PCC9 - LVMT - Supraways 2015

Transcription

TOWARD A PRT SYSTEM FOR
THE PARIS METROPOLITAN
AREA ?
A FIRST PROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS
Nicolas Coulombel, Fabien Leurent, Shaoqing Wang and Florent Le Néchet (LVMT)
Claude Escala (Supraways)
THE GRAND PARIS EXPRESS TRANSPORTATION MEGAPROJECT
An ambitious transport project at the core of the sustainable development strategy of the Paris region
A megaproject indeed:
o Construction of 205 km of new automated metro lines, with 68 new stations
o Commercial speed: 55 to 60 km/h
o Predicted ridership: 2 million users / day
o Estimated cost: 22.6 billion €
Key objectives:
o Improve travel conditions and reduce car use
o Rebalancing the development of the Paris region
o Combat urban sprawl and agricultural encroachment
o Promote the economic development of the Ile-de-France Region (and of France as a whole)
Introduction
⬤○○
Assessing the potential of PRT
○○○○○○○○○○
Research prospects
○○○
THE LAST MILE ISSUE
The GPE faces a critical challenge: how to efficiently access (egress) the network
o ring route in order to promote suburb-to-suburb travel ⇒ most stations are to be located in medium
density areas
o access by car will be uneasy for most stations : congestion, lack of parking supply
o same for transit: bus planned to serve as the main local feeder system
▪ low to average quality of service (frequency, commercial speed)
A key opportunity for the development of a PRT system?
o providing the GPE with an efficient, short to medium range feeder system
o in case of a suspended system: free vacant land for new real estate development projects
Assessing the potential of
PRT as a feeder
system
for
the GPE
CASE STUDY: THE FUTURE PLEYEL BUSINESS CLUSTER (SAINTDENIS)
STUDY AREA: THE SAINT-DENIS PLEYEL
STATION
Located at the center of the “Culture and
Creation” Cluster
A key multimodal hub for the GPE…
o Junction of 4 lines
o Connection with
▪ RER D (heavy rail): 100m
▪ Metro line 13: 250m
o Predicted patronage: 250 000 users/day
…but in a medium density area (for now)
o only 9 000 inhabitants within a 1 km radius
o for 22 000 jobs
STATION
Creation” Cluster
o Connection with
o for 22 000 jobs
STATION
Creation” Cluster
o Connection with
o for 22 000 jobs
OBJECTIVE & METHODOLOGY
Intermediate research objective: assess the potential of Personal Rapid Transit to serve as a feeder system for
the future Saint-Denis Pleyel multimodal hub
o very preliminary analysis at this stage ⇒ rough design, simple assumptions, …
o assess demand potential under favorable conditions
Methodology
o use of a standard 4-step transport model: MODUS
▪ developed and used by the State regional planning organization (DRIEA – IdF)
▪ separate road & transit assignment models
o refine the Traffic Analysis Zones within a 2.5 km radius around the station
▪ improve the representation of service characteristics at a local scale + choices of destination, mode and route
o design a PRT system that considers local land-use characteristics
o compare the reference scenario (bus) and the project scenario (PRT)
REFINING THE TRAFFIC ANALYSIS ZONES
Study area: 2.5 km disk around the Pleyel station
o 5 municipalities
o 14 TAZ
o 170 000 inhabitants / 130 000 jobs
New division of TAZ
o Zone partitioning based on existing blocks, land-use
characteristics, size of zones, …
o 14 TAZ → 88 micro-zones
Data pretreatment
o data collection at the finest possible scale
o when necessary, disaggregation based on land-use patterns
(using MOS)
POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT PER MICRO-ZONE
OVERVIEW OF THE PRT SYSTEM
Several branches to optimize local coverage
o Total length: 19.6 km
o # of stations: 48
o Average interstation: 350m
Service characteristics
o No stop, all turns possible
o Initial waiting time: 1 minute
o Travel speed: 50 km/h
Fare:
o no fare in the 1st run
o generalized cost analysis to appraise the optimal fare
NETWORK DESIGN
PRELIMINARY RESULTS
: PUBLIC TRANSIT
DEMAND
50% ex-car users
Marginal increase in public transit demand
50% ex-active travelers
Reference scenario (no PRT)
Projet scenario (PRT)
Variation
Day
Private car
Mode share
Daily trips
Mode share
13 137 144.4
35.57%
13 117 207.5
35.51%
- 19 936.9
8 589 867.1
23.25%
8 627 755.7
23.36%
+ 37 888.6
Active modes
15 210 790.4
41.18%
15 192 838.8
41.13%
- 17 951.6
Total
36 937 802.0
100%
36 937 802.0
100%
0
Transit
Peak-hour
Daily trips
Transit
Reference scenario (no PRT)
1 280 256.5
Projet scenario (PRT)
Variation
1 291 554.5
+ 11 298.0
PRELIMINARY RESULTS 2
– PRT USAGE (1)
Total ridership for morning peak hour ≈ 30 000 users ↔ 300 000 P+E
Total VMT ≈ 70 000 pax.km ≈ 1 600 h of vehicle usage (commercial speed + 15%
margin)
Usage and benefits of the PRT system by O-D relation
Travel time
(minutes)
PRT Users
Number
Internal
2 631
Share 10%
No PRT
14.41
PRT
9.38
Distances traveled by mode within the study area
Generalized
cost
(€)
No PRT
5.95
PRT
4.57
Passenger-Kilometers Traveled
Train
RER
Subway
No PRT
PRT
156 871.7 159 368.2
397 931.6
447 721.2 399 413.6
435 486.1 Variation
1.59%
0.37%
-2.73%
Study area → Outside
7 900
30%
36.65
33.73
11.88
11.22
Tramway
21 991.2 15 894.4
-27.72%
Outside→ Study area
14 853
56%
43.24
40.63
13.9
13.24
Bus
42 148.9
24 910.1
-40.90%
1 297
5%
39.79
39.79
12.78
12.78
PRT
X
68
912.3 26 680
Total
1 066 664.6
1 103 948.8
3.50%
Transit
Total
FLOWS
– PRT USAGE (2)
VOLUME OF TRIPS AND PRT SHARE
– EFFICIENCY AS A FEEDER SYSTEM
Usage of the Saint-Denis Pleyel station
160 000
120 000
80 000
40 000
'-
no PRT
Boarding
PRT
Alighting
OPTIMAL FARE
Appraisal based on the analysis of generalized cost savings → Fare = 1.25€ / Revenue =
25 k€
INTERMEDIATE CONCLUSIONS
Promising results
o Preliminary analysis shows latent demand for efficient feeder systems
o Synergy with GPE
Various caveats
o Very optimistic assumptions regarding quality of service ⇒ sensitivity analysis
o Need for cost analysis ⇒ more care in network design
Future works
o Study other stations and compare results
o Finer representation of the network, of vehicle traffic,… → use of PRTSim
Fly in your city
The Supraways project
Partnership with ENPC & LVMT
Confidentiel Copyright © Claude ESCALA
Supraways’ principles
17
Now
17
Now
Small & Fast
17
Now
Small & Fast
Suspended
17
Now
Small & Fast
Suspended
Solar PV
17
Now
Solar PV
Small & Fast
Suspended
People &
Goods
17
Now
Solar PV
Small & Fast
People &
Goods
Suspended
Expertise &
innovation dynamics
17
Methodology & partnerships
Design thinking approach
18
BUSINESS
(Viability)
18
BUSINESS
(Viability)
HUMAN VALUES
(Usability, Desirability
18
BUSINESS
(Viability)
OB = Organizational Behavior
OB
HUMAN VALUES
18
TECHNOLOGY
BUSINESS
(Feasibility)
(Viability)
OB
HUMAN VALUES
18
TECHNOLOGY
BUSINESS
(Feasibility)
(Viability)
D&I
OB
D&I = Design & Interactivity
HUMAN VALUES
18
M = Manufacturing
TECHNOLOGY M
BUSINESS
(Feasibility)
(Viability)
D&I
OB
HUMAN VALUES
18
M = Manufacturing
TECHNOLOGY M
BUSINESS
(Feasibility)
(Viability)
DI
D&I
OB
HUMAN VALUES
DI = Design Innovation
18
19
TARGET
Transportation needs
Economical viability
Financial capacity
Right partnerships
19
TARGET
UNDERSTAND
Social values
Social acceptance
Financial capacity
Societal impact
Right partnerships
Political interest
19
TARGET
UNDERSTAND
DEMONSTRATE
Social values
Technical feasibility
Social acceptance
Environmental impact
Financial capacity
Societal impact
Architecture design
Right partnerships
Political interest
Security & Safety
19
design th
inking
20
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
design th
inking
20
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
design th
inking
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
20
design th
inking
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
20
design th
inking
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
20
design th
inking
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
En
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
gin
eer
ing
&M
kg
20
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
design th
inking
En
Operation
&
Maintenance
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
gin
eer
ing
&M
kg
20
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
design th
inking
En
Operation
&
Maintenance
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
Manufacturing
gin
eer
ing
&M
kg
20
Strategy
Business
model
design th Fund raising
inking
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
En
Operation
&
Maintenance
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
Manufacturing
gin
eer
ing
&M
kg
20
Strategy
Business
model
inking
a
n
i
F
Te
rri
to
r
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
En
e
nc
Operation
&
Maintenance
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
Manufacturing
gin
eer
ing
&M
kg
20
le
s
Transport modeling
External benefits
Limits
Strategy
Business
model
inking
a
n
i
F
Te
rri
to
r
Sa
y
Infractructure
Acceptability
Urban
insertion
En
e
nc
Operation
&
Maintenance
Technology
Prototype
Demonstrator
Manufacturing
gin
eer
ing
&M
kg
20
The Grand Paris Express project
Plan : © Société du Grand Paris ; images de synthèses de divers cabinets d’architectes
21
21
22
GPE
case
22
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
Tr
a
GPE
case
22
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
Tr
a
GPE
case
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
22
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
Tr
a
GPE
case
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
22
Tr
a
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
GPE
case
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
Am
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
bi
an
c
& ea
m na
od ly
el sis
in
g
22
Tr
a
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
GPE
case
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
Multi-modal
modeling
Am
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
bi
an
c
& ea
m na
od ly
el sis
in
g
22
Tr
a
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
GPE
case
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
ENSA VT
y
lit
i
ab
pt
e
cc dy
A tu
s
Multi-modal
modeling
Am
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
bi
an
c
& ea
m na
od ly
el sis
in
g
22
Tr
a
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
GPE
case
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
re &
u
t
c
e
t
i
Arch ism study
urban
pt
e
cc dy
A tu
s
Multi-modal
modeling
ENSA VT
y
lit
i
ab
Am
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
bi
an
c
& ea
m na
od ly
el sis
in
g
22
Tr
a
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
GPE
case
Des
Des ign Th
ink
ign
ing
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
M
re &
u
t
c
e
t
i
Arch ism study
urban
pt
e
cc dy
A tu
s
Multi-modal
modeling
ENSA VT
y
lit
i
ab
Am
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
bi
an
c
& ea
m na
od ly
el sis
in
g
22
ffi
& c an
m al
od ys
el is
in
g
el
in
sis
y
l
na ling
a
l
a ode
c
i
an & m
h
c
e
g
Des
Des ign Th
ink
ign
ing
Tr
a
od
m
ss
ne gy
s i a te
Bu str
&
GPE
case
M
re &
u
t
c
e
t
i
Arch ism study
urban
pt
e
cc dy
A tu
s
Multi-modal
modeling
ENSA VT
y
lit
i
ab
Am
Energy
analysi
& mode s
ling
bi
an
c
& ea
m na
od ly
el sis
in
g
22
Q&A
23

PCC9 - LVMT - Supraways 2015

Transcription

Similar documents

Talk of the Town

Revista

LE BON TUYAUX

Professional DriversHave THeir

September - SACXS Home

FORESTRY INDABA 2010

château pierre bise coteaux du layon beaulieu

Collaborative partnerships with families