(Davood Parhizkar, Islamic Republilc of Iran Meteorological

Transcription

(Davood Parhizkar, Islamic Republilc of Iran Meteorological
In the name of GOD
I.R of Iran Country Report
GEO 7th Symposium
26-28 May Tokyo- Japan
Davood Parhizkar (PhD in Meteorology)
Vice minister of Roads and Transportation ministry,
President of I.R of Iran Meteorology Organization
(IRIMO)
IRAN
Area> 1.6 m km ̂2, Population> 75m
Iran
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IRIMO Observation Networks
WE Observe, Transmit and Archive:
386 synoptic stations,
686 Agriculture and Climate stations,
15 Upper air,
9 Dust detection and Air Quality stations,
1 Ground Pollution Station,
120 AWSs,
8 C&S Band Single & DuPol Doppler Radars
26 Satellite data receiving systems
67 Road observation stations
forecasts facilities
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Global Models of ECMWF, GFS, ARPEGDE
Limited area Models of MM5, WRF, HRM
Real observation data
Real time synoptic charts
Satellite images
Radar data
Thermodynamic charts like Skew-T
Range of forecasts
• Now casting up to 6 hours
• Short range up to 10 days
• Seasonal up to 3 months
IRIMO services
1- Air quality
- Air pollution is the main problem of mega cities
- Observation of air pollution in cities is doing by
national Environment Organization and megacity
municipalities and IRIMO
- Forecasting of the air quality is doing by IRIMO
- Range of forecasting is up to 5 days
IRIMO services
2- Severe weather prediction
Early warning Is issued in city and regional scales for
I. storms,
II. heat waves,
III. Cold surge,
IV. heavy snow,
V. flash floods,
VI. floods and droughts
IRIMO services
3- Nowcasting
For issuing a nowcast we use:
latest radar, satellite and observational data and
considering of small-scale features of phenomenon like
thunderstorm, heavy shower, flash flood and destructive
wind
-Nowcasting is a powerful toll for reduction of private, public
and industrial property damage and saving the life of people
-Nowcasting of hazardous weather for aviation in terminals
or en-route environment, marine safety, water and power
management are part of the routine activity of IRIMO.
IRIMO services 4-1- Climate monitoring
-Dry and warm
-Warm and wet
-Dry and cold
-Moderate and wet
-Drought
IRIMO services
4-2-Common Drought Indices
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Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)
Percent of Normal (PN)
Palmer Drought Index (PDSI, PHDI, CMI)
Surface Water Supply Index (SWSI)
Vegetation indices (NDVI, VCI, SVI)
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IRIMO services
4-3- Monitoring and warning drought system in Iran
Analysis of
precipitation and
runoff
Ministry of
Energy
Daily soil moisture
model
Iran’s drought
monitoring system
Ministry of
agriculture
Meteorological
organization
Meteorological
organization
Daily precipitation
modeling using
satelite
Drought
monitoring index
NDVI and other related
indexes
Analysis of
temperature and
environmental
conditions.
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IRIMO services
5- Agriculture section
- Food security is the main challenge of
the human society
IRIMO’s services for those people who are
active in this part are:
1- Statistical Services
2- On time Services
3- Research Services
IRIMO services
5-1- Statistical Services
• Determine weather and climate of the Region
• Define range of variations of Temperature,
precipitation, humidity, pressure, evaporation,..
• Determine probability for occurrence of
weather related phenomenon such as: earlylate frost,…
• Probability of precipitation commence (the
earliest or latest start date)
• Probability of occurrence for hazardous
weather such as: Hail, floods, Thunderstorms,
destructive winds, …
IRIMO services
5-2-1- On time Services
-Real time meteorological observation data
-Real time phonologic data
-Nowcasting with detailed features of current weather:
• To reduce damage and property loose
• To save yield, money and better livelihoods
IRIMO services
5-2-2- On time Services
-Short range forecasting up to 10 days for reducing
damage and save livelihoods by better programming
for agricultural activities
-Seasonal forecast up to 3 months for decision
making and determining the strategies regarding food
security
IRIMO services
5-3- Research services
1. Climate effects on living organisms including animals
and Plants and mutual effects of atmosphere and soil on
plants
2. Determine phonological stages of crops for
agricultural operations, such as irrigation, use of
fertilizers,…
3. Climatic classification in regional scale for adapted
crops and determine suitable regions of farming
4. Determine regional limitations and climate potentials
to have the best cultivation model based on weather
and crop type
5. Determine the best time for pesticides use
6. Introduction new crop varieties with better yield and
adapted with regional climate
IRIMO services
5-4- Tahak System
1- Identify and distinguish the end users
2- Identify the needs of them
3- Preparing the data and products
4- Sending their needs by using the best
system delivery
5- Capacity building for better using the
meteorological data and products in farming
6- Feedback
7- Documentation
IRIMO services 6- Liaison with others
We cooperate with others to:
Water resources & Energy ministry to manage water use
Transportation Ministry to increase safety and Economic Benefits
Environment Organization to save environment and biodiversity,
Urbanization and internal ministry to help planning
Health Ministry to improve health and reduce costs
Science and higher Education Ministry to improve Science
Agricultural ministry to Provide Food security
Total capacity about
18,000 MW
Thank you