Kaha Hill torrent Feasibility Report Pakistan
Transcription
Kaha Hill torrent Feasibility Report Pakistan
I SI, AM IC REPUBLIC OF PAKISTAN CHIEF ENGINEERING ADVISER/ CHAIRMAN FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION ISLAMABAD , . '<JUL KHALIQ Enginecr, NESPAK - (W & A) FLOOD PROTECTION u W W % NATIONAL ENGINEERING SERVICES • • M S PAKISTAN (PVT.) LIMITED WmW* 417WAPDAHOUSELAHOREPAKISTAN IN ASSOCIATION WITH UARZA ENGINEERING COMPANY 233 - SOUTH WACKER DRIVE ClIICA GO ILLINOIS- USA ZAFAR AND ASSOCIATES 4 - MAQBOOL CO-OPERATTVE HOUSING SOCIETY-KARACHI ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF PAKISTAN CHIEF ENGINEERING ADVISER/ CHAIRMAN FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION ISLAMABAD '<JUL KHAUQ Engineeir, NESPAK - (W & A) FLOOD PROTECTION U H O R E i U.S.S.R} Cu. SECTOR PROJECT FEASIBILITY STUDIES FOR FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT LOAN NO. 837 - PAK (SF) Kil NATIONAL ENGINEERING SERVICES • n m S PAKISTAN (PVT.) LIMITED WmWf* 417-WAPDAHOUSELAHOREPAKISTAN IN ASSOCIATION WITH UARZA ENGINEERING COMPANY 233 - SOUTH WACKER DRIVE CHICAGOILLINOIS-USA ZAFAR AND ASSOCIATES 4 - MAQBOOL CO-OPERATTVE HOUSING SOCIETY-KARACHI. NESPAK/HARZA/Z & A CONSULTANTS FOR FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT 11 Aibak Block, New Garden Town, Lahore Ph: 858311, 858712, 853228-30 Telex: 44730 NESPAK PK. Telefax: (042) 306623 PPP riATP Maren 3 1 . 1990. W&A/J-1005/187/25n3 The Chief Engineer (Floods), F e d e r a l Flood C o m m i s s i o n , 16-D East (Safdar Mansion), Blue Area, Islamabad. \ FLOOD P R O T E C T I O N SECTOR PROJECT F E A S I B I L I T Y STUDIES FOR FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF K A H A H I L L T O R R E N T Dear Sir , We t a k ë p l e a s u r e in t r a n s m i t t i n g f i n a l F e a s i b i l i t y R e p o r t f o r F l o o d Management of K a h a Hill T o r r e n t . T h e r e p o r t h a s b e e n f i n a l i z e d in the l i g h t of comments r e c e i v e d from F F C a n d t h e A s i a n D e v e l o p m e n t B a n k a n d t h e d i s c u s s i o n s h e l d w i t h A D B mission o n 6th M a r c h 1990. K a h a w h i c h is t h e b i g g e s t among t h e D . G . K h a n H i l l T o r r e n t s , i s located o n the w e s t e r n side of D . G . K h a n , t h r e e - f o u r t h of w h i c h lies i n B a l o c h i s t a n P r o v i n c e while r e m a i n i n g f al Is i n P u n j a b . It has the maximum flood damage h a z a r d a n d a large d e v e l o p m e n t p o t e n t i a l if p r o p e r l y m a n a g e d . T h e report describes the flood problem in p e r s p e c t i v e , hydrometeorological studies carried o u t , planning s t r a t e g y , a n d various alternatives for flood management with t h e i r cost e s t i m a t e s . A n a l y s i s of the p r e c i p i t a t i o n s h o w s t h a t the amount of r a i n f a l l a n d i t s a r e a l d i s t r i b u t i o n are both u n f a v o u r a b l e f o r s u s t a i n e d a g r i c u l t u r e . A n n u a l r a i n f a l l is l o w , u n c e r t a i n a n d p a t c h y . H o w e v e r , s u d d e n cloud b u r s t s in the u p p e r catchment often generate s h o r t l i v e d h i g h p e a k e d floods which r e s u l t in h e a v y m o n e t a r y losses in t h e d o w n s t r e a m a r e a s c o u p l e d with loss of human l i f e . Floodflows f r e q u e n t l y s h a t t e r t h e economy of the a r e a . Thus, harnessing of t h e hill t o r r e n t i s u r g e n t l y c a l l e d •• f o r not only to s a f e g u a r d the people a g a i n s t f r e q u e n t o n s l a u g h t of t h e h i l l t o r r e n t , b u t also to u t i l i z e the f l o o d f l o w s f o r t h e development of p l a n n e d a g r i c u l t u r e in t h e Kaha B a s i n . (Contd...P/2) NESPAK 11 Aibak Block, New Garden Town, Ph: 858311, 858712, 853228-30 Telex: 44730 N E S P A K PK. Telefax: (042) 306623 H A R Z A LIAISON OFFICE 17-E/2 Gulberg III P.O.Box 267 Lahore-Pakistan Ph:877936 ZAFAR AND ASSOCIATES 4-Maqbool Coop, Housing Society Karachi 2!) Ph: 433558 T h e following f o u r d i f f e r e n t s t r u c t u r a l a l t e r n a t i v e s have been c o n s i d e r e d for optimal management of d e s i g n f l o o d . These are shown i n E x h i b i t T - 1 . and are summarised a s : Alternative 1. Disposal to Indus cross-drainage Cost through R s 563 million Dajal B r a n c h T e c h n i c a l l not feasible 2. Disposal t h r o u g h 3. Disposal to I n d u s b y Channelization along r i g h t bank of Dajal B r a n c h R s 405 million Management in s u b - m o u n t a i n and P a c h a d A r e a R s 190 million A l t e r n a t i v e - 2 was not c o n s i d e r e d for f u r t h e r c o n s i d e r a t i o n , because it was not t e c h n i c a l l y f e a s i b l e . A l t e r n a t i v e - 1 a n d 3 have been s t u d i e d in more detail t e c h n i c a l l y a n d f i n a n c i a l l y . A l t e r n a t i v e - 1 not only has p r o h i b i t i v e cost b u t also has a d i s a d v a n t a g e that it t r a n s f e r s the flood h a z a r d from Pachad area to the area of its d i s p o s a l point i n t o the I n d u s . In a d d i t i o n , it s q u a n d e r s the p r e c i o u s water w h i c h is d i r e l y needed for f e r t i l e but t h i r s t y l a n d s i n Pachad area of P u n j a b a n d d r o u g h t s t r i c k e n s u b - m o u n t a i n o u s r e g i o n in B a l o c h i s t a n . A l t e r n a t i v e - 3 t h o u g h c o m p a r a t i v e l y less e x p e n s i v e than a l t e r n a t i v e - 1 also does not f a l l in line with our p l a n n i n g s t r a t e g y that floodflows s h o u l d be tamed a n d u t i l i z e d for the b e n e f i t s of the area r a t h e r than s c a r i n g them off into t h e I n d u s . A l t e r n a t i v e - 4 , the recommended a l t e r n a t i v e , h a s been p r e p a r e d not only to p r o t e c t the area from the r e c u r r i n g flood d a m a g e s , but also to p r o v i d e maximum socio-economic b e n e f i t s to t h e local people. T h e cost of the a l t e r n a t i v e is low a n d has f a r r e a c h i n g e f f e c t s . Salient features of the recommended a l t e r n a t i v e a r e h i g h l i g h t e d in E x h i b i t T - 2 . A n a l y s i s of agronomic data of K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t B a s i n for the last few y e a r s h a v e shown a vast v a r i a t i o n in terms of c r o p p e d area i . e . , r a n g i n g from 670 h e c t a r e s (ha) to about 5,800 h a . A v e r a g e annual c r o p p e d area under p r e - p r o j e c t c o n d i t i o n is about 2,900 h a w i t h a c r o p p i n g i n t e n s i t y of 8 p e r c e n t . With r e g u l a t i o n of flood s u p p l i e s u n d e r the p o s t - p r o j e c t c o n d i t i o n s , the average a n n u a l c r o p p e d area w o u l d i n c r e a s e to about 20,440 h a . H o w e v e r , in the y e a r of d e s i g n f l o o d , (25 y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d ) about 51,200 ha would come u n d e r i r r i g a t i o n r a i s i n g the c r o p p i n g i n t e n s i t y to 87 p e r c e n t . The net average annual a g r i c u l t u r a l b e n e f i t s have been estimated as Rs 14.72 m i l l i o n . In a d d i t i o n , a v e r a g e annual b e n e f i t s a c c r u i n g from the incremental safety to c a n a l s y s t e m , i n f r a s t r u c t u r e and c r o p p e d a r e a , work out to be R s 19.08 m i l l i o n . Summed total a n n u a l b e n e f i t s aggregate to Rs 33.80 m i l l i o n . (Contd.. .P/3) E s t i m a t e d cost of the p r o p o s e d p l a n comes to Rs 190 m i l l i o n . Economie e v a l u a t i o n i n d i c a t e s . that the p l a n , if implemented as p r o p o s e d , w o u l d c o r r e s p o n d to an I h t e r n a l Rate of R e t u r n ( I R R ) of 17 p e r c e n t which is r e a s o n a b l y above the o p p o r t u n i t y c o s t . T h u s , the w o r k s p r o p o s e d in the p l a n are t e c h n i c a l l y feasible and r e p r e s e n t an economically v i a b l e solution to the p r o b l e m . We t r u s t that t h i s R e p o r t would meet y o u r k i n d a p p r o v a l . The proposed p l a n s if implemented would go a l o n g way in s o l v i n g the long o u t s t a n d i n g r e q u i r e m e n t s of the area and u s h e r i n g in a new e r a of economie p r o s p e r i t y for the p é o p l e . A s s u r i n g y o u of our best s e r v i c e s at all times, we r e m a i n . for Yours faithfully, National E n g i n e e r i n g S e r v i c e s P a k i s t a n ( P v t ) L t d . (S. A. BHATTI) Project Manager Encl: As a b o v e . FLOOD. MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVE.S S C O S T S - K A H A HILL. TORRENT: FLOOD P E A K 2 , 5 6 2 CUMECS vRECOMMENOEDy .STRATEGY/ ( 9 4 0 0 0 Cfi) 25-YEAR OISPOSAL TO IN0US THROUGH CROSS ORAINAGE WORKS 2,343 CUMECS DISPOSAL THROUGH OAJAL BRANCH 2,343 CUMECS ESTIMATED COST 563 NOT FEASIBLE-NOT EVALUATED MILLION RETURN PERIOO DISPOSAL TO INOUS OF 3ALANCE PEAK 2,343 CUMECS 3Y CHANNELiZATION ALONG RIGHT BANK OF DAJAL BRANCH 'MANAGEMENT OF BALANCE PEAK 2662 CUMECS IN SUB-MOUNTAIN ANO PACHAD A R E A TOTAL ESTIMATED COST Rs.l90.2S MILLION TOTAL ESTIMATED COST 4 0 5 . MILLION MANAGEMENT IN SUB-MOUNTAINOUS REGION (UPPER CATCHMENT IN 8AL0CHISTAN) 566 CUMECS ESTIMATED COST Rs. SO-OO MILLION AD0IT10NAL H.T. CROSSING ON DAJAL BRANCH R . D 9 9 - I 0 0 142 CUMECS CONSTRUCTING DRAIN ANO OUTFALL 1473.0 CUMECS STRENGTHENING RIGHT BANK OF DAJAL BRANCH ANO PROVIQING PROTECTION TO EXISTING H.T CROSSINGS OF CAPACITY 72 8 CUMECS TWO EXISTING STRUCTURES 85 CUMECS SIX EXISTING STRUCTURES AFTER MAJOR REPAIR WORKS 255 CUMECS FOUR NEW STRUCTURES AT APPROPRIATE LOCATIONS 2 2 6 CUMECS BALANCE REACHING PACHAD AREA 1777 CUMECS N O O R WAH OISPERSIOM MOHAMMAO WAH O I S P E R S I O M SAO A U F DISPERSION SYSTEM SYSTEM SYSTEM 74 C U M E C S 132 C U M E C S 331 C U M E C S 1473 CUMECS'' '1142 CUMECS C H A T O O L WAH O I S P E R S I O M SYSTEM 326 CUMECS L A S H A R I WAH D I S P E R S I O H SlOGAH WAH O I S P E R S I O M SYSTEM SYSTEM 39-1 C U M E C S 473 C U M E C S 319 AOOITIONAL H.T. CROSSING FOR 1616 CUMECS D A J A L BRANCH SIX EXISTING H.T. CROSSINGS 727 CUMECS . D A J A L BRANCH, 1474 CUMECS RIGHT BANK DRAIN f 728 CUMECS f t r DAJAL DAJAL BRANCH BRANCH OAJAL BRANCH t^H-T. CROSSING OF AGGREGATE CAPACITY 778 CUMECS •«LEFT BANK ORAIN TECHNICALLY NOT FEASIBLE — INADEQUATE CAPACITY OF CARRYING CHANNEL -HIGH SILT — REGULATION CONSTRAINTS EXHIBIT T-l MAP OF D.S.KHAN--HILL TORRENTS . . SAL1ENT FEATURES OF KAHA BASif MAP OF K A H A BAS1N WIN F A U . PATTERN MAXIMUM R A I N F A L L S C A L E i I*? 2 Z - S 5 . Mll«« IN H M _ ( I N C H E S ) - - "'1-DAY 71.17 7-OAY 15-OAY 1-rtOHTH NO. ~ 287.78 (11.33) 352.31 (13.£9) 10 ONE CUMECS SUPPLY. M A X I M U M AHNUAL RUN-OFF. A V E R A S E ANNUAL RUN-OFF. PEAK D I S C H A R G E S F O R RETURN | (35 CFS) 130,190 HA-METER 91,500 HA-METER PERIODS 2 5 - YEAR 2,660 CUMECS(94,000 CFS) 10 - YEAR 2 * 2 1 0 CUMECS<79,160 C F S ) 5 - YEAR 1,860 2.33 - YEAR 1,400 CUMECS(49,420 CFS) H I L L TORRENT CANAL , 2.92) ( 8.97) OF R A I H GAUSE STATIONS. PERENN1AL t 227.84 CUMECS(65,810 C F S ) i CROSSING CAPACITY B I D A J A L BRANCH 79+700 2 8 3 CUMECS D A J A L BRANCH 95+280 2 0 CUMECS D A J A L BRANCH 109+770 2 8 CUMECS D A J A L BRANCH 123+650 1 4 1 CUMECS ( 5,000 CFS) D A J A L BRANCH 115+760 1 9 8 CUMECS ( 7,000 CFS) D A J A L BRANCH 165+760 ( 1 0 , 0 0 0 CFS) ( 7 0 0CFS) ( 1,000 CFS) 5 7 CUMECS ( 2 , 0 0 0 C F S ) CATCHflBIT CHARACTERISTICS LEGEND HILL MAJOR TRIBUTARIES TORRENT ROAD METALLED : PROVINCE BOUNOARY — — C A T C H M E N T BOUNDARY • EXISTING STRUCTURE • - CATCHMENT AREA, sa.KM. RAKHNI NALLAH AFTER I,684 S 15.24 10.82 9 13.67 9.11 PHILAKAGH NALLAH 1,018 6 11.76 9.84 KAHA NALLAH 1,153 10 7.44 «.96 5,720 PARAMETERS UANACEMENT S T A T I S T I C S OF C U L T U R A B L E RETURN PERIOO 1.11 - TEAR "HH PHOJETT » PERCENT S - YEAR 10 - YEAR «1 P E R C E N T 2$ - YEAR tl 57 P E R C E N T PERCENT OISCOUNTED AREA INTENSITY VtrlIHüUT PHUJECT • PERCENT 21 P E R C E N T n PERCENT IS P E R C E N T OESCRIPTION PARAMETERS 10 BENEFITS OISCOUNTED COSTS NET PRESENT 51.518 ABOVE DARRAH 21,663 BELOW OARRAH - 36.25J BENEFIT/COST 20 25 170 55 112.63 78.96 171.75 150. 25 131.95 122.96 20. 20 -22.32 -««.00 0.83:1 0.M:1 WORTH 108.36 RATIO 1.63:1 INTERNAL RATE OF R E T U R N 15 230.11 AREA IN HECTARES C U L T U R A B L E AREA T I M E TO PEAK, KOURS 1,365 ECONOMIC INTENSITY TIH£ OF COMCENTRATION, KOURS GAKD NALLAH TOTAL: CROPPING AVERAGE SLOPE. METER/KM 1.13 : i 17 38 P E R C E N T EXHIBIT T - 2 LUXÜUir--- ! C O N T E N T S SECTION - 1 INTRODUCTION 1-1 SECTION - 2 P R O J E C T AREA 2. 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 LOCATION AND E X T E N T PHYSIOGRAPHY CLIMATE ECONOMY HYDROLOGIC BASINS EXISTING SITUATION DATA COLLECTION General Precipitation Records Surface R u n - O f f Records Previous Reports & Plans MEETINGS AND FIELD VISITS Federal M i n i s t r y of Water a n d Power I r r i g a t i o n & Power D e p a r t m e n t Government I r r i g a t i o n & Power D e p a r t m e n t Government \ of P u n j a b of B a l o c h i s t a n 2- 1 2- 1 2-2 2- 2 2- 1 2- 5 2-6 2- 6 2- 6 2- 7 2- 7 2-10 2-10 2-10 2-10 SECTION - 3 F L O O D P R O B L E M IN P E R S P E C T I V E 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 3 3 1 3 2 3 .3 3 1 3 5 3 6 3 7 3 8 3 .9 3 10 '1 3 4 1 3 4 2 3 4 2.1 3 '1 2.2 N A T U R E A N D S E V E R I T Y OF F L O O D S SPECIFIC FLOOD PROBLEMS PAST FLOOD E V E N T S 1967 Flood 1 973 Flood 1975 Flood 1976 Flood 1977 Flood 1978 Flood 1979 Flood 1986 Flood 1989 Flood Ecological Imbalance EXISTING/PROPOSED FLOOD PROTECTION WORKS A N D T H E I R E V A L U A T I O N General Evaluation of Flood Management Scheme Balochistan Province R a k h n i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme Seakle I r r i g a t i o n Scheme 3- 1 3- 3 3- 4 3- 6 3- 8 3- 8 3-11 3-1 1 3-12 3-12 3-13 3-14 3-15 3-16 3-16 3-17 3-17 3-20 3.4.2.3 3.4.2.4 3.4.3 3.4.3.1 3.4.3.2 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.1.1 4.2.1.2 4.2.1.3 4.2.1.4 4.2.1.5 4.3 4.3.1 4.3.2 4.3.3 4.4 4.5 4.5.1 4.5.2 4.5.3 4.5.4 4.5.5 4.5.6 4.5.7 4.5.8 4.6 4.7 4.8 C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme C h u r r i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n E v a l u a t i o n of F l o o d Management Scheme Punjab P r o v i n c e Lashari C r o s s - S t r u c t u r e Ciwaz Wah C r o s s - S t r u c t u r e SECTION - 4 HYDROMETEOROLOCICAL EVALUATION A V A I L A B I L I T Y OF D A T A Precipitation Records D i s c h a r g e and R u n - o f f D a t a S T R E A M FLOW D A T A A N A L Y S I S Frequency Analysis Selection of Data S e r i e s S y n t h e t i c C e n e r a t i o n of S t r e a m Flow Data Gumbel or T y p e - I E x t r e m a l D i s t r i b u t i o n Log-Pearson T y p e - l i l Distribution Selection of F r e q u e n c y D i s t r i b u t i o n PRECIPITATION DATA ANALYSIS Rainfall Pattern and Distribution D e s i g n Storm E v a l u a t i o n of H y d r o l o g i e P a r a m e t e r s Related to P r e c i p i t a t i o n and C a t c h m e n t C h a r a c t e r i s t i c s E S T I M A T I O N OF H Y D R O L O G I C P A R A M E T E R S RELATED TO C A T C H M E N T C H A R A C T E R ISTICS S E L E C T I O N OF M E T H O D O L O G Y F O R D E T E R M I N A T I O N OF D E S I G N H Y D R O G R A P H Size Time of C o n c e n t r a t i o n Time to Peak Time of R e c e s s i o n Unit Storm D u r a t i o n Peak Rate of Flow Determination of Unit H y d r o g r a p h Flood H y d r o g r a p h s RATIONAL FORMULA S E L E C T I O N OF D E S I G N H Y D R O G R A P H RUNOFF 3-25 3-28 3-28 3-29 3-32 •*> • \ • 4- 1 4- 2 4-2 4- 6 4- 7 4-7 4-8 4-9 4-13 4-15 4-20 4-20 4-24 4-25 4-26 4-28 4-32 4-33 4-33 4-33 4-34 4-34 4-34 4-35 4-35 4-44 4-46 14,47 SECTION - 5 M A N A G E M E N T OF F L O O D WATER 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.3.1 5.3.1.1 5.3.1.2 GENERAL PLANNING STRATEGY AND OBJECTIVES M A N A G E M E N T OF F L O O D F L O W S T H R O U G H NON-STRUCTURAL MEASURES Watershed Management A f f o r e s t a t i o n in M o u n t a i n e o u s R e g i o n s Development of P a s t u r e s in Sub-mountaineous Regions 5- 1 5- 1 5-4 5- 5 5- 6 5- 8 5.1 5.4.1 5.4.2 5.4.2.1 5.4.2.2 5.4.2.3 5.4.2.4 5.4.3 5.4.3.1 5.4.4 5.4.4.1 5.4.4.2 5.4.5 5.4.6 M A N A G E M E N T OF F L O O D F L O W S T H R O U G H S T R U C T U R A L MEASURES General Flood Management S t r a t e g i e s D i s p o s a l to I n d u s R i v e r t h r o u g h A q u e d u c t s and D r a i n s ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 1 ) D i s p o s a l T h r o u g h Dajal B r a n c h ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 2 ) D i s p o s a l / C h a n n e l i z a t i o n of F l o o d f l o w s to I n d u s R i v e r a l o n g R i g h t B a n k of C a n a l s ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 3 ) Flood Management T h r o u g h D i s p e r s i o n / D e t e n t i o n Structures ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 4 ) Recommended S t r a t e g y f o r F l o o d Management C o m p a r i s o n of A l t e r n a t i v e s Proposed Measures Flood Management in M o u n t a i n e o u s R e g i o n Flood Management in P a c h a d A r e a Design Parameters Recommended S e q u e n c e of C o n s t r u c t i o n 5^1 5-11 5-12 5-12 5H3 5-20 5-21 5-25 5-26 5-27 5-28 5-32 5-39 5-40 SECTION - 6 A G R I C U L T U R E AND ECONOMIC E V A L U A T I O N 6.1 6.1.1 6.1.2 6.1.3 6.1.4 6.1.5 6.1.6 6.2 6.2.1 6.2.2 6.2.2.1 6.2.2.2 6.2.3 6.2.4 6.3 6.3.1 6.3.1.1 6.3.1.2 6.3.1.3 6.3.2 6.3.3 6.3.4 6.3.5 6.3.6 6.3.7 PRESENT AGRICULTURE General Soils a n d L a n d Use Irrigation Practices C r o p p i n g and Production Farm P r a c t i c e s Integration with Livestock FUTURE AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT Potential for Development Future Cropping Pattern 'Without' Project 'With' P r o j e c t Crop Yields and Production Cultural Practices ECONOMIC E V A L U A T I O N Project B e n e f i t s B e n e f i t s Due to Increase i n A g r i c u l t u r e P r o d u c t i o n B e n e f i t s D u e to S a v i n g of F l o o d Damages Summary of B e n e f i t s Project Economie C o s t s D i s c o u n t e d C a s h Flow Economie F e a s i b i l i t y Sensitivity Analysis Switching Values S o c i o - E c o n o m i c Impact -in- 6- 1 6-1 6- 1 6- 2 6- 2 6- 5 6~ 6 6- 6 6- 6 6- 7 6- 7 6- 9 6-11 6-15 6-14 6-15 6-15 6-16 6-33 6-34 6-34 6-34 6-38 6-39 6-39 L I S T OF T A B L E S 2.1 PRECIPITATION 3.1 , L I S T OF B R E A C H E S T O DG K H A N C A N A L S Y S T E M 1.1 L I S T OF R A I N G A U G E S T A T I O N S IN DG K H A N AND A D J O I N I N G A R E A S Y N T H E T I C G E N E R A T I O N OF MISSING S T R E A M FLOW DATA C U M U L A T I V E MAXIMUM PEAK D I S C H A R G E ANNUAÜ M A X I M U M F L O O D F R E Q U E N C Y A N A L Y S I S GUMBEL D I S T R I B U T I O N R E S U L T S SKEW C U R V E F A C T O R S - K - FOR USE WITH LOG PEARSON TYPE-I11 D I S T R I B U T I O N . FLOOD F R E Q U E N C Y A N A L Y S I S LOG P E A R S O N T Y P E - l l l D I S T R I B U T I O N LOG P E A R S O N T Y P E - l l l D I S T R I B U T I O N R E S U L T S FLOOD PEAK WORKED OUT BY VICTOR MOCKUS METHOD FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H V A L U E OF R U N O F F C O Ë F F I C I Ë N T , C , FOR D I F F E R E N T K I N D S OF SOIL 1.2 1.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 RECORD & DURATION 2- 9 3- 5 A L T E R N A T I V E No.1 - L I S T OF C R E O S S - D R A I N A G E WORKS A N D T H E I R E S T I M A T E D C O S T S A L T E R N A T I V E N O . 3 - L I S T OF C R O S S - D R A I N A G E WORKS A N D T H E I R E S T I M A T E D C O S T S L I S T OF WAHS AND T H E I R C A P A C I T Y A F T E R PROPOSED UPGRADING O V E R A L L P L A N FOR F L O O D M A N A G E M E N T IN P A C H A D A R E A PROPOSED WORKS A N D E S T I M A T E D C O S T S P R E S E N T C R O P P I N G P A T T E R N AND I N T E N S I T I E S PRESENT CROP A R E A , P R O D U C T I O N AND YIELD F U T U R E C R O P P P I N G I N T E N S I T I E S WITH A V A I L A B L E I R R I G A T I O N S U P P L I E S FOR D I F F E R E N T H I L L T O R R E N T S OF P R O J E C T A R E A F U T U R E C R O P P I N G P A T T E R N UNDER ' W I T H ' A N D PROJECT AGAINST V A R I O U S RETURN PERIOD I N C R E M E N T A L P R O D U C T I O N IN P R O J E C T A R E A NET R E T U R N P E R H E C T A R E WITH P R O J E C T AGRICULTURAL BENEFITS AGAINST VARIOUS RETURN PERIODS E S T I M A T I O N OF A V E R A G E A N N U A L AGRICULTURAL BENEFITS ECONOMIC C R O P P R O D U C T I O N BUDGET ( R S / H A ) FOR I R R I - 6 P A D D Y 1- 3 4-10 4-14 4-16 4-19 4-21 4-22 4-35 4-36 4-37 4-38 4-39 4-45 5-15 5-23 5-33 5-36 5-45 6- 4 6- 4 6- 8 'WITHOUT' 6-10 6-12 6-17 6-18 6-20 6-23 6 10 6 11 6 12 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 13 14 16 17 18 19 20 21 ECONOMIC CROP PRODUCTION BUDGET ( R S / H A ) FOR S E E D C O T T O N ECONOMIC CROP PRODUCTION BUDGET ( R S / H A ) FOR K H A R I F F O D D E R ( F R E S H ) ECONOMIC CROP PRODUCTION BUDGET ( R S / H A ) FOR S U G A R C A N E FLOOD DAMAGE ESTIMATE C O M P U T A T I O N OF A V E R A G E A N N U A L D A M A G E S PROJECT BENEFITS DISCOUNTED COSTS DISCOUNTED BENEFITS D I S C O U N T E D C A S H FLOW OF N E T B E N E F I T S ECONOMIC P A R A M E T E R S R E S U L T S OF S E N S I T I V I T Y A N A L Y S I S 6- 24 6- 25 6-•26 6--27 6-•31 6--33 6--35 6--36 6--37 6--38 6--39 L I S T OF F I G U R E S Fig.1.1 L A N D USE MAP OF D . G . K H A N RAJANPUR DISTRICTS AND S Y N T H E T I C G E N E R A T I O N OF MISSING S T R E A M FLOW D A T A F i g . 4 . 2 A N N U A L MAXIMUM F L O O D F R E Q U E N C Y A N A L Y S I S Fig.4.3 DISCHARGE FREQUENCY CURVES Fig.4.4 DISCHARGE FREQUENCY CURVES Fig.4.5 ONE D A Y R A I N F A L L F R E Q U E N C Y C U R V E S F i g . 4 . 6 D E P T H - D U R A T I O N - F R E Q U E N C Y C U R V E S ZONE-III Fig.4.7 I N T A N S I T Y - D U R A T I O N F R E Q U E N C Y C U R V E S ZONE-III F i g . 4 . 8 FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H ( 2 . 3 3 - Y E A R R E T U R N PERIOD) F i g . 4 . 9 FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H { 5 - Y E A R S R E T U R N PERIOD) F i g . 4 . 1 0 FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H (10-YEAR RETURN PERIOD) Fig.4.11 FLOOD H Y D R O G R A P H ( 2 5 - Y E A R R E T U R N PERIOD) 1-3 Fig.1.1 A L T E R N A T I V E NO.1 - D I S P O S A L TO I N D U S T H R O U G H C R O S S - D R A I N A G E WORKS Fig.5.2 AQUEDUCT OVER DISTRIBUTARIES TYPICAL SECTION Fig.5.3 H.T. CROSSING OVER D A J A L B R A N C H TYPICAL SECTIONS F i g . 5 . 4 A L T E R N A T I V E N O . 3 - D I S P O S A L TO INDUS BY CHANNEL1ZATION ALONG RIGHT BANK OF D A J A L C A N A L Fig.5.5 EXISTING AND P R O P O S E D IRRIGATION S C H E M E S IN B A L O C H I S T A N F i g . 5 . 6 FLOOD MANAGEMENT S S C H E M A T I C DIAGRAM IRRIGATION SYSTEM P A C H A D AREA Fig.5.7 DIVERSION S T R U C T U R E S CUIDE BANKS Fig.5.8 DISTRIBUTION/DIVERSION STRUCTURE LAYOUT F i g . 5 . 9 T Y P I C A L C R O S S - S E C T I O N OF D I V E R S I O N WEIR IN U P P E R C A T C H M E N T B A L O C H I S T A N F i g . 5 . 1 0 DESIGN C R I T E R I A FOR G A B I O N AND ROCK SILL Fig.5.11 T Y P I C A L C R O S S - S T R U C T U R E FOR P A C H A D AREA F i g . 5 . 1 2 WAH - I N T A K E S T R U C T U R E IN P A C H A D A R E A 1-12 4-17 4-18 4-23 4-27 4-29 4-30 4-40 4-41 4-42 4-43 Fig.5.1 Fig.6.1 Fig.6.2 Fig.6.3 PRE-PROJECT & POST P R O J E C T AGRICULTURAL BENEFITS-FREQUENCY CURVES A R E A INUNDATION A G A I N S T DESIGN FLOOD P R E - P R O J E C T AND P O S T - P R O J E C T DAMACE-FREQUENCY CURVES LIST OF Exhibit No. 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.2 EXHIBITS Description P R O J E C T L O C A T I O N MAP N A T U R A L WAH S Y S T E M Z O N A L D I S T R I B U T I O N C A T C H M E N T A R E A OF D . G . K H A N HILL T O R R E N T S R A I N AND D I S C H A R G E G A U G E S I T E S IN D . G . K H A N A R E A 5-14 5-18 5-19 5-22 5-31 5-35 5-37 5-38 5-41 5-42 5-43 5-44 6-19 6-22 6-30 GLOSSARY OF ENCHORIAL B U ND WORDS Embankment BUNDED FIELD F i e l d s s u r r o u n d e d b y e a r t h e n embankments (Lath). CHAK Village. CHUR Small h i l l t o r r e n t . DARRAH T h e s i t e or the mouth at w h i c h a t o r r e n t or a Nallah comes out of h i l l s . Below d a r r a h the t o r r e n t f a n s out into d i f f e r e n t b r a n c h e s . CANDAH A n y o b s t r u c t i o n c o n s t r u c t e d a c r o s s the b e d t o r r e n t or its b r a n c h for d i v e r t i n g f l o o d f l o w s . HAQOOQ T h e area or c h a n n e l h a v i n g water r i g h t s on floodflows of hill t o r r e n t s . KALA P e r e n n i a l flow of a hill PANI KAMARA SYSTEM \ of a torrent. A s y s t e m p r e v a l e n t in DG K h a n area where work f o r d i v e r s i o n of floodflows is c a r r i e d out on a s e l f - h e l p b a s i s in a c c o r d a n c e with the s h a r e f i x e d u n d e r Minor C a n a l A c t of 1905. KHARIF Summer C r o p s s t a r t i n g from A p r i l to S e p t e m b e r . K H AD A deep b r a n c h of a h i l l LATH E a r t h e n embankment c o n s t r u c t e d a r o u n d the f i e l d s to h o l d flood water for b a s i n i r r i g a t i o n . torrent. T h e w o r k s c o n s t r u c t e d for d i s t r i b u t i o n of floodflows a c c o r d i n g to s h a r e s of v a r i o u s o f f - t a k e s at any distribution site. MAQASMA B r a n c h of hill t o r r e n t NAIN NON-HAQOOQ T h e area or c h a n n e l h a v i n g no water r i g h t s on flood flows of hill t o r r e n t s . PACHAD It means west side of any r e f e r e n c e l i n e . PACHAD AREA T h e area l y i n g on the w e s t e r n side of the r e f e r e n c e line. In D G K h a n a n d R a j a n p u r d i s t r i c t s , the area l y i n g on the w e s t e r n side of C a n a l System upto the toe of h i l l s is called P a c h a d A r e a . PORA - B r o a d c a s t i n g of s e e d s . R H O D KOHI - Hill t o r r e n t . RABI - Winter C r o p s s t a r t i n g from O c t o b e r to M a r c h . SAD - A small d i v e r s i o n b u n d . SALAli -. A small e m b a n k m e n t . - T h e u p p e r s t r e a m fields on a h i l l t o r r e n t are c a l l e d S a r o p a a n d have p r i o r r i g h t s while the lower f i e l d s are c a l l e d Piana ^and have s e c o n d a r y r i g h t o v e r flood flows. T h i s is a relative term a n d is u s e d f o r all the f i e l d s on a hill t o r r e n t with r e s p e c t to t h e i r location to each o t h e r . SHAKH - A natural channel off-taking TAROR - Flood Water 5AR0PA PIANA flowing down from main hill after breach torrent. of diversion b u n d to a r e a s h a v i n g s e c o n d a r y or no r i g h t . WAH - A natural channel off-taking from b r a n c h / s h a k h . WAHI - A natural channel off-taking from Wah. WAKRA - A n y o b s t r u c t i o n c o n s t r u c t e d in wah or wahi f o r b a s i n i r r i g a t i o n of f i e l d s . FOREWORD AUTHORIZATION P r e p a r a t i o n of t h i s r e p o r t was a u t h o r i z e d u n d e r C o n t r a c t between the F e d e r a l Flood C o m m i s s i o n , M i n i s t r y of Water a n d P o w e r , G o v e r n m e n t of P a k i s t a n , a n d National E n g i n e e r i n g S e r v i c e s P a k i s t a n ( P v t ) L t d . , in association with H a r z a E n g i n e e r i n g C o m p a n y a n d Zafar & A s s o c i a t e s . T h e assignmeht has b e e n f i n a n c e d b y the G o v e r n m e n t of P a k i s t a n t h r o u g h L o a n No.837 - Pak ( S F ) of the A s i a n Development B a n k a n d a d m i n i s t e r e d b y the F e d e r a l Flood C o m m i s s i o n , G o v e r n m e n t of P a k i s t a n . U n d e r the A g r e e m e n t s i g n e d on 5th A p r i l 1989, the C o n s u l t a n t s were commissioned to p r o v i d e E n g i n e e r i n g S e r v i c e s f o r the F l o o d P r o t e c t i o n S e c t o r P r o j e c t P a k i s t a n . F l o o d management of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t is one of the p r o j e c t s for w h i c h e n g i n e e r i n g s e r v i c e s are to be p r o v i d e d by the C o n s u l t a n t s . P R I N C I P A L O U T P U T S C A L L E D FOR C O N S U L T A N C Y SERVICES A R E : T h e C o n s u l t a n t s s h a l l a d v i s e a n d a s s i s t F e d e r a l Flood Commission a n d P r o v i n c i a l I r r i g a t i o n & Power D e p a r t m e n t s ( P I D s ) in c a r r y i n g out the f o l l o w i n g : Prepare Feasibility Table-F; Studies Detail D e s i g n a n d T e n d e r Projects l i s t e d in T a b l e - F ; and PC-ls for Documents of S u b - P r o j e c t s listed in C o r e - P r o j e c t s and S u b - P r o c u r e m e n t of B i d E v a l u a t i o n ; C o n s t r u c t i o n S u p e r v i s i o n of projects; S t a n d a r d i z a t i o n of D e s i g n ; a n d P r e p a r e programme for ' O n the J o b ' t r a i n i n g a n d o v e r s e a s t r a i n i n g for the e n g i n e e r s a n d t e c h n i c i a n s of P I D s , W A P D A a n d Meteorological Department. REPORT LAYOUT T h e r e p o r t has been p r e s e n t e d in s i x s e c t i o n s . S e c t i o n - 1 b r i e f l y outlines the i n t r o d u c t i o n of the p r o j e c t . S e c t i o n - 2 g i v e s the d e s c r i p t i o n of the project area. S e c t i o n - 3 r e l a t e s the flood problems of the area with a b r i e f r u n d o w n of the past h i s t o r i e f l o o d s , e x i s t i n g flood p r o t e c t i o n facilities and t h e i r e v a l u a t i o n . H y d r o m e t e o r o l o g i c e v a l u a t i o n and p r o c e d u r e s for determining flood p e a k s for v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s a n d r u n - o f f are d e s c r i b e d in S e c t i o n - 4 . V a r i o d s a l t e r n a t i v e s for flood management with cost estimates and selection of the recommended alternative have been presented in S e c t i o n - 5 . Recommended s e q u e n c e of c o n s t r u c t i o n a n d s t r u c t u r a l s p e c i f i c a t i o n s are also d e s c r i b e d in this s e c t i o n a l o n g w i t h cost e s t i m a t e s . A g r i c u l t u r e and economie e v a l u a t i o n of the project have been d i s c u s s e d in S e c t i o n - 6 . TABLE - F SUB-PROJECTS Sr. No. REQUIRING FEASIBIL1TY STUDIES Name of the P r o j e c t s 1. R i v e r P r o t e c t i o n - R a v i R i v e r , R a v i S y p h o n to B a l l o k i 2. River Protection Barrage. 3. Correcting Approach - Panjnad Barrage. 4. Correcting Approach - Sidhnai Barrage. 5. R e s e c t i o n i n g of 2nd L i n e B u n d S u k k u r B a r r a g e - K o t r i 6. River Training 7. Bughti 8. K a h a Hill 9. A n y other scheme d e c i d e d b y F e d e r a l Flood C o m m i s s i o n . - Chenab River, Qadirabad Works - K a b u l R i v e r and Swat (Pat F e e d e r ) Hill Barrage. Barrage to Trimmu Barrage. River. Torrents. Torrent. L I S T OF C O R E - P R O J E C T S Name of C o r e - P r o j e c t s 1. Flood Management óf K a l p a n i N a l l a h , Mardan 2. Flood Management (Punjab). 3. Flood Management of C u d u - S u k k u r R e a c h , 4. Flood Management of Quetta C i t y of Trimmu-Panjnad (NWFP). Reach, Chenab Indus R i v e r (Balochistan). River, (Sindh). SECTION - 1 INTRODUCTION F l o o d i n g from h i l l t o r r e n t s in d i f f e r e n t p a r t s of P a k i s t a n c o n s t i t u t e s one of the most s e r i o u s e n v i r o n m e n t a l and economie h a z a r d s . of the settlements of hill torrents torrents Since in t h e s e a r e a s have developed a r o u n d the b a n k s as the rich alluvial soils t r a n s p o r t e d b y the hill onto the p l a i n a r e a s have held much l u r e for the people. the time i m m e m o r i a l , people have been d i v e r t i n g flood flows to their fields b y c o n s t r u c t i n g small d i v e r s i o n b u n d s . bunds adequately d i v e r t flood Most flows These earthen low f l o o d s , b u t g e n e r a l l y fail in case the e x c e e d the manageable limits. In case of b r e a c h e s in the d i v e r s i o n b u n d s , c o n c e n t r a t e d flows move downstream damaging standing It crops, is g e n e r a l l y communication facilities and other infrastructure. b e y o n d the c a p a c i t y of the farmers to these b u n d s d u r i n g t h e f l o o d s e a s o n . reconstruct A major f l o o d , t h u s , d e p r i v e s the f a r m e r s from the s u b s e q u e n t benefits of low floods a l s o . T h e complexity of h i l l t o r r e n t s districts has been p o s i n g a c h a l l e n g e to the i n g e n u i t y of e n g i n e e r s and p l a n n e r s . in the problems in D . G . K h a n and R a j a n p u r Hill t o r r e n t s f l o o d i n g has been the p r i m a r y development of these twp districts. The constraint first major development e f f o r t in t h e s e d i s t r i c t s was initiated by the i n t r o d u c t i o n of weir controlled D.G.Khan Canal constructed. when it Twenty irrigation System s y s t e m in offtaking the from late fifties Taunsa when the Barrage was The c a n a l was h a r d l y in the last phase of c o m p l e t i o n , experienced the first brunt of hill torrents flooding. hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s with an aggregate c a p a c i t y of 2,920 cumecs (103,100 c f s ) w e r e c o n s t r u c t e d d u r i n g c o n s t r u c t i o n stage of the canals. for constructing torrent was flows P a r a d o x i c a l as it the from tantamount to carrying the may s o u n d , no p l a n n i n g was done c h a n n e l s which c o u l d c a n a l c r o s s i n g to shifting of flood the Indus h a z a r d from transfér River. Pachad hill This area to canal irrigated planning areas having has r e s u l t e d in more over damage p o t e n t i a l . 800 b r e a c h e s in canal s y s t e m i n u n d a t i o n of about 300,000 h e c t a r e s (ha) last 15 y e a r s . full benefits These districts of the Half-baked of i r r i g a t e d and area in the have not been able to a c h i e v e the irrigation system, as irrigation losses have a g g r e g a t e d to about R s 1 ,200 million in the recent major f l o o d s . The hill rights torrents exist for are controlled under in T h i s r e d u c t i o n is p r i m a r i l y socio-economic conditions from i r r i g a t i o n Wa^er 276,51 8 h a (683,000 a c r e s ) , but only about 90,000 ha is p r e s e n t l y b e i n g i r r i g a t e d . changes C a n a l Act of 1 905. and to low financial due \ó returns in the P a c h a d a r e a . D . G . K h a n and Rajanpur D i s t r i c t s h a v i n g a p o p u l a t i o n of over two million and c o v e r i n g an a r e a of about 24,000 s q . k m (9,400 s q . m i l e s ) are u n i q u e l y s i t u a t e d as t h e y are b o r d e r e d b y three other p r o v i n c e s of the c o u n t r y . Canal P a r t of the area is i r r i g a t e d t h r o u g h the D . G . K h a n System o f f t a k i n g from the Indus R i v e r at T a u n s a B a r r a g e . T h e canal r u n s almost p a r a l l e l to the r i v e r up to about 112 kilometers (70 miles), where T h e two d i s t r i c t s the stand-point detail). it bifurcates into Dajal Branch and L i n k - H l . c a n be mainly d i v i d e d into t h r e e c a t e g o r i e s from of land use. (F.iguré 1.1 shows Hilly catchments of h i l l t o r r e n t s a g g r e g a t i n g to about million ha ( 2 . 9 area. The second category million acres) catchment million is called acres) forms about 49 p e r c e n t of the c o v e r i n g about 'Pachad' a n d the c a n a l i r r i g a t e d area a n d 0.81 alluvial soils w i t h from Suleiman R a n g e . high million lies between in 1.17 total ha (two the hilly area of D . G . K h a n Canal s y s t e m a n d Indus R i v e r from Ramak to T a u n s a B a r r a g e . rich these areas fertility The area c o m p r i s e s transported by hill torrents P r e s e n t l y in o n l y ten p e r c e n t of this a r e a , t e r r a c e d i r r i g a t i o n is p r a c t i c e d . The t h i r d category roughly covering 0.40 million ha (one million a c r e s ) is commanded by the D . G . K h a n Canal S y s t e m o f f t a k i n g f r o m T a u n s a B a r r a g e . L LOCATICN MAP • +• +• V • KM toovm. " ' '* ^ FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT S I N D LAND USE MAP OF D.G.KHAN AND RAJANPUR DISTRICTS |M*TIOHAL ENSINEERINe S E R V I C E S P A K I S T A N «PVTlLTO LHFJ /* mttitth» HARIA ritt ENOIHEERIHQCOMPANYAHOIAFAW » ASSOCIATES FIG. M 1 Hill t o r r e n t s Rajanpur been have b e e n c a u s i n g damage to a r e a s in D . G . K h a n a n d districts s i n c e the recorded during 1976 a n d 1988. after heavy time immemorial. 1906, 1917, 1929, 1955, Serious efforts flood Heavy floods have 1967, 1973, 1975, for flood p r o t e c t i o n were initiated damages in 1 929 when M r . P . C I e x t o n , the E x e c u t i v e E n g i n e e r , Indus Canal D i v i s i o n was d e p u t e d to s t u d y p r o b l e m a n d pr-opose f l o o d c o n t r o l measures for the a r e a . the measures proposed by him were not then the However, executed because they were b a s e d on^ i n a d e q u a t e g e o h y d r o l o g i c d a t a . Since then, several t e c h n i c a l p r o p o s a l s h a v e b e e n d r a w n - u p in r e s p o n s e to some impeding flood p r o b l e m s at v a r i o u s times and p a r t i a l l y implemented a l s o . T h e r e are more than two h u n d r e d hill t o r r e n t s e m a n a t i n g from the Suleiman R a n g e of w h i c h 13 a r e major. T h e complex n a t u r e of hill t o r r e n t f l o o d i n g w a r r a n t s c o m p r e h e n s i v e s t u d y of hill t o r r e n t flows and thqir analysis. there management based In the view of are a n u m b e r of upon detailed complex n a t u r e alternatives of frequency the flood and risk problem, which r e q u i r e c o m p r e h e n s i v e , t e c h n i c a l a n d economie e v a l u a t i o n before the s e l e c t i o n a n d adoption of a final Plan strategy. (Phase I s e v e r i t y of complexity be NESPAK & II) for in their National F l o o d P r o t e c t i o n Pakistan, highlighted the p r o b l e m of the H i l l T o r r e n t f l o o d i n g s and recommended that due to the of tackled flood as a and high h i g h flood damage p o t e n t i a l , priority issue a n d feasibility the problem studies for management of f l o o d - f l o w s of hill t o r r e n t s be c a r r i e d o u t . Kaha is one of the major hill t o r r e n t s of the a r e a . It r i s e s in the Suleiman R a n g e in the a r e a l y i n g w i t h i n the a d m i n i s t r a t i v e j u r i s d i c t i o n of Balochistan province. from the Suleiman R a n g e , damage p o t e n t i a l . R e p o r t (in Hill four Torrent In Of the 13 major hill torrents emerging Kaha Hill T o r r e n t has the maximum flood 1981, NESPAK p r e p a r e d a Master P l a n n i n g v o l u m e s ) of D . G . K h a n Hill t o r r e n t s in which Kaha was included. Now the F e d e r a l F l o o d C o m m i s s i o n , G o v e r n m e n t of P a k i s t a n has a s k e d N E S P A K / H A R Z A / Z & A to p r e p a r e a feasibility report for f l o o d management of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t p r i o r i t y b a s i s u n d e r the F l o o d P r o t e c t i o n Sector P r o j e c t . has also been highlighted in the T h e Project A s i a n Development Bank Mission R e p o r t of 1 987 a n d has been g i v e n h i g h p r i o r i t y . on (ADB) Irrigation & Power D e p a r t m e n t s , G o v e r n m e n t s of Punjab a n d B a l o c h i s t a n have also shown keen interest in t h e P r o j e c t in view of its h i g h damage h a z a r d a n d e x c e p t i o n a l l y h i g h development p o t e n t i a l . flood It is e x p e c t e d that the P r o j e c t , on c o m p l e t i o n , would help b r i n g about a socio-economic r e v o l u t i o n f o r the locals of the area t h r o u g h p r e v e n t i o n of r e c u r r i n g f l o o d damages a n d b r i n g i n g additional area under flood irrigation. 1-5 SECTION - 2 P R O J E C T AREA 2.1 LOCATION AND E X T E N T K a h a Hill T o r r e n t r i s e s in the Suleiman R a n g e , in the P r o v i n c e of B a l o c h i s t a n , between K o h l u a n d V i t a k r i at an approximate pf 2,050 meters ( 6 , 7 3 0 f e e t ) above mean sea l e v e l ( m s l ) . the Punjab area the of Province near Murunj D.G.Khan Division biggest hill torrent It enters and debouches onto the Pachad at its D a r r a h near of attitude Suleiman R a n g e . Harrand. It Kaha is has a catchment area of about 5,720 s q . k m ( 2, 208 s q . m i l e s ) of w h i c h nearly sq.km sq.miles) (1,718 sq.miles) in P u n j a b . lies in Balochistan a n d 1,269 1,450 s q . k m (490 T h e catchment area lies between latitude 15'N to 30° 21'N a n d l o n g i t u d e 11° 69'N to 05° 7 0 ' N . Mithawan hill t o r r e n t s 29° Sangarh and lie in the n o r t h of K a h a hill t o r r e n t . Dajal B r a n c h lies on the e a s t , D e r a B u g t i D i s t r i c t a n d C h a c h a r hill t o r r e n t , on the s o u t h - w e s t a n d t h e K o h l u D i s t r i c t to the west of the Project area. The D . G . Khan-Loralai Barkhan, Vitakri, Murunj, Highway passes through the area. R a k h a n i , B e w a t t a , M a t , Jamali, C h a c h a a n d R a r k a n are some of the important satellites in the u p p e r a r e a s . T h e people mostly d e p e n d upon meagre s u b s i s t a n c e a g r i c u l t u r e and cattle the raisinc as a way of life. T h e Project area alongwith major t o w n s / v i l l a g e s is s h o w n in E x h i b i t 2 . 1 . 2.2 PHYSIOGRAPHY P h y s i o g r a p h i c a l l y the a r e a c a n be d i v i d e d p r i m a r i l y into three distinct units. area The mountaineous and canal a n d sub-mountaineous irrigated area. The a r e a ; the Pachad mountaineous and s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s area f o r m s part of Suleiman R a n g e w i t h an elevation ranging to more than 2,130 2-1 meters (7,000 feet) a n d lies to the west of the P r o j e c t a r e a . T h e slope of the t e r r a i n a r e a is p r i m a r i l y from h o r t h - w e s t to e a s t . Suleiman and area Range has torrents the been T h e Pachad area is s a n d w i c h e d between Canal formed by Commanded area in the rich from S u l e i m a n R a n g e . time immemorial by alluvial deposits b r o u g h t Basin irrigation constructing south. This by hill is p r a c t i c e d s i n c e bunds around the fields to s t o r e about one to one a n d a half meter of flood w a t e r . T h e t h i r d p h y s i o g r a p h i c u n i t , the c a n a l i r r i g a t e d a r e a (flood p l a i n ) has been f o r m e d , mainly b y t h e sediments deposited b y Indus R i v e r during the sub-recent about O.lm per lying area, running time. This km t o w a r d s s o u t h . of c h a n n e l s c a r s , area has a g e n e r a l slope T h e r e is a c o m p a r a t i v e l y n o r t h to s o u t h in the m i d d l e . of. low The p r e s e n c e old r i v e r s b a r s , meander s c r o l l s and levees are o b s e r v e d in the flood p l a i n . T h e w i d t h of the a r e a v a r i e s f r o m 26 km (16 miles) to 32 km (20 m i l e s ) . 2.3 CLIMATE Climate of the a r e a is a r i d and is c h a r a c t e r i s e d by t h e movement of Monsoon in temperatures cold. summer are and fairly Westerlies high and in winter winter. The t e m p e r a t u r e s are summer biting A v e r a g e a n n u a l r a i n f a l l v a r i e s from about 250mm (10 i n c h e s ) in the extreme s o u t h e r n tip to 380mm (15 i n c h e s ) in the n o r t h - w e s t . Summer r a i n s c o m p r i s e s i x t y the southern part, north-western part. and it (60) p e r c e n t of the annual r a i n f a l l in d e c r e a s e s to about 50 p e r c e n t in the T h e p a t t e r n of r a i n f a l l is e r r a t i c and p a t c h y . Y e a r s of i n t e n s e r a i n f a l l are l i k e l y to be followed b y long s p e l l s of dry years. 2.4 ECONOMY T h e economy of the P r o j e c t a r e a l a r g e l y and livestock. The c r o p p i n g p a t t e r n depends u p o n a g r i c u l t u r e is l a r g e l y c o n t r o l l e d b y the a v a i l a b i l i t y of water a n d mode of i r r i g a t i o n . Lack of f a c i l i t i e s s h o r t a g e of w a t e r and for irrigation infrastructural mass illiteracy are among the c a u s e s of t h e low S t a n d a r d of l i v i n g f o r the g r e a t e r part of the p o p u l a t i o n a n d are the main c o n s t r a i n t s to the d e v e l o p - ment of the a r e a . Pachad area is arid and sparsely vegetated where agricultural p r o d u c t i o n is d e p e n d e n t on f l o o d i r r i g a t i o n or soil moisture r e t e n t i o n . Only a small p a r t of the r a i n f a l l in the catchment area is utilized for a g r i c u l t u r e , while a major p r o p o r t i o n of it causes s e r i o u s damage in the upper command area by flooding catchments of the hill agricultural area. according products seeds to the as it torrents C r o p p i n g intensity extent makes its to flow way from across the the main in P a c h a d area v a r i e s g r e a t l y and frequency of floodings. The main in the canal i r r i g a t e d area are c o t t o n , r i c e , wheat and oil whereas sorghum, wheat, pulses, oil seeds a n d livestock (meat and wool) are of the P a c h a d a r e a . In the absence of o r g a n i z e d and developed a g r i c u l t u r e in the P a c h a d area, livestock farm families. and its raising This is is contribution an important a major to L i v e s t o c k also c o n t r i b u t e supporting occupation s o u r c e of income for agricultural development is the for farmers substantial. to s e c u r i t y against erop f a i l u r e s in y e a r s of e x c e p t i o n a l l y h i g h f l o o d s or d r o u g h t . T h e l i v e s t o c k in the area i n c l u d e c a t t l e , g o a t s , s h e e p , c a m e l s , horses and d o n k e y s . Livestock in fact p l a y s a p r i m a r y r o l e in the economy, for a g r i c u l t u r e d e p e n d s largely on cattle, which are used as draught c o n s t r u c t i o n of b u n d s , p l o u g h i n g a n d c a r t i n g . the livestock depend on agriculture for animals for the On the other h a n d , the g r e a t e r part of their feed r e q u i r e m e n t s . T h e mode of communication a n d t r a n s p o r t considerably. Market prices fluctuate a c c o r d i n g to the time of t h e y e a r . cost affect the economy from season to season and 2.5 HYDROLOGIC BASINS Catchment area of K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t c a n be d i v i d e d into the following s u b - b a s i n s and its t r i b u t a r i e s 1. as shown i n Fig.2.1: - C h h u r i Nallah R a k h n i Nallah - C h a n g Nallah - Wandoi N a l l a h - Cujji Cand Nallah Nallah - Wahi Nallah - K a r i n Nallah - Waram Nallah - G u d Nallah - Warsala Nallah P h i l a w a g h Nallah - K u n a l Nallah - T h a d h a Nallah - M a k h i Nallah K a h a Hill (Main Torrent - C a r o Nallah Tributary) - B a g h i Nallah - S a u r i Nallah - D a r a z h o Nallah 5. Higgan Nallah - Kala Khosra - Bagga khosra - S a b e g a r i Nallah These s u b - b a s i n s f o r m p a r t of t h e Indus R i v e r B a s i n as these outflow from 1,018 The length miles) meters to i n t o the sq.km of (2,300 River. (393 s q . m i l e s ) the 130 km Indus main (81 to channels miles). T h e i r catchment 1 ,865 s q . k m varies They feet) t o 2,130 meters from areas (720 about ultimately vary sq.miles). 76 km (47 r i s e from an e l e v a t i o n of 700 (7,000 feet) a n d their level at the c o n f l u e n c e p o i n t v a r i e s f r o m 225 meters (738 f e e t ) t o 6 1 3 meters (2,010 feet). All the streams are charged have steep g r a d i e n t s with high-silt content. and b r i n g Cand flash-flows Nallah is the which largest tributary Kaha a n d joins Nallah at the R a k h n i Nallah near M u r u n j the border P h i l a w a g h N a l l a h joins of Punjab different wahs in Balochistan provinces. K a h a N a l l a h 18 km (11 miles) downstream of M u r u n j n e a r Nila K u n d v i l l a g e . in and v i l l a g e to maké the Kaha nallah flows out of its D a r r a h P a c h a d area to irrigate areas of Chaks an area of about 5,720 s q . k m (2,208 Harrand, Marete, Lundi Saijidan, etc. 2.6 EXISTING SITUATION Kaha Hill T o r r e n t * drains off s q . m i l e s ) , of w h i c h t h r e e - f o u r t h and remaining o n e - f o u r t h water is rain only. ( P e r e n n i a l flow) lies in P u n j a b P r o v i n c e . There in Kaha f a l l s in the p r o v i n c e of B a l o c h i s t a n is about Hill T o r r e n t , one T h e s o u r c e of cumec of 'Kala w h i c h is u s e d for Pani' drinking p u r p o s e s a n d i r r i g a t i o n on some v e r y small areas w i t h i n the mountains a n d the P a c h a d a r e a . T h e r e are s e v e r a l v a l l e y s h a v i n g v e r y f e r t i l e land where b a r a n i or flood irrigation been is b e i n g p r a c t i s e d . constructed on some supplies Kala Pani. of apples a n d for almonds. of the cultivation Low level d i v e r s i o n weirs have nallahs for utilizing perennial of c r o p s and to raise g a r d e n s On some of the t r i b u t a r i e s of K a h a , the G o v e r n m e n t of B a l o c h i s t a n has c o n s t r u c t e d flood d i v e r s i o n s t r u c t u r e s to divert flood-flows excavated irrigation structures up to about channels. 30 cumecs to 60 cumecs into T h e r e are eight e x i s t i n g d i s p e r s i o n in the u p p e r c a t c h m e n t area ( B a l o c h i s t a n P r o v i n c e ) . Basin irrigation is b e i n g p r a c t i s e d in the Pachad area l y i n g between the toe of the h i l l s a n d Dajal B r a n c h . T h e total c u l t u r a b l e haqooq area between the f o o t h i l l s a n d Dajal B r a n c h is 36,258 h e c t a r e s (89,580 a c r e s ) , but ha (7,160 presently acres). irrigation Flood water is b e i n g p r a c t i s e d on about is d i v e r t e d into v a r i o u s 2,900 branches a n d Wahs with the help of e a r t h e n d i v e r s i o n b u n d s w h i c h g e n e r a l l y get damaged during floods with the result that a major part of flood waters reaches the right canal bank in the flood hill flows, six Dajal B r a n c h u n - u s e d a n d attacks r e a c h R D 70+000 to R D 177+000. the To pass t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s with an aggregate capacity of 728 cumecs (25,700 c f s ) h a v e been p r o v i d e d along Dajal B r a n c h . Flood flows exceeding the c a p a c i t i e s of the hill torrent crossing have b r e a c h e d Dajal B r a n c h at v a r i o u s places c a u s i n g s e r i o u s damage to the canal s y s t e m , c r o p s , a n d p r o p e r t y in 1 973, 1 975, 1 976, 1 988 and 1989. 2.7 DATA COLLECTION 2.7.1 General C o m p r e h e n s i v e and r e l i a b l e data p r o v i d e s the ideal b a s i s for p r o p e r planning and integrated realistic p l a n n i n g , data and make management the f i r s t p r e - r e q u i s i t e a preliminary review r o u g h estimate of d e s i g n p a r a m e t e r s . are limited or non-existent and the o b s e r v a t i o n of r e q u i s i t e and proposals, losses sediment load data for existing flood greatly help may of flood the flows. For is to collect all available and analysis to have some H o w e v e r , sometimes the data an ideal s t u d y satellite protection in torrents limitation of time does not permit S u r v e y maps, a e r i a l p h o t o g r a p h s , logical of hill and a n a l y s i s . imagery, flows, previous facilities, formulation hydrometeoro- and of reports and historie flood an effective flood c o n t r o l p l a n . In view of the socio-economic n a t u r e of the P r o j e c t , was p l a n n e d to interview the a u t h o r i t i e s of the local it government, the c i v i l a d m i n i s t r a t i o n , p o l i t i c a l a g e n t , and the c o n c e r n e d p e r s o n n e l of the I r r i g a t i o n and P o w e r D e p a r t m e n t at L a h o r e , M u i t a n , D . G . K h a n and K o h l u . G i v e n below is the b r i e f d e s c r i p t i o n of data c o l l e c t i o n , interviews . 2.7.2 Precipitation Records Within and a r o u n d the K a h a catchment area of 5 7 2 0 s q . k m ; sq.miles), there are 19 r a i n g a u g e catchment area, where precipitation sites in records and a r o u n d the have been (2,208 whole observed from time to time. catchment area. area, Of while these, 11 s t a t i o n s remaining lie in are the located inside close v i c i n i t y of the the T h e data from these s t a t i o n s are mostly in the form of daily precipitation. T h e catchment area is so b i g that r a i n f a l l does not fall on the whole area at the same time. generally Available p r e c i p i - tation r e c o r d s are s h o w n o n T a b l e - 2 . 1 ; 2.7.3 Surface Run-Off Records Flood flows for . ^ r e c o r d of K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t at the D a r r a h are available the y e a r s 1958-1964 a n d 1975-1989 in the form of stage above a benchmark l e v e l . P e r e n n i a l d i s c h a r g e is about one cumec ( K a l a p a n i ) . T h e r e is no d i r e c t the r i g h t bank o u t f a l l into the of Indus R i v e r . Flood flow r e a c h Dajal B r a n c h C a n a l in r e a c h R D 70 to R D 170 and c r o s s e s the canal command area t h r o u g h s i x d r a i n a g e c r o s s i n g s . Estimated a v e r a g e a n n u a l r u n - o f f is 41 ,530 h a . m ( 336,400 a c r e - f e e O . A v a i l a b l e d i s c h a r g e data of K a h a Hill T o r r e n t A v a i l a b l e Data with P e r i o d Monthly Hourly Daily Name of Stations 1- 2- 2.7.4 is: Darrah Dajal B r a n c h Crossings - 1/61 - 5/64 - 4/75 - 12/81 - 7/78 - 9/78 7/78 - 9/78 2/79 - 9/79 2/79 - 9/79 - 7/80 - 8/80 7/80 7.89 - 8/80, 9/89 1/61 - 5/64 4/75 - 1 2 / 8 1 , 7/89 - 8.89 Previous Reports & Plans A number of r e p o r t s Hill Torrents. entire project, problem a r e a s . have been w r i t t e n for management of D . G . K h a n Some of while the others reports are general and cover the are for s p e c i f i c hill t o r r e n t s or special Most of the flood management plans p r e s e n t e d have \ TA13LE - 2.1 PRECIPITATION RECORD & DURATION Name of 1- Stations Barkhan Available Data with Period Monthly Daily Hoürly 4/75 2- Rakni - 1/53 - 1 2/66 - 4/82 4/75 - 4/82 7/82 - 9/82 r 1 2/63 1/61 - 1 2/63 7/82 - 9/82 4/67 1/61 - 4/67 5/64 N 1/61 3- Chacha 1 /61 4- Vitakri 1/61 5- Ziarat Sheru 12/55 1/60 - \ 12/66 5/64 1/61 - 12/54 1/61 - 1 2/46 1/76 5/82 1/76 - 5/82 - - 5/32 4/75 - 5/82 5/82 3/75 - 5/82 - 1 2/66 1/65 1/61 Chhajar 4/75 7- Mat 3/75 8- Jam A l i 1 /65 - 9- Muranj 1 / 54 - 1 2/57 - 12/67 1/61 1 /77 - 1/82 1/77 4/75 Bewulld 4/75 - 5/82 11- Rarkan 3/63 12- Chachar 3/75 - 13- Nabi 1/61 14- Kalkhas Fort Minro 1 /61 Mehal 17- Mard - - 12/67 1/61 3/75 - 5/82 - 3/63 - 5/82 1 /02 7/82 - - 1 2/64 1/61 - 12/64 5/52 - 12/57 5/52 - 12/57 - 1/61 - 1 2/64 1/61 1 2/64 - 1/47 - 1 2/72 1/47 - 12/72 - 5/82 8/75 - 5/82 - 5/82 3/75 - 5/82 - 1 2/68 7/59 4/75 - 5/82 3/75 - 5/82 1 8- H inglum 1 /54 - 3/59 - 1 2/68 4/75 - 5/82 1 /54 - 3/59 19- Kohlu 1/63 - 3/74 1 /63 Bun - - 8/75 16- - 12/66 1/54 - 1 2/57 1/61 10- 15- - - 6- Lahri 1/53 7/59 3/74 9/82 1/63 - 3/74 been p r e p a r e d w i t h o u t d u e c o n s i d e r a t i o n to flood f r e q u e n c y a n a l y s i s and flood management p l a n s have not been c o r r e l a t e d with theoretical r e t u r n p e r i o d s of e v e n t s . In some cases other p o s s i b l e a l t e r n a t i v e s have not been c o n s i d e r e d . These r e p o r t s , useful has basic preparation data, which this report. of been however, provide extensively G i v e n below reports and p l a n s of K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t . various offices: is the used list very for of the previous T h e s e were c o l l e c t e d from k i- H a r r a n d Dam S c h e m e by R . B . Kanwar S a i n ; ii- Scheme for constructing Gandas at Boot Hawa constructing Gandas in L u g h a r i Wali near Naushera; iii- Scheme for Wah at Tibbi Solgi; iv- Scheme for D.G.Khan regulating flood water of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t in District; v- Preliminary Note b y M r . G . E . M e a d on K a h a Hill vi- D i s c h a r g e T a b l e a n d c r o s s - s e c t i o n of Kaha at D a r r a h vii- R e p o r t on damages c a u s e d by K a h a Hill T o r r e n t b y E x e c u t i v e Engineer Rajanpur Torrent; site; Division; viii- Plan of K a h a H i l l ix- H y d r o g r a p h of K a h a Hill t o r r e n t for the y e a r 1975-1979; x- P l a n e T a b l e s u r v e y of Kaha Hill xi- Plan s h o w i n g RD 95+280. Torrent; routes of Hill Torrent; Torrents C o n t o u r Plan of K a h a 8 kilometer xiii- P l a n of K a h a D i s t r i b u t o r xiv- Report 79+500, upstream of Dajal B r a n c h ; showing c r e s t shape ogee. H a r n e s s i n g of Pachad A r e a by M r . xv- RD R D 115+760 a n d R D 1 23+650 xii- on crossing Hill T o r r e n t s a n d Development of Rahmani. Flood f i g h t i n g p l a n f o r D . G . K h a n C a n a l D i v i s i o n a n d R a j a n p u r Canal Division for the year 1 978, 1 979 a n d 1 980. xvi- Report on Hill T o r r e n t s of D . G . K h a n by M r . xvii- Planning and Hill T o r r e n t s , Design by Report NESPAK. (Four Volumes) P.CIexton. of D.G.Khan MEETINGS AND FIELD V I S I T S NESPAK experts held discussions v a r i o u s d e p a r t m e n t s to e l i c i t t h e i r with the following views about the officials of Project. F e d e r a l M i n i s t r y of Water a n d Power i- F e d e r a l M i n i s t e r , Water & P o w e r , Government of P a k i s t a n . ii- Chief Engineering Adviser/Chairman Federal Flood C o m m i s s i o n , G o v e r n m e n t of P a k i s t a n . iii- C h i e f E n g i n e e r ( F l o o d s ) F F C , Government of P a k i s t a n . I r r i g a t i o n & Power D e p a r t m e n t G o v e r n m e n t of P u n j a b i- S e c r e t a r y , Irrigation & Power Department. ii- Chief Engineer (Drainage & Flood). iii- Chief Engineer (Muitan iv- S u p e r i n t e n d i n g E n g i n e e r (Derajat v- Director vi- Executive Engineer ( D . G . K h a n Division). vii- Executive Engineer (Rajanpur Zone). Circle). (Floods). I r r i g a t i o n & Power D e p a r t m e n t Division). G o v e r n m e n t of B a l o c h i s t a n i- Superintending Engineer (Loralai Circle) ii- Executive Engineer (Kohlu A multi-disciplinary carried held out insitu meetings organizations. data and with Division). p l a n n i n g team of N E S P A K studies for the e x i s t i n g s t r u c t u r e s . officers/authorities The p u r p o s e of t h i s conduct field d i s c i p l i n e s of the s t u d y v i s i t e d the area and of different T h e team departments/ vis it was to collect investigations and surveys additional in various in c o n s u l t a t i o n w i t h c o n c e r n e d d e p a r t m e n t s . SECTION - 3 F L O O D P R O B L E M IN P E R S P E C T I V E ,3.1 N A T U R E A N D S E V E R I T Y OF F L O O D S Flood problems in t h e a r e a are on account of f l a s h y flows resufting from e x c e s s i v e r a i n f a l l on the b a r r e n hilly catchment areas of K a h a Hill T o r r e n t torrents with l i t t l e a b s o r p t i o n . move with steep Flood flows from d e n u d e d h i l l gradients resulting associated with c o n s i d e r a b l e soil e r o s i o n . catchment in high velocities A b o u t 12 percent of t h e area lies a b o v e 1,830 metres (6,000 f t ) above mean sea level ( m s l ) , while 60 p e r c e n t lies between 1,830m to 915m (6,000 to 3,000 ft) and the r e m a i n i n g , below 91 5m. area, 22 remaining down percent 78 flashy the i n t e n s i t y at the 1939, percent flows in in D . G . K h a n and Balochistan. Of the total catchment Rajanpur Kaha districts Hill T o r r e n t and brings c h a r g e d with high silt c o n t e n t d e p e n d i n g u p o n of r a i n f a l l a n d the condition of the soil cover complex time of total lies ft rainfall. run-off for F o r the y e a r s 1 958 to 1 989 a n d 1975 to each year and maximum peak data are available. T h e d a r r a h of the t o r r e n t is about 45 km (28 miles) west of Dajal Branch hills (Photo-3.1). T h e P a c h a d area l y i n g between the and the canal is v e r y f e r t i l e where b a s i n i r r i g a t i o n Photo - 3.1 Panoromic View of Kaha D a r r a h 3-1 toe of is b e i n g practised on (haqooq) a part of the area. The culturable is about 36,253 h a (89,580 a c r e s ) . Pachad area The t o r r e n t has also p e r e n n i a l s u p p l y ' K a l a P a n i ' of about one cumec at d a r r a h w h i c h is being after u s e d for irrigation a c c o r d i n g to w a t e r - r i g h t s . The torrent emerging from the h i l l s f a n s out like most of other major torrents of a n d flows the a r e a , but rejoins again near Basti Mir Mohammad down as one c h a n n e l u p t o v i l l a g e T i b b i S o l g i , which s i t u a t e d about 35 km (22 miles) downstream of the darrah-y, site, hill the t o r r e n t s p l i t s u p into t h r e e main b r a n c h e s . is At t h i s T h e left s i d e c h a n n e l c a l l e d Main L e g h a r i Wah, a'non-haqooq channel,has been c l o s e d at the head by c o n s t r u c t i n g a b u n d known as L e g h a r i right side b r a n c h is c a l l e d Ghawaz Wah and has a r i g h t to one-third of two-third of water distribution Ganda. The the flood-flows flows between reaching through Shakh this site. The the c e n t r a l b r a n c h Shumali and Janubi. draw remaining for further A l l the three b r a n c h e s are f u r t h e r s u b - d i v i d e d as they move t o w a r d s Dajal B r a n c h , (Exhibit 3.1). Indus R i v e r , but D.G.Khan flows Originally Canal these c h a n n e l s e x t e n d e d almost u p t o have been l a r g e l y b l o c k e d b y the c o n s t r u c t i o n of S y s t e m in 1958. has also c o n s i d e r a b l y Khan Canaf the system. T h e s p r e a d i n g area for reduced after flood the c o n s t r u c t i o n of D . G F l o o d flows from the main c h a n n e l s s p r e a d both in t r a n s v e r s e a n d l o n g i t u d i n a l d i r e c t i o n s , because of b i l a t e r a l slopes and hit the canal in an u n p r e d i c t a b l e manner, generally away from the hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s . Kaha hill t o r r e n t flows a p p r o a c h Dajal B r a n c h between R D 70 to R D 170 a n d c r o s s the canal t h r o u g h six (6) hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s with an a g g r e g a t e c a p a c i t y cumecs ( 25,700 c f s ) as d e t a i l e d below: Sr. No. Dajal B r a n c h RD Capacity (cfs) Cumecs 1 . 79 + 500 283 10,000 2. 95 + 280 20 700 3. 109 + 770 28 1 ,000 4. 123 + 650 112 5,000 5. 1 '45 + 760 198 7,000 6. 165 + 760 57 2,000 728 25,700 of 728 The total Branch haqooq area lying s y s t e m is a b o u t between the darrah and the Dajal 36,250 h a (89,580 a c r e s ) , which has the water r i g h t as per the C a n a l A c t of 1 905. D u r i n g normal f l o w , area is i r r i g a t e d b y u t i l i z i n g flows of v a r i o u s w a h s . the During high f l o w s , there are numerous b r e a c h e s in the e a r t h e n b u n d s c o n s t r u c t e d b y the c u l t i v a t o r s a n d water g u s h e s to DG Khan C a n a l System w i t h high velocity. There is g e n e r a l l y a p o n d i n g e f f e c t , b e c a u s e the a g o r e g a t e c r o s s - d r a i n a g e c a p a c i t y is less the c a n a l . erosion flow reaching High v e l o c i t i e s below d a r r a h sometimes r e s u l t in c h a n n e l and channel, than^the a major portion of flows start concentrating in one thus d e p r i v i n g the o t h e r c h a n n e l s of a share of the f l o w . This t e n d e n c y of c o n c e n t r a t e d flow in one channel has been o b s e r v e d to be one of water hill from the the torrent major breach causes area with leading to the Indus b r e a c h e s in the c a n a l s . The is s u p p l e m e n t e d b y the flows t h r o u g h crossings and commanded of no the the c o m b i n s d water moves in the c a n a l natural River. or man-made drainage c h a n n e l s A s the flood flows moves t o w a r d s the west in the d i r e c t i o n of Indus R i v e r , g e n e r a l l y the r i v e r is also in high flood during this period. flood flow of the hill t o r r e n t . This results in holding up the T h i s has r e s u l t e d in the development of a n a t u r a l d r a i n a g e line in the s o u t h - w e s t d i r e c t i o n at a d i s t a n c e of about 7 to 13 km from the r i v e r . higher than this The r i v e r bank is c o n s i d e r a b l y d r a i n a g e c h a n n e l , which makes the hill torrent flow move towards s o u t h - w e s t till it f i n d s its way into the Indus.. The dynamic system of Pachad formation was very active and E q u i l i b r i u m c o n d i t i o n s h a d not been attained when DG K h a n C a n a l System was introduced to intercept west-east flow path of the hill t o r r e n t . quite a percentage of the T h i s man-made b a r r i e r has r e s u l t e d into an e n t i r e l y new flow regimen of the hill t o r r e n t . 3.2 SPECIFIC FLOOD PROBLEMS The flood crossings, flows l a r g e l y e x c e e d i n g the c a p a c i t y of thé h i l l breached Dajal Branch at various torrent places and c a u s e d s e r i o u s damage to the c a n a l s y s t e m , c r o p s and p r o p e r t y in addition to loss of 1988 a n d human life 1989. during Table 3.1 Khan Canal System there is trans-channel no accumulate along g i v e s the during the 1973, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1979, the to banks number major the of of floods Indus channels b r e a c h e s in D G since River, the 1967. Since flood waters and d e p r e s s i o n s in the c a n a l command a r e a t h e r e b y a g g r a v a t i n g the problem of w a t e r - l o g g i n g and salinity. There is no p r o p e r d i s p e r s i o n s t r u c t u r e at any of t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n site a n d small d i v e r s i o n b u n d s c o n s t r u c t e d for p u r p o s e are f r e q u e n t l y this d a m a g e d , r e s u l t i n g in u n e q u a l d i s t r i b u t i o n . F o r e f f e c t i v e flood m a n a g e m e n t , p r o p e r d i s t r i b u t i o n s t r u c t u r e s and t r a i n i n g w o r k s are r e q u i r e d . 3.3 PAST FLOOD E V E N T S In the Pachad area b a s i n i r r i g a t i o n b y hill t o r r e n t s has been p r a c t i s e d since c e n t u r i e s . T h e f i e l d s are e v e n l y t e r r a c e d and b u n d e d , so as to s t o r e about one meter irrigation d e p t h of w a t e r . was v e r y e f f e c t i v e a n d u s e d to i r r i g a t e an area of about 0.28 million ha (0.68 m i l l i o n a c r e s ) . water the was, A s u b s t a n t i a l amount of flood t h u s , u t i l i z e d in b a s i n i r r i g a t i o n . socio-economic c o n d i t i o n s system In the p a s t , the b a s i n has g r a d u a l l y during deteriorated, the past t h r e e d e c a d e s , and r e d u c e d the less t h a n 0.04 million ha ( 0 . 1 0 million a c r e s ) . normal flood flows are not e f f e c t i v e l y flow through during the sixties the irrigation to At p r e s e n t even the c o n t r o l l e d for to c a u s e damage to canal i r r i g a t e d DG K h a n Canal a n d Dajal B r a n c h . constructed Due to c h a n g e s in irrigation a r e a s , left of and the DG K h a n Canal a n d Dajal B r a n c h a n d r u n n i n g almost p a r a l l e l to the mountain r a n g e , s e r v e as the f i r s t line of defence against the flood f l o w s from hill t o r r e n t s . Branch A f t e r the c o n s t r u c t i o n of C R B C a n d Dajal e x t e n s i o n , t h e s e c a n a l s will also face the brunt of flood flows from other hill t o r r e n t s of Suleman R a n g e . A f t e r a long d r y s p e l l , h e a v y r a i n s were e x p e r i e n c e d in 1967 d u r i n g the c o n s t r u c t i o n stage of Dajal B r a n c h C a n a l . T h e heavy r a i n s in 1967 a n d in the s e v e n t i e s c a u s e d abnormal floods and r e s u l t e d in colossal d3mages in the irrigated area. Major flood e v e n t s since 1967 are b r i e f l y d e s c r i b e d in the s u c c e e d i n g p a r a g r a p h s . TABLE -3.1 LIST OF BREACHES TO DG KHAN CANAL SYSTEM Year Main Canals and Distributaries 1967 DG Khan Canal No. of Breaches Reach RDs 317, 325 Dajal Branch Distributaries 1973 DG Khan Canal Dajal Branch Distributaries 1975 14, 15, 18 & 19 DG Khan Canal Dajal Branch Distributaries 1976 1978 DG Khan Canal 7 Dajal Branch 3 Distributaries 3 DG Khan Canal 322, 323, Dajal Branch R 15 and 16 L 20 and 21 Distributaries 1986 D.G. Khan Canal Dajal Branch Distributaries 1989 2 40 204 D.G. Khan Canal Dajal Branch Distributaries 229 4 3.3.1 1967 Flood The e x t r a o r d i n a r y h e a v y r a i n s d u r i n g M a r c h 1967 i n the catchment areas c a u s e d u n p r e c e d e n t e d flow in the M i t h a w a n , K a h a , C h a c h a r , Pitok and S o r i Dajal B r a n c h in Hill T o r r e n t s . six T h e Kaha Hill T o r r e n t a p p r o a c h e s branchés a n d crosses the canal t h r o u g h hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s at R D 79+500, R D 95+230, RD 109+760, R D 1 23+350, R D 145+7G0 a n d R D 165+970. During M a r c h 1967 a p e a k d i s c h a r g e of about 391 cumecs (13,800 cfs) struck Dajal B r a n c h at R D 79+500, where hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g was u n d e r c o n s t r u c t i o n . protection bund diversion. the \ ring and S t r u c t u r e site was enclosed by a t e m p o r a r y flow was by-passed through a D u e to c o n c e n t r a t i o n of flood flows on the u p s t r e a m of bund the right bank of Dajal B r a n c h b r e a c h e d at places and f l o o d water e n t e r e d the c a n a l . after escaping through between Distributary was t h e n b r e a c h e d between R D 12-15. struck Darkhast diverted 25-41 R D 12-20 Tayyab Distributary along (Tail) Distributary right (Tail) through Distributary. the bank and b r e a c h e d it. However, of its from RD 3 0 - 3 3 . tail Tayyab A p a r t of flow Khato S y p h o n at R D 25 and Tayyab and L e g h a r i Flood B u n d , in T h e flood the left bank of the canal hit F a t e h Distributary crossed two To d i s p o s e it off t h r o u g h its o r i g i n a l c o u r s e , the l e f t b a n k at R D 78+300 was c u t . flows temporary the major portion Distributary which from ultimately r e a c h R D 28-33 a n d washed off hit was RD Dajal its b a n k s T h e K a h a f l o o d water joined the flow of Mithawan a n d c o m b i n e d waters c r o s s e d D a j a l - J a m p u r road between 11 km and 16 km and Distributary then and accumulated of Darkhast D h i n g a n a Flood B u n d which c o u l d not withstand its p r e s s u r e a n d b r e a c h e d . on bank water of right side T h e flood flows enroute also b r e a c h e d the left b a n k of F i r d o u s D i s t r i b u t a r y right the from R D 38-47 ( T a i l ) . was p r o t e c t e d by m a k i n g strenous e f f o r t s . Kaha Hill T o r r e n t C r o s s i n g at R D 95+200 o f for about f i v e d a y s . RD 4 to R D 5. also passed t h r o u g h the The Hill The flood Torrent Dajal B r a n c h which remained u n d e r flow T h i s water b r e a c h e d Dajal D i s t r i b u t a r y between The flood flows of K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t also s t a r t e d accumulating r e a c h R D 100 to RD 102 of Dajal B r a n c h , where it is in a h i g h The water level rose to R L 102.3 a g a i n s t bank R L 4 0 4 . 5 . was made at Cross-bunds passage of so great RD 101 had of Dajal been constructed flood w a t e r . that Branch it to in Dajal T h e magnitude resulted in two washed away the c r o s s - b u n d s . relieve the in fill. A cut situation. B r a n c h for the safe of flow in the r e a c h was b r e a c h e s in Dajal B r a n c h which This; caused deposition of s l u s h in the b e d of Dajal B r a n c h in the r e a c h R D 101-102. T h e flood water b r e a c h e d the left bank of Dajal Branch^ between R D 97-101 at s e v e r a l places. The flood flows e s c a p i n g Dajal Branch breached Kausar a n d F i r d o u s D i s t r i b u t a r i e s at a number of places between R D s 0-10. The flood water after breaching flows coming from the s t r u c t u r e flow of K a h a Hill T o r r e n t these d i s t r i b u t a r i e s at R D 79+500 joined flood Dajal B r a n c h . The also c r o s s e d Dajal B r a n c h t h r o u g h hill torrent c r o s s i n g R D 109+760 and b r e a c h e d K a u s a r D i s t r i b u t a r y several places between Torrent moving from Branch, eroded it banks at both the RD 119-120. RD 123 to R D s 15-25. . A p a r t north to seriously south in the along of water right of Kaha Hill bank of reach R D 114-120, pass the flood for Dajal breached R D 120, a n d s i l t e d its e x c a v a t e d bed A diversion between flood waters had been p r o v i d e d water by constructing at cross-bunds at in Dajal B r a n c h at RD 1 23-1 25. A peak d i s c h a r g e of o v e r 280 cumecs (10,000 the were reach cfs) washed passed through away. This R D 120-130, w h e r e diversion a n d the caused severe silting the work in cross-bunds the canal in of e x c a v a t i o n was in p r o c e s s . T h e canal also b r e a c h e d on the left side at RD 127. At R D 145+750 of Dajal B r a n c h , another also u n d e r construction The c o n s t r u c t i o n pit to safely to p a s s flood flows of Kaha Hill was e n c l o s e d b y a temporary flood b u n d and a temporary crossing hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g was Torrent. protection d i v e r s i o n was made upstream of h i l l t o r r e n t pass flood flows; but the b r e a c h e d and the f o u n d a t i o n pit was f l o o d e d . diversion b u n d was S l u s h was deposited in the pit 142-147. and in the e x c a v a t e d b e d of Dajal B r a n c h between R D The left b a n k of Dajal B r a n c h also b r e a c h e d between RD 1 39-1 40. cut T h e flood water coming out from a at R D 166 of Dajal B r a n c h e n t e r e d A b e - H a y a t D i s t r i b u t a r y o v e r - t o p p e d its tail r e a c h . towards Hajipur distributary ^ of K a h a Hill T o r r e n t One component of this water also t r a v e l l e d Distributary and and c a u s i n g a number of breaches in the its m i n o r s a n d s i l t e d its e x c a v a t e d b e d . Before the onset of the 1967 f l o o d , o n l y the left bank of Dajal B r a n c h had been c o n s t r u c t e d between R D 160-190 a n d a pilot c h a n n e l had been \ e x c a v a t e d to entered the lead water pilot from channel hill torrent resulting crossing. Flood water in d e p o s i t i o n of half meter to one meter of s l u s h a n d i n n u m e r a b l e b r e a c h e s on the left b a n k . 3.3.2 1973 Flood T h e r e were heavy r a i n s on Suleiman R a n g e d u r i n g J u l y and A u g u s t 1973. On earthen bund water for July 1 7, built 1973 on its basin irrigation. the flood flows main b r a n c h in for Kaha breached distribution Outflows hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g at R D 123+650 were about 19 cumecs (6,700 c f s ) , b u t e x c e s s i v e inflows r e s u l t e d in 148 breaches in the r i g h t a n d left b a n k s f r o m R D 115-114. through the b r e a c h e s damaged the Abe-Hayat distributaries. abandoned Nur against water, flood C o n c e n t r a t e d d i s c h a r g e flowing in the main stream hit the Dajal B r a n c h in the r e a c h R D 110-132. through of the the Dhundi Dhundi Canal Kutab the r i g h t b a n k of left bank remained After intact T h e f l o o d water e m e r g i n g N a u s h e h r a , Zamzam, Islam and forcing ( N D C ) , the Canal (DKC). its flood way through water Due to ponded up heading up D K C b r e a c h e d at s e v e r a l places but a n d water was d r a i n e d off the through of the its offtakes. 3.3.3 1975 Flood D u r i n g J u l y , A u g u s t a n d S e p t e m b e r 1 975, h i l l t o r r e n t s of DG K h a n District e x p e r i e n c e d s e v e r e floods which c a u s e d colossal damage to canals, c r o p s and other p r i v a t e and public properties. On J u l y flowing 1 5, 1 975, the t o r r e n t was in flood and flood water through discharge about of over three entered the h i l l 250 c u m e c s hours. Patti t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s at R D 79+500. After Machhi, (8,000 crossing Izmatwala started A peak cfs) escaped through it the canal, water the flood for and D a r k h a s t Jamal Khan v i l l a g e s a n d flowed t o w a r d s D a r k h a s t D i s t r i b u t a r y a n d D h i n g a n a Flood B u n d . Substantial torrent high flows crossing at on a branch R D 95+230 of Dajal Kaha approached B r a n c h , which d e s i g n e d c a p a c i t y of o n l y 20 c u m e c s (700 c f s ) . behind the d e s i g n e d water exceeded the Floodwater level of 1 22m (400 f t ) . accumulated along r i g h t b a n k and breached flow hill ponded the r i g h t b a n k to a water l e v e l of 123.1m (403.90 ft) exceeded flow the both the right then moved t o w a r d s of and The excessive Dajal B r a n c h from R D 96-101 left the e a s t , banks of the canal. Distri- Two c a u s e w a y s a n d a number of c u l v e r t s in the J a m p u r - Dajal Road were i n s u f f i c i ë n t , near D a r k h a s t D i s t r i b u t a r y . accumulated on the right w h i c h r e s u l t e d in damage to the róad Flood flows r u s h e d towards south and s i d e of Darkhast 39-54 a n d D h i n g a n a F l o o d B u n d R D 0 - 2 8 . ponding up of flood water along a w i d t h of 113m (370 filled the ft). pocket The between Distributary from On J u l y 1 8, 1975, Dhingana maximum level and b r e a c h e d it at R D 15. breach The joined flood flows from the hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g RD 79+500 a n d headed up along D a r k h a s t butary. which Flood Bund RD the reached The b r e a c h developed to discharge escaping through D h i n g a n a Flood B u n d , this Darkhast Distributary a n d Islam M i n o r . r e a c h e d the J a m p u r - F a z i l p u r Road a n d flowed along its r i g h t s i d e . Cuts the were made in Mohammadpur water culverts towards east and to Minor between R D 11-13 to pass save the road, but the drainage in the road at 61 to 63 km were not s u f f i c i ë n t to cater s u c h h e a v y flood d i s c h a r g e . and A f t e r c r o s s i n g Islam Minor the water water crossed for T h e r o a d b r e a c h e d o n July 19, 1975 Mohammadpur Minor through the cuts. The c u t s in Mohammadpur Minor d i d not develop and s u b s t a n t i a l d i s c h a r g e flowed onto the south along west s i d e of the r o a d and over-topped at 64 km. Then Mohammadpur it flowed Town. on both sides of the road F i n a l l y , t h i s water flowed towards beyond abandoned Nur D h u n d i C a n a l ( N D C ) a n d accumulated in Hamunwala d e p r e s s i o n . During A u g u s t 1 975, area. The major channel and approached On 14th cfs) part passed through a The catchment flood the the flows hill rushed through main t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s at R D 79+500. the hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g against a d e s i g n e d of 283 c u m e c s (10,000 c f s ) . number flow places of were more h i g h r a i n s in the A u g u s t 1 975, a peak d i s c h a r g e of over 481 cumecs (17,000 capacity in there of breaches entering between the RD on the T h e e x c e s s i v e flow r i g h t bank canal over-topped 71-86 and the between left c a u s e d numerous resulted RD 74-85. bank at many breaches. The total flow p a s s i n g t h r o u g h all the breaches and hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s was roughly assessed be about route as followed b y f l o o d flows d u r i n g July 1975. damage Minor. to Fateh, Oh damaged Tayyab, its way it the in flood cumecs crossing previously Branch, 1,700 After channels Dajal to July Lower water (60,000 adopted the cfs). same It b r e a c h e d all 1 975 and c a u s e d e x c e s s i v e Manka D i s t r i b u t a r i e s over-topped Rasulpur and Razi Sub-Minor and accumulated in the p o c k e t s u r r o u n d e d by abandoned Sohan B r a n c h , Link No.III and Jampur-Dajal Road up to Khanpur Distributary. Reliëf c u t s were made in o l d Sohan B r a n c h up to its tail R D 8+800. T h e water r e l e a s e d t h r o u g h t h e s e c u t s t r a v e l l e d towards s o u t h along the J a m p u r - R a j a n p u r R o a d and accumulated along o l d Islam B r a n c h , Mohammadpur were made, Minor, and Kamber Shah S u b - M i n o r . one in Kamber a b a n d o n e d Islam B r a n c h . topped Shah Sub-Minor Two r e l i ë f c u t s and Flows e s c a p i n g t h r o u g h the other in these c u t s o v e r - Kamber Shah S u b - M i n o r from RD 9-32 a n d joined the f l o o d water f l o w i n g t o w a r d s Hamunwala L a k e . On September 03, 1 975, flood water r e a c h e d hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g R D 79+500. Dajal B r a n c h t h r o u g h of K a h a Hill Torrent again A s u b s t a n t i a l flow e n t e r e d b r e a c h e s in the r i g h t bank and washed away c l o s u r e b u n d s at b r e a c h e s between R D 77-83 a n d between R D 96-97 on the left bank. A g a i n on 9th S e p t e m b e r , the flood flows of a h i g h magnitude p a s s e d t h r o u g h hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g at R D 79+500 and c a u s e d b r e a c h e s b e t w e e n R D 76-78 in r i g h t and left b a n k s of Dajal B r a n c h . 3.3.4 1976 Flood D u r i n g the f i r s t week of S e p t e m b e r 1 976, flood flows of K a h a Hill Torrent a t t a c k e d the r i g h t bank of Dajal B r a n c h between R D 77 to RD 100 a n d c a u s e d a n u m b e r of b r e a c h e s in this r e a c h . T h e flood flows crossings escaping through damaged after distributaries b r e a c h e s and and moved down crossing Jampur-Dajal Road. down to Dhundi Kutab the Canal, hill torrent to D h i n g a n a F l o o d B u n d F i n a l l y the flood water and after breaching its flowed banks accumulated in Hamunwala D e p r e s s i o n . 3.3.5 1977 Flood . Kaha Hill T o r r e n t e x p e r i e n c e d f i r s t flood d u r i n g e a r l y J u n e 1 977. A maximum d i s c h a r g e of 142 cumecs (5,000 c f s ) p a s s e d t h r o u g h hill torrent serious c r o s s i n g R D 79+500 of Dajal B r a n c h . damages e x c e p t three b r e a c h e s in the T h e r e were no the b a n k s of Suleiman Distributary. A g a i n on J u n e 27, 1 977 t h e floodflows hit the Dajal B r a n c h a n d the flood water and RD passing through 1 65+760 the hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s R D 145+760 breached Islampur Distributary and Abe-Hayat D i s t r i b u t a r y and joined the flood flows e s c a p i n g t h r o u g h hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s at RD 95+280, R D 1 09+770 a n d R D 1 23+650. flood water Zamzam down Distributary Thereafter, Dhundi moved it Canal flowed and in its further through a cut headed up tail reach down after at RD along the and T h e combined left damaged bank its of banks. c r o s s i n g a b a n d o n e d Nur 165, attacked Dundi Kutab Canal and b r e a c h e d its r i g h t bank between RD 93-94 a n d 9 4 - 9 5 . The third freshet was recorded during 3-11 last week of July 1 976, when a peak through discharge the hill of torrent about 210 cumecs crossing RD (7,445 79+500. cfs) passed T h e flood water while moving down c a u s e d many breaches in D h i n g a n a Flood B u n d . 3.3.6 1978 Flood DG Khan nature area traditionally viz; River originating Indus suffers damages f r o m two elements of from 'its eastern f r o m S u l e i m a n R a n g e from the the y e a r 1978, the r a i n f a l l side and western hill torrents side. During on Suleiman Range was u n p r e c e d e n t e d , w h i c h r e s u l t e d in abnormally h i g h floods on some of the hill Kaha of Hill T o r r e n t about was in h i g h flood on J u l y 0 5 , 1978 with a peak 2,266, cumecs (80,000 cfs). Dajal about 45 p l a c e s f r o m R D 100 to R D 168. these b r e a c h e s as well as t h r o u g h flow entered which The Dajal resulted flood serious through bed accumulated frequently The in flows causing Branch breaches on the in bank the at channels right The bank, several places. of Dajal distributaries, Kaha the Hill track was damaged Chachar, Kaha and done K a h a from;- k i l o m e t e r 1979 Flood and floodwater Torrent was Vidore ^ ' ' by flood Hill T o r r e n t s . 278 to flows of Sori T h e major 290 w h e r e Shumali, damage was breaches ranged two to three meters in d e p t h . V»" .j i During : Branch moving along b o t h the b a n k s Depression. f r o m 15m t o 60m in l e n g t h and 3.3.7 at in spate u p t o A u g u s t 30, 1978. railway by left offtaking ; damaged Hamunwala breached Flood flows p a s s e d t h r o u g h breaches the damage.After Branch the h i l l t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s . through also e n t e r e d of in torrents. the experienced 1979 f l o o d , in July the f i r s t freshet 1979, but due in K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t to c o n s t r u c t i o n of was Gandas on L e g h a r i W a h , B u t t Havva a n d B u t t P a h o r e , the floodflow was d i s p e r s e d without causing much damage. Only a medium flow approached Dajal B r a n c h w h i c h c r o s s e d t h r o u g h h i l l t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s R D 79+500 and RD 95+280 Dajal Branch, Firdous Distributaries causing damage to Sultan, Dajal, and Tareen Minor. D u r i n g the s e c o n d f r e s h e t , the flood water in e x c e s s of the d e s i g n e d capacity (112 cumeès) of$hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g at RD423+6501 hit Dajal Branch reach. The, r i g h t bank places R D 115—125 a n d between excessive discharge offtakes water its and entering caused way to the the then e n t e r e d the damage escaping through of the canal was b r e a c h e d at nine to hill canal seven Dajal passed Branch. into distributaries. The downstream The flood t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s a n d b r e a c h e s on Indus River c a u s e d damage f r e s h e t ; in Kaha Hill to the Dhundi Kutab Canal. The third A u g u s t 1979. T h e flood these water Sadiq Feeder. Canal, was e x p e r i e n c e d It c a u s e d b r e a c h e s in both b a n k s of its left b a n k during Dajal B r a n c h . of a s u b s e q u e n t f r e s h e t e n t e r e d the canal b r e a c h e s to damage Kutab Torrent through a n d the head r e g u l a t o r of F u r t h e r d o w n s t r e a m , the flood water a t t a c k e d D h u n d i which was saved by making a reliëf cut in its left b a n k between R D 97 to R D 98. 3.3.3 V~;•_[.',:. ; ' 1985 Flood V . D u r i n g the 1 985 K a h a . ; H i l l T o r r e n t ;,. f e x p e n e n c e d a d i s c h a r g e of 2,260 cumecs (80,000 c f s ) o n 9th A u g u s t 1986. T h e flood flow the right bank and Kala K h o s r o , ' the 700 cumecs Torrent of Dajal (25,000 Branch two cfs) in the r e a c h R D 67+000. tributaries which approached of Kaha also b r o u g h t synchronized peak a n d c a u s e d b r e a c h e s in the with the Bagga about Kaha Hill Dajal B r a n c h in a w i d t h r a n g i n g f r o m 30m tO;300m. • • • -iW ! 1 ' • • - 'V¥. • • . ' : i-vRkr : ; The maximum d i s c h a r g e r e c o r d e d at Hill T o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s at R D 79+500 a n d R D 95+230 o f ' t h e Dajal B r a n c h w e r e 342 cumecs (12,000 cfs) a n d 396 c u m e c s (14,000 c f s ) against t h e i r designed capacities of; 28 c u m e c s ( 1 , 0 0 0 c f s ) a n d 85 cumecs (3,000 c f s ) , The flood walls. water.;,, damaged upstream downstream flared wing A c r o s s b r e a c h of 130m ('100 ft) w i d t h o c c u r r e d j u s t u p s t r e a m of the h i l l t o r r e n t c r o s s j n g RDi79+5Q0. all and respectively. along the, r i g h t bank from T h e f l o o d water p u t p r e s s u r e R D '\QQ to R D 190 a n d r e s u l t e d in 455 b r e a c h e s in Dajal B r a n c h at v a r i o u s p l a c e s . Further downstream, various distributaries the s i t u a t i o n . 3.3.9 1 / the flood 1 damaged K a d r a C a n a l System and in which many reliëf c u t s were made to ease . ' 1989 Flood j T h e r e was h e a v y , r a i n f a l l in the catchment area of K a h a . Floodflows, attacked totail'and, Dajal Branch o n 5 t h July 1989 f r o m R D 100 b r e a c h e d b o t h its b a n k s in the reach R D 103 to R D 123 i n locations (Photo-3.2). Later, damaged s e v e r a l o f f t a k e s of the a r e a of it entered the command different area'and Dajal B r a n c h a n d the s t a n d i n g (Photo-3.3). Photo-3.2 crops Photo-3.3 A s e c o n d f r e s h e t hit on 27th J u l y 1989. at various area. locations a n d d i s r u p t e d the major part of the commgnd Flood water after p a s s i n g t h r o u g h the h i l l t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s at R D 109+770, Dundi It o v e r f l o w e d Dajal B r a n c h Kutab 123+650, Canal and 165+760 and from the b r e a c h e s o v e r t o p p e d Raj D i s t r i b u t o r y . F i n a l l y it was escaped into the Indus t h r o u g h r e l i ë f c u t s made in K a d r a C a n a l . 3.3.10 E c o l o g i c a l Imbalance In a d d i t i o n to i n f l i c t i n g of Kaha remains heavy loss of life and p r o p e r t y , also c r e a t e ecological imbalance in the a r e a . disrupted for months. life Programmes of immunization to human b e i n g s and the live s t o c k s have to be l a u n c h e d . by flood. Normal T h e health h a z a r d is c r e a t e d due to contamination of d r i n k i n g w a t e r . of p r o p e r t y the floods T h e value d r o p s as a r e s u l t of i n s e c u r i t y and u n c e r t a i n t y created A s ' a r e s u l t , economie development is hampered s e r i o u s l y . , 3-15 3.4 E X I S T I N G / P R O P O S E D FLOOD P R O T E C T I O N WORKS AND THEIR E V A L U A T I O N 3.4.1 General For the last different three types hill t o r r e n t s . divert : have more been made to manage and concrete s t r u c t u r e s generally s u c c e s s in existing have to e f f e c t i v e l y have been c o n s t r u c t e d had currently structures The earthern floodflows structures have of d e c a d e s , efforts failed. bearing structures floodflows of constructed to Recently using gabions. construct some These flexible structures the b r u n t of f l o o d f l o w s . built in Balochistan and Punjab The are as: (a) S t r u c t u r e s c o n s t r u c t e d by I r r i g a t i o n G o v e r n m e n t of B a l o c h i s t a n : i- C h u r r i : I r r i g a t i o n Scheme; ii- R a k h n i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme; iii- S e a k l e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme; iv- D u b b a I r r i g a t i o n Scheme; v- C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme; viviiviii- (b) : Naharkot and Vitarki Department, Irrigation Scheme; : ; C h u n g Nullah Irrigation Scheme; 'Thangurani I r r i g a t i o n Scheme. Structures constructed G o v e r n m e n t of P u n j a b : by Irrigation i- Sad Alif Salaii ii- Mohammad Wah Salaii iii- Hazoori Wah Salaii iv- K h a n W a h Salaii v- U p p e r Noor Wah Salaii vi- L i n k C h a n n e l Salaii vii- & Power . Chatool. C r o s s - S t r u c t u r e ; viü- Lashari Cross-Structure; ix- C r o s s - S t r u c t u r e J i n d a r a Wah x- Cross-Structure 3-16 Hajoo Wah & Power Department, 3.1.2 E v a l u a t i o n of Flood Management Schemes Balochistan Province Out of the e i g h t I r r i g a t i o n Schemes mentioned f o u r were 3.1.2.1 a b o v e , the following inspected: R a k h n i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme: i T h i s scheme has been c o n s t r u c t e d on R a k h n i Rakhni upstream Town about two kilometers Nallah veryv close of D.G.Khan, Road C r o s s i n g . an wall ungated, t y p e h i g h level d i v e r s i o n uncontrolled the left a b u t m e n t Rakhni * T h i s scheme was b u i l t in e a r l y e i g h t e e s . retaining to' earthen flood I n i t i a l l y a stone masonary weir was c o n s t r u c t e d channel (Photo-3.4). Photo-3.4 R a k h n i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme A View from L e f t Abutment of the Main Weir a n d E x t e n s i o n on the r i g h t side offtaking with behihd T h i s weir functioneel well only for about a y e a r or so when it was o u t f l a n k e d b y the r i v e r b e h i n d its r i g h t a b u t m e n t . This outflanking was p r o b a b l y d u e to two r e a s o n s : i- Improper l o c a t i o n w i t h respect to nallah m o r p h o l o g y . i i - .• Inadequate l e n g t h of wejr r e s u l t i n g from u n d e r - e s t i m a t i o n flood d i s c h a r g e ; Consequently, the of t weir was extended on the right flank. The e x t e n s i o n was b u i l t w i t h stone in steel w i r e c r a t e s ( g a b i o n s ) b u i l t at s i t e . This extension weir than the o r i g i n a l weir axis ( P h o t o - 3 . 5 ) . has a c r e s t which is about one meter higher a n d at an angle of a b o u t 25° to the o r i g i n a l T h e downstream glacis c i s t e r n ( a p r o n ) wall are all b u i l t i n g a b i o n s (see P h o t o - 3 . 6 ) . Photo-3.5 Rakhni Irrigation Scheme-Balochistan. C r e s t of e x t e n s i o n weir one meter h i g h e r t h a n o r i g i n a l weir. and end Photo-3.6 R a k h n i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme B a l o c h i s t a n C l o s e - u p v i e w of r i g h t e x t e n s i o n w e i r . T h e e x t e n s i o n weir itself seems to have b e h a v e d well b u t b e c a u s e its than the crest reliëf, is higher masonary weir i n s t e a d of providing it c r e a t e d flow c o n c e n t r a t i o n on the left flank w h i c h c a u s e d outflanking on the left behind the left flood Photo-3.7 Rakhni Irrigation Scheme-Balochistan O u t f l a n k i n g on the left b e h i n d L e f t F l o o d C h a n n e l Wall. channel intake wall This outflanking caused extensive damage to the flood channel downstream. In the order to c a r r y Irrigation out the n e c e s s a r y r e p a i r Department has temporarily to the flood c h a n n e l , plugged the b r e a c h and the c h a n n e l I n t a k e . Streamlining and strengthening of the left a p p r o a c h of the is l i k e l y to help a v o i d o u t f l a n k i n g 3.4.2.2 Nallah in f u t u r e . Seakle I r r i g a t i o n S c h e m e : T h i s scheme is s i t u a t e d on R a k h n i Nallah two kilometers downstream of D . G . K h a n - R a k h n i Road c r o s s i n g . masonary and flood in the water years have 1981-82. been b u i l t . It was c o n s t r u c t e d of stone Separate c h a n n e l s for The s t r u c t u r e perennial faced disaster soon after c o m m i s s i o n i n g . It had under-sluices and gated head r e g u l a t o r s to handle flood d i s c h a r g e s of 28 c u m e c s (1 ,009 c f s ) and 3 cumecs (100 c f s ) dn left and right bank respectively. There is a separate intake for p e r e n n i a l flow ( P h o t o - 3 . 8 ) and a concrete lined c a r r y i n g c h a n n e l of about 0.1 c u m e c s (3 c f s ) c a p a c i t y (Photo-3.9). Photo-3.8 S e a k l e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme P e r e n n i a l Water Intake. Photo-3.9 Seakle Irrigation Scheme-Balochistan P e r e n n i a l Water C h a n n e l T h e weir was outflanked on both f l a n k s . completely adjacent 3.10). washed to r i g h t on both sides c a u s i n g e x t e n s i v e damage T h e r i g h t canal offtake of 3 cumecs capacity was out. abutment Considerable was u n d e r length of the weir s c o u r e d and settled crest (Photo- '.. P h o t o - 3 . 1 0 , \ S e a k l e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n O u t f l a n k i n g on the R i g h t Flank Remnants of R i g h t O f f t a k e s t r u c t u r e and A b u t m e n t . T h e f a i l u r e of the r i g h t flank o c c u r r e d as a r e s u l t of flow c o n c e n t r a tion on the r i g h t d u e to oblique approach (Photo-3.11). Photo-3.1 1 Seakle I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - Balochistan O b l i q u e Nallah A p p r o a c h a n d Flow Attack on Right F l a n k . 1 y ii Left bank of Rakhni Nallah upstream about 9.1 cumec c a p a c i t y has an earthen channel of (Photo-3.12). Photo-3.12 Seakle I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - Balochistan E a r t h e n P e r e n n i a l Flow C h a n n e l The outflanking (Photo-3.13) . on the left flank damaged the left abutment wall Photo-3.13 S e a k l e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n O u t f l a n k i n g on the L o f t S i d e and Damage to L e f t A b u t m e n t Wall n n d O l h e r S t r u c t u r e O b l i q u e a p p r o a c h of right flank the n a l l a h a n d flow c o n c e n t r a t i o n towards the also r e s u l t e d in an e d d y and sediment d e p o s i t s in f r o n t of the left c a n a l o f f t a k e iVhoto-3.1'l). / Photo-3.1'l Seakle Irrigation Schome - Balochistan M a s k i n g in F r o n t of L e f t C a n a l O f f t a k e . 3- 7'\ This maskiny is abnut. ono motor above the b e d of the flood channel r e q u i r i m j 3.'1.2.3 intake d r e d g i n g f.or r o s t o r a l i o n of the a p p r o a c h c h a n n e l C a l h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme: T h i s scheme is s i t u a t e d 2'! k i l o m e t e r s d o w n s t r e a m of S e a k l e s c h e m e . A low l e v e l s t o n e m a s o n a r y weir hns been b u i l t flow for i r r i g a t i o n . from the r i g h t to d i v e r t perennial A small c o n c r e t e lined i r r i g a t i o n c h a n n e l o f f t a k e s abutment (Photo-3.1 5). Pholo-3.15 C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Schem - B a l o c h i s t a n Perennial Canal Offtake. 3-25 This scheme was c o m m i s s i o n e d in 1977 a n d f u n c t i o n e d satisfaetorily lilt 193 2. ' Duriny abutment the 1902 h i g h flood, the weir was o u l f l a n k e d on the right c a u s i n g damage to the c h a n n e l ( P h o l o - 3 .1 6 ) . Photo-3.16 C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n Oblique Nallah approach a n d O u t f l a n k i n g on the R i g h t F l a n k . Irrigation Department, ..>'• B a l o c h i s t a n has b u i l t two stone p i t c h e d bunds one u p s t r e a m a n d the s e c o n d d o w n s t r e a m e n d of the r i g h t abutment wall abutment. lo block the nallah (Phol<,c>s 3. 17 & 3.18) . approach behind iho right Photo-3.17 C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n U p s t r e a m 3 u n d at U p s t r e a m E n d of A b u t m e n t . P h o t o - 3 . 18 C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n D o w n s t r e a m B u n d at D o w n s t r e a m E n d of A b u t m e n t . The owlflanking has bv.cn proh;il)ly due lo o b l i q u e a p p r o a c h of the nallah ( P h o l o-3 .1 9 ) . Photo-3.19 C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme - B a l o c h i s t a n Oblique Nallah Approach. 3.'1.2.4 Churri This Irrigation Scheme - is l o c a t e d on C h u r r i Balochistan N a l l a h a t r i b u t a r y of R a k h n i N a l l a h , and c o n s i s t s of h i g h c r e s t l e v e l c o n c r e t e weir b u i l t a c r o s s C h u r r i Nallah with offtakes properly. on both sides. This '"'*:!' Irrigation , comprised of Department stones in not functioned Some e f f o r t s but p r o v e d were futile. * ' E v a l u a t i o n of F l o o d ' M a n a g e m e n t Punjab has T h e left f l o o d c h a n n e l has s i l t e d u p . made in 1982 to r e s t o r e . the s t r u c t u r e , 3.'1. 3 structure wire Schemes - P u n j a b has b u i l t cral.es 3-211 various (gabions) Province flexible for the structures bed control and diversion runctioning of flood flows satisfactor ily. into These wahs. These -;l r u c l u r o s are structures cheap in nood small O&M a n d are more s u i l a b l e for management of of hill t o r r e n t s . 3.'1.3.1 Lashari Cross This 'Wah. has floodflows Structure been built across Kaha Hill T o r r e n t for feeding Lashari It c o n s i s t s of stone in g a l v a n i z o d wire cage wooven at s i t e . There subsequent was c o n s t r u c t e d a l a cost of about R s 1.2 million was floods. R s 0.3 m i l l i o n . cultivation during some damage to the structure T h e damages were r e p a i r e d A n a r e a of this year. about Photo-3.20 shows portion of in the of 3,200 ha ( 8 . 0 0 0 a c r e s ) is u n d e r However, the during at a total cost it is p l a n n e d to this area to a b o u t 1,150 h a (1 1 ,000 a c r e s ) u n d e r ultimate right cost, Major s t r u c t u r e s are d e s c r i b e d as u n d e r : This structure 1985. are Lashari cross conditions. structure abutment. P h o t o - 3 . 20 L a s h a r i C r o s s - S t r u c t u r e - Punjab S h o w i n g D o w n s t r e a m G l a c i s and R i g h t G u i d e B u n d . increase and its Major damage downstream downstream occurred stone was during 1988 washed away. flood. Some A portion of the modification in the a p r o n was also made to improve h y d r a u l i c performance. P h o t o - 3 . 2 1 s h o w s the c l o s e - u p view of the wire c r a t e of c o n s t r u c t i o n . Photo-3.21 C l o s e - u p View of L a s h a r i C r o s s - S t r u c t u r e . Offtake channel of this cross-structure d r a w i n g about 79 c u m e c s (2800 c f s ) is L a s h a r i (Phogo-3.22). Wah w h i c h is Photo-3.22 L a s h a r i Wah O f f t a k e T h i s s t r u c t u r e has f u n c t i o n e d for the last 4-5 y e a r s a n d has g r e a t l y helped the people of economic c o n d i t i o n . schemes the flood way and of the improving from sociothese T h e y showed s i g n s of h a p p i n e s s over by the Irrigation A c c o r d i n g to a r o u g h estimate, the net y e a r l y million. Pachad area. their b e n e f i c i a r i e s of management p r o j e c t s b e i n g u n d e r t a k e n to the f a r m e r s 20.00 area b y L o c a l farmers were i n t e r v i e w e d . Department. Rs this the L a s h a r i C r o s s S t r u c t u r e P h o t o - 3 . 2 3 shows the type benefit is to the tune of of yield from the Photo-3.23 Flood Management in P a c h a d A r e a Healthy S p i k e Head S o r g h u m d e p i c t A g r i c u l t u r a l P r o s p e r i t y in P a c h a d A r e a r e s u l t i n g from K a h a Hill T o r r e n t Management. Giwaz Wah C r o s s This has Lashari Rs Wah 2.5 been Cross million which Structure built about Structure 1 , 200m ('1,000 during to feed a network carries about ft) 1908-1 989 downstream of at a cost of the about of w a h s , the major b e i n g Giwaz 113 cumecs ('1,000 cfs). been b u i l t with stones in wire crates ( P h o t o - 3 . 2')). It has also Photo-3.24 Flood Management i n P a c h a d A r e a Giwaz C r o s s S t r u c t u r e . During where the 1989 f l o o d , a portion there of the weir has not b e e n done so far was some damage to the structure left was washed a w a y . (Photo-3.25). Photo-3.25 Outflank on the Left of Giwaz Wah Cross-Structure. iii. Chatool C r o s s Structure It is located on K a h a Nallah about 21 km downstream of the d a r r a h . It was c o n s t r u c t e d millions. gabions in 1986-87 at a cost of Rs 2.08 T h e f o l l o w i n g t h r e e Wahs draw water from this s t r u c t u r e ; Makwal Wah 31 cumecs J h o k e Wah 10 cumecs C h a t o o l Wah 57 cumecs The s t r u c t u r e iv. with is f u n c t i o n i n g normally. C r o s s S t r u c t u r e Sad Gah Wah It is located 31 km downstream of the ' D a r r a h ' to feed Hajoo Wah and Sad C a h W a h . T h e total diversion is 310 c u m e c s . It was b u i l t at a cost of Rs 2.13 millions u s i n g g a b i o n s . v. It Mohammad Wah Salaii was b u i l t on Kaha Nallah d u r i n g 1988-1989 to d i v e r t cumecs of flood flows into Mohammad Wah. It is a f l e x i b l e about 31 structure c o n s i s t i n g of g a b i o n s (stones in w i r e c r a t e s ) about 215 meters long built at a cost of R s 0.36 m i l l i o n s . S"-r[ A l i f Salaii vi This is located flexible just structure perennial flow downstream built of was b u i l t with about This flow is i r r i g a t i n g which It is f u n c t i o n i n g w e l l . in 1.1 stones the darrah. in wire It c o n s i s t s of a crates cumecs ( K a l a P a n i ) 1985 s u f f e r e d dry period the N o k h Wah. The s t r u c t u r e some damage d u r i n g 1989 f l o o d . I r r i g a t i o n Department for its r e p a i r (1989-90). 3-31 to d i v e r t into about 200 ha on the left b a n k . E f f o r t s are b e i n g made by the during current of SECTION Kaha Hill Torrent The catchment longitude is the - 1 biggest hill torrent area lies b e t w e e n l a t i t u d e 11° 69'N to 05° s q . k m (2,208 s q . m i l e s ) . 70'N a n d of Suleiman R a n g e . 29° 16'N to 30° 21 ' N a n d total catchment area is 5,720 T h e climate of the area is a r i d to s e m i - a r i d a n d a v e r a g e annual r a i n f a l l v a r i e s from about 250mm ( ï ö i n c h e s ) to 380mm (15 i n c h e s ) . A n n u a l i s o h e y t e s and monsoon isopercental are shown on E x h i b i t 1 . 1 . as a r e s u l t T h e h i l l s are b a r r e n a n d r u n - o f f is g e n e r a t e d of e x c e s s i v e r a i n f a l l on the h i l l y catchment areas with little a b s o r p t i o n . Hydrometeorological (including Kaha d a t a of all the major h i l l t o r r e n t s of D . G . K h a n Hill Torrent) is available in fragniented p e r i o d s v a r y i n g in l e n g t h f r o m 5 to 30 y e a r s . sites are located in t r i b a l form for Most of the o b s e r v a t i o n a r e a s , where access c o n d i t i o n s are h a r d a n d p r o p e r s u p e r v i s i o n of the staff r e s p o n s i b l e f o r data o b s e r v a t i o n is a d i f f i c u l t collection task. Moreover, have c h a n g e d f r o m observations have administrative been the agencies r e s p o n s i b l e for time to time a n d the r e c o r d s of field interrupted in between computations. years have to politica!, p r e f e r a b l e to theoretical Flood r e c o r d s of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t 1959-1961 a n d been due or f i n a n c i a l r e a s o n s , for c o n s i d e r a b l y long p e r i o d s . Actual r e c o r d s of f l o o d f l o w s are n a t u r a l l y the data made at 1975 to its d a r r a h 1989. near are available for Flood flow measurements H a r r a n d by c o n v e r t i n g gauge h e i g h t s into d i s c h a r g e u s i n g a r a t i n g c u r v e p r e p a r e d for the s i t e . In view of analytical and flood missing techniques links have hydrographs. characteristics have been 1-1 of beer the observed data, various u s e d to g e n e r a t e r u n - o f f records Precipitation u s e d to generate data and run-off catchment synthetically. Frequency a n a l y s i s has been c a r r i e d out to determine r u n - o f f for v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s a n d s y n t h e t i c r e c o r d s have been c o r r e l a t e d with the observed records. generated data synthetically and F r e q u e n c y a n a l y s i s of actually determined), observed data (with synthetically missing links have been used to determine r u n - o f f designing structural measures. for P r e c i p i t a t i o n r e c o r d s and catchment c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s have b e e n u s e d for s y n t h e t i c g e n e r a t i o n - o f run-off as detailed b e l o w . 4.1 A V A I L A B I L I T Y OF D A T A Methodology for for determination of h y d r o g r a p h s a n d peak discharge d i f f e r e n t f r e q u e n c i e s p r i m a r i l y depends upon the a v a i l a b i l i t y data. P a r a m e t e r s of interest of are p r e c i p i t a t i o n , d i s c h a r g e , t y p e of s o i l , land u s e , l a n d t r e a t m e n t , e t c . 4.1 .1 Precipitation Records T h e r e are 48 s i t e s in a n d a r o u n d the whole catchment of D . G . K h a n Hill t o r r e n t s , w h e r e p r e c i p i t a t i o n r e c o r d s have been o b s e r v e d from time to time. T h e r e is h a r d l y any station where c o n t i n u o u s r e c o r d s have been o b s e r v e d . and T a b l e - 4 . 1 lists the names of r a i n g a u g e s i t e s , their location periods of record which are shown 4.2. Most of t h e s e s t a t i o n s are operated b y I r r i g a t i o n in Exhibit Departments of G o v e r n m e n t s of P u n j a b a n d B a l o c h i s t a n , while some are s u p e r v i s e d b y the d i s t r i c t a d m i n i s t r a t i o n a u t h o r i t i e s or S u r f a c e Water H y d r o l o g y Project, WAPDA. Raingauge stations measuring rainfall in the catchment of K a h a are Barkhan, Rakni, Chacha, Vitakri, Chhajar, Muranj, Bewatta and R a r h a n . western than part 25 y e a r s years records. of catchment, record, is the Mat, only Jam Ali, Barkhan station, Ziarat Sheru, located on which has thé more w h i l e remaining stations have less than 15 F o r t M u n r o r a i n g a u g e station l y i n g in close v i c i n i t y Page 1 of 3 TABLE-•k. 1 LIST OF RAIN GAUGE STATIONS IN DG KHAN AND ADJOINING AREA (Meters) Sr. 1; No. i ! 1- Name of Station J 2 : Ali pur* A * | River J Latitude J1 Longitude 1 Elevation J Basin J 4 3 1 5 : 6 i i • A T 29°20 ' 70° 50' 102 29° 34' 69?. 3 2' 1,112 2- Barkhan 3- Bandlukh 30° 10' 7C°18' 4- Bandukh 30° 09' 56- 196Ö-1965 1975-1982 527 Vidor 1976-1981 70° 13* 899 Vidor 1975-1981 31 02' 70° 14' 904 11 1964-1966 30" 08' 70° 10' . 1,045 tt 1975-1981 30° 01' 69° 5' Kaha 1975-1988 30° 34' 70° 22' 556 Sanghar 1956-1958 Chacha 29° 49' 69°50' 969 Kaha 1961-1967 Chachar 29'23' 69° 50' 533 Chachar 1975-1987. 30° 02' 69° 44' 1,219 Kaha 1980-1988' 29° 03' 69° 08' 457 - 1962-1969 ' - 1946-1975 fl Bangu Bun • Beria Bewatta 8- Bharti 10- 1946-1975 Kaha 7- 9- Period of Record 7 ** ** 1,128 ** 1112- Chhajra Dera Bugti * 13- DG Khan * 30° 04' 70°38' 122 14- Fort Munro 29° 56' 69°58' 1,981 Mithawan 1947-1968 1975-1989' 15- Fort Sandeman* 31° 20' 69° 28' 1,417 - 1960-1978 16- Hingluin 30° 28' 70° 03' 937 Sanghar 1954-1959 17- Jampur 29° 59* 70°3b' 1 17 18- Janm Ali 29° 24' 69° 21' 19- Kala Mar 30° 46' 20- Kalkhas 21- Kingri * - 1946-1975 762 Kaha 1965-1966 70° 17' 592 Sanghar 1975-1981 29° 21' 69° 4 2' 722 Chachar 1952-1957 1961-1964 30° 27' 69° 4 y' 1 ,219 Sanghar Kohlu* 29° 54' 69° 14' 1,167 Mard Bun 30° 18' 70° 07' 1,829 vidor 1959-1968 1975-1989 24- Mat 29 43 69° 41' 853 Kaha 1975-1988 25- Mi hal 30°05' 70°06* 1,793 26- Moli Bun 29°5l' 70°08' 427 27- Mubarki 30°15' 70°07' 2,063 28- Multan 30°10' 71°25* 123 29- Murunj 29°3o' 69°37' 7 01 30- Musa Khel 30°42' 69 50' 1,347 31- Muzaffargarh' 30°04' 71°12' 116 32- Nandi Ghar 30°19' 70°2l' 610 Sori Lund 1975-1981 33- Nelo Har 31°08' 70 21 472 Vehowa 1980 34- Nili Lakri 29°24' 69°54' 488 Chachar 1961-1964 35- Nonkandki 30 28 70°18' 686 Sanghar 1975-1981 36- Nul Gaz I 29 14 683 Sori Janubi 1965-1966 37- Rajan Pur* I 29 20 102 38- Rakhi Muhn 29 57 t • 325 | 351 22- O ** 1 O e O I O | O 69 34 o » o » o I 39- Rarkan 40- Rakhani 30 03 41- Sakhi Sarwar 29 58 42- Sangha Sluf 30 16 O 70 50 O 70-10 O 30 17 ** • I O O O ' 69 53 » O I 579 70 18 ? O 70 15 4-4 Mithawan t 789 1975-1981 ii 1975-1981 Vidor 1947-1948 1955-1958 1959-1980 Kaha 1954-1957 1961-1965 1977-1988 Sanghar 1946-1965 1946-1975 1946-1975 Mithawan 1962-1963 1962-1963 Kaha 1961-1963 1,094 \ 69 -55 I 196 3-1974 1961-1963 Sakhi Sarwar 1975-1981 Vidor 1959-1960 1975-1981 43- Shadani 29° 13' 44- Sori 29 07 45- Siah Tang 29 08 46- Taunsa* 30°42 47- Vitakri ** * 29°4l' 48- * Ziarat ** Sheru O I O I 29° 37* 69° 53* 427 Pitok 1961-1963 1975-1981 O I 183 Sori' Shumali 1961-1963 1975-1981 o » 632 Sori Janubi 1965-1966 o t 173 69 54 69 25 70 38 O I 69 23 69° 56' 1946-1980 937 M' Kaha 1961--1966 Kaha 1961-1964 1976-1988 8 Stations located outside catchment area of D.G. Khan Hill Torrents. **Stations measuring Rainfall of Kaha 4rJ Hill Torrent. / of the The catchment récords of area, these has 35 y e a r s r e c o r d stations are mostly with short the form in breaks. of daily precipitation. Hourly r e c o r d s are not available for any station the area. Therefore, pattern, catchment for the intensity in data from n e a r b y h y d r o l o g i c a l l y homogenous stations outside the catchment area have been used. hydrometeorologic similarity hourly precipitation 4.1.2 Kohlu which satisfies has been selected for d a t a to w a t e r s h e d of Kaha Hill Discharge and R u n - o f f the condition transposition forms Long-term flood the Data control plan the flow the gauge stone of an of form of management projects. of Kaha stage been The q u a n t i t y and q u a l i t y uncertainty Hill T o r r e n t for 1958 to installed at the s p e c i f i c times d u r i n g the f l o o d . stage the is all flood read developed by and of of data consequently the of d e s i g n . r e c o r d s of has area. probability economie v i a b i l i t y in corner determinant data of s u r f a c e flows g r e a t l y facilitate the formulation determine The of Torrent. R e a l i s t i c estimation of d i s c h a r g e and r u n - o f f is the major which of from using at its d a r r a h are available 1964 and 1975 to 1989. darrah the to r e c o r d Staff stage at The d i s c h a r g e c o r r e s p o n d i n g to a stage discharge c r o s s - s e c t i o n s and curve. hydraulic This curve parameters is with the aid of L a c e y ' s F o r m u l a : Q = *A * R 2 / 3 — * S e 1 / 3 Where Q is d i s c h a r g e in cumecs at the c r o s s - s e c t i o n with area in sq.meter slope of the and hydraulic energy gradiënt. after the flood s u b s i d e s . etc, of the n a l l a h at t h i s the values of AaR discontinued during mean d e p t h The * R in m e t e r . S c r o s s - s e c t i o n s are is the observed S i n c e the b e d , r o u g h n e s s and the w i d t h location do not change w i t h time, hence remam constant. 1965-1 974, but Data observation V e r y few complete h y d r o g r a p h s are a v a i l a b l e . corresponding to or was the data gaps have been f i l l e d synthetically. rising g A Stages r e c e s s i o n limbs of the h y d r o g r a p h are generally two missing. successive T h e time i n t e r v a l stages is too long for hill torrents a n d , thus explicitly of defined. peak through between the measurement the r a p i d l y varying of flow of s h a p e of the r u n - o f f h y d r o g r a p h cannot be T h u s a v a i l a b l e data is only u s e f u l for a n a l y s i s discharge. Estimation of volume of flood water passing, the d a r r a h f o r v a r i o u s p e r i o d s or the determination of the s h a p e of the h y d r o g r a p h is not f e a s i b l e . The o b s e r v a t i o n sites a r e g e n e r a l l y manned by s e m i - l i t e r a t e persóns and are located and streneous in areas, efforts are where a p p r o a c h c o n d i t i o n s required for are difficult s u p e r v i s i o n of f i e l d staff. T h e s e f a c t o r s t o g e t h e r w i t h lack of u n d e r s t a n d i n g t o w a r d s importance of data o b s e r v a t i o n h a v e a f f e c t e d the q u a l i t y of d a t a . The r e s u l t s derived from this d a t a , therefore, c a r r y with them the same amount of data o b s e r v a t i o n . uncertainty obviate as is inherent the s h o r t c o m i n g s of the have been u s e d to s u p p l e m e n t characteristics. in Different In order to data, various synthetic techniques the data and to determine hydraulic statistical p r o c e d u r e s were employed to a r r i v é at the r e a l i s t i c d e s i g n p a r a m e t e r s . 4.2 S T R E A M FLOW D A T A 4.2.1 Frequency Analysis ANALYSIS H y d r o l o g i e phenomena g e n e r a l l y complex n a t u r a l requires the exceeding appropriate Both and events. knowledge an assumed result as a c o n s e q u e n c e of S t r u c t u r a l measures for flood management of probability magnitude and of o c c u r r e n c e of risk analysis an event studies for designing. u n d e r - d e s i g n or o v e r - d e s i g n of s t r u c t u r e s demerits. against highly losses Designing a structure may be i m p r a c t i c a b l e 4-7 to have their provide total due to p r o h i b i t i v e merits protection cost, while low l e v e l s of structure protection may result and excessive flood in u n b e a r a b l e damage for losses in the Project a r e a . the Thus, r i s k a n a l y s i s forms the f o u n d a t i o n for e f f i c i ë n t and economical d e s i g n of all h y d r a u l i c Many structures. probability hydrologie Gumbel distributions frequency Distribution have analysis. are been f o u n d The preferably to be u s e f u l for Type-111 and Log-Pearson used for flood The e v i d e n c e g i v e n in s u p p o r t of v a r i o u s d i s t r i b u t i o n to fit the p l o t t e d data of one or more streams*. computation. is the Various statistical t e c h n i q u e s c a n be u s e d to f i n d , w h i c h of t h é d i s t r i b u t i o n s better fit ability gives a to the d a t a . A v a i l a b l e d i s c h a r g e r e c o r d s w i t h the data gaps f i l l e d in were u s e d for frequency Type-111 the distributions C h i - S q u a r e Test better 1.2.1.1 analysis. fit Gumbel a n d Log Pearson have been u s e d for f r e q u e n c y a n a l y s i s and was Gumbel, used to Log f i n d which of the distributions the d a t a . Selection of Data S e r i e s Two t y p e s of data are g e n e r a l l y u s e d for flood management - the partial duration studies s e r i e s a n d the extreme value s e r i e s . The extreme v a l u e s e r i e s i n c l u d e the l a r g e s t flood peak or smallest low flow v a l u e s with each v a l u e s e l e c t e d from w i t h i n equal time i n t e r v a l s in the year record. The time interval is u s u a l l y t a k e n as one a n d the s e r i e s so s e l e c t e d is the A n n u a l S e r i e s . water For l a r g e s t a n n u a l d i s c h a r g e peak it is c a l l e d A n n u a l Maximum S e r i e s . In p a r t i a l duration that are g r e a t e r selected flood s e r i e s , the data c o n s i s t of all peak than a c e r t a i n base v a l u e . as equal to in e a c h year the is lowest included. annual discharges T h e base is g e n e r a l l y flood so that at least one However, in a long record the base is g e n e r a l l y r a i s e d so that on the average o n l y three to four floods that a year each are peak included. be T h e only other individual i.e., be r e c e s s i o n in s t o r a g e a n d d i s c h a r g e . year is the most Series. frequent Infrequently, w h i c h is omitted floods. This listing all objection the separated floods that listed might be s e c o n d highest flood substantial in a g i v e n may o u t r a n k is resolved in p a r t i a l are greater than an by is to the use of A n n u a l Maximum rriany duration year, annual series a s e l e c t e d base r e g a r d to n u m b e r w i t h i n a n y g i v e n p e r i o d . floods followed T h e use of only flood in each in the above d e f i n i t i o n objection criterion by without T h e g r e a t e r number advantage particularly if the r e c o r d of is short. H o w e v e r , most of the additional floods are of low d i s c h a r g e and on lie defined. that The part high of the discharge those in annual f l o o d frequency floods curve, where are g e n e r a l l y it is well identical with series. T h e stream flow r e c o r d s a r e available with a b r e a k of 10 y e a r s a n d the missing data has to be s y n t h e t i c a l l y generated. For annual s e r i e s , g e n e r a t i o n of h i g h e s t p e a k s of the missing p e r i o d is r e q u i r e d while for partial have to be data duration evaluated. cannot match s e r i e s the peaks above a t h r e s h o l d The with reliability that g e n e r a t e d v a l u e s in the d a t a , the r e s u l t s . and p a r t i a l there of of synthetically observed data. the more u n c e r t a i n level generated The more the are l i k e l y to be M o r e o v e r , f r o m the r e l a t i o n s h i p between extreme v a l u e duration is v e r y series, it little difference is clear that for in the magnitude higher discharges of the flood p e a k s g i v e n b y the two s e r i e s . 4.2.1.2 S y n t h e t i c G e n e r a t i o n of S t r e a m Flow Data Peak flow r e c o r d s for K a h a Hill T o r r e n t are available f r o m 1959-1964 and 1 975-1 989 as s h o w n on T a b l e 4 . 2 . during the period 1955-1974. Data o b s e r v a t i o n was s t o p p e d Stream flow data could not be TABLE 4.2 SYNTHETIC GENERATION OF MISSING STREAM FLOW DATA CUMULATIVE MAXIMUM PEAK DISCHARGE KAHA HILL TORRENT YEAR 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 * PEAK DISCHARGE IN CUSECS 17859 51017 25448 18978 23602 78264 32300 30575 118500 70500 70519 55322 39960 39800 48000 55483 57226 50000 55000 84820 CUMULATIVE DISCHARGE DATA MAXIMUM WITH GENERATED PEAK FIGURES DISCHARGES IN CUSECS CUSECS CUMECS 17859 68876 94324 113302 136904 215168 237378 279378 323378 369378 419378 468378 519378 562378 618378 659378 701193 733493 764068 882568 953068 1023587 1078909 1118869 1158669 1206669 1262152 1319378 1369378 1424378 1509198 17859 51017 25448 18978 23602 78264 22210 42000 44000 46000 50000 49000 51000 43000 56000 41000 41815 32300 30575 118500 70500 70519 55322 39960 39800 48000 55483 57226 50000 55000 84 8 20 *Sou.rce I r r i g a t i o n Department,Punjab * * S y n t h e t i c a l l y Generated Figures 506 1444 721 537 668 2216 629 1189 * 1246 * 1302 1416 1387 1444 1217 1586 * 1161 1184 •X 915 866 3355 1996 1997 1566 1131 1127 1359 1571 1620 1416 1557 2401 Jr synthetically generated was also m i s s i n g for tried to s y n t h e s t z e on the the b a s i s of same p e r i o d . precipitation data, which Various alterhatives the m i s s i n g flood flow data. were T h e r e was some o v e r l a p of p r e c i p i t a t i o n r e c o r d of some of the stations in the area or the r e c o r d s of in close v i c i n i t y of project. The p r e c i p i t a t i o n the following r a i n g a u g e s t a t i o n s was u s e d to develop c o r r e l a t i o n s h i p : i- Fort M u n r o w i t h (1955 - 1 989) Barkhan (1960-65\& ii- F o r t Munro w i t h (1955 - 1989) Murunj (1961-1965 & 1977 to 1988) iii- K o h l u (out of project area) w i t h Murunj (1963 - 1973) 1961-1965 & 1977 to 1988) In addition, precipitation of F o r t 1975 to 1 982) M u n r o a n d annual flood peak the ' D a r r a h ' was u s e d to develop some r e l a t i o n s h i p . correlation coëfficiënt at The v a l u e of r a n g e d from 0.1 to 0.6 w h i c h was v e r y low. Hence this method was d i s c a r d e d . It was Power reported by Department, the concerned engineers of the Irrigation & G o v e r n m e n t of P u n j a b that the p e r i o d 1 965 to 1971 was a low flow d r y p e r i o d in D G K h a n a r e a . of precipitation this period. and flood flow records were to g e n e r a t e flood flows for filling which data during Deletion of t h i s p e r i o d from f r e q u e n c y a n a l y s i s would of data g a p s is u n k n o w n data is k n o w n , it return periods. the m i s s i n g p e r i o d , a method was t r i e d which would o n l y p r o d u c e normal For Observation discontinued p r o d u c e b i a s e d and h i g h e r flood flows for d i f f e r e n t In o r d e r between flows. has been assumed that adjacent to the g r o u p the y e a r s for of y e a r s for which e x p e r i e n c e d similar meteorological c o n d i t i o n s . this assumption can f u r t h e r be e x t e n d e d to the point that adjacant y e a r s e x p e r i e n c e d floods h a v i n g similar m a g n i t u d e s . K e e p i n g in view above mentioned has been b y the following assumption method. the missing data the generated The cumulative d i s c h a r g e s f i g u r e s are plotted k e e p i n g y e a r s in t h e i r log side s e q u e n c e on the a b c i s s a and d i s c h a r g e s on ( F i g . 1.1). extra-polating it on a s e m i - l o g paper From the upto the plotted last year points, for a curve which data is is dravvn unknown. D i s c h a r g e s of the s e c o n d g r o u p are added in the last e x t r a - p o l a t e d c u m u l a t i v e d i s c h a r g e f i g u r e s to get the cumulative d i s c h a r g e f i g u r e s for each of these y e a r s . second group are plotted the c u r v e is c h e c k e d . curve then T h e cumulative d i s c h a r g e f i g u r e s of the curve and If is are r e a d from conformity with readjusted until curve conforms but be of to all the the f i t t e d c u r v e and from these a n n u a l peak T h i s method has is the only way that c o u l d be u t i l i z e d u n d e r present conditions. cannot trend C u m u l a t i v e d i s c h a r g e s for the m i s s i n g d i s c h a r g e f i g u r e s c a n be determined ( T a b l e - 1 . 2 ) . its limitations the they do not conform to the t r e n d of the observed discharge figures. years then the B y the use of t h i s method, the abnormal e v e n t s identified. From the s t u d i e s of f l o o d d a m a g e s , it is e v i d e n t that t h i s p e r i o d d i d not e x p e r i e n c e any u n u s u a l e v e n t . 1.2.1.3 Gumbel or T y p e - I Extremal Distribution T h i s is one of the most w i d e l y used d i s t r i b u t i o n s in flood f r e q u e n c y , analysis. the Two probability distribution extra-polation papers so ordinate the the and probability that plotted data can be e a s i l y a n a l y s e d or cömparison p u r p o s e s . denotes representing p a p e r s have been d e s i g n e d to l i n e a r i z e return period magnitude the other paper has of log been The a b c i s s a of both these in y e a r s , while o r d i n a t e the fór event. One p a p e r ordinate. Plotting determined by has linear position using is for on the the Wiebull's Formula: T ~ r Where ' T record, maximum is m is n * m return rank peak (Table-1.3) 1 period of the discharge determined by in n is number in order of magnitude. corresponding to event this years, formula are the of years return plotted on of Annual period Extremal TAB LH 4 .3 ANNUAL MAXIMUM FLOOD FREOUENCY ANALYSIS KAHA HILL TORRENT RIVER SITE PERIOD OF DATA AVAILABLE NUMBER OF YEARS RECORD ( N ) YEAR KAHA DARRAH 1 959 TO 31 1989 PROBABILITY ANALYSIS PEAK YEAR DISCHARGE RANK RETURN PROBABILITY DISCHARGE IN DESCENDPERIOD OF 1 IN CUMECS ING ORDER (YEAR) EXCEEDENCE CUMECS (X) 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 19 74 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 L9.8 4 L985 198 6 19 8 7 1980 19 8 9 506 1444 721 537 668 2216 629 1189 1246 1302 1416 1387 14 4 4 1217 1586 1161 1184 915 866 3355 1996 1 9 97 1566 1131 1127 1359 1571 1620 1416 1557 2 401 1978 198 9 1964 1980 1979 1986 1973 1985 1981 1988 1971 1960 1969 1987 1970 1984 1968 1967 1972 1966 1975 .1974 1982 1983 1976 1977 1961 1963 1965 1962 1959 3355 2401 2216 1997 1996 1620 1586 1571 15 66 1557 1444 1444 1416 1416 1387 1359 1302 1246 1217 1189 1184 1161 1131 1127 915 866 721 6 68 629 537 50 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 . 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 3U 31 32 16 10 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 00 00 67 00 40 33 57 00 56 20 91 67 46 29 13 00 88 78 68 60 52 45 39 33 28 23 19 14 10 07 03 3 13 6 25 9 38 12 50 15 63 18 75 21 88 25 00 28 13 31 25 34 38 37 50 40 63 4 3 75 4 6 88 5 0 00 53 13 56 25 59 38 62 50 65 63 68 75 71 88 7 5 00 78 13 8 1 25 8 4 38 87 50 90 63 93 75 9688 Type-I probability plotted points. paper and a straight Return periods or line is f i t t e d t h r o u g h probability of the occurrence or exceedence of an e v e n t is t h e n determined from the f i t t e d l i n e . Statistical parameters deviation. can be for this distribution are mean and S t a n d a r d T h e d i s c h a r g e c o r r e s p o n d i n g to a c e r t a i n r e t u r n p e r i o d determined by using these parameters in the simplified equation of Gumbel D i s t r i b u t i o n : Q Where Q Q-j- r = Q Ir T is is the Linear - 0 . 4 5 S ~ + 0.7797 S In T U Lj r n mean, Standard deviation SQ magnitude of the event of d i s c h a r g e data with r e t u r n p e r i o d T . and The G u m b e l , L o g G u m b e l a n d Gumbel Equation r e s u l t s are g i v e n in Table 4.4 a n d s h o w n i n F i g s . 4 . 2 to 4 . 3 . 4.2.1.4 L o g - P e a r s o n Type-111 Distribution Log-Pearson Distribution for Type-lil extreme value series. log-normal distribution parameters - co-efficient are u s e d f o r c u r v e , factor K^ The with Log-Mean, is one of the most widely skew distribution = 0. Log-Standard conforms The Deviation üsed to the three statistica! and Log-skew L o g - P e a r s o n Type-111 D i s t r i b u t i o n . Skew f o r e a c h r e t u r n p e r i o d is obtained from T a b l e - 4 . 5 . r A n n u a l maximum peak d i s c h a r g e s , Q y , with r e t u r n p e r i o d T r have f been obtained b y u s i n g the f o l l o w i n g e q u a t i o n : Log Q Where L o g J r Q = Log Q is Log K Mean of Standard Deviation and to r e t u r n p e r i o d T r + J S r the LogQ peak discharges, and L o g Skewness Co-efficient G|_ gQ. 0 £ L o g Q. S Log Q = N I ^ Log is the s k e w c u r v e factor c o r r e s p o n d i n g terms can be d e f i n e d m a t h e m a t i c a l l y a s : Log Q = Q, ( L ° 9 Q - Log Q ) (N-1 )* 2 ]*. These TABLE -4.4 GUMBEL DISTRIBUTION RESULTS (KAHA HILL TORRENT) „ . , Return Period, Years DISCHARGE IN CUMECS (CUSECS) FROM Linear Gumbel Paper Log Gumbel Paper Gumbel Equation 2.33 1,399 (49,420) 1 ,400 (49,500) 1,499 (52,965) 5 1 ,858 (65,810) 1 ,770 (62,500) 1,844 (65,131) 10 2,241 (79,160) . .2, 152 (76,000) 2,157 (76,175) 25 2,661 (94,000) 2,732 (96,500) 2,570 (90,774) SITE . DARRAH RIVER. KAHA HILL TORRENT I 03 FEDERAL FLOOO COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOO PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILLTORRENT DISCHARGE FREQUENCY CURVES LOG GUMBEL A N A L Y S I S NATIONAL e m j W K R I H B SCRVICCS PAKISTAN (PVT)LTO LHK I* f t t t h t h l wit» H A R T A e N 0 I M t e « I H 9 C 0 M M H Y A H 0 I A M « 6 ASSOCIATES 10 101 1-2 1-3 l~* 1-3 3 4 Recurrence 3 6 7 8 9 . Intervol, in Yeors 10 20 30 FIG.4.3 M.BIUAL TABLE-4.5 SKEW CURVE FACTORS -K- FOR USE WITH LOG PEARSON TYPE III DISTRIBUTION Coëfficiënt or Skew (g) 3.0 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 -.1 : -.2 -.3 - .4 -.5 -.6 -.7 -.8 -.9 -1 .0 -1.2 -1.4 -1.6 -1.8 -2.0 -2.2 -2.5 -3.0 Recurrence Interval in Years 2 5 50 20 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 396 360 330 307 282 254 225 195. 164 148 132 116 099 083 066 050 033 017 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 017 033 050 066 083 099 116 132 148 164 195\ 225/ 254 282 307 330 360 396 10 25 100 Per cent Chance of Occurrence 200 1000 10 4 2 1 0.5 0.1 1.180 1.2S0 1.284 1.302 1.318 1.329 1.3371.340 1.340 1.339 1.336 1.333 1.328 1.323 1.317 1.309 1.301 1.292 2 278 2 262 2 240 2 219 2 193 2 163 2 128 2 087 2.043 2.018 1.998 1.967 1.939 1 910 1.880 1 849 1 818 1.785 1 152 3 048 2 970 2.912 2 848 2 780 2 706 2 626 2 542 2 498 2 453 2 407 2 359 2 311 2 261 2 211 2 159 2 107 4.051 3 845 3 705 3 605 3 489 3 383 3 271 3 149 3 022 2 957 2 891 2 824 2 755 2 886 2 615 2 544 2 472 2 400 4 970 4 652 4 444 4 298 4 147 3 590 3 828 3 661 3.489 3 401 3 312 3 .223 3 132 3 041 2 949 2 856 : 2 763 2 670 7^250 6.600 6.200 5.910 5.660 5. 390 5.110 4.820 4.540 4.395 4.250 4.105 3.960 3.815 3.670 3.525 3.380 3.235 0 847 1.282 1.751 2 054 2 326 2 .576 3.090 0 836 0 850 0 853 0 853 0 856 0 857 0 857 0 856 0 854 0 852 0 844\ 0 832/ 0 817 0 799 0 777 0 .752 0 711 0 636 1.270 1.258 1.245 1.231 1.216 1.200 1.183 1.166 1.147 1.228 1.086\ 1 716 1 680 1.643 1.6061 1. 567J 1 528 1.488 1.448 1 407 1.366 1.282} 1 198/ 1.116 1 035 0 959 0 .888 0 .793 0 666 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 482 2 388 2 294 2 .201 2 108 2 016 1 926 1 837 1 749 1 664 1 501 1 351 1 216 1 097 0 995 0 907 0 800 0 667 2.950 2.810 2.675 2.540 2.400 2.275 2.150 2.035 1.910 1.800 1.625 1.465 1.280 1.130 1.000 0.910 0.802 0.668 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 420 518 574 609 643 675 705 732 758 769 780 790 800 808 816 824 830 836 1.04JV 0.994 0.945 O'(095 0.844 0.771 0.660 000 945 890 834 777 720 663 606 549 492 37§ 270 166 069 980 900 798 666 \ 252 178 104 029 955 880 806 733 660 588 449]1 318 197 087 990 905 799 667 Q [ ^ _ L Q °9 (Log Q - Log Q ) J ] ! (N-1) (N-2) (S L o g Q ) 3 N is number of y e a r s of r e c o r d . The three statistical parameters peak d i s c h a r g e data and are have been periods of Fig.4.4 used have been calculated g i v e n on T a b l e 4 . 6 . to e v a l u a t e flood peaks using These parameters corresponding to return 2 . 3 3 , 5 , 10 a n d 25 y e a r s and are l i s t e d in T a b l e shows the plotting These of the discharges on Log 4.7. Normal Probability Paper. \ 4.2.1.5 S e l e c t i o n of F r e q u e n c y The frequency historical for c u r v e s / l i n e s have been f i t t e d t h r o u g h d a t a on Gumbel Powell p r o b a b i l i t y log o r d i n a t e ) paper Distribution: f o r Gumbel D i s t r i b u t i o n Log Pearson T y p e - I II is the more g o o d n e s s of streams. fit of the Goodness of ( b o t h w i t h linear and on l o g - n o r m a l Distribution. c r i t e r i a f o r s e l e c t i o n of a d i s t r i b u t i o n . of There of and probability is no set O n l y c r i t e r i a that is followed distribution fit the plots the to the data of frequency curves one or to the h i s t o r i c a l / s y n t h e s i z e d data have been c h e c k e d b y C h i - S q u a r e T e s t — ' . The magnitudes goodness of fit compared f o r torrent. of Chi-Square determine the of the f r e q u e n c y c u r v e , have been w o r k e d out and all the t h r e e The distribution parameters which t y p e s of f r e q u e n c y c u r v e s for each hill g i v i n g least value of C h i - S q u a r e parameter is the best fit and is s e l e c t e d for determination of the peak d i s c h a r g e s c o r r e s p o n d i n g to v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s . the best result and the peak d i s c h a r g e s as estimated for r e t u r n p e r i o d is 2,662 cumecs (94,000 4.3 PRECIPITATION DATA Short that length the of results 25-year cfs). ANALYSIS historical derived flood flow data and its q u a l i t y from s u c h and s u p p o r t e d by a d d i t i o n a l W L i n e a r Gumbel has shown data should studies. Handbook of A p p l i e d H y d r o l o g y by V . T . C h o w . be warrant supplemented TABLE 4.6 FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS LOG PEARSON TYPE III DISTRIBUTION RIVER SITE PERIOD OF DATA AVAILABLE NUMBER OF YEARS RECORD (N) =KAHA HILL TORRENT =DARRAH = 1959 1989 = 31 LOG MEAN OF DISCHARGE...^ = LOG STD. DEVIATION OF DISCHARGE..= LOG SKEW COEFF = KTR ( 25.00 YEARS RETUR\N PERI0D)= LOG QTR. .= DISCHARGE(CUMECS) ..= PEAK DISCHARGE CUSECS CUMECS YEAR M * II " 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 198 6 1987 1988 1989 II * ** l l * "* II 17859 51017 25448 18978 23602 78264 22210 42000 44000 46000 50000 49000 51000 43000 56000 41000 41815 32300 30575 118500 70500 70519 55322 39960 39800 48000 55483 57226 50000 55000 84820 II * ** It LOG (Q) ** II * ** II 506 1444 721 •, 537 668 2216 629 1189 124 6 1302 1416 1387 1444 1217 1586 1161 1184 915 866 3355 1996 1997 156 6 1131 1127 1359 1571 1620 1416 1557 2401 3.1022565 0.1858652 -0.298242 1.647 3.4083766 2561 2 . 704 3 .160 2 .858 2 . 730 2 .825 3 . 346 2 .799 3 .075 3 .095 3 .115 3 .151 3 .142 3 .160 3 .085 3 . 200 3 .065 3 .073 2 .961 2 . 937 3 . 526 3 . 300 3 . 300 3 .195 3 . 05 4 3 . 052 3 .133 3 .196 3 .210 3 .151 3 . 192 3 . 380 (TABLE) LOG DIFF . SQUARE LOG DIFF . v "* t l " " 11 * v H A ** ~ -0.398 0.057 -0.245 -0.372 -0.277 0.243 -0.304 -0.027 -0.007 0.012 0.049 0.040 0.057 -0.017 0.098 -0.037 -0.029 -0.141 -0.165 0.423 0.198 0.198 0 .093 -0.049 -0.050 0. 031 0.094 0. 107 0.049 0 .090 0 . 278 ~ II - v II *• ~ II "* II 0 .159 0 . 003 0 . 060 0 .138 0 .077 0 . 059 0 .092 0 .001 0 .000 0 . 000 0 .002 0 . 002 0 .003 0 .000 0 .010 0 .001 0 .001 0 .020 0 . 027 0 .179 0 . 039 0 .039 0 . 009 0 .002 0 . 003 0 001 0 009 0 012 0 002 0 008 0 077 LOG DIFF. CUBE A ** II * -0. 063 0.000 -0. 015 -0 .051 -0. 021 0 .014 -0. 028 -0. 000 -0. 000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0. 000 0 .001 -0. 000 -0. 000 -0. 003 -0. 004 0 .076 0 .008 0. 008 0.001 -0 .000 -0 .000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0 .000 0 .001 0.022 TABLE -4.7 LOG PEARSON TYPE III DISTRIBUTION RESULTS RETURN PERIOD U t ó ^ Y PEAK DISCHARGE CUMECS (CUSECS) 2.33 1,292 (45,630) 5 1,823 (64,390) 10 2,158 (76,220) 25 2,561 (90,450) T h e r e is n e g l i g i b l e s n o w f a l l in the catchments of K a h a Hill t o r r e n t and flood flows precipitation are caused by rainfall only. A network of m e a s u r i n g s t a t i o n s e x i s t s in the catchment area and a r e l a t i v e l y l o n g e r p e r i o d of r e c o r d of some of the s t a t i o n s is a v a i l a b l e . T h i s data has been u t i l i z e d to estimate flood p e a k s , flood h y d r o g r a p h s and volume major of annual run-off with monthly distribution hill t o r r e n t s a n d also at other points of i n t e r e s t for return periods. 4.3.1, for the different k Rainfall Pattern and D i s t r i b u t i o n P r e c i p i t a t i o n r e c o r d s of the sites were tabulated a n d maximum r a i n f a l l for various periods i . e . , monsoon period computed. (June Annual one day to seven d a y s , 15 d a y s , m o n t h l y , to and September) monsoon and annual isohyetal maps rainfall were were prepared ( E x h i b i t 4 . 1 ) , w h i c h i n d i c a t e d that r a i n f a l l is minimum at the s o u t h e r n extremity The of the rainfall north-western rainfall a r e a a n d is maximum in the n o r t h - w e s t e r n generally part of of the o r d e r increases the at high area, there altitudes. part. In the is an e l l i p s o i d a l belt with of 380mm (15 inches) w i t h Musa K h e l as one of the foei of the e l l i p t i c a l a r e a . faking into isopercentals, consideration the the area of catchment been d i v i d e d into t h r e e The boundaries boundaries divided of of hill into two or annual zones. the more are so that than two and D . G . K h a n Hill Zone I, zones torrents isohyetes II a n d III marked along none of parts, complicate the a n a l y s i s u n n e c e s s a r i l y . the monsoon Torrents (Exhibit the hill has 4.1). catchment torrents w h i c h would is otherwise In t h i s way K a h a Hill T o r r e n t falls i n Z o n e - l l l . Zone-I ft). is the area w i t h the maximum altitudes of about 600m (2,000 The rainfall in this area is minimum and varies between 125mm to 250mm (5 i n c h e s to 10 i n c h e s ) , of w h i c h 65 p e r c e n t f a l l s during monsoon. Zone-lll is the area with maximum altitudes. T h e maximum e l e v a t i o n in t h i s area are a r o u n d 3,000m (10,000 This 1_/ area is of maximum precipitation and a n n u a l Planning and Design R e p o r t , Volume-I, D . G . K h a n Hill T o r r e n t s , N E S P A K - 1 984. Flood rainfall ft). varies Management of from about nèarly 250mm 55 p e r c e n t to 370mm (10 falls in i n c h e s to 15 i n c h e s ) , monsoon. Storm sizes d u r i n g are. of medium to h i g h i n t e n s i t y with s h o r t 4.3.2 of which monsoon durations. Design Storm Analysis of rainfall records follow a s e t p a t t e r n . , indicates that r a i n storms generally T h e r e a r e winter r a i n s w h i c h s t a r t i n J a n u a r y and c o n t i n u e i n t e r m i t t e n t l y t i l l A p r i l . T h e i n t e n s i t y vof these r a i n s is low and areal e x t e n t is g e n e r a l l y l i m i t e d . M o r e o v e r , the i n t e r v a l between one s h o w e r a n d the o t h e r is often so long that a n t e c e d e n t moisture almost t o t a l l y e v a p o r a t e s b e f o r e the onset of the next and consequently they On the other hand, produce a very rain low p e r c e n t a g e of r u n - o f f . - monsoon season which s t a r t s from June a n d lasts t i l l S e p t e m b e r e x p e r i e n c e s r a i n f a l l storms of moderate i n t e n s i t y and extensive areal coverage. The interval between the two c o n s e c u t i v e storms is r e l a t i v e l y s m a l l , w h i c h keeps the soil m o i s t u r e high and d e p r e s s i o n s f i l l e d so that a n y s i g n i f i c a n t amount of r a i n f a l l is u s u a l l y reflected in a h i g h flood with high damage potential in the a r e a . It i s , t h e r e f o r e , more e x p e d i ë n t that d e s i g n storm s h o u l d bè s e l e c t e d from the p a t t e r n of the monsoon s e a s o n . Master p l a n n i n g s t u d i e s c a r r i e d for D . G . K h a n H i l l T o r r e n t s i n d i c a t e d that flood management m e a s u r e s f o r Hill T o r r e n t s s h o u l d be d e s i g n e d for a theoretical return and estimated c o s t s f o r period of about 2 5 - y e a r . Flood damages v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s were a n n u t i z e d a n d c u r v e s were d r a w n f o r major h i l l t o r r e n t s of the a r e a . design return period y e a r s to 29 y e a r s . was determined w h i c h v a r i e d from a b o u t 20 From these v a l u e s an average of about 2 5 - y e a r was t a k e n f o r d e s i g n p u r p o s e s . K a h a Hill T o r r e n t b e i n g a component of D . G . K h a n a r e a is p r o p o s e d to be managed for period. has It been conditions T h e optimal the same r e t u r n may be c l a r i f i e d that the 2 5 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d adopted wherein for the design a free-board of of 1.5m structures under flood normal has been p r o v i d e d over the maximum d e s i g n flood l e v e l . U n d e r e x c e p t i o n a l c o n d i t i o n s when floods to of higher magnitude are be passed for short durations the s t r u c t u r e s will be able to c a t e r for the same t h r o u g h e n c r o a c h ment on free-board without overtopping. Under exceptional c i r c u m s t a n c e s the s t r u c t u r e s w i l l , t h e r e f o r e , b e able to p a s s floods of upto 100-year r e t u r n p e r i o d w i t h minor damage to downstream protection. F o r s y n t h e s i s of r u n - o f f f r o m p r e c i p i t a t i o n , the shape of the r u n - o f f hydrograph a day, than is g o v e r n e d b y especially for one d a y . data, the d i s t r i b u t i o n catchments with times in p e a k s ^ h a t precipitation a r e too low. distribution It is t h e r e f o r e , non-availability of h o u r l y rainfall is The for linear one Gumbel method day * Munro, maximum Barkhan, raingauge has been u s e d for rainfall Bewatta, stations. One data of day Ziarat rainfalls Kaha Basin, hydrographs. frequency Sheru with to However, C h a c h a r , Mard Murunj, likely imperative r e c o r d s for daily data had to be u s e d f o r s y n t h e s i s of r u n - o f f less distribution use h o u r l y r a i n f a l l f o r s y n t h e s i s of r u n - o f f h y d r o g r a p h s . due to within of c o n c e n t r a t i o n In the a b s e n c e of actual p r e c i p i t a t i o n the a s s u m p t i o n of u n i f o r m to r e s u l t of p r e c i p i t a t i o n their analysis Bun, and Fort Kalkhas corresponding r e t u r n p e r i o d s are p l o t t e d on Gumbel P a p e r a n d a best fit straight line is d r a w n t h r o u g h the p o i n t s ( r a i n g a u g e stations l i n e s ) as shown in F i g . 4 . 5 . To c o n v e r t the d a i l y r a i n f a l l into t r u e 24 h o u r s r a i n f a l l , the of results have been the multiplied frequency by 1.13 analysis factor of the — . daily rainfall To c o n v e r t the data point ? / ^ \ a i n f a l l into area r a i n f a l l a m u l t i p l y i n g f a c t o r of 0.735— 4.3.3 is u s e d . E v a l u a t i o n of H y d r o l o g i e P a r a m e t e r s Related to Precipitation and Catchment Characteristics Estimation of flood peaks/hydrographs from precipitation data i n v o l v e s p a r a m e t e r s w h i c h c a n be s u b - d i v i d e d into two g r o u p s namely precipitation period of catchment cover e t c , ]_/ 21 parameters time and its characteristics e.g., magnitude distribution e.g., both of rainfall in time and in a certain space; area, shape, slopes, soil, and vegetal of the w a t e r s h e d . K h a n Wirasat U l l a h , R e p o r t on the H y d r o m e t e o r o l o g y of B a l o c h i s t a n ( V o l . I), C h a p t e r - 9 . Flood E s t i m a t i o n - D e s i g n G u i d e - B a l o c h i s t a n Minor I r r i g a t i o n a n d A g r i c u l t u r e Development P r o j e c t . CHACHAR F. MUNRO KALKHAS Z.SHERA BEWETA BARKHAN CHAJRA MURUNJ ADOPTED LINE TT UI X O -t-t- z i TT 2 cc 200 300 FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILLTORRENT ONE DAY RAIN F A L L FREQUENCY CURVES HATIOHAl ENOINEERIMS SERVICES PAKISTAN (PVT1LT0 LHf It êiiQeiotio» wilt HARZA EHOINEERINOCOUPANrAHOZAFAR ft ASSOCIATES 101 1-2 H 1-4 1-3- 2 R E T U R N ...3 PFRIOO 4 IN 3 YFFLRS 6 T 6 9 10 20 30 FIG. 4.5 In o r d e r to s t u d y t h e time d i s t r i b u t i o n of r a i n f a l l , Depth F r e q u e n c y C u r v e s a n d I n t e n s i t y D u r a t i o n F r e q u e n c y C u r v e s are u s e d . c u r v e s have been p r e p a r e d for d i f f e r e n t The recording the raingauge station catchment, distribution records pattern hourly at these return periods. at K o h l u o u t s i d e the b o u n d a r y of rainfall; K o h l u was therefore hourly s e l e c t e d to p r o v i d e rainfall the hourly p a t t e r n of d a i l y r a i n f a H w i t h i n K a h a c a t c h m e n t . T h e data s e r i e s a n d t h e f r e q u e n c y d i s t r i b u t i o n selected for a n a l y s i n g precipitation i.e., data are same as that for stream flow data a n a l y s i s A n n u a l S e r i e s a n d Gumbel D i s t r i b u t i o n , so that r e s u l t s d e r i v e d from the two t y p e s of d a t a c a n be c o m p a r e d . For the computation Frequency and developed for Figs.1.6 of hydrologie Intensity 2.33, to 1 . 7 . 5, Duration parameters, Frequency Depth Curves Duration have been 10 a n d 25 y e a r s and have been shown T h e s e c u r v e s h a v e been u s e d to estimate in flood peak c o r r e s p o n d i n g to d e s i g n s t o r m u s i n g the R a t i o n a l F o r m u l a . 1.1 E S T I M A T I O N OF H Y D R O L O G I C P A R A M E T E R S R E L A T E D TO C A T C H M E N T C H A R A C T E R I S T I C S The part run-off of the rainfall depends upon of the a watershed nature of which is c o n v e r t e d s o i l ; the t y p e into and extent of v e g e t a l c o v e r as well as the a g r i c u l t u r a l p r a c t i c e s s u c h as c o n t o u r i n g and t e r r a c i n g . have US S C S ^ ( U n i t e d S t a t e s Soil C o n s e r v a t i o n S e r v i c e s ) developed a method, which takes into account all these p a r a m e t e r s , while e s t i m a t i n g r u n - o f f from a b a s i n . In this method, depending upon soils a r e the c l a s s i f i e d in f o u r infiltration and groups A , B, transmission rates. C & D Soils in g r o u p A have h i g h i n f i l t r a t i o n a n d t r a n s m i s s i o n rates a n d , t h e r e f o r e , are a s s o c i a t e d w i t h v e r y and C have intermediate low r u n - o f f p o t e n t i a l . infiltration and Soils in g r o u p transmission rates B and have r u n - o f f potential h i g h e r t h a n A a n d lower than D , r e s p e c t i v e l y . The effect determining U of the 'Land US Department 1, H y d r o l o g y . of surface conditions Use' and Agriculture, 'Land have Treatment'. been evaluated Land use by in a Soil C o n s e r v a t i o n S e r v i c e s , Section FEDERAL. FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT INTENSITY-DURATION FREQUENCY CURVES ZONE UI MATtONAU EN0IHEERIN9 SERVICES PAKISTAN (PVT)LTO LHRJ I» fochtto* 2 3 4 DURATION - HOURS - wit» HARIA ENOIMEERINfl COMPAHYANO IAFAR B. ASSOCIATES FIG. 4> M.BILAL watershed and includes every kind of v e g e t a t i o n . fallow as well as n o n - a g r i c u l t u r a l (Lakes, Land Litter a n d mulch uses s u c h as water s u r f a c e s S w a m p , e t c ) a n d i m p e r v i o u s s u r f a c e s ( r o a d s , roofs e t c ) . treatment applies mainly to a g r i c u l t u r a l uses and i n c l u d e s mechanical p r a c t i c e s s u c h as c o n t o u r i n g or t e r r a c i n g a n d management p r a c t i c e s s u c h as g r a z i n g c o n t r o l or rotation of c r o p s . The combination and treatment The r u n - o f f g e n e r a t i n g p o t e n t i a l of t h i s \ o m p l e x is r e p r e s e n t e d b y a curve of a h y d r o l o g i e soil g r o u p class which is a h y d r o l o g i e complex. from e v a l u a t i o n of t h e h y d r o l o g i e d a t a of the gauged w a t e r s h e d s . The the c u r v e is d e t e r m i n e d soil c o v e r from tables d e v e l o p e d higher number (cover) (Soil) a n d a l a n d - u s e number of a c o m p l e x , the h i g h e r is its r u n - o f f potential. The soil moisture c o n d i t i o n s p r i o r to o c c u r r e n c e of a r a i n f a l l also i n f l u e n c e t h e amount of r u n - o f f p r o d u c e d . high, by the loss of water which r e s u l t s in h i g h r u n - o f f . absorption into storm If soil m o i s t u r e is the g r o u n d is less Soil moisture conditions or A n t e c e d e n t Moisture C o n d i t i o n s ( A M C ) a r e d i v i d e d into three c a t e g o r i e s , I, and III depending upon t h e 5-day antecedent p r e c i p i t a t i o n . II The c l a s s i f i c a t i o n is d e s c r i b e d b e l o w : 60 Moisture '' .... Conditions (AMC) For 5-day Total Antecedent Precipitation Inches DORMANT SEASON CROWINC S E A S O N I II Less than 0.5 0.5 t o 1 .1 L e s s than 1.4 1.4 to 2.1 III More t h a n 1.1 More t h a n 2.1 watershed Kaha Hill Torrent, the above mentioned catchment c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s have b e e n d e f i n e d below as an e x a m p l e : Soil G r o u p Land Use and Treatment Antecedent Moisture •n -i-»rA.«/-s Condition ( A M C ) AMC-I AMC-II AMC-III Once the c u r v e known, the d i r e c t number run-off for C and D F a l l o w , P a s t u r e or R a n g e ( F a i r ) n> * c Dormant Season 76 89 96 a hydrologie soil cover complex is may be determined b y u s i n g a Standard c u r v e or b y the use of t h e f o l l o w i n g e q u a t i o n : Where Q = (P - 0 . 2 S P P + 0.8S Q = Volume of d i r e c t r u n - o f f in i n c h e s P = The precipitation from w h i c h the d i r e c t r u n - o f f is to be estimated S = The potential i n f i l t r a t i o n in i n c h e s a n d is r e l a t e d to c u r v e n u m b e r as u n d e r : 5= b - CN 1l u0 \ Where C N is the c u r v e number S E L E C T I O N OF M E T H O D O L O G Y F O R D E T E R M I N A T I O N OF D E S I G N H Y D R O G R A P H Quality and quantity methodology to of available be u s e d for management of f l o o d f l o w s Kaha Hill Torrent hydrographs. rising or In evaluation yearly cases, shape of the h y d r o g r a p h . Hill Torrent data various determine the parameters for T h e s t r e a m flow data of peak discharges and the stages c o r r e s p o n d i n g r e c e s s i o n limbs a r e m i s s i n g . between the two s t a g e r e a d i n g s Kaha of of a w a t e r s h e d . comprises most hydrologie Moreover, a to either the time p e r i o d is too long to d e f i n e e x p l i c i t l y In view of f r a g m e n t r y c a n be c l a s s i f i e d in the few the hydrologie data, category of ungauged w a t e r s h e d s . T r a n s p o s i t i o n of h y d r o g r a p h from a g a u g e d site of similar physiographic comparable solution data was techniques. by and Victor to climatic is not conditions available. develop is also Therefore, hydrographs from The dimensionless hydrographs Mockus^ hydrographs of not the feasible only return periods. It synthetic US S C S d e v e l o p e d is one of the methods s e l e c t e d for various feasible various of as was computing derived from a large n u m b e r of n a t u r a l u n i t h y d r o g r a p h s from w a t e r s h e d s varying widely has the in size a n d g e o g r a p h i c a l l o c a t i o n s , a n d , t h e r e f o r e , flexibility of fitting on catchments varying National E n g i n e e r i n g H a n d b o o k , Section 4, US Department of A ~ g r i c u l t u r e . widely Hydrology, in size and meteorological environments. hydrograph has its ordinate ratio and its abcissa Q/Qp values with peak 4.5.1 unit values values discharge y i e l d s the d e s i r e d This and dimensionless e x p r e s s e d in at T / T . a dimensionless Multiplying p abcissa values linear by ordinate time to peak hydrograph. Size The catchment boundaries f r o m S u r v e y of P a k i s t a n . \ 4.5.2 Time of were drawn from G.T.Sheets obtained T h e area was then measured by plani.meter. Concentration Modified Kirpiclv-' formula was used for calculating time of c o n c e n t r a t i o n w h i c h is as f o l l o w s : L 1 -15 Tc = 7700 x Where 4.5.3 0 (H) ' 3 8 Tc = Time of c o n c e n t r a t i o n in hours (28 h o u r s ) L = L e n g t h of longest stream in the w a t e r s h e d in feet. H = D i f f e r e n c e of elevation in l e n g t h L in feet. Time to Peak Time to p e a k , T T = p 1/ ~ was c a l c u l a t e d f r o m T = c b y the relation: + 0.6 T 2 Where T ^ = D p c^ Time to peak in h o u r s (19 h o u r s ) Unit s t o r m duration. K i r p i c h Z . P . 'Time of C o n c e n t r a t i o n of Small A g r i c u l t u r a l W a t e r s h e d s ' C i v i l E n g i n e e r i n g , V o l - 1 0 N o . 6 , P a g e - 3 6 2 ( J u n e 1 940). 4.5.1 Time of R e c e s s i o n T h e time of r e c e s s i o n , w h e n flow will cease to e x i s t , is c a l c u l a t e d b y the r e l a t i o n : T Where T 4.5.5 r r = 1.67 = Time of r e c e s s i o n after peak in h o u r s (32 h o u r s ) T p U n i t . Storm D u r a t i o n Unit made storm duration from is t h e d u r a t i o n dimensionless hydrograph of Victor of storm for hydrograph. For unit the hydrograph dimensionless M o c k u s , it s h o u l d be 20 p e r c e n t of time peak and s h o u l d not e x c e e d b e y o n d 25 p e r c e n t . Unit S t o r m D u r a t i o n D is g i v e n b y : D 4.5.6 = 0.133 T c (4 h o u r s ) Peak Rate of Flow Peak rate of flow has b e e n c a l c u l a t e d from the f o l l o w i n g f o r m u l a : Q P Where Q P = = 484 x A x Q T P Peak r a t e of flow in c u s e c s A = C a t c h m e n t a r e a in s q . m i l e s Q = Depth of r u n - o f f in i n c h e s T P = Time of p e a k in h o u r s to 1.5.7 Determination of U n i t Hydrograph K n o w i n g peak d i s c h a r g e a n d time to peak of the unit b h y d r o g r a p h , complete unit hydrograph is obtained by multiplying time ratios and d i s c h a r g e r a t i o s of t h e d i m e n s i o n l e s s h y d r o g r a p h with time to peak and peak d i s c h a r g e of the u n i t h y d r o g r a p h . 4.5.8 Flood H y d r o g r a p h s v T h e magnitude a n d d i s t r i b u t i o n design storm. of r a i n f a l l have been obtained from C o m p u t e r p r o g r a m has been developed to estimate the r e s u l t i n g f l o o d of e a c h 4.00 hour s u b - h y d r o g r a p h . The r e s u l t s of d e s i g n flood peak f o r v a r i o u s r e t u r n p e r i o d s are g i v e n in T a b l e 4.8. The computer output l i s t s the catchment c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s for 2 . 3 3 , 5, 10 a n d 2 5 - y e a r s r e t u r n p e r i o d are g i v e n in Table 4 . 9 to 4.12 and are p l o t t e d i n F i g s . 4 . 8 to 4 . M . T A B L E - 4.8 FLOOD PEAK WORKED O U T BY VICTOR MOCKUS METHOD Return Period Cumecs (Cusecs) 927 (32,744) 5 1 ,567 (55,340) 10 2,106 (74,376) 25 2,815 (99,436) Years 2.33 \ Flood H y d r o g r a p h Peaks TABLE RAHA HILL TORRENT 2.33-YEAR DANB OP CATCHNENT RETURN PBRIOD AREA DRAINING. SQ.MLBS 2.33-YBAR,2*-HOÜR POIHT RAINFALL 2.33-T.BA1.24-ROUR POIÏT RAINFALL PÖINT TO ARBA REDUCTION FACTOR = 2.33-YBAR,24-HOUR ARBAL RAINFALL ADOPTBD STORM 24-HOUR RAINFALL HULTIPLYIHG FACTOR FOR 2.33-ÏBAR CURVE NUNBER 8 0.2S 0.B3 TINB TO PBBAK(HOUR) PEAK DISCHARGES(CUSECS) TIHB INTERRYAL(HOUR) DIMENSIONLESS HYDROGRAPH T/Tp Q/Qp 0.000 0.100 0.200 0.300 0.400 0.500 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 1.100 1.200 1.300 1.400 1.500 1.600 1.700 1.800 1.900 2.000 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.400 0.500 O.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 0.940 0.880 0.820 0.760 0.700 0.640 0.5B0 0.520 0.460 0.400 UNIT HYDROGRAPH Calculated Adopted T Q T Q Hours Cusecs Hours Cusecs 0.00 1.90 3.80 5.70 7.60 9.50 11.40 13.30 15.20 17.10 19.00 20.90 22.80 24.70 26.60. 28.50 30.40 32.30 34.20 36.10 38.00 0 5625 11249 16874 22498 28123 33748 39372 44997 50621 56246 52878 49510 46142 42774 39406 36038 32670 29302 25934 22566 -4.9 0.00 '4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44.00 48.00 52.00 56.00 60.00 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 0 11841 23682 35524 47365 54473 47383 40292 33202 26111 19020 11930 4839 0 0 0 2208.000 1.458 1.458 ^1.071 1.071 '1.000 96.00 0.4167 0.0833 0.3333 19.000 56246 4.000 D E S I G N S T O R h* Time Pattern Accultd Acc:Eicess Inc:Ercess Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Hours Inches Inches Inches 1 0.0 . 0.000 4.00 0.331 8.00 0.802 12.00 0.860 16.00 0.913 20.00 0.965 24.00 1.000 28.00 1.000 32.00 1.000 36.00 1.000 40.00 1.000 44.00 1.000 48.00 1.000 52.00 1.000 56.00 1.000 60.00 1.000 64.00 1.000 68.00 1.000 72.00 1.000 76.00 1.000 80.00 1.000 0.000 0.355 0.859 0.921 0.978 • 1.034 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1.071 1,071 1.071 0.000 0.107 0.505 0.560 0.611 0.661 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.695 0.107 0.398 0.055 0.051 0.050 0.034 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 ! RESULTING ! Flood I Hydrograph! ! Cusecs 0 1267 7245 13873 21103 28423 32744 31156 28547 24980 20536 15608 10680 5993 2720 1495 650 165 0 0 0 TABLE - . NAKB OF CATCHMENT RBTURN PERIOD * * , AREA DRAINING. SQ.MILES = 5 YEARS , 24-HOUR POIIT RAINFALL = 5 YEARS , 24-HOUR POINT RAINFALL = POINT TO ARBA RBDUCTIOH FACTOR * 5 YBARS , 24 -HOUR ARBAL RAINFALL , = ADOPTBD STORM 24-HOUR RAINFAL k = HULTIPLY1NG FACTOR FOR 5 YBARS CURVE NUNBER \= S » 0.2S » 0.8S = TIHB TO PBAK(HOUR) = PBAK DISCHARGES(CUSBCS) = TINB INTBRVAL(HOUR) = UNIT H YD R O G R A P H Calculated Adopted T Q T i Q Hours Cusecs Hours Cusecs Q/Qp DIMENSIONLESS HYDROGRAPH T/Tp 0.000 0.100 0.200 0 300 0.400 0 500 0 600 0 700 0 800 0 900 1 000 1 100 1 200 1 300 1 400 1 500 1 600 1 700 I 800 1 900 2 000 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.400 0.500 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 0.940 0.880 0.820 0.760 0.700 0.640 0.580 0.520 0.460 0.400 0.00 1.90 3.80 5.70 7.60 9.50 11.40 13.30 15.20 17.10 19.00 20.90 22.80 24.70 26.60 28.50 30.40 32.30 34.20 36.10 38.00 0 5625 11249 16874 22498 28123 33748 39372 44997 50621 56246 52878 49510 46142 42774 39406 36038 32670 29302 25934 22566 0.00 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44.00 48.00 52.00 56.00 60.00 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 0 11841 23682 35524 47365 54473 47383 40292 33202 26111 19020 11930 4839 0 0 0 4.10 KAHA HILL TORRENT 5 YBARS 2208.000 2.147 2.147 0.735 1.578 1.578 1.000 96.00 0.4167 0.0833 0.3333 19.000 56246 4.000 D B S I G N S T O R M Time Pattern Accoltd Ace:Eicess Inc:Bicess Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Inches Hours Inches Inches 0.0 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44.00 48.00 52.00 56.00 60.00 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 0 000 0 331 0 802 0 860 0 913 0 965 1 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 I 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 1 000 I 000 I 000 0.000 0.522 1.266 1.357 1.441 1.523 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.57B 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 1.578 0.000 0.225 0.874 0.960 1.039 1.116 1.169 ï. 169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 1.169 0.225 0.649 0.086 0.079 0.078 0.053 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 RESULTING ! Flood ! Hydrograph! Cusecs ! 0 2667 13018 24384 36682 48835 55341 52227 47523 41334 33792 25504 17216 9435 4205 2308 1003 254 0 0 0 1 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 1 i i ! ! ! ! . ! ! ! ! ! TABLE-4.11 FLOOD HYDROGRAPH - KAHA HILL TORREHT KAHA HILL TORRENT 10 YEARS NAKB OF CATCHMENT RETURN PERIOD ARBA DRAINING. SQ.HILBS 10 YEARS, 24-HOUR POINT RAINFALL 10 YBARS, 24-HOUR POINT RAINFALL POINT TO ARBA REDUCTION FACTOR 10 YBARS, 24 -HOUR ARBAL RAINFALL ADOPTED STORM 24-HOUR RAINFAL MULTIPLYING FACTOR FOR 10 YEARS CURVE NUMBER S 0.2S o.es TIME TO PEAK(HOUR) PEAK DISCHARGES(CUSBCS) TIHB INTERVAL(HOUR) DIMENSIONLESS HYDROGRAPH T/Tp Q/QP O.000 0.100 0.200 0.300 0.400 0.500 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 1.100 1.200 1.300 1.400 1.500 1.600 1.700 1.800 1.900 2.000 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.400 0.500 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 0.940 0.880 0.820 0.760 0.700 0.640 0.580 0.520 0.460 0.400 UNIT HYDROGRAP B Adopted Calculated T T Q Q Hours Cusecs Hours Cusecs 0.00 1.90 3.80 5.70 7.60 9.50 11.40 13.30 15.20 17.10 19.00 20.90 22.80 24.70 26.60 28.50 30.40 32.30 34.20 36.10 38.00 0 5625 11249 16874 22498 28123 33748 39372 44997 50621 56246 52878 49510 46142 42774 39406 36038 32670 29302 25934 22566 0 0.00 11841 4.00 8.00 23682 12.00 35524 16.00 47365 20.00 54473 24.00 47383 28.00 ' 40292 32.00 33202 36.00 26111 40.00 19020 44.00 11930 48.00 4839 52.00 0 56.00 0 60.00 0 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 2208.000 2.712 2.712 0.735 1.993 1.993 1.000 96.00 0.4167 0.0833 0.3333 19.000 56246 4.000 D E S I G N S T 0 R M Tiae Pattern Accnltd Acc:Bicess Ine:Eicess Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Rainfall Inches Hours Inches Inches 0.0 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44.00 48.00 52.00 56.00 60.00 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 0.000 0.331 0.802 0.860 0.913 0.965 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.660 1.599 1.714 1.820 1.924 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 1.993 0.000 0.335 1.189 1.299 1.401 1.500 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 1.568 0.335 0.854 0.111 0.101 0.100 0.067 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0-.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 RESULTING ! Flood ! Hydrograph! Cusecs ! ! 0 .3962 18035 33418 50002 66186 74376 69918 63411 54990 44830 33713 22595 12231 5408 2967 1288 326 0 0 Ö ! ! ! ! : ! ! ! ! ! ! ! i ! ! ! ! i ! ! ! TABLE - NANB OF CATCHHBHT RETURN PERIOD = = AREA DRAIHIHG. SQ.HILBS 25 YEARS, 24-HOUR POIHT RAIRFALL 25 YBARS, 24-HOUR POIHT RAIHFALL POIHT TO ARBA RBDUCTIOI FACTOR 25 YBARS, 24 -HOUR ARBAL RAIRFALL ADOPTBD STORH 24-HOUR RAIRFAL KULTIPLYIHG FACTOR FOR 25 YBARS CURVB RUHBBR S 0.2S 0.8S TIHE TO PBAK(BOUR) PEAK DISCHARGES(CUSECS) TIH8 IHTBRVAL(HOUR) IHENSIONLESS HYDROGRAPH T/Tp Q/Qp .000 .100 .200 .300 .400 .500 .600 ,700 .800 .900 .000 .100 .200 .300 .400 .300 .600 .700 ,800 .900 .000 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.400 0.500 0.600 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 0.940 0.880 0.820 0.760 0.700 0.640 0.580 0.520 0.460 0.400 = * = = = = •= = = = = U 1 IT H YDR 0 G R A PH Calcul ated Adopted T T Q Q Hours Cusecs Hours Cusecs 0.00 1.90 3.80 5.70 7.60 9.50 11.40 13.30 15.20 17.10 19.00 20.90 22.80 24.70 26.60 28.50 30.40 32.30 34.20 36,10 38.00 0 5625 11249 16874 22498 28123 • 33748 39372 44997 50621 56246 52878 49510 .46142 42774 39406 36038 32670 29302 25934 22566 0.00 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44.00 48.00 52.00 56.00 60.00 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 0 11841 23682 15524 17365 54473 »7383 10292 33202 16111 19020 11930 4839 0 0 0 4.12 KAHA HILL TORRBHT 25 YBARS 2208.000 3.446 3.446 0.735 2.533 2.533 1.000 96.00 0.4167 0.0833 0.3333 19.000 56246 4.000 S T 0 R K D I1 S I G H Time Pattern Accnltd Ace:Bicess Ine:Eicess Rainfall la in fa 11 Rainfall Rainfall Inches Inches Inches . Hours 0.0 4.00 8.00 12.00 16.00 20.00 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44.00 48.00 52.00 56.00 60.00 64.00 68.00 72.00 76.00 80.00 0.000 0.331 0.802 0.860 0.913 0.965 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.838 2.031 2.178 2.312 2.444 2.533 2.533 2.533 2.533 2.533 2.333 2.533 2.533 2.533 2.333 2.533 2.533 2.533 2.533 2.533 0.000 0.487 1.605 1.747 1.878 2.007 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 2.093 0.487 1.118 0.143 0.131 0.129 0.087 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 RBSULTIHG ! Flood ! Hydrograph! Cusecs ! 0 5761 24763 45454 67693 89151 99436 93169 84258 72883 59271 44427 29584 15836 6960 3816 1657 420 ,0 0 o ! ! ! ! i ! ! 1 ! ! 1 1 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! r Fig.4.8 FLOOD HYDROGRAPH KAHA HILL TORRENT Fig.4.9 RATIONAL FORMULA Rational F o r m u l a is one of the oldest e m p i r i c a l formula in u s e . T h e f o r m u l a is c a l l e d r a t i o n a l because the u n i t s of q u a n t i t i e s i n v o l v e d are n u m e r i c a l l y c o n s i s t e n t approximately. The r a t i o n a l f o r m u l a i s : Qp = Where Qp CIA is p-sak d i s c h a r g e in cusecs C is the run-off characteristics co-efficient of depending the drainage a r e a . upon It to be e q u a l to ratio of s u r f a c e r u n - o f f the is assutned to r a i n f a l l of a catchment. I is i n t e n s i t y of r a i n f a l l in i n c h e s / h r c o r r e s p o n d i n g to time of c o n c e n t r a t i o n of the w a t e r s h e d . . A Table is c a t c h m e n t area in acres 4.13 catchment gives area vegetal c o v e r . of values Kaha of C for different c o n s i s t s of hard types rocks of soils. The with very little M o r e o v e r , steep slopes allow v e r y little amounts to be a b s o r b e d a n d most of the r a i n f a l l is c o n v e r t e d to r u n - o f f . high intensity storms are, r e c o m m e n d e d . intensity of high return periods Therefore, value of C higher for values of C Kaha with of 2 5 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d is estimated as 0 . 7 0 . of r a i n f a l l has been o b t a i n e d from the i n t e n s i t y c u r v e s p r e p a r e d for K a h a ( F i g . from i n t e n s i t y - d u r a t i o n - c u r v e 1.7). For duration storm Intensity frequency T h e i n t e n s i t y of rainfall of 25-years r e t u r n p e r i o d a g a i n s t time of c o n c e n t r a t i o n of 2 3 . 0 h o u r s is 0.10 i n c h e s / h r . Area of Kaha is 571 ,882 values in R a t i o n a l F o r m u l a : ha (1,413,120 a c r e s ) . P u t t i n g all these TABLE 4.13 1/ VALUE OF RUNOFF COËFFICIËNT, C, FOR DIFFERENT KINDS OF SOIL TYPE OF CATCHMENT VALUE OF C Rocky & Impermeable 0.80 - 1.00 Slightly Permeable, bare 0.60 - 0.80 Slightly Permeable, partly covéred with vegetation 0.40 - 0.60 Cultivatèd Absorbant Soil 0.30 - 0.40 Sandy Absorbant Soil 0.20 - 0.30 Heavy Forest 0.10 - 0.20 \J Flood Estimation and Control By B.D. Richards Third Edition, 1955, page 59 Qp = C I A = 0 . 7 * 0 . 1 0 * 1 ,413,120 = 98,918 c f s (2 ,800 cumecs) As t h i s formula is recommended f o r c o n s i d e r a b l e judgement run-off, therefore, small catchments and there is i n v o l v e d in the estimation of c o - e f f i c i e n t of result obtained from this formula s h o u l d be c o n s i d e r e d as the f i r s t a p p r o x i m a t i o n of peak d i s c h a r g e . S E L E C T I O N OF D E S I G N HYDROGRAPH The socio economie a n a l y s i s of the area affected b y K a h a Hill T o r r e n t and the a n t i c i p a t e d c o s t s of t e n t a t i v e i n d i c a t e that flood m i t i g a t i n g return period. Peak flood management t e c h n i q u e s s y s t e m s h o u l d be d e s i g n e d f o r 25-year d i s c h a r g e of 2 5 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d has been estimated b y f r e q u e n c y a n a l y s i s of b o t h stream flow and p r e c i p i t a t i o n data. Following table compares the r e s u l t s o b t a i n e d by différent methods. COMPARISÖN OF R E S U L T S B Y D I F F E R E N T M E T H O D S Streamflow Data A n a l y s i s 2 5 - y e a r Peak D i s c h a r g e Cumecs ( C u s e c s ) Typ2-lll Gumbel Distribution (Linear) Ordinate) Gumbel Distribution (Log) Ordinate) 2,551 2,550 2,732 Log Pearson (90,450) (94,000) (96,500) ! ! i Gumbel Equation JL 2,570 (90,774) P r e c i p i t a t i o n Data A n a l y s i s 25-Year Discharge ~ Cumecs (Cusecs) Rational Formula 2,800 (98,920) Dimensionless Hydrograph Method 2,315 (99,440) Result of Rational Formula give the first approximations peak d i s c h a r g e . D i m e n s i o n l e s s h y d r o g r a p h method ( V i c t o r show on the result (Chi-Square frequency Log curves Cumbel value of Test) higher on side. stream By flow applying data for all of the Mockus) g o o d n e s s of fit three of types ( L o g P e a r s o n T y p e - M l , Gumbel D i s t r i b u t i o n Distribution). The C h i - S q u a r e parameter d i s c h a r g e of 2 5 - y e a r Gumbel D i s t r i b u t i o n is the best fit. and giving least Therefore, peak r e t u r n p e r i o d has been f i x e d at 2,652 cumecs (94,000 c u s e c s ) . . 'i RUNOFF The precipitation calculating the data average the r a i n g a u g e r e c o r d s . by the rainfall of have been monthly used for rainfall for runoff estimation the Project area T h e a v e r a g e monthly r a i n f a l l are various return periods (Fig.4.5). by from multiplied The runoff volumes have been d e t e r m i n e d by Soil C o n s e r v a t i o n S e r v i c e s m e t h o d . SECTION - 5 MANAGEMENT OF FLOOD WATER 5.1 GENERAL Management of floodflows of problem, because quantity DG K h a n H i l l T o r r e n t s is a complex and d i s t r i b u t i o n of r a i n f a l l to floodflows is u n c e r t a i n a n d p a t c h y . contributing A year with intense rainfall may be followed b y a l o n g s p a n of d r y y e a r s . 1 Flashy floodflows in the light of u n c e r t a i n t y of t h e i r o c c u r r e n c e add c o m p l e x i t y to t h e i r economical management. Flood management torrents alternatives optimal s o l u t i o n c a n be made u s i n g cost e f f e c t i v e n e s s flood measures to be the effect changing former measures adjustments. management r e q u i r e s s t r u c t u r a l a n d a p p l i e d in b a l a n c e . has A c h o i c e of technique. non-structural S t r u c t u r a l measures minimize of f l o o d water while n o n - s t r u c t u r a l measures f a c i l i t a t e in the intensity, types diversion c o m b i n a t i o n s of hill several Effective or of include weirs, duration dikes, reservoirs like watershed afforestation or a n d volume of flood etc, floodflows. walls, channel while later management b y pasture development. Kaha Hill ecompasses gully control, Sometimes flood losses may also be minimized b y f l o o d w a r n i n g , flood f i g h t i n g Flood management of improvements, type terracing, The Torrent or e v a c u a t i o n . has been p r o p o s e d to be u n d e r t a k e n u s i n g b o t h s t r u c t u r a l and n o n - s t r u c t u r a l m e a s u r e s . 5.2 PLANNING S T R A T E G Y AND OBJECTIVES The key to flood management p l a n n i n g for Kaha H i l l T o r r e n t s lies in r e d u c t i o n of flood p e a k s to a t h r e s h o l d level at w h i c h the f l o o d threat in content, of f l a s h y the a r e a is s i g n i f i c a n t l y a n d the e r r a t i c flood water reduced. In view of h i g h n a t u r e of f l o o d f l o w s , damming or is g e n e r a l l y uneconomical. silt storing Moderate floods that overflow the p l a i n a r e a are u s e d for terrace i r r i g a t i o n as long as they are w i t h i n manageable limits. In case of h i g h f l o w s , e a r t h e n flood embankments are s h a t t e r e d and r u n - o f f g e t s c o n c e n t r a t e d along right bank of Dajal Branch. Floodflow after b r e a c h i n g the canal or p a s s i n g t h r o u g h canal c r o s s i n g s sweeps a c r o s s the canal command area, where it infrastructure inflicts before damage potential On the o t h e r severe finding generally hand, damage to crops its way onto the I n d u s i n c r e a s e s after s h o r t a g e of water the development of t h e P a c h a d A r e a . and other River. The c r o s s i n g Dajal B r a n c h . is the major c o n s t r a i n t T h u s , the p r i m a r y to objective of the flood management p l a n is to manage and u t i l i z e floodflows in the h i l l y a n d Pachad a r e a . T h i s would not o n l y help in r e d u c i n g flood damages but w o u l d u s h e r in a new era of economie development in the a r e a . economie The goal of flood management p l a n n i n g is to stimulate development and to mitigate flood losses to the extent t e c h n i c a l l y a n d economically f e a s i b l e . T h e r e is good n e t w o r k In o r d e r only of n a t u r a l c h a n n e l s ( w a h s ) in P a c h a d a r e a . to manage f l o o d flows of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t i n Pachad area distributors However, there are r e q u i r e d to be c o n s t r u c t e d in the main K a h a . are some hill torrents, K h o s r a are major, w h i c h c o n t r i b u t e Dajal B r a n c h C a n a l . of which to the flood flows of Kaha near These hill t o r r e n t s cause l a r g e scale e r o s i o n of f e r t i l e top soil on the left side of K a h a . flood flows were carried out and B a g g a a n d Kala F r e q u e n c y a n a l y s i s . of detailed r e c o n n a i s s a n c e s u r v e y s were c o n d u c t e d in the f l o o d p l a i n s of these h i l l t o r r e n t s to assess the possibility main K a h a . of these hill Bagga their and proper of dovetailing the management of these with the It was f o u n d , h o w e v e r , that the m o r p h o i o g i c a l f e a t u r e s torrents Kala are e n t i r e l y Khosra have management, different. no n a t u r a l new T h e flood plains of wahs distribution (channels). channels For (primary, s e c o n d a r y and t e r t i a r y ) w o u l d have to be c o n s t r u c t e d in a c c o r d a n c e with the a v a i l a b i l i t y of water and the land p o t e n t i a l , w h i c h r e q u i r e s d e t a i l e d t o p o g r a p h i c s u r v e y s of the catchment a r e a . T h e management of flood flows of these t o r r e n t s t h r o u g h c o n s t r u c t i o n of new c h a n n e l s would, t h u s , tantamount to flood i r r i g a t i o n scheme w h i c h is b e y o n d the scope of F l o o d P r o t e c t i o n S e c t o r P r o j e c t . In order torrents, to a c h i e v e economical management of the flood p l a n n i n g has been c a r r i e d out u n d e r flows the of hill framework of the f o l l o w i n g g u i d e l i n e s : • U t i l i z e floodflows r i g h t in the a r e a , w h e r e they are g e n e r a t e d as f a r as p o s s i b l e ; R e d u c e losses and s u f f e r i n g due to flood in an economically • s o u n d manner s u c h that b e n e f i t s of flood damage abatement m e a s u r e s e x c e e d t h e i r costs as far as p o s s i b l e ; G i v e p r i o r i t y for flood p r o t e c t i o n to areas of g r e a t e s t flood damage h a z a r d a n d / o r greatest p o t e n t i a l for human s u f f e r i n g , as f a r as p o s s i b l e ; Provide, cities, vital as f a r irrigation as feasible p r o t e c t i o n from flood damages to w o r k s , communication f a c i l i t i e s , and other infrastructural installations that lie within the flood p l a i n s of the hill t o r r e n t ; Make maximum u s e of e x i s t i n g flood c o n t r o l / p r o t e c t i o n f a c i l i t i e s by improvement where n e c e s s a r y to b r i n g them to a level of f u n c t i o n a l c a p a b i l i t y and r e l i a b i l i t y that c o n f o r m s to c u r r e n t standards; O b t a i n maximum flood c o n t r o l u t i l i z a t i o n of multiple p u r p o s e facilities without adversely affecting other functions or c o m p r o m i s i n g the safety of the f a c i l i t y ; Promote flood appropriate vulnerable adjusting land use development by in avoiding flood land u s e , where p o s s i b l e , to the hazard growth areas, of and be compatible with the f r e q u e n c y a n d d u r a t i o n of f l o o d i n g ; a n d To minimise a d v e r s e effects environment. on the natural ecosystem and 5.3 M A N A G E M E N T OF F L O O D F L O W S NON-STRUCTURAL MEASURES The damages c a u s e d b y certain extent catchment by conservation h i l l t o r r e n t f l o o d i n g can be c o n t r o l l e d to a adopting areas. THROUGH non-structural measures in their T h e s e t y p e of measures i n c l u d e soil a n d water techniques, range management practices, watershed management b y t e r r a c i n g , g u l l y c o n t r o l and a f f o r e s t a t i o n or p a s t u r e development w o r k s in the in chariging Sometimes flood the intensity, flood fighting hills. lossès These measures also g r e a t l y duration may and volume also be minimised or e v a c u a t i o n . of by help floodflows. flood warning, S u c h o p e r a t i o n s c a n be summarised as: S o w i n g a n d p l a n t i n g along i n t e r r u p t e d c o n t o u r t r e n c h e s d u g on gradients not a b o v e 30 d e g r e e s to c a t c h r a i n water to help the p l a n t s g r o w t h a n d e s t a b l i s h t h e m s e l v e s . Contour bunding infiltration of on easy slopes to hold r u n - o f f to i n c r e a s e water and provide moisture to p l a n t s r a i s e d along e a r t h e n b u n d s . Contour furrowing suitable patches on easy slopes and r e s e e d i n g with palatable g r a s s e s . Closure against grazing establishes itself, till revegetation including grass and thereafter p r o v i d i n g rotational grazing to a p e r m i s s i b l e g r a z i n g c a p a c i t y . Gully plugging with loose stones and c h e c k damming with d r y stone r u b b l e m a s o n r y work at s u i t a b l e i n t e r v a l s to r e t a r d the v e l o c i t y of water flow improving the r e g i m e n , a r r e s t i n g silt b e h i n d the stone s t r u c t u r e s for creating planting in the n a l l a h s , t h e r e b y bed, and raising trees in appropriately p r o t e c t e d soil p o c k e t s b e h i n d the check dams. C o n s t r u c t i o n óf l o g g i n g r o a d s to e x p e d i t e f o r e s t management activities. 5.3.1 Watershed Management Watershed management some time bef ore f u n c t i o r i of is a l o n g - t e r m effective watershed process and flood mitigation management in hilly requires quite c a n be r e a l i s e d . The areas is to c h e c k the sediments at s o u r c e a n d d e c r e a s e the stream flow b y r e s t o r a t i o n of the forest cover in the with floods is^ to c o n t r o l deforestation 'and floods. upper them where they devegetation Therefore, the catchment. most T h e best way to deal are f o r m e d . are one of the appropriate c o u r s e of Unplanned primary c a u s e s of action is to plant t r e e s and develop p a s t u r e s in the catchment area to improve t h e v e g e t a t i o n c o v e r in areas subjected to soil e r o s i o n and to p h a s e out farm practices that contribute to such erosion. Watershed management s e r v e s b o t h f o r low flow augmentation a n d flood r e d u c t i o n a n d it has made g r e a t a d v a n c e s in w e s t e r n c o u n t r i e s . of planting area, is through and only grassing in possible proper Pakistan, particularly under strict The success in closure against maintenance of plants and g r a s s e s . s p a r s e v e g e t a t i o n c o v e r has d e t e r i o r a t e d t h r o u g h the Project grazing and P r e s e n t l y the over-grazing by nomadic f l o c k s w h i c h a g g r a v a t e s the degree of r u n - o f f and g r e a t l y increases the denudation, damage heavy t u r b u l e n t flows potential showers in of floodflows. The result the catchment g e n e r a t e floods is with i m p r e g n a t e d w i t h high silt c h a r g e , c a u s i n g e r o s i o n of stream b a n k s . T h e s e flood damages can be minimized by a d o p t i n g s u c h measures a s : A f f o r e s t a t i o n in mountaineous a r e a s ; a n d P a s t u r e development in s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s a r e a s . Other measures practices, which are usually associated w i t h s u c h a s , t e r r a c i n g , contour ploughing, conservation strip cropping, p l a n t i n g c o v e r c a m p s , c o n s t r u c t i o n of logging r o a d s , f i r e management or u s i n g f a r m p o n d s , also s i g n i f i c a n t l y c o n t r i b u t e in flood abatement and reduction in losses to c r o p s , i n f r a s t r u c t u r e the downstream a r e a . a n d settlements in 5.3.1.1 A f f o r e s t a t i o n in M o u n t a i n e o u s R e g i o n s : Due to the desolate a n d b a r e l a n d of the m o u n t a i n s , heavy s h o w e r s in the catchments heavy s i l t The c a u s e s t r e a m flow of h i g h v e l o c i t y which carry load a n d c a u s e damage as they erode the stream b a n k s . volume, peak and timing of run-off can be modified by a f f o r e s t a t i o n a n d the damages c a n be minimized by d e v e l o p i h g s o u n d f o r e s t management p r a c t i c e s . Afforestation lack is a l o n g p r o c e s s a n d d i f f i c u l t to e s t a b l i s h in view of of p r o p e r natural these soil p r o f i l e , climatic tracts conditions, in which p r e d o m i n a n c e of low tropical scattered thorny rainfall and o v e r g r a z i n g . thorn Under type of forest o c c u p i e s low x e r o p h y t i c species grow hardwood trees. H o w e v e r , good with results can be a c h i e v e d t h r o u g h the c o - o p e r a t i o n of the people of watershed area. the A nursery Forest for r e c o m m e n d e d plants may be e s t a b l i s h e d by Department and protection (xerophytic) and against l a n d owners may be p a i d for grazing. T h e following planting drought t r e e s a n d s h r u b s are recommended for resistant land c o v e r in this area: Acacia modesta foot-hills (phulai): A as a s o i l - b i n d i n g medium plant. sized tree Good for grown fuel, on medium q u a l i t y s h a d e a n d t i m b e r a n d leaves good as goat f o d d e r . Acacia Arabica g r o w n for (Kikar): A tail s o i l - b i n d i n g , timber tree, s u s c e p t i b l e to and fuel w o o d . frost The leaves, t e n d e r b r a n c h e s a n d f r u i t are r e l i s h e d by g o a t s . Prosopis S p i c i g e r a : in the Project T h i s is familiar by the name of ' K a n d i ' area and is the main species of the tract. T h i s tree can be s u c c e s s f u l l y planted by r a i s i n g in a n u r s e r y in the p l a i n a n d t h e n t r a n s p l a n t i n g to the hill areas d u r i n g monsoon years closure season. with limited These trees mature flood irrigation water against g r a z i n g and through w i t h i n four under proper to five reasonable maintenance of the p l a n t s . T h e s e trees g r e a t l y facilitate c h e c k i n g sediment transportation flows. and mitlgating runoff contributing to stream In a d d i t i o n , p o d s and leaves are b r o w s e d by cattle and the wood is u s e d for b u i l d i n g material and f i r e - w o o d . Robinia pseudo acacia: tree for wnlnr cold hilly area to c h e c k the erosion and to increase the holding plain T h i s is v e r y suitable h i g h x e r o p h y t i c cnpnclly area a n d of then Innd. N u r s e r y is r n i s o d in plants are t r a n s p l a n t e d p i t s and d i t c h e s In the h i l l y a r e a . Ihn into the lts leaves are u s e d as a fodder. Ziziphus through nummarlaria pit soaked for and (Muhla). trench This tree sowing method. better germination. can be Seed s h o u l d is n o c c s s a r y for t h e i r s u r v i v a l . flood peaks. Moreover, and the leaves for f o d d e r . be T h e smell of s e e d l i n g p l a n t s i s v e r y a t t r a c t i v e to wild animals, t h e r e f o r e , s t r i c t off raised protection These trens help in s h n v i n g the bark is u s e d for tanning F i r e - w o o d and f r u i t are r e l i s h e d b y the p e o p l e . These trees and shrubs play following three main roles in flood hydrology: S t a b i l i z e s i l t , minimizing e r o s i o n and the downstream sedimenl a l l o n a s s o c l a l o d w l l h I n c r e a s o d flood s t a g e s ; Provide additional water storage through the effects of i n t e r c e p t i o n s t o r a g e and t h r o u g h e v a p o t r a n s p i r a t i o n in d r y i n g out the u n d e r l y i n g s o i l ; and Maintain h i g h i n f i l t r a t i o n r a t e s . 5.3.1.2 Development of P a s t u r e s in S u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s R e g i o n s : The s u b - m o u n t a i n l a n d w i t h more than one p e r c e n t slope is p r o p o s e d for p a s t u r e development where some common species of u s e f u l g r a s s e s can be sown a n d w o u l d f l o u r i s h grazing within wastage of one a n d water due u n d e r p r o t e c t i v e measures against a half y e a r . to At p r e s e n t excessive surface there run-off is a h i g h from sparsely vegetated and e x c e s s i v e l y g r a z e d s u b - m o u n t a i n lands 'during almost every storm. Poor g r a s s e s and s h r u b of s t u n t e d b u s h e s can be r e p l a c e d b y s o w i n g recommended d r o u g h t r e s i s t a n t g r a s s e s for better vegetation. Grasses play country. of their an important role in building-up the economy of a T h e y have a s p e c i a l i z e d use for erosion c o n t r o l on account fine hair-like roots that bind the soil particles. Top g r o w t h , well e s t a b l i s h e d , a f f o r d s p r o t e c t i o n against wind and b r e a k s the force of the r a i n d r o p s . the minimum. important This natural T h e r u n - o f f on s u c h lands is held to prevents gift intact erosion of the soil and k e e p s for p r o f i t a b l e use b y man. this Rightly it has been s a i d : "Grass— (s the tion. f o r g i v e n e s s of Nature - h e r constant b e n e d i c - Forests decay, harvests p e r i s h , flowers vanish but g r a s s is immortal. l t s tenacious f i b r e s hold the e a r t h in its place a n d p r e v e n t its soluble components from w a s h i n g into the w a s t i n g s e a " . Some of the important s p e c i e s of g r a s s w h i c h have p r o v e d s u c c e s s f u l in t r i a l s at the Soil C o n s e r v a t i o n F a r m , for hilly area area g i v e n below: Agropyron drought The desertorum: tolerant This is a p e r e n n i a l cool season, b u s h g r a s s with an e x t e n s i v e root s y s t e m . roots penetrate upto a depth of about ]_/ Forming E r o d a b l e L a n d s In West P a k i s t a n - 1967 by A b d u l R a s h i d K h a n a n d M . A . H a m e e d C h a u d h r y . 3 meter. Only ten to f o u r t e e n k g land for range March. It September-October and of February- used with s u c c e s s for abandoned lands even at elevations. Bromus with marginotus: coarse highly best at during sowing one h e c t a r e It is a v a l u a b l e d r y land g r a s s for soil c o n s e r v a t i o n . can be high seed is u s e d for sterns It is about shade-tolerant a perennial cool meter, in height. one a n d hence h i g h l y season grass They desirable. It does on f o o t - h i l l s o i l s that r e c e i v e 30 to 60 cms r a i n f a l l high elevations less r a i n f a l l is r e q u i r e d . F i v e to k g seed is u s e d to sow one ha d u r i n g summer Elymus siganteus: season grass success by the with average this grass October land, with and is a t a i l , stout rhizomes. used of to one February-March. also continues to seven season. It has been u s e d with Department 160mm. sow but a g g r e s s i v e , p e r e n n i a l , cool Soil Conservation rainfall is but It are on h i l l y area Two to t h r e e k g seed of ha and d u r i n g It grow not only and provide September- stabilizes the permanent c o v e r on d u n e s . Panicum obtusum: A deep rooted long lived, p e r e n n i a l , warm season t u f f e d b u n c h - g r a s s . for flood plain protective and desilting areas. planting in catchment for robust, It is best s u i t e d It is an ideal g r a s s for areas of the p r o j e c t . use in r e v e g e t a t i n g It is particularly suited g u l l i e s a n d areas where other s p e c i e s do not s u r v i v e , and to improve the soil structure. Setaria macrostachya: season, reseeding perennial depleted A drought bunch-grass. grass-lands It e s t a b l i s h e s a q u i c k resistant, It is a coarse, good and abandoned grass warm for farm-lands. g r o u n d cover on raw d e n u d e d a r e a s . Sporobolus airoides: It is a deep rooted, warm-season, p e r e n n i a l g r a s s t h a t g r o w s in large t u f t b r a n c h e s . Elevation 800 to 2000 meters r e c e i v i n g 200 t o 350mm of r a i n f a l l is most suitable for it. It becomes impiatable after maturity. T h e s e g r a s s e s have been selected after r e v i e w i n g t h e meteorological d a t a , a n d soil c o n d i t i o n s These grasses play a n d after discussion with range officials. an i m p o r t a n t role in r e t a r d i n g and a|so help i n m i n i m i z i n g soil e r o s i o n . g r a z e d b y all t y p e s of l i v e s t o c k . t h e stream flow T h e g r a s s e s a r e commonly T h e s e g r a s s e s a r e sown through d i f f e r e h t methods b u t t u f t s o w i n g is u s e f u l f o r t h i s locality due to low r a i n f a l l a n d it w i l l g i v e good r e s u l t s in s p r e a d i n g its roots far and T h e s u c c e s s of g r a s s i n g is only wide. possible under c l o s u r e a g a i n s t g r a z i n g a n d p r o p e r maintenance. After strict introducing the g r a s s e s s u c c e s s f u l l y , t h e v i l l a g e r s , will feel the r e s p o n s i b i l i t y of protection livestock This kind a n d maintenance as it would be u s e d b y them for development. of waste land in P a k i s t a n c a n be d e v e l o p e d better as p a s t u r e d u e to climatic or other local r e a s o n s . In f a c t , s u c h areas have great p o t e n t i a l f o r r e d u c i n g or eliminating t h e f o d d e r and c o n s e q u e n t l y s h o r t a g e of l i v e s t o c k p r o d u c t s . T h e s e areas can also s u p p l y timber a n d f u e l - w o o d w h i c h a r e in s h o r t Our c o m p r i s e d of i n t e r v i e w s field studies observations, and discussions with shortage supply. with land owners, range management spot officials. T h e s e s t u d i e s r e v e a l t h a t about ten p e r c e n t of the catchment area would be a v a i l a b l e f o r w a t e r s h e d management. that flood by It h a s been o b s e r v e d p e a k s have b e e n s h a v e d - o f f to the e x t e n t of 20 p e r c e n t implementing various parts afforestation of the w o r l d . and range management T h e afforestation measures in in mountaineous and p a s t u r e development i n s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s areas of the Project would substantially improve the catchment 5-10 characteristics. T h e estimated c o s t of a f f o r e s t a t i o n from Rs 2,000 r a i s i n g or to Rs introducing Non-structural interaction 3,000 per under dry ha. c o n d i t i o n s may v a r y Rehabilitation of area by g r a s s e s may cost Rs 400 to R s 600 p e r h a . measures have been on the f l o o d flows p r o p o s e d but their cost have not been a c c o u n t e d for and in the r e p o r t , b e c a u s e of long g e s t a t i o n before these measures c a n become effective. 5.4 5.4.1 V M A N A G E M E N T OF F L O O D F L O W S STRUCTURAL MEASURES THROUGH General Complete flood management of h i l l t o r r e n t s is a p h y s i c a l i m p o s s i b i l i t y , but flood protection to the extent technically and f e a s i b l e , is a s o c i o - e c o n o m i c n e c e s s i t y for the a r e a . of the w o r l d , Egypt back the and floods flood of have been t u r n e d the became the construction of years. the In technology, dike life stream system present floodflows Nile R i v e r in days, the China with the management 5,000 the Similarly, advancement of Flood c o n t r o l by s t r u c t u r a l In years of modern have been r e g u l a t e d by the c o n s t r u c t i o n The flood control specially popular parts dates back to t h o u s a n d s measures is one of the most widely world. about inhabitants. p r o t e c t i v e w o r k s in many p a r t s of the w o r l d . structural In many to economie a d v a n t a g e . was tamed for economically of through adopted s t r a t e g y in measures has become w i t h a d o p t i o n of a m u l t i p u r p o s e a p p r o a c h to flood in w h i c h the economics of joint use of f a c i l i t i e s and of scale often make p o s s i b l e , the p r o v i s i o n of flood c o n t r o l at a lower cost than for a s i n g l e p u r p o s e a p p r o a c h . F i e l d i n v e s t i g a t i o n s in the P a c h a d a n d headwater areas of K a h a H i l l t o r r e n t were c a r r i e d out the a r e a . the area, to formulate a flood management plan for In the l i g h t of h y d r o l o g i e studies and r e c o n n a i s s a n c e of suitable management of sites were floodflows. identified which Comprehensive could be u s e d hydrologie for studies e s t a b l i s h e d that a 1 5 - d a y storm w i t h a 25-year r e t u r n p e r i o d would have Thus, a peak of 2,662 cumecs (94,000 cfs) at the d a r r a h . most of the flood w i t h a peak of 2,662 cumecs has to be r e g u l a t e d b y the c o n s t r u c t i o n of p r o t e c t i v e 5.4.2 works. Flood Management S t r a t e g i e s R e s p o n s e to flood p r o b l e m s two principal economie subject aspects of in the area has been b a s e d upon a r e a s of flood analytical problem. studies; Various the hydrologie and alternatives for management of f l o o d f l o w s c o n s i d e r e d a r e : C o n s t r u c t i o n of a d e q u a t e c r o s s - d r a i n a g e w o r k s on D G K h a n Canal System for d i s p o s a l of floodflows to the Indus River River along b y means of d r a i n s in the canal command a r e a . Disposal t h r o u g h Dajal B r a n c h . Disposal/channelization of floodflows to Indus r i g h t bank of C a n a l s . Management of f l o o d f l o w s in the s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s and P a c h a d areas. Combination of v a r i o u s a l t e r n a t i v e s . In o r d e r have to i d e n t i f y a n d select the optimal s o l u t i o n , all a l t e r n a t i v e s been s c r e e n e d t h r o u g h feasibility and economie the two basic c r i t e r i a i . e . , viability. Critical review technical of various old natural a l t e r n a t i v e s c o n s i d e r e d is d e t a i l e d b e l o w : 5.4.2.1 Disposal to Indus R i v e r t h r o u g h and Drains ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 1 ) Aqueducts Disposal Indus of watercourse channels floodflows by to the constrMctinc seemingly lóoks been c o n s i d e r e d in d e t a i l . very River through a q u e d u c t s / s y p h o n s and attractive. This carrying alternative has T h e t h e o r e t i c a l flood peak for 25 y e a r s r e t u r n p e r i o d has been e s t i m a t e d as 2,662 cumecs u n d e r the e x i s t i n g conditions the of Main the Kaha construction over catchment. right from This the will darrah require to Dajal of one or a s e r i e s of a d d i t i o n a l channelization Branch, and of the hill torrent crossings Dajal B r a n c h a n d a d r a i n to c a r r y the floodflows to the Indus as shown in F i g . 5 . 1 . T h i s a l t e r n a t i v e has an estimated cost of R s 563 million ( T a b l e 5 . 1 ) . F i g u r é 5.2 shows t y p i c a l section of aqueduct over distributaries and Fig.5.3 shows H.T crossing over Dajal Branch. 5.4.2.2 D i s p o s a l T h r o u g h Dajal B r a n c h For d i s p o s a l of floodflows following three necessary. factors (Alternative-2) through affecting Dajal B r a n c h S y s t e m , a s t u d y of flow regimen of canals would be These a r e : E f f i c i ë n t Canal R e g u l a t i o n ; Canal C a p a c i t y V s . Inflow Flood H y d r o g r a p h ; C a n a l Sedimentation V s . Silt C h a r g e of F l o o d f l o w s . Floodflows of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t g e n e r a l l y s t r i k e in the r e a c h R D 70 - R D 170 of the Dajal C a n a l . inadequate capacity of the c a n a l . to take entire T h e c a p a c i t y of the canal is g r o s s l y floodflows intake s t r u c t u r e or peak d i s c h a r g e . will r e s u l t T h i s would r e q u i r e The low in p o n d i n g of water along r a i s i n g a n d s t r e n g t h e n i n g of r i g h t bank of the canal in a d d i t i o n to i n c r e a s i n g its c a p a c i t y which would be economically infeasible. wave darrah the from travel the time of to canal B r a n c h is about 30 h o u r s . of adequately because of Moreover, time of t r a v e l Dajal B r a n c h water from of the flood is about 4-6 h o u r s , while Taunsa to RD 70 of Dajal T h u s , the floodflows cannot be disposed time differential between the two. Silt c o n t e n t s s t u d i e s c a r r i e d out have shown that in view of a high silt c h a r g e of two to four p e r c e n t , it is not a d v i s a b l e to allow floodflows 5CCO.OOOO - IIILI. T"niE |-.V|,-.l.L/'.li SOOO METERS f'AILWAY 70- + J " " A D | '• r.v...i.EiV •;AN/V ti T.-.LLI .Ü : oiSTniüur.vx . CITY, IPWM HEIi-i.nT fr»!:v:nr.r P'JINIW<Y E X I S T I N S H.T. CROSSIMG"WlTH CAPAGITYU^Sce > P R O P O S E D H.T. C R O S S I N G W I T H CAPACITY (m /Sc B ) 3 ROUTE Oi DISPOSAL CHAHNEL FEDERAL FLOOO COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOO PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO MANAGEMENT OF KAHA llll I TORRENT A L T E R N A T I V E NO.I DISPOSAL TO INDUS THROUGH AQUEDUCTS AND DRAINS H A r i O M A L t H O I M C E n i N O S t R V I C t 9 PA KI J TAM I f V T I U Ó L M ! Af utetittit» rif) HAIUA tHOIHetRIHOCOMrAHTAHOIArnfl 9 ASSOCIAT» FIG. 5.1 TABLE - 5.1 ALTERNATIVE-1 LIST OF CROSS STRUCTURES AND THEIR ESTIMATED COST S. No. TYPE OF STRUCTURE AND CAPACITY (CUMECS) NAME OF CANAL OVER WHICH TO BE BUILT 1. H.T.Crossing 233 Dajal Branch 2. Aqueduct 283 Dajal Disty. 3. H.T.Crossing 56 Dajal Branch RD 95+280 4. Aqueduct 340 Firdous Disty. RD 1+500 1 .50 5. Aqueduct 340 Kausar Disty. RD 1+500 1.50 6. H.T. Crossing 85 Dajal Branch RD 107+685 6.00 7. H.T.Crossing 28 Dajal Branch RD 109+763 8. , Aqueduct 454 Naushera Disty RD 1+500 2.00 Proposed 9. Aqueduct 454 Zamzam Disty. RD 1+500 2.00 Proposed' 10. H.T. Crossing 142 Dajal Branch RD 121+560 8.00 Proposed 11. H.T. Crossing 142 Dajal Nranch RD 123+625 12. Aqueduct 740 Islam Disty. RD 2+000 3.00 Proposed 13. H.T.Crossing 142 Dajal Branch RD 139+500 8.00 Proposed 14. H.T.Crossing 200 15. Aqueduct 1082 AB-E-Hayat Disty. RD 2+000 16. H.T.Crossing 56 Dajal Branch RD 177+300 17. Aqueduct 1 138 t-R Minor 1.00 Proposed 18. Aqueduct 1 138 Dhundi Katab Canal - 7.00 Proposed -do- APPROXIMATE ESTIMATED LOCATION COST REMARKS Million(Rs) RD 79+500 1 RD 1+250 Existing 1.00 Proposed Existing Proposed Existing Existing RD 145+700 Existing 2.50 Proposed Existing Aqueduct 1138 Fazil Disty. 2.00 Proposed Aqueduct 1138 Kadra Canal 8.00 Proposed 53.50 Strengthening of inlets of six existing H.T. Crossings along with channelization of upstream inlet into channel = Rs 10.00 million DISPOSAL CHANNEL (52 km total length) Outfall to 34 km (34 Km) capacity 1138 cumecs 200.00 34 Km to 20 km (15 km) capacity 1000 cumecs 127.00 20km to 10 km (10 km) capacity 500 cumecs 50.00 10 km to 0 (10 km ) capacity 350 35.00 412.00 Compensation of land Outfall structure 75.00 7.00 SUMMARY Cross Drainage structures Drains 53.50 412.00 Land compensation 75.00 Outfall structure 7.00 1 No. A.R. Bridge 4.00 2 Nos V.R. Bridges 5.00 1 No. Railway Bridge 6.00 562.50 million DISTY t -COLLAR JOINT 4Nos. RCC PIPE SIZE TO SUIT DISTY. DISCHARGE 4 No». RCC PIPE FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOO PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT A Q U E D U C T OVER SECTION A - A DISTRIBUTRIES TYPICAL, S E C T I O N KATIONAI. CHOlrtCtRIHO SERVICES PAKISTAH (PVT)LTO LH* I, •„ttlttl** rit* MARIA EHQIMEERIHQ COUPAflYANO ZAFAR ft ASSOCIATES Fig. 5.2 f - H.T. BED Z2Z Z p - B E A R I N 6 PAD FEDERAL FLOOO GOVERNMENT COMMISSION O F PAKISTAN FLOOO PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO M A N A G E M E N T OF KAHA HILL T O R R E N T HT.CROSSING OVER DAJAL BRANCH TYPICAL SECTIONS NATIONAL CHOIrtCCHIHO SERVICES PAKISTAN (PVT)LTO LH* I I A R Z i ' f HOIHEERIHOCOUPAMr AH07AFAR a ASSOCIATES X-SECTION •Fig.5.3 j—SULEMAN RANGE WILS DARRAH- -•( 2096 ") LEG END j SALAII j X-S1HUCTURE I MEAO REG. ' O CU) \ A ' DISCHARGE CUMECS^ (74) I INK CHANNEL WAH j. ' ^ f ) KAHA !. DAJAL BRANCH ï FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HUL 10KRE.N KAHA HILL TOflRF-HT FLOOD MANAGEMENT 8CflEM/VIIC DIAGRAM IRRIGATION 8Y9TEM PACHAD AKEA NATiRMACEfraiNEtmi» SERVIC^ m TOTAL CAPACITY OF EXISIING MIH T O n i E K I CROSSING OVER OAJAL BIIAIICH ' T T 9 CUMECS ipvf i n e Ï Ï In »nor/b>/ofi trim !A!i?A. E N W $ f . B j M £ ? H | Y J > T PM> I » H f l « * s s n c ! A H ' F i g , 0.6 to pass through inadequate canal. capacity Thus, of c a r r y i n g in view of regulation problems, c h a n n e l s and high silt c h a r g e , it is t e c h n i c a l l y not feasible to manage floodflows t h r o u g h canal i n l e t s . 5.1.2.3 D i s p o s a l / C h a n n e l i z a t i o n of Floodflows to Indus R i v e r along R i g h t B a n k of C a n a l s : ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 3 ) : Disposal of floodflows bank to Indus R i v e r by c h a n n e l i z a t i o n along r i g h t of Dajal B r a n c h , w o u l d n e c e s s i t a t e its r o u t i n g to tail of Dajal B r a n c h ( R D 190) and then along r i g h t bank of F a t e h p u r D i s t r i b u t a r y . This would finally then move in southerly direction to K a d r a iCanal a n d lead to Indus R i v e r t h r o u g h c r o s s - d r a i n a g e that would have to be c o n s t r u c t e d at K a d r a C a n a l . Topographic that there features is a h i g h of the area ground at along the the right flood bank in route indicate the following r e a c h e s of Dajal B r a n c h . 1. RD 2.5 •- 5 2. RD 20 - 25 3. RD 25.5 - 30.5 1. RD 32.5 - 34 5. R D 34.5 - 35.5 6. RD 38 - 43 7. RD 51 - 54.5 8. R D 60.5 - 67.5 T h e s e high areas would have to be c h a n n e l i z e d to allow to move River. along r i g h t bank The channelization to their would final require destination - floodflows the Indus the c o n s t r u c t i o n of following: 1. S i x b r i d g e s on Dajal B r a n c h from R D 70 - RD 190; 2. C r o s s i n g on K a d r a B r a n c h ; 3. One R a i l w a y B r i d g e ; 4. One A . R . B r i d g e ; a n d 5. Eight cunettes through the h i g h areas listed a b o v e . the F i g u r e 5.4 s h o w s the o v e r a l l p l a n for this The c h a n n e l i z a t i o n w o u l d cunettes. also r e q u i r e alternative. acquisition T h e e s t i m a t e d cost of t h i s a l t e r n a t i v e of l a n d for the is R s 405 million as g i v è n in T a b l e 5 . 2 . 5.4.2.1 Flood Management T h r o u g h D i s p e r s i o n / Dispersion S t r u c t u r e s ( A l t e r n a t i v e - 1 ) : Field studies c a r r i e d v out flows below a t h r e s h o j d by c o n s t r u c t i n g diverted into These are are project area shows t h a t bunds fields through through the which wahs the family/village. and Water have water diverted rights (natural for farmers floodflows s t a b l e c h a n n e l s in e x i s t e n c e since a g e s . Haqooq c h a n n e l s normal level are manageable b y the local earthen the in the are channels). T h e s e wahs particular into these wahs are f u r t h e r tribe/ divided a c c o r d i n g to the s h a r e of e a c h f a r m e r . The d i v i d e d a n d s u b - d i v i d e d wahs end u p other. the into the The number intensity amount of and water, bunded fields for fields which r e c e i v e water of duration diverted of flood in into the wah. system of c h a n n e l s n a t u r a l l y incurred on it. In case filling exists the u p one after hill Since depends torrent the upon and the distribution hence no e x p e n d i t u r e will of h i g h f l o o d , these e a r t h e n b u n d s s h a t t e r e d , s p e l l i n g d i s a s t e r in the a r e a . the be are Hydrologie studies carried out for K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t h a v e shown that flood volumes f o r design flood for a 2 5 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d are likely to be of the o r d e r of 2,662 h a . m . E f f e c t i v e management p r e s e n t s the f o l l o w i n g p r o b l e m s : Damming is not p r a c t i c a b l e , because of h i g h s i l t c h a r g e w o u l d r e s u l t in a v e r y limited life of the dam. Erratic nature run-off pattern. The detail of rainfall results in highly unpredictable s t u d i e s of s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s and P a c h a d areas that a g r e a t p o t e n t i a l for indicate f l o o d management e x i s t s in mountaineous and P a c h a d a r e a s t h r o u g h the c o n s t r u c t i o n of d i s p e r s i o n s t r u c t u r e s . The villages a b o v e the d a r r a h have a total area of 32,400 h a (80,000 acres) of including which some about parts 22,700 where ha terrace (56,000 acres) irrigation are culturable is c u r r e n t l y being LEGEND RÏVEH HILL ToRRENT/NALLAh I1AILWAY LINE Rf'AO M E T A L L E D U N M E T A L L E O C A N A L ö DISTRIBUTARY C A N A L B ORAINGE CROS3INO CITY, TOUN.MEIOIir; TfCVINCE OOUNCA'tY . # O •3990 FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT ALTERNATIVE NO. 3 P R O P O S E D H.T. C R O S S I N G OISPOSAL TOINOUS BY CHANNELIZATION ALONG RIGHT BANK OF DAJAL BRANCH DRAIN ALIGNHENT [NATIONAL E H O I N E E R I H O S E R V I C E S P A K I S T A N ( P V T ) L T O E X I S T I N G H.T. CROSSING DRAIN CAPACITY CUMECS I» fft/ttiti LMfJ ril) I K H I A E H O I H E C B I H O C O M P A N Y AMO I A T A R a A380CIATcS FIG. 5.4 TABLE 5.2 ALTERNATIVE Page 1 of 2 NO. 3 LIST AND COST OF CROSS DRAINAGE STRUCTURES AND THEIR ESTIMATED COST Sr. No. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. TYPE OF STRUCTURE APPROXIMATE LOCATION NAME OF CHANNEL ESTIMATED COST RS. MILLION H.T.Crossing over Dajal Branch Capacity 142 cumecs RD 170+00 Dajal Branch 5.00 Aqueduct (300 cumeces) Capacity Head Reach Sultan Disty 3.00 Aqueduct (350 cumecs) Capacity Daial Disty 3.00 Aqueduct (350 cumecs) Capacity Firdous Disty. 3.00 Aqueduct (350 cumecs) Capacity Kausar Disty 3.00 Aqueduct (400 cumecs) Capacity Naushera Disty 4.00 Aqueduct (400 cumecs) Capacity Zam Zam Disty 7.00 Aqueduct (500 cumecs) Capacity Islampur Disty 7.50 Aqueduct (550 cumecs) Caoacity Ab-e-Hayat 5.00 Aqueduct f700 cumecs) Capacitv I-R Minor 1.00 Aqueduct f1000 cumecs) Capacity Dhundi Kutab Canal 5.00 Aqueduct Fazil Disty 4.00 Kadra Canal 5.00 '* " Total: Strengthening of inlets and right bank of six existing H.T crossings. 55_.50 8.00 Disposal Channel: 1. 2. On right bank of Dajal Branch of Capacity 1474 cumecs length 25 Km 105.00 On right bank of capacity ranging from 300 cumecs to 2434 cumecs 138.50 243.50 1 No. A-R Bridge 5.00 3 No. V-R Bridges .6.00 1 No Railway Bridge .7.00 SUMMARY Cross Drainage Works 55.50 Strengthening of Existing H.T. Crossings Disposal Channel 8.00 243.50 Bridges 18.00 Land Acquisition 80.00 Total: Rs. 405.00 Million practised. Below the d a r r a h , out of a total haqooq area of 41,600 ha (102,760 a c r e s ) , a b o u t 36,253 ha (89,580 a c r e s ) are and a natural In a d d i t i o n to t h i s , there is a l a r g e ' N o n - H a q o o q ' area which could be i r r i g a t e d if water of can distribution be made culturable lands floodflows could potential s y s t e m is in e x i s t e n c e . culturable available. Thus, there in the s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s be dispersed for are large tracts a n d Pachad areas irrigation. that is available above the d a r r a h , where Considering thé it has been estimated that about 566 c u m e c s , out of peak of 2,662 cumecvs c o u l d be a b s o r b e d in this area by c o n s t r u c t i n g d i s p e r s i o n w o r k s which shall be limited to; \ (a) flexible structure a c r o s s the hill t o r r e n t just downstream of wah i n t a k e . (b) upgrading of the alongwith stone wahs at i n t a k e b y c o n s t r u c t i n g protection and stream lining bed-bars of the wah approach b a n k s . T h e remaining in the Pachad a r e a . into t h r e e Nain. 1,777 c u m e c s would be t h u s available for branches known The later equal s h a r e s . past has no Hill T o r r e n t near as L a m b i N a i n , water rights T i b i Solgi splits-up Obhi Nain and L e g h a r i while the other two have A f t e r s t u d y i n g the t o p o g r a p h y of the a r e a , c a p a c i t y of the c a r r y i n g its Kaha utilization history natural and c h a n n e l s , the mode of basin i r r i g a t i o n interview and with the land o w n e r s , it has been determined that flow o f 1 ,777 cumecs could be u t i l i z e d in the Pachad area. Estimated cost of s t r u c t u r a l measures is R s 190.26 m i l l i o n . Balance flow of about 319 cumecs would flow down to Dajal B r a n c h and c r o s s over t h r o u g h t h e e x i s t i n g hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s . 5.4.3 Recommended S t r a t e g y for Flood Management Various strategies flood management were c o n s i d e r e d and c o m p r e - h e n s i v e s t u d i e s were c a r r i e d out to evaluate the technical f e a s i b i l i t y and economie v i a b i l i t y . Basic philosophy in the selection of the s t r a t e g y was that maximum q u a n t i t i e s of floodflows be u t i l i z e d r i g h t in the areas where they are g e n e r a t e d i . e . , hilly a n d Pachad a r e a s . T h i s would g r e a t l y f a c i l i t a t e not only the mitigation of flood h a z a r d in the area but would u s h e r in a new era of economie d e v e l o p m e n t . Abject p o v e r t y in the a r e a w a r r a n t s that c o n c e r t e d e f f o r t s for i n t e g r a t e d management of 5.4.3.1 be made floodflows. C o m p a r i s o n of A l t e r n a t i v e s : (i) D i s p o s a l of f l o o d f l o w s to I n d u s R i v e r t h r o u g h a q u e d u c t s and old c h a n n e l s . T h i s a l t e r n a t i v e hooked t e c h n i c a l l y This has also been recommended strategy planners it has in the p a s t . been found would d e p r i v e the disposal to the the area of the l i k e l y i r r i g a t i o n cost proper of some of Upon c r i t i c a l e x a m i n a t i o n , that c o u l d a c c r u e from estimated by promising. this management alternative of the however, Indus River b e n e f i t s that floodflows. is about R s 563 M o r e o v e r , it is l i k e l y to a g g r a v a t e flood s i t u a t i o n The million. downstream in the r i v e r i n e a r e a . (ii) Disposal of technically floodflows not through feasible as Dajal Branch: floodflows greatly This exceed is the c a r r y i n g c a p a c i t y of the c h a n n e l and on account of the other c o n s t r a i n t s s u c h a s ; heavy silt load and r e g u l a t i o n p r o b l e m s . (iii) Management of floodflows ultimate d i s p o s a l to the Rs 405 m i l l i o n . Dajal Branch, along the could be In it Indus River: T h i s is l i k e l y to cost the r e v i s e d P C - I Form for has right along r i g h t b a n k of c a n a l s and its bank brought been p r o p o s e d that of e x t e n s i o n of a one mile belt DG K h a n Canal a n d Dajal B r a n c h under cultivation by lift irrigation. C h a n n e l i z a t i o n of floodflows would g r e a t l y hamper development of these f a c i l i t i e s flows in the a r e a . would d e p r i v e M o r e o v e r , t r a n s f e r of f l o o d - the area of f u r t h e r development which would p l u n g e the a r e a in the nightmare of b a c k w a r d n e s s for ever. this C o s t of approach attractive. this to the alternative flood is Rs 405 m i l l i o n . management is also not Thus, very T h e other a l t e r n a t i v e w h i c h p r i m a r i l y aims at management of floodflows in cost Rs irrigation s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s a n d Pachad a r e a s , l i k e l y 115 million, s u p p l i e s to would help in providing o v e r 50,000 ha for to regulating the d e s i g n f l o o d . T h i s w o u l d also boost the c r o p p i n g i n t e n s i t y from an a v e r a g e a n n u a l of 8 p e r c e n t to 81 p e r c e n t for the d e s i g n f l o o d . In v i e w of the m e r i t s d i s c u s s e d a b o v e , t h i s s t r a t e g y has been finally selected torrent. that for management of floodflows of Kaha Hill T h i s a p p r o a c h also conforms to the basic c r i t e r i a maximum quantities areas where they of floodflows be u t i l i z e d right in are g e n e r a t e d i . e . , s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s and Pachad a r e a s . 5.1.1 Proposed Measures Flood peak c o r r e s p o n d i n g to 2 5 - y e a r s r e t u r n p e r i o d is estimated as 2,662 c u m e c s . R u n - o f f f o r the d e s i g n r e t u r n p e r i o d is 0.13 million ha.m which (Mha.m) is equivalent to over one million acre-feet (1 .05 M A F ) . Under the p r o p o s e d s t r a t e g y , r u n - o f f g e n e r a t e d by 2 5 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d will be managed in a c c o r d a n c e w i t h the land potential available in B a l o c h i s t a n a n d P a c h a d areas a n d balance flow of 319 cumecs would r e a c h Dajal Canal a n d pass t h r o u g h the hill t o r r e n t c r o s s i n g s o v e r the c a n a l . the structures free-board. extent without of In case of floods of r e t u r n p e r i o d s u p t o 100 y e a r s will pass Higher damage Project. the floods d i s c h a r g e s will will be far less with on the r e a c h Dajal B r a n c h b u t the as encroachment compared E n c r o a c h m e n t into f r e e - b o a r d with at the higher p e r i o d f l o o d s is as u n d e r : R e t u r n period Years Discharge cumecs Free-Board For Guide B a n k s (m) 2,662 1.50 50 3,058 1 .08 100 3.127 1 .00 25 (Design R e t u r n Period) lossès return It will be seen from on the f r e e - b o a r d year the a b o v e table that with 0.5m the s t r u c t u r e return period. In encroachment will be able to pass a flood of 100- s u c h an event a d i s c h a r g e of about 1,084 cumecs will r e a c h the Dajal B r a n c h . 5.4.4.1 Flood Management in M o u n t a i n e o u s R e g i o n \ Presently eight structures have been built on v a r i o u s of Kaha Hill t o r r e n t i n B a l o c h i s t a n P r o v i n c e . tributaries These s t r u c t u r e s are i briefly d i s c u s s e d as u n d e r : 1. C h u n g Nallah Scheme T h i s is located on C h u n g N a l l a h , a t r i b u t a r y of Kaha in the upper catchment c o n c r e t e weir for above Darrah. It c o n s i s t s of a low level the d i v e r s i o n of p e r e n n i a l flows o n l y . It is f e e d i n g just one w a t e r c o u r s e . 2. R a k h n i Flood I r r i g a t i o n Scheme It is located on It is built flood of stone scheme has b e h i n d the r i g h t The weir c r e s t weir original Rakhni Nallah another masonary. been extremely abutment was e x t e n d e d t r i b u t a r y of The performance poor. It was Kaha. of outflanked d u r i n g one of the recent f l o o d s . on the r i g h t b y b u i l d i n g a higher of g a b i o n s almost of length equal to that of structure. this the L a t e r o n , it was o u t f l a n k e d on the left b e h i n d the i n t a k e c h a n n e l left abutment. P r e s e n t l y the i n t a k e c h a n n e l w h i c h was damaged by the 1 988 flood is u n d e r repair. 3. C h u r r i Irrigation Scheme: L o c a t e d on C h u r r i Torrent. It Nallah w h i c h is a t r i b u t a r y consists of a high level of Kaha concrete Hill weir for d i v e r t i n g f l o o d flows on both s i d e s . The structures behaviour is have almost been unsatisfactory. The channels silted up. 4. Seakal Irrigation Scheme: S e a k a l I r r i g a t i o n Scheme f a i l e d even b e f o r e it c o u l d see the light of the d a y . T h e r e is major damage on both the and r i g h t f l a n k s . scoured sides and have A p o r t i o n of weir c r e s t has been u n d e r - has c o l l a p s e d and the canal been left seriously damaged i n t a k e s on beyond both repair. The scheme need to be a b a n d o n e d and r e b u i l t at a p r o p e r l o c a t i o n . 5. Dubba Irrigation Scheme: T h i s is also located on R a k h n i Nallah about 5 km downstream of Seakle perennial Irrigation. flow. flood after It was built T h e scheme failed for the during diversion the very of first c o n s t r u c t i o n in 1964 and s i n c e t h e n it has been abandoned. 6. C a t h e r i n e I r r i g a t i o n Scheme: It is on tributary of Kaha d o w n s t r e a m of S e a k a l S c h e m e . flow for irrigation. It and is situated about 24 km It was b u i l t to d i v e r t p e r e n n i a l was o u t f l a n k e d on the r i g h t and a g u i d e b u n d was b u i l t on the r i g h t side to c h e c k r e o c c u r r e n c e of 7. outflanking. Nahar Kot & V i t a r k i I r r i g a t i o n Schemes: T h e s e two schemes are located on Wahi K a r i n N a l l a h . are low level d i v e r s i o n weirs for p e r e n n i a l f l o w . some flow p r o b l e m to both the s t r u c t u r e s . These T h e r e are 8. T h a n g w a n i I r r i g a t i o n Scheme: T h i s was b u i l t on Gand N a l l a h , a t r i b u t a r y of K a h a , 1982 at a cost of R s 4.02 m i l l i o n . during T h e Nallah has a p e r e n n i a l d i s c h a r g e of about 0.30 cumecs (10 c f s ) . In area of about 250 ha is a v a i l a b l e for c u l t i v a t i o n . S i x out of the e i g h t e x i s t i n g schemes mentioned above are in d i f f e r e n t states of d i l a p i d a t i o n . The r e h a b i l i t a t i o n w o r k s to be u n d e r t a k e n for these scheme will r a n g e from remodelling to complete r e c o n s t r u c tion at these nallahs. area. to suitable in a c c o r d a n c e with the T h i s may involve some adjustment morphology of of the command In the cases of new weir c o n s t r u c t i o n s , e f f o r t s will be made adopt cost All locations the much this flexible less type than remodelling management p l a n n i n g construction the will rigid form with rubble an masonry integral being proposed. Gabions. It would construction'. component of flood The r e p a i r / r e m o d e l l i n g of the e i g h t s t r u c t u r e s w i l l cost about R s 40.00 million a n d will manage a flood d i s c h a r g e of about 340 cumecs (1 2,000 c f s ) and i r r i g a t e an area of about 13,600 ha (33,600 a c r e s ) Four A d d i t i o n a l Schemes: eight structures, the In addition to the r e m o d e l l i n g of e x i s t i n g following four additional irrigation schemes h a v i n g l a r g e a g r i c u l t u r a l potential have b e e ^ s e l e c t e d . The e x i s t i n g and p r o p o s e d s t r u c t u r e s are shown in F i g . 5.5. Diversion Capacity (Cumecs) A r e a to be Irrigated (Ha) S.Nb. Name of P r o p o s e d Scheme Co-Ordinates 1. T h a d h a I r r i g a t i o n Scheme N 29° 20* E 69° 23' 50 650 2. Warsala I r r i g a t i o n Scheme N 29° 37' E 69° 26' 60 780 3. D h a u l a I r r i g a t i o n Scheme N 29° 52' E 69° 32' 60 780 4. VVahi I r r i g a t i o n Scheme N 29° 37' E 69° 26' 58 575 5-31 5.4.4.2 Flood Management in P a c h a d A r e a T h e D a r r a h of The the torrent Pachad area l y i n g very is about 40 km west of Dajal B r a n c h . between the f e r t i l e where b a s i n i r r i g a t i o n the a r e a . toe of hills a n d the canal is is b e i n g p r a c t i s e d on a p a r t of The c u l t u r a b l e P a c h a d area is about 36,253 h a ( H a q o o q ) . T h e t o r r e n t has also p e r e n n i a l s u p p l y ' K a l a P a n i ' of about 1 cumec at Darrah which rights. other After major hill is b e i n g which irrigation a c c o r d i n g to e m e r g i n g from hills\, the t o r r e n t fans out torrents Mohammad P i t a f i , then Solgi u s e d for of the a r e a , but rejions near water- like most Basti Mir flows down as main Kaha u p t o v i l l a g e T i b b i is s i t u a t e d about 31 km downstream of Darrah. this s i t e , the t o r r e n t s p l i t s - u p into t h r e e main b r a n c h e s . side c h a n n e l c a l l e d L e g h a r i At T h e left Wah a ' n o n - h a q o o q ' c h a n n e l has been closed at the head by c o n s t r u c t i n g a b u n d known as L e g h a r i B u n d . The r i g h t side b r a n c h is c a l l e d Ghawaz Wah and has a r i g h t draw o n e - t h i r d of the f l o o d f l o w s r e a c h i n g t h i s s i t e . to The remaining t w o - t h i r d of flood water flows down t h r o u g h the c e n t r a l b r a n c h for f u r t h e r d i s t r i b u t i o n b e t w e e n S h a k h Shumali and J a n u b i . Kaha flows b r i n g down l a r g e q u a n t i t i e s of sediment both s u s p e n d e d and bed load. T h e b e d load mainly c o n s i s t s of large size heavy b o u l d e r s (60-70 cms) a n d c o a r s e to medium g r a v e l (6-2 c m s ) . The . h e a v i e r b o u l d e r s get d e p o s i t e d about 2 kms downstream of D a r r a h while the g r a v e l s t r a v e l hill t o r r e n t b e d before further downstream to a b o u t 5 km in settling. T h e s u s p e n d e d sediment mainly comprises fine s a n d and s i l t . s u s p e n d e d material is t r a n s p o r t e d t h r o u g h Where fine it gets sand conveyance deposited and silt systems regime, (non-silting the due to deposition (wahs) This the wahs upto the fields p o n d i n g w i t h i n the b u n d s . adds have fertility generally to the This land. maintained a The' stable non-scouring). The p r o p o s e d d i s t r i b u t i o n of floodflows for d e s i g n flood is g i v e n in Table 5.3. It is a n t i c i p a t e d c a r r y i n g c h a n n e l s (Wahs) that the c a r r y i n g c a p a c i t i e s of the d e c r e a s e with the time by about 10 to 20 TABLE - 5,3 LIST OF WAHS AND THEIR CARRYING CAPACITY AFTER PROPOSED UPGRADING S.NO. NAME CAPACITY(CUMECS) 1. Mohammad Wah 2. Hazooran Wah 3. Khan Wah 4. Upper Noor Wah 96 5. Link Channel 73 6. Khata Wah 81 7. Jat Wah 81 8. Chatool Wah 96 9. Makwal Wah 79 10. Sona Wah 81 11. Lashari Wah 1 18 12. Jindara Wah 67 13. Ghawaz Wah 153 14. Shah Wah 53 15. Sidwah 73 16. Hajoo Wah 17. Dhora Wah 67 18. Parara Wah 53 19. Jinday Wah ,81 20. Khokar Wah 96 21. Noor Khona 153 22. Makwal Wah 70 74 • 81 , 51 part from Sidwah Total: 1777 Cumecs percent due channels. to In Branch. silting that and case masking a part of effects flood of flows structures would and r e a c h Dajal The e x i s t i n g c r o s s - d r a i n a g e s t r u c t u r e would take c a r e of these e s c a p a g e s . T h e S c h e m a t i c L a y o u t of these Wahs with r e s p e c t to the d a r r a h of t o r r e n t is g i v e n i n F i g . 5 . 6 . derived on the basis The capacity of these wahs have been of . a c t u a l c r o s s - s e c t i o n s a n d s l o p e s . f a r m e r s will flood t h e i r l a n d s a c c o r d i n g to the a v a i l a b i l i t y of Investigations and field surveys have d e t e r m i n i n g the w o r k i n g of these Wahs. that in most cases the b e d of the been carried The water. out for These i n v e s t i g a t i o n s i n d i c a t e hill torrent near the off-take sites of Wahs has become d e e p e r and the i r r i g a t o r s have to c o n s t r u c t high the stone c r o s s - b u n d s for irrigators could d i v e r t on 'Saropa the next is to c o n s t r u c t p r o p e r the f l o o d s . Paina', b r e a c h the diverting floodflows. so T h e water the irrigators T h e demand pf stone d i v e r s i o n b u n d s rights which of these Wahs is b a s e d after i r r i g a t i n g their fields d i v e r s i o n b u n d s a n d allow flood water to flows down to Wah. The c o n s t r u c t i o n of s u c h an autcmatic system of d i v e r s i o n of floodflows w o u l d be too c o s t l y . In view of t h i s , it is p r o p o s e d to c o n s t r u c t f l e x i b l e type of d i v e r s i o n s t r u c t u r e s of stone in gabions of varying lengths and heights suited for the site. The estimated cost of these d i v e r s i o n . s t r u c t u r e s is R s 130.26 m i l l i o n . T a b l e 5.4 s h o w s the o v e r a l l p l a n for the management of 1,777 cumecs in P a c h a d a r e a . T h e s t r u c t u r e s w h i c h are u n d e r c o n s t r u c t i o n will be e x t e n d e d the and receiving Wahs will be u p g r a d e d to r e c e i v e greater d i s c h a r g e with p r o p e r intake s t r u c t u r e s . structures will be f l e x i b l e T h e now p r o p o s e d type Cabion construction cheap in c o n s t r u c t i o n and economical to maintain. F i g u r e 5.7 shows t y p i c a l l a y o u t of the p r o p o s e d d i s t r i b u t i o n / d i v e r s i o n F i g . 5 . 8 s h o w s the p r o p o s e d g u i d e b a n k s to the which will be structures structures. and rnu s.( Itll HU T0IE1T rui foi FLOOD iinomir ii MCIO iiium OIIIIU Sr.llue of line af lOiicflirie '.Ut* ;sut«i Ig.lSluetiriiOfflikiii lof ckuotl/IStrottirt,' ! Uil ii UhiBsH/flit.'Sih I ! ! 3. ,' ! !i/iec «f i i 1 1 1 1 1 i i 1 : i 2 i i i i 1 ( i * i isuui :saiiiiia ; :ni i 2 ,'SIUII inzoom ; ;i3*ooo :ui : 3 jsiUII rnu ui ! 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M ISlLlli 113*000 t • i i i i i • Uur of Coifle-'hliiiUI/ lllltl ICIIIII- tioi 1 iiiroit- of nir/ Ition Cost uit Siliii li.J Icoit of lnir lli.l 1 10 i i i Ifroioitl - Ifroiosil | - i 1 - - (rul Titil: li 110.21 lillioi Titll liickiru Oiilirsil: 1.7)7 Conet litii: Eirfl nrk Stilt lirk (iliui Cuireii >li.7.il/Ci.i =li.I!2.ll/C.i Ui.SH/Ci.i =IS.IOOO/CI.I 1- z Ui rx <r O i- 4i -GUIDE BANK. w WAH -WEIR 5 Cvi O 5.0 m F EL'ERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT KL0O0 MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT DIVERSION S T R U C T U R E S GUIDE BANKS MATIOHAL SECTION A-A GUIDE BANK I t A H I A t H O I M S i H I H O JCKVICÏ3 P A K I S T A M ( P V T ) L T O t l i a i M t t S I M O C O U P A I I Y A M O l A ^ A H Q L U i A530C:AT£5 Fig.57 WATI» U V I l m «AHA WAT» • AC* 30333 LIVfl Ml H M HILL 13333- SECTION B- B C SECTION C - C TYPICAL PLANS F E D E R A L FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO M A N A G E M E N T OF K A H A HILL TORRENT DISTRIBUTION/DIVERSION STRUCTURE LAYOUT SECTION A - A SECTION O- O THROGH SALAII NATIONAL ENGINEERING SERVICE PAK. (PVTI L T O .L M R In ottoeiolion will» H A R Z A ENGINEERING C O M P A N Y A N D Z A F A R ft A S S O C I A T E S A P P R O V E O -Fig. 5.8 T h e béds of nallahs in B a l o c h i s t a n are g e n e r a l l y eight lower than have to the be levels for adjoining kept high land, enough so the with crests of respect to to ten feet diversion the f e e d i n g the e x c a v a t e d flood c h a n n e l s . existing scour area T h e bottom is to be f i x e d at the e x p e c t e d maximum d e p t h of level and the c r e s t to be c o m m a n d e d . level would be k e p t k e e p i n g in view the ' Upstream a p r o n the nallah is l i k e l y to s i l t - u p of bed These weirs will behave like v e r t i c a l d r o p e n e r g y d i s s i p a t o r s t r u c t u r e s . level of the weir weirs is not due to heavy silt n e c e s s a r y , since load. The length downstream c i s t e r n w o u l d be f i x e d from the e n e r g y dissipation consideration. Weirs so far constructed in upper catchments in B a l o c h i s t a n are i n v a r i a b l y r i g i d s t r u c t u r e s b u i l t of c o n c r e t e or stone masonary with i m p e r v i o u s downstream f l o o r s . Slight differential settlement in the f o u n d a t i o n of the s t r u c t u r e r e s u l t s in major c r a c k i n g and c o n s e q u e n t collapsing After are of critical not the whole study beyond repairable of the damaged s t r u c t u r e s recommendihg structures. structure with boulders gabions built have of been angle i r o n 6mm b a r s has been recommended i n s t e a d structures built with differential settlement gabions flexible masonary The constructed proposing stone s t r u c t u r e s c o n s t r u c t e d w i t h stones in wire c r a t e s ( g a b i o n s ) . carry are of c o n c r e t e or weir which we type in B a l o c h i s t a n , we of channels Instead, rigid condition. will of adjust type recommended cases. to be T h e use of 8 gauge w i r e . themselves Weir against in the f o u n d a t i o n , if a n y , without damage to the w e i r . Another likely outflanking cause of of f l o o d f l o w s . the failure of irrigation structures is Following are the p o s s i b l e causes of the outflanking: (i) High v e l o c i t y in n a l l a h ; (ii) Oblique a p p r o a c h of nallah to the weir structure. In the mountaineous sinous c u r v e . available for G e n e r a l l y long the suitable for a weir in B a l o c h i s t a n , the of r e a c h e s of nallah are not crest structures was not. d e s i g n e d for higher g e n e r a l l y e n c o u n t e r e d in the n a l l a h s , which has r e s u l t e d 1 order adequate nallahs follow a In the e x i s t i n g weir in their o u t f l a n k i n g and c o n s e q u e n t In the s i t e s e v e n if otherwise the site structure. length darrah straight ideal location of weir is floodflows areas above to . a v o i d length this of type weir of with failure. failure, proper we propose protection. to provide Figure 5.9 — shows thé t y p e of weir p r o p o s e d for c o n s t r u c t i o n in u p p e r catchments in Balochistan. Design criteria for fixing the upstream and downstream b e d p r o t e c t i o n l e n g t h is g i v e n in F i g . 5 . 1 0 — . In P a c h a d a r e a , the nallah s l o p e s a r e f l a t t e r a n d the beds of nallahs beds In are not as deep as in are only this low. four a r e a , the Here the to f i v e silt Balochistan. feet content height lower in the the In Pachad a r e a , the t h a n the adjacent ground. floods is also comparatively of weir c r e s t need not be v e r y high. In Pachad area too, we i n t e n d to p r o v i d e f l e x i b l e g a b i o n weir or c r o s s structure with low c r e s t . F i g . 5 . 1 1 shows the t y p i c a l c r o s s - s e c t i o n of w e i r s / c r o s s - s t r u c t u r e s p r o p o s e d . In o r d e r to c h e c k movement of the b e d against s c o u r / r e t r o g r e s s i o n , the intakes of the wahs will be a r m o u r e d with gabion structures (Fig.5.12). 5.4.6 Recommended Sequence of C o n s t r u c t i o n & C o s t s Implementation floods is, may be e x p e r i e n c e d d u r i n g therefore, there is d e s i r a b l e to c a r r y minimum aggravating estimates of the p r o p o s e d w o r k s will take t h r e e y e a r s . flood are 1 989-90 p r i c e interruption problems. given in level and Table the p e r i o d of c o n s t r u c t i o n . out in The 5.5. likely It the w o r k s in s u c h order that the on-going works without recommended p h a s i n g and cost These c o s t s are escalation d u r i n g project. ]_/ Some R i v e r E n g i n e e r i n g by M a r g r e t t e P e t e r s e n . based upon the execution of D/S SIDE WALL H.F. L {-BED LEVEL TYPICAL X-SECTION OF DIVERSION WEIR IN U P P E R BALOCHISTAN CATCHMENT Fig. 5.9 1.0 1 1 1 i .1 1 i I ! I i I i 1 0.50 I I I I I Applicable for side slopes froni vertical to 1V:3h \ ^Suggest ed design cu rve 0.42 - : Minimum X \ ^ A > X \ — i 0.6 - v 'A = zero 0.34 < n u \ \ \ \ A // v = 0. 0.26 0.4 Applica ble for side slopes betwee n 1V:2H and 1V:3H i i 0.06 i i 0.10 t i l 0.18 0.8 l 1 0.14 1 1 1 0.18 i 0.22 0 /H i i .26 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 T/d/c (b) Discharge coëfficiënt 50 (a)Stone size required o O CO Notes: 70 •D — c co co — m °£ 7 =>' - S total head, H + V /2g above the crest 5d upstream of the crest T - tail water depth above the crest 10 d downstream of the crest = critical depth for trapezoidal crest section A = total area above crest 5 d upstream K - area in end sections of crest 50^. upstream Q - total discharge i: -J < n 2 E„ - S " Level c (c) Oefinition sketch i DESIGN CRITERIA FOR GABION AND ROCK SILL F i g . 5.10 ft TYPICAL CROSS FOR PACHAO STRUCTURE AREA Fig.- 5.H -Channel Bed Backfill Backfill Dumped stone Dumped stone Grouted stone ^ Alternative (a) Grouted stone stabilizer Vorles Filtert x_— G a b ion W f J || Alternative (b) Gabion Wall Cufoff With Stabilizer Source: River Engineering By Margrette Petersen W A H - INTAKE S T R U C T U R E IN PACHAD ARÈA j ! 5-44 Fig. 5.12 ' j TABLE 5.5 PROPOSED WORKS AND ESTIMATED COSTS YEAR NAME OF WORKS COST (Rs Million) YEAR ONE 1990-91 REHABILITATION Rakhni Irrigation Scheme Nabar Kot Irrigation Scheme Vitarki Irrigation Scheme 5.00 NEW SCHEMES Wahi Irrigation Scheme 10.00 Thadha Irrigation Scheme 10.00 - YEAR TWO 1991 - 92 REHABILITATION Seakle Irrigation Schemes 5.00^ NEW SCHEMES Warsala Irrigation Scheme 8.00- Thadha Irrigation Scheme 7.00- * Total for Year Two 20.00 REHABILITATION Catherine Irrigation Scheme ] Thangwani Irrigation Scheme j YEAR THREE 1992 - 93 UPPER CATCHMENT BALOCHISTAN Total for Year One 25.00 Chung Irrigation Scheme 15.00- ; Total for Year Three 15.00 YEAR W 55 O — O I tó O W cn COST Rs Million NAME OF WORKS Salaii RD 13+000 (Mohammad Wah) 5.25 Salaii RD 15 + 000 (Hazroon Wah) 4.25 - Salaii RD 16 + 000 (Khan Wah) 4.75 - Cross Structure U/Noor Wah RD 39+000 4.05 - Cross Structure Jat Wah Upgrading of Wahs and Salaii Line Channel 21.05 3.45 H Total for Year One PM <! O S Chatool Cross Structure 16.37 Sona Cross Structure 15.60 Lashari Cross Structure and Upgrading of Wans. 16.83 42.80 CN cn 3 CTl W cn CM Total for Year Two Cross Structure Jindara etc. cn H I Crf CN <q cn W cn >-, Cross Structure Sidwah Cross Structure Dhora Wah etc, Head Regulator Noor Kohna 48;80 9.86 11.83 9.18 7.79 - — Total for Year Three 38.66 Page 3 of 3 PROJECT PHASING YEAR BALOCHISTANi PUNJAB TOTAL Rs Million 1990-91 25.00 42.80 67.80 1991-92 20.00 48.80 68.60 1992-93 15.00 38.66 53.86 60.00 130.26 190.26 SECTION - 6 A G R I C U L T U R E AND ECONOMIC 6.1 PRESENT 6.1.1 General EVALUATION AGRICULTURE V D G K h a n a n d R a j a n p u r D i s t r i c t s of P u n j a b P r o v i n c e c o v e r an area of 2.39 million hectares (5.9 million acres) which c o n s i s t s of 17 p e r c e n t c a n a l command a r e a , 35 p e r c e n t P a c h a d a r e a a n d 48 p e r c e n t s u b - m o u n t a i n e o u s a n d mountaineous a r e a . minor hill torrents areas during formulate major T h i r t e e n major a n d 192 emanating from Suleiman R a n g e d e v a s t a t e floods. a technically Kaha sound and the flood p r o b l e m s after studying hill torrent large has been t a k e n to viable solution to economically its b e h a v i o u r under actual field conditions. T h e a r e a lies w i t h i n the A r i d Zone of the c o u n t r y and agricultural production soil moisture retention. a r e a is utilized serious damage to and other is dependent on flood irrigation or O n l y a small p a r t of the r a i n f a l l on the catchment for agriculture, standing infrastructure. while kharif the flood flows p a r t c a u s e crops, canals, roads, Deterioration of the railway, vegetative cover t h r o u g h o v e r - g r a z i n g by nomadic f l o c k s has a g g r a v a t e d the p r o b l e m and has increased flood damage Flood Management of the t o r r e n t flood that in such a way magnitudecan that potential of hill torrents. is p r o p o s e d a g a i n s t 2 5 - y e a r peak the maximum water be u t i l i z e d the u p to the floods in t h e u p p e r a r e a s where t h e y of are generated. 6.1.2 Soils and L a n d Use T h e mountains are almost b a r e r o c k s and the v a l l e y s i d e s are s t o n y w h e r e a s , the soil of P a c h a d A r e a is piedmont t y p e w i t h h i g h f e r t i l i t y h a v i n g good m o i s t u r e h o l d i n g c a p a c i t y . 6-1 Once the top l a y e r of soil is d r y , the there land range surface. which migratory Very is l i t t l e s u b s e q u e n t e v a p o r a t i o n from the soil below is T h e c a t c h m e n t area of the P r o j e c t c o v e r e d b y used stock mainly owners for from grazing the very and p r o v i d i n g sparse vegetative for cover. small area ( l e s s t h a n two p e r c e n t ) is c o v e r e d w i t h f o r e s t s on the b a n k s of the h i l l t o r r e n t a n d its t r i b u t a r i e s . a fuel part of springs. area The is also Punjab used for piedmont wheat plain On h i g h e l e v a t i o n , cultivation has water by right perennial on about 11,585 h e c t a r e s of w h i c h 36,253 h e c t a r e s are c u l t u r a b l e a r e a w h i c h is about 87.2 p e r c e n t of the total a r e a . c r o p p e d area t h r o u g h can be i n c r e a s e d by of h i l l t o r r e n t . can be basin irrigation proper control The p r e s e n t annual a v e r a g e is o n l y 2,897 h e c t a r e s w h i c h and optimum use of floodflows A b o u t 2 2 , 6 6 3 h a c u l t u r a b l e area located in B a l o c h i s t a n developed by their schemes a n d r e h a b i l i t a t i o n in w o r k i n g o r d e r s . implementation of e i g h t of four new irrigation e x i s t i n g schemes w h i c h are not It was o b s e r v e d d u r i n g f i e l d i n v e s t i g a t i o n that due to h i g h l y d e l a p i d a t e d c o n d i t i o n of the eight e x i s t i n g s t r u c t u r e s . p r e s e n t l y the e r o p p r o d u c t i o n is almost n e g l i g i b l e . 6.1.3 Irrigation Practices Basin irrigation has been practised in the Pachad area since p r e - h i s t o r i c times by c o n s t r u c t i n g small d i v e r s i o n b u n d s a c r o s s the main channels earthen height. bunds for of diverting one The entire to floodflows one-half to meter the field (three to enclosed by five feet) in a r e a is t e r r a c e d and is t r a v e r s e d b y a large network of n a t u r a l c h a n n e l s . D u r i n g e x c e p t i o n a l l y wet y e a r s f l o o d - flows are so h i g h a n d s u d d e n that the e a r t h e n b u n d s c o n s t r u c t e d by c u l t i v a t o r s a r e w a s h e d a w a y . to c o n c e n t r a t e in A major p a r t of f l o o d water d e p r e s s i o n a l areas and s t r i k e the lends canal s y s t e m c a u s i n g b r e a c h e s r e s u l t i n g in e x t e n s i v e damage in the canal i r r i g a t e d area. ' 6.1.1 C r o p p i n g and P r o d u c t i o n In the Pachad area major kharif c r o p s are jawar a n d b a j r a r a b i c r o p s are w h e a t , o i l - s e e d a n d g r a m . while C r o p s sown at the lower elevation are wheat grown is floods. mostly s o r g h u m with some rape and m u s t a r d . in a r e a s with residual water or Some in case of T h e c r o p p i n g p a t t e r n and i n t e n s i t i e s for Kaha Hill late Torrent as a w h o l e , c o m p u t e d on the b a s i s of f i v e y e a r s average (1984-85 t h r o u g h 1938-89) are g i v e n in T a b l e 6 . 1 . a v e r a g e of five y e a r s is to smoothout in r a i n f a l l q u a n t i t y a n d t i m i n g . T h e reason for c o m p i l i n g the i n f l u e n c e of fluctuation A v e r a g e c r o p p i n g intensity calculated for the P a c h a d A r e a is 8.0 p e r c e n t w i t h 5.8 p e r c e n t k h a r i f a n d 2.2 percent rabi. accordance The with cropping the Area, production limited pattern and in the area is t a i l o r e d u n r e l i a b l e water supply in system. and a v e r a g e y i e l d of p r i n c i p a l c r o p s are g i v e n in T a b l e 6.2 Sorghum and bajra as k h a r i f c r o p s are p l a n t e d in J u n e to A u g u s t on the e n t i r e c u l t i v a t e d a n d a d e q u a t e l y watered a r e a . S e p t e m b e r , r a p e and mustard is s e e d e d into those Later, around areas where millet fails to g e r m i n a t e . Millet is h a r v e s t e d i n November and oilseeds in January-February. When the last floods o c c u r late in the s e a s o n , i.e., in October a n d the season description of is the N o v e m b e r , a p a r t of the area not flooded e a r l i e r also planted crops which with are wheat and generally gram. sown in the A brief Project area f o l l o w s . Sorghum (jawar); the Project diverted the is the most important area. T h e erop d e p e n d s for flood w a t e r s w h i c h flow mountains with fertile a v a i l a b l e in the k h a r i f quantity and considerably every year. yielding, moisture The on the down onto the plains from organic matter. primarily timing. food erop g r o w n ' in season, sorghum This s u p p l y is and is v a r i a b l e in area, thus, varies a c c o r d i n g to the d u r a t i o n and number of f l o o d s The e n t i r e s o r g h u m erop is planted w i t h low long stemmed i n d i g e n o u s v a r i e t i e s . c o n s i d e r e d as important The straw is as the p r o d u c t i o n of g r a i n b e c a u s e t h i s is the only a v a i l a b l e l i v e s t o c k feed t h r o u g h o u t the y e a r . TABLE - 6.1 PRESENT CROPPING PATTERN AND INTENSITIES Area Hectares Intensity. Percent of CC CCA 36253 Hectare CROPS 1984-85 1985-86 1986-87 1987-88 Jawar 2548 926 4115 309 Bajra 701 60 535 15 3249 986 4650 324 Wheat 580 245 925 Gram 466 11 Oilseed 450 R. TOTAL : ANNUAL: 1988-89 AVERAGE INTENSITY KHARIF K.TOTAL: 1185' 1817 5.0 277 0.8 1257 2094 5.8 315 259 465 1.3 99 17 111 141 0.4 24 159 14 347 199 0.5 1496 280 1183 346 717 805 2.2 4745 1266 5833 670 1974 2899 ","8.0 72 - RABI Source : Intensitiés are based on Five Years Cropped Average from 1984-85 to 1988-89.collected from Revenue Office, District Rajan Pur. TABLE -6.2 PRESENT CROP AREA, PRODUCTION AND YIELD CROPS AREA (HECTARES) YIELD (Kgs/Hectare) TOTAL PRODUCTION "• (M.Tons) Jawar 1817 430 781 Bajra 277 350 97 Wie at 465 698 325 Gram 141 485 68 Oilseed 199 461 92 . . Source: Yields are based on Five Years average taken from Punjab Agricultural Statistics. T h i s is w h y the c u l t i v a t o r s generally p r e f e r to sow j a w a r / b a j r a e v e n in late s e a s o n due to late r a i n f a l l . is e s t i m a t e d ha. about 130 k g s No f e r t i l i z e r The y i e l d of g r a i n and a straw at 2,150 k g s is u s e d for g r o w i n g the c r o p s . per Smut a n d stem b o r a r are the major disease p r o b l e m s . Wheat: is the s e c o n d important food erop sown in the P a c h a d area. In October with case and l3st floods occur late in the s e a s o n , N o v e m b e r , c o n s i d e r a b l e areas are also wheat. About 90 p e r c e n t of the Wheat high straw yield. erop generally is of drought receive no moisture in a d d i t i o n to that s t o r e d in the soil in the b u n d e d fields. This results about 698 k g s p e r Oilseeds: The mustard, erop in generally very low erop yield of hectare. common planted in oilseed c r o p s the rabi grown season. are The rape rabi and oilseed is g r o w n in the low a l l u v i a l patches of the P a c h a d area using the pockets residual inside. the has left g a p s . likely poor cultivation 6.1.5 wheat planted grown i n d i g e n o u s v a r i e t y , because of its a b i l i t y to w i t h s t a n d and i.e., In moisture. sorghum oilseed c r o p s . bonus. They g r e e n to livestock. erop where poor view of lack of moisture financial return, of the erop is p l a n t e d produce low in those establishment in the soil a n d little e f f o r t s are made for They yields are looked and are the upon . as a sometimes fed Farm P r a c t i c e s Bullocks provide power for land preparation in the project The S t a n d a r d p r a c t i c e of most of the farmers is to have one or bullock pairs for cultivation Farm size is l a r o e ; a b o u t area of 2.5 ha, depending upon the size of 10 h e c t a r e s , with an a v e r a g e the r e m a i n d e r being fallow. area. two holding. cultivated P l o u g h i n g of the land is u s u a l l y not done u n t i l the soil has had its f i r s t s o a k i n g . Because, most of the piedmont Continued ponding saturation levels. wooden bullock irrigated planted ploughing. or successive floodings T h e number plough area. by soils of the P a c h a d area have low p e r m e a b i l i t y . of p l o u g h i n g s is o n l y 2-3; The seedbed tilth 'pora' direct into Despite t h i s . are much very ground in poor at good g e r m i n a t i o n the the canal and seed is time producing labour a fertile extepsive. The first farming watering, alluvial is not A v e r a g e family s i z e is about s i x p e r s o n s w h i c h , with a p a i r of b u l l o c k s , per farm in k h a r i f 6.1.6. seedbed. of u s u a l l y o c c u r s because in s a i l a b a \ a g r i c u l t u r e , the silt is d e p o s i t e d w i t h the f i r s t thus attain c a r r i e d out with the less t h a n is often the needed to manages to c u l t i v a t e about s i x ha of land season. I n t e g r a t i o n with L i v e s t o c k Most of the rearing people of the is a t r a d i t i o n a l sheep and goat These animals flocks are project activity. as well fed Sorghum bunches livestock stubble grazing of s o r g h u m s t r a w and the T h e y all maintain as b u l l o c k s through g r e e n f o d d e r which is mostly is a r e a are nomadic and stubble some farm for draught grazing and of purpose. by feeding sorghum. sold at Rs 50 p e r are also s o l d . cropping livestock system ha. Block This integration serve the dual of purpose and the of s u p p l y i n g manure to the c r o p p e d l a n d as well as k e e p i n g the nomadic sheep f l o c k s in r e a s o n a b l e c o n d i t i o n o v e r the w i n t e r 6.2 1 6.2.1 FUTURE AGRICULTURE Potential for period. DEVELOPMENT Development T h e management of floodflows for a g r i c u l t u r e development e s s e h t i a l l y requires a comparative production. is the only water study T h e development s o u r c e of of pre- potential and post-project f- of the a e a , where level rainfall i r r i g a t i o n , mainly d e p e n d s on the avciilability in the form of r u n - o f f a n d on the a v a i l a b i l i t y of of of c u l t i v a b l e area The annual against the run-off various and return a r e a is i r r i g a t e d floods, only total c u l t i v a b l e a periods during small a r e a of indicate that Kaha Hill only 8.0 an a v e r a g e f l o o d y e a r . percentage of floodflows Torrent percent During are of high utilized for . a g r i c u l t u r e and r e m a i n i n g flows g e n e r a l l y i n u n d a t e the canal eommand a r e a after been breaching the designed Dajal C a n a l . against ;a Therefore, maximum; p e a k flood of the project 25-year has return p e r i o d to minimize s u c h >losses b y a n d to u s e it f o r the development \ of p r o j e c t area. flood been has ' design year flood Monthwise r u n - o f f calculated. during The various w h i c h c a n be u s e d f o r 1 05 ,383 ha.m. against available months 2.33 , 5 , 1 0 , 2 5 - y e a r s annual (June sowing kharif The l a n d u s e p o t e n t i a l to run-off for the of the November) a n d r a b i c r o p s , is about in ' h a q o o q ' area of Punjab flood p l a i n is about 36,253 h a w h i c h c a n be d e v e l o p e d b y s p r e a d i n g the floodflows area located of in peak whereas B a l o c h i s t a n may against design flood. against floods 25-year be about 22,663 ha developed by culturable proposed works A b o u t 96,100 h a . m out of the a v a i l a b l e r u n - o f f return period can be s p r e a d o v e r 51,200 ha with 1.22 meter ( f o u r feet) d e p t h of water a s s u m i n g 65 p e r c e n t c o n v e y a n c e efficiency total of as g i v e n in T a b l e 6 . 3 . cultivable water project area. The bunded also c o v e r a b o u t irrigation T h i s a r e a is a b o u t 87 p e r c e n t of efficiency irrigation 60 p e r c e n t field of 1.22 meter efficiency. Thus, (the e f f e c t i v e u s e of the i r r i g a t i o n in erop production) project w h e r e f i e l d s are f l o o d e d . depth the water would b e 39% that looks more r e a l i s t i c for s u c h of p r o p o s e d s t r u c t u r e As the d e s i g n d i v e r s i o n c a p a c i t y is a b o u t 2,313 c u m e c s , t h e r e f o r e , the s u r p l u s r u n o f f a g a i n s t d e s i g n f l o o d of 2,662 cumecs d i s c h a r g e may be p a s s e d through the Dajal Canal c r o s s i n g s a n d i n u n d a t e d the canal eommand area. There i.e., are two kharif major (April seasons to of s o w i n g c r o p s in the P a c h a d area A u g u s t ) a n d R a b i ( S e p t e m b e r to ; November). F u t u r e p r o d u c t i o n and d e v e l o p m e n t ! w i t h ' a n d ' w i t h o u t ' p r o j e c t h a v e , therefore, been s t u d i e d to e s t a b l i s h incremental production in the proceeding paragraphs. 6.2.2 Future Cropping 6.2.2.1 'Without' The Project: cropping estimated Pattern after pattern and determining using precipitation data. intensities the After 'without' return knowing period project of peak approximately have been floods the by return TABLE - 6.3 FUTURE CROPPING INTENSITIES WITH AVAILABLE IRRIGATION SUPPLIES FOR DIFFERENT HILL TORRENTS OF PROJECT AREA Name of Development Area 1 Return Available Runoff at Darrah Irrigation Bunded Cropped Area CCA Period Kharif Rabi Annual Efficiency Irrigation Kharif Rabi Annual Hect- Year are Hectare Meters Percent Centimeters Hectare 2 3 4 22,663 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 9,056 17,416 21,645 23,396 Punjab 36,253 Piedmont Plain (Haqooq Area) 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 Project Area 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 Balochistan Area 58,916 5 Cropping Intensity Rabi Annual Kharif Percent of CCA 6 7 8 9 2,452 4,715 5,860 6,380 11,508 22,131 27,505 29,776 65 65 65 65 122 122 122 122 4,825 9,279 11,532 12,465 6,131 1,306 2,512 11,791 3,122 4,654 3,399 15,864 21 41 51 55 6 11 14 15 27 52 65 70 21,130 40,637 50,505 51,037 5,720 11,000 13,672 15,270 26,850 51,637 64,177 66,307 65 65 65 65 122 122 122 122 11,258 21,651 26,908 27,192 3,048 5,861 7,284 8,136 14,306 27,512 34,192 35,328 31 60 74 75 8 16 20 22 39 76 94 97 30,186 58,053 72,150 74,433 8,172 15,715 19,532 21,650 38,358 73,768 91,682 96,083 65 65 65 65 122 122 122 122 16,083 4,354 20,437 30,930 8,373 39,303 38,441 10,406 48,847 39,657 11,535 51,192 27 53 65 67 7 14 18 20 34 67 83 87 10 11 12 13 14 p e r i o d s of p e a k f l o o d s , t h e areas u n d e r c r o p s d u r i n g years was estimated Rajanpur, which The a n t i c i p a t e d from shows on-going cropping projects in T a b l e - 6 . 4 . floods is of the Revenue Department of flood flows u s e d in the pattern against year. 2 . 3 3 , 5 , 10 a n d 25 y e a r d i v e r s i o n s of flood flows b y the e x e c u t i o n under 'without' project conditions are shown T h e c r o p p e d a r e a a g a i n s t 2 . 3 3 , 5 , 10 a n d 2 5 - y e a r s 2,900, 'without' project 6.2.2.2 record quantum floods d u e to a d d i t i o n a l of the corresponding 14,306, 20,437 a n d 21,418 h e c t a r e s respectively conditions. 'With' P r o j e c t The available flood flood water is a s s u m e d to 51,197 hectares dispersion be against diverted terraced structures fields in the 2.33, 5, 10, into 2 0 , 4 3 7 ; through project 25-years 3 9 , 3 0 3 ; 48,847 an area. 15 a n d improved In the and system light of of field i n v e s t i g a t i o n s c a r r i e d out a n d in k e e p i n g w i t h the soil c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of the a r e a , it has b e e n a s s u m e d t h a t 1.22 meter d e p t h of is s u f f i c i ë n t for the maturity of all k h a r i f and rabi watering crops of.the Project a r e a . The annual cropping peak kharif 67 a n d 20 p e r c e n t ' w i t h ' p r o j e c t c o n d i t i o n . been major factors water requirements The piedmónt oilseed such (Taramira) 58.4 cropping pattern, requirements as s o i l and in and better of c r o p p e d area. availability of season, drier On a more it is after well of of drought to crops. millet (jawar Jawar an deep root tolerance. b a s i s of dependable reasonable subsequently occupy about with into c o n s i d e r a t i o n area has been its to root s y s t e m , and 6.4. bajra), important included system, low area c o v e r 4.8 erop in the water percent experience with supply assume 6,663 h e c t a r e s . the R a b i oilseeds in winter previous water for Future cropping suitability, p a r t s of the project the 25-years, t o l e r a n c e as g i v e n in T a b l e cropped view erop suited wheat of come to 87 p e r c e n t , taking texture, drought are percent season s u i t e d f o r flood proposed and soils covering d e s i g n e d would flood the have are with which patterns facilities intensity that and rabi a the prolonged wheat would TABLE 6.4 1 FUTURE CROPPING PATTERN UNDER 'WITH AND 'WITHOUT' PROJECT AGAINST VARIOUS RETURN PERIOD (Area in Hectares) With Project Without Project Crops j 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 j 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 Incremental 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 Jawar Bajra 13,955 26,838 33,355 34,410 2,128 4,092 5,086 5,247 1,817 9,769 13,955 14,625 12,138 17,069 19,400 19,785 277 1,489 2,128 2,230 1,851 2,603 2,958 3,017 K.Total 16,083 30,930 38,441 39,657 2,094 11,258 16,083 16,855 13,989 19,672 22,358 22,802 erI Wheat Gram Oilseed 2,515 763 1,076 4,836 1,467 2,070 6,663 2,021 2,851 465 1,761 141 534 199 753 2,515 2,636 763 799 1,076 1,128 2,050 622 877 3,075 933 1,317 3,496 1,060 1,496 4,027 1,222 1,723 R.Total 4,354 8,373 10,406 11,535 805 3,048 4,354 4,563 3,549 5,325 6,052 6,972 Annual 6,011 1,823 2,572 20,437 39,303 48,847 51,192 2,899 14,306 20,437 21,418 17,538 24,997 28,410 29,774 6.2.3 Crop Yields and Traditional due to and subsistence agriculture conditions would undependable conditions. by the Production farmers, who resources. benefits supply under 'without' would It accrue is from do not have technical anticipated that i n c r e a s e in the most cultural practices and input utilization, in yields. of various return Projection periods and intensities 'with' assessment incremental development. resulting yields and The incremental improvement in of field Therefore, projected cropping patterns ' w i t h o u t ' the p r o j e c t w i l l be u s ë d for production generated for by the the project crop h i g h c r o p y i e l d s in the p r e c e e d i n g p a r a s . production a g a i n s t 2 . 3 3 , 5 , 10 a n d jawar g r a i n w o u l d i n c r e a s e b y 8,507 t o n s , wheat b y 794 t o n s as g i v e n in T a b l e 6 . 5 . under ultimate designed peak flood (25-years). Besides, some f a r m e r s there are due to the i n a d e q u a c y of i r r i g a t i o n these c u l t i v a t o r s would area y i e l d s flood intensities. studies and has been e s t i m a t e d controlled project against peak floods flood cropped the However the i n c r e m e n t a l b e n e f i t s h a v e been a d j ü s t e d u p w a r d to a c c o u n t o i l s e e d by of and in some i n c r e a s e w i t h o u t detail h y d r o l o g i e i n v e s t i g a t i o n is not p o s s i b l e . of crop know-how cropping H o w e v e r , m a n a g e a b l e w a t e r s u p p l y would also b r i n g erop project T h e h i s t o r i c a l y i e l d g r o w t h r a t e s w o u l d not b e s u s t a i n e d local financial irrigation perpetuate revert will water be in total p r o d u c t i o n . 6-11 It i n d i c a t e s t h a t 2,811 tons a n d development c o n d i t i o n s against who have a b a n d o n e d t h e i r facilities. to c u l t i v a t i o n a c h i e v e d , as in supply, 25-years lands It is a n t i c i p a t e d that of s u c h a r e a s . Thé other the w h i c h will b r i n g area about with an i n c r e a s e TABLE -6.5 INCREMENTAL PRODUCTION IN PROJECT AREA (M.Tons) CROPS 2.33 INCREMENTAL WITHOUT PROJECT WITH PROJECT 10 25 2.33 10 25 2.33 10 25 Jawar 6001 11540 14343 14796 781 4201 6001 6289 5220 7339 8342 8507 Baj ra 745 1432 1780 1836 97 521 745 781 648 911 1035 1055 Wheat 1755 3376 4196 4651 325 1229 1755 1840 1430 2147 2441 2811 Gram 370 712 884 980 68 259 370 388 302 45-3' 514 592 Oilseed 496 954 1186 1314 92 347 496 520 404 607 690 794 TOTAL: 9367 18014 22389 23577 1363 6557 9367 9818 8004 11457 13022 13759 6.2.1 Cultural Practices The yield improving p r a c t i c e s w h i c h have been p r o p o s e d for the p r o j e c t area a r e : Improved Cultivation: significantly Permeability improved and the of most flooding soil c o u l d time r e q u i r e d be for \ s a t u r a t i o n r e d u c e d b y a n n u a l c u l t i v a t i o n with a c h i s e l p l o u g h a n d metal ^season. elements This prior would to the commencement of the also improve soil aeration flóod and root penetration; Land Levelling and usually lower range Bunding: from section 4 to Present b u n d enclosed areas 21 h a . As a c o n s e q u e n c e , of e a c h a r e a is more t h o r o u g h l y the top s e c t i o n is o f t e n not s u f f i c i e n t l y s o a k e d . of more frequent bunds with some land watered the and Construction levelling will s u b s t a n t i a l l y i n c r e a s e the c r o p area a n d i m p r o v e the e f f i c i e n c y of water u s e ; Better S e e d i n g : T h e c r o p y i e l d s can be i n c r e a s e d by s o w i n g c r o p s w i t h i m p r o v e d rnethods a n d u s i n g clean seed a n d the recommended s e e d i n g r a t e . L o c a l v a r i e t i e s of s o r g h u m a n d wheat are p r e f e r r e d b e c a u s e of their d r o u g h t high y i e l d s of good s t r a w q u a l i t y . H o w e v e r , resistance and improved higher y i e l d i n g v a r i e t i e s c a n a l s o be i n t r o d u c e d with some r e l i a b l e water supply present, after demonstration agricultural extension in and the project area. research services At are v e r y poor a n d i n a d e q u a t e to p r o v i d e g u i d a n c e to the f a r m e r s at the evolved the field level. Therefore, to use a d a p t i v e r e s e a r c h a n d at the same time p r o v i d e in-service training media n e e d e d for would b r i n g together f a c i l i t i e s for the t r a n s f e r fields. a s y s t e m w o u l d have to be field s t a f f . t h e r e s e a r c h and e x t e n s i o n staff This and of new t e c h n o l o g y to the f a r m e r s ' New Crops: grow Initially, the c r o p s wheat. it is e x p e c t e d t h a t c u l t i v a t o r s would l i k e ; k h a r i f s o r g h u m w i t h o i l s e e d s a n d some If s o r g h u m p r i c e s remain a t t r a c t i v e a n d the feeding of s o r g h u m g r a i n f o r l i v e s t o c k f i n i s h i n g c r e a t e s an a d e q u a t e d e m a n d f o r t h i s c r o p , it is p o s s i b l e t h a t the t r a d i t i o n a l mix will remain. If on much less p r o f i t a b l e pattern probably kharif crops. Plant arising be s o r g h u m becomes c r o p s , c h a n g e s in c r o p p i n g from the above opportunities for practices introduction and there of other F o r the new c r o p s to be p r o p o s e d , t r i a l s demonstrations feasibility hand, With the more r e l i a b l e w a t e r s u p p l y distribution would other than other will o c c u r . better the crop need of t h e i r to be arranged introduction Protection: Plant to and determine the in the a r e a . protection measures should be i n t r o d u c e d on a w i d e r scale to r e d u c e l o s s e s f r o m stem b o r e r . ECONOMIC EVALUATION Economie a n a l y s i s of the project the economie f e a s i b i l i t y as shown by efficiency the terms as p l a n n e d is i n t e n d e d to e s t a b l i s h a n d s o u n d n e s s of p u b l i c i n v e s t m e n t e x c e s s of b e n e f i t s i.e., net over costs both of t a x e s a n d s u b s i d i e s . involved measured The in D'scounted C a s h F l o w method has b e e n u s e d in the economie a n a l y s i s a n d s u c h parameters and the as Net Internal Present R a t e of V a l u e of Return benefits, Benefit-Cost have been c o m p u t e d to e s t a b l i s h the economie f e a s i b i l i t y of the s e l e c t e d project d e s i g n . rule, the project benefits is Internal R a t e of investment is economically justified positive. Benefit-Cost Return (opportunity i s above Ratio the if exceeds average the project would extend unity rate of and return the on c o s t of c a p i t a l ) in the e c o n o m y . economie a n a l y s i s , a p e r i o d of 2 5 - y e a r after works As a d e c i s i o n Net P r e s e n t V a l u e of For works Ratio has been even 6-14 taken, beyond although 25-year. the the The completion of life basic of project input for economie a n a l y s i s a r e project costs methodology 6.3.1 Project over the estimated v a l u e of the b e n e f i t s the period of analysis. and the of the A description u s e d f o r estimation of v a l u e s of these i n p u t s follows. Benefits B e n e f i t s of the p r o p o s e d p l a n c o m p r i s e those g a i n s to the economy which can which, in be in monetary terms, as well t h o u g h s o c i a l l y d e s i r a b l e , are not amenable to monetary important from measured terms. Among the measurable as benefits quantification benefits, the most a r e t h o s e , w h i c h are r e p r e s e n t e d b y the s a v i n g s r e s u l t i n g the aversion agricultural of flood damages production from intensive due to a v a i l a b l e water and the u s e of increase land in made the possible s u p p l i e s in c o n j u n c t i o n w i t h the f l o o d c o n t r o l works. 6.3.1.1 B e n e f i t s D u e to I n c r e a s e in A g r i c u l t u r e P r o d u c t i o n : With the management of f l o o d f l o w s of Kaha Hill T o r r e n t it is p l a n n e d to u s e all flows of Pachad flows the up order area. to 10-year of 2,243 The benefits return period cumecs from during the flood and maximum design flood regulated supply in of the flood water t h r o u g h p r o p o s e d d i s p e r s i o n s t r u c t u r e s i r r i g a t i n g a b o u t 51,200 hectares period) of cropped area (with water h a v e b e e n m e a s u r e d in terms from of net up to 2 5 - y e a r return value of the i n c r e a s e in p r o d u c t i o n of the c r o p s . Net Production value crop was computed with the traded project 1 989 rupees Value (NPV): by distribution non-traded the total to the f a r m g a t e . Price Forecasts, necessary costs. incremental crop production production of each Economie p r i c e s of a n d i n p u t s u s e d were d e r i v e d from the J u n e I B R D Commodity with multiplying prices adjusted outputs Total adjustments Current commodities, local appropriately for e x p r e s s e d in c o n s t a n t shipping, market prices adjusted handling are to r e f l e c t used 1989 and for economie formgate values. Farm production expenses vary directly t y p e of c r o p s a n d the a c r e a g e of e a c h c r o p g r o w n . cost for labour with the The production c r o p s i n c l u d e the money s p e n t on s e e d , c u l t i v a t i o n , and a small amount Gross revenue production to cover improvement therefore, million, miscellaneous charges. e x p e n s e s and net r e t u r n p e r h e c t a r e are estimated as g i v e n i n T a b l e 6 . 6 . through the hired The incremental benefits accruing in f l o o d management of K a h a H i l l T o r r e n t estimated are, as R s 2 0 . 2 0 , R s 2 9 . 2 2 , R s 33.21 a n d R s 35.84 respectively against 2.33, 5 / 10 a n d 25-years floods as g i v e n in T a b l e - 6 . 7 . Average Annual Benefits: floods of various probability Computations T a b l e 6.8 period have been plotted on normal agricultural b a s e d on the S t a n d a r d p r o c e d u r e as g i v e n indicates that annual benefits million would be 6.3.1.2 return p a p e r in F i g . 6 . 1 to compute a v e r a g e a n n u a l benefits. in T h e estimated a g r i c u l t u r a l b e n e f i t s a g a i n s t amounting to R s 14.72 forthcoming. B e n e f i t s Due to S a v i n g of F l o o d D a m a g e s : In normal y e a r s the f l o o d water beneficial soil and floods with manner. helps heavily enormous F r e s h silt raise laden good with velocity K a h a Hill T o r r e n t d e p o s i t e d on the crops. silt and constructed by cultivators. bank of Dajal C a n a l w h i c h of enter But during is u t i l i z e d land enriches wet years Pachad Area through davastate the diversion in the flashy darrah structures T h e f l o o d flows a c c u m u l a t e a l o n g r i g h t a f f o r d some p r o t e c t i o n f r o m the t o r r e n t with c r o s s - d r a i n a g e . Due to i n a d e q u a t e c r o s s - d r a i n a g e f a c i l i t i e s the c a n a l b a n k is b r e a c h e d and main frequent flooding c a h a l s a n d the is c a u s e d in Indus resulting the low in h e a v y Communications, c a n a l s , c r o p s a n d human l i f e . be r e d u c e d by the proposed works. lying areas l o s s e s to between property, T h e s e damages would U s i n g latest historical area N E T R E T U R N P E R H E C T A R E WITH P R O J E C T Yield Crops Kgs Labour Char- Misc ges Rs Rs Value-Per Hectare Total Net Return Cost % of Rs Rs. G.P.V. 401 420 47 980 849 46.4 80 300 210 30 620 588 48.7 487 200 210 45 942 2876 75.3 Unit Price Rs/ Kg. Gross Seeds Revenue Rs Rs Cultivation 1:12 Rs Jawar: Grain 430 3.44 1479 Straw 1750 0.20 350 Grain 350 2.45 858 Straw 1750 0.20 350 Grain 698 5.11 3567 Straw 1047 0.24 251 Oilseed 461 4.31 1987 47 200 73 16 336 1651 83.1 Gram 485 6.80 3298 516' 200 210 46 972 2326 70.5 Bajra: Wheat: NOTE: Yields are based on Five Years average of Rajan Pur District taken from Punjab Agricultural Statistics. Input Application Rates are based on Agro-Economic Survey. Pricé of non-traded crops from local market and adjusted to derive Economie Price. Price of tradéd crops taken from World Bank, Commodity Price Forecasts, June, 1989. TABLE- 6.7 AGRICULTURAL BENEFITS AGAINST VARIOUS RETURN PERIODS (Million Rupees) CROPS GROSS PRODUCTION VALUE " . 2731 3TÏÏÖ foTÖÖ 25.00 FARM PRODUCTION EXPENSES . . 2.33 5.00 10.00 25.00 5.00 10.00 25.00 10.30 14.50 16.42 16.80 22.20 31.22 35.48 36.19 11.90 16.72 Bajra 2.24 3.14 3.57 3.64 1.15 1 .61 Wheat 7.83 11.74 13.35 15.38 1.93 2.90 3.29 3.79 5.90 8.84 10.06 Gram 2.05 3.08 3.50 4.03 0.60 0.91 1.03 1.19 1.45 2.17 2.47 2.84 Oilseed 1.74 2.62 2.97 3.42 0.29 0.44 0.50 0.58 1.45 2.18 2.47 2.84 36.06 51.80 58.87 62.66 15.87 22.58 25.66 26.82 20.19 29.22 33.21 35.84 1.83 19.39 2.33 Jawar TOTAL: 19.01 NET PRODUCTION VALUE 1.87. 1 .09 1.53 1.74 1.77 11.59 I -tt 4 r I +" [Lilt XB r-t90- m X X XI m II j | i i I M i j l 80 70 300 20 FEDERAL FLOOO COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOO PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILLTORRENT . P R E - P R O J E C T a POST PROJECT AGRICULTURAL B ENEFTTS -FREQU ENCY CURVE NATWHAI, imaittm»» SERVICES FAKISTAH (PVTILTD LM* la ittthlh* H 1-2 wit» H A H Z A e m m e t r n H O C O M P A M Y A H O I A F A B a ASSOCIATES 1-5 M h3 J RETURN . PERIOQ * 5 « IN YEARS 7 8 9 IO FIG. 6.1 ESTIMATION OF AVERAGE ANNUAL AGRICULTURAL BENEFITS FREQUENCY BENEFITS Rs.Million 0.83 0.0 0.80 1.0 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0. 10 0.04 AVERAGE BENEFITS Rs.Million FREQUENCY INTERVAL ANNUAL BENEFITS Rs.Million 0.50 0.03 0.02 4.0 0.10 0.40 9.00 0.10 0.90 13.75 0.10 1.38 18.75 0.10 1.88 22.75 0.10 2.28 26.85 0.10 2.68 31.20 0. 10 3.12 34.30 0.06 2.06 7.0 11.0 16.5 21.0 24.5 29.2 33.2 35.4 Average Annual Agricultural Benefits 14.72 inundations design against flood, the various floods, inundated it a r e a will is estimated be a b o u t that for the 54,000 h a . The i n u n d a t i o n in c a n a l eommand area will r e s u l t in c o n s i d e r a b l e d a m a g e s . As all the cotton, for area rice, is p r e s e n t l y c u l t i v a t e d a n d h i g h v a l u e c r o p s sugarcane and orchards are s o w n . The like inundation the d e s i g n f l o o d is s h o w n i n F i g . 6 . 2 , w h i c h is b a s e d u p o n historical route of flood flows. The damages d u e to the the direct f l o o d i n g a n d the s u s p e n s i o n of the i r r i g a t i o n s u p p l i e s were e s t i m a t e d by d e v e l o p i n g f l o o d damage f a c t o r s of v a r i o u s c l a s s e s . Application of these f a c t o r s to t h e f l o o d water i n u n d a t e d a r e a , y i e l d the of damage associated and d u r a t i o n . kharif with a flood of given magnitude, extent intensity Flood d a m a g e s p r i n c i p a l l y c o m p r i s e damage to s t a n d i n g crops, private housing, infrastructure, livestock and stored g r a i n as d e s c r i b e d b e l o w : Standing Crops: flood (i.e., that considers F l o o d damages to s t a n d i n g c r o p s a g a i n s t 25-year) the have b e e n estimated by a n a l y t i c a l depth, duration and time of design techniquè flooding, flood s u s c e p t a b i l i t y of each c r o p , c r o p p i n g p a t t e r n , the e x t e n t of a d v e r s e e f f e c t s on y i e l d s due to f l o o d i n g , monthly distribution estimated m o n t h l y of flood would have prices, p e a k s and c r o p p i n g i n t e n s i t y . The economie v a l u e of p o t e n t i a l y i e l d loss is b a s e d on the e x p e c t e d economie f a r m g a t e that the farm c o s t , f a r m g a t e been g r o s s r e v e n u e m i n u s on f a r m incurred post-dated to the flood cost event. M o n t h l y net potential f l o o d losses for major k h a r i f c r o p s are d e t a i l e d ' i n T a b l e s 6.9 that crop floods occur losses per e s t i m a t e d in crops to 6.12. This mostly hectare during of T a b l e 6.13 b y relative to the has been done in v i e w of t h e month monsoon culturable season. are c o n s i d e r i n g the e f f e c t s on each of the w h i c h are c o m b i n e d w i t h m o n t h l y area monthly (CCA) of f l o o d i n g eommand The and the c r o p p i n g pattern p r o b a b i l i t y of flood o c c u r r e n c e to o b t a i n c r o p losses per h e c t a r e f l o o d e d in canal eommand a r e a . total c r o p losses are fact estimated as R s 70.6 million by The multiplying u n i t factor with about 5 4 , 0 0 0 ha i n u n d a t e d by the d e s i g n f l o o d . LEGEND RI'.ER HILL ToRRENVN.«LL£H RAILWAY UNC FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN P"AO VCTALLXO UW/ET,\LLED CANAL b DISTRIBUTARY FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOO MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HILL TORRENT CANAL B DRAINCE CR??3'NG CITY, TOWN MEICMTS TRCVIMCE P3UNPJRY TRI9AL ?OUNDAI»Y CATCHMEflt eHUHO*"' SUB CATCMUEMT FLOODEO AREA 80UNDARY O «3890 AREA INUNDATION AGAINEST DESIGN FLOOD MATIOIUU. t H I W E E R I M » fCHVteCI FAKIITAK (fVT)LTD /* mttittif LHP vilt HifttA tHOIHEERIHO COMrAHTAHO I t f A H > AHOClATtt FIG. 6.2 Item Units Units /ha Price /Unit Monthly Allocation Total Occ Nov 5798 288 2899 144 2899 144 6086 3043 3043 May a/ Jun Revenue Pacidy By-product Credit (1:1.2) Total Revenue Expenses Land Preparation Seed: Input cost F e r t i l i z e r : DAP Urea Application Transplanting Weeding Plant Protection Materials Application Bund Maintenance Irrigation Karvesting & Threshing Credit Total Exoenses Net Potential Flood Losses kg kg ha kg kg kg md ha ha kg md ha ha kg 2396 2875 .1. . 75 125. 125 ,2 f 1 25 0-.6 1 1 240 2.42 0.10 1010 2.66 6.47 4.31 32i00 516 329 18 32.00 338 202 1.63 1010 200 809 539 64 516 329 450 19 338 202 391 53 4920 283 40 445 140 323 215 25 206 Jul 283 19 486 324 39 310 165 Aug Sep a/ - 20 135 81 76 31 165 450 19 76 31 9 9 9 9 9 352 1579 1742 750 1166 1518 3097 4839 50 20 20 195 195 79 215 195 5589 5668 2840 leem Units Units /ha Price /Unit Monthly Allocation Total Oct Nov 9848 201 3283 6565 201 10049 3283 6766 286 May a/ Revenue Seed Cotton By-product Credit (1:1.5) kg kg : 976 1464 10.09 0,137 Total Revenue Jun Jul Aug Sep ExDenses Land Preparation Seed: Input cost Fertilizer; DAP Urea Application Plant Protection Material Application Weeding, Bund Maintenance Irrigation Picking and f i l l i n g Sowing Credit Total Expenses Net Potential Flood Losses ha kg kg kg md ha md ha ha kg ha 1 24 250 125 2.5 :1 • 5 '•> 1 1 976 . 1 1301 Ó.76 6.47 4.31 32.00 1229 32.00 329 202 0.44 241 1301 162 1618 539 80 1229 160 329 202 429 241 68- 6358 1301 152 1618 461 61 461 61 165 13 539 26 307 41 165 20 20 13 241 11 13 143 11 11 11 11 13 3510 189 11U9 553 546 169 3691 7201 7390 .8499^ 9052 9598 54 123 286 6484' a/ TABLE - 6.11 ECONOMIC CROP PRODUCTION BUDGET (RS/HA) FOR KHARIF FODDER (FRESH) Item Units Units /ha Price /Unit Monthly Allocation Total May a/ Revenue Fodder By-product Credit mt • mt 21 0 253 0 Total Revenue Expenses Land Preparation Seed: Input cost F e r t i l i z e r : DAP Application Sowing Irrigation, Harvésting Credit ' Marketing ha kg kg md ha md mt mt Total Expenses Net Potential Flood Losses -jMi^A^giJL-Nec.. Potential Flood Losses a_/ 1 74 125 1.25 1 3.5 ,2 \. 21 812 2.53 6.47 32,00 55 32.00 32.00 27. .00 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 5313 0 266 797 1328 1381 1169 372 0 5313 266 797 1328 1381 1169 372 211 48 211 10 14 32 -28 6 2-9 179 42 177 9 12 9 83 6 86 9 142 121 39 147 125 40 895 .589 603 298 . 246 79 2159 3054 3377 1202 2Ü65 2787 812 187 809 40 55 112 550 22 567 3154 365 85 364 18 25 32 6 57 13 57 • 3 4 32 38 6 142 •452 3.183 2307 .3016 2568 J224 3C1 1879 1129 A l l months bef ore June and after October.. - I Notes: (i) Adjusted net potential flood loss reflects staggered fodder planting program with 5% of total area m March, 15% i n A p r i l , 25% i n May, 26% in June, 22% i n July and 7% in August. Item • IT Units /, /ha Price ... . /Unit 3 Monthly Allocation „ „ .. Total May a/Jun Revenue Cane By-product Credit mt mt 27 0 314 0 Total Revenue ExDenses Land Preparation Seed: Input cost Fertilizer: DAP Urea SOP Application Planting Weeding PlantProtection Materials Application Irrigation Karvesting Credit Total Exoenses Net Potential Flood Losses a/ ha . mt kg kg kg md ha ha ha ha mt mt 1 4.6 125 250 125 5 1 . 1 N 1 1 17 27 615 377 6.47 4.31 7.74 32.00 481 847 812 77.00 32.00 29.41 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 8478 0 8478 0 8478 8478 615 1734 809 1078 968 160 481 847 812 77 544 794 154 246 694 283 9073 369 868 405 173 122 485 8G 241 96 16 48 1078 387 64 192 109 635 271 25 82 212 271 25 82 270 24 82 82 62 15 15 15 15 2037 2106 ÏÏÓ5 2839 -552 97 595 1442 3548 4153 6992 7544 82 15 26 794 15 ~835 ' 7641 A l l months befdre June and after October. Note: (i) Yields reflect average for Rajanpur D i s t r i c t , FY 83-FY87; ( i i ) By-product tops in lieu of stripping and loading charges; and ( i i i ) 60% of crop planted in autumn, 40% spring planted. TABLE -6.13 FLOOD DAMAGE ESTIMATE CCA(%) CROP JUN JUL AUG 5.4 Paddy 10.7 Cotton Yield Loss (%) Damages/ha (Rs) Damages/ha cca (Rs) 100 1518' 82 100 3097 167 100 4839 261 100 5589 . 302 80 5668 245 Yield Loss (%) Damages/ha (Rs) Damages/ha cca (Rs) 100 7201 77.1 100 7390 : 791 ' 100 8499 909 100 9052 969 80 9598 821 1.6 Sugarcane Yield Loss (%) Damages/ha (Rs) Damages/ha cca (Rs) 30 1442 7 15 3548 9 20 4153 13 30 6992 34 60 7544 72 8.2 Fodder Yield Loss (%) Damages/ha (Rs) Damages/ha cca (Rs) 65 2065 1 10 75 27 87 171 55 3016 136 30 2568 63 30 1879 46 0.7 Orchards Yield Loss (%) Damages/ha (Rs) Damages/ha cca (Rs) 100 10975 77 100 10975 77 100 10975 100 10975 77 Total Damages/ha cca/month (Rs) Probability of flood occurrence 100 10975 77 1047 0.125 1215 .0.250 Total Weighted Expected Damages (Rs/ha) Flood Description: Deep depth (over 90 cm), 15-days runoff period. 1396 • 0.5.62 1,308 SEP 77 1445 0.047 QCT 1261 0.01. Private h o u s i n g , Road and Railway: these items railway are derived infrastructures as r e p o r t e d by from T h e d i r e c t damages r e g a r d i n g concentration of h o u s i n g , road a n d w i t h i n the flood p l a i n on a u n i t area b a s i s 1981 P r o v i n c i a l C e n s u s f o r c o n s t a n t 1 989 p r i c e to r e f l e c t Punjab and updated to p r e s e n t r e p a i r or replacement v a l u e . H o u s i n g damage is e s t i m a t e d as R s 6.30 million f o r the d e s i g n f l o o d ön the b a s i s of f o l l o w i n g a s s u m p t i o n s : Area inundated design flood against 54,000 h a 1 p e r 12 ha Houses d a m a g e d / d e s t r o y e d Houses v a l u e s p e r Rs 1,400 hectare R s 6.30 million Total H o u s i n g damage The damage to road and railways is estimated as R s 4.4 million w i t h the a s s u m p t i o n t h a t 25 p e r c e n t of r o a d and r a i l w a y are damaged as g i v e n b e l o w : R o a d / R a i l w a y Damage C o s t Unit r e p a i r cost Rs(000) Length damaged (km) Losses Rs(million) T y p e of road/railway Density km/km Metalled r o a d 0.029 4 416 1.7 Railway 0.015 2 833 1.6 Unmetalled r o a d 0.108 15 74 1.1 2 Total Other 4.4 direct damages: T h e damages to i r r i g a t i o n infrastructure, telecommunication f a c i l i t i e s , l i v e s t o c k and s t o r e d g r a i n are estimated as R s 32.5 million a s s u m i n g a r a t i o of c r o p s / h o u s i n g / r o a d and r a i l w a y damages to total d i r e c t d a m a g e s of 1 : 1 . 4 / suspension of irrigation supplies and I n d i r e c t damages due to traffic are 22.8 million at 20 p e r c e n t of total d i r e c t d a m a g e s . estimated as Rs Total Damages: T h e t o t a l losses for v a r i o u s c l a s s e s a g a i n s t d e s i g n f l o o d of 2 5 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d are estimated as R s 136.6 million as s u m m a r i z e d bèlow: Flood loss a g a i n s t D e s i g n Flood Value Class ( R s million) Standing crops 70.6 Private housing 6.3 Road/Railway 4.4 Infrastructure and other 32.5 I n d i r e c t Damages 22.8 Total: 136.6 Average Annual Damages: It is o b s e r v e d t h a t z e r o damage would o c c u r for floods u p t o 2 . 3 3 - y e a r r e t u r n p e r i o d due to the c o n s i d e r a b l e work The done for flood management in P a c h a d area d u r i n g r e c e n t y e a r s . damage c o r r e s p o n d i n g Probability through project Paper (Figure to d e s i g n flood 6.3). A smooth 2 5 - y e a r a n d z e r o damage p o i n t s full protection p e r i o d of 1 5 - y e a r . against floods plotted curve on normal A B is drawn w h i c h r e p r e s e n t the damage - f r e q u e n c y r e l a t i o n s h i p . provide are pre- T h e p r o p o s e d w o r k s would of m a g n i t u d e upto a return H o w e v e r , it is assumed t h a t the damages c a u s e d b y f l o o d s with r e t u r n p e r i o d of more than 1 5 - y e a r w o u l d be less as compared to pre-project structures have the of basis potential. been designed carrying Therefore, conditions. capacity optimum As against of the 25-year wahs water proposed return period rights d i v e r s i o n of r u n o f f flexible on and land would be upto 2 5 - y e a r flood b e y o n d w h i c h it would remain c o n s t a n t a n d the e x c e s s f l o o d water would i n u n d a t e the eommand a r e a after Dajal B r a n c h C r o s s i n g s . The post-project passing through damage f r e q u e n c y curve w o u l d , t h e r e f o r e , r e p r e s e n t no damage upto r e t u r n p e r i o d of 1 5 - y e a r b e y o n d w h i c h it would be less than the p r e - p r o j e c t c u r v e as shown in F i g . 6 . 3 . frequency T h e line A C D o n F i g . 6 . 3 r e p r e s e n t s p o s t - p r o j e c t curve. T h e a v e r a g e annual pre a n d p o s t - p r o j e c t damage damages a r e estimated to be Rs 23.02 and Rs 3.94 million as d e t a i l e d in T a b l e s t.OI 1.2 1.3 1/4 1.9 8 RETURN PERIOD 9 PERIOOTr=/p 10 200 300 YEARS FEDERAL FLOOD COMMISSION GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTAN FLOOD PROTECTION SECTOR PROJECT FLOOD MANAGEMENT OF KAHA HLL TORRENT P R E - P R O J E C T AND POST-PROJECT] f D A M A G E FREQUENCY CURVES - MATIOHAL e M « l M « * m O SCJtVICCS PAXISTAK i«*YT)LTO LHF • HAEIA ia attêttatlaa wit» cmiHggmna CQMPAHTAHO IAFAH a AMOCIATCJ FIG: 6.3- ESTIMATION OF AVERAGE PRE-PROJECT FLOOD DAMAGES Average Discharge Frequency Damages Frequnecy Annual Rs.Million Damages Interval Damages cumecs Rs.Million Rs.Million 1,399 0.429 0,. 0 * 1,451 0.400 1,642 0.300 22.5 1,858 0.200 46.5 2,241 0.100 85.0 2,378 0.067 110.0 2,661 0.040 136.0 3,058 0.020 172.4 0.010 210.0 Maximum 2.50 0.029 0.07 13.75 0.100 1.38 34.50 0.100 3.45 65.75 0.100 6.58 97.50 0.033 3.22 123.30 0.027 3.32 154.50 0.020 3.09 191.20 0.010 1.91 5.5 Average Annual pre-project damages= 23.02 ESTIMATION OF AVERAGE POST-PROJECT FLOOD DAMAGES Discharge Frequency Damages Average Frequnecy Annual Rs.Million Damages Interval Damages cumecs Rs.Million Rs.Million 'l,399 0.429 0.0 1,451 0.400 0.0 1,642 0.3 00 0.0 1,858 0.200 0.0 0.029 0.100 0.100 0.100 2,241 0.100 0.0 2,378 0.067 0.0 2,661 0.040 45.2 3,058 0.020 121.8 0.010 210.2 _ 0.033 Maximum 22.60 0.027 0.61 83.50 0.020 1.67 166.00 0.010 1.66 Average Annual post-project damages= 3.94 6.14 a n d 6.15 r e s p e c t i v e l y . is the difference damages i . e . , 6.3.1.3 Summary of between works to in estimated The therefore, at beyond which justifiable value of and production as work out an it land y e a r s after after average 19.08 million benefits rate of account and that t h e r e of high resulting technology. 14.72 from annual the project million, project T h e s e a r e assumed percent upto 10th year T h i s r a t e of i n c r e a s e seems would be e n h a n c e m e n t in the c r o p y i e l d s a n d more from the use of T h e total c o m p l e t i o n of the project Rs accruing three will remain c o n s t a n t . on the c o m p l e t i o n of as R s 33.80 m i l l i o n . annual primarily advanced Rs aggregate on t h e g r o u n d s agriculture post-project on a c c o u n t of a v o i d a n c e of f l o o d damages and agricultural are increase and Benefits respectively. thus, pre R s 19.08 m i l l i o n . The annual benefits increase T h e a v e r a g e a n n u a l r e d u c t i o n in damages annual improved benefits for intensive practices various w o r k s are s u m m a r i z e d in T a b l e 6.16 TABLE PROJECT 6.16 BENEFITS (Rs Year after completion of p r o j e c t works Present B e n e f i t s due to s a v i n g in flood damages million) Agricultural Benefits Total Benefits 19.08 14.72 33.80 19.65 15.16 34.81 2nd 20.24 15.62 35.86 3rd 20.84 16.08 36.92 4th 21.47 16.57 38.04 5th 22.12 17.06 39.18 6th 22.78 17.58 40.36 7th 23.47 18.10 41 .57 8th 24.17 18.65 42.82 9th 24.90 19.21 44.11 10-25th 25.64 19.78 45.42 1 st 6.3.2 Project Economie C o s t s T h e total p r o j e c t c o s t s a r e estimated at Rs 190.26 m i l l i o n a n d i n c l u d e s u c h w o r k s as e a r t h w o r k a n d c o n s t r u c t i o n of s t r u c t u r e s . calculated works for proposed are local c o s t s . It All c o s t s is considered that f o r e i g n e x c h a n g e c o s t s d i r e c t l y / i n d i r e c t l y would not be i n v o l v e d . T h e annual o p e r a t i o n a n d maintenance costs have been estimated at the rate of two p e r c e n t of the c a p i t a l e x p e n d i t u r e . To a r r i v é at economie costs f o r use in t h e economie a n a l y s i s , a S t a n d a r d c o n v e r s i o n factor of 0.9 has been a p p l i e d . transfer payments Also i n t e r e s t cost. have during been AM taxes and c u s t o m d u t i e s excluded construction from the bejng financial costs. is not t a k e n as p a r t of economie T h e total economie c o s t s after these a d j u s t m e n t s w o r k out as R s 171.23 m i l l i o n . T h e a n n u a l p h a s i n g of c a p i t a l c o s t s is g i v e n in Table 6.17. 6.3.3 D i s c o u h t e d C a s h Flow In order to b r i n g of benefits interest. and the cost benefits have a n d cost on u n i f o r m been T h e r a t e of i n t e r e s t discounted this analysis, counted at provide the rates both of the 1 0, sensitivity the discount rate used. benefits 1 2 , 1 5, of various u s e d in the p r o c e s s of is the one r e p r e s e n t i n g t h e o p p o r t u n i t y In at basis streams rates of discounting cost of c a p i t a l . and 20, measure of cost stream have 25 a n d 30 p e r c e n t been so as to the r e s u l t s w i t h r e s p e c t to T h e d i s c o u n t e d streams of c o s t s , b e n e f i t s a n d benefits less c o s t s a r e g i v e n in T a b l e s 6.17 to 6 . 1 9 . 6.3.1 Economie F e a s i b i l i t y T h e c r i t e r i a for public Cost Internal Ratio a n d discounted economie analysis. cash flows feasibility. investment R a t e of of viz; 6.20 Benefit R e t u r n have been a p p l i e d to benefits Table Net P r e s e n t W o r t h , and costs summarizes to the examine results the project of the TABLE-6.17 DISCOUNTED COSTS (MILLION RUPEES) YEAR CAPITAL COSTS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 TOTAL 61.02 61.74 48.47 - - — - - 171.23 OPERATION COSTS — 1.22 2.46 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 98.93 TOTAL COSTS 61.02 62.96 50.93 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 RATE OF DISCOU (PERCENT) 10 12 15 55.47 52.03 38.26 2.60 2.37 2.15 1.96 1.78 1.62 1.47 1.34 1.21 1.10 1.00 0.91 0.83 0.75 0.69 0.62 0.57 0.51 0.47 0.43 0.39 0.35 0.32 0.29 0.26 54.48 50.19 36.25 2.42 2.16 1,93 1.72 1.54 1.37 1.23 1.10 0.98 0.87 0.78 0.70 0.62 0.55 0.50 0.44 0.39 0.35 0.31 0.28 0.25 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.16 53.06 47.61 33.49 2.18 1.89 1.65 1.43 1.25 1.08 0.94 0.82 0.71 0.62 0.54 0.47 0.41 0.35 0.31 0.27 0.23 0.20 0.18 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.08 20 50.85 43.72 29.47 1.8i 1.53 1.28 1• 1.06 0.89 0.74 0.62 0.51 0.43 0.36 0.30 0.25 0.21 0.17 0.14 0.12 o.io' 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 25 30 48.82 40.29 26.08 1.56 1.25 1.00 0.80 0.64 0.51 0.41 0.33 0.26 0.21 0.17 0.13 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 46.94 37.25 23.18 1.33 1.03 0.79 0.61 0.47 0.36 0.28 0.21 0.16 0.13 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 270.16 171.75 162.19 150.35 134.95 122.96 113.15 TABLE-6.18 DISCOUNTED BENEFITS (MILLION RUPEES) YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 TOTAL' RATE OF DISCOU (PERCENT) PROJECT BENEFITS — - ' - 34.81 35.86 36.92 38.04 39.18 40.36 41.57 42.82 44.11 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 45.42 1080.39 10 12 15 20 25 30 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.78 22.27 20.84 19.52 18.28 17.12 16.03 15.01 14.05 13.16 11.96 10.87 9.88 8.99 8.17 7.43 6.75 6.14 5.58 5.07 4.61 4.19 3.81 3.46 3.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.12 20.35 18.70 17.21 15.82 14.55 13.38 12.31 11.32 10.41 9.29 8.30 7.41 6.62 5.91 5.27 4.71 4.20 3.75 3.35 2.99 2.67 2.39 2.13 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.90 17.83 15.96 14.30 12.81 11.47 10.28 9.20 8.24 7.38 6.42 5.58 4.85 4.22 3.67 3.19 2.78 2.41 2.10 1.82 1.59 1.38 1.20 1.04 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.79 14.41 12.36 10.62 9.11 7.82 6.71 5.76 4.95 4.25 3.54 2.95 2.46 2.05 1.71 1.42 1.18 0.99 0.82 0.69 0.57 0.48 0.40 0.33 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.26 11.75 9.68 7.98 6.57 5.42 4.46 3.68 3.03 2.50 2.00 1.60 1.28 1.02 0.82 0.65 0.52 0.42 0.34 0.27 0.21 0.17 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.19 9.66 7.65 6.06 4.80 3.81 3.02 2.39 1.89 1.50 1.15 0.89 0.68 0.53 0.40 0.31 0.24 0.18 0.14 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 280.11 227.08 170.55 112:63 78.96 57.87 DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW OF NET BENEFITS (MILLION RUPEES) YEAR PROJECT BENEFITS PROJECT COSTS NET BENEFITS RATE OF DISCOU (PERCENT) 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 61.02 62.96 • 50.93 34.81 3.81 35.86 3.81 36.92 3.81 38.04 3.81 39.18 3.81 40.36 3.81 41.57 3.81 42.82 3.81 44.11 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 . 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 3.81 45.42 , 3.81 TOTAL 1080.39 270.16 12 15 20 25 30 -61.02 -55.47 -54.48 -53.06 -50.85 -48.82 -46.94 -62.96 -52.03 -50.19 -47.61 -43.72 -40.29 -37.25 -50.93 -38.26 -36.25 -33.49 -29.47 -26.08 -23.18 31.00 21.17 19.70 17.72 14.95 12.70 10.85 32.05 19.90 18.19 15.93 12.88 10.50 8.63 33.11 18.69 16.77 14.31 11.09 8.68 6.86 34.23 17.57 15.48 12.87 9.55 7.18 5.46 35.37 16.50 14.29 11.56 8.23 5.93 4.34 36.55 15.50 13.18 10.39 7.08 4.91 3.45 37.76 14.56 12.16 9.33 6.10 4.05 2.74 39.01 13.67 11.21 8.38 5.25 3.35 2.18 40.30 12.84 10.34 7.53 4.52 2.77 1.73 41.61 12.05 9.54 6.76 3.89 2.29 1.37 41.61 10.96 8.51 5.88 3.24 1.83 1.06 41.61 9.96 7.60 5.11 2.70 1.46 0.81 41.61 9.06 6.79 4.45 2.25 1.17 0.63 41.61 8.23 6.06 3.87 1.88 0.94 0.48 41.61 7.48 5.41 3.36 1.5.6 0.75 0.37 41.61 6.80 4.83 2.92 1.30 0.60 0.28 41.61 6.19 4.31 2.54 1.09 0.48 0-22 41.61 5.62 3.85 2.21 0.90 0.38 0.17 41.61 5.11 3.44 1.92 0.75 0.31 0.13 41.61 4.65 3.07 1.67 0.63 0.25 0.10 41.61 4.22 2.74 1.45 0.52 0.20 0.08 41.61 3.84 2.45 1.26 0.44 0.16 0.06 41.61 3.49 2.19 1.10 0.36 0.13 0.05 41.61 3.17 1.95 0.96 0.30 0.10 0.03 41.61 2.89 1.74 0.83 0.25 0.08 0.03 810.23 108.36 64.89 20.20 -22.32 -44.00 -55.28 TABLE - ECONOMIC 6.20 PARAMETERS (Rs million) R a t e of D i s c o u n t 12 10 Parameters 20 15 25 30 Discounted Benefits 280.11 227.,08 170.55 112.63 78.96 57. 87 Discounted Costs 171.75 162,.19 150.35 134.95 122.96 1 1 3 . 15 Net P r e s e n t Worth 108.36 64,.89 20.20 -22.32 -44.00 - 5 5 . 28 Benefit/Cost Ratio 1 .63:1 1 .4 :1 1.13:1 0.83:1 0.64:1 0.51 :1 Internal Rate of R e t u r n 17.38 The parameters positive and rate interest. of percent is and the above well a b o v e the order benefit/or percent i n d i c a t e that the Net P r e s e n t Worth Ratio exceeds unity S i m i l a r l y , . the even at 15 I n t e r n a l Rate of opportunity thereon is Return cost of c a p i t a l e s t a b l i s h e d t h a t the project public investment Sensitivity In given Benefit-Cost It i s , t h e r e f o r e , 6.3.5 (percent) is percent of 17.38 in P a k i s t a n . is economically f e a s i b l e justified. Analysis to assess the impact of a possible d e c r e a s e in a n i n c r e a s e in the p r o j e c t c o s t s , s e n s i t i v i t y b e e n c a r r i e d out w i t h the f o l l o w i n g Project benefits Cost o v e r - r u n project a n a l y s i s has assumptions: d e c l i n e b y 20 p e r c e n t b y 20 p e r c e n t P r o j e c t b e n e f i t s 20% l e s s while cost t u r n - o u t 20% h i g h e r . T h e r e s u l t s of the s e n s i t i v i t y a n a l y s i s b a s e d on the d i s c o u n t v a l u e s of the benefits and costs unjj^er s u m m a r i z e d in T a b l e 6 . 2 1 . above mentioned assumptions are R E S U L T S OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Internal Rate of Return Assumptions Base case 17.38 % 20% increase in Capital Cost 11.30 % 20% decrease in Benefits T 3.75 % 20% decrease in benefit while cost turn-out 20% higher 11.16 % Sensitivity analysis indicates that the investment remains economically attractive across the presumed range of assumptions. 6.3.6 Switching Values The switching values, which give the extent in (percent) to which the benefits and/or costs must decrease/increase to make the equal to the IRR opportunity cost of capital i . e . , 10% have been , cpmputed as an additional measures of sensitivity. The analysis, thus, undertaken shows that the project is economically viable even if project costs increase by decrease by 6.3.7 about 63 percent or project benefits 39 percent. Socio-Economic Impact As already stated the economie analysis presented above is based on the measureable benefits alone. There are a number of effects of socio-economic nature which, though not quantifiable, are equally important and need to be given due consideration while deciding the justification of the project. These effects relate to the improvement in the well being and welfare of the inhabitants of the area. The proposed project when implemented would g o a long way to t r a n s f o r m the p a t t e r n of life b y p r o v i d i n g to the p e o p l e net b e n e f i t s of the e n v i r o n m e n t of i r r i g a t e d agriculture. This would settle and give up their of such a basic are o b v i o u s . induce the people to nomadic way of l i f e . c h a n g e l e a d i n g to a large extent to T h e social i m p l i c a t i o n s improvement in q u a l i t y of life T h e a d d i t i o n a l a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t i o n made p o s s i b l e u n d e r p r o j e c t c o n d i t i o n s w o u l d r e s u l t in a n ^ i n c r e a s e in income l e v e l s ; thereby g e n e r a t i n g a d d i t i o n a l d e m a n d w h i c h in t u r n , in o p e n i n g f u r t h e r employment o p p o r t u n i t i e s . s t i m u l a t e economie a c t i v i t y For the these the are justification of far result Such a pfocess would in o t h e r s e c t o r s as w e l l . socib-economic conditions effects would prevailing in reaching significance. of t h e p r o j e c t the project area, While c o n s i d e r i n g t h e s e b e n e f i t s s h o u l d be g i v e n , as much s e r i o u s r e c o g n i t i o n as the c o m p u t e d economie r a t e of return. PARAMETERS 10 15 20 25 DISCOUNTED BENEFITS 280,. 1 1 170.55 112.63 78.96 DISCOUNTED COSTS 171,75 150.35 134.95 122.96 WORTH 108.36 20.20 -22.32 -44.00 RATIO 1.63:1 1.13:1 0.83:1 0.64:1 NET P R E S E N T BENEFIT/COST I N T E R N A L R A T E OF R E T U R N 17.38 P E R C E N T CROPPING RETURN PERIOD INTENSITY AFTER MANAGEMENT WITH P R O J E C T INTENSITY WITHOUT PROJECT 2.33 - YEAR 34 PERCENT 8 PERCENT 5 - YEAR 67 PERCENT 24 PERCENT 10 - YEAR 83 PERCENT 35 PERCENT 25 - YEAR 87 PERCENT 36 PERCENT S T A T I S T I C S OF C U L T U R A B L E DESCRIPTION CULTURABLE AREA AREA AREA IN HECTARES 58,916 ABOVE DARRAH 22,663 BELOW DARRAH 36,253 -) LOCATIONMAP CHINA O" OO 200 K MS r£yf v<i '{ÏSLAMAB ARABIAN SEA T a d 5000 O 5000 lOOOO gOOO METERS IOMl.ES FEDERAL FLOOO COMMISSION GPV E H N M E N T OF P A K I S T A N FLOOO f-rtOTSCTiON SECTOR P ^ ' ^ C T F L O O D M A N A G E M E N T OF K A H A HILL T O R R E N T RAlN a DISCHARGE GAUGE. S I T E S lN D . G . K H A N A R E A K NATIOHAL ENGINEERING SERVICE^ °A -!' Tf.f l'W-r) LTO L H R J moiiocialio: IHARIA ENGINEERINGCOMPANY wnt AriO 7 EXHIBIT C AS&uCIATES 4.2 L0CAT10N MAP N 0 0C 200*«S 375mm V MEKHTiR B L A TRIMAN 250mm 1 *^LAHORE C.2. S T A •j KOHLU I , .50% 375mm 1 ' V ü R A B i A N SEA 67'^ \y'MUSAKHEL\ yy 60% I25m m \Q;JA\TAI/ • ; 5 C / ..SADWAL^ V .V x , DER; - «7339 . r' J _/KHIDDAR OADWAI O «_ 250™™ »• CL ^CHHAJRAI 201' V " '~' /-. \ 65% NG . ^ \ / \HINGLUM I / ii i "MURUNJ' V \ <CJSAHTA V CHACHA •352'!, _S0-R+ jTAjN<^8<l' , _ /NALGAZ /KHALCHAS / ( / i6 / »797 N , L N \ / ƒ11 / lARATSHERuX / ! ,'KALAMAR ( -/^BEWATA '\ V ;\S^r-r^?**^ MIHAL ^ O ; *\ \ . X •' / I. I'. , \ • 7~( YlDO'Tt / KHANDOR/ T-X-^THAK, ,#-637 \ \ -^XNOHKANDI J >-*^0 \V£il o >^JHOK BODO V \ v ' SHADNI g S fFORTVMUNRO N jJJILI LAKRH 1 / • ~~~~ ) \ RAKHNI / \V \ ' / N ^ ? ( J PHACHAR J ^ . \ 690 ,;A ^ K^fr-Vi . ' Y f '^y y V A (BANDLUKH^ ƒ \ "^O K O T O A I S R A ^ ^ ,^ NDIGH£ I V< Ö ^ l BUKH A R A C3> \ A RA KASHMOR^ >.SAf \ O. J ^ - ^ ^ V ~ B H A N L X I N J 4 ^ ^ ^ •.V.6ALA ^ i \ ;2?C N ORIGRI i 7~T\ i"^» Q K O T RUM l CO ROJHAN O . / | F , / BRANC> / CANAL i ~ .O MILES "iCHOTI 1AJAL FdTEHPUR »\ SCALE AJI // ' A " OISTT" OlSTf ASNIQ RAJANPUF 'SAHIBA£L. FAZIL "FAZILPUR, LINK No' KOT 'CHUTTA. - E O E R A L Sü.G. -KHAN: "TAUNSA' BARRAGE z=3 -"AlL'AA'r _ \ E - AO V E ' A ^ . r r rHANKOT' .C"V,T i , >. ..«i: t :•• nEta--; ' vi . - .60% ~) «38.90 i ZONAL DISTRIBUTION CATCHMENT |AREA OF D.G.KHAN HILL TOR RE NT ï (NATIONAL E N G I N E E R I N G S E R V I C E S P A K I S T A N ( P V T ) LTO L H •CiTCHME'i: 3i_u-!CiR( ANNUAL ISOHYETS ISOPERCENTALlMONSCONl ZONAL SüUNDARY 125 mm I U M M L . I O N FLOOO PROTECTION S E C T O R P R O J E C T FLOOO M A N A G E M E N T O F K A H A HILL T O R R E N T ] ,v.'.E"-ut; CANA^ ti OISTRIbüTARV ;:.v.i <JAMPUR FLOÜÜ G O V E R N M E N T ^ P A J ^ l I A l in atzociotion with H A R Z A E N G I N E E R I N G C O M P A N Y ANO Z AFAR 6 A S S O C I A T E S EXHIBIT 4.i