iDTV - Telenet
Transcription
iDTV - Telenet
Telenet, at the Heart of Communication, Information and Entertainment Telenet Q1 2006 Results May 29, 2006 Disclaimer: > Safe Harbor Safe Harbor Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 Various statements contained in this document constitute “forward-looking statements” as that term is defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words like “believe,” “anticipate,” “should,” “intend,” “plan,” “will,” “expects,” “estimates,” “projects,” “positioned,” “strategy,” and similar expressions identify these forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements or industry results to be materially different from those contemplated, projected, forecasted, estimated or budgeted whether expressed or implied, by these forwardlooking statements. These factors include: potential adverse developments with respect to our liquidity or results of operations; our significant debt payments and other contractual commitments; our ability to fund and execute our business plan; our ability to generate cash sufficient to service our debt; interest rate and currency exchange rate fluctuations; our ability to complete the integration of our billing systems; the impact of new business opportunities requiring significant up-front investments; our ability to attract and retain customers and increase our overall market penetration; our ability to compete against other communications and content distribution businesses; our ability to maintain contracts that are critical to our operations; our ability to respond adequately to technological developments; our ability to develop and maintain back-up for our critical systems; our ability to continue to design networks, install facilities, obtain and maintain any required governmental licenses or approvals and finance construction and development, in a timely manner at reasonable costs and on satisfactory terms and conditions; our ability to have an impact upon, or to respond effectively to, new or modified laws or regulations. We assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in factors affecting these statements 2 2 Q1 2006 Highlights: > Triple play boosts subscriber growth Triple Play ¾ 185K triple play customers, 24% growth of triple play customer base YoY Subscriber ¾ More than 228,000 RGUs added in TV, Internet & telephony YoY Growth Combined ¾ Reduced churn levels With Stable ARPU ¾ Internet & Telephony ARPUs have been stable at H2 05 levels ¾ Flexview functionality launched on April 18 iDTV iDTV ¾ 150 000 Boxes sold (end April 06), about 10% penetration ¾ Prime and thematic take-up well on track ¾ Growing iDTV net ARPU ¾ Satisfactory revenue growth despite continuing competitive pressure Telenet Solutions ¾ Good take up in SME segment ¾ Contract wins in 3 major cities: Antwerp, Ghent and Kortrijk 3 3 Q1 2006 Highlights: > First quarter reporting a net profit and strong cash flows Revenue Growth EBITDA Operating Profit Net Profit Capex Free Cash Flow ¾ Revenues up by 2% compared to Q4 05 and up 11% versus Q1 05 ¾ EBITDA increased 9% versus Q4 05 and 4% versus Q1 05 ¾ Operating Profit up by 60% versus Q4 05 and up by 2% versus Q1 05 ¾ First quarter showing a profit of € 5 Million versus a loss, corrected for one off debt extinguishment costs of € 5.1million in Q4 2005 and € 17.3 million in Q1 2005 ¾ Capex of € 42.6 Million, excluding € 6.3 million land and Hypertrust acquisition ¾ € 14.9 Million Free Cash Flow (excluding debt repayments) 4 4 Q1 2006 Results Leo Steenbergen - CFO 5 5 Operational Results: > Triple play subscribers growth of 24% Highlights Highlights Triple Play Stats * 185 1.44 26.4 27.5 ¾ 185,000 triple play customers in Q1 06 on Telenet network 149 1.37 ¾ 24% year on year growth in triple plays subs Q1 05 Q1 06 Triple Play Customers (000) Q1 05 Q1 05 Q1 06 RGU/Unique Customer Q1 06 ¾ Continued increase in RGUs per unique customer € ARPU/Unique Customer ¾ 88,000 triple play customers in Q1 06 on the partner network * Numbers relate to customers on the Telenet network only 6 6 Telephony: > Subscriber growth of 24% Telephony Key Stats * 381 14.1% Highlights Highlights ¾ 381,000* Subscribers at the end of Q1 2006 34.9 31.6 10.6% ¾ Y-on-Y growth: 73,000 net additions 308 ¾ Q-on-Q growth: 17,000 net additions Q1 05 Q1 06 RGUs (000) Q1 05 Q1 06 Churn Q1 05 ¾ ARPU stable vs second half of 2005 Q1 06 € ARPU ¾ Churn stable vs second half of 2005 * Excludes carrier pre-selection customers, but includes Freephone/FreeSurf bundle customers and business telephony subscribers 7 7 Internet: > Steady growth, stable ARPU and low churn Highlights Highlights Internet Key Stats * 650 9.5% 8.8% 32.7 33.2 ¾ 650,000 subscribers at the end of Q1 06 559 ¾ 91,000 Net additions, 16% Y-on-Y growth ¾ Q-on-Q growth: 26,000 net additions Q1 05 Q1 06 RGUs (000) Q1 05 Q1 06 Churn Q1 05 Q1 06 € ARPU ¾ Low churn ¾ Stable internet ARPU * Excludes FreeSurf narrowband internet customers, but includes business broadband internet subscribers 8 8 iDTV: > Continued Progress iDTV Key Stats Highlights Highlights ¾ 131,500 “Digibox” and “Digicorder” set top boxes sold at the end of Q1 2006 132 116 84 75 44 ¾ 115,500 iDTV Smartcards activated by quarter end 36 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Sales (000) Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 RGUs (000) 9 9 Revenues: > Growth continues Q1 2005 Q1 2006 % change Basic cable television 50.0 49.8 - 0% Premium cable television 13.8 11.2 - 19% 2.0 8.3 + 323% Residential broadband internet 53.6 63.9 + 19% Residential telephony 41.2 46.7 + 13% Business services 16.8 17.8 + 6% 177.3 197.6 + 11% EU GAAP - in € millions Revenues Cable Distributors / Other * Total Revenues ¾ Residential revenues grew by 12% in Q1 06 ¾ Total Y-on-Y revenue growth accelerated from 7% in Q1 05 to 11% in Q1 06 ¾ BB internet and telephony remain growth engines ¾ Premium revenues have decreased following the introduction of new pricing structure ¾ Telenet Solutions revenues grew 6%, accelerating from 4% in second half 2005 * Includes Digibox and Digicorder set top box sales 10 10 Expenses: > Roll out iDTV drives expense increase EU GAAP - in € millions Expenses Payroll Cost Depreciation Amortization Amortization of broadcasting rights Network operating and service costs Advertising, marketing and dealer commissions Net foreign exchange transaction (gains)/losses Other costs Total Expenses by Nature Q1 2005 Q1 2006 % change 25.9 36.4 9.7 3.2 46.3 11.2 0.2 8.5 141.4 28.1 40.1 10.6 1.3 58.4 14.1 0.0 8.2 160.8 + 9% + 10% + 10% - 60% + 26% + 25% N/A - 3% + 14% ¾ Total expenses are up 14% compared to Q1 2005, driven by the roll out of iDTV ¾ Total expenses are however 6% lower than in Q4 2005 ¾ Network operating and service cost up 26%, reflecting increased customer services cost, supporting the customer growth and roll out of iDTV, as well as increased content cost ¾ Sales and marketing expenses in line with Q4 2005, supporting roll out of iDTV; SAC reduced by 9% to €80 per gross addition 11 11 Income Statement: > First Profitable Quarter EU GAAP - in € millions Q1 2005 Q1 2006 % change + 12% + 6% + 11% Revenues Residential Services Business Services Total Revenues 160.5 16.8 177.3 179.8 17.8 197.6 Expenses Total Expenses (excl. Depreciation & Amortization) Total Expenses (excl. D&A) (92.1) (92.1) (108.8) (108.8) EBITDA EBITDA Margin 85.2 88.7 48.1% 44.9% 35.9 36.7 + 2% (39.6) (10.4) (21.6) 1.8 N/A (3.2) (11.8) (17.3) 5.0 EBITDA Operating Profit Net Profit / Loss Operating Profit Net Interest Expense Net Gains / (Losses) on Derivative Instruments Income Tax Expense Net Profit/loss adjusted for Debt Extinguishment Cost 1 Debt Extinguishment Cost Net Profit/loss (6.8) 0.0 (24.1) 5.0 + 18% + 18% + 4% N/A N/A N/A ¾ EBITDA increased by 9% versus Q4 2005 and by 4% versus Q1 2005 to € 88.7 million ¾ EBITDA margin at 44.9% versus 42% and 48% in Q4 and Q1 2005 respectively, well within guidance ¾ Operating profit up 60% and 2% versus Q4 and Q1 2005 respectively to € 36.7 million ¾ Interest Expenses down by 15% and 45% versus Q4 and Q1 2005 respectively ¾ Q1 2006 was first profitable quarter ever, generating € 5.0 million of Net Profit. We however anticipate a negative impact on net profit of incurring a debt extinguishment cost of up to € 25 million in Q2 2006 ¾ Cumulative tax loss carry-forwards totaled € 764 million as of December 31 2005 1 Debt extinguishment cost pursuant to redemptions on the Senior Credit Facility in March 2005 12 12 Capital Expenditures: > Telenet continues investing in growth Capital Expenditures – EU GAAP 31.7 Highlights 42.6(1) ¾ Capital Expenditures up by €11.5 million to €42.6 million, excluding a €5.8 million one off investment in land and €0.5 million acquisition of Hypertrust 100% 90% 80% 70% ¾ CAPEX in line with guidance 60% 50% 85% 40% ¾ 85% of capital expenditures remain growth driven: 30% 20% ¾ ¾ ¾ 10% 0% Q1 05 Subscriber capex Development and IT Maintenance & Other (1) Subscriber growth Network growth IT and development Q1 06 Network growth Content Capital Expenditures exclude a one off investment in land and Hypertrust 13 13 Free Cash Flow: > Healthy FCF conversion despite increasing capex FCF Conversion Cash Flow EU GAAP - in € millions Cash Flow from Operating Activities EBITDA Non cash items & WC changes Interest Expenses1 Cash Flow from Operating Activities Investment in tangible assets Cash Flow from Investments in intangible assets2 Investing Activities Acquistions (Hypertrust in Q1 2006) Cash Flow from Investing Activities Cash Flow from Financing Activities Net Cashflow Net Debt Redemptions Net Proceeds Capital Increases Other (including redemption premium) Cash Flow from Financing Activities Cash at beginning of period Cash at end of period Net Cash Generated Q1 2005 Q1 2006 % change 85.2 (2.3) (39.6) 43.3 88.7 (3.3) (21.6) 63.8 + 4% N/A - 45% + 48% (28.7) (2.9) 0.0 (31.7) (43.7) (4.8) (0.5) (48.9) + 52% + 62% N/A + 54% (110.0) 0.0 (130.4) 0.0 + 19% N/A N/A (110.0) (130.4) 145.2 46.7 (98.5) 210.4 94.9 (115.5) + 45% + 103% 56% 2003 53% 2004 51% 47% 2005 Q1 06 Stable Working Capital Contribution Days DPO 12 0 10 0 80 ¾ Strong Operational and FCF DSO 60 40 ¾ Healthy FCF conversation rate 20 ¾ Stable Working capital buffer 0 Q1 0 5 Q2 0 5 Q3 0 5 Q4 0 5 Q1 0 6 Free Cash Flow (“FCF”) conversion defined as (EBITDA – Capex)/ EBITDA 1 Includes general cash and non-cash interest expenses 2 Includes certain content right contracts 14 14 Capital Structure: > Senior Credit Facility has been successfully refinanced Highlights – Refinancing Senior Credit Facility Interest Cover Ratio1 5 ¾ Size: Total: €1,000 Million / €800/Million committed ¾ Structure: ¾ Term Loan A: € 600 Million (drawn) ¾ Revolving Loan B: € 200 Million (undrawn) ¾ Term Loan C: € 200 Million (undrawn) ¾ Interest Rate Margin: ¾ Margin Rachet (maximum of 1.25%) ¾ Current interest rate: Euribor + 1.00% ¾ Commitment Fee: 40% of Interest Margin ¾ Covenants: ¾ Interest Cover Ratio (Tot. Interest/EBITDA) ¾ Leverage Ratio (Cash Pay Debt/EBITDA) ¾ Minimum Headroom is 25% ¾ Term: 5 years, with back ended amortisation schedule ¾ Interest saving of €6.8 Million on a full year basis 4 3 4.1x 2 1 1.3x 0.6x 0 2002* 2003* 2.0x 2.4x 2004 2005 Q1 06 Amortisation Table Senior Credit Facility 400 Bonds 300 200 370 368 301 100 44 0 52 62 72 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 * 2002-03 LTM EBITDA have been calculated on a US GAAP Basis 1 Interest Cover ratio is calculated as LTM EBITDA / Net Interest expenses 15 15 Balance sheet: > Strengthening capital structure EU GAAP - in € millions Assets Non-Current Assets Current Assets Cash and Cash Equivalents Total Assets Equity Total Equity ² Total Equity Non-Current Liabilities Senior Debt Senior Notes (*) Senior Discount Notes Capital Leases Deferred Financing Cost Other non-current Liabilities Non-Current Liabilities Current Liabilities Current Portion of Long Term Debt Accounts Payable Unearned Revenues Other Current Liability Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Q4 2005 Q1 2006 % change 2,235.7 125.3 210.4 2,221.3 124.5 94.8 - 1% - 1% - 55% 2,571.4 2,440.6 - 5% 709.1 709.1 712.9 712.9 + 1% + 1% 629.1 368.4 220.9 115.0 (44.7) 55.7 1,344.4 629.1 368.4 221.4 109.6 (39.5) 60.2 1,349.182 + 0% + 0% + 0% - 5% - 12% + 8% + 0% 156.1 174.7 112.9 74.1 517.8 25.6 165.0 113.5 74.4 378.5 - 6% - 1% - 0% - 27% 2,571.4 2,440.6 - 5% (*) Senior Notes redeemed in January 2006 16 16 Business environment 17 17 Telephony: > Continued progress Highlights Quarterly net adds Telephony ¾ Successful cross-sell from iDTV and internet to telephony 25 ¾ ARPU stable versus second half of 2005 20 ¾ Half of telephony customer base is on flat rate plans 15 ¾ Next level of momentum by introducing new telephony tariff plan ‘FreePhone 24’. Risk of ARPU decline has been absorbed in full year plan. 10 5 0 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 18 18 Internet: > Satisfactory net adds Highlights Quarterly net adds Internet 30 ¾ Telenet product offering reinforced by the doubling of the downstream speed and a 50% increase of the upstream speed 25 ¾ ARPUs have remained stable 20 ¾ Churn remains stable 35 15 ¾ 66% of new sales in core and higher tier products (representing 85% customer base) 10 5 0 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 19 19 iDTV: > Premium & Premium enabled services iDTV-enabled smartcards Former Canal+ smartcards PRIME Thematic and extra channels On demand Applications + Digibox Digicorder • Full multi channel distribution in our entire region Additional ARPU iDTV Blended ARPU “Premium & premium enabled” 20 20 iDTV: > Accelerating growth in ‘Premium & Premium Enabled’ customer base Total RGU’s Premium & Premium Enabled Premium & Premium enabled Revenues 200.000 180.000 160.000 140.000 120.000 100.000 80.000 60.000 40.000 20.000 0 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q3 0 5 Prime (non iDTV) iDTV Prime Q4 0 5 Q1 0 6 iDTV non Prime ¾ Erosion ‘Premium’ customer base halted ¾ Premium (=Smart Card Activated) RGU’s increased from 161,000 at the end of 2005 to 189,000 at the end of Q1 2006 ¾ Premium revenues decreased because of lower price positioning 21 21 iDTV: > Doubling of paying on demand view-rate iDTV-enabled smartcards Monthly Paying View Rate / iDTV RGU 1.3 0.7 10/05 22 11/05 12/05 01/06 02/06 03/06 22 iDTV: > Interactive programs ¾ More than 60 broadcast programs from main broadcasters with interactive features such as access to additional information and participation via voting and playing along. ¾ From the top 3 formats (Sterren op de Dansvloer (VTM), Thuisploeg (VRT) and Eurosong (VRT), about 25.000 paying transactions were reached in Q1 2006 ¾ Not included in Q1 2006 and launched on April 1, 2006, Peking Express from SBS: almost 50% of the iDTV viewers watching the program have used the application ¾ For Q2 2006, we have, amongst others, two promising programs: ¾ Canvascrack (VRT): Innovating with participants inviting own relatives and friends to play against each other ¾ WorldCup (SBS and VMMa): information (all statistics on soccer teams, players and games) and participation (vote for the best player) ¾ Telenet retains exclusive rights for VOD and interactivity with SBS and VMMa 23 23 iDTV: > LifeTV ¾ New local channel made by proven media professionals ¾ Experiment with new concepts in programming and advertising ¾ First phase focuses on analog launch with the option to expand to rich interactive programming in Q4 2006 ¾ Telenet thereby emphasizes its commitment to partnerships in the media business 24 24 iDTV: > Growing net ARPU is on track Highlights Incremental Net ARPU ¾ Strong uptake of Prime & thematic packages 10 ,0 12 ,5 ¾ Promising uptake of recently launched SVOD 10 ,5 10 ,3 ¾ Strong pick up VOD services Q4 05 B asic C aT V Q1 06 iD T V A R PU ¾ Distribution of higher end Digicorder STB started in January 2006 ¾ Recording function “Flexview” has been activated on April 18 25 25 Triple play: > Good progress % dual and triple play on total new acquisitions Triple Play Long Term Goals 2010 Q1 06 12% 20% 20% 40% 40% 68% Highlights Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 ¾ ~ 25% Dual & Triple play on new acquisitions % triple play subscribers ¾ Triple play strategy well on track % dual play subscribers ¾ iDTV main catalyst for boosting dual and triple play on new acquisitions % single play subscribers 26 26 Telenet Solutions: >Strong sales converted into revenue growth New Sales Highlights ¾ Service portfolio for the fixed line SME market completed: bundled service of Voice & Data ¾ Q1 2006 strongest sales quarter ever ¾ Revenue growth in all segments Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Revenues Telenet Solutions ¾ Competitive pressure remains a consistent factor: ¾ Price erosion levels in line with estimates ¾ Won projects outpace some contracts lost to the competition ¾ Telenet Solutions strong partner for local authorities Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04 Q1 05 Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 ¾ Conversion of orders into revenues will take one to two quarters 27 27 Telenet Solutions: > Sales via Partners is taking off now Evolution in # Partners Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 Evolution Order Intake Partner Channel Q1 06 Q3 05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Key Contributing Partners 28 28 Recent updates: MVNO WiFi Portal Cost to Serve Efficiencies Walloon Cable 9On track for launch this summer 9Wireless Data Division maintains its lead in Belgium with nearly 1100 hotspots activated at the end of Q1 2006 9Total web presence exceeding 250.000 unique visitors per day 9Good progress in lean 6sigma projects resulting in cost efficiencies 9Submitted offer for first round; preparing for second round 29 29 Business environment: > Financial Outlook Revenue Growth 9 Revenues grow by 10-15% (high end) EBITDA 9 EBITDA margin around 42-45% Capital 9 Capital Expenditures between € 190-210 Million Expenditures iDTV Penetration 9 Close to 20% penetration by the end of 2006 30 30