Housing Needs Assessment - Nevada Rural Housing Authority
Transcription
Housing Needs Assessment - Nevada Rural Housing Authority
NEVADA RURAL HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT NEVADA RURAL HOUSING AUTHORITY MARCH 2005 NEVADA RURAL HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT REPORT PREPARED BY: NEVADA RURAL HOUSING AUTHORITY 3695 DESATOYA DRIVE CARSON CITY, NV 89701 (775) 887-1795 D. GARY LONGAKER, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR FUNDING FOR THE REPORT GENEROUSLY PROVIDED BY: SIERRA PACIFIC POWER COMPANY FANNIE MAE NEVADA PARTNERSHIP OFFICE HARLEY DAVIDSON CREDIT U.S. BANK NEVADA STATE BANK MARCH 2005 NEVADA RURAL HOUSING NEEDS ASSESSMENT REPORT TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION…………………………………………………………………… 4 CHAPTER ONE: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS……………………………………. 8 CHAPTER TWO: DEMOGRAPHIC AND HOUSING DATA…………………… 16 CHAPTER THREE: SURVEY OF NACO AND NLC&M MEMBERS………….. 38 CHAPTER FOUR: KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEWS…………………………. 46 CHAPTER FIVE: RECOMMENDATIONS………………………………………. 54 APPENDIX RURAL HOUSING DATA BOOK…………………………… ATTACHMENT 1 HOUSING MAIL SURVEY ATTACHMENTS……………... ATTACHMENT 2 3 INTRODUCTION Background Rural Nevada is facing an unprecedented housing crisis. In the western rural counties and in Nye County in the south, growth pressures from the urban areas, and from neighboring California, have resulted in escalating land costs and home values. In Douglas County, the estimated financing gap to place household at 80% of area median income into a median priced home rose from $51,952 in 2000, to $178,329 in 2004, an increase of 243%. In Carson City, the gap grew from $24,804 to $98,579. And, in Storey County, the gap grew from $9,423 to $109,171. We expect this affordability gap to grow in the coming years as mortgage interest rates rise and the demand for housing continues to increase. While affordability is a less pressing issue in the eastern counties, many of the smaller Nevada counties are plagued by poor housing upkeep, abandonment, and a proliferation of sub-code manufactured homes. Boom and bust economic cycles driven by mining in many eastern Nevada communities make housing planning difficult. And, the cost of construction is high because of a lack of nearby developers and skilled trades people. Multi-family housing production in the fifteen rural counties has also been at a near standstill for the last half-dozen years. With the phasing out of the USDA Section 515 rental housing program, and the elimination of 515 rental subsidy, there is little economic incentive to build new multi-family rental housing. As the housing stock ages, the options for low-income rental households become more limited. In these traditionally conservative rural counties and towns, local administrators and public officials are beginning to express concern about the crisis in housing. When we asked members of the Nevada Association of Counties and the Nevada League of Cities and Municipalities in a mail survey how they would rank affordable housing among the many competing needs in their communities, more than half ranked it a “1” or “2” on a scale of 1 to 5, with “1” being the highest priority. More than half of respondent also viewed the lack of affordable housing as a “barrier to local economic development.” In particular, administrators cited a shortage of both rental and ownership housing for entry-level workers. Few rural communities have access to hard data on the housing needs in their locality or an ability to plan for future growth. When asked, “Does your community have a plan, including a housing element or consolidated plan, for addressing local housing need?” wholly half of the respondents in the rural counties reported “no.” However, many rural administrators stated that they would like assistance with preparing or updating such a local housing plan. A Housing Needs Assessment In response to growing housing need across the fifteen rural counties, the Nevada Rural Housing Authority (NRHA) commissioned a Rural Housing Needs Assessment report in June 2004. The intent of the needs assessment is provide up-to-date information on the changing demographics, housing trends, and service gaps across the state, as well as help inform NRHA’s current strategic planning process. Currently, little data is available on the state of housing in Nevada’s rural communities. The statewide Consolidated Plan 2000 – 2005 was last revised in 1999, based upon 1990 Census data. More current needs data is available from the University of Nevada Cooperative 4 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Introduction Extensive, the Nevada Commission on Economic Development, and the Nevada Rural Development Council. However, data from these agencies only touch on housing issues, and never in depth. Two years ago, the Nevada Housing Division commissioned a Special Needs Housing study. But, again, this report only addressed conditions in Washoe and Clark County and did not survey the rural counties. The purpose of the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report is to provide NRHA Board and staff with immediate and reliable information about the housing conditions and needs in the rural areas of Nevada. The study addresses the following questions: • What are the current demographic and economic trends in the rural areas that have an impact on housing? • What are the greatest housing needs across the rural areas? • What are the barriers to addressing those needs? • Where are there opportunities for expansion of housing programs? What type of programs? NRHA Background Established in 1972, the mission of the Nevada Rural Housing Authority is to develop affordable housing programs and improve the quality of life in the rural areas of Nevada. Originally an agency of state government, NRHA evolved into a private entity in1995 and is govern by a Board Commissioners appointed by the Nevada League of Cities and Municipalities and the Nevada Association of Counties. NRHA currently operates two principal programs: • Section 8 Rental Assistance—NRHA is the primary provider of rental assistance in the rural areas of Nevada. The agency currently administers over 1,500 rental assistance vouchers to low-income families, the elderly and the disabled. NRHA maintains field staff in multiple locations across the state to market the program, certify households for eligibility, carry out unit inspections, and trouble-shoot if problems arise. • Affordable Rental Housing—Over the last twenty-five years, NRHA has developed, as owner and as turn-key developer, over 250 units in 7 housing developments located in Carson City, Yerington, Fallon, Wells, and Winnemucca. NRHA also provides professional property management to these developments, and operates a successful computer-learning lab out of its Southgate Apartments senior residence in Carson City. Emerging Directions In 2003, the NRHA Board of Commissioners made a commitment to expand the agency’s programs and services in order to better serve citizens throughout the state. The Board appointed a new management team, headed by D. Gary Longaker, former Executive Director of the Southeast Texas Housing Finance Corporation, and gave staff a broad charge, to stabilize existing operations, explore new programs areas, and diversify the agency’s revenue base. In the last year and a half, NRHA has made extraordinary progress, increasing utilization of its Section 8 rental assistance program from approximately 1,100 participants to over 1,500 participants today, and stabilizing financial operations across the agency. As an indication of 5 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Introduction this progress, NRHA received an “unqualified” opinion and no findings on its most recent independent auditor’s report. NRHA has now launched an ambitious, year-long strategic planning process to develop a business plan that will chart the course of the agency for the next decade. With the assistance of a seasoned facilitator, Board and staff are revisiting NRHA’s mission, its goals and objectives, and its current practices. Based on these exercises, the group will flesh out a series of practical next steps. Some of the possible actions that will be considered by the agency include: • The certification of its spin-off 501(c)(3) non-profit corporation as a statewide Community Housing Development Organization (CHDO) in order to pursue development opportunities; • The exercise of the agency’s power as a statewide housing authority to issue 501(c)(3) and/or private activity bonds to finance a variety of rural housing projects; • The creation of a statewide Community Development Financial Institution (CDFI), serving the banking and capital needs of rural Nevada; • The development of extensive home ownership and Family Self-Sufficiency tracks in concert with its Section 8 rental assistance program to both set clear expectations and time limits that would come with the social assistance and to help clients access the resources they need to move towards independence; • The provision of strategic planning and data analysis assistance to local governments, to assist them to develop and implement local housing action plans; and, • The assumption of new programs and business lines—including weatherization, housing rehabilitation, homeownership counseling, and professional property management—to diversify the agency’s operations and reach previously underserved areas of the state. The following Rural Housing Needs Assessment report is an important first step in this strategic planning process for NRHA. Organization of Report The Rural Housing Needs Assessment report includes a wealth of qualitative and quantitative data on the state of housing in Nevada’s fifteen rural counties. The report is organized as follows: • Chapter One: Summary of Findings—Chapter One provides a short, bulleted summary of the data presented in the housing needs Chapters Two, Three, and Four. • Chapter Two: Demographic and Housing Data—In Chapter Two, we review demographic and housing trends across the fifteen rural counties and their implications for housing planners. The data summarized in Chapter Two comes from a variety of sources including: U.S Census; Nevada State Demographer; Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation; HUD State of the Cities Database; and Multiple Listing Service (MLS) home sale data. In addition to common population and housing statistics, we also calculate rental housing and homeownership affordability and changes over time. This chapter also provides information on the amount and type of subsidized housing by county. 6 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Introduction • Chapter Three: Survey of NACO and NLC&M Members—In the summer of 2004, the NRHA, in collaboration with the Nevada Association of Counties and the Nevada League of Cities & Municipalities, administered a short housing mail survey to NACO and NLCM members across the state. The response rate was phenomenal, perhaps attesting to the urgency of the topic in the minds of respondents: housing affordability, availability, and upkeep. In Chapter Three, we detail the findings of this rich source of qualitative data about perceived housing needs. • Chapter Four: Key Informant Interviews— As part of the Assessment, NRHA also interviewed a over a dozen “key informants” in the affordable housing and community development field in 2004 and early 2005, including public agency staff, non-profit and for-profit developers, development consultants, property managers, and bankers. The qualitative information in this analysis is designed to supplement the extensive quantitative data analysis on housing and demographic trends contained in other sections of the Housing Needs Assessment report. • Chapter Five: Recommendations—Finally, Chapter Five includes a bulleted summary of recommendations for NRHA as it carries out its strategic planning process. • Appendix—We would also like to direct your attention to two documents included as an Appendix to the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report. The first, a Rural Housing Data Book, includes a compilation three-page “County Data Sheets” for each of the fifteen rural counties. The Data Sheets provide “at-a-glance” information on local population and housing trends, by county. Also included in the Data Book is a list of all HUD, USDA and Nevada Housing Division subsidized housing developments, sorted by city, town, and county, and a tabulation of Housing Choice rental voucher usage and waiting lists by county. The second document is a set of attachments to the mail survey, including a full tabulation of the survey results, a list of those contacted, and a copy of the survey instrument. Acknowledgements We would like to thank the many planning and community development staff, city and county managers, public officials, developers, bankers and others who took the time to fill out the mail survey or take part in an interview. We would also like to thank the following organizations for their financial support of the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report: Sierra Pacific Power Company Fannie Mae Nevada Partnership Office Harley Davidson Credit U.S. Bank Nevada State Bank The Rural Housing Needs Assessment was directed by Eric Novak, with research assistance from Yette Martell-Deluca, Tina Baldassarre, and Julie Harris. Julie Harris wrote the demographic and housing data analysis sections of the report. 7 CHAPTER ONE: SUMMARY OF FINDINGS This chapter provides a short summary of findings from the three data analysis chapters of the Housing Needs Assessment Report. Chapter Two: Analysis of Demographic and Housing Data In Chapter Two, we review demographic and housing trends and their implications for housing planning across the fifteen rural counties. Below are the highlights of the findings from this chapter. Population Characteristics • Nevada’s 15 rural counties on average grew 37.6% from 1990-2000, about half the rate of the State as a whole. Similarly, from 2000-2010 the rural areas are expected to increase 16.9%, less than half of the State’s anticipated growth rate. • From 1990-2000 significant growth was seen in Churchill, Douglas, Elko, Lyon, Nye, Pershing and Storey Counties, with Nye (82.7%) and Lyon (72.5%) showing the most rapid increases. • During the decade from 2000-2010, the western rural counties and Nye County are expected to continue to grow. The largest gains are expected in Lyon (57.6%) and Nye (39.1%) with Churchill, Douglas and Carson City also anticipated to grow significantly. • While Nevada’s rural counties as a whole show notable population gains, a number of counties are experiencing population loss. Four counties in the 1990s exhibited losses. Esmeralda and Mineral Counties each experienced an over 20% decline in population, with Lander and White Pine showing less precipitous drops. • Income levels increased across the rural counties in the 1990s, with the largest percent increases seen in Lyon and Lincoln (62.4% and 53.2%, respectively). The smallest income increases were observed in Nye (19.2%) and Mineral (25.2%). • While population growth and income showed significant increases in the 1990s, the percent of people who fall under the poverty level has remained relatively stable, at around 10% • In the 15 rural counties, there has been a larger increase in the number of elderly people (52.2%) than among children (34.3%). • The percent of the population age 65+ has increased more in the rural areas (11.6% to 12.8%) than in the State as a whole (10.6% to 11.0%). • In each of the 15 rural counties, the percent of the population with a physical disability alone accounted for 6% to 15% of the population over age five. In places like Nye and Carson City, this equated to around 4,000 people in each county. 8 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings • Employment data for 2003 was gathered for the State of Nevada and each rural county. The vast majority of rural counties show the highest percentage of their employment in government. • Mining, while only comprising 0.8% of the State’s employment base, is very significant in five of Nevada’s counties. Almost 90% of Eureka’s employment in 2003 is in the mining industry. Lander and Esmeralda both have over 25% of their employment base in mining. Humboldt and Pershing both have close to 20% of employment in the mining sector. Four other counties—Nye, Mineral, Storey and Elko—also have economic ties to the mining industry with between five and ten percent of their employees in 2003 working in mining. • Fluctuations in the unemployment rates are most evident in two of the counties most dependent on mining—Esmeralda and Eureka. Housing Characteristics • For the State and the rural counties as a whole, the percent of housing units that are vacant declined slightly between 1990 and 2000, from 10.1% to 9.2% at the State level and 14.0% to 13.7% across the rural areas. • In four counties—Eureka, Lander, Mineral and White Pine—the increase in the percent of housing units that are vacant is significant (eight or more percentage points). These counties are mining areas and/or have experienced significant population declines. • The homeownership rates increased in nearly every rural county and in the State as a whole in the 1990s. The percentage of housing units across Nevada that are owner occupied increased from 54.8% in 1990 to 60.9% in 2000. The rural total increased a bit slower, from 66.3% to 71.3%. • Although homeownership increased in the 1990s and early 2000s, the trend is expected to peak in the next few years. Incomes have generally been stagnant for the last four years and interest rates have been increasing, resulting in an affordability gap in many counties. • The share of single-family units as a proportion of all housing units increased in the rural counties between 1990 and 2000. • Mobile homes account for only 9.7% of all housing units in the State but an impressive 27.9% of the housing stock in the rural counties. Mobile homes as a percentage of all housing units declined in all counties between 1990 and 2000, except Humboldt, which has seen an increase from 40.5% to 42.3%. • As with mobile homes, the percentage of multifamily/other units has declined in the 1990s for both the State and the rural areas. In some rural counties—Douglas, Esmeralda, Mineral—the absolute number of multifamily/other units has declined, meaning there is no replenishment of this valuable housing stock. • Building permit data shows little or no construction of multiple family housing in most rural counties between 1997 and 2004. 9 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings Subsidized Housing Characteristics • Currently there are almost 5,000 subsidized housing units in rural Nevada, including 1,419 (29%) tenant-based rental vouchers. • Over 25% of rural Nevada’s subsidized housing is in Carson City. Three counties each have over 10% of the rural share—Elko (19.2%), Nye (11.4%) and Churchill (10.2%). Four counties, Esmeralda, Storey, Eureka and Mineral each have less than 1% of the housing share. • The rural counties have 30,711 total renter occupied housing units, 16.1% of which are subsidized. Three counties have over 20% of their rental housing in subsidized units: White Pine (24.1%), Pershing (20.4%) and Elko (20.2%). Two counties, Esmeralda and Storey, have less than 1% of their rental housing stock subsidized. Three additional counties have under 10% of their housing subsidized—Eureka, Mineral and Douglas. Housing Affordability • From 1990 to 2000, the percent of households who paid 30% or more on rent declined in two-thirds of the rural counties. • In 2000, almost two-thirds of very low-income households (incomes at or below 50% AMI) pay more than 30% of their income on rent. This percentage of approximately 63% rent burdened households remained fixed in the 1990s. • Nevada saw an almost 50% increase in the 1990s in median home price from $95,700 to $142,000 in 2000. • Since 2000, housing values have increased exponentially in some counties for which we were able to secure data. Storey, Douglas and Carson City have all had phenomenal increases in housing values between 2000 and 2004. Storey’s median home value increased a remarkable 121.6% over four years, from $134,800 to $298,758, compared to 99.4% for Douglas (from $181,800 to $362,500) and 69.3% for Carson City (from $147,500 to $249,733). • Home values in Elko County have stagnated since 2000. In the 1990s, home prices rose 51%, from $81,600 to $123,100, compared to 1.5% from 2000-2004 (from $123,100 to $125,000). • We carried out a homeownership gap analysis for all rural counties for 1990 and 2000, and when home value data was available, for 2004. Based upon this gap analysis, the potential homebuyers at 80% of AMI were able to afford a home in about half of Nevada’s rural counties. These counties are primarily located in north/northeastern Nevada. Counties with positive gaps, signaling a lack of affordability, are generally located in northwestern Nevada and Nye and Lincoln in the south. Housing was least affordable in Douglas with a $51,952 gap in 2000 and most affordable in Eureka and White Pine, both with a gap around -$40,000 in 2000. • Between 2000-2004, the most dramatic change in homeownership affordability occurred in Storey, increasing 1,058.6% from $9,423 to $109,171. The largest gap is in Douglas at $178,329. 10 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings • In every rural county except three, the percentage of owner-occupied households with any housing problems increased—this while incomes generally increased in the 1990s. This suggests that while the homeownership rate increased in the rural areas throughout the 1990s, some households were assuming a high shelter cost burden to become homeowners. • In 2000, the counties with the highest percent of owner-occupied households with any housing problems were Lyon and Pershing, both over 30%, and both showing strong population growth in the 1990s. The counties with the lowest percents were Lander, White Pine and Lincoln, all around 17%. Chapter Three: Housing Mail Survey of Nevada Association of Counties and Nevada League of Cities and Municipalities Members In Chapter Three, we review the findings of a short housing mail survey administered by NRHA to Nevada Association of Counties and the Nevada League of Cities and Municipalities members. Below are the highlights of the findings from the survey: • Housing Need—Most respondents ranked affordable housing as an important priority in their community. Across the 17 Nevada communities, 53.2% ranked affordable housing as a high or moderately high priority (a “1” or “2” on a scale of 1 to 5). • Housing As a Barrier to Economic Development—Most respondents viewed the lack of affordable housing as a barrier to local economic development. Overall, 51.2% of respondents stated that the local workforce could not find suitable and affordable housing in the community. Many counties citied a shortage of both rental and ownership housing available to entry-level workers. • Specific Housing Needs— Overall, respondents saw the greatest need for low and moderate homeownership opportunities (70.2% ranked this as either “very important” or “important”), affordable rental housing (65.9%), elderly housing (60.0%, 27 out of 45), and weatherization assistance (59.6%). Respondents perceived less need in their communities for rental vouchers (34.8%), utility assistance (34.8%), special needs housing (39.1%), and barrier-free housing (39.1%). • Barriers to Affordable Housing— Not surprisingly, the greatest identified barriers were the price of construction and/or availability of contractors (68.0%), followed by the lack of available land (60.9%). Other identified barriers, in order of significance, were: “lack of experience in the community in developing affordable housing” (51.1%); “availability of infrastructure or funds for infrastructure improvements” (51.0%); and, “availability of subsidies for affordable housing (47.8%). • Need for Housing Planning—Across the 17 Nevada counties, 40.4% of respondents reported the absence of any local housing plan. Wholly half of the respondents in rural counties reported the absence of any housing plan, including a local housing element to the master plan, or Consolidated Plan. 11 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings Potential Roles for NRHA—Recommended areas of assistance included: education on housing needs to the general public and policy makers; assistance in the preparation of housing plans; networking on housing resources and financing; and actual affordable housing production. Chapter Four: Key Informant Interviews In Chapter Four, we summarize the findings of interviews with over a dozen “key informants” in the affordable housing and community development field. To follow are the highlights of their responses: A. Housing Needs in the Rural Areas The housing needs in the fifteen rural counties can be summarized in three words: affordability, availability, and upkeep. Affordability • Most respondents were quick to point out an affordability crisis in several of the western rural counties, including Douglas, Carson City, Storey, Lyon and Churchill Counties, and in southern Nye County. Home prices and rents have increased as a spill-over of growth and appreciating land values in Washoe County and Lake Tahoe in the north and Las Vegas and unincorporated Clark County in the south. • Those interviewed expressed concern about the lack of affordable homeownership opportunities, particularly for local service employees and first-time homebuyers. Some cited the influx of retirees from California with greater assets displacing local residents. One interviewee noted that the travel distances to work are becoming greater. As Carson City and Dayton get too expensive, workers are moving along Highway 50 to Silver Springs and Fernley to find affordable houses. • In general, incomes across the rural areas are lower than in the urban areas. A number of respondents said that without rental subsidy it is very difficult to finance new multi-family rental housing production, in the rural counties. That is, the economic rent—that required to cover operations, replacement reserves, and debt service—is more than many local residents can afford to pay. Availability • In some western Nevada counties, housing is unavailable at any reasonable price, because of extreme development pressure, lack of buildable parcels, and water and infrastructure availability. • Single-family home production in the western counties is not keeping pace with demand. • On the multi-family side, there has been little production over the last decade, because of warranty liability claim on condominiums and the declining availability of rental subsidy. Vacancy rates in existing rental developments in many towns remain under 5.0%. 12 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings • Even in communities where housing prices have remained relatively stable, there is a lack of available housing options. Several of those interviewed pointed to a need for alternatives to mobile homes in some of the smaller rural communities. Because of the boom and bust cycles in mining communities it is very difficult to plan for and finance new stick-built construction. Upkeep • Housing upkeep and abandonment is a significant issue in the smaller central and eastern rural counties, where the housing stock tends to be older and in poorer condition. • The multi-family rental housing stock in many communities is also old, with very limited replacement reserves and little possibility of re-capitalization for repairs. USDA-RD has not made rental assistance available in Nevada for several years and is phasing out the program. As a result, developers have not developed any new multi-family housing. • There is also the problem of abandonment of mobile homes in some rural communities. As mining jobs move, there is often no economic incentive to move the mobile home to the next job. B. Barriers to Addressing Housing Needs • Rental Subsidy—Topping the list of barriers to addressing local housing needs, is the lack of available rental subsidy. Every person interviewed who is involved in multi-family housing production raised this issue. Without rental subsidy, there is no economic incentive to invest in new multi-family housing or the rehabilitation of older stock. • Land Availability and Cost—Land availability was cited as a major problem in the western counties. There are virtually no new available parcels in Douglas, Carson City, Storey, and Lyon Counties. Several cities and town in central and eastern Nevada are reported to be land-locked as well, with federal land on all sides. • Water and Infrastructure—Related to this is the difficulty of bringing water and other infrastructure to rural sites for development. This becomes a particular barrier for affordable housing projects, which cannot carry the significant overhead costs of financing new sewers, water, and roads in an undeveloped area. • Housing Planning—Several interview participants pointed to the need for better community planning so that affordable housing is provided in concert with other community infrastructure, such as school, public facilities and roads, rather than as an afterthought. • Depressed Housing Values—In many of the central and eastern counties, home values have not kept pace with development costs. When the final appraised value of a home is less than the cost to construct it, there is little economic incentive to build new, or even to maintain existing properties. • Boom and Bust Cycles—The economic peaks and troughs, driven by mining activity in some rural communities, makes housing planning particularly difficult. As Eileen Piekarz of RCAC noted, the housing of choice inevitably becomes 13 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings mobile homes, which cost less and can be moved or abandoned when the jobs move elsewhere. • Availability of Financing and Subsidy—Interviewees said that there were not enough sources of financing and subsidy for affordable housing projects in the rural communities. Most federal and state resources are distributed on a per capita basis, meaning that approximately14% of the available resources (HUD HOME funds, State Housing Trust Funds, Low-Income Housing Tax Credits, Tax-Exempt Volume Cap, etc.) must be spread across 15 of the 17 Nevada counties. Currently, there are enough 9% tax credits in the rural areas for one approximately 40-unit project per year. • Developer Interest and Capacity—A number of those interviewed thought that the lack of builders and trades people in many of the rural counties was a significant barrier to housing production. It is neither convenient nor cost efficient for developers or technical assistance providers to travel to the central and eastern portions of the state. On top of this, the projects tend to be of smaller scale with lower profit margins than those in the urban areas or the growing western counties and southern Nye County. • Building Codes and Zoning—Several identified local regulatory barriers that make housing development more costly. Participants pointed to the need for “one stop shops” for building permits. Some also felt that local building codes and regulations placed unreasonable demands developers of new and rehabilitated housing. • Housing Planning/Lack of Data—A common complaint among those interviewed is that there is little information available about housing conditions in the rural communities. Much of the information on need is anecdotal; it is difficult to shape public policy without hard data. Several respondents expressed interest in the creation of housing plans tailored to the needs of individual rural communities. • Credit History—Finally, bad credit and/or lack of a credit history among potential homebuyers was viewed as an enormous barrier to homeownership across the rural counties. C. Areas of the State that Are Underserved • Many of those interviewed saw an extraordinary need for affordable housing in the growing western counties, in Dayton Valley, Fernley, Carson City, Virginia City, Incline Village, Minden and Gardnerville, and in southern Nye County in Pahrump. Here, land is unavailable, prices are escalating, and there is very little social infrastructure to support affordable housing development. • Even in some of the communities where home prices have remained stagnant, some of those saw great housing need. Because much of the development expertise and resources are located in the urban areas, the central and eastern counties tend to be underserved. D. Opportunities for Expansion of Housing Programs • Single Family Home Development—The most oft-cited response by those interviewed was the need for more single-family home development and 14 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report—Summary of Findings affordable homeownership opportunities. One interviewee is watching federal legislation related to the creation of a new Single-Family Housing Tax Credit, which would function somewhat like the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit for multi-family development. • USDA-538 Program—There has been very little utilization of the Section 538 Loan Guarantee Program in Nevada. With the phasing out of the Section 515 program, the 538 program should be looked at more closely. The program provides an interest subsidy on the first $1 million of debt as well as credit enhancement on the entire loan amount, which can result in a lower cost of funds. • Self-Help Housing—The USDA Section 523 Self-Help Housing program continues to be a very popular program across the rural areas. Those interviewed thought that there will be continued opportunities for expansion of this program. • Use of NRHA Section 8—A number of the rental housing operators interviewed pointed out that NRHA could be putting its Section 8 rental voucher portfolio to work in supporting the new construction and rehabilitation of rental housing. • Housing Planning and Technical Assistance—As identified above, there is a great need for housing planning in the rural counties. Those interviewed identified several potential sources of funds for housing planning and technical assistance, including the rural Community Development Block Grant program, USDA-RD, and HUD. • Policy Development Related to Mobile Homes and Manufactured Housing—Some respondents saw an opportunity to embrace mobile homes and manufactured housing as a viable alternative to stick-built construction in the rural communities. They saw opportunities for public policy initiatives to improve the quality, affordability and financeability of this ubiquitous housing stock. Many felt that manufactured or system-built housing might provide some solutions for housing in the rural areas and should be pursued further. • BLM Land—Finally, a number of those interviewed cited the new BLM land program for affordable housing as an exciting potential area of expansion. Many rural communities have BLM land near existing land settlement. 15 CHAPTER TWO: DEMOGRAPHIC AND HOUSING DATA Introduction In this section of the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report, we review demographic and housing trends and their implications for housing planning across the fifteen rural counties. The data summarized in this section comes from a variety of sources including: • • • • • • 1990 and 2000 U.S Census (population and housing characteristics); Nevada State Demographer (population projections); Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation (employment data); HUD State of the Cities Database (housing affordability measures, building permit data); Nevada Housing Division, USDA-Rural Development, Nevada Rural Housing Authority and HUD (Lists of subsidized housing developments and Housing Choice Vouchers); and, Multiple Listing Service (MLS) home sale data from various county realtor associations. From this information, we have compiled three-page “County Data Sheets” for each of the fifteen rural counties. The data sheets provide “at a glance” information about current demographic and housing conditions and historic trends, including: Population • Population size and growth projections • Median income and poverty rate • Household size • Size of different age cohorts • Prevalence of individuals with disabilities Subsidized Housing Characteristics • Number of units and developments • Target population (family, elderly disabled) • Funding sources and presence of rental assistance • Housing Choice Voucher usage • Subsidized units as a % of total rental units Employment • Employment by industry • Size of the labor force • Unemployment rate Housing Affordability Measures • Median rent • % of renter households with a high rent burden • Median home sale price • Estimated gap between 80% of median income and a median-priced home • % of owner households with a high shelter cost burden Housing Characteristics • Number of housing units • Vacancy rate • Homeownership rate • Units in structures (single-family vs. multi-family) • Units lacking plumbing • Building permits issued The fifteen County Data Sheets can be found in the Rural Housing Data Book, which is an attachment to the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report. Also included in the Data Book is a list of all subsidized housing developments, sorted by city, town, and county, and a tabulation of Housing Choice rental voucher usage and waiting lists by county. We believe the data sheets will be a useful tool for local policy makers and planners in understanding local housing conditions and in comparing conditions across counties. The narrative in this section is intended to be a complement to the County Data Sheets. Below, we walk through the sections of the Data Sheet—Population, Employment, Housing Conditions, Housing Affordability—and analyze trends, both over time and geographically. We also present summary tables for comparisons across counties and with the state as a whole. 16 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Again, the information in this section should be read with the qualitative data in the other sections of the Assessment (the housing mail survey, the key informant interviews) for a fuller picture of current conditions. Population The State of Nevada experienced tremendous population growth in the 1990s and is expected to continue to grow at a fast rate through 2010. This mirrors the trend seen in many of the western states. From 1990-2000, the State grew 66.3%, the highest growth rate in the nation; it is projected to grow 40.3% between 2000 and 2010. The majority of this growth is occurring in Clark County, the Las Vegas metropolitan area, with an 85.6% change in population from 19902000, and an expected 49.6% increase from 2000-2010. Washoe County (Reno/Sparks area), while also experiencing strong growth, is expanding at a much slower pace than Las Vegas (33.3% and 22.4%, respectively). As seen in Table 1, Nevada’s 15 rural counties on average grew 37.6% from 1990-2000, about half the rate of the State as a whole. Similarly, from 2000-2010 the rural areas are expected to increase 16.9%, less than half of the State’s anticipated growth rate. Table 1: Population by Rural County 1990, 2000, 2010 % Chg County 1990 2000 90-00 Carson City 40,443 52,457 29.7% Churchill County 17,938 23,982 33.7% Douglas County 27,637 41,259 49.3% Elko County 33,530 45,291 35.1% Esmeralda County 1,344 971 -27.8% Eureka County 1,547 1,651 6.7% Humboldt County 12,844 16,106 25.4% Lander County 6,266 5,794 -7.5% Lincoln County 3,775 4,165 10.3% Lyon County 20,001 34,501 72.5% Mineral County 6,475 5,071 -21.7% Nye County 17,781 32,485 82.7% Pershing County 4,336 6,693 54.4% Storey County 2,526 3,399 34.6% White Pine County 9,264 9,181 -0.9% 2010 58,840 29,489 50,383 44,058 890 1,384 15,212 4,154 4,222 54,385 3,597 45,185 7,040 3,523 8,545 % Chg 00-10 12.2% 23.0% 22.1% -2.7% -8.3% -16.2% -5.6% -28.3% 1.4% 57.6% -29.1% 39.1% 5.2% 3.6% -6.9% Rural Total 330,907 16.9% State of Nevada 1,201,833 1,998,257 66.3% 2,804,372 Source: U.S. Census and Nevada State Demographer 40.3% 205,707 283,006 37.6% From 1990-2000 significant growth was seen in Churchill, Douglas, Elko, Lyon, Nye, Pershing and Storey Counties, with Nye (82.7%) and Lyon (72.5%) showing the most rapid increases. During the decade from 2000-2010 growth in the rural counties is anticipated to slow and even decline in half of the counties. The largest gains are expected in Lyon (57.6%) and Nye (39.1%) with Churchill, Douglas and Carson City also anticipated to grow significantly. Most of these rapidly growing counties are in northwestern Nevada where there is spillover from Washoe County as well as significant in-migration from California. Nye County, in southern Nevada, is also experiencing a spillover effect from Las Vegas, especially in the Pahrump area. 17 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Counties such as Storey and Carson City, which exhibited strong growth in the 1990s, are expected to show limited growth in the future primarily due to a lack of buildable land. High development pressure is pushing growth into neighboring counties—Douglas, Lyon and Churchill. While Nevada’s rural counties as a whole show notable population gains, a number of counties are experiencing population loss. Four counties in the 1990s exhibited losses. Esmeralda and Mineral Counties each experienced an over 20% decline in population, with Lander and White Pine showing less precipitous drops. From 2000-2010, population decline is expected in seven counties, including some counties (Elko and Humboldt) that experienced significant gains in the 1990s. Mineral and Lander are both anticipated to decrease nearly 30%. Less dramatic declines are expected in Elko, Esmeralda, Eureka, Humboldt, and White Pine. Most of these counties, which are located in north/northeastern Nevada, are heavily dependent on the mining industry, with its boom/bust cycles. In recent months, the mining industry has once again experienced a resurgence in some of the rural counties—Elko, Lander and White Pine—which will have an impact on population numbers and housing statistics. Affordable housing needs will be evident primarily in fast growing areas where housing production may lag behind population growth and may be priced beyond many local residents’ ability to pay. In addition, in areas that are losing jobs and population, affordable housing may be needed despite lower housing costs because of lack of new production. Race/Ethnicity The State of Nevada and its 15 rural counties are becoming more diverse. In 2000, all of the rural counties had a larger percentage of non-Hispanic, white residents than the State (75.2%), except Mineral (74.3%). The Hispanic/Latino population is the largest ethnic group in both the State (18.9% in 2000) and in each rural county, except Mineral where the American Indian population is the largest group, comprising 16.1% of the populace. From 1990 to 2000, the white/non-Hispanic population declined as a percentage of the population in every county, whether the county gained or lost population. The greatest increases in minority groups as a percent of county inhabitants was generally in the Asian and Black populations, with some counties showing significant increases in Hispanic residents (Elko, Carson City, and Nye) and American Indian population (Eureka and Mineral). Pershing County experienced a large increase in its Black residents from 0.3% of total population in 1990 to 5.4% in 2000. As Nevada’s rural counties become more diverse, there may be some implications for housing, including new housing preferences and occupancy patterns, affordability for low-wage service employees, and issues with fair housing access and lending practices. Income Median household income in 2000 in Nevada’s rural counties was typically lower than the State median ($44,581), except in five counties—Douglas, Elko, Humboldt, Lander and Storey. Douglas had the highest median income ($51,849), 16.3% higher than the State. Lincoln had lowest ($31,979), 28.3% lower than the State median. Median income figures are sometimes higher in counties whose economies are based on mining, like Elko, Humboldt and Lander. However, this may mask a bifurcated local economy with many lower wage service positions. Income levels increased across the rural counties in the 1990s with the largest percent increases seen in Lyon and Lincoln (62.4% and 53.2%, respectively). The smallest income increases were observed in Nye (19.2%) and Mineral (25.2%). 18 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends We believe that between 2000 and 2004, household income was relatively stagnant, based on the HUD Area Median Incomes (AMI) data, which is presented in the Homeownership Affordability section of this narrative. While population growth and income showed significant increases in the 1990s, the percent of people who fall under the poverty level has remained relatively stable, rather than declining. Some of the newcomers to the rural areas may be of lower income. In some counties dependent on mining, job losses may have pushed people below the poverty level. Table 2 presents an overview of poverty status among the 15 rural counties. The average poverty threshold for a family of four persons was $12,674 in 1989 and $17,029 in 1999. Poverty thresholds are applied on a national basis and are not adjusted for regional, State or local variations in the cost of living. Table 2: Poverty Status by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 County # % # Carson City 3,040 8.0% 4,923 Churchill County 1,920 11.0% 2,041 Douglas County 1,848 6.8% 2,976 Elko County 3,089 9.4% 3,947 Esmeralda County 206 15.5% 146 Eureka County 157 10.3% 206 Humboldt County 1,294 10.3% 1,539 Lander County 668 10.7% 720 Lincoln County 495 14.4% 626 Lyon County 2,381 12.1% 3,513 Mineral County 804 12.8% 761 Nye County 1,840 10.5% 3,454 Pershing County 560 13.0% 599 Storey County 240 9.5% 195 White Pine County 924 10.9% 866 Rural Total State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census % 10.0% 8.7% 7.3% 8.9% 15.3% 12.6% 9.7% 12.5% 16.5% 10.4% 15.2% 10.7% 11.4% 5.8% 11.0% % Chg 90-00 61.9% 6.3% 61.0% 27.8% -29.1% 31.2% 18.9% 7.8% 26.5% 47.5% -5.3% 87.7% 7.0% -18.8% -6.3% 19,466 9.8% 26,512 9.7% 36.2% 119,660 10.2% 205,685 10.5% 71.9% Between 1990 and 2000, for both the State and the rural counties as a whole, the number of people below the poverty line has increased. The percent of the population below the poverty line has remained stable at around 10%. There is great variation among the rural counties, however, with eight counties in 2000 higher than the State average and seven counties below the State level. Storey has the lowest percent poverty (5.8%) while Lincoln has the highest poverty rate (16.5%). Nye County had the greatest increase in the number of people below the poverty line (87.7%) but also had the fastest population growth in the 1990s (82.7%). As a result, the percent of Nye’s residents considered poverty status stayed virtually the same (10.5% 1990 to 10.7% 2000). Douglas County experienced a similar pattern. Carson City, however, had a large increase in the number of people with poverty status (61.9% increase) but also saw a significant gain in the percent of the residents considered poverty status (8.0% in 1990 to 10.0% in 2000). 19 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Several counties exhibited a decline in percent poverty status 1990-2000 despite significant population growth. Storey County is a particularly stark example. Its population increased 34.6%, but the county saw a 18.8% decline in the number with poverty status. The percent poverty status declined dramatically from 9.5% in 1990 to 5.8% in 2000. Affordability is a significant issue for low-income Nevadans. Based on raw numbers between 1990 and 2000, there are more people who cannot afford market-rate housing. Despite increases in incomes and population during the 1990s, the percentage of the population with poverty status has not lowered. In the 2000s, the need for affordable housing is likely to increase, as incomes languish and housing costs rise. Households Nationally, the average household size has declined from 2.63 in 1990 to 2.59 in 2000. However, in the State of Nevada, the household size has increased from 2.53 to 2.62. Nevada’s increase could be explained by the in-migration of families from other states, as well as the growth in population groups that tend to have larger families, such as the Hispanic/Latino population and the continued strong presence of the Mormon religion in Nevada. The average household size increased in the 1990s in six of Nevada’s rural counties and declined in nine counties. Increases were seen primarily in northwestern counties in Carson, Lyon, Humboldt, Churchill and Pershing, with Elko County, in the northeast, showing the greatest increase, from 2.79 to 2.85. The county with the largest household size in 2000 was Elko at 2.85. Esmeralda had the smallest at 2.12. Two-thirds of counties had lower average household sizes than State. Age Data on the population <18 years and 65+ years in 1990 and 2000 is presented in Tables 3 and 4. Nevada as a whole has seen about 72% growth in the number of people in both age cohorts in the 1990s. In the 15 rural counties, however, there has been a larger increase in the number of elderly people (52.2%) than among children (34.3%). As a percentage of the population, the State has seen a small increase in the <18 population from 24.7% to 25.6% whereas the rural counties have seen a small decline (27.3% to 26.7%). The percent of the population age 65+ has increased more in the rural areas (11.6% to 12.8%) than in the State as a whole (10.6% to 11.0%). Between 1990 and 2000, Carson City and Humboldt County exhibited the greatest increase in the percentage of population <18 years, albeit only about one percentage point increase. The 65+ population during this same time frame exhibited over a six-percentage point increase in Mineral, Esmeralda and Nye Counties, suggesting large retired and elderly populations. In 2000, the rural county with the highest percentage of children was Elko (32.5%) followed closely by Lander (32.2%). Storey had the smallest percentage of people <18 years (19.7%). The county with the largest percentage of people 65+ in 2000 was Mineral (19.8%) followed by Nye at 18.4%. The smallest percentage of elderly residents was in Elko (5.9%). 20 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Table 3: Population <18 Years by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 County # % # % Carson City 9,037 22.3% 12,271 23.4% Churchill County 5,055 28.2% 6,935 28.9% Douglas County 7,072 25.6% 9,910 24.0% Elko County 10,810 32.2% 14,699 32.5% Esmeralda County 323 24.0% 199 20.5% Eureka County 425 27.5% 459 27.8% Humboldt County 3,895 30.3% 5,062 31.4% Lander County 2,141 34.2% 1,863 32.2% Lincoln County 1,282 34.0% 1,255 30.1% Lyon County 5,462 27.3% 9,345 27.1% Mineral County 1,875 29.0% 1,237 24.4% Nye County 4,412 24.8% 7,706 23.7% Pershing County 1,320 30.4% 1,719 25.7% Storey County 586 23.2% 669 19.7% White Pine County 2,565 27.7% 2,220 24.2% Rural Total % Chg 90-00 35.8% 37.2% 40.1% 36.0% -38.4% 8.0% 30.0% -13.0% -2.1% 71.1% -34.0% 74.7% 30.2% 14.2% -13.5% 56,260 27.3% 75,549 26.7% 34.3% 296,948 24.7% 511,799 25.6% 72.4% Table 4: Population 65+ Years by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 County # % # % Carson City 6,041 14.9% 7,837 14.9% Churchill County 2,297 12.8% 2,865 11.9% Douglas County 3,352 12.1% 6,257 15.2% Elko County 2,042 6.1% 2,676 5.9% Esmeralda County 148 11.0% 167 17.2% Eureka County 128 8.3% 205 12.4% Humboldt County 934 7.3% 1,213 7.5% Lander County 371 5.9% 403 7.0% Lincoln County 599 15.9% 673 16.2% Lyon County 3,019 15.1% 4,743 13.7% Mineral County 846 13.1% 1,005 19.8% Nye County 2,179 12.3% 5,984 18.4% Pershing County 504 11.6% 520 7.8% Storey County 263 10.4% 446 13.1% White Pine County 1,090 11.8% 1,239 13.5% % Chg 90-00 29.7% 24.7% 86.7% 31.0% 12.8% 60.2% 29.9% 8.6% 12.4% 57.1% 18.8% 174.6% 3.2% 69.6% 13.7% State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census Rural Total State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 23,813 11.6% 36,233 12.8% 52.2% 127,631 10.6% 218,929 11.0% 71.5% 21 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Interesting age trends are seen among those four counties that exhibited population losses in the 1990s. In Esmeralda, Lander, Mineral and White Pine Counties, the <18 population both declined in number and percent of the population, but the 65+ age group increased not only in percent of the population but in actual numbers. This is most likely attributed to aging in place rather than a notable in-migration of elderly residents. In the four counties that experienced the largest population growth in the 1990s—Douglas, Lyon, Nye, and Pershing—the percentage of the population under 18 declined, but the changes in the 65+ percentage varied. In Douglas and Nye, the percentage increased significantly among the 65+ age group, suggesting resettlement for retirement, whereas in Lyon and Pershing, the percentage declined. As a general observation, affordable housing needs in the rural areas for both families and elderly people have increased from 1990 to 2000, and are expected to continue in the 2000s as the population is projected to grow in most counties. The data indicates that additional housing for the elderly may be a higher priority overall given the faster growth in this age group in the rural areas. Disability Data on disabilities among county and State residents in 2000 was gathered to highlight the need for barrier-free housing for this population. In six counties—Esmeralda, Lincoln, Lyon, Mineral, Nye and Storey—the proportion of residents with disabilities is much higher than the overall State percentages. In each of the 15 rural counties, the percent of the population with a physical disability alone accounted for 6% to 15% of the population over age five. In places like Nye and Carson City, this equated to around 4,000 people in each county. The number of subsidized housing units specifically for disabled people, however, is sorely lacking in most counties. More detail on existing affordable housing for the disabled is discussed below. Employment By Industry Employment data for 2003 was gathered for the State of Nevada and each rural county. Nevada’s employment base is primarily in leisure and hospitality industry (27.9%), followed by trade, transportation and utilities (17.9%) government (12.4%) and professional and business services (11.1%). The vast majority of rural counties show the highest percentage of their employment in government. Other notable industries in the rural counties include trade, transportation and utilities, leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and manufacturing. Among the rural counties, only two—Douglas and Elko—show higher percentages of their employment bases in leisure and hospitality (44.0% and 33.4%, respectively). Mining, while only comprising 0.8% of the State’s employment base, is very significant in five of Nevada’s counties. Almost 90% of Eureka’s employment in 2003 is in the mining industry. Lander and Esmeralda both have over 25% of their employment base in mining. Humboldt and Pershing both have close to 20% of employment in the mining sector. Four other counties—Nye, Mineral, Storey and Elko—also have economic ties to the mining industry with between five and ten percent of their employees in 2003 working in mining. The boom/bust cycles in the mining industry have a significant effect on these counties. White Pine County, although only showing 3.6% of its employment in mining, is historically tied to the mining industry. As mentioned above, in recent months, the mining industry has once again resurged in Elko, Lander and White Pine. 22 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Planning for affordable housing can be difficult in those counties affected by the mining boom/bust cycles. In boom times, there are problems with both housing affordability and availability. As previously mentioned, high median income statistics in some counties with significant mining employment mask the large number of workers in the low-income service sector who may need assistance with shelter costs. Unemployment Unemployment rates for 1990, 2000 and 2003 are presented on Table 5. The State of Nevada is consistently at or below the national average. In 2003, the United States unemployment rate was 6.0% compared to the State at 5.2%. Storey County has had the lowest unemployment rates of all counties over the 1990 to 2003 time frame, coming in at 3.2% in 2003. The highest rate in 2003 was for Lyon County at 6.9%. Fluctuations in the unemployment rates are most evident in two of the counties most dependent on mining—Esmeralda and Eureka. Between 2000 and 2003 Esmeralda’s rate dropped from 9.5% to 3.9% whereas Eureka’s rate increased from 2.9% to 5.6%. Mineral County and Carson City have also seen significant shifts in their unemployment rates over time. Table 5: Unemployment Rates by Rural County 1990, 2000, 2003 % Chg County 1990 2000 2003 90-00 Carson City 6.1% 3.4% 6.4% -44.3% Churchill County 6.6% 8.1% 6.1% 22.7% Douglas County 5.1% 4.0% 5.4% -21.6% Elko County 5.0% 4.4% 5.5% -12.0% Esmeralda County 6.1% 9.5% 3.9% 55.7% Eureka County 5.7% 2.9% 5.6% -49.1% Humboldt County 5.5% 5.1% 5.0% -7.3% Lander County 6.7% 7.7% 7.1% 14.9% Lincoln County 7.0% 6.5% 6.6% -7.1% Lyon County 6.3% 6.7% 6.9% 6.3% Mineral County 6.1% 10.0% 6.4% 63.9% Nye County 3.6% 5.5% 6.4% 52.8% Pershing County 4.8% 4.0% 5.5% -16.7% Storey County 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 16.7% White Pine County 6.7% 3.9% 3.9% -41.8% State of Nevada 4.9% 4.0% 5.2% -18.4% Source: Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation % Chg 00-03 88.2% -24.7% 35.0% 25.0% -58.9% 93.1% -2.0% -7.8% 1.5% 3.0% -36.0% 16.4% 37.5% 14.3% 0.0% 30.0% Housing Vacancy Rates Vacancy rates have a direct correlation with housing affordability. Housing costs tend to go down when vacancy rates increase. Inversely, a low percentage of housing units that are vacant typically signals higher housing costs. Demand pushes housing costs up, especially in high growth areas. Table 6 shows vacant housing units for 1990 and 2000. 23 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends The percent of housing units that are vacant varies significantly between counties. In 2000, Carson City had the lowest vacancy rate at 5.2%, and Esmeralda the highest at 45.4%. Other counties with vacancy rates under 10% include Churchill, Storey and Lyon, all high growth counties in northwestern Nevada. While vacancy data is not available for 2004, we suspect that these markets have tightened considerably. Table 6: Vacant Housing Units by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 County # % # % Carson City 733 4.4% 1,112 5.2% Churchill County 624 8.6% 820 8.4% Douglas County 3,550 25.1% 2,605 13.7% Elko County 1,684 12.5% 2,818 15.3% Esmeralda County 378 39.1% 378 45.4% Eureka County 200 24.5% 359 35.0% Humboldt County 506 10.0% 1,221 17.6% Lander County 374 14.5% 687 24.7% Lincoln County 475 26.4% 638 29.3% Lyon County 1,042 11.9% 1,272 8.9% Mineral County 465 15.5% 669 23.3% Nye County 1,409 17.5% 2,625 16.5% Pershing County 294 15.4% 427 17.9% Storey County 79 7.3% 134 8.4% White Pine County 686 17.2% 1,157 26.1% % Chg 90-00 51.7% 31.4% -26.6% 67.3% 0.0% 79.5% 141.3% 83.7% 34.3% 22.1% 43.9% 86.3% 45.2% 69.6% 68.7% Rural Total 12,499 14.0% 16,922 13.7% 35.4% State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 52,561 10.1% 76,292 9.2% 45.1% For the State and the rural counties as a whole, the percent of housing units that are vacant declined slightly between 1990 and 2000, from 10.1% to 9.2% at the State level and 14.0% to 13.7% across the rural areas. The overall number of vacant units increased over the decade, but so did the total number of housing units,. Only three counties, Douglas, Lyon and Nye exhibited declines in the percent of vacant units. In Douglas the drop is dramatic from 25.1% to 13.7%, and represents an absolute decline in the number of vacant units. Lyon and Nye are less striking (11.9% to 8.9% and 17.5% to 16.5%, respectively). In four counties—Eureka, Lander, Mineral and White Pine—the increase in the percent of housing units that are vacant is significant (eight or more percentage points). These counties are mining areas and/or have experienced significant population declines. At the end of the section, we discuss data on rental housing and homeownership affordability, both of which correlate with changes in vacancy rates. Owner Occupied Housing Units The good news is that homeownership rates increased in every rural county and in the State as a whole in the 1990s. Table 7 shows that the percentage of housing units across Nevada that are owner occupied increased from 54.8% in 1990 to 60.9% in 2000. The Rural Total increased a bit slower, from 66.3% to 71.3%. 24 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends The homeownership rate is almost 80% in Storey County, the highest of the 15 counties. Carson City, the only urban entitlement community across the rural counties, has the lowest percent of owner occupied units at 63.1%. Pershing County had the greatest gain in the 1990s in homeownership, from 60.7% to 69.5%, almost nine percentage points. Churchill and Carson City both increased the slowest, just under three percentage points. Table 7: Owner Occupied Housing Units by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 % Chg County # % # % 90-00 Carson City 9,582 60.3% 12,724 63.1% 32.8% Churchill County 4,204 63.1% 5,866 65.8% 39.5% Douglas County 7,285 68.9% 12,183 74.3% 67.2% Elko County 7,592 64.5% 10,937 69.9% 44.1% Esmeralda County 355 60.4% 305 67.0% -14.1% Eureka County 421 68.2% 491 73.7% 16.6% Humboldt County 3,054 67.3% 4,179 72.9% 36.8% Lander County 1,555 70.3% 1,615 77.2% 3.9% Lincoln County 974 73.5% 1,156 75.1% 18.7% Lyon County 5,560 72.4% 9,857 75.8% 77.3% Mineral County 1,681 66.5% 1,593 72.5% -5.2% Nye County 4,677 70.2% 10,167 76.4% 117.4% Pershing County 980 60.7% 1,363 69.5% 39.1% Storey County 734 73.0% 1,166 79.8% 58.9% White Pine County 2,392 72.6% 2,515 76.6% 5.1% Rural Total State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 51,046 66.3% 76,117 71.3% 49.1% 255,388 54.8% 457,247 60.9% 79.0% According to a recent report by the Federal Reserve Bank, Nevada’s homeownership rate in 2002 was 65.5%, an increase of almost five percentage points since 2000. The report points out, however, that Nevada ranks poorly, at 44th in the nation, on its rate of homeownership.1 Although homeownership increased in the 1990s and early 2000s, the trend is expected to flatten out. Incomes have generally been stagnant for the last four years and interest rates have been increasing, resulting in an affordability gap in many counties. Homeownership affordability will be discussed below. Housing Types Information on housing types in the rural counties is highlighted in Tables 8-10. Table 8 shows the percentage of single-family detached housing. Table 9 presents statistics on mobile homes and Table 10 provides data on multiple family/other housing types. 1 “Environmental Assessment of the State of Nevada: A Guide to Nevada’s Community Development Landscape,” by Scott Turner, Community Affairs Department, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, December 2004. 25 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Table 8: Single Family Detached Housing by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 % Chg County # % # % 90-00 Carson City 8,315 50.0% 11,982 56.3% 44.1% Churchill County 4,067 55.8% 5,797 59.6% 42.5% Douglas County 9,025 63.9% 13,786 72.5% 52.8% Elko County 5,965 44.3% 9,330 50.6% 56.4% Esmeralda County 257 26.6% 266 31.9% 3.5% Eureka County 257 31.5% 334 32.6% 30.0% Humboldt County 2,421 48.0% 3,175 45.7% 31.1% Lander County 867 33.5% 947 34.1% 9.2% Lincoln County 1,028 57.1% 1,314 60.3% 27.8% Lyon County 4,598 52.7% 7,849 55.0% 70.7% Mineral County 1,665 55.6% 1,789 62.4% 7.4% Nye County 2,212 27.4% 6,187 38.8% 179.7% Pershing County 915 48.0% 1,023 42.8% 11.8% Storey County 681 62.8% 1,013 63.5% 48.8% White Pine County 2,719 68.3% 3,131 70.5% 15.2% Rural Total 44,992 50.3% 67,923 54.9% 51.0% 235,912 45.5% 432,437 52.3% 83.3% Table 9: Mobile Homes by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 # % # Carson City 2,921 17.6% 2,985 Churchill County 1,979 27.1% 2,422 Douglas County 1,489 10.5% 1,662 Elko County 4,906 36.4% 5,636 Esmeralda County 522 54.0% 408 Eureka County 502 61.4% 599 Humboldt County 2,043 40.5% 2,943 Lander County 1,572 60.8% 1,543 Lincoln County 590 32.8% 581 Lyon County 3,382 38.8% 4,878 Mineral County 799 26.7% 721 Nye County 5,044 62.5% 7,878 Pershing County 756 39.6% 1,044 Storey County 294 27.1% 405 White Pine County 862 21.6% 808 % 14.0% 24.9% 8.7% 30.5% 49.0% 58.4% 42.3% 55.5% 26.7% 34.2% 25.2% 49.4% 43.7% 25.4% 18.2% % Chg 90-00 2.2% 22.4% 11.6% 14.9% -21.8% 19.3% 44.1% -1.8% -1.5% 44.2% -9.8% 56.2% 38.1% 37.8% -6.3% Rural Total 27,661 30.9% 34,513 27.9% 24.8% State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 69,655 13.4% 79,861 9.7% 14.7% State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 26 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Table 10: Multiple Family/Other Housing by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 % Chg # % # % 90-00 Carson City 5,392 32.4% 6,316 29.7% 17.1% Churchill County 1,244 17.1% 1,513 15.5% 21.6% Douglas County 3,607 25.5% 3,558 18.7% -1.4% Elko County 2,590 19.2% 3,490 18.9% 34.7% Esmeralda County 187 19.4% 159 19.1% -15.0% Eureka County 58 7.1% 92 9.0% 58.6% Humboldt County 580 11.5% 836 12.0% 44.1% Lander County 147 5.7% 290 10.4% 97.3% Lincoln County 182 10.1% 283 13.0% 55.5% Lyon County 742 8.5% 1,552 10.9% 109.2% Mineral County 530 17.7% 356 12.4% -32.8% Nye County 817 10.1% 1,869 11.7% 128.8% Pershing County 237 12.4% 322 13.5% 35.9% Storey County 110 10.1% 178 11.2% 61.8% White Pine County 401 10.1% 500 11.3% 24.7% Rural Total State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 16,824 18.8% 21,314 17.2% 26.7% 213,291 41.1% 315,159 38.1% 47.8% The percent of single family housing units is similar between the State and the Rural Total, both around 50% in 2000. In both cases, the share of single-family units as a proportion of all housing units increased between 1990 and 2000. When looking at the percent of housing units that are mobile homes and multifamily/other, however, the State and the rural areas differ significantly. Mobile homes account for only 9.7% of all housing units in the State but an impressive 27.9% of the housing stock in the rural counties. Mobile homes as a percentage of all housing units declined in all counties between 1990 and 2000, except Humboldt, which has seen an increase from 40.5% to 42.3%. The percentage of the housing stock that is multifamily/other housing is much lower in the rural counties (17.2%) than in the State (38.1%). As with mobile homes, the percentage of multifamily/other units has declined in the 1990s for both the State and the rural areas. In some rural counties—Douglas, Esmeralda, Mineral—the absolute number of multifamily/other units has declined, meaning there is no replenishment of this valuable housing stock. In 2000, Eureka and Lander Counties had the lowest percentages of single-family units (about 33%) and the highest number of mobile homes (over 55%). As to be expected, the percentage of multiple family/other units is low in these counties (around 10%). These counties and others with similar housing-type patterns depend heavily on mining for their economies. The boom/bust cycles make low-cost and readily available mobile homes an attractive housing alternative to stick-built housing. On the other end of the spectrum, Douglas County has the highest percent of single-family units (72.5%) and the lowest percentage of mobile homes (8.7%). Multiple family/other units are on the high end of the rural percentages in Douglas at 18.7%, which is still much lower than the State average. Carson City has the largest percentage of all rural counties of multiple family/other housing (29.7%). 27 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends As affordable housing plans are developed for the rural counties, particular attention should be paid to the low percentage of multiple family housing found in the rural areas. A discussion of building permits below highlights the lack of new and replacement multi-family units in the rural counties. Median Year Built The median year that housing stock is built provides a good marker for the demand for and the upkeep and maintenance of quality housing. According to the 2000 Census, White Pine County has by far the oldest housing stock with a median year built of 1958. Mineral County has the next oldest housing stock, coming in at 1971. Nye County has the most current housing units with a median year built of 1991. This ranking reflects the fact that Nye County had a large demand for housing in the 1990s as evidenced by its 82.7% population increase. Lyon and Elko have the next youngest housing stock –1987. Housing Units Lacking Complete Plumbing Table 11 highlights the housing units that lack complete plumbing in 1990 and 2000. Although the numbers are small, the percentages increased slightly for both the State and the rural counties as a whole. The State in 2000 had 0.7% of housing units without all plumbing fixtures, compared to 1.5% for the rural areas. Table 11: Housing Units Lacking Complete Plumbing by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 % Chg County # % # % 90-00 Carson City 18 0.1% 39 0.2% 116.7% Churchill County 80 1.1% 140 1.4% 75.0% Douglas County 31 0.2% 111 0.6% 258.1% Elko County 150 1.1% 515 2.8% 243.3% Esmeralda County 82 8.5% 56 6.7% -31.7% Eureka County 28 3.4% 44 4.3% 57.1% Humboldt County 101 2.0% 107 1.5% 5.9% Lander County 31 1.2% 76 2.7% 145.2% Lincoln County 68 3.8% 72 3.3% 5.9% Lyon County 67 0.8% 120 0.8% 79.1% Mineral County 52 1.7% 147 5.1% 182.7% Nye County 162 2.0% 234 1.5% 44.4% Pershing County 23 1.2% 67 2.8% 191.3% Storey County 12 1.1% 7 0.4% -41.7% White Pine County 94 2.4% 124 2.8% 31.9% Rural Total State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census 999 1.1% 1,859 1.5% 86.1% 2,702 0.5% 5,598 0.7% 107.2% 28 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Esmeralda County has the highest percentage of its housing stock with incomplete plumbing, 6.7%, down from 8.5% in 1990. Mineral County, on the other hand, exhibited a significant increase in its percentages, from 1.7% in 1990 to 5.1% in 2000. Carson City has the lowest percentage of housing units without total plumbing (0.2%) followed by Storey County at 0.4%. The fact that any housing in Nevada has incomplete plumbing is undesirable and is likely a result of inadequate household incomes to pay for the facilities. Affordable housing programs can help remedy this situation of substandard housing. Building Permits Building permit data for single family and multiple family housing from 1997 through October 2004 is presented on each of the county data sheets. Generally, the data shows little or no construction of multiple family housing in most rural counties over this time frame. Carson City, Douglas and Lyon show the greatest numbers of multiple family housing construction. No multiple family housing has been constructed in Lander, Lincoln, Mineral, Pershing or White Pine since 1997. No data is available for Nye and some of the smaller counties. The lack of new and replacement multiple family housing units in the rural areas is likely due to low economic incentives to build such projects. The lower incomes in the rural areas are not sufficient to support the rents necessary for new multi-family construction. On top of this, the primary subsidy program for financing affordable multi-family rural housing—the USDA Section 515 Program—has seen severe cut-backs in the last five years, primarily in the area of rental assistance. In the absence of subsidy, some of the traditional developers of rural multifamily housing in Nevada have chosen to sit on the sidelines. On the ownership side, builders and developers have shied away from condominium and townhouse development because of the potential of lawsuits for building defects. Subsidized Housing Table 12 presents a compilation of all subsidized rental housing developments and units located in the rural counties. These developments were financed primarily by the Nevada Housing Division (NHD) using the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit Program, various HUD programs (Project-Based Section 8, 811, 202, 226, 221(d)(3), etc.), and USDA-Rural Development, under the 515 program. A number of the developments received both USDA 515 and NHD tax credit financing. Most of the subsidized housing developments in rural Nevada have rental assistance. In addition, we tabulated the presence of Housing Choice Rental Vouchers administered by Nevada Rural Housing Authority (NRHA) across the rural counties. The vouchers are tenantbased, meaning that the rental assistance travels with the tenant as he/she seeks an apartment. Most vouchers in the rural areas are used in private, unsubsidized housing, including singlefamily homes, apartments, and mobile homes. Currently there are almost 5,000 subsidized housing units in rural Nevada, including 1,419 (29%) tenant-based rental vouchers. The NRHA is authorized to distribute 1,543 total vouchers. Over 25% of rural Nevada’s subsidized housing is in Carson City. Three counties each have over 10% of the rural share—Elko (19.2%), Nye (11.4%) and Churchill (10.2%). Four counties, Esmeralda, Storey, Eureka and Mineral each have less than 1% of the housing share. The rural counties have 30,711 total renter occupied housing units, 16.1% of which are subsidized. Three counties have over 20% of their rental housing in subsidized units: White 29 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Pine (24.1%), Pershing (20.4%) and Elko (20.2%). Two counties, Esmeralda and Storey, have less than 1% of their rental housing stock subsidized. Three additional counties have under 10% of their housing subsidized—Eureka, Mineral and Douglas. Table 12: Subsidized Housing Units As A Percent Of All Renter Occupied Units by Rural County 2004/2005 Subsidized Units Renter Occupied Units % Subsdzd % of % of Units of All County Total Rural NV Total Rural NV Rental Units Carson City 1,246 25.3% 7,447 24.2% 16.7% Churchill County 505 10.2% 3,046 9.9% 16.6% Douglas County 409 8.3% 4,218 13.7% 9.7% Elko County 948 19.2% 4,701 15.3% 20.2% Esmeralda County 1 0.0% 150 0.5% 0.7% Eureka County 12 0.2% 175 0.6% 6.9% Humboldt County 276 5.6% 1,554 5.1% 17.8% Lander County 76 1.5% 478 1.6% 15.9% Lincoln County 65 1.3% 384 1.3% 16.9% Lyon County 477 9.7% 3,150 10.3% 15.1% Mineral County 45 0.9% 604 2.0% 7.5% Nye County 562 11.4% 3,142 10.2% 17.9% Pershing County 122 2.5% 599 2.0% 20.4% Storey County 2 0.0% 296 1.0% 0.7% White Pine County 185 3.8% 767 2.5% 24.1% Rural Nevada Total 4,931 100.0% 30,711 100.0% 16.1% Source: Nevada Rural Housing Authority, Nevada Housing Division, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and USDA Rural Development A list of all subsidized housing developments by county is included in the “Rural Housing Data Book,” which is an attachment to this report. The Data Book also includes information on Housing Choice Voucher usage by county, and waiting lists for elderly and disabled applicants. The County Data Sheets also indicate the number of developments and units that are specifically set-aside for the elderly or the physically disabled, and the number of vouchers that are currently being utilized by those populations. Based on this data, we believe that there is a need for more housing for the physically disabled and elderly populations across the rural counties. Currently, 421 vouchers are in use for the disabled, with an additional 73 used for the disabled who are also elderly. As mentioned earlier, there are about 4,000 people with physical disabilities in both Carson City and Nye County alone. Carson City currently has 191 disabled and elderly/disabled voucher recipients. Nye has only 89 disabled voucher recipients. Six counties have five or fewer disabled or elderly/disabled voucher recipients—Eureka, Esmeralda, Storey, Pershing, Lander and Lincoln. And, there is virtually no multi-family housing specifically for the physically disabled. Among all units funded by NHD, HUD, USDA in the rural areas, there are only 24 multi-family units exclusively for the physically disabled, all in Carson City. In terms of elderly housing, the rural counties have experienced a greater increase in the 65+ years population than in the <18 years cohort. This trend is expected to continue as the overall population ages. While additional subsidized housing for families is warranted in many counties, the needs of the elderly population for affordable housing may be a priority. 30 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Currently there are 2,133 people on the NRHA’s waiting list for Housing Choice Voucher assistance. Elderly and disabled applicants receive a priority. According to the NRHA, the annual turnover rate is 500 to 600 clients. Typically only 30% of those on the waiting list respond resulting in about one year to service the 2,133 people on the list. Availability of more vouchers and other subsidized housing options would reduce the lag time between qualifying for rental subsidies and actually securing affordable housing. Median Gross Rent Although median gross rent in the State of Nevada has increased between 1990 and 2000, income also increased, so the percent of household income spent on rent remained fairly stable at about 26%. Table 13 shows the changes in median rent and in rent as a percent of income for the rural counties. Table 13: Median Gross Rent by Rural County 1990, 2000 1990 2000 % of % of County $ Hhld Inc $ Hhld Inc Carson City $480 27.4% $650 26.6% Churchill County $459 24.4% $595 23.0% Douglas County $621 26.3% $780 26.1% Elko County $435 21.9% $583 21.2% Esmeralda County $351 16.8% $381 13.8% Eureka County $424 14.3% $469 15.5% Humboldt County $449 18.4% $531 19.0% Lander County $374 18.8% $496 18.4% Lincoln County $264 21.7% $328 26.6% Lyon County $391 25.0% $591 24.1% Mineral County $432 20.8% $398 17.9% Nye County $380 17.7% $541 22.0% Pershing County $389 21.1% $498 20.9% Storey County $441 27.8% $513 18.2% White Pine County $387 21.2% $452 19.6% State of Nevada Source: U.S. Census $509 26.8% $699 26.5% % Chg % Chg of $ % Hhld Inc 90-00 90-00 35.4% -2.9% 29.6% -5.7% 25.6% -0.8% 34.0% -3.2% 8.5% -17.9% 10.6% 8.4% 18.3% 3.3% 32.6% -2.1% 24.2% 22.6% 51.2% -3.6% -7.9% -13.9% 42.4% 24.3% 28.0% -0.9% 16.3% -34.5% 16.8% -7.5% 37.3% -1.1% Median rents vary significantly across counties. Nye County and those areas in northwestern Nevada that have experienced rapid growth tend to have higher rents. In 2000, Douglas had the highest median rent, $780, compared to the State’s at $699. Three counties, Lincoln, Esmeralda, and Mineral, all had median rents under $400, with Lincoln at $328. Esmeralda and Mineral both lost significant population in the 1990s. Lyon and Nye, the two fastest growing counties in the 1990s, saw tremendous increases in median rents (51.2% and 42.4% change). Mineral, on the other hand, is the one county whose median rent actually declined by 8% from 1990-2000. Unfortunately, current 2005 rent data is not available in the rural areas, and is not tracked by any third-party collector of economic data. (Current rent and vacancy data is readily available from a variety of sources for both Washoe and Clark Counties.) As discussed earlier, vacancy rates have a direct correlation with housing affordability. Housing costs tend to go down when vacancy rates increase. Inversely, a low percentage of housing units 31 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends that are vacant typically signal higher housing costs. Demand pushes housing costs up, especially in high growth areas. This is particularly evident in places like Douglas and Lyon, high growth counties where the percent of housing that was vacant between 1990 and 2000 dropped significantly and the rental costs increased substantially. Nye County, on the other hand, another rapidly growing area, showed a relatively low drop in the proportion of vacant units but housing costs raised dramatically. Rent as a proportion of income in 2000 in all rural counties is either comparable to or less than the State’s rate of 26.5%. Esmeralda has the lowest rate with 13.8% of its income devoted to rent. Carson City and Lincoln are the highest at 26.6%. Across the rural counties, the percentage of income spent on rent generally went down in the 1990s. Income gains in the 1990s typically outstripped increases in median rent. Four counties, however, show the opposite trend. Nye and Lincoln experienced large increases in the amount of income used on rent, while Eureka and Humboldt saw smaller gains. Two counties, Storey and Esmeralda, saw significant reductions in rent as a proportion of income. As previously discussed, incomes have languished in the 2000s and housing costs have increased. As rental rates continue to rise, a higher percentage of income will be devoted to housing costs. Affordable housing programs can help off-set this trend for those unable to devote more income to shelter costs. Rental Housing Affordability Tables 14 and 15 highlight data on rental housing affordability, specifically statistics on those households who pay high percentages of their incomes on rent. As seen in Table 14, 39.1% of Nevada’s households in 2000 paid 30% or more of their income on rent.2 Of these households 17.0% spent 50% or more of their income on rent. A lower percentage of rental households in the rural counties exceed the 30% rental burden, with the exception of Carson City, where 39.6% spent 30%+, and 19.0% exceeded 50%+ of their incomes on rent. Esmeralda and Eureka have the lowest percentage of households paying 30%+, while Humboldt and Lincoln have the smallest proportion paying 50%+ on rent. Page Three of each County Data Sheet includes a graph depicting the data presented in Table 14. From 1990 to 2000, the percent of households who paid 30% or more on rent declined in twothirds of the rural counties. Four of the five counties that showed an increase in rent burden rely heavily on the mining industry. Nye, with its phenomenal population growth, especially in the 65+ age group, reported the largest gains in renter households with a high rent burden, from 19.3% in 1990 to 29.7% in 2000. Table 15 displays households in 1990 and 2000 whose incomes are 50% or less of HUD’s Area Median Income (AMI). Further, it shows how many of these especially at-risk households pay more than 30% of their income on rent. In the State and rural counties as a whole, the proportion of households with incomes at 50% or less of HUD’s AMI increased in the 1990s to 31.7% for the State in 2000 and 34.6% for the Rural Total. This means that while incomes went up in the 1990s, a sizeable percentage of rural households were left behind. Almost two-thirds of these very low-income households pay more than 30% of their income on rent. This percentage of approximately 63% rent-burdened households remained fixed in the 1990s. In Nevada as a 2 HUD considers those renter households paying more than 30% of their income on rent to have a “high rent burden” and those paying more than 50% of their income on rent to have a “severe rent burden.” Obviously, for low-income households, this burden is even greater, since there is less disposable income left after rent to cover other essential living expenses. 32 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends whole, the percentage of very low income household with a 30%+ rent burden declined from 78% to still high 76%. Table 14: Rental Housing Affordability by Rural County 1990, 2000 Number Households Paying 30%+ and 50%+ of Household Income on Rent* 1990 2000 % Chg 2000 # % of # % of 30%+ # % of County 30%+ Hhld Inc 30%+ Hhld Inc 90-00 50%+* Hhld Inc Carson City 2,732 43.5% 2,945 39.6% 7.8% 1,416 19.0% Churchill County 725 31.8% 725 24.6% 0.0% 368 12.5% Douglas County 1,122 34.9% 1553 37.3% 38.4% 670 16.1% Elko County 1,051 26.3% 1146 25.0% 9.0% 462 10.1% Esmeralda County 38 17.4% 20 13.5% -47.4% 14 9.5% Eureka County 19 10.9% 23 14.2% 21.1% 12 7.4% Humboldt County 248 17.5% 322 21.0% 29.8% 85 5.5% Lander County 121 19.6% 112 24.1% -7.4% 41 8.8% Lincoln County 91 27.7% 117 30.8% 28.6% 22 5.8% Lyon County 634 33.3% 913 30.7% 44.0% 315 10.6% Mineral County 245 29.8% 124 21.2% -49.4% 42 7.2% Nye County 369 19.3% 931 29.7% 152.3% 463 14.8% Pershing County 142 26.0% 127 22.8% -10.6% 55 9.9% Storey County 108 40.6% 77 25.9% -28.7% 44 14.8% White Pine County 223 26.0% 172 23.3% -22.9% 63 8.5% Rural Total 7,868 State of Nevada 83,011 * 50%+ data not available in 1990. Source: U.S. Census 31.7% 9,307 30.9% 18.3% 4,072 13.5% 39.7% 114,455 39.1% 37.9% 49,693 17.0% Table 15: Rental Housing Affordability by Rural County 1990, 2000 Households With Incomes 50% or Less of HUD AMI Paying >30% of Household Inc on Rent Hholds With Inc 50% or < HUD AMI Paying >30% of Hhold Inc on Rent 1990 2000 1990 2000 % of % of % Chg % of % of % Chg County # Hhld # Hhld 90-00 # Hhld # Hhld 90-00 Carson City 1,966 32.8% 2,556 34.3% 30.0% 1,628 82.8% 2,028 79.3% 24.6% Churchill County 802 32.9% 989 32.5% 23.3% 529 66.0% 551 55.7% 4.1% Douglas County 665 20.5% 1,293 30.7% 94.4% 485 72.9% 979 75.8% 102.0% Elko County 1,398 34.2% 1,522 32.5% 8.9% 794 56.8% 842 55.3% 6.0% Esmeralda County 97 40.4% 52 33.1% -46.4% 33 34.0% 20 38.5% -39.3% Eureka County 46 26.6% 84 45.4% 82.6% 13 28.3% 28 33.4% 115.4% Humboldt County 384 27.4% 556 36.7% 44.8% 162 42.2% 259 46.6% 60.0% Lander County 180 29.7% 173 36.7% -3.9% 86 47.8% 71 41.0% -17.5% Lincoln County 208 53.1% 256 66.8% 23.1% 91 43.8% 92 35.9% 1.0% Lyon County 811 39.4% 1,049 33.5% 29.3% 451 55.6% 657 62.6% 45.6% Mineral County 327 38.2% 205 34.9% -37.3% 179 54.8% 104 50.7% -41.9% Nye County 578 29.4% 1,232 39.6% 113.1% 308 53.3% 764 62.0% 148.0% Pershing County 252 38.8% 233 38.5% -7.5% 137 54.3% 117 50.2% -14.6% Storey County 92 37.6% 83 27.9% -9.8% 64 69.6% 59 71.1% -7.8% White Pine County 318 36.3% 308 40.9% -3.1% 182 57.2% 148 48.1% -18.6% Rural Total 8,124 32.2% 10,591 34.6% 30.4% 5,143 63.3% 6,720 63.4% 30.7% State of Nevada 61,655 30.0% 92,989 31.7% Source: HUD State of the Cities Database 50.8% 48,192 78.2% 70,509 75.8% 46.3% 33 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends In several counties—Nye, Douglas, and Eureka—the percentage of very low-income households increased significantly in the 1990s, as did the number of these households with a rent burden. As could be expected based on other affordability indicators discussed above, Esmeralda and Mineral showed the greatest declines in the number of very low-income households and number of rent-burdened households. Lincoln County, by far, has the largest percentage of its households in 2000 falling with income at 50% or less of the AMI. The proportion of these households that pay more than 30% on rent, however, is average, and has actually gone down in the 1990s. These statistics correlate with the low gross median rent found in Lincoln County. Shelter costs there are less than in all other counties. Storey has the lowest percentage of very low-income households (27.9%); however, a large proportion of these households (71.1%) pay more than 30% on rent. With high median rents, Carson City and Douglas also show over three-fourths of their 50% AMI households paying more than 30% on rent. In Carson City this is down from a staggering 82.8% in 1990, but in Douglas the percentage is up to 75.8% from 72.9%. Eureka has the lowest share of households in the 30% rent category (33.4%). As incomes in the 2000s stagnate and housing costs rise, very low income households are especially vulnerable. The percentage of households paying more than 30% or 50% of income on rent is expected to increase in this decade, signaling a greater need for affordable housing units. Median Value of Owner-Occupied Housing Units Median owner occupied home values for 1990, 2000, and when available, 2004, are listed in Table 16. The 2004 data is from realtor associations in Northern Nevada and Elko County. Nevada saw an almost 50% increase in the 1990s in median home price from $95,700 to $142,000 in 2000. Two counties had home values higher than the State median in 2000—Douglas at $181,800 and Carson City at $147,500. Mineral had the lowest median home value at $59,500 and the smallest percent change over 1990 (4.6%). Although Esmeralda shows the largest percent change 1990-2000 (82.6%), the actual value in 2000 is still low at $75,600. Since 2000, housing values have increased exponentially in some counties for which we were able to secure data. Storey, Douglas and Carson City have all had phenomenal increases in housing values between 2000 and 2004. Storey’s median home value increased a remarkable 121.6% over four years, from $134,800 to $298,758, compared to 99.4% for Douglas (from $181,800 to $362,500) and 69.3% for Carson City (from $147,500 to $249,733). Housing demand is very strong in these counties primarily from people moving from California. These newcomers are able to purchase housing in Northern Nevada for far less than what they sold their homes for in California. It is likely that median gross rents in these counties have also increased significantly since 2000. However, current rental data is not available for the rural counties. Home values in Elko County have stagnated since 2000. In the 1990s, home prices rose 51%, from $81,600 to $123,100, compared to 1.5% from 2000-2004 (from $123,100 to $125,000). Part of Elko County’s economy is based in the mining industry, which has languished in recent years but is currently experiencing a resurgence. 34 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Table 16: Median Value of Owner-Occupied Units by Rural County 1990, 2000, 2004 % Chg % Chg County 1990 2000 90-00 2004 00-10 Carson City $99,300 $147,500 48.5% $249,733 69.3% Churchill County $84,500 $117,100 38.6% $148,060 26.4% Douglas County $121,000 $181,800 50.2% $362,500 99.4% Elko County $81,600 $123,100 50.9% $125,000 1.5% Esmeralda County $41,400 $75,600 82.6% n/a n/a Eureka County $54,600 $89,200 63.4% n/a n/a Humboldt County $74,000 $117,400 58.6% n/a n/a Lander County $58,300 $82,400 41.3% n/a n/a Lincoln County $50,900 $80,300 57.8% n/a n/a Lyon County $74,900 $119,200 59.1% $166,208 39.4% Mineral County $56,900 $59,500 4.6% n/a n/a Nye County $70,800 $122,100 72.5% n/a n/a Pershing County $66,500 $82,200 23.6% n/a n/a Storey County $99,500 $134,800 35.5% $298,758 121.6% White Pine County $53,000 $70,000 32.1% n/a n/a State of Nevada $95,700 $142,000 48.4% n/a n/a Source: U.S. Census, Northern NV Assoc. of Realtors and Elko Co. Assoc. of Realtors Homeownership Affordability We carried out a homeownership gap analysis for all rural counties for 1990 and 2000, and when home value data was available, for 2004. The housing affordability gap is the dollar difference between the cost of purchasing a median priced home and a hypothetical buyer’s ability to pay. We set the buyer’s income at 80% of HUD AMI, which is the maximum income level for qualifying for Federal HOME funds, which is a common downpayment subsidy source. Table 17 presents the gap calculated for each rural county. This analysis is presented in tabular and line chart format on Page Three of each of the 15 County Data Sheets. When the gap analysis results in a negative number, it indicates that incomes are sufficient to cover the cost of purchasing a home. The larger the negative number the more affordable it is in that locality to purchase a home. A positive number indicates that there is a “gap,” a dollar difference, between income levels and the ability to pay for a home. The larger the positive number the less affordable the community. The gap calculations are based on the HUD AMI for each county, average mortgage rates by time period, and median reported home values. As noted elsewhere, the HUD Area Median Family Income (AMI) for most counties showed large increases in the 1990s, mirroring median household income growth, but have slowed considerably and even declined in some areas from 2000 to 2004. Lincoln County, however, is posting an unusually large increase in AMI in the 2000s, up 61.7% since 2000. Lyon and Storey also experienced higher than average gains in AMI in the 2000s, both near 20%. Interest rates also have a major impact on affordability. As interest rates go down, the debt service on a mortgage also goes down, and a buyer can assume a higher mortgage. Based upon Mortgage Bankers Association data, the average annual interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 10.01% in 1990, 8.04% in 2000, and 5.83% in 2004. Therefore, a buyer’s purchasing power increased significantly between 1990 and 2004, based upon the lower cost of funds alone. 35 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Based upon this gap analysis, the potential homebuyers at 80% of AMI were able to afford a home in about half of Nevada’s rural counties. These counties are primarily located in north/northeastern Nevada. Counties with positive gaps, signally lack of affordability, are generally located in northwestern Nevada and Nye and Lincoln in the south. Housing was least affordable in Douglas with a $51,952 gap in 2000 and most affordable in Eureka and White Pine, both with a gap around -$40,000 in 2000. Table 17: Homeownership Affordability GAP by Rural County 1990, 2000, 2004 % Chg % Chg County 1990 2000 90-00 2004 00-10 Carson City $30,438 $24,804 -18.5% $98,579 297.4% Churchill County $36,441 $15,982 -56.1% $15,569 -2.6% Douglas County $49,773 $51,952 4.4% $178,329 243.3% Elko County $23,770 -$8,304 -134.9% -$35,795 -331.1% Esmeralda County -$15,009 -$17,130 -14.1% n/a n/a Eureka County $11,938 -$40,932 -442.9% n/a n/a Humboldt County $19,398 -$3,372 -117.4% n/a n/a Lander County -$5,046 -$34,516 -584.0% n/a n/a Lincoln County $1,920 $19,831 932.9% n/a n/a Lyon County $18,986 $32,816 72.8% $34,766 5.9% Mineral County $7,312 -$30,451 -516.5% n/a n/a Nye County $9,865 $13,688 38.8% n/a n/a Pershing County $19,624 -$19,402 -198.9% n/a n/a Storey County $33,418 $9,423 -71.8% $109,171 1058.6% White Pine County -$4,829 -$40,166 -731.8% n/a n/a Source: U.S. Census, HUD State of the Cities Database, Northern NV Assoc. of Realtors and Elko Co. Assoc. of Realtors Between 1990 and 2000, as interest rates dropped and incomes increased, all but four counties showed an improvement in homeownership affordability. Affordability declined between 1990 and 2000 in high growth counties like Douglas, Lyon and Nye. The biggest improvement in affordability was in White Pine where the gap dropped –731.8% from -$4,829 to -$40,166. The greatest increase in gap occurred in Lincoln (932.9%) from $1,920 to $19,831. From 2000 to 2004, only one of the six counties for which home value data was available is affordable. Elko’s housing values have remained stable while interest rates have declined. The other five counties, all in northwestern Nevada, have become significantly less affordable over the four year period, except for Churchill. While Churchill’s gap improved slightly, it was still $15,569 in 2004. The most dramatic change in homeownership affordability occurred in Storey, increasing 1058.6% from $9,423 to $109,171. The largest gap is in Douglas at $178,329. Keep in mind that the affordability gap over these four years increased while interest rates dropped. In 2005, interest rates are starting to climb, and housing demand in northwestern Nevada continues to be strong from the influx of Californians. This, along with generally stagnate growth in median income, will produce even larger housing affordability gaps in these northwestern counties. 36 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Demographic and Housing Trends Percent Owner Households With Any Housing Problems Data on the percent of owner-occupied households that have any housing problems in 1990 and 2000 is presented in Table 18. Housing problems include a shelter cost burden greater than 30% of income (the most prevalent issue) and/or overcrowding and/or without complete kitchen or plumbing facilities. In every rural county except three, the percentage of owner-occupied households with any housing problems increased—this while incomes generally increased in the 1990s. This suggests that while the homeownership rate increased in the rural areas throughout the 1990s, some households were assuming a high shelter cost burden to become homeowners. During economic downturns, these at-risk households are more susceptible to financial crises that can lead to bankruptcy and mortgage default. Of the 12 counties that increased in the percent of owner-occupied households with housing problems, three experienced over a 50% change: Eureka, Nye and Pershing. In fact, Eureka increased dramatically, by 90.1%, likely due to fluctuations in the mining industry. Only three of the 15 rural counties show a decline in housing problems—Esmeralda, Lander and Lincoln. The first two counties are mining dependent and lost population in the 1990s. In 2000, the counties with the highest percent of owner-occupied households with any housing problems were Lyon and Pershing, both over 30%, and both showing strong population growth in the 1990s. The counties with the lowest percents were Lander, White Pine and Lincoln, all around 17%. Table 18: % Owner Households With Any Housing Problems by Rural County 1990, 2000* 1990 2000 % Chg County % % 90-00 Carson City 19.6% 25.7% 31.1% Churchill County 22.9% 24.9% 8.7% Douglas County 24.6% 29.6% 20.3% Elko County 20.8% 27.0% 29.8% Esmeralda County 22.5% 18.1% -19.6% Eureka County 15.2% 28.9% 90.1% Humboldt County 21.8% 28.0% 28.4% Lander County 18.2% 17.4% -4.4% Lincoln County 17.7% 17.5% -1.1% Lyon County 24.5% 31.7% 29.4% Mineral County 18.2% 18.5% 1.6% Nye County 17.1% 27.7% 62.0% Pershing County 18.9% 30.0% 58.7% Storey County 27.0% 27.7% 2.6% White Pine County 15.9% 17.4% 9.4% State of Nevada 34.7% 30.4% -12.4% *Cost burden greater than 30% of income and/or overcrowding and/or without complete kitchen or plumbing facilities. Source: HUD State of the Cities Database 37 CHAPTER THREE: SURVEY OF NACO AND NLC&M MEMBERS Introduction As an important element of the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report, NRHA, in collaboration with the Nevada Association of Counties and the Nevada League of Cities & Municipalities, administered a short mail survey to NACO and NLC&M members across the state. The response rate was phenomenal, perhaps attesting to the urgency of the topic in the minds of respondents: housing affordability, availability, and upkeep. Below, we detail the findings of this rich source of qualitative data about perceived housing needs. The narrative is organized as follows. First, we describe the methodology, including who responded and the response rate. In the remainder of the narrative, we provide an analysis of the survey responses, including sections on perceived housing need, barriers to affordable housing, and the presence of housing planning in different jurisdictions. The full survey tabulation, a list of those contacted, and a copy of the survey instrument are included as attachments to this report. Methodology In June 2004, the Nevada Rural Housing Authority mailed a 2-page housing survey to local governments in all 17 Nevada counties. The Statewide Housing Needs Assessment Survey was co-sponsored by the Nevada Association of Counties and the Nevada League of Cities & Municipalities, which co-signed the cover letter to the survey and encouraged their member organizations to take part. The survey (in the attachments) consisted of a number of short answer and ranking questions designed to measure the perceived need for a variety of housing products, and the barriers to the creation of affordable housing in each locality. While the focus of the Nevada Rural Housing Authority’s work is the 15 rural counties, the survey was also mailed to representatives in Washoe and Clark County, and so provides a statewide picture of perceived housing conditions. The response rate was very high for a mail survey of this sort. Of the 80 government staff and public officials contacted, 47 (58.8%) returned the completed survey. Each county is represented by at least one respondent. This response rate is particularly significant given that a number of the communities contacted do not have full-time planning or community development staff. The type of respondent differed by county. In larger urban areas, the respondents were typically community development and planning staff. In smaller and rural communities, the respondents included city managers, county commissioners, and economic development administrators. The following narrative provides a summary of responses by topic area. Housing Need We first asked respondents on a scale of “1” to “5,” with “1” begin a high priority and “5” being a low priority, how they would “rank affordable housing among the many competing needs in [their] community.” Most respondents ranked affordable housing as a high or moderately high priority in their community (a ranking of “1” or “2”). Among the respondents, 53.2% (25 out of 47) ranked 38 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings affordable housing as a high or moderately high priority. In the 2 urban counties, the perceived need was even higher: 66% (6 out of 9) ranked affordable housing as a high or moderately high priority.1 Perceived Housing Priority 70.0% 60.0% Percentage 50.0% 40.0% Moderately High High Priority 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% All Counties Rural Counties Urban Counties WNHC Area Respondents The perceived need among respondents may have been even higher. Based upon later openended questions, it appears that some respondents personally felt that the need for affordable housing was very great, but thought that there was not support for more affordable housing in their local community. As a follow-on question, we asked respondents what they saw as the greatest housing needs or problems in their locality. Specific housing needs varied by community. In the large urban areas, there was a stated need for more affordable housing serving very low-income residents. Entry-level homeownership was another perceived need. In Carson, Douglas. Lyon, Churchill, and Nye Counties, which have experienced significant recent growth, respondents were concerned about rising land and housing costs, lack of developable sites, lack of affordable rental housing, and housing upkeep and code violations. The perceived needs in the less populated rural counties focused on housing and mobile home abandonment, code violations, and the boom and bust cycles that make planning for housing difficult. 1 The responses were analyzed in four geographic groupings: 1) all 17 Nevada counties; 2) the 2 urban counties, Washoe and Clark; 3) the 15 rural counties; and 4) the Western Nevada HOME Consortium (WNHC) area, which consists of 7 rural counties in Northwest Nevada: Carson, Douglas, Storey, Lyon, Churchill, Pershing, and Mineral. 39 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings Housing as a Barrier to Economic Development Most respondents viewed the lack of affordable housing as a barrier to local economic development. Overall, 51.2% of respondents (22 out of 43) stated that the local workforce could not find suitable and affordable housing in the community. Many counties citied a shortage of both rental and ownership housing available to entry-level workers. This was true of respondents from Carson, Churchill, Clark, Douglas, Nye, Storey, and Washoe Counties. In Storey County, where a large industrial center is planned, officials are anticipating a great need for worker housing in the coming decade. In Humboldt County, a respondent cited the need for housing for casino and customer service workers. Several respondents noted that the demand for housing among retirees was driving up prices and making it difficult for local workers to compete. Specific Housing Needs We also asked local government representatives to rank the need for different housing products and programs. Overall, respondents saw the greatest need for low and moderate-income homeownership opportunities (70.2%, 33 out of 47, ranked this as either “very important” or “important”), affordable rental housing (65.9%, 31 out of 47), elderly housing (60.0%, 27 out of 45), and weatherization assistance (59.6%, 28 out of 47). Respondents perceived less but still considerable need in their communities for rental vouchers (34.8%, 16 out of 47), utility assistance (34.8%, 16 out of 47), special needs housing (39.1%, 18 out of 46), and barrier-free housing (39.1%, 18 out of 46). Housing Priorities (All Counties) 80.0% 70.0% Percentage 60.0% 50.0% Important 40.0% Very Important 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% H om eo w ne rs hi p O pp Re or n t Re ta uni n l H tie U tal ou s ti lit Vo sin y u g Sp A c ec Eld ss he ia er ist rs B l N ly an H ar ee Ho ce om ri d u e e r-F s H sin Re re o g W p e us ea A air H ing th pa A ou er rt ss sin iz m is g at e ta io nt nc n R e A eh ss a is b. ta nc e 0.0% 40 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings Housing Priorities (Rural Counties) 70.0% 60.0% Percentage 50.0% 40.0% Important 30.0% Very Important 20.0% 10.0% Ho m eo w ne rs hi p O pp Re ort nt un it Re al nt Ho ies us Ut al ilit Vo ing u y A ch Sp s ec Eld sis ers ia erl ta l y Ba Ne H nce Ho rr ed ou m ier- s H sin g e F Re re ous e i p W Ho ng a ea A ir th pa As usin er rtm sis g iz at en tan c io t R e n A eh ss ab is ta . nc e 0.0% Housing Priorities (Urban Counties) 120.0% Percentage 100.0% 80.0% Important 60.0% Very Important 40.0% 20.0% Ho m eo w ne rs hi p O pp Re or n t Re ta uni n l H tie Ut tal ou s ilit V si y ou ng Sp A c E ec ld ss her ia er ist s B l N ly an Ho ar ee Ho ce m rier ds us i e Re Fre Hou ng W pa e s ea A ir H ing th pa A ou s s er rt s in iz m ist g at en a io t nc n e A Reh ss a is b. ta nc e 0.0% However, there was a great variation in the responses by community. For instance, in the 15 rural counties, 63.1% of respondents (24 out of 38) ranked weatherization assistance as either “very important” or “important.” In the urban counties, only 44.4% (4 out of 9) ranked weatherization as either “very important” or “important.” Similarly, home repair assistance was perceived as a greater need in the rural counties (50.0%, 19 out of 38) than in the urban counties (44.4%, 4 out of 9). Interestingly, affordable rental housing was perceived as a great need in both the rural counties (65.8%, 25 out of 38) and the two urban counties (66.6%, 6 out of 9). However, low and 41 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings moderate-income homeownership housing was perceived as a greater need among respondents from the urban counties (100%, 9 out of 9) than from the rural counties (63.2%, 24 out of 38). Barriers to Affordable Housing We then asked respondents what they saw as the greatest barriers to affordable housing in their communities. Not surprisingly, the greatest identified barriers were “the price of construction and/or availability of contractors,” followed by the lack of available land. Across the 17 counties, 68.0% of respondents (32 out of 47) ranked the “price of construction and/or availability of contractors” as either a “1” or “2” on a 1 to 5 scale, indicating a significant or high barrier to affordable housing. 60.9% of respondents (28 out of 46) viewed “availability of developable land” as a significant or high barrier. Other identified barriers, in order of significance, were: “lack of experience in the community in developing affordable housing” (51.1%); “availability of infrastructure or funds for infrastructure improvements” (51.0%); and, “availability of subsidies for affordable housing” (47.8%). Again, the identified barriers differed between the urban and rural areas. For instance, among the 15 rural counties, 57.9% of respondents (22 out of 38) saw “lack of experience in the community developing affordable housing” as a significant or high barrier. Whereas in the urban counties, only 22% of respondents (2 out of 9) viewed this as a distinct barrier. And, NIMBY-ism was perceived as a great barrier in the urban counties (75%, 6 out of 8), and not so in the rural counties (31.6%, 12 out of 38). We expected local governments would report “concern about tax exemptions or abatements for affordable housing projects” as a barrier. However, across the state, this issue was not perceived as a significant barrier. Only 34.0% of respondents (16 out of 47) saw the affordable housing tax exemption as a significant or high barrier to local production. This low percentage held across both the rural and urban counties. Housing Barriers (All Counties) High Impact Ca pi ta N re l IM :T B ax Yis -E m xe La m ck pt of io Pr ns A ic va e i l. of La Co nd ns La tr uc ck tio La of n ck Su of bs La I i nf di ck es ra of st r De uc v. tu re Ex pe rie nc e Significant Impact Co nc er n A cc es s to Percentage 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 42 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings Housing Barriers (Rural Counties) 70.0% 60.0% Percentage 50.0% 40.0% High Impact 30.0% Significant Impact 20.0% 10.0% Co nc er n A cc es s to Ca pi ta N re l I M :T B Yax i -E sm xe La m ck pt of io Pr ns A ic va e i l. of La Co nd ns La tr uc ck tio La of n ck Su of bs La i I di nf ck es ra of st r De uc tu v. re Ex pe rie nc e 0.0% Housing Barriers (Rural Counties) 70.0% 60.0% Percentage 50.0% 40.0% High Impact 30.0% Significant Impact 20.0% 10.0% Co nc er n A cc es s to Ca pi ta N re l IM :T BY ax is -E m xe La m ck pt of io Pr ns A ic va e il. of La Co nd ns La tr uc ck tio La of n ck Su of bs La i I di nf ck es ra of st r De uc tu v. re Ex pe rie nc e 0.0% Need for Housing Planning Among the potential business opportunities for Nevada Rural Housing Authority is in assisting local communities with developing affordable housing plans. The survey confirmed the need for housing planning at the local level. When asked, “Does your community have a plan, including a housing element or consolidated plan, for addressing local housing need?” wholly half of the respondents in rural counties reported “no” (50%, 19 out of 38). Among all respondents, 40.4% (19 out of 47) reported the absence of any local housing plan. This is not surprising, since the HUD Consolidated Plan is only required in entitlement communities, which are all located in Clark and Washoe Counties. Carson City, whose population recently topped 50,000, and is now a HUD entitlement community, reported that it is 43 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings in the process of writing a Consolidated Plan as well as updating its land use master plan. Several communities reported having a housing element as part of their master plan, including Carson, Clark, Douglas, Elko, Fernley in Lyon County, and Washoe. However, as will be noted at the end of this narrative, a number of communities requested assistance from NRHA with formulating or updating local housing plans. Local Housing Plan? 120.0% Percentage 100.0% 80.0% No 60.0% Yes Don’t Know 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% All Counties Rural Counties Urban Counties WNHC Area Respondent Availability of BLM Land for Affordable Housing The Southern Nevada Public Land Management Act of 1998 allows for the sale of BLM land for affordable housing at a greatly discounted price, from 5% to 25% of the appraised value. In his 2005 State of the State address, Governor Guinn pointed to this program as a new and important tool for addressing housing needs. In the survey, we asked local governments whether there might be BLM land in their communities that would be appropriate future locations for market-rate and affordable housing. Over three-quarters of respondents (76.5%, 36 out of 47) responded in the affirmative. This percentage held in both the rural areas (73.7%, 28 out of 38) and urban areas (88.9% 8 out of 9). A number of counties reported having available BLM land adjacent to existing residential neighborhoods, and therefore within reach of infrastructure. Respondents in Carson City noted that they are in the process of revising their urban interface plan with the BLM—in particular noting available land along the eastern entry to the city. Clark County, also, is in the process of identifying parcels for nomination to the BLM for affordable housing. Brownfield Sites We also asked respondents whether there might be contaminated or “brownfield” sites in their communities that might, after remediation, be appropriate sites for housing. Only 12.8% (6 out of 47) were aware of appropriate brownfield sites in their counties. 44 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Mail Survey Findings Potential Roles for NRHA Finally, we asked local governments if they were familiar with the work of NRHA, and, as a follow-on, how NRHA could be of assistance to their communities in addressing local housing needs. Most respondents reported that they were familiar with the work of the agency. Across the 17 Nevada counties, 80.4% of respondents (37 out of 46) reported “yes” to this question. The familiarity was of course higher in the rural counties (83.8%, 31 out of 37) than the urban counties (66.7%, 6 out of 9), since NRHA does not currently operate in Clark and Washoe Counties. Fully 94.1% of respondents (16 out of 17) in the Western Nevada HOME Consortium region were familiar with NRHA. Perhaps most interesting were the ideas from local governments on how NRHA could be of assistance in addressing housing needs. These included: Education—“continue to be proactive emphasizing mixed-use and mixed-income housing,” “encourage and stimulate the economics of future projects,” “open invitation to NRHA to attend town board meetings and speak of your mission,” “monthly visits to community, “ “work with economic development authority,” “educating political decision makers would be very valuable.” Planning—“help preparing housing plans,” “update processes for housing elements,” “work with Navy on military housing issues,” “the adopted plan needs updating.” Networking—“copies of affordable housing agreements,” “information on other counties in Nevada,” “information and assistance securing grant funds for housing planning,” “better and more consistent contact with local governments and organizations regarding housing issues.” Project Development—“relocate low-income citizens from run-down mobile homes to real housing,” “onward with existing projects,” “look at multi-family housing and mixeduse development,” “find some property and build,” “affordable housing for future home owners,” “help rehabilitate old homes,” “get financing for new homes or acquisitions.” These ideas will be reviewed as part of NRHA’s strategic planning which is currently in process. 45 CHAPTER FOUR: KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEWS Introduction As part of the Rural Housing Needs Assessment Report, NRHA interviewed a over a dozen “key informants” in the affordable housing and community development field in 2004 and early 2005, including public agency staff, non-profit and for-profit developers, development consultants, property managers, and bankers. Those interviewed included: • Bill Brewer, Housing Director, USDA Rural Development • Joe Cobry, Director of Social Services, Churchill County • Carl Dahlen, Rural Economic Development Coordinator, Nevada Commission on Economic Development • Greg Evangelatos, Land Development Director, Landmark Communities • Holly Gregory, President, Westates Property Management • Ann Harrington, Affordable Housing Developer • Jay Hiner, VP Community Development, Nevada State Bank • Mike Lynch, Executive Director, Builders Association of Northern Nevada • Rex Massey, Planning Consultant • Joe McCarthy, Economic Development and Redevelopment Manager, Carson City • Amanda Mitchell, Program Officer, Fannie Mae Nevada Partnership Office • Bob Nielsen, President, Shelter, Inc. and Manage, Inc. • Debbie Parra, HOME Funds Coordinator, Nevada Housing Division • Charlene Peterson, Director, Fannie Mae Nevada Partnership Office • Eileen Piekarz, Housing Planner, Rural Community Assistance Corporation • Ron Trunk, Executive Director, Citizens for Affordable Housing, Inc. We asked respondents four primary questions: • What do you see as the greatest housing needs in the rural areas? • What do you see as the barriers in addressing those needs? • Are there areas of the state that are particularly underserved? Why? And, • Where do you see opportunities for expansion of housing programs? What type of programs? 46 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews To follow is a summary of their responses. We also draw upon two public input sessions in this narrative: a June 9, 2004 planning session at Nevada Rural Housing Authority, entitled “Financing Rural Housing,” which included participation from the local HUD office, USDA-Rural Development, and a number of local community development bankers; and the write-up of nineteen “Listening Sessions” carried out by the Nevada Rural Development Council in 2003 and 2004. The qualitative information in this analysis is designed to supplement the extensive quantitative data analysis on housing and demographic trends contained in other sections of the Housing Needs Assessment report. Some of the quantitative data comes from the Year 2000 U.S. Census, and is dated. Sometimes, the “on the ground” perceptions of developers, property managers, and funders are more direct and current than the available quantitative data. Housing Needs in the Rural Areas The housing needs in the fifteen rural counties can be summarized in three words: affordability, availability, and upkeep. Affordability—Most respondents were quick to point out an affordability crisis in several of the western rural counties, including Douglas, Carson City, Storey, Lyon and Churchill Counties, and in southern Nye County. Home prices and rents have increased as a spill-over of growth and appreciating land values in Washoe County and Lake Tahoe in the north and Las Vegas and unincorporated Clark County in the south. Those interviewed expressed concern about the lack of affordable homeownership opportunities, particularly for local service employees and first-time homebuyers. Some cited the influx of retirees from California with greater assets displacing local residents. One interviewee noted that the travel distances to work are becoming greater. As Carson City and Dayton get too expensive, workers are moving along Highway 50 to Silver Springs and Fernley to find affordable houses. Holly Gregory, from Westates Property Management, noted that several cities and towns in the east, including Elko, Ely and Battle Mountain, are also experiencing rising housing costs because of a resurgence in the mining industry in the last year. Bill Brewer of USDA Rural Development noted that affordability in these mining communities is a major concern for low-wage service employees. He added that the relatively high reported median incomes in some of these counties mask the bifurcated wage structure, with mining jobs paying well, and service positions paying poorly. In general, incomes across the rural areas are lower than in the urban areas. A number of respondents said that without rental subsidy it is very difficult to finance new multifamily rental housing production, in the rural counties. That is, the economic rent—that required to cover operations, replacement reserves, and debt service—is more than many local residents can afford to pay. Availability—Which segues well into the discussion of housing availability. In some western Nevada counties, housing is unavailable at any reasonable price, because of extreme development pressure, lack of buildable parcels, and water and infrastructure availability. Single-family home production in the western counties is not keeping pace with demand. 47 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews On the multi-family side, there has been little production over the last decade, because of warranty liability claim on condominiums and the declining availability of rental subsidy. Vacancy rates in existing rental developments in many towns remain under 5.0%. Eileen Piekarz from Rural Community Assistance Corporation (RCAC) expressed concern that as USDA-RD Section 515 rental developments reach their twenty-year expiration period, owners in communities with appreciating land value will decide to opt out of the program, resulting in a further loss of valuable subsidized rental units. Even in communities where housing prices have remained relatively stable, there is a lack of available housing options. Several of those interviewed pointed to a need for alternatives to mobile homes in some of the smaller rural communities. Because of the boom and bust cycles in mining communities it is very difficult to plan for and finance new stick-built construction. According to an article in the Reno Gazette-Journal, the town of Jackpot, on the northeast Nevada border with Idaho, has a severe lack of housing for local employees.1 Mike Lynch from the Buildings Association of Northern Nevada reported that homebuilders have traditionally neglected the central and eastern counties, because of the small scale of projects and the distance from their urban bases. Housing Upkeep—Finally, and related to the above issues of affordability and availability, is housing upkeep and abandonment. This is a significant issue in the smaller central and eastern rural counties, where the housing stock tends to be older and in poorer condition. Rural Nevada Development Corporation in Ely operates a weatherization and housing rehabilitation program in the eastern counties. Ferrell Hansen, the Executive Director, reports the difficulty of fixing up this older housing stock, where the cost of home repairs could top the entire appraised value of the property. The multi-family rental housing stock in many communities is also old, with very limited replacement reserves and little possibility of re-capitalization for repairs. Perhaps the largest builder of multi-family housing in the rural communities is the Gregory Development Group, which owns and operates over 60 developments with over 3,000 units. Holly Gregory, the co-founder, reports that much of their portfolio is subsidized with rental assistance through the Section 515 Program. However, USDA-RD has not made rental assistance available in Nevada for several years and is phasing out the program. As a result, the Gregory Development Group has not developed any new multifamily housing. The company has focused, instead, on identifying physically distressed developments that already have rental assistance, which they then rehabilitate using the low-income housing tax credit program. Eileen Piekarz of RCAC discussed the problem of abandonment of mobile homes in some rural communities. As mining jobs move, there is often no economic incentive to move the mobile home to the next job. So, it is left behind to decay. Barriers to Addressing Housing Needs Not surprisingly, those interviewed had a lot to say about the perceived barriers to addressing housing needs. In the fast growing rural counties, the barriers included the high cost of land and construction, the lack of available subsidy, NIMBY-ism, and the lack of local government support. In the smaller central and eastern rural counties, the barriers included the boom and bust economic cycles, depressed housing values, lack of rental subsidy, and the lack of developer interest. Across the state, there was 1 “Cactus Petes, Jackpot’s Biggest Casino, Nearly Full All Year,” Reno Gazette-Journal, April 15, 2004. 48 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews concern about the poor credit histories of potential homebuyers, which is a significant barrier to mortgage financing, as well as the desire for more data on housing needs and thoughtful planning, which would include the participation of local governments. Rental Subsidy—Again, topping the list of barriers to addressing local housing needs, is the lack of available rental subsidy. Every person interviewed who is involved in multi-family housing production raised this issue. Without rental subsidy, there is no economic incentive to invest in new multi-family housing or the rehabilitation of older stock. As one respondent observed, “the U.S. Government has abdicated its responsibility to provide affordable housing…” The lack of available rental subsidy puts the Nevada Rural Housing Authority in a privileged position, as the sole operator of the Section 8 voucher program in the rural counties. Many respondents thought that NRHA could provide a valuable service by project-basing some of its voucher portfolio to support worthy projects in communities with a lack of available rental housing. As one respondent observed, the purpose of the Housing Choice voucher is to provide tenants with a choice of places to live. But, if there is no rental housing in a community, then there is no choice. Land Availability and Cost—Land availability was cited as a major problem in the western counties. There are virtually no new available parcels in Douglas, Carson City, Storey, and Lyon Counties. Several cities and town in central and eastern Nevada are reported to be land-locked as well, with federal land on all sides. Water and Infrastructure—Related to this is the difficulty of bringing water and other infrastructure to rural sites for development. This becomes a particular barrier for affordable housing projects, which cannot carry the significant overhead costs of financing new sewers, water, and roads in an undeveloped area. Several interview participants pointed to the need for better community planning so that affordable housing is provided in concert with other community infrastructure, such as school, public facilities and roads, rather than as an afterthought. Depressed Housing Values—In many of the central and eastern counties, home values have not kept pace with development costs. When the final appraised value of a home is less than the cost to construct it, there is little economic incentive to build new, or even to maintain existing properties. Boom and Bust Cycles—The economic peaks and troughs, driven by mining activity in some rural communities, makes housing planning particularly difficult. As Eileen Piekarz of RCAC noted, the housing of choice inevitably becomes mobile homes, which cost less and can be moved or abandoned when the jobs move elsewhere. Availability of Financing and Subsidy—Interviewees said that there were not enough sources of financing and subsidy for affordable housing projects in the rural communities. Most federal and state resources are distributed on a per capita basis, meaning that approximately14% of the available resources (HUD HOME funds, State Housing Trust Funds, Low-Income Housing Tax Credits, Tax-Exempt Volume Cap, etc.) must be spread across 15 of the 17 Nevada counties. Currently, there are enough 9% tax credits in the rural areas for one approximately 40-unit project per year. One respondent noted that the state tax-exempt bond program is not a practical financing source in the rural areas because: 1) the Volume Cap each county receives 49 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews individually is not enough by itself to finance a housing project; and 2) under the State Multi-Family Bond Program, each financing requires a separate issuance of bonds, making smaller housing projects—say, less than 100 units—impractical. On top of this, the Western Nevada HOME Consortium, representing the seven western rural counties, virtually shut its doors last year, with several million dollars in HOME funds unallocated. Some respondents see this as both a barrier, and as a potential future opportunity for re-crafting public policy with regard to affordable housing in the western counties. Charlene Peterson from the Fannie Mae Nevada Partnership Office cited a lack of lenders and originator in some rural counties. She thought that potential homebuyers in some rural are poorly served by large or out-of-state lenders, who may not have staff on the ground to visit the property and may be unfamiliar with the typical underwriting concerns, like finding reliable appraisal comparables. However, without public subsidy, it is difficult to bring financeable deals to conventional lenders. Developer Interest and Capacity—A number of those interviewed thought that the lack of builders and trades people in many of the rural counties was a significant barrier to housing production. As Ann Harrington, an affordable housing developer and consultant pointed out, the distances are too great for many developers to travel. It is neither convenient nor cost efficient for developers or technical assistance providers to travel to the central and eastern portions of the state. On top of this, the projects tend to be of smaller scale with lower profit margins than those in the urban areas or the growing western counties and southern Nye County. Development capacity was cited by many as an obstacle. It is difficult for local groups throughout the rural areas to compete for resources with more sophisticated big city developers. So, for instance, rural Nevada projects do not score as well as others when competing for federal HUD grants or Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco Affordable Housing Program grants. With the exception of RCAC, whose housing staff focus primarily of self-help projects in Nevada, there are no other community development technical assistance providers in the rural communities. Building Codes and Zoning—Several identified local regulatory barriers that make housing development more costly. Carl Dahlen from the Nevada Commission on Economic Development said that the lack of zoning in Nye County (the County bases land-use decisions on a Land Use Plan in place of zoning), lends some unpredictability to development process. Greg Evangelatos, Director of Land Acquisition for Landmark Communities, thought that rural planning staff and boards could be much more creative in their approval of planned unit developments and other techniques that might allow for higher density development as well as a diversity of land uses and housing types. Because of the lack of available land, he feels that local agencies should be promoting higher densities in the existing settled areas, to counter new growth that only occurs at the fringes. However, Mr. Evangelatos also noted that builders will most often take the path of least resistance, building the same “cookie cutter” developments again and again. He observed that some builders in the rural areas avoid planned unit developments because of the additional burden of homeowners associations and open space, which they must maintain. 50 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews Participants in the Nevada Rural Development Council Listening Sessions pointed to the need for “one stop shops” for building permits. Some also felt that local building codes and regulations placed unreasonable demands developers of new and rehabilitated housing. Finally, some interviewees observed that the permit and entitlement process takes an unreasonably long time in a number of rural communities. In growing western counties, offices are understaffed, resulting in delays. And, in some of the less populated counties, the project review process must be delayed or outsourced because of the great distances that must sometimes be traveled or the lack of full-time planning or building department staff. Housing Planning/Lack of Data—A common complaint among those interviewed is that there is little information available about housing conditions in the rural communities. Much of the information on need is anecdotal; it is difficult to shape public policy without hard data. Several respondents expressed interest in the creation of housing plans tailored to the needs of individual rural communities. For instance, according to Joe McCarthy, Director of Economic Development and Redevelopment for Carson City, the City has hired a consultant and is currently in the process of updating the Housing Element of its General Plan. Last year, Carl Dahlen from the Nevada Commission on Economic Development expressed interest in preparing an Analysis of Impediments to Fair Housing for the rural counties. And, according to Joe Cobry, Director of Social Services for Churchill County, the County recently submitted an application for CDBG dollars to carry out a local housing needs analysis. These local housing plan would be extremely valuable, says Bill Brewer from USDARural Development, in putting housing “on the radar screen” in rural counties, and in educating local Commissioners. Credit History—Finally, bad credit and/or lack of a credit history among potential homebuyers was viewed as an enormous barrier to homeownership across the rural counties. Ron Truck, Executive Director of Citizens for Affordable Housing, Inc., spoke of the difficulty of identifying potential self-help housing participants because applicants cannot meet minimum underwriting standards. Others pointed to the difficulty of obtaining first-time homebuyer training and credit counseling in the rural counties, because of the distance to reach programs. Areas of the State that Are Underserved We asked those interviewed if there are areas of the state that are particularly underserved. Briefly, respondents thought that much of rural Nevada is underserved, but for different reasons. Many of those interviewed saw an extraordinary need for affordable housing in the growing western counties, in Dayton Valley, Fernley, Carson City, Virginia City, Incline Village, Minden and Gardnerville, and in southern Nye County in Pahrump. Here, land is unavailable, prices are escalating, and there is very little social infrastructure to support affordable housing development. Joe Cobry from Churchill County noted a similar, but perhaps less intense, phenomenon in Fallon, where home prices have appreciated steadily from 2000 through 2004. Mr. 51 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews Cobry stated that one of the disturbing trends in Fallon is the conversion of dozens of motels into weekly and monthly rentals serving year-round residents. Holly Gregory from Westates Property Management observed a tightening housing market in Elko, Ely, and Battle Mountain in late 2004 on account of the resurgence of mining. Even in some of the communities where home prices have remained stagnant, some of those saw great housing need. Because much of the development expertise and resources are located in the urban areas, the central and eastern counties tend to be underserved. Jay Hiner of Nevada State Bank observed a need for more senior supported housing and assisted living in White Pine and Lincoln Counties. Charlene Peterson of Fannie Mae pointed to a great need for housing development and capacity building on Native American lands. Opportunities for Expansion of Housing Programs Finally, we asked those interviews whether they saw opportunities for expansion of housing programs in the rural areas. Below is a list of programs in the rural counties cited by respondents: Single Family Home Development—The most oft-cited response by those interviewed was the need for more single-family home development and affordable homeownership opportunities. Bill Brewer from USDA-RD said that the 15-year rentto-own option under the Low Income Housing Tax Credit program might be an area to explore. He noted that Lodgebuilders, an out-of-state developer, is carrying out a tax credit rent-to-own project in Mesquite. Single Family Housing Tax Credit—Charlene Peterson from Fannie Mae is watching federal legislation related to the creation of a new Single-Family Housing Tax Credit, which would function somewhat like the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit for multifamily development. USDA-538 Program—Bill Brewer noted that there has been very little utilization of the Section 538 Loan Guarantee Program in Nevada. With the phasing out of the Section 515 program, the 538 program should be looked at more closely. The program provides an interest subsidy on the first $1 million of debt as well as credit enhancement on the entire loan amount, which can result in a lower cost of funds. The Section 538 Program is currently being used by CAHI and Community Development, Inc. of Idaho on a tax credit project in Fernley. Self-Help Housing—The USDA Section 523 Self-Help Housing program continues to be a very popular program across the rural areas. However, until recently there were no technical assistance providers in southern Nevada. Currently, CAHI and Color Country Community Housing, Inc. of St. George, UT are beginning self-help projects in the south, in Mesquite and Pahrump. Those interviewed thought that there will be continued opportunities for expansion of this program. Use of NRHA Section 8—A number of the rental housing operators interviewed pointed out that NRHA could be putting its Section 8 rental voucher portfolio to work in supporting the new construction and rehabilitation of rental housing. As one respondent observed, without available rental housing in some rural communities there is no housing choice. 52 NRHA Rural Housing Needs Assessment—Key Informant Interviews Respondents also suggested that NRHA look into using some of its portfolio to create a rural Section 8 homeownership program. Housing Planning and Technical Assistance—As identified above, there is a great need for housing planning in the rural counties. Those interviewed identified several potential sources of funds for housing planning and technical assistance, including the rural Community Development Block Grant program, USDA-RD, and HUD. Carl Dahlen noted that requests for CDBG funds must come from the local government to NCED. And, Eileen Piekarz observed that HUD is limiting its technical assistance grants to qualified Community Housing Development Organizations (CHDOs) and only for technical assistance that will result in the direct production of housing units. Policy Development Related to Mobile Homes and Manufactured Housing—Some respondents saw an opportunity to embrace mobile homes and manufactured housing as a viable alternative to stick-built construction in the rural communities. They saw opportunities for public policy initiatives to improve the quality, affordability and financeability of this ubiquitous housing stock. Amanda Mitchell from Fannie Mae noted that Fannie Mae had recently released new underwriting guidelines on mobile home lending. Eileen Piekarz of RCAC said that some abandonment could be prevented if there were a program for subsidizing the transportation of mobile homes to new sites, following the jobs. Many felt that manufactured or system-built housing might provide some solutions for housing in the rural areas and should be pursued further. BLM Land—Finally, a number of those interviewed cited the new BLM land program for affordable housing as an exciting potential area of expansion. Many rural communities have BLM land near existing land settlement. Respondents thought that that NRHA could play a potential role in assisting local communities in identifying parcels and structuring affordable housing projects for public or private development. 53 CHAPTER FIVE: RECOMMENDATIONS The intent of the Rural Housing Needs Assessment report is provide up-to-date information on the changing demographics, housing trends, and service gaps across the state, as well as help inform NRHA’s current strategic planning process. In this final section of the report, we provide a series of recommended actions for NRHA based upon the information collected in the previous chapters. What are the identified service gaps across rural Nevada? How can NRHA position itself to better serve the housing needs of rural Nevada? What resources can NRHA draw upon to address these service gaps? Where should it begin? Below, we briefly list a set of recommendations for NRHA to consider as it carries out its strategic planning process and begins to build a business plan for the next decade. Many of the proposed actions come directly from the comments of those interviewed and surveyed for this needs assessment report. 1. Assistance to Local Governments in Housing Planning As is abundantly clear from the report, there is very little housing planning occurring throughout the rural counties. Representatives of a number of counties, cities, and towns, particularly those at the forefront of growth, have expressed interest in planning assistance, if available. It should be noted that this Rural Housing Needs Assessment report, and the forthcoming state Consolidated Plan (2006-2010), do not replace the need for local planning. Rural Nevada is so diverse that a single planning document could not address the needs of each locality. Further, as has been noted throughout this report, much housing data is not available for the rural counties between the decennial U.S. Census periods, including median rents, vacancy rates, and home sale prices. Social service providers in the rural counties note that the face of homelessness, and of families and individuals who are atrisk of homelessness, is less visible than in urban areas because of geography, culture, and a fewer service options. NRHA could respond to this need by providing assistance to communities in carrying out their own local housing needs assessments and in preparing housing elements and plans that respond to identified needs. As noted elsewhere in the report, possible sources of funding for such studies might include the Nevada Commission on Economic Development, the state Housing Division, the Western Nevada HOME Consortium, USDA-Rural Development, and HUD. 2. Multi-Family Housing Production and Preservation New and rehabilitated multifamily housing is sorely needed in many rural counties. However, the lower incomes of rural renter households do not support new housing production without rental assistance. NRHA could position itself to become an important provider of new and rehabilitated multi-family housing in the rural communities if it were to “project-based” a small portion of its Housing Choice Voucher portfolio for new projects. For instance, if NRHA were to set-aside 10% of its portfolio (or 150 vouchers) for multi-family production, this would result in 5 new or rehabilitated developments of 30 units each. This rental assistance could then be combined with existing public and private resources, including Low-Income Housing Tax Credits, the USDA-515 Loan Program, the USDA54 NRHA Housing Needs Assessment—Recommendations 538 Loan Guarantee Program, state and Consortium HOME funds, and conventional debt, in the production of multi-family housing It should be noted that most of the western Nevada counties have been designated HUD “Difficult Development Areas” and are eligible for a 30% boost in tax credits. Further, Douglas County provides a 25% density bonus in its ordinance for affordable multifamily housing. NHRA should explore ways that it can utilize these additional resources for development in the fast-growing western counties and in southern Nye County. NRHA should also explore ways to preserve older USDA-RD Section 515 developments that may be reaching the end of their 20-year compliance period. In stronger real estate markets, the private owners of these properties may decide to “opt-out” of the subsidy program, further reducing the limited affordable multi-family stock in the rural counties. NRHA should explore ways to partner with USDA-RD to act as a long-term steward for these valuable properties. 3. Single-Family Housing Production and Homeownership Given the choice, most rural households would choose to live in and own their own home over living in an apartment. However, in the fast-growing western and southern counties, long-time local residents and their children are being displaced by rising land costs and home values. And, while land may be more plentiful in the central and eastern portions of the state, the cost of stick-built construction is high, because of the distance to reach skilled labor and materials. NRHA should explore ways that it can facilitate new affordable single-family home production and homeownership. For example, in one scenario, NRHA could work with a local government to carryout predevelopment on an affordable housing or mixed-income tract development. It could hire a designer and engineer to prepare a master plan and conceptual unit plans. It could acquire land through the BLM (see more below) at a reduced cost. It could secure funding for needed infrastructure improvements through the NCED, USDA-RD, or RCAC. And, NRHA could utilize its powers as a statewide housing authority to issue tax-exempt or 501(c)(3) bonds for development. With this valuable package of resources, NRHA and/or the local government could then entice a regional homebuilder to implement the plan and market the completed units to qualifying homebuyers. In this case, NRHA is a facilitator and direct funder of an affordable housing development that would not have occurred but for the development skills and resources that it could bring to the table. Further, NRHA could explore ways to better prepare its own low-income clients for homeownership, through homebuyer training, credit counseling, Family Self-Sufficiency programming, the creation of Individual Development or Savings Accounts for down payment, and the conversion of individual rental vouchers to homeownership vouchers to write-down the cost of a mortgage. NRHA is already implementing some of these homeownership programs. 4. BLM Land Lack of affordable or developable land was identified in the housing mail survey as an important barrier to the production of affordable housing. We believe that the BLM land program for affordable housing—a product of the Southern Nevada Public Land Management Act of 1998—could be an important resource for the promotion of affordable single- and multi-family housing in the rural communities. 55 NRHA Housing Needs Assessment—Recommendations NRHA could assist local governments is identifying BLM land that is near residential development or within the path of growth and that is developable, taking into account topography, zoning, availability of water rights, and infrastructure. The Act allows land to be transferred directly to local governments or to a local housing authority, including NRHA, for the production of bona fide affordable housing projects, as determined by HUD. As noted above, low-cost land alone is sometimes not enough to provide the economic incentives to develop housing in isolated rural areas. NRHA could also assist local government in packaging additional subsidy and low-cost financing to make such projects viable. 5. Policy Development Related to Mobile Homes and Manufactured Housing As planners, we need to accept that a sizeable portion of the rural housing stock is, and will continue to be, mobile homes. According to the 2000 U.S. Census, mobile homes accounted for 27.9% of the housing stock in the rural counties, or over 34,500 units. In some counties, such as Eureka, Lander, Esmeralda, Humboldt, Pershing, and Nye, mobile home account for over 40% of the housing stock. The U.S. Census categorizes a mobile home with an attached permanent structure as a detached single-family homes. It does not categorize manufactured homes separately, and we assume here that manufactured homes are counted by the Census as detached single-family homes and not as mobile homes. Therefore, we believe that the total number of mobile homes and manufactured housing units in the rural counties may be even larger than the 2000 tally. NRHA could assist in improving the quality of living conditions for mobile home dwellers. For example, the Clark County Housing Authority decided to operate its own mobile home park for seniors in order to offer hook-ups to seniors at low-cost and ensure a high level of physical upkeep and services. Other communities have explored the options of land trusts or cooperatives to allow mobile home dwellers to co-own the land under their units, provide for common grounds upkeep, and prevent displacement as land becomes more valuable. With regard to manufactured housing, NRHA could explore the potential cost savings of using out-of-state manufactured housing versus local stick-built housing for affordable single-family home developments. Currently, manufactured housing is available from factories in California and Idaho. However, even with the extra transportation cost, there still may be savings associated with manufactured housing development in the rural counties. As noted in the report, the skilled trades and materials are often not available locally, creating a distinct advantage to manufactured housing. A manufactured unit can also be developed more quickly, which is a plus when considering the boom/bust economies in the counties dependent upon mining. Further, we understand that Fannie Mae has recently promulgated new underwriting criteria for the financing of manufactured housing, which will make bank financing of houses easier. NRHA could assist in exploring manufactured housing options, and could promote better quality design of communities consisting primarily of manufactured units. 6. Policy Development Related to New Financing Mechanisms for the Rural Counties 56 NRHA Housing Needs Assessment—Recommendations As was noted in the report, there is a lack of reliable public funding programs for affordable housing production. The state tax-exempt bond program is virtually unusable in the rural counties for multi-family projects because each new housing project requires a separate bond issuance. The typical bond project in Nevada exceeds 100 units in size in order to cover the extraordinary transaction costs of an issuance. Further, the state tax exempt volume cap is distributed to the counties on a per capita basis, meaning that 14% of the tax exempt volume cap must be shared by the 15 rural counties. In order for a rural county to use its volume cap, it must broker for cap from other counties: each allocation is too small in itself to support a project. NRHA could intervene in this process by working with the Nevada Housing Division to develop financing products that better serve the needs of rural counties. For instance, the NHD could issue tax-exempt bonds for multiple projects, so that the overhead costs could be shared. Alternately, NRHA could work through its parent organizations, the Nevada Association of Counties and the Nevada League of Cities and Municipalities, to develop alternative financing mechanisms that better serve the development needs of rural Nevada. As we understand it, NRHA is empowered through state legislation to issues tax-exempt bonds on its own for public benefit projects. It could also utilize its nonprofit spin-off corporation to issue 501(c)(3) bonds. NRHA may also have an opportunity to operate the Western Nevada HOME Consortium, which serves the seven western Nevada counties, through its Participating Jurisdiction, Lyon County. We understand that Lyon County will be issuing an Request for Proposals in the coming weeks to select an operator for the Consortium. If NRHA were to assume this role, it could perhaps develop financing products which, when combined with HOME funds, would result in new production in the western counties. 7. Additional Research And finally, NRHA could expand the scope of this Need Assessment report to carry out more in-depth investigations of specific housing issues. For instance, because of the limited scope of the project, we only touched upon special needs housing, homelessness, and housing for the frail elderly—all which are critical issues in the rural areas. Nearly all of our data analysis was based upon existing information, either easily available on the web or available for all 15 counties through one source, such as HUD or multiple listing service. We therefore have very little information by city and town on rental housing vacancy rates, median rents, expiring Section 515 rental projects, current home sale prices, and the availability of developable land for new affordable housing. We believe that the anecdotal information collected through mail surveys and interviews is extremely valuable. However, we also see the need for more data collection and analysis of housing trends in the rural counties. 57