link - MIT Senseable City Lab
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link - MIT Senseable City Lab
This paper might be a pre-copy-editing or a post-print author-produced .pdf of an article accepted for publication. For the definitive publisher-authenticated version, please refer directly to publishing house’s archive system. ARTICLE IN PRESS Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 www.elsevier.com/locate/atmosenv A simple network approach to modelling dispersion among large groups of obstacles David Hamlyna,, Trevor Hildermanb, Rex Brittera a Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 1PZ, UK Coanda Research and Development Corp., 110A-3430 Brighton Ave, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada V5A 3H4 b Received 5 September 2006; received in revised form 15 March 2007; accepted 19 March 2007 Abstract A simple network approach has been developed to simulate the movement of pollutant within urban areas. The model uses estimates of pollutant exchange obtained from velocity measurements in experiments with various regular obstacle arrays. The transfer of tracer material was modelled using concepts of advection along streets, well-mixed flow properties within street segments and exchange velocities (akin to aerodynamic conductances) across side and top facets of the street segments. The results predicted both the centreline concentration and lateral dispersion of the tracer with reasonable accuracy for a range of packing densities and wind directions. The basic model’s concentration predictions were accurate to better than a factor of two in all cases for the region from two obstacle rows behind a source located within the array to around eight rows behind, a range of distances that falls into the so-called ‘‘neighbourhood-scale’’ for dispersion problems. The results supported the use of parameterized rates of exchange between regions of flow as being useful for fast, approximate dispersion modelling. It was thought that the effects of re-entrainment of tracer back into the canopy were of significance, but modelling designed to incorporate these effects did not lead to general improvements to the modelling for these steadystate source experiments. The model’s limitations were also investigated. Chief amongst these was that it worked poorly among tall buildings where the well-mixed assumption within street segments was inadequate. r 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Urban canopy; Box model; Exchange velocity; Re-entrainment 1. Introduction This paper describes the development of a simple network approach for modelling dispersion at the neighbourhood scale (i.e. several streets downstream of a source). This model, while remaining Corresponding author. Tel.: +44 1223 332869. E-mail address: [email protected] (D. Hamlyn). URL: http://www.coanda.ca (T. Hilderman). 1352-2310/$ - see front matter r 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2007.03.047 fast to run, aims to take account of the important advective and diffusive flow processes within the obstacle arrays, rather than representing the obstacles simply as a spatially averaged roughness. The model might be particularly attractive for assessing pollutant spread from hotspots such as busy intersections to surrounding parts of a city, or to assess potential danger areas after an accidental or intentional release of hazardous material. The model has been developed and tested against ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 a range of experiments using regular obstacle arrays, which provided basic flow data for model development and dispersion data for model testing. Flow among arrays of cubes has been examined in experiments (e.g. Davidson et al., 1995, 1996; Mavroidis and Griffiths, 2001). These studies commented on the relevance for dispersion of obstacle wakes and longitudinal channelling along streets. Computational studies by Kim and Baik (2004) and Hamlyn and Britter (2005) have also examined the form of the flow structures, finding a range of large recirculatory structures present in the gaps between obstacles, with the form of these structures dependent on the wind direction and obstacle array packing density. The model concept is that a series of short streets form a network of boxes that comprise the canopy space. Tracer material is advected along the streets and is assumed to be well mixed within each box, or ‘‘cell’’ due to vigorous mixing from recirculatory structures and locally generated turbulence around the obstacles. The transfers of tracer between cells, and transfers between the canopy and the air above are governed by the magnitude of the resistance to transfer (via advection or turbulent diffusion) between the cells, or between the canopy and the air above. The model is designed to capture the important flow physics in a simple, fast-to-run approach applicable to the neighbourhood scale and requiring only very limited inputs regarding flow velocities. Techniques and references are suggested for estimation of these inputs. The network model approach reflects that taken by Soulhac’s model SIRANE (2000) but the methods of parameterizing exchanges differ, as does our more simplified approach of assuming local incanopy vertical homogeneity. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations by Hamlyn and Britter (2005) focused on quantifying the exchanges within simple obstacle arrays. The concept of ‘‘exchange velocity’’, uE was described by Bentham and Britter (2003) and in essence is a characteristic velocity relating the momentum flux across a plane to spatially averaged reference velocities either side of the plane. The fluxes that contribute to momentum exchange across the canopy top are turbulent and advective fluxes, the latter often referred to as dispersive stresses. For pollutant exchange, the same exchange velocity concept may be applied to quantify the exchange of pollutant mass across the canopy top. 5849 The introduction of an exchange velocity has come from the realization that parameterizations like surface roughness length z0 and displacement height d are of limited usefulness when dealing with flow near and within an urban canopy. They only have meaning in the context of boundary layer flow over a very long, statistically homogeneous fetch. The exchange velocity directly addresses the aspect of the flow that is of direct importance in the urban environment, the ventilation of the urban canopy. Thus, it could be interpreted as the dominant link in any network model of the urban canopy. It should not be confused with various mass, momentum or heat conductances that connect surface variables with variables within the canopy or above it. The exchange velocity is not a particularly novel concept (it is similar to the concept of aerodynamic conductances e.g. see Monteith and Unsworth, 1990) but, for its importance, it has been very little studied or parameterized in the urban context when compared with the efforts on z0 , d and conductances between surfaces and the air. The exchange velocity is probably best parameterized in terms of the friction velocity u and Bentham and Britter (2003) developed a simple analysis to connect the two. However u is not an easily determinable parameter in the urban context. Unrealistically (see Cheng and Castro, 2002a) long fetches that have statistical homogeneity are required if the velocity profile is to be used to determine u , z0 and d. Additionally, the considerable sensitivity of the determined u , d and z0 to the velocity profile is reflected in the relative insensitivity of the wind speed at a particular height to a (consistent) set of estimates for u , d and z0 . The determination of the friction velocity from measurements of the Reynolds stress is also quite problematic in an urban context from measurements within or above the roughness sub-layer for a variety of reasons. Consequently, the wind speed at a particular height, measured, calculated or estimated, can be a preferable reference velocity to the more fundamentally correct variable, the friction velocity, u . For this reason, we choose a reference velocity towards the top of the roughness sub-layer, at 2.5 times the average obstacle height, H. It might be considered that in obstacle arrays, knowledge of the canopy-top exchange velocities uEtop , and a mean in-canopy exchange velocity between sheltered and unsheltered regions of flow uEside could be sufficient to produce a simple model ARTICLE IN PRESS 5850 D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 for urban dispersion. For wind directions where there are not distinct sheltered regions, a spatially averaged velocity can be used to characterize advection in that street. The well-mixed assumption within cells is a major assumption of this work. Flow visualization studies suggested that it is a good starting point for a simple model of this kind, and may be adequate in the context of fast, approximate operational modelling. This is particularly so for application to real cities where the wind directions vary and will rarely be aligned with streets containing a source; which would be expected to be the worst case for applicability of well-mixed assumptions. Care should however be taken when considering low plan area density development where streets may be wide. The model simulates dispersion from a point source within a canopy, though this could easily be extended to line or area sources. It is tested here for regular cube arrays, using the water channel work of Hilderman and Chong (2004a, b) (Coanda R&D Corporation for Eugene Yee, Defence Research and Development Canada—Suffield, hereafter referred to as the DRDC-S data set) and data from Macdonald et al. (2000, 2001) and Hall et al. (1998) as additional test cases. Estimates of the exchange velocities used in the model were made from separate Laser Doppler Velocimetry (LDV) measurements carried out in the Coanda water channel. The cube arrays considered are described using the parameters ‘‘plan area density’’, lp and ‘‘frontal area density’’, lf . These represent the total built area divided by total lot area and the total frontal area of buildings divided by total lot area, respectively. For cube arrays, these are identical, and so will be referred to simply as l, or packing density. 2. The model 2.1. Model concept and structure 2.1.1. Network structure and in-canopy flow Fig. 1a shows an aerial view of some real urban geometry at the neighbourhood scale (Marylebone Rd., London, UK) and Fig. 1b shows part of the geometry within a regular obstacle array similar to the test cases, indicating the similarities and differences between regular obstacle arrays and real urban form. Fig. 1c shows schematically the exchange velocity applied to a single intersection region that forms an element of the model’s network structure displayed in Fig. 1b. The dashed lines in Fig. 1b surround network ‘‘cells’’ (of three types, A, B and C) which enclose the fluid volume shown up to the canopy top. The fluid velocity is the only detail of the flow considered within a cell. In the case of a 0 wind direction, the in-canopy averaged velocity uCb in type B and C cells below is a user input and the velocity uCa in type A cells is taken as zero. In cases where the wind direction is not 0 , the user can input in-canopy velocities uCa and uCb along the two street directions. Alternatively, for angled cases, the user can specify a velocity appropriate for the 0 case. If this option is chosen, the model estimates along-street velocities by multiplying this by cosðyÞ where y is the direction of each street relative to the wind, an approach used by Soulhac (2000). 2.1.2. Pollutant sources and pollutant exchanges The steady-state source considered in this study was of strength q ðkg s1 Þ located in a cell at the front and lateral centre of the array. It is modelled as an additive term in this cell’s concentration balance such that at time step n: X C sourcecell;n :V ¼ qn dt þ C sourcecell;n1 :V fi;n dt. i (1) Here, V is the source cell volume and fi represents the pollutant mass fluxes ðkg s1 Þ out of the cell through each cell facet, i. While the model is demonstrated here with single steady sources, its data storage methods allow for multiple and/or unsteady sources. To characterize the pollutant exchanges between cells and across the canopy top, exchange velocities are input by the user. In all cell types, the exchange between the cell and the air above is as follows (written here for the cell with position index x ¼ p, y ¼ q). Here, the net pollutant mass leaving the cell through the canopy top (facet 1) in a time step dt is f1 , where f1 ¼ ðCðp; qÞ C ext ðp; qÞÞ:A1 :uE dt. (2) C ext ðp; qÞ represents the concentration of the air above the cell at z ¼ H and is zero unless re-entrainment modelling is included (see Section 2.1.3). Cðp; qÞ is the cell’s concentration and A1 represents the area for exchange at the cell top. The concentrations used are those at the previous time step. A small time step is needed to maintain accuracy. In the model runs ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 5851 Fig. 1. (a) The real level of urban complexity near Marylebone Road, London. (b) The model concept for a simple urban-like array, showing the role of the exchange velocity. (c) The concept of exchange velocity applied to an intersection region. carried out, dt ¼ 0:1 s was used for the Macdonald et al. and Hall et al. test cases and dt ¼ 0:05 s for DRDC-S test cases. The methods of calculating mass exchange across interfaces between cells (within the canopy) are explained below for a type C cell, as this type of cell is involved in all in-canopy exchanges. In this cell, for the 0 wind direction case, the exchanges occur at the ends of the street to the type A cells with exchange velocity uEside . The exchanges into the cell from the upstream type B cell and out of the cell to the downstream type B cell are assumed to be purely advective in nature, involving the upstream concentration and the appropriate instreet velocity. For example, the fluxes through facets 2 and 4 are f2 ¼ ðCðp; qÞ Cðp; q þ 1ÞÞ:A2 :uEside dt, (3) f4 ¼ ðCðp 1; qÞÞ:A4 :uCb dt. (4) For angled cases, all of the exchanges are assumed to be advective rather than diffusive in nature. So, for example, the flux through facet 2 becomes f2 ¼ ðCðp; q þ 1ÞÞ:A2 :uCa dt. (5) There also exists a ‘‘type D’’ cell, i.e. the volume within the building. The concentration here is initially zero and remains zero as no tracer exchanges into it are permitted. However, given information about pollutant infiltration rates into ARTICLE IN PRESS 5852 D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 buildings, the concentrations inside buildings might also be modelled. 2.1.3. The effects of re-entrainment Re-entrainment effects are transfers of pollutant from the air above the canopy into the canopy below. Simple additional modelling was created to account for re-entrainment, involving an extra concentration variable C ext . This represents the concentration of the air above the canopy at the canopy-top height and is calculated in a similar manner to that in SIRANE (Soulhac, 2000), although each cell is discretized as a single point source rather than a line source for faster computation. The use of the exchange velocity concept allows for a very simple method of finding the net flux through the canopy top. Thus, at each time and each cell (written here at time i for cell p; q) this source strength is qi ðp; qÞ ¼ ðC i ðp; qÞ C ext;i ðp; qÞÞ:uE :A1 . (6) The contribution of this source (located at point a, say) to the external concentration at point b is the reflected (at the canopy-top) Gaussian profile: 2 2 C ext;ab ¼ qi ðp; qÞ=ðp:uH :sy :sz Þ:eðyab =2:sy Þ , (7) where uH is a user input representing the velocity of the air above the canopy close to the canopy top, and xab and yab are the longitudinal and lateral distances between a and b. Superposition is used to estimate the resultant downstream roof level concentrations. To make Eq. (7) suitable for real geometries and wind tunnel models to both be simulated by the model, the non-linear terms were removed from the Briggs (1973) expressions used for the dispersion parameters, giving sy ¼ 0:16:xab and sz ¼ 0:14:xab . For an average geometrical repeat unit (or city block spacing) of 40 m, this would give less than 20% error in s values for the largest source–receptor distances considered. This is acceptable in the context of other approximations made. 2.1.4. Transient behaviour The concentration field takes time to develop within the array due to the need for pollutant to travel downstream within the initially ‘‘clean’’ domain. The time needed to reach a steady-state concentration field was examined. It was found that 20 cells directly downstream of the steady-state source, around 400 time steps, or 20 s was needed to observe a steady-state in-canopy concentration (for the l ¼ 0:25 cube array at 0 to the wind). Scaling for a real building height of 20 m and a wind speed of 5 m s1 , this would represent a timescale of the order of 10 min in the full-size geometry. This is around five times longer than the advection time at velocity uC would be in the absence of hold-up of pollutant in recirculation regions. 3. Test cases, results and discussion As a source of flow data to develop the model and dispersion data to test the model, laboratory experiments provide the fullest and most reliable data sets. Several sets of experiments on cube arrays exist, encompassing different packing densities and flow directions relative to the array. The geometries investigated in such studies also crudely replicate some of the geometric features of urban areas (in terms of highly three-dimensional structure, possible grid layout and appropriate plan area densities). As such, they provide a consistent set of data for assessment of how the model performs under various conditions of geometry and flow angle. The approach taken was to use experimental velocity data to provide velocity input (in a highly parameterized format) to the dispersion model. The dispersion model was then tested against experimental data from dispersion experiments. 3.1. Test cases The range of test cases considered for dispersion modelling is detailed in Table 1, which also includes some cases used later to investigate the assumptions of the model. The DRDC-S geometries of particular interest were an in-line cube array with l ¼ 0:25 (case URB001), the angled l ¼ 0:25 cube arrays at 30 and 45 (URB031 and URB037), and the in-line cube array with obstacle height doubled (URB003). Also considered were two other cube packing densities, l ¼ 0:16 and l ¼ 0:44 from Macdonald et al. (2000, 2001) and Hall et al. (1998). We take as our datum case the in-line l ¼ 0:25 array with the source located within a sheltered region behind an obstacle. This case is referred to using DRDC-S data set notation as URB001-D, the ‘‘D’’ representing a source in the centre of a sheltered region, rather than ‘‘C’’, representing a source in the centre of a region of channelled flow, as illustrated in Fig. 2. By default, the source was located in row 1 of the array, although case URB001-8D was also examined, where the source ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 5853 Table 1 Details of obstacle array configurations, source and measurement positions Array ID data source and lp Layout Wind angle (deg) Other array characteristics Source location Source height Cell concentration measurement height DRDC-S URB001C DRDC-S URB001D DRDC-S URB001-8D DRDC-S URB002C DRDC-S URB002D DRDC-S URB003D DRDC-S URB010D 0.25 Square 0 Cubes Row 1 Ground level z=H ¼ 0:5 0.25 Square 0 Cubes Row 1 Ground level N/A 0.25 Square 0 Cubes Row 8 Ground level z=H ¼ 0:5 0.25 Staggered 0 Cubes Row 1 Ground level N/A 0.25 Staggered 0 Cubes Row 1 Ground level N/A 0.25 Square 0 2H obstacles Row 1 Ground level z=H ¼ 1:0 0.25 Square 0 Row 1 Ground level N/A DRDC-S URB031D 0.25 Square 30 Alternating rows of 2H and 3H obstacles Cubes Ground level z=H ¼ 0:5 DRDC-S URB037C 0.25 Square 45 Cubes Ground level z=H ¼ 0:25 Macdonald et al. 0.16 Square 0 Cubes Approx. 6H downwind into array Approx. 1 downwind repeat unit into array 0:5H Ahead of first obstacle z=H ¼ 0:5 z=H ¼ 0:4 Case 1 Macdonald et al. 0.16 Square 0 Cubes Row 3, 0:5H ahead of obstacle z=H ¼ 0:5 z=H ¼ 0:4 Case 2 Hall et al. Case 1 Hall et al. Case 2 0.16 0.16 Square Square 0 0 Cubes Cubes Ground level Ground level Ground level Ground level Hall et al. Case 3 Hall et al. Case 4 0.44 0.44 Square Square 0 0 Cubes Cubes Within array Ahead of first row of array Within array Ahead of first row of array Ground level Ground level Ground level Ground level was located in a sheltered region 8 rows within the array. The model requires as inputs in-canopy velocities and exchange velocities. These results are shown in Tables 2–4, and were measured from experiments, or derived from existing experimental data where possible. Starting with the exchange velocities at the canyon top (Table 2), results were estimated from measurements for all the DRDC-S test cases, except for the 30 flow case, where measurements did not permit this. Thus, for this case the model was run with three exchange velocities; these were the exchange velocity for the same geometry with 0 and 45 wind directions, and their arithmetic mean. For comparison with the experiments of Macdonald et al. and Hall et al. (cube arrays of different packing densities at 0 to the flow direction), the canopy-top exchange velocities were estimated from measurements made in the Coanda water channel using LDV within arrays of the appropriate packing densities. Considering the exchange velocities at the interface between sheltered regions and channelled flow for 0 flow cases (Table 3), results for datum in-line l ¼ 0:25 geometry and the double-height case were derived from DRDC-S data set measurements, although estimates for the spatially averaged uEside values were based on data from three vertical profiles only, and thus may lack good streamwise ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 5854 Fig. 2. Array layout (part of a 16 obstacle row by 16 obstacle column array) and obstacle shape for the URBXXX test cases. Terminology for source location (C or D) shown; shading indicates source location for this test case. Table 2 Exchange velocities at canopy top used as inputs to the model Exchange velocity uE (% uref ) URB001 URB003 URB037 l ¼ 0:16 l ¼ 0:44 Turbulent Advective Total 1.3 1.0 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 1.7 1.3 0.6 1.8 1.2 0.4 1.6 Table 3 Exchange velocities between sheltered regions and channelled regions used as inputs to the model for cases of flow direction aligned with the array Exchange velocity uEside (% uref ) URB001 URB003 Turbulent Advective Total 2.7 3.6 6.3 2.4 0.3 2.7 resolution. In the absence of other measurements, the datum in-line cube array (uEside ) estimate was used for other packing densities at 0 to the wind. In-canopy and reference velocities are shown in Table 4. In these cases the values of uC used in the uE calculation were estimated from the vertical average from z ¼ 0 to H from two profiles, at the canyon centre and at the channel centre in the intersection. While the velocities here were measured values for the purposes of evaluating the model concept, it would be possible instead to estimate in-canopy velocities using an approach such as that suggested by Bentham and Britter (2003) or via Macdonald’s (2000) exponential profile approach. 3.2. Results and discussion For the DRDC-S arrays, experimental results and model predictions of cross-sectional concentration profiles at various distances x=H downstream of the source were compared. However for the doubleheight, Macdonald et al. and Hall et al. experiments, only centreline concentration measurements were available. The comparisons for the DRDC-S data set cases are shown in Figs. 3–5, with comparisons for Macdonald et al. and Hall et al. test cases shown in Figs. 6 and 7. Where experimental concentration measurements were carried out at various heights within the canopy, the results from the closest measurement location to the canopy mid-height are shown here. In these figures, the results from two model variants are shown. One included the re-entrainment modelling described, while the other did not model re-entrainment. Thus, it could be tested whether or not this (computationally intensive) aspect of the modelling gave significant improvements to the model predictions. 3.2.1. Centreline concentrations For the DRDC-S arrays, centreline concentrations are well predicted in most of the cases and downstream distances considered. Fig. 3 shows the ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 5855 Table 4 Reference velocities used in the model Reference velocities ðm s1 Þ URB001 URB003 URB031 URB037 l ¼ 0:16 l ¼ 0:44 uC uCa uCb uref uH 0.185 N/A N/A 0.326 0.160 0.110 N/A N/A 0.376 0.172 N/A 0.072 0.042 0.313 0.159 N/A 0.062 0.062 0.297 0.126 0.0294 N/A N/A 0.0636 0.0310 0.0152 N/A N/A 0.0636 0.0126 uH is only used for purposes of re-entrainment modelling. Fig. 3. Comparison of model and experimental lateral concentration profiles at various downstream distances x=H for case URB001 with source located in row 8 of the array. results for the datum, in-line geometry with the source well inside the array (URB001-8D). Apart from at one row downstream ðx=H ¼ 2Þ, where concentrations are underestimated by just under a factor of two in the model with re-entrainment effects, the centreline concentrations are predicted with reasonable accuracy up to eight rows downstream. With the model at 45 to the flow, the maximum error in predicted concentrations (Fig. 4) is acceptable for fast, approximate modelling, being ARTICLE IN PRESS 5856 D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 double-height building case (Fig. 5). The specific (and operationally rare) case of wind direction aligned completely with a regular grid layout of obstacles exacerbates these difficulties. These issues will be discussed further in Section 4.5. However, even in this case discrepancies between the prediction and the measured concentration (at z ¼ H) may be reasonable estimates from an operational perspective, with centreline concentration errors from around 15% (with re-entrainment modelling) at x=H ¼ 2 to around 55% at x=H ¼ 16. Even at 13 rows downstream, the worst model prediction is an overestimate by a factor of 2.3. Examining the l ¼ 0:16 (Fig. 6) and l ¼ 0:44 (Fig. 7) arrays, the model with re-entrainment gives an overall good match with centreline concentrations for the Macdonald et al. and Hall et al. test cases. The accuracy varies between cases, although some significant scatter in experimental results should also be noted. For the Hall et al. l ¼ 0:16 array, the predictions are accurate to within about 25% (suggesting that this geometry is sufficiently dense to allow wellmixed assumptions), except at one repeat unit downstream of the source, where concentrations are underestimated severely, as for the datum geometry. The worse predictive performance at this point than in the Macdonald et al. test case may be as a result of different source vertical positions in the two cases, resulting in differences in how well mixed the tracer becomes within the cells near the source. The model predictions for the l ¼ 0:44 array case were less accurate overall. Yet even here, at the largest measurement distance downstream ðx=H ¼ 21Þ, the model variants with and without re-entrainment effects resulted in, respectively, overand under-estimates by factors of approximately 2.3 and 1.5. These may often be adequate in the context of operational modelling. Fig. 4. Comparison of model and experimental lateral concentrations at various distances x=H along the 0 direction aligned with the obstacle grid for case URB037 (array at 45 to wind direction). only around 45% (with the model including re-entrainment effects) at the furthest downstream distance compared. The difficulty encountered one row downstream in the datum geometry can be attributed to issues of how well mixed the tracer is within a cell, and the same issue results in the relatively large errors in the 3.2.2. Lateral dispersion For the in-line datum geometry (Fig. 3), predictions of lateral dispersion were generally good throughout the domain. For the cases with the flow at an angle to the array, inflections in the profiles around street intersections were well captured by the model and overall predictions were reasonable, but some discrepancies were noted between model predictions and experimental results. These will be discussed with reference to the case with 45 flow angle relative to the array (Fig. 4). ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 5857 Fig. 5. Comparison of model and experimental lateral concentrations at various downstream distances x=H for case URB003. Firstly, the model over-estimated the lateral spread in the positive y direction, beginning at short x=H distances, although the predictions become closer to the experimental measurements with increasing distance downstream. Secondly, in the negative y direction, the model without re-entrainment predicts zero concentrations. This is only incorrect close to the source where lateral dispersion occurs over one row or so. The model with reentrainment actually predicts these concentrations ARTICLE IN PRESS 5858 D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 Fig. 6. Comparison of model and experimental centreline concentrations at various downstream distances in l ¼ 0:16 cube arrays. 4. Further discussion Aside from the more straightforward discussion of the model results, there are other, more subtle issues raised by the work carried out. These, and the major assumptions of the model are discussed in this section. 4.1. Sensitivity to source location Fig. 7. Comparison of model and experimental centreline concentrations at various downstream distances in a l ¼ 0:44 cube array. rather well close to the source though possibly for the wrong reasons, as some of the real transport to y=H ¼ 1 was due to gusting within the canopy rather than re-entrainment via the canopy top. Further downstream, the lateral spread in the negative y-direction is overestimated increasingly severely by the model with re-entrainment, indicating potential errors in the re-entrainment modelling there. When comparing model results with experiments (Figs. 3–7), the most appropriate comparisons were with experiments with the source well within the array. Macdonald et al. (2000) suggested that the mean flow and turbulence fields within the canopy reached a near equilibrium after three obstacle rows and Cheng and Castro (2002b) suggested approximate similarity by the fifth row of a l ¼ 0:25 cube array. For sources closer to the front of the array, the canopy-top exchanges near the source would be enhanced by increased advective and turbulent fluxes, due to the flow taking a few rows to adapt to the canopy’s presence. Thus, increased tracer losses through the canopy top would be expected and would be reflected in lower experimentally recorded concentrations. However, the differences are not very large, so it was felt acceptable to make comparisons when the source was in row 1. Results for a source upstream of the array have been included (Figs. 6 and 7) to indicate the (often significant) sensitivity of the results to source ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 location. Experiments where this source location has been used are less representative of real urban dispersion problems where the source is usually located in a street well within a developed area. 4.2. Re-entrainment modelling In most of the arrays studied, using the reentrainment modelling led to some improvements to the predicted centreline concentrations near to the source, but increased the overestimation of concentrations further downstream. The re-entrainment modelling also has some effect at smoothing out the sudden concentration drop between the first and second street rows and the slower decay thereafter. This provides evidence for the physical relevance of these effects to urban dispersion problems, although their predicted magnitude appears inaccurately modelled. For the angled cases, such as in Fig. 4, the lateral spread prediction also becomes weaker further downstream if re-entrainment modelling is included. These differences suggest that the re-entrainment has been over-estimated, at least at x=HX4, reinforcing the above conclusions. Based on these observations, the additional computational time and model complexity introduced by the re-entrainment modelling included here does not appear to lead to significant consistent improvements for these steady-state experiments. However, it is anticipated that re-entrainment modelling will be of consequence when dealing with transient scenarios, particularly when the source has stopped. 4.3. Model limits of applicability The model was not, nor was expected to be very accurate close to the source within a few obstacle heights where the well-mixed assumption is likely to be invalid. Using the data of Macdonald et al., some investigation was made into how far downstream the model is appropriate. At large distances downstream the concentrations outside and inside the canopy will be similar. As a result the exchanges calculated may contain large percentage errors if no re-entrainment modelling is included. Even with reentrainment modelling, the accuracy will degrade with distance downstream from the source, as errors build up in the in-canopy concentrations. 5859 It is possible to estimate a rough downwind limit of applicability. Macdonald et al. (2001) report zc , the elevation of the plume centreline from Hall et al.’s (1998) results. For the l ¼ 0:16 cube array, zc rose to 1.0 by x=H15 downstream. This might be taken as an approximate limit of when the negative concentration gradient qC=qz at z ¼ H exists until, and hence an indication of the point by which the model may have lost applicability. Beyond this downstream distance, the approach outlined here should be replaced by conventional dispersion approaches. This estimate seems to be approximately borne out by the results for the DRDC-S arrays. 4.4. Sensitivity to value of exchange velocity Three canopy-top exchange velocities were investigated for the 30 angled flow case as explained earlier. The closest overall fit to the experimental data was for the intermediate value, although differences between the results in each case were found to be very small indeed. This suggests that (given the overall range of exchange velocities is not much higher than that of the three values used here) it may be possible just to use a single value of uE for all square arrays within the range of packing densities considered. This would be very useful for operational modelling purposes. 4.5. Known assumptions and limitations 4.5.1. Appropriateness of well-mixed assumptions The model described here assumes that in-canopy concentrations are essentially uniform throughout a cell. Though this might be expected several rows downstream, its validity is less clear near the source. In particular, tracer might be well-mixed vertically in some areas (e.g. sheltered regions behind buildings with recirculations) but not in others (e.g. faster-moving flow in streets parallel to the abovecanopy wind direction). To investigate the mixing effectiveness, the ratio of maximum to minimum concentrations measured along the vertical profile up to the canopy top was calculated for several arrays from the DRDC-S data set, checking the data manually for outlier data points. In cases where the building height varied, the canopy-top height was taken as the taller of the surrounding buildings. It should be noted that many of the cases examined here have one of the two street directions aligned with the above-canopy ARTICLE IN PRESS 5860 D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 wind and are probably the ‘‘worst cases’’ for spatial inhomogeneity of concentrations as a result. For the majority of the time, when no such alignment occurs, effects such as helical flow (Hosker, 1987) along streets will aid mixing. For the arrays with a predominantly uniform canopy height of 1H, Fig. 8 shows that the max/min concentration ratio within these canopies is relatively small, being less than two even at just 2H downstream of the source. Further downstream, the situation becomes increasingly well mixed, suggesting that flow features in the sheltered regions promote rapid vertical mixing. In contrast, sources located in streets exactly aligned with the external wind (a somewhat special case) would not show such strong vertical mixing. This is because the predominant flow is longitudinal channelling until the plume has spread enough laterally to become mixed vertically within sheltered regions and reejected back into the channelled regions. At x=H ¼ 2 the max/min concentration ratio is around 6 for these cases, although it reaches a factor of 2 by x=H ¼ 4. For the double-height array and the case of alternating rows of 2H and 3H obstacles (URB010D), where the source is in a sheltered region, the max/min concentration ratios are around three to five at x=H ¼ 2, and only reach two after more than 10H downstream. However, while a vertical variation of concentrations by around a factor of four might appear large, if this vertical variation could be reasonably approximated as linear, then the maximum error between any concentration measurement made in the cell and the Fig. 8. Max/Min concentration ratio within canopies of obstacles with lp ¼ 0:25. URB001 and URB002: 1H tall obstacles in square and staggered arrangements, respectively. URB011-014: Square arrangement, as in URB001, but with some obstacles replaced by obstacles of height 3H. cell-average concentration would only be around a factor of two. Thus simple modelling efforts invoking well-mixed approximations might work acceptably well in these cases, albeit with some performance degradation. In the same arrays of taller obstacles however, when the source is located in the channelled flow region, the max/min concentration ratio at x=H ¼ 2 may be as much as two orders of magnitude larger than in the shorter canopies. This ratio decays only slowly downstream, remaining well above 10 even at x=H ¼ 6 for both arrays. Thus, applying well-mixed assumptions close to sources located in channelled flow among tall buildings is not appropriate. This restriction may make the model concept more applicable to dispersion in many European city centres than in North American ones. In addition, well-mixed assumptions will also become much weaker at low building packing densities (although these do not normally present the most problematic cases for urban dispersion) due to the presence of wide streets, and the fact that recirculating flow features that contribute to mixing may occupy a smaller proportion of the in-canopy volume if obstacles are far apart. 4.5.2. Other assumptions and problems (1) In the formulae to calculate the external concentrations at the canopy top for re-entrainment modelling, an artificial ‘‘ground-level’’ for the plume was assumed, with reflection at z ¼ H. In fact there will be absorption on this pseudo-surface into the flow below. In addition, the unstable shear layer at the canopy top may flap and cause pollutant entrainment into the canopy from heights above the canopy-top level. (2) The well-mixed assumptions create some deficiencies in modelling lateral spread. For example, in a 0 wind direction case, CFD results (Hamlyn and Britter, 2005) suggested that in the l ¼ 0:16 array, the flow emitted from a type A cell enters a type C cell towards its downstream corner and becomes better mixed within the channelled flow as it proceeds downstream. In contrast, in the modelling, the exchange into the type C cell effectively spreads emitted pollutant instantly throughout the whole type C cell at the next time step. This should logically lead to unrealistically high lateral dispersion, particularly near the source where large lateral concentration gradients exist. The extent of lateral mixing within cells cannot be assessed in any detail from the DRDC-S data set. ARTICLE IN PRESS D. Hamlyn et al. / Atmospheric Environment 41 (2007) 5848–5862 However, flow visualization studies in the same geometries have shown that recirculatory structures due to separation off the edges of obstacles leads to rapid lateral mixing within cells. This will of course have a limited effect on flow within ‘‘channelled regions’’ when the wind is aligned with the array, although this case is somewhat rare. (3) Some errors will be introduced into the calculation of the downstream advection of tracer material, due to the neglecting of detailed information about the vertical velocity variation within cells. In a similar vein, errors will be introduced into our modelling from the limited resolution of measurements from which the uEside parameter was calculated, and from the use of the uEside value from the l ¼ 0:25 case for other cases. Despite the limitations outlined, the model appears robust and could be developed into an operational model relatively easily, albeit with some uncertainties. More research (experimental, CFD, or simply via utilizing already published data) focusing on these uncertainties would help to improve model accuracy. In particular, future research on the effect of more realistic, inhomogeneous urban geometry on exchanges at the canopy top would prove valuable. 5. Conclusions The model created requires as inputs only very limited knowledge of the flow through obstacle arrays. This work’s aim was to use this simple modelling to test the applicability of the exchange velocity concept to flow within a grid-like network of short streets. The model uses fairly coarse, but physically justifiable assumptions to track a pollutant release downstream. While the model (with its coarse resolution) did not handle particularly well the dispersion around the flow ‘‘cell’’ containing the source, applying exchange velocity concepts at all subsequent cells managed to model the downstream changes in lateral concentration profiles relatively well at all distances (up to 13 obstacle rows downstream) where data was available. There is evidence to suggest that re-entrainment effects are of some physical importance, but that the method used here to model here tended to overestimate the magnitude of these fluxes. For the cases considered, reasonable accuracy could be obtained without the inclusion of such re-entrainment modelling. The incorporation of re-entrainment effects will be more important when dealing with transient releases. 5861 In this type of regular array, these results suggest that characteristic exchange velocities exist which apply throughout the canopy (at least after the initial flow adjustment in its first few rows). These findings held both for comparisons of the model with water flume experiments by Hilderman and Chong (2004a, b) and Macdonald et al. (2001) and wind tunnel experiments by Hall et al. (1998) for flow around cuboidal obstacles. It was suggested that operationally, reasonable model results across a range of geometries might be attained with simply a single canopy-top exchange velocity value. While more work might be done to improve the modelling around the source cell, and to make this model more applicable to inhomogeneous geometries, the approach used in these simple cases seems effective, and shows that the exchange velocity concept may have potential as a flow parametrization method for operational dispersion modelling. Acknowledgements Thanks to the UK EPSRC for project funding and to Prof. David Wilson of the University of Alberta for funding assistance and expertize for the experiments carried out over summer 2005. Thanks also to Dr. Darwin Kiel, Ricky Chong and others at Coanda who provided assistance with the experiments. References Bentham, T., Britter, R.E., 2003. Spatially averaged flow within obstacle arrays. Atmospheric Environment 37, 2037–2043. Briggs, G.A., 1973. 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