Presentación de PowerPoint
Transcription
Presentación de PowerPoint
Results of Tourism Activity Mexico, March 2016 Globos Aerostáticos, León, Guanajuato. Foto Nocturna de Acapulco, Guerrero. Amanecer en Playa Michigan, Guerrero. Campo de Golf en Tamarindo Resort, Costa Alegre, Jalisco. Undersecretariat of Planning and Tourism Policy Reporting Date: May 17, 2016 International visitors Chart 1. According to Bank of Mexico, the arrival of international visitors in the first quarter 2016 was 24.0 millions, representing an increase of 2.2 millions compared to the same period of 2015*, with a growth of 10.2%. Chart 1. Monthly Arrival of International Visitors 9.0 2016 8.5 Total 2015 (Million visitors) Million people 8.5 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.5 7.0 Percent Change: 10.2% 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.2 6.8 6.5 January-March 2015: 21.7 January-March 2016: 24.0 8.5 6.8 6.5 * NOTE: In the charts, the sum of monthly data may not correspond to the cumulative period, due to rounding . 6.0 5.5 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx International tourists Chart 2. The number of international tourists arriving to Mexico during the first quarter of 2016 was 8.8 million, reaching 887 thousand more than January-March 2015, an increase of 11.1%. Chart 2. Monthly Arrival of International Tourists 3.9 2016 2015 Total (Million tourists) 3.5 3.6 Million tourists 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.5 Percent Change: 11.1% 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.5 Ene Feb Mar Abr May Jun Jul January-March 2015: 7.9 January-March 2016: 8.8 Ago Sep Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx 1 Oct Nov Dic Foreign Currency Income by International visitors Chart 3. Foreign currency inflows from the arrival of international visitors was 5,179 million dollars in January-March 2016, reaching an increase of 357 million dollars (7.4%) in comparison to the same period last year. 1,700 Total (Million dollars) January-March 2015: 4,822.0 January-March 2016: 5,179.0 1,500 1,386.0 1,920.0 1,176.6 997.2 1,256.0 1,545.9 1,469.1 1,363.5 1,521.0 900 1,735.8 1,100 1,505.7 1,300 1,580.3 Millon Dollars 1,900 1,882.5 1,684.0 2,100 1,612.8 2,300 Chart 3. Montly Income of Foreing Currency to Mexico from International Visitors 2015 2016 Nov Dec Percent Change: 7.4% 700 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx Tourism Balance by International visitors Chart 4. The tourism balance by international visitors in January-March of 2016 registered 2,890 million dollars, an increase of 12.7% in comparison to the same period of 2015. Chart 4. Monthly Result of Tourism Balance from International Visitors Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan 937 481 319 223 327 647 681 522 657 1,007 836 721 100 200 Total (Million dollars) 2016 2015 January-March 2015: 2,563.8 January-March 2016: 2,890.4 Percent Change: 12.7% 1,095 951 845 300 400 500 600 700 800 Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx 2 900 1,000 1,100 Million of dollars Foreign Currency Income by International tourists Chart 5. Foreign currency income from international tourists in January-March of 2016 registered 4,661 million dollars, which represents an increase of 345 million dollars (8.0%) to the same period of 2015. 2,100 1,500 Total (Million dollars) January-March 2015: 4,315.8 January-March 2016: 4,661.2 1,745.2 Sep 1,222.7 852.7 Aug 1,014.0 1,109.7 1,388.6 1,317.0 1,208.6 1,353.1 900 1,556.2 1,100 1,348.3 1,300 1,411.4 Millon Dollars 1,700 1,444.1 1,518.3 1,900 1,698.8 Chart 5. Montly Income of Foreing Currency to Mexico from International Tourists 2015 2016 Percent Change: 8.0% 700 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Oct Nov Dec Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx Tourism Balance by International tourists Chart 6. The tourism balance by international tourists in January-March of 2016 showed surplus of 3,131 million dollars, equivalent to an increase of 10.6% in comparison to the same period of 2015. Chart 6. Monthly Result of Tourism Balance from International Tourists Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Total 1,045 574 407 311 415 741 793 639 745 1,099 922 809 100 200 (Million dollars) January-March 2015: 2,830 January-March 2016: 3,131 2016 2015 Percent Change: 10.6% 1,175 1,024 932 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 Million of dollars Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx 3 Average Expenditure by International tourists Chart 7. During January-March of 2016, the average expenditure of international tourists was 531.9 dollars, a decrease of 15.0 dollars (-2.8%) in comparison to the same period of 2015. Chart 7. Average Monthly Expenditure of International Tourists Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Total 485.3 439.3 421.9 400.2 435.5 464.2 481.2 475.9 535.1 547.3 545.4 548.9 (Dollars) January-March 2015: 547.2 January-March 2016: 531.9 2016 2015 Percent Change: -2.8% 534.8 527.9 532.5 350 450 550 Dollars Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx Long-Stay tourists to Mexico Chart 8. The long-stay tourists arrival increased 14.6% in the three-month period of 2016 compared to the same period of the previous year: about 87.5% entered by air while the remaining 12.5% entered by land. Chart 8. Transport of International Long-Stay Tourists Thousands of tourists 6,000 (14.6%) (12.0%) 5,311 4,650 5,000 4,636 4,151 4,000 January-March 2015 3,000 January-March 2016 (36.4%) 2,000 661 1,000 485 * NOTE: Growth accumulated in brackets. 0 By air By land Total Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx 4 Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists Chart 9. Distribution of International Long-Stay Tourists' Expense during January-March 2016 Chart 9. For the same period, the most meaningful expenditure of long-stay tourists was made by those arriving by air, totaling 4,220.6 million dollars, this means 94.3% of all long-stay tourists’ expenditure. By air (4,220.6 mdd) 94.3% By land (253.6 mdd) 5.7% * NOTE: The total amount in brackets. Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx Average Expenditure of Long-Stay tourists Chart 10. The average expenditure of long-stay tourists was 842.5 dollars in the first three months of 2016, a decrease of 48.2 dollars (-5.4%) compared to the same period of 2015. Gráfica 10. Average Monthly Expenditure of Long-Stay Tourists 950 January-March 2015: 890.7 January-March 2016: 842.5 900 850 721.7 748.7 734.7 743.9 757.7 762.7 779.6 837.1 827.9 839.7 902.9 871.6 750 893.0 800 860.1 Percent Change: -5.4% 910.5 Dollars Total (Dollars) 700 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx 5 Border tourists to México Chart 11. The border tourists arrivals increased 6.2% during January-March of 2016 compared to the same period last year; 83.1% entered by automobile while the remaining 16.9% were pedestrians*. Chart 11. Transport of International Border Tourists (6.2%) Thousands of tourists 4,000 (6.1%) 3,453 3,500 3,251 2,870 3,000 2,704 January-March 2015 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 January-March 2016 (6.7%) 547 583 * NOTE: Growth accumulated in brackets (). 0 Pedestrians Automobiles Total Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx Expenditure of Border tourists Chart 12. Distribution of International Border Tourists' Expense during January-March 2016 Automobiles (161.8 mdd) 86.5% Pedestrians (25.2 mdd) 13.5% Chart 12. For the same period, the most meaningful expenditure of border tourists was made by those travelling by automobile, totaling 161.8 million dollars which represented 86.5% of all border tourists. * NOTE: The total amount in brackets (). Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx 6 Average Expenditure of Border tourists Chart 13. The average expenditure of border tourists decreased 5.8% in January-March of 2016 in comparison to the same month of previous year. Gráfica 13. Average Monthly Expenditure of Border Turists 70 2015 2016 Total (Dollars) January-March 2015: 57.5 January-March 2016: 54.2 Dollars 65 60 Percent Change: -5.8% 56.1 53.2 55.4 58.1 54.1 55.3 61.1 62.2 50 56.5 54.4 58.0 52.5 57.9 55.4 60.9 55 45 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Balance of payments, Banco de México. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/VisitantesInternacionales.aspx Foreign Visitors by air (main countries of residence) Chart 14. In January-March of 2016, the arrival of foreign aircoming visitors who reside in the United States, accounted for 57.1% of all foreign arrivals by air. Chart 14. Participation of Foreign Visitors by Air and Country of Residence, January-March 2016 17.0% 57.1% 2.3% 2.2% 1.7% From Latin America and the Caribbean, the country of residence with the highest number of foreign arrivals into México was Argentina with 104,546 visitors, which represents an increase of 38.2%. Note: Figures refers to events because the same person may have entered the country in more than one occasion. "Other" includes the remaining countries, the "unspecified" and the "Foreigners with residence in Mexico". 19.7% U.S. Canada Argentina United Kingdom Colombia Other Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx 7 Foreign passengers arriving by Air (American) Chart 15. The American residents who arrived by air to Mexico increased 15.9% in JanuaryMarch of 2016 in comparison to the same period of 2015, accumulating 2.6 million passengers who arrived mainly by Cancun Airport, followed by Los Cabos Airport. Chart 15. American Residents per Airport 1,200,000 2015 2016 Total of American passengers 1,000,000 January-March 2015: 2,214,101 January-March 2016: 2,565,775 308,711 306,604 180,025 143,212 318,632 267,111 332,538 268,415 200,000 339,391 Percent Change: 15.9% 272,091 400,000 1,086,478 600,000 956,668 Passengers 800,000 0 Cancún, Q. Roo Los Cabos, B.C.S. Ciudad de Puerto México (AICM) Vallarta, Jal. Guadalajara, Jal. Others Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx Foreign passengers arriving by Air (Canadian) Chart 16. The Canadian residents who arrived by air to México were 0.7% lower during January-March of 2016 in comparison with the same period of 2015, accumulating 765,284 passengers who arrived mainly by Cancun Airport, followed by Puerto Vallarta Airport. Chart 16. Canadian Residents per Airport 450,000 2015 2016 Total of Canadian passengers 400,000 350,000 January-March 2015: 771,040 January-March 2016: 765,284 86,558 84,601 27,955 23,720 41,476 29,599 56,161 50,000 54,254 100,000 158,836 150,000 Percent Change: -0.7% 161,933 200,000 394,298 250,000 416,933 Passengers 300,000 0 Cancún, Q. Roo Puerto Vallarta, Jal. Los Cabos, B.C.S. Ciudad de Huatulco, Oax. México (AICM) Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx 8 Others Percentage of Hotel Occupation Chart 17. The percentage of hotel occupation of a group of 70 resorts in the three-month period of 2016 was 61.9%, 1.9 percentage points higher in comparison to the same period last year. Chart 17. Percentage of Hotel Occupation 62% Rate 60% 59.9% 58% 61.9% 56% NOTE : The occupation is a weighted average. 54% 52% Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by the Mexico’s Tourism Information Statistics National January-March 2015 January-March 2016 System, DataTur. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ActividadHotelera.aspx Arrival of tourists to Hotels Chart 18. During January-March of 2016, the arrival of domestic tourists to hotel rooms was over 12.8 million tourists (73.7%), the remaining arrivals (26.3%) correspond to foreign tourists. Gráfica 18. Arrivals of tourist to hotel rooms 17.3 18.0 16.0 16.1 (73.7%) Million of tourist 14.0 12.0 12.8 11.6 January-March 2015 10.0 (26.3%) 8.0 January-March 2016 6.0 4.5 4.6 4.0 2.0 Domestic Foreing Total Source: Information of 70 resorts monitored by the Mexico’s Tourism Information Statistics National System, DataTur. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ActividadHotelera.aspx 9 Air Transportation Chart 19. The number of passengers arriving by air during January-March of 2016 was 14.7 million passengers, representing one million 650 thousand passengers additional (12.6%) in comparison to the same period last year. Chart 19. Total Passengers 2016 6,000 Thousands people 5,463 4,927 5,377 4,836 4,700 4,598 4,611 4,690 4,404 4,557 4,082 3,955 3,500 Percent Change: 12.6% 5,094 4,473 4,500 4,000 January-March 2015: 13.1 January-March 2016: 14.7 5,309 5,500 5,000 Total (millions) 2015 3,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx Chart 20. The number of passengers arriving by air on domestic flights during January-March of 2016 was 9.2 million passengers, representing 1.1 millions of additional passengers (13.6%), in comparison to the same period of the last year. Chart 20. Passengers in Domestic Flights 2016 4,000 2015 Total 3,365 Thousands people 3,500 3,680 3,471 3,052 3,000 2,500 (millions) 2,774 2,9513,003 3,414 3,150 3,1073,058 3,230 2,888 Percent Change: 13.6% 2,705 2,432 2,000 1,500 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: General Coordination of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx 10 January-March 2015: 8.1 January-March 2016: 9.2 Chart 21. In January-March of 2016, the number of passengers arriving by air on international flights increased 11.0%, with 5.5 million passengers, exceeding for 546 thousands passengers the amount of January-March of 2015. Chart 21. Passengers on International Flights 2016 Total 2015 (millions) 1,944 1,900 1,874 1,962 January–March 2015: 5.0 January-March 2016: 5.5 1,650 1,782 1,749 1,699 Percent Change: 11.0% 1,632 1,595 1,523 1,400 1,623 1,607 1,505 1,408 1,150 1,194 900 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Preliminary figures. Source: Airports and Auxiliary Services. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/TrasnAerea.aspx Chart 22. According to seasonally adjusted series, the Quarterly Indicator of Tourism Activity grew 5.1% in the 4Q15 compared to the same period 2014. By component, services increased 4.2% y-o-y, while goods rose 7.6% y-o-y in the same period. Chart 22. Quarterly Indicator of Tourism GDP 1.3 4.2 3.6 3.1 3.0 1.9 3.9 5.1 5.0 3.2 2.8 1.5 1.8 4.6 4.3 3.0 3.2 4.5 3.3 6.0 4.7 4.8 7.5 3.3 Thousands people 1,699 0.0 I II III IV I II -7.4 2014 -5.1 -5.7 -3.0 -3.8 -1.5 2015 -4.5 -6.0 -7.5 Goods III Services Seasonally adjusted figures. Source: INEGI. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/ResultadosITAT.aspx 11 Tourism GDP IV Main airports Figure 1. In January-February 2016 the airports with the highest number of foreign passengers were: Cancún (2,009,240), Ciudad de México (898,243), Puerto Vallarta (494,435), Los Cabos (405,189) and Guadalajara (199,723); which represents 89.1% of all foreign passengers. Source: Migration Policy Unit, SEGOB. http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Visitantes%20Por%20Nacionalidad.aspx Note: Figures refers to events because the same person may have entered the country in more than one occasion. From this date only the residence of international passengers is considered and the nationality of the passengers is not longer used. 12 Maritime transportation Chart 23. During January-March of 2016, the number of cruise passengers was 1.9 million passengers; this is an increase of 2.1% in comparison to the same period of last year, reaching 1,940.3 passengers. Chart 23. Monthly Arrival of Passengers by Cruise 2016 2015 588 643 604 568 600 500 608 Jan Feb 341 330 343 344 328 720 613 400 (Thousand passengers) January-March 2015: 1,900.2 January-March 2016: 1,940.3 442 300 Total 720 669 700 Percent Change: 2.1% 200 100 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Directorate General of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx Chart 24. The number of cruise’s arrivals in January-March of 2016 increased by 15, reaching 750, a decrease of 2.0% with respect to the same period of previous year. Chart 24. Monthly Cruise's Arrivals 2016 300 2015 273 229 240 229 210 171 Jan Feb 266 242 100 242 200 150 Total (Arrivals) 266 250 Arrivals Thousands people 800 125 106 106 105 115 50 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Directorate General of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx 13 January-March 2015: 735 January-March 2016: 750 Percent Change: 2.0% Main ports Figure 2. In January-March of 2016 the ports that received the highest number of passengers were the following: Cozumel, Majahual and Ensenada; representing 76.6% of total arrivals in the two months. On the other hand, according to Banco de México, foreign currency income from cruise visitors contributed with 2.6% of the total income. Source: Directorate General of Ports and Merchant Navy, Ministry of Communication and Transportation (SCT). http://www.datatur.sectur.gob.mx/SitePages/Actividades%20En%20Crucero.aspx 14 Macroeconomic Indicators Macroeconomic Perspective on Key Indicators of Mexico Inflation (% dec/dec) 2016 2017 3.31 2.74 3.19 3.00 Gross Domestic Product Entity Constant prices (percent change) 2016 2017 2.41 2.57 3.05 3.30 2.41 2.86 2.6 a 3.6 2.6 a 3.6 International Monetary Fund OCDE Banco de México Survey Ministry of the Treasury and Public Credit 3.02 3.04 3.35 3.00 N.a. Not available. Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database (April 2016); OECD, Economic Outlook (2015/11); Banco de México, Expectations Survey Economic Specialists Private Sector (02/05/16); Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público, Pre-General Criteria for Economic Policy 2017 (April, 2016) KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF MEXICO Entries Gross Domestic Product . Millions of current pesos . Constant prices annual variations in % Tertiary activities - Air Transportation (481) . Millions of current pesos . Constant prices annual variations in % - Temporary Lodging Services (721) . Millions of current pesos . Constant prices annual variations in % - Food and Beverages Preparation Services (722) . Millions of current pesos . Constant prices annual variations in % Tourism Gross Domestic Product . Constant prices annual variations in % Internal Tourism Consumption . Constant prices annual variations in % - Domestic tourism consumption . Constant prices annual variations in % - Ibound tourism consumption . Constant prices annual variations in % People Employed in the Tourism Sector* Employees insured by IMSS (average of the period) .Permanent .Non-permanent (urban and field) Unemployment National Rate ** (closing of the period) . Total Percentage of PEA National Price Index (closing of the period) Consumer (percent variation) . Air transport (percent variation) . Hotel (percent variation) . Package Tourist Services (percent variation) . Restaurants (percent variation) .Average of the period . Coincident Indicator . Forward Indicator .Confidence Consumer Index 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 General Economic Activity and Services Identified with Tourism Jan-2016 Feb-2016 17,953,203 15,390,602 2,562,601 18,095,494 15,491,741 2,603,753 18,154,906 15,533,030 2,621,876 4.33 4.23 4.26 4.19 3.57% 3.97% 4.08% 2.13% -7.74% 0.20% 16.72% 3.17% 1.11% 3.14% 4.84% 4.18% 1.59% 4.90% 5.13% 7.62% 4.20% 3.62% 6.03% 4.86% Exchange Rate (peso / dollar) 12.423 13.169 12.772 13.292 15.848 Business Cycle Indicators and Consumer Confidence (montly difference****) 0.060 -0.064 -0.031 0.028 -0.059 0.027 0.094 0.006 -0.108 -0.126 0.113 0.072 -0.266 0.052 0.024 2.61% 11.85% 4.47% 6.29% 4.57% 2.87% 7.42% 5.05% 4.13% 4.63% 2.60% 3.49% 7.13% 3.81% 4.78% 17.978 18.484 17.738 -0.007 -0.166 -0.069 ND -0.171 -0.114 ND ND -0.143 14,550,014 4.0 15,626,907 4.0 16,116,130 1.3 17,251,612 2.3 18,135,706 2.5 24,368 -0.3 27,720 7.3 27,063 8.1 34,708 9.4 42,496 17.0 137,648 2.4 151,099 8.2 163,718 5.6 179,525 6.0 195,489 5.8 160,238 172,438 177,145 185,939 0.8 3.0 -1.7 -0.3 Quarterly Indicators of Tourism Activity 205,985 6.0 2.9 4.6 0.8 2.2 3.8 1.8 2.9 0.9 1.1 6.4 2.9 2.3 1.0 -0.6 3.2 -6.2 7.8 0.5 15.0 29.1 Tourism Employment 3,409,804 3,536,686 3,628,195 3,640,970 3,803,442 Total number of IMSS-Insure Workers an Unemployement Rate 15,153,643 15,856,137 16,409,302 16,990,724 17,724,222 13,101,612 13,637,937 14,123,077 14,570,291 15,170,986 2,052,031 2,218,200 2,286,225 2,420,433 2,553,236 4.5 4.40 4.89 Exchange Rate and Prices*** 4.17 3.82% 7.58% 6.41% 5.72% 4.43% N.a. Not available. * Quarterly indicator with information of ENOE and CSTM. Fourth quarter data is indicated for annual data. ** Percentage of all the economically active population. Data at the end of the period for annual and monthly figures and average period for quarterly information. *** For prices of the consumer: at the end of the year are annual variations and same month previos year is for monthly data variation. **** Point monthly difference (closing of the period). Sources: SECTUR, INEGI, STYPS, Banco de México. 15