Preseason Watchlist

by Jason Wood, Senior Writer
2009 Preseason
2009
Watch List
2009
J
ICON SMI
ust because games aren’t being
played doesn’t mean there isn’t
a tremendous amount of football
activity afoot. Between scouting,
the draft, free agency, mini-camps,
training camp, preseason games and the
occasional holdout or trade demand,
there’s almost always something worth
discussing or analyzing regardless of the
time of year.
At Footballguys.com we strive
to provide fantasy leaguers with all
the relevant information in a timely
manner, and we’ll give you our honest
assessments every step of the way.
Below you’ll find a compilation of
some of the situations we’re watching
as the preseason turns into training
camp. With new developments arising
daily, remember that this is merely a
STARTING POINT. To find up-to-date
information and analysis that looks at
these situations and hundreds more,
be sure to visit www.footballguys.com
and take advantage of our Daily Email
Updates, industry-best News Blogger,
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statistical data.
Matthew Stafford
Quarterback Situations to Watch
• How good can Trent Edwards be
(Buffalo)? — Edwards completed almost
66 percent of his passes last year and
now gets Terrell Owens added to his
arsenal. With the promise of a no huddle
offense, can Edwards become a reliable
fantasy starter?
• Was Delhomme’s contract
extension a good idea (Carolina)?
— Jake Delhomme had one of the worst
playoff games in league history and
was then rewarded with a hefty new
extension. Does the 34-year old justify
his new deal?
• Is Jay Cutler the missing piece
(Chicago)? — Bears fans have long
believed they were a QB short of a Super
Bowl. Jay Cutler is the best QB they’ve
had in a long time, if not ever, will he
really be the missing piece?
Kyle Orton will start, but Chris Simms
is healthy and will give him a run for his
money.
• Can Palmer stay healthy
(Cincinnati)? — Carson Palmer missed
the majority of last season with a torn
elbow ligament but avoided Tommy John
surgery. Will that decision come back to
haunt him?
• When does Stafford play (Detroit)?
— Matthew Stafford will start sooner
rather than later, but will he get the green
light in Week 1?
• Is Romo as good without Owens
(Dallas)? — The Cowboys believe
waiving Terrell Owens was addition by
subtraction, but the fact is QBs enjoy
their career seasons with him in the
lineup. Can Romo find new weapons and
remain a top fantasy passer?
• Kyle Orton or Chris Simms
(Denver)? — The consensus believes
• Will Tom Moore’s retirement affect
Manning? (Indianapolis)? — Peyton
Manning lost the only OC he’s known
in the NFL to retirement. Will there be a
period of adjustment to worry about?
• Will we see the Garrard of 2007 or
2008? (Jacksonville)? — Garrard’s TD
rate was cut in half last year and his sack
total doubled, with the additions of WR
Torry Holt and two new bookend rookie
tackles put him back on track?
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• Is Matt Cassel a franchise QB
(Kansas City)? — The Chiefs traded for
Matt Cassel and plan to rebuild around
him. Is he really a special QB or a
byproduct of the Patriots way?
• What do the Dolphins have
planned for Pat White (Miami)?
— Chad Pennington has security after
a stellar 2008 season, but the Fins have
plans for Pat White. How many reps do
they plan on giving him?
• Favre or Rosenfels or Jackson
(Minnesota)? — The Brett Favre soap
opera continues, but even if he doesn’t
suit up, Rosenfels and Jackson will wage
an intense battle for the job.
• Is Brady healthy (New England)?
— About all we know of Tom Brady’s
offseason is that he married the world’s
most famous supermodel. But far more
important is to know whether he’s fully
recovered from last season’s injury.
Would the Pats have traded Matt Cassel
if there were lingering concerns?
the Eagles pass-happy WCO to St. Louis,
will that make Bulger relevant again?
• The QB pecking order (Tampa
Bay)? — Josh Freeman, Byron Leftwich,
Luke McCown and Josh Johnson all
think they should start, which one is
right?
• Can Vince Young dig himself out
of the dog house (Tennessee)? — The
Titans re-signed Kerry Collins to start,
but he’s still a short-term option. Can
Vince Young do enough to at least
resume his QB2 role?
• Can Jason Campbell look past
this offseason (Washington)? — Jason
Campbell has to wonder what he ever did
to Daniel Snyder. With overtures about
trading for Jay Cutler and drafting Mark
Sanchez, can Campbell maintain his
confidence and prove he should be the
team’s starter beyond 2009?
Running Back Situations to Watch
comparison to DeAngelo Williams. Will
the Panthers maintain their roughly 60/40
split or is Stewart in line for a different
workload?
• Will Matt Forte get as many
touches (Chicago)? — Forte was
impressive as a rookie but wore down at
the end of the season. With Jay Cutler in
town, will the Bears run less as a team,
and will they follow through on their
promise to use Kevin Jones more?
• Cedric Benson: Franchise Back
(Cincinnati)? — The Bengals released
Chris Perry, signed Benson to a new
deal and didn’t draft anyone until the
sixth round. Is Benson really their
answer at tailback?
• Is Jamal Lewis entrenched
(Cleveland)? — Jamal Lewis
disappointed last season and the new
coaches owe him nothing, but is there a RB
on the roster that poses a credible threat?
• Will the Boys use a three-headed
monster (Dallas)? — Tashard Choice
ran hard last year, Felix Jones is healthy
and a home run threat on every play, and
Marion Barber is the starter with a megacontract. Will Dallas go back to Barber
being the main man, or will they use all
three talented runners liberally?
• Can Manning find his new Plax
(New York Giants)? — Manning isn’t
the same without Plaxico Burress, and he
has to build rapport with a collection of
young receivers this year or risk further
regression.
• Will Beanie have to share carries
(Arizona)? — The Cardinals drafted
Beanie Wells in the first round, and he
should be the starter from day one. But
will they make him share carries with
Tim Hightower or the other backups?
• Does Sanchez play immediately
(New York Jets)? — Mark Sanchez is
the future of the New York Jets, but is
he the present? Kellen Clemens doesn’t
think so.
• What can Michael Turner do for
an encore (Atlanta)? — Michael Turner
ran for 1,699 yards in his first season
in Atlanta on a league high 376 carries.
Can he do more with less this year? Can
any back handle that kind of workload
repeatedly?
• Will Knowshon Moreno be the
workhorse (Denver)? — The Broncos
stockpiled RBs this offseason and
appeared ready to mimic New England’s
committee approach, but then they used
the 12th overall pick on Moreno. Will
they give him 20 touches a game or make
him share time?
• Who’s going to get the carries
(Baltimore)? — The Ravens have
worked out Le’Ron McClain at fullback
this offseason, which would suggest the
Ravens plan on spreading out the carries
again between him, Ray Rice and Willis
McGahee. Will the picture become
clearer as camp progresses?
• Do the Lions believe in Kevin
Smith (Detroit)? — Kevin Smith was
one of the few bright spots last year,
but the Lions reportedly wanted Beanie
Wells in the April draft. They also signed
Maurice Morris. Do they think Smith can
be a full-time workhorse?
• Was JaMarcus Russell worth the
first pick (Oakland)? — JaMarcus
Russell quietly played good football at
the end of the season, but overall his
book remains unwritten. Will he finally
emerge this year as a true franchise
cornerstone?
• Shaun Hill vs. Alex Smith (San
Francisco)? — New OC Jimmy Raye
has to figure out the QB pecking order
quickly. Alex Smith took a pay cut to stay
in the fight, but will it matter?
• Is Hasselbeck’s back okay
(Seattle)? — A bulging disc robbed Matt
Hasselbeck of more than half the season,
yet he opted against surgery to repair it.
Is there a risk of recurrence, and if so, do
the Seahawks have a backup plan?
• Will Marshawn Lynch come back
to a committee (Buffalo)? — Lynch
faces suspension for a gun possession
charge, and Fred Jackson and Dominic
Rhodes will do everything in their power
to earn significant playing time in his
stead. When Lynch returns, will the job
be his or will he have to share?
• Will Bulger flourish in the WCO?
— Mark Bulger needs a bounce back
year. New OC Pat Shurmur is bringing
• How much time will Jonathan
Stewart get (Carolina)? – Stewart
was impressive last year but paled in
• Can Ryan Grant put it all together
(Green Bay)? — Grant ran for more than
1,200 yards last year but averaged less
than four yards and only scored five TDs.
Can he match his 2007 TD and YPC
numbers with his 2008 workload?
• Will Steve Slaton handle the
monster workload (Houston)? — Steve
Slaton had an amazing rookie season, but
some wonder if he can handle a heavier
workload. Yet the Texans have no one on
the roster worthy of sharing touches.
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2 0 0 9 P R E S E AS O N WAT C H L I S T
• How much work will Donald
Brown take from Joseph Addai
(Indianapolis)? — The Colts drafted
Donald Brown in the first round, and
he’ll definitely play a large role. The
question is how will he eat into Joseph
Addai’s workload?
• Will the Jets appease Thomas
Jones and Leon Washington (New York
Jets)? — Thomas Jones wants a new
deal. Leon Washington wants a new deal.
Rookie Shonn Greene wants to take their
jobs. Will NY get their vet tandem signed
and sealed?
• Is Maurice Jones-Drew ready to be
THE man (Jacksonville)? — MJD has
been an all-purpose weapon for years,
but this year he’s in line for a dramatic
increase in his workload following the
release of Fred Taylor. Is he up to the task
or will the Jags need to find someone to
pair him with?
• Is Darren McFadden a go-to
weapon (Oakland)? — McFadden ran
for less than 50 yards in all but one game
last year, but he should be healthy and
ready for a larger role this season. Is he a
major weapon or a fantasy tease?
• Has Larry Johnson mended fences
(Kansas City)? — With a new regime
aboard, Larry Johnson seemed a good
bet to be cut or traded. Yet his quiet
offseason appears to have appeased the
new brass, and LJ now looks to be a
focal point of the offense.
• Does Ronnie Brown have to share
the load with Ricky Williams (Miami)?
— Ronnie Brown is ultra-productive as
both a runner and receiver when he’s
healthy. But he’s always nicked up it
seems, and Ricky Williams played hard
in 2008. Will the Fins make them share
the role again?
• Is 2,000 yards within reach for
Peterson (Minnesota)? — When you
run for 1,760 yards as a second-year
player, is 2,000 yards really out of
the question? If anyone can do it, it’s
Peterson especially if the Vikings can get
the QB situation settled.
• Is Fred Taylor the new Corey Dillon
(New England)? — The Patriots have a
trove of RBs on the roster, but none have
Fred Taylor’s career numbers. Will the
Pats give Taylor a major role as they did
with Corey Dillon?
• Will Pierre Thomas build off his
strong second half (New Orleans)?
— The Saints cut Deuce McAllister and
ignored RB in the draft; which bodes
well for Pierre Thomas. Can he build off
his late season heroics or will we look
back on them as a fluke?
• Can Ahmad Bradshaw replace
Derrick Ward (New York Giants)?
— Derrick Ward ran for 1,000 yards as
a backup, can Ahmad Bradshaw step in
and provide the necessary complement to
bruising Brandon Jacobs?
• Is Brian Westbrook still an elite RB
(Philadelphia)? — Brian Westbrook saw
his YPR and YPC drop last season, and
his ability to stay on the field is always
a worry. Is Brian Westbrook nearing the
end of his time as one of the NFL’s most
explosive runners?
• Does Rashard Mendenhall play
a big role (Pittsburgh)? — Rashard
Mendenhall was supposed to be a short
yardage bell cow last year before getting
hurt. Will he lock down an important role
this year or can Fast Willie Parker eek out
another solid season?
• Will LaDainian Tomlinson have
to share carries (San Diego)? —
Tomlinson had to redo his deal to stay in
San Diego and has plenty of competition
for touches. Will LT have the chance to
regain his 20-carry form?
• Is Glen Coffee going to spell
Frank Gore from time to time (San
Francisco)? — Frank Gore is the
centerpiece but third round rookie Glen
Coffee needs to contribute, as well. Will
the 49ers integrate Coffee immediately?
• Can Steven Jackson stay on the
field (St. Louis) — Jackson has missed
eight games in the last two seasons,
keeping him from a spot atop the fantasy
elite. Is this the year he regains his
premiere form?
• How will Earnest Graham and
Derrick Ward split the touches (Tampa
Bay)? — The Bucs wasted little time
this offseason signing Derrick Ward to a
long-term deal following his 1,000-yard
season in New York. Is Ward the clear
cut starter or will the Bucs find a role for
Earnest Graham, too?
• Are Chris Johnson and LenDale
White satisfied with their two-headed
approach (Tennessee)? — White was
the short yardage hammer last year while
Chris Johnson did everything else. Are
those roles constant?
• Will Clinton Portis outperform his
ADP again (Washington)? — Every
year it’s the same old story. Teams bet
Clinton Portis will wear down and then
he goes out and puts up another monster
season. Is it possible to be drafted too
low nearly every year of your career?
Wide Receiver Situations to Watch
• Can the Cardinals bring Anquan
Boldin back into the fold (Arizona)?
— The trade rumors were rampant this
offseason, but it appears the Cardinals
want to keep Boldin for another run at
the title. Can they make peace in the
absence of a new long-term contract?
• How will Roddy White adjust to
Tony Gonzalez (Atlanta)? — Roddy
White was Matt Ryan’s top option in
2008. Will the addition of a HOF tight
end make things easier for him, or will
he need to adjust to fewer targets?
• Are the Ravens happy going to war
with this WR corps (Baltimore)? —
The Ravens were rumored to be pursuing
Anquan Boldin, yet they ignored the
position in the draft. Are they confident
in the guys behind Derrick Mason?
• Will Terrell Owens presence help
Lee Evans (Buffalo)? — We know
Owens will get his, and that he’ll help
Trent Edwards. But will T.O.’s presence
help or hurt Evans?
• Can Muhsin Muhammad keep
fighting father time (Carolina)?
— Muhsin Muhammad had 923 yards
receiving last year at 35 years old.
Is there any reason to worry he can’t
maintain that level as a 36-year old?
• Defining the WR pecking order
(Chicago) — The Bears have a
gunslinger now, but Jay Cutler needs
people to throw to. Will Devin Hester
start? Is Earl Bennett ready to emerge?
Will the rookies contribute?
• Integrating Laveranues Coles
(Cincinnati) — The Bengals lost T.J.
Houshmandzadeh in free agency but
signed Laveranues Coles to a multi-year
deal. Will he quickly integrate into the
fold, and how will Chad Ochocinco
handle his new running mate?
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2 0 0 9 P R E S E AS O N WAT C H L I S T
• Do the Browns intend to keep
Braylon Edwards (Cleveland)? — The
new Browns regime wasted little time
trading away Kellen Winslow but haven’t
accepted any of the offers for Braylon
Edwards. Are they content to keep him,
and if so, will he be the focal point of the
new offense?
• Do the Cowboys have someone
worthy to start (Dallas)? — Roy
Williams will be asked to replace T.O.,
but beyond that there are lots of question
marks. Patrick Crayton is better suited
for the slot, but that means Miles Austin
or someone else needs to clearly establish
himself in camp.
• Who starts alongside Calvin
Johnson (Detroit)? — Calvin Johnson
proved last year he’ll produce in any
situation. But who starts opposite CJ this
year is very much in question. Bryant
Johnson, Ron Curry, Adam Jennings and
Derrick Williams all have designs on the
job.
• Will Donald Driver have to share
more time (Green Bay)? — GM Ted
Thompson believes Driver remains
an elite talent, but the Packers have a
number of talented young receivers who
deserve playing time, too. Will Driver
remain a full-time starter?
TJ Houshmandzadeh
• Who starts opposite Dwayne
Bowe (Kansas City)? — The
rebuilding Chiefs lost Tony Gonzalez
and they need a number of receivers
to emerge as complements to Dwayne
Bowe. Does Bobby Engram have gas
left in the tank? Is Mark Bradley an
NFL starter?
ICON SMI
• Adjusting to a new offense
(Denver) — Brandon Marshall and Eddie
Royal have major adjustments to make,
including a new coaching staff, new
playbook and most importantly a new
quarterback. How will they handle the
transition?
• How long will Lance Moore be out
(New Orleans)? — Lance Moore was
set to test the free agent waters after a
breakout season, but he tore his labrum
lifting weights and now must play under
a one-year deal in New Orleans. How
long will his rehab take?
• Replacing Plaxico and Toomer
(New York Giants) — The Giants need to
replace both Plaxico Burress and Amani
Toomer - no small feat. Will Steve Smith
and Domenik Hixon hold down the jobs
or will rookies Hakeem Nicks and Ramses
Barden push for time immediately?
• Does Kevin Walter have a higher
ceiling (Houston)? — Kevin Walter
delivered a Top 20 season last year, but
many believe he’s capable or more than
60 catches and 899 yards. Does he have
more upside or was 2008 a career year?
• Sorting out the pecking order
(Miami) — The Dolphins drafted two
receivers and have Ted Ginn, Davone
Bess, Greg Camarillo and Brandon
London all vying for roles. No one’s job
should be considered secure entering
camp.
• Can Anthony Gonzalez replace
Marvin Harrison (Indianapolis)?
— Anthony Gonzalez regressed in his
second season, yet he will be counted on
to replace Marvin Harrison in the starting
lineup. Is Gonzalez up to the task?
• Will Percy Harvin start
immediately (Minnesota)? — The
Vikings need Percy Harvin to provide
offensive versatility, and he will be on the
field quickly. But is he a polished enough
receiver to start in Week 1?
• Who is going to catch the ball
besides Jerricho Cotchery (New York
Jets)? — Jerricho Cotchery is the
clear cut WR1, but the Jets have major
question marks beyond him. Is David
Clowney or Chansi Stuckey ready to start
full-time?
• Is Torry Holt still an impact
receiver (Jacksonville)? — Torry Holt
was cut by the Rams and signed with
Jacksonville – filling a desperate need for
the Jaguars. But is Holt still an impact
receiver or have age and injury caught up
to him?
• Who fills Jabar Gaffney’s spot
(New England)? — Jabar Gaffney
played a lot more offensive snaps than
the typical WR3 but left for Denver in
the offseason. Is Joey Galloway a lock to
fill that role or will a younger receiver
surprise?
• Who starts in Oaktown (Oakland)?
— Javon Walker had another knee
operation and seems unlikely to
start. Is rookie first rounder Darrius
Heyward-Bey polished enough to start
immediately, and can Chaz Schilens hold
off Johnnie Lee Higgins?
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2 0 0 9 P R E S E AS O N WAT C H L I S T
• What do the Eagles have planned
for Jeremy Maclin (Philadelphia)? —
The Eagles didn’t draft Jeremy Maclin
19th overall to sit him on the bench,
but where does he fit? Is he a starter
opposite DeSean Jackson or better suited
for the slot?
• Does Limas Sweed earn a role
(Pittsburgh)? — Ward and Holmes are
the starters, but there’s an opportunity
for Limas Sweed to step into the role
vacated by Nate Washington. Can he
win the coaches over, or will veteran
Shaun McDonald fill the slot?
• What does Vincent Jackson do
for an encore (San Diego)? — Vincent
Jackson broke out last year with 1,098
yards and seven TDs. Was that the start
of great things, or will we look back on
that as his career best?
• How good can Michael Crabtree
be (San Francisco)? — The 49ers resigned Isaac Bruce and signed Brandon
Jones, but then Michael Crabtree fell
into their laps on draft day. Crabtree
should start immediately; will he live up
to the mountainous expectations?
• Can T.J. Houshmandzadeh
be the top Hawk (Seattle)? — T.J.
Houshmandzadeh has lived in Chad
Ochocinco’s shadow for a long time but
is now set to be the Seahawks new top
receiver. Is he ready for the attention that
brings from opposing defenses?
• Who starts opposite Donnie Avery
(St. Louis)? — Donnie Avery is an
emerging star, but someone needs to
start alongside him. Will it be Laurent
Robinson, Keenan Burton or Derek
Stanley?
• Will Bryant and Clayton earn
their new paydays (Tampa Bay)?
— Antonio Bryant resurrected his career
last season and was franchised, and
Michael Clayton was given a monster
new contract in spite of pedestrian
numbers. Can they live up to their new
contracts or will these deals be ridiculed
this time next year?
• Have the Titans done enough at
WR (Tennessee)? — The Titans signed
Nate Washington in the offseason and
then drafted Kenny Britt in the first
round. Are those additions enough
to improve the Titans weak link on
offense?
• Is Devin Thomas or Malcolm Kelly
ready to contribute (Washington)? —
Antwaan Randle El shouldn’t be starting,
but the Redskins need at least one of
last year’s rookie WRs to emerge in their
second season.
• How do you replace Tony Gonzalez
(Kansas City)? — You simply can’t
replace a HOF tight end, but the Chiefs
will need to start someone in his old
spot. Will Brad Cottam, Sean Ryan, Tony
Curtis or Jake O’Connell get the nod?
Tight End Situations to Watch
• Is Visanthe Shiancoe legit
(Minnesota)? — Visanthe Shiancoe
came out of nowhere to post a Top 5
fantasy finish in 2008, was that a sign of
things to come or a fluke born out of his
seven TDs in 42 catches?
• Will Tony Gonzalez adjust to his
new surroundings (Atlanta)? — Tony
Gonzalez finds himself starting anew in
his 13th season. Will he be able to step
into the same kind of go-to role as an
Atlanta Falcon?
• Defining Todd Heap and L.J.
Smith’s roles (Baltimore) — Todd
Heap is great when healthy, and L.J.
Smith started for most of his career in
Philadelphia, where John Harbaugh
coached before Baltimore. How will the
Ravens divide the touches between these
two talented but inconsistent players?
• Does Greg Olsen emerge as an
elite playmaker (Chicago)? — Greg
Olsen was a Top 10 fantasy TE last year
despite starting only seven games. This
year, he’ll start right away and have Jay
Cutler throwing him passes. Watch out.
• Replacing Kellen Winslow
(Cleveland) — The Browns cut ties
with Kellen Winslow and can’t possibly
replace him with any one player. Will
the combination of Robert Royal, Steve
Heiden and Martin Rucker be enough?
• Defining roles for the new
additions (New England)? — The
Patriots never sit idly by, and this year
they targeted upgrading the TE position
by signing Chris Baker and trading
for Alex Smith. How will they fit into
the rotation, and does this mean Ben
Watson’s days are numbered?
• Can Jeremy Shockey re-establish
himself (New Orleans)? — Jeremy
Shockey missed four games and was
hobbled for most of last season. Will
full health and a training camp to work
with the offense allow him to reestablish
himself as an elite TE?
• Finding depth beyond Dustin
Keller (New York Jets) — Dustin Keller
is going to catch a lot of passes this year,
but the Jets are woefully undermanned
at the position. Right now Bubba Franks
and undrafted free agent J’Nathan
Bullock are the most likely backups.
• Can Jason Witten lead the league
in receptions (Dallas)? — With Terrell
Owens gone, Jason Witten is almost
assured of being the most targeted TE
in the league. Might he lead the NFL in
receptions?
• Can the veterans hold off
Cornelius Ingram (Philadelphia)? —
Matt Schobel and Brent Celek wouldn’t
start for many teams and are the weak
links in a stellar offensive cast. Can
rookie Cornelius Ingram overtake them
this season?
• Does Tony Scheffler have a future
with the Broncos (Denver)? — Tony
Scheffler has allegedly been on the
trading block ever since Josh McDaniels
took over. If they don’t trade him, will
they make use of his receiving prowess
or has the sun set on his time as a
Bronco?
• How is Antonio Gates’ ankle
(San Diego)? — Antonio Gates wasn’t
himself last year rehabbing a bum toe,
and then hurt his ankle come playoff
time. He admitted to lingering pain
in the ankle at mini-camp. Is that an
ominous sign for the league’s most
explosive TE?
• Are expectations too high for
Brandon Pettigrew (Detroit)? —
Brandon Pettigrew was the cream of the
rookie TE crop, and his future is bright.
But are expectations too big for the
rookie on a team desperate to erase the
memories of an 0-16 season?
• Kellen Winslow gets a new lease
on life (Tampa Bay) — Winslow was
traded to Tampa Bay and then signed to
a monster new deal. Will the fire still
burn bright in his new digs, and how
good can he be now that he’s back in
Florida?
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