Athens Office Market Report 2014
Transcription
Athens Office Market Report 2014
Macro-Economic Overview The first quarter of 2014 confirmed the positive signs highlighted in 2013 for the Greek Economy. The surplus in the Government Budget led to the decrease in the spread between the Greek Government Bond and the German Bund at 500 bps, the lowest since 2009. Furthermore the announcement of Greece returning to the money markets after 4 years with the issuance of 5 year Gov. Bonds in Q1 of 2014 reduced the spread to 450 bps and reinforced confidence in the Greek Economic recovery. Office Market Overview The steady improvement of the Greek Economy is gradually affecting the Real Estate Market. Rents and Yields for the CBD and most of the traditional office locations in Athens remained stable in 2013. Between Q1 of 2013 and Q1 of 2014 the property market in Athens witnessed several office relocations of big companies to bigger and better space. Tenants with negotiation power were the first to take advantage of Grade A quality accommodation at lower rent. Owners/investors are now negotiating lease terms and rent and offer better incentives to potential tenants. As the Athens office market is starting to recuperate, the opportunity of refurbishing part of the large amount of Grade C and D office space is becoming more apparent. Athens Office Market Report 2014 MARKET SNAPSHOT Macroeconomics Indicators Grade A Office Market - 5 years Overview Current € 25 8.00% € 20 7.00% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 9% 8% 7.50% 7% 6% € 15 5% GDP (Q4 2013) -2.3% CPI (April 2014) -1.30% Unemployment (Q4 2013) 27.50% Change from Last Period 4% € 10 3% 2% €5 1% 0% €0 2009 2010 2011 Rent (€/m2 /month) Source: NAI Hellas 2012 2013 Office Market Indicators Q1 2014 Yield May 2014 Grade A Prime Office Rent € 16/m2 Grade A Prime Office Yield 8.25% Grade A Prime Office Vacancy Rate 2.00% 4, Nikitara & Psaron str. 152 32 Chalandri Athens, Greece tel +30 210 6811760 fax +30 210 6811722 www.naiglobal.com Change from Last Year ATHENS OFFICE MARKET HIGHLIGHTS Significant Transactions Q1 2013 - Q1 2014 Transaction Costs on Rent Sales Grupo Dolphin agreed to a Sale of a 4,400m2 office building in Kifissia for €4.5 mil at an implied yield of 10%. Dolphino Capital bought the ex BNP Paribas Office of 6,000m2 on Vas. Sofias Av from BNP Bank for €10.3 mil at an implied yield of 10%. Eurobank Properties REIC and the Hellenic Republic Asset Development Fund (Taiped) moved forward to a 20 year Sale & Leaseback of 14 public buildings for €145.81 mil. The total gross area leased was 189,000m2 for an annual rent of €14 mil, implying an investment yield of 9.6%. Pangaea REIC completed a 20 year Sale & Leaseback of 14 public buildings from the Hellenic Asset Development Fund (Taiped) for €115.5 mil. The total gross area was 200,000m2 leased for an annual rent of €11.5 mil implying an investment yield of 10%. Lettings Monumental Plaza on Kifissias Av, Marousi in 2013 welcomed Leroy Merlin in 1,000m2 and Pharmathen in 4,000m2. Sony Hellas SA moved to 1,500m2 at the Arcania Business Centre on Amarousiou-Chalandriou Str., Marousi. Ernst & Young rented 6,000m2 in the ex Unilever Building on Chimaras Str, Marousi. Kraft Foods relocated to 19/21 Aristotelous str, in Metamorfosi on 4,000m2. Mars Hellas moved to the Intracom complex in Paiania, Lavriou Av. Diolkos Building on Kimis Av, in Kifissia, in 2013 welcomed Unilever in 4,400m2, Leo Pharma in 2,000m2 and BMW in 2,000m2. BBDO relocated to 2,000m2 on Marinou Antipa in Herakleion. Globo Technologies rented 2 floors on Ethinikis Antistaseos, Chalandri of 1,000m2. Vodafone rented ayxiliary space in Lykovrysi in a converted industrial building of 6,000m2 in total. Athens Office Market – New Construction 2014 Anangel Shipping SA is waiting for its new building in Kallithea, Southern Athens of 10,000m2. Diamantidis Shipping are also preparing a second building in Palaio Faliro of around 5,000m2. Attiki Technodomiki will deliver a 2 floor building on 247 Kifissias Av in Kifissia by the end of 2014. Vagenas Construction & Famous Estate SA has started development of a plot of land on Kifissias Av. 345 in Kifissia of a two-floor and a three-floor office block. Agency 1 to 2 months' rent or 8% to 12% of annual rent Lawyer ½ month to 1 month rent on Sale Agency 1% to 2% Lawyer 0.5% Notary Public 1.25% Taxation on Rent VAT 23% of rent (some can be recoverable) or Stamp Duty 3.6% on rent Local Tax via the Electricity bill on Sale Transfer Tax 3% Capital Gains Tax 15% Owner's Incentives Up to 4 month's rent free period Some contribution to fit out work Service Charges € 2 to € 4 per m2 per month for average Grade A, B office space € 5 to € 7 per m2 per month for above average Grade A office space with security Acharnes Petroupoli N Pallini W Chaidari Office Stock Allocation Per Area (Grades A & B) Kifissia Ag. Paraskevi C Keratsini Pikermi Piraeus Athens International Airport Vironas P Paiania S Athens Centre (C) Athens West (W) Koropi Markopoulo Athens North (N) Athens South (S) Piraeus (P) Glyfada Source: NAI Hellas on-site inspections ATHENS OFFICE MARKET Athens Centre (C) Athens West (W) Athens North (N) Athens South (S) Piraeus (P) City Centre National Rd Kifissias Av. Sygrou Av. Akti Miaouli Av. Alexandras Av. Petrou Rali Av. Mesogeion Av. Faliron Akti Tzelepi Av. Patision Av. Iera Odos Av. National Rd Vouliagmenis Av. Akti Kondili Av. Piraeus Av. Thivon Av. Attiki Odos Poseidonos Av. Kononos str. Vas. Sofias Av. Athinon Av. Piraeus Av. Ag. Dionisou str. Ampelokipi Kastoros str. Supply & Demand In the greater Athens area the total Grade A and B office stock is c.1.8 mil m2 mostly concentrated north and in the wider CBD area. The consecutive fall in rental values since the credit crunch in 2008, led to Grade A and Grade B office accommodation in prime locations becoming more affordable. The outcome of this imbalance created an increase in Demand for Grade A quality space in prime locations and an excessive supply of Grade C and Grade D space. Potential tenants that cannot find suitable office space in Grade A buildings are turning to Grade B by upgrading the space to their requirements in return for rent free periods, prolonged escalation period and/or reductions in rent. As such there is little supply of and high demand for Grade A and B offices in the city of Athens, especially in prime locations, while on the other hand there is large supply of and almost zero demand for Grade C and D office space. Vacancy rates of Grade A and B buildings are much lower than the vacancy rates of ageing Grade C and D offices. 500 9% 450 8% 400 7% 350 6% 300 5% 250 4% 200 3% 150 100 2% 50 1% 0 Athens Centre (C) 0% Athens West (W) Grade A (m2) Source: NAI Hellas on-site inspections Athens North (N) Grade A (m2) Athens South (S) Grade A (%) Grade B (%) Piraeus (P) Vacancy Rate (%) Stock (000's m2) Athens Grades A & B Stock, Vacancy Rate ATHENS OFFICE RENTS & YIELDS Q1 2014 Rent (€/m2 /month) Minimum Characteristics of Grade A and B Offices Yield Grade A Grade B Grade A Grade B Athens Centre (C) € 21.00 € 13.00 8.25% 9.50% Athens West (W) € 13.00 € 8.00 11.00% 11.00% Athens North (N) € 16.00 € 11.00 8.25% 9.50% Athens South (S) € 15.00 € 11.00 8.50% 9.50% Piraeus (P) € 13.00 € 10.00 9.00% 10.00% ATHENS OFFICE SELECTIVE LOCATIONS RENTS & YIELDS Q1 2014 Rent (€/m2 /month) Yield Grade A Grade B Grade A Grade B € 21.00 € 13.00 8.25% 9.50% Kifissias Av. € 17.00 € 13.00 8.25% 9.00% Mesogeion Av. € 16.00 € 11.00 8.25% 9.50% Sygrou Av. € 15.00 € 11.00 8.50% 9.50% Vouliagmenis Av. € 13.00 € 10.00 9.00% 10.00% Poseidonos Av. € 16.00 € 11.00 8.50% 9.50% Piraeus Av. € 13.00 € 10.00 9.00% 10.00% Akti Miaouli Av. € 18.00 € 16.00 8.25% 9.00% Athens Centre Grade A Office Space in terms of Age MODERN i.e. new built or recently redeveloped / thoroughly refurbished to adapt to modern standards in terms of specification Column free large floor plates and flexible layout High quality finishes Raised flooring and suspended ceiling of at least 2.7m from raised floor to false ceiling. Double glazing Effective central air-conditioning Good lift service in terms of facilities lobby security parking facilities professional property management Grade A Offices are the most prestigious buildings in an area competing for premier office users and achieve above average rent. Source: NAI Hellas Grade B Office Space in terms of Age Older stock up to 25 years old partly refurbished in terms of specification Average sized floor plates Reasonable quality finishes Screed floors and suspended ceiling Single/double glazing Central or free-standing air-conditioning Adequate lift service in terms of facilities some parking facilities average property management Athens Office Market 2014 Outlook Rents Yields Demand Supply Grade B Offices are buildings competing for a wide range of users in an area and achieve rents in the average range. Grade A Grade B Disclaimer Contacts All data contained in this report has been compiled by NAI Hellas/AVENT S.A. and is published for general information purposes only. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the data and other material contained in this report, NAI Hellas/AVENT S.A. does not accept any liability (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) to any person for any loss or damage suffered as a result of any errors or omissions. The information, opinions and forecasts set out in the report should not be relied upon to replace professional advice on specific matters, and no responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting, or refraining from acting, as a result of any material in this publication can be accepted by NAI Hellas/AVENT S.A. Thomas Ziogas Business Development Manager [email protected] © NAI Hellas/AVENT S.A. June 2014 Eleni Makri Research [email protected] Tim Hughes Agency [email protected]