Avalanche Bulletins and other products
Transcription
Avalanche Bulletins and other products
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF WSL-Institut für Schnee- und Lawinenforschung SLF WSL Institut pour l'étude de la neige et des avalanches SLF WSL Istituto per lo studio della neve e delle valanghe SLF Avalanche Bulletins and other products Interpretation Guide Edition 2015 Responsible for the publication: Dr. Jürg Schweizer Head of the research unit avalanches and prevention, SLF Davos Technical editing: Avalanche Service / Thomas Stucki Translation TTN tele.translator.network 18, bd des Philosophes, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland www.ttn.ch Acknowledgements: WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF (Publisher) 2015: Avalanche Bulletins and other products. Interpretation Guide. Edition 2015. 16th revised edition. WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF. 50 pages. This edition replaces the 13th revised edition of 2012. Also available in German, French and Italian Orders (published only online): http://www.slf.ch/schneeinfo/zusatzinfos/interpretationshilfe/interpretationshilfe_e.pdf Photo: Powder avalanche Photo credit: J. Rocco Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 2 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Contents 1. Introduction .....................................................................................................................................5 2. What is an avalanche bulletin? ........................................................................................................5 3. Target audience ...............................................................................................................................6 4. Issuing office, publication frequency and validity ..........................................................................6 4.1 Issuing office ............................................................................................................................................................................... 6 4.2 Publication frequency and validity .............................................................................................................................................. 7 5. Resources used to produce the avalanche bulletin ..........................................................................8 6. Avalanche bulletin content and formats ..........................................................................................9 6.1 Content of the avalanche bulletin ................................................................................................................................................ 9 6.2 The interactive avalanche bulletin on the internet and in the app (iPhone and Android) .......................................................... 11 6.3 Avalanche bulletins for printing ................................................................................................................................................ 11 6.5 Icon map .................................................................................................................................................................................... 13 7. Capabilities and limitations of the avalanche bulletin ..................................................................13 8. Avalanche danger terminology .....................................................................................................14 8.1 Definition of avalanche danger ................................................................................................................................................. 14 8.2 Avalanche danger levels ............................................................................................................................................................ 14 8.3 The European avalanche danger scale ....................................................................................................................................... 15 9. Explanation of danger levels .........................................................................................................17 9.1 General ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 17 9.2 Low avalanche danger (level 1): ............................................................................................................................................... 18 9.3 Moderate avalanche danger (level 2)......................................................................................................................................... 18 9.4 Considerable avalanche danger (level 3) ................................................................................................................................... 19 9.5 High avalanche danger (level 4) ................................................................................................................................................ 19 9.6 Very high avalanche danger (level 5) ........................................................................................................................................ 19 10. Explanation of avalanche prone locations ...................................................................................20 10.1 General .................................................................................................................................................................................... 20 10.2 Slope angle .............................................................................................................................................................................. 20 10.3 Slope aspect............................................................................................................................................................................. 20 10.4 Altitude zone ........................................................................................................................................................................... 21 10.5 Other terminology describing especially critical terrain features ............................................................................................ 21 10.6 Use of terms in the avalanche bulletin..................................................................................................................................... 21 10.7 Graphic depiction of especially critical areas in the danger map............................................................................................. 22 11. Additional information and recommendations for individual user groups .................................24 11.1 General .................................................................................................................................................................................... 24 11.2 Permanent recommendations................................................................................................................................................... 24 11.3 Current recommendations ....................................................................................................................................................... 24 12. Geographical terminology ...........................................................................................................25 13. Supporting products ....................................................................................................................25 13.1 New snow maps ...................................................................................................................................................................... 25 13.2 Snow depth map ...................................................................................................................................................................... 26 13.3 Snow depth at 2000 m or 2500 m ............................................................................................................................................ 26 13.4 Snow depth compared with long-term mean ........................................................................................................................... 26 13.5 Snowpack stability map........................................................................................................................................................... 26 13.6 Weekly report .......................................................................................................................................................................... 27 13.7. Icons ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 27 14. Distribution channels and how to consult the products ...............................................................28 15. Feedback on avalanche danger ....................................................................................................29 16. Closing remarks ...........................................................................................................................29 3 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 1: Appendix 2: Appendix 3: Appendix 4: Appendix 5.1: Appendix 5.2: Appendix 5.3: Appendix 6: Appendix 7: Appendix 8: Appendix 9: Appendix 10: Appendix 11: Appendix 12: A ppendix 13: Appendix 14: Appendix 15: Appendix 16: Appendix 17: Appendix 18: Appendix 19: Appendix 20: European danger scale with recommendations ........................................... 32 Overview of European avalanche danger scales ......................................... 33 Specimen avalanche bulletin on the internet – danger map including danger description ................................................... 34 Specimen avalanche bulletin on the internet – snowpack and weather ...... 35 Specimen full avalanche bulletin (for printing) .......................................... 36 Specimen full avalanche bulletin (for printing) .......................................... 37 Specimen regional danger map (for printing) ............................................. 38 Specimen icon map ..................................................................................... 39 SLF network of observer stations ............................................................... 40 IMIS (and SwissMetNet) stations (snow stations)...................................... 40 Geographical terminology V - the smallest units the 123 warning regions .............................................................................. 41 Geographical terminology I - northern and southern flank of the Alps ...... 42 Geographical terminology II - major political regions ............................... 42 Geographical terminology III - political subregions 1 ................................ 43 Geographical terminology IV - political subregions 2 ............................... 43 Geographical terminology VI: Main Alpine Ridge, northern Alpine Ridge and inneralpine regions......................................................... 44 Specimen new snow map (1 day) ............................................................... 44 Specimen snow depth map.......................................................................... 45 Specimen snow depth map for 2000 m ....................................................... 45 Specimen snow depth map showing comparison with long-term mean values .......................................................................................................... 46 Specimen snowpack stability map .............................................................. 46 Typical danger situations (avalanche problems)......................................... 47 4 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 1. Introduction The WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF has been publishing avalanche bulletins since 1945. The Interpretation Guide was first published in 1985. It describes the avalanche bulletin and additional products, and seeks to help the user interpret their contents. Changes were incorporated in later editions (1993, 1994, 1998, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2007, 2008) to reflect both new formats and publication times for the avalanche bulletin and the availability of various supporting products. The preceding, thoroughly revised 2012 edition was issued in connection with a fundamental overhaul of the avalanche bulletin. Only minor amendments were made in the current 2015 edition. The basis of all the avalanche warnings issued by the SLF is the standardised avalanche danger scale with five danger levels, which has been in use throughout Europe since the winter of 1993/94. This scale, with minor deviations, is also acknowledged as the norm overseas, in particular in Canada and the U.S. The Interpretation Guide does not encompass the information platforms for the safety services, such as the GIN (Joint Information Platform for Natural Hazards) and the IFKIS-InfoManager (inter-cantonal early warning and crisis information system), or the special products they contain which are not intended for the general public. The users of these platforms receive training by attending courses for safety authorities at the SLF (for details, see www.slf.ch/dienstleistungen/events/index_EN). The binding version of the Interpretation Guide is always the most recently revised edition, which is made available on the website of the SLF at www.slf.ch. The descriptive terms for persons, job titles and professions in this Interpretation Guide refer to both sexes unless otherwise indicated by the text. The term "skier" in the context of avalanches, as in "skier(-triggered) avalanche", is widely used to refer not only to skiers, but to all those who engage in snow sports, including snowboarders, snowshoe hikers and others. It is used in this way in the Interpretation Guide as well. 2. What is an avalanche bulletin? By way of the avalanche bulletin (and other supporting products), the WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF informs the public about the current snow and avalanche situation in the Swiss Alps. The content of the avalanche bulletin serves as a warning. The bulletin is published twice daily during the peak winter season and primarily contains a forecast of the avalanche danger in the Swiss Alps, Liechtenstein and, whenever necessary, the Jura as well. It also contains information on the weather parameters that affect avalanches and on the quality of the snowpack. The information provided by the avalanche bulletin serves as a basis for the user's own evaluation. It does not replace an autonomous assessment of the situation in each given locality. The information contained in the bulletin is too general for local assessment purposes because of the limited data resources. During the peak season, the structure of the avalanche bulletin remains unchanged. The structure of the bulletin reflects the "information pyramid" illustrated in Figure 1. The most important topic (the danger level) is at the top of the information pyramid, followed by the avalanche prone locations (core zone), avalanche problems, a description of the danger, and information concerning the snowpack and the weather. Finally, the data captured by the measuring stations can be displayed. The use of standardised terminology aids both understanding and the practical interpretation of the bulletin's contents. 5 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Fig. 1: The most important topic of the avalanche bulletin appears at the top of the information pyramid. Further down the pyramid, the amount of detail contained in the information gradually increases. 3. Target audience The avalanche bulletin is intended for all those who are exposed to potential avalanche danger in the mountains in winter, whether engaging in a professional or recreational activity, including those who are responsible for the safety of others. This includes members of the following groups: • Avalanche services and committees of the district authorities and civil engineering offices, as well as the safety services of the mountain railway and cableway operators • Police and rescue services and the armed forces • Mountain guides, snow sport instructors and backcountry tour guides • Residents of mountain villages • Skiers and snowboarders • Backcountry skiers, snowshoe hikers • Mountaineers and ice climbers • Other snow sport participants The long-term (20-year) annual average number of avalanche victims in Switzerland is 23. Accident analyses show that most avalanche victims come to grief in open terrain; that is to say, while engaging in leisure activities on skis, snowboarding, or taking part in mountain climbing or similar pursuits. This group's share of fatalities between 2002/03 and 2011/12 was more than 90%. Of these victims, about 90% triggered the avalanche themselves or it was released by another member of the same group. When the snow and avalanche situation is relatively stable, the pointers for backcountry skiers, for example, are more elaborate than those for the local avalanche authorities. From danger level 3 (considerable avalanche danger), more recommendations are issued for the avalanche safety services. In particular when the avalanche danger is high (level 5) and snow sport activities in open terrain are thus extremely restricted, the recommendations for the avalanche safety services are even more extensive. 4. Issuing office, publication frequency and validity 4.1 Issuing office The editorial office of the Swiss avalanche bulletin is attached to the WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF in Davos. The avalanche warning service is the responsible body. 6 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 4.2 Publication frequency and validity The avalanche warning service monitors the weather, snow and avalanche situation throughout the year. The frequency of publication and contents of the avalanche bulletin vary according to the seasonal conditions. 4.2.1 Winter In the winter, the avalanche bulletin consists of two parts, as described below. 1. Danger map including danger description: This part of the avalanche bulletin is issued twice daily in four languages (German, French, Italian, English). The 5 pm edition forecasts the avalanche danger for the next 24 hours – until 5 pm the next day. The danger is reassessed in the mornings at 8 am, also in four languages (German, French, Italian, English). This forecast is valid until 5 pm. In principle, a further assessment of the avalanche danger can be issued at any time, but this option is used only seldom. 2. Information on the snowpack and weather: This part of the avalanche bulletin is produced only in the evenings. It is published at 5 pm in German and around 6.00 pm in French, Italian and English, and is valid until 5 pm or 6.00 pm the next day. 4.2.2 Early and late winter season As a general rule, an avalanche bulletin together with a danger map continues to be published for as long as the data resources (cf. Chapter 5) allow a detailed assessment of the danger, including the danger levels. In the transitional periods between autumn and winter (typically from the end of October until early December) and between spring and summer (typically from the end of April until early June), the avalanche bulletin is published only in the evenings. The format and content are the same as in the winter. The bulletin may cover a period of several days, running until 5 pm on the indicated final day of validity. The issue of bulletins with a danger map and the frequency of publication depend on the following factors in particular: • Information density: The SLF observers work every day from November 1 to April 30. Outside this period, fewer observations take place in the field. One reason for this reduction is the generally low level of snow sport activity. When direct observation is not taking place, information is obtained mostly by telephone as required and available. In some cases, observers cannot return to work until after November 1, once the mountain railway and cableway services are resumed. Likewise, their annual duty can end before April 30. In contrast, access to the network of automatic measuring stations is available during the summer as well. • Demand: Favourable snow conditions in large parts of the Swiss Alps and the seasonal reopening of the mountain railways and cableways increase the demand for daily avalanche bulletins. 4.2.3 Summer and autumn From early summer until late autumn, avalanche bulletins are published in text form and generally without reference to danger levels only in the event of heavy snowfall. In the late autumn, bulletins are issued according to the snow situation and availability of information. These bulletins are published at 5 pm in German and around 6.00 pm in French, Italian and English, and are valid for one or several days, running until 5 pm on the indicated final day of validity. 7 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products The criteria for publishing an avalanche bulletin are satisfied if the forecast amount of new snow per precipitation event (normally 1 to 3 days) reaches one of the following values: • 20 cm at 2000 m or • 40 cm at 2500 m or • 60 cm at 3000 mm or • 80 cm at 3500 m The indicated values are not exact, but only guidelines. They can vary, depending on the wind, temperature and the extent and properties of the existing snowpack. The snowfall event must affect at least an entire massif. Local snowfall, such as occurs when triggered by individual thunderstorm cells, is disregarded. 4.2.4 Special case of Jura (and Sotto Ceneri) The situation that prevails in Jura differs from that in the Alps insofar as an elevated avalanche danger occurs only on a few days and in a few places. When such a danger arises, however, it is not to be underestimated. For this reason, the daily avalanche bulletin indicates a danger level for the Jura only if the danger is categorised as considerable (level 3) or higher. A danger of the relevant magnitude occurs on around five days throughout the winter. All five danger levels are published for Sotto Ceneri. When there is no (more) snow lying on the ground, the indication of a danger level is omitted. 5. Resources used to produce the avalanche bulletin The avalanche warning service uses a variety of resources to compose the avalanche bulletin: • About 180 observers with an array of measuring programmes (measurement, observation, evaluation) file reports between 6 and 8 am in the morning or sometimes in the middle of the day • Around 100 automatic measuring stations (intercantonal measurement and information system (IMIS)), and the data collected by about 80 SwissMetNet stations (automatic measuring network) operated by the Swiss meteorological office, MeteoSwiss • Every two weeks, about 40 flat-field and slope profiles with stability tests • Forecasting products of MeteoSwiss and other weather services • Reports of actual avalanches, filed by backcountry skiers and others (cf. Chapter 15) • Feedback to assist the assessment of the avalanche danger, provided by backcountry skiers and others (cf. Chapter 15) Four of the typical observer groups are observer stations, regional observers, mAvalanche observers, and measuring station observers. The observers at the observer stations (cf. Appendix 7) record the key weather conditions (including precipitation and cloud) and, in a specific sampling area, the snow characteristics (new snow, overall snow depth, penetration depth, new snow density, surface structure), while the regional observers assess similar variables within their territory without a specific sampling area. In addition, members of both groups report their own observations (e.g. released avalanches, alarm signs), as well as their assessment of the avalanche danger. mAvalanche observers are mountain guides who report their observations and assessments, made en route with tourists, to the avalanche warning service by 3 pm. They file and transmit their reports by way of an app. They focus in particular on observations concerning new snow, alarm signs etc., and on a current assessment of the avalanche danger. Unlike the members of the other groups, these observers move freely within the territory of the Swiss Alps. Only the new snow and the snow depth are measured at the measuring stations. These measurements serve climatological and hydrological purposes in particular (long-term serial studies). For the operational snow-hydrological service, fresh fallen snow, snow depth and water content of the 8 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products entire snowpack is measured at certain stations during summertime as well, but only in direct response to relevant weather-based events. The observers are located throughout the entire Swiss Alps. Their measuring and observation posts are situated mostly at altitudes of 1000 to 2700 m. The avalanche observers in particular also reach higher altitudes, and some measuring stations exist at lower altitudes. The hourly and half-hourly measurements of the various automatic snow measuring stations in the IMIS network established in collaboration with the responsible agencies of the mountainous cantons, as well as the automatic SwissMetNet stations of MeteoSwiss, have also proven very useful in the assessment of the avalanche danger (for a map of the SwissMetNet/IMIS stations, see Appendix 8). Alongside the data that are collected daily, another key resource is the approximately 40 slope and flat-field profiles that are taken every 14 days throughout the Swiss Alps. These profiles are produced by observers either at the flat test sites or, in the case of slope profiles, on representative test slopes in conjunction with rutschblock tests. A variety of forecasting products of MeteoSwiss and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, as well as other providers' aids as necessary, are used to evaluate the short-term weather prospects. To facilitate a better assessment in the border regions, information is regularly exchanged with the neighbouring countries' avalanche warning services (www.lawinen.org). 6. Avalanche bulletin content and formats The avalanche bulletin has been optimised for the principal distribution channels, namely the internet and smartphones. Various versions suitable for printing are also made available. The "flash" and "avalanche danger" sections are compiled from a catalogue of standard phrases and produced simultaneously in all the languages. This content can therefore be published in all the languages in the mornings as well. 6.1 Content of the avalanche bulletin The content of the winter avalanche bulletin is described below. The summer bulletins are explained in Chapter 6.4. 6.1.1 Flash The flash section is a very brief pointer to the key aspects of the avalanche situation. 6.1.2 Avalanche danger The description of the avalanche danger is the most important part of the avalanche bulletin. It contains the forecast for the relevant period. Regions that are subject to the same danger level and in which similar areas are especially critical (core zone, cf. Chapter 10.6) are grouped together. Regions subject to the same danger level are treated separately if the core zone is not identical (e.g. different altitude zone or aspect). The avalanche danger can be described in even greater detail with phrases such as "danger of dry avalanches", "danger of wet avalanches as the day progresses", or "danger of gliding avalanches". The description of the avalanche danger contains the following elements: • Danger level The danger level is described with reference to the five-point European avalanche danger scale (cf. Appendix 1): low (level 1), moderate (level 2), considerable (level 3), high (level 4), and very high (level 5). • Avalanche prone locations (core zone) 9 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products • • • • In most cases, the especially critical locations – the areas that are exposed to especially significant danger – are depicted graphically (in the danger map as well) and described in plain text. More detailed information on avalanche prone locations is contained in Chapter 10. Avalanche problems (cf. Appendix 20) The words used to describe the avalanche situation denote one or more typical "avalanche problems" – crucial conditions governing the release of an avalanche. This general approach draws attention to the main problem. The avalanche bulletin highlights the following problems: - New snow - Snow drifts (snow transported by the wind) - Old snow (e.g. "fractures in the old snowpack") - Wet snow, in which case a distinction is made between: - wet avalanches - wet avalanches as the day progresses - gliding avalanches - favorable situation (now other problem, level 1 (low)) Danger description This section gives a fuller description of the danger illustrated by the danger map. Among other aspects, it can describe the likelihood and size of the anticipated avalanches, and the snowpack structure typically indicating the location of weak layers in the snowpack. As necessary, this section also contains special remarks (cf. Chapter 11) for the different user groups. Additional danger If necessary, the description of the main danger can be followed by the indication of an additional danger as well. If both dry and wet avalanches are expected, for example, the relevant information is provided here. If wet avalanches are the main source of danger, however, this is the danger that is highlighted in both the danger map and the danger description. In such an event, the danger of dry avalanches, for example, can be mentioned under the "additional danger" heading. Apart from the absence of a graphic depiction of the especially critical locations, the description of the additional danger adopts the same format as the text outlining the main danger. If two maps are published (cf. Chapter 9), only the main danger is described in each of the maps. Remarks This section provides an opportunity to present users with more information, typically concerning an additional source of danger or an especially uncertain development. 6.1.3 Snowpack and weather, outlook The snowpack is the principal determining factor in the formation of avalanches. The snowpack section describes the properties of the snowpack that characterise the current situation. The description is general and usually covers both the structure and the stability of the snowpack. The snowpack structure is determined by the layering and structural properties of its individual layers (grain shape and size, hardness). The snowpack stability is a measure of the ease with which avalanches can be triggered or naturally released. The snowpack structure determines its stability. This section also describes the observed avalanche activity if applicable. The weather directly and significantly influences the snowpack and therefore the development of the avalanche danger. The weather section describes the key factors that exert an influence on the development of the avalanche danger. These are typically new snow (or rain), air temperature, wind, and the cloud conditions. The description begins with a review of the weather conditions in the immediately preceding period (covering at least the current day), which is followed by the 10 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products forecast for the validity period of the avalanche bulletin. The danger assessment is formulated on the basis of this weather forecast. If the actual weather pattern differs from the forecast, the anticipated avalanche danger may also be inaccurate. Based on the medium-term weather forecast, the outlook assesses the general pattern of the avalanche danger for the two days immediately following the bulletin's validity period. 6.2 The interactive avalanche bulletin on the internet and in the app (iPhone and Android) The interactive bulletin operates in a broadly similar way on the internet and in the app, so that the description below applies to both media (notes applying only to the app are enclosed in brackets). 6.2.1 Header The header indicates the validity period (date, time of current and next update) and contains the flash. 6.2.2 Interactive danger map This map, which appears under the "Avalanche danger" tab, illustrates the assessed avalanche danger for the Swiss Alps, Liechtenstein and, as necessary, the Jura as well. It indicates the danger level and a graphic depiction of the aspect and altitude of the especially critical terrain. Navigation is facilitated by the zoom function. By holding down the mouse button (swiping the phone display with your finger), you can move the zoomed portion of the map. The interactive danger map gives access to the danger descriptions: moving the mouse over (tapping on) the map highlights the assessment for the currently selected location in full colour, while all the other assessments are faded. Clicking on the map with the mouse (tapping on "Details") displays in an additional window the full danger description for the relevant assessment (danger level, avalanche prone locations (if applicable), danger description), the additional danger (if applicable), and the remarks (if applicable). The avalanche bulletin is issued with one or two danger maps. If two maps are provided (e.g. if the avalanche danger is forecast to increase during the day), the actions described here have to be performed twice – once for each map. At the end of each danger description, the user is made aware of the other map. Danger maps for wet and gliding avalanches, and generally those depicting a low avalanche danger (level 1), do not usually indicate the aspect and altitude. 6.2.3 Snowpack and weather The "Snowpack and weather" tab gives access to the content described in Chapter 6.1.3. Since around an hour is needed to translate the snowpack and weather information into French, Italian and English after the danger map and description are published, the map is temporarily replaced by a wildcard. By way of the archive, users can consult the information contained in the previous avalanche bulletin if they wish. 6.2.4 Cross-link column The blue cross-link column on the right of the webpage gives access to additional content, supplementing and embellishing the information contained in the avalanche bulletin. Among other items, the print products (cf. Chapter 6.3) are available here. 6.3 Avalanche bulletins for printing Given that the interactive bulletin is not suitable for printing, a variety of print products are produced as well: • Danger map for Switzerland • Individual danger regions, including danger description • Snowpack and weather 11 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products • Full avalanche bulletin • Regional danger maps The print products are compiled from the content of the interactive avalanche bulletin. All the print products not only indicate the validity period and the time of the current and next update, but also contain the flash. The individual products contain the following information: 6.3.1 Danger map The danger map encompasses all of the regions for which a danger level has been issued, and a graphic indication of the aspects and altitudes in which the danger is especially significant. Clicking on "Individual danger regions" enables you to print the danger map for Switzerland with a danger description for one danger region. If the avalanche bulletin consists of two danger maps, each of the maps has to be printed separately. 6.2.2 Snowpack and weather The content concerning the snowpack and weather, as described in Chapter 6.1.3, can be printed separately from the danger maps. In view of the delay for translation, the snowpack and weather information in French, Italian and English is published a good hour later than the danger maps, at around 6.00 pm. 6.3.3 Complete avalanche bulletin This item enables you to print the whole bulletin, comprising the danger map for Switzerland, the danger descriptions for all danger regions, and the information concerning the snowpack and weather. In view of the delay for translating the snowpack and weather information, the complete avalanche bulletin in French, Italian and English is published a good hour later than the danger maps, at around 6.00 pm. In the mornings, the full avalanche bulletin is published in all the languages at the same time, 8 am. 6.3.4 Regional danger map The regional danger maps (cf. Appendix 5.3) replace the regional avalanche bulletins that were published until winter 2011/12. They are suitable for displaying at freeride checkpoints near cableways, for example. From a map, the user selects the relevant warning region (the smallest territorial unit for avalanche reporting purposes). The print product contains the relevant regional map for the selected territory (Bernese and Fribourg Alps, central part of the northern flank of the Alps, eastern part of the northern flank of the Alps, Lower Valais and Vaud Alps, Upper Valais, northern and central Grisons, Ticino and Moesa, Engadine and southern valleys, Jura), and the danger description for the selected region is printed as well. The danger levels for the neighbouring regions are also shown, but not described in any detail. Those who regularly need a danger map for a particular territory (e.g. for a mountain refuge or ski resort) can place a bookmark ( Instructions “Always select the same region“). 6.4 Avalanche bulletins in the summer and autumn In the summer and autumn, avalanche bulletins are published according to the prevailing conditions and without the danger map (cf. Chapter 4.2.3). Alongside the online version, the print products are also issued in the summer. The bulletin may be valid for one or several days. The validity period is stated in the bulletin, which comprises the following elements: 6.4.1 Header The header not only indicates the validity period and the time of the current and next update, but also contains a short title or flash. 12 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 6.4.2 Avalanche danger This section provides a general description of the avalanche situation. As a rule, danger levels are not published in the summer because, in most cases, too little information is available for assessment purposes. 6.4.3 Snowpack and weather The content under this heading largely corresponds to that described in Chapter 6.1.3, but the information concerning the snowpack structure is less detailed than in the winter. 6.4.4 Outlook The outlook is a brief description of the pattern of weather and avalanche danger for the two days immediately following the bulletin's validity period. 6.4.5 Information This section is intended for general information, such as a pointer to the "SLF Sommer" SMS service (cf. Chapter 14). 6.5 Icon map An icon map is produced to provide print media and websites with a much simplified overview of the avalanche situation (Appendix 6). If the avalanche bulletin consists of two danger maps, the icon map depicts the more severe danger. Such cases occur most frequently when typical springtime conditions prevail – when the avalanche danger is generally higher in the afternoon. 7. Capabilities and limitations of the avalanche bulletin As a general rule, the accuracy of both weather forecasting and the subsequent prognosis of the avalanche danger can be compromised by inaccurate assessments. Such is the nature of forecasting. The correlation that exists between the regional danger level, possible avalanche activity and the relevant consequences (and any action that needs to be taken) must be determined locally by the individual user of the avalanche bulletin. When the weather situation is changing rapidly, it is impossible to describe the emerging spatial and temporal variations in the avalanche danger accurately. The bulletin uses only general formulations. It is unable to assess local conditions and certainly not individual slopes. For this reason, snow sport participants and those responsible for safety must rely on their own procedures when assessing the local situation. Such procedures include local weather, snow and avalanche observations; snowpack analysis; examining maps; slope evaluation in the field; and individual risk considerations. The safety services may also have access to the results of artificial avalanche triggering. All the available information should be taken into consideration before making a decision. Particular attention is to be paid to information indicating unstable conditions. The avalanche bulletin reports only on conditions outside the areas protected by the local railway and cableway safety services. It does not cover controlled ski runs and pistes. The avalanche bulletin may describe slopes or parts of slopes where especially critical conditions are to be expected. In view of the available data resources, however, it is able to indicate only the regional avalanche danger. Detailed information cannot be provided on small areas. It is also worth noting that the information density is highest for intermediate and high altitudes, and lowest for the high Alpine regions. Remarks concerning the high Alpine regions therefore demand special scrutiny. 13 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products The SLF expressly reserves the right wholly or in part to revise, delete or temporarily not to publish content at any time without notice. 8. Avalanche danger terminology 8.1 Definition of avalanche danger Generally speaking, the word "danger" denotes the potential occurrence of a perilous process, such as an earthquake, flash flood, debris flow or avalanche. This danger or perilous process is described by indicating the likelihood of its occurrence and the anticipated magnitude of the event. The word "danger" does not indicate whether the process will actually take place or, in an individual case, give rise to material damage or physical injury. The actual occurrence of damage or injury depends on whether any people or physical assets are situated within the reach of the "dangerous process" (in this case, in the path of the avalanche) at the time it is triggered. In the context of the avalanche bulletin, the term "avalanche danger" describes the likelihood of occurrence and the possible size of avalanches in a specific region, but the exact moment of an avalanche's release and the actual length of its starting zone and fracture depth cannot be precisely determined. The word "risk", indicating potential damage or injury, presupposes the existence of both danger and potentially endangered objects. Although avalanche bulletins describe the danger, and not the risk of avalanches, the remarks below briefly highlight the difference. If an avalanche occurs in an isolated, unwooded mountain valley where neither people nor physical assets are situated, an avalanche danger, but no avalanche risk, exists there. If the avalanche reaches a populated mountain valley, however, and thus endangers both people and property, not only does an avalanche danger exist, but it can be accompanied by a high avalanche risk as well. As a general rule, "avalanche danger" denotes the possible occurrence of a potentially damaging avalanche. The likelihood of the event is the focal point. Whether, and the extent to which a risk exists, depends on the locality and the way in which the people there behave. Avalanches are peculiar and unlike flash floods or earthquakes inasmuch as the "perilous process" of an avalanche can be initiated by human activity. If someone treads on an endangered slope, the artificial additional load can significantly increase the existing natural likelihood of an avalanche (more than 90 percent of those buried by avalanches have triggered the event themselves). 8.2 Avalanche danger levels Ever since the avalanche bulletin was first published in 1945, the avalanche danger has been categorised with descriptions such as "the avalanche danger is high" or "the avalanche danger is low at present". The extent of the avalanche danger depends on several factors, namely: • the snowpack stability, which is determined by the strength or bonding of the individual layers and the likelihood of fracture propagation, among other things; • the triggering probability, which depends on the natural snowpack stability and can be increased by human activity (snow sport participants, use of explosives etc.). The likelihood of an avalanche being triggered (and therefore the avalanche danger) is low if the snowpack stability is high. By the same token, the avalanche triggering probability is high if the snowpack stability is low; • the surface spread and/or prevalence of critical slopes; • the size and type of the anticipated avalanches; in other words, the thickness of the sliding snow layers (avalanche volume). When the avalanche danger is being assessed, attention must therefore be paid to both the triggering probability – the likely occurrence of a potentially perilous process – and the anticipated extent of the avalanche. Wet snow slides with shallow fracture depths and originating from a rocky 14 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products south facing slope are generally less dangerous than a single, medium-sized, dry slab avalanche with a slab thickness of one metre. 8.3 The European avalanche danger scale 8.3.1 Origination and development In April 1993 the avalanche warning services of the Alpine countries agreed upon a uniform, fivepart European avalanche danger scale. Until then the individual countries had used various scales with differing numbers of danger levels (e.g. 7 levels in Switzerland, 8 levels in France) and a variety of definitions of the individual dangers. Since the adoption of a uniform scale, user groups in all the countries have been able to refer to the same warning levels, which is of great benefit to all snow sport participants visiting border areas or other countries. In May 1994, once everyday experience had accumulated, further minor adjustments were made to individual danger levels in the various languages. This gave rise to a uniform solution with equivalent formulations paying due regard to the sensitivities of the different languages. In an endeavour to make the information as precise as possible, the working party of the European avalanche warning services more closely defined the most frequently used terms. These definitions were approved at the meeting of the avalanche warning services in May 2003 and have been subsequently revised according to need. Some of the definitions are explained in the following chapter, and a separate glossary of the terms is published on the internet (www.avalanches.org). 8.3.2 Terminology The first four columns of Appendix 1 (European avalanche danger scale with recommendations) contain the danger scale that is currently valid throughout Europe. The standardised European avalanche danger scale contains five ascending danger levels: low – moderate – considerable – high – very high. These danger levels are described by reference to the snowpack stability and the avalanche triggering probability, as well as the geographical extent of the avalanche prone locations and the avalanche size and activity. The snowpack stability is the ratio of snowpack strength to the existing stresses. The snowpack stability forms the basis of all statements concerning the avalanche danger because it directly controls the probability of an avalanche being released. Consideration is to be given to the following factors as well: • The snowpack changes under the influence of the weather and metamorphism, so that its stability varies too. • Although the snowpack is in any case variable to a greater or lesser extent, it also regularly contains weak layers that not only extend over a large area which is key to avalanche formation, but also determine the snowpack stability. The assessment of snowpack stability therefore relies on extrapolation and forecasting methods, such as the forenamed measurements taken in sampling areas, snow profiling, avalanche observations, and snowpack stability tests. In general, good snowpack stability – a strong, well-bonded snowpack – is associated with low avalanche danger. A similar rule applies in reverse: low snowpack stability, in other words weak bonding of the snow layers, indicates elevated avalanche danger. In the interests of readability, the avalanche bulletin generally describes only the snowpack stability of especially critical terrain features, so that statements on the altitude zone, aspect or type of terrain are restricted to particularly dangerous areas. The avalanche triggering probability is a measure of likelihood that depends directly on the snowpack stability. The European avalanche danger scale explains the individual danger levels by describing the relevant avalanche triggering probabilities. It indicates both the conditions that exist in the absence of external influences (for natural avalanches) and the probability of avalanches being released by additional loads (originating from snow sport participants, explosive charges 15 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products etc.). In particular, a distinction is made between high (large) and low (small) additional loads. The loads described in Table 1 serve as examples of high and low additional loads: Table 1: Additional loads Low additional load High additional load • • • • • Single skiers or snowboarders making gentle turns, not falling Groups with spacing between individuals (at least 10 m during ascent, more during descent) Single snowshoe hikers Two or more skiers or snowboarders without spacing (e.g. at a meeting point or the location of a fall) Snowmobile/groomer, avalanche blasting, ice debris from glaciers These descriptions are to be regarded as guidelines and not used in isolation or afforded excessive weight for evaluation purposes. The following points deserve special attention: • Avalanche danger does not depend solely on the triggering probability, but also on the prevalence of avalanche prone locations. • The depth of the loosely bonded layers in the snowpack and the composition or quality of the overlying snow layers are at least as important as the additional load. Furthermore, the load exerted by a skier may differ from that exerted by a hiker. Whereas the skier exerts a load on a larger area, the hiker sinks deeper into the snow. The effect of each type of load can be more or less favourable, depending on the situation. Table 2 describes the individual avalanche size categories (based on the Canadian avalanche size classification) that are applied in the avalanche bulletin. Table 2: Avalanche sizes Classification/ size class Potential damage classification Runout classification Typical length and volume Relatively harmless to people, unlikely to bury a person (except in Stops within steep slope unfavourable runout zones a danger of falling exists in extreme terrain) Approx. 10 – 30 m 100 m3 Could bury, injure or kill a person Can reach the base of the slope Approx. 50 – 200 m 1000 m3 Can traverse flat terrain (well below Several hundred metres 30°) over a distance of less than 10,000 m3 50 m Size 2 Sluff / "rutsch" (very small avalanche) Small avalanche Size 3 Medium avalanche Could bury and destroy cars, damage trucks, destroy small buildings and break a few trees Size 4 Large avalanche Could bury and destroy trucks and Traverses flat terrain (well below railway cars, and destroy fairly large 30°) over a distance of more than buildings and small areas of forest 50 m, can reach the valley floor Approx. 1 – 2 km 100,000 m3 Size 5 Very large avalanche Could devastate the landscape, has catastrophic destructive potential Approx. 3 km > 100,000 m3 Size 1 Reaches the valley floor, largest known avalanche According to this definition, typical skier avalanches fall within the category of small avalanches, but they reach a considerable size as a general rule. Their average length is 150 metres and they have a slab size of 50 by 80 metres, a mean slab thickness of around 50 m, and a cubature of about 2000 m³. These dimensions give rise to a mass of around 400 tonnes. In the event of high or very high avalanche danger, large or very large avalanches can sometimes be released in isolated cases even in moderately steep terrain, that is at slope angles of slightly less than 30 degrees. 16 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products The main purpose of this classification is to describe avalanche activity. 9. Explanation of danger levels 9.1 General The avalanche danger expressed in the avalanche danger scale increases from level to level. At the same time, the snowpack stability decreases (cf. Figure 2) and the prevalence of avalanche prone locations in open terrain increases. Generally speaking, the additional load required to trigger an avalanche decreases at the higher levels. The higher the danger level, the larger the avalanche size and number of avalanches. Fig. 2: Occurrence of stability categories with danger levels low (level 1) to considerable (level 3). As the danger level increases, so does the proportion of areas where stability is weak. Also note the proportion of areas where the stability is weak when the danger level is moderate (level 2). The avalanche bulletin indicates any changes in the danger level that are expected to arise during the day covered by the forecast. Examples: • "Danger level 3 (considerable) will not be reached until the afternoon." • "Danger level 4 (high) will already be reached during the morning." • "As the avalanche danger increases during the day, wet avalanches are to be expected again from the middle of the day below approximately 2400 m." The description of the avalanche danger can differ under the separate headings "danger description" and "additional danger". • If the danger level is likely to change during the day, both the level published in the avalanche bulletin and the danger description are guided by the situation in the morning. The outlook (generally an increase in danger) is described under the heading "additional danger". • Since most avalanches that cause damage and injury are dry slab avalanches, more space is usually devoted to describing this danger in the avalanche bulletin. • In typical "springtime situations", that is on days when the avalanche danger increases significantly during the day, two maps are used to depict both the more favourable morning situation and the less favourable situation prompted by the increasing wet avalanche danger as the day progresses (cf. Appendix 5). If a substantial danger of gliding avalanches exists and this danger is greater, over a wide area, than the danger of dry slab avalanches, two maps are produced to show both the danger of dry slab 17 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products avalanches and the danger of gliding avalanches. Note in this case that the danger of gliding avalanches does not vary during the day. Both dry slab and gliding avalanches can therefore occur at any time of day (including in the early morning). The frequency of the published danger levels from winter 1997/98 to winter 2011/12 (serving as a forecast for the following day since the avalanche bulletin was introduced) is depicted in Figure 3 below. Fig. 3: Occurrence in percent of individual danger levels in the avalanche bulletin (evening assessment (5 pm) from 01.12. until 30.04.) from winter 1997/88 to 2011/12. 9.2 Low avalanche danger (level 1): The snowpack is generally well bonded or, as a whole, loosely packed. Such conditions frequently occur in mid-winter during long spells of fine weather accompanied by shallow snow cover. When either one of these conditions prevails, a fracture is usually unable to propagate in the snowpack. The snowpack is therefore generally stable (cf. Fig. 2). In isolated cases in extremely steep terrain, avalanches can be triggered artificially by large additional loads (e.g. explosives or groups of winter sport participants). Human-triggered avalanches can never be ruled out entirely. The dangerous zones are sparse, however, and largely limited to extremely steep terrain. In extremely steep terrain, the danger of avalanches sweeping people along and causing them to fall is often greater than the danger of being buried. Natural avalanches rarely occur, apart from small slides and small avalanches in steep terrain. Around five percent of all fatal accidents occur at this danger level. 9.3 Moderate avalanche danger (level 2) The snowpack is only moderately well bonded (cf. Fig. 2) in some places, as generally specified in the avalanche bulletin by reference to the altitude zone, aspect or type of terrain. Provided that routes are selected carefully, the conditions for snow sport activities are favourable in the majority of cases. If weak layers exist deep in the snowpack, medium-sized avalanches can be released in some places in particular by large additional loads (cf. Chapter 8.3.2). Especially in places where the snow cover is shallow, the possibility of an avalanche being released even by a small additional load (cf. Chapter 8.3.2) cannot be ruled out. Such triggering occurs more frequently in connection 18 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products with new snow drift accumulations which, although released easily, are generally small. Alarm signs, such as whumpfing sounds, can exist in isolated cases. If natural avalanches occur, they are generally wet avalanches. In isolated cases, they can reach medium size. Large natural avalanches are not to be expected. Transportation routes and settlements are rarely exposed to the danger of natural avalanches. Safety measures are also generally unnecessary on marked and open pistes. Around one-third of all fatal accidents occur at this danger level. 9.4 Considerable avalanche danger (level 3) On many slopes the snowpack structure is only moderate to weak (cf. Fig. 2). Triggering is possible even with small additional loads (cf. Chapter 8.3.2), especially on the steep slopes in the indicated aspects and altitude zones stated in the avalanche bulletin. Alarm signs typically exist, but not in every case. Isolated slab avalanches can be released even from well outside the starting zone (remote triggering). The danger of natural avalanches can differ greatly. In case of a weakly bonded snowpack and shallow snow cover, medium-sized avalanches are to be expected only sporadically. If this danger level is forecast after new snow or in connection with (daytime) warming, isolated large avalanches are possible as well. Safety measures, such as the use of explosives (especially in the case of new snow) or temporary closures (especially if temperatures are expected to rise) of exposed parts of transportation routes and, in particular, snow sport runs that are subject to protection by technical measures, are to be recommended. Those engaging in backcountry touring and off-piste activities must dispose over experience and assessment skills acquired through avalanche training. Steep slopes in the indicated aspect and altitude zone are to be avoided as far as possible. Around one-half of all fatal accidents occur at this danger level. 9.5 High avalanche danger (level 4) The snowpack is weakly bonded on most slopes. Triggering is probable even by small additional loads on numerous steep slopes. Alarm signs often exist. Natural avalanches and remote triggering are typical. In certain cases, when the avalanches are not especially large, snow sport participants are most endangered. Frequently, however, parts of transportation routes and settlements are exposed to danger. Depending on the situation (e.g. snowpack structure, new snow, wind), numerous medium-sized natural avalanches and a greater prevalence of large avalanches, which generally follow familiar paths, are to be expected. Exposed parts of transportation routes and settlements in the areas affected by such avalanches are endangered in the majority of cases. Safety measures, such as the use of explosives or closures, are to be recommended in these places. The conditions outside marked and open pistes are unfavourable. Avalanche runout zones in particular warrant caution. Around ten percent of all fatal accidents occur at this danger level. 9.6 Very high avalanche danger (level 5) The snowpack is generally weakly bonded and therefore largely unstable (consistent with large quantities of new snow accompanied by a fracture within same, or at transitions between new snow and the old snowpack). Extensive weak layers can also exist deep inside the snowpack; these can collapse if exposed to a heavy burden of overlying snow and give rise to large or very large avalanches. Numerous large and, in many cases, very large natural avalanches are to be expected, including in moderately steep terrain. Avalanches can also occur in the same place several times and open up new paths. Extensive safety measures (closures and, in some circumstances, evacuation etc.) are required. Fortunately, such disaster situations warranting danger level 5 very rarely arise. In such instances, backcountry touring is not recommended and is usually impossible in any case. 19 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Fatal accidents have occurred at this danger level in particular during winters with large avalanches, as in 1951, 1968, 1975, 1984 and 1999, and account for around 1% of the total. 10. Explanation of avalanche prone locations 10.1 General The avalanche bulletin indicates not only the danger level, but also the terrain features that are considered critical. A typical phrase is "Avalanche prone locations are to be found, in particular, on west to north to southeast facing wind-loaded slopes above approximately 2000 m". In order to interpret the information and plan backcountry tours sensibly, the slope angle, aspect, altitude zone and type of slope are to be established by consulting the 1:25,000-scale maps published by swisstopo. 10.2 Slope angle Most skier avalanches occur at slope angles between 35 and 40 degrees. Especially if the danger level is high or very high, isolated avalanches can also be released in areas with a slope angle of less than 30 degrees. The slope angle category stated in the avalanche bulletin indicates that slopes in that range are especially critical. The following slope angle categories are used in the avalanche bulletin: Moderately steep: Slope angle less than 30° Steep: Steeper than 30° Very steep: Steeper than 35° Extremely steep: Steeper than 40° Long-term average: 3% of skier avalanches Long-term average: 97% of skier avalanches This is the category that is cited most frequently in the avalanche bulletin Long-term average: 82% of skier avalanches This category is seldom cited in the avalanche bulletin Long-term average: 43% of skier avalanches Slopes in this category are usually particularly unfavourable as regards the type of terrain, proximity to the ridge or ground condition as well. This category is cited in the avalanche bulletin in combination with the low danger level in particular. The indicated values (e.g. steeper than 35°) must, of course, be assumed to be approximate. They are to be regarded as guidelines, and slopes with broadly similar angles must be treated with caution as well. 10.3 Slope aspect A north facing slope falls to the north. If you are standing on a mountain summit looking towards the north (with the sun on your back at midday), the north facing slope lies immediately in front of and below you. In mid-winter, steeper north facing slopes are shaded by the mountains for long periods and therefore not exposed to any direct solar radiation. In such aspects, settling and bonding usually occur only slowly. A south facing slope falls to the south and therefore receives sun regularly, even in mid-winter. As a consequence, the snow generally settles faster and bonds more effectively on such slopes. In the mornings, sunshine first strikes the east facing slopes. The last sunshine of the day strikes the west facing slopes. 20 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Shaded or shady slopes are more prevalent in mid-winter (when the sun is low in the sky) than in springtime (when the sun rises higher and higher). Depending on the extent of shadow being cast by the near horizon, slopes in any aspect can be shady, not only north facing slopes. The terms "sun-exposed slopes" and the equivalent "sunny slopes" are to be interpreted likewise. Wind-exposed or windward slopes face the wind. Snow lying on these slopes is usually blown away. Leeward, downwind or lee slopes face downwind (away from the wind). Snow blown off windward slopes is deposited here. Lee slopes often have many times the average amount of snow and are sometimes called "wind-loaded slopes" for this reason. Windward and leeward slopes are significant aspects not only near mountain summits. They also occur at large distances from summits, typically on the flanks of valleys with a prevailing wind direction. In such situations, the wind can be diverted by the terrain and deviate significantly from the naturally prevailing direction. Steep slopes adjacent to the ridge line are generally situated close to pronounced crests that connect peaks. They are often interspersed with rock and occur in all aspects. 10.4 Altitude zone References to especially critical altitude zones are generally made in increments of 200 m. In the case of dry avalanches, the altitude above which avalanches can occur is usually cited. For wet avalanches, the cited altitude is the one below which they are most likely to occur. Formulations referring to a range of altitudes, such as "between 2500 m and 3000 m", are seldom used. The following terms are frequently used in the avalanche bulletin: – low altitudes: locations below approximately 1000 m – intermediate altitudes: locations between approximately 1000 m and 2000 m – high altitudes: locations between approximately 2000 m and 3000 m – high Alpine regions: locations above approximately 3000 m The tree line is also used as a reference. It denotes the transitional area between forest land, which is sheltered from the wind, and open Alpine terrain, which is exposed to the wind. The tree line is situated at the transition between intermediate to high altitude. It lies at approximately 2200 m in central Valais and Engadine, 2000 m in the inneralpine regions and at the Southern flank of the Alps, and 1800 m in the Prealps. 10.5 Other terminology describing especially critical terrain features In connection with the accumulation of new snow drifts (during periods of snow transport), the term "wind-loaded slope" is often used as well. A steep wind-loaded slope is one that is prone to new snow drift accumulation, which is an especially critical phenomenon (see above). The terms "gullies and bowls" and "areas adjacent to the ridge line" are also used in the avalanche bulletin, usually in connection with snow drift accumulations. When gullies and bowls or areas adjacent to the ridge line are indicated, the avalanche prone locations are generally restricted to these types of terrain and are therefore relatively easy to localise. They also tend to cover small areas. 10.6 Use of terms in the avalanche bulletin As regards the prevalence of avalanche prone locations, the following sequence generally applies: 1) Steep slopes: Avalanche prone locations are to be expected on all steep slopes of the indicated aspect and altitude zone (including in gullies and bowls). 21 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 2) Wind-loaded slopes: Avalanche prone locations are to be expected, in particular, on steep slopes of the indicated aspect and altitude zone where snow drifts have been deposited on top of the snowpack (including in gullies and bowls that are filled with snow drift accumulations). 3) Gullies and bowls / areas adjacent to the ridge line: Avalanche prone locations are generally to be found, in particular, in gullies and bowls / adjacent to the ridge line in the indicated aspect and altitude zone. If the steepness of slope is not indicated when the terms "wind-loaded slopes" or "gullies and bowls / adjacent to the ridge line" are used, it can generally be assumed that the reference is to steep wind-loaded slopes or steep gullies and bowls / areas adjacent to the ridge line. Otherwise, the specific slope angle category precedes the relevant term, e.g. "very steep wind-loaded slopes". 10.7 Graphic depiction of especially critical areas in the danger map The especially critical areas can be depicted graphically in the danger map (cf. Appendices 3 and 5). The areas coloured black are particularly critical. The example alongside indicates the following: the avalanche prone locations are to be found, in particular, on west to north to northeast facing aspects above approximately 2600 m. The aspects are depicted exactly as described by the text (west to north to northeast facing). If the lower limit of the particularly critical altitude zone is stated, the altitude is shown above the line, and the top part of the mountain symbol is coloured black (as illustrated in the example alongside; this is the typical situation in the case of dry avalanches). If the upper limit of the particularly critical altitude zone is stated, the altitude is shown below the line, and the bottom part of the mountain symbol is coloured black (this is the typical situation in the case of wet avalanches). Interpretation The avalanche situation is most critical in the locations described as "avalanche prone". In other areas, the avalanche danger is usually lower, but an avalanche bulletin cannot indicate the exact extent to which the specific danger is reduced. No clearly defined boundaries exist between adjacent areas with different danger levels, or at the margins of aspects and altitude zones which are specifically cited. These marginal areas and intermediate zones of varying sizes cannot be unequivocally assigned to either the favourable or unfavourable category and must therefore be evaluated with care and prudence. At the margins of adjacent areas with different danger levels, it is to be assumed that the transition zone or range extends for several kilometres (cf. Figure 4a). In these places, due consideration is to be given to both danger assessments. The transition range is about plus or minus one one-sixteenth segment of a circle for aspects (cf. Figure 4b) and plus or minus 200 m for altitude zones (see Figure 4c). These numbers are not exact, but only indications of magnitude. In the transition range or zone, both the more and the less favourable assessment can apply. 22 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Figure 4b: Figure 4a: Figure 4c: Figures 4a to 4c: Note that the boundaries between danger levels, aspects and altitude zones are not exactly defined. It has become customary in backcountry touring to assume the danger level to be one level lower in the areas that are not specifically indicated. This rule of thumb has proven largely reliable but, like every rule, is subject to exceptions. It can be applied when planning backcountry tours, but does not replace an assessment in the open terrain, especially since the danger level applies to an entire region, not to an individual slope. Note that the avalanche warning service disregards this rule of thumb when compiling the avalanche bulletin. When the particularly critical areas are designated, therefore, no consideration is given to whether the danger level is exactly one level lower elsewhere. Most fatal avalanche accidents have occurred in core zones; that is to say, in areas where the slope angle, slope aspect and altitude zone have matched those that were described as particularly critical. This analysis disregards the danger level prevailing on those days when accidents occurred. 23 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 11. Additional information and recommendations for individual user groups 11.1 General In the discussions that led up to the introduction of a European avalanche danger scale, opinions differed as to whether warnings about specific consequences and relevant recommendations for the principal user groups should be included in the scale alongside the information concerning snowpack stability and avalanche triggering probability. The French and Italian warning services do not issue any warnings about consequences or any recommendations. The Austrian and German warning services regard such warnings and recommendations as useful to some extent. In Switzerland, additional warnings for certain user groups were already contained in the old avalanche danger scale that was adopted in 1985. After conducting a nationwide survey among the key user groups, the SLF decided to continue commenting on consequences and making recommendations. It was motivated by the ongoing endeavour to make the avalanche bulletin more readily understandable. 11.2 Permanent recommendations The consequences and recommendations for transportation routes and settlements (Appendix 1, penultimate column) are targeted at those responsible for cantonal and communal avalanche services, the relevant officials of the national and private railway systems, and the mountain railway and cableway operators' heads of piste safety. Among the safety measures are the release of avalanches with explosives (usually performed as a safeguarding measure), the closure of roads or pistes, urging people to enter bunkers or shelters, or (in extremely critical situations) evacuating people from individual buildings or entire localities. The safety measures to be taken in a specific situation vary from case to case and are determined by those responsible for public safety. The consequences and recommendations for persons outside secured zones (Appendix 1, final column) are primarily targeted at snow sport participants. Persons depart from secured zones typically when embarking on backcountry touring or other off-piste activities, including on snowshoes or snowboards, and when they are in open terrain for professional reasons. The individual danger level descriptions contain key words denoting consequences and recommendations for such groups. The information on conditions refers exclusively to the avalanche danger. The avalanche bulletin only rarely remarks on the condition of the snow (powder snow, corn snow, breakable crust) and weather conditions (fog, storm force winds), which are also potentially dangerous in some circumstances. Experience in the assessment of avalanche danger is best obtained by attending the various courses offered by the Swiss Alpine Club, Jugend+Sport, the mountaineering schools, the ski and snowboard associations or the armed forces. The recommendations given in Appendix 1 are to be interpreted as good advice. After an evaluation of the situation in open terrain, the decision as to how to respond to the avalanche danger and the extent of acceptable risk lies with each individual. 11.3 Current recommendations In certain situations, the avalanche bulletin contains additional recommendations of behaviour adapted to the current conditions. The warning service issues such recommendations sparingly. As a rule, they refer to users' training and experience (typically "Those with little experience in the assessment of avalanche danger should remain on the pistes open to the general public", "Activities on these slopes require a lot of experience", or "Those with little experience should avoid such slopes"). 24 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Opinions as to whether the avalanche bulletin should contain current recommendations diverge among the various European warning services. The Bavarian avalanche warning service, for example, does not issue any recommendations as a matter of principle. 12. Geographical terminology For the purposes of the avalanche bulletin, the Swiss Alps are divided into around 120 warning regions (cf. Appendix 9). Groups consisting of several warning regions are formed, generally by applying climatological or political criteria, and named according to convention as far as possible. These names are also used by MeteoSwiss and all the other official natural hazard warning authorities. Appendix 10 shows the climatic and geographical division of the Swiss Alps into two zones: the northern and southern flanks. Depending on the situation, reference can be made to the major political regions shown in Appendix 11, which facilitates a more detailed subdivision. Expressions such as "Lower Valais" and "Glarus Alps" are generally known. The names used for small districts, however, call for good local geographical knowledge on the part of the user, which cannot be assumed to exist among foreign visitors in particular. The political subdivisions shown in Appendices 12 and 13 are seldom mentioned. Appendix 14 shows the Main Alpine Ridge and the northern Alpine Ridge. The Main Alpine Ridge extends approximately from the Great St Bernhard Pass via the Monte Rosa, Simplon, Gotthard, Lukmanier, San Bernardino, Maloja and Bernina Passes to beyond Val Müstair. The northern Alpine Ridge covers a belt from the Dent du Midi via the Wildstrubel and Jungfrau regions, Gotthard, Tödi and Vorab, and into the Alpstein region. The inneralpine regions are generally understood to encompass the regions between the Main Alpine Ridge and the northern Alpine Ridge, namely central Valais, parts of northern and central Grisons, and Engadine (Appendix 14). An area of particular significance is the Gotthard region (Appendix 13). It consists of Obergoms, the Grimsel region, Urseren, Tavetsch, the Upper Valle Leventina and Val Bedretto. The Grisons southern valleys include Val Moesa and Val Calanca (collectively Moesano), Val Bregaglia, Val Poschiavo and Val Müstair. Great care is required when interpreting references in the context of backcountry tours in regional border areas. For example, the Jungfrau region is usually accessed from the north (northern flank of the Alps, Bernese Oberland or eastern Bernese Oberland), but the backcountry touring area lies mostly in the territory of Valais (Valais, Upper Valais, northern Valais or Goms). Furthermore, the assignment of danger levels to regional border areas is indistinct. These intermediate areas cover several kilometres (cf. Chapter 10). Those undertaking backcountry tours on skis or snowboards in such areas must therefore consult the avalanche bulletin as a whole. 13. Supporting products The supporting products complement the information contained in the avalanche bulletin and aid its interpretation. 13.1 New snow maps A new snow map showing the amount of new snow that has fallen in the previous 24 hours (new snow 1 day) (cf. Appendix 15) and a similar map showing the amount of new snow that has fallen in the previous 3 days (new snow 3 days) are published daily at 9.30 am. The interpolations and the assignment of the data to the cross-hatched, standard new snow depth bands (0 to 1 cm, 1 to 10 cm, 10 to 25 cm, and 25 to 50 cm) take place automatically; no checks or corrections are made. Since the majority of stations that capture the data are located at low and intermediate altitudes, the 25 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products situation depicted by the map can be difficult to interpret or inaccurate if the snowfall level is above 1000 m. To aid interpretation, the raw data captured at station altitude are therefore indicated as well. 13.2 Snow depth map The snow depth map shows the calculated snow depth in a 1 x 1 km grid, based on measurements taken by the SLF and MeteoSwiss measuring stations. On days with little cloud, the measurements are supplemented by NOAA-AVHRR satellite data collected by the Remote Sensing Group at the University of Bern. A snow coverage map is calculated from the satellite data in Bern. Consideration is given to this map when the snow depth map is being plotted. The calculation of the snow depth in the 1 x 1 km grid follows an approach that pays due regard to both the dominating influence of the topography on snow depth, and the local measurements (cf. Appendix 16). The snow depth map is generally published on Thursdays at around 10 am, but more frequently if necessary. When consideration is given to the NOAA-AVHRR satellite data, the accuracy of the snow depth calculation depends on clear skies. In some cases, the snow depth map is produced without satellite data. 13.3 Snow depth at 2000 m or 2500 m Every Thursday, and on other weekdays if marked changes occur, the snow depth map showing the mean snow depth at 2000 metres (at 2500 m in the early and late winter months) is published at about 10 am (cf. Appendix 17). It is based on measurements taken by the SLF and MeteoSwiss measuring stations. The snow depth at 2000 m is calculated from all the data captured between 1600 m and 2400 m, and the depth at 2500 m is calculated from all the data captured between 2100 m and 2900 m. This map covers the entire territory of the Swiss Alps and provides a general survey of the current snow depth on horizontal surfaces. Regions with identical or similar snow depths are indicated by colour coding or cross-hatching. When interpreting the map for parts of the terrain at lower or higher altitudes, note that the snow depth gradient can vary greatly. It generally lies in the range from 5 to 20 cm per 100 metres altitude. Also note that the values refer to horizontal surfaces; the snow depth on slopes can often be very different. At the start and end of the season when there is less snow on the ground, the mean snow depth at 2500 metres is indicated, as stated in the map's title. 13.4 Snow depth compared with long-term mean A map that compares the current snow depth with the long-term mean (cf. Appendix 18) is published alongside the snow depth map (cf. Chapters 13.2 and 13.3). It is based on the data collected by observer (comparative) stations with records of measurement series covering a period of more than 10 consecutive years. The data captured by stations above 1200 m are generally used. The following categories are applied: < 60%: well below average 60 to 90%: below average 90 to 110%: average 110 to 140%: above average > 140%: well above average If there is a prevalence of values < 60% and significantly less than 30%, and a prevalence of values > 140% and significantly greater than 170%, these are reported with greater precision. 13.5 Snowpack stability map The map shows the findings of snowpack analyses, as interpreted by the avalanche warning service. These analyses provide a snapshot of the snowpack at a specific time and place, and are assigned to 26 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products one of three stability categories. Clicking on individual symbols pulls up the snow profiles (cf. Appendix 19). The snowpack stability on an individual slope cannot be described because it can vary from one place to another, and the volume of available data is insufficient. On the other hand, by referencing several snow profiles, the regional snowpack stability existing at the time the profiles were taken can be evaluated generally. The following limitations apply: • The information refers to the time the profile was taken. If the condition of the snowpack does not change, the information can remain valid for a prolonged period. If, on the other hand, new snow has fallen and not yet bonded well with the old snowpack, the snowpack stability changes and the validity of the information is restricted. In any such case, the snowpack will have become thicker and has usually changed in the period since the profile was taken. • The volume of information varies. Some regions generate more information and more current information than others. • The snowpack stability map is updated as soon as new snow profiles are available. More detailed information concerning the snowpack stability map is available on the internet at www.slf.ch. 13.6 Weekly report Throughout the whole year, the weekly report describes and comments on the weather conditions that are relevant to the avalanche danger, changes in the layering and stability of the snowpack, as well as other aspects of the snow and avalanche situation in the Swiss Alps. The reports are supported by thematic maps, photographs and measured values. Additional remarks explaining specific processes and occurrences in a period are included whenever necessary. Reviews of the recent period are published weekly in the peak winter season winter and monthly in the off-peak winter season and during the summer. The reporting year coincides with the hydrological year, running from October 1st to September 30th. The monthly reports are made available at the beginning of the following month, and the weekly reports are available on Thursday evenings in German, and Friday evenings in French. Use the menu in the left margin to select specific periods. In the early summer (June), the winter is summarised in an annual report. Once the avalanche accident reports have been compiled, the annual and accident reports are published together in a German document entitled "Schnee- und Lawinen in den Schweizer Alpen" (Snow and Avalanches in the Swiss Alps). It is also known as the "Winterbericht" (Winter Report) and is made available for downloading as a pdf file. 13.7. Icons The icons (see Appendices 2) provide simple and clear information about the avalanche danger to the general public. This brief information is intended to encourage snow sport participants and others to obtain more detailed information as well from www.slf.ch. The icons can be used either as a map or as single illustrations (see Appendices 2 and 6), typically to add a pictorial representation of the avalanche danger level for the region concerned to local weather information. 27 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products 14. Distribution channels and how to consult the products Overview Internet: www.slf.ch Smartphones: White Risk app SMS RSS Avalanche bulletin Snow maps Station data "SLFSOMMER" SMS Internet Address: www.slf.ch Products: Avalanche bulletin, snow maps, data captured by automatic measuring stations, additional and detailed information concerning snow and avalanches, Online form „submit observation“. Smartphones SLF App “White Risk” Free app for iPhone and Android smartphones (available from the iTunes or Google Play store) Products: Avalanche bulletin, snow maps, data captured by automatic measuring stations, background knowledge on the subject of avalanche science, tools for use in the field and a form „submit observation“. "SLFSOMMER" SMS If you wish to be notified of an unscheduled avalanche bulletin via SMS, please send an SMS with the message START SLF SOMMER to tel. no. 9234. Shortly after such a bulletin is issued, you will then automatically receive an SMS informing you of its publication. You can cancel the service anytime by texting STOP SLF SOMMER. Cost: CHF 0.20 per SMS RSS Address: www.slf.ch/dienstleistungen/rss/index_EN Product: Avalanche bulletin Radio Radio SRF 1: Daily at around 4.50 pm Radio SRF 3: At irregular intervals, in particular when an elevated avalanche danger exists Radio Südostschweiz: Daily at around 5.50 pm RadioRumantsch: Fridays 5.50 pm Rhône FM: Fridays around 6.15 pm (in collaboration with the branch station in Sion). RSI Rete 1: Fridays around 4 pm (in collaboration with MeteoSwiss) Radio Fiume Ticino: Fridays around 5.15 pm (in collaboration with MeteoSwiss) Radio 3I: Saturdays around 7.40 am (in collaboration with MeteoSwiss) Other local radio stations: At irregular intervals, in particular when an elevated avalanche danger exists 28 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Television SF 1, SF info, TSR, TSI: During the weather forecast, shortly before or after 8 pm; often on Fridays, but occasionally on other days as well Natural-hazards portal and MeteoSwiss app The natural-hazards portal (www.naturgefahren.ch) and the MeteoSwiss app provide a synopsis of the current natural hazard situation in Switzerland. It shows the danger levels in all the natural hazard processes for which warnings are issued (rain, thunderstorms, flood, snow, avalanches, heat waves, frost, slippery roads, wind, forest fires, earthquakes) and contains general information on the individual natural hazards and how to respond to them. This information is supplied by the federal government's natural hazard agencies, namely the Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology (MeteoSwiss), National Environmental Agency (BAFU), WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, and the Swiss Seismological Service (SED). The MeteoSwiss and WhiteRisk apps are cross-linked in order to give users the most convenient access possible to detailed information. 15. Feedback on avalanche danger Verification of the avalanche danger entails the subsequent, independent investigation of the avalanche situation based on additional field tests, avalanche observation, avalanche accident analyses, or interviewing skiers by way of questionnaires. The goal is to review the announced danger levels and the parts of terrain that were considered to be especially critical. Relevant feedback from users contributes much to improving the avalanche bulletin. The avalanche warning service is eager to receive all feedback, in particular if an actual occurrence differs from the assessment of the danger published in the avalanche bulletin. Feedback can be provided in several different ways: - Online form at www.slf.ch/lawinenbulletin/rueckmeldung/index_EN - SLF WhiteRisk App If such notification arrives in time (submitted by 2:30 pm), it can even be integrated in the next day's avalanche bulletin. 16. Closing remarks Avalanches do not occur by chance, and people are usually affected by them more through their own behaviour than through providence. Most avalanche accidents are attributable to slab avalanches which, in about 90% of cases, are triggered by the victims or members of their group. Note that every avalanche, even a minor snow slide, can be dangerous. Caution is warranted not only in view of the danger of being buried, but also because avalanches can sweep people along and cause them to fall. The following points are therefore essential if the risk is to be minimised: 1. Education: If risk is to be eliminated as far as possible, education and training in the assessment of avalanche danger is essential for all activities in wintry terrain outside marked and open pistes and snow sport regions. One of the purposes served by such education is to develop not only an understanding of the spatial and temporal changes that take place continuously inside the snowpack and across the terrain, but also the skills required to engage in outdoor pursuits to the greatest possible extent. Each of these aspects calls for practice. Avalanche courses are offered by various organisations for different levels of expertise. 2. Information: 29 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Information about the avalanche danger is to be obtained prior to engaging in activities in wintry terrain outside marked and open pistes and snow sport regions. Besides the avalanche bulletin and the various supporting products of the SLF, which serve as a basis, local information from mountain railway and cableway operators, mountaineering schools, refuge wardens etc., together with your own observations, can provide important information on the avalanche danger. 3. Emergency equipment: The following items are among the emergency equipment to be carried by those engaging in activities in wintry terrain outside marked and open pistes and snow sport regions: Transceiver Shovel Probe In the stressful circumstances of an accident, however, the ability to use this equipment correctly depends on regular practice. Additional items of emergency equipment, such as an avalanche airbag, are recommended. 4. Conduct: Finally, risk is reduced by defensive behaviour, adapted as well as possible to the specific situation. 30 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix: Appendix 1: Appendix 2: Appendix 3: Appendix 4: Appendix 5.1: Appendix 5.2: Appendix 5.3: Appendix 6: Appendix 7: Appendix 8: Appendix 9: Appendix 10: Appendix 11: Appendix 12: A ppendix 13: Appendix 14: Appendix 15: Appendix 16: Appendix 17: Appendix 18: Appendix 19: Appendix 20: European danger scale with recommendations ...........................................32 Overview of European avalanche danger scales .........................................33 Specimen avalanche bulletin on the internet – danger map including danger description....................................................34 Specimen avalanche bulletin on the internet – snowpack and weather.......35 Specimen full avalanche bulletin (for printing)...........................................36 Specimen full avalanche bulletin (for printing)...........................................37 Specimen regional danger map (for printing)..............................................38 Specimen icon map......................................................................................39 SLF network of observer stations ................................................................40 IMIS (and SwissMetNet) stations (snow stations) ......................................40 Geographical terminology V - the smallest units the 123 warning regions ..............................................................................41 Geographical terminology I - northern and southern flank of the Alps ......42 Geographical terminology II - major political regions ................................42 Geographical terminology III - political subregions 1 ................................43 Geographical terminology IV - political subregions 2 ................................43 Geographical terminology VI: Main Alpine Ridge, northern Alpine Ridge and inneralpine regions .........................................................44 Specimen new snow map (1 day) ................................................................44 Specimen snow depth map ..........................................................................45 Specimen snow depth map for 2000 m .......................................................45 Specimen snow depth map showing comparison with long-term mean values ...........................................................................................................46 Specimen snowpack stability map ...............................................................46 Typical danger situations (avalanche problems) .........................................47 31 Appendix 1: European danger scale with recommendations Danger level Snowpack stability Avalanche triggering probability Consequences for transportation routes and settlements / recommendations Consequences for persons outside secured zones / recommendations 5 very high The snowpack is poorly bonded and largely unstable in general. Many large and multiple very large natural avalanches are expected, even in moderately steep terrain. Acute danger. Comprehensive safety measures. Highly unfavourable conditions. Avoid open terrain. 4 high The snowpack is poorly bonded on most steep slopes*. Triggering is likely even from low additional loads** on many steep slopes. In some cases, numerous mediumsized and often large-sized natural avalanches can be expected. Many exposed sectors are endangered. Safety measures recommended in those places. Unfavourable conditions. Extensive experience in the assessment of avalanche danger is required. Remain in moderately steep terrain / heed avalanche run out zones. 3 considerable The snowpack is moderately to poorly bonded on many steep slopes*. Triggering is possible, even from low additional loads** particularly on those steep slopes indicated in the bulletin. In some cases medium-sized, in isolated cases large-sized natural avalanches are possible. Isolated exposed sectors are endangered. Some safety measures recommended in those places. Partially unfavourable conditions. Experience in the assessment of avalanche danger is required. Steep slopes of indicated aspects and altitude zones should be avoided if possible. 2 moderate The snowpack is only moderately well bonded on some steep slopes*, otherwise well bonded in general. Triggering is possible primarily from high additional loads**, particularly on those steep slopes indicated in the bulletin. Large-sized natural avalanches are unlikely. Low danger of natural avalanches. Mostly favourable conditions. Careful route selection, especially on steep slopes of indicated aspects and altitude zones. 1 low The snowpack is well bonded and stable in general. Triggering is generally possible only from high additional loads** in isolated areas of very steep, extreme terrain. Only sluffs and small-sized natural avalanches are possible. No danger Generally safe conditions Explanations: * generally explained in greater detail in Avalanche Bulletin (e.g. altitude zone, aspect, type of terrain) ** Additional load: - natural: without human assistance - high (e.g. group of skiers without spacing, snowmobile/groomer, avalanche blasting) - aspect: the compass direction in which a downward slope faces - low (e.g. single skier, snowboarder, snowshoe hiker) - exposed: especially exposed to danger moderately steep terrain: slopes flatter than about 30 degrees steep slopes: slopes with an angle greater than about 30 degrees steep extreme terrain:: those which are particularly unfavourable as regards slope angle (usually steeper than about 40°), terrain profile, proximity to ridge, roughness of underlying ground “conditions” refers exclusively to the avalanche danger. The avalanche bulletin only rarely remarks on the condition of the snow (powder snow, corn snow, breakable crust) and weather conditions (fog, storm force winds), which are also potentially dangerous in some circumstances. 32 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 2: 5 4 3 2 1 Overview of European avalanche danger scales English Danger level very high high considerable moderate low Deutsch Gefahrenstufe sehr gross gross erheblich mässig gering français Degré de danger très fort fort marqué limité faible italiano Scala del pericolo molto forte forte marcato moderato debole The colours of the various avalanche danger levels have also been standardised in Europe: very high red/black high considerable moderate low red orange yellow green 255,000,000 (RGB) 000,000,000 (RGB) 255,000,000 (RGB) 255,153,000 (RGB) 255,255,000 (RGB) 204,255,102 (RGB) Icons: Danger level 5 Very high 4 high 3 considerable 2 Moderate 1 Low Danger of wet snow avalanches increasing avalanche danger during the day no danger level 33 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 3: Specimen avalanche bulletin on the internet – danger map including danger description 34 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 4: Specimen avalanche bulletin on the internet – snowpack and weather 35 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 5.1: Specimen full avalanche bulletin (for printing) 36 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 5.2: Specimen full avalanche bulletin (for printing) 37 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 5.3: Specimen regional danger map (for printing) 38 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 6: Specimen icon map 39 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 7: SLF network of observer stations Appendix 8: IMIS (and SwissMetNet) stations (snow stations) 40 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 9: Geographical terminology V - the smallest units - the 123 warning regions 1111 1112 1113 1114 1121 1211 1212 1213 1221 1222 1223 1224 1225 1226 1227 1228 1231 1232 1233 1234 1241 1242 1243 1244 1245 1246 1247 1311 1312 Western Part of the Northern flank of the Alps Vaud Prealps Pays d'Enhaut Aigle-Leysin Bex-Villars Fribourg Alps Western Bernese Prealps Eastern Bernese Prealps Hohgant Niedersimmental Gstaad Wildhorn Lenk Iffigen Adelboden Engstligen Obersimmental Kandersteg Blüemlisalp Lauterbrunnen Jungfrau – Schilthorn Brienz-Interlaken Grindelwald Schreckhorn Hasliberg – Rosenlaui Guttannen Gadmertal Grimsel Pass Vouvry Monthey-Val d'Illiez 2111 2121 2122 Central Part of the Northern flank of the Alps Entlebuch Glaubenberg Engelberg 2123 2131 2132 2211 2212 2221 2222 2223 2224 Melchtal Schwyz Prealps Muotatal Schächental Uri Rotstock Meiental Maderanertal Northern Urseren Southern Urseren 4222 4223 4231 4232 4241 4242 4243 4244 Upper Mattertal Upper Saastal Northern Simplon region Southern Simplon region Reckingen Binntal Northern Obergoms Southern Obergoms 6121 6122 6131 6132 6211 6212 Lower Valle Maggia Riviera Lugano area Mendrisio area alto Moesano basso Moesano 3111 3112 3113 3211 3221 3222 3223 3311 Eastern Part of the Northern flank of the Alps Northern and central Glarus Southern Glarus-Grosstal Southern Glarus-Sernftal Appenzell Alps Toggenburg Alpstein – Alvier St Gallen Oberland Liechtenstein 4111 4112 4113 4114 4115 4116 4121 4122 4123 4124 4125 4211 4212 4213 4221 Valais Emosson Génépi Val d'Entremont-Val Ferret Conthey-Fully Martigny-Verbier Haut Val de Bagnes Montana Val d'Hérens Arolla Val d'Anniviers Mountet Lötschental Turtmanntal Aletsch region Lower Valleys of Visp 5111 5112 5113 5121 5122 5123 5124 5211 5212 5214 5215 5216 5221 5222 5223 5231 5232 5233 5234 Northern and Central Grisons Northern Prättigau Southern Prättigau Western Silvretta Calanda Schanfigg Davos Flims Northern Tujetsch Southern Tujetsch Obersaxen – Safien Valley Val Sumvitg Zervreila Domleschg – Lenzerheide Schams Rheinwald Albulatal Savognin Avers Bivio 7111 7112 7113 7114 7115 7121 7122 7123 7124 7125 7126 7211 7221 7222 7231 Engadine / eastern Part of the Southern flank of the Alps Corvatsch Bernina region Zuoz St Moritz Val Chamuera Samnaun Eastern Silvretta Sur Tasna Val Suot Val dal Spöl Val S-charl Val Bregaglia Upper Val Poschiavo Lower Val Poschiavo Val Müstair Jura / Swiss plateau western Jura main ridge of the Jura chain north of the Jura chain western Swiss Plateau central Swiss Plateau eastern Swiss Plateau 6111 6112 6113 6114 6115 Central Part of the Southern flank of the Alps Val Bedretto Upper Valle Leventina Val Blenio Upper Valle Maggia Lower Valle Leventina 8111 8121 8122 9111 9211 9311 41 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 10: Geographical terminology I - northern and southern flank of the Alps Appendix 11: Geographical terminology II - major political regions 42 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 12: Geographical terminology III - political subregions 1 A ppendix 13: Geographical terminology IV - political subregions 2 43 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 14: Geographical terminology VI: Main Alpine Ridge, northern Alpine Ridge and inneralpine regions Appendix 15: Specimen new snow map (1 day) 44 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 16: Specimen snow depth map Appendix 17: Specimen snow depth map for 2000 m 45 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 18: Specimen snow depth map showing comparison with long-term mean values Appendix 19: Specimen snowpack stability map 46 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Appendix 20: Typical danger situations (avalanche problems) Fig. 1: Danger map showing highlighted region and the relevant danger description. The description contains the following elements: A - Danger level ("How great is the avalanche danger?") B - Avalanche problem ("What is the main problem?") C - Avalanche prone locations (core zone) ("Where in particular does the avalanche problem prevail?") D - Description ("What are the characteristics of the avalanche problem?") The danger description that forms part of the avalanche bulletin always cites one or more typical avalanche situations or avalanche problems. The purpose is to focus attention on the current avalanche problem. This practice makes use of the human brain's capacity to recognise and interpret recurring characteristics. Each problem has a different cause and calls for a specific response appropriate to the situation. Several avalanche problems can occur at once, but the avalanche bulletin does not describe more than three problems at a time. The avalanche problems cited in the avalanche bulletin are described briefly below. • New snow • Snow drifts • Old snow • Wet avalanches (in the course of the day) • Gliding avalanches • Favourable situation 47 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products New snow New fallen snow imposes an additional load on the snowpack underneath and forms a new layer. While it is falling and generally for up to around three days thereafter, the freshly fallen snow seldom bonds sufficiently well with the old snowpack. The following factors are especially important in case of new snow: • The quantity of new snow that has fallen. If the "critical quantity of new snow" has been reached, a "considerable" avalanche danger (level 3) or higher must be assumed to exist. A critical quantity is: • 10 to 20 cm in unfavourable conditions (strong wind, cold, unfavourable existing surface) • 20 to 30 cm in moderate conditions • 30 to 50 cm in favourable conditions (little wind, warm, favourable existing surface) • The composition or quality of the old snowpack prior to the snowfall • Unfavourable: surface hoar, a soft snowpack that is smooth over an extensive area, or a weakly bonded old snowpack (in this case, the old snow problem must be cited as well) • Favourable: small-area substantial inconsistencies in the old snowpack Avalanche prone • Over a wide area locations • Often becoming more precarious at higher altitudes Indicated by • (Critical) quantity of new snow • Frequent alarm signs: in particular recent slab avalanches Danger level Often considerable (level 3), especially if the "critical quantity of new snow" is reached Recommended action For planning purposes, apply the reduction method – depending on the circumstances, do not launch a tour for the time being Snow drift When snow is transported by the wind, new snow drift accumulations form. The wind can transport freshly fallen snow and/or loosely bonded old snow. Snow drift can therefore accumulate even in the most glorious weather. Snow drifts are always well bonded. A warning of a snow drift situation is issued when new snow drift accumulations have formed over the last three days or so. The following factors are especially important in case of a snow drift situation: • The age of the snow drift • New snow drift accumulations are generally prone to triggering but not always easy to recognise. The weather of recent days is a key indicator. • The composition or quality of the old snowpack underneath the snow drift • Unfavourable: surface hoar, a soft snowpack that is smooth over an extensive area, or a weakly bonded old snowpack (in this case, the old snow problem must be cited as well) • Favourable: small-scale substantial inconsistencies in the old snowpack • Experience and good visibility: in many cases, these factors can allow snow drift accumulations to be bypassed Avalanche prone • Subject to considerable local variations locations • Locations sheltered from the wind (bowls, abrupt changes in slope angle etc.) • More prevalent at higher altitude and adjacent to the ridge line Indicated by • Snow formations caused by the wind, such as sastrugi or dunes • Frequent alarm signs: whumpfing sounds, cracks, remote triggering and recent slab avalanches Danger level Mostly moderate (level 2) or considerable (level 3) Recommended action Avoid new snow drift accumulations 48 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Old snow When the snowpack has for several days not been modified by precipitation, wind or melt processes, the avalanche danger is determined by its deeper layers. If the snowpack contains long-enduring weak layers, an old snow situation is said to exist. Such situations are long-lasting; they can persist for several weeks, months or even an entire winter. Old snow situations are difficult to assess. The following factors are therefore especially important: • Defensive behaviour / damage limitation Maintain spacing between individuals, descend very steep slopes one person at a time • The information contained in the avalanche bulletin The general condition of the snowpack is described in the daily avalanche bulletin under the heading Snowpack and weather. The danger description (Fig. 1) also indicates whether the weak layers are near the ground or nearer the surface of the snowpack. Conclusions can therefore be drawn concerning the likely slab thickness. In addition to the daily text, the avalanche warning service also publishes a stability map with snowpack analyses covering the Swiss Alps. Avalanche prone • Mostly not very prevalent, but avalanches can reach medium size locations • Often in areas where the snow cover is rather shallow, typically at the transition from a broad ridge into a bowl or in rocky terrain • Frequently on north-facing slopes • Frequently in inneralpine regions Indicated by • Snow profiles and stability tests showing long-enduring weak layers • Rare alarm signs: isolated whumpfing sounds Danger level Often moderate (level 2), mostly in the absence of avalanches within a region for several days Recommended action Caution and restraint are imperative. The reduction method can be applied, but not relied upon exclusively. Wet avalanches (as the day progresses) The penetration of water can quickly weaken the snowpack. The danger situation generally passes, however, within a few hours. Two processes in particular give rise to water ingress: • Warming during the day and significant solar radiation in the spring prompt the melting of surface snow and the penetration of water into the snowpack. • Rain introduces large quantities of snow into the snowpack within a short time. The rain moistens and warms the snowpack and is an additional weight load. Since the timing and location of the danger arising in a wet snow situation can vary greatly, the avalanche bulletin defines the prevailing situation more precisely: • Wet avalanches: if the situation is already unfavourable in the morning (rain, after a very warm and overcast night) • Wet avalanches during the day: if conditions are favourable in the morning and the danger is expected to increase as the day progresses (classic springtime situation) The following factors are especially important if there is a danger of wet avalanches: • Were the skies clear during the night so that the snow surface was able to freeze and form a sturdy crust? In such circumstances the situation in the morning is usually favourable. After an overcast night or in the event of rain, the danger often already exists in the morning. • Time schedule Start out early and return early in the day Avalanche prone • Mostly depending on the aspect (except in the event of rain) locations • Conditions are sometimes better at higher than at lower altitudes • Often in the vicinity of warming rock at first • Pay close heed to the runout zones of large natural avalanches 49 Avalanche bulletin and other SLF products Indicated by Danger level Recommended action • A soaked, moist top layer or snowpack • Sinking deep into the snow when wearing/not wearing skis • Frequent alarm signs: natural slab and loose snow avalanches in particular In springtime conditions often a favourable situation in the morning but increasing thereafter to moderate or considerable danger (level 2 or 3) Adhere to a rigid time schedule; find out whether skies were clear during the night Gliding avalanches When a gliding avalanche occurs, the entire snowpack slides on the smooth substratum, typically consisting of grass or slabs of rock. The sliding movement is dependent on a moist bottom layer of snow at the interface with the ground. In mid-winter the moisture is introduced from underneath, from the warm and possibly moist ground. In such conditions, gliding avalanches can occur at any time of day or night and even when the air temperature is low. Apart from the near-ground "lubricating layer", the snowpack is dry. In the spring the moisture is introduced mostly from above in the form of melt water. When these conditions prevail, the incidence of gliding avalanches in the latter part of the day increases. The following factors are especially important if there is a danger of gliding avalanches: • As far as possible, avoid areas where gaps ("glide cracks") have opened in the snowpack Avalanche prone • Often in the vicinity of glide cracks locations • The avalanches are released not only by people, but also naturally Avoid runout zones Indicated by • Gaps in the snowpack ("glide cracks") Danger level Low or moderate (level 1 or 2). The avalanche bulletin only seldom issues a warning describing gliding avalanches as the main danger, but frequently cites them as an additional danger. Recommended action Avoid areas in the vicinity of glide cracks Favourable situation If none of the forenamed avalanche problems is crucial for an assessment of the avalanche danger, the avalanche situation is considered favourable. Such conditions are characterised by a snowpack with only a few layers having similar properties. In these circumstances, avalanches can occur only in isolated cases and in particular in extremely steep terrain. Besides the danger of being buried, the danger of falling in particular warrants caution. Danger level Low (level 1) 50