Etisalat Group-Capital Markets Day 2015
Transcription
Etisalat Group-Capital Markets Day 2015
Etisalat Group Capital Markets Day 10 March 2016 Yas Island, Abu Dhabi Disclaimer Emirates Telecommunications Corporation and its subsidiaries (“Etisalat” or the “Company”) have prepared this presentation (“Presentation”) in good faith, however, no warranty or representation, express or implied is made as to the adequacy, correctness, completeness or accuracy of any numbers, statements, opinions or estimates, or other information contained in this Presentation. The information contained in this Presentation is an overview, and should not be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Each party to whom this Presentation is made available must make its own independent assessment of the Company after making such investigations and taking such advice as may be deemed necessary. Where this Presentation contains summaries of documents, those summaries should not be relied upon and the actual documentation must be referred to for its full effect. This Presentation includes certain “forward-looking statements”. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks of uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these forward looking statements. 2 Agenda 1. Business Overview – Hatem Dowidar, Acting CEO-Etisalat Group 2. Financial Overview – Serkan Okandan, CFO-Etisalat Group 3. Etisalat UAE Operations – Saleh Al Abdooli, CEO-Etisalat UAE 4. Mobily Operations – Ahmad Farroukh, CEO-Mobily 5. Etisalat Misr Operations – Hazem Metwally, CEO-Etisalat Misr 6. Closing Remarks - Hatem Dowidar, Acting CEO-Etisalat Group 3 1. Business Overview Hatem Dowidar Acting Chief Executive Officer Etisalat Group Significant scale, profitability, cash generation and strong balance sheet ... Etisalat Group Footprint Key facts1) 18 countries, 167m subs Afghanistan Morocco UAE Egypt Mauritania Mali Revenue: AED 51.7bn Pakistan EBITDA: AED 26.6 bn (51 % margin) Saudi Arabia Niger Burkina Sudan Faso Benin Nigeria Cote d’Ivoire Central African Republic Togo OFCF: AED 16.2 bn (31 % margin) Sri Lanka Net Profit: AED 8.3bn (16% margin) Gabon DPS 80 fils (84% payout ratio) SP&P: AA-, (Outlook : Stable) Moody’s : Aa3, (Outlook: Stable Fitch: A+, (Outlook: stable) Mobile Services Fixed-line Services (1) Key financials are for FY 2015 (FX rate of AED 3.674/USD) (2) On March 8th, 2016 Moody’s placed Etisalat Group under review Mobile & Fixed-line Services 5 (2)) Key events during 2015... Portfolio Optimization Completed restructure of Atlantique Telecom under Maroc Telecom Group Completed sale of 85% shareholding in Zantel Completed towers sale and leaseback in Nigeria Key network investments and build-up of digital and ICT capabilities in the UAE Strategic Investment Acquisition of 4G license and spectrum in Morocco and launched 4G+ services Renewal of 2G license in Mauritania and Niger Acquisition of 3G license and universal license in Niger and Ivory Coast respectively Allowing Foreign and Institutional investors to own Etisalat’s share Corporate Structure Etisalat inclusion in the MSCI EM index effective from 1st December 2015 Etisalat inclusion in the FTSE EM index effective from close of business on Friday, 18 March 2016 (i.e. on Sunday, 20 March 2016) 6 Attractive returns to shareholders Total Shareholder Return in USD1 (% USD, 1st Jan - 31st Dec 2015) 71% 11% 2% -1% -6% -7% -14% -21% -21% -31% -37% -52% Etisalat STC Orange Vodafone Vodacom Airtel Telenor 19.3 25.2 Millicom Vimpelcom Zain Ooredoo MTN Market Capitalization (USD Bn, 31st Dec 2015) 2014 2015 23.6 38.1 Note 1: Source: 36.5 44.6 86.7 14.6 Shareholder returns assume reinvestment of dividend proceeds in the stock Bloomberg, Etisalat Group Strategy analysis 5.8 5.8 5.0 6.6 15.6 7 The dynamics in the telecom industry are rapidly changing Industry Dynamics - High Level Macroeconomic environment (Inflation, ForEx) Competition dynamics is changing - global ROI expectations for the industry Intense competition and price pressure Telecom Industry Challenges Regulatory & tax policies Investment requirements in hard currency Consumption pattern exploding Spectrum availability & pricing 8 In this context, Etisalat has the ambition to strengthen its status of leading digital telecom group Sustainable Growth in Digital Age B2B Customer Lifecycle Management Leverage Group’s scale Content, M2M, IoT Mobile Financial Services Voice & Data Selected adjacents Lean operations Next generation operations Efficiency and rationalization of operations Innovative Network technologies Evolving operating model Attention to efficiency –journey for operational transformation 9 2016 Priorities Progress with portfolio optimisation Purse opportunities for Cost improvement Defend value share and leadership position in Morocco and UAE Operations with challenger position to grow faster than the market Invest in spectrum and networks to support data growth Develop digital and ICT capabilities Increase focus on cash flow generation 10 2. Financial Overview Serkan Okandan Chief Financial Officer Etisalat Group Etisalat Group Financial Highlights AED Million Q4 2015 Growth YoY% FY2015 Growth YoY% Revenue 12,671 -4% 51,737 +7% EBITDA 6,488 +19% 26,526 +14% 51% +10pp 51% +3pp 2,604 +10% 8,263 -4% 21% +3pp 16% -2pp 4,931 +79% 10,309 +16% 39% +18PP 20% +2pp EBITDA Margin Net profit Net profit Margin Capex Capex/Revenue 4Q2015 Highlights One-off impacted revenue and EBITDA growth Like-for-like revenue growth is flat FY2015 Highlights Revenue growth driven by performance of domestic operations and full consolidation of Maroc Telecom Margin improvement due to better revenue mix and cost control measures Margin improvement due to better revenue mix and cost control measures Higher profit due to lower amortization charges share of losses from associates. Profit decline due to higher dep/amortization expenses, forex losses, finance costs and royalty charges Higher capex spend due to domestic operations and new licenses acquisition/renewal in CDI and Niger Higher capex spend due to domestic operations & licenses acquisition/renewal within MT Group operations (1) Financial figures are restated to exclude the impact of discontinued operations (Zantel & Canar) 12 2015 Actual Against Guidance: Financial KPI Guidance 2015 Main Reasons Actual 2015 Overall slow-down in revenue growth Revenue Growth % ~ 9% 6.7% Further currency devaluation of MAD and EGP impacted revenue in AED (>1 pp) One-time adjustments impacting revenue (~1 pp) EBITDA Margin% ~ 50% 51.3% CAPEX / Revenue % ~ 15% 19.9% More favorable revenue mix in Q4’15 Faster closure of projects before year-end License acquisitions/renewal in CDI & Niger in Dec (~1 pp) Capitalization of network projects (~4 pp) 13 Etisalat Group Financial Highlights Revenue Breakdown FY 2015 (AED m) 24% EBITDA Breakdown FY 2015 (AED m) 9% 51.7 bn 24% 8% 3% 6% 5% 4% 26.5 bn 56% 61% +14% +7% YoY Growth +6% UAE +52% MT Group YoY Growth +9% UAE +42% MT Group Egypt (LC +2%) -6% Egypt (LC +2%) -4% Pakistan (LC -9%) -10% Pakistan (LC +4%) +2% (1) Financial figures are restated to exclude the impact of discontinued operations (Zantel & Canar) Represents others 14 Int’l Operations Financial Highlights FY 2015 Revenue (AED m)/EBITDA (AED m) / EBITDA Margin (%) Revenue & EBITDA (AED m) / EBITDA Margin (%) / YoY Growth % Maroc Telecom Group 31% 43% 39% 55% 22,344 FY 2015 Revenue 12,316 +52% +75% EBITDA 6,308 +42% +61% EBITDA Margin 51% -4pp -4pp FY 2015 YoY Growth in AED YoY growth in PKR 21,107 Etisalat Misr 20% 13,182 9,571 Revenue 4,544 -6% +2% EBITDA 1,692 -4% +2% EBITDA Margin +37% +1pp +1pp 8,306 Pakistan 4,035 19% FY'13 FY'14 Revenue FY'15 EBITDA (1) Financial figures are restated to exclude the impact of discontinued operations (Zantel & Canar) YoY Growth Growth in MAD in AED FY 2015 YoY Growth in AED YoY growth in PKR Revenue 4,236 -10% -9% EBITDA 1,292 +2% +4% EBITDA Margin 30% +4pp +4pp 15 Group Revenue Revenue (AED m) and YoY growth (%) 51,737 48,509 35% Sources of Revenue growth – Q4’15 vs Q4’14 (AED m) 162 13,204 (109 ) 26% 13,204 12,989 12,671 Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Revenue 7% FY'14 FY'15 Q4'14 UAE Others 1% Egypt Pakistan Others Q4'15 Highlights International In Q4’15 consolidated revenue declined Y/Y by 4% attributed to one-off adjustments; on a like for like it is flat. Revenues from international consolidated operations declined by 1%, resulting in 44% contribution to Group revenues, an improvement of 1 point compared to Q4’14 Egypt 22% Int'l 44% MT Group YoY growth % Revenue by Cluster (Q4’15) Domestic vs. Int’l 12,671 (466 ) -4% -1% UAE 55% (47 ) (72) MT 55% Pakistan 18% Others 5% ― Growth in MT group driven by int’l operations ― Revenue growth in Egypt in local currency ― Revenue growth in Pakistan negatively impacted by increased competition in international and mobile revenue ― Others reflect the consolidation of Atlantique Groups’ operations under Maroc Telecom Note: “Others revenues” consist of domestic non-telecom operations, other international operations, management fees, etc. 16 Group EBITDA Sources of EBITDA growth – Q4’15 vs Q4’14 (AED m) EBITDA (AED m) & EBITDA Margin 26,526 23,212 51% 41% 5,453 Q4'14 51% 6,488 Q3'15 EBITDA Q4'15 51% 48% FY'14 EBITDA Margin FY'15 Q4'14 UAE EBITDA by Cluster (Q4’15) Int'l 34% Others 6% Pakistan Others 6,487 International (11 ) MT Group Egypt Q4'15 In Q4’15 Consolidated EBITDA increased Y/Y by 19% to AED 6.5 bn EBITDA in the UAE positively impacted by lower cost of sales and reduced operating costs. EBITDA of consolidated international operations increased Y/Y by 10%, resulting in 34% contribution to Group EBITDA, a contraction of 2 points compared to Q4’14 Pakistan 12% MT 66% (26) Highlights Egypt 18% UAE 60% 471 5,453 6,653 Domestic vs. Int’l 245 355 Others 4% ― Maroc Telecom and Egypt impacted by currency depreciation; maintained growth in local currency ― Pakistan benefited from one-off related to Voluntarily Separation Scheme implemented in Q4 2014. Note: “Others EBITDA” consist of domestic non-telecom operations, other international operations, management fees, etc. 17 Group CAPEX Sources of Capex growth – Q4’15 vs Q4’14 (AED m) CAPEX (AED m) & CAPEX/Revenue Ratio (%) 39% 1,777 10,309 737 3 4,931 8,914 21% 15% 2,749 Q4'14 4,931 CAPEX 18% Q4'15 Pakistan Others 2,749 FY'14 FY'15 Q4'14 CAPEX/Revenue UAE CAPEX by Cluster (Q4’15) Domestic vs. Int’l (258) 18% 14% 1,927 Q3'15 20% (77) MT Group Egypt Q4'15 Highlights International In Q4’15 Consolidated Capex increased Y/Y by 79% resulting in Capex/ Revenue ratio of 39%. This increase was driven by: ― Int'l 46% UAE 54% Egypt 15% MT 67% Higher capital spend in the UAE operations due to capitalization of network projects and focus on network modernization, digital and ICT capabilities Pakistan 16% Others 2% ― License Renewal / Acquisition in Ivory Coast & Niger ― Lower capex spending in Pakistan ― Lower capex spend in Afghanistan and reclassifying Atlantique operations under MT Group 18 Group Balance Sheet & Cash Flows Balance Sheet (AED m) Dec-14 Dec-15 Cash & Cash Equivalent (1) 18,543 21,422 Total Assets 128,178 128,265 Total Debt (1) 22,229 22,080 Net Cash / (Debt) (3,686) (658) Total Equity 60,283 59,375 FY’14 FY’15 Operating 17,209 20,425 Investing (24,102) (9,339) Financing 9,162 Net change in cash Net cash position (AED m) Investment Grade Credit Ratings AA-/Stable A+/Stable Aa3/Stable (2) Highlights Maintained healthy liquidity position (8,387) Low net debt to EBITDA level 2,268 2,967 Better operating cash flow due to better profitability Effect of FX rate changes 834 (9) Maintained strong credit ratings with stable outlook from the Reclassified as held for sales (9) (78) 18,543 21,422 Ending cash balance (1) (2) Balances as of 31 December 2014 & 2015 excludes discontinued operations On March 8th, 2016 Moody’s placed Etisalat Group under review three credit ratings agencies 19 Debt Profile: Diversified debt portfolio Borrowings (1) by Currency FY’15 Borrowings (1) by Operation FY’15 (AED m) 15,169 MAD 12% Others 16% Euro 44% 3,563 2,040 Group MT Group 1,022 Egypt USD 28% 286 Pakistan Sri Lanka Debt (1) by Source FY’15 (AED m) Repayment (1) Schedule 14,609 11,503 6,566 4,200 4,131 2,246 Bonds (1) Bank Borrowings 273 632 vendor Financing Others 2016 2017 2-5 years > 5 years Debt balance as of 31 December 2015 excludes borrowing from discontinued operations 20 Group Dividends: Proposed dividend for 2015 of AED 80 fils per share Dividends Per Share (AED) Cash Dividends (AED m) 5,535 5,535 5,535 6,957 3,479 3,558 1,977 2012 2,767 2,767 2,767 2,767 2013 2014 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 2012 2013 2014 3,479 2015 Dividend Payout Ratio (%) Dividend Yield (1) 7.3% 81.2% 5.8% 2012 2013 6.1% 2015 84.2% 78.2% 64.3% 5.1% 2014 2015 2012 2013 2014 2015 Proposed dividends are subject to the shareholders approval on the AGM scheduled on March 27th, 2016 (1) Dividend yield is based on share price as of 18 August 2015 and 08 March 2016 21 Country by Country Financial Review 22 UAE: Sustained strong revenue growth and profitability Q4’14 Q3’15 Q4’15 QoQ Growth YoY Growth FY’14 FY’15 YoY Growth Subs(1) (m) 11.0 11.6 11.6 0% +6% 11.0 11.6 +6% Revenue (AED m) 6,978 7,168 6,906 -4% -1% 27,095 28,774 +6% EBITDA (AED m) 3,531 4,138 3,886 -6% +10% 14,957 16,279 +9% EBITDA Margin 51% 58% 56% -1pp +6pp 55% 57% +1pp Net Profit 2,239 1,825 1,828 0% -18% 7,309 7,325 0% Net Profit Margin 32% 25% 26% +1pp -6pp 27% 25% -2pp CAPEX 908 737 2,685 +264% +196% 2,524 4,941 +96% CAPEX/Revenue 13% 10% 39% +29pp +25pp 9% 17% +8pp Highlights Subscriber growth Y/Y driven by mobile and eLife segments Revenue impacted by one-off adjustments in fourth quarter; on a like-for-like basis Q4 Y/Y & Q/Q growth is +6% and +3%, respectively. ― FY 2015 revenue growth is +8% on a like-for-like basis Strong revenue growth Y/Y attributed to growth in bundled propositions (voice & data) to Consumer & Enterprise segments, higher handset sales. EBITDA level impacted by one-off adjustments in the fourth quarter; on a like-for-like basis Q4 Y/Y & Q/Q growth is +19% and +2%, respectively. ― FY 2015 EBITDA growth is 11% on a like-for-like basis Maintained healthy EBITDA margin at 56-57% level Lower Y/Y net profit in Q4 due to higher depreciation expenses, forex losses and higher royalty charges ― FY 2015 net profit iY/Y growth is flat Increase in capital spending due to capitalization of network projects, network modernization and focus on digital and ICT capabilities (1) Subscriber numbers calculated as aggregate number of GSM, fixed, fixed broadband and eLife lines generating revenue during the last 90 days. 23 UAE: Sustained growth in eLife and mobile subscribers Mobile Subs (m) & ARPU(1) (AED) 115 7.53 117 110 7.94 7.91 1.51 1.71 1.77 Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Postpaid Prepaid Fixed Subs (m) & ARPL(2) (AED) 137 0.90 0.87 Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Fixed Blended ARPU 380 398 407 0.78 0.84 0.87 (1) (2) (3) Q3'15 E-Life (2P & 3P) Q4'15 ARPL 122 0.97 eLife Subs – Double & Triple-Play (m) Q4'14 125 ARPL Fixed Broadband(3) Subs (m) 496 498 498 0.98 1.04 1.06 Q4'14 Q3'15 Fixed BB Mobile ARPU (“Average Revenue Per User”) calculated as total mobile voice, data and roaming revenues divided by the average mobile subscribers. ARPL (“Average Revenue Per Line”) calculated as fixed line revenues divided by the average fixed subscribers. Fixed broadband subscriber numbers calculated as total of residential DSL (Al-Shamil), corporate DSL (Business One) and E-Life subscribers. Q4'15 ARPL 24 Maroc Telecom: Growth driven by int’l subsidiaries Morocco, Benin, Burkina Faso, CAR, CDI, Gabon, Mali, Mauritania and Togo Revenue (AED m) Subscribers (m) (1) 12,728 50.8 50.7 / EBITDA Margin CAPEX (AED m) & CAPEX/Revenue Ratio (%) 3,298 12,316 40.2 1,995 53% 51% 48% 54% 51% 26% 2,907 3,206 47% 1,497 3,069 760 24% 775 27% 31% 16% Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q4'14 Q3'15 Revenue Q4'15 FY'14 Int'l 41% Moroc co 56% Q4'15 FY'14 FY'15 CAPEX/Revenue Capex Breakdown Q4’15 Domestic vs. Int’l Int’l Historical subsidiaries 62% Q3'15 CAPEX Revenue Breakdown Q4’15 Domestic vs. Int’l Q4'14 FY'15 EBITDA % 19% New subsidiaries 38% Morocco 41% Int'l 59% Int’l Historical New subsidiaries subsidiaries 29% 71% Others -3% 25 Egypt: Improved profitability in local currency Total Subscribers (1) (m) 4,844 95 93 94 23% 24% 24% CAPEX (AED m) & CAPEX/Revenue Ratio (%) Revenue (AED m) / EBITDA Margin 1,029 4,544 880 44% 31% 1,293 1,138 32% 1,246 36% 37% 176 26% Q4'14 Q3'15 Subscribers Q4'15 Q4'14 Q3'15 Market Share Q4'15 Revenue FY'14 340 337 FY'15 EBITDA % Q4'14 21% 19% FY'14 FY'15 27% 15% Q3'15 CAPEX Q3'15 CAPEX/Revenue Highlights Subscriber growth impacted by regulator mandated subscriber registration exercise Revenue growth Y/Y impacted by currency depreciation ― Maintained revenue growth in local currency: 5% in Q4 and 2% for the full year Revenue growth is mainly attributed to continued upward trend in data revenue Margins slightly better Y/Y due to higher revenue that was partially offset by higher network & billing costs, interconnection and termination costs. Capex spending focused on network expansion (1) Subscribers and market share data as per statistic published by the Ministry of Information and Technology 26 Pakistan: Turnaround in net mobile subscriber growth Subscribers (m) Revenue (AED m) / EBITDA Margin 26.3 4,719 22.8 24.0 CAPEX (AED m) & CAPEX/Revenue Ratio (%) 2,965 4,236 63% 29% 1,101 28% 1,040 28% 991 40% 33% 27% 30% 438 3% Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Revenue FY'14 FY'15 Q4'14 EBITDA % 32% 21% 218 Q3'15 CAPEX 37% 1,028 24% 362 Q4'15 FY'14 FY'15 CAPEX/Revenue Highlights Subscriber growth Y/Y impacted by regulatory mandated biometric verification measures; ― partial recovery of lost SIM during Q4’15 Revenue growth Y/Y impacted by subscriber loss in mobile segment, price competition in international and mobile segments ― Maintained growth in data services due to an increase in broadband revenue driven by growth in DSL and EVO. EBITDA margin improved Y/Y due to lower staff costs and network costs Capex spending is lower than prior year that includes 3G/2G license acquisition and renewal and rollout of 3G network. 27 Nigeria: Slow down in subscriber growth due to compliance with regulatory requirements Revenue (AED m) / EBITDA Margin Subscribers (m) 4,343 23.5 CAPEX (AED m) & CAPEX/Revenue Ratio (%) 1,480 4,230 22.2 21.1 1,114 32% 1,114 16% Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q4'14 1,057 12% Q3'15 1,106 545 15% 24% Q4'15 Revenue 18% 16% 462 42% 52% 395 34% 26% 36% FY'14 FY'15 EBITDA % Q4'14 Q3'15 Q4'15 CAPEX FY'14 FY'15 CAPEX/Revenue Highlights Subscriber growth in Q4 is impacted by strict compliance with the regulatory mandated registration process Strong revenue growth in local currency of 15% in Q4’15 and 17% on annual basis Improvement in EBITDA level as well as higher revenue growth trend Higher EBITDA level Y/Y due to higher revenue, resulting in higher EBITDA margin Lower capex spend due to the tower sales and leaseback transaction 28 2016 Outlook: Financial Objective Revenue Growth EBITDA Margin CAPEX / Revenue Ratio (1) Outlook 2016 [in AED] Outlook 2016 [with constant currencies(1)] stable Low single digit around 48% - 50% around 18% Assuming monthly average forex rates against AED during the year 2016 stay the same as in 2015. 29 3. Etisalat UAE Operations Saleh Abdulla Alabdooli Chief Executive Officer Etisalat UAE Agenda Introduction Financial Review Commercial & Operational Review Summary & Outlook 31 Etisalat UAE’s 2015 Strategy was a growth strategy with focus on Excellence as a natural evolution of a successful turnaround Target position The leading integrated operator in UAE Strategic Goals 1 Strategy Pillars Deliver attractive returns to shareholders while investing in the company’s long-term future Be the best experience provider in the UAE 2 Lead in core business 3 Win in ICT 4 Deliver an excellent customer experience Support UAE development agenda and continue to be socially responsible 5 Preferred brand 6 Innovation Employer of choice 32 We cascaded such strategy into every organizational block & delivered a well earned, premeditated success that was manifested in solid financial & operational results Target positio n The leading integrated operator in UAE All Segments, All Services, All Aspects of Life… 2 Lead in core business 3 Win in ICT 4 Deliver an excellent customer experience Support UAE development agenda and continue to be socially responsible 5 Preferred brand 6 Innovation Employer of choice 2015 Strategy: “Growth with focused excellence” Unparalleled focus on differentiators that will drive future growth, and above all Excellence in Customer Experience 1 Pillars 1 5 Year Strategy Pillars Deliver attractive returns to shareholders while investing in the company’s long-term future Be the best experience provider in the UAE 2 Lead in core business 3 4 Deliver an excellent CE Win in ICT 1 New digital services Roaming experience Roaming experience 6 e-life transforma tion e-life transforma tion Employer of choice Re-position brand 5 Stimulate innovation Business segment transformation 8 9 6 Innovation Design E2E customer journey 4 7 5 Preferred brand 2 3 2015 strategy programs Strate gic Goals Manage regulatory landscape 10 Multi-channel transformation CCC transformat ion 11 Network transformation 16 Right people 12 IT-as-an-enabler 17 Design culture 13 Outsourcing strategy 14 Quality enhancement 15 E2E supply chain optimization Majority of programs Impact the CE 2015 Programs & Special assignments Enhance customer communication Review and fix all communication messages sent to customers, and ensure compliance with regulation requirements Clear complaints backlog Clear backlog complaints & ensure resolution of new complaints are within the pre-defined timelines Reduce billing complaints Upgrade all System and Application components related to Billing Processing to ensure the timely delivery of Bills and Content Accuracy Development of frontline staff First Call Resolution for all channels Address all frontline staff requirements, and equip them with required training, capabilities and empowerment to support Customers’ requirements Equip all frontline staff with the required tools to address customers’ issues accurately from the first time Resolve top 5 complaints root causes Simplify Order Interface Attend to the Top 5 Complaints received from Customers, analyze and fix their root causes to ensure customer satisfaction Structured communication plan / advocates Address Communication on various Social Media channels, aiming to raise awareness, and proactively attend their issues and complaints Simplify the Sales Screens for various Mobile Product and Service aiming to reducing the “Waiting and Service” Time for the customers Billing Credit & Collection Review and fix the Billing and Dunning cycles for Enterprise, and SMB accounts to enhance their Customer Experience and speed the collection process 2015 Customer Experience Transformation 33 2015 Full Year Highlights Financial Performance Strategic Progress • Strong delivery of results across key financial metrics • Strong performance of the subscriber base evolution both in mobile and fixed businesses o +6% revenue growth, driven by growth across all segments and major business lines o +9% EBITDA growth, driven by strong top-line performance and disciplined cost management o Strong Net Profit margin performance at 25.5%. • Consolidation of the growth turnaround journey which started in 2013 o Cumulative revenue growth of +27% in three years, CAGR +8% • Strong delivery of cash-flow driving healthy ROI on capital investments o Focus on data, ICT and Digital services delivering growth and ensuring return on LTE, FTTH and Digital infrastructure investments o +7.0% YoY growth of mobile subs to 9.7 million. Growth captured through optimal market share gains, based on segmented offers and approaches, including the launch of New Visitor Pack targeting Tourists to UAE sold through various entry points. o +12.0% YoY increase of eLife FTTH services subscriptions • Positive development of customer value across all services with adoption of segmented offers/bundles o Strong uptake of a new generation of “all inclusive” Postpaid plans driving Prepaid migrations, adoption of data services, and enhancing customer lifetime value to Etisalat. o eLife boosted by new content-rich bundles o Successful introduction of Business Quick Start package targeting SMB segment 34 Agenda Introduction Financial Review Commercial & Operational Review Summary & Outlook 35 Key operational and financial highlights of 2015 Q4’14 Q3’15 Q4’15 QoQ Growth YoY Growth FY’14 FY’15 YoY Growth Subs(1) (m) 11.0 11.6 11.6 +0% +6% 11.0 11.6 +6% Revenue (AED m) 6,978 7,168 6,906 -4% -1% 27,095 28,774 +6% EBITDA (AED m) 3,531 4,138 3,886 -6% +10% 14,957 16,279 +9% EBITDA Margin 51% 58% 56% -1pp +6pp 55% 57% +1pp Net Profit 2,239 1,825 1,828 +0% -18% 7,309 7,325 +0% Net Profit Margin 32% 25% 26% +1pp -6pp 27% 25% -2pp Highlights Maintained strong subscriber growth in mobile and e-Life segments; Revenue growth mainly attributed to growth in mobile, fixed broadband and ICT solutions - Revenue growth Q/Q and vs. Q4’14 was impacted by certain one-offs. Normalized revenue growth is +3% and +6% respectively; - Normalized FY’15 revenue growth before one-offs is +8%; Higher EBITDA level Y/Y on account of revenue growth and lower costs, resulting in better EBITDA margin; Strong Net Profit margin performance in 2015 at 25.5%. (1) Subscriber numbers calculated as aggregate number of GSM, fixed, fixed broadband and eLife lines generating revenue during the last 90 days. 36 2015 is another successful year for Etisalat UAE, with YoY growth in revenue of 6% and EBITDA of 9% Revenues EBITDA AED Billion AED Billion +6% 27.1 2014 % of Revenues +9% 28.8 Net Profit AED Billions % of Revenues +0.2% 16.3 7.3 55.2% 56.6% 27.0% 2014 2015 2014 7.3 15.0 2015 Sustained mobile revenue growth with strong growth in subscribers and data services; Strong fixed revenue growth through improved eLife content offerings; EBITDA growth and margin expansion was the result of strong top line growth coupled with successful cost optimization efforts. 25.5% 2015 Strong Net Profit margin performance at 25.5%. Revenue diversification into adjacent and solutions oriented services continues at a strong pace resulting to increased ICT & Digital revenues. 37 A robust growth trend continues since our turn around journey began in 2013 Etisalat UAE Net Revenues AED Billion +6% +9% -5% 24.3 2010 +9% -1% 23.0 22.7 2011 2012 28.8 27.1 24.8 2013 2014 2015 38 Positive growth across all segments and services driven by data services and segmented offerings Net Revenue Growth per Segment Net Revenue Growth per Business Line AED Billion AED Billion 27% 13% 52% 45% 28% 35% 2014 Consumer Business Carrier & Wholesale 2015 2014 Mobile Fixed Wholesale & Others 2015 39 Agenda Introduction Financial Review Commercial & Operational Review Summary & Outlook 40 Mobile business growth is being sustained by a healthy subscriber growth and tangible market share gains… Performance Active Mobile Subscribers Strong mobile subscriber growth (+7.1% YoY), despite the already very high penetration rate Million +7.1% 7.1 9.7 9.0 8.4 Growth captured though optimal market share gains, based on segmented offers, and reinforcement of our distribution and retail presence Significant development on prepaid engagement levels with the “Deal of the Day” and price perception campaigns 2012 2013 2014 2015 Mobile Market Share +1.3 p.p. 53.8% +0.4 p.p. 55.2% 55.6% 52.3% 2012 Strong improvement in Customer Experience (lower reported customer effort) and adoption of digital channels (e.g., app) Priorities Percentage +1.6 p.p. Adoption of “all inclusive” postpaid plans continues to drive prepaid migrations and adoption of data services Continue to leverage on the segmented approach, to capture incremental growth while minimising price erosion Optimise the portfolio value-for-money balance, by tapping into smart re-pricing opportunities Continue to drive the migrations of customers to ARPU enhancing offers 2013 2014 2015 Increase penetration and monetisation of data services, while adjusting the devices portfolio to the current industry context 41 .. in addition to value growth, driven by postpaid strong growth & the increased monetisation/engagement of the its base Postpaid Mobile Subscribers Million. Active 90 days +17.4% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Prepaid Mobile Subscribers Million. Active 90 days +5.1% 2012 2013 2014 2015 42 Data & ICT continue to be key focus areas, with new offers being decisive to monetise the huge traffic growth & ensure LTE ROI… Mobile Data as % of Mobile Revenues Percentage +2.0 p.p. 2014 2015 Mobile Data Traffic 2G 3G 4G Average daily traffic. TB/day 250 +117% 200 150 100 50 0 Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 43 .. in addition to the fact that verticals in digital solutions and ICT are the new sources of growth in our industry Key Areas & Industries in Digital & ICT Enterprise Revenue 12% ICT 44 Our focus on ICT and digital enablement is progressively delivering new products in the market Future Communications & Cloud Services M2M, IoT & Digital Marketing Cloud Computing & Advanced Managed Services 45 Devices continue to be a driver for the adoption of data, & our portfolio is constantly updated to reflect recent trends & NON-EXHAUSTIVE demand 46 Data revenues growth is also supported by a remarkable evolution of eLife bundles & advanced solutions for business customers eLife Subscribers Performance Million Strong growth of eLife bundles (+13% YoY), reinforcing the UAE as the #1 market in fibre adoption +12.8% +69% Continued adoption of 3Play and improvement of ARPU driven by the revamp of offerings (new content bundles and 2x speed upgrade) Sharper focus on the SMB opportunity with all-in-one solutions and ramping up of demand for managed services and other advanced ICT solutions 2012 2013 2014 2015 Managed Services Links Delivered in 2015 Number of links +410% Priorities Continue to expand in terms of ARPU enhancement by continue to push 3Play and the upgrade/up-sell of premium content and higher broadband tiers Maintain strong development cycle for ICT solutions and other innovations in the digital space, in line with Etisalat vision of a digital converged player Jan- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- Jun- Jul- Aug- Sep- Oct- Nov- Dec15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 47 In eLife, the focus on content-rich bundles and the extension of the entertainment ecosystem is driving sustained growth 48 Etisalat continued to modernize its mobile network to improve services quality & efficiency with more planned investments in 2016 8K+ Total Cumulative Mobile Modernized Sites 5K+ Total Mobile Modernized sites in 2015 2K+ Total Cumulative New sites 93% LTE Coverage in populated areas 49 Hence placing us amongst the top world Mobile Broadband providers Etisalat UAE Download throughput percentage > 10 Mbps 80 75 70 China Op1 France Op1 Singapore Op1 Japn Op1 France Op2 du 65 60 55 Japan Op2 Germany Op1 50 45 Hong Kong Op1 UK Op1 USA Op1 Oman Op2 Oman Op1 40 35 Turkey Op1 Turkey Op2 30 25 Saudi Arabia Op 2 20 15 10 5 Iran Op2 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Download throughput percentage > 1 Mbps Source: OOKLA (Ericsson) The Horizontal Axis shows the percentage of throughput provided to customers who are on packages that are 1 Mbps or higher (i.e. majority of the customers) The Vertical Axis shows the percentage of throughput provided to customers who are on packages that are more than 10 Mbps, which is a subset of the horizontal axis 50 While in fixed, we are maintaining the number one worldwide leading position in in FTTH network penetration 86.4% FTTH nationwide coverage 1.64 M Home Pass Coverage across all UAE 51 Agenda Introduction Financial Review Commercial & Operational Review Summary & Outlook 52 Moving forward, we foresee our market is transforming into a digital future – shaped by six major forces… 1 UAE Vision 2021 6 5 Technology revolution More open competition Customers going digital Digital Future Core will still drive value 2 3 Growth in digital economy 4 53 .. but at the same time, we face strong immediate challenges 4 Disruptive competition New OTT and Digital Economy player entry Regulatory impact e.g. Bitstream, NRI2), GCC roaming & infrastructure sharing 1 Market Challenges Strong WiFi usage 3 Threatening core revenues e.g. data and roaming NRI = Network Readiness Index (as part of UAE Vision 2021 Ambition and Goals) Economic slow-down Effecting spending in the UAE 2 54 In line with the market evolution, we have set a bold, new vision for Etisalat UAE which is supported by revised corporate strategy with refined goals, new values & strategic imperatives ETISALAT UAE VISION STATEMENT The digital future will: - re-shape the lives of consumers, - accelerate the economic growth of businesses, and Drive the Digital Future - enhance the competitiveness of the country to empower societies Etisalat will drive this digital future to empower societies thus inspiring everyone to fully maximize their true potential. 55 Key messages and 2016 strategic outlook Strong delivery of results in 2015: – YoY growth in revenue of 6% and of 9% in EBITDA – Focused commercial activities and investments in both mobile and fixed networks In 2016, we will pave the way for a digital future as the market leader and UAE’s main telecom & ICT enabler, we will: – Continue to lead in core business despite market liberalization, as we strongly believe such act will bring more opportunities to etisalat than threats – Leverage our best of breed network to enable UAE’s digital and ICT agenda, in addition to delivering an excellent Customer, which will mandate more investments and adoption of new and emergent technologies – Foster innovation and invest more in smart platforms and big data – And we will continue to enhance operational efficiency and building capability, to become more agile and to continue to be the employer of choice 56 Q&A 57 4. Mobily Operations Ahmad Farroukh Chief Executive Officer Mobily Key operational and financial highlights of 2015 +3% 13,995 14,423 -47% +31% 2,246 6,400 3,400 2,941 +31% -1,576 Revenue EBITDA -1,090 Net Results Capex 2014 2015 59 Overview of the Telecom market Market trends • Developed market with a penetration rate around 170% Competitive dynamics • Market with 3 players • Market share (revenue) • Shrinking voice service and increasing Data • STC 72%* - STC has a dominant position • Expected single digit growth • mobily 19%* mobily is the challenger • Technologically advanced Regulatory environment • Highly Regulated. • new market changing regulations • Interconnection fees • Biometric fingerprint • Zain 9%* • 2 MNVOs entered the market * Company’s estimates based on disclosed information 60 Management focus during 2015 / Key developments Stabilizing the company after the challenging situation during 2014: • • • • • Restatement of 2014 and Q1-2015 financials. Managed and concluded the CMA investigation. Change of leadership. Managing the transformation period. Rebuilding the trust with the stakeholders. 61 Strategic Initiative 2016 • Boost Data Profitability • Harmonies data efficiency • Increase Value Share in Mobile Data • Increase network efficiency • Product & Pricing Revamp Key Propositions • Postpaid & Prepaid (Consumer Unit & Business Unit) • Enterprise unit Product & Pricing Revamp • Data Center Services Revamp • Cloud Services Revamp • Fixed Services (basic, advanced and int’l) Enhancement • Develop the SME strategy. • Deploy Mega projects (helath, smart cities) • Leverage Customer Experience 62 Strategic Initiative 2016 Monetize FTTH Rationalize CAPEX Improve Efficiency • Stimulate FTTH uptake in coverage areas • Enhance sales, systems & execution capabilities • Enhance Operational Excellence (i.e. Processes and Systems) • Implement effective CAPEX governance • Improve network CAPEX planning • Network / IT Optimization & Simplification • Improve OPEX Management • Seek operational efficiency across the company • Standardize and increase disclosure • Optimize Structure • Digitize Operations (customer & internal facing) 63 Strategic Initiative 2016 • Build people capabilities • Effective Leadership Development Engage and Retain • Engage Staff • Employee Engagement Activities • Retain talents and critical staff • Enhance Retention Plans & reward systems. 64 Mobily Network Infrastructure Commercial Data Centers (DC) Wireless Network 2G 3G 4G Sites 9,301 8,071 6,754 Saudi National Fiber Network FTTH Network 8 Rings Fiber 12,600 Kms Internet GW Technical Buildings (TB) Metro Network Fiber 24,086 Km 65 Mobile network coverage Tech No. of Sites Population Coverage % 2G 10,167 99.42 3G 9,021 97 4G FDD 2,714 78 4GE TDD 5,215 67 99.42 97 78 67 2G 3G 4G FDD 4GE TDD Population Coverage 66 Fiber network coverage • Over 24,000 Km of Metropolitan & FTTH Fiber Network to support the (BB) over different cities. • Saudi National Fiber Network (SNFN) covers over 19,000 Km of fiber connecting with different cities. 67 Way forward Back to basics Implement a culture of operational excellence. Rebuild trust with investors and creditors 68 Q&A Mobily’s Investor Relations 69 5. Etisalat Misr Operations Hazem Metwally Chief Executive Officer Etisalat Misr The Egyptian market over the past several years proved to be challenging, yet still holding some positive promise for the future Challenging market conditions with fierce … However, the long term bears some good promise competition Two International competitors with a government fixed incumbent Spectrum scarcity Currency Devaluation by ~9% during 2015, affected by low net international reserve current balance of ~USD16.5 bn Egypt ranks #1 in Population among Arab countries (With ~50% of the population less than 23 years of age) while holding GDP ~311Bn USD Suez canal axis development project that aims for expanding the Suez Canal region’s role as a global, industrial, and logistics center and announced potential investments would play a role in regaining the trust in Economic recovery Government is stabilizing political environment with Parliamentary Elections in Oct/Nov 2015 The discovery of the new Natural Gas field announced in August 2015, would help Egypt to self sustain it’s demand Egypt’s Credit rating in 2015 has witnessed an upward trend due to ongoing commitment to fiscal & economic reform: • Moody's |at B3 from Caa1 with a stable outlook • S&P | at B- stable outlook 71 The Egyptian market over the past several years proved to be challenging, yet still holding positive promise for the future 2/2 Egypt’s economic indicators % GDP real growth rate % Population and unemployment Millions, % Unemplyment rate CAGR (2015 – ’20) Inflation rate % Population -7% +4% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 5.0% 5.0% 13.2% 12.9% 13.4% 11.7% 12.4% 10.1% 9.8% 9.8% 10.9% 10.4% -9% 10.5% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 7.4% 6.3% 2.1% 2.2% 88 90 92 94 97 99 101 2013 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20 86 2013 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20 GDP growth nearly doubling with real growth after suffering a decline from 2011 to 2014 as a reflection of witnessed political and economic reforms Population is growing at 2% per year, while, unemployment percentage is declining by 1% per year as a direct impact for potential economic growth aspirations Sources: Central Bank of Egypt| CAPMAS for Historical data IMF-Oct 15: for future data 2013 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20 A• In the short-term, inflation pressure impacting our OpEx negatively during 2016 B• Inflation rate has a positive outlook in the long-term and expected to decrease at a CAGR of ~9% to reach 6.3% in ‘20 72 The regulator places more market controls and aiming to enhance data reliability Ambiguity in the regulator’s plan LTE is on the regulator’s agenda, late 2016 early 2017 Acquiring additional spectrum being negotiated with the regulator Potential 4th mobile license to be offered to Telecom Egypt Regulator is aiming to control the market … EM is working on managing those pressures The Regulatory authority (NTRA) trying to attract more investment in the Telecom sector through license offerings; 4G license, is expected late 2016, early 2017 4th mobile license (Telecom Egypt) Etisalat Misr is in need for spectrum to cater for data future growth. Hence, we are currently negotiating with the regulator for acquiring additional spectrum Regulatory newly imposed regulations: Gray termination control New activation sales process Prepaid Customer data information cleansing Absence of proper control on the government’s incumbent (Telecom Egypt) monopolistic practices (for the fixed infrastructure and int’l terminations) Lack of enforced interconnection agreement among market players 73 The Egyptian market still holds growth opportunities; however competition increasing efforts to regain momentum Opportunity areas Telecom to sustain strong growth (~6% p.a.) outpacing overall GDP and many other industries Competition positioning Showing commitment to the Market; massive Investment in CapEx over 2 years to modernize and extend coverage With ~50% of the population less than 23 years of age, The Youth remains to be Etisalat’s heartland Massive Advertising campaigns in 12 months (15 TVCs, 22 Celebrities + 5 Music Bands) Data traffic explosion requires more carriers with 4G launch on horizon, limited fiber and only ~20% DSL penetration Orange increased ownership in Mobinil with new branding to “Orange”, in March 2016 Enterprise and High Value Market with the Economic growth, further opportunity lies ahead in these segments Pressuring to become an integrated telecom operator 74 Competitive landscape 2015 figures Operator Orange, launched 1998 Market Share, % Revenue EGP bn Value Share, % EBITDA Margin, % 32% 10.8b 30.6% 31% VFE, Launched 1998 37% 14.6b 41.7% 44% Etisalat, Launched 2007 31% 9.7b 27.7% 37% SOURCE: Operator Quarterly/Annual Releases, revenues based on standalone results 1 VFE revenue including one-off adjustment in Q1’15 of ~EGP793 mn 75 Story of success…. successfully capturing ~80% of total market revenue growth while narrowing the revenue gap with the competition Etisalat Etisalat revenue Rest of market share, % Etisalat achieved its 2015 ambitious targets, Egypt mobile telecom revenues, EGP Billions 2008 21.4 2009 22.8 4.0 26.9 15% 2010 22.3 6.4 28.8 22% 2011 21.7 7.5 29.2 26% 2012 22.3 8.5 30.9 28% 2013 23.0 9.1 32.1 28% 2014 23.6 9.5 33.1 29% 2015 24.6 CAGR 2% 1.8 23.2 Mobile revenue gap vs. Orange EGP Billions 9.7 8% 34.4 +8.2 1.8 10.0 2008 Closed Gap +1.0 9.7 10.8 87% 2015 Mobile revenue gap vs. VFE1, EGP Billions 28% 27% SOURCE: Operator Quarterly/Annual Releases, revenues based on standalone results 1 VFE revenue excluding one-off adjustment in Q1’15 of ~EGP793 mn +9.5 +4.1 13.9 1.8 11.4 2008 9.7 57% 2015 76 Etisalat Misr operating model proved successful to drive remarkable performance Etisalat Misr market position EM operates in one of the most competitive market in the MENA region, EM succeeded in capturing ~ 31% of market subscribers EM revenues boost YOY through 1) data revenues as a main driver for growth showing growing contribution trend of 20% and 25% in 2014 and 2015 respectively; 2) efficient pricing strategy, EM acquired ~ 28% of total telecom mobile market revenues that reached EGP ~35 bn in 2015 EM ARPU improved YOY moving from EGP ~21.5 in 2014 to EGP ~24 in 2015 narrowing the gap with the Egyptian market ARPU of EGP ~26, (prepaid segment remains the main driver for the Egyptian telecom market). Operational KPIs Despite the witnessed increase in network costs, higher inflation rates, and the competitiveness of the market , EM succeeded to achieve EBITDA margin of ~37% in 2015. EM managed its CapEx spending efficiently during 2015 with an investments of EGP ~ 1.9 bn.` Profitability EM balanced its operations between maintaining strong market position, achieve it’s target profits and dividends yield to shareholders EM started distributing dividends of EGP 350 mn on 2014 profits and expected to increase the distributed amount to EGP 400 mn on 2015 profits subject to AGM approval 77 Business driven network focuses on customer centricity Delivered through a focused customer centric strategy 4G Sites 7000 Network coverage 99% 2G/3G population coverage Sites including ~ 6000 3G sites Network investment ~EGP13 Bn 1st advanced Network First to launch 3G network in the Egyptian market in LTE readiness Ready to deploy the 1st 2017 subject to licensing Investment in Infra structure in 9 years 2007 Launched HSPA+ network in Egypt in 2009 Only mobile operator in Egypt owning Fiber backbone and International gateway LTE network in Egypt in 78 Etisalat has built it's strong market equity and a flexible operational model to cater for changes Etisalat is perceived as the Young, Fresh, Advanced, Innovative, and trustworthy brand for the Egyptian consumer with unique market leading propositions 1 With ~ 7000 sites (from which ~6000 are 3G) and an advanced IP backbone, Etisalat has built a strong network servicing ~30m subs / 10m broadband customers, and ~200TB every day! All of this despite scarce spectrum, lack of fuel, and frequent security challenges 2 3 4 A foundation of systems / analytics, from top notch billing systems to IN, Enterprise applications, CRM, geo-marketing and data mining capabilities, to unlock a tremendous opportunity in a country with limited “business” data 5 Efficient organization delivering ~ 28% market value share and ~37% EBITDA margin. Number 2 in EBITDA and profitability Young talented ambitious individuals eager to be the best mobile operator in Egypt 79 Etisalat Misr 2016 focus and beyond To be delivered through a focused Strategy in the upcoming 5 Years Creating Distinct Propositions and Customer Experience Differentiate through unique and innovative proposition and deep focus on customer demand across all touch points Transforming Operational model Network leadership, readiness for LTE, Cost effective product development and channel management…all while maintaining the focus on Customer Profitability Managing Shareholder Value Continue to reward shareholders with dividends distribution, EGP 350mn for 2014 profits and EGP 400mn for 2015 profits with an ambitious plan to increase YOY. Improve costs structure and Smart investment to sustain network position Agile Organization Continue to invest in human capital whilst reviewing processes / activities to streamline organization and go-tomarket Continue lobbying with Regulator & Government stakeholders for favorable outcome on issues related to spectrum, licenses and pricing Engaging with External Environment 80 High hopes and aspirations for the future Aspirations 1 Remain the fastest growing Egyptian operator, surpassing the EGP 13 Billion revenue mark within 5 years building on data revenues as the growth engine with aspiration to contribute to 28% in 2016 and 40% from total revenue by 2020 2 Be the leading operator of choice and maintain Leadership on Customer Satisfaction 3 Increasing shareholders value by focusing on profitability accompanied by progressive dividends distribution 4 Be the number 2 player, in Consumer & Enterprise, and narrow the gap with number 1 player 5 Develop Enterprise Business Revenue to reach ~1.5Bn EGP through 5 years while building our capability to provide ICT services 81 Q&A 82 6. Closing Remarks Hatem Dowidar Acting Chief Executive Officer Etisalat Group Etisalat Group Investor Relations Email: [email protected] Website: www.etisalat.com/en/ir/index.jspr 84
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