Folsom Labs Webinar Slides-Final-v4
Transcription
Folsom Labs Webinar Slides-Final-v4
How Software is Transforming Solar Development Presented By: 03/22/16 Speakers: Paul Gibbs, Co-founder & CEO, Folsom Labs Paul Grana, Co-founder & Sales and Marketing, Folsom Labs Jake Saper, Investor, Emergence Capital Moderator: MJ Shiao, Director, Solar Research, G TM Research Today’s Speakers Paul Gibbs Co-‐founder, CEO Folsom Labs Jake Saper Investor Emergence Capital Moderator: Paul Grana Co-‐founder, Sales and Marketing Folsom Labs MJ Shiao Director, Solar Research GTM Research 2 Audience Console Overview 3 Join us for the First Solar Software Summit: S3 S3: The Solar Software Summit Scottsdale, Arizona May 10, 2016 EVENT PARTNER Followed b y GTM’s Ninth Annual Solar Summit, May 11 – 12 Find o ut more at www.greentechmedia.com/events Sponsors Use code FOLSOM25 for a 25% d iscount b oth events 4 The Enormous U.S. Solar Opportunity Ahead U.S. National PV Installations by Market Segment ( MWdc) 25,000 Installed Capacity (MWdc) 20,000 U.S. solar hits 16 GW 21% CAGR in 4 years following 2016 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Residential PV 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E Non-‐Residential PV Utility PV Source: G TM Research / SEIA U.S. Solar Market Insight 2015 Y ear-‐in-‐Review 5 Soft Costs Are Growing U.S. Residential System Costs, Q4 2014 – Q4 2015 $4.00 TurnkeyCInstalledCCostC($/Wdc) $3.50 • Residential soft costs have risen 7% between Q4 2014 and Q5 2015 $3.00 $2.50 54% 61% 62% 63% 65% $2.00 • Soft costs currently make up 65% of residential system costs $1.50 $1.00 • Commercial soft costs are falling, though represent 50% of a systems overall cost as of Q4 2015 $0.50 $0.00 Inverter DirectCLabor TurnkeyC Pricing Source: GTM Research Q4C2014 Q1C2015 Q2C2015 ElectricalC BOS EngineeringCandCPII Q3C2015 Q4C2015 StructuralC BOS SupplyCChain,COverhead,CMargin What (really) can be done to target soft costs? U.S. Residential PV Soft Costs ($/Wdc), 2015 $2.50 VALUE1OF1SYSTEM O&M1COSTS Installed1Costs1($/Wdc) $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 Source: GTM Research PROCESS1EFFICIENCY Overhead1 and1Margin Taxes,1 Logistics Customer1 Acquisition DEPI* LEAD1GENERATION CONVERSION1RATE DESIGN1+1ENGINEERING PERMITTING INTERCONNECTION Labor ACTIVE1LABOR1ONWSITE 2015E *DEPI1=1Design,1engineering,1permits,1interconnection OFFW AND1ONWSITE1PREP In a word: Automation (In two words: Solar Software) GTM Research Webinar: Five Trends Re-‐S haping C&I Energy Management Co-Evolution of the Solar Industry and Software Products March 2016 9 coevolution (co·evo·lu·tion) n. evolution involving a series of reciprocal changes in two interdependent populations 10 Cells Racking Software Long History Of Industry-Specific Products to Reduce Cost and Improve Competitiveness 11 Generic SolarSpecific For More on the Solar Software Ecosystem, Join us at the Solar Software Summit Why S3: • Stay up-to-date on software products and trends • Learn how other developers and engineers are leveraging software Tuesday, May 10th – Scottsdale, AZ Sponsors 12 Speakers The Rise of the Solar Software Unicorns… [email protected] @jakesaper 13 Emergence = Enterprise Cloud Leadership $5B+ Revenue ~$40B Market Cap IPO then Acquired by SAP for $3.4B Acquired by MSFT for $1.2B ~$3.5 B Mkt Cap 14 Veeva- the Power of Industry Cloud • 66% increase in sales productivity • 30% savings over legacy CRM 15 Layering the Cake 16 Distributed Generation Software Landscape 17 Co-Evolution Areas Work Flow 18 Design Optimization Software Ecosystem Re-Shaping the Sales Process this 1. Front-load to sales (eliminate engineering team input) this this 19 2. Sales-valueengineering 3. Customer re-design Portfolio Sales “When the customer realized we had detailed designs for every building they owned, their jaws dropped.” 20 “Easy-to-Use” Means Different Things for Different Companies “We are able to get new-hires trained up, and working on real customer projects, within 48 hours.” Small Companies 21 Medium Companies Big Companies Value Engineering Helps to Close the Sale 22 HelioScope Demo 23 Standard Solar Project Work Flow Sales Customer Sales Engineering ERP Customer Sales Call Lead Proposa l CRM Post-Build Signoff LOI Contract Preliminary Design Engineering Operations 24 Value Engineering Project Financials Permits Inventory Operations & Maintenance Construction / ERP Portfolio Analysis Optimized Solar Project Work Flow Sales Customer Sales Engineering ERP Customer Sales Call Lead Value Engineering Proposa l Iteration Post-Build Signoff LOI Contract Project Financials Engineering Permits Operations Inventory 25 Operations & Maintenance Construction / ERP Portfolio Analysis Does Streamlined Software Mean Fewer Jobs? Since 1980: 400,000 fewer bookkeeping/cler ical jobs 26 600,000 more accounting jobs Source: P lanet Money, E pisode 6 06: “Spreadsheets”, P ublished February 2 5, 2 015 We are Seeing the Same Shift with HelioScope “With HelioScope, customers are becoming accustomed to running multiple iterations of possible array designs quickly and in the process bombarding our sales, estimating and design departments with several versions of the same project to consider for racking quotes.” --Racking Manufacturer “My customers who use HelioScope are sending me more work, because they are running four iterations for each array, instead of just one.” --Engineering Company “I am able to run over 150 iterations on my own to optimize the PPA bid, before having to send the project to my finance & engineering teams. Before HelioScope, I had to beg the engineering team to run 10 different scenarios, and even then they often didn’t have the time.” --Business Development Manager for Fortune-500 Solar Developer 27 The Designs Of 2016 Are Very Different From The Designs Of 2014 115kW Array 70kW Array Greater Shade Tolerance Lower tilt, tighter row spacing Larger DC/AC ratio 28 “Two years ago, if you designed under shade, then you were crazy. Today, if you’re not optimizing and incorporating some designed shade, you aren’t doing your job.” “Two years ago, any DC/AC ratios above 1.2 were considered suspicious. Today, if you’re below 1.25, then you are leaving money on the table.” 29 Automatic Permit Tools Encourage the Harmonization of Inspector and Utility Requirements 30 “The SunRun of _______” is Skipping Software Development Europe MENA Latin America Africa 31 South Asia Australia/NZ API Landscape Greatly Streamlines Work Flow CRM Imagery Weather Distribution Leads Monitoring LiDAR / Shade 32 Structural Financing Unirac API Tie-in Further Streamlines Project Engineering 33 For More on the Solar Software Ecosystem, Join us at the Solar Software Summit Why S3: • Stay up-to-date on software products and trends • Learn how other developers and engineers are leveraging software Tuesday, May 10th – Scottsdale, AZ Sponsors 34 Speakers