the IrvIngs - The Globe and Mail
Transcription
the IrvIngs - The Globe and Mail
the Irvings What happens when one family owns a province The Wek era is officially over Amazon’s global takeover continues the jerk conundrum betting on the ponies the CN Tower turns forty cracked Pick-and-pay cable is coming soon to a small screen near you TV will never be the same march 2016 DM161782_PgOFC_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 1 16-02-10 9:40 AM S:7.125” INTRODUCING THE STRIKINGLY REDESIGNED 2016 LEXUS GS Every inch of the 2016 Lexus GS has been built to exceed expectation. Bolder, more aggressive lines emanate from its unique spindle grille, hinting at its powerful 3.5-Litre, 24-valve 311-HP engine. The interior is a deft balance of premium finishes like wood trim and a heated leather-wrapped steering wheel and technical comforts like a 12.3” LCD display. Experience the 2016 Lexus GS for yourself today. AMAZING IN MOTION ONE PART COMMANDING. NO PART COMPROMISED. S:10” DM161782_PgIFC_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 1 LEX-15GS022-M7.indd 1 16-02-03 10:58 9:32 AM 2016-01-25 AM COVER PHOTOGRAPHED exclusively for report on business magazine by c.j. burton; (Top) Karen Stentaford contents 03/16 Features 38 Company province, provincial company The bitter debate over the Energy East pipeline places New Brunswick’s reclusive Irvings on the national stage. It’s an awkward moment for the feuding family. /By Bruce Livesey 32 What’s wrong with this picture? Ottawa’s move to allow consumers to pick cable TV stations à la carte amounts to one big bundle of questions for the industry. First and foremost, who’s going to survive? /By James Bradshaw 48 The big shrink What explains the falling fortunes of the independent brokerages that once gave Bay Street its buzz? One memo blames “the amorphous blob that is the bank oligopoly.” /By Tim Kiladze 54 Your business here The cloud is a wonderful place where our software and data migrate so we don’t have to worry about them. Or maybe it’s a place where Amazon stealthily continues its global takeover. /By Iain Marlow march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 1 DM161782_Pg01-03_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 1 16-02-08 9:20 AM TAG HEUER CARRERA CALIBRE HEUER 01 Chris Hemsworth works hard and chooses his roles carefully. He handles pressure by taming it, and turning it to his advantage. #DontCrackUnderPressure was coined with him in mind. TH 01071-16 ReportOnBusiness_March.indd 1 DM161782_Pg02_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 2 1/28/16 9:40 AM 16-02-03 10:00 AM 03/16 CONTENTS DEPARTMENTS 5 Feedback 9 The Interview Not content to merely head the Canadian Football League, Jim Lawson aims to bring back the horse-racing crowds for Woodbine Entertainment Group 12 Graphic Details No wonder pension funds are going to the dogs: All that kibble and veterinary care adds up to billions 54 photographs (top) john kealey; (right) Dennis Robinson/The Globe and Mail; (bottom) Clinton Hussey 14 Venture After years of roaring start-up success, Craigslist challenger VarageSale needs to keep its army of moms onside 16 Made in Canada You want an umbrella that won’t go inside out in the wind? Then cough up for Vancouver-made quality 24 Architecture Hail to a very tall Toronto structure, a “monstrous dart,” on its 40th birthday. Guess which building we mean? 26 Disruption Beware the successful platform. Case in point: WeChat. What started out merely messaging now owns a large chunk of China’s e-commerce Ottawa’s Shopify has relied on cloud storage ever since the firm began around 2004 28 Corporate Governess Generally, telecommuting is good…until it’s not. Specifically, it’s a great way to get that annoying jerk out of the office 29 Reguly Pure electric vehicles are no longer imaginary. But their supposed benefits still aren’t for real This issue contains 18 dogs (4 painted) 1 1 Horse Metallic Bull-Shaped BarbeCue And 30 Investing American workers’ share of the pie is growing: That’s good. But what this portends is not so good 60 Exit Interview Every business school teaches students the numbers. Peggy Cunningham is proud to have also taught hers how to behave photo shoots in 6 provinces and 2 U.S. states Distinctly Canadian: a Vancouver umbrella, a Toronto tower march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 3 DM161782_Pg01-03_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 3 16-02-08 9:20 AM Globe eBooks March 2016, Volume 32, No. 7 Editorial Editor gary salewicz Managing Editor Judith PereirA Senior Editors dawn calleja, john Daly, Ted mumford Copy Editor jeanette king Research catherine dowling, dawn promislow, charles rowland, anna-kaisa walker Art Art Director domenic macri Associate Art Director BRENNAN HIGGINBOTHAM Director of Photography Clare vander meersch Contributors Navneet Alang, david berman, Richard Blackwell, James Bradshaw, steve brearton, antony hare, Diane jermyn, TiM Kiladze, Bruce Livesey, Mark mann, Iain Marlow, Ian McGugan, eric Reguly, Alec scott, sean stanleigh, doug steiner, patrick white, shirley won Advertising Chief Revenue Officer ANDREW SAUNDERS Business Manager, Magazines rolfe jones Advertising Co-ordinator, Marketing Solutions Group sonja tasovska oi po H co wi th do isn th fro de at an Bi wh de to Production Director, Production sally pirri Production Co-ordinator isabelle cabral Publisher phillip crawley Editor-in-Chief, The Globe and Mail david walmsley Report on Business magazine is published 10 times a year by The Globe and Mail Inc., 444 Front St. W., Toronto M5V 2S9. Telephone 416-585-5000. Letters to the Editor: [email protected]. The next issue will be on April 1. Copyright 2016, The Globe and Mail. Indexed in the Canadian Periodical Index. Advertising Offices Head Office, The Globe and Mail, 444 Front St. W., Toronto M5V 2S9 Telephone 416-585-5111 or toll-free 1-866-999-9237 Branch Offices Montreal 514-982-3050, Vancouver 604-685-0308, Calgary 403-245-4987 General Toronto 416-585-5111, fax 416-585-5641; Montreal 514-982-3050, fax 514-982-3074; Vancouver 604-685-0308, fax 604-685-7549; toll-free 1-866-999-9ads(237); e-mail: [email protected] United States, Mexico and Caribbean Publicitas Inc., New York, New York 212-946-0219, fax 212-599-8292, e-mail: [email protected] Publications mail registration No. 7418. The publisher accepts no responsibility for unsolicited manuscripts, transparencies or other material. Printed in Canada by Transcontinental Printing Inc. Prepress by DMDigital+1. Report on Business magazine is electronically available through subscription to Factiva.com from Factiva, at factiva.com/factiva or 416-306-2003. tgam.ca/r CPWM013 DM161782_Pg04-05_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 4 16-02-08 11:31 AM 9 0, Feedback MAD ABOUT OIL In his column “Running on empty,” Eric Reguly urged big Western oil companies to diversify their portfolios or risk extinction. His opinions ignited a spirited conversation: While people will debate the speed at which the world moves away from oil dominance, the trending direction isn’t in dispute. It reminds me of the auto industry moving away from North American production decades ago. This comment attracted responses, both pro and con: Post du jour, mon ami! Big Oil is going the way of buggy whips, top hats and home milk delivery. Another reader begged to differ: We are using more oil year over year. Remember those three-billion-plus people living in poverty in the Third World. They want a middle-class lifestyle too. The last word goes to this reader: We behave as if fossil fuels will last forever, as if transition is a matter of choice. Geology tells us otherwise. RENT OR BUY? In “The final install,” Mark Mann examined the rising tide of software makers that rent their apps over the Web. Most commenters were not in favour: In other words, instead of having customers pay for something once, force them to start paying for it on a regular basis. No, thanks. A former network engineer waded in: Installation and maintenance is a breeze, for sure, but the speed What you were reading on the Web this month 24% Running on empty: Big Oil needs a bigger vision 21% Ex-CEO of Lululemon makes her new pitch: high-end frozen food 18% The sixth annual Invest Like a Legend issue 15% Slow plane to China: B.C.’s Harbour Air eyes massive market 13% The final install: Say goodbye to buying software 9% Other and robust functionality of a native coded application is just not there…Shifting to the cloud is just plain dumb. Not so, wrote a small business operator: The biggest cost for me was software upgrades. I finally shut down because I could no longer afford major upgrades every six months. digging deep Perhaps the best line goes to this reader, commenting on our interview with coal king Bob Murray: Maybe he’ll dig up a dinosaur that looks just like him. Correction An article on Harbour Air in the last issue of Report on Business magazine included an incorrect surname for the company’s president. He is Peter Evans, not Peter Blake as published. WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF REPEAT ITSELF? Stocks. Bonds. Cash. Real estate. No matter where you invest, you need to recognize the cycles that have occurred throughout history. That’s how Cumberland has consistently grown and protected the capital of some of Canada’s most established individuals, families and foundations. Talk to one of our Portfolio Managers and find out what Cumberland Private Wealth Management can do for you. 1 800 929 8296 Cumberlandprivate.com Cumberland Private Wealth Management Inc. 99 Yorkville Avenue, Suite 300, Toronto, ON M5R 3K5 CPWM013_Production_Cumberland_ROB_HP_v1.indd 1 DM161782_Pg04-05_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 5 2016-01-25 12:16 PM 16-02-08 10:08 AM the Quality factor When it comes to investing, quality isn’t always obvious. Identifying high-quality opportunities takes effort and insight. At Invesco, we’ve invested our time in developing strategies that make quality investments stand out from the crowd. Learn why quality matters. Visit www.invesco.ca/quality. Commissions, management fees and expenses may all be associated with investments in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Unless otherwise indicated, rates of return for periods greater than one year are historical annual compound total returns including changes in unit value and reinvestment of all distributions, and do not take into account any brokerage commissions or income taxes payable by any unitholder that would have reduced returns. ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Please read the prospectus before investing. Copies are available from Invesco Canada Ltd. at www.powershares.ca. DM161782_Pg06_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 6 16-02-08 9:43 AM Advertorial Overlooked qualities Investments that experience higher volatility have the potential to erode principal much more quickly than lower-volatility investments. With smaller losses in down markets, lowvolatility stocks don’t have to rise as much in value in order to recover their pre-downturn value. Not all low-volatility strategies are the same As global equity markets continue to convulse, the perils of tracking a capitalization-weighted benchmark index have been laid bare once again. A benchmark doesn’t seek to boost an investor’s exposure to undervalued securities, nor is it able to tap into other qualities overlooked by the market, such as lower volatility. The benchmark simply follows the herd. Many investors build their portfolios with strategies that simply track the benchmarks. But investing isn’t about achieving average results; it’s about achieving goals. Many investors may be hoping to reduce the volatility of their portfolios, but simply holding cash could jeopardize many investment plans. A central tenet of finance is that investors seeking to reduce risk must accept reduced returns. Yet research suggests a portfolio of less-volatile stocks tends to provide a degree of protection during broad market declines while still participating in subsequent rallies.† Critical differences Managing volatility is critical to investment success because volatility has the potential to wear away capital quickly. When choosing a low-volatility strategy, it is important to consider the qualities that go into that strategy. While some low-volatility indices have sector constraints that prohibit them from straying too far from their parent index, the low-volatility indices created by Standard & Poor’s (S&P) have the ability to dynamically rotate in and out of sectors as volatility dictates. This allows S&P low-volatility indices to adjust to market conditions in a more timely fashion, focusing exclusively on volatility, without arbitrary constraints. For example, PowerShares S&P/TSX Composite Low Volatility Index ETF (TLV) employs an unconstrained rebalancing approach. By adhering to this methodology, TLV’s underlying portfolio began to reduce its energy weighting in September 2014 as volatility in the energy sector started to spike. By March 2015, the energy weighting in the portfolio had been completely eliminated. An investment tracking the capweighted benchmark would have reduced its exposure to the energy sector but still held roughly 20% of assets in the struggling sector. A constrained low-volatility strategy, bound to deviate only slightly from the benchmark, would have maintained its exposure to energy, even as the sector continued to fall through the latter half of 2015 and into 2016. Between June 30, 2014 and January 31, 2016, volatility spiked repeatedly. In August 2015, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (or VIX) hit levels not seen since 2011, the last previous period of major volatility. During this period, TLV captured only 75% of the S&P/TSX Composite Index’s volatility, outperforming the benchmark by 18.29 percentage points and demonstrating the value of a lowvolatility strategy. Cumulative return Name PowerShares S&P/TSX Composite Low Volatility Index ETF (TLV) S&P/TSX Composite Index Low-volatility advantage June 30, 2014 to Jan. 31, 2016 7.05% -11.24% +18.29% Energy weight in low-volatility and cap-weighted indices (June 30, 2014–January 31, 2016) Index value Feb. 2016 Jan. 2016 Dec. 2015 Nov. 2015 Oct. 2015 Sept. 2015 Aug. 2015 July 2015 June 2015 May 2015 150 April 2015 200 0 March 2015 250 5 Feb. 2015 300 10 Jan. 2015 15 Dec. 2014 350 Nov. 2014 400 20 Oct. 2014 450 25 Sept. 2014 500 30 Aug. 2014 35 July 2014 Energy weight (%) – Energy weight in S&P/TSX Low Volatility Index (left-side measure) – Energy weight in S&P/TSX Composite Index (left-side measure) – S&P/TSX Energy Total Return Index level (right-side measure) Sources: Invesco and Bloomberg L.P., as at January 31, 2016. You cannot invest directly in an index. Performance of PowerShares S&P/TSX Composite Low Volatility Index ETF (TLV), as at January 31, 2016: 1-yr, -1.73%; 3-yr, 8.42%; and since inception (April 5, 2012), 9.26%. Performance of the S&P/TSX Composite Index, as at January 31, 2016: 1-yr, -9.88%; 3-yr, 3.44%; 5-yr, 1.86%; 10-yr, 3.65%; and since inception of the ETF (April 5, 2012), 4.95%. Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. S&P® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC and has been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and sublicensed for certain purposes by Invesco Canada Ltd. TSX is a trademark of TSX Inc. (“TSX”) and has been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and Invesco Canada Ltd. The S&P/TSX Composite Low Volatility Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, and has been licensed for use by Invesco Canada Ltd. Invesco Canada Ltd.’s PowerShares Index ETFs are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, its affiliates, LSTA, or TSX and none of such parties make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such product. Because the underlying index (the “Index”) is comprised of the 50 least-volatile stocks in the S&P/TSX Composite Index (the “broader index”), the Index is expected to have less volatility than the broader index from which it is drawn. However, the Index will not have the same performance as the broader index, and its performance over any given period may be better or worse than that of the broader index from which it is drawn. Invesco is a registered business name of Invesco Canada Ltd. Invesco® and all associated trademarks are trademarks of Invesco Holding Company Limited, used under licence. PowerShares®, Leading the Intelligent ETF Revolution® and all associated trademarks are trademarks of Invesco PowerShares Capital Management LLC (Invesco PowerShares), used under licence. Trimark®, Knowing pays® and all associated trademarks are trademarks of Invesco Canada Ltd. © Invesco Canada Ltd., 2016 † DM161782_Pg07_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 7 16-02-08 9:44 AM DM161782_Pg08_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 8 16-02-03 10:05 AM 03/16 Going batty Renaissance man Frank D'Angelo directs and stars in Sicilian Vampire page 27 Business Intelligence Pension funds: In for a dog’s age? • A mom-friendly variant of Craigslist • WeChat = WeChamp • Electric vehicles emit baloney The Interview Horse latitude To bring the excitement back to thoroughbred racing in Ontario, Jim Lawson is betting on a casino photograph ryan stone A career can take you a lot of places—even, if you’re Jim Lawson, back in time to reconnect with your late father. At 20, Mel Lawson became the youngest quarterback to win a Grey Cup (for a forerunner of the Hamilton Tiger Cats); he played hockey for the Toronto Marlies (under coach Harold Ballard); he worked his whole life, well into his 80s, at the family business, a lumberyard in Hamilton, while also fielding horses that won 46 stakes races. “He was of that generation that worked one job their whole lives, that believed in loyalty, in being proud of what you sold,” says his son, recently appointed head of the Woodbine Entertainment Group (WEG). “Our careers don’t follow that path much any more.” The younger Lawson is his own case in point: Now in his late 50s, he’s on career number four. After undergrad (at Brown), he played pro hockey with a Montreal Canadiens farm team. In the ’80s and ’90s, he earned partnership at two blue-chip Bay Street law firms, papering the real-estate deals of the likes of Peter Munk and Paul Reichmann. In the 2000s, he went client-side, helping Canada’s richest woman, the Thomson heiress Sherry Brydson, run her investment firm, Westerkirk Capital, earning as much as $2 million annually in salary and bonuses. So far, so good. But after his father died, in 2011, things fell Jim Lawson feels that one thing horseracing needs is more owners (like himself) march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 9 DM161782_Pg09-10_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 9 16-02-10 9:30 AM 03/16 markedly over the last decade— one set of estimates has them falling 20%, from over $1 billion in 2008 to just over $800 million in 2014. (2) With a flagship stadium built in the 1950s, much of Woodbine’s physical plant looks tired. Its vast bleachers are seldom filled except on Queen’s Plate day. “You would not build Woodbine today with 12,000 seats,” Lawson admits. The industry is still reeling from the shock it received in 2012, when the provincial Liberal government started relieving tracks of their lifesustaining slot machines (owned by the Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corp., or OLG). After much squawking from the industry, Queen’s Park agreed to give it a subsidy of $100 million per year until 2018. To ensure WEG’s post-subsidy survival, Lawson and his team sought and won approval from the City of Toronto to build a full casino at Woodbine. “The sooner we break ground, the better,” he says. WEG will get a cut from whichever gaming firm OLG chooses to build the casino. The facility is projected to apart, at least for a bit. In 2012, Brydson let Lawson go, and he’s currently suing—and being sued—over the termination. After that unceremonious exit, Lawson got the nod to run his father’s league, becoming chairman of the CFL’s Board of Governors and also filling in briefly as commissioner. And, early last year, he became CEO of the outfit that runs the track where his family’s horses have often won, showed and placed over the years. (1) In both roles, he’s tried to figure out how Canadian sporting events can retain buzz and earn money in an increasingly international market. “The power of the NFL, the live-streaming of races from Europe, from big U.S. courses like Gulfstream and Santa Anita—it’s a constant barrage,” he says. “How do we compete?” His starting point: You don’t carry on as you have been. “Complacent” is an adjective he uses multiple times to describe the state of WEG when he took it over early last year, replacing Nick Eaves. Revenues at all of Ontario’s 17 tracks have declined 1. Lawson owns a thoroughbred filly, Cozshecan, which finished first in a race last fall, but was taken off the podium for bumping another horse mid-ride. 2. WEG hasn’t felt the same hit as the industry as a whole, with its racing revenues holding steady in the $700-million range for much of the last decade. 3. Just how solid a revenue stream won’t be known to the public: WEG only discloses its complete financials to government regulators. bring in about $650 million in gross gaming revenues initially, with potential for growth to over $1 billion. “There’s a 20-year agreement in place, which should give a solid revenue stream,” Lawson says. (3) (Skeptics might say that such projections need to be taken with a grain of salt in an arguably built-out business.) Some racing purists have criticized the casino plan, but Lawson sees no other viable option—indeed, he’s also working on getting a casino authorized at WEG’s other big track, Mohawk, in Milton, west of Toronto. Lawson inherited his interest in horses early, from his father, but he says he’s worried about getting today’s young generation into it. “If we build the entertainment district we’re thinking of—live music, dining, theatre—we think we can draw people, millennials here. But the industry as a whole is facing a shortage of horses. Getting the up-and-coming generation interested in the big investment of owning a horse is an absolute necessity.” /Alec Scott Dow 500 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1 9 97 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 On Oct. 19, 1987, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged by more than 500 points—the biggest one-day percentage drop ever. It turned out to be a bottom, but markets were rattled for years afterward. Since then, there have been 16 one-day drops of at least 500 points. This past Jan. 20, the Dow sank 550 points by lunchtime, then surged back. Some investors barely noticed. Five hundred points isn’t that big a deal any more. % 0 ▼ 504 PT 5 ▼ 513 PT ▼ 508 PT ▼ ▼ ▼ 531 PT 588 PT (Aug. 21) 520 PT (Aug. 24) ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ (Sept. 15) ▼ (Aug. 4) 635 PT (Aug. 10) ▼ 618 PT 514 PT ▼ ▼ (Oct. 7) 513 PT (Apr. 14) (Aug. 8) (Oct. 22) 778 PT 685 PT 554 PT (Aug. 31) 679 PT 680 PT 733 PT (Sept. 29) (Sept. 17) (Oct. 27) 10 (Oct. 9) (Oct. 15) (Dec. 1) 15 Asian currency crisis 20 ▼ 508 PT (Oct. 19) Russian economic crisis U.S. inflation report is higher than expected First day of trading after 9/11 Lehman Brothers collapses on Sept. 15, triggering the 2008-2009 financial crisis and bear market Global economic jitters. Standard & Poor’s downgrades the U.S. credit rating to AA+ from AAA Chinese economic growth slows The next biggest percentage decline ever was Black Monday: Oct. 28, 1929. The Dow dropped 38 points (12.8%) to 261, ushering in the Great Depression 10 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg09-10_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 10 16-02-09 9:44 AM Trim: 7.875" x 10.75" Bleed: 8.125" x 11" Safety: 7" x 10" Colours: CMYK V.O.: Built: 22/02/16 – MS Enriched Thinking isn’t just about seeing the big picture, but all the little ones too. TM Scotia Wealth Management is an innovative team-based approach to wealth management that addresses the entirety of your life–your family, your business, your future–one facet at a time. From financial counsel on guiding your wealth to careful contemplation of how to transfer it to future generations, it’s your thinking, combined with our thinking, to create Enriched Thinking . TM ScotiaWealthManagement.com Enriched Thinking TM ® Registered trademark of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under licence. ™ Trademark of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under licence. Scotia Wealth Management™ consists of a range of financial services provided by The Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank®); The Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Company (Scotiatrust®); Private Investment Counsel, a service of 1832 Asset Management L.P.; 1832 Asset Management U.S. Inc.; Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc.; and ScotiaMcLeod®, a division of Scotia Capital Inc. Scotia Capital Inc. is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada. DM161782_Pg11_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 11 16-02-03 9:58 AM 03/16 Graphic Details Animal house Some of the world’s biggest pension funds are betting that businesses engaged in the care and feeding of dogs and cats are a smart place to invest their money. They might just be right. Biggest pet deals $8.3 billion (U.S.) PetSmart Inc., the largest pet-store chain in the U.S., was bought by a group led by BC Partners a year ago. It was the biggest leveraged deal for an American company in 2015. In addition to BC Partners, the consortium includes Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec and StepStone. 7.9 million cats in Canada 5.9 million dogs in Canada Owners that consider their pets as part of the family 89%86% Retail sales of pet food in Canada ($millions) dog72.5 cat other 720.3 67.9 542.6 $4.6 billion (U.S.) $520 million (CAD) The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan’s The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board private capital group bought U.S. and private equity group CVC Capital Partners veterinary business acquirer PetVet are acquiring San Diego-based retailer Petco Care Centers in January, 2015 Animal Supplies Inc. $595 1,080.7 $100 million (CAD) 799.8 Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. bought Oakville, Ontariobased PetHealth Inc. this past summer 20062016 Top 3 Most Popular Breeds (for the past three years, in Canada and the U.S.) million (U.S.) Value of the pet insurance market, according to the North American Pet Insurance Association 3% Pets that are insured in Canada 1 1% Pets that are insured in the U.S. 2 Labrador retriever German shepherd + = Dog math Cocker spanielPoodle $2 million in China in 2014, making it the priciest dog ever purchased Golden retriever + = Cockapoo A Tibetan mastiff puppy reportedly sold for over 3 Golden retrieverPoodle Goldendoodle + Maltese = Shih Tzu Mal-Shi 12 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg12_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 12 16-02-04 9:31 AM If you value your property, insure it with professionals. The Chartered Insurance Professional (CIP) designation is recognized as the benchmark of professionalism in the property and casualty insurance industry in Canada. Acquiring the CIP demands several years of rigorous study and adherence to a strict code of conduct. Awarded exclusively by the Insurance Institute, the designation indicates that the CIP is well qualified to provide professional service. If you want to be assured your insurance needs are being handled by qualified professionals—look for CIP after their names. Be assured. DM161782_Pg13_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 13 Learn more at BeAssured.ca 16-02-03 3:16 PM 03/16 Venture fu ap ad by he tio to bu th U tra T ac th Clutter is their bread and butter Frustration with Craigslist inspired a Montreal couple to build their own family-friendly app for selling stuff. It caught on like gangbusters—but how long can VarageSale stay sticky? Craigslist: The Sequel Following Airbnb’s example, companies around the world are competing for a slice of Craigslist’s pie co in of sp A Eu re bu “o ev lio Marketplace, from Facebook (Menlo Park, California) OfferUp (Bellevue, Washington): VarageSale’s biggest competitor letgo and WallaPop (Barcelona) SELLO, from Shopify (Ottawa) sp (U fir W la al 5miles (Dallas) Sell It Easy (San Francisco) VENDCHAT (Vancouver) D ecluttering probably has never had more VarageSale began life fruitful a moment than when Montrealer in Carl Mercier and Tami Zuckerman’s Tami Zuckerman, preparing for the arrival of Montreal home; her first child, surveyed what needed selling now they work from a Toronto HQ in her household and turned to Craigslist. Popular though it may be, the seemingly all-conquering successor to classified advertising did not turn out to be simpatico. Zuckerman didn’t like meeting in person with strangers or receiving delivered items without her husband present (Craigslist, after all, has been linked to more than a hundred murders). She then followed the example of friends and neighbours who were selling their stuff on Facebook and Yahoo buy/sell/trade groups. For Zuckerman, this approach was not just less creepy than Craigslist; as well, it actually felt sociable. But it was also disorganized and frustrating. Posts would get buried in the feed, there was no way to display all her items together in a virtual storefront, and the transactions were getting mixed up with her personal messages. Twice burned, Zuckerman turned to her husband, Carl Mercier, a software developer, and asked him to build her something that worked. Mercier balked initially. “I’m not building another classifieds app,” he told her. “I don’t want you to,” she replied. What she did want was just a few basic things: “Large pictures, someone’s face, someone’s name, and what they’re selling.” And a storefront for each vendor, so it would be easy for shoppers and sellers to see each other’s inventory in one place. With those simple specs, Mercier built the app over a few weeks. It uses Facebook Login to eliminate anonymity, and organizes members into geographically specific communities to create a neighbourhood feeling. There’s also a scrolling feed of newly posted items that members can check as often as they’re inclined. It was clunky at first, says Mercier, but even so it immediately gained an enthusiastic following. “Our earliest users are power users to this day,” says Mercier. Zuckerman and Mercier had hit upon a new basic truth of digital business. The old-school view values websites and apps by the numbers of visitors or downloads. But the ascendant analysis is that quantity no longer beats quality online. Rather, it’s “stickiness” that matters: return visits, time spent, comments made, links shared, etc. And VarageSale is as sticky as they come. Half of the site’s mobile users come back every single day, and they sell on average 10 items per month. Users told Zuckerman and Mercier that their site’s family-friendly ethos set it apart from competing apps. Some 85% of VarageSale users are women, and of those, most are moms with young children. photographs (varagesale) jean-baptiste le mercier; (Dance) courtesy morning gloryville MELLTOO (Dubai) 14 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg14-15_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 14 16-02-08 9:33 AM ad ea pa in tiz ac th m ra m M To six Va ha bl al tio ex pe ci Va cr co m an as so ic er on ss. es or sis ty atts ey rs ell er os me nd ng photographs (varagesale) jean-baptiste le mercier; (Dance) courtesy morning gloryville : Having hit a sweet spot, VarageSale further encourages engagement by appointing some members as volunteer administrators, who vet incoming users by checking their Facebook profile, help host discussions and answer questions on the site. Zuckerman has gotten to know many of these communitybuilders personally; their pictures line the walls of the company’s cafeteria. Users can also rate each other after a transaction using a system of “Praises.” Those results, combined with users’ activity on the site, can elevate them to the status of Top Member. Transactions often take place at big community meet-ups (typically in parking lots), sometimes with thousands of members attending. VarageSale has spread to every Canadian province and American state, as well as Australia, Europe and Asia. The company doesn’t release membership or usage figures, but Mercier says, hyperbolically, that “our members view billions of items every month, and we save families billions of dollars every year.” Investors have taken notice. Last spring, VarageSale received $34 million (U.S.) from heavyweight venture capital firms Sequoia Capital and Lightspeed. With the extra resources, the company is launching the VarageSale Wallet, which allows people to pay with their phone. VarageSale is free to use and has no advertising, which means it hasn’t yet earned a penny of profit. But an in-app payment processor, launched in the U.S. in January, will make it easier to monetize operations down the line, as a transaction fee is added. Monetizing is, of course, no small thing, and at VarageSale it recently got more urgent. After several years of rapid growth, in which the company moved from a suburban outpost in Montreal to an office in downtown Toronto and jumped its payroll from six employees to more than a hundred, VarageSale announced on Feb. 1 that it had let go 26 people. Mercier said in a blog posting that the downsizing would allow the company to streamline operations, increase focus on core product experience, and prepare for “what’s expected to be a difficult year in the financial markets.” It’s also likely to be a year when VarageSale’s homey niche gets more crowded (see the list of international contenders above). The battle for maximum stickiness is on. /Mark Mann Morning Gloryville produces exercise raves in 21 cities worldwide, among them Toronto, Vancouver and London. The freeform dance parties start at 6:30 a.m. Fitness Losers and real losers It has been almost two months since you made your New Year’s Resolution and chances are that, like some two-thirds of people who did likewise, your hopeful proclamation focused on losing weight or getting fit. And chances are that the gym bag with your new workout togs lies discarded in the corner. You’re not alone. About three-quarters of the people who make health-related resolutions never follow through. A whole industry— call it the obesity industrial complex— has sprung up to profit from our perpetual dreams of thinness and good health. Gym membership runs at around four million in Canada, though #1 20% of people who sign up this year will never lift a dumbbell. Scores of companies supply pills and powders with hopeful names like Fatburner and Hypercut (the supplement industry is worth $102 billion globally). Publishers churn out book after book on the newest surefire diet—20 Pounds Younger, The Lean Muscle Diet, and so on. Often the only thing getting thinner is your wallet. But you can still salvage 2016: Switch to veganism (the diet this year), stock up on the newest miracle food (coconut oil) and even attend a morning exercise rave. Or just head out to the garage and dust off the ThighMaster you bought way back in 1998. /Bryce Warnes MOST OBESE nations on earth % of population that is obese Tonga Samoa #2 Kuwait #3 #16 U.s. Canada 60.1 57.6 47.7 32.8 21.2 15% #62 34 Number of international spinoffs of The Biggest Loser 171 Pounds shed in 18 weeks by Toma Dobrosavljevic, the winner of the 2015 instalment of The Biggest Loser 10 million Total number of ThighMasters sold $14.5 million (U.S.) Estimated value of Suzanne Somers’s mansion in Palm Springs, California 18 million Estimated number of Fitbits sold in 2015 Oprah’S STAKE IN WEIGHT WATCHERS Oprah announced her success using the Weight Watchers program in January, tweeting that she’d shed 26 pounds. Shares climbed some 20% the same day. march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 15 DM161782_Pg14-15_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 15 16-02-08 9:33 AM 03/16 standout umbrella movies Rain check (lifetime gross) Corry Flader suffers from reverse seasonal-effective disorder. When the skies over Vancouver darken, her demeanour brightens. “It’s overcast today, so I’m in a very good mood,” she says, from the home base of her family-run business, The Umbrella Shop, the last company making umbrellas in Canada. The incentive to offshore has proven irresistible among umbrella builders. While Flader constructs around two-thirds of her products outside Canada, the remainder are manufactured in-house by one of her 12 employees using Singer sewing machines that have been in the family for 70 years. “Our products are $4 or $5 more than anything that would be competitive,” says Flader, “but ours don’t rust and don’t go inside out in the wind.” In the past, financial advisers have asked why she bothers staying open given her low returns, but the business is in the blood. Her grandfather, Isadore Flader, first opened The Umbrella Shop on Pender Street in 1935. Recently, her obstinate devotion to costly, local manufacturing has begun reaping rewards. Thirteen years ago, the company was moving about 2,400 units a year. Today, they hit that milestone every two months. “I’m seeing this new consumer who wants to buy things once, not 300 times,” she says. “People are tired of things that break. /Patrick White 7 of 10 wettest canadian cities are in B.C. 1 Prince Rupert 2 Chilliwack 3 Abbotsford 4 Campbell River 5 Sydney 6 St. John’s 7 Halifax 8 Vancouver 9 $102 million Mary Poppins $45 Million Lost in Translation $2 Million Singin’ in the Rain Nanaimo 10 Courtenay photograph Clinton Hussey; (singin’ in the rain) REUTERS C Made in Canada 16 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg16_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 16 16-02-04 9:45 AM At home in Canada and everywhere else you do business. Dentons. Now the world’s largest global elite law firm.* dentons.com © 2016 Dentons. Dentons is a global legal practice providing client services worldwide through its member firms and affiliates. Please see dentons.com for Legal Notices. *Acritas Global Elite Law Firm Brand Index 2013−2015. DM161782_Pg17_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 17 16-02-10 2:37 PM SponSor Content BuSineSS eduCation in Canada globeandmail.com/adv/businesseducationincanada Connecting to the power of online learning Specialty business programs in data, HR and other streams are a flexible option for busy executives S heri McKillop retreats from the hustle and crush of a human resources trade show held this winter at the Metro Toronto Convention Centre. “It’s always a good event with a large variety of sessions and exhibitors,” says McKillop, associate dean of the Sandermoen School of Business at the University of Fredericton in New Brunswick. One reason she is attending this year’s trade show is because last fall, Sandermoen, a fully online institution, launched an MBA and EMBA with a specialty stream in human resource leadership. “The understanding of business issues and demands with an HR lens ensures the graduates of the program can contribute to the organization’s success,” says McKillop. For those in the early stages of their career, the new program provides a stronger understanding of how to best integrate business strategy with HR principles. More advanced HR professionals will benefit from honing skills accumulated over the course of their careers, while at the same time obtaining the advanced degree often required for seniormanagement advancement. “Students in the program have a unique opportunity to pursue the education they need to be successful in their careers without sacrificing work or personal commitments,” adds McKillop. Also this fall, the Sandermoen School of Business launched an MBA 2016_BusinessEducationInCanada.indd 1 DM161782_Pg18_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 18 Students can interact in real time with professors and fellow students for a true classroom experience. and EMBA with a specialty stream in business analytics leadership. The programs will equip students with the ability to make data-driven decisions and more effectively communicate with IT departments, data scientists, and business leaders in general. As the programs are taught completely online, students will have the opportunity to immediately apply their new skills and knowledge as they continue working full-time. “The business analytics stream was a result of awareness that large quantities of data are being collected,” says associate dean McKillop. “Companies know there is value there, but are not quite sure what to do with it. This stream responds to this need by training students how to understand the data and, most importantly, how to use it to make business driven decisions.” Sandermoen uses live virtual classes hosted by Cisco WebEx to deliver its entire curriculum, including diplomas and master certificates in areas such as health, safety and environmental processes for candidates who already have an MBA but need to upgrade their academic credentials. The WebEx platform allows for interaction between faculty and students through audio, video and chat. Any documents, presentation slides or additional files a faculty member wants to utilize can easily be shared. This same system allows students to book team rooms where they can collaborate on projects and assignments, which is an essential component of any MBA program and helps to foster a network of business contacts. An online approach to executive education not only allows students to enroll from across Canada, but also makes it possible for Sandermoen to recruit part-time faculty from other universities and organizations. For example, it has worked closely with the Canadian Society of Safety Engineering and Real Estate Institute of Canada to deliver its health and safety and real estate leadership specialty streams respectively. Most recently Sandermoen announced a strategic partnership with Wittenborg University in the Netherlands. The main objective of this new research and development partnership is to design a “gamified” MBA. Wittenborg has been working with a team of educational gaming specialists since 2012 to develop a full set of courses that utilizes game-based simulations. The point of gamification, which utilizes digital game design and video game elements, is to improve student engagement by modelling real-world scenarios such as employee training and customer reward programs. Wittenborg is already using gamification in some of its regular classes, but as a fully online institution, the University of Fredericton brings a unique perspective to the table that can greatly extend the reach of this new approach. If all goes well, the plan is to launch the first program to use gamification throughout an entire MBA degree. “Being completely online means geographic locations do not present boundaries,” says Peter Mersereau, director of operations at Sandermoen. “The partnership with Wittenborg University to create a gamified MBA addresses the growing need for global education that is accessible, engaging and applicable to real business needs.” This content was produced by The Globe and Mail’s advertising department. The Globe’s editorial department was not involved in its creation. 2016-02-03 12:42 PM 16-02-03 3:20 PM Abdul R Rahimi MBA candidate (’16) Pharmaceutical manager in UK who chose Goodman to do his MBA Our MBA takes you from campus to career path An MBA at the Goodman School of Business goes beyond the classroom, from our acclaimed co-op programs to service-learning community leadership opportunities. Ask Abdul Rahimi. He wanted to make his career soar, and chose Goodman’s MBA to add a comprehensive business degree to his pharmaceutical industry background. He enjoys small class sizes and engaging faculty members, and applies his knowledge every day at the Goodman Consulting Group, providing consulting services for real clients. Goodman offers full-time, part-time and co-op MBA programs. Apply for our renowned CPA accredited stream, or choose from business analytics, finance, human resource management, marketing, or operations management specializations. A unique approach to a business education, in the equally unique Niagara region - just an hour from the GTA. Learn more at goodman.brocku.ca/mba For both sides of the brain. Brock University | Niagara | Canada DM161782_Pg19_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 19 16-02-03 9:27 AM SponSor Content BuSineSS eduCation in Canada Students at your service B arry Wright calls it a “deep-generalist” approach to the MBA. Wright, dean of Brock University’s Goodman School of Business, is describing the school’s business-education philosophy. First, students take a course in each of the main disciplines to learn the language of business. Then they choose to specialize in one area, such as business analytics, finance, marketing or operations management. Business analytics in particular has become a popular specialization because it’s a growing field that is in high demand with employers. “Graduates of this program are able to work in the field of big data with a winning combination of a statistics and a strategic management background,” explains Wright. The Goodman MBA also puts students on a fast track to professional designations. For example the accounting stream prepares students for the CPA, the finance stream prepares students for the CFA and the human resource management stream prepares students for the CHRP. One major feature of the Goodman School, in St. Catharines, Ont., is something it calls “service-learning.” This program matches a local client, usually a notfor-profit or a small- to medium-sized business, with a group of students either in the undergraduate or MBA programs. The students treat the project like a consulting job and are tasked with helping the client solve a business problem. The consulting is typically tied to course work with written assignments, presentations and communication with the client, all of which goes to make up a final grade. “The practical application of theory builds a great case for service-learning and the impact on our local community is astounding,” says Wright, noting that Goodman students provided $552,000 worth of in-kind contributions to the community in the last academic year. A case in point is a communications plan created for the Niagara Regional Police to help combat cybercrime. “The students developed some incredible ads that the client wanted to use immediately,” says Todd Green, assistant professor of marketing who specializes in corporate social responsibility. He adds his students felt a sense of accomplishment by identifying ways to communicate to children at risk and their parents. Goodman’s consulting work also developed an information system for the Hope Centre of Welland, Ont., – a charity that runs a variety of social programs including a soup kitchen and food bank. Until this system was implemented, volunteers had to fill out a comprehensive paper form. Matching interests, skills and availability for an assignment meant hours of searching through hundreds of forms. A team of MBA students fixed that by designing a computer application to allow volunteers to input information and for the centre to optimize the matching of skills with projects. To raise its international profile, Goodman has established exchange programs with over 40 overseas business schools, including China, Brazil and France. T E L F E R S C H O O L O F M A N A G E M E N T U N I V E R S I T Y O F O T TA W A CON N ECTS YO U TO WHAT MAT TER S If what matters to you is learning in small classes with ample opportunities to personalize your MBA, our program is the right fit for you. Professional MBA (2 years, in English or French) Intensive MBA (1 year, in English) AACSB AMBA EQUIS 2016_BusinessEducationInCanada.indd 3 DM161782_Pg20_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 20 telfer.uOttawa.ca /mba 2016-02-03 12:42 PM 16-02-03 3:27 PM SponSor Content BuSineSS eduCation in Canada Skills for the real world O ne of the most important tasks for a business school is to provide its students with a bridge between theory and realworld practice. Applied knowledge is important for graduates of most disciplines, but no more so than in the tough, hard-driven world of business and commerce. With this in mind, the Telfer School of Management at the University of Ottawa has opened a newly-expanded Financial Research and Learning Lab, designed to help its students learn real-world skills. The lab is a state-of-theart research and education facility equipped with industry- standard software 2016_BusinessEducationInCanada.indd 4 DM161782_Pg21_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 21 and applications in finance, accounting and statistics. “As we evolve, it becomes increasingly important for us to not only provide students an education that is grounded in sound theory, but to also provide experiential learning to better prepare them for jobs after graduation,” says Pouya Safi, manager of the Financial Research and Learning Lab. A new Telfer Capital Fund (TCF) will manage a real investment portfolio and use the lab for its weekly stock pitches, sector updates and portfolio analysis. The fund, an initiative for Bachelor of Commerce students, will start with seed capital of $50,000 to $100,000, aiming to grow to $500,000 in principal in the next 5-10 years. Meanwhile, a new PhD in Management program is set to launch this fall, focused on five key fields, including entrepreneurship, health systems and finance. The creation of the program is a natural evolution for the Telfer School, which introduced two research-based M.Sc. programs (in Management and in Health Systems) eight years ago. “The next logical step for us was to launch a PhD, which is the hallmark of a school with research-active faculty,” says Silvia Bonaccio, director of the new PhD program. She says many of the graduates will not seek tenure-track academic careers in large universities. As a result the PhD program will also prepare candidates for applied careers at consulting firms or think tanks. “The PhD will continue to allow us to attract and recruit excellent professors to the school, which in turn will contribute to growing the Telfer School’s reputation and increasing the value of the degrees we offer,” says François Julien, Dean of the Telfer School of Management. On such degree is Telfer’s Master of Health Administration (MHA). Unlike most other MHA programs offered in Canada or abroad, this program is based in the school of management. “The Telfer School is recognized as a powerhouse in health systems, health informatics and health management,” says Julien. The strength of the program comes from the fact that students enroll in a combination of core MBA and health-care specific courses. The latter are based on a leadership competency framework developed in collaboration with the Canadian College of Health Leaders. This approach has allowed the Telfer MHA to prepare students for leadership positions in all areas of Canada’s challenging healthcare system. 2016-02-03 12:42 PM 16-02-03 3:33 PM SponSor Content BuSineSS eduCation in Canada Where policy makers learn their craft The change in federal government is likely to stimulate new demand for skilled graduates in public administration W ith the arrival of a new Liberal government in Ottawa, the federal civil service has embarked on a hiring spree after nearly a decade of layoffs and attrition that left its ranks tired and depleted. For the School of Public Policy and Administration at Ottawa’s Carleton University, which offers graduate programs and diplomas for people pursuing careers in the public and non-profit sectors, this change in thinking is both welcome and long overdue. “It’s not a question of fattening up the public service,” says Robert Shepherd, associate professor at the School of Public Policy and Administration. “But the lower ranks have not been replenished for years and units can’t do their work. Thankfully there’s new demand for young recruits and all our programs are fully enrolled and bulging.” In addition to Master’s level and PhD degrees, the school also offers five graduate diplomas intended to provide specialized learning for public servants and other professionals who want to strengthen their skills in public administration and policy analysis. Starting in the fall of 2016, the school’s Graduate Diploma in Public Policy and Program Evaluation (DPE) will only be available online. Ironically, the decision came two years ago in response to deep cuts to programs and services by the Harper government. The result was a significant decline in demand for evaluators, and since many of the students in the DPE were Ottawa residents working inside federal departments, the in-class model became difficult to sustain. “We turned to an online format to significantly expand our market reach to 2016_BusinessEducationInCanada.indd 5 DM161782_Pg22_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 22 provinces, municipalities and international applicants,” says Shepherd, who is also supervisor of the Diploma in Policy and Program Evaluation. “A professional diploma with specific learning outcomes like the DPE lends itself perfectly to a distance learning approach.” Many provincial and municipal governments still Policy and Administration, launched last year. This diploma was created because the school recognized the need to develop leaders able to navigate the complex changes in federal, provincial and territorial policies and laws governing indigenous people. “One of the areas of near unanimity was that the program should be online, want to upgrade their skills and credentials. For example, some programs focus on preparing students for jobs in health administration, or the energy sector, or regulatory administration. A diploma can be completed in as little as 12 months, compared to two to three years for a traditional Master’s program. “Universities have had to respond to a shifting labour market where it is no longer assumed that people will remain with the same employer throughout their careers,” says Carleton’s Shepherd, who is past chair of the Consortium of Universities for Evaluation Education. “As such, universities are having to accommodate multiple points of entry in the career paths of individuals. This has raised the need for focused and practice the School of Public Policy and administration at Carleton university is a training ground for many of Canada’s top public-sector officials. have a relatively immature evaluation function and are actively attempting to integrate evaluation into their core responsibilities, he adds. Carleton’s DPE also prepares students to work toward what is fast becoming professionalization of the field, both domestically and internationally, by supporting the Canadian Evaluation Society (CES) evaluator credential. Another online-only program is the Graduate Diploma in Indigenous so that it would be accessible to people who were working in their home communities or could not relocate due to family commitments,” says Frances Abele, program supervisor for Graduate Programs in Indigenous Policy and Administration. The primary reason Carleton’s School of Public Policy and Administration has been growing its graduate diplomas is because there is growing demand for focused professional education by people in career streams who oriented short programs.” Another innovation has been the creation of Canada’s only Master and Graduate Diploma of Philanthropy and Nonprofit Leadership, now accepting its fourth cohort of students. The non-profit sector is large in terms of its economic contribution and requires sophisticated management and leadership skills. But the field is underserved in terms of graduate education, unlike the U.S. where some 200 graduate programs are dedicated to non-profit. 2016-02-03 12:42 PM 16-02-03 3:22 PM DM161782_Pg23_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 23 16-02-03 9:56 AM 03/16 DM161782_Pg24-25_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 24 16-02-03 8:55 AM march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 25 DM161782_Pg24-25_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 25 16-02-03 8:55 AM W When Canadian National Railway first proposed building a telecommunications tower on Toronto’s waterfront, its aim was purely practical: The growing number of skyscrapers on Bay Street—first the TorontoDominion Centre, then Commerce Court West—had begun to interfere with radio and TV signals. The plan wasn’t exactly greeted warmly. One alderwoman huffed: “We’ll live to regret it if we let this monstrous dart go up.” That monstrous dart—all 553 metres of it, built over three years at a cost of $63 million—has, of course, become the city’s architectural icon. It held the title of world’s tallest structure for three decades and draws 1.5 million visitors each year, who take the 58-second ride to the /Dawn Calleja SkyPod in one of the tower’s glass-fronted elevators. Lordy, lordy, look who’s 40 Architecture 1889 0 200 400 600 Paris 41 years Eiffel Tower 800 (metres) 1930 1931 1 year 36 years new york city 1967 1976 9 years moscow Toronto 31 years CN Tower Ostankino Tower Empire State Building new york city Chrysler Building record held for world’s tallest free-standing structures 2007 8 years+ dubai Burj Khalifa photograph dennis robinson/the globe and mail 03/16 Social climbers We all know how badly the news business is hurting thanks to platforms like Facebook and Twitter. Finance, retail and transportation are next hours SPENt ON SOCIAL MEDIA DAILY 1.72 1.77 2015 2013 1.67 2014 1.61 2012 W hen rumours recently surfaced that Twitter—the popular social platform notorious for delivering 140-character messages— might abandon that brevity for 10,000-character tweets, diehard fans were outraged. To its core user base, the compression and pace of Twitter is its raison d’être; to abandon that would be to fundamentally change the platform. It is an issue that, to those who don’t use Twitter, can seem baffling, inconsequential or both. But to anyone following the broader trajectory of modern media, the reasoning was clear and important: In allowing longer messages, Twitter hopes to become a place to host media, rather than simply pointing to it elsewhere. The coming change apes Facebook’s shift toward Instant Articles, pieces of media housed on the social network’s site rather than the news publication’s own, and adopted by everyone from The New York Times to BuzzFeed to The Guardian. Why does it matter? Before digital, news organizations owned both the content and the newspapers, magazines or TV channels to distribute it. But when most people’s time is dominated by social media, those digital businesses become distribution networks of their own, capturing both users’ attention and, importantly, the ad dollars that go with it. The Average person has 6 social media accounts and actively uses 4 in be it lik m m co so tr th be ru en un illustration Sébastien thibault; (caan) Rose Prouser/REUTERS; (hannah) NurPhoto/REX Shutterstock; (assante) Derek Storm/Everett Collection; (Davi) gdcgraphics; (Loggia) Matt Sayles/AP/CP; (Sorvino) Matt Baron/BEI/Shutterstock; (Baldwin) Broadimage/REX; (roberts) Broadimage/REX (PDAC convention) Thomas Dagg Disruption balance of power shifts from traditional media to the platforms that have people’s eyeballs—and for media companies, it is terrifying. It is a prospect affecting far more than just news, however. Because digital media often works by taking over how people communicate, inform themselves and shop, it becomes a platform in the more literal sense of the term: a place that other businesses build atop of, whether that’s finance, transportation or retail. When you own the platform, you own the customer, and with that comes a whole host of changes to how businesses are organized. One difficulty in reacting to this shift to platforms, however, is that the threat comes from things that can initially appear flippant, even childish. Consider apps like Facebook Messenger and WhatsApp: Though they started out as simple ways to pass messages, they are expanding to incorporate commerce, too. While Facebook has made small steps toward this approach—such as allowing users to hail an Uber from within the Messenger app—Asia is at the bleeding edge. China’s WeChat has 650 million users and allows them to shop within the app, manage bills, even check the news, and it now runs a significant portion of e-commerce in the country. The lesson is that platforms first collect and aggregate consumer attention in novel, oblique ways, then expand into other sectors. We are beginning to see signs of similar change emerging in other industries. At the Consumer Electronics Show this year, General Motors announced it was investing half a billion dollars in ridehailing app Lyft to help develop a self-driving car. It’s easy to imagine this heralding a gradual, but understandable, shift from human-powered cars to computercontrolled ones. But like messaging, self-driving cars promise to become a platform of their own. Cars that can move around and come to you on their own, after all, make the idea of a vehicle sitting in a garage for most of the day seem wasteful. With the proper systems in place, it’s easy to imag- 26 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg26-27_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 26 16-02-04 9:43 AM di W fr Fa ha in Ca to at sw ph in Fa fin fe th da im th its ni it bu Am 54 or m lio ou pr qu co er in in O th to ia w w ab ni th tia to is gs nt, ke sas s, te ok his rs he he at ws nnd on y. st er ys, of er cal steop to al, m ergto n. nd er itay er g- illustration Sébastien thibault; (caan) Rose Prouser/REUTERS; (hannah) NurPhoto/REX Shutterstock; (assante) Derek Storm/Everett Collection; (Davi) gdcgraphics; (Loggia) Matt Sayles/AP/CP; (Sorvino) Matt Baron/BEI/Shutterstock; (Baldwin) Broadimage/REX; (roberts) Broadimage/REX (PDAC convention) Thomas Dagg diat or . ar er. ks mnd he a ld e, en wn es w ine fleets of cars roving the streets, being called when needed. Taking it even further, when a company like Lyft or Uber has such fleets, moving people can be but one of many functions. Self-driving cars could be used for deliveries, personalized shopping and public transit, with in-car advertising thrown in. The self-driving car becomes another platform, interrupting established businesses by enabling new economic activity in unexpected ways. A problem emerges for Canadian enterprises in particular. What differentiates a product from a platform is, simply, scale. Facebook, for example, will soon have over a billion mobile users, including at least two-thirds of Canadians—a number that’s likely to rise. When a company operates at that scale, entire sectors can get swept up as mere side-effects—a phenomenon that media is starting to grapple with now. Yet consider what happens if Facebook were to offer its users financial products—money transfers, bill payments and so on— thereby centralizing a person’s day-to-day activity on its site. Or imagine the very likely scenario that Amazon continues to expand its online retailing business, running it at break-even and propping it up with its very profitable cloud business (to read our story on Amazon Web Services, see page 54). How might Canadian finance or retail respond when a critical mass of users—say, tens of millions—allows platforms to build out other businesses atop their primary one? It is not quite as pessimistic a question as it appears. After all, consumers do often show a preference for homegrown solutions in finance, retail and the service industries tailored to local needs. On the other hand, the platform threat is very real. It is difficult to predict, cutting across familiar ways of doing things. Most worrying is the sheer scale—and with it, the ever-looming worry about the power of those companies to the south that have now, thanks to digital, gotten exponentially more so. /Navneet Alang Entrepreneurs vanity, thy name is frank F Frank D’Angelo is a true gem of Canadian business, providing publications like this one with an almost endless stream of entertainment. He has been a beer baron (Steelback), a restaurateur (Forget About It!), an energy-drink maker (Cheetah Power Surge, promoted by disgraced sprinter Ben Johnson) and a crooner (with a catalogue of 500 songs). He is also an auteur of C-movies: His fourth—coming soon to a theatre near you?—is Sicilian Vampire, starring D’Angelo himself as mobster Sonny Trafficante, who gets bitten by a bat and becomes a vampire. Here’s the movie by the numbers. 1 Oscar-nominated actor 1 1980s screen siren 5 $15 days million Typical duration of D’Angelo’s film shoots James Caan (The Godfather, 1973) 4 2 Gangster-film stalwarts Armand Assante Robert Davi Robert Loggia Budget (according to D’Angelo) Daryl Hannah Siblings of A-list stars Paul Sorvino Daniel Baldwin Eric Roberts Mining Mark your calendar: PDAC Convention, March 6-9 Last year, we sent writer Trevor Cole to the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada Convention in Toronto. His verdict: The annual gathering of 23,000 miners and financiers was grim. Expect this year’s confab to be even more so. The S&P/TSX Global Mining Index one-year return* -42% *to early February, 2016 Over the same period last year -7% march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 27 DM161782_Pg26-27_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 27 16-02-04 9:43 AM 03/16 140-character reviews Three inside-baseball (and basketball and soccer) books for diehard fans and stats nerds alike Corporate Governess Hello, can you hear me? —Aiden P., Toronto Dear Aiden Not at all. The office can be a lonely place at companies where employees have embraced telecommuting. While Yahoo’s move to curb working from home in 2013 wasn’t popular, it may turn out that CEO Marissa Mayer was right when she said working side-by-side was key to communication and collaboration. Although it may come as a surprise to diehard fans of Skype and Slack, recent research in the Academy of Management Discoveries by Professors Kevin Rockmann and Michael G. Pratt showed that interacting in the same physical space builds a level of depth and trust that’s not available with other methods of communication. That’s partly because people are better able to pick up on nonverbal behaviour. Their study reported that many people, including telecommuters, miss the social and work benefits of the old office. In addition, the professors claimed that working off-site is “contagious” and that workers who would normally work on-site begin to work from home rather than face an empty office. That sounds like what’s happening at your workplace, but don’t expect your colleagues to give up working in pajamas. Rockmann suggests football vs football The world’s most valuable sports franchises both play football (sort of)... what’s important is agreeing on a consistent form of communication across a team. I’d add that balancing time working remotely with face-to-face interaction at the office—and really being present when you do get together—is crucial. Dear Corporate Governess I’m stuck with a real jerk on my team, but he’s my top performer. I can cope with his toxic behaviour, but it’s alienating others. Should I hang on to him? —Sophie B., Vancouver Dear Sophie This is the one employee you want to work remotely. He could still be a jerk on Skype but at least you could turn off the video. If that’s not a viable solution, consider losing him. According to “Toxic Workers,” a new Harvard Business School working paper from Michael Housman and Dylan Minor, jerks simply aren’t worth the disruption. Their paper suggests that two average employees are better than one superstar who exerts a negative impact on others’ performance. Researchers at the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business agree. Their 2015 study described some employees as “de-energizers” (much like your jerk) who spread a dark cloud, leaving people feeling deflated or depleted. That translates into poor performance, negating your superstar’s results. On balance, this guy may not be worth the effort, but I’d level with him first. As Mike & the Mechanics sang, “Everybody gets a second chance.” Give him one. But only one. real madrid $3.3 billion (U.S.) Change Up: How to Make the Great Game of Baseball Even Better by Buck Martinez with Dan Robson Meanwhile in @BlueJays land, veteran catcher/announcer blames game’s woes on #s and $s. Agree or not, his stories are totally #batflip worthy Messi: More Than a Superstar by Luca Caioli Now back to sportsbio formula: slavish admiration of quiet guy who wins a lot. But c’mon, 5 #BallonDOr! #BestEver #Barca /Dave Morris dallas cowboys $3.2 billion (U.S.) illustration antony hare; photographs (ronaldo) Kai Pfaffenbach/REUTERS; (romo) Mike Stone/REUTERS Dear Corporate Governess Our open-concept workplace has become a wasteland with more people working from home. We’re connected online, but it’s hard to collaborate with people you never see. Am I alone in feeling this way? Chasing Perfection: A Behind-theScenes Look at the High-Stakes Game of Creating an NBA Champion by Andy Glockner Adapting Moneyball to other sports sounds like an easy layup; more like a mid-range jumper in traffic, but brave nerds try anyway 28 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg28_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 28 16-02-03 9:09 AM Eric Reguly A jolt of reality, please Electric and self-driving cars are no panacea. They’re still cars photograph GREG FUNNELL W e’re getting duped. We’ve been used to generate about 39% of electricity, and natural gas suptold that the electric car and its plies about 27%. tech-laden offspring, the selfCanada faces similar challenges. Last year Christopher Kendriving car, will clear away smog, nedy, a professor in the University of Toronto’s environmental cure road congestion and help engineering research group, determined that, in parts of the usher in a low-carbon economy country where fossil fuels are burned to generate electricity— that will spare the Earth from Alberta, Saskatchewan and Nova Scotia—driving an EV could BBQ status. These rolling eco-gadgets will transform mobility create more emissions than a gasoline engine. “You’re better as radically as steam trains did in the 1800s and gasoline-pow- off filling up at the pump,” Kennedy said on CBC Radio. ered cars did more than a century ago, minus the lung-choking EVs will only be clean when renewable energy dominates and planet-warming emissions. the electricity grid. But that transition could take decades, and It’s time for a reality check. The electric vehicle (EV) is not it is dependent on a big breakthrough in electricity storage, as clean as advertised and the advent of self-driving cars could because solar panels are useless in the dark and wind turbines stuff millions more cars on the road. Those objections are not are useless unless the wind blows. coming just from EV and self-driving-car deniers—typically A recent North Carolina State University study looked at petrol heads who think civilization peaked with the recent projected U.S. emissions levels in 2050 under more than 100 launch of the 580-horsepower Chevrolet different scenarios. The authors concluded Camaro ZL1—but from sober consultthat even if more than 40% of the passenger ing firms and academics. They argue that vehicles were EVs, there would be little or One study Tesla and Google aren’t necessarily the no reduction in air pollution. concluded that infallible gods of future personal transporWould self-driving cars be any better? if driverless cars tation, even if they admire the ingenuity They, too, will be electric. And propoof the inventors and developers. Sadly, the nents argue that the robo-cars would draretreat to cheap skeptics’ voices are getting buried in the matically reduce road congestion, partly parking spaces mountains of hype surrounding the new because they can travel very close together, outside the urban car technologies. and partly because of the advent of a vehicore, or circle the Yes, pure EVs—the ones with no gasocle-sharing economy, which would reduce line engine—have already made a mark the number of private cars. Many—maybe block to avoid in the marketplace, even though they most—of the self-driving cars would be in parking charges, still account for less than 1% of passenger fleets that could be booked like Uber taxis. traffic on U.S. roads vehicle sales in North America and Europe Hold on. What if the ownership model (their share fell in 2015, probably because does not change and these cars stay in pricould double of plummeting gasoline prices). Shoppers’ vate hands? If so, they would probably be bible Consumer Reports last year rated the an addition to the traditional family car— $100,000-plus (U.S.) Tesla Model S P85D sedan the best car it as so many EVs are now. Plus they would be used more often, had ever tested. Almost every big carmaker has electric cars in because even people without a driver’s licence could use one. the showroom or in development. A study by KPMG concluded that if driverless cars retreat to Dozens of big companies—including Google, Tesla, Mer- cheap parking spaces outside the urban core after passengers cedes-Benz and Bosch—are also throwing billions of dollars are dropped off, or circle the block for an hour to avoid parkinto digital technology that will allow cars that steer them- ing charges, traffic on U.S. roads could double. The on-demand selves to deliver Junior to the paintball arcade or Grandma to cars would also make public transit and walking less attractive. the bingo parlour. The first self-driving cars should be in showLost in the debate about EVs and self-driving cars is the fact rooms within five years, and hundreds of thousands of jobs will that they are still bloody cars. They still pollute. They still need allegedly be created as cars are reinvented from the wheels up. parking spaces, and roads still need to be built for them. They But a lot of those hopes may be misguided at best, and based still contribute to urban sprawl. Imagine if all the engineering on fraudulent claims at worst. Take the boast that EVs are zero- talent and investor fortunes funnelled into these iPhones-onemission vehicles. It might be technically right if you ignore wheels were put into public transportation instead. the pollution created in building the cars. Once the EVs are on the road, however, they often just transfer emissions from Eric Reguly is an award-winning columnist with The Globe and Mail. the tailpipe to the smokestack. In the United States, coal is still He is now based in Rome and can be reached at [email protected] march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 29 DM161782_Pg29_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 29 16-02-04 9:34 AM 03/16 Smart Money Investing Paul Moroz Profits versus the proletariat U.S. wages are finally climbing again, and that’s not good for stocks than at any time before 2010. Barring some unexpected economic development, earnings are likely to revert to a more typical (i.e. lower) share of GDP in the years ahead. “Either the U.S. has somehow unlocked a secret to permanently higher profitability or this is an extremely dangerous time to be investing in the U.S.,” Ben Inker, head of the company’s asset allocation team, wrote last fall. Analysts who track earnings by compiling the outlooks for individual companies also see cause for concern. Sam Stovall, chief equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ in New York City, estimated that the aggregate earnings per Share of U.S. national income Corporate profits Compensation of employees (%) 48 (%) 7 46 6 44 5 42 4 40 1990 1995 2000 2005 3 20102014 share of Standard & Poor’s 500 Index companies declined by 5.7% in the last quarter of 2015 compared with the same quarter a year earlier. If so, the dip would mark the first time since 2009 that those earnings have declined for two successive quarters. To be sure, much of the recent earnings decline reflects the enormous slump in commodity prices, which has smacked profits in the oil and mining sectors. But gains for labour also seem to be playing a role. That’s only fair. After several years in which investors cheered while workers groaned, it may be time for a bit of payback. /Ian McGugan Sound investing advice Robert Bosch, founder of German multinational engineering giant Robert Bosch GmbH, on how to analyze compensation expense “I don’t pay good wages because I have a lot of money; I have a lot of money because I pay good wages.” Small-cap stocks have historically outperformed their larger cousins over the long haul. We asked Paul Moroz, who oversees nearly $2.4 billion in global small caps at Mawer Investment Management, how he mines for potential gems. How did your small-cap funds handily beat the returns [in Canadian dollars] from the largecap MSCI World Index over the past five years? We look for what we call blue-chip small caps. These companies earn a high return on capital and are dominant in their niches. We now hold about 80 stocks, but just two don’t pay a dividend. We buy companies with outstanding managers who are able to grow their businesses, and whose stocks trade at attractive valuations. Where are you finding value now? We are about 45% invested in the United Kingdom and Europe, but we also buy in far-flung parts of the world like Thailand and Taiwan. Many of them have international businesses. Most are in the industrial, financial and IT sectors. We pay little attention to commodity stocks, and avoid regulated utilities because of limits on their earnings. What are some of your favourite companies now? We like Dublin-based Origin Enterprises, which sells fertilizer and other inputs and services to farmers, and Swiss-based VZ Holding, which provides financial services to wealthy people. We also like U.K.-based NCC Group, which deals with cybersecurity. It has a large stream of recurring revenues. /Shirley Won illustration joel kimmel W orkers across the United States are at long last catching a break. For investors, that’s worrisome news. The accompanying chart shows why shareholders in U.S. companies may not want to cheer the rapidly improving fortunes of the American proletariat. The trouble is that employee compensation and corporate profits tend to move in opposite directions. When one jumps, the other usually dives. If that historical pattern continues, recent improvements in the U.S. labour market— declining unemployment, rising wages and so on—signal lower profits ahead for U.S. companies. Profits are what ultimately drive stock prices, so this development does not bode well for your portfolio. Now I know, I know: You’re a big-hearted soul who always puts the welfare of hoi polloi above such mundane matters as your investing performance. Still, this has to irk. It seems unfair that other folks’ improving fortunes could mean a downsized nest egg for you. So let me rush forward with caveats. It’s possible that things won’t work out quite the same this time. Maybe the trends we see in the chart are the result of a quarter-century filled with oddities, such as the 1990s dot-com bubble and record low interest rates after the financial crisis, and are not simply the result of a continuing grudge match between capital and labour. However, all those objections being duly noted, you must admit that the chart could serve as a compelling exhibit the next time your local Marxist-Leninist Club stages a membership drive. Increasingly assertive workers add pressure on companies’ bottom lines. Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., the Boston-based money manager, points out that U.S. corporate profits as a percentage of GDP have faded slightly from their recent peaks, but remain higher 30 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg30_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 30 16-02-08 9:24 AM T:7.875” S:7” “IN OUR VIEW, SM White Paper Series Authors THERE’S NO SUBSTITUTE FOR SKILL The value of active management through market cycles Robert M. Almeida, Jr. Institutional Portfolio Manager IN BRIEF • As markets become more short-term focused, potentially more volatile and increasingly more complex, the skill of active managers may help investors navigate these conditions more effectively. Michael T. Cantara, CFA Senior Managing Director, Global Client Group Joseph C. Flaherty, Jr. Chief Investment Risk Officer THE POWER OF ACTIVE MANAGEMENT Our skilled active managers can exploit market inefficiencies by actively selecting securities and managing risk to create longer-term value for investors. • We believe skilled active managers are those who can demonstrate conviction through high active share and long holding periods, add value in volatile markets and collaborate on investment decision making. • Active managers with a higher degree of skill have shown the ability to outperform over time. If a trend is a pattern of gradual change and skill is the ability to do something well, which is of greater value to investors? To manage growing investment challenges and continuously find opportunities through changing market conditions, we would argue for active skill over passively following market trends. And yet as more assets have flowed into passive strategies, it seems that investors may have discounted the value that skilled active managers offer. Trends can be very enticing, particularly in continuously rising, monolithic markets. In all likelihood, however, passive investors who follow them haven’t considered whether simply accepting what the market has to offer can actually help them accomplish their objectives without undue risk. As markets grow more difficult to navigate, investors will find they need access to more skill — not less. MFS examines the value of skilled active management in our white paper, “There’s No Substitute for Skill.” Skill is at the very core of active management. It is the ability to exploit market inefficiencies, actively select securities, take on certain risks intentionally and create longer-term value than what can be achieved by simply following market trends. But that skill varies widely — a point we believe has gone unrecognized in recent claims that active managers in general cannot outperform their benchmarks. To find out more, access our white paper at MFS.com/getactive ©2016 MFS Investment Management 33409.1 DM161782_Pg31_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 31 16-02-03 9:37 AM T:10.75” THAT’S THE POWER OF ACTIVE MANAGEMENT. S:10” ACTIVE MANAGEMENT CAN RESULT IN OUTPERFORMANCE THROUGH MARKET CYCLES.” The CRTC wants to save Canada’s TV industry by forcing it to offer viewers more choices. But what if the regulators shatter it in the process? What’s wrong with this picture BY james bradshaw PHOTOGRAPH by C.J. BURTON 32 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg32-37_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 32 16-02-10 9:35 AM DM161782_Pg32-37_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 33 16-02-10 9:35 AM Can a di an T e l e v i si o n e xec ut i v e s o f t e n g e t m o r e worked up about regulation than they do about the glamour, glitz and showmanship that the public sees. So the austere brownish-brick federal building in Gatineau, Quebec, across the river from Ottawa, that houses the headquarters of the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) was a fitting setting for a major turning point in the industry’s history. On March 19, 2015, diminutive but sharp-tongued commission chairman Jean-Pierre Blais stood before lights, cameras, microphones and about a dozen reporters sequestered in a conference room to announce that the CRTC was “forcing the industry to finally face that the world is changing.” By March 1, 2016, cable and satellite providers would be required to offer subscribers a small, cheaper basic package of channels, known as skinny basic, for no more than $25 a month—about $15 less than most existing lowest-price offerings. By the end of 2016, they will also have to allow viewers to pick-and-pay for individual channels. Blais’s announcement came a week after he had unveiled other sweeping changes that would alter some Canadian content requirements and other long-standing rules. The overhaul capped more than a year of hearings and submissions to the CRTC that it dubbed “Let’s Talk TV,” and which the Harper Conservative government turned into a political football in its bid to appear consumer-friendly. Anticipating blowback on the new regulations, Blais had cautioned in a speech in early March, 2015, that Ottawa “is full of lob- DM161782_Pg32-37_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 34 byists whose job it is to spin their client’s private interests into something else, to wrap themselves up, as it were, in the flag, and to puff about Parliament Hill with an air of shock and dismay.” After his announcement, a few cultural advocacy groups issued predictable warnings about threats to Canadian programming, yet the biggest players in the business made only brief statements. Rogers Communications Inc. said the CRTC ’s decision was “sensible and flexible,” although it might have the perverse effect of pushing prices higher for many viewers. BCE Inc., the nation’s largest provider, said nothing, although Kevin Crull, then president of its Bell Media division, was privately irate. In part, the reaction was muted because the CRTC put in some measures to soften the blows on each segment of the $6.6-billion-a-year industry, from giants like Bell and Rogers down to tiny independent producers. There were also so many changes that companies had to parse them all. As Toronto-based channel owner Blue Ant Media said in its submission—with a liberal mixing of metaphors to make its point—“the pulling of any one string in the tapestry of the Canadian television regulatory regime will have a ripple effect.” Yet as cable, satellite and Internet providers got ready to unveil their skinny basic packages just before last month’s deadline, part of the future got a little clearer. Virtually everyone in the TV business agrees on what that future will look like: Jobs will be lost, some channels will die and some viewers will trim their spending. But almost every player is also keen to show that they have a strategy that will at least let them survive the coming shift, if not prosper. I. T HE BIG F IVE If yours is one of the 80% of Canadian households that still has cable or satellite TV, chances are that you don’t have just the basic package. Over the years, you’ve probably opted for more expensive bundles, adding dozens or even hundreds more channels, and combining your TV service with phone and Internet. According to the CRTC, the average household now spends $203 a month on communications services. Those hefty monthly bills are the result of sheer pricing power. For all of the laudable diversity in Canada’s TV industry, you can’t ignore the fact that it is dominated by five vertically integrated behemoths. BCE, Rogers, Telus Corp., Quebecor Inc. and Shaw Communications Inc. account for 84% of all broadcasting and telecommunications revenue. When the CRTC launched Let’s Talk TV in October, 2013, it invited ordinary Canadians to tell it what kind of choices they’d like to see. Among those who answered, pick-and-pay was top of mind. But the giant providers worried that such a 16-02-10 9:35 AM re th to w th CM co hi op en ch re pl ne N U. ab à th al ex re go to D co ne N M sl TV M ye hu Be sh siz lit co Re sa ha m su la ab th ar D to “C co co pl 10 20 ap su te es a- out gef id xct CE g, ell he ws sny ny As ia of ny vi.” ot st re V ke: me st ve he ds at he ve re th he on er in ct ed or or ns in ell ng of ha regime could blow apart the high-priced bundles they have spent decades building. In a submission to the CRTC in October, 2014, U.S. giant Viacom, which owns and licenses channels in Canada that include Comedy Central, Spike, BET and CMT, warned that pick-and-pay could set off “a consumer-welfare-destroying death spiral,” and hinted that it might pull out of Canada. Nevertheless, pick-and-pay—at least as one option for viewers—is supposed to arrive by the end of this year. The foundation is the skinny basic channel lineup. It includes traditional local and regional TV stations, the CBC, CTV and Global, plus educational and public-interest cable channels such as the Aboriginal Peoples Television Network. Distributors are allowed to add major U.S. TV networks but they cannot hike the price above $25. Every other channel must be available à la carte, although distributors can also offer theme packs and larger bundles. Many executives at the large distributors were alarmed at the level of control the CRTC was exerting over them, even though they’re now resigned to living with the new rules. “Having the government tell you how to package, price and go to market was probably eyebrow-raising,” says David Purdy, Rogers’s senior vice-president of content until last year, in an interview from his new perch as chief international growth officer at New York City-based Vice Media. Even before the new rules took effect, Bell Media and Rogers began firing staff. Bell Media slashed more than 400 jobs last fall, even as its TV subscriber base grew past 2.7 million. Rogers Media cut 110 positions and another 200 early this year. “There is no doubt that some players will be hurt,” says Wade Oosterman, group president of Bell and BCE. “Already, the decisions have created shifts in cost structures. People have had to downsize to get ahead of it.” But how much revenue will the cable and satellite giants actually lose? Last November, a survey conducted by Toronto-based Charlton Strategic Research Inc. found that 57% of TV subscribers said they would stay put with the packages they have, or even add more channels. Those results were consistent with an experiment Rogers tried in 2011, when it offered 90,000 subscribers in London, Ontario, something similar to the pick-and-pay model at a price level above basic service. Only 1,000 subscribers took the option. “What we learned was some channels are much more popular than other channels,” says David Watt, the senior vice-president of regulatory affairs for Rogers. The other clear lesson: “Customers generally prefer more to less.” Yet the big distributors are also nervous about cord-cutters who’ve ditched traditional TV, and cord-nevers who didn’t subscribe in the first place. Cable and satellite providers lost more than 100,000 subscribers in 2014 and at least 150,000 in 2015. That’s only a drain of about 1% a year, but it appears to be growing. Still, the Charlton survey suggests that some viewers could be won back: Nearly a third of cord-cutters and cord-nevers said they would consider taking a skinny basic package and adding channels. Appealing to the disenchanted is a delicate dance, however. By promoting slim discounted options too aggressively, the cable and satellite giants could set off a rush to downsize by their subscriber base. The possibility “of the cure being worse than the disease exists,” says Purdy. Much will hinge on pricing, and it’s already clear what the basic tradeoff will be: Channels will cost more individually than they will as part of a bundle—about $2 more, according to research conducted by the CRTC in April, 2014. Subscribers who opt for pick-and-pay could end up with higher bills than they expected. Yet if a lot of viewers downsize, bills may also climb for those who stick with bundles, as the distributors try to spread fixed costs among fewer customers. Behind the scenes, the cable and satellite giants, and the broadcasters that own channels, are still wrestling over wholesale fees the distributor pays to carry a network. A channel that gets, say, 50 cents per subscriber per month in a large theme pack might also negotiate a $2.99 retail price à la carte, and split revenue from those sales with the distributor. Misjudging the à la carte price could be dangerous, and risks setting off a grooming of the new channel lineups. “Ultimately, it should have an impact on making content better, because if you have poor content, it’s not going to survive,” says Bell’s Oosterman. All of this bargaining is taking place within the CRTC’s revamped Wholesale Code of Conduct, which was scheduled to come into effect in January, but which BCE challenged in court last October. Its provisions are eye-glazing to people outside the industry, but it tries to eliminate trickery that limited choices and kept cable bills high. Restrictions that prevented channels from being offered outside bundles are forbidden. The code also attempts to stop vertically integrated giants from favouring their own channels with better packaging and marketing than those owned by independent broadcasters. Broader market forces have also given independent content creators some more clout. The cable and satellite providers used to be the only gateway to a limited TV dial. “I had an enormous amount of control in my old job about who launched [a channel] and who didn’t launch,” says Purdy, recalling his 15 years at Rogers. “The days of them having to come cap in hand and [beg you to carry their show] are over,” he says. II. THE A RT OF THE N IC H E Leonard Asper’s office in a renovated manufacturing warehouse in Toronto’s hip Liberty Village neighbourhood is decorated with sportsthemed memorabilia: a football, a race-car driver’s helmet, a mini basketball hoop. Behind his desk hangs a large, framed red poster reading, “Keep Calm and Carry On.” It would make a good motto for Canada’s independent TV production industry as a whole. It’s also fitting for a man who inherited control of a multibillion-dollar media empire at Canwest Global Communications from his father, only to see it crumble under the weight of its debts in 2009. Now aged 51, Asper has shifted from business suits to jeans and an open-necked shirt, and has started back up from scratch. In 2010, he founded privately held Anthem Media Group, and bought a majority stake in Fight Network, a channel for mixed-martial-arts enthusiasts that is available on cable in 32 countries, and on digital platforms and set-top boxes such as Apple TV. Since then, he’s launched FNTSY Sports Network, which seeks to be to fantasy sports enthusiasts what Bloommarch 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 35 DM161782_Pg32-37_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 35 16-02-10 1:41 PM Just before Christmas, O’Sullivan ran into a post production supervisor looking for work—not in Television but as a driver for Uber berg is to business leaders, and added a half-dozen more specialty sports channels and websites: Pursuit Channel (hunting and fishing), Edge Sport (extreme sports), MAVTV Canada (motor sports), SportsGrid (a sports news and opinion website) and RotoExperts (fantasy sports information). Anthem has about 70 staffers in Toronto and 20 in New York City. The Liberty Village offices came wired for broadcasting. They used to belong to Moses Znaimerowned VisionTV. It moved into the nearby ZoomerPlex, which now houses all of Znaimer’s media ventures. Anthem has one main studio with interchangeable sets— all it needs to tape information and interview segments, primarily for Fight Network and FNTSY Sports—and a smaller studio with only one camera to pump out onlineonly content. It also has studios in New York and Las Vegas. Asper thinks that pick-and-pay TV presents both opportunities and risks for Anthem. “We like people not having to buy $150 worth of cable [before they can] get to us,” he says. But if viewers must choose among hundreds of à la carte channels, it could be very hard for one independent to stand out unless it spends a lot of money on marketing. It would still help to be part of a bundle that a big distributor sells to millions of viewers. “You can’t survive just à la carte. You need to be chosen in theme packs, or 10-packs or 20-packs,” says Asper. In such a competitive system, every channel owner, big or small, is going after eye-catching shows. “They act as sort of the neon sign that helps people find programming in a noisy environment,” says Tracey Pearce, Bell Media’s senior vice-president of specialty and pay TV. “What people don’t want is beige.” But the big distributors will still handle most of the packaging, pricing and marketing to their subscribers, and independents will still struggle to forge relationships directly with viewers. That’s why independents are also pushing beyond traditional TV, and putting their content straight online through YouTube and other streaming services. Blue Ant Media, founded by former Alliance Atlantis chairman and CEO Michael MacMillan, owns 10 multimedia brands, several of them focused on outdoor living, including Cottage Life, Love Nature and Smithsonian Channel Canada. It also owns Omnia Media, a Los Angelesbased YouTube network. MacMillan says that Blue Ant released 225,000 videos online in 2015, compared with just 1,000 in the year before, and it’s one major reason why the company’s revenue has “grown significantly” from about $50 million in 2014. MacMillan says he’s watched the Internet TV industry shift “from an economy of scarcity to an economy of abundance.” The biggest beneficiaries will be content creators at one end of the spectrum and viewers at the other, because both will have vastly more choices. “In between, I thought and still think, there’ll be some dislocation,” he says. III. T HE O T HER HEAV Y W EIG HT For the past 16 years, Corus Entertainment Inc. has stuck out from its industry peers, but only since Let’s Talk TV have investors started to see it as a sore thumb. Corus was spun off from Calgary-based cable and telecommunications giant Shaw Communications Inc. in 1999, and it owns specialty television channels, radio stations, the Nelvana anima- DM161782_Pg32-37_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 36 tion studio and a children’s publisher. It’s a unique content-based business, wedged between the huge integrated providers and small independent producers. Both Shaw Communications and Corus are controlled by the Shaw family through multiple-voting shares, and regulators often view the two companies as effectively one entity. Until late 2014, Corus was a steady stock market performer. Many investors liked its focus on kids and families, with channels that include YTV, Treehouse and W Network, and Nelvana. But as the prospect of pick-and-pay loomed, along with the expectation that some subscribers would dump channels they don’t watch, the stock began to slide. Corus shares closed at $20.67 the day the final Let’s Talk TV decision was released. The next day, they fell to $18.41, and kept sliding to less than $10 early this year. “The Street has us in the penalty box,” says Doug Murphy, president and CEO at Corus, and an avid recreational hockey player. Since then, Corus has made some huge bets in an attempt to reverse that slide. Last November, Corus ceded its profitable licence to telecast U.S. giant HBO’s shows across Western Canada, including the blockbuster Game of Thrones and some movie networks. HBO wanted to work with one carrier in Canada, and Corus accepted $211 million in cash from Bell to give up its rights. Then, in January, Corus dropped a much larger bombshell, agreeing to pay $2.7 billion in cash and shares to buy Shaw Media from Shaw Communications in a massive realignment of the family’s holdings. Shaw Media owns the Global Television Network, 12 TV stations and 19 of Canada’s most popular specialty channels, including Showcase, HGTV Canada and Food Network Canada. Assuming regulators allow the deal to proceed, the family will consolidate nearly all of its media holdings in Corus, leaving its cable and wireless businesses in Shaw Communications. Murphy says he intends to take full advantage of Corus’s greater heft to negotiate better deals with producers and distributors. He’ll also be able to offer ad buyers—particularly those trying to reach kids and families—options that span conventional and specialty TV, radio and digital platforms. “We’re going to be part of all the buys. 16-02-10 9:35 AM W he co To in er (C 35 ab br 10 ch w lis br rig Re th ar th ac w so he ho gi Ta pr st So CR th bi te w co ot ri in ca no re is pr to ba pr Ca Sh an th fil fo ie H re bu rig s, o n g n a r ue ge ous tihe ron V, as th ld an he xt an nO . ts mst da, nd th 211 er nd niy’s via’s wda. d, ia ss ge als be yan al ys. We’re not going to be left at the altar any more,” he says, sipping a pint of beer at a restaurant in his company’s modern eight-storey headquarters on Toronto’s waterfront. That kind of bargaining leverage strikes fear in the hearts of many small independent producers. The Canadian Media Producers Association (CMPA), a trade group that represents more than 350 independents, says the deal would bring about a dangerous hyper-consolidation of TV broadcasting. Corus would own six of the top 10 kids’ channels, the top six women’s specialty channels, and seven of the top 10 specialty networks. Bell and Corus would control 70% of English-language TV viewership. “Corus is by far and away the most aggressive broadcaster” in negotiations with producers for rights and payments for shows, says CMPA CEO Reynolds Mastin. “In the vast majority of cases, there is no conversation at all. Corus says, these are the deal terms.” Murphy strongly disputes that view, insisting that Corus is “not the Death Star that we’re characterized as.” Producers will “share in the upside with us, but we’re going to fund most of the show, so we believe we deserve enhanced economics,” he says. Even with the merged company’s scale, however, he will still have to watch expenses, given the potential for revenue losses from Let’s Talk TV and continued competition from online providers like Netflix. “I’ve got to change my cost structure,” Murphy says. “Well, you know what? So do the producers.” The independents are also furious that the CRTC blindsided them by eliminating old rules that strengthened their hand in negotiations with big broadcasters. The threat revolves around technical provisions called “terms of trade,” which received little attention in Let’s Talk TV. The CRTC put the terms in place in 2011 as conditions in broadcasters’ licences. Among other things, they divide up in advance which rights producers and broadcasters get to keep in order to sell a show internationally. That split can be crucial to long-term profits. But the CRTC now allows large broadcasters to have the terms removed from their licences. Losing those terms is “as fundamentally impactful for independent producers as is pick-and-pay for [large distributors],” says John Barrack, partner at Torontobased Don Carmody Television. The company produces Between, which it licenses to Rogers in Canada and Netflix in the rest of the world, and Shadowhunters, licensed to the Disney Channel and Netflix. Barrack’s company is on more solid footing than most independents. It is tied to the large film production company that Carmody himself founded in 1980, which has more than 100 movies to its credit, including Chicago and Good Will Hunting. “Things are good, but they can turn bad really quickly,” Barrack says. “You can’t build a business that is sustainable unless you have those rights. Without them, you’re done.” I V. SURV IVAL OF T HE F IT TEST The old Canada Post office on Dovercourt Road in Toronto’s west end, which sorted and delivered mail for 65 years, has an eye-catching new second storey clad in orange and black, but there’s still no sign that says this is now the headquarters for Proper Television. Company president Guy O’Sullivan says he bought the building three years ago because he was tired of paying “horrendous rents downtown.” The Birmingham-born former BBC producer launched Proper in 2004, and built it into a successful maker of dozens of reality, lifestyle and documentary programs, among them MasterChef Canada and Canada’s Worst Driver, as well as Vegas Hot Rods and Canada’s Worst Handyman. O’Sullivan’s vision was to have a 37,000-square-foot “bespoke space” for producing TV, he explains in his ground-floor office which, true to the company’s reality-TV roots, features a wall of (non-functioning) surveillance cameras as decor. The basement used to be the post office sorting floor, but it is now a rabbit warren of 35 editing bays—“definitely under-utilized” these days, he says. All are wired into a $500,000 master brain called EditShare, which lets the company do all of its post-production in-house. Proper’s staff moved into the building in December, 2014. That was “probably not the best timing,” O’Sullivan concedes. The following March, independent producers were the first segment to get slammed by the CRTC’s regulatory shakeup. Orders from broadcasters, who were already being squeezed by online competition, ground virtually to a halt. O’Sullivan says he understands why buyers froze. “They had to sit down and determine which horses they’re going to back, and which horses they’re going to pull out of the race. Why keep investing in a channel you’re not convinced is going to last?” Just before this past Christmas, O’Sullivan ran into a post-production supervisor he knew who was trying to earn some extra cash—not in TV, but as a driver for Uber. “He’s not a junior to the industry. He’s suddenly realized there’s just not enough work to go around,” O’Sullivan says. Proper’s commissions for new shows “dropped by at least a third” from 2014, he says. Renewals of existing hit shows like MasterChef Canada, which airs on Bell-owned CTV, as well as programs that are mostly funded from the United States, kept Proper afloat. Without them, “I think it would have been an exceptionally dark year,” he says. The CRTC also eliminated some Canadian content quotas. A requirement that TV stations fill 55% of daylight hours with Cancon has been scrapped. “Television quotas are an idea that is wholly anachronistic in an age of abundance and in a world of choice,” Blais declared in a speech in March, 2015. The CRTC did, however, maintain a 50% Canadian content quota during weekday prime time—from 6:00 p.m. to 11:00 p.m. A core staff of 19 remains more or less intact, but O’Sullivan has had to let go some regular freelancers whose contracts were typically renewed show after show. Yet Proper is better off than many of its rivals. Last December, a study by Toronto-based consultant Nordicity and Peter Miller—albeit one commissioned by unions and associations for producers, actors and other industry staff—warned that Let’s Talk TV policy changes could sap $400 million a year in funding for Canadian programs out of the system, and cause the loss of 6,830 jobs. With too few projects to go around, O’Sullivan says many talented people will leave the industry. And clever shows that might have taken off with viewers will quietly go unmade. “The problem with the way [the regulation has] been handled is that it’s been such a blunt instrument,” O’Sullivan says. “The point of culling the herd is to kill the unhealthy animals, not the healthy ones.” march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 37 DM161782_Pg32-37_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 37 16-02-10 9:35 AM From Irving facilities like the oil refinery in the centre of the city, Saint John gets many of its jobs— but, according to councillors, not enough of its tax revenue 38 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg38-44_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 38 16-02-10 9:24 AM P R O V I N C E The Irvings run New Brunswick like a hermit kingdom. But as the Energy East pipeline catapults the family onto the national stage, the timing is awkward: Now even the Irvings aren’t talking to the Irvings V b y o C B r u c e A L P h o t o g r a p h s DM161782_Pg38-44_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 39 I r B y N p I L i v e s e y k a r e n s t e n t a f o r d 16-02-10 9:24 AM Saint John, where some of it will be refined in Irving Oil Ltd.’s refinery. The Irvings will also build a $300-milerry Lowe is touring the streets of lion marine terminal so crude can be shipped abroad. Saint John, New Brunswick, behind the Energy East, proposed by Transwheel of his black Ford Taurus sedan, Canada Corp., has been dubbed “Keystone on steroids”—it promises maintaining a spirited dialogue. It’s a to transport one-third more barrels of oil per day than Keystone XL was bitterly cold January afternoon and the supposed to. For the oil patch, Energy iron-grey skies are threatening flurries. East represents one of the last hopes of gaining new markets for Canada’s As a city councillor in a place blighted landlocked oil. The environmenby both poverty and air pollution, tal politics it entails are significant enough to test Canadian federalism. Lowe knows all about the local power brokers and scandals. Names like But the stakes are high for the Irvings McCain, Oland and Ganong—the banners of New Brunswick’s singular too. Fossil fuel is one of the two mainstays of their business; that sector, cohort of family-business dynasties—are the stuff of daily conversation like forestry, has been whiplashed by dropping prices and demand. here. The dish du jour for locals is the recently concluded trial of Dennis While the pipeline might boost Oland, who was found guilty of murdering his father, Richard Oland, the Irvings’ income stream, it’s also drawing attention to the family’s conby bludgeoning him in a bloody frenzy one night in July, 2011. troversial methods and internal divisions. The Irving businesses—long organized in an old-fashioned conBut Lowe is agitated about a wealthier clan, glomerate—are a kind of hermit kingdom where the biggest New Brunswick dynasty of all—the bad blood, lawsuits and troubling questions over The Irvings’ imprint on Irvings. After all, just about everything Lowe succession are rife, but little is heard of them outNew Brunswick, clockwise can see through his fogged windows belongs to side the company perimeter. Family members from top left: Bouctouche, the Irvings—whether it’s Canada’s largest oil rarely speak to the media (none of the four senior where it all began; the oil terminal in Saint refinery belching fire and steam night and day, figures approached would be interviewed for this John; the city’s pulp the foul-smelling pulp and paper mill that sits article) and are notoriously secretive. As David and paper mill; an Irving smack in the heart of the city, the railway yards Ganong, a friend of the family who belongs to the trucking company in where train cars full of crude from Western Ganong candy-making clan, says, “They’re a very Moncton; Bouctouche’s K.C. Irving monument; Canada arrive, or the massive tank farm holdprivate company and so it’s not easy to look inside the Telegraph-Journal ing millions of barrels of oil. Indeed, the Irvings’ and…understand their strategies that deeply.” red-and-blue signs are ubiquitous. Even the By the same token, while Irving is big, no one local daily newspaper, the Telegraph-Journal, is outside the inner circle knows exactly how big. Privately held, Irving owned and run by the family. “[The Irvings] just is off the radar of the analysts and dealmakers on Bay Street. do what they want,” says Lowe at one juncture. The empire is presided over by two of Canada’s richest men, “They’re making a fortune off of us and putting brothers James (J.K.) and Arthur. Both are octogenarians, and they it in other countries.” don’t get along with one another. As for the next generation, they’ve At 72, the pugilistic retired businessman is a proven they can’t get along either. rarity in this industrial port city of 70,000—one of the few locals willing to speak out against the pervasive power of the Irvings, Canada’s fourthuring his guided tour of Saint John, Gerry Lowe turns his car richest family after the Thomsons, Westons and D on to Mount Pleasant Avenue, and points to a cupola-topped Rogers. And lately, Lowe’s words have been mansion sitting on a ridge—the home of Arthur Irving, Caneven sharper: After all, the city government is ada’s second-richest man, by one calculation, and ranked No. 271 in struggling financially. “I would like to see [the the world of billionaires, at $5.5 billion (U.S.). The house was also Irvings] pay their fair share,” he says, pointing home to Arthur’s father, Kenneth Colin (K.C.). In fact, across the out the city doesn’t have money to replace retirstreet is a park where a stern-looking statue of K.C. stands facing the ing firefighters and police officers. In fact, the house. “There’s K.C. watching him,” chortles Lowe. city is facing a $76-million pension shortfall. K.C. built the empire and developed its business philosophy. The Canada as a whole may soon know the Irvings son of a sawmill owner, he was born in Bouctouche in 1899. Imbued as well as the citizens of their home city know with Presbyterian utilitarianism, K.C. assembled a conglomerate them. The family will be thrust into the national that grew to dominate the East Coast and eventually reached into limelight thanks to the proposed Energy East New England. “K.C. believed in vertical integration,” explains Donpipeline, which will cost $15.7 billion to build ald Savoie, a professor of public administration at the Université de and be the largest pipeline in North America— Moncton and an Irving family friend. “If he sold cars, he felt why carrying up to 1.1 million barrels a day from don’t I sell gas so I can fuel the cars?” Indeed, K.C. sought to control Alberta’s oil sands some 4,600 kilometres to the entire supply chain—from cutting down the tree to making the g 40 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg38-46_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 40 16-02-09 10:03 AM be ry. ilbe sed es ls as gy es a’s nnt m. gs nor, by st so nving nre er utrs or his id he ry de ne ng n, ey ve ar ed nin so he he he ed te to nde hy ol he DM161782_Pg38-46_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 41 16-02-09 10:03 AM fo ab Happier times: K.C. Irving, his wife and sons attend the opening of the family’s Saint John refinery in 1960. From left: Harriet, Arthur, K.C., James and John in ag co na th to K . C . I rv in g Sa co th In Ir so (1899-1992) pr a fi it $1 la in pr co (family) SAINT John Telegraph-Journal/cp; (k.c.) the globe and mail; (3 brothers) Scott Perry/cp paper and publishing the newspaper it was printed on. Today, the Irving group is made up of a host of privately held companies (at least 174 of them; possibly as many as 250), altogether worth more than $10 billion, by A rt h u r Joh n (Jac k) Ja m es ( J.K. ) one estimate. These firms, some B. 1930 1932-2010 B. 1928 owned wholly and others in part, are in a huge range of businesses, Jim Jr. ROBERT Kenneth arthur jr. Sarah John Jr. albeit mostly connected to the One of four With Jim Jr., One of four Kenneth’s Arthur’s only One of three cores of oil and forestry. To feed siblings, he runs Moncton-based children from brother was child from his siblings, he a refinery that produces up to the forestry side Robert is co-CEO Arthur’s first ousted from second marriage runs the Irving of the empire of J.D. Irving Ltd. marriage, he left an executive is executive construction 320,000 barrels a day, the Irvings as CEO of Irving job at Irving Oil vice-president and real estate import 100 million barrels of oil a Oil in 2010 last year at Irving Oil businesses year. They own more than 900 service stations, pulp and paper mills, shipyards, railway lines, and trucking, construcAs his company grew in power, K.C. was able to bend provincial tion and shipping companies. They supply 60% and municipal politicians to his will. “It’s an industrial oligarchy of the gasoline in Boston, and are responsible for in a way,” says Bill Parenteau, a historian at the University of New almost one-fifth of American gasoline imports. Brunswick (UNB) in Fredericton. “And in some of their companies, They own all three of the English-language daily especially in oil, they practise a kind of 19th-century capitalism.” newspapers in New Brunswick. They employ If the Irving group is a throwback in some senses, its founder was an estimated one in 12 of the province’s workers ahead of his time when it came to taxes. K.C. was one of the first (and thus a much higher ratio of purely privateCanadians to take advantage of offshore tax havens, placing his comsector employment), and account for more than panies in a trust in Bermuda, where he had moved by 1972, avoiding half of the province’s exports. The Irvings are hundreds of millions in capital-gains taxes. By having his companies also one of the five largest landowners in North in the Bermudan trust, and through methods such as transfer pricAmerica, owning, between Canada and the ing, he slashed his tax bill. “Bermuda is the North Korea of offshore United States, 3.3 million acres and managing centres when it comes to transparency,” observes David Marchant, another 2.4 million acres of public land. editor of Offshore Alert, a Miami-based website that calls itself “the K.C. ruled his empire with an iron fist, instillunofficial financial regulator” of offshoring. ing the principles of clean living, hard work, The move to Bermuda prompted a Canada Revenue Agency attention to detail and loyalty. “It was like a faminvestigation that discovered that by setting up subsidiaries in Berily culture built on trust,” says Blaine Higgs, who muda, Irving Oil was, in one instance, able to lower its tax bill by spent 33 years at Irving Oil, rising to become a $142 million. The relevant Bermudan tax rate at the time was 0%. senior executive, and later serving as finance While the offshore structure today is less clear, Statistics Canada minister in the Conservative Alward governlists nearly a dozen Bermuda-based Irving companies. “The Irvings ment that was defeated in 2014. “There would know what to do in order to avoid the Canadian tax system,” remarks never be an [Irving] event…where people would Alain Deneault, author of Canada: A New Tax Haven. not be recognized for building and growing and This is evident in Saint John, whose oil-by-rail terminal was sustaining the company.” built by Irving Oil to import crude to its refinery in 2012. The CBC fr ag O be Th pr ne 42 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg38-44_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 42 16-02-10 9:24 AM er sk th da re lio pl pa is en an in se bu fin w Sa gr ha tio us th in ha ne fo ab al hy w es, as st mng es cre nt, he cy erby da gs ks ilt BC (family) SAINT John Telegraph-Journal/cp; (k.c.) the globe and mail; (3 brothers) Scott Perry/cp k) found that the terminal pays just $19,300 in annual property tax— about half the $37,000 paid by the Tim Hortons across the street. Gerry Lowe and other councillors are up in arms after discovering how Irving Oil pressured Saint John into a tax concession years ago. In 2004, Irving Oil began talks with Repsol, a Spanish energy company, to build a $1.2-billion liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal. Repsol was looking for a place to offload gas so it could access the North American market. Irving agreed to lease a parcel of land to Repsol for the terminal, and took a 25% position in the venture. Soon afterward, then-Irving Oil CEO Kenneth Irving informed Saint John’s mayor that unless the company received a massive tax concession, the terminal would not be built. The concession meant the council would be forsaking a potential $200 million in revenue: Instead of paying $8 million a year in taxes for the next 25 years, Irving persuaded the mayor to accept $500,000. (Via a spokesperson, Kenneth Irving declined to comment on this episode.) Not only did the city council quickly agree to the deal but the province itself passed a bill whose sole purpose was to green-light it. Last year, new details emerged about how the Irvings profited from this arrangement. Due to a court case launched by Repsol against the Canada Revenue Agency, it was discovered that Irving Oil had signed a contract finalizing the deal with Repsol weeks before the New Brunswick legislature passed the tax concession. That deal guaranteed Irving Oil at least $20 million (U.S.) a year in profits from the LNG terminal—suggesting the Irvings didn’t really need the tax concession at all. Court documents also show that Repsol pays Irving Oil rent and a fixed 14% equity dividend, no matter how the enterprise fares. And it hasn’t fared well. Indeed, for Repsol, the terminal turned into a $1.3-billion writedown after demand for imported natural gas collapsed in the U.S. While the terminal is still in operation, it’s operating at far below capacity. Now the city council is waiting to see if the provincial government will grant the city’s request to tear up the tax concession bill. At one point during our drive, Lowe points to the Irving Oil refinery, with its plumes of smoke and steam rising into the cold winter sky. “That’s the cracker,” he explains. “The refinery, which is…one of the top 10 in North America and produces 300,000 barrels of oil a day, pays $5 million in taxes to the city and province. Out in Alberta, refineries that together produce 300,000 barrels a day pay $15 million to $16 million a year.” In fact, while the Irvings became among the richest businesspeople in Canada, New Brunswickers as a group did not fare well compared to other Canadians. Today, New Brunswick’s median income is the lowest among the provinces, and it also registers at the dire end of the spectrum in measures such as out-migration, growth and unemployment. Meanwhile, the provincial government is facing a $453-million deficit and is paying $685 million a year in debtservicing costs. “[The Irvings] are doing their job making money, but they are designing the game board we are playing on and redefining the rules whenever it suits them, and then making us deal with the consequences,” says Rob Moir, an economist at UNB in Saint John. “And I do believe that’s contributed regionally to slower growth rates in our province.” The argument goes that the Irvings have erected barriers to entry so high that competition and innovation are suppressed. “Is everything good for the Irvings good for us?” Moir asks. “I would argue unequivocally no.” To the extent that the Irving companies are relieved of taxes, he argues, the province’s infrastructure and education systems have suffered. That in turn hampers the province’s ability to produce the educated workforce needed for a sophisticated economy. “But there’s nobody there to force [the Irvings] to play fairly and that’s the problem,” he says. While no one at the Irving companies would be interviewed about these and other issues, Irving Oil’s director of public affairs, Andrew Carson, was one of two Irving officials who responded, mostly obliquely, to e-mailed questions. Asked to respond to criticisms of Irving tax strategy in Canada and offshore, Carson replied, “Irving Oil plays a foundational role in the local and regional economy. As a New Brunswick company, we pay all applicable taxes on all aspects of our business.” drilled his methods into his three sons—J.K., Arthur and Jack, who were nicknamed “Gassy,” “Oily” and “Greasy.” J.K. managed the forestry and shipbuilding wing, J.D. Irving Ltd.; Arthur ran Irving Oil; and Jack the real estate and construction divisions. The brothers operated the companies in partnership, often sorting out issues informally. They also embraced their father’s method of internal sourcing—if something you needed was available from another Irving company, that is where you bought it, regardless of price. But after K.C. died in 1992, the ties among the brothers slowly began to unravel. And many blame their children, referred to as “the Cousins” in local argot, for exacerbating the split. Like their father, the brothers groomed their children to succeed them. J.K.’s sons, Jim and Robert, were trained to run J.D. Irving, while Arthur mentored his sons, Kenneth and Arthur Jr., to manage Irving Oil; Jack groomed his son, John, to run the Irvings’ construction and real estate wings. According to one family source, a committee of the Cousins was formed in the mid-1990s to see if they could operate the empire together. But competing egos got in the way. If they couldn’t run it together, then “no one could run it,” the source says. The Cousins’ fathers were drifting apart too. Business aside, J.K. and his brother Arthur had never been close. Jack, meanwhile, began siding with Arthur on decisions. “Jack adored Arthur,” recalls one source close to the family. “Arthur was the outgoing flamboyant one and Jack was quite in awe of him.” By 2007, the brothers had begun formal divorce proceedings. Today, the largest family entities, Irving Oil and J.D. Irving, operate independently. “I don’t think it’s an empire any more—it’s mainly two companies,” says journalist Jacques Poitras, author of Irving vs. Irving, published in 2014. Yet the Irvings’ sway seems no less strong. Feuding was not limited to the brothers and their sons: Within Irving Oil, an era of inner turmoil got under way. K.C. rthur Irving is often described as the A most mercurial of the three brothers. He’s famous for working his sons hard at Irving Oil, and for forcing them to cut off relations with their mother following the couple’s march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 43 DM161782_Pg38-46_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 43 16-02-09 10:03 AM divorce in 1980. “Arthur Irving doesn’t have a an injunction that stopped his son from forcing disclosure of the reputation as an easy man to work with,” says trust’s assets. Mark Tunney, a former editor of the TelegraphThe judgment details Kenneth’s turmoil in exile. During his testiJournal. “I’m not saying he’s not a nice man. … mony, Kenneth was “overcome emotionally,” the judgment says. He But on the business side, he gets what he wants even offered to drop the case if Irving Oil held a retirement dinner and he doesn’t really let what people feel about for him and if he could attend a family event with his father. “I want him get in the way at all.” to be recognized by my siblings that I did good,” he said. But KenIn 2000, Arthur’s eldest son, Kenneth, was neth’s hopes for reconciliation were dashed. elevated to the post of CEO of Irving Oil. KenArthur’s problems with his children did not end with Kenneth. neth is described as a talented businessman, Arthur’s other son, Arthur Jr., was ousted from Irving Oil last year. sensitive and socially conscious. “Kenneth, In fact, sources say Arthur no longer has relations with three of his who is an awesome man, was very sustainabilfour children from his first marriage. ity-minded,” says Sharon Murphy, a Saint John To replace Kenneth, Arthur promoted Mike Ashar. Ashar had businesswoman. “He was looking at [having] been a long-time executive at oil sands producer Suncor before big huge windmills built in the dry docks and being lured away in 2008 to become Irving Oil’s COO. But Ashar’s bringing people back to work and serious awetime at Irving would not end well either. some stuff.” In a lawsuit he launched last year, Ashar claims that he was wooed In 2008, Arthur started moving into retireaway from Suncor with promises of incentive compensation based ment. But he didn’t stay away for long, and tenon increasing the equity value of Irving Oil. Ashar said he spearsions with his son grew. headed the drive to get Energy East off the runway, and dramatically The watershed year was 2010. That summer, increased the “volume of crude oil shipped by rail [to the Saint John Jack Irving was dying. Relations were so poirefinery] from all over North America,” representing both savings soned that J.K. was not allowed to visit him in and a more secure supply. hospital. After Jack passed away, J.K. ranked so But in 2012 and early 2013, Ashar says in a statement of claim, low among the crowd attending Jack’s last pas“there were many instances of misconduct and inappropriate sages on a hot July day that he stood out in the behaviour involving members of the Irving family that created an sun for 90 minutes waiting to see his brother’s intolerable and poisoned work environment.” In 2013, according to body, and then sat several rows behind Jack’s court documents, he was constructively dismissed—that is, forced family during the funeral. out because his employer radically changed his job. Originally it was That same month, Kenneth was suddenly agreed he would stay on the payroll until the end of the year. But this no longer CEO of Irving Oil. One source says arrangement apparently fell apart when the company tried to force Arthur fired Kenneth out of the blue. Via his Ashar to sign an agreement that diminished his rewards for increasspokesperson, Kenneth said the stress of runing the value of the company. Ashar was sent $4.8 million in severning the company was affecting his health; ance after the company claimed Irving Oil’s equity value actually after taking a leave of absence, he decided not to return. Another source says Kenneth had a breakdown after discovering his father planned to split his fortune equally More than The Irving empire stretches from building among his five children: Kenneth fossil fuel warships to mass-producing frozen fries felt he deserved a greater share due to his stewardship of Irving which in turn connect to businesses like The Irvings Oil. At one point, Kenneth checked drywall (Irving Wallboard) and trailer rental may have made into the Lahey Hospital & Mediforests (Kent Mobile Shelters). their fortune by cal Center in Boston for a mental But the Irvings also own more peculiar chopping down health respite. trees and refining things, like the Moncton Wildcats, who Some observers believe the rift play in the Quebec Major Junior Hockey oil, but their was rooted in differing visions of League. Then there’s Juniper Farms (peat), empire extends through a huge array of Irving Oil’s future. “[Kenneth] Cavendish Farms (frozen fries), and firms related businesses as well—and also into specializing in security and towing. some sectors that seem not related at all. had this plan for tidal and green Controversially, the Irvings own all of The most notable national presence energy,” says Poitras. “He was among these endeavours is in shipbuilding, New Brunswick’s daily newspapers, as thinking of it as an energy comwell as 18 of the province’s 25 French and where the Irvings are one of three big pany. He was thinking about the English community newspaper titles. They players, along with Seaspan in Vancouver U.S. regulations on climate change also own four radio stations. A 2006 Senate and Davie in Quebec City. In 2012, J.D. and fuel efficiency and he was tryreport called these holdings an “industrialIrving landed a $26-billion deal to build ing to get ahead of the curve on media complex.” replacements for up to 15 Canadian navy The newspapers shy away from covering warships at its shipyard in Halifax. that. …But you get the sense that Shipbuilding aside, a survey of the empire internal divisions or leadership issues his father’s focus was run the oil within the Irving family and companies. shows how the Irvings have followed K.C. company and sell gas and so on.” Irving’s prime directive: Integrate vertically. “The problem with the Irvings owning the Their relationship shattered, papers is that none of that ever comes Forestry provides the raw material for father and son ended up in court. out,” says Ken Langdon, a former publisher products like diapers, paper towels and Kenneth challenged the terms of of one of their weekly papers. “You never toilet paper (the Royale brand, for one); for the family trust. But in a 2012 case know what actually took place or why lumber retailing (Kent Building Supplies); heard in Bermuda, his father won and for a spate of construction companies, things are really happening.” & 44 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg38-44_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 44 16-02-10 9:24 AM de is be Ev th w ve ag su aj cl de ta to Br m jo ac LL go de le A Sa on to an be D Ir ta N th ca ap Jo it sa ro Ca fro re in w su Th th an ba N he tiHe er nt n- h. ar. his ad re r’s ed ed rly hn gs m, te an to ed as his ce serly s, al , y te l- ng er declined during his tenure. He believes he is owed $50 million for breach of contract because, he argues, the opposite is true. Irving Oil has aggressively fought back. Even before Ashar launched his lawsuit, the company went to court in Alberta and won an injunction against Ashar to prevent him from breaking his confidentiality agreement. After Ashar initiated his lawsuit, Irving Oil returned to court and won a judgment against him on the grounds his claim breached the injunction. But that decision was reversed in January by Alberta’s court of appeal. Ashar’s replacement as Irving Oil’s top executive didn’t last long either. Paul Browning, formerly of GE, left in the summer of 2014 after less than 18 months on the job. Then, last summer, Ian Whitcomb, an accountant and former partner at Deloitte LLP, was named to the top job. “[Arthur’s] got his accountant, for God’s sake, as president,” remarks one source derisively. Today, the only other Irving in a senior leadership position at Irving Oil besides Arthur (who is chairman) appears to be Sarah Irving, his one child from his second marriage. Last year, she was elevated to the post of executive vice-president and chief brand officer. However, Sarah is only in her 20s. “She’s being mentored daily and she’s active in the business daily,” says David Hawkins, a Moncton marketing entrepreneur who knows the Irvings. “She is quite young but they can surround her with the best talent in the world—and they do.” espite the turmoil in its executive ranks, Irving Oil played a key role in getting the Energy East pipeline to centre stage in Canadian business and politics. For Alberta’s oil patch, it is argued, pipelines to tidewater are critical to reaching world markets. The push was initially westward—to the Pacific via Northern Gateway and Trans Mountain pipelines; or southward—to the Gulf of Mexico via Keystone XL. However, all of these pipelines were destined to be mired in political quicksand. As that became clear, TransCanada began pushing for a pipeline that would travel to the East Coast—and specifically Saint John. “Energy East was conceived as a desperate Hail Mary when it began to become clear that Keystone XL was not going through,” says Adam Scott of Environmental Defence, a Toronto-based environmental organization. The plan, apart from its global reach, would finally bring Western Canadian oil to the Maritimes. Yet the idea was met with skepticism from producers like Canadian Natural Resources Ltd., which were reluctant to commit the oil that would make the pipeline worth building—especially when Irving Oil wouldn’t commit to how much it would refine. According to a source close to negotiations, producers suspected Arthur wanted monopoly control over the pipeline’s spout. Thus they insisted that other marine terminals and refineries be on the route. By 2013, by some accounts, the project looked dead until Arthur and his executives revived it, in part by committing to refine 50,000 barrels a day. According to media reports, they approached former New Brunswick premier Frank McKenna, who got everyone back in D the tent. “The support from New Brunswick and the Irvings was Irving gas stations, now numbering helpful in a political context,” says more than 900, former Alberta energy minister manifested a Ken Hughes. As the plan stands, commitment to Energy East will connect to three vertical integration refineries—Irving’s in Saint John and two in Quebec, one owned by Texas giant Valero, the other by Suncor. For the Irvings, Energy East holds out the possibility of turning Saint John into a global energy hub. “The bigger opportunity is the potential for other investments here in Saint John to refine that oil,” notes former Irving Oil executive Blaine Higgs. In fact, the province has already handed over 500 acres of submerged Crown land adjacent to the proposed terminal site to Irving Oil. The project faces stiff opposition, with environmentalists worried about potential spills and increased pollution affecting both people in Saint John and wildlife such as whales in the Bay of Fundy. More broadly, each pipeline today becomes a test case of climate-change politics. More than 1,900 groups and individuals already have asked for intervenor status at the National Energy Board hearings concerning the pipeline. “You could push this project through in terms of approval [but] are you going to be able to jump over the huge hurdles of opposition in Ontario, Quebec, Manitoba and rising opposition in New Brunswick?” asks Mark D’Arcy, a Council of Canadians campaigner based in Fredericton. “It just seems that [the Irvings] are immune to these obstacles and they’re not paying attention.” march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 45 DM161782_Pg38-46_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 45 16-02-09 10:03 AM (ashar) David Smith n July 6, 2013, a train that included 72 cars laden with crude oil from North Dakota derailed in Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, and blew up, killing 47 people. The oil was heading to the Irving Oil refinery in Saint John. An investigation by the Transportation Safety Board soon discovered the oil was labelled on shipping documents as being far less dangerous than it actually was. But what did Irving Oil know? After the explosion, Transport Canada searched Irving Oil’s offices, seizing records. The company, meanwhile, was among 25 firms that contributed to a compensation fund, quickly paying out $75 million. But one class-action lawsuit suggested Irving Oil must have known about the volatility and mislabelling. Irving Oil’s Andrew Carson, asked about this allegation, wrote in an e-mail that “It is not appropriate for us to comment on this matter.” Even if the Irvings are blameless in the disaster, many recent events, including the internal feuding, suggest they may not be ready for national prime time. The company has logged a long history of environmental contamination, including 19 “environmental emergencies” at its refinery between 2012 and April, 2014, according to regulators. Carson put this in a different light, writing, “Irving Oil is required, and it is our practice, to report every single occurrence, no matter how small. Irving Oil is very proud of its record of environmental responsibility.” Be that as it may, the Irving companies tend to show a heavy hand with everything in the public sphere. Most requests for interviews for this article—to former premiers and other politicians, academics, businesspeople and family friends—were received warily, and then turned down. One economist at a New Brunswick university wrote in an e-mail, “I wouldn’t want to be interviewed, quoted or referenced in regards to the Irvings. I would be too afraid.” New Brunswick academics studying forest O practices know that both they and their deans are apt to receive letters from J.D. Irving demanding to know about their sources and methodology. This is viewed by these scholars as intimidation. J.D. Irving’s vice-president of communications, Mary Keith, doesn’t see things in that light. “We operate to the highest level of integrity, basing our management decisions on the best available, peerreviewed science,” she wrote in an e-mail. “New Brunswick is fortunate to have many forest scientists who have realized international recognition for their research and we have improved our practices because of their work.” Nonetheless, apprehension about the Irvings’ clout is deeply seated in the province. Last December, the province’s highly regarded chief medical officer of health, Dr. Eilish Cleary, was suddenly fired without cause. Cleary was studying the health impacts of glyphosate, a herbicide used in the forest industry—including by J.D. Irving. Numerous comments on an ensuing CBC news story attributed the dismissal to Irving influence; J.D. Irving deemed this “an unsubstantiated conspiracy theory.” Mike Ashar, former president of Irving Oil, It wasn’t the first Irving-sensitive issue raised by is suing the company Cleary. In 2012, she wrote a report on the risks of for $50 million for shale gas development, which the Irvings support. breach of contract The then-Tory government initially considered burying it. Among the report’s many recommendations was a call for health studies to be conducted in areas affected by fracking. Speaking generally—not with reference to the Cleary case— David Coon, the sole Green member of the New Brunswick legislature, says the government wants to “muzzle or eliminate the expertise who might speak in opposition” to the Irvings. “The Irvings like to get their own way and they don’t give up,” he says. This is particularly true in the forestry sector. Although 50% of New Brunswick’s forested land is Crown lands—of which J.D. Irving leases 2.5 million acres—the province actually loses money on its forests, according to a 2010 CIBC World Markets report. Last year, the province’s Auditor-General singled out financial management in a scathing report on the government’s forestry practices. David Alward’s Tory government, elected in 2010, introduced a forest management strategy that many experts felt was a reasonable proposal. It rolled back some industry-friendly policies by reducing hardwood logging on Crown land and restoring conservation zones. But then in 2014, Alward introduced a completely new strategy, one that increased the annual allowable softwood cut by 20% and reduced areas for habitat protection. Moreover, the plan guaranteed to companies like J.D. Irving rights to harvest a certain amount of wood per year for 25 years—as long as the companies committed to investing in their mills and equipment. The sudden change was thought by Coon and others to have occurred due to pressure brought by J.D. Irving. Asked to comment, J.D. Irving’s Keith did not reply directly, but pointed out that the company has kept investing in its New Brunswick forestry operations even while many other mills in the province have shut down. “Our roots are here and we are committed to staying.” Not all observers believe things are that simple. “I know some people in the Conservative Party well enough to know when Alward made his decision going ahead with [the new agreement] and announced it to the cabinet, some people in the cabinet got up and were so mad they stormed out,” says Andrew Clark, former president of the New Brunswick Federation of Woodlot Owners. “The Irvings play hardball, and they play hardball with everybody.” 46 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg38-46_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 46 16-02-09 10:03 AM Congratulations to these recent appointees Phillip Crawley, Publisher & CEO of The Globe and Mail, extends best wishes to the following individuals who were recently featured in the Report on Business Section of The Globe and Mail newspaper. Congratulations on your new appointments. Rob McClean to President & CEO, Amex Bank of Canada, and President & GM, Amex Canada Inc. American Express Wayne Barwise to Chair Branksome Hall Dr. Susan Mumm to Principal Brescia University Don Kayne to Board of Directors Cameco Dr. Lynn Stevenson to Chair, Board of Directors Canadian Foundation for Healthcare Improvement Michael E. Roach to Board of Directors Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH) Foundation Charles R. Sims, FCPA, FCA Cumberland Private Wealth Management Inc. Douglas E. Turnbull to Vice Chairman and Country Head, Canada DBRS Marc LePage to President and CEO Genome Canada Peter Mann to Co-Chief Investment Officer Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. Peter Zaltz to Co-Chief Investment Officer Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc. Angelique W. EagleWoman to Dean, Bora Laskin Faculty of Law Lakehead University Neil R. Wilson to President and CEO NAV CANADA Patti Croft to Member of the Board Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Lise Fournel to Member of the Board Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Charles Guay to Director Pomerleau Inc. Dalton McGuinty to Director Pomerleau Inc. Benoit-Antoine Bacon to Provost and Vice-Principal (Academic) Queen’s University Steve Sammut to President Rocky Mountaineer Hanny Hassan to Chair of the Board of Governors Western University Paul Jenkins to Vice-Chair of the Board of Governors Western University March 2016 To make arrangements for an Appointment Notice, please call 1-800-387-9012 or email [email protected] View all appointment notices online at www.globeandmail.com/appointments DM161782_Pg47_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 47 16-02-03 10:09 AM t h e 48 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg48-52_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 48 16-02-09 9:37 AM shrink by tim kiladze photographs by daniel ehrenworth There was a time, not so long ago, when the offices and bars of Bay Street (and Howe Street, too) were dominated by the big dogs of finance. But their time is coming to an end—a cultural shift that could change the entire Canadian economy march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 49 DM161782_Pg48-52_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 49 16-02-09 9:37 AM f you want to pinpoint the beginning of the end of the Big Swinging Dick era, you’ll need to go back to 2006, near the height of energy-market hysteria. That August, a minuscule private company now named Athabasca Oil Corp. started raising money from the 1%, marketing its land on Fort McMurray’s outskirts as something that would make the Saudis jealous. No one knew if it was true, of course, but word spread quickly, and shares bought for 10 cents soared to $2.50. The hype hit its peak four years later, when Athabasca went public at $18 per share. It was a triumph for the company’s earliest backers, whose returns ranged from 600% to somethingthat-will-make-you-cry, and it was an undisputed victory for the independent investment dealers that underwrote the IPO. Seven of Athabasca’s 11 underwriters were scrappy independents, and they earned the biggest chunk of the $81-million commission cheque. Of the indies, GMP Securities, the colead adviser, made the most. In typical GMP fashion, employees popped Champagne the day Athabasca hit the market. Fast-forward six years, and all that seems like a dream. In January, GMP slashed nearly one-quarter of its staff, and its rival independents are cutting to the bone. Some have shut down altogether. Dundee Securities, owned by the once-glorified Ned Goodman, sold its retail brokerage to Euro Pacific in January, and its investment bank is likely to be bought out by its own employees to help shield Dundee from more pain. The neutering of Canada’s independent brokerages comes courtesy of several factors. Commodity deals, once the boutiques’ bread and butter, have plummeted, with the mining sector depressed and the Big Banks sucking up much of the remaining energy work. The trading game has changed, too. The rise of the machines has sidelined many traders and compressed commissions to a fraction of what they used to be. You might be asking yourself: So what if a bunch of oldschool traders and bankers disappear from the Street? So the media will have fewer bon vivants to write about. But that’s not the only consequence of this shift. It raises serious questions about the very future of Canadian innovation and our ability to uncover the next tech or mining star. Peter Brown, the man who built Canaccord, one of the few contemporary independents to rival GMP in swagger, doesn’t mince words. If his firm were starting from scratch in 2016, he swears it wouldn’t stand a chance. “I don’t think you can do it today,” he laments. “It’s a broken model.” The boutique that epitomized the BSD was Gordon Capital and its founder, Jimmy Connacher (a.k.a. the Piranha), a man who prided himself on doing what more established firms wouldn’t. “We wouldn’t say no,” Connacher once said. “We were outside the box all the time.” That applied equally to work and play (which is why Gordon is still legendary, despite being acquired by HSBC in la th ke ho ch th jo be m ex pr er sh gr 1998, by which time it was a shell of its former self). Legends abound. Connacher, they say, once showed up to a Christmas party wearing nothing but a string of lights, and two female secretaries received breast implants as a bonus. There was a corporate yacht, the G-Force, available for private dalliances, and a butler named Basil to serve drinks so traders wouldn’t have to leave their phones. Every Friday, employees were invited into the Fishbowl, the glass-walled executive suite, for a catered lunch, complete with wine. When the weekly lunch moved to Rodney’s Oyster House (the catering bills having reached astronomical heights), the gathering would often stretch well into the night. No matter how late and how drunken the nights were, though, each day at Gordon began with a meeting at 7:30 a.m. sharp, and by the mid-1980s, Gordon accounted for an average of 15% of daily trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Brad Griffiths, a onetime Gordon star who died in 2011, likened the place to Hotel California: “It was tough to get into and tough to get out.” When it began to fade, Griffiths fled and set up his own shop, GMP Capital, with corporate lawyer Gene McBurney. “We wanted to do exactly what Gordon did in the ’80s,” McBurney explains by phone from the Bahamas, where he has just landed after five days in Colombia. “We thought it had lost its way.” Reviving the business included reigniting the after-work shenanigans. McBurney doesn’t deny GMP and its rivals played hard, but argues that the best firms, like his, were still loaded with smart people. “It wasn’t a bunch of yahoos getting together and throwing darts at a dart board,” he says. Indeed, even GMP’s rivals bowed down to the brains and work ethic of its star trader, Mike Wekerle, a.k.a. Wek. The man practically had his own orbit. Tattooed, with shaggy blond hair, he looked more like someone from Kid Rock’s posse than Bay Street’s best market-maker. He started at First Marathon Securities at 19 and jumped to GMP when it launched 13 years 50 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg48-52_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 50 16-02-09 9:37 AM of th ch th re To Ca al an th ro fo gr Th Bi a W pr br w jo M w co lik in a of (w th ne eq ds as le sa es, n’t re or ch ng en re, m. ge kto ed er id as, We rk ls ill ng nd an nd an on rs later. Wek could work at a torrential pace during the day and then endure legendary, alcohol-fuelled escapades after markets closed. At various points, he owned a Porsche GT, a beach house on Harbour Island in the Bahamas, and a stake in chichi Toronto restaurant Splendido. Seymour Schulich once told this magazine that Wek had “the balls of a cat burglar.” f course, there was a more staid side to some of the independents. Lawrence Bloomberg, who founded First Marathon in 1979, was a wiry runner whose parties, his friends would joke, ended with liqueurs on the driveway because he went to bed so early. But in 1993, Bloomberg earned a then-hefty $6.9 million. Justifying such payments, First Marathon offered this explanation: “These people are all-stars.” Meanwhile, at the Big Banks, multiple divisions shared profit pools, so a fixed-income loss might hurt equity traders. And there was (and still is) an unwritten rule that no one should expect to make more than the group heads, and the group heads should never make more than the bank’s CEO. That was blasphemy to the independents. At GMP, 60% of fees went to cover expenses and non-partner salaries, and the rest went to the bonus pool and partners. Better yet, the cheques came quickly—often monthly. “If you got paid double the CEO, he’d pat you on the back,” one investment banker remembers fondly. In 2002, former GMP Calgary rainmaker Tom Budd made $12.5 million, roughly double the head of Canada’s biggest bank. The paycheques were so massive because the partners (who also owned the dealers) got a cut of profits as part of their annual compensation, and because they had a direct claim on the business they brought in. “It was an eat-what-you-kill environment,” says Jim Davidson, one of FirstEnergy Capital’s cofounders. “If you brought in a $12-million M&A fee, you had a great year—and you deserved to have a great year.” That tended to lure employees with an appetite for risk. Think of it as choosing between a career in government (the Big Banks) or at a start-up (the independents). Working at a Big Bank guaranteed a decent, somewhat stable income. Working for an independent was riskier but came with the prospect of huge scores. “You tended to get the best and the brightest, and they tended to be young,” says Davidson, who was 33 when he helped set up FirstEnergy. The brokerages selected for aggression, too. “I’d take an exjock with a B+ average over an academic with an A+ average,” McBurney says frankly. He wanted people who were driven to win—without relying on a Big Bank brand name to woo clients. The effects were tangible. Bankers at Gordon Capital— considered an outsider even among other, larger brokerages like Wood Gundy and Dominion Securities—single-handedly invented the bought deal in 1982 (over Scotch, of course) as a way of getting in on a deal for Canadian Utilities. Instead of telling clients they’d do their best to raise money for them (while fighting for fees with the other dealers), Gordon fronted the cash and absorbed all the risk that came with selling the new shares to investors. The bought deal is now the dominant equity-financing vehicle in Canada. Independents were also more comfortable playing in grey areas, something one former trader referred to as “flirting with the edges of acceptability.” The best of these dealers had ringleaders who were tapped into Bay Street’s information flow. Wek got the most glory, but there were others, including Canaccord’s Graham Saunders (better known as Suds), and John (Johnny E) Esteireiro of Genuity (which was run by David Kassie, once one of Bay Street’s best-paid and most aggressive investment bankers). On trading desks, information was a special currency. A ringleader might get a tip about the next big tech start-up or junior miner and tell his friends about it (a practice that, in some cases, amounted to blatant stock promotion). Long before it was confirmed that Athabasca had about seven billion barrels of oil in the ground, GMP—one of its earliest backers—helped persuade some of Bay Street’s top fund managers to invest; Dynamic’s Rohit Sehgal put in $10 million. With publicly traded companies, a ringleader might call his closest fund managers to assess the appetite for a new gold financing—without giving away the name of the company, since that would be illegal. Fund managers who correctly guessed the issuer could make money by shorting its shares, since bought deals are sold at a discount to entice investors, forcing the issuer’s stock price to fall. In exchange for the tidbit, the fund manager might step up with a buzz-making lead order on a new financing or to bolster a deal that was struggling to sell. And most likely, they’d book their next order with the firm’s trading desk. You might wonder how all this got past internal compliance rules. The short answer: The guidelines at independents were a little more lax. They were often more willing to let employees personally invest in companies they were doing business with—forbidden at bank-owned dealers. (Last year, National Bank Financial banned employees from even trading individual stocks in their personal accounts.) Outside watchdogs would hit the brakes when they could. The Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada dinged Canaccord with a $1.1-million penalty in 2013 in part for not paying close enough attention to which of its clients were investing in risky companies. (Mom-and-pop investors are supposed to be steered away from the most volatile stuff.) First Marathon was slapped for allowing employees to act as investors, promoters and underwriters for junior mining and tech stocks in the early 1990s—against the interests of their clients. The most famous of all was Cartaway Resources: First Marathon employees bought control of the shell company on the Alberta Stock Exchange and pumped its share price to $26 within two years. The stock crashed to $2 after geological reports proved it was overhyped. Disruption often seems to happen overnight—one day taxis are the only game in town; the next, it’s all Uber. But dig a little deeper and you’ll find that the demise of the independents has been a long time coming. The first salvo came in 1987, when the feds opened the march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 51 DM161782_Pg48-52_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 51 16-02-09 9:37 AM doors to bank-owned investment dealers. Four of the largest indies—among them Dominion Securities and Nesbitt Thomson—were quickly swallowed (by RBC and Bank of Montreal, respectively), turning the banks into formidable players almost overnight. For the next two decades, there was enough business to go around—the independents simply had to be more aggressive. The banks were less likely to touch companies with no profit (and sometimes even no revenue). But Canaccord and other independents swept the corners to find emerging companies in need of creative financing ideas. Then they’d propose, say, a zero-coupon bond, which lets clients borrow money interestfree up-front, with the interest paid as a lump sum when the bond matures. More risk, big potential payout. The Big Banks’ edge over the indies sped up after the dotcom bust, when commodities like oil and gold popped. Suddenly, the resource business was a heckuva lot more interesting. And as mining and energy companies began looking for corporate loans to fuel their growth, the banks swooped in with money the brokerages couldn’t provide. Around the same time, the world of stock trading was disrupted. It used to be that portfolio managers had to go through a human being to trade shares, with the middleman charging a five-cent commission per share. Now, computers could just as easily line up buyers and sellers—at one-fifth the cost. Shrinking commissions were only half the problem. Because they weren’t in the middle of trades, ringleaders had less information to use as currency. Electronic trading hurt the banks, too, but they had other business lines to lean on. Derivatives, for one, are now a crucial component of mergers and acquisitions, guaranteeing a company the ability to, say, sell gold for $1,200 (U.S.) an ounce, regardless of the market price. That guarantee can make the acquisition of a rival gold miner less risky—and the fees for those derivative transactions can bring in more money than traditional M&A advice. here’s a lot of bitterness on the Street, and it runs deep. In a letter to employees in January, on the day GMP cut 73 employees, CEO Harris Fricker defended the move, arguing “there will be no regulatory rollback of anti-competitive practices as the amorphous blob that is the bank oligopoly will continue to expand in search of new revenues and earnings.” Fricker et al. wouldn’t be this angry if the commodity mar- ket was still smoking hot. Independents made a killing in 2010 and 2011, when energy and mining deals were through the roof. But they do have some legitimate points. While the major global banks caused the financial crisis, smaller dealers are the ones suffering from the resulting regulatory crackdown. The extra compliance costs post-2008—such as installing systems to monitor trades more closely—can be crippling for indie shops. New client “suitability” rules—meant to ensure mom-and-pop investors don’t get duped— have raised ire, too. Brown says he knows a 76-year-old in Vancouver who made his fortune bringing three mines to production. The man recently asked his broker at a Big Six bank to put $150,000 into a new mining venture. The broker refused, arguing it wasn’t suitable for someone his age—despite the client’s expertise and riches. Regulators, Brown argues, “do not understand the unintended consequences of what they do.” If even wealthy Canadians can’t bet on the next great miners, how will these companies ever raise the early capital needed to grow? Same goes for the independents—if they disappear, who will bet on unknown companies desperate for cash? When Canadian Natural Resources was still small, First Marathon and Calgary’s Peters & Co. led early financing rounds. When Canadian investors were too timid to take a bet on Research In Motion, GMP took the company public in 1995, selling shares to U.S. investors. These two corporations combined have been worth more than $100 billion, attracting global investors and giving Canadians something to be proud of. Sure, sometimes it got ugly. Athabasca, for one, crashed and burned. Though its shares debuted at $18 in 2010, they soon cratered. It turns out there is such a thing as too much hype, and public investors eventually saw through it. Canada’s IPO market went into a state of shock—and everyone blamed GMP. But the banks aren’t perfect, either: During the income-trust era, they made huge commissions taking some questionable companies public. And to date, one of Canada’s highest-profile tipping scandals erupted inside RBC Dominion Securities, the most blue-chip of the country’s investment dealers. So are the independents dead? Not quite—but they do need to evolve. Too many still rely on their trading desks, which in years past brought in enough money to keep the lights on. Investment banking fees were the gravy. That model is now inverted, meaning the bankers carry the burden of keeping the firms afloat. There’s more to keep above water, too, since the independents are much bigger than they used to be. Some of them used the money they made during the commodity boom to expand to London and Houston and New York. At GMP, it’s telling—and definitely a good thing—that the cuts were largely aimed at the old-school sales and trading business. What’s unknown is whether the bankers who remain have what it takes to restore the glory—at GMP and all the independents. Almost all of the old stars, the ones who slugged it out with the Big Banks before the commodity boom brought in easy fees, have left the business. It’s up to the current class to prove they’re just as good as the bad boys who groomed them. 52 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg48-52_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 52 16-02-09 9:37 AM “My Schulich Master of Business Analytics gave me the tools to establish myself in the high-demand field of Big Data.” Mike Feldman (MBAN ’14) Manager, Data Mining and Modelling Rogers Communications Business analytics is revolutionizing the way global companies do business. And the talent to demystify Big Data is in growing demand. The 12-month Schulich Master of Business Analytics allows you to master the skill to uncover business insights and drive decision making with real-world, real-time projects. 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DM161782_Pg53_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 53 16-02-03 9:41 AM Amazon Web Services is doing with the cloud computing business what its parent did with bookselling— your business here ↓ swallowing it Like many Type A technology executives, Matt Wood, who’s general manager for product strategy at Amazon Web Services (AWS), has done a lot of impressive things most ordinary people probably can’t understand—even though he’s just 36 years old. After graduating from medical school in England, Wood went on to do a PhD in bioinformatics (applying software and computing power to biology—in his case, the formation of proteins). The fast-talking Brit then did some postdoc studies in Big Data at Cornell in New York State, before returning to the United Kingdom to work at the prestigious Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute. Wood arrived in 2006, as scientists were finishing the Human Genome Project (a collaborative global research effort to map the DNA blueprint of humankind), and just as a quantum leap was occurring in how quickly computers could map out DNA. “It moved from being able to do one genome in 10 years to being able to do one in about 10 days,” Wood says. “The flip side of that was although you could sequence more DNA, these machines generated just tons and tons of data.” By tons of data, he means several hundred terabytes each week (one terabyte is 1,000 gigabytes; even an iPhone 6 with maximum Adam Selipsky augmented memory has just 128 gigs). says that Amazon But the institute is situated in the bucolic has big ambitions English countryside, about 14 kilometres for all of its south of Cambridge (near villages with names businesses: “We work really hard, like Ickleton, Great Chesterford and Little with a sense of Walden), and there was no way to get more passion, to build power onsite to add more servers to its jamthings the world has never seen” packed data centre. The little town of Hinxton photograph michael clinard by iain marlow 54 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg54-58_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 54 16-02-10 9:28 AM March 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 55 DM161782_Pg54-58_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 55 16-02-10 9:29 AM couldn’t really cope with the dark, satanic mill-like server farms increasingly required in 21st-century business and research. So Wood fired off an e-mail to some of his friends at Amazon, outlining the problem. They asked: Had he not heard of AWS, the cloud computing arm of their almighty e-commerce behemoth? Wood signed up and Amazon gave him a credit for $300 worth of data storage and service, which he used to buy digital space for some of the most cutting-edge DNA research in the world (what he calls a “genomic assembly pipeline”)—all of which could now be stored up in the so-called cloud. In those days, cloud storage was relatively novel, but it worked brilliantly. “I was a convert, basically, from that moment,” says Wood. He was so impressed that he joined the company in 2010 (after selling a start-up). He now helps develop the hundreds of sophisticated services and tools that AWS has layered on top of its basic cloud storage and computing functions. Even 2010 now seems like it was a generation Saeid Fard is a friend of mine in Vancouver who’s in the tech business. Anyone who has ever thrown documents, pho- tos or videos into Dropbox has done basic cloud computing: You’re storing things in servers that you don’t own, quite safely and securely, even if you don’t have a clue where those servers are. In He’s president of Sokanu, which provides online career tests. When I asked him to suggest any start-ups that might be AWS clients, he said I could pick them at random: “Pretty much every start-up uses AWS.” Phil Menary is fairly typical. He’s the vice-president of development at Waterloo-based Axonify, which provides large companies such as 56 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg54-58_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 56 16-02-10 9:29 AM W fo an a tic se th de cl it (w 60 sit tr se in le in th ne di in in hi go Sã To Ch ni sc im ac th th ca w an ca m da qu m Vi st ju m “I le yo photograph jaime hogge the early 2000s, old-guard firms such as IBM, and newer ones such as Rackspace, were already renting digital space on servers to clients. The next step was to integrate the data storage and manipulation, and move it all to the cloud. That would allow companies to get rid of servers, network hardware and software, and most IT staff, leaving only equipment that employees need to access the cloud services. It is now the reality in many companies. Employees arrive at work and can log in to their own desktop on any screen. Departmental and officewide systems are in the cloud, too. All transactions are tracked, and the system can alert customer service reps if there are problems. Companies can build, test and run apps in secured digital environments, shift entire libraries of data, and grant or restrict access to individuals. So why is AWS bigger than its rivals and growing so much faster? Amazon launched AWS in 2006, and it quickly moved far beyond just providing a lot of storage space. It soon built out an entire platform with more and more flexibility. In 2014, AWS developers, working from a road map that is 90% related to specific customer requests, created more than 500 new features. Last year, that number jumped to more than 700—about two per day. Much of the drive to dominate comes from Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, of course. His overriding goals and obsessions are now familiar: making things as simple and effortless as possible for customers, constantly searching for new ways to disrupt the status quo, and driving amazon: The “Other” Businesses costs and margins as low as he can to squeeze competitors and keep expanding revenue. $US billions, quarterly Yet, like Apple with iPhones, AWS has also become much 2.5 more than a generic provider. It is a megabrand—a community, even. Many of AWS’s customers now flock to its annual 2.0 re:Invent conference in Las Vegas. From about 3,000 attendOther revenue ees a few years ago, the event has grown to almost 20,000, (including AWS) 1.5 with nearly 40,000 others nerding it up via live streaming. AWS executives, and clients like Airbnb, get up onstage and do Silicon Valley-style multimedia presentations, filled with 1.0 the wonderful industry-disrupting and paradigm-shifting AWS revenue jargon of tech. 0.5 Sheer size also allows AWS to throw a lot of new products and features at the wall to see what might stick, and to learn 0 from those that don’t. This, too, is fairly standard procedure 20102011 2012 2013 20142015 at Amazon. Over the years, it has had several failures, including A9, a search engine and advertising application launched ago. Since then, the cloud computing business has in 2003, and BlockView, which was surpassed by Google’s Street View. exploded, and AWS is growing faster than any of Despite AWS’s now massive size and success, Amazon remains its rivals (including Microsoft and Google, as well secretive about many aspects of its operations. The company only as more specialized competitors like Salesforce). began breaking out AWS’s sales and profits separately in its financial AWS’s revenue has soared from less than $1 billion statements in the first quarter of 2015. That was partly because it was (U.S.) the year Wood arrived to $7.8 billion in 2015, becoming almost obvious to analysts just how fast AWS was growing. and it is climbing by about 70% a year. Its numbers used to be included in Amazon’s “Other” category, and Much of that expansion has been fuelled by a that had ballooned over the past several years (see chart). new wave of tech start-ups, such as Airbnb and But Amazon still keeps many other key details under wraps. A PR rep Pinterest. But even massive corporations and wouldn’t allow me to see a data centre—saying she herself had never security-conscious government agencies have been inside one. AWS will only say its employees number “in the thousigned up, including General Electric, Novartis, sands,” but won’t say where they work or break down what they do. Boeing, NASA and the CIA, as AWS added more A LinkedIn search reveals that 9,654 people list AWS as their current functions and analytics. As with Amazon’s online employer, out of Amazon’s total of 230,800 full- and part-time employretailing and delivery businesses, the exciting— ees in the fourth quarter of last year. For more specifics on what AWS and scary—thing is that the growth now seems to actually does, you need to ask its customers. be feeding on itself. ha th m jo M co it as n, id ng is an ehe aift r? st m m ed re os, kly ng rs ch ual d0, g. nd th ng ts rn re ded w. ns ly al as ng. nd ss. nI id .” nt as photograph jaime hogge ep er uo. nt yWS Walmart, Toys “R” Us, Toyota and Telus with customized, three-tobetween AWS, the cloud service Heroku—which four-minute online training videos for their employees, on desktop was bought by Salesforce in 2010—and servers of and mobile devices. its own. At a tech start-up Menary worked at in the early 2000s, there was One AWS function Shopify relies on heavily is a fairly big data centre: dozens of servers, raised floors to hide multhe Amazon Relational Database Service. Relaticoloured criss-crossing wires and a cooling system to ensure that the tional databases store information in categories, servers didn’t overheat. At least one employee was assigned to monitor and Shopify uses the service to house data for nonthat physical infrastructure at all times, and there were several other core apps. Lemieux’s team also uses the Amazon dedicated IT staffers. Redshift service for merchant analytics, taking But when Axonify launched in 2012, it was based entirely on AWS anonymized customer sales data from Shopify cloud technology. All Axonify’s back-end systems are in the cloud, and users, and identifying patterns and trends. it relies on Amazon’s data centres for delivery systems to keep latency Still, Lemieux says that if Shopify really wants (wait times) for videos below one second per click. Axonify has about to unleash the floodgates, it tends to rely on its 60 employees, but it doesn’t even have a dedicated e-mail server onown powerful servers, rather than the cloud. site, and it doesn’t have anyone taking care of physical infrastructure. Yet Amazon and Shopify are now also partners. “We’d never go back to having our own physical data centres,” Menary explains. Even if Axonify wanted dedicated Axonify’s Phil Menary servers of its own, “there are data centres you can rent space says his company in—the Rackspaces of the world—where you’re renting or doesn’t need its own leasing servers.” But why bother, when you can do everything servers. “Why bother when you can do in the cloud? “Not to pick on Rackspace,” he says, “but even in everything in the cloud?” that model—with physical equipment in a data centre—we’d need another dedicated person.” One of the most useful AWS tools for Axonify is CloudFront, a global digital-content web service. Most of Axonify’s data is stored on servers in a large AWS facility in northern Virginia. But so-called edge servers in CloudFront’s cloud-computing centres around the world then shoot high-definition videos to clients, and Axonify is billed on a pay-as-yougo basis. Amazon has regional hubs in Oregon, northern California, São Paulo, Ireland, Frankfurt, Singapore, Sydney, Beijing, Seoul and Tokyo, with more sites being built in Ohio, the United Kingdom, India, China’s remote Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region and Montreal. Axonify clients such as Johnson & Johnson or Walmart have employees scattered across continents. “As a global solutions provider, it’s really important to maintain a sub-second user experience,” says Menary. Axonify also relies on AWS’s EC2 core computing platform (the acronym stands for Elastic Compute Cloud). EC2 made it possible for the company to develop its own “drill-down analytics,” as Menary calls them, to track and study millions of customer interactions. Axonify can resize its computing capacity almost instantly, too. If it looks like it will need more storage space or computing power, employees can click and buy it. Resizing can even be automated, through what Amazon calls autoscaling, although Menary prefers that his developers keep monitoring server and storage functions. Safety is another advantage. Most of AWS’s regions have several data centres, so AWS can back up data and functions, and shift things quickly in case of power outages or other disasters. Its clients can move their data around, too. “Our primary data centre is in northern The two companies have integrated their services. Virginia, and our secondary is in Oregon,” says Menary. “If there’s a Shopify clients can take advantage of Amazon’s storm and it looks like Virginia’s going to be out for three days, then we vast retail distribution network, and the two comjust turn on Oregon.” panies have made it seamless for AWS clients to All this means that Menary’s team of 17 developers can spend pretty set up online stores with Shopify. much all of their time on Axonify’s products. AWS’s price is also right: “I suspect that our entire Amazon bill is less than one full-time equivalent salary,” he says. “If you were trying to manage your own system, As AWS keeps gobbling up more and more of the you’d have server costs plus a person.” cloud computing business, it touches off the same One key to AWS’s continued expansion, however, will be to keep good-or-evil debate that Amazon did when it suphanging on to all of a client’s computing business once it grows beyond planted traditional booksellers in the 1990s and the start-up stage. Shopify, the wildly successful, Ottawa-based e-comearly 2000s. Is it driving us toward a better, more merce platform that provides software to stores and online sellers, efficient future with far more choices for customjoined the ranks of $1-billion “unicorns” when it IPO’d last year. Jeaners? Or is it just a greedy leviathan? Michel Lemieux, vice-president of engineering, says his company was AWS was launched on March 14, 2006. In part, completely in the cloud when it launched itself in 2006. But, as it grew, it arose out of Amazon’s internal struggles with IT it felt it couldn’t rely on just one cloud provider, so it divided tasks issues. Software developers and project managers march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS 57 DM161782_Pg54-58_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 57 16-02-10 9:29 AM Amazon treated AWS as a side project. When AWS launched its own website in 2006, it still had a strip of Amazon’s retail categories (books, CDs, etc.) running across the top. “In the first couple of years we were asked, what exactly does this have to do with selling books?” says Selipsky, sitting on the 20th floor of an Amazon corporate office in Seattle. Today, those categories are gone from the AWS website and it is Amazon’s fastest-growing division. The day before he and I spoke, The Seattle Times ran a front-page feature on the development boom in the city’s gentrifying South Lake Union neighbourhood, fuelled mostly by Amazon, which is putting up several buildings nearby. Demands on employees can be heavy. A long feature in The New York Times last August detailed Amazon’s occasionally brutal work pace. The article prompted a memo to employees from Jeff Bezos, who encouraged them to read it, but also said “the article doesn’t describe the Amazon I know or the caring Amazonians I work with every day.” But the angry wife of a burned-out former Amazon manager then posted an open letter online, blasting Bezos. There is also a local pejorative for hyper-aggressive Amazon employees: Am-hole. In South Lake Union, someone has gone around posting yellow Am-hole quizzes, with questions such as: “Think this neighbourhood started with your arrival? Can you barely resist snapping your fingers at service people in the area? Do you not realize that you are working for an updated version of Sears and Roebuck?” Selipsky bristles at that kind of sniping. “A couple of things that I’ve seen written certainly don’t resemble the company that I work at, and I wouldn’t have stayed here for over 10 years if it did,” he says tartly. “I had one colleague who said Amazon and AWS operate like many of the successful start-ups down in Silicon Valley. We have a big vision, broad ambitions, we work really hard, with a sense of passion, in order to build things the world has never seen before. Does that mean we work hard? Absolutely. People who do well here are people who have passion and want to work hard to achieve great things.” AWS essentially brought a successful e-commerce company’s attention to customer experience to an industry—enterprise computing— that was infamously almost allergic to customer needs. It also brought Amazon’s ambition and hard-driving work culture to a sector that was used to explaining why things couldn’t get done. Selipsky also has little time for the old-guard companies AWS has surpassed. They still don’t publish their prices, which means that their customers have to negotiate their cloud-computing costs. That, too, is a legacy of the days when enterprise technology companies had a stranglehold on their clients, who were hopelessly enmeshed in their providers’ systems. And as those systems got bigger Jean-Michel Lemiuex, vicepresident of engineering at and more elaborate, costs usually went up. Shopify, uses AWS to help find AWS publishes prices and usage rates on its website, trends in customer service data though it may provide custom solutions priced differently to larger clients. And its guiding principle is the same as it “All of those things gave us what turned out is for all of Amazon’s operations: low cost and enormous scale. “Every to be a blinding glimpse of the obvious,” says business at Amazon pretty much works that way,” Selipsky says. “The Adam Selipsky, a management consultant with an amazingly high margins of technology companies have not been in MBA from Harvard Business School who joined the best interest of customers. This, at the end of the day, is the most Amazon in 2005, and who is now vice-president powerful benefit of cloud computing—the ability to move faster and of marketing, sales and product management deliver more value, more quickly to your customers.” and support for AWS. There was a case for setting Those lower costs also flow through to consumers in all sorts of up a cloud-computing division. “In the early days markets. Ever wonder why Netflix is so cheap compared with cable we talked about it potentially being a $1-billion or satellite TV? It’s an AWS client, and it now accounts for 36.5% of business, and people looked at us as if we had North American streaming traffic during peak periods. When NASA’s several heads,” he says. Curiosity Rover began streaming images from Mars in 2012, it did so Selipsky began with a team of nine people. over AWS servers, which also powered NASA’s mission control at the For several years, they tried to operate AWS like Jet Propulsion Laboratory in the California Institute of Technology in a scrappy start-up. One early marketing event Pasadena. “We have the honour of supporting robots on the surface of was held in a loft in Seattle’s Capitol Hill trendy Mars,” says Selipsky. club-and-coffeehouse district, with bottled water How much bigger could AWS get? “We’re really still at the begindonated by a venture capital company. The rest of ning,” he says. photograph john kealey were pulling their hair out as IT gatekeepers kept them at bay, guarding the company’s relatively constrained servers and computing capacity. But the division also grew out of demand from third-party booksellers who sold titles online through Amazon. In the early 2000s, they wanted to get a closer look inside Amazon.com and its bestseller rankings, to see which books customers were buying and which publishers they were buying from. Third-party sellers of other merchandise also wanted more information on products and prices. So did outside programmers who wanted to develop application programming interfaces (APIs) to let those third parties search through Amazon’s e-commerce platform. 58 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg54-58_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 58 16-02-10 1:46 PM Earn a Master’s degree in Management Analytics while you continue to work. SmithBusiness [email protected] 1.613.533.6449 ssb.ca/mma BRICE CHAN, MMA Manager, Analytics Deloitte DM161782_Pg59_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 59 16-02-03 9:39 AM Exit Interview Do the right thing Peggy Cunningham had a ringside seat to watch the evolution of corporate morality in Canada. As a professor at Queen’s University in Kingston, she was a pioneer in teaching responsible management. In 2009, she joined Dalhousie University in Halifax as director of the school of business administration, just as the recession took hold and the reputation of Big Business plunged. The following year, she was promoted to dean of management. Cunningham, 66, finished her five-year term last October. you get a lower cost of capital. You attract more motivated employees and ones who deal with people better. Churn rates in these companies tend to be lower. They attract more diverse workforces. Can you train managers to be ethical? Surveys have shown that up to 50% of MBA students think they are going to have to compromise their values, and bow to pressure to do something they believe is wrong, in order to forward their business agenda. But most people know the difference between right and wrong. We can give them techniques and skills— just like tools in finance, accounting or marketing— that will help them behave. How important is money to MBA students these days? They certainly want a good quality of life. They aren’t willing to live in poverty. But they are also concerned about things like environmental sustainability and a balanced lifestyle. Do business students choose Dalhousie because they want to be ethical leaders? Can you turn unethical people into decent executives? They come from such diverse backgrounds. When you see somebody who has studied music, somebody who has studied neuroscience, somebody who has studied business and a computer geek, and all of them try to solve a problem together, that is just so exciting. Does Halifax have a comparative advantage in ethics? I've always been convinced that you can’t take pond scum and turn them into angels. There are people who will do anything for a buck. We’ve seen lots of those kinds of CEOs, and they drive everybody in their corporation down that path. Are businesses actually behaving any better? Public expectations are changing. A company needs a social licence to operate, so you can’t isolate a business agenda from a social agenda, the way that business people could in the past. You ignore that social agenda at your peril, whether you are trying to build a pipeline or a condo building. Do ethics pay off? If you get that social licence, Because of all the familyled companies, business is done differently here. People know each other well. You have to look your neighbour in the eye. I think that has a large impact. So are you going to stay there and keep teaching courses? Yes. You really feel part of the community. /Richard Blackwell This interview has been condensed and edited. photograph Aaron McKenzie Fraser It draws conscientious achievers. In particular, we had a very high proportion of women coming into the program. Traditionally, MBA programs have hovered around 25% female enrolment. We were over 50%. We do entrance surveys, and for the women, some statements that came out very strongly were: “I didn’t want to park my morals with my car,” and “I never thought that I could be a person with high moral values and be a participant in business.” We also drew a lot of people from sciences and the arts. They hadn’t considered MBA school because of the image that business is evil. What’s the best thing about teaching them? 60 march 2016 / REPORT ON BUSINESS DM161782_Pg60_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 60 16-02-04 9:25 AM Your pre-flight checklist just got shorter. For every business trip. Unlimited text messaging included. TELUS Business Roam Ready U.S. Add it to your account just once. Get great rates anytime you use your phone in the U.S. Learn how your phone can be ready to travel when you are. Visit telus.com/roamready © 2016 TELUS Corporation. © 2016 Samsung Electronics Canada Inc. All rights reserved. Samsung is a registered trademark of Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd., used with permission. Screen images simulated. Available for Business (Business Regular, Business Regular Medium and Business Personal) only. DM161782_PgIBC_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 1 16-02-03 10:02 AM ©2016 Apple Inc. All rights reserved. by Athipan W. DM161782_PgOBC_ROB_MAR_2016.indd 1 PROOF # CLIENT: APPLE PRINT PROCESS: WEB OFFSET PREFLIGHT CHECK 16-02-03 9:21 AM