Turkish Politics and International Society during the Ozal
Transcription
Turkish Politics and International Society during the Ozal
Dispensing with Tradition? Turkish Politics and International Society during the Özal Decade, 1983-93 Author(s): Berdal Aral Reviewed work(s): Source: Middle Eastern Studies, Vol. 37, No. 1 (Jan., 2001), pp. 72-88 Published by: Taylor & Francis, Ltd. Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/4284139 . Accessed: 12/09/2012 07:03 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . Taylor & Francis, Ltd. is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Middle Eastern Studies. http://www.jstor.org Dispensingwith Tradition? TurkishPolitics and InternationalSociety during the Ozal Decade, 1983-93 BERDAL ARAL TurgutOzal played a leading role in Turkishpolitics first as prime minister (1983-89), then as president (1989-93). At first sight, he comes across as a man of apparent paradoxes. He was part of a political tradition that representedthe revolt of Anatolia (the Asian portion of Turkey) against an elitist, Westward-lookingestablishment which tended to despise the values and traditions of Anatolia (which in fact derived its vitality from Islam); and yet, it was the same Ozal who enjoyed the unequivocal supportof the USA and internationalfinancial institutions on account of his espousal of free-market economy and support for US policies in the Middle East, Caucasia and Central Asia. Ozal was also the man who most deepened and widened Turkey's links with the Islamic world, to the extent that he was often blamed by some secularists for harbouring 'fundamentalist' ambitions; and yet it was under Ozal's premiershipthat Turkey applied for membership of the European Economic Community (EEC) in April 1987 as the ultimate step in Turkey's search for 'recognition' as part of the 'Europeanfamily'. To make sense of this apparent paradox, one has to locate its background in the specific political culture that has evolved since the establishment of a secular, Westward-looking and nationalistic Turkish republic in the mid-1920s. Today these core values of Kemalism, the doctrinal foundation of Turkish nationalism named after the founder of the Turkish Republic, appear to have been internalized, owing either to state coercion or to conviction, on the part of all the political groupings, with the marked exception of Islamists. In the post-Second World War era, Turkey's political rulers decided to change the course of Turkish foreign policy from neutrality to military and economic alliance with the Western world on the pretext of Stalin's territorialambitions over parts of Turkish territory as contained in the Soviet memorandum of 1946.' This new strategy was widely supported by mainstream political parties, Middle EasternStudies, Vol.37, No.1, January2001, pp.72-88 PUBLISHED BY FRANK CASS, LONDON TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 73 including the conservatives, on account of security considerations and a willingness to integrate Turkey into the 'civilized' Western world.2 In such a milieu, the language of anti-colonialism and anti-imperialism did not necessarily coincide with the priorities of the Turkish ruling establishment. Not unlike its predecessor, the Republican Peoples Party, the conservative Menderes government formed by the Democrat Party, which ruled the country from 1950 to 1960, identified itself with the Western world. Its association with the USA and Britain evolved to such an extent that, in the 1950s, Turkey literally became a mouthpiece of Western interests in the Middle East.3However, despite such policies, the Menderes government continued to enjoy widespread support from the mostly conservative electorate until the government's overthrow by the army in 1960. The legacy of the Democrat Party led by Menderes,4has not however died out in Turkey. Historically speaking, the ideological conventions of conservative political forces in Turkey can be described as a blend of conservatism which rejects political/systemic Islam, Western-oriented foreign policy, and xenophobic nationalism that mistrusts most of Turkey's immediate neighbours. That Turkey has been ruled by right-wing governments (partly nationalistic, partly conservative) for the best part of over fifty years of multi-party politics in Turkey should not come as a surprise. Indeed, for Turkish politicians, the use of a universalist language of Islam without specific ethnic and/or cultural references does not earn sufficient political gains in a society conditioned (by official policies) to believe in the particularisticideas such as 'the unique qualities of the Turks and Turkey', 'the attraction and superiority of Western civilization', and 'the materialistic conception of the priority of economics and welfare over other considerations of human life'. Not surprisingly, therefore, the conservative political forces in Turkey have successfully deployed Islam as part of the language of nationalism. This is the context in which to understandOzalism and its similarities with, and differences from, the rightwing governments that preceded it. The first thing to observe about Ozal was his ability to reconcile contradictory elements and establish harmony between them. That his Motherland Party consisted of four different political wings (Liberals, Conservatives, Social Democrats, Extreme Nationalists) is a testimony to Ozal's appetite for accommodation. Close to his death (1993) Ozal was planning to overcome the polarization between secularists and antisecularists by overseeing a 'reform' in Islam that, in his view, would have been accordant with 'modem conditions'. As he saw it, this reform would 74 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES make Islam more palatable to Western-oriented, secularist Turks who resented the 'strictness', 'comprehensiveness' and 'moralistic overtones' of the Koran and Sunna (two main sources of the Islamicfaith).This project was also intended to 'demonstrate'that genuine Muslims were not necessarily 'reactionaries',but ratherthey could be as 'modern' and 'civilized'as the secularists.5 Especiallyafterbecomingpresident6(in 1989), Ozal began to act as thoughhe was an opponentof the regimein his searchto restructurethe state and its links with the citizens.7In his fight againstthe primacyof Kemalist principles, such as secularism,etatism, and (homogenizing) nationalism,he actedas a rationalistandpragmaticperson.8WithOzal,the will to catch up with the elusive 'contemporarycivilization', as had hithertobeen sanctifiedby the official ideology,was replacedby the will to catch up with the more concrete notions of the 'modern and (economically) developed world'. Hence ratherthan prioritizing political, ideological and culturaldispositions,Ozal laid particularemphasis on economicsas such.9 It is also evident that Ozal was greatlyimpressedby the American systemof politicalgovernance.Duringhis tenureas president,he disclosed his plansfor a presidentialsystem.Howeverthisprojectnevermaterialized on accountof powerfulopposition.Neverthelessthisdidnotdeterhimfrom acting as though he was the presidentof a presidentialsystem." Ozal wantedto stripoff theeducationalsystemfromthe statistyokeanddelegate this matterto the communitiesthemselves.In his view, the principleof competitionhad to prevailin the health service too.'' Ozal persistently emphasized three fundamental freedoms in his speeches: freedom of expression,freedomof religion,andfreedomof enterprise.Althoughsuch emphasison classical freedomsseems too superficialin humanrights debates, its significance in the Turkish context should not be into underestimated, given thatthesefreedomshadneverbeentransformed of the Turkishconstitutionsand reality,despitethe contraryproclamations statutes. As partof his project,Ozalwantedto sparkoff a consciousness,among peopleandwithinthe statealike,of the gloriousOttomanpast.In his view, sooner or later,Turkeywould have to come to terms with its Ottoman heritage.'2The Ottomanexperience,to him, containedmany lessons in tolerance and pluralism. Ozal was convinced that, without 'peace at home', his vision of a strong and influential Turkey would not materialize. Therefore he wanted to put an end to the exclusion (by the state) of the culturalmanifestationsof Islam, of the Kurdishidentity, and other repressed identities. Indeed Ozal advocated a non-ideological state whose primary task was to serve the citizens.3He believed that the mosaic of different TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 75 cultures and identities would facilitate the formation of a dynamic and efficient society which was at ease with itself and with others. Therefore, in his view, the largely superficial polarization between 'Islamists' and 'secularists' on the one hand, and the 'Turks' and the 'Kurds' on the other, had to be resolved. This meant that, ratherthan outlawing them, the views and claims raised by Kurdish rights' activists and the Islamists (as the two scapegoats of the republican regime, alongside socialists, since its inception) had to be legalized. Two peculiarities of his individual backgroundincreased his popularity during his presidency: he was a civilian and he was religious. These qualities were a rare breed among Turkish presidents since the establishment of the Turkishrepublic in 1923. As he saw himself, Ozal was a missionary who wanted to mastermindan Islamic renaissance in Turkey throughblending religious tolerance with modern science and knowledge.'4 However Ozal's preoccupation with Islam, according to many secularist Turkish intellectuals, was encouraged by the USA as part of its global strategy to use 'neo-conservatism' as a means to keep pro-Westernregimes in power.'5According to this view, it is irrelevant whether the religion in question is Islam, Christianityor Hinduism, so long as it is stripped of its revolutionary and anti-imperialistic content. Indeed, the 'Turkish-Islamic synthesis', fashioned by the ruling establishmentin the wake of the military takeover in 1980, which was supposed to reconcile nationalism with Islam, was neither anti-Westernnor anti-capitalistic.'6Surely this view says a lot about the truth.Nonetheless, it tends to portrayTurkishpolitics simply as a by-productof American strategies, which surely is an exaggeration.Looked through the prism of culture, identity and (domestic) politics, the case of Ozal can equally be seen as an indigenous movement which sought to reconcile modernity with the Turkish/Islamictradition. This article seeks, inter alia, to emphasize certain aspects of Ozalism that are specific to Turkey. Ozal's international outlook was premised on the rejection of the supposition of an inescapable hostility between the Islamic and the Western world. He instead advocated the economic and political integration of Muslim countries into the world system, even if it was patently dominated by the USA and its allies. In Ozal's view, this was the only way for Muslims to enjoy the fruits of modern science and technology, and to achieve considerable economic growth. For Ozal, the ideal of an Islamic union was therefore both unnecessary and impractical.'7 It is thus clear that Ozal's passion for 'reconciling the irreconcilable' also extended into the sphere of foreign policy. Ozal sought to 'prove' that 76 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES Islamwas perfectlyreconcilablewitha capitalisteconomyandpro-Western foreignpolicy.'8He was thereforeunconcernedwiththe Islamicpreceptson imperialism,economic exploitation,or injustice.For Ozal, the Islamic 'connection'couldbe useful as a foreignpolicy instrumentto turnTurkey into a regionalpower.To this end, he establishedcordialrelationswith the withMiddle Eastern countries. Ozal wanted the Islamicworld,particularly Islamicworld to adoptsecularism,liberaldemocracy,and a pro-Western outlookas the definingfeaturesof theirofficial ideology.9Gozen argues that, 'TurgutOzal's sympathyfor the Muslimworldwas not less thanhis sympathy for the Western world'.20 If this is true, one has to note that this was partly an outcome of his strong religious faith which proclaimed Muslims as 'brothers'. As he was familiar with liberal ideals and Western way of life, he sought to blend them with Islamic values in a pragmatic fashion. However, his interest in the Middle East was also the result of his genuine desire to see the establishment among these countries of an economic pact based on free trade and economic co-operation.2'Ozal's illborn proposal to distribute Turkish waters through pipelines down to the Gulf region (including Syria and Israel) was, in his view, to be a unique contribution to the cause of peace in the Middle East. He even called the project 'peace-water'.22 This project never materialized, mainly for two reasons: first, it was too costly; second, it would give Turkey too much political weight which no (Arab) Middle Eastern country was prepared to accept.23This aborted attempt at least testifies to Ozal's belief in the primacy of economics in international politics. He was convinced, for instance, that the Greco-Turkish disputes could be resolved through deepening economic links between the parties. He likewise formulated the motto 'trade not aid' as a major principle of Turkey's relations with the USA.24 Ozal'sultimateobjectivewas to installTurkeyas the leaderof a Turkic world stretchingfrom the Adriaticto the great Chinese wall underthe protective umbrella of pax Americana. The primacy of the Western world and the Turkic republics in his world view, brought him closer to the establishment. It is no wonder, then, that, in spite of the 'eccentricity' of some of his views, his unorthodox activism, and strong religious orientation, Ozal was never openly rejected by the Turkish establishment, including the army, as an 'outsider'.25 Ozal believed that Turkish national interests generally coincided with those of the USA in the Middle East, Caucasia and Central Asia. Ozal reckoned that the USA could be infinitely destructive against its enemies. He therefore conducted his policies on the basis of a pro-Americanbias. He was convinced that Turkey did not possess the necessary means and TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 77 resources to pursue an 'independent' strategy which could potentially harm US interests.26 Not surprisingly, therefore, Ozal uncritically accepted the three main roles envisaged for Turkey by the USA and its Western allies in the postCold War era: first, Turkey was to act as a bulwark against Iranian (Islamic) influence in the Middle East, Caucasus, and Central Asia. Under this scheme, Turkey was to 'export' its secular and (liberal) democratic model into these newly independent states as an alternative to the radical Islamic model promoted by Iran.27Secondly, Turkey would also play a vital role in Western, particularly US, efforts to constrain and contain radical states and/or political movements in the Middle East, such as Iran, Iraq and Hamas, as part of a pro-Western bloc of status-quo oriented states; thirdly, the West would ensure that Turkey remained committed to European integration. While the US would have presumably supported Turkey's full integration with the EEC, the Europeans seemed to perceive Turkey as a subordinate partner.Turkey's qualified rejection for EEC membership in December 198928 was indeed part of this European approach to keep Turkey at arm's length, without necessarily letting it in. Although this strategy has frustrated the Turkish ambitions to become a 'respectful' player in European politics, the fact that the EEC Council of Ministers did not entirely rule out the possibility of Turkish membership at some time in the future has at least given Turkey's pro-Western establishment a pretext to cling to the EEC as the frame of reference for Turkish foreign policy strategies. Not surprisingly, therefore, Turkey felt the need to emphasize that it had not perceived the Black Sea Economic Project of 1990 as an alternative to EEC membership. Hence the need to reiterate the priority of the Western world.. 29 Ozal's influence in Turkish politics and foreign policy became more marked in the second half of the 1980s as the influence of the army began to wane because of greater democratization. His influence became even more conspicuous after his election by the parliamentas president in 1989. This fact interestingly coincided with the historic changes that had been taking place in eastern Europe, the Soviet Union and, partly, the Middle East.30Looking retrospectively, Ozal seems to have been the only Turkish political leader who had the necessary insight and vision to catch the momentum of the time. Ozal did not at all think that Turkey's geopolitical and strategic significance for the Western world diminished with the coming to an end of the Cold War.He instead saw the emergence of a Turkic world and the developments in the Balkans as an opportunity to expand the Turkish influence in international politics. According to Ozal, as a remnant of an 78 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES empire,Turkeywas boundto show close interestin territoriesformerly ruledby the OttomanEmpire.3'This meantthatAtaturk'smotto 'peaceat home, peace in the world', which precludedactive involvementoutside Turkey'sborders,could no more be a valid principleof Turkishforeign policy.Revolutionarychangesin the ex-SovietUnionandeasternEurope, in his view, requireda broaderoutlookthanTurkey'shithertostatus-quo orienteddisinterestin the externalworld.32 Ozal believed that,if Turkeybecamea memberof the EEC,Turkey's internationalstandingwould likewise increase. He hoped that through membershipno furtherquotas on Turkishtextile exports to the EEC markets would be imposed.33 However, Turkey's continuous condemnation by various European institutions and individual governmentsfor systematicallyviolatinghumanrightson the one hand, and the rejectionof its applicationfor membershipof the EEC on the other,broughtOzal even closer to the USA. In contrastto Europe,the questionof humanrightswas only of marginalconcernto the US in the case of strategic allies like Turkey. Ozal also hoped, somewhat paradoxically,to urge the US administrationto lobby the European governmentsto admitTurkeyfor full membershipof the EEC.34 Ozal had a sufficientarsenalin stock to securereasonableUS supportfor Turkish demands:Turkey had no objections to the strategic designs of pax Americanain a now unipolarworldandwas preparedto collaboratewith the US in differentpartsof the world;as a secularandpro-Westernstate, Turkeywas a bulwarkagainstIslamicexpansionismin the Caucasusand CentralAsia. Ozal hoped that the range of activities that Turkeycould performunderthe imperialwing of the USA couldpossiblyelevateit into a regionalpowerin the New WorldOrder. Ozal's pro-Americanreflexes, his pragmatismand willingness fully to exploit externalevents to Turkey'sadvantage(althoughtime has proved Turkeyto be amongthe losers)is graphicallytestifiedin the Gulfconflict, to whichthis articlenow returns. Immediatelyafter the Iraqi invasion of Kuwaitat the beginningof August 1990, the UN SecurityCouncil(SC) ResolutionNo. 661, adopted on 6 August 1990, imposedeconomicsanctionsagainstIraqto force its withdrawalfromKuwait.35 FromthemomentIraqinvadedKuwait,theUSA andthe UK seizedthe initiativein the SC. Accordingto this resolution,all states,includingnon-members,were underan obligationto impose large scale trade,economicand financialembargoeson Iraq.For this purpose, a SanctionsCommitteewas set up to supervisethe implementationof the resolution. TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 79 Less than four months later, the SC adopted Resolution 67836on 29 November 1990 which seemed to sanction the use of force against Iraq. This resolution authorized 'Member States co-operating with the Government of Kuwait.. .to use all necessary means' to eject Iraq from Kuwait if, by 15 January 1991, Iraq had not complied fully with its obligations. Instead of relying on ChapterVII which governed the rules on 'collective measures' against violators of internationalpeace and security, the resolution referredto collective self-defence of 'states co-operating with the government of Kuwait'. This resolution was adopted simply to confirm a de facto situation, since it was adopted after the massive deployment of US and UK troops and equipment in the Gulf area. Therefore, this resolution was politically biased and legally precarious. However Ozal did not seem to have any qualms about the strategy adopted by the US during the crisis. Indeed, at no point in the conflict did Ozal raise any objections to the US motives, political strategy, or legal posturing in the SC. He consistently justified his support for the US war effort on the basis of the UN Security Council decisions.37The legality and the legitimacy of these decisions, to him, were unquestionable. Even before the outbreak of the Gulf war, Ozal had told CNN that the USA commander in Incirlik could have used the air base whenever he wanted.38 All along, Ozal was aware of US intentions to destroy Iraq, and saw this as an opportunity to recover the Mosul and Kirkuk regions of northern Iraq for Turkey.39A confidant of Ozal refers to a meeting between Ozal and US President Bush in September 1990 during which Ozal allegedly asked for US support for his plans to annex Mosul and Kirkuk to Turkey.40 Upon Ozal's initiative, the Turkish parliament passed legislation permitting the deployment of Turkish troops abroad and foreign troops on Turkish soil. Turkish troops did not however join the coalition forces against Iraq, as the military high command dissuaded Ozal from sending at least a token force which he had been advocating.4 In his uncompromising support for the US in the process leading to the Gulf war, Ozal received little support from the Turkish public, the press, and the military. Even some factions in his party objected to his posture.42This lack of consensus came into the fore with the dramatic resignation of the Chief of the General Staff along with the Defence and Foreign Ministers during the Gulf crisis. In Ozal's view, as Turkey was an importantregional power, it had to be actively involved in the war against Iraq.43Under his presidency, Turkey assisted the anti-Iraqi coalition in a number of ways: first, the Iraqi oil pipeline that crossed the Turkish territorywas effectively closed; second, Turkey extended the US-Turkish Defence and Economic Cooperation Agreement until December 1991 which gave the US freedom to use its 80 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES military bases in Turkey;third,Turkeydeployed nearly 100,000 troops near the Iraqiborder,which forced Iraqto move a substantialportion of its troops to the north;last, but not least, Turkeypermittedthe US to launch air strikes in northernand central Iraq from NATO air bases in Turkey.' The Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in August 1990 and the resulting crisis gave Ozal a unique opportunityto 'prove' Turkey's continuing worth to the Western world. The logistical and political support given by Turkey to the US-led coalition against Iraq was primarilyplanned by Ozal. By adopting a staunchly pro-American line throughout the crisis, Ozal wanted to demonstratethat Turkey was an indispensable part of Western security and strategic interests at a time when its worth was not sufficiently appreciated by the US and Europe.45Ozal was convinced that a deterioratingTurkish role would harm Turkishinterests. He believed that, in such an eventuality, the US administrationcould easily be manipulatedby Greek and Armenian lobbies.46Indeed soon after the US President had declared the dawn of a 'New World Order', the US Senate voted a draft bill on the 'Armenian genocide' allegedly perpetratedby Ottoman Turks during the First World War. At almost the same time, the US administrationaccepted the Greek demand for an addendum to the US-Greek defence treaty on guaranteeing Greek security in case of an armed attack from outside (presumably from Turkey).47 As Turkey played a crucial role in the Allied victory against Iraq, Ozal was certain that the US would be more supportive of Turkey in the future. Indeed, before the war, in return for Turkish support, Ozal had been promised by the US that Turkey would have received substantial economic aid and extensive military equipment, while enjoying greater access to the US market for textile products.48This promise was partially fulfilled. In appreciation of the Turkish support during the Gulf war, the US increased the security assistance and trade benefits enjoyed by Turkey, doubled the quotas for Turkish textile exports, and intervened with third countries to (partially) compensate for the economic and financial losses suffered by Turkey as a result of the events leading to the Gulf war.49As far as Europe was concerned, Ozal wrote a letter to the EEC member states in March 1991 reminding them of Turkey's active contribution during the Gulf war. Ozal argued that Turkey deserved a 'fairer treatment' from its European partners.5"However European support was never as firm as that of the US. Ozal deemed that the terminationof the Cold Warand, connected with this, the dismantling of the Soviet bloc in the beginning of the 1990s turned Turkey into a model and centre of attractionin a vast geographical space TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 81 from the Adriatic to Central Asia. Indeed it was widely expected that Turkey would lead these countries towards the market economy and multiparty democracy. However the economic problems faced by these republics were too serious for Turkey to solve alone. Ozal knew well that Turkey did not possess the necessary resources, such as capital, expertise and technology, to satisfy their foreign investment needs. Therefore he presented Turkey as a channel for Westernand Japanese investments in the exploration, production and distribution of oil, gas and mineral riches of these republics. Accordingly, Turkish businessmen tried to take part in projects for which they had been short of capital and technology.5 Within the confines of its economic resources, Turkey managed to allocate some one billion dollars of aid and trade credits for these republics in 1992.52 Apparently, in spite of his genuine endeavours, Turkey failed to provide significant economic assistance to the Turkic republics during Ozal's presidency.53 To compensate for Turkey's lack of material resources, Ozal focused his attention on international economic co-operation. Indeed Ozal played a key role in the revitalization of the Economic Co-operation Organization (ECO), originally set up between Turkey, Iran and Pakistan, by extending its membership to five of the Turkic republics, namely Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan (note that the dominant language, Tajiki, is a Persian dialect) Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, in February 1992. The ECO, which now embraces some 300 million people, was designed to harmonize transport and communications, relax customs tariffs, and establish a joint investment and development bank among member states.54TheWestern world tended to encourage the tightening of Turkey's relations with the Turkic republics in preference to Iranian influence." Under Ozal's presidency, Turkey also played an active role in the establishment of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation Zone in December 1990. Founded among the littoral states, namely Turkey, Russia, Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia and Ukraine, along with Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Greece and Moldova, this trade pact was intended to encourage economic co-operation and greater freedom of trade among member states. Ozal was all too aware that, for the first time in 200 years, Turkey was 'free of Russian pressures', a situation he wanted to exploit to the full.56 However, Turkey's involvement with the Turkic republics generally produced less fruitful results than originally expected.57This was partly due to the fact that, despite Ozal's enthusiasm, Turkey still lacked a 'practical strategy' and the 'political will or diplomatic clout' to implement its plans vis-a-vis the Turkic republics.58Also noteworthy is the fact that Ozal had unrealistic expectations of these republics. To put it bluntly, Ozal was over- 82 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES optimistic(in his openingspeechat the Turkicsummitin Ankaraat the end of October1992),whenhe proposedthe dismantlingof economicwallsthat would eventually lead to the establishment of a free trade zone among memberstates.59His project,which also includedthe free movementof personsand services,as well as the establishmentof an investmentbank, was politelyrejectedby otherparticipantsin favourof a looser economic co-operation.6) Ozal'sdisillusionmentwas also an outcomeof his failureto appreciate the political, culturaland philosophicaldifferencesamong these newly independentrepublicswhichrequiredin-depthstudies.He similarlyacted as thoughno culturalor conceptualgaps existed betweenTurkeyandthe individual Turkic republics. Indeed Ozal was part of a political establishmentwhich viewed the Turkic republics as a homogeneous whole whichneededthe helpinghandof Turkeyas the 'big brother'.This missionaryzeal did not requirea deep understandingof their distinct histories,ethnicandculturalcharacteristics, politicaltraditions,collective aspirations and a list of other specific features.6 Turkey's single-minded preoccupation with 'spreading the Turkish model' (secularism, freemarket economy, Western-orientedexternal outlook, multi-party politics) was an apparent testimony to the lack of a genuine dialogue between Turkeyand these republics.That these countrieswere perhapsweary of 'alien' models in view of their lamentable experience with the Soviet communist model did not seem to interest Ozal and members of the establishment. Ozal saw economic assistance and foreign investment as main vehicles to expand the Turkish influence in the Caucasus and Central Asia. This self-centred pragmatism and lack of understanding probably explains a great deal about Turkey's deteriorating influence and prestige in these regions.62 During the Ozal years, although Turkey's human rights record still remainedone of the worst among membersof the Council of Europe, significant strides were made in this area. Under Ozal's premiership, in January1987, the Turkishgovernmentrecognizedthe competenceof the EuropeanCommissionof Human Rights to receive applicationsfrom individuals or non-governmentalorganizations claiming to be victims of a violation by the Turkish state.63This democratic opening appears to have been an outcomeof Europeanpressuresand partof preparations for the Turkishapplicationto the EECto be madea few monthslater,as well as Ozal's genuine concern with human rights. Among Ozal's bold initiatives was the unbanning, in January 1991, of the use of the Kurdishlanguage in public and the celebrationof the Kurdishnew year.64 However,typically,Ozal was not only promptedinto action by a concern with human rights per se, but he also saw the Kurdish TURKISHPOLITICSAND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY,1983-93 83 problem as a symptom of a deeper malaise in Turkish politics. Ozal wanted to achieve two primary objectives by increasing the sphere of freedom enjoyed by the Kurds: first, to undercut the popular support enjoyed by the PKK (KurdistanWorkers' Party), the political wing of the Kurdish guerrilla group seeking independence from Turkey; second, to improve Turkey's performance on the question of minority rights.65Ozal was convinced that the granting of cultural rights, combined with economic incentives, was the only realistic solution to the Kurdish problem.66As Turkey was a remnant of a multiethnic empire which had not interfered with the intra-community affairs of different ethnic and religious communities, Ozal saw 'culturalpluralism' and 'decentralization' as essential prerequisites for resolving some of Turkey's long-standing social and political ills. This, in his view, was the Ottoman legacy of political governance.67 Ozal knew well that Turkey's inflexible approachtowards the Kurdish problem was an obstacle on the way to Turkish membership of the EEC. Indeed the EEC Commission's report of December 1989 which considered the viability of Turkish application for membership noted that 'within Turkey.. .minority rights still fell short of EEC norms despite improvements'66 This was also a major considerationbehind Ozal's liberal handling of the Kurdishproblem. The 'Europeancontext' similarly played a crucial role in the unbanningof the so-called 'thoughtcrimes' in April 1991 by the Turkishparliament.This time, as the president,Ozal was pivotal in the adaptationof a reformpackage which abolishedArticles 141, 142, and 163 of the penal code outlawing Communistand Islamist political activities.69 Apparently,Ozal's contributionto the improvement of Turkey's human rights record was not less significant than his contribution to the transformationof Turkishpolitics and economy. One should always bear in mind that, in implementing his policies, Ozal was surroundedby forces of status quo and, therefore, had to act with great caution and restraint.His success indeed lay in his capacity to bend an extremely rigid system without inviting violence in return. From one angle, Ozal seems to represent a radical breakthroughfrom the conventions of Turkish politics. His peculiar approach to Turkish politics and foreign policy differed from those of his predecessors with its dynamism, boldness, unorthodox style, and adaptability to changes in the international environment.70Undoubtedly, Ozal was an intelligent, clever and ambitious leader who sought to exploit external circumstances to enhance Turkey's international stature and national interests. He was also a leader who rarely hesitated to take initiatives and calculated risks 84 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES throughouthis political career.In spite of considerableobjections,he starteda dialoguewith the GreekPrimeMinister,AndreasPapandreou,in Davos, Switzerland,in 1989. Ozal visited Athenslaterin the same year. His willingness to take the initiative became manifest again when he invited the Kurdishleadersof northernIraqfor talks in the wake of the Gulf war.7'Thatthis meantthe defacto recognitionof theirstatusweighed little in his desireto exertTurkishinfluencein reshapingMiddleEastern politics. According to Ozal, the polarizationbetween different ideological groups,both in Turkeyand abroad,was mostly arbitrary,as the fall of communismtestified.He was ratherskilful in co-optinga heterogeneous body of ideas and individualsinto his 'grandprojects'.The composition of his partyas well as the contentof his politics seemedlike a patchwork of contradictions. His party included a respectful number of Turkists, conservatives and liberals in its ranks, which seemed to strikea chordwith the electorate,as the victoryof his partyin the 1983 and 1987 elections testified. Meanwhile, Ozal persistently used Islamic motifs to enhance the legitimacy of the Turkish state. He wanted to turn Turkey into the patron of the large Turkic world, and yet he endorsedthe Turkishdesire of full integrationwith the EEC, althoughthis would inevitablylimit Turkishactionsvis-'a-visthe Turkic world.72 Ozal wantedto transformTurkeyfrombeing an isolated,bureaucratic In his crusadeagainstthe andmilitaryrepublicinto an open democracy.73 official taboos,Ozalwas bothinnovativeandimaginative.He managedto dischargethe energy and dynamismof a people long dormantdue to traditionalthinkingand economic and political etatism.In the realm of economics, Ozal sought to integrateTurkeyinto the world economy.74 Even his critics agree that liberalizationand transitionto a free market economyare amonghis most durablelegacies.75Todaynone of the major politicalpartiesin Turkeydareto opposethese economicpolicies for fear of riskingelectibility. One should also note that Ozal was among the first of the Turkish statesmennot to have hesitatedto stress the 'Islamic'dimensionof the Turkishnationalidentity.To him, ratherthanbeing a burden,this was an assetthatcouldbe utilizedfor the stabilityandprosperityof the country.In line with this assessment, he adopted a cosmopolitanapproachthat transcendedthe parochialboundariesof ethnicityandnationalterritory.In this sense, too, Ozal was uniquein questioningthe nationalistdiscourse whichromanticizedaboutrepublicanism, (rigid)secularismof the French InTurkishpolitics,then,his rolewasnotdissimilar type,andstate-centrism. to thatof a revolutionary. TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 85 Fromanotherangle,however,Ozalappearsnot to havebrokenwiththe fundamentalsof Turkishpolitics,particularly in the areaof foreignpolicy. Likethoseof his predecessors,his externalpoliciesprioritizedtheWest.His concernwithThirdWorldcountriesandinitiativeswas negligible.However Ozalsoughtto establishconstructivebilateralandmultilateral relationswith other Islamic countries and the Turkic republics, especially through economicdevices. Given the extentand depthof his commitmentin this regard,he was undeniablyunique in the history of republicanTurkey. However, not unlike his predecessors,he never attemptedto question Turkey'smilitary,politicalandeconomicalliancewith the Westernworld. On the contrary,his was the most comprehensivepartnership with the US since the Menderesgovernmentin the 1950s.Whathoweverdistinguished Ozalwas his visionaryzeal to use the US as a leverageto turnTurkeyinto a prominentregionalpower.He said: 'If we do not makemajormistakes, the nextcenturywill be thecenturyof theTurks' .76 Onlytimewill tell if this prophecycomestrue. NOTES 1. Mehmet Gonlubol and Haluk Ulman, Olaylarla TurkDiz Politikasi, 8th edition (Ankara: Siyasal Kitabevi, 1993), pp.191-209. 2. At the time, pro-Islamicpartieswere banned in Turkey. 3. Philip Robins, Turkeyand the Middle East (London: The Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1991), pp.24-279. 4. Soon afterhis deposition, he was hanged, alongside his Ministerof Finance and Ministerof Foreign Affairs, for, inter alia, giving too much concessions to the (Islamic) 'reactionary elements'. 5. Yavuz Gokmen, Ozal Yayasaydi (Had Ozal lived) (Ankara: Verso Yayincilik, 1994), pp.300-1. 6. Ozal became presidentin 1989 upon his election by the parliamentfor a seven-yearterm. 7. Ahmet Altan, in Osman Ozsoy, Unliilerin TurgutOzal'la Hatiralari (Recollections of the Famous with Turgut Ozal) (Istanbul: Tiirdav, 1994), p.144. On this rather paradoxical position, see the interview with Cengiz (andar, a well-known Turkishjournalist and an unofficial adviserto Ozal, conductedsoon afterOzal's death,in Metin Sever andCem Dizdar (interviewers),Ikinci CumhuriyetTartiqmalari(The Discussions on the Second Republic) (Ankara:Ba$akYayinlari,1993), pp.91-114. 8. AbdurrahmanDilipak, in Ozsoy, ibid., p.207. 9. See for instancehis speech duringthe ThirdEconomic Congress of Izmiron 4 June 1992, in Ikinci CumhuriyetTartimalarl, 15-31. 10. Ramazan Gozen, 'Turgut Ozal and Turkish Foreign Policy: Style and Vision', Foreign Policy, Vol.20, Nos.3-4 (1996), pp.69-101, 73. Especially during his presidency, in the course of his active involvement in foreign policy, Ozal tended to bypass the division of power as envisioned under the Turkish Constitution. He similarly disregarded the bureaucraticmechanismswhich he saw as a stumblingbloc in decision-making.However his attitude frequently caused strains in the government. His exaggerated statements about Turkey's readiness to accept some one million Turks fleeing from Bulgaria in 1989 on account of the Bulgarianpolicy of forcible assimilationallegedly resultedin the resignation of the Foreign Minister in protest. (Ibid, pp.71-2). 86 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES 11. Partof his speech in the ThirdEconomic Congress of Izmir, in 2. CumhuriyetTartlimalarl, pp.28-9. 12. Sevinq (;okum, in Ozsoy, Unlulerin,p.163. 13. Mehmet Altan, in 2. CumhuriyetTartqmalari,pp.33-59, 56-7. 14. Cengiz 4?andar,in Ozsoy, Unliulerin,pp.140-4. 15. See, for instance, TahaParla, Tiirkiye'ninSiyasal Rejimi: 1980-1989 (The Political Regime of Turkey: 1980-1989) (Istanbul:OnurYayinlari,1993), p.220. 16. Ibid. 17. Gbkmen, Ozal YaEasaydi,p.301. 18. Ufuk Giildemir,Texas-Malatya,second edition (Istanbul:TekinYayinlari,1992), p.360. 19. Gokmen, Ozal YaEasaydz, p.235. 20. Gozen, 'TurgutOzal', p.77. 21. Ibid., pp.78-9. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. Not unexpectedly, Ozal played an active role in the Islamic Conference Organization(founded in 1969). During his premiership,Turkeyheld a special status in the StandingCommitteefor the Economic and CommercialCo-operationof this organization. Ibid., p.81. Ibid., p.82. Indeed most of Ozal's visionary designs vis-a-vis the Middle East never materializedfor a number of reasons. First, the animosities in the Middle East (first and foremost the 'Arab-Israeliconflict') were too deep to overcome through economic cooperation.Secondly, most of the Middle Easterncountrieswere too dependenton US and the EEC countriesto forge close economic links among themselves (ibid., p.91). Sabri Sayari, 'Turkey:The ChangingEuropeanSecurity Environmentand the Gulf Crisis', TheMiddle East Journal, Vol.46, No.1 (Winter 1992), p. 18. According to Gbzen, the military's apparentdocility towards Ozal was partly due to his resignationto the fact that the securitymatterswere the exclusive realm of the military.Ozal was discreet enough not to interfere with the 'military's business' (Gozen, 'TurgutOzal', p.73), as he was all too aware that the only challenge to his authoritycould come from the army,as the iron fist of the official ideology. Guldemir,Texas-Malatva,p.97. See, for instance, the article entitled 'An Ally Deserves Better', Time,28 Jan. 1991, p.63. Similar observationsare made by Omer La9inerand Tanil Bora, 'Tiirki Cumhuriyetlerve Tiirkiye:Ikinci Vizyon' (TurkicRepublics and Turkey:The Second Vision), Birikim,No.37 (May 1992), 7-16, p.16; Philip Robins, 'Between Sentiment and Self-Interest:Turkey's Policy TowardAzerbaijanand the CentralAsian States', The Middle East Journal, Vol.47, No.4 (Autumn 1993), p.601. 'Commission Opinion on Turkey'sRequest for Accession to the Community',Brussels, 20 Dec. 1989, SEC(89) 2290 final/2. Robins, 'Between Sentiment',p.595. Sayari, 'Turkey',p.17. Cengiz (iandar,Nokta, 25 Nisan-1 Mayis 1993, Sayi 18, Ozel Ek, 31-32. Ibid. Atilla Eralp, 'The Politics of TurkishDevelopment Strategies', Andrew Finkel and Nukhet Sirman (eds.), TurkishState, TurkishSociety (London and New York: Routledge, 1990), pp.219-58, p.249. Ihsan DuranDagi, 'Turkeyin the 1990s: Foreign Policy, HumanRights, and the Search for a New Identity',MediterraneanQuarterly,Vol.4, No.4 (Fall 1993), p.64. Resolution 661, InternationalLegal Materials, 1990, pp.1325-7. Resolution 678, InternationalLegal Materials, 1990, p.1565. Hulki Cevizoglu, KorfezSavapive Ozal Diplomasisi (Istanbul:FormYayinlari,1991), p.76. Ibid., p.38. Gokmen, Ozal Yasasaydz,p.93. The Council of the League of Nations handedover these two regions, also claimed by Turkey, to British mandated Iraq in 1925, to which Turkey reluctantlyconsented. TURKISH POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY, 1983-93 87 40. Ibid., p.100. It must be noted that, at the time, the SC resolutionwhich authorizedthe use of force against Iraq had not yet been adopted. Throughoutthe crisis, Ozal was continuously blamed by the opposition for harbouringunrealisticambitionsand for his willingness to join the war on the side of the US (Cevizoglu, p.39). However, after the war, Ozal opposed the possibility of the disintegrationof Iraqas he came to realize thatTurkeywould not be among the beneficiaries of such an eventuality.Indeed he became aware that the emergence of a Kurdish state in the north of Iraq would only exacerbate Turkey's own Kurdishproblem. (Sayari, 'Turkey',p.14). 41. Andrew Mango, Turkey,the Challenges of a New Role (London:Praeger, 1994), p.111. 42. Sayari, 'Turkey',p.16. 43. Cevizoglu, p.86. 44. Bruce R. Kuniholm, 'Turkey and the West', Foreign Affairs, Vol.70, No.2 (Spring 1991), pp.36-7. 45. Kutlay Dogan, TurgutOzal Belgeseli (The TurgutOzal File) (Ankara:TurkHaberlerAjansi, 1994), pp.318-19. 46. In Turkish foreign policy discourse, Greeks and Armenians are portrayedas the 'ardent enemies' of Turkey. 47. Guldemir,Texas-Malatya,pp.95-6. 48. Kuniholm, 'Turkeyand the West', pp.34-8. 49. Sayari, 'Turkey',p.19. 50. Newspot, 7 March 1991. 51. George J. Church, 'Across the GreatDivide', Time,Vol.140, No.16, 19 Oct. 1992, p.35. 52. The Economist, 25 Dec.-8 Jan.1993, p.82. 53. Robins, 'Between Sentiment',p.593. 54. Keesing's ContemporaryArchives, 1992, p.38792. At least initially, Iranwas inclined to see the ECO as an incipient model of an Islamic common market,while Turkeylaid emphasis on its economic side. 55. Keesing's ContemporaryArchives,Reference Supplement,1992, p.R.128. 56. The WashingtonPost, 24 Feb. 1993. 57. Suat Bilge, 'Bagimsiz Devletler Topluluguve Tiirkiye'(The Commonwealthof Independent States and Turkey),AvrasyaEtudleri,Vol.1, No.4 (Winter 1995), p.91. 58. Robins, 'Between Sentiment', 1993, p.609. 59. Part of his speech can be found in Bilge, 'Bagimsiz Devletler', p.89. 'BBC Summaryof WorldBroadcasts',Middle East, 2 Nov. 1992. 60. Ibid., p.90. 61. Laqinerand Bora, 'TuirkiCumhuriyetler',pp.12-14. 62. On the (partial) disillusionment of the parties see, Robins, 'Between Sentiment', 1993, pp.593-5. Robins notes that, after gaining independence,these republics,ratherthan asking for Turkey'smediation,wanted to establish directeconomic links with the West (p.593). 63. HumanRights Law Journal, Vol.1, Nos.3-4 (1990), pp.456-8. 64. Keesing's ContemporaryArchives, Vol.38, 1992, Reference Supplement,p.R.127. However Ozal's bold initiatives on the Kurdishproblemwere confrontedwith strongobjections, even from factions of his own party:Omer La9iner,'GeqiESiirecindeOzal ve ANAP' (Ozal and the MotherlandPartyin time of Transition),Birikim,April 1991, No.24, 3-7, pp.6-7. 65. Ibid. 66. Among Turkishpoliticians, he was the only hope of Kurdishrights activists for a peaceful solution to the Kurdishproblem ((andar, in Ozsoy, Unlilerin, p.233). 67. See the extensive interview of Mustafa(alik with Ozal, Tuirkiye Guinliigui,No.19 (Summer 1992), pp.5-23. 68. 'Commission Opinion on...' (note 28). 69. Keesing's ContemporaryArchives, April 1991, p.38159. 70. Dogan, TurgutOzal Belgeseli, p.315. 71. Sayari, 'Turkey',p.18. 88 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES 72. The membership, inter alia, requires common customs policies among EEC members towards third countries. Besides the issues such as common customs tariffs, in case of membership,Turkeywill be barredfrom special economic arrangementswith non-member states without the priorauthorisationof the EEC. 73. Yilmaz Oztuna,in Ozsoy, Unliilerin,p.247. 74. (andar, in ibid., p.233. 75. Hasan Cemal, in ibid., p.220. 76. Gokmen, Ozal Yasasaydi,p.51. Ozal expressed this view on numerousoccasions. See for instance his opening speech in the Third Ecoonomic Congress of Izmir, 4 June 1992, in CumhurbaskaniTurgut Ozal'in 111H.Izmir iktisat KongresindekiKonuEmalari(Ankara: Ba~babanlhk,1992); Cumhurba~kaniTurgutOzal'in '21. Asir Tuirkiye'ninve TurklerinAsri Olacaktir'Konulu Konuimalari, Bursa-(elik Palas, 22 Mayis 1991 (Ankara:Ba,bakanlik, 1991). Middle East Critique Vol. 19, No. 1, 55–70, Spring 2010 The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation of the AKP Party in Turkey SEBNEM GUMUSCU* & DENIZ SERT** *University of Virginia **Koc University The Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi (Justice and Development Party, or AKP) was established in 2001 by a group of former members of the Milli Gorus movement (National Outlook, or MG) as a conservative– democratic party.1 Known as the yenilikciler (those who seek novelty), a group of moderates seceded from the Islamist MG and proclaimed that they were establishing a ‘moderate and democratic’ party. This was an important turning point not only in the history of Turkish Islamism, but also in the trajectory of political Islam in Muslim societies. The AKP with its platform based on economic and political liberalism and social conservatism managed to garner a plurality of votes in its first general election in 2002. With 34 percent of the ballot and 366 of the total 550 seats in the parliament, the AKP came to power. Two years later, in 2004, the AKP participated in its first municipal elections and succeeded in increasing its share of the vote to 42 percent. In the second general elections in 2007, the party achieved a phenomenal political success by increasing its share of votes to 46.6 percent. In the following 20 months, however, Turkish political life experienced several crises, including the case asking the Constitutional Court to ban the AKP on grounds that it was not a genuine secular party as laws required political parties to be, debates over a new ‘civil’ constitution, a new court case against the ‘deep state,’2 and many corruption allegations against the incumbent party. Consequently, in the municipal elections of March 2009, the AKP, for the first time in its short history, suffered a substantial loss in support, with its share of the vote declining to 39 percent.3 Correspondence Address: Sebnem Gumuscu, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA. Email: [email protected]. Deniz Sert, Koc University, Rumeli Feneri Yolu, 34450 Sariyer, Istanbul, Turkey. Email: [email protected] 1 For a detailed discussion, see H. Yavuz (2009) Secularism and Muslim Democracy in Turkey, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press); S. Gumuscu (2010) Class, Status, and Party: The Changing Face of Political Islam in Turkey and Egypt, Comparative Political Studies, forthcoming. 2 The court case known as ‘Ergenekon’ involves several military officers, journalists, civil society activists and professors who are accused of conspiring against the AKP government and preparing a coup d’etat. For a detailed account of the case see S. Tayyar (2008) Operasyon Ergenekon [Operation Ergenekon] (Istanbul: Timas). 3 Turkish Statistical Institute (2009) 2009 Local Elections. Available at http://www.turkstat.gov.tr, accessed 10 December 2009. ISSN 1943-6149 Print/1943-6157 Online/10/010055-16 q 2010 Editors of Middle East Critique DOI: 10.1080/19436141003594617 56 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert Table 1. Number of municipalities won by major parties in 2004 and 2009 2004 2009 Party Metropolis City Town Metropolis City Town AKP CHP MHP DTP 12 2 0 1 46 6 4 3 483 130 72 32 10 3 1 1 35 10 9 7 447 170 129 50 Unlike other parties on the Turkish political scene, the AKP has been able to draw electoral support from all provinces in the country. For example, in the March 2009 elections, as in the preceding ones, the AKP competed with the Demokratik Toplum Partisi (Democratic Society Party, or DTP) in the regions with majority Kurdish populations, with the Milliyetci Hareket Partisi (Nationalist Action Party, or MHP) in conservative central Anatolia, and with the Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi (Republican People’s Party, or CHP) in western Turkey and metropolitan areas. Yet, in that election the AKP lost some of its earlier support to all three of the aforementioned parties (see Table 1). Soon after the March 2009 municipal elections, many pundits claimed that the results were due to a ‘normalization’ process that the electorate had undergone. According to this view, the 2007 election results were ‘abnormal,’ because the electoral base of the AKP could not be as large as 46.6 percent.4 We disagree with such explanations for two reasons. First, such explanations ignore an essential characteristic of democracy, namely the idea that elections are opportunities for the electorate to assess the performance of incumbent governments. The assumption that there are ‘normal’ vote-shares for each party in multiparty political systems betrays a fundamental lack of understanding about democratic processes. Second, such a perspective cannot explain political change or define political ‘abnormality.’ Simply put, parties do not receive the same percentage of votes in every election. Instead of such an essentialist explanation, we believe that an analysis of a party’s principles, objectives and policies is necessary to understand its success and failure in elections. In a similar vein, we argue that the AKP’s success in the 2007 elections was due to its effective economic and political management during its first term in office, while inconsistencies in its economic, political and social policies in the second term led to a decline in its support in the 2009 municipal elections. A comparative analysis of the two terms also enables us to engage with the debate as to whether the AKP is an Islamist party. This analysis reveals that the party is indeed not an Islamist party. However, its inconsistencies, particularly in the political and social realms, also indicate that the AKP has not yet become a liberal democratic party either. The period between the two elections has shown that the AKP in Turkey oscillates between conservatism and liberal pluralism, and it still needs time to complete its democratic transformation. 4 See, for example, E. Katircioglu, Secimler, kimlikler ve yeni siyaset [Elections, identities and new politics], Taraf Newspaper, April 2, 2009. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 57 Origins of the AKP When the AKP was established in 2001, the founders defined it as a conservative democratic party that promotes a free market economic system with minimal state intervention in the economy, democratization and liberalization of the polity, and conservatism in the society.5 The leaders of the new party claimed insistently that they had taken off the MG ‘shirt,’ and at every opportunity denounced their Islamist background.6 As we will show below, the AKP indeed has departed from the MG line and adopted a path with respect to the role of religion in politics, the perception of democracy, and human rights and freedoms that is different from that of the MG. Moreover, coming to power in 2002, the AKP has pursued, designed, and implemented significantly different economic, social and foreign policies compared with those of the MG, and the party, as laid out in its program and official statements, strongly rejects Islamism as a social, economic and political project.7 For the AKP, Islam is a religion that comprises norms and values that render life meaningful for devout Muslims, but it is not an ideology and thus cannot be offered as a solution for the economic, political and social problems that confront society. The party program states that its central political project is composed of two main goals: economic development and growth, and expansion of human rights and freedoms within the broader aim of consolidating democracy.8 According to the AKP, religion plays no explicit role in the attainment of these goals. In contrast to the MG, which puts community before the individual, the AKP program declares that the main goal of the party is to consolidate democracy and to protect human rights and freedoms by placing the individual at the center of the political process.9 In the AKP platform the primacy of community and the ethical order are left to individuals and their rights. Accordingly, the AKP approaches the issue of human rights and freedoms from a liberal perspective. In its central motto, ‘No one is free unless everyone is free,’ the AKP communicates the message that it is concerned with all freedoms and rights of every citizen.10 In line with a liberal understanding, the party urges the adoption of internationally accepted standards of human rights as stated in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, the European Convention on Human Rights, and the Helsinki Final Act.11 The AKP also is distinct in its approach toward political pluralism and political competition among parties. For example, it sees political parties as civic organizations that communicate individuals’ demands to the state while competing for power to address these demands.12 Furthermore, it views political parties as integral parts of a wellfunctioning democracy, because they compete for power, and democracies function as 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 See AKP Party Program for details. Available at: http://eng.akparti.org.tr/english/partyprogramme.html, accessed 8 December 2009. In a 2003 interview published in a Turkish daily, Tayyip Erdogan, the leader of the party, stated that they have taken off the Milli Gorus shirt; see Interview with Tayyip Erdogan, Yeni Safak, December 12, 2003. U. Tekin (2004) AK Partinin Muhafazakar Demokrat Kimligi [The conservative-democratic identity of the AKP] (Ankara: Orient), p. 111. Ibid., p. 143; see also the AKP Party Program, Introduction, pp. 5–9. AKP Program, pp. 7 –8. Ibid., p. 7. Ibid., p. 14. Ibid., p. 17. 58 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert healthy systems only in the presence of this competition. Moreover, success in this competition does not deliver absolute power to the winners. The parties have to respect the freedoms and rights of the minorities, and these rights should be brought under constitutional guarantees.13 In addition to changes that it has adopted in its democracy, pluralism and human rights discourse, the AKP also has diverted from the MG line in terms of policy. The AKP has emerged as an ardent supporter of Turkey’s accession to the European Union (EU), presenting a stark break from the MG, an overt critic of the EU. Moreover, the AKP adopted economic and political liberalism and aimed to reduce the size of the state so that it only fulfills very basic functions such as defense, basic education and provision of law and order while it leaves economic, political and social realms to free markets and the private sector, local governments and civil society organizations. In this respect, the AKP breaks with the statist line of the MG which upholds state interventionism in several aspects of economic, social and political life. Thus, the AKP program and election manifestos indicate a clear break with the MG tradition.14 AKP Performance in Power Particularly in its first term in office, the AKP government acted in conformity with what it had promised in its party program. Economic growth and privatization were priorities of the party in this period. The government carried out large privatization schemes, stabilized macroeconomic indicators, kept inflation and the budget deficit low and successfully attracted foreign direct investment. Following a major financial crisis that broke out in 2001, the party in its first term in office (2002 –2007) displayed a remarkable economic success, with the Turkish economy growing on average 6.8 percent per year. Meanwhile, exports increased from US $45 billion in 2002 to US $107 billion in 2007.15 It was this phenomenal success upon which the AKP built its election campaign in 2007. In his speeches, Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan often cited numbers that indicated how successful his government had been in its first term. Thus, it was not so surprising in July 2007 when the AKP received 46.6 percent of the votes. Indeed, many scholars contended that the primary cause of the AKP’s electoral success was due to its success in economic management.16 At least one study involving pre- and post-election surveys showed that the 13 14 15 16 Ibid., pp. 25–26. S. Gumuscu & D. Sert (2009) The Power of the Devout Bourgeoisie: The Case of the Justice and Development Party in Turkey, Middle Eastern Studies, 4(6), pp. 953–968. It has to be noted that the Minister of State in the preceding government, Kemal Dervis, carried out significant structural reforms to strengthen the Turkish economy in the aftermath of the 2001 financial crisis. These reforms and the stand-by agreements with the IMF created a healthy Turkish economy that could benefit from the expanding global economy between 2002 and 2007. In that respect, the AKP government benefitted substantially from Dervis’s reforms in attaining economic growth. See further, E. Yeldan (2002) On the IMFDirected Disinflation Program in Turkey: A Program for Stabilization and Austerity or a Recipe for Impoverishment and Financial Chaos?, in: N. Balkan & S. Savran (eds) The Ravages of Neo-liberalism: Economy, Society, and Gender in Turkey (New York: Nova Science Publishers). For the statistics, see Turkish Statistical Institute. Available at http://www.turkstat.gov.tr, accessed 9 December 2009. See, for example, A. Carkoglu (2008) Ideology or Economic Pragmatism? Profiling Turkish Voters in 2007, Turkish Studies, 9(2), pp. 317–344. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 59 primary reason why people voted for the AKP in 2007 was in fact economic pragmatism, particularly people with less than a high school education.17 Also during its first term, the AKP government took several steps to consolidate democracy, improve human rights and expand freedoms, measures undertaken to take Turkey closer to EU membership. For instance, the AKP passed two constitutional amendments (in 2002 and 2004) and enacted five laws that included several legislative changes designed to harmonize Turkish law with EU standards.18 To ‘civilianize’ and consolidate democracy in the country, the AKP government abolished the controversial State Security Courts, made changes to the organization of the National Security Council19 and its responsibilities in some state institutions20 and narrowed the scope of the military courts. To safeguard human rights and freedoms, the government accepted the supremacy of the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) over domestic jurisdiction, thus acknowledging the citizen’s right to a retrial in cases where the ECHR might rule a penalty imposed by the Turkish courts conflicted with the European Convention on Human Rights. For further expansion of basic rights and freedoms, the AKP government abolished the death penalty for all crimes, lifted the ban against broadcasting in languages other than Turkish and facilitated instruction in native languages other than Turkish. To further the freedom of expression, the government repealed a controversial clause in the law against terrorism, made it harder to ban political parties and broadened the freedom of association by lifting the obstacles to establishing and joining associations. To enhance gender equality, the AKP government amended the Constitution and introduced the clause that ‘women and men have equal rights before the law’ and increased the penalties in the penal code for honor crimes committed against women. Finally, to coordinate further steps to improve the human rights regime, the prime minister appointed a minister who would oversee improvements in human rights. All these steps taken by the AKP during its first term in office enabled Turkey to secure candidacy status to the EU, and in 2005, the accession talks officially began.21 All these political and economic achievements contributed to the AKP’s political success in the July 2007 elections, when it increased its share of the popular vote to nearly 47 percent and won 340 of the 550 parliament seats.22 The AKP managed to attract votes from very diverse groups, including liberals, nationalists and conservatives. Nationalists and conservatives are among the primary constituency of the party, and with its economic performance the AKP managed to defeat other nationalist and conservative 17 18 19 20 21 22 Ibid., pp. 317 –344. On the EU harmonization process, see Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Secretariat General for EU Affairs. Available at http://www.abgs.gov.tr, accessed 12 December 2009. One such step was to appoint a civilian secretary to the Milli Güvenlik Kurulu (National Security Council, or MGK). For instance, before these changes the MGK had a right to appoint a member to the Board of the Higher Education Institute and the Higher Board of Radio and Television Broadcasting. For measures taken in relation to the EU harmonization process, see Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Secretariat General for EU Affairs. Available at http://www.abgs.gov.tr, accessed 9 December 2009. Despite the fact that the AKP increased its vote share in the 2007 elections, the seats it won in the parliament slightly decreased compared with the 2002 elections because in 2007 four political parties passed the national electoral threshold (10 percent of the popular vote) necessary to get a seat; only AKP and CHP had done so in the 2002 elections. 60 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert parties competing for the same constituency.23 The reason liberals voted for the AKP was the perception of the party as an agent of change for further democratization of the polity and accession to the EU. The AKP’s economic and political performance in its first term in office was the primary basis of this perception.24 However, despite this success at the polls in 2007, the AKP’s performance in government began to deteriorate during its second term in office. In the period after the general election and up to the municipal elections in 2009, the AKP was perceived as being inconsistent in its economic management and in its political and social policy-making; this perception eventually would lose the party electoral support. Economic Inconsistencies Although the AKP had reaped the political benefits of the global economic expansion during its first term in office, after 2007 it failed to take the necessary steps to reduce the negative impact of the turning tide in the global economy. Specifically, between the general and municipal elections, Turkey started to feel the adverse effects of the growing global financial and economic crisis.25 The party could not adjust to the new circumstances, and its economic policy-making remained paralyzed and ineffective in the early stages of the crisis. Thus, at a time that demanded the government’s active involvement in economic policy-making, it left major decisions to the free market. For example, the government continuously postponed a stand-by agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) despite rising pressure from Turkish business circles. The party also resisted calls from the industrial sector which demanded reforms in the employment laws and regulations.26 Erdogan followed an extremely liberal free-market approach, and his statements belittled the effects of the global crisis on the Turkish economy. For instance, he blamed the managers and owners of the companies in financial trouble for being incapable of running their businesses.27 In a similar vein, Erdogan called those people with credit card debts dishonest.28 Thus, he turned the crisis into a battle between the business world and economists on one hand, and the government on the other hand. Meanwhile, Turkish industrial production experienced a serious blow; exports declined, production decreased and unemployment increased. 23 24 25 26 27 28 See further A. Carkoglu & M. Hinich (2008) The Changing Political Space of Turkey from 2001 to 2004, in: S. Yazıcı, K. Gozler & F. Keyman (eds) (2008) Prof. Dr. Ergun Ozbudun’a Armagan [Essays in honor of Ergun Özbudun] (Ankara: Yetkin Yayınevi), pp. 109– 136; and Carkoglu, Ideology or Economic Pragmatism? pp. 317 –344. C. Camci (2009) AKP: An Egalitarian Opportunity or a Threat for Liberal Democracy in Turkey?, ETHOS: Felsefe ve Toplumsal Bilimlerde Diyaloglar, 2(4), pp. 1–24. See further Country Report for Turkey, The Economist, 3 December 2009. The Association of Turkish Industrialists and Businessmen (TUSIAD) has been vocal in criticizing the government’s ineffectiveness in dealing with the economic crisis. For a sample of TUSIAD suggestions and criticisms, see Chairwoman Yalcindag’s speech. Available at http://www.tusiad.org.tr/FileArchive/2008.12. 15-ADYKonusmaOECDToplantisi.pdf, accessed 3 December 2009. Erdogan’s speech in Bolu, March 2009. Available at http://arsiv.sabah.com.tr/2009/03/23/haber, 60121934ED644BD4A8041DE90565FE5C.html, accessed 6 December 2009. Erdogan’s speech in Eskişehir, March 2009. Available at http://www.milliyet.com.tr/default.aspx?aType¼ So nDakika&ArticleID¼ 1071020, accessed 7 December 2009. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 61 The effects of the crisis had become visible by 2008, when, after years of expansion, economic growth slowed down to 1.1 percent. In the last quarter of 2008, the Turkish economy shrank by 6.2 percent. Unemployment reached 11.5 percent in January 2008, and it continued to rise throughout the year, reaching 15.5 percent by January 2009. Unemployment was more severe in major urban centers than elsewhere, rising from 13.7 in January 2008 to 19 percent in January 2009. Industrial production dropped sharply in early 2009, just prior to the municipal elections in March. For example, the industrial production index, computed on a monthly basis, decreased by 21.3 percent in January, 23.7 percent in February, and 20.9 percent in March. In the same period, exports declined by 25.7 percent in January, 24.9 percent in February, another 28.4 percent in March 2009.29 Erdogan’s attitude toward the economic turbulence, the government’s apparent inability to manage the crisis, and the continuing deterioration of economic indicators alienated many of the voters who had voted for the AKP in 2002 and 2007, when the party had been perceived as successful in managing economic policy. This perception of ineffectiveness in economic governance has constituted a primary inconsistency for the AKP, which had based its raison d’être and performance criteria primarily on economic indicators. Considering the context that preceded the 2002 general elections, it was natural for the AKP to adopt economic growth along with democratization as its primary goal. The 2001 economic crisis in Turkey had hit the banking sector hard and had hurt the middle and lower classes.30 The parties in coalition— the Demokratik Sol Parti (Democratic Leftist Party, or DSP), the Anavatan Partisi (Motherland Party, or ANAP) and the MHP—suffered a serious below in the 2002 elections as a result, and none won any seats in parliament, essentially leaving the political scene to the AKP and the CHP.31 Furthermore, the AKP’s prime constituency is the devout bourgeoisie that has grown and expanded in the aftermath of the economic liberalization in the 1980s. The provincial entrepreneurs have turned into devout bourgeoisie during liberalization as they attained economic growth and experienced substantial change in their lifestyles. The devout bourgeoisie comprised a distinct status group, who also owned the means of production, by fusing religious piety with capitalist activity to build a new class identity around relations of production, consumption and religious devotion. The changes in economic class and social status led to changes in the political preferences of the devout bourgeoisie and creating an elective affinity between the new bourgeois class and pragmatic politics that the AKP advocated.32 Because the devout bourgeoisie had gained its identity primarily through economic activity and its successful blending of religion and capitalism33 and because they desired to consolidate the free market economy, which fueled their support for the AKP, the party’s perceived inability to manage the economic crisis became a serious handicap. 29 30 31 32 33 Turkish Statistical Institute. Available at http://www.turkstat.gov.tr, accessed 2 December 2009. On the 2001 economic crisis, see further Z. Onis & B. Rubin (eds) (2003) The Turkish Economy in Crisis (London: Frank Cass). The volume also appeared as a special issue of Turkish Studies, 4(2). For the impact of the 2002 elections on the Turkish political scene, see Ali Carkoglu (2002) Turkey’s November 2002 Elections: A New Beginning? MERIA, 6(4). S. Gumuscu, Class, Status, and Party. A. Insel (2003) The AKP and Normalizing Democracy in Turkey, The South Atlantic Quarterly, 102(2/3), pp. 297 –301. 62 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert In addition to its inability to deal with the economic crisis, the AKP became the target of corruption accusations. In 2008, a court case in Germany revealed the close ties between a private voluntary association and top AKP-appointed bureaucrats. According to court documents, a Germany-registered non-governmental organization had raised funds ostensibly for humanitarian aid to Indonesian earthquake victims, but in actuality it instead transferred the funds to Turkey. The German court suspected that these funds were used to finance the AKP’s political campaign.34 Such corruption charges against high-ranking AKP members further marred the party’s image, which was built on ‘clean politics.’ Indeed, the party’s acronym, AK, suggests the Turkish adjective ak, which means white, and connotes the party’s uncompromising attitude toward being clean and free of corruption. Thus, the issue of corruption constituted another area of inconsistency for the AKP. Political Inconsistencies A New Constitution Since its establishment, the AKP set democratic consolidation in Turkey as a priority for itself. In its first term in office the party took important steps and implemented a series of reforms to make the polity more democratic. However, three main issues pertaining to democratic consolidation had been left untouched in its first term in office. These issues were Kurdish cultural and political rights, Alevi cultural and political rights, and preparation of a democratic constitution that guarantees freedoms and rights for all citizens including Kurds and Alevis. The AKP’s second term in office has had a mixed record in these areas and includes many inconsistencies. Right after the 2007 general elections, the AKP started its second term with an ambitious project to prepare a democratic and civilian constitution to replace the existing one written by the military junta in 1982. Given the mandate of the electorate, the party was expected to build a grand coalition to write a new social contract and instate a civilian and democratic constitution for the first time in republican history since 1924. The fundamental features of the new draft were oriented to curb the excess power of the president, to lift the headscarf ban in universities, and to redefine the concept of ‘Turkishness’ in terms of citizenship and loyalty to the constitution. The concept of Turkishness is significant for the consolidation of democracy in Turkey since its current and vague usage allows for infringements on freedom of expression. Article 301 of the criminal code is an important example that frequently permits such violations. For example, prior to 2008, Article 301 prescribed up to three years imprisonment for insulting Turkishness, a term with ethno-religious connotations. On April 29, 2008, the AKP-dominated parliament voted to change the Article after years of equivocation, and jail sentences for insulting the ‘Turkish nation’—as opposed to Turkishness—now are limited to two instead of three years, leniency is proscribed for 34 On the court case, see German prosecutors open new probe into Turkey-linked charity fraud, Turkey Daily News ,online . . December 3, 2008. Available at http://www.turkeydailynews.com/news/119/ARTICLE/ 1464/2008-12-03.html, accessed December 4 2009. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 63 first time offenders, and cases only can be opened with the permission of the Minister of Justice.35 The process, however, unfolded in a way that caused hopes for a new democratic constitution to quickly disappear. The AKP brought together a group of academics, led by a renowned constitutional law professor, Ergun Ozbudun, to write a draft, but refused to open the process to other political actors, civil society organizations or ordinary citizens. The party maintained secrecy around the whole process of writing the draft, and this approach prompted different groups in society to severely criticize the secretive attitude and to claim that the product of such an undemocratic process could not be democratic. Since a new constitution signified a new social contract, its drafting could not be prepared by a single political party. The process, these groups argued, should include as wide participation as possible. Although the AKP kept postponing the public discussion of the draft constitution, it was hacked and leaked to the press, igniting a series of new debates around the proposed changes.36 While liberals supported the project of writing a civilian constitution,37 secular groups focused on the implications of the draft constitution for the secular education system and the headscarf ban in the universities and heavily criticized the government for undermining the secular nature of the state.38 Amid these debates, the AKP quickly changed course and left the draft constitution aside without making a formal statement as to the reasons. Instead, after the MHP signaled that they would support a legal arrangement to permit women to wear headscarves in public universities, the AKP proposed amendments to the existing constitution that would lift the ban on wearing headscarves.39 This was a major inconsistency on the part of the governing party that had promised to consolidate liberal rights and freedoms in a civilian constitution, but instead gave up this project to solve the problem of a particular segment in the society. Such a dramatic turn raised concerns among liberals and confirmed the fears of the secular wing that the AKP indeed might be more sensitive to the expectations of conservative groups in the society than it is to the rights and freedoms of all citizens. The Kurdish Issue Similarly, the AKP in its party program promised to address the Kurdish issue in the most democratic way possible while acknowledging the multifaceted nature of the problem.40 35 36 37 38 39 40 Turkish and international human rights activists fear these changes still leave scope for unjust application of the law. Many of the best known Article 301 cases were on grounds of ‘insulting Turkishness’ in relation to the Armenian question. The accused included novelist and Nobel Laureate Orhan Pamuk and the TurkishArmenian journalist Hrant Dink. See further on Article 301, N. Fisher Onar (2009) Beyond Binaries: ‘Europe,’ Pluralism, and a Revisionist-Status Quo Key to Turkish Politics, Sabanci University Essay Contest Finalist, pp. 15–19. For a detailed account of the crisis see E. Ozbudun & O. F. Genckaya (2009) Democratization and Constitution Making in Turkey (Budapest: Central European University Press), Chapter 6. S. Alpay (2007) What does the draft constitution signify? Today’s Zaman, October 1, 2007. For a detailed account of the content of the draft constitution and methodological and substantive criticisms directed toward it see Z. Arslan (2007) Turkey’s Bid for the New Constitution, Insight Turkey, July 2007. Secular groups severely criticized this abrupt turn by the AKP, claiming it proved they were correct with regard to the intentions of the party in drafting a new constitution. These constitutional amendments would form the basis of the court case against the AKP in the months to follow, as discussed below. AKP Party Program, pp. 28–30. 64 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert However, a quick overview of AKP policies on the issue shows mixed results. Overall, the AKP displays a tendency to develop solutions for the Kurdish question without any input from Kurds themselves. For example, the AKP government has shown sustained resistance to accommodating Kurdish actors. There seems to be no dialogue between the AKP and the DTP, the major Kurdish party in the country and in the Parliament. The same criticism also seems to be valid with regard to a dialogue with Kurdish civil society organizations, as they complain of not being invited to city councils (Kent Konseyleri) by AKP municipalities through which they can be integrated into local decision-making processes. Hakan Yavuz and Nihat Ozcan have summarized the AKP’s main argument on the Kurdish problem as: ‘The Kurdish problem is not about nationalism but rather forced secularism and Turkish nationalism of the type enforced by Kemalist ideology. If we stress common Islamic ties and brotherhood, we can enhance the country and also end the conflict.’41 They also argue that AKP has been rather unsuccessful in either developing or implementing a coherent policy to address the Kurdish problem, citing four reasons: (1) Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s definition of the Kurdish question is very different from that of the Kurdish actors, especially the PKK-led political parties; (2) there is a major conflict between the state institutions and the [AKP] over the conceptualization of the Kurdish issue and the foundations of the Turkish Republic; (3) one of the primary fears of the [AKP] is that the Kurdish issue could split the party and undermine its support in Turkish-Muslim provinces in central and eastern Anatolia; and (4) the Kurdish issue has the potential to lead to a major confrontation with the military.42 However, as already been discussed, the project of writing a civilian and democratic constitution, which would promise a democratic solution to the Kurdish problem, has been shelved, while legal reforms still lack provisions on rights. To illustrate, as also stated in the European Commission’s latest Progress Report on Turkey, the Anti-Terror Law is still applied to prosecute and convict those expressing non-violent opinions on the Kurdish issue.43 Regarding the recognition of Kurdish cultural rights, the AKP government initiated 24-hour Kurdish language broadcasting in the state radio and television agency, TRT; however, Kurdish has yet to be introduced in either the public or private school systems, while Kurdish language schools are underdeveloped. In 2008, the Turkiye Ekonomik ve Sosyal Etudler Vakfi (Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation, or TESEV) published a report on the Kurdish question, which proposed steps to be followed toward resolving the issue. The headings of the report were diverse, including issues such as disarmament of the PKK, dialogue with Kurdish political parties and non-governmental organizations, a new constitution, legal reforms, GAP Action Plan, industrial and trade policies, tourism, border trade, agriculture and livestock, education, fight against poverty, children, women, seasonal labor, internal displacement, 41 42 43 H. Yavuz & N. A. Ozcan (2006) The Kurdish Question and Turkey’s Justice and Development Party, Middle East Policy, 13(1), pp. 102 –119. Ibid., p. 102. The European Commission Turkey 2008 Progress Report, p. 16. Available at http://ec.europa.eu/enlargement/ pdf/press_corner/key-documents/reports_nov_2008/turkey_progress_report_en.pdf, accessed December 10 2009. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 65 Table 2. Votes received by the AKP and the DTP in 2004, 2007 and 2009 elections 2009 Municipal45 2007 General City AKP DTP AKP Diyarbakir Van Sirnak Agri Siirt Hakkari Turkey 31.5 34.3 30.8 28.9 35.0 20.6 38.8 59.4 48.3 60.6 37.2 37.3 73.7 5.7 40.9 53.2 26.9 63.1 48.8 33.4 46.6 DTP 2004 Municipal 46 46.6 32.1 51.2 22.1 38.7 56.2 5.2 AKP DTP47 32.2 40.3 24.9 34.6 37.9 45.3 41.7 43.4 26.3 38.0 19.3 26.9 32.8 5.2 village guards, return of Kurds who were subject to forced migration, urban life, Compensation Law, land mines, restoring justice, and strengthening local governments.44 The reforms regarding the economic aspect of the Kurdish question, such as industrial and trade policies, and the GAP Action plan seem to be the ones upon which the AKP government has been most successful. However, two questions remain in terms of their validity regarding the Kurdish question. First, the economic policies are not policies directed specifically to the Kurdish population. They are policies directed at the society at large. Thus, looking at the performance of the AKP in the economic realm to assess the party’s success at addressing the Kurdish issue is rather misleading. Second, to look at the Kurdish issue solely from an economic perspective is problematic. As the TESEV report also underlines, the issue has many aspects in different domains of life, i.e., sociocultural, political, educational, etc. Despite the fact that the AKP in its party program acknowledges these points, overall its report card has not been very promising on the Kurdish issue. As a result, the party lost the major Kurdish cities that formerly had AKP municipalities such as Van, Sirnak, and Siirt in the 2009 municipal elections. Table 2, below, summarizes the transfer of votes between the AKP and the DTP in the last three elections. The Alevi Question The Alevi Muslims represent a sizable sectarian minority in Turkey,48 and this community has been concerned with the state’s efforts to fuse Sunni Islam with Turkish national identity within the framework of a secular nation-state. The state, despite its secular claims, formalized and promoted a Sunni religious set of beliefs that it enforced on all 44 45 46 47 48 TESEV (2008) A Roadmap for a Solution to the Kurdish Question: Policy Proposals from the Region for the Government (Istanbul: Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation, TESEV Publications). The candidates are equally important in the municipal elections. However, we report only the vote shares that the parties got for the city assembly elections, not the vote shares that their candidates got. The DTP ran as independents in the 2007 general elections to bypass the 10 percent national threshold. The DTP made an alliance with the Sosyal Demokrat Halkçı Parti (SHP, Social Democratic People’s Party) in the 2004 municipal elections. For accounts of the meaning of Alevism and Alevi religious practices, see G. Kocam & A. Oncu (2004) Citizen Alevi in Turkey: Beyond Confirmation and Denial, Journal of Historical Sociology, 17(4), pp. 464– 489; for an account of the political and cultural demands of Alevis, see E. Nesriyat (1999) Tarihi ve Kültürel Boyutlarıyla Türkiye’de Bektasiler,Aleviler, Nusayriler, [Bektashis, Alevis, and Nusayris in Turkey with its Historical and Cultural Dimensions] (Istanbul: Ensar Nesriyat). 66 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert citizens, including Alevis, through the Directorate of Religious Affairs and a Directorate of Pious Foundations. The Alevi concerns further were exacerbated when the military regime in 1980 adopted a Turkish-Islamic Synthesis (a doctrine combining Turkish nationalism and Sunni Islam) and made religious education a requirement at elementary and secondary schools. In this context, the Directorate of Religious Affairs built several new mosques and appointed prayer leaders (imams) not only in Sunni towns and villages, but also in Alevi communities.49 In reaction, some Alevis demanded representation within the Directorate of Religious Affairs,50 while others rejected the idea of representation altogether. The AKP in its second term in office communicated its desire to ‘solve’ the Alevi question. Accordingly, the government contacted Alevi groups in November 2007, listened to their demands and inserted a separate section on Alevism in the text books used for compulsory religion courses. However, Alevi demands go further. Alevis ask for removal of compulsory religion instruction from the national educational curriculum; turning the Madimak Hotel (where 37 Alevi intellectuals died in a fire started by Sunni protesters on July 2, 1993) into a ‘museum of shame’; abolition of the Directorate of Religious Affairs; and recognition of Cem Evleri (Alevi prayer houses) as places of worship.51 The AKP has not delivered on any of these demands and, as with the Kurdish question, it has followed a state-centered approach in dealing with the Alevi community. Indeed, since the party first approached the Alevi issue, it has sought to co-opt some of the Alevi groups at the expense of others instead of maintaining a dialogue with all Alevi organizations.52 The Cem Foundation was the primary actor involved in meetings with the government, while the AKP left the Alevi-Bektasi Federation, along with Alevis represented by the Federation, out of these deliberations. In response, the Bektasi Federation accused the government of trying to create a ‘state Alevism’ and of solving the Alevi problem without incorporating the Alevis. Similar to the way it dealt with the Kurdish issue, the AKP has been selective in its approach to the Alevi issue and preferred to communicate with the Alevi groups that could be incorporated within orthodox Islam rather than accommodating Alevis in their plurality. Thus the party, as it did with the Kurdish issue, sustained an imposing attitude rather than a pluralist one. Social Inconsistencies Despite the fact that the AKP embraces a pluralist and liberal approach to social policies in its program, the party’s leaders have shown that what the party understands of 49 50 51 52 G. Kocam & A. Oncu, Citizen Alevi in Turkey: Beyond Confirmation and Denial, p. 477. For details see Cem Vakfi (2000) Anadolu Inanc Onderleri Birinci Toplantisi, 16–19 Ekim 1998, Istanbul: Dedelerin, Babalarin, Ozanlarin Gorus ve Dusunceleri [The First Meeting of Anatolian Wise Men, October 16-19, 1998, Istanbul] (Istanbul: Cem Vakfı). For a document released by Alevis on their demands see (1989) Alevilik Bildirgesi [Alevi Manifesto]. Available at http://www.alevi.dk, accessed December 1 2009. The estimated number of Alevis in Turkey ranges from five to 20 million depending on the source. Nevertheless, the majority of Alevis are represented by two major organizations: the Cem Foundation and the Alevi-Bestasi Federation. These two organizations are at odds in their perception of Alevism and the proper rights of Alevis. The Cem Foundation perceives Alevism as part of mainstream Islam whereas the AleviBektasi Federation insists that Alevism connotes a social identity that goes beyond religion and cannot be assimilated in orthodox Islam. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 67 pluralism is confined to political rights with limited acknowledgment of different social identities. Adopting a socially conservative outlook that often intersects with Islamism, the party shows little tolerance for different lifestyles and identities. The party officials often raise the issue of morality and loss of identity as the prevailing problem in society. This limited understanding of social pluralism has become more visible, particularly at the local level where party officials have attempted to make social life more conservative. Several AKP mayors, for example, have suggested moving restaurants that serve alcohol to the margins of their area of jurisdiction. Other AKP mayors have wanted to build gender-segregated parks. The issue of alcohol consumption has been an important item on the agenda of the party. The restaurants and cafes managed by the municipalities do not serve alcoholic beverages. Meanwhile, the rental contracts of some restaurants that serve alcohol were cancelled by AKP municipalities.53 Moreover, the AKP municipalities also used their authority in giving and renewing alcohol permits to reduce alcoholic consumption by refusing to renew the permits of some of the restaurants.54 This discretion allowed the municipalities run by the AKP to start relocating such restaurants to the margins of their areas of jurisdiction. For instance, the AKP-run municipality of Denizli banned alcohol in the city and moved the alcohol-serving restaurants to the outskirts of the city.55 There is anecdotal evidence that those bars that cannot renew their alcohol-serving permits turn themselves into membership club houses where only members are allowed to be served alcoholic beverages, thus, creating an emerging cleavage in Denizli’s society.56 One study also revealed that the AKP’s social policy of conservatism has created a significant tide of conservative pressure on Alevis, unveiled women, university students and non-practicing Muslims in different parts of the country.57 The interviewees for this study revealed that while the AKP claims to side with the individual in its party program, in practice the party only is willing to promote the rights of individuals against the state establishment. When it comes to the society, the AKP seems to leave the individual to the mercy of a community defined by a religious and traditional ethos.58 This attitude brings the AKP closer to Islamism rather than democratic liberalism. The study affirmed, moreover, the general anxiety in secular circles regarding the AKP’s partisan approach to appointments of civil servants and bureaucrats. Partisan appointments are not new in Turkish politics, as all past governments have preferred appointing their supporters to bureaucratic posts instead of following a legal-rational mentality and promoting merit-based selections. What is different in the AKP’s case is that the party’s partisan appointments have clear ramifications for increasing conservatism in the society and resulting pressure on individuals who follow different lifestyles such as non-practising Muslims, secular men, Alevis, youth and unveiled women. These 53 54 55 56 57 58 ‘İstanbul’da İçki Yasakları Yayılıyor! [Alcohol Bans are expanding in Istanbul!],’ Radikal Newspaper, September 26, 2008. Ibid. B. Toprak, et al. (2009) Turkiye’de Farkli Olmak: Din ve Muhafazakarlik Ekseninde Otekilestirilenler [Being different in Turkey: Becoming the Other on the basis of religion and conservatism] (Istanbul: Bogazici Universitesi), p. 81. AKP’li başkana 4. MURAT tepkisi, [Reaction to AKP mayor], Aksam Newspaper, October 11, 2005. Toprak, et al., Turkiye’de Farkli Olmak, pp. 112–120. Ibid., pp. 112 –120. 68 S. Gumuscu & D. Sert appointments are most visible in institutions of education and health. The managers in many of these institutions are accused of discriminating against unveiled teachers, doctors and nurses. According to an interviewee, these pressures encourage many civil servants to change their attitudes and outlooks and conform to a conservative and pious image. For instance, many teachers and civil servants who do not fast during Ramadan have begun to pretend that they are fasting, even if they do not, to avoid such pressures.59 The period that followed the 2007 elections has been a time when fears that the AKP harbors a hidden Islamist agenda have resurfaced. The party’s initiatives after the 2007 elections played a critical role in the process. As mentioned above, amid the debates on the draft constitution, the AKP proposed a constitutional amendment aimed at lifting the ban on headscarves in the universities. This move sparked an intense debate about veiling, the role of religion in the public sphere and, most important of all, the AKP’s ‘hidden’ agenda with regard to establishing an Islamic state.60 These debates culminated in the state prosecutor submitting a case against the AKP to the Constitutional Court in March 2008.61 The prosecutor claimed that the AKP has been the base of anti-secular activities, as evidenced by Erdogan’s speeches, the statements of AKP MPs and the actions of the municipalities. The Court decided to cut the state’s financial support of the party rather than to close it.62 This court decision confirmed that the AKP is not an Islamist party like other MG parties, but it indicated that the AKP has yet to consolidate its conservative identity and clearly delineate its understanding of the role of Islam in public life. While the Court acknowledged the political legitimacy of the party by taking a decision against its closure, it also acknowledged the general discontent about the AKP’s non-adjusted, conservative/pro-Islamist policies by cutting its state financial support. This court decision indicated that the AKP has yet to define and consolidate its conservative identity and show precisely how this identity remains aloof from Islamism. Conclusion While investigating the reasons for the decrease in the votes of the AKP from 46.6 percent in the July 2007 general elections to 39 percent in the March 2009 municipal elections, this article argued that the notable decrease in AKP votes in less than two years is a result of inconsistencies in the AKP’s economic, political and social policy-making during its second term in office. By comparing the AKP’s performance in its first and second terms, we see that the AKP was not as successful in its second term as it was in the first. The party simply could 59 60 61 62 Ibid. E. Kalaycioglu (2005) The Mystery of the Turban: Participation or Revolt? Turkish Studies, 6(2), pp. 233 – 251; Turkey at Odds over Headscarf Ban, TIME, February 8, 2008; Turkey Divided on Headscarf Ban, BBC News, February 11, 2008; and S. Tavernis Turkey’s High Court Overturns Headscarf Rule, The New York Times, June 6, 2008. Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/world/europe/06turkey.html, accessed December 1 2009. See The Case against the AK Party, The Economist, June 12, 2008; G. Jenkins (2008) Turkey’s Latest Crisis, Survival, 50(5), pp. 5–12; and Z. Onis (2009) Conservative Globalism at the Crossroads: The Justice and Development Party and the Thorny Path to Democratic Consolidation in Turkey, Mediterranean Politics, 14(1), pp. 21 –40. The state, according to the Turkish Political Party Law, is one of the main sources of financial support for political parties. The amount that the state would pay each party is calculated proportionately based on the percent of votes received by the party in the most recent general elections. The March 2009 Local Elections and the Inconsistent Democratic Transformation 69 not manage the effects of the global economic crisis on Turkey and ignored the demands of both the business circles and the unions. Moreover, Erdogan’s statements regarding the management of the crisis on the personal level alienated many voters in society. The AKP’s political policy-making also was full of inconsistencies. Despite the fact that the AKP program is based on consolidation of democracy and liberalism, and the fact that the AKP did pursue these ends in its first term, in its second term, the party failed to incorporate pluralism in its policy-making. It estranged the Kurdish and Alevi populations by favoring certain groups at the expense of others. This non-pluralist, non-embracing, yet imposing attitude contrasted with the party’s rhetoric of liberal democracy while creating new cleavages within these communities. The AKP’s second term in office revealed that social pluralism is also not well digested by the party. The fact that different lifestyles are not welcome is well observed in the party’s partisan appointments based on conservative lifestyles and piety. At the local level, the party encourages conservatism as seen in the example of Denizli or as is sensed by unveiled teachers and doctors and non-practising Muslim and Alevi civil servants. While these inconsistencies are the reasons as to why the AKP suffered a loss in its electoral support in the recent municipal elections, they also indicate that the party has not yet completed its democratic transformation. 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