Poster
Transcription
Poster
Modelling river discharge at sub-daily time-step: Comparison of the performances of the conceptual SWAT model and the process-oriented MARINE model Laurie BOITHIAS a,*, Anneli LENICA b, Hélène ROUX b, Kévin LARNIER b, Sabine a a,* SAUVAGE , José-Miguel SANCHEZ-PEREZ Context and objectives Due to global change, the frequency of intense rainfall events and consequent flash floods are expected to increase in the next decades across the Mediterranean coastal basins. To date, few distributed models are able to simulate hydrological processes at basin-scale at a reasonable time scale to describe these flash events with accurate details. The MARINE model is one of them: it is a process-oriented fully distributed model operating dynamically at the rainfall event time-scale. Both infiltration and saturation excess are represented along with subsurface, overland and channel flows. It does not describe ground-water processes since the model's purpose is to simulate individual flood events during which ground-water processes are considered negligible. The SWAT model is a conceptual semi-distributed model assuming several simplifications in equations that dynamically simulates above- and belowground processes. It has been recently upgraded to sub-daily time-step calculations. The objective of this study was to assess and compare the performances of these two models when simulating the discharge at sub-daily time-step. Study site 1380 km², shallow sandy soils Typical flash flood prone coastal Mediterranean basin Modelling approach SWAT model Slope Critical zone Soil Land use Toulouse River Hydrological Response Unit Sub-basin Basin outlet HRU Sub-daily time-step simulation : Green & Ampt equation Pula Têt river Catllar Perpignan MARINE model Marquixanes • • • • Regionalization for flash floods Physically interpretable parameters to facilitate estimation Adaptive time-step (typical range: 1-5 min.) Mesh resolution < rainfall resolution (typical range: 200-500 m.) Precipitation Initial soil water content Network reach width / depth France Slope, downhill direction Representing flow components with short response time predominant in Mediterranean flash flood genesis Soil outlet Land use Spain Infiltration Exfiltration Cell Overland cell Drainage network cell 200 Discharge (m3/s) Têt discharge at Marquixanes 150 Calibration 100 Validation Cell model speicifcs Selection of the flood events : Soil 50 Input data 0 J-09 A-09 J-09 O-09 J-10 A-10 J-10 O-10 J-11 A-11 J-11 O-11 J-12 A-12 J-12 O-12 J-13 A-13 J-13 O-13 J-14 A-14 J-14 O-14 Surface runoff (saturation dynamics) Subsurface flow DEM : SRTM 90 m Land use : Corine Land Cover Soil : FAO classes, INRA soil properties Sub-daily rainfall : Measured from rain gauges (OBS) / SAFRAN model (SAF) First results 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 10/7 10/12 10/17 10/22 180 350 160 300 Sub-daily discharge (m3/s) SIM SWAT OBS SIM SWAT SAF SIM MARINE OBS SIM MARINE SAF Observed discharge 400 Sub-daily discharge (m3/s) Sub-daily discharge (m3/s) 450 140 120 100 10/27 Flood of October 2010 80 60 40 20 0 3/11 3/16 3/21 Flood of March 2011 Nash efficiencies : 250 Oct 2010 200 MARINE Rain gauges 0.90 SAFRAN 0.20 Mar 2011 Rain gauges SAFRAN Nov 2011 Rain gauges SAFRAN 150 100 50 0 11/2 11/7 0.86 0.25 0.54 -0.63 SWAT -1.64 0.42 0.39 0.12 -3.02 0.05 11/12 Flood of November 2011 Conclusions & perspectives The MARINE model gives better results than SWAT, especially when using the rain gauge spatial distribution. The spatial distribution of the gauges (whether measured or simulated) seems to have little effect on the quality of the SWAT simulations. They are however preliminary results. Once improved, the suspended sediments and the soil water content simulated by SWAT will be used as MARINE inputs. a University of Toulouse; INPT, UPS; Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement (EcoLab), Avenue de l’Agrobiopole, 31326 Castanet Tolosan Cedex, France. CNRS, EcoLab, 31326 Castanet Tolosan Cedex, France b Université de Toulouse; INPT, UPS; Institut de Mécanique des Fluides de Toulouse (IMFT), Allée Camille Soula, 31400 Toulouse, France. CNRS, IMFT, 31400 Toulouse, France * Corresponding authors: [email protected] and [email protected]