Assessing the Cardigan Bay bottlenose dolphin SACs
Transcription
Assessing the Cardigan Bay bottlenose dolphin SACs
ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 Assessing the Cardigan Bay bottlenose dolphin SACs Cardigan Bay in Wales and adjacent waters are important for marine wildlife and have various areas designated as special areas of conservation (SACs). Here we consider the extent to which bottlenose dolphin SACs can be said to be effective. MARK PETER SIMMONDS, MICK GREEN, VICKI JAMES, SONJA EISFELD & ROB LOTT Sites for cetaceans In the late 1980s, Cardigan Bay became the focus of efforts to improve marine protection using the EU Habitats Directive (94/43/EEC) to designate Special Areas of Conservation (SACs).1 By 2003, three UK sites had been identified as candidate sites for the bottlenose dolphin, Tursiops truncatus, including two in Welsh waters. However, writing in ECOS in 20062, Green expressed some scepticism about the effectiveness of these measures. More recently, Hoyt3 noted that “the idea that whales, dolphins and porpoises need protected habitat is fairly new, even among MPA practitioners… [but] In general the more that is learned about cetaceans, the more it becomes evident that populations of some species favour or return regularly to familiar places… which may be called home ranges, breeding or feeding grounds”. Eighteen cetacean species have been recorded in Welsh waters and several exhibit a high degree of residency, including the bottlenose dolphin.A,4 By 2003, one SAC (centred off the coast of New Quay in Ceredigion) had been designated for them and, since then, they have also been included as a feature that requires ˆ a’r Sarnau SAC (see map). There is a further SAC management in the Pen Llyn designated for bottlenose dolphins in UK waters and this is in the Moray Firth in Scotland. Harbour porpoises, Phocoena phocoena, are also relatively common in Welsh waters. Like the bottlenose dolphins, they also qualify for the establishment of SACs, but at the time of writing only one marine SAC in Northern Ireland has been proposed in the UK as a candidate site for them. Porpoise calving and nursing occurs in Cardigan Bay. de Boer5 reported that 22% of sighting of porpoises from Bardsey Island were of mother-calf pairs. There is a also a third species that has recently been shown to exhibit site-fidelity in Welsh waters: the Risso’s dolphin, Grampus griseus. Risso’s dolphins however do not currently qualify for the designation of SACs under the Habitats Directive. Other regularly encountered species include the short-beaked common dolphin, Delphinus delphis, and the minke whale, Balaenoptera acutorostrata.D 46 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 The promise of law The Habitats Directive is the ‘‘cornerstone of the EU’s biodiversity policy’’6 and was intended to establish a network of Special Areas of Conservation (SACs) across the EU, known collectively as Natura 2000. In addition, EU member states are also required to guarantee the strict protection of all species within their natural range that are listed on the Directive’s Annex IV and this includes all cetaceans. As soon as a Natura site is designated, particular obligations apply. Member States are required to establish the necessary conservation measures, involving appropriate management plans which correspond to the ecological requirements of the habitats and species present on the sites and are also required to take appropriate steps to avoid the deterioration of natural habitats and habitats of species, and the significant disturbance of species for which areas have been designated. Wales currently has sevenn marine SACs. The Cardigan Bay SAC site was proposed in 1995 and, two years later, the site was submitted to the European Commission for consideration. Some moderation followed and new features for management were added. On 7 December 2004, the European Commission formally adopted the UK list of Special Areas of Conservation, including the Welsh proposals. The SAC stretches from Ceibwr Bay in Pembrokeshire, to Aberarth in Ceredigion, extending almost 20 km from the coast and covering about 1000 km2 of sea. It includes bottlenose dolphins as a ‘primary feature’ and its management scheme, in place since 2001, aims to manage activities taking place within and near the SAC in order to protect the dolphins and their habitat from any adverse effects that human activities may have on them. The management scheme was expanded in 2008 to include: sandbanks which are slightly covered by sea water all the time; reefs; submerged or partially submerged sea caves; the grey seal (Halichoerus grypus); the sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus); and the river lamprey (Lampetra fluviatilis). ˆ a’r Sarnau SAC covers the Lleyn Peninsula and the Sarnau reefs as well The Pen Llyn as the large estuaries along the coast of Meirionnydd and north Ceredigion and is situated just north of the Cardigan Bay SAC. In this SAC bottlenose dolphins is only 47 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 one of a number of ‘qualifying features’, the SAC’s primary features are reefs and ˆ a’r Sarnau management plan is still in the process of being estuaries. The Pen Llyn updated to show what actions the additional features, including the bottlenose dolphins, might require for their conservation. Issues at sea The Habitats Directive does not prohibit development adjacent to or even within the designated sites. However, any plan or project not directly connected with or necessary to the management of the site, but likely to have a significant effect thereon, either individually or in combination with other plans or projects, is subject to an ‘Appropriate Assessment’ (AA) of its implications for the site in view of the site’s conservation objectives. One test of the effectiveness of the SACs will be whether these AAs are being conducted and the extent to which they are positively affecting conservation. Whilst the Directive does not define what constitutes a plan or project, a preliminary ruling by the ECJA suggests that the terms ‘plan’ or ‘project’ should be interpreted broadly, not restrictively. More recently, a UK High CourtB decision reinforced this interpretation and that any action that could potentially have an impact should be considered a plan or project and an AA initiated. The Directive also states that a plan or project can be carried out for imperative reasons of overriding public interest even if the assessment of the implications for the site was negative. However, the Member States have to take all compensatory measures necessary to ensure that the overall coherence of Natura 2000 is protected. The notion of “imperative reasons of overriding public interest” is vague as are the “compensatory measures” required of the national authorities. The grounds upon which development activities may be permitted in cetacean SACs remain uncertain. Nevertheless, certain key industrial activities have been identified within the Guidelines for the designation and management of specially protected marine areas7 for which supervision will be required when carried out in proximity to or within SACs. These include ecotourism activities, oil and gas exploitation, active military and civilian sonar use, vessel-based noise and acoustic by-catch mitigation devices. Accordingly, the development of localised guidelines to address such activities may be considered an important aspect of SAC management on the part of the Member States. Cetaceans in Cardigan Bay can be expected to be affected by the same general issues as those encountered elsewhere in Europe and beyond. The management plan for the Cardigan Bay SAC defined areas of concern relating to the bottlenose dolphins as: waterborne disturbance, collision, pollution from artificial or toxic materials, prey depletion, bycatch and noise pollution.8 There are a number of sources for further information about threats to cetaceans including Bejder et al.(2006)9, Weilgart (2007)10, and Steckenreuter et al. (2012).11 Particular issues in the Cardigan Bay region are discussed in the paragraphs below, in no particular order. 48 Bottlenose dolphins in Cardigan Bay Photo: Sonja Eisfeld/WDC Marine Renewable Energy Since 2000, the UK Government has conducted three rounds of offshore wind farm licensing for projects in waters around England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland; the first wave and tidal energy leasing round was in 2010. Until quite recently, offshore wind farms were mainly constructed in near-shore waters, within approximately 5km of the coast and now very large developments are planned further off the coast and in deeper waters.12 Currently there are three operational marine wind farms to the north of Wales. Since 2010, plans for six further wind farms have been initiated, three of which are in the Round 3 Zone in the Bristol Channel off the South Wales coast (the extensive Atlantic Array proposal was shelved by RWE npower as this article went to press), and three off the north Wales coast, two of which are in the Irish Sea Round 3 Zone. A wave energy site is currently in construction in Pembrokeshire, 5 km offshore from St. Anne’s Head, and is expected to be in operation in late 2012. This will use an ‘overtopping device’; holding ‘captured’ water in a reservoir above sea level before being released through low-head turbines. Plans for the Severn Barrage in the Bristol Channel were withdrawn in 2010 due to the high cost involved, along with environmental impacts on internationally important nature conservation sites.13 Tidal current devices may be held in place by various methods including seabed anchoring, a gravity-base or driven piles or via mooring lines.14, 15 One tidal energy site has been generating power since 2003 in the Bristol Channel and Tidal Energy Limited currently have plans for two tidal sites off Pembrokeshire. One was approved in 2008 in Ramsey Sound and plans for the second off St David’s Head were announced in 2012.16 The potential 49 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 impacts of marine renewable developments on cetaceans have been considered in Wright et al17, Simmonds and Brown18, Dolman and Simmonds19, Simmonds et al 20, and Wilson et al 2 1 and also in the report from the House of Commons Energy and Climate Change Committee22. The UK’s 2009 Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) of Offshore Energy commented that “In general, marine mammals show the highest sensitivity to acoustic disturbance by noise generated by offshore wind farms and by hydrocarbon exploration and production activities”.23 Scallop dredging Low level scallop dredging has been carried out in Cardigan Bay for many years (Green, pers. obs.). This changed in more recent times seemingly following closures in other areas and by 2006 up to 60 scallop dredgers were reported operating in the Bay at any one time, including within the boundaries of the Cardigan Bay SAC. Many changes to this fishery followed and, in 2009, the Scallop Orders were reviewed and the Welsh Assembly Government realised they would have to undertake consultations. The fishery was closed for the second half of 2009 and a complaint was made to Europe by a consortium of non-governmental organisations. This focused on the lack of an AA in issuing Scalloping Licenses. In 2010, the fishery was partially reopened with a significant part of the Bay declared off limits to the fishery but remarkably a sizeable part of the SAC itself left open and this continues to be the case. No AA has been conducted. In April 2012, two fishing boat owners and a skipper were fined a total of £29,000 for scallop-dredging inside that part of the Cardigan Bay SAC that remains closed to such activity. The potential threat from scallop dredging to cetaceans has been much debated. An opinion from CEFAS in 2009 concluded that under the “current technical conservation measures in place” there was no risk to the Bay’s bottlenose dolphins. However, a fleet of 60 dredgers plying the waters of the Bay might reasonably be expected to cause much noise disturbance and also affect the dolphins’ food chain. In 2013, Bangor University is proposing ‘research dredging’ to establish whether intensive scalloping can take place more widely within the SAC. A view to Bardsey Island with bottlenose dolphins in foreground. Photo: Sonja Eisfeld/WDC Slipways. All licensees are provided with a copy of a code of conduct designed to give members of the public information about how to act in the vicinity of cetaceans to avoid disturbing them. Ceredigion County Council has monitored compliance with their Code since 1994.27 The latest report 28 showed that of 494 boat encounters examined for compliance, this was found to be generally high (95% at one site). The associated public awareness programme was also assessed to be working well at the key site of New Quay. Most cases of non-compliance involved vessels moving too fast when close to dolphins, with speed and motor boats the main offenders. The report concluded that compliance with the code significantly reduced the incidence of negative response behaviours in the dolphins. Oil and Gas development The UK Government has been issuing licences for oil and gas exploration since 1964.24 The environmental effects associated with exploration activity, construction, production and transport of equipment, materials and products are potentially many.25,26 In the early 1980s, oil and gas exploration moved into the UK’s inshore waters and during the twelth licensing round, licences were issued for a company to drill in waters adjacent to Bardsey leading to a complaint to Europe. However, in 2012, licensing was reopened in this area but not adjacent to the Cardigan Bay SAC. Boat Disturbance The Cardigan Bay Website calls on boat users to follow the ‘Marine Codec’ and it also calls for action on marine litter which ‘may choke’ marine mammals.24 The Ceredigion County Council requires (as a ‘Heritage Coast’ initiative rather than one relating directly to the SAC) the licensing of all personal craft launched from Council 50 Waste Discharge There is a discharge from a shell-fish factory into the SAC at New Quay and this had been suggested as both a concern and a possible source of enrichment. 29 Cetacean status A metric that might be used to assess effectiveness is whether the local bottlenose dolphin population is being maintained at favourable conservation status (FCS); which is when a population is being maintained on a long-term basis, its natural range is not being, and is not likely to be, reduced and there is sufficient habitat to support it in the long term. Over 300 bottlenose dolphins are known to be using Cardigan Bay, around 200 in any one year, with numbers increasing throughout the summer and reaching a peak 51 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 in late September and October.30 The bottlenose dolphin is the next most frequently recorded species (after the harbour porpoise), with a predominantly coastal distribution, although low densities have been recorded offshore, particularly in St George’s Channel and the southwest sector of the study area.31 The main concentrations of sightings were southern Cardigan Bay but with moderately high sighting rates extending north into Tremadog Bay, although the species also occurs off the north coast of Wales, particularly north and east of Anglesey. In summer, the dolphins occur mainly in small groups near the coast, centred upon Cardigan Bay, dispersing more widely and generally northwards, where they may form very large groups in winter. However, the species can be seen at any time of the year throughout Welsh coastal waters. No fundamental change in distribution has been observed since 1990 and bottlenose dolphins breed throughout their Welsh range, with calves observed in most months of the year. Only small numbers have been recorded stranded.27 Recent data suggest lower numbers in both the Cardigan Bay SAC and the whole of the Bay during 2011 than most previous years.32 Results from an open population model indicate that the probability of emigration from Cardigan Bay, and the probability that animals will stay out of the site, have increased. This suggests that fewer dolphins are currently using Cardigan Bay. The Sea Watch Foundation also concludes that increased activity off North Wales in summer includes individuals previously showing a strong site fidelity to Cardigan Bay, and supports the markrecapture results showing that fewer dolphins may now be using Cardigan Bay. However, they also report that the area of the Cardigan Bay SAC in particular has seen increased levels of residency, and remains important for mothers and young calves, exhibiting a reasonably healthy birth rate (5.75% for a closed population model and 7.73% for an open population model). So, the status of the bottlenose dolphin population is currently equivocal with neither a precipitous decline nor an increase apparent. The core area (i.e. the SAC) remains important for the population, although the possible movement of some part of the population away highlights the need for careful ongoing monitoring. Other conservation-related activities The controls on scallop dredging and limitation of the spread of oil and gas development into at least one of the dolphin SACs would seem likely to be beneficial to the dolphins. However, it is unclear why the latter industry is prohibited from the ˆ a’r Cardigan Bay site but has recently potentially been allowed into the Pen Llyn Sarnau SAC. This may be because the licensing authority takes the view that as the dolphins are only a qualifying feature. More positively, the process of assessment of potential threats to the dolphins followed in the Cardigan Bay management plan has significant potential to assist in the wise management of the SAC. Conservation Actions focused on other SAC features may be beneficial to the dolphins by helping to maintain habitat quality and prey. In addition, we believe that the advent of the SACs has helped to generate relevant research funds and note there is a legal requirement to report on status of features to the European Commission every six years.28 52 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 Public outreach and educational activities may also have benefits for the dolphins and the SAC website is a potentially important educational initiative. The various ‘dolphin centres’ in Cardigan Bay may also have been encouraged by the presence of the SAC. The Cardigan Bay Code of Conduct and efforts to measure its implementation – even given that this was originally introduced as a Heritage Coast initiative – may also have been encouraged by the SAC. In this regard, the absence of a SAC officer for Cardigan Bay for a period of time may have undermined the initiative. Conclusions and recommendations There is some evidence that the Cardigan Bay SACs have been useful to dolphin conservation, principally by providing a mechanism to challenge developments. However, the designation still does not appear to provide any incentive to developers to avoid the area in the first place and pressures are mounting. In theory – and in the absence of other designations further to the recent decision by the Welsh government to hold off on designating other marine conservation zones - they could become more important. Apparent SAC failings, include the question of how precisely they relate to development within and adjacent to the areas that they define. The status of the bottlenose dolphin as a qualifying feature only in the northern SAC does not seem to imbue it with any direct protection, but this may improve when the management plan for this site is updated. SACs in the UK can generally be graded as IUCN Category VI management areas33; this means that they are protected areas with sustainable use of natural resources aimed at conserving natural resources alongside “low level non-industrial use of natural resources compatible with nature conservation”. Hoyt29 has already queried whether this low level of protection can be expected in the longer term to be effective.D In the case of Cardigan Bay, these sites are also relatively small and any assessment of their effectiveness is of limited help to the assessment of other types of MPAs. SACs, however, are not universally IUCN Category VI and in fact can even function, due to their generally small size, as IUCN Category I highly protected zones within a larger MPA framework or network. Green2 commented that there is little that could be seen in terms of additional protection within the SACs compared to the wider sea area, however, the bottlenose dolphins continue to use the sites, including for breeding purposes. Whilst a core sub-population of bottlenose dolphins seems to remain faithful to Cardigan Bay, potential explanations for the wider changes in distribution include changes in prey availability and/or increased anthropogenic disturbance. We agree with the recommendation from the Sea Watch Foundation that in order to assess whether this is the start of a negative trend, further monitoring over a number of years encompassing the entire field season from at least April until October is needed. The Welsh Government is entrusted with an exceptional richness of marine biodiversity to protect and have waters where many MPAs (in the form of SACs) are now in place. Provisions that are intended to protect bottlenose dolphins may 53 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 help other cetaceans in these waters, including Risso’s dolphins. However, there is also unprecedented industrial development happening in Welsh waters with unclear consequences for cetaceans and other fauna. Future research in this region relating to all the local cetacean populations, and the threats that they face, will be essential to underpin their conservation and so will developing appropriate constraints on activities that may threaten them or displace them from core habitat areas. This means that the SAC management regimes need to be comprehensive, precautionary and adhered to. References and notes A. Landelijke Vereniging tot Behoud van de Waddenzee, Nederlandse Vereniging tot Bescherming van Vogels v. Staatssecretaris van Landbouw, Natuurbeheer en Visserij, Case C-127/02 B. R (on the application of Akester and Melanaphy) v Defra & Wightlink Limited (Wightlink) C. There is a Ceredigion Code of Conduct for boat users and also a Cardigan Bay Code. D. N.B. Our understanding is that the protection of the dolphin population for which any SAC has been established extends to the population’s full range (see 92/43/EEC and discussion in Green et al., 2012). 1. Green, M. and Simmonds, M. 2003. Cardigan Bay and its conservation importance. Natur Cymru 7: 36-40. 2. Green M. 2006. SACs of Promise? – Marine SAC protection. ECOS 27/2. 3. Hoyt, E. 2011. Marine Protected Areas for Whales, Dolphins and Porpoises: A world handbook for cetacean habitat conservation and planning. Earthscan/Taylor & Francis, London and New York. 464 pp. 4. Baines M.E. and Evans P.G.H. 2012 Atlas of the marine mammals of Wales . CCW Marine Monitoring Report No. 68. 2nd edition. 5. de Boer, M., Morgan Jenks, M., Taylor, M. And Simmonds M. 2002. The small cetaceans of Cardigan Bay. British Wildlife, April 2002: 246-254. 6. European Commission. 2010. Guidance document: Wind energy developments and Natura 2000. October 2010. http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/natura2000/ management/docs/Wind_farms.pdf 7. CEC, 2007. Commission of the European Community (CEC). 2007. Guidelines for the establishment of the Natura 2000 network in the marine environment. European Commission DG Environment. 8. CBSAC, 2008. Cardigan Bay Special Area of Concervation Management Scheme. 2008. http://www. cardiganbaysac.org.uk/pdf%20files/Cardigan_Bay_SAC_Management_Scheme_2008.pdf Last visited 14/5/2012 9. Bejder, L., Samuels, A., Whitehead, H., Gales, N., Mann, J., Connor, R., Heithaus, M., Watson-Capps, J. J., Flaherty, C. and Krützen, M. 2006. Decline in relative abundance of bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops sp) exposed to long-term disturbance. Conservation Biology. 20(6): 1791-1798. 10. Weilgart, L.S. 2007. The impacts of anthropogenic ocean noise on cetaceans and implications for management. Canadian Journal of Zoology: 85(11): 1091-1116. 11. Steckenreuter, A, Möller, L., Harcourt, R. 2012. How does Australia’s largest dolphin-watching industry affect the behaviour of a small and resident population of Indo-Pacific bottlenose dolphins? Journal of Environmental Management 97: 14 - 21. 12. Simmonds, M.P. and Brown, V.C. 2010. Is there a conflict between cetacean conservation and marine renewable-energy developments? Wildlife Research, 2010, 37, 688–694. 13. Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC). 2010. Severn Tidal Power Feasibility Study: Conclusions and Summary Report. Available at http://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/What%20we%20 do/UK%20energy%20supply/Energy%20mix/Renewable%20energy/severn-tp/621-severn-tidal-powerfeasibility-study-conclusions-a.pdf July 2012 14. Wright, D., Brown, V., Simmonds, M.P. 2009. A Review of Developing Marine Renewable Technologies. Paper submitted to the Scientific Committee of the IWC. IWC/SC/61/E6. 15. EMEC, 2012. European Marine Energy Centre. http://www.emec.org.uk/tidal_devices.asp Last visited 16/5/2012. 16. Tidal Energy Limited. 2012. http://www.tidalenergyltd.com/?p=1112. Last visited 17/5/2012. 17. Wright, D., Brown, V., Simmonds, M.P. 2009. A Review of Developing Marine Renewable Technologies. Paper submitted to the Scientific Committee of the IWC. IWC/SC/61/E6. 54 ECOS 34(3/4) 2013 18. Simmonds, M.P., Brown, V.C., Eisfeld, D., and Lott, R. 2010. Marine Renewable Energy Developments: benefits versus concerns. Paper submitted to the Scientific Committee of the IWC. SC/62/E8. 19. Dolman, S. J. and Simmonds, M. P. 2010. Towards best environmental practice for cetacean conservation in developing Scotland’s marine renewable energy. Marine Policy, 34, 1021–1027. 20. Simmonds, M.P. and Brown, V.C. 2010. Is there a conflict between cetacean conservation and marine renewable-energy developments? Wildlife Research, 2010, 37, 688–694. 21. Wilson, J. C., Elliott , M., Cutts, N. D., Mander, L., Mendão, V., Perez-Dominguez, R., Phelps, A. 2010. Coastal and Offshore Wind Energy Generation: Is It Environmentally Benign? Energies 3: 1383-1422. 22. House of Commons Energy and Climate Change Committee. 2012. The Future of Marine Renewables in the UK Eleventh Report of Session 2010–12. Volume I. Available at http://www.publications.parliament.uk/ pa/cm201012/cmselect/cmenergy/1624/1624.pdf. Last visited 17/5/2012. 23. DECC. 2009. Offshore energy strategic environmental assessment. Department of Energy and Climate Change. Available at http://www.offshore-sea.org.uk/site/scripts/news_article.php?newsID=39 Last visited 17/5/2012. 24. Green M and Simmonds M. 2008. Riding the Waves – Lessons from Campaigning on oil and gas. ECOS 29(3/4) 25. Neff, J. M., Rabalais, N. N. and Boesch D. F. 1987. Offshore oil and gas development activities potentially causing long-term effects. Pages 149-174. In D F Boesch & N N Rabalais (Eds) Long Term Environmental Effects of Offshore Oil and Gas Development, Elsiever, London. 26. JLOGEC. 1995. Polluting the Offshore Environment. Newtown. Available at: http://www.savecardiganbay. org.uk/word/oil_gaspollution.doc. Last visited 17/5/2012. 27. CCC 2012. Ceredigion County Council website: http://www.ceredigion.gov.uk/index.cfm?articleid=9025 Last visited 10/5/2012. 28. Allan L., Green M. and Kelsall K. 2010. Bottlenose dolphins and boat traffic on the Ceredigion Coast, West Wales, 2008 and 2009. Ceredigion County Council. 29. Dermody, N. 2012. Cardigan Bay bottlenose dolphins ‘learn factory whelk waste times for food’ BBC News website: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-mid-wales-18020502. Last visited 17/5/2012. 30. Cardigan Bay Website, 2012 http://www.cardiganbaysac.org.uk/?page_id=72 Last visited 7/5/2012. 31. Baines M.E. and Evans P.G.H. 2012 Atlas of the marine mammals of Wales . CCW Marine Monitoring Report No. 68. 2nd edition. 32. Veneruso, G. and Evans, P.G.H. 2012. Bottlenose Dolphin and Harbour Porpoise Monitoring in Cardigan Bay and Pen Llyn ˆ a’r Sarnau Special Areas of Conservation. CCW Monitoring Report No. 95. 66pp 33. Hoyt, E. 2011. Marine Protected Areas for Whales, Dolphins and Porpoises: A world handbook for cetacean habitat conservation and planning. Earthscan/Taylor & Francis, London and New York. 464 pp Mark Peter Simmonds is Senior Associate Marine Scientist at the Humane Society International. [email protected] Mick Green is Director of Ecology Matters Trust. Vicki James, Sonja Eisfeld and Rob Lott are with Whale and Dolphin Conservation. Thanks to Sarah Dolman and Erich Hoyt for their comments on an earlier version of this paper. Diolch yn fawr. 55