TRB NEWTEMPLATE - Airports
Transcription
TRB NEWTEMPLATE - Airports
52 aer rianta international middle east Beirut Duty Free. ARIME heading for $840m in a year of mixed fortunes With an expected managed sales turnover of $840m this year, Aer Rianta International Middle East (ARIME) has had a good year considering the pressures on some parts of the operation and the fact that it is slightly ahead of last year, after three record sales years in a row. ARIME Managing Director John Sutcliffe talks to Doug Newhouse in the first of a two part in-depth interview about the highs and lows of the year, new retail infrastructure coming on line in Cyprus and the impressive fact that the retailer has ongoing expansion and refurbishment projects covering all of its main operations in Bahrain, Beirut, Cyprus, Egypt, Qatar, Oman and elsewhere – despite pressures in some locations. “There are people here who are losing money in some locations and I am happy they are losing money to be quite honest because they have come in and bid ridiculous prices and it could have easily upset the whole market here, but it hasn’t so far.” John Sutcliffe. o how has ARIME performed over the last year? Basically 2009 has been a year of mixed fortunes so far, but in general we are doing well and our performance both top and bottom line is slightly ahead of last year overall, which in the circumstances is a pretty good result considering we have had record years for the last three years. We expect our overall managed turnover to surpass about $840m, although the results vary by location and I think it is fair to say that those locations which we operate in which are exposed to the UK market –and in particular the British pound specifically –are the ones which have struggled the most. They would be Cyprus, Egypt and Bahrain to a lesser extent. All of the other locations have positive results over last year. The issue with the British pound is very serious and in Cyprus it is particularly nasty because we have a huge capital expenditure programme which is ongoing this year and over the last few months we have been working very hard to open the new terminal in Larnaka which will open on the seventh of November [now open-Ed]. This is Aer Rianta International’s biggest single outlet and largest project. The total commercial area in Cyprus is over 6,000 square metres, which incorporates food and beverage and retail. Now Cyprus is also very seasonal, so we are opening quite a big shop in the winter, but we had to be committed to the new airport. The good thing about Cyprus is that we have a 25-year contract there and we are actually investors through Hermes which is the consortium which has the concession to operate the two airports until 2031. We have got an 11% share of that as landlords. We also have a 25-year concession for the duty free and also we are in partnership with our Cypriot partners and SSP on the food and beverage. So in essence we are sort of master concessionaires for a very long time in Cyprus, which is ideal and therefore there is no panic in terms of the capital expenditure that we are putting in this year. If we had a choice we probably would have delayed some of that S november 2009 of course and that would have been a prudent thing to do, but we didn’t have a choice really because we are opening up a new terminal in Larnaka. It is absolutely fantastic and it is also great for Cyprus. Having said that, we might still struggle a bit next year because I am not confident that the British market will come back quickly. I think it could take another two years before we start to see any significant increase again. But as I said, we are there long term and we are quite confident that it is going to be a success in the long term. In fact we know it will because it is already a success, but it is not as successful as we want it to be right now and sales are down. Now we opened Paphos this time last year and that has been very successful and my point is proven there really in the sense that even though Paphos is about 85% dependent on UK tourism, the performance in Paphos has been good and that is simply because we opened a new facility there last year which helped with a lot of the problems that we have faced this year. I think the same will happen in Larnaka next year. It will be a new shop with a fantastic location and it is an integrated shop design with the food and beverage and retail mixed and there is also the extended product range. I think all of that will give us significant incremental sales and help cushion what would otherwise have been a very severe period next year. So we are confident about that. So do you think that it is now a game of increasing penetration and conversion with the new shops at those two airports? Yes and I have always said this. I get a bit frustrated when I hear people talk about cut backs. I mean the first thing that you hear when there is a recession or an issue like 9/11 or something like that and people are looking down the barrel of a gun... the first thing they feel they must do is cut costs. Of course that is the prudent thing to do, because you cut costs and you protect your profits. But you also have to look at other ways you can increase sales, because you can’t just run the business down and cut costs in every place and withdraw incentives for the management team and all of these things –it just doesn’t make sense and it makes matters worse. So what we are doing at Aer Rianta International Middle East across the board and not just in Cyprus is that when it was obvious last year that we were heading into a fairly deep recession we got Cyprus Duty Free. 53 “What I think saved the region here – as distinct from say Europe or the States – was the massive amount of infrastructure development that was already going on and you could say the same for Asia.” John Sutcliffe. together our management team in Cairo last November and we basically laid down a plan. This was a push-pull type of plan and we didn’t immediately cut back in terms of costs associated with training and marketing. We also felt that we needed to push the business forward to make sure that we had plenty of excitement in our shops and plenty of offers and that we must be conscious that people are struggling financially. So we had a lot of this and we had a lot of support from our suppliers as well which was great. If we take Cyprus again, we have had these Amazing Days programmes going on for the last 18 months in the last summer and this summer and that has been highly successful. This is where we are giving away fantastic prizes such as all expenses paid holidays in Las Vegas with a few thousand dollars worth of pocket money and this is what the customers want to see. I mean all they hear every day is bad news on the TV or when they read the papers. So I think that is why we have had a pretty good year with all things considered. Its been the same then relative to the British pound. I mean the British pound is really hurting and in Cyprus it is a particularly nasty one because it is only in recent years that they have moved over to the euro so we have got to live with that. We are obviously hoping that this will come good, but I can’t see it happening in the short term and I think it is going to be more into the middle of next year, although I could be wrong because I am not an economist. I think it will be into the middle of next year and possibly at the beginning of 2011 before we see a decent comeback on the British market. I mean people have money and it is there in the market, but they are not spending and that is obviously clear across the board. Average spends are down and particularly on luxury goods which is a clear indication that people have just stopped spending. Is that where you seeing a lot of the decline – in luxury goods, or higher ticket items? Yes. This always happens. That is a trend that we see every time that there is any kind of a crisis, be it SARs, bird flu, swine flu, a Gulf War or anything. It is always the luxury goods that get hit when people are retrenching and pulling back on their spends. Then ironically you often see that things like liquor and tobacco and food and beverage tend to do quite well in those situations. People get to airports and say that they won’t bother shopping and they will just get a cup of coffee, or a beer or whatever. We were finding the same thing was happening in Egypt at the 54 aer rianta international middle east Cyprus Duty Free. “But regardless of what I have said on the positive side, we are in a recession and it is hurting. If we make 3% to 4% right across the board this year, then that would have been 18% to 20% had we not had a recession, so it could be better – but it could also be a damn sight worse.” John Sutcliffe. beginning of all this. But the good thing is that the Egyptian market has come back very strongly in the last three or four months and it is now doing well. Now I think the reason for that is the pricing is good and it is good value for money relative to other destinations in Europe. Obviously we are hoping this will continue. I mean we opened Terminal 3 in Cairo which was a milestone in terms of Egyptian Duty Free and it is a fantastic location, although it will probably take quite a while to mature because of the usual logistics and red tape issues that our clients Egyptair Duty Free have. But we are pushing ahead and when that operation matures I think we will see good business there next year. So we are quietly confident about Egypt. As I mentioned earlier on, Bahrain has struggled and this is because it is unique in the Gulf area in the sense that it has quite a bit of charter traffic from the UK in the winter months. So from now up until April of next year we will get the normal charter traffic coming through with the likes of Monarch Airlines and they are going from the UK down to places like Goa, Phuket and Thailand and so on and they carry a lot of UK passengers. Here we are getting the exact same result with these passengers as in Cyprus, so that is why Bahrain has struggled a bit in the winter months –although in the summer months it has done very well. We were ahead of last year through the summer months, but subsequent months have pulled back sales by about 8%. But it could be worse and we are not too unhappy about that. I think Bahrain will come back and we are also making some new changes in Bahrain. We are upgrading the perfume and cosmetics area there which will be very nice and we have changed things around quite a lot there over the last couple of years and the shop looks fantastic. In fact it is still my favourite perfume and cosmetics shop. So I am not really worried about Bahrain. It is a $100m business for us and it has just gone through that little difficulty and exposure to the UK market on the charters. But there are new airlines that have started up here with Bahrain Air and Gulf Air is also reorganising, so I think we will see a nice steady growth. There is a lot happening in the local Bahraini market as well and the local economy here didn’t struggle as much as Dubai and some other locations because of its size. It wasn’t so far ahead and it didn’t have so far to fall, so it is still fairly buoyant. Just during the last week one of the big shopping malls here City Centre opened a half indoor outdoor massive water park, so these kinds of things are happening and that will bring business. Then moving onto Doha we have a consultancy management contract there with Qatar Airways. Now you have to give credit to Qatar Airways and their Ceo Akbar Al Baker because they never sit back. There are continuous improvements taking place in Doha. As we speak there is a new massive airport being built which will be fantastic which is scheduled to open in 2012 and even then they are still continuing to develop the existing facility, even though most airports would probably not do that and would let it run down. But that is not the way that Qatar Airways think and they have done a great job and sales have been 7% to 8% ahead of last year. Between Doha and Beirut these two locations are running second in the Gulf in terms of sales to Dubai. So it has been good in Qatar and we have been making continuous changes down there and we have got a good team there with Bill Maxwell and Keith Hunter from Qatar Airways. They will certainly have a good year next year as the airline and the airport continue to expand. Last year you did mention that Qatar Airways might want to run this operation themselves in the future. Can you say what the current position is with this? The only thing that I can say is that we haven’t yet discussed the issue fully. Our contracts are due to finish there next May. We are now into our second term there with Qatar Airways and we have had a fantastic time together and we have seen the business grow from a small $2m business turnover to what is now the second largest business in the Gulf after Dubai. That is mainly down to the fantastic job which the government has done there and Akbar Al Baker in particular with Qatar Airways in developing the facilities. I mean if you know Qatar for what it was and what it is now then you can see that Doha International Airport is just unrecognizable and there is also a brand new airport in a different location on the november 2009 55 Bahrain Duty Free. way. He is a very dynamic individual. There are also continual new routes that come with the expansion of the airline and there are new aircraft coming in, so this is all building up the traffic. What happened in Dubai all those years ago is what is happening in Doha now. We will sit down over the next couple of months and discuss what will happen after our current contract expires to see if we are involved and we hope that we will be in some form or another. But we will have to wait and see what Qatar Airways want to do – they haven’t decided yet. What about that other lovely place The Lebanon. That has been powering along nicely as well hasn’t it? Beirut has been the star performer this year and as I have always said to you when you call me up to ask what my wish is for the New Year –while others wish for more money and more profits, I just wish for continued peace. I have lived in the Middle East for most of my working life. I came to Dubai in 1983 with Colm McLoughlin and the boys there and with the exception of two years in Russia I have been in the Gulf region since then and I’ve seen wars and all sorts of crises. The thing about Aer Rianta is that we have such an extensive footprint here. We’ve got interests in North Africa in the Levant, in the Mediterranean and right down to the Gulf and we’ve been in Damascus, Kuwait, Bahrain and Muscat, so we have fairly extensive experience and we’ve made mistakes and we’ve learned from them. My dad used to say that the biggest mistake that you can make is to repeat one, so we have tried to learn how to gel in, but as I said peace is a big factor here in this region and we have it now. Since 2006 there has basically been good civility in Beirut and it continues to exist Qatar Duty Free. “Sooner or later all of the big operations here are going to go to some sort of contractual arrangement other than run it by themselves. They are either going to go to concession, tender, or they are going to bring in a selected partner to help them run the business. It is a matter of when and not if and I am certain of that.” John Sutcliffe. in what is an absolutely fabulous destination. We are very fortunate in Beirut because the passenger mix there is perfect. There are basically two sectors in the mix with the Lebanese themselves who are very brand conscious and very good spenders and that helps and then you have the other segment there which is the Arabs from the Arabian Gulf who go to the Lebanon on holidays. It is the perfect destination for them because it is like the Riviera. It has fantastic five-star hotels, beautiful weather, lovely food and it is an Arabic-speaking country. They are very high spenders as well. Beirut has performed extremely well and it is substantially ahead of last year, so we are delighted, and again, we have an ongoing refurbishment programme to freshen up the shops. Again, most people have postponed these type of works but we haven’t. We have works going on in all of our locations from building a new terminal in Larnaka right down to refurbishing the shops in Bahrain and Beirut. We also have a whole programme across all of the Egyptian airports. So there is a lot of investment going on and nobody is sitting back. The other location of course is Muscat, which is our smallest operation but it has a turnover of $50m which isn’t small and that is fantastic. It is currently running about 8% ahead of last year which is wonderful and it is one of my favourite locations, because it is a beautiful part of the world with wonderful natural resources. They have opened a new pier at Muscat Airport and we’ve opened shops there this year and while it is more expenditure, that is what you need to do. They also have a new airport coming in about four years and you’ve got Oman Air there which has been building steadily as well. It is not just going out and buying 20 or 30 new aircraft, but it is building steadily by adding new routes all of the time. They just announced in the papers today that they have started services from Oman to the Maldives some four times a week and that sort of steady building is all very good for our operations there. So the picture in the region is pretty good compared to what it might 56 aer rianta international middle east with non-oil related industries, so this is happening at the same time. That’s why I think the Middle East has weathered the storm a bit better than most because all of those things are happening and they couldn’t be stopped really. But regardless of what I have said on the positive side, we are in a recession and it is hurting. If we make 3% to 4% right across the board this year, then that would have been 18% to 20% had we not had a recession, so it could be better – but it could also be a damn sight worse. Cigars and tobacco at Beirut Duty Free. “The good thing about Cyprus is that we have a 25year contract there and we are actually investors through Hermes which is the consortium which has the concession to operate the two airports until 2031. We have got an 11% share of that as landlords. We also have a 25-year concession for the duty free and also we are in partnership with our Cypriot partners and SSP on the food and beverage.” John Sutcliffe. have been if you had just sat back and done nothing? Yes. What I think saved the region here –as distinct from say Europe or the States – was the massive amount of infrastructure development that was already going on and you could say the same for Asia. I was in China on holiday during the summer and you could see that everywhere. Now the same has been going on in the Middle East. You’ve got new airports being built and new terminals like Cairo. The same is happening in Jordan with a new terminal coming up at Amman Airport. There have also been announcements that Bahrain will start constructing its new terminal shortly. There is also a new airport being built in Doha alongside the ongoing developments in Dubai and Abu Dhabi all the time which we know of. So you have all of this infrastructure being expanded in airports and in parallel to that you have this huge expansion of the big carriers such as Emirates Airlines, Qatar Airways, Etihad, Bahrain Air, Middle East Airlines and this is happening across the board. Now a lot of that is transfer traffic coming through here, but it is all good news because it is more people coming through the airports. Then in parallel to that as well you have the continuous development of the local economies and the massive infrastructure developments After 26 years in the Middle East do you think you ought to be getting a better deal from some of the supplier sectors than you are, because there still seem to be some problems in some areas? There are, but I obviously can’t talk for Dubai or Abu Dhabi. But I have worked in Dubai many years ago so I know it pretty well. In fact I wouldn’t say that Dubai or Abu Dhabi were very good examples because they are two government-run operations, whereas all of my operations with the exception of Qatar are concession type arrangements. When you are paying concession fees it is a different business and you can’t compare the two because you are living by different parameters and objectives. I would say yes, the suppliers could do more, but to be fair I would also say that many of the suppliers have now altered course and over the last couple of years we have found that many have come to us and been understanding of our situation and they have been helpful. It would be wrong for me to just tar everybody with the same brush. I actually think that the majority of our principal partners have been very understanding and know what is happening in this region. Now maybe they took their eyes off the ball for a while in the past and I know that Dan Cappell calls it the golden cash cow, but I think the principal suppliers now understand operators like Aer Rianta International Middle East who have partners and different complex arrangements in different locations. We have had to struggle to make a business because we are not government owned, we do have to pay concession fees and bottom line performance is the main target for us and not necessarily focusing on our top line performance. Well it is good to hear you say this because it was only two or three years ago that there were major concerns? Yes there were and I said it then because it was a fact then. But I have worked in Dubai and I am not suggesting for a moment that profit is not important to them. The Dubai economy has gone through a pretty difficult time recently and they are in the bottomless pit in terms of funding available. You have seen that the government of Dubai and the Civil Aviation Department of Dubai have put huge resources into developing their airports. They have a magnificent airport and a magnificent operation and I congratulate them and Colm on becoming the world’s largest duty free airport and I actually feel that they will pull away from the others as well now. But ours is a different business and you are not comparing like with like. So I’d have to be positive here and say that after a couple of years of talking and arguments and a lot of slagging in your magazine and others the suppliers have sat up and are mostly being reasonable with us today. It is happening and that is all we ever wanted. There are still a few that have yet to come to the table, but to be fair november 2009 57 Beirut Duty Free. we would have to say that the suppliers have been good. The market has changed here. If you go back just ten years ago there was hardly any competition in this market because most of the big operators just weren’t interested. Now I am getting towards the end of my time in terms of my retirement, but when we first came down here Aer Rianta was the first international operator to establish a regional office here and that is the reason why we have been so successful. We have been here a long time and through the difficult times and we’ve invested in the region and we’ve formed partnerships with “We have works going on in all of our locations from building a new terminal in Larnaka right down to refurbishing the shops in Bahrain and Beirut. We also have a whole programme across all of the Egyptian airports. So there is a lot of investment going on and nobody is sitting back.” John Sutcliffe. 58 aer rianta international middle east good people and also when you live here you understand the market better because it is different from other locations. So as I was saying, the market has changed and it is becoming more like what we are all used to in developed markets like Europe in particular and it can be a bit of a man bites dog business at times and we’ve had examples of stupid bidding and I won’t use any other word for it, because some of it has been stupid. There are people here who are losing money in some locations and I am happy they are losing money to be quite honest because they have come in and bid ridiculous prices and it could have easily upset the whole market here, but it hasn’t so far. The trouble with this is you get airport authorities thinking all of a sudden that legitimate businesses like ourselves are not paying them enough and then the whole pressure thing starts to build up again. Now I won’t name names because everybody knows who I am talking about and we don’t mind competition because it keeps us on our toes. But it is disappointing to see this because many of us have put our whole working lives into this business and we’ve built businesses up from nothing and now we’ve got a situation where we have got to fight to keep that business. You’ve actually got two things. You’ve got to fight to keep the business you have and it is more difficult to get new business because it is more competitive. Now we have even had some of our competitors meet with some of our partners and that is how unscrupulous some people can be. I know who they are and I am in the ears of these people. We are not naive and we are aware that we have to be vigilant and work hard. But the best way to hold on to your business is to make it successful and to build good relationships and not by shouting, roaring, or complaining. When partners are successful and you have a good relationship then they are less likely to want to change. Cyprus Duty Free. “We are now into our second term there with Qatar Airways and we have had a fantastic time together and we have seen the business grow from a small $2m business turnover to what is now the second largest business in the Gulf after Dubai. That is mainly down to the fantastic job which the government has done there and Akbar Al Baker in particular with Qatar Airways in developing the facilities.” John Sutcliffe. Do you think that if some governments start to look at divesting their investments in airports to special groups that the size of the cheque on the table is going to become even more important in future bid situations in the Middle East? I don’t think it is a matter of if... it is a matter of when, because it is going to happen and mark my words it is going to happen in every place. Sooner or later all of the big operations here are going to go to some sort of contractual arrangement other than run it by themselves. They are either going to go to concession, tender, or they are going to bring in a selected partner to help them run the business. It is a matter of when and not if and I am certain of that. It has already happened to a certain extent in Abu Dhabi where DFS basically walked into that contract and there was no tender and no nothing. So I think you can expect more of that, but it is not the november 2009 “Beirut has performed extremely well and it is substantially ahead of last year, so we are delighted, and again, we have an ongoing refurbishment programme to freshen up the shops.” 59 Beirut Duty Free. John Sutcliffe. golden cash cow that some people think it is. Everybody thinks, oh it is the Middle East with money to burn, Sheikhs and oil wells, but it is not like that and it has never been like that for me. All of our businesses, no matter where we started involved many of them being put out to tender and we won them and they all required a lot of planning and a lot of due diligence went into them before we went in. We have walked into very few cushy situations and we had to work very hard to help develop those businesses. It is also not a matter of if these airports are privatised. The airports may or may not be privatised, but the duty free and commercial activities in those airports certainly will be pushed in that direction and there is no doubt about that. So therefore for you to try and be a world apart from other airports in terms of excellence must be a priority? Yes, it’s the best way. People complain and go on about recessions, but the best way to protect your business is to be efficient and professional and be successful with the bottom line. In all of the duty free magazines on the internet you read all about sales doing this and sales doing that, but it is actually about profit and it is about quality and the two things go hand in hand in my opinion. If you are a quality operation and you do the right thing and take a long term approach, you get the profits in the end and everybody will get their fair share. You’ve heard me speak about the Trinity issue and all of that and we are not interested in two or three year contracts and sometimes even five-year contracts make my stomach turn. You’ve got to give someone a decent term to build a business and invest so that they also have a chance to get their money back. If you offering a short-term contract like they do in Europe and in the Far East then you just can’t deliver in the short term. You simply can’t be bold enough to invest in world-class shops and in training and all of the things that customers expect of you. Of course, the other big thing that is happening in every place in the Middle East is the development of the domestic High Street market. You mean as a straight competitor with the duty free market? Absolutely. I mean put yourself in my place at my desk right now. I mean you cannot leave any of the countries here easily by road and everybody has to fly every place. For example, I’ll be doing an average of two flights a week and people in the Gulf are very frequent flyers and it is a way of life down here. Now I suppose you could say the same thing is happening now in Europe and Asia to an extent with the growth of the low-cost carriers and fares coming down. Flying is not a big deal any more and it is affordable for most people because the topography of the place is like that. The Middle East also sees itself as a major shopping destination and I suppose this whole thing was started by Dubai back in the eighties. People now recognise the Middle East as a significant shopping opportunity. I mean here in Bahrain they just opened a massive shopping mall right beside another one which has been there for about ten years and this is supposed to be in the middle of a recession –and this is a fantastic mall. So what I am saying is that people have a choice and the Middle East is a low tax area, although we have a significant price advantage on liquor and tobacco. But on everything else in Bahrain and most of the GCC there is a zero to five per cent tax, so we don’t have a serious comparative advantage in terms of our pricing. We have to work on lower margins in order to be competitive and fortunately for these other shops our customers expect the duty free shops to be cheaper. ❑ [Part two of this in-depth interview with John Sutcliffe will be published on www.trend.com on Sunday November 22 just ahead of the MEDFA Conference, where the ARIME head warns of the dangers of a swing back in the value of the US dollar and how damaging that could be to the region’s operators and why retailers will still need a lot of help from suppliers. He also talks about the products duty free shops must have, such as mobile phones, even if the margins are virtually non-existent and how this situation can be managed profitably. Equally significantly he talks candidly about the retailer’s entry into the Indian market at Delhi Airport’s new Terminal 3 next year, now that ARIME has been officially charged with managing this business as part of its portfolio-Ed].