Johnson County - Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission
Transcription
Johnson County - Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission
JOHNSON COUNTY HAZARD MITIGATION PLAN Created by Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission 802 S. Gordon P.O. Box 123 Concordia, MO 64020 660-463-7934 phone 660-463-7944 fax Author Rich Buford Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Table of Contents Introduction 5 Assurance statements of compliance with Federal Regulations Basis for planning authority Adoption by local governing bodies Planning process Participants and Jurisdictions represented Review of Previously approved 2005 plan 8 8 8 9 10 12 Section 1 16 Community Profiles Geography, geology, and climate Form of government Community partnership Significant cultural/social issues Public awareness Media Relations Demographic information Economy, employment, and industry Labor Force, average wage rate and unemployment Primary Industries Access to employment: in commuting Codes and regulations Existing community plans Land use information Development Trends Floodplain Management Wetland issues NFIP participation Environmental concerns Endangered species, historic properties/districts, archeological sites Identified Assets Inventory of infrastructure Roadways Railways Airports Public Transportation Telecommunications Sewer and water facilities Electric/Natural gas Solid waste disposal Law enforcement Emergency Medical services 16 17 18 19 19 19 19 20 21 21 22 23 24 24 25 25 27 27 27 27 30 32 32 34 34 34 35 36 36 36 36 37 37 2 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Fire Protection Emergency Services (911) Underground infrastructure Inventory of critical/key/essential facilities Medical facilities Schools Longer term care facilities Day care centers Government facilities Inventory of large employment, commercial, recreational centers Large industrial or commercial centers Recreational facilities Inventory of housing structures Total inventory of structures City/Town Profiles Centerview Chilhowee Holden Kingsville Knob Noster Leeton Warrensburg Whiteman Johnson County 37 40 40 41 41 41 44 44 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 Section 2 68 Risk Assessment Hazard identification and elimination process Community wide hazard profile and list of hazards identified Hazards not included and reasons for elimination Identified natural hazards Tornadoes and Thunderstorms Floods Severe Winter Weather Drought Heat Wave Earthquake Dam Failure Wildfires Multi-jurisdictional Vulnerability Analysis 68 68 68 69 70 70 89 100 109 117 123 131 148 158 Section 3 165 City/County capability Assessment Mitigation Management policies Existing Plans Mitigation programs County Capabilities (Organization, Staffing, Training) Responsibilities and Authorities Intergovernmental and Interagency Coordination Vulnerability Assessment of County Policies and Development Trends Commitments to a Comprehensive Mitigation Program Laws, Regulations and Policies Related to Development in Hazard-Prone Areas County Laws, Regulations and Policies Related to Hazard Mitigation in General How Local Risk Assessments are Incorporated and Prioritized into Local Planning 165 165 165 165 166 167 167 167 167 167 168 168 3 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Current Criteria Used to Prioritize Mitigation Funding Integration of Hazard Mitigation with the City/County Department’s Plans Mitigation Funding Options Governments Meet Requirements for Hazard Mitigation Funding Programs Recommendations for Improvements County and Municipal Policies and Development Trends Johnson County Community Capability Assessment 168 168 169 169 169 170 171 Section 4 177 Introduction to Mitigation Definition of Mitigation Categories of Mitigation Mitigation Versus Preparedness Mitigation Plan Benefits 177 177 177 177 178 County Hazard Mitigation Goals, Objectives, Strategy and Coordination 2005 Plan Goals Johnson County Proposed Mitigation Action Evaluation Strategic Implementation Insuring Implementation through Inclusion in Adoption Resolutions Analysis and Prioritization of Mitigation Actions Johnson County’s Proposed Five-Year Matrix Monitoring, evaluation and updating the plan 178 178 180 185 186 186 188 193 Appendix A: Signed Adoption Resolutions Appendix B: Newspaper Articles Appendix C: Acronyms Appendix D: Definitions Appendix E: Multi-Hazard Mitigation Resource Directory and Bibliography, and Acronyms Appendix F: FEMA List of Repetitive Losses for Flooding Appendix G: Documentation of Public Input (Meeting Notices, Agendas, Meeting Summaries, Signin Sheets) 4 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update INTRODUCTION Every year in the United States, natural disasters take the lives of hundreds of people and injure thousands more. Nationwide, taxpayers pay billions of dollars annually to help communities recover from hazard events. Most disasters that occur are predictable and much of the damage caused by these events can be alleviated or even eliminated with proper planning. The Johnson County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update is an effort to reduce the impact of natural hazards on citizens and property by outlining actions that will mitigate the hazards’ effects and break the cycle of repetitive disaster losses. The Plan Update will build on the previously approved Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan of 2005. Hazard mitigation as defined by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is any action taken to eliminate or reduce the long-term risk to human life and property from natural and technological hazards. Because Missouri is prone to several types of natural disasters, mitigation planning becomes imperative in preventing human and economic loss. Hazard mitigation planning is the process through which hazards that threaten communities are identified, likely impacts of those hazards are determined, mitigation goals are set and appropriate strategies to lessen impacts are determined, prioritized and implemented. The Johnson County Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan Update documents the County’s hazard mitigation planning process, identifies relevant hazards and risks and outlines the strategy the County and participating jurisdictions will use to decrease hazard vulnerability and increase resiliency and sustainability. This plan was updated in 2010, building off the framework of the 2004 version of this plan. The Johnson County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update was prepared by Rich Buford of the Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission. The Commission serves Lafayette, Johnson, Saline and Pettis Counties as well as the 44 communities contained within those counties. Formed under Chapter 251 of the Revised Statues of the State of Missouri, all regional councils in Missouri operate as “quasi-governmental” entities. Regional Planning Commissions serve communities on an advisory basis by nature and county and municipal governments hold membership on a voluntary basis. The primary role of the regional planning commission is to provide a technical staff capable of providing sound advice to its membership and working for coordination of various planning and infrastructure needs among the various counties and municipalities, as appropriate. Information in this plan update will be used to help guide and coordinate mitigation activities and decisions for local land use policy in future development plans. Proactive mitigation planning will help reduce the cost of disaster response and recovery to the community and its property owners by protecting critical facilities, reducing liability exposure, and minimizing overall community impacts and disruption. 5 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update This plan update is designed to provide a general blueprint for hazard mitigation activities and is structured to serve as the basis for specific hazard mitigation efforts for multiple hazards. This city/county mitigation plan complies with the State Emergency Management Agency and FEMA planning guidance; FEMA regulations, rules, guidelines and checklists; Code of Federal Regulations; and existing Federal and State laws; and such other reasonable criterion as the President/Governor, Federal/State congresses and SEMA/FEMA may establish in consultation with City/County governments while the plan is being developed. In reading the 2011 Plan Update, refer to Appendix D for definitions of terms, and the end of Appenix G for definitions of acronyms. This plan update also meets the minimum planning requirements for all FEMA mitigation programs such as the: • • • • • • Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA) Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program (PDM) Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Community Rating System (CRS) Participating jurisdictions in the planning update process include: Johnson County City of Centerview City of Chilhowee City of Holden City of Kingsville City of Knob Noster City of Leeton City of Warrensburg ***It should be noted that since the 2005 Hazard Mitigation Plan for Johnson County, the Village of La Tour disbanded its formal government and has become part of the unincorporated county area. These are the same communities that participated in the previously approved 2005 Plan. Representatives of each of the participating communities, along with planners from the PTRPC comprised the body that developed the Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. This group will be called the Planning Committee throughout the remainder of this document. This plan update was prepared pursuant to the requirements of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (Public Law 106-390) and the implementing regulations set forth by the Interim Final Rule published in the Federal Register on February 26, 2002 and finalized on October 31, 2007. (Hereafter, these requirements and regulations will be referred to collectively as the Disaster Mitigation Act, or “DMA”.) While the act emphasized the 6 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update need for mitigation plans and more coordinated mitigation planning and implementation efforts, the regulations established the requirements that local hazard mitigation plans must meet in order for a local jurisdiction to be eligible for certain federal disaster assistance and hazard mitigation funding under the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Act (Public Law 93-288). Because Johnson County is subject to many hazards, access to these programs is vital. The DMA 2000 also provides specific criteria for the preparation and adoption of multijurisdictional mitigation plans by local governments to meet these requirements. The Johnson County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan and Update were prepared to support the requirements of a mitigation plan for all participating local governments in the County. DMA requirements specify that the following elements must be included in the plan: • • • • • • The plan must document how the mitigation plan was prepared and who was involved in the planning process A risk assessment section should include: > Identification of the hazards likely to affect the area, noting data limitations and providing an explanation for eliminating hazards from further consideration. > A discussion of past events and description of the severity and resulting effects > A description of the local vulnerability to the described hazards in terms of the types and numbers of buildings, infrastructure and critical facilities located in the jurisdiction. > A description of the potential dollar losses to the vulnerable structures identified and a description o the methods used to calculate the estimate > A description of the vulnerability in terms of land use and development so that mitigation options can be considered in future land-use decisions The plan must include a hazard mitigation strategy describing: > Goals to reduce or avoid long-term vulnerability to the identified hazards > A range of specific mitigation actions and projects to be considered, with particular emphasis on new and existing buildings and infrastructure > An action plan identifying how the actions will be prioritized, implemented and administered by the local jurisdiction. > For multi-jurisdictional plans Identifiable action items specific to the jurisdiction requesting FEMA approval of the plan All local units of government included in the plan must participate in the planning process Provisions for reviewing, monitoring and evaluating progress for the plans implementation. The plan must be updated every five years and re-approved. Adoption by the local governing body. The plan must include documentation that the local governing body has formally adopted the plan. In a multi-jurisdictional plan, all participation local units of government seeking plan approval must individually adopt the plan, with the exception of unincorporated units of government. 7 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Assurance statements of compliance with Federal Regulations This city/county mitigation plan update complies with SEMA’s and FEMA’s planning guidance; FEMA regulations, rules, guidelines, and checklists; Code of Federal Regulations; and existing Federal and State laws; and such other reasonable criterion as the President/Governor, Federal/State congresses and SEMA/FEMA may establish in consultation with City/County governments while the plan is being develop. This plan update also meets the minimum planning requirements for all FEMA mitigation programs, such as the Flood Mitigation Assistance (FMA) Program, the Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Program, and the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP), and where appropriate, other FEMA mitigation related programs such as the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP), the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) and the Community Rating System (CRS). Basis for planning authority The basis for authority to create a natural hazard mitigation plan lies in Section 322 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act (Stafford Act), 42 U.S.C. 5165. This act was enacted under Section 104 of the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (DMA 2000), P.L. 106-390. Section 104 is the legal basis for FEMA’s Interim Final Rule for 44 CFR Parts 201 and 206, published in the Federal Register on February 26, 2002. Adoption by local governing bodies Participation of local governing bodies as stakeholders is critical to successful mitigation implementation. Therefore, Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission (PTRPC) has collaborated with each local government to assure participation and sense of ownership among local government officials. To provide further involvement this plan will implement specific parts of a jurisdictions emergency operations plan (or a similar plan) if it is currently being used by the jurisdiction. We will also meet with the various jurisdictions and see if any of this plan can be used and implemented into their existing plan for further use. Although the mitigation strategies were not incorporated into local governments plans (as many lack a comprehensive plan) this can be a starting point for many communities for their comp plan. 8 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The Planning Process The planning update process began in October of 2009. Initial planning work began with utilizing modern technology to encourage maximum participation. The previously approved Johnson County 2005 Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan was posted on the Pioneer Trails Website (trailsrpc.org). This was done for public review. A point of contact was established for comments and questions about the 2005 plan and the update process. A virtual calendar was also provided on the webpage under the Hazard Mitigation section. This calendar provided details of Public meeting dates, times and locations for the Planning Committee. In order to comply with the Sunshine Law, all Planning Committee public meeting notices were posted in the main entrance to the Pioneer Trails website and press releases were issued in the most widely distributed newspapers in the County. Notifications were also sent to Emergency Managers of Johnson County and neighboring counties, Mayor’s offices, Emergency Responders, Area Hospitals, School District Superintendents and Safety Directors of Higher Education Institutions. Mailings and press releases were distributed on a schedule that allowed officials sufficient time to review the draft prior to the next hazard mitigation update public meeting. Cities that were not represented at Planning Committee public meetings were contacted during the planning process to provide data and input on the plan update. Jurisdictions were also provided with the option of authorizing the County Emergency Management Director to participate and make decisions on their behalf. Executed letters of authorization can be found in Appendix B. Participation in the plan update is defined as assisting PTRPC with data collection, 2005 plan review, draft review, meeting with PTRPC staff to discuss hazard events, emails, completing worksheets or authorizing a separate party to represent a jurisdiction. Three Planning Committee public meetings were held in December and January Public Meeting #1 Monday, December 14, 2009 Warrensburg/Johnson County Emergency Management Office 122 Hout Street Warrensburg, MO The first public meeting introduced the public to the Hazard Mitigation update process. The four phase process was described and outline and a timeframe for the update was discussed. The initial public meeting was an overview of the first two phases of hazard mitigation planning, resource allocation and identifying hazards. Utilizing FEMA guidelines, specifically FEMA-386, worksheet packets were generated and provided to attendees. The worksheets outlined: • • • • • • Hazard Rankings Hazard Information Infrastructure Inventory 9 Hazard Issues Regulatory Tools Financial Resources Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Planning Committee public meeting attendees were asked to fill out the worksheets and respond back to provide input into the update. Public Meeting #2 Thursday, January 20th, 2010 Warrensburg/Johnson County Emergency Management Office 122 Hout Street Warrensburg, MO The second Planning Committee public meeting reviewed the resources available in Johnson County and the process of hazard identification began. The third phase of the hazard mitigation process was also introduced and discussed. Attendees reviewed goals, objectives and strategies from the 2004 plan to discuss actions that were accomplished. In addition, goals, objective, and actions that needed to be introduced or revised were discussed. The initial draft of the 2010 Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update was posted online to allow the public to review the plan and provide input. Public Meeting #3 Friday, April 9, 2010 Warrensburg/Johnson County Emergency Management Office 122 Hout Street Warrensburg, MO The third public meeting reviewed the hazard mitigation plan update draft to review errors made in the past submission as well as finalize review of goals and objectives as well as mitigation strategies. The initial draft of the 2010 Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan Update was posted online to allow the public to review the plan and provide input. Hazard Mitigation Participation by Jurisdiction Participating Jurisdiction Participant Title /Agency Johnson County Steve Moody Gloria Michalski Larry Jennings Dee Bennett Raymond James EMA/Warrensburg EMA/Johnson Cnty Chief/JCFD Ass. Chief/JCFD JC Health Dept. Evelyn Woodward City Clerk Mike Hanes Police Department Michael Wakeman Fire Department City Clerk City of Centerview City of Chilhowee City of Holden City of Kingsville City of Knob Noster City of Leeton City of Warrensburg Sharron Johnson Doug Kermick City Administrator Darryl Smithson Andy Kohl Bryan Pettingill Sam Hafley Bruce Howey Phil Johnston Police Department Wbg School Super UCM/EMD Wbg/Police Chief Wbg/Fire Chief Public Meeting 12/14/09 X X Public Meeting 1/20/10 X X Public Meeting 4/9/10 X X X X X Phone Email Formal Plan Adoption x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x X X X 10 X X X X X Letter of Authorization x Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Key Participants in the Planning Process and the roles that they played on the Planning Committee are included in the following table. Representatives from communities without the resources and manpower to attend public meetings were kept apprised of the plan developments by less formal communication, such as emails, phone calls, and one-on-one meetings. In addition, every effort was made during the plan development phase to gather data and ideas from all participants. Key Planning Committee participants included the following individuals. Stephan B. Moody, Johnson County Emergency Management Agency Gloria Michalski, Johnson County Emergency Management Agency Andy Kohl, Warrensburg R-VI School District Bryan Pettingill, Warrensburg R-VI School District Larry Jennings, Johnson County Fire Protection District Dee Bennett, Johnson County Fire Protection District Sam Hafley, University of Central Missouri Bruce Howey, Warrensburg Police Department Raymond L. James, Johnson County Health Department Phil Johnston, Warrensburg Fire Department Table 1 Johnson County Participating Jurisdiction Jurisdiction Johnson County City of Centerview City of Chilhowee City of Holden City of Kingsville City of Knob Noster City of Leeton City of Warrensburg New Participant Continuing Participant X X X X X X X X Not Participating *For future planning of this document more public involvement is necessary this document will be posted on Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission’s website for public display. Also planning meetings that coordinate with the Regional Homeland Security meetings will have more support as the majority of emergency planning officials (EMD, Police Chiefs, etc..) will be in attendance. Also inviting the school districts to attended meetings. 11 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The following table sets forth the timeline for public participation and development of the 2011 Plan Update. Timeline for preparation Table 2 Review of previously approved 2005 plan The Planning Committee reviewed each section of the previously approved 2005 plan, and determined that all sections of the original plan needed to be updated to some extent. The basic outline of the original 2005 was retained. The original plan was written early in FEMA’s interpretation of the requirements for Hazard Mitigation Plans. The current guidance, Local Multi-Hazard Mitigation Planning Guidance, was published in July 2008, and was used in the development of the Plan Update. Based on feedback from FEMA planners and new guidance developed late in 2001, a restructuring of the plan seemed appropriate to fulfill the current interpretation of FEMA requirements in a clear and cohesive manner. A general description of changes and updates made to the plan are shown below. Introduction: Most of this section was unchanged except for the dates and the timeframe. Dated material was deleted. Review of changes in the planning area, including disaster declarations, was performed. Section 1: The Community Profiles were updated with information from the 2010 census and other more current databases. All charts and graphs were updated to reflect more recent data. The NFIP information was double checked in insure accuracy. All 12 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update participating jurisdictions reviewed the information in the Identified Assets sub-section for accuracy. The City/Town Profiles were made current. Maps showing identified SFHAs were inserted into the plan. Section 2 Risk Assessment: The same hazards that were in the previously approved 2005 Plan were carried forward into the 2010 Plan. However, the information in each of the hazard profiles was rearranged under the four headings required by FEMA Guidelines: location, severity/ magnitude, previous events of the hazard, and probability of future hazard events. In addition, the vulnerability assessment incorporated new information from the 2010 State of Missouri Hazard Mitigation Plan Update. Data limitations were cited, along with pledges to try to obtain better information for the next plan update. The Plan Update does not include information concerning the 2011 presidentially declared flooding disasters. Section 3: City/County Capability Assessment: The capabilities of all participating jurisdictions were reviewed to insure that all were current. Changes were made where necessary. Section 4: Introduction to Mitigation section was shortened by elimination of dated materials. Information in the Goals, Objectives, and Actions was rearranged to more closely align with current FEMA guidelines. A thorough review of the strategy set forth in the previously approved 2005 Plan was performed. New strategies were developed and put into the Update. A review of the effectiveness of previous monitoring, evaluating, and updating efforts of the 2005 Plan was performed. A more comprehensive monitoring methodology was developed. Appendices: Replaced appendices with appropriate ones for update. The process of reviewing the 2005 Plan included evaluating the changes that have occurred in the planning area since 2005, and the impact of those changes on the hazard mitigation plan. The general consensus was that some land development had occurred in the largest city, Warrensburg, but the general picture in terms of hazard mitigation remained stable. Part of this process of review involved information from the federal disaster declarations that included Johnson County. Out of the twenty five disaster declarations (not including the 2011 flooding and tornado declarations) since the beginning of the Johnson County plan development in 2004, only six involved the planning area. Those six were as follows. • March 16, 2006 - DR # 1631 was declared for Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding – Johnson County was approved for Individual Assistance (IA) only. • December 12, 2007 – DR # 3281 was declared for Severe Winter Storms – Johnson County was approved for PA only. 13 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • June 25, 2008 – DR # 1773 was declared for Severe Storms and Flooding – Johnson was approved for Individual Assistance (IA) only. • January 30, 2009 – DR # 3303 was declared for Severe Winter Storms – Johnson County was approved for Public Assistance (PA) only. • February 3, 2011 – DR # 3317 was declared for Severe Winter Storms – Johnson County was approved for Public Assistance (PA) only. • March 23, 2011 – DR # 1961 was declared for Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm – Johnson County was approved for Public Assistance (PA) only. The declarations resulted in reduced resources both in terms of funding and in terms of manpower for the development of the 2011 Plan Update. Identified natural hazards The Great Flood of 1993 was Johnson County’s largest disaster within the past 50 years. Tornados and severe thunderstorms as well as severe winter storms, drought and heat wave also have affected the county within that same timeframe. Earthquakes, wildfires and dam failures have not occurred within Johnson County in the past 50 years; however, data and expert opinions indicate the possibility of occurrence in the future. Natural hazard risks to Johnson County are ranked in descending order. The flood hazard is followed by tornadoes/thunderstorms, severe winter storms, drought, heat wave, earthquake, dam failure, and wildfire hazards. Goals, future planning and plan coordination The overall goals of the Update include (1) protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens; (2), manage growth through sustainable principles and practices to limit hazard areas; and (3) ensure uninterrupted government and emergency functions in a disaster. These goals, as well as the current objectives and actions will be reviewed every five years under the coordination of the county’s Emergency Management Agency. Numerous citizens and public organizations have participated in this process. Implementation, monitoring and evaluation will be sustainable over the long term because it has grassroots support originating from a sense of county, local and individual ownership. 14 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update *For future planning of this document more public involvement is necessary this document will be posted on Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission’s website for public display. Also planning meetings that coordinate with the Regional Homeland Security meetings will have more support as the majority of emergency planning officials (EMD, Police Chiefs, etc..) will be in attendance. 15 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update SECTION 1 Community Profiles County profile Johnson County was named in honor of Richard Mentor Johnson, a distinguished soldier in the Indian wars, a United States Senator and later Vice President of the United States. The county was originally part of Lafayette County. By act of the General Assembly of Missouri the county was organized December 13, 1834. Johnson County first comprised four townships, Jackson, Washington, Jefferson and Madison. The first settlement was made near the present town of Columbus in 1833 with Nicholas Houx building the first house. Later in 1833, Richard Huntsman settled near Fayetteville. He planted a large number of fruit tree cuttings brought from Tennessee. Early attention was paid to the education of the young, and schools were established as rapidly as means were available. The first church in the county was established by the Methodist of Columbus. Many unpleasant scenes were enacted during the Civil War, the sentiment being sharply divided, but no notable conflicts occurred within the borders of this county. Figure 1 16 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Johnson County’s population slowly declined from the turn of the century until 1950 and then endured a growth spurt until 1960. From 1960 to the present a steady increase in population growth at an average rate of 13% has been experienced in Johnson County. Today, 49% of the population lives in rural areas. However, only 5.1% of the total population actually lives on a farm. These statistics and the accompanying population density map indicate a strong presence of sprawl. Johnson County Population, 2010 52,595 Population, percent change, 2000 to 2010 +8.99% Population, 2000 48,258 Jurisdiction City of Centerview City of Chilhowee City of Holden City of Kingsville City of Knob Noster City of Leeton City of Warrensburg Unincorporated Area Johnson County 1980 223 349 2,195 365 2,040 604 13,807 19,476 39,059 1990 214 335 2,389 279 2,261 632 15,244 21,160 42,514 2000 249 329 3,496 257 2,462 619 16,340 24,506 48,258 2010 267 325 2,252 269 2,709 566 18,838 27,369 52,595 % Change 1980 - 2008 +19% -6.8% +2.5% -26% +32% -6.2% +36% +40% +35% Source: MSDC 2010 Census Geography, geology and Climate Johnson County is located in the west-central part of Missouri. Bordering counties are Lafayette (north), Pettis (east), Henry (south), Jackson and Cass (west). The land area for Johnson County is 824 square miles with a population of 52,595, according to the 2010 U.S. Census update. Warrensburg (pop. 18,838) is the county seat and the largest community in the county. Other communities in the county include Holden, Knob Noster, Leeton, Chilhowee, Kingsville, and Centerview. 17 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update FIGURE 2 Source http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/adm/publications/TopoMo.pdf The consistent pattern of climate in Johnson County is one of cold winters and long, hot summers. Heavy rains occur mainly in spring and early in summer, when moist air from the Gulf of Mexico interacts with drier continental air. Even though the annual rainfall is normally adequate for corn, soybeans, and all grain crops in most years, yields are reduced because of the absence of rain during July and August. Form of government The county government, as related to disaster mitigation, primarily consists of the County Commission, Assessor, County Clerk, Sheriff, Emergency Management, Public Health, Coroner, and Road and Bridge. Johnson County operates as a second class county. The county government has authority to administer county structures, infrastructures, and finances as well as a master plan, zoning code, subdivision regulations, floodplain regulations and storm water regulations. The three-member County Commission generally is the final authority on county issues. 18 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Community partnerships The County and its cities collaborate on numerous issues such as infrastructure, law enforcement, and emergency services. Missouri Department of Transportation (MoDot) and the county and cities collaborate efforts concerning transportation issues. Missouri Department of Conservation (MDC) and local firefighters work together to safeguard the county’s forested areas. Significant cultural/social issues Although the county’s rural character remains strong, large-lot subdivisions continue to sprawl into the countryside as new residents emigrate from the metropolitan areas. More and more farmers have begun to weigh the benefits of farming against the benefits of selling their land to a developer. County officials realize they must retain the rural character that attracts new residents while avoiding the negative effects of sprawl. Public awareness The initial meeting for Johnson County was held December 9, 2002. Representatives from the county and all incorporated areas were invited to learn about the benefits of creating hazard mitigation plans as well as the planning process. The advantages of hazard mitigation were presented to all local civic leaders at the meeting. The local newspapers carried reports of the meeting. Media relations The Daily Star Journal is the official newspaper of Johnson County. In addition, the Warrensburg Gazette, Holden Image Progress, Knob Noster Item and the Whiteman Spirit cover news throughout Johnson County. The Daily Star Journal most adequately provides coverage of planning issues such as natural hazard mitigation. Three radio stations are based in Johnson County, two are broadcasted in FM only and the third is broadcasted in AM and FM. These stations occasionally cover local issues in depth. The Kansas City broadcast media provide weather reports and warnings that detail specific cities and counties at risk. The list of pertinent media outlets is included below. Newspapers News radio stations KTBG (90.9 FM) – Warrensburg Daily Star Journal – Warrensburg Holden Image-Progress/Penny Saver – Holden Knob Noster Item – Knob Noster Whiteman Spirit – Whiteman AFB KIX (105.7 FM) – Sedalia KLRQ (96.1 FM) – Clinton KMZU (100.7 FM) – Carrollton KPOW (97.1 FM) – Sedalia 19 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update KMBC (ABC), Channel 9 – Kansas City KMOS (PBS), Channel 6 – Warrensburg KSHB (NBC), Channel 41 – Kansas City WDAF (FOX), Channel 4 – Kansas City KSDL/KSIS (92.1 FM, 1050 AM) – Sedalia KYRV (88.1 FM) – Warrensburg KOKO (1450 AM) - Warrensburg Television stations KCTV (CBS), Channel 5 – Kansas City News releases are distributed by the Johnson County public information officer as the particular situation warrants. The media plan for increasing hazard mitigation awareness will be initiated through the appropriate local agencies as specific hazard seasons occur. At these times, residents are more attuned to receiving prevention information. Various prevention instructions from the FEMA website will be the main source of information to be disseminated through the media. Demographic information The 2010 U.S. Census was used to construct a profile of the average Johnson County resident. Statistically, this average person is between age 35 and 44, has a household income of $43,069 and is married, living in a rural home worth $96,339 and drives to work alone. This person has at least a high school diploma, lives and works in Johnson County. Although Johnson County remains predominantly white in the 2010 Census, the diversity of the population has increased for all ethnic groups except blacks. Historically, diversity has been scarce. However, the 2010 Census showed the presence of non-white races currently makes up 7.6% of the total population. The portion of the county’s Native Hawaiian, Alaskan, and American Indian populations particular grew significantly. Between 1990 and 2000, the county’s Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander population 20 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update increased from 56%, while the American Indian and Alaskan Native population increased by 52%. However, the black population in the county decreased by 15%. Table 2 presents a more detailed look at the county’s diversity. • Roughly 86% of Johnson County’s 25-plus population are high school graduates or higher. • The county’s age brackets in Table 3 show that 62% the population is of labor force age; 79% of the workforce is age 25-54. Typical vulnerable populations include those age 65 and over at 9.4% as well as those age 14 and under at 20.7% of the general population. Economy, employment, and industry Labor force, average wage rate, unemployment rate The 2000 U.S. Census (the most current information for most of this breakdown of data) reported the county had a labor force (workers 16 and over) of 23,238, or 62% of the county’s total population. The average earnings of males with income for 2000 were $26,520, while the average earnings of females were $16,063. Nearly 14.9% of the population, or 6,666 persons, were below the federal poverty level. The 2000 21 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update unemployment rate for Johnson County was 6.1% compared to Missouri’s 2000 rate of 4.7%. Primary industries Continued automation in the manufacturing process has helped drive up the demand for the higher wages of skilled labor. At the same time, fewer employees are needed to operate the systems. Continued automation in the manufacturing process has helped drive up the demand for the higher wages of skilled labor while requiring less employees to operate the systems. Johnson County’s primary products include aluminum, and lawnmower fabrication, batteries, retail trade, agricultural goods, electronic components and developmental disabilities services. The table below is from the 2010 Census, and presents a picture of the Johnson County economy. Business QuickFacts Johnson County Missouri Private nonfarm establishments, 2009 Private nonfarm employment, 2009 Private nonfarm employment, percent change 2000-2009 Nonemployer establishments, 2009 1,020 9,477 -4.8% 3,017 150,892 2,358,706 -1.7% 375,075 Total number of firms, 2007 Black-owned firms, percent, 2007 American Indian- and Alaska Native-owned firms, percent, 2007 Asian-owned firms, percent, 2007 Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander-owned firms, percent, 2007 Hispanic-owned firms, percent, 2007 Women-owned firms, percent, 2007 4,928 S F S F F 28.5% 501,064 4.9% 0.6% 1.9% 0.1% 1.2% 26.1% Manufacturers shipments, 2007 ($1000) Merchant wholesaler sales, 2007 ($1000) Retail sales, 2007 ($1000) Retail sales per capita, 2007 Accommodation and food services sales, 2007 ($1000) Building permits, 2010 Federal spending, 2009 D D 412,938 $7,940 56,687 110 587,836 110,907,604 81,032,913 76,575,216 $12,957 11,070,634 9,699 67,372,613 Johnson County, Missouri Number Percent Civilian employed population 16 years and over 21,947 26.9% Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining Construction 388 1,917 36.1% 17.5% Manufacturing Wholesale trade 2,584 426 14.7% 20.7% Retail trade 2,442 4.7% 22 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Transportation and warehousing, and utilities Information 1,104 364 3.4% 22.0% Finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services Educational services, and health care and social assistance 1,018 953 30.1% 27.6% 6,040 52.5% Arts, entertainment, and recreation, and accommodation and food services Other services, except public administration 2,135 17.8% 839 9.1% Public administration 1,737 30.5% The February, 2012 unemployment rate for Johnson County was 8.20%, which was lower than the statewide rate of 9.60% on the same date. Employment within the county by industry, as of Census 2000, consists of 16.1% education, 15.6% manufacturing, and 12.1% retail trade, 9.1% healthcare and social services. The remaining 46% includes finance, insurance, real estate, transportation, public utilities, wholesale trade, agricultural, forestry, fishing and mining. Access to employment: in commuting More than 2,900 persons commute into Johnson County to work. An equally greater number commute outside the county to the Kansas City Metro area to work as well. FIGURE 3 Johnson County Incommuting Pattern (Number of Worker) Cass 233 8% Clay 96 3% Benton 89 3% Pettis 897 31% Lafayette 380 13% Henry 580 20% Jackson 657 22% 23 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Codes/regulations such as building, storm water, fire, zoning Missouri state law dictates the powers and structure of county governments. Johnson County operates as a second-class county and has limited powers in regard to building regulations. There are no active codes or regulations in the unincorporated areas of Johnson County with the exception of any building located in zone A flood plain as depicted on the FEMA FIRM map. Restrictions on hazardous waste storage, treatment and disposal are based upon current Federal and State regulations. The county’s Community Impact Statement requires protection of soils, vegetation, wildlife, water quality, ecology, air and noise quality, significant archaeological/historical issues, cultural and aesthetic impact, transportation issues, and economic impacts. The only existing code that needs additional mitigation measures is the county flood plain ordinance that provides the depiction of the location of the flood plain on county plat maps. The county is in the process of updating the existing flood plain ordinance during the summer of 2004 Existing community plans Johnson County has developed a County Emergency Operations Plan. The purpose of the Johnson County Emergency Operations Plan (EOP), published in 1989, and updated in 2004, is to “reduce or prevent the loss of lives and damage to property in Johnson County.” The EOP delegates the Presiding County Commissioner with the responsibility for emergency management activities in locations that do not have a local emergency management organization. Johnson County emergency management is set up along the following functional lines: direction and control; communications and warning; emergency public information; damage assessment; law enforcement; fire and rescue; resource and supply; public works; evacuation; in-place shelter; reception and care; health and medical, terrorism/bioterrorism, and human services. The plan also defines lines of succession for continuity of government during a disaster as well as preservation of records and the logistics of administrative functions such as procedures for obtaining temporary use of facilities. The EOP is reviewed annually and revised as needed. State Transportation Improvement Plan (STIP): Development of plan to construct a Highway 13 expansion for the city of Warrensburg. No other major projects within Johnson County currently are listed on the STIP. 24 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Land use information Near half of the county (48%) is non-native, cool-season grasslands, followed by row and close grown crops (26%), and then deciduous upland mixed invasive forest (10%), and lastly warm season grassland (6%). The remainder is urban development. Development trends Johnson County’s significant population growth over the past three decades is projected to continue at a substantial rate in all age groups through 2020 at an average rate of 22%. The county’s population growth primarily is due to its proximity to the Kansas City metropolitan area and low transportation costs. Many factors contributed to growth in Johnson County. Over the past few decades, a robust national and regional economy led to low unemployment and reasonable interest rates. These growth factors more recently have been dampened by the economic slowdown. The Highway 50 corridor will continue to provide accessibility to the major markets/employment centers in the Kansas City metropolitan area. In particular, Independence and the Kansas City metropolitan area workers may continue to migrate into Johnson County in search of a lower cost of living. While Johnson County and the cities of Warrensburg, Holden and Knob Noster have grown over the last 10 years some of the small communities have not grown or remained the same. Fifty-one percent of the county’s housing is considered by the Census to be urban housing. These units are located primarily in or near Warrensburg, Holden, Kingsville, Knob Noster and Whiteman AFB. Smaller concentrations exist in Centerview, Chilhowee, Leeton. 25 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update 26 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Floodplain management Floodplain regulations were revamped in 2004 to reduce the flood potential. Within floodplain Zone A, new construction and improvements are not allowed without extensive mitigation requirements. Any encroachments such as fill, new construction, or other developments within in the floodway must not create any increase in flood levels within the community during a base flood discharge. Wetlands issues The topography and soil content are not conducive to formation of large wetlands. However, numerous small wetlands exist in varying degrees of quality. NFIP participation The county participates in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). The Floodplain Manager administers the program for Johnson County. There are no repetitive loss properties listed in the County. The table below shows the NFIP status of communities in the planning area. Centerview, Chilhowee, and Kingsville are not participants. Note that “NSFHA” means that the community has no Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHAs). Communtiy Name CID 290714# 290809# 290724# 290194# 290562# HOLDEN, CITY OF JOHNSON COUNTY * KNOB NOSTER, CITY OF WARRENSBURG, CITY OF LEETON, CITY OF Identified Curr Eff Map Date Sanction Date Tribal County Init FHBM Identified Init FIRM JOHNSON 4/9/1976 3/1/2001 07/04/11(M) 3/1/2001 No 4/2/1990 7/4/2011 10/26/1990 No JOHNSON JOHNSON 6/27/1975 11/7/2001 7/4/2011 11/7/2001 No JOHNSON JOHNSON COUNTY 12/17/1973 9/18/1985 7/4/2011 9/18/1985 No (NSFHA) 08/24/12 No 09/12/75 07/04/11 Environmental concerns Within Johnson County the EPA regulates activities involving commercial or private organizations activities as they relate to the environment such as: airborne releases of chemicals, wastewater discharging, possession of hazardous waste, and toxic releases of chemicals. 27 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Air Releases- the following table represents the 19 facilities in Johnson County that are registered with the EPA as releasing pollutants into the air. FACILITY NAME INERSYS GETS GLOBAL SIGNALING STAHL SPECIALTY COMPANY WEST CENTRAL AGRISERVICES LLC LEETON ELEVATOR LIMPUS QUARRIES INCORPORATED WHITEMAN AIR FORCE BASE LAFARGE CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS HILTY QUARRIES INCORPORATED WARRENSBURG SHOW ME REGIONAL AUTOSHRED LANDFILL JOHNSON COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL W J MENEFEE CONSTRUCTION ASSOCIATED ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE INC WHISTLE REDI MIX-HOLDEN WARRENSBURG READY MIX KEYSTONE QUARRY SLOAN CHEVROLET CADILLAC - GEO MARR CONSTRUCTION CO TABLE 8 ADDRESS 617 NORTH RIDGEVIEW DRIVE 601 NORTH MAIN STREET 1301 STAHL DR. 103 SOUTH MAIN STREET 101 EAST RAILROAD STREET ROUTE 3, BOX 7000 930 ARNOLD AVENUE 275 SOUTHEAST AB HIGHWAY 4 M SOUTH RT 13 CITY WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW LEETON HOLDEN WHITEMAN AFB KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG SIC CODE 3692 3743 3361 2041 5153 1422 9711 1422 1422 230 SOUTHEAST 421 WARRENSBURG 4953 BURKARTH & E GAY WARRENSBURG 8062 JUNCTION RTS AB & D 100 SOUTHWEST STATE ROUTE 131 511 SW HWY 131 ROUTE #3 435 SOUTHEAST HWY 13 150 NW US HIGHWAY 50 RT 1 KNOB NOSTER HOLDEN 3273 4911 HOLDEN WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER 3272 3273 1422 5511 2951 Wastewater Discharge- The following table represents the 74 facilities in Johnson County that are registered with the EPA as releasing wastewater into the environment. FACILITY NAME HAWKER ENERGY PRODUCTS INCORPORATED STAHL SPECIALTY COMPANY LEETON ELEVATOR LAFARGE CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS HILTY QUARRIES INCORPORATED WARRENSBURG SHOW ME REGIONAL AUTOSHRED LANDFILL ASSOCIATED ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE INC WARRENSBURG E WWTP MDNR, KNOB NOSTER ST PARK TABLE 9 ADDRESS CITY SIC CODE 617 NORTH RIDGEVIEW DRIVE WARRENSBURG 3692 1301 STAHL DR. 101 EAST RAILROAD STREET WARRENSBURG LEETON 3361 5153 275 SOUTHEAST AB HIGHWAY KNOB NOSTER 1422 4 M SOUTH RT 13 WARRENSBURG 1422 230 SOUTHEAST 421 WARRENSBURG 4953 HOLDEN 4911 WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER 4952 5171 100 SOUTHWEST STATE ROUTE 131 441 NE 300 ROAD 873 SE 10 28 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update WHISTLE REDI MIX-HOLDEN SKYHAVEN FASTOP & MOTEL SHOWTIME LOUNGE CRABTREE LAGOON SYSTEM OAK GROVE ESTATES L.S. MOBILE HOME ESTATES POWELL GARDENS WWTF WILLOW ACRES HOMES ASSOC CASEY'S GENERAL #1122 SKYHAVEN ESTATES JLC TAILER COURT CREST RIDGE HIGH SCH WWTF MILLION DOLLAR FANTASY JOHNSON CO EGG FARM,LLC WHISPERING PINES MHP CAMP PALESTINE WWTF COUNTRY AIRE MOBI HOM EST STATE PARK VILL WWTP M & M MOBILE HOME PARK COUNTRY HOME ESTATES STATESIDE PLAZA DML ESTATES LAKEWOOD MH COMMUNITY WHITEMAN MHP JOHNSON CO PWSD3, HICKORY HOLDEN WWTF KNOB NOSTER WWTF CHAPMAN SEPTIC SERVICE-LA MFA, WARRENSBURG BULK STO BAILE, CLIFTON USAF, WHITEMAN AFB WTP LAFARGE CONSTRUCTION MATE GREEN MEADOWS SUBD CENTERVIEW WWTF HARMON IND.-ELEC SYS DIV FULL CIRCLE AUTO RECYCLER DELLWOOD ESTATES MHP WARRENSBURG N LAGOON KNOB NOSTER TRAILER PARK VILLAGES AT WHITEMAN RAINBOW ACRES SUBDIVISION RIEBOLD LAGOON LEETON WWT LAGOON RIVERWOOD II ESTATES SOUTH FORK SUBDIVISION CHILHOWEE MUNICIPAL WWTF 511 SW HWY 131 311 NW U.S. HWY. 50 317 NW HWY 50 141 NORTHWEST 181 878 SE 130 129 NW 21 ROAD 1609 NW HWY 50 115 NW 331 RR 7, BOX 430-A 312 NW HWY 50 248 SW HIGHWAY 13 92 NW 58 HWY 82 NW 151 1275 SOUTHWEST Y HWY 555 SE Y HWY 396 SW 730 ROAD 176 SE HWY Y #13 113 SE 611 42 NW 215 183 SE HWY 13 1305 SOUTH STATE ST 1064 100 NE 75 38 SE HWY J 17 SE HWY 23 106 SE 421 ROAD 900 SOUTH VINE 218 NORTH STATE STREET 599 TADLOCK ROAD NW 128, HWY 50 280 SE 200 247 NE DIV 271 SOUTHWEST 50 206 SOUTH MAIN 1300 JEFFERSON COURT 130 NW 251 HWY 13 & RT BB 103 NE 175 ROAD ROUTE 2 HIGHWAY D RAINBOW ACRES HWY 13 PO BOX 87 PO BOX 897 WARRENSBURG PO BOX 183 29 HOLDEN WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG CHILHOWEE WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER KNOB NOSTER KNOB NOSTER KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG HOLDEN KNOB NOSTER OAK GROVE WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW BLUE SPRINGS WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER KNOB NOSTER KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG LEETON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG CHILHOWEE 3272 7011 5813 4952 6515 6515 181 4952 5411 6515 6515 8211 5813 252 6515 7033 4952 4952 6515 4952 6512 6515 6515 6515 4952 4952 4952 4953 5541 213 4941 1422 4952 4952 3672 5015 6515 4952 6515 4952 6552 6512 4952 4952 6552 4952 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update SOUTHERN HILLS STF VALLEY VIEW SUBD KINGSVILLE WW STAB. LAG HUNT MIDWEST, WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE LIVESTOCK AUCT FISCHER PROPERTIES-WARREN CMSU SKYHAVEN AIRPORTS DOUBLE D RECYCLE DOUBLE D RECYCLING JIMS AUTOMOTIVE DIKES AUTO SALVAGE KINNEYS AUTO SALVAGE MFA AGRI SERVICE-CENTERVI NEOSHO BOX & WOOD PROD SKYHAVEN AIRPORT CAMP PALESTINE USAF, F-10 TRUNINGER BRO SEPTIC-JOHN HOLDEN WTP SE 150TH RD, ROUTE 7 WARRENSBURG PO BOX 13 102 S. MARR DRIVE HIGHWAY 58 EAST 2300 CLINTON ROAD WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE SEDALIA WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW CENTERVIEW KINGSVILLE CENTERVIEW CENTERVIEW CENTERVIEW KNOB NOSTER WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WINDSOR PLEASANT HILL HOLDEN 4952 4952 4952 1422 751 1422 4581 5093 5093 5015 5015 5015 5191 2491 1629 1629 9711 4952 4941 Hazardous Waste- The following table represents the 4 facilities in Johnson County that are registered with the EPA as possessing hazardous waste. FACILITY NAME HAWKER ENERGY PRODUCTS INC GETS GLOBAL SIGNALING STAHL SPECIALTY COMPANY WARRENSBURG CHRYSLER TABLE 10 ADDRESS 617 NORTH RIDGEVIEW DRIVE 601 NORTH MAIN STREET 1301 STAHL DR. 1111 STAHL DR CITY WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG SIC_CODE 3692 3743 3361 5511 Toxic Release- The following table represents the 3 facilities in Johnson County that are registered with the EPA as releasing toxic chemicals. FACILITY NAME HAWKER ENERGY PRODUCTS INC GETS GLOBAL SIGNALING STAHL SPECIALTY COMPANY TABLE 9 ADDRESS 617 NORTH RIDGEVIEW DRIVE 601 INDUSTRIAL DRIVE 1301 STAHL DR. CITY WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG SIC CODE 3692 3743 3361 Endangered species, historic properties/districts, archaeological sites Endangered and threatened species within Johnson County include the Northern Harrier, Greater Prairie Chicken, and the Black Tailed Jackrabbit. No plant species currently are listed for the county. 30 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The National Registry of Historic Places includes 18 places in Johnson County and they are displayed in the table below. TABLE 11 Places in Johnson County on the National Register of Historic Places Name Address City Listed Adams, John A., Farmstead Historic District 431 SE Y Hwy. Warrensburg 7/7/1994 Other Listings No Camp Shawnee Historic District SW of Knob Noster Knob Noster 3/4/1985 Yes Chilhowee Historic District Roughly Walnut and Main Sts. 222 W. Gay St. Chilhowee 6/2/1988 No Warrensburg 10/12/1995 No Jct. of MO 13 and Co. Rd. 215NW Warrensburg 4/8/1994 No Howard School 400 W. Culton St. Warrensburg 2/14/2002 No Johnson County Courthouse Courthouse Sq. Warrensburg 4/7/1994 No Johnson County Courthouse Old Public Sq. Warrensburg 6/15/1970 No Magnolia Mills 200 W. Pine St. Warrensburg 10/3/1996 No Masonic Temple 101-1-3 W. Market St., and 301-303 N. Holden St. Warrensburg 12/24/1998 No Montserrat Recreation Demonstration Area Bridge MO 132 Knob Noster 3/4/1985 Yes Montserrat Recreation Demonstration Area Dam and Spillway Montserrat Recreation Demonstration Area Entrance Portal Montserrat Recreational Demonstration Area Rock Bath House Montserrat Recreational Demonstration Area Warehouse #2 and Workshop Pleasant View School SW of Knob Noster Knob Noster 3/4/1985 Yes Off MO 132 Knob Noster 3/4/1985 Yes SW of Knob Noster Knob Noster 3/4/1985 Yes Off MO 132 Knob Noster 3/4/1985 Yes 674 SW 131 Highway Medford 8/5/1999 No 201 S. Warren St. Warrensburg 12/13/1996 No Cress, Herbert A. and Bettie E., House Garden of Eden Station Warren Steet Methodist Episcopal Church 31 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 4 The Archaeological Society of Missouri has recorded 437 archaeological sites in Johnson County. The exact locations cannot be shown in order to protect the individual resources. The categories discussed above may require special attention in the mitigation planning phase, depending on the locations. Historic sites are shown on the map below in conjunction with hazardous material sites, and confined animal feeder operations (CAFOs). Identified assets This section provides a survey of existing fixed assets such as infrastructures, critical facilities, employment centers, commercial centers and recreation centers as major factors in disaster mitigation. Inventory of infrastructures Infrastructures include transportation, communications, water/sewer, electricity and natural gas, solid waste disposal, law enforcement, fire protection, emergency medical services and emergency management. 32 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 5 33 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Roadways Roadways continue to be the main source of transportation within the region to support the movement of people and goods along 1,566 miles of road. The Missouri Department of Transportation (MoDOT) provides and maintains all federal and state roadways, 384 miles of road, within the county while Johnson County maintains more than 1070 miles of roadway in unincorporated areas. Roughly 86% are either soil or gravel roads. Incorporated areas maintain a total of 112 miles of roads within their jurisdictions. Railroads Missouri Pacific, Chicago Rock Island and Pacific, Missouri-Kansas-Texas, as well as St. Louis Southwestern Railways all have railroad lines across the county. Amtrak provides passenger service in Johnson County through the Warrensburg Station. Airports According to the FAA there are 7 airports located throughout Johnson County, predominately in the central and southern portions of the county. Of the 7 airports, two are public and four are privately owned. Additionally, there is a heliport located in Warrensburg at the Western Missouri Medical Center, as well as one in the city of Holden. Max B. Swisher Skyhaven Airport is located along Highway 50, 4 miles west of downtown Warrensburg; Max B. Swisher Skyhaven is the largest airport in Johnson County and is owned by University of Central Missouri, however the facility is public. The Fletcher Field Airport is located just north of Centerview off of Highway 50 and is a private operation. The Fender JH Airport is located 3 miles west of Holden and roughly 3 miles south of Kingsville and remains a private entity. Ten miles southeast of downtown Warrensburg is the Lake Sexton Airport, which is a private installation. The Ferguson Farms airport is located 5 miles east of Leeton and 5 miles south of the Lake Sexton Airport. Ferguson Farms airport is also a private entity. Commercial airline travel is accessible 62 miles from the center of Johnson County at Kansas City International Airport (KCI). The table below gives a more detailed description of each airport. 34 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update TABLE 12 Airport Johnson County Airports* Ownership Associated City Runway Type Max B Swisher public Skyhaven Fletcher Field private Fender JH private Whiteman USAF Lake Sexton private Short private Ferguson Farms private * Registered with the FAA Warrensburg asphalt (lights) House Aircraft yes Centerview Kingsville Knob Noster Warrensburg Warrensburg Windsor turf turf concrete (lights) turf/gravel turf turf yes yes yes no yes no Figure 6 Johnson County Airports Runway Lengths 14,000 12,400 12,000 10,000 8,000 Distance (feet) 6,000 4,000 2,700 2,800 2,200 2,600 3,000 1,100 2,000 0 Max B. Swisher Skyhaven Fletcher Field Fender JH Whiteman Lake Sexton Short Ferguson Farms Airport Name Public transportation Public transportation in the county is provided by OATS, Inc. as well as Old Drum. These publicly-funded systems provides door-to-door transportation service with flexible schedules to meet the needs of those who may have little or no alternative means of travel, regardless of age or disability. 35 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Telecommunications New infrastructures and services are enhancing county residents’ quality of life. The following list of communication facilities is not all-inclusive, but represents the major providers of the county’s communications infrastructure. Telecommunication Service Providers Southwestern Bell CenturyLink Long Distance Carriers AT&T MCI Sprint Wireless Communications Companies AT&T Wireless Services Cingular Wireless Nextel Communications Sprint PCS T-Mobile Verizon Wireless T-Mobile Internet Service Providers CenturyTel (T-1 lines and DSL) Charter Communications (cable access) Numerous dial-up service providers Sewer and water facilities The county continues to improve its ability to service residents and businesses with public water and sewer. Public water and sewer service is available within Centerview, Chilhowee, Leeton, Holden, Knob Noster, and Warrensburg. Water service in Kingsville is provided by PWD #2, and Centerview is provided by PWD #1. Within the county, there is a large rural population that is served by private wells. Wastewater needs are serviced by individual septic tanks, lagoons or private sewer systems. The Missouri Department of Natural Resources (DNR) and the U.S. Department of Economic Development (EDA) also have contributed to funding water and sewer projects. Electricity and natural gas Ameren UE, Kansas City Power and Light (KCP&L), Consolidated Support Service Inc., and West-Central Electric Co-op Inc. all provide electrical service within the county. Ameren UE, KCP&L, Williams Gas Pipelines Central Inc., and Missouri Gas Energy supply natural gas to some of the incorporated areas within Johnson County. Solid waste disposal The county’s solid waste is collected by Waste Corporation of Missouri, Brooks Disposal, Ellsworth Collins Sanitation Service, Vic’s Disposal, and Ryans Hauling. Most waste is trucked to the Show-Me Regional Landfill in Warrensburg. 36 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Law enforcement The Johnson County Sheriff’s Department includes the sheriff, 6 detectives, and 32 deputies. The department participates in mutual aid agreements with all incorporated areas within the county. The Sheriff’s office is located in Warrensburg. Additionally, the communities of Holden, Knob Noster, and Warrensburg all maintain municipal police departments. Emergency medical services The Johnson County Ambulance District (JCAD) serves nearly the entire county with the exception of a northeast portion of the county that is covered by Concordia, and a south east portion of the county covered by Windsor. Johnson County Ambulance District has a staff of 26 full-time and 17 part-time employees. The district provides advanced life support, with both EMT’s and paramedics on staff. Medical control is primarily through Western Missouri Medical Center in Warrensburg. Air support systems are available through AirEvac. The helipad also is used by other air ambulance services in the area. Fire protection There are eight 10 fire departments serving Johnson County: • • • • • • • • • • Warrensburg (Headquarters) Leeton Chilhowee Knob Noster Centerview Valley City Columbus Fayetteville Coirnelia Warrensburg There are five (5) departments that serve the Johnson County Fire Protection District #2: • • • • • Kingsville Elm Pittsville Madison Rosehill Except for WAFB, these fire services are dispatched through the Johnson County 911 system. These fire departments all participate in the State Fire Marshall's Mutual Aid System. Search and rescue for Johnson County are primarily provided by the fire departments, with support from the local law enforcement agencies and Highway Patrol. 37 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The districts that service the County provide the following resources are listed in Table 13 below. TABLE 13 Holden Fire and Rescue Resources JCFPD#1 JCFPD#2 Knob Noster Warrensburg Total Personnel Paid 0 0 0 0 24 14 Volunteer 20 115 41 25 30 219 1 9 5 1 2 17 Pumpers 2 9 5 1 3 20 Aerials 0 0 0 0 1 1 Tankers 0 5 3 0 0 8 Brush Units 0 7 4 1 0 12 Rescue Units 1 0 0 0 1 2 Cmd Units 0 0 0 0 1 1 Ambulances 0 0 0 0 0 0 Base 1 0 0 0 2 2 Mobile 3 22 0 2 11 33 Handheld 6 7 1 11 25 33 Cell Phone 0 0 0 0 3 1 Air Bottles 11 50 20 8 48 121 Cascade Systems Portable 0 0 0 0 1 0 Fixed 1 0 1 0 1 3 #Electric 0 0 1 0 5 6 #Gas 1 2 0 2 4 5 5 0 5 150 0 260 Stations # of Vehicles Communication Equipment Fire fighting Equipment Exhaust Fans Foam Gals/AFFF 38 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Gals/ATC 0 0 0 0 120 0 Gals/Protein 0 0 0 0 15 15 Folda-Tank 1 2 3 0 0 6 Flashlights 20 30 0 6 24 80 Portable floods 1 0 1 0 12 6 0 2 0 0 0 2 -Cutters 1 0 0 0 1 1 -Rams 1 0 0 0 3 4 -Spreaders 1 0 0 0 1 1 Manual Sets 0 0 0 1 2 3 Portable Pumps 1 7 0 1 0 9 Generators 1 0 1 1 5 8 Chain Saws 1 0 0 0 2 3 Lights Rescue Equipment Air Bags Hydraulic Tools Other The primary fire protection services for rural Johnson County are provided by the Johnson County Fire Protection District (JCFPD) and JCFPD #2. These two districts maintain stations in the following locations: Any development within five miles of a station and 1,000 feet of a hydrant is given an ISO rating of 8. Rural areas that are beyond this type of service are given an ISO rating of 9. The ISO rating can be reduced from 9 to 6 with enough water hauling capacity and sufficient mutual aid response agreements with neighboring jurisdictions. It is the intent of the fire protection districts to provide improvements that will allow most rural areas of the county to be granted the more preferable ISO rating of 6, which would create a savings of 10 to 15 percent on insurance premiums and mitigate the risk of fire damage. 39 TABLE 14 Johnson County Fire Protection Districts station locations JCFPD JCFPD #2 Warrensburg Kingsville (headquarters) Centerview EIM Columbus Pittsville Fayetteville Madison Valley City Rosehill Knob Noster Leeton Cornelia Chilhowee Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Emergency services (911) Emergency calls are taken by Johnson County Central Dispatch operated by the Johnson County Emergency Management Board. This 911 center then dispatches for the ambulance, fire and law enforcement departments that serve Johnson County. Updating the current 4-digit 911 addressing system to 5-digits has been identified as a growing need. As the number of homes in Johnson County continues to grow, so will the need to bring all residences into the same 5-digit system, as responsive and high quality service depends on the ability of emergency services to locate residences quickly and efficiently. Johnson County has an emergency operation plan. Both Johnson County Public Health Department and Johnson County Environmental Services officials take steps to prevent contamination and other health concerns in emergencies and disasters. All water distribution centers also have emergency operation plans for their water distribution systems. Underground Infrastructure Due to homeland security concerns, underground utilities are not mapped in this plan. According to the Missouri One Call System, Inc. as of April 4, 2003, the following companies maintain underground utility lines within Johnson County. Emergency information concerning these utility lines is contained in the county’s Emergency Operations Plan updated in 2010. The following companies have underground lines running through Johnson County: BP Products North America Phillips Pipeline SBC K.C. Power and Light Sprint (long distance) Village Water and Sewer City of Warrensburg Wiltel Communications West Central Electrical Co-op Southern Star Central Gas Level 3 Communications Sprint KCP&L Cass County Telephone Citizen Telephone CenturyTel Charter Communications Conoco Pipeline Henry County Public Water Supply District #4 Jackson County Public Water Supply District #15 Johnson County Public Water Supply District #1 Lafayette County Public Water Supply District #1 Lafayette-Johnson County Public Water Supply District #2 Missouri Gas Energy Missouri-American Water Missouri Network Alliance MCI Worldcom Panhandle Eastern Pipeline 40 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The Missouri One Call utility location telephone number is 800-344-7483. Inventory of critical/key/essential facilities Relevant facilities include medical facilities, schools, long-term care facilities, day care centers, and government facilities. These facilities represent resources for care and shelter as well as populations requiring a higher level of care and installations critical to community services. Medical facilities TABLE 15 Medical Services of Johnson County Facility name Address District III Agency on Aging 106 W. Young St. Johnson County Ambulance Highway 13 District Missouri Veteran’s Home 1300 Veteran’s Rd. Western Missouri Medical 403 Burkarth Rd. Whiteman AFB – Medical 331 Sijan Ave. Group Johnson Co. Community 429 Burkarth Rd. Health City Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg WAFB Warrensburg Schools More than 16,000 students attend various preschool, elementary, middle, junior high or high schools in the area. The Warrensburg Public Schools is the largest school system in the county. It has eleven separate schools ranging from Early Childhood through Senior High School. University of Central Missouri located in Warrensburg enrolls more than 11,000 students per semester. The table below lists education facilities in the planning area. TABLE 16 School name R-1 School District: Admin/Kingsville School Kingsville High School Kingsville Elementary Schools of Johnson County Address City 101 Adratic St. 101 East Adriatic Street 101 East Adriatic 41 Enrollment (6/2010) Kingsville Kingsville 316 134 Kingsville 148 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Street R-3 School District: Administration Holden High School Holden Middle School Holden Elementary School R-4 School District: Admin/Chilhowee School Chilhowee High School Chilhowee Elementary School R-6 School District: Administration Martin Warren Elementary School Gateway Education Center Ridge View Elementary School So. East Elementary School Warrensburg Middle School Sterling Elementary School Warrensburg High School Warrensburg Detention Center Warrensburg Area Career Center Reese School R-7 School District: Administration Crest Ridge Elementary Crest Ridge High School Crest Ridge Middle School R-8 School District: Administration Middle School Knob Noster Elementary School Whiteman Elementary School Senior High School R-10 School District: Administration Leeton High School Leeton Grade School Leeton Middle School 900 S. Market 1901 S. Main St. 301 Eagle Dr. 1901 S. Market Holden Holden Holden Holden 1561 456 322 660 101 Hwy. 2 101 SW State Route 2 101 SW State Route 2 Chilhowee Chilhowee 164 69 Chilhowee 95 438 E. Market St. 105 S. Maquire St. Warrensburg Warrensburg 3645 388 301 W. Market St. 215 S. Ridgeview Dr. 415 E. Clark St. 640 E. Gay St. 522 E. Gay St. 1411 S. Ridgeview Dr. 135 W. Market St. 205 S. Ridgeview Dr. - Warrensburg Warrensburg 380 Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg 262 741 483 1026 Warrensburg Warrensburg 5 - Warrensburg 52 92 NW 58 Hwy 92 NW 58 Hwy 92 NW 58 Hwy 92 NW 58 Hwy Centerview Centerview Centerview Centerview 727 307 201 141 401 E. Wimer St. 211 E. Wimer St. 405 E. Wimer St. Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster 1665 324 414 Whiteman AFB 540 S. Washington St. Knob Noster 356 400 500 N. Main St. 500 N. Main St. 500 N. Main St. 500 N. Main St. Leeton Leeton Leeton Leeton 374 121 172 83 42 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update FIGURE 7 Johnson County School Districts Johnson County contains 11 school districts educating more than 23,000 students attending various preschool, elementary, middle, junior high, and high schools in the area (including University of Central Missouri). (See the above map for more specific information.) Long-term care facilities are likely to be more impacted in a natural disaster. These facilities fulfill a range of needs including retirement, assisted living, and intermediate care and continuing care. Residents may have mobility and/or cognition issues that present special problems. Day care centers represent yet another population that needs special consideration. Most centers cater to children ages 2-5 although some day care centers serve older adults. These facilities represent specialized mitigation needs. The following table and map show a current population of 13,582 in schools, day care, preschools, and residential facilities. This list of schools and other facilities is deemed “Facilities Requiring Special Consideration” for evacuation purposes in the Johnson County EOP. 43 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Long-term care facilities The table below includes a current listing of long-term care facilities located in the planning area TABLE 17 Facility name Bristol Manor Holden Manor Care Center Bristol Manor County Club Care Center Harmony Gardens Johnson Co. Comm. Health Center Johnson Co. Care Center Mooreview Ridge Crest Nursing Center Warrensburg Manor Care Center Western Missouri Medical Center Long-Term Care Facilities Address City nd 501 W. 2 St. Holden 2005 S. Lexington Holden 603 Creach Warrensburg 503 Regent Dr. Warrensburg 503 Burkarth Rd. Warrensburg 429 Burkarth Rd. Warrensburg Beds 12 52 12 91 80 10 122 E. Market 130 West Culton 706 S. Mitchell St. 400 Care Center Dr. Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg 87 20 120 92 403 Burkarth Rd. Warrensburg 100 Relevant facilities include medical facilities, schools, long-term care facilities, day care centers, and government structures. These facilities represent resources for care and shelter as well as populations requiring a higher level of care and installations critical to community services. Day care centers The table below includes a current listing of recognized day care facilities located in the planning area. TABLE 18 Center/operator name Jeanie Anstine Ruth A. Davis Marjorie Hall Beverly Marsh Day Care Centers Address 1211 S. Lexington 407 W. 8th St. 1613 S. Market St. 706 S. Clay St. 44 City Holden Holden Holden Holden Licensed Children 10 10 10 10 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Melinda Sechrest Janelle Powell Vicki Watterson CMSU Central Village C.C.C. CMSU C.C.C. CMSU Child Development Center Mini Adventures C.C.C. Stepping Stones C.D.C. The Playhouse Warrensburg Day Care Center Wee Care Learning Ronda Kendrick Lori Papez Leslie Brandes Sandra Davis Lois Dillingham MVHR Head Start Center Carrie Kutz Pats Day Care & Preschool Melissa McConnell Nancy McLaughlin Carol Sue Stoneking Carolyn Walker Bonnie Wolfe Shirley Fritz Little Stars Child Dev. Center Jeannette Golson Lori Kendrick Can Do Castle Kids World Ready Set Grow C.C.C. Marjorie Palmer Elaine Rau Cheryl Stockton Janet Murray Christina Adair Christina Pelk Tracy Waters MVHR Head Start Center Becky S. Pedrow One Step Beyond Leeton Early Childhood 1403 S. Vine St. 607 St. Charles St. 605 W. 5th St. Holden @ Cent. Village Foster Knox Clark St. CMSU Clark St. Holden Holden Holden Warrensburg 10 10 10 49 Warrensburg Warrensburg 99 20 505 A N. Burkarth Rd. 728 PCA Rd. 610 Burkarth Rd. 700 S. Mitchell & Jeff. 598 SE DD Hwy #6 39 NE 221 Rd. 802 East Clark 1408 Rockford 706 Canterbury 911 Vest Dr. 330 E. Gay 732 E. Culton St. 600 Wren Way 804 Anderson St. 1019 Fox Run Dr. 106 North Marr Dr. 411 S. Main St. 407 East Hale Lake Rd. 306 Knoll Dr. 1095 S. Mitchell 266 SE 101 802 East Clark 113 NW 191 17 NE J Hwy. 403 Angus Lane 101 N. Harrison 633 Valley Hill 708 West Salem 38-88 SE J Hwy 176 NE 23 Hwy 107 S. Washington 305 E. McPherson 502 East Lucas 1067 NW 425 592 NW AA Hwy 500 N. Main Warrensburg 57 Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg 44 36 61 Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg 52 10 10 10 10 10 38 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Warrensburg Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Knob Noster Centerview Kingsville Leeton 20 36 10 10 20 60 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 40 10 53 42 45 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Government-owned structures County buildings include county and city government centers, police stations, fire stations, ambulance bases, and the county’s 911 Emergency Operations Center. The following table detail these facilities. TABLE 19 Government-Owned Structures Within Johnson County Location Structure Warrensburg City Hall Warrensburg Fire Station Warrensburg Fire Station Warrensburg Police Station Warrensburg Sheriffs Office Warrensburg Post Office Warrensburg Library Warrensburg County Highway barn Warrensburg State Highway Barn Warrensburg State Highway Barn Warrensburg City Highway Barn Warrensburg City Highway Barn Warrensburg Water Treatment Facility Warrensburg Wastewater Treatment Facility Warrensburg Social Security Office Warrensburg Social Services Office Warrensburg USDA/FSA Office Warrensburg Department of Revenue Warrensburg Courthouse Warrensburg Criminal Justice Facility Warrensburg Rham building Warrensburg Court System Facility Warrensburg Divers Test Facility Kingsville Fire Station Kingsville Post Office Kingsville Water Treatment Facility Holden City Hall Holden Fire Station Holden Police Station Holden Post Office 46 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Holden Centerview Centerview Centerview Centerview Chilhowee Chilhowee Chilhowee Chilhowee Chilhowee Leeton Leeton Leeton Leeton Leeton Leeton Leeton Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Other Library County Highway barn State Highway Barn Wastewater Treatment Facility Water Treatment Facility City Highway Barn City Hall Post Office Water Treatment Facility Wastewater Treatment Facility City Hall Post Office State Highway Barn Water Treatment Facility Wastewater Treatment Facility City Hall Fire Station Post Office County Highway barn City Highway Barn Water Treatment Facility Wastewater Treatment Facility Water Treatment Facility Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station Fire Station * Does not include recreational facilities, maintenance facilities or storage facilities Inventory of large employment, commercial and recreation centers Relevant facilities include those that concentrate large groups of people together in a single location. Large industrial/commercial centers Several major manufacturing plants, a mix of both national and local companies, are located within the county. These plants employ a minimum of 50 employees. The table below also includes the area’s retail and commercial centers. 47 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update TABLE 20 Johnson County Employers, 50 or More Employees Company Name Product City GTE Industries Railroad and Elec. Equip. Stahl Specialty Company University of Central Missouri Aluminum Castings Education Hawker Energy Batteries Whitman AFB Gilcrest Equipment Co. Military Construction Manufacture Co. Retail Store Wal-Mart Warrensbur g Kingsville Warrensbur g Warrensbur g Whiteman Warrensbur g Employee s 367 627 1645 500 6,698 50 425 Source Warrensburg Economic Development, 5-10-04 Three industrial parks exist within the county, located in Warrensburg, Holden, and one in development in Centerview. Large recreational centers County and municipal events include, the Community Center, Johnson County Country Club, and the Pertle Springs golf course all in Warrensburg; Knob Noster State Park in Knob Noster; the Hope Coalition and Holden Reservoir in Holden and the Johnson County Fairgrounds near Holden. Inventory of housing structures TABLE 21 Johnson County 2010 Census Housing Types Occupied The Johnson County housing supply is Vacant generally tight; especially for homes at Urban or below the $129,600 average singlefamily house. Of the total 17,410 Rural housing units, 51% are rural units, Total Housing Units 92% are occupied, 61.5% are owner- Source: 2010 U.S. Census occupied, 66.3% are single-family units, 14.6% are mobile homes, and 3.3% are lacking telephone service. 48 Number Percent 19,311 92% 2,217 8% 10,548 49% 10,979 51% 21,528 100% Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update With a total of 17,390 households and 1,476 vacant units, the county would have a 9% margin in dwelling units to accommodate changing residential needs. Of the county’s 18,886 residential structures, 84% were built after 1950. The average housing structure in Johnson County is 29 years old. Figure 8 Johnson County Housing Structures Assessment 4,000 3,636 3,305 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,257 2,180 2,105 2,023 1,891 Housing Units 2,000 1,500 798 1,000 691 500 0 1939 or Earlier 1940 - 1949 1950 - 1959 1960 - 1969 1970 - 1979 1980 - 1989 1990 - 1994 1995 - 1999 1999 to March 2000 Year Built Total inventory of structures The total Johnson County assessed valuation for 2003, including both real estate and personal property, was $406,618,787, according to Johnson County Clerks Office. Therefore, the average assessed valuation was $13,993 per parcel. Rural parcels totaled $136,984,411 or 34% of the county’s assessments. Urban assessed values were $149,466,258 or 37% of the county’s assessments. Tax-exempt parcels and state assessed utilities accounted for the remaining 29%. City/town/village profiles The tables below provide a comparison of characteristics within Johnson County’s incorporated and unincorporated areas. Note that for the smaller population communities that 2010 information is not available. In the 2010 census, population was counted for zip code areas only. 49 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Centerview Total population Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Median household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit, median year built Median gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 267 Fourth class 1960 Mayor/Council $28,333 107 1960 N/A $44,167 no yes no no yes no no Centerview Centerview Aquila JCFPD #1 JCAD None SW State Hwy. 58, and VV 50 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 9 51 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Chilhowee Total population Incorporation date Classification Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit, average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 325 1907 Forth class Mayor/Council $32,033 165 1960 $270 $41,883 no no no no no no no Chilhowee Chilhowee Aquila JCFPD JCAD None SW State Hwy. F, 2 Hwy 52 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 10 53 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Holden Total population Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit, average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 2,252 Third class 1861 Mayor/Council $34,520 1,089 1959 $436 $62,576 no no yes yes yes yes yes Holden Holden Aquila Holden JCAD East Branch Pine Oak Creek SW State Hwy. 58, State Hwy. 131, Missouri Pacific Railroad 54 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 11 55 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Kingsville Total population Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit, average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 269 Fourth class 1885 Mayor/Council $43,210 117 1964 $488 $56,579 no no yes yes yes yes yes Public Water District #2 Own Aquila JCFPD #2 JCAD None SW State Hwy. W, SW State Hwy. 58, SW State Hwy. T, Missouri Pacific Railroad 56 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 12 57 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Knob Noster Total population Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit, average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 2,709 Fourth class 1890 Mayor/Council $39,139 1,092 1970 $424 $86,600 yes yes yes yes yes yes yes City of Knob Noster City of Knob Noster Aquila, JCFPD, City of Knob Noster JCAD Clear Fork NE US Hwy. 50, NE Hwy. 23, Union Pacific Railroad 58 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 13 59 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Leeton Total population Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 566 Fourth class 1946 Mayor/Council $35,879 277 1959 $347 $50,725 no no yes yes yes no yes City of Leeton City of Leeton Aquila JCFPD JCAD None SE State Hwy. 2, St. Louis SW Railway 60 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 14 Warrensburg Total population 18,838 61 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials Third class 1855 Mayor/Council $37,980 6,380 1970 $506 $99,694 yes yes yes yes yes yes yes Mid-American Water Co. City of Warrensburg KCP&L City of Warrensburg JCAD N/A NW US 50, SE State Hwy. 13, Missouri Union Pacific Railroad 62 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 15 63 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Whiteman AFB Total population Classification Incorporation date Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Storm water regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials 2,556 NA CDP* $39,322 982 1964 $546 NA yes yes yes yes yes Whiteman Whiteman, JCAD Long Branch, Brewer Branch SE State Hwy. 23, SE State Hwy. D 64 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 16 65 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Johnson County Total population Classification Leadership structure Average household income, 1999 Total housing units Housing unit average year built Average gross rent Average housing value Master plan Emergency Operations Plan Zoning regulations Building regulations Subdivision regulations Stormwater regulations Floodplain regulations Water service Sewer service Electric service Fire service Ambulance service Rivers, streams Major arterials Railroad 52,595 Second class Commissioners $43,069 18,886 1971 $491 $96,339 yes yes no yes yes yes yes PWD #1, #2, #3 Wright City Aquila JCFPD and JCFPD #2 JCAD Blackwater River NW US 50, SE State Hwy. 13, SE State Hwy.23 Missouri Pacific Railroad, St. Louis SW Railway *CDP: Census designated places (CDP’s) are delineated for the decennial census as the statistical counterparts of incorporated places. 66 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 17 67 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update SECTION 2 Risk Assessment Natural Hazard Identification/ Elimination Process During the development of this Update, many sources were researched for data relating to hazards threatening the planning area. Primary sources included FEMA, Missouri’s State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA), National Climate Data Center (NCDC) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOM). The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and Center for Earthquake Research and Information (GERI), Central U.S. Earthquake Consortium (CUSEC) were major sources for earthquake information. Missouri Department of Natural Resources’s (MDNR) Dam and Reservoir Safety Program provided major information concerning dams. Additional research was based on data from United States Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), National Park Service, National Forest Service, other departments within Missouri’s Department of Natural Resources, Missouri Department of Conservation, and University of Missouri, Columbia. Other sources included county officials; existing county, regional and state plans, reports on the floods of 1993 and 1995; position papers on transportation issues and information from local officials and residents. Past State and federal disaster designations, current Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMS) and available local mitigation plans were also utilized. The Planning Committee reviewed the list of hazards profiled in the 2005 Plan, and determined that all still pose risks for the planning area. Current databases were reviewed for incidents of all hazards occurring within the county. Some hazards were found to be regional in scope and impact. Variations in risk from jurisdiction to jurisdiction were noted. Location-specific hazards not found through the information search were further investigated. This was done to determine whether the hazard could occur in the future. Hazard event histories, repetitive loss information, and conversations with local residents were used to identify relevant hazards. Community-wide hazard profile and list of hazards identified The largest disaster to impact Johnson County in the recent past was the Great Flood of 1993. Loss of agricultural lands, homes, businesses, and infrastructures, as well as the temporary closing of some local businesses contributed to economic losses throughout the county and beyond. Several natural hazards can affect Johnson County. History indicates Johnson County could be at risk of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms; riverine flooding (including flash floods); severe winter weather (snow, ice, extreme cold); drought; heat wave; earthquakes; wildfires and dam failures. Worksheet #1, Johnson County Hazard Identification and Analysis, is included at the end of this section. The worksheet shows Winter Weather as the hazard with the greatest possible impact. August 2012 68 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Natural hazard risks to Johnson County are ranked in descending order. The hazard of tornado and severe thunderstorms is followed by floods, severe winter storms, drought, heat wave, earthquake, dam failure, and wildfire hazards. In developing the 20011 Plan Update, the Planning Committee based the list of natural hazards to be profiled on the 2005 Plan. Those hazards are tornadoes and severe thunderstorms, river flooding (including flash flooding), severe winter weather (snow, ice, extreme cold), drought, heat wave, earthquakes, wildfires and dam failures. These disasters can cause what is known as “cascading hazards“, or hazards caused as a result of other hazards. Cascading hazards could include interruption of power supply, water supply, business, and transportation. Disasters also can cause civil unrest, computer failure, and environmental health hazards. Any of these, alone or in combination, could impact emergency response activities. Examples of specific disasters include hazardous materials release, mass transportation accidents, and disease outbreak due to unsanitary conditions. Table 23 below illustrates how the occurrence of one hazard can lead into other hazard events. Hazards not included and reasons for elimination The Missouri State Plan includes several natural hazards that were not included in the Johnson County Plan Update. For example, landslides and land subsidence, according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS) website, are not likely to occur in Johnson County due to the soil and substructure. Therefore, they were not included in the Plan Update. Hail and lightning were not addressed as separate hazards, but were discussed peripherally in the profile on Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes. The Planning Committee noted that hail and lightning losses are generally minor and are covered by homeowner/auto insurance. The next plan update may include analysis of these hazards. Also, the risk of coastal storms, hurricanes, tsunamis, avalanche and volcanic activity does not exist due to the county’s location, soil profile and geologic structure. These hazards were not included in the Plan Update. Sinkholes were not included as a hazard as the State of Missouri Hazard Mitigation Plan has Johnson County with 0 sinkholes page 3.405. In addition, the Planning Committee tried to obtain information concerning possible levee breach dangers in the county. Although levees probably do exist in the planning area, it is likely that they are agricultural levees presenting little danger to the general population. No Johnson County levees are listed in the National Levee Database (NLD) maintained by the USACE (http://nld.usace.army.mil/egis/f?p=471:1:3352100546410181). However, it should be noted that the USACE, working with FEMA and other agencies, assembled a Regional Interagency Levee Task Force in 2008. The purpose was to provide a uniform approach to gathering levee data across the Midwest. Data is currently being updated and made more readily available through this task force. Some of this data may be available for the next plan update. August 2012 69 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The following pages include profiles of all of the hazards designated by the Planning Committee as impacting the planning area. The hazards are analyzed in the Plan Update on a county-wide basis. In those instances where impacts vary between jurisdictions (flooding, dam breach, etc.) those differences are noted. Each hazard profile includes an analysis describing the hazard’s severity, location, previous events, and probability of future events. Starting on page 137 are hazard worksheets that show Planning Committee estimates related to these four elements. Each hazard is assigned a rating on each of the four the elements. This information is also included in the hazard profiles that follow. TABLE 23 Natural Disaster Tornado/Storm Flood Severe Winter Drought Heat Wave Earthquake Dam Failure Wildfire Cascading Hazards Resulting From Natural Disasters Power and Water Business Civil Computer Transportation Communications Supply Interruption Unrest Failure Interruption Interruption Interruption and/or Loss of Records X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Health and/or Environmental Hazards X = More than 50% chance of side effect in the case of a natural disaster. Hazard Profile worksheets are included at the end of this section. *Historical Data The historical data in this plan comes from NOAA and was obtained in 2010, as part of the plan update, future updates will use more accurate data that will be obtained from NCDC (National Climatic Data Center) Identified Natural Hazards Tornadoes/Severe Thunderstorms When severe thunderstorms and tornadoes hit a community, they leave behind a distinctive trail. Toppled trees, damaged buildings and cars, downed power lines, and widespread power outages are signs that a storm has struck. After such events, it can take communities weeks to return to normal. These storms result in costly structural damages, personal injury, property damage and death. Tornado intensity is determined by using the F- Scale (Fujita 1981) and the EF Scale, as explained in the pages that follow. August 2012 70 X X X X X X X X Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Ostby (1993) found that the occurrence of weak tornadoes (F0-F1) has shown a dramatic increase since 1980, while violent tornado occurrence has remained steady or decreased. Reasons for this include improved verification efforts by local NWS offices and the increase in storm chasing. Tornadoes and other severe windstorms can occur instantly. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency and other agencies have researched the development of these storms. As a result, Doppler Radar was developed in the 1950s. By the 1970's it was clear that Doppler Radar would provide much improved severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings. Hazard Description Tornadoes are cyclical windstorms or violently rotating columns of air. Accompanying storm activities include severe thunder/electrical storms, downbursts, straight-line winds, lightning, hail, and heavy rain. The average forward speed of a tornado is about 30 m.p.h., but vary from nearly stationary to 70 m.p.h. The pathway may vary in any direction, but the average tornado moves from southwest to northeast. Tornadoes are most likely to occur between 3 p.m. and 9 p.m., but may ensue at any hour of the day. Any person or structure at any location could be impacted by a tornado. The amount of damage depends on 1) the strength of the tornado, 2) the tornado’s proximity to the person/structure, 3) the strength of the structure, 4) how well a person is sheltered, etc. Damage can range from negligible to catastrophic. A severe thunderstorm is a term designating a thunderstorm that has reached a predetermined level of severity. This level is determined by the storm being strong enough to inflict wind or hail damage. A storm is considered severe if winds reach at least 93 58 mph, hail is 1 inch in diameter or larger, or if funnel clouds and/or tornadoes are reported. Though a funnel cloud or tornado indicates a severe thunderstorm, a tornado warning is issued in place of a severe thunderstorm warning. Any thunderstorm which produces hail that reaches the ground is known as a hailstorm. Hail has a diameter of 5 millimetres (0.20 in) or more. Hailstones can grow to 15 centimetres (6 in) and weigh more than 0.5 kilograms (1.1 lb). High winds are a very strong wind that has air moving (sometimes with considerable force) from an area of high pressure to an area of low pressure. Severity When thunderstorms occur over a large area, the risk of significant damage increases. The majority of windstorms in a convective system are of marginal severity, with only isolated events reaching high intensity. The most threatening situation would be a very intense convective wind event that also affected a large area. A few times each year in North America, extreme convective wind events of this sort do occur. To date, no such storm has struck a major city during a vulnerable time (e.g., the morning or evening rush August 2012 71 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update hours). However, it is only a matter of time until this occurs. Given that the area affected can approach that of a tropical cyclone's damage swath, and certainly far exceeds that affected during a tornado outbreak (while not being as intense, of course), devastation is possible. When such storms are accompanied by large hail (e.g., > 5 cm in diameter), the damage potential soars to even greater heights than when the wind occurs alone. The occurrence of hail has resulted in some of the costliest storms in United States history; coupling a fall of large hail with winds approaching 50 m s-1 could produce incredible damage in a populated area. Of course, economic losses to agriculture from such storms are already high, but do not attract much public attention, and such losses would be very difficult to mitigate with a 20-30 minute warning. Nevertheless, major property losses can result when such storms cover a large area. A timely forecast may not be able to do much to mitigate the property loss, but could reduce the casualties. It appears possible to forecast these extreme events accurately. However, further research needs to be done to test the existing hypothesis about the interaction between the convective storm and its environment that produces the extensive swath of high winds. Convective wind events are a hazard to societies the world over, doing considerable damage and occasionally generating many casualties. Most convection produces some straight-line wind as a result of outflow generated by the convective downdraft, and so anyone living in convection-prone areas of the world has experienced this phenomenon. On rare occasions, the intensity of the wind achieves the potential for doing damage. Whether or not damage actually occurs is dependent on having structures in the path of the wind. Although engineered structures typically are resistant to wind damage, many structures are quite vulnerable to damage from even relatively modest windstorms. In the United States, it is assumed that the potential for wind damage begins at around 50 knots. Of course, damage can occur in situations where there means to measure the wind speed. For this reason wind damage is graded according to its character: e.g., damage to tree limbs is considered non-severe, but uprooted trees are considered to represent a severe event. Refer to Figures 10, 11, and 12 below. Various human activities place people at risk from convective winds, notably aircraft operations and recreation. Most casualties from convective windstorms in the United States arise from such situations. Given the high vulnerability of aircraft operations during takeoff and landing procedures (the aircraft are operating on the margins of their flight "envelope" during such times); it does not take a particularly intense event from a meteorological standpoint to create many casualties. Commercial aircraft are less vulnerable than private aircraft, but their high occupancy means that rare events can have a large impact on casualty figures. Recreational boating also can account for many casualties in relatively modest windstorms, whereas most commercial craft are unlikely to be affected by marginal convective wind events. August 2012 72 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Tornadoes are classified according to the F-scale developed by Dr. Theodore Fujita. The F-scale ranks tornadoes according to wind speed, and the severity of damage caused within the wind speed ranges. The various damage levels are shown below. TABLE 24 Fujita Tornado Damage Scale Developed in 1971 by Dr. Theodore Fujita of the University of Chicago SCALE F0 WIND ESTIMATE * (MPH) < 73 F1 73-112 F2 113-157 F3 158-206 F4 207-260 F5 261-318 TYPICAL DAMAGE Light damage. Some damage to chimneys; branches broken off trees; shallow-rooted trees pushed over; sign boards damaged. Moderate damage. Peels surface off roofs; mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned; moving autos blown off roads. Considerable damage. Roofs torn off frame houses; mobile homes demolished; boxcars overturned; large trees snapped or uprooted; lightobject missiles generated; cars lifted off ground. Severe damage. Roofs and some walls torn off well-constructed houses; trains overturned; most trees in forest uprooted; heavy cars lifted off the ground and thrown. Devastating damage. Well-constructed houses leveled; structures with weak foundations blown away some distance; cars thrown and large missiles generated. Incredible damage. Strong frame houses leveled off foundations and swept away; automobile-sized missiles fly through the air in excess of 100 meters (109 yds); trees debarked; incredible phenomena will occur. * IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT F-SCALE WINDS: These precise wind speed numbers are actually guesses and have never been scientifically verified. Different wind speeds may cause similar-looking damage from place to place -even from building to building. Without a thorough engineering analysis of tornado damage in any event, the actual wind speeds needed to cause that damage are unknown. On February 1, 2007 the Fujita Scale was replaced by the Enhanced Fujita Scale. The table below compares the two, and provides information concerning impacts. FUJITA SCALE F Number 0 1 2 3 4 5 August 2012 Fastest 1/4mile (mph) 40-72 73-112 113157 158207 208260 261318 3 Second Gust (mph) 45-78 79-117 118161 162209 210261 262317 DERIVED EF SCALE EF 3 Number Second Gust (mph) 0 65-85 1 86-109 2 110137 3 138167 4 168199 5 200234 73 OPERATIONAL EF SCALE EF 3 Number Second Gust (mph) 0 65-85 1 86-110 2 111-135 3 136-165 4 166-200 5 Over 200 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update *** IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT ENHANCED F-SCALE WINDS: The Enhanced F-scale still is a set of wind estimates (not measurements) based on damage. Its uses three-second gusts estimated at the point of damage based on a judgment of 8 levels of damage to the 28 indicators listed below. These estimates vary with height and exposure. Important: The 3 second gust is not the same wind as in standard surface observations. Standard measurements are taken by weather stations in open exposures, using a directly measured, "one minute mile" speed. Previous Events According to the NCDC, there have been 31 tornadoes reported in Johnson County. There have been 12 reported tornado related injuries and 1 death in Johnson County since 1950. The estimated damages reported from these storms was approximately 6.45M. Johnson County has never had an F3 tornado. Tornado occurrences reported to the NCDC are found in the table below. Since 1960, according to the NCDC, tornadoes in Johnson County have: • • • • Occurred between April and November; Caused 1 death and 12 injuries; Created unknown employment impacts; and Damaged property valued at $ 6,455,000. Table 25: JOHNSON COUNTY TORNADO OCCURANCES: 1950 - 2010 Location or Date Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Crop County Damage Damage 5/19/1960 F1 0 0 3K 0 JOHNSON 4/23/1961 F1 0 0 3K 0 JOHNSON 6/8/1962 F1 0 0 0K 0 JOHNSON 4/12/1964 F2 1 3 250K 0 JOHNSON 5/15/1968 F2 0 2 250K 0 JOHNSON 5/15/1968 F2 0 0 25K 0 JOHNSON 5/15/1968 F2 0 0 25K 0 JOHNSON 5/15/1968 F2 0 0 25K 0 JOHNSON 4/4/1969 F2 0 1 250K 0 JOHNSON 9/2/1970 F0 0 0 0K 0 JOHNSON 6/2/1971 F1 0 0 3K 0 JOHNSON 5/20/1982 F1 0 0 0K 0 JOHNSON 11/15/1988 F1 0 0 250K 0 JOHNSON 5/26/1996 F1 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 5/26/2000 F1 0 0 5K 0 HOLDEN F1 0 0 2.0M 0 WARRENSBURG 4/10/2001 5/4/2003 F2 0 0 1K 0 JOHNSON August 2012 74 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update WARRENSBURG WHITEMAN AFB 5/4/2003 5/6/2003 F1 F0 0 0 0 0 25K 10K 0 0 CHILHOWEE WARRENSBURG 5/8/2003 5/8/2003 F0 F0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 F0 F0 F1 F1 F0 F2 F0 F1 F1 F0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 0 12 1K 5K 0 1.1M 0 2.0M 5K 200K 20K 0K 6.455M 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0K 0 5/9/2003 CENTERVIEW WARRENSBURG 10/29/2004 KNOB NOSTER 10/29/2004 6/4/2005 HOLDEN 3/12/2006 JOHNSON 3/12/2006 LEETON 3/30/2006 LEETON 2/24/2007 HOLDEN 2/28/2007 KINGSVILLE 10/17/2007 CENTERVIEW TOTALS: Historical tornado data is displayed in the above table dating back to 1960. Of the 31 tornados there have been no records of a tornado in Johnson County over F2 in magnitude. Additional data on significant Johnson County thunderstorms (downbursts, lightning, hail, heavy rains and wind) indicates two damaging lightning events, 185 hail events, and 130 severe thunderstorms. The tables below list thunderstorm, high wind, hail and lightning events within the county from 1955 to 2003. These events generated almost $390,000 in damage. Table 26: JOHNSON COUNTY THUNDERSTORM OCCURANCES: 1950 2010 Location or County JOHNSON Date Magnitude 5/28/1955 0 kts. Deaths Injuries Property Crop Damage Damage 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/2/1956 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/8/1956 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 1/21/1957 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/11/1959 62 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 9/28/1959 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 5/8/1962 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 4/6/1964 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 4/12/1964 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 August 2012 75 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON 5/28/1964 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 9/15/1965 62 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 9/15/1965 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 9/15/1965 62 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/2/1969 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 5/10/1970 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/31/1970 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/31/1970 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 9/4/1971 50 kts. JOHNSON 6/16/1973 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 10/3/1973 58 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 11/9/1975 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/28/1977 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 4/17/1978 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/23/1978 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/14/1978 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 5/26/1979 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/24/1981 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 3/30/1982 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 12/1/1982 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 12/1/1982 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/4/1985 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/28/1989 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 5/26/1991 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 5/26/1991 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/8/1991 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 11/29/1991 66 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/30/1993 0 kts. 0 0 5K 0 HOLDEN 7/1/1994 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 5/16/1995 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/8/1995 0 kts. 0 0 1K 0 WARRENSBURG 6/8/1995 0 kts. 0 0 5K 0 KNOB NOSTER 6/8/1995 0 kts. 0 0 3K 0 WHITEMAN AFB 6/8/1995 56 kts. 0 0 0 0 KNOB NOSTER 6/8/1995 0 kts. 0 0 2K 0 WARRENSBURG 6/22/1995 0 kts. 0 0 4K 0 HOLDEN 7/23/1995 0 kts. 0 0 2K 0 August 2012 76 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update CENTERVIEW 7/23/1995 52 kts. 0 0 2K 0 KNOB NOSTER 8/16/1995 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 WHITEMAN AFB 7/10/1997 59 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/14/1997 0 kts. 0 0 5K 0 WHITEMAN AFB 6/19/1998 70 kts. 0 0 0 0 LEETON 6/20/1998 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 6/22/1998 59 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/29/1998 70 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/29/1998 55 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 10/17/1998 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 11/9/1998 85 kts. 0 2 60K 0 WHITEMAN AFB 2/11/1999 58 kts. 0 0 0 0 4/8/1999 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON HOLDEN 5/17/1999 0 kts. 0 0 10K 0 WARRENSBURG 6/10/1999 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 6/27/1999 0 kts. 0 0 50K 0 JOHNSON 8/7/1999 50 kts. 0 0 0 0 KNOB NOSTER 8/7/1999 50 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 2/25/2000 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 WHITEMAN AFB 2/25/2000 63 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 3/26/2000 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 3/26/2000 55 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 4/20/2000 52 kts. 0 0 5K 0 KINGSVILLE 6/25/2000 60 kts. 0 0 10K 0 LEETON 7/12/2000 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 CENTERVIEW 8/7/2000 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 WHITEMAN AFB 8/7/2000 81 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 8/7/2000 55 kts. 0 0 0 0 KNOB NOSTER 8/7/2000 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 9/22/2000 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 4/9/2001 0 kts. 0 0 10K 0 HOLDEN 4/10/2001 0 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 4/14/2001 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 KNOB NOSTER 4/14/2001 70 kts. 0 0 2K 0 CENTERVIEW 4/14/2001 70 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 5/17/2001 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 5/20/2001 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN WARRENSBURG August 2012 77 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update WHITEMAN AFB 6/1/2001 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 6/1/2001 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 6/14/2001 70 kts. 0 0 5K 0 WARRENSBURG 8/9/2001 60 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 8/9/2001 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 9/7/2001 52 kts. 0 0 1K 0 KNOB NOSTER 9/7/2001 52 kts. 0 0 3K 0 10/4/2001 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 5/8/2002 61 kts. 0 0 1K 0 JOHNSON 5/8/2002 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 5/8/2002 50 kts. 0 0 0 0 WHITEMAN AFB 10/2/2002 65 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 10/2/2002 65 kts. 0 0 5K 0 WHITEMAN AFB 5/6/2003 56 kts. 0 0 0 0 WHITEMAN AFB 5/8/2003 90 kts. 0 0 0 0 KINGSVILLE 5/10/2003 57 kts. 0 0 0 0 KNOB NOSTER 7/11/2003 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 LEETON 8/21/2003 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 6/12/2004 52 kts. 0 0 1K 0 CHILHOWEE 8/23/2004 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 HOLDEN 10/29/2004 65 kts. 0 0 2K 0 WARRENSBURG 10/29/2004 65 kts. 0 0 1K 0 WARRENSBURG 10/29/2004 65 kts. 0 0 1K 0 CHILHOWEE 6/3/2005 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 6/4/2005 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 KNOB NOSTER 6/7/2005 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 9/13/2005 52 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 3/12/2006 52 kts. 0 0 25K 0 WARRENSBURG 3/12/2006 52 kts. 0 0 5K 0 CENTERVIEW 3/12/2006 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 4/6/2006 61 kts. 0 0 0 0 WHITEMAN AFB 4/6/2006 61 kts. 0 0 25K 0 WARRENSBURG 8/18/2006 62 kts. 0 0 0 0 WARRENSBURG 2/28/2007 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K HOLDEN 4/24/2007 61 kts. 0 0 25K 0K WARRENSBURG 6/3/2008 52 kts. 0 0 1K 0K JOHNSON 6/5/2008 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K CHILHOWEE August 2012 78 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON 8/28/2008 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K HOLDEN 8/28/2008 52 kts. 0 0 5K 0K WARRENSBURG 8/28/2008 56 kts. 0 0 5K 0K LEETON 8/28/2008 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K LEETON 8/28/2008 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K JOHNSON 12/27/2008 52 kts. 0 0 0K 0K JOHNSON 6/9/2009 60 kts. 0 0 0K 0K WARRENSBURG 6/15/2009 52 kts. 0 0 2K 0K WHITEMAN AFB 6/15/2009 50 kts. 0 0 0K 0K WARRENSBURG 7/25/2009 61 kts. 0 0 0K 0K 0 2 289K 0 TOTALS: Table 27: JOHNSON COUNTY LIGHTNING OCCURANCES: 1950 2010 Location or Date Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Crop County Damage Damage 5/16/1995 N/A 0 0 9K 0 HOLDEN 0 0 16K 0 WARRENSBURG 7/12/2000 N/A TOTALS: 0 0 25K 0 Table 28: Johnson County Hail Occurrences: 1955 - 2010 Location or County JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON August 2012 Date 5/8/1956 6/26/1957 6/26/1957 4/19/1959 5/7/1961 5/7/1961 5/8/1962 5/8/1962 6/18/1962 4/12/1964 4/12/1964 4/21/1967 Magnitude Death Injury Property Crop Damage Damage 0.75 in. 0 0 0 0 1.50 in. 0 0 0 0 1.50 in. 0 0 0 0 1.50 in. 0 0 0 0 0.75 in. 0 0 0 0 1.00 in. 0 0 0 0 2.00 in. 0 0 0 0 2.00 in. 0 0 0 0 1.50 in. 0 0 0 0 1.00 in. 0 0 0 0 2.00 in. 0 0 0 0 1.75 in. 0 0 0 0 79 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON WARRENSBURG HOLDEN WARRENSBURG MONTSERRAT JOHNSON KINGSVILLE HOLDEN LEETON LEETON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER August 2012 4/21/1967 7/3/1969 5/10/1970 5/10/1970 6/12/1970 3/31/1973 10/3/1973 4/18/1975 3/26/1976 4/20/1976 3/29/1979 3/16/1980 8/5/1980 4/13/1981 3/15/1982 7/1/1982 11/1/1982 3/15/1984 7/4/1985 7/4/1985 5/11/1987 5/8/1989 5/8/1989 5/18/1989 5/24/1989 5/25/1990 5/25/1990 5/4/1991 5/4/1991 9/22/1993 4/16/1995 5/16/1995 5/24/1996 6/5/1996 5/17/1997 6/4/1998 6/20/1998 6/20/1998 8/19/1998 10/4/1998 1/21/1999 1.75 in. 0.81 in. 1.75 in. 1.25 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 2.50 in. 1.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 1.75 in. 1.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 2.00 in. 0.75 in. 1.75 in. 1.50 in. 1.25 in. 1.25 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 0.88 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 0.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 0.88 in. 0.75 in. 1.75 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update WARRENSBURG HOLDEN JOHNSON JOHNSON CHILHOWEE HOLDEN LEETON WARRENSBURG CHILHOWEE CENTERVIEW JOHNSON KINGSVILLE JOHNSON CHILHOWEE WARRENSBURG HOLDEN WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE HOLDEN JOHNSON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG CHILHOWEE KINGSVILLE KINGSVILLE HOLDEN JOHNSON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE HOLDEN LEETON JOHNSON CHILHOWEE JOHNSON WARRENSBURG JOHNSON KINGSVILLE KINGSVILLE CENTERVIEW KNOB NOSTER August 2012 6/10/1999 3/26/2000 3/26/2000 3/26/2000 3/26/2000 3/26/2000 3/26/2000 5/8/2000 5/8/2000 5/8/2000 5/26/2000 9/11/2000 9/11/2000 9/11/2000 4/3/2001 4/3/2001 4/3/2001 4/9/2001 4/9/2001 4/9/2001 4/9/2001 4/9/2001 4/9/2001 4/10/2001 4/10/2001 4/10/2001 4/10/2001 4/10/2001 4/14/2001 4/14/2001 4/14/2001 6/1/2001 8/9/2001 10/4/2001 5/8/2002 5/11/2002 5/11/2002 3/12/2003 3/12/2003 3/12/2003 3/12/2003 0.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 1.75 in. 0.75 in. 1.75 in. 2.50 in. 0.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 2.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.25 in. 0.88 in. 0.75 in. 0 kts. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.50 in. 0 kts. 1.75 in. 1.75 in. 0.88 in. 1.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.88 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.88 in. 2.75 in. 0.88 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 81 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW JOHNSON WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE WARRENSBURG KINGSVILLE JOHNSON JOHNSON CENTERVIEW WHITEMAN AFB WARRENSBURG LEETON KINGSVILLE HOLDEN KINGSVILLE JOHNSON WARRENSBURG JOHNSON WARRENSBURG JOHNSON KINGSVILLE WARRENSBURG CENTERVIEW JOHNSON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WHITEMAN AFB WARRENSBURG LEETON WHITEMAN AFB CENTERVIEW WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG August 2012 3/12/2003 3/12/2003 3/12/2003 4/24/2003 4/24/2003 4/24/2003 5/4/2003 5/4/2003 5/4/2003 5/4/2003 5/6/2003 5/6/2003 5/6/2003 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 0.88 in. 1.00 in. 0.88 in. 0.88 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 1.25 in. 0.88 in. 1.00 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5/6/2003 5/6/2003 5/6/2003 5/6/2003 5/8/2003 5/8/2003 5/8/2003 5/9/2003 5/9/2003 5/9/2003 5/9/2003 5/9/2003 5/10/2003 5/24/2004 6/14/2004 6/14/2004 8/17/2004 8/17/2004 8/17/2004 8/17/2004 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 0.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.75 in. 0.88 in. 1.00 in. 0.88 in. 0.88 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 3.00 in. 1.25 in. 0.75 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8/17/2004 1.75 in. 8/17/2004 0.75 in. 4/21/2005 1.50 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 1K 0 0 0 0 0 9/19/2005 0.75 in. 9/19/2005 0.88 in. 9/19/2005 1.00 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 82 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update WARRENSBURG 9/19/2005 1.50 in. WARRENSBURG 9/19/2005 2.50 in. 3/12/2006 1.00 in. JOHNSON 3/12/2006 1.00 in. HOLDEN WARRENSBURG 3/12/2006 1.00 in. WARRENSBURG 3/12/2006 1.00 in. WARRENSBURG 3/12/2006 1.00 in. WARRENSBURG 3/12/2006 1.25 in. 3/12/2006 1.00 in. LEETON 3/12/2006 1.00 in. CHILHOWEE 3/12/2006 0.88 in. WHITEMAN AFB 3/30/2006 1.75 in. CHILHOWEE 3/30/2006 0.88 in. CHILHOWEE WARRENSBURG 3/30/2006 0.75 in. 4/23/2006 1.00 in. WHITEMAN AFB 4/23/2006 1.00 in. HOLDEN 4/23/2006 0.88 in. CHILHOWEE 5/24/2006 0.75 in. HOLDEN 5/30/2006 1.00 in. HOLDEN WARRENSBURG 5/30/2006 0.75 in. 6/10/2006 1.50 in. JOHNSON WARRENSBURG 6/10/2006 0.88 in. 11/10/2006 0.88 in. HOLDEN 2/28/2007 1.00 in. JOHNSON 2/28/2007 0.75 in. JOHNSON 2/28/2007 0.75 in. JOHNSON WARRENSBURG 2/28/2007 1.25 in. WARRENSBURG 2/28/2007 1.00 in. WARRENSBURG 2/28/2007 0.75 in. 10/18/2007 0.75 in. KINGSVILLE 1/7/2008 1.25 in. JOHNSON 2/3/2008 1.00 in. WHITEMAN AFB 4/22/2008 1.25 in. WHITEMAN AFB WARRENSBURG 4/23/2008 1.00 in. 6/15/2008 0.75 in. JOHNSON 7/29/2008 1.50 in. JOHNSON WARRENSBURG 12/27/2008 0.88 in. 3/8/2009 1.00 in. JOHNSON August 2012 83 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update KNOB NOSTER CHILHOWEE WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG JOHNSON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG JOHNSON WARRENSBURG WARRENSBURG KNOB NOSTER HOLDEN JOHNSON 3/8/2009 3/24/2009 3/24/2009 3/24/2009 3/24/2009 5/13/2009 5/13/2009 5/13/2009 5/13/2009 5/13/2009 5/13/2009 5/13/2009 6/9/2009 6/10/2009 TOTALS: 1.00 in. 2.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 1.50 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 0.75 in. 1.50 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 0.75 in. 1.00 in. 1.00 in. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 76K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0 Statement of Future Probable Severity The level of tornado impacts is fairly predictable in regard to F-scale and distance from the path of the storm as shown in the illustration below. Based on the 31 previous tornado events, the future probable severity is shown below. Future Probable Severity by F-Scale: F0 negligible F1 limited F2 limited F3 critical F4 catastrophic F5 catastrophic Location A tornado or severe thunderstorm could happen anywhere in the planning area. No location is more likely than any other to experience a tornado or severe thunderstorm. Whenever and wherever conditions are right, tornadoes and thunderstorms are possible. However, they are most common in the central plains of North America, east of the Rocky Mountains and west of the Appalachian Mountains. The map in below shows historic tornado paths in Johnson County. August 2012 84 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 85 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update FIGURE 18 FIGURE 19 August 2012 86 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update FIGURE 20 Probability The probability of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes was difficult to predict for the Planning Committee. Storms usually occur during the late afternoon and early evening, but they have been known to occur in every state in the United States, on any day of the year, and at any hour. Historically, tornadoes occur in most frequently in the spring and summer months, but can occur anytime. Based on prior events, the planning area could experience at least one severe thunderstorm every year, and a tornado at least once every two years. Generally, the risk of tornado is moderate in Johnson County. Historically Johnson County has experienced 31 tornadoes between 1950 and 2011 with an average of 0.508 tornados per year which would give the county a likely risk of occurrence. The risk is rated at a moderate level due to the fact that there has never been recorded a tornado over the F2 ranking. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Severe Thunderstorms/Tornadoes. They rated it “Likely” or having a 10 percent to 100 percent probability of occurrence in the next twelve months. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. F# Events August 2012 Risk Probable Risk of Occurrence, By F-Scale 87 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 9 14 8 0 0 0 29% 45% 26% 0% 0% 0% F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 likely highly likely likely possible unlikely unlikely Statement of Next Disaster’s Likely Adverse Impact on the Community The enormous power and destructive ability of tornadoes are beyond humankind’s capabilities to control. Severity, risk of death, injuries and property damages will continue to be high. However, technological advances will facilitate earlier warning than previously available. This, combined with a vigorous public education program and improved construction techniques, provides the potential for significant reductions in the number of deaths, injuries as well as a reduction in property damage. Based on the history, the likely adverse impact of future Johnson County tornado and thunderstorm events is shown below. Recommendations New-home builders and builders of public facilities should be provided with information concerning safe-room construction and cost (e.g., FEMA Publication 320) and should be encouraged to build new structures with safe rooms. Safe rooms would likely be desirable features for new-home buyers in high tornado risk areas. Homeowners and owners of public facilities should be provided with information concerning safe-room construction and cost, and should be encouraged to retrofit existing structures with safe rooms. All communities should be encouraged to adopt and enforce building codes with wind load design for new construction and substantial improvements. Recommend that the MultiJurisdictional Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee initiate a mitigation activity to encourage acquisition of the infrastructures to help reduce the loss of life caused by tornadoes. August 2012 88 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Flooding/Flash Flooding Flood/Flash Flood Hazard Profile Flooding poses a threat to lives and safety and can cause severe damage to public and private property. Floods are the most common and widespread of all disasters in Johnson County. Most communities in the United States have experienced some kind of flooding, after spring rains, heavy thunderstorms, or winter snow thaws. The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Repetitive Loss properties for the county are in a table located in Appendix B of the Plan Update. The Flood Control Act of 1928 authorized the United States Corps of Engineers (USAGE) to control the Mississippi River with dams, levees and diversion channels. This Act authorized the USAGE to undertake a structural approach to reducing flood damages (thus keeping water from people). After numerous floods, and having spent billions of dollars on floods and disasters, Congress looked at another approach to reduce flood losses, adding a nonstructural approach in the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968. This act, called the National Flood Insurance program (NFIP), required local governments to adopt regulations governing new development activities in identified flood plains. These regulations were a prerequisite to be eligible for the sale of flood insurance within their jurisdictions. Description of Hazard Flooding is a natural event and has been characteristic of rivers and waterways throughout history. It becomes a disaster when it is of such magnitude that both manmade and natural landforms and human lives are destroyed or seriously damaged (Gaffney). A variety of factors affect the type and severity of flooding throughout the planning region, including urban development and infrastructure and topography. A flood is defined as an overflow or inundation that comes from a river or other body of water (Barrows, 1948) and causes or threatens damage or any relatively high stream flow overtopping the natural or artificial banks in any reach of a stream (Leopold and Maddock, 1954). A flood is defined by the NFIP as: A general and temporary condition of partial or complete inundation of two or more acres of normally dry land area or of two or more properties from: • Overflow of inland or tidal waters, • Unusual and rapid accumulation or runoff of surface waters from any source, or • A mudflow River flooding includes headwater, backwater, and interior drainage. Floods can be slow- or fast-rising, depending on rainstorm intensity and length of time, or from rapid snowmelt or ice melt. Floods generally develop over a period of days. During heavy rains from storm systems (including severe thunderstorms), water flows down the watershed, collecting in, and then overtopping, valley streams and rivers. August 2012 89 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Flash flooding is characterized by rapid accumulation or runoff of surface waters from any source. This type of flooding can occur within six hours of a rain event, after a dam or levee failure, or by the sudden release of water held by an ice or debris dam. Because flash flooding can develop in just a matter of hours, they catch people unprepared. Most flood- related deaths result from this type of flooding. Most flash flooding is caused by slow-moving thunderstorms or heavy rains. Several factors contribute to both river and flash flooding. Two key elements are rainfall intensity (the rate of rainfall) and duration (length of time that the rainfall lasts). In addition the type of ground cover, soil type, and topography all play important roles in flooding. Flooding potential is further exacerbated in urban areas by the increased runoff. Runoff can be from two to six times over what would occur on undisturbed terrain. Soils lose their ability to absorb rain as land is converted from fields or woodlands to buildings and pavement. During periods of urban flooding, streets become rivers, and basements and viaducts become death traps as they fill with water. Floodplains are located in relatively flat lowland areas and adjoin rivers and streams. These lowland areas adjacent to rivers and stream banks serve to carry excess floodwater during rapid runoff. The term "base flood" or 100-year flood is the area in the floodplain that is subject to a one percent or greater chance of flooding in any given year, based on historical records. A 500-year flood is defined as the area in the floodplain that has a .2% probability of occurring in any given year. While unlikely, it is possible to have two 100 or even 500 year floods within years or months of each other. The primary use for these terms is for the determination of flood insurance rates in flood hazard areas. Using historic weather and hydrograph data experts derive the estimated rate of flow or discharge of a river or creek. After extensive study and coordination with Federal and State agencies, this group recommended that the 1 percent annual-chance flood (also referred to as the 100-year or "Base Flood") be used as the standard for the NFIP. The 1-percent-annual-chance flood was chosen on the basis that it provides a higher level of protection while not imposing overly stringent requirements or the burden of excessive costs on property owners. The 1-percent-annual-chance flood (or 100-year flood) represents a magnitude and frequency that has a statistical probability of being equaled or exceeded in any given year, or the 100-year flood has a 26 percent (or 1 in 4) chance of occurring over the life of a 30-year mortgage. Floodplains are a vital part of a larger entity called a watershed basin. A watershed basin is defined as all the land drained by a river and its branches. In some cases, flooding may not be attributed to a river, stream or lake. It may be the combination of excessive rainfall, snowmelt, saturated ground and inadequate drainage. August 2012 90 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Severity Damage resulting from flooding includes the inundation of residences, outbuildings, businesses, churches, and storm water structures. Flooding leaves behind mud, rock, debris, braches, trash, and chemical pollutants. Prolonged inundation destroys trees, Depending upon the depth of the flood and the volume and rate of flow of the water, floodwaters may be capable of carrying vehicles, as well as whole or parts of buildings, etc. Wherever they reach, floodwaters leave behind layers of thick muddy ooze. Note that at the time of the development of the 2011 Update, the serious flooding of the summer of 2011 had not yet occurred. Information concerning this event will be helpful in the next plan update in five years. During the spring and summer of 1993, record flooding inundated much of the upper Mississippi River Basin, which includes the planning area. The magnitude of the damages -- in terms of property, disrupted business, and personal trauma -- was unmatched by any other flood disaster in United States history. Property damage alone was over $20 billion. Damaged highways and submerged roads disrupted overland transportation throughout the flooded region. The Mississippi and the Missouri Rivers were closed to navigation before, during, and after the flooding. Millions of acres of productive farmland remained under water for weeks during the growing season. Rills and gullies in many tilled fields and large holes (exceeding 100 feet in depth) were the result of the severe erosion that occurred throughout the Midwestern United States farm belt. The hydrologic effects of extended rainfall throughout the upper Midwestern United States were severe and widespread. The banks and channels of many rivers were severely eroded, and sediment was deposited over large areas of the basin's flood plain. Record flows submerged many areas that had not been affected by previous floods. Industrial and agricultural areas were inundated, which caused concern about the transport and fate of industrial chemicals, sewage effluent and numerous levees to fail. One failed levee on the Raccoon River in Des Moines, Iowa, led to flooding of the city's water treatment plant. As a result, the city was without drinking water for 19 days. The map below illustrates the extent of flooding in 1993. August 2012 91 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 24 The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Flooding (river and flash). They rated the hazard as being of “Limited” impact, or one that impacts 10 percent to 25 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location In certain areas of Johnson County, steep slopes of the region induce high velocities as the water flows downhill and downstream, in many cases producing flash flooding conditions. Some areas in Johnson County are located in low areas, and therefore, often in the floodplain. Floodwaters have the potential to affect or even severely harm portions of the community, especially if the floodwalls or levees fail. Boundaries for areas prone to flooding are shown in the map below, as well as in the maps in Appendix C. Flood risk in individual communities is illustrated in the maps included in the City/Town profiles beginning on page 51. As can be seen in these community maps, little of the developed land in the planning area is located in SFHAs. The communities of Centerview, Chilahowe, Kingsville, and Leeton have virtually no August 2012 92 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update SFHA within the corporate city limits. “Fingers” of SFHAs extend into portions of Holden, Warrensburg, and Knob Noster with some structures located in them. As can be seen in the county-wide map on the next page, many areas in the unincorporated county are in SFHAs. However, as these areas are not as densely populated, so that fewer structures will be located there. The number of structures located in the identified SFHAs in the planning area is not known at this time. However, the Planning Committee will try to obtain this information for the next plan update. August 2012 93 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Floods are the number one weather-related killer in the United States. A flood is a general and temporary condition of partial or complete inundation of normally dry land areas. The overflow of rivers and creeks, and/or the unusual and rapid accumulation or runoff of surface waters causes it from any source. Three main types of floods include; flash, river, and interior drainage. Flash flooding and river flooding differ in their extent and duration. Flash floods are brief heavy flows on small streams or in normally dry washes. River floods are the periodic occurrence of over-bank flows of rivers or streams resulting in partial or complete inundation of the adjacent flood plains. Such over-bank flows are natural events and typically occur on a river once every two to three years. River floods occur on river systems whose tributaries may drain large geographic areas and encompass many independent river basins. Floods on large river systems may continue for days. Interior drainage flooding involves the overflow of storm sewer systems and is usually caused by inadequate drainage following heavy rain or rapid snowmelt. AU drainage systems should be kept clear of debris and objects that will slow the flow of water through the systems. The areas adjacent to rivers and creek banks that serve to carry excess floodwaters during rapid runoff are called flood plains. A flood plain is defined as the lowland and relatively flat areas adjoining rivers and streams. Flood plains are a vital part of a larger entity called a basin-defined as all the land drained by a river and its branches. The land that forms Johnson County is contained within the Blackwater River Basin (BWRB). The BWRB drains most of the county as the river moves west to northeast across the county. The BWRB drains all but the southwest and southeast part of the county. Historical Statistics Flooding within the county is of concern to local emergency management officials. Severe flooding can result from heavy rains associated with thunderstorms. Normally, flooding will be a relatively slow process with adequate warning. River Crest levels are forecast several days in advance, allowing communities downstream to take protective measures. The buildup to flood conditions will normally take several days. While these emergency response activities showcase community spirit with neighbors helping neighbors in protecting lives and property, the toll from these many disasters has been both devastating and widespread. August 2012 94 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The floods of '93 left human suffering and property damage across Missouri. Between 1993 and 1999, Missouri recorded more than 75 deaths attributed to flooding. Of the 49 deaths recorded during the Floods of 93, 35 fatalities (or 71%) were from flash floods. A total of 112 of Missouri's 114 counties were included in at least one or more of the declarations. Only Cedar County in southwest Missouri and Dunklin County in the southeast part of the state was not included in the declarations. A total of 102 Counties were federally declared disaster areas for Individual Assistance, while 88 counties were declared eligible for Public Assistance. During the course of the summer flooding, 22 major river bridge closings, 250 routes, and 950 individual flood sites caused road closures in 112 counties. Flash Flooding in 2002, resulted in Federal Assistance at a cost of $ 90,000 – 93, 000. Knob Noster, which lies in close vicinity to Whiteman Air Force Base, faced a dire flood scenario in 2008 between June 1 and July 18. Severe storms, flooding and hail affected residents and flooded homes. The State Emergency Management Agency and the Federal Emergency Management Agency declared emergencies in the area and opened Disaster Recovery Center’s to assist families that lost their homes. Intense rain in short time periods caused flash floods making roads inaccessible and ruining homes. In terms of overall damage, Missouri’s most severe single hazard is flooding. Flooding has resulted in more federal disaster declarations in Missouri than any other hazard in the past three decades. Statement of Probable Risk Johnson County's vulnerability to flooding is greatly increased by the Black Water River floodplain. The main areas of concern are close to the main rivers and creeks (primarily around the banks of the Black- water River, Post Oak Creek and Clear Fork). The other major area of concern for the county is in the Big Creek and Muddy Creek floodplains. Another area of concern within Johnson County regarding flooding is the growing development of subdivisions in the county. These new structures may interfere with the natural run-off presently in existence. This could eventually cause major flooding problems for all communities within Johnson County. Due to climatic conditions, the Johnson County area is more susceptible to flash flooding than river-rain flooding. For the Warrensburg area and the other surrounding communities throughout Johnson County, the principal flood problems are from short duration, high intensity thunderstorms, which produce a cloudburst type rainstorm. This creates high run-off flows of short duration (these can produce high stream velocities). Flash flooding could occur anywhere in the county where there is an abundance of rainfall in a very short time span. The backing up of tributary stream flow creates flooding problems along the Black water River, especially in the areas of the county where the land tends to be very flat and at low elevations. The threat of flooding is a more natural occurrence in the spring, when late winter or spring rains, coupled with melting snow, fill river basins with too much water, too quickly. Spring also represents the onset of severe weather in the form of thunderstorms, August 2012 95 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update tornadoes, and heavy rains, which generate flash flooding along these, storm fronts; however, severe flooding may occur in Johnson County any time of the year. Impact of the Hazard Johnson County residents are mostly at risk to the dangers of flash flooding from rapidly rising creeks and tributaries, storm runoff, etc. Most flood deaths are from flash floods, and nearly half of these types of fatalities are auto related, according to the National Weather Service. Another problem with flooding in Johnson County is with the rural roads and bridges getting washed out. There are more than 1200 miles of rural roads in Johnson County. Many roads are flooded during times of intense rain or rain lasting several days. There are 364 bridges in the county that are at least 20 feet in length; flooding is extremely hard on them. The washout of a bridge is of concern to residents who use the bridge. Alternative routes must be used when washout of a bridge occurs. The low lying area on Route 23 in the county floods at least 27 times a year and has to be closed to traffic. This is not only an inconvenience for the people using this roadway it could cause hardship for emergency vehicles that have to find another way during floods. This causes inconvenience to people whom use the road. Agricultural losses are also of concern. Because of the sparsely populated areas around most of the rivers and creeks, farmland (versus population centers) is more likely to be affected by all types of floods. Blackwater River bottomland is susceptible to washouts and scouring. Because of the '93 rains, agricultural losses were estimated at nearly $2 billion, as over 3 million acres of farmland were either damaged or went unplanted in Missouri. The Department of Agriculture estimated that washouts and sand scouring destroyed 500,000 acres of Missouri River bottomland. Previous Events The table below illustrates previous events of flooding, both river and flash, in Johnson County. Note that the table represents only reported events, and that damage figures are area-wide and do not always represent what was reported for the planning area. Table 29: JOHNSON COUNTY FLOOD OCCURANCES: 1993 - 2010 Location or County JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON KNOB NOSTER JOHNSON JOHNSON August 2012 Date 9/25/1993 4/11/1994 4/11/1994 5/7/1995 6/6/1995 6/26/1995 7/4/1995 8/2/1995 Deaths Injuries Property Crop Damage Damage 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.0M 5.0M 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.8M 2.0M 0 0 700K 2.0M 0 0 3K 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 96 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON JOHNSON KNOB NOSTER JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON KNOB NOSTER JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON August 2012 5/27/1996 6/6/1996 7/20/1996 7/21/1996 9/16/1996 9/23/1996 11/17/1996 2/21/1997 2/26/1997 4/11/1997 5/1/1997 1/5/1998 2/11/1998 3/8/1998 3/15/1998 3/28/1998 4/1/1998 4/27/1998 6/8/1998 6/20/1998 7/27/1998 7/30/1998 9/13/1998 10/1/1998 10/17/1998 11/1/1998 12/1/1998 1/31/1999 2/1/1999 2/7/1999 3/8/1999 4/14/1999 4/26/1999 5/4/1999 5/12/1999 5/16/1999 6/27/1999 2/18/2000 6/14/2000 6/20/2000 1/29/2001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 750K 0 0 0 0 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON WARRENSBURG JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON WHITEMAN AFB JOHNSON JOHNSON KINGSVILLE JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON HOLDEN JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON KNOB NOSTER JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON August 2012 2/9/2001 2/24/2001 4/3/2001 4/10/2001 4/10/2001 4/14/2001 4/15/2001 5/11/2001 5/21/2001 6/2/2001 6/3/2001 6/20/2001 7/12/2001 7/25/2001 5/6/2002 5/8/2002 5/8/2002 5/11/2002 5/24/2002 5/9/2003 5/10/2003 12/10/2003 1/18/2004 3/4/2004 3/28/2004 5/19/2004 5/19/2004 6/10/2004 7/24/2004 7/24/2004 7/25/2004 9/18/2004 11/1/2004 11/24/2004 1/3/2005 1/12/2005 1/13/2005 2/13/2005 8/26/2005 4/30/2006 5/31/2006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON KNOB NOSTER HOLDEN KNOB NOSTER KNOB NOSTER JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON 2/20/2007 2/25/2007 4/14/2007 4/26/2007 5/7/2007 6/28/2007 6/29/2007 7/1/2007 2/5/2008 2/17/2008 3/3/2008 3/17/2008 4/8/2008 4/10/2008 4/24/2008 6/3/2008 6/8/2008 6/19/2008 6/19/2008 12/27/2008 12/27/2008 2/11/2009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTALS: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 8.503M 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 0K 9.750M Source: NWS website Probability The table above reveals that it is likely that a flooding event of some degree occurs almost annually in Johnson County. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Flooding. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. August 2012 99 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Severe Winter Weather Hazard (Snow, Ice and Extreme Cold) Profile Winter weather is different than other hazards such as dam failure or tornadoes in that the hazard tends to occur over a much larger area, often times affecting areas from several counties to multiple states. Winter weather includes heavy snow, ice, freezing rain/sleet and extreme cold temperatures. Severe winter storm hazards include heavy snow, blizzards, sleet, freezing rain, ice storms and can be accompanied by extreme cold. Winter events or conditions are further defined below. Heavy Snow: According to the National Weather Service (NWS), heavy snow is generally snowfall accumulation to 4 inches or more in depth in 12 hours or less; or snowfall accumulating to 6 inches or more in depth in 24 hours or less. A snow squall is an intense, but limited duration, period of moderate to heavy snowfall (e.g. snowstorm), accompanied by strong, gusty surface winds and possibly lightning (generally moderate to heavy snow showers) (NWS, 2005). Snowstorms are complex phenomena involving heavy snow and winds, whose impact can be affected by a great many factors, including a region’s climatologically susceptibility to snowstorms, snowfall amounts, snow fall rates, wind speeds, temperatures, visibility, storm duration, topography, and occurrence during the course of the day, weekday versus weekend, and time of season (Kocin and Uccellini, 2004). Blizzard: Blizzards are characterized by low temperatures, wind gusts of 35 miles per hour (mph) or more and falling and/or blowing snow that reduces visibility to 0.25 miles or less for an extended period of time (three or more hours( (NWS,2005). Sleet or Freezing Rain Storm: Sleet is defined as pellets of ice composed of frozen or mostly frozen raindrops or refrozen partially melted snowflakes. These pellets of ice usually bounce after hitting the ground or other hard surfaces. Freezing rain is rain that falls as liquid but freezes into glaze upon contact with the ground. Both types of precipitation, even in small accumulations, can cause significant hazards to a community (NWS, 2005). Ice Storm: An ice storm is used to describe occasions when damaging accumulations of ice are expected during freezing rain situations. Significant accumulations of ice pull down trees and utility line resulting in loss of power and communication. These accumulations of ice make walking and driving extremely dangerous, and can create extreme hazards to motorist and pedestrians (NWS, 2005). Extreme Cold: Extreme cold events are when temperatures drop well below normal in an area. Extremely cold temperatures often accompany a winter storm, so individuals may have to cope with power failures and icy roads. Although staying indoors as much as possible can help reduce the risk of car crashes and falls on the ice, individuals may also face indoor hazards. Many homes will be too cold—either August 2012 100 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update due to a power failure or because the heating system is not adequate for the weather. When people use space heaters and fireplaces to stay warm, the risk of household fires and carbon monoxide poisoning increases. What constitutes extreme cold and its effects can vary across different areas of the country. In regions relatively unaccustomed to winter weather, near freezing temperatures are considered “extreme cold.” Exposure to cold temperatures, whether indoors or outside, can lead to serious or life-threatening health problems such as hypothermia, cold stress, frostbite or freezing of the exposed extremities such as fingers, toes, nose and ear lobes (Centers of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2005). Severity Snow can range from blizzard conditions to snow flurries and can accumulate to several inches, resulting in dangerous driving conditions. Ice conditions including sleet and freezing rain can result in roadways being covered in sheets of ice and ice jams resulting in flooding. Sleet usually bounces when hitting a surface and does not stick to objects; however, it can accumulate like snow and cause a hazard to motorists. Freezing rain is rain that falls onto a surface with a temperature below freezing; this causes it to freeze to surfaces, such as trees, cars, and roads, forming a glaze of ice. Even small accumulations of ice can cause a significant hazard. An ice storm occurs when freezing rain falls and freezes immediately on impact. Heavy accumulations of ice can bring down trees, electrical wires, telephone poles and lines, and communication towers. Communications and power can be disrupted for days while utility companies work to repair the extensive damage. Sometimes winter storms are accompanied by strong winds creating blizzard conditions with blinding wind-driven snow, severe drifting and dangerous wind chill. Strong winds with these intense storms and cold fronts can knock down trees, utility poles and power lines. Extreme cold often accompanies a winter storm or is left in its wake. Prolonged exposure to the cold can cause frostbite or hypothermia and become life-threatening. Infants and elderly people are most susceptible to extremely cold weather conditions. What constitutes extreme cold and its effect varies across different areas of the United States. In areas unaccustomed to winter weather, near freezing temperatures are considered "extreme cold." Freezing temperatures can cause severe damage to citrus fruit crops and other vegetation. Pipes may freeze and burst in homes that are poorly insulated or without heat. In the north, below zero temperatures may be considered as "extreme cold." Long cold spells can cause rivers to freeze, disrupting shipping, and Ice jams may form and lead to flooding. Heavy snow can immobilize a region and paralyze a city, stranding commuters, stopping the flow of supplies, and disrupting emergency and medical services. Accumulations of snow can collapse buildings and knock down trees and power lines. In rural areas, homes and farms may be isolated for days, and unprotected livestock may be lost. The cost of snow removal, repairing damages, and loss of business can have large economic impacts on cities and towns. Extreme cold temperatures are ranked based upon a wind chill chart that figures the August 2012 101 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update temperature on how the wind and cold feel on exposed skin. As the wind increases, heat is carried away from the body at a faster rate, driving down the body temperature. Frostbite, hypothermia and death can result from winter weather. Seventy percent of snow injuries result from vehicle accidents, 25% occur in people getting caught in the weather. Cold injuries occur to 50% of people over 60 years old, 75% happen to males and 20% occur in the home. Types of damage that could occur in Johnson County include property damage, as well as injury and death to individuals. Each year dozens of people die due to exposure to cold in the U.S. In addition, vehicle accidents and fatalities, fires due to dangerous use of heaters and other winter weather fatalities (heart attacks from shoveling snow, for example) result in a threat. Threats such as hypothermia and frostbite can lead to the loss of fingers and toes or cause permanent kidney, pancreas, liver damage and death. People can become trapped in their homes and cars without utilities or assistance. Other damage can include rooftop collapse (as a result of the inability of the roofs to withstand the weight of a heavy snowfall event), automobile accidents and downed power lines/power outages from ice storms. Heavy snow can strand commuters, close airports, stop the flow of supplies and disrupt emergency and medical services. Livestock may be lost on farms. The cost of snow and debris removal, repairing damages and the loss of business can have a severe impact on the region. Winter storms in Johnson County, as compared to winter storms to the north and west, are relatively mild. Severe winter weather is rare. Based on records maintained from 1900 through 2009, the region has experienced total annual snowfall over the average of 15.4 inches per year. Of these years, only six years experienced annual snowfall of over 40 inches. In the queries requested from NOM, storm magnitudes were not reported Based on queries from NOAA, no deaths or injuries were reported in Johnson County due to winter storms. No other information was available from NOAA. Winter storms are considered deceptive killers because most deaths are indirectly related to the storm. People die in traffic accidents on icy roads and of hypothermia from prolonged exposure to cold. Everyone is potentially at risk during winter storms. The actual threat depends on the specific situation. Related to ice and snow injuries and deaths: • About 70% occur in automobiles. • About 25% are people caught out in the storm. • Related to exposure to cold: • 50% are people over 60 years old. • Over 75% are males. • About 20% occur in the home. There are a variety of transportation impacts due to cold weather. Diesel engines are stressed and often fuel gels in extreme cold weather impacting trucking and rail traffic. Rivers and lakes freeze, stopping barge and ship traffic. Subsequent ice jams threaten August 2012 102 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update bridges and can close major highways. Cold temperatures take their toll on vehicle batteries. Shear cold temperatures stress metal bridge structures. Transportation losses for the winter of 1976 -77 came to $6.5 billion (in 1980 dollars) (NOAA, 1982). Cold temperature impacts on agriculture are frequently discussed in terms of frost and freeze impacts early or late in growing seasons. Absolute temperature and duration of extreme cold can have devastating effects on trees and winter crops as well. Prolonged cold snaps can impact livestock not protected from the frigid temperatures. In the winter of 1983-84, a single cold snap around Christmas destroyed over $1 billion of the citrus crop in Florida. Louisiana lost 80% of its citrus crop. Tennessee estimated $15 million in agriculture losses. Texas experienced hundreds of millions of dollars in crop damage (NOM, 1983). Energy consumption rises significantly during extreme cold weather. In the winter of 197677 additional energy consumption cost $3.8 billion (1980 dollars). This includes increase costs of electricity, fuel oil, and coal. Extreme cold temperatures can cause significant ground freezing problems, especially if there is little snow cover. Buried water pipes can burst causing massive ice problems and loss of water pressure in metropolitan areas. This poses a variety of public health and public safety problems. One case of a broken water main in Denver, Colorado forced the entire evacuation in sub-zero temperatures of the medically fragile patients of the Veteran's Hospital. Other cases of broken water mains have shut down subway systems and financial centers. Schools often close during extreme cold snaps to protect the safety of children who wait for school buses. August 2012 103 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Severe Winter Weather. They rated it ”Limited” or damaging 10 percent to 25 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Severe winter weather could occur in any portion of the planning area. Late winter storms that have a tendency to be intense tend to generate in the southwest portion of the United States and move northeast, dependent upon the meteorology and the storm track. Winter weather is different than other hazards such as tornadoes in that the hazard tends to occur over a much larger area, often times affecting from several counties to multiple states. Previous Events Data from Table 26 was provided by the NCDC. As previously stated, the data provided below represents only reported events, related injuries and property damage. The winter storms listed include snow and ice events. According to NOAA winter weather is not tracked to the same degree it has for severe Midwest spring storms. This is mainly due to the fact that winter weather and winter storms are more "subjective." August 2012 104 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Weather data indicates that the counties north of the Missouri River may receive an average annual snowfall of 18 to 22 inches, those counties (Johnson) south of the river may receive an annual average of 8 to 12 inches. Events in which borderline conditions exist between freezing and icing conditions instead of rain or snow are highly unpredictable, as are more serious situations, which combine with other factors such as high winds. Duration and degree of severity may be localized to a small area due to a combination of climatic conditions. An indirect winter hazard that affects Missourians every year is carbon monoxide poisoning. Improperly vented gas and kerosene heaters or the indoor use of charcoal briquettes will create dangerous levels of carbon monoxide. In 1997, 31 cases of carbon monoxide poisoning were reported in Missouri. No deaths were reported from these cases. On January 28, 2002 Johnson County was hit very hard by an ice storm which left about half of the county crippled with damages and losses. The were no reported cases of death during that disaster but 28 storm related injuries were reported (13 falls, 4 carbon monoxide, 2 eye injuries due to debris & 1 motor vehicle accident) Since 1994, according to the NCDC, severe winter weather in Johnson County has: • • Most frequently occurred between November and February; Damaged property valued at $32,200,000; Table 30: JOHNSON COUNTY SNOW & ICE OCCURANCES: 1994 -2010 Location or County JOHNSON JOHNSON Date Type 1/18/1995 Heavy Snow 11/11/1995 Snow/ice Deaths Injuries Property Crop Damage Damage 0 0 200K 0 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 12/8/1995 Snow 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 12/21/1997 Ice Storm 1/11/1998 Ice Storm 11/8/2000 Ice Storm 12/10/2000 Winter Storm 12/13/2000 Heavy Snow 1/28/2001 Winter Storm 2/9/2001 Winter Storm 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON August 2012 105 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON JOHNSON 1/30/2002 Ice Storm 12/10/2003 Winter Storm 1/25/2004 Winter Storm 2/5/2004 Winter Storm 11/23/2004 Heavy Snow 12/8/2005 Heavy Snow 11/29/2006 Ice Storm 11/30/2006 Heavy Snow 12/1/2006 Heavy Snow 1/12/2007 Winter Storm 1/20/2007 Heavy Snow 4/13/2007 Winter Weather 12/9/2007 Ice Storm 1/31/2008 Heavy Snow 2/28/2009 Heavy Snow 12/24/2009 Winter Storm 1/6/2010 Winter Storm TOTALS: 0 0 32.0M 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 5K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 0K 0K 0 0 32.155M 0 Table 31: JOHNSON COUNTY EXTREME COLD OCCURANCES: 1994 2010 Location or County JOHNSON Date Type 9/22/1995 Freeze Magnitude Deaths Injuries Property Crop Damage Damage N/A 0 0 0 0 1/10/1997 Extreme N/A Cold JOHNSON 12/10/2000 Extreme N/A Cold TOTALS: 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 JOHNSON August 2012 106 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Crippling Winter-storms can occur in the area, although they do not occur with great frequency. The weather pattern for the Johnson County area, favors freezing rain which could pose major problems such as: traffic accidents and delays, and power outages. People are affected by the adverse affects of winter-storms. Individuals over the age of 65 are especially vulnerable, as indicated by the Missouri Department of Health Data, (141 hypothermia related deaths from 1984 to 1994) 52 percent occurred to individuals over the age of 65. Winter-storm deaths related to ice and snow about 70 percent of these occur in automobiles, with the majority involving males over the age of 40. Winterstorms can have a significant impact on the environment, the ice storm of December 1994 caused extensive damage to trees and plants, resulting in the cutting, removal, and subsequent disposal which caused environmental damage due to permitted burning of the debris and reduced landfill space. In the winter there is an average of about 110 days with temperatures below 32 degrees in the Johnson County area. Temperatures below zero are infrequent, but do occur. Snow has been known to fall as early as October and as late as April does, however on the average, snowfall usually occurs during the months of December, January, and February. It is unusual for snow to remain on the ground for more than a week or two before it melts. Winter precipitation usually occurs in the form of rain or snow, in these situations, freezing rain/drizzle can occur. Occurrence is highly unpredictable, but usually does not occur more than twice per winter season. The hazards presented here are those that have been experienced, or pose a potential threat to the residents of Johnson County. Local or isolated incidents, which constitute a potential disaster, should not be overlooked. Probability Between 1995 and 2010 there was only a single death and no injuries in Johnson County related to winter weather. In 1995, heavy snow resulted in $200,000 in property damage. A 2002 severe ice storm caused $32 million in damages to personal property. Of 30 winter related weather events between 1995 and 2010, only two caused any severe damage to properties within the county. Excessive winter weather can prove devastating. Primary concerns include the potential loss of heat, power, telephone service and a shortage of supplies if storm conditions continue for more than a day. Further, employees may be unable to get to work due to icy conditions, unplowed roadways or facility damage. In addition to snow, the effects of temperature and wind chill increase the severity of a winter storm. Wind blowing across exposed skin drives down the skin temperature and eventually the internal body temperature. The faster the wind blows, the faster the heat is carried away, the greater the heat loss and the colder it feels. Exposure to low wind chills can be life threatening to humans and animals. August 2012 107 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update A new Wind Chill Temperature Index took effect on November 1, 2001, replacing the original wind chill index that was devised in 1945. To find the Wind Chill Temperature Index from the table below, find the air temperature along the top of the table and the wind speed along the left side. The point where the two intersect is the wind chill temperature. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Severe Winter Weather. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Mitigation activities for Johnson County should include the education of its workers and residents about prevention of injuries and deaths from severe winter weather. Communities should become aware of the warning systems in place and identify shelter locations and phone numbers of emergency services. August 2012 108 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Drought Hazard Profile Drought is defined as the deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually a season or more. This deficiency results in a water shortage for some activity, group or environmental sector. Drought should be considered relative to some long-term average condition of balance between precipitation and evapotranspiration (i.e., evaporation + transpiration) in a particular area, a condition often perceived as "normal". It is also related to the timing (i.e., principal season of occurrence, delays in the start of the rainy season, occurrence of rains in relation to principal crop growth stages) and the effectiveness (i.e., rainfall intensity, number of rainfall events) of the rains. Other climatic factors such as high temperature, high wind, and low relative humidity are often associated with drought in many regions of the world and can significantly aggravate its severity. Description Drought should not be viewed as merely a physical phenomenon or natural event. Its impacts on society result from the interplay between a natural event (less precipitation than expected resulting from natural climatic variability) and the demand people place on water supply. Human beings often exacerbate the impact of drought. Recent droughts in both developing and developed countries and the resulting economic and environmental impacts and personal hardships have underscored the vulnerability of all societies to this hazard. There are two main kinds of drought definitions: conceptual and operational. Conceptual definitions, formulated in general terms, help people understand the concept of drought. Drought is a protracted period of deficient precipitation resulting in extensive damage to crops, resulting in loss of yield. Conceptual definitions may also be important in August 2012 109 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update establishing drought policy. For example, Australian drought policy incorporates an understanding of normal climate variability into its definition of drought. The country provides financial assistance to farmers only under "exceptional drought circumstances," when drought conditions are beyond those that could be considered part of normal risk management. Declarations of exceptional drought are based on science-driven assessments. Previously, when drought was less well defined from a policy standpoint and less well understood by farmers, some farmers in the semiarid Australian climate claimed drought assistance every few years. Severity Operational definitions help define the onset, severity, and end of droughts. No single operational definition of drought works in all circumstances, and this is a big part of why policy makers, resource planners, and others have more trouble recognizing and planning for drought than they do for other disasters. In fact, most drought planners now rely on mathematic indices to decide when to start implementing water conservation or drought response measures. In the early 1980s, research by Donald A. Wilhite, director of the National Drought Mitigation Center, and Michael H. Glantz, of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, uncovered more than 150 published definitions of drought. The definitions reflect differences in regions, needs, and disciplinary approaches. Wilhite and Glantz categorized the definitions in terms of four basic approaches to measuring drought: meteorological, hydrological, agricultural, and socioeconomic. The first three approaches deal with ways to measure drought as a physical phenomenon. The last approach to measuring drought deals with drought in terms of supply and demand, tracking the effects of water shortfall as it ripples through socioeconomic systems. Meteorological drought is usually an expression of precipitation's departure from normal over some period of time. These definitions are usually region-specific, and presumably based on a thorough understanding of regional climatology. Meteorological measurements are the first indicators of drought. Agricultural drought occurs when there is not enough soil moisture to meet the needs of a particular crop at a particular time. Agricultural drought happens after meteorological drought but before hydrological drought. Agriculture is usually the first economic sector to be affected by drought. Agricultural drought links various characteristics of meteorological (or hydrological) drought to agricultural impacts, focusing on precipitation shortages, differences between actual and potential evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced ground water or reservoir levels, and so forth. Plant water demand depends on prevailing weather conditions, biological characteristics of the specific plant, its stage of growth, and the physical and biological properties of the soil. A good definition of agricultural drought should be able to account for the variable susceptibility of crops during different stages of crop development, from emergence to maturity. Deficient topsoil moisture at planting may hinder germination, leading to low plant populations per hectare and a reduction of final yield. However, if August 2012 110 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update topsoil moisture is sufficient for early growth requirements, deficiencies in subsoil moisture at this early stage may not affect final yield if subsoil moisture is replenished as the growing season progresses or if rainfall meets plant water needs. Hydrological drought refers to deficiencies in surface and subsurface water supplies. It is measured as stream flow and as lake, reservoir, and groundwater levels. There is a time lag between lack of rain and less water in streams, rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, so hydrological measurements are not the earliest indicators of drought. When precipitation is reduced or deficient over an extended period of time, this shortage will be reflected in declining surface and subsurface water levels. Hydrological drought is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation (including snowfall) shortfalls on surface or subsurface water supply (i.e., stream flow, reservoir and lake levels, ground water). The frequency and severity of hydrological drought is often defined on a watershed or river basin scale. Although all droughts originate with a deficiency of precipitation, hydrologists are more concerned with how this deficiency plays out through the hydrologic system. Hydrological droughts are usually out of phase with or lag the occurrence of meteorological and agricultural droughts. It takes longer for precipitation deficiencies to show up in components of the hydrological system such as soil moisture, stream flow, and ground water and reservoir levels. As a result, these impacts are out of phase with impacts in other economic sectors. For example, a precipitation deficiency may result in a rapid depletion of soil moisture that is almost immediately discernible to agriculturalists, but the impact of this deficiency on reservoir levels may not affect hydroelectric power production or recreational uses for many months. Also, water in hydrologic storage systems (e.g., reservoirs, rivers) is often used for multiple and competing purposes (e.g., flood control, irrigation, recreation, navigation, hydropower, wildlife habitat), further complicating the sequence and quantification of impacts. Competition for water in these storage systems escalates during drought and conflicts between water users increase significantly. Although climate is a primary contributor to hydrological drought, other factors such as changes in land use (e.g„ deforestation), land degradation, and the construction of dams all affect the hydrological characteristics of the basin. Because regions are interconnected by hydrologic systems, the impact of meteorological drought may extend well beyond the borders of the precipitation-deficient area. For example, meteorological drought may severely affect portions of the northern Rocky Mountains and northern Great Plains region of the United States. However, since the Missouri River and its tributaries drain this region to the south, there may be significant hydrologic Impacts downstream. Similarly, changes in land use upstream may alter hydrologic characteristics such as infiltration and runoff rates, resulting in more variable stream flow and a higher incidence of hydrologic drought downstream. Bangladesh, for example, has shown an increased frequency of water shortages in recent years because land use changes have occurred within the country and in neighboring countries. Land use change is one of the ways human actions alter the frequency of water shortage even when no change in the frequency of meteorological drought has been observed. For the purposes of drought response planning, all three categories (meteorologic, August 2012 111 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update hydrologic and agriculture) can be regarded as equivalent, since each one relates to the occurrence of drought to water shortfalls in some component of the hydrologic cycle The most commonly used drought severity indicators are the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) and the Crop Moisture Index. These are published by NOM and the USDA. The PDSI is more widely used than any other single indicator. It provides a standardized means of depicting drought severity throughout the US. It measures the departure of water supply (in terms of precipitation and stored soil moisture) from demand (the amount of water required to recharge soil and keep rivers, lakes and reservoirs at normal levels). By relating these figures to the previous regional index a continuous stream of data is created reflecting long-term wet or dry tendencies. The severity of drought is most commonly measured by the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). It is is a measurement of dryness based on recent precipitation and temperature. It was developed by meteorologist Wayne Palmer, who first published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought[1] for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau. The table below defines each numeric classification. Table 28 Palmer Classifications 4.0 or more 3.0 to 3.99 2.0 to 2.99 1.0 to 1.99 0.5 to 0.99 0.49 to –0.49 -0.5 to 0.99 -1.9 to –1.99 -2.0 to –2.99 -3.0 to –3.99 -4.0 or less Extremely wet Very wet Moderately wet Slightly wet Incipient wet spell Near normal Incipient dry spell Mild drought Moderate drought Severe drought Extreme drought Drought characteristics include economic, social and environmental. This Plan Update will describe some of the economic and environmental impacts that could occur. The “Dust Bowl” of the1930s is most often remembered as impacting agriculture. Deficient rainfall, high temperatures, and high winds, as well as insect infestations and dust storms occurred at that time, and damaged many crop. Although records focus on other problems, the lack of precipitation would also have affected wildlife and plant life, and would have created water shortages for domestic needs. The severity and aerial coverage of the event played a part in making the 1930s drought widely recognized drought of record for the United States. The State of Missouri’s Drought Plan was most recently revised in 2002. Missouri's plan divides the state into three regions according to their susceptibility to drought, see the August 2012 112 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update map on the following page. Susceptibility is measured by the characteristics of surface and ground water supplies. Regions were judged to have slight, moderate or high susceptibility to drought. Johnson County was included in Region B and Region C, which is considered moderate surface and groundwater supply drought susceptibility(B) and High Susceptibility (C). Groundwater resources are adequate to meet domestic and municipal water needs, but due to required well depths, irrigation wells are very expensive. Missouri’s drought plan complements and supports the State Consolidated Plan and the State Emergency Operations Plan. Actions within the drought plan are triggered when the Palmer Drought Index reaches certain levels. The Drought Assessment Committee (DAC), chaired by the Director of the Department of Natural Resources, is activated in the Drought Alert Stage. The DAC then activates the Impact Task Forces, which cover the following topics: agriculture, natural resources and environmental recreation, water supplies, wastewater, health, social, economic and post drought evaluation. The social and economic costs of drought are substantial. Given the extent to which the U. S. relies on acceptable water supply for health and well- being, the need for advanced August 2012 113 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update drought planning is obvious. Types of damage can include the increasing incidence of range fires, causing injuries and devastation to properties, depletion of groundwater supplies (residents being requested to cut water usage), poor crop growth, and a decrease in hay for cattle (overgrazing) conditions. A shortage of hay forces ranchers to sell cattle at low prices and food prices increase due to lower production levels for milk, meat, produce, and other foodstuffs. Drought also results in reduced revenues from recreational areas, environmental damages (endangered species were affected, erosion of landscapes), contaminant levels in surface and groundwater rise due to decrease in volume of stream flow, loss in revenues from agriculturally related industries such as harvesting, trucking, and food processing (reduced irrigation water led to a reduction in vegetable production, with concomitant losses in jobs and income). Drought in Johnson County is primarily a problem with rural water supply and agricultural water supply, especially those supplied by small water structures. When good water becomes scarce and people must compete for the available supply, the importance of drought severity increases dramatically. According to the Climate Prediction Center, average annual precipitation for the Johnson County area is approximately 41 inches. The state rates Johnson County for moderate drought susceptibility. Precipitation-related impacts on time scales ranging from a few days to a few months can include impacts on wildfire danger, non-irrigated agriculture, topsoil moisture, range and pasture conditions, and unregulated stream flows. Lack of precipitation over a period of several months or years adversely affects reservoir stores, irrigated agriculture, groundwater levels, and well water depth. Groundwater resources in the county seem to be adequate to meet domestic and municipal water needs, but due to required well depths, irrigation wells are very expensive. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Drought. They rated it based on agricultural lands only since urban structures are not usually impacted by this hazard. The Committee assigned a “Catastrophic” rating, meaning that it would impact 50 percent or more of the jurisdiction’s agricultural lands. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Because of its geographical location and characteristic weather pattern, Johnson County is vulnerable to drought conditions, as is the Western Great Plains area. Agricultural droughts are the most common of record particularly those inflicting damage to corn crop yields. Throughout much of this century these droughts have occurred about once every five years. The most recent severe occurrence was the "Great Drought of 1988-89". Johnson County farmers felt the effects primarily; however, water shortages became a problem even for residential areas. August 2012 114 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update According to the collection of Midwest drought data and its staff, the Missouri Department of Natural Resources has divided the state into three regions, which are prioritized according to drought susceptibility. The three regions are identified as having Slight, Moderate, and Severe Susceptibility. Johnson County is in the severe region of susceptibility. Previous Events According to county officials, major droughts occurred in 1934, 1936, and 1954. More recently, droughts have occurred during 1999, 2000 and 2006; beginning in July of 1999 and rapidly developing into a widespread drought just three months later. The entire state was placed under a Phase I Drought Advisory level by DNR and the Governor declared an Agricultural Emergency. In October the U.S. Agriculture Secretary declared a federal disaster, making low-interest loans available to farmers in Missouri and neighboring states. By June of 2000, the entire state was under a Phase II Alert for drought conditions. Drought conditions put Johnson County within the state’s Phase II Alert area for June and July of 2000 The only drought event reported for Johnson County in the NCDC database was in the years 1999 - 2000. This event involved most of the state. April 2000 was the driest on record in the state of Missouri, according to the Midwestern Climate Center. The lowest rainfall totals occurred in parts of west-central Missouri, which includes the planning area. The weather station WFO Pleasant Hill received only 0.30 inches of precipitation for the entire month, and Sweet Springs picked up only 0.47 inches. At Kansas City International Airport, 0.65 inches of rain fell during the month, making it the driest April recorded in Kansas City. April's dry weather represented a continuation of long-term drought dating back to July 1999, as rainfall deficits in most locations exceeded 10 inches and the U.S. Drought Monitor showed most of northern and western Missouri in a severe drought. According to the Missouri State Climatologist, 1999-2000 was the 5th driest July-through-April period on record. During the 1999-2000 droughts, the entire state was placed under a Phase 1 Drought Advisory level by DNR and the Governor declared an Agricultural Emergency. In October the U.S. Agriculture Secretary declared a federal disaster, making low-interest loans available to farmers in Missouri and neighboring states. By June of 2000, the entire state was under a Phase 2 Alert for drought conditions. Other recent drought events are shown in the table below. August 2012 115 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update TABLE 32 Location Date Countywide 4/1/2000 Countywide 2002Present TOTAL Johnson County: Drought 2000 - 2011 Time Type Death Injury Property Damage 12:00 Drought 0 0 0 AM NA Drought 0 0 $335,116 0 0 $335,116 Crop Damage 0 Livestock $727,640 $1,202,767 $777,640 $1,202,767 0 JOHNSON COUNTY PAST DROUGHT OCCURANCES: 2006 - 2010 Date Phase September 19, 2006 Conservation Phase August 16, 2006 Conservation Phase May 4, 2006 Drought Alert Arpil 5, 2006 Drought Alert February 17, 2006 Drought Alert Table 33 Probability Drought history in Johnson County indicates that it could happen once every ten years. However, the past number and severity of events is not necessarily a predictor of future occurrences. Therefore, it is possible for Johnson County to experience drought in any given year. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Drought. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Initiate a mitigation activity to discern and promote a set of best practices for droughtresistant farming. Initiate a cooperative effort to reduce the number of small water structures and educate city residents on watering restrictions of lawns. August 2012 116 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Heat Wave Hazard Profile Heat wave is defined as a prolonged period of excessive heat and humidity: more than 48 hours of high heat (90 degrees F or higher) and high humidity (80 percent relative humidity or higher) are expected. Although heat waves are not often taken as seriously as other forms of severe weather, the mortality from these weather events in the U. S. from 1979 to 1998 is greater than the number of lives claimed by lightning, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and earthquakes combined (National Center for Environmental Health). Hazard Description Even during a normal year without a catastrophic heat wave, the National Weather Service claims that an average of about 175 people succumb to summer heat. This number does not include the number of excess deaths of people already in poor health, whose deaths may have been advanced by exposure to extreme heat. In contrast to the visible nature of "deadly weather," like floods, hurricanes, and tornadoes, a heat wave is a "silent disaster." Unlike violent weather events, the impact of extreme heat is dramatically less apparent. Extreme heat is a hazard that could rapidly increase in magnitude in the 21st century. The increasing urbanization of the world's population results in larger numbers of vulnerable people. Global warming also dictates a need to improve heat wave mitigation and response systems. In a normal year, about 175 Americans succumb to summer heat. Among the large continental family of hazards, only the cold of winter--not lightning, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, or earthquakes-- takes a greater toll. In the 40-year period from 1936 through 1975, nearly 20,000 people were killed in the United States by the effects of heat and solar radiation. In the disastrous heat wave of 1980, more than 1,250 people died. These are just the direct casualties of heat waves. No one can know how many more deaths are advanced by heat wave weather-- how many diseased or aging hearts cannot survive the added stress of extreme heat. Severity Based on the latest research findings, the NWS has devised the "Heat Index"(HI), (sometimes referred to as the "apparent temperature") to measure the severity of extreme heat. The HI, given in degrees F, is an accurate measure of how hot it really feels when the relative humidity (RH) is added to the actual air temperature. To find the HI, look at the Heat Index Chart in Figure 37 below. As an example, if the air temperature is 95 degrees F (found on the left side of the chart) and the RH is 55% (found at the top of the chart), the HI -- or how hot it really feels -- is 110 degrees F. This is at the intersection of the 95-degree row and the 55% column. August 2012 117 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 38: Heat Severity Index Source: National Weather Service In addition, the NWS recently has devised a method to warn of advancing heat waves up to seven days in advance: Mean Heat Index. It is a measure of how hot the temperatures actually feel to a person over the course of a full 24 hours. It differs from the traditional Heat Index in that it is an average of the Heat Index from the hottest and coldest times of each day. Heat kills by taxing the human body beyond its abilities. Normally, the body has ways of keeping itself cool, by letting heat escape through the skin, and by evaporating sweat (perspiration). If the body does not cool properly, the victim may suffer a heatrelated illness. Anyone can be susceptible although the very young and very old are at greater risk. Heat-related illnesses can become serious or deadly if unattended. Damage to the body ranges from heat cramps to death. Heat Cramps: Heat cramps are muscular pains and spasms due to heavy exertion. They usually involve the abdominal muscles or the legs. It is generally thought that the loss of water and salt from heavy sweating causes the cramps. Heat Exhaustion: Heat exhaustion is less dangerous than heat stroke. It typically occurs when people exercise heavily or work in a warm, humid place where body fluids are lost through heavy sweating. Fluid loss causes blood flow to decrease in the vital organs, resulting in a form of shock. With heat exhaustion, sweat does not evaporate as it should, possibly because of high humidity or too many layers of clothing. As a result, the body is not cooled properly. Signals include cool, moist, pale, flushed or red skin; heavy sweating; headache; nausea or vomiting; dizziness; and exhaustion. Body temperature will be near normal. August 2012 118 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Heat Stroke: Also known as sunstroke, heat stroke is life-threatening. The victim's temperature control system, which produces sweating to cool the body, stops working. The body temperature can rise so high that brain damage and death may result if the body is not cooled quickly. Signals include hot, red and dry skin; changes in consciousness; rapid, weak pulse; and rapid, shallow breathing. Body temperature can be very high--sometimes as high as 105F. Compared to other meteorological hazards that pose threats to property and human health (e.g„ floods, hurricanes, and tornadoes), heat waves rank first as the cause of death. Extremes of heat have a broad and far-reaching set of impacts. These include loss of life and illness, as well as economic costs in transportation, agriculture, production, energy, and infrastructure. There are several impacts on transportation documented in case studies. Aircraft lose lift at high temperatures. Some airports have closed due to periods of extreme heat that made aircraft operations unsafe. Highways and roads are damaged by excessive heat. Asphalt roads soften. Concrete roads have been known to "explode" lifting three to four foot pieces of concrete. During the 1980 heat wave hundreds of miles of highway buckled (NOM, 1980). Stress is placed on automobile cooling systems, diesel trucks and railroad locomotives. This leads to an increase in mechanical failures. Train rails develop sun kinks and distort. Various sectors of the agriculture community are affected by extreme heat. Livestock, such as rabbits and poultry, are severely impacted by heat waves. Millions of birds have been lost during heat waves. Milk production and cattle reproduction also decreases during heat waves. Pigs are also adversely impacted by extreme heat. In terms of crop impacts in the summer of 1980, it is unclear what the impacts are of very high temperatures for a few days, versus the above average summer temperatures or the drought. We do know that high temperatures at the wrong time inhibit crop yields. Wheat, rice, corn, potato, and soybean crop yields can all be significantly reduced by extreme high temperatures at key development stages. The electric transmission system is impacted when power lines sag in high temperatures. In 2002 a major west coast power outage impacting 4 states was blamed in part on extreme high temperatures causing sagging transmission lines to short out. The combination of extreme heat and the added demand for electricity to run air conditioning causes transmission line temperatures to rise The demand for electric power during heat waves is well documented. In 1980, consumers paid $1.3 billion more for electric power during the summer than the previous year. The demand for electricity, 5.5% above normal, outstripped the supply, causing electric companies to have rolling black outs. The demand for water increases during periods of hot weather. In extreme heat waves, water is used to cool bridges and other metal structures susceptible to heat failure. This causes a reduced water supply and pressure in many areas. This can August 2012 119 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update significantly contribute to fire suppression problems for both urban and rural fire departments. The rise in water temperature during heat waves contributes to the degradation of water quality and negatively impacts fish populations. It can also lead to the death of many other organisms in the water ecosystem. High temperatures are also linked to rampant algae growth, causing fish kills in rivers and lakes. Although most heat-related deaths occur in cities, residents of rural areas are at risk due to factors that can include age, outdoor activities, or lack of air conditioning. While heatrelated illness and death can occur due to exposure to intense heat in just one afternoon, heat stress on the body has a cumulative effect. The persistence of a heat wave increases the danger. Excessive heat can lead to illnesses and other stresses on people with prolonged exposure to these conditions. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Heat Wave. They rated it ”Catastrophic” or impacting more than 50 percent of the jurisdiction in one degree or another. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Heat waves in Johnson County will be planning-area wide. Heat wave weather is different than other hazards such as tornadoes in that the hazard tends to occur over a much larger area, often times affecting from several counties to multiple states. Prior Events Of the 10 heat waves to hit the Johnson County region between 1994 and 2010, all produced heat indices within the “Danger” range. The most intense heat wave occurred across the Johnson County region in July 1994 and July 1999. These heat waves resulted in the following impacts for Johnson County: • 49 deaths • 55 injuries • Crop damage valued at $50,000. Note that the deaths listed are area-wide, and not confined to Johnson County. JOHNSON COUNTY EXTREME HEAT OCCURANCES: 1994 - 2010 Location or County JOHNSON JOHNSON August 2012 Date Type 6/12/1994 Heat 7/18/1999 Excessive Heat Deaths Injuries Property Crop Damage Damage 4 55 0 50K 22 0 0 0 120 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update JOHNSON 8/22/2000 Excessive Heat 1 0 0 0 JOHNSON 9/1/2000 Excessive Heat 3 0 0 0 JOHNSON 10/6/2000 Extreme Cold 7/6/2001 Excessive Heat 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/17/2001 Excessive Heat 2 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/1/2001 Excessive Heat 4 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/9/2001 Excessive Heat 1 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/4/2003 Excessive Heat 1 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/14/2003 Excessive Heat 2 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/21/2005 Excessive Heat 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/16/2006 Excessive Heat 4 0 0 0 JOHNSON 7/29/2006 Excessive Heat 0 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/1/2006 Excessive Heat 2 0 0 0 JOHNSON 8/6/2007 Excessive Heat 0 0 0K 0K 49 55 0 50K JOHNSON TOTALS: Table 34 Probability Based on previous events, it is likely that the planning area will experience extreme heat every two to three years. Heat waves are sporadic phenomena that occur throughout the United States. Frequency, intensity, and duration of heat Waves, however, vary drastically from year to year. As seen in the table below, extreme heat in Johnson County is most likely to occur in July. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Heat Wave. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge August 2012 121 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Initiate a mitigation activity to provide cooling centers or portable fans for the elderly during sustained high temperatures. Also initiate an education program to teach outdoor workers, students, and the general public on the dangers of extended exposure to high temperatures and simple measures to avoid harmful consequences. August 2012 122 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Earthquake Hazard Profile The state of Missouri established the Missouri Seismic Safety Commission (MSSC) through the authority of the Seismic Safety Commission Act (RSMo Sections 44.225 through 44.237). The purpose of MSSC is to review Missouri's current preparedness for major earthquakes and to make recommendations to mitigate their impact. MSSC developed a 1997 plan titled A Strategic Plan for Earthquake Safety that documented successes, opportunities, and concerns. It included the following recommendations: 1) educational efforts should continue to be developed and expanded with the MSSC taking the lead; 2) continued and increased cooperation of State agencies with nationally funded programs (National Science Foundation funding the Mid-America Earthquake Center) should occur; 3) stable State funding should be provided for the Missouri earthquake mitigation and preparedness program; 4) SEMA should hire a person to train and track the Community Emergency Response Teams [CERT]; and 5) assessment of the impact of National Hazard Earthquake Reduction Program maps should occur. The MSSC prepared A Strategic Plan for Earthquake Safety as the result of a legislative mandate, Senate Bill No. 142 in 1993. This plan will establish goals, initiatives and priorities. Key issues identified by MSSC are: 1) earthquake threat is real – addressing the problem now will yield significant long-term benefits; 2) reduction of earthquake risk requires combined efforts of individuals, businesses, industry, professional and volunteer organizations, and all levels of government to promote adoption and enforcement of appropriate building codes; 3) strategies identified in the report for reducing earthquake risk can be implemented through community participation; and 4) MSSC accepts responsibility for advancing earthquake planning and mitigation in state at outlined in plan. Description An earthquake is sudden slip on a fault line, and the resulting ground shaking and radiated seismic energy caused by the slip. It can also be caused by volcanic or magmatic activity, or other sudden stress changes in the earth. The Earth's crust is made up of large plates, also known as tectonic plates. These plates are the large, thin, relatively rigid plates that move relative to one another on the outer surface of the Earth. Plate tectonics involves the formation, lateral movement, interaction, and destruction of the lithospheric plates (lithosphere is the outer solid part of the earth, including the crust and uppermost mantle. The lithosphere below the crust is brittle enough at some locations to produce earthquakes by faulting, such as within a subducted oceanic plate. Much of the earth's internal heat is relieved through this process and many large structural and topographic features are consequently formed. Continental rift valleys (the nearby New Madrid Fault Zone in Missouri is considered a buried rift valley). Vast plateaus of basalt are created at plate break up when magma ascends from the mantle to the ocean floor, forming new crust and separating mid-ocean ridges. Plates collide and are destroyed as they descend at subduction zones to produce deep ocean trenches, strings of volcanoes, extensive transform faults, broad linear rises, and folded mountain belts. August 2012 123 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Earthquake induced landslides and dam failure/levee failure are secondary earthquake hazards that occur from ground shaking. Damage resulting from landslides is similar to that from earthquakes. Damage resulting from dam failure/levee failure is similar to flash flooding. Severity The characteristics of earthquakes include the rolling or shaking of the surface of the ground, landslides, liquefaction and amplification. The severity of these hazards depends on several factors, including soil and slope conditions, proximity to the fault, earthquake magnitude and type of earthquake. Buildings on poorly consolidated and thick soils will typically have more damage than buildings located on consolidated soils and bedrock. Soils and soft sedimentary rocks near the earth's surface and landfills can modify ground shaking caused by earthquakes. One of these modifications is amplification. Amplification increases the magnitude of the seismic waves generated by the earthquake. The amount of amplification is influenced by the thickness of geologic materials and their physical properties. Buildings and structures built on soft and unconsolidated soils can face greater risk. Damage on buildings can range from minor foundation cracks to complete leveling of the structure. Building contents can be broken from being knocked onto the floor or being crushed by the ceiling, walls and floor failing. Dams and levees have the potential to fail, resulting in the flooding of downstream regions including residentially populated areas. Liquefaction occurs when ground shaking causes wet granular soils to change from a solid state to a liquid state. This results in the loss of soil strength and the soil's ability to support weight. Buildings and their occupants are at risk when the ground can no longer support these structures. Damage from liquefaction can destroy the buildings and the foundations the buildings rest on. Liquefaction has been documented from the New Madrid Fault Zone earthquake activity. Earthquakes and the resulting landslides have the potential to destroy roads, bridges, buildings (especially older buildings constructed of masonry or those buildings that are not designed to seismic standards), utilities (including those that are not designed to seismic standards) and other critical facilities (including those that are not designed to seismic standards). Earthquake induced landslides are secondary earthquake hazards that occur from ground shaking. Damage resulting from landslides is similar to that from earthquakes. Earthquakes can be measured by intensity or by magnitude. The Richter magnitude scale was developed in 1935 by Charles F. Richter of the California Institute of Technology as a mathematical device to compare the size of earthquakes. The magnitude of an earthquake is determined from the logarithm of the amplitude of waves recorded by seismographs. Adjustments are included for the variation in the distance between the various seismographs and the epicenter of the earthquakes. On the Richter Scale, magnitude is expressed in whole numbers and decimal fractions. For August 2012 124 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update example, a magnitude 5.3 might be computed for a moderate earthquake, and a strong earthquake might be rated as magnitude 6.3. Because of the logarithmic basis of the scale, each whole number increase in magnitude represents a tenfold increase in measured amplitude. As an estimate of energy, each whole number step in the magnitude scale corresponds to the release of about 31 times more energy than the amount associated with the preceding whole number value. The Richter Scale is not used to express damage. An earthquake in a densely populated area which results in many deaths and considerable damage may have the same magnitude as a shock in a remote area that does nothing more than frighten the wildlife. Large-magnitude earthquakes that occur beneath the oceans may not even be felt by humans. The Mercalli Scale is based on observable earthquake damage. From a scientific standpoint, the Richter scale is based on seismic records while the Mercalli is based on observable data that can be subjective. Thus, the Richter scale is considered scientifically more objective and therefore more accurate. For example a level I-V on the Mercalli scale would represent a small amount of observable damage. At this level doors would rattle, dishes break and weak or poor plaster would crack. As the level rises toward the larger numbers, the amount of damage increases considerably. The higher number represents total damage. Refer to Figure 43. Intensity scales, like the Modified Mercalli Scale measure the amount of shaking at a particular location. So the intensity of an earthquake will vary depending on where you are. Sometimes earthquakes are referred to by the maximum intensity they produce. Magnitude scales, like the Richter magnitude, measure the size of the earthquake at its source. They do not depend on where the measurement was made. August 2012 125 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update According to the SEMA map below, Johnson County is at risk for a Level VI impact on the Modified Mercalli Intensity Scale from a 7.6 earthquake (see map on this page). According to the Mercalli Scale, all in Johnson County would feel a Level VI impact. People could have difficulty walking due to motion. Objects could fall off walls. Furniture could move or be overturned. Weak plaster and masonry could crack. Slight damage could occur in poorly constructed buildings. Trees and bushes could shake visibly or be heard rustling. A full description of the severity of a Level VI earthquake appears of page 128 of the Plan Update. August 2012 126 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 43 The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Earthquake. The rating was “Critical” or causing damage to 25 - 50 percent of the jurisdiction, with varying degrees of damage depending on geographical characteristics. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. August 2012 127 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Location An earthquake is no more likely to happen in one location in the planning area than in another. All participating communities are likely to be impacted. Earthquakes occur all the time all over the world, both along plate edges and along faults. However, it is unlikely that an earthquake of high intensity will affect Johnson County. Likely locations of earthquakes in Missouri are located near the New Madrid Fault Zone, the Wabash Valley Fault and the fault zones in the vicinity of Farmington (including Big River Fault and the St. Genevieve Fault Zone). Previous Events According to the USGS Website, Johnson County historical earthquake activity is significantly below the Missouri state average. It is 95% smaller than the overall U.S. average. Three earthquake zones -- the New Madrid Fault, the Wabash Valley Fault and the Illinois Basin could affect Johnson County because of their close proximity. Of these three, the New Madrid poses the greatest threat. During the winter of 1811-1812 three earthquakes estimated to have been magnitude 7.5 or greater were centered in the New Madrid fault in southeast Missouri. Thousands of aftershocks continued for years. August 2012 128 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Significant earthquakes, each about magnitude 6, occurred in 1843 near Marked Tree, Arkansas, and on October 31, 1895 near Charleston, Missouri. In November 1968 a magnitude 5.5 earthquake centered in southeastern Illinois caused moderate damage to chimneys and walls at Hermann, St. Charles, St. Louis, and Sikeston, Missouri. The felt areas include all or portions of 23 states. Other earthquakes have occurred throughout southeastern parts of Missouri. Smaller, but still destructive, earthquakes are even more likely, according to the Missouri Seismic Safety Commission. Looking at the USGS website for historical earthquake data in Missouri there was a seismicity from 1990-2006 that shows seismic activity in Missouri. One of the limitations of this data is that it is five years old and that it only dates back to 1990. The map shows that there were no earthquakes in Johnson county during this time frame. There have been no significant earthquakes in Johnson County. Probability Based on the previous events of earthquakes, it is unlikely that an earthquake resulting in significant damages will occur in the planning area. See also Figure 44 below that shows the Peak Acceleration (%g) with a 10% probability of exceedance within 50 years for the occurrence of an earthquake along the New Madrid Fault. As can be seen, Johnson County lies in four peak acceleration zones running northeast to southwest ranging from a low of 7 in the northwestern corner to almost 15 %g of severity in the southeastern corner of the county. Many Midwestern communities are located near the New Madrid fault, an area with a high seismic risk. Estimates of the recurrence intervals of the large 1811-1812 earthquakes are about 500 to 100 years. Most residents are not aware of this risk because the last significant earthquake occurred in the early 19th century when population density was extremely low. However, small quakes along this fault continue to occur in Missouri about every 8 days. Based on the history of the New Madrid Fault and the MDNE January 2003 estimates, there is a 25-40% chance of a New Madrid earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater within the next 50 years. Since Johnson County is distant from the New Madrid Fault, small earthquakes along the fault usually are not noticeable. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Earthquake based on an earthquake of any intensity. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. August 2012 129 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Recommendation Increased education, concern and subsequent action can reduce the potential effects of earthquakes can be done in conjunction with preparations for other hazards. A program that recognizes the risk of flooding, landslides and other dangers that incorporate earthquake issues will be of most benefit to citizens. Individuals and government have roles in reducing earthquake hazards. Individuals can reduce their own vulnerability by taking actions in their own households. Local government can take action to lower the threat through the proper use of poor sites, assuring that vital or important structures (police, fire, school buildings) resist hazards and developing infrastructures in a way that decreases risk. State agencies and legislature can assist the other levels of action and provide incentives for minimizing hazards. Communities and developers coordinate with NRCS, Division of Geology and Resource Assessment regarding appropriate sittings of subdivisions and other structures. August 2012 130 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Dam Failure Hazard Profile The purpose of a dam is to impound (store) water, wastewater or liquid borne materials for any of several reasons, including flood control, human water supply, irrigation, livestock water supply, energy generation, containment of mine tailings, and recreation or pollution control. Many dams fulfill a combination of the above functions. Manmade dams may be classified according to the type of construction material used, the methods used in construction, the slope or cross-section of the dam, the way the dam resists the forces of the water pressure behind it, the means used for controlling seepage and, occasionally, according to the purpose of the dam. The materials used for construction of dams include earth, rock, tailings from mining or milling, concrete, masonry, steel, timber, miscellaneous materials (such as plastic or rubber) and any combination of these materials. Dams are owned and operated by individuals, private and public organizations and the government. Associated works include spillways, water supply facilities, and lake drain structures. Most dams have an earth embankment and one or two spillways. Embankment dams are the most common type of dam in use today in Missouri. Ninetynine percent of all Missouri are made of earthen materials, and 1% are constructed of concrete. Materials used for embankment dams include natural soil or rock, or waste materials obtained from mining or milling operations. An embankment dam is termed an "earth fill" or "rock fill" dam depending on whether it is comprised of compacted earth, or mostly compacted/dumped rock. The ability of an embankment dam to resist the reservoir water pressure is primarily a result of the mass weight, type, and strength of the construction materials. Concrete dams may be categorized into gravity and arch dams according to the designs used to resist the stress of reservoir water pressure. Typical concrete gravity dams are the most common form of concrete dam. Description of the Hazard Because the purpose of a dam is to retain water effectively and safely, the water retention ability of a dam is of prime importance. Water may pass from the reservoir to the downstream side of a dam by: • Passing through the main spillway or outlet works • Passing over an auxiliary spillway • Overtopping the dam • Seepage through the abutments • Seepage under the dam Overtopping of an embankment dam is very undesirable because the embankment August 2012 131 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update materials may be eroded away. Additionally, only a small number of concrete dams have been designed to be overtopped. Water normally passes through the main spillway or outlet works; it should pass over an auxiliary spillway only during periods of high reservoir levels and high water inflow. All embankment and most concrete dams have some seepage. However, it is important to control the seepage to prevent internal erosion and instability. Proper dam construction, and maintenance and monitoring of seepage provide this control. Thousands of people have been injured, some killed, and billions of dollars of property damaged by dam failures in the United States. The catastrophic dam failure upstream from Johnstown, Pennsylvania killed 2,209 people in May 31, 1889. It resulted from inappropriate maintenance of a poorly constructed dam. The problem of unsafe dams in Missouri was underscored by the 1968 dam failure at Lawrenceton south of Jefferson City, one in Washington County in 1975, and a near failure in Franklin County in 1978. Driving every other issue and all activities within the dam safety community is the risk of dam failure. Although the majority of dams in the U.S. have responsible owners and are properly maintained, dams fail every year. In the past several years, there have been hundreds of documented failures across the nation (this includes 250 after the Georgia Flood of 1994). A life was recently lost in New Hampshire as a result of a dam failure. Dam and downstream repair costs resulting from failures in 23 states reporting in one recent year totaled $54.3 million. In Missouri, the first state legislation aimed at regulating dams was passed in 1889 and was called the Dam Mills and Electric Power Law. The law concerned damage caused by construction and lake formation. It did not address the engineering aspects of design or downstream safety of dams. In 1972, Congress passed the National Dam Safety Act (Pt. 92-367) that called for an inventory of dams in the U.S. In 1986, Congress enacted the Water Resources Development Act (P.L. 99-662). The Title XII-Dam Safety Act authorized the formation of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) to maintain and periodically update the inventory of dams. In 1988 funds were appropriated for this effort. FEMA and USACE developed a Memorandum of Agreement wherein FEMA assumed responsibility for maintaining and updating the inventory using the funds authorized. The Water Resources Development Act of 1996 (P.L. 104-303) Section 215 reauthorized periodic update of the National Inventory of Dams (NID) by USACE and continued a funding mechanism. For the 1998 update, the USACE resumed the lead responsibility and worked with FEMA and other agencies. There are about 77,000 dams in the inventory. Federal law and the Association of Dam Safety Officials (ASDSO) Model State Dam Safety program define a dam as "any artificial barrier, including appurtenant works, which impounds or diverts water and which is: (1) is 25 feet or more in height from the natural bed of the stream or watercourse measured at the downstream toe of the barrier, or from the lowest elevation of the outside limit of the barrier, if it is not across a stream channel August 2012 132 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update or watercourse to the maximum water storage elevation; or (2) has an impounding capacity at the maximum water storage elevation of fifty acre-feet or more. This Act does not apply to any such barrier which is not in excess of six feet in height, regardless of storage capacity, or which has a storage capacity at a maximum water storage elevation not in excess of fifteen acre-feet, regardless of height (P.L. 92367; Dam Safety Act of 1972) unless such barrier, due to its location or other physical characteristic, is likely to pose a significant threat to human life or property in the event of its failure." (P.L. 99662, Water Resources Development Act of 1986). Criteria for dams in the NID are as follows: 1) All high hazard potential classification dams 2) All significant hazard potential classification dams 3) Low hazard or undetermined potential classification dams which: • Equal or exceed 25 feet in height and which exceed 15 acre-feet in storage • Equal or exceed 50 acre-feet storage and exceed 6 feet in height. The NID has definitions for downstream hazard potential. These definitions are different from the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Geological Survey and Resource Assessment, Dam and Reservoir Safety Program. The NID definitions, as accepted by the Interagency Committee on Dam Safety are as follows: Low Hazard Potential: Dams assigned the low hazard potential classification are those where failure or disoperation results in no probable loss of human life and low economic and/or environmental losses. Losses are principally limited to the property owners. Significant Hazard Potential: Dams assigned the significant hazard potential classification are those dams where failure or disoperation results in no probable loss of human life but can cause economic loss, environmental change, disruption of lifeline facilities, or impact other concerns. Significant hazard potential classification dams are often located in predominantly rural or agricultural areas but could be located in areas with population and significant infrastructure. High Hazard Potential: Dams assigned the high hazard potential classification are those where failure or disoperation will probably cause loss of human life. In September 1979, ninety years after the first state legislation was passed, the Missouri House Bill 603 (called the Dam Safety Law) was passed. The USACE had determined that Missouri led the country in total number of unsafe dams. The law requires a construction permit for construction of new dams or to modify, remove, or alter existing dams. Owners of existing dams 35 feet or more in height must obtain a registration permit and owners of new dams 35 feet or more in height must obtain a safety permit after construction to operate the structures. All regulated dams must be inspected August 2012 133 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update periodically to assure that their continued operation does not constitute a hazard to public safety, life and property. The Missouri Dam and Reservoir Safety Program is responsible for ensuring that all new and existing non-agricultural, non-federal dams 35 feet or more in height meet minimum safety standards. The program reviews engineering plans and specifications; conducts hydrologic, hydraulic and structural analysis of dams; monitors construction of new dams and modification of existing dams; performs safety inspections of existing dams; responds to dam safety emergencies so that public safety, life and property are protected. Basic functions of the program include inspections, permit issuance (construction, registration and safety permits), compliance and review, data management (around 4000 dams in Missouri, of which only about 600 are regulated under Missouri law), inundation mapping (provided to recorder of deeds for each county showing areas impacted by dam failure). Missouri dam owners are solely responsible for the safety and the liability of the dam and for financing its upkeep, upgrade and repair. While most infrastructure facilities (roads, bridges, sewer systems, etc.) are owned by public entities, the majority of dams in the United States are privately owned. Many different types of people and entities own and operate dams. About 58 percent are privately owned. Local governments own and operate the next largest number of dams, about 16 percent. State ownership is next with about four percent; the federal government, public utilities and undetermined interests each own smaller numbers of dams (5%). In 2009, the number of Missouri state-regulated dams was 680. The number of Missouri dams in National Inventory of Dams (NID) was 5,242. Severity The International Commission of Large Dams (ICOLD) identified three major categories of dam failure: (1) overtopping by flood; (2) foundation defects; and (3) piping. For earthen dams, the major reason for failure is piping or seepage. For concrete dams, the major reasons for failure are associated with foundations. Overtopping has been a significant cause of dam failure primarily in cases where there was an inadequate spillway. Dam failures are most likely to happen for one of five reasons: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Overtopping caused by water spilling over the top of a dam Structural failure of materials used in dam construction Cracking caused by movements like the natural settling of a dam Inadequate maintenance and upkeep Piping—when seepage through a dam is not properly filtered and soil particles continue to progress and form sink holes in the dam When dams fail, the results can be catastrophic. Dams are innately hazardous structures. Failure or disoperation can result in the release of the reservoir contents—this includes water, mine wastes or agricultural refuse—causing negative impacts upstream or August 2012 134 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update downstream or at locations remote from the dam. Negative impacts of primary concern are loss of human life, economic loss including property damage, lifeline disruption and environmental damage. While the definition varies from place to place, it generally means that failure of a highhazard dam will be loss of life. It must be emphasized that this determination does not mean that these dams are in need of repair. These dams could be in excellent condition or they could be in poor condition. "High-hazard" simply reflects the dam's potential for doing damage downstream should it fail. High-hazard potential dams exist in every state and affect the lives of thousands downstream. The current issue and debate is over the increasing number of these high hazard structures -- not because more high-hazard dams are being built, but that more development is occurring downstream. Dam and reservoir safety regulators generally have no control over local zoning issues or developers' property rights. So this issue continues to worry regulators as the trend persists. The cost of a dam failure is difficult to assess because flooding can affect large areas. Local communities may be directly impacted due to building damage, injuries fatalities, lost water supply, damaged transportation and infrastructure and lost recreational assets. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Dam Failure. They rated it “Negligible” or impacting less than 10 percent of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location The National Inventory of Dams, the State of Missouri, and FEMA have summarized the status of dams in Missouri by hazard classification. The table below lists Johnson County dams and their Missouri DNR classifications. The table categorizes the dams as Class I, Class II, or Class III. A dam in the Class I category has a downstream zone that contains 10 or more permanent dwellings or any public building. Class I dams are inspected every two years. A Class II dam’s downstream zone contains one to nine permanent dwellings or one or more industrial buildings, or one or more campgrounds with permanent water, sewer and electrical services. Class II dams are inspected every three years (Class II). A Class III includes Low-Hazard Potential dams. Their zones contain 'everything else' not defined as the structures in Class I or Class II. These dams are inspected every five years. There are two Class I dams in the planning area, which are the Holden New City Reservoir and the Rock Lake Village Dam. At this time it is not known how many if any structures would be affected by a dam failure of these two dams, however map analysis shows us that no major population centers would be affected. It is then recommended that the Planning Committee obtain this info for the next plan update August 2012 135 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update HOLDEN NEW CITY RESERVOIR River TRIB SOUTH FORK BLACKWATER NID Height (Ft.) 58 Dam Length (Ft.) 3350 Owner Name TONY LERDA CITY OF HOLD. Private Dam NID Storage 6300 Max Discharge 5479 Max Storage 6300 Drainage Area 2880 Longitude -94.0348 Latitude 38.7611 Foundation RK EAP N ROCK LAKE VILLAGE DAM River Trib. Blackwater river NID Height (Ft.) 65 Dam Length (Ft.) 730 Private Dam NID Storage 585 Max Discharge 0 Max Storage 585 Drainage Area 73 Longitude -94.0729 Latitude 38.8848 Foundation RK The Johnson County Planning Committee determined that because of data limitations and limited resources, that only the Missouri Class I dams located within the boundaries of the county would be profiled for the 2011 Update. The next plan update will include an analysis of dams located out of the county but which could still impact the county should they fail. In addition, risk profiles of NID Significant Hazard dams will considered. The table beginning on the next page includes the Missouri DNR listing of the dams located in the county. The map following the table shows the physical location of the dams within the planning area. August 2012 136 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 137 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 138 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 139 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 140 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 141 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 142 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 143 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 144 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 145 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Locations affected by dam failure will be low-lying areas that are below dams, near a creek, stream or river valley. Residents, businesses and infrastructure in the path of the dam waters can become quickly inundated and destroyed. Probability Table 33 below summarizes the frequency of dam failures in Missouri. Only four dams have failed in over 40 years. None were located in the planning area. Table 33 Recent Dam Failures in Missouri Community Date Lawrenceton Washington County Frederickton Franklin County (near failure) Taum Sauk 1968 1975 1977 1978 2005 Various climatic conditions and other situations may result in dam failure natural phenomena such as floods and landslides during wet weather seasons. These hazards threaten dam structures and their surroundings. Floods that exceed the capacity of a dam's spillway and then erode the dam or abutments are particularly hazardous, as is seismic activity that may cause cracking or seepage. Similarly, debris from landslides may block a dam's spillway and cause an overflow wave that erodes the abutments and ultimately weakens the structure. According to the Dam and Reservoir Safety Program within the Missouri DNR, a future occurrence of dam failure in the state is high. The opinion is based on the age and conditions of dams in Missouri. Failure of a Class I (MDNR) or a high-hazard dam (NID) will result in loss of life. It must be emphasized that this determination does not mean that these dams are in need of repair -- these dams could be in excellent condition or they could be in poor condition. "High-hazard" just reflects the dam's potential for doing damage downstream should it fail. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Dam Failure. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members August 2012 146 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update High-hazard potential dams exist in every state and affect the lives of thousands downstream. The current issue and debate is over the increasing number of these high hazard structures--not because more high-hazard dams are being built, but that more development is occurring downstream. Dam and reservoir safety regulators generally have no control over local zoning issues or developers' property rights. So this issue continues to worry regulators as the trend persists. Recommendations The County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee should institute a dam permitting, inspection and enforcement program for the county. This would require working with the DNR Dam Safety Program to identify appropriate mitigation measures. Intersecting almost all the issues above is the issue of public education about dams. The ordinary citizen is unaware that the beautiful lakes on which he or she boats, skis, or fishes are only there because of manmade dams. Developers building homes in dam breach inundation areas could know nothing about potential upstream dams. In fact, some developers and zoning officials are completely unaware of dams within their community. Even if citizens understand and are aware of dams, they still can be overly confident in the infallibility of these manmade structures. Living in dam breach areas is a risk. Many dam owners do not realize their responsibility and liability toward the downstream public and environment. August 2012 147 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Wildfire Hazard Profile The term wildfire is defined as "a highly destructive, uncontrollable fire." It is an unplanned, unwanted wildland fire caused by unauthorized human-caused fires, escaped wildland fire use events, escaped prescribed fire projects, and all other wildland fires where the objective is to put the fire out. It is an uncontrolled fire which threatens to destroy life, property, or natural resources, and (a) is not burning within the confines of firebreaks, or (b) is burning with such intensity that it could not be readily extinguished with ordinary tools commonly available. Description During a wildfire, the fire produces energy in an amount which is 10 times that of a nuclear bomb. Fires that burn forest plants can be classified in three ways: ground fires, surface fires, and crown fires. Ground fires burn the humus layer of the forest floor, surface fires burn forest undergrowth and surface litter, and crown fires advance through the tops of trees. Atmospheric factors such as temperature, humidity, and rainfall are important in determining the combustibility of a given forest. Humans, either through negligence, accident, or intention, have caused approximately 90% of all wildfires in the last decade. In the United States, accidental and negligent acts include unattended campfires, sparks, burning debris, and irresponsibly discarded cigarettes. The remaining 10% of fires are mostly caused by lightning, but may also be caused by other acts-of-nature such as volcanic eruptions or earthquakes. The Missouri Division of Fire Safety urges fire service agencies and local governments to begin planning for wildfires. The Division advocates adoption of local ordinances to prohibit open burning during a high fire hazard time period. However, Missouri statutes do not allow the state to issue a MANDATORY burn ban at the state level. One responsibility of the Forestry Division is protecting state and private land from the destructive effects of wildfires. The Forestry Division works closely with rural fire departments to assist with fire suppression activities. Nearly 900 rural fire departments have mutual aide agreements with the division. Forestry personnel provide training, equipment and grants to rural fire departments to help them become a more effective firefighting team. Statutory authority is given to fire protection districts via RSMo 321.220 (12) to "adopt and amend bylaws, fire protection and fire prevention ordinances," However, coordination with the county prosecuting attorney's office is strongly recommended before implementing such an ordinance to ensure enforcement ability. Voluntary fire service associations should also coordinate similar efforts at the local level to adopt open burning laws. August 2012 148 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Severity Missouri does not have large conflagrations and crown fires. During these fires, embers from the fire are thrown a long way from the fire and results in ignition of other dry areas. Damage may result in the burning of outbuildings, homes, and nearby grassy areas. Missouri fires usually involve only grassy areas, leaves, ground litter, plants, shrubs, and trees. However, as new housing development occurs in forested rural areas, the likelihood of fires will increase. Missouri Department of Conservation (MDC) and Public Safety officials recommend that homes in low density areas of brush and forests not be built with cedar shake shingles. Typically homes catch on fire when dry brush, bushes and trees are very close to the house. In accordance with Missouri Statue 254.230 and 321.220(12), the state is currently setting up a central fire reporting system. In the past, it was the responsibility of volunteer, local and district fire departments are supposed to report wild land fires to the state. However this is rarely done. MDC is preparing an online central reporting system that will keep track of fires. As a result, a historical summary of fires was impossible due to the way in which MDC currently has their records stored. No Missouri fires are listed among the significant wildfires in the U.S. since 1825. Fires covering more than 300 acres are considered large in Missouri. Based on limited MDC data, it was reported that during March and April 2000 all of Missouri sustained devastating fire damage to thousands of acres resulting from wild land fires. Each year, about 3,700 wildfires burn more than 55,000 acres of forest and grassland. Missouri’s wildfire season is in the spring and fall, unlike the Western states that have a summer fire season. Dead vegetation, combined with the low humidity’s and high wind typical of these season, makes wildfire risk greater at these times. For the most part the rural fire departments fight their own fires. Some areas of land are not covered even by volunteer fire departments. In this event, the MDC will cover fires in these areas. Missouri has very few fires that occur as a result from lightning. Most fires result from arson, campers and from resident that burn trash. As can be seen in the map below, Johnson County is located in the lowest Fire Danger Class in the nation, in a nationwide evaluation by the National Interagency Fire Center. August 2012 149 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Figure 48 Fire danger is based upon the burning index (81). The burning index takes into account the fuel moisture, relative humidity, wind speed, temperature and recent precipitation. The burning index is the basis for fire suppression crew staffing levels. The vegetative types and fuel types are different than in the western U.S. As compared to the western U.S., with the humid climate of the Midwest, fuel decomposes much faster. As a result of this, the wildfires in Missouri are rare and are not as severe as the fires that the western states experiences. The MDC relies upon the news media to help warn citizens of high fire danger. A set of standardized fire danger adjectives has been developed for fire warnings. These adjectives include a brief description of burning conditions, open burning suggestions for homeowners and fire crew staffing levels. Residents should always check with their local fire department or District Forester for local burning conditions. Wildfire fuel includes combustible material in the form of vegetation such as grass, leaves, ground litter, plants, shrubs and trees The forested areas, combined with dry weather conditions and/or human error, represent the potential for a disastrous wildfire within the county. Based on the county's ample supply of wildfire fuel and continuing new development near forest and grasslands, the future probable severity is shown below. August 2012 150 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a magnitude/severity rating to the hazard Wildfires. They rated it “Limited” or impacting from 10 percent to 25% of the jurisdiction. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Location Fires typically occur in highway medians and shoulders, near homes and outbuildings. People who live at the edge of the woods and vegetative debris are at a higher risk of having a fire affect their homes and property. These areas are called the “Wildland/Urban Interface” (WUI). Additional information concerning WUIs in the planning area will be obtained for the next plan update. The maps on the following pages show the areas in Johnson County that are more at risk to wildfires. Only the communities that showed risk in the WUI were included in the analysis. The maps portray the population density vs. the historical likelihood of a wildfire affecting the area. Red means more likely and green means less likely but still a chance. August 2012 151 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 152 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 153 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 154 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 155 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 156 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Previous Events There is no central resource for information concerning previous wildfire events in the planning area. 25 Johnson County forest fires were reported to the Missouri Department of Conservation. The 2010 State Plan includes information by county on wild fires, which includes both forest fires and grass fires. It states that between the years 2004 and 2008, there were 249 wild fires in the planning area, averaging 42.2 fires annually. A total of 1145.6 acres burned, averaging 229 acres annually. One building burned during this period. The State Plan assigned a numeric probability rating of from one to five to each county, with “one” being the lowest. Johnson County received a rating of “two.” Probability Johnson County has had a moderate amount wildfires compared to rest of Missouri and other states. In addition, as previously discussed, a conflagration similar to those out West is unlikely. Fires will possibly occur, but on a much smaller scale. These will consist of grass fires along side roads and railroad tracks and fires near homes in rural areas. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee assigned a probability rating to the hazard Wildfire. They rated it ”Likely” or having between 10 percent 100 percent probability of happening in the next year, or happening at least once in the next 10 years. This rating was based on a review of prior events and the personal knowledge of the Planning Committee members. Recommendation Missouri Department of Conservation and County Fire Districts should develop an education outreach program for communities. MDC has an ongoing educational effort in certain at-risk areas. This effort includes visiting schools, local fairs and other events to educate and pass out fire prevention pamphlets in terms of seasonal or broad fire prevention approach. Establishing local ordinances to prohibit open burning during hazardous conditions is a proactive approach to reduce the number of wild land fires in the future. August 2012 157 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Vulnerability Analysis Vulnerability is defined by FEMA as the extent to which people will experience harm and/or property will be damaged from a hazard. Vulnerability is closely linked to the probability that the hazard event will occur and to the severity which is expected. Vulnerability analyses usually include damage estimates for each hazard and each participating jurisdiction. For some hazards, damage estimates can be developed on a planning area-wide basis without doing estimates for each individual jurisdiction. This is the case with hazards that are generally planning area-wide when they occur, such as severe thunderstorms. Other hazards will impact participating jurisdictions differently. An example is flooding, which generally will impact communities with assets located in SFHAs more often and more severely than communities without SFHAs. For these hazards, a county-wide vulnerability analysis does not reflect varying risks. The 2011 Plan Update does not include damage estimates based on data for each hazard because the limited availability of hazard damage information that is specific to Johnson County. However, earthquake and flooding damage estimates using a FEMA-developed software program are included in the 2010 State Plan. These estimates are county-wide, and do not reflect variations between the participating jurisdictions. Nonetheless, this information has been incorporated into the Johnson 2011 Update. Vulnerability by Jurisdiction For each jurisdiction the top four hazards were analyzed for potential magnitude and frequency of occurrence. The figures were gathered from hazard tables from NOAA and NCDC in the previous pages. These figures were then annualized and divided by the percentage of population to the county’s population at large. August 2012 158 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Tornado Vulnerability by Jurisdiction Tornado Vulnerability Centerview: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Centerview would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.51%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Centerview of $700. Tornado Vulnerability Chilhowee: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Chilhowee would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.62%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Chilhowee of $849. Tornado Vulnerability Holden: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Holden would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.28%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Holden of $5,881. Tornado Vulnerability Kingsville: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Kingsville would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.51%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Kingsville of $702. Tornado Vulnerability Knob Noster: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Knob Noster would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 5.15%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Knob Noster of $7,074. Tornado Vulnerability Leeton: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Leeton would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 1.08%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Leeton of $1,478. Tornado Vulnerability Warrensburg: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Warrensburg would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 35.82%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Warrensburg of $49,191. Tornado Vulnerability Whiteman AFB: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to tornadoes Whiteman AFB would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.86%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 25 Average Annualized Loss which is $137,340 for an estimated annual loss in Whiteman AFB of $6,674. August 2012 159 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Floodplain Vulnerability by Jurisdiction Floodplain Vulnerability Centerview: Centerview has no areas of floodplains near the city limits as shown in the city map on page 52. This gives Centerview a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of negligible or less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of unlikely: less than 1% probability in next 100 years. Loss estimation for Centerview would be $0 as there is no floodplain in or close proximity to the town. Floodplain Vulnerability Chilhowee: Chilhowee has no areas of floodplains near the city limits as shown in the city map on page 54. This gives Chilhowee a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of negligible or less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of unlikely: less than 1% probability in next 100 years. Loss estimation for Chilhowee would be $0 as there is no floodplain in or close proximity to the town. Floodplain Vulnerability Holden: Holden has areas that lie in floodplains in the city limits as shown in the city map on page 56. There are a total of 1545 acres of land in Holden with 264 of those that are in the floodplain or 17%. With a data limitation of building counts total loss valuation is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.28%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 29 Average Annualized Loss which is $1,073,706 for an estimated annual loss in Holden of $7,856. This gives Holden a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of Limited: 10 to 25% and a frequency of occurrence of Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Floodplain Vulnerability Kingsville: Kingsville has no areas of floodplains near the city limits as shown in the city map on page 58. This gives Kingsville a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of negligible or less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of unlikely: less than 1% probability in next 100 years. Loss estimation for Kingsville would be $0 as there is no floodplain in or close proximity to the town. Floodplain Vulnerability Knob Noster: Knob Noster has areas that lie in floodplains in the city limits as shown in the city map on page 60. There are a total of 2975 acres of land in Knob Noster with 236 of those that are in the floodplain or 7.93%. With a data limitation of building counts total loss valuation is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 5.15%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 29 Average Annualized Loss which is $1,073,706 for an estimated annual loss in Knob Noster of $4,387. This gives Knob Noster a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of Negligible: Less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Floodplain Vulnerability Leeton: Leeton has one area of floodplains near the city limits as shown in the city map on page 62. However this does not enter into the city therefore is incalculable with the current methodology. This gives Leeton a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of negligible or less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of unlikely: less than 1% probability in next 100 years. Loss estimation for Leeton would be $0 as there is no floodplain in or close proximity to the town. Floodplain Vulnerability Warrensburg: Warrensburg has areas that lie in floodplains in the city limits as shown in the city map on page 64. There are a total of 8295 acres of land in Warrensburg with 340 of those that are in the floodplain or 4.10%. With a data limitation of building counts total loss valuation is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 35.82%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 29 Average Annualized Loss which is $1,073,706 for an estimated annual loss in Warrensburg of $15,763. This gives Warrensburg a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of Negligible: Less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of Likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Floodplain Vulnerability Whiteman AFB: Whiteman AFB has one area of floodplains near the base limits as shown in the base map on page 66. However this does not enter into the base therefore is incalculable with the current methodology. This gives Whiteman AFB a potential magnitude (percentage of the jurisdiction that can be affected) of negligible or less than 10% and a frequency of occurrence of unlikely: less than 1% probability in next 100 years. Loss estimation for Whiteman AFB would be $0 as there is no floodplain in or close proximity to the town. August 2012 160 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability by Jurisdiction Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Centerview: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Centerview would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.51%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Centerview of $4,100. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Chilhowee: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Chilhowee would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.62%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Chilhowee of $4,967. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Holden: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Holden would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.28%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Holden of $34,420. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Kingsville: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Kingsville would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.51%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Kingsville of $4,111. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Knob Noster: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Knob Noster would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 5.15%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Knob Noster of $41,405. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Leeton: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Leeton would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 1.08%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Leeton of $8,651. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Warrensburg: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Warrensburg would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 35.82%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Warrensburg of $287,925. Severe Winter Weather Vulnerability Whiteman AFB: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to winter weather Whiteman AFB would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.86%. With a loss estimation based upon Table 30 which shows loss (Since 1994, according to the NCDC) $803,875 annually for an estimated loss in Whiteman AFB of $39,067. August 2012 161 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Drought Vulnerability by Jurisdiction Drought Vulnerability Centerview: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Centerview would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.51%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Centerview of $1,074 annually. Drought Vulnerability Chilhowee: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Chilhowee would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.62%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Chilhowee of $1,301 annually. Drought Vulnerability Holden: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Holden would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.28%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Holden of $9,013 annually. Drought Vulnerability Kingsville: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Kingsville would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 0.51%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Kingsville of $1,077 annually. Drought Vulnerability Knob Noster: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Knob Noster would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 5.15%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Knob Noster of $10,842 annually. Drought Vulnerability Leeton: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Leeton would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 1.08%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Leeton of $2,265 annually. Drought Vulnerability Warrensburg: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Warrensburg would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 35.82%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Warrensburg of $75,396 annually. Drought Vulnerability Whiteman AFB: With each jurisdiction in the county having the same vulnerability to drought Whiteman AFB would have a potential magnitude of catastrophic: More than 50% and a frequency of occurrence of likely: Between 10 and 100% probability in next year, or at least one chance in 10 years. Due to a data limitation the total loss value is calculated based upon the population/county population which is 4.86%. With a loss estimation based upon table 32 which shows $210,502 annually for an estimated loss in Whiteman AFB of $10,230 annually. August 2012 162 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update HEAT WAVE COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: There is no central location for information on damages caused by extreme heat. The NCDC information includes reported deaths, injuries, and losses for the events. However, the information is not location-specific, instead it is episode-specific, and therefore cannot be the basis for county estimates. The Planning Committee will look for additional sources of Heat Wave damage information for the next plan update. EARTHQUAKE COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: In the Missouri State Plan, HAZUSMH MR4 (August 2009) was used to analyze earthquake vulnerability and estimate losses by county. HAZUS is a loss estimation software package developed by FEMA that uses inventory data based on the 2000 census adjusted to 2006 numbers. It uses the Dun & Bradstreet Business Population Report. Inventory values reflect 2006 valuations, based on RS Means (a supplier of construction cost information) replacement costs. Population counts are 2008 estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. All HAZUS-MH analyses used the default inventory data associated with the August 2009 release of HAZUS-MH MR4, which includes 2006 building valuations. An annualized loss scenario that enabled an “apples to apples” comparison of earthquake risk for each county was run. The following vulnerability analyses pertained to Johnson County as a whole. Note that the county ranked 82 out of 105 counties in the state for the percentage of damage that would occur. Source: HAZUS-MH MR4 County Johnson County Building Loss Total ($) $10,774 Loss Ratio %* 1.16% Income Loss Total ($) $18,308 Total Loss ($)* $67,632 Loss Ratio Rank in Missouri 71 *Loss ratio is the sum of structural and nonstructural damage divided by the entire building inventory value within a county Earthquake Johnson $40,000 $24,224 $0 August 2012 $343 $418 $2,896 $346 163 $3,484 $728 $3,287 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update DAM FAILURE COMPLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: County loss was taken from the 2010 Missouri State Hazard Mitigation (pg 3.349) which shows Johnson County with a total estimated loss from dam failure at $1,436,593 and then the respective jurisdictions with a loss based on percent of population calculated in the table below. Dam Failure Johnson $600,000 $514,546 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 $73,994 $61,512 $7,293 $8,877 $69,815 $15,460 $7,348 WILDFIRE COMLETE VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS: County loss was taken from the 2010 Missouri State Hazard Mitigation (pg 3.399) which shows Johnson County with a total estimated loss from Wildfire at $502,824 and then the respective jurisdictions with a loss based on percent of population calculated in the table below. Wildfire Johnson $200,000 $180,090 $160,000 $120,000 $80,000 $40,000 $0 August 2012 $2,552 $3,107 $21,529 $25,898 $2,572 164 $5,411 $24,435 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update SECTION 3 County Capability Assessment Mitigation Management Policies The Johnson County Emergency Management Agency is charged with preparing for disasters. That duty includes advising the County Commission on mitigation measures and implementing those measures deemed appropriate by the Commission. In general, the county’s policies encourage cooperation between Johnson County agencies as well as cooperation between county agencies and those of neighboring jurisdictions. Existing plans Principles from the Johnson County Multi-Jurisdiction Hazard Mitigation Plan Update will be incorporated into existing local planning documents. Incorporation of the 2005 Plan did not occur because none of the existing plans were updated between 2005 and 2011. The county’s Emergency Operation Plan for 2010 was approved by the County Commission and identifies facilities and resources that require special security during a disaster; promotes the development and maintenance of mutual aid agreements with nearby agencies; requires participation in drills and exercises; identifies vulnerabilities in county-administered road, water, and wastewater facilities; and includes an evacuation plan. The EOP includes all-hazard mitigation measures. Mitigation programs The main mitigation programs are the county’s floodplain ordinance (updated in 2004), participation in and administration of the National Flood Insurance Program. Additional programs include the following. • • • • • The county’s floodplain ordinance is aimed at any new severely restricting any new development in the Zone A floodplain. For structures outside the identified flood hazard areas, a two-foot minimum elevation above grade is required. The county is able to receive NWS warnings and all equipment is radio-activated. About half of the county’s population could be alerted within 30 minutes, responders within 5 minutes, and key officials within 15 minutes. School students have received limited to substantial curricular training about hazards and emergency programs. Businesses, schools, preschools, private organizations, youth groups, community leaders, and average citizens have had limited emergency management training. Industry and labor groups have had limited training in the past five years. However, public sector employees have had substantial training. The county runs substantial seasonal hazard awareness campaigns. Emergency response personnel have received substantial training, EOC staff has received limited training and volunteer staff has received training in the past five years. August 2012 165 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • • Geographic Information System (GIS) capabilities have facilitated the development of limited hazard area base maps that are available to interested parties. Completion of the State Inter-Operational Plan which includes warning capabilities allows for an understanding of the County’s warning systems. The University of Central Missouri added warning sirens in 2009 as well as increased security measures in the classroom. Missouri laws require school districts in a Modified Mercalli zone VII or above at a magnitude 7.6 earthquake to provide earthquake preparedness and safety literature each year, such as earthquake procedures available to public view, a disaster plan, and earthquake drills twice each year. Missouri statutes RSMo 160.451, 160.453, 160.455, and 160.457 provide that “the governing body of each school district shall request assistance from the state emergency management agency and any local emergency management agency located within its district boundaries to develop and establish the earthquake emergency procedure system.” All school districts in the county have emergency plans. City/County capabilities (organization, staffing, training, etc.) The capabilities of emergency management, fire protection, law enforcement, emergency medical services are detailed at the end of Section I. Both Johnson County and the city of Warrensburg have primary and alternate Emergency Operation Center (EOC)’s in Warrensburg. The cities and county have substantial communication abilities, both fixed and mobile, to coordinate the scene of an emergency. The EMA also has a limited number of cell phones and other communications equipment as well as a substantial number of amateur radios. Fire equipment and vehicles are available to city and county agencies. Equipment available for police, rescue, mass care, and information/communications, sat planes and 2-way radios are present. EMA staff has received training in professional development, emergency response planning, emergency response operations, exercises, disaster response and recovery, and disaster mitigation within the last five years. Emergency response personnel and EOC staff have received training in the past five years. Appropriate officials have had limited training on hazard mitigation. The EMA’s first tabletop exercise, with participation from all emergency agencies, was successfully completed in November 1989. Additional exercises are conducted annually. August 2012 166 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Responsibilities and authorities • • • • • • • City and county chief elected officials have the following: the legal basis for authorization to order an evacuation, redirect funds for emergency use, order a curfew, and commandeer facilities and/or equipment and materials; authorized lines of succession for the chief elected officials with power to initiate necessary emergency activities; substantially safeguarded vital records, although limited for records needed to reconstitute local government; a substantial analysis of the possible impacts of potential disasters; a multi-hazard emergency operations plan; limited completion of mutual aid agreements with neighboring jurisdictions; and limited protection of people with special needs. Johnson County has no building codes; however, each jurisdiction has adopted building codes of varying degree. Intergovernmental and interagency coordination The Johnson County Emergency Management group meets monthly and serves to maintain coordination among fire, law enforcement, emergency medical, public health officers from the county, incorporated areas and adjacent jurisdictions. Vulnerability Assessment of County Policies and Development Trends Commitments to a comprehensive mitigation program Johnson County is currently strengthening mitigation measures and policies. On a comprehensive basis, the county maintains and regularly updates the Emergency Operation Plan that includes mitigation measures for all hazards, both natural and manmade. County laws, regulations and policies related to development in hazard-prone areas The floodplain management ordinance, updated in 2009, is based on policies to protect the general welfare and health of county residents and visitors. The ordinance is designed to safeguard health, safety and property in times of flood; restrict avoidable increases in flood height or velocity; mitigate losses at time of construction of public facilities; and protect individuals from buying land unsuited for the intended use due to flood hazard. August 2012 167 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update County laws, regulations and policies related to hazard mitigation in general Although the county has no building codes, subdivision, floodplain and storm water regulations are somewhat helpful in instituting hazard mitigation measures. How local risk assessments are incorporated and prioritized into local planning Risk assessments from the approved Hazard Mitigation Plan are also used in local planning. The county also recognizes the danger and economic impact of severe winter storms. Clearing snow and ice from roadways is the main priority during winter storms. The County Road and Bridge Department clears all county-maintained roads to reduce accidents and to ensure access to employment. Additional warning capabilities are being studied to mitigation the impacts of flash flooding, tornadoes, and severe thunderstorms. Current criteria used to prioritize mitigation funding Mitigation funding primarily is based upon the combination of expected damage and death/injury impacts. For example, between 1994 and 2003 10 fatal heat waves hit Johnson County killing 42 people and injuring 55. Another facet of the county’s mitigation concerns is the intensity of development pressures. The Master Plan calls for concentrating new land use and economic development in and around higher-density areas to provide greater access to infrastructures and emergency measures. Integration of hazard mitigation with the city/county department’s plans City or county EOPs incorporate information from the Hazard Mitigation Plan in updating local zoning, subdivision, and building code ordinances. They are integrated to mitigate damages, prevent avoidable disasters, and reduce vulnerability of people and property to the effects of disasters is reduced. How the county determines cost-effectiveness of mitigation programs Cost-effectiveness is considered on a case-by-case basis, dependent upon the scope of damages, estimated savings in future hazard events, the type of mitigation project, and the probable hazard to human life in future events. For example, FEMA-funded mitigation projects must meet the benefit/cost analysis criteria required by FEMA. August 2012 168 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Mitigation funding options including current and potential sources of Federal, state, local, private The county and incorporated areas have historically relied upon federal disaster declarations in cases of heavy widespread damages. Sources have included FEMA, SEMA, the Missouri Department of Natural Resources and Department of Economic Development (DED), and various other grant programs. In addition, investments in infrastructures that have mitigating effects have been funded from sources such as local tax revenues. Other funding options being considered for the future include the grant sources identified in SEMA’s Regional Planning Commission Hazard Mitigation Planning Guide – 2002. How county government meets requirements for hazard mitigation funding programs The county’s EOP, floodplain ordinance and subdivision regulations include various measures addressing floodplain development, sewer and water installations, and roadway construction that encourage concentration of infrastructures. Areas Where Improvement is Needed Recommended improvements include expanded mutual aid agreements among neighboring jurisdictions, improved the capabilities of the EOC, additional warning sirens, educate the public concerning the link between storm water runoff and flash floods, promote drought-resistant farming techniques and design recommendations to reduce impervious surfaces, work with DNR to promote dam maintenance, and generally increase education for public safety. In addition, Missouri’s Structural Assessment and Visual Evaluation (SAVE) Coalition facilitates the use of volunteer engineers, architects and qualified building inspectors who perform damage assessments of homes following disasters such as earthquake, floods and tornadoes. The SAVE Coalition can provide sound advice to communities and citizens concerning the safety of reentering their homes following a disaster, with the added intent of minimizing the need for sheltering by keeping people in their homes as much as safely feasible. Missouri statute RSMo 44.023 provides immunity from liability for those working in disaster volunteer programs. The Missouri Seismic Safety Commission (under Missouri statutes RSMo 44.227, 44.229, 44.231, 44.233, 44.235, and 44.227) has developed a Strategic Plan for Earthquake Safety in Missouri that contains a number of recommendations for earthquake mitigation. The commission also sponsors Earthquake Awareness activities each year, including exhibitions at the St. Louis Science Center and the State Capitol. The Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Committee may want to investigate the possibility of bringing some of these programs to a local venue. August 2012 169 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update City/town/village policies and development trends Knob Noster and Warrensburg both have master plans in place. The table below shows that five cities have zoning regulations and building regulations. Two have a master plan, four have storm water regulations and five have floodplain and subdivision regulations. All eight cities are facing major growth pressures from the Kansas City metropolitan area. TABLE 38 City Regulations Jurisdiction Centerview Chilhowee Leeton Holden Kingsville Knob Noster Warrensburg August 2012 Master Building Subdivision Storm water Plan Zoning Code Regulations Regulations no no no yes no no no no no no no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no 170 Floodplain Regulations no no yes yes yes yes yes Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update TABLE 39 JOHNSON COUNTY CAPABILITY ASSESSMENT Policies and Programs Document Reference (ex. Zoning Ordinance) (ex. Comprehensive Plan & page number) Effectiveness for Mitigation Rationale for Effectiveness (ex. low because allows development in floodplain) (ex. low, medium, high) Floodplain management Johnson County Floodplain Management Ordinance High New construction and improvements are not allowed without extensive mitigation requirements. Any encroachments such as fill, new construction, or other developments within in the floodway must not create any increase in flood levels within the community during a base flood discharge. The county has a community outreach program through the county library. Multi-hazard emergency plan Johnson County Emergency Operations Plan Medium Need additional mutual aid agreements, improve the Emergency Operations Center, warning systems, emergency response equipment, training for volunteer agencies and the private sector, fullscale exercises (planned), and public preparedness education. Flood insurance Joined NFIP October 26, 1990, #290809 Medium The county administers and participates fully in the NFIP. As well as Holden #290714, Knob Noster # 290724, and Warrensburg #290194 Medium Coordination with county jurisdictions through US Corps of Engineers. South Fork Blackwater River Watershed August 2012 171 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Funding Sources There are several sources of funding for both pre- and post-disaster hazard mitigation policies and projects. All mitigation techniques will likely save money by avoiding losses. However, the cost of implementing mitigation efforts can be substantial and well beyond the local government’s capacity to fund. There are federal and state funding programs that can be utilized for funding assistance. Following is a list of some sources of funding presently available. This list is not comprehensive. New programs will be developed, and existing programs will be eliminated or modified. Federal Sources PRE-DISASTER MITIGATION PROGRAM Through the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000, Congress approved the creation of a national program to provide a funding mechanism that is not dependent on a Presidential disaster declaration. The Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Program, overseen by FEMA, provides funding to states and communities for cost-effective hazard mitigation activities that complement a comprehensive mitigation program, and reduce injuries, loss of life, and damage and destruction of property. FLOOD MITIGATION ASSISTANCE PROGRAM FEMA’S Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA) provides funding to assist states and communities in implementing measures to reduce or eliminate the long-term risk of flood damage to buildings, manufactured homes, and other structures insurable under the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). FMA was created as part of the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994 (42 U.S.C. 4101) with the goal of reducing or eliminating claims under the NFIP. FMA is a pre-disaster grant program, and is made available to states on an annual basis. This funding is exclusively available for mitigation planning and implementation of mitigation measures. Criteria: Community must be a participant in NFIP; the project must be cost effective, beneficial to the NFIP fund, and technically feasible. The project must conform to the minimum standards of the NFIP Floodplain Management Regulations, the applicant’s Flood Mitigation Plan, and all applicable laws and regulations. HAZARD MITIGATION GRANT PROGRAM FEMA’s Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) was created in November 1988 through Section 404 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act. The HMGP assists states and local communities in implementing long-term mitigation measures following a Presidential disaster declaration. August 2012 172 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Criteria: Project must conform to State’s Hazard Mitigation Plan, provide a beneficial impact on the disaster area, meet environmental requirements, solve a problem independently, and be cost-effective. MITIGATION TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS (MTAP) There are three major mitigation technical assistance programs (MTAPs) that provide technical support to state/local communities through FEMA Regional and Headquarters Mitigation staff in support of mitigation initiatives. These programs include the Hazard Mitigation Technical Assistance Program (HMTAP), the National Earthquake Technical Assistance Program (NETAP), and the Wind and Water Technical Assistance Program (WAWTAP). They provide the technical support that is necessary to mitigate against potential loss of lives and minimize the amount of damage as a result of a disaster. The HMTAP provides assistance to FEMA’s Headquarters and Regional Mitigation Staff. This multi-hazards program was designed to provide architectural, engineering, and other mitigation related technical assistance in support of post disaster mitigation initiatives. The NETAP is a technical assistance program created to provide ad hoc short-term architectural and engineering support to state/local communities as they are related to earthquake mitigation. The program was designed to enhance the state/local communities’ ability to become more resistant to seismic hazards. This assistance cannot be used for actions that are covered under the State’s/Territories Performance Partnership Agreement (PPA). This program assists in carrying out the statutory authorities of the National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Act of 1977, as amended. The WAWTAP is a technical assistance program created to provide ad hoc short-term assistance in support of the hurricane and flood programs. The program was designed to enhance the state/local communities’ ability to become more resistant to hazards related to flooding and hurricanes. This assistance cannot be used for actions that are covered under the State’s/Territories Performance Partnership Agreement (PPA). This program assists in carrying out the statutory authorities of the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 and the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973. Criteria: State participation in the Flood Program SBA DISASTER ASSISTANCE PROGRAM The purpose of the Pre-Disaster Mitigation Loan Program is to make low-interest, fixed rate loans to eligible small businesses for the purpose of implementing mitigation measures to protect business property from damage that may be caused by future disasters. The program is a pilot program, which supports FEMA’s Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program. SBA’s Pre -Disaster Mitigation Program is available to businesses whose proposed mitigation measure conforms to the priorities and goals of the mitigation plan for the community, as defined by FEMA, in which the business is located. Because August 2012 173 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update the program has been approved only for limited funding, approved loan requests will be funded on a first-come, first-served basis up to the limit of the program funds. Criteria: A Presidential disaster declaration or an SBA administrative declaration must be made. COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT BLOCK GRANTS HUD’s Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) program provides grants to local governments for community and economic development projects that primarily benefit low-and moderate-income people. The CDBG program also provides grants for post disaster hazard mitigation and recovery following a Presidential disaster declaration. Criteria: CBDG eligible communities (generally communities with under 50,000 population and counties under 200,000 population) located within a Presidential disaster declaration area. DISASTER MITIGATION PLANNING AND TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE Administered by the Department of commerce, Economic Development, these grants are primarily designed for economic development initiatives, but are applicable to hazard mitigation when the focus is on creating disaster resistant jobs and workplaces. Also, these monies are applicable because often projects related to developing infrastructure are also making the community more disaster resistant. EMERGENCY WATERSHED PROTECTION The Department of Agriculture’s National Resources Conservation Service administers this program. Emergency Watershed Protection Program (EWP) provides financial assistance to sponsors and individuals in implementing emergency measures to relieve imminent hazards to life and property created by a natural disaster. Activities include providing financial and technical assistance to remove debris from streams, protect destabilized stream banks, and the purchase of flood plain easements. The program is designed for installation of recovery measures. It is not necessary for a national emergency to be declared to be eligible for assistance. WATERSHED SURVEYS AND PLANNING PROGRAM The Department of Agriculture’s Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) heads this program. It provides financial assistance for watershed planning activities and cooperative river basin surveys and investigations. Types of plans include flood hazard analyses, and flood plain management assistance, with a focus on identifying solutions that use conservation practice and nonstructural measures to solve resource problems. August 2012 174 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update State Sources WATER AND SEWER GRANT PROGRAMS MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONMIC DEVELOPMENT The Department of Economic Development offers grants to enhance infrastructure such as water and sewer lines. These grants might be particularly helpful in protecting against drought by connecting disparate water sources and thereby providing multiple water sources to isolated communities. These monies might also be helpful in providing adequate protection of sewage treatment plants from the risk of flood or separation of storm water from combined sewer lines. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT/MITIGATION TRAINING STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY The State Emergency Management Agency (SEMA) offers grants for training jurisdictions in hazard mitigation, preparedness, and planning. These funds are used for training appropriate staff in identifying projects best suited for mitigation. PRE-DISASTER MITIGATION PROJECT IMPACT STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SEMA funds are provided to assist communities with technical assistance in the development of a sustained pre-disaster mitigation program. Funds can be used for planning mitigation initiatives and providing technical “know-how” in the construction of mitigation projects. HAZARD MITIGATION GRANT PROGRAM STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY SEMA funds are available to communities for implementing long-term hazard mitigation measures following a disaster declaration. It is thought that after a major disaster, communities will be able to identify where things can be done to prevent losses in the future. PUBLIC ASSISTANCE PROGRAM STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY These SEMA grants are designed to provide funds to repair damaged infrastructure and public facilities. Funds can also be used to reinstate government services impacted by a natural hazard event. This program can fund the repair of damaged components of a structure. August 2012 175 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update DISASTER RECOVERY INITIATIVE MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT The Missouri Department of Economic Development (DED) provides this grant program to bridge funding gaps in recovery assistance after a disaster. These funds can also be used to fund gaps in a mitigation development program. SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION PROGRAM MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES The Missouri Department of Natural Resources (DNR), through the Soil and Water Conservation Program, offer grants, cost share programs, and low interest loans to agencies and property owners to plan and implement best practices to reduce soil erosion and improve water quality. Practices that facilitate slower release of water upstream mitigate downstream flood hazards. The programs are generally applicable to rural and agricultural environments. August 2012 176 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update SECTION 4 Introduction to Mitigation Definition of mitigation According to FEMA’s “Report on Costs and Benefits of Natural Hazard Mitigation,” hazard mitigation is defined as “sustained action taken to reduce or eliminate the longterm risk to people and property from hazards and their effects.” The goal of mitigation is to reduce or eliminate loss of lives and property. Categories of mitigation Mitigation includes any activities that prevent an emergency, reduce the chance of an emergency happening, or lessen the damaging effects of unavoidable emergencies. Efforts by Federal, State, and local governments can restrict development in vulnerable areas, direct new development to less vulnerable areas, and promote ways to safeguard existing development in hazard-prone areas. Individuals also can participate through practicing sound personal safety and property prevention measures. There are six categories of mitigation that can produce safer environments. They are prevention, property protection, natural resource protection, emergency services, structural projects, and public information. • • • • • • Prevention tools can include regulatory methods such as planning and zoning, building regulations, open space planning, land development regulations, and storm water management. Property protection measures reduce the risk of building damage through acquisition of land, relocation of buildings, modifying at-risk structures, and flood proofing at-risk structures. Natural resource protection can reduce hazard impacts through measures such as erosion and sediment control or wetlands protection. Emergency services measures include warning, response capacity, critical facilities protection, and health and safety maintenance. Structural mitigation controls natural hazards through projects such as reservoirs, levees, diversions, channel modifications and storm sewers. Public information includes providing hazard maps and information, outreach programs, real estate disclosure, technical assistance and education. Mitigation versus preparedness, response and recovery Mitigation does not include other emergency functions such as preparedness, response, or recovery. Preparedness deals with improving capabilities before a disaster strikes. Response is a disaster-onset activity to immediately save lives and protect property. Recovery is a post-disaster activity to return all systems to a normal status. August 2012 177 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Mitigation plan benefits Hazard mitigation planning is a tool community’s use to: • • • • • • • Reduce death, injury and property losses. Identify specific problems and appropriate solutions. Achieve multiple objectives in a sustainable and efficient manner. Reduce future risks. Prioritize post-disaster projects. Enhance funding opportunities through Federal, State and local programs. Promote public participation and ownership of solutions. County Hazard Mitigation Goals, Objectives, Strategy and Coordination The development of the updated goals, objectives, and actions for the 2011 Plan Update began with review of the previously approved plan’s goals, objectives, and actions. These strategies promoted hazard mitigation, impact reduction, and other hazard mitigation goals. The 2011 Update will address mitigation strategies for flooding, tornado/severe windstorm, winter storm, earthquake, dam failure, drought, heat wave and wildfire, which were the same hazards addressed in the previously approved plan. Johnson County’s mitigation goals in the 2005 plan were derived from conferences with emergency managers, jurisdiction stakeholders as well as the key planning documents (i.e. Emergency Operations Plan, Official Master Plan, floodplain and building ordinances and the meetings and workshops. It was determined that the three 2005 plan goals remained valid for inclusion in the 2011 Plan Update, with addition of a fourth goal with objectives and actions. The mitigation goals in the 2005 Plan included the following: • • • • Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens. Manage growth through sustainable and environmentally sustainable principles and practices. Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions during a disaster. Preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses, and jurisdiction vitality. The goal that was added to the Plan Update was to “preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality.” It was added in order to preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality. Several objectives and actions were added to the new goal to ensure accomplishment of the goal. These were property protection education, encouragement of additional underground power lines, utilization of GIS in future planning, updated codes to be developed around hazard mitigation, and coordination of emergency communication plans. August 2012 178 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update The goals, objectives, and actions from the 2005 Plan were as follows: GOAL 1: Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens. Objective 1.1: Provide sufficient warning systems. Action 1.1.1: Identify geographic areas in need of additional warning systems and acquire needed equipment. Action 1.1.2: Improve flood alerting system capabilities. Objective 1.2: Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding. Action 1.2.1: Encourage property owners and occupants in hazard areas to participate in mitigation policy formulation. Action 1.2.2: Target any repetitive flood loss properties for buyout. Action 1.2.3: Promote environmentally-sound watershed and storm water practices to decrease flash flooding. Action 1.2.4: Strengthen floodplain regulations. Objective 1.3: Increase knowledge of safety measures among employers and the general public. Action 1.3.1: Promote the use of hazard area maps by the public. Action 1.3.2: Identify ways to promote FEMA safety tips and mitigation techniques. Objective 1.4: Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment. Action 1.4.1: Review and upgrade, as needed, policies for identifying and budgeting additional emergency equipment. Action 1.4.2: Execute and maintain mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies. Action 1.4.3: Review and upgrade redundancies for the 911 Center/EOC. Objective 1.5: Protect residential structures. Action 1.5.1: Decrease wildfire risk in areas where development is adjacent to forests or grasslands by incorporating buffer zones into subdivision regulations. Action 1.5.2: Promote the use of environmentally-sound, fire-resistant materials. Action 1.5.3: Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and earthquake/ seismic insurance. Objective 1.6: Protect employment and commercial facilities: Action 1.6.1: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms. Action 1.6.2: Encourage up-to-date commercial and industrial disaster plans that are coordinated with community disaster plans. Action 1.6.3: Encourage operation and infrastructure backup systems for commercial and industrial businesses. GOAL 2: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices. Objective 2.1: Reduce and prevent degradation of, or conflicts with, natural resources. Action 2.1.1: To reduce the effects of flash flooding and drought, promote construction and use practices that facilitate rainwater percolation into local water tables. Action 2.1.2: Encourage best practices for drought-resistant farming. Action 2.1.3: Implement measures to move the county into CRS status. Action 2.1.4: Resolve any environmental conflicts and take steps to prevent future conflicts. August 2012 179 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Action 2.1.5: Work with DNR to identify primary maintenance techniques for earthen dams and encourage their use. GOAL #3: Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a disaster. Objective 3.1: Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures. Action 3.1.1: Review, prioritize, institute and monitor needed upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures. Action 3.1.2: Review emergency access routes and evacuation routes and mitigate any problem areas. Objective 3.2: Strengthen multi-jurisdictional cooperation among emergency agencies. Action 3.2.1: Identify, review, and implement mechanisms to foster collaboration among jurisdictions, agencies and special districts. Several additional mitigation actions were proposed for the Update, and discussed by all participants. Certain mitigation goals, objectives, and actions were added to or removed from the previously approved 2005 plan. In order to determine the status of implementation of the 2005 mitigation strategy, discussion was held during public meetings and conversations with local officials were conducted. The 2005 goals, objectives, and actions were reviewed individually. It was determined that the mitigation strategy would include one new goal, and several new objectives, while eliminating a few actions from the 2005 Plan. Items changed from the previously approved 2005 mitigation action plan include: • • • • • Action 1.1.2 was changed from “Improve flood alerting system capabilities” to “Acquire flood alerting system capabilities.” This was done because the county needs to acquire a new flood alerting system. Action 1.1.3 was added to the plan to reflect local activity in the “Ready in 3” program. Action 3.1.3 was added in order to encourage-up-to-date mapping of critical facilities. Action 1.5.1 was in the previously approved plan was as follows: “Decrease wildfire risk in areas where development is adjacent to forests or grasslands by incorporating buffer zones into subdivision regulations.” Action 1.5.3 was stated in the previously approved plan as “Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and earthquake/seismic insurance.” This was changed to eliminate “earthquake/seismic insurance” because of the limited risk of earthquakes in the County. All other goals and objectives from the 2005 Plan were deemed viable to continue mitigation of natural hazards. Most goals, objectives, and actions are continuing and ongoing, and were carried over to the updated plan. The goals, objectives, and actions identified in the previously approved plan and the 2011 Update were developed through a multi-step process. August 2012 180 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update o Hazard identification and analysis (identification of the hazards most prevalent of the area and following the area). o Area vulnerability assessment (identification the areas of the jurisdiction most vulnerable to the previously identified hazards). o Jurisdictional capability assessment questionnaire (assessment identified the steps the jurisdiction had taken toward reducing their vulnerability to hazards by reviewing the jurisdiction’s legal, institutional, political, technical and fiscal capability. This step identified the jurisdiction’s capability to implement future mitigation measures.) The Planning Committee established a final list of goals, objectives, and actions for participants of the 2011 Plan Update. They are listed as follows. GOAL 1: Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens. Objective 1.1: Provide sufficient warning systems. Action 1.1.1: Identify geographic areas in need of additional warning systems and acquire needed equipment. Action 1.1.2: Acquire flood alerting system capabilities. Objective 1.2: Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding. Action 1.2.1: Encourage property owners and occupants in hazard areas to participate in mitigation policy formulation. Action 1.2.2: Target any repetitive flood loss properties for buyout. Action 1.2.3: Promote environmentally-sound watershed and storm water practices to decrease flash flooding. Action 1.2.4: Strengthen floodplain regulations. Objective 1.3: Increase knowledge of safety measures among employers and the general public. Action 1.3.1: Promote the use of hazard area maps by the public. Action 1.3.2: Identify ways to promote FEMA safety tips and mitigation techniques. Action 1.3.3: Utilize the “Ready in 3” program to ensure enhanced public awareness of disaster situations Objective 1.4: Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment. Action 1.4.1: Review and upgrade, as needed, policies for identifying and budgeting additional emergency equipment. Action 1.4.2: Execute and maintain mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies. Action 1.4.3: Review and upgrade redundancies for the 911 Center/EOC. August 2012 181 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Objective 1.5: Protect residential structures. Action 1.5.1: Promote the use of environmentally-sound, fire-resistant materials. Action 1.5.2: Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and earthquake/seismic insurance. Objective 1.6: Protect employment and commercial facilities: Action 1.6.1: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms. Action 1.6.2: Encourage up-to-date commercial and industrial disaster plans that are coordinated with community disaster plans. Action 1.6.3: Encourage operation and infrastructure backup systems for commercial and industrial businesses. GOAL 2: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices. Objective 2.1: Reduce and prevent degradation of, or conflicts with, natural resources. Action 2.1.1: To reduce the effects of flash flooding and drought, promote construction and use practices that facilitate rainwater percolation into local water tables. Action 2.1.2: Encourage best practices for drought-resistant farming. Action 2.1.3: Implement measures to increase the county’s CRS status. Action 2.1.4: Resolve any existing environmental conflicts and take steps to prevent future conflicts. Action 2.1.5: Work with DNR to identify primary maintenance techniques for earthen dams and encourage their use. GOAL 3: Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a disaster. Objective 3.1: Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures. Action 3.1.1: Review, prioritize, institute and monitor needed upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures. Action 3.1.2: Review emergency access routes and evacuation routes and mitigate any problem areas. Action 3.1.3: Encourage up to date mapping of critical facilities for official and public review Objective 3.2: Strengthen multi-jurisdictional cooperation among emergency agencies. Action 3.2.1: Identify, review, and implement mechanisms to foster collaboration among jurisdictions, agencies and special districts. Goal #4: Preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality. Objective 4.1 Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on private properties August 2012 182 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Action 4.1.1: Educate residents on property protection from hazards Action 4.1.2: Encourage utilities, communications developers to construct undergrounds lines Action 4.1.3: Jurisdiction planning departments encouraged to use hazard maps with developers, home buyers, construction and engineers Objective 4.2 Action 4.2.1: Encourage jurisdictions to adopt new codes and enforce current codes and ordinances for all hazards Action 4.2.2: Encourage emergency response agencies and districts to relocate facilities away from geographically redundant areas Action 4.2.3: Encourage jurisdiction agencies to coordinate communications plans The following table provides an analysis of the County’s proposed 2011 Plan mitigation actions. Each action was reviewed according to the STAPLEE criteria. STAPLEE criteria include: Social, Technical, Administrative, Political, Legal, Economic and Environmental considerations. The asterisks in the columns on the right indicate the action would have a positive effect. Note that the Planning Committee that all actions positively impacted each element of the STAPLEE criteria. The next plan update will include a more detailed prioritization of actions that will be specific to each participating jurisdiction. TABLE 40 Johnson County Proposed Mitigation Action Evaluation: Proposed Action (abbreviated for readability) Criteria: Objective 1.1: Raise public awareness. Encourage development of public outreach programs Encourage organizations to develop hazard measures for employees/visitors Encourage development of emergency management curriculum in schools. Encourage development of outreach program for special needs populations Encourage education and construction of safe rooms in mobile home parks Objective 1.2: Establish warning systems for all hazards. Encourage jurisdictions, to report warning system data gaps for all hazards. Encourage development of evacuation plan for all disasters. Encourage placement of flood warning signs Encourage special needs population to obtain NOAA radios, safe rooms Objective 1.3: Provide sufficient warning systems. Identify geographic areas and acquire equipment. Objective 1.4: Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding. Public mitigation policy formulation. Environmentally-sound watershed and stormwater practices. Encourage residents, stakeholders to participate in watershed plans to prevent flooding. Revise flood fighting plans as needed. Objective 1.5: Promote safety measures among employers and the general public. Promote the use of hazard area maps by the public. FEMA safety tips and message delivery systems. Objective 1.6: Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment. Review and upgrade policies for additional emergency equipment. August 2012 183 S T A P L E E * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies. * * Redundancy measures for the 911 Center/EOC. * * Objective 2.1: : Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on private properties. Encourage education of residents on property protection from hazards. * * * Use hazard maps with developers, home buyers, construction and engineers. * * * Encourage utilities, communications, developers to construct underground lines. * * * Objective 2.2: Reduced or prevent impacts from hazards on public properties. Encourage jurisdictions to adopt, enforce most current codes, ordinances for all hazards. * * * Encourage to take FEMA structural safety classes for building integrity * * * Encourage jurisdictions to adopt open burning control ordinances. * * * Encourage jurisdiction agencies to coordinate communications plans. * * Encourage prioritization of emergency routes for use during hazard events * * * Objective 2.3: Protect residential structures. Decrease wildfire risk in buffer zones. * * Environmentally-sound, fire-resistant home materials. * Low-fire-hazard space around subdivisions. * * Promote NFIP policies and earthquake insurance. * * * Objective 2.4: Protect employment and commercial facilities: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms. * * Commercial/industrial disaster plans coordinate with community. * * Backup systems for commercial/industrial businesses. * Objective 3.1: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices. Improve rural water/sewer standards. * * Encourage best practices for drought-resistant farming. * * * Increase the county’s CRS status. * * Resolve environmental conflicts; prevent future conflicts. * * Work with DNR to identify primary maintenance for earthen dams. * * * Objective 3.2: Develop collaborative hazard mitigation efforts across jurisdictional boundaries. Encourage jurisdictions to implement Hazard Mitigation Plan * * * Encourage all legislation to collaborate and establish state planning department. * * Conduct proper record keeping for all documents related to disasters. * * Objective 3.3: Reduce impacts and promote protection of natural resources. Encourage ability to protect downstream residents from dam failure. * * * Encourage jurisdiction educate residents on proper disposal of yard. * * Encourage jurisdictions, residents to maintain streams, corridors. * * * Encourage jurisdictions to become familiar and comply with drought, water restrictions. * * Protect watersheds, encourage storm water practices for flood protection. * * * Objective 4.1: Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures. Upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures. * * Backup systems for critical facilities. * * * Emergency equipment for critical facilities. * * * Objective 4.2: Increase collaboration among jurisdictions, agencies and special districts. Identify collaboration priorities. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Workshop participants discussed suggestions, added suggestions, and deleted some actions by using the STAPLEE evaluation. Several actions were eliminated for various reasons as shown in the following list: • A suggestion to improve rural water/sewer standards was discarded because Missouri’s DNR has a strong regulatory presence in inspecting and monitoring water/sewer issues. • An action to identify wildfire buffer zones was deemed a required preliminary step to decreasing wildfire risk in buffer zones (1.5). A related action to designate August 2012 184 * * * * * * * * * * * * Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • • • low-fire-hazard spaces in subdivisions was thought to be better incorporated into the wildfire buffer zone program. A measure to incorporate natural hazard mitigation construction techniques or retrofitting was discarded, for now. It was felt that many companies already incorporate these techniques. In addition, the bulk of this suggestion is covered in Federal and/or state regulations or rules. Suggestions to encourage open-space developments and to mandate fair-share funding from developers were discarded as not being directly relevant to hazard mitigation. A need to reduce crop damage was dropped because flood prevention and wildfire prevention would be redundant. Strategic implementation The goals, objectives, and actions steer the plan toward group involvement of individual communities, chambers of commerce, large employers, etc. All actions shown above were found to be cost-effective, environmentally sound, and technically feasible. An economic evaluation was also performed in order to select higher priority actions from among the many competing ones. The Planning Committee assessed the economic impact of one action compared to another, compared varying costs, examined possible available funding to achieve the actions, and examined the actions for adherence to local economic goals for each community. The results of this activity and the STAPLEE analysis are illustrated in the tables beginning on page 196. The following set of underlying operating principles will improve fiscal and operational efficiency, help maintain a focus on the greater goal of overall community well-being, and help ensure implementation. Local government will be responsible for reviewing on at least an annual basis the natural hazard mitigation plan during city council meetings. The annual review will ensure that development and ordinance revision occurs with incorporation of mitigation actions when appropriate. The public will have the opportunity to review the Plan Update on the Pioneer Trails Regional Planning website and at their local emergency management office. Public input into plan maintenance will be encouraged at city council meetings during the course of the plan update cycle. Each action will be implemented according to the following strategies. • • • • Incorporate mitigation objectives into existing and future plans, regulations, programs and projects. Promote and encourage collaboration between disparate agencies and departments to create a synergism that results in benefits that would not be possible through a single agency. Employ sustainable principles and techniques in the implementation of each objective to attain maximum benefits. For example, watershed protection decreases the incidence and severity of flood. Create and implement an action prioritization process that includes monetary, environmental, and sociological considerations in the event of a disaster. August 2012 185 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Ensure implementation through inclusion in adoption resolution The county’s Hazard Mitigation Plan will be implemented by the Johnson County Commission and its delegates. The implementation process will include coordination among county departments. It will be coordinated with other relevant agencies or districts through the county’s Emergency Management Agency. The county will set up a system to monitor progress and evaluate the effectiveness of implemented actions with revisions as needed. Every five years, the county will review the plan and include any needed updates. The updated plan will be submitted for SEMA/FEMA approval. In addition, the plan will continually be reviewed for any necessary updates following any major disasters that occur within the county. Analysis and prioritization of mitigation actions Johnson County’s mitigation actions promote and/or support the development of local hazard mitigation plans, projects and activities. Examples include encouraging inclusion of hazard mitigation principles in local building codes, emergency operation plans, master plans, planning and zoning ordinances, floodplain ordinances, local disaster plans, local mitigation plans, and commercial/industrial disaster plans. The following matrix provides an analysis and prioritization of the county’s natural hazard mitigation goals, objectives, and actions. The matrix also illustrates the relationship between the state’s identified hazards and the county’s mitigation actions. All actions will be coordinated, where applicable, with Missouri’s mitigation actions. Criteria for prioritization, in addition to the previously stated elements of the STAPLEE analysis, areas follows: • Historically, Johnson County has been most affected by tornado/thunderstorms followed in severity by flooding, severe winter storm, drought, and heat wave. The risk of earthquake, dam failure, and wildfire must be addressed even though the county has not yet experienced these hazards; and • Some actions may be high priorities, but will require a lengthy process of preparatory steps (for example, researching alternative techniques or education for community acceptance). Therefore, these types of actions will show up as a “high” priority with a somewhat distance future target date for completion. NOTE: All actions affect the county jurisdiction in some way. Therefore, county involvement is assumed for all of the items on the following Action Matrix. Following are definitions for some of the terms used in the tables beginning on page 173. August 2012 186 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Priority: High – to be completed within the next 2 years Medium – to be completed within the next 5 years Low – to be started within the next 5 years One of the last columns in the tables beginning on page 196 is labeled “Evaluation.” This column sets forth how progress in action implementation will be evaluated. Certain hazards can impact individual participating jurisdictions more than the county as a whole. In the table below, the column on the far left designated “Community” lists the communities that have chosen to accept the listed action. They are coded as follows: • • • • • • • • Cw = Centerview Ch = Chilhowee H = Holden K = Kingsville Kn = Knob Noster Lt = Leeton Wbg = Warrensburg A = Every incorporated area could be affected or involved NOTE: All actions affect the entire county jurisdiction in some way. Therefore, county involvement is assumed for all of the items on the following Action Matrix. All mitigation actions for this update are the same as the previous approved plan so all will be deferred. The reason would be lack of continuity between plan preparers, as a high turnover rate that caused much of the plan to be pieced together from different preparers. This has led to some unknowns in regards to the monitoring and evaluating the plan as a lack of resources in the county has caused many plan writers to double their work loads and take on tasks that they have little to no time to complete. This could be alleviated by retaining staff that have firsthand experience in writing hazard mitigation plans and also creating committees that meet on a biannual basis to review and evaluate the hazard mitigation plans. August 2012 187 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Warning coverage maps Emergency Services Revised from the 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; County Flood Plain Manager govt. program funds/private funding Warning coverage maps X Public Information Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director; County Flood Plain Manager Attendance records X Same action from 2005 Plan Same action from 2005 Plan X X X Wildfire govt. program funds/private funding Dam Failure EMA Director Earthquake Medium; Continuing Evaluation Heat Wave Same action from 2005 Plan Potential Funding Sources Drought Emergency Services Probable Lead Organizer Winter Type of Strategy Priority Rank and Current Status Flood Action Natural Hazards New to the Update, Revised from the 2005 Plan, Same as 2005 Plan Tornado Community Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Update Actions Matrix Goal 1: Protect the lives and livelihoods of all citizens Objective 1.1: Provide sufficient warning systems A Action 1.1.1: Identify geographic areas in need of additional warning systems and acquire needed equipment A Action 1.1.2: Acquire flood alerting system capabilities Objective 1.2 Decrease the occurrence and impact of flooding Action 1.2.1: Encourage property owners and occupants in hazard areas to participate in mitigation policy formulation Action 1.2.2: Promote environmentally-sound watershed and storm water practices to decrease flash flooding A Action 1.2.3: Strengthen floodplain regulations Public Information Property Protection A Objective 1.3 Increase knowledge of safety measures among employers and the general public Action 1.3.1: Promote the use of hazard area maps and community shelter area maps by the public Natural Resource Protection A H Low County Floodplain Manager County Floodplain Manager Govt. program funds govt. program funds/private funding Flooding reports Updates completed/revisions adopted Same action from 2005 Plan Low EMA Director Internal Funds Data Collection and publication X X X X X X X X Public Information Same action from 2005 Plan Low EMA Director Internal Funds Seasonal information distributed X X X X X X X X Public Information New Medium; Continuing EMA Director Internal Funds Installation and training with program X X X X X X X X Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director Govt. program funds Policy drafted and approved X X X X X X X X High; Continuing EMA Director Internal Funds Agreements in place and/or removed X X X X X X X X Internal Funds Backups have been installed X X X X X X X X High; Continuing A Action 1.3.2: Identify ways to promote FEMA safety tips and mitigation techniques Action 1.3.3: Utilize the Ready in 3 program to ensure enhanced public awareness of disaster situations Objective 1.4 Increase and maintain appropriate emergency equipment 1.4.1: Review and upgrade, as needed, policies for identifying and budgeting additional emergency equipment A 1.4.2: Execute and maintain mutual aid agreements with all relevant agencies Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan A 1.4.3: Review and upgrade redundancies for the 911 Center/EOC Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director; 9-1-1 Director Property Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; Jurisdiction Building Enforcement Internal Funds Added to building regulations Property Protection Revised from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing County Floodplain Manager; Jurisdiction Floodplain Managers Internal Funds Added to floodplain regulations A A A A Objective 1.5 Protect residential structures Action 1.5.1: Promote the use of environmentallysound, fire-resistant materials Action 1.5.2: Identify existing mechanisms to promote NFIP policies and continue to participate in the NFIP if currently a participant August 2012 X 188 X X X Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Objective 1.6 Protect employment and commercial facilities Structural Projects Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; 2011 EMA Director Govt. program funds Completed construction and operation X Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; City EMA Director Internal Funds All facilities contacted and procedure set in place X X X X X X X X Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; City EMA Director Internal Funds All facilities contacted and procedure set in place X X X X X X X X A Objective 2.1 Reduce and prevent degradation of, or conflicts with, natural resources Action 2.1.1: Reduce the effects of flash flooding and drought by promoting construction and use practices that facilitate rainwater percolation into local water tables Natural Resource Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Low; Continuing EMA Director; County Floodplain Manager Govt. program funds/private funding Practices incorporated into subdivision regulations A Action 2.1.2: Encourage best practices for droughtresistant farming. Natural Resource Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; Continuing EMA Director Govt. program funds/private funding Workshops held and practices publicized A Action 2.1.3: Implement measure to increase the County's Community Rating System Status Property Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; 2012 EMA Director Internal funds CRS status improved X Natural Resource Protection Same action from 2005 Plan Medium; 2012 Floodplain Manager Internal funds Reduction in Existing Conflict X X X A Action 2.1.4: Resolve any existing environmental conflicts and take steps to prevent future conflicts Action 2.1.5: Work with MO DNR to identify primary maintenance techniques for earthen dams and encourage their use Natural Resource Protection Ongoing Medium; 2011 EMA Director Govt. program funds/private funding Priorities set in place and Dam owners contacted A Goal 3: Ensure continued operation of government and emergency functions in a disaster Objective 3.1 Strengthen critical structures and infrastructures Action 3.1.1: Review, prioritize and monitor needed upgrades or retrofits for critical buildings and infrastructures Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director Govt. program funds/ private funding Annual review/upgrade A Action 3.1.2: Review emergency access routes and evacuation routes and mitigate any problem areas Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; Continuing EMA Director Internal funds Annual review/upgrade A Action 3.1.3: Encourage up to date mapping of critical facilities for official and public review Public Education New Medium; Continuing EMA Director Internal funds Annual review/upgrade/publication Emergency Services Same action from 2005 Plan High; 2013 EMA Director Internal funds Public Education New Medium EMA Director Internal Funds A A A Action 1.6.1: Encourage construction of tornado safe rooms Action 1.6.2: Encourage up to date commercial and industrial disaster plans that are coordinated with community disaster plans Action 1.6.3: Encourage operation and infrastructure backup systems for commercial and industrial businesses Goal 2: Manage growth through sustainable principles and practices A X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Increase in agreements X X X X X X Workshops held and practices publicized X X X X X X X Objective 3.2 Strengthen multi-jurisdictional cooperation among emergency agencies A Action 3.2.1: Identify, review and implement mechanisms to foster collaboration among jurisdictions agencies and special districts Goal 4: Preserve and maintain property, infrastructure, businesses and jurisdiction vitality Objective 4.1 Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on private properties A Action 4.1.1: Educate residents on property protection from hazards August 2012 189 X X Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update A Action 4.1.2: Encourage utilities, communications developers to construct underground lines Prevention New Medium EMA Director Govt. program funds/private funding Coordinate with utility compnaies X A Action 4.1.3: Jurisdiction planning departments encouraged to use hazard maps with developers, home buyers, construction and engineers Property Protection New Low County Commissioners and Planners Internal Funds Coordinate planning departments and publish maps X Property Protection New Medium City Commissioners Internal funds Policy drafted and approved X A Objective 4.2 Reduce or prevent impacts from hazards on public properties Action 4.2.1: Encourage jurisdictions to adopt new codes and enforce current codes and ordinances for all hazards Action 4.2.2: Encourage emergency response agencies and districts to relocate facilities away from geographically redundant areas Prevention New High EMA Director Internal Funds Policy drafted and approved A Action 4.2.3: Encourage jurisdiction agencies to coordinate communications plans Emergency Services New High EMA Director Internal Funds Communication plan updated/completed A August 2012 190 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update TABLE 42 JOHNSON COUNTY EXISTING COMMUNITY PLANS Source Existing Goal Statements Half cent tax for building, repairing and replacing of the counties 400+ bridges, use tax for hard surface roads in county. Expand half cent bridge tax to include improvements on all roads. Create a rural septic system for the southeast new sewer district. Creating innovation park which will expand the current Skyhaven airport. Transportation Development of highway 13 expansion in Warrensburg. Improve Highway 23 BWRB flooding over roadway Plan Capital Improvements Plan Master Transportation Plan Emergency Operations Plan Johnson County Emergency Operations Plan 2010 August 2012 Effective Goal for Mitigation? Yes. Yes. Currently in development. Yes. The plan includes policies and procedures to save lives, minimize injuries, protect property, preserve functioning civil government, and maintain economic activities. Yes. 191 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Some of the sources of federal funding for hazard mitigation projects are listed on the following pages. Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) The Hazard Mitigation Grant Program (HMGP) was created in November 1988 through Section 404 of the Robert T. Stafford Disaster Relief and Emergency Assistance Act. The HMGP assists states and communities in implementing long-term mitigation measures following a Presidential disaster declaration. After a major disaster, communities may be able to identify additional areas where mitigation can help prevent losses in the future. HMGP funding is allocated using a “sliding scale” formula based on the percentage of the funds spent on Public and Individual Assistance programs for each Declaration. The HMGP can be used to fund projects to protect public or private property; the proposed projects must fit within the state and local government's overall mitigation strategy for the disaster area, and comply with program guidelines. Eligibility for funding under the HMGP is limited to state and local governments, certain private nonprofit organizations or institutions that serve a public function, Indian tribes, and authorized tribal organizations. Applicants work through their state which is responsible for setting priorities for funding and administering the program. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/hmgp/ Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program (PDM) With the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000, Congress approved the creation of a national program to provide a funding mechanism that is not dependent on a Presidential Disaster Declaration. The Pre-Disaster Mitigation (PDM) Program provides funding for cost-effective hazard mitigation activities that complement a comprehensive mitigation program, and reduce injuries, loss of life, and damage and destruction of property. The PDM grant funds are provided to the state which then provides sub-grants to local governments for eligible mitigation activities. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/pdm/ Flood Mitigation Assistance Program (FMA) FMA was created as part of the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994 (42 U.S.C. 4101) with the goal of reducing or eliminating claims under the NFIP. Applicants must be participants in good standing in the NFIP and properties to be mitigated must have flood insurance. States administer the FMA program and are responsible for selecting projects for funding from the applicants submitted. The state then forwards selected applications to FEMA for an eligibility determination. Although individuals cannot apply directly for FMA funds, their local government may submit an application on their behalf. FMA funding for the state depends on the number of repetitive losses in the state. The frequency of flooding in Missouri in recent years, coupled with the losses incurred, has caused Missouri’s funding to rise. This is a good program for smaller projects like low water crossings, according to Sheila Huddleston, Missouri State Hazard Mitigation Officer. For FMA, not more than one half of the non-Federal funding may be provided from in-kind contributions. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/fma/ Repetitive Flood Claims Grant Program (RFC) August 2012 192 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan The Repetitive Flood Claims (RFC) grant program was authorized in 1968 to assist States and communities in reducing flood damages to insured properties that have had one or more claims to the NFIP. In order to apply for funding through this 100% Federal share program, a community must show that it can’t meet FMA requirements due to lack of cost share match or capacity to manage the activities. This doesn’t necessarily mean it needs to be a low-income community. A St. Louis area community was awarded a RFC grant on the basis that it couldn’t meet FMA requirements because it was in the middle of the budget cycle. More information on this program is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/rfc/ Severe Repetitive Loss Grant Program (SRL) The Severe Repetitive Loss (SRL) grant program was authorized in 2004 to provide funding to reduce or eliminate the long-term risk of flood damage to NFIP severe repetitive loss (SRL) properties. A SRL property is defined as a residential property that is covered under an NFIP flood insurance policy and: (a) has at least four NFIP claim payments (including building and contents) over $5,000 each, and the cumulative amount of such claims payments exceeds $20,000; or (b) for which at least two separate claims payments (building payments only) have been made with the cumulative amount of the building portion of such claims exceeding the market value of the building. For both (a) and (b) above, at least two of the referenced claims must have occurred within any ten-year period, and must be greater than 10 days apart. There are very specific requirements for this grant program; requirements need to be studied carefully before making application. For buyouts under SRL, a property must be on FEMA’s validated SRL list to be eligible. Property owner consultations are required before submitting an application. More information is available at: www.fema.gov/government/grant/srl/ COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT BLOCK GRANT (CDBG) The objective of the CDBG program is to assist communities in rehabilitating substandard dwelling structures and to expand economic opportunities, primarily for low-to-moderate-income families. After a Presidential Disaster Declaration CDBG funds may be used for long-term needs such as acquisition, reconstruction, and redevelopment of disaster-affected areas. There is no low-to-moderate income requirement after a Presidential Disaster Declaration. Monitoring, Evaluating, and Updating the Plan For the 2011 Plan Update, Johnson County has developed a method to ensure regular review and update of the Hazard Mitigation Plan. In the course of their duties, emergency managers, in collaboration with their respective Emergency Management Committee should meet annually and on an informal and routine basis to focus on monitoring and evaluating as well as updating the Hazard Mitigation Plan. In addition, a regional meeting could also be organized by Emergency Managers on an annual basis to provide cross-jurisdictional information sharing federal and state updates and opportunities for project development, implementation, and funding with jurisdictions and stakeholders. It is recommended that the Emergency Management Committee include County Commissioners, municipal officials, fire, law enforcement, emergency medical and public health officials for various objectives of this plan. It is recommended that the County public notice these meetings and encourage the public to participate. August 2012 193 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan It is recommended that the committee review each goal and objective to determine the relevance to local, regional, statewide and federal disaster situations and to ensure that they are addressing current and expected conditions. The committee should review the risk assessment portion of the plan to determine if this information should be updated. The parties responsible for the various implementation actions should report on the status of their projects and will include which implementation processes worked well, difficulties encountered, coordination efforts and which strategies should be revised. The Emergency Management Committee should take three months to update the plan before submitting it to the State Hazard Mitigation Officer. If no changes are necessary, the State Hazard Mitigation Officer should be given a justification for this determination. Copies of the plan should be catalogued and kept on hand at the main Johnson County library branch. In addition, a copy of the plan will be available in the Office of Emergency Management and at the Johnson County Clerk’s Office. The existence and location of these copies should be publicized by the daily local newspaper, and listed on the County website. Contained in appendix F is the address and telephone number of the Office of Emergency Management responsible for keeping track of public comments on the plan. Copies of the plan and proposed changes will be posted on the County website. The site will contain an email address and telephone number to which people can direct their comments. The general public should be encouraged to attend these meetings through media coverage, published notices, reminders, and civic meetings. The County Commission and the EMD was responsible for monitoring and evaluating the progress of the mitigation strategies in the previously approved 2005 plan. Regularly scheduled monitoring activities were difficult to accomplish during the years after the 2005 plan. This was because of limited resources, and the occurrence of presidentially declared disasters involving the planning area. It is hoped that regularly scheduled monitoring activity will be possible after approval of the Update. The County Commission will continue to be responsible for monitoring and evaluation of the 2011 Update. They will review each goal, objective, and action to determine the relevance to changing situations in the county. They will also be responsible for monitoring changes in State or Federal policy, and to ensure that the plan is addressing current and expected conditions. The Commission will review the risk assessment portion of the plan as warranted to determine if this information should be updated or modified. The parties responsible for the various implementation actions will report on the status of their projects and will include the implementation processes that worked well, any difficulties encountered, how coordination efforts were proceeding, and which strategies should be revised. All meetings of the County Commission, City Councils, and Boards of Aldermen are public and posted per the Sunshine Law of the State of Missouri. Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission will continue to host any hazard mitigation announcements or information, as well as posting a copy of the latest plan on the PTRPC website (http://www.trailsrpc.org). It is planned that activities for updating the 2011 Plan will begin a year in advance of the expiration of that plan. The ongoing yearly maintenance and evaluation of the plan, as described August 2012 194 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan previously, will be of great value when undertaking the five year update. Continuity of personnel on the Hazard Mitigation Planning Committee throughout the five year process would be highly beneficial in taking mitigation planning to the next level. August 2012 195 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Appendix A: Executed Jurisdiction Adoptions Sample Johnson County Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan The following resolution was adopted by County of Johnson on this day of __________________________2012. Resolution Number: _______ A RESOLUTION OF INTENT TO PARTICIPATE IN NATURAL HAZARD MITIGATION AND TO WORK TOWARD BECOMING A SAFER COMMUNITY. WHEREAS, the County of Johnson recognizes that no community is immune from natural hazards whether it be tornado/severe thunderstorms, flood, severe winter weather, drought, heat-wave, earthquake, dam failure, or wildfire, and recognizes the importance of enhancing its ability to withstand natural hazards as well as the importance of reducing the human suffering, property damage, interruption of public services and economic losses caused by those hazards; and WHEREAS, the County of Johnson may have previously pursued measures such as building codes, fire codes, floodplain management regulations, zoning ordinance, and storm-water management regulations to minimize the impact of natural hazards; and WHEREAS, the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Missouri State Emergency Management Agency have developed a natural hazard mitigation program that assists communities in their efforts to become Disaster-Resistant Communities which are sustainable communities after a natural disaster that focus, not just on disaster relief, but also on recovery and reconstruction that brings the community to at least pre-disaster conditions in an accelerated, orderly and preplanned manner; and WHEREAS, by participation in the Natural Hazards Mitigation program, the County of Johnson will be eligible to apply for post-disaster mitigation funds; and WHEREAS, the County of Johnson desires to commit to working with government partners and community partners to implement the natural Hazards Mitigation Plan; and WHEREAS, the County of Johnson will implement pertinent precepts of the mitigation plan by incorporation into other community plans and mechanisms where appropriate; and WHEREAS, the County of Johnson will participate in the evaluation and review of the Plan after a disaster as well as complete the mandated five-year update of the plan submitted to the Missouri State Emergency Management Agency and the Federal Emergency Management Agency for review and approval; NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE COUNTY OF JOHNSON AS FOLLOWS: The County of Johnson hereby adopts the Johnson Multi-Junsdictional Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan attached hereto for the purpose of building a safer community by reducing natural hazard vulnerability. ______________________________________________________ Presiding Official _______________________ Date ______________________________________________________ Secondary Official _______________________ Date ______________________________________________________ Tertiary Official _______________________ Date August 2012 196 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Appendix B: Newspaper Articles August 2012 197 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Appendix C: Acronyms • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • ASM Archaeological Survey of Missouri BFE Base Flood Elevation BLM Bureau of Land Management CDBG Community Development Block Grant CEDS Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy CERI Center for Earthquake Research and Information at the University of Memphis CFR Code of Federal Regulations CPC Climate Prediction Center CRS Community Rating System DMA 2000 Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 EDA Economic Development Administration EPA Environmental Protection Agency FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency FIRM Flood Insurance Rate Map FMA Flood Mitigation Assistance (FEMA Program) FTE Full Time Equivalent GIS Geographic Information System HMGP Hazard Mitigation Grant Program HMST Hazard Mitigation Survey Team HUD Housing and Urban Development (United States, Department of) ICC Increased Cost of Compliance LMI Labor Market Information MACOG Missouri Association of Councils of Governments MCC Midwestern Climate Center MoDOT Missouri Department of Transportation MPA Missouri Press Association NCDC National Climate Data Center NEHRP National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program NFIP National Flood Insurance Program NFPA National Fire Protection Association NHMP Natural Hazard Mitigation Plan NIBS National Institute of Building Sciences NIFC National Interagency Fire Center NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NRHP National Register of Historic Places NRCS Natural Resources Conservation Service NWS National Weather Service OEDP Overall Economic Development Program for Lincoln, Montgomery & Warren Counties, July 1998; farm decline, p.c-16 August 2012 198 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan • • • • • • • • • • • • PDM Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program PDSI Palmer Drought Severity Index SBA Small Business Administration SEMA Missouri State Emergency Management Agency SHMO State Hazard Mitigation Officer SPC Storm Prediction Center USACE United States Army Corps of Engineers USDA United States Department of Agriculture USFA United States Fire Administration USFS United States Forest Service USFWS United States Fish and Wildlife Service USGS United States Geological Survey August 2012 199 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Appendix D: Definitions Appendix D – Definitions Building Regulations – These can be ordinances or codes that include four categories: zoning, property maintenance, building rehabilitation and building construction. These codes govern the use and maintenance of existing buildings (housing and fire codes). They also address health, safety and welfare in existing buildings that are undergoing improvements. They also address construction codes (building, mechanical, plumbing, and electrical standards) to ensure health, safety and welfare. Building regulations are designed to ensure that buildings withstand natural disasters including certain wind speeds as well as fire, flood and seismic hazards. Emergency Operations Plan - A document prepared by the emergency management director of a jurisdiction. The plan sets forth roles and responsibilities of all emergency responders in the event of an emergency or disaster that may affect the area. The plan establishes a coordinated approach to best utilize available resources and to incorporate State and Federal assistance, if necessary. Five hundred-year flood - A flood that has a 0.2 percent chance of occurring in any given year. If a person lived for a thousand years, one might expect to see two floods of this magnitude. Flood – Over bank flows of river water, when too much water is present to be confined to the normal channel of the river. This may occur from headwater flows, heavy rains, snow melt or backwater, as when a larger river, downstream is flooding. Lakes can flood, as when too much water accumulates to drain off in the usual amount of time, so that shorelines are inundated. The FEMA definition goes further and includes “inundation of normally dry land areas by water from any source.” This would include stormwater puddling/ponding and rise of groundwater. Floodplain - The area on either side of a river bed or channel, subject to inundation. Floodplain Regulations - Regulations designed to protect human lives and property by restricting the construction of buildings within the floodplain. The most important responsibility of local governments that participate in the National Flood Insurance Program is that of adopting and enforcing local floodplain management regulations Enactment of a floodplain management ordinance is essential for participation in the program. It is the sine qua non for federal disaster relief after a devastating flood. Accordingly, most jurisdictions within the United States that have any sizable watercourse or water body, have a floodplain ordinance that severely restricts what property owners can do in the floodplain. The minimum standards that a local community must adopt are set out as very specific criteria, and contained in Title 44 Code of Federal Regulations, (CFR) Chapter 1, Section 60.3, Parts (a), (b), (c), (d), and (e). These required standards are cumulative and mandatory. They provide the basis for the ordinance that is adopted by each community participating in the National Flood Insurance Program, throughout the country. August 2012 200 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan The local floodplain ordinance is usually (but not always) incorporated into the zoning ordinance. It may be modeled on a canned version published by the Federal Emergency Management Agency as a mock-up for use by localities needing to adopt a floodplain management ordinance in order to comply with the requirements of Title 44. Gage - Spelling used for river or stream gauges, either staff gages, that measure stage; flow gages, that measure discharge (volume) or water quality gages. Levee - An earthen embankment constructed to keep or control water out of a given area. Levee is a French word and means the same as dike. Master Plan – A document prepared by a jurisdiction by which policy regarding the needs, priorities, social, governmental, economic and physical development of the city is laid out and defined. The plan contains statements of the jurisdiction’s objectives, standards and principles. The plan is prepared to promote general welfare and prosperity of the residents and to be utilized as a point of reference guidance document in making effective, long term strategic planning recommendations. One-hundred year flood - A flood that has a one percent statistical chance of occurring in any year. Statistically, it is assumed that floods are entirely random events. This is also termed the “base flood” for flood insurance purposes. Regulatory floodway - The area either side of a stream channel which must be kept clear for the passage of flood flows without increasing 100-year flood stages more than one foot (insurance definition). As an administrative tool, the delineation of a floodway on a map helps local permitgranting authorities determine if a development proposal will increase flood stages more than the FEMA maximum limit, without having to do a study. It is presumed that the floodway fringe, the part of the flood plain beyond the floodway will eventually be filled in or protected by a levee. The floodway is intended to carry deep and fast moving water; hence, it is usually the part of the flood plain that is most dangerous for any kind of development. Stage - The elevation of the surface of a river or a lake or reservoir or of floodwater at a given location; the height reached by a flood at a given point in time. It may be measured by a staff gage or a recording gage, usually in feet above an historic “zero point” (known as the datum). Zero on the gage usually is at or near the bottom of the channel and is given in feet above mean sea level (MSL). Storm water Regulations – Polluted storm water runoff is a leading cause of impairment to the nearly 40 percent of surveyed U.S. water bodies which do not meet water quality standards. Over land or via storm sewer systems, polluted runoff is discharged, often untreated, directly into local water bodies. When left uncontrolled, this water pollution can result in the destruction of fish, wildlife, and aquatic life habitats; a loss in aesthetic value; and threats to public health due to contaminated food, drinking water supplies, and recreational waterways. August 2012 201 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Mandated by Congress under the Clean Water Act, the NPDES Storm water Program is a comprehensive two-phased national program for addressing the nonagricultural sources of storm water discharges that adversely affect the quality of our nation's waters. The Program uses the National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permitting regulation mechanism to require the implementation of controls designed to prevent harmful pollutants from being washed by storm water runoff into local water bodies. Subdivision Regulations - A subdivision is a tract of land divided by the owner, known as the subdivider, into blocks, building lots and streets according to a recorded subdivision plat, which must comply with local ordinances and regulations (a.k.a. subdivision regulations). These regulations provide for design standards including lots, streets, blocks, utilities, sidewalks, water access, buffer areas, and access easements. These regulations are designed to promote the orderly development of a local street system that provides interconnection between developed or developing properties, as well as standards for recreation and open space. Watershed - A drainage area, extended from high ground at the edges to a valley and stream along a central axis. Also called a basin, it may have a sub watershed or sub basin. Rain or snow falling within a watershed drains to the central drainage way, brook, creek, stream or river. Smaller watersheds are parts of larger watersheds. The largest watershed in the United States is the Mississippi River basin. Sub watersheds of the Mississippi River include the Missouri and Meramec River basins. Zoning Regulations - it continues to be at the heart of today's land-use issues. A simple definition of a zoning regulation is a locally enacted law that regulates and controls the use of private property. It divides the jurisdiction into districts, or zones, for different uses and determines which uses are allowed. It regulates lot sizes, building heights, impacts on adjacent land uses, and other specifics. August 2012 202 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Appendix E: Multi-Hazard Mitigation Resource Directory and Bibliography Appendix F – Directory, Bibliography, and Acronyms • • • 2000 Missouri Drought Plan Archaeological Survey of Missouri Center for Earthquake Research and Information at the University of Memphis (CERI), Central U.S. Seismic Map, November 1996, http://www2.semo.edu/ces/CES2.HTML, http://folkworm.ceri.memphis.edu/recenteqs/Quakes/nmhwb0219a.html, http://www.sws.uiuc.edu/html/WxFAQ5.htm • East Central Missouri Transportation Study, final report, prepared for MODOT District 3 by Wilbur Smith Associates Federal Emergency Management Agency, http://www.fema.gov/hazards/ FEMA District V newsletter, November 14, 2001, article by Pat Glithero Midwestern Climate Center • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Missouri Works! Labor Market Information, Department of Economic Development, Covered Employment and Wages Program (ES-202) Data Missouri Department of Conservation, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/conmag/1999/03/1.html, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/news/out/1996/out07056.html#New%20Tactics, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/forest/fire/, http://www.conservation.state.mo.us/forest/fire/adject.htm Missouri Department of Natural Resources, http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/wrp/WR69.pdf, http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/dir_ltr.htm Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Dam Safety Program, Rolla, Mo., http://www.dnr.state.mo.us/geology/damsft/bkgrd.htm Missouri Department of Transportation National Climate Data Center, http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgiwin/wwcgi.dll?wwEvent~Storms National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/windchill NRCS Natural Resources Conservation Service, http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/programs/ws_reinvent/dams_in_danger/20_DAMS/Missouri.pdf Missouri Press Association: www.mopress.com National Register of Historic Places, http://www.nationalregisterofhistoricplaces.com NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lsx/event.php Stemming the Tide of Flood Losses, Missouri State Emergency Management Agency United States Army Corps of Engineers, http://www.mvs.usace.army.mil/ United States Department of Agriculture, http://www.nass.usda.gov/census/census92/atlas92/datafile/moc109.txt, acres of farmland by county (plus average market values per farm) United States Fish and Wildlife Service, http://midwest.fws.gov/endangered/lists/missourispp.html, http://midwest.fws.gov/endangered/lists/missouri-spp.html August 2012 203 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • Anonymous (1888). History of southeast Missouri, Goodspeed Publishing Co., Chicago. • Bolt, B. A. (1972). San Fernando Rupture Mechanism and the Pacoima Strong-Motion Record, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 62, 1039-1047. • Braatz, D.T. (1994). "Hydrologic Forecasting for the Great Flood of 1993," Water International, Volume 19, No.4, pp. 190-198. • Crandell, F. (1949). Ground Vibration Due to Blasting and its Effects Upon Structures, J Boston Soc. Civil Eng. 36, 222-245. • Dam and Reservoir Guidelines for Community and County Emergency Action Planning,Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Land Survey, Dam andReservoir Safety, 1989 • Davison, C. (1936). Great Earthquakes, Thomas Murby and Co., London. • Draft, USCOE, Flood Plain Management Assessment of the Upper Mississippi and LowerMissouri Rivers and their Tributaries (FPMA). • Drew, John D. and DuCharme, Charles B., The Record Flood of 1993, an Open File Report(OFR-93-95-WR) of the Division of Geology and Land Survey (DGLS), Missouri Department of Natural Resources • Faber, Scott, The Real Choices Report: America’s Flood Control Policy Failures, American Rivers, 1994. • Fujita, T., 1981: Tornadoes and Downbursts in the context of generalized planetary scales. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 1511-1534. • Fuller, M. L. (1912). The New Madrid Earthquake, U. S. Geol. Surv., Bull. 494, Washington,D.C. • Galway, J. G., 1977: Some Climatological Aspects of Tornado Outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 477-484. • Gordon, D. W., T. J. Bennett, R. B. Herrmann, and A. M. Rogers (1970). The South Central Illinois Earthquake of November 9, 1968; Macroseismic studies, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 60, 953-971. • Grazulis, T. P., 1993: Significant Tornadoes 1680-1991. A Chronology and Analysis of Events. Environmental Films, Tornado Project, St. Johsnbury, VT. • Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency, Bulletin 17B, March 1982, Office of Water Coordination, U.S. Department of the Interior. August 2012 204 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • Gutenberg, B. and C. F. Richter (1956). Earthquake magnitude, intensity, energy, and acceleration (second paper), Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 46, 105-143. • Hales, J.E., 1993: Biases in the severe thunderstorm database: Ramifications and solutions. Preprints, 13th Conf. Weather. Forecasting and Analysis, Vienna, VA, AMS (Boston), 504507. • Hart, J.A., 1993: SVRPLOT: A New Method of Accessing and Manipulating the NSSFC Severe Weather Data Base. Preprints, 17th Conf. On Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, AMS (Boston), 40-41. • Humphreys, A. A. and Abbot, H. L. (1861). Report upon the Physics and Hydraulics of the Mississippi River by the Corps of Topographical Engineers, U.S. Army, J. B. Lippincott and Co., Philadelphia. • Johnston, Larry R, and Monday, Jacquelyn L., Floodplain Management in the United States: An Assessment Report, The Federal Interagency Flood plain Management Task Force, 1992. • Josephson, D.H. (1994). "The Great Midwest Flood of 1993," Natural Disaster Survey Report, Department of Commerce, NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, Maryland. • Kelly, D.L., J.T. Schaefer, and C.A. Doswell, III, 1985: Climatology of Nontornadic Severe Thunderstorm Events in the United States. Mon. Wea. Rev. 113, 1997-2014. • Kisslinger, C. and 0. W. Nuttli (1965). The earthquake of October 21, 1965 and Precambrian structure in Missouri, Earthquake Notes 36, 32-36. • Kusler, Jon, and Larson, Larry, Beyond the Ark, A New Approach to U.S. Floodplain Management, In Environment, June 1993. • Larson, L.W. (1993). "The Great Midwest Flood of 1993," Natural Disaster Survey Report, National Weather Service, Kansas City, Missouri. • Lawson, A. C. (1908). Atlas of maps and seismograms accompanying the Report of the State Earthquake Commission upon the California Earthquake of April 18, 1906, Washington, D.C. (Reprinted by the Carnegie Institution of Washington, 1970). • Mal, A. K. (1972). Rayleigh waves from a moving thrust fault, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 62, 741752. • Mateker, E. J. (1968). Earthquakes in Missouri, Wash. Univ. Mag. (St. Louis, Mo.) 39, 46-51. • McDermott, J. F. (1949). Old Cahokia, St. Louis Historical Documents Foundations, St. Louis. August 2012 205 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Land Survey, Dam and Reservoir Safety, Maintenance, Inspection and Operations of Dams in Missouri, 1991. • Myers, Mary Fran and White, Gilbert F., The Challenge of the Mississippi Flood, in Environment, December 1993. • Meteorological Drought, Weather Bureau Paper No. 45, National Weather Service, NOAA, Silver Spring, 1965 • Missouri Department of Natural Resources, DGLS, Water Resources Report #54, Flood Report Analysis, 1996, Dick Gaffney • Missouri Drought Response Plan, Water Resources Report No 44. Missouri Department of Natural Resources, 1995; Don Miller and Charlie Hays • Mitchell, B. J. (1972). Radiation and attenuation of Rayleigh waves from the southeastern Missouri earthquake of October 21, 1965 (submitted to J. Geophys. Res.). • National Climatic Data Center Technical Report No 2000-02; A Climatology of Recent Extreme Weather and Climate Events, Tom Ross and Neal Ott (October, 2000). • National Flood Policy in Review-1994 by Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM) • National Inventory of Dams Methodology, State and Federal Agency Manual, Version 2.0, November, 2001, Headquarters, USACE, Civil Works Engineering Division, Association of State Dam Safety Officials, U.S. Army Topographic Engineering Center. • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 1959-1995: Storm Data. Vols. 1-37, Nos. 1-12, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC. • Neumann, F. (1959). Seismological aspects of the earthquake engineering problem, Proc. Northwest Conif. Structural Engrs., 3rd, State College of Washington, Pullman, Wash., 9 23. • Nicholls, R. R., C. J. Johnson, and W. I. Duvall (1971). Blasting vibrations and their effectson structures, U.S. Bur. Mines, Bull. 656, Washington, D.C. • Nuttli, 0. W. (1973). Seismic wave attenuation and magnitude relations for eastern North America J. Geophys. Res. 78, (in press). • Nuttli, O. W. (1973). The Mississippi Valley Earthquakes of 1811 and 1812 Intensities, Ground Motion and Magnitudes, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol. 63, No. 1, pp. 227-248 February 1973. August 2012 206 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • Ostby, F. P., 1993: The Changing Nature of Tornado Climatology. Preprints, 17th Conf. On Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, AMS (Boston), 1-5. • Parrett, Charles; Melcher, Nick B and James, Robert W, Flood Discharges in the Upper Mississippi River Basin, 1993, U.S. Geological Survey Circular 1120-A, 1993. • Rasch, Kenneth M, Editorial on Flooding and Flood Plain Management in Land and Water, July/August, 1994 • Richter, C. F. (1958). Elementary Seismology, W. H. Freeman and Co., San Francisco. • Schaefer, J. T. and R. Edwards, 1999: The SPC Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Database. Preprints, 11th Conf. On Applied Climatology, Dallas, AMS (Boston), 215-220. • State Emergency Management Agency, The Response, Recovery and Lessons Learned from the Missouri Floods of 1993 and 1994, the Missouri Section 409 Plan etc.; January 1995. • Sharing the Challenge: Floodplain Management into 21st Century-the Report of the Interagency Floodplain Management Review Committee to the Administration (Whitehouse) Floodplain Management Task Force; A Blueprint for Change, June 1994. • Simich, Frederick, The Great Mississippi of 1927” in the National Geographic Magazine, September 1927, Vol. 52, No. 3 • Stauder, W. and 0. W. Nuttli (1970). Seismic studies: south central Illinois earthquake of November 9, 1968, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 60, 973-981. • Swenty, Brian, 1989, Engineering Analysis of Dams, Missouri Department of Natural Resources, Division of Geology and Land Survey, Dam and Reservoir Safety. Technical Procedures Bulletin, Series No. 358, Drought Severity (Palmer) Index, National Weather Service, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, 1985. • Tibbetts, John, “Waterproofing the Midwest”, in Planning, American Planning Association, April, 1994. • The 1993 Mississippi River Floods, World Wildlife Fund, 1994. • The Floods of ’93, State of Missouri-the federal Interagency Hazard Mitigation Team, Report for the three Presidential Disaster Declarations in Missouri, April, 1994, as set up by FEMA under 1988 Stafford Act. • The Report and Recommendations of the Governor’s Task Force on Flood Plain Management on behalf of Governor Carnahan, July, 1994. August 2012 207 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update • U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, The Great Flood of 1993 Post-Flood Report, North Central Division, September, 1994. • Missouri Highway and Transportation Department, Water Over Road,1994. • Wiggins, J. H., Jr. (1964). Construction of strong motion response spectra from magnitude and distance data, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 54, 1257-1269. • Williams, Ted, The River Always Wins, Audubon, July/August, 1994. • The Great Flood of 1993, a Natural Disaster Survey Report of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the U.S. Department of Commerce, 1994. • Wyss, M. and J. N. Brune (1968). Seismic moment, stress and source dimensions for earthquakes in the California-Nevada region, J. Geophys. Res. 73, 4681-4694. Acronyms County and Regional PTRPC Pioneer Trails Regional Planning Commission EMA Emergency Management Agency Missouri GSRAD Geological Survey and Resource Assessment Division MACOG Missouri Association of Councils of Government MCC Midwestern Climate Center MDC Missouri Department of Conservation MDNR Missouri Department of Natural Resources MoDOT Missouri Department of Transportation SEMA Missouri State Emergency Management Agency SHPO State Historic Preservation Office UMC University of Missouri-Columbia Federal BLM Bureau of Land Management CDBG Community Development Block Grant CERI Center for Earthquake Research and Information CFR Code of Federal Regulations CPD Climate Prediction Center CRS Community Rating System CUSEC Central United States Earthquake Consortium DOI Department of the Interior August 2012 208 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update DMA 2000 Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 EPA Environmental Protection Agency HAZUS Hazards U.S. software program HMGP Hazard Mitigation Grant Program FEMA Federal Emergency Management Agency NCDC National Climate Data Center NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency NWS National Weather Service NEHRP National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program NRHP National Register of Historic Places NRCS National Resource and Conservation Service PDM Pre-Disaster Mitigation Program SBA Small Business Administration USACE United States Army Corps of Engineers St. Louis County Hazard Mitigation Plan xii USDA United States Department of Agriculture USFS United States Forest Service USFWS United States Fish and Wildlife Service USGS United States Geological Survey Technical ASFPM Association of State Floodplain Managers A-zone Flood map area showing 100-year flood inundation BFE Base Flood (100-year Flood) Elevation (stage) EO Executive Order FIA Federal Insurance Administration (part of FEMA) FIRM Flood Insurance Rate Map FPM Flood Plain Management GIS Geographic Information System LOMA Letter of Map Amendment from FIA/FEMA LOMR Letter of Map Revision, from FIA/FEMA MHTD Missouri Highways and Transportation Department MSL Mean Sea Level (May be NGVD or NAVD) NAVD North American Vertical Datum, 1988 NGVD National Geodetic Vertical Datum, 1929 August 2012 209 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Appendix F: FEMA List of Repetitive Losses for Flooding No known repetitive losses for flooding at this time 3/13/13 August 2012 210 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update Appendix G: Documentation of Public Input (Meeting Notices, Agendas, Meeting Summaries, Sign-in Sheets) August 2012 211 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 212 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 213 Johnson County Hazard Mitigation Plan Update August 2012 214