June 2009
Transcription
June 2009
Honda Update 2009 CR-Z Concept 1 Honda Direction and Key Challenges 1. Strengthening Advanced Environmental Technologies 2. Advancement of Motorcycle Business 3. Advancement of Automobile Business 2 Strengthening Advanced Environmental Technologies ¾ Hybrid models: INSIGHT Honda recognizes hybrid technologies as the most realistic path for CO2 reduction at this time Early 2009 Launched in U.S., Japan and Europe ¾Excellent Fuel Economy ---- 41mpg ¾Less CO2 ---- 101g/k ¾Affordable Price ---- $19,800~ Integrated Motor Assist (IMA) system CVT Motor Engine path of drive force path of an electronic force a lightweight and compact 1.3-liter engine with a motor 500,000 units Inverter Battery Annual global sales target (beyond 2010) FIT/Jazz Hybrid CR-Z Insight Civic Hybrid 2nd Generation 2005 2009 2010 3rd Generation 3 Strengthening Advanced Environmental Technologies ¾Enhancement of hybrid vehicle lineup - Establishment of Blue Energy Co., Ltd., joint venture with GS Yuasa for lithium-ion batteries for hybrid vehicles - Development of hybrid system for with medium to large-size vehicles Blue Energy Osadano Plant in Kyoto, Japan Production start in Fall 2010 4 Strengthening Advanced Environmental Technologies ¾Applying PGM-FI (fuel injection) system to all models in Thailand by the end of 2009 Redesigned Wave 110 series with PGM-FI is a new Asian core-platform model; – 18% performance improvement – Improved fuel efficiency; 18% mileage improvement – Significant reduction in cost and development time ¾Honda to develop and market Electric Motorcycle around 2010 – Targeting Zero CO2 next generation transportation – Launching in 2 years time 5 Honda Direction and Key Challenges 1. Strengthening Advanced Environmental Technologies 2. Advancement of Motorcycle Business 3. Advancement of Automobile Business 6 Advancement of Motorcycle Business ¾Maintaining strong position particularly in markets with high potential ( Million Units ) CY2008 Unit Sales Subsidiary Other 8 7 6 Joint Venture Market Penetration 100% 77% 69% 66% 60% 5 75% 46% 4 50% Honda’s Market Penetration 3 3 .2 2 25% 2 .9 1 1 .2 0 .9 0 1 .5 1 .1 0% India Indonesia Vietnam Thailand Brazil Source: Honda Penetration Rate (per capita) of Motorcycles $828 Vietnam $3,732 Thailand $16,697 Taiwan 1 unit for 16.9 people 14.8% Units in operation (millions) 1 unit for 6.8 people *As of 2007 *Indonesia as of 2006 *India as 2005 23.6% 1 unit for 4.2 people 25.3% 1 unit for 4.0 people (millions) Population (millions) 1 unit for 21.7 people 5.9% 1,200 700 Indonesia 1,100 600 $1,925 500 500 Brazil 400 400 $6,938 4.6% 300 300 India 200 200 $941 100 100 0 GDP per capita (U.S.$) (JETRO 2007) 0 59.5% 1 unit for 1.7 people 7 Advancement of Motorcycle Business ¾Growth centered in Asia and South America Unit (millions) Honda Motorcycle Sales Growth (2003 to 2008) 16 15. 038 Europe Japan 14 North America 1.7 South America 12 1.5 1.0 10 China 1.2 0.8 8 0.8 6 11.1 4 9.0 9.2 9.6 Asia 2005 2006 2007 2008 7.6 5.8 2 0 2003 2004 8 Advancement of Motorcycle Business ¾Super Cub series, a big hit for 50 years, continues as a Honda strength Not a performance bike, but meets everyday customer needs – Global Production of Cub Series has reached 60 Million Units – Honda Cub Series sells more than 3 million units a year worldwide – Cub Series achieves high profitability with production efficiency and strong brand image Wave110 (Thailand) Unit (millions) Revo (Indonesia) Biz (Brazil) Super Cub (Japan) Honda Motorcycle Production Unit of cub series produced in 2008 Total unit produced 15 50% Ratio of cub series 40% 10 30% 20% 5 10% 0% 0 FY 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 9 Honda Direction and Key Challenges 1. Strengthening Advanced Environmental Technologies 2. Advancement of Motorcycle Business 3. Advancement of Automobile Business 10 Advancement of Automobile Business ¾Growth of global models makes Honda competitive and efficient Unit: thousands - Unit Sales of Honda’s Global 4 Models +1(Hybrid Models) 4,000 - Growth of Hybrid Models 3,500 3,000 Others 500,000 2,500 units 2,000 Fit/Jazz/City 1,500 CR-V 1,000 Civic 76% 58% Annual global sales target (beyond 2010) Insight 500 Accord 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 0 Source: Honda Fit/Jazz Civic CR-V Accord 11 Advancement of Automobile Business ¾Global Common Design and Global Purchasing Network - Current Fit model demonstrated that sourcing from Asia contributed to significant cost reduction - Current Fit attained cost reduction compared to previous model (Including City) 270K Previous 220K 160K As volume grows, Thai and China J/V ship more cost competitive FIT / City components to Japan Current FIT Current City 12 Advancement of Automobile Business ¾Flexible model allocation to optimize capacity utilization Passenger cars Annual Capacity Location Line Line 11 Canada Canada Ontario Ontario 195 195 Small Middle Light Trucks Luxury Crossover Pickup Van CSX Civic Alliston Alliston Line Line 22 195 195 Marysville Marysville 440 440 East East Liberty Liberty 240 240 MD-X ZD-X Ridgeline Civic Accord TL RDX Ohio Ohio Civic CR-V Element Mid 2009 U.S. U.S. Indiana Indiana Greensburg Greensburg 100 100 Civic Line Line 11 Alabama Alabama Lincoln Lincoln Ridgeline Odyssey 150 150 Accord Sedan V6 Line Line 22 150 150 Mexico Mexico Import Import from from Japan Japan El El Salto Salto Pilot Odyssey CR-V 50 50 Civic Accord CR-V 13 Advancement of Automobile Business ¾Mature flexible production system to enable Honda to get through anticipated future changes with minimal impact - Production of the Stream was transferred from Suzuka Factory to Saitama Factory in January 2009 - Production of the U.S. and Canada version of the Honda Fit started in Saitama Factory from May 2009 in addition to Suzuka Factory FIT( FIT(US model) model) ■ Saitama Suzuka ■ STREAM 14 Advancement of Automobile Business ¾Reallocation of CAPEX and R&D expenses - In order to minimize the impact of recent changes in the business environment and to focus company resources on necessary areas, All investments and development projects were reviewed. Yorii Assembly Plant 2012~ Sakura R&D Center 2010~ - Revision of CAPEX for expansion 9 Yorii Assembly plant 9 Sakura R&D Center 69% Yachiyo Industry New Mini-vehicle Plant 2011~ 9 Yachiyo Industry new mini-vehicle plant 50% Capital Expenditures & Depreciation 50% 700 627 654 599 600 Capital Expenditures Depreciation 500 - Revision of R&D activities and expenses 300 9 Withdrawal of Acura brand launch for Japan market 9 Discontinue NSX successor model with V10 engine 9 Withdrawal from F1 and focus on environmental technologies 390 400 417 408 FY08 FY09 361 380 200 100 0 FY07 FY10(P) 15 ¾In market deterioration due to the financial crisis, our goal is for business to be in the black in FY10 based on cost structure reforms - Total Amount of Cost Structure Reform Approx. 250B yen Yen (billions) Operating Income - 179.6 bn. yen ( - 94.7 %) Currency Effect FY09 - 193.0 Operating income Cost Structure Reform -Effects of cost reductions, etc -Reducing sales incentive, etc Decrease +50B yen Decrease in R&D Operating income 10.0 in SG&A Revenue, model mix, etc. - 334.8 FY10 + 48.2 +30B yen 189.6 Cost Structure Reform Cost Structure Reform - Targeting business in the black + 339.0 Cost Reduction, etc. Cost Structure Reform -Decrease in quality related expenses -Withdrawal from some racing activities -Revision of expenses, etc - 39.0 +125B yen 16 Industry and Major Market Outlook 1. Honda global business environment 2. North America 3. Japan 4. Europe 5. Asia 6. Other Regions 17 Honda Global Business Environment North America Europe U.S. unemployment rate remain high -- 8.9% in April Lack of consumer confidence Monetary measures “TALF” Auto sales down by 12% in Western Europe in April Gas price stable around $2 Russia auto sales down by 54% in April April SAAR 9.3M Auto sales increased 20% in Germany due to scrap incentives in April Chrysler began Chapter 11 bankrupcy procedures Scrap incentives will start in U.K. from May Used vehicle prices recover since end of 2008 Honda announced voluntary separation opportunity in America Honda UK plant shut down from Feb to May Japan Tax cut program for Eco-vehicle started from April Auto sales down by 23% in April FY10 auto demand forecast 4.3mill (JAMA) Honda Insight No.1 sales in April in Japan (registered car segment) South America Asia Interest rate cut down 7.25% in Indonesia Palm oil price raise in Indonesia for 5month IPI tax cut extended until June Brazil auto sales down by 6% in April Brazil motorcycle sales down by 16% in April Preferential vehicle purchase tax cut (below 1.6L) from 10% to 5% in China Auto sales increase approx. 30% in China 2009 auto demand forecast over 10mill units Honda motorcycle sales up by 30% in April in India Motorcycle sales in April down 30% in Indonesia. Operations in North America ¾4Q operating income in North America down due to sluggish sales in U.S., increase in fixed cost and higher yen Yen (billions) 150 16% 12% 100 9.5% 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 6.1% 6.3% 8% 5.7% 50 4% 4.3% 114.4 95.7 118.2 128.4 97.0 116.0 156.3 63.1 1.6% 94.5 22.5 70.0 0% 0 -107.4 -4% -50 -8% -100 -12% -15.7% -16% -150 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 19 Operations in North America ¾Major Markets – Honda Automobile Business in U.S. Industry Demand Unit (thousands) Unit (thousands) 20,000 Passenger Cars Light Trucks 16,831 16,652 ※Retail Sales 16,884 16,556 Honda Unit Sales (aggregate numbers of Honda brand and Acura brand) 2,000 ※Retail Sales Passenger Cars 16,148 Light Trucks 1,500 15,000 13,300 1,349 1,394 1,462 1,509 1,551 1,428 ( 10,500 ) 10,000 1,000 5,000 500 0 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(E) CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(P) Source: Honda Source: Honda Strategy in N.A Market 9 Production capacity & flexible lines New Indiana plant , New Canadian Engine plant started production Accord V6 will be produced in Alabama plant Acura TSX (May 2008) Pilot (May 2008) Fit (Aug 2008) FCX Clarity (Jul 2008) 9Innovative technologies to achieve CAFE Leadership Acura TL (Sep 2008) Insight (Mar 2009) Acura ZDX (Fall 2009) 20 Operations in Japan ¾4Q operating income in Japan down by higher yen and decrease in revenue and model mix change, etc Yen (billions) 100 12% 5.9% 50 3.4% 4.4% 48.9 68.9 41.9 5.4% 68.2 6.0% 4.5% 5.2% 60.6 6% 73.3 56.2 0.2% 3.3% 3.4% 37.9 40.9 0% 0 2.3 -64.3 -6.0% -50 -176.0 -6% -100 -12% -150 -18% -23.8% -200 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q -24% 4Q 21 Operations in Japan ¾Mature Markets - Honda Automobile Business in Japan Industry Demand Unit (thousands) Registered vehicle Mini 6,000 900 5,829 5,855 5,854 800 ※Retail Sales Honda Unit Sales Unit (thousands) 732 5,739 717 710 700 5,354 ※Retail Sales 720 640 5,082 580 600 (572) Others 500 4,000 Minivan 400 300 Small 2,000 200 Mini 100 0 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 Source: Honda ** 09(E) FY04 05 06 07 **Apr.09-Mar.10 08 09 10(P) Source: Honda Strategy in Japan Market 9Enhancing product line up with efficiency - Strengthen Hybrid model - Cost reduction by using global purchasing network 9Enhancing sales network FREED (May 2008) Odyssey (Oct 2008) Life (Nov 2008) - Enhancing sales and marketing function for hybrid vehicles - Improving stability of consolidated sales subsidiaries FCX Clarity (Nov 2008) Accord (Dec 2008) Insight (Feb 2009) 22 Operations in Europe ¾4Q operating income in Europe (including Russia) down, due to sluggish sales in Western Europe Yen (billions) 10% 25 15 5% 4.2% 4.3% 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 5 2.6% 2.9% 2.0% 6.4 1.6% 1.4% 9.0 3.7 12.6 10.3 16.7 5.8 0.4% 18.6 11.2 8.3 1.1 0% -10.5 -5 -4.0% -5% -15 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 23 Operations in Europe ¾Mature Markets - Honda Automobile Business in Western Europe Industry Demand Unit (thousands) Petrol 15,000 Honda Unit Sales (EU15+EFTA) (excluding commercial vehicles) (EU15+EFTA) Unit (thousands) ※Retail Sales 350 ※Retail Sales Diesel 13,558 300 272 280 256 232 250 Others 220 10,000 200 194 Jazz 150 5,000 CR-V Accord 100 50 0 Civic 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(E) Source: Global Insight CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(P) Source: Honda Strategy in Western Europe Market 9Environmental strategy Low CO2 emission models; Insight 101g/km, Jazz 125g/km 9Flexible Production Lines and Production Allocation Jazz production starts at UK plant within 2009 Jazz (Oct 2008) Insight (Mar 2009) Accord (Jun 2008) 24 Operations in Asia ¾Operating income in Asia exceeded 100 billion in FY09 with auto and motorcycle growth Yen (billions) 15% 50 13% 11.6% 40 11% 9.4% 9.3% 8.4% 8.0% 30 6.8% 9% 6.7% 7% 5.8% 20 6.5% 5.2% 5% 5.3% 3% 10 19.4 18.2 20.2 19.2 36.9 33.4 38.3 21.9 48.3 33.4 1% 24.9 0 -6.3 -1.9% -10 FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q -1% -3% 4Q 25 Operations in Asia ¾Industry Demand in Major Asian Motorcycle Markets 25,000 Industry: Unit ( thousands ) ※Wholesale 20,000 India Indonesia Thailand Vietnam (18.3mil) (2.7mil) 15,000 (1.4mil) 10,000 (2.4mil) (2.9mil) (2.1mil) (1.9mil) (1.6mil) (5.1mil) (4.6mil) (4.9mil) (1.8mil) (1.3mil) (1.7mil) (2.0mil) (1.8mil) (6.5mil) (3.9mil) (2.8mil) 5,000 (5.4mil) (6.0mil) (6.8mil) (7.8mil) (7.4mil) (7.4mil) CY03 04 05 06 07 08 0 09(E) Source: Honda 26 Operations in Asia ¾ In India, motorcycle business foundation solidified behind two companies, Hero Honda and HMSI Industry: Unit (thousands) 10,000 ※Wholesale Other brands Hero Honda Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India 8,000 6,000 4,000 (3,516) 2,000 (979) 0 CY 03 04 05 06 Principal models of Hero Honda Motors Limited Splendor NXG Debut in May. ‘07 Super Splendor Passion+ Debut in May. ‘07 Debut in May. ‘07 07 08 09(E) Source : Honda Principal models of Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India Activa FMC Apr. 09 CBF Stunner Debut in June. ‘08 27 Operations in Asia ¾ Steady Growth of Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India (HMSI), a subsidiary of Honda in India Industry: ※Wholesale Unit (thousands) 1,400 1,200 (979) 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 CY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09(E) Source : Honda Principal models of HMSI Activa FMC Apr. 09 Aviator CBF Stunner Debut in Feb. ‘08 Debut in June. ‘08 28 Operations in Asia ¾ Continuously introducing innovative products to the Indonesian motorcycle market Industry: Unit (thousands) 6,000 ※Wholesale Other brands Honda 5,000 4,000 3,000 (2,875) 2,000 1,000 Added annual production capacity in Sep. 2005 (2,000 → 3,000 thousand units) 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 Source: Honda Principal models CS1 125cc Debut Apr. 08 BeAT 110cc AT Model Debut Jun. 08 Blade 110cc Debut Dec.08 09(E) Revo 110cc FMC Jan.09 29 Operations in Asia ¾ Honda to enhance product pipeline for Vietnamese motorcycle market Industry: Unit (thousands) Other brands Honda 3,500 ※Wholesale 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 (1,247) 500 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 Future Neo FI 125cc Fuel Injection Debut Apr 07 Air Blade 110cc AT Model Debut Apr 07 09(E) Source: Honda Principal models Click 110cc AT Model Debut Oct. 06 08 Wave S 100cc Debut May 07 Wave α 100cc MMC Jul 08 30 Operations in Asia ¾Honda Automobile Business in Southeast Asia Industry Demand 2,500 Honda Unit Sales Unit (thousands) 2,000 ※Wholesale Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines 1,892 250 Unit (thousands) 200 ※Retail Sales Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Philippines 190 156 1,500 148 150 146 138 123 1,000 100 500 50 0 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(E) CY03 04 05 06 Source: Honda 07 08 09(P) Source: Honda Strategy in Southeast Asian Market 9Optimal allocation to enhance production efficiency Production of FREED in Indonesia starting in June 2009 9Enhance complementary approach in ASEAN region 9Strengthening of purchase function to flexibly consolidate and re-allocate Jazz (May 2008) City (Sep 2008) Freed (Jun 2009) 31 Operations in Asia ¾Honda Automobile Business in India Industry Demand 1,500 (excluding commercial vehicles, SUV and MUV) Unit (thousands) ※Retail Sales Unit (thousands) ※Wholesale Category Honda Unit Sales 80 1,200 Premium 61 60 "A" 1,000 302 800cc 53 55 405 CR-V 303 195 40 249 521 135 425 500 362 Civic 40 35 531 357 20 299 213 242 244 CY03 04 05 294 299 264 06 07 08 0 09(E) City 15 Accord 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(P) Source: Honda Source: Global Insight Strategy in India Market 9Established 2nd plant (parts) in Sep 2008 to supply body panels and engine components to the 1st plant to export engine components to Asian countries 9Introduce Jazz in India in mid 2009 to enjoy excise duty benefit for small-sized car City (Nov 2008) Jazz (Mid 2009) 32 Operations in Other Regions ¾Operating income in Other regions in FY09 centers on Brazil to grow Yen (billions) 50 15% 14.0% 13.8% 12.4% 40 11.3% 10.9% 11.2% 10.4% 9.6% 10% 8.6% 30 8.3% 8.4% 20 5% 4.1% 10 15.2 21.4 16.0 19.5 21.7 30.1 31.7 32.7 21.7 48.7 41.8 32.7 0 0% FY07 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 33 Operations in Other Regions ¾ Solid operation as a market leader in Brazilian motorcycle market ¾ Introducing PFM-FI (Fuel Injection) models to meet Euro3 ※Wholesale Industry: Unit (thousands) Other brands Honda 2,000 Source: Honda 1,500 Exceed one million units per year (1,459) 1,000 500 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(E) Principal models CG 150 Titan Mix CG 125 FAN Biz 125 CG 150 Titan Flex Fuel Debut Mar 09 34 Operations in Other Regions Confidential ¾Honda Automobile Business in Brazil Industry Demand Honda Unit Sales (including commercial vehicles) Unit (thousands) 9Strong sales of FFV models contributed to growth ※Retail Sales 3,000 Unit (thousands) ※Retail Sales 200 2,671 180 Brazil ( ( 2,377 160 140 1,844 2,000 1,532 Flexible Fuel Vehicle) Petrol Engine Vehicle) 1,618 118 120 1,339 100 86 67 80 1,000 50 60 40 FFV 57 32 20 0 0 CY03 04 05 06 07 08 09(E) 03 04 Source: Global Insight 05 06 07 08 09(P) Source: Honda Strategy in South America Market 9Environmental strategy (FFV->Brazil) 9 Expansion of production capacity Brazil: Expand capacity to 120,000 units in Aug 2008 Fit FFV (Nov 2008) Civic FFV 35 Financial Highlights FY 09 4Q Results - Outline - Profit Analysis - Business Segment Information FY 10 Forecasts Dividend per Share 36 Outline of FY09 Twelve Months Financial Results (Consolidated) Business Environment FY09 Twelve Months Unit (Sales) Unit (thousands) FY08 FY09 Change Motorcycles 9,320 10,114 + 8.5% Automobiles 3,925 3,517 - 10.4% Power Products 6,057 5,187 - 14.4% Crude oil and raw material prices rose significantly worldwide in the first half, then declined in the second half. The economy in the U.S. and Europe deteriorated caused by the financial crisis. A further downturn due to the negative economic cycle is feared. In China and India, economic growth slowed down in the second half. In Japan, both capital expenditures and consumer spending declined, and the economy is rapidly deteriorating Yen appreciation against the U.S. dollar and Euro Motorcycle market Demand in the U.S declined significantly Due to strong sales in the first half, industry-wide sales volume in Brazil, India and Thailand maintained YOY despite reduced sales in the second half Automobile market FY09 Twelve Months Financial results Yen(billions) FY08 FY09 Change Net sales & other operating revenue 12,002.8 10,011.2 - 16.6% Operating income 953.1 189.6 - 80.1% Income before income taxes 895.8 161.7 - 81.9% Equity in income of affiliates 118.9 99.0 - 16.7% Net income 600.0 137.0 - 77.2% 330.54 75.50 ( - 255.04 yen) approx. 1,815,356,000 shares approx. 1,814,561,000 shares EPS (Yen) Note : Shares which are based on calculation of EPS (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) - 77.2% Demand in the U.S., Western Europe and Japan declined significantly in the second half. Overall market size was increased in Brazil, China and India despite a temporary decline in demand. Major Change Factors Asia and other regions including Brazil contributed to gain in operating profit, offsetting deterioration in major markets. Unit Sales Motorcycles: Favorable sales in Asia and Other Regions, which includes Brazil Decreases in North America, Japan and Europe Automobiles: Strong sales in Asia and Brazil Decreases in North America, Japan and Europe Power Products: Increases in Asia and “Other” Region, which includes Middle East Decreases in North America, Europe and Japan Net sales & other operating revenue Decline due to lower sales volume of automobiles and power products Negative currency translation effects (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) Average Rates (Yen) Operating income US Dollar 114 101 Yen up by 13 yen Euro 162 142 Yen up by 20 yen <Increase Factors> Effects of cost reduction Decrease in R&D <Decrease Factors>Decrease in revenue and model mix change, etc. Increased raw material costs Increased fixed cost due to production cut Currency factors 37 Change in Income before Income Taxes < FY09 Twelve Months > Income before Income taxes Operating Income- 895.8 - 247.7 - 734.1 bn. yen (- 81.9%) 763.4 bn. yen ( - 80.1 % ) Other Income & Expenses + 29.3 bn. yen <Increase Factors> • Effects of cost reductions, etc. <Decease Factors> • Impact of increase in raw material prices • Increase in fixed cost due to production cut , etc. - 182.5 Yen (billions) <Increase Factors> • Decrease in quality related expenses , etc. <Decease Factors> • 0ne-off expenses related to withdrawal from some racing activities and cancellations of new model developments • Increase in provisions for credit loss and residual loss , etc. Revenue, model mix, etc. Currency effect due to difference between average rates and transaction rates: +33.0 bn. yen - 88.3 Cost Reduction, the effect of raw material cost , etc. Interest rate swap cost, etc. : + 24.7 Increase in SG&A - 89.4 bn.yen - 269.5 Decrease in R&D + 85.7 - 56.4 161.7 (Exhibit 2) Operating income 953.1 FY08 12 Months <Increase Factors> • Change in pricing for the new model year • Decrease in sales incentives for North America automobile business Others Currency Effect of derivative instruments Operating income 189.6 FY09 12 Months <Decease Factors> • Decline in profit attributable to lower unit sales •Model mix impact, etc. <Currency Effects > Impact on Operating income Impact on Other income & expenses Impact on Income before income taxes Fair value - 269.5 bn. yen + 33.0 bn. yen - 236.5 bn. yen (due to difference of average rates and translation effects) (due to difference between average rates and transaction rates) (see also Exhibit 1) 38 Outline of FY09 4th Quarter Financial Results (Consolidated) Business Environment 4Q Results Unit (Sales) Unit (thousands) FY08 FY09 Change Motorcycles 2,368 2,002 - 15.5% Automobiles 1,051 680 - 35.3% Power Products 2,092 1,531 - 26.8% Financial crisis and deterioration of real economy led the U.S. and Europe recession to deepen and become more serious. Japan economy deteriorated rapidly due mainly to a decline in exports. Pace of economic expansion has further slowed down in Asia Yen appreciation against the U.S. dollar and Euro Motorcycle market Steep deterioration not only in the U.S. but in Thailand and Indonesia Demand in India has recovered from the previous quarter. Automobile market 4Q Results Financial results Yen(billions) FY08 FY09 Change Net sales & other operating revenue 3,055.5 1,783.8 - 41.6% Operating income 168.8 - 283.0 - Income before income taxes 146.8 - 309.5 - Equity in income of affiliates 24.3 2.7 Net income 25.4 - 186.1 - 14.01 - 102.59 ( - 116.60 yen) approx. 1,814,587,000 shares approx. 1,814,610,000 shares EPS (Yen) Note : Shares which are based on calculation of EPS - 88.7% - Steep downturn in the U.S., Japan and Western Europe Demand in Russia continued to decline largely. Expanding markets in India, Brazil and China Major Change Factors Honda earned operating profit for the fiscal year, however it posted operating loss in the 4Q due to decreased volume in all businesses under rapid market deterioration. Unit Sales Motorcycles: Decreased unit sales in all the regions Automobiles: Decreased unit sales in all the regions Power Products: Decreased unit sales in all the regions Net sales & other operating revenue Decline mainly due to decreased unit sales of automobiles Negative currency translation effects Operating income (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) US Dollar 106 94 Yen up by 12 yen Euro 158 121 Yen up by 37 yen Average Rates (Yen) <Increase Factors> Effects of cost reduction Decrease in SG & A <Decrease Factors> Decrease in revenue and model mix change, etc. Increased fixed costs due to production cut Increased raw material costs Currency factors 39 Change in Income before Income Taxes <FY09 4th Quarter> Income before Income taxes Operating Income Yen (billions) - 456.4 bn. yen Other Income & Expenses - 4.5 bn. yen - 451.8 bn. yen <Increase Factors> • Change in pricing for the new model year, etc. 146.8 - 357.9 <Decease Factors> • Decline in profit attributable to lower unit sales •Model mix impact, etc. Operating income <Increase Factors> • Decrease in quality related expenses • Decreased expenses for advertising, sales promotion, etc. <Decease Factors> • 0ne-off expenses related to withdrawal from some racing activities and cancellations of new model developments , etc. 168.8 FY08 4Q FY09 4Q Currency effect due to difference between average rates and transaction rates: +12.4 bn. yen - 107.9 Revenue, model mix, etc. Interest rate swap cost, etc. : + 21.5 + 19.3 Decrease in R&D - 26.8 Currency Effect Cost Reduction, Decrease in SG&A the effect of raw material cost , etc. <Increase Factors> • Effects of cost reductions, etc. <Decease Factors> • Increase in fixed cost due to production cut Impact of increase in raw material prices, etc. <Currency Effects > Impact on Operating income Impact on Other income & expenses Impact on Income before income taxes - 9.3 bn.yen Operating income -283.0 - 7.6 + 3.0 Fair value Others of derivative -309.5 instruments (Exhibit 2) - 26.8 bn. yen +12.4 bn. yen - 14.4 bn. yen (due to difference of average rates and translation effects) (due to difference between average rates and transaction rates) (see also Exhibit 1) 40 Motorcycle Unit Sales (Motorcycles + All-Terrain Vehicles, etc.) Unit (thousands) 16,000 14,000 Change from FY 08 4Q FY09 4Q Major increase/decrease factors Japan 51 - 15 - Increase of leisure model such as Monkey - Decrease in sales of scooters such as TODAY and FORZA North America 72 -78 - Decrease of sports bikes such as CBR1000RR and custom bikes such as VTX1300C 71 - 18 1,449 -168 Europe Asia 12,000 Other Regions Total 10,000 359 -87 2,002 -366 + 794 ( + 8.5% ) Monkey (Japan) - Increase of scooters such as SH150 in Italy - Decrease of scooters such as SH125 in Spain - Increase of Unicorn、Shine in India - Decrease of Wave、CLICK in Thailand Approx 4,700 Approx 4,580 - Increase of CG125 in Brazil - Decrease of CG150 TITAN, BIZ125 in Brazil Unit sales of Honda-brand motorcycle products that are manufactured and sold by overseas affiliates accounted for under the equity method, but do not use any parts supplied by Honda and its subsidiaries 8,000 - 366 ( - 15.5% ) 6,000 4,000 2,000 Approx 1,100 Approx 1,020 Approx 1,210 Approx 1,160 Approx 1,280 2,253 2,333 2,366 2,368 371 392 401 446 1,623 1,645 1,748 95 80 84 0 1Q 68 121 107 2Q 3Q FY08 2,893 436 509 91 80 58 1Q 1,763 1,610 7,523 6,633 Approx 1,100 2,504 2,002 459 2,146 2,050 9,320 Approx 1,110 2,715 89 150 66 4Q Approx 1,260 359 1,617 61 102 54 10,114 Unicorn (India) 1,878 66 93 79 2Q 3Q FY09 1,449 48 75 44 Other Regions Asia 4Q 276 320 232 313 453 311 71 Europe 72 North America 51 Japan 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 * Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 41 Motorcycle Business Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin FY08 Net Sales FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 368.3 381.6 364.6 444.0 393.0 401.0 342.8 274.4 (- 38.2%) FY08 12 Months FY09 12 Months 1,558.6 1,411.5 Yen (billions) (- 9.4%) Operating Margin <Increase Factors> • Effects of cost reduction, etc. <Decrease Factors> • Increase in raw material costs, • Decrease in revenue and model mix change, etc. Operating Income Yen (billions) 160 16% 140 ( - 34.0% ) 11.9% 11.6% 120 12% 9.7% 9.7% 100 8.5% 14% 7.9% 8.3% 10% 7.4% 7.1% 80 8% 151.2 60 6% 99.9 40 20 52.7 31.1 37.0 4% 46.3 31.1 30.3 2% 25.2 0 0% - 1.0% - 2.8 -20 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY09 4Q -2% 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 42 Automobile Unit Sales Unit (thousands) Change from FY 08 4Q FY09 4Q 4,500 4,000 Japan 141 - 50 North America 219 -240 Europe 103 Asia 3,500 Other Regions 3,000 Total -6 - 408 Major increase/decrease factors ( - 10.4% ) - Increase of FREED, INSIGHT, etc. - Decrease of FIT, etc. - Increase of FIT, etc. - Decrease of Accord, Civic, CR-V, etc. INSIGHT (Japan) - Increase of Civic and CR-V in Russia - Decrease of CR-V and Civic in the U.K., Spain and Italy 151 -52 - Decrease of component parts for China (Accord and CR-V, etc.) - Decrease of CR-V, in Indonesia, etc. 66 -23 - Increase of CR-V in Brazil - Decrease of Civic, CR-V in Australia 680 - 371 3,925 314 3,517 322 CR-V (Brazil) 755 793 391 2,500 - 371 ( - 35.3% ) 350 2,000 1,850 1,500 946 1,000 991 937 72 87 187 92 177 100 188 90 465 445 481 66 500 0 1,051 89 203 109 459 1,496 962 935 940 91 87 221 680 204 217 75 87 85 460 401 416 66 151 103 Other Regions Asia Europe 219 North America Japan 78 136 143 145 191 128 152 135 141 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 FY09 615 556 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 * Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 43 Automobile Business Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin FY08 1Q Net Sales 2Q FY09 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2,327.2 2,356.4 2,449.0 2,356.6 2,228.0 2,170.6 1,974.2 1,301.4 (- 44.8%) Yen (billions) Operating Income 600 700 500 FY09 12 Months 9,489.3 7,674.4 Yen (billions) (- 19.1%) <Increase Factors> • Effects of cost reductions, • Decrease in SG&A expenses etc. <Decrease Factors> • Decrease in revenue and model mix change , etc. • Increase in fixed cost due to production cut etc. • Increase in raw material costs Operating Margin FY08 12 Months 50% 661.6 45% 40% (- 96.3%) 400 35% 30% 25% 300 213.0 200 220.7 20% 161.2 148.3 79.5 100 6.4% 9.0% 9.0% 0 15% 79.0 7.0% 70.5 24.5 7.2% 3.4% 10% 5% 0% 3.6% 3.6% 0.3% -100 -5% -10% -15% -22.0% -200 -20% -300 -25% - 286.2 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY09 4Q 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 44 Power Products Unit Sales Unit (thousands) Change from FY 08 4Q FY09 4Q 7,000 Japan 101 - 50 North America 655 - 233 Europe 472 - 199 Asia 200 -51 Other Regions 103 -28 1,531 - 561 6,000 Total 5,000 Major increase/decrease factors - Increase of gas-powered mini-tiller Pianta FV200, etc - Decrease of GX series engines for OEM generators - 870 (- 14.4%) - Decrease of GC/GC(V) series for OEM washer pressure and lawn mower in United States - Decrease of general purpose engines, such as GX/GC series engines for OEM construction machinery and generators - Increase of water pumps in Indonesia - Decrease of generators in India - Decrease in general purpose engines, such as the GX series generators in Australia Pianta FV200 (Japan) 6,057 484 5,187 915 502 970 4,000 1,693 - 561 (- 26.8%) 1,306 3,000 2,092 2,000 97 220 1,000 131 251 1,529 390 1,258 1,178 116 242 140 202 280 687 0 671 352 479 361 135 141 123 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 1,339 119 249 319 888 1,531 1,202 1,115 127 153 225 284 296 231 493 402 151 159 146 343 110 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY09 2,415 103 200 Other Regions Asia 472 Europe 655 North America 101 Japan 4Q 1,893 550 516 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 * Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 45 Power Product & Other Businesses FY08 Net Sales Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 12 Months 115.2 105.0 100.2 122.3 106.8 103.0 79.5 79.4 442.7 (- 35.1%) FY09 12 Months 368.9 Yen (billions) (- 16.7%) Operating Margin Operating Income <Increase Factors> • Decrease in SG&A expenses Yen (billions) <Decrease Factors> • Decrease in revenue and model mix change, etc. • Increase in R&D expenses for Other Businesses (expenses related to start-up of new businesses) , etc. 25 20 20% 16% 22.3 15 10 5 6.9% 7.9 6.6% 12% 8% 4.2% 5.0% 2.3% 6.9 4% 0.2% 2.2 0 5.1 - 0.9% 0.2 -5 0% - 3.5% - 0.9 - 2.8 - 11.9 -4% - 4.2% -8% -10 - 15.4 -12% -15 - 15.0% -16% -20 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q FY09 4Q 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 46 Financial Services Business FY08 Net Sales Net Sales/Operating Income/Operating Margin FY09 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY08 12 Months FY09 12 Months 129.8 137.8 139.6 141.7 149.5 162.6 146.0 138.3 549.0 596.5 (- 2.4%) Operating Margin Yen (billions) (+ 8.6%) Operating Income Yen (billions) <Increase Factors> • Increase in finance receivables and property on operating leases, etc. <Decrease Factors> • Increase in provisions for residual loss, etc. 130 120 110 30% 26.4% (- 42.3%) (- 31.5%) 100 22.1% 21.3% 90 80 19.2% 16.4% 70 21.5% 20% 14.9% 60 13.5% 13.1% 50 117.7 40 30 34.2 20 31.3 29.3 22.9 28.7 24.3 9.4 1Q 2Q 3Q FY08 4Q 1Q 10% 18.0 10 0 80.6 6.5% 2Q 3Q FY09 4Q 12 Months 12 Months FY08 FY09 0% 47 FY10 Financial Forecasts (Consolidated) Yen (billions) FY09 FY10 Results Forecasts Change Amount % Net sales & other operating revenue 10,011.2 8,370.0 - 1,641.2 - 16.4% Operating income 189.6 10.0 - 179.6 - 94.7% Income before income taxes 161.7 10.0 - 151.7 - 93.8% 99.0 50.0 - 49.0 - 49.5% 40.0 - 97.0 - 70.8% 22.04 - 53.46 - 70.8% Equity in income of affiliates Net income 137.0 EPS (Yen) 75.50 Note : Shares which are based on calculation of EPS Approx. 1,814,561,000 shares (weighted average number of shares outstanding ) ※ Approx. 1,814,609,000 shares (as of Mar. 31, 2009) ※Net income FY10 means attributable to shareholders of Honda Average Rates (Yen) U.S. Dollar 101 95 Yen up by 6 yen Euro 142 125 Yen up by 17 yen 48 Forecast: Unit Sales by Business Segment Unit sales of Honda-brand motorcycle products that are manufactured and sold by overseas affiliates accounted for under the equity method, but do not use any parts supplied by Honda and its subsidiaries Unit (thousands) Motorcycles Automobiles - 1,519 Power Products - 307 - 527 15,000 6,000 Approx 4,700 4,000 Approx 5,380 10,114 322 1,763 8,595 3,210 5,000 240 3,000 9,000 5,187 3,517 12,000 4,000 793 502 350 290 2,000 3,000 880 Asia 1,230 Europe 2,000 6,500 1,496 1,350 1,000 3,000 Other Regions 1,306 6,000 7,523 440 970 775 1,465 4,660 North America 1,893 1,690 516 420 FY09 Results FY10 Forecasts 1,000 0 276 320 232 FY09 Results 205 235 190 FY10 Forecasts 556 0 FY09 Results 555 FY10 Forecasts 0 Japan * Unit sales is the total of sales of completed products of Honda and its consolidated subsidiaries and sales of parts for Honda’s affiliates accounted for under the equity method. 49 Forecast: Change in Income before Income Taxes Yen (billions) Income before income taxes - 151.7 bn. yen ( - 93.8 %) Operating Income - 179.6 bn. yen ( - 94.7 %) 161.7 + 48.2 - 334.8 Other Income & Expenses + 27.9 bn. yen - 193.0 + 339.0 Decrease in R&D + 20.0 + 7.9 Others Operating income Currency Effect 189.6 FY09 Fair value of derivative instruments 10.0 Operating income 10.0 FY10 Results - 39.0 Revenue, model mix, etc. Forecasts Cost Reduction, etc. Decrease in SG&A 50 Forecast: Capital Expenditures, Depreciation, R&D Expenses Yen (billion) Capital expenditures * Depreciation and amortization * R&D expenses FY09 FY10 Results Forecasts 599.1 390.0 - 209.1 408.2 380.0 - 28.2 563.1 515.0 - 48.1 Change * “Capital expenditures” in results and the forecast aforementioned exclude investment in operating leases and acquisition of intangible assets. * “Depreciation and amortization” in results and the forecast aforementioned exclude depreciation of investment in operating leases and amortization of intangible assets. U.S. Dollar 101 95 Yen up by 6 yen Euro 142 125 Yen up by 17 yen 51 Dividend to Shareholders (Yen) FY09 FY10 Dividend per share FY08 Results Results & Projection Increase/Decrease from FY08 Results 1st quarter End 20 22 +2 8 * - 14 * 2nd quarter End 22 22 ±0 8 * - 14 * 3rd quarter End 22 11 - 11 8 * -3 * 4th quarter End 22 8* - 14 * 8 * ±0 * Fiscal Year 86 63 * - 23 * 32 * - 31 * Projection Increase/Decrease from FY09 Results * Projection as of Apr. 28th 52 Caution with Respect to Forward-Looking Statements: This slide contains forward-looking statements about the performance of Honda, which are based on management’s assumptions and beliefs taking into account information currently available to it. Therefore, please be advised that Honda’s actual results could differ materially from those described in these forward-looking statements as a result of numerous factors, including general economic conditions in Honda’s principal markets and foreign exchange rates between the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar, the Euro and other major currencies, as well as other factors detailed from time to time. Accounting standards: Our consolidated financial standards are prepared in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Notice on the Factors for Increases and Decreases in Income: With respect to the discussion above of the change in operating income, management has identified the factors set forth below and used what it believes to be a reasonable method to analyze the respective changes in such factors. Each of these factors is explained below. Management has analyzed changes in these factors at the levels of the Company and its material consolidated subsidiaries. (1)“Foreign currency effects” consist of translation adjustments, which come from the translation of the currency of foreign subsidiaries’ financial statements into Japanese Yen, and foreign currency adjustments, which result from foreign-currency-denominated sales, which, at the levels of the Company and those consolidated subsidiaries which have been analyzed, primarily relate to the following currencies: U.S. dollar, Canada dollar, Euro, GBP, BRL and Japanese Yen. (2) With respect to “cost reduction and effects of raw material cost fluctuations”, management has analyzed cost reduction and effects of raw material cost fluctuations at the levels of the Company and its material foreign manufacturing subsidiaries in North America, Europe and other regions. (3) With respect to “changes in net sales and model mix”, management has analyzed changes in sales volume and in the mix of product models sold in major markets which have resulted in increases/decreases in profit, as well as certain other reasons for increases/decreases in net sales and cost of sales. (4) With respect to “selling, general and administrative expenses”, management has analyzed reasons for an increase/decrease in selling, general and administrative expenses from the previous fiscal year net of currency translation effects. 53