Record results and well positioned for further growth
Transcription
Record results and well positioned for further growth
Record results and well positioned for further growth Interim Results Six months ended 30 June 2016 Presented by Andy Bruce Chief Executive Robin Gregson Finance Director Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Continued Strong Performance § Strong financial performance § Record interim profit before tax of £50.1m, increase of 16% § Revenue increased 33% to £2.34 billion (2015: £1.75 billion) § Earnings per share up 17% at 9.44p (2015: 8.08p) § Robust capital structure § Strong cashflow, reduces debt to £75m from £161.7m at year end § Debt/ EBITDA now at 0.7:1 and at lower end of range 0.5:1 – 1.5:1 § Interim dividend increased by 20% to 1.28p per share (2015: 1.07p) § Proven business model § Continued focus on optimising portfolio § Increasing investment in customer experience § Website launched last year drove a 31% increase in enquiries § New website launching in Q4 will deliver significantly improved functionality § Post period end events: § Proposed disposal of Parts Division for £120m – expected to complete by end of October 2016 § Conditional agreement to acquire Drayton Group for £55.4m – earnings enhancing in 2017 § Strategy focused on the highest growth division of Lookers’ business § Healthy order book for the delivery of new cars in September 2016 2 Strategy and Market Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 4 How We Create Value Right brand Active portfolio management Right location Customer experience Excellent execution Operational excellence § Acquisitions § Disposals § Upgrading facilities § Online / offline customer journey § Employees § Utilising data to better manage performance across the group § Calibre of management Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Market Update: Resilient Fundamentals § Evidence of levelling off in new car volumes (34% of gross profit) § Volumes will increase in line with GDP and population over time § Resilient used car market with healthy RVs and bigger players taking share (25% of gross profit) § Aftersales remains robust with 0-3 year car parc set to grow (38% of gross profit) § 38% of cars sold with a service plan New car registration growth 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 0 1959 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 500,000 5 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 6 Market Update: Consolidation of Ownership Creates Opportunities § Anticipated capacity withdrawal amongst dealerships § Operators of scale will be the winners – positive for Lookers § Drivers of sector consolidation: § Investment requirements of the OEMs § Need for access to capital § Succession issues § ‘Lack of scale’ benefits § Regulation § Creates a healthy pipeline of acquisition opportunities and will drive higher sales per dealership/outlet Leverage Effect of Scale Per outlet Av turnover Av new car sales Av ROS Av PBT UK £16m 500 1.4% £220k US £36m 1000 2.2% £790k Financial Review Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 8 Strong Financial Performance § Record interim profit before tax of £50.1m, increase of 16% § Revenue increased 33% to £2.34 billion (2015: £1.75 billion) § Earnings per share up 17% at 9.44p (2015: 8.08p) § Strong cashflow, reduced debt to £75m from £161.7m at year end § Interim dividend increased by 20% to 1.28p per share (2015: 1.07p) Lookers plc H1 2016 (£m) H1 2015 (£m) Turnover 2,340.5m 1,746.8m Operating Profit 57.2m 47.8m Interest (9.0)m (6.1)m Underlying Profit Before Tax 50.1m 43.1m Underlying Operating Margin 2.4% 2.7% Pre-Tax Margin 2.1% 2.5% Basic EPS 9.44p 8.08p Net Debt 74.9m 38.2m Gearing 24% 13% 109.6m 91.0m Dividend per share 1.28p 1.07p Tax Charge 9.3m 8.1m Profit after Tax 37.4m 31.8m Return on Capital Employed 25.7% 23.8% EBITDA (12 months) Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Underlying Profit Consistent growth across the business Group Profit Bridge 9 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 10 Operational Execution: Margin Analysis Comparative figures are as reported Lookers plc H1 2016 H1 2015 Gross Margin % 11.0% 12.1% Operating Margin % 2.4% 2.7% Group – Gross Profit Margin % by Department 50 45.0% 43.3% 45 40 35 28.1% 27.6% 30 Gross Margin % 2016 25 20 11.0%12.1% 15 10 6.4% 7.1% 6.9% 7.7% New Cars Used Cars 5 0 Aftersales Parts Division Company 2015 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 11 Strong LFL Growth Across the Business H1 2016 £m H1 2015 £m % change TURNOVER H1 2016 £m H1 2015 £m % change GROSS PROFIT New Cars 1,188 861 38% New Cars 75 61 23% Used Cars 809 584 38% Used Cars 56 45 24% Aftersales 189 152 24% Aftersales 84 66 27% Parts Division 115 113 2% Parts Division 32 31 3% Leasing and other 39 37 5% Leasing and other 8 8 - TOTAL TURNOVER 2,340 1,747 33% TOTAL GROSS PROFIT 257 211 21% LFL TURNOVER LFL GROSS PROFIT New Cars: retail 730 666 10% New Cars: retail 60 59 2% New Cars: fleet 458 398 15% New Cars: fleet 15 13 15% Used Cars 809 753 7% Used Cars 56 50 12% Aftersales 189 176 7% Aftersales 84 78 8% Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 12 Strong Capital Structure § Significant reduction in net debt to £74.9m due to strong cashflow (31 December: £161.7m) § Low levels of gearing, reduced to 24% (31 December: 54%) § Strong balance sheet and high levels of unutilised bank facilities H1 2016 (£m) Fixed Assets 31 Dec 2015 £m 268.9 H1 31 Dec 2015 2015 (£m) (£m) 31 Dec 2014 £m 216.7 282.9 Rental Fleet Vehicles (VRS) 63.9 55.6 67.0 Stocks 797.1 566.5 816.0 Debtors 330.0 268.9 252.6 1,104.0 800.8 1,002.0 Non Current Liabilities (excluding bank loans) 133.9 100.1 115.3 Vehicle rental fleet finance (VRS) 52.7 41.3 53.8 Net Assets 307.5 284.8 297.8 Net Debt 74.9 38.2 161.7 Gearing 24% 13% 54% Net Debt / EBITDA 0.68 0.42 1.61 Current Liabilities (excluding bank loans) Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 13 Strong Cash Flow Generation H1 2016 (£m) H1 2015 (£m) EBITDA 67.7 54.9 • Invested £19.8m of capital expenditure in improving dealership facilities Working capital decrease/ (increase) 40.1 (12.9) Cash generated from operations 107.8 42.0 • Received £27.5m for the sale of properties: receipt of £18.1m in cash for VW premises in Battersea Acquisition of subsidiary companies - (4.3) (19.8) (5.8) Proceeds from asset disposals 27.5 0.9 VRS Rental Fleet Vehicles purchased 44.6 (43.4) Sale of VRS Rental Fleet Vehicles 44.2 42.4 • The ratio of net debt to EBITDA has reduced from 1.4 at the start of the year to the current level of 0.68 Dividends paid to shareholders (8.1) (7.4) Loan repayments (5.7) (3.9) • Gearing was reduced to 24% compared to 54% at the start of the year Interest paid (net) (9.0) (6.1) Tax paid (6.0) (3.7) Decrease in net debt 86.8 13.7 Increase in cash 82.3 9.4 • Cash flow was particularly strong with cash generated from operations of £107.8m (2015: £42.0m) • Net cash inflow was £82.3m compared to £9.4m in 2015 • Reduction in net debt to £74.9m compared to £161.7m at the start of the year Purchase of fixed assets Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 14 Consistent Financial Track Record Group Net Assets Trend Group H1 Pre-tax Profit Trend 350 60 50.1 50 40.2 40 £m 30 24.1 300 43.1 250 308 2015 Jun-16 257 200 29.6 £m 150 20 100 10 50 0 0 2012 204 228 300 2013 2014 2015 2012 Jun-16 2016 2013 2014 Group Net Debt 180 161.7 160 140 120 £m 100 74.9 80 60 40 40 48 43 2012 2013 51 20 0 2011 2014 2015 Jun-16 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 16 Motor Division: New Cars All figures on a like for like basis Key highlights: § Gross profit increase of 2% in retail and 15% in fleet § Finance penetration increased from 79% to 82% § Record UK market for retail and fleet cars and LCV § Maintained share in retail and significant gain in fleet LFL new car turnover 800 LFL total gross profit +10% 70 700 600 500 730 666 Retail 459 398 200 Fleet £m £m 50 +15% 400 300 + 2% 60 40 30 59 0 2015 2016 Fleet + 15% 20 10 100 Retail 60 15 13 0 2015 2016 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 17 Motor Division: Used Cars All figures on a like for like basis Key highlights: § Gross profit increase of 12% § Finance penetration increased from 41% to 42% § Residual value stability underpins margins § Disciplined approach to stock management LFL used car turnover LFL total gross profit +7% 810 800 790 780 809 £m 760 2016 750 740 730 2015 753 1,123 720 2015 2016 £m 770 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 +12% 56 2015 2016 5084.3 2015 2016 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 18 Motor Division: Dealership Aftersales All figures on a like for like basis Key highlights: § Turnover increased by 7% and gross profit by 8% § Strong gross margin result from 43.3% to 45% § Continued progress in creating capacity LFL aftersales turnover LFL aftersales gross profit +7% 190 86 +8% 84 185 82 180 85 189 80 170 £m £m 175 176 78 76 165 2015 2016 78 74 2015 2016 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 19 Motor Division: Dealership Aftersales Retention Strategy Cumula4veServicePlans–Livebook %VehiclessoldwithaServicePlan 90,000 50% 80,000 45% 70,000 40% 60,000 35% 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 32% 33% H12012 H12013 38% 38% 38% H12014 H12015 H12016 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 20 Motor Division: Dealership Aftersales Market Opportunity UKVehicleParc 9,000,000 +3% 8,000,000 Age(years)0-3 7,000,000 6,000,000 Age(years)4-6 5,000,000 4,000,000 Age(years)7-9 3,000,000 2,000,000 Age(years)10-12 1,000,000 0 2014 2015 2016 2017Predicted Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 22 Developing the Customer Experience Website Developing the brand Investing in people Retail environment Investment in technology Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Developing the Customer Experience: Website § Improved website performance year to date on like for like basis includes 15% growth in traffic with 18% more unique visitors leading to 31% more unique leads § New website with improved search functionality and more relevant and personalised content 23 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 24 Developing the Customer Experience: Retail Environment Jaguar Land Rover Park Royal Newcastle Nissan Silverlink VW Mercedes-Benz Tonbridge Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Developing the Customer Experience: Investment in Technology § Single customer view database is hub of all customer touch points § Provides vastly improved insight to deliver more personalised and relevant communication § Roll out iPads to all front line staff § New technology product integrates all customer touch points § Host of other technology developments 25 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Investing in Our People § New Group People Director appointed in May 2016 § New HR structure in place to drive people recruitment § Dedicated resource for senior management development § HR business partnership to improve resource planning and productivity § Dedicated resource to improve diversity, apprenticeships and culture 26 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 27 Developing the Lookers Brand § Creating a more compelling Lookers brand personality § Investing in driving awareness levels § Use technology to improve personalisation § Right message, right customer, right time New is... that beautiful moment your dream car becomes a reality. New is... those lovely little gestures that just make it special. New is... soaking up the jealous glances from across the street. Operational Review Parts Division Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 29 Parts Division: H1 Performance § Steady end-demand § Growth in core and new areas § Infrastructure investment £m H1 2015 H1 2016 Change Sales 113 115 +2.2% PBT 7.3 7.5 +3.2% ROS 6.5% 6.5% - Parts Division Transaction Highlights Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 31 Parts Division: Transaction Highlights Acquisitions since 2009: § Conditional contract agreed to sell Parts Division to Alliance Automotive UK Ltd • Total Spend - £134m § Proceeds of £120m on a cash free and debt free basis • Estimated PBT in 2016 - £30m § Approval by Lookers shareholders at EGM – end of September 2016 • ROI – 22% § EU Merger clearance expected by end of October 2016 § Redeploy the capital into acquiring car retail businesses § Drayton Group acquisition already announced § At stated minimum ROI of 15% PBT would be £18m v £13m in Parts § Advanced stage due diligence on another premium branded motor group Post-period end Drayton Group acquisition Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 33 Drayton Group: Transaction Highlights Overview of transaction • Conditional contract agreed to acquire Warwick Holdings Ltd, trading as Drayton Group • Price agreed at £55.4m, payable in cash • Conditional on successful completion of sale of Parts Division, expected end October 2016 • Earnings enhancing in 2017 with clear synergies and growth prospects • Significantly increases our partnership with Mercedes Benz and Smart, taking it to 14 dealerships • New combined annual turnover in excess of £600m • Enhances Lookers presence in the West Midlands Drayton Group • Founded originally in 1915 • Luxury car retailer offering sales, parts, service and repair facilities for new and used cars • Turnover of £276m and profit before tax of £5.2m (FY 2015) • Gross assets of £84.2m and net assets of £22.0m • Four-time winner of Mercedes-Benz Retailer of the Year • Operates from seven locations in Stoke on Trent, Stafford, Shrewsbury, Wolverhampton, Walsall, Stourbridge and Worcester Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Short Term Outlook § Supply-side likely to be robust § Demand-side uncertain § Order take since EU referendum stable § September order book on plan § PCP has reduced exposure to 'big ticket' hold off § Aftersales strength provides defensive quality 35 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Medium to Long Term Outlook Consolidation of ownership, scale and a focus on growth § Proven strategy leaves us ideally placed to continue our growth and position of leadership in the motor retail sector - Investment in facilities and multi-channel customer experience - Right brands in the right locations with excellent execution § High growth as a priority, via the Motor Division § Market consolidation drivers are: - Investment requirements of the OEMs / lack of access to capital / succession issues / lack of scale / regulation § Healthy acquisition pipeline in place: high ROI a pre-requisite § 20% interim dividend increase reflects confidence in the medium term outlook 36 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 37 How We Create Value Right brand Active portfolio management Right location Customer experience Excellent execution Operational excellence § Acquisitions § Disposals § Upgrading facilities § Online / offline customer journey § Employees § Utilising data to better manage performance across the group § Calibre of management Business Portfolio – Franchise & Distribution Outlets MOTOR DIVISION Alfa Romeo Cardiff Aston Martin Belfast Audi Ayr Basingstoke Camberley Dublin Edinburgh Glasgow Guildford Hamilton Newcastle Stirling Teesside Tyneside Wearside Bentley Belfast Ferrari Belfast Fiat Stockport Ford Braintree Chelmsford Colchester Guiseley Harrogate Leeds Sheffield S.W. Ferrers Sudbury Sunderland Honda Orpington Hyundai Land Rover Belfast Bishop's Stortford Chelmsford Chipperfield Colchester Glasgow North Glasgow South London - Battersea London - Park Royal Motherwell Lexus Belfast Hatfield Maserati Belfast Mercedes-Benz Ashford Brighton Canterbury Eastbourne Gatwick Maidstone Tonbridge Chrysler Belfast Dundonald Leeds Motherwell Newcastle Citroen Belfast Blackpool Liverpool Newport Preston Jaguar Amersham Belfast Glasgow London - Park Royal Motherwell Dacia Belfast Carlisle Chester Newcastle Newtownabbey Newtownards Jeep Belfast Cardiff Nissan Belfast Carlisle Chester Gateshead Leeds Motherwell Kia Belfast Newcastle Newcastle Newtownabbey Newtownards Stockport Sheffield Stockport Peugeot Belfast Cardiff Motherwell Newport Renault Belfast Carlisle Chester Newcastle Newcastle (CV) Newtownabbey Newtownards Stockport Seat Manchester Stockport Skoda Battersea Eccles Guildford Harrogate Manchester Newcastle Stockport Smart Brighton Gatwick Maidstone Tonbridge Toyota Belfast Dundonald Newtownabbey Vauxhall Belfast Birkenhead Birmingham Vauxhall (cont.d) Chester Ellesmere Port Lisburn Liverpool Portadown Selly Oak Speke St. Helens Warrington Yardley USED CAR SUPERMARKETS Belfast Dublin MOTORCYCLES BMW Belfast Yamaha Belfast TPS Volkswagen Battersea Blackburn Blackpool Carlisle Hexham Dumfries Darlington Guildford Morden Newcastle Northallerton Preston Silverlink Teesside Walton on Thames Edinburgh Glasgow Guildford Newcastle Reading Teesside TYRES Belfast – Boucher Rd Belfast – Sydenham Rd Coleraine Omagh Portadown SERVICE CENTRES Renault Chelmsford Volkswagen (CV) Carlisle Darnley Glasgow Guildford Newcastle Teesside Volvo Chelmsford Vauxhall Dundonald Volvo Colchester Glasgow Motherwell Belfast PARTS DISTRIBUTION FPS Barking Birmingham Bristol Cardiff Charlton Colchester Glasgow Leeds Leicester Liverpool Luton Maidstone Manchester Newcastle Nottingham Preston Reading Sheffield Southampton Staples Corner Apec Bristol BTN Turbo Uxbridge LOOKERS LEASING AGRICULTURAL DIVISION Harrogate Manchester ‘New Holland’ Darley Dale FLEET FINANCIAL Tuxford VEHICLE RENTAL SERVICES Beaconsfield Franchise Locations Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 41 15 year trend Outlook - new car market (E) Vehicle Registrations – Units m’s 3 2.3 2.5 PENT UP DEMAND 2.4 2.1 2.48 2.63 (E) 2.75 2.7 2.3 2.27 2.0 2.0* 2009 2010 2 1.9** 2.0 1.5 1 0.5 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 NewCarRegistra-ons 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 42 Finance and PCP % New Cars Used Cars 90% 75% 77% 80% 67% 56% 45% 40% 37% 37% 37% 36% 35% 38% 39% 42% 43% 42% 42% 42% 30% 60% 25% 20% 30% 20062007 2008200920102011201220132014 20152016 NewFinance% %ofPCP 42% 37% 26% 17% 5% 9% 10% 7% 84% 79% 72% 15% 63% 40% 50% 55% 52% 50% 61% 54% 70% 60% 78% 79% 82% 0% 20062007 2008200920102011201220132014 20152016 UsedFinance% %ofPCP% Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 43 Divisional Summary H1 2016 £m % H1 2015 £m % Motor 53.6 88 43.7 86 Parts 7.5 12 7.3 14 Underlying Operating Profit 61.1 100 51.0 100 Interest (6.5) - (4.0) - Underlying profit 54.6 - 47.0 - Lookers plc 44 Lookers plc / Six months ended 30 June 2016 Track record of consistent revenue and profit growth Group turnover last 15 years 4000 3500 3000 £m 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Group profit last 15 years 80 70 60 £m § CAGR of 15.3% over 15 years (EBIT) 50 40 30 § Consistent profit growth 20 § Strong and swift recovery 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015