(agenda item 5), 3 March 2015
Transcription
(agenda item 5), 3 March 2015
CABINET DATE : Tuesday, 3 March 2015 TIME : 6.00 p.m. VENUE : @Bristol Science Centre, Anchor Road, Bristol BS1 5DB Distribution: Mayor: George Ferguson Deputy & Assistant Mayors: Cllr Geoff Gollop, Cllr Mark Bradshaw, Cllr Simon Cook, Cllr Brenda Massey & Cllr Daniella Radice Note: This agenda sets out details of the decisions which will be recommended for approval on 3 March 2015. Copies to: Strategic Leadership Team Note: this meeting will be webcast via the Council’s webcasting pages. The whole of the meeting will be filmed except where there are confidential or exempt items and the footage will be on our website for 2 years. Whilst the public seating areas are not directly filmed, certain camera shots around the meeting room may capture persons seated in the public areas. If you ask a question or make a representation, then you will be deemed to have consented to being filmed. By entering the meeting room and using the public seating areas, you are consenting to being filmed and to the possible use of those images and sound recordings for webcasting and/or training purposes. The Openness of Local Government Bodies Regulations 2014 now also mean that persons attending meetings may take photographs, film and audio record the proceedings and report on the meeting (oral commentary is not permitted during the meeting as it would be disruptive). Members of the public should therefore be aware that they may be filmed by others attending and that is not within the Council’s control. Issued by : Ian Hird, Democratic Services Floor 4, Brunel House (Clifton Wing), Bristol BS1 5UY Tel: 0117 92 22384 E-mail: [email protected] website: www.bristol.gov.uk Date: 23 February 2015 1 AGENDA PART A - STANDARD ITEMS OF BUSINESS: 1. Public forum (up to one hour is allowed for this item) PLEASE NOTE: Public forum business at Cabinet meetings must be about matters on the agenda. The order of business for public forum will be: a. Petitions and statements from Bristol residents (petitions to be heard before statements). b. Questions from Bristol residents. c. Petitions and statements notified by councillors (petitions to be heard before statements). d. Questions from councillors. PLEASE ALSO NOTE: Petitions and statements (must be about matters on the agenda): - Members of the public and members of the Council, provided they give notice in writing or by e-mail (and include their name, address, and details of the wording of the petition, and, in the case of a statement, a copy of the submission) by no later than 12.00 noon on the working day before the meeting, may present a petition or submit a statement to the Cabinet. - One statement per member of the public and one statement per member of Council shall be admissible. - A maximum of one minute shall be allowed to present each petition and statement. - The deadline for receipt of petitions and statements for the 3 March Cabinet is 12.00 noon on Monday 2 March. These should be sent, in writing or by e-mail to: Democratic Services, Floor 4, Brunel House (Clifton wing), Bristol BS1 5UY, e-mail: [email protected] 2 Questions (must be about matters on the agenda): - A question may be asked by a member of the public or a member of Council, provided they give notice in writing or by e-mail (and include their name and address) no later than 3 clear working days before the day of the meeting. - Questions must identify the member of the executive to whom they are put. - A maximum of 2 written questions per person can be asked. At the meeting, a maximum of 2 supplementary questions may be asked. A supplementary question must arise directly out of the original question or reply. - Replies to questions will be given verbally at the meeting. If a reply cannot be given at the meeting (including due to lack of time) or if written confirmation of the verbal reply is requested by the questioner, a written reply will be provided within 10 working days of the meeting. - The deadline for receipt of questions for the 3 March Cabinet is 5.00 pm on Wednesday 25 February. These should be sent, in writing or by e-mail to: Floor 4, Brunel House (Clifton wing), Bristol BS1 5UY Democratic Services e-mail: [email protected] 2. Declarations of interest To note any interests of the Mayor / executive relevant to the consideration of items on this agenda. 3. Matters referred to the Mayor for reconsideration by a scrutiny commission or by the Full Council (subject to a maximum of 3 items): None. 4. Reports from scrutiny commissions: A referral form from the Place Scrutiny Commission is attached, relating to agenda item 6 – Avonmouth and Portbury docks freehold. 3 PART B: KEY DECISION REPORTS: 5. Libraries for the future – proposals for consultation Ward: Citywide 6. Avonmouth and Portbury docks freehold Ward: Avonmouth 7. Neighbourhood partnerships devolved budgets for highways maintenance Ward: Citywide 8. Funding for Green Capital hybrid bus trial Ward: Citywide 9. Quarter 3 finance report Ward: Citywide PART B: NON-KEY DECISION REPORTS: 10. Proposed extension to The Mall, Cribbs Causeway – Bristol City Council’s response Ward: Citywide 11. Change Programme monitoring report Ward: Citywide 4 AGENDA ITEM 4 Scrutiny Commission Referral Form Referral from: Place Scrutiny Commission To: Mayor and Cabinet - 3 March 2015 Date: Place Scrutiny Commission held on 5 February 2015 Contact Officer: Johanna Holmes, Policy Adviser (Scrutiny) Subject: Comments on Cabinet report – Avonmouth and Portbury docks freehold Detail of referral: 1. At their meeting held on 5 February 2015, the Place Scrutiny Commission considered the Cabinet report entitled “Avonmouth and Portbury docks freehold.” 2. The members who participated in the discussion were: Cllr Pearce (in the chair for this item) Cllr Bolton Cllr Jackson Cllr Khan Cllr Milestone (substitute for Cllr Threlfall) Cllr Negus Cllr Windows The Chair of the commission (Cllr Martin) was not present for this item. The Vice-Chair of the commission (Cllr Hiscott) was present but, having declared an interest, did not take any part in the discussion of the item. Cllr Bradshaw, Assistant Mayor for Place was also present for the discussion. 3. The draft minute of the commission’s discussion is set out below, and the Mayor and Cabinet are asked to take account of the comments of the commission before the Mayor takes a decision on this matter on 3 March (note: the commission’s discussion took place in exempt session; however, the below draft minute of the discussion has been prepared as a “public” document, avoiding detailed reference to commercial considerations). 4. The full text of the minute is as follows: 1 90. Avonmouth and Portbury docks freehold – Cabinet report The commission considered a report seeking comments on a Cabinet report (scheduled for the 3 March Cabinet). Cllr Bradshaw (Assistant Mayor – Place) attended the commission for this item of business. It was noted that the report contained a reference to an exempt appendix containing external valuation advice from Jones Land LaSalle (JLL). Members agreed that they wished to receive a detailed briefing from the Service Director – Property in relation to the issues covered in the exempt appendix, and accordingly, it was: RESOLVED – That under Section 100A(4) of the Local Government Act 1972, the public be excluded from the meeting for the consideration of this item of business on the grounds that it involves the likely disclosure of exempt information as defined in Part 1 of Schedule 12A to the Act (as amended). The Service Director – Property then gave a detailed briefing. Points highlighted included: a. The principle of this freehold disposal had been agreed by the Mayor at the Cabinet meeting held on 1 April 2014. b. Since the “in-principle” decision taken on 1 April 2014, officers had been engaged in concluding legal due diligence, including the issue of confirming that the Council’s position as minority shareholder in the port business would not be materially changed by the freehold transfer. c. The external valuation advice from JLL was commercially sensitive as publication of this advice at this stage would be inappropriate prior to the legal completion of the freehold purchase. d. The background in relation to the assessment of the purchase price was explained in detail, including the issues around: the price that the Council would reasonably expect to receive currently if the land was sold to another investor. property “marriage value” considerations. e. In relation to the proposed freehold purchase price, JLL were of the opinion that the proposed purchase price of £10m for the freehold represented the best price reasonably obtainable to the Council for the sale of the site. f. The sale of the freehold would not affect the annual dividend the Council received by virtue of its current shareholding. 2 g. The sale of the freehold would, however, result in the Council forgoing current entitlement to a share in any future uplifts from the development potential if these arise in the future. Scenarios tested by JLL demonstrated that the £10m price now was advantageous compared with the hope of future returns from this uplift. h. From the perspective of the Service Director, the proposed sale price represented the best price that the Council would be able to achieve for many decades. Set out below is a summary of the main points raised / noted by the commission members in discussion: a. Cllr Negus raised a number of issues / concerns: (i) The current proposal was, in his opinion, based on a short term view / realisation of £10m for this asset rather than being based on a long term, corporate view of this asset. Previous administrations had resisted previous approaches regarding the freehold disposal of this land. (ii) The land had been valued as an asset for sale now / immediately. In his view, this proposal, if approved, would be a bad decision. Proper consideration was not being given, in his view, to the longer term, potential value of the land, i.e. extending over a considerable period of time. The longer term interests of the city might be better served by a participatory arrangement for future benefit, both financially and strategically. (iii) It should borne in mind that in the longer term, the current controls on this land might change during the remaining 127 years of the lease due to future planning / financial / devolution changes. (iv) The port was a profitable business. This deal would not permit an option for an increased share of profits. The acquisition of the freehold would make any onward sale of the freehold more attractive to prospective purchasers. (v) It was important to recognise the opportunities that a wellplaced deep water port would have into the future, including the opportunity to engage with the increase in marine energy activity in the Severn estuary and Cardiff Bay areas, resulting in greater port and supporting activities. b. Cllr Jackson commented that he accepted the JLL view about the proposed £10m purchase price representing a favourable deal for the Council at the present time. He was not convinced, however, that there was any overriding need for the Council to progress the deal at this stage. c. Cllr Bradshaw commented that officers had concluded the required due diligence, following on from the “in principle” decision taken on 1 April 2014. The issues relating to progressing the disposal (including the longer term considerations raised at this meeting) had been discussed in great detail by the Mayor and Cabinet members. 3 The Cabinet had been very keen to share as much information as possible with scrutiny members. In his view, the £10m sum that would be realised from the disposal (if approved by the Mayor at the 3 March Cabinet) would provide an opportunity / the ability for the Council for make investments that would bring real benefits to the city, on an ongoing basis. In his personal view, such investment should be focused on tackling disadvantage. It was also important to bear in mind the importance of the port generally to Bristol’s economy. d. In response to a question from Cllr Khan, the Service Director – Property confirmed that the port company was not prepared to negotiate on the issue of the Council receiving an increased shareholding / share of profits. At the conclusion of the discussion, at the suggestion of the Chair, it was RESOLVED: That (in the context of the decision due to be taken at the 3 March Cabinet), the Mayor and Cabinet be advised of the comments of this commission as detailed above and that in considering the report, the Mayor and Cabinet should in particular take into consideration and have regard to the following: 1. The commission was concerned that a short term political / economic gain would be made at a potentially greater long term opportunity cost, while there was no clear or immediate need or plan to use the money to be realised from the sale. 2. In light of the exempt appendix (JLL valuation report) and the information provided at the meeting by the Service Director – Property, the commission was aware that the current proposal to sell the freehold for £10m represented good value / a favourable deal for the Council at the present time. 3. The commission was, however, resistant to the idea of executing the sale without an urgent need to realise the £10m sum or a firm proposal for its use. Members coupled this concern with the likelihood of a considerable uplift in the value of the asset to the Council as the remaining lease term became significantly diminished (e.g. in approx. 70 years’ time). 4. The commission sought reassurance that the Mayor was satisfied (as the commission was not) that the Council would not potentially suffer a significant opportunity loss by disposing of a significant economic asset that potentially (and this had not been disproved to the satisfaction of the commission) had a considerable competitive advantage over other UK and European port facilities, and could therefore have a greater value than anticipated in the medium / long term. 4 CABINET – 3rd March 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 5 Report title: Libraries for the Future – Proposals for Consultation Wards affected: All Strategic Director: Alison Comley Report Author: Kate Murray, Head of Libraries RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. To agree the updated service design principles and proposed model of service delivery based on a new core and local offer for the future library provision in the city. 2. To agree the proposed timescale for decision making and implementation of the future shape of the service. 3. To approve 3-month public consultation from March to May 2015 on the proposals relating to specific libraries across the city Key background / detail: a. Purpose of report: This report outlines the proposed future model for the Library service, based on an extensive consultation, national research and an assessment of the needs of the city. The report sets out our strategic approach to developing the service offer at both the citywide and local level, and proposes how we will deliver our overall vision of a vibrant and sustainable network of libraries which respond to the needs of our citizens in the future. It also seeks Cabinet approval for a full public consultation on the specific proposals for all the libraries across the city. b. Key details: 1. The report sets out a vision and set of design principles for Bristol’s libraries. We are proposing a core content offer for the Library Service, which clearly states what will be available across the city in every library. This is the fundamental provision of books, materials and access to information and information technology. This will be complemented by a local offer in each branch library, which is the opportunity to shape the level and type of provision at the neighbourhood level to meet specific community needs. 2. We have proposed how we will deliver the future library provision based on a very successful public consultation, knowledge of neighbourhood needs, understanding of library usage and the proposed Medium Term Financial Plan expectations from April 2016. The proposals group our current libraries to show how we will target our investment to deliver the new service as follows: a. Libraries already delivering to the level of quality which meets our new offer 1 b. Libraries needing development There are some libraries which do not fit within these 2 groups, in terms of their potential to deliver the full core and local offer. The paper outlines a way forward for discussions about the future for these libraries within the consultation. The rationale for the allocation of existing libraries to these groups is included in the report. 3. Some specific areas of provision have been identified which will need to change and develop to fulfil the potential of the new service: Opening hours Frontline staffing roles Developing a volunteering programme Developing quality library space with core and local offers Improved self-service and access to library buildings Improved ICT access via upgraded broadband Marketing and promotions c. Next steps: If agreed, the proposals will all be subject to a second phase of consultation from 4 th March to 27th May 2015. Following the consultation, a further report will be provided to Cabinet with a final proposal for a future model for the Library Service in July 2015, for implementation in 2015 and beyond. 2 AGENDA ITEM 5 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3rd March 2015 REPORT TITLE: Libraries for the Future – Proposals for Consultation Ward(s) affected by this report: ALL Strategic Director: Alison Comley, Neighbourhoods Report author: Kate Murray, Head of Libraries Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 01173521264 [email protected] Purpose of the report: This report outlines the proposed future model for the Library Service, based on a wide ranging citywide consultation, national research and an assessment of the needs of the city. The report sets out our strategic approach to developing the service offer at both the citywide and local level, and proposes how we will deliver our overall vision of a vibrant and sustainable network of libraries which respond to the needs of our citizens in the future. It also seeks Cabinet approval for a full public consultation on the specific proposals for all the libraries across the city. Following the consultation, a further report will be provided to Cabinet with a final proposal for a future model for the Library Service in July 2015. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. To agree the updated service design principles and proposed model of service delivery based on a new core and local offer for the future library provision in the city. 2. To agree the proposed timescale for decision making and implementation of the future shape of the service. 3. To approve 3-month public consultation from March to May 2015 on the proposals relating to specific libraries across the city 1. The context for change: 1.1 The Cabinet paper in November 2014 outlined the nature and scale of the UK and worldwide debate about the way libraries could or should develop in the future. The 3 paper explained why we want to re-shape the library service and what the reasons for change are in Bristol: Low levels of use – 6% regular use of the lending service in a three month period Levels of use – 14% use by active members (library card used once a year) Model which has not kept up with the changing needs of our communities, or the changing way in which people now choose to access information and knowledge in their lives Demographic of users Poor condition of some of the existing buildings High number of libraries, some in close proximity to each other Ongoing financial challenges for local authorities 1.2 We have since looked at the national and international research and evidence about the future of libraries and have undertaken our own local 3 month consultation. The result is that we want to change the way we deliver libraries in the city, to deliver consistent quality across the library network and to open up the potential for innovation and local delivery in a way we have not been able to do previously. 1.3 Bristol’s 21st century library service needs to be relevant to the city’s goals and ambitions – the service does not and should not exist in isolation of everything else that is happening in the city. We want to celebrate what’s great about our existing service and be honest enough to acknowledge what has to change. We want to develop a vibrant and sustainable service, which better meets and responds to the way more of our citizens live their lives and can provide additional benefits to communities, particularly those in our city who experience more challenges and have less access to opportunities. 1.4 The approach in this paper reflects what people in the city have told us through our consultation and the aspiration for a quality service for the future. However it is set squarely in the context of being sustainable, both in financial terms and in the level of relevance to our citizens. It is important to understand at this stage that the status quo is not an option and that the provision across the city needs to change; this will affect all libraries. A traditional building-based service, like our current delivery model, is not sustainable in the face of the financial challenge experienced by all local authorities. This model will also not serve the 85% of Bristol citizens who do not currently use the service. 1.5 The debate we have had in the city has been direct and honest and we are maintaining that spirit within this report. We have taken on board professional advice, public consultation feedback and expert analysis – what we are now proposing is a way to deliver the best service for the future, without compromising the quality of the service or avoiding some of the difficult choices we have to make. 1.6 This report demonstrates how and why we propose to take the service forward in a way which is respectful of the history and current value invested in it by library users and supporters, but also challenges the current provision where we need to develop and grow beyond our traditional boundaries, to ensure that our network of libraries in the future is of the quality that the city and our citizens deserve. 4 2. Where are we now? 2.1 The local authority has a statutory obligation under the Public Libraries and Museums Act of 1964 to deliver free books, access to information and trained staff to facilitate the public. In Bristol we have 28 libraries with a mixed level of provision across the city. There are some excellent services and some where more could be provided to attract more use. 3. What have we learned? 3.1 National: We have been fortunate to be formulating our consultation and proposals at a time when there is considerable recent research on libraries: The Carnegie Trust, a charity continuing the work of Andrew Carnegie (a library philanthropist), has produced a number of initiatives and pieces of research since 2013. Arts Council England took over responsibility for supporting and developing libraries as part of the functions they inherited from the Museums, Libraries and Archives Council (MLA) on 1 October 2011.They published the Envisioning the Library of the Future report in 2013. The Independent Library Report chaired by William Sieghart was published in December 2014. The Society of Chief Librarians nationally endorsed four main offers that all libraries approved – Health, Reading, Information and Digital offers. The main themes that emerged from the national research are listed below and a more complete summary is provided in Appendix 1: Libraries need to develop to build and/or retain their place as the hub of their local communities by developing a broader remit and appeal and creating a more social and welcoming ambience Libraries have a role in delivering against the social, economic, educational and cultural agendas, and that these need to be more explicit, more multi agency/ community informed and relevant to the neighbourhoods/areas of the city they serve Communities should be encouraged to take a more active role in shaping and delivering their local libraries Libraries need to make the most of digital technology and creative media, including delivering against the digital inclusion agenda for their cities Libraries need to be resilient and sustainable and we need to develop the right skills for staff to deliver this future A library offer should in part be focussed around the broad headings of Reading, Health, Information, Digital These themes have been echoed in our own consultation findings. Local: 3.2 The consultation began in Bristol on November 11th 2014. It was a three-month 5 period of consultation about what citizens know and like about the service, what could be improved and how the service may be more relevant to Bristol citizens in the future. The consultation was designed to be an extensive, open and honest dialogue about the service in advance of any specific proposals being developed. 3.3 We used a variety of different communication channels to ensure that the consultation was as accessible as possible. We know that many citizens in Bristol do not use the library service at all and we needed to find a way of reaching those citizens. To achieve this we worked closely with our colleagues in the Neighbourhood Partnership and Community Development Teams to organise the public meetings. We have also worked with the Citizens’ Panel, which is a specially created panel of 2000 people for consultation that is designed to represent the diversity of Bristol (and is therefore a mix of library users and non-users). 3.4 8000 people took part in this consultation, which is a record level of involvement with a Bristol City Council consultation. It is important to note that the demographic make-up of the people who have responded to the consultation is not necessarily representative of the diversity of the city. For example, we know that over 90% of people who completed the main survey are library users with a very similar demographic profile. It is therefore very important that we give appropriate consideration to responses from the Citizens’ Panel and the meetings carried out with Neighbourhood Partnerships and equalities/ community groups to ensure that feedback is as representative as possible of the city as a whole. Further detail of the approach taken can be found in Appendix 2. Consultation Findings: 3.5 Analysis of the consultation was carried out by an external research consultancy, CX Partners, and their detailed analysis report is included as Appendix 3. 3.6 We now have substantial current information about the views of the service, many ideas that could be put into action over the short and longer term and a wider understanding of the role of libraries in people’s lives. We have reflected the extensive findings in our proposals, whilst recognising that we could not respond to every idea, within the timescales, budget or resources available. We have been very clear where the consultation has helped us formulate proposals for the future. Some of the headline themes from the consultation are set out below: Gap between Beliefs and Behaviours – there is a gap between citizens’ beliefs and views of libraries and the role they play in society, and the reality of library usage. There is a clear gap between the passionate views expressed about the service and the number of people visiting libraries. Ease of Access – Ease of access is a repeated theme; respondents want more consistent, clear and convenient opening hours, locations that can be easily accessed and improved facilities in libraries (for example, toilets and baby changing facilities). A library as a Community Space – There is demand for libraries to provide flexible spaces for community groups to access, as well as for local news and 6 community information to be shared through libraries. Network of services - Whilst the Central Library is the most visited in the city, there was consistent feedback about the value of the local branch libraries and their role in communities. Books and other activities – The consultation survey proved that borrowing, browsing and reading books are still the most popular activities within libraries. However, there is evidence that a wide range of other services are accessed in libraries. Cultural and Social Activities –Respondents want libraries to play a greater role in hosting, supporting and promoting community and cultural activities. Awareness of Current Services –There is a lack of awareness of the services currently offered by the library service. Young People – There is demand for more dedicated activities to engage children and young people. The general perception of libraries amongst young people is positive and they primarily use libraries to read, do homework and borrow books, rather than to use computers or socialise. Specific feedback from equalities groups - There is a demand for more diverse stock in different languages as well as an increased emphasis on supporting learning for children. There are also key points to consider in relation to accessibility of libraries for people with a disability (equipment, signage etc.). 4. Our Design Principles: 4.1 The previous Cabinet paper in November 2014 agreed a clear set of design principles which we have used and enhanced to support our developing approach: A defined core service ensuring access to information, books and information technology for all of Bristol’s citizens, available through all Bristol’s libraries A sustainable network of high quality libraries with local community focused branch libraries complemented by a Central Library offering more specialist resources 24/7/365 access to online library services and resources. This includes specialist material from Bristol Libraries and access to catalogues and stock of other library services through the Libraries West consortium website Good geographical access across the city with all residents being within 1.5 miles* of a library and libraries located, where possible, near the locus of community activity in that area and on public transport routes. Delivery tailored to local community need with special focus on those who are disadvantaged, vulnerable and socially isolated. Opening hours which are designed to match the local demand and usage 7 Digital inclusion access for the city through the free library computers, complemented by trained staff offering mediated access to online information and services during opening hours. Creative and innovative ideas to enhance the delivery and content of library services, including shared services with other partners. *2 mile access was the recommended minimum distance advised by the Secretary of State response to Bolton MBC following a local inquiry – CMS 231060/DC 31 May 2013 4.2 Our vision for the future service is: “To provide a vibrant and sustainable library service designed with the citizens of Bristol, for all our diverse communities, that supports reading & learning, health & wellbeing, employment and free access to information.” 5. How have we designed the new service? 5.1 We have used the various sources of research and intelligence outlined above to help us to shape our approach, in the context of the financial/savings proposals which have been agreed as part of the Council’s Medium Term Financial Plan for 2016/17. We have also taken into consideration Department of Culture, Media and Sport recommendations of how a library service should be designed (details on recommendations available in Appendix 4). 6. The Service – a Core and Local Offer 6.1 We will have a core content offer for the library service, which clearly states what will be available across the city, of a consistent quality, in every Bristol City Council 8 library. This is the fundamental provision of books, materials and access to information and information technology. 6.2 We have based this offer around the nationally researched model developed by the Carnegie Trust in their 2014 publication, “Speaking Volumes”, which highlights the role for libraries in contributing to the health and wellbeing of their communities; becoming an effective social and learning hub, an economic enabler and a cultural centre. Delivering this offer will combine the content as laid out in the table below, with an appropriate space and appropriate levels of staffing. This offer will enable us to improve what we already deliver and to develop more targeted services to meet wider community needs. Below is an overview of the proposed core content offer, outlining priorities aligned to 4 outcome areas: Education, Social, Cultural and Economic. 6.3 This core offer reflects other key Council initiatives across the city. For example, all libraries will be members of the Learning City partnership and contribute to identified priorities and challenge groups to increase learning, social inclusion and employment outcomes for all 6.4 The local offer is the opportunity to shape the level and type of provision at the neighbourhood level. The balance of the core offer will need to change depending on the communities the library serves, to enable a more tailored approach. Communities vary, as do the needs of the area. Designing a more localised offer is 9 an opportunity for local communities to shape and to influence their library service, and encourage the provision of other partners in the space. 7. What are the main elements of the new service? There are key elements of our provision which will need to change and develop to fulfil the potential of the new service: Opening hours Frontline staffing roles Developing a volunteering programme Developing quality library space with core and local offers Improved self- service and access to library buildings Improved ICT access via upgraded broadband Marketing and promotions Opening hours: 7.1 The consultation told us that the current opening hours are unclear and confusing for our library users, and often a barrier to access for potential new users. For example, libraries are often closed at lunchtime and at weekends, when many people have expressed that they would want or prefer to use them, particularly in the context of their other local activities, such as shopping. We propose to make some reductions to opening hours to match local usage, but ensuring that no library closes at lunchtime. 7.2 We are proposing a specific change to the Central Library: Central Library opening hours will be revised to close on a Monday, but open consistently Tuesday to Friday 9.30 – 7.00 and open on both Saturday and Sunday (hours unchanged). This reflects how other central libraries operate and will provide an enhanced offer both to local library users, citywide user and visitors to the city. We are also proposing indicative hours in each library which will be included in consultation documentation. Front line staffing roles: 7.3 The consultation was clear that library staff and their role in supporting access to the service are highly valued. We have also heard from people both locally and nationally about how they would see the staff roles developing and changing to meet the needs of a future service. 7.4 The core and local offer proposed creates a different requirement from our staff. In the future we need all staff to develop an outward-facing, community focus to support the development of the local offer. We will also need some new roles within the service, which will bring in specific skills around community development, partnership working, supporting and developing volunteering. This will support the development of relevant and quality local offers which reflect the need of the wider neighbourhood and communities of interest. This is an essential part of the development of the service for the future; it will provide local communities the opportunity to engage with and shape their local provision, and maximise the 10 benefit that the service offers the neighbourhood. We will be seeking a balance of existing and new skills and will offer the opportunity to all staff to move into new roles. 7.5 We will also need to address some of the working patterns and practices in some of our service to modernise terms and conditions and ensure that the new service can be delivered flexibly and effectively. Staff will be fully consulted on any proposed changes to terms and conditions or working arrangements through the Council Managing Change policies and procedures. Developing a volunteering programme within the service: 7.6 The library service is regularly asked if we can provide volunteering opportunities to local people, however we have never had the right structure or support to develop a quality programme across the service. We do have library users who have formed “friends of library” groups who run activities such as book groups, or special events with library staff which are highly valued. However, there is a wide array of possible opportunities for volunteering which would relate to the local offers. We are committed to offering these opportunities, recognising that volunteering roles will vary, depending on the local interest and activity. We will not expect volunteers to fulfil specific roles which have previously been filled by paid staff. 7.7 To support all our volunteering approaches, we will seek to employ a volunteer coordinator for the service and would include supporting and developing volunteering locally in the new roles within the frontline service. Developing quality library space 7.8 We recognise that our current buildings and library spaces vary considerably and some are much more flexible and attractive than others. We want to develop a welcoming and flexible space with layout and shelving changes to make the customer experience far more similar to a bookshop experience. The current traditional way of organising the books will change to be based on subjects and headings that people are more familiar with e.g. hobbies rather than a Dewey Decimal number (with the exception of Central Library). This will enable easier selfservice. The welcoming atmosphere will be achieved with furniture, layout and changes where possible to toilet provision. We will aim for a quality space that is attractive to current and new customers. Improved self-service and access to library services 7.9 Self-service has been very successful for the service and we will install self-service machines in all supported libraries to enable borrowing and return of library items. 7.10 We will also explore technology to assist access to our library buildings. This would enable customers to use the library for longer periods, outside the staffed opening hours. A swipe card access for library card holders is possible and being trialled in a number of authorities, with accompanying security measures. 7.11 We will also improve the broadband provision in some of the branch libraries, to ensure that a consistent standard is available. Marketing and promotion of the library service 11 7.12 The consultation told us that awareness of the service across the city is poor, demonstrated by the fact that some of the ideas that came into the Ideas Bank relate to things already offered in some libraries. Whilst recognising that there is a cost attached to advertising and promotion which may restrict the options available, we are committed to developing the following channels: Improved website - outlining the full offer and events diary Social media – building on the momentum developed during the consultation on Facebook and Twitter Email bulletin – promoting events and activities across all branches Press & PR strategy – publicising bigger events throughout the service 8. What will the new network of libraries look like? 8.1 There is not one single model which will deliver a library service that can be applied to Bristol. We have developed an approach which will protect and enhance those things most highly valued by our current users, and acknowledge where we need to focus our service and reducing resources to deliver the best possible service to the widest group of people. 8.2 We have considered the geographical spread of our services throughout the city. As the network of 28 libraries has developed over the last 100 years, as the city has grown, there has been an organic spread of development, not planned or strategic. We know that many of Bristol’s citizens currently live within one mile of a library and there is considerable over provision in some parts of the city. However, we are committed to ensuring that everyone will have access to a library within a 1.5 mile radius from where they live. This is an excellent standard, well above that set by many other local authorities. 8.3 Bristol Central Library plays an important role in the geography of the city and the region. It is a community library for the city centre, but also a valuable resource for specialist information, material and local studies. It sits at the centre of a transport hub and is accessible for many citizens. It offers facilities that other buildings do not – in the size of the children’s library, café, public toilets and exhibition space. Therefore the Central Library will support the network of branch libraries by having a simple and easy to remember pattern of opening hours. 8.4 We have identified 2 groups of provision to show how we will target our investment to deliver the new Council library service. In addition, there is a further group of libraries which do not currently fit in to Groups 1 and 2 (see page 18 for details). Group 1: Libraries already delivering to the level of quality which meets our new offer o These libraries can immediately fulfil the core offer and rapidly develop their local offer. They are located in the right place to serve their communities and are based in a good quality space. Group 2: Libraries needing development o These libraries have potential to deliver to the core and local offer, but may not be doing so currently. They are located in the right 12 geographic areas, though not necessarily in exactly the right location or in the best quality building or space. These may need capital investment or there is the potential to move in the future to meet the right standard of space. 8.5 The rationale for assessing how our existing libraries fitted within these groups was based on the following: Ability to deliver a quality library service; a place that inspires, motivates, informs and enriches an individual’s quality of life and community life; in the right place to serve the community Whether it does or can deliver the core library service Contribution to wider community needs that can delivered by the council through the library service (particularly in areas of greater need) How its location works locally, for example if it is near to the local retail offer Current services, usage and trends Geography and location – proximity to other libraries* In a building that can or could offer a welcoming atmosphere and flexible community space which attracts new people to the service Whether it is a Bristol City Council owned or leased site in a good physical condition, and the potential for shared services or space Location of other community buildings or demand from communities for community run/owned space Future development opportunities in some areas *A map showing the details of the spread of libraries across the city, and how the proposals meet the design principle of all residents being within 1.5 miles of a library, is shown as Appendix 5. Tables showing the detail of how our existing libraries are proposed to fit in to these 2 groups can be found below. 13 Group 1: Libraries already delivering to the level of quality which meets our new offer Typical Features for Group of Libraries Why are these libraries in this group? This group applies to libraries which currently support the core offer and can be enhanced by a local offer. They currently serve the geographic and community need in each area. It includes the main ‘hub’ in each area of the city. Fully staffed service, supported by technology Full core service offer available Changed opening hours to deliver consistency and reduced costs Accessible building and location Which libraries fit in this group? Library Bedminster Bishopston / Cheltenham Road Central Explanation Full core service available – widest offer to south of city. Good location, next to retail, easily accessed Changes to opening hours which reflect usage patterns; closing Sundays Full core service available – meets geographic and community need Right location and facilities, easily accessed Changes to opening hours New library, due to open in 2015. The city’s largest library with widest range of resources and full core service offer Central location so easily accessed. Changes to opening hours; open more evenings but closed Mondays. Full core service available Fishponds Henleaze Junction 3 Appropriate location, easily accessed. Staffing levels reduced during quieter morning session. Shared council service with Citizen Service Point offers efficient delivery and good access to council information Full core service available – widest offer to north of city. Good location, next to retail, easily accessed Changes to opening hours; open on Sundays but closed Wednesdays. Potential for expansion Full core service available and good opportunities to develop local offer– widest offer to east of city. Right location and facilities, easily accessed Changes to opening hours to make them more consistent based on usage. New library, recent investment. 14 Group 2: Libraries needing development Typical Features of Libraries in this Group Why are these libraries in this group? The library service may be standalone, but will typically look to work in conjunction with other services or a community organisation, either now or in the future. There may be potential opportunities to share locations. Supported service (either by Council or partner); this could be Council staff, partner staff or volunteers. Staffed hours and staff roles will vary from regular daily staffed hours to occasional management and infrastructure support (e.g. training, supporting events, stock management). Changed opening hours to deliver consistency and reduced costs; where there is a reduced staffed service of five hours a day e.g. 11 – 4 or 12 – 5 (this will be subject to consultation). Option to use technology where appropriate to increase access to the services and building outside of staffed hours. Commitment to upgrade all relevant libraries to 100MB This group of libraries form part of the supported libraries network, but need development to deliver a quality local offer. They are currently in the right geographic area, but many of them are not in the ideal location / building; there is potential for future investment to deliver a better service, which may be delivered more efficiently or effectively by sharing a building with another service or community organisation. This group ensures a continued library provision, but also offers potential for the buildings to be available for wider community use. The library service helps ensure sustainable use of a building where community services may still be in development. It also balances the need for library provision with a more cost-effective model. Which libraries fit in to this group? Library Explanation Avonmouth Geographic need for a library provision but a tailored local offer would better serve the community. Most appropriate location in area with potential to unlock use of current building with some investment. Known opportunity to work with community centre to build an integrated service with increased accessibility, opening hours and a more welcoming, open environment. Small change to staffed hours to make them more consistent Bishopsworth Geographic need for a library provision but a tailored local offer would better serve the community. Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours Filwood Clear need for provision in this geographic area – although opportunities for relocation, development and investment will be pursued to improve offer to local community. Changes to staffed hours to make them more consistent and reflect usage patterns. One more closed day per week. Hartcliffe Henbury Geographic need for library provision in this area, but current offer not meeting local needs. Alternative locations / buildings to be considered to improve offer. Shared building, but no joint delivery of services currently Changes to staffed hours, reflecting usage patterns. One more closed day per week. Geographic need for a library, but current provision needs improvement Appropriate location, but opportunity to introduce a different community offer more tailored to local need. Opportunity for investment. Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours 15 Hillfields Horfield Knowle Geographic need for a library, but current provision is not suitable or sustainable. Current site not fit for future or suitable for investment so opportunity to consider use of other buildings Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours Opportunities exist to work with community organisations to enhance the offer for the local area. Geographic need for library provision in the wider local area, but opportunity to consider more suitable location in the longer term (which may be developed in partnership with community). Current provision is not suitable, actively looking for alternative locations / local offer. Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours Good geographic location although could be made easier to access Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours to reflect usage patterns Current lease in Broadwalk retail centre limits short term opportunities Geographic need for library provision - although opportunities for relocation, Lawrence Weston Shirehampton Southmead St Pauls St George Stockwood Whitchurch development and investment will be pursued to improve offer to local community. Current offer will be continued in short term - unstaffed and in the customer service point Geographic need for a library but a tailored local offer would better serve the community. Most appropriate location in area with potential to unlock use of current building with some investment. Different model of staffing; council staff support to be agreed rather than regular staffed hours. Known opportunity to work with community centre to build an integrated service with increased accessibility and opening hours and a more welcoming, open environment. Clear need for provision in this geographic area – although opportunities for relocation, development and investment will be pursued to improve offer to local community. Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours to reflect usage patterns. One more closed day per week. Good location – multi-use of space in centre, but library access / space could be improved Meets geographic and community need – but opportunity to develop more tailored service for local community Staffed service, although small reduction in staffed hours linked to patterns of usage Co-located services with Ethical Property Company Geographic need for library provision, but opportunity to develop more tailored local offer. Appropriate location with space and potential for investment Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours Local demand for increased access to community space, although community interest not yet established. Also known need to develop early years’ provision in this area. Geographic need for library provision, but opportunity to develop more tailored local offer. Appropriate location with space and potential for wider use. Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours Local demand for increased access to community space, although community interest not yet established. Also known need to develop early years’ provision in this area. New library in right geographic location. Current provision needs to be more tailored to the local community. Staffed library, although reduction in staffed hours 16 Libraries outside Groups 1 and 2 8.7 There are some libraries which do not fit within our 2 groups, in terms of their potential to deliver the full core and local offer. The reasons for this are a combination of factors including: 8.8 The libraries in this group are as follows: 8.9 Whether the building is in the right place to serve the community Whether the building offers a welcoming atmosphere and flexible community space to a variety of current and potential customers The proximity of other libraries within a reasonable distance in each area (geographical spread of our provision) Whether there is known community demand for using a current building in a different way, for example, more as a community centre than a library Whether there is a potential contribution to wider community needs that can be delivered by the council through the library service (particularly in areas of greater need) Whether the condition of the building is poor and subject to high maintenance costs (NB: this aligns with the approach of the Council’s Corporate Land Policy, which seeks to recognise the limitations of our budgets to support buildings which require high levels of maintenance and are not fit for purpose). Clifton Eastville Marksbury Road Redland Sea Mills Westbury Wick Road A specific focus for the next 12 week phase of consultation will be to work with local communities in these areas to explore if there are viable potential alternative opportunities for these libraries in the future. There are already ideas that have come up through meetings in localities as part of our Phase 1 consultation, including: The potential for the library setting to be developed by other council or partner services relevant to the local community. This could include services focused on children and families, older people etc. where that is the local need. The potential to develop wider community-led facilities to meet local need, such as developing a community centre, rather than a library. This could be facilitated through a Community Asset Transfer, subject to an appropriate business plan. The Council commits to support these conversations in localities and will provide a clear route into these discussions as part of the consultation process. 17 9. Phase 2 Consultation 9.1 The information in Section 8 outlines the Council’s proposals for delivering the future service, which will all be subject to consultation. Pending Cabinet approval to the recommendations in this report, the next phase of consultation will run from 4 th March to 27th May 2015. This will be a 12 week period that will enable the public, as well as interested community groups and partners, to respond to the proposals contained within this report. 9.2 We will use a range of communication channels to make the consultation as accessible as possible to Bristol citizens. There will be particular focus on areas of most change. 9.3 The consultation will focus on the following main themes: Whether each library is in the right grouping Opening hours Access through technology It will also focus discussions on libraries outside of groups 1 and 2. Further detail on the plans for the next phase of consultation can be found in Appendix 6. 10. Finance 10.1 The proposals in this report are designed within the parameters of the proposed revenue budget for the service from April 2016, including the Medium Term Financial Plan proposal of a reduction of £1.1m. 10.2 As part of the budget setting process for 2015/16, a capital budget provision of £1.2m was agreed to support the cost of change required to ensure the success of the new service. Priorities for this funding will be established once the new service is agreed. 11. Next steps and timelines: 11.1 Subject to a cabinet decision on March 3rd, the next steps will be: Consultation March 4th – May 27th Cabinet – 7th July 2015: Final decision re new library provision and service for the future Implementation of change: From July 2015, subject to Cabinet approvals (See Appendix 7 for a summary of decision-making timeline and public consultation timelines) 12. Consultation and scrutiny input: 18 a. Internal consultation: Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission and Inquiry Day (January 22nd) Lucy Murray-Brown – Service Director, Integrated Customer Services Rachel Williams - Commissioning Manager Early Years Jane Taylor – Service Manager, Communities and Adult Skills John Bos – Community Assets Manager, Corporate Property Ian Gale – Service Manager, Service Delivery and Integration Lois Woodcock and Steve Matthews – Corporate Property Robin Poole – Finance Business Partner b. External consultation: Scrutiny Inquiry Day - Report included as Appendix 8 Report on Phase 1 of Consultation (November 2014 – February 2015) included as Appendix 3 13. Other options considered: a) Do nothing: Rejected. The current service cannot be provided within the agreed Medium Term Financial Plan requirements. b) Alternative models of delivery e.g. Mutual, IPS and Trusts. None of the models could be introduced in the current timescales. Alternative models could be explored post 2016. 14. Risk management / assessment: FIGURE 1 The risks associated with the decision on the core service and consultation on proposals for “Libraries for the Future” are: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability 1 The proposals will mean some degree of change for ALL libraries, including both reduced and modernised provision. It is therefore very likely that there will be objections from library users comfortable with a more traditional, fully staffed service. M M 2 If local communities become engaged in running and managing some of the Council’s library buildings, this will mean that BCC could still maintain the assets, so there will still be ongoing associated costs. In M H RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (i.e. controls) and Evaluation (i.e. effectiveness of mitigation). The second phase of consultation, in particular the public meetings, will be used to engage the public and highlight why the changes are required. The reduction in staffing levels can be mitigated by the introduction of volunteers – a programme should be implemented at the earliest opportunity. Whilst it is still likely that there will be objection to the proposals, this should be reduced by the time proposals are implemented. A rigorous process is in place for approving a business case put forward by the community to run one of the Council’s buildings, to ensure that any plans are feasible, so buildings will only be retained where there is a good evidence base for doing so. Property 19 CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability M M Kate Murray M M Robert Orrett some cases the buildings are old and inflexible – so this may conflict with the Council’s asset strategy. savings are not included in the planned service budget savings for all sites, so this would not influence any decision making. Ongoing discussions with Property are required throughout the consultation period. FIGURE 2 The risks associated with not agreeing the decision on the core service and consultation on proposals for “Libraries for the Future” are: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (i.e. controls) and Evaluation (i.e. effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability 1 Risk of challenge if there is a lack of due consultation and a lack of informed debate about the future service with users and non-users of the service H H Ensure the maximum period of consultation - recommended 12 weeks, working with the consultation team, communications and Neighbourhoods to reach all communities, groups, Members and residents who want to comment M M 2 If the proposals are not subject to full consultation and a way forward is not agreed within the defined timescales, then it will not be possible to realise the required budget savings by April 2016. H M Clear evidence and rationale for proposals to be provided to engage the public in meaningful consultation. Alternative plans to be considered as part of consultation period. Contingency planning to understand impact on budget if delays occur. M L 3 If the principles and the approach for the core and local service offer are not agreed there is a risk that there is no service improvement and citizens will not benefit from a new offer tailored to their community. M M Detail the benefits offered by implementing a new core service, tailored locally. Agreeing overarching principles provides the platform for developing the detail of the local offer with communities in each area. M L Kate Murray Kate Murray 15. Public sector equality duties: Before making a decision, section 149 of the Equality Act 2010 requires that each decision-maker considers the need to promote equality for persons with the following “protected characteristics”: age, disability, gender reassignment, pregnancy and maternity, race, religion or belief, sex, sexual orientation. Each decision-maker must, therefore, have due regard to the need to: i) eliminate discrimination, harassment, victimisation and any other conduct prohibited under the Equality Act 2010. ii) advance equality of opportunity between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to: - remove or minimise disadvantage suffered by persons who share a relevant protected characteristic. - take steps to meet the needs of persons who share a relevant protected characteristic that are different from the needs of people who do not share it (in relation to disabled people, this includes, in particular, steps to take account of disabled persons' disabilities); - encourage persons who share a protected characteristic to participate in public life or in any other activity in which participation by such persons is disproportionately low. iii) foster good relations between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those who do not share it. This involves having due regard, in 20 particular, to the need to tackle prejudice and promote understanding. A full and comprehensive EqIA has been produced, which includes an overall picture of what the service knows about the current customers’ equalities profiles, and also includes wider information about citizens who are potential users of the service from the Neighbourhood Profiles, broken down into areas and individual libraries. This is available as Appendix 9. The EqIA also describes the community needs identified through consultation with 64 different groups representing equalities communities that took place throughout the first period of consultation. This EqIA has helped to inform the consultation approach, the content of the core offer, and the design of the proposal that this report seeks to consult on. The EqIA is a living document which will be revised as each proposal is considered, and will help to inform the tailored neighbourhood offer in each area as these develop. This EqIA will be reviewed in full during and at the end of the second period of consultation and will inform the final proposal to the July Cabinet meeting. A cumulative impact statement will also be produced on the service as a whole for the final report in July 2015. 16. Eco impact assessment – see Appendix 10 for full details The significant impacts of this proposal are: Positive: Reduction in energy consumption due to reduction in number of staffed branches Reduction in waste production due to reduction in number of staffed branches Enhanced digital provision may reduce travel, for example through increased downloads Negative: Potentially, increased travel by service users due to reduction in number of staffed branches Increased energy consumption in libraries due to increased community access at evenings / weekends Potentially, buildings where no alternative use is identified falling into disrepair The proposals include the following measures to mitigate the impacts: Libraries should reduce travel impacts by providing appropriate information and facilities for customers, such as bike racks and bus timetables Building Managers need to continue to use on-line energy management tools and facilitate comprehensive recycling facilities at all library branches. Proposed community involvement with libraries should include consideration of biodiversity opportunities in library grounds. The service should work closely with Corporate Property to carefully manage the condition of any building that becomes surplus to service requirements The net effects of the proposals are: The mix of positive and negative impacts are anticipated to largely cancel each other out, 21 so there is unlikely to be a significant change overall. 17. Resource and legal implications: a. Financial (revenue) implications: If approved the consultation would be carried out on proposals, relating to specific libraries across the City, that have been designed by Library Services to achieve the proposed revenue reduction of £1.1m in the Council’s Medium Term Financial Plan (MTFP) for 2016/17. At this stage these proposals are based on estimates of reductions from staff and premises budgets. If these proposals were implemented then, based on these estimates, the £1.1m budget reduction should be achieved by the Council. The achievement of the MTFP revenue reduction in 2016/17 will require implementation of changed services following a further key decision for library provision and the future of the service, scheduled for July 2015. Advice given by Robin Poole, Neighbourhoods Finance Business Partner Date 13th February 2015 b. Financial (capital) implications: As part of the budget setting process for 2015/16, as agreed on 17 February 2015, provision has been made in the Capital Programme of £1.2m to support the outcomes of the consultation and to facilitate investment in libraries as part of the Libraries for the Future Project. Advice given by Janet Ditte, Service Manager – Finance Business Support Date: 18th February 2015 Comments from the Corporate Capital Programme Board: N/a c. Legal implications: The Council is seeking to develop a model for libraries for the future in the city. In doing so the Council needs to ensure compliance with the following: 1. Public Libraries and Museums Act 1964 (“PMLA 1964) - general duty of library authorities. Section 7 of the PMLA 1964 imposes a statutory duty on library authorities to “Provide a comprehensive and efficient library service to everyone who lives, works or attends full time education in the library area”. “When fulfilling its duty under section 7 the Council must have regard to the desirability: • Of securing that facilities are available for the borrowing of or reference to books and other printed matter, pictures, gramophone records, films and other materials • That these facilities are sufficient in number, range and quality to meet the general 22 and special requirements of adults and children • Of encouraging children and adults to make full use of the library service”. 2. Consultation The Council is also under a general Duty of Best Value to “make arrangements to secure continuous improvement in the way in which its functions are exercised, having regard to a combination of economy, efficiency and effectiveness (Section 3 of the Local Government Act 1999 “LGA”). To achieve the right balance and before deciding how to fulfil our Best Value Duty – authorities are under a Duty to Consult (Section 3(2) LGA) with relevant representative bodies etc. The Council should also follow Guidance published by the Department of DCLG when undertaking its review. There is no statutory requirement as to the form the consultation should take but general principles require that consultation must be at a time when proposals are still at a formative stage; the Council must give sufficient reasons for any proposal to enable intelligent consideration and response; adequate time must be given for consideration and response; the product of consultation must be conscientiously taken into account in finalising any proposals; it must consider carefully who should be consulted and how (linked to those who are potentially affected by the decision and should include those who are likely to support the proposals as well as those who are likely to object). The Council should also follow the BCC best practice guidelines on Consultation. From the details set out in the report it appears clear that due regard has been had to the Councils general duties regarding the delivery of library services, Furthermore, the report details the nature and extent of the consultation exercise carried out to date, which arrangements, in their timing, the identity of the consultees and the due consideration of the results, appear to comply with the obligations on the Council in respect of an acceptable consultation process. Going forward the Council should again be mindful of these expectations in connection with any further consultation Advice given by Eric Andrews, Team Leader, Legal Services Date 11th February 2015 d. Land / property implications: The majority of the Council’s Libraries are owned freehold with just 4 out of the 28 properties being leasehold. The Council is subject to a statutory fiduciary duty to obtain the best price reasonably obtainable upon disposal of any surplus property assets. Exceptions are permitted by virtue of the General Disposal Consents which includes the ability to dispose at under value for the purposes of health and wellbeing. Disposal of surplus freeholds will ensure that the Council does not carry the risk of future liabilities. Disposal subject to lease should ensure that all repair and maintenance responsibilities are devolved to the tenant in order to minimise the risk of future liabilities. Any such proposals should have regard to the condition of the buildings and to the ability of any prospective tenant to undertake the necessary repairs, future maintenance liabilities and to meet the cost of all other outgoings. The inclusion of a Service Agreement within any leasehold transfer proposal is considered advisable. 23 Advice given by Steve Matthews Project Leader - Property Date 6th February 2015 e. Human resources implications: These proposals will have an impact on staff and staff costs are over 80% of the overall budget. The service is currently comprised of 130 FTE (of which 104 are permanent, 26 fixed term contract posts). The roles that library staff carry out are also likely to be very different and there is likely to be a reduction in the overall numbers as a result of these proposals. The current number of Fixed Term Contracts will enable the impact on permanent staff to be reduced. In addition, we would aim to redeploy staff into suitable vacancies across the council, wherever possible. However, a number of redundancies are still likely. An early voluntary severance offer would enable the service to manage the change in resource requirements more effectively, as well as support the service in its aim to meet the personal preferences of the permanent staff, wherever possible. It would also enable the service to meet their savings targets by April 2016. Advice given by Sandra Farquharson People Business Partner, Neighbourhoods Date February 3rd 2015 24 Appendices: Appendix 1 – Libraries – The National Context Appendix 2 – Consultation Methodology Appendix 3 - CX Partners Consultation Report Appendix 4 – Strategic Priorities Appendix 5 - 1.5 Mile Radius Map on the new service Appendix 6 – Draft consultation plan for March to May Appendix 7 – Timeline Appendix 8 – Scrutiny Inquiry Day Report Appendix 9 – EQIA Appendix 11 – RIO report Appendix 12 – Map of Bus Routes with Proposed Library Locations 25 Appendix 1: Libraries - The National Context Arts Council England - Envisioning the Future, research 2012/13 Main recommendations: Place the library as the hub of the community Make the most of digital technology and creative media Ensure that libraries are resilient and sustainable Deliver the right skills for those who work in libraries Society of Chief Librarians - Four Universal Library Offers Reading offer - focuses on promoting reading and literacy Health offer - emphases the contribution libraries can make to health and wellbeing in communities Digital offer - free internet access for customers, plus access to services online. Information offer - help users to get online and direct them to relevant resources on job seeking, health, and finance Independent Library Report – William Sieghart (Dec 2014) Main recommendations: National task force to help develop library services to make them fit for the 21st century. Increased digital resources Reinvention of libraries as social community hubs, with refreshments and facilities adding to a more social ambience Encourage more community involvement in the management of libraries Increase of e-lending Carnegie Trust UK Public libraries have enormous potential to improve wellbeing in four broad areas of public policy: At the heart of strong communities Promoting economic wellbeing As cultural centres By supporting learning 26 Appendix 2: Consultation Methodology The Bristol Future Libraries consultation began in Bristol on November 11th 2014. It was a three month period of consultation about what citizens know and like about the service, what could be improved and how the service may be more relevant to Bristol citizens in the future. The consultation was designed to be an extensive, open and honest dialogue about the service in advance of any specific proposals being developed. We used a variety of different communication channels to ensure that the consultation was accessible to all. We know that many citizens in Bristol do not use the library service at all and we needed to find a way of reaching those citizens. To achieve this we worked closely with our colleagues in the Neighbourhood Partnership and Community Development Teams to organise the public meetings. A consultation programme was designed including: • Face to face - Meetings at libraries, discussions through Neighbourhood Partnerships and forums, attendance at equality forums, meetings with community groups, and research visits to other libraries. • Digital - In addition a strong digital offer was designed, including dedicated web pages, online surveys, an interactive Ideas Bank where individuals could submit, comment on and rate ideas, and a social media presence. • Printed – Hard copy versions of the different surveys, postcards to submit ideas, posters to raise awareness. • Citizens’ Panel - the consultation survey was issued to the Council’s Citizens’ Panel, as this is an established research group designed to be representative of the diversity of the city. The response rate to the consultation, via the different channels, was : Method Number of responses/attendees Survey – hard copy, online and Easy 4760 Read Postcard comments 820 Young People survey 482 Ideas Bank 138 Neighbourhood Forums attended 17 Neighbourhood Partnerships attended 5 Library Meetings 28 Equalities/communities of interest 60 (involving 847 individuals) meetings School / Young People workshops 4 Research visits 3 (Exeter, Weston and Bristol) Citizens’ Panel survey responses 910 27 Appendix 3: Consultation Analysis Report 28 Bristol Libraries What citizens want February 2015 Introduction Bristol City Council is redesigning its library services for the future, in line with the changing needs of citizens. At the same time, the council needs to make significant savings to many services, including libraries. At present, only 14% of Bristol’s citizens use libraries. In order to continue to provide a service which continues to serve these citizens, but also addresses the needs of current non-users, a thorough understanding of citizens’ needs and preferences is required. This report communicates the findings of a research and consultation exercise conducted from November 2014 to February 2015. The report is intended as an input to the ongoing conversation about the future of Bristol’s libraries, providing evidence for all parties to refer to. 2 Objectives The consultation set out to answer two questions: “what do Bristol’s citizens need from their libraries?” and “what ideas do they have for improving the service?” This report presents an analysis of the responses to these questions received during the consultation. It also highlights differences between groups of special interest within the Bristol population, including those specified in the Equality Act (2010): • Users and non-users of libraries • Different age groups • Different genders • Lesbian, gay and bisexual people • Transgender people • Parents • Members of black and minority ethnic (BME) groups • Disabled people • People who live in households with a low income (less than £25,000 per annum) • People with religious beliefs 3 Methodology The report references findings from a range of activities, which drew on various data-gathering methodologies. More detail on the methodology can be found in Appendix 3. What Where and how Who Consultation meetings Meetings in libraries, with Neighbourhood Partnerships and with special interest groups Interested citizens and members of community groups Idea postcards Libraries, Neighbourhood Partnerships and Forums 820 ideas were posted in this way Ideas Bank website Online, with notices posted in libraries and on social media Any interested citizen. 140 ideas were posted in this way Citizens' Panel survey Online, paper Members of the Bristol Citizens' Panel. This sample consisted of 919 people Open consultation survey Online, paper (including Easy Read and young people’s formats) Any citizen. 4,692 people contributed their views in this way 4 The information in this report Given the range of data sources, we have needed to take decisions about how to prioritise the report and organise the presentation of findings. • The report is divided into several sections: • An overview of demographic differences within the survey data • Key findings around library usage, perceptions of libraries and access to libraries, based around the areas covered in the survey • An overview of ideas, suggestions and comments made by citizens • Conclusions, summarising the main themes, the needs of particular groups, and parallels with Carnegie UK’s Speaking Volumes report, which looks at similar questions around the future of libraries • On each page, we have addressed a particular question from a range of angles. In doing so, we also highlight the contrasts that sometimes arise between the views and experiences of different groups • • Figures shown in the main body of the report reflect the results from the Citizens' Panel survey rather than the open consultation survey. This is because the Citizens' Panel has been recruited to reflect the full demographic range of the citizens of Bristol (see figure on right), and therefore allows us to treat the sample as representative of the city’s adult population as a whole. In contrast, while the open consultation survey reflects the views of those who chose to participate, it cannot be used to extrapolate to the rest of the population with the same degree of confidence Citizens' Panel survey (919 responses) Open consultation survey (4,692 responses) … is designed to be representative of Bristol adult population (355,700) We believe it is useful to be able to see the results from the Citizens' Panel survey and open consultation survey side-by-side: these are shown in Appendix 2 5 Who took part? As can be seen below, the open consultation survey results are much more heavily weighted towards frequent library users, compared to the Citizens’ Panel survey Frequent users (at least once per month) Occasional users (at least once per year) Non-users 28% 38% 15% 3% Users VS Non users 34% 82% Citizens' Panel survey Open consultation survey A relatively even mix of frequent, occasional and non-users of libraries The great majority of respondents are frequent library users Base: Citizens’ Panel 919; Consultation 4,692 (all who answered) 6 Who took part? The range of respondents from the Citizens' Panel survey and participants in the consultation are different in a number of other respects. Female 54% Citizens' Panel survey Open consultation survey 66% BME 13% Disabled people Citizens' Panel survey 17% 34% Open consultation survey 56% 44% Heterosexual Citizens' Panel survey 4% 96% 87% Open consultation survey 4% 96% Under 24 25-64 Citizens' Panel survey 3% Open consultation survey* 70% Citizens' Panel survey 58% Open consultation survey 65+ 70% 15% 60% Low income Non-parents 42% 46% 89% 90% 30% Non-religious 54% LGB 83% Parents Open consultation survey Citizens' Panel survey Non-disabled people Open consultation survey 10% Citizens' Panel survey 46% White British Citizens' Panel survey 11% Open consultation survey Religious beliefs Male Med income 46% 43% 27% 26% High income 47% 7% 47% 10% Base: Citizens’ Panel 916; Consultation 3,798+ (all who answered) * Under 24s representation shown for the open consultation survey includes respondents in the separate youth survey 7 Who took part? The spread of participants across Bristol is broadly in line with the distribution of the city’s population. Bristol Neighbourhood Partnerships Legend Neighbourhood Partnership Areas Ward boundary Citizens' Panel survey Open consultation survey Bristol population* Ashley, Easton and Lawrence Hill 101 370 39,318 Avonmouth and Kingsweston 55 187 18,156 Bishopston, Cotham and Redland 92 421 32,935 Cabot, Clifton and Clifton East 55 322 36,691 Dundry View Partnership 64 119 4% Avonmouth and Kingsweston 6% 5% 5% 5% Horfield and Lockleaze Henleaze, Stoke Bishop and Westbury-on-Trym 26,631 Filwood, Knowle and Windmill Hill 74 269 29,133 Greater Bedminster Community Partnership 64 252 22,103 Greater Brislington N’hood Partnership 46 179 18,655 Greater Fishponds 92 244 30,601 Henbury and Southmead 46 185 17,802 Hengrove and Stockwood 55 115 18,533 Citizens’ Panel Henleaze, Stoke Bishop and Westbury-on-Trym 83 540 24,917 Open consultation Horfield and Lockleaze 46 184 20,603 Bristol population St George 46 123 19,619 919 3,510 355,697 Total 5% Henbury and Southmead 5% 5% 5% Greater Fishponds Bishopston, Cotham and Redland 9% 15% 5% 10% 7% 10% 12% 5% Cabot, Clifton and Clifton East 6% 9% 5% Ashley, Easton and Lawrence Hill 7% 7% St George 11% 10% 5% Greater Bedminster 5% 5% 4% 5% Greater Brislington 5% Filwood, Knowle and Windmill Hill 8% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% Stockwood, Hengrove and Whitchurch Dundry View 7% 3% 5% 6% 3% 5% Base: Citizens’ Panel 918; Consultation 3,510 (all who answered) * Population over 16 years old, based on 2011 census © Crown Copyright and database rights 2015. Ordnance Survey 100023406. 8 Using libraries What users do in libraries The importance of individual services Accessing books Using libraries for work and study Increasing use of libraries What do users do in libraries? Books are still the main reason to visit libraries, but a range of other activities are taking place too. Commentary Frequent users engage with an average of 5 non-book services (from the list on the right), while occasional users make use of 3 services. The range of services used is mirrored in the range of services which citizens think libraries should offer (see page 11). Only 62% browse, borrow or read books on every visit. Only 3% of people (mostly men) never do anything with books when they go to the library, while 6% use book-related services alone. Also noteworthy is the contrast between the importance of libraries in signposting local news and events, and participation in events at libraries, which is much lower. This implies that libraries could be doing more to deliver events, as well as making citizens aware of them. Visitors are most regularly engaging in cultural activities (56% on every visit, with a further 24% on some visits), followed by social activities (20% & 43% respectively), and work /study (15% & 36%). What users do when they visit libraries Browse the books Borrow books Read books Find out about local news and whats going on Read newspapers or magazines Somewhere to go and relax Take the children to read/borrow books Borrow a DVD Use the library computers Print Study Use the free library Wi-Fi Do some work Childrens storytime or activity Other Borrow a CD Meet friends Buy refreshments Attend a local group (eg book or history club) Job search on the internet Borrow a computer game Meet business colleagues 90% 84% 63% 51% 48% 47% 44% 40% 39% 37% 37% 34% 32% 28% 28% 26% 24% 22% 15% 11% 5% Every visit Some visits 5% Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 10 What do users do in libraries? Many Bristol residents see an opportunity for libraries to do more. In particular, they could be combining with, or taking ideas, from other services and organisations. Differences between groups • BME users, teenagers, parents, those from lower-income households and social users of libraries use more services overall • Parents, older people, women and frequent users are the most likely to use book-related services • BME, LGB and people from lower income households are most likely to make use of ICT services Example comments & suggestions “[Libraries need to offer] space that can be used flexibly by a range of people. For example: yoga, book club” “I personally use the library after hours to rehearse with my band (although not within Bristol Council)” “Lend the place to third parties to organise cultural events/exhibitions/lectures about local history etc. Make the place [a] cultural centre” “Have more ideas meetings in the Library… They sometimes happen at St George's or University buildings, why not the library?” Comments & suggestions Suggestions for change around library usage focus on several themes: enhanced book services, increased promotion of the services already on offer, and new directions based new kinds of lending, ICT services or events. 11 How important are individual services? Apart from book-related services, there is a consensus that libraries have an important role to play within communities and as an ICT resource. Other services are more niche. Commentary Only a small proportion (5%) of respondents regarded all of the services mentioned as important; in contrast, 16% regarded none of them as important. The average number of services rated as important was 12, of which 3 were book-related services and 9 non bookrelated. People who are active in their neighbourhoods (e.g. attending classes or community events) place particular emphasis on the importance of news and notices. Even those who are less engaged feel that this is important - however it raises the question of why they are not used more often. Young people, while positive about the importance of book-related services, also want more ICT facilities. There is, unsurprisingly, less importance placed on services which individuals don’t themselves use. However, each service has its advocates with, for example, English courses being relatively popular among BME people and those on low incomes. This suggests that the services lower down the list are more niche, but still appreciated by a smaller constituency of users. Importance of services to me Lending specialist & hard-to-find books Community news & notice boards Learning about neighbourhood & community Learning about local history Info about evening classes / courses Lending books about interests Access to printers Lending the latest bestsellers Today's newpapers Access to computers Help to set up a local interest group Place to access health information Lending ebooks Personal book recommendations Latest magazines Advice for starting a business Computer training courses Lending DVDs Offering tools like 3D printers Study or homework clubs Lending music on CDs Lending books in other languages Delivering books to your home English courses and help Lending computer games 49% 36% 47% 38% 41% 42% 40% 42% 39% 41% 34% 47% 32% 35% 28% 38% 27% 38% 30% 30% 23% 36% 22% 36% 21% 36% 18% 42% 19% 36% 21% 32% 22% 26% 17% 33% 17% 30% 16% 27% 13% 33% 15% 28% Very important 13% 28% Somewhat important 15% 21% 6% 21% Question: How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 12 Accessing books Most Bristol citizens buy books more frequently than borrowing them from libraries. Commentary Buying & borrowing books Perhaps surprisingly, there is no difference between frequent library users, occasional users and non-users in terms of book buying (either in terms of frequency or money spent). This suggests that book buying does not take place at the expense of book borrowing, but rather that the two are complementary for some people. Comments from respondents suggest that book buying is driven by a greater range, convenience / the ability to impulse buy, availability, and the desire to own a particular book. Those who buy books are particularly interested in libraries lending specialist or hard to find books, suggesting that the range offered by libraries is a factor for them. However this also implies that book sellers are complementary to libraries, rather than in competition. 63% 40% 19% 17% 13% 6% 8% 10% 9% 7% 6% 3% At least weekly Fortnightly Monthly Buying Every few months Only once Not at all Borrowing Question: In 2014, how often have you bought books (either for yourself or your family)?; In 2014, how often have you borrowed books from the library? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 13 Accessing books While traditional book lending is regarded with fondness even by most non-users, there is a recognition that library services need to adapt to changing patterns of living and technology use. Differences between groups • Women, older people, parents, BME people borrow books more frequently • Women also buy books more frequently, as do adults and those living in higher-income households • The pattern of book borrowing differs by library, with users of Central Library being less regular borrowers of books (27% borrow at least monthly) compared to other libraries (36%) Example comments & suggestions “Automated drop-off and pickup points outside libraries… either within another shop (e.g. post office) or as its own little shop… or Temple Meads station” “Have recommended reading lists along the lines of 'if you enjoyed reading books by McCall Smith have you tried M C Beaton?’" “[An] electronic storage system on each bus for a book / magazine selection… a mini mobile library service for commuters” “Libraries need to strike a deal with Amazon to loan ebooks that can be read on Kindles but meanwhile they should loan ereaders" Comments & suggestions A number of consultees want access to niche collections (e.g. specialist art books), or Bristol’s university libraries. For others, improved book services are about convenience and accessibility: being able to borrow ebooks remotely, or being able to receive and drop off books in non-library locations. Finally, some would like a richer service around books (e.g. recommendations, book-related events, or online book clubs). 14 Work & study The library as place to work (or find work) is of importance to a small number of citizens. Commentary There is a high correlation between working and studying in libraries, suggesting that citizens regard them as similar activities. The proportion of respondents working in paid employment in libraries seems to be small; rather libraries serve as a ‘working space’ for a much larger group who make use of the atmosphere, ICT facilities and training for a range of non-leisure activities. There is also a good deal of latent interest in working and using facilities, suggesting that access or awareness is currently limited for some. Unemployed citizens are particularly reliant on library services. Not only do they rate ICT services as important to a much greater extent than non-unemployed respondents, they also report using the library for ‘work’ or ‘study’ at a higher rate (59% and 61% respectively) vs non-unemployed people (39% and 40%). Those who work in libraries are also more likely to make suggestions or comments for improvements to ICT than are other visitors. Activities undertaken in libraries Work Study Meet colleagues 6% 26% 7% 3% Use Wi-Fi Use computers Print 30% 11% 30% 9% 30% Every visit Could work there 6% Could study there 7% 26% 30% If they had Wi-Fi 23% 7% Would use libraries more if… Some visits If they had computers I could use printers Every visit 16% 22% 7% 30% 9% 30% Some visits Range of library services used Services rated as important Frequent users Computer training Mean number of services used, from list on page 10 Occasional users Unemployed users 6.8 4.3 Access to a computer 68% 64% 92% 5.4 People who work in libraries People who study in libraries 45% 9.1 7.1 Access to a printer Unemployed 67% 87% Other Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following?; How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 15 Work & study Those citizens who use libraries to work or study are most interested in reliable basic facilities, however there are opportunities for libraries to offer more. Differences between groups • BME regard libraries as more of a place to work, as do those who regard libraries as more social spaces, and use more services in general • Younger people and those on low incomes are more likely to use libraries to work or study Comments & suggestions “I need a library to be a place to work in when I'm 'working from home’ ” “More computers with programs and resources such a photoshop or logic" “At least one very late opening or 24 hour library would be really useful for me” “Lending and borrowing skills… someone who could build me a wall, for example” “Education hubs for green best practice at home and in business” “[More] Plug sockets so you can work on a laptop” Comments & suggestions Whether libraries were the primary work/study space, or an occasional backup, the core needs are the same: power, seating, Wi-Fi, quiet and (for some) access to a PC. Comments therefore centred on these facilities, which are not consistently available. Beyond the basics, citizens suggest that libraries could be offering more to workers: different kinds of lending (e.g. journals, tools, software), courses (notably in skills which go beyond the needs of novices, e.g. Photoshop rather than beginners’ ICT training), and extended hours of access. 16 What could increase use of libraries? Citizens want libraries to play host to cultural activities and events. Commentary There is a contrast between the level of interest in some of these activities, and current uptake (which is very low). This suggests that either awareness is low, the services are unsuitable or hard to access, or that respondents are overrating their own willingness to make use of them. Altogether, 76% of respondents are interested in one or more types of event, groups or cultural activities - this group are also much more likely to be willing to volunteer (36% vs 15%). Those who are interested in events or classes, but not currently participating in them, are more likely to see libraries as quiet and educational, but less likely to see them as welcoming or social, reinforcing the sense that these citizens do not feel comfortable visiting libraries for activities that they might otherwise be interested in. Would use libraries more / less if they offered… Would use more 62% 59% 58% 46% 41% 39% 33% 33% 32% 31% 29% 29% 28% 26% 25% 25% 25% 22% 21% 19% 15% 9% 7% Exhibitions/cultural events Book clubs/meet authors Interest groups/courses Open at time that suited me More books Wifi connection Could go there and relax Closer to my house Quiet environment Could meet people there Could set up interest group Was more modern Could meet people like me Computers I could use More for children More DVDs Could work there Could get info on health Closer to school/workplace Could study there Located with school Located with council services If it wasn't a quiet place 5% 4% 4% 1% 1% 4% 5% 1% 3% 8% 7% 5% 7% 4% 14% 6% 5% 11% 4% 5% 31% 40% 43% Would use less Question: Which of the following changes would encourage you to use a library more often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 17 What could increase use of libraries? Suggested improvements touch on a wide range of areas Differences between groups • Older people, and those who are already active in the community are most interested in further cultural events • Frequent library users are particularly motivated by the suggestion of more books • Non-users are engaged by the idea of Wi-Fi, computers and more sociable libraries • Young people are less keen on events, and more motivated by convenience of access and ICT facilities Comments & suggestions Respondents’ comments touch on a wide range of areas. Overall, there is a contrast between those who want to defend libraries essentially as they are, and those who want them to evolve into a new kind of service, reflecting changes in wider society (e.g. increased internet access and availability of e-readers). Example comments & suggestions (continued on next page) “Volunteers to work with the library staff… There are a lot of people who have time and would enjoy helping others use libraries” “28 different exhibitions on annual rotation around the city each year… injecting a fresh new idea or focus into the library for a few weeks” “Open-mics… a wide variety of fun and inclusive performances from singers, poets, comedians, musicians, songwriters, storytellers, etc.” “Host hack events to work on library data such as the library catalogue” 18 What could increase use of libraries? (continued from previous page) “Make sure all libraries have at least one toilet that can be used by the public. At the moment a few do have them, but most don’t" “The combination of being very sensitive to localised needs for branch libraries and the support of bigger central library is the best way ahead" “Some of the smaller Bristol libraries could be reconverted into specialised branches. I would love to see a Bristol library only devoted to film studies and music” “You could scrap needing to be a 'member' as long as people give an address that could be checked” “One library in Bristol could be dedicated to children, in particular age 0-5 and 6-11, with the whole space and design tailored to children low level displays, visual signage, accessible toilet and baby changing, cosy reading corners, space for nursing mothers, and interesting theatre, play and music groups. Could offer a specialist area for books on parenting too” “Incorporating a post office” “A section of the library (either on a specific day or permanently) set up for people with dementia and their carers” “Stamps. Binder. Laminator.” “React to what's current and grabbing people's attention e.g promote the genre of books that are popular in any given moment e.g. Scandinavian literature or book/film combos” 19 Perceptions of libraries How citizens perceive libraries Libraries as social spaces Libraries as quiet spaces Modernity of libraries How citizens want libraries to change How young people perceive libraries How do citizens perceive libraries? There is a good deal of agreement about most of the words used to describe libraries: almost everyone regards them as essential for society, helpful and educational Commentary This list highlights the difference between libraries’ perceived benefits for society and the wider community - about which there is broad consensus - and personal usage. While even non-users of libraries agree that they are essential for society, they are less certain about libraries themselves. In some cases, respondents’ opinions are more ambiguous: these are explored on the following pages. • • % agreeing % disagreeing 95% Essential for society 1% 92% Helpful 1% 89% Educational 1% 88% Safe places to be 1% 87% Welcoming 2% 87% Friendly 2% 86% Open 2% 84% Community focused 2% 72% Relaxing 3% 71% Light and airy 6% 69% Happy 3% 68% Quiet 8% BME groups are more likely to regard libraries as welcoming, open and friendly, inspiring and safe places to be 64% Inspiring 6% 56% Modern 10% 56% Social 5% Young people are less likely to see libraries as community focused or essential for society 4% Boring 84% Differences between groups • Words which describe Bristol’s libraries Library users (especially frequent users) are more positive about libraries in every case Question: How well do each of the following words describe Bristol libraries, in your opinion? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 21 How do young people perceive libraries? Young people were asked to suggest words to describe libraries, as shown below. The relative size of the words indicates the frequency with which they were used (i.e. larger print means more commonly-mentioned words). As can be seen, the nature and relative frequency of the words is similar to those used by adults; the difference being that adults were not prompted for their own choices, but were presented with a predetermined list (see page 21). In line with the responses from adults, the words used to describe libraries are almost universally positive. Question: Can you give up to five key words to describe Bristol libraries? (e.g. helpful)’ Base: all who answered (90, young people’s survey) 22 Are libraries perceived as social spaces? A large minority see libraries as a social space. Those who see it as social also tend to regard it as somewhere to meet friends, and to go and relax. Commentary Libraries are a point of focus within communities, meaning that those who are taking part in other activities such as yoga classes or events at community centres are more likely to see libraries as social - perhaps reflecting a greater awareness of events taking place at libraries. These ‘community active’ people are also much more likely to attend libraries and to borrow books, and also to be older and members of BME groups. For some, this represents a way to tackle feelings of isolation or loneliness: libraries can be an important ‘safe space’ for people who feel unwelcome elsewhere. “Going to the library gets you out of the house and stops you feeling isolated. Although you can’t really talk in libraries you do see people.” Redcliffe Somali Women’s Group Perceptions of libraries as ‘social’ % agreeing % disagreeing 43% Overall 59% Frequent user 44% Occasional user 27% Non-user 45% Female 53% BME 4% 48% Disabled 6% 50% Parent 46% Religious 6% 33% LGB 3% 29% Young adult 42% Adult 44% Older people 45% Low income 9% 3% 9% 13% 10% 10% 7% 10% 6% 8% Question: How well do each of the following words describe Bristol libraries, in your opinion?… ‘Social’ Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 23 Are libraries perceived as social spaces? A large minority see libraries as a social space. Those who see it as social also tend to regard it as somewhere to meet friends, and to go and relax. Differences between groups • There is a striking difference between frequent users and non-users, with the latter far less likely to perceive libraries as ‘social’ • Young adults are notably less likely to regard libraries as ‘social’, compared to older people Example comments & suggestions “[Libraries should provide a] Café in a library, but not a library in a café” “Have art exhibitions or hire out space in the evening for 'gallery openings' with cheese and wine” “We could open a little space inside for a private franchise to run a coffee machine or even a cafe” “I think the Junction 3 library is a great model which recognises the needs of its local community” Comments & suggestions Making libraries work better as social spaces may help to increase usage. Those who regard libraries as social do not necessarily want to use them as a place to arrange to meet friends or colleagues, suggesting that their ‘social’ nature may be about engaging in the community more generally. While there is interest in refreshments being more widely available, there is also concern about enhancements in the social facilities in libraries drowning out quiet areas. 24 Are libraries perceived as quiet spaces? While most people agree that libraries are quiet, they have differing views on whether this is a good thing or not. Commentary Many citizens say they would use libraries less if they were not quiet. On the other hand, parents can feel awkward about needing to keep their children quiet in libraries, and would welcome an environment which was more accepting of noise. The same is also true of BME and younger respondents. Noise, and the absence of noise, both seem to play a part in making libraries a place to relax for different groups of people - the difference is in whether library time is seen as essentially social or solitary. The time of day at which participants had last visited appears to make no difference to their perceptions of libraries as quiet, suggesting that this is an enduring impression based on past experience rather than their most recent visit. Zoning within buildings may also be a factor, with some comments expressing concern about different areas bleeding into each other Perceptions of libraries as ‘quiet’ % agreeing % disagreeing 76% Overall 4% 77% Frequent user 9% 82% Occasional user 4% 68% Non-user 1% 78% Female 5% 79% BME 2% 78% Disabled 4% 83% Parent 4% 77% Religious 7% 72% LGB 7% 76% Adult 4% 76% Older people 6% 74% Low income 6% Question: How well do each of the following words describe Bristol libraries, in your opinion?… ‘Quiet’ Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 25 Are libraries perceived as quiet spaces? Most people regard libraries as quiet places. Differences between groups • Parents and occasional users are most likely regard libraries as quiet • In contrast, non-users of libraries are the least likely to regard them as quiet • ‘Quiet’ is also the word most commonly used to describe libraries among the under 16s (see page 22) Example comments & suggestions “ There could be a kind of dropin area for a chat. Something like the almost completely separate children's area” “[I] use my library less because it also has the housing office… I don't particularly want to hear the conversations when I am trying to browse books” “I wouldn't like the library to be 'noisy' with people all the time, but for an hour or two at different times of the day would be OK” “Please don't throw out the baby with the bathwater. Libraries still need to offer quiet space” Comments & suggestions While many citizens would like libraries to be more social, to host more events and to be more lively, there is also concern that such changes would make libraries less quiet. Careful zoning is the most commonly-suggested remedy to this potential problem. 26 Are libraries perceived as modern? Only a minority regard libraries as modern. Commentary Modernity is the single biggest predictor of the statement ‘libraries have to change to be of use to me’. It is also a motivating factor in using libraries more often, for some respondents. What do respondents mean by modern? Those who described libraries as modern also described them as friendly, light & airy, welcoming and inspiring. They expected ICT facilities and classes. Library users who visited Central Library most often were less likely to agree that libraries were ‘modern’ than those who frequented other libraries. In particular, visitors to Junction 3 were more likely to describe libraries as modern. Perceptions of modernity do not necessarily relate to services offered so much as the building itself; for example, the absence of Wi-Fi is not reflected in a lower rating of modernity where it is not offered. However perceptions around libraries being ‘light and airy’ do make a difference to ratings of modernity. Perceptions of libraries as ‘modern’ % agreeing % disagreeing 39% Overall 17% 57% Frequent user 10% 43% Occasional user 17% 19% Non-user 23% 39% Female 18% 45% BME 15% 46% Disabled 12% 43% Parent 21% 43% Religious 11% 43% LGB 7% 37% Adult 19% 43% Older people 10% 45% Low income 12% Question: How well do each of the following words describe Bristol libraries, in your opinion?… ‘Modern’ Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 27 Are libraries perceived as modern? Across the board, respondents can cite aspects of the library service that they would like to see modernised. Differences between groups • Non-users are particularly unlikely to say that libraries are ‘modern’. Again, this is at odds with the view among frequent users • None of the under 16s used the word ‘modern’ (or a synonym), suggesting that this group, while generally positive about libraries, do not regard them in this way Example comments & suggestions “I would like to there to be a virtual library" Comments & suggestions There is broad consensus that many of Bristol’s libraries need to be modernised, with three themes emerging: • Improved/renovated buildings • Modernised, or indeed cutting-edge, ICT services and connections to creative industries • A recognition of changing trends in access to information, e.g. lending of documents in electronic formats “Spend money on the outside of the library buildings please some are dreadful - it means that they are not inviting for people to come inside. If this is not feasible then start again Junction 3 is marvellous!” “What we need is a strong infrastructure, a community hub and somewhere for people of all ages to meet each other and to access services that inspire and enrich our lives. The 21st century library could be this place if they are more welcoming, more modern, used in a more imaginative way to be more useful to a wider section of people.” 28 Accessing libraries Usage of different libraries Travelling to libraries Which libraries are users visiting? Central Library is the most frequentlyvisited in Bristol by a large margin Commentary Those who visit Central Library most often differ from visitors to local libraries in a number of respects: they are more likely to be young, to have travelled by public transport, and to use a wider range of non-book services. The types of services used also differ by library: Central receives fewer visits from children (38% ever bring children, vs 45% for other libraries), while Central and Junction 3 serve more citizens who are working or studying, compared to other libraries. 59% of visitors to Central have bought refreshments in the last year, compared to 18% elsewhere, suggesting that there may be untapped potential for similar facilities in other libraries. The services required of libraries differ too: for example, visitors to Junction 3 feel it more important that libraries should lend books in languages other than English. This seems likely to reflect the demographic differences in library catchments, and suggestions that needs differ across the city. Differences between groups • Users of Central Library are more likely to be either young adults or older people. They are also more likely to see libraries as a place to relax Library visited most frequently Central Library Henleaze Bedminster Fishponds St George Redland Westbury Knowle Cheltenham Road Wick Road Clifton Junction 3 Stockwood Eastville Whitchurch Horfield Southmead Bishopsworth Hartcliffe Filwood Henbury Sea Mills Shirehampton Hillfields Avonmouth Marksbury Road Lawrence Weston St Pauls 27% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% Question: Which Bristol library do you visit most often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 30 How do library users get to the library? Most library visits are local. The typical journey is a walk from home, taking less than 20 minutes. Commentary Modes of transport are strongly related to journey time and starting point. Those coming by train are much more likely to have travelled for a relatively long time, and to have come from work, while journeys by car are relatively short in duration. As implied by the duration of journeys and mode of travel, most citizens are travelling to either their local library, or a specialist location such as Central Library. Those who are travelling from home are more likely to be visiting a library in their area; the pattern of travel to Central Library is an exception to the rule, with longer journey times, more travel from non-home origins, and more use of public transport. Differences between groups • • Disabled people and those on low incomes are disproportionately likely to have longer journeys. Disabled people are also relatively dependent on buses or cars Young adults are particularly likely to take less than 10 minutes to get to the library, to arrive from school, college or university. They are more likely to walk or take the bus, less likely to arrive by car, and much more likely to have come from school (25% vs 1% for the sample as a whole) Journey time to the library Under 10 mins 48% 11-20 mins 13% 31-40 mins 3% Over 40 mins 2% Journey starting point Home 89% Work 8% School / university / college 1% Other 1% Walking 59% Car 33% 21-30 mins Modes of transport to the library 26% Bus 8% Bicycle 6% Train 1% Motorbike / scooter <1% Libraries with shortest journey times Lawrence Weston Sea Mills Shirehampton Libraries with longest journey times Hillfields Bedminster Central Library Questions: How did you travel to the library?; For how long did you have to travel?; When you last visited the library…, where did you travel from? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 31 Ideas for libraries Most popular themes Popular themes for different groups Examples of ideas How do citizens want libraries to change? Book sellers and the internet offer alternatives to libraries for many people, but libraries still have a role to play. Commentary Those who want change are most interested in more modern libraries and access to Wi-Fi. The idea of closing some libraries to modernise others polarises parents: some would like a more specialised, childfocused service, while others value the proximity of their existing library. However, there is a sense across the research that libraries should be careful to retain their identity, especially if co-locating with other services. There is a marked difference between low and high income households in terms of willingness to buy books, and to find information on the internet. This may account for the higher proportion agreeing with the statement ‘libraries have to change, to be of use to me’. However there is no difference in the kinds of change suggestions made by those who agree, compared to those who disagree, suggesting that their needs are broadly the same. Opinions about the role of libraries % agreeing % disagreeing 64% If I need a book, I buy it 12% 83% I have no problem finding the information I need on the internet 8% 31% Libraries have to change, to be of use to me 29% 25% Its OK for some libraries to close if the ones that are kept open are modernised 53% Differences between groups • Frequent library users are less likely to agree with the statement ‘if I need a book, I buy it’, however this is not reflected in their actual book-buying activity, which is indistinguishable from that of non-users Question: Here’s a list of statements – for each one, please say whether you agree or disagree Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 33 Most popular suggestions for change Across the Citizens' Panel survey, open consultation survey, Ideas Bank and postcards, over 5,000 comments, suggestions and ideas were made Commentary While there is little interest in co-locating with schools within the survey, many comments point to closer cooperation with schools. As elsewhere, there appears to be a distinction in citizens’ minds between libraries as they themselves experience them, and libraries as a service to wider society. Comments encouraging young people’s use of libraries seem to arise from the latter. There is also a difference the prevalence of comments about different aspects of libraries’ services: of those which could be associated with one of the categories from Carnegie UK’s work, social / community comments accounted for 50% of comments, culture-related comments 21%, learning-related comments 19% and work-related comments 11%. Differences between groups BME people, parents and non-users are more likely to favour the integration of libraries with other services such as schools, and livelier, more social atmosphere • More frequent users want an enhancement of the current library service • Improved transport links are more important to women, BME groups and those who arrive on buses • Suggestions, comments and ideas made by respondents % of all comments Keep all libraries open Closer co-operation with schools Encourage use by children & young people Introduce charges for borrowing specialist titles Modernise ICT facilities Enhance specialist services (e.g. local history, art) Change atmosphere: make libraries livelier Increase community space / activity Increase social space / café Use volunteers to keep services open Concentrate resources in fewer, better libraries More advertising for library services Digitise catalogue / more ebooks Keep atmosphere quiet More convenient opening hours Community hub / colocate w other services Provide training for working-age people Recommendations for further reading Better public transport links Increase children's activities 19% 13% 10% 7% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Base: all who made a comment, suggestion or idea (Citizens' Panel, Open consultation survey, Ideas Bank, postcards) 34 Most popular themes, by group Some themes were more common among particular groups, as shown in the differing sets of top three themes, below: Frequent library users Occasional library users Non-users of libraries 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. More prominence for niche / specialist services (e.g. local history, art) 1. Closer integration with schools 2. Encourage use by children & young people 3. Keep them all open 1. Closer integration with schools 2. Keep them all open 3. Introduce charges for borrowing specialist titles Young people Adults Older people 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. Modernise ICT facilities 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. Encourage use by children & young people 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. More prominence for niche / specialist services (e.g. local history, art) Women Men BME 1. Keep them all open 2. Encourage use by children & young people 3. Closer integration with schools 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. Change atmosphere: make libraries livelier 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. Introduce charges for borrowing specialist titles Disabled Parents Low income 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. Modernise ICT facilities 1. Keep them all open 2. Encourage use by children & young people 3. Closer integration with schools 1. Keep them all open 2. Closer integration with schools 3. Modernise ICT facilities 35 Conclusions Themes This report gives a sense of the rich and varied use of libraries, but also a sense of their future potential. Through the research, several recurring themes have emerged: The role of libraries within communities The divergent needs of library users Repeatedly, the responses in this research highlight a desire for libraries to be venues for events, and the focus of activity within a community. However, current uptake of activities within libraries is very low. The implication is that libraries must do more to host events that will appeal to people in their area, and to make them aware of it. There is also a untapped willingness to volunteer or engage with events at libraries among a smaller group of citizens, which libraries should try to enlist. Two competing views of libraries emerged from the research The conflict between local and specialist Ease of access is a repeated theme. For those who are better able to visit libraries in the daytime, location is key. Indeed, for some people a visit to the library is an important way to combat isolation. However others are put off using libraries by inconvenient hours, lack of available stock or the perceived limitations of services. One way to approach this conundrum is an enhanced online presence for libraries. However it is clear that citizens need a new vision of libraries to be strongly and repeatedly articulated to change their long-ingrained perceptions of the service and what it can offer them. Ideas such as home delivery for book loans, for example, may simply be too novel for citizens to grasp without a clearer explanation. • ‘The same, but better’: libraries with enhanced collections and opening hours, but no change to the quiet atmosphere or colocation with other services. This direction appeals to current users and older people in particular • ‘Libraries as social spaces’: libraries for which book lending is part of a portfolio of community services, including enhanced ICT, events, support for working, and crucially the ability to socialise. This direction holds more appeal to BME groups, women, young people and non-users of libraries The disconnect between ideal and reality For many respondents, there appears to be a disconnect between their idealised view of libraries, and the reality of their own library usage. Thus, while all can agree that libraries are important to society, for many this does not translate into visits. Online booksellers and the internet are part of the reason, but there is also a lack of awareness of services that libraries offer: many of the proposed suggestions were for services that already exist in libraries. 37 Themes In many respects, the themes in this research echo those in Carnegie UK’s Speaking Volumes report: Libraries as social and community hubs Libraries as cultural centres Libraries hold a central place in communities; indeed, many respondents would like them to have an even more prominent role. They act as a point of access for citizens who might otherwise find it difficult to engage, such as older people or non English-speaking parents. For some citizens, libraries could do more to facilitate community engagement (for example, through making it easier to set up and take part in groups), or to host events (such as book clubs). At present, libraries ability to act as social spaces can feel compromised by their perception as ‘quiet’ spaces and lack of catering, toilets and designated areas for interaction. Libraries’ status as cultural resources feels self-evident in the great majority of responses, particularly among more regular visitors. For this core of users, library services centre on lending books. For others, particularly younger people, non-users, and those in higher income households, libraries importance is less well-established: these citizens have other ways of supporting their cultural needs. However there remains a wider untapped interest in cultural events such as festivals or meeting authors, and which ties into interest in libraries as social hubs. Libraries for learning Bristol’s libraries act as a conduit to learning across different age groups and needs. For young people, libraries can provide a quiet ‘third space’ away from school and home. For adults, libraries offer a route to explore topics of interest, especially where the internet is unavailable or inadequate. A small minority use libraries as a venue for classes or interest groups. Taken together, these different strands of learning show the breadth of need; similarly, this varied set of learners make use of different channels (e.g. face-to-face in groups, internet / PCs and books). Libraries as economic enablers While Bristol’s libraries are not regarded as workplaces by the great majority of respondents, they have an important role to play in helping citizens who want to develop their skills or find work. Libraries provide a valuable basic infrastructure for those who lack ICT access elsewhere. In many cases, citizens conflate study and work; in either case, libraries offer a space for quiet productivity as well as tools such as PCs, Wi-Fi, printing. 38 The needs of different groups Finally, the differences and points of agreement between the needs of some groups came through strongly, while others (such as LGBT people and those with religious beliefs) were less distinct from users and non-users as a whole. Drawing on the full range of methodologies employed in the research, the dominant themes for individual groups were: Older people • • • • Continued access to book lending A physical space to spend time around other people and engage in the community, which is nonetheless not overly noisy Access to information about events and neighbourhood news Easy access and proximity to the home BME people • • • • Libraries that function as spaces to socialise with friends and colleagues Connections between libraries and other organisations / services within the community Modern, welcoming buildings Books and courses for people with English as a second language Younger people • • • • Study / work space Modern, welcoming venues for meeting other people Access to ICT facilities, particularly Wi-Fi Easy access via public transport or walking, including from universities, schools and colleges Parents • • • • Relatively noisy, lively libraries Children’s events and play areas Closer integration with other services, such as schools or health centres Continued access to book borrowing for children Disabled people • • • • • Accessible buildings and facilities (e.g. signage, toilets) Accessible stock and ICT services Easy parking A safe space to visit, to reduce social isolation and increase access to events Co-location with other services People on low incomes • • • • Continued access to book lending Easy access via walking Free ICT facilities For those who are unemployed, a space to search for work and access training 39 Appendix 1 Differences between groups: What users do in libraries The importance of individual services Increasing use of libraries How citizens want libraries to change Travelling to the library What do users do in libraries? Browse the books Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Borrow the books 51% 40% 57% 38% 45% 41% 52% 39% 39% 42% 48% 46% 50% 39% 49% 45% 42% 47% 51% 38% 48% 47% 50% 44% Find out about local news & events Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 15% 36% 18% 12% 43% 29% 14% 37% 22% 28% 21% 8% 38% 35% 20% 6% 41% 44% 13% 35% 23% 17% 45% 44% Read books Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 46% 39% 60% 32% 36% 42% 51% 35% 40% 46% 44% 40% 50% 38% 50% 39% 35% 20% 42% 40% 57% 46% 34% 40% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 18% 45% 22% 14% 49% 40% 20% 45% 30% 42% 18% 51% 20% 47% 21% 24% 19% 16% 19% 44% 29% 46% 45% 45% Read newspapers/magazines Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 14% 35% 17% 10% 44% 27% 11% 32% 20% 23% 7% 31% Every visit 23% Some visits 33% 16% 6% 35% 44% 12% 20% 18% 34% 42% 39% Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 41 What do users do in libraries? Go and relax Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Take children to read / borrow books 12% 35% 14% 43% 10% 28% 14% 35% 23% 36% 17% 42% 12% 37% 16% 36% 6% 38% 13% 36% 10% 42% 14% 38% Use library computers Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 9% 34% 9% 27% 8% 28% 8% 38% 13% 5% 41% 28% 8% 30% 19% 7% 11% 11% 20% 24% 22% 29% 18% 20% 23% 25% 22% 30% 8% 33% 45% 20% 36% 27% 7% 13% 23% 3% 25% 23% 13% 23% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 5% 35% 6% 45% 4% 25% 7% 35% 8% 42% 4% 26% 4% 42% 5% 34% 44% 5% 5% 38% 21% 6% 34% Print 30% 8% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Borrow a DVD 38% 31% 27% 37% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 7% 30% 6% 37% 8% 23% 8% 32% 6% 39% 16% 3% Some visits 25% 7% 35% 20% 7% 8% 8% Every visit 25% 40% 28% 38% 42% Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 42 What do users do in libraries? Study Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Use free Wi-Fi 7% 30% 8% 32% 6% 28% 5% 32% 13% 21% 16% 36% 6% 25% 5% 32% 31% 7% 32% 8% 25% 10% 36% Children’s storytime or activity Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 5% 24% 6% 4% 5% 26% 22% 24% 7% 35% 2% 13% 11% 47% 4% 27% 25% 5% 2% 12% 2% 20% 26% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Do some work 11% 23% 13% 23% 9% 23% 10% 19% 17% 19% 23% 7% 28% 25% 12% 18% 33% 12% 8% 26% 15% 8% 27% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 6% 26% 7% 4% 30% 22% 5% 28% 14% 25% 9% 5% 28% 23% 7% 26% 35% 7% 28% 2% 19% 6% 31% Borrow CDs Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 3% 23% 2% 30% 4% 17% 3% 17% 33% 4% 22% Some visits 22% 5% 21% 6% 3% 2% 3% Every visit 29% 25% 22% 26% Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 43 What do users do in libraries? Meet friends Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 4% Buy refreshments 20% 3% 29% 4%12% 5% 23% 6% 19% 6% 20% 3% 27% 4% 20% 6% 19% 3% 21% 5% 18% 5% 16% Job search on the internet Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 2% 9% 3% 8% 1% 10% 2% 8% 4% 18% 4% 4% 2% 9% 1% 11% 13% 3% 11% 5% 13% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Attend a local group (e.g. book club) 3% 19% 4% 24% 3% 15% 3% 21% 6% 27% 6% 28% 2% 22% 4% 19% 2% 20% 6% 22% 3% 18% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 1%14% 2% 21% 1% 8% 1% 13% 21% 4% 10% 10% 2%16% 13% 12% 5% 26% 2%16% Borrow a computer game Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 5% 6% 4% 4% 8% 2% 4% Every visit Some visits 2% 7% 6% 2% 7% Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 44 What do users do in libraries? Meet business colleagues Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 5% 7% 1% 3% 6% 8% 2% 7% 5% 1% 7% 7% 4% 2% 9% 1% 7% Other Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 8% 20% 8% 7% 27% 16% 9% 20% 11% 22% 10% 4% Some visits 22% 7% 8% Every visit 17% 24% 15% 8% 7% 16% 19% 37% 22% Question: Thinking about your visits to Bristol libraries in 2014, how often have you done the following? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 45 How important are individual services? Lending specialist & hard-to-find books Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 49% 36% 54% 34% 51% 36% 41% 37% 49% 36% 62% 50% 47% 28% 33% 38% 49% 33% 58% 51% 42% 35% 34% 36% 54% 33% Learning about local history Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 40% 41% 42% 42% 35% 42% 37% 44% 55% 43% 35% 27% 36% 47% 47% 31% 39% 54% 41% 42% 49% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 47% 38% 54% 36% 50% 36% 38% 40% 50% 36% 53% 33% 43% 44% 46% 40% 52% 34% 54% 35% 48% 37% 44% 44% 55% 32% Learning about neighbourhood & community Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 41% 42% 45% 42% 40% 44% 35% 42% 42% 42% 51% 45% 37% 30% 37% 47% 47% 38% 41% 48% 42% 42% 41% 41% 49% 37% Evening class / courses information 42% 44% Community news & notice boards 41% 43% 38% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 39% 41% 38% 45% 46% 35% 40% 38% 45% 42% 51% 41% 38% Somewhat important 39% 29% Very important 51% 41% 41% 50% 42% 42% 32% 41% 42% 44% 40% Question: How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 46 How important are individual services? Lending books about interests Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 34% Access to printers 47% 39% 45% 32% 54% 31% 43% 37% 48% 43% 37% 34% 50% 32% 47% 37% 43% 31% 62% 36% 46% 29% 50% 40% 44% Today’s newspapers Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 27% 25% 38% 38% 40% 35% 29% 31% 28% 21% 37% 37% 40% 40% 30% 38% 27% 28% 27% 34% 32% 35% 34% 37% 31% 37% 30% 32% 33% 38% 44% 30% 34% 36% 27% 40% 36% 34% 37% 37% 34% 35% 23% 38% 43% 31% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 28% 38% 33% 23% 42% 40% 27% 33% 32% 41% 30% 24% 39% 37% 31% 38% 34% 15% 37% 42% 28% 25% 38% 39% 29% 39% Access to computers 35% 22% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Lending the latest bestsellers 46% 36% 41% 39% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 30% 30% 29% 33% 31% 28% 31% 30% 32% 30% 43% 37% 28% 29% Very important Somewhat important 30% 33% 28% 42% 33% 22% 26% 27% 32% 25% 39% 29% Question: How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 47 How important are individual services? Help to set up a local interest group Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 23% 36% 23% 36% 28% 37% 19% 34% 22% 36% 37% 31% 33% 18% 31% 40% 25% 36% 30% 33% 26% 15% 36% 36% 30% 40% Personal book recommendations Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 18% 42% 22% 17% 44% 41% 16% 40% 20% 44% 30% 19% 20% 23% 8% 34% 40% 35% 42% 50% 19% 12% 40% 47% 21% 44% A place to access health information Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 22% 36% 21% 36% 25% 38% 20% 34% 23% 36% 28% 31% 36% 28% 15% 45% 27% 36% 22% 41% 22% 21% 36% 34% 30% 37% Lending ebooks Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 21% 36% 23% 37% 16% 39% 24% 33% 22% 35% 19% 43% 21% 37% 20% 37% 21% 35% 15% 38% 23% 14% 21% 37% 30% 35% Latest magazines Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 19% 36% 28% 16% 35% 39% 15% 32% 20% 25% 19% 16% 36% 33% Very important Somewhat important 33% 38% 21% 36% 20% 36% 12% 54% 20% 26% 33% 36% Question: How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 48 How important are individual services? Advice for starting a business Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 21% 32% 18% 28% 24% 31% 19% 35% 21% 33% 30% 29% 23% 29% 17% 37% 23% 32% 35% 27% 24% 32% 10% 28% 24% 34% Offering tools like 3D printers Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 17% 30% 17% 20% 17% 34% 17% 33% 16% 34% 26% 16% 31% 33% 18% 34% 17% 29% 12% 48% 20% 7% 31% 22% 20% 29% Computer training courses Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 22% 26% 20% 28% 23% 24% 21% 26% 21% 26% 18% 33% 28% 27% 17% 24% 28% 30% 27% 23% 19% 25% 30% 29% 32% 29% Lending DVDs Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 17% 33% 19% 19% 14% 34% 31% 33% 20% 18% 16% 20% 18% 34% 33% 35% 27% 32% 15% 19% 10% 19% 46% 32% 34% 36% Study or homework clubs Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 16% 27% 14% 25% 17% 27% 18% 17% 29% 25% 25% 31% 15% 33% 19% 17% 13% Somewhat important 31% 20% 19% Very important 29% 15% 28% 24% 21% 31% Question: How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 49 How important are individual services? Lending music on CDs Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 13% 33% 12% 40% 17% 30% 9% 32% 11% 36% 12% 37% 18% 34% 12% 27% 15% 30% 15% 41% 14% 34% 11% 32% 16% 40% English courses and help Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 15% 21% 16% 16% 15% 22% 14% 24% 15% 19% 24% 24% 19% 12% 22% 19% 20% 15% 16% 13% 22% 15% 21% 22% 22% 26% Lending books in other languages Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 15% 28% 15% 27% 17% 31% 12% 26% 16% 30% 32% 13% 32% 29% 18% 25% 15% 29% 23% 31% 17% 28% 8% 26% 18% 31% Delivering books to your home Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 13% 28% 11% 24% 10% 29% 17% 30% 14% 32% 19% 29% 22% 10% 27% 29% 15% 30% 15% 14% 10% 16% 33% 28% 24% 27% Lending computer games Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 6% 21% 7% 6% 23% 18% 5% 22% 6% 22% 9% 18% 8% 4% 25% Very important Somewhat important 20% 7% 21% 6% 22% 35% 4% 16% 7% 25% Question: How important are each of the following library services, to you? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 50 What could increase use of libraries? Exhibitions/cultural events Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 62% 5% 61% 5% 63% 4% 63% 4% 68% 4% 71% <1% 57% 7% 59% 5% 59% 5% 75% <1% 63% 4% 64% 6% 62% 5% Open at time that suited me Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 46% 1% 43% 1% 47% <1% 46% 2% 48% 1% 51% <1% 42% 3% 48% 1% 43% 1% 50% <1% 49% 1% 35% <1% 44% 1% Book clubs/meet authors Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 59% 4% 63% 7% 60% 4% 55% 3% 67% 4% 61% 4% 53% 10% 56% 5% 59% 5% 71% <1% 60% 5% 56% 4% 59% 4% Interest groups/courses Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 58% 4% 51% 6% 60% 1% 61% 4% 61% 3% 63% 3% 56% 6% 45% 5% 57% 4% 68% <1% 59% 4% 61% 4% 62% 2% More books Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 41% 1% 56% <1% 39% 1% 32% 2% 44% 2% 56% <1% Would make me use libraries more 41% 4% Would make me use libraries less 43% 1% 40% 1% 41% <1% 43% 1% 36% <1% 40% <1% Question: Which of the following changes would encourage you to use a library more often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 51 What could increase use of libraries? Able to use wifi Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Able to go there and relax 39% 4% 24% 5% 38% 1% 51% 5% 38% 3% 45% <1% 36% 8% 36% 2% 33% 4% 38% <1% 44% 2% 18% 10% 36% 6% Quiet environment Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Closer to my house Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 33% 5% 27% 6% 30% 4% 40% 5% 36% 4% 51% 4% 35% 8% 34% 6% 33% 5% 19% 4% 36% 5% 21% 6% 33% 6% 33% 1% 27% 1% 33% <1% 36% 1% 35% 1% 42% 1% 39% 3% 34% 1% 31% 1% 28% <1% 35% 1% 29% <1% 36% 1% Could go there to meet people 32% 3% 30% 3% 29% 1% 36% 4% 33% 2% 43% <1% 32% 7% 29% 3% 33% 3% 14% 4% 34% 2% 24% 4% 32% 3% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 31% 8% 23% 10% 31% 5% 37% 11% 36% 6% 46% 3% Would make me use libraries more 33% 9% Would make me use libraries less 31% 8% 32% 8% 19% 8% 34% 8% 24% 10% 34% 8% Question: Which of the following changes would encourage you to use a library more often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 52 What could increase use of libraries? Could set up an interest group Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 29% 7% 27% 9% 33% 4% 28% 7% 31% 6% 42% 4% 33% 10% 24% 8% 31% 9% 22% 7% 32% 6% 19% 7% 33% 5% Computers I could use Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income If libraries were more modern Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 29% 5% 25% 5% 28% 5% 33% 5% 29% 6% 40% 3% 29% 6% 34% 5% 29% 5% 19% 7% 30% 5% 21% 3% 26% 5% Could meet people like me Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 28% 7% 24% 8% 24% 7% 34% 7% 32% 6% 38% 4% 35% 8% 24% 7% 30% 8% 22% 4% 29% 8% 24% 8% 35% 8% More for children to do 26% 4% 15% 4% 23% 1% 38% 6% 27% 3% 26% 1% 30% 7% 20% 2% 25% 3% 31% <1% 28% 3% 20% 6% 31% 4% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 25% 14% 30% 14% 27% 11% 20% 17% 28% 14% 45% 11% Would make me use libraries more 23% 16% Would make me use libraries less 54% 3% 29% 13% 11% 11% 27% 13% 15% 19% 21% 15% Question: Which of the following changes would encourage you to use a library more often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 53 What could increase use of libraries? More DVDs Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Could work there 25% 6% 31% 5% 22% 4% 22% 8% 27% 5% 32% 3% 17% 7% 27% 4% 22% 5% 22% 4% 28% 6% 15% 6% 25% 5% Closer to my school / workplace Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 21% 4% 21% 5% 19% 2% 23% 4% 25% 4% 25% 3% 25% 7% 24% 3% 19% 3% 35% <1% 24% 4% 10% 2% 21% 4% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Could get health information 25% 5% 18% 7% 25% 3% 30% 5% 24% 4% 34% 1% 22% 10% 27% 3% 24% 4% 19% <1% 28% 4% 9% 8% 22% 6% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 22% 11% 19% 17% 25% 7% 20% 10% 26% 10% 26% 8% 29% 13% 21% 10% 25% 11% 26% 4% 21% 11% 24% 11% 27% 9% Could study there Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 19% 5% 18% 7% 14% 2% 27% 6% 21% 4% 32% <1% Would make me use libraries more 22% 8% Would make me use libraries less 18% 4% 22% 5% 15% <1% 21% 4% 12% 9% 20% 6% Question: Which of the following changes would encourage you to use a library more often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 54 What could increase use of libraries? Located with school or leisure centre Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 15% 31% 15% 36% 14% 30% 15% 26% 17% 28% 24% 33% 14% 37% 27% 23% 16% 29% 11% 30% 16% 32% 6% 28% 14% 34% Located with Job Centre / council Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 9% 40% 8% 52% 9% 38% 9% 32% 9% 37% 13% 48% 13% 37% 9% 39% 11% 36% 11% 37% 9% 42% 8% 31% 13% 41% If they weren’t quiet places Overall Frequent user Occasional user Non-user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 7% 43% 6% 51% 7% 43% 8% 38% 10% 41% 11% 49% 7% 37% 9% 39% 9% 42% 0% 65% 7% 44% 5% 46% 6% 43% Would make me use libraries more Would make me use libraries less Question: Which of the following changes would encourage you to use a library more often? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 55 How do citizens want libraries to change? I have no problem finding the information I need on the internet If I need a book, I buy it Overall 64% 12% Overall 83% 8% Agree Heavy user 39% 25% Heavy user 78% 11% Disagree Light user 64% 9% Light user 81% 8% Non-user 83% 5% Non-user 87% 4% Female 60% 14% Female 83% 7% BME 69% 13% BME 87% 7% Disabled 59% 12% Disabled Parent 66% 12% Parent 88% 3% Religious 62% 14% Religious 78% 11% LGB 50% 14% LGB 79% 7% Adult 66% 12% Adult 88% 4% Older people 59% 12% Older people 66% 20% Low income 59% 15% Low income 74% 12% Medium income 67% 10% Medium income 91% 2% High income 74% 5% High income 90% 3% 73% 13% Question: Here’s a list of statements – for each one, please say whether you agree or disagree Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 56 How do citizens want libraries to change? Libraries have to change, to be of use to me Its OK for some libraries to close if the ones that are kept open are modernised Overall 31% 29% Overall 25% 53% Agree Heavy user 12% 54% Heavy user 18% 70% Disagree Light user 29% 27% Light user 23% 55% Non-user 47% 11% Non-user 32% 37% Female 31% 32% Female 22% 57% BME 31% 41% BME 30% 55% Disabled 29% 30% Disabled 22% 51% Parent 35% 31% Parent 30% 56% Religious 28% 29% Religious 26% 53% LGB 32% 21% LGB 7% 68% Adult 35% 28% Adult 26% 53% Older people 19% 36% Older people 21% 54% Low income 26% 30% Low income 22% 54% Medium income 35% 28% Medium income 26% 52% High income 39% 25% High income 32% 47% Question: Here’s a list of statements – for each one, please say whether you agree or disagree Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 57 How do library users get to the library? Walking Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Car 59% 58% 60% 64% 61% 49% 65% 51% 63% 65% 45% 56% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Bicycle Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 6% 7% 5% 4% 6% 1% 6% 4% 13% 7% 3% 4% Bus 26% 25% 26% 22% 23% 34% 23% 35% 17% 20% 41% 24% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income Train Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 15% 5% 9% 8% 7% 10% 15% Motorbike / scooter Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 1% 1% 1% 1% Question: How did you travel to the library? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 58 How long does it take to get to the library? Less than 10 mins Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 48% 50% 47% 45% 47% 42% 51% 49% 46% 49% 49% 45% 11-20 mins Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 31-40 mins Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 4% 6% 21-30 mins 33% 32% 33% 33% 27% 40% 34% 31% 21% 30% 38% 31% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 13% 12% 15% 16% 17% 11% 13% 13% 29% 15% 9% 16% 41-50 mins Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 3% Question: For how long did you have to travel? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 59 Where do library users travel from? Work Home Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 89% 91% 88% 89% 82% 92% 86% 90% 96% 86% 99% 92% Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income School, college or university Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 1% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 8% 7% 10% 8% 10% 6% 9% 7% 4% 11% 1% 5% Other Overall Frequent user Occasional user Female BME Disabled Parent Religious LGB Adult Older people Low income 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% Question: When you last visited the library…, where did you travel from? Base: all who answered (909, Citizens' Panel) 60 Appendix 2 Comparison of Citizens' Panel survey and open consultation survey responses What do users do in libraries? Every visit Some visits Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey Browse the books 51% 63% 40% 33% Find out about local news and what’s going on 15% 15% 36% 51% Read newspapers or magazines 14% 14% 35% 48% Somewhere to go and relax 12% 15% 35% 43% Take the children to read/borrow books 20% 22% 24% 27% Borrow a DVD 5% 3% 35% 55% Use the library computers 9% 13% 30% 42% Print 7% 6% 30% 42% Study 7% 7% 30% 33% Use the free library Wi-‐Fi 11% 12% 23% 29% Do some work 6% 8% 26% 34% Childrens storyGme or acGvity 5% 6% 24% 25% Borrow a CD 3% 2% 23% 37% Meet friends 4% 5% 20% 29% Buy refreshments 3% 3% 19% 30% AKend a local group (eg book or history club) 1% 3% 14% 17% Job search on the internet 2% 5% 9% 14% Borrow a computer game 0% 1% 5% 4% Meet business colleagues 0% 2% 5% 7% 62 How do citizens perceive libraries? Agree / agree strongly Disagree / disagree strongly Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey Essential for society 81% 95% 3% 1% EducaGonal 79% 89% 2% 1% Helpful 78% 93% 2% 1% Quiet 76% 69% 4% 8% Safe places to be 75% 87% 2% 1% Open 73% 87% 2% 2% Welcoming 70% 88% 3% 2% Friendly 68% 87% 2% 1% Community focused 67% 85% 4% 2% Relaxing 60% 72% 5% 3% Light and airy 51% 72% 8% 5% Happy 49% 70% 6% 3% Inspiring 45% 64% 8% 5% Social 43% 56% 9% 5% Modern 39% 57% 17% 10% Boring 7% 4% 63% 84% 63 How important are individual services? Very important Citizens’ Panel survey Somewhat important Open consultation survey Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey Learning about local history 40% 32% 50% 42% Community news and noGce boards 47% 48% 43% 38% Learning about my local neighbourhood and community 41% 38% 48% 42% InformaGon about evening classes or courses 39% 38% 48% 41% Lending specialist and hard to find books 49% 51% 37% 36% Lending books to help people learn about interests (like craVs, cookery or fixing a car) 34% 43% 43% 47% Offering prinGng 32% 33% 37% 35% Lending the latest bestseller 28% 32% 39% 38% Todays newspapers 27% 30% 38% 38% Offering personal book recommendaGons 18% 20% 45% 42% Advice and support for starGng a local interest group (like craV, history or languages) 23% 17% 40% 36% Providing access to a computer (with internet and office programs) 30% 35% 32% 30% A place to access health support informaGon (eg books on prescripGon, health support groups) 22% 19% 39% 36% Helping find out about an interest from the internet (e.g. craVs, cookery or fixing a car) 21% 20% 37% 39% The latest magazines 19% 19% 37% 36% Lending eBooks 21% 18% 34% 36% Lending the latest films on DVD 17% 18% 36% 33% Advice and support for starGng a business 21% 14% 31% 32% Teaching me how to use computers 22% 19% 28% 26% Lending music on CDs 13% 15% 36% 33% Lending books in other languages 15% 17% 31% 28% Offering tools like 3D printers to help make things 17% 13% 27% 30% Study or homework clubs 16% 13% 27% 27% Delivering books to your home 13% 10% 23% 28% English courses and help 15% 12% 20% 21% Lending computer games 6% 5% 17% 21% What could increase use of libraries? Would use more Would use less Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey Citizens’ Panel survey Open consultation survey If it offered art exhibitions or other cultural events 62% 63% 5% 5% If it offered book clubs, fesGvals or meet the author events 59% 63% 4% 4% If I could aKend an interest group or course (eg computers, local history) 58% 53% 4% 4% If it was open at a Gme that suited me 46% 49% 1% 1% If they had more books 41% 59% 1% 2% If they had Wi-‐Fi internet connecGon 39% 28% 4% 5% If I could go there and relax 33% 30% 5% 5% If it was closer to my house 33% 31% 1% 1% If I could relax in a quiet environment 32% 32% 3% 3% If I could meet people there 31% 29% 8% 9% If the library could help me set up an interest group (eg local history, craV) 29% 30% 7% 6% If it was more modern 29% 25% 5% 9% If I could meet people like me 28% 30% 7% 7% If they had computers I could use 26% 23% 4% 5% If they had more for the children to do 25% 32% 14% 15% If they had more DVDs 25% 28% 6% 6% If I could do work there 25% 24% 5% 5% If I could get more informaGon on health (e.g books on prescripGon, clubs about health) 22% 21% 11% 11% If it was closer to my school/workplace 21% 22% 4% 4% If I could study there 19% 22% 5% 4% If it was in the same place as my childrens school or leisure centre/pool 15% 14% 31% 32% If it was in the same place as the Job Centre or other council services 9% 11% 40% 42% If it wasnt a quiet place 7% 6% 43% 50% Appendix 3 Detailed methodology Detailed methodology The consultation drew on multiple methodologies and sources, as outlined over the following pages. Citizens’ Panel survey Bristol City Council’s Citizens’ Panel is a group of 2,000 people who have agreed to take part in research on issues which affect the city. A stratified sample (reflecting the demographic profile of the city as a whole) of adult citizens are invited to join; the membership is renewed regularly. Members are sent 3-4 surveys per year on various topics, and have the option of completing them online or on paper. The Citizens’ Panel were sent a survey about libraries in December 2014. 919 participated, a response rate of 46%. The survey took around 20 minutes to complete. Completed surveys were matched with preexisting demographic profiling data, and passed to cxpartners. Bad data (e.g. spoiled surveys) and outliers were removed. Hypotheses, based on prior qualitative research and CarnegieUK’s Speaking Volumes report, were tested; the results are presented in pages 9-26 of this document. Suggestions made by respondents were coded for quantification, and included with suggestions from other sources in the analysis reported on pages 27-32. Open consultation survey Invitations to complete an online consultation questionnaire were posted in libraries, neighbourhood partnerships and via Bristol City Council’s Facebook page. Paper versions were also available. In addition, an ‘easy read’ version of the questionnaire was created. The questionnaire itself was identical to that sent to the Citizens’ Panel, with the addition of equalities profiling questions. Any interested member of the public was able to complete the survey, from November 2014 and to the beginning of February 2015. Overall, 4,692 questionnaires were submitted. Youth survey Young people were given the opportunity to complete an adapted version of the open consultation questionnaire. The coverage of questions was broadly similar to the adult questionnaire, but with some simplification of wording and format. Young people were given the questionnaire in PSHE school lessons, in some schools on an opt-in basis. An e-mail with information about the consultation and a link to the questionnaire was be sent to all head teachers in Bristol to give them the opportunity to opt into the exercise. 484 surveys were returned. The data processing and analysis process was identical to the Citizens’ Panel survey, and suggestions were likewise included as part of the reporting on pages 27-32. Side-by-side comparison of the results from the Citizens’ Panel survey and open consultation survey are presented in Appendix 2. 67 Detailed methodology Public meetings and focus groups Face-to-face meetings were held with groups representing different communities around Bristol. 87 groups were contacted and 65 sessions were arranged. Four organisations ran two sessions. In total, 847 people took part. Meetings were advertised through a variety of mechanisms. Social media, letters, posters, online information and word of mouth were used. The sessions took place in a range of community venues including, supplementary schools, libraries, community centres, community rooms in tenanted blocks and places of worship. The sessions were structured around a pre-agreed discussion guide, and conducted by Bristol City Council staff. The emphasis was placed on what would make participants use libraries more; reflecting back on their circumstances. Where possible, the facilitators also explored reasons participants didn't use libraries. The amount of time available to discuss libraries varied: in some cases, the entire meeting was dedicated to this topic, whereas in others it was a very brief item on a diverse agenda. As well as English, Somali, Urdu, Hindi, Bangladeshi, Punjabi, Gujarati, Arabic and Tamil community languages were used by community workers and volunteers at meetings and outputs were translated. Groups were geographically spread across Bristol, with an aspiration to hold a meeting in each Neighbourhood Partnership area. A greater proportion of meetings, however, were held in central areas of the city as more equalities groups were located there. Of the 847 participants, there were: • 479 people who are from BME Communities • 86 disabled people • 196 people in social housing • 21 LGBT community members • 89 older people (59 not counted under another equality group) • 44 Women’s groups (16 not counted elsewhere) Online Ideas Bank An online ideas sharing forum* was created to capture suggestions and comments. The website allowed users to propose ideas, and others to vote and comment on them. The Ideas Bank was accessed from Bristol City Council’s library consultation website**. Users were required to register to be able to submit ideas. The forum was post-moderated by Bristol City Council staff to deal with offensive or inappropriate postings. * http://bristolfuturelibraries.dialogue-app.com ** http://www.BristolFutureLibraries.co.uk Ideas postcards Postcards and suggestion boxes were displayed in each library, alongside paper copies of the open consultation questionnaire. Postcards were also distributed at face-to-face neighbourhood and targeted consultation meetings. Respondents also had the option to mail postcards back rather than hand them in. Postcards were collected from the suggestion boxes periodically and input into a spreadsheet for analysis along with those from the Ideas Bank and questionnaires. 68 Appendix 4 Questionnaire Appendix 4: Strategic Priorities Bristol City Council: We have developed our approach to this work in the context of a range of strategic priorities. We have also worked in the context of the strategic priorities for Bristol as demonstrated through the Council’s Corporate Plan 2014-17, where we see our work as contributing directly to the following priorities: Healthy Caring & Protecting Keep Bristol working and learning Vibrant Bristol Furthermore, we have confirmed through our consultation the importance of the service contribution to the 2 cross cutting strategic priorities of: Addressing Inequality: “We will work to address inequalities of health, wealth and opportunity in the city, providing the right kind of help and support, at the right time”. Active Citizens: “Bristol will be a place where we celebrate and champion the diversity of our population and every individual, organisation, business and community is encouraged to play an active role in the life of the city” Department of Culture, Media & Sport Principles: The Department of Culture, Media and Sport set out their expectations of any review or redesign of library services in a letter to all Local Authorities in 2010 which included: A statement of what the service is trying to achieve A description of local needs, specifically those of children and adults who live, work and study in the area. A detailed description of how the service will be delivered, how the plans will take into account the demography of the area and the different needs of adults and children, generally and specifically in different areas. The resources available for the service, specifically the annual budget The guidance is also that consultation should happen at a formative stage in the process so there is sufficient detail and time to respond, that the service offers an efficient and comprehensive library service (in line with Section 7 Public Libraries and Museums Act 1964), that the Council complies with its Public Sector Equalities Duties and Local Government Act 1999, that the council complies with its Best Value Duty. We have responded to this by setting out our aspirations for the service in the November Cabinet paper, undertaking a comprehensive Equality Impact Assessment that looks at the information we have about the city and its neighbourhoods, and also what the library service knows about it current customers. 29 Appendix 5: 1.5 Mile Radius Map on the new service 30 Appendix 6: Draft Consultation Plan Following on from the first phase of consultation on the future of Bristol’s Libraries, which was an open conversation about the current use of libraries and the future needs of local areas in the city, there will now be second phase of consultation to consider proposals for the future service. What will the second phase of consultation involve? The next phase of consultation will run from 4th March – 27th May 2015. Unlike the first phase of consultation, we will now be consulting on a set of specific proposals for the whole service. The aim of the exercise is to capture comments and feedback on the different elements of the proposals and how they apply across all areas of the city, prior to any final decisions being made in July. Some of the proposed changes – for example, the revised core service offer – will apply to all libraries across the city. However other parts of the proposals, such as how the service will operate at specific branch libraries, may vary according to the local area. We will therefore be specifically focusing some of the consultation on the areas where the greatest level of change is proposed, to ensure that we have comprehensive and detailed discussions with affected communities. We want the consultation to be accessible to everyone and will therefore be using a variety of different channels to share information, to engage in discussions about the future service and to capture any feedback. These channels include: Consultation hub online – dedicated web pages with contextual information and details of all consultation meetings, online survey Social Media – to share information and create a platform for 2-way dialogue Face to face meetings – At some libraries and via Neighbourhood Forums & Partnerships Newsletters – email bulletins to anyone who has registered an interest Printed information – hard copies of survey, posters, information leaflets Press/media – Initial media briefing event, followed by proactive and reactive press releases Internal communications to Council staff and trade unions Who are we consulting with? This consultation needs to reach a very wide range of different stakeholders in order to ensure we have a real view of the needs of the city and different potential ideas for 31 delivery. We want to consult with current library users, but we need equally to talk to those who do not use libraries currently to understand their perspective and encourage a wider more diverse use of the service. The list of stakeholders below is not exhaustive, but provides a sense of the scope of this consultation. Public (adults) o Library users who live or work in Bristol o Citizens who do not currently use, nor have recently used libraries Children and Young People, including children’s centres, schools, Early Years settings Community groups Equalities Groups Partner organisations (e.g. Police, Health, Adult Learning service, Charities and the Voluntary Sector) Mayor and elected Members Members of Parliament Neighbourhood Partnerships and Forums Bristol City Council staff, including specifically current libraries staff Trade Unions Libraries West/ neighbouring authorities Other local authorities e.g. Core Cities Department of Work and Pensions – Job centres Universities Library Campaign groups/Advocates Relevant external national organisations e.g. Arts Council England, Carnegie Trust What are we consulting on? Following the first phase of consultation, a set of proposals have been put together for the new library service. These are based on the feedback from the consultation so far, as well as knowledge of wider community needs across the city, local and national libraries expertise, and the need to make financial savings. The information presented will include the following: The overall vision and the principles at the heart of the service Details of the core service offer and how this may be tailored to local areas The different models that set out how we will deliver the service What these different models of delivery mean for our existing libraries The developments, improvements and areas we will be investing in for the future service (e.g. regarding opening hours, accessibility, new technology, capital works) 32 How will feedback during this phase of consultation affect the final decisions about the library service? At this stage we are only consulting on proposals – no final decisions have been made. We will capture all comments and feedback arising through the different communication channels and this will help us to refine and further develop the proposals. The final decisions on the future service will be made by the Council’s Cabinet at a meeting on 7th July 2015. Once agreement has been reached, a detailed implementation plan will be put in place. It is anticipated that the majority of the changes will be implemented between September 2015 and April 2016, with some longer term developments taking place within 2-3 years. 33 34 Appendix 8: Scrutiny Day Inquiry Report BRISTOL OVERVIEW AND SCRUTINY Report of the Scrutiny Inquiry Day “How do we Redesign the Library Service to Ensure it is fit for the Future? Conclusions of the Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission, January 2015 35 1. Executive Summary Bristol City Council’s Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission is responsible for contributing to policy development and scrutinising the performance of the Council’s Executive. It hosted a Scrutiny Inquiry Day on 22nd January 2015 to bring together a variety of stakeholders to discuss how the library service could be redesigned to fit residents’ needs in the future. The Inquiry Day took place in the context of the City Council’s public consultation in which there has been considerable public and media interest. All of Bristol Councillors were invited to the event, along with a range of external organisations, council officers and community representatives. The key question that the Inquiry was seeking to address was: ‘Taking into account all we know already and all we are learning from the consultation, how do we shape a universal, core offer for the Library Service, which can be developed locally and reflect community needs?’ To this end, the Commission identified a number of key principles that should be addressed when developing the core offer of the Library Service. These fall under three main themes: accessibility and location; materials and technology; information, advice and support. Key Principles In Relation to the Core Offer; The following were identified as priorities to be considered in the proposals for the new library service; Access and Location • • • • • A free and accessible service. Provides premises in convenient locations that are well served by public transport and have improved facilities wherever possible (e.g. toilets and changing tables). Opening hours must be consistent and as responsive to local need as possible. Acts as a ‘community hub;’ could mean being co-located with other services, and providing quality space for local groups. Offers a range of facilities and activities to encourage learning and exploration. Materials and Technology • • • Books, DVDs and CDs should be available in a range of formats and languages to cater for different needs and interests. Wi-Fi and power points must be provided, as well as access to appropriate IT equipment such as desktops and E Readers. Relevant research materials should be accessible, such as local and family history resources. 36 Information, Advice and Support • • • • 2. Libraries must be staffed by knowledgeable employees/volunteers. A broad range of information should be available for all citizens, including details of/access to Bristol City Council’s services, local information and signposting to partner or community organisations. Support for Job seekers is important, including offering facilities for completion of applications and guidance about relevant supporting organisations. Libraries have a role in facilitating adult learning within communities. Background The Inquiry Day arose from a proposal in the Medium Term Financial Strategy 2014-17 to reduce the library revenue budget by £1.1m by redesigning the service. This coincides with a national and worldwide debate about the role of libraries in society, and how they could work in the future. Local authorities across the country are trying to understand how they can provide a better service that meets the changing needs of customers in a challenging financial climate. The libraries in Bristol are well-loved and highly valued by those that use them, and often even those who do not use them are very vocal in their support. Libraries are a statutory service, but the numbers of people actively using libraries for their traditional purpose is very low (Bristol City Council’s ‘universal’ service currently serves 15 % of citizens). It is hoped that within Bristol it will be possible to achieve a vibrant and sustainable network of libraries which will better respond to the needs of more of citizens and provide additional and relevant services to communities, particularly those who experience more challenges and have less access to opportunities. Conclusions from the Inquiry Day will feed into the Libraries for the Future public consultation currently being undertaken by Bristol City Council, which will inform the proposals for the Library Service that will initially be considered at a Cabinet meeting on 3rd March 2015. The final decision regarding the Library Service will be taken by the Cabinet in June/July 2015, after a period of further consultation. 3. The Inquiry Day What is a Scrutiny Inquiry Day? Scrutiny inquiry days enable Councillors to acquire an understanding of complex issues by hearing expert speakers and engaging in debate with specialists, with the objective of identifying well-informed evidence-based recommendations. A range of experts and stakeholders share their expertise 37 and opinions via the workshop sessions, to help Councillors identify and understand key issues. Inquiry days aim to create a balance between information-sharing and discussion, thus allowing the broad range of views to be heard, and enabling participants to share their particular perspective. The Inquiry Day was held on 22nd January 2015 at M Shed in Bristol and was led by the Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission. The participants included local Councillors, Council officers, representatives from the local university libraries, library user groups, partner organisations, Trade Unions and Equality Forums. The views of young people fed in via a video recording. The full attendance list can be found at Appendix 1. The format for the event included a mixture of speakers from Bristol and national organisations, small table discussions and questions and answer sessions. The programme for the day can be found at Appendix 2. The intended outcomes of the Inquiry were: • • • To gather evidence to inform the discussions relating to the redesign of the library service by holding an interactive session with stakeholders, including service users and nationwide experts. To conduct a review of the Libraries for the Future consultation feedback received to date to ensure residents’ opinions feed into any recommendations arising from the Inquiry Day. To fully explore the various models of libraries that could be selected for communities within Bristol. The table groups were set the tasks of answering two main questions - “What does a core offer look like?” and “What should the local offer be for the North, South, East and Central areas of Bristol?” 4. Key Discussion Points – the Local Offer The overarching principles relating to all libraries can be found in the Executive Summary, but feedback regarding the local offer can be found below; North • • • • Needs in the north area varied considerably across the region. Education was regarded as a primary function of the libraries, with support for job seekers being more relevant in the north-easterly wards (Avonmouth and Kingsweston) and adult learning opportunities a priority in the other areas. Services for children, including those with special educational needs, should be a key consideration for the libraries redesign. Provision of community space was an important aspect in some wards, although Bishopton, Cotham and Redland already had good facilities. 38 • • • Social isolation was common to all wards so it was essential that the library service played a role in connecting local residents. IT access was a priority for all libraries and consideration should be given to increasing provision in some areas (particularly Henbury and Southmead). Steps should be taken to attract new users to the libraries, particularly students, who underutilised the northern libraries. South • • • • • • One of the primary issues in the south of the city was the provision of services for young people. Efforts should be made to offer a range of facilities for learning, training and entertainment, both at the libraries and online. Unemployment levels were relatively high in south Bristol so access to employment was highlighted as a priority for the library service. A good level of IT access was important in the south and the digital offer should be enhanced. Adult learning facilities were identified as an important area of provision, which must be tailored towards the needs of local residents. The role of staff – both paid and volunteers – could be developed so that they had a greater role in connecting with the community, signposting and providing outreach support. Different models ought to be considered for library provision in the south, including shared services, social enterprises and public/private sector collaborations. The community hub approach was the preferred option for all libraries. East & Central • • • • • The Central Library should be the main cultural hub for the city, with the local libraries offering bespoke services designed in conjunction with each community. Residents needed to be able to access library services in the way that was most convenient for them, which included a good balance between digital and printed materials and some form of mobile service (perhaps organised by volunteers). The location of libraries and their accessibility was a central factor in attracting more service users. Fishponds Library could be developed to offer a broader range of facilities as it was a large venue. Successful libraries offered a range of services and were the ‘community hub.’ Junction 3 Library’s offer should be adapted to reflect the diversity of the local community. Access to employment was highlighted as a priority for the area and added value could be gained from offering support from trained staff/volunteers. Further details of discussions and presentations can be found at Appendix 3. 39 5. Appendices Appendix a) Attendance List Appendix b) Inquiry Day Programme Appendix c) Minutes from the Meeting Appendix a) Attendance List Scrutiny Inquiry - Day 22nd January 2015 “How do we redesign the Library Service to ensure it is fit for the future? Councillors Name Cllr Charlie Bolton Cllr Jeff Lovell Cllr Martin Fodor Cllr Sue Milestone Cllr Fi Hance Cllr Daniella Radice Cllr Rhian Greaves Cllr Brenda Massey Cllr Olly Mead Cllr Lesley Alexander Cllr Ron Stone Cllr Matt Melias Officers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Name Job/Organisation Alison Comley Di Robinson Kate Murray Emily Hewitt Gemma Dando Janet Bremner Julian Rush Julie York Emelli Doran Emma Timm Kirstie Stillwell Jon Bos Strategic Director, Neighbourhoods Service Director, Neighbourhoods Head of Libraries Senior Project Manager, BCC Service Manager, Neighbourhood Management Library Services Library Services Library Services Library Services Library Services BCC Public Relations Community Assets Manager 40 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Jane Taylor Lucy Fleming Romayne de Fonseka Jo Holmes Karen Blong Jeremy Livitt Graham Wilkie Taj Butt Jordan Vibert Service Manager, Employment and Skills Scrutiny Co-ordinator Policy Advisor Policy Advisor Policy Advisor Democratic Services Officer Policy Co-ordinator Assistant Democratic Services Officer BCC Neighbourhoods Others Name Job/Organisation Knowle West Media Centre Entrepreneur in Residence at British Library Arts Council Carnegie Trust Unison Unison Director of Library Services, UWE Director of Library Services, Bristol University 9 Carolyn Hassan Dr Stephen Fear Phil Gibby Jenny Peachey Steve Crawshaw Dawn Dyer Jason Briddon Dr Jessica Gardner Angela Auset 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Gillian Seward Helen Pocock Eloise Cresswell Chris Brown Anne Hooper Val Cobbin Katy Lusty Jenny Staples Dick Penny Carol Price David Cobbin Val Jenkins Rebecca Amiel Bristol Older People’s Forum Friends of Bristol Central Library Bristol University – Students Union Staff Representation Group Staff Representation Group Wick Road Library Committee Arts Council Local Resident Watershed Community Representative Wick Road Library Committee Bristol Older People’s Forum Friends of Central Library 23 Christopher Warren Community Representative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Bristol Older People’s Forum 41 Appendix b) Bristol City Council Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission Scrutiny Inquiry Day How do we Redesign the Library Service to Ensure it is Fit for the Future? Thursday 22nd January 2015, 9.00am (for a 9.30am start) – 1.30pm M Shed, Princes Wharf, Wapping Road, Bristol BS1 4RN Key Question; Taking into account all we know already and all we are learning from the libraries consultation, how do we shape a universal, core offer for the Library service, which can be developed locally in your neighbourhoods and reflect community needs? Programme 9.00am Registration and Refreshments 9.30am Introduction Cllr Jeff Lovell, Chair of Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission, Bristol City Council (BCC) 9.35am Cllr Daniella Radice – Assistant Mayor for Neighbourhoods, BCC 9.40am Setting the Scene Alison Comley, Strategic Director for Neighbourhoods Kate Murray, Head of Libraries, BCC 9.55am The National Context; Jenny Peachey, The Carnegie Trust Phil Gibby, The Arts Council 10.15am Personal Reflections from Dr Stephen Fear, Entrepreneur in Residence at the British Library 10.25am Innovation Through Libraries – A Creative View Carolyn Hassan, Knowle West Media Centre 42 10.35am 10.55am Q&A Followed by Table Discussions “What Does a Core Offer Look Like?” Refreshments available Plenary Feedback 11.10am Introduction Regarding the Local Libraries Situation Di Robinson, Service Director for Neighbourhoods, BCC 11.20am Video Edit of Comments from Community Representatives and Young People 11.35am Bristol Future Libraries Consultation Kate Murray, BCC 11.45pm Q&A 12.00pm Table Discussions “What Should the Local Offer be for the North, South, East and Central Areas of Bristol?” 12.45pm Refreshments available Plenary Feedback 1.25pm Chair’s Closing Statement 1.30pm CLOSE 43 Appendix c) Notes – Libraries Scrutiny Inquiry Day – Thursday 22nd January 2015 The inquiry day opened with introductory comments from: Councillor Daniella Radice, Assistant Mayor for Neighbourhoods Councillor Jeff Lovell, Chair of the Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission Alison Comley, Strategic Director of Neighbourhoods Kate Murray, Service Manager – Head of Libraries They outlined the following key points: The service currently offers a wide range of different services in addition to loaning books (e.g. e-books, reading challenges for children, digital access), but only 14% of the city’s population were currently using the service. There is a lack of awareness of what the service offers, which may be one reason for the decreasing usage The extensive nature of the current consultation process on this service was highlighted, which could be used as a model for future consultations There is a need for libraries to improve in reflecting the diversity of the city The importance of the proposed revenue reduction to the library service (£1.1 Million) The rise of new technology was vital in library development and identifying their role in a digital future. As most libraries were single buildings, alternative uses needed to be considered, including more imaginative uses of library space The options for 24-hour usage of libraries were important Key speakers then presented on the following themes: Jenny Peachey – The Carnegie Trust This organisation was set up in 1930 and had resulted in the creation of over 100 libraries. Following the completion of the Trust’s work, it had disengaged from libraries in 1950 and had then re-engaged in 2000. The Trust was currently working with the Scottish Library and Information Council to develop Scottish Libraries. The presentation referenced a recent poll on attitudes to and use of public library services. This information can be viewed via the following link: Carnegie Trust Factsheet 44 Phil Gibby – Area Director, the Arts Council of England The Arts Council had taken on the national development role for libraries three years ago. The presentation emphasised the need for libraries to “Think digital, think community.” The future of libraries had been discussed as part of a report entitled “Envisaging Libraries of the Future” which set out several key elements for a library. It also referenced the Arts Council’s work on research called ‘Envisioning Libraries of the Future’. Full details on this research can be found via this link: The Arts Council - Libraries of the Future The following case studies were mentioned as examples of different ways of delivering library services: Social enterprise in Lewisham Public Service mutual in York Trust model in use at Winchester Discovery Centre Library with hotel and cultural embassy at the Lloyd Hotel and Cultural Embassy, Amsterdam Dr Stephen Fear – Entrepreneur in Residence at British Library Dr Fear spoke about the powerful role of libraries in educating young people. He also explored the developments in hybrid public/private facilities (referencing the successful partnership model between the library, Borders and Starbucks in Connecticut, US). Carolyn Hassan – Knowle West Media Centre (KWMC) This presentation highlighted the current activities taking place at Knowle West Media Centre, aiming to address some key concerns for the city and how this could be reflected in a future library service: Bristol was the only major city in the UK where there was growing health and wealth inequality; Digital inclusion was important to avoid social exclusion for certain communities; Providing opportunities to learn about areas which had not traditionally been used for such purposes ie DIY; how particular types of machinery operated; and learning about different types of technology. 45 The full presentation can be found here: Carolyn Hassan - Libraries of the Future There followed a series of table discussions concerning “What Would A Core Offer Look Like?” from which a series of possible options were proposed. Di Robinson, Service Director – Neighbourhoods and Communities This presentation highlighted the need to address inequalities as Bristol was a divided city; The development of tailored, local offers for different parts of the city was crucial – the consultation had involved discussions with residents across Bristol; It was important to consider how the development of a local service could add value to our communities. Kate Murray, Service Manager - Head of Libraries This presentation outlined the approach that had been taken during the libraries consultation and the initial findings. The full presentation can be found here: Kate Murray - Future of the Libraries Consultation Video Presentations 2 video presentations were screened: Discussions setting out a series of views from adults who had participated in research visits to other libraries. This covered the following key themes: - Enhancing the library experience through design - Different models for libraries - Libraries as community assets - What should a library offer? - Raising awareness of library services Children from Parson Street Primary School on Bristol libraries The research visit video can be viewed at the following link: Research Visit Video There then followed a series of table discussions concerning “What Would A Local Offer Look Like?” from which a series of possible options were proposed. Councillor Lovell, Chair of the Neighbourhoods Scrutiny Commission, closed the event. 46 Appendix 9 - Bristol City Council Equality Impact Assessment Form (Please refer to the Equality Impact Assessment guidance when completing this form) Name of proposal Libraries of the Future – Service Impact To redesign the library services to better meet the needs of our communities. Updated January 2015 Neighbourhoods Kate Murray Directorate and Service Area Name of Lead Officer Step 1: What is the proposal? Please explain your proposal in Plain English, avoiding acronyms and jargon. This section should explain how the proposal will impact service users, staff and/or the wider community. 1.1 What is the proposal? The libraries in Bristol are well-loved and highly valued by those that use them. Often even those who do not use them are very vocal in their support. Libraries are a statutory service, but the numbers of people actively using them is very low. Our most recent data shows that just 6% of Bristol citizens used a part of the library’s “lending service” more than once in the 3 month period measured. We want to achieve a vibrant and sustainable network of libraries in Bristol. Libraries will better respond to the needs of more of our citizens. Libraries will provide additional and relevant services to communities; particularly those in our city who experience more challenges and have less access to opportunities. The vision is to provide a vibrant and sustainable library service designed with the citizens of Bristol that supports reading & learning, health & wellbeing, employment and business growth and free access to information, for all our diverse communities. 1 This vision will be delivered by working to a clear set of design principles: • A defined core service ensuring access to information, books and information technology for all of Bristol’s citizens, available through all Bristol’s libraries • A sustainable network of high quality libraries with local community focused branch libraries complimented by a Central Library offering more specialist resources • 24/7/365 access to online library services and resources. This includes specialist material from Bristol Libraries and access to catalogues and stock of other library services through the Libraries West consortium website • Good geographical access across the city with all residents being within 1.5 miles of a library and libraries located, where possible, near the locus of community activity in that area and on public transport routes. • Delivery tailored to local community need with special focus on those who are disadvantaged, vulnerable and socially isolated. • Opening hours which are designed to match the local demand and usage • Digital inclusion access for the city through the free library computers, complemented by trained staff offering mediated access to online information and services during opening hours. • Creative and innovative ideas to enhance the delivery and content of library services, including shared services with other partners. A comprehensive Phase 1 consultation took place between 10th November 2014 and 2nd February 2015 which included online and paper surveys; young persons and Plain English surveys; an online ‘ideas bank’; a programme of face to face consultation opportunities across the city; and targeted work with equalities communities; including 65 sessions with a variety of equalities groups and focus groups with young people. The feedback from this consultation has been central to developing the proposal for the core content offer, and the proposals for the local branch offer. This report seeks agreement to consult on both of these in a Phase 2 consultation. The Phase 2 consultation will follow a similar pattern to Phase 1, with opportunities for communities to engage through a variety of media. This will, again, include online and paper surveys, face-to-face meetings in communities, drop-in sessions in libraries, and targeted equalities group work. 2 Step 2: What information do we have? Decisions must be evidence-based, and involve people with protected characteristics that could be affected. Please use this section to demonstrate understanding of who could be affected by the proposal. 2.1 What data or evidence is there which tells us who is, or could be affected? The Library service is a universal service and available to all; therefore everyone in every neighbourhood could be affected by the proposals. It is important for us to use comprehensive data about the protected characteristics of the whole population when considering and designing the future service. We hold comprehensive information from the Neighbourhood Partnership Statistical Profiles about the Age, Gender, Disability, Race, and Religion & Belief of citizens living in each Neighbourhood Partnership area. This information is based on 2011 Census data relating to Ethnicity, Religion & Disability, and mid2013 estimates for Sex and Age. There are gaps in this data about Sexual Orientation, Marriage and Civil Partnership, Gender Reassignment, and Pregnancy and Maternity. To attempt to fill these gaps, and to enrich the profile data, we have used citywide data (where it is available) about protected characteristics. We have also ensured that we captured information from our consultation work with equalities groups that represent all protected characteristics. While for some protected characteristics (specifically Sexual Orientation, Marriage and Civil Partnership, Gender Reassignment and Pregnancy and Maternity) the data cannot be broken down by neighbourhood, it outlines the importance of comprehensive engagement with equalities groups when designing and consulting on the tailored neighbourhood branch offer. This will enable us to be mindful of all of the protected characteristics when designing the universal core offer. We know that all current library users will be affected by any changes to the library service. The library service holds data about the Age, Gender, Disability and Race of its members, which was captured up to 2012 in the membership form (not compulsory). These data can be analysed by the library that the members most commonly use. We have used these data to compare library member protected characteristics with those of the general population in each Neighbourhood Partnership area. The aim was to determine whether the characteristics of library users are representative of the local population, and 3 especially to highlight areas where people with protected characteristics seem to be under represented. Since October 2012 Library Member equalities data continues to be captured on the membership sign-up form. However, this information is now detached from a person’s membership profile. This means that while data about protected characteristics is held of people who signed up to become a library member, we can no longer track library usage, by branch. We also do not know how many people have since ceased membership with Bristol’s library service. The benefit of using this data (with caveats) is that it includes additional data for: Gender Reassignment Sexual Orientation Religion Protected Characteristic Census data for Bristol Libraries Data for Bristol % % Transgender N/A 0.6* Lesbian, Gay, or Bisexual N/A 3.4* Religion 54.5* 53.2* Table 1. Proportions of library members during 2013/14 who disclosed their equalities information. Please note the caveats to these data in the description above. * These data exclude ‘rather not say’ responses. The full data known about the neighbourhood populations compared with the library members, broken down by Neighbourhood Partnership area, is appended to this EqIA. From these data, we can see if there are equalities groups who are not well represented as library users, and also where they are over-represented as library users. We have ensured that this is taken into account when we are looking at the results from the surveys, as a large proportion of the survey respondents were existing library users. The Citizens’ Panel Survey was a key strand of phase 1 consultation because it employs a method of recruitment which ensures that demographic profile of participants matches that of the Bristol population. When the demographic profile of respondents to the open consultation were compared against those from the Citizens’ Panel Survey, it was clear that the demography of Citizens’ Panel respondents matched the Bristol population more closely. In the open consultation, some equalities groups were underrepresented, meaning that results from the consultation could not be extrapolated with the same degree 4 of confidence as those obtained from the Citizens’ Panel Survey. While we still referred to data obtained in the open consultation, responses from the Citizens’ Panel Survey were used in the main analysis, and key differences in responses by equalities groups were particularly highlighted. From the appended equalities profile information, we can see that in all areas, there is low library membership from disabled people, and in some areas there is low membership from BME populations and certain age groups. In addition to the equalities data available about neighbourhoods and library members, all of the responses received during phase 1 of consultation were analysed by each equalities group. This means that we have excellent data about the needs of each equalities group that we have been able to use when designing the future library services. 2.2 Who is missing? Are there any gaps in the data? As highlighted above in 2.1, there are some gaps in the Neighbourhood Partnership Statistical Profile data about: Sexual Orientation Marriage and Civil Partnership Gender Reassignment Pregnancy and Maternity There are gaps in the Libraries data up to 2012 about the above 4 protected characteristics and also about Religion and Belief. Since 2012, libraries data now includes data for Gender Reassignment, Sexual Orientation and Religion and Belief, but this can no longer be broken down by branch usage. As explained above, these gaps have been filled as best as possible, and all of the consultation data is being broken down by equalities group. 2.3 How have we involved, or will we involve, communities and groups that could be affected? In November 2014, Cabinet approved a 3-month consultation period to assess what different communities need from Bristol’s library service and their ideas for its future. The consultation helped us to develop a broader understanding of what each community needs and how the library service and council can better support those needs through the service redesign. 5 Between 10th November 2014 and 2nd February 2015, we talked to people both in their neighbourhoods and local libraries, as well as offering citywide opportunities for different groups and interests to talk to each other. In order to try and engage as many people as possible (including as many people from equalities groups as possible), we used a range of different formats. We will continue to use these formats throughout the second phase of consultation. Digital People who prefer to get involved via digital communication can use the website ‘Future of Bristol libraries’ which outlines the reasons we are consulting, timelines for the consultation and ways to get involved. Website users can change the colours of the text, background of the pages and the font and text size. The website also has several subtitled videos. Throughout all phases of the consultation, people can sign up to receive regular e-bulletin updates and can use social media to engage in the consultation through our Facebook site and Twitter handle @BrLibraryFuture. Survey The first phase of consultation included an online survey which was also sent to the 2000 members of the Citizens’ Panel (who are broadly representative of the City’s population in terms of protected characteristics). The survey was adapted and was also available as a young people’s survey which was designed for young people aged under 16 and an Easy Read survey was also available which was more accessible for people with learning disabilities, and people who have difficulty reading English. Paper copies of the survey were available in all library branches across Bristol, community buildings, customer service points and could be made available in alternate forms and community languages on request. In the proposed phase 2 consultation, similar survey arrangements will be in place. An online survey, Easy Read survey and paper copies will be widely available.The survey will be shared with the Citizens’ Panel, if possible (this will depend on dates for the Panel, but is important to us to try to engage with the Citizens’ Panel for phase 2 consultation). The young people’s survey did not provide a rich source of information in phase 1. Young people’s focus groups run by Real Ideas Organisation (RIO) were much more successful, so it is proposed for phase 2 that focus groups are used to engage with young people, 6 rather than a survey. Research visits We organised research visits by bus to example libraries in Bristol, Westonsuper-Mare and Exeter. These provided opportunities for willing participants from the public and councillors to see examples of different service delivery models in action. These visits were only for phase 1 as this phase was about developing ideas. Face to face meetings, young people focus groups, equalities groups. We recognise that people may want to feed back their views as part of a geographical community or an equalities group or both, so in phase 1 of the consultation a total of 53 open public meetings took place throughout November and December 2014. 22 of these meetings were Neighbourhood Forum/Partnership meetings and 31 were meetings held in the various library branches across Bristol. Meetings took place during Monday-Friday and included morning, afternoon and evening sessions in order to offer opportunities to as many different people as possible to take part. In addition to the open public meetings, we also recognise that there are equalities groups that rarely attend open public meetings, and that some subjects related to protected characteristics need to be talked about in a safe environment. We therefore designed a comprehensive targeted engagement and consultation offer for equalities communities. 87 groups were contacted and 65 face-to-face consultation sessions were arranged to get input into the proposed service design work. These groups included Bristol’s Equality Forums and Voice and Influence organisations - Bristol Women’s Voice, Bristol LGBT, Bristol Disability Equality Forum, BME Voice and Influence, Bristol Older People’s Forum and the Multi Faith Forum. In phase 2 of the consultation, based on the learning from the first phase of the consultation, one dedicated open public evening meeting per Neighbourhood Partnership area will take place, followed by drop in sessions at each of the 28 libraries during the daytimes. Information will be available at all Neighbourhood Forums and Neighbourhood Partnership meetings (approx. 45 meetings). The comprehensive targeted equalities work will be repeated for the second phase, with a real focus on equalities input into the tailored neighbourhood libraries offer. 7 Young people are a key user group for libraries and it was very important to hear their voices. A series of focus groups was set up with young people in phase 1 of the consultation and these will continue in phase 2. Step 3: Who might the proposal impact? Analysis of impacts on people with protected characteristics must be rigorous. Please demonstrate your analysis of any impacts in this section, referring to all of the equalities groups as defined in the Equality Act 2010. 3.1 Does the proposal have any potentially adverse impacts on people with protected characteristics? There will be significant change as part of the libraries redesign; there will be changes to the way that libraries are run, when they are open and staffing. This means that there are potentially adverse impacts for some citizens of Bristol, including people with protected characteristics e.g. if a library changes location or is open at a different time, this may affect people in different ways. We already know from our data that across the city, % membership and usage of libraries by disabled people is significantly lower than the % of disabled people in the local population. The consultation with equalities groups, highlighted some of the reasons for this, including: poor physical access to the buildings (e.g. signage not suitable, old buildings with compliant but not convenient disabled access, poor transport access) need more accessibility equipment (e.g. one handed equipment only available in Central library) need to do more to make disabled people welcome; demonstrating that they don’t have to be quiet in the space (a lot of people mentioned that they avoided libraries as they would find it difficult not to make noise) need for more choice for disabled people – more influence over choice of large print stock, being consulted when accessibility equipment is purchased so it is suitable The implications of a reduction in funding could adversely impact disabled users and potential users, for example if the funding reduction resulted in less investment in large print stock or assistive software / ICT equipment. 8 We already know that in some libraries the membership/usage by BME people is low compared with the local population – for example in Henleaze Stoke Bishop and Westbury-on-Trym; Cabot, Clifton and Clifton East; Greater Brislington; and Knowle, Filwood and Windmill Hill areas, the % library usage by BME people is lower than the % BME population in the area. However, in other areas usage by BME people is higher than the local population. Consultation with equalities groups told us that a good library offer to BME people would include: Diverse stock in different languages (fiction / non-fiction) and stock which is culturally relevant. Libraries as central meeting point of community /a social space Libraries as a key place of learning for their children (placed higher importance on learning for their children than for themselves) The implications of a reduction in funding could adversely affect BME people if, for example, stock was no longer sourced in different languages, or libraries with good quality social spaces in areas with a high BME population were to close or change their use significantly. In the phase 1 consultation, we ensured that the feedback from as much of the engagement as possible, and especially the surveys and face to face work, could be broken down by equalities group. The consultation highlighted that differences and points of agreement between the needs of some groups came through strongly, while others (such as LGBT people and those with religious beliefs) were less distinct from users and non-users as a whole. Drawing on the full range of methodologies employed in the research, the dominant themes that were most important for individual groups were as follows: Older people • Continued access to book lending • A physical space to spend time around other people and engage in the community, which is nonetheless not overly noisy • Access to information about events and neighbourhood news • Easy access and proximity to the home Younger people • Study / work space • Modern, welcoming venues for meeting other people • Access to ICT facilities, particularly wi-fi • Easy access via public transport or walking, including from universities, schools and colleges 9 BME people • Libraries that function as spaces to socialise with friends and colleagues • Connections between libraries and other organisations / services within the community • Modern, welcoming buildings • Culturally relevant stock • Books and courses for people with English as a second language Disabled people • Accessible buildings and facilities (e.g. signage, toilets) • Large print stock and assistive/accessible ICT services • Easy parking / transport • A safe space to visit, to reduce social isolation and increase access to events • Co-location with other services Parents (not an equalities group but relevant due to importance to BME communities and also relevant to maternity) • Relatively noisy, lively libraries • Children’s events and play areas • Closer integration with other services, such as schools or health centres • Continued access to book borrowing for children People on low incomes (not an equalities group, but relevant due to high % of BME and disabled people represented in this group) • Continued access to book lending • Easy access via walking • Free ICT facilities • For those who are unemployed, a space to search for work and access training As outlined in the Cabinet Report (3 March 2015), libraries have been categorised in to 2 groups which show how we are going to invest in the future service. These libraries are subject to a number of changes including opening hours. Some libraries currently are not included in these 2 groups - the locations of these libraries and the spread of the remaining library branches have carefully taken into consideration data and comments from equalities communities to minimise the impact as much as possible. For example, rather than stop supporting a larger number of libraries to make the financial saving, the proposal tries to keep as many as possible and look at joint delivery, shorter staffed hours with access available outside the staffed hours which offers the safe space and community access that, for example, BME and disabled equalities groups have identified as a need, while still being able to 10 realise savings. These proposals will be consulted on in more detail in Phase 2 of the consultation and full exploration of the impacts will develop as phase 2 consultation gets underway. This EqIA will be updated to reflect this. 3.2 Can these impacts be mitigated or justified? If so, how? Designing a library service for the future which meets our ambition as a city but in the context of ongoing financial restrictions is extremely challenging and there will be impacts on some of our citizens. However, we have designed the proposals for the service based on a complex range of criteria with equalities information firmly established as one of the four main sources of information; with the overall aim of providing the best possible quality library service targeted to the areas of greatest need. One of the key drivers has been the need to modernise the service and make it relevant to more of our citizens and these improvements and changes would be recommended, regardless of any savings required. We need to address the fact that we have communities in areas of need who are poorly served by existing services, while we have a much higher level of provision in other areas of the city. We have therefore looked hard at how we can re-balance the service across the whole city to find the right solution for Bristol. So, while there is an impact on all citizens, where possible the negative impact on citizens with the most need has been minimised. By doing a wide-reaching phase 1 consultation, planning an equally wide reaching phase 2 consultation, and by ensuring that equalities groups thoughts and opinions are listened to and used in design and development of proposals, this has mitigated some of the potential impact on equalities communities. The core content offer described in the report contains many of the needs identified by equalities groups as the most important to them during phase 1 consultation, including, for example, an educational offer to make materials available in a variety of formats and languages to meet diverse needs, and a cultural offer to ensure that cultural activities are designed for local interested (i.e. cultural diversity/identity). The proposals for individual branch libraries have also been developed using neighbourhood profile data alongside consultation feedback from equalities groups (this is described in more detail above in section 3.1). To further 11 mitigate any negative impact on equalities communities, phase 2 consultation has a real emphasis on targeted engagement with equalities groups. This will enable us to have conversations with equalities communities and ensure that comments and feedback are used to develop the final shape of the local branch library offer. It will also ensure negative impacts are minimised as much as possible. Phase 2 consultation will build on feedback that equalities communities have already provided to us in Phase 1, and will enable us to develop conversations about specific mitigations relevant to equalities communities to minimise any impact of, for example, shorter staffed hours at the libraries, or a library no longer being supported by the council. This will help us to mitigate as best as possible potential specific impacts of the proposals contained within this report, on equalities communities. 3.3 Does the proposal create any benefits for people with protected characteristics? Some of the benefits have been described above – specifically the new core content offer, which has been designed using information that equalities groups provided in Phase 1 of the consultation. Phase 2 of the consultation about the proposed local offer will use equalities information to further design the local offer. 3.4 Can they be maximised? If so, how? The benefits have the potential to be maximised through phase 2 consultation proposals and development of tailored local offers using this information (details are provided in sections 2 and 3 of this EqIA and in the full Cabinet report). Step 4: So what? The Equality Impact Assessment must be able to influence the proposal and decision. This section asks how your understanding of impacts on people with protected characteristics has influenced your proposal, and how the findings of your Equality Impact Assessment can be measured going forward. 12 4.1 How has the equality impact assessment informed or changed the proposal? Much of this detail has been covered above. Rather than this EqIA informing and changing the proposal, the method used in developing the proposal has put equalities data and engagement with equalities communities at the heart of how the proposals have been developed so far, and how they will continue to be developed in the next phase of the Libraries service redesign and beyond. The EqIA is a living document which is regularly updated, and full equalities information that is being used to design and develop the proposals and the consultation methods is appended to this EqIA. 4.2 What actions have been identified going forward? • Phase 2 consultation to include targeted work with equalities groups (with development of this work to hopefully include more groups in the next phase of consultation) • Phase 2 consultation to ensure access to all materials is available to all citizens through providing different media and formats of information • Equalities information to continue to be one of the four main areas of information that is used to develop further proposals • To ensure that the targeted equalities work in phase 2 consultation helps to inform the details of the redesign moving forward; i.e., informing what investment might be recommended for future library improvements; informing the details of the locally tailored offer to ensure that it serves the widest possible local community. 4.3 How will the impact of your proposal and actions be measured moving forward? This EqIA will be updated alongside development of proposals as a living document. A cumulative impact assessment will be produced as part of the July cabinet report when the final proposals are presented for decision. Service Director Sign-Off: Di Robinson Date:20/2/2015 Equalities Officer Sign Off: Anne James Date:20/2/2015 13 12/02/2015 Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Ashley, Easton & Lawrence Hill • Junction 3 • St Pauls Junction 3 and St Pauls libraries are located within the boundaries of Ashley, Easton & Lawrence Hill Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Ashley, Easton & Lawrence Hill NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for Trinity Road library, which has since been replaced by Junction 3 library. The libraries data covers the 12 month period to April 2012, this is before Junction 3 library was opened, and Trinity Road library was closed. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Percentage of library users who are… Trinity Road (now Junction 3) Female 55.4% 58.0% 48.1% Disabled 2.4% 1.7% 15.5% Aged 0-15 46.7% 44.8% 22.2% Aged 16-25 10.8% 10.2% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 38.0% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 4.5% Aged over 65 BME Religion (any)*** - - - NP Area Population** - 14.6% - 55.9% 41.8% - - - 3.3% - 59.0% - St Pauls - - 58.8% - - 7.3% 43.8% - 55.9% 34.0% library users were Black/Black British at Trinity Road and 42.2% at St Pauls library. 18.1% were Asian/Asian British at Trinity Road and 9.1% at St Pauls library. 5.9% were Mixed at Trinity Road, and 7% at St Pauls library. Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ 1 12/02/2015 What do we know about the Ashley, Easton & Lawrence Hill Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population A fifth (18%) of the people living in Bristol who cannot speak English or cannot speak English very well live in Lawrence Hill ward. The NP has a young age profile with a higher than average proportion children 22% (Bristol average 18%) and lower than average proportion of older people 7% (Bristol average 13%). Almost a third (30%) of people not born in the UK (Bristol average 15%) Highest proportion of non-Christians including the highest proportion of Muslims at 21% (Bristol average 5%) and the highest proportion of people with ‘other religions’ How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Ashley, Easton & Lawrence Hill Neighbourhood Partnership area? Lawrence Hill is the only ward in the city where the majority of the population belong to a BME group. In 2001 the BME population made up 32% of all people compared to 55% in 2011 Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? In Ashley an above average proportion of residents feel they get on well together. Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 Level 4+ with English and Maths) is improving in Easton and Ashley and is close to the city average. In Lawrence Hill, despite general improvement in the last 12 years, attainment dropped in 2011 and 2012. Low levels of community cohesion exist in Lawrence Hill (sense of belonging, respect and trust) and residents are less satisfied with the neighbourhood generally compared to the rest of the city. Educational attainment rate at 16 (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) is improving and is very similar to the city average in Ashley and Easton, and below average in Lawrence Hill Residents feel most safe in Ashley and fear of crime in the neighbourhood is more common in Easton and Lawrence Hill. 2 12/02/2015 Case Studies: What groups are being run from library branches? Case Study: ESOL classes • Run by private tutor who is engaged and funded by the Junction 3 Community Interest Company (J3 CIC). Case Study: Financial budgeting advice • Run from Junction 3 (J3) Library. • Around 20 people attend weekly and the courses are on a rolling programme. • Run by Pennywise, for people in social housing. • Clients self-refer for advice by calling advice worker to set up meeting at J3. • Classes cover the absolute basics for people with no English and there is also a follow-on class for help with literacy and numeracy. • J3 CIC also funds a crèche to help parents attend. Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Avonmouth & Kingsweston • • • • Avonmouth Lawrence Weston Sea Mills Shirehampton Avonmouth, Lawrence Weston, Sea Mills and Shirehampton libraries are located within the boundaries of Avonmouth & Kingsweston Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Avonmouth & Kingsweston NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 3 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Percentage of library users who are… Avonmouth 63.3% Female Lawrence Weston 61.0% Sea Mills 61.3% Shirehampton NP Area Population** 61.7% 51.5% Disabled 3.8% 5.6% 4.3% 5.1% 20.7% Aged 0-15 36.7% 26.9% 41.4% 34.5% 21.3% Aged 16-25 7.3% 11.8% 4.8% 6.4% - Aged 16-24 - - Aged 26 – 60 38.5% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 17.6% Aged over 65 - - Religion (any)*** - - - - - - - - - - - - 11.5% - - 51.0% - 16.2% 28.7% - 5.3% - 30.4% 24.0% - 10.1% - 29.8% 21.0% - 3.4% BME 40.3% - - 5.7% - - 6.8% - 58.6% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Avonmouth & Kingsweston Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 7% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). This is the third lowest % BME of all Neighbourhood Partnerships. The largest ethnic group after White British is Other White. 9% of people living in the area were not born in the UK (Bristol average 15%). Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Satisfaction with their neighbourhood is below average in Kingweston Fewer people think there is respect and consideration in Kingsweston compared to other wards Satisfaction with leisure facilities for teenagers and older people is below average. 4 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Avonmouth & Kingsweston? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 Level 4+ with English and Maths) is improving overall. This rate is similar to the city average in both wards. Educational attainment rate at 16 (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) is improving. The rate in 2012 is higher than the city average in Avonmouth and just below in Kingsweston. Case Study: Silver Surfers Sessions • Run at Sea Mills Library by UWE students • One-to-one drop-in sessions to provide older people with support in using computers Case Study: Therapeutic Reading Group • Run at Sea Mills Library • Run by a volunteer (recruited via the Reading Promotion Manager) • 4-5 people attend Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Bishopston, Cotham & Redland • Cheltenham Road Cheltenham Road Library is located within the boundaries of Bishopston, Cotham & Redland Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Bishopston, Cotham & Redland NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for Cheltenham Road branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 5 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Percentage of library users who are… Cheltenham Road Library Female 60.2% 48.4% Disabled 2.4% 9.6% Aged 0-15 29.1% 15.5% Aged 16-25 8.8% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 50.0% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 12.0% Aged over 65 BME Religion (any) - - 23.3% - 53.2 - - 10.5% - NP Area Population** 8.0% 10.2% - 42.4% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Bishopston, Cotham & Redland Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 93% of the population are aged under 65 (Bristol average 87%). More than half of usual residents in Cotham ward (52%) are aged 18-30 years (Bristol average 25%). 10% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). The NP has the highest proportion of people with no religion at 49% (Bristol average 37%) 6 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Bishopston, Cotham & Redland? Educational attainment at Key stage 2 and 4 is some of the highest in the city. Children with Special Educational Needs is rising in Bishopston and Redland. Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Community cohesion indicators are above average in this neighbourhood (respect, get on well together, responsible parenting and trust) and residents are very satisfied with their neighbourhood as a place to live compared to the rest of the city. Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Cabot, Clifton & Clifton East • Bristol Central • Clifton • Redland Bristol Central, Clifton, and Redland libraries are located within the boundaries of Cabot, Clifton & Clifton East Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Cabot, Clifton & Clifton East NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 7 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP Library* Percentage of library users who are… Female Bristol Central 54.9% Clifton Redland 64.0% NP Area Population** 61.6% 47.3% Disabled 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 8.6% Aged 0-15 15.4% 25.1% 19.9% 7.7% Aged 16-25 18.7% 6.8% 8.5% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 52.6% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 13.3% Aged over 65 - BME Religion (any)*** - - - - - - - - 35.1% - - 50.1% - 7.2% 19.4% - 7.2% - 52.2% 21.8% - 13.1% - 46.3% - - 9.3% - - 17.3% - 45.6% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Cabot, Clifton & Clifton East Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population Cabot ward has a much higher proportion of BME residents (26%) than both Clifton East (11%) and Clifton (11%) compared to Bristol average 16%). 30% of all Chinese people in Bristol live in Cabot. More than half of usual residents in Cabot (60%) and Clifton East (53%) are aged 18-30 years (Bristol average 25%). 41% of all usual residents in Cabot are full time students aged 18 and over. Almost a quarter (23%) of people were not born in the UK (Bristol average 15%), the highest proportions being in Cabot ward at 30%. 8 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Cabot, Clifton & Clifton East? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) is improving and is above the city average. At 16 years, educational achievement (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) is average for Clifton and Cabot but below average in Clifton East. Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Residents are very happy with the neighbourhood in Clifton and Clifton East. High levels of community cohesion exist in Clifton and Clifton East (respect, get on well together, responsible parenting and trust). Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Dundry View • Bishopsworth • Hartcliffe Bishopsworth and Hartcliffe libraries are located within the boundaries of Dundry View Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Dundry View NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 9 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Bishopsworth Percentage of library users who are… 63.0% Female Hartcliffe NP Area Population** 65.5% 51.9% Disabled 2.2% 4.9% 22.3% Aged 0-15 37.8% 36.7% 22.0% Aged 16-25 5.3% 8.6% - - Aged 16-24 Aged 26 – 60 35.1% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 21.8% Aged over 65 - - - Religion (any)*** - - - - - 48.5% - 17.6% - 4.2% - - 11.9% - 18.9% - 4.0% BME 35.7% 4.3% - 53.7% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Dundry View Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 4% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). This is the lowest % BME of all Neighbourhood Partnerships. Eight Lower Super Output Areas in this neighbourhood are in the top 10% deprived in the country. The number of Disability Living Allowance claimants for all ages is rising in this neighbourhood. Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? 34% of respondents in Hartcliffe fear their day to day life is affected by fear of crime and is rising. The percentage of people in Whitchurch Park who are satisfied with their neighbourhood remains below average (73%). Only 35% of respondents agree that people take responsibility for their children in this neighbourhood 10 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Dundry View Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment at Key Stage 2, 4+ English and Maths continues to improve to at or above the city average. Educational attainment at Key Stage , 5 GCSEs A* - C continues to improve. Case Study: Reminiscence Group • Held at Bishopsworth Library. • Monthly group with around 6-10 attending each time. • Run by library staff. Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Filwood, Knowle & Windmill Hill • Filwood • Knowle Filwood and Knowle libraries are located within the boundaries of Filwood, Knowle & Windmill Hill Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Filwood, Knowle & Windmill Hill NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 11 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Filwood Percentage of library users who are… Knowle 60.8% Female NP Area Population** 62.0% 50.7% Disabled 4.9% 3.4% 18.2% Aged 0-15 53.8% 34.1% 22.1% Aged 16-25 6.3% 5.7% - - Aged 16-24 Aged 26 – 60 27.5% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 12.4% Aged over 65 - - - Religion (any)*** - - - - - 55.6% - 11.5% - 8.0% - - 10.7% - 18.7% - 7.5% BME 41.6% 10.9% - 50.0% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Filwood, Knowle & Windmill Hill Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population The NP has a higher than average proportion of children 22% (Bristol average 18%). 11% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). The largest ethnic groups after White British are Other White and Mixed. Disability Living Allowance claimants are almost twice the city average in Filwood. Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Low levels of community cohesion exist in Filwood (respect, responsible parenting, trust and antisocial behaviour) and residents are less satisfied with the neighbourhood compared to the rest of the city. More residents in Filwood feel unsafe in their neighbourhood compared to the other two wards. 12 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Filwood, Knowle & Windmill Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) is improving in all 3 wards and is close to the city average. At 16 years, educational achievement (at Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) has also improved and is just below the city average in Knowle and Filwood, but in Windmill Hill it has fallen in the last year. The number of children with Special Educational Needs is three times the city average in Filwood. Case Study: Coffee Mornings Case Study: Creative writing groups • Run monthly on a Saturday at Filwood Library by a ‘sort-of’ friends group. • Run weekly at Knowle Library, by a volunteer from the local community. • Activities include a raffle, selling teas, coffees, cakes and sometimes bric-abrac. • Run as a drop-in, but 10-12 people attend regularly. Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Greater Bedminster • Bedminster • Marksbury Road Bedminster & Marksbury Road libraries are located within the boundaries of Greater Bedminster Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Greater Bedminster NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 13 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Bedminster Percentage of library users who are… 62.6% Female Marksbury Road NP Area Population** 62.1% 49.6% Disabled 2.9% 4.2% 17.0% Aged 0-15 25.6% 46.6% 14.6% Aged 16-25 8.5% 4.6% - - Aged 16-24 Aged 26 – 60 51.9% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 14.0% Aged over 65 - - - Religion (any)*** - - - - - 61.3 - 13.0% - 9.7% - - 11.0% - 13.6% - 9.4% BME 35.2% 7.7% - 47.8% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Greater Bedminster Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 8% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? The largest ethnic group after White British is Other White. High levels of ‘sense of belonging’ and feeling influential in Southville. The NP has the third highest proportion of people with no religion at 44% (Bristol average 37%). Only 48% of Bedminster residents feel people with different backgrounds get on well together (average is 60%) How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Filwood, Knowle & Windmill Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate is improving. At 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) and at 16 years (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) it is average in Bedminster and above average in Southville. 14 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Greater Bedminster Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate is improving. At 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) and at 16 years (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) it is average in Bedminster and above average in Southville. Case Study: Chatterbooks • Run from Bedminster Library by library staff. • A children’s reading group for ages 8-12 years. Case Study: Craft sessions • Run every Saturday morning on a drop-in basis from Marksbury Road Library. • Sessions for children aged 3-18 years. • 12 children registered in the group. • Run by library staff. Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Greater Brislington • Wick Road Wick Road Library is located within the boundaries of Greater Brislington Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Greater Brislington NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for Wick Road branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 15 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Percentage of library users who are… Wick Road Library Female 63.8% 50.2% Disabled 2.6% 16.5% Aged 0-15 44.3% 19.2% Aged 16-25 3.9% - - Aged 16-24 Aged 26 – 60 39.8% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 12.1% Aged over 65 - BME Religion (any)*** - 9.7% - 56.7% - - 5.4% - NP Area Population** 14.3% 8.7% - 55.9% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Greater Brislington Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 9% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). The largest ethnic group after White British is Other White. 9% of people living in the area were not born in the UK (Bristol average 15%) Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Community cohesion indicators are above average in this neighbourhood (respect, get on well together, responsible parenting and trust) and residents are very satisfied with their neighbourhood as a place to live compared to the rest of the city. 16 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Greater Brislington Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment at Key Stage 2, 4+ English and has improved and is now at the city average. Educational attainment at Key Stage , 5 GCSEs A* - C improved in Brislington East from last year but dropped in Brislington West and are both now at the city average Case Study: Baby Bounce and Rhyme Case Study: Reminiscence sessions • Held at Wick Road Library, run by library staff • Held at Wick Road Library; run monthly by library staff. • Two sessions per week in term-time on Wednesday mornings. • Tends to be regular attendees, but anyone can join. • Approx. 50-60 attend each session. • Approx. 8-12 people attend. Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Greater Fishponds • Eastville • Fishponds • Hillfields Eastville, Fishponds and Hillfields libraries are located within the boundaries of Greater Fishponds Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Greater Fishponds NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). 17 12/02/2015 Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP Library* Eastville Percentage of library users who are… Fishponds 60.0% Female 59.7% Hillfields NP Area Population** 63.4% 50.3% Disabled 2.3% 3.6% 2.5% 18.9% Aged 0-15 39.7% 35.1% 39.9% 20.4% Aged 16-25 7.6% 7.5% 9.7% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 37.9% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 14.8% Aged over 65 - - - Religion (any)*** - - - - - - - 14.7% - - 51.0% - 14.1% 20.7% - 22.0% - 29.8% 16.6% - 25.9% BME 40.8% - - 25.4% - - 25.5% - 61.2% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ What do we know about the Greater Fishponds Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 25% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). This is the second highest % BME of all Neighbourhood Partnerships. The NP has the second highest proportion of Muslims at 10% (Bristol average 5%) and the largest number of Sikh residents. Eastville has the most diverse population of the 3 wards - after White British the next largest ethnic groups include Pakistani, Mixed, Black African, Other White, Black Caribbean and Indian. Only 73% are satisfied with their neighbourhood in Eastville and Hillfields. 18 12/02/2015 How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Greater Fishponds Neighbourhood Partnership Area? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 Level 4+ with English and Maths) is improving in line with the city but Eastville and Frome Vale are below the city average. Educational attainment rate at 16 (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) is improving in line with the city but in the last year there has been a drop in attainment in Frome Vale. Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Only 43% in Hillfields and 48% in Eastville feel they belong to their neighbourhood. All of the neighbourhood, around 36%, think their neighbourhood has got worse in the last two years, which is above average. Fewer than average people feel safe outside during the day and after dark in Eastville and Hillfields. Case study of library activity at Fishponds Library Job Advice Sessions Run by ‘Move On’. Sessions are by appointment and an advice worker arranges to meet clients at the library. Library staff signpost potential clients. 19 12/02/2015 Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Henbury & Southmead • Henbury • Southmead Henbury and Southmead libraries are located within the boundaries of Henbury & Southmead Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Henbury & Southmead NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Henbury Percentage of library users who are… Southmead NP Area Population** Female 63.7% 63.6% 51.7% Disabled 5.4% 5.6% 21.4% Aged 0-15 30.3% 34.1% 22.1% Aged 16-25 6.0% 6.7% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 36.4% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 27.2% Aged over 65 BME Religion (any)*** - - - 11.1% - 50.5% 33.5% - - - 25.7% - 9.3% - - - - 16.5% - - 16.3% 14.0% - 57.8% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ 20 12/02/2015 What do we know about the Henbury & Southmead Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population There is a higher than average proportion of children at 22% (Bristol average 18%). 14% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). The largest ethnic group after White British is Other White Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Low levels of community cohesion exist in both wards (respect, responsible parenting and trust) and residents perceive problems from antisocial behaviour (ASB). Fewer residents feel safe is in Henbury and more Southmead residents say they day to day life is affected by fear of crime. How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Henbury & Southmead Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) is improving and is similar to the city average in both wards. At 16 years, educational achievement (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) has dramatically improved over the last two years and is similar the city average in Southmead, and above average in Henbury. Case Study: Benefits Advice Sessions • Run by Child Poverty Action Group • Drop-in sessions. Case Study: Art Class for Children • Run at Southmead Library by library staff. • Up to 10 children attend. • Drop- in sessions 21 12/02/2015 Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Henleaze, Stoke Bishop & Westbury-onTrym • Henleaze • Westbury Henleaze and Westbury-on-Trym libraries are located within the boundaries of Henleaze, Stoke Bishop & Westbury-on-Trym Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Henleaze, Stoke Bishop & Westbury-on-Trym NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Henleaze Percentage of library users who are… Westbury-onTrym NP Area Population** Female 64.2% 62.3% 52.1% Disabled 2.5% 3.1% 15.4% Aged 0-15 33.4% 30.9% 18.3% Aged 16-25 4.5% 4.1% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 37.9% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 24.1% Aged over 65 BME Religion (any)*** - - - 13.2% - 46.4% 37.2% - - - 27.8% - 6.0% - - - - 5.3% - - 22.1% 8.3% - 63.4% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ 22 12/02/2015 What do we know about the Henleaze, Stoke Bishop & Westbury-on-Trym Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population The NP has a higher than average proportion older people at 21% (Bristol average 13%). Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? 8% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). Residents say this is the safest Neighbourhood Partnership area with significantly more residents feeling safe and fewer victims of crime. The largest ethnic group after White British is Other White. The area has very few young offenders. The NP has the highest proportion of Christians in Bristol at 60% (Bristol average 47%) Community cohesion indicators are some of the best in city. There are high levels of volunteering. How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Henleaze, Stoke Bishop & Westbury-on-Trym Neighbourhood Partnership area? Henleaze, Stoke Bishop and Westbury-on-Trym have some of the highest educational attainment rates in the city that are significantly above the citywide average for both Key stage 2 (English and Maths) and Key stage 4 (achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C). Case Study: Crime Reading Group Case Study: Summer Reading Challenge • Run alternately between Henleaze and Southmead libraries. • 1500+ took part from the Henleaze library. • Up to 11 people attend. • The busiest library in the City for this activity. 23 12/02/2015 Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Horfield & Lockleaze • Horfield Horfield Library is located within the boundaries of Horfield & Lockleaze Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Horfield & Lockleaze NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for Horfield branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Percentage of library users who are… Horfield Library Female 61.7% 49.5% Disabled 3.6% 17.7% Aged 0-15 33.1% 19.8% Aged 16-25 8.8% Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 43.0% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 15.0% Aged over 65 BME Religion (any)*** - - 52.1% - - 10.3% of library users at Horfield branch were Asian/Asian British (9.1% Horfield & Lockleaze population). 13.2% - - 22.1% - NP Area Population** 13.0% 7.3% of library users at Horfield branch were Black / African / Caribbean /Black British (9.6% Horfield & Lockleaze population). 24.3% - 59.4% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ 24 12/02/2015 What do we know about the Horfield & Lockleaze Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Population 24% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). This is the third highest % BME of all Neighbourhood Partnerships. Lockleaze ward has a higher proportion of BME residents (30%) than Horfield ward (19%). The NP has the third highest proportion of people not born in the UK at 19% (Bristol average 15%). Levels of community cohesion are fairly typical for the city. In Horfield significantly more residents are satisfied with how the police and local services are dealing with crime and ASB. 83% are satisfied with leisure facilities / services for all ages in Horfield and is the highest in the city. How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Horfield & Lockleaze Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) is improving and is very similar to the city average in both wards. At 16 years, educational achievement (at Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) has improved in both wards; Lockleaze is just below the city average and Horfield is above average. This improvement has been extremely marked since 2008. Case Study: Knitting Group • Volunteer- run at Horfield Library. • Up to 5 people take part. 25 12/02/2015 Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries St George • St George St George Library is located within the boundaries of St George Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for St George NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for St George branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Percentage of library users who are… St George Library Female 60.5% 50.6% Disabled 2.4% 18.2% Aged 0-15 39.1% 19.6% Aged 16-25 5.7% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 48.1% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 7.1% Aged over 65 - BME Religion (any)*** - 10.5% - - 55.2% - - 16.1% - NP Area Population** 6.1% of St George library users were Asian/Asian British. 5.9% were Black/Black British. 3.5% were Mixed. 14.6% 14.7% - 58.2% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ 26 12/02/2015 What do we know about the St George Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population 15% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). St George West has a higher proportion of BME residents at 19% than St George East at 10%. The largest ethnic groups after White British are Other White and Mixed. Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Only 14% of the residents in St George East feel that they can influence decisions in their neighbourhood. Only 47% agree that people from different backgrounds get on well together. Only 49% in St George West feel they can trust people locally. How could libraries help improve educational attainment in St George Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 Level 4+ with English and Maths) is improving in line with the city and is average for the city. Educational attainment rate at 16 (Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) is improving in line with the city and is average for the city. Case Study: St George Library Separate Latvian and Polish Children’s Story Times are held at this library. 27 12/02/2015 Equalities Impact Assessment: Libraries for the Future Project Baseline data & information Neighbourhood Partnership Libraries Stockwood, Hengrove & Whitchurch • Stockwood • Whitchurch Stockwood and Whitchurch libraries are located within the boundaries of Stockwood, Hengrove & Whitchurch Neighbourhood Partnership area (NHP). Census data for Stockwood, Hengrove & Whitchurch NHP will be compared against the equalities monitoring information held for each branch library. The data represent active usage (where a person has used a part of the lending service within the previous 12 months). Library usage data compared with resident population Key: = More than NP = Less than NP = Equal to NP Library* Percentage of library users who are… Stockwood Whitchurch NP Area Population** Female 62.8% 65.0% 51.7% Disabled 2.1% 3.4% 21.6% Aged 0-15 38.0% 36.5% 18.4% Aged 16-25 5.9% 4.9% - Aged 16-24 - Aged 26 – 60 33.5% Aged 25 - 64 - Aged over 60 22.7% Aged over 65 BME Religion (any)*** - - - 11.1% - 49.0% 32.4% - - - 26.2% - 3.2% - - - - 3.7% - - 21.5% 4.9% - 60.9% Data source: *Libraries West (April 2012) **Census (2011) *** % excluding ‘not stated’ 28 12/02/2015 What do we know about the Stockwood, Hengrove & Whitchurch Neighbourhood Partnership area? (Census 2011) Population The NP has a higher than average proportion of older people 21% (Bristol average 13%). 5% of the population belong to a Black or minority ethnic group (BME) (city average 16%). This is the second lowest % BME of all Neighbourhood Partnerships. Second highest proportion of Christians at 59% (Bristol average 47%). Do libraries have a role in creating safer & stronger communities? Community cohesion indicators are average or just below average for the city (getting on well together, respect, feeling influential, sense of belonging and trust). Perception of an anti-social behaviour problem is below average in Stockwood. Fear of crime is similar to the city average. How could libraries help improve educational attainment in Stockwood, Hengrove & Whitchurch Neighbourhood Partnership area? Educational attainment rate at 11 years (Key stage 2 in English and Maths) is improving and is similar to the city average. At 16 years, educational achievement (at Key stage 4 with 5 GCSEs A*-C) in both wards has improved; Hengrove is now better than the city average, and Stockwood just below average. 29 Appendix 10 - Eco Impact Checklist Title of report: Libraries for the Future - Proposals Report author: Kate Murray Head of Libraries Anticipated date of key decision 4th March 2015 Summary of proposals: The Cabinet Report outlines a proposed future model for the Library service, based on a wide ranging city wide consultation, national research, an assessment of the needs of the city & a need to reduce the current budget. The proposals set out a strategic approach to the service at both the citywide and local level, and also give specific details on how the existing provision fits within the future service model. The proposals set out how the service will target our investment to deliver in the future. The current library network has been assessed as follows: • • • Group 1: Libraries already delivering at a high standard Group 2: Libraries needing development Group 3: Libraries which will not form part of the library network requiring consideration for alternative use A further full public consultation on the specific proposals for all the libraries across the city is planned for 4th March – 27th May 2015. Will the proposal impact Yes/ +ive on... No or -ive If Yes… Briefly describe impact Briefly describe Mitigation measures Emission of Climate Changing Gases? Reduction in the number of staffed branches will reduce energy bills, but increasing community accessibility to the buildings will increase energy usage in evenings and at w/ends. Library staff are currently well briefed in usage of the Systemslink online Energy monitoring and management system. This gives comprehensive individual building energy usage stats (electricity, gas and water) and building managers should use this tool regularly. Yes +ive andive Bristol's resilience to the Yes +ive effects of climate change? As Libraries become more community focussed their role as information points for communities to prepare will be enhanced. 48 Consumption of nonrenewable resources? Yes -ive and +ive Increase I.T. provision (selfservice and broadband) will increase energy usage. 1.5 miles maximum travel to the local branch. Ensure systems are run as efficiently as possible.eg: equipment is switched off when not in use. Facilitates the promotion of sustainable travel to the library by foot, cycle or bus- encouraging health benefits to citizens and reducing single occupancy car usage and associated fuel. Production, recycling or disposal of waste Yes +ive The reduction in the and - number of staffed ive branches will mean less production of waste but increasing community accessibility to the buildings will increase waste production in evenings and at w/ends. Ensure comprehensive recycling systems continue to be in situ. Encourage reduction and reuse of resources. The appearance of the city? Yes Unkn Libraries identified as Ensure developers take own no longer part of the environmental factors supported library into consideration. network will be repurposed/ redeveloped. Pollution to land, water, or No air? Wildlife and habitats? ? +ive Community involvement may enhance usage of locality libraries grounds for cultivation or to encourage wildlife. Encourage biodiversity opportunities at locality libraries. Consulted with: Steve Ransom, Environmental Programme Manager Summary of impacts and Mitigation - to go into the main Cabinet/ Council Report The significant impacts of this proposal are… Positive: Reduction in energy consumption due to reduction in number of staffed branches Reduction in waste production due to reduction in number of staffed branches 49 Enhanced digital provision may reduce travel, for example through increased downloads Negative: Potentially, increased travel by service users due to reduction in number of staffed branches Increased energy consumption in libraries due to increased community access at evenings / weekends Potentially, buildings where no alternative use is identified falling into disrepair The proposals include the following measures to mitigate the impacts… Libraries should reduce travel impacts by providing appropriate information and facilities for customers, such as bike racks and bus timetables Building Managers need to continue to use on-line energy management tools and facilitate comprehensive recycling facilities at all library branches. Proposed community involvement with libraries should include consideration of biodiversity opportunities in library grounds. The service should work closely with Corporate Property to carefully manage the condition of any building that becomes surplus to service requirements The net effects of the proposals are… The mix of positive and negative impacts are anticipated to largely cancel each other out, so there is unlikely to be a significant change overall Checklist completed by: Name: Claire Craner-Buckley Environmental Project Manager Dept.: Energy Service Extension: 9224459 Date: 4.2.15 Verified by Energy Service 50 Appendix 11: Bridge Cultural Innovation Programme – Libraries Consultation with Schools & Young People BRIDGE CULTURAL INNOVATION PROGRAMME –BRISTOL LIBRARIES CONSULTATION WITH SCHOOLS & YOUNG PEOPLE SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Context & Purpose Bristol Libraries has recently carried out the first phase of their major public consultation on the future of libraries services in the county. As part of the consultation process Bristol libraries wanted to contact Primary and Secondary age children, to engage with the library design process and glean their thoughts and ideas. Through our Bridge Cultural Innovation Programme, the Real Ideas Organisation contacted an agreed number of schools and engaged pupils to understand their views on the future of the library services and ideas on improving them. We also agreed to work with named youth groups to engage in the consultation. The following outcomes were agreed: - Evidenced engagement of children and young people in the consultation about the future of the library in their area and their ideas on designing a library service. Ensuring children and young people have had an opportunity to talk about their ideas on the library, voicing opinions on likes & dislikes; in addition to discussing current use or non-use of the library services To explore whether the library’s vison of : “providing a vibrant and sustainable library service designed with the citizens of Bristol that supports reading & learning; health and wellbeing; employment & business growth and access to free information; for all diverse communities” is relevant and complete. As well as establishing the importance of young people’s opinion in this process. Summary of consultation We contacted all 13 schools recommended to us by Bristol libraries and successfully carried out workshops with 3 primary schools. Schools contacted were: Parson Street Primary, Victoria Park Primary School, Christ The King RC Primary School, Oasis Connaught Primary school, St Barnabas Primary, Cabot Primary School, Knowle Park Primary , Oasis Bank Leaze Primary, Glenfrome Primary, Brislington Enterprise College, Oasis John Williams Secondary and Bristol Metropolitan Academy. The same workshop session was delivered to all groups. Session plans are attached in appendix 2. The schools that we successfully delivered workshops with were: Parson Street Primary, BS3 St Barnabas Primary, BS2 Cabot Primary , BS2 From the 3 Bristol based youth groups contacted, we successfully ran workshops with 1 of them. This was The Prince’s Trust (The Fairbridge programme (www.princestrust.org.uk/about_the_trust/what_we_do/programmes/fairbridge_programme.aspx) Workshops were carried out during 25th November 2014 and 15th January 2015, a total of 42 young people were engaged in the consultation workshops. Ages ranged from 8 to 18 years old. 24 of the young people were female and 18 were male. There were 21 non users and 21 library users. 9 young people consulted were from youth group setting and 33 from Primary school setting. Summary of findings The answers are varied, ideas are creative. They prove interesting and are good to gain an understanding of how young people use the library, reasons why they do not, and to look at ideas generated in order to make the library service more attractive to themselves, their communities and how libraries can adapt current services and what they offer. Detailed responses to questions asked during the workshops are attached to this summary in appendix 1. - Interestingly, it was a challenge to engage with schools at both primary and secondary level. Responses from both Primary and Secondary schools were not readily offered. We made 3- 4 phases of contact with all 13 schools with offers of engaging with the library consultation, a request to youth organisations and people working young people & schools was also promoted through Bristol city Council’s Ways to Work email network (which goes out to across Bristol & surrounding areas) to engage in the process and received no responses. - Feedback from staff spoken to stated that academic calendars are full and could not accommodate workshops, in other instances no responses were gained at all. No responses from secondary schools were gained at all. Similarly two out of the three youth organisations who we contacted, did not respond to requests of engaging with the workshops at all. During workshop introductions, it was apparent that not a great deal was known about the city wide library consultations and the changes that are to take place. - Two Primary schools located within Ashley ward (44% of population are from BME backgrounds and hold one of lowest volumes of visitors approx. 3,304 to 20,759 visits), were rapid in their responses to engage in the consultation workshops. More specifically, Cabot Primary presented a group of 9 heavy readers where the majority of the group and their families used either St Paul’s library or Junction 3 at least twice a week. Enthusiasm for books and reading was overwhelming and during the session new ideas for the library were enthusiastically presented. When asking for individuals to partake in library workshops during assembly, the school’s Librarian explained that she was inundated with pupils volunteering and the group could have easily been larger. One pupil in the group noted an idea of “taking more than 20 books out at a time” and the group’s description of the library was by far the most positive in terms of language & what it meant to them. Cabot Primary Feedback images - - - Reviewing feedback from the youth group (profiled by the Princes’ Trust as marginalised, disengaged with various social barriers) against the primary schools’, it is worth noting that the groups’ non-library users (8/9 people) felt self-conscious and out of place in a library setting, this prevented them from using the library more often or using it at all. Their idea to simplifying the registration process and have easier access to membership would encourage them to use local library or central library service and linking library services with other services young people use proved a popular idea during their session. The relationship between school non library users appears to be more of a ‘comfortable’ one. Not a case of disconnection, but more a case of needing “ I get self conscious when I walk into the more free time to go, not having transport to go to the library and their families not using library services. Generally perception of the library amongst young people is positive with many describing it as a library. I wish it was a more inviting place to go” place to ‘get away from the world’, relax and learn. Young people go there to read and hire books, but in most cases they did not go there to use PC’s or socialise, but generally agreed that access to - 16 yr old female (Non library user)- Prince’s Trust to pcs, laptops & digital equipment and the library spaces could be developed to benefit them, their families and the wider community. - Dislikes for the quality of the library service were minimal, but a common opinion was that that the Libraries’ appearance was dull and unwelcoming, interiors not vibrant enough, with some libraries not being clean & needing improved toilet facilities. Summary and highlights of feedback gained. Stock- What’s in the Library have a wider selection of books, latest children’s books, more genres to choose from. Increase the amount of PC’s in local libraries and have access to tablets, so people can have quick use sessions. Better quality CDs/DVDs to rent out/Download music at cheaper prices Sell books at the library or set up a way to get cheap 2nd hand books. Community- What could the library offer families & young people Advertising the library services further. Create films/adverts/mailings to households. More regular activities for families, workshops, training, reading & writing improvement – a better variety of act vies overall. Activities for parents & children to do together ie- reading, book reviews, poetry clubs. Times specifically for families to come to the library i.e.– 6-7pm. Make Libraries more of a social place for the community to come. Cheaper priced refreshments, food & hot drink facilities . Ideas: Engaging young people Interschool reading challenges & reading competitions—the summer reading challenge is popular. Inspirational key note speakers/local authors visiting libraries offering reading afternoons Clubs/events specifically for young people & ages groups, music and film are of real interest. Keep library stock up to date with latest young person’s authors and trends. Use young people to advertise services for young people (peer to peer ),i.e.- Films/posters Design a library card competition for all schools to take part in. Young person’s section on library website, where YP’s can design book covers, talk to other library users etc. Make process for library cards easier for young people and teenagers., Issue membership in conjunction with other social memberships (link in with partners such leisure centres and gyms, & cultural venues) Space- How to use the library space differently? Make the libraries more colourful bright & welcoming– make them ‘happier’ and comfortable places to be. Better cleanliness & public amenities in local libraries.– I.e. toilets, baby changing, cafes, & vending machine. Use spaces to hold events, pop up shops, film nights, community events. More sections in local libraries, for reading, pcs, younger children– similar to Bristol Central library. Staff- What could the staff do differently? Be more approachable and friendlier. Additional staff during peak times, so they can assist people and show people where books are, be more interactive with people ‘Employ’ younger people or have young people volunteer at the libraries. Staff to have fun and bright uniforms to make them distinguishable. * Staff to have fun, bright uniforms . Summary of themes found in feedback and ideas Recognition of young people as valued users. Financial Awareness amongst young people Increasing access for schools & young people to take part in reading comps & challenges.– a sense of healthy of competition & achievement was apparent, in addition to incentives for using library services. Develop relationships with young people profiled as ‘hard to reach’ & ‘disengaged’ to break down barriers between them & library Access to cheaper book buying, film rental & music download for young people and their families as well as an opportunity to buy cheaper refreshments and food whilst using library services. Library brand & Vibrancy Digital Technology Access to more technology and libraries to ‘upgrade’ current digital services as well as provide additional resources – bring libraries digital services up to date. Library to promote and enhance its profile as providers of “innovative technology”. Library card design to be fresher & appealing to young people- run a design comp. Update Library brand and makeover interiors so they are bright and welcoming Engaging Audiences Raising awareness of local library services, through various mediums. Provide fewer steps to library registration process- almost ‘instant’ registration. Adapt library environment s to become community hub and social spaces; strengthening the position of the library as central to communities. Fulfilling the Outcomes Evidenced engagement of children and young people is illustrated through communication between RIO and named organisations; in detailed feedback attached to this report and also through film footage of Parson Street Primary workshop. A group of 42 young people and children across school and youth group settings have been given the opportunity to tell Bristol libraries their thoughts and ideas on current library service through a fun and interactive workshop led by RIO through our Cultural Innovation Programme. We have established that the library’s vision “ providing a vibrant and sustainable library service designed with the citizens of Bristol that supports reading & learning; health and wellbeing; employment & business growth and access to free information; for all diverse communities” is not complete and relevant in relation to young people in Bristol. Young people do not consider the current library service to be a “vibrant and sustainable” service and the current library offer for young person needs to be modified and updated. Potential next step ideas To hold a library workshop event or a series of events; across Bristol Central library or selected local libraries to engage young people from school and nonschool settings. The event will allow further space for ideas and opinions on future library services to be presented and will provide an equal opportunity for all young people to be involved in the conversation. To find ways of increasing range of library stock for young people; using a group of young people to influence and shape the options of stock and the libraries offer while considering the implications of cost for the library service. To work in partnership with a specific school (or schools) and its key staff and pupils – in a detailed context to develop future solutions for improved library services in their area. To investigate methods of Increasing awareness and engaging young people, schools and youth organisations with the current library changes and future of libraries, in light of the lack of engagement throughout this process. For Bristol Library Services to explore the idea of developing library presence on various social media platforms; creating engaging marketing campaigns to connect with a variety of younger audiences while celebrating/promoting the Library’s services in Bristol and using young people as the ‘face’ of campaigns. To explore methods of increasing library subscription among young people, by partnering with local cultural, arts & leisure organisations. To investigate and review the potential for selected libraries to adapt current environments to provide innovative ‘spaces’ such as makerspaces or hubs where young people can learn and develop new skills ; to research and investigate socially enterprising/community impacting models to create a robust and sustainable library service for young people and communities- using young people in research and design processes of potential ideas. BRIDGE CULTURAL INNOVATION PROGRAMME – BRISTOL CONSULTATION WITH SCHOOLS & YOUNG PEOPLE APPENIX 1: Detailed feedback of workshops groups. Setting No. of young people Gender breakdown Princes Trust Centre 9 5 boys/4 girls Date Age Range Libraries used 9th Dec 2014 15- 18 Wick Road Group has no additional relationship to the library. SUMMARY OF FEEDBACK. What does the word library mean to you? Relaxing, Reading only, Printing, Job search, Information, Borrow books, Boring, A Social place, No meaning, don’t use at all, won’t use. Library users (1 out of 9) -What do you do when you go to the library? Take neighbours children to read, print stuff out, take books and movies (6-7 books a month) Meet friends, read books -How would you describe the library? Place I can escape, Get away from the world, relax, peace & quiet. It’s an informative place, lots of information. -What would make you use the library more? Wider selection of books in specific genres, more activities for young people in the library. Non library users (7 non users I partial user- not current user) Why don’t you go to the library? Don’t have the time, doesn’t enter my mind, Moved to an new area, not yet a member, not interested, PC’s are always really busy and spend too much timing waiting around, libraries seem exclusive, Problems with membership (if I forget my card, they can never find me on the system) . The fines you get are not flexible, too expensive for young people. Its always too hot in the library, not clean or tidy. People stare at you when you walk in, makes me self-conscious. How would you describe the library? Untidy, not welcoming - its too quiet, too many children making noise, embarrassing to walk into the library, quiet, informative. What would make you go to the library? Parents controlling children, so doesn’t disrupt my time there, more nonfiction books. Quality of DVDs, games that you are hire are bad, distracted by other users, then you can’t watch the films you have paid for, more visual aids for people who are not able to read signs/directions properly. Quick use PC access, no waiting around. Ideas Generator activity Stock – what’s in the library. Different types of books, wider selection of genres. Get better quality DVD’s & Games to get more people using that instead of Netflix or Amazon. Increase security on PC’s to ensure safety when browsing & using personal data sticks. Space- How to use library space Make the space comfortable- get heating/air conditioning right, clean & smelling fresh- more inviting. Create a ‘happy’ inviting space with more colours around the building. Create an area for PCS that is away from the reading areas. Quick use PC’s, hop on hop off for those people that just need to use the internet. Create a Music room- where you can download music onto smart phones cheaply, safely & easily. Have a space where it almost has a youth club feel, but not limited by age. Where you could learn about music, play music through headphones, relax. Library staff- what could library staff do that was different? Be more approachable & respectful to teenagers. More helpful when you ask them questions. Be friendlier and respectful to young people. Libraries appear to be understaffed as never enough staff to help you, more staff at peak times Young people- How can the library attract young people to the libraries? Link library membership to other services in the city, like you do with an active Gym card. Maybe sports having access to sports clubs give you access to the library too, so you don’t have to register separately. Make the registration process more simplified, easier, too many forms, too much information is needed. Design the library card so it can be more personalised- the flower design on the current one is not really attractive. Can you choose from a couple of designs? Or create your own to make it more personalised have more a connection to the library. Music Room- see above. More digital equipment- can we have access to tablets for quick use/research. Can we hire cameras for digital projects or use design packages on PC’s & laptops in the library- learn to use photoshop etc. More activities/workshops generally- hire out the space to people to hold these. Distracted/annoyed by children making noise- so can we have times specific times, when we know the library is children free. Or can more be done to control naughty/loud children? Community- what could the library offer young people & their families? Crèche facilities while parent’s job search or hire books out. More story times for parents & children, times specifically for young people & families, 6-7pm, read together groups. Can you offer free or cheap hot drinks & refreshments in libraries for families/people that come in, so we can socialise together. Setting No. of young people Gender breakdown Cabot Primary, BS2 8 3 boys 5 girls (heavy reading activity) Date Age Range Libraries used 9th Dec 2014 8-10 Junction 3, St pauls, Central Cabot primary have taken part in Summer Reading challenge. SUMMARY OF FEEDBACK What does the library mean to you? Books, Reading, an amazing place, reading, calm, comfortable, comic books, taking time out, having fun, enjoyment, computers, massive buildings. Library users review (all) -What do you do when you go to the library? Use computers, read books, take books, home, read in the library, learn something new, stay silent, express yourself, look at the covers of books, sit comfortably, read with my family, go with my family to read and get books out. -How would you describe the library? Quiet, amazing, cool, peaceful, welcoming, an escape, not very colourful, lots of different books, I like being alone- it’s calm and relaxing and fun. -What would make you use the library more often? (the majority of the group use either St Pauls library or Junction 3 at least twice a week already as well as using their school library) More computers, more time to visit the library, if I lived in the library, more top rated/latest books, new books. (As there were no non library users in the focus group, we asked how to describe the library to their friends and family or people that didn’t like the library. As well as asking why some people may not use the library) “There are all kinds of books, big, small, with words and pictures, it’s a good place to go to relax, take your time to choose books and read. It’s calm and quiet. When asked why young people may not use the libraries the overall answer was no being able to travel to the libraries on their own and parents not allowing them to go to the library. “some people may not be able to travel to their local library , their families don’t like reading, don’t realise the other things you can do at the library”. Ideas Generator activity Stock – what’s in the library. If we can take more than 20 books out at a time. More books stocked. Different types of genres/books for children and young people. More selection or DVDs and interesting books. More educational books. Staff- what could library staff do differently? More staff to help. Can we get young people to ‘work’ in the library? Space- How to use library space More computers and access to tablets/digital equipment. Separate section for children and young people when using the computers. “The St Pauls library needs more space, so lots more people can borrow more than 3 books” More colour on the walls, to make it more colourful. Better toilet facilities. Young people- How can the library attract young people to the libraries? New design on library card- makes it more eye catching for young people. Create a ‘hall of fame’ for the person that read the most books in a month- their picture goes up on the wall. Rewards for reading more books. Separate section for children and young people , so not distracted by adults. Special guests that visit the library- authors/artists/etc. The library could create a website where you design your own book cover and you can write your own book & print it. A club that runs from 5pm til 6pm, so you can read with your parents. You could make an advert (film ) about the local libraries. Community- what could the library offer young people & their families? Club for reading skills (both parents & children) Activities for children while waiting for parents Book review clubs for children and parents Adult reading to babies room. Free of reduced price food for people. Free or used books for families to buy or take. Café facilities/vending machines. Poetry club, book clubs and blog writing clubs. Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Setting No. of young people Gender breakdown Parson Street Primary, Bedminster 17 (Youth Council members) 7 boys & 10 girls Date Age Range Libraries used 15/01/2015 Year 5 & 6 Marksbury road What does the library mean to you? Books, reading, peaceful, learning, words, learning skills, knowledge, learning to read. Educational, exciting. Library users review (6 users) What do you do when you go to the library? Read, learn new things, collect books, draw, homework, play on computer, research stuff, get better at rading and learning, get dvds, relax, sit down and read a good book. How you would you describe the library? Good, fun, bright, colourful, peaceful, big, has computers, quiet. What would make you use the library more? (1 pupil used Marksbury road library 4 times a week, the rest maybe once a week) Better book (quality of the books and then selection especially for children) if we could get the latest books, better pcs and IT equipment, if it was brighter and painted blue! Library Non Users (11 non users) Why don’t you go to the library? Have enough books at home, the books that I want to read I buy and read at home, I don’t have time, no transport and can’t get to the library, not interested in the library, too tired and its can be too loud in the library with babies making noises. No one mentions the libraries, I don’t see posters for the library, so don’t 63 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 think of going there, only go there for special events or with school because other times, I have enough books at home and I get some from school. My parents don’t take me and I live too far away to walk there. As a non user can describe the library? Its ok, boring, too far, it has books, but not enough of the ones I like. What would make you go to the library? If I had more time, if they had more reading challenges, more books, my mum says im too loud to take to the library and I live too far away to go more than I do. If there were posters advertising the library and what is on in the library, more services for younger people? Ideas Generator Activity Stock – what’s in the library Different books More ipads/tablets Better games, dvds, toys, comics and music If we could buy music in the library Make the variety of children’s books better “Libraries are good if you want to read books, so you can get better at your reading and when you go to school, you can move up levels very quickly and become a good reader!” Member of Youth Council, Parson Street Primary School. Staff- what could library staff do differently? If there were more staff to help If they were friendlier Young people- How can the library attract young people to the libraries? 64 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Clubs for young people, film clubs, reading clubs, magic clubs, magic events. Themed sections and each section is customised according the theme- ie Harry potter, Easter, etch Reading competitions to get people reading more, get vouchers if you read lots of books. More kid friendly, softer cushions and chairs for babies and young children. Every time you read a book, you get a stamp and the more books you read the more stamps you get. Get so many stamps & get a prize, more reading challenges, like Summer Reading challenge, more reading competitions, Story time with authors reading to them, promotional events Design a library card competition across schools. Have a library party (!) so people could celebrate books and talk about their favourite books and have snacks, at Christmas open up the library and have mince pies and talk to different people about books. Space- How to use library space More sections within the library (age specific) More tables and chair If the library was brighter and different colours inside, have murals on the walls of different book covers, More signs in the library so we can understand where to go Better toilets and a café. Pop up book sales, books fairs in the libraries themselves. Really comfy areas with bean bags, where you can read in peace and quiet. 65 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Community- what could the library offer young people & their families? Put libraries near schools, then more people would go. Games sections for smaller children, so parents do their job-hunting If they could advertise the library better so parents know where the libraries are. Get a library bus to go around to different areas, so who can’t access libraries people can get books Parson Street Primary word cloud. 66 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Appendix 2- Session plan Introduction Bristol Libraries are changing. There are currently 28 libraries across Bristol; some are used more than others. Bristol libraries would like to change the way in which libraries are used and understand what you think about libraries. Your ideas are important to them. You can help create a modern library service for Bristol! Activity 1 Brainstorming session on current library use. 5 – 10 min discussion on what a library means to them. Move around circle & record/interpret feedback. Prompts- What is in a library? What do you do there? Who uses the library? Who can you meet there? Under each heading capture feedback on individual post it notes for collation. I go to the library I don’t go to the library. What do you do when you go to the library? Why don’t you go to the library? Prompts- Borrow books, dvds, cds, read in library, do homework, use internet/computers? How would you describe the library? Prompts- too far, don’t read, use internet at home/phone? How would you describe the library? Prompts- Safe, welcoming, friendly, where you learn, happy, quiet. What would make you use the library more? Prompts- Safe, welcoming, friendly, where you learn, happy, quiet. What would make you go to the library? Prompts- meet friends, opening times, closer to home Prompts- knew more about library services, meet friends, 67 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Design your own library service task. You have been hired! By Bristol libraries to create a new library service. Here is your chance to design your very own library service. Activity 2 – Ideas generator activity Providing sheets of paper & pens- ask groups to work together to generate ideas for an up to date library service. Hand out visual resources to assist in idea generator Think about the space- how can it be used? People in the library? What can staff do to help, what could they do differently? Stock of library? Different books, DVDS, games, etc What could the library offer young people & their families?- workshops, safe spaces, clubs activities How can we attract young people to the library? 68 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Activity 2- Resource b Space How to use the library space? Library Staff. What could people Ideas Generator inDesigning the library do to a modern library help? service. We want your ideas!!We Designing Young People Ideas Generator! How to attract young people and children to the libraries? We want your ideas! Stock. What is in the library? Community What could the library offer young people & their families? 69 Libraries for the Future: Cabinet: v11 Appendix 12: Map of Bus Routes with Proposed Library Locations This map can be viewed in detail via the Bristol Future Libraries web pages from the 4th March http://www.bristol.gov.uk/page/leisure-andculture/future-bristols-libraries-consultation 70 CABINET – 3 MARCH 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 6 Report title: AVONMOUTH AND PORTBURY DOCKS - FREEHOLD Wards affected: Avonmouth Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairí / Strategic Director - Place Report Author: Robert Orrett / Service Director - Property RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. To approve the sale of the freehold interest in property comprising land and building which were sold on a long leasehold basis to First Corporate Shipping by the Council in 1991. The freehold interest would be sold for £10m to First Corporate Shipping. 2. To authorise the Strategic Director - Place to approve the legal property transaction to conclude this sale. Key background / detail: a. Purpose of report: To report to Cabinet that due diligence investigations have been completed, confirming that no new information has been identified to change the recommendation to sell the Council’s freehold interest in this property to the Port Company. To recommend that the freehold sale is approved. b. Key details: 1. The City Council sold in 1991 the business comprising the Port of Bristol (Avonmouth and Portbury Docks) together with 150 year leases at a peppercorn rent in all the land used by and directly supporting the port. The Council retained a shareholding, through which it continues to receive a share of the profits, and the residual freehold interest in the land, subject to those long leases. 2. At its meeting of 1 April 2014 Cabinet approved the proposed sale of the Council’s residual freehold subject to formal external valuation advice that the payment and terms represent best consideration, and conclusion of legal due diligence including confirmation that the Council’s position as minority shareholder in the port business is not materially changed by the freehold transfer. 3. External valuation advice has been obtained from Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL). The content is commercially sensitive as publication of their valuation advice at this stage would make it also available to FCS which is inappropriate prior to legal completion of the freehold purchase. The advice does conclude that “we are of the opinion that the purchase price of £10million for the freehold would appear a favourable price for Bristol City Council.” The valuation report confirms that the price represents the best price reasonably obtainable. 4. External legal advice has confirmed that “a sale by the Council of the freehold reversion to the various leases ….. would not have a specific impact on the Council’s shareholding in the Company”. This conclusion is drawn following previous consideration of the same question by this adviser. 1 5. Due diligence research has been completed by Council officers from Legal, Finance and Property for legal and other matters relating to the proposal to sell the Council’s freehold. Nothing has been identified from the due diligence which conflicts with the advice given in the report for Cabinet 1 April 2014. 6. The JLL report is an exempt appendix and the summary of the due diligence is an appendix to the Cabinet report. 2 AGENDA ITEM 6 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3 MARCH 2015 REPORT TITLE: AVONMOUTH AND PORTBURY DOCKS - FREEHOLD Ward(s) affected by this report: Avonmouth Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairí / Strategic Director - Place Report author: Robert Orrett / Service Director - Property Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 0117 922 4086 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To report to Cabinet that due diligence investigations have been completed, confirming that no new information has been identified to change the recommendation to sell the Council’s freehold interest in this property to the Port Company. To recommend that the freehold sale is approved. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. To approve the sale of the freehold interest in property comprising land and buildings which were sold on a long leasehold basis to First Corporate Shipping by the Council in 1991. The freehold interest would be sold for £10m to First Corporate Shipping 2. To authorise the Strategic Director - Place to approve the legal property transaction to conclude this sale. Background/context: 1. Bristol City Council was the owner of the Avonmouth & Portbury Docks (the Port) until 1991. The Council decided to sell the Port as there had been a long period of substantial financial losses. Evidence was that shipping operators would not increase business with the Port whilst the Council continued as port owners. The Council sold the Port to First Corporate Shipping (FCS), the only party willing to purchase and operate the port. There were significant risks involved: (i) FCS was formed specifically to operate the Port; (ii) Whilst the principals had previous industry experience, this was a new company without a wider business or asset base to support this loss making operation; (iii) It was uncertain that the Port could be turned into a profitable business thus there was risk that the large port property holdings may be diverted away from port uses to general development; (iv) there were technical aspects relating to transfer of statutory port authority status which need to be dealt with via legislation after the port sale transaction. The Council sold FCS long leasehold property interests to provide an element of protection against these risks. 2. Selling the ownership of the Port land and buildings in the form of long leases enabled the Council to retain some limited involvement with the property. The Council 3 also retained an ability to share in future profits of the new Port Company. The three long leases were granted each for 150 years with peppercorn (effectively nil) rent. This meant that all normal returns from the land by way of rents or benefits from occupation are owned by FCS throughout the 150 year period. The leases provided some initial management controls which fell away when the Harbour Revision Order was approved by Government. Beyond these, the leases provide very little involvement with or control over management decisions affecting the Port or the property. The leases do provide for the core port operational area to continue in use as an operational port and entitle the Council to a 50% share in any value above values for port, industrial or storage uses if property is sold on subsidiary long leases for alternative uses. 3. The residual freehold interest of the Council is a very minor share of the total ownership value of the property. The external valuation advice provided to the Council indicates that ownerships held respectively by FCS and the Council are in the ratio 249:1. 4. Since the sale of the Port with the long leasehold ownership to FCS, there have be a number of approaches by FCS to the Council seeking to purchase the Council’s freehold interest. The Council has obtained external professional advice on several occasions to consider its response. The current proposal started with discussions between representatives of the Council and FCS in 2013. It became evident that FCS were prepared to offer a purchase price for the freehold interest that was several times greater than levels previously offered creating a once in a generation opportunity to be considered by the Council. 5. On 1 April 2014, a report on this matter was considered by Cabinet. The report is attached as appendix A. The Mayor’s decision at the Cabinet meeting was: 1. That subject to 2. below, approval be given to progress negotiations to transfer the Council’s freehold interest in all of the land held on a long leasehold basis by First Corporate Shipping forming the Port of Bristol and associated land adjoining, for a payment by First Corporate Shipping of £10m. 2. Proceeding with the freehold transfer is to be subject to formal external valuation advice that the payment and terms represent best consideration, and conclusion of legal due diligence including confirmation that the Council’s position as minority shareholder in the port business is not materially changed by the freehold transfer. Conclusion of this due diligence will be followed by a final recommendation for the Mayor’s approval before a transfer is concluded. Proposal: 6. This proposal has been prepared to report on the completion of the action required to implement the Mayor’s decision of 1 April 2014. Formal external valuation advice has been obtained. Due diligence has been completed. Further negotiations with FCS have been carried out, informed by the valuation advice and due diligence conclusions. 7. External valuation advice has been obtained from Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL). The valuation report from JLL is attached as exempt appendix 1. The content is commercially sensitive as publication of their valuation advice at this stage would make it also available to FCS which is inappropriate prior to legal completion of the freehold purchase. The advice does conclude that “we are of the opinion that the purchase price of £10million for the freehold would appear a favourable price for Bristol City Council.” The valuation report confirms that the price represents the best price reasonably obtainable. 4 8. A process of due diligence has been carried out. This has included obtaining external legal advice that the Council’s position as minority shareholder in the port business is not materially changed by the freehold transfer. Other due diligence has been carried out by Council officers from Legal, Finance and Property. 9. External legal advice has confirmed that “a sale by the Council of the freehold reversion to the various leases ….. would not have a specific impact on the Council’s shareholding in the Company”. This conclusion is drawn following previous consideration of the same question by this adviser. 10. Due diligence research has been completed for legal and other matters relating to the proposal to sell the Council’s freehold. The range of matters that have been reviewed is set out in Appendix B. The response to each matter is then shown in the subsequent Appendix C. Nothing has been identified from the due diligence which conflicts with the advice given in the report for Cabinet 1 April 2014. 11. Once the due diligence had advanced sufficiently, further negotiations were held with FCS. These negotiations established that: a. The price of £10m for the purchase of the Council’s freehold is the maximum amount FCS is prepared to pay. This will only be paid for a sale of the freehold interest without significant additional restriction. Historic restrictive covenants already affecting the Council’s freehold title will transfer and continue insofar as they still have effect. b. FCS is not prepared to consider part or all of the consideration for the purchase of the Council’s freehold being in the form of additional shareholding or profit share in the company. In the event, advice from Finance officers is that such an option would not be recommended to the Council. This possibility has therefore been taken no further. 12. Proceeding with this sale achieves the outcome of good asset management for the Council. The capital sum receivable is considerably greater that the current market value of the Council’s freehold interest. No income return is provided by the current freehold interest before 2141. There will be immediate return from the purchase price by reducing the Council’s borrowing costs. The negotiating position of the Council has been optimised by previous decisions not to sell the freehold, and the lack of specific need for the Council to achieve this sale now or in the foreseeable future. Consultation and scrutiny input: a. Internal consultation: This report will be considered by Place Scrutiny Commission before being presented to Cabinet. There has been consultation with the following officers: City Director Strategic Director – Place Service Directors for Legal, Finance, Economy, Energy, Planning, Transport and Property b. External consultation: The principle of this proposal was report to Cabinet and considered at the Cabinet meeting on 1 April 2014. The following were recorded in the decision record: 5 Four public forum questions and replies (copies have been placed in the decision record book). Seven public forum statements (a copy has been placed in the decision record book). The Mayor noted that Cllr Janke had indicated at this meeting that she was unable to support the decision. Cllr Janke noted the fact that formal external valuation advice was being sought and suggested that scrutiny members should be given an appropriate opportunity to comment before the final decision was taken. Consultations with First Corporate Shipping Limited. Other options considered: 1. Retaining the freehold with no change in arrangements. This would not provide FCS with the support they seek for long term further capital investment in the Port of Bristol. This would be to the detriment of the city region generally. The opportunity for additional current capital return from the property asset would be declined. 2. Alternative changes to the freehold/leasehold property interests. There could be other property title changes which would give business confidence to FCS, but fall short of the unconditional freehold sale. The premium price would not then be achievable by the Council, but the incentive to pay such a premium would in effect have been removed. The effect would be to decline the premium currently being offered, without financial benefit being likely for decades to come. Risk management / assessment: FIGURE 1 The risks associated with the implementation of the (subject) decision : No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability High Low RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability Whilst there is no mitigation it is considered extremely unlikely that the facility would close. High Low Robert Orrett 1 A sale would mean that FCS no longer has a contractual obligation to keep open the facility or to only use the property for certain uses. 2 High Further development of the port depends on long term capital investment. FCS will be reluctant without an improved property interest Medium Transfer of the freehold will improve future prospects High Low Robert Orrett 3 The transaction may have adverse impacts that have not been evaluated Medi um Low Detailed due diligence has reviewed the overall documentation and issues Low Low Robert Orrett Sanjay Prashar 4 The transaction may not be concluded High Medium There is some risk as with any property transaction. Concluding legal work and achieving a transaction as soon as is reasonable will help reduce the risk High Low Robert Orrett Sanjay Prashar 6 FIGURE 2 The risks associated with not implementing the (subject) decision: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability High RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). 1 The significant capital receipt would be lost. High The transaction may take place in the future 2 An alternative property restructure may be agreed High Medium The capital returns and financial benefit will be much reduced 3 FCS investment priorities will be diverted away from Bristol High Medium CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability Low Low Robert Orrett High Medium Robert Orrett High Alternative property restructure may provide a satisfactory position whilst not releasing significant capital to BCC Medium Robert Orrett Public sector equality duties: Before making a decision, section 149 of the Equality Act 2010 requires that each decision-maker considers the need to promote equality for persons with the following “protected characteristics”: age, disability, gender reassignment, pregnancy and maternity, race, religion or belief, sex, sexual orientation. Each decision-maker must, therefore, have due regard to the need to: i) eliminate discrimination, harassment, victimisation and any other conduct prohibited under the Equality Act 2010. ii) advance equality of opportunity between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to: - remove or minimise disadvantage suffered by persons who share a relevant protected characteristic. - take steps to meet the needs of persons who share a relevant protected characteristic that are different from the needs of people who do not share it (in relation to disabled people, this includes, in particular, steps to take account of disabled persons' disabilities); - encourage persons who share a protected characteristic to participate in public life or in any other activity in which participation by such persons is disproportionately low. iii) foster good relations between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those who do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to tackle prejudice and promote understanding. Guidance: * Insert a note on how the public sector equality duties are relevant to the proposals and how these duties have been taken into account in developing the proposals. Where an equality impact assessment has been undertaken, summarise its findings here, and provide a link to the full document, or include the equality impact assessment as an appendix. Where no equality impact assessment has been undertaken, give the reasons why this has not been carried out. Freehold transfer The freehold transfer is considered to have no identifiable equalities impact. Eco impact assessment The freehold transfer does not directly change any environmental impacts. 7 Resource and legal implications: Finance a. Financial (revenue) implications: The report contains comprehensive financial and valuation analysis. Upon the sale of the freehold assets to FCS, the current waiver on receiving profit share on revenue as rental income will be reverted, the equivalent sum will thereafter be received as a dividend payment; with no net financial impact to BCC, subject to financial performance of FCS and payment of dividends. In accordance with the Council’s Treasury management strategy, the capital receipt can be used to offset the costs of capital borrowing to significantly reduce/minimise the impact of capital borrowing/financing costs. Advice given by Date Peter Gillett Service Director, Finance 23 January 2015 b. Financial (capital) implications: It is noted that the £10m capital receipt proposed is assessed by external valuers as “the best price reasonably obtainable.” The receipt will support the aims of both the City Council’s Asset Management Strategy and the Treasury Management Strategy, and will contribute to any future opportunity for capital investment in alternative assets. Sale of the freehold would however, mean that council would forgo its current entitlement to a share in any future uplifts from development potential - if the value of land were to rise in future; the council would forgo its current entitlement to receive 50% of the amount by which the value of the land is enhanced thereafter, if FCS subsequently disposes of the land for a capital sum under freehold ownership. Advice given by Date Peter Gillett Service Director, Finance 23 January 2015 Comments from the Corporate Capital Programme Board: No comments on the proposal from the Corporate Capital Programme Board. c. Legal implications: Section 123 of the Local Government Act 1972 applies to the disposal of any land owned by the Council. Under S.123(1) The Council may dispose of land held by it in any manner it wishes. Under S.123(2), except with the consent of the Secretary of State, the Council is not to dispose of land under Section 123, otherwise than by way of a short tenancy, for a consideration less than the best that can reasonably be obtained. Valuation advice has confirmed that the stated price of £10m is the best available for the Council’s interests in the land. Advice given by Legal Services Date Shahzia Daya / Service Manager and Deputy Monitoring Officer: 23 January 2015 8 d. Land / property implications: This proposal offers an exceptional opportunity to deliver a major capital receipt from the Council’s property portfolio with no income reduction. The price proposed is considered to be the best that the Council may achieve unless it waits for many decades before transacting. Property due diligence has been completed and external valuation advice obtained. Neither causes any change to the advice given to Cabinet in the report dated 1 April 2014. Advice given by Date Robert Orrett / Service Director - Property 21 January 2015 e. Human resources implications: There are no Human Resources implications arising from the recommendations. Advice given by Date Mark Williams, People Business Partner 23 January 2015 Appendices A. Report to Cabinet - 1 April 2014 B. Due diligence matters considered C. Due diligence reports Exempt Appendices 1. Valuation Report 9 10 Appendix A Report to Cabinet - 1 April 2014 CABINET – 1 APRIL 2014 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 10 Report title: Port of Bristol – Freehold Property Wards affected: Avonmouth Strategic Director: Neil Taylor, Strategic Director - Place Report Author: Robert Orrett, Service Director - Property RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. That subject to 2. below, approval is given to progress negotiations to transfer the Council’s freehold interest in all of the land held on a long leasehold basis by First Corporate Shipping forming the Port of Bristol and associated land adjoining, for a payment by First Corporate Shipping of £10 million. 2. Proceeding with the freehold transfer is to be subject to formal external valuation advice that the payment and terms represent best consideration, and conclusion of legal due diligence including confirmation that the Council’s position as minority shareholder in the port business is not materially changed by the freehold transfer. Conclusion of this due diligence will be followed by a final recommendation for the Mayor’s approval before a transfer is concluded. Key background / detail: a. To approve the sale of the Council’s freehold interest in land held on long leases by the port company. b. Key details: 1. Sale of the Council freehold to First Corporate Shipping (FCS) will improve the expectation of future economic impact to the city region by the Port of Bristol. 2. The freehold owned by the Council does not provide any meaningful influence over management or use of the land. 3. There is no rental income under the leases which have 127 years to run, and prospects for other financial returns from the leases are low. 4. The financial offer of £10m provides the Council with a very full recognition of the benefit being gained by FCS, well above the level indicated by technical property valuation assessment. 5. This amount can only be achieved by a transaction between the specific parties. The value of the Council’s freehold on the general property market is currently about £1m. 11 AGENDA ITEM 10 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 1 APRIL 2014 REPORT TITLE: PORT OF BRISTOL – FREEHOLD PROPERTY Ward(s) affected by this report: Avonmouth Strategic Director: Neil Taylor, Strategic Director - Place Report author: Robert Orrett, Service Director - Property Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 0117 9224086 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To approve the sale of the Council’s freehold interest in land held on long leases by the Port company. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. That subject to 2. below, approval is given to progress negotiations to transfer the Council’s freehold interest in all of the land held on a long leasehold basis by First Corporate Shipping forming the Port of Bristol and associated land adjoining, for a payment by First Corporate Shipping of £10 million. 2. Proceeding with the freehold transfer is to be subject to formal external valuation advice that the payment and terms represent best consideration, and conclusion of legal due diligence including confirmation that the Council’s position as minority shareholder in the port business is not materially changed by the freehold transfer. Conclusion of this due diligence will be followed by a final recommendation for the Mayor’s approval before a transfer is concluded. The proposal: Policy 1. Planning Core Strategy identifies the land outside the statutory operational port area as a priority area for industrial and warehousing uses, with support in principle for development for those uses. There are constraints in relation to environment, flooding and highways. For the operational port area, First Corporate Shipping (FCS) is the statutory undertaker for the port. As such, they benefit from permitted development rights which grant consent for development on operational port land for shipping and for the loading/unloading of passengers and goods at a dock or harbour. 12 Context 2. The Council owned and directly operated the commercial Port of Bristol at Avonmouth and Portbury until 1991. The port was then sold by BCC to FCS with the aim of improving the future success of the port and relieving the Council from the debts and losses involved with it. The sale decision was in line with decisions taken by other authorities in the same era selling operational infrastructure such as ports and airports to commercial undertakings which were better placed to raise new capital and employ specialist sector expertise to increase services and economic activity supported by those operations. Ports had experienced particular challenges with labour issues and also the impact of containerisation of goods changing the patterns of activity for deep sea shipping and ports serving that market. 3. The Council sold the port business and infrastructure, the land on which the port is situated, together with adjoining land used for related purposes and capable of some further development. The total land area is about 2,100 acres. The land transfer was by means of granting several leases on generally similar terms, each for 150 years at a peppercorn rent. These allowed for interim arrangements whilst the Council remained the statutory port authority and some influence in case the purchasers of the port were unable to sustain the port operations and secure the major capital needed to turn around the port business. 4. FCS has succeeded in placing the port business in a much stronger position. Between 1991 and 2007 throughput of goods increased from 4m to 12m tonnes, and that the port supports approximately 7,500 jobs in the sub-region economy. FCS directly employs around 550 staff and there are over 6,500 other jobs in the port. It is estimated that FCS have secured around £450m of capital investment in the port. There are proposals to develop a deep sea container terminal at Avonmouth which could create an additional 1,500 jobs. This would involve investment estimated at £600m. 5. There have been periodic approaches by FCS to the Council seeking to purchase the freehold. UK ports are generally owned freehold by the port operator. This provides the optimum basis as port infrastructure requires major capital investment which has long operating life and very extended pay-back periods. The last discussion was in 2012 when the proposal was declined by the Council. The highest offer for the freehold previously was £3.85m. Freehold transfer 6. The stated objective for FCS to own the port freehold, is that they wish to invest further into their business, but would only concentrate this on the Port of Bristol if they own the freehold. Their position is that they would need to look elsewhere for further development if they cannot secure the freehold. Investment decision makers view the freehold ownership of land, as a more favourable prospect than leasehold, however long the lease, and therefore it is considered that the sale of the freehold would improve the prospect for long term growth and economic success. 7. FCS have offered £10m to purchase the Council’s freehold interest. The objective of both parties is that the Council’s minority shareholding in FCS would be unaffected by the freehold sale. The freehold sale helps increase the business performance of the port in future. The Council will share in that improvement. 13 8. The Council receives no rental income under the terms of the leases, which continue until 2141 – a further 127 years. Once FCS became statutory port authority, the Council no longer has any meaningful influence on management of the port or land via the port. There are lease obligations on FCS to keep the port open on competitive terms. It is considered that the scale of the capital investment secured by FCS and the value to FCS of the business provide sufficient reason for them to keep the port open on competitive terms if possible. It is also the case that there is very little prospect of a landlord succeeding in court for termination of such long leases for a claimed breach of covenant. 9. There is provision for the Council to share in future land value increase from uses outside the core permitted uses. Having regard to the amount of the land already developed, the character of the area and planning policy, the prospect for returns from this are considered low. When the possibility of freehold transfer was reviewed in 2012, recommendations were given that there was potential on some of the land for the Council to share in development potential, particularly if land values were to rise in future due to flood alleviation works. This encouraged expectations for future returns beyond those actually supported by the lease agreements. If development is for the permitted uses – port operational, industrial and warehousing – no value is receivable by the Council until the end of the leases in 2141. All of the value and return prior to that remains with FCS. 10. The current value of the Council’s freehold on the general market is estimated at £1m or below. This would increase as the unexpired portion of the lease term reduces. However, the meaningful increase in value occurs from a point in time when there are around 40 years unexpired. If the freehold/leasehold arrangement were to be left unchanged, there will have been a significant harm to the business sustainability of the port many years before the financial growth in the Council’s freehold interest starts to materialise. 11. The realisation of an amount for the freehold property interest above value which may be attained on the general market, can only be attained from the actual leaseholder. The reason they may pay a higher figure is because the improvement in the value of their property ownership and business position is uniquely affected. Applying the normal property valuation methodology to this situation indicates that a payment in the range £3m to £4m may be reasonable. However, there is no a precise formula and the scale of the overall capital sums involved in the port business are a reason why there has been resistance from the Council to transact at that level. The offer to pay £10m is a very full transfer of the benefit from the transaction to FCS. 12. The basis proposed for the freehold transfer is that it is unconditional. The intention is that there would not be restrictions within the freehold on FCS. It is the agreed intention on both sides to ensure that the value to the Council of its minority shareholding is not impaired by this sale, and the Seabank power station is also unaffected. 13. The potential financial benefit to the Council from receiving £10m capital now, rather than waiting decades is of major significance. The returns from prudent investment could provide significant returns or capital appreciation. Taken in the context of the full 127 years the compound growth impact is capable of being extremely large. 14. If the recommendation is approved, there will need to be detailed due diligence and legal drafting to confirm all details, before the transaction can conclude. It is not economically prudent to invest in that work until the decision in principle has been taken. 14 15. During the due diligence period, full assessment of the detail will be made, with appropriate discussions with FCS. The Council may explore scope for changes to the shareholding arrangements, subject to agreement. Potential for future development would also be carefully considered. Consultation and scrutiny input: Scrutiny update to be reported verbally a. Internal consultation: The proposal has been treated as commercially sensitive and therefore dealt with as a confidential matter. There has been consultation with the following officers: City Director Interim Strategic Director – Place Service Directors for Legal, Finance and Property b. External consultation: First Corporate Shipping Other options considered: 1. Retaining the freehold with no change in arrangements. This would not provide FCS with the support they seek for long term further capital investment in the Port of Bristol. This would be to the detriment of the city region generally. The opportunity for additional current capital return from the property asset would be declined. 2. Alternative changes to the freehold/leasehold property interests. There could be other property title changes which would give business confidence to FCS, but fall short of the unconditional freehold sale. The large premium price would not then be achievable by the Council, but the incentive to pay such a premium would in effect have been removed. The effect would be to decline the premium currently being offered, without financial benefit being likely for decades to come. Risk management / assessment: FIGURE 1 The risks associated with the implementation of the (subject) decision : No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability 1 High A sale would mean that FCS no longer has a contractual obligation to keep open the facility or to only use the property for certain uses. Low 2 High Further development of the port depends on long term capital investment. FCS will be reluctant without an improved property interest Medium RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability Whilst there is no mitigation it is considered extremely unlikely that the facility would close. High Low Robert Orrett Transfer of the freehold will improve future prospects High Low Robert Orrett 15 3 The transaction may have adverse impacts that have not been evaluated Medi um Low Detailed due diligence will review the overall documentation and issues Low Low Robert Orrett Liam Nevin 4 The transaction may not be concluded Medi um Medium There is some risk as with any property transaction. Concluding due diligence and achieving a transaction as soon as is reasonable will help reduce the risk Low Low Robert Orrett Liam Nevin FIGURE 2 The risks associated with not implementing the (subject) decision: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability Low 1 The significant capital receipt would be lost. High High The transaction may take place in the future Low Robert Orrett 2 An alternative property restructure may be agreed Medi um High The capital returns and financial benefit Medi High um will be much reduced Robert Orrett 3 FCS investment priorities will be diverted away from Bristol High Medium Medi Low Alternative property restructure may um provide a satisfactory position whilst not releasing significant capital to BCC Robert Orrett Public sector equality duties: Before making a decision, section 149 of the Equality Act 2010 requires that each decision-maker considers the need to promote equality for persons with the following “protected characteristics”: age, disability, gender reassignment, pregnancy and maternity, race, religion or belief, sex, sexual orientation. Each decision-maker must, therefore, have due regard to the need to: i) eliminate discrimination, harassment, victimisation and any other conduct prohibited under the Equality Act 2010. ii) advance equality of opportunity between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to: - remove or minimise disadvantage suffered by persons who share a relevant protected characteristic. - take steps to meet the needs of persons who share a relevant protected characteristic that are different from the needs of people who do not share it (in relation to disabled people, this includes, in particular, steps to take account of disabled persons' disabilities); - encourage persons who share a protected characteristic to participate in public life or in any other activity in which participation by such persons is disproportionately low. iii) foster good relations between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those who do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to tackle prejudice and promote understanding. Guidance: * Insert a note on how the public sector equality duties are relevant to the proposals and how these duties have been taken into account in developing the proposals. Where an equality impact assessment has been undertaken, summarise its findings here, and provide a link to the full document, or include the equality impact assessment as an appendix. Where no equality impact assessment has been undertaken, give the reasons why this has not been carried out. 16 Freehold transfer The freehold transfer is considered to have no identifiable equalities impact. Eco impact assessment The freehold transfer does not directly change any environmental impacts. Resource and legal implications: a. Financial (revenue) implications: The sale of the freehold may reduce the Council’s revenue attributable to the rent on the power station by £215k per annum. This income stream has been “discounted” to reflect the time value of the annual receipt over the life of the 127 year leasehold to provide a value of the income stream if received in full today of £3.8m. It is this amount which should be set against the potential capital receipt of £10m. The rental stream could be protected as therefore be collected as part of the dividend stream. If the settlement sum of £10m was applied to reduce part of the Council’s outstanding loans, the additional saving in borrowing costs (interest) would be approximately £450k per annum. On the basis that the potential capital receipt exceeds the discounted value of the rental stream by £6.2m, the offer represents good value to the Council. Advice given by Date Mark Taylor, Interim Section 151 Officer 24/3/2014 b. Financial (capital) implications: There are no capital implications arising from the disposal except for the potential capital receipt to be held for future capital investment in alternative assets. However, the disposal of the freehold will prevent the Council from unlocking any potential development value which might arise in the future, albeit that any development value is likely to be restricted by the flood risk and the existing pre-emption agreement with the leasehold. Advice given by Mark Taylor, Interim Section 151 Officer Date 24/3/2014 Comments from the Corporate Capital Programme Board: Due to commercial sensitivity the proposal has not been reviewed by Corporate Capital Programme Board. c. Legal implications: Section 123 of the Local Government Act 1972 applies to the disposal of any land owned by the Council. Under S.123(1) The Council may dispose of land held by it in any manner it wishes. Under S.123(2), except with the consent of the Secretary of State, the Council is not to dispose of land under Section 123, otherwise than by way of a short tenancy, for a 17 consideration less than the best that can reasonably be obtained. Valuation advice must therefore confirm that the stated price of £10m is the best available. In addition, whilst the freehold provides the Council with little direct influence over the activities of the port and FCS, it does, as is apparent from the report, have some benefits (albeit limited) and other impacts in more indirect ways (eg the obligation to keep the port open; the right to share in certain disposals; the very fact that as freehold owner the FCS are not able to deal as they please with the site). Rights which endure for the duration of the long lease. We can only speculate as to how the area may develop over the next 127 years. An unconditional sale (ie one free from any restrictions as to future use etc ) will mean that these rights/influences, however marginal, will be lost. The Councils only remaining interest will be through its non-voting shareholding. There are very clear advantages to FCS in acquiring the freehold, not least the apparent ability to access funding for further investment. As a shareholder the Council might also benefit from this. Nonetheless the Council needs to be satisfied that the £10m is acceptable compensation for giving up its existing rights and interests in the property. Advice given by Date Shahzia Daya / Service Manager and Deputy Monitoring Officer: Legal Services 21 March 2014 d. Land / property implications: This proposal offers an exceptional opportunity to deliver a major capital receipt from the Council’s property portfolio with no income reduction. The price proposed is considered to be the best that the Council may achieve unless it waits for many decades before transacting. Advice given by Date Robert Orrett / Service Director - Property 21 March 2014 e. Human resources implications: The recommendations have no HR implications. Advice given by Date Mark Williams / HR Business Partner 21 March 2014 Appendices: None. 16 18 Appendix B Due diligence matters considered 1. BCC Legal to contact FCS lawyers to identify any unforeseen aspects 2. BCC Property + Legal – consider any issues on demise boundaries and variation 3. Shareholding documentation review - Could freehold sale impact on share return? 4. Potential to receive payment by way of additional shares. 5. Seabank Power Station – review arrangements on “rent” and confirm no impact of sale 6. Freeholder’s past consent on disposals for non-authorised uses, include in JLL instruction 7. Community engagement by FCS 8. Review Deloitte valuation report (2012) and consider any points of concern on sale 9. Impact of sale on BCC retained land – need for access rights, services rights 10. Points raised by Cabinet members at 1 April 2014 meeting 11. Harbour Revision Order – points to check 12. JLL Valuation – matters arising – further involvement 13. Original sale contract, management agreement and any other outstanding points 14. Points raised by Cllr Negus 15. Henbury Loop interaction 16. Nature conservation area – outside sale boundary? 17. Deep sea port proposals – impact of sale? 17 19 18 20 Appendix C Due diligence reports 1. BCC Legal to contact FCS lawyers to identify any unforeseen aspects BCC Legal officers have been in written communication with the lawyers for FCS. The latter has historic familiarity with the FCS leasehold interest having been the advisers from the time of the original port sale, and onwards. Communication has confirmed the extent of BCC registered freehold title. No unforeseen aspects have been raised by the FCS lawyers. 2. BCC Property + Legal – consider any issues on demise boundaries and variation BCC Legal and Property officers have reviewed freehold and leasehold title documentation, and title to adjoining BCC owned land. BCC Legal and Property officers have visited the property, and inspected with particular regard to the physical boundaries. No issues or reason to propose variation to the established boundaries have been identified. 3. Shareholding documentation review - Could freehold sale impact on share return? Instructions were issued by BCC Legal to Clarke Willmott to advise on this aspect, due to that firm having previously considered the same point. Clarke Willmott have reviewed their previous advice and confirmed that a sale by the Council of the freehold reversion to the various leases would not have a specific impact on the Council’s shareholding in the Company. 4. Potential to receive payment by way of additional shares. This opportunity was raised during the Call-in inquiry. Response has been in two parts. FCS has been approached with the request to confirm the basis of a share based consideration being offered as an alternative to a cash consideration. FCS has confirmed that they are unwilling to make a proposal for payment by increased shareholding. BCC Financial officers have considered the benefit of payment in shares. The conclusion of the advice, because the shares are not generally tradeable nor do they carry voting rights is that Council should in this case opt for a cash payment as this would be the lower risk option and allow the Council to access value immediately, and not put value at risk. The lack of voting rights reduces the capability of the council to influence decision making at the Port of Bristol and in turn increases risk for the Council. 5. Seabank Power Station – review arrangements on “rent” and confirm no impact of sale 19 21 Arrangements relating to BCC income arising from the Seabank Power station were made with a waiver which enables BCC to receive its profit share related to revenue as rent, if it so elects. On sale of the freehold to FCS, the waiver will fall away and the equal sum will thereafter be received as dividend payment under the profit share which will continue. 6. Freeholder’s past consent on disposals for non-authorised uses, include in JLL instruction Under the current lease arrangement, use of the Port is restricted to certain use classes. FCS have made clear that its offer is only applicable to sale of a fundamentally unrestricted freehold interest. The Council would no longer have the protection provided by those covenants. In these circumstances the Council as planning authority will control use using established planning principles. Alternative future uses could have an impact on the adjoining property of the Council. JLL has reviewed extreme scenarios for alternative future uses, to “stress test” the price offered by FCS in comparison with those scenarios. This approach has confirmed that given the amounts shown, the probability of this happening, and the optimistic view on the amounts of land included in these stress tests that the proposed purchase price adequately reflects the potential for such sums to be received. One consequence of the sale of the Port would be the extinguishment of a number of second charges which the Council has the benefit of as a consequence of granting consent for additional uses under the three existing leases. In accordance with standard practice each lease contains a clause authorising various industrial uses. In addition the Council is obliged to give consent for additional uses. In certain limited circumstances the Council is entitled to receive 50% of the amount by which the value of the land is enhanced by such consent if the Port subsequently disposes of the land for a capital sum. This payment is secured by a legal charge in the Council’s favour over any relevant land. In the years following the grant of the leases a number of variations were agreed largely as a result of vacant land within the Blue lease being developed. To date no payments have been received. The Council benefits from a second charge meaning that it ranks behind any prior charge so the Council is not guaranteed a payment. Sale would mean that no further charges could be created therefore the Council would not participate in either payments secured by the existing second charges or enhanced value released by further development of land for uses not covered by the existing user clauses in the current leases. Thus far approximately 10-20 such interests have been created, however to date no sums have been receivable by the freeholder due to values linked to actual uses which are deemed to be alternative uses, not exceeding market value for the permitted uses. 7. Community engagement by FCS 20 22 The Bristol Port Company has three main sources of support for community activities: a. Funding via its Quartet Community Funds Quartet currently has over £322,000 under management in Bristol Port funds; interest generated is available to use at the company’s discretion to help good causes. The company adds to the fund around January each year and donations from the many port tours provided for free are added to the Quartet funds. It is the company’s policy to focus this funding on good causes close to Avonmouth and Royal Portbury Docks and to keep the application process very simple to enable even the smallest, least well established groups to benefit without bureaucracy. b. Financial donations direct from the company. The Bristol Port Company makes many direct donations to causes locally, across Bristol and further afield. c. In-kind support from the company Including giving employees' time to support projects, donation of materials and providing other benefits such as not charging for utilities used by charities operating on port land. Total funds in period 2007-14 in excess of £400,000 8. Review Deloitte valuation report (2012) and consider any points of concern on sale BCC Property officers have reviewed the Deloitte valuation from 2012. There are aspects in the advice in that report which are not accepted. Opinion of BCC Property officers has been confirmed by cross-referring to contemporary advice from JLL. Deloitte did not clarify the status of payments received from Seabank Power station and thus treated as core rent. This is incorrect as the income is only treated as rent due to a side agreement which will fall away if the freehold is sold to FCS, at which time the equal sum will be received through the dividend arrangement. Thus this element is neutral in effect upon sale. This inaccuracy distorted Deloitte’s assessment of the value of BCC’s current freehold interest. Deloitte reported “The land has the ability to unlock development value in the future and we recommend the Council retain the freehold on this land. The land is not required for Port Operations.” BCC Property officers have carefully examined the situation, with advice from BCC Legal officers, and sought input from JLL. The Deloitte advice is not accepted, nor considered to be appropriate to the current situation. 21 23 9. Impact of sale on BCC retained land – need for access rights, services rights Summary advice from BCC Legal: The Port is currently leased to First Corporate Shipping Ltd under three separate leases and the Council has reserved rights in the leases for the benefit of its remaining adjacent property to ensure the adjoining property is fully operational and fit for purpose. The Council will be seeking to mirror the rights reserved by the Leases in the freehold disposal resulting in no impact on the Council’s remaining estate following sale of the freehold reversion from an operational perspective. It is also the case that the Council will reserve any additional rights considered necessary to protect the future aspirations for use of its adjoining land. It will be a condition of the freehold disposal that the Council retains unfettered rights of access, use and services for all adjoining property in its ownership thereby endeavouring to secure the status quo that exists at the present time with the lease arrangements. 10. Points raised by Cabinet members at 1 April 2014 meeting Cllr Janke noted the fact that formal external valuation advice was being sought and suggested that scrutiny members should be given an appropriate opportunity to comment before the final decision was taken. This report will be considered by Scrutiny Commission. However, the external valuation report will be an exempt appendix to be considered by cabinet members but the valuation report will not be reviewed by scrutiny members. Cllr Hoyt asked if use of palm oil as fuel in a port power plant could be excluded. FCS are willing to agree a restriction to exclude use of palm oil as fuel in a power plant wholly or mainly in connection with the port operational business. Any proposal beyond this would be subject to the Council’s decision making as planning authority. Statutory duties as a port operator mean that FCS cannot contract to exclude handling of legally acceptable goods and materials through the port. 11. Harbour Revision Order – points to check The Port of Bristol Harbour Revision Order 1993 - plan for “designated harbour” has been reviewed by BCC Legal and Property officers. No issues arise that would be affected by the sale of the freehold to FCS. 12. JLL Valuation – matters arising – further involvement Valuation and property issues have been reviewed with JLL and specific advice provided based on stress testing scenarios, and in connection with second charges. These are reflected in their advice. 13. Original sale contract, management agreement and any other outstanding points These documents have been reviewed by BCC Legal and Property officers. No outstanding issues remain that would be affected by the sale of the freehold to FCS. 22 24 14. Points raised by Cllr Negus Cllr Negus raised several points at an informal meeting concerning port operations: 1. Loss of potential to use the port in connection with tidal power or similar from the Bristol Channel. Response – no potential exists under current lease arrangements beyond the potential any port customer enjoys protected by statute. This is unchanged by sale of the freehold. 2. Responsibility to dredge approaches to port and for tidal Avon below entrance to Cumberland Basin locks. These responsibilities are within the Harbour Revision Order, not the lease. This is unchanged by sale of the freehold. 3. Obligations arising from the original sale contract. These have been reviewed by BCC Legal officers. There are no outstanding obligations beyond those now within the Harbour Revision Order, not the lease. This is unchanged by sale of the freehold. 15. Henbury Loop interaction Context 1. Proposals are being advanced to introduce passenger train services to the Henbury Loop, which is currently only used for freight train services to Avonmouth Docks. 2. Port of Bristol has raised its concerns that reopening the Henbury Loop to passenger traffic would affect access to the Avonmouth Docks as the road access is via a level crossing which would need to be closed for around a quarter of the working day. 3. The existing property arrangement where Bristol City Council is freeholder and thus landlord of the Port of Bristol provides absolutely no influence on this situation. 4. Neither the Henbury Loop line nor the level crossing are part of the port property. The change factor in this situation relates to passenger train proposals not port or freight activities. 5. Level crossings are a national issue for Network rail in terms of safety and risk management. They have funding for a programme to address replacement, albeit on a long term basis. 6. Rail transportation is highly regulated which supports consultation and management processes for network change. Analysis 23 25 A. The landlord – tenant relationship between the City Council and the Port Company has no bearing at all on the rail transport proposals and their management. There is no reason to seek to connect the freehold transfer to it. B. The price negotiated for the freehold transfer is considered to represent the absolute limit achievable for the transaction. If an unrelated obligation is imposed on the transaction, it may totally prevent the matter proceeding. If not, the impact would be directly reflected in revised price meaning that the true effect is for the City Council to commit to the related costs. C. It is not possible to predict the outcome of the Henbury Loop proposals at this stage. The Port Company is engaging with Network Rail. The eventual technical needs, and source of funding will develop through this process. There is no benefit to be derived from attempting to lock in arrangements which effectively oblige BCC to meet cost at this stage. 16. Nature conservation area – outside sale boundary? There is a nature conservation area south of the Portbury Docks land. This further land is owned freehold by BCC and subject to separate lease arrangements to FCS. There is no proposal to transfer the freehold of this area to FCS. 17. Deep sea port proposals – impact of sale? FCS has obtained approvals to construct a Deep Sea Container Terminal (DSCT) although it is not currently in the processes of implementing that construction project. FCS had all necessary property interests to proceed with that project under the current leasehold basis, and their position will not be changed by the freehold being sold to them. 24 26 CABINET – 3 March 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 7 Report title: Neighbourhood Partnerships devolved budgets for highways maintenance Wards affected: Citywide Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairi, Strategic Director, Place Report Author: Peter Mann, Service Director, Transport RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: To return the final decision-making responsibility for the annual carriageway surface dressing budget and the annual footway resurfacing budget to Highways with effect from 2015-16 onwards. Key background / detail: a. Purpose of report: To explain why decision-making for highways maintenance work programmes (carriageway surface dressing and the footway resurfacing) needs to return from Neighbourhood Partnerships to the BCC Highways Team in order to provide more cost effective use of diminishing maintenance funding and take full advantage of the new asset management system being introduced, whilst still taking into account local people’s priorities and aspirations. b. Key details: 1. The annual work programmes for the carriageway surface dressing and footway resurfacing budgets are currently determined by the Neighbourhood Partnerships. 2. The purpose of the Council’s highway maintenance budgets is to prolong the life of the asset and/or to replace the asset at the end of its useful life. To achieve this, these budgets need to be allocated on a citywide basis to permit strategic data-led decisions to be made. They also need to be spent in the most efficient way possible to provide best value for money. 3. The way that funding for highways maintenance is determined by central government is changing with a greater emphasis being given to the condition of local authority assets coupled with an expectation that local authorities will follow national guidance and good practice. In addition to this, the level of capital funding for 2015-16 is significantly less than in previous years. 4. The new asset management approach set out in the report will be proactive in seeking suggestions from the Neighbourhood Partnerships at the most appropriate time and will mean that more and better information is provided to the Partnerships once the maintenance work programmes have been set. Overall, the level of meaningful involvement that each community has is expected to increase whilst Highways are given the flexibility that they need to set the budgets and ultimately decide how they are spent. 1 2 AGENDA ITEM 7 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3 March 2015 REPORT TITLE: Neighbourhood Partnerships devolved budgets for Highways maintenance Ward(s) affected by this report: Citywide Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairi, Strategic Director, Place Report author: Peter Mann, Service Director, Transport Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: (0117) 922 2947 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To explain why decision-making for highways maintenance work programmes (carriageway surface dressing and the footway resurfacing) needs to return from Neighbourhood Partnerships to the BCC Highways Team in order to provide more cost effective use of diminishing maintenance funding and take full advantage of the new asset management system being introduced, whilst still taking into account local people’s priorities and aspirations. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: To return the final decision-making responsibility for the annual carriageway surface dressing budget and the annual footway resurfacing budget to Highways with effect from 1st April 2015. Background 1. The highway network is the largest and most visible of our physical assets. It is used daily by the majority of the travelling public for commuting, business, social and leisure activities. It is fundamental to the economic, social and environmental wellbeing of local communities and to the prosperity of the city as a whole. 2. At a regional level our economic prosperity relies on reliable movement of goods and people around the highway network. At a local level the highway network helps to shape the character and quality of the environment and makes an important contribution to wider local authority priorities, including regeneration, social inclusion, community safety, education and health. 3. Like any physical asset, carriageways and footways require maintenance to counter deterioration. Poorly maintained infrastructure creates problems including increased risk of accidents, congestion and disruption due to the need for emergency works. It is vital 3 that footways are maintained properly to enable people to move around safely and easily. Management of highways assets 4. In 2011, the Department for Transport launched The Highways Maintenance Efficiency Programme (HMEP) and an associated review into potholes. The initiative aimed to investigate the subject not just from a technical engineering perspective but to consider the wider issues, including the impact of long-term maintenance strategies, decision-making arrangements and the processes of reporting, prioritising and repairing, all of which are relevant to this report. 5. The Review was published in 2012 and focused on three themes, as follows: Prevention is better than cure – intervening at the right time will reduce the amount of potholes forming and prevent bigger problems later. Right first time – do it once and get it right, rather than face continuous bills. Guidance, knowledge and workmanship are the enablers to do this. Clarity for the public – local highway authorities need to communicate to the public what is being done and how. 6. A highway asset management plan identifies the current assets and develops a framework for asset management to enhance existing good practices and improve the management of the network. The 1200km highway network in Bristol comprises a number of diverse assets and all of these need managing. 7. The Council is working towards the introduction of a Transport Asset Management Plan (TAMP) which will be implemented before the 2015-16 financial year. This will involve the collection and assessment of survey data relating to the assets that we have and their condition. The new asset management system, which will also be in place by April 2015, will use this data to produce information concerning the residual life of each asset and will inform the decision-making process regarding what repairs need to be undertaken and when this work needs to be done. It is vital that the Council ensures that this information is put to best use. 8. The way that funding for highways maintenance is determined by central government is changing, with a greater emphasis being given to the condition of local authority assets coupled with an expectation that local authorities will follow national guidance and good practice. In addition to this, the level of capital funding for 2015-16 is around 30% less than in previous years. This means that if the TAMP is not properly used, funding for Bristol may decrease further in future years. Devolution of highways budgets 9. Since 2010-11, Neighbourhood Partnerships have been responsible for making the final decisions needed to set the work programme for these budgets. With regard to the carriageway surface dressing budget, Highways have produced a citywide work programme for each Partnership to approve the works in their area. The footway resurfacing budget is divided by the number of wards in the city and allocated to each Partnership on a pro rata basis. Highways then provide a list of suggested streets for each Partnership to approve. 10. However, this has meant that Highways have been unable to ensure that the most urgently needed maintenance works can be carried out without having to divert funds from elsewhere. This has been a particular issue in relation to the footway resurfacing budget 4 because some schemes cost more to carry out than the total budget held by individual Neighbourhood Partnerships. As a result of this, some significant footway resurfacing works have had to be funded from other capital maintenance budgets. Proposal 11. It is proposed that decision making for highways maintenance budgets (carriageway surface dressing and footways maintenance) is returned to BCC Highways in order to allow officers to still maintain the quality of the highway infrastructure to their best ability with a reducing overall maintenance budget, using the traffic asset management plan and to comply with national guidance and safeguard as best as possible future budgets for asset management. 12. However, involving local residents and councillors in the work of the Highways service is crucial to the success of the programme and this proposal commits to retaining a working relationship with NPs so that NPs can influence the list of roads being considered for work across the whole highways maintenance work programme. Information about budgets, schedules and delivery will also openly be shared with NPs. Engagement between highways and NPs will continue at the right time of year to influence the work programme. Community involvement proposal 13. Initial consultation with each Neighbourhood Partnership took place in early 2014. This indicated that whilst they were supportive of changing our approach in relation to the carriageway surface dressing budget, there were mixed views about the footway resurfacing budget. Whilst three Partnerships supported the proposal to return the decision-making responsibility to Highways, others were keen to retain involvement in the process. 14. As a result of the initial feedback received, we have developed a detailed proposal for improving the opportunities for the Neighbourhood Partnerships to influence the decision-making process. This will provide them with the ability to input into the process at an early stage and for their views to be considered as part of the new system, whilst enabling Highways to make the final decision and set the work programme. 15. The new process to be introduced in 2015-16 will involve a footway network survey being undertaken every other year. The findings from this survey will be fed into the new system alongside reported defects, ward members’ views and feedback from Neighbourhood Partnerships. Highways will ensure that ward members and the Partnerships are asked to provide feedback at an appropriate time to ensure that it is included. 16. Once this has taken place, each Neighbourhood Partnership will be provided with clear information that explains whether their suggestions are included in the final citywide work programme and if not, the reason for this. Each Partnership will be provided with citywide condition information and a report showing how their local area is performing. This will enable people from the local community to gain a greater understanding of how maintenance decisions are made and will reassure them that their suggestions have been listened to and considered. 17. This proposal will enable members of the public to have considerably more involvement in the process than is recommended in the 2012 HMEP report. Under the 5 theme of ‘Clarity for the public’, the HMEP report found that local highway authorities should have “an effective public communications process that provides clarity and transparency in their approach” which should include “a published policy and details of its implementation”. It also recommended that public satisfaction with road footway and cycleway condition is monitored annually. 18. The new asset management approach set out in this report will be proactive in seeking suggestions from the Neighbourhood Partnerships at the most appropriate time and will mean that more and better information is provided to the Partnerships once the maintenance work programmes have been set. Overall, the level of meaningful involvement that each community has is expected to increase whilst Highways are given the flexibility that they need to set the budgets and ultimately decide how they are spent. Consultation and scrutiny input: a. Internal consultation: Neighbourhoods b. External consultation: Consultation was carried out with the Neighbourhood Partnerships in early 2014. This took place prior to the drawing up of a firm proposal for improving opportunities to participate in the process before the final decisions are made. Other options considered: Option 1: Do Nothing – If no change is made for the coming financial year, the benefits resulting from the introduction of the new asset maintenance system will not be realised and additional costs will result from the need to undertake response works to keep the highway safe. Maintaining the status quo would also mean that other maintenance budgets would be distorted in order to preserve the devolved spend. Option 2: Make carriageway surface dressing work programme decisions centrally but retain footway resurfacing decisions as devolved – This may be more acceptable to some Neighbourhood Partnerships, but it would not address the financial and efficiency problems which the devolution of any highways maintenance budgets presents. The footway resurfacing budget is also the larger of the two budgets currently devolved and would be affected more by the need to carry out response works if non-strategic decisions are made. Risk management / assessment: FIGURE 1 The risks associated with the implementation of the (subject) decision : No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report 1 Some Neighbourhood Partnerships may be disappointed that they no longer have the final decision on maintenance work programmes INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact low Probability RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). medium New community involvement process will be introduced to ensure that local concerns are considered and feedback given on requested work programme entries CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability low low Highways 6 FIGURE 2 The risks associated with not implementing the (subject) decision: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability 1 Non-strategic decisions on maintenance work programmes would mean that best use of reducing funds was not made and that additional costs were incurred in order to keep the highway safe high high Implement recommendation low low Highways 2 Funding would need to be found from other maintenance budgets to maintain previous levels of devolved spend high Implement recommendation low low Highways high Public sector equality duties: Before making a decision, section 149 of the Equality Act 2010 requires that each decision-maker considers the need to promote equality for persons with the following “protected characteristics”: age, disability, gender reassignment, pregnancy and maternity, race, religion or belief, sex, sexual orientation. Each decision-maker must, therefore, have due regard to the need to: i) eliminate discrimination, harassment, victimisation and any other conduct prohibited under the Equality Act 2010. ii) advance equality of opportunity between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to: - remove or minimise disadvantage suffered by persons who share a relevant protected characteristic. - take steps to meet the needs of persons who share a relevant protected characteristic that are different from the needs of people who do not share it (in relation to disabled people, this includes, in particular, steps to take account of disabled persons' disabilities); - encourage persons who share a protected characteristic to participate in public life or in any other activity in which participation by such persons is disproportionately low. iii) foster good relations between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those who do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to tackle prejudice and promote understanding. The aim of the proposal is to improve maintenance of the highway asset so that it is managed more efficiently, which will in turn improve the condition of our carriageways and footways for all users of the highway network. This should provide a positive impact. Eco impact assessment There are no direct environmental impacts arising from this proposal, which considers decision-making responsibility rather than the maintenance programmes themselves. Indirectly, there may be benefits through improved maintenance, such as better provision for cycling and walking, and more efficient use of materials, but the extent of any benefit is unknown and may not be significant. 7 Resource and legal implications: a. Financial (revenue) implications: There are no specific revenue implications to the proposal which aims to centralise budgets for a more coordinated spend of available funds rather than spend more or less money. Advice given by Date Mike Allen, Finance Business Partner 6th November 2014 b. Financial (capital) implications: There are no capital implications. Advice given by Date Mike Allen, Finance Business Partner 6th November 2014 c. Legal implications: If this recommendation is accepted then the Mayor’s scheme of delegation will need to be amended to reflect the changes outlined in the report. Officers will need to ensure that decisions are properly recorded in line with the officer executive decision recording process. Advice given by Date Shahzia Daya, Service Manager, Legal 7th November 2014 d. Human resources implications: There are no Human Resources implications arising from the report. Advice given by Date Mark Williams, People Business Partner 9th February 2015 Appendices: None Access to information (background papers): None 8 CABINET – 3 March 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 8 Report title: Green Capital Hybrid Bus Trial Wards affected: Citywide Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairi, Place Report Author: Alistair Cox, Strategic City Transport Manager RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. To accept the award of £1.4m funding from DfT for the Green Capital Hybrid Bus Trial and to enter into a grant agreement in relation to this. 2. To delegate to the Strategic Director for Place to proceed with the procurement of and entering into a contract with a bus operator partner, to enable the implementation of this demonstration project as set out in this report. Key background / detail: a. Purpose of report: To accept the award of £1.4M from the Department for Transport (DfT) as announced on 9th January 2015 by The Minster of State for Transport, Baroness Kramer, to run a trial of using technology to get Hybrid Diesel/electric buses to run in zero-emissions mode in areas of worst air quality. b. Key details: 1. Bristol City Council has been awarded £1.4m by DfT to allow it undertake a trial of hybrid electric/diesel buses commencing during Green Capital year. The trial will test in operation ‘geo-fencing’ technology, whereby a diesel-electric hybrid can run in electric mode in specified areas, such as a city centre low emission zone or air quality management area. 2. The following is a summary of the project outline: • Bristol City Council to lead a 2 year project to trial geo-fencing bus technology in the city. • DfT to provide a one-off grant of £1.4m to the council to cover the price premium of the relevant vehicles over the equivalent new conventional diesel vehicles. • The diesel-electric hybrid vehicles acquired for this project will be capable of switching automatically to zero emissions triggered by a "geo-fence" based on the GPS location of the bus. • The objective of the project is to test this new technology in a real operating environment for 2 years from delivery into service. • Geo-fences would be set to match as far as possible the areas of the city with the worst air quality. 1 • The council and its partner will collect and evaluate operating data about the performance of the vehicles, e.g. their reliability and environmental performance. • The council will undertake to provide performance and other data (subject to any necessary data sharing requirements) to the Department for Transport with the intention of promulgating the information as widely as possible. • The council will secure a bus operator partner to purchase and operate the vehicles. The council will ensure that its project partner is prepared to be bound by the terms of the project in terms of operating the buses in service and collecting/sharing data. • The council will ensure that all legal requirements are met in securing their preferred partner and providing funding for the project. • Recognising the challenging delivery timescale, the council will work with its operator partner to have the vehicles in service as early as possible in 2015. 2 AGENDA ITEM 8 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3 March 2015 REPORT TITLE: Green Capital Hybrid Bus Trial Ward(s) affected by this report: Citywide Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairi, Place Report author: Alistair Cox, Strategic City Transport Manager Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 0117 922 2357 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To accept the award of £1.4M from the Department for Transport (DfT) as announced on 9th January 2015 by The Minster of State for Transport, Baroness Kramer, to run a trial of using technology to get Hybrid Diesel/electric buses to run in zero-emissions mode in areas of worst air quality. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. To accept the award of £1.4m funding from DfT for the Green Capital Hybrid Bus Trial and to enter into a grant agreement in relation to this. 2. To delegate to the Strategic Director for Place to proceed with the procurement of and entering into a contract with a bus operator partner, to enable the implementation of this demonstration project as set out in this report. The proposal: 1. Bristol City Council has been awarded £1.4m by DfT to allow it undertake a trial of hybrid electric/diesel buses commencing during Green Capital year. The trial will test in operation ‘geo-fencing’ technology, whereby a diesel-electric hybrid can run in electric mode in specified areas, such as a city centre low emission zone or air quality management area. 2. The following is a summary of the project outline: • Bristol City Council to lead a 2 year project to trial geo-fencing bus technology in the city. • DfT to provide a one-off grant of £1.4m to the council to cover the price premium of the relevant vehicles over the equivalent new conventional diesel vehicles. • The diesel-electric hybrid vehicles acquired for this project will be capable of switching automatically to zero emissions triggered by a "geo-fence" based on the 3 GPS location of the bus. • The objective of the project is to test this new technology in a real operating environment for 2 years from delivery into service. • Geo-fences would be set to match as far as possible the areas of the city with the worst air quality. • The council and its partner will collect and evaluate operating data about the performance of the vehicles, e.g. their reliability and environmental performance. • The council will undertake to provide performance and other data (subject to any necessary data sharing requirements) to the Department for Transport with the intention of promulgating the information as widely as possible. • The council will secure a bus operator partner to purchase and operate the vehicles. The council will ensure that its project partner is prepared to be bound by the terms of the project in terms of operating the buses in service and collecting/sharing data. • The council will ensure that all legal requirements are met in securing their preferred partner and providing funding for the project. • Recognising the challenging delivery timescale, the council will work with its operator partner to have the vehicles in service as early as possible in 2015. Consultation and scrutiny input: a. Internal consultation: Internal consultation has taken place with the Place Directorate. b. External consultation: No consultation has been possible in the timescale available. Other options considered: No other option has been considered – the offer from the Department for Transport has been assessed and considered a viable option to recommend the Mayor to accept. 4 Risk management / assessment: FIGURE 1 The risks associated with the implementation of the (subject) decision : No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK (After controls) Impact 1 Procurement of a suitable operator High Medium Operator grant process being High progressed at risk to allow appointment to happen immediately should the Mayor approve this report. 2 Operational issues with Hybrid electric operation High Medium Market investigation have been undertaken to confirm that the trial is feasible. RISK OWNER Medi um Probability Low Low Peter Woodhouse Peter Woodhouse FIGURE 2 The risks associated with not implementing the (subject) decision: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report 1 Missed opportunity to undertake technology trial that could inform wider roll out of such vehicles in the city to achieve more significant air quality benefits INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability High High RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact None – funding would not be accepted High from government Probability High Public sector equality duties: Before making a decision, section 149 of the Equality Act 2010 requires that each decision-maker considers the need to promote equality for persons with the following “protected characteristics”: age, disability, gender reassignment, pregnancy and maternity, race, religion or belief, sex, sexual orientation. Each decision-maker must, therefore, have due regard to the need to: i) eliminate discrimination, harassment, victimisation and any other conduct prohibited under the Equality Act 2010. ii) advance equality of opportunity between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those do not share it. This involves having due regard, in particular, to the need to: - remove or minimise disadvantage suffered by persons who share a relevant protected characteristic. - take steps to meet the needs of persons who share a relevant protected characteristic that are different from the needs of people who do not share it (in relation to disabled people, this includes, in particular, steps to take account of disabled persons' disabilities); - encourage persons who share a protected characteristic to participate in public life or in any other activity in which participation by such persons is disproportionately low. iii) foster good relations between persons who share a relevant protected characteristic and those who do not share it. This involves having due regard, in 5 particular, to the need to tackle prejudice and promote understanding. Guidance: * Insert a note on how the public sector equality duties are relevant to the proposals and how these duties have been taken into account in developing the proposals. Where an equality impact assessment has been undertaken, summarise its findings here, and provide a link to the full document, or include the equality impact assessment as an appendix. Where no equality impact assessment has been undertaken, give the reasons why this has not been carried out. An equalities screening exercise has been undertaken and there are no new significant equalities issues that have come to light from this report. During and following the appointment of the operator we will review the screening report again whilst also taking into consideration information and consultation findings collected from previous projects with similar components in light of the proposed bus services for the trial and consider if there are any actions or opportunities that need to be taken. Advice given by Date Jane Hamill, Equalities Advisor 19th February 2015 Eco impact assessment The significant impacts of this proposal are: This pilot provides the opportunity to test the technology that could have significant carbon and local air quality benefits if deployed at a wider scale. Consultation on the “geo-fence zone” will take place with Air Quality officers. Life-cycle studies consistently show that the biggest impact of a road vehicle occurs during its use, rather than manufacture and disposal. Therefore, initiatives to reduce fuel consumption during use are likely to outweigh the negative impact of additional manufacturing and disposal impacts, for example in relation to the need for batteries. Some negative impacts will occur through vehicle production, diesel-mode operation of the buses, production of electricity, and the need to dispose of the buses at the end of their service life. The proposals include the following measures to mitigate the impacts: If a wider application of the electric or hybrid vehicles is to follow on from this project then the scope of the project should be widened to consider the generation of the electricity to ensure carbon benefits are maximised. Electric operation should be utilised as far as possible, to maximise air quality benefits Diesel engine specification should be Euro VI if possible, which will reduce tailpipe pollutants in comparison with previous Euro standards The net effects of the proposals are positive Advice given by Date Steve Ransom / Environmental Programme Manager 28th January 2015 6 Resource and legal implications: Finance a. Financial (revenue) implications: The forecast revenue costs of this project are expected to be absorbed within the existing Transport department Revenue budget. Advice given by Tian Ze Hao Date 29/01/2015 Finance Business Partner b. Financial (capital) implications: There will be no capital cost implications. Advice given by Tian Ze Hao Finance Business Partner Date 29/01/2015 Comments from the Corporate Capital Programme Board: Not Applicable c. Legal implications: When procuring goods, works or services over a certain value, the Council must comply with the Public Contracts Regulations 2006. Provided these are complied with, and a full compliant procurement process is carried out, the risk of a successful procurement challenge will be low. It is proposed that the Council will accept a grant from the Department for Transport. Whenever the state (e.g. DfT) gives resources (such as a grant) to another organisation (including the Council), it needs to be considered whether that grant may give that organisation (i.e. the Council) an unfair advantage. If the grant does give an unfair advantage, it may constitute State aid, which is not permitted. An unfair advantage will only be conferred if the Council is an “economic entity” (i.e. offering goods and services on a given market). In some circumstances, the Council is defined as an economic entity, however it is unlikely to be defined as an economic entity in these circumstances as its activities in connection with this project are not commercial in nature. Accordingly, the risk the grant will constitute State aid is low. Advice given by Date Sinead Willis/Solicitor 29 January 2015 7 d. Land / property implications: N/A e. Human resources implications: N/A Appendices: Appendix A – Eco-Assessment Access to information (background papers): None 8 Appendix A - Eco Impact Checklist Title of report: Green Capital Hybrid Bus trial Report author: Alistair Cox, Strategic City Transport Manager Anticipated date of key decision 3rd March 2015 Summary of proposals: To accept the award of £1.4M from the Department for Transport (DfT) as announced on 9th January 2015 by The Minster of State for Transport, Baroness Kramer, to run a trial of using technology to get Hybrid Diesel/electric buses to run in zero-emissions mode in areas of worst air quality. Will the proposal impact Yes/ +ive on... No or -ive If Yes… Emission of Climate Changing Gases? Yes +ve Hybrid buses have lower emissions overall than conventional diesel buses. -ve Production of electricity results in emissions Consumption of Yes +ve non-renewable resources? Hybrid buses will consume less fossil fuel than conventional buses Briefly describe impact Briefly describe Mitigation measures Overall emissions are lower; source of electricity to be considered in any future expansion of the project Bristol's resilience to the No effects of climate change? -ve Production, recycling or disposal of waste Yes -ve The appearance of the city? No Pollution to land, water, or air? Yes +ve Manufacture of the buses will consume resources, but resources would also be required for new conventional buses Any extra resources (e.g. batteries) are mitigated through reduced operational emissions, and recycling at End of Life Buses will need to be Majority of materials are disposed at the end recyclable of their service life Operation in electric mode produces zero tailpipe emissions, which are detrimental 9 to local air quality -ve Wildlife and habitats? Operation in diesel mode produces emissions detrimental to local air quality Buses should utilise electric capacity as far as possible; diesel engine specification should be Euro VI if possible No Consulted with: Steve Ransom, Environmental Programme Manager Andrew Edwards, Project Manager – Air Quality Summary of impacts and Mitigation - to go into the main Cabinet/ Council Report The significant impacts of this proposal are.... This pilot provides the opportunity to test the technology that could have significant carbon and local air quality benefits if deployed at a wider scale. Consultation on the “geo-fence zone” will take place with Air Quality officers. Life-cycle studies consistently show that the biggest impact of a road vehicle occurs during its use, rather than manufacture and disposal. Therefore, initiatives to reduce fuel consumption during use are likely to outweigh the negative impact of additional manufacturing and disposal impacts, for example in relation to the need for batteries. Some negative impacts will occur through vehicle production, diesel-mode operation of the buses, production of electricity, and the need to dispose of the buses at the end of their service life. The proposals include the following measures to mitigate the impacts ... If a wider application of the electric or hybrid vehicles is to follow on from this project then the scope of the project should be widened to consider the generation of the electricity to ensure carbon benefits are maximised. Electric operation should be utilised as far as possible, to maximise air quality benefits Diesel engine specification should be Euro VI if possible, which will reduce tailpipe pollutants in comparison with previous Euro standards The net effects of the proposals are positive Checklist completed by: Alistair Cox Name: Alistair Cox Dept.: Transport Service, Place Directorate Extension: 22357 Date: 28th January 2015 Verified by Energy Service Steve Ransom 10 CABINET – 3 March 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 9 Report title: Quarter 3 Finance Report Wards affected: All Strategic Director: Max Wide Report Author: Peter Gillett (Service Director – Finance) RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. That the Mayor and Cabinet notes the contents of the Report and identifies any issues or areas that they would like Scrutiny to give particular attention to. 2. To approve the changes to the Capital Programme detailed at paragraph 20. Key background / detail: 1. To provide a progress report on the Council’s overall financial performance against revenue and capital budgets for the 2014/15 financial year that were approved by Council on the 18th February 2014. The report focuses on significant variances to meeting the budget in 2014/15 in order to take timely actions to deliver a balanced position at year end. Key details: 2. Key messages from the Quarter 3 Budget Monitoring: a) Whilst pressures of £1.673m are currently forecast, this is an improvement of £2.7m since the last quarter’s report. It is anticipated that management actions will continue to improve the forecast position during the last quarter of the financial year. b) The significant areas of budget pressure remain in the People Directorate and are largely related to increased demand (Adult Social Care Placements) or in the ability to transfer costs to ring fenced budgets (Dedicated Schools Grant and Housing Revenue Account). However, through the management actions taken during the last quarter, the overall position has improved by £1.3m. These pressures are partly offset by savings on capital financing budgets. c) The net savings proposals agreed by Council in February 2014 totalled £26.2m and have either been delivered or are on track to be delivered by the end of the year. d) Capital spending in year is forecast to be £190.8m compared with an original budget of £248.0m as spending has substantially been re-profiled to later years. e) Treasury Management activity is within the approved Treasury Management Strategy f) Income collection performance is now on target with an improvement identified during quarter three. 1 2 AGENDA ITEM 9 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3 March 2015 REPORT TITLE: Quarter 3 Finance Report Ward(s) affected by this report: All Strategic Director: Max Wide Report Author: Peter Gillett (Service Director - Finance) Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 0117-922 2007 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To provide a progress report on the Council’s overall financial performance, including against the approved revenue and capital budgets for the 2014/15 financial year that were approved by Council on the 18th February 2014. RECOMMENDATION for Mayor approval: 1. That Cabinet notes the contents of the Report and identifies any issues or areas that they would like Scrutiny to give particular attention to. 2. To approve the changes to the Capital Programme detailed at paragraphs 20. Background 1. The Report provides information and analysis on the Council’s and use of resources to the end of the third quarter of 2014/15. for 2014/15 on 18th February 2014. The report focuses on meeting the budget in 2014/15 in order to take timely actions position at year end. financial performance Council set its budget forecast variances to to deliver a balanced 2. Finance continues to support budget managers to monitor their budgets, with a focus on those budgets assessed to be high risk and/or subject to volatility due to factors such as changes in demand or activity. This has identified the areas where costs have risen quicker than forecast and potential risk areas. The Finance teams continue to work with budget managers to rationalise and improve the financial management reporting arrangements to ensure that budgets are in the right place and align with management responsibility and accountability. 3 A - Revenue Expenditure 3. The Council’s overall annual revenue spend is managed across a number of areas: a. The general fund providing revenue funding for the majority of the Council’s services: b. The Housing Revenue Account, which is reported separately to the general fund, and is managed within Neighbourhoods; c. Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG), which is ring-fenced for schools funding, overseen by the Schools’ Forum, and managed within the People Directorate; d. Public Health, a ring-fenced grant, which must be spent to support the delivery of the Public Health Outcomes Framework, and is managed with Neighbourhoods. 4. Each area represents a significant element of the Council’s overall revenue expenditure. Further details of the current spend position against budget is provided in the remainder of this section. General Fund 5. The following table provides a summary of how each directorate is performing against the general fund revenue budget for the 2014/15 financial year. Actions are in progress to manage and mitigate the identified budget pressures and risks. Strategic Directors have indicated their commitment to deliver services within approved budgets. However, it is becoming increasingly difficult to respond and manage in year pressures as they materialise, as year on year budget reductions continue. 6. The following forecasts are based on actual expenditure to the end of December 2014 and Budget Managers estimates of future spending for the rest of the financial year. The overall reported position for the Council’s spend against its general fund services has improved by £2.7m. The current forecast overspend represents 0.4% of the Table 1 General Fund Revenue Budgets Directorate QTR3 Revised Net Budget People – Direct Service Provision Place Neighbourhoods Business Change City Director SUB TOTAL – SPENDING ON SERVICES People – Non Service / grants Other Budgets * TOTAL £m 216.086 26.164 56.930 65.662 3.731 368.573 (2.297) 10.360 376.636 QTR3 Variance (Under)/ Over Spend £m 3.475 (1.544) 0.702 (0.110) 0.033 2.556 1.417 (2.300) 1.673 QTR2 Variance (Under)/ Over Spend £m 4.715 (0.302) 0.301 0.479 0.000 5.193 1.510 (2.300) 4.403 *Other Budgets includes one off change programme funding, capital financing, un-apportioned central overheads and contingencies. 4 7. The table below provides a summary of the budget variances identified in paragraph 2 for the general fund: Table 2 Directorate People – Direct Service Provision Variance Notes (£m) 2.450 Adult Social Care Adult Purchasing Residential and Nursing Care – growth in demographic demand as more older people meet statutory eligibility criteria and complexity of packages of care. At the end of quarter 3, we were supporting, on average 980 adults in residential care compared to a budgeted average of 895. There are spending pressures in Nursing Care as a result of higher than budgeted placements costs, which are on average 5% higher than budgeted. This equates to additional budget pressures of £2.641m Home Care & Direct Payments – an increase of 1,195 hours home care per week which equates to an additional £0.932m expenditure per annum and additional pressures across direct payments as a result higher than budgeted package costs. The pressures in direct care spend are being offset against savings in other areas, for example staffing budgets. 1.363 Children & Family Support Children’s Service and Looked After Children (LAC) – there has been an increase in the number of special guardianship & residency orders from 320 in April 2013 to 399 in December. (0.338) There is now a small projected underspend across other services in the directorate (Education & Housing Solutions), which are helping to mitigate the pressures across social care People – Non Service / Grants 1.417 A potential budget pressure arising from the statutory & technical funding changes governing the use of Dedicated Schools Grant for non-school related services, which is currently being reviewed to mitigate the impact. This also includes the latest forecast of the potential cost of the Supreme Court Ruling and the change to the statutory requirements on local authority assessments of deprivation of liberty (DoLS). Neighbourhoods 0.702 There is currently a forecast pressure in Environment & Leisure and Neighbourhoods which primarily relates to meeting income targets within these areas. A review of the budget in these areas is currently underway. City Director 0.033 There is a small projected overspend within Bristol Futures, which is under review. Total pressures 5.627 5 Offset by: Business Change (0.110) Business Change is forecasting a small underspend by the end of the financial year. There are forecast pressures across ICT, due to the increased use of ICT across the organisation, which continues to be carefully monitored. However, this is offset by forecast underspends, particularly within HR services. Since the last QTR, the directorate has taken mitigating actions to manage previously forecast pressures against income budgets in Legal Services and Policy, Strategy and Communications. Place (1.544) Place is currently forecasting an underspend at the end of the year. This is mainly due to: An improved forecast in relation to Concessionary Fares Unbudgeted rental income at 100 Temple St A forecast underspend against the now centralised stationery budgets Income Surplus’s in Development Management & Engineering Design Parking Services Income Surplus Other Budgets Overall position Capital financing decisions and active treasury management (2.300) activity indicate in year savings of circa £2.3m . 1.673 8. The major areas of identified pressures within the general fund are within the People Directorate. However, management actions taken in the last quarter has led to an improvement in the overall position of £1.3m. The main areas for planning and mitigation: a) Adult Social Care has implemented a significant transformation programme which successfully resulted in savings and a reduction in its net budget of £20m between 2011/12 to 2013/14. The Strategic Director (People) and Service Director (Finance) have initiated a major review of social care budgets, including benchmarking with core cities and regional authorities to both manage spend pressures whilst also planning for the meeting the statutory eligibility requirements of the Care Act and growing ageing population in the city. This is the area of highest spend in all local authorities and there are national concerns about the pressure on reducing overall local authority budgets to meet growing demand and eligibility. This will inform future financial planning for the Council. b) Within Children’s Care and Support Services, the redesign of the social work function and investment in early help are targeted at reducing the number of looked after children in the medium to long term, but the directorate is reviewing spend to stay within budget in 2014/15 whilst in transition, and manage the increased demand of rising child population. Officers have and are taking action and developing interventions that aim to reduce these pressures overall by the year end, and the impact of these is reflected in the forecasts reported in table 1. Other mitigating actions to control expenditure include: 6 Reviewing out of area funded nursing care packages; Reviewing of care packages following the installation of home adaptation; Review of high cost care packages and additional approval requirements for the highest cost care packages 9. Where directorates have identified risks and pressures within budgets, these will be taken into account when framing the revisions to and updating of the medium term financial strategy. Finance will work with Service Directors to ensure that sustainable savings options are identified to offset these pressures Housing Revenue Account (HRA) 10. The following is a summary of the HRA budget position as at the end of Quarter 3. Table 3 Housing Revenue Account Current Forecast Outturn £m Current Variance £m Revised Net Budget £m 89.965 (130.919) (40.954) (57.244) (16.290) 45.007 (17.986) 27.021 28.222 1.201 17.358 (1.000) 16.358 15.676 (0.682) 9.055 (2.732) 6.323 6.294 (0.029) Other 0.182 0.000 0.182 0.182 0.000 TOTALS 161.567 (152.637) 8.930 (6.870) (15.800) Strategy, Planning & Governance Responsive Repairs Planned Programmes Estate Management Gross Exp Gross Income £m £m 11. There is currently a significant forecast underspend within the HRA of £15.8m. This is higher than the forecast underspend of £13.987m reported at the end of Quarter 2. This is the result of the following budget variances: The removal of a planned revenue contribution to capital costs of £14.5m in this financial year as work and therefore spend on the HRA Capital Programme for 2014/15 has been delayed to 2015/16, including the new Housing Management System and the cladding programme. Forecast underspend of £1m in the Landlord Business Development Unit due to underspends against salary budgets; Forecast underspend of £0.775m in Strategy, Planning & Governance due to underspends against staffing budgets A forecast underspend of £0.680m against gas servicing due to lower than budgeted costs In addition, there are forecast pressures against the responsive and planned repairs programmes of £1.2m. 7 12. The increase in the underspend between quarter 2 and 3 is as a result in the forecast underspends now being reported against the Landlord Business Development Unit and Planned Programmes. 13. Any under or overspend at the year-end will increase or decrease the HRA Reserve and therefore this does not impact on the General Fund. Dedicated Schools’ Grant (DSG) 14. In 2014/15, the Council received £183.162m Dedicated Schools’ Grant, which is ringfenced and passported through to fund schools. Schools that have transferred to academy status receive their funding directly from the Department of Education. 15. An underspend against the DSG of £2.670m has been identified in quarter 3 and reported to the School’s Forum, which relates to early years and high needs provision. 16. In addition, there are balances carried forward from previous years relating to the DSG and plans, agreed by the Schools’ Forum, are in place to spend these balances, including: a. £5m on one of PFI projects; b. £3.4m for the capital costs of providing additional places for 2 year olds c. £3m on early intervention actions Public Health 17. In 2014/15 the Council received £29.122m Public Health Grant. This is a ring fenced grant and must be spent to support the funding of these services and the delivery of Public Health outcomes. The delivery of these outcomes, alongside spend, is reported annually to the Department of Health. The division is now forecasting breakeven on the basis that £938k will be carried forward in reserves (in addition to £1,232k from prior year) for expenditure in the next Financial Year. 18. The underlying underspend trend in Public Health will be required to contribute toward funding additional services that meet the Public Health Outcomes Framework, as part of the Council’s approved three year financial plan. B - Managing Savings 19. The savings included in the MTFS and agreed at Full Council on 18th February 2014 totalled £26m in 2014/15, increasing by £36m in each of the subsequent financial years. These savings have been built into the budgets reported above. The plans to deliver these savings are being monitored through the financial year to ensure their delivery. 8 Table 4 Directorate People Neighbourhoods Place Business Change Held corporately Change Programme (net) Totals TOTAL £’m 6.700 5.625 1.887 2.209 3.500 6.328 26.249 GREEN £’m 3.708 4.852 1.418 2.209 0.400 6.328 18.915 AMBER £’m 2.992 0.773 0.469 3.100 7.334 RED £’m 0.000 Key Green – Action plan in place and savings have been delivered or delivery assured Amber – Action plan in place and delivery of saving against plan being monitored Red – cashable savings not being delivered – mitigating actions to be identified to achieve balanced outturn 20. The table indicates that 100% of the savings proposals have either been delivered or are on target to be delivered by the end of the year. It is currently forecast that the Change Programme will deliver net savings sooner than originally planned. Any surplus in 2014/15 not required to offset overspending elsewhere will be carried forward to minimise risk in future years. C - Reserves 21. The balance on the general reserve will be reviewed annually in setting the budget and in the context of the MTFS and the risks to which the Council is exposed. The balance on the General Reserve is £20m with no planned utilisation in 2014/15. This represents 1.6% of the Council’s gross budget (5% of the net budget) and has been set with reference to an assessment of the risks to which the Council is exposed. 22. At the start of the financial year the Council had general fund earmarked reserves of £67.7m. Some of these reserves will be spent during the year, others are set aside for specific purposes to be incurred in future periods. 23. Where reserves are identified as no longer required for the purpose that they were earmarked, they will be transferred to the General Reserve. D - Capital Programme 24. Monitoring indicates that capital spending in 2014/15 will be £190.8m compared to the latest revised budget of £192.0m. 25. The following table sets out a summary of the proposed capital programme changes and forecast spending by Directorate. 9 Table 5 People Place Neighbourhoods Business Change City Director HRA Totals Original Budget £m 85.390 68.790 3.330 16.210 17.190 57.050 247.960 Approved Changes £’m 13.331 -2.213 2.329 -0.746 -5.040 -23.300 -42.301 Proposed Changes £m -7.511 -3.869 -1.711 0.251 -0.829 -13.669 Revised Budget 2014/15 £m 64.548 62.708 3.948 15.715 12.150 32.921 191.990 Forecast £m 64.148 62.209 3.948 15.464 12.150 32.921 190.840 26. The Capital Programme Board (CPB) has been established to oversee and improve the coordination of the Capital Programme, ensuring that projects are delivered within their allocation of funding and planned timescales. Responsible Officers will be challenged on the projected variances by the CPB. 27. The actual capital spend to the end of quarter three is £99m (£104m to 23 rd January 2015) and historic trends indicate that capital spending increases towards the end of the financial year. 28. The following variations to the Capital Programme were considered by the Capital Programme Board and are recommended to Cabinet for approval: Table 6 People Schools’ Programme - Re-profile spend on additional pupil places to future years due to o Extend project for operational purposes o Scheme changes o Delays in acquiring sites and changes to schemes as a result of changing circumstances of individual schools included in the programme Sub-total People Place - Re-profile spend on schemes to future years as set out below – - Energy – Primarily the re-profile of provision of Green Deal grants - Transport – re-scoping of works, extended consultation periods and delays caused by planning and site acquisitions. Sub-total Place Neighbourhoods - The investment in Parks has been disrupted due to the inclement weather the region has suffered over recent months. Spend has been re-profiled to future years. Sub-total Neighbourhoods £’m (7.511) (7.511) (3.869) (1.711) 10 Business Change - Bristol Workplace Programme spend re-profile Sub-total Business Change HRA - Re-profile spend on schemes to future years, primarily new build and enabling works. Sub-total HRA 0.251 0.251 (0.829) TOTAL (13.669) 29. The following adjustments to budget were considered by the Capital Programme Board and are recommended to Cabinet for approval. E – Managing Income 30. Collection performance for Local Taxation now remains broadly on target following an improvement in council tax collection at the end of the current period. With regards to sundry debt collection, the promptness of raising invoices appears to have improved significantly with collection rates being maintained. F - Treasury Management 31. No borrowing has been undertaken during 2014/15. Net debt (borrowing less investment) rose from £178m to £222m during the period primarily due to certain grant funding being received in advance and expensed during the year. 32. The Council has complied with all treasury management legislative and regulatory requirements during the period and all transactions were in accordance with the approved Treasury Management Strategy. A more comprehensive mid-year treasury management report is included elsewhere on the Agenda. Risk Assessment 33. As outlined in the Revenue Budget report, presented to Cabinet in February 2014, the most substantial risks within the 2014/15 budget have been assessed and will be closely monitored throughout the year. These were identified as: - - the scale of overall reductions to all directorate budgets (£26m identified and included in the approved budget) the impact of current economic conditions on income budgets (e.g. local land charges and commercial property estate) and expenditure budgets (e.g. benefits and homelessness) housing benefit changes Care placements & budgets, both in terms of activity as a result of demographic pressures and also unit costs inflationary pressure on contract and energy costs corporate budget pressures changes to business rate income 11 Consultation and scrutiny input: a. Internal consultation: Strategic Directors, Service Directors and the finance team. b. External consultation: Not applicable Other options considered: No other options are considered prudent at the present time. Public sector equality duties: There are no proposals in this report which require either a statement as to the relevance of public sector equality duties or an Equalities Impact Assessment. Environmental checklist / eco impact assessment Not applicable. Resource and legal implications: Finance a. Financial (revenue) implications – Service Director - Finance: As set out in the Report, the Council is currently forecasting an overspend. Failure to take action to contain spending within budget and to manage and monitor expenditure and income could result in a requirement to draw on reserves. The level of reserves is limited and a one off resource that cannot be used as a long term sustainable strategy for financial stability. Budget monitoring and management, of which this report forms part of the control environment, is a mitigating process to ensure early identification of pressures and action plans. Budget risks and pressures have been identified, as outlined above, and are currently being managed and closely monitored. Finance staff resources have been targeted to ensure that support for budget monitoring is concentrated on areas of particularly high risk. b. Financial (capital) implications: Set out within the report. c. Legal implications: Not applicable for this report d. Land / property implications: Not required for this report e. Human resources implications: Not applicable for this report 12 CABINET – 3 March 2015 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF AGENDA ITEM 10 Report title: Proposed extension to The Mall, Cribbs Causeway – Bristol City Council’s response Wards affected: City wide Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairi / Strategic Director Place Report Author: Colin Chapman / Local Plan Team Manager RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: That the representation at Appendix 1 is submitted to South Gloucestershire Council by Bristol City Council in respect of the planning application for an extension to The Mall at Cribbs Causeway (ref: PT14/4894/O). Key background / detail: a. Purpose of report: To advise the Cabinet of the planning application for a major extension to the Mall shopping centre in South Gloucestershire and to agree the response of Bristol City Council. b. Key details: 1. For the reasons set out in the proposed representation, officers consider that the proposed extension to the out-of-centre Mall would be harmful to Bristol because of the impact on Bristol city centre and the transport implications. 2. The proposal is considered to be at odds with national and local planning policies which establish a ‘town centre first’ approach to the location of retail development and other town centre uses. No need for a development of this type and scale at an out of centre location has been established in any local plan. The proposal is considered likely to be harmful to the vitality and vitality of Bristol city centre and to have a harmful impact on existing, committed and planned private and public sector investment in the city centre. 3. The transport implications of the proposal have not been properly assessed in the information submitted with the planning application. There is potential for significant adverse impacts on Bristol’s roads. 4. Concerns about the impact of the proposals are also being expressed by other local authorities concerning the potential impacts on the centres of Bath, Weston-Super-Mare, Swindon, Taunton, Newport and settlements in the Forest of Dean. AGENDA ITEM 10 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3 March 2015 REPORT TITLE: Proposed extension to The Mall, Cribbs Causeway – Bristol City Council’s response Ward(s) affected by this report: City wide Strategic Director: Barra Mac Ruairi / Strategic Director Place Report author: Colin Chapman / Local Plan Team Manager Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 01173525868 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To advise the Cabinet of the planning application for a major extension to the Mall shopping centre in South Gloucestershire and to agree the response of Bristol City Council. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: 1. That the representation at Appendix 1 is submitted to South Gloucestershire Council by Bristol City Council in respect of the planning application for an extension to The Mall at Cribbs Causeway (ref: PT14/4894/O). The proposal: 1. An outline planning application has been submitted to South Gloucestershire for an extension to The Mall at Cribbs Causeway (ref: PT14/4894/O). South Gloucestershire Council has consulted Bristol City Council on the proposals. This report proposes that an objection should be made. 2. The description of the development is: “Alteration and extension of The Mall including the erection of new buildings for uses within Use Classes A1-A5 (shops, financial & professional services, restaurants & cafes, drinking establishments and hot food takeaway), D1 (nonresidential institutions) and D2 (assembly & leisure), C1 (hotel), C3 (dwellings comprising apartments), provision of a new multi-storey car park and alterations to existing entrances. Erection of a new bus station including uses within Use Classes A1-A5. Provision of new public realm, including public space and landscaped areas. Provision of new roads and pedestrian routes and cycle ways, including a new pedestrian and cycle bridge over Merlin Road, and other ancillary works and operations. Temporary works including provision of temporary bus station comprising works to existing surface car parking areas and temporary contractor and car parking compounds and associated facilities”. Details of the application can be inspected via the South Gloucestershire Council web site at http://developments.southglos.gov.uk/online-applications/ - reference PT14/4894/O. Documents accompanying the planning application include a planning and retail statement and an environmental statement which includes a transport assessment. The Assistant Mayor (Place) and senior Bristol City Council officers received a pre-application briefing on the proposals from the applicants on 24 th October 2014. 3. The proposed extension would be located at the existing Mall, situated on Merlin Road which leads directly to Junction 17 of the M5 motorway approximately half a mile away. The Mall is on the edge of the urban area about 6 miles from Bristol city centre. 4. In summary, the proposals would comprise: 30,230 - 35,250m2 shops, including a new anchor department store 6,600 - 8,980 m2 services/restaurants and cafes 120 room hotel 4,000 – 7,620 m2 leisure 21,000 – 24,270 m2 other floorspace (service corridors, circulation space, plant rooms, stairwells, ancillary accommodation such as WCs) Multi-story car park – 1,500 replacement spaces New bus station 620 m2 community facilities Background 5. Proposals for the development of an out-of-centre shopping centre at Cribbs Causeway first came under consideration in the 1980s and The Mall opened in 1998. The John Lewis store relocated from its previous location on Horsefair in Bristol city centre when the Mall opened. Since the Mall was opened a significant proportion of retail expenditure within Bristol city centre’s catchment area has been diverted to that out-of-centre location. Planning policy 6. The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) sets out a ‘town centre first’ approach to planning for main town centre uses such as shops, restaurants, hotels and leisure. It requires local plans to recognise town centres as the heart of their communities and pursue policies to support their viability and vitality, as well as defining a network and hierarchy of centres. The NPPF confirms that existing out-of-centre developments, comprising or including main town centre uses, do not constitute town centres. 7. The NPPF also sets out sequential and impact tests to be met for out-of-centre development that does not accord with a local plan. If proposals do not meet the tests, then permission should be refused. 8. The South Gloucestershire Core Strategy sets out a hierarchy of centres in that district. The Core Strategy confirms the out-of-centre status of The Mall at Cribbs Causeway and it is therefore not a centre in the hierarchy. Policy CS14 of the South Gloucestershire Core Strategy directs retail development to centres in the hierarchy. It makes no provision for major expansion of the Mall. 9. The Bristol Local Plan Core Strategy sets out a retail hierarchy with Bristol city centre at its head. The Core Strategy says that Bristol’s role as a regional focus will be promoted and strengthened. The Bristol Central Area Plan, which has recently been confirmed as sound by a planning inspector, sets out proposals and policies for retail development in the city centre, with a particular focus on the continued growth and regeneration of Bristol Shopping Quarter (Broadmead, Cabot Circus and The Galleries). Implications for Bristol 10. The application proposals would result in a huge scale development of main town centre uses - over 50,000m2 - at an acknowledged out-of-centre location. The Mall would be increased in size by about 50% greatly increasing the number of shops and services located there, including the provision of a third anchor department store. It would result in the creation of an out-of-centre shopping facility tantamount to a large town’s scale and range within the catchment of Bristol city centre. 11. Appendix 1 of this report sets out a proposed representation for this Council to make on the planning application. For the reasons set out in the proposed representation, officers consider that the proposed extension to the Mall would be harmful to Bristol because of the impact on Bristol city centre and the transport implications of the proposal. The key points are: The proposal is at odds with national and local planning policies which establish a ‘town centre first’ approach to the location of retail development and other town centre uses. No need for a development of this type and scale at an out of centre location has been established in any local plan. The proposals are not consistent with the sequential test in national planning policy – they fail to adopt the ‘town centre first’ approach. Uses of the type proposed could readily be located in Bristol city centre or in other centres within the large catchment area of the Mall. The Council’s retail consultant has set out the reasons why the applicants’ assessment of retail impact is wholly inadequate such that the tests in national policy have not been properly addressed (see Annex 1 of the proposed representation). The proposals would divert expenditure from Bristol city centre. This would be likely to adversely affect its vitality and viability. As the Bristol City Centre Retail Study 2013 has indicated, it is also expected that such a large scale out-of-centre development would impact on the potential for plan-led development in Bristol city centre. Investor confidence would be harmed and development proposals would be put at risk. The proposals are considered to be inconsistent with the National Planning Policy Framework’s approach to promoting sustainable transport. The transport implications of the proposal have not been properly assessed in the information submitted with the planning application. There is potential for significant adverse impacts on Bristol’s roads. It is also noted that the Highways Agency has raised concerns about the potential for impact on the motorway network. Detailed consideration of transport issues is included within Annex 2 of the proposed representation. Implications for other areas 12. Objections to the proposals have been submitted by local authorities who raise concerns about impacts of the application proposals on the centres of Bath, Weston-Super-Mare, Taunton, Newport, Swindon and centres in Forest of Dean district. Commercial interests have also made objections regarding the impact of the proposals on city and town centres. These are available to view on the South Gloucestershire Council web site (see paragraph 2 above). Consultation and scrutiny input: a. Internal consultation: Transport Development Management – see Annex 2 of proposed representation b. External consultation: N/A Other options considered: As the planning applications proposals are considered harmful to the interests of Bristol, no other options to the recommendation in this report have been considered. Risk management / assessment: FIGURE 1 The risks associated with the implementation of the (subject) decision : No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report 1 None INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact Probability N/A N/A RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). n/a CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability N/A N/A FIGURE 2 The risks associated with not implementing the (subject) decision: No. RISK Threat to achievement of the key objectives of the report 1 INHERENT RISK (Before controls) Impact If the City Council does not makes High its views known South Gloucestershire Council will not be able to take them into account in determining the planning application Probability High RISK CONTROL MEASURES Mitigation (ie controls) and Evaluation (ie effectiveness of mitigation). CURRENT RISK RISK OWNER (After controls) Impact Probability High High Public sector equality duties: The recommendation of this report is that the Council submits representations on a planning application in a neighbouring authority’s area. The decision on the application lies with that authority. Therefore, no equality impact assessment is required regarding this Council’s decision to make a representation. The recommendation is not considered to have implications regarding the need to eliminate discrimination, harassment, victimisation or any other conduct prohibited under the Equality Act 2010 and does not have implications regarding the advancement of equality of opportunity, fostering good relations, tackling prejudice and promoting understanding. Eco impact assessment The recommendation of this report is that the Council submits comments on a planning application in a neighbouring authority. The decision on the application lies with that authority. Therefore, no eco impact assessment is required regarding this Council’s decision. Resource and legal implications: The recommendation of the report is that the Council submits representations on the planning application in the neighbouring local planning authority. Bristol City Council is not the decision maker on the proposals. The submission of representations is not an action which has financial, legal or human resource implications, as listed below. Finance a. Financial (revenue) implications: Submitting comments on the planning application does not have any revenue implications. b. Financial (capital) implications: Submitting comments on the planning application does not have any capital implications. Comments from the Corporate Capital Programme Board: N/A c. Legal implications: There are no legal implications arising from the submission of comments on the planning application. d. Land / property implications: There are no land/property implications arising from the submission of comments on the planning application. e. Human resources implications: There are no human resource implications arising from the submission of comments on the planning application. Appendices: Appendix 1 – Planning application reference PT14/4894/O Proposed extension to The Mall, Cribbs Causeway: Proposed representation of Bristol City Council Access to information (background papers): None. S:\Reports\2011-12\Executives 2011-2012\Cabinet\general\decision making\cabinet report format.odt Appendix 1 Planning application reference PT14/4894/O - Proposed extension to The Mall, Cribbs Causeway Proposed Representation of Bristol City Council 1. Bristol City Council strongly objects to the application. South Gloucestershire Council is requested to refuse to grant planning permission for the reasons explained below: National Planning Policy Framework 2. National planning policy aims at ensuring the vitality of town centres (NPPF paragraphs 23 – 27). The NPPF is clear that existing out-of-centre development comprising or including main town centre uses do not constitute town centres (NPPF Annex 2 – ‘Town Centre’). The application proposals would result in a huge scale development of main town centre uses at an out-of-centre location. This would clearly be at odds with the Government’s ‘town centre first’ policy, the importance of which has recently been reemphasised by ministers (DCLG Planning Update Newsletter January 2015). As discussed below, the proposals fail the sequential test set out in the NPPF and would have a significantly harmful impact on existing centres. 3. The National Planning Policy Framework stresses a set of key principles which should underpin both plan-making and decision taking (NPPF paragraph 17). One of those key principles is that planning should be ‘genuinely plan-led’. The NPPF’s section on ensuring the vitality of town centres says that planning policies should be positive, promote competitive town centres environments and set out policies for the management and growth of centres. The recent and up to date local plans for both South Gloucestershire and Bristol set out this positive, centres-based approach. 4. The application proposals are entirely inconsistent with these plan-led approaches and conflict with this key national principle. No identified needs for retail development of this scale in this out-of-centre location have been established in the recently adopted South Gloucestershire Core Strategy or any other local plan. The application proposals fail to be plan-led and would act to undermine plan-led approaches to town centres. Local Plan policy 5. The South Gloucestershire Core Strategy Policy CS14 sets out a hierarchy of centres and directs retail development to those centres. The Mall is not included in the hierarchy and is identified as being out-of-centre. The application proposals are contrary to the provisions of policy CS14. Planning policy history 6. The applicants have suggested in their planning and retail statement that key decisions regarding the Mall have been ‘kicked into the long grass’ in successive policy documents. South Gloucestershire Council is requested to disregard the comments as they are incorrect. The correct position is that national policy takes a town centre first approach and at each stage, following independent examination, strategic expansion of the Mall at Cribbs Causeway has not been supported: The National Planning Policy Framework (March 2012) is clear that out-of-centre developments are not town centres. It requires a policy context to be established for ensuring the vitality of town centres, with town centres recognised as the hearts of their communities. National policy does not indicate that policies should be directed towards the expansion of out-of-centre facilities; Since the former Regional Planning Guidance in 2001, strategic and local planning policies have determined and reconfirmed that strategic expansion of the Mall at Cribbs Causeway should not take place. The approach to the Mall was considered during the preparation of the former draft Regional Strategy which was intended to become part of the development plan. That document stated; ‘The strategic extension of the existing major shopping centres of Cribbs Causeway and Clarks Village will not be supported’ (Draft revised RSS for the South West July 2008); Strategic expansion of the Mall was proposed again during the preparation of the South Gloucestershire Core Strategy and was rejected by the planning inspector who indicated that the scheme would be ‘at odds with the NPPF’. The South Gloucestershire Core Strategy as adopted rightly directs retail development to town centres and confirms the out-of-centre status of The Mall. 7. There is no policy delay or vacuum regarding the Mall. The approach to be taken has been considered and confirmed in all relevant documents. The future process for development plan preparation is indicated in the West of England Duty to Cooperate Schedule and provides the appropriate context for any plan-led approaches to the Mall. 8. Under the existing, plan-led approach it is clear that retail development should be directed to the city, town and district centres serving the communities in South Gloucestershire, Bristol, Bath and North East Somerset, North Somerset and adjoining local authorities. This is the development plan context in which to consider the current application. To permit such a huge expansion of retail and other main town centre uses at an out-of-centre location would turn national and local policy on its head. Sequential test 9. National and local planning policy requires that a sequential test is applied to proposals for main town centre uses that are not in an existing centre. The test requires applications to be located in town centres and only if suitable sites are not available should out-of-centre sites be considered. Applicants are expected to demonstrate flexibility on issues such as format and scale (NPPF paragraph 24). 10. The application proposals fail the sequential test. The applicants have not demonstrated the necessary flexibility in terms of scale or format. The proposals vastly exceed any need for main town centre uses identified in local plans. There is no requirement for development of main town centre uses of this scale in a single location. It is, therefore, inflexible to seek to apply the sequential test to uses at the scale proposed in the planning application. 11. In terms of format, there is no requirement for the shops and services proposed to all be located in a single building at a single out-of-centre location. The shops and services proposed would be expected to be seen in retail premises on any main high street. They could readily be located within the city, town and district centres throughout the extensive area from which the Mall draws its primarily car-borne shoppers. For example, Bristol city centre contains existing retail and service premises awaiting occupiers and there are substantial areas allocated for retail development. 12. Sequentially appropriate locations should be considered in Bristol city centre, the centres of Bath, Weston-Super-Mare, Newport, Chepstow, Gloucester, Cheltenham, Swindon, Taunton and Bridgwater as well as within centres in the identified retail hierarchy in South Gloucestershire. This has not been properly and flexibly undertaken with the result that the sequential test has not been passed. The National Planning Policy Framework makes quite clear that proposals for out-of-centre retailing which fail to satisfy the sequential test should be refused (NPPF paragraph 27). Impact on centres 13. Bristol City Council has reviewed the retail impact assessment submitted with the planning application. It is considered inadequate and is a wholly unreliable assessment which underestimates the impacts of the proposal on other centres. The assessment cannot provide a robust basis on which to consider the impacts on Bristol city centre. The deficiencies in the study are identified in the independent report appended to this representation (Annex 1). 14. It is clear from available evidence that the application proposals would have a significantly harmful impact on Bristol city centre. The proposals would divert trade from Bristol city centre which would be harmful to its vitality and viability; the impact on pedestrian flows would risk retailers withdrawing from the city centre. The application proposals would also significantly impact on investor confidence and act as a deterrent to investment in the city centre. Evidence suggests that proposals facilitated by the city’s local plan would not proceed in the event of such a huge expansion of out-of-centre retailing being permitted. 15. These adverse impacts on Bristol city centre are an extremely important consideration and are of strategic significance. Bristol city centre is a multi-role centre serving the entire built up area of Bristol and a wide area beyond. It serves the residents of South Gloucestershire as well as Bristol. Indeed, a large proportion of the population of South Gloucestershire is located closer to Bristol city centre than to the Mall at Cribbs Causeway and public transport services focus on the city centre. Bristol city centre’s role and status is clear in the adopted development plan and it can be regarded as an important heart for the community of the Bristol area. 16. Bristol Shopping Quarter, the primary retail district of the city centre, has been subject of significant public and private sector investment in recent years. The Cabot Circus development opened in 2008 following a £500 million investment. It provided a step change in the range and quality of retail and entertainment provision in the city centre. The Galleries shopping centre has recently been the subject of over £5 million of modernisation and improvement. The Broadmead Business Improvement District has delivered significant improvements to the public realm. The new bus and coach station at Marlborough Street has enhanced public transport access and the proposed MetroBus will further enhance accessibility. 17. Despite these recent improvements there remain weakness and vulnerabilities which impact on Bristol Shopping Quarter’s health, vitality and viability. The city centre has fallen in relative retail rankings recently, despite the positive influence of Cabot Circus. The remaining post war building stock requires on-going regeneration. There are still significant levels of vacancy and there is relatively limited provision of food, drink and leisure uses in Bristol Shopping Quarter. Further investment and improvements are required to address these issues and ensure Bristol Shopping Quarter continues to provide a strong retail environment which serves the needs of the city’s residents and those of South Gloucestershire and surrounding areas. 18. The Bristol Central Area Plan1 addresses how investment and improvement will be achieved by setting out a plan-led retail strategy for the city centre and by allocating specific sites for new development. It also provides a policy context to encourage greater diversity of uses, such as food, drink and leisure in Bristol Shopping Quarter to support its primary retail function. 19. The application proposals would bring the scale of the retail and service provision at the Mall closer to that provided in the city centre. It is, therefore, inevitable that expenditure would be substantially diverted from Bristol city centre as the evidence indicates. This will act to undermine the plan-led approaches referred to above. It will significantly impact on city centre vitality putting at risk the investment which has already been made. As evidence suggests, this is also likely to discourage the necessary planned investment required to maintain and enhance the city centre’s role. This would be detrimental to the continued regeneration of Bristol city centre and contrary to the stated objectives of the Bristol Core Strategy, the Bristol Central Area Plan and national planning policy. 20. The National Planning Policy Framework is clear that proposals which are likely to have a significant adverse impact should be refused (NPPF paragraph 27). Economic issues 21. The applicants have suggested that the proposals have a role in social and physical regeneration and would support the continuing health of the Mall. They suggest that the Mall would experience relative decline in the longer term in a no development scenario. 22. There is no evidence to suggest that the Mall would fail to prosper in the absence of the huge extension proposed. In any case, Government policy does not aim to secure the position of out-of-centre retailing. Its focus is on ensuring the vitality of town centres. The Mall is not a town centre and the application proposals would be harmful to the regeneration and prosperity of those city and town centres which are recognised through national and local planning policy as being the hearts of their communities. 1 Following receipt of the Inspector’s report, the Bristol Central Area Plan is due to be adopted as part of the development plan on 17 March 2015. 23. The applicants also suggest that the proposed development would be an economic benefit to the region. Having regard to national and local planning policy, South Gloucestershire Council is requested to place greater weight in its decision on the harm that would arise to planned investment and development in established town centres. The applicants’ assessment has focussed on the immediate employment and development impacts of the extension. This approach fails to take account of the deflection of investment, the harmful impacts on existing centres and the inconsistency with national and local policy. 24. The town centres providing higher order shopping functions and serving as the hearts of their communities in the West of England are Bristol city centre, Bath city centre and Weston-Super-Mare town centre, with supporting services provided by the numerous more local centres shown in the retail hierarchies of the local plans for each area. It is more beneficial for the residents and business of the region for investment to continue to be focussed on those areas as provided for in each Council’s local plans. 25. South Gloucestershire Council is also requested to have regard to the comments from local authorities outside the West of England regarding the impacts on town and city centres in those areas. New development near the Mall 26. The applicants suggest that the proposed development helps to provide for the needs of the new communities which will be developed near The Mall. 27. The CPNN developments were included in the South Gloucestershire Core Strategy without any requirement for a major expansion of comparison retailing and leisure floorspace in the vicinity. The planning policy for the New Neighbourhood includes provision for local shopping provision and facilities to serve the needs of the new communities; these are being included within planning applications currently under consideration. 28. In terms of comparison shopping, the proposed extension to the Mall would create shopping provision which would absorb expenditure far in excess of that likely to be generated by the local increase in population (see paragraphs 10 to 12 of the report in Appendix 1). It should also be noted that the new communities lie well within the catchment of Bristol city centre and will be well connected to the city centre by public transport services. 29. The City Council has no objection to the proposals in the application to create better cycle and pedestrian routes to surrounding areas. These are welcome. However, there is no justification for a strategic scale extension to the Mall in order to meet comparison shopping needs of the new communities whose residents will account for a small fraction of the population within the Mall’s acknowledged extensive catchment. Transport impacts 30. The National Planning Policy Framework says in its section on ‘Promoting sustainable transport’ that encouragement should be given to solutions which support reductions in greenhouse gas emissions and reduce congestion (NPPF paragraph 30). It also identifies as a core principle the need for planning to actively manage patterns of growth to make the fullest possible use of public transport, walking and cycling, and focus significant development in locations which are or can be made sustainable (NPPF paragraph 17). 31. The application proposals are entirely at odds with these important aspects of Government planning policy. They would result in the unplanned provision of a very large scale development of main town centre uses served by 7,000 free car parking spaces at the fringe of the urban area, less than a mile from junction 17 of the M5. The proposed extension would inevitably generate a substantial increase in car based trips to and from the site, as the information submitted with the application clearly shows. 32. The evidence submitted with the application indicates that around 90% of the users of the Mall travel to the facility by car. It has not been demonstrated that the proposals would significantly change this proportion. The proposed links to residential areas, though welcome, are of very limited significance in terms of securing a significant change in modal share as residents in the locality will only represent a small fraction of Mall users. The improvements to the bus station, though welcome, have not been demonstrated to result in a material improvement in sustainable transport usage. It is not clear whether significant modal shift is achievable having regard to the substantial catchment area from which the Mall’s customers are drawn. 33. Having regard to the transport implications of the planned development in Cribbs Patchway New Neighbourhood, the City Council is very concerned about the additional impacts on Bristol’s highway network arising from the application proposals which are not provided for in the local plan. The transport assessment accompanying the application does not adequately assess the impacts the proposed development would have in terms of congestion, in particular the effects on the A4018 and the B4056. It is a significant concern that the transport assessment does not consider transport demand at key peak periods of seasonal usage or on Saturdays. The report appended to this representation explains these concerns in detail (Annex 2). 34. The City Council also notes with concern the comments of the Highways Agency regarding the impact on the motorway network, set out in the comments accompanying the Agency’s holding direction. The City Council is very concerned about any proposals which would impact adversely on the operation of the junction/motorway and the consequent impacts on the local highway network. The junction is there to provide access to the motorway network to wide areas of Bristol. It is considered that any adverse impacts on the junction would be harmful to the economic well-being of the city and detrimental to residents and businesses over a wide area. Residential development 35. The planning application proposes 150 residential units. The City Council has no objection to this part of the proposals. Concluding comments 36. The application proposals would create an unsustainable form of development which would do significant harm. The ‘town centre first’ approach in national and local planning policy is directed towards ensuring the vitality of those places which form the hearts of their communities. The proposal for a huge expansion of main town centre uses in an out-of-centre location would turn national and local policy on its head. It clearly fails the sequential test. 37. The application proposals would significantly harm Bristol city centre both in terms of the impact on existing, committed and planned public and private investment and in terms of impact on its vitality and viability. It therefore fails the impact test. 38. The proposals are likely to have a harmful impact on Bristol in terms of traffic generated. The City Council is also greatly concerned about the potential impact on the motorway junction and the implications this has for the city as a whole. 39. South Gloucestershire Council is therefore requested to refuse to grant planning permission for the proposal which is contrary to the development plan, contrary to national policy, unsustainable and likely to cause significant harm to Bristol city centre. As the proposals are contrary to the development plan, in accordance with section 38(6) of the Planning and Compulsory Purchase Act, planning permission should not be granted there being no material considerations which would indicate otherwise. ANNEX 1 REPORT ON RETAIL IMPACT Proposed extension of The Mall at Cribbs Causeway REPORT ON THE APPLICANTS’ ‘PLANNING AND RETAIL STATEMENT’ For Bristol City Council February 2015 Jonathan Baldock BSc (Est. Man.) MSc FRICS MRTPI Town Centres & Retail Planning Consultant INTRODUCTION 1. The planning application for this proposed development was supported by a ‘Planning and Retail Statement’ dated December 2014, prepared by Nathaniel Lichfield and Partners (NLP). I have reviewed the ‘Planning and Retail Statement’, focusing particularly on its treatment of the impact test and sequential tests in the Framework. 2. I have assessed whether the retail impact forecasts by NLP are soundly based and realistic, and whether they reliably demonstrate that the proposed retail development could pass the impact tests in the Framework. I have also assessed whether or not the sequential test has in principle been properly applied. 3. In undertaking my review, I have had regard to the Bristol City Centre Retail Study, DTZ, May 2013 2 (the Retail Study). I have also had regard to the deposit draft Bristol Central Area Plan (BCAP), which was subject to an EIP in October 2014. The BCAP includes policies aimed at the regeneration of the Bristol Shopping Quarter, principally by means of a major retail development, a site for which is identified and allocated for this purpose. 4. After this Introduction, I comment briefly on forecast retail capacity in Greater Bristol in relation to the proposed extension of The Mall. I then review NLP’s retail impact forecasts, and identify a number of serious flaws which together mean that the impact assessment in the ‘Planning and Retail Statement’ is wholly unreliable. I next comment briefly and in outline on the impacts of the proposed food and beverage uses, and leisure uses. This is followed by my opinion on how the sequential test has been applied by NLP. RETAIL CAPACITY TO SUPPORT THE PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT 5. In the ‘Planning and Retail Statement’, NLP refer to retail capacity forecasts for South Gloucestershire commissioned by SGDC, and claim that these support the scale of new retail floorspace now proposed at The Mall. 6. The most recent forecasts of future retail capacity in South Gloucestershire are those by Roger Tym & Partners (RTP) set out in their ‘South Gloucestershire Town Centres and Retail Study Update 2011’, commissioned by SGDC as part of the evidence base for the development plan. This study updates the retail capacity forecasts in RTP’s ‘Town Centres and Retail Study’, April 2010, also commissioned by SGDC. However the 2011 update is based on the same household interview survey of shopping patterns undertaken by RTP in 2009. As in most such retail capacity forecasting, the results of that survey are critical to the resulting forecasts. If the survey is unsound or its results are incorrectly interpreted and applied, the retail capacity forecasts based upon it will be unreliable. 7. RTP’s 2009 household interview survey had a number of limitations and defects, the most important of which are as follows: 2 As a retained Consultant to DTZ, I assisted that company to prepare that study. However for the avoidance of doubt, I confirm that in advising the Council on this proposed development, I have not worked and will not be working with or for DTZ. My report and subsequent advice is therefore wholly independent. However I have drawn upon the work of DTZ in that company’s previous advice to the Council, so as to ensure consistency of evidence and advice. It covered an area only modestly larger than South Gloucestershire, so did not measure the full catchment area of the many retail facilities at Cribbs Causeway. The detailed sampling specification and survey results are not included in the report, so it is not possible to know whether the sample included age quotas or weighting of the results by age band, to ensure that it was representative of the age distribution of the population as a whole. However it is highly likely that (in common with most such surveys in 2009) it was merely a random sample of telephone subscribers; and in consequence the results were substantially biased towards the older age groups, particularly those aged 65+. The survey asked questions about only 6 sub-categories of comparison goods. This is a crude approach leading to unreliable results. Thus it lumped together furniture and floor-coverings with household textiles and soft furnishings; and domestic appliances with audio-visual equipment; whereas many surveys have shown that the components of each of these pairs have somewhat different shopping patterns. The survey also did not include a question about shopping habits for chemists’, medical and beauty products, but lumped these goods in with ‘specialist items such as jewellery, photographic goods, musical instruments or sports equipment’. Again, many surveys have shown that chemists’ medical and beauty products have the most localised patterns of shopping of all comparison goods. As they account for a substantial proportion of comparison goods expenditure, this omission means that the shopping patterns indicated by the survey results are unreliable. There are other weaknesses in RTP’s updated retail capacity forecasts, including: 8. It adopts national average forecast rates of growth in per capita expenditure, rather than forecasts specific to the study area. It makes too low a deduction for expenditure on Special Forms of Trading (14.7% from 2016 onwards, compared with 15.0% in 2016 rising to 17.0% in 2021 and to 18.0% in 2026 in the Retail Study). The household survey results appear to have been applied uncritically without any corrections to re-balance the forecasts. This produces some unrealistic results, for example RTP estimate that The Mall at Cribbs Causeway attracted only £132.3m (2008 prices) of comparison goods expenditure from the study area in 2011, compared with £205.6m attracted by the Cribbs Causeway Retail Park. To be fair, RTP do state that the survey results make distinguishing between these two locations difficult; but this example does cast doubt on how the survey results have been applied. 9. The foregoing is not a detailed review and critique of RTP’s updated retail capacity forecasts. However it suggests that the forecasts should be treated with some caution, as they are clearly not adequate to justify the proposed Mall extension. Indeed as RTP comment, ‘this study is not intended to assess the need for growth at Cribbs Causeway’ (paragraph 3.3). NLP’s reference to RTP’s forecasts as supporting the proposed Mall extension, are therefore not correct. New retail capacity forecasts for Greater Bristol, including the northern part within South Gloucestershire, will be needed; if the next iteration of the South Gloucestershire development plan is to address the future of The Mall in the correct manner as part of the development plan process, rather than via the current outline planning application. 10. NLP state that the purpose of the proposed extension is ‘to provide for the future needs of its existing customers and the growing surrounding communities of the Cribbs Patchway New Neighbourhood (‘CPNN’)’ (paragraph 2.26). However CPNN (including Charlton Hayes) is expected to comprise up to about 6,775 new dwellings. Assuming average occupancy of 2.3 persons per dwelling, and NLP’s average catchment area comparison goods expenditure of £3,760 per capita in 2021, this new population would generate total comparison goods expenditure of about £58.6m in 2021. At NLP’s and the Retail Study’s assumed sales density for new comparison goods floorspace (£7,171 per sq m net), this would support only about 8,170 sq m net comparison goods floorspace in 2021. 11. Of course, not all of this additional expenditure could or should realistically be provided in the form of an extension to The Mall, as some of this expenditure would flow to Bristol City Centre, superstores, retail parks and smaller centres. However even if all of it was judged to provide support for extension of The Mall, it would justify a far smaller extension than the 24,278 sq m net stated by NLP as being the comparison goods content of the proposed extension. It is therefore clear that only a small proportion of the retail floorspace in the proposed extension (an absolute maximum of one third) is to serve the new population of the CPNN. The great majority is intended to strengthen The Mall’s regional attractiveness, in competition with Bristol City Centre, and other sub-regional centres such as Bath, Weston-Super-Mare, Newport, Gloucester, Cheltenham and Swindon. 12. In any event, the ‘strategic’ comparison goods shopping needs of the new population of the CPNN would already be adequately catered for by The Mall and Cribbs Retail Park and superstores, by Bristol Centre, and by other centres and retail parks; and/or by major new retail development in the Bristol Shopping Quarter in accordance with the BCAP. More day-to-day comparison goods shopping needs could be met in a more sustainable way by providing new neighbourhood centres embedded in the new housing areas, and including some local comparison goods shopping facilities. The comparison goods shopping needs of the CPNN do not therefore justify the scale of the proposed extension to The Mall. 13. If the extension was permitted, The Mall as extended (but without taking account of the existing superstores and retail park at Cribbs Causeway) would be broadly equivalent in scale to the town centre of a typical free-standing town of similar size to Swindon, Crawley, or Ipswich. It would require a total support population at least as great as that of the built up area of Plymouth, for example. When the superstores and Cribbs Causeway Retail Park are also taken into account, the Cribbs Causeway area as a whole with The Mall extended, would be broadly equivalent to the town centre of a substantially larger town; and would require a substantially larger support population. 14. The Retail Study indicates that The Mall as existing has comparison goods floorspace estimated as 46,964 sq m net; whilst that in Bristol City Centre is estimated as 111,132 sq m net. With the proposed 3 extension, the comparison goods floorspace at The Mall would increase to about 75,900 sq m net . Thus it would rise from about 42% of City Centre comparison goods floorspace to about 68%. When the comparison goods floorspace in the superstores and retail park at Cribbs Causeway is also included, the total comparison goods floorspace at Cribbs Causeway as a whole would be similar to or greater than that in Bristol City Centre, if the proposed extension was permitted. Also, The Mall as proposed to be extended (even without the retail park and superstores) would have almost as much comparison goods floorspace as in Bath City Centre (about 95%). 3 Based on my estimate below that the proposed extension would comprise comparison goods floorspace of about 25,935 sq m net. 15. These broad comparisons demonstrate the very large scale of The Mall and the proposed extension, and the out-of-centre Cribbs Causeway retail facilities as a whole. They indicate that The Mall and Cribbs Causeway as a whole are already a very major competitor for Bristol City Centre, and would become an even stronger competitor if the proposed extension was permitted. RETAIL IMPACT 16. In this section, I set out the results of my review of the retail impact forecasts in Section 5 and Appendices 1 and 2 of the ‘Planning and Retail Statement’. Where I have not commented on aspects of NLP’s report, it cannot necessarily be taken to mean that I agree with NLP. 17. 4 5 NLP’s comparison goods impact assessment is set out in Tables 1 to 13 in their Appendix 2. This follows a broadly conventional approach, of identifying the likely catchment area of the proposed development, estimating current and forecasting future sales in the existing town centres and retail parks potentially likely to suffer impacts, forecasting future sales in the proposed Mall extension, and from where these would come in terms of trade diversions from existing centres and stores, and hence forecasting retail impacts. Along the way, an interim step is introduced of forecasting the likely retail impacts from committed developments in South Gloucestershire (but not of such developments in any towns elsewhere in or outside the study area) and ‘allocations’ for new retail floorspace in South Gloucestershire and Bristol City Centre. The forecasts are therefore of cumulative impact of (some) committed developments and forecast ‘allocations’, plus the impact from the proposed Mall extension. 18. The assessment is based on the catchment area for Bristol City Centre defined in the Retail Study, plus an additional catchment zone to the north and one to the south. However it updates some of the data inputs to the Retail Study, such as population and per capita expenditure. In addition, NLP has undertaken (in September 2014) a new household interview survey of shopping patterns in this extended catchment area, as the basis for estimating the market shares of available comparison goods expenditure currently attracted by the existing town centres, etc; and hence of calculating the base year sales in each location and forecasting future sales. 19. In preparing the forecasts, NLP has assumed a ‘design year’ for impact testing of 2021. I would expect the proposed Mall extension, if permitted, to open by autumn 2019; so use of 2021 as the design year is compatible with the Planning Practice Guidance (PPG). NLP has also prepared impact forecasts for the ‘horizon year’ of 2026. This date is not supported by the PPG, and so these forecasts are irrelevant and should be disregarded. 20. The overall method used by NLP is in principle broadly sound. However, the reliability of the impacts which it forecasts is only as sound as the data inputs and assumptions on which it is based. In this case NLP’s assessment has a number of flaws, the most important of which are set out below. These are described in the order in which the impact assessment progresses, rather than in any order of importance. I comment on their relative importance towards the end of this section. 4 NLP has assumed that the proposed Mall extension will sell only comparison goods. I consider this is realistic, as it provides a worst case assessment in relation to the volume of comparison goods sales. 5 NLP’s assessment is in 2012 prices, whereas the retail capacity forecasts in the Retail Study are in 2011 prices. However there as there is only an extremely small difference between 2011 and 2012 prices for comparison goods, both I and NLP have compared monetary figures in the Retail Study directly with those in NLP’s assessments without price adjustment. The differences due to the different price basis are extremely marginal. 21. First, the growth in per capita expenditure on comparison goods in the catchment area appears to be based on Experian’s national average projections; rather than forecasts specific to the catchment area as in the Retail Study. Because the local economy is slightly more prosperous than the national average, this means that NLP may have underestimated recent and future growth in comparison goods expenditure in the catchment area. However the differences between NLP’s forecast expenditure growth and that locally forecast in the Retail Study (albeit in November 2012) are not great, so the underestimation by NLP is modest. 22. Second, NLP has applied a deduction from expenditure to account for Special Forms of Trading, which is slightly below the deduction made in the Retail Study (15.9%, compared with 17.0%). I consider that 17.0% is more realistic, for the reasons set out in paragraphs 4.13 and 4.14 in the Retail Study. It is approximately mid-way between forecasts by Verdict Research and Pitney Bowes/Oxford Economics. NLP’s lesser deduction increases available catchment area expenditure and hence reduces retail impact. 23. Third, inflowing visitor expenditure from outside the catchment area has been substantially double counted by NLP, at least for Bristol City Centre and The Mall. They have adopted for their 14 zone catchment area the same inflow percentage uplift for Bristol City Centre, +2.5%, assumed in the Retail Study for DTZ’s smaller 12 zone catchment area. Of course much of the +2.5% inflow to the 12 zone catchment area is likely to come from the additional zones 13 and 14; so to assume the same inflow uplift for the 14 zones is to double count much of the inflow. This is confirmed by NLP’s Table 5, which shows inflow to Bristol City Centre of £24.06m in 2014, compared with the inflow assumed in the Retail Study (interpolated for 2014) of £19.62m. This indicates that about +2% of NLP’s assumed +2.5% inflow is double counted, and a more realistic inflow to the 14 zone catchment area would be +0.5% for Bristol City Centre. As a result, NLP has over-estimated base year and design year sales in Bristol City Centre, and hence under-estimated retail impacts. 24. In the case of The Mall, NLP have again assumed an inflow uplift of +2.5% from their 14 zone catchment area; whereas the Retail Study assumed only +1.0% for the 12 zone catchment area. The latter is more likely to be realistic than the former (which is the same as NLP assume for the city centre) because the city centre’s overall market share and sales is substantially greater than that of The Mall. 6 Thus if +2.5% inflow to the 12 zone catchment area is realistic for the city centre, a substantially lower inflow would be highly likely to The Mall. NLP’s assumed inflow in 2014, £15.33m, for their 14 zone catchment area greatly exceeds the Retail Study’s assumed inflow from the smaller 12 zone catchment area of £3.67m (interpolated). Again, this means that NLP have over-estimated base year and design year sales in The Mall, and hence under-estimated retail impacts. 25. The closer to the edge of the catchment area a centre is located, the greater the expenditure inflow uplift which should be allowed. Thus NLP has allowed for larger inflows for the more peripheral centres (e.g. Bath +11.1%, Chippenham +17.7%, Stroud +11.1%, Newport +43.0%). In principle this is realistic. However no evidence is presented to support these assumed inflow uplifts, some of which are substantial. It would have been desirable for NLP to have provided some independently sourced evidence of base year sales in these more peripheral centres, for example calculations based on retail floorspace and typical sales densities, or estimates taken from retail studies commissioned by the relevant local planning authorities. This has not apparently been done; but it means that NLP’s sales 6 Bristol City Centre is currently a larger and more attractive centre than The Mall – albeit a centre which is vulnerable in parts to increased out-of-centre competition. estimates and impact forecasts for centres outside Greater Bristol, such as Bath, Weston-super-Mare, Chippenham, Gloucester, etc, must be treated with considerable caution. 26. Fourth, NLP’s household interview survey of shopping patterns is based on a sample of respondents which is substantially biased towards those aged 65 and over. DTZ’s household interview survey was based on age-related quota sampling, and age-weighting of the results, to ensure that the final sample was broadly representative of the age distribution of the adult population; whereas NLP’s survey appears to have been based on random sampling and no age-weighting. Experience has shown that this latter sampling method results in older age-biased respondents. The comparison between the two samples in terms of the age of the respondents is as follows: Age band of respondents DTZ Survey* NLP Survey 18 to 34 25.9% 6.3% 35 to 44 19.7% 10.2% 45 to 54 18.1% 19.9% 55 to 65 14.7% 16.1% 65+ 21.7% 43.4% * After age-weighting as described in the Retail Study. This casts considerable doubt on the validity of NLP’s survey results, and means that DTZ’s survey results, despite being about 2 years older, are likely to be more reliable. 27. 7 Fifth, NLP’s survey results do not distinguish between use of The Mall and use of Cribbs Causeway Retail Park and free-standing superstores. They merely record use of ‘Cribbs Causeway, Bristol’ as an answer to the comparison goods questions. This means that NLP’s division of the survey-indicated market shares for Cribbs Causeway as a whole, between The Mall and the Retail Park and other stores, is a matter of assumption, apparently unsupported by any evidence. 28. Sixth, it is not clear how the results from each of the first and second preference questions for each comparison goods category have been combined to indicate average market shares for those categories. Thus NLP’s household survey shows first and second most used shopping destinations for each of 9 sub-categories of comparison goods. These have been combined in an unspecified way to provide average market shares for each goods category in the summary table on page 135. These average market shares for each goods category have been further combined, also in an unspecified way, to produce the overall market shares for all comparison goods set out in Table 4 in Appendix 2. Table 4 is therefore the product of a ‘black box’, the mechanism in which has not been revealed – only the inputs in the form of the raw survey data (which was not included in the ‘Planning and Retail Statement’ but provided on request), and the outputs in the form of the market shares for all comparison goods in Table 4. This makes it impossible to verify whether the market shares in Table 4 realistically flow from the raw survey data. 29. Analysis of the inputs and outputs to the ‘black box’ suggest that NLP may have weighted the first and second answers for each goods category 75/25 respectively (without providing any evidence to support that weighting); and then weighted the resulting average for each goods category according to the proportion of expenditure on it, to provide the overall market shares for all comparison goods. It also suggests that before doing these weightings, NLP may have rebased the survey results to remove the 7 The difference in sample size between the two surveys is not very material; as for Zones 1 to 12, DTZ used a sample of 1,500; whereas for the same 12 zones, NLP used a sample of 1,692. respondents who said ‘internet/mail order’, ‘don’t do this type of shopping’, ‘don’t know’ and ‘no answer’, from the raw survey data. However as none of this is stated by NLP or clear from comparison between the raw survey data and Table 4, I therefore have to reserve my position on the realism of the method of calculating the market shares indicated in Table 4, pending clarification from NLP. 30. Seventh, the results from their household interview survey appear to have been applied uncritically by NLP in calculating base year sales (and projected design year sales) in each shopping destination. It does not appear as though any market share corrections have been applied, the need for which is described in paragraphs 4.20 to 4.26 of the Retail Study. The resulting base year sales estimates by NLP show that this is erroneous. Thus for Bristol City Centre, NLP estimates (in Table 5) sales in 2014 of £962.58m. However the city centre has a total net comparison goods sales area of about 111,132 sq m net, estimated from Experian Goad data. Thus NLP’s sales estimate indicates an average comparison goods sales density of £8,662 per sq m net. This is unrealistically high. There are very few multiple comparison goods retailers which have ‘benchmark’ company average sales densities as high as this; and most independent retailers (of which there are many in the city centre) trade at well below that level. NLP do not appear to have checked their forecast sales against existing floorspace and ‘benchmark’ sales densities, with the result that their sales estimate for the city centre is substantially too high. The Retail Study indicates city centre comparison goods sales of about £804m (interpolated) in 2014, after necessary corrections to the market shares indicated by DTZ’s household interview survey. 31. The same is true of NLP’s sales estimate for The Mall. They estimate sales of £616.36m in 2014. However the net comparison goods sales area in The Mall is estimated from Experian Goad data as 46,964 sq m net. Thus NLP’s sales estimate indicates an average sales density of £13,124 per sq m net. This is far above any realistic estimate based on multiple retailers’ ‘benchmark’ company average sales densities, and is therefore clearly unrealistically high. The Retail Study, after applying necessary market share corrections, indicates comparison goods sales in The Mall of about £370m (interpolated) in 2014. 32. That NLP’s estimated sales in The Mall as existing are far too high is shown by comparing its forecast sales density in 2021 with no new developments (£15,778 per sq m net), with the sales density assumed for the proposed extension in 2021 (£6,354 per sq m net). It is very unlikely that the proposed extension would have a sales density which is substantially less than that of the shopping centre to which it would be attached, as the purpose of the extension is to make the enlarged centre as a whole more attractive and prosperous. If the sales in the extension were so much lower, this would not be achieved. The two estimates are therefore clearly incompatible. This means that either the extension would have sales of around two and a half times the level estimated by NLP (in which case it would have far greater impacts on Bristol City Centre and other town centres then they have forecast), or – much more likely – the sales estimated for The Mall as existing are far too high. 33. I have not been able to check the sales estimates for other shopping destinations in the same way, owing to the lack of readily available floorspace data for them. However I consider it likely that NLP has similarly over-estimated sales in the larger centres. Thus for example NLP’s 2014 sales estimates for 8 some of the retail parks, particularly Cribbs Causeway Retail Park and other stores (£512.14m) , also appear to be far too high; and should be checked against the retailers’ ‘benchmark’ sales densities. The corollary is that NLP have probably under-estimated sales in the smaller centres. 8 Perhaps because of the fifth flaw identified, in the case of Cribbs Causeway Retail Park and stores. 34. NLP’s excessive estimates of base year and projected design year sales in Bristol City Centre mean that they have substantially under-estimated the retail impacts on the city centre from The Mall extension. 35. Eighth, NLP has treated the retail capacity forecasts for South Gloucestershire and for Bristol City Centre in the respective retail studies for each, as ‘allocations’, which (together with the very few committed developments in South Gloucestershire) would be implemented before The Mall extension. This is wholly artificial and completely unrealistic. 36. The retail capacity forecasts are merely forecasts based on the assumptions stated. They are imperfect (as acknowledged in the case of Bristol City Centre in the Retail Study), and subject to periodic update and change. In the case of the city centre, they have not been incorporated in the BCAP as ‘allocations’ which must or will be achieved; and the policies and site allocations in the BCAP do not depend on any particular retail capacity forecast. 37. The retail capacity forecast under Scenario 1 in the Retail Study could not be developed in Bristol City Centre if a major extension of The Mall was to be permitted and implemented beforehand. This is because of the limited demand from the necessary ‘anchor’ and other multiple retailers. This is made clear in the Retail Study, which stated that the two developments would be direct alternatives to each other. Major retail development in the Bristol Shopping Quarter would take somewhat longer to bring to fruition than major extension of The Mall (because of the greater constraints in the city centre); so the latter would inevitably prevent the former from being implemented, by creaming off available retailer demand and retail expenditure. 38. Ninth, NLP has under-estimated the likely net retail sales area in the proposed Mall extension, and the likely sales density for the proposed ‘anchor’ store; with the result that they have under-estimated comparison goods sales in the proposed extension, and its retail impact. NLP has assumed a net to gross ratio for the ‘anchor’ store of 70%, whereas I consider that a minimum of 75% would be more likely for a department store (and probably higher for a variety store). For the other comparison goods shops, NLP has assumed a net to gross ratio of 75%, whereas I consider that 80% would be more realistic. Modern retailers rely increasingly on ‘just in time’ deliveries, and move most stock straight from delivery lorries onto the shop floor without storing it first. This means that they don’t have large stockrooms on site. Neither do they have large offices or staff rooms. I therefore estimate that the net retail sales area is more likely to be about 25,935 sq m, rather than the 24,278 sq m assumed by NLP. 39. NLP has assumed a sales density for the ‘anchor’ store of £4,750 per sq m net. This would be too low for Primark, Selfridges and Next, albeit slightly high for Fenwicks. In the absence of a named retailer therefore, I consider that a more realistic assumption would be £5,000 per sq m net. Combining this with the increased net retail sales area indicates likely sales of about £166.9m in 2021, rather than the 9 £154.27m assumed by NLP . This would result in greater retail impacts than NLP has forecast. 40. Tenth, NLP’s trade diversion assumptions are unrealistic. NLP assume the Bristol City Centre ‘allocations’ would divert trade from the existing city centre; whereas the purpose of major retail development in the Bristol Shopping Quarter is to make the city centre as a whole more attractive and prosperous. They also assume that the proposed Mall extension would divert trade from The Mall as 9 In their ‘South Gloucestershire Town Centres and Retail Study Update 2011’ (Appendix 4 Table 2), Roger Tym & Partners considered that an extension of The Mall would achieve a comparison goods sales density of £10,471 per sq m net in 2008 prices, equivalent to £10,358 per sq m net in NLP’s 2012 prices. This is substantially above NLP’s overall estimate of £6,354 per sq m net (and above my overall estimate of £6,435 per sq m net). Whilst RTP’s estimate is too high, it supports my opinion that NLP’s estimate is too low. existing, and from Cribbs Causeway Retail Park and stores; whereas again the purpose of the extension is to make The Mall as a whole, and Cribbs Causeway in general, more attractive to shoppers and more prosperous. The reality is that the proposed Mall extension (being an extension of an out-of-centre regional shopping centre) would impact mainly on its sub-regional competitors, particularly Bristol City Centre, Bath, and other large centres within and close to its catchment area. 41. Clearly, because the ‘allocations’ in Bristol City Centre could not be implemented by 2021 if the Mall extension went ahead first (as DTZ advised), the impact of the latter should be assessed on its own without the prior impact. This would be likely to show a greater trade diversion from Bristol City Centre and thus more concentrated impact on it than forecast by NLP (particularly if the other flaws in the assessment described above were also corrected). 42. Eleventh, whilst NLP has estimated the impacts on centres outside South Gloucestershire and Bristol, that assessment did not take account of any committed developments in those areas. As a result, it is likely to have under-estimated the impacts on those centres cumulatively with any committed developments. NLP has also not assessed the vitality and viability of those centres and the significance of the forecast impacts, for example on the centres of Bath, Weston-super-Mare, Taunton, Newport, Gloucester, Cheltenham, Chippenham, Swindon, and elsewhere. Being an out-of-centre regional shopping centre, major retail expansion of The Mall would be likely to have significant impacts on some of these centres. The wide extent of The Mall’s catchment area shown in the map on page 32 strongly suggests that this would be likely; as its catchment area is highly likely to overlap with those of some of these other centres. 43. Of these flaws in NLP’s assessment, the most serious are the seventh, eighth and tenth. It is not possible to say how serious is the sixth flaw, pending clarification of the contents of the ‘black box’. However the results described in the seventh flaw suggest that the mechanism within the ‘black box’ is incorrect. The fourth and fifth flaws mean that the results of NLP’s household interview survey cannot be treated as fully reliable. The inherent older age bias in the sample may be one reason why the base year sales estimates for Bristol City Centre and The Mall are too high. The first, second, third and ninth flaws are significant, but are straightforward to correct. Correcting the first flaw may partly cancel out the effects of the necessary corrections to the second and third flaws. The eleventh flaw is a serious omission from NLP’s assessment, which means that it has not adequately addressed the impact test in the Framework. 44. Overall, I conclude that NLP’s quantitative impact assessment is incomplete and wholly unreliable. It does not realistically demonstrate that the proposed major retail extension of The Mall would pass the impact tests in the Framework. On page 32 of the ‘Planning and Retail Statement’, NLP present catchment area plans for The Mall and Bristol City Centre. These show the way in which their catchment areas overlap. However they also show the extent to which The Mall as already existing has eaten into Bristol City Centre’s natural catchment area in north Bristol and beyond, and diverted trade away from the city centre. If The Mall had not been developed, the city centre’s catchment area would have extended further to the north. A major retail extension of The Mall (which could be developed before a major new retail development in Bristol Shopping Quarter) would increase this effect, and further divert substantial trade away from the city centre. The precise degree of that adverse impact has yet to be determined reliably. However it is likely to mean that the proposed extension would fail the impact tests set out in the Framework. 45. th Bristol City Centre now ranks 15 in the 2013 Venuescore national ranking of centres, down from its th ranking of 12 in 2010, indicated in the Retail Study. It is now behind Glasgow, Manchester, Birmingham, Leeds, Liverpool, London West End – Oxford Street, Nottingham, Brighton, Cardiff, Edinburgh, Newcastle upon Tyne, Aberdeen, Norwich and Reading. This demonstrates the lack of improvement in the shopping offer of the city centre since 2010 compared with other centres, some of which have risen in the rankings to overtake Bristol City Centre. 46. Comparison between cities and their principal retail centres in terms of catchment populations can only be approximate, because of differences in local geography, data limitations and the presence or absence of competing shopping facilities. However ONS data from the 2011 census for ‘built-up areas’ th (i.e. not limited by local authority boundaries), shows that excluding London, Bristol had the 10 largest built-up area population in the UK. Its built-up area population was less than those of Greater Manchester, West Midlands, West Yorkshire, Glasgow, Liverpool, South Hampshire, Tyneside, Nottingham and Sheffield. However it was greater than those of Brighton, Cardiff, Edinburgh, Aberdeen, Norwich and Reading; all of which have town or city centres ranked higher than Bristol City Centre by Venuescore in 2013. Thus Bristol City Centre is currently ‘punching below its weight’ in retail terms, partly because of the strong competition from The Mall and other out-of-centre retailing at Cribbs Causeway. Interestingly Sheffield City Centre is also under-performing relative to its built-up area population, because of competition from the out-of-centre Meadowhall regional shopping centre. This underlines the need for further redevelopment and regeneration in the Bristol Shopping Quarter, and for strict restraint on expansion of The Mall at Cribbs Causeway, as indicated in the Retail Study. 47. I note that NLP has simply not considered the qualitative impact of the proposed Mall extension on the prospects for major retail redevelopment in the Bristol Shopping Quarter. Instead, they have wrongly assumed that this would go ahead first, as an ‘allocated’ development in the BCAP. However the Retail Study is very clear that this could not happen. 48. The Retail Study concluded (paragraph 9.6), ‘Our research has shown that there is now and will be in the next few years only limited demand from the prime national multiple retailers which are essential ‘anchors’ to any substantial new retail development. These are department and variety stores and large space-using fashion, homewares and lifestyle stores. This means that irrespective of our expenditure-based retail capacity forecasts, new prime retail development will only be achievable on a scale which is supportable by such retailer demand. If the retailers potentially interested in moving to or expanding in Bristol are accommodated in an early extension to The Mall at Cribbs Causeway, they will not locate in Bristol City Centre later on when sites there can be offered to the market; and the opportunity to regenerate Broadmead in accordance with the sequential approach and the Council’s strategy would be lost. The Mall would gain market share and Bristol City Centre would lose it, perpetuating the currently somewhat poor conditions at Broadmead. Thus the commercial reality is that substantial extension The Mall would be an alternative to further regeneration of the Bristol Shopping Quarter as described above; and would effectively prevent it going ahead for many more years.’ It is therefore clear that if the proposed extension of the Mall is permitted, a scheme in the Bristol Shopping Quarter could not proceed at the same time. This means that the proposed development would fail the test of impact on planned investment in Bristol City Centre, set out in the Framework. IMPACT OF NON-RETAIL USES 49. The ‘Planning and Retail Statement includes a quantitative assessment of the impact of the proposed A3 to A5 uses. The assessment follows a similar approach to that of the retail impact assessment, based on the results of NLP’s household interview survey. This means that it suffers from the fourth flaw identified above. It may also suffer from the fifth and seventh flaws; but as there are no independent quantitative forecasts of expenditure capacity to support additional A3 to A5 uses, the extent of this is uncertain. There may also be other flaws in the data and assumptions, which would emerge from further review. 50. It is clear that most large town centres have experienced substantial growth in A3 to A5 uses over many years. Such uses help to widen the reasons for people to visit a centre, increase their dwell time, and hence bring symbiotic benefits for the retail shops. They also have the advantage that in an age of increasing online shopping, they provide a service which cannot be purchased over the internet. Food and beverage uses have therefore become increasingly important to the vitality and viability of town centres, and will be likely to remain so as internet shopping continues to increase. Impact on the food and beverage outlets in Bristol City Centre and other centres is therefore an important consideration. As with retailing, such expenditure attracted to The Mall is expenditure lost to Bristol City Centre (in particular) and other centres in the sub-region. Such impacts are likely to be as significant as the impacts on retail uses, and should be taken into account in applying the impact tests. The proposed additional food and beverage uses at The Mall would reduce the potential to include such uses with major new retail development (or at other locations) in the Bristol Shopping Quarter, and therefore make it more difficult to achieve such a development in accordance with the BCAP. This means that the proposed food and beverage uses would be unlikely to pass the impact test in the Framework. 51. The proposed development also includes a substantial amount of Class D2 commercial leisure uses, of up to 7,620 sq m GIA. It is not clear what these might comprise. However (added to the substantial leisure attractions at the existing Cribbs Leisure Park, and to the existing and proposed A3 to A5 uses at The Mall) they would make the Cribbs Causeway area a significantly more attractive destination for leisure visits; and thus more of a multi-purpose destination competing more strongly with Bristol City Centre (and other multi-purpose centres such as Bath and Gloucester city centres). At least some of the proposed D2 leisure facilities could equally well be located in Bristol City Centre, for example as part of retail-led regeneration of the Bristol Shopping Quarter (where they would help to add value and improve development viability). NLP’s statement that ‘the leisure floorspace proposed will provide ancillary facilities that will serve existing customers at The Mall and Cribbs Causeway, rather than provide a new destination in their own right’ (paragraph 6.25) confirms that these uses would make The Mall more of a multi-purpose destination. However NLP’s report does not address the issue of combined impact with the other uses, or impact on the potential leisure components of new town centre development in the Bristol Shopping Quarter planned in the BCAP. It cannot therefore be concluded that the leisure components of the proposed development pass the impact tests in the Framework. THE SEQUENTIAL TEST 52. The Framework clearly states that in applying the sequential test, local planning authorities ‘should require applications for main town centre uses to be located in town centres, then in edge of centre locations and only if suitable sites are not available should out of centre sites be considered….Applicants and local planning authorities should demonstrate flexibility on issues such as format and scale’ (paragraph 24). In this case, NLP has argued that the purpose of the proposal is to enable The Mall to meet a particular need in South Gloucestershire and North Bristol, and that ‘in order to meet the identified need, the proposed development must be linked to the existing retail/leisure destination at Cribbs Causeway’ (paragraph 8.19). However such an interpretation of ‘need’ would be fundamentally at odds with the government policy quoted that such new developments of town centre 10 uses should be located in town centres first, as the highest priority location, if at all possible . I consider that this issue is the key to how the sequential test should be applied in this case. It does not appear as though sufficient flexibility as to location (in particular – which is fundamental to the consideration of sequentially preferable locations) has been applied in formulating the proposal. 53. The maps on page 32 of NLP’s report, and the results of DTZ’s household interview survey demonstrate the substantial overlap between the catchment areas of Bristol City Centre and The Mall. They show that the city centre is already serving north Bristol and South Gloucestershire, albeit in some parts not to the same degree as is The Mall. It is therefore clear that an improved city centre could substantially meet the ‘identified need’ to serve the growing population of this area (in which most of the population growth will be in ‘Greater Bristol’ south of the M4 motorway, and therefore within or close to the city centre’s core catchment area); and that expansion of The Mall is not the only way to do so. Providing major new retail and food and beverage development in the Bristol Shopping Quarter would make that area and the city centre as a whole more attractive to existing and new shoppers from North Bristol and South Gloucestershire, and expand the service which it provides to them. It is therefore not a foregone conclusion (as NLP claim) that the proposed development passes the sequential test simply because it is an expansion of an existing out-of-centre shopping centre currently serving a particular catchment area. 54. NLP then go on to consider sites in Bristol City Centre and the centres in South Gloucestershire. However I note that they have not considered in any detail sites in any other surrounding town centres of sub-regional importance where it could serve the sub-regional catchment (for example Gloucester, where a new city centre development is planned, or Swindon where a substantial site for a planned town centre development has been identified). This is a significant omission. 55. In assessing sites in Bristol City Centre, NLP have considered only the BCAP allocated sites KS02 and KS03; and have assessed each in isolation. They have concluded that neither is large enough to accommodate ‘the proposed development’. However this is unproven, as no design studies of either of these sites have yet been undertaken. Further, NLP has not considered the possibility of both sites being developed approximately in parallel, such that together they could accommodate ‘the proposed development’, albeit on split sites. This is a serious omission from the assessment, which invalidates its conclusions. 56. In relation to availability of sites KS02 and KS03, NLP conclude that neither site is currently available, or could meet the developer’s requirement for a start on site in early 2017. However there does not appear to be any good reason why the development has to be started by that date. Inevitably city centre development takes longer than out-of-centre development on a site in a single ownership and under the full control of the developer. I consider that there is a realistic prospect that construction on at least site HS02 could start in 2017 or 2018 – if the threat of the proposed major extension of The Mall is removed. In any event, even a start of construction in 2019 would be sufficient to enable the city centre 10 The government’s policy of Town Centres First was recently re-emphasised to local authorities by Ministers in the DCLG ‘Planning Update Newsletter’ dated January 2015. development to accommodate the capacity forecast in the Retail Study at 2021. I therefore consider that NLP’s conclusion that the city centre sites are not available at an early enough date is unsound. A developer is already starting to prepare development proposals for site KS02; but it is unlikely that these would be progressed in the short to medium term if planning permission was to be granted for the proposed major retail extension of The Mall. Jonathan Baldock BSc MSc FRICS MRTPI Town Centres & Retail Planning Consultant 20 February 2015 ANNEX 2 Bristol City Council Strategic Transport Transport Development Management Application Response Response: Initial Response Recommendation: Objection The above application has been submitted to South Gloucestershire Council (SGC) as an outline submission with all matters reserved. These comments comprise Transport Development Management (TDM)’s analysis of the submitted Transport Assessment (TA) with specific regard to the impact of the proposal on Bristol’s highway network. As such, this report does not analyse in detail the issues of access, layout and internal circulation. However, it is recognised within this analysis that the scale and location of impact on BCC’s network is directly influenced by the positioning of accesses, the level of parking provision and the level of mitigation and sustainable travel alternatives proposed as part of the development. Background The provision of 35,000sqm of additional retail floorspace at The Mall was previously submitted to the Planning Inspectorate for approval as part of SGC’s Core Strategy examination in 2013. In his report dated 15th November of that year, the Inspector concludes in paragraph 180 that: “it is essential the implications of expanding a major out-of-centre location are understood before decisions are taken as to its longer-term role, either in meeting local needs or those of the wider area. The evidence in this respect is incomplete and the proposal at best premature. The scheme would be at odds with the NPPF which in pursuing sustainability principles promotes a town centre first approach aimed at promoting and safeguarding traditional centres.” In relation to this requirement, BCC is entitled to be made fully aware of the implications of this proposal on Bristol’s highway and movement networks, particularly in terms of the assessment of draw from the surrounding area, but also in relation to the implications this has for congestion, safety, the operation of public transport and the safety of pedestrians and cyclists. This is in accordance with the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) guidelines and the duty of neighbouring planning authorities to co-operate on such matters and also follows requirements set out by BCC to the applicant in a transport issues scoping meeting of 17th October 2014 which was also attended by highway representatives from SGC and the Highways Agency (HA). TA Structure The submitted TA forms Appendix D1 of the Environmental Statement. The TA is organised into the following sections: Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 4 Chapter 5 Chapter 6 Chapter 7 Chapter 8 Chapter 9 Chapter 10 Chapter 11 Introduction Existing Conditions Accessibility Development Proposals Relevant Transport Policy Multi-modal Trip Generation Effect on Public Transport Services Traffic Effects on the Highway Network Effect on the Strategic Highway Network Construction and Phasing Summary and Conclusions In order to inform the above sections, the TA is accompanied by the following appendices: Appendix A Appendix B Appendix C Appendix D Appendix E Appendix F Appendix G CPNN Framework Plan; Appendix H Parking Areas/Survey plans;Appendix I Car Park Surveys, Jul-14; Appendix J Accident Data; Appendix K Bus Route Map; Appendix L The Mall Travel Plan; Appendix M Store Extensions Study; Appendix N Report on Lakeside Extension; Bandwidth Plots; Atkins Modelling Scoping; Flow Diagram 2021; 2021 Junction Assessments; Flow Diagrams 2031; 2031 Junction Assessments; 1.0 INTRODUCTION 1.1 This section of the submitted TA provides the rationale behind the proposals, including the intention to bring The Mall into line with current retailers’ requirements whilst attempting to integrate the site better with existing and future neighbouring residential areas, including the Cribbs Patchway New Neighbourhood (CPNN). In addition to the above, the proposal intends to improve on-site facilities for public transport so that the level of sustainable travel to and from the site can be maximised. 1.2 In terms of analysis, the TA has utilised SGC’s Core Strategy Model (CSM) to understand the impacts of the development on the surrounding transport network and mitigation is proposed where it is considered those impacts are of a material nature. 2.0 EXISTING CONDITIONS Planning Context 2.1 The TA confirms the current extents of The Mall to comprise a total of 92,000sqm gross internal floorspace of which 77,000sqm is defined as comparison goods, accompanied by 6,670 car parking spaces within surface and covered car parks. Standard opening times are confirmed as 09:30-21:00 from Monday-Friday, 09:00-20:00 on a Saturday and 11:00-17:00 on a Sunday. Access is currently taken from four locations, including two roundabout junctions on Merlin Road, a further roundabout access from Lysander Road and via Highwood Lane to the east. Local Highway Network 2.2 Consideration of impact assessment within the TA is included later in this report, although it is notable that the Transport Consultant has failed to recognise the Local Highway Network in this area to include BCC’s network. TDM therefore expresses serious concerns that the applicant has failed to consider the A4018 any further south from this location or indeed other corridors within Bristol upon which it may impact including as a minimum the B4056 Southmead Road and A38 Gloucester Road. This was communicated to the applicant at the pre-application stage at a meeting of 17 October and further communicated by SGC who in turn provided a scoping diagram including the locations on the highway network that were of interest to the three highway authorities. Existing Mall Traffic Generation 2.3 Automatic Traffic Counter (ATC) surveys were undertaken at each of the four entrances to the Mall during early July 2014. The TA considers this time of year to be typical in terms of the level of activity occurring at the site. TDM request some evidence in support of this assumption in comparison with other weeks / months. The surveys above indicate the busiest day recorded to be Saturday (37,546 daily two-way movements, peak hour 14:00-15:00 – 3,867 two-way movements), with the busiest weekday experienced being Thursday (33,216 movements). In relation to the traditional highway peak hours, the highest recorded weekday peak hour flows occurred on a Friday, with the morning peak hour (08:00-09:00) generating 698 two-way movements and the evening peak hour (17:00-18:00) generating 2,518 two-way movements. It is however noted that these flows are not the highest weekday hourly flow. This occurs between 12:00 and 13:00 on a Thursday (3,453 two-way movements). It is also noted that the busiest hour recorded over the whole week occurred on a Sunday between 12:00 and 13:00 (4,654 two-way trips), and this would appear attributable to be attributed to the condensed hours of trading on this day of the week. Existing Customer Mode Share / Postcode Information 2.4 This data was requested by TDM at the pre-application highways / transport meeting of 17 October 2014. Whilst BCC note that some retail visitor mode share information is provided later in the report, this needs to appear in the Existing Conditions chapter of the TA, along with the geographical draw of visitors to the site if reliable forecasts are to be made about the impact of the site in future years. Existing Mall Parking Accumulation 2.5 Table 2.3 of the TA provides a summary of the parking accumulation at the site, also during July 2014. During the weekdays surveyed, the busiest period was recorded to be between 13:00 and 14:00 on a Sunday (4,346 vehicles parked) compared to the highest Saturday accumulation during the same hour of 3,690 vehicles and a highest weekday accumulation of 3,596 between 12:00 and 13:00 on a Tuesday. Given the total number of parking spaces available (6,670), this indicates that when the car park was at its busiest, there were still 2,324 empty spaces. 2.6 In common with the request made in paragraph 2.5, this has not been considered in the context of the time of year surveyed and further data is required to understand how this demand alters over the course of the year to allow for robust forecasting to be made, particularly in the lead up to the Christmas period and also the school summer holidays, during which increased levels of attraction experienced go considerably beyond the traditional term-time peak hours of demand. This was requested and minuted during pre-application discussions with the applicant’s consultant and requires to be addressed. Accident data 2.7 Paragraphs 2.32 – 2.42 of the TA provide an assessment of accident records for the M5 junction 17, Lysander Road, Merlin Road and the A4018 Cribbs Causeway. No assessment has been provided of Bristol’s highway network and this requires to be revisited. 3.0 ACCESSIBILITY 3.1 This section of the TA provides an assessment of the current accessibility of The Mall in relation to the walking, cycling and public transport connections which connect to the site. Walking and Cycling 3.2 Whilst the application site is not located within the Bristol, BCC has a direct interest in this matter. The reason for this is that any failure to provide high quality and safe alternatives to car travel in this location is likely to increase the level of vehicular traffic generated by the proposals and in so: a) maximise the number of car trips that are generated by the development; b) in doing do cause previously avoidable delay to public transport services, impacting the urban area as a whole; and of most concern: c) increase a form of development that is overly reliant on the private car whilst failing to provide for active travel amongst existing and new local communities to the detriment of all of the above. 3.3 Despite the recognition that walking is the most important mode of travel at a local level for journeys within 2km, the conclusion that “the pedestrian environment in the vicinity of the proposed development is good” is vastly optimistic and entirely inaccurate. This is evident from Appendix C of the previous Travel Plan which is submitted as Appendix F to the TA, where a plan of walking and cycling routes confirms the need for pedestrians to ‘take care crossing’ at numerous uncontrolled crossing locations to access The Mall. 3.4 The footways in this vicinity for the most part run alongside dual-carriageway roads carrying a high volume of fast-moving traffic, taking pedestrians on a circuitous and inhospitable long-way round to reach whichever destination they are attempting to access. With the exception of the current tunnel under Merlin Road to reach the Leisure Park, safe crossings of the dual carriageway or the roads leading to The Mall are absent from all junctions that serve the site and lead pedestrians into precarious situations, absent of traffic control and often on approaches to and exits from major roundabouts where motorists are concentrating on exiting the junction and accelerating. Even where signal control is provided (as at the Merlin Road / Lysander Road roundabout), there are no crossing facilities for pedestrians other than footway dropped-kerbs which stop abruptly at the junction approach, expecting pedestrians and cyclists to cross up to three lanes of traffic, which often means walking between the bonnets and boots of vehicles, unsighted from motorists in adjacent lanes. This is not acceptable in terms of current policy and highway design criteria and the applicant has suggested no mitigation in this location. 3.5 Whilst TDM note that the development proposes a traffic-free bridge to address some of these issues, the site should be demonstrated to be accessible by high quality links from all directions. In relation to access to the site from further afield, and in particular cyclists, whilst those on a bicycle are able to use the footways that do exist, these footways will not be of suitable width to accommodate the increase in walking and cycling that is expected and relied upon by both CPNN and this proposal and is likely to result in conflict. Given that the TA recognises a reasonable cycling distance to be 5km, it is therefore of significant failing of the TA not to recognise the constraints to active travel that is apparent along other routes which are adjacent, including Hayes Way, along which provision of footway or cyclist provision is entirely absent. Public Transport 3.6 A summary of the bus services that serve The Mall is provided in the TA although this site being the largest bus interchange in South Gloucestershire is not the major influencer of travel patterns that the TA describes given the low public transport patronage generated by The Mall in comparison with other major retail centres in the BCC / SGC area which are more accessible and offer more frequent and fast connectivity to the wider urban and regional area. This matter is in the process of being partially addressed as part of the MetroBus North Fringe – Hengrove Package (NFHP). However, this scheme will only provide linkage to central and south Bristol. The need to improve public transport offer at The Mall cannot be overlooked and BCC note the applicant’s intention to reconfigure public transport access to this site in view of the current poor facilities which do very little to encourage bus use. The applicant’s suggested remedy to this current constraint is considered later in this report. 3.7 In relation to rail, the nearest existing station to the site is Patchway, which is some 3.7km or approximately 45 minutes-walk from the site. However, even if the nature and quality of the pedestrian / cycle route from this station is vastly improved and/or new/existing bus routes are timetabled to coincide with train arrivals, TDM officers do not consider rail access from either Patchway or Bristol Parkway to provide a realistic regular alternative to car use, given the additional potential delay that is caused by adding a second mode/leg to the journey. 4.0 DEVELOPMENT PROPOSALS 4.1 This section of the TA confirms the land uses and floorspaces sought by the application and confirms that it is not intended for the morning opening hours of the site to alter from the existing. However, it is likely as a result of the additional leisure uses that closing times will change, although the TA confirms that these details are not at present known and therefore is silent on this issue. Access 4.2 In terms of access, no additional vehicular access points are proposed and no additional works are proposed at the main site access roundabout junctions from Merlin Road. This is of concern given the poor pedestrian linkage in the vicinity of the site, as highlighted earlier in section 3 of this report. Regardless of whether it is demonstrable that the current site access junctions may be able to accommodate the additional traffic demands, BCC would advise SGC that these accesses will be required to provide high quality and safe linkage for pedestrians and cyclists from all directions, notwithstanding the provision of a pedestrian / cycle bridge elsewhere. 4.3 In relation to internal layout, the TA confirms the proposal to build over existing car parking using a multi-decked structure to retain the 7,000 car parking spaces that are currently provided on-site. The TA confirms that this should not alter the existing proportions of departure / arrival traffic using each access junction. In relation to parking numbers, further information is provided later in the TA and in this document. Pedestrian and cycle linkage 4.4 In keeping with the requirements set out in paragraph 4.2 above, the reference to improvements to pedestrian and cycle access provided in sections 4.5 – 4.7 provide little specific comfort that these linkages will be of high quality and from all directions. With the exception of the proposed pedestrian / cycle bridge over Merlin Road, the TA and Design and Access Statement (DAS) either rely on other developments coming forward to deliver infrastructure or provide only commentary on ‘strengthened linkages’ without confirming what these improvements are likely to comprise. Public Transport 4.5 In relation to public transport, the improved passenger facilities at the existing bus station represents seemingly a valid intention to improve the passenger experience at The Mall although TDM views that this alone will not generate the modal shift required to minimise impact on the three highway networks in the vicinity of the site. 4.6 There is no evidence that the applicant has undertaken discussions with public transport providers in view of the forecasted additional attraction to the facilities from the wider area. For instance, the propensity of current shoppers to use public transport and from which locations is seriously lacking throughout the TA. The section later, titled: 7. Effect on Public Transport Services represents a simplistic analysis for such a major development. No attempt is made to understand the origin of shoppers’ trips together with the capacity and availability of local bus routes which serve those catchments. Instead, percentage uplift has been calculated (from a low existing base, rather than an uplifted target base). This, together with the lack of assessment of customer catchment and its relationship with public transport confirms a lack of intention of this development to maximise travel by non-car modes. 5.0 RELEVANT TRANSPORT POLICY 5.1 This section of the TA provides a summary of the policies which are relevant to the determination of this application in relation to transport and highways. TDM has assessed this TA with particular regard to key criteria identified in Chapter 4 of the NPPF (2012), the current Joint Local Transport Plan for the West of England (2011-2026) and the South Gloucestershire Core Strategy (2006-2027). 6.0 MULTI-MODAL TRIP GENERATION Calculation of new trips 6.1 This section of the TA provides a brief investigation of similar development proposals elsewhere in the UK where it has been demonstrated that significant increases in retail floorspace do not necessarily correlate with proportionate increases in the level of visitors attracted to the centre in question. 6.2 TDM recognises that major regional shopping centres will exhibit differing characteristics in terms of access and locational parameters in relation to the potential variables expressed in the TA. As such, the TA provides a fairly crude assumption of a 50% increase in trips relative to the 45% increase in floorspace (22.5%) based on the assessment accepted by the Highways Agency at Lakeside Shopping Centre. There is little additional evidence to either challenger or support the robustness of this assumption. However, of greater interest to BCC is how these trips have been distributed and assigned to Bristol’s network, and the methodology that supports these assumptions. Pass-By, Linked and Diverted Retail Trips 6.3 In relation to the assessment of movements that are already on the highway network, either through a) already passing the site (pass-by trips), b) passing the site but as part of a trip to a further site (linked trips), or changing routing patterns from another alternative location (diverted trips), the TA makes reference to a historic assumption of a 30% reduction to take account of ‘existing’ pass-by and linked trips. However, the TA also reflects on a recent TRICS study which confirms the 30% assumption as no longer being relevant, furthermore, the 30% accepted at Lakeside is not considered relevant to The Mall in this instance given the amount of facilities elsewhere in the Lakeside basin. As a result, no further reduction is made by TTP for the purposes of robust assessment. The TA does however run with the assumption that a linked-trip reduction is relevant to the leisure and food / drink outlets, assuming that some shoppers will remain on-site to visit the non-retail uses. Provided that trips that would be solely attributed to the non-retail uses are taken account of, this would appear to be a reasonable assumption. A2-A5 Service, Food & Drink Trips 6.4 Taking the above further, the TA makes the assessment that during the daytime, from Monday-Friday, the food and drink attraction is only likely to result from those who are already visiting the retail use. Similarly, during evenings and weekends, those visiting the food and drink uses are unlikely to do so without also visiting the leisure uses. Assuming the leisure uses are proposed to constitute a multi-screen cinema, bowling complex or other indoor gymnasium, spa or children’s play facility, this would seem to be a reasonable assumption. However, this takes no account of the apparent principle of this development to provide a strategic hub of activity to compliment the CPNN, where it is expected / promoted that the new local population will visit this site for recreational purposes, of which dining / drinking are an integral part. D2 Leisure Uses 6.5 It is argued within the TA that the D2 leisure uses are not expected to generate significant weekday peak period trips, and that the existing ‘Vue’ Cinema opposite will capture cinema-only trips whilst any cinema within The Mall will attract cinema-goers who also wish to go shopping. Whilst more of a planning issue, TDM would query whether the apparent overprovision of two multi-screen cinemas opposite one another is realistic or even viable. Regardless, Transport Assessments are expected to consider worst-case situations and the TA is required to consider the direct potential impact of the D2 leisure use, regardless of whether a similar use is located nearby. 6.6 Notwithstanding the above, and having regard to the nature of leisure uses, it would seem reasonable to assume that leisure uses are unlikely to exhibit a significant weekday traditional peak hour trip generation, other than adult-leisure facilities, such as fitness gyms, the movements for which are likely to be linked or diverted trips as part of an existing commute, whilst a cinema use would only reach a significant increase in movement at the weekend. To this end the TA only considers the D2 Leisure uses as a standalone trip at the weekend, with a 20% reduction for visitors to retail. TDM consider this to be a reasonable assumption. Multi-Modal Forecast Trips 6.7 The 35,250sqm increase in retail floorspace, when expressed as a percentage of the existing 77,000sqm represents a 45% increase. As has been qualified earlier using various evidence, it is not reasonable or credible to assume that this will simply represent a 45% increase in trips and as such a 22.5% increase in trips is forecasted in relation to the additional 45% of floorspace. The summary table from the TA is included below for ease of reference: Table 6.2 Time Period Trip generation (vehicular) of retail uses Existing Traffic Additional Retail Traffic (22.5%) Arrivals Departures Total Arrivals Departures Total 532 166 698 120 37 157 1,184 1,334 2,518 266 300 567 1,901 1,966 3,867 428 442 870 Friday AM Peak hour 08:00-09:00 Friday PM Peak hour 17:00-18:00 Saturday Peak Hour 14:00-15:00 6.8 The above analysis draws from traffic surveys conducted in July 2014. TDM officers question whether this represents an adequate basis upon which to make future-year forecasts. There are several reasons for this which are provided below: 6.9 i) It is not clear at present to what extent The Mall is currently fully operational in terms of units occupied and customer footfall. TAs are required to be based upon a development operating to its full potential (worst case) and TDM would expect to see some information relating to customer attraction patterns / trends over the previous years, particularly before the recent recession to understand whether the collected data truly represents a worst-case. ii) TDM do not consider that mid-July represents a robust period for analysis, given the upsurge in retail activity that occurs across the late autumn / Christmas period, in addition to peaks in demand that are experienced during the school summer holidays as holidaymakers stop off at The Mall en route to / from the south west. These peak periods cannot simply be stated as ‘one-offs’, given that they occur regularly enough to generate considerable impacts on the local highway networks. It is also noted that by mid-July the local Universities and several private schools have ceased full operation, further calling into question the neutrality of this period. iii) No details are provided of the length of stay of customers using car parks. This is a critical matter for consideration if the proposal is expecting to increase the amount of time that customers spend in this location as a result of additional non-retail uses. During the peak periods referred to in ii) above, it is common for the car parks to either close to or full and an adequate assessment cannot be made of these periods without the appropriate baseline data. For the non-retail uses the following assumptions have been made which informs the data contained in the tables that follow. Table 6.3 Trip generation methodology for all new uses Use Method of trip generation Retail Percentage uplift of existing flows based upon 50% increase of +45% floorspace Assumed: 3,500sqm cinema, 2,500sqm bowling alley, 1,620sqm gym using TRICS analysis Leisure Residential Hotel 6.10 Method of calculating mode share Existing site modal share questionnaire surveys 2011 Census travel to work CPNN assessment CPNN assessment CPNN assessment The methodologies confirmed for forecasting the additional traffic generated by the retail uses are commented on above, whilst the use of the TRICS database would appear reasonable to assess the leisure uses in the absence of any similar uses on the site at present. The table below is taken from forecasts presented in the TA. Table 6.4 Trip generation (vehicles) of non-retail uses Leisure Time Period Arr Friday AM Peak Dep n/a Total Residential Hotel (150 units) (120-bed) Arr Dep Total Arr Dep Tot 19 51 70 10 24 34 08:00-09:00 Friday PM Peak 17:00-18:00 Saturday Peak 14:00-15:00 Link trip adjustment 6.11 167 153 320 134 122 256 50 30 80 19 6 25 24 28 52 15 15 30 n/a TDM would question the use of CPNN flows in relation to the residential and hotel uses given that they seem significantly low for the location in question. Notwithstanding the above issue, the total multi-modal traffic generation of the proposed development, as forecasted by the TA is provided in the table below. Total multi-modal trip generation 6.12 The multi-modal trip generation of the retail uses has been taken from annual shopper questionnaire surveys which have been conducted over the period from 2010-2014 with an average taken across the five years studied. These questionnaires have provided the following mode splits for shoppers at The Mall: Car / Van: 90.0%, Walking: 0.8% 6.13 Bicycle: 0.1%, Taxi: 0.2% It is unfortunate that the shopper questionnaire surveys did not differentiate between car drivers and car passengers, although data was collected on the size of shopping parties between 2012 and 2014. This study concluded, on average that 45% of visitors to The Mall travelled alone, whilst for parties of 2, 3, 4 and 5+ people, this represented 41%, 9%, 4% and 1% of groups respectively. Using these statistics to generate a modal share pattern for car passengers to The Mall provides a percentage of 38.6% of current visitors travelling to The Mall as a car passenger. This has been used to inform the table below. Table 6.5 Net forecasted additional trips as a result of expansion Travel Mode AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Saturday Peak Hour Arr Dep Tot Arr Dep Tot Arr Dep Tot 149 112 261 335 336 671 600 604 1204 Car Passenger 94 38 132 200 225 425 426 427 854 Bus/Coach/Rail 23 14 37 43 49 92 96 96 192 Cycle 2 5 6 6 3 9 3 3 7 Walk 12 27 40 26 14 40 24 25 49 Motorcycle 1 1 3 3 3 6 4 5 10 Taxi 1 0 1 1 1 2 3 2 4 Total 281 198 480 629 639 1268 1156 1163 2320 Car Driver 6.14 Bus / Coach: 8.4%, Motorcycle: 0.4% The above forecasts utilise 2011 Census Journey to Work data to inform the modal shares associated with the residential development, whilst the CPNN modelling has been used to define the modal share of the hotel use. Servicing / Deliveries 6.15 In relation to servicing and deliveries a further 34 trips are assumed to visit the site during the hours of peak demand although it is unclear whether these are two-way flows or represent arrivals only. Clarification is sought on this matter. 7.0 EFFECT ON PUBLIC TRANSPORT SERVICES Forecast Modal share 7.1 This section of the TA forecasts that the public transport mode share for the increased level of floorspace will retain the same 8.4% figure gathered from the shopper questionnaire surveys referred to above. 7.2 Whilst it is later qualified that this figure is likely to be an underestimation as a result of the improved bus interchange facilities and the development of CPNN and other public transport infrastructure, the TA concludes that the demand for public transport is unlikely to exceed the capacity of the existing bus network. There is no evidence to support this view one way or the other and therefore this section of the TA is vague and lacking in integrity. The assumption that rail fulfils a valid role in accommodating travel demand is unrealistic given the distance of rail connections from the site, the lack of investment in walking/cycling and the requirement to undertake a further bus journey to reach the site. This is furthered by the absence of rail travel from the completed customer surveys. Origin of travel / mode share 7.3 Without the necessary calculations to support these assumptions, TDM cannot accept this analysis, given that the intention of the public transport strategy is to promote and make attractive non-car modes of travel to access the site in order to minimise the impact of the development. It is also clear that the TA makes no assessment of the geographical origin of travel to the site by mode and therefore no attempt is made to understand the relationship between existing / new visitor catchments and the public transport options that are available and how this affects modal choice. 7.4 The omission of modelled public transport demand represents a considerable shortcoming of the TA given that much of this work would have been undertaken as part of the CPNN G-BATS modelling work which is referred to in the next chapter and also in view of the detailed work that has been undertaken to understand and forecast the retail catchments applicable to this site. 8.0 TRAFFIC EFFECTS ON THE HIGHWAY NETWORK 8.1 The applicant has sought to use the Core Strategy Model (CSM) constructed by Atkins and adopted by SGC in order to test the impacts of the wider strategic growth proposed in the area, namely the CPNN. This assesses the impact of the Mall extension in 2021 and 2031. It is understood from the TA that a further Saturday analysis will be submitted in due course following pre-application dialogue although TDM are unsure whether this utilises the CSM or whether it will adopt the manual forecasting provided earlier in chapter 6 of the TA. 8.2 In order to understand the distribution of additional traffic to the site, customer postcode data was shared with Atkins who were advised that “the geographical spread of the catchment area for visitors to The Mall was not expected to be materially affected by the proposed development” (parag 8.9). This assumption is made on the basis of the shopper survey and the findings of the Retail Impact Assessment carried out by NLP in September 2014. 8.3 TDM question this assumption, given that it is quite clear that the increased facilities proposed are likely to have a significant and differing impact upon a number of surrounding retail town and city centres in the south west as well as South Wales. The Transport Assessment unfortunately fails to visit this matter in any sufficient detail in order to allow the local and strategic highway authorities to corroborate what, on the basis of what is presented in the TA, appears only as an assumption and advice is therefore sought from planning colleagues. 8.4 A Select Link Analysis is presented within Appendix I of the submitted Transport Assessment which provides an assessment of the level of additional traffic that is forecasted to be generated by The Mall expansion during the weekday PM peak hour period based on the 2021 CPNN modelled scenario. 8.5 However, TDM officers note that the bandwidth plots contained within Appendix I are labelled 2016 whilst the text in paragraph 8.11 refers to 2021. Clarity is therefore required on which year these outputs are provided for. The data is split into arrival and departure trips with the flows with and without The Mall expansion presented below. This is produced below for reference although the question above remains outstanding and BCC would expect these diagrams to be revisited (if necessary) for 2021 and 2031, as explained in paragraph 8.8 of the TA. Table 8.1 Weekday PM peak – Mall traffic generation on BCC highway network Location Direction No expansion With expansion Net A4018 Wyck Beck Rd, north of Crow Lane B4055 Station Rd, south of A4018 A4018 Passage Road, south of Crow Lane Knole Lane, east of A4018 Crow Lane, west of A4018 B4056 Southmead Road, south of A4174 A38 Filton Road, south of A4174 Southbound 344 385 +41 Northbound 302 357 +55 Northbound 103 131 +28 Southbound 278 304 +26 Northbound 255 299 +44 Eastbound Westbound Westbound Eastbound Southbound 29 6 23 12 56 34 12 30 16 123 +5 +6 +7 +4 +67 Northbound 7 28 +21 Southbound Northbound 18 7 33 10 +15 +3 Net (two-way) +96 +28 +70 +11 +10 +88 +18 *arrival trips in grey, departure trips in white 8.6 The CSM analysis forecasts that 230 additional vehicles will use Bristol’s highway network to enter and exit The Mall during the weekday evening peak hour period. Of this figure, 107 are predicted to be trips that arrive at The Mall whilst 123 are predicted to be trips departing The Mall. 8.7 To put the above figures into context in relation to the proportional geographical assignment of Mall traffic, TDM has derived the following outputs from the strategic modelling outputs reproduced in the TA. Routes outside of Bristol are shaded in grey. Again, subject to confirmation of the actual scenario year presented, these figures may change as a result of differing traffic patterns brought about by additional background development (for example CPNN). The forecasts below predict that 39% of arrival trips and 33% of departure trips would use Bristol’s highway network to access / egress The Mall. Table 8.2 Geographical Assignment of Total Mall Traffic – Weekday PM Peak BCC Highway network trips in white, SGC / HA in grey Expanded Mall Total Arrival trips Route From The Laurels Expanded Mall Total Departure trips No. % 36 2% 504 36% 29 2% 10 1% 2 0% 2 0% 91 7% 0 0% 3 0% 33 2% 421 30% 78 6% 192 14% From A4018 south of Lysander Rd (Henbury) From B4056 south of A4174 (Southmead) From A38 south of A4174 (Horfield) From Filton Avenue south of A4174 (Horfield) From A4174 Ring Road (Stoke Gifford / MoD, UWE) From Gypsy Patch Lane (Parkway) From Stoke Lane (Patchway) From A38 North (M5 / Thornbury / B. Stoke) From Patchway (Coniston Road) From M5 north (via J17) From Easter Compton / Over via J17 From M5 south (via J17) Route To The Laurels To A4018 south of Lysander Rd (Henbury) To B4056 south of A4174 (Southmead) To A38 south of A4174 (Horfield) To Filton Avenue south of A4174 (Horfield) To A4174 Ring Road (Stoke Gifford, MoD, UWE) To Gypsy Patch Lane (Parkway) To Stoke Lane (Patchway) To J16 (M5 / Thornbury / B. Stoke) To Patchway (Coniston Rd) To M5 north (via J17) To Easter Compton / Over via J17 To M5 south (via J17) No. % 8 0% 385 23% 123 8% 33 2% n/a 0% 16 1% 68 5% 20 1% 89 5% 76 5% 327 20% 138 8% 371 22% TOTAL 8.8 1,401 100% TOTAL 1,654 100% In consideration that the TA relies on two separate methodologies to forecast understand the impact of the proposals, TDM have sought to provide a comparison between the levels of traffic that are forecasted in Chapter 6 of the TA using a manual methodology (a 22.5% uplift in current flows + TRICS data for the non-retail uses) and the wider strategic model assessment, using the CSM, referred to below as the GBATS forecast. Table 8.3 Manual / GBATS forecast comparison – Weekday PM peak hour Source Scenario Traffic Surveys Existing Mall Manual Forecast Expanded Mall net additional Manual Assessment - Total Mall Traffic G-BATS Forecast (year to be confirmed) Existing Mall Expanded Mall net additional GBATS Assessment - Total Mall Traffic Arrivals Departures Total 1,184 1,334 2,518 335 336 671 1,519 1,670 3,189 1,107 1,298 2,405 294 356 650 1,401 1,654 3,055 8.9 The above analyses are broadly similar in relation to departure traffic although there is a notable difference of just over 100 trips when the same parameters are compared for arrival traffic. This confirms the GBATS model to forecast 134 fewer trips during the weekday evening peak hour period. CSM Assessment outputs 8.10 As referred to earlier, the TA draws upon the outputs of GBATS modelling undertaken on behalf of the applicant by Atkins. This has sought to test the impact of the development at both 2021 and 2031. Some detail is provided of the modelling parameters used within these model runs and this is summarised below: Table 8.4 Committed Development and infrastructure assumptions used in GBATS Committed developments 2021 scenario 2031 scenarios 588 dwellings 2,500 dwellings Filton Airfield (BAE site) 151,000sqm employment 151,000sqm employment Fishpool Hill 799 dwellings 1,250 dwellings Haw Wood 526 dwellings 1,000 dwellings Patchway Trading Estate 116 1,000 dwellings None, other than junction CPNN Transport package Full CPNN package accesses Major Transport Schemes – (assumed for both scenarios) M4 / M5 managed motorways M5 junction 16 & 17 improvements Ashton Vale – Temple Meads (AVTM) bus rapid transit Stoke Gifford Transport Link (SGTL) North Fringe – Hengrove bus rapid transit (NFHP) 8.11 In relation to the above assumptions, TDM would firstly seek advice from SGC’s planning officers to confirm that the above assumptions are realistic in relation to housing and employment completions in the 2021 scenario. 8.12 The bandwidth plots that are illustrated in Appendix I and assessed in section 8.5 of this report are confirmed in the TA as forecasting the 2021 scenario. Once again, clarity is required given that the diagrams presented are labelled 2016. Proposed new BAE site (Filton Airfield) junction 8.13 Before turning to the outputs presented in Appendix K of the TA, one notable difference is apparent when the assessment outputs for the Mall Expansion TA are compared with the assumptions that have been made by the planning application for the BAE Airfield site, which was submitted in October 2014. This proposal includes a new signalised T-junction to Merlin Road between the San Andreas and Christmas Tree roundabouts to access the development. This junction is however contrary to the wider CPNN masterplan and the modelling upon which the CPNN and indeed the modelling to support The Mall application has been based. 8.14 Such a discrepancy would call into question the validity of the modelling presented to accompany The Mall expansion in the event that this access were approved by SGC. This would have a bearing on both the strategic modelling work and also in relation to the local LINSIG / ARCADY models that have been submitted to support the application in question. Flow Difference Plots 8.15 Appendices K & M of the TA illustrate the difference in total flows that are forecasted on the network with and without The Mall extension for 2021 and 2031 respectively. These outputs are taken from the wider GBATS model and relate to the weekday evening peak hour and forecasted the changes in flow across the network. These predicted differences in flows are quantified in Tables 8.2 – 8.3 for 2021 and Tables 8.8 and 8.9 for 2031. 8.16 The assessment of strategic modelling outputs of this nature need to be understood in relation to the context of the local highway network, its operation, traffic movement patterns and the limitations of the modelling process selected. TDM officers have noted that the following issues arise with the methodology that is employed in this section of the report. a) b) c) Above all, the applicant has failed to provide an assessment of the development during a neutral period of the year, as referenced earlier. Together with sensitivity testing of the peak operation of The Mall in the weeks leading up to Christmas and the summer holiday period, BCC highway officers note the following other discrepancies with the quality and robustness of the reporting submitted: The comparison of before and after flows using GBATS SATURN model comprises a simplistic and blunt methodology for determining the wider impact of major development proposals. Consequently there is a failure to report the impact of the development on the surrounding highway network and an apparent unfamiliarity with the surrounding area. For instance, the forecasted reduction on a number of highway links expressed in Appendix K requires explanation in view of the additional 670 weekday evening peak hour trips that are forecasted. d) e) f) g) h) GBATS-SATURN output plots are normally expressed as actual flows or demand flows. The difference between the two being where the highway network has failed to accommodate the demand (owing to capacity constraints). This ‘unreleased’ traffic does not figure in the flow plots; As referenced earlier, the Select Link Analyses are a key consideration and are usefully provided in Appendix I. That there are significant additional flows generated by the development on the surrounding highway network during the weekday peak hour, yet comparably minimal increases in total traffic suggests there is either a locational or time-related displacement of background traffic (peak-spreading), neither of which is addressed by the outputs or reporting; It is noted that the Transport Assessment shows minimal queuing on the junctions which are assessed using LINSIG and ARCADY in Tables 8.4, 8.5, 8.9 and 8.10. However, a baseline model does not seem to have been formulated and calibrated against observed congestion. As a result, there is no basis upon which to agree that the three junction models (all of which are on SGC’s network) presented in the TA present a realistic or sound basis upon which to forecast future year impacts; With reference to paragraph 8.31, the determination of junction modelling using the 5% threshold increase in traffic is no longer relevant or appropriate, particularly where the area being considered suffers from congestion. This is stated clearly in the 2007 Guidance on Transport Assessment; Notwithstanding the above, the TA considers the development impact at junctions as a percentage of the total flow of the junction, rather than the increase in traffic at a particular arm. This is a common practice of consultants seeking to minimise the impacts of developments and is incorrect. This requires to be rectified and revised to show the percentage impact upon each arm. In the BCC area, the analysis requires to be expanded to provide impact forecasting for the following junctions as a minimum in view of the impacts forecasted in Table 8.1 of this report: 1) A4018 Cribbs Causeway / Wyck Beck Road / B4055 Station Road (junction is in SGC but impacts upon Station Road in BCC) 2) A4018 Wyck Beck Road / Knole Lane / Passage Road / Crow Lane 3) A4018 Brentry Hill / Greystoke Avenue / Falcondale Road 4) B4056 Southmead Road / Monk’s Park Avenue / Pen Park Road 5) A38 Filton Road / Toronto Road / Monk’s Park Avenue 8.17 In view of the lack of confirmation of impacts on BCC’s network the above list is provided as a minimum and is produced without prejudice to other issues which may arise from alternative and/or further scenario testing which may indicate material impacts elsewhere which may impact negatively upon the safety and operation of Bristol’s movement networks. 8.18 Overall, it is disappointing that the applicant has failed to address the requirements outlined by BCC’s highway officer at the pre-application meeting in October and confirm the impact of the development on BCC’s highway network. In addition to the further work that is required to demonstrate the impact of the development during a more neutral period of the year, in addition to a Saturday and during the peak periods of demand, notably the period leading up to Christmas and Summer Holidays. 8.19 With respect to Saturday assessment, paragraph 8.47 of the TA confirms the applicant’s intention to run a simulated Saturday model to test the impact upon the Saturday afternoon peak hour referred to earlier and an addendum TA is expected to be submitted shortly. 9.0 SUMMARY 9.1 In summary, BCC TDM officers cannot support the proposals for the following reasons: The proposal is considered to be at odds with the NPPF and its requirement for sustainable development. Transport Assessment has not taken account of BCC’s requirements expressed during pre-application discussions. The evidence to support the assessment of baseline conditions is fragile and takes no account of seasonal variations. Customer postcode data is not qualified or assessed in relation to the geographical spread of trips. Parking accumulation is not considered in terms of current dwell times, nor is it in terms of the intention of The Mall to encourage longer stays at the site. The applicant has failed to assess the existing conditions on Bristol’s movement network. The development appears to rely on a series of interventions associated with the CPNN development without providing an understanding of how the delivery of such measures will be timed accordingly to coincide, or not, with an expansion of The Mall. For many of the journeys accessing The Mall it is not reasonable to assume that the MetroBus or rail expansion programmes planned will serve to reduce the car reliance of the development. In conjunction with this, the TA fails to undertake a spatial assessment of current public transport trips to the site and where gaps currently exist. Any improvements to the Public Transport facilities at the site are not considered to generate the necessary shift in mode shares that would be required in order to deliver accessibility comparable to other major retail centres in the area. In relation to the food and drink uses, the TA assumes that all visits to these facilities will only be taken from trips already forecasted to be generated by the retail offer. This is in direct contradiction to the principle to create a facility that serves the forthcoming housing developments to the south. The principle that leisure uses in the expanded Mall will run complimentary to existing leisure uses nearby, that is, that whilst essentially the same use, they will exhibit differing trips patterns fails to assess the worst case. Trip generation for the residential and hotel uses appear to be extremely low. Assignment of development trips does not appear to take into account the Retail Impact Assessment which provides greater clarity in terms of origin of custom, nor does it make the connection between geographical draw and modes of transport. Saturn Bandwidth diagrams appear to represent 2016, whilst the text in the report refers to 2021. There is a discrepancy in that the application for the Filton Airfield site proposes a new junction that is not assessed within the TA for The Mall expansion, calling into question the trip assignment, routing and impacts. Before and after flows do not present a robust enough assessment of the impacts of this major development. However, when Select Link Analysis outputs are interrogated, it is clear that the development results in a material impact upon Bristol’s highway network. As a result the applicant has failed to demonstrate the impact on BCC’s network in terms of the level of congestion, queuing and delay. This is a serious omission. Related to the above, the applicant has not referenced any baseline capacity assessments of the junctions that are tested, neither has it carried out queue length surveys which would be essential in order to validate the baseline outputs presented. Without this, no weight can be attached to future year modelling. The 5% impact threshold is no longer valid as a reason not to test a network or junction, particularly one which is subject to congestion. Percentage impact has been considered as a proportion of the total number of movements across a whole junction, rather than the percentage increase on one arm. This is incorrect and masks the impact of development, reducing the percentage increase every time this methodology is employed. AGENDA ITEM 11 BRISTOL CITY COUNCIL CABINET 3 March 2015 REPORT TITLE: Change Programme Monitoring Report Ward(s) affected by this report: All Strategic Director: Max Wide / Strategic Director, Business Change Report author: Tara Dillon Service Manager, Programme Management Office Contact telephone no. & e-mail address: 0117 92 24391 [email protected] Purpose of the report: To provide a regular six monthly report to Cabinet on progress with the Council’s Change Programme. RECOMMENDATION for the Mayor’s approval: Cabinet is requested to:• • • Note the progress with the delivery of the change programme Note the actions being taken to mitigate risks Note the progress with building the capacity of staff to deliver change now and in the future The proposal: 1. Executive Summary: The Single Change Programme was initiated in October 2013 and is described in detail in the Cabinet report of July 2014 and updated in the Cabinet report of October 2014. In the former report the operating principles, financial business case (including savings targets) and investment requirements are set out. This report is a scheduled update on progress with the Programme. Overall the Programme, currently comprising of 25 projects, is progressing well with a further 9 further projects being recently successfully delivered and a further 16 in progress, including 2 new projects – Facilities Management Redesign and Property Management Redesign. Two major deliveries since the last report include the successful completion of the Restructure Project and the move to the new 100 Temple Street office together with the opening of the new Citizen Service Point. Our first new style digital services have gone live, initially for residents parking in St Paul’s and Clifton, with a pipeline of other services about to migrate including licencing, registrations, concessionary travel and complaints. The number of people with a ‘citizen account’ continues to grow as people begin to use the new digital services. 1 Spend on the programme is in line with budget. Good progress has been made with the delivery of financial benefits, with £23m having been realised, and a further £12m of efficiencies, largely through category management (reductions achieved through the re-negotiation of contracts), well underway. We are confident also that we have sight of a further £8.6m distributed across redesign, income generation and asset management work streams. The remaining c £22m savings needed in the next 2 years will be delivered through a combination of service redesign work, early intervention and closer working with partners. Work is underway to establish firm plans for the delivery of this next tranche of savings, but it is prudent that the programme should remain at an ‘AMBER’ risk level until this is finalised. It is vital that we learn from our work and strive to continuously improve. It became clear during the restructuring exercise that we needed to do more to invest in the skills and capabilities of our service managers so that they could themselves deliver re-designed services now and into the future. We are in the early stages therefore of delivering an Applied Course in Service Re-design. This modular course is attended by ‘cohorts’ of service managers working on clusters of projects sponsored by Directorate Leadership Teams, with targets for saving and improvements identified at the start and verified during the ‘discovery’ phase of the course. These projects are delivered, during the lifetime of the course, by service managers who are backed by change support teams. The first cohort of service managers entered the programme at the end of January, with subsequent groups being initiated during February and March. All service managers will complete the course and taken together, the cohorts will deliver a substantial contribution to the service redesign effort. Further work is underway to identify the source of the remaining savings with a particular focus now on ‘step 2’ projects which we have described previously (see July 2014 Cabinet report) as “outcome driven, focused on ‘doing better things’. Addressing areas such as more effective working with partners, optimising the use of public sector resources, building the sustainability and resilience of the City, listening to citizens and understanding the things that they find genuinely helpful to commission a set of services that achieve better outcomes.” This will help to create a modernised organisation and a service offering very different to that of today, re-designed ‘from the outside- in’. 2. Programme progress to date Projects closed/closing A number of change projects have recently delivered and are either formally closed or have entered the close down stage: Restructure: Change Board received the closedown report for this project in November 2014. The project achieved its objectives in enabling 600 people to leave Bristol City Council amounting to 509 full time equivalents. The full year impact of the savings is just over £21m comprising £2.3m savings from tiers 1-3 (our senior leadership staff), £12.67m from BG10-15 (managerial grade staff) and £6.4m from BG 1-9 (our lowest paid staff). The shape and size of the Council has changed significantly therefore in the last year, as the infographic below shows. 2 New Citizen Service Point (CSP) 100 Temple Street: Opened according to plan on the 15th December, the new CSP at 100 Temple Street successfully served 190 citizens in their first week. Feedback to date from both citizens and staff has been very positive, with many highlighting the success achieved through the colocation of front line and specialist back office staff in one building. This is demonstrably enabling faster resolution at the first point of contact and supporting the prevention of escalating need. Operational staff within the new CSP continue to monitor how the new space is being used, ensuring they are being responsive to citizen need. Electoral Management System: a new fit for purpose election management system was successfully implemented on the 9th December according to plan, with handover to business operations undertaken on the 15th January. This was a rapid and highly focussed piece of work that required supportive and highly collaborative work across a number of teams to ensure the new system was in place and working well in advance of the next round of elections. Evidence Handling Redesign: A number of changes to our approach to handling citizen evidence for a range of services were implemented to support the opening of the new CSP. The changes introduced include: the ability to upload certain types of evidence online (reducing the need to come into CSPs); self-service scanners in the new CSP allowing citizens to help themselves, not requiring officer time; introducing the ability for services to begin to share evidence (preventing asking for it twice/using information already available to us); adopting a risk based approach to who is asked to provide evidence and when. Housing Advice & Assessment: Directly in response to the feedback gathered through a range of interviews with citizens, we went live with a number of improvements to our Housing Advice and Assessment service to support the opening of the new CSP. Changes include: easy to absorb, targeted and honest information, advice and guidance on the website (directly responding to citizens requests that we provide honest communication so they understand what options 3 are and aren’t available to them); access to the specialist Housing Advice Team in the same appointment and in the same building (with the view to providing support to those who need it most at the first point of contact and prevent escalating need); introduction of an online self-assessment tool to help citizens understand the next steps available to them and provide easy to understand advice and guidance. Local Tax: A range of improvements to existing services, as well as new initiatives, were successfully launched. Improvements include: o Reworked web content for exemptions and discounts, making it clearer for citizens if they qualify, as well new clearer landing page and an ‘Explain my Bill’ information sheet; o Improved web content for customers who are struggling to pay; o Simplified reminder letters and enforcement action letters to make clear what citizens need to do; o Redesign of the annual bill, making it easier for citizens to understand and removing unnecessary information, allowing important details to be more prominent (completed – will go live Feb 2015). New offerings delivered include: o On-line form for students with the ability to attach evidence (removing the need to complete by hand and post to the council – over 1000 forms have been received through the online channel since launch in September); o Introduction of a highly visual recovery process leaflet to aid citizens to understand what happens if don’t pay (replacing current word heavy two sided leaflet); o The ability for citizens to set up Direct Debit on-line rather than via a paper form (will go live April 2015). Housing Benefits: A range of improvements have been delivered to reduce the number and simplify the content of the letters associated with the service. Existing online claim forms have been simplified and made easier to use based on citizen feedback. The ability to upload evidence online has also been created. The backlog of claims experienced in the latter half of 2014 has now been cleared and further opportunities to improve this, high volume process identified. Residents Parking Permits: Residents in St Paul’s and Clifton Village now have the ability to apply and pay for their permits online. The roll out of the Clifton Village alone has seen 65% of the applications to date coming in via the digital channel. If the digital channel had not been turned on and these applications had needed to be processed manually, in the same 2 week period the Permits Team would have needed an extra 4 FTE to process what would have been an additional 296 hours of work. This capability will now be rolled out to the remaining new zones, as well as pre-existing zones allowing 12 month renewals to be undertaken online. Concessionary Travel & Blue badges – each year we receive 1,600 new applications for free Older Persons bus passes. All applicants have had to prove 4 their identity, age and address by presenting original documents at a CSP or by post; there was no on-line channel. This project introduced a new online channel, made improvement to and simplified the existing paper application (for those customers still requiring this channel), improved web content, introduced a ‘print on demand’ policy at the CSP (reducing the need to store lots of paper), redesigned internal processes to make them simpler and improved data capture. Within the first 2 weeks of launch we had 33 successful applications and received very positive feedback from users of the website. Live projects A number of our live projects are focussed on redesigning the current service offering seeking ways to improve citizen experience, decrease the time taken to deliver, reduce any areas of duplication and seek opportunities to reduce costs. Freedom of Information (FoI) and Complaints Redesign – improved internal processes for FoI requests, complaints and statutory complaints to increase speed of handling, improve customer experience and remove waste. Introduction of a new online channel for citizens integrated with a new fit for purpose back end system – including improved online information advice and guidance. Go live for FoI will be March 2015 with statutory and non-statutory complaints services to be released at set increments over the following weeks. A related element of this project is looking at the roll out of these improvements across Mayoral Correspondence. Licensing Redesign – introducing a range of process improvements and a new online offering for taxi driver applications and renewals. This will remove paper based licensing application processes (which is more expensive to process), reduce footfall into Princess House presenting potential to close front desk, standardise and simplify the end to end license application processes and speed up the process of licence applications and reduce hand-offs and delays. Registrations Redesign – introducing a booking system for the Registration Team to better support their requirements. Deliver the ability to register a birth, still birth and request certificates online. Reducing the number of calls into the Customer Contact Centre and drop-in’s to the Registration Office. Asset Management Redesign and Facilities Management Redesign – projects are in their early stages, due to formally be initiated at the end of January 2015. The Asset Management Redesign will outline how the associated Mayoral Savings will be delivered over the next 2 years. Due to the need for fit for purpose technology to underpin our council services, there are a number of live technology replacement projects. New Adult Care System – work is progressing well, with data migrations from the existing system (PARIS) well underway. The project is due to be complete quarter 1 of 2015/16. New HR/Payroll System – to deliver a modern, integrated, management information system to support our HR and Payroll functions. Good progress has been made to date with the project on course to go live on the 1st November 2015 5 to allow for the November payroll to be run through the new system. New Performance Management System - supplier demonstrations have been held and procurement process to imminently name preferred supplier. Approach to rollout being developed, with go-live forecast for May 2015. New Integrated Education Case Management System – last summer we held a tender process and discovered the marketplace does not currently offer a commercial off the shelf software product that meets the needs of the service, whilst supporting the way the council wants to work. The project has continued exploring how to meet long term service need whilst commencing a number of tactical pieces of immediate work. Options to progress the longer term solution are being investigated. New Housing Management System – This project is progressing well with final evaluation of the preferred suppliers currently underway, with supplier demos and final decision on supplier scheduled to be made in mid-February. New Asset Management System for the Highways service – the preferred solution has been identified and we are currently agreeing an implementation schedule. The wider change projects currently underway under the umbrella of the programme are: Bristol Workplace – stage 1 of the project to decant staff from City Hall, co-locate predominately front line services in 100 Temple Street (operating new flexible working practices) and begin to co-locate support services in Parkview have been successfully delivered. Planning for stage 2 is now underway, which will include the refurbishment of City Hall, further office moves to release existing assets, the roll out of new working practices across the whole staff base and the assessment of the potential for localised ‘community hubs’. A new co-Director is now in place and asset disposal issues, which have hitherto compromised the timely release of vacated properties, are now being addressed through the establishment of a Corporate Property Board. Libraries for the Future – consultation with the public continues to progress well, with over 3000 surveys completed. There is now a need to target non-users in the final month of consultation to ensure their views are represented. Proposals for the new service are being developed: Discussions with all management teams have taken place, as well as meetings with community groups, DWP, scrutiny, internal stakeholders etc. to consider options. Category Management – In Domiciliary Care short term benefits continue being delivered through increased compliance with Electronic Monitoring System. The Framework re-tender, projected to deliver at least £1.7m savings on price with further demand management savings. Residential Care has delivered some benefits in 14/15 and the full year effects are likely to be over £1m in 15/16 and 16/17. The Framework re-tender initial consultation with the marketplace is underway. Workforce savings associated with agency staff demand management process have been implemented. 6 3. Boundary Review & Constitution phase 2 - A consultation was run by the Boundary Commission from 9 December to 15 February inviting comments on the draft proposals for ward boundary changes. It expects to present final recommendations in May 2015 with new boundaries to be effective in time for the May 2016 elections. March will see the review of Scrutiny Report and research is underway into proposed changes in committees, the role of outside bodies and changes to the governance of neighbourhood partnerships. An annual review of the constitution is underway with recommendations for changes being brought to full Council in spring following discussions with Party Group leaders and Whips. Care Act – an initial phase of work is underway to put in place the statutory requirements associated with the Care Act that will go live March 2015. Post April, work will focus on the broader strategic changes. Income Generation – this project is in the early stages of initiation; investigative work is underway to identify and then progress a range of income generating opportunities. Initial findings to be brought to Change Board for further discussion in March. Financial Update: Investment The estimated total level of investment required in the Change Programme is £33.5m over 3 years, as set out in the Medium Term Financial Plan. The year to date figures show that £5.5m has been spent, with current financial year investment in line to hit the budgeted £10m. Spend sits broadly across the categories: resources, restructure, redesign, technology and category management. Benefits To date, the Change Programme has realised nearly £22.6m of savings through the organisational restructure (almost exclusively achieved through voluntary severance). Due to a factors we are now addressing through the Applied Course in Service Redesign (see below), this was slightly short of the original first year target of £28m, with the deficit now being recovered through the redesign work stream. An additional £12m of savings are on course to be delivered through a range of initiatives being delivered through the Category Management (savings through either, or a combination of, renegotiation of existing contracts, re-procurement of services and improved demand management) work stream. The remaining savings will be delivered through the redesign, income generation and asset management work streams. The primary contributor will be the redesign work stream with an estimated £11m to be delivered 15/16 and a further £11m to be delivered in 16/17. 7 The table below shows the current status of savings realisation across the Change Programme: Stage of benefits realisation: Benefits delivered Benefits identified and projects on track High confidence in benefits and work started Benefits to be identified 4. Content Sub Totals Totals Restructure Restructure full year impact Category management: new contracts agreed low case medium to high case Income generation Asset management Applied Course projects Further redesign and ‘step 2’ work £11.8m £9.3m £21.1m £1.5m £13.2m £9.0m £2.7m £2.0m £4.6m £4.0m £10.6m £19.1m £64m Building change capacity in the Council: The Applied Programme for Service re-design As part of the re-design workstream we have sought to invest in our service manager group to bring them fully into the delivery of savings and improvements as their role description requires. This enhances our change capacity going forward and frees up service directors to design and deliver more complex ‘step 2’ work. We are in the early stages therefore of delivering an Applied Programme in Service Re-design. This modular course is attended by ‘cohorts’ of service managers working on clusters of projects sponsored by Directorate Leadership Teams, with targets for saving and improvements identified at the start. These projects are delivered, during the lifetime of the course, by service managers who are backed by change support teams. The first cohort of service managers entered the programme at the end of January, with subsequent groups being initiated during February and March. All service managers will complete the course and taken together, the cohorts will deliver a substantial contribution to the service redesign effort. The cohorts are identified through Directorate Leadership Teams utilising data on high cost processes within the Council. A ‘pre-qualification questionnaire’ is submitted that enables the Board to take an investment decision. The criteria to select potential cohorts is based on their predicted impact on; 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. The savings or income quantum Duplication and inefficiency The journey to digital Impact on citizens in priority (life event) areas Re-use of previously completed work 8 Based on these criteria a number of potential cohorts have been identified which are currently being evaluated and will be described in more detail in the next update report. Once selected the programme proceeds as set out below with participants attending a number of modules described in the top row of the diagram, and then in between the modules they apply the learning with the help of the change support team. Progress is overseen by Directorate Leadership Teams and at key ‘gateways’ this is in trun reported to Change Board. 5. Conclusion The programme is progressing well, delivering its expected benefits within the investment envelope. As would be normal with a programme of this size, problems do occur but where this happens Change Board is proving a robust vehicle for identifying and resolving any issues. We are taking steps to enhance change capacity in the organisation by investing in service managers and beginning deliver digital re-design on a much bigger scale. Challenges remain to identify and realise the remainder of the savings but we are well placed to do this. Consultation and scrutiny input: a. Internal consultation: Change Programme Board Strategic Leadership Team 9 Business Change Scrutiny Commission b. External consultation: None Risk management / assessment: Eco impact assessment Resource and legal implications: Finance Financial (revenue and capital) implications: 10 Financial implications are covered in Section 3 of the report for both capital (investment) and revenue (benefits/budget savings). Budget savings associated with the programme are a major element of the budget for 2015/15 and the Medium Term financial Strategy. Any slippage in the projected savings would therefore impact upon the delivery of the councils financial targets. Advice given by Date Peter Gillett, Service Director - Finance 17th February 2015. c. Legal implications: N/A d. Land / property implications: N/A e. Human resources implications: Guidance: The impact of the Change Programme laid out in this paper is in line with the Section 188 notice issued in November 2013 at the outset of the 3 year budget. The number of employees that are considered as being potentially impacted covers the whole permanent and temporary workforce and we continue to estimate that there will be a potential reduction of 971 (800 FTE) employees during the three financial years covered by the MTFS. The organisation restructure that has taken place during the current 2014/15 financial year has resulted to date in workforce reductions of 523 FTE. Full consultation with Trade Unions has been undertaken throughout the period of organisation restructure and the Council will continue to seek to reach agreement with the recognised Trade Unions on how to mitigate the need to make any further compulsory redundancies. Advice given by Date Richard Billingham – Service Director HR 17.02.15 Appendices: None 11