Winter Newsletter - Canada-United Kingdom Chamber of Commerce
Transcription
Winter Newsletter - Canada-United Kingdom Chamber of Commerce
Est. 1921 CANADA - UNITED KINGDOM Chamber of Commerce Over 95 YEARS OF NETWORKING Winter 2016 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in London Pg 7 Inside this issue: Chamber News Events 1-5 6-19 Economics 20-25 Energy 26-29 Provinces 30-33 Member News 34-37 New Members 37-39 Events Planner 40 Event Review Since our last newsletter the Chamber has hosted 15 events Pgs 6-19 & 27. Xmas lunch with Dr Linda Papadopolous Pgs 14-15 Lord O’Donnell on the UK’s Energy Policy Pg 27 Record number of Chamber events in 2015 Canada House Trafalgar Square London SW1Y 5BJ T: +44 (0) 20 7930 4553 [email protected] www.canada-uk.org Charter Members Alberta UK Office Air Canada BlackBerry BMO Financial Group Canadian High Commission Canary Wharf Group plc CGI CIBC Dadco Group European Trade & Investment Office for British Columbia EY Fasken Martineau Hatch Associates HSBC Bank plc Kinnear Financial Madano Partnership McCarthy Tétrault Norton Rose Fulbright Ontario International Nexen Inc Pharos Security Québec Government Office Royal Bank of Canada Scotiabank Shell International Ltd Stikeman Elliott TD Securities Wragge Lawrence Graham &Co Pgs 6-19 & 27 New members: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s New Cabinet Many new MPs, from a wide variety of backgrounds, have been appointed to senior positions within the cabinet. Key among these are Minister of Finance Bill Morneau, Minister of Justice Jody Wilson- Four New Board Directors appointed Pg 4 Winter 2016 Newsletter Sponsors Raybould, Minister of Environment and Climate Change Catherine McKenna and Minister of National Defence Harjit Sajjan, all elected for the first time in October 29... Pg 7 Tepid 2016 Ahead As Economy Adjusts To Low Oil Prices It’s fair to say that 2015 was not a great year for the Canadian economy or its forecasters alike. At this time last year, the price of oil had already fallen to $55 a barrel, and forecasters were rapidly downgrading their expectations for Canadian growth in 2015… Pg 21 Abbyshot Clothiers Bridgepond Crowdcube Enotria Winecellars Ltd Glacier Media Group Global Payments Canada GP Proactive Tax Management Money&Co Nasmyth Group Ltd Operis Prime Management Group Saskatoon Regional Ec Dev Authority Tour de Force Wines Warret & Jullion Dates for your diary: Jan 26 Networking reception to meet new members Feb 16 Evening tax seminar April 15 Conference on Energy at House of Commons, London May 20 AGM & lunch at the House of Lords May 27 Annual Golf Day June 10 7th Annual Chief Economists debate Page 1 Page 2 Winter 2016 Chamber Networking evening in partnership with the High Commission of Canada To meet New Members New Members: Abbyshot Clothiers, Aquinas Education, Bridgepond, Crowdcube, Enotria Winecellars, Glacier Media Group, Global Payments Canada GP, Money&Co, Nasmyth Group Omega analysis, Operis, Striding Edge Capital, Sweett Group, Tour de Force Wines, Warret & Jullion and others… 26 January 2016 Canada House Trafalgar Square London SW1Y 5BJ 18.00 - 18.40 Registration 18.40 - 19.30 New Member Introductions Members & their guests: FREE 19.30 - 20.30 Networking Non Members: £25 inc VAT If you wish to attend this event please RSVP with registration form & payment where applicable to [email protected] Winter 2016 T: +44 (0)207 930 4553 Page 3 NEW CHAMBER BOARD DIRECTORS APPOINTED Mark Caplan Managing Director, Head of Europe Scotiabank As Regional Head of Europe, Mark provides leadership and oversight for Scotiabank's European operations and he is also the CEO of Scotiabank Europe plc. Based in London, he is responsible for the overall strategic direction and execution of Scotiabank’s business. Mark has 25 years of experience in the financial services industry, with a breadth of experience in leading capital markets businesses. Before joining Scotiabank in 2010, he worked in a senior capacity for the Bank of Canada and is a former member of the Monetary Policy Review Committee and the Financial System Review Committee. Mark holds a BA (Hons) in Business Administration from the Richard Ivey School of Business. Dr Doris Hiam-Galvez Regional Director Europe Hatch Associates Ltd Dr. Doris is a Chemical Engineer with PhD in Physical Metallurgy. She is currently Regional Director for Hatch Europe with a major mandate to strengthen and grow the business in Europe. Doris has 18 years of experience managing global technical organizations for major operating companies. She has been with Hatch for almost 10 years creating new business to grow the company in new regions by understanding customer needs, anticipating future needs and creating new services to meet them. Doris is leading the implementation of a growth strategy in Europe targeted to providing custom solutions to complex industry challenges and working with clients’ emerging industrial processes, recovering energy and valuable materials from waste streams, impurity management, water management, extending the life of key equipment & lowering operating costs by improving plant stability. Prior to joining Hatch, Doris was leading major technology development programs from concept to market in the steel and aluminium industries. Sarah Bradley Deputy Head of UK Government Relations Shell As Deputy Head UK Government Relations, Sarah has responsibility for Shell’s interface with the UK Government on the topic of decarbonisation and Shell’s interests in Africa. Based in London, the government relations department works to protect, create and deliver business value for Shell. In nearly 10 years in Shell she has held a variety of roles covering finance, strategy, corporate communications, and media. In 2015 Sarah was seconded to McKinsey to support the Energy Transitions Commission Secretariat. Prior to her career at Shell, Sarah worked for JP Morgan, the British Army and has a degree in Politics from Edinburgh University. Nick Iliff Partner, Wragge Lawrence Graham & Co LLP Nick Iliff divides his time between Wragge Lawrence Graham's Birmingham and London offices. He has specialist expertise in both project and real estate finance. He has worked on a wide range of project financings across many sectors since the late 1990s. He has been actively involved in devising methods for the costeffective management and delivery of the legal input on multiple infrastructure projects. Many of these projects, where he has been a leading adviser, were instrumental in the creation of standard form documentation, structures and processes which have influenced and informed the templates for the delivery of Public Private Partnerships across the world. Nick was for many years involved in focusing on the very active UK PPP (P3) market in which he has closed more than 80 deals. CHAMBER FORUMS The Chamber currently has 4 forums: Energy; Natural Resources, SME and Technology Forums. The Forums organise 3-4 events per annum specifically targeting their sectors and members/potential members with a view to showcasing sector talent and expertise from Canada and the UK, and a view to providing and contributing to sector debate. Members currently on the Forum organising committees are listed below: Energy Forum Rob Brant (Chair) (McCarthy Tetrault) Sarah Bradley(Shell) Nick Iliff (Wragge, Lawrence Graham) Chris Morritt (Nexen) Matthew Moth (Madano Partnership) Michael Padua (Alberta UK Office) Graham Hilton (BC Government) SME Forum Richie Clark (Chair) (Fox Williams) Wayne Bewick (Trowbridge) Technology Forum Matthew Grisoni (Chair) (CGI) Bob El-Hawary (BlackBerry) Aaron Rosland (Ontario International) Richie Santosdiaz (BC Government) Mark Hill (ResponseTek) Natural Resources Al Gourley (Fasken Martineau) Nick Iliff (Wragge, Lawrence Graham) Derek Linfield (UK Board Advisor) Terry Irwin (TCii) Nathan Cox (Halo Financial) Steve Ord (Colourview Printers) Colin Williams (Crosshands Group) Members Page 4 wishing to participate in our Forums should contact the Chamber Secretariat team: [email protected] T: +44 (0)20 7930 4553 Winter 2016 President’s Remarks Having just seen out a very successful 2015 for the Chamber with record numbers attending our event programme, and growth in our membership numbers to levels not seen since the early 90s, we turn to 2016, and new challenges and opportunities. There has been a change of government in Canada since our last newsletter, and new PM Justin Trudeau met many of you on his way to Paris and the COP21 climate conference. As National PR notes (Pg 28) COP 21 was perceived as a ‘success after two weeks of fraught negotiations’ and Canada intends to play its full part in delivering on the Paris Agreement (see Pgs 28-31). The PM’s new Liberal cabinet has an ambitious agenda and ‘includes few with political experience but many with -William Swords significant real-world experience’ (Pg 7). His new ministers face significant challenges in the coming months, not helped by the continued decline in the resource market. In the view of Charter member TD Securities ‘Canada’s economy will continue to face challenges in 2016, but overall growth is expected to see a modest pickup’ (Pg 21), with the new government planning to boost infrastructure spending. We hope that some of the new cabinet will visit the UK during the year and have a chance to meet members at events. We also expect to organise some events on the opportunities around the CETA free trade agreement ‘the most significant new free trade agreement on the block for many years’ (Cecilia Malmström, EU Commissioner for Trade), and debate the likely EU referendum in the UK and its ramifications for Director’s Comments the end of January at Canada House for members and their guests to meet some of our latest new member companies. Our 2016 programme is shaping up and we will be hosting a networking evening at Thanks are due this edition to our newsletter sponsors Dadco, Madano and TD Securities and Winter 2016 The Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce is a member of the Council for Foreign Chambers in the UK which includes over 35 bilateral chambers. This year we are launching our fourth forum, the new Natural Resources Forum which will focus on extractive industries. In addition our Energy, SME and Technology Forums will continue to host and co-host sector specific events. If you have ideas for the forums or our general events programme do get in touch with me at the Secretariat. Secretariat News At Xmas we said Goodbye to I wish a warm welcome to new Charter members Hatch Associates and Norton Rose Fulbright, and our new Board Directors Mark Caplan, (Scotiabank) Dr Doris HiamGalvez (Hatch), Nick Iliff (Wragge Lawrence Graham) and Sarah Bradley (Shell). The Board and I are looking forward to meeting more members in the New Year. We start with a networking night on Jan 26. Hope to see you there. -Nigel Bacon Since our last newsletter we have been busier than ever hosting a further 15 events including receptions with Toronto Mayor John Tory and Martin Donnelly CMG, Permanent Secretary to the UK’s Business, Innovation and Skills Dept, and many speakers at our forum and networking events, details of which appear in this edition. We ended 2015 having hosted and co-hosted a record 39 events with almost 3,000 attendees, and having over 300 organisations in the Chamber membership. Members should have received their copies of the 2016 Member Directory and our 2016 Corporate lists will be with you very soon in digital and hard copy formats. Please contact the Secretariat for information on how to create a login for your company for the Members’ Area of the website. our members . our many contributors. We are also delighted to welcome new Charter members Hatch Associates and Norton Rose Fulbright, and four new Board Directors. Wishing all our members a happy new year of networking. Editor, advertising, design & distribution: Nigel Bacon Executive Director T: +44 20 7930 4553 [email protected] -Jen & Victoria our intern Archana after 12 successful months and are currently recruiting a successor. Our quote this edition comes from Maya Angelou: ‘I've learned that people will forget what you said, people will forget what you did, but people will never forget how you made them feel’. Page 5 A change of Federal Government: initial thoughts As the Federal election results were coming in live, the Chamber and High Commission of Canada hosted a breakfast panel debate and briefing at Canada House on 21 October sponsored by Chamber Charter member Madano Partnership and National PR. Page 6 Expressing their initial thoughts and reactions as the results were being declared were panellists: The host for the breakfast was H.E. Gordon Campbell, High Commissioner of Canada to the UK. Margaret MacMillan OC, historian, professor and author; Dan Maber, Vice President, National PR; and Mark McKinnon, Senior International Correspondent from the Globe and Mail. The Chamber would like to thank Board Director Matthew Moth and Madano Partnership for help with this event and for agreeing to sponsorship. Winter 2016 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau: Note on the New cabinet Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s cabinet was sworn in on Wednesday, November 4, with the appointment of 30 ministers. The cabinet will be responsible for implementing the new Liberal government’s agenda and fulfilling the Party’s election promises. For the first time, the Prime Minister ensured a 50-50 gender balance, naming 15 men and 15 women to cabinet. Tasked with executing an ambitious agenda, the cabinet includes few with political experience but many with significant real-world experience. Guiding them will be long-time political veterans, such as Minister of Public Safety Ralph Goodale, who was first elected at the age of 24 in 1979, Minister of Agriculture Lawrence MacAulay, who has been a Member of Parliament since 1988, and Minister of Foreign Affairs Stéphane Dion, a former Leader of the Liberal Party with 20 years of experience as Member of Parliament. Many new MPs, from a wide variety of backgrounds, have been appointed to senior positions within the cabinet. Key among these are Minister of Finance Bill Morneau, Minister of Justice Jody WilsonRaybould, Minister of Environment and Climate Change Catherine McKenna and Minister of National Defence Harjit Sajjan, all elected for the first time on October 29. The Prime Minister has promised a near complete departure from the previous government, both in priorities and in tone. This includes refocusing on areas of traditional Liberal importance, such as the environment. Minister of Foreign Affairs Stéphane Dion may have best summed up this shift during his first press conference when he told Canadians that: ‘We were elected promising sustainable development. We believe in development, but it must be sustainable.’ The priorities of the Liberal government are numerous and the newly appointed ministers have a lot on their plates. The government has already acted quickly on several files, participating actively in the COP21 conference, beginning the process of calling a national inquiry into missing and murdered indigenous women, implementing their promised middle class tax cut, and beginning to resettle more Syrian refugees. The new ministers face significant challenges in the coming months, driven in large part by the continued decline in the resource market and accompanying slower than expected economic growth. This is impacting the economy while also reducing expected government revenues, blowing a hole in the government’s projections. While the Prime Minister previously stated that deficits would be kept to $10bn a year for three years, some are already predicting that they could balloon to as much as $25bn a year. Minister Morneau faces a significant challenge as he works on his first budget, and other ministers may face the duel challenges of tackling extensive lists of priorities and stimulating a shaky economy with fewer fiscal resources than they had expected. Parliament is set to convene on January 25, when the governing in earnest will begin. ‘Tasked with executing an ambitious agenda, the cabinet includes few with political experience but many with significant real-world experience.’ NATIONAL Public Relations Contacts: Dan Mader Vice President NATIONAL Public Relations 81 Metcalfe Street 2nd Floor Ottawa, Ontario K1P 6K7 Canada [email protected] Matthew Moth Founding Partner Madano 7th Floor, 160 Blackfriars Rd London SE1 8EZ T: +44 (0) 20 7593 4023 [email protected] www.madano.com Members Business Update 1 Air Canada announced Dec 15 that Craig Landry, currently VP, Marketing, has been appointed President of the Air Canada Leisure Group. In his new position, Mr. Landry will be responsible for the integrated leisure group, which consists of the Air Canada Vacations tour operator business and the leisure airline Air Canada rouge. BlackBerry reported 43% yr-over-yr organic growth in software license Winter 2016 revenue for the 3 months ended Nov 28 with total software and services revenue growing 183% yrover-yr. Bombardier Inc announced Dec 9 the immediate appointment of Laurent Troger as President, Bombardier Transportation. Mr. Troger, who has been with the company for 11 years, had recently been promoted to COO of Transportation. He succeeds Lutz Bertling, who is stepping down to pursue other career opportunities. CAE announced Dec 21 a series of training solution contracts valued at more than C$100m with 5 airlines. The diversity of these agreements highlights the span of CAE's full range of training programs that cover the entire career life cycle of professional pilots and CAE's leadership in developing training equipment solutions for next generation aircraft types. Page 7 A Post-Election Evening with Wayne Wouters The Chamber hosted a post-elections evening networking event with over 120 attending, sponsored by Navigator Ltd and McCarthy Tetrault in November entitled: ‘Canada’s General Election: Canada’s Left Turn - What this means for business and the UK’. Guest speaker was The Hon. Wayne Wouters, P.C., former Clerk to the Privy Council and Secretary to the Cabinet who was interviewed by Jaime Watt, Executive Chairman, Navigator Ltd. Wayne Wouters, is Strategic and Page 8 Policy Advisor to McCarthy Tétrault and has a distinguished 37-year career in public service, including 5 years serving as the Clerk of the Privy Council of Canada. As Clerk he held the roles of Deputy Minister to the Prime Minister, Secretary to the Cabinet and Head of the Public Service, providing direct advice and support to the Prime Minister on all issues affecting and implicating the federal Government. The Chamber would like to thank Navigator, McCarthy Tetrault and the High Commission for sponsoring this event. Winter 2016 Winter 2016 Page 9 Toronto Mayor John Tory at the Chamber Toronto Mayor John Tory addressed over 130 members in October. Mayor Tory’s program focused on showcasing that Toronto is open for business as well as exploring ways London is working to move infrastructure forward. The Mayor was introduced by Deputy High Commissioner Alan Kessel with Chamber Board Director Aaron Rosland acting as MC. Elected in December 2014 as the city’s 65th Mayor, John Tory’s visit to London coincided with the change of federal Government in Canada. As he stated to those present, Toronto is Canada’s largest city and has a major stake in the measures implemented by the federal government on key Page 10 issues such as transit, infrastructure and housing. ‘And so I have made a pointed effort since my election ... to join the discussion with my fellow mayors - individually and as a group - and to directly advocate for Toronto’s priorities with the Prime Minister, his ministers and MPs… I’m going to make sure those commitments result in real action and benefits for the people of Toronto, and I promise to work effectively and cooperatively with our new Parliament and government.’ The Chamber is grateful to the City of Toronto, Ontario International and High Commission of Canada for their assistance with this event. Winter 2016 Toronto Mayor at the Chamber cont. Winter 2016 Page 11 Business Innovation & Skills at the Chamber Martin Donnelly CMG, Permanent Secretary to the UK’s Business, Innovation and Skills Department addressed over 120 representatives from a dozen bilateral chambers including the Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce in an evening reception at Canada House in November. With a background including extensive economic and international experience - Page 12 he joined the FCO Board in 2004 as Director General, Europe & Globalisation, where he was G8 foreign affairs Sherpa; he was Deputy Head of the Cabinet Office European Secretariat, leading work on European economic reform for the government 1998-2003 he has been a member of the personal staff of Leon Brittan, then European Commission Vice President; and he has been on secondment to the French Finance Ministry -Mr Donnelly outlined his thoughts on ‘The UK’s industrial strategy’. Canada-UK Chamber President William Swords acted as host on behalf of the Council of Foreign Chambers of Commerce, and Chamber Board Observer Greg Houlahan welcomed the international guests and the CEOs of the 12 participating Chambers (seen in the photo above left with the guest of honour). Winter 2016 7th Annual International Wines, Beers and Spirits evening The Chamber joined a dozen other bilateral chambers in a wine, spirits and beer tasting evening held at Church House Conference Centre in Westminster on 23 September. Chambers taking part included those representing: Argentina; Austria; Belgium & Luxembourg; Canada; France; Georgia; Italy; Japan; Hungary; Mexico; Portugal; and Spain. Over 250 attended the event which was being held for the seventh year. Over 40 of our Canada UK Chamber members Winter 2016 attended the event with Peller Estates providing VQA Niagara Peninsula Ice Cuvée and icewines on behalf of Canada. Notes were available on all the wines: Ice Cuvée: very fine bubbles spiral upwards, through this brilliant yellow straw coloured wine. The bouquet of apricot, yeast and ripe apple, with hints of honey, are followed by tropical fruits on the palate and a refreshing pink grapefruit finish. Excellent with spicy Asian food or Indian curry dishes. Ice Cuvée ‘Rosé: a medium-bodied, refreshing sparkler that is slightly off-dry, yet finishes dry as a result of the delicate tannins from the Cabernet Franc. Enjoy before a meal with assorted appetizers; during a meal with grilled salmon, roasted herb chicken or lightly spiced pork tenderloin; or after a meal simply on its own. For more info go to: www.peller.com Page 13 Xmas lunch with Dr Linda Papadopoulos In December the Chamber hosted for our Xmas lunch Canadian Dr Linda Papadopoulos, one of the most well-known and respected psychologists working in the UK today. Her 14-year career as a research scientist and practising psychologist has led to her work being published in some of the most wellregarded academic journals and given rise to a high profile mediacareer. As well as her clinical and academic work Dr. Papadopoulos is often enlisted to Page 14 consult with large corporations who want to utilise her research and academic background to effectively conduct studies and analyse quantitative and qualitative data. Her analysis provides major brands such as Dior, Speedo, and Renault with valuable insight on topics such as consumer behaviour. Dr Linda’s talk on ‘Identity’ was based on her TED lecture on the same subject and drew wide ranging follow up questions. For more go to: www.youtube.com/watch ?v=lAdOeP6d3pQ Chamber President William Swords acted as MC and Vice President Brian Smith delivered the Vote of Thanks. The Xmas raffle raised over £1,300 in aid of the Maple Leaf Trust and we are extremely grateful for the many prizes members donated for the raffle. The Chamber is grateful to Board Director Victor Dahdaleh for his help with the organising of this event. Winter 2016 Xmas lunch cont. Winter 2016 Page 15 Lunch with Michael Downey Chief Executive of the LTA Board, Charter and specially invited members enjoyed a lunch in the Autumn at Canada House with Canadian Michael Downey, current Chief Executive of the Lawn Tennis Association in the UK. Michael Downey joined the LTA in 2014 after 9 successful years as President and CEO of Tennis Canada, during which time the sport has enjoyed significant growth, both at grassroots Page 16 and at the elite level. As CEO, Michael is responsible for leading the execution of the LTA’s long term strategy, all day -to-day management decisions, and acts as a liaison between the Board and management of the LTA. Michael was formerly Regional President for Canada's largest brewery, Molson Canada, and VP, Sales and Marketing, for the Toronto Raptors (NBA), the Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and the Air Canada Centre. Mr Downey outlined the latest strategic thinking of the LTA to grow the sport at grassroots in the UK. [The event was held before Britain’s success in the Davis Cup Final.] The lunch was kindly sponsored by Madano Partnership. Winter 2016 Focus on Creative Canada The Chamber with the provincial governments of BC, Ontario and Quebec as well as the High Commission of Canada hosted an evening panel debate on the Creative Industries in the Autumn. The event highlighted the strengths of the film and TV industry, with real life success stories discussed outlining their journeys of doing business in Canada and setting up a presence. The event specifically focused on Winter 2016 Canada’s thriving film, visual effects, digital media and gaming industries, and access to finance in Canada with financial products tailored to the creative industries. On the panel were: Andrew Chang-Sang President, Productivity Media; Mark Benson, Global MD MPC Film; Eric Fournier, CEO Moment Factory; and Victor Wade, Head of 2D Vancouver Double Negative Event Moderator was film producer Richard Holmes. The Chamber is grateful to Richie Santosdiaz (BC Government); William Samman (Quebec Government); Aaron Rosland (Ontario International); and Pierre Kowlessar (High Commission of Canada) for their help with this event. Page 17 SME Forum attracts large turnout for Crowdfunding event The SME Forum hosted a networking evening in late September at Canada House on Crowdfunding with guest speakers Nicola Horlick, CEO of Money&Co, and Michael Wilkinson, Head of Equity, Crowdcube Ltd. The event was sponsored by Scotiabank and Fox Williams LLP, and moderated by Jon Segal, Partner, FinTech & Alternative Finance, Fox Williams. Over 160 members and guests attended the event. Nicola Horlick worked with Leonard Licht, one of the leading fund managers in the City during the 1980s. Together, they built up Page 18 the Specialist Equity team of what became Mercury Asset Management. Nicola was appointed MD of the UK business of Morgan Grenfell in 1992. Over the following 5 years, funds under management increased from £4bn to £22bn. In 2011, Nicola became one of the founding partners and Chairman of Rockpool Investments, a private equity business remaining as Chairman until early 2015. She is currently CEO of Money&Co a person-tobusiness lending platform, connecting people looking for a better rate of interest on their cash with businesses seeking finance to grow. Money&Co is experiencing rapid growth as many companies are still finding it difficult to borrow money from banks. Crowdcube is the ‘world’s leading investment crowdfunding platform’ and enables anyone to invest alongside professional investors in ‘start-up, early stage and growth businesses through equity, debt and investment fund options.’ The Chamber is grateful to Richie Clark, Chair of the SME Forum, for his help in putting together this event, as well as the High Commission of Canada for use of the facilities at Canada House. Winter 2016 Winter 2016 Page 19 Page 20 Winter 2016 Canada - Tepid 2016 Ahead As Economy Adjusts To Low Oil Prices Dec 24 Looking ahead to 2016 2015 –Not a Great Year Looking ahead to 2016, the housing market is likely to cool as rising interest rates and increased down payment requirements cool demand. Many parts of Canada’s housing market have already cooled, but we expect to see this extend to hotter markets like Toronto and Vancouver. A slowdown in the housing sector is also likely to restrain consumer spending growth, as there is less impetus for housing-related purchases. Just as important, personal income growth is likely to be held back by job losses and falling income in commodityproducing regions. And, Canadians continue to shoulder heavy debt burdens, which will keep consumers spending within their means. It’s fair to say that 2015 was not a great year for the Canadian economy or its forecasters alike. At this time last year, the price of oil had already fallen to $55 a barrel, and forecasters were rapidly downgrading their expectations for Canadian growth in 2015. While we were among those downgrading their outlook, the hit to the economy ultimately proved larger than we had anticipated. Indeed, the economy contracted in the first half of the year, staged a short-lived comeback in the third quarter, and appears likely to eke out only sub-1% growth in the fourth. Underperformance Much of the underperformance in Canadian growth can be attributed to the fact that oil prices also failed to meet expectations. Since last December, the price of oil has fallen another 35%, helping bring the Canadian dollar down 16% and the TSX down 10%... Even so, there were some upside surprises in 2015. Residential investment was one area that continued to outperform expectations, as the housing market responded to the Bank of Canada’s two recent rate cuts. Lower mortgage rates kicked off another spurt of housing activity, especially in regions that were more insulated or benefitting from the effects of lower oil prices. In terms of non-residential investment, with oil prices below $40 per barrel, investment in the oil patch is likely to continue to languish over the next several quarters. While there is likely to be some offset from other sectors, the overall investment picture will be one of weakness over the next year. Perhaps the only silver lining is that the majority of the adjustment is now in the rear view mirror. Compared to the 10% fall in investment that took place in 2015 (fourth quarter to fourth quarter), we anticipate a decline of only 1% in 2016. Infrastructure investment On the brighter side of things, the new Liberal government’s plans to boost infrastructure spending should provide a fillip to economic growth, although most will come in 2017 rather than 2016. Stronger US demand should also see export growth accelerate, helped by a weaker loonie. The currency will also see more travel dollars spent at home, boosting tourism -related sectors. All told, Canada’s economy will continue to face challenges in 2016, but overall growth is expected to see a modest pickup. From roughly a half a percent in 2015 (Q4/Q4) we expect growth to average close to 2% in 2016… That acceleration isn’t likely to generate much inflationary pressure, enabling the Bank of Canada to keep current monetary stimulus in place in order to facilitate the economy’s adjustment to a lower oil price environment. ‘All told, Canada’s economy will continue to face challenges in 2016, but overall growth is expected to see a modest pickup. From roughly a half a percent in 2015 (Q4/Q4) we expect growth to average close to 2% in 2016...’ Read more at: www.td.com/document/PDF/ economics/weekly/ BottomLine_20151224.pdf TD Economics Author: Leslie Preston Senior Economist TD Securities T: +1 416 983 7053 www.td.com/economics Contact: Brian Smith Vice Chair, Head of Europe & Asia Pacific TD Securities 60 Threadneedle Street London EC2R 8AP T: +44 (0)20 7448 8354 [email protected] www.tdsecurities.com Members Business Update 2 ArcelorMittal has announced new organisational structure for the Americas: Jim Baske will be Executive VP of ArcelorMittal and CEO ArcelorMittal North America (excluding USA); and John Brett will be Chief Executive of ArcelorMittal USA effective 1st Jan. Winter 2016 Dec 17 - institutional investors and banking Quebec announced a new investment of $300m in Agropur Cooperative with $150m from Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec; $37.4m from National Bank and $32.4m from Investissement Québec. Sweett Group -provider of professional services for the construction and management of building and infrastructure projectshas secured a two-year Extension of Term on the UK’s Network Rail’s Project Support Services Agreement. Page 21 RBC Canadian PMI drops lower in December ‘Survey respondents noted that soft domestic demand, especially from clients within the energy sector, had offset the marginal increases in new work from abroad.’ RBC The December 2015 RBC Canadian Manufacturing PMI indicated that business conditions deteriorated at a slightly faster pace relative to November. Specifically, the PMI index for December dropped to 47.5 from 48.6 in November. This represented the weakest level of confidence since the index was first compiled in October 2010. The PMI is calculated as a diffusion measure with a reading above or below 50 indicating improving or deteriorating business conditions in the manufacturing sector. The further the reading is above or below the breakeven level of 50, the greater the pace of improvement or deterioration. The recent drop in the PMI coincided with renewed downward pressure on oil prices, which dropped to $36.6/barrel in December from $42.6/barrel in November and $46.2/barrel in October. The December PMI index indicated limited offset from strengthening export demand benefitting from a rising US economy and falling Canadian dollar. The PMI is an aggregate of 5 major components. In December, 4 of these components contributed to the weakening in the overall PMI measure. The most sizeable deterioration occurred in the output measure, which dropped to 46.9 in December from 48.9 in November. Delivery times, which enter the PMI inversely, jumped to 49.7 from November’s reading of 48.2. This indicated that delivery times barely slowed in December, with respondents indicating that lower demand for raw materials contributed to the improved delivery times in the month. The employment measure sank sharply to 46.4 in December from 47.9 in November. Deterioration was attributed to a lack of new work as well as tighter cost controls. The key new orders measure dropped to 47.4 in December from 48.1 Page 22 in November. ‘Survey respondents noted that soft domestic demand, especially from clients within the energy sector, had offset the marginal increases in new work from abroad.’ The only PMI component to indicate less weakness was the stock of purchases measure. Although it indicated still significant slowing in purchases of production inputs with an index reading of 47.8, this was up from the November reading of 45.9. Other components of the survey, which are not included in the calculation of the overall PMI measure, were evenly split with 2 measures showing an improvement and 2 measures indicating weakening conditions. Encouragingly, the export orders measure not only showed rising demand but also at a slightly faster pace relative to November; however, the pace of rising demand remained relatively modest with a December index reading of 51.4 compared to 50.9 in November. The improvement reportedly reflected the effect of the weaker Canadian dollar and ‘successful efforts to enter new overseas markets.’ Inventories of finished goods continued to decline, although barely so with a December index reading of 49.8, which was up from the 48.8 recorded in November. More discouraging was that the backlog of work index sank to 44.9 in December from 47.1 in November. Input purchases slowed at an even faster pace in December with the index reading dropping to 46.2 from 47.3 in November. Input prices continued to rise in December, although at a slower pace relative to November with the index measure dropping to 54.6 from 57.4. Respondents indicated that the weaker currency applied upward pressure, although this was tempered by falling global commodity prices. In contrast, output prices fell, with an index reading in December dropping below 50 to 48.3 and were down from the 50.5 recorded in November. Although this indicated a modest pace of falling prices, it represented the fastest rate of decline since the index was first compiled in October 2010. Price reductions reportedly reflected ‘intense competitive pressures.’ The RBC PMI is also calculated on a regional basis for Ontario, Quebec, Alberta and BC, and the Rest of Canada. The effect of lower oil prices is clearly evident in the Alberta and BC region with the index reading in December of 43.9 that represented the fastest pace of deterioration in the country. It is of note that this represented slight improvement from the November reading of 43.4. In fact, Alberta and BC was the only region to show an improvement in the month. The index reading for Quebec of 46.2 was particularly disappointing, because it represented a deepening in the pace of weakening business conditions relative to the November index of 49.1. This weakness is surprising, because the drop in oil prices largely imply lower energy costs for the province of Quebec, with its export sector seemingly in a position to benefit from strengthening US growth and a weaker Canadian dollar. This support is evident in the index reading for Ontario, which continued to show rising confidence, although the pace of improvement slowed... Read more at: www.rbc.com/economics/dailyeconomic-update/Jan-4.html Contact: Paul Ferley Assistant Chief Economist RBC Economics www.rbc.com/economics Winter 2016 Bank Of Canada Firmly on Hold Dec 2 The Bank of Canada held interest rates steady at 0.5% today, as expected. The statement was ever so slightly more dovish than in October, which may have disappointed some looking for more cautious language from policymakers following the surprisingly large contraction in September GDP. Markets were pricing small odds of a cut in early 2016 heading into the meeting, but poststatement have backed off and are now more neutral through much of next year. Interestingly, the paragraph on inflation, which had been the first paragraph in the statement for much of the past two years, was moved to the bottom of the statement, highlighting the BoC’s lack of concern on that front. Here are some key quotes from today’s press release: While global growth is ‘evolving essentially as the Bank had anticipated’ and ‘the US economy continues to grow at a solid pace…(US) private domestic demand has proven slightly less robust than expected.’ There’s a bit more caution on the US here. There was no mention of emerging market worries, which had been prevalent in the prior few statements. Perhaps the most important line in the statement is that ‘policy divergence is expected to remain a prominent theme.’ This is likely a message to those who think that the Bank could be pressured to tighten as the Fed pushes rate higher. Governor Poloz is making it clear that even as the Fed hikes, Canadian rates will stay steady. Staying with this theme, the statement later says that ‘while bond yields are slightly higher, financial conditions remain accommodative in Canada.’ This could be a warning to ensure Canadian bond yields don’t mirror the US move higher as the Fed hikes (which we expect later this month). On the domestic economy, ‘the dynamics of growth have been broadly in line with the Bank’s MPR outlook. The economy continues to undergo a complex and lengthy adjustment to the decline in Canada’s terms of trade.’ This is consistent with what the Bank has been saying for a while now, as the economy continues to shift away from commodity-driven growth toward exports. The language on that front was upbeat as ‘exports are picking up, particularly in exchange rate-sensitive categories.’ Lastly, the comment ‘vulnerabilities in the household sector continue to edge higher while overall risks to financial stability are evolving as expected’ is unchanged from the October statement. Bottom Line: hold for the foreseeable future. Following the July rate cut, Governor Poloz set a high bar for further easing which has not been reached. Indeed, the economy has evolved largely in line with the October MPR forecast, with 2015H2 GDP growth likely to be around 2%. Barring a meaningful change in the economic backdrop - a big move in oil (up or down), a slump in exports, surprise weakness in the US - the BoC could be on the sidelines for some time. If January’s surprise rate cut was the climax for the BOC this year, today was the anti-climax. Read more at: www.bmonesbittburns.com/economics/ econofacts/20151202a/econofacts.pdf Author: Benjamin Reitzes Senior Economist BMO T: +1 416 359 5628 [email protected] www.bmonesbittburns.com ‘Barring a meaningful change in the economic backdrop - a big move in oil (up or down), a slump in exports, surprise weakness in the US the BoC could be on the sidelines for some time…’ BMO Contact: William Smith Managing Director & Head of Europe & the Middle East BMO Financial Group 95 Queen Victoria Street London EC4V 4HG T: +44 (0)20 7664 8101 [email protected] Today’s statement reinforces that the Bank looks to be on Members Business Update 3 Jan 5 – Aeroplan announced that members can start earning miles across the full automotive customer journey on all Toyota and Scion vehicles in Canada, as part of its new partnership with Toyota Canada Inc. Prime Minister’s Questions in the House of Commons on 18 Nov. He also referred to the Group as a creator of ‘high quality local jobs and apprenticeships in the engineering sector’. Craig Tracey, Conservative MP for North Warwickshire and Bedworth, cited Nasmyth Group as an example of why manufacturing was thriving in his constituency when he spoke in Rio Tinto unveiled in early Dec one of the largest diamonds ever discovered in Canada. The 187.7 carat gem-quality rough diamond, known as The Diavik Foxfire, was discovered at the Diavik Winter 2016 Diamond Mine in the remote Northwest Territories of Canada. The Diavik Foxfire diamond was showcased during an exclusive preview at Kensington Palace in London. A £369m contract to support the RAF’s fleet of C-130 Hercules transport aircraft has been awarded by the Ministry of Defence to Rolls-Royce, Marshall Aerospace and Defence Group, and Lockheed Martin. Page 23 Page 24 Winter 2016 Canadian growth uncertainties keep BoC easing risks alive Dec 7 In addition to the ongoing adjustment in natural resources and the spillover effects across the rest of the economy, at least 4 other factors combine to make it difficult to assess risks to our forecast for modest Q4 economic growth. On balance they point to downside risks. The Bank of Canada spelled out its expectations (see www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/ bns_econ/ scotiaflash20151202A.pdf ) and, should those expectations be dashed, then another rate cut cannot be ruled out. First, because GDP growth ended Q3 with a 0.5% m/m contraction in September, the hand-off to Q4 is poor: growth is tracking at a contraction of 1.1% in Q4 due solely to the Q3 hand-off. Further, October trade data, which is the only material Q4 data point we have so far, suggests exports are already tracking at a -8% q/q annualized decline this quarter, and will thus do little to lift growth. Plainly put, this purely mathematical fact puts the economy behind the eight ball on Q4 growth tracking. Second, however, is that a considerable portion of what drove the weakness in September GDP was likely Winter 2016 transitory and focused upon a 5% single-month drop in output in the mining, oil and gas sector. Contracting activity in nonconventional oil and gas extraction stemmed from production issues at Nexen and Syncrude oil sands facilities that are forecast to abate in October. These projects ramped back up to full production mid-way through September and we anticipate a complete reversal of the losses reported. As well, the two major oil sands projects continued raw bitumen production during downtime, placing products in onsite storage, suggesting an upside risk for non-conventional activity m/m in an October release. We anticipate continued growth in non-conventional oil production given newer project expansion, including Surmount Phase II and Sunrise oil sands, that are ramping up through the remainder of the year. Conventional oil and gas extraction and petroleum and coal manufacturing will remain a downside risk to this outlook, as we expect continued declines in conventional oil and gas extraction as wells dry up and are not replaced. The number of active rigs drilling in Canada remains near the 10-year low. As well, substantial investment at the Irving refinery in Saint John forced a shutdown in September and was completed in late October. This will weigh on year -ago growth in petroleum manufacturing, though we may see a small month-ago bump as the facility came back online. Third, Canada has been plagued by a highly unusual number of positive and negative shocks of a temporary nature this year and they have swung industry level growth patterns all over the map as a consequence. The question going forward is whether the lifting of those one-off distortions will lead to a sustained expansion. Fourth, the volume of Canadian business inventories relative to sales is at its highest since the global financial crisis. Inventory disinvestment has begun but either a) has much further to run, or b) requires a strong surge in sales to bring inventories back into balance. The former is more likely in our view and that portends ongoing trend softness in domestic production and selling exports out of inventories. ‘In addition to the ongoing adjustment in natural resources and the spillover effects across the rest of the economy, at least 4 other factors combine to make it difficult to assess risks to our forecast for modest Q4 economic growth. On balance they point to downside risks.’ Scotiabank Authors: Derek Holt Vice President Economics Scotiabank [email protected] www.gbm.scotiabank.com Page 25 Shell launches Quest carbon capture and storage project 6 Nov ‘Together with government and joint-venture partners, we are sharing the knowhow to help make CCS technologies more accessible and cost-effective for the energy industry and other key industrial sectors of the Shell celebrated the official opening of the Quest carbon capture and storage (CCS) project in Alberta, Canada, and the start of commercial operations there. Quest is designed to capture and safely store more than one million tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) each year – equal to the emissions from about 250,000 cars. Quest was made possible through strong collaboration between the public and private sectors aimed at advancing CCS globally. economy.’ Shell As part of its funding arrangements, Shell is publically sharing information on Quest's design and processes to further global adoption of CCS. Quest draws on techniques used by the energy industry for decades and integrates the components of CCS for the large-scale capture, transport and storage of CO2. CCS is one of the only technologies that can significantly reduce carbon emissions from industrial sectors of the economy. Speaking at the official opening, Shell’s CEO Ben van Beurden said: ‘Quest represents a significant milestone in the successful design, construction and use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology on a commercial scale. Quest is a blueprint for future CCS projects globally. Together with government and jointventure partners, we are sharing the know-how to help make CCS technologies more accessible and costeffective for the energy industry and other key industrial sectors of the economy.’ Quest will capture one-third of the emissions from Shell’s Scotford Upgrader, which turns oil sands bitumen into synthetic crude that can be refined into fuel and other products. The CO2 is then transported through a 65kilometre pipeline and injected more than two kms underground below multiple layers of impermeable rock formations. Quest is now operating at commercial scale after successful testing earlier this year, during which it captured and stored more than 200,000 tonnes of CO2. Quest was built on behalf of the Athabasca Oil Sands Project joint-venture owners Shell Canada Energy (60%), Chevron Canada Limited (20%) and Marathon Oil Canada Corporation (20%), and was made possible through strong support from the governments of Alberta and Canada who provided C$865m in funding. Collaboration is continuing through Quest between Shell and various parties in an effort to bring down costs of future CCS projects globally. This includes cooperation with the US Department of Energy, and the British government on research at the Quest site. ‘The secondment from the UK’s Energy Technologies Institute to the Quest CCS project is an example of British and Canadian cooperation in cutting-edge low-carbon technologies,’ said Howard Drake, British High Commissioner to Canada. ‘This research-focused partnership will help to develop CCS expertise on both sides of the Atlantic in an effort to advance the innovative solutions demonstrated at Quest.’ Support from the local community was essential to building Quest. Shell initiated public consultation in 2008, two years before submitting a regulatory application. Contact: Sarah Bradley Deputy Head UK Government Relations Shell International Ltd Shell Centre 1 York Road London SE1 7NA T: +44 (0)20 7934 2260 [email protected] www.shell.com NEW MEMBER PROFILE Crowdcube Crowdcube is the world’s leading investment crowdfunding platform. We enable anyone to invest alongside professional investors in start-up, early stage and growth businesses through equity, debt and investment fund options. Join the 200,000-strong crowd looking for more interesting investments - it’s free, quick and has no obligations. Contact: Michael Wilkinson Head of Equity Investment 62 Dean St, London W1D 4QF T: +44 (0)1392 891859 Page 26 [email protected] www.crowdcube.com Winter 2016 Energy Forum: Lord Gus O’Donnell & the UK’s Energy Policy Over 75 members attended an Energy Forum breakfast in November hosted and sponsored by TD Securities. Guest speaker was Lord Gus O’Donnell, Advisor to the CEO at TD Bank. Lord O’Donnell spoke on the UK’s Energy Policy. As Cabinet Secretary, Lord O’Donnell was the top civil servant in the UK from 2005 to 2011, serving under Prime Ministers Tony Blair, Winter 2016 Gordon Brown and David Cameron. He stood down from this position at the end of 2011, and was appointed to the House of Lords in January 2012. Lord O’Donnell shared his thoughts and insights on: the structure of the UK’s retail energy markets post the CMA review; renewables and the environment; the UK North Sea -has the government done enough on regulation and taxation; the UK onshore gas and fracking (is there real support for onshore drilling); the UK’s aging energy infrastructure and expectations for the Paris Climate Change Summit. Energy Forum Chair Mark Ledwell acted as MC and the Introduction was delivered by Chamber VP Brian Smith. Page 27 The Paris Climate Agreement -diplomacy returns The ‘COP21’ climate conference in Paris was, in short, a success. Two weeks of fraught negotiations delivered the Paris Agreement – a genuinely ambitious and binding agreement to limit the rise in global temperatures to well below two degrees Celsius. ‘Although light on specifics, the Paris text is clear that a huge expansion in renewable energy is vital. As is support for market mechanisms to price, tax and trade carbon – very relevant to discussions in a number of Canadian provinces today.’ Madano agreed will require an unprecedented scale and pace of change worldwide. Although light on specifics, the Paris text is clear that a huge expansion in renewable energy is vital. As is support for market mechanisms to price, tax and trade carbon – very relevant to discussions in a number of Canadian provinces today. A statement of intent It is hard to overstate the scale of this global ambition. 195 nations are now bound to massively reduce global emissions over the coming decades. Countries have even agreed to aim for net zero carbon emissions in the second half of the century. This is substantially more than many diplomats expected and is a testament to the ever growing level of political consensus around the risks of climate change, as well as the mediation skills of the French hosts. Symptomatic of the change in tone, the new Canadian government won plaudits for reengaging with the international climate discussions – sending more delegates than any other country – and playing an important role in reaching a consensual agreement. As a statement of intent, the agreement could not be clearer, giving a potent signal to policy makers, business leaders and the public to bolster efforts to shift to low carbon economic growth. Achieving what has been The challenge is to move beyond the euphoria and translate words in the negotiating room into actions in the real world. commitment be sustained under prolonged attack? The agreement also fudges the crucial issue of climate finance. Paying for climate policies remains beyond the reach of the poorest countries. Rich nations, including Canada, have pledged to reach a minimum target of US$100bn per year to 2025 to fund initiatives in the developing world. But the funding pledged so far is well below this target. It will need to rise much higher to achieve the ambitions set out in Paris. Again the issue is how to enforce action. The challenge of reality A Demonstration of leadership Despite the positive language, countries’ individual climate pledges, submitted before the conference, remain non-binding in the Paris Agreement. The UN’s own analysis found that, even if fully implemented, these pledges alone would not be enough to keep within the two degree target. Recognising this, the deal ties countries to a five-yearly cycle to measure and improve their ambitions for emissions reduction. The question is, how will underperforming nations be treated? Without a clear mechanism for managing noncompliance, enforcement will rest on the power of reputational impact alone. From a Canadian perspective, Prime Minister Trudeau plans to meet with the provinces and agree new national targets within 90 days. But the government is already being criticised over the impact this could have on the oil and gas sector and consumer bills. Could such climate These challenges are not insurmountable. What is most important today, is that nations large and small have agreed that global decarbonisation has to be the end goal, in as short a timescale as possible. From the UK to the US, China to Canada, national leaders have stopped dragging behind the court of public opinion – they are beginning to lead it. Contacts: Nick Turton Head of Energy Practice Madano T: +44 (0)20 7593 4000 [email protected] Matthew Moth Founding Partner Madano 7th Floor, 160 Blackfriars Rd London SE1 8EZ T: +44 (0)20 7593 4023 [email protected] www.madano.com Business Update Major initiatives have been launched in Canada, the US and the UK focused on enhancing cybersecurity. The Canadian Council of Chief Executives and a group of leading Canadian companies have announced plans for an independent, not-for-profit organization, the Canadian Cyber Threat Exchange (CCTX), to help Canadian businesses and consumers guard against cyber attacks. Launching in 2016, the CCTX will work to share Page 28 information about cyber threats and vulnerabilities among businesses, government and research institutions. The Globe & Mail reported Nov 19 that ‘the proportion of women on Canadian corporate boards took its largest leap ever in 2015 to almost 20%’ but Canada continues to lag behind globally. The UK has no allmale boards on the FTSE 100 and just 15 all-male boards on the FTSE 250, whereas Canada has 109 allmale boards among the FP500. British trade to countries that have deals with the EU has increased dramatically, generating business worth billions of pounds, according to new research released by ‘Britain Stronger in Europe campaign’ which says EU free trade agreements have led to a doubling of exports in some cases. Winter 2016 Situated in the Province of Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada, AbbyShot is a small business making big waves! Whether you’re exploring the worlds of Doctor Who, stepping back in time with Outlander, or entering Once Upon a Time’s fairy tale, we have you covered...literally! Since 2002, AbbyShot has been creating high quality, licensed replica apparel & accessories from TV, movies & video games. Our products have a quality that is timeless and trendy, appealing not only to fans of the particular brand, but to those who are fashion conscious and appreciate finer styling. AbbyShot is well respected on the international stage, with customers spanning 53 countries and partners BBC Worldwide, ABC/Disney, Sony, Twentieth Century Fox, Capcom, Jay and Silent Bob’s Secret Stash and NBC Universal. TV Series, DOCTOR WHO In November, AbbyShot was honored to attend the Doctor Who Festival in London. We were thrilled to offer a number of new products to our excited customers! The relationships we have built at events such as this will be everlasting. Earlier this year, we launched three new product lines. Our Product Designer often visits the sets of these popular TV shows, to examine and document details of design to ensure screen accuracy. AbbyShot is delighted to be an Overseas member of the Canada UK Chamber of Commerce. We look forward to the opportunity to meeting you either virtually or during our travels to the UK. We may be across the pond but we are always open to a great conversation! TV Series, OUTLANDER NEW MEMBER PROFILE Abbyshot Clothiers AbbyShot is a privately held Canadian corporation founded in July 2002. Our garment designs are styled after clothing worn in movies, anime series, TV shows and computer games. We currently export to over 53 countries around the world and have a global reputation for making the best screen-accurate clothing - a reputation earned by near-obsessive attention to the details of garment accuracy, quality and durability. We pride ourselves on having excellent customer service and have received as much praise for that as our products. AbbyShot is located in Mount Pearl, Newfoundland. Contact: Bonnie Edgecombe Cook CEO 75 Barbour Drive, Mount Pearl Newfoundland A1N 2X3 Canada T: +1 (709) 747 2323 Winter 2016 [email protected] www.abbyshot.com Page 29 Alberta’s ambitious new climate change plans announced ‘We are going to put capital to work, investing in new technologies, better efficiency, and jobcreating investments in green infrastructure. We are going to write a made-inAlberta policy that works for our province…’ Alberta Premier Rachel Notley On November 22 the Alberta Government announced an ambitious new climate change plan. Representatives from both prominent environmental groups, such as the Pembina Institute, as well as Suncor Energy, Canadian Natural Resources, Cenovus Energy and Royal Dutch Shell, joined Alberta Premier Rachel Notley as she made the announcement. ‘We are going to do our part to address one of the world’s greatest problems. We are going to put capital to work, investing in new technologies, better efficiency, and jobcreating investments in green infrastructure. We are going to write a made-in-Alberta policy that works for our province and our industries, and keeps our capital here in Alberta,’ said Premier Notley. Alberta’s new climate change plan replaces its current $15/ tonne carbon price on large industrial emitters with an economy wide carbon tax that will phase up to $30/tonne by January 2018. Emissions from the oil sands will be capped at 100 megatonnes. The Government has committed to reinvesting all proceeds from the carbon tax back into Alberta towards research on green energy, constructing new public transit infrastructure, improving energy efficiency, and helping individuals, First Nations and small businesses transition to a low carbon economy. Premier Notley also announced that Alberta will phase out all coal power generation by 2030, replacing two-thirds of that capacity with renewable energy. Renewable energy sources will comprise up to 30% of Alberta’s electricity production by 2030. Murray Edwards, Chair, Canadian Natural Resources, said of the plan, ‘The announcement is a significant step forward for Alberta. We appreciate the strong leadership demonstrated by Premier Notley and her government. The framework announced will allow ongoing innovation and technology investment in the oil and natural gas sector. In this way, we will do our part to address climate change while protecting jobs and industry competitiveness in Alberta.’ Premier Notley attended the international climate change negotiations in Paris, along with the Premiers of Ontario, Quebec, BC and Saskatchewan, and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. In Paris, Premier Notley announced that Alberta will be joining the Climate Group’s States and Regions Alliance, a network of sub-national governments committed to working together on climate issues. She also signed an MOU with Air Liquide to identify and pursue mutual opportunities in areas such as clean technology, advanced water technology solutions and health. Contact: Michael Padua International Policy Manager Alberta - UK Office Canada House Trafalgar Square London SW1Y 5BJ T: +44 (0)20 7004 6127 [email protected] www.albertacanada.com/UK Manitoba commits to increase Small Business tax-free income threshold Starting in 2017, small businesses in Manitoba will be able to earn even more income and still pay no provincial corporate income tax as the small business threshold will increase to $500,000, Finance Minister Greg Dewar announced 1 December. ‘We are proud that our government is still the only one in Canada that has eliminated the small business tax. Small businesses are the heart of our economy and we want to do what we can to help local entrepreneurs free up more money to create jobs and invest in our province,’ said Minister Dewar. ’When we entered office, Manitoba’s small businesses faced the highest taxes in the country. Now, they have the most competitive corporate income tax rate in Canada.’ Page 30 The minister noted that $3.8bn has been put back in the hands of Manitoba’s entrepreneurs since 1999 because of tax relief measures introduced by the provincial government. ‘Eliminating corporate income taxes on Manitoba’s smallest businesses has made the system one of the most competitive in Canada for entrepreneurs,’ said Elliot Sims, Manitoba Director, Provincial Affairs, Canadian Federation of Independent Business. ‘Entrepreneurs are pleased to see the provincial government commit to increasing the small business threshold to $500,000, the Canadian provincial standard.’ small business tax rate, which benefits about 85% of taxable corporations in the province, the minister noted. Currently, 14,000 corporations pay no Manitoba corporate income tax as a result of the zero per cent rate. That number is expected to increase to 16,000 in 2016, Minister Dewar said. ‘When small businesses like mine aren’t required to pay small business income tax, this gives us extra capital to hire new staff, invest in equipment or purchase more inventory,’ said Constance Popp, owner, Chocolatier Constance Popp. Read more at: http://news.gov.mb.ca/news/ index.html? archive=&item=36916 In 2010, Manitoba became the first and only province to permanently eliminate the Winter 2016 Moving Québec forward with electricity The Québec government has recently made a number of announcements that demonstrate the province’s status as a world leader in the development and delivery of electrified transport. This autumn, Québec Premier Philippe Couillard unveiled the new 2015-2020 Transportation Electrification Action Plan. The $420m plan aims to increase the number of electric vehicles in Québec and reduce greenhouse gas emissions and oil dependency in order to contribute to the fight against climate change and better integrate green electricity into Québec’s economy. More specifically, Québec aims to have 100,000 electric and hybrid vehicles on its roads by 2020. This signals a shift that will reduce transport -related greenhouse gas emissions by 150,000 tonnes and save 66m litres of fuel annually. ‘With this new structured, ambitious and mobilising action plan, we are giving ourselves the tools needed to gain the maximum benefit from Québec’s technological and economical potential, whilst contributing to the fight against climate change’, stated Premier Couillard at the plan’s unveiling. More recently, Québec also made a series of significant announcements showing its dedication to renewable energy and green transportation at COP21 in Paris. Specifically, the province announced its cofounding of the International ZEV alliance. Working with 12 European and North American governments including the UK, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, California, Massachusetts and New York, Québec will strive to make all new passenger vehicles in the province zero emission vehicles (ZEVs) by no later than 2050. Achieving this will accelerate the global transition to ZEVs and could reduce transportation sector climate impacts by more than 1bn tons of carbon dioxide emissions per year by 2050, lowering global vehicle emissions by around 40%. From 19-22 June 2016, Montréal will be hosting the 29th annual World Electric Vehicle Symposium and Exhibition (EVS29). Constituting the largest international conference on electric vehicles, EVS has been assembling global leaders from industry, government and academia to address technical, policy and market topics in the electrification of vehicle fleets since 1969. The Economic Affairs team at the Québec Government Office in London will be happy to assist anyone who wishes to be involved in the event. ‘Québec aims to have 100,000 electric and hybrid vehicles on its roads by 2020. This signals a shift that will reduce transport-related greenhouse gas emissions by For more info go to: www.transportselectriques.gouv.qc.ca Contact: Québec Government Office in London 59 Pall Mall London SW1Y 5JH [email protected] www.quebec.org.uk 150,000 tonnes and save 66m litres of fuel annually.’ Québec Government President & CEO of Advantage BC at the Chamber Colin Hansen, President and CEO of Advantage BC and a former deputy premier and Minister of Finance of British Columbia (B.C.), was the keynote speaker at a Canada -UK Chamber of Commerce event on November 9. Colin opened his remarks by saying that it was a year to the day since Canada was designated a RMB Settlement Hub, the first in North America, and that Vancouver is rapidly climbing the ranks of the world’s financial centres, now standing in the top 20. In a globalized economy, Canada’s geography means business and financial activity can seamlessly span multiple time zones. Vancouver in particular is well connected to Asia, and B.C. offers a stable business environment and many other Winter 2016 advantages as a place to do business. Colin outlined the incentives offered by Advantage BC. For example, by registering for its International Business Activity Program, companies conducting qualifying business activities in B.C. can receive a refund of up to 100% of the B.C. corporate income tax (11%) paid, meaning that they effectively only pay the federal tax rate of 15% on income from their qualifying international financial activities. The program is well suited for businesses that specialize in international activities such as: factoring, banking and financial services; wealth and asset management; and film and television distribution; as well as qualifying international patent activities where up to 75% of BC corporate income tax paid can be refunded. In addition, companies in the program can register qualifying employees as international business specialists or executive specialists, which enables them to receive a refund of B.C. provincial personal income tax on qualifying employment income at a rate of 100% for the first two years, followed by 75% for year three, 50% for year four and 25% for year five. Contact: Susan Haird CB Managing Director, Europe European Trade and Investment Office for British Columbia 111 Buckingham Palace Rd London SW1W 0SR T: +44 (0)20 7340 8582 [email protected] www.britishcolumbia.ca Page 31 Ontario News: The Next Big Idea Contest ‘The Next Big Idea Contest’... is a global business plan contest to discover innovative IT companies and provide them with the opportunity to scale-up internationally. This contest is focused on Birmingham and Ontario, giving digital media/IT companies the chance to scale to reach a global audience.’ ‘The Next Big Idea Contest’ or NBI is a global business plan contest to discover innovative IT companies and provide them with the opportunity to scale-up internationally. This contest is focused on Birmingham and Ontario, giving digital media/IT companies the chance to scale to reach a global audience. There will be two winning companies from Ontario and two winning companies from Birmingham. Birminghambased winners will be ready to scale up in North America, with Ontario as their platform for growth, and Ontariobased winners will be ready to scale up in the UK, with Birmingham as their platform for growth. The winners will each receive: A trip to Toronto or Birmingham, including flights and accommodation; a 2-week bespoke program focusing on and introducing them to the IT and relevant sectors in Ontario and the UK to include independent business development time, soft-landing space and support activities at incubators; advice and mentoring from sector specialists; and meetings and networking with investors, incubators and partner companies. The sponsors of this contest are Ontario International, London Trade and Investment Office, Ryerson University, Innovation Birmingham, Natwest (Midlands and East of England) and Wragge & Co. Contact: Aaron Rosland Counsellor (Commercial – Ontario) High Commission of Canada Canada House Trafalgar Square London SW1Y 5BJ T: +44 (0)20 7004 6212 [email protected] www.ontarioexportsinc.com Ontario News: Minister Chan in the UK indefatigable energy by engaging with and learning about each individual company. He also dedicated his time to meet with buyers at the show and in London to advocate on behalf of Ontario companies, products and services. Michael Chan, Ontario Minister of Citizenship, Immigration and International Trade visited the UK in in the Autumn. His major mandate Page 32 was to support Ontario companies attending a trade show in London and demonstrated his Eager to reinforce Ontario’s commitment to developing commercial relations with the entire UK, Minister Chan travelled to Birmingham to host a Roundtable with potential investors, meet with current investors and launch the Next Big Idea contest. Winter 2016 Winter 2016 Page 33 Hiring Canadian students – why it’s good for business Canadian university students are making an impact with employers around the world last year, 289 students from the University of Victoria (UVic) in Victoria, Canada, completed internships with employers outside Canada, including 17 in the UK. ‘Canadian university students are making an impact with employers around the world - last year, 289 students from the University of Victoria in Victoria, Canada, completed internships with Employers like DragonPass UK in Manchester are already benefiting from hiring UVic students. The travel lounge provider recently hired UVic commerce student Alfira Aisikeer as a business support intern. She works closely with the research branch to produce surveys that help the company anticipate clients’ needs, and has become an integral part of the 13-person team. employers outside Canada, including 17 in the UK.’ University of ‘I’ve used my skills in office administration, sales, marketing and customer service,’ says Aisikeer. ‘I’ve worked hard to learn as much as I can about the business, clients and customers and to provide support wherever I can.’ She’s following in big footprints - DragonPass original Chinese office was launched by UVic MBA grad Jane Zhu. Aisikeer is one of many UVic students bringing an intercultural approach to UK workplaces. Her studies in Canada and her experience as a UVic co-operative education (co-op) student help her make a difference. What is co-operative education? Co-operative education, or co-op, is similar to the UK sandwich program but the work placement is shorter. Co-op students gain valuable hands-on experience, while employers benefit from students’ energy, ideas and hard work. The UVic Co-op Program is one of the largest in Canada. One in three UVic students take part in co-op, and students work for employers in sectors as diverse as arts and culture, business, engineering, science, healthcare, law and more. Contact us to learn how to hire a UVic co-op student. We can help with every step of the hiring process ([email protected]). Contact: Karima Ramji Manager of International Programs Co-operative Education Program and Career Services University of Victoria T: +1 250 721 6076 [email protected] www.uvic.ca/coopandcareer Victoria Mentors Make the Difference for Canadian Students Working Abroad Sometimes it’s the little things you miss the most: Timbits, Kraft Dinner, maple syrup. As Canadians living abroad, there’s comfort in these hallmarks of home. It’s a bit like running into a fellow Canuck in the street suddenly, home doesn’t feel so far away. Last January, a group of bright, globally minded students from the University of Toronto arrived in London for a semester, as part of our Management and International Business program. Their challenge was to find co-op placements with UK firms that would give them valuable international experience in global business. What made all the difference for our students was the group of people waiting for them on the ground dedicated mentors who helped the students to build their networks, identify the best job opportunities, and navigate the nuances of Page 34 British business culture. If you’ve ever had a helping hand from someone more experienced than you, you understand the power of mentorship. It can launch a career, and it can change a life. And it usually doesn’t take much, just a friendly ear or a nudge in the right direction. This January, we’ll be sending another group of bright, globally minded U of T students to work and study in the UK. We’d like to connect each of them with a mentor who can show them the lay of the land. We’re not asking for a huge time commitment, just a sincere desire to answer some questions and help point the way to a fellow Canadian as they adjust to life in the UK. becoming a mentor to a U of T global business student as they get established in the UK, I would be delighted to hear from you. I might even send you some maple syrup. Contact: Christine Arsenault Managing Director Department of Management University of Toronto Scarborough IC 184, 1265 Military Trail Toronto ON M1C 1A4 Canada T: +1 416 287 7112 [email protected] www.utsc.utoronto.ca Business is borderless, and so is Canada’s reputation for global citizenship. If you’re interested in Winter 2016 Winter 2016 Page 35 MoD selects CGI for integrated electronic health record information service ‘We have a strong, experienced team who will deliver an effective iEHR service for Defence Medical Services and we look forward to working closely with them to deliver this important program.’ CGI CGI has been selected to provide an integrated electronic health record (iEHR) service for the UK Defence Medical Services (DMS), enabling DMS to promote, protect and restore the health of service personnel to ensure that they are medically fit, 24/7, throughout the world. The contract, called INTERMOLAR, is for 3 years, with options to extend. The INTERMOLAR contract was won in competition and enhances the current Defence Medical Information Capability Programme (DMICP) service provided by CGI, ensuring continued delivery while the UK Ministry of Defence (MOD) determines its long-term medical IT requirements. CGI will build on the current DMICP service and provide an iEHR system for approximately 400 sites worldwide, with over 2,500 concurrent users logged in at any time. The system will hold some 600,000 patient records, of which approximately 250,000 are ‘live’ and support up to 20,000 consultations per day. The system is based on the EMIS Health application, EMIS PCS, a proven, industry-leading solution. Clinicians with appropriate access rights will be able to access and view patient records 24 hours a day wherever a patient seeks treatment. This unique capability ensures that the DMS can continue to determine and deliver the most effective treatment for UK Armed Forces personnel and dependents. CGI will deliver secure hosting from its ISO/IES 27001 certified facilities in the UK, and the service will be managed through CGI’s award-winning five-star service desk in Wales. Air Marshal Paul Evans, Surgeon General, Ministry of Defence, commented: ‘We are delighted to continue our close relationship with CGI to ensure INTERMOLAR delivers the reliable service that we currently receive from DMICP. We are confident INTERMOLAR will play a key part in our continuous drive for efficient and patientfocused processes and services.’ ‘We are proud of the excellent reputation that DMICP has within the MOD, and we look forward to a swift, low risk and successful transition to INTERMOLAR,’ said Steve Smart, Senior Vice-President, Space, Defence, National and Cyber Security, CGI. ‘We have a strong, experienced team who will deliver an effective iEHR service for Defence Medical Services and we look forward to working closely with them to deliver this important program.’ Read more at: www.cgi.com/en/UK-Ministry-ofDefence-CGI-integrated-electronichealth-record-information-service Restructured financing & team development lead to profitable growth Contact: Terry Irwin Managing Director TCii Strategic & Management Consultants 33 Cavendish Square London W1G 0PW T: +44 (0)20 7099 2621 [email protected] www.tcii.co.uk Page 36 Our client was an interior construction company working in the leisure and hospitality sector for leadingname organisations and pub chains. Its customers were fast-moving businesses that needed to keep up-to-date with the latest interior fashions. This meant that our client had to work to very demanding refurbishment schedules. Our first essential task was to gain an in-depth understanding of the business, so that we could help our client secure the right type of funding for its growth phase and help it to manage the growth from both a cash management and team competence point of view. mentoring support in the key areas of sales, operations and finance. We introduced a system of setting and monitoring key performance indicators for all staff. The company’s cash flow improved further when we helped it to recover a debt that had been outstanding for five years. Improved financing and cash flow All targets achieved The priorities The company was enjoying a fast rate of growth. As a result, it needed a restructure of finance plus further funds to underpin its expansion plans. And to cope with its customers’ tight schedules it needed to achieve greater focus, improve its systems and controls, and develop its team. We produced a business plan with financials detailed over a three-year period. This gained the support of the bank. We then identified a high-net-worth individual who took an equity stake and made the company a shortterm loan. We gave our client’s management team ongoing Our client realised sustained growth over the next three years. The management team are now leading the business, rather than simply responding to operating pressures. The short-term loans have been paid off and the investor enjoys regular dividends. We maintain regular monthly contact with the company and are helping it to develop new services. Winter 2016 Can I use images found on Google Images? The starting point is that generally images / photos are protected by copyright. With regard to images you've created, there is no issue as you would own the copyright. With regard to images you've purchased from image libraries, then again there is no issue as you will have purchased a licence to use the image. However, you will need to take care to check the terms of the licence as your use of the image may be restricted and you will need to ensure that you use the image only in accordance with the licence, to avoid having to pay additional fees. With regard to images you source via Google Images – or elsewhere on the internet – you will generally need permission to use the image. The fact that an image is posted on the internet does not mean that the owner has ‘waived’ or lost the copyright in the image or given permission for everyone to use it. If you use an image without permission, while the owner may never find out, there is a risk that if the owner does discover it they could claim compensation (based on a reasonable licence fee plus costs etc.) from you. Image libraries and online publishers use sophisticated technology to track the use of their images / content and then aggressively claim compensation for unlawful use. If you post an image on to a social media site without permission of the image owner, then this will also breach the T&Cs of the social media site as usually the T&Cs require that you do not post any infringing material. They have the right and obligation to ‘take down’ content that infringes third party rights. Some websites allow their images to be used under a ‘creative commons’ licence. However, often this is only for non-commercial use, so it’s important to check the licence terms if using Creative Commons-licensed material. Sharing a simple web link to an image is usually okay because in that case you have not made your own copy of the image, you have simply linked to the image on another site. However, this can be an issue if the result is to circumvent a paywall or other subscription only services. You may also infringe copyright if you use image tags to insert images hosted elsewhere into your webpage (even without copying and hosting the images yourself). Again, this is more likely if the original images are posted behind a pay wall or in some other restricted access environment. So using links is potentially risky as well. You can use copyright works without permission from the copyright owner for certain specific acts, known as ‘fair dealing’. This will include use for ‘research for a non-commercial purpose and private study’ or for ‘criticism and review’ (e.g. if you write a blog post about how effective or creative a particular image is, then that would be criticism or review of the image itself and would be covered by fair dealing). In such cases you have to give a sufficient acknowledgement to the owner. Using pics of celebs can give rise to other issues as they may be able to claim that their privacy has been infringed or that your use of their image wrongly implies that they have endorsed your product or service. ‘If you use an image without permission, while the owner may never find out, there is a risk that if the owner does discover it they could claim compensation (based on a reasonable licence fee plus costs etc.) from you.’ Author: Peter Miller Partner Fox Williams LLP T: +44 (0)20 7614 2504 [email protected] Fox Williams Contact: Richie Clark Partner & Head of Corporate Fox Williams LLP Ten Finsbury Square London EC2A 1AF T: +44 (0)20 7614 2507 [email protected] www.foxwilliams.com NEW MEMBER PROFILE Charles River Associates Charles River Associates (CRA) is a leading global consulting firm that offers economic, financial, and strategic expertise to major law firms, corporations, accounting firms, and governments around the world. With proven skills in complex cases and exceptional strength in analytics, CRA consultants have provided astute guidance to clients in thousands of successful engagements. We offer litigation and regulatory support, business strategy and planning, market and demand forecasting, policy analysis, and risk management consulting. Contact: Andrew Butcher Vice-President -Life Sciences Charles River Associates 99 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3XD T: +44 (0)20 7664 3716 Winter 2016 [email protected] www.crai.com Page 37 NEW MEMBER PROFILE Nasmyth Group Ltd Nasmyth Group is a cohesive group of engineering businesses that consistently provides high quality services and products. The Group offers world class design, manufacturing assembly and product support services across the fields of precision mechanical and electro-mechanical engineering. Contact: Chris Henson VP Business Development Nasmyth House, Coventry Rd Exhall CV7 9FT T: +44 (0)2476 361 156 [email protected] www.nasmythgroup.com NEW MEMBER PROFILE Operis Operis is an advisor to infrastructure and energy transactions globally, particularly Canadian P3 deals. We provide privatesector financial advice and analytical services, relating to the structuring of the finance and the forecasts developed to support investment decisions and transaction bids. Contact: Paul Myers Managing Director 110 Cannon Street London EC4N 6EU T: +44 (0)207 562 0454 [email protected] www.operis.com NEW MEMBER PROFILE Saskatoon Regional Economic Development Authority Started in 1992, the Saskatoon Regional Economic Development Authority (SREDA) Inc was one of the first independent economic development agencies to be started in Canada. Today it is one of the most successful. SREDA works with the City of Saskatoon, the Province of Saskatchewan, the surrounding communities and more than 200 private sector investors to build and grow the region’s economy. Contact: Alex Fallon President & CEO Suite 103, 202 Fourth Avenue N Saskatoon, SK, Canada T: +1 306 664 0723 [email protected] www.sreda.com NEW MEMBER PROFILE Warret & Jullion Warret & Jullion are interior architects and designers. We use spaces to tell magical stories of success, adventure, travel, discovery and most of all, a story for living life to the fullest. It is our ambition to help clients expand their own sense of style that reflects their passions, confidence and personality. Contact: Fabien Gueret Architectural Designer 15 Stratton Street, London W1J 8LQ T: 44 (0)20 3417 3672 Page 38 [email protected] www.warretjullion.co.uk Winter 2016 NEW MEMBER PROFILE Bridgepond Bridegpond is a ‘Go to Market’ investment and advisory partner for technology companies that want to scale up in global markets. Go to Market Investment: we set up the regional operation. Acting as your subsidiary we drive market expansion of your brand/product with reduced risk and no equity dilution. Advisory: we provide Sales, Marketing and Leadership mentoring and have the resources to help scale your business. We run workshops on going global and how to build effective partnerships for growth. Contact: Dagmar Moreside Operations Manager 3 Terrano House, 40 Melliss Avenue, London TW9 4BZ T: +44 (0)7884 021882 [email protected] www.bridgepond.ca NEW MEMBER PROFILE Glacier Media Group Glacier Media Group is an information and communications company providing primary and essential information to its customers through a complementary solutions strategy that involves a diverse range of integrated products and services. It is focused on two key segments: 1) business-to-business and 2) community media. Contact: Paul Harris Director, European B2B Markets Unit 1.5, 11-29 Fashion Street, London E1 6PX T: +44 (0)7852 940138 [email protected] www.glaciermedia.ca NEW MEMBER PROFILE Global Payments Canada GP Global Payments is a leading worldwide provider of payment technology services that delivers innovative solutions driven by customer needs globally. Our technologies, partnerships and employee expertise enable us to provide a broad range of products and services that help businesses innovate and grow. Contact: Amy Blundell Senior Marketing Manager 3381 Steeles Avenue East, Suite 200 Toronto, Ontario M2H 3S7 Canada T: +1 (416) 847 4420 [email protected] www.globalpaymentsinc.ca NEW MEMBER PROFILE Money&Co Money&Co matches businesses seeking loans with people looking to raise capital and support British business. As a Lender your capital is at risk and you may lose money loaned to a specific borrower. Since launching in April 2014 Money&Co has a bad debt rate of 0%. Money&Co will seek to recover any future bad debts but will not provide compensation should this be unsuccessful. Contact: Rachel Green Business Development Director 42 Bruton Place, London W1J 6PA T: +44 (0)203 143 4000 Winter 2016 [email protected] www.moneyandco.com Page 39 Chamber Events Jan - June 2016* Jan 26 Networking evening reception to meet new members at Canada House, Trafalgar Square, London Feb 16 Evening tax & currency seminar with Trowbridge and Halo Financial at Québec House, London March 15 One day conference with the Québec Government on electro-mobility tbc April 15 Conference on the Energy Sector with the Industry & Parliament Trust at the House of Commons, London May 20 AGM & lunch at the House of Lords, London May 27 Annual Golf Day at the Royal Mid-Surrey Golf course, Richmond, Surrey June 10 7th Annual Chief Economists panel debate and lunch at the Grange St Paul’s Hotel, London *The Chamber hosts and co-hosts 30-40 events per year. Other events will be added to this programme. For full details on the 2016 event programme visit: www.canada-uk.org Newsletter sponsors Page 40 Winter 2016