The Naval Review
Transcription
The Naval Review
THE NAVAL REVIEW TO PROMOTE TEIE ADVANCEMENT AND SPREADING WITHIN THE SERVICE OF KNOWLEDGE RELEVANT TO THE HIGHER ASPECTS OF THE NAVAL PROFESSION. Founded in October, 1912, by the following officers, who had formed a Naval Society: Captain H. W. Richmond R.N. Commander K. G. B. Dewar R.N. Commander the Hon. R. A. E. Plunkett R.N. Lieutenant R. M. Bellairs R.N. Lieutenant T. Fisher R.N. Lieutenant H. G . Thursfield R.N. Captain E. W. Harding R.M.A. Admiral W. H. Henderson (Honorary Editor) It is only by the possession of a trained and developed mind that the fullest capacity can, as a rule, be obtained. There are, of course, exceptional individuals with rare natural gifts which make up for deficiencies. But such gifts are indeed rare. We are coming more and more to recognise that the best specialist can be produced only after a long training in general learning. The grasp of principle which makes detail easy can only come when ~nnatecapacity has been evoked and moulded by high training. Lord Kaldane Issued quarterly for private circulation, in accordance with the Regulations printed herein, which should be carefully studied. Copyright under Act of 1911 Vol. 64 No.4 OCTOBER 1976 Contents EDITORIAL ARTICLES: ... ... TECHNOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART ... UP. UP. AND ALMOST AWAY THE STRATEGY GAP ... ... ... EDUCATIONAL PASTIMES . . . . . . ... THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING ... THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-111 ... LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH ... MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 ... ECONOMIC MARITIME STRENGTH WHATEVER HAPPENED TO AFO CORRESPONDENCE ... ... 1/56? ... ... ... THE RECEIVING END . TO RE-SILVERING H.M.S. Ganges - PHYSICAL FITNESS 5.5-INCHGUNS - R.N.A.S. ... THE MIRROR KATUKURANDA TEST - DEEP SOUNDINGS REVISITED INVERGORDON-'NO - ... FLEET ... 356 . - SIDE' EXERCISES BETWEEN THE WARS BOOK REVIEWS ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 365 NEW MEMBERS ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 384 H.M.S. ARK ROYAL 4 JULY 1976 - U.S. BICENTENNIAL CELEBRATIONS Whilst the fourth naval review organised by the United States was taking place in New York, with twenty countries represented at the Bicentennial Naval Review, (Royal Naval presence being the Guided Missile Destroyer, H.M.S. London, with the frigates H.M.S. Bacchante and H.M.S. Lowestoft), H.M.S. Ark Royal, by special request, took part in Bicentennial celebrations at Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Before entering harbour Ark Royal parti~ipatedin Exercise OPERATION 200 - named specially for the occasion - designed to exercise Anglo-American-Dutch units, including cross-deck operating w ~ t hthe U.S.N. carrier John F. Kennedy. On entering harbour in Procedure ALPHA, with aircraft lined up on deck and sailors manning the edges of the Flight Deck, the Ark Royal prepared a spectacular configuration for entry into Fort Lauderdale. Some 650 sailors formed up on the Flight Deck to spell out the tribute 1776*1976. Sea Kings from the ship flew along the Florida coast, streaming American and British flags with the rear helicopter carrying the Bicentennial Flag and the U.S. Flag of 1776. Editorial Let Britain invest in 'Droggie' It is something to have achieved a debate in the House of Commons on the Hydrographic Service (4 August 1976), but to read it in Hansard takes one's mind back to Munich and the phrase 'a small, far-off country, of which we know little'. A member: 'I did not realise the importance of this subject until I read about it'. The Minister: 'It was an awareness of the new responsibilities and the new challenges inherent in them that the Hydrographer of the Navy was having to meet that led to the recent renewal of public and parliamentary interest in the future of the hydrographic fleet. A mismatch between the role and resources was suspected'. This awareness has been engendered by the tireless, determined and skilful advocacy of successive Hydrographers of the Navy in recent years. But to what effect? A Hydrographic Study Group was formed in July 1974, representing: The Foreign and Commonwealth Office The Department of Trade The Department of Energy The General Council of British Shipping Trinity House The National Ports Council The British Ports Association The Offshore Operators Association The Oil Companies International Marine Forum Evidence was also taken from many other interes'ted organisations, including the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries and Lloyds. The task of the Study Group was to assess the future civil hydrographic requirement, the military requirement being assessed as part of the Defence Review. A comprehensive and well-drafted Report was submitted to the Under Secretary of State for Defence (Royal Navy) on 27 March 1975. 'After some pressure', as Mr du Cann (Taunton) commented in the Houx, 'it was published in August 1975. Exactly a year later the Government, apparently, has made no decision on the recommendations of the Report.' 'We are looking', said the Minister, 'for a solution which will ensure that the needs of the Royal Navy and the needs of the civil sector are met equitably, effectively and efficiently within the resources available'. 'The resources available' . . . Aye, there's the rub . . . Mr. Brotherton (Louth) was blunt: 'At the moment, the way in which money is being taken from the service means that the Russians will become the producers of the world's charts'. As this is being written Britain's seamen are about to go on strike. Of the merits of their case let us not be judge; but suddenly the great British public is being told by the media chorus that Britain's economy depends on the sea not just marginally, but critically. Wonderful. Yet ask the public to accept a modest sacrifice of public expenditure upon non-productive services in order to enable our ships and installations to use the sea safely; to ensure that our ships trading world-wide shall never risk the blackmail of 'sorry, no charts'; to provide practical aid to the developing maritime nations whom we should like to have as friends; to keep our matitime links with the Commonwealth; above all, to reinforce the almost uniquely (in Britain's sorry state) productive hydrographic service? Oh, no! As the Minister said: 'I shall be quite frank wirh the House. I shall not attempt to disguise the fact that although expansion of the hydrographic fleet is desirable, in the present economic circumstances it is likely to be 290 EDITORIAL as much as the Government can do to maintain a fleet of the present size'. According to the Study Group, to meet the estimated civil and military requirements of highest priority only would require: 4 Ocean Survey Ships (2 more than at present planned) 8 Coastal Survey Vessels (4 more than at present planned) 8 Inshore Survey Craft (3 more than at present planned) The cost of procuring and running this expanded fleet over the seven years 1975-1982 (at 1974 prices) would be roughly £90m., divided about 50:50 between ciVil and rniiitary tasks. Taunton would cost about f3m. more, over the period, Than it would at existing levels. On present form the Oovernment will spend, over the next seven years, about 2273,000m. of our money. In comparison with this sum, surely f93m. or so is a minuscle amount to pay, spread over the same period, for a service so highly productive, and supportive of vital national interests, as the Hydrographic Sewice. Whether the money should be voted entirely through the Defence Vote, or in part through some other, is irrelevant except in terms of political and departmental in-fighting. What is at stake is whether a wise, or a foolish, decision is made regarding the apportionment of a tiny part of the nation's total resources. The Government is continually crying out for more investment. Let it invest in the Hydrographic Service. The Fast Patrol Ship The Iura class 'offshore patrol craft' offers a cheap and quickly produced response to a new and urgent requirement. But consideration must surely now be given to the development of what will be. in effect. a new type of warship. Its primary function d l 1 be to provide the sea-borne element of the joint sea-air supervision and control force which most modern navies (in conjunction with airforces) will have to maintain in order to exercise the responsibilities of their governments for the security and management of extended sea-areas. This type of ship, for which the term 'fast patrol ship' is proposed, will be a warship; but it would not be designed to form part of the carrier-groups, or cruiser-groups, into which the general-purpose combat force is organised. The next issue of The Naval Review will include an a*le on the concept and characteristics of the fast patrol ship, which it is hoped will generate a useful discussion. Up, Up, and Almost Away THEINTRODUCTIONOF V / m L INTO THE ROYALNAVY On 15 May 1975 the Secretary of State for Defence announced the British Government's intention to go ahead with development of the Sea Harrier aircraft (originally known as the Maritime Harrier). At the same time it was confirmed that the Royal Navy will have a total of three through deck cruisers, officially designated Carriers Assault Helicopter (CAH), in which the Sea Harriers will be deployed.' This statement was received with varying degrees of satisfaction by the British civilian population, the Royal Navy, the other Services and Britain's allies. More important, it marked the intention of the Government to maintain fixed wing carrier aircraft for the foreseeable future after Ark Royal ends her useful life. The long and, to many, unnecessary debate and delay was over: but what debate, why the delay, why the Sea Harrier and CAH? The Background To find the answers to these questions we must go back to 1962. At that time Britain had five fixed wing carriers, Ark Royal, Eagle, Victorious, Hermes and Centaur and :two commando askers, Albion and Bulwark. The fixed wing aircraft embarked in the carriers were capable of the roles of reconnaissance, conventional and nuclear strike, all weather fighter and airborne early warning. The carrier force was small compared with that of the United States Navy, which had eighteen fixed wing carriers, but was nevertheless a force of immense power. However, one carrier had always to be kept east of Suez and generally another was refitting, so the three modem carriers Eagle. Victorious and Hermes were seldom available to act as a single force. Further, since 1957 when the Statement on Defence had included the somewhat damping remark that the role of naval forces in total war was uncertain: the case for the carriers had become more and more their use in limited wars such as the Kuwait crisis of 1961 and the East African mutinies.' In the 1962 Statement on the Defence Estimates the Government stated a naval requirement for amphibious concentrations based on the two commando carriers and laid down that the function of the fixed wing Fleet Air Arm was to carry out reconnaissance, tactical strike, close support and air defence for such operations. This policy was the Admiralty's choice of maritime strategy, had the full support of the Fleet Air Arm and had the effect of tying up the main strength of the Royal Navy in a 'peacekeeping' or 'fire brigade' role east of Suez.' The Defence Review of ghat fiftieth year of naval aviation mentioned that the designs for a new carrier, CVA 01. were in hand and estimated that it would take nine years to put her into service, so that in 1971 she would join the fleet to replace V i c t o r i o ~ sConstmatkn .~ was authorised in mid-1963 at a projected cost of sixty million pounds. Concurrently, following Government policy laid down in 1962 for the develop ment of aircraft suitable for use either on land or from carriers, the Royal Navy and Royal Air Force were working on the Hawker P1154. This was t o be a supersonic version of the Hawker P1127 'Derek Wood, Harrier - The Horizon Widens, Znternational Defense Review (December 1975): p. 849. 'Sir Arthur Hezlet, Aircraft and Sea Power (New York: Stein and Day, 1970); p. 336. 'Zbid., p. 337. 'Ibid., p. 338. Wugh Popham, Into Wind (London: Hamish Hamilton, 1969); p. 242. 292 UP, UP, AND ALMOST AWAY V/STOL aircraft, which had made its first vertical landings and take offs a t sea in A r k Royal o n 8 February 1963.' The development of such a dual purpose aircraft was seen as inevitable with the ever increasing cost of research and development. By 1964 however, the project had run into trouble because of the impossibility of designing a n aircraft t o meet adequately the differing requirements of the two Services.' The navy decided to buy the American Phantom while the Royal Air Force ultimately developed the subsonic Harrier from the P1127. The P1154 project was cancelled as a n economy measure in 1965. I n October 1964 a new Government was voted into office and it immediately set about a review of defence. The intended overall course of the review was to match expenditure to what the Government considered the economy could stand, then to match policy to the arms the money would buy. Accordingly a series of studies was set in train, designed t o halt the rising trend in defence expenditure, then approaching £2,000m. a year. One such study was carried out by the Templer Committee on (the rationalisa'tion of air power: it advocated a pooling of resources for the deployment of tactical air power by the Royal Navy and Royal Air Force and envisaged the retention of the carriers as floating air bases complemerftary to and not in competition with static air bases ashore.' The 1966 Decision O n 22 February 1966 the Defence Review was published and the Government's axe fell. A ceiling of £2,00Om. was vat on the defence budaet and it was the carriers that had to g o . - ~ o ralthough the Defence Estimates stated that: The aircraft carrier is the most important element of the fleet for offensive action against a n enemy a t sea o r ashore and makes a large contribution to the defence of our seaborne forces. I t can also play a n important part in operations where local air superiority has to be gained and maintained and offensive support for ground forces is required.' the Defence Review, in contradictory fashion, said: Experience and study have shown that only one type of operation exists for which carriers and carrier-borne aircraft would be indispensable: that is the landing or withdrawal of troops against sophisticated opposition outside the range of land based air cover. I t is only realistic to recognise that we, unaided by our allies, could not expect to undertake operations of this character in the 1970s - even if we could afford a larger carrier force." So how and where was air cover to be provided in the 1970s? The Review went on: We also believe that the tasks for which carrier-borne aircraft might be required in the latter 1970s can be more cheaply performed in other ways. Our plan is that, in the future, aircraft operating from land bases should take over the strikereconnaissance and air defence roles of the carrier on the reduced scale which we envisage that our commitments will require after the mid1970s. Close anti-submarine protection of the naval force will be given by helicopters operating from ships other than carriers. Airborne early warning will continue to be operated from existing carriers and subsequently from land bases. W. M. Yool, 'Review of Air Matters,' Army Quarterly (April 1963): p. 23. 'W. M. Yool, 'Review of Air Matters,' Army euarterly ( ~ ~1964) f i: ~p. 18. 'Peter K. Kemp, History of the Royal Navy (New York: G. P. Putnam & Sons, 1969): P. 297'Popham: p. 250. M. 'Review of Air Matters,, Army Quarterly (July 1966): p. 135. UP, UP, AND ALMOST AWAY Strike capability against enemy ships would be provided by a new surface to surface missile which was to be developed but '. . . . we attach great importance to continuing the existing carrier force as far as possible into the 1970s."' It was not expected that all the carriers would go before 1975 and so, although CVA 01 was cancelled and Centaur placed in reserve, plans were announced to modernise Ark Royal to take the Phantom aircraft. The Government's decision was a severe blow to the Royal Navy and, in the opinion of some writers, to Britain's long term defence policy." One wrote: 'It would not be reasonable to minimise the sacrifice this decision entails. Over and above a real loss of independent capability, Britain will surrender a way in which she could have rendered assistance to the United States. . as virtually the only other substantial practitioner of the carrier art.'" Why had matters turned out this way? Mainly because the navy's strength had been concentrated on a peacekeeping role east of Suez and the case for the retention of carriers was wholly based on this role, which the Government had decided could be carried out from land bases. The weakness of the Soviet fleet in 1945 and the overwhelming superiority of the United States had resulted in command of the sea being taken for granted and the need for it obscured by limited war operations in which it had not been challenged. The evolution of a nuclearmissile-armed Soviet fleet in the 1960s had made little impact,I4 although as early as 1963, during the debate on the Navy Estimates, particular attention had been drawn to Russia's development of a maritime strategy and to the need for Britain to maintain her naval strength." The development of a new aircraft carrier at enormous cost, containing nothing but the best, to carry out a diminishing role, was seen by the Government as a luxury the country .. 293 could no longer afford and so it went to the wall. Attention was also drawn to the Fleet Air Arm's rejection of a V/STOL aircraft in 1964 - 'perhaps the most egregious naval blunder of the last decade"" amidst the controversy and furore surrounding the Defence Review. Aftermath - the late 60s Meanwhile the timetable of contradictions continued. Almost immediately after the fateful review protagonists of the carrier were able to point to the success of Eagle and then Ark Royal in the blockade of Beira. The 1967 Defence Statement declared: Air power will be as indispensable to the fleet of tomorrow as it is today. . . . After the last carriers go (in the mid-1970s) the Royal Navy, like the Army, will rely on Royal Air Force land-based aircraft to support it.17 Victorious was paid off,two years earlier than planned, in December 1967 following a fire which, although serious, far from crippled the ship. In 1968: The carrier force will be phased out as soon as the withdrawals from Malaysia, Singapore and the Persian Gulf have been completed." This was now scheduled to take place at the end of 1971, an advance of four years. Shortly before the 1968 review, on economy grounds, the Royal Air Force had lost the F 111 aircraft, which in 1966 was planned to have assumed the over- "lbid. 12Brian B. Schofield, 'Maritime Affairs, Army Q y r t e r l y (July 1%6): p. 130; Tom Pocock, Strategy of the Seventies, Navy Year Bwk (London: Navy League, 1%7), p. 27. 13Popham,p. 251. 14Hazlet,p. 340. lSKemp,p. 296. "Brian B. Schofield, 'Maritime Affairs,' Army Quarterly (July 1966): p. 130. 17Popham,p. 250. ''Popham, p. 251. 294 UP, UP, AND ALMOST AWAY seas strike and reconnaissance roles hitherto carried out by the Fleet Air Arm. The F Ill's replacements were to be the navy's Buccaneers when the carriers were phased out. A supplementary Defence Statement in July 1968 declared that the Services of the 70s would be concentrated in defence of Europe and NATO. Welcome as it was to see a mission more in keeping with the resources available, there was wide support for the view of the editor of Jane's Fighting Ships khat 'for minimum peactime security and insurance for war the Fleet Air Arm requires a fixed wing element for at least the next decade,'" because the Royal Air Force would not be able to provide it in future outside the North Atlantic and Mediterranean areas. Ships of escort cruiser size, or small carriers, and even converted container ships carrying V/STOL aircraft, were proposed as the solution. For between the Defence Reviews of 1965-66 and 1968 certain events had either taken place or were planned which tended to emphasise the importance of the carrier and demanded as much naval controlled air power as could be assembled. Indonesian confrontation with Malaysia in 1965, the Beira patrol from 1966, the large carrier based force covering the withdrawal from Aden in 1968 and the projected withdrawal from the Far East in 1971 were cited.w Sufficient perhaps that in November 1968 The Times wuld pronounce 'Now is the time to admit the folly of robbing the Navy of its air power. '" During the next year or so, Government Defence Statements maintained the position of withdrawing the carriers after 1971 but admitted that if the V/STOL Harrier made sense operationally and financially it would be flown from flat top ships. I t was not intended to build special ships to operate the Harrier." However design studies for through deck cruisers to carry ASW helicopters were being progressed and the cruisers' construction would provide for an optional capability of operating V/STOL aircraft subject to cost. Fresh look I n political circles, Britain's world role was still being argued furiously and in 1970 a change of Government brought another immediate change in policy. A fresh look was taken at the threat and from that the forces required to meet it in the context of world power groupings were to be assessed. The carriers' rundown was suspended while their future was reconsidered. In October 1970 a reprieve was announced in the light of the new Government's determination to restore Britain's security to the high place it must take in national priorities. By this time only Ark Royal and Eagle remained in commission as fixed wing carriers, Hermes h~ving paid off for conversion to the ASW role. Eagle was planned to run on until 1972 and did so. Ark Royal, having been recently refitted to take the Phantom, was extended until the late 1970s while the Royal Air Force could gradually take over its assigned tasks, consequent upon its slow build up of aircraft after the Defence Reviews of 1966 to 1969. The Government kept open the option of V/STOL for the through deck cruisers depending on the aircraft's cost effectiveness." Ark Royal however was not to be replaced. In view of the requirement seen to keep Ark Royal in commission until the late 1970s (later refined to 1978) and the growth which the Harrier was demonstrating in development, the gap between 19RaymOndV. B. Blackman, Jane's Fighting Ships 1968-69 (New York: McGraw Hill, P.vi. wR. F. Pemberton, 'The Defence Forces in Parliament,' The Royal Air Forces Quarterly (Spring 1970): pp. 65-66. "Popham, p. 248. w. M. Y001, 'Aerospace AfEairs,' Army Quarterly (July 1969): p. 153. 23'British~~f~~~~ policy,' ~ ~( ~J 1971): p. 10. ~~ UP, UP, AND ALMOST A W A Y Ark Royal's end and 1980, when the first through deck cruiser was expected to join the fleet, did not now make sense. A further problem was that the Royal Air Force was experiencing difficulties in taking on a variety of maritime roles with inadequate forces. Apart from initial problems of control and operating procedures, communications and unfamiliarity with the environment which could be expected to be resolved, the shortcomings of using land-based aircraft to support naval forces had become manifest. The resources were inadequate to meet the requirements of both Services and the additional flying time between land bases and the area of naval interest created long reaction times and required air to air refuelling of tactical aircraft as often as not, thus buying up more resources. Without more and different aircraft the Royal Air Force was in an invidious position and the need for land-based and ship-based aircraft to complement each other's capabilities was becoming very apparent. Further trials of the Harrier were carried out on board Ark Royal in 1971. They showed that further development was desirable before it should take on the envisaged roles of reconnaissance/strike and air defence but as expected there were no deck operating problems." I t is noteworthy that representatives of the United States, Indian and Argentine navies attended the trials. 1972 witnessed the first reports of an aircraft carrier being built at the Soviet Black Sea shipyard at Nikolayev. I t was assessed as being for the operation of V/STOL aircraft and ASW helicopters. This gave added weight to the statement by the Under Secretary of State for Defence for the Royal Navy on 10 April 1972, when he said: The capability of the Royal Navy today and our plans to maintain and improve it in the years ahead must be seen in the context of Western security as a whole and the con- 295 tinuing threat to that security throughout the world.% This served also t o emphasise that the size and shape of the navy should not be influenced by the boundaries of NATO. However, although design work on the through deck cruisers continued, Eagle was paid off on the grounds of financial priorities and manpower costs, insufficient aircraft for her and, possibly the most important legacy of the previous six years, insufficient manpower without laying up other operational units of the fleet.26 Through deck cruisers The first through deck cruiser, to be named Invincible, was ordered on 17 April 1973. A building time of five years was quoted and this would have filled the gap between 1978 and 1980 previously mentioned. Conceived as an attempt to offset the disastrous decision of the previous Government on CVA 01, the end product is intended to carry nine Sea King helicopters, primarily for ASW. However some could possibly be required for airborne early warning, as the fleet will otherwise lose this capability when Ark Royal goes, except when supported from shore. Conversion of the Sea King to this role would be expensive, even if it is technically feasible. The question of providing some air to surface, air to air and reconnaissance capability utilising V/STOL aircraft was avoided when the order of Invincible was announced but it was said to be still under active examinattion. That same month Kiev, (the first Soviet aircraft carrier and now estimated at 45,000 tons and some 900 feet in length, was launched. The keel of a "Brian B. Schofield, 'Maritime Affairs,' Army Quarterly (July 1971) : p. 403. "Brian B. Schofield, 'Maritime Affairs,' Army Quarterly (July 1972): p. 401. "Peter Kirk, 'Britain's Navy in the Changing Balance of Sea Power,' Jane's Fighting Ships 1972-73 (New York: McGraw Hill, 1972): p. 685. 296 UP, UP, ASD ALMOST AWAY sister ship was quickly laid in the same dock. 1974 saw further delay in making a decision on V/STOL due to the continuing Government requirement for defence economies, while the United States Marine Corps demonstrated its capability in the sea control role with Harriers on board U.S.S. Guam. However the end of the road had almost been reached. Another change of Government in 1974 led to a further Defence Review, which pronounced that Britain's defence efforts in the next decade were to be confined in the maritime sphere to the Eastern Atlantic, northern waters and the Channel in support of NATO; the home base itself, which with the development of North Sea oil and gas resources had taken on new importance; and the opportunity to exercise ships in the Mediterranean and further afield from time to time. NATO's situation in the Norwegian Sea in particular had given rise to serious concern, not only because of dramatically increased Soviet armament but just as much because of the weakness of the West - specifically the decline of British sea power, since the Norwegian Sea originally fell within the British sphere of responsibility in the NATO f r a m e ~ o r k . ~ Present posture The Review, published in December 1974, referred to 'ships of higher quality' without defining their role. In the NATO EASTLANT area the naval mission was defined rather by what should not be allowed to happen: Deterrence on the mainland of Europe would not remain credible without a parallel strategy in the Eastern Atlantic and Channel areas. . . . Seaborne supply and reinforcement routes . . . pass through these areas. If the balance of maritime power were allowed to shift so far in favour of the Warsaw Pact that it had an evident ability in a period of tension to isolate Europe by sea, the effect on Allied confidence and political cohesion would be profound.= The nub of what matters it seems is not convoy protection across the Atlantic nor protection of sea lines of communication but that Soviet maritime power should be broadly matched. This is not an unreasonable rationale for a substantial naval presence in the EASTLANT area, recognising as it does the politicomilitary threat to 'confidence and cohesion' but translating this into firm and urgent ship and weapon requirements is an unenviable task for the Royal Navy.'' The statement which began this article, the announcement of the Sea Harrier programme, was the culmination of one part of that task after the years of cuts and vacillation. The Sea Harrier What will the Sea Harrier/CAH do? The programme covers twenty-four single-seat Sea Harrier FRS (fighter/ reconnaissance/strike) Mark 1 aircraft, one standard T Mark 4 trainer identical to the model used by the Royal Air Force and two Hunter T Mark 8M two-seat radar trainers, at an estimated cost of some &80m. pounds." Ckarance for service use of the Sea Harrier is expected in early 1979 and it is expected that the type will be operational in early 1980. The aircraft is similar externally to the Mark 3 version in Royal Air Force service but with a redesigned nose and raised cockpit to allow space for equipment and also give the pilot an improved all-round lookout capability. Internally the main differences are the incorporation of a radar, essential for all "Edward Wegener, The Soviet Naval Offensive (Annapolis, Maryland : Naval Institute Press, 1975): p. 34. "David Greenwood, 'Sights Lowered : The United Kingdom's Defence Effort 19751984,' The Royal Air Forces Quarterly (Autumn 1975): p. 195. *'Zbid. aOWood,p. 850. UP, UP, AND ALMOST AWAY 297 the maritime roles, and a doppler/ capped at best and powerless at worst. inertial navigation system. Other Of importance for future considerations, differences will probably include the the Znvincible ckss will almost certaJnly replacement of magnesium-based alloys still be in service in the year 2000. in the engine by materials with better resistance to corrosion. The weapon Future prospects equipment has not been announced but And the future? On the aircraft side, in addition to missiles for the air to air the development of vectored thrust role and guns, the task of defence against V/STOL based on the Harrier is conmissile armed fast patrol boats suggests tinuing in the United States: the United a stand-off air to surface mi~sile.~' States Marine Corps has a requirement The first carrier to embark the Sea for over 300 aircraft of an improved H a d e r is expected to be Hermes (unless type. In Britain, with a fair degree of Ark Royal is still in commission!). The commonality between the Royal Navy aircraft's role will be divided principally and Royal Air Force Harriers, there is between strike and air defence. Using a good prospect of development conthe short take off along the length of the tinuing side by side both for our own use deck it will have a useful combination of and for export. As far as the carrier is concerned, it weapon load and strike radius or alternatively loiter time for air defence. is arguable that possibly once again the Operating limits from the deck are navy may be standing into danger with expected to permit flying operations in the CAH on the cost and complexity of foul weather by day and night. The its major warships. To revert to the carrier will need to be turned into wind arguments of the 1960s, all that is really for launches but not necessarily so for required is a mobile floating airfield large landings, as these will always be vertical, enough to operate the aircraft designed akin to helicopter landing techniques on for it. A recent proposal which merits serious attention is the Vosper Thorneyboard. croft 'Harrier Carrier'" conceived as a cheap, frigate sized aircraft carrier to The carrier assault helicopter Invincible, ahe first major surface exploit the unique capabilities of the Sea warship to be built for the Royal Navy Harrier, of which it could carry eight or in thirty years, appears to be suffering alternatively eight Sea King helicopters. from the disease of post-design altera- With a displacement of 6,000 tons, an tions and 'improvements devised by the overall length of 450 feet, gas tufbines numerous interested parties during her giving twenty-five to thirty knots and a long period of gestation, with con- complement of 250 officers and ratings, sequent delay in her completion date the design and probable cost would bring until 1980 and increased costs above the it within the reach of many countries 1973 estimate of sixty-three million which cannot contemplate the acquisition pounds." She will displace about 20,000 and operation of a conventional aircraft tons, be 650 feet long overall and achieve thirty knots under gas turbine propulsion. "Brian B. Schofield. 'Maritime Affairs'. Her complement will be approximately Army Quarterly ( ~ u l y1975): p. 263. S2Brian B. Schofield, 'Maritime Affairs', 1,200 officers and ratings, including air Army Quarterly (July 1973): p. 408. per~onnel.~ =John E. Moore, ed., Jane's Fighting Ships All in all, the aircraftlship combina- 1974-75 (New York: Watts, 1974): p. 333. tion promises to retain for lthe com- "Brian B. Schofield, 'The Vosper Thorney" 'Harrier Carrier' Design', Army mander at sea the independence and croft Quarterly (October 1975): pp. 404-406; flexibility without which he is handi- Wood; pp. 853-854. 298 UP, UP, A'JD ALMOST AWAY carrier or even a CAH. Even in the reasoning of the Soviet Naval ComUnited States Navy, where interest in mander-in-Chief, Admiral Gorshkov: Only our powerful Armed Forces V/STOL is reawakening after more than capable of blocking the unrestrained a decade of the 'studies' which have a expansionism displayed today all familiar ring, a carrier design such as over the world by imperialism can this would fill the gap in the sea control deter its aggressiveness.'" force structure which calls for ships smaller than the present aircraft carriers 'The Fleet Air Arm can look forward and aircraft more capable than heli- confidently to the f~;ture."' The Prime Minister copter~.~' 7 October 1975. So where does this leave us? The OCSERVER present situation makes it almost inevitable that Ark Royal will have yet another extension of life until the Sea Harder is "Gerald G. O'~ourke, 'Why V/STOL?', United States Naval Institute Proceedings in service at sea, although the manpower (January 1976) : p. 42. and materiel requirements to effect this 36sergei G. ~ ~ ~~~d~starhRising k at ~Sea ~ will be taxing. Thereafter the future is (Annapolis, Maryland: Naval Institue Press, relatively rosy, albeit in a maritime 1974): Pa 131. J. Wilson, Opening of the Fleet environment which can only be more "Harold Air Arm Museum Extension, Royal Naval hostile than it is today. For to use the Air Station, Yeovilton, 7 October 1975. Technology and the Naval Art 'The history of wars and the military art is a most important source of knowledge. Its profound study contributes to broad thought and a military outlook in officers and generals; to their morale qualities and character building; it assists them in mastering contemporary theories of the military art; it develops skills in the creative approach to the solution of practical tasks which have been brought about by rapid developments in military affairs; and it provides material for exposing bourgeois falsifiers of history." Although some might quibble with the last of the points made here by General Lototskii, most naval officers also seem to believe that history, and especially naval history, is 'relevant' to the present. By this they do not simply mean that it is interesting in its own right, or even that it helps to explain how the present state of affairs has been arrived at. They mean that the naval past offers positive guides that sensible men can recognise and act upon in their preparations for the future. The recent series of articles by Admiral Gorshkov is an excellent case in point. Gorshkov used Soviet (and Russian) history to confute '. . the slanderous assertion (of Tsarists, imperialists and other such disreputables) that the Russians are not a sea-going nation, that the sea is alien to them, and that ,they are not good at seafaring'. He proceeded from this to point out more specific 'lessons' of Russia's naval past. 'When a threat has arisen of enemy e-croac'hment on (the territory of Russia from the south-west,' he observed, 'the . 'Lt. Gen. S. Lototskii: 'The Classics of Marxism-Leninism on the Development of the Military Art', Strategic Review, Spring 1974. TECHNOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART Russian Navy has been moved into the Med'iterranean Sea where it has successfully executed major strategic missions in defending the country's borders from aggression. In other words, our Navy has shown the whole world that the Mediterranean Sea is not anyone's preserve or a closed lake and that Russia is a Mediterranean power." One could not hope for a more obvious not to say heavy handed - 'historical' justification for the continued existence of the Soviet Mediterranean Squadron. More specifically still, Gorshkov used the failure of the German Navy in the Second World War as a stick with which to belabour those Soviet authorities who evidently believed (and perhaps still do) that the Soviet Union could 'make do' with a navy based on submarines and missiles. This shows that all naval history is considered relevant - even that of foreign states and class enemies. I t is fairly plain that Gorshkov is using such arguments in his struggle against the forces of darkness (i.e. economisers, army leaders, and so forth) in the Soviet Union mainly because the system prevents him using the less subtle methods of the West. Debarred from making straightforward public statements of the direction he would like the Soviet Navy to take, he has had to unearth precedents and parallels from the past to outflank the conventions of the Soviet System. Of course, marching back into the past in search of evidence to support preconceived ideas will not necessarily produce 'good history' but the prevalence of this practice does at least show that the belief in the relevance of the past to an understanding of the future is widespread - and not least amongst naval officers. Naval missions redefined A central tenet of this belief is the proposition that while the techniques of naval war may change, its principles do not. Hwxever, change has been so rapid 299 and so extensive over the past generation or so that there now seems good reason to doubt whether the fundamentals of naval warfare will, this time, survive revolutionary transformations in the technical, social, economic and political scene. If this is so, the lessons of the past may become not only irrelevant but also downright misleading. The durability of traditional naval concepts in the face of technical change is therefore a problem which warrants some analysis. A few years ago the U.S. Navy defined its tasks in a clear, crisp manner which offers a refreshing contrast to the turgid and elliptical prose of Admiral Gorshkov. The Americans consider themselves to have four 'missions,' namely: 1 Strategic Deterrence 2 Sea Control 3 Projection of Power Ashore 4 Naval Presence The stress placed on the first and last of these in modern naval strategy is surely quite novel, and is one which can be attributed to Gorshkov as well. While the third mission, on the other hand, is quite familiar, the concepts of the second, Sea Control (and Sea Denial), are new, at least semantically. 'The term "Sea Control,"' wrote Admiral Stansfield Turner, 'derives from the traditional phrase "control of the sea". This change in terminology may seem minor, but it is a deliberate attempt to acknowledge the limitations on ocean control brought about by the development of the submarine and the airplane . . . I t is no longer conceivable, except in the most limited sense, to totally control the seas for one's own use or to totally deny them to an enemy. . . The term "Sea Control" is intended to connote more realistic control in limited areas and for limited periods of time." "dm. Sergei Gorshkov: 'Navies in War and in Peace', Morskoi Sbornik: 1972-3. 'Adm. Stansfield Turner: Missions of the U.S. Navy,' Naval War College Review. March-April 1974. 300 TECHNOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART competes for funds with other more traditional naval tasks, but it tends to undermine, or at least greatly change their theoretical importance as well. The nuclear dimension can be said to affect the purposes of conventional naval power in a host of different ways. If, for example, nuclear war broke out at sea, either as part of a general conflagration, or as a conflict fought wholly or partly at sea, then it seems obvious that conventional naval power would largely be an irrelevance. This is bound to affect spending priorities, especially as nuclear power can hardly ever be said to be an 'irrelevance' even if it is not in fact used. The objection could be made that sustained conflict at sea need not The impact of nuclear weapons The vulnerabilty of the lessons of the necessarily escalate and that the nuclear past to technological innovation is potential of one adversary would offset probably best demonstrated by looking that of the other in a way which left at some more specific instances, starting opposing fleets free to manoeuvre in the with the possible naval implications of way they always have. Commonsense the arrival of nuclear weapons. The suggests, however, that such a contest most obvious consequence of this would be fought with so many military particular development is that it has and political constraints as to make it made full-scale war an even less rational quite unlike anything preceding it. way of resolving disputes than it was Reportedly, one of the main points of the before. The attention of statesmen has bitter 1962 controversy between Secretary therefore switched away from the use of of Defence McNamara and his Chief of force to the threat of its use as an Naval Operations was precisely over the whether the U.S. Navy's instrument of political coercion and this point has apparently meant a relative rise in experience of past blockades was relevant the importance of the deterrent role of to the quarantine currently being naval power - and in its ability to prepared against Cuba. The C.N.O. thought it was; his political chief display or apply limited force. In the past, naval power has been thought, doubtless correctly, that it brought to bear directly on the enemy's wasn't. Again, it is especially difficult to will and capacity to fight, especially by imagine a sustained campaign of any total see blockades such as those imposed kind takling place between the superon Germany in the First World War and powers which could bear more than the Japan in the Second. But any analogy most superficial resemblance to the between this and the use, or threatened campaigns, for example, of the Second use, of sea-based strategic nuclear World War. So, even if the idea of a weapons would surely be paper thin. limited non-nuclear naval war is The 'Strategic Deterrence' mission is in accepted, the nuclear dimension would fact so novel that the naval past has little prdbably mean that conventional power of significance and relevance to offer for could not be exercised in the traditional comparison. way, and not least because the partici'Strategic Deterrence' obviously pant's fear of nuclear escalation would Although one may well be sceptical about the implication that navies have ever been able 'to totally control the seas for one's own use,' the admiral's proposition is significant in that it apparently vindicates Fisher in his prophesy of 'the immense impending revolution which the submarines will effect as offensive weapons of war.' Further, the way in which one of the most basic concepts of traditional naval strategy has thus been altered by the advent of the submarine clearly demonstrates the deterministic effect of technical change and, therefore, the transience of naval strategic concepts. TECHNOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART 301 no doubt be the main thing to keep the West's oil supplies through such devices as the 'accidental' mining of the Straits conflict limited. I t might be worth trying to draw the of Hormuz. I t would seem, though, that strands of this part of the argument in this, as indeed in all other scenarios together by looking again at the much of an oil blockade involving nuclear discussed issue of the vulnerability to powers, it is hard to think that the Soviet pressure of the West's sea-borne responses of previous wars would be at oil supplies. If such an attack was all appropriate. The argument so far has been largely intended directly to cripple the military power of the West by cutting off one of concerned with Europe and the superits most important requirements, it could powers; even if 'true, it would still be conducted either as an isolated allow traditional naval activity to take campaign or as part of a concerted attack place between major and minor powers, on the whole of the West's military or indeed between the minor powers position. If the latter, existing oil stocks themselves. The memory of a hitherto in the West would surely mean that such mothballed U.S. battleship turning up a campaign could not hope to achieve for coastal bombardment duty off decisive superiority in the time likely to Vietnam confirms that there is truth in be available. A protracted campaign in this assertion but, all the same, the Pueblo Europe is unlikely if only because the incident and the Cod War demonstrate Soviet Army is unprepared for it, either that it is often very difficult for major tactically or logistically. This means that powers to use their naval forces in the the issue is likely to be decided, one way traditional way. With one or two or another, long before the West runs exceptions, such as the recent Turkish out of oil. invasion of Cyprus, few of the countless 1 f F o n the other hand, the Soviet 'local' wars which lesser powers have Union deliberately restricted herself to fought since 1945 have had much of the imposi'tion of an oil blockade and decisive traditional naval component and nothing else, she would doubtless have this suggests that the point, though valid, to accept a very real possibility of general can easily be made too much of. naval war with all the risks of escalation that this entailed. The Western riposte The impact of non-nuclear technology The development of naval technology to such a blockade, for example, might well be the occasional heavily escorted has produced other results which, convoy of the kind sent to Malta in although less apparently dramatic than the last war. In this case, however, the advent of nuclear weapons, could still the objective would probably be less to imply revolutionary changes in naval get the oil through than to oblige the warfare and the irrelevance of past Soviet Union to 'up the ante' if she concepts. Many of the characteristics of wanted to stop it. The West's tactics, in traditional naval warfare, for example, other words, would be primarily dictated derived from the participants' habitual by the desire to demonstrate that an oil ignorance of each other's position. In blockade could not be considered a the Battle of the Atlantic, many of the discrete event. Such tactics would, in U-boats' activities were devoted to the consequence, be different from those in task of actually finding something to sink; this is surely not likely to be the past 'blockade-busting' operations. Finally, a good deal of attention is case in the future. Again, how different paid to the rather less apocalyptic possi- would the First World War 'have been bility of the Soviet Union seeking only had a surveillance satellite kept the political advantage by harassing the Admiralty informed of every move made 302 TECHNOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART by the High Seas Fleet! The impact of the increase in the destructive power of many naval weapons is likely to have an even greater effect on the tactics and strategy of naval warfare. In the past, firepower was concentrated so that quantity would make up for individual weaknesses in quality. The naval expression of this universal law was the 'baittle-fleet,' a constitutional dislike of dividing or dispersing H.M. ships and a tendency to shoot or ruin admirals who 'broke the line.' Nowadays, even quite small ships can apparently pack a big enough punch to raise doubts as to the wisdom of concentrating ships or even going on with surface ships at all. As Mr. Khruschev said: 'This weapon to a great extent has become outmoded for conducting wars in modern conditions because all surface means are now vulnerable from the air as well as the shore, and they can be destroyed by an enemy from a far distance." Such feelings may have contributed to the supposed stress on the 'first salvo' betrayed by the design of Soviet warships. The claimed vulnerability of large ships was apparently confirmed by the subsequent sinking of the Eilath in 1967 which led many to propose that surface navies of the future would primarily consist of ships whose protection would lie in their speed and dispersed deployment. In 1970. however, the C.N.O. said: 'I certainly don't accept the allegations that the carrier is vulnerable to the degree that has often been mentioned. . . I don't believe surface ships are vulnerable. I believe in the next war we will perhaps suffer greater losses than we have in the past, but I am confident that we can stay out there and o ~ e r a t e . ' ~The counter-proposition is that the biggest weapons platform provides facilities for the most sophisticated and effective defence systems and therefore the safest (surface) ship is the biggest. This raises obvious echoes of the interwar dispute over the vulnerability of the battleship to submarine and aircraft. I n this dispute, reformers usually reacted to claims that battleships could cope with the new threats in one of two ways. Some rejected it as a matter of scientific fact and argued, on the contrary, that since the defence could not keep pace with developments in aerial and submarine offence, the battleship was doomed however big and sophisticated it became. Nowadays, they would doubtless say: 'Since we can't reliably shoot down their missiles, let's multiply their targets by having more, smaller, ships!' Other reformers stressed that even if the surface ship could be made reasonably secure against air attack, then the defensive configuration of the vessel would rob it of much of its capacity to do harm to the enemy. As one interwar commentator noted: 'The inevitable result is the production of a ship too costly and representing too large a proportion of total fighting power to be lightly risked. She is stultified by virtue of her superlative qualities, and spends most of her war career in a boom-closed anchorage.'Wow there is doubt whether any country will be able to afford enough of the really good ships to make the whole thing worthwhile. 'If the pincers of technological development and financial stringency were to invest the Navy's wartime role with the character of a forlorn hope,' noted James Cable, 'it might be desirable to give priority to those lesser dangers which could actually be countered. . . Might the superpowers be forced to maintain two navies, one a mere floating adjunct to the deterrent, 'pravda, 9 juiy 1964. 'Adm. Thomas H. Moorer, quoted in G. H. @ester (Ed): Seapower in the 1970s9 and Record, 5 Aug. 1925. 9~$2~:1W2z1~~&~~ TECHNOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART the other equipped for more humdrum (coastal and diplomatic), and we may hope, more likely tasks? it seems worth asKing whether, in the 1970s and 1980s, the size and shape of the Navy ought still to be determined by the needs of war." ... Ocean technology In the past few years, technology has rendered the full exploitation of the resources of the sea both more necessary and more feasible, and most authorities accept that a likely consequence of this will be a territorial sea of twelve miles and an Exclusive Economic Zone of 200. In all probability this will result in a considerable enlargement of what has hitherto been regarded as one of the Navy's more minor tasks. The increased importance of this task seems likely to affect the theory of naval warfare if nothing else. Mahan thought that man's interest in the sea sprang from its role in the carriage of trade. Hence the capacity to move freely on the sea and inhibit a similar capacity in others is central to his theory of sea supremacy. The Times summed it up well in 1969: 'One misconception is that the sea is an area to be defended against intrusions. Sea power is not about possession of the sea but about its freedom. Basically sea power means freedom to move across any sea, and the ability to guarantee that freedom against interference.' The need to protect fixed installations like oil rigs means that parts of the sea are now an 'area to be defended.' I t is very hard to see what the practical results of this theoretical change might be but I suspect that, taken with other things, it could well require a profound modification of the kind of 'seek and destroy' doctrine that underlies such approved views as: 'The Water Gates of England are the Ports of the Enemy' (Hawkins, 1587). Judging by the reluctance of the Admiralty partially to suspend such a 303 creed in favour of convoy, they might find it difficult indeed to obey the injunction to 'look (instead) to your moaite.' This new task could actually make it more difficult for navies to carry out their traditional ones. I t might, for instance, be thought to reqdre a reallocation of resources, whereas 'naval money . . ought to be spent on ships, submarines and aircraft together with the weapons appropriate to meeting the higher level war tasks.'' More fundamentally, however, the progressive enclosure of the oceans has been opposed by both the superpowers even though they would be the chief beneficiaries of a wide EEZ and territorial sea. I n the U.S., in fact, a most interesting struggle took place between 1968 and 1974 where this dilemma was tackled by the Defence Department (representing the 'strategic interest') and the Petroleum Industry (representing the 'coastal interest'). I n the Soviet Union, too, the navy argued: 'A highly alarming symptom is the practice of the extension by certain states of the limits of their territorial sea up to 200 miles, which is nothing more than an attempt to seize great expanses of the ocean.'' The naval fear, and it seems a most justifiable one, is that wide EEZs and the kind of 'creeping jurisdiction' likely to follow their institution would greatly reduce the area where naval powers could deploy their forces. Could flagshowing operations and the like indeed degenerate into mere 'folkloristic manifestation(~)to be performed only in the territorial waters of already friendly and aligned states.'?" . 'James Cable: Gunboat Diplomacy, Chatto and Windus, 1970, pp. 76-7, 166. 'D. P. R. Roessler (P. E.-MOD), quoted in: "The Securitv of North Sea Oil and the Overall Soviei Threat," June 1975, published by British Atlantic Committee, p. 56. 'Gorshkov, op. cit. "Elizabeth Young, Survival, Nov./Dec. 1974. 304 TECEINOLOGY AND THE NAVAL ART Even a twelve mile territorial sea could close over a hundred important straits at least in the sense that the interpretation of 'innocent passage' could rest in the hands of the governments of littoral states. This could gravely compromise the ability of naval forces to get to crisis areas quickly. European refusals to grant over-flying rights to the U.S. in her attempt to re-supply Israel during the Yom Kippur War illustrate the extent to which the naval and foreign policy of even the superpowers could be at the mercy of third parties. The point can be illustrated by reference to the passage of an American task force centred on Enterprise through the Straits of Malacca en route for the Indo-Pakistan War of 1971. At this time the U.S.A. refused to concede that 'innocent passage' required prior notification. In 1973, for example, John R. Stevenson (Chief U.S. delegate to the U.N. Seabed Committee) stated: 'We would not contemplate notifying, because if such a requirement is introduced, there is of course ultimately a risk of tfiis leading to control of transit through straits."' Since an Indonesian spokesman subsequently reaffirmed the rights of littoral states to control such passages but said that prior notification had, in fact, been received, the imbroglio was evidently resolved to the mutual satisfaction of both friendly states. Had Indonesia still been ruled by the Sukarno regime, another complication - to put it mildly - would have been introduced into the U.S.A.'s problem of how to influence events on the Indian subcontinent. More ominously, perhaps, innocent passage is sometimes held to require submarines (including SSBNs) to surface when passing through straits. The U.S. may, however, take at least some consolation from the fact that in this, as indeed in many other aspects of her capacity to operate her naval forces at will, the Soviet Unton is much worse off! Conclusion To sum up, the whole argument seems to suggest that an increasingly large proportion of naval activities will, perforce, take place within coastal waters, however defined. The increasing range of SSBNs such as the Deltas and Tridents, and in fact many of the advances in weapons technology noted earlier could point in the same direction. If this supposition is correct, then the relevance of past naval experience would certainly be open to considerable doubt - except, possibly, in that it would show how different everything is now. GEOFFREYTILL "uoted in A. L. Hollick and R. E. Osgood: New Era of Ocean Politics, John Hopkins U.P., 1974, p. 103. The Strategy Gap I t would be easy to despair of the ability of Western Europe to survive the next few years, at any rate with its current structures and values intact. The stark facts of military imbalance and military budgets and their constant and discernible shifts in favour of the Soviets, the dashing of any hopes which Helsinki might - however optimistically - have raised, the widespread confusion of thinking over the meaning of dgtente, set in clear relief by the events in Angola; all, against a backdrop of doom and foreboding sketched in the gloomy colours of Solzhenitsyn's vision, tend to support a view of irreversible and accelerating THE STRATEGY GAP decline towards a future of unrelieved, inevitable disaster. Opposing such a progress, the ritual and rhetorical fulminations of western politicians, of no matter what shades of opinion, are plainly no proof. In the same way, it would be easy to insist that the only contribution which the western European military establishment can make to any possible solution would be to withdraw into 'fortress NATO', and prepare for a long siege. What the French have come to call the 'dkmobilisation des esprits' works In more senses than one. Many apparently respectable military men think in just such a way. Indeed it can be argued that in 'defence' terms alone it is right. But the uncomfortable question left hanging menacingly over the ostrich rump of such military thinking is 'whatever became of deterrence?' Realistic, necessary, even reassuring and convenient, as it may appear to focus the entire output of western military efforts on the static defence of a shrinking area of terrestial and maritime real estate in and off western Europe, does it really make sense to abandon everywhere else all ideas of deterring, let alone resisting, the thrust of Soviet power? To many, and not least to the Soviets, it must seem that this is just what the west is in fact doing. 'East is East, and West is West', and between them yawns a widening 'strategy gap' which reveals itself as much in politico-military thinking - and therefore in the related field of military capabilities - as in all the other divergencies of aim, endeavour, or credo which separate the 'free world' from that of the Soviets and their allies. On the one hand is a monolithic coherence, an integrated thrust embodying the political considerations with the military, economic, and cultural; an identity between the global purposes of government and the activity of every component in its support, energised and stiffened by a generous admixture of social mobilisation 305 wholly foreign to western ideas. On the other hand, the fragmentary nature of western efforts -if that is the right word - presents a sharp contrast. However strong the arguments which reinforce western ideas of free association and democratic choice of destiny - and not only are they very powerful but there is mercifully no foreseeable likelihood of the'ir suppression jus't so long as the West remains free - the resultant limitations in terms of opposition to the Soviet thrust are very severe indeed. Only the precarious balance of nuclear capabilities at present bridges this strategy gap. Beneath the umbrella of these capabilities unified Soviet pressures encounter western responses, military, political, economic or others, ebbing and flowing in uneasy compromise, rarely cobbled together in more than one sense, and never - so far - in a comparable whole. That such a state of affairs operates massively in favour of the Soviets has been convincingly demonstrated everywhere from Vietnam to Angola. I1t is, at present, hard to see where it could not be demonstrated. But whereas the problem, in the total scale of world politics, must remain the province of the statesman, the degree to which even the western military response lacks not only coherence within itself but also a recognisable and purposeful place in relation t o other western attitudes, must cause concern t o the military strategist whose task it is to advise governments. So far as Britain, in particular, is concerned there exists plenty of evidence, in the recent history of defence policies, of an almost eager readiness t o make distinctions between what is seen as militarily 'essential' and the politically desirable, then to advance solely budgetary arguments for discarding the latter. Britain of course is not alone in this dilemma. But the blinkered view which is all that such distinctions allow is demonstrably and increasingly leading western military leaders up the cul-de-sac 306 THE SrRATECY CAP thing very constructive, the social dimension in the construction of national policies, drawing clear distinctions between the Soviets and the west. But the British 1976 Defence White Paper, apart from a brief reference to the fact that 'the social and economic problems now facing the west could, if not satisfactorily resolved, have consequences for the external security of Western countries'. Whither strategy? In terms of the utilisation and can be searched in vain for any reflection deployment of armed force, it is true to of the idea that the acknowledged and say that except in the area of nuclear increasing menace of Soviet capabilities activities the field of military strategy has should, let alone could, be countered by been effectively abandoned by the west. anything but closer concentration on the This phenomenon receives more recogni- military needs of NATO. The strategic tion outside Britain than within. The significance of such 'non-NATO commit'Posture Statement for Fiscal Year 1977', ments' as Britain still supports, even in prepared for the United States Congress connection with CENTO, is not once by the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of mentioned. Britain - indeed the west in Staff, refers to the erosion of what was general, with the possible exception of for years a common western perception the United States and France - has no of the threat, and returns repeatedly military strategy with which to address, throughout its wide-ranging survey to beyond the arbitrary geographical consuch concepts as the continuing strategic fines of NATO, the thrust of unified importance of protecting lines of com- Soviet policies. In the light of the munication all over the world. Recent consistent contraction of British defence French writings, including those of efforts in the last two decades, the General MCry, the Chief of Defence, progress of the 'long recessional', one emphasise the need not only for the can but wonder what value the Chiefs of developed military strategy of a nation to Staff now attach to their collective be part of, and integrated with, the responsibility, laid down in 1963, for general, but for a flexibility in the former professional advice to the government on which will match the demands of the strategy. latter in an age of widening, not contractFor the argument, blandly stated in ing, international dependencies. Indeed, the 1976 White Paper, that NATO's Giscardian France has coined a new word 'defensive' strategy, and the forces at its - {the 'mondialisation' of prablems - command, 'protect members of the by which is meant the tendency of any Alliance from attempts at coercion . . . . event of importance to have repercus- and from other forms of direct and sions elsewhere in the world, not in indirect political pressure deriving from geographical terms alone but perhaps in military power' simply does not carry different fields of human activilty. In a set conviction. On a simplistic level, the of national policies coherently developed limited application area of the strategy in such circumstances, the concept of means that it can be continuously, 'defence' becomes 'secufity'; and the perhaps indefinitely, circumvented. But latest West German 'defence' White on another plane, it cannot be denied Paper which (is enltitled 'The Security of that members of the Alliance suffer, to the Federal Republic . . . .', explores at the extent that the political, economic some length, but without deriving any- or other options which are or might be of concentration on the single strategic option of defence through NATO. Such an option in Soviet eyes, and in the light of all the other options which they sedulously cultivate, and which they are manifestly more and more capable of exploiting, must appear to be no more than tactical. T I ~ ESTRATEGY GAP 307 open to them are cuftailed or foreclosed, perhaps for that reason insufficiently by any exercise of Soviet military power studied. Yet imperfect understanding of in any way inimical to their national the workings of deterrence could prove interests. The distinction between - and, some would argue, is now 'direct' and 'indirect' can be ignored; the proving - disastrous for the west. latter, the more likely to be employed by Fundamental to the concept is the idea the Soviets, is no less dangerous than the of credibility, which encompasses not former. How then can NATO's 'defen- only considerations of political will but sive strategy' be said to have protected of military capability: and in this conits members from Soviet pressures in nection a central issue is how long it will Angola, where they took a new and remain right (let alone practicable) to significant form by demonstrating a sacrifice quantity - particularly outside willingness to use military air power over the NATO area - in pursuit of the long distances? How will it help if such costly and spurious up-market quality of usages develop elsewhere, for example 'warmaking capabilities' deployed on the in Tonga? The essence of strategy, it has Central Front. Assuming (and, equally, been said, is 'the battle for freedom of without assuming) further U.S.-Soviet action'. To the extent that the Soviets agreement on strategic arms limitation, are acquiring more of it, and the NATO how are conventional capabilities likely nations have evidently chosen not only to develop: and to what extent will such not to contest them in doing so but weapons as precision-guided missiles, actually to confine the limits of their with or without 'cruise' ranges, have the own, it !is hard to see how the benefits effect of decoupling conventional claimed for the 'defensive Strategy' can deterrence from conventional defence? be realised. Or affect, by their adoption amongst second-tier powers in or beyond Europe, the long-standing arguments about the A view from Europe It is therefore of special importance stabilizing or destabilizing influences of that two clear warnings have in recent super-power armouries? With what months been uttered by General effects? And if deterrence should fail, Alexander Haig, NATO's Supreme Allied do the strategic imperatives of the Commander in Europe and a man who western interest demand the winning of might be expected to personify the a war, or the stopping of it? Are the concept of a NATO stratkgy rigorously weapons and dispositions required in focussed on the real estate of the Alliance each case the same? SACEUR's first - an archetypal, one might say, 'Central- warning raises enough questions to be Frontiersman'. In the first of these, he going on with, without pursuing any told an American correspondent of further and more basic considerations of Newsweek thaft members of NATO the utility of military power to such 'should not be totally preoccupied with conclusions as, for example, that it the purely warmaking capabilities of the might be better to spend the money on alliance on the Central Front'. This buying oil-wells. The available evidence statement, with its hint of misdirected of Brittsh defence thinking, whether energies and its implied emphasis on the expressed in recent White Papers as need to apply effort to deterrent commentary or in terms of procurement capability, and on a wide canvas, begs a decisions, in statements to the Select number of questions of varied strategic Committee on Expenditure or elsewhere, significance. They stem from the issue of bears no indication that such questions whnt is meant by deterrence, a concept are being addressed in Whitehall. General Haig's second warning was much subtler than that of defence, and 308 THE STRATEGY GAP spelt out bath in the Newsweek interview and shortly afterwards in his discussion with Mr. Robin Day on BBC Television. In the former, he stated his view that the greatest danger to the Wedt 'comes from the perception and reality of global Soviet power and the West's lack of ability or will to manage it': and to Robin Day he stressed the problem of the management of global Soviet power. This is a very telling turn of phrase. Because the growing weight and compass of maritime influence is its most obvious (if not, as we have seen, the only) manifestation, the lack of an ability to 'manage' global Soviet power points to the want of a maritime strategy which is relevant to it. General Haig's remark begs therefore not only the question of what may be required to 'manage' Soviet power, but that of how it is to be made effective globally. Global Soviet power can evidently not be 'managed' by confronting its instruments, wherever they appear, in sufficient strength to oppose them. Arguably, it can be assumed to be 'managed' if it does not have 'unmanageable' political, military or other effects: if, in fact, it can be lived with in reasonable assurance that national interests are secure. Adverse effects will only be manageable if those concerned can be made aware of what is going on before it is too late to react appropriately: diplomatic protest, concerted international action in the UN or elsewhere, military reinforcement, or whatever. (The Soviets would have an answer, even if the West is caught short for lack of foresight). Hence the need for the instruments to be watched, surveyed, reported; for their activities to be monitored and analysed. In practice, this is what deterrence is. If deterrence fails, aggression must be countered or not, if that is the choice: but let there be a choice. Once again, the questions of how to develop and operate a deterrent strategy, as well as how to structure forces for deterrence, clamour for a share of the attention which has for so long been concentrated not on managing global Soviet power but on the capability to meet it in battle. And it must be recognised that there is no effective alternative to a global deterrent strategy. The idea of a 'NATO' maritime strategy, focussed on perceptions of tension or hostilities limited (as if you could limit a tension) to the geographical boundaries of the Alliance's area of commitment, makes only limited sense in the context of the Soviet threat of aggression towards NATO. A strategy so defined makes no sense at all in the context of the actual, constant, and continual facts of global Soviet power, exercised as it is in a set of international circumstances which wholly denies what a French writer has called the fictions juridiques of ':war' and 'peace', and in a manner which by purposeful circumvention successfully avoids threatening NATO in any way likely to prompt collective activation of its responses. The military capabilities of the Alliance, contracting in the face of budgetary pressures under leaders, both political and military, who in seeking to defend their various arguments readily resort to the philosophies of earlier wars (a daunting parallel with the 1930s) present no obstacle to a wide range of useful Soviet designs for the furtherance of their objectives. I t is presumably for this reason that General Haig speaks not of NATO, but of Yhe West': and it is abundantly clear that the nations of 'the West' have no answer, either collective or individual, to his requirement. There exist of course serious political objections to any formal extension of NATO's physical area of commitment: but for western military strategists to use them as an excuse for not thinking in the same global terms as those of the Soviets is not only intellectually and professional craven. I t is a positive encouragement to Soviet perceptions of what little they have to fear from the fragmented nature of the West's responses THE STRATEGY GAP to any initiative they chose in pursuit of their purposes. Is it really acceptable to the western nations that such purposes should be allowed to go forward unchecked? General Haig is clearly of the opinion that it is not, and surely he is not alone. . . .. On the other hand It may be that this state of affairs is acceptable, or at least must be accepted because of the realities of present western social and economic circumstances. But if this is so, Yhe military strategist with responsibility for advising government must in all honesty examine his conscience, his performance, and not least the arguments which support his policies, to ensure that it is in no way his intransigence, or his misreading of the 309 fundamental problem, which has led the politician to such a conclusion. There emerge from the pages of the r m o t Defence White Paper no 'hints of the sort of thinking prompted by General Haig's two warnings: no indication but that the government accepts without question, in a world of rapidly changing realities, that Britain's place in it continues to demand concentration on support of a military alliance geared to the single option of overt Soviet aggression in a limited geographical setting: no suggestion that a wider, if not a different, strategic purpose might find a place in the policies of the nation or its allies. The 'Strategy Gap' is alive, and well, and living in Whitehall. SPLITCANE Educational Pastimes One of A. Hitler's less widely reported achievements was to curtail the education of me and my Dartmouth entry contemporaries; not that any of us had any regrets at the time. Indeed we could well have given him three cheers, as we set off, not to the training cruiser as cadets but to real ships as midshipmen. Thereafter with the reduction of subs courses to four months at the specialist schools, those fortunate enough to find helpful instructors and indulgent commanding officers could acquire a watchkeeping ticket and the rank of confirmed Sub-Lieutenant at the age of nineteen. Three cheers for Adolf again: being navigator of a fleet destroyer in wartime seemed a good deal more worthwhile than being under instruction at Greenwich. One's practical professional knowledge grew accordingly even if the academic background was a bit thin. Unlike 1919, when officers similarly affected were sent to Cambridge after the war for a- six months course, the authorities took no such steps to make good the leeway in 1946. Fifteen love to Adolf. A snag To digress, this accelerated advancement subsequently gave rise to an unexpected penalty of another kind. Having begun one's commissioned service at nineteen, time served and seniority began to roll from then. On reaching that point in middle age when pensions emerge from the realms of distant fantasy to become a foreseeable drop in income, it was a setback to find that, as a result of changes to the small print made in 1948, time under twentyone no longer counted and one's pension for the regulation full career of thirtyfour years service became only 32134th~ of the full rate. Thirty love to Adolf. (Lest any readers suffering this mulct be 310 EDUCATIONAL PASTIMES now tempted to reach for their biros and 'have the honour to submit' on the subject, I would advise that their 'demo' is probably twenty-five years too late. One gets a polite reply saying that the pension scheme is the very best that able civil servants in the MOD could wring from a reluctant Treasury, any changes would undermine its actuarial basis and that it confers many benefits, not least on those who opt to leave the Navy early(!) ). Discovery However if one can't recover a shortfall in pension, one can do something oneself about shortfalls in education. The thought first struck me when serving in a destroyer based on Malta in the 1950s. We were host ship to a U.S. Sixth Fleet opposite number. I remember that they kept three parts of the watch onboard and all radars operating for fear of a repetition of Pearl Harbour in Dockyard Creek. We exchanged the usual wardroom hospitality; cold tea, Maryland corn-fed ham and ice cream for too many horse's necks, fried lampuki and chips. We also exchanged lists of officers; theirs read: Name: C o m m a n d e r Cyrus J. Hickenlooper Jnr. USN. Duty: Command. Duty in training for: Higher Command. Education: Masters degree in Human Psychology, University of Wisconsin. and so on. Simple me was impressed. University degrees were rare in R.N. wardrooms of that time and if you did have a graduate he was usually in overalls trying to make the radar work (now, I believe, they are excessively common and judging by the advertisements in the press rather non-U). Later, I was equally impressed by a scientist with whom I shared an office and who has since risen to high rank. He started his career by taking an external degree in physics, swotting at the kitchen table in the evenings while supporting a wife on £5 a week as a laboratory assistant. Subsequent closer acquaintance with the United States forces gave a glimpse of their extensive adult education programmes, apparently all largely free and well subscribed to by all ranks. Some appear to get a year off in mid-career to get their 'Masters degree'. Sceptics may point out that American degrees are not quite the same as English ones. Decision These hitherto idle thoughts finally crystallised when yet another of those dreaded week-ending shore jobs loomed over the horizon. These, one fears, must become a more frequent hazard. Once it was the housing problem; but now it is more likely t o be the rocketing cost of boarding school education which will condemn one to live in distant messes or London bed-sits while the better half tends the home fires within the catchment area of one's chosen comprehensive. What to do on those four weekday evenings to avoid yielding to the bottle or the temptations of the big city with consequent damage to health and wealth is an important question to which there are many answers. These range from staying far too late in the office to the discomfort of one's juniors who are thereby driven to fuel the paper explosion, down to rug making or social work. One possibility is to take some kind of educational course, either for amusement - perhaps to satisfy a long suppressed fascination for some abstruse subject - or to improve the mind; to acquire a manual skill; to prepare for a job outside; or even to improve one's professional abilities as a naval officer; possibly a combination of several. Methods There seem to be four basic methods. EDUCATIONAL PASTIMES 311 One is just to read books; however, the by any standards. Naval officers may be existence of an Education vote now less prone to dropping out than some, higher than that for Defence is an indica- but the basic pitfall is underestimation tion that better results are thought to be of the amount of work and time required obtained by organised courses of instruc- to complete the course to which both tion requiring a positive contribution by students and sellers of courses contribute. For example if one chose to aim high the pupil. Another ploy is to enrol for evening and go for an external university degree, classes. This is probably the most efficient which is not to be lightly undertaken, method of learning since one has a real one may find that the course may be live teacher with whom one can engage programmed, for say, four and a half in two-way communication. One snag is years for external students rather than that having enrolled for fretwork on the normal three for internal students. Tuesday evenings you will be invited out Exams are usually mandatory milestones to dinner or be sent away on a duty trip which occur at fixed dates; if you fail one or are unable to sit due to illness or for the next four Tuesdays running. Then there is the Open University the exigencies of the service, add another with lectures on TV or radio supplement- year. Again, during the course you may ed by a correspondence course. But the have at least one appointment in which lectures are strictly one way communica- you are kept too busy to maintain your tion and I wonder if this is much better planned schedule of studies; add another (for subjects other than languages) than year. Thus seven years could be a using a good textbook. They are also at prudent planning fignre, though it has fixed times. I once found an acquaintance been done in very much less. lurking in the lavatory at a cocktail party An easier target are the various with a transistor pressed to his ear. He examinations and qualifications of the just had to catch a vital twenty minutes various professional institutions lecture in his O.U. Russian course. This Chartered Secretaries for example; there difficulty can be overcome by buying a is a wide selection to choose from and an time switch and a tape recorder. education officer can advise. Finally there is the correspondence On a lower plane but not to be scoffed course; flexible as to timing, but you're at are A levels. Many of the peacetime mostly on your own; although lecture problems of the Navy reduce themselves notes and text books are sent to you, in the end to in-fighting over money, regular questions and essays set, and your long term castings, dockyard refits, nonanswers returned corrected, marked and public funds etc. There are few naval covered in scathing comments in red ink officers who could not improve their by your tutor. One also has to read a lot grasp of such things and their negotiating - easy in London where almost any power by taking an A level in economics book ever written can be obtained free and a short course in accountancy, if from public l$braries; less easy if you are they haven't already done so. R.N.O. Diego Garcia where you will As to the time set aside for work, this have to take your library with you. is an individual personal problem. Speaking for myself I have found a target of The difficulties three weekday evenings per week (not Well, what are the difficulties? First always achieved) maintains my schedule; and foremost staying-power; it is weekend work is taboo, but reading can generally reckoned that the average be done any time in trains, aeroplanes, drop-out rate for correspondence course in bed or anywhere by foregoing one's students approaches 9076, a high figure previous quota of paper-back thrillers. 312 EDUCATIONAL PASTIMES If behind schedule one can try catching up before breakfast but this requires more will power. The alarm goes at 0630, you decide not to get up but to master those two chapters in bed. The next event is the realisation that it is 0830, the two chapters are not mastered and one has the choice of missing breakfast or being late for work. The choice of subject is another difficult decision which can be made after lengthy forethought or with a pin. Once one gets into it in depth almost any subject can become interesting. one's appointer and commanding officer in order to secure an appointment to a lengthy full time course at a seat of learning such as Greenwich, Latimer or Belgrave Square (or the Army or Air Force colleges). Indeed if so inclined and cards are played well one may be able to go to two or three of these and perhaps get a job on the directing staff as well, thereby absenting oneself from the practical business of one's profession for up to four or five years (the really artful may follow this up with a Defence Fellowship). In days of yore and everyfinger-a-marlinspike there was probably only a limited number of officers with An anomaly In the process of selecting a subject the intellectual capacity and inclination one curious gap becomes apparent. One for such frolics, but today most officers can carry out extramural studies in could profit from the courses and most almost any subject except that of one's of us sooner or later became staff officers own military profession. The Royal Navy or policy formulators; but manpower will give advice, encouragement and even considerations alone require Drafty to a very small measure of financial assist- limit the numbers. This restriction may ance towards a wide variety of courses be welcome to those who have an interest aimed at further academic education or in boosting the image and standing of at resettlement, but offers no options con- the various colleges by cultivating an cerned with Defence, War or Maritime aura of exclusiveness. However it is Strategy. It is possible that there is no difficult to refute the argument that the demand. Indeed it is difficult for an service would benefit if the output were individual extramural student such as the increased. writer to discern whether he is a member One method of achieving this would of a small lunatic fringe who have lost be to cater for extramural students. The touch with the telly and can thus find objections of the directing staffs can be time to study, or whether one is part of imagined - 'My dear chap, students the tip of an iceberg composed of a must be here to imbibe the atmosphere. substantial number of officers who would Anyway we haven't got the staff to cope do likewise if they could see some with all the paperwork which external professional profit in it. Who knows? But students would generate. Look at me, on it is an observable fact that most naval overtime dl1 Christmas; staff colleges' officers are interested in their profession, golf tournament next week; a new are prepared to argue at length about scheme to prepare before the November defence strategy at the wardroom bar, course joins and then all the arrangethat even engineers may be seen reading ments for the South American tour to be Roskill in the train to Bath, and that a made -yes, I know our defence interests few go to such extremes as to subscribe are in Europe now, but it broadens the to The Naval Review. mind, and the embassies are awfully glad to see us. They say it helps with exports. Staff colleges I'm hoping to go myself next year to help As things stand the only option in with the admin.' higher professional studies is to cultivate Joking apart, the system works well EDUCATIONAL PASTIMES enough, is much respected abroad and has stood the test of time (this is beginning to sound like the defence of grammar schools); nevertheless it presents curious contrasts. So many separate colleges, single service and joint, each with staff (count the stars), real estate, overheads; all teaching variations of the same subject to a very limited intake. Compare this with civilian universities and polytechnics where large single institutions offer a very wide variety of course from theology to economics and from agriculture to electronics, often catering for external as well as internal students. Is concentration into a large single unit cheaper, more effective, or does a more expensive bureaucracy result? Are extramural staff courses possible? Their introduction would certainly please drafty but what about the practical aspects, syndicate work, presentations etc.? Well there is always the weekend seminar, quite a common feature of civilian life. I t may sound horrifying, but consider a Friday evening to Sunday afternoon programme of first class 313 professional interest in pleasant surroundings. Add a free railway warrant, a party on Saturday night, and accommodation and divertissements for any wives who cared to string along. I t could make an agreeable change from gardening and golf if it didn't occur too often. Another cause for dismay could be that the only method of assessing external students is to introduce exams which would be less than popular with the presently unexamined internal students. One must contrast this again with civilian life where institutions which award qualifications on the basis of course attendance only are none too highly respected. However a new look would cost money and if it proved that only a small lunatic fringe were interested then they would do better to stick to their fretwork. On the other hand it would not cost money to have an exploratory look at whether the Navy could do itself some good by helping those who are prepared to help themselves. The Art of Course Computing (THE NAVALREVIEWis indebted to the NAVALELECTRICAL REVIEWfor permission to reproduce this article by one of our members, whom we thank, also, for his contribution-EDITOR) 'If the Navy is to be fully effective in the future, it must have a corps of officers who have been trained in 'the techniques of handling information as part of their basic education.' 'The Information Revolution', The Naval Review (October 1968); p.219. Introduction Training in a naval context may be described as the process of matching the men to the material requirements of the Fleet. This article describes a computer system t o assist management in the optimisation of Naval Weapons and Electrical Engineering training at H.M.S. Collingwood. The complexity of the training problem is considerable. Changes in the long term programmes of ships or in the intended equipment fits occur frequently; and these, coupled with alterations t o career patterns of naval personnel, lead to a requirement regularly to update calculations of courses and associated training resources in order that the demands of 314 THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING the fleet may be met. I t is now necessary to forecast the needs for every year of the life of the ships that are building, as well as keeping pace with the refitting of those already in the fleet. In H.M.S. Collingwood an establishment staff of nearly 1,000 teach some 300 different courses of anything between one day and two years duration, at levels from junior mechanic to advanced technician. With running costs in the order of £10 million a year, optimisation of training effort is clearly desirable. About 14 per cent of the total training effort is devoted to Foreign and Commonwealth students who are sent here because many foreign governments think that the Royal Navy gives good value for money. The gestation period for setting up a new type of course may be as long as six years, during which equipment and buildings must be obtained, course content designed, and instructors trained; before starting we should therefore be fairly confident that the requirement exists and that the proposed answer is correct. But the major factors affecting planning are totally outside our control: enemy posture, national attitudes, defence policy, ship building and refit programmes, equipment fits, weapon systems development, engineering and maintenance techniques, maintainerf operator policy, manning policy, recruiting and manpower wastage. Some of these factors are more variable than others, and some are interdependent but they exist and we must try to predict them in terms of training requirements now for ten and twenty years ahead. Whenever any variations are recognised, our planning must be updated immediately; the penalty for a wrong or tardy decision could be great in terms of defence unpreparedness or in waste of taxpayers money in years to come. TRAMPIS The Training Requirements and Management Planning Information System (TRAMPIS) is a means of representing relevant naval circumstances, such that the resources needed for naval training and the general content of courses may be calculated with the aid of a computer. TRAMPIS has now been developed to give a picture of the actual situation present and future, so as to produce results which are sufficiently reliable to allow decisions about future training requirements to be made with an acceptable degree of confidence, thus leading to considerable savings in the training field. Diagram 1 shows how TRAMPIS fits into the WE Branch training system. So far, the system has been confined to the calculation of courses and resources for WE training in H.M.S. Collingwood, but the methodology employed could be applied to the whole field of manpower policy and training. [ST;(141111N6 111MP1S . C OL O* TUI *ITI I ' . Il)AiMLD TRllWlNG lXfCYTlON "IIUIIIb "1IO""CII 0IIllll"TIII COURSE DEllG* Illl"l*L *I,*ODI ''al' .Pclllli 1SStSS*W7 LIIIs*I"r Diagram 1. Outline of the WE Branch training system. A gun control analogy The training system for which we plan may be likened to a simple control system for a gun-mounting; aim must be accurate, and there must be provision for rapid changes of target without endangering our accuracy. In Diagram 2 the fire control system TKE A R T OF COURSE COMPUTING provides inputs ordering the gun to train and elevate to point at a given target. The gun drives into line until the error from requirement is zero. T o increase accuracy, we simply increase the size of the gun drive system. This is how naval training used to be carried out. We optimised results at sea by expanding training with little thought to cost in terms of training effort. Continuing with the gun analogy however, we shall eventually reach a stage where the gun system is too big and consumes too much power for the ship, and a compromise is necessary. If we measure some function which relates to the size of the machinery (say power consumed) in addition to the physical alignment error, we can combine them to get a Performance Index and a controller may balance size against accuracy to arrive a t an optimum solution -the cheapest for a given accuracy, or the best accuracy for a given cost (Diagram 3). We may also expand our analogy t o monitor the effects of many outputs (Diagram 4), but the system will tend to become over complicated, and I Diagram 4. Multiple inputloutput optimal control. because of the time delay in the feedback loop, it is likely t o produce heavy oscillations in the quality of the output - in our case, the trained man. Another situation with which we are well acquainted. If, however, we can model our training system well enough, we can programme a computer t o do the work for us. Diagram 5 shows this. The computers speed of operation - about 1,000 times faster than real life - will enable a total calculation t o be made for any given set of requirements, t o try out various selections o r by optimising for each variable in a hill-climbing process t o arrive a t a best solution. The controller - MANVOWER PhllDUC ON -----}OUTPUT SISlt* SERVO SYSTEM OUTPUTS - ERROR REOUIRtMtYT Diagram 2. Simple gun control system. x COYTROLLER PERFORMANCE INDEX Hill i!lM8 CONTROLLER Diagram 5. Stable system for near optimal control of multiple inputloutput Diagram 3. System for optimal control. process. 316 THE ART OF cotJRSE will only pass the optimum solution to the training system. As we already know it to be the optimum solution, system control is not dependent on monitoring the output, and the cause of oscillation is removed. I n theory, the only variations in output are caused by changes in input, or changes introduced at the discretion of the controller, and are in any case rapidly stabilised. We are thus in a strong position to withstand abrupt changes in defence policy with absolute minimum disruption - an important consideration. The key to the whole system lies in making our model to be an exact representation of real life. Obviously, unless it is exact, the answers the computer produces will be less than optimum if not grossly in error. Training courses At H.M.S. CoNingwood there are two different types of course t o be considered: (a) Pre-Joining Training Courses largely equipment orientated courses intended to prepare a man for his next job. (b) Career Courses - academic and technique based courses intended t o prepare a man for employment at his next level of advancement (this implies the provision of suitable background knowledge to enable a man to cope with a PJT Course at a specified level). Training requirements Before a course can be executed: (a) The necessary resources euilding, equipment and instructional staff) must be provided; @) The course must be designed and validated. Before course design can commence, however, what is required to be taught must be defined. In this article 'training Requirements' are taken to be: (1) The definition of the required resources; (2) The definition of the required course content. COMPUTING The function of TRAMPIS The place of a model in the overall WE Branch training system has been discussed above, but a model built in isolation would be of little value. I t is essential that its results can be easily communicated to the outside world and that there exists a system of data capture so that the model can be adapted to reflect changing circumstances. This system, w'hich must be 'thoroughly integrated as a whole, constitutes TRAMPIS. The major function of the system is to distil out of Ministry of Defence Manning and Material policies the following: (a) A feed-back of the resources required to execute those policies; (b) An outline definition of course content for subsequent detailed Course Design action; (c) Estimates of training loads to enable effective control of training to take place. Outline description of TRAMPIS An overall block diagram of T R A W I S is shown in Diagram 6. This shows that the forecasting problem can be reduced t o four basic functions: (a) Fleet Requirements File. To assess the overall fleet manning and PJT Course requirements for as far ahead as possible, based on official planning information on both the present and future RN fleet; (b) Branch Manpower Model. To estimate Career Course loading for as far ahead as possible by extrapolating past behaviourial patterns into future WE branch structures; (c) Training Resource File. To wnvert course loading predictions into statements of resource requirements; (d) Course Content Model. To provide an outline of what a student needs to be taught to fulfil any specified function. To complete the system we must add 317 THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING . COLLlNGWOO 0 STATISTICS FILE FOREIGN A N D PJT DCl TRAINING MANPOWER " UNOERTRAINING BRANCH MANPOWER MODEL - T R A I N I N G L O A D WORKING P A R T Y DATA L COMMONWEALTH LOADING . LOAD FlLE . , . R N CAREER TOTAL COURSE COURSE LOADING LOADING TRAINING RESOURCES FILE AVAILABLE r\ RESOURCE c REQUIREMENTS P R O P O S E D COURSE RESOURCES ri FLEET REQUIREMENTS FILE COURSE DATA F l L E . COURSE D E T A I L S T COURSE CONTENT MODEL . i . R N SEA B I L L E T S I 1 P J T PACKAGES Diagram 6. TRAMPISoutline three functions concerned with collecting categories of the WE Branch. These men and disseminating data. are chosen not because they are com(a) COLLlNGWOOD Statistics File puter experts but because they have been 'to assess and store data on the in the Navy a long time and have the flow of manpower through the experience to be able to screen input training system, including non-RN data for errors. Most of the data from personnel. external authorities is available on mag(b) Course Data File - to assess and netic tape and the computer will shortly store data describing courses be enhanced with a tape handler so that (present and future) undertaken this can be read directly. at H.M.S. Collingwood There is provision for human inter(c) Training Load File - to establish action with the system at two points, the total training load and number firstly with the Manpower Model to get of courses required to meet it, to present this data to the Training the best prediction of future manpower Load Working Party in a form uzng curve fitting programs and secondly easily assimilated, and to extract with the Course Content Model to assist data in the form required for the in obtaining optimum strategies and to annual Defence Council Instruc- reject unworkable solutions. Plans are in tions which promulgates the yearly hand to do this work using a graphical display. Each of the seven basic blocks plan for WE Training. The system is run on an IBM 1130 are closely inter-related and fast comcomputer. Data is stored on magnetic munication between blocks is essential. discs with input on cards and output on Because of the limited size of the a line printer. Control and operation is computer it is often necessary to use by fleet chief petty officers and chief punched cards for transfer of data petty officers from each of the three between blocks but here again the 318 THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING DGW PLANNING CHART CND S C H E M E S OF COMPLEMENT - CURRENT P J T COURSE LOADING D PACKAGES PLANNING CHART -- R N SEA B I L L E T S FTR DGWIN) OFFICE COURSE DESIGN , . . , F U T U R E SCHEMES COMPLEMENT F U T U R E PJT PACKAGES ( U P T O 3 PER S H I P 1 P J T PACKAGES * W I T H LOADING I COURSES AVAILABLE Diagram 7. The Fleet requirements file. magnetic tape system should provide considerable improvement. The Fleet Requirements File The Fleet Requirements File (FRF) is used to assess the overall fleet manning and PJT course requirements for as far ahead as ~ossible(maximum 20 years). The several sources of information available to achieve this objective are summarised in Diagram 7. It has been found that the programme section of DGW(N)s Planning Chart provides an adequate time base for long term forecasting of ships programmes and is generally satisfactory for equipment policy but sometimes it is necessary to refer to DGW(N)s 'Weapon Fitting Guide.' PJT packages for ships' current equipment fits are obtained from the Schemes of Complement issued by CND. Packages for future fits and new ships are generated manually from various sources of policy information, issued by MOD. Some PJT data is taken from the Course Data File. The data obtained from the sources described above is processed using standard file manipulation techniques to provide outputs giving the input data combined in different ways. The standard output from the file is PJT course loading - the number of RN ratings requiring each PJT over a period, and RN sea billets for the whole surface fleet in any year. A printout of ships PJT packages with the training load in manweeks can also be made. ~ h ,~ i is l kept ~ constantly updated so that as the time of a prediction approaches its accuracy is improved. The Branch Manpower Model The Branch Manpower Model (BMM) predicts numbers borne in each rate, category and structure (i.e. mechanic/ artificer/mechanician) of the WE branch for the next twenty-five years. The data flow for the model is shown 'in Diagram 8. The present numbers borne in each rate for each category are obtained from three sources, firstly H.M.S. Centurion drafting files, secondly H.M.S. Collingwood records and thirdly from MOD records. These data are often in conflict and discrepancies have to be resolved manually. Data on advancement, reversion, discharge etc. which affect the above data are obtained from H.M.S. Centurion pay files and H.M.S. Collingwood records. Numbers for future annual intake can be varied but are based upon DGNMT's THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING MOO S T A ~ I ~ ~ I ~ ~ DRIFTING rlLts 5161 L I S T I N G YIW BRLHCN UIINPOVIR MODIL t ' l F~I G ~ ~ R I~ S ___f_- Y.NPOWIR Y U ~ ~ R TRIININ~ ,, CVRVE FIT,tNG a 319 The Training Resources File The Training Resources File (TRF) obtains data on course loadings from the c r a r E R caunsr LO,OING FRF and BMM as modified by the WE Branch Training Load Working Party ~ n r o ~ c r r o n r r ~ ~ ~ and ~ s data on PJTs and Career Courses from the Course Data File and other internal establishment documents (see diagram 9). As in the case of the F R F only simple file manipulation is required. The resultant outputs provide a loading in periods for both instructor and faci- nunha Diagram 8. Branch manpower model. New Entry Plans. The BMM takes these data for each rate in each category and using figures for wastage and advancement based on previous statistics, predicts future numbers in that rate. The advancement figures are derived from an equation which generates a curve called an advancement profile. This expresses a man's probability of advancement as a function of his years of service. The observed shape of this profile is matched to the equation using curve fitting techniques to get the best relationship between the equation and reality. This process is essentially an interactive one with the work being shared between man and computer and demands the use of a graphic display unit if its full potential in smoothing out statistical errors without introducing those due to using out of date data is to be realised. As with the FRF, the BMM is regularly updated to ensure as reliable a forecast as is possible. Standard outputs from the BMM are, firstly career course loading i.e. the expected number of men requiring each career course over a period, and secondly, the numbers of men expected to 'be borne by rate category and structure at any time during the next twenty years. A printout of the percentage wastage and advancement for each rate in each year of service is also available. TRAIYIYC RESOURCE REPUIREH~YT~ Diagram 9. The training resources file. lities (e.g. classrooms, laboratory equipment~)for each teaching group over a particular time interval. This information is used in scheduling, in planning the purchase of training equipment, in complement changes and in making major works proposals. Course Data File Information for the Course Data File (CDF) is gathered from course data sheets supplied by the various schools within H.M.S. Collingwood and from H.M.5. Vernon, H.M.S. Daedalus and H.M.S. Excellent. These da'ta sheets are amended using the computer. The contents of the data sheets is kept on file in the computer to be called upon by the TRF and the Training Load File. Collingwood Statistics File This file is presently maintained manually. The Collingwood Statistics File (CSF) draws on the records of the Radio, Control and Ordnance Schools as well as those kept by Ratings Control Office and H.M.S. Collingwood's record office. The information is used to produce foreign and Commonwealth, 320 THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING civilian and officer course loading requirements to be fed into the Training Load File. job-analysis studies undertaken in the Royal Navy. Description of 'task' and 'capability' For each ship the Scheme of Complement containing information on rate, category, and PJT requirement for each billet in the complement, has inherent within it a complete statement of the PJT and career courses which are required if the complement is to have the ability to carry out its task. If we know the future fleet then it is possible to describe the total WE Branch task in terms which can be used to describe capability - i.e. modules of training. H.M.S. Collingwood's Furthermore, system of objective design is geared to meeting set objectives with checks by means of internal quality control. At present the results of quality control studies which are conducted with strict The course content model objectivity and those of Naval Manpower The objective of this part of TRAMPIS Utilisation Unit teams must be inter(see diagram 10) is to balance the preted subjectively. If in future these capability of the men of WE Branch investigations are directed towards against the tasks they are required to validating the training requirements for perform, and to propose changes where billets in terms of training modules, it any inbalance occurs. Before such a will be possible to use their results in a balance can be struck, it is necessary to purely objective manner by means of the describe both capability and task in model. terms common to both. I n the past this The CCM, which is a new departure has proved to be a grave stumbling block in the field of training management, is in making use of the results of the many still under development with the Future Training Requirements Group at H.M.S. Collingwood. A system study has been PJl rAClrtEs completed and a pilot scheme is now R U S E ~~ I L ~ ~ ~ ~ being programmed. The data processing COURSE COURSE D L T L ~ L S task is complex and a detailed description CONTtYT MAYPOWI1 MODEL of it is beyond the scope of this article. PREDICTIONS The approach is essentially an interCOURSE MODULES arsouncr active one using a computer with a fast A ?RE #CPUISITES FILE and flexible man-machine interface. The lWTERlCTlYE INTIRACTIVE I N f o R M A T I O Y I\ INfORMhTIOu operator is able to adapt and constrain the problem and its solution to improve the computer-genera'ted solution. The PROPOSED 8RANCM output from the CCM is then fed into cTuRE 6R.rrG.Es the TRF, its output being used to assess VDU HUMIN - the optimality of the total solution. The Diagram 10. Course content model. process is iterative. The Training Load File The Training Load File (TLF) uses information on course loading from the CSF, the FRF and the BMM to produce course profiles and training load forecasts. A course profile is the numbers of each course that will be needed for a period of years. A training load forecast gives the training load for any year in terms of man-years for each course. This file gives a second output which summarises the course loading predictions and later compares them with the records of courses actually run for use by the WE Branch Training Load Working Party. -I -- Dsr.. THE ART OF COURSE COMPUTING Conclusion TRAMPIS, as described in outline above, is a system which will allow the planning of training and courses to meet an evolving branch requirement in an orderly manner. The WE Branch will soon be faced with two major changes in requirement: the implementation of 321 maintainer-operator concepts, and the change in fleet weapons systems from analogue to digital techniques. All the speed and flexibility inherent in TRAMPIS will be called upon if these changes are to be implemented with minimum cost and disruption. C. P. E. BROWN The Medium Maritime Power - I11 In the first two parts of this series an attempt was made to establish some of the common characteristics and objectives of medium maritime powers, and to state their technical options with particular reference to those which were critically high in cost. Keeping all these matters in mind, it is now possible to go ahead and establish a general theory of sea power for medium powers. The first step in this process, inevitably, is t o list the conceprual tools of the trade; and equally inevitably much of this will make familiar reading. The only novelty offered, Pndeed, is that all the tools will be applied specifically to medium-power interests and resources. Not for us the comfortable assumption that we can do anything we are prepared to pay for; nor, conversely, that we need do nothing because Big Brother will always rescue US. Vital interests A particularly fierce mentor, whose writing in great balloons round my drafts I can still vividly recall, taught me that 'vital' is a word to be used once a year. Well, tBis is my allocation for 1976; but the spirit of the advice is wise and should be applied by medium powers no less than anyone else. A proper humility over vital interests is something that all nations find difficult to achieve, and medium powers are prone to misappraisal, particularly those which have occupied more prom'inent positions in world affairs than they do now. I t has indeed been argued that a nation's vital interests are definitively summed up in the admirably concise words of Article 2(4) of the United Nations Charter: 'Territorial Integrity and Political Independence'. Certainly these are the core of identity of any nation-state; from them spring many of the pr'inciples of non-interference in internal affairs, nonaggression, selfdefence, inviolability of frontiers, sovereign immunities - the common currency of international relations. On their own they will not do, newrtheless. A nation may have territorial integrity and political independence and yet be unable t o feed its people adequately, to trade on fair terms, safeguard its investments abroad from expropriation, safeguard its native resources from foreign exploitation, preserve a distinct culture and freely take part in international exchanges of knowledge and techniques. Any o r all of these may be vital interests. They tend to come under the rubric of National Well-Being and the safeguarding of them tends to fall under the heading of Free Access. Access to 322 THE MEDIUM M A R I T I ~ ~FO\VER-III E markets, to knowledge, t o other nationals: if, to summarise vital interests, one were allowed to add only two more words to Terr'itorial Integrity and Political Independence, surely they would be 'Free Access.' I t is not invariably so, of course. A few nations perceive their vital interest differently; the preservation, perhaps, of ideological purity. For the time, a t any rate, access is the last thing they want. Albania is a current example. But it is hard to think of a medium maritime power, by any definition, being of this sort. An obvious point, but one that needs to be made, is that the relative weight given to the three broad areas of vital interest will vary with each medium maritime power. For some (Israel, West Germany, Indonesia) territorial integrity is of relatively great weight; for others (Italy, Canada, and perhaps in a n odd way Cuba) political independence; for others (Britain, Japan) access. No doubt each in its preoccupation feels hard done by. As they used to say a t one particular (civilian) defence establishment that seemed t o recognise no law but Parkinson's: 'any organisation that is not expanding is moribund.' That may not be true, but it is near enough to the truth to make the older medium maritime powers uneasy. Because territorial aggrandisement (except into water areas) is unfashionable, and because political independence is or should be an absolute, the only room for expansion is in wellbeing, and perhaps in influence abroad, through free access. I think it important t o make this point here because so much defence thinking, particularly in the West, seems based on preservation of the status quo. The idea of access las ia vital interest allows some dynamic to creep into the situation where. f m m the ~ o i n t of view of national aspirations if no other, it is sorely needed. Threats and alliances Probably every medium power feels its vital interests threatened. Even huge countries like Brazil and Australia may feel vulnerable to territorial nibbling at their peripheries. But they will be far more concerned at the prospects of hegemonial influence, in their areas, from a power inimical to them. This will affect both their political independence and their access to the rest of the world. This is an example of the way threats to vital interests almost always interact, and indeed almost always come not only from the presence of military force but from economic, political and diplomatic pressures. This complication plays always into the hands of the no-threat pundits, who can pdint to the relative inactivity of military elements, compare them with the dynamism of economic, propaganda and diplomatic actions, and conclude that the former do not matter and the latter do. This is, of course, usually a fallacious argument; the presence of military force is aimed a t establishing a 'commanding advantage in pursuit of foreign policy goals" inimical to, in our case, the medEum power. All too often such a preponderance of force is exercised by a superpower, or by a power of such potential that the medium power cannot of itself withstand it. Thus most medium powers need allies. And the medium power must if possible so structure its alliances that its opponents' 'commanding advantage' cannot be used against its vital interests. If possible. For there are pitfalls along every path, and the alliance path has many. Suppose no like-minded allies exist? South Africa is hard put t o it to find any a t present. Or suppose the price of alliance is a substantial surrender of 'This wording, the most concise and accurate I have encountered as expressing the influence of military force in peacetime, occurred in an Economist Foreign Report in July 1976. THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-1x1 political independence? Albania - not even a medium power by any standard rejected the Warsaw Pact. Or suppose territorial integrity must be attenuated? France rejected foreign bases on her soil, or rather ejected them from it. Is the ally strategically appropriate? The record of weak, disparate alliances against Nazi Germany in the 1930s shows that even multiple alliances can be badly chosen and serve no conceivable strategic purpose. And finally, what military price will be exacted? Will it involve the production by the medium power of forces that are appropriate only to a certain alliance which, in the event, may not last? All these questions need to be answered by the medium power, in search not of perfection, for that dill not exist, but of the best rough-hewn answer it can get. 323 able, or acceptable at least, to their friends in combat. Third, we have no way of knodng for at least twenty years (when the published records and diaries are more complete) and we probably never shall fully know, how many potential shooting conflicts have been averted !by the post-World War Two deterrent machinery. There can be no doubt from our own experience, let alone from observation of other nations' actions or inactions, that the number is very large. Of course we are talking here about deterrence that comprehends diplomatic, legal and economic factors as well as military ones2; but few of the real decision-makers doubt where the core of deterrence lies. Before summing up the deterrence situadon one should perhaps make a point that is not always clear, or welcome either, in Western eyes. Deterrence can be a shield for activity which is 'aggressive' in the sense !in which an American Deterrence Very few armed conflicts have gone by businessman uses the word. For example, in the past thirty years (and there have the Soviet Mediterranean Squadron has been many, mostly concerning medium deterred, from 1969 onwards, American powers) without someone or other saying intervention in the Lebanon on the 1958 'this could start World War Three'. I t model; and behind this shield have taken hasn't. How does the evidence square place the events in that country. I t is a mistake to think of the consequences of with deterrent theory? In the first place, 5t is clear that people deterrence as invariably good. But we are still here, most of us, and are sure enough scared of throwing the that is good and to the credit of deterfirst nuclear bomb. At that level, deterrence has worked fine. Even the rence over the past thirty years. I t has proliferation of nuclear weapons to six, kept us clear of nuclear war, has very possibly seven or more, key-holders has largely prevented the geographical spread of conflicts and has untold unsung not weakened the structure. Second, deterrence has been generally victories 'in wars that have not happened. successful in preventing the geographical I t is chiefly these victories that lead one to conclude that the idea of all-level spread of wars. In nearly all conflicts deterrence based on the threat of there has been a marked absence of big escalation and allied involvement, which fellows piling in behind the smaller has formed a cornerstone of maridme protagonists. This is not to say they have strategic theory for some years, is still been standing idly by, as that delightful generally valid. clichd has it. Generally, they hlave been The medium power must however take in intense diplomatic act'ivity (not without showing a mailed fist or two) aimed 'See K. Booth's article on 'The Utility of Navies', N.R. Vol. 64 No. 3, July 1976, at securing a peaceful settlement favour- p. 204. 324 THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-III note that the structure is least firm in local areas, where only its own interests are seriously threatened. Here the sympathy of allies 'is not readily aroused. Border incidents, whether on land or at sea, do not make of Wemselves la cams belli for World War Three; neither do political infiltrations, espionage or nibbles at free access. Some autonomy in deterrence seems to be indicated, a t the lower levels 'at any rate. And lit is to the idea of levels of conflict that we now turn. but historically a characteristic of such operations, limited as they are in aim, scope and area, has been the failure of allies to become directly Involved. Except, alas, on the other side sometimes. I n Higher Level Conflict, shooting which at Low Intensity w'ill have been limited or even non-existent - becomes more general. Rules of engagement, previously rigid and often custom-made, become more liberal and general in character. The first use of force in anv encounter is much more likely to be allowed. Escalation tends to become less controlled though combatants will still Levels of conflict Standard phraseology about levels of attempt to regulate it. Allies will certainly conflict is still lacking, but the following be involved diplomatically, and may be categories are fairly self-explanatory and involved in the fighting. Typical operain general enough use for our purpose tions at the Higher Level aim to keep the use of an area of sea (sometimes a here: moving area) or to deny the opponent Normal Conditions such use. But there may be room still Low Intensity Conflict for demonstrative actions, aimed mainly Higher Level Conflict at indicating how the conflict could be General War Under Normal Conditions, the situa- widened; by the use of heavier weapons, tion is stable in the sense that tensions or the active participation of allies. are well compensated, change is managed Finally, all sea operations that spill over by negotiation, and vital interests are not on to the land - whether as amphibious being eroded or attacked. Deterrence is warfare, or as bombardment from sea or operating correctly. The operations of air - are at least a t the Higher Level of maritime forces are conducted under the conflict. I n General War, restraints on the international law of peace and include training, routine surveillance of potential scope and area of conflict are confined threats, regulation in offshore waters, to the requirement for military necessity flag-showing and did in natural disasters - which historically tends not to be both home and foreign. Many operati~ns much of a restraint at all. There may be considerable control over the use of may of course be on an alliance basis. I n Low Intengity Conflict, vital nuclear weapons but apart from this rules interests are under threat - even if only of engagement will be very liberal, and as a nibble. Deterrence is either in danger operations will be answerable to the of breaking down o r has broken down. requirements of the grand strategy of the The operations of maritime forces tend alliances - for at this stage, by definito be conducted under the law, or the tion, alliances are fully involved - and pretext, of self-defence, though other will include attempts to control, or deny, fadors of international law are still of or both, large sea areas for movement of importancea. Operations include recon- men and materials and perhaps also for ndssance, demonstrations of resolve to strategic bombardment. use sea areas, exclusion of opponents from sea areas, intensified regulation in 3 e e D. P. O'Connell. The Influence of Law offshore zones. Allies may be involved: on sea Power, partic'ularly C%apters &-xii. THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-III In that very brief summary there is an underlying assumption that one sort of conflicts grows out of the previous one. This is tidy but not necessarily true. I t is generally likely t o be the pattern for conflicts that have their roots in sea matters, but a conflict which spreads from land to sea may enter the sea area at the higher level; the India-Pakistan war of 1971 was almost a case in point though there were one or two guerilla incidents at sea in the low-intensity phase. Of all the tools of the trade available to the medium-power maritime planner, this discipline of Levels of Conflict is perhaps the most attractive. I t gives some indication of the kind and scope of those operations one may have t o undertake without active help from allies. Its descriptions of the limits, particularly political-legal limits, t o conflict help to generate material requirements for forces to operate at the lower levels. It is, in fact, when linked to the other factors we are consideiing, a guide to the limits of autonomy. 325 a medium maritime power which has opted to play only at home, yet a glance at the composition of her Maiitime SelfDefence Force shows that its potential reach is a good deal further than is strictly necessary for the defence of coastal waters. I t would need little addition to make it fulfil a conflict role away from home. And even then, as has been suggested, Japan with her large overseas interests is taking considerable risks in entrusting them so fully to allies. Most medium maritime powers, then, will want some capacity to play away from home. Their decisions will concern more the relative weight to be given to home and away functions than a total opting out of either. Sea use and sea denial It is almost a platitude now to say that command of the sea, in the absolute sense that it was used by some of the simpler publicists of sea power4, is no longer a valid objective. This tends to be said even by the representatives of superpowers. How much more, therefore, should the medium power do away With Home and away Every professional naval operator 'the notion in favour of the more modest knows that there Is a world of difference @ut still hard to attain) aims of using between distant-water operations and those parts of the sea demanded by its those around one's own coast; and every vital interests, and (or) denying to its planner can tell you how different are the opponent those parts he requires in order requirements in terms of ship design and t o achieve any aim inimical to those logistics. The medium power, therefore, interests. Because navies take so long W evolve, must decide early in the evolution of its maritime policy whether it is going to it will be a brave medium power that play away from home at all. ever deliberately builds maiitime forces If it does not, its material, manpower solely for sea use or for sea denial. The and training provision will be greatly situation, and the objectives, may change. simplified. But t o provide the necessary But then most maritime units can be protection of its vital interests, particu- used for sea use and for sea denial too; larly those of free access, it will need to they are merely much more suited to one pay a high premium elsewhere in the than to another, that is all. So, once form, probably, of stress on its diplomatic and economic resources; because expect- 'I am not sure that the more acute sea ing allies to do all one's dktant-water power pundits like Mahan and Corbett ever work is, as we have previously suggested, used 'Command of the sea' in an absolute way. They were always careful to qualify illogical in the light of recent experience. the term at some stage, to allow for local Japan Is the nearest example we have of challenges and anomalies. 326 THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-111 again, it is a question of the relative w i g h t to be applied to the two sorts of operation. If teriitorial integrity is paramount, no doubt sea denial will be uppermost in the medium power's policy; if free access, sea use. And it goes without saying that the homelaway weighting will have an influence on the balance that is finally achieved. I t is worth pointing out that the use of a small fixed area of sea can be secured by the denial of it to all foreign ships. Economic zones spring to mind, but the observation does not apply only to home waters necessarily; think of the French nuclear tests in the Pacific. The method is undoubtedly crude, and probably takes disproportionate resources. Most medium powers would be better advised to confine sea-denial operations to home security (antigunrunning, for instance) and actual conflicts approaching o r at the higher level. But some of the newer medium powers seem set on some form of sea denial, in normal conditions, in their adjacent waters. Discussion I t is almost a matter of definition, and certainly flows from the first two articles lin this series, as well as the present one, that a medium power cannot unaided protect all its vital interests in the maritime field. I t may do all it can to be self-sufficient without exploiting anyone else, to be on ffiendly terms with all and sundry, to cult in fact la bella figura in the world; it may even try, as W. W. Fisher said, to be 'very strong, and always right'. But there are a great many incompatibilities in such aspirat5ons, and even the nation that overcomes them will find that the world is a wicked place notwithstanding, d t h enough fear, greed and spite t o make even the righteous blanch. So, once again, we return to the question of allies, but now in the light of all the other factors that have been considered. No excuses need to be made for harping on the alliance question; as I said in the first article, it dominates the strategy of medium powers. First, a superpower threat demands a superpower ally. All the careful cooperation and ccrordination in the world between medium powers will not, when the chips are down, help them against a superpower if it chooses to call in aid its 'commanding advantage'. Any medium power that does not feel itself threatened by superpower can look for less potent allies, and the best of luck to it. But a superpower ally need not be in the foreground of the action. Brazil, for instance, no doubt relies on her membership of the Organisation of American States, and on the Monroe Doctrine, and regards these as quite sufficient earnest of American help in dire trouble. The closeness and formality of a superpowe: alliance depend on the immediacy of the threat and the potency of the help that can be given, among a host of other considerations. I t must be remembered that in normal conditions, and usually in low intensity and sometimes higher level operations, the help given by a superpower ally is deterrent in character. I t is, typically, a safeguard aga'inst escalation by the opposing superpower, if directly engaged, or against 5ts active participation if not. But it will also be a check to actions by any opponent, if the correct attitudes are struck. A little more than not 'standing idly by' perhaps; the actions of both U.S.A. and U.S.S.R. in the various ArabIsraeli wars show the sort of limits to be expected. They also give a pretty good indication of the lengths to which conflicts can go without direct superpower 'intervention. At sea, to be sure, conflicts are likely to be at once less sens'itive and more internationally pervasive in their effect, and both these considerations suggest that a superpower might be prepared to intervene at an earlier stage than in land THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-III conflict. But the prudent medium power must be ready to run its own conflict up to the higher-level threshold and some way beyond. This will particularly apply to conflicts played at home on local maritime fssues. Superpowers tend to think their clients ought to be able to manage sea affairs round thdr own coasts. One doubts, for instance, if the United States would come too briskly to the aid of Canada in a cod war against, say, Poland. There are certain special factors there, of course, but there always are special factors. In the same way, a superpower is inclined for presentational reasons to be more warm towards an ally conducting sea use than sea denial operations. The latter may look aggressive. An exception to this rule may soon make its appearance; so strong are the nationalist pressures for exclusive rights in coastal waters - notably in 200-mile economic zones - that sea-denial by a coastal state in such areas may acquire a certain respectabilty, and hence a better chance of superpower support. So far as allies other than superpowers are concerned, it is an unpalatable fact that they have achieved remarkably little weight in limited (including maritime) dispute and conflict over the past thirty years. Once again the 1973 Arab-Israeli war h instructive. For some years previously, pundits had been saying the world had stopped being 'bipolar'; superpower was eroding; there were at least five centres of power. But in October, 1973, beyond the protagonists, only Ametica and Russia mattered. Of course this is a harsh judgment. And yes, the solidatity of European NATO is very important; and no doubt Pakistan and Iran feel heartened by each other's relative strength in the Arabian Sea. But the collective defence achieved by these groupings has not proved particularly effective in cris'is when unbacked by superpower. What, then, is the medium power really 327 trying to do to protect its vital interests? If these are coincident with those of a superpower ally, that is fine: it can shelter, making such contribution as will make the ally stay an ally. But they will not be coincident, that is the trouble. Thus the medium power must - given the reluctance of superpowers to get involved - be able to take on, at home and probably away, a range of operations at low intensity and at the transition to higher level, in defence of its own vital interests at sea. What happens after that transition is the crucial question. I think the best way of answering it is this. The medium power must be able t o convince ~ t s opponent and its superpower ally that it is not going to give in without a major and sustained act of war, extending well into the higher level of operations. The ally must be faced with a very fair prospect of having to intervene militarily - to satisfy its own public opinion, to maintain its reputation as a reliable ally, to keep the friendship of its medium power ally, or to forestall unacceptable damage to the medium power's vital interests, or a combination of these reasons. Translate this now back into deterrent terms. If the medium power has the maiitime forces capable of conducting low intensity operations effectively over a long period; and then of sustaining operations at a higher level such that superpower involvement becomes likely, or even a fair possibility, then a rational opponent will see all ithose moves abead on the chessboard and will see that his option of using force in this case is blocked. He has been deterred. The price of superpower loyalty will, of course, have to be paid by the medium power. I t may be in terms of economic advantages to the superpower; or bases; o r political support; or military support on occasion. It must not, in my view, extend to a distortion of medium-power 328 THE MEDIUM MARITIME POWER-1x1 forces that will negate the process described above. Gaullism or realism? There is not much room for altruism in the conduct of international relations. The nearest most nations get to it is 'enlightened selfinterest'. So there will be no apology from me for putting forward a theory that depends, if you want t o be nasty, on buying and then blackmailing allies, bullying enemies and playing both ends against the middle. I t is the protection of d t a l interests that we are talking about, and those of medium powers at that. Come the day when, for instance, Western European nation-states become federated states of an United Europe, then all will be changed; for a european superpower must evolve. Till then, we must live by our wits. And yes, it probably h Gaull!ist as well as realist. Translated into, and limited to, maritime terms, it is certainly the sort of strategy I think de Gaulle was driving ats. If to seek real autonomy, not just its Illusion, in the defence of one's vital interests is GaulEist, then I believe no apology is required for Gaullism. Operational and material implications One might be forgiven for thinking that the emphasis on autonomy and independence of action, which has been a characteristic of this series and has reached an apparent culmination in the last page or so, will lead t o force requirements that are beyond the means of any medium power. But I believe this is not so. When one goes carefully into the homelaway equation; the emphasis on low-intensity and limited higher-level operations; and the criteria of vital interests, it will I believe be possible to suggest quite sens'ible force requirements for the consideration of medium powers. This, with perhaps some special applications for the very old or the very young among the medium powers, will be the subject of the next article. 'Pace Vice-Admiral A. Sanguinetti. In his brilliantly-written set of articles in Le Monde at the end of J 3 e 1976 entitled Ze Changement a Petits Pas' Sanguinetti puts forward a muoh more extreme account of Gaullit strategy Yet I find it significant that at one critlcal point in his development of France's 'struggle for her (strategic) independence' he says she is in a 'position de perturbateur'. Just so. This seems to me a function of medium power (and an accurate description of France's m l position) much more than the 'grandeur' which Sanguinetti advocates elsewhere. MARLOWE ( t o be continued) Let the Falkland Islands Stay British In March 1968 the following appeal signed by four Members of the Fallcland Islands' Executive Committee was sent to all Members of Parliament: Negotiations are now proceeding between the British and Argentine governments which may result at any moment in the handing over of the Falkland Islands to Argentina. The inhabitants of the islands have never yet been consulted regarding their future. They do not want to become Argentinians. They are as British as you are, mostly of English and Scottish ancestry, even to the sixth generation . . . The people of the islands do not wish to submit to a foreign language, law, customs and culture because for 135 years they have happily pursued their own peaceful way of life - a very British way of life. The letter ended: Is our tiny community to be used as a pawn in power politics? . . . . What can you do to prevent it? . . . . We need your help! ' Such an emotive appeal could have left no doubt in any reader's mind as to the Falkland Islanders true feelings. Now, eight years later, such pleas are still voiced despite continued assurances from the British Government that Britain intends to retain sovereignty over the islands and that there are no plans for a 'sell-out' to Argentina. Why then should these fears continue, especially at a time when the pink of the far-flung British Empire has long since vanished, almost entirely, from the world map? There is no short or easy answer. However, it is the purpose of this article to trace in some detail the negotiations that have taken place between Great Britain and Argentina, to look at the present p i t i o n of the Islands and their inhabitants and to show why, beyond the passionate jingoism, there are several continuing and substantial reasons why the Falkland Islands should remain British. First, though, there is a need to look briefly at their geographical position and historical background. Such considerations, when studying the Falklands, cannot be ignored for it is their natural remoteness, the continuation by the Islanders of an almost feudal way of life and an inbred understanding of their history that colours so much of their thinking and relationships with Great Britain and Argentina. Geography The Falkland Islands (known in Argentina as Las Islas Malvinas) consist of two large and some three hundred small islands with a total land area of about 4,700 square miles. They are set deep in the South Atlantic, 200 miles from Argentina and 300 miles from Cape Horn. Their physical appearance is one of deeply indented fiord-type coastlines, with several good anchorages, sharp-peaked hills and treeless moofland countryside. Such characteristics as these, despite being 8,000 miles from Britain, make them similar ~ many II ways to the Western and Northern Isles of Scotland. Yet it is not only that there are geographical similarities but recently the Falklands have, like the Scottish islands, suffered a sharp decline in their land-based economy and, in turn, a steady exodus of the population. As it is, their population is now less than 2,000, about half of whom live in Stanley, the capital, the remainder in settlements in the countryside, or 'Camp' as it is known locally. The Islands are in the same latitude south as London is north, but there is little similarity in the climate which is appreciably colder, and there are per- 330 LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS sistent strong winds. Nearly all the population is of British descent and English is the only language spoken. Sheep raising is the main occupation and provides work for nearly a quarter of the population. The Falkland Islands also have as dependencies South Georgia and the Sandwich Islands which lie nearly 1,000 miles south-east in the South Atlantic. Except for a small British Antarctic Survey research station on South Georgia these islands are uninhabited and of IMe, or unknown, economic value. History The hidtory of the discovery and early occupation of the islands is much more complicated and obscure. Although probably sighted a hundred years earlier, the first known landing was not until 1690. This was by Captain John Strong who named the Islands after Viscount Falkland, then Treasurer of the Navy. I t was the French, however, who were the first t o establish themselves there with a small colony in 1764. Two years later a British expedition, unaware of their presence, also established a settlement of about a hundred people and claimed the islands for King George 111. In the meantime France had sold her rights to Spain who in 1770 compelled the British to leave and almost brought the two countries to the verge of war al,though, after protracted negotiations with the Spaniards, the Btitish settlement was handed back and conflict averted. Then, in 1774, the British withdrew their settlement for reasons of economy though not without leaving behind a plaque claiming the islands as their 'sole right and property'. The Spanish likewise withdrew in 1811, but also maintained their claim. In 1828 a new settlement was established by Luis Vernet, a Frenchman by birth, but South American by naturalisation, who proclaimed the islands for the Buenos Aires government which had STAY BRITISH declared its independence of Spain some ten years earlier and therefore regarded itself as the legal inheritor of all Spanish claims to the islands. However, this claim was not recognised and the United States of America, alleging acts of sealing piracy by the Argentinians, sent a warship to destroy the new settlement. I n 1833 a British warship visited the remains of the settlement; the Argentine garrison left under protest and the British occupation of the islands was resumed. Since then the islands have remained under continuous British occupation and administration, indeed several of the Island's families today can trace their ancestry back to the settlers of over one hundred years ago. Argentine claims I t is mainly, therefore, on historical grounds that Argentina today bases her claim to the 'Islas Malvinas'. Although there have now been added declarations that they are Argentine by right of geographical proximity and that their present colonial status is anachronistic. Such claims to sovereignty have been advanced over many years and are still today, besides being an important weapon in the Argentine diplomatic armoury, a very highly charged issue to certain right-wing Argentine political parties. This was clearly demonstrated in October 1975 when Argentina, on hearing that Great Britain intended sending an economic mission to the Falkland Islands, immediately withdrew her ambassador in London, Senor Manuel de Anchorena, to Buenos Aires. The mission, headed by Lord Shackleton, eventually arrived in the Falklands on 4 January 1976 having taken passage from Montevideo (Uruguay) on'board the Royal Navy's ice-patrol ship H.M.S. Endurance. This %&-door' method of entry inflamed the sovereignty issue once again and despite Argentina having been invited to add their own observers to the LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH team they demanded that Great Britain withdraw her ambassador from Buenos Aires. The Foreign Secretary, Mr. James Callaghan, bowed to this pressure and Mr. Derrick Ashe was officially recalled 'for consultations'. This latest move is believed to be a conciliatory gesture designed to play down the seriousness of the situation which was only precipitated by Argentina's angry reaction over the survey. Probably a further reason for the continued Argentine propaganda about the Falklands is that their Government, beset by so many internal problems, uses this dispute as an issue which has popular support to divert attention from some of the more controversial domestic measures they are frequently compelled to enforce. Argentina has also put forward claims to the Falkland Islands Dependencies. These, like the claim to the Islands themselves, have either been based on their proximity to Argentina or on the alleged inheritance of the title from Spain. Britain has rejected all these claims as being without legal or historical foundation, and since 1947 has offered to submit the dispute to the International Court of Justice at The Hague. Argentina, however, has declined to reccugnise the Court's jurisdiction in the matter which remains for the present unresolved. The British Government has always stated that it has no doubt about its rightful sovereignty over the Falkland Islands although this, as demonstrated by the islanders' appeal quoted earlier, is certainly not an attitude which is entirely believed. Developments between Great Britain and Argentina Appeal to the United Nations. The Falkland Islands' position as a non-seifgoverning territory was first debated by the United Nations Committee on Cobnialism in 1964. This was after 331 elected representatives of the Islands had informed the Committee of the population's wish to retain its association with Britain and not to become independent or associated with any other country. It was on this first occasion too that the British delegation to the Committee pointed out that the Argentine claim was contrary to the principle of selfdetermination contained in Article 73 of the UN Charter wherein both countries were 'bound as a matter of duty to have regard first and foremost to the wishes of the inhabitants'. Nevertheless the UN Committee recommended that the governments should be invited to hold discussions 'with a view to finding a peaceful solution to the problem', bearing in mind the interests of the Falkland Islanders themselves. This resolution was finally adopted in the same words by the 20th General Assembly of the United Nations on 16 December 1965 and although Argentina voted for the resolution, Great Britain abstained. Initial Talks. In January of the year following the UN recommendation, Mr. Michael Stewart, then British Foreign Secretary, visited Argentina and agreed with the Argentine Foreign Minister, Dr. Zavala Ortiz, that officials of both countries should pursue discussions through the normal diplomatic channels. Accordingly, exploratory talks commenced on 18 July 1966 in London between the Foreign Office and members of the Argentine Embassy. At the time, though, the British Press reported that it was the U.K. government's view that sovereignty could not be discussed unless the shipping restrictions then in force between the Falklands and Argentine ports were removed. Whether this was the reason for the stalemate in the talks or not is unknown, but it was agreed that they would be postponed until later in the year and the arrival of a new Argentine ambassador in London. Attempted 'Invasion'. A rather bizarre incident then occurred which served to 332 LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH show that feelings over sovereignty, in spite of the comparative diplomatic equanimity, still ran high in Argentina and in the Falklands. This was the 'symbolic' invasion of the Falkland Islands by a self-styled 'commando' group of eighteen members of the extreme right wing nationalistic organisation, Movimiento Nuevo Argentino (New Argentine Movement). The invasion took the form of hijacking a Tierra del Fuego bound DC4 of Aerolineas Argentinas and forcing it to land safely on the 300 yard long racecourse at Stanley. There the 'commandos' donned battledress, stuck Argentine flags in the ground and formed an armed cordon around the airliner whilst they read a proclamation to the effect that all inhabitants of the 'Islas Mal~inas' were henceforth Argentine citizens. They also seized some hostageq but after twenty-four hours the invasion petered out and the invaders were persuaded to surrender. However, the commandos had managed to send a message to Buenos Aires giving their reasons for the invasion and this led to a wave of anti-British demonstrations, mainly by neo-fascist parties and 'peronistas', throughout Argentina. President Ongania of the Argentine, although condemning the demonstration and dissociating his government from the incident by promising trial for conspiracy for the commandos, did not lose the opportunity to re-affirm his country's claim t o the Falkland Islands. The invaders were eventually shipped back to Argentina in a naval transPo&. Vulnerability o f the Islands. This incident, despite its Gilbert and Sullivan-ish overtones and its negligible influence on political moves by either of the major governments, did clearly illustrate to the Falkland Islanders their extreme vulnerability to any Argentine invasion, 'symbolic' or otherwise. I t also increased their fears that the British Government was neither prepared nor willing to back them should such a situation occur. These fears were not allayed, either by the joint note sent by Britain and Argentina in December 1967 to the UN Secretary General stating that both countries had been able to make progress, or by the UN reply that urged them 'to continue with their negotiations so as to find a peaceful solution as soon as possible'. Further Negotiations. High level and confidential negotiations continued in London throughout 1968 only gaining widespread publicity on publication of the Falklanders' written appeal to MPs. This encouraged a spate of questions in both the House of Lords and the House of Commons as to the British Government's true motives. Though it was Mr. Goronwy Roberts, then Minister of State at the Foreign Office who, when asked for an assurance that the Falkland Islands would not be ceded to Argentina against the wishes of the inhabitants, forcefully replied 'I am aware that the great majority of the population of the Falkland Islands wish to retain their Bfitish citizenship. I do not know of any plans to take it away from them. In any event the Government will see that there is the fullest consultation with the population.' This was firmly in line with Britain's previously expressed views to the United Nations that the selfdetermination of the Islanders would always be of paramount importance. Visit by Lord Chalfont. In November 1968 feelings in the Falkland Islands and questions in both Houses on the need for the government talks to be 'confidential', prompted Lord Chalfont, then Minister of State at the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, to visit the Islands and explain the intentions of the British Government himself. There he constantly reiterated the British pledge not to transfer sovereignty without prior consent of the Islanders but he did remind the inhabitants that Great Britain was no longer the great imperialist LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH power of the 19th Century and that when they waved flags 'Keep the Falklands British' they should know that this stood for something different to what it did in 1900. In other words the days of 'gunboat diplomacy', with a heavily armed battle-cruiser flying the White Ensign at anchor in Stanley harbour, had long since passed. Predictably, on Lord Chalfont's return to Britain there was a further round of questions in both Houses whioh kept the Falkland Islands negotiations very much a subject of public interest. However, except for reports that two Argentine newspapers had favourably reported his visit and agreed that any changes in sovereignty should take account of the islanders' wishes, there was no statement other than one in similar terms by British politicians. I t had become apparent, though, that for the first time the Falklands Islands Executive Council had finally accepted that the British Government had been acting in good faith in the talks with Argentina and would continue to do so. Agreement Over Communications. Further confidential talks between the British and Argentine Governments on the future of the territory continued throughout 1969. I t was at this time too that Argentina first made known its readiness to discuss lifting the ban on direct communications between the mainland and the islands and special talks to promote communications began in London in 1970. For the first time such discussions included participants from the Falkland Islands. By 1971, it became even more important to establish good communications between the Colony and Argentina in view of the decision by the Falkland Islands Company to withdraw from service by the end of that year the only regular shipping link with the mainland, the mailboat Darwin which had hitherto made twelve journeys a year between Stanley and Montevideo. As a result of 333 special discussions agreement was reached over a wide field covering air and sea communications, postal services, education and medical facilities for Falkland Islanders in Buenos Aires, relaxation of travel documentation and customs measures. The full arrangements were contained in a Joint Statement initialled by officials of the British and Argentine Governments in Buenos Aires on 1 July 1971. At last, therefore, progress had been made although many Falkland Islanders remained far from convinced that their future with Britain was secure. This may have come from a conclusion in the Joint Statement where the joint delegates agreed that certain measures should be adopted on the understanding that they might contribute to the 'process of a solution' in the disputes between the two governments over the Falklands. However, two months later an Exchange of Notes between the British and Argentine governments announced that nothing in the Joint Statement should be interpreted as a renunciation of any right of territorial sovereignty over the Islands or a recognition of the other government's position in this matter. Thus, despite the very significant agreements that had been reached, there was still a very cool approach by both major powers to the underlying problem of sovereignty. Current Developments. As part of bhe Joint Statement the Argentine Government had agreed to provide an amphibian air service after the cessation of the sea link and this they did until the Argentine Air Force built a temporary airfield at Stanley in 1972. This established the islands with their first ever regular air link with the Argentine and provided a once weekly flight from Commodoro Rivaderia to Stanley. The airfield is at present being extended by engineers of the Argentine Army using sections of portable airstrip which will allow bigger and faster aircraft to land and provide a 334 LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH greater margin of safety. Further meetings were held in Stanley in 1972 and London in 1973 and at the latter the British Government announced a grant of £43 million for the construction of a permanent airfield at Cape Pembroke which is now taking place under the direction of a British firm. Despite difficulties in getting heavy equipment to the Islands, movement of it once there, and the discovery of an old naval gunnery range on the proposed site, it is now expected that the venture will be completed in 1976. However, there can be few good economic reasons for building this airfield as it is doubtful if any commercial company would have been interested in providing the capital, so that its only justification must be purely political. Britain has also agreed to the construction of a fuel depot for both commercial and domestic fuel and this has recently been completed in Stanley by an Argentine oil company YPF (Yaciementos Petroliferos Fiscales) and with Argentine labour. Since the 1971 Joint Statement therefore, there has been a growing Argentine influence and physical presence in the Falklands which, although confined to Stanley and entirely logical and justified in the circumstances, is still viewed with the utmost suspicion by many of the Islanders. The Fallcland Islands Committee. Such views are also held by the Falkland Islands Committee, a private Londonbased group of MPs and businessmen, which was founded in 1968 for the purpose of 'assisting the Islanders to formulate views on all questions of their future and to represent their views to the UN and the world'. This Committee was, and still is, reluctant to support any commercial activity unless it is in the interest of the Islanders. Results o f Anglo-Argentine Negotiation. Britain has continually refuted any suggestion that the communications arrangements represent an erosion of British sovereignty or are part of a scheme designed to speed integration with the Argentine. Conversely, Argentina has accused Great Britain and the Falklands of regarding the communications agreement as a substitute solution for the 'definite' problem, although a further United Nations resolution In November 1973 called on both the UK and the Argentine to 'accelerate negotiations'. There has been no wavering in Britain's resolve to transfer sovereignty against the wishes of the Islanders and the belief is that inter alia, the communications arrangements have gone some way towards softening the Argentine claim. Economic position Wool Trade. As !to be expected in a community where sheep farming is the main occupation, the income of the Colony is derived almost entirely from wool. However, prices of wool depend on the London Wool Market and after two extraordinarily good seasons, 1972173 and 1973174, the prices for the current season are expected to be half that of previous years. This, coupled with the gradual de-population, does not present an encouraging picture. In recent years scientific studies have been made of methods of improving the pastures and the sheep farming industry. Experts have now come to the unanimous conclusion that unless there is heavy reinvestment of farm profits in pasture improvement as a long term policy then the wealth of the Falkland Islands will certainly decline. There are no other exports from the Islands besides wool and virtually everything has to be imported, particularly foodstuffs, manufactured goods and machinery. New Industries. Other possible sources of income for the Islands that have been considered are the export of sheep on the hoof and the refrigeration of carcasses on the islands and their subsequent export. Neither has achieved LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH any success and the latter project proved to be badly managed and a failure. A new industry, Alginate Industries Ltd., was established in Stanley two years ago to exploit the extensive beds of seaweed (kelp) which are a feature of the colony's coas'tline, by extracting the alginic acid which is used extensively in the plastics and textiles industries. This commercial utilisation of seaweed has proved exceptionally profitably on certain of Scotland's west coast islands, thus providing another similarity to the Falklands, but after an encouraging start plans for any further production were postponed in July 1975. The Falklands Islands Company. Involved in almost every facet of the Island's economy is the Falkland Islands Company. This was founded in 1851 and is now the largest landowner and trading company. They own nearly half the freehold estate of the islands which produces half the annual wool crop, thus making their profitability, like that of the Islands, largely dependent on the state of the London Wool Market. Their revenue from shipping, banking, stevedoring, wholesale and retail traae around the islands is very much subsidiary to their profits from wool and during 1974 they began negotiations f6r the sale of some of these ancillary assets. The Company has a secure base in London and has been taken over twice in recent years, the latest occasion being in 1974 by Charrington, Gardner and Locket, a financial company within the Charrington Group. Although their attempts to sell off their assets have petered out, Argentina has from time to time shown an interest in buying a share in the Falkland Islands Company, in the hope that this might diminish opposition to their sovereignty pretensions. Predictably enough the Falkland Islands Executive Council, the elected governing body in the islands, has stzited that it would never agree to the issue of land- 335 holding licences to an Argentine company. Increases in the Tourist Trade. Tourism has continually been heralded by some as the saviour of the Island's economy but except for wild life, fishing and some rugged scenery there is not a great deal to offer. Neither could more than four hundred tourists in a season be comfortably envisaged. Nevertheless, the weekly air service has produced a steady flow of tourists and cruise ships of all nationalities, including Argentine, regularly call and a brisk business in duty free luxury goods is done by Stanley shopkeepers. At this level there can be no appreciable benefit to the economy overall so representations have been made to the British Government suggesting that the airfield at present being built should be extended to take long distance jets. Without an accurate advance assessment of the economic potential of such a project there is little likelihood of it taking place. Likewise there is not really a strong case for a large new hotel in Stanley; it is conceivable, however, that an overseas investor might find this attractive or, again, that an injection of public capital could get such a project off the ground. Nevertheless, Britain has been involved in a number of Develop ment Aid projects, including grants for the extension of the power station and electricity supply system and a fencing subsidy scheme. At present, however, the economy remains in a poor state and tourism, whilst being important to a degree, can have no hope of saving the colony on its own. The question remains, what could save it? The answer to this is thought to be oil. I t is this subject which gives the Falkland Islands their last and most significant similarity to the islands off Scotland's northern coast. Oil potential Exploration. Since 1969 land the issue of one prospecting licence by the 336 LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH Falkland Islands Executive Council, which was promptly withdrawn when the full implications of such a decision were appreciated, the British Government has received a number of enquires to explore for oil in the Falkland Islands continental shelf. However, no licences have been issued, neither have any promises been made. In an effort to establish the geological likelihood of oil being contained offshore in the Falklands, Professor D. H. Griffiths of Birmingham University was commissioned by Britain in 1972 to make a critical study of the area. His report, completed in 1975, concluded that 'the prognosis in certain areas was sufficiently promising to encourage commercial exploitation'. With such a recommendation the report was submitted to Sir Peter Kent, Chairman of the Natural Environment Research Council and an eminent geologist, for his evaluation. He in turn confirmed Professor Griffiths' findings which, he thought, although of a reconnaissance nature, were such as 'to encourage rather than discourage further exploration'. Professor Griffiths' data is now being enhanced by computer processing which when complete will enable the structure of the parts of the Falkland Islands continental shelf he surveyed to be even more thoroughly assessed. The issue of licences remains a contentious subject. After the first mistake it was realised that the present system was inadequate and would not enable the Falkland Islands government to reap the sort of benefits that offshore oil licencing authorities expect. The British Government is therefore at present reviewing the Falkland Islands legislation relating to offshore oil exploration and exploitation and the results are expected in 1976. lntcrrzational Law. Even ncw Britain could, under International Law, claim exclusive rights to issue mineral prospecting licences. These would be for the seabed under the territorial sea of the Falkland Islands and beyond that area on the continental shelf to a depth of 200 metres, or outside that limit to where the depth of water still allows the natural resources of the sea to be exploited. This would naturally be subject to the proviso that any continental shelf going beyond the median line between Argentina and the Falklands could not be claimed. Argentina, unlike the U.K., has not ratified the Geneva Convention Agreement (1958) relating to the Continental Shelf and thus again the question of sovereignty looms large. This could become even further complicated by the outcome of the proposals put forward alt the Third United Nations Conference on the Law of the Sea held at Geneva in May 1975. Here a territorial limit of 200 miles out from the coastline was claimed by Latin American countries, including Argentina, although Great Britain was amongst those who favoured a 200 mile exclusive economic zone (EEZ). There was also the suggestion that such EEZs could be claimed for colonies as well as sovereign states, so that if this was to happen Great Britain could claim an economic zone stretching out for 200 miles around the Islands. Present Situation. The laltest application for exclusive rights to explore for oil in the Falklands area was made in November 1974 by the Ashland Oil Co. of Canada. Although refused, it sparked off a campaign in a Buenos Aires newspaper that 'Argentine' oil was being stolen by the British Government. Nevertheless, there is no doubt that any unilateral issue of licences would seriously damage relations between the two countries. Indeed those companies that have made requests for oil exploration licences have confirmed that before starting work they would want AngloArgentine agreement, thus ensuring that their operations could proceed without harassment. Therefore there is no escape from the conclusion that if oil is LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH to be found and extracted for the benefit of the Falkland Islands and the United Kingdom, it can only be done in agreement with Argentina. Most islanders likewise believe that exploitation of their offshore oil must be with the cooperation of the Argentine. Defence considerations 337 in the South Atlantic and, therefore, possibly the Falkland Islands, deserves consideration, because South Africa is keen to encourage defence links based on such common interests. Whereas trade in the early 1960s between the two continents was on a very small scale marked increases have taken plhce in the last ten years. This is noticeable in the figures for Brazilian and Argentinian trade with South Africa and other African countries. The indications are that the precentage of their total trade which is with Africa, whilst not yet large, is increasing. There have been suggestions too that in view of the recent Soviet naval expansion world-wide, including into the South Atlantic, a South Atlantic Treaty Organisation (SATO) could be formed from those countries primarily interested. One of these would undoubtedly be Argentina who, at the same time as developing her foreign policy, is building up her Navy. This has included the purchase of two 'IKL 1000' submarines from West Germany and two Type 42 destroyers from Great Britain (one of which is being built in Buenos Aires) as well as the possible purchase of six Type 21 frigates, also from the United Kingdom. The Soviet Union has been active militarily in Angola and would undoubtedly covet a naval base on that coastline to supplement the air base she already has at Conakry in Guinea. Whilst there is no mention of the Falkland Islands in such developments, distances can shrink almost as fast as facilities in distant countries can expand. I t is conceivable therefore that the Falkland Islands, once considered so remote, could achieve a maritime strategic importance that they have only experienced, perhaps significantly, in the last two World Wars. Defence of the Islands. The bcal defence of the Falkland Islands is at present in the hands of the Falkland Islands Defence Force which is a voluntary and part-time organisation. There is also a unit (NP 8901) of Royal Marines on a year's detachment from the UK. They comprise one officer and thirty-five marines and are stationed in barracks at Moody Brook just outside Stanley. Their main function is one of aid to the civil community although they do provide a continuous British military presence in the Islands and help with the training of the local volunteer force. The possibility of an invasion by Argentina cannot really be taken seriously in spite of the abortive 'attempt' in 1968. However, if a full-scale military landing was attempted, there would be very little in the form of real opposition. On the other hand, Argentina must realise that such an attack would completely destroy their claim in the United Nations to rightful sovereignty as well as shattering any hopes they undoubtedly have for co-operation with the United Kingdom in the exploitation of offshore oil. Strategic Importance. Thus It (is not $he military importance of the Falkland Tslands themselves which claims interest, but their geographical position and possible strategic importance in the South Atlantic. Trading links between South America and South Africa are becoming more important and the Falkland Islands are not so far south of the direct shipping routes between Conclusion Bahia Blanca or Buenos Aires and I t is ten years since the Falkland Capetown. The Latin American interest Islands first publicly voiced, in the United 338 LET THE FALKLAND ISLANDS STAY BRITISH Nations, dissatisfaction with their status. Since then the governments of Great Britain and the Argentine Republic have had continuous meetings and reached agreement on a number of important subjects. Unfortunately, these have not included the fundamental question of sovereignty. Both countries wholeheartedly believe in their sovereign rights to determine their own future. This statement alone, it could be argued, is enough reason for the Falkland Islands to remain British, as there can be no doubt that this is the way they would determine their own future if ever it became necessary. Moreover, the negotiations have shown that the Islands should remain British, if they are ever to salvage anything from their rapidly declining economy. This is particularly important in view of the exploitation of their possible offshore oil. Britain's recognition of this and her continued interest is illustrated by the recent Government mission to discuss further economic aid. Politically, too, the Falkland Islands should begin to realise that their colonial status is a thing of the past and to understand that relationships between countries are no longer a straight settlement of black and white issues but rather a slow and meticulous process of bargaining and co-operation. That Great Britain is prepared to conduct, on the Falkland Islands behalf, such discussions with her neighbour should only serve to highlight another reason why the islands should remain British. If these are reasons for the Falkland Islands to remain British, then there are similar political and economic justifications for Great Britain herself to ensure that this is so. For beyond the moral obligations, wgich are considerable, there is the possible wealth from offshore oil; the bargaining over extending territorial waters, which would have repercussions elsewhere; the unassessed potential of tourism and the increased strategic importance of the Islands in relation to the possible formation of a SAT0 or to Soviet expansion in the South Atlantic. All are subjects which deserve continued examination and which could never be dismissed in a matter of months, or even years. If the inhabitants of Stanley, or the 'Camp', wish to continue painting their corrugated-iron roof-tops in rainbow colours, stopping work in mid-morning for a colonial 'smoko' or watching the Union Jack fluttering over Government House, then there should be little to prevent them. They should realise though, that it is now the mid-1970s and changes to their way of life, more important than changes in their local customs, are not only inevitable, but would always be negotiated in good faith by Great Britain and to their ultimate advantage. If the Falkland Islands were a 'pawn in power politics' they would most likely have been swept from the board several years ago. They are not; and that is another reason why they should remain British. R. C. PAINE Mostly From the Bridge-I11 DUNKIRK - OPERATION Dynamo '. . . . I hope and trust in God that we shall all behave as becomes us. . .' (Camin George Duff, H.M.S. Mars, writing to ,his wife as 'the B~litishFleet closed the enemy off Cape Trafalgar, 21 October 1805) Captain (D)16 (Captain T. E. Halsey, R.N.) on arrival off Dover at about 2200 on 27 May 1940, had been ordered to take four destroyers under his orders, and proceed to La Panne to embark troops. Captains and navigating officers who knew the Channel and East Coast of England in the war will remember the mass navigational warnings one had to deal with, and the speed with which information could become out of date. With time to get my charts up to date during the previous week I was luckier than many. Nevertheless one was always a bit anxious when entering unfamiliar waters in case unfriendly Germans had laid mines in one's path, or one had made a slip in plotting a mark or minefield; and if one failed 'to sight a buoy, had one made a mistake or had it been sunk or removed? A good sounding machine was one's best friend (as it still is in these days of radar). So we set course for La Panne with qualified confidence on my part, though I tried not to show it. Luckily all the essential sea-marks proved to be on station and we buoyhopped without much difficulty round the shoals and across the deeps. Before we left the Downs we removed our asdic dome, which was of an early type which could not be housed internally and had to be unbolted and pulled up over the ship's side like a collision mat. This at least reduced one possible damage hazard and its absence was unimportant in waters where submarines were most unlikely to operate, though its minedetection capacity, not very high anyway, might be missed. This reduced our draught forward by about three feet, leaving the screws as the deepest part of the ship. Having planned the passage, my thoughts turned to the job we were being sent to do. Such was my ignorance of the real situation that I supposed we were going to bring off some army unit that had got cut off (as at Boulogne shortly beforehand) and that we might be able to do most of it in the hours of darkness before we would be exposed to air attack, about which our earlier experiences had left us with no illusions. When I shared my thoughts with the Captain he only grunted. No doubt he knew that the whole British Army was retreating to the coast and we were going to have to go on as long as there was anyone t o pick up. We anchored off La Panne at about 0100, relieved at having got there so easily, lowered all our boats (two motor boats and two whalers), and sent them off towards the beach to look for soldiers. Apart from general instructions to our consorts there was little we could tell them, and in fact as the situation developed ships acted independently under the direction of Flag Officer, Dover (Vice-Admiral B. S. Ramsay), with their only objective to embark soldiers as fast as possible and take them back to Dover, or other specified Channel port. On that day, troops on the beach were mainly supporting services who had not been heavily involved in the fighting, and their discipline was not too good. There was a bit of 'every man for himself' which resulted in boats being rushed and only too often capsized. There were a few local boats drifting 340 MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-III about unmanned, one of which Ian Cox brought alongside and whose engine was eventually got going by ship's staff; he went inshore with a pistol and returned with a load of soldiers but the engine failed altogether before long and the boat was discarded. It was a brilliant sunny day with a light breeze, but a bit of swell breaking on the beaches. Embarkation was painfully slow, with small groups of soldiers arriving in anything that would float. By 1600 we had about 450 men on board, and returned to Dover to land them, for Captain (D) to report on progress to F.O. Dover, and then return to the beaches. There had been sporadic high level bombing all day, which we had successfully dodged by choosing our moment to go full ahead under full wheel. The trouble was that there were several other destroyers doing the same thing in a very limited area, and why there were no collisions I don't know. The outer end of the Dunkirk mole had been separated from the rest of it by a direct hit, and a transport had been sunk on its outer side. The mole seemed to be a special target and we had the impression that it was not in use for embarking troops, but no doubt smaller vessels (which we could not see from the eastward) were in fact using it. The next day (Wednesday 29 May) we were working the beaches again in much the same conditions, but about 1545 there came a moment when we saw a bomber flying level and straight over us. We were stopped at the time, and either for lack of sea-room or lack of time, I forget which, couldn't go ahead. Very often you can tell as soon as the bombs leave the aircraft whether they are going clear of you or not, and this time they looked nasty. The stick straddled us, a 'bomb falling just short and another just over, abreast the bridge. Luckily they went off after hitting the bottom, and all we got was a bridge-full of muddy water. As we shook ourselves and verified that the 341 ship was undamaged we saw, a few cables off, the Clan MacAllister on fire, so went alongside her to see if we could help. She was anchored and had brought eight ALCs and their crews, consisting of forty-five naval ratings under Captain Cassidi and a couple of R.N.V.R. lieutenants. All these three cfficers had gone inshore with the first of the ALCs, and two unserviceable craft were still on board. The ship was ablaze aft and smoke was coming from No. 5 hold which we were given to understand contained the 4-inch magazine. Her upper deck firemain was shattered in several places, and though water was running out of it, it wasn't possible to get any pressure in a hose attached to it. No-one was taking charge on board Clan MacAllister, so Ian Cox and Igot a couple of hoses over from our own after end and played them down No. 5 hold, though the smoke emerging prevented us from seeing what was down below. After a bit the smoke seemed to be diminishing so I went aft to see if anything could be done about the fire on the poop. The gun platform was nearly red hot and the shot mats round the gun were blazing, fanned by the breeze, but as the ship was head to wind the fire was not spreading and seemed likely to burn out. Certainly there was no chance of our hoses doing any good, as the nozzle pressure in them was too low (owing to the height above the pumps). As I looked round I suddenly realized that the blackened inanimate objects on deck were corpses - scores of soldiers who had been lying in the sun, mostly having taken their trousers off to dry. The most grisly sight was that of a man who had been sitting upright against the guardrails and had been cut in half amidships - his haunches continued to sit there with nothing above the waist. In the meanwhile the troops, some wounded, had been transferred to Malcolm land some of &he Lascar crew had been climbing over to us despite 342 MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 efforts to make them stay in their own ship. The master of (theClan MacAllister, small blame to him, was badly shaken and had apparently had no definite orders. Tom Halsey told him to weigh and return to Dover. 'I'll go if you give me an escort' he said. 'We can't wait for you; sail independently' said Tom. Reading his report* one cannot but feel what an immense burden the poor chap was carrying, with a large ocean-going ship attracting air attack, and no doubt an economy outfit of officers to help him. I now believe that navigation was half of his anxieties, as in his report he said he'd been reluctant to leave the Downs, originally, without .a pilat. Anyway Clan MacAllister was hit again soon afterwards and became a blazing wreck, eventually settling evenly on the bottom and becoming a useful attraction for enemy bombers on subsequent days. The survivors, including the master, were taken off by H.M.S. Pangbourne. One of the difficulties about writing without access to official records is that though individual events are clear in my mind, the sequence is not: so I hope readers who notice mistakes in chronology will forgive me. (Corrections will be welcome). On what must have been our third trip (30 May) we were allocated to the Mole, which was proving to be far the most efficient means of embarking troops, and had escaped further damage. In fact the usable part of it was long enough to berth nine destroyers and/or minesweepers (or a mixture of both) in trots of three vessels abreast. I t was another lovely day and exhilarating racing other destroyers through the Downs on the outward passage. By this time there was the smell of a certain sort of success in the air, because the figures for troops brought home were rising faster than anyone could have hoped. However, enemy bombing was increasing and casualties mounting. We berthed on the mole with ships outside us and so were immobilized until all our trot had loaded. The soldiers embarked without fuss. I t was very noisy, bombs going off and AA fire from the beaches and the ships, as well as almost continuous small arms fire from troops not otherwise occupied - almost entirely ineffective. Sub-lieutenant Paul Jones, in charge of our 3-inch AA gun mounted between the funnels, had permission to fire at his discretion and exercised it manfully. He claimed to have shot down a German aircraft, and may well have done so, but unhappily no-one else noticed it. Luckily he didn't succeed in shooting down three Hudsons which were flying low in our vicinity (and were a real morale booster), though he did try. I had nothing to do while we were alongside and the thought occurred to me that for once people might enjoy my bagpipes, even if only as a counterirritant. So I got them out and played on the fo'c's'le for a bit, forward of the gangway over which troops were embarking. This led to a ridiculous story in which I was credited with a pied piper act, collecting soldiers from the town, though what a navigating officer would be doing in the town escapes me. The story was briefly mentioned in a Blackwoods Magazine articie, and after the war I found a reference to it in DBvine's Dunkirk (which is full of inaccurades), including the snarky comment 'There is no evidence on record as to the skill with which he played them'. Then a distant cousin in the U.S.A. wrote to my mother and reported hearing the story. Anyway, no-one mentioned me by name and I thought it best to let the story die a natural death. I t is extraordinary how some such trivial incident gets exaggerated and given more currency than thousands of infinitely more worthwhile events. My reward came completely unexpectedly a week later when our Chief T.G.M. told me he was feeling *Quoted in A. lished in 1945. .,, DBvine,s Dunkirk pub- MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 pretty low until he heard the pipes and then thought 'If the Navvie can do that why shouldn't we keep our peckers up too?' and felt better. It is a funny thing about the pipes that their particular form of music really does put heart into people under stress - I believe the fact that the pipes use the natural scale stimulates adrenalin, which is why people either love them or hate them in ordinary life, and, in trouble, benefit from an increase in their aggressive instincts. The ancients understood the power of music as a stimulant or healing agent, but the invention of the modified scale in Europe, whilst opening the way t o much more elaborate and sophisticated possibilities in music, to some extent emasculated it. I am in no doubt that Orpheus used the natural scale on his lute, and there is good evidence that cows milk better if they listen to the pipes regularly, which they do with obvious pleasure. I have said nothing about the R.A.F. The fact was that H.M.G. knew they couldn't afford to commit the whole of Fighter Command to covering the B.E.F., as that would deprive London and other areas, of vital importance to the country's survival, of defence. Nevertheless a considerable effort was made and our fighters were engaging bomber formations and breaking them up well inshore of the evacuation areas, so we did not see much of them. What we saw were the bombers who broke through, and without doubt their aim was much worse and their numbers much smaller than they would otherwise have been. We saw a few dogfights, and one, a particularly exciting one, ended with a fuselage, without engine or wings, coming down like a falling silver leaf, followed by a parachute with a pilot dangling from it. I am sorry to say that gun and rifle fire from the beach were directed at the unfortunate pilot. No-one knew whether he was 'ours' or 'theirs' but even if he were 'theirs' it seemed a bit unsporting. 343 However the story ended happily when a little man in light blue came running along the mole and asked for a hitch home, he being the pilot whose Spitfire had just been shot from under him. When we and the two destroyers outside us were filled to capacity, both down below and on deck, with men standing so close together that they couldn't fall over, let alone sit down, we sailed for Dover once again. As we were approaching the Downs, a Spitfire, obviously in trouble, flew low down our port side and ditched a few cables ahead. We sent the whaler away, which recovered the pilot safely, but then the problem was to hoist the whaler, as the iron deck was crowded with soldiers. When the falls were rove the soldiers were invited to man them and the boat came up to the davit head in style. The Captain went to the back of the bridge and shouted 'Well done the Army' and a tremendous cheer answered him. We all felt we were engaged on a very good tri-service operation. We had over 1,000 passengers on board, more than half of them on deck, and it is not surprising that the ship felt unstable, and lolled unpleasantly round corners, despite using minimum wheel. (According t o the records our maximum load was 1,200 men on 1 June). On Wednesday 29 May the Bideford had been hit whilst embarking troops off Bray. Everyone abaft the mainmast, including those embarking from boats alongside the quarter deck, had been killed. She was my previous ship and there were still a lot of my friends on board. Two who were killed were Lieutenant Commander Paul Stewart (the First Lieutenant) and Petty Officer Collins, who as a young leading hand had been coxswain, and I the midshipman, of @he first cutter in Malaya in 1932. Establishing mutual confidence with him, after a sticky start, had been one of the milestones in my growing up, and we had a happy understanding 344 MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 when we both found ourselves in the Bideford in 1938. Now, in 1940, the ship had drifted ashore and the first tugs sent to her help had failed to find her. Eventually the Locust (gunboat) got her afloat and towed her for thirty-six hours in what must have been a nightmare for all concerned. A heavily yawing tow is bad enough normally but when the tower draws only five feet and the towed has no stern, and in the traffic conditions prevailing, it was miraculous that they made it. We berthed alongside her overnight (31 May-1 June) and her upper deck was still covered with dead under flags. I went on board in the morning to find out who had been killed and found the officers calm but rather Stunned; I returned on 'board Malcolm in time to sail for our next trip. As we cast off more reports of sinkings came in and I think we all felt we were starting on our last trip. We made silly jokes on the bridge which everyone laughed at out of suppressed nervousness. As we cleared the breakwater a signal was handed to the Captain: 'Immediate. F.O. Dover t o (D)16. Return to harbour forthwith. Daylight evacuation is being suspended.' Now we knew what a reprieved prisoner feels like. Talking of feelings, those days of brilliant light and dark shadows left some indelible impressions. When we started the evacuation at La Panne on the first morning we were wondering uneasily whether we were going to be safely back that day. I t was not till we got F. 0 . Dover's signal to the evacuation fleet 'Well done. Only you stand between the British Army and disaster' that I personally realized we were in one of the really big shows of the war and had a chance to make up for our absence from the Boulogne evacuation. One took a deep breath, and if one may say so with humility, decided that this was a worthwhile cause to lose one's life in. From then on a sort of exaltation filled us, and every load of soldiers that we delivered increased the rate of exchange in our favour. I had been married six weeks and had everything t o live for, which made every moment more worth living, but my mind was at peace and I was sustained by the satisfaction of using what skills I had ~acqui~edto real purpose. All this in the context of serving a Captain whom we loved, and sharing the hours with a wonderful set of officers whose only thought was to do the job as well as possible. We didn't think, as we saw other ships hit, 'It couldn't happen to us', but accepted that it would be time enough to worry about it when it did. Once the decision to stop daylight evacuation had been made and it was realized that the destroyers and minesweepers could be most efficiently employed embarking troops from what was left of the mole, we were given a sequence and a rough time-table for going alongside, and left Dover after dark. One night we berthed on the mole in dead silence and I thought 'Good God, the bloody pongoes aren't ready for us and we'll have to wait till they turn up'. Then through the darkness one made out ranks of silent soldiers fallen in, in perfectly dressed lines, who turned into file and marched over the gangway as soon as it was in position. What a change from the chaotic first day, and how uplifting to see the discipline of the real fighting men. For some reason which I can't now remember, we decided one early morning to berth bows out, which involved turning 180 degrees in the harbour entrance and making a stern-board alongside. Tom Halsey, the bravest man alive but no ship-handler, had a bad habit of using too much power when manoeuvring and as a result got into that awful see-saw situation gathering way ahead and astern increasingly as excessive power was applied in alternate directions. The result was that we hit the mole with a crunch and folded up our bow to the paint-shop bulkhead, giving us the effect of per- MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-I11 manent port rudder. Going ahead this was manageable, but it was difficult t o steer astern, and we stopped berthing stern first thereafter. Tom and the Chief inspected the damage and decided we could still run on the paint-shop bulkhead and from then on we looked magnificent with a great bow-wave with revolutions for twenty-four knots (to which we restricted ourselves). Inspection at Dover confirmed the theory that we were still seaworthy. From then on Tom left the handling of the ship t o me which made it all the more fun for me, except for one unforeseen result. Our revolution table no longer provided an accurate index of the ship's speed, and the Chernikeef log, never a totally satisfactory instrument, worked erratically in the turbulence caused by the bow damage. Those who were there, or have seen photographs, will remember that the oil tanks at Dunkirk were on fire and blazed throughout the operation. The smoke drifted in a westerly direction down the coast, and by great good fortune masked German guns which could otherwise have made it impossible to use the most convenient approach from the westward. The channel buoy, which we turned round to make the last leg parallel t o the coast, was just clear of the smoke and one never knew whether a slight shift of wind would obscure it. This was very much on my mind on our next trip (in darkness), and being uncertain of our speed I was afraid of over-running the channel and ending up on the beach. The sea bottom consists of a series of 4-5 fathom shoals and alternate deeps, and sounding as we crossed them was a good check, but the time came when I was uncertain whether we were in the second-last deep or the main channel (no buoy being in sight) and decided not to risk going ashore, so got Tom's approval to turn up parallel to the coast, still sounding. After a bit the soundings shoaled and before long we went astern and stopped the ship with less than a 345 fathom under our bottom. The echosounder was now ineffective, but being an old fashioned navigating officer I had two well-trained leadsmen available, so they manned the chains and we backed down the deep with the leadsmen calling the soundings as we went. All this toolr: time and as a result we missed our place in the queue for the mole, and had not got alongside when daylight came, and were ordered back to Dover empty. Of course this made no difference to the evacuation as there were several other destroyers sent back empty and loading had not been interrupted. But I think Tom felt we had done badly, and though he wasn't unkind in any way, he justifiably ascribed it to me. I am sure he never connected the bow damage with my difficulties, and I liked him too much to draw attention to it, although suffering in silence has never been a conspicuous quality in me. On another night we encountered a French trawler on our outward passage, who would have gone clear down our port side if he had not got excited and put his wheel over. His stern cut our degaussing coils and bent our side-plating and from then on we were not protected against magnetic mines. On reaching Dover after our eighth trip (counting the abortive one), a.m. on 3 June, we heard that all British personnel had been evacuated and that the operation was over. Never was such a merry breakfast! We were all very tired and I soon fell on my bunk with my clothes on and slept happily. Some hours later I was woken by the sound .~f men's feet on the deck overhead and realized something was up, so got up and found that Lower Deck had been cleared and the Captain was about to address us. He had just come back from Flag Officer Dover's HQ. He said 'The last of the B.E.F. was able to come off because the French took over the perimeter round Dunkirk last night. Now the French have 346 MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 asked us to take them off. We can't do anything else, can we?'. There was a mutter of assent and we dispersed. This was easily the worst moment of the whole show, because one had started to react and relax and thought we had after all 'got away with it7. I know it took me about half an hour t o screw myself up again. We were due *tosail late, so we dined properly in messundress and by general consent kept our bow ties on with our monkey jackets when we sailed. By then we had recaptured most of our fatalism. On the way over we had had a signal marked 'Most Immediate' but Flags had t o admit with some embarrassment that we couldn't decode it as we had drawn tomorrow's syko* card instead of today's. We said so 'en clair' and forgot about it. As we approached Dunkirk we overtook a block-ship on her way to seal the harbour entrance, but as we passed her she blew up on a magnetic mine, or so we thought, and sank near the channel. Actually I now understand she was sunk by collision with a French ship. We berthed without incident and the minesweeper Hebe following us in, berthed immediately inshore of us. As she passed, her captain (Johnn.ie Temple) shouted 'What about the Western Channel?'. Tom said to me 'You'd better go and talk t o him' so I went along the mole and told him that we'd had no trouble and suggested that he should follow us out, which in due course he did. Although latterly we always left Dover in the dark, the nights were short and it was usually light before we got alongside. There was a period of waiting outside Dunkirk until one's turn came to go in, during which one was backing and filling near other ships in a similar position. I remember this last night better than most, perhaps because of the end-of-term feeling about it. The oil fires were still illuminating the harbour but a new feature was that shells were occasionally arriving, making their own individual noises and reminding one that the enemy was almost at the gates; but not, I think, doing much damage. I t was full daylight by the time we berthed and the (mostly Belgian) soldiers who were allocated to us took much longer than our own to embark because their packs kept sticking in the handrails of the ladders from the fo'c's'le to the iron deck. This induced a slight feeling of impatience, and one had t o remind oneself that but for these chaps we would not have got so many of the B.E.F. away. I think we left when the supply of troops dried up, as this was not one of our biggest loads. After we had cleared the Western Channel we got the signal re-coded by tomorrow's syko card which said 'Western Channel is heavily mined. The following route is to be used. . .;' there followed elaborate instructions for passing buoys on the wrong side and generally avoiding the route we had been using, and had just used itwioe! Hebe was clear by then and undamaged and I shall never forget the shout of laughter which went up on our bridge, as the signal was read out. On the way back I suggested to Tom that as it was the fourth of June, we should enter harbour with 'Floreat Etona' flying from the mast head halliards (he being an Old Etonian) to which he agreed. However we came on an M.T.B. drifting with damaged screws and found that Vice-Admiral Abrial, the French Senior Naval Officer at Dunkirk (Commandant du Nord) was on board, so we embarked him and took the M.T.B. in tow and unfortunately forgot to hoist our signal. I think my general idea was that Waterloo had been won on the playing fields of Eton and that the allusion was appropriate, especially on that date and with that Captain. That really was the end of the opera- ,* coding device which changed daily. Only issued one day ahead to minimise the chances of compromise. MOSTLY FROM THE BRIDGE-111 tion and figures were better than could have been hoped. A total of 338, 226, of whom 198,315 were British and 139,911 Allied troops, had been evacuated. We ourselves had done nine trips to Dunkirk, but because of the abortive one only eight counted. Sabre, a tiny 'S' class destroyer, did ten. No otfher ship equalled that number. We were officially credited with evacuating 5,851 troops and Sabre with 5,765. The highest figure for a single ship (personnel ship Tynwald), was 8,953, much higher than ours, but being a troop carrier her capacity enabled her to do that in four trips. And what of our own ship's company? It was composed largely of R.F.R. men recalled for war service, and brand new Hostilities Only young men. Tom's tremendous warm personality and complette straight-forwardness got through to the troops, and we, his staff and ship's officers were totally united in relation to him, and usually, certainly at that time, in relation to each other. So the formula was mutual trust in both directions. Our Chief Petty Officers and some of the Petty Officers were magnificent. This was very early in the war and dilution of trained manpower had not really begun, but Malcolm had been dug out of Reserve at Rosyth for the Fleet Review immediately preceding the outbreak of war, which is why the junior ratings were less homogeneous than in ships already in commission at the time. However, as always happens, firmness of leadership at the top created confidence right through the ship and there was never any question of morale failure. 347 In extension of this, we were also conscious that the Dover H.Q. was doing everything that could be done to help us, despite the tremendous organisational problems of receiving and clearing thousands of soldiers every day, not only at Dover but at the other channel ports involved. The berthing problem was a major one in itself, but moves were kept to a minimum, and when required, the reasons were always apparent; parties of cleaners came on board and cleared up below decks while we got some sleep; and the salvage organisation for casualties enabled ships which were still operational to get on with the evacuation without interruption. I have never before or since felt such confidence in a shore headquarters. As soon as we were clear of Belgian and French soldiers we sailed for Chatham, and as we approached the lock gates received a signal saying that shipkeepers were being sent on board and three days leave was to be given to both watches. I cannot now imagine how my wife and I were able to arrange a rendezvous that night, and I nearly missed it by going to sleep in the train, but luckily got woken up by an aged cleaner at Waterloo before the train started its return journey to Chatham. The next day we went up to Scotland for three glorious days of sunshine. Note: The attached diagram, from information kindly supplied by the Naval Historical Branch, helps to correct the romantlic ideas about 'Operation Dynamo' fostered by some post-war literature. D.B.N.M. (concluded) Economic Maritime Strength Despite its massive numerical superiority over NATO in conventional land and air forces, the Warsaw Pact, contemplating armed aggression, may well reject the obvious land invasion of Western Europe because of the virtual certainty that NATO would be obliged to use tactical nuclear weapons to halt it, and that escalation to a mutually genocidal strategic nuclear exchange, unprofitable even to Communist philosophy, would inevitably follow. If however, military action were restricted to a conventional maritime war of attrition against the seaborne supplies and trade, upon which all European NATO States, and no longer Britain alone, have become increasingly dependent for continued existence, the nuclear risk would be eliminated, sincpu no NATO government could deter a sea attack by a threat of nuclear reprisal against Communist land targets because of the certainty of annihilating retaliation in kind. The expansion of the Red Fleet, during the past twenty-five years, from a non-descript maritime defence force to the world's most modern, and second largest Navy, fully capable of worldwide action, is sufficient proof that such a strategy has not been overlooked by the Kremlin. It is therefore clear that NATO must give a 'high, if not $@he topmost, priority to the prov'ision of maritime forces adequate to counter the assault of the Red Fleet and its supporting air arm, and, in particular, the submarines which constitute so powerful an element, bearing in mind that a single submarine requires many hunters, and that in general, enemy warships will not confine their activities to a conveniently limited NATO sea area north of the Tropic of Cancer. It is also clear that if this requirement for adequate maritime forces is to be met in an era of severe economic stress, rapidly rising costs, and of reductions, in real terms, in Western defence votes, effective measures to optimise naval strength from whatever funds are allocated must command constant and searching attention. The Chairman of the NATO Military Committee, Admiral of the Fleet Sir Peter Hill-Norton, in a lecture to the Royal United Services Institute on 28 November 1974, stressing the absolute necessity for greater costeffectiveness, pointed to the appalling waste of resources resulting from the failure of the NATO partners to unify their efforts in the research, development and production of war equipment, and to the dangers, inefficiencies and inconveniences attending the consequent lack of standardization. An effective remedy for such folly is certainly essential to our prospects of survival, but so also is the need to ensure that every item of unified NATO equipment is as cost-effective as it can be, both individually and in combination with others. The purpose of this article is briefly to review the fundamentals of maritime strength and to make some suggestions, not necessarily orthodox, for their more effective realization. Fighting strength at sea Fighting strength at sea comprises three basic elements - manpower, weapon-systems, and vehicles. Manpower now accounts for more than a half of western naval budgets (thmgh not, be it noted, those of the Warsaw Pact), and this fact severely limits the funds available to NATO for warships and maritime aircraft. Ma'terial excellence pursued regardless of cost is bound to reduce their numbers further, rendering adequate cover for convoys more difficult. If we are to avoid starvation and ECONOMIC MARITIME STRENGTH industrial collapse, and consequent defeat, the defence of merchant shipping must remain the first task of the NATO navies, and convoy still constitutes the basic and only effective framework. How is that frame to be properly clothed? Broadly speaking, the answer must lie in minimizing manning requirements consisten't with maintaining seagoing and fighting efficiency, and in foregoing marginal improvements achievable only by excessively costly research and development on the frontiers of technology. Weapon-systems whose more expensive components can be recovered for re-use should be preferred to those which are necessarily consumed in action, and merchant ships themselves must be employed whenever possible as vehicles and operating platforms for those weapon-systems, thereby reducing the requirement for specialised warship escorts and the manpower for their operation*. The wastage of funds on weak and ineffective prestige projects, such as the through-deck cruiser, must be ruthlessly eliminated, and consideration must be given to the building of some relatively simple and cheap warships for the less exacting roles. If this last is not acceptable on the grounds that it would reduce the already inadequate numbers of sophisticated warships, the same effect may be achieved by building standard hulls designed to accommodate a variety of modular weapons-systems, which need not all be installed in peacetime, bearing in mind that ships take longer to produce than equipment. Manpower, and the space which it occupies in warships, can be reduced by careful organization, and by automation - itself costly but, on balance, often rewarding. There is no simple answer to the problem of correctly striking this balance between man and machine, and it will fluctuate anyway with technological development. The smaller complement of the type 21 349 frigate as compared wrth the preceding 'Leander' class suggests that the Royal Navy, at any rate, is tackling this problem effectively, and it need not therefore be further discussed here. The best is the enemy of the good A major snag with advanced technology, apart from its astronomic cost, is that scientists are difficult to pin down when it comes to actual production of hardware, since there is always something even more advanced in the pipeline to engage and divert their professional expertise. The danger then is that vast expenditure is likely to result only in prototypes, leaving the fleet short of effective weaponry. I t may frequently pay to settle for less advanced material if only because it has reached the production stage and is acceptably priced. Having overcome its teething troubles, such material will have the virtue of reliability, and, for a given outlay, more of it will be procurable. I t is not difficult to visualize circumstances in which a concentration of simple weapon-systems could be expected to prevail against one or two sophisticated ones. If, by way of example, a resurrected and well trained squadron of Stuka dive-bombers were to encounter a GMD, no doubt several would be shot down by SAMs, but the remainder, having swamped the defence, would plant their bombs on or close alongside the target, with fatal results for the GMD, especially in the absence of armour protection. This, unfortunately, is an argument likely to appeal even more to the Warsaw Pact, with its unlimited manpower reserves and scant regard for the lives of its fighting men, but it is one that NATO also should not reject out of hand. Missile recovery was not practicable in the days when naval warfare was dominated by the gun, and in any case, *See also 'Self-Defence for Merchant Shipping,(The Naval Revim July 1972). See also ~ ~ i g 28 h t ~ u g u s t1975 p. 290. 350 ECONOMIC MARITIME STRENGTH shells were cheap. The advent of the more costly torpedo suggested retrieval, at least after practice firings, and it was accordingly fitted with a blowing head so that it would float at the end of its run. Modern surface-to-surface and surface-to-air missiles are far more costly than torpedoes on account of their complex propulsion, guidance and homing systems. If these could be recovered, even in part, heavy expenditure would be saved, and peacetime firing practice, so essential for confident and competent operation in battle, would no longer be inhibited as it now is. The answer lies in the two-stage weaponsystem, the first stage to carry the warhead to the vicinity of the target and then return to the firing $hip, leaving the short-range second stage to home on the target. nuts out of the fire, despite a lamentable and unforgiveable delay of fifteen years in accepting it for naval use. A possible alternative, now under development in the United States, is the Remotely Piloted Vehicle (RPV) - a recoverable wireless controlled drone aircraft with a weapon-carrying potential comparable with the Harrier and, with the help of television, capable of performing the same operational role. Being much smaller than the Harrier, and able to use a simpler VTOL system, standing on its tail for take-off and landing, thus obviating the need for jet deflection, its unit cost should be substantially lower when produced in large numbers; moreover, being pilotless, aircrew costs are eliminated, risk of loss is more readily acceptable, and it can therefore operate in less favourable tactical circumstances and in worse weather. V/STOL and RPV Both Harrier and RPV will be capable The manned aircraft constitutes such a system, in association with its missiles, of performing the triple role of reconcannon or bombs, and it possesses other naissance, interception and surface strike, advantages over the pure missile system and probably also such functions as such as greater range, lesser susceptibility sono-buoy and A/S torpedo dropping, to ECM, positive target identification, with the inherent economy deriving from and the ability to engage several targets such versatility, and although each one in succession during the course of a single will take up more on-board space than sortie. Its reaction time, if flown from a missile, this is counter-balanced by the the deck, is slower, but given adequate fact that each represents the equivalent AEW, not unacceptably so, and its of many of the larger, long-range type, increasing vulnerability to ship defences missiles. The Harrier is already a proven can be offset by the co-ordinated swamp- weapon-system and represen'ts, so to ing attack or by the use of 'stand-off' speak, a bird in the hand. The naval ASMs. Unfortunately, the conventional RPV represents a later development of carrier aircraft was permitted to the two-stage weapon-system, but may increase in weighst and landing speed to not entirely displace the manned airan extent which made it impracticable craft. Meanwhile, the NATO navies for it to operate from any except the should adopt the Harrier, and use it to largest fleet carriers, and these, in the full. sufficient numbers, can now only be afforded by super-powers such as the Close range defence Point defence weapons will still be United States; but the advent of the V/STOL Harrier, capable of operation needed, however, for close-range A/A from small, cheap, escort carriers and and A/Missile defence. To be fully even from converted merchant ships effective, these should be fired from the (MAC) has enabled us to pull our chest- ship under attack, and, since the enemy ECONOMIC MARITIME STRENGTH target is primarily the merchant ship, the real requirement is for a system which can be quickly fitted on board merchant ships rather than for one built painstakingly into costly type 22 frigates. This calls for a transferable modular weapon-system such as The 'Rapier', which should be capable of operation at sea with very little adaptation. In addition, there is still scope for light automatic A/A guns. As regards ASW, the frigate screen now appears to have had its day. The chances of its detecting a submarine before it is itself detected by the enemy and attacked are becoming increasingly slim, since passive sonar (hydrophone) operated by the lurking submarine has a much greater range than the active sonar which, on account of water and ship noise, the frigate is obliged to employ; thus the provision of expensive screening surface vessels merely adds hostages to fortune. The Sea King, flown from small, simple and cheap helicopter carriers such as Engadine (which cost under f 2 millions, compared with the £60 millions for an Invincible), and also from MACs and RFAs, has been claimed to be the equivalent of an ASW frigate, but, bearing in mind its relatively low operational availability owing to the three to fourfold excess of maintenance over flying hours, it too is very costly in overall terms. For the time being, it can be supplemented by smaller, less expensive helicopters, such as the Lynx, capable of dropping, (and later recovering) sonobuoys, both passive and active, and when a contact has been established, A/S torpedoes. But the use of the 'Sea King' and 'Lynx' consrtitutes no more than an ad hoc solution until a better. c h e a ~ e r and more operattionally available aircraft can be developed and brought into service. If this is to be an improved helicopter, it should be worthwhile having another look at the tip-jet rotor drive, successfully demonstrated in the 351 Rotodyne. This eliminates the heavy gearing otherwise needed between engines and main rotor, and dispenses with the need for a tail rotor and its gearing, since the tip-jet rotor imposes no torque. The potential savings, both in cost and maintenance hours, need no emphasis. Nor should the complementary merits of the blimp, or small airship, be overlooked in the search for a better ASW vehicle. As the U.S. Navy has demonstrated, the blimp can remain airborne for weeks at a time and can therefore operate as an independent unit without the need for carrier support. I n the circumstances of its employment, it is not unduly vulnerable to enemy action, and it has been established that it can operate in bad weather. One further and important advantage is its fuel economy. Although its unit cost may be greater than the helicopter's, its overall costs, bearing in mind that it can replace three or four of them, and that it involves no other warship provision, are certainly much less. If the foregoing be accepted, it would seem that the only other surface requirement in ASW may be for a co-ordinating and directing ship, and she could, in fact, be an escort carrier. She would steam in the body of the convoy, and to conceal her identity from the listening submarine, would be driven by merchantship type diesels; thus high speed is no longer a necessity and its cost and complexity can also be eliminated. Until these escort carrierldirection ships are built, we shall have to make do with the existing frigates and GMDs, and some of the latter will in any case be needed for area A/A defence until area A/A missile modules for merchant ships can be produced. When these carriers enter service, it will become possible to terminate the wasteful and costly practice of embarking single helicopters in the GMDs and frigates, where they occupy too much space and are un- 352 ECONOMIC MARITIME STRENGTH economic in the use of maintenance manpower. Convoy defence The pattern which emerges for the all-important defence of convoys is one of greater emphasis on merchant ship self-defence by means of Harriers, helicopters and modular missile and gun systems, with a minimal stiffening of warship escorts to co-ordinate and direct the ASW effort, and to amplify the A/A and ASW effort with the more advanced existing weapons such as Seadavt and Ikara. This would free warships for other purposes and reduce the total requirement. On this basis we could be less unhappy about recent defence cuts involving the scrapping of older frigates, the cancellation of some new ones, and the slowing-down of GMD new-construction. What we must have, however, is an expansion of the Sea Harrier programme, more and better helicopters, and small, cheap escort carriers to operate them, with back-up plans for the rapid conversion of earmarked mechant ships into MACs. We cannot afford, and we do not need, vulnerable white elephants like the Invincible, but perhaps we could persuade the Shah of Iran to buy her with some of his surplus oil revenues? F. P. U. CROKER Whatever Happened to AFO 1/56? On the twentieth anniversary of this historic document it seems appropiate t o examine what 'it set out to do, and how much has been achieved. For the benefit of the very @d l and the very young a brief resum6 of the AFO is necessary. Exceptionally the AFO started with 'An Introductory Message from the (Admiralty) Board to all officers of the Royal Navy'. This summed up the background, assessment and intent. The Board were basically concerned to achieve three aims: 1. To recognise the executive nature of all officers' tasks. 2. To integrate officers from all branches into the higher administration of the Navy. 3. To improve the promotion chances for career officers. The first aim was to be achieved by the formation of the General List, and a greater degree of common training for young officers; the former executive branch was re-named the seaman branch. The third aim was to be achieved by the change from the Branch List to the Special Duties List and by the creation of the Supplementary List. Mast people would agree that these two aims have been broadly achieved. All officers are now equally capable of executive duties and do carry them out, although there must be some reservations about sthe equality of opportunity. The evolution of the SD and Supplementary Lists have ensured that, whatever the difficulties associated with officer recruiting, prom3tion chance to commander is not one of them. This leaves the second aim. I think it was accepted that this was the knottiest problem a t the time, and the remaining twenty-seven pages of the AFO were devoted almost entirely to the m i n g up of the proposed solutions to the first and third aims. Clearly the second aim was t o 'fall out' d the other two, towards the end of the extensive transitional period foreseen in the introductory message. The Board had proposed, it was up to their successors to dispose. Consideration of this aim comprises the remainder of this article. What was this aim? It was no more and no less than a conviction that the senior management of the Navy should be conducted, as far as possible, by the Navy's most capable officers regardless of specialisation. The qualifying phrase 'as far as possible' recognises that there will inevitably be posts in the higher structure which demand specialised knowledge and experience from their holders. I t was certainly a respectable aim. Their Lordships could hardly have envisaged the difficult days which would assalil their successors but they surely appreciated that the science of Admiralty would continue to demand the highest standards of intellect, leadership and management ability and these muld only be satisfied by the most outstanding officers the Navy as a whole could provide. Nor was the aim novef. Something very much of the same kind was envisaged as the result of the new system of training of officers inaugurated in 1902. Perhaps the title of this artscle should be 'Whatever happened to AFO 1/02?'! How far has the aim been achieved? I t is difficult to answer this fully because it requires one t o make value-judgements of senior officers. It may be instructive however to examine the present dtuation: Tahle 1 Admirals of the Fleet Admirals Vice Admirals Rear Admirals Captains (incl. Cdres.) Commanders Seaman Engineer Supply Total 200 480 128 439 39 367 1201039 Source : Navy List Spring 1975 On a simple statistical basis, and disregarding all other inpub ahis should look like this (based on number of Commanders in each shown in Table 1). Table 2 Admirals of the Fleet Admirals Vice Admirals Rear Admirals Captains Commanders specialbation Seaman Engineer Supply Total 3 6 22 171 480 3 6 20 154 439 1 13 5 47 42 367 120 1039 Well, we can certainly see that pafity has not been achieved. This could be explained by a number of factors, either sepa~atelyor, more probably, in combination. I t may be true that seaman officers are superior to officers from the other branches in the ratios shown in Table 1. It was for instance true, when I was a t Dartmouth, that the seaman list of candidates was habitually oversubscribed, and the Supply and Engineering fists were 'topped up' from the bottom of the candidates list (set in order by a a m bination of Snterview and academic marks). I t may be true that a large proportion of flag rank appointments have, as essential prerequisites, a requirement f w skills or expertise only available to seaman officers. I t may be true that the chief amongst these is seen to be regular and frequent exercise of command. I t may Ire true that engineer officers, in their internecine struggle with the R.C.N.C., the R.N.E.S. and the former R.N.S.S. for positions of technical authority have vitiated themselves for further naval advancement. It may be true that supply officers hlave so immersed themselves in the higher posts of administration and the secretariat that they have suppressed that vital spark of independent and far-s'ighted vision necessary for flag rank. All these @hingsmay be true in part, and yet I doubt Whether the sum of these effects can legitimately be claimed to account for the disparity between Tables 1 and 2. I t would be wrong to suggest that no progress has been made since 1956. Jt might be instructive t o examine Table 1 against its equivalent at that date. Certainly we know that some changes have occurred. Sir Francis Turner, and, as I write, Sir Peter White have both been promoted to admiral whilst in the appointment of Chief of Fleet Support - an elevation for non-seaman officers for which, I think, no precedent before 1956 existed. But of course, at this level, the sample is very small and of exceptional quality. And, in any case, alongside those two there must have been promoted some thirty-eight seaman officers to admiral in the twenty year period. Whilst the TurnerIWhite promotions may be taken as straws in the wind for the future, they cannot be taken as invalidating the statisticit1 case that disparity exists. Two effects can be claimed to have caused this disparity. The first is an understandable (understandable but improper) reluctance on the part of rhe naval management (already predominantly seaman officers) to define objectively the prerequisites for flag and other senior appointments. Is it not 'letting down the side' to release these precious posts, so long the preserve of 'the seaman officer with command experience', to officers of 'any' specialisation? I't is - it is. But we hope that our leaders will allow the gwod of the service to transcend the good of the branch. The second effect is the difference in promotion zones between branches. Whilst many theoretical equalities can be claimed for this arrangement, the fact remains *hat man for man, the seaman officer at present can gain promotion earlier than his coilleagues of other specialisations and thus gain more experience faster; we are concerned here with the 'fliers', not the average. Not only can he gain experience faster, he starts influencing events sooner. Returning to the matter of sea command, one may view this xs a vital issue. Is st really such a valuable pre-requllte to flag posts? If so, can the unlique edge that it provides to its recipients be replicated elsewhere? If n&, should it be confined to the seaman officer? The traditional answers to these questions have been emphatically Yes, No and Yes. I don't believe that the case could be proved today. I t 'is many years since the commanding officers of ships needed much in the way of a sense of history, or of politics. Communications technology changed all that. Even knowledge of strategy and tactics have become much less important with the increased use of standard procedures and the centralised control of warships from Fleet or Maritime Headquarters. Sea command may be described as comprising the following elements: Ship handling Fighting Navigation Care and Maintenance of (the Fabric Adminktration and Personnel Management Relations with external authorities Of these, the commanding officer commonly delegates at least a sharing of the responsibility for the last four. Thus the unique expenience of the commanding officer is limited to the handling and fighting of his ship. The advent of the PWO is perhaps even nibbling away at this latter. One can see that this ability to handle a warship in a seaway and destroy the enemy is a difficult and laudable thing - but is it an essential prerequisite for senior management posts? Now if the Naval Staff spent its time deciding tactics and rewriting FOTIS and FXTIS and Volume I11 of the Seamanship Manual of course it would be, but thankfully the Naval Staff does not indulge in such activities; it tends to spend 'its time considering: Global operations and navigation The procurement, care and maintenance of the Fleet Administration and Personnel Management and Relations with external authorities. this particular chimera can be quietly Hang on, though, isn't that a bit led away (to its bestiary). familiar? Oh yes, those were the activiIn the end, it comes down to this: that ties that commanding officers commonly any responsible, thoughtful, humane delegated to their subordinates. management owes it to its subordinates So, although no-one should under- to: estimate the difficulties of sea command, a. formulate or revalidate objective the fact that 5t is a demanding, lonely, policies for the good of the overall responsible job does not necessarily make organisation and if possible for each it a particularly ideal preparation for individual within it. flag rank. A proportion of those flag and b. inform those individuals, whenappointments which are only appropriate ever possible, what those policies to seaman officers will indeed need sea are, and how they affect them command as a prerequisite; timilarly personally. those flag appointments which are only AF01/56 recognized the problem and appropriate to engineer or supply officers p r o p e d a qualitative solu~on.Twenty will often demand experience in years on, we deserve a quantitative particular plumbing or pusserial enter- update of where we are now, where we are going, how we are going to get there, prises. (Since I have now suggested that sea and why. In a profession where so much command does n d pmvide a unique or policy 5s shrouded by security or clouded uniquely useful cutting ledge, it remains by the vicissitudes of political unto say in parenthesis that I do not believe certainty, personnel administration is a that old will o' the wisp, sea command rare area which dews open managefor any General List officer, should be ment. It is entirely reasonable that the further pursued. Our profession is now oEcers of the Fleet should ask 'Whatever so complex in terms of tactics, tech- happened to AFO 1/56?'. nology and organisation, and o p p r SNIPE tunities for service at sea so limited in (Notes: ( I ) SNIPEhas omitted to mention the crucial pefiod of an officer's career, Vice-Admiral Sir Louis Le Bailly K.B.E., that any dilution of an officer's specialist C.B., an engineering specialist who, in expertise seems liable to reduce his 1975, was Director General o f Znteleffectiveness unacceptably. However if ligence in The Ministry o f Defence.) sea command is no longer seen as an ( 2 ) See under CORRESPONDENCE for an'open Sesame' to the higher ranks, then other view o f AFO 1/56 - Editor) Correspondence THE RECEIVING END of the rank of commander and above. (In 1957 many young seaman comThe Golden Bowler scheme has manders, promoted 'dry', wondered what enabled a cut to be made in the total the future held and whether to 'bowler' number of officers serving commensurate themselves. A.F.O. 1/56 had relegated with the general reduction being made them to share chances for flag rank with in the size of the navy. This incidentally the other members o f the General List, removed the bulge of officers in the list the 'plumbers' and the 'pussers'. The caused by over recruiting in 1938-1940 thoughts that follow were put together and by the acceptance of too many ESC at the time by such a man. Readers o f officers during the Korean war. The Naval Review may like to consider There are however not enough billets whether hindsight now shows that Their at sea for commanders and captains to Lordships kept their side o f the bargain provide an adequate chance of promotion for those who stayed. (i.e. career structure) for seaman officers Not long ago, the Dry List was without the device of the Post and abolished and the present method sub- General Lists. The institution of these stituted. This moment was before any Lists narrows the field of selection for promoted to the Dry List in 1956 or later command at sea and enables Engineer, had reached the top o f the Captains List. Electrical and Supply specialists at long Thus on selection for Flag rank these dry last to compete on, more or less, equal officers competed with their Post List terms with Seaman specialists for some peers and not with their General List General List appointments. contemporaries, to the advantage presumThat this device or something like it ably o f the 'plumbers' and 'pussers' . . . .) was needed is beyond doubt. Its impact Sir,-We are faced with a shrinking navy on the loyal seaman officer who at one - shrinking that is in men and ships. blow may be deprived of even tbe chance This is forced upon us quite simply by of his most cherished ambition has the country being unable to pay for perhaps not been given enough study. more than a fixed sum on defence and The effect of this impact upon the young at the same time by war machines seaman officers must also be considered. From the inception of the split lists becoming progressively more complicatTheir Lordships have made clear an ed and expensive. This shrinking in the number of ships intention to afford the same career had resulted in a great part of the shore prospects to both the Post and General backing for the navy becoming re- List officers. This intention can be given dundant. The activities of the Way a fairly wide interpretation. For example, Ahead committee have gone a long way the intention might be for commanders towards reducing this shore backing to a promoted on the Post List to have the more appropriate size, but in spite of this same chance as seamen officers on the a combination of factors has resulted in General List in their batch of reaching a grea'ter part of the navy living ashore the rank of rear admiral. Alternatively than was the case between the wars. it could mean no more than that indiNaval aviation, the increased effort in vidual commanders on promotion have research and development, the growth the same prospect of reaching the rank of of national and NATO shore head- rear admiral as they had on the day quarters: all conspire to reduce the before they were selected for promotion, proportion of seagoing billets. This is regardless of the list upon which they particularly true in the case of officers were promoted. CORRESPONDENCE The latter would seem to be the fairer interpretation, but this leads at once to a study of seniorities on promotion. Early promotion is the reward of merit. The best must reach the top. The top must command. Hence, naturally enough, the majority of early promotions are to the Post List and the later ones to the General List. There is of course some overlapping. Soon the zones of promotion to captain are to be adjusted so that at that stage there will be less overlapping and in general Post List officers will be promoted earlier than General List officers. If this is the reward of merit can we then deduce that in general Post List officers are more deserving of promotion to flag rank than those in the General List? Not so - because Their Lordships intend the same career prospects for both lists. Where then is the fallacy? All these thoughts and many more face the seaman officer promoted to the General List. He is pleased to have been promoted, even proud - but, and this applies especially to some who may be as young as thirty-five with the prospect of twenty more years useful service, what is his aim to be? NOS are accustomed to going where they are sent, pierhead jumps included, but in the course d their service they can impose upon providence their personal leanings and inclinations. Some specialise, some do not. Some do so deliberately, some are press-ganged. However this experience may have been acquired, they reach the brass hat stage in quite remarkable varielty: (C), (G) or (TAS); (N) or (D); aviator or submariner; p.s.c. or p.s.a.; subspecialist or salthorse. Some are married, some are not. Some have had command, some have particular staff, training or technical experience. Some are born seamen, some have had seamanship thrust upon them. For some of these on reaching the General List as a commander the aim is reasonably clear. The gunnery expert can have his eye on DGD, Whale Island or 3 57 ASRE. The other experts can view their alma maters in the same way. Perhaps a dry aviator could aspire even to Fifth Sea Lord, certainly to command an air station. The grounded submariner and the dry salthorse can at first discern an infinity of possibilities in the staff or training worlds, but for them, and indeed for those specialists who seek wider experience, it seems that there may be some dead ends. Take the Naval Staff for instance: there will be jabs there for dry officers but the plums (DOD, DofP etc.) must surely go to those who need the experience there for later use further up the tree as ACNS, DCNS, VCNS or ISL, appointments which it is assumed must be reserved to those qualified to exercise sea command. Will the General List officer make his niche in the Naval Staff at his peril? - there is no flag appointment there for him. Could he ever be a Chief d Staff to a Commander-in-Chief? Perhaps personnel offers a better avenue, but how can officers be chosen for jobs at sea by those who have forgotten what the sea looks like? Could Dartmouth be commanded by a senior captain wl~o had not been to sea for fourteen years? Perhaps a seaman (General List) should command at Manadon? DCNP could be dry perhaps, could the Second Sea Lord? DNT is dry - but not necessarily a seaman. The Controller and 4SL have room for General List officers of every kind and the seaman with a technical or logistic bent has an even chance with the technical and supply subspecialists for many jobs here. This could lead to staff or dockyard appointments, but would not appeal to all. The Air is a closed shop. M.O.D. and NATO Staffs give wide experience but for the General List officer can lead to the Naval Staff dead end. Misgivings there are then that there may be no future for the non sub- 358 CORRESPONDENCE The conductor of an orchestra handles the simplest possible musical instrument Which itself cannot play a note; he brings together a wide selection of extremely complex skills without necessarily having a competence in the operation of more than a few of them; yet he is recognised the world over as a very sklilled manager who should possess most of the qualities R.W. chwse t o sum up as 'infallibility' and yet who patently does not. It's a question of attitude I suspect; the impression R.W. gives is that if the captain should ask a sailor how something works, tbe sailor must deride him. No doubt R.W. would too. I would have hoped however that the saibr would f e d it a part of his responsibility to SETREAL impart any such knowledge he may have TO RESILVERING THE MIRROR and be proud of his personal skills which Sir,-For the first time in my life, and can now be seen by him as a necessary strictly as a result I imagine of R.W.'s contribution to his ship. predictions (see article in April h u e ) of But perhaps that's enough on infalrising hackles and flying fur now proven libility; R.W.'s 'cannon fodder' may hope correct, I have been tempted t o write to their seniors are infallible but it's an The Naval Review. In particulhr to essentia'l part of growing up to realise and examine how many of his predictions adjust to the fact that they are not; just and statements seem correct in my view. as, having grown up, it's vital to be 'Infallibility o f the senior officer': as an reminded like the Caesars of old that officer recently moved into the 'infallible' fallibility remains at your elbow. group by R.W.'s definition, if no one 'The precise duties o f the commanding elses, I have to confess t o aspirations in officer must not be specified'. R.W.'s that direction because I recognise that it comments Emply that they can and should is a handy 'trick' t o be able to show any be specified. I would agree that they man on board my ship how t o do his job could be but shudder at the dze of the in detail. At the same time, I trust that task since if anything much more than I am aware of my own limitations in 'conduct the orche$traYis specified, you'd thcis 'era of very rapidly changing be all too likely to specify every single technology' and therefore select care- detail of every single instrumentalist'r fully for thorough learning only those job. I believe, while recognising that detailed skills I need to do my job, plus improvement is usually possible, that the a few for pleasure if time permits. For duties of the commanding officer are the rest I rely on delegation to res- adequately specified by a range of means, ponsible and well trained subordtnates education, training, tradition, order, who can only be the better for su& trust. even counter-order and that to do so If I didn't do this, I might become the further could severely limit the commaster of all trades (though I am con- manding officer's freedom of action to vinced this is no longer possible) but so adjust to special local circumstances. I blinded by their detail that I could no sulspect that R.W. should he find himself longer see how t o bring them together. in command, would not thank anyone specialist seaman on the General List especially by the time that he has reached the top of the Captain's Lifi and spent fifteen years ashore. Should not Their Lordships therefore give encouragement to the General List Seaman at the receiving end by indicating precisely which Flag appointments can be attained by these officers, and by demonstrating by actual appointment in the next few years that no captain's command ashore is reserved to the Post List? Not only would this allay the anxieties of the dry list officers, but it would bring up The younger officers to understand and in due course accept their promotion to the General List with good grace. CORRESPONDENCE for telling him precisely what he should do in every conceivable eventuality unless he is proplosing that our technwlogy is already so far advanced as to make the Remotely Piloted Ship a sensible military project. "Time in the Job'. Nevertheless, I have to agree with R.W.'s main theme that our sea officers should <spendsufficient time at sea not only to learn their jobs but also to apply and develop that learning. First Sea Lord material dhould be able t o achieve this triple competence iin any given task much more quickly than his less fortunate fellows. The judgement to make here is whether to swerve the high flyer around the wide range of experience presently thought desirable for high command in the Navy or whether to specialise lfim by holding him longer in one type of appointment. My judgement settles for the first course since the maintenance of an effective naval force is clearly not simply a matter of pursuing fighting effectiveness at sea to the exclusion of everything else; it is an end product which must take into account the many other factors which contribute 'less directly, not least conducting the arguments which extract the money from the other pressing government expenditure requirements in face of the cont$numsly shift5ng sands of national and interna+ional finance. Pefhaps R.W. hasn't yet noticed that command is simply the top of the combat sailor's tree, that a competence in command is only one inessential qual5fication for higher management and that life 'starts again at (aboult) forty' with only occasional nostalgic visits to the command scene for the lucky few. Homily on this subject neafly completed but again some compromise is both desirable and achievable. It is easy for R.W. to suggest that the Wet/Dry lists should be re-instituted on a 'youshouldn't-have-joined' basis but one does n d lightly disregard the aspirations of potential future top management; thereby 359 their motivation and performance might drop; if that happens the selectability base would narrow excessively thus assuring the inadequate management R.W. is so keen to avoid. But I would agree that promotion to commander should never be considered as constituting entitlement to command (one hopes that S.A.R.B. is primarily concerned with this problem) and I would agree that, for the something-less-than-First Sea Lordmaterial officer, longer periods and second opportunities for command are worth serious consideration. Considerat5on I hould add, that cannot be adequately addressed in this already over long letter. 'It isn't a trickle it's a flood'. An emotive phrase which all too closely describes the seagoers' experience. I too would wish to be assured that there really is no other solution. R.W.'s overall theme that everyone should spend longer in any ship should allow some training emphasis to shift to sea. Classrooms are still no substitute for the real thing; the three year man is scant improvement on the national serviceman; the jab sattisfaction of the petty officer is still as important as ever. Tticlcling 'is adversely affecting the whole fleet, below, on and above the surface but I have not yet had the wide experience R.W. is prepared to see discarded, to put the case for a better solution. 'Quite capable o f identifying potential . . . . by . . . . their early thirties'. Resorting t o the N.O.'s argument, the next stage should be insults. Frankly, R.W.'s plea for better understanding of young people should, along with fallibility in seniors, take into account the difficulties and dangers of over early selection When the selection is itself made on scanty evidence by fallible people examining the performance of fallible subordinates as recorded by their fallible immediate superiors. The astonishing feature of our selection system is that lit ever throws up the right man, much less as many of 360 CORRESPONDENCE the right men as it does. The reason that it contfives a reasonable success rate is that selection relies heavily on attrition a t each and every stage. If you select eafly, you 'attrit' early and commit your organisation to living with its poorer choices in dangerously responsible jobs. No doubt this is happening today and has been happening for centuriies but a further resttiction on numbers selected a t an eafly age is as likely to reduce competence at the bigher levels as it is to increase it. And anyway, the modern young man, whom I recognise I am disqualified by R.W. from understanding, may not leap at the 99% chances of failure to reach captain or the 97% chances of fatlure to reach commander which are accompanied by the same chances of having Q find employment elsewhere just at the time he is most likely to be trying to support a grow'ing family. Conclusion Well, there isn't one really. Hopefully this letter is as tendentious as its provocation, which, ito my mind, is what The Naval Review should be at least partly about. J.W. H.M.S. GANGES Sir,-My reaction to the press reports about the closure of H.M.S. Ganges was very much that expressed in your editorial comment in the July 1976 issue of The Naval Review. As the presen't Commanding Officer of H.M.S. Raleigh I also looked in vain for the answer to a question wh'ich I hoped might be posed by those interested in the manning of the Royal Navy, namely 'If Ganges is being shut down, where do young men go to receive their recruit training?' I would like to reassure you, Sir, that men betwen the ages of s'ixteen and thirty-three who do not enter the Royal Navy through the gates of B.R.N.C. Ihntmouth (Officers) or H.M.S. Fisgard (Artificer Apprentices) now all join the SeMice a t H.M.S. Raleigh where they undergo a six weeks' course of basic training aimed at preparing them for life in 'the Royal Navy. Raleigh is situated at Torpoint on the west bank of the Tamar opposite Ikvonport and during the last four years has undergone a rebuild to replace a World War I1 hutted camp with a purpose-built modern establishment. At present we have eleven hundred young men under trainhg under the roof with a training and support staff of ninety officers, two hundred and fifty senior rates and two hundred junior rates. In addition to the recruit course for all new entries, Raleigh also undemkes the seama~whip element of the seamen operators' eaining from which they progress to operator rtmiining d Dryad, Vernon, Cambridge and Dolphin. Other activities at Raleigh include training in seamanship, leadership and fire fighting for personnel of the Fleet. Each week some 160 recruits arrive from all over the country and are given a warm welcome to the Royal Navy. Any member who is passing would be similarly welcome for a walk round and the chance of w i n g the recruits and instructors at work. R. W. F. GERKEN R.N.A.S. KATUKURUNDA REVISITED Sir,-Early this year my vrrife and I decided to do a trip round the world, and enroute we visited Ceylon. So we decided to try to find my old air station at Katukurunda some thirtyane years a k r I left it. I had been appointed to command this station in 1942, when we were still a little nervous about the Japanese, and just after the R.N. had taken it over from the R.A.F., w%o had used it as a single runway strip with no facilities. I had 'thifty officers and men to begin with, and my one mom bungalow with a =randah also served CORRESPONDENCE as the wardroom for my three officers. The Civil Engineer, Mr. Johnston, and I designed the entire station, including Repair Yard, Airfield, and Camp. We walked the jungly land deciding on sites for hangars, dormitory huts, messes etc. Living sites had to be healthy and scenic, with a chance of air and thmugh drafts h r coolness in that steamy atmosphere. And, d course, we had to see that fields of fire from our strong points (never used), weR kept clear. The design of all buildings was done to our requirements - and as we grew we had experts in most fields - finalised in my bungalow over Canadian Club (we had no Scdch). After agreement no changes were allowed. A happy and efficient arrangement. We were given a hospital, to Admiralty requirements, but this was little used. The area was healthy, and with every opportunity taken for bathing and games we never used more than a small section, wi$h few beds. Two and a half years later, when I left, the station had swollen to 300 officers and 3,000 men (when full), with a Royal Marine Defence Detachment, some 1,000 civilians, and 1,000 Italian Prisoners (or co-belligerents) employed on extending the Repair Yard. During the expansion period I had to continually rewrite my orders and reform myself, as commanding a small unit is very different from commanding a sprawling giant, like Katukarunda. We were, I believe, a wry happy place, and it was a delight to find the Camp in good hands. The Airfield and Repair Yard had gone, save for runways, truncated, overgrown, and deserted; but the Camp had been taken over by the Ceylon Police as their training starion. On learning who I was, the sergeant at the gate shaok me warmly by the hand and supplied me with a guide t o show me round. To my joy the camp was in wonderful shape, the only temporary buildings had been improved, and there were two more playing fields. Our hockey 361 and parade ground was now only a parade ground. The only major changes were the Petty Officers' Mess, which had a wonderful site and has been replaced by a figure of Buddah; the large Wardroom (our third during expansion) now used as offices and for procedng work by the Geological Department; and f i e Wrennery which has been replaced by a small factory. I was welcomed by the Commandant, and my wife and I had tea with him and his wife in my old bungalow (the scene of many curry lunches). He remembered coming t o me once to solicit my assistance En closing down some house of .ill-repute which he considered bad for my sailors. He told me that he got full co-operation. One hates to be a spoil sport but the reputation of indiscriminate girls in Ceylon left a lot to be desired. In reading the last paragraph of Manoel's article on Alexandria in the April 76 issue of @heReview where he comments on the installation of colour T/V in messdecks I was reminded of an incident at Katukurunda. Shortly after the completion of our large movie house with stage, I met the President of the Petty Officers' Mess somewhere on the station. As usual we stopped to chat. I asked him how he liked the new mode. He replied: 'Yes, it is very nice, Sir, but you know we have lost something. Every night we used t o do something in the mess - a whist dtive - a darts competition - a sing song - something - but now, Sir, we just go to the movies.' I &odd be so glad if any of the many who passed through this station would care to write to me, and perhaps we could exchange reminiscences of the old place. HANKROTHERHAM (G. A. ROTHERHAM, D.s.o., o.B.E.. Captain R.C.N.(R) formerly Captain R.N. (reitd.)) P.O. Box 598 Knowlton Quebec Canada. 362 CORRESP 'ONDENCE PHYSICAL FITNESS TEST Sir,-Many H.M. ships and establishments have been taking part recently in an exercise designed tu evaluate the level of physical fitness in the Fleet. My ship was no exception and we have just completed this trial, I am happy to say, with no casualties. The physical fitness test is 'voluntary' and can take the form of a walk, a swim or a run. The distance is specified in each case and the 'volunteer' is invited to travel from point A to point B as quickly as possible. I have so far heard of very few attempts at the walk and the swim so 'it would appear that the run is the most 'popular'. I will therefore dwell on this. The distance t o be attempted is one and a half miles and a time scale, dependent on one's age, is used to give a value to fitness. I volunteered to do this run on an extremely hot day in the middle of June. Being only twenty-four years of age I was expected t o complete the course in under twelve minutes. I failed. On completion of the prescribed distance I discovexd that I had taken something in excess of fourteen minutes. I am not proud of thlis performance, but nor am I an aspirant for the olympin. I have drawn certain conclusions from this exercise and they are as follows: 1. I t is e x t ~ m e l ydangerous to expect individuals, no matter what their age, to partake 'in such a venture. Already one fI'igate that I know of has 'lost a senior rating as a result of it. I believe he suffered heart failure - someone will correct me if I am wrong - and whilst I appreciate that he was not perhaps sufficiently healthy t o continue in the Service I do feel that his widow and family must be more than a little concerned about the way he was discharged. 2. I believe that this exercise, on its own, is misconceived. I am no keep fit fanatic but I M n k that I would have been a little more impressed with the idea of physical fitness if, instead of hitting the Fleet with an idea out of the blue, a set physical fitness programme had been introduced with a reasonable explanation of its aims. 3. I do not believe that bringing each and every man in the Service to a peak of physical fitness is going t o increase efficiency. On the contrary, I believe it could w l l have the opposite effect. This venture, for example, if every member of the Service t m k part, could well cost the Navy as much as £80,000 in lost man hours at a time when it can ill afford to lose one penny. I t follms that any form of phydcal training programme k going to cost the Navy money unless it is undertaken at the expense of leave and hence at the h k of impairing morale. 4. Fina'lly, it seems important to State emphatically at the outset whether or not such a scheme is voluntary or compulsory. In most ships and establishments a competition was run, not formally but made so by the method of recording. This had the effect of making those who did not wish to take part go against their leanings, for to opt out would have given one the label of 'Bad Egg' or some'th'ing even less complimentary. This competitive spirit was undoubtedly one of the main reasons why the senior rating mentioned above is no longer with us. He gave everything to it - including his life. I know that my remarks will provoke argument. I slincerely want them to do just that. S. W. HAINES - INVERGORDON 'NO SIDE' Sir,-May I be permitted a final word in order to correct, 'for the record', certain errors in C. A. Herdman's letter, published in the July N.R.? Eirst, it has been established beyond doubt (see Stephen CORRESPONDENCE 363 Roskill, Naval Policy Between the Wars, all round (as it was finally), there would Vo1.2, p.96), that AL.CW 8284 of have been no mutiny. H. PURSEY. 10 September 1931 was received in Nelson, the fleet flagship, before she (This correspondence is now closedEditor) sailed from Portsmouth (as a pr'ivate ship) to join the fleet at Invergordon. I t 5.5-INCH GUNS may be that the Admiralty Letter was 'sat on' by the Chief of Staff and the Sir,-Reference to guns of this calibre is made in your issue for July 1976. Admiral's Secretary. Given that my memory is to be Secondly, the Captain of the Fleet, never Yook charge' of the situation, nor depended upon, Chester's guns were was he 'responsible' for a signal to the manufactured by the Coventry Ordnance Company, which I have an idea did not Admiralty; he was a staff officer. As Roskill points out, 'command of normally manufacture guns for the the fleet automatically devwlved on Royal Navy. Their calibre also was 5.5 Admiral Tomkinson' - who, as A.C.Q. inches. in Hood, had only a squadron staff What is perhaps of more consequence 'but the adminidration of the fleet was is that the guns were fitted with the to remain in the hands of the C-in-C's Holmstrom breech mechanism. That staff in Nelson - an arrangement which mechanism was more complicated than certa'inly contained plentiful seeds of the Welin mechanism which had been standardised for the Service generally. muddle and confusion.' It ill becomes a member of that staff, But, anyhow under unfavourable cirone might think, to write patronisingly cumstances, it was claimed that it of the flag officers who had to pull the conferred certain advantages in operaAdmiralty's (and the Government's) tion. chestnuts out of rhe fire. Nor do the facts W. M. PHIPPSHORNBY (as established d t h such meticulous care by our leading naval historian) support DEEP SEA SOUNDINGS C. A. Herdman's h collection of the Sir,-May I draw attention to the followsequence of events and signals. Indeed, ing words of Admiral Sir William James, considering that in matters of pay the in his address to a Reunion Dinner of paymasters were the experts; and that the Officers of the Royal Naval Surveythe job of admirals' secretaries was to ing Service in London in 1937: give advice on 'hot' administrative I venture to suggest to you thrte matters, it may be thought that Inverreasons why you are one of the gordon revealed some weakness in that happiest communities in the world. quarter. Surely the senior paymasters, The first is that at an early age you both at the Admiralty and in the fleet, rid yourselves of that form of should have been quick to realise, and ambition which ruins the happiness point out forcibly, that whereas a cut of of so many men in a competitiw Is. per day was ten per cent for a C.P.O., service, the ambit5on which produces it was twenty-five per cent of the basic jealousy and prefers success to pay of an A.B. (and by definition those friendship. Your ambition lies elseon the 1919 scale of pay were, by 1931, where; it is to make the seas more mostly badgemen with famdy responsisafe for mankind - to ass'ist your bilities). Not only was there a 'breach of fellow men and bwther officers. contract', per se, but gross unfairness A second reason is that, with few coupled with real hardship in many exceptions, men engaged in scientific cases. Had the pay cut been ten per cent pursuits are happy men. It Is, I 364 CORRESPONDENCE think, true, that if a man is a grow'ing collection of photographs taken scientific labourer - a doctor, during these annual events and would engineer or m a h e surveyor - he is appreciate background information. The impervious to the impulse to acquire pictures show that Gibraltar was the wealth and 'is supremely content in usual base for the combined fleets, but it his endeavours to add something to is possible that during the 1920s Pdlensa the knowledge of the human race. Bay was used; the exercises seem to begin A third reason is that marine in 1922 and end in 1938; it is doubtful surveyors, beyond any others d o go if there were any in 1936. Can these down to the sea in ships, do see the details be confirmed? I am also seeking wonders of the Lord En full measure. information on the names of ships taking Robert Louis Stevenson said: 'If a part and a n outline of the problems man love the labour of any trade studied (see, for example, A Sailor': apart from any question of success Odyssey for the 1934 Exercises). or fame, the gods have called him'. According to Naval Policy Between the I have been dining tonight with men Wars, Vol. 1 p. 531, the official records of who have been called by Ithe gods. the exercises were destroyed during I am indebted (to the International World War Two, so that other than in a Hydrographic Review for tlhis quotation, few biographies, it is extremely difficult taken from the Admiml's book to obtain information. It could, therefore, be a worthwhile project to collect as Hotch-Potch, published in 1968. GODFREY FRENCH much first 'hand information as possible and to lodge it in the National Maritime FLEET EXERCISES 'BETWEEN THE Museum. J. DIXON WARS' Sir,-Could any members help regarding 10 Banbury Drive Combined Home/Medierranean Fleet Timperley Exercises between the wars? I have a Altl'incham, Cheshire, WAlU 5BD. Book Reviews LE'ITERS AND PAPERS OF ALFRED THAYER MAHAN (3 Vols.) an American academic who has taught history at the U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis. I t is a more wide-ranging Eds. R. SEAGAR II and DORISMAGUIREstudy than Kennedy's work and shows (United States Naval Insti'tulte P~ess; great knowledge of maritime empires U.K., Commonwealth and European and warfare of all periods; but its author publisher and distributor Patrick Stephens deschbes Mahan as 'an undoubted Ltd., Bar Hill, Cambridge-£60 the set.) racist' - which I think too simplistic a dismissal of a complex but extremely By an odd coincidence two books on the intelligent character. After all, towards development and application of sea the clme of the 19th century, when power came into my hands shortly before Mahan's influence was at its peak, a our Editor asked me to review these great many prominent Europeans and volumes of Mahan's letters and papers, Americans regarded the white races as and as both of 'them are to some extent inherently superior to the coloured ones; relevant to his theories and thinking it is and the concept of racial equality and of perhaps appropriate to discuss briefly a multi-racial society are not only of these recent reappraisals of his work. quite recent origin but so far offer no Paul Kennedy in The Rise and Fall of proof of be'ing universally applicable British Naval Mastery (reviewed in these or indeed workable. However, these columns in July 1976) argues that the books did show that Mahan's theories whole of Mahan's teaching was based on about sea power and naval strategy are false, or at any rate dubious premises still at least subjects for discussion, and because 'strategy, leadership and battles' that the political philosophy which he are the stuff of his study and not 'the played a part in formulating k not as growth of trade, industry and colonies'. dead as some would have us believe. He revives, and supports, Sir Halford I think it is true to say that Mahan was Mackinder's theory that power depends to a considerable extent responsible for on control of the 'heartland' of the the creation of what may be called the Eurasian land mass, and not on the 'battle fleet concept', and that he underelements propounded and analysed by played the importance of trade defence Mahan. Today it is obvious that Soviet as a primary naval function, holding that Russia exerts considerable, but by no victory would be won through a Trafalgar means complete o r undisputed influence type battle, and that the attack on trade over the Mackinder heartland. But at the would not prove decisive even if losses same time she is unquestionably looking were heavy. Certainly he never foresaw, outwards into the oceans of the world as did 'Jacky' Fisher early in the present for the first time since Peter the Great; century, the immense influence which and she appears to be fallowing many of the submarine would have on every the precepts propounded by Mahan for aspect of naval warfare - though it is the successful application of sea power. fair to mention that Fisher by no means My own view is that Kennedy tilts the jettisoned the capital ship as an instrubalance too far towards Mackinder and ment of sea power. Indeed with the away from Mahan. The ather book to Dreadnought he revoludonised ithem, and which I refer is Command of the Sea: he constantly endeavoured to build more The History and Strategy o f Maritime powerful ships of that type. If, however, Empires by Professor Chrk G. Reynolds, criticisms such as Kennedy's have some 366 BOOK REVIEWS substance in them it is fair to record that Mahan was absolutely fight in stressing that the convoy and escort strategy was a far more effective antidote to commerce raiders than hunting for them; and so it proved against the submarine in both world wars. Mahan's entire thesis was certainly concerned with (the influence and applioation of surface sea power; but at the time when he produced his most influential works in the 1890s it is hard to see how this could have been otherwise. I t is also true to say that his political philosophy was based on the use of force, and that he was a convinced and unabashed imperialist; but again it is unfair to judge him by the concepts of half a century and two world wars later. Mahan admired profoundly the British Empire, saw in it a powerful instrument for peace and stability, and wanted his country to take it as the model for its own development. Imperialism of that type has of course only recently come to be regarded as reprehensible; while Soviet Russia, with typically Orwellian 'double think', has developed and propagated its own meaning of it and its own peculiar practice of it. Nor have endeavours to achieve world peace through the United Nations Organisation either eliminated the use of force or produced a degree of stability comparable to the old imperialism. Rather do its efforts seem to result in a virtually continuous succession of small (and some not so small) wars - a state of affairs which another American writer, Harry Elmer Barnes, has ironically described as waging 'perpetual war for perpetual peace'. As this condition was certainly not foreseen by those who framed the charter of the United Nations Organisation in the 1940s, it is surely asking rather a ldt to suggest that Mahan should have foreseen it half a century earlier. Mahan has already been the subject of no less than three biographies and biographical studies - namely Charles C. Taylor's The Life of Admiral Mahan, Naval Philosopher (Doran, 1920), William D. Puleston's The Life and Work o f Captain Alfred Thayer Mahan (Yale U.P., 1939) and William E. Livezey's Mahan on Sea Power (Oklahoma U.P., 1947); and he figures prominently in viIitually every book on sea power and maritime strategy produced during the present century. His importance is therefore beyond doubt; but the questions which tease one today are 'How did he come to achieve that stature?' and 'How far was it justified?'. Before suggesting answers to those questions it must be made clear that whereas Mahan's military and political influence has been intensively studied, his role as scholar and historian, which undoubtedly predominated, has ndt been subject to such thorough and careful scrutiny. In fact he only wrote one book on strategy, and that was not very well received. Of his twenty-two other published volumes eleven were history or biography, two autobiography and nine were merely collections of lectures, articles and essays. As a historian he must therefore stand or fall by his famous 'Sea Power' series - The Influence o f Sea Power upon History 1660-1783 (1890), The Influence o f Sea Power Upon the French Revolution and Empire ( 2 Vols. 1892), and Sea Power in Its Relation to the War of 1812 (1905). Here it should be ndted that he was born in 1840 and produced nothing of historical or literary distinction until he was well past forty years old. Then in 1885 the door to fame was suddenly opened to him by his captain of the Civil War period Commodore Stephen B. Luce, who had become the firs$ President of the newly-founded U.S. Naval War College at Newport, Rhode Island. Mahan at once accepted Luce's offer of the post of lecturer on naval history and tactics, and flung himself into preparatory reading on a very wide range and scope. BOOK REVIEWS 367 His lectures were ready by early 1886, the book, already mentioned, it achieved and reached the public four years later as enormous success - especially in this The Influence o f Sea Power Upon country and in Germany. Though it had not been Mahan's purpose he had in fact History. Here perhaps I may intersperse the supplied the British with a cogent explanfact that my copies of the Sea Power ation for their achievements, while to series were all part of tbe Admiralty prize the Germany of Wilhelm I1 and Tirpitz awarded for getting first-class certificates he appeared to signpost the raad to the in 811 five examinations for the rank of acquisition of comparable power and Lieutenant, and I know that at first wealth. Mahan's next series of lectures enabled reading I found them completely absorbing. The fact that my copy of the first 'him to carry his story forward to 1815, of the series came from the 14th edition and were published as The Influence o f is sufficient proof of the success achieved Sea Power on the French Revolution and by the book. Yet today, perhaps as a Empire. Here one may note that his result of wider experience, I realise that style became more rhetorical as he Mahan's thesis is deficient on at least one developed the gift for producing the vital lfistorical issue - namely the memorable phrase or the graphic desenormous effect of the successes or cription. But the purpose of rhetoric it failures of Britain's continental allies is well to remember is persuasion rather (notably Frederick the Great in the than truth; and all1 rhetorical history or Seven Years' War) on what the navy was speeches, from Cicero to Churchill, must able to accomplish all over the world. for that reason be regarded with some He practically ignores the fact that in degree of scepticism. Yet there can be the only major war of his period iin which few officers of my generation who do not we suffered decisive defeat, namely the recall, for example, Mahan's words about War of American Independence, the how: 'Those far distant, storm-beaten French revival 'is largely attributable to sh$ps,upon which the Grand Army never their having no continental enemy to looked, stood between it and the absorb their strength and attention this dominion of the world'; or his eulogy of this country: 'But the English temper, rime. In the first chapter of The Influence when once aroused, was marked by a of Sea Power on History Mahan tenacity of purpose, a constancy of postulated six requirements for the endurance, which strongly supported the successful application of sea power and a conservative tendencies of the race' maritime strategy. It may be worth words which may surely be considered repeating them here, since all are today applicable to 1939-45. The next phase of Mahan's career was valid, at any rate to some extent - as the U.S.S.R. has plainly come to under- an unhappy story. His historical successes stand since 1945. The first was a and His very evident intellectual powers favourable geographic position such as aroused jealousy among his seniors, and Britain possessed vis ir vis Holland or in 1893 he was sent to sea as captain of Germany; the second was physical con- the U.S.S. Chicago, which flew lthe flag formation of the country, particularly of Rear-Adm'iral Henry Erben, for a d t h regard to well-placed and sheltered European cruise during which the limeanchorages; the third was the extent of light inevitably fell on the internationally territory; fourth came the size of famous captain - t o the mounting population; fifth the character of the annoyance of a conventional and rather people, and last the character of the stupid admiral. I n retrospect the choice government. Despite the Smbalance in of such a disparate pair for such an 368 BOOK REVIEWS important assignment seems to have been astonishingly ill-judged. Mahan was, not unnaturally, angered and distressed by Erben's classification of him in his Fitness Report as no better than 'tolerable' under the headings of 'Professional Ability' and 'Devotion to Duty'. But he had influential friends in Theodore Roosevelt, Henry Cabot Lodge and the Secretary of the Navy Hilary Herbert, and they ensured his return to the War College in 1895, where he worked chiefly on his life of Nelson which, though superseded by 'biographers who have been able to use recently discovered material, still remains a brilliant work. Mahan retired in 1896, and in 1905 produced his last and perhaps most satisfactory work in the series here considered, namely Sea Power in its Relation to the War o f 1812. One may sum up his work by saying that, despite its weaknesses and deficiencies, no historian before or since him has succeeded in presenting the influence of sea power so effectively and so readably. Mahan was a very prolific letter writer, and the editors of the volumes under review tell us that lthey estimate that they have not been able to recover and prinlt more than a quarter to a fifth of those he wrote. If a few here reproduced, such as those giving his travelling expenses on various journeys, may be classed as trivia which could well have been excluded, most are of compelling interest - though as with all books of this type one does regret the absence of the other side of the correspondence. The editorial work is quite admirable, and the production is of a quality too rarely encountered in these days. To members of The Naval Review the greatest interest of the books probably lies in the letters to British correspondents; and it is not surpfising to find prominent among them Captain (later Admiral Sir William) Henderson, the 'Busy Bill' uaho became the first Honorary Treasurer of the Naval Society and was Honorary Editor of this journal for twenty years. Among other 'naval intellectuals' of the period the Colomb brothers, Admiral Philip and Captain Sir John, figure frequently in Mahan's letters though he does not appear to have corresponded direct with them. The first letter to Henderson is a very formal one dated 16 October 1888, and discusses Henderson's remarks on Philip Colomb's recent article in the RUSI Journal; but Mahan was plainly attracted to a likeminded officer since he tells Henderson that 'My first motive in writing to you was simply to shake hands as it were with an officer of allied views'. They evidently got on friendly terms quickly, since in the very next letter Mahan dropped the formal mode of address. It told Henderson that he was 'amused and somewhat comforted in my own difficulties to find that you were meding nearly the same'. And so it always has been with pioneers working within a conservative service; for Admiral Stephen Luce was to prove mentor and saviour to Mahan just as Sir David Beatty was to Herbert Richmond, our Founder, a generation later. On 5 May 1890 Mahan sent Henderson a copy of The Influence o f Sea Power on History wi'th an explanation of the thought and purpose whEch had inspired the work. Two vears later we find Mahan corresponding with George Sydenham Clarke (later Lord Sydenham), who was soon to become the first secretary of the Committee of Imperial Defence, and in 1893 Mahan sent his wife a long description of his adulatory reception in London, including a magnificent dinner given by Earl Spencer, the First Lord, ulith three former First Lords o f t h e Admiralty present. Though Admiral Erben was placed on Spencer's right he can hardly have failed to realise that the dinner was in reality in honour of the Flag Captain of whose interests and BOOK REVIEWS activities he took a far from favourable view. Mahan missed meeting Henderson when he was in London, but by chance they met in Naples in February 1894 when Henderson was on his way to take wmmand of the cruiser Edgar. The letters here printed make it plain that the encounter was a great success, and in March they met again onboard Henderson's ship, when he gave a dinner in honour of Mahzm and concluded it with a very flattering speech. It should not I think be assumed that, because Mahan mentioned such incidents in letters to his wife, he was a vain man though like most authors he certainly relished favourable notice being taken of his works. It is interesting to remark how quickly Mahan's friendssp with forward-looking British officers and academics matured and expanded. Apart from Henderson and Clarke he was soon corresponding with Professor J.K. (later Sir Jcvhn) Laughton, and James R. Thursfield the naval historian and journalist, whose son Admiral H. G. Thursfield was for many years naval correspondent of The Times and a strong supporter of this journal. It is, however, curious to find that Mahan seems to have had little or no direct contact or correspondence with J.S. (later Sir Julian) Corbett, though in letters to third parties he praises Corbett's books such cis England in the Seven Years' War (1907) and Some Principles of Maritime Strategy (1911). Nor are m y letters from Mahan listed in the catalogue of the Corbett papers prepared by his son-in-law Brian Tunstall. One may regret Vhis lacuna the more because, although Corbett never exercised anything like the influence of Mahan, his views on naval strategy were in some respects (notably on defence of trade) to be proved the sounder. A discussion between the two greatest theorists and writers on sea power of the period would surely have proved fascinating entertain- 369 ment, and in all probability highly instructive. After his retirement Mahan continued to send advice on naval policy and dispositions to President Theodore Roosevelt, who evidently never wavered in his support of his prot6g6's theories on the application of sea powe;. He also exchanged papers and ideas with Henderson, of whom he shrewdly wrote (19 January 1907) 'I feel very sure that your temperament is too active to enjoy unlimited repose'. The final section of Volume I11 of this series comprises a selection of papers on a very d d e variety of subjects written by Mahan between 1883 and 1914. He remained a staunch Anglophil to the end, and early in August 1914 said at a newspaper interview 'You people in England do not realise the immense admiration felt all over the world, yes, and in Germany also, for the British Navy . . . personally I hold that the British Navy today, in all essentials, remains as incomparably superb as ever' There is irony in the fact that the conflict which followed was to go a long way towards disproving the theories which he had so assiduously propagated. That Mahan exercised great influence on maritime strategy between 1870 and 1914 is beyond doubt, and these volumes help to explain 'how and why that was so. History is of course an 'unceasing debate', and no historian is right all the time. That Mahan bas come to be ignored, and even discredited by the country and the service he most admired probably owes a good deal to the misfortune that he wrote his major works just when the world stood on {thebrink of far-reaching technological changes. There may be a warning in the story of his life against the 'determinist' view of history -the &tempt to apply the lessons of history to current problems and to project them into the future. Despite the fact that the acquisition of historical knowledge seems to be regarded in the Navy of today as an unnecessary 370 BOOK REVIEWS encumbrance I do not doubt that young officers who turn to Mahan's 'Sea Power' books and read them merely for the pleasure of the stories told therein will never find themselves bored. Furthermore it is possible that Mahan's affection for the Royal Navy at the period of its greatesrt influence, and his admiration for its leaders, contributed to that pride of service, confidence in its own capacity and awareness of its great traditions which, despite all that went wrong, can surely be said to have contributed to surmounting all $he trials and tragedies of both World Wars. For Mahan certainly did understand that the sources from which, in the ultimate issue, any fighting service draws its strength are not wholly material. Though the price of these volumes obviously places them far beyond the depth of virtually all British taxpayers' pockets we should be grateful to rhe editors and the Naval Institute Press for making them available - presumably chiefly for libraries. STEPHEN ROSKILL NAVAL POLICY BETWEEN THE WARS Vol.II - The Period of Reluctant Rearmament 1930-1939 by STEPHENROSKILL (Collins-£12.00) 'It is my earnest 'h?pe', wrote Winston Churchill, in the Preface to his history of what President Roosevelt suggested he call 'The Unnecessary War', 'that pondering upon the past may give guidance in days to come, enable a new generation to repair some of the errors of former years and thus govern, in accordance with the needs and glory of man, the awful unfolding science of the future'. Let us ponder, therefore, inspired but unbemused by the Cburchillian rhetoric, upon the second and final part of Captain Roskill's indispensable account of naval policy 'between the wars' ('which wars?' do I hear some young man ask?). But first, let the author himself explain the long interval between the publication of the first volume of this work in 1968 and the appearance of the present one: I had originally intended to carry on immediately with this second volume, but when my research had progressed as far as about 1935 I found that the records I needed had not yet reached the Publtic Record Office. Thmgh the departments concerned offered to allow me to carry on my research in their own Record Offices I was aware from my work on the maritime side of World War I1 (The War at Sea 1939-1945) that 'it would involve me in going through a vast mass of papers many of which were irrelevant to my purposes . . . While I was deliberating on the problem facing me I was asked if I would write the authorised biography of the first Lord Hankey; and as I found that this large collection of papers and diaries had been left untouched since hlis death in 1963, I decided to undertake that work first and then return to Naval Policy Between the Wars. This led to the 'production of $hree volumes entitled Hankey. Man of Secrets (Collins, 1970-74). Setting the stage As in his first volume, but this time within the compass of a single chapter, Roshill reviews with fluent economy the background to the naval plans, policy and strength of the principal powers. The second Labour government, having taken office on 30 May 1929 (though with a minority of seats against Conservative and Liberals combined), was almost immediately faced w'it'h the collapse af the whole structure of the international post-war economy. Not only idealism, therefore, but economic necessity impelled the government to continue the quest for disarmament BOOK REVIEWS 371 agreements, with naval limitation as first ment, but automatically raised the level priority. But this propensity of statesmen against wbich the Japanese measured to eliminate the instruments of war their need, which in turn raised that of before removing the causes of it, even Britain by a sort of ratchet effect. At the under the compulsion of economic ciisis, same time two other naval powers, contained the seeds of coming conflict. namely France and Italy, neither of It may be objected that arms expenditure which was deemed by Britain, in 1930, to itself is a primary cause of war, in that be a possible adversary, were locked in it depdves a people of the material the iivalry caused by the aspirations of means to achieve the ever-higher a resurgent Italy to naval parity with standard of living to which they aspire. France. In such a complex situation it But it is the duty of political leaders to is hardly surprising that, although a put first tliings first. The reluctance of Three Power agreement was reached as Britain's leaders to do so pro$ides the a result of the 1930 London Naval Conleitmotiv for this volume. Its particular ference, the sacrifice of naval autonomy importance to a proper understanding by those Powers, for the sake of an of the history of the time derives from accommodation 'can hardly', En Roskill's the circumstance that nearly all the words, 'be described as having contriresponsible men, ministers, officials and buted to world peace'. In contrast, service chiefs, attributed to naval power however, to the Anglo-Ametican acrian 'absolute' quality differentiating it mony generated at the previous post-war from the other types of military power. naval conferences. the relations between Because of this, considerations of the two navies took a turn for the better. national prestige tended to obscure the Much of the credit for this was due to real issues of national secutity. Pre- Admiral W. V. Pratt U.S.N., Chief of occupation with 'tonnage and gunnage' Naval Operations. Not only did he at the London Naval Conference of 1930 question the prevailing American desire revealed the determination of Japan, in to build more and bigger warthips than particular, to achieve parity, or at least anyone else, but was prepared, also, to the appearance of it, with the other two propose that 'the U.S. Navy "should major naval powers, U.S.A. and Britain, depart from its position as a great following upon the expiry in 1931 of the neutral", and adopt the British view of Washington Naval Treaty of 1922. For Belligerent Rights; which of course was Britain, the 'absolute' character of naval a complete reversal of the doctrine of strength was seen as a function of her "Freedom of the Seas".' Imperial sea-communications, which according to the estimates of the day The Ten Year Rule required a certain minimum number of On 15 August 1919 the War Cabinet cruisers for protection, operating under had decided that: 'It should be assumed the cover of one or more battle-fleets. for framing revised Estimates, that the Because war with the U.S.A. was not British Empire will not be engaged in considered a possibility, the number of any great war during the next ten years, up-to-date balttleships forming the main and that no Expeditionary Force is fleet should be not less than that of the required for this purpose'. In 1928 the next strongest naval pomr, namely Cabinet (at the behest of the Chancellor Japan. The U.S. A., determined upon of the Exechequer, Mr. Winston having a navy 'second to none', not only Churchill) reaffirmed: That it should be assumed, for the in terms of numbers, but of size 'type for purpose of framing the Estimates of type', not only opposed the British the Fighting Services, that at any independently arrived at cruiser require- BOOK REVIEWS given date there will be no major days is false. The Valiant and Rodney war for ten years. (Although pro- were the only ships in that condition vision was made for review.) from 6.00 a.m. Tuesday to 5.0 p.m. Secondly, the mutiny Soon after the end of the London Wednesday.' Naval Conference the Admiralty asked happened spontaneously in consequence the Foreign Office for their opinion of of the sudden imposition, as a part of the continuing validity of the 'Ten Year drastic pay-cuts nation-wide, of reducRule'. To his credit 'the Permanent Secre- tions which fell with disproportionate tary of the Foreign Office (Vansittart) severity upon junior ratings and certain replied that although Britain must con- married men. There was no question of tinue to support the League (of Nations) a Communist (or any other) conspiracy. her difficulties and dangers would be Thirdly, the affair did, howeVer, adenormously increased if she allowed minister a sharp shock to the corporate herself to $become'enfeebled', in view of consciousness of the officer corps, which the war-talk on the European continent. had remained, for the most part, unI t was not unltil 1932, however, that the moved by the quasi-revolutionary social 'Ten Year Rule' was cancelled by changes which had been in progress since Cabinet dedsion, following strong repre- the First World War. Whilst introspecsentations from the Chiefs of Staff. tion may, in some instances, have been Another eighteen months were to elapse exaggerated, the reforms of style, of before action was taken to repair the attitudes, and of organisation which grave deficiencies in Britain's defences followed Invergordon certainly bore which adherence to it had brought about. fruit in the high morale of the Navy in Beset by economic disaster, and still the Second World War. Captain Roskfll hoping to achieve security through dis- has never been afraid to pass judgment armament, the government remained on individuals whom he deems to uncommitted to any specific level of have failed in certain respects; he is defence expenditure. equally ready to commend ability. 'Phe present volume is no exception, and, as Naval administration m+ght be expected, analysis wf InverThe recruitment, training, organisa- gordon without attribution of blame tion and conditions of service of the would have been anodyne. But k will officers and men of the Fleet form a be surpdsing if the judgments are vital and continuous accompaniment to questioned. the formulation and execution of naval In regard to the continuing conduct policy. Upon their successful conduct of naval business much depends upon depend the morale and efficiency of the those w%o fill 'the top ministerial, civil navy as a fighting force. Opfnhns may service and professional naval posts differ as to the importance of the and the relationship between them. As Invergordon Mutiny in causing the First Lord of %heAdmiralty Sir Bolton sudden 'run on the pound' which forced Eyres Monsell, who took over immeBritain to abandon the Gold Standard. diately after Invergordon and brought But the definitive account with which we the Navy through first, the making good are now provided by Captain Roskill, in of deficiencies in the early 1930s, and a chapter on 'Tnvergordon and the then the beginning of re-armament, was Aftermath', establishes beyond doubt a tower of strength. So also was Sir three facts of particular concern t o the Oswyn Murray, Permanent Secretary to Royal Navy itself. First, 'the impression the Admiralty for twenty years, until his sometimes given that the whole fleet was deafh in 1937. Many names of captains in a state of mutiny for two complete and junior admirals, which were to BOOK REVIEWS 373 become familiar when they rose to high ment of the Asdic, without understandcommand during 'the 'war at sea' appear, ing the inherent limitations of range and as they played their part in preparing the reliability to which it was subject. navy for it. But the greatest name of Similarly, no doubt as a consequence of all, that of Admiral of the Fleet Lord the ever-increasing pressure of work Cha'tfield, First Sea Lord from 1933 to with which the exiguous naval staff had 1938, was not in Britain's war-fighting to compete, coupled with the realisation team. In Captain Roskill's view, which that we would have to fight the coming as usual is firmly based and persuasive, war with what we had got, our naval dhen Chatfield's successor (Backhouse) leaders and their political supporters died only seven months after taking over, hopelessly overestimated the efficacy of 'by far the best decision would have been our defence of the Fleet and shipping to recall Chatfield . . . .' No doubt against air attack. Britain's failure to Winston Churchill's judgment, never equip her Fleet with a tachymettic reliable in regard to personalities, was system of anti-aircraft fire-control has 'irretrievably warped by h!is former naval yet to be satisfactorily explained. As to experience when, at the outset of the our submarines, the general naval view First World War, he had recalled the that 'the submarine is the weapon of the already senile 'Jacky' Fisher, with weaker power' prevailed; its place in a disastrous results for the Navy and the hierarchy of 'the Snstruments of sea country; he was, therefore content to power' headed by the battleship was auxiliary - useful for reconnaissance retain Sir Dudley Pound. and minelaying, with the opportune Naval aviation, submarine warfare, A/A damaging of enemy capital ships and We sinking of those already damaged by and A/S 'Depend upon it, Sir, when a man gunfire as a bonus. The fact that the knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, 'One Power Standard' meant that Britain it concentrates his mind mnderfully.' would be the weaker naval power at one The threat of armed aggression by the side of tbe world or the other seems not Axis powers had just this effect upon the to have been taken seriously into resolution of the main conflicts of naval, account, when considering the part which air and army professhnal opinion (except British submarines might play in a future for 'the indidsibility of air power') in war at sea. Britain as 1939 drew nearer, and our political leaders, whether in or out of Grand strategy The virtual collapse of the Geneva power, became frightened. Churchill, who in May 1936 had wfitten to Chatfield Conference on disarmament in October 'You ought 'to be able to prove . . . . that 1933, following Hitler's notice of German you can build battleships that you would withdrawal and her intention to leave not be afraid . . . . to send readily to sea the League of Nations, led the British in the teeth of mine, torpedo o r aero- government reluctantly to congider the plane', a year later was insisting, in the rnobilsation and deployment of the House of Commons, that 'the Fleet must nation's resources, together with the have absolute control in all its integrity enlistment of those of friendly powers, of all the aeroplanes . . . . which start for the defence of Britain and her from ships of war br aircraft cartiers'. Empire (now an amalgam of India, the But, in company with the majority of self-governing Dominions and the influential naval officers, Churchill Colonies) against German, and possibly accepted as the effective counter to a Japanese, aggression. France, Italy and fu'ture submarine menace the develop- the U.S.A. were to be taken as friendly 374 BOOK REVIEWS powers against whom no defensive preparations were thought necessary. A Defence Requirements Sub-committee of the Committee of Imperial Defence was set up, in the first instance to say what had to be done t o make good the deficiencies of the 'locust years' of economic stringency and idealistic disarmament. The D.R.C., as this Subcommittee was called, consisted of the Permanent Secretaries of the Treasury and the Foreign Office, the three Chiefs of Staff and, as Chairman, the Secretary of the Commlittee of Imperial Defence. Within three months this strong team had, despite important differences of opinion, made its first report. I t was not until five months later, Roskill records, that the Cabinet decided t o act upon the recommendations. The reasons for the delay, though instructive, do not forni part of a review of naval policy as such. What does emerge, however, from a study of the transition from 'making good deficiencies' to 'reluctant rearmament', is the absence of a coherent political formulation of Britain's objectives in the situation d t h which she was faced, sufficiently rigorous to bring into line the divergent appreciations of the respective Fighting Services, the Treasury and the Foreign Office, not to mention public opinion, when once this began to respond t o the perception of danger. As early as 1934, sufficient was known about the lines upon which the D.R.C. was working for Churchill to point out, during a debate in the House of Commons, that while the Navy regarded as predominant the threat from Japan, and particulaily to sea communications with Australia and New Zealand, the Army's first concern was to protect the North West Frontier of India, and the Air Force was matching itself against 'the nearest and most probable antagonist'. More naval conferences The conduct of naval policy before and dulting the Second London Naval Conference, 1935-1936, is dealt with, as was that of 1930, in a separate chapter. Once again Captain Roskill's impressive skill in recounting prolonged and tortuous negotiations is evident, and his summing up laptidary: The signature of the London Treaty on 25 March 1936 marked a watershed in the naval policy of the democratic nations, since the protracted negotiations and the withdrawal of Japan had shown beyond doubt that the era of naval limitation by agreement, initiated a t Washington in 1921-22 had come to an end. What now seems so strange, however, and difficult to explain, is that, as early as February 1934, the D.R.C. had described Germany as the country's 'ultimate potential enemy' and yet the impact made by Germany's revelation of plans to build six capital ships, 44,000 tons of carriers, eighteen cruisers, 37,500 tons of destroyers and 17,500 tons of submarines by 1942, ostens'ibly to confront Russia in the Baltic, was minimal. Indeed the Anglo-German naval agreement of 18 June 1935 could be justified, 5f a t all, purely as a tactical move to establish the lowest practicable 'benchmark' against which the 'pecking order' of the five existing major naval powers might be measured a t the immediately forthcoming London Naval Conference. Again Britain's failure to integrate the air, sea and land aspects of her rearmament programme was manifest. The chickens come home to roost As early as 1933 the Commander-inChief Mediterranean had become concerned about the defences, and espedially the air defence, of Malta, in view of Mussolini's expansionist aims. Nothing was done. When Italy invaded Abyssinia, therefore, in December 1934, not only did the Fleerthave to move to Alexandria, as the prospect of hostilit5es against Italy grew; but Chatfield felt bound to advise 375 BOOK REVIEWS the government, through the Committee of Imperial Defence, that an accommodation must be made with Italy, even although the outcome of a fleet acdon with the Italians was not in doubt. 'It is a disaster', Chatfield wrote to a naval colleague at this time, 'that our statesmen have got us into this quarrel with Italy, ~ % ougbt o to be our best friend because her position in the Mediterranean is a dominant one'. Certainly 'collective security' (not to be confused with 'collective defence', of which NATO is an expression) had failed. The next 'away match' on the prewar naval fixture list was Vhe Spanish Civil War. In dealing with this, as with the Abyssinian crisis, Captain Roskill deploys his recognised skill in blending the political, straltegic and naval operational and administrative factors into an eminently readable narrative. By this time the strain up011 senior officers was beginning to tell. Yet the performance of the Fleet, and especially of commanding officers, senior and junior, was of a sigh order. I t seems fair to put down to 9heer pressure of work what might be regarded as failure to note, from experience in hunting Italian submarines, that the performance of Asdic, when put to the operational test, fell far short of the '80% effic'iency' upon which was based the belief that the submarine was no longer a serious menace. Nor was faith in the air-defence capabil'ity of the Fleet shaken as it should have been. With the accession, on 6 November 1937, of Italy to the 'AntiComintern Pact' signed a year earlier by Germany and Japan, the line-up for war was complete - it was just a matter of wa'iting for the whistle. Tra'ining, exercising, prepating for a particular war and determining how it ~houldbe fought were the predominant features of naval policy during this final period, enlivened by the Munich cfisis - as good a rehearsal as any. Many members of The Naval Review will rdain vivid memories of the particular part they were called upon to play, and the feeling of inevitability akin to Greek tragedy which events called forth. I t is, perhaps, fitting to conclude this review of Captain Roskill's invaluable history of naval policy between the First and Second World Wars to note that it is dedicated to: The officers and men of the Royal Navy who fought in the Second World War, and in memory of those who gave their lives. M.N. - TO USE THE SEA READINGS IN SEAPOWER AND MARITIME AFFAIRS (Naval Institute Press, Annapolis, Maryland, 1973-£4.2513.) 1975 Supplement - 95p. These publications, of which the first appeared in 1973, are compilations of papers initially published, with one exception, between 1967 and 1974 in the Udted States Naval Institute Proceedings, the Naval Review (U.S. version) 'and the Naval War College Review. They ~epresent, h the words of the editors, 'a cross section of recent dews on the subjects of seapower and maritime affairs', intended as source books for 'seminar style analyds and study of these areas'. The editors add their hope that the books 'will be of value t o instructors and students alike.' The collection is a formidable one. I t is almost a truism that every difference between British and Ametican percep tions stems from differences of scale as between one side of the Atlantic and the other. George I11 failed to hoist it in: and even after two hundred years the sheer mass of American undertakings still catches Britons unawares. So it is with these 'Readings in Seapower and Maritime Affairs', as they are sub-titled. The forty-nine papers - amounting to someth5ng over 300,000 words - are grouped under broad headhgs, which 376 BOOK RE are insufficiently precise to avoid some invigorated by being grafted on to fresh overdlapping of subject matter between shoots of passing relevance or respectthem but which nevertheless suggest the ability but in most cases characteristically principal avenues of approach to a study revealed by a straining of the argument of the maritime factors that shape a as examples of special pleading for the nation's policy. In fact the headings may auehws' sacred cows. Of such are the do more, in that $hey suggest the basis papers on mining, aircraft carriers, d the current U.S. approach to the amphibious forces, conventional subsubject. The two books between them marines, and so on: the most lively is on include twelve papers under the heading anti-submarine warfare ('ASW - Now 'Sea Power', eleven under 'Tactics and or Never') and involves a fictitious desTools', six under 'The Influence of truction by Soviet submarine-launched Geography', four under 'Shipping', ten missiles of the U.S. strategic nuclear under 'The Soviets at Sea', and Six under capability, with no warning and in ten mlinutes flat, as reponted in The Times, 'Uses and Laws of the Sea'. Within each bracket there are wide an 'Admiralty Report', and a covering va~iations of length, depth, treatment letter from the Defence Minister to the and authotity. There is exhaustive and Prime Minister. Others are less enterdetailed analysis, supported by tables and taining. But in a full cover-to-cover reading of charts of doubtless impeccable authenticity, of certain aspects of each subject the two books (a daunting task which within the whole, from uses of the sea only an editor in pursuit of a review by nation and ship and cargo carried, would impose on any reader, for the by way of ship building and marine dlection is not a coherent whole) two investment, to comparisons of rail or three themes recur. They appear, not trackage, truck mileage, and inland by design but seemingly by accident, or waterway traffic in the Soviet Union, and at least by a process of more or less subcomparative maximum speeds versus cons@ious surfacing through the argulength in U.S. and Soviet warship ments about other things; to some extent designs. Some d the papers suffer from they claim identities entitling them to undue prdlixity of style, some from sheer study in their own right; and they leave banality, and some from highly one with intriguing questions begging Sndigest?ble admixtures of non-English further examination both as to their (where did Admiral Kidd, a sort of nature and their relative importance in Samuel Goldwyn of the 6bh Fleet, get the structure of maritime l~oliclies.The the verb 'to atttite'?): yet they reflect by first such theme is a dominant concern, and large a deep and very American wholly understandable yet only occasense of earnest professional purpose. sionally amounting to an obsession, with This does not always make them easy to the US.-Soviet super-power relationship. read: and the collection is by no means The general and well-informed dseven a simple anthology, let alone a cussiions of global maritime affairs are bedside book. I t can be seen not only as either abundantly spiced with, or quickly a contribution to the study of sea power focus on, consideration of the Soviet but also, perhaps more widely, as a factors in whatever context. This is source of inputs under any one of the obviously to be expected, but it has the Readings used into studies covered by effect of pointing up 'in stmng relief the virtues of one or two articles which another. Under one or two of these headings concentrate on the weaknesses of the - notably 'Tactics and Tools' - there Soviet position, notably in respect of such appear some elderly chestnuts, re- truths of maritime real estate as are 377 BOOK REVIEWS examined in 'The Constraints d Naval Geography on Sdid Naval Forces' and 'The Meaning and Significance of the Gorshkov Articles'. Anybody who has spent any time in the close proximity a t sea of Soviet wanhips will agree that the overall impression created by their operation is far from one of overwhelming efficiency, and the use of the heading 'The Soviets a t Sea', as well as a number of the papers under it, reveals a sound awareness of the need to study this facet of the whole. Equally there are lessons for such as us in a paper entitled 'Of Wars and Warriors (American Style)' in v&ich the author draws broad conclusions, whi& are well worth noting, on how to resist the dangerous tendency of modern industrial societies to eschew combat. But thinking in terms of superpower relationships does tend to predominate. Of the only four papers by non-U.S. authors, two (by Admiral Wegener of the Federal German Navy) are concerned ~ 5 t hthe %det threat, one ('Quo Vadis, Small Naval /Power?') is by a R.A.N. officer still pursuing the by now unfashionable chimera of an all-purpose big ship; and one is a magisterial lecture on 'The Objective in War', delivered by Ltddell Hart to the Naval War College in 1952, which concentrates more on past Germans than on present and future Soviets. For the rest, the tone is largely set by the Introduction. 'In strategic policy' it states in each book, 'U.S. thinking has been dominated by the theor'ies of Alfred Thayer Mahan for over half a century. The U.S.S.R. on the other hand has based its doctrine on Clausewitdan concepts of a "continental" or land strategy. As indicated by the growing Sloviet fleet, these traditional doctrinal concepts appear to be changing'. And indeed the power d the Soviets looms - not entirely unchallenged - over most horizons, though only one author ('Toward a Navy Second to One') allows himself really gloomy misgivings. But the place of what MARLOWFJ calls, in his current analysis in this journal, the 'middle maritime power', b almost whvlly ignored, and this suggests deficiencies not only in U.S. thinking but to the extent that they have so far failed to develop any strategic momentum of their own, le4 alone impact - in that of the middle maritime powers. A second strong theme concerns the place of merchant shipping in the complex of activities and interests which constitute sea power. To quote the paper which gives the whale collection its name - written be it said, by a retired U.S. Marine Corps Colonel - ' "Seapower", as the word will be employed in this discussion, connotes the merger of military strategy with the wmmercizll philosophy and aspirations of a given nation, and the resultant ability of that nation, at its discretion, to use the sea to further its ocean4mrne trade'. Amidst the welter of comparisons of bui'lding figures and tanker tonnages and freighting capacities, and through the blinding glimpses of the obvious 'The sea is liquid . . . Because the sea is liquid, it is capable of supporting the vehicles of the sea .') there emerges by fits and stilrts the question of whether or not M&an - who comes in, by and large, for some severe battering - was right in his argument on bow sea power was derived. On the way, there are of course innumerable arguments about what sea power means, as defined by practically everybody who has ever sought to define it: and indeed $he k u e of whether sea power is any more than what Corbett disdainfully called 'one of those ringing phases which haunt the ear while they continue to confuse the judgement', whether it is the parent or the offspring of commerce, may be regarded as academic. But perhaps the main interest of the question lies in the discussion set out in a paper baldly entitled 'Soviet Maritime Palides', in which the author argues with conviction the reasons for - .. 378 BOOK REVIEWS which Russia, with no history of maritime power and - as modern naval strategists constantly reiterate - with no need for a massive navy t o protect her trade, has been deliberately building up her merchant fleet at a rate far in excess of other major trading nations. Reflection on this reasoning, which includes condderations of politics, economics, and just influence, as wdl as on its apparently somewhat chicken-and-egg nature, pmmpts the question of whether the merchant shipping aspects of the western maritime posture receive as much attention, at least in Europe, as they should do. A third theme is less vibrant, and indeed if one is perhaps unduly sensitive to its resonance to begin with one may be accused of making more of its quantity and volume than is strictly there. But nobody concerned with the raw reality of global power relationships, with the operation of deterrent strategies the success of which is measured, as Dr. Kissinger has said, by 'things which don't happen', can afford to ignore the need t o develop thinking on how best to manage global Soviet power in all its man'ifestations: and where, outside the European glacis,these are not d~iplomatic, they are predominantly maritime. Thus, amongst much routine airing of such ideas as 'The Soviet Navy's Role in Foreign Pdlicy', $here is a refreshing vigour in the note sounded fsadly at somewhat inordinate length) by the author of 'Naval Presence - The Misunderstood Mission', even if there is small comfort in the thought that that sort of misunderstanding h not confined to the authorities in the United States. And the sections on 'Uses and Laws of the Sea' contain some thoughts not remarkable for their originality so much as for the witness they continually bear that in an age when overt aggression 'is the least likely mode in which host2lities are liable to break out, the area of operations at the contested boundaries of legally claimed rights or jurisdictions is the richest histotical source of postwar use of force. Thus again it is to some extent what is not written, or only obliquely emerges, which strikes the reader. And this is as it should be. No work such as this - certainly not $his one can be definitive: and its purpose should be to stimulate questions and discussion, 'seminar-style analysis' or no. These two books between them, lengthy and occasionally turgid as they are, contain much thait is useful, some of it new and original; and whilst I would hesitate to commend thelir purchase to any but the full-time - or temporarily full-time student of defence affairs they are worthy of a place in any naval library. P.M.S. REPORT BY THE HYDROGRAPHER OF THE NAVY FOR 1975 This report, as beautifully produced and illustrated as ever, and published by the Hydrographic Department at Taunton, in June, has already been reviewed in the leading newspapers but seems to have attracted little attention in the 'popular press', which is a pity. The report opens with a splendid portrait of Rear Admiral G . P. D. Hall, C.B., D.S.C., who, having reached the highest rank now open to an officer of the (H) branch and held the ancient and impofiant post of Hydrographer of the Navy for nearly the customary five years, was relieved on 12 September 1975 by Rear Admiral D. W. Haslam, O.B.E. The new Hydrographer faces the increasingly difficult task of meeting greatly increased commitments with decreasing resources, and in the face of the current defence cuts and indecision. The whole report is forty pages long and greatly exceeds in detail and information the average company report issued to shareholders. The Hydrographic Department is perhaps unique as a department of BOOK REVIEWS Admiralty as it sells 'its products and is a good source of income. In 1975, in addition to free issues to government departments, it has sold a total of 2,891,906 charts and 436,133 books, which include Admiralty Sailing Directions, Tide Tables, Light Lists, Lists of Radio Signals and many olther publications to assist the mariner in safe navigation. The Repod describes how, follow'ing on the 1974 Defence Review, the Government decided to re-assess the national requirement for hydrographic surveying and charting and, on 12 July 1974, announced the setting up of an inter-departmental working party, with non-governmental advice and representation, known as the Hydrographic Study Group. The terms of reference of this group were: (a) To consider the extent of the hydrographic task posed by the existing and developing needs of merchant shipping, offshore resource industries, and other commercial, scientific and public interests. (b) To identify the resources needed to meet $his task and the timescale in which they should be provided. (c) To establish the extent to which the resources in (b) above will need to be provided as an addition to those needed for defence purposes following the (1974) Defence Review. (d) To consider how the resources in (c) might be provided. Some of the factors involved may briefly be summarised thus: (a) Owing to the defence cuts, and the almost total withdrawal of the British ~ a v aforces l into home waters, the purely deLence needs for surveying and charting are said to be able to be met by a smaller survey fleet than exists at present. (b) Yet the Hydrographer of the Navy remains the principal charting authority for international world charting used by merchant vessels of all countdes, and 379 without which our trade as well as world trade would suffer an appalling setback. (c) Modern tankers may now draw up to sixty or seventy feet (eighteen or twenty-one metres), and the Hydrographic Study Group estimated that 284 ship-years of survey fleet work are necessary in home waters alone to bring our present Admiralty charts to the modern required standard, let alone the remainder. (d) The international (metrication) of all charts is throwing an enormously increased load on the understaffed cartographic (civilian) branch of the Hydrographic Department, Whose craftsmanship, skill and excellence is also under the same strain. There are, however, some signs that the Government are beginning to be aware of this latter need. (e) A new international system of buoyage will be introduced in 1977, spread over five years, involving tlie alteration of enormous numbers of Charts, over 200 of these being in N.W. Europe alone. 250 new editions will have to be produced in 1977 alone. (f) The technical and electronic developments are not only improving the potentials of survey work, but involve the personnel, the ultimate arbiters of efficiency, in ever more exacting trdining. In this connection the report highlights the activities of the R.N. Hydrographic School at Plymouth which trains not only our own (H) officers and Survey Recorders, but also those of many foreign navies. I t is one of the schools from which private firms engaged in the new lucraftiveoffshore industry indirectly draw many of their recruits. Though the entry of (H) officers and Survey Recorders is better, the other side of the picture is that the naval prospects of a career in the (H) branch do not seem at present to offer the inducements that 'the other side of the hill' offers; the turn over is too quick; and so .the professional nature of the branch is changing. 3 80 BOOK XLEVIEWS It is not the object of this short review, by a n 'outsider', to summarise this splendid report, but to stimulate readers, both those who already know the enormous potentials, as well as those who should but don't, to get hold of the report and read 'it for themselves and cast their weight into the balance before this long-established and world famous, almost unique little 'set-up' follows the declining trends of our ship-building, marine engineering and related branches of what was once, and still could be, British maritime excellence. As a way of life it offers a superb opportunity, and were I a young man I should grasp it with both hfands,and a lot of faith. The Hydrographer ends h5s report with the following words: Whilst attention throughout the year has been mostly concentrated on resolving the dilemma summarised in the Hydrographic Study Group Report of how t o fund the increasing demands to meet the national hydrographic task from a shrinking defence vote, the Hydrogmphic Department has continued to meet the mounting challenge - both at sea and on shore. There has been general recognition of the Hydrographer's significant contribution to the civil community and the importance of h5s national role, and of the crucial dependence of the country's economy on that role in supp0I.t of our present and future reliance on the sea. It is therefore to be hoped that this recognition will result in decisions as to the essential longterm funding before casualties occur at sea or disillusionment affects the morale of the men and women involved. A warning indeed to be heeded! The one cu?ious, obvious and serious omission from the Hydrographer's Report for 1975 is an indication of its availability and to whom it is addressed. It is didtributed within Government departments to press agencies, and I believe to some selected outside interests. Itt is not restricted, but it has no public circulation, and it Is not clear where an interested member of the public can obtain a copy. It should be available at every bookstall, and in every university, scientific establishment and careers service office. Try writing to the Hydrographic Department, at Taunton. I feel sure you'll get one direct. But do let the Department sell it, like they do their other productions. G.A.F. THE ROYAL NAVY IN THE W A R OF AMERICAN INDEPENDENCE by GERALD S. GRAHAM (Her Majesty's Stationery Office-£1.70) This essay is an international combined operation. Written by the well-known historian, a Canadian living 'r'n Britain, it is introduced in a foreword by Professor John R. Alden of Duke University, North Carolina, sponsored by the Matitime Museum and National embellished with illustrations largely from Greenwich. The result is one of the most refreshing efforts to mark the American Bicentennial that have appeared in @hexpants. Inter alia, it is notably free from an obsessive profitmaking motive and from the legends that shroud so much America history. Legends, however, are not confined to the western shores of the Atlantic. Some of us burnt-out veterans learned from Sir Geoffrey Callender's Sea Kings of Britain that the remlting colonists' greatest naval asset was our First Lord of the Admiralty, John, Fourth Earl of Sandwich. This view was largely folbwed by Admiral S.ir William James (then a Captain) in The British Navy in Adversity. The subsequent publication of 381 BOOK REVIEWS The Sandwich Papers has contributed to a more balanced judgment. As Professor Graham points out: 'Lethargy and shortsightedness were just as evident during the beginnings of every great war in the eighteenth century' and they have not been unknown 'in later years. Fierce politcal partisanship and divided sympathies accentuated the problems in this war, and when France, Spain and Holland came in, Britain faced a worldWide war without a single ally. I n the circumstances, it was remarkable that she emerged in better condition navally than her European enemies. Withholding of mast timber from America added to the difficulty of mainta'ining the Royal Navy, but Professor Graham gives this less weight than Robert G. Albion, who thought that 'the loss of the North American pines contributed . . . . materially t o the loss of the colonies which had hitherto produced them'. Professor Graham remarks that 'The "ifs" of history should be recreational pursuits, but during the War of American Tndependence they follow one another in temptingly impressive array.' It is hard to believe, however, that military defeat would long have ensured the Colonists' loyahty. One recalls a New Yorker cartoon in which one of the Founding Fathers remarks that even with representation, taxation has few attractions. Once the threat from French Canada was removed, surely the divisive factors must have multiplied. On the other hand, although in the nineteenth century Thoreau's New England blood was to boil at the thought of British redcoats remaining anywhere in North America, most Canadians were to welcome their presence as a safeguard against 'liberation' by American expansionists. Amongst a minor point or two on which this adm'irable essay might be challenged, one might perhaps consider the alleged limitations of New York as a base. Though the reported difficulties of pilotage prevented d'Estaing from attempting to enter in July 1778, Warren wrote Pn 1744 that 'ships of fifty and sixty guns may with care, at proper times of tide, come into the port of New York and careen pretty comfortably', and it was not until 1885 that dredging the Narrows was considered necessdry. Commander John R. Owen, 'Friend and Indispensable Counsellor', to whom this essay is dedicated, was in fact John Hely Owen, one of the editors of The Sandwich Papers. He was also an early member of The Naval Review, a regular contributor, a trustee and our Honorary Secretary from 1934 to 1939 when, on his recall to service, his wife took over until the end of the Second War. He continues to be missed by his friends. BEAVER THE FOUR ARK ROYALS by MICHAEL APPS (William Kimber-illus. £5.50) The name of a ship is very important; &ips companies live up to a great name. Lord Howard of Effingham and his company in the first Ark Royal bequeathed a great legacy in the lustre they gave the name of their ship. Three of (the Ark Royals were among the greatest shlips of their time. The other, ignom~iniouslyrenamed Pegasus, was a Il'tltle ship, which, as a seaplane carrier in the Kaiser's war, played a special part in naval history, being one of the first ships to provide the fleet with air cover. Michael Apps has wfitten a h'l'story of all four ships of the name in one book. The first chapter, Ralegh's (sic) Ark, is a highly readable 'history of the Armada, and the part played by the Ark Royal. It brings out the quality of the sailors, and the parsimonious attitude of the government, demonstrating that 'the battle could well have been lost by the English for want of powder and victuals. For me, this brought the story right up 3 82 BOOK RI to date. Wtars continue to be won by the quality of ships' companies, handicapped by the meanness of governments. After the first chapter the book is a historical narrative of the succeeding ships of the name, and is limited by the difficulty of adequately c o ~ r i n gsuch a vast subject in one volume. The account of the seaplane cartier and the third Ark Royal are first class, and most readable; even in this short account the author brings out, as he does throughout the book, the personalities of the people involved, and the personalities of the ships. I must point out that in hlis stirring account of the forlorn attack on the Scharnhorst at Trondheim in June 1940. when eight out of fifteen Skuas were lost, the author has misnamed the squadrons taking part. They were 803 and either 800 or 801; he does not mention 803. I happen to know because I was in 803 and got away from the fighters by flying down the backstreets of Trondheim in the mist. I could not put this book down, neiither, I suspect, will other old 'Ark Royals' be able to. I had tlhe feeling it may have been finished in a hurry, perhaps to catch up uiith the current television programme. Appendix 6 had me puzzled as it seemed for a time to be about the wrong ship, and it would have been valuable to have included detailed technical data of all four skips in a separate appendix. A list of the captains would have been of interest. A good book for naval libraries and historians, and a must for old 'Ark Royals', all of whom will be very grateful to the author. Perhaps he will write another book on just one of these ships. I would suggest Ark Royal 3. D.C.E.F.G. FIGHTING FLOTILLA H.M.S. Laforey and Her Sister Ships By PETERC . SMITH (William Kimber-£5.25) Asked by the 'L' Class Survivors Asso- ciation to write a history of the eight 'Laforeys' of the 19th D.F. in which they fought with distinction during World War 11, this prolific author has completed his task with all the enthusiasm and painstaking research with which readers of his other books on similar subjects have become familiar. I t is an interesting and often exciting story and the many well-chosen photographs are an evocative addition to the tale. Conceived in 1937 as the rearmament programme was getting under way, t'he 'L' class became the centrepiece of a fundamental argument within the Admiralty over the likely role of fleet destroyers in the coming struggle, the outcome of which resulted in half the class being armed with Cinch HA/LA t d n mountings whilst the other four ships received the new 4.7-inch twin mountings. The limited effectiveness of the latter weapons against aircraft (they could only elevate to fifty degrees) was compensated for in the final outcome by the fitting of a single 4-inch H A gun in place of the after set of torpedo tubes. Once a t sea the eight 'L's gave an excellent account of themselves in many major and minor actions. Almost all of these were in the Mediterranean where several successxs were achieved but A e r e in the end all but one of the gallant band were either sunk or damaged beyond repair by enemy action. Throughout these eventful years the flotilla had the gaod fortune to be commanded successively by two distinguished destroyer officers. The first of these was Captain R.M.J. ('Tubby') Hutton, and his widow has written a modest and charming Foreword to the book which helps to preserve the memory of a fine sea officer. Hutton was succeeded by Captain H.T. ('Beaky') Armstrong who went down with his ship when the flotilla lead~er, Laforey, was sunk by U-223 off Sicily in March 1944. This brief outline of the story of the 19th D.F. reveals the combination of BOOK ~ E V I E W S detailed teclhnical study, action reports and personal ~.emniniscences which the author has employed in his task. It is by no means an easy combination to mould into a balanced histofical narrative and it is unfortunate that Mr. Smith's stalwart efforts have been adversely affected by a slipshod style often relapsing into journalese, and by many minor misprints and errors of grammar and spelling. Whilst his proof readers must surely bear some of the blame for the latter, it is, nevertheless, hard to avoid the conclusion that the book was written in too much of a hurry. Despite these s'hortcomings the author has succeeded in giving us a fascinating glimpse of the problems of naval weapons and shipbuilding policies in the build-up period prior to 1939 and how the solutions adopted worked out in the stress of war. Three of the seven casualties of the flotilla were caused by aircraft bombing and all of these were from the group armed with those dual purpose guns which were supposed to give them a better chance against air attack. The answer is, surely, that the Btitish weapon technology of the late thirties failed to produce a truly effective anti-aircraft defence for small surface warships. M.G.C. HISTORICAL SIMON'S TOWN by B.B. and B. G . BROCK(Eds.) (A.A. Balkema, Rotterdamapprox. £17.45) Travellers passing through Simonstown on their way to Cape Point or rounding Cape m i n t by sea, on passage to this small historic dockyard town, may well be forgiven for thinking that tbey are sedng the most southern point of Slouth Africa. That they are mistaken is, of course, because False Bay, as its name implies, gives a very false geograpb5cal impression of this beautiful point that rises so majestically out of the sea. All this is admirably described in the first and to me, most interesting part of 383 this 'book Historical Simon's Town. I t contains some excellent diagrams, which illustrate the prevailing winds and currents, the hazards and shelter which the bay provides by its unique podition. Simon's Town has, of course, a long and happy tradition, now sadly ended, as a base for the Royal Navy. l 3 e next three parts of this book trace the history of the Royal Navy's presence in a series of articles, extracts, vignettes and reminiscences, many of which are excellent. Tucked away in the second part of this historical review is a shoft artide entitled 'Simon's Town's Part in Maritime Strategy'. Tltis to my mind is an opportunity missed. If such a wide and important subject is t o have a @lace at all in this history book, then it deserves a chapter to itself. With Soviet Russia's naval presence making itself increasingly felt in the southern oceans of the world, Simon's Town may well find itself making greater history than ever before. My other criticism of this otherwise brave attempt to cover history, geography and architecture in one volume, is in the way it is presented. I find the gimmick of splitting the printed page down the middle disconcerting. The articles become fragmented to a degree that makes concentration difficult. But to finish on a word of praise. The photographic reproducrions and diagrams are generally excellent and I entirely agree with Admiral Bierman when he says in his foreword: 'As the main base of the South African Navy, it is well that officers and men of the Navy should know as much as possible of the place in which they work.' I n common with many other officers and men of the Royal Navy, I have very happy memories of Simon's Town and I wish the authors and publisher wlell in their endeavour. But whether it will have an appeal t o naval readers at E17.45 a copy is debatable. J.M.D.G. New Members The following have been enrolled as new members during the past six months: ADAIR,A. A. S. ... BOYD, A. J. C. ... DAY,M. W. F. ... ... ... ... DAY, R. I. DUKE,T. R. M. . . . . . . GAUGHT, T. M. ... ... HENRY,E. G. ... ... JONES,R. J. S. ... ... LIARDET,G. F. ... ... LYSTER-TODD,G. P. ... MCCALLUM,D. N. ... MERYON,R. J. K., BSC MORRISON,C. J. N. ... ORR,A. S. P., VRD ... OWEN, H. D., CMG ... ... PAINE,R. C. ... PEARSON, M. E. ... ... PUGH,D. W., DSC, MD, FRCP SELL, A. E. ... ... STYLE,C . R. . . . . . . TAYLOR,K. I. . . . . . . TAYLOR, W. R. de C. M., MA ... ... TILL, G. ... WALLINGTON-SMITH, A. M. WELLSACOLE, C. P. IN. ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Lieutenant Lieutenant Lieutenant RNR Lieutenant Commander Midshipman Lieut. Commander RANR Sub-Lieut. (S) RNR Commander Sub Lieutenant Lieutenant Lieutenant Lieutenant Captain RNR Captain Lieut. Commr. Sub-Lieut. Surgeon Commr. RNR Lieutenant RANR Sub-Lieutenant Major R.M. Chaplain Sen. Lecturer R.N.C. Sub-Lieutenant Lieut. Commr. Prize membership for a period of two years has been awarded to: CUNNINGHAM, J. R. HAWKINS,J. L. ... LEWIS, T. A. W., BA MCLAREN,N. ... NICHOLLS,D. R. RATTRAY,W. P. ROWE, A. ... TENNANT, M. S. ... TROTT, P. A. . . . . WARNETT,D. L. WILLS, J. R. . . . . ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. ... .. ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... Sub-Lieut. (X) (Reg) Sub-Lieut. Lieutenant Sub-Lieut. (M.S.) Sub-Lieut. Sub Lieut. (E) (ME) Sub-Lieut. Lieutenant Sub-Lieut. Sub-Lieut. Sub-Lieut. T W O NEW NAVAL BOOKS FROM A R M S & ARMOUR PRESS British Battleships / BRITISH BATTLESHIPS OF WORLD WAR 2. ALAN RAVEN AND JOHN ROBERTS. 1 The Development and technical history of the Royal Navy's battleships and battle cruisers from 1911 to 1946. This large and lavishly-illustrated volume presents a comprchensivc account of the design and construction of the Britis'h battleships that served in the Second World War - from the Queen Elizabeth class to Vanguard. Much of the information contained, in this bcok, which is the result of exhaustive research conducted over many years, is published for the first time, for only recently have official documents of the period been made available to the public. British Battleships o f World War Two is therefore unique in making available the full story of the design and construction of every battleship and battlecruiser class of the period as first built, together with all details of the various refits and reconstructions that each vessel underwent during its service life. The contents also include a comprehensive review of developments in weapons, gunnery, fire-control, radar, protection and propulsion, taking in every aspect of battleship design and usage; and there are sections devoted to the actions involving British battleships during the Second World War, and to comparisons between the Btitish battleships and their counterparts in other navies. Complementing the text are some three hundred photographs, which in themselves constitute a history of the vessels. These are supplemented by numerous superb specially-drawn sets of plans and elevations - fully detailed and based on the official builders' plans - comprising over three hundred individual drawings. They depict the ships not only in their "as built" configurations, but show also the many modifications and a,lterations carried out dufing their careers. British Battleships o f World War Two is a magnificent volume and takes its place as the definitive work of reference on the subject. With over 600 illustrations including 16 fold-out pages and four pages in full colour E19.95 (+f1.35 postage) AVAILABLE NOVEMBER 1976 ARMS 81 ARMOUR PRESS, 2-6 HAMPSTEAD HIGH ST., LONDON N.W.3. PUBLISHERS OF MILITARY NAVAL AND AVIATION BOOKS WARSHIPS OF THE IMPERIAL JAPANESE NAVY 1869 to 1945 Hansgeorg Jentschura, Dietor Young, and Peter Mickel. This authoritative book is a detailed reference guide to the ships of the Imperial Japanese Fleet, which came into being with the establishment of modern Japan in 1869. For the first time in the English language, it provides an accurate guide to the meteoric rise of the Japanese Navy, from humble beginnings to its of the world, and its ultimate possession recognition as one of the major sea of the largest battleships ever to sail the seas. The work of three distinguished German naval researchers and the result of many years of original research, Warships of the Imperial Japanese Navy, 1869-194.5, provides details of battleships, battlecruisers, cruisers, aircraft carriers, escort carriers, gunboats, torpedo boats, submarines, combatant auxiliaries, mine-laying craft, submarine chasers, landing ships, and support and transport ships of all types. Illustrated throughout with nearly 400 general-arrangzment drawings, the book also contains some two hundred photographs, many of which have never before been published. This translation is a revised and expanded edition of Die Japanischen Kriegsschifle, 1869-1945, including additional material and drawings supplied by the authors, as well as data from British and other sources provided by the translators, both of whom are well-known naval historians and experts on naval matters. The result is a major new naval reference work, which provides a unique and immensely detailed ship encyclopaedia of one of the world's greatest navies. E12.95 (+f 1 postage) I) AVAILABLE EARLY 1977 HOW TO OBTAIN. ARMS Et ARMOUR PRESS BOOKS CAN BE OBTAINED FROM ALL GOOD BOOKSELLERS INCLUDING W. H. SMITH and J. MENZIES, AND FROM SPECIALIST BOOKSELLERS INCLUDING : A. J. SIMMONDS, BIVOVAC, HERSANTS, GIEVES, THE NAVAL BOOK CO. I N CASE OF DIFFICULTY PHONE 01 794 8821. If ordering by mail include prices shown in brackets. ARMS & ARMOUR PRESS, 2-6 HAMPSTEAD HIGH ST., LONDON N.W.3.