J. ter Heege - What is going on down there
Transcription
J. ter Heege - What is going on down there
What is going on down there? Results from the M4ShaleGas integrated reviews of best practices of subsurface operations in U.S.A. and Canada (SP1) Jan ter Heege (TNO Petroleum Geosciences) www.m4shalegas.eu 4 Scientific Sub-Programs M4ShaleGas studies the environmental impact of shale gas exploitation in 4 sub-programs (SP) on the subsurface, surface, air & climate, public engagement: 26/05/2016 SP1 Impact of subsurface activities: hydraulic fracturing, induced seismicity, well integrity SP2 Impact of surface activities: water, soil and well site activities SP3 Impact on air quality and climate SP4 Public engagement and perceptions of environmental impacts Project Outline /2 SP1: Subsurface impacts & risks 26/05/2016 WP1 Subsurface impact of hydraulic fracturing WP2 Fault reactivation & induced seismicity WP3 Seismic monitoring of hydraulic fracturing WP4 Geochemical monitoring of well leakage WP5 Drilling hazards and well integrity WP6 Integration & best practices SP1 Outline /3 General Methodology • • 2017 • • 2016 • practices from U.S.A./Canada Collection and review of data from European shales Model development, simulations and experimental constraints Risk and impact assessment Comparison with conventional gas & other energy-related industrial activities Develop science-based best-practice recommendations 2015 • Review of available data and best June 2015 November 2017 26/05/2016 Project Approach /4 Fracture Containment Data on vertical extent of fracture disturbed zone: Vertical extent of fractures mapped by microseismics (Davies et al. 2012, after Warpinski and Warpinski 2011) Key data: 1% > 350 m; max. 536 m (Marcellus); max. 588 m (Barnett) 26/05/2016 • Data mostly from microseismic monitoring (estimated 3-5% monitored) • Data on maximum vertical extent show limited height growth towards aquifers • Interaction between natural and induced fractures or bedding important • Differences European and North American geological settings and shale characteristics important WP1 Hydraulic Fracturing /5 Subsurface Impacts Hydraulic Fracturing (BGS) Study of controls on fracture disturbed zone in lab experiments: • Hypothesis: Are fractures lithologically bound? • Fractures appear to be “deflected” by the interface between two clays of different rheological properties • Not all fractures deflect and some do pass through • Experiments are on-going with apparatus being modified and clay layers being preformed to create better interfaces © NERC All rights reserved Bowland shale Kaolin Cuss et al. 2016- BGS D1.2, 1.3 Fault Reactivation & Induced Seismicity (TNO) Study of controlling factors for induced seismicity: • Global database seismic magnitudes • Mechanistic understanding of problematic seismicity • Approach to classify shale gas sites in terms of seismic risks • Mitigation options (optimum operations, traffic light systems) • Link subsurface seismic sources to surface motions Buijze et al. 2016- TNO D2.2 23/02/2016 WP2 Induced Seismicity /7 Fault & Fracture Reactivation Models • 26/05/2016 Characterization of natural faults and fractures used in model predictions (coll. BGS, TNO & SINTEF) Characterization of natural fractures at different /8 scales Project Introduction (Wassing, TerHeege, Buijze 2015-2016, TNO) Fault Reactivation Experiments • Experiments examining properties of pre-existing faults and reactivation potential • Using bespoke Angled Shear Rig (right) • Injecting into critically-stressed fault surface and detecting pressure when fault reactivates • Investigating different lithologies, pressurisation rate, saturation state of the gouge • Results (right) show that at 100% saturation, Bowland shale does not take much pressure to cause reactivation – Pressure at which reactivation occurs is saturation dependent © NERC All rights reserved Cuss et al. 2016- BGS D1.2, 1.3 Seismic Monitoring (GFZ) profile model + microseismics Study of optimum seismic monitoring approaches: plan view • Network designs • Waveform data processing techniques • High precision, real time monitoring of spatiotemporal fracture growth • Application of seismic monitoring to mitigation of induced seismicity and well leakage microseismic data US plays fault profile WP3 Seismic Monitoring Warpinski 2014 /10 Seismic Monitoring Networks (GFZ) Best practice kit for seismic monitoring: • Cost-effective, modular approach to seismic monitoring • Network design versus resolution • Monitoring of background seismicity (baseline) • Short term monitoring of stimulation operations • Long term monitoring of production, waste water disposal and post- well abandonment period Bohnhoff et al. 2016- GFZ /11 Monitoring of Well Leakage (IFPEN) Study of monitoring well leakage using chemical tracers: Jackson et al. 2015 26/05/2016 • Geochemical species suitable for monitoring • Baseline concentrations of potential chemical tracers • Properties, detection limits, sensitivity to leakage of tracers • Optimum deployment of chemical sensors to detect tracers in shallow aquifers • Classification of species in terms of alarm function WP4 Well Leakage /12 Chemical Tracers For Well Leakage (IFPEN) Review of chemical tracers: • Availability local data on (baseline) compositions of ground- & surface water, hydraulic fracturing fluids & additives, flow back fluids • Methane tracers are complex: isotope ratios rather than concentrations (biogenic sources) • Heavy halogens (Br, I), heavy alkaline earth metals (Ba, Sr) seem good tracers • Isotope ratios of Sr, Br, Li indicate cross-formational flow • Noble gasses can outline mechanisms of well leakage Warner et al. 2014 26/05/2016 /13 Drilling Hazards & Well Integrity (SINTEF) Gawel et al. 2015- SINTEF D5.1 Study well integrity during drilling, completion, production & abandonment: • Ensuring well integrity during full life cycle of wells • Emerging methods and materials for drilling and completion (coll. PGI) • Potential differences well integrity issues between regions and geology • Improving well integrity for European shale gas wells WP5 Drilling & Completion /14 Well Integrity Issues (SINTEF) Review of shale-specific issues for well drilling, completion, production and abandonment: Torsaeter 2015 • Surface environment: Safety requirements for onshore drilling near populated areas • Borehole stability: Drilling long sections in non-porous rocks • Hydraulic fracturing: Well integrity under varying chemical and pressure conditions • Abandonment: Ensuring long term containment for creeping shales /15 Integration & Risk Assessment (TNO) Potential hazard subsurface loss of zonal isolation or integrity of wells migration of potentially hazardous substances to surface through fractured disturbed zoned induced seismicity related to hydraulic fracturingd induced seismicity related to wastewater disposald surface incidents related to well site storage and transportation spills and leaks of potentially hazardous substances landscape disturbance due to well site construction emissions to air reduction of air quality due to pollutant emissions greenhouse gas emissions affecting the global climate Key statistics or findings relevant for the occurrence of incidents Reported effects, impacts or concerns typically <6.3% well integrity problems, 1.3% leak to surfacea ; 3% lack cement around parts of casings at groundwater levelsb vertical extent of fractures above horizontal well sections from micro-seismics: typically 1% > 350 m, max. 588 me,f typically Mw < 1g,h; some examples of ML > 2g,h; USA: max. Mw = 2.8i, Canada: max. ML = 4.4j some examples of problematic seismicity ML > 2, max. Mw = 5.7 (OK, USA)m no widespread, systemic impacts on drinking water resourcesb; some examples of local drinking water contaminationc no documented examples of direct migration, concerns for shales < 1000 m depth and for effects on integrity of nearby wellsb seismicity felt at surface (western Canada), well damage possiblek,l likely increase of occurrence, no quantitative data on comparison of industriesn typically 0.4-12.2 spills for every 100 wells, 1% of spills linked to hydraulic fracturing on or near the well pad, 0.4% are chemicals, additives, or fracturing fluidsb some level of landscape changes are inevitable, depending on scale of operations and field development planningo impacts linked to local settings, methods used, scale of operations and preventive measuresn 9% of chemicals, additives, or fracturing fluids spills reached surface water, 64% reached soil, none reached groundwater (but may reach groundwater over time) different levels of ecological, physical and aesthetic landscape changes depending on well site designso emissions (mg/MJ): CH4 800, VOC 80 (uncaptured venting); NOx 5269, CO 4.6-6.0, PM 0.01 (combustion)p carbon footprint for generating electricity: 420-850 CO2-eq/kWhq; total life cycle GHG emissions for shale gas: 65-100 g CO2/MJp-r health effects from smog with ground-level ozone (VOC+NOx), CO, fine particles (PM); soil or surface water acidification (SO2)p contributes to global warming, level depends on local energy sources (impact depends on comparison with coal, conventional gas, etc.)p-r Ter Heege 2016 – TNO D21.1 seismicity felt and structural damage at surfacem Risk assessment & recommendations of best practices: • Risk: Combination of likelihood and effects of incidents • Incident statistics and effects based on North American data • Comparison of risks associated with different activities & hazards • Comparison between different regions (North America versus Europe) /16 Questions? Green River Formation, Colorado, USA (photo: Susanne Nelskamp , TNO) Disclaimer: • This presentation is part of a project that has received funding by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 640715 • The content of this presentation reflects only the authors’ view. The Innovation and Networks Executive Agency (INEA) is not Project responsible for any use that may Introduction 23/02/2016 be made of the information it contains