- TRAP@NCI - National College of Ireland
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- TRAP@NCI - National College of Ireland
Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form National College of Ireland of Electronic Commerce? Stuart Daly - X09 102281 Higher Diploma in Business in E-Business - July 2010 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Declaration: I hereby certify that this material, which I now submit for assessment of the programme of National College of Ireland study leading to the award of a Higher Diploma in Business in e-Business is entirely my own work and has not been taken from the work of others save and to the extent that such work has been citied and acknowledged within the text of my work. Signed: Date: Student Number: X09 102281 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to determine if Mobile Commerce will become the dominant formof Electronic Commerce. First we canexamine some of the factors that are invoked in National College of Ireland Mobile Commerce, such as the technologies, benefits, common uses of mCommerce, popular mobile devices. Then we can look at the areas where mobile commerce is expanding at a rapid rate, firms who .aretaking their mobile presence very seriously and are developing them accordingly, plus some future advances in mobile technology, all of which will have to contribute in order to make it the dominant form of ecommerce in the long term. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Table of Contents: Executive Summary 1.0 Intmductien. 2.0 Literature Review National College of Ireland (i) 3.0 4.0 Preliminary Data Analysis 3.1 Mobile Commerce Advantages and Disadvantages 3.2 Information Based Mobile Commerce 3.3 Location Based Mobile Commerce 3.4 Mobile Commerce Enabling Technologies 3.5 Mobile Commerce Regulations 3.6 Social Networking using Mobile Internet 3.7 Mobile Banking 3.8 Mobile Gaming 3.9 Mobile Marketing 3.10 Mobile Marketing Case Studies: 3.1 1 Popular M o u e Devices: Implementation 9.1 'F (i) Future of the Internet (ii) (iii) The implementation of 4G networks LTE Networks 4.2 Demographics 4.3 Prominent ECommerce Companies are Improving Their Mobile Presence 4.4 Social Shopping 4.5 Growth of Mobile Banking: 4.6 Increased Projections in Mobile Sales 4.7 Ways that Bricks and Mortar Retailers are moving into Mobile Commerce 5.0 Future Work 6.0 References Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? (i) Executive Summary: Recent years have seen a boom in Smartphone sales, and as a result there are far more people accessing the internet through a mobile device. This paper seeks to fmd out, if because of this; Mobile Commerce activity will be increased also a d a m t u a l l y become the dominant form of Electronic Commerce. To determine this, we d l first look at the various factors that National College of Ireland comprise the mobile internet, and in turn mcommerce. We can then see how those factors are evolving and shaping the modem mcommerce world, and how they are driving the future evolution of it. 1.0 Introduction: "Mobile Commerce is the one of two-way exchange of value facilitated by a mobile consumer electronic device (e.g. mobile handset) which is enabled by wireless technologies and communication networks" (Mobile Marketing Association, 2010a) Almost all mobile phones sold today include a colour screen and a way of accessing the internet. These phones are known as Smartphones, and more people are using their fkom a Smartphone is the same internet that is accessed from a desktop computer, when it is accessed h m a mobile device it is known as the Mobile Internet. The Mobile Internet began in 1998, and WAP enabled mobile phones appeared on the market around 2000. The concept was not hugely popular at the time due to issues such as only a limited number of phones having WAP enabled internet browsers, high usage costs, and a limited number of WAP enabled websites. (Connectwirelessweb.com,2008) In February 2007, the Netcraft Web Server Survey found that 108,810,358 distinct websites exist. Millions of companies are represented by a website but only 700 websites are compatible with mobile devices. This would suggest that there was a huge potential market for mobile commerce, which only a relatively small number of businesses were attempting to exploit. In addition, many websites are accessible by internet compatible phones but for text 5 only, which tendered online shopping virtually impossible by a mobile device. This process has improved a great deal over the last couple of years, helped in particular by a boom in Smartphone sales led by Apple's $hone. It is common now for enabling online commerce on a Smartphone, that mobile configured online stores require an-application to be installed on it. More and more businesses that utilise an eCommerce website are seeing the putential benefits National College of Ireland + % --m ---e - Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? to their business in the mcommerce world because mobile devices are user friendly, lightweight, easy to use and easily available to everyone. Mobile 2.0 has been another reason why firms are looking more to MCommerce, as mobile social networking sites provide an invaluable method of interacting directly with consumers. (Troutman, Timpson 2008a) 2.0 Literature Review: Due to the extremely contemporary nature of this subject, my research has been primarily been fiom online sources. The increase in internet access from mobile devices, and as a result, increased activity in mobile commerce has coincided in particular with the release of the Phone. various articles and links to further reading are BNET.com, mcommercesolutions.com, w3.org, m ~ e r c e d a i l y . c o m apple.com, , digitaltrends.com, mmaglobal.com and siliconrepublic.com. I have also sourced information on the topic from scholarly papers such as "Effective Optimization of Web Sites for Mobile Access : The Transition from ecommerce to mCommerce" (Troutman, Timpson) which examines how best to optimise PC based web sites for mobile phone users, as the number of mobile phone users exceeds that of PC users in many countries. This paper reviewed several methods, before introducing a method that the authors had involvement in developing. The advantage of this method was that the same URL can be used for both standard and mobile based web sites, and they layout is optimised for the best fit for the connecting device. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Another paper that I sourced information from was called "Future Trends in Mobile Commerce: Service Offerings, TechnologicalAdvances and Security Challenges" by Ali Grami and Bernadette H. Schell of the Faculty of Business and Information Technology at the University of Ontario. This paper researched the futurepossibilities of mobile commerce National College of Ireland driven by rapid advances in wireless technologies, demand for high-speed access and interactive multimedia services. Their findings found that highly personalised, location sensitive, time critical, pin point information presentation will form the basis upon which mobile commerce services and applications can be built. In order to ensure their future success, enabling technologies are also discussed, and also security issues. 3.0 Preliminary Data Analysis: To determine how Mobile Commerce will become the dominant form of ECommerce, we will first look at some of the technologies and concepts that are involved, such as mobile internet and mobile commerce enabling technologies, and mobile marketing and advertising. Some other relevant issues such as common uses of MComrnerce, security concerns, and popular mobile devices will also be discussed Some of the benefits of Mobile Commerce include the following: Ubiquity - the device can be used almost anywhere and the user can access MCommerce applications in real time. Accessibility - Similar to ubiquity, the end user is accessible at any time. Security - Although this is device specific, mobile devices offer a certain level of inbuilt security. Most mobile phones use SIM cards, which can contain confidential information about the user such as authentication keys. In this sense, the mobile phone can almost be considered a smart card reader with smart card. Localisation - Registered users can be localised by network operators using positioning systems such as GPS or GSM, and offer services that are location dependant such as information about hotels and restaurants, travel information, and other amenities. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Convenience - The size and weight of mobile devices and their ubiquity makes them an ideal tool for performing personal tasks online, such as social networking or banking. Personalisation - As mobile devices are not generaly shared between users, it makes National College of Ireland it possible to personalize the settings on the device to suit the user's needs and preferences, for example ringtones. Alternatively, mobile operators can offer personalized services to customers depending on their own specified characteristics such as perhaps concert venue tickets or events in the customer's location. Some of the disadvantages of mobile commerce include the following: Limited capabilities - Mobile devices offer limited capabilities, such as a small display. Capabilities can vary a great deal between different models, and end user services may need to be customised accordingly. Standardisation - The differences in the wide range of mobile devices, mobile operating systems, and network technologies has proven something of a challenge for providing a uniform end user platform. Security - Due to their size, mobile devices are prone to theft and destmtion relatively easily. As they contain highly personal and confidential user information m e y - a Eavesdropping - Communicating between the mobile device and network over the air can be a security risk, in the form of eavesdropping. (Skul, 2008) 3.2 Information Based Mobile Commerce: Mobile devices such as PDAs and Blackberries can be used to connect to central systems to query and update data remotely. To assist this, many of the latest mobile devices have touchscreens, scroll wheels and even small fold out keyboards, which are more user friendly for such purposes than the alpha numeric keyboard traditionally found on mobile phones. Some examples of data exchange include: Sales people who are based on the road who need real time stock updates and availability. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Job sheets for maintenance engineers who are travelling between customer sites that can be displayed on their PDA or mobile phone and updated in real time and regularly. Alert messaging, for exarnplehm an IntemetService Provider to a client to notify them of network outages. National College of Ireland The above scenarios depend on some key features of mobile commerce, such as the ability to receive and transmit text based messages, and security features that ensure the message is not intercepted and the origin of the message verified. (Businesslinkgov.uk, 2010a) 3 3 Location Based Mobile Commerce: Mobile phone networks operate through a network of local transmitter masts. Every time a mobile device sends or receives a message, it sends it through its nearest transmitter. The locations of the transmitters are known to the network operators, and because of that it is possible to determine with reasonable accuracy the location of a mobile device. The greater the density of transmitters, the more precise the location can be pinpointed. For example in a large city a location can be pinpointed to within 500 metres, but in a rural are with less transmitters the location area could only be narrowed down to several kilometres. Determining a mobile device's location provides a commercial opportunity, in that the user could ask a service provider to suggest hotels, restaurants, car parks, tourist attractions near their current location. The service provider can find the relevant information, and send it back to the customer in the form of a message, web link, or even a map. Mobile devices increasingly include a global positioning system (GPS) capability which allows more service providers to locate devices with more efficiency and accuracy, and are in turn able to offer improved location based services. Businesses are also utilising Bluetooth technology to distribute messages to Bluetooth enabled devices. A Bluetooth server can detect devices within a 10 to 100 metre range, and send out messages to potential customers in the vicinity to not@ them of special offers, or even send out discount coupons, menus, free admission passes etc. (Business1ink.g0v.uk, 20 lob) 9 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? 3.4 Mobile Commerce Enabling Technologies: WAP (Wireless Application Protocols): National College of Ireland WAP is an industry initiated world standard, and has emerged as a common communications technology for presenting and delivering wireless communications on wireless devices. WAP takes content that is designed for the PCIMAC world, and makes it presentable in the mobile world. This can require removing some content and fimctionality, in order to make the site fit the mobile browser. A drawback is that it will remove anything that is not mobile compatible, which can destroy the usability, intended flow, and brand of the site. WAP features a micro-browser, access functions, and layered communications specifications for sessions, transport and security. The WAP Gateway is used to translate the WAP Protocols into the TCPmP which is the primary internet protocol. Future trends in handheld devices would indicate that manufacturers will continue to use the WAP protocol. 3G: 3G or 'Third Generation' technology is currently the most predominant standard in mobile communications. 3G features increased bandwidth and transfer rates to generation one and 4 3 . .e e . . J e W ~- - 3G networks have potential speeds of up to 3Mbps, which would enable a 3 minute song to be downloaded in 15 seconds. The high data rates that 3G allows are ideal for downloading information, and sending and receiving large multimedia files. 3G phones are almost like mini laptops, and have the ability to accommodate applications that would use broadband on a desktop computer such as video conferencing, streaming video, sending and receiving faxes and instantaneous downloading of email messages with large attachments. (I3usinesslink.g0v.uk, 2010c) 4G: 4G is the 4&Generation of broadband mobile communications. It is not quite fully developed but is expected to use radio frequency more effectively and in ttlm provide end user with higher transmission speeds that will support high quality video streaming. When fully implemented, 4G is expected to enable pervasive computing. In other words, simultaneous - - - - Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? connections to multiple high speed networks will interchange seamlessly throughout a geographic area. Radio Frequency Identification WID): WID is a generic term for technologies that use radio waves to automatically identify individual items or some of their attributes. RFID has several advantages over barcodes, such National College of Ireland as not being required to be line of sight as long as a reader as an RFID tag is within range; the ability to read a number of RFID tags simultaneously, and every unique item can have its own RFID tag. The consumer will use RFID readers in their mobile phone to scan WID tags, perhaps in the packaging of products on store shelves, or to pay tolls and access fees, to purchase at vending machines and point of sales. With RFID the scanner can read the encoded information even when the tag is concealed, such as embedded in a products packaging. (SearchMobileComputing.com, 2006) Location Determination: Network based positioning is carried out by terrestrial systems through various techniques, such as cell of origin, time of arrival, angle of arrival. This device based positioning is carried out by satellite, or GPS to be more precise. -- - - - Software Defined Radio (SDR): This enables r e ~ o ~ g u r a bsystem le architectures for wireless networks and mobile devices. As mobile users move from different networks, design and compatibility problems may occur with compatibility issues and design problems. SDR will be required in order to provide users with mobile commerce services under a large number of different networks. This will work by the received analogue signal being processed by a reprogrammable baseband digital signal processor in accordance with the wireless environment, but this adds complexity with analogue radio interfaces with multiple antennas being required. SDR can provide a single piece of hardware that is at once compatible globally. Adaptive Modulation and Coding (AMC): AMC is a method of reducing wireless channel degradation and enhancing performance. It works by adjusting the bandwidth, signal power, modulation technique in accordance with instantaneous changes in the channel conditions and quality. 11 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Digital Signal Compression: Also known as source coding, this reduces the bit rate requirements or bandwidth demands. Data in the form of texts, s o h a r e and faxes are compressed using lossless compression, while alternatively video, audio and image files use lossy compression. With advances in compression, a wider variety of feature heavy National College of Ireland MCommerceapplications and possible lower service costs can be provided. Biornetrics: Biometrics is a method of authentication which could provide an essential security feature for mobile commerce. It involves authenticating by using something that the user "is", such as a finger or palm print, iris and retina pattern or even facial recognition. (Grami, Schell, 20 10) The .mobi approach: Using a .mobi extension on a website is an option to guide potential consumers to a URL that allows a site to be viewed as it would appear in WAP format. Many retailers have not purchased their .mobi domain name which causes concern that another company or individual could purchase the name for their own benefit. (Troutman, Timpson 2008b) - - IPv6: The increased volume of mobile internet users has meant a large increase in the number of IP address leases, which has led to a shortage of IP addresses. IP version 6 is seen as the solution to this. IP version 6 uses a 128 bit address as opposed to the version it should replace, IP4, which only uses a 32 bit address. IP6 should ensure that there will always be sufficient addresses for all mobile devices and tags. It is anticipated that 4G systems will work with IP6, as 3G systems did Data Encryption: Security is a major issue in all aspects of internet transactions; data encryption is perhaps the best way ofhandhg this. The aim should be to provide a straightforward and inexpensive method of encryption, that protects authorised users and is difficult enough to be a deterrent to potential hackers. Without effective encryption, mobile commerce will never fully realise its potential. 12 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? (Grami, Schell, 2010b) 3.5 Mobile Commerce Regulations: There are rules and regulations to consider in the area of MCommerce, especially for vendors who wish to offer services for miero-payments. Micro-paymenhare similar to cash payments and a M e w o r k has been drawn up for their use in Europe called The EU E-Money National College of Ireland Directive. While this directive provides a framework for Europe, its implementation is different from country to country. Licences may be required to implement a new mobile commerce idea. There are also comprehensive regulations to combat money laundering. Large amounts of money can be laundered in small amounts if spread quickly over a large number of electronic transactions. (Business1ink.g0v.uk, 20 10d) Common Uses of Mobile Commerce: 3.6 Social Networking using Mobile Internet: The popularity of social networking sites such as Facebook, Twitter, and Bebo is a fast growing trend on both ihe PC bases internet and the mobile web. Social networking by its very nature is a suited to the world of the mobile internet, as mobile devices are at the centre of how people communicate with each other whether by phone, text, or email. Added to these - methods, using Smartphones to access social networking sites is a M e r step. A survey taken in March 2010 by ComScore Inc, who is a leader in measuring the digital world, found that 30.8% of Smartphone users accessed social networking sites via their mobile browser in January 2010. This represented an increase of 8.3% from January 2009. In particular, access to Facebook via mobile browser grew 112% during this period, while access to Twitter grew 347%. Interestingly, Facebook's mobile browser audience surpassed MySpace in February 2009, three months earlier than the Facebook audience exceeded that of MySpace on the PC based internet in May 2009. These figures also do not take into account users who access social networking sites exclusively through mobile applications, which is estimated to be 6 million mobile phone users. (ComScore, 2010) 3.7 Mobile Banking: 13 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Mobile banking involves the use of mobile devices to perform banking transactions and avail of financial services. The last time that banking undertook a serious technological progression was the introduction of internet banking. Internet banking allowed customersaecess to their accounts online my time. They could check their account details, get statements, perform transactions like paying National College of Ireland bills, all from their PC. The major advantage of internet banking for customers was that they were no longer restricted to the opening hours of the bank. The limitation of internet banking is that it requires a PC and internet access, which in the developed world isn't an obstacle to most people. Mobile banking addresses this limitation, as it reduces the customer requirement to just a mobile phone. The advantage that mobile banking has over standard internet banking, is that it is almost literally 'anywhere banking'. Customers no longer need to be in front of a PC to access their accounts; they can do so while they are on the move from their mobile device. The advantages to the banks themselves are that it drastically cuts down on the costs of providing services to customer, as an electronic transaction is far cheaper than the average phone or teller transaction. The mobile channel also gives the bank the ability to offer other banking services such as loans, and credit cards etc to customers who aren't currently availing of such services. At the start of the 21'' century, slow internet connections and underperforming terminal over the last few years, and current mobile technologies provide banks with a transaction and communication channel that brings real value to their customers. There are differences globally in how mobile banking operates. The three main services of mobile banking are electronic account management, mobile brokerage, and financial information and alerts. The most prominent of these services will differ from country to country, and depend on three factors: the banking system in the country, the acceptance of mobile devices for the use of financial transactions, and lastly the cooperation between mobile network operators and banks. Mobile banking is generally deployed to mobile devices in the form of mobile applications that use IVR (Interactive Voice Response), SMS (Short Message Service), and WAP (Wireless Application hotocol). IVR operates through pre-specified numbers that banks advertise to their customers, who can then make a call to the IVR number to be greeted by a stored message and a menu of options. They can then select the option they require by keying in the corresponding number on their keypad. A limitation of IVR is that it can only be used 14 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? for enquiry based services, such as checking balance, and is more expensive than other services as it involves making a call which tends to be more expensive than sending a text message or accessing a WAP site. The SMS method of mobile banking uses text messaging. This works by the customer requesting information by sending a text message to a pre defined number, containing a National College of Ireland service command. The bank responds with a text message containing the specific information. One particular reason why text based internet banking hasn't become hugely popular is down to security concerns, and because services provided via SMS are limited to enquiry based services. WAP uses a similar concept to standard internet banking, in that banks maintain WAP based websites which customers access from their mobile device. WAP based sites will have a similar offering of services to the main internet banking site, and can also implement security quite effectively. Standalone mobile applications are perhaps the most suited to complex banking transactions. They can be tailored to suit the particular device, and enable the implementation of a secure and reliable channel of communication. Mobile devices must be downloaded onto the client device before they can be used, but a disadvantage is that they must be customized to the particular model of mobile device. Mobile applications however an implement a very secure (TutorialReports.com, 2007) 3.8 Mobile Gaming: Mobile gaming describes the playing of video games on a mobile phone, Smartphone, PDA, handheld computer or a portable media player. Mobile Gaming does not describe the playing of video games on portable games consoles such as Nintendo DS or Playstation Portable. Mobile games are played using the technology that is on the device, but there are various common technologies in use particularly in the use of networked games. The first game that was pre installed on a mobile phone was called Snake, and it featured on Nokia models in around 1997.The variants of Snake have since become the most played video game worldwide, with over a billion people having played it. Some of the technologies in use for networked mobile gaming are text message (SMS), multimedia message (MMS) or GPRS location identification. Some games are preloaded on 15 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? the handset when they are manufactured, and others can be downloaded over the air or from the mobile operator's mobile web site. As camera phones began to become popular with the public, it accelerated the growth in mobile gaming due to camera phones having greater storage and graphics capabilities than National College of Ireland their black and white, camera free predecessors. This allowed higher quality games to be created, and also meant that companies could profit from these games. Nokia tried to create its own mobile gaming platform in 2003 called 'N-Gage' but this was not a huge success. Hardware issues were encountered, support was poor, and users did not find the device a pleasant experience. Today, with the onset and huge global popularity of Smartphones, mobile gaming is a far better experience. Graphics are about the same as on a 4h or 5m generation gaming console which is impressive considering the game is being played on a mobile phone. (Mobilegamesblog.com, 20 10) 3.9 Mobile Marketing: Mobile marketing is a basically a form of advertising that is communicated to the consumer through a mobile handset, although there is no exact, commonly accepted definition of mobile marketing. The Mobile Marketing Association defines it as 'a set of practices that enable organisations to communicate and engage with their audience in an interactive and relevant manner through any mobile device or network.' This type of advertising is most commonly seen in the form of mobile web banners that appear when a requested mobile website is loading. Other methods that are used for mobile marketing include SMS and MMS ads, mobile gaming ads, and mobile video ads. Mobile marketing provides businesses with a fast and cost efficient tool for interacting with their target audience in new ways. Companies can engage with their customers through direct subscription based ad campaigns and the results are almost immediate. Mobile marketing is easy to set up and manage, even without anytechnical knowledge and provides a casual and interactive platform for communication between businesses and consumerg. Some of the features and benefits of mobile marketing include the following: Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? The ability to create effective and relatively cheap promotion campaigns at short notice. The ability to reach a wider audience in a growing market segment, and the opportunity to increase market share at little additional cost or effort. National College of Ireland The personalised nature of messaging can allow a firm to build better and longer lasting relationships with customers. The potential to entice new customers while retaining existing ones. Building brand awareness while penetrating the mobile phone market without having to spend large amounts on ad campaigns. Being able to reach out to customers who are on the move, and creating effective two way communications with them. New, innovative forms of advertising and promotion can be easily introduced relatively cheaply. Delivery of messages is fast and controllable. Promotional efforts can be launched quickly, in as little as 24 hours. Response times from targeted customers are also very quick Mobile marketing provides a means to set up profile groups, and then target those specific groups. d Message deliveries and their responses can be tracked. Mobile marketing can be easily integrated with a firm's existing marketing strategies. Mobile marketing can also be easily integrated with other media, for example SMS promotions can be combined with radio, internet, billboard and television ads. Immediate delivery is possible in the case of any urgent announcements. Customers can subscribe to the type of messages which they wish to receive, and unsubscribe from messages which they do not wish to receive. Allowing consumers this level of control can make them more receptive to the concept. Messages can be stored easily, and also forwarded easily which boosts viral promotion. Mobile advertising has the potential to become a social media between brands, consumers and their respective tribes, but needs to consider the following factors: Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Respect of Privacy: Although users require and will seek information, they do not want to feel invaded by ads. By being relevant and personalised, mobile ads will be as much as possible desirable information. User Experience: The respect of the users' privacy is of the utmost importance, and National College of Ireland undesired messages can be considered intrusive. Consequently it is important that ads are only delivered when the user is requesting them. Advertisers need to tailor their approach for the mobile medium, and adopt a customised and one to one marketing strategy instead of a mass communication strategy. A one to one strategy can allow for interactive communication with the customer, and get feedback of their experiences. Prime Time: Advertising needs to be delivered at the right time within the right context in order to catch the intended audience. Mobile devices enable an interactive dialogue that allows the user to be more flexible with their availability, unlike more traditional media such as TV.Mobile devices allow users to receive ads at almost any time they are awake, from early morning to late evening which allows far more prime times to be exploited. Local Ubiquity: Mobileadvertising needs to work closely with location based services to be successful. Ads coming from businesses that customers regularly f r e s - v - Tribe: Advertisers have attempted to take advantage of the idea that users' friends are their favourite advertisers. Enabling a social ad exchange is a key success factor in mobile advertising. When users share with a community of family, friends, and colleagues, they are in a trusted environment and they will accept and take care about the shared information. (Cevaer, 2010) 3.10 Mobile Marketing Case Studies: Case Study 1 - Volkswagen: Volkswagen AG is a major manufacturer of motor vehicles, with productions sites worldwide. They recognised the potential of advertising on mobile devices, and engaged with their advertising partners Beyond Advertising and AdMob to raise awareness of the new VW Golf. The idea of the campaign was to attract users to VW's mobile site, where they could 18 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? download a video, screensaver, or other information about the new Golf. This campaign was focused specifically to customers in Germany, who Vokswagen considered to be a technically literate audience, across a range of premium mobile sites and applications. The campaign focused specifically on the network's Blackberry and shone users, who were then able to connect directly to the V W mobile site. Both VW and Beyond Advertising were very National College of Ireland pleased with the results of the campaign, which achieved the goal of engaging with a selection of technically well informed users and raising their awareness of the new VW Golf via the mobile site. There were more than 25,000 visits to the mobile site, and click through rates of 1.7%. V W were very pleased with the brand visibility achieved by this, and found advertising to mobile devices a cost effective and high performance solution. (Mobile Marketing Association, 2010b) Case Study 2 - Adidas Originals: The large sportswear company Adidas decided to pursue a mobile marketing strategy to promote awareness of their Adidas Originals brand, and drive traffic to their mobile site. In association with the advertising agency Isobar, and AdMob, they developed a campaign that was directed at an audience of so called young urban influencers, to develop the brand associations of originality and self expression with the Adidas Superstars brand. AdMob other selected users that were taken from downloads and communities channels across sites in their network. The graphical banner ads and text link ads drove traffic to the Adidas Originals mobile website, where they were able to select their favourite type of music and listen to samples from up and coming artists in each genre. They were then able to download ringtones from the musicians they liked best, view videos of their performances, opt to receive more ringtones in the future, send their fiiends ringtones, and even enter their post code to find the nearest retailer that they could purchase Adidas Superstars. The results of this campaign were that over 290,000 people visited the Adidas Originals mobile site, with more than 2.9 page views per visitor; More than 100,000 ringtones were downloaded. The campaign also took on a viral aspect, with more than 10,000 visitors sending site content to friends. (Mobile Marketing Association, 2010c) 3.11 Mobile 2.0: Web 2.0 is a standard that is associated with web applications that promote the interaction of users* websites, for information sharing, interoperakdity, user centred design and collaboration. Users have the ability to collaborate with each other and contribute to the content of the site in a virtual community, as opposed to earlier standards such as Web 1.0 National College of Ireland % k- Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? where users were limited to viewing content only. Mobile 2.0 is about combining Web 2.0 with the mobile device. Bringing Web 2.0 to mobile devices is about more than simply viewing Web 2.0 sites on mobile web browsers. To do that all that is required is a mobile browser that is capable of handling the various technologies that are involved in Web 2.0, such as kTAX and Flash. Instead, Mobile 2.0 is a combination of the two technologies, which exploits the advantages of mobile devices. Mobile devices are different to desktop computers, and Mobile 2.0 websites recognizing this difference is key to taking advantage of the strengths of mobile devices. The most obvious difference is that mobile devices have smaller screens, and that users have a different way of have keypads, mini keyboards and touch screens. Mobile devices tend to always be on and always be with us. Mobile 2.0 can take advantage of this by sending important updates to our phones by SMS instead of ernail to our computers. Mobile 2.0 is the recognition that a mobile device is not a personal computer and should not be treated like one, and is about leveraging social media with the advantages that come with Smartphones such as cameras and GPS. (Nations, 2010) 3.12 Security Concerns: Mobile Conunerce is not possible without a secure environment to operate in, in particular for online purchasing and other monetary transactions. Some of the main security challenges include: Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? The Mobile Device: The mobile device can contain confidential and highly sensitive personal information which needs to be protected from unauthorised access. The types of security that can be used in these instances include PIN authentication, secure storage, and operating systemsecurity. The Radio Interface: When accessing a telecommunications network, transmitted data National College of Ireland needs to be protected in terms of confidentiality, integrity and authenticity. Also, the user's personal data needs to be protected from eavesdropping. Different mobile network technologies offer different security mechanisms. Network Operator Inhstructure: Security mechanisms for the user often only offer protection in the access network, which raises concerns about the security of data when it is beyond that. Charges: Customers will be billed for their mobile internet services, and will need to be assured about correct charging and billing. Security of mobile applications: The types of mobile commerce applications that involve payment need to be secure, and also need to have the full confidence of the consumer, online vendor, and network operators. Both the buyer and the seller in a transaction will want to authenticate each other before proceeding with a payment, similarly to how they would in the PC internet world. Consumers will also want (Schwiderski-Grosche, Knospe, 2010) 3.13 Popular Mobile Devices: iPhone and Pod Touch: The Phone is a range of multimedia enabled Smartphones that are developed by Apple. They were first introduced in 2007, and function as a camera phone, a portable media player, and have email, internet and Wi-Fi capabilities. Third party applications can be downloaded from Apple's App Store, which now has over 200,000 applications, all of which must be approved by Apple. Interaction with the device is through a multi-touch screen, which includes a virtual keyboard,and they run an operating system called iOS which is a variant of Mac OS X. Internet connectivity is available through 3G, or can also be done by connecting to a nearby Wi-Fi network. Connection to a desktop PC through a USB cable is necessary for synchronizationwith an iTunes Library. The iPad Touch operates in a very similar way to the 21 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Phone, in that it is based on the same hardware platform and also runs iOS, but it does not contain some shone features such as voice services, access to cellular networks and a built in camera. (Apple.com, 20 10a) National College of Ireland iPad: The iPad is a tablet computer that is designed and developed by Apple. It is almost a larger version of the iPhone, although without voice functionality, as it runs the same operating system. It can also run the same applications that were developed for the shone in addition to its own specifically designed applications, and is marketed as a device for the use of audio and visual media, such as music, video, e-books, and games, in addition to accessing web content. The iPad is controlled by a multi touch sensitive display, which is different from previous tablet computers that tended to use a stylus. Wi-Fi or 3G is used to connect o the internet, and a USB cable is required to sync with a desktop computer by which the device can be managed. Reviews of the iPad were generally favourable, but there were criticisms for the price, the cost of 3G access, and the limitations of only being able to install applications what were approved by Apple. (Apple.com, 20 lob) Blackberry: The Blackberry is a Smartphone and mobile email device that is designed by a Canadian company called Research In Motion. The Blackberry has the capability for many standard Smartphone applications but is known mainly for its functionality as a mobile email device, and has the ability to send and receive internet email wherever it can connect to a mobile phone network and this is where the Blackberry initially gained popularity. Early Blackberry models came with a monochrome screen, but later models have colour displays. Interaction with the device is through the use of a built in QWERTY keyboard, and a trackball. The Blackberry uses an operating system called Blackberry OS, which allows wireless synchronization with corporate email solutions such as Microsoft Exchange and Lotus Notes Domino when used in conjunction with Blackberry Enterprise Sewer. (Blackberry.com, 20 10) 22 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? XDA: The XDA is a type PDA, (Personal Digital Assistant), which is branded by the mobile network provider 02. The XDA uses the Windows Mobile Operating System, and provides both voice functions and the standard PDA functions. Navigation is by the use of a stylus, National College of Ireland which enters commands by tapping it on the screen. XDAs are more popular for business use rather than recreational and personal use such as the ZhoneIiPad. Incidentally Windows Mobile's share of the Smartphone market had decreased steadily in recent years, and is now the third most popular choice of Smartphone for business use. (my-xda.com, 2010) Amazon Kindle: The Kindle is a device developed by Amazon.com for the purpose of downloading and reading e-books and other digital media such as RSS feeds and online newspaper subscriptions. The Kindle is used without a connection to a desktop computer, and content can be downloaded directly from the internet. It is also possible to copy content in pdf from a desktop computer via a USB key, or by emailing it to a registered email address provided by Amazon. At the time the Kindle was launched, there were over 90,000 books available for download. Amazon also introduced an application that allows Kindle books to be read on an Zhone or iPod Touch. Sales of the Kindle have so far exceeded the expectations of analysts, despite the enormous competition that it has from alternative devices. (amazon.com, 20 10) 4.0 Implementation MCommerce could be a natural evolution of ECommerce into a digital and mobile world. What will make MCommerce dominant is the 18-34 demographic, the evolution of high speed mobile internet and cheaper access to it. The 18-34 age group has grown up with the evolution of modem technology, the younger end of that demographic will barely even remember the world before the internet. They are more comfortable with evolving technology such as Smartphones, mobile internet, and using their Smartphones for online business. Businesses also recognise the fact that the 18 to 34 age group are the most likely to set trends, and market a large number of their products towards them. 23 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? A study of US Smartphone users by ComScore has found that social networking leads as the top gaining category for both application and browser access on mobile devices. In April 2010,69.6 million users accessed an application on their mobile phone which represented an increase of 28%from the previous year. Several application categories in particular National College of Ireland experienced triple digit growth over this same time period, which shows the increasing popularity of this method of accessing mobile content. Mobile banking applications also more than doubles their audience, growing to almost five million users. Almost 73 million users used their mobile internet browser in April, which was an increase of 3 1% from the previous year. Social networking was the fastest growing category that was accessed using this method, which grew 90%from the previous year to reach almost 30 million users. Users that accessed their bank accounts through their mobile browsers were up 69%to 13.2 million users. Mobile commerce can certainly become the dominant form of ECommerce in the future for the likes of social networking and online banking. Many businesses are recognizing the potential of mobile commerce and are investing a lot into their mobile websites. It remains to be seen whether consumers embrace the concept of browsing online stores from a mobile device more regularly than from a desktop PC, when they are used to the comforts of a larger screen. For this to gain more market share, and even become dominant it could be approached in a slightly different way. Stores can utilize location based mobile commerce to attract more mobile customers, by allowing customers to connect to their mobile site when in the vicinity of the shop and view items that are in stock specifically in that store, and then perhaps even purchase online and only enter the physical store so that they can collect their purchases. Retailers can use social networking sites as another way they can interact with their customers using their mobile devices. (Kennedy, 2010) 4.1 Technological Advances: Mobile phones today have become a single device that is for both communication and computing. In the future, these devices will have numerous functionalities which will be to provide for communication, education, entertainment, information and conducting 24 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? transactions. The more features that are incorporated into handheld devices will mean changes to the design of the device. Devices will become larger, heavier, with increased weight, power and RAM. This will result in a design trade off between the device's physical dimensions and its capabilities. Devices with low power requirements will be small, low cost, light-weight, and will be able National College of Ireland to be attached to desktop and laptop computers and their peripherals. They will come equipped with high resolution colour screens that will present pin point information, and minimise the burden on the user's attention. They will also have features such as simple icon menus and touch pads. In addition to voice and SMS services, these devices will function as alarms, clocks, calculators, calendars, timers, radios, TVs, MP3 players. They will have always on, access to the internet as well as to other networks and other wireless devices. While connected, they will function as virtual keys, secure ID cards, digital cash, tag readers, remote control devices, pagers, and be able to get e-books, e-newspapers and e-mails. Although the use of data, in particular multimedia, continues to accelerate, voice remains the primary form of communications. Talking or listening provides hands and eye free operations and is also several times faster than typing or reading text messages. However, conveying the same information by typed text requires less bandwidth than spoken words, which is why SMS messaging is so popular. As voice, video, keypad and pen can all be used as a method to input, and text, video and audio can represent output formats, a number of I/O enabling technologies could possibly be incorporated into mobile devices. These could include speech recognition software to convert spoken words to written texts, speech synthesis software to convert emails to intelligible speech, voice activation software that brings voice control to navigating websites, and perhaps also optical character recognition, which converts handwritten text to a typed format. The device will need the ability to communicate with anyone, anytime, and anywhere. This will be facilitated by global mobility, international roaming and seamless connection to other networks. For this, the devices will need to be multi-band and multi-functional. (Grami, Schell, 20 10c) (i) Future of the Internet: A survey on the future of the internet performed in 2008 by the Pew Internet and American Life Project of 578 internet leaders, activists and analysts had some very interesting fmdings relevant to the future of MCommerce. 25 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Key findings in summary: By 2020, the mobile phone is expected to become the primary device of internet access (77% agreed) Major technological advances will mean an improvement in voice recognition and National College of Ireland touch user interfaces (64%) The structure of the internet itself will be improved by next generation research (78% agreed) It is expected also that the divisions between personal time and work time, and physical and virtual reality will be blurred further (56% agreed) (PewInternet.org, (2010) (ii) The implementation of 4G networks. 3G systems which are the current standard need smaller cells which results in more base stations and higher system costs, the higher costs a result of their flash memory, RAM, and frequency and baseband chips. 2G and 1G systems will continue to exist because it is not very economical to deploy 3G in large rural areas. 4G systems will aim to seamlessly integrate all wireless mobile networks, and will be the platform for all mobile systems. This is a different direction to the one taken by 3G systems, which focused on developing new systems and hardware. 4G will be all IP based multimedia services in various, non-identical networks that will allow users to use any system at any time, anywhere. This provides a new challenge to the mobile industry, in which the fragmentation of the market should be minimised and enable seamless interoperability. 4G devices will need to be multi-band, multi-functional and be able to handle various types of content The primary 4G systems objectives over 3G systems objectives include higher transmission rate, larger capacity, ubiquitous single device, increased coverage, single billing, highquality of service, and lower system costs will mean that 4G will play a major rolein the next generation of mobile commerce. (Grami, Schell, 20 1Od) (iii) LTE Networks: 26 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Wireless internet up to 100 times faster than DSL should be available in Germany by the end of 2010. A bidding process is now underway in Mainz for an airwave frequency of 800 MHz that has long been coveted for its long range of 30 kilometres. Such frequencies are suitable for a new generation of wireless data transfer, which is expected to bring multimedia content National College of Ireland to mobile devices at rates of up to 100 times faster than standard DSL internet. These frequencies have come about as part of the so called 'Digital Dividend' which came about as German TV channels switched to a digital format over the last few years. A new technological standard called 'Long Term Evolution' (LTE) is available and this is expected to revolutionise the mobile internet. The high speeds that LTE networks provide could greatly enhance the areas of mobile gaming and video downloads. Video streaming will be delivered to mobile devices in high definition, in effect the internet experience from home PCs will be replicated to mobile devices. LTE networks are designed specifically for data transfer, which speeds it up a great deal. It has a much quicker reaction time, and LTE phone conversations are transferred in the form of digital data packets. LTE also supports 'self organizing networks', which is when a new base station automatically connects to the network after set up. This w ill make it easier for wireless service providers to expand their networks. The number of mobile users has expanded rapidly in the last number of years, and this new technology is needed to supply a growing demand for mobile data. According to Erich Zielinski of Alcatel-Lucent, whose company have a live test network in Stuttgart, the public will not have to wait long for LTE compatible devices to become available on the market. Zielenski says that the development of the network inhstructure and the end user devices goes hand in hand, and that his firm have set up their LTE development programme in such a way that they are ready to begin rollout of LTE compatible mobile devices once the auction process for the new frequencies has concluded. In Diisseldorf, the public broadcaster W D R collaborated with Vodafone in a project to test LTE signal strength in areas affected by heavy wireless traffic. W D R believe that LTE is a technical advancement that is necessary to keep up with the ever changing pattern of media 27 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? consumption. According to Ruediger Malfeld of WDR, it is certain that many of the uses of Smartphones will become more intensely used forms of media distribution, such as watching streaming daily news or watching videos on Youtube. Other areas that are expected to benefit from LTE are the mobile gaming industry, and wireless advertising, because of LTE's quick reaction times and fast transfer rates. National College of Ireland (Dw-world.de, 20 10) 4.2 Demographics A survey done by the Mobile Marketing Agency has shown that the age 18-34 age group is driving mobile commerce. The report centred on the results on the latest UK, French, and German Mobile Consumer briefings for mobile commerce. It was found that the UK has the highest number of consumers that are participating in mobile commerce, followed by 13% of Germans and 9% of French. The heaviest users of mobile commerce are the 18-34 age group, with 29% of British consumers in this age group making transactions during the surveyed time period, and also 21% of Germans and 15% of French making transactions also. The respondents to the survey used their mobile devices to purchase mobile content, goods and services, in addition to other mobile content. The consensus was that transactions were quick and easy. The consumers that were surveyed across all age groups showed a keen interest in performing mobile transactions in the future, which demonstrated that there will be clear market opportunities for mobile commerce as a convenient method for consumers of making transactions. However only half of respondents felt that their transactions were secure and trustworthy, which could perhaps be alleviated by educating existing and potential consumers about the security of mobile payments and address concerns. The key findings of the survey were: The most common form of mobile commerce is the purchase of content for mobile phones such as ringtones and applications. Purchases were not entirely restricted to mobile content. The mobile internet was the most commonly used medium for mobile commerce overall, accounting for around half of transactions. The most popular way for consumers to pay for mobile content was to be billed by their service provider. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Digital payments facilities such as Paypal appear to be growing in popularity, particularly when the transaction did not involve mobile content. The respondents based in the UK showed more interest in using mobile commerce in the W e , than those respondents inGermany or France. The respondents in all three countries said that they were most likely to make mobile National College of Ireland commerce transactions to use discounts, coupons of loyalty points over the next year. According to Dr Peter Johnson of Market Intelligence for the Mobile Marketing Agency, mobile commerce is beginning to change the retail landscape. The rapid increase in the use of Smartphones and the use of app stores has provided a platform for mobile commerce to develop, and this development will continue to accelerate over the coming years as consumers see the benefits and convenience of mobile commerce and become more comfortable and confident in the security of the transaction. Dr Johnson also said that he believes it is possible that mobile commerce will become the dominant form of transactions. The research shows that not only is there is a huge potential market for the expansion of mobile transactions, which is not only limited to mobile and internet transactions but also to transactions that a consumer might traditionally conduct in person. (MhMGlobal.com, 20 10) 4.3 Prominent ECommerce Companies are Improving Their Mobile Presence: Certain firms are also actively putting a lot of resources into their mobile presences. Amazon and EBay are two such firms who are experienced large sales from mobile devices. It is interesting to note that both Amazon and Ebay are pure internet only operations, neither operate physical stores or any "Clicks and Mortar" type operation so can't benefit from location based mobile commerce in the same way that such types of organizations can. Amazon have seen sold more than $1 billion worth of products globally in the twelve month period up to July 2010, from orders made from mobile devices which also include the Kindle e-book reader. In the future Amazon also see mobile sales genemted by tablet computers as becoming a credible generator of revenue. EBay have already projected mobile generated sales as being between $1.5 billion and $2 billion for 2010. In 2009 they generated $600 million from mobile commerce, with 75% of that came fiom iPhones. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? Amazon has an advantage in the mobile shopping field, as they have patented a technology called "One-Click Shopping" which is ideal for mobile devices. This system works exactly as it sounds, with one click to c o n f i i an order and complete a transaction after logging into the site. Someweb browsers will cache a username and password also so loggingin may not even be necessary on each visit. It has been indicated that shoppers don't like to scroll or National College of Ireland click too many times on a Smartphone, with the obvious reason being because of the smaller screen. Amazon has strived over the years on their main ECommerce site to provide frictionless shopping, and they are trying to replicate that on their mobile site. Amazon also believe that that mobile shoppers do not have the time or the inclination to thumb through a large number of pages on mobile sites or applications, that mobile shoppers will visit their site with an idea formed of what they are looking for. That is why the search page is prominent on the Amazon mobile site. Browsing has become to an extent, synonymous with searching. Another interesting pattern has developed on Amazon's mobile site, that consumers are placing orders at all times of the day. This factor alone will be crucial in influencing the future growth of mobile commerce, and the attitude that retailers take to their mobile sites. If any time mobile shopping becomes entrenched behaviour among consumers, then traditional bricks and mortar retailers along with established clicks and mortar operations will feel threatened People carrying mobile devices will be potential customers at any time of the day or week, no matter what activity they are engaged in. Rush hour commuting times, which traditionally a quiet time for traditional ECommerce sites and physical stores, could become a peak time for mobile shopping, as consumers pass the time while travelling or waiting for buses or trains. Retailers will not want to lose revenue from such a potentially lucrative market and will develop their market their mobile internet presence accordingly. Amazon has also integrated its mobile ordering process with its existing ECommerce operation, in that it has integrated it with the existing order management, warehousing, fulfilment and shipping operations. A final reason why Amazon has such a successful mobile commerce operation is because price often is more important to consumers than brand loyalty, and Amazon has always offered prices that few of its competitors could equal. When a low pricing structure is added 30 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? to the rest of the factors, it is clear that Amazon have a very good mobile commerce model. Since their ECommerce site was a huge success in its own particular field, and influential to the wider world of online shopping, perhaps its mobile commerce model will be equally influential in the mobile internet world and encourage more businesses to court mobile business. National College of Ireland (Khan, 2010) 4.4 Social Shopping: Another growing trend in mobile commerce which will help it to eventually become dominant is the area of social shopping. The huge popularity of Smartphones has brought about a huge increase in the access of social networking sites through a mobile browser; Facebook reported a 112%increase and Twitter a 347% increase between 2009 and 2010. This added to the growing familiarity and comfort of users with mobile commerce has meant that consumers are adding a communal aspect to mobile shopping. Consumers want to have a mobile shopping experience that has the feel of social networking that adds such things as %ends, groups, voting, comments and discussions. According to a report by Yankelovich Research, 65% of consumers trust their fiiends over experts and celebrities, so to recognise and accommodate this factor the mobile shopping experience will need to be a mobile social shopping experience adding a communal exchange of information to the process. Consumers will be able to interact with each other before, during, and after the purchase, sharing photographs of products and product reviews and recommendations. Mobile social shopping will provide retailers with an effective brand awareness opportunity, but for maximum effectiveness it will need to have uniformity across mobile hardware platforms. In other words, the experience should be the same for every user, regardless of the model of Smartphone which they are using. (Stewart, 2010) 4.5 Growth of Mobile Banking: Mobile Banking is another area that is set to accelerate in growth over the next few years, and in turn help the dominance of m & b commerce in general. According to a report by Berg Insight, the amount of consumers that use mobile banking and related services globally will grow to 894 million in 2015; this is up 59.2%from 2009. In the United States, the rising popularity of mobile applications and the familiarity with SMS text messaging are helping to 31 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? increase mobile banking services. As smaller banks follow large banks in offering mobile services, this growth is expected to accelerate further still. There are still only around 1,000 banks out of 30,000 financial institutions in the United States that offer mobile services. There is an effort by leading companies in both the financial and telecommunications National College of Ireland industTy to bring banking and financial services to the "unbanked" population of the world. Asia-Pacific is expected to become the most important regional market, accounting for more than half the total user base. Mobile banking is expected to play an important role in bringing these financial services to new customers in the Middle East and Afr-ica, as mobile handsets are seen as the perfect method of engaging with customers in emerging markets. Money transfer is another area within Mobile Banking which is undergoing significant growth. According to Berg Insight, between 3 and 15% of international money transfers will be carried out using mobile devices by 2015 and this is estimated to generate up to $6 billion in service revenues. (tmcnet.com, 20 10) 4.6 Increased Projections in Mobile Sales: It has been forecasted by ABI Research that by 2015, shoppers in the United States are expected to spend $1 19 billion on goods and services from their mobile devices. Mobile shopping in the US increased from $369 million to $1.2 billion between 2008 and 2009, and in 20 10 is expected to reach $2.4 billion. This rapid rate of increase in mobile shopping has been accredited to the boom in Smartphone sales and the resultant enthusiasm among consumers for mobile internet. Digital coupons have also proved popular, plus using mobiles to pay for small goods such as tickets. The Japanese market is already very strong and currently has a mobile shopping market worth $10 billion. (Leggatt, 20 10) 4.7 Ways that Bricks and Mortar Retailers are moving into Mobile Commerce: When developing a mobile commerce strategy, a retailer will need to consider a number of fast changing technologies such as social web and payments, with possible little previous experience of the mobile marketplace. Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? According to Jason Taylor, of mobile web development company Usablenet, the way to do this is to focus on the customer. Three years after the launch of the iPhone, companies are finally learning how best to leverage the Smartphone. Usablenet have worked with several large US firms in varying fields, to develop their mobile commerce strategy. Companies such as American Eagle, American Airlines, Sears, Amtdc, and Bloomingdales. According to National College of Ireland Taylor, this is what is currently happening in mobile commerce: 80% of clients opt for mobile websites instead of apps for Smartphones: Many companies want to add a mobile app strategy to their mobile web presence, but the majority of f m s simply want to develop a mobile website. The reason for this is a successful mobile experience is one that works for all users, no matter what mobile device they are using. Retail companies with an established brick and mortar presence want two things fkom their mobile Web presence: The first thing that retailers want is a replacement for desktop web, as the primary features on the main website accessed from desktops will need to be mobile compatible. The second thing that retailers want is the component of location. Whether a customer is on the move of standing in a store, the retailer wants to be able to thin out the top mobile features depending on how close they are to the brick and mortar store. A good example of this is allowing customers to receive coupons through their Smartphone, so that they have to physically come into the store to use them. Feature parity across platforms and keeping cost down: Applications are not easy to replicate across differing models of Smartphones, for example an application that is popular and user friendly on the Phone may not translate so well to the Blackberry. Also local features need to support GPS and other location based elements but also have mass market capability so the cost structure is consistent across platforms. Retailers want users on their apps when they're inside the store: A relatively unique feature of mobile commerce is that it supports both the online environment and the real world one. Many large retailers with a traditional bricks and mortar stores are Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? keen for mobile consumers to bring some of their web knowledge into the actual store, such as reviews, gift registries and mobile gift cards. Retailers could go further still with location based notifications: A further step in the evolution of location based mobile commerce, islocal notifications that are based on National College of Ireland GPS locations. An example of this would be opening the mobile site inside the store and the application downloads content specific to that particular store such as current special offers. Mobile users are taken very seriously: A number of retailers have surveyed the number of visitors to their website and found that around 5 to 7% are mobile users, and that 3 to 5% of revenue is coming ffom mobile users. So based on this, they acknowledge that it is a genuine revenue channel and that they should spend more money developing it futher. The most forward t h i i g strategies take into account that a user is just one node on a personal social network that influences their decision making: Some retailers, who are serious about catering to a mobile audience, are those who have target markets within a younger age group. These retailers see mobile commerce as a long term strategy, in that mobile media is the best way to reach the influencers of a purchase. A mobile market is an effective way to reach out to a young demographic, in that it can allow kids to influence the way their parents and indeed their peers make purchases. (Dannen, 2010) 5.0 Future Work: Based on the research and projections in this paper, Mobile Commerce is set to become the dominant form of Electronic Commerce over the coming years. This is fuelled by a number of factors, such as convenience of use for users, confidence in device security, technological advancements, and firms directing their resources to promoting their online branding. For future referencing of the evolution of Mobile Commerce, W3C's website at w3.org can be read for updates. W3C are an international community where a wide range of people fiom 34 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? member organisations, full time staff, and the general public work together to improve web standards including mobile web standards. Another organisation that can be referenced for updated Mobile Commerce information is the Mobile Marketing Agency, their website is at rnmaglobal.com. The MMA are an organisation National College of Ireland that seek to establish guidelines and best practices for purpose of marketing through the mobile channel. 6.0 References: 1. Bushesslink.g0v.uk, (20 10a) "Information-based mcommerce services"<http://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s=m&r.11=1073 8611 97&r.lc=en&r.13=1075386889&r.12=1075422789&r.i=1075386967&type=RESOUR CES&itemId=107538710l&r.t=RESOURCES> accessed on 03-06-2010 2. Businesslink.g0v.uk, (2010b) "Location-based m-commerce services" <http://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detail?r.s&r.l1=1073861197&r.lc= en&r.13=1075386889&r.12=1075422789&r.i=1075386960&type=RESOURCES&ite dd=1075386967&r.t-RESOURCES> accessed on 03-06-2010 3. Businesslink.g0v.uk, (2010~)"M-commerce technologies" <http://www.businesslink.gov.uMbdotg/action/detail?r.s=m&r.l1= 1073861197&r.lc= en&r.13=1075386889&r.12=1075422789&r.i=1075387101&type=RESOURCES&ite mId=1075386960&r.t=RESOURCES> accessed on 03-06-2010 4. Business1ink.g0v.uk, (2010d) "M-commerce regulations" <http://www.businesslink.gov.uk/bdotg/action/detai1?itedd=1075387286&type=RES OURCES> accessed 03-06-20 10 5. Cevaer, G (2010) "How Mobile Advertisers can become user's best fiiend" <http://mmaglobal.com/articles/how-mobile-adve~se~-m-become- useP?E2%80%99s-best-&end>accessed on 02-06-10 6. ComScore (2010) "Facebook and Twitter Access via Mobile Browser Grows by Triple-Digits in the Past Year" <http://www.comscore.comiPress~Events/Pre~~~Re1ea~e~/201 O/3/Facebook2anddTwi tter~Access~via~Mobile~Browser~Grows~by~T~ple-Digi~ accessed on 07-06-2010 Will Mobile Commerce Become the Dominant Form of Electronic Commerce? 7. Connectwirelessweb.com, (2008) "My Brief History of Mobile Internet" <http:Nconnectwirelessweb.com/A-Brief-- accessed 03-06-2010 8. Damen, C (2010) "7 Ways Brick-and-Mortar Retailers Are Moving into Mobile Commerce" < h t t p : / / w w w . b n e t . c o m / b l o g / m o b i l e - i n t e r n e t National College of Ireland retailers-are-moving-into-mobile-commerce/436> accessed 19-07-2010 9. Dw-world.de (2010) "German Airwave Auction Promises Evolution in Mobile Internet" <http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5462218,00.html>, accessed on 2207-20 10 10. Grami, A, Schell, B (2010a) "Future Trends in Mobile Commerce", <http://dev.hil.unb.ca/Texts/PST/pdE/grami.pdf,accessed 0 1-06-2010 11. Grami, A, Schell, B (2010b) "Future Trends in Mobile Commerce", <http://dev.hil.unb.ca/Texts/PST/pWgrami.pdf, accessed 0 1-06-2010 12. Grami, A, Schell, B (2010~)"Future Trends in Mobile Commerce", <http://dev.hil.unb.ca/Texts/PST/pWgrami.pdf, accessed 01-06-2010 13. Grami, A, Schell, B (2010d) "Future Trends in Mobile Commerce", <http://dev.hil.unb.ca/Texts/PST/pdf/grami.pdf> accessed 01-06-2010 14. 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