Feasibility Study TABIGUE-BALOCAWEHAY
Transcription
Feasibility Study TABIGUE-BALOCAWEHAY
Republic of the Philippines Department of Agriculture PHILIPPINE RURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT Feasibility Study CONCRETING OF TABIGUE-BALOCAWEHAY FARM TO MARKET ROAD Proponent: Republic of the Philippines Municipality of Abuyog Province of Leyte June 20154 Republic of the Philippines Province of Leyte MUNICIPALITY OF ABUYOG -o0o- OFFICE OF THE MUNICIPAL MAYOR 04 June 2015 ENGR. ALMA LANDIA Component Head I-BUILD, Philippine Rural Development Project (PRDP) Department of Agriculture (D.A.) Regional Office No. 8 Kanhuraw Hill, Tacloban City Dear Engr. Landia: Mabuhay! I am pleased to submit herewith the attached Feasibility Study (FS), Detailed Engineering Design (DED) and other supporting documents for the Rehabilitation/Concreting of the Tabigue – Balocawehay Farm to Market Road (FMR) which the LGU of Abuyog, Leyte is proposing for funding under the I-BUILD Component of the Philippine Rural Development Project (PRDP) this year. The sub-project is a critical component of our strategic focus on Rice and Coconut as the principal agricultural commodities from which to anchor the economic development of our municipality. The sub-project will effectively link the rice and coconut producing beneficiary barangays to the open markets in Leyte province and is expected to further enhance the development of these industries of our municipality. The municipality’s focus in promoting rice and coconut is directly in harmony and aligned to the priorities and development direction of the Provincial Government of Leyte which likewise identified rice and coconut as the main crops to promote in the province. Lastly, the LGU of Abuyog has already allocated a counterpart funding for said sub-project equivalent to ten percnt (10%) of the total project cost. We fervently hope for the most favorable I-BUILD/PRDP action and approval of our sub-project proposal. Thank you and God bless. Truly yours, Hon. OCTAVIO J. TRAYA, JR. Municipal Mayor TABLE OF CONTENTS Title Page Transmittal Letter Table of Contents List of Tables List of Exhibits Annexes Executive Summary Page i ii iii vi vii vii 1 I. Project Profile Municipal Profile of Abuyog, Leyte 1.1 Brief Historical Background 1.2 Barangays 1.3 Location 1.3.1 Geographic Boundaries 1.3.2 Relative Distance to Growth and Commercial Center 1.3.3 Existing Road Transport Network and Physical Condition 1.3.4. Availability of Public Transport 1.4 Total Land Area 1.4.1 General Land Use Classification 1.4.2 Agricultural Land Use Classification 1.4.3 Abuyog Land Area Relative to that of Leyte Province & Region 8 1.5 Topography 1.6 Soils and Suitability 1.7 Climate and Water Sources 1.8 Municipal Population 1.8.1 Total Population, Gender and Average Growth Rate 1.8.2 Number of Households and Average Household Size 1.9 Economic Activities and Sources of Income 1.9.1 On-Farm: Crops Production 1.9.2 On-Farm: Livestock and Poultry 1.9.3 Inland Fisheries 1.9.4 Off-Farm and Non-Farm Economic Sectors 1.9.4.1 Secondary Sub-Sector: Industry 1.9.4.2 Tertiary Sub-Sector 1.9.5 Employment and Income Sources 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 7 7 9 9 9 9 11 11 11 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 17 II. Project Background and Rationale 18 2.1. 2.2 Statement of the Problem and Opportunities Strategic Direction of the Municipality of Abuyog 2.2.1 Development Vision of the Municipality of Abuyog 2.2.2 Mission Statement 2.2.3 Goal 2.2.4 Objectives 18 18 18 18 18 18 2.3 2.4 Sub-Project Objectives 19 Brief Presentation of Socio-Economic Indicators 2.4.1 Location of the Tabigue-Balocawehay Road Project 2.4.2 Population Characteristics of Direct Road Influenced Area (RIA) 2.4.3 Main Agricultural Crops in the RIA Barangays Description of the Priority Value Chain to be Served by the FMR 19 19 20 20 20 2.5 iii | P a g e Page III. Project Description and Analyses A. 21 Market / Demand-Supply Situation 3.1 Existing Roads, Bridges and Transport System in the Area 3.2 Analysis of Road & Transport System (without & with road improvement) 3.2.1 Present road network condition 3.2.2 Availability of public transport vehicles 3.2.3 Seasonal Impassibility of Road Site 3.2.4 Alternate Route/s Within the Project Area 3.2.5 Availability of other Modes of Transport 3.2.6 Existing Modes of Transportation and Hauling of Passenger and Cargo 3.2.7 Current Trip Volumes, Destinations, Travel times, Volume/Capacity Ratios 3.2.8 Analysis of How the Proposed Road Facility Will Close the Gap in Infrastructure Development Within the Area 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 22 B. Technical Analysis 4.1 Horizontal Road Alignment 4.2 Vertical Road Alignment 4.3 Drainage Analysis/Hydraulic 4.4 Geotechnical- Soil and Foundation Analysis 4.5 Structural Analysis- Pavement Thickness 4.6 Location of Quarries, Borrow Pits and Construction Materials 4.7 Items of Work and Cost 4.8 Implementation Schedule 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 24 C. Operational Analysis 5.1 Project Organization, Critical Activities and Project Outputs 5.1.1 Pre-Investment Phase 5.1.2 Project Execution/Implementation Phase 5.1.3 Post Project Implementation Phase 5.2 Plan for Management during Construction, Key Roles and Responsibilities and Implementation Arrangements 5.3 Collection of Road Users Fees and Other Policies 5.4 Project Implementation Schedule 5.5 Project Monitoring and Supervision 5.6 Operation and Maintenance Scheme 25 25 26 26 26 Social Analysis 32 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 32 32 32 33 33 33 D. Project Beneficiaries Indigenous Cultural Community/Indigenous Peoples (ICC/IP) Site and Right-of-Way acquisition Damage to Standing Crops, Houses and/or Properties Physical Displacement of Persons Economic Displacement of Persons 22 22 22 26 30 30 30 31 Page iv | P a g e E. Environmental Assessment 33 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 33 33 33 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 7.6 F. Financial Analysis 35 8.1 8.2 35 35 35 36 36 8.3 G. 36 9.1 36 36 37 37 38 38 38 39 39 39 39 39 40 40 40 41 41 42 42 42 42 42 43 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.7 Annexes Total Project Cost by Financing Source and Cost Sharing Total Project Cost Breakdown 8.2.1 Direct Costs 8.2.2 Indirect Costs Status of LGU Equity Availability and LFC Certification Economic Analysis and Evaluation 9.2 H. Natural Habitat Physical Cultural Resources Terrain, Soil Types and Rainfall Drainage Situations and Flooding Potential Impacts During Construction 7.5.1 Temporary Erosion and Sediment Control 7.5.2 Construction Noise Mitigation 7.5.3 Proper Handling of Construction Wastes 7.5.4 Public and Worker’s Safety Status of Environmental Clearances The Project Influence Area 9.1.1 Agricultural Production in the Road Influence Area 9.1.2 Population within the Direct Road Influence Area 9.1.3 Existing Vehicular Traffic Based on Traffic Survey Results 9.1.4 Transportation Costs by Animal/Human Haulers 9.1.5 Commuter Time Savings 9.1.6 Benefits of Newly Cultivated Agricultural Land Economic Benefits 9.2.1 Vehicle Operating Cost Savings (VOCS) 9.2.2 Transport Cost Savings in Hauling Outputs and Inputs 9.2.3 Reduction in Travel Times from Farm to Market 9.2.4 Incremental benefits attributed to newly opened croplands 9.2.5 Other Benefits Economic Costs 9.3.1 Capital Cost and O & M Cost Breakdown Direct Jobs from Construction Adjustment of Financial Values to Economic Terms Results of the Economic Analysis 9.6.1. Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) 9.6.2. Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR) 9.6.3 Economic Net Present Value (ENPV) Economic Sensitivity Analysis Results List of Attached Models/Detailed Tables of EFA Templates Conclusions and Recommendations 43 44 v|Page List of Tables Table Page 1 Name, Areas, and Population of Barangays. Abuyog, Leyte. 3 2 Summary of Road Transport Network, Abuyog, Leyte 7 3 General Land Use Classification 9 4 Agricultural Land Utilization by Crops 9 5 Land Area of Abuyog vis-a-vis Provincial and Regional Total 9 6 Types of Soil in the Municipality of Abuyog, Leyte 11 7 Population Characteristics. Abuyog & Leyte (2010) 14 8 Agricultural Crops, Area Planted and Production Volume. Abuyog, Leyte 14 9 Livestock & Poultry, Production Volume/Value. Abuyog, Leyte. 2010. 15 10 Fishing Grounds, Fisheries Production Volume & Value. Abuyog, Leyte. 2011 15 11 List of Registered Businesses by Industry Sub-sectors. Abuyog, Leyte. 2010 16 12 List of Registered Businesses in Trade Sub-sector. Abuyog, Leyte. 2010 16 13 List of Registered Businesses, Personal Services Sub-sector. Abuyog, 2010 17 14 Employment & Revenues by Classification of Business & Trade. Abuyog, 2010 17 15 Population Characteristics of the RIA Barangays 20 16 Total Annual Production Volume and Value of Major Crops, RIA Barangays 20 17 Existing Roads and Transport System, RIA Barangays 21 18 Transport Data Taken from Traffic Survey. November 2014 19 19 Items of Work and Cost 24 20 Implementation Timetable 24 21 Duties and Responsibilities of Offices/Persons Involved in the Project 27 22 Annual Maintenance Cost, PCCP 31 23 Total Project Cost by Financing Source and Cost Sharing 35 24 Total Project Cost Breakdown 35 25 Production Areas, Volumes and Values of Crop in RIA Brgys., 2014 36 26 Population within the Road Influence Area (RIA), 2008. 37 27 Annual Ave. Daily Traffic, Canmarating-Can-aporong FMR, Nov. 2014 37 28 Prevailing Fares by Type of Vehicle, Travel Times & Distances, RIA, Nov. 2014 38 29 Average Travel Time of Commuters, RIA Barangays. Nov. 2014 38 30 Benefits of Newly Cultivated Agricultural Land 39 31 Total Investment and Operating & Maintenance Costs of Sub-project 40 32 Investment Costs of Sub-project (Financial & Economic) 41 33 Sensitivity Analysis, 20-Year Period 42 34 Economic Analysis 44 35 Sensitivity Analysis on Costs, Benefits and Delays 45 36 Investment and Maintenance Costs 47 37 Annual Road Maintenance Cost 47 vi | P a g e Table Page 38 Transport Data by Vehicle Type 48 39 Projected Number of Vehicles per Day 48 40 Projected Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) 48 41 Standard Vehicle Operating Cost Savings (Php) 49 42 Total Annual Vehicle Operating Cost Savings by Vehicle Type 49 43 Benefits – Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) Savings 50 44 Benefits – Savings in Output Hauling 52 45 Benefits – Savings in Input Hauling 54 46 Benefits – Savings in Travel Time for Commuters 56 47 Benefits of Newly Cultivated Agricultural Land (Coconut, Rice) 58 List of Exhibits Exhibit Page 1 Location Map of Abuyog, Leyte 5 2 Map of Abuyog Showing Its Barangays 6 3 Road Network Map of Abuyog, Leyte 8 4 Land Use Map of Abuyog, Leyte 10 5 Soil Map of Abuyog, Leyte 12 6 Mean Annual Rainfall. Abuyog, Leyte 13 7 Project Organization, Critical Activities and Project Output Chart 25 Annexes Annex Page 1 Models/Detailed Tables of EFA Templates 45 2 Social Environmental Safeguards (SES) Compliance Documents 61 A. Abuyog Sanggunian Bayan (SB) Resolution No. 30-A, S. 2015 61 B. Abuyog Sanggunian Bayan (SB) Resolution No. 30-B, S. 2015 63 C. Local Finance Committee (LFC) Certification on Availability of Funds 66 D. Abuyog Sanggunian Bayan (SB) Resolution No. 29-A, S. 2015 65 E. Abuyog Municipal Development Council (MDC) Resolution No. 01, S. 2015 68 F. 72 Certification of Non-Coverage (CNC), from EMB-DENR G. Letter-Request for Certification that Odiongan & Layug Rivers are Approved Sources of Aggregate Materials 73 H. Letter-Request for Certification that No Indigenous People/Community Exists in Abuyog, Leyte 74 I. Minutes of Barangay Balocawehay Assembly/Consultative Meeting 75 J. Minutes of Barangay Tabigue Assembly/Consultative Meeting 82 K. Certification on Evidence of Road Right-of-Way Acquisition 83 L. 84 Parcellary Map of PAP/List of Affected Property Owners within the Area M. Waste Disposal and Dumping Site Certification 85 N. Certification Mayor’s Consent to Cut Trees Along the FMR Project 86 vii | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR FEASIBILITY STUDY ON REHABILITATION/CONCRETING OF TABIGUE - BALOCAWEHAY FARM TO MARKET ROAD, ABUYOG, LEYTE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY A. Project Title : Concreting of of Tabigue - Balocawehay Farm to Market Road B. Project Location : Brgys. Tabigue and Balocawehay, Municipality of Abuyog, Province of Leyte C. Project Category : Rural Access D. Project Scale/Dimension : 2.0237 kilometers E. Project Proponent : Local Government Unit (LGU) of Abuyog, Leyte F. Implementing Unit : Local Government Unit (LGU) of Abuyog, Leyte G. Income Classification : 1st Class Municipality H. Total No. of Barangays : 63 I. Mode of Implementation : J. Road Influenced Areas Contract : Barangay Total Area (has.) Total Area Planted (has.) Balocawehay 615.03 571.40 Tabigue 322.63 296.66 Total 937.66 868.06 Major Crops Rice, Coconut, Corn, Abaca, Banana Rice, Coconut, Corn, Banana, Rootcrops K. Project Beneficiaries within the Road Influence Area : Total Population= 4,767; Male= 2,454; Female= 2,313 Number of Households = 1,046 L. Total Project Cost TPC WB Loan DA/GOP LGU Equity = = = = Php 15,102,142.39 Php 12,081,713.91 Php 1,510,214.24 Php 1,510,214.24 ENPV EIRR BCR = = = Php 19,957,413.00 37.32 % 2.42 and Cost Sharing : M. Economic Viability Indicators : N. Conclusion and Recommendations : (100%) ( 80%) ( 10%) ( 10%) The proposed sub-project is found to be feasible in all aspects. Overall economic benefits far outweigh economic costs as revealed by the economic viability indicators evaluated at a discount rate of 15%. Project implementation is shown to be technically and operationally feasible. The proposed sub-project is therefore highly recommended for approval. 1|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR I. Project Profile Municipal Profile of Abuyog, Leyte 1.1 Brief Historical Background When the Spaniards landed at Homonhon Island in Samar, they found no potable water. Some of the crews sailed westward to look for water and landed on the shores covered by a swarm of bees. Surprisingly, the headman accompanied by his tribesmen met the Spaniards cordially. When the Spaniards asked the natives about the name of the place, the natives replied: “Ah, Buyog!”- thinking they were asked about the swarm of bees on the seashore. From then on, the Spaniards called the place “Abuyog”. Abuyog became a Spanish “encomienda” as early as 1591. Encomiendas are large estates, assigned to “encomenderos” (Spaniards) for their care and administration and as a reward for their services to the Spanish crown. After the abolition of encomiendas, local governments called alcaldias (provinces) and pueblos (towns) were established. In 1885, Abuyog became a pueblo when the Presidencia building was complete. Abuyog was finally incorporated into a municipality of the Province of Leyte, Philippines by virtue of RA No. 2565 enacted by Congress without executive approval on June 21, 1959. Abuyog became a 1st class municipality in 2002. It has a total budget of Php175.5 million in 2014. It is comprised of 63 barangays of which 22 are coastal and 41 are upland barangays. In the 2012 Regional Social & Economic Trends (RSET)-Eastern Visayas, a publication of the National Statistics Coordination Board (NSCB), Abuyog has a total population of 55,509 living in 12,431 households and with an average household size of 4.5 persons. It is one of the most progressive and rapidly developing municipalities in Leyte province in spite of the generally poor conditions of its hinterland barangays. Abuyog is located at the eastern part of Leyte along the seacoast of Leyte Gulf and the Pacific Ocean. It is 61.62 kilometers to Tacloban City, the regional center, along the Philippine-Japan Friendship (Maharlika) Highway. See Exhibit 1. 1.2 Barangays Abuyog is politically and administratively subdivided into 63 barangays, nine of which are classified as urban barangays and mostly located within the poblacion area, while the other 54 are generally rural barangays located in the outlying areas of the municipality. (See Exhibit 2.) Table 1 shows the names, classification and population characteristics of each of the barangays of Abuyog. Balocawehay is the biggest barangay in terms of population with 3,490 residents living in 766 households and the smallest is Mahayahay with only 160 residents in 40 households. In terms of land area, Pinamanagan is the largest with 2,985 hectares while the smallest is Nalibunan located in the Poblacion with only a little over 10 hectares. The barangays covered in this sub-project are Brgy. Canmarating with 1,021 inhabitants in 243 households and Brgy. Can-aporong with 490 residents in 92 households. 2|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 1. Name, Total Area, Cultivated Area, Number of Households and Population of Barangays in Abuyog, Leyte. Population No. of Households 0.44 1.00 0.83 1,036 1,791 1,516 1,190 964 776 1,856 2,333 2,475 221 411 334 287 217 171 426 500 560 721.10 1,636.43 1,801.19 308.85 1,850.81 358.94 615.03 417.85 834.45 923.97 205.67 1,400.81 283.46 382.03 242.51 639.65 304.71 227.50 243.29 40.85 695.05 331.07 571.40 389.21 621.35 79.53 163.20 269.62 255.20 209.42 191.76 297.82 318 286 472 310 2,259 1,511 3,490 1,304 776 691 660 315 1,500 639 373 454 80 80 113 70 494 326 766 297 169 188 158 77 353 144 90 112 Can-aporong 177.01 139.72 430 92 Canmarating 363.54 337.22 1,021 243 Capilian 399.48 380.48 766 173 Combis 909.55 153.94 376 92 488.13 1,713.57 1,259.92 944.53 278.93 234.27 961.42 266.51 363.03 371.20 79.41 255.59 85.41 291.89 582 1,331 1,131 543 252 386 1,030 123 324 234 131 57 77 239 Mag-atubang 149.96 132.41 265 67 Mahagna 817.48 130.93 479 109 Mahayahay 423.73 34.84 160 40 Maitum 393.07 361.25 558 118 Malaguicay 790.02 58.39 908 237 Matagnao 438.68 203.60 439 106 Barangay Urban Bito Buntay Can-uguib Guintagbucan Loyonsawang Nalibunan Santa Fe Santo Niño Victory Rural Alangilan Anibongon Bagacay Bahay Balinsasayao Balocawe Balocawehay Barayong Bayabas Buaya Buenavista Bulak Bunga Burubud-an Cadac-an Cagbolo Dingle Hampipila Katipunan Kikilo Laray Lawa-an Libertad Total Area (Has.) Cultivated Area (Has.) 41.99 21.01 24.88 65.12 15.24 10.11 12.92 41.37 13.63 17.25 2.97 10.10 44.29 0.60 3|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Barangay Nebga New Taligue Odiongan Old Taligue Pagsang-an Paguite Parasanon Picas Sur Pilar Pinamanagan Salvacion San Francisco San Isidro San Roque Santa Lucia Tabigue Tadoc Tib-o Tinalian Tinocolan Tuy-a Total Total Area (Has.) 660.37 1,918.36 290.78 956.24 237.32 323.68 1,003.47 271.58 205.66 2,985.10 181.64 382.85 255.92 909.22 771.58 322.63 181.26 520.35 400.23 997.93 942.08 38,331 Cultivated Area (Has.) 107.53 620.33 272.35 227.48 202.98 307.92 244.18 240.07 13.70 4.68 81.83 90.87 236.59 90.50 55.22 296.66 151.92 77.76 122.37 94.32 286.54 12,440 Population 489 362 677 355 932 765 509 554 468 516 625 326 652 908 305 1,277 364 671 411 308 718 52,144 No. of Households 112 85 156 77 218 163 113 127 107 129 155 81 136 206 71 280 86 141 84 79 174 11,886 Source: CBMS Survey, DILG-Abuyog (2014) 1.3 Location 1.3.1 Geographic Characteristics and Location Abuyog is located at the eastern part of Leyte along the seacoast of Leyte Gulf and the Pacific Ocean. It is situated at 1250 01’ 00" east latitude, 100 45’ 00" north longitude. It is bounded on the north by the Municipality of MacArthur, Leyte, on the northwest by the Municipality of Javier, Leyte, on the south by the Municipality of Silago, Southern Leyte, on the west by the Municipality of Mahaplag, Leyte and on the east by Leyte Gulf and the Pacific Ocean. 1.3.2 Relative Distance to Major Growth and Commercial Centers Abuyog is 61.62 kilometers to Tacloban City, the regional center of commerce and trade, governance and education, along the Philippine-Japan Friendship Highway. It is 24.98 kilometers to the town of Dulag, 27.18 kilometers to the town of Mahaplag, 41.44 kilometers to the interior town of Burauen, 46.19 kilometers to the town of Baybay and 2.5 hours by motorboat to the town of Silago, Southern Leyte. . 4|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Exhibit 1. Location Map of Abuyog, Leyte PROVINCE OF LEYTE ABUYOG 5|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Exhibit 2. Project Location: Brgys. Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR 6|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 1.3.3 Existing Road Transport Network and Physical Condition As shown in Table 2, the total road network of the municipality is roughly 683 kilometers. Exhibit 3 displays the road network map of Abuyog. By classification, barangay roads comprise the longest road network totalling 579.7 kms. or 85 % of total, while national roads total 44.8 kms. or 6.5 %. On the other hand, municipal roads total 33.6 kms. or 4.92 % of total road network while provincial roads comprise 22.5 kms. The table also depicts the general physical conditions of the roads and corresponding recommendations. Table 2. Summary of Road Transport Network, Abuyog, Leyte Classification Length (km.) % to Total Area (has.) Physical Condition * Lacks maintenance National 44.8 6.50 % 134.4 Provincial 22.5 3.30 % 45 Municipal 33.6 4.92 % 50.4 Barangay 579.69 84.91% 347.81 2.1 0.31 % 1.26 682.69 100 % 399.47 Access Road Total Recommendation * Needs Asphalting * Additional FMR * Needs Asphalting * Lacks maintenance * Additional FMR * Lacks maintenance * Needs Asphalting * Some street are in sand and gravel * Concrete pavement * Sand and gravel * Concrete pavement Source: MPDO in Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP). Abuyog, Leyte. 1.3.4. Availability of Public Transport The Abuyog road along the Maharlika Highway is 61.62 kilometers to Tacloban City. It is interconnected on the north by the town of MacArthur, on the northwest by the town of Javier, on the south by the town of Silago, Southern Leyte and on the west by the town of Mahaplag. There are two means of transportation in the municipality: by land and by sea. Land transportation facilities include buses, van, motor cabs, pedicabs and trucks. In areas or barangays along rivers and seas, motorboats and bangcas are available. Daily trips to Tacloban City depart every 30 minutes. Passenger jeeps leave Abuyog bound for Baybay every morning and the last trip from Baybay is around 3:00 PM. Buses and vans pass by Abuyog daily from Tacloban City en route to Baybay and Southern Leyte and vice versa. Motorcabs and pedicabs serve passengers within the town proper and neighboring barangays. For people in the hinterlands and rural barangays, the popular “Habal-habal” or single motorcycle for hire, which can carry up to eight persons including the driver, is the preferred mode of transportation. For sea transportation, Abuyog has two wharves located at Tab-ok, Brgy. Nalibunan and Brgy. Sto. Nino. There are seven mini seaports which are located at Brgys. Bagacay, Buaya, Kikilo, Sta. Lucia, Malaguicay, and San Francisco. These mini seaports however need improvements of its facilities which are only waiting sheds that can accommodate 40 persons only and one service trip in a day. Some motorboats serve the coastal barangays and reach the towns of Silago and Hinunangan, Southern Leyte. Small motorboats serve the interior barangays along the Higasaan River. 7|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Exhibit 3. Road Network Map of Abuyog, Leyte 8|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 1.4 Total Land Area 1.4.1 General Land Use Classification Table 3 shows the general land use of the municipality of Abuyog, Leyte. Urban uses, and Agro-Industrial & Industrial uses cover 1.49 %, and 0.02%, respectively. Characteristically rural, Abuyog is generally more agricultural (32.45%) and forested (63.59%). Exhibit 4 depicts the general land use of Abuyog. Table 3. General Land Use Classification Category (Areas) Urban Uses Agro-Industrial and Industrial Agricultural Forest Grassland/Pastures Other Uses (Cemeteries; Sanitary Landfill; etc.) Water Uses (Nipa Swamps; Mangroves; etc.) Total Area (has.) 531.91 9.51 12,440.08 24,376.29 57.54 62.89 852.34 38,330.56 % Total 1.49 % 0.02 % 32.45 % 63.59 % 0.15 % 0.16 % 2.22 % 100.00 % Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP). Abuyog, Leyte. 1.4.2 Agricultural Land Use Classification Abuyog is basically an agricultural municipality with a big majority of its total population highly dependent on agriculture for livelihood and sustenance. Principal agricultural products of the municipality include coconut, rice, corn, rootcrops, vegetables and abaca, among others. Table 4 shows the number of hectares devoted to each crop. Coconut and rice are the top farm products in terms of total area planted. Table 4. Agricultural Land Utilization by Crops Crops Coconut Rice Corn Rootcrops Vegetables Abaca Area Utilized (has.) 9,409.93 4,233.32 710.53 518.63 293.81 257.69 Crops Banana Pineapple Mango Jackfruit Cacao Coffee Total Area Utilized (has.) 159.98 147.53 142.58 53.52 9.82 5.58 15,942.90 Source: Municipal Agriculture Office, Abuyog, Leyte . 1.4.3 Abuyog Land Area Relative to that of Leyte Province and Region 8 Table 5 shows the relative size of the land area of municiplaity of Abuyog to Leyte Province, Leyte Island and Eastern Visayas Region. Table 5. Land Area of Abuyog vis-a-vis Provincial and Regional Total (in has.) Abuyog 38,331 Relative Size in Percent Leyte Province 651,510 5.88 % Leyte Island 831,230 4.61 % Region 8 2,323,000 1.65 % Source: Regional Social and Economic Trends (RSET) 2012, a publication of the NSCB-8. 9|P age A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Exhibit 4. Land Use Map of Abuyog 10 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 1.5 Topography The municipality of Abuyog has mix topographic reliefs. The mountainous area is located in the southern portion of the municipality and along the boundary with the municipality of Mahaplag and a little portion at the western part of the municipality. Along the seacoast are flatlands where densely populated barangays are located. The municipality has many rivers and creeks distributed evenly in the whole area, notably the Cadac-an River which serves as the major drainage outlet into the sea. The total land area of Abuyog is 38,330 hectares which includes forest land area of 24,809 hectares and alienable and disposable land area of 13,087 hectares. Its coastal/sea area is estimated to be 42,809 hectares. 1.6 Soils and Suitability Abuyog has five soil types distributed in the different barangays at varying volumes and degrees. Table 6 shows the soil types with areas in hectares in decreasing order. Exhibit 5 depicts the Soil Map of Abuyog. An analysis of the different soil types prevailing in the municipality of Abuyog is basic to the determination of the suitable agricultural production expected. Soil fertility is relatively high considering that silts and other fertile soil colloids from the upland areas are carried and deposited by the various river systems into the low lying areas especially during rainy seasons and seasonal flooding. Table 6. Types of Soil in the Municipality of Abuyog, Leyte Soil Type Rocky Mountainous Rough Mountainous Hydrosol Fine Sand Tacloban Clay Loam Obando Fine Sand Total Area (has.) 29,531.35 2,585.49 3,919.27 2,132.65 161.74 38,330.50 % to Total Area 77.04 % 6.75 % 10.23 % 5.56 % 0.42 % 100.00 % Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP). Abuyog, Leyte. 1.7 Climate and Water Sources Exhibit 6 on page 13 shows that the municipality of Abuyog belongs to the range of 171.47mm. to 201.93mm. mean annual rainfall and 2,500 mm estimated rainfall. Abuyog experiences high rainfall during the months of January to February and also during the months of September to December. But during the summer months from March to July, Abuyog receives low rainfall. This information is based from the 35-year statistics on climatological normal from PAGASA for the years 1965 to 2000 gathered from different weather substations throughout the Philippine archipelago and analysis maps processed by NAMRIA for the Bureau of Agricultural Research-Spatial Analysis and Information Laboratory (BAR-SAIL). 11 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Exhibit 5. Soil Map of Abuyog 12 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR ABUYOG Exhibit 6. Mean Annual Rainfall. Abuyog, Leyte 13 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 1.8 Municipal Population Abuyog is a 1st class municipality in the Province of Leyte, Philippines. In the 2012 RSETEastern Visayas published by NSCB-8, the town has 55,509 inhabitants and the municipality’s population density is 83 persons per square kilometer per census in 2010. Table 7. Population, Gender, Number of Households, Average Household Size, Average Population Growth Rate. Abuyog & Leyte (2010). Town/ Province Total Population Abuyog 55,509 26,849 28,660 1,563,364 758,583 804,781 Leyte 1 Women Men Average Household Size Average Annual Rate of Increase1 12,431 4.5 0.60 346,346 4.5 1.04 No. of Households Average annual rate of increase for Census Years 2000 and 2010 Source: RSET-2012, NSCB-8 1.8.1 Total Population, Gender and Average Growth Rate Table 7 shows that Abuyog has 55,509 inhabitants. By gender, men outnumber women both in Abuyog population (1.07 : 1) and Leyte population (1.06 : 1). The average population rate of increase of Abuyog is far lower at 0.60 compared to the provincial average of 1.04. 1.8.2 Number of Households and Average Household Size Table 7 also shows that the 55,509 inhabitants of Abuyog are in 12,431 households and that the average household size of the municipality is identical to that of the province of Leyte at 4.5, per census year 2010. 1.9 Economic Activities and Sources of Income 1.9.1 On-Farm: Crops Production Abuyog is primarily agricultural with almost 16,000 hectares of its total land area of 38,331 hectares devoted to agriculture. Table 8 depicts the major crops produced in the municipality. Coconut is the dominant crop with around 9,410 hectares planted while rice follows with 4,725 hectares. High value crops and fruit trees are also planted. Table 8 shows total annual production per crop in metric tons and estimated value. Table 8. Agricultural Crops, Area Planted (in has.) and Production Volume (in metric tons). Abuyog, Leyte. 2010. Major Crops Coconut Rice, irrigated Rice, rainfed Banana High Value Crops Rootcrops Vegetables Fruit Trees Area (has.) 9,410 3,114 1,611 445 195 230 156 194 Production Value(Php) Volume (in metric tons) 18,819 249,864,000 12,174 182,584,250 4,484 66,349,290 14,978 14,670,702 2,915 No data available 4,900 No data available 2,502 No data available No data vailable No data available Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP); Municipal Agriculture Office. Abuyog, Leyte. 14 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 1.9.2 On-Farm: Livestock and Poultry Livestock and poultry are another sources of livelihood and income for the people of the municipality. Some are engaged in this kind of aconomic activity in commercial scale, as a family business or a family’s way of living. But most of the time, livestock raising is at backyard level production, or for family domestic consumption only. The Municipality of Abuyog produces not only crops but also livestock and poultry products. Table 9 shows the various livestock and poultry being raised either in backyard or commercial scale with corresponding estimated total value. Table 9. Livestock & Poultry, Scale of Operation, Production Volume/Value. Abuyog, Leyte. 2010. Production Volume (heads) Value(Php) Carabao (meat; breeders) Backyard/Commercial 1,644 41,100,000 Livestock (Purposes) Scale Cattle (breeders) Backyard 20 700,000 Swine (meat; breeders) Backyard/Commercial 4,343 15,200,500 Goat (meat; breeders) Backyard 60 500,000 Horse (breeders) Backyard 25 75,000 Chicken (meat, eggs) Commercial 100,000 65,000,000 Duck (meat, eggs) Backyard/Commercial 3,070 340,000 Turkey (meat, eggs) Backyard 15 22,500 Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP); Municipal Agriculture Office. Abuyog, Leyte. 1.9.3 Fisheries and Aquaculture Since Abuyog is along the Pacific and surrounded by rivers and swamps, it is abundant in marine and fresh water products like fish, lobsters, shrimps, crabs and other products. Table 10 shows that there are 39 barangays engage in fishing both in marine and freshwater fisheries. Total production is 61 metric tons per day valued at Php 5,200,000 marketed locally. However, although the municipality produces marine and aquaculture products in abundance, it has no processing and storage facilities. Table 10. Fishing Grounds, Fisheries Production Volume & Value. Abuyog, Leyte. 2011. Fishing Grounds No. of Barangays Volume Value (Php) Marine Fisheries - Municipal Territorial Waters 22 (coastal) 31 tons/day 3,100,000 - Aquaculture - - - Brackish Water Fishponds 7 15 tons/day 1,200,000 10 15 tons/day 900,000 - Inland Fisheries - Tilapia Fishponds Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP); Municipal Agriculture Office. Abuyog, Leyte. 15 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 1.9.4 Off-Farm and Non-Farm Economic Sectors The off-farm and non-farm economic sectors in the municipality are composed of secondary and tertiary sub-sectors that are the main sources of employment and income for the people of Abuyog outside of the agriculture sector. 1.9.4.1 Secondary Sub-Sector: Industry Table 11 shows the list of registered businesses in the manufacturing/processing (25) and in the construction (22) industries in Abuyog, Leyte. These sub-sectors support the local processing and building industries. Table 11. List of Registered Businesses by Industry Sub-sectors. Abuyog, Leyte. 2010. Commercial / Business Manufacturing/Processing Industry Bakery / Bakeshop Engineering & Construction Welding Shop/Pedicab Assembler Rice & Corn Mill Furniture Shop Woodcraft, Handicraft, Weaving & Fashion Accessories Internet Shop and PC Accessories Total No. 11 1 10 6 1 1 1 25 Commercial / Business Construction Industry Construction Firms Hardware Supplies Hollow Blocks Maker Contractor Construction Supplies Construction & Concrete Products Sand & Gravel Total No. 2 3 4 3 4 2 4 22 Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP), Abuyog, Leyte. 1.9.4.2 Tertiary Sub-Sector Commerce – mainly concentrated in the central business district of Abuyog. There are about 200 registered business establishments engaged in wholesale & retail as of end of 2010 as shown in Table 12. Table 12. List of Registered Businesses in Trade Sub-sector. Abuyog, Leyte. 2010. Wholesale & Retail Trade Fruits & Vegetables Vendors Copra, Palay & Abaca Buyer Rice & Corn Retailer Meat Dealer Dressed Chicken Chicken Dealer Lechon Manok Fish Broker Fish Vendor Salted & Dried Fish Dealer/Vendor Agrivet, Animal Feeds Retailer Agriculture Supplies Glass/Kitchen-ware/Plastic Center Glass & Aluminum Supply Electronics Supplies & Services Pharmacy No. 4 21 7 9 3 1 3 1 4 2 7 1 2 4 2 8 Wholesale & Retail Trade Dry Goods Natasha Store Used Clothing/Ukay-ukay RTW Direct Selling School & Office Supplies Sari-sari Store LPG Retailer Gasoline Station Water Station Scrap Buyer Coco Lumber Dealer Multi Enterprises Grocery Gen. Merchandise Appliances/Furniture Store Total No. 15 1 1 2 3 63 1 4 3 3 2 3 6 3 1 200 Source: Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP), Abuyog, Leyte. 16 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Transportation – There are many transport operators of mini buses, public utility jeepneys, tricycles, “habal-habal” (single motorcycles for hire), pedicabs (bicycles with side car), cargo trucks and vans for hire. Telecommunications – There are two (2) cell sites, a postal services office, a telephone company and cable TV operators in the municipality. Personal Services: There are about 35 registered businesses providing personal services like beauty parlors, shops, photo studios, funeral parlors, etc. Table 13. List of Registered Businesses, Personal Services Sub-sector. Abuyog, 2010. Commercial / Business Personal Services Photo Studio Center & Supplies Xerox Copier Gift Shop Funeral Parlor Beauty & Refreshment Parlor Barber Shop Pawnshop & Jewelry Catering Services Cable TV Services Express Padala Money Trasfer/Money Changer Electronic Services Computer Services Allied Services Cycle Center Surveying Office Total No. 4 1 1 4 2 2 6 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 35 Commercial / Business Educational Institution Kindergarten Realty Lesson College Institution Total No. 1 1 1 3 Agro-Industrial Farm & Poultry Farm Farmer Center Farmers & Fishermen Asso. Total 4 1 1 6 Transpo. & Communication Bicycle/Motor Parts/Services Motorcycle/Bicycle Dealer Internet Cafe Cell Phone Enterprises Total 8 4 13 2 27 1.9.5 Employment and Income Sources As an agricultural town, most of the employed persons are engaged in farm crop production, livestock & poultry raising and marine & inland fisheries. While on-farm economic activities are the principal sources of employment and income of the people in Abuyog, off-farm and non-farm economic activities are good contributors to the local economy. As shown in Table 14, these sub-sectors employed 5,407 and provided an aggregate income of almost Php 17.5 million in 2010. Table 14. Employment & Revenues by Classification of Business & Trade. Abuyog, 2010. Classification of Business and Trade Wholesale and Retail Trade Banking and Finance Real Estate & Construction Services Others (Communication & Transportation) Total No. of Employment 3,674 64 216 1,204 249 5,407 Revenues (in Pesos) 8,851,200 700,000 2,950,000 3,054,400 1,940,000 17,495,600 17 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR II. Project Background and Rationale 2.1. Statement of the Problem and Opportunities The current state of barangay roads of the municipality of Abuyog can be generally described as follows: there is lack, inadequate and poorly maintained barangay road networks, including farm to market roads, that connect barangay crop production centers to Abuyog town proper and markets. This is due to inadequate funds of the local government of Abuyog to properly maintain these roads. The following are the dire consequences: a) b) c) d) High cost of transporting production inputs like seeds and fertilizers into farms; High cost of hauling agricultural outputs from the farms to markets; High cost of operating transport vehicles due to frequent maintenance Longer travel times and unsafe, inconvenient trips These consequences serve as disincentives to farmers (and investors) to produce and invest more due to transportation problems and high costs in bringing their produce to the market. The proposed project would greatly enhance crop production and movement of goods and services within and outside of the target areas. 2.2 Strategic Direction of the Municipality of Abuyog All the programs and projects of the municipality of Abuyog are grounded on its vision and mission. Quoted hereunder are its Vision and Mission Statements, as well as its Goal and Objectives, as reflected in its 2014-2016 Executive and Legislative Development Agenda: 2.2.1 Development Vision of the Municipality of Abuyog: “Peaceful, agro-industrialized and self-reliant Abuyog with disaster-resilient, healthy and empowered citizenry living in a developed eco-tourist destination and environment-friendly community.” 2.2.2 Mission Statement “Promote peace and order, develop infrastructure and agro-industrial technologies, provide employment opportunties and deliver quality socio-economic services through active participation of politically matured leaders and constituents who shall be disaster-resilient and endeavor to protect and maintain a well-balanced environment.” 2.2.3 Goal “To transform into a climate-proofed eco-tourist destination and business-friendly municipality and convert its barangays into high value crop and food producers thereby creating livelihood opportunities to every Abuyognon.” 2.2.4 Objectives a) b) c) d) To increase investments for domestic tourism, commerce and trade; To provide efficient infrastructure facilities and utilities so as to attract investments; To generate employment and livelihood opportunities; To increase productivity levels of major food, high-value fruits and crops; 18 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR e) To develop, protect and regenerate the coastal and forest resources; f) To provide incentives to individuals/corporations who shall be exemplars in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation best practices; g) To improve the delivery of basic services to alleviate or reduce poverty. 2.3 Sub-Project Objectives The LGU’s Objectives (b) and (d), which articulate advancing infrastructure development to support the growth of its agriculture sector, find congruence and support from “the Philippine Rural Development Project (PRDP), a 6-year program designed to establish the government platform for a modern, climate-smart and market-oriented agri-fishery sector. In partnership with the LGUs and the private sector, PRDP will provide key infrastructure, facilities, technology, and information that will raise incomes, productivity, and competitiveness in the countryside.” (PRDP Brief, 05 June 2014). In 6 years the program intervention would have achieved the following general objectives: Increased annual real farm incomes of PRDP household beneficiaries by at least 5%; Increased income of targeted beneficiaries of enterprise development by at least 30%; Increased value of annual marketed output by at least 7%; Increased number of farmers and fishers with improved access to DA services by 20%. This sub-project, concreting of the Can-aporong-Canmarating FMR, is primarily intended to contribute to achieving a robust and sustained agro-industrial development and selfsufficiency in major agricultural crops like rice, corn, vegetables, poultry and livestock being enjoyed by healthy, strong and GOD-fearing Abuyognons. It is directly aligned to the development priorities of the Provincial Government of Leyte which identified coconut and rice as principal crops to propel the economic development of the province. The subproject area is mostly planted to coconuts and rice. The proposed FMR will therefore directly benefit the coconut and rice farmers, as well as barangay residents by way of providing convenient, cost-effective and safe access to said areas. With the rehabilitation and concreting of the road network linking the two barangays to the poblacion of Abuyog, the following specific objectives shall be achieved: a. Reduced vehicle operating costs of transport operators and road users by at least 50%; b. Reduced hauling costs for passengers and agricultural in/outputs by as much as 30%; c. Reduced hauling costs for passengers and agricultural in/outputs by as much as 30%; d. Reduced travel time of the target road section from the current 10 minutes to 4 minutes; e. Promote cultivation and use of new farmlands of at least 10 hectares per crop (rice and coconut) thereby further increasing production volume and farm income; 2.4 Brief Presentation of Socio-Economic Indicators 2.4.1 Location of the Tabigue-Balocawehay Road Project The proposed FMR sub-project is located in Sitio San Vicente, Brgy. Tabigue to Sitio Canario & Sitio Danao, Brgy. Balocawehay, Abuyog, Leyte. The said road section is an existing 2.0237-kilometer road that connects the two barangays to the AbuyogMahaplag section of the national highway. (See Exhibit 2, page 6). 19 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 2.4.2 Population Characteristics of the Direct Road Influenced Area (RIA) Table 15. Population Characteristics of the RIA Barangays Barangay Balocawehay Tabigue Total Male Female Population 3,490 1,277 4,767 2,454 2,313 No. of Households 766 280 1,046 Est. Economically Active Population1 Unemployed2 Employed3 1,221 447 1,668 159 58 217 1,062 389 1,451 Average Household Size = 4.56 15 years old & above; 35% of total population 13% & 87% of the total economically active population, respectively Source of Population Data : 2008 Abuyog DILG-CBMS Survey 1 2&3 As shown in Table 15, the two barangays have total population of 4,767 persons of which 2,454 are males and 2,313 are females, living in 1,046 households. The estimated economically active population is 1,668 of which 1,451 are assumed to be employed. 2.4.3 Main Agricultural Crops in the RIA Barangays Barangays Tabigue and Balocawehay of Abuyog are basically agricultural communities with majority of the inhabitants engaged in agricultural crop production. Data obtained from the Municipal Agriculturist Office (MAO) show the beneficiary barangays are main producers of rice, coconuts and corn. (See table below). Table 16. Total Annual Production Volume and Value of Major Crops, RIA Barangays. Crop Rice/palay Coconut/copra Corn Abaca Banana Total Area (in has.) 461.69 Annual Production Volume (kgs.) 3,970,534.00 107,204,418.00 353.25 23.00 678,240.00 16,956,000.00 34,500.00 690,000.00 20.00 10.13 22,500.00 22,792.50 1,260,000.00 455,850.00 868.07 4,728,566.50 126,566,268.00 Total Annual Production Value (Php) Source: Abuyog Municipal Agriculturist Office (MAO) 2.5 Description of the Priority Value Chain to be Served by the FMR The proposed road sub-project is a critical component of LGU-Abuyog’s strategic focus on coconut and rice as the principal agricultural commodities from which to anchor its economic development. The sub-project will effectively link the coconut and rice producing beneficiary barangays to the open markets in Leyte province and is expected to further enhance the development of the coconut industry of Abuyog. The municipality’s focus in promoting coconut and rice is directly in harmony and aligned to the priorities and development direction of the Provincial Government of Leyte which likewise identified coconut and rice as the main crops to promote in the province. 20 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR III. Project Description and Analyses A. Market Analysis/Demand-Supply Analysis 3.1 Existing Roads, Bridges and Transport System in the Area Table 17. Existing Roads and Transport System (in kms.), RIA Barangays, Abuyog, Leyte. Road Type Brgy/Farmto-Market Roads Municipal Provincial National Gravel Passa- Not Pasble sable Earth Passable Not Passable Concrete Passa- Not Pas- Passable sable ble - - - a. 2.023700 b. 2.240322 - - - - - - - - - - * Tabigue-Balocawehay ** Can-aporong-Canmarating Total Not Passable a. 2.240322 b. 2.023700 - Source: Municipal Engineer’s Office, Abuyog, Leyte 3.2 Analysis of Road and Transport System (without and with road improvement) 3.2.1 Present road network condition The Tabigue-Balocawehay road section is an existing 2.0237-kilometer road that connects the two barangays to the Abuyog-Mahaplag portion of the national highway. It is a Barangay Road/Farm-to-Market Road (FMR) classified as “earth road, not passable.” There is no existing bridge along the said road. The road is in a very sorry state, and over time has slowly deterioted into a trail because of vegetation covering most of the road. This is due to neglect because of inadequate funds of the local government to properly maintain the road section. The road is also repeatedly damaged due to heavy rains. It is hardly passable to 4-wheel drive type vehicles. It is passable to single type motor vehicles during dry season only. Despite the bad shape of the road, it connects the two barangays’ crop production areas to the town proper which is the market center/trading point. 3.2.2 Availability of public transport vehicles The transport system consists mainly of single motorcycles for hire (“habal-habal”) and tricycles. There are only occassional cargo trucks and jeepneys because most of the road is impassable year-round. 3.2.3 Seasonal Impassibility of Road Site The road segment is generally passable to “habal-habal” and other vehicles yearround but the said road section is slippery and dangerous to motorists on rainy days and very dusty during hot days. 3.2.4 Alternate route/s used within the project area and their condition There is no alternate route being used in the area. 21 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 3.2.5 Availability of Other Modes of Transport which Tend to Compete with the Project There are no railways or new road infrastructure projects currently on-going within the RIAs that may compete with the proposed sub-project. The proposed FMR will not compete but rather will complement other sub-project FMRs that might be pursued in advancing the total socio-economic development initiatives of Abuyog. 3.2.6 Existing modes of transport and hauling of passenger and cargo The table below summarizes the results of a traffic survey conducted on November 2014. It shows that the most popular mode of transport between the two barangays is “habal-habal” or single motorcycle for hire because of its flexibility and serviceability. This validates the information that habal-habal constitutes the principal mode of transportation going to and from the two beneficiary barangays. Occasionally, a few trucks and jeepneys come to the barangays to haul agricultural products primarily coconuts, rice and corn as well as farm inputs and other items. There are also nonmotorized vehicles being utilized by farmers and barangay residents like animal (carabao)-drawn carts and bicycles. Table 18. Transport/Traffic Survey Data, Brgys. Tabigue & Balocawehay, Abuyog, Leyte. November 2014. Vehicle Type Motorcycle ("Habal-habal") Tricycle Car/Van Jeepney Truck Ave. Loading Observed Transport Capacity Fares per Passenger/ (sacks) Cargo (P) No. of Units No. of Trips/Day Operating Days/Year 39 43 260 8 P30 / P30 15 4 2 6 35 4 3 8 260 156 156 104 15 50 100 P30 / P30 P30 / P30 / P30 / P30 Note: 1. Average Distance travelled = 2.0237 kms. 2. Travel times: 10 minutes (w/out project); 4 minutes (with project). 3.2.7 Current trip volumes, destinations, travel times, volume /capacity ratios To determine the current volume of vehicular traffic going through Brgys. Tabigue Balocawehay, an actual traffic flow survey was conducted for seven (7) days from November 24 to 30, 2014 starting at 4 am up to 10 pm daily. The above table also summarizes the results of the survey. 3.2.8 Analysis of how the proposed road facility will close in the gap in Infrastructure Development within the area in terms of generated, induced and diverted traffic The proposed road sub-project connects the two barangays to the national highway. Concreting the road will significantly cut travel distance (and time) to the town proper. Once the sub-project is completed, farmers and residents of the two barangays will greatly benefit from it. Consequently, significant reduction in travel times by more than 50% (from 10 minutes to 4 minutes) and savings in transportation/ hauling costs will be realized. On the other hand, with the improved road, transport operators will realize substantial savings due to less frequent maintenance of their vehicles. Moreover, the improved road would induce more transport vehicles to ply the said route. 22 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR B. Technical Analysis 4.1 Horizontal Road Alignment The proposed road will have a right of way of 8 meters wide, consisting of a 5-meter concrete paved carriageway and 1.5 meters shoulders on both sides. It will start from Brgy. Tabigue to Brgy. Balocawehay where it will be connected to an existing concrete paved road that links the barangay to the town proper of Abuyog. There will be no curve widening and side cuts to be done as there are no sharp curves exist. 4.2 Vertical Road Alignment The proposed project starts from a generally flat terrain with some rolling areas to hilly portion having a maximum 1.0 percent gradient and these will be downgraded to the required grade elevation. There will be some minor side cuttings to be done in other areas to bring the road to its correct grade level. 4.3 Drainage Analysis/Hydraulic Some portions of the existing foot-trail path in Brgy. Tabigue and Brgy. Balocawehay is flooded during heavy and continuous downpour, particularly the lowland which serves as the catchment of the run-off water from the hillside. The flooding, however, subsides in a few hours after the heavy downpour stops. To mitigate the flooding of the road, Reinforced Concrete Pipe Culverts (RCPCs) will be installed/constructed at waterways road crossings. 4.4 Geotechnical- Soil and Foundation Analysis The soil classification map of the province indicates that the Leyte Clay Type of soil is prevalent in the project area with an American Association of the State Highway and Transportation Officials (AASHTO) soil classification rating of A-7 which means that the soil has a liquid limit of 41 min and a plasticity index of 11 min. It is clayey type of soil with a general subgrade rating of fair to poor. 4.5 Structural Analysis- Pavement Thickness With a recorded average daily traffic (ADT), a 0.15-meter thick, 5-meter wide carriageway is the recommended program standard. And the construction of the pipe culverts will adhere to Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) Standards. 4.6 Location of Quarries, Borrow Pits and Construction Materials The proposed construction of the existing and deteriorated gravel road will use base course and aggregates that will be sourced from the municipality of Abuyog in Leyte which is just within the locality. The materials will be hauled from the source site at Leyte and delivered to the project site using 10 cubic meter capacity dump trucks. Adequate supply of these aggregates is guaranteed as Leyte is the main supplier of these resources all over the region, with existing quarries. Base course that will be used for subgrade preparation will also be sourced from Abuyog area. 4.7 Items of Work and Cost The total project cost for the 2.0237-kilometer road is Php 15,102,142 or a unit cost of Php7,462,639 per kilometer. Table 19 shows the cost per item of work of the project. 23 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 19. Items of Work and Cost Item No. Scope of Work Percent Weight Quantity Unit 0.76% 1.47% 4.08% 0.21% 0.81% 2.26% 1 14,289.60 2,002.75 86.40 294.86 16,189.60 21.77% 67.21% A. Earthworks Spl 1 100 102 (2) 103 (6) 104 (1) 105 Mobilizaton/ Demobilization Clearing and Grubbing Surplus Common Excavation Pipe Culvert & Drain Excavation Embankment from Excavation Subgrade Preparation B. Base Course 201 C. 311 Aggregate Base Course Surface Course PCCP D. Drainage & Slope Protection Structure 500 (3) 506 Spcl 1 RCPC, 910mm Ø Stone Masonry Project Signboard Total Project Cost 0.73% 0.57% 0.14% Unit Cost Total l.s. sq.m. cu.m. cu.m. cu.m. sq.m. 114,375.51 15.52 307.37 371.94 417.08 21.05 114,375.51 221,801.03 615,578.96 32,135.62 122,978.84 340,740.06 4,644.39 cu.m. 707.89 3,287,726.51 10,118.50 sq.m. 1,003.08 10,149,708.76 16.00 21.30 1.00 lin.m. cu.m. lot 6,855.34 4,042.49 21,322.83 109,685.46 86,088.82 21,322.83 100.00% 15,102,142.39 4.8 Implementation Schedule The total project duration is 80 calendar days with the expected start of the project on the 1st week of August 2015. Expected completion date is on the 2nd week of October 2015 (See Table 20). Table 20. Implementation Timetable ACTIVITIES 2015 M A M J J A S O I. Preparation 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. FS/Preliminary Engineering Studies Preparation Preparation of Detailed Engineering Design Supporting Documents Submission Subproject Approval and Implementation Management Agreement Signing Capability Training II. Procurement Process 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Publication Pre-Bid Conference Conduct of Public Bidding Post-Qualification Evaluation Awarding and Approval Contract III. Implementation Stage 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Project Billboard Clearing and Grubbing Surplus Common Excavation Pipe Culvert & Drain Excavation Embankment from Excavation Subgrade Preparation Aggregate Base Course RCPC, 910mm Ø Portland Cement Concrete Pavement Stone Masonry 24 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR C. Operational Analysis This section depicts the management and operational requirements of the project from Pre-investment, Project Implementation, and Post Project Implementation stages. Essentially, these stages in the project cycle requires the setting-up of three different operating structures to properly address the critical tasks at each point of the project cycle to achieve the project goals and objectives. 5.1 Project Organization, Critical Activities and Project Outputs World Bank Sanggunian Bayan DA-PRDP Municipal Mayor Municipal Project Management and Implementation Unit Project Manager Persons/Offices Responsible Critical Activities Outputs Phase 1: Pre-Investment Phase 2: Implementation Municipal Planning & Development Officer Municipal Engineer Municipal Agriculturist Municipal Treasurer Municipal Accountant Municipal Budget Officer Municipal Assessor Bids & Awards Committee Municipal Planning & Development Officer Municipal Engineer Municipal Budget Officer Municipal Treasurer Municipal Accountant Contractor Feasibility Study Preparation Detailed Engineering Design Preparation Project Mobilization Social Preparation Public Bidding Awarding of Contract Project Execution Monitoring /Evaluation Fund Releases / Liquidation Feasibility Study Detailed Engineering Design Project Approval Road Section Rehabilitated As-Built Plan Project Acceptance Phase 3: Post-Investment Municipal Engineer Operation and Maintenance Unit Barangay Chairmen Beneficiaries Proper Road Maintenance Routine Maintenance Periodic Maintenance Road Section Properly Maintained and Operational Exhibit 7- Project Organization, Critical Activities and Project Output Chart 25 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 5.1.1 Pre-Investment Phase The Pre-Investment Phase requires the conduct of in-depth studies and analysis of the feasibility of the proposed project from the economic and engineering perspective. It involves preparation and formulation of the necessary project feasibility study (PFS) and detailed engineering designs (DED) leading to eventual approval of the project by the DA-PRDP and by the funding agency the World Bank (WB). The critical units and persons involve in this phase are the Municipal Planning and Development Office (MPDO) as the lead unit, Municipal Engineers’ Office (MEO), Municipal Agriculturist Office (MAO), Municipal Treasurer’s Office (MTO), Municipal Accountant (MA), Municipal Budget Office (MBO) and Municipal Assessor’s Office (MAO). 5.1.2 Project Execution/Implementation Phase This Phase involves conduct of public bidding by the Bids and Awards Committee (BAC), awarding of contract to the winning contractor, project execution and implementation, monitoring and evaluation and fund releases and liquidation among other necessary and critical activities leading to project completion and acceptance. BAC is the lead unit during the bidding and awarding process while the MEO takes over project management during actual project implementation. 5.1.3 Post Project Implementation Phase The last Phase basically involves proper use and maintenance of the road network after project completion and acceptance. This requires the conduct of routine and periodic maintenance activities. Routine maintenance work entails routine cutting and clearing of vegetation and debris, repair of road shoulders, culverts, side ditches and canals, filling of potholes and other minor road and maintenance repair jobs. This is highly labor intensive work and should fall under the direct responsibility of the Brgy. Chairmen and the host Barangays. On the other hand, periodic maintenance entail more extensive work and require the use of equipment and machineries not available within the Barangays as well as substantial budget to carry out the task. Thus, the LGU of Abuyog must assume this responsibility alone or in cooperation and partnership with the Provincial or National Government. 5.2. Plan for Management during Construction, Key Roles and Responsibilities and Implementation Arrangements A Municipal Project Management and Implementation Unit (MPMIU) shall be created by the Municipal Mayor through an Executive Order to carry out the project activities and accomplish the corresponding outputs during the pre-investment, project implementation and post-implementation stages of the project as shown in the Project Organization, Critical Activities and Project Output Chart (Exhibit 7). The MPMIU shall be under the direct supervision of the Municipal Mayor with proper authority and policy direction support from the Sangguniang Bayan (SB). The MPMIU shall be headed by a Project Manager who shall be tasked with the day-to-day operations management of the Project. The unit shall be supported by the different critical operating units/officers of the LGU such as the Municipal Planning Office, Municipal Engineer’s 26 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Office, Municipal Agriculturist, Municipal Treasurer, Budget Officer, Municipal Accountant and Physical Office and Maintenance Office among others. The different roles and responsibilities of the key offices/officers to be involved in the project are depicted in Table 21 as follows: Table 21. Duties and Responsibilities of Offices/Persons Involved in the Project Office/ Person Pre-Investment Phase Implementation Phase Post Implementation Phase Sanggunian Bayan (SB) - Provide the necessary budgetary allocation, policy direction/ authority to the Municipal Mayor to enter into contract/ agreement with DA-PRDP, contractors and other groups/individuals pursuant to the project. - Monitor the execution and implementation of the project. - Monitor the operation and maintenance of the FMR Municipal Mayor/ Local Chief Executive (MM/LCE) - Secure the necessary SB authority/ budget allocation; - Take overall responsibility in project planning and mobilization; - Create the PRDP-MPMIU through Executive Order; - Negotiate with DA-PRDP for project approval; - Initiate/hold consultation meetings/dialogues with Brgy. officials and project beneficiaries with the support and assistance of the PRDP-MPMIU personnel and the attached units and departments. - Create/organize the BAC that will be responsible for the conduct of public Bidding for the project; - Sign contracts with winning bidders upon the recommendation of the BAC; - Provide overall direction and supervision in project implementation - authorize release and liquidation of project funds; - conduct regular site inspection and meetings with contractors and personnel of PRDP-MPMIU to asses/evaluate project progress, and; - Undertake other necessary measures needed to ensure timely completion of the project in accordance with the approved plans and budget. - Monitor the operation and maintenance of the FMR. Municipal Project Management and Implementation Unit (MPMIU) - Serve as technical, executive and administrative arm of the Mayor during the project planning, mobilization and social preparation/preinvestment stage of the project; - Conduct and/or facilitate the preparation of the necessary Project Feasibility Study (FS) and Detailed Engineering Designs (DED) for submission to DA-PRDP with the support and assistance of the different LGU support units, - Take overall responsibility for all project activities, issues and concerns during project execution and implementation; - Conduct progress monitoring and evaluation of physical and financial accomplishments; - Submit the required progress/liquidation reports to the Mayor, DA-PRDP and the funding agency; - Procure the needed supplies, equipment, personnel, logistics and other support requirements to ensure timely project completion; - Conduct post project and impact evaluation; - Prepare and submit as built plan to DAPRDP and funding agency; - Responsible for routine maintenance of the FMR. 27 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Office/ Person Pre-Investment Phase Implementation Phase Post Implementation Phase departments and officers and staff; - Comply with all the required technical, - Take action on any documentary and legal issues/concerns that may affect requirements necessary for project implementation upon project approval by the prior consultation and approval DA-PRDP; by the Mayor; - Conduct consultation/ dialogues with Brgy. Officials and beneficiaries. - Formulate Pre-Bidding/ Bidding Rules & Regulations in accordance with Philippine government and World Bank Procurement Guidelines; - Conduct Pre-Bidding Conferences and actual public bidding for the project; - Submit pre/post bidding reports to the Mayor; - Recommend to the Mayor the winner of the public bidding. Bids & Awards Committee (BAC) Project Manager (PM) - Initiate/lead/coordinate the preparation and conduct of preinvestment/preparatory activities such as the conduct of geodetic surveys, packaging of the FS,DED, project proposals and other documentary, administrative and legal requirements of the project; - Assist the Mayor in negotiations with DAPRDP, World Bank and other pertinent government and private agencies; - Take the lead in project mobilization and preparation upon project approval. - Conduct post - Responsible for the day-to-day project impact operation, implement-tation and evaluation with management of the project the support including supervision and mgt. of and assistance the MPMIU, its attached units and of the other personnel; members of the - Prepare and submit the necessary MPMIU; progress and liquidation reports - Assist the MEO to the Mayor, DA-PRDP and the and MPDO in funding agency with the the preparation assistance of the other members and formulation and staff of the PRDP-MPMIU; of the As Built - Procure the necessary personnel, Plan DED; materials, equipment and - Prepare and logistics needed in actual project submit the implementation; Project - Conduct regular site inspections Terminal/Compl and meetings with contractors, etion Report, Barangay Officials, beneficiaries and; to discuss and solve operatio-nal - Supervise the problems that may surface in the prompt course of project execution and liquidation of implementation, and; project - Represent the Mayor in meetings funds/docume and conferences with DA-PRDP, nts to the DAWorld Bank and other groups and PRDP and institutions relative to the project World Bank to when the Mayor cannot attend formally close or join such meetings and the project. conferences. 28 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Office/ Person Municipal Planning & Development Office (MPDO) Municipal Engineer’s Office (MEO) Municipal Agriculture Office (MAO) Municipal Budget Office (MBO) Pre-Investment Phase Post Implementation Phase Implementation Phase - Take the lead in the formulation and packaging of the project Feasibility Study with the support and assistance of the members of - Assist the PM in the MPMIU; - Undertake periodic progress the conduct of - Conduct the necessary social monitoring and evaluation on post-project preparation and validation the physical and financial impact activities such as inventory of accomplishments of the evaluation and affected persons, IPs, homes project together with the PM preparation of and properties among others; and MEO; the Project - Conduct the necessary Terminal/Compl consultations and dialogues etion Report. with the beneficiaries, affected persons, IPs and other stakeholders, and; - Secure the necessary CNC/ECC form DENR. - Manage/supervise the - Take the lead in the conduct rehabilitation and concreting of geodetic surveys to of the FMR; determine the direct path - Tendering/procurement of and location of the FMR; civil works, materials, services - Prepare and package the and logistics Detailed Engineering Design - Assist the PM and MPDO in (DED) of the project with the the conduct of progress support of the PM, MPDO, monitoring and evaluation of MAO, BO and other members the physical and financial of the MPMIU; accomplishments of the project - Provide accurate, realistic and updated data and statistics on the past and current situation of the agriculture sector of the municipality and the beneficiary Barangays; - Assist the MPDO in the inventory of affected crops and trees and preparation of the FS - Take principal responsibility in the procurement/availability of counterpart fund for the project. - Secure funding for the conduct of geodetic surveys, FS, DED and other preparatory activities for the project. - Assist farmer beneficiaries in marketing their agricultural products - - Assist in the operation and maintenance of the FMR most particularly in the conduct of periodic maintenance work of the FMR. - Provide training, logistics and material support to farmer beneficiaries to expand production volume and income. - 29 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Office/ Person Pre-Investment Phase Municipal Treasurer’s Office/ Municipal Accountant’s Office (MTO/MAO) - Barangay Chairmen/ Beneficiaries (BC/B) - Ensure participation of Brgy. residents/beneficiaries during public hearings and consultations Implementation Phase Post Implementation Phase - Manage the financial aspect of the project; - Ensure the appropriate and timely disbursement and liquidation of project funds; - Take the lead in preparing the regular financial/liquidation reports of the project in coordination with the PM and MBO. - Prepare and submit the Terminal Financial/Liquid ation reports of the project - Provide manpower/labor services to the project - Responsible for the conduct of routine maintenance work/activities of the FMR 5.3 Collection of Road Users Fees and Other Policies The Local Government Code of the Philippines empowers the Barangays to collect fees from vehicles plying the route regularly such as delivery trucks that collect coconuts and other agricultural products from the barangays and nearby areas and deliver basic goods to the households. Thus, Barangays Suba, Kanangkaan, San Vicente and San Juan may pass Barangay Road Users’ Ordinances to generate additional income for the barangays that they may use for the repair and maintenance of the FMR. 5.4 Project Implementation Schedule The proposed project shall be awarded and contracted to the lowest winning bidder as a result of a Public Bidding conducted by the BAC in accordance with the Philippines and World Bank Procurement Guidelines. Project implementation shall commence seven (7) days after issuance and receipt of the Notice to Proceed (NTP) by the winning Contractor up to the estimated project completion period of 80 calendar days. 5.5 Project Monitoring and Supervision Project Monitoring and Supervision shall be the responsibility of the Municipal Project Management and Implementation Unit (MPMIU). Specifically, the Project Manager, Municipal Planning and Development Officer (MPDO) and the Municipal Engineer/ Officer (ME/O) who are key members of the MPMIU shall comprise the Project Monitoring and Supervision Team (PMST) for the project. The PMST will be complemented by the Mayor who shall be doing her own monitoring on the progress of the project being the Local Chief Executive (LCE) of Abuyog LGU, the principal project proponent. The Sangguniang Bayan (SB) shall also monitor the progress of the project on account of the authority it shall give to the Mayor and for its own legislative agenda. 30 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 5.6 Operation and Maintenance Scheme Operation and maintenance work on the FMR shall be the joint responsibilities of the Abuyog LGU and the beneficiary Barangays. As such, both local government units shall allocate its own yearly budget for the operation and maintenance of the FMR to ensure its long term usability and sustainability. Table 22 depicts the annual maintenance budget matrix. Road maintenance works are categorized as Routine and Periodic Maintenance. Routine Maintenance is done every quarter and is normally labor-intensive. Works involve vegetation control, cleaning and repair of culverts, reshaping of side ditches and canals, filling of ruts and holes among others. With this kind and magnitude of maintenance works, the barangay beneficiaries would be the logical holder of this responsibility. It would even strengthen their chance to pass a Barangay Ordinance to collect road users’ fees from motorists that use the FMR regularly. Periodic Maintenance on the other hand, requires more extensive work and use of equipment that are not normally or readily available in the barangays. Thus, the LGU of Abuyog on account of its financial and management capability must assume total responsibility for this kind of maintenance work. Table 22. Annual Maintenance Cost, Portland Cement Concrete Pavement (PCCP) Costs Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 Road length = 2.02370 km Annual (Routine) Maintenance cost PhP 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 Capital (Periodic) Maintenance Cost, every 6th year 1/ PhP 0 0 0 0 0 46,468 Total Annual Maintenance Cost PhP 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 123,914 1/ Approximately +60% of annual maintenance cost 31 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR D. Social Analysis 6.1 Project Beneficiaries The project will directly benefit Barangays Tabigue and Balocawehay. The two barangays have a combined population of 4,767 of which 2,454 (51.5 %) are males and 2,313 (48.5 %) are females living in 1,046 households. (Please refer to Table 26 on page 37 on population within the Road Influence Area Barangays). Majority of the beneficiaries are farmers engaged in the cultivation of rice, coconuts, corn, vegetables and root crops. The beneficiaries are eagerly awaiting the implementation of the project considering that the road segment has been in a sorry state of disrepair for a long time. The constituents of Brgys. Balocawehay and Tabigue were consulted on March 23, 2015 to generate opinions, comments, views, endorsement and approval by the barangay officials and residents relative to the project. Those were joint consultations per barangay, namely, Barangay Council Consultation and Barangay Residents Consultation, attended by barangay officials and residents including women. A team from the LGU-Abuyog conducted the consultations and briefing. During the open forum, questions raised by the attendees mainly centered on where is the start and end (or length) of the road project and when will the project construction start. They also expressed their anxiety that the 2-km. road project might end up into only a 200meter finished road, hinting of corruption in project implementation. The LGU team ably answered all queries and gave assurance that the road project will have desired results. After a thorough and exhaustive discussions on the matter, the Brgy. officials and residents unanimously approved and endorsed the project. The Resolutions of the Sangguniang Barangays and the Minutes of Barangay Assemblies and consultations are found in Annexes 2-I and 2-J. 6.2 Indigenous Cultural Community/Indigenous Peoples (ICC/IP) The sub-project will not infringe or disturb any indigenous cultural community since there are no cultural minorities living within the area. Likewise, the sub-project will not encroach or traverse in any ancestral domain considering that there are no ancestral domains in the whole of Region 8. Nevertheless, the Abuyog LGU has requested for a Certificate of Non-Overlap (CNO) from the National Commission for Indigenous Peoples (NCIP). Likewise, the Municipal Mayor issued a certification that the re is no existing indigenous cultural community or settlement within the municipality of Abuyog. (See Annex 2-H). 6.3 Site and Right-of-Way Acquisition The proposed site is an existing 2.02370 kms. barangay road. The right-of-way has been acquired during construction of the road opening under the previous InFRES program. The LGU-Abuyog was able to secure 10 meters of right-of-way through donation and/or acquisition and the owners were properly compensated, so there is no need to secure another right-of-way since the proposed sub-project will only have a maximum of 8 meters width inclusive of 1.5 meters shoulder on each side of the road. (The RROW Certification, Tax Declaration showing MLGU ownership on the acquired RROW and Parcellary Map are shown in Annexes _______________.) 32 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 6.4 Damage to Standing Crops, Houses and/or Properties There are a few new growth coconut trees in the shouder of the barangay road as well as shrubs and grasses. These need to be removed. There are minor structures like waiting shed along the road shouder but such is made of temporary and light materials that can be easily removed. All the safeguards necessary for the removal of the impediments shall be complied with accordingly by using Form 1 & 2 for SES. 6.5 Physical Displacement of Persons There are no houses that will be affected or relocated during the project so no persons will be displaced during and after project completion. 6.6 Economic Displacement of Persons Being an existing road, no persons will be economically displaced or alienated from their traditional livelihoods during construction. On the contrary, local residents may find direct or indirect opportunities as laborers, workers and vendors among others during the road project implementation. 33 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR E. Environmental Assessment 7.1 Natural Habitat The proposed project is not within any protected area or wild life sanctuary nor will it entail cutting of trees therefore, the natural environment will not be disturbed or affected in any manner. 7.2 Physical Cultural Resources There are no historical, cultural, monuments and other physical structures of national cultural value within the project area that will be affected by the rehabilitation and concreting works. 7.3 Terrain, Soil Types and Rainfall The terrain in the project area is basically flat and sprawling fertile plains with no hills nor mountainous. The whole land area is within the 5% slope limit which is generally flat. There are five types of soils within the sub-project area. Soil fertility is relatively high considering that silts and other fertile soil colloids from the upland areas are carried and deposited by the various river systems into the low lying areas especially during rainy seasons and seasonal flooding. The area has no pronounced wet and dry season. Rainfall is almost evenly distributed throughout the year with an average rainfall of 167.4 mm with maximum rainfall usually recorded in the months of November to February. Minimum rainfall (100mm/month) usually occurs in the months of April to May and August to September. There is no single dry month in these areas. The cool months are October to December each year. 7.4 Drainage Situations and Flooding Potential With rains evenly distributed throughout the year, the road surface areas and road shoulders are always under threat of rain water and flooding. These will be mitigated by introducing road cambers leading the water runoff immediately outside of the roadway into the intercepting canals and drainage outlets and own to the receiving rivers and streams. Likewise, trees shall be planted at the edges of the road shoulders to mitigate the flow of rain water to the road surface and shoulders. 7.5 Impacts During Construction 7.5.1 Temporary Erosion and Sediment Control Erosion and sediment control in construction areas will prevent sediment discharge to nearby streams and rivers. Areas cleared of vegetation for construction and roadway development would be minimized and slopes would be stabilized. Overland drainage would be controlled to prevent channelling and sediment transport by diverting flows from areas where soils are exposed, and/or by providing filter barriers or settling basins to remove sediment before the runoff is discharged to surface waters. 34 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 7.5.2 Construction Noise Mitigation There are houses and establishments along and nearby the construction site especially along the built-up areas. The construction involves the operation of heavy equipment and will undoubtedly generate loud noises. As a mitigating measure, work activities should be avoided during quiet periods of the day. 7.5.3 Proper Handling of Construction Wastes The sub-project will generate surplus common excavation materials and debris. Disposal sites have been identified to haul these surpluses outside the limits of the road right of way. This will minimize the amount of site litters and will prevent the indiscriminate dumping of surpluses along the roadsides. Assurances is made by the LGU that these wastes will be collected and properly disposed of in accordance with government regulations. 7.5.4 Public and Worker’s Safety Safety of workers and the public is a must and shall be given utmost priority. Standard construction safety protocols shall be observed and enforced at all times, such as posting of road signs, among others. 7.6 Status of Environmental Clearances The LGU-Abuyog has been issued a Certificate of Non-Coverage (CNC) by the EMBDENR (see Annex 2-D). Likewise, it has pending applications for Environmental Clearance Certificate (ECC), Quarry Permit (QP) and other government regulatory clearances required for this project. It is expected that all these clearances will be obtained by the LGU before actual project implementation. 35 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR F. Financial Analysis 8.1 Total Project Cost by Financing Source and Cost Sharing The Total Project Cost (TPC) was computed and derived based on the following: (a) Field survey results; (b) Detailed Engineering Design (DED); (c) prevailing prices of construction materials; (d) prevailing labor cost in the municipality (but not below the official minimum wage); (e) prevailing rental cost of equipment in the municipality; and (f) other relevant information. Table 23. Total Project Cost by Financing Source and Cost Sharing Source Loan / Grant (WB) GOP counterpart Equity: LGU counterpart Amount 12,081,713.91 1,510,214.24 1,510,214.24 % Sharing 80% 10% 10% Total Project Cost (TPC) 15,102,142.39 100% Source: EFA_Tabigue-BalocawehayFMR_Tab1_Econ. Cost Revised As shown in Table 23, the total investment requirement is Php 15,102,142. Per PRDP guidelines, 90% of TPC will be financed by the Government of the Philippines (GOP) in the form of a grant, composed of 80% loan proceeds from the World Bank (WB) and 10% GOP counterpart. The LGU of Abuyog will provide the remaining 10% as counterpart funding in the form of cash in the amount of Php 1,510,214. 8.2 Total Project Cost Breakdown Table 24. Total Project Cost Breakdown Particular Amount A. Direct Cost (DC) 11,539,672.03 1. Materials Cost 8,573,593.60 2. Labor Cost 3. Equipment Expenses 294,843.26 2,671,235.18 B. Indirect Cost 1. Overhead, Contigencies and Miscellaneous Expenses (OCM) – 9% of DC 2. Contractor’s Profit (CP) – 8% of DC 3,562,470.36 3. VAT Component (12% of DC+OCM+CP) 1,618,086.68 Estimated Project Cost (EPC) Percent 76.4 % 56.8 % 2.0 % 17.7 % 23.6% 1,029,379.59 6.8 % 915,004.08 6.1 % 10.7 % 15,102,142.39 100% Source: EFA_Tabigue-BalocawehayFMR_Tab1_Econ. Cost Revised 36 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 8.2.1 Direct Costs Direct costs amounted to Php 11,539,672 or 76.4 % of TPC. It is composed of cost of materials (56.8 %), equipment expenses (17.7 %) and cost of labor (2.0 %). 8.2.2 Indirect Costs On the other hand, indirect costs totaled to Php 3,562,470 or 23.6 % of TPC. It includes expenses on overhead, contingencies & miscellaneous (6.8 %) and contractor’s profit (6.1 %). Value-added tax (VAT) is 10.7 % of TPC. 8.3 Status of LGU Equity availability and LFC Certification The LGU of Abuyog has set aside a budget equivalent to the required cash counterpart of Php 2,021,938.65 or 10% of TPC. This amount will be sourced from local funds of Abuyog LGU. Likewise, there is a standby credit line with Land Bank of the Philippines (LBP) in case of a need for funding augmentation. A certification from the Local Finance Committee (LFC) evidencing the availability of funds is in Annex 2-C. 37 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR G. Economic Analysis and Evaluation 9.1 The Project Influence Area 9.1.1 Agricultural Production in the Project Influence Area Barangays Tabigue and Balocawehay are the direct road influence areas of the subproject. They are part of the identified economic growth zones in the Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) of the municipality. Table 25 shows the major agricultural crops of the two barangays. Rice (palay) is widely produced with a combined area of 462 hectares devoted to it. The next major crop cultivated is coconut (copra) with 353 hectares. Total area cultivated for the top 5 crops (including corn, abaca and banana) is around 868 hectares. Table 25. Agricultural Production Areas (has.), Production Volumes (kgs.) and Values (Php) of Crops in the Road Influenced Area, 2014. No. of turnover/ cropping seasons/yr. Current Farm Gate Price/Kg. (Php) Area Planted (in has.) Average yield/ha./ cycle (kgs.) Rice 461.69 4,300 2 3,970,620 27.00 107,206,740.00 Coconut Crop Annual Production Volume (kgs.) Total Annual Production Value (Php) 353.25 480 4 678,202 25.00 16,955,040.00 Corn 23.00 750 2 34,500 25.00 862,500.00 Abaca 20.00 375 2 15,000 50.00 750,000.00 4 30,390 15.00 455,850.00 Banana Total 10.13 750 868.07 4,728,712 126,230,130.00 Source: Abuyog Municipal Agriculturist Office (MAO) It can be observed from the table that rice ranks as the top source of income of the farmers. Total annual rice production reached 3.97 million kgs. valued at around Php107.2 million. Coconut/copra production contributes almost Php17.0 million while corn with Php 0.863 million. Abaca adds Php 0.75 million and banana with Php 0.456 million. Total value of all crops combined is over Php 126.23 million. 9.1.2 Population within the Direct Road Influence Area to Benefit from the Road Project. The RIA of the proposed sub-project covers the entire geographical and administrative boundaries of Brgys. Balocawehay and Tabigue. The two barangays have a combined population of 4,767 of which 2,454 are males and 2,313 are females. There are 1,046 households with average household size of 4.56 as per DILG-Abuyog’s CBMS Statistics Simulator in 2008. The annual population growth rate of 1.01% which is average for the whole municipality of Abuyog is nearly identical to that of the whole Leyte province of 1.04%. Economically active population, which is 35% of total population and are 15 years old and above, is 1,668 persons. Please refer to Table 26 on the next page. 38 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 26. Population within the Road Influence Area (RIA), 2008. Barangay Population Balocawehay Tabigue Total Male Female 3,490 1,277 4,767 2,454 2,313 Economically Active Population, 15 y.o. & above (35%) 1,221 447 1,668 No. of Households 766 280 1,046 Average Household Size = 4.56 Average annual population growth rate = 1.01% Source: 2008 Abuyog DILG-CBMS Survey 9.1.3 Existing vehicular traffic based on Traffic Survey Results, indicating representative vehicles, operating days per year, average daily trips, and travelled distance. To establish vehicular traffic of the road sub-project, a rapid appraisal (actual survey) on traffic flow was conducted in November 2014. Results are summarized below. Table 27. Annual Average Daily Traffic, Brgys. Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR, 2014. Number of Vehicle units Average Operating Days/ Year Average Number of Daily Trips Average Loading Capacity (sacks) Observed Transport Fares for Passenger/ Cargo Average Travelled Distance (kms.) Motorcycle/ Habal-habal 39 260 43 8 P30 / P30 2.0237 Tricycle 15 260 35 15 P30 / P30 2.0237 Car / Van 4 156 4 - Jeepney 2 156 3 50 P30 / P30 / P30 2.0237 2.0237 Truck 6 104 8 100 / P30 2.0237 Existing Mode of Transportation in the Area Note: Rapid appraisal (actual survey) on traffic flow conducted on November 24-30, 2014. Several modes of transportation are present in the area. Among these, the most common is “habal-habal” or single motorcycle with 39 units in operation. There are 15 tricycles, six trucks and two jeepneys in operation. There are also four private vehicles cars. These vehicles are expected to increase in number over the years when the concreting of the road will be finished. 9.1.4 Transport Fares, Distances Travelled, Travel Times, by Motorized Vehicles With improved road conditions, farmers and other residents will be able to transport their farm products, farm inputs and other commodities faster, cheaper and easier. Results of a rapid appraisal (actual survey) on traffic flow conducted in November 2014 were summarized in Table 28. The transport fare for cargo (per sack) and passenger (per head) are not differentiated for all types of vehicle at Php 30.00. It is expected that transport fares will be reduced once the rehabilitation and concreting of the sub-project is completed. 39 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Differences in travel times in minutes, without and with project, was also determined. It takes an average of 10 minutes to traverse the road section with the current/existing conditions (“without project”) using “habal-habal” as vehicle. On the other hand, it is expected that with the project, travel time will be reduced to only four (4) minutes. Table 28. Prevailing Transport Fares by Type of Vehicle, Travel Times and Distances, Poblacion to RIA Barangays, June 2014. Prevailing Transport Fare (Php) Travel Time (one way, in mins.) Distance (kms.) w/out Project w/ Project Passenger (per head) Cargo (per sack) 2.0237 10 4 Php 30.00 Php 30.00 Source: Rapid appraisal (actual survey) on traffic flow conducted on November 24-30, 2014 9.1.5 Commuter Time Savings With improved road condition, commuters within the influence area will be able to benefit from the reduction in their travel times. As shown in Table 29, the savings in travel times to traverse the road section (one way) were converted as percent share of saved time for work. The table also shows average of two (2) trips per person per day, a 240-day work year and average daily wage rate of Php 257. Commuter time savings expectedly could translate into benefits to the economically active residents. Table 29. Average Travel Time of Commuters, Poblacion to RIA Barangays, Nov. 2014 Distance (kms.) 2.0237 Travel Time (one way, in mins.) w/out Project with Project 10 4 Ave. No. of Trips per Person/Day No. of Working Days/Year 2 240 % Share of Average Daily Saved Time for Wage Rate Work (Php) 53% 257.00 Source: Rapid appraisal (actual survey) on traffic flow conducted on November 24-30, 2014 9.1.6 Benefits of Newly Cultivated Agricultural Land The rehabilitation and concreting of the road will stimulate the cultivation of potential land areas for agriculture. Considering the top two (2) profitable crops of the two barangays, at least 5 additional hectares can be developed for rice cultivation and at least 2 hectares per year for the next 5 years, or a total of 10 hectares for coconut. Considering all relevant costs (land development, production and marketing), these new cultivated lands have the potential to generate additional revenues/benefits to the locality and the municipality as a whole. Table 30. Benefits of Newly Cultivated Agricultural Land Area (Has.) Potential Land for Cultivation (Has.) Farm Gate Price/Sack (Php) Land Dev’t. Cost per Ha. (Php) Production Cost per Ha. (Php) Rice 462 5 25.00 25,000 15,000 15.00 Coconut 353 10 27.00 33,500 13,500 15.00 Total 815 15 Crop Marketing Cost per Sack (Php) 40 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 9.2 Economic Benefits The road concreting sub-project when completed will certainly bring tangible and intangible socio-economic benefits to Barangays Balocawehay and Tabigue and the municipality of Abuyog as a whole. The quantifiable benefits ensuing from the project completion are the following: 9.2.1 Vehicle Operating Cost Savings (VOCS) This was calculated from the projected average annual daily traffic data multiplied by the vehicle operating cost difference (changes in VOC with and without project scenarios) and the actual road length. 9.2.2 Transport Cost Savings In Hauling Agricultural Outputs And Inputs For the purpose of estimating this benefit, only the top three agricultural commodities of the area (rice, coconut and corn) were considered. The benefit was computed based on the difference in hauling cost under current and improved (concrete) road conditions multiplied by quantity of produce that is to be marketed. Likewise, savings in hauling costs of inputs of production to the farm was also computed using the changes in transport costs with and without the road project multiplied by the estimated quantity of required inputs, primarily fertilizers and seeds. 9.2.3 Reduction In Travel Times From Farm To Market In Subproject Areas The savings in travel time is derived by using the assumption that commuters will benefit from the changes (reduction) in their travel time, which would translate to increase in productive time per capita. 9.2.4 Incremental Increase In Crops Production Attributed To Newly Opened Croplands. Benefits that can be derived from potential agricultural areas that can be cultivated and used for additonal crop productions (primarily coconut and rice) because of the subproject were also included. 9.2.5 Other benefits Other benefits that may happen once the road section is fully rehabilitated and concreted under the proposed project are the following: Increase in volume of commerce and trade for local products, basic commodities and manufactured goods; Increase in the number of passenger motorcycles, cargo trucks and private vehicles plying the area; Increased traffic volume of people, goods and services traversing the road section Government services delivery will be more efficient and accessible for and by the people living in the area; Pre- and post-harvest facilities and extension services will be improved; More primary, secondary and tertiary employment will be generated; School participation rate among pre-elementary, primary and secondary school children will increase. 41 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR 9.3 Economic Costs 9.3.1 Capital Cost and O & M Cost Breakdown Table 31 shows in economic terms, the total amount of investment for the sub-project, which is Php 13,526,994 and annual operating and maintenance cost amounting to Php 77,446. It must be noted that capital (periodic) maintenance is undertaken every six years and is approximately 60% higher than regular annual maintenance cost at Php 123,914. Table 31. Total Investment and Operating & Maintenance Costs of Sub-project Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total Investment Cost 13,526,994 Operating & Maintenance Cost 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 Year Operating & Maintenance Cost 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab2_InvestCost 9.4 Direct Jobs from Construction The LGU of Abuyog will see to it that residents of the RIA barangays and/or nearby barangays will have priority for employment as laborers in the road sub-project implementation. The subproject would need skilled laborers (66% of total labor cost) and unskilled workers (34% of total) for a total economic cost of labor at Php 240,809. Unskilled laborers will be assigned as helpers in road concreting, installation of drainage facilities, and as helpers to heavy equipment operators. Skilled laborers will be hired as team leaders for various works and as operators of heavy equipment. 9.5. Adjustment of Financial Values to Economic Terms The total financial cost amounts to Php 16,256,109.60 which comprises the materials, equipment and labor costs, as well as overhead, contingencies & miscellaneous expenses, contractor’s profit, and 12% value-added tax. The cost of feasibility study, detailed enginnering design preparation and engineering supervision is also included, although it is to the account of LGU-Abuyog. Using the necessary conversion factors provided by PRDP, financial cost is now adjusted to total economic cost of Php 13,526,993.88. Please refer to Table 32. 42 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 32. Investment Costs of Sub-project (Financial & Economic) Cost Item Financial Cost (current prices) Materials 8,573,593.60 Equipment 2,671,235.18 Labor: Skilled Unskilled Subtotal Labor Total Base/Direct Cost Overhead, Contingencies and Miscellaneous (OCM) Conversion factors 159,758.17 135,085.09 294,843.26 0.12 0.60 11,539,672.03 1,029,379.59 Economic Cost 7,750,528.61 2,671,235.18 159,758.17 81,051.05 240,809.22 10,662,573.01 0.12 919,088.92 915,004.08 915,004.08 13,484,055.71 12,496,666.02 Taxes (12% on DC+OCM+CP) 1,618,086.68 0.00 FS & DED Preparation + Engineering Supervision (10% of DC) * 1,153,967.20 Contractor’s Profit Total (Base/Direct Cost + OCM + CP) Total Cost 16,256,109.60 0.12 1,030,327.86 13,526,993.88 * - Cost incurred will be shouldered by the proponent LGU. Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab1_Econ. Cost Revised 9.6 Results of the Economic Analysis The results of the economic analysis are very encouraging. 9.6.1 Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) = 37.32 % The EIRR equates the present values of the net incremental benefits with the amount of the initial investment; that is, it is that rate which makes the net present value (NPV) equal to zero. The computed EIRR of the proposed sub-project is 37.32% which is more than double the required 15%. 9.6.2 Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR) = 2.42 BCR is the ratio of the present value of gross benefits to the present value of its cost. It should be >1 for a project to be considered favorably. The BCR of the proposed sub-project is 2.42 evaluated using 15% discount rate. In simple terms, for every Php1.00 of cost, the benefit is equivalent to Php 2.42. 9.6.3 Economic Net Present Value (ENPV) = Php 19,957,413.00 ENPV is the difference between the present worth of the benefits that the project is expected to yield and the present worth of the construction and maintenance cost incurred. The ENPV evaluated at 15% discount rate is Php 19,957,413. 9.7 Economic Sensitivity Analysis Results Sensitivity analysis is being done to test the susceptibility of the proposed project to changes in variables that directly affect its economic viability. The resulting EIRR, ENPV and BCR are then evaluated as to the required rates or amounts. These are also compared to that of a base scenario (no increases nor decreases). 43 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 33 shows that in all test case scenarios, the EIRR, ENPV and BCR results remain at acceptable levels. Even with a delay of benefits for 2 years and no benefits accruing from new agricultural areas cultivated, the indicators are way above the required rates. Hence, the project proved to be generally robust and unwavering to changes. Table 33. Sensitivity Analysis, 20-Year Period Measures Base scenario 37% EIRR ENPV (PhP’000) 19,957 2.42 BCR Costs Increase Increase of Benefits Decrease of Benefits Delay of Benefits No Bene1 year 2 years fits * +10% +20% +50% +10% +20% +30% -10% -20% -30% 34% 31% 25% 41% 45% 48% 34% 30% 26% 24% 18% 31% 9,757 11,597 4,058 13,457 1.69 1.83 1.29 1.96 18,553 17,149 12,935 23,358 26,758 30,158 16,557 13,157 2.20 2.02 1.61 2.66 2.91 3.15 2.18 1.94 * No benefits deriving from new agricultural land Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab10_Sensitivity Analysis 9.8 List of Attached Models /Detailed Tables of EFA Templates (Please see Annex) a. b. c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. k. l. m. n. Table 34. Table 35. Table 36. Table 37. Table 38. Table 39. Table 40. Table 41. Table 42. Table 43. Table 44. Table 45. Table 46. Table 47. Economic Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Investment and Maintenance Costs Annual Road Maintenance Cost Transport Data by Vehicles Type Projected No. of Vehicles per Day Projected Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) Standard Vehicle Operating Cost Savings Total Annual Vehicle Operating Cost Savings by Vehicle Type Benefits - Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) Savings Benefits - Savings in Output Hauling Benefits - Savings in Input Hauling Benefits - Savings in Travel Time for Commuters Benefits of Newly Cultivated Agricultural Land H. Conclusions and Recommendations 10.1 Conclusions The findings of this study are very conclusive and serve to reinforce the initial stand that the proposed sub-project is feasible in all aspects of marketing, technical, operational, social and environmental dimensions. Moreover, the results of the financial and economic analysis all the more support this contention. 10.2 Recommendations With the aforementioned conclusion, the municiplaity of Abuyog, Leyte is highly recommending for the approval of this feasibility study and implementation of the proposed road project since it is highly regarded to contribute largely to the social and economic wellbeing of the farmers and other residents within the influence areas, as well as the surrounding barangays, to the municipality of Abuyog and to the province of Leyte as a whole. 44 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR ANNEX 1: Models/Detailed Tables of EFA Templates Table 34. Economic Analysis Inputs (Php'000) Total Investment (Economic Value) Total Operating (Maintenance) Cost Total Inputs Incremental Benefits (Php'000) 0 1 2 13,527 13,527 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 124 124 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 2,829 618 198 410 791 2,858 618 198 434 916 2,887 618 198 461 916 2,916 618 198 489 916 2,946 618 198 518 916 2,976 618 198 550 983 3,006 618 198 583 1,058 3,037 618 198 618 1,133 3,068 618 198 656 1,208 3,099 618 198 696 1,283 0 4,846 5,024 5,080 5,137 5,196 5,325 5,463 5,604 5,748 5,894 Net Incremental Benefits (Php'000) (13,527) 4,768 4,947 5,002 5,060 5,119 5,201 5,386 5,527 5,670 5,816 Inputs (Php'000) Total Investment (Economic Value) 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 VOC Savings Savings in Output Hauling Costs Savings in Input Hauling Costs Savings in Travel Time for Commuters Earnings fr. New Cultivated Agri. Land Total Incremental Benefits 77 77 124 124 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 77 124 124 77 77 77 77 3,130 618 3,162 618 3,194 618 3,227 618 3,260 618 3,293 618 3,326 618 3,360 618 3,394 618 3,429 618 Savings in Input Hauling Costs 198 198 198 198 198 198 198 198 198 198 Savings in Travel Time for Commuters 738 782 830 880 934 990 1,050 1,114 1,181 1,253 1,359 6,043 5,965 1,359 6,119 5,995 1,359 6,199 6,121 1,359 6,282 6,204 1,359 6,368 6,290 1,359 6,457 6,380 1,359 6,551 6,474 1,359 6,648 6,525 1,359 6,750 6,673 1,359 6,856 6,779 Total Operating Cost (Maintenance) Total Inputs (Php'000) Incremental Benefits (Php'000) VOC Savings Savings in Output Hauling Costs Earnings fr. New Cultivated Agri. Land Total Incremental Benefits (Php'000) Net Incremental Benefits (Php'000) Economic NPV @15% (Php ’000) EIRR BCR 19,957.41 37.32% 2.42 Total Present Value of Project Benefits (Php ’000) Total Present Value of Project Costs (Php ’000) Net Present Value (NPV) (Php ’000) 34,001.70 14,044.29 19,957.41 Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab9_EconAnalysis 45 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 35. Sensitivity Analysis on Costs, Benefits and Delays (Php‘000) Scenarios Year 0 1 2 Note: Discount rate= 15% 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Incremental Benefits base scenario 0 4,846 5,024 5,080 5,137 5,196 5,325 5,463 5,604 5,748 5,894 benefits +10% benefits +20% benefits +30% benefits -10% benefits -20% benefits -30% benefits delayed 1 year 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5,330 5,815 6,299 4,361 3,877 3,392 -4,846 5,527 6,029 6,532 4,522 4,020 3,517 5,024 5,588 6,096 6,604 4,572 4,064 3,556 5,080 5,651 6,164 6,678 4,623 4,110 3,596 5,137 5,716 6,235 6,755 4,677 4,157 3,637 5,196 5,857 6,389 6,922 4,792 4,260 3,727 5,325 6,010 6,556 7,102 4,917 4,371 3,824 5,463 6,165 6,725 7,286 5,044 4,483 3,923 5,604 6,323 6,897 7,472 5,173 4,598 4,023 5,748 6,483 7,073 7,662 5,305 4,715 4,126 5,894 benefit delayed 2 years 0 -4,846 -5,024 5,080 5,137 5,196 5,325 5,463 5,604 5,748 5,894 no benefit from new agri. land 0 4,055 4,109 4,164 4,221 4,280 4,342 4,405 4,471 4,540 4,611 base scenario 13,527 77 77 77 77 77 124 77 77 77 77 costs +10% costs +20% costs +50% costs delayed 1 year 14,880 16,232 20,290 13,527 85 93 116 0 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 136 149 186 124 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 costs delayed 2 years 13,527 0 0 77 77 77 124 77 77 77 77 base scenario -13,527 4,768 4,947 5,002 5,060 5,119 5,201 5,386 5,527 5,670 5,816 costs +10% -14,880 4,761 4,939 4,994 5,052 5,111 5,188 5,378 5,519 5,663 5,809 costs +20% -16,232 4,753 4,932 4,987 5,044 5,103 5,176 5,370 5,511 5,655 5,801 costs +50% -20,290 4,730 4,908 4,964 5,021 5,080 5,139 5,347 5,488 5,632 5,778 benefits +10% -13,527 5,253 5,449 5,510 5,573 5,638 5,733 5,932 6,087 6,245 6,406 benefits +20% -13,527 5,737 5,952 6,018 6,087 6,158 6,266 6,478 6,648 6,820 6,995 benefits + 30% -13,527 6,222 6,454 6,526 6,601 6,678 6,798 7,025 7,208 7,395 7,585 benefits -10% -13,527 4,284 4,445 4,494 4,546 4,599 4,668 4,840 4,966 5,096 5,227 benefits -20% -13,527 3,799 3,942 3,986 4,032 4,080 4,136 4,293 4,406 4,521 4,638 benefits -30% -13,527 3,315 3,440 3,478 3,518 3,560 3,603 3,747 3,846 3,946 4,048 benefits delayed 1 year -13,527 -4,846 4,947 5,002 5,060 5,119 5,201 5,386 5,527 5,670 5,816 benefits delayed 2 years no benefit from new agri. land -13,527 -13,527 -4,846 3,977 -5,024 4,031 5,002 4,086 5,060 4,144 5,119 4,203 5,201 4,218 5,386 4,328 5,527 4,394 5,670 4,462 5,816 4,533 Project Costs Net Incremental Benefits 46 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 35. Sensitivity Analysis on Costs, Benefits and Delays (Php‘000) Scenarios Year 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 PV a/ Base Scenario 6,043 6,119 6,199 6,282 6,368 6,457 6,551 6,648 6,750 6,856 34,002 benefits +10% 6,647 6,731 6,819 6,910 7,005 7,103 7,206 7,313 7,425 7,542 37,402 benefits +20% 7,251 7,343 7,439 7,538 7,641 7,749 7,861 7,978 8,100 8,228 40,802 benefits +30% benefits -10% benefits -20% 7,856 5,438 4,834 7,955 5,507 4,895 8,058 5,579 4,959 8,166 5,653 5,025 8,278 5,731 5,094 8,395 5,812 5,166 8,516 5,896 5,241 8,643 5,984 5,319 8,775 6,075 5,400 8,913 6,171 5,485 44,202 30,602 27,201 benefits -30% 4,230 4,283 4,339 4,397 4,457 4,520 4,586 4,654 4,725 4,799 23,801 benefits delayed 1 year 6,043 6,119 6,199 6,282 6,368 6,457 6,551 6,648 6,750 6,856 25,574 benefit delayed 2 years 6,043 6,119 6,199 6,282 6,368 6,457 6,551 6,648 6,750 6,856 17,976 no benefit from new agri. land 4,684 4,761 4,840 4,923 5,009 5,099 5,192 5,290 5,392 5,498 27,501 Incremental Benefits Project Costs 77 124 77 77 77 77 77 124 77 77 14,044 costs +10% costs +20% costs +50% benefits delayed 1 year 85 93 116 77 136 149 186 124 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 136 149 186 124 85 93 116 77 85 93 116 77 15,449 16,853 21,066 13,977 benefit delayed 2 years 77 124 77 77 77 77 77 124 77 77 Base Scenario 13,918 EIRR ENPV a/ BCR Base Scenario 5,965 5,995 6,121 6,204 6,290 6,380 6,474 6,525 6,673 6,779 37.3% 19,957 2.42 costs +10% 5,958 5,983 6,114 6,196 6,283 6,372 6,466 6,512 6,665 6,771 34.0% 18,553 2.20 costs +20% 5,950 5,971 6,106 6,189 6,275 6,365 6,458 6,500 6,657 6,763 31.2% 17,149 2.02 costs +50% 5,927 5,933 6,083 6,165 6,252 6,341 6,435 6,463 6,634 6,740 25.0% 12,935 1.61 benefits +10% 6,570 6,607 6,741 6,832 6,927 7,026 7,129 7,189 7,348 7,464 41.0% 23,358 2.66 benefits +20% benefits + 30% benefits -10% benefits -20% benefits -30% benefits delayed 1 year benefits delayed 2 years no benefit from new agri. land 7,174 7,778 5,361 4,757 4,152 5,965 5,965 4,607 7,219 7,831 5,383 4,771 4,160 5,995 5,995 4,637 7,361 7,981 5,501 4,882 4,262 6,121 6,121 4,763 7,460 8,089 5,576 4,948 4,320 6,204 6,204 4,846 7,564 8,201 5,654 5,017 4,380 6,290 6,290 4,932 7,672 8,317 5,734 5,089 4,443 6,380 6,380 5,022 7,784 8,439 5,818 5,163 4,508 6,474 6,474 5,115 7,854 8,519 5,860 5,195 4,530 6,525 6,525 5,166 8,023 8,698 5,998 5,323 4,648 6,673 6,673 5,314 8,150 8,836 6,093 5,408 4,722 6,779 6,779 5,420 44.6% 48.2% 33.7% 30.0% 26.3% 24.1% 17.6% 30.6% 26,758 30,158 16,557 13,157 9,757 11,597 4,058 13,457 2.91 3.15 2.18 1.94 1.69 1.83 1.29 1.96 Net Incremental Benefits a/ - Discount rate= 15% Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab10_SensitivityAnalysis 47 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 36. Investment and Maintenance Costs Costs Year Total Investment (Economic value) Total Operating (Maintenance) Cost Total Inputs Costs Year Total Operating (Maintenance) Cost Total Inputs 0 13,526,994 13,526,994 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 - - - - - - - - 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 12 13 14 15 16 17 11 123,914 123,914 9 - 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 18 19 20 77,446 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 123,914 77,446 77,446 Note: Total operating (maintenance) cost is approx. +60% of annual operating cost every six years. Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab2_InvestCost Table 37. Annual Road Maintenance Cost Costs Year Road length (kms.) Portland Cement Concrete Pavement (PCCP) Unit Maintenance cost 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2.02370 - - - - - - - - - 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 1. Subtotal Annual Maintenance cost 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 2. Capital maintenance every 6th year a/ 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 46,468 123,914 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 Annual Maintenance cost Total Annual Maintenance cost Costs Year 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Portland Cement Concrete Pavement (PCCP) Unit Maintenance cost 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 38,270 1. Subtotal Annual Maintenance cost 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 77,446 2. Capital maintenance every 6th year a/ 0 77,446 46,468 123,914 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 0 77,446 46,468 123,914 0 77,446 0 77,446 Annual Maintenance cost Total Annual Maintenance cost a/ Approximately 60% of annual maintenance cost Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab2_InvestCost 48 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 38. Transport Data by Vehicles Type (Source: InFRES 2006) Vehicles Car/ Van Jeepney Motorcycles Elasticities Traffic Growth rate 1.80 1.50 1.10 1.0360 % 1.0300 % 1.0220 % Total Road Length= 2.02370 kms. Vehicles Tricycle Trucks Per capita income growth rate= 2.00 Elasticities Traffic Growth rate 1.10 1.00 1.0220 % 1.0200 % Ave. population growth rate = 1.01 Table 39. Projected No. of Vehicles per Day = No. of units X Traffic Growth Rate Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Car / Van 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Jeepney 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Motorcycle 39 39 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 43 43 44 44 45 45 45 46 46 47 47 48 Tricycle 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 Truck 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Table 40. Projected Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) = (# Vehicles) X (# Trips/day) X (# days/year) Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 Trips/ day Days/ year Car / Van 2,522 2,548 2,574 2,601 2,628 2,655 2,683 2,711 2,739 2,767 2,796 2,825 2,854 2,883 2,913 2,943 2,974 3,005 3,036 3,067 4 156 Jeepney 946 955 965 975 985 995 1,006 1,016 1,026 1,037 1,048 1,058 1,069 1,080 1,092 1,103 1,114 1,126 1,137 1,149 3 156 Motorcycle 440,476 444,978 449,525 454,120 458,761 463,449 468,186 472,971 477,804 482,687 487,621 492,604 497,638 502,724 507,862 513,052 518,296 523,593 528,944 534,350 43 260 Tricycle 137,895 139,304 140,728 142,166 143,619 145,087 146,570 148,068 149,581 151,110 152,654 154,214 155,790 157,382 158,991 160,616 162,257 163,915 165,591 167,283 35 260 Truck 5,043 5,094 5,146 5,199 5,252 5,305 5,360 5,414 5,469 5,525 5,582 5,638 5,696 5,754 5,813 5,872 5,932 5,992 6,054 6,115 8 104 49 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 41. Standard Vehicle Operating Cost Savings (PhP) Surface Condition Vehicle Type Car/ Van Jeepney Motorcycle Tricycle Truck Paved Good (A) Very Bad (B) 7.807 12.670 6.483 11.199 1.034 4.372 2.705 8.048 13.182 26.253 9.010 15.385 7.588 14.934 1.093 2.148 2.879 8.395 16.609 34.990 Gravel Good (C) Very Bad (D) Vehicle Operating Cost Difference Vehicle Type Car/ Van Jeepney Motorcycle Tricycle Truck Gravel (D-C) 4.863 6.375 4.716 7.346 3.338 1.055 5.343 5.516 13.071 18.381 Gravel-Paved (D-A) 7.578 8.451 1.114 5.690 21.808 Paved (B-A) Total Road Length (kms.) = 2.02370 Table 42. Total Annual Vehicle Operating Cost Savings* by Vehicle Type (PhP) Year Car / Van Jeepney Motorcycle Tricycle Truck 2015 38,674 2016 39,075 2017 Total 16,173 993,010 1,587,841 222,558 2,858,256 16,339 1,003,159 1,604,069 224,828 2,887,470 39,480 16,507 1,013,411 1,620,462 227,122 2,916,982 2018 39,889 16,678 1,023,768 1,637,023 229,438 2,946,796 2019 40,302 16,849 1,034,231 1,653,754 231,779 2,976,915 2020 40,719 17,023 1,044,801 1,670,655 234,143 3,007,341 2021 41,141 17,198 1,055,479 1,687,729 236,531 3,038,078 2022 41,568 17,375 1,066,266 1,704,978 238,944 3,069,130 2023 41,998 17,554 1,077,163 1,722,403 241,381 3,100,499 2024 42,433 17,735 1,088,172 1,740,006 243,843 3,132,189 2025 42,873 17,918 1,099,293 1,757,789 246,330 3,164,202 2026 43,317 18,102 1,110,527 1,775,753 248,843 3,196,543 2027 43,766 18,289 1,121,877 1,793,901 251,381 3,229,214 2028 44,219 18,477 1,133,343 1,812,235 253,945 3,262,219 2029 44,677 18,667 1,144,925 1,830,756 256,535 3,295,561 2030 45,140 18,860 1,156,626 1,849,466 259,152 3,329,245 2031 45,608 19,054 1,168,447 1,868,368 261,795 3,363,272 2032 46,080 19,250 1,180,389 1,887,463 264,466 3,397,648 2033 46,558 19,449 1,192,452 1,906,753 267,163 3,432,374 2034 47,040 19,649 1,204,639 1,926,240 269,888 3,467,456 * VOC Savings for particular year= (the difference in VOCs for the surface type with and without project) X (projected annual average daily traffic per vehicle type) X (actual road length). Source of Tables 31, 32, 33, 34, & 35: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab4a Vehicle Data. 50 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 43. Benefits - Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) Savings Benefits Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Motorcycle/"Habal-habal" Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal unit trip/day day/year Php 39 43 260 982,964 39 43 260 993,010 40 43 260 1,003,159 40 43 260 1,013,411 41 43 260 1,023,768 41 43 260 1,034,231 41 43 260 1,044,801 42 43 260 1,055,479 42 43 260 1,066,266 43 43 260 1,077,163 unit trip/day 15 35 15 35 15 35 15 35 16 35 16 35 16 35 16 35 16 35 16 35 Tricycle Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal Cars/Vans Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 260 1,571,777 1,587,841 1,604,069 1,620,462 1,637,023 1,653,754 1,670,655 1,687,729 1,704,978 1,722,403 unit trip/day day Php 4 4 156 38,278 4 4 156 38,674 4 4 156 39,075 4 4 156 39,480 4 4 156 39,889 4 4 156 40,302 4 4 156 40,719 4 4 156 41,141 4 4 156 41,568 4 4 156 41,998 unit trip/day 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 156 156 156 156 156 156 156 156 156 156 16,008 16,173 16,008 16,008 16,008 16,008 16,008 16,008 16,008 16,008 6 8 104 220,311 7,132,504 6 8 104 222,558 7,205,385 6 8 104 224,828 7,279,011 6 8 104 227,122 7,353,389 6 8 104 229,438 7,428,527 6 8 104 231,779 7,504,433 6 8 104 234,143 7,581,115 6 8 104 236,531 7,658,580 7 8 104 238,944 7,736,836 7 8 104 241,381 7,815,893 day/year Php Jeepney Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation day Subtotal Truck Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal Total Benefits unit trip/day day PhP Notes: 1. VOC Difference per Vehicle Type, (see Table 41. Standard VOCS - DPWH standard): (a) Motorcycle = 1.114 (c) Car/Van = 7.578 (e) Truck = 21.81 (b) Tricycle = 5.690 (d) Jeepney = 8.451 2. Road length = 2.02370 kms. 3. Total VOCS per Vehicle Type= No. of Vehicles X No. of Trips/Day X No. of Days Operation/Year X VOC Difference X Road Length Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab4_VOC Saving 51 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 43. Benefits - Vehicle Operating Costs (VOC) Savings Benefits Unit 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 unit trip/day day/year Php 43 43 260 1,088,172 44 43 260 1,099,293 44 43 260 1,110,527 45 43 260 1,121,877 45 43 260 1,133,343 45 43 260 1,144,925 46 43 260 1,156,626 46 43 260 1,168,447 47 43 260 1,180,389 47 43 260 1,192,452 unit trip/day 17 35 17 35 17 35 17 35 17 35 17 35 18 35 18 35 18 35 18 35 day/year 260 1,740,006 260 1,757,789 260 1,775,753 260 1,793,901 260 1,812,235 260 1,830,756 260 1,849,466 260 1,868,368 260 1,887,463 260 1,906,753 unit trip/day day Php 4 4 156 42,433 4 4 156 42,873 5 4 156 43,317 5 4 156 43,766 5 4 156 44,219 5 4 156 44,677 5 4 156 45,140 5 4 156 45,608 5 4 156 46,080 5 4 156 46,558 unit trip/day 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 156 16,008 7 8 104 243,843 3,130,461 7 8 104 246,330 3,162,292 7 8 104 248,843 3,194,448 7 8 104 251,381 3,226,933 7 8 104 253,945 3,259,750 7 8 104 256,535 3,292,902 7 8 104 259,152 3,326,393 7 8 104 261,795 3,360,226 7 8 104 264,466 3,394,405 7 8 104 267,163 3,428,933 Motorcycle/"Habal-habal" Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal Tricycle Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal Cars/Vans Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation Subtotal Php Jeepney Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation day Subtotal Truck Total number Number of trips per day Number of days in operation unit trip/day day Subtotal Total Benefits PhP Notes: 1. VOC Difference per Vehicle Type, (see Table 41. Standard VOCS - DPWH standard): (a) Motorcycle = 1.114 (c) Car/Van = 7.578 (e) Truck = 21.81 (b) Tricycle = 5.690 (d) Jeepney = 8.451 2. Road length = 2.02370 kms. 3. Total VOCS per Vehicle Type= No. of Vehicles X No. of Trips/Day X No. of Days Operation/Year X VOC Difference X Road Length Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab4_VOC Saving 52 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 44. Benefits - Savings in Output Hauling Costs a/ Benefits Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hauling cost Current hauling cost b/ Estimated hauling cost Php/sack Php/sack 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 30.00 20 Hauling cost saving Php/sack 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Rice Average production/ha. per year c/ Area planted Total output sack ha sack 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 172 462 79,412 % of harvest brought to poblacion Total volume of harvest marketed % sack 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 60% 47,647 Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 Average production/ha. per year c/ Area planted sack ha 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 38.4 353 Total output % of harvest brought to poblacion sack % 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% 13,564 99% Total volume of harvest marketed sack 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 13,428 Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 Corn Average production/ha. per year c/ Area planted Total output sack ha sack 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 30 23 690 % of harvest brought to poblacion Total volume of harvest marketed % sack 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 99% 683 Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 Php 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 Coconut Total Savings in Hauling Cost a/ Influence area covering the barangay b/ Brgy. Tabigue – Brgy. Balocawehay c/ One sack = 50 kgs. Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab5a_Savings Output Hauling 53 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 44. Benefits - Savings in Output Hauling Costs a/ Benefits Unit 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Hauling cost Current hauling cost b/ Php/sack 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Estimated hauling cost Hauling cost saving Php/sack Php/sack 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 Average production/ha. per year c/ Area planted sack ha 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 172 462 Total output % of harvest brought to poblacion sack % 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% 79,412 60% Total volume of harvest marketed sack 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 47,647 Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474.40 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 476,474 Rice Coconut Sack 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 Area planted Total output ha sack 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 353 13,564 % of harvest brought to poblacion Total volume of harvest marketed % sack 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 99% 13,428 Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 134,284 Average production/ha. per year c/ Area planted Total output % of harvest brought to poblacion sack ha sack % 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 30 23 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% 690 99% Total volume of harvest marketed sack 683 683 683 683 683 683 683 683 683 683 Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 6,831 Total Savings in Hauling Cost Php 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 617,589 Average production/ha. per year c/ Corn a/ Influence area covering the barangay b/ Brgy. Abaca – Brgy. Panda c/ One sack = 50 kgs. Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab5a_Savings Output Hauling 54 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 45. Benefits - Savings in Input Hauling Costs a/ Benefits Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hauling cost Current hauling cost b/ Php/sack 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Estimated hauling cost Php/sack 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Hauling cost saving Php/sack 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 16 4 20 462 9,234 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 16 4 20 23 460 6,900 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 Rice Mineral fertilizer Seeds d/ Total number of sacks Area planted Total fertilizer and seeds Sub-total savings in hauling cost Copra Mineral fertilizer Seeds d/ Total number of sacks Area planted Total fertilizer and seeds sack/ha sack/ha sack/ha ha sack Php sack/ha sack/ha sack/ha ha sack Sub-total savings in hauling cost Corn Mineral fertilizer c/ Seeds d/ Total number of sacks Area planted Total fertilizer and seeds Sub-total savings in hauling cost sack/ha sack/ha sack/ha ha sack Php Total savings in hauling cost Php a/ b/ c/ d/ Relevant or applicable only to the Road Influenced Area (RIA) Barangays For the distance from Brgy. Abaca – Brgy. Panda 2 croping season per year. 8 sacks of mineral fertilizer per cropping season Certified seeds: 2 sacks per hectare (1 sack=50 Kg), 2 croping seasons Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab5b_Savings Input Hauling 55 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 45. Benefits - Savings in Input Hauling Costs a/ Benefits Unit 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Current hauling cost b/ Php/sack 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 Estimated hauling cost Php/sack 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Php/sack 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 sack/ha sack/ha sack/ha 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 16 4 20 ha 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 462 sack 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 9,234 Php 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 138,510 sack/ha sack/ha sack/ha ha sack 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 10 10 353 3,532 Php 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 52,985 sack/ha 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 sack/ha sack/ha ha sack 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 4 20 23 460 Hauling cost Hauling cost saving Rice Mineral fertilizer c/ Seeds d/ Total number of sacks Area planted Total fertilizer and seeds Sub-total savings in hauling cost Copra Mineral fertilizer Seeds d/ Total number of sacks Area planted Total fertilizer and seeds Sub-total savings in hauling cost Corn Mineral fertilizer c/ Seeds d/ Total number of sacks Area planted Total fertilizer and seeds Sub-total savings in hauling cost Php 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 6,900 Total savings in hauling cost Php 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 198,395 a/ Relevant or applicable only to the Road Influenced Area (RIA) Barangays b/ For the distance from Brgy. San Juan to Poblacion c/ 2 croping season per year. 8 sacks of mineral fertilizer per cropping season d/ Certified seeds: 2 sacks per hectare (1 sack=50 Kg), 2 croping seasons Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab5b_Savings Input Hauling 56 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 46. Benefits - Savings in travel time for commuters Benefits Projected population a/ Unit person Est'd. % of econ. active population 35% Estimated number of economically active population person % of commuters in econ. active pop. person Number of one way trips per day trip/day Total number of trips, all commuters Time saving for commuters b/ Total time saving in min Total time saving in days c/ Share of saved time used for work Net total time saving in days 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4,767 4,815 4,864 4,913 4,963 5,013 5,063 5,114 5,166 5,218 1,668 1,685 1,702 1,720 1,737 1,754 1,772 1,790 1,808 1,826 834 843 851 860 868 877 886 895 904 913 50% Estimated number of commuters Number of working days 1 w.day trip min/trip min w.day 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 400,428 404,472 408,557 412,684 416,852 421,062 425,315 429,611 433,950 438,333 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 2,402,568 2,426,834 2,451,345 2,476,104 2,501,112 2,526,373 2,551,890 2,577,664 2,603,698 2,629,996 5,005 5,056 5,107 5,159 5,211 5,263 5,316 5,370 5,424 5,479 2,653 2,679.63 2,706.69 2,734 2,762 2,790 2,818 2,846 2,875 2,904 53% w.day Average labor cost d/ PhP/w.day 257 270 284 298 313 328 345 362 380 399 Labor cost (economic) PhP/w.day 154 162 170 179 188 197 207 217 228 240 409,608 434,433 460,762 488,686 518,303 549,715 583,030 618,365 655,840 695,588 Time saving value PhP a/ Population growth rate = 1.01% b/ 10 min before and 4 min after subproject c/ 60 min x 8 working hours = 480 min d/ Assumed to increase by 5% annually Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab6_Travel Time Commuters 57 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 46. Benefits - Savings in Travel Time for Commuters Benefits Projected population a/ Est'd. % of econ. active population Estimated number of ec.active population Unit person person 50% Estimated number of commuters person Number of one way trips per day trip/day Number of working days per year Total number of trips for all commuters Time saving for commuters b/ w.day Total time saving in days c/ Share of saved time used for work Net total time saving in days 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 5,271 5,324 5,378 5,432 5,487 5,543 5,599 5,655 5,712 5,770 1,845 1,863 1,882 1,901 1,921 1,940 1,959 1,979 1,999 2,019 922 932 941 951 960 970 980 990 1,000 1,010 35% % commuters in econ.active pop. Total time saving in min 11 trip min/trip min w.day 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 442,760 447,232 451,749 456,311 460,920 465,575 470,278 475,027 479,825 484,672 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 2,765,521 2,793,452 2,821,666 2,850,165 2,878,952 2,908,029 2,656,559 2,683,390 2,710,492 2,737,868 5,534.50 5,590 5,647 5,704 5,762 5,820 5,878 5,938 5,998 6,058 2,933 2,962.91 2,993 3,023 3,054 3,084 3,116 3,147 3,179 3,211 40% w.day Average labor cost d/ PhP/w.day 419 440 462 485 510 535 562 590 619 650 Labor cost (economic) PhP/w.day 252 264 277 291 306 321 337 354 372 390 737,744 782,455 829,875 880,170 933,513 990,088 1,050,093 1,113,733 1,181,231 1,252,820 Time saving value PhP a/ Population growth rate = 1.01% b/ 10 min before and 4 min after subproject c/ 60 min x 8 working hours = 480 min d/ Assumed to increase by 5% annually Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab6_Travel Time Commuters 58 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 47. Benefits of newly cultivated agricultural land (rice and coconut) Benefits Unit 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Rice Newly Cultivated Agri. Land Average Production/Ha./Year b/ Total Output Output Price (farm gate) c/ 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 sack ha 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 sack 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 PhP/kg. 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 Output Value b/ PhP 1,075,000 Land Development Cost/Ha. PhP 25,000 - - - - - - - - - Production Cost/Ha PhP 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 PhP/sack 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 Php 217,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 Php 857,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 ha 2 2 2 2 2 - Marketing cost Total Cost Net Benefit Coconut Newly Cultivated Agri. Land a/ Average Production/Ha./Year b/ Total Output Output Price (farm gate) c/ sack 2 4 6 8 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 sack - - - - - - 77 154 230 307 PhP/kg. - - - - - - 27 27 27 27 Output Value b/ PhP - - - - - - 103,680 207,360 311,040 414,720 Land Development Cost/Ha. PhP 33,500 33,500 33,500 33,500 33,500 - - - - - Production Cost/Ha PhP 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 Marketing cost - - - - - - 1,536 3,072 4,608 6,144 Php 67,000 67,000 67,000 67,000 67,000 - 28,536 57,072 85,608 114,144 Net Benefit Php (67,000) (67,000) (67,000) (67,000) (67,000) - 75,144 150,288 225,432 300,576 TOTAL BENEFITS Php 790,800 915,800 915,800 915,800 915,800 982,800 1,057,944 1,133,088 1,208,232 1,283,376 Total Cost PhP/sack a/ Potential new agri. land for coconut = 5 has., to be developed in increments of 1 hectares for the first 5 years. b/ May vary according to Region c/ 1 sack = 50kgs Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab7_New Agri. Area 59 | P a g e A Feasibility Study: Rehabilitation/Concreting of Tabigue - Balocawehay FMR Table 47. Benefits of newly cultivated agricultural land (rice and coconut) Benefits Unit 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Rice Newly Cultivated Agri. Land Average Production/Ha./Year b/ Total Output Output Price (farm gate) c/ 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 sack ha 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 172 sack 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 PhP/kg. 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 1,075,000 Output Value b/ PhP Land Development Cost/Ha. PhP - - - - - - - - - - Production Cost/Ha PhP 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 PhP/sack 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 17,200 Php 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 92,200 Php 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 982,800 ha 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 sack 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 38.40 sack 384 384 384 384 384 384 384 384 384 384 Marketing cost Total Cost Net Benefit Coconut Newly Cultivated Agri. Land a/ Average Production/Ha./Year b/ Total Output Output Price (farm gate) c/ PhP/kg. 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 518,400 Output Value b/ PhP Land Development Cost/Ha. PhP - - - - - - - - - - PhP 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 13,500 PhP/sack 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 7,680 Php 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 142,680 Net Benefit Php 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 375,720 TOTAL BENEFITS Php 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 1,358,520 Production Cost/Ha Marketing cost Total Cost a/ Potential new agri. land for coconut = 5 has., to be developed in increments of 1 hectares for the first 5 years. b/ May vary according to Region c/ 1 sack = 50kgs Source: EFA_Tabigue-Balocawehay FMR_Tab7_New Agri. Area 60 | P a g e