault the building. Instead of trying to kill all the insurgents, the front lines were trying to get depth, trapping the insurgents behind their lines, to be dealt with by following forces. This phase lasted all the way through the city, until the Marines turned around to start clearing the city. The original plan was abandoned for a branch plan,23 when RCT-7 met more resistance than expected. Instead of having RCT-7 sweep to the southwest, RCT-1 took responsibility for the southwest and RCT-7 took responsibility for the southeast. 23 PHASE III-A and PHASE III-A Branch Plan are available in Appendix 1. Tucker 66 The third phase of the battle, according to Eby, was the most dangerous. This was the door-to-door fighting that characterizes urban combat: “This fighting was extremely dangerous, because our initial tactics were those of high-intensity war. Fragmentation grenade into the room, step in, shoot everything in the room, then search. That’s how you live through those types of engagements.” However, this tactic didn’t work very long. Within the first few blocks of house-clearing, some Marines killed a family (adult men and women, no children, says Eby) who had been hired by the neighborhood to protect the houses from looting. “Very traumatic for the individuals who fragged that room and killed those individuals,” says Eby. “It forced us to stop what we were doing, reissue some non-lethal hand-grenades – exploding rubber balls.” While these new tactics would produce less civilian casualties, it increased Marine casualties. Those “exploding rubber balls” wouldn’t faze an insurgent dug into the wall, or waiting behind a mattress with a machine gun to kill the first Marines through the door. Then, says Eby, “it would turn into an eight-hour fight trying to get the Marines’ bodies back out.” This phase was psychologically stressful for young corporals and officers making the decisions: “Do I frag the room and save my own men, at the expense of those who are hired, who didn’t listen to our calls to get out of town? Or, do I endanger my men by using some nonleathal, non-useful method – trying to look through the house instead of clear the house?” “What people forget,” says Tucker, “is that we fought that fight under peace-time Rules of Engagement [RoE].” In a truly conventional campaign, says Tucker, “If an enemy combatant is taking a leak behind a tree over there, I can shoot and kill him.” Under peace-time RoE, there must be a positive identification of hostile intent. During alFajr, a positive identification of hostile intent included “weapons carried openly” or Tucker 67 (some) vehicular movement.24 The insurgents knew this since it had been printed on the IO leaflets. This meant that insurgents cached weapons and would walk down the street unarmed, jump into a cache house, grab a weapon, fire on Marines, drop the weapon, and run away. Other insurgent tactics included false surrender and faking death.25 There was also an important distinction between the way RCT-1 and RCT-7 interpreted the RoE communicated by Natonski. According to Eby: If you look back at the division order was issued once but understood separately by two different regimental commanders. Col. Tucker, who had the eastern-most section of the city, he understood it as “While on the attack, treat it like a defense.” You can only counter-fire against those specific points that you receive fire from. Once you declared troops in contact you could reengage that specific point. “That specific point” was translated as “that specific door, or that specific window.” On the western side, where 1st Marines were at, it was translated differently as “that building” or “that city block.” And the difference between the definition meant different response of fires. In RCT-1s “real estate,” the use of indirect fires created more damage which, again in Eby’s words, “you’re going to end up spending tax dollars to rebuild.” The momentum of the Marines was relentless. The pace even wore on some Marines. “By the time I was done [for the night], I typically felt like I had run 10 miles. It was nerve-wracking. It’s what all Marines prepare themselves for – varsity level-game day,” recalls Lt. Col. Bill Vivian. Vivian was RCT-7’s Senior Watch Officer, Night Shift. His job was to deal with current operations, coordinating kinetic fires into the city, medevacs, emergency supplies, and adjusting operations to deal with events as they occured. The majority of his night was spent in a room the size of a small Starbucks, with screens all around displaying units, logistics, communications, and internet chat-rooms. The majority of the communication between units was done via internet chat-rooms over the Secure Internet Protocol Router, or SIPR-net. Marines on the front lines were given 24 25 A partial list of RoE is contained in Appendix 1 A partial list of insurgent “Violations of the Law of Armed Conflict” is contained in Appendix 1 Tucker 68 Mounted Digital Communications Terminals, or MDACTs, where are just glorified texting platforms. Texting was faster and clearer than voice communications, and Vivian’s job was to integrate all of the communications in RCT-7’s AO, synthesize information, and source material during combat. The USMC reliance on this texting platform caused some logistical and communications problems between the Marine Units and the Army Units.26 Al-Fajr continued into December, when pockets of die-hard resistance kept springing up. However, the operation was a resounding U.S. success. Enemy Rule of War violations, the discovery of torture-chambers and suicide bomb factors, the insurgent tactic of taking and executing of hostages, and the insurgent’s proclivity to “play dirty” all projected a negative view of the insurgency in the international press. “It only went negative that one time over in that one mosque in the 1st Marines’ area,” recalls Eby. The incident he referred to concerns a Marine who, entering a mosque, shot to death an insurgent who was trying to surrender. It was caught on video by the embedded reporter and broadcast a few days later. The Marine was pulled out of the area and an investigation was launched, but wasn’t completed until after 1MARDIV returned to the states. “That Marine acted under his RoE,” says Natonski, who had the final say in the matter. “The Marine had acted under good faith, in fear of his life, and especially in light of all the incidents that had occurred with the flags and the playing dead and shooting Marines. He acted in what he thought was a threat to his life. He was absolved.” The incident didn’t make as negative an impression as Saadi’s AP report had in April, even 26 See Matthews. Tucker 69 though it was true. Col. Tucker explains why: “We had the strategic advantage because we had control of the message. And you can’t underestimate that.” A time to tear down, and a time to build up By December, the planned repopulation of the city was underway. The infrastructure in the city was seriously crippled. The majority of the water-pumps had been destroyed and there was flooding, electricity had been cut to the city before the attack, entire blocks had been demolished, IEDs were still built in to some buildings, and the roads were barely navigable. Even so, the Marines were repopulating the city – even while some fighting was still going on.27 The MEF had a contingency plan for refugees prior to the operation, but most Fallujans went to relative’s houses in Ramadi, Baghdad, Tikrit, or elsewhere in al-Anbar. The resources (tents, blankets, food, drinking water, etc.) were used by the repopulation teams to feed the citizens as they came back. The central government in Baghdad had made a promise of reconstruction money, but it was not forthcoming. “Remember, now, that Fallujah was in a Sunni province and a Sunni city and in Baghdad they were Shia’,” says Natonski. “But people like Senator Clinton helped free up and pressure the Iraqi government to let go of those funds so that people could rebuild the homes that were destroyed.” The Marines did what they could, offering a $200 allowance to heads of household. The average Iraqi was making between one and two dollars a day and this money would have gone a long way, but it was still pittance for those who had lost their 27 See repopulation graphic, Appendix 1. Tucker 70 entire house. The elections in January went well in Fallujah, with no incidents of violence. This, however, could be a result of the fact that Fallujah was still severely depopulated. Lt. Col. Zeman, who served as 3/4’s Executive Officer (XO) while they were stationed in Fallujah during February 2005, recalls that people were rebuilding and pieces of the insurgency were coming back, but with much less gusto than before. Natonski, who went back in 2006, observed that the city was coming back to life: “There was glass in the windows and buildings that had been rubbled were rebuilt and now the city of Fallujah was in the hands of the Fallujans, the way we had envisioned back in 2004.” Anthony Cordesman, in Iraq’s Insurgency, claims that the Second Battle of Fallujah and its aftermath exposed the inability of the central government in Baghdad to assume effective political control of the country.28 Rebuilding, despite the optimism recorded by Ballard in Fighting for Fallujah, was slow and painstaking and may even have heightened sectarian tensions between al-Anbar (Sunni) and the government (Shia’).29 Even Ballard admits that it took years for Fallujah to return to its previous economic output.30 It would take a shift in strategy at the political level, in both the U.S. and Iraq, and the persistent effort of generals like Mattis and Petraeus to reform and reinstitute COIN doctrine, before the war in Iraq would begin leaning in the American’s favor. The Second Battle of Fallujah was made necessary by the failed first attempt. The first battle of Fallujah was a misunderstanding, at the political level, of the nature, 28 Cordesman, 112. Cordesman, 113. 30 Ballard, 116. Although, it appears that Ballard believes that the primary industry in Fallujah was crime, and that the reduction in crime because of Al-Fajr caused the reduction in income. 29 Tucker 71 strategy and tactics of counterinsurgency that allowed an emotional political decision to turn into a resounding strategic defeat in April which took months to repair physically and years to repair psychologically. I do not like engaging in counterfactuals, but in this instance it is difficult not to imagine what if, in April 2004, the United States had not “done what they want us to do” and instead just kept turning the lights on here and cleaning the water-supply up there. Tucker 72 Conclusions The Complexities of Four Block War The second battle for Fallujah was an unqualified success for the United States military. The integration of U.S. Marine and Army forces with Iraqi Security forces was a success and while the rebuilding process was slow, it proved a learning ground for the U.S. Military in the integration of non-kinetic operations. According to Lt. Col. Vivian, the USMC has gone as far as to replace some of its artillery battalions with engineering battalions in an effort to smooth over the transition from kinetic operations to rebuilding. In the words of Lt. Gen. Natonski, the war in Iraq over the next few years became an “increasingly interagency” operation. General Mattis took the lessons of Fallujah I with him to Quantico’s U.S. Marine Corps University after leaving 1MARDIV. There, he was instrumental in the production, with General Petraeus, of Counterinsurgency. Within a few years, Counterinsurgency doctrine, such as the integration of other national power assets into the war effort and emphasis on IO rather than kinetic operations, was being enacted. This paper will conclude with a short discussion of the complexities of the fourblock war. Two categories are defined below to make better sense of this complexity. “The Media” include print and visual news programs in the United States and Arab world as well as movies, TV shows, blogs, social networking sites, the internet as a conduit for information, and radio programs – essentially all the possible “ways of knowing” about events that did not occur within one’s own experience. “The military” can be understood as those persons engaged in the physical, psychological, or information warfare. On the Tucker 73 U.S. side of the conflict, “The Military” also includes representatives from the Departments of State, Agriculture, Transportation, and Energy as well as the Peace Corps and USAID – people who are fighting the political, economic, moral, or social side of the war, rather than the physical. On the insurgent side of the conflict, this node includes the support networks of the insurgency – such as the farmer who digs a hole by the side of his farm for an IED or the street vendor who knowingly sells dangerous chemicals to a known insurgent leader or the apathetic neighbor who doesn’t inform the local Englishspeaking Captain of the Algerian-accented foreigner lurking around the village. While technically part of the military apparatus of the insurgents, killing or detaining them does not further U.S. goals. In four-block wars, or asymmetrical wars, the multifaceted media and the expanding duty of the military (including non-military war operations and non-war military operations) complicate the battlespace. As has always been the case, the nature of the war is the furthering of a political or ideological policy objective. Clausewitz said that war was simply the continuation of policy by other means and Michel Foucault replied that politics is simply the continuation of war by other means. There is no contradiction between the two. The use of military force to compel one’s enemy to submit to one’s political will and the use of negotiation to co-opt one’s enemy into one’s political will attain the same end (although the first, usually, requires the killing of more people). The political/military relationship should perhaps be conceived of as a spectrum, with pure politics (diplomacy, non-violent resolution of conflicts, etc.) on one end and pure violence (thermo-nuclear war) on the other. All political interaction fits somewhere in between the two ends. Depending on where a conflict is in a spectrum, the usefulness Tucker 74 of kinetic fires or information operations varies. The closer one is to the global thermonuclear war side of the spectrum, the more kinetic fires will further the policy objective. The closer one is to free, fair, open elections, the more Information Operations will further the policy objective. The graph to the right was developed by U.S. Army Colonel William Darley to describe the relationship between politics, the military, the varying levels of violence, and the effectiveness of Kinetic/IO tactics.1 If either end of the political/military spectrum mistakes the nature of the war on which they have embarked, it can have disastrous consequences. Politicians who only see war as a series of kinetic actions2 will invariably miss the importance of this graph. Vigilant Resolve is a textbook example of how this mistake could be made. Bush, in ordering the assault on Fallujah, was requiring that the military utilize kinetic fires to further a policy objective. Since the situation in al-Anbar and Fallujah was one which could be located on the right-hand side of the above spectrum, the application of kinetic fires backfired on the Americans, resulting in an operational and strategic success for the insurgents. The insurgents were able to use the leaking of stories, the fabrication of stories, and the 1 Darley, William M., Col. USA, “Clausewitz’s Theory of War and Information Operations” in Ideas as Weapon.s 2 This is reinforced by the media, who see and represent “the military” as a monolith rather than a complex kinetic/non-kinetic organism. Tucker 75 exploitation of the appearance of wonton American aggression in an information operation which led to the withdrawal of American troops from the city without a conventional contest. The kinetic operations of the Americans simply reinforced the insurgent’s constructed narrative.3 In four-block wars, the media plays a large role in the battlefield. The Arab media is primarily political and patronage based, with various levels of state control exercised.4 Main-stream American media is subject to the “indexing” of opinions to those of government officials (this includes both military and political leaders) while the American political establishment is effected by the Media’s treatment of issues. The American political establishment is dependent upon the Media as its constituents’ “way of knowing” what is going on. In the Arab Media, the political nodes of the insurgency can find audiences in establishments such as al-Jazeera and al-Arabiaya. These connections do not, necessarily, demonstrate an adversarial relationship between the stations and the United States. However, the insurgent’s political nodes are dependent upon the media to reach their domestic and international audiences while the media relies on insurgent leaders for stories. At the same time, both political nodes are dependent on the Media for knowledge of the battlefield. It is well known that some U.S. politicians complain that CNN works faster than the CIA and NSA.5 At the same time, Zarqawi was 3 Or, perhaps, the narrative which emerged benefited the insurgency’s goals. This paper, without access to insurgents or their documents, cannot speculate on the validity of either claim over the other. In both cases, however, it was information war which turned the tide of the battle. That information war was at least partially and consciously constructed by the insurgency, but it is for future scholars to determine to what extent that construction was conscious. 4 In the interest of space and simplicity, I have left out a detailed discussion of Arab newspapers. See Mamoun, Fondy (Un)Civil War of Words: Media and Politics in the Arab World (Westport, CT: Praeger Publishers, 2009). 5 A key White House adviser once suggested that CNN was a better analyst of intelligence than the intelligence community itself. Woodward, State of Denial, 259. Tucker 76 known to gauge the success of his attacks based on the number of news agencies which covered them. Combined with the tendency for sensationalism and “event-driven” news, the media is the organization which often breaks battlefield stories to the President and political leaders before the military can. This short-circuit could bring to light disreputable information (such as Abu Ghraib) before the military has the ability to construct a narrative. But the experiences of April 2004 bring to light another, disturbing, product: The President learned of the contractor’s deaths visually and viscerally, in a sensationalized manner and without context. Had the information gone through the military pipes, it may have been tampered, contextualized, and Mattis’ warning may well have been heeded: Don’t go in there, that’s what they want us to do. At the same time, such “tampering” could lead, as Gonzalez notes in American Counterinsurgency, to cover-ups and the subversion of truth to a military’s strategic goal. In such a case, the media plays a very important role within a democracy as a “way of knowing” for concerned citizens. The “lessons leanred” here are that politicians should be careful to temper media reports with, sometimes, calmer military assessments, and vice versa. The media and the military have a complex, sometimes adversarial, relationship. First, the Media (both American and Arab) is dependent upon the military for access to the warzone (and therefore access to the story). This is usually accomplished through embedding, which some media scholars believe makes the media simply the propaganda arm of the U.S. Military. The Military is dependent upon the Media as a weapon in the battle of perceptions. Since the Media is the public’s way of knowing, the Military needs to get the story it wants told out before the other side does. However, sometimes the Tucker 77 “other side” wins the Information Operation battle, getting their story told first, or most. As explained in Chapter 1, the tense relationship between the media and the military causes expressions of mistrust on both sides. There is a cynicism which causes friction in this relationship. One of the major causes of this friction is the way that the Bush Administration treated and used the press. The mistakes in reporting that lead up to the war in Iraq have caused a crisis in professional journalism, and for an institution which likes to see itself as the independent “Fourth Estate” the reaction has caused some bad blood. The military needs to actively court the good favors of the media, through embedding, access to battlespace, and increased transparency. The media also has problems in its conceptualization of the military. As Taylor wrote, the “subtle internal differences between PSYOP, CMA and PA are frequently lost on the media which tends to see the ‘military’ as one monolithic entity – and one, when it gets into the business of communication, which is trying to ‘propagandize.’”6 There are two important implications to this analysis. First, the media needs to do a better job of differentiating between the services and their various functions, a responsibility which requires more context and analysis than soundbites allow. Second, all efforts to communicate and all actions are not meant to be a form of ‘propaganda.’ The media is a vital weapon in modern asymmetrical war, and within the institution there needs to be discussion about what to do about this weaponization. But, as the situation stands, both sides of this relationship need to cultivate a mutual trust. “They’re [the Media] part of the battlefield,” says General Mattis. They’re an imminently winnable constituency… some of them will have their minds made up before they get to you, but most of them will be swayed by the reality of what 6 Taylor, in Connelly and Welch, 260. Tucker 78 you’re doing. If you can maintain the good order and discipline of your own troops, if you can trust them to do the right thing when your back is turned… then they’ll stay strong. But it takes a very, very persuasive commander who realizes that the media is one audience, to get to the world audience, your own internal message should be the same. This complex relationship, that relies on the media as a way of reaching the world audience but relies on a good commander to keep his troops honest, is very difficult to pull off. In asymmetric warfare the media is weaponized by both sides as a way to “gain the high ground” in the realm of public perception. This raises a few ethical questions. If the media is being used by one side or the other, and if it is impossible to actually be an apolitical, neutral observer, should the media take sides? If they should, doesn’t that simply relegate them to a position “propagandist” rather than reporter? If they don’t pick sides, or if they believe they can remain apolitical and neutral, how should viewers react when the media is responsible for deaths on the battlefield? If the media is a Fourth Estate, who is their check and balance? These questions are beyond the scope of this paper, but it is in their answers that we shall find the limits of a democracy engaged in asymmetrical war. In four-block wars, the Military has to contend with the problem of “strategic corporals” – enlisted soldiers with only a few years of experience making tactical decisions that, because of the modern media and speed of communication, have strategic impacts in the Information Operations domain. What is rationally or morally acceptable at one level (shooting a suspected insurgent because one fears that he is an aggressor) can be broadcast to the world in vivid imagery and with hindsight (well, he had no weapons and was surrendering). Such a situation, according to the Law of War which reserves the right to utilize deadly force if a Marine, sailor, or soldier feels threatened, is acceptable. Tucker 79 But when it is broadcast to the world with the full benefit of hindsight the action gains moral signifiers and strategic import. Politics, the traditional region of policy setting, becomes the center of gravity for the war. The Small Wars Manual astutely observes that in small wars, the art of politics has not been abandoned, and thus all kinetic operations need to support diplomatic goals. In conventional wars, this is not the case. The turn-around in Fallujah had to wait until the political node realized the necessity of disrupting the insurgent sanctuary in Fallujah. Only then was the second operation possible. In a very similar way, Mattis’ original strategy of making “common cause” and addressing the legitimate grievances of the populace in order to establish a legitimate Iraqi government kept his kinetic operations subservient to the political goals of both the Iraqis and the Americans. The Administration’s logic behind Vigilant Resolve assumed that the only response to the April 2004 Blackwater incident was physical. This was a mistake both of the nature of the war in Iraq at the time as well as a misunderstanding of the force of politics and diplomacy in modern asymmetrical war. It is the failure of politics which creates conventional wars. In asymmetrical wars, politics must still continue and play an astute tactical, operational, and strategic role. This means that the actions of politicians have tactical and operational, as well as strategic, affects on the battlefield. Modern asymmetrical war requires commanders with an astute knowledge of their position within the interdependent system. Actions may have political importance which influences the populace on which the politicians rely for a job. The military must be conginzant, at all times, of the effect of its actions in the current political debate. Politicians should not insist on the separation between “military necessity” and “politics,” Tucker 80 as the Bush Administration frequently alleged. The position occupied by the current conflict between Global Thermonuclear War and Free, Fair and Open Elections, the tactical, operational, and strategic repercussions of their reporting will change. Commanders must pay close attention to the media/political pressure during asymmetrical operations because such pressure will determine the extent to which the Military is able to conduct kinetic fires and MOOTW when necessary (or be compelled to conduct kinetic fires when unnecessary and MOOTW when unproductive). From the Military’s perspective, it is necessary to engage in the correct action at the correct time. For the United States, this meant avoiding contest and building alliances and economic assistance programs. For the insurgency, this meant not engaging in a conventional fight with the U.S. Marines. The first mistake was made in April and the second in November, 2004. This paper will end with one last point about leadership in modern war. The complexity of modern war requires a more sophisticated leader at its head. Clausewitz wrote, in On War, that “a cannon shot could not be fired in Europe without all the cabinets having some interest in the occurrence. 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