PDF 4.93 MB - Barrick Gold Corporation

Transcription

PDF 4.93 MB - Barrick Gold Corporation
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
20
20 YEARS
YEARS OUT:
OUT:
Observations
Observations on
on the
the Gold
Gold Industry
Industry
Alan R. Hill
Executive Vice President, Development
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
AMERICAN BARRICK RESOURCES
Renabie
Camflo
1983
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
1
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
Eskay Creek
Hemlo
Goldstrike
Round Mt.
2003
Alto Chicama
Pierina
Pascua-Lama
Bulyanhulu
Yilgarn
Kalgoorlie
Veladero
Cowal
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
Betze-Post
Goldstrike
Meikle
8 YEARS + 2 MILLION OUNCES
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
2
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
20-YEAR SPOT GOLD PRICES
$500
$400
$300
$200
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
01
03
01
03
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
20-YEAR SPOT GOLD PRICES
$500
$400
$300
$200
83
85
87
89
91
93
95
97
99
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
3
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
GLOBAL POLITICAL SHIFTS
Build the best business plan
Remain flexible and vigilant
Opportunity or Obstacle
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
GLOBAL GOLD MINING INDUSTRY
DECLINING
PRODUCTION
NEW MINE
DISCOVERIES
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
4
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
LONGER PERMITTING PROCESSES
§ Open pit permitting and construction
2003
2004
2005 2006
2007
§ Underground permitting and construction
2003
2004
2005 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
GLOBAL GOLD MINING INDUSTRY
DECLINING
PRODUCTION
NEW MINE
DISCOVERIES
TECHNOLOGY
ADVANCES
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
5
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
BARRICK DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS
§ Cowal Project, Australia
- Acquired with EIS in place
§ Veladero Project, Argentina
- Exploitation agreement signed
- Road construction mobilized
§ Alto Chicama Project, Peru
- Working on permitting and EIS
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
?
?
Pascua-Lama
2023
?
Bulyanhulu
?
?
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
6
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
2002 BUDGET $100M BY REGION
(millions of dollars)
Chile/
Argentina
Canada
22
3
Nevada
11
7
Peru
9
35
3
10
Australia
Tanzania
Other
Corporate Development
and other
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
EXPLORATION PROGRAM METRICS
§ Cost of Discovery
$12.00/oz.
§ Cost of Replenishment
$3.00/oz.
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
7
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
RISING GOLD PRICE ENVIRONMENT
$500
§ Development projects and mine
production which are marginal
- Higher-cost properties
- Earnings below cost-of-capital
$400
§ $350 gold required to sustain
$300
exploration and yield the best
new discoveries
$200
01
03
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
ALTO CHICAMA PROJECT
7.3 moz.
resource
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
8
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
Pascua-Lama
800
GROWTH PIPELINE
(thousands of ounces @ cost per ounce)
Veladero
Alto Chicama
@
$85
530
500
@
@
$130
$155
Cowal
270
@
$170
2005
2005
2006
2008
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
GROWTH PIPELINE ECONOMICS
(rate of return as percent)
at $325 gold
cost of capital
14%
+
3%
for each $25 gold
price increase
8%
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
9
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
GLOBAL GOLD MINING INDUSTRY
TECHNOLOGY
ADVANCES
NEW MINE
EXPLORATION
DECLINING
PRODUCTION
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
GLOBAL GOLD MINING INDUSTRY
RISING SPOT
GOLD PRICES
TECHNOLOGY
ADVANCES
NEW MINE
EXPLORATION
RISING GOLD
PRODUCTION
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
10
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
GLOBAL GOLD MINING INDUSTRY
§ Requires right market conditions
§ Governmental cooperation in permitting
- Impacts all stakeholders
§ Build trust as an industry
- Practice social responsibility
- Become a “force for good”
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
BARRICK’S FOUNDING PRINCIPLE
§ “North American Alternative”
- Safe haven for nervous investors
- Positive social impact
- Progressive social values
§ Mining is a frontier business
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
11
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
GOLDSTRIKE AND ELKO, NEVADA
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
PIERINA AND HUARAZ, PERU
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
12
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
PIERINA AND HUARAZ, PERU
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
BULYANHULU AND TANZANIA
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
13
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
PIERINA AND HUARAZ, PERU
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
GOLD MINING INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
2023
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
14
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
GOLD MINING INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
Our future depends on:
§ Which investments we make
§ What exploration we undertake
§ Which projects we develop
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
GOLD MINING INDUSTRY OUTLOOK
Governments must:
§ Rationalize regulatory processes to
incentivize mining investment
- Growth in GDP
- Employment and training
- Social progress
- Economic prosperity
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
15
Barrick Gold Corporation
Cordilleran Exploration Roundup – January 2003
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT
Certain statements included herein regarding realized gold prices,
gold lease rates and contango constitute "forward looking
statements" within the meaning of the United States Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such Forward-looking
statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or
achievements of Barrick or of the gold mining industry to be
materially different from future results, performance of
achievements expressed or implied by those forward looking
statements. Barrick is subject to the effects of changes in the
worldwide price of gold and the risks involved in mining operations.
These factors are discussed in greater detail in Barrick's most
recent Annual Information Form and Management's Discussion and
Analysis on file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
and Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities.
20 YEARS OUT: Observations on the Gold Industry
16