Economic and Fiscal Impact Survey
Transcription
Economic and Fiscal Impact Survey
Economic and Fiscal Impact of Arkansas DIVISION OF AGRICULTURE RESEARCH & EXTENSION University of Arkansas System Economic and Fiscal Contribution of Hot Springs Village 2010 This study was funded by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association Wayne P. Miller Professor University of Arkansas Cooperative Extension Service September 2011 Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 3 Acknowledgments The authors acknowledge and thank all those who provided information and helped prepare this publication. Harry Djunaidi, research assistant, was instrumental in the undertaking of this study. He collected and analyzed data and prepared tables and graphs for the report. The assistance of Ron Matlock, County Extension Staff Chair in Saline County, is also greatly appreciated. He obtained county information that was critical to the study and provided helpful comments and suggestions. We wish to thank Linda Mayhood and Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association staff members Stacy Hoover and Mary Cotton, who administered a survey of Hot Springs Village residents. The information they collected, entered into a database and summarized provided some critical demographic and economic information needed for the completion of this study. We also greatly appreciate the comments and suggestions by members of the POA Governance Committee. Jerry Yeric, Jim Zahnd, Dick Breckon and Linda Mayhood provided initial suggestions for the study and provided comments and suggestions to improve the draft report. The committee also provided critical information on the Census Blocks that were not included in the defined area of the Hot Springs Village CDP. Ron Matlock also opened doors with Saline County officials, who provided information for the study on very short notice. We wish to thank Saline County officials Jim Crawford, Treasurer; Joy Ballard, Collector; Sandra McPherson, Treasurer; Gary Ballard, GIS Department and others in the Saline County office who took time to respond to our questions and provide needed information. Our thanks also go to Shannon Sharp in the Garland County Assessor’s office, who provided detailed information on assessments for the county, school districts and Hot Springs Village in a timely manner. Fountain Lake and Jessieville school district officials also provided information for this study in a timely manner, as did staff of the Assessment Coordination Department. We are also grateful to Laura Goforth, Associate Designer/Editor, who did the layout, editing and design of this report and to Chris Meux, Design Specialist, for designing the front and back covers. Your contributions to the report are greatly appreciated. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 5 Executive Summary The contribution of Hot Springs Village to the local economy, school districts and county governments is substantial. This economic activity adds $201 million of value to the local Garland and Saline county economy. Hot Springs Village generates employment opportunities and additional income for local residents and generates additional revenue for county governments and school districts. As Hot Springs Village grows, the contributions will also grow. In 2010 some 3,684 jobs and nearly $119 million in income were generated by the economic activities associated with Hot Springs Village. The population of Hot Springs Village continues to grow, increasing from an estimated 11,895 in 2004 to 13,748 in 2010. As the population of Hot Springs Village grows, household spending also increases and is the primary Hot Springs Village contribution to economic growth in the region. Household spending by Village residents and visitors generated 2,774 jobs and $156 million in value added in 2010. New residential construction in Hot Springs Village also increases the size of the local economy. New home construction increased significantly during the 1990s and remained strong from 2000 to 2007. There were a total of 997 new housing units built in the six-year period from 2004 to 2010. This new home construction generates an average of 518 jobs per year and annual income of $16.7 million with about $24 million of value added to the local economy. As new homes are built on previously purchased lots, residential construction will continue to provide a substantial contribution to employment and income of local residents. Although substantial, investment in site and infrastructure becomes a smaller share of Hot Springs Village’s contribution to the local economy as the population of Hot Springs Village increases. Infrastructure development generated 66 jobs and $2.2 million additional income in 2010. This adds $2.8 million of value added to the local economy. Although the population of Hot Springs Village is less than seven percent of the total population of Garland and Saline counties, Hot 6 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas Springs Village property tax assessments account for 13 percent of total assessments in the two counties. Hot Springs Village property owners paid an estimated $16.1 million in real and personal property taxes in 2010. Of this, $13.6 million went to the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts and $2.5 million went to the Garland and Saline county governments. Both the county governments and the school districts benefit from Hot Springs Village. Revenue received from Hot Springs Village residents, visitors and property owners more than pays for the cost of services provided by county governments. It is estimated that Hot Springs Village residents paid a total of nearly $3 million in property and sales taxes to the Garland and Saline county governments in FY2010. Cost of services provided to Hot Springs Village residents is estimated to be nearly $900,000, leaving a net benefit to the two county governments of $2.1 million. Saline County receives a much larger share of the net benefit from Hot Springs Village residents primarily because the county relies more heavily on the property tax to generate local revenue. Both county governments will benefit from future growth of Hot Springs Village because residents pay county sales and property taxes that generate revenue without significant cost to the county governments. Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts are major beneficiaries of Hot Springs Village. Net benefits accruing to the two school districts are estimated at nearly $11 million for FY2010. Nearly 80 percent of these net benefits accrue to the Fountain Lake School District. Hot Springs Village property owners paid approximately $13.6 million in property taxes to the two school districts, with only 467 students from Hot Springs Village attending these two school districts. Hot Springs Village contributes substantially to the private and public sectors of Garland and Saline counties. As Hot Springs Village grows, Garland and Saline counties will reap substantial benefits from the new jobs created, income generated and local tax revenue paid by residents and property owners. revenue to the Fountain Lake and Jessieville school districts. Summary Highlights Economic Contribution to Garland/Saline County Economy • Hot Springs Village residents and visitors generate 3,684 jobs and add $201 million to the local economy. The contribution includes the following activities: Infrastructure Development generates 66 jobs and $2.8 million in value added. • The pro-rated expenses for the 467 students from Hot Springs Village attending Fountain Lake and Jessieville school districts are $2.6 million. • The net benefit to the Fountain Lake and Jessieville school districts is $10.9 million. Fiscal Contribution to County Governments New Home Construction generates 518 jobs and $24 million in value added. • Hot Springs Village property owners, residents and visitors pay an estimated $2.96 million in property and sales taxes that go to the Garland and Saline county governments. • The pro-rated expenses for county government services provided to Hot Springs Village residents are estimated to be $0.9 million. • The net benefit to the Garland and Saline county governments is $2 million. Hot Springs Village resident spending generates 2,774 jobs and $156 million in value added. Medicare spending generates 326 jobs and $18 million in value added. Fiscal Contribution to School Districts • Hot Springs Village property owners contribute $13.5 million in property tax Economic Contribution to Garland/Saline County Economy Activity Initial Expenditure (Million $) Infrastructure Development Total Jobs Created 4.6 New Home Construction HSV Resident Expenditures Medicare Reimbursement Total Effect Labor Income (Million $) 66 2.2 Total Value Added (Million $) 2.8 43.1 518 16.7 24.0 324.0 2,774 85.7 156.6 24.6 326 14.3 18.3 396.3 3,684 118.8 201.7 Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. Fiscal Contribution to School Districts Region Property Tax Revenue (HSV) Fountain Lake Jessieville Total $10,091,771 $3,473,308 $13,565,079 HSV Residents’ Share of Expenses $1,393,680 $1,278,029 $2,671,709 Net Benefits From HSV $8,698,091 $2,195,279 $10,893,370 Fiscal Contribution to County Governments Region Garland Saline Total Property Tax Revenue (HSV) $516,422 $2,014,818 $2,532,240 Sales Tax Revenue (HSV) $430,777 -- $430,777 HSV Residents’ Share of Expenses $380,602 $496,505 $877,108 Net Benefits From HSV $566,597 $1,518,313 $2,084,909 Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 7 Profile of Hot Springs Village Hot Springs Village is a planned recreation/ retirement community nestled in the Ouachita Mountain Foothills of central Arkansas, straddling Garland and Saline counties. Hot Springs Village lies 50 miles southwest of Little Rock where urban amenities are readily available. Hot Springs, a resort community 15 miles to the south, offers a wide array of entertainment opportunities, state-of-theart health facilities and the nation’s only urban national park. Hot Springs Village’s 11 recreation Figure 1. Map of Central Arkansas 8 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas lakes and forested foothills provide scenic vistas and abundant outdoor recreational opportunities. A large majority of Hot Springs Village residents moved to the community from states other than Arkansas and bring financial resources, expertise and experience with them. In this study we estimate the economic and fiscal impact that Hot Springs Village and its residents have on Garland and Saline counties. Past and Current Development Development of Hot Springs Village was begun in 1970. Cooper Communities, Inc., based in Bella Vista, Arkansas, developed Hot Springs Village as a planned recreation/retirement community. Many residential areas have been developed and facilities built to provide a unique living environment for residents and wide-ranging recreational opportunities for property owners. Facilities Cooper Communities, Inc. built most of the facilities and developed most of the infrastructure of Hot Springs Village. Once built, the facilities were turned over to the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association (HSVPOA), Inc. to maintain and manage. However, the HSVPOA also invests in the public infrastructure to provide needed services to Hot Springs Village residents. Cooper Communities, Inc. and the Property Owners Association have invested nearly $185 million to develop the land and build recreational facilities, utilities and roads. The infrastructure includes numerous recreational facilities which are an integral part of Hot Springs Village. These facilities, and a scenic environment, have attracted a growing population wanting the lifestyle these facilities make possible. Cooper Communities, Inc. and the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association have also constructed other public facilities, roads and utilities to provide residents with the infrastructure, public safety and utilities needed for a community of 13,748 people in 2010. These include public safety facilities, fire trucks and approximately 499 miles of roads, 476 of which are paved. The Property Owners Association is responsible for maintaining and operating facilities and infrastructure. Funds to maintain these facilities come from a monthly assessment fee paid by property owners and user fees for such things as recreational facilities, ambulance service and utilities. User fees are charged for golf courses and other recreational facilities, with nonproperty owners paying substantially more than property owners. Capital Improvements The Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association spent $22.6 million on the expansion and maintenance of utilities and another $5 million on street maintenance from 2005 through 2010. Some of the major investments include a water plant (wastewater) expansion, pump stations, upgrades of water treatment plants and sewer lift stations. Other infrastructure improvements include such things as water and sewer extensions, dam maintenance and improvement of electrical and other utilities. Commercial Development In addition to the investment in public infrastructure in Hot Springs Village, there has been substantial commercial development in response to increased demand for goods and services by Hot Springs Village residents. The Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association has issued 52 building permits for commercial buildings since 1998. Sixteen of these building permits were issued between 2005 and 2010. Land Use Hot Springs Village covers 26,014 acres (Figure 2). While a substantial proportion of the land area is devoted to residential lots, a significant proportion is common or reserve property, covered by lakes or used for golf courses. Approximately 42 percent of the land area is devoted to residential housing, while 36 percent is common and reserve property and another 13 percent is covered by lakes and used for golf courses. Figure 2. Land Use in Hot Springs Village Source: Graph constructed using data provided by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 9 Common property, which includes recreational facilities, permanent parks and green belts, uses 29 percent of the land area. Reserve property, which is owned by the developer and given or sold to enhance the value of Hot Springs Village, accounts for seven percent of the land area. Common and reserve property, lakes and golf courses combined utilize nearly one-half of the land area in the Village. Table 1. Infrastructure and Facilities Constructed, Hot Springs Village Infrastructure Development DeSoto Golf Course DeSoto Club, Pro Shop & Fitness Center 1971-1995 1996-2004 604,271 1,367,456 1,971,727 1,154,202 1,032,617 2,186,819 24,090 24,090 386,000 386,000 DeSoto walking trail renovation DeSoto Beach area, 17 acres DeSoto Park 35,000 DeSoto Marina 35,000 Coronado Recreational Complex 2005-2010 35,000 24,880 59,880 1,961,927 Coronado Golf Course 800,466 Coronado Pro Shop 215,108 Total Cost 1,961,927 800,466 93,964 309,072 547,595 547,595 22,595 22,595 Coronado Library 303,297 303,297 Coronado Center parking lots 149,352 149,352 Coronado tennis courts Coronado RV camping park Cortez Pro Shop Cortez Pavilion 300,000 300,000 35,000 35,000 Cortez golf maintenance bldg. addition 29,517 29,517 Cortez Fire House addition 78,340 78,340 Cortez Golf Course 702,843 702,843 Balboa Golf Course 1,814,478 1,814,478 Balboa Clubhouse & Pro Shop 2,084,200 2,084,200 Balboa Pavilion 505,442 505,442 Balboa Fire House 275,200 275,200 70,500 70,500 2,724,051 2,724,051 30,415 2,030,415 Balboa parking/boat ramp Magellan Golf Course Ponce Deleon Club & Golf Course 2,000,000 Diamante Golf Course 8,100,000 8,100,000 Granada Golf Course 6,931,657 6,931,657 Isabella Golf Course 5,618,400 5,618,400 522,119 2,722,119 284,180 284,180 Woodland Auditorium 2,200,000 Public safety Fire trucks Road construction & maintenance Land development & other facilities 331,362 30,681,744 15,110,876 331,362 5,022,470 50,815,090 9,106,007 722,736 Utility construction & maintenance 29,655,513 29,025,510 22,602,535 81,283,558 9,828,743 Total Infrastructure Costs 91,485,759 66,212,151 27,625,005 185,322,915 Source: 1971-1995 data were provided by Cooper Communities, Inc. and 1996-2010 data were provided by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. 10 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas While 2,354 acres in Hot Springs Village remains unplatted, there are no immediate plans to plat this land for residential or commercial development. Lot Sales 34,146 lots have been sold in Hot Springs Village since Cooper Communities, Inc., began developing Hot Springs Village in 1970. Over the 24-year period from 1970 to 2004, an average of nearly 1,000 lots per year were sold (Figure 3). Most of the lot development and sales occurred in the 1970s and 1980s. New lot sales declined significantly in the 1990s, and very few new lots have been sold from 2005 to 2010. According to figures provided by Hot Springs Village, less than 100 new lots were sold for the six-year period since 2005. While new lot sales will be minimal, existing lots will continue to be purchased and sold. These sales will provide jobs and income to appraisers, realtors and others associated with the housing industry but will not have the economic impact associated with new lot sales. Figure 3. Total Lots and New Lots Sold In the 1970s and 1980s, new lot sales brought in substantial revenue to the developer. Residential Construction While new lot sales have slowed considerably since 1992, new home construction increased significantly during the 1990s and remained strong from 2000 to 2007 (Figure 4). Since 2007 new home construction has declined substantially. According to the 2010 Census of Population, there were 8,546 housing units in Hot Springs Village compared to 6,297 housing units in 2000. This is an increase of 2,249 housing units, or 36 percent over this 10-year period. This translates to an average of 225 new housing units per year. However, most of this new home construction occurred from 2000 to 2007, as will be shown from data on building permits issued by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. Figure 4. New Home Construction, 1977-2010 Source: 1970-1995 data are from Cooper Communities, Inc. and 1996 to 2010 data are from the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. Figures are based on the net new building permits issued. The Property Owners Association building permit records indicate that there have been 8,377 building permits issued in Hot Springs Village since 1970. This is 169 fewer building permits issued than housing units, according to the 2010 Census of Population. This is to be expected, since building permits are issued for townhouses as well as single family homes. Since townhouses have multiple housing units and the Census counts housing units, it is expected that there would be fewer building permits issued than the number of housing units in Hot Springs Village. Since yearly data are available for building permits issued and cost data are available for buildings, the building permits data are used to estimate the economic contribution of new home construction. The building permits data indicate that 1,759 new housing units were constructed from 2000 to 2010, or an increase of approximately 26 percent. The number of new housing construction permits issued from 2005 to 2010 was 997, or 166 per year. This is a 15 percent increase over a six-year period. Most of the new homes constructed are in the Saline County area of Hot Springs Village. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 11 While the number of new homes constructed has varied from year to year, an average of 211 housing units has been built per year since construction began in 1971 (Figure 5). Just 81 houses were built in 1982 compared to a high of 453 houses in 1993. New home construction was highest during the 1990s when an average of 296 new homes were constructed per year. Since 2000 there has been an annual average of 176 new homes constructed. However, only 225 building permits have been issued since 2007. Figure 5. New Home Construction by Type, 1977-2010 Source: 1970-1995 data are from Cooper Communities, Inc. and 1996 to 2010 data are from the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. Figures are based on the net new building permits issued. More than 92 percent of these housing units are free-standing single-family homes. The other 8 percent are townhouses. Since 2004 only 33 building permits were issued for townhouses and none after 2006. Population Growth Hot Springs Village remains one of the fastest growing communities in Arkansas. Although not growing as fast as northwest Arkansas or Faulkner, Lonoke and Saline counties in central Arkansas, the population of Hot Springs Village grew by 29 percent from 2000 to 2010. While the population of Hot Springs Village grew at a faster rate than Garland County and the state average of 9 percent, it grew slower than in Saline County. The population of Hot Springs Village grew at a similar rate as the combined Garland and Saline county populations. According to the 2010 Census, all of this growth has occurred in the Saline County area of Hot Springs Village. The Saline County area of Hot Springs Village grew by 62 percent from 2000 to 2010, whereas the 12 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas Garland County population of Hot Springs Village grew only 11 percent. 13,748 people called Hot Springs Village their home in 2010 compared to 10,650 in 2000 (Figure 6). In addition to these residents, others reside in Hot Springs Village for short periods of time. Some people have a second home in Hot Springs Village and may spend a few months there, although not calling it their permanent residence. Others visit Hot Springs Village using their timeshares or rent a home or condominium. Figure 6. Hot Springs Village Population, 1970-2010 Source: Census of Population and Population Estimates, U.S. Bureau of Census. The population of Hot Springs Village is about 6.8 percent of the total population of Garland and Saline counties. This is a slight increase from 2004 and a substantial increase from 1990 when Hot Springs Village accounted for less than five percent of the total population of Garland and Saline counties (Figure 7). Figure 7. Hot Springs Village Population as Percent of Garland and Saline Counties Source: Computed from Census of Population and Population Estimates, U.S. Bureau of Census and population estimates of Hot Springs Village. Although the population of Hot Springs Village is small compared to the population of Garland and Saline counties as a whole, it accounted for about 10 percent of population growth in the two counties from 2000 to 2010. Population Characteristics The people living in Hot Springs Village are older, have more formal education and have higher home values than most people living in Garland and Saline counties and in Arkansas. Median household income in Hot Springs Village is somewhat higher than in Arkansas and Garland County but slightly less in Saline County. some college or technical education. In Saline and Garland counties, only about 85 percent of the residents 25 years of age and older have a high school education, and approximately one-half have some college or technical education. Figure 9. Share of Population 17 and Younger The median age of people living in Hot Springs Village is 67 years compared to 44 in Garland County and 39 in Saline County. Over half (57 percent) of the population in Hot Springs Village is 65 years of age or older compared to just 21 percent in Garland County and 15 percent in Saline County (Figure 8). Figure 8. Population 65 and Older The older population means fewer school-age children per household than the average for Garland and Saline counties. In 2009, only 7 percent of the people living in Hot Springs Village were younger than 18 years of age compared to 21 percent in Garland County and 24 percent in Saline County (Figure 9). Of the 46,232 living in Garland and Saline counties, only 867, or 2 percent, live in Hot Springs Village. In 2010, 652 children living in Hot Springs Village were enrolled in kindergarten through high school. Most of these children attended either the Jessieville or Fountain Lake schools. Ott (1987)1 estimated that retirees moving to Garland County have an average net worth of $215,000. While comparable figures for 2010 are not available, anecdotal evidence suggests that the average household net worth is higher than the average for Arkansas. This wealth often translates into more expensive homes and higher property taxes paid to county governments and local school districts. In 2010, the median value of homes in the Hot Springs Village Census Designated Place (CDP) was $166,600 compared to $122,300 in Garland County and $123,100 in Saline County. The median value of homes in Hot Springs Village is approximately 1.4 times the value of homes in Garland and Saline counties and 1.7 times the median home value in Arkansas (Figure 10). Figure 10. Median Value of Homes More than 95 percent of Hot Springs Village residents 25 years of age and older have at least a high school education, and over two-thirds have Source:American Community Survey, 2005-2009. 1 Ott, J.A. (1987) Economic Study of the Retirement Community. Arkadelphia, Arkansas: School of Business, Henderson State University. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 13 Hot Springs Village residents have higher median household incomes than in the state of Arkansas and Garland County), although less than in Saline County. Much of this income comes from outside the state, and when spent in Garland and Saline counties, increases the size of the local economies. In 2009, the median household income of Hot Springs Village residents was $43,510 versus $38,542 in Arkansas, $36,454 in Garland County and $51,082 in Saline County (Figure 11). Figure 11. Median Household Income, 2009 Source: American Community Survey, 2005-2009. The average (mean) income of Hot Springs Village households in 2009 was $53,628, which is substantially higher than the median. This means there are some households in Hot Springs Village with substantially higher incomes than the median. The source of household income also varies between Hot Springs Village and other Garland and Saline county residents. Since the median age of Hot Springs Village residents is much higher than residents of Garland and Saline counties, it is not surprising that 81 percent of adults responding to a Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association survey indicated they considered themselves retired, and 87 percent said retirement income is their primary source of income. Retirement income accounts for an average of 82 percent of all household income of those responding to this question on the questionnaire. In addition to this retirement income, 953 households, or about 23 percent of the households in the survey, reported receiving income from interest, dividends or rental income. 14 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas These households indicate they receive from 1 percent to 100 percent of their income from this source, or an average of 18 percent. Both retirement income and earnings on investments are received from outside the region. Only 18 percent of the households in the survey reported receiving wage and salary income. Less than 9 percent of the households responding to this question said that income from wages and salaries was their primary source of income. Even fewer households in Hot Springs Village receive public assistance. Less than 1 percent of the households in the survey said public assistance was their primary income source, and only 66 households reported receiving some public assistance. This is less than 2 percent of all households in thesurvey. Households in Hot Springs Village receive a much larger share of their income from retirement income and earnings on investments compared to other households in Garland and Saline counties and the state of Arkansas. Therefore, much of their income comes from outside the state of Arkansas. Income received from sources outside the region and spent in Saline and Garland counties stimulates the local economy, similar to spending by employees of a manufacturing firm that sells goods or services outside the local area. Profile Summary Most of the residents of Hot Springs Village moved to this recreation/retirement community from other states and bring their wealth and income with them. Hot Springs Village residents on average have more wealth and income than the average county resident. They also have more formal education and work experience, more expensive homes, higher incomes and fewer school-age children than the average county resident. To the extent that they spend their wealth and income in Garland and Saline counties, they generate additional jobs and income for local residents and pay taxes which support local schools and county governments. In the next section of this report, the economic impact of Hot Springs Village on the Garland and Saline County economies is estimated. Administration and Services Property Owners Association The Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association was formed to promote the health, safety and welfare of the residents. To accomplish these goals, the Property Owners Association: • owns, acquires, builds, operates and maintains recreational facilities • provides municipal services • fixes, levies and collects all charges and assessments of Hot Springs Village The municipal services provided by the Property Owners Association include police, fire, water, sanitation, recycling and sewer. To provide these services and to maintain facilities, the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association employs about 500 people during the high season (April to September) and about 400 people from October to March. The Property Owners Association also maintains architectural control over new residential construction. Permits are required for the construction of any building, fence, wall or other structure erected in Hot Springs Village. While Cooper Communities, Inc., built most community facilities and turned them over to the Property Owners Association (POA) to maintain, the POA constructed utility infrastructure in subdivisions and added to recreational facilities. Between 2005 and 2010, the Property Owners Association spent $22.6 million to upgrade utilities and maintain facilities of Hot Springs Village and $5 million on street maintenance. The total investments made by Cooper Communities, Inc., and the POA are presented in Table 1 on page 10. As Cooper Communities, Inc., decreases its new investments in the Hot Springs Village infrastructure, the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association is taking more responsibility for expanding and maintaining the Hot Springs Village infrastructure to support residents. The per-month lot assessment fee pays for some of the cost of municipal services provided by the Property Owners Association. The costs of operating and maintaining recreational facilities are offset as much as possible by user fees. The Community Facilities maintained by the Property Owners Association include: • 499 miles of roads • Tennis center with 13 courts • Water and sewer facilities • Pickleball courts • Eight 18-hole golf courses and one 27-hole golf course • Game areas • Clubs and restaurants • Nine golf shops • Outdoor swimming pool • 11 lakes • Fitness center with a 25-meter pool • Community center • Recreational vehicle park • Auditorium • 36 miles of multipurpose trails Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 15 Planned Community Stimulates Growth of Local Economy Just as new manufacturing facilities or tourism stimulate growth of the local economy, so do planned recreation/retirement communities that attract households that bring their wealth and retirement incomes. Both the private and public sectors benefit from an influx of residents who receive income from sources outside the community. These residents pay taxes to local governments and school districts and purchase goods and services from local merchants.. Private Sector Benefits The private sector benefits from a planned recreation/retirement community that attracts residents, visitors and tourists from outside Arkansas in several ways. • The developer uses its resources to develop the site, construct facilities and bring people to visit the community. • New residents construct homes and purchase goods and services from local businesses. Temporary residents also purchase goods and services from local businesses. In the above activities, dollars flow from outside the community to local businesses. This spending of dollars from outside the community stimulates additional spending and economic activity. Some of the money is used to hire additional workers to construct facilities and residences or to provide goods and services demanded by the developer, new residents and visitors. Thus additional jobs are created and local residents’ incomes increase. In the early stages of a planned recreation/ retirement community, the greatest economic impact comes from land development and the construction of Hot Springs Village infrastructure. 16 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas As the planned community matures, new home construction and household spending provide most of the economic impact. In a mature community, household spending becomes the largest source of the economic impact. Hot Springs Village is a large and growing community where household spending and new home construction provide the greatest economic impact. Public Sector Benefits County governments and school districts are major beneficiaries of tax revenue generated by planned communities. Local governments receive sales tax revenue from Hot Springs Village residents, visitors and developers who purchase goods and services from local businesses. In addition, all Hot Springs Village property owners pay property taxes, which provide additional tax dollars for county governments and school districts. School districts, in particular, benefit from Hot Springs Village. The primary source of local revenue for financing elementary and secondary schools is the property tax. An influx of people who build homes, but have few school-age children, provides school districts with added revenue without the cost of educating more students. To the extent that services such as road construction, maintenance and repair and police are provided and paid for by the recreation/retirement community, the financial burden on the county is not increased. The public sector also benefits greatly from the volunteer hours provided to community organizations by Hot Springs Village residents. Schools, hospitals, churches and civic organizations all benefit from the time, expertise and charitable contributions provided by Hot Springs Village residents. Economic Benefits Direct, Indirect and Induced Effects Three types of economic effects (direct, indirect and induced) are derived from a recreation/retirement community which attracts residents and visitors from outside the local area. Direct, indirect and induced effects of retiree spending are shown in Figure 12. Direct effects result from spending dollars earned outside the area to purchase goods and services from local businesses. The developer, Hot Springs Village residents and visitors all have direct economic impacts on Saline and Garland counties because they spend money to construct buildings and facilities and purchase goods and services from local businesses. Indirect effects are production changes in backward linked industries caused by an increase in demand for their goods and services. For example, new residents of Hot Springs Village may hire a contractor to build them a new home. The contractor purchases construction materials from local businesses and may hire subcontractors Figure 12. Direct, Indirect and Induced Effects of Retiree Spending Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 17 to complete some of the work. This spending by contractors generates indirect effects (new jobs and additional income) in the local businesses that supply the contractor. Induced effects result from an increase in spending by new employees who were hired because of the increased demand for goods and services by the Hot Springs Village developer, residents and visitors. For example, a contractor hired to build a new home in Hot Springs Village would hire workers to construct the home. The businesses selling construction materials to the contractor may also need to hire new workers to meet the increased demand. The new construction workers and the new employees of the businesses that supply the contractor purchase goods and services from local businesses. This increased spending, which creates additional jobs and income for local residents, is called the induced effect. Direct effects are estimated using figures provided by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association and secondary sources of household income and consumer and tourist expenditure patterns. The IMPLAN economic input-output model is used to estimate the indirect and induced effects once the direct effects have been identified. The direct, indirect and induced effects are calculated and reported in terms of: 1. Employment 2. Wage, salary and proprietor income 3. Value added Value added is the total contribution of a business or industry to the economy. The sum of value added for all businesses in the state is the Gross State Product. Value added is the sum of employee, owner and property income plus indirect business taxes. Another method of calculating value added is to subtract the purchase price of inputs (excluding labor costs) from the selling price. A summary of the total economic contribution of Hot Springs Village to the local economy, including Garland and Saline counties, in 2010 is presented in Table 2. 3,684 jobs were created in Garland and Saline counties as a result of economic activities related to Hot Springs Village. The owners and employees of these benefiting businesses receive nearly $119 million in wage, salary and proprietor income, and $201 million of value is added to the area economy by this economic activity. The economic impacts of site and infrastructure development, new home construction, Medicare reimbursements and resident spending are described in more detail on the following pages. Site and Infrastructure Development Site development and construction activities have one-time impacts on the local economy and are considered separately from resident spending, which is a recurring expenditure. Approximately $185 million in capital expenditures have been invested in Hot Springs Village since its inception in 1971. Of this amount, $27.6 million has been spent on developing the infrastructure of Hot Springs Village from 2005 to 2010. This equates to $4.6 million in capital expenditures per year. The infrastructure investments during the past six years include the Table 2. Economic Contribution of Hot Springs Village on Garland and Saline Counties - 2010 Initial Expenditure (Million $) Total Jobs Created Wage, Salary & Proprietor Income (Million $) Total Value Added (Million $) 4.6 66 2.2 2.8 43.1 518 16.7 24.0 324.0 2,774 85.7 156.6 Medicare Reimbursement 24.6 326 14.3 18.3 Total Effect 396.3 3,648 118.8 201.7 Activity Infrastructure Development New Home Construction HSV Resident Expenditures Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. 18 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas maintenance of golf courses, roads and other facilities for common use as well as construction and maintenance of utilities. To compute the annual economic impact, we use the average yearly infrastructure development and construction costs of $4.6 million for the period from 2005 to 2010 as the direct effect. Annualizing the infrastructure costs over a six-year period permits us to estimate the yearly economic impacts on the local economy. Using the IMPLAN model (see appendix 6, page 34), we estimate that 47 workers are required to complete the annual construction activities (Table 3). These workers and the owners received income of $1.5 million related to these construction activities. Table 3. Economic Contribution of Infrastructure Development - 2010 Impact Type Direct Effect Employment Labor Income Value Added 47 1,517,746 1,724,948 Indirect Effect 9 335,322 487,801 Induced Effect 10 317,415 578,874 Total Effect 66 2,170,483 2,791,623 Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. Another nine jobs are created in the firms supplying materials and services for site development and construction, with additional wage, salary and proprietor income of $0.3 million. As a result of new employee spending for goods and services, an additional 10 jobs and $0.3 million in income are generated in the wholesale, retail and service sectors. The total economic impact of site development and infrastructure construction results in 66 jobs for Garland and Saline counties and an additional $2.2 million in wage, salary and proprietor income to local residents. Total value added to the two-county area as a result of this infrastructure development is $2.8 million. Hot Springs Village Residents Residents of Hot Springs Village also have three types of economic impacts on the Garland and Saline county economy and a non-monetary contribution that improves the quality of life for residents of Garland and Saline counties. The monetary contributions include new home construction, resident and visitor spending and Medicare funding received by providers of health care for Hot Springs Village residents. Home Construction There were 997 building permits issued for new housing construction from 2005 to 2010, which is an average of 166 housing units per year. To estimate the economic contribution of new home construction on the local economy in 2010, we use the six-year average of 166 housing units constructed. This is double the number of new housing units constructed in 2010, but provides a more realistic estimate of the annual contribution of housing over this period. New home construction costs are estimated to average from a low of $234,272 in 2009 to a high of $369,809 in 2008. Using $259,331 as the average construction cost for a new home, the total construction cost for these 166 new homes is estimated to be $43 million. This is the direct effect which is used to estimate the indirect and induced effects of new home construction. The construction of these 166 new homes is estimated to provide 287 construction jobs and $9.3 million income to workers and proprietors of the construction firms (Table 4). This new home construction will generate additional jobs and income in the industries which supply goods and services to the construction industry and in local businesses which sell goods and services to the households receiving income from the constructionrelated activities. Including these multiplier effects, the new home construction activities generate a Table 4. Economic Contribution of New Home Construction - 2010 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Value Added Direct Effect 287 9,335,761 12,219,450 Indirect Effect 153 4,907,912 7,340,356 Induced Effect 79 2,434,474 4,438,290 518 16,678,147 23,998,096 Total Effect Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 19 total of 518 jobs and $16.7 million in income to the employees and owners of businesses affected by the construction industry. The value added to the Garland and Saline county economy from new home construction is $24 million. Residents’ Expenditures To estimate the economic impact of Hot Springs Village residents’ expenditures on the local economy, we first estimate the number of occupied housing units on average throughout the year. This estimate includes permanent and temporary residents, including visitors to Hot Springs Village. Second we estimate the percent of residents who moved to Hot Springs Village from outside Garland and Saline counties. The spending by households who moved to Hot Springs Village from within the two-county area is not new to the area and, therefore, is not included in computing the economic impact. Next, we estimate annual household expenditures and the percent spent in Garland and Saline counties. Finally we estimate the multiplier effects of this spending on the local economy. We estimate that there were 8,546 housing units in Hot Springs Village in 2010 (see page 10 of this report). The 2010 census reported that 83 percent of the housing units were occupied in 2010. Using this percent, it is estimated that 7,108 housing units were occupied in 2010. Information from the Property Owners Association survey of new residents and the recent Hot Springs Village survey of 4,125 households suggests that 98 percent of the households in Hot Springs Village came from outside Garland and Saline counties. Approximately 90 percent of Hot Springs Village residents are permanent residents of Hot Springs Village. We assume the temporary residents, including visitors, are not from Garland or Saline counties, and their entire spending is new to the region. Using household income information obtained from the American Community Survey and the Hot Springs Village 2010 survey of residents, we estimate the expenditure patterns of Hot Springs Village households from the Consumer Expenditure Survey which is conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The share of these expenditures 20 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas that are made in Garland and Saline counties is estimated using information from the Hot Springs Village 2010 survey and the IMPLAN economic input-output model. The average household income of the 7,108 households in Hot Springs Village in 2010 was $53,628. Therefore, total household income of these households is approximately $381 million. Of this total household income it is estimated that disposable income is $324 million, or 85 percent of total income. It is estimated that temporary residents and recreational and seasonal visitors spend another $26 million in the local two-county economy. Therefore, permanent and temporary residents of Hot Springs Village spend $350 million per year. The share of these expenditures spent in Garland and Saline counties is estimated using information obtained from the Hot Springs Village 2010 survey and the IMPLAN model. The total resident and visitor spending in Garland and Saline counties generates 2,774 jobs for the region, provides income of nearly $86 million to workers and adds over $156 million of value added to the combined Garland and Saline county economy (Table 5). Table 5. Economic Contribution of Hot Springs Village Resident and Visitor Spending - 2010 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Value Added Direct Effect 1,982 $62,537,170 $115,105,770 Indirect Effect 387 $10,804,669 $18,955,247 Induced Effect 405 $12,407,334 $22,583,989 2,774 $85,749,173 $156,645,007 Total Effect Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. Medicare Spending In addition to the direct spending by Hot Springs Village residents, some of their medical expenses are paid by Medicare. Therefore, we estimate the Medicare dollars that flow into Garland and Saline County health care facilities that can be attributed to Hot Springs Village residents and add this to direct resident spending before calculating the total economic impact. Since we do not have information on the value of Medicare spending for Hot Springs Village residents in the two-county area, we must estimate the Medicare spending in 2010 attributable to Hot Springs Village residents. First, we estimate the number of Hot Springs Village residents who are enrolled in the Medicare program. Second, we estimate the average Medicare expense per Hot Springs Village resident enrolled in the Medicare program. Finally, we estimate the percentage of total Medicare expenditures given to Garland and Saline County health care providers. We estimate that 95 percent of people 65 years of age and older living in Hot Springs Village are enrolled in the Medicare program. The 2010 Population Census reports that 58 percent or 7,984 people living in Hot Springs Village are in this age category. It is estimated that the average Medicare expense per enrollee in Arkansas was $7,624 in 2010. However, a large proportion of Medicare expenditures occur to people in poor health and during the last year of life. Since many Hot Springs Village residents are healthier and more physically active than the average person in the 65 years and older age group, we estimate that Medicare expenditures per enrollee are about one-half of the average for Arkansas. Using information from the Hot Springs 2010 survey, we estimate that 85 percent of Medicare expenses went to providers in Garland and Saline counties. Using these assumptions, we estimate that approximately $24.6 million of Medicare funds attributable to Hot Springs Village residents were given to health care providers in Garland and Saline counties in 2010. It is estimated that this spending, including multiplier effects, created 299 jobs, provided these workers with approximately $14.3 million in income and added over $18.2 million of value to the local economy (Table 6). As a result of this spending by Hot Springs Village residents, we estimate a total of 2,458 jobs are created either directly or indirectly in Garland and Saline counties in the retail, wholesale and service sectors. This spending generates additional income of $61.4 million and a total value added to the local economy of $113.3 million, a substantial contribution (Table 7). As the number of residents increases and as more local shops open, the economic impact will increase proportionally. Table 6. Economic Contribution of Medicare Spending - 2010 Impact Type Employment Labor Income Value Added Direct Effect 207 $10,841,037 $11,966,635 Indirect Effect 52 $1,369,038 $2,549,265 Induced Effect 67 $2,054,484 $3,736,455 326 $14,264,559 $18,252,355 Total Effect Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. Table 7. Economic Contribution of Hot Springs Village - 2010 Impact Type Direct Effect Employment Labor Income Value Added 2,522 $84,231,715 $141,016,804 Indirect Effect 600 $17,416,940 $29,332,669 Induced Effect 562 $117,213,707 $31,337,608 3,684 $118,862,362 $201,687,081 Total Effect Copyright 2011 Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 21 Current Fiscal Impacts Hot Springs Village has significant impacts on revenues and expenditures of: • Garland and Saline county governments • Jessieville and Fountain Lake School Districts In the next section, the additional revenues generated and expenses incurred as a result of having Hot Springs Village in the area are estimated. County Governments Garland and Saline County Revenues Garland and Saline County governments receive revenue from several sources to pay for their operations, including tax revenue, fees for services and intergovernmental revenues from state and federal governments. The property and local sales taxes are among the most important sources of local revenue. Saline County relies on the property tax to generate a substantial share of its local revenue whereas Garland County relies more heavily on the sales tax to generate local revenue. Together, the property and sales tax revenue account for 36 percent of total revenue in Garland County, and the property tax generates about 40 percent of total revenue of in Saline County. The local sales tax generates more revenue than the property tax in Garland County while Saline County has no sales tax. Garland County has a 0.5 percent sales tax which generated $7.8 million in 2010 for the Garland County government. Because of the large tourism industry in Garland County, nonresidents pay a substantial share of the sales tax. Saline County relies more heavily on the property tax to generate local revenue for county government operations than does Garland County. Saline County has a millage of 9.7 compared to the Garland County millage of 3.6, of which only 2.8 mills is collected by county government. The other 0.8 mills goes to Garland County Community College. The property tax generates only about 10 percent of total revenue for Garland County as compared to 40 percent in Saline County. 22 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas A third major source of revenue for counties is intergovernmental transfer of funds from the state of Arkansas and the federal government. Other sources of revenue include user fees, commissions, fines and interest on investments. In Garland and Saline counties, these sources provide approximately half of the total revenues for county governments. This revenue is generated from users of a service or from interest on a previous investment. Therefore, we do not include the expense of providing these services in this analysis. To compute the net cost of county government services to Hot Springs Village residents, we include only those costs for services used by Hot Springs Village residents (e.g., roads, public safety, health, recreation and culture and general operations). We do not include costs paid from user fees, interest, commissions and fines. Property Tax Although Garland County has a slightly larger property tax base from which to generate revenue, Saline County generates three times more property tax revenue. The reason is that the tax millage going to the Garland County government is 2.8 mills compared to 9.7 mills in Saline County. As a result, Hot Springs Village residents living in Garland County pay less property tax than residents living in Saline County with a similar home property value. Since the counties have a different mix of taxes, we compute the revenue generated by Hot Springs Village separately for the two counties. In 2009, Hot Springs Village residents and businesses had an assessed value of personal and real property of over $392 million. This is more than 1.4 times the assessed value in 2003. The assessed value of property in Hot Springs Village is 13 percent of the total assessed value of property in the two counties (Table 8). From 2003 to 2009, Saline County benefited most from the growth of Hot Springs Village. The assessed value of Hot Springs Village property in Saline County grew from $136 million in 2003 to nearly $208 million in 2009. This is a growth of 52 percent over this six-year period. The share of the assessed value of property in Hot Springs Village of the total assessed value in the county grew slightly from 14 percent to 15 percent during this period. The assessed value of Hot Springs Village property in Garland County grew by 30 percent during this six-year period from $136 million in 2003 to over $184 million in 2009. The increase in Hot Springs Village assessments greatly increases the tax revenue going to the local school districts. County governments benefit less from the increase in property assessments as the millage going to county government is only 3.6. The share of property assessments in the Garland County area of Hot Springs Village to total Garland County assessments has declined slightly during this period. Note that while Hot Springs Village accounts for 13 percent of the total assessed value of property in the two counties, the population of Hot Springs Village is only about 7 percent of the total population of Saline and Garland counties. In 2010, approximately 14 percent of the estimated property tax revenue of Garland and Saline counties came from Hot Springs Village property owners (Figure 13). Sales Tax The Garland County government generates about 25 percent of its revenue from a one-half cent county sales tax. Hot Springs Village residents and visitors pay a substantial share of this tax. The workers employed in Hot Springs Village-related businesses also pay a portion of this sales tax. Hot Springs Village residents probably pay at least as much or more of the sales tax than the average Garland County resident. Although the exact amount of sales tax paid by Hot Springs Village residents and employees of related Figure 13. Percent of County Property Tax Paid by Hot Springs Village Property Owners The estimated property tax revenue going to the Garland County government in 2010 is $4.4 million as compared to $13.6 million collected by the Saline County government. (Table 9). Of this $18 million going to the two county governments, an estimated $2.5 million comes from property owners in Hot Springs Village. The largest share of this ($2.0 million) goes to Saline County, and Garland County receives approximately $0.5 million. Table 8. County Property Tax Assessments, 2009 Region County – Total Hot Springs Village (HSV) Garland Saline Total $1,568,482,791 $1,402,708,894 $2,971,191,685 $184,436,382 $207,713,156 $392,149.538 12% 15% 13% HSV as Percent of Total Table 9. Estimated Property Tax Revenue for County Governments Region County – Total Hot Springs Village (HSV) HSV as Percent of Total Garland Saline Total $4,391,752 $13,606,276 $17,998,028 $516,422 $2,014,818 $2,531,239 12% 15% 14% Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 23 businesses is not known, it is estimated Hot Springs Village residents pay approximately $431,000 in sales tax per year, or roughly 5 percent of the $7.8 million total county sales tax revenue collected. There are several reasons for this assumption. Therefore, the additional highway turnback revenue generated by Hot Springs Village residents is only $67,165 in Garland County and $47,731 in Saline County in FY2010. The income of Hot Springs Village residents is higher than the average income of Garland County residents (see page 14), so they spend more than the average person. Studies indicate older people spend more of their money in the local area than younger people. A recent survey of Hot Springs Village residents supports this finding. The survey found that Hot Springs Village residents make on average 76 percent of their purchases in Garland County. This includes residents that live in both Garland and Saline counties. Garland County expenditures in 2010 are estimated to be approximately $30 million or $312 per resident compared to expenditures of $25.6 million and $239 per resident in Saline County. However, many of these expenses are paid from revenue sources other than local taxes, including state turnback funds, federal transfers, fees for services and court fines and fees. In addition it is estimated that visitors pay approximately 25 percent of the sales tax revenue collected. Therefore, expenses paid from local tax revenue collected from local residents is approximately $86 per person in Garland County and $116 per person in Saline County (see Appendix 5). State Turnback Revenue Garland and Saline counties each received approximately $2.4 million in Highway User Turnback Revenue in FY2010. Only a small share of this turnback revenue can be attributed to Hot Springs Village residents. This is due to the formula used in calculating highway turnback revenue which is: Highway Turnback Revenue = (County area (31%) + License fees (17.5% + Total population (17.5%) + Rural population (13.5%) + Equal distribution (20.5%)) Hot Springs Village residents increase the highway turnback revenue primarily because they increase the total population and pay license fees. However, these two factors only account for 35 percent of the total in calculating turnback revenue. The population of Hot Springs Village is 8 percent of Garland County’s population and 5.6 percent of Saline County’s population. County Expenses However, these figures may still overestimate the cost of county services to Hot Springs Village residents because the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association provides law enforcement, streets and roads, fire protection, sanitation and other utilities. Therefore, the Garland and Saline county governments do not have to provide these services for Hot Springs Village residents. Deducting law enforcement expenses, the estimated per capita county expenditures are $49 for Garland County residents and $82 for Saline County residents. With a population of 13,748, the Hot Springs Village residents’ estimated share of county government expenses was $877,108 in 2010 (Table 10). It is estimated that services provided to Garland County residents of Hot Springs Village Table 10, Estimated Net Benefits to County Governments Region Garland Saline Total Property Tax Revenue (HSV) $516,422 $2,014,818 $2,532,475 Sales Tax Revenue (HSV) $430,777 -- $430,777 HSV Residents’ Share of Expense $380,602 $496,505 $877,108 Net Benefits From HSV $566,597 $1,518,313 $2,084,909 24 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas cost $380,602 and services provided to Saline County residents of Hot Springs Village cost $496,505. These figures are calculated by multiplying the per-person expense for each county ($49 and $82) by the number of people living in the Garland and Saline county areas of Hot Springs Village. Net Benefits to Garland and Saline Counties Due to the growth of the Saline County area of Hot Springs Village, the financial benefits received by the Saline County government have increased considerably. The total net benefits going to the two counties increased about 35 percent from $1.55 million in 2004 to $2.1 million in 2010 (Table 10) (Figure 14), with most of this growth in Saline County. Saline County net benefits grew by 20 percent during this period due to a substantial increase in property assessments in the Saline County area of Hot Springs Village. The net benefits indicate that the residents of Hot Springs Village contribute more to county governments than the cost of services received. Figure 14. Net Benefits to Saline and Garland Counties School Districts Jessieville and Fountain Lake School District Revenues The property tax is the primary source of local revenue for the Fountain Lake and Jessieville school districts. The property tax provides 95 percent of local revenue for the Fountain Lake school district and 86 percent for Jessieville. However, local revenue provides only 83 percent of the revenue for Fountain Lake and less than half (49 percent) for Jessieville school districts. Both school districts receive approximately 81 percent of their property tax revenue from Hot Springs Village property owners. However, only 45 percent of the students attending Jessieville schools live in Hot Springs Village. An even greater disparity exists in the Fountain Lake School District. Property owners in Hot Springs Village contribute 81 percent of the property tax revenue for the school system, but they have only 14 percent of the students in the Fountain Lake schools. The estimated property tax revenue generated by the school districts is calculated by multiplying the total assessed value of property in each school district by the school district school millage. The total assessed value of property in the Jessieville school district in 2009 was $125 million, and the total school millage was 34 in 2010 (Table 11). Multiplying the $125 million by 34 mills ($34 per $1,000 of assessed value) equals nearly $3.5 million in expected revenue for Jessieville. Similarly total property assessments in the Fountain Lake school district were approximately $357 million in 2009, with a school district millage of 34.8. Multiplying the total assessments times the Fountain Lake school district millage yields estimated revenue of $10 million. Table 11, School District Property Assessments 2009 Region Fountain Lake Jessieville Total School District – Total $356,705,168 $125,162,856 $481,868,024 Hot Springs Village (HSV) $289,933,410 $102,156,127 $392,149,537 81.3% 81.6% 81,4% HSV Share of Total Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 25 Residents of Hot Springs Village live in either the Jessieville or Fountain Lake school district and, thus, Hot Springs Village property owners pay property tax that goes to either one or the other school district. As can be seen in Table 12, Hot Springs Village property owners contribute substantially more revenue to the Fountain Lake school district than to Jessieville. Calculation of the property tax revenue contributed by Hot Springs Village property owners is similar to calculations for the school district. The total assessed value of property of Hot Springs Village property owners in the Jessieville school district is multiplied by the millage (34) to obtain the estimated property tax revenue going to the Jessieville school district. The assessed value of property in the Jessieville school district of Hot Springs Village is $102 million. Multiplying the $102 million times the millage of 34 equals approximately $3.5 million or 81 percent of the property tax revenue received by the Jessieville school district (Table 12). A similar procedure is used to estimate the property tax revenue going to the Fountain Lake school district from Hot Springs Village property owners. Hot Springs Village property owners in the Fountain Lake school district had property assessments of $290 million in 2009, which is multiplied by the millage (34.8) to yield property tax revenue of nearly $10 million in 2010. This is 81 percent of the property tax revenue received by the Fountain Lake school district. As expected, both school systems benefit greatly from Hot Springs Village property owners. Hot Springs Village property owners pay approximately $3.5 million in property taxes to the Jessieville school district and $10 million to the Fountain Lake school district. School Costs Not only does Hot Springs Village generate revenue for the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts, but there are also costs associated with sending students living in the Village to these schools. Figures from the Arkansas Department of Education are used to calculate the cost of students from Hot Springs Village attending the Fountain Lake and Jessieville school districts. According to the Annual Statistical Reports for the 2009-2010 school year the per pupil expenditures for the Jessieville School District were $8,573 as compared to $10,214 for Fountain Lake. These figures are for current expenditures which include both operating and capital costs. While a large share of the property tax revenue for the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts comes from Hot Springs Village property owners, a much smaller proportion of the students attending these school districts come from Hot Springs Village. According to school district officials, 303 of the 890 students attending Jessieville schools during the 2010-2011 school year were from Hot Springs Village, and only 164 of the 1,213 students attending Fountain Lake schools were from Hot Springs Village. Therefore, only 22 percent of the students attending Jessieville and Fountain Lake schools are from Hot Springs Village, whereas Hot Springs Village property owners provide 81 percent of the property tax revenue for these two school districts combined (Figure 15). Using the per pupil expenditures of $8,573 and $10,214 for the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts, respectively, total costs for Table 12, Estimated Property Tax Revenue for School Districts From Hot Springs Village, 2009-2010 Region Fountain Lake Jessieville Total School District – Total $12,413,340 $4,255,537 $16,688,877 Hot Springs Village (HSV) $10,091,771 $3,473,308 $13,565,079 81.3% 81.6% 81,4% HSV Share of Total 26 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas students residing in Hot Springs Village are easily calculated. However, substantial funding for these schools comes from the state and federal governments. To calculate the local cost for each student, the per pupil expenditures are multiplied by the share of revenue that comes from local sources. The Jessieville school district receives considerably more funding per student from the state of Arkansas than does the Fountain Lake school district. The Jessieville School District receives less than half (49 percent) of its revenue from local sources compared to 83 percent for Fountain Lake Therefore, per pupil costs borne by county residents for the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts are $4,218 and $8,498, respectively. Using the local costs per student, the total local cost for the 303 students from Hot Springs Village attending Jessieville schools is nearly $1.3 million. Similarly, the total current expenses that are paid from local revenue for the 164 students attending Fountain Lake schools is $1.4 million. school districts benefit from the property tax revenue generated from Hot Springs Village, Fountain Lake receives a large share of the benefit. Not only does the Fountain Lake school district receive the greatest benefit, but the net benefit has increased the most rapidly. Net benefits received by the Fountain Lake school district nearly tripled between 1995 and 2010. This is because of the new home construction in the school district by families with few students. Figure 15. School District Property Tax Revenue and Students From Hot Springs Village Net Benefits to Jessieville and Fountain Lake School Districts Both school districts receive substantial monetary benefits from property owners of Hot Springs Village. After deducting the cost for Hot Springs Village students to attend Jessieville and Fountain Lake schools, the net benefits to the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts are approximately $2.2 million and $8.7 million, respectively (Table 13). Figure 16. Net Benefits to Fountain Lake and Jessieville School Districts As the population of Hot Springs Village grows, so do the benefits accruing to the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts (Figure 16). School districts benefit disproportionately from Hot Springs Village because there are few students living in Hot Springs Village in proportion to the value of property. Although both Table 13, Estimated Net Benefits to School Districts 2009-2010 Region Property Tax Revenue (HSV) Fountain Lake Jessieville Total $10,091,771 $3,473,308 $13,565,079 HSV Share of Expenses $1,393,680 $1,278,029 $2,671,708 Net Benefits From HSV $8,698,091 $2,195,280 $10,893,371 Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 27 Summary Both Saline and Garland county governments and the Jessieville and Fountain Lake school districts receive substantial monetary benefits from having Hot Springs Village within their boundaries. The total benefits that accrue to county governments and local school districts are estimated at $13 million. The county governments benefit because the county does not have to pay for the cost of constructing and maintaining roads, providing police and fire protection and other utilities which are provided by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association and paid from a monthly lot assessment fee. The county also benefits from a larger average value of property assessment per household and the resulting larger share of property taxes paid per household in Hot Springs Village. 28 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas Since the property tax is the primary source of local revenue for the school districts and since the residents of Hot Springs Village have more expensive homes and fewer school-age children than the average Garland and Saline county household, school districts are a substantial beneficiary of Hot Springs Village Schools. Civic organizations and the residents of Garland and Saline counties also benefit from the time and expertise of Hot Springs Village residents. Many Village residents volunteer their time and expertise to help improve the schools and the quality of life for Garland and Saline county residents. APPENDICES Appendix 1. Land Use –- Hot Springs Village Land Use Platted Unplatted Commercial POA Recreation Total Lots & Acreage Garland County Acreage Saline County Acreage Hot Springs Village Acreage 5,200 1,650 20 3,800 1,650 12,320 4,200 4,620 10 3,100 1,350 13,280 9,400 6,270 30 6,900 3,000 25,600 Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 29 Appendix 2. Living Units* and Property Owner Units YEAR FREE Timeshares/ Standing Townhouses Single Family Homes Year End Annual Cancellations Net New Construction 1977 Grand Total Housing Units Property Owner Lot Units 1,450 16,891 1978 46 190 236 1,686 18,104 1979 25 98 123 1,809 19,442 1980 29 35 64 1,873 20,440 62 62 1,935 21,385 1981 Commercial Buildings 1982 33 47 80 2,015 22,109 1983 40 126 166 2,181 23,425 1984 88 161 4 245 2,426 24,655 1985 80 188 8 260 2,686 26,126 1986 31 218 16 233 2,919 26,994 1987 5 206 8 203 3,122 27,373 1988 4 172 3 173 3,295 28,046 1989 7 225 4 228 3,523 28,847 1990 8 218 3 223 3,746 29,541 1991 8 210 4 214 3,960 29,853 1992 9 316 1 324 4,284 30,143 1993 2 453 7 448 4,732 30,337 1994 18 352 21 349 5,081 30,567 1995 9 272 11 270 5,351 30,780 1996 26 303 3 326 5,677 30,990 1997 22 279 10 291 5,968 31,606 1998 16 226 3 239 6,207 32,012 4 1999 21 217 4 234 6,441 32,507 4 2000 26 153 2 177 6,618 32,905 10 2001 12 147 4 155 6,773 33,271 3 2002 4 169 6 167 6,940 33,631 4 2003 15 173 1 187 7,127 34,043 7 2004 20 237 4 253 7,380 34,057 4 2005 18 242 0 260 7,640 34,082 5 2006 15 291 3 303 7,943 34,108 7 2007 0 219 10 209 8,152 34,129 0 2008 0 83 0 83 8,235 34,142 4 2009 0 63 1 62 8,297 34,146 0 2010 0 80 0 80 8,377 2005-2010 Total 33 978 14 997 637 6,431 141 6,927 Grand Total * Based on Building Permits Source: Information provided by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. 30 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas 0 16 8,377 34,146 52 Appendix 3. Social and Economic Characteristics of Hot Springs Village Residents Garland (HSV) Garland County Saline (HSV) Saline County Hot Springs Village Population_1970 0 54,131 0 36,107 0 Population_1980 2,083 70,531 0 53,176 2,083 Population_1990 5,259 73,397 1,102 64,183 6,361 Population_1995 6,768 81,049 2,320 73,604 9,088 Population_2000* 6,927* 88,068 3,723* 83,529 10,650 Population_2004 7,301** 92,141 4,594** 89,234 11,895** Population_2010 7,702 96,024 6,046 107,118 13,748 Population Characteristics Median Age Population 17 and Younger (%) Population 65 and Older (%) 44 39 67 21% 24% 7% 21% 15% 58% Number of Households 40,994 41,441 7,108 Number of Family Households 26,510 30,674 5,130 Average Household Size 2.3 2.6 1.9 Average Family Size 2.8 3.0 2.2 Household with Individuals Under 18 10,996 14,537 530 Housing Units 50,548 44,811 8,546 Occupied Housing Units 40,994 41,441 7,108 Owner Occupied Housing Units 28,438 32,245 6,464 Renter Occupied Housing 12,556 9,196 644 $85,000 $93,700 $132,000 Household Income (Median) $36,454 $51,082 $43,510 Household Income (Mean) $52,049 $60,925 $53,628 Family Income (Median) $46,418 $61,294 $50,321 Per Capita Income $22,318 $24,099 $28,470 Less than 9th grade 5.20% 4.90% 1.40% 9th to 12th grade, no diploma 9.80% 8.40% 3.50% High school graduate 33.20% 35.40% 26.70% Some college, no degree Owner Dwelling Value Information from American Community Survey*** 25.00% 23.30% 33.70% Associate's degree 7.20% 6.30% 6.80% Bachelor's degree 13.40% 15.20% 18.30% 6.20% 6.50% 9.60% Graduate or professional degree * Source of this data is the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association. ** These figures were estimated based on the number of occupied housing units. Source: Census of Population, Bureau of Census, U.S. Department of Commerce. *** Information on Hot Springs Village from the American Community Survey is incomplete. The information for Hot Springs Village does not include the Census Blocks that were excluded in the 2010 Census of Population. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 31 Appendix 4. Garland and Saline County Revenues and Expenses, 2010 Garland County Saline County Total $1,568,482,791 $1,402,708,894 $2,971,191,685 $184,436,068 $207,713,156 $392,149,538 12% 15% 13% 2.8 9.7 $4,391,752 $13,606,276 $17,998,028 $516,422 $2,014,818 $2,531,239 12% 15% 14% $7,894,522 $0 $7,894,522 $430,777 $0 $430,777 Assessments (2009) County Total Hot Spring Village HSV as % of Total Millage* Property Tax Revenue (2010) County Total Hot Spring Village HSV as % of Total Sales Tax Revenue (2010) Sales Tax Revenue (County) Sales Tax Revenue (HSV) Sales Tax Revenue HSV (%) 5% 5% Property & Sales Tax Revenue (2010) (County) Property & Sales Tax Revenue $12,286,274 $13,606,276 $25,892,550 $947,199 $2,041,818 $2,962,017 8% 15% 11% County Population 96,024 107,118 203,142 Hot Spring Village 7,702 6,046 13,748 8% 5.6% 6.8% $55,617,769 (County) Property & Sales Tax Revenue (Hot Spring Village) Property & Sales Tax Revenue Hot Springs Village (% of total) Population (2010) HSV % of County County Expenses Estimated (2010) County Expense (Total)** $29,995,742 $25,622,027 County Expense (per capita) $312 $239 Expenses from local taxes (per capita) $128 $127 HSV Resident Expenses (per capita)*** $49 $82 Property Tax $516,422 $2,041,818 Sales Tax $430,777 $0 $430,777 ($380,602) ($496,505) ($877,108) $566,597 $1,518,312 $2,084,909 Revenue from Hot Springs Village HSV Residents Share of Expenses Net Benefits From HSV ** County Expenses are estimated based on actual 2002 expenses and adjusted by the CPI. 32 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas $2,531,239 Appendix 5. Property Tax Assessments, Revenue and Costs School Districts and Hot Springs Village Fountain Lake Jessieville Totals School District $356,705,168 $125,162,856 $481,868,024 Hot Springs Village $289,993,410 $102,156,127 $392,149,537 HSV % of Total 81% 82% 81% Millage 34.8 34.0 School District $12,413,340 $4,255,537 $16,668,877 Hot Springs Village $10,091,771 $3,473,308 $13,565,079 81% 82% 81% $10,214 $8,573 83.2% 49.2% $8,498 $4,218 1,213 890 2,103 164 303 467 13.5% 34.0% 22.2% $10,091,771 $3,473,308 $13,565,079 Hot Springs Village Student Costs $1,393,680 $1,278,029 $2,671,708 Net Revenue from HSV to School Districts $8,698,091 $2,195,280 $10,893,371 Assessments (2009) Property Tax Revenue (2010-11) HSV % of Total School District Expenditures Per Pupil Expenditures Share of Expenses from Local Revenue Per Pupil Expenditures School District Enrollment School District Enrollment Students from Hot Springs Village Hot Springs Village Students (% of Total) Net Revenue Property Tax Revenue from HSV Source: Computed from assessment data provided by Saline and Garland County Assessors Office and the Assessment Coordination Department and school district expenditures from the Arkansas Department of Education. Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas – 33 Appendix 6. IMPLAN® Model Description IMPLAN® is an economic impact assessment modeling system. IMPLAN® allows the user to build economic models to estimate the impacts of economic changes in their states, counties or communities. The impacts are reported as changes in employment, income, output and value added for a specified region. The IMPLAN model was originally developed by the USDA Forestry Service to estimate the impacts of changing management practices of the National Forest System. Since its inception, the model has been developed and refined so that it can be used to address a range of economic issues from estimating the impact of new industries to the impact of tourism or retirees. In 1993 the Minnesota IMPLAN Group, Inc. (MIG) took responsibility for maintaining the model and updating the databases used to generate the estimates. Currently there are over 1,500 IMPLAN users including universities, federal, state and local governments, nonprofit organizations and many private consulting firms. There are two major components of the IMPLAN model. The first is the software which performs the computations necessary to derive economic impact estimates. Second is the database, which is updated annually. The database provides county level information for output, employment, income and value added for 508 industries. The production function coefficients used in IMPLAN are derived from the U.S. Department of Commerce’s national input-output model which is updated every five years. The IMPLAN accounts closely follow the accounting conventions used by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the format recommended by the United Nations. The IMPLAN model was designed to serve three functions: 1. data retrieval, 2. data reduction and model development and 3. impact analysis. The model is also flexible and allows the user to make changes in the data, model formulation and geographic area. The flexibility of the model is what allows the model to be used to estimate the economic impact of recreation/retirement communities. Since there is no recreation/retirement community industry in the model, there is not a single multiplier that can be used to estimate the economic impact of recreation/retirement communities. Instead, economic impacts are estimated using household expenditures of Hot Springs Village residents. Expenditures are allocated to approximately 280 industries in the IMPLAN model. Expenditure patterns of Hot Springs Village residents are derived from the Consumer Expenditure Survey1 and total household spending was obtained from the survey of Hot Springs Village residents administered by the Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association in January 2005. The IMPLAN model treats household and business operating spending differently from capital spending. Therefore, two separate estimates were made for household and new home construction spending. The economic impacts are estimated for the combined area of Garland and Saline counties. To do this, the data for Garland and Saline counties were combined to form one region. Therefore, the results reported in this study are for the local economy which includes all of Garland and Saline counties. 1 The Consumer Expenditure Survey is conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Commerce. i The Hot Springs Village Property Owners Association conducted a survey of Hot Springs Village households in 2010 to obtain some demographic and economic characteristics for this study. ii Information on the average cost of new homes by year was provided by the Hot Springs Property Owners Association. 34 – Economic and Fiscal Impact of Hot Springs Village, Arkansas !# # ! ! " ! # ! # # ! # #