291-page transcript - The Hague Institute for Global Justice
Transcription
291-page transcript - The Hague Institute for Global Justice
InternationalDecisionMakingintheAgeofGenocide:Srebrenica1993-1995 June28–July1,2015 TheHague EditedTranscript Session1:Creatingthe“SafeAreas” MeetingroominTheHague TOMBLANTON:Goodmorning.Thankyouverymuchforcomingtothetable.A reminderaboutourmethodology:everythingsaidatthistableisonbackgroundfor nowbutwearerecordingthesessionandwillproduceatranscript.1Youwillhave theopportunitytocorrectyourremarksbeforewereleasethetranscript.Oneofour goalsistoexpandthehistoricalrecordonSrebrenica. Ifyouturntoyourbriefingbooks,youwillfindasummaryofkeypointsthat weplantoaddressineachofthefoursessions.2Thismorningwewanttostartwith theeyewitnessesonthegroundinthespringof1993.Weknowthisisanarbitrary date.ThereisanargumenttobemadethatthesinsthatledtoSrebrenicagobackto 1 Thistranscriptwasannotatedandeditedforclaritybyconferencestaffandparticipantsinaccordance withconferencegroundrules. 2 USHMM,“ConferenceAgenda,”June28,2015. 1-1 thediplomaticrecognitionprocess[in1990-1992],thelackofprotectionforethnic minoritiesduringthatearlyperiod,thearmsembargo,orthefamousJimBaker comment,"Wedon'thaveadoginthatfight"whentheAmericanswentmissing.3 ButforthepurposesofthisconferenceandourfocusonSrebrenica,wewant tobeginwithGeneralMorillon'svisittoSrebrenicainMarch1993.4MichaelDobbs, willyouleadusoffwithafewawkwardquestions? MICHAELDOBBS:Thankyou,Tom.Thisisthesecondinaseriesofconferencesthat weareorganizingunderthetitle"InternationalDecisionMakingintheAgeof Genocide,"lookingatthebigcrisesofthepost-ColdWarperiod.5Lastyear,wehada conferenceonRwandawithasimilarsetuparoundthetable.Wehadmembersof theUNSecurityCouncilontheleft,GeneralDallaireandtheotherUNpeacekeepers inthemiddle,andthepeoplewhonegotiatedtheArushaAccordsontheright.I thinkthat[formerUKrepresentativeontheUNSecurityCouncil]DavidHannayis sittinginexactlythesamechairthatyouoccupiedforourRwandaconference.You provideathreadofcontinuitybetweenthetwoconferences,asdoes[formerUS AssistantSecretaryofStateforHumanRights]JohnShattuck. ManyoftheofficialswhowereinvolvedinRwandadecision-makingwere alsoinvolvedinBosnia.Therearesimilaritiesanddifferencesbetweenthosetwo events.Oneofthesimilaritiesisthegapinperceptionsbetweenthepeopleonthe groundandthepeopleinNewYorkandthenationalcapitals.InthecaseofRwanda, itwasasifthedebatesweretakingplaceonthreedifferentplanets.Therewerethe peoplewhonegotiatedtheArushaAgreements,thepeacekeeperswhoimplemented theagreements,andtheUNofficialsinNewYorkwhosupervisedtheentireprocess. Therewasimperfectcommunicationbetweenthesethreegroupsofactors.We discoveredthattherewasimperfectcommunicationwithinthesameinstitution:at 3 SecretaryofStateJamesA.BakervisitedBelgradeonJune21,1991,meetingwithawiderangeof Yugoslavleaders,fivedaysbeforetheoutbreakofwarbetweenSerbiaandSlovenia.Hiscomment“we don’thaveadoginthatfight”wasreportedlaterbyNationalSecurityAdvisorBrentScowcroft. 4 GeneralPhilippeMorillonvisitedSrebrenicafromMarch10to13,1993,attheheadofaUN humanitarianaidconvoywhilethetownwasundersiegebyBosnianSerbforces. 5 MoreinformationontheInternationalDecisionMakingprojectcanbefoundontheUSHolocaust MemorialMuseumwebsite. 1-2 theUnitedNations,forexample,betweentheSecretariatandtheSecretary-General, orbetweentheSecretariatandtheSecurityCouncil.Isuspectthatwewillfind similardisconnectsinthecaseofBosnia. Tosetthestageforourdiscussiontoday,IreadRupertSmith'sexcellent chapteronBosniainTheUtilityofForceinwhichhewritesthattheseedsforthe Srebrenicadisasterwere“sownwiththedecisionsmadeinthespringof1993: decisionstothreatenwithnointentiontoact,todeployforceswithnointentionto employtheirforce,decisionsmadeinnopoliticalcontextexceptfearofthe consequencesofactiontotheforce.”6Healsocommentsonthelackofany overarchingstrategy.Hesaystherewasnostrategicdirection,noachievable militarygoals,nomilitarycampaign,notheaterlevelmilitaryobjectives,only incoherence.Hetalksabout“theimperativetodosomethingandthescrambleto createapolicy.”WemaynotagreewithGeneralSmith’sassessment,butwewill certainlyhavetograpplewithhiscritiqueoverthenextcoupleofdays. Thismorning,wewilllookattheperiodfromMarch1993,whenGeneral MorillonarrivesinSrebrenicatoaccompanyahumanitarianconvoy,throughthe threeUNSecurityCouncilresolutionsthatestablishedtheSafeAreasandsetthe parametersfortheirprotection.7TheeventsofJuly1995areshapedbythe decisionstakenin1993. Afewquestionsforustoconsider:whatwasthenatureofthecommitments containedinthesethreeUNresolutions?Didthepeoplearoundthistable—UN ambassadors,membersoftheUNSecretariat,thepeacekeepers—haveaclearidea ofthepolicythatyouformulatedbackin1993?Howweretheresolutionsmeantto beimplemented?WhatwastheproperroleofUNPROFOR?Wasitaclassic peacekeepingmissionorwasitapeaceenforcementmission?DuringourRwanda conference,therewasalotofdiscussionabouttherulesofengagement,authorized underChapterVIoftheUNCharter.IntheBosnia“SafeArea”resolutions,youwill 6 RupertSmith,TheUtilityofForce:TheArtofWarintheModernWorld,150. TheUNSecurityCounciladoptedResolution819onApril16,1993,callingonthewarringpartiestotreat Srebrenicaas“asafearea”.UNSCResolution824ofMay4addedfivemore“safeareas”:Sarajevo,Tuzla, Žepa,Goražde,andBihać.OnJune4,UNSCResolution836extendedUNPROFOR’smandate“todeter attacksagainstthesafeareas.” 7 1-3 findreferencestoChapterVII[e.g.in819and836]oftheUNCharter,butitis unclearwhetherthiswasmeanttobeaChapterVIImissionoraChapterVImission. Whatwastheproperroleofpeacekeepers?Shouldtheybestrictlyneutral,or shouldtheytakesidesintheconflict?[TurnstoDavidHarland,authorofthe1999 UNreportonSrebrenica].InyourreportonSrebrenica,youconcludeattheendthat peacekeeperscannotbeimpartialwhenconfrontedwith"attemptedgenocide."8We shouldtalkaboutthat.Underwhatcircumstanceswasairpowermeanttobeused todefendtheenclaves?Weretherealternativestotheestablishmentof“Safe Areas”?WastheVance-Owenpeaceplanapossiblealternative?Wastherea strategyforendingthewarinBosnia,manystrategies,ornostrategyatall?Weare alsointerestedintherelationshipbetweenthehumanitariangoalsofUNPROFOR andthestrategicgoals.Istherealinkbetweenthetwo?Shouldoneservetheother, oraretheyentirelyseparate? SHASHITHAROOR:BeforewestartatMarch1993,surelywehavetounderstand whatUNPROFORwasdoingthereinthefirstplace:whyitwasdeployed,whatthe logicofitwas,whyitevenhadthenameitdidandeverythingelse.Morillon'svisit didnothappeninavacuum.TherewasayearandahalfofUNPROFORbeforethat. EverythingRupertSmithsaysinthatextractyoureadisabsolutelyaccurate,but thatispreciselybecauseofthewayinwhichthisoperationhadevolveduptothat point. DAVIDHANNAY:Ithinkitisworthspendinghalfanhourorsoonthecontext.The documents[inthebriefingbook]arefascinating,theyrecallmuchtome,butthey aretotallycontext-less.Youwouldnotknowfromthesepapers,forexample,that theSecurityCouncilandmemberstatesweregrapplingwiththebiggestsplitin NATOinlivingmemoryover“liftandstrike.”9YouwouldnotknowthattheSecurity 8 UnitedNationsGeneralAssembly,“ThefallofSrebrenica,”A/54/549,November15,1999,henceforth “1999UNSrebrenicareport.” 9 “LiftandStrike”referredtoaU.S.proposaltoliftthearmsembargoimposedontheBosnian government(andotherYugoslavrepublics)inSeptember1991anduseairstrikestoforcetheBosnian Serbstothenegotiatingtable.ThestrategywasadoptedbyBillClintonduringthe1992presidential 1-4 Councilwassettingupitsfirstwarcrimestribunal.10Youwouldnotknowthatthe SecurityCouncilwasimposingonSerbiathebiggestpackageofeconomicsanctions thathadeverbeenimposed.11So,thereisalotmissingfromthecontext,whichdoes notchangetheviewthatRuperthasrightlyexpressed,thattheSrebrenicadecision andtheSafeAreasdecisionweretakenwithoutproperconsiderationoftheir possibleconsequences,butrelatetothequestionofwhethertherewasastrategy. Therewasastrategy.Itwasabadstrategy,butitwasastrategy.Thestrategywas nottodoliftandstrike,nottodotheVance-Owenpeaceprocess,tosetupacriminal tribunal,toimposesanctionsonSerbia,andhopeforthebest. SHASHITHAROOR:Weneedtotalkaboutthebackground.WhydidMorillongoto Srebrenica?Whatsortofmissionwashedeployedon?Youcannotstartoffwiththe missionwithoutunderstandingwhathewasdoingthere.IwillbeasbriefasIcan, butunfortunatelyIamthepersonherewiththelongestUNinvolvementinthis issue.IwentoutontheveryfirstmissioninOctober1991that[UNUnderSecretary-General]MarrackGouldingundertookwhentheEuropeanCommunity wasanxioustohandthisparticularhotpotatototheUN.Youmayrememberthe Europeanpeacemonitorsbeingcalled"icecreamsalesmen"afewmonthsbefore that.12TherewereEuropeanCommunitymonitorsinCroatiaandBosnia.Ourgoal wastoseewhetherapeacekeepingoperationwasviableforCroatia.Therewas enormouspoliticalpressureonusfromEuropetotakethison.Gouldingwas relativelynewtopeacekeeping,buthadbeenverythoroughlyschooledintheDag Hammarskjöldcatechismofpeacekeeping:thedoctrineofcompleteneutrality,not takingsidesintheconflict,deployinginhighlyvisibleconfigurations,vehicles campaign,andadoptedasofficialU.S.policyinMay1993,butabandonedbecauseofoppositionfrom U.S.allies.See“DecisionsofPrincipalsCommitteeMeetingonBosnia,"May17,1993. 10 TheInternationalCriminalTribunalfortheformerYugoslaviawasestablishedunderUNSecurityCouncil resolution827ofMay25,1993. 11 TheUNSecurityCouncilpassedResolution820onApril17,1993,restrictingimportsandexportsfrom SerbiaandMontenegro.Previousresolutionsincluded713(1991),724(1991),757(1992)and787(1992). 12 SeveralhundredEuropeanobserversweredeployedtoCroatiaaspartoftheEuropeanCommunity MonitoringMissioninJuly1991.Croatsdubbedthem“icecreamsalesmen”becauseoftheiruniformof whitesuitsandwhiteshoes,whichweredesignedtogivethemprotection.See,forexample,Ray Moseley,“EuropeanPeaceTalksOfferLittleHopeofYugoslavSettlement,”ChicagoTribune,September 25,1991. 1-5 paintedwhiteandallthatstuff.Thiswasthelogicwithwhichweapproachedthe entireconcept. UNPROFORwassetup[underUNSecurityCouncilResolution743of February21,1992]forpoliticalreasonseventhoughwementionedinourinitial reporttotheSecurityCouncilthattherewasnoreallyviableconceptof peacekeepingthatallsidesagreedupon.13Wecalledthepeacekeepingforce UNPROFOR,meaningUnitedNationsProtectionForce,whichreflectedGoulding's optimism.Wewerereallynotinthebusinessofprotectinganybodysignificantly. Wehadobserverstobeginwithandlateravery,verysmallmilitarydeployment. WhenthetroublesbeganinBosnia,intheearlyspringof1992,Europeanmembers oftheSecurityCouncilasked[UNSecretary-GeneralBoutros]Boutros-Ghalito extendUNPROFORtoBosnia.Itisoftenoverlookedthatthe[April24,1992]report submittedbytheSecretary-Generalexplicitlysaid,"…inthelightofallthefactors bearingonthecurrentsituationinBosnia-Herzegovina,thedeploymentofapeacekeepingforcetherewasnotfeasible."14Itisthereinblackandwhite,apublic document. Manyofyouarenottooyoungtorememberthewonderfuloldsong,"Ifyou can'tbewiththeoneyoulove,lovetheoneyou'rewith."Sincetheycouldnotfind anyotherresponsetothiscrisisintheSecurityCouncil,theytooktheoneavailable mechanism,namelyUNpeacekeeping,andappliedittoasituationforwhichitwas manifestlynotsuited,astheSecretary-Generalhimselfsaidinblackandwhite.That ishowUNPROFORbackedintopeacekeepinginBosnia. Thecabletrafficthroughout1992fromthefield,uptotheMorillonvisitto SrebrenicainMarch1993,showsthemountingcontradictionsinsuchamandate. Youhaveapeacekeepingoperationwherethereisnopeacetokeep,withamandate designedtoprotectSerbianciviliansinCroatia,andCroatiancivilianscaughtupin thewar.ThatwastheoriginalmandateofUNPROFOR.ItwasinBosniaessentiallyto beablereportbacktotheCouncilthatitwasdoingsomething.WhenSarajevo 13 Boutros-Ghali,“ReportoftheSecretary-GeneralPursuanttoSecurityCouncilResolution721(1991),” S/23280,December11,1991. 14 Boutros-Ghali,“ReportoftheSecretary-GeneralPursuanttoSecurityCouncilResolution749(1992),” S/23836,April24,1992. 1-6 airportfelltotheSerbs,UNPROFORbecamethemechanismtoprizetheairport awayfromthem[inJune1992]andhanditovertointernationalsupervision.15In theabsenceofacoherentvision,UNPROFORwasexpectedtotakeallthison.Itis againstthisbackground,withoutanyverycoherentoragreedconceptorplanof operationsthatMorillongoestoSrebrenicainMarch1993.Thatisaveryshort summaryofsomethingfarmorecomplicatedandmessy,butprovidesthe DepartmentofPeacekeepingOperationsperspectiveatthetimethisSrebrenica adventurebegins. DAVIDHARLAND:Iagreewiththepointthatyoucannotunderstandthefallofthe SafeAreasuntilyouunderstandhowUNPROFORgotintoBosniainthefirstplace. WeshouldalsorememberthattheideaofSafeAreaswasextensivelydiscussedin 1992longbefore“Srebrenica.”ItwasraisedbyAustriaandHungaryinparticular. Thereisaveryinteresting,andIthinkprofound,correspondencerelatingtothe establishmentofSafeAreas.16Theideaactuallycomesupinamessagefrom [AustrianforeignministerAlois]Mockto[InternationalCommitteeoftheRedCross PresidentCornelio]Sommarugaaskingabout“safetyzones”astheyarereferredto intheGenevaConventions.17Sommarugathenrepliessayingthattheyhavecertain characteristics:theyareabsolutelyunarmed,theyarefortheprotectionofhospitals andsoon.HeaskswhetherornottheUNSecretariathasbeenconsulted.Thenthere isanotherletterto[UnitedNationsHighCommissionerforRefugeesSadako]Ogata. Ogatarepliesfirmlyontherecordthatthisisanabsolutelyterribleideawhich,if everused,shouldbelimitedtosimplyprotectinghospitalsbyagreement.The reasonIraisethisisbecauseitshowshowinternationaldecisionsaresometimes made.Anideaentersintoplayandisshapedandchanged.Thefactthatitentered intoplayasanideatobediscountedissomethingthatsometimesgetsforgottenas timegoesby. 15 UNSC,“Resolution758(1992),”June8,1992. ForbackgroundondiscussionofUNSafeAreas,seeparagraphs45-51,of1999UNreportonSrebrenica, A/54/549. 17 AnnantoStoltenberg,“Safeareas,”UNDPKO,MSC-870,May28,1993. 16 1-7 MICHAELDOBBS:WewillcertainlylookattheoriginsoftheSafeAreasconcept,and thedifferencesbetweenthewayinwhichitwasappliedinplaceslikeKurdistanand Bosnia,butletusgotoLarryHollingworthnow.Larry,youaccompaniedGeneral MorillontoSrebrenicainMarch1993.Canyoudescribethecircumstancesofthis visitandwhatyourememberfromthevisit? LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:IwasinBosnia[withtheUnitedNationsHigh CommissionforRefugees]primarilytodeliverhumanitarianaid.Iworkedprimarily inSarajevo,butwewerealwaysremindedthattherewerethese[Muslim-inhabited] enclaves[inSerbian-controlledterritory],andthatweshoulddosomethingabout theseenclaves.18IhadmanagedtogetintoGoraždeandŽepa.Wetriedtogetinto Cerska,butwerekeptout.Wehadthreehumanitarianreliefconvoysdottedaround Bosnia.Wecouldnotmoveanyofthem.WespentthreedaysoutsideZvornik. Finally,MadameOgatasaid“enoughisenough”andpulledusallback.Thiswasthe veryfirsttimethatIfeltthatGeneralMorillonwasinterestedintheconvoys.Hegot agooddebrieffrommeandsaid,"Okay,weshoulddefinitelytrytogetbackinto Cerska."WhileIwaswaitinginthefirstconvoy[outsideZvornik]forthreedays, Kamenicafell.Morillonrangmeupandsaid,“Look,weshoulddefinitelytrytoget intoCerskaagainbutweshouldfirstofalldoanassessment.”Hesaid,“I'dlikeyou tocomewithme,bringa[WorldHealthOrganization]doctorwithyou.Ihave approvalandwewillgetintoCerska.WefirstofallflewtoZvornik.InZvornikwe pickedupanarmoredcarfromtheBritish.WetriedtogetthenintoCerskabutwe wereregularlystoppedintheforest.Idon'tknowwhetheritwastheBosnianside ortheSerbside,buttheycutdownlotsoftreesanditwasverydifficulttomove. WhenwegottotheoutskirtsofCerska,weweremetbythesoldiersofNaser Orić[commanderoftheArmyofRepublicofBosniaandHerzegovina28thDivision], whosaid,“You'retoolate,Cerskahasfallen.”Thiswasagreatblowforus.General Morillon,whowaswithus,said,“Okaylet'smoveonnow.WewillgotoKonjević Polje.”WhenwegotintoKonjevićPolje,theGeneraldecidedthathewouldgoback toZvornikandmeetupwithGeneralMladićandseeifwecouldmakefurther 18 “Bosnia:AreasofControl,”September1994. 1-8 progresstotryandgetintoSrebrenica….Tocutalongstoryshort,thedoctor,Simon Mardel,walkedtoSrebrenica,theGeneralwenttoZvornik,andIreturnedto Sarajevo.ThegeneralthendecidedthatwehadtotakeaconvoyintoSrebrenica.He gotapproval[fromUNPROFORcommander]GeneralWahlgrenandfromKaradzić andMladić. Sooffwewent,withaverysmallconvoy.TherewasanUNMilitaryObserver vehicle,therewasaCanadianarmoredpersonnelcarrier,therewasasmallvehicle withMèdecinsSansFrontiéresinit,andtherewasmyself,withtwovehicles.That wasit.WeweregoingtoenteroverthebridgeatBratunac,buttheSerbstoldusthe bridgewasdownandwehadtogoonasideroad,whichhadnotbeenusedfora longtime.Weweretoldveryclearlythatitwasminedandwasunderameterof snow.SowemovedoffwiththeGeneral,whowasintheAPC.Weweregoingtoo slowlysohezoomedaheadofustogetintoSrebrenica.Iwasthenrunningthe convoy.Thefirstofourtruckshitamineandwasblownup.Unfortunatelythat meantthatthevehiclebehinditcouldnotmoveeithersincetheroadwasonlywide enoughforonevehicle.Alittlebitfurther,welosttheMSFvehicle,whichgotstuck inthesnow.EventuallywelimpedintoSrebrenica,lateatnight[March11,1993]. GeneralMorillonwaswaitingattheoutercheckpointofSrebrenica.Weallwent togetherintoSrebrenicalateatnight.Wewenttothereceptioncommittee,Ithink Muhamed[Duraković]wasthere,intheroomatthetime.Wehadasmallbriefing andthenIspentabouttwohoursoutonthestreetswanderingaround.Itwasminus threedegreesatthetime,andthousandsofpeoplewereoutonthestreets. Thefollowingday[March12,1993]wemetwiththemayorandwithOrić.All seemedtobegoingwell.WehadtwoAmericanswithuswhoweredoing communicationsforus.Afterdoingtherecces,theGeneraldecidedwewouldgo backhome.Weallgotinourvehiclestosetoffandthoughtitwasrathernicethat theentiretowncameoutforus.Wethoughttheywerewavingusoff,buttheywere notwavingusoffatall.Theywerestoppingusfromleaving.Thegeneralsaid“Okay that'sit,wecan'tmove.”Wehadpeoplesaying,“Ifwecan'tgetout,youcan'tget out.”Thatwasthemessagethatwasgiventous.IthinkInowknowthebackground toit.WewenttothePTTbuilding.Thegeneralwasobviouslyworried.Hisgreatest 1-9 fearwasthathewouldbetakenhostageandherehewas,atleast"detained,"in Srebrenica. Weonlyhadonevehiclewithcommunications.CommunicationsintheAPC didnotworksomylittlevehiclebecameakindofheadquarters.Irememberthe general’schiefofstaff,PiersTucker,explainingwhathadhappenedtoBosniaHerzegovinaCommand.Thevoiceontheotherendsaid,"So,youareprisoners? You'vebeentakenhostage."PiersTuckersaid,"No,no,no,we'vejustbeendetained, we'rejustnotallowedtoleave.”Ithoughtitwasalittlesubtlewayofputtingit. Thenextday,GeneralMorillonkepttohimself.Hecameupwithaplantoget upat2:00inthemorningandwalkawayfromthebuilding.PiersTuckerandhis bodyguardwouldpickhimupintheAPC,usingtheexcusethatwehadtomovethe vehiclebecausewecouldnotgetgoodradioreception.Theplanfellapartbecause peoplestoppedthemfrommovingthevehicle.Thegeneralhadtosneakbackinto thePTTbuilding.Hehidintheroom,whichgavetheimpressionthatperhapshe hadleft.Iwouldliketoaskyou[directsquestiontoMuhamedDuraković]whether youthoughthehadleft,orwhetheryoudidnotknowwhetherhehadleft.Inany case,fortwenty-fourhours,nobodycouldseehim. Hefinallycameoutandsaid,“Lar-ry…[ImitatesFrenchaccent,withrolling Rs]Ihaveaplan."HewassmokingDavidoffcigars[makesinhalingsound]. “Lar-ry,you‘avaflag?"Isaid,"Yes,General."Hesaid,"AUNflag?"[Makes inhalingnoise]"Yes,General."Thenhesaid,"Lar-ry,you‘avatannoy?"Isaid,"I thinksoGeneral,yesIthinkso."Andhesaid,"Good."Hesaid,"Getmethemayor." SowegotthemayorandhetoldthemayorthathewantedeverybodyinSrebrenica tobeoutsidethebuilding.Sosureenough,anenormouscrowdofpeopleappeared. Hethensaidtome,"Lar-ry,whenInodmyhead,youputtheflagoutthewindow."I said,"Okay." Sowestoodonthisbalcony.Ihadnoideawhathewasgoingtosay,noidea atall.Hestoodupandhesaidtothepeople,"Icame‘ere[inhales]voluntarily,"he 1-10 said,"Icame‘ereto‘elpyou."Hesaid,"Iamnowputtingyouundertheprotectionof theUnitedNations."Henoddedhishead.Flagout.19[Laughter] Therewasthisenormouscheerfrombelow.Peoplewereclappingand cheeringandshoutingandIthoughttomyself,“There’sonlyeightofushere.”I rememberaCanadiansoldiersaidtome,"Doesthatmean,sirthatwecangoout andwalkaroundthetown?"Isaidtohim,"Noitmeanswecangetoutofhereand protectthetown." ThenextincidentwasthatwehadtoinformBHCommand,whichwasfun.I wentdownwiththeGeneralandwesatinthevehicle.Heexplainedwhatwas happeningtoBrigadierRoddyCordy-Simpson,andexplainedthathehadput SrebrenicaundertheprotectionoftheUnitedNations.IcouldhearBrigadierCordySimpsonsuckinginhisbreath.Theydecidedtotalkagainfourhourslater.The generalsaidtoCordy-Simpson,"Roddy,I‘aveaplan,Iwantthehelicopters‘erefor theevacuationtomorrow."AndCordy-Simpsonsaidtohim,"Umthatisnot consideredtobeagoodidea,sir."Morillonsaid,"Bywhom?"Cordy-Simpsonsaid, "ByBHCommand,sir.""Roddy,”theGeneralsaid,"IamBHCommand." Thefollowingdaytherewerenohelicopters.Wespentaboutthreedays tryingtobringaconvoyin.Mytaskwastofindoutwheretoputthefood.Wehad 200tonsoffoodcominginandapopulationofmaybe30,000veryhungrypeople. Whereareyougoingtoputthiswarehouse?Howareyougoingtoprotectit?How areyougoingtohandoutthefood?Wealsohadthetaskoftryingtoevacuatethe peopleinthehospitalwhichwastheworstthatanybodyhadeverseen. TheGeneralmanagedtogetapprovalforhimselftogooutandorganize anotherconvoytocomein.Whentheconvoyarrived,theyunloadedtheaidbutit wasalsoagreedthattheywouldtakeoutwomenandchildrenandmalesover60. MICHAELDOBBS:Letusreturntotheevacuationquestion,andwhetherthepeople wouldbeevacuatedorprotectedinplace,alittlelater.Ialsowanttoaskyouabout themediacoveragewhichwasveryimportant.Beforewedothat,wewouldliketo 19 FootageavailableinclipofBBCDocumentary,TheDeathofYugoslavia,Part5(YouTube). 1-11 hearfromMuhamed[Duraković],whowasinsidethetown.Couldyoudescribethe situationinsideSrebrenicaatthistimeandtheimpactoftheMorillonvisitandthose wordsofMorillon?Howdidyouinterpretthem? MuhamedDurakovic,R,withLarryHollingworth MUHAMEDDURAKOVIĆ:Thankyouverymuch.Itisanhonorandaprivilegetosee facesthatIhavenotseenfortwentyplusyears.WehavetoputGeneralMorillon’s visitinthecontextofhowthepopulationinSrebrenicawassurvivingatthattime. Thewinterof1992to1993wasthemostdifficultone.Manypeoplenotnativeto Srebrenica,whomanagedtosurvivetheonslaughtandethniccleansingintheDrina Valley,hadmovedintotheenclave.20Themostdifficultthingforuswasbeing unabletocommunicateoursituationtothoseoutsideSrebrenica.Peoplelivingin SarajevoortheBihaćpocket,andotherplacesaroundBosnia-Herzegovina,were alsoinaverydifficultsituation,butwefeltlikewewereinhabitingthislonelyisland inthemiddleofmurkywaters.Wehadverylittletohopefor.Thefirstsignthat someonewasthinkingaboutthepopulationofSrebrenicaandtryingtoassistus 20 AccordingtoaJanuary1994surveyconductedbytheSrebrenicamunicipality,morethan16,000people fromothermunicipalitieshadfledtoSrebrenica,bringingthetotalpopulationto37,000.Seealso“Report oftheSecurityCouncilMissionEstablishedPursuanttoResolution819(1993),”S/25700,April30,1993. 1-12 camewiththeairdropsinFebruary1993.21IalwaysmentionLarryinmy presentationsonSrebrenica. Iwasseventeenyearsoldandinhighschoolwhenthewarstartedin1992.I wouldwalkawayfromSrebrenicaupintothemountains,hopingthatIwouldbethe luckyonetoseetheseairdrops.Thestrategywastodispersethefoodinmany differentlocationssothatitwouldnotendupontheblackmarket,sothatmany peoplewouldgetaccesstoit.Forthesafetyoftheaircraftandthepilots,thefood wasusuallydroppedfromveryhighaltitudes.Wewouldlookupintotheskyand heartheplanes,butnotbeabletoseethem.Wewouldstandinthemiddleofthe forestincompletedarknessat2:00inthemorning.Thenwewouldsuddenlyhear the"poof,poof,poof,"[makessuccessionofpoppingnoises]ofparachutesopening. Theskywouldlightupwithbrightcolors,yellowishandgreenish.Theseweresmall flareshangingonthecornersoftheseparachutes.ItwasasifChristmashad returnedtoSrebrenica.ActuallyitlookedlikealargeChristmastreefallingfromthe sky.MyimpressionwasconfirmedwhenImetMr.SantaClaushere[referringto LarryHollingworth,photoabove]whenhecametoSrebrenica. ThiswasthefirsttimeinmylifethatIhadmetforeigners.Iwasyoung,I livedinaverysmall,isolatedcommunity,andIwasnotverywelltraveled.Itwasan extraordinaryexperience.Herewerepeoplewillingtorisktheirlivestotravelto Srebrenicaunderverydifficultcircumstances.Youmayhavegottheimpressionthat youwerebeingdetained,butIthinkthelocalpopulationneverfeltlikeyouwere beingdetained.YouwerealwaysverywelcometocometoSrebrenica.Toexplain ourperspective,however,welearnedthroughthegrapevinethattheinternationals hadmovedtoCerska,andCerskafalls.ThentheyareinKonjevićPoljeandKonjević Poljeisquicklyrunover.WhentheyfinallycametoSrebrenica,thisseemedlikea verybadpattern.Thelessonwetookfromthiswas:iftheygo,wewillalldie.There weresomeattempts,asyoumentioned,topreventtheUNfromleaving,butitwas notreallyorganized.Itwaspurelyaccidental. 21 LaketoClinton,“PresidentialDecisionforHumanitarianAirDropsforBosnia,”TheWhiteHouse, February19,1993. 1-13 BythetimeyouarrivedfromKonjevićPolje[addressesHollingworth], peoplewhosurvivedtheCerskaandtheKonjevićPoljeonslaughtswerearrivingon footfromKonjevićPolje.IttakesatleastoneortwodaystowalkfromKonjević PoljetoSrebrenica.Bythetimeyouweregettingreadytoleave,thesepeoplewere comingintothetown.Theyhadnoplacetostay,sotheysatdownonthestreetsof Srebrenica.Itwasverycold,itwassnowing.Therewerewomenandchildren makingfiresinthemiddleoftheroad.Itmayhaveappearedtoyouthatsomeone wastryingtoblockyou,butinreality,thesepeoplehadnoplacetogo,theydidnot knowanyoneinSrebrenica. Ofcourse,whenfinallyGeneralMorillonmadethatfamousstatementfrom thePTTbuilding,wecitizensofSrebrenicafeltthatwehadsurvived.Wereally thoughtthiswastheendofoursuffering,wehaveagainbecomepartofthecivilized world,andwewillsurvivetheatrocitiestowhichwehavebeenexposedduringthe previousyear. MICHAELDOBBS:BeforeweaskhowthisinformationwasreceivedattheUN,could Larrytellushowthenewsgotout.IfMorillonhadmadethatdeclarationwith nobodytohearitexceptforthepeopleofSrebrenica,thatwouldhavehadacertain impact.Buttherewerejournalistspresent.Thatchangedthenatureoftheevent, right? LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:ThereweretwojournalistsinsideSrebrenica,whohad madetheirownwayin.OnewasaGermanphotographer,Phillippvon Recklinghausen,andtheotherwasacameramancalledTonyBirtley,whowas freelancingforABC.22Bothofthemweretherebeforewegotin.Theyhadtaken someverygoodfilm,buthadneverbeenabletogetitout.Theyfilmedtheepisode oftheflagcomingoutofthewindowandwhateverelse.Iwasleavingwiththe convoy,becausemyfinaltaskwastogetpeopleontheconvoywhichwasan absolutenightmarebecausethousandsofpeoplewentonthetrucks.AsIwasgoing 22 VonRecklinghausenarrivedinSrebrenicaonFebruary8-9,1993,andwaswoundedinthearm,whenhe steppedonamine.Birtleyarrivedaroundthesametime.Bothjournalistswereevacuatedfrom Srebrenicabyhelicopter. 1-14 out,TonyBirtleysaidtome,“Willyoutakeoutallofmyfilm?”Itwasagamble becauseIcouldhavebeensearchedandIcouldhavelostthem.ItoldhimthatI wouldtakethemoutifhewaspreparedtotaketherisk.Itookthemandgavethem toABC.Theywerearoundtheworldandineverynewspaperwithinhoursof usgettingout. MICHAELDOBBS:HowlongbetweentheMorillonspeech[declaringSrebrenicato beundertheprotectionoftheUN]andthefilmappearingonthenews? LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:Ithinkaboutfourdays.23 MICHAELDOBBS:Itwouldbealmostinstantaneoustoday.Inthiscase,ittookfour daysandthefilmhadtobesmuggledout. LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:ItwasasadstoryforVonRecklinghausen.Hegavehis filmstosomebodywholostthem.Heshotabouttwelveweeks’worthoffilmwith littletoshowforit. VEREHAYES:Iwasat[UNPROFORBHCommand]atKiseljakonareccetotakeover fromCordy-Simpsonwhenallofthiswasgoingon.Hewasextremelyconcernedby whatwashappening.NotonlydidhehavetogetintouchwithNewYorkandthe UN,butinthenextdoorofficeFrenchSpecialForceswereplanninganindependent nationalcovertoperationtogoinandgetGeneralMorillonout.Idon'tknowhow widelyknownthatis,butitwascertainlytakenprettyseriouslyatthetime. TOMBLANTON:Ithinkatonepointyoudescribethesmokeofcigarettesleaking underthedooroftheofficetheywereusing. VEREHAYES:Yes,thedoorwaslocked.TherewerealotofGauloisesbeingsmoked, alotofcoffeegoingin.Itcertainlyfilteredaroundtheheadquarters. TOMBLANTON:MinisterMuratović. 23 ThefootageairedonABC’sWorldNewsTonightwithPeterJenningsonMarch16,1993. 1-15 HASANMURATOVIĆ:WeheardthatthearrivalofMorillonchangedthingsin SrebrenicabutIwouldliketoexplainwhyMorillonwenttoSrebrenica.Hewas responsiblefortheSarajevosector.HewenttotheTuzlasectorbyhisowndecision, withoutaskinganybody’sapprovalorevenopinion.Ourdeputyprimeminister, HakijaTurajlić,hadbeenkilledonJanuary8inaFrenchAPC.TheAPCstoppedata checkpointneartheairport,whereallnegotiationstookplaceandstayedtherefor twohourswiththeSerbs.The[Frenchpeacekeepers]didnotaskforanysupportin accordancewiththerules.Aftertwohourstheyopenedthedoorandthedeputy primeministerwaskilled[bytheSerbs]. Laterintheevening,around1a.m.,wehadagovernmentmeetingto organizetheburialanddiscussthewholematter.GeneralMorillonappearedatthis meeting,eventhoughhehadnotbeeninvited.Hecameandsatontheside.Heasked ifhecouldcontributesomethingtotheburialorarrangeformoresecurityforthe burial.RusmirMahmutćehajić,theministerwhochairedthemeeting,accused Morillonofresponsibilityforthedeathofourdeputyprimeminister.Hesaid,"We suspectyouofhavingapartinit."Initially,Morillondidnotreact,butlatersaidit wasuntrue,andtriedtoproveitwasuntrue.Mahmutćehajićthenaskedhimto leavethemeetingandsaidthatwedidnotwanttodobusinesswithhimanymore. Weneverpublicizedoursuspicions,anddidnothaveanyevidenceabout Morillon’sinvolvement.24Butheprobablywantedtodosomethinggoodandprove thathewasnotinanywayinvolvedinthecase.HewenttoSrebrenicaallofa sudden,andthenwenttoBelgradeforseveraldaystonegotiatewithMilošević.This wasoutsidehisareaofresponsibilityattheUN.Hesucceededinnegotiationswith theSerbsandgothumanitarianconvoysintoSrebrenica,whichhadnotbeen allowedtopassforseveralmonths.Inouropinion,thiswasarewardbytheSerbs forhispartintheexecutionofHakijaTurajlić. 24 SeeJohnBurns,“BosnianMuslimsCriticizeU.N.OverOfficial’sKilling,”NewYorkTimes,January10, 1993.ABosniangovernmentstatementissuedonJanuary9,1993,accusedMorillonoffailingtoprotect Turajlićandcoveringupeventsthatledtothekilling.Morilloncalledtheincident“atragedyoferrors” andthe“theworstblowofmycareer.”MuratovićsaidthattheBosniangovernmentsuspectedthat MorillonwasinvolvedintheTurajlićexecutionandwenttoSrebrenicatogetawayfromSarajevo. 1-16 TOMBLANTON:Thankyouverymuch.LetmeaskShashitodescribethereactionin DPKOtotheMorillon"declaration”placingthepeopleofSrebrenica“underUN protection.” SHASHITHAROOR:AsIsaid,wehadanunclearmandate.The“protection”partof UNPROFOR,asfarasBosniawasconcerned,essentiallymeantprotectionof humanitarianconvoys.Fromourpointofview,thehumanitarianmissionwas obviouslyextremelyimportant.Atthesametime,andthiswasverymuchGeneral Wahlgren’sviewasthecommanderontheground,wewereanxiousnottobe drawnintotheconflict.Wewerethereasapeacekeepingforce.Ourapproachwas basedonacomplicatedsetofpremises.Weneededtoprotecthumanitarianaid deliveriestoallsides.WeneededtoprotecttheUNpersonneldispersingthataid. Wealsoneededtoensurethataiddeliverieswerenotusedbyonesideinthe conflicttomakeusapartytotheconflict. NoneofushadaproblemwiththeideaoftheUNsteppingasideandallowing Westerngovernments,iftheywanted,totakesidesandendthewar,buttherewas absolutelynoindicationofthenecessarypoliticalwillintheWesttodothat. ThebandaidapproachthattheSecurityCouncilwaspushingwasinfacta reflectionoftheabsenceofpoliticalwillforadefinitiveconclusionoftheconflict. Wethereforefoundourselvesmanagingapeacekeepingoperationundertherules ofpeacekeepingwithalltheusualconfigurationpatterns,includingwhitevehicles, liaisonwithallpartiesandsoon.ThiswasatatimewhentheSerbswerereluctant tolethumanitarianaidthroughbecausetheythoughtitbolsteredthemilitary strengthoftheiropponents.TheBosnianshopedthatattacksonhumanitarian convoyswouldirresistiblydragtheUNintotheconflictontheirside.Wewere caughtinthemiddle. ObviouslywehadnoproblemwiththeUNgoingtoSrebrenicaanddelivering aid.ThatiswhattheUNwassupposedtobedoing.However,weweresomewhat takenabackbythedramaticdeclarationbyMorillon.Wedidnotdisavowhimatany pointbecausewealsorecognizedthatsignificantvoicesontheSecurityCouncil welcomedhisstatement.Wewantedtoseehowwecouldinterpretthatinaway 1-17 thatwouldkeepusviableasapeacekeepingforcewhichiswhattheCouncilwanted ustoremain.Iamsorrythatisnotaverycoherentreplybutnothingaboutthis affairwascoherentatthetime.Thiswasthesetofballswithwhichwewere jugglingaswetriedtodealwiththesituation. TotakeupDavidHarland'spointabouttheearlierdiscussionsonSafeAreas: thesediscussionswererelatedtoveryspecificideasofsafehavenswhichrequireda numberofelementstobeviableininternationallaw.TheICRCconceptwasbased ondemilitarization.Wewerehappytodothis,buthowdoyoudemilitarize SrebrenicawhentheBosnianarmysaysitisdefendingitsownpeoplethere?You don'tdemilitarize.Whentheyfireoutfromthisareaandarefiredbackupon,what istheroleoftheUN?ArewejoiningtheBosnianArmy?Theseweresomeofthe fundamentaldilemmasthatwefacedbecauseofthepeacekeepingnatureofour mandate. TOMBLANTON:AmbassadorWalker. JENONNEWALKER:Ithinkseveralthemesareemerginghere.Thefirst,obviously,is thefollyofcallingsomethinga“protectionforce,”orevena“peacekeepingforce,” whenhasnointentionofprotectinganyone.Itisa“violationobservingforce”rather thanapeacekeepingforce.Thenotionofbeingneutralbetweentheattackerandthe victimoftheattackerputstheUNandparticipatingcountriesinanimpossible position.Iamalsostruckbythenumberofthingsthatweredonetolookasifwe weredoingsomethingwhen,infact,wewerenotwillingtodoanythingserious. ThisverymuchincludesthegovernmentforwhichIworked.IwasintheClinton administrationthefirstnineteenmonthsorso[from1993tomid-1994].We believedverymuch—notthroughoutthegovernment,butatleastintheWhite House—thattheWestoughttodothekindofthingsRupertSmithtalksaboutinThe UtilityofForce,butwewerenotwillingtoparticipateinsuchaneffortourselves. WethoughtourEuropeanalliesoughttobetakingalotmoreriskthanwe werepreparedtoassumeourselves.Wethereforedidvariousperipheralthingsto makeusfeelthatwewereorasifweweredoingsomethingandmakeitappearto 1-18 theoutsideworldthatweweredoingsomething.Iamgratifiedtohearthatyou thoughtthefooddropswereuseful.Itoothinktheywereuseful.Itwasthefirst initiativewetookbutitwasperipheraltothebasicproblem.Itwasameliatory ratherthantryingtosolvetheproblem.OurattitudetowardthecreationoftheSafe Areaswasexactlythesame.WethoughtitwasfollytocallsomethingaSafeArea thatwehadnomeansorintentofkeepingsafe.Butwehadzeropoliticalormoral credibilitybecausewewerenotwillingtoparticipateourselves.Afteryearsof blatheringinNATOaboutsharingrisksandresponsibilities,wewerenotwillingto participate. MICHAELDOBBS:Tofollowuponthat.PresidentClintontookofficeinJanuary 1993aftercriticizingthepreviousBushadministrationforditheringonBosnia.He promisedamoreenergeticapproach.Soyoucomeintoofficeandthe“tarbaby,”as SenatorMcCaincalledit,ishandedtoyou.25Whydidyounottakeamoreenergetic approach,aswasadvocatedduringthecampaign? JENONNEWALKER:Avarietyofunsatisfactoryreasons.PresidentClinton's majoradvisersweredeeplydivided.[ChairmanoftheJointChiefsofStaff] ColinPowell,whospokewithgreatauthority,didnotwantusengagedatall.None ofusfullyappreciatedtheimportanceofPresidentClinton'sdraftevasion.Colin wouldhavetoldsomefavoritereporterthatthisdraft-dodgingPresidentwasrashly riskingAmericanlives.Almostalltheprincipalschangedtheirminds,noonemore oftenthan[SecretaryofState]WarrenChristopher.[NationalSecurityAdvisor] TonyLakeconsistentlywantedamorerobustAmericanengagement.Buthedidnot wanttoputthepresidentinthepositionofchoosingbetweenhisadvisers.Clinton wasevenmoreneuroticthanmostpoliticiansaboutwantingtobelovedby everybody.Sowedrifted. Wedidsomeusefulperipheralthings.WedeliveredBosnianagreement toVance-Owen,whichtheworldforgets.Wedidsobygettingridofaprovisionthat 25 SeeMichaelWines,“ConflictintheBalkans;SenatorWhoSawWarUpCloseDoesn’tWanttoSee Another,”NewYorkTimes,May5,1993. 1-19 wouldhavemeantthedissolutionofBosniaunlesstheSerbsagreedotherwise.26 Butallofthesethingswereperipheraltothebasicproblem.“Liftandstrike”was ourfirstseriousproposal.ThedebateinWashingtonduringthoseearlymonthswas betweenanairstrikecommitmentonlyandairstrikeslinkedtoliftingthearms embargo.27 Thereason“liftandstrike”waschosenwasbecausewebelieveditwould giveusanendpointofthestrikecommitment.Wewouldhaveacertainnumberof monthsduringwhichwewouldhelparmandtraintheBosnians.Theywouldthen beontheirown.Ofcourse,thiswasnonsense:oncewehadgonethatfarin supportingtheBosnians,wewouldhavebeencommittedtotheirdefenseifthey continuedtobeattacked.Thiswasacarryoverfromthe“Vietnamsyndrome”:there hadtobeanexitpoint. WedidnotgetreallyseriousuntilAugust1993,whenweproposedtoNATO aseriousairstrikethreatwithseriousintenttocarryitout.28Wegotboggeddown inthe“dualkey”issue,whichwasanothermess.Weslowlygotmoreseriousastime wenton,butalotofpeoplediedwhileweweredelaying.Thatisnotasatisfactory answerbutit'sthebestonewehave. SHASHITHAROOR:AmbassadorWalkermentionedtheVance-Owenplan.29Ithink itisimportanttounderstandthatthiswasthelinchpinoftheinternational community'sstrategyatthetime.Weshouldhavementionedthisearlier.TheUN 26 TheVance-OwenPeacePlan[VOPP)dividedBosniainto10cantons,orsemi-autonomousregions,each dominatedbyaseparateethnicgroup.TheplancalledforSarajevotobeadministeredjointly,under internationalauthority.BosnianPresidentIzetbegovićagreedtothepeaceplaninaceremonyintheUN buildinginNewYorkonMarch25,1993,onconditionthattheSerbsalsosign.BosnianSerbleader RadovanKaradzićoriginallyagreedtotheplanonApril30,butitwasrejectedbytheRepublikaSrpska nationalassemblyonMay6.Inhisbook,BalkanOdyssey,OwenacknowledgesthatUSenvoyReginald Bartholomewwas“helpfulinnursingtheBosnia-Herzegovinagovernmentoverthefinalhurdle.”The Bosniangovernmentobjectedtotheplanonthegroundsthatthecentralgovernmentwouldlikelyhave beentooweaktoruleovertheethnicallydividedcountry. 27The“liftandstrike”policyenvisagedliftingthearmsembargoagainstBosnianMuslimsandCroats accompaniedbythethreatofairstrikesagainstBosnianSerbforcesiftheycontinuedshellingcivilians. 28 RogerGeorge&GeorgeKolttoDirectorofCentralIntelligence,“LikelyAlliedReactionstoUnilateralUS ActionsinBosnia,”NIC1046/93,August5,1993. 29 SeeBoutros-Ghali,“ReportoftheSecretary-GeneralontheActivitiesoftheICFY:PeaceTalksonBosnia andHerzegovina,”S/25479,March26,1993,foradetaileddescriptionofVance-Owenandthepositions ofthewarringparties. 1-20 wastryingtopush--andtheUSwasonboardatthetime--apeacesettlementthat wouldhavebeendestroyedhadwebeenobligedtotakesideswithoneofthethree parties.ThechancesofVance-Owenhappeningwouldhavebeenunderminedifwe hadfoundourselvestakingthesideoftheBosnianarmy.WhiletheUSmayhave beencaughtupinitsowninternaldeliberations,theUSbackedVance-Owenand broughttheBosniangovernmentonboard,asAmbassadorWalkerhasmentioned. JENONNEWALKER:Ourofficialpositionwasthatwewouldnotendorseanything thatallthepartieshadnotacceptedbutquietlyRegBartholomew[Clinton’sspecial envoyonBosnia]gottheBosnianagreement.I'mnotgoingtopretendthatthere wasanythingcoherentaboutourpolicy. DIEGOARRIA:TheSecurityCouncil’sconcernaboutthesituationinSrebrenicawas promptedbythevideosHollingworthhastalkedaboutthatwereshownonTV[on March16,1993].TherewasaTVscreenoutsidetheroomwhereinformalsessions oftheSecurityCouncilwereheld.WesawvideoofeventsinSrebrenicathathadnot beenbroughttoourattentionbytheUNSecretariatorbytheUNPROFORmedia personnel,andevenlessbytheUKandFrancewhobothhadasignificantmilitary presenceinBosnia.ThispromptedmetoconveneanurgentmeetingofthenonalignedmembersoftheUNSC:Pakistan,Morocco,CapeVerdeandVenezuela.We tookadvantageofthefactthatthePakistanrepresentative,JamsheedMarker,was presidingovertheCouncilatthistime.Acouncilmeetingwasheldthateveningat ourrequest.ThatwashowSrebrenicaenteredtheagendaoftheSecurityCouncil: viaajournalist’svideo,andnotbytheUNSecretary-Generalasshouldhavebeenthe case. IneverbelongedtoalesswellinformedgroupthantheUNSecurityCouncil.I saythisnotasajoke.Itisatruefact,anditwasdonenotbyignorancebutbydesign. Onlythepermanentmembersarefullyinformedaboutwhatishappeningonthe ground.TheUNSecretariataccommodatesthesepowersbyhidinginformation,or aswesawlater,evenbyhelpingtocoverupoperations,aswiththecaseofthe“slow motiongenocide”thatoccurredbeforetheireyesinSrebrenica.Sucharealityhelps 1-21 toexplainsomeofthepositionsoftheCouncilnotonlyinBosniabutlaterin Rwanda.ThesamebehaviorappliestotheP5membersoftheCouncilwhichdonot shareenoughinformationtotheothernon-permanentmembers.Theyputaside theirobligationundertheChartertopreservepeaceandsecuritytoaccommodate theirnationalinterest. Acaseinpoint:thekillingofHakijaTurajlićinJanuary1993whileenrouteto SarajevoairportinanUNPROFORAPC.Ipersonallytooktheinitiativetoinvestigate hismurder.TheSerbsshothimafteraFrenchcolonel[PatriceSartre]openedthe door.TheFrenchtroopsneitherreturnedfire,norcalledforreinforcements. UNPROFOR,aswellastheUNSecretariat,carriedonaverymediocreevaluationof thecase.Atthetime,Ievenrequestedtheadviceofaformerattorneygeneralin CanadaaswellasanAmericanprosecutor.Theybothdeclaredthatjusticehadnot beenservedinthecase.IfheSerbscouldmurdertheDeputyPrimeMinisterof BosniawhileunderUNprotection,thatshowedtheycouldliterallygetawaywith murder. ColonelSartrewaslaterpromotedanddecoratedinFranceforhis“bravery.” FormonthsIkeptaskingforareviewofthecase,butthisneverhappened.Itwasa monumentalcrimethatwasshamefullycoveredupbyallparties. DAVIDHANNAY:AlittlefromtheBritishpointofviewaboutthebackgroundtoall this.BritishinvolvementinBosniawastransformedbackinAugust1992asaresult oftheLondonConference.30Havinghadpracticallynomilitaryontheground,we actuallysentasubstantialnumberforahumanitarianprotectionoperationthrough theterriblewinterof1992-1993.31Intheautumnof1992,CyVancehadwarned thattherecouldbemillionsofpeopledeadinBosniathatwinterunlesssomething wasdone.32TheBritishgovernmentwasthereforeinthisuptoitsneck. 30 TheUnitedNationsandtheEuropeanCommunityconvenedameetinginLondononAugust26-27, 1992,thatchargedtheInternationalConferenceontheFormerYugoslavia[ICFY]withnegotiatingapeace settlement. 31 AccordingtodatacollectedbytheUnitedNationsPeacekeepingwebsite,therewere2,874UKtroopsin UNPROFORasofDecember31,1992. 32 See,forexample,“VancetoUN:TroopsareneededinBosnia,”ChicagoTribune,October15,1992. 1-22 WehadalotoftroopsdeployedbyMarch1993,buttheywereneither deployednorequippedtofightawar.ShortlybeforeClintontookoffice[onJanuary 20,1993],JohnMajor,whowasthenprimeminister,goteverybodytogetherin DowningStreet,includingalotofministers,military,andmyselfbackfromNew York.Heasked,"Whatarewegoingtodo?"Theviewofthatgatheringwaswemust telltheAmericansthatwemustdowhateverwedotogetherbecauseotherwiseit wasnotgoingtowork.Thatmessagemayhavebeenpassed,butitcertainlydidnot resonate. MICHAELDOBBS:Whatdatewasthat? DAVIDHANNAY:ItwouldhavebeenthefirstweekofJanuary1993,beforethe presidenttookover.AfterthetransferofpowerintheUS,thefirstthingthat emergedoutofwhatseemedtousfairlyconfuseddiscussionswas"LiftandStrike." LiftandStrikewasanightmareforanyonewhohadtroopsonthegroundinBosnia. Hadthatpolicybeenaccepted,thefirstthingyouwouldhavehadtodowasto extractyourtroops.NoneoftheEuropeanswantedtodothatbuttheyalsodidnot wanttobeputintoapositionwheretheSerbswouldconsidertheirtroopsthe enemy.Thisiswhatpreoccupiedeveryoneduringthosethreeorfourmonthsatthe beginningof1993.ItwastearingNATOapartuntiltheUnitedStatesdroppedthe policywhichcausedacertainloweringoftension. AtthesametimetherewasnorealalternativepolicytotheVance-Owen peaceprocess.IagreeverymuchwithwhatJenonnesaid.TheUnitedStatesdid, betweenclenchedteeth,givesomesupporttoitintheearlyweeks.Reg BartholomewcertainlygottheBosniangovernmenttoagreetoit.33Butwhenwe weredraftingoneoftheseresolutions[UNSC820]inApril,wetriedtogetthe SecurityCounciltotelltheBosnianSerbsthattheinternationalcommunitywould sticktotheVance-Owenplanuntilhellfrozeoverandtheyhadbetterrealizethat. Thatwastherightdiplomaticmovetomake.AfteragreatdealofdebateinNew Yorkwhich,alas,allcameoutinthepublicdomain,theUnitedStatesrefusedtoput 33 SeeMarkTran,“IzetbegovicagreestodivideBosnia,”TheGuardian,March26,1993. 1-23 theword"endorse"intoaresolution.Afteralotoftoingandfroingwith Washington,weweretoldthatthefurthestSecretaryofStateWarrenChristopher wouldgowastoputtheword"commend"in.34ThatwastheendofVance-Owen. Thepeaceplanwasdead.AsShashisaid,thiswasthebiggamethateveryonewas playing.TheVance-Owenpeaceplanwasthestrategy,butitwaskilledinthemiddle oftheaction.Srebrenica,ofcourse,wasgoingonallthistime. JORISVOORHOEVE:Irememberthattheliftandstrikepolicy,evenwhenitwasn't supportedanymorebytheUSadministration,lingeredoninCongressuntilthe springof1995.IhadquiteanargumentatthetimewithSenatorMcCainwho advocatedliftandstrike.ItwasalsostrikingattheMunichconference,inFebruary 1995thattheentireAmericandelegationwasstilltalkingaboutliftandstrike, whichweinEuropethoughtwasthewrongpolicy. MICHAELDOBBS:WeshouldexaminesomeofthesespecificUNResolutions.Let’s beginwiththefirstone,UNSC819,adoptedonApril16,1993.35Itwasfollowedby theSecurityCouncilvisittoSrebrenica,ledbyDiegoArria,onApril25.Howwasthis resolutionpassed?Whatdiditactuallysay?Howwasitmeanttobeimplemented? WehaveaninterestingdynamicaroundthetablebetweentheSecurityCouncil memberswhopassedtheresolutionandthepeacekeepersonthegroundwhotried toimplementtheresolutionasbestastheycould.PerhapsDiegoArriacouldtellus whattheresolutionwasmeanttoachieve.ThenwewillaskGeneralHayesto describehowUNPROFORattemptedtoimplementtheresolution. 34 UNSC,“Resolution820(1993),”S/RES/820,April17,1993.U.S.policy-makersopposedtheVance-Owen peaceplanonbothmoralandpragmaticgrounds.DuringaFebruary24,1993pressconference,Albright statedthatVance-Owenplanamountedto“rewardingaggressionandpunishingthevictims.”Christopher earlierpubliclyexpresseddoubtsaboutthe“feasibility”and“practicality”oftheVance-Owenformula, tellingtheSenateForeignRelationsCommitteethattheUSshould“investigateotheroptions.”(SeeJohn GoshkoandJuliaPreston,“U.S.officialsresistpressuretoendorseBosniaPeacePlan,”WashingtonPost, February4,1993.) 35 UNSC,“Resolution819(1993),”S/RES/819,April16,1993. 1-24 DIEGOARRIA:TheSecurityCouncilapprovedamissiontoBosniaandSrebrenica, [April23-26,1993],thatIhadtheprivilegetolead.36Tomysurprise,itwasthefirst missioneversentbytheUnitedNationsSecurityCounciltothetheaterofconflict. AssoonaswelandedinSarajevoIfoundoutwhythiswasthecase.Therewasa policyofkeepingnon-PermanentmembersoftheSecurityCounciluninformed.We landedinSarajevothinkingweweregoingtonegotiatesomething,butitwas alreadyfinished.Ademilitarizationagreementhadalreadybeensignedbythe partiesonApril18,withtheassistanceofGeneralHayes.37 Wethoughtitwasveryimportant,andevenBoutros-Ghaliagreed,thatwe shouldtakeacontingentofinternationaljournaliststoSrebrenicatoreinforcethe resolution.ThejournalistswhotraveledwithusfromNewYorkwereprevented,by UNPROFOR,fromtravelingwithustoSrebrenica.Eventhedelegationmembers werealmostpreventedfromenteringSrebrenica.GeneralHayeswillrememberthat therewerediscussionsthatmorninginZvornik,andthattheyalmostdidnotallow theSecurityCouncilmemberstotraveltoSrebrenica.AndréErdöswasalsothere. Youcanimagineourreactiontothesituation. Intheend,weforcedourwaythrough.IwentwithGeneralHayesinoneof thehelicopters.MycolleagueshadtowaitinZvornikwithaSerbcoloneluntilwe gottotheotherside.UNPROFORevencooperatedindisarmingthemembersofthe delegationofourcamerasduringthevisit.Irefusedtogiveupmycameraandtook theonlyphotoswhichwerelaterusedbyReuters.UNPROFORhadaladyfilmingthe wholethingbutIhaveneverbeenabletoseethatvideo. MICHAELDOBBS:LetusrecallthelanguageofUNSC819,whichsays,"...acting underChapterVIIoftheCharteroftheUnitedNations,"i.e.thepeaceenforcement provision,theSecurityCouncil"demandsthatallpartiesandothersconcernedtreat SrebrenicaanditssurroundingsasaSafeAreawhichshouldbefreefromanyarmed attackoranyotherhostileact."Howdidyouthinkthatresolutionwouldbe enforced? 36 UNSC,“ReportoftheSecurityCouncilMissionEstablishedPursuanttoResolution819(1993),”S/25700, April30,1993. 37SefirHalilović&RatkoMladić,“AgreementfortheDemilitarizationofSrebrenica,”April18,1993. 1-25 DIEGOARRIA:Wedidnothaveanyhopeofthathappening.Wewereaddressing internationalpublicopinionratherthantheCouncilitself,describingthe devastationofthepeopleofSrebrenica.ItwasnotdifficultfortheCounciltoagree ontheresolution,becausetherewerenocommitmentsonthepartofanybody.It waspourlagalerie[“forthepublicgallery”],astheFrenchwouldsay.Itwasa resolutionwithoutanycostorconsequencesexcepttoaccommodatetheSerbs. MICHAELDOBBS:Whenyoupassedthatresolution,didyouthinkthatUNPROFOR hadthedutytoenforceitbyitself,orthatitshouldreachagreementwiththeparties onhowtoenforceit?Howwastheresolutionmeanttobeenforced,inyourview? DIEGOARRIA:WewerenotverywellinformedabouttherealitiesofUNPROFOR, whichbythewayisamisnomer.Withsuchagrandiosename,UnitedNations “ProtectionForce,”wethoughtsomethingwouldbedone.Afewdayslater,of course,wediscoveredthatthiswasnotthecase. Inproposingthetextoftheresolution,IhadwritteninSpanish,“Areas Protegidas,”or“ProtectedAreas.”TheUSandUKtranslatedthisas“SafeAreas”and theFrenchas“ZonesdeSecurité.”Thiswasmorethanjustsemantics.“Protected” wouldhavemeantreallyenforcingtheresolution.“Safe”meantnothing,asweall foundoutveryquickly.Therewerenoobligationsunderthe“SafeArea”concept. SHASHITHAROOR:IfyoureadUNSC819carefully,youwillseethatitcallsonthe partiestotreatSrebrenicaassafe.Itenjoinsnonewresponsibilitiesonthe internationalcommunity,ifthepartiesfailtotreatSrebrenicaassafe,UNPROFOR hastheresponsibilitytoactinself-defense.Oneofthefundamentalproblemswe hadthroughoutthisoperationisthatdiplomaticdraftingconductedwith greatfinesseandaplombbyveryskilleddiplomatsservedasanendinitself.Itwas notlinkedtooperationalrealitiesontheground. WhileweweretalkingintheSecurityCouncilaboutUNSC819,ontheground unknowntous,GeneralWahlgren,GeneralHalilović(theBosniancommander),and GeneralMladićhadnegotiatedandsignedademilitarizationagreementthatwasnot 1-26 explicitlycalledforin819.38Wehadnotaskedforitbecauseitwouldlookasifwe weretakingsidesagainsttheBosnians.Wehadnotaskedforitbecausewedidn't thinkforGod'ssakethatitcouldbeviablyimplementedbyus. IwanttodrawyourattentiontotheAnnancableofApril23,1993whichI confessIwrote.39TheseareourinstructionstoWahlgrenfollowingaphonecallI hadwithhimearlier.Withoneortwoexceptions,mostofthecablessignedbyKofi Annanweredraftedbyme.InthiscablewetellWahlgrenthat"...the demilitarizationofSrebrenicawasastepagreedbytheparties,notoneproposedby theUnitedNations."WetellWahlgrenthatUNPROFORismerely"lendingitsgood officestohelpbothpartiesfulfillthecommitmentstheyhavemadetoeachother." Wewereextremelyconsciousthroughoutofthesevereoperationallimitations. Ialsohaveasentenceheresaying,"...however,UNPROFORtakesonamoral responsibilityforthesafetyofthedisarmedthatitclearlydoesnothavethemilitary resourcestohonourbeyondapoint."Iwrotethesewordsinsomedistressbecause thiswasnotanactionweinheadquartershadauthorizedorrecommended. UNPROFORhadtakeniton.Ofcourse,theSerbsweregoingtousethisasawayto disarmtheirrivals.40But,equallynow,itgotembeddedintotheconcept.Ifthe BosnianMuslims,ortheBosnianArmyofficially,hadnotbeendisarmed,and thereforecouldcontinuetofightoutofthepocket,didthepocketsuddenlystop beingaSafeAreaintermsofwhattheCouncilintendedin819? Ikeepharpingbacktothecentraldilemma:whatwasourrole?Thebestthing wouldhavebeeniftheUShadmadeuptheirmindsearlyenough,talkedtotheBrits andtheFrenchandsaid,“PulltheUNoutandlet'sgotowar.”Thatwouldhavebeen thesimplest,clearestthing,buttheywerenotdoingthat.TheyhadtheUNdeployed there,makingpeaceasanoperation,tryingtobeneutralamongtheparties,trying toensurethattheUNpresencedidnotbecomeamilitaryadvantagetoanyoneof theparties,whileatthesametimeallthiswasgoingoninthecapitals,withoutany coherentconclusions.IwouldcommendthiscablenotbecauseIwroteitbut 38 “AgreementfortheDemilitarizationofSrebrenica,”April18,1993. AnnantoWahlgren,“Srebrenica,”UNDPKO,MSC676,April23,1993. 40 ThecableaddedthatDPKOsaw“noneedforUNPROFORtoparticipateinhouse-to-searchesfor weapons”givenWahlgren’spublicstatementsthatSrebrenicawas“fullydemilitarized.” 39 1-27 becauseitencapsulatessomeoftheoperationaldilemmasthat819gaveusandthat franklyweforesaw.David[Hannay]willprobablyrememberthatwehadalittle meetingintheofficeofthePresidentoftheSecurityCouncilwhereIreadout Wahlgren'scableadvisingagainsttheadoptionofsucharesolution.TheEuropeans wereveryclearinanycasethattheyweregoingtogoaheadwiththis,andwedidgo aheadwithit.Thiscablesummarizestheoperationalconsequencesthatwewere tryingtoclarifytoUNPROFORwhichmeanwhilehadtakenonestepbeyondwhat eithertheCouncilorweinDPKOhadanticipatedinactuallysigninga demilitarizationagreement. MICHAELDOBBS:LetusgotoGeneralHayes.YoureceivedUNSC819andhadthe taskofimplementingit,togetherwithGeneralWahlgren.Canyoudescribehowyou wentabouttryingtoputfleshontotheresolutionandapplyittowhatwasactually happeningonthegroundinBosnia. VEREHAYES:Yes,certainly.BeforeIdo,canIjustcomebacktosomethingthat AmbassadorArriasaidaboutUNPROFORpreventinghimfromgettinginto Srebrenica.Thatisactuallytotallyincorrectfrommypointofview.Wedid everythingwecouldtogetyouin.Theproblemwasthatwecouldnotgetthe journalistsin.SinceIknewthatwasgoingtohappen,Ihadtodecidewhetherwe tookyouandothermembersofthedelegationinsothatyoucouldseetheplaceor nobodywouldgetinatall.IalsofinditslightlystrangethatmembersoftheSecurity CouncilthoughtthatwewereoperatingunderaChapterVII,asopposedtoa ChapterVI,mandate.Iwouldhavethoughtthatwouldhavebeenobvious. MICHAELDOBBS:Soyourunderstandingwasthatyouwereoperatingunder ChapterVIoftheUNCharter,andthiswasnotaChapterVIIoperationatall? VEREHAYES:WewereoperatingunderChapterVI.Forus,ChapterVIwasa“cook andlook”operation,aswerathercheekilydescribedit.That'sallyoucoulddo, “cookandlook.”ThewayChapterVIIwentwasthattheUNissuedthewarrantsand theUnitedStatesmadethearrests. 1-28 Tocomebacktowhatwashappening.TherewasameetingatSarajevoairport onApril17-18,1993.AnagreementwassignedbetweenMladićandHalilović.41The negotiationstartedatnoononSaturday,April17,andlasteduntil2a.m.onSunday, April18.Thequestionarose,whowasgoingtoberesponsibleforthedetails?I lookeddownthetableatGeneralsWahlgrenandMorillon,wholookedbackdown thetableatme,andItookiton.Weneededtogetsomeclarificationonthephrase, "allparties…treatSrebrenicaanditssurroundingsasaSafeArea."42Obviously,that phrasemeantdifferentthingstodifferentparties. Tocutalongstoryshort,wenegotiatedalldaySundayandalldayMonday. Wehadseventy-twohoursinwhichtogettheagreementimplemented.43Otherwise itwouldhavefallenapart.WealsohadtogetorderstotheCanadians,whohad movedintoSrebrenica,onwhattheyweremeanttodo.Asacommanderonthe ground,youlooktoyourhigherheadquarterstotellyouwhattodo.Youdonottry tomakeitupasyougoalong.Wehadtogivethe145-manCanadiancontingentled byLt.ColTomGeburtsomeorders,sohecouldactuallydosomething.44Ieventually decidedonmyowninitiativethattheSrebrenica"SafeArea"hadtobeextendedout fromthetownitself.Welookedatthemapsanddidaquicksurveyofthehigh pointsaroundthetown.Thereisamaphere.45WewentanddrewtheSafeAreaon themap,extendingouttothepointsfromwhichyouhadadirectlineofsight,with theabilityfordirectfireintothetownitself.Thatwaswherewedrewtheareatobe definedasaSafeArea.Itwasverysmall,about4.5kilometersbyabout1.5 kilometers.Tome,itwasthekernelofanutwhichwouldbeextended. WedidnotdisarmtheBosniansinthepocket.Weaskedthemeithertoleave theareawehaddesignatedtobedemilitarizedastheSafeAreaor,iftheywere 41 SefirHalilović&RatkoMladić,“AgreementfortheDemilitarizationofSrebrenica,”April18,1993. UNSC,“Resolution819(1993),”S/RES/819,April16,1993. 43 TheagreementsignedatSarajevoairportbetweenMladićandHalilović(Point4)specifiedthat“the demilitarizationofSrebrenicawillbecompletewithin72hoursofthearrivaloftheUNPROFORCompany inSrebrenica.”Theagreementalsoprovidedfortheevacuationof500seriouslywoundedandsick civilians. 44 AnApril22,1993NYTarticlebyJohnBurnsreportedthatUNPROFORhad“nocontingencyplans”inthe eventofaSerbattackonSrebrenica.ColonelTomGeburt,oftheRoyalCanadianRegiment,wasreported tobe“tearingouthishair”attheprospectofhavingtodefendthecity,orevenhisownmen.Therulesof engagementwereunclear. 45 HayestoUNPF-HQ,“ReportontheDemilitarizationofSrebrenica,”HQBHCommand,April21,1993. 42 1-29 goingtostay,handtheirweaponsin.ThisbecameadebatewiththeSerbswhen theywerecominginwithadelegationtosigntheagreementandhadtoleavetheir weaponsbehind.ItalsobecameadebatewithNaserOrić,whowasintheareawith hisbodyguardscarryinghisweapons.WhenIgotinthere[onApril21,1993]with theBosniangovernmentandBosnianSerbdelegations,wegotoutatthecompound wheretheweaponshadbeengathered.NaserOrićwasstandingthere.Ihadtosay tohim,"You'rearmedinthisarea.It'snotintheagreement."Hesaidthatnobody hadtoldhimverymuchabouttheagreement,andhedidnotknowwhatwasgoing on.Isaid,"You'renotmeanttobeinthisareawithaweapon.I'mgoingtogetthe delegationsoutofthevehicle.WhenIturnaround,ifyou'restillherearmedinthe area,Iwillhavetoarrestyou."I'mnotsurewewouldhavehadmuchsuccess arrestingNaserOrićbutwhenweturnedaroundhehadgone. Wethenputthetwopartiestogetherinvehiclesanddrovearoundthearea. Wehadagreedthattheareahadtobemarkedonthemapwhichthenhadtobe confirmedandmarkedontheground.Soyouactuallyhadmapandground markingssoyouknewwheretheareawas.Wewentaroundthatarea,cameback andsignedanagreement.Neithersidewasparticularlyhappywithit.Ourintention wasthattherewouldbeabufferzone,controlledbytheBosnians,extendingout fromtheareadecreedtobesafetothefrontlines,whichwerealotfurtheroutat thattime.Wewentbackseveraltimestotryandextendtheareabutwerenever abletodoso.Neithersidewaspreparedtomakeanyconcessions.Thatishowit endedup,asjustthatverysmallareaaroundthetownitself. WhenAmbassadorArriacamewithhisdelegation,Imadeanerrorwitha journalistforwhichIapologize.IhadheardtheAmbassadortalkingonBBCRadio4 abouttheUNdisarmingBosnians[inSrebrenica].Inowthinkhewasunawarewhat washappeningontheground.ImadethemistakeofsayingthatIwasn'tquitesure thattheAmbassadorknewwhathewastalkingaboutwhichcauseda furorunderstandablywiththeAmbassador.Thatcoloredour subsequentdiscussions.[Laughter] IfwehadnotleftthejournalistsbehindinZvornik,you,Ambassador,would nothavebeenabletogetintoSrebrenicaandseeit,eveninthelimitedwaythatyou 1-30 didseeit.Atthetime,asfarastheSerbsonthegroundwereconcerned,theUNand yourdelegationactuallyhadnoauthoritytogoinwithouttheirpermission.There wasnothingwecoulddoaboutit. DIEGOARRIA:ThesmallercountriesintheSecurityCouncildonothavearmies.My friendDavid[Hannay]onceremarkedthattheAmbassadorfromVenezuelawasnot goingtomarchintoSrebrenicawithVenezuelansoldiers.Isaid“Heisright,butwe donothavetheprivilegeofsittingpermanentlyintheSecurityCouncil,either.” Publicopinionwasfundamentalinthisissue.Weknewtheimportanceofbringing thejournalists.General[Hayes],yousaidsomethingatthetimeaboutUnited NationsSecurityCouncilResolutionsbeing“woolly-headed.”46Thiswasthefirst timeIheardthatexpression.Isaid,“Howcanageneralwhoisnottheforce commanderaddresstheSecurityCouncilinthatway?”Thesearepoliticalmatters.I thoughtthatyouweregettinginvolvedinpoliticalnegotiations.Youtalkedjustnow aboutwantingtoarresttheBosniancommanderinSrebrenica[NaserOrić].Ithink thatwouldhavebeenanabuseofpowerwhichwouldhavehadconsequences. VEREHAYES:Idonotthinkitwouldhavebeenanabuseofpowerbecausethe agreementbetweenthetwopartiessaidthattherewouldbenoarmedpeoplein thatarea.Itwouldsimplyhavebeenimplementinganagreementthathadbeen madebetweentheparties. ANDRÉERDÖS:InHungary,wewerelookingtotheUnitedStatestoplayan importantrole.InJanuary1993,wereceivedinformationfromUSsources,whichis notincludedinthisbooklet.USofficialsmetwithnon-permanentmembersofthe SecurityCouncil,andsaidthattheUSwasreadyformoreradicalsteps,includinga moreactivemilitaryrole.Itseemstheywereunabletotakethesestepsbecauseof oppositionfromtheUnitedKingdom,FranceandRussia.Theyaddedthattheyalso hadtotakeintoconsiderationYeltsin’sinternalpoliticalproblems.InMay1993,we 46 SeeJohnPomfret,“UNdelegationvisitsshell-scarredBosnianEnclave,”WashingtonPost,April26,1993 quotedanonymousUNpeacekeeperscallingrecentSecurityCouncilresolutionsonBosniaas“woollyheaded”and“sovaguetheywerealmostimpossibletoenforce.” 1-31 heardthesamething.USdelegationsourcessaidthattheUnitedStateswasreadyto conductairstrikesaslongastheywerenotopposedbythemajoralliesandthe SecurityCouncil.Thisshowsthat,quiteapartfromalltheinternalYugoslav problems,suchasnationalismandsoon,amajorprobleminvolvedrelations betweenwesterncountries.Thiswasoneofthereasonswhythewardraggedon until1995. OBRADKESIC:TheGenevaConventionsdiscusstheprotectionofciviliansandthe organizationofsafeareas.47AsfarasSafeAreasareconcerned,therearetwo elementsthatareequallyimportant.Thefirstisthattheydependonthewillofthe belligerents.Combatantforcesmusthavethewilltoconcludeanagreementand defineaSafeArea.Thesecondpartisdemilitarization.Wasthiswhatwasinthe mindofthepeopledraftingtheUNSecurityCouncilResolutionorwasitmorea case,asAmbassadorWalkersuggested,creatingtheperceptionof“doing something”withoutactuallyunderstandingwhatyouweredoing? MICHAELDOBBS:Justtoaddtothat,therewasnomentionof“demilitarization”in theUNSecurityCouncilResolution.Itwassomethingthatwasaddedbythepeople ontheground.ShashimentionedhisApril23cablewhichstatesexplicitlythat“we seenoneedforUNPROFORtoparticipateinhouse-to-housesearchesforweapons.” Inotherwords,DPKOwasbackingoffsomeofthecommitmentsthathadbeen madeontheground. SHASHITHAROOR:Yes,wewerecaughtinacleftstick.Wehadnotproposedthis thingtobeginwith.Wedidnotthinkwehadthecapacitytoenforceitand implementit.Atthesametimewewereunderthetremendousmoralpressurein theSecurityCouncilandinthemediathatweweregivingaidandcomforttoethnic 47 “Safetyzones”werecreatedundertheGenevaConventionsinMadridin1936duringtheSpanishCivil WarandinShanghaiin1937duringtheJapanesebombardment.Article15oftheFourthGeneva Convention(1949)on“TheProtectionofCivilianPersonsinTimeofWar”providesfor“neutralizedzones” intendedtoshelter“woundedandsickcombatantsornon-combatants”and“civilianpersonswhotakeno partinhostilities.”Protocol1Article60on“Demilitarizedzones”prohibitswarringpartiesfromextending militaryoperationstodemilitarizedzones. 1-32 cleansersandkillersandsoon.Thelastthingwewantedwastobeseenasaiding andabettingtheSerbs.WecouldnotaffordtotaketheBosnianside"militarily,"but wecouldmorally.WedidhaveaproblemtakingtheSerbsidesincetheywere besiegingatownwithcivilians.Itwascomplicatedbythefactthatthisagreement hadalreadybeensignedbyallpartiesincludingtheBosnianArmy.Sowesaid,“Let thepartiesfulfilltheirobligationstoeachotherbutdon'tgoaroundbeingthe enforcersofthisagreement.”Thatwasourguidance. TOMBLANTON:YouhaveasentenceinyourApril23cable,mentioningthe "...strongfeelingamongstseveralMemberStatesthatUNPROFORshouldnot participatetooactivelyin'disarmingthevictims.'"48 SHASHITHAROOR:Thatisright.IknewthatpeoplelikeDiegoArriaandAndré ErdöswerecertainlysayingthatsortofthingintheCouncil,aswerethePakistanis andothers.Therewerealotofverystrongvoicesonthissubject.Iwouldsaythe principalauthorsofUNSC819weretheBrits.DavidHannaycanspeaktothe thinkingbehindit.Atthetime,Davidassuredusthatthepartieswerebeing enjoinedtotreattheSafeAreaassafeandtherewerenonewobligationsfor UNPROFOR.Thedemilitarizationagreementlookedverymuchlikeanewobligation whichiswhywe[inDPKO]triedtopushitbackandsay,“Don'tdomorethanyou absolutelyhaveto.”Letthemkeeptheirwordtoeachother. VEREHAYES:Tobeclearonthedemilitarization,whatweweresayingwas,“you eitherhandinyourweaponsandstayintheareaoryouleavethearea.“Those peoplewhowantedtostayintheareaweredisarmedbyvoluntarilyhandingin theirweapons.Iftheydidnotwanttohandintheirweapons,theyhadtomoveout oftheSafeArea.We,theUN,didnotactuallydisarmanybody. SHASHITHAROOR:Thatisright.Ourguidancefittedinverymuchwiththewayyou sawit.IhaveasentencetheretellingGeneralWahlgren,"...givenyourownpublic statementsthatSrebrenicaisfullydemilitarized..."Frankly,wetookthiswith 48 AnnantoWahlgren,“Srebrenica,”UNDPKO,MSC676,April23,1993. 1-33 severalpinchesofsalt,butthatiswhatWahlgrenwassayingofficially,inpublic. Thatwasanotherreasonwhyweshouldnotgoarounddoinghousetohouse searches.Iseefromaseparatedocumentthat[onApril8]30,000roundsof ammunitionwerefoundinSrebrenicasoitwasnotinfactdemilitarized.49 VEREHAYES:ThatammunitionwasfoundinaUNHCRconvoygoingtoSarajevo acrosstheairport.IthadnothingtodowithSrebrenica.Thatwasbeforeanything happenedwiththeSrebrenicaagreementandwasoneofthereasonswhytheSerbs becamesoinsistentonsearchingUNHCRconvoys.50 ZlatkoLagumdžija,left,withHasanMuratović ZLATKOLAGUMDŽIJA:Ifeellikeaguineapigwhosurvivedanexperiment.Iam honoredtobeherewiththescientistswho,let'ssay,“helpedussurvive.”Ithinkthat HasanMuratovićmadeanimportantpoint.ThekillingofDeputyPrimeMinister HakijaTurajlićwasaclearsignalthatyoucandoanythingyouwantandnotbe 49 WahlgrentoAnnan,“High-LevelMilitaryMeetinginBelgradeof9April1993,”UNPF-HQ,Z-495,April 11,1993.ThedocumentsupportsHayes’memorythattheammunitionwasdiscoveredinaUNHCR convoyinSarajevo. 50 ForMladic’saccountofhistalkswithWahlgrenandMorilloninBelgrade,seehisdiaryentry,“Meeting withGeneralsWalgren(sic)andMorillon,”April9,1993. 1-34 punished.Afewweeksafterhismurder,Iwasresponsibleforthenegotiationswith MorillonandSadakoOgataonhumanitarianactivitiesasactingprimeminister.We triedforweekstoevacuatewoundedkidsfromSarajevoontheemptyplanesthat weredeliveringthefood.Itprovedimpossible.Theytoldusthatthepeoplewho killedTurajlićwouldnotallowit. Atonepointthingsgotsodesperatethatwerefusedtoacceptfoodin Sarajevountilfoodwasdeliveredtotheenclaves,firstwithparachutes(those “Christmastrees”)andthenwithconvoys.WegreetedUNSCResolution819with enthusiasm,notbecauseoftheresolutionbutbecauseofthementionofChapterVII oftheUNCharter.51 Weheardmanytimes,andagaintoday,thatUNPROFORdidnotwanttobe draggedintotheconflict.IdebatedthisquestionmanytimeswithLarry Hollingworth,bothbeforeandafterIwasseriouslywoundedonMay22,1993.What does“beingneutral”mean?Doesitmeanoccupyingthemiddlegroundbetweentwo warringsides?Isitgeometric?Oristheresomeotherlogictoit?Ifyoudemonstrate neutralitybytakingthemiddlegroundbetweenakillerandhisvictim,thenyou betrayyourownvalues,inwhichcaseweshouldrethinkeverythingwearedoing. DAVIDHANNAY:ItisperfectlyclearfromwhatLarryHollingworthsaidthat MorillonactedonhisownwhenhemadehisspeechfromthebalconyofthePTT buildinginSrebrenicawiththeflag.Oncethatbecamepublic,thechoice[wefacedin theSecurityCouncil]waswhethertodisownhimortosupporthim.Itwasassimple asthat.YouaskedhowUNSC819cametobewritten.Themainpeoplebehindthe resolutionweretheEuropeans,whowerenotpreparedtodropMorillondespitethe factthathehadactedwithoutanyauthoritywhatsoever.Therewasabsolutelyzero enthusiasmfortheSafeArea,asdescribedinUNSC819,certainlyinmygovernment. OurviewwasmuchclosertotheviewsofMrs.OgataandtheICRCaboutSafeAreas thanitwastothosewhowantedamilitarizedSafeArea.IneversawfromLondon anycriticismoftheSafeAreaagreement,asitwasnegotiatedbyUNPROFOR betweentheBosniansandtheBosnianSerbs.Ithinktherewasafeelingthatitwas 51 UNSC,“Resolution819(1993),”S/RES/819,April16,1993. 1-35 notideal,toputitmildly,buttheagreementmadeitslightlymoresustainable.The stormofprotestthateruptedovertheagreementmeantthatitwasneverrepeated inanyoftheotherSafeAreas. [BREAK] TOMBLANTON:Oneofthepolicyquestionsthatwehavenotyetdiscussedisthe dilemmaoverwhethertoprotectrefugeesinplace,intheSrebrenicaSafeArea,or evacuatethem.Ifyouorganizedevacuations,youcouldbeaccusedofsanctioning ethniccleansing.Butwealsoknowthattheword“protection”inthetitleof UNPROFORwasanaspiration,notareality.Larry,canyouaddressthechallenge youfaced? LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:Thefirstpointistoask,whatdothelocalpeoplewant? Whataretheirwishes?Iftheywanttoleave,areyouimprisoningthembykeeping themin?Itisagreatdilemma.Wedidnotwanttoaidethniccleansing,butwealso didnotwanttokeepthemasprisoners.Myopinionalwaysis,whatistheviewof thepeoplethemselves?Ifpeoplegenuinelywanttoleave,weshouldletthemgo. MICHAELDOBBS:Thefirstevacuationswerelimitedtothesickandtheveryelderly. AnumberofevacuationconvoyswereorganizedbutatacertainpointtheBosnian governmentcalledahalt.Whatwasyourperceptionofwhatthelocalpopulationin Srebrenicawantedtodo? LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:Thepeoplewereinthemostdirestraitsyoucanimagine. Therewasnowayintheworldthatwewereabletosustainthemtoanythinglikea minimumstandard.Iamnotsurprisedthattheywantedtogo.Theyknewfullwell thatwiththeconditionsthatwereimposedonus,theywerenevergoingtobe sustained.Iamnotsurprisedthateverysinglepersonwantedtogo. Theywereallfrightenedthattheirfamilieswouldbeseparated.Thewomen andchildrenthoughtthat,iftheygotout,theSerbswouldshellthecitywithallthe meninsideit. 1-36 MICHAELDOBBS:Whatdidyourfriendswanttodo,Muhamed? MUHAMEDDURAKOVIĆ:InSrebrenicain1993,itwasobviousthatstayinginareas thatweremeanttobeethnicallycleansedmeantcertaindeath.Everyonewastrying tosustainlifeasmuchaspossible.Themenwantedtoatleastgettheirwivesand childrenoutassoonaspossibletogivethemachanceofsurvival.Mostciviliansin Srebrenicawantedtogetoutassoonaspossible.I'mtalkingfrommyownpersonal, privateexperience.Yourmainobjective—today,too,incertainpartsoftheworld— isthepreservationoflife.Youhavetosavethosewhoarecaughtinthemiddle betweentwowarringpartiesandaredirectvictimsoftheatrocities.Thatdidnot reflecttheview,perhaps,ofthepoliticalstructureofSrebrenica.Theyfeltthat ifthewomenandchildrenleftSrebrenica,itwouldbecomeamucheasierterritory tooccupy. Ifyouhaveonlyonebulletinyourgun,andyouknowthatyourwifeandkids areamileawaybehindyoufacingcertaindeath,youwillstandyourgroundno matterwhat.Youwillfighttothelastdropofyourblood.Butifyourwifeandkids arenolongerinSrebrenica,thenyouwilldowhateveryoucantojointhem,evenif thatmeansthatfightingyourwayoutthroughalmostonehundredmilesofNo Man’sLand.FromthepointofviewoftheBosnianmilitaryleadership,evacuating civiliansfromSrebrenicameantweakeningthemoraleofthefightingforcein Srebrenica.Theydidnotrepresentthefeelingofthemajorityofthepeoplewhoonly wantedtosurvive,tolivesomewhereelseifSrebrenicawasnolongeraviable option. AsfarasthedemilitarizationofSrebrenicaisconcerned,mypersonalview andtheviewoftheBosnianauthoritiesatthatparticulartimewasthattheCanadian troopswerehighlyprofessional.Theycameinanderectedcheckpoints.One ofthecheckpoints,onthesouthsideofthetown,wasonehundredmetersaway frommyhouse.Iwasabletoaidthesecheckpointsasamemberofthelocalpolice. Wewouldsearchanyoneenteringorleavingtheenclave.Thiswasajointeffortby UNPROFORandthelocalpolicewhoweretheretoensurethattheagreementwas followed. 1-37 IfthelocalpoliceorUNPROFORfoundanyonewithweaponsatthese checkpoints,theweaponswereseizedanddestroyedonthespot.Ifsomeonewas foundcarryingaconcealedhandgun,thepeacekeeperwouldtakethemagazineout ofthepistolanddestroythepistolbythrowingitunderanAPC.Thiswasatthe beginningwhenthedemilitarizedzonewasconfinedtoSrebrenicaanditssuburbs. LateronthiswasextendedsouthwardstoOP[ObservationPost]Echo,OPFoxtrot andtheotherobservationpoints. LARRYHOLLINGWORTH:Wemustrememberthatatleast50percent,ifnotmore, ofthepopulationofSrebrenicawerefromoutsideSrebrenica.Theyhadfledtheir ownvillagesforwhattheythoughtwasabetterplace.Whentheyfoundthatitwas actuallytheworstplaceonGod'searth,it'snotsurprisingthattheywantedtoleave. MUHAMEDDURAKOVIĆ:Iagree. HASANMURATOVIĆ:Whethertoleaveorbeprotectedinsideasafezoneisan immoraldilemma.Whenthe[Srebrenica]safezonewascreated,therewasno clearlydefinedfinalgoal.Whatwasthefinalintentionwiththissafezone?Howlong wasitmeanttostayinplace?Whathadtobedonetoenablepeopletoleavethe areaortodefendthemselves?Wasthereanyothersolution?Wesawwhatthe bettersolutionwas,bothinBosniaandlaterinKosovo:equipanarmytoprotectthe place,withtheassistanceofairstrikes.Letthearmyfight,andgivesupportfromthe air.Orevenreprimandseriously.WhentheSerbswereorderedtosurrender weaponsinSarajevo,theysurrenderedtheirweaponsbecauseitwasanultimatum. ButtheywerenotreprimandedseriouslyinSrebrenica.Instead,therewere negotiationswiththem. EverypeacekeepingforceinBosniaandevery[foreign]civilianorganization wassupposedtofollowtheoveralllineoftheUN,buttheyalsoworkedandfollowed thelineoftheirowngovernments.DeploymentsofUNpeacekeepersreflected politicalinterestsofdifferentcountriesfromwhichtheycome:TurksandEgyptians inSarajevo,FrenchbetweenPaleandSarajevo,andbetweenBanjaLukaandBihać, theSpanishinMostar. 1-38 Wemustbearinmindthesedualroleswhenexaminethedecisionsthatwere taken.TherewasnoconsensusbetweenEuropeancountriesonwhattodo.There weredifferentpoliciesanddifferentviews.ThecreationoftheSafeArea,asMadam Ogatasaid,wasdubiousfromallpointsofview.52Youcanprotectahospital,youcan protectthepopulation,onlyifyouhelpthemtodefendthemselvesandhavean overallgoalinmind.TheUNmissionneverhadclearlydefinedgoalsinBosnia.They livedfromtodaytotomorrow,attemptingtosolveday-to-dayproblems. CARLBILDT:IwasnotaroundatthetimebutIwasinvolvedinasimilarsituationin Žepain1995.Thequestionis:ifyouassistinbringingpeopleoutofadifficult situation,areyouanaccompliceinethniccleansingorgenocide,ornot?Thisisboth amoralandpoliticaldilemmaforinternationalorganizations,whenfacedwith situationslikethis.Thewarcrimestribunal,ICTY,dealtwiththisintheZdravko Tolimircasebutwasunabletomakeupitsmind.Firstthetribunalsaid:yes,youare anaccompliceinacrime.Thentheychangedtheirpositionandsaid:no,youcannot reallysaythat.53Thefactthattheygobackandforthonthisissueillustrateshow difficultthisis.Ofcourse,ithasvastimplicationsforotheroperationsaroundthe world. MICHAELDOBBS:Whatisyourpersonalview? CARLBILDT:Myviewisthatyouhavetolookateachsituationasitis.Itis difficulttohaveanoverridingprinciple.Youarenormallyinterestedinsavinglives. Thehumanitarianimperativeisoftenwhatdrivespeopleinsituationslikethis. 52See,forexample,HannaytoFCO,“Bosnia:MrsOgata’sviewsonSafeAreas,”Telno1903,May29, 1993.Ogatawarnedthatsafeareascouldturninto“largescalerefugeecamps…closedinbythe surroundingmilitaryforces.” 53ThisissuerelatestoArticle42(b)oftheICTYStatute,whichgivesthetribunalauthorityto prosecutethecrimeofgenocide,specifically“causingseriousbodilyormentalharm”with“intentto destroy,inwholeorinpart,anational,ethnical,racial,orreligiousgroup.”TheICTYAppeals ChamberruledinApril2015thattheTrialChamberhadfailedtoestablishthattheMuslimsexpelled fromŽepa(incontrasttotheMuslimsexpelledfromSrebrenica)hadsuffered“seriousmentalharm” risingtothelevelofgenocide.Seeparagraphs216-217,AppealJudgment.Thisreversedthefinding containedinParagraph758ofthe2012TrialChamberjudgment. 1-39 JORISVOORHOEVE:Ientirelyagreewiththeoverridingprincipleofsavinglives. Thattakespriorityovernotcooperatingwithethniccleansing. IwouldputSecurityCouncilResolution819,whichwediscussedthis morning,inthecategoryof"fake"actions.Fakeactionscreatetheimpressionthat somethinghasbeendecidedandisbeingdonewheninactualfactnothingwas decidedordone.TheonlyoperationalpartoftheresolutionwasthattheSecretaryGeneralshould"increasethepresenceofUNPROFOR."54Theresolutiondoesnotsay whatUNPROFORshoulddo.ThereismentionofChapterVII,butthatismeaningless becauseitdoesnotsaywhatpartisunderChapterVII.MembersoftheSecurity Councilwoulddobetternottovoteforsuchfakeresolutions.Thereareother resolutionsthatweremuchstronger:forexample,UNSCresolution836,whichalso invokedChapterVIIandallowedtheSecretary-Generaltouse"airpowerinand aroundthesafeareas...tosupportUNPROFORintheperformanceofitsmandate."55 ThatwasaverysignificantresolutionthatmadeuseofChapterVII. ThesecondpointIwanttomakeisverysimilartotheoneraisedbyMr.Bildt. IdrawattentiontotheproposalsmadebyMrs.Ogatain1992.Shefavored evacuationofthepopulationofSrebrenicaandnegotiationsbetweentheBosnian governmentandtheBosnianSerbs[onalandswap].56TheBosnianswouldhave receivedapieceoflandnearSarajevothatwouldhaveimprovedthedefensibilityof SarajevoandmadeitpossibletorelocatethepopulationofSrebrenicapreventively. IunderstandthedilemmafacedbytheBosniangovernment.Iknowtherewere discussionsintheBosniangovernmentonapreventiveevacuation.Therewere ministersinfavorofpreventiveevacuation,butintheendtheydecidedagainst. Politicalandethicalquestionswereconfused,notonlyintheUnitedNations,but alsoinBosnia. TOMBLANTON:LetmeaskDavidHannaytorespond.Ithinkthatyouhaveargued thattheso-called“fakeresolution,”819,didactuallyachievesomething,namely 54 UNSC,“Resolution819(1993),”S/RES/819,April16,1993. UNSC,“Resolution836(1993),”S/RES/836,June4,1993. 56 SadakoOgata,“StatementtotheInternationalMeetingonHumanitarianAidforVictimsoftheConflict intheformerYugoslavia,”July29,1992. 55 1-40 headingoffaSerbianoffensiveagainstSrebrenica.HadtheVance-Owenplan actuallybeenadopted,wemightbelookingbackattheestablishmentoftheseSafe Areasasatriumphforinternationaldiplomacy.Isthatanaccuratereflectionofyour view? DAVIDHANNAY:TheseSafeAreasresolutions—819inthecaseofSrebrenica,and 836settingouttheoverallpolicy—wereneverdesignedasanythingotherthana shorttermexpedient.Theyhadtobefittedintoawiderpoliticalstrategywhichhad toinvolvepeacenegotiationsandasettlement.ThedestructionofVance-Owenin thespringof1993wasdisastrousbecauseitknockedawaythatoption.Ittookthree yearstoreconstructthe[peacenegotiation]optionwhichcametobeknownas Dayton.TheSafeAreasshouldneverhavebeenseenasalong-termsolutionto anything.Theywereashort-termexpedientthatneededtobefittedintoaproper politicalandmilitarystrategybutneverwas. As1993and1994woreon,theexpedientbecamemoreandmore threadbare,aswewillseewhenwetalkaboutGoraždeandBihać.Bythetimeofthe Srebrenicamassacre,itwascompletelyworthless.Thereasonitwasworthlesswas becausenoonedidanythingaboutthepoliticalframework.Tomymind,the destructionofVance-Owenwasadisaster.IfyoureadtheJointActionProgram,you canseewhatthesignatoriesthoughtaboutpreservingVance-Owen.Theymakea vaguereferenceto“buildingontheVance-Owenprocess,”butitwasbasically dead.57Thatwasarealdisaster.TheSafeAreaswereanexpedientthatbecamea policy. TOMBLANTON:Jenonne,canyouaddressthat? JENONNEWALKER:IagreewithmostofwhatDavidhassaid.Iplaceless importancethanhedoesonVance-Owen.Obviouslyifthereisapeaceagreement, thereisapeaceagreement,whetherit'stheVance-Owenplanoranyother.What waslackinginalltheUNResolutions,andcertainlyinAmericanpolicyandinthe 57 PermanentRepresentativesofFrance,Spain,theRussianFederation,theUnitedKingdom,andthe UnitedStates,“Jointactionprogramme,”S/25829,May24,1993. 1-41 JointActionProgram,wasanywillingnesstomaketheSerbsstoptheiraggression. ThefirstseriousthingthatwasdoneintheWestwastheNATOdecisioninAugust 1993totakeseriousmilitaryaction,airaction,againstanyonewhocontinued shellingciviliansettlements,whichofcoursemeanttheBosnianSerbsandtheir Serbbackers.58ItworkedinFebruary1994,thefirsttimeitwastested,whenwe issuedanultimatumtotheSerbsaboutpullingtheirweapons20kilometersbeyond Sarajevo.59Atthelastminute,withRussianhelp,theycompliedbecausetheyreally believedNATOairstrikeswerecoming.Hadthatpolicybeencontinued,things mighthavebeenbettersooner. TheJointActionProgramtookmostofusinWashingtonbysurprise.Icannot rememberwhytheseniorEuropeanofficialswereintown.Therehadbeensome otherevent.Thenextday,Igotaphonecallfromsomeonequiteseniorinthe DefenseDepartmentsaying,issomethinghappeningattheStateDepartmentthat wearebeingcutoutof?Isaid,noofcoursenot,Iwouldknowaboutit.Allofuswere takenbysurprisewhenWarrenChristopherandhiscolleaguescameoutwiththe JointActionProgram,whichwasfakepolicy.Itgavenobonestoanything.Ihaveno ideawhyChrisandhiscolleaguessigneduptothat.Mostofusthoughtitwasan embarrassment.IaskedTonyLakeafterwardifhehadknownthiswasgoingon.He wasevasive.ItwasmaybetheonlytimeIfailedtogetastraightanswerfromTony.I don'tknowifhewasalsotakenbysurprise.Itwasonlythewillingnesstomove fromneutralitytousingforcetostopaggressionthatmadeitpossibletoimplement Vance-Owen,Dayton,oranyotherpeaceplan. Washingtonfinallycametoawillingnesstoseriouslygetbehindapeaceplan inthespringandearlysummerof1994.WeagreedthenwiththeWestEuropeans, theEU,thatwewouldjointheminendorsingaplan,includingamap,iftheywould agreethatanyonewhodidnotaccepttheplanwithinacertainperiodoftimewould 58 Secretary-GeneralofNATO,“PressStatementbytheSecretary-General,”August2,1993. “DecisionstakenattheMeetingoftheNorthAtlanticCouncilinPermanentSession,”February9,1994. “SummaryofConclusionsofPrincipalsCommitteeMeetingonBosnia,”USNationalSecurityCouncil, February18,1994. 59 1-42 faceseriousNATOairstrikes.60Afterthat,therewasaperiodofpinprickairstrikes untilthingsfinallybecamesobadthatWashingtonsaiditwouldactaloneif necessary.Itwastheenforcementthatmattered,nottheVance-Owenmaporthe Daytonmaporanyothermap. TOMBLANTON:Peter,youhadjustarrivedinCroatiainJune1993,andinheriteda SafeAreaortwo? PETERGALBRAITH:I'mstruckbythedisconnectbetweentheincoherentpolicyin Washingtonandthingsactuallygoingontheground,eventhoughtheywerewell reportedatthetime.FirstawordabouttheVance-Owenpeaceplan.Ifyoulookatit, youwillseealotofblue. Farfrombeingapeaceplan,thatmapacceleratedtheconflictbetween BosniaksandBosnianCroatsastheBosnianCroatstriedtoseizetheterritory offeredthembythemap.61Bythesummerof1993,therewaslittletheClinton administrationcoulddotofollowthroughonthepresident’scampaignpledgesto helptheBosniangovernment.ThiswasbecauseofthewarbetweentheMuslims andtheCroats.Ifyoulookatthemap,youseeCroatiatothewestofBosniaand Serbiatotheeast.TherewasnoaccesstotheBosniangovernmentareasaslongas theMuslim-Croatwarwasgoingon. WithoutmuchpolicyguidancefromWashington,theUSembassyinZagreb inthesummerof1993beganpressuringtheCroatiangovernmenttoendthe atrocitiestheBosnianCroatswerecommittinginBosnia.62ThroughForeign MinisterMateGranicandDefenseMinisterGojkoSusak,Igotembassyofficersinto theheliportnearMostarwherethousandsofBosnianswerebeingheldinappalling conditions.InJuly,IhadaverycontentiousmeetingwithMateBobaninwhichI 60 InJuly1994,aContactGroupmadeupoftheUnitedStates,Russia,Britain,France,andGermany proposedamapwitha51/49percentterritorialcompromisebetweentheMuslim-CroatFederationand theBosnianSerbs.ThebasicprinciplesoftheContactGroupproposalwereacceptedatDayton.ForU.S. strategyduringthisperiod,seeLaketoClinton,“Bosnia–NextSteps,”TheWhiteHouse,July19,1994. 61 FightingflaredbetweenBosnianCroatsandMuslimsaftertheCroatianDefenseCouncilgavethe BosnianarmyadeadlineofApril15,1993towithdrawfromareasdesignatedasCroat-dominatedcantons undertheVance-OwenPeacePlan. 62 “DecisionsofPrincipalsCommitteeMeetingonBosnia,”May17,1993. 1-43 pressedhimtoreleasethedetainees.Bytheendofthesummer,wesecuredthe releaseofabout5,000Bosniakprisoners.Wegotaccesstotheheliportinspiteof theoppositionoftheUSambassadortoBosnia[VictorJackovich]whowasbasedin Vienna.Butthat’sanotherstory. ProposedVance-Owenpeaceplan,1993 TOMBLANTON:SothereweredivisionsevenwithintheStateDepartmentandeven betweenUSambassadors? 1-44 PETERGALBRAITH:Evenwithinthebureaus.IusedtorefertotheEuropean BureauunderSteveOxmanasthe“HomeAlone”Bureau.63 JENONNEWALKER:Don'tgetintoit. PETERGALBRAITH:Whynot?It'stwenty-twoyearslater. Anyhow,inthefallof1993webegantoputpressureonTudjman,Šušakand Granićtochangethe[BosnianCroat]leadership.TheygotridofBosnianCroat leaderMateBobanbytheendoftheyear.Thatsetthestageforthealliancebetween theMuslimsandCroatsthatwasexpressedintheFederationofBosnia-Herzegovina [establishedbytheWashingtonAgreementofMarch1994].64Thiswasadifferent constructfromVance-Owen.ItdidnotofferallthisterritorytotheBosnianCroats andwasasignalthattheUSstronglydiscouragedTudjmanfromdoingwhathe wantedtodo,whichwastograbagoodpartofBosnia.Thatalliancethensetthe stageforustotelltheCroatiansthatweweregoingtolooktheotherwayasarms wentthroughCroatiatoBosnia.Wedidnotneedtodotheliftpart[oflifeandstrike] becausearmsdeliveriesweretakingplace.Thischangedthemilitarybalance. Beforehedied,IzetbegovićtoldmethatmymessagetoTudjmanthattheUSdidnot objecttoarmstransitingCroatiaforBosniawasthesinglemostimportantthingthat theUnitedStatesdidforBosnia.Thisisadifferentperspectiveonhowthisevolved thantheNewYork,andperhapstheNSC,perspective. ZLATKOLAGUMDŽIJA:SeveralspeakersmentionedtheVance-Owenplan.Justto remindyouaboutthemeetingbetweenIzetbegovićandVicePresidentGoreon March26,1993[thedayafterIzetbegovićsignedtheVance-Owenplan.]65US 63 StephenA.OxmanwasAssistantSecretaryofStateforEuropeanandCanadianAffairsbetweenApril 1993andAugust1994whenhewassucceededbyRichardHolbrooke.AWashingtonPostarticleonMay 21,1996byJohnPomfretandDavidOttaway(“U.S.Envoy’sBalkanRoleCriticizedonCapitolHill”)noted frictionbetweenGalbraithandotherUSenvoysintheregion. 64 TheWashingtonagreementreducedtheamountofBosnianterritorycontrolledbyBosnianCroatsfrom around20percentto10percent,moreinlinewithpre-warethnicdivisions. 65 FuerthtoLake,“MeetingbetweenVicePresidentGoreandPresidentAlijaIzetbegovićofBosniaand Herzegovina,”OfficeoftheVicePresident,April14,1993.GorereceivedIzetbegovićinWashingtonthe dayafterIzetbegovićsignedtheVance-OwenpeaceplanattheUnitedNationsheadquartersinNewYork. 1-45 officialstoldIzetbegovićthattheUSwouldconsiderliftingthearmsembargoif Serbsrefusedtosign.WeheldaparliamentsessioninthebesiegedcityofSarajevo atwhichthemajorityadoptedtheVance-OwenplanafteritwassignedinAthens [onMay3,1993]byIzetbegovićandKaradzić.Weacceptedthatplan.Itwasavery toughdecision.Thiswasoneofthosedecisionswhenthepresidentisaskingyou, whatismoreimportant,thepeopleorthecountry. TheBosnianSerbsrejectedtheVance-OwenplanonMay6[atameetingof theRepublikaSrpskaassemblyinPale].TheVance-Owenplanwasnotadream scenario,butwhenyoucomparetheVance-OwenmapwiththeDaytonmap BosniaafterDayton 1-46 [below],itisDisneyland.ThereisnoRepublikaSrpska,therearenoethnically definedterritories. IntheVance-Owenmap[seepage1-44oftranscript]thereisayellowline representingtheDaytonpeaceagreementboundarybetweenRepublikaSrpskaand theFederation.HadtheVance-Owenplanbeenadopted,notonlywouldthewar havebeenstopped,butwewouldbeamorefunctioningcountrythanwearetoday. Weacceptedtheplanbecauseweweretoldthattheinternationalcommunitywas fullybehindit.IfKaradzićacceptedit,wewouldproceedwithpeace implementation.IfweacceptedandtheSerbsrefused,thearmsembargowouldbe lifted.Thatwasaclearunderstanding.Whathappenedwas:weaccepted,Karadzić refused,andthearmsembargoremained.TheBosnianSerbswereafraidofthe armsembargobeinglifted,buttheyknewthatthiswasafalsethreatbythe internationalcommunity.MypointisthatwhathappenedinJuly1995wasthe consequenceoftheinternationalcommunitynotcarryingthroughonitsthreatsand commitments. TOMBLANTON:CanIaskJohnShattucktospeaktoapointthatJenonnewas makingabouttheJointActionProgramandSecretaryChristopher.Whatwas SecretaryChristopherthinking,ifthisoccursreallyoutsideofaprocessthattheNSC andothersknew,andmaybeLakeknew,butwhathappened?Whatwasthat dynamiclikeinsidetheClintonadministration? JOHNSHATTUCK:SecretaryChristopherwentonatourofEuropeancapitalsinMay 1993.66Theexpectationwasthathewouldarrivewithsomenewpoliciesandthere wouldbeanopportunityfordiscussion.Infact,itwasasortof"listeningtour."Not onlywastherenodialoguebuttherewasreallynotmuchspeech.Thisreflectedthe completedisarrayinsidetheUSGovernmentwithrespecttoformulatingapolicy implementingClinton'scampaignpromises. Myjob[asAssistantSecretaryofStateforHumanRights]wastogather humanrightsinformation.Wewereconstantlysidetracked.Wewouldbebroughtin 66 SeeElaineSciolino,“ChristopherFailstoWinConsensus,”NewYorkTimes,May7,1993. 1-47 fromtimetotime,andthenpushedbackwhenitwasfeltthatwhatmybureauwas spotlightingwasnotgoingtobehelpfultothepoliticalnegotiations.Iremember goingwithPeterGalbraithandMadeleineAlbrighttoVukovarinJanuary1994toa massgravesite[believedtocontainthebodiesofsome200Croatpatientswhohad disappearedfromVukovarhospitalonNovember20,1991.]Ourvisitwasseenas toohighprofileforWashingtonsoIwasthenbasicallyputunderwrapsandnot allowedtotravelbacktoBosniauntilJuly1995[followingtheSrebrenicamassacre]. Igivethisasanexampleofthehighdegreeofbothconfusionandhesitancyonthe partoftheUnitedStatestodothekindofspotlightingthatneededtobedonein ordertochangethepolicy. JENONNEWALKER:Iwasonthe“liftandstrike”salestrip,duringthefirstweekof May1993.WarrenChristopherhadsupportedthatpolicywithintheadministration asopposedto“strikeonly.”Ithinkhereallybelievedinit.Hispresentationmight haveconvincedajudgebuttherewasnopolitical“umph”toitatall.Incapitalafter capital,lookingathisbriefingbookandnevermakingeyecontactwithanyone,he wouldgothroughalltheotheroptionswehadconsideredandexplainwhywehad rejectedthem.Finally,wheneveryonewassoundasleepordaydreaming,hewould getto“liftandstrike”andexplainwhythatwastheleastbadoftheavailable options.Idon'tunderstandwhetherhechangedhismind.Whenwegotoffthe airplaneinLondon,ourfirststop,onSunday,May2,weweregreetedwithahuge headlineintheSundayTimessaying,"BritainwillvetoUSplantoarmBosnian Muslims,"beforetheconversationshadevenbegan.67Thatdidn'thelpthe atmosphere.ItwasadisasterofAmericandiplomacy.Weneveractuallydropped thepolicybutwedidn'tdoanythingtopushitafterthat.Itwaspartofourgradual, muchtooslow,movementtobeingwillingtotakemoreseriousaction. Wewerekeenlyawarethatourallieswereonthegroundtakingrisksthat wewerenotsharing.IfwereallystooduptoSerbianaggression,their peacekeepers,the"peaceobservers"or"violenceobservers,"wouldbeputin 67 SeeJamesAdams&AndrewGrice,“BritainwillvetoUSplantoarmBosnianMuslims,”SundayTimes (UK),May2,1993. 1-48 seriousdangerthatwewerenotpreparedtoshare.Wewereverydeferentialto theirviewsforalongtime.WethoughtinAugust1993thatwehadanagreementon aseriousNATOairthreat.Thatfellapartwiththedualkeyarrangement.Thefirst testwasinSarajevoafterthemarketplacebombinginFebruary1994whichshowed thatthecrediblethreatofforcewouldmakeadifference.Bythespring,orearly summerof1994,wewerewillingtoendorseapeaceplaninreturnforEuropeans’ commitmenttoseriousairstrikes.IrememberTonyLake’sworkinghardtogeta consensusamongClinton'stopadvisers.Hekeptsayingtome,"Justtrustme,I'llget usthere."Meanwhile,lotsofpeopleweredying.LakefinallygotClinton'sagreement toaplanbeforesurfacingittoothermembersofthePrincipalsCommittee. TOMBLANTON:Let'sgobacktoUNSCResolution836ofJune4,1993.68Joris Voorhoeve,amongothers,compared836favorablywith819.Thedocuments, however,recordseverecriticismfromtheSecretariatandahugegapbetweenthe toughlanguageoftheresolutionandwhatwashappeningontheground.Thereisa wonderfulexchangebetweentheSecretariatworkingpaperofMay28andaDavid HannaycablebacktoLondonthefollowingdaythatillustratesthisdifferenceof opinion.69Hannaycomplainsabout"thescandalouslyslantedSecretariatpaper” thatwas“almostcertainlytheworkofTharoor.”David,youseemtobeconcerned thattheworkingpaperisadvocatingaheavyoptionrequiringatleast15,000more troopswhileyouarearguingfora"light"option.70Willyouexplainthisdebatefor us? 68 UNSC,“Resolution836(1993),”S/RES/836,June4,1993. AnnantoStoltenberg,“Safeareas,”UNDPKO,MSC-870,May28,1993.HannytoFCO,“MyTelno1881: Bosnia:SafeAreasResolution,”UKMissiontotheUN,Telno1911,May29,1993. 70 TheMay28WorkingPapercoveredtheproposedsafeareasofSarajevo,Bihac,Tuzla,Goražde, Srebrenica,andŽepa.TheSecretariatinitiallybelievedthat15,000extratroopswouldbeneededtodeter possibleaggressionagainstthesafeareas,butlaterincreaseditsestimateto“32,000additionalground troops.”[SeeUNSrebrenicareport,paragraph94].AJune14reportbytheUNSecretaryGeneral [S/25939]quotedGeneralWahlgrenassayingthathewouldneed34,000additionaltroops,inadditionto the24,000alreadyintheater,inorder“toobtaindeterrencethroughstrength.”Wahlgrenstated, however,thatitwouldbepossibleto“startimplementing”UNSCResolution836witha“lightoption”of around7,600moretroops,relyingprimarily“onthethreatofairaction”todeterattacksonthesafe areas.[Seealso:UNSrebrenicareport,paragraph96].The7,600extratroopswereauthorizedbyUNSC 69 1-49 DAVIDHANNAY:ByMay1993,IandothermembersoftheSecurityCouncil (principallyFrance,theRussianFederation,Spain,theUnitedKingdomandthe UnitedStatesofAmerica,i.e.asignificantportion),wereoperatingonthebasisof theJointActionProgram.Personally,IthoughttheJointActionProgramwas anappallingidea,butyouarepaidtocarryouttheinstructionsofyourgovernment. ThegovernmentshadsigneduptotheJointActionProgram.TheJointAction Programsaid[inParagraph4]that“wewillworktosecureearlyadoptionofthe newUnitedNationsSecurityCouncilResolutionnowunderdiscussion.”71The reasonwhywereactedverynegativelytotheSecretariatpaperwasbecauseitwas quiteclearlydesignedtofrustratethat.Ithinkhistorywillbequitekindtothe UnitedNationsSecretariatwhentheysaid,“It'snotgoingtowork.”Butthatisnot wherewewerethen,andthatwaswhywecouldnotaccepttheworkingpaper. Onthedifferencebetweenthelightandtheheavyoptions.Tobehonest,the heavyoptionwasajoke.Theheavyoptionwaswhatwecallinthejargon:"Giveme halfamillionmenandIwillmarchtoMoscow."Absolutely,halfamillionmen, marchtoMoscow.That'sprobablynotaverygoodidea,butOK.Thelightoption wasarealisticallyfeasibleone.72Itwasconceivablethatwecouldget7,600more troops.ItwasconceivablethattheycouldprotecttheSafeAreasforaperiodoftime. Thatiswhywefavoredthatoption,alongwithalltheothersignatoriesoftheJoint ActionProgram. TOMBLANTON:Shashi? SHASHITHAROOR:Thisallhappenedin"ahundredhurries,"whichwasalltoo oftenthecaseatthistime.TheSecurityCouncilaskedforapaper.IthinkDavid,in allfairness,wasplayingaverycomplicatedgame.Ontheonehand,hehadtoward offdemandsfromDiegoandthenon-aligned,whowerecallingformuchmore resolution844ofJune18,1993,butittookmorethanayeartodeploythemtoBosnia.[S/1994/1389]. Fewerthan3,000hadarrivedintheatrebyJanuary1994.[A/48/847]. 71 PermanentRepresentativesofFrance,Spain,theRussianFederation,theUnitedKingdom,andthe UnitedStates,“Jointactionprogramme,”S/25829,May24,1993. 72 Boutros-Ghali,“ReportoftheSecretary-GeneralPursuanttoSecurityCouncilResolution836(1993),” S/25939,June14,1993. 1-50 explicitlypro-Bosniakaction.Ontheotherhand,therewasbackgroundpressure fromtheAmericanstopreserveanappearanceofactionwhilemaintainingthe viabilityofUNPROFOR.TheBritishandFrench,meanwhile,werefartoodeeply committedonthegroundtosuddenlychangetheentirestrategyonadime.Wein theSecretariathadtheimpossibletaskofbeingaskedtoproduceapaperatless thantwenty-fourhours’notice.Ithinkwewentonuntil4a.m.puttingthisblessed thingtogether.Asisprobablyapparentfromthequalityofthewriting,itwasa productofmanyhandsandmanyheads.Icertainlybearresponsibilityforitasthe leaderoftheteam.AsIunkindlypointedouttoDavidwhenhegotangrywithme, themilitaryinputactuallycamefromaBritishofficer,MajorAdrianFoster,whohad beendetailedtomefromtheBritishArmy.Thepoorfellowgotpulledout[oftheUN Secretariat]forhiscontributiontothispaper.73 Itistruethat34,000wasanunrealisticfigure.Wehadnoexpectationofever gettingthosenumbers.Thereasonwhywegavethosenumbers,whichcamefrom seriousmilitaryplanners,wastolettheSecurityCouncilknowthatthiswasthe kindofnumbertheyneededtobetalkingaboutthatiftheywantedtohaveSafe Areasthatweredefendable.Ifnot,theyoughttoaltertheirmandateaccordingly. Thatwasthepurposeofprovidingthemtheheavyoption.WeinDPKOcameunder veryheavypressure,rightfromBoutros'office,toalsoprovidealightoption.We hadnointentionofcomingupwithalightoptiononourown.Itwasdonebecauseof politicalpressurefromkeygovernmentswholearnedearlyonthatthiswasgoingto beaveryheavything,perhapsfromtheirownpeopleonourteam. IhadtwopeoplewhowerefulltimeUNofficialsonmyteam.Everybodyelse wassecondedfromgovernments:themilitarypeople,thepolice,andthewholelot. Again,thisisnormal.IalwaysusedtojoketotheUSMissionthatIhadmorepeople followingmyworkthanIhadtodoit.Thatwaschronicallythecase.Theycertainly hadtheirownsourcesofinformation.Whilewewerestillputtingtogetherthis blessedthingintwenty-fourhours,wordcamethatwehadtoproducea“light 73InanAugust15,2015emailcommunicationtotheorganizers,retiredGeneralAdrianFoster disputedTharoor’srecollectionofevents.Hesaidhe“completed”afulltourinNewYorkanddenied being“pulledout”byLondon. 1-51 option.”Sowecameupveryreluctantlywithalightoption.Asyoucanseefromthe May28cable,IcouldonlysendthepapertoGeneralWahlgreninthefieldafterwe hadsubmittedittotheCouncil.74Wehadnotime.Therewassimplynoquestionof beingabletoconsult.Sowesentitoffandindeeditgotaveryfrostyreception. Davidshoutedatmeafewtimes.Iflookscouldkill,Iwouldnotbeheretoday.Atthe endofit,theCouncilwasdeterminedtogoaheadwitharesolution. Inadditiontotheworkingpaper,wealsosentacabletoWahlgrenonJune2, askingforhiscomments.75Atthispoint,someofthekeyquestionshavealready comeupveryclearly.Davidtalkedaboutwhathewaspaidtodo.Weinthe Secretariatwerepaidtoupholdourmandatesandprinciples,oneofwhichis outlinedinparagraph3,"...aSafeAreacannotbe'safe'ifonepartywithinitremains armedandabletoattackthoseoutsideit.Thereshouldthereforebeanobligation fortheBHArmyalsototreattheSafeAreasassafe,thatis,todesistfromanyhostile activitytherein,eventhoughtheCouncilresolutiondoesnotrequireittodisarmor withdraw."76Thiswasanimpossiblecontradictiontosquaresincethenon-aligned wantedustotakethesideoftheBosniaks.TheBritishandtheFrenchdidnot becausetheirowntroopswereontheground.Theywantedtogivetheappearance ofrespondingtoallthemoraloutrageontelevisionandcomingoutofWashington. Wehadtoconcoctanoperationalmandatethatmadesenseoutofallthisand workedontheground,whichwasimpossible.Igooninthenextparagraphtotalk aboutthequestionofSerbcooperationwiththesearrangements.TheFrenchhad toldus,I'mquotinghere,"...France(onbehalfofthesponsors)hasstated,in informalconsultationsoftheSecurityCouncil,thatthedraftresolutionassumesthe consentandco-operationofthepartiesbutthatnon-cooperationwouldinvolve consequencesunderchapterVII."77TheassumptionhereisthattheSerbsagreeto bebombedbyNATOiftheBosniaksshootandtheyshootback.Imean,comeon. Obviouslythishascertainimplicationsforthemission.Iputtheonusonthe 74 AnnantoStoltenberg,“Safeareas,”UNDPKO,MSC-870,May28,1993. 75AnnantoStoltenberg/Wahlgren,“SecurityCouncilDeliberationson“safeareas,”MSC-896,June2, 1993. 76Seeparagraph3,MSC-896,op.cit. 77Seeparagraph4,MSC-896,op.cit. 1-52 Generalsbysayingthereportcalledforinparagraphtwelve[ofUNSCresolution 836]wouldhavetocomeverylargelyfromUNPROFOR.78Wewerenotgoingtosit anddoarepetitionoftheworkingpaperexercise,havingbeenburnedbyit.We said,“Youchaps[UNPROFORcommanders]tellushowyouwanttooperationalize this.”Itwasnotjustpassingthebuck,itwasbeingrealistic.Theyweretheoneswho wouldhavetoimplementitontheground.Letthemcomeupwiththeoperational concept.Theyweren'thappy,asyoucanseefromsubsequentcontext.Thereis anothercableonJune3[Z-703],wherewespelloutcertainspecificchallenges.79 Thentheresolutionisadopted.Sothemandatewasbecomingmoreandmore operationallyimpossibletodefine. Bytheway,Jenonne,theAmericanpressureonairstrikeswasnothelpful. ProfessorEliotCohencameupwithawonderfullineaboutairpowerbeingan “unusuallyseductiveformofmilitarystrength”inWashington.Hewrotethatair power,“likemoderncourtship…appearstooffergratificationwithout commitment."80ThatispreciselywhattheAmericansseemedtobewantingtodo. Theyweregoingtobeflyingfromagreatheight,dropbombs,andflyaway,while therestofuswouldwakeuponthegroundthenextmorningandlivewiththe consequences.Thiswasthefundamentaldilemmathatboththetroopcontributors andtheSecretariatweregrapplingwith. HASANMURATOVIĆ:Inmyview,UNSCResolution836wasagoodresolution.It providedthegroundsforcallinginairstrikes,andforNATOtoact.Itwasuptothe decision-makerslatertodecidewhethertheywantedtostrikeornot,toprevent attacksanddisaster.Thereisnothingintheresolutionthatsays,“Don’tactinthis case,orthatcase.” MICHAELDOBBS:WedonothaveGeneralWahlgrenwithusasheisnolongeralive, butwedohavehisJune3cablereactingtowhatwashappeninginNewYork.He 78 UNSC,“Resolution836(1993),”S/RES/836,June4,1993,paragraph12. WahlgrentoAnnan,“SecurityCouncilDeliberationson‘SafeArea’,”UNPF-HQ,Z-703,June3,1993. 80 SeeEliotA.Cohen,“TheMystiqueofU.S.AirPower”,ForeignPolicy,January/February1994,argues thatUSmilitarystrategistsintheBalkansdrewthewrongconclusionsfromtheJanuary1991bombingof IraqatthestartofthePersianGulfWar. 79 1-53 statesveryclearlyhisoppositiontoairstrikes.Inparagraphfive,hestates"Wehave indicatedinourcorrespondenceoverthemonthsthatairstrikeswouldsimply bringUNPROFORandUNHCRoperationstoanend."Inparagrapheight,hegoeson: "Inconclusion,IdoubtifthecurrentTroopContributingNationswouldagreeto leavetheircontingentsinUNPROFORundertheproposedmandate.Onesimply cannotmakepeaceandwaratthesametime."81InWahlgren’sabsence,perhaps RupertSmithcouldgiveushistakeonWahlgren’scritiqueandtheextenttowhich heandotherssharedit.Rupert,youwerecoordinatingUKpolicyattheMinistryof DefenseastheAssistantChiefofDefenseOperationsatthetime? RUPERTSMITH:IwasattheMinistryofDefense,butIhadnosenseofcoordinating anything.Itwasaveryconfusedperiodforallthereasonsthathavebeenexplained. Idon'trememberthisdocument.Iwouldliketomakeapointabouttheforce numbersbeingquoted,whichgoesbacktotherelationshipbetweenmilitaryadvice andmilitaryactionandpoliticaldirection.Irememberthosenumbersbeing bandiedabout.MajorFosterwascertainlycommunicatingbacktoLondon,asking questionsaboutwhatwethoughtandwhatwaspossible.Thequestionwekept askingwas:arewetodefendthisterritoryasapieceofground?Orarewetodefeat anddestroythoseattackingthisterritory?Itcompletelyaltersthemethodandthe numbersinvolved. WeeventuallyweretoldbytheothersideofWhitehall[referencetothe ForeignOffice]:youaredefendingterritory.Themomentyousaythattheseblobs onthemaparetobedefended,yougetthesehighnumbers.Youhavetoputmenon theground,feedthem,andsoon.Therewasnodesiretoconsidertheideaof destroyingordefeatingtheattacker.Youarenottobeoffensiveatall.That,Ithink, reflectsthegeneralatmosphereoftheUNforceasawhole.Iwasnotpartofthat,but IthinkIcouldeasilyhavewrittensomethinglikeWahlgren'smemoifIwassittingin hischairatthattime. TOMBLANTON:DavidHarland. 81 WahlgrentoAnnan,“SecurityCouncilDeliberationson‘SafeArea’,”UNPF-HQ,Z-703,June3,1993. 1-54 DAVIDHARLAND:Mycommentisaveryancientonefromanhourago.On evacuationversusethniccleansing,Ithinkthisgoestotheheartofhowthewarwas fought.IputthisquestiontoPresidentIzetbegovićwhenIwaswritingtheUN Srebrenicareport.IsaidthattheSerbshadaccusedhimofblockingevacuations withUNassistancefromSrebrenicaandinSarajevoandwagingwarbyusing civiliansasshields.Hetoldme,"Wehaveachoice,sometimes,betweenaterritory andthepeople.Ofcourse,bothareimportant,butwewillnotallowtheBosniak peopletobeputintoghettos."Inotherwords,thepolicywas:humanshields.The policywastophysicallyblockpeoplefromtryingtoescapeembattledareasand thereforemakeitharderfortheenemytoattackwithoutinflictingcivilian casualties. DavidHarland,center,nexttoMuhamedDurakovicandLarryHollingworth [TurnstothedebateaboutUNSC836].Thoseofuswhowereonthe receivingendofallthisguidance,includingtheguidancefromUNPROFOR Headquarters,feltadeepfrustration.IwasinPaleeverydaywiththeBosnian leadershipandwasoftenatSarajevoairportwithHasanMuratović.AsHasansays, theSerbswerevery,veryresponsivetotheperceivedlevelofthreatcomingfrom 1-55 NATO,andlaterfromtheRapidReactionForce.Wheneveritseemedtothemthat themandatewasnotclearenoughtoallowanyseriousthreattobeusedagainst them,theywouldprobefurther.Itistruethattherewerepoliticalcompromises involved[indraftingUNresolutions]anditwasuglyandmuddledandmorally wrongandabsentinstrategy.Nevertheless,asHasansaid,thoseofusonthe receivingendfelttherewasplentyoflanguage,particularlyinResolution836,that wouldhaveallowedfortheapplicationofforce.Itwasfrustratingafterthese debatestookplace[inNewYork]toreceiveguidancesayingyoushoulddoevenless thantheresolutionsays. ZLATKOLAGUMDŽIJA:YoumentionedWahlgren’scableofJune3,1993,inwhichhe says“Onesimplycannotmakepeaceandwaratthesametime.”82Endofcable.I thinkthisgoestothecoreofthemisunderstanding[overthenatureof peacekeeping].InOctober1991,PresidentIzetbegovićmadeaveryfamouspublic statementsaying,"Sleeppeacefully,thereisnoneedtofear,becauseittakestwoto tango."83Actually,forwar,youneedone.Whenyouhavetwo,thereisnowar. Someonedecidestogotowarifhefeelsheisinastrongerposition.Thatiswhen youhaveawar.Atthesametime,youcannotmakepeace,especiallyunderChapter VIIoftheUNCharterwithoutbeingreadytogotowar.Otherwiseyouendup sendingalotofreligiousleadersoverthere.Thisisthefundamental misunderstandingbetweenus. JORISVOORHOEVE:SecurityCouncilResolution836isanexampleofclarity.It's verygood.ItsaysthatMemberStatesmaytake“allnecessarymeasures,throughthe useofairpower”to“supportUNPROFORintheperformanceofitsmandate.”84The problemisnotthelightorheavyoption,butthefactthatthisresolutionwasnot used.Therewasanenormousgapbetweenthelanguageoftheresolutionandthe actualapplicationupuntilAugust1995.AfterthefallofSrebrenica,thisresolution 82 WahlgrentoAnnan,“SecurityCouncilDeliberationson‘SafeArea’,”UNPF-HQ,Z-703,June3,1993. SeeStevenBurg&PaulShoup,EthnicConflictandInternationalIntervention:CrisisinBosniaHerzegovina,1990-93,page78. 84 UNSC,“Resolution836(1993),”S/RES/836,June4,1993. 83 1-56 becamethelegalbasisfortheuseofairpoweranddeterrence.Whatisoften forgotteninthediscussionintheUnitedNationsandthememberstates,becauseof theconfusionwetalkedabout,isthetremendousimportanceofdeterrence.Youtell awarringparty,"Ifyoudothis,therewillbeveryseriousconsequences.Wehave escalationdominanceandyoucannotchallengeus."Therewasnoescalation dominancein1993forthereasonsthatJenonneWalkerandJohnShattuck explained.TherewasconfusioninWashingtonaboutwhattodointhisterrible situation. AfterthefallofSrebrenica,everythingbecameclear.Airpowerwasusedina veryadequatefashion.Iwouldliketodrawattentiontothisbecausetheuseof deterrencewasdiscreditedaftertheendoftheColdWar.Itwasseenassomething relatedtonuclearweapons,butitisanageoldprincipleofusingmilitarypower. Youshowbeforehandthatiftheoppositesidegoestoofar,therewillbeveryserious consequences.TheSerbsunderstoodthismessage.Thiswasthemessagethatwas deliveredattheLondonConferenceonJuly21,1995.85Iwish,ofcourse,thatthis changeofcoursehadtakenplaceseveralweeksearlier,inwhichcaseitwouldhave savedthelivesof8,000peopleinSrebrenica. JOHNSHATTUCK:ApartfromtheorganizersandDavidHannay,Iamtheonly personaroundthetablewhoattendedtheRwandaconferenceayearago.86Inboth BosniaandRwanda,youhaveaverycomplexsetofmessages,whichessentially serveasgreenlightstoaggressors.EventsinRwandawereshapedinpartby decisionstakeninSomalia,asaresultoftheBlackhawkDownincident[October3-4, 1993]when18USRangerslosttheirlives.87ThedecisiontowithdrawthewholeUS forceinSomalia[inMarch1994]served,insomerespects,asagreenlightforwhat 85 SeeJohnDarnton,“AccordinLondon,”NewYorkTimes,July22,1995.TheLondonconferenceof16 countriesinvolvedintheBosniawar,includingtheUnitedStates,Britain,andFrance,threatenedthe BosnianSerbswiththeuseof“substantialanddecisiveairpower”intheeventofanattackonthe Goraždeandothersafeareas.NATObeganlarge-scalebombingofBosnianSerbtargetsonAugust30,two daysaftertheshellingoftheMarkalemarketplaceinSarajevo,killing37people. 86 “InternationalDecision-MakingintheAgeofGenocide:Rwanda1990-1994,”Rapporteur’sReport,April 6,2015. 87 ColinKeatingtoWellington,“SecurityCouncil:Rwanda,”NewZealandMissiontotheUN,C04408/NYK, May3,1994. 1-57 happenedlaterinRwanda.ThereweremanyelementstotheRwandangenocide, butunderneathitallitwasthedangerthattheinternationalcommunitywas essentiallysendingagreenlighttotheaggressors.Ithinkweseeasimilardynamic inBosniawithrespecttotheseeventsin1993and1994. Bytheway,alltheseeventsaretakingplaceinthesametimeframe.The RwandagenocidebeganinApril1994(followingtheassassinationofRwandan presidentJuvenalHabyarimanaonApril6).Weareinthissamepost-ColdWar framework.Deterrenceisnolongeronthetableandnegotiationanddiscussion appeartobethemoreappropriatetoolsfordealingwiththesecasesofsmallfire aggressionoccurringinplaceswheretheworldisfallingapartaftertheendofthe ColdWar.Itisnotuntillaterthatweadopttheconceptofdiplomacybackedby force.Therecognitionthatacrediblethreatofforce,orsometimestheactualuseof force,isnecessarytoachievediplomaticobjectivesunderpinsthewholeDayton process.Duringthis1993-1994period,Idonotthinkthethreatofforcewas credible.GeneralSmithhasmadethatpointveryeloquently,butIwantedtoaddthe comparativeelement.Wearedealingwithalargergeopoliticalframework characterizedbyfailedstates,massatrocities,andevengenocide. Theonlywaytoengageontheseissuesistoputaspotlightonthemby gatheringtheevidencethatisneededforpeopletounderstandwhatisgoingon.I thoughtitwasabigmistakefortheUStosidetrackitshumanrightsreportingprior tothehorrificeventsofJuly1995.Ourembassies,particularlytheembassyin Croatia,certainlykeptthespotlighton[humanrightsviolations],butwithalldue respectitwasnotsufficient.USpolicymakingwasnotunderpinnedbythedaily reportingofwhatwasactuallyhappeningonthegroundthatwouldhavebeen neededtomobilizepublicopinionaroundtheconceptofdiplomacybackedby force. DIEGOARRIA:UNSCResolution836wasoneofthemostdebated.Itwasvery controversial.AstherepresentativeofVenezuela,Iabstainedtogetherwith 1-58 Pakistan.88Thenon-alignedgrouphadbeenthemoreenthusiasticsupportersofthe SafeAreaconcept,butthisresolutiondidnotrespondatalltotheneedsofthe situation.IbelievedthatwewouldhaveachievedmorebyarmingtheBosniansthan byexpectingtheUnitedNationstodosomethingfortheBosnians.Ireadtoday PresidentClinton’sconversationwithFrenchPresidentChirac[onJuly13,1995, afterSrebrenicafell]inwhichheharshlycriticizestheBosniansforleaving Srebrenicawithout“puttingupafight.”89Atthesametime,hesayswecannotarm theBosnians.Thisexplainswhywewereagainsttheresolution.IrememberIhad theBritishambassadorandtheFrenchambassadorinVenezuelapressingmy ForeignMinistertoaskmetochangemyvote.Ididnotpickupthephone.Whenit cametothevoteon836,Iabstained. HadtheSecretariatWorkingpaperbeenadopted,weprobablywouldnot havehadtheoutcomewedidinSrebrenica.90Thatpaperwasexactlywhatwe wanted.IrememberenteringtheSecurityCouncilreadingthepaperandsaying,“My god,finallywehavesomethingofsomesubstanceandimportance.”Then,allofa sudden,itdisappeared.IthinkthatDavidHannayorJean-BernardMériméemust havecalledBoutros-Ghaliandgothimtowithdrawthedocument,becauseit suddenlyvanishedfromthetable.IhadalsopersonallywrittentoMadamOgata, askinghertooutlinetherequirementsofarealSafeArea.Sheproducedadocument alongthesamelinesastheSecretariat.Unfortunatelythiscourseofactionwasnot adopted,whichiswhyweabstainedontheresolution. ANDRÉERDÖS:WhenaCouncilresolutionispassedunderChapterVII,with wordinglike"takeallnecessarymeasures,"thatwastheequivalentofthenuclear option.Itgivesagreenlighttostrong,concreteenforcementmeasures.Wedonot 88 UNGA,“ThefallofSrebrenica,”A/54/549,November15,1999.UNSCUNSCresolution836wasadopted onJune4,1993,by13votestonone,withabstentionsfromPakistanandVenezuela.Arriaexplainedhis abstentionbypointingtoalackof“necessarymeansandresources”forimplementingtheresolutionand lackofclarityabouttheuseofforce.Hesaidthatuntilthesequestionsweresatisfactorilyanswered“the safeareaswouldnotbesafeatall.” 89 AnthonyGardner&AlexanderVershbow,“TelconwithFrenchPresidentJacquesChirac,”TheWhite House,July13,1995. 90 AnnantoStoltenberg,“Safeareas,”UNDPKO,MSC-870,May28,1993. 1-59 alwayshavethislanguageinCouncilresolutions.Thefactthatwedidnotfollowup onthislanguageunderminedtheimageoftheUnitedNations. Iwasrepresentinganon-permanentmembercountry.Wewerenotevena non-alignedcountry.Wehadjustexperiencedatransitiontowardsdemocracy,and wereknockingonthedoorsoftheEuropeanUnionandNATO.Wewerelookingat theseguysasourfriendsandfutureallies.Wewereinaverydifficultsituation becauseweweretheonlycountryontheCouncil[in1993]thatreallyunderstood Yugoslavia.LookatthemapandyouwillseehowfarHungaryisfromBosnia.We wereveryclosetotheAustrianposition,whowerealsoontheCouncilin1992,as partofthewesterngroup.OtherCouncilmembersreferredusas“theHapsburgs.”It wasveryfunny.WecouldhaveimaginedtheemperorFranzJosefsaying,“Mysons, thisiswonderful,butwhydoyouneedtwoambassadors?“ IwasfrustratedbythelackofknowledgeaboutYugoslavia,notsomuchon thepartofVenezuela,CapeVerdeorMorocco,butonthepartofthepermanent members.Oneofthepermanentrepresentativestoldmeinaprivateconversation thatBosniawasa“Titoistinvention.”Another,ratherdramaticexample:In2000, Newsweekmagazinepublishedachronologyofimportant20thcenturyevents.The entryfor1914wasasfollows:"YugoslavarchdukeFranzFerdinandassassinatedin Sarajevo."WeweretheonlycountryontheCouncil—Isaythisinallmodesty—who knewwhatBosniawas,geographicallyandhistorically.91 WhentheAustro-HungarianmonarchyoccupiedandlaterannexedBosnia,it waspartofthemonarchy.TherewerethreegovernorgeneralsinBosnia,twoof whomwereHungarians.WhenIwenttoSrebrenicainApril1993[aspartofthe Arriadelegation],therewasanimmediatereactionfromtherefugeeswhenIsaidI wasfromHungary.TheyknewwhatHungarywas.Forme,itwasagiftoflifethat 91 BosniaandHerzegovinabecameaProtectorateofAustria-HungaryattheCongressofBerlininJuly 1878followingtheRusso-Turkishwar.IthadpreviouslybeenunderOttomanruleformorethan300 years,since1463,andremainedtechnicallyundertheadministrationoftheSultan.Austria-Hungary annexedtheterritoryoutrightin1908,enragingpan-Slavicnationalists.AfterAustria-Hungary’sdefeatin WorldWarI,BosniajoinedtheSouthSlavKingdomofSerbs,Croats,andSlovenes,whichwaslaternamed Yugoslavia.AfterthevictoryofMarshalTito’sCommunistPartisansinWorldWarII,Bosniaand HerzegovinabecameoneofsixrepublicsofSocialistFederalRepublicofYugoslavia. 1-60 wehappenedtobeontheSecurityCouncilwhenwehadthisnumberoneissueof Yugoslaviaaroundournecks. Thewholeissueofforciblepopulationtransfers,andtheestablishmentof ethnicallypurehomogeneouscountries,isalethaloneforcentralandEastern Europeeventoday,despitethefactthattwodecadeshavepassedsincethese events.ItisapoisonousPandora’sbox.Wewerefollowingwhatwashappeningand wereafraidoftheimplications,whichwentwaybeyondtheunfortunatecountryof BosniatotheentireareafromtheBalticstotheMediterranean.Wecommitteda graveerrorinnottakingtheappropriatepreventivemeasures,withthenecessary mandatesandfinancialresources. Atthesametime,wewerenotabigplayer.Wewerenotapermanent memberoftheSecurityCouncil,andhadnobluehelmetsontheground,unlikethe British,theFrench,andothers.Wedidn'twanttogointoaneighboringcountry. Thisdidnotpreventusfromexpressingourcriticismsoutloudastothe mismanagementoftheconflict.Wewerenotalwaysprivytothebehindthedoor consultations. ObradKesic,right,withDavidRohde 1-61 OBRADKESIC:Somebodymentionedtheeffectivenessofthethreatofairstrikeson theSerbleadershipinPale.Aswitheveryissuethatwearediscussing,thisisvery complex.Itplayedoutindifferentwayswiththepoliticalleadershipandthe militaryleadership.Thepoliticalleadershipwasconvincedthatthewarwouldend throughnegotiations.Theythoughtthatany[foreign]interventionwouldupset whattheysawasprogresstowardsasettlementtotheconflict.Asettlementof courseinlinewithwhattheyweretryingtoachieve. Themilitaryleadership,ontheotherhand,sawpossibleairstrikesasa threattotheirabilitytoconductthewarsuccessfully.Theywouldtellthepolitical leadership,“Yourindecisivenessisthreateningourtroopsandourabilitytohold thisterritory.Weneedtotakeaction.”Thisculminateswhenthemilitary,andRatko Mladić,askforadeclarationofwar.Theytriedtodothatseveraltimes.Thepolitical leadershipalwaysturnedthemdown. WespeculateabouttheBosnianarmysuccessfullylaunchingmilitary operations[asaconsequenceofa“liftandstrike”policy],butthatisnotnecessarily thecase.Thereisadisconnectbetweenadecisiontoarmoneofthepartiesand theirabilitytousetheweapons.Firstofall,youwouldhaveupsethumanitarian operations:youwouldnotbefeedingpeople.Second,theothersideisnotgoingto passivelysitandwatchtheirenemiesbeingarmed.Suchastepwouldhaveforced theRepublikaSrpskaleadershiptotakedecisivemilitaryaction.Itwouldhavealso putpressureonSerbiatotakeactionaswell.“Liftandstrike”wasalittlebitofared herring.Intheendtheonlydecisivechangetothemilitarybalanceofpowerwas directinterventionbyNATOonthesideoftheBosnians.Nothingshortofthatwould havechangedthemilitarybalance.Itcouldactuallyhaveledtosomethingtotally differentthanpeoplehereareassuming. CARLBILDT:IwasPrimeMinisterofSwedenin1993.Swedenwasnotheavily involvedinthepoliticsofthewarinYugoslavia,butweweredeeplyaffected.We tookroughly3,000refugeesaweekattheheightofthewar,roughlytheperiodthat 1-62 wearespeakingaboutatthemoment.92Wehadadeepinterestinsavingpeople downtherebecauseweknewthatwewouldhavetohelpthemelsewhere.Itwasus andtheAustriansandtheSwiss,andtosomeextenttheGermans,thatborethe bruntoftherefugeeinflux.Thatwasoneofthereasonswhywedecidedtocommita mechanizedbattalion.93 WehadatraditionofUNpeacekeeping,butwehadnotbeeninsucha complicatedsituationsincetheCongo.Wesentinamechanizedbattaliontogether withtheDanesandNorwegians,includingLeopardtanks,whichwasvery controversialatthetime.WeendedupinthemiddleoftheCroat-Muslimfight[in centralBosnia]theautumnof1993.Wewereappalledbytheabsenceofany politicalstrategy,butwefeltahumanitarianimperativedriventoacertainextentby pressurehometodowhateverwecouldabouttherefugeesituation. TherehassubsequentlybeenadiscussioninSweden:didwedoanygood?I thinkwedidanawfulamountofgoodinthesensethatwesaved"x"numberof people.Whetherwecontributedtoapoliticalsolutionisdebatablebecausethatwas wellaboveus.Welostlivesdownthereandsavedquitealotofpeople.Wehelpedto stabilizeTuzlaregionforthedurationofthewar. PETERGALBRAITH:WhatObraddescribedismoreorlessmyunderstandingof whatactuallyhappened.Bythesummerof1995,thebalanceofpowerwasshifting. AllowingarmstogettoBosniaviaCroatiawasabetteroptionthanhavingtheUS unilaterallylifttheembargo.IftheUShaditselfliftedtheembargoUNPROFOR wouldhavewithdrawn.InsteadofAmericanarms,theBosniansgotRussian weapons,whichwereweaponstheyalreadyknewhowtouse.WhiletheRussian governmentopposedliftingthearmsembargo,thefreemarketsystemmade RussianweaponsreadilyavailabletoBosnians.However,BosnianSerbssawtheUS Congressmovingtowardliftingthearmsembargo.Itwasatthatpointthatthey decidedtheyneededcleanuptheirinternallines,eliminatetheenclaves,Srebrenica, 92 See“Generosityof‘BigHearted’DanesisTestedbyInfluxofRefugees,”ChristianScienceMonitor,May 18,1993. 93 Boutros-Ghali,“ReportoftheSecretary-GeneralPursuanttoResolution871(1993),”S/1994/300, March16,1994,page21. 1-63 Žepa,GoraždeandBihać.Obradisrightthatthewaywarendedwasthroughdirect militaryintervention,butitwasinterventionbyCroatia,notbyNATO. DAVIDHANNAY:BeforeweendthediscussionofUNSC836,Iwantedtoecho MinisterMuratovićinsayingthatitwasverycomprehensive.Itprovidedthelegal basisforBoutros-GhalitoaskNATOtoissueasuccessfulultimatumoverSarajevoin February1994.ItwasalsothebasisforthemilitaryactionagainsttheBosnian SerbsinAugustandSeptember1995afterSrebrenicafell.Therewasneveranew mandate.Thereneverneededtobeanewmandate.The836mandatecoveredboth thosemilitaryoptions.Therealquestionisnotwhatwaswrongwiththe836 mandatebutwhythemandatewasnotappliedmoreforcefullyandeffectively. Therewasnothingwrongwiththemandate. [EndofSession1] 1-64