Business Intelligence Concepts IIM/EURO MBA Studies Presented by
Transcription
Business Intelligence Concepts IIM/EURO MBA Studies Presented by
Business Intelligence Concepts IIM/EURO MBA Studies UBI - Business Intelligence Concepts Presented by: Presented by: Ivana Rajkov Aleksandra Simsic Ljiljana Radanov Miroslav Pajic Radomir Cupara Milan Djeric Identity Geography Finance Market trends Value and ethics Distribution Customers Competitors 1 Identity Women have been selling Avon since 1886 - 34 years before women in the US won the right to vote! Avon is the largest direct selling beauty company in the world. Avon 1886 California Perfume Company (CPC) founded in New York City by David H. McConnell. First Avon Sales Representative, Mrs. P.F.E. Albee, now-famous direct-selling method First product produced called the Little Dot Perfume Set included five fragrances 1896 First catalog issued 1897 First laboratory built in Suffern, NY 1905 First print ads published in Good Housekeeping Magazine and First color catalog 1914 First international office opened: Montreal, Canada. Manufacturing starts in 1915. 1939 California Perfume Company name changed to Avon Products, Inc. 1953 First television advertising launched. 1964 Avon listed on New York Stock Exchange, trading starts April 20. 1972 First time sales top $1 billion. 1986 Avon celebrates its centennial: 1886-1986 1989 First major cosmetics manufacturer to announce a permanent end to animal testing. 1991 Avon becomes the first beauty company to bring the alpha hydroxy (AHA) technology. 1992 Avon U.K. launches the company s first women s health care initiative to raise funds and awareness for breast cancer. 1993 Avon launches its first women's health care initiative program in the U.S. with the "Breast Cancer Awareness Crusade". 1998 First Avon Running Global Women s Circuit - Avon Breast Cancer 3-Day fundraising walk. 1999 First ever global advertising campaign themed 'Let s Talk' 2000 Avon signs tennis greats, Venus and Serena Williams, to be the company s First global celebrity spokespersons to promote Avon 2004 Avon launches its First-ever Men s Catalog, called M Avon Foundation launches new domestic violence program, Speak Out Against Domestic Violence with celebrity spokesperson Salma Hayek 2005 Avon is the first company to be selected by the Chinese government to test direct selling. The first fragrance in the newly-launched Today.Tomorrow.Always trilogy wins a FiFi Award. GLOBALLY TRUST RESPECT BELIEF HUMILITY INTEGRITY OURGUIDING To provide individuals to earn in support of their well-being and happiness. To serve families throughout the world with products of the . To render a service to customers that is outstanding in its To give depends. backed by a and to employees and Representatives, on whose contributions Avon To share with others the . To meet fully the obligations of corporate citizenship by To maintain and cherish the . A focus on as a key driver of sales growth, New product lines such as . Further expansion of A career opportunity for products and , , Exploration of geographic opportunities, in particular Within the following discussion and analysis, we utilize the key performance indicators ( KPIs ) defined below to assist in the evaluation of Avon business. Product categories, include: which consists of cosmetics, fragrances, skin care and toiletries; $100 million state- of- the art Research and Development Center in Suffern, New York which consists of: Opened in 2005 and constructed on the existing Suffern, New York site, this facility represents Avon s continuing commitment to deliver leading-edge, technology-based cosmetic products to the . High Legend: 1 Avon Beyond Color, Anew, Mark, Avon Solutions, Skin So Soft, Avon Wellness, Advance Technique Hair Care 1 Beauty 2 Beauty Plus Net Sale Growth 2 Watches, Apparel, Accessories. 3 Home products and Gift&Decorative products. 3 Beyond Beauty Low High Net Sale by Brand share Low Strengthening and repositioning key mid-tier brands such as mass skin care brand, Avon Solutions and Avon Color. Launch a new Avon Solutions franchise called Ageless Results, with anti-aging technology now formulated at a mass price point to capitalize on growing consumer interest in this segment. Breakthroughs in the nail, lip and mascara categories Focus on innovation will be supported by a significant acceleration in advertising. In 2006 alone, total company advertising will increase by 50%. In quantitative analysis advertising delivers a greater payback for Avon because of its ability to motivate both consumers and Representatives. Geography Bosnia France Italy Portugal Spain Bulgaria Germany Latvia Romania Turkey Czech Republic Greece Lithuania Russia Ukraine Croatia Hungary Macedonia Slovakia United Kingdom Estonia Ireland Moldavia Slovenia Finland Israel Poland South Africa Serbia & Montenegro Canada Dominican Republic Puerto Rico United States Mexico Venezuela Australia Paraguay Chile Argentina Hong Kong Peru Bolivia Avon s Indonesia Japan Uruguay Malaysia Brazil New Zealand Central America South Korea Chile Ecuador global markets Taiwan Thailand Finance AsiaPacific, Pacific,total totalrevenue revenue InInAsia wasconsistent consistentwith withthe theprior prioryear year was asdeclines declinesininChina Chinaand andJapan Japan as wereoffset offsetby byincreases increasesininnearly nearly were allother othermarkets marketsininthe theregion. region. all In Latin America, total revenue In Latin America, total revenue increased in 2005 with increases in all increased in 2005 with increases in all markets in the region, except Mexico. markets in the region, except Mexico. The purchase of licensee in Colombia The purchase of licensee in Colombia favorably impacted the region s revenue favorably impacted the region s revenue growth by 2 points. growth by 2 points. points In late February 2006, Avon was granted a direct selling license by China s In late February 2006, Avon was granted a direct selling license by China s Ministry of Commerce. That license will allow Avon to commence direct selling in Ministry of Commerce. That license will allow Avon to commence direct selling in China under the regulations issued by that government in late 2005 China under the regulations issued by that government in late 2005 4 Market Trend Actualand andForecast ForecastGrowth Growthof ofthe the Actual Cosmetics&ToiletriesIndustry Industry Cosmetics&Toiletries 4,50% Sales will exceed , an average annual increase of 2.9% from 2002. 4,00% 3,50% 3,00% 2,50% 2,00% 1,50% 1,00% 0,50% 0,00% 1997 2002 2007 Future outlook Lip balms, specialty hair care products,and skin care products for men will be among the fastest growing categories. Favorable demographics and technologically advanced products will drive sales. Sale by product class, 2005 Percent of Sales by Major Product Groups Personal care products (cosmetics, jewelry, skin care, etc.) Home/family care products (cleaning products, cookware, cutlery, etc.) Wellness (weight loss products, vitamins, etc.) 30.8% 30.5% 16.1% Services/other 14.3% Leisure/educational 8.3% (books, videos, toys, etc.) The U.S. cosmetics and toiletries market has experienced growth for 11 consecutive years, with sales reaching almost at the manufacturers' level in 2005. the lowest level of growth since 1993. facial treatments, personal cleansing products, fragrances for women, shampoos, and hand and body lotions account for about 40% of total industry sales. Biggest producers and markets are . In 2004. Western European market summed in wholesale prices, and 58.10 billions EUR in retail More then is consisted of 5 countries: Germany, France, Great Britain, Italy and Spain. Western market consumption increased 3.5% in 2004, Spain had the biggest growth of 7%, the least growth had Germany with 1.5%, while Swiss market slops down to -1.1% Moderate, consistent, and somewhat slowed down growth of production and market (2004- 4,8: 2001- 4,1%: 2002- 3,6% and 2003-3,5%)* Skin care products will have the fastest growth, following with hair care and bath products. Switching soaps with other newer products. Massive of man care products (20-30%) and teeth whitening products will remain its high level in global costs, primarily for accomplishing goals in decreasing waste, protection of surroundings and human health. Even though markets are growing because of rationalization in industries, unemployment are expected to increase. *Source: Colipa 5 • Value and ethics Environmental Management Systems (ISO 14001 worldwide) • Global Environmental Audit Program (All manufacturing locations are audited every 3 years) • Global Environmental Metrics • Compliance • Waste Management and Recycling • Air • Energy • Water Consumption • Greenhouse Gases Avon policy requires: Conduct operations in a manner that demonstrates respect for the environment through the ; Meet or exceed all environmental laws and regulations of the countries and communities in which Avon operate; Continue to that improve the environmental quality of operations and products across their life cycle,from initial design to ultimate disposal; Product Safety & Integrity s role is to: Ensure new & existing cosmetic products are and meet regulatory requirements; Develop & implement cosmetic (ingredient/product specifications, test methodology & manufacturing controls); Ensure product claims based on adequately substantiated. are Breast Cancer Programs Women s Empowerment Programs Speak Up Against Domestic Violence Avon has one of the most compelling consumer sales channels in the world. INVESTING IN SALES REPRESENTATIVES Sales Representative Earnings Training Recognition and Awards Programs Area Zone and District managers. Associates work in over 63 countries around the world, in: manufacturing; sales management and support; marketing;customer service; research and development; legal; finance and other departments. All others 9% Salons 5% Speciality stores 8% Department stores 16% Mass merchandise 27% Drug stores 18% Direct sale 17% Distributing sale channels Over the past decade, the market has been going through a . New channels of distribution have been capturing marketers' interest, forcing many to rethink their retail strategies as well as rationalize product offerings. Mass merchandisers remained the leading outlet with a 27% share. Mass merchandisers were also one of the fastest growing channels in 2005, along with direct sales and salons. 80% 60% 70% 50% 60% 40% 50% 40% 79,90% 30% 54% 30% 20% 20% 20,10% 10% 0% 8% 14% 65+ 55-64 0% Female Male 35-54 18-34 35% 80% 35% 70% 30% 60% 50% 25% 40% 23% 10% 32% 24% 20% 76% 30% 15% 20% 10% 5% 18% 0% Married Other Single 10% 5% 8% 0% Som e college, technical or trade school High school graduate or less Postgraduate College Graduate Avon 2005 Global Women s Survey More than half of women say the first thing they would do when signs of aging emerge would be to reach for an appropriate facial skin care product, preferably one that contains both natural herbs and medicinal plants, and modern science's most advanced ingredients. Self-Indulgence - What do I do just for me? Physical Appearance/Aging - "Fountain of Youth Options" 93% of women globally saying they put some effort into improving their overall appearance buying make-up 30% hair done 40% eating out 30% 36% Get plenty of sleep Facial Skin care routine 38% Exercising 38% 49% Drink plenty of water 51% Eating healthy Race against time" and skin care Globally, 95 % of women say that they have not had any cosmetic surgery. lack of interest 33% High cost 40% Concerns about the risk 27% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Procter&Gamble 16% All others 37% L'Oreal 20% Limited Brands 5% Avon 13% Estee Lauder 9% Company Rank Revenue Rank Employees Rank Growth Sales Avon Produtcs Colgate Palmolive Estee Lauder Shiseido Co. Ltd. ColgatePalmolive Estee Lauder Avon Shisheido Rank Profit Margin Rank Market Cap 4-point turnaround plan to restore sustainable growth 45% 25% 40% 35% 30% 20% 41% 15% 25% 20% 10% 15% 23% 20% 10% 12% 13% 5% 14% 5% 7% 7% 0% 0% Nivea Avon Dove Oriflame Nivea Avon Dove Oriflame MBI and Target Group Index 5 top brands of body care products, most often used in 2005. Sample: urban population in Serbia (without Kosovo) - 3024 participants use products from TGI base of 10028 participants 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 49% 25% 20% 28% 15% 10% 14% 5% 6% 0% Nivea Avon Dove Oriflame SWOT analysis Untrained selling personnel in som e regions Bad prediction of sales volume Bad marvet network on certain markets (Japan,Pacific) Bad management of stocks & supplies Poor marketing activities Marketing orientation toward determ ines markets Included sales shortfalls in China and deceleration of growth in Central and Eastern Europe, as well as Latin America Continuing of spreading production selling program under penetrated in the market at mid-tier price segments Cooperation with competitive companies in humanitarian actions Spreading of selling network Growth on Central & Eastern Europe Development of education for employees Perfecting new keys of selling Developm ent of products for wom en of other races according to their skin types Perfection alternative for estetic hirurgy SWOT analysis Different politics of the countries on which markets we are involved New regulative in cosmetics industry New competitors Business depends on different needs Continues decreasing of custom ers from USA Aggressive competitor's marketing Well educated staff from com petitive companies Launched m arket actual product from competitive retail network well developed Global economic recession High quality wide range of products Innovation of products Qualitative & successful management Long tradition of the company Market leadership in direct sales field Ways of selling Not testing products on animals Developed selling network com panied to competition Motivating discounts for costmors Motivating extra earnings based on increased volume of sales 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Product innovation Simplifying business system Harmonizing process Increasing shared service centers Reducing total number of products Hold fixed costs flat to down Under penetration of mid-tier brand price segments. Innovation of anti-aging technology formulated at mass price point Acceleration in advertising, which will increase by 50% High focus on international markets Global Direct Selling team, a multi level marketing program that enables Representatives to earn through personal sale, as well as through bonuses and training. Avon direct selling Uni, to institulize world class training, ensuring consistency and focus across all markets. Capitalizes on very strong markets Commercial Business Unit CBU are key commercial strategy along with new Global operating structure. Maximizing Brand power and respond quickly and effectively by supporting CBUs by Business Units and Global Supply Chain Reduce 50% of layers Reduce number of management positions by 20%-30% Sales % 50 AVON 40 YVES ROCHER MARY KAY 30 AMWAY 20 NU SKIN 10 HERBALIFE 0 0 50 100 COUNTRIES 150 200 BEAUTICONTROL Take adventage for being the world s biggest direct seller of beauty products for break through into new markets. Avon has called China , the fastest-growing cosmetics market in Asia,its No.1 opportunity and key to its growth prospects. In November 2005 Avon announced a four-point turnaround plan to restore sustainable growth in business. Plan builds on: 1. key equities 2. focuses on unleashing the full power of unique brand and channel. This plan includes: In total, restructuring initiatives will deliver over $300 million in savings annually, which will be largely reinvested in growth. Accelerate world-class product innovation. Significant increase of investment in product innovation and more than doubling advertising spending by 2008. Brand-building strategy. Focus on major breakthroughs in Skin Care and Color. Investment in direct-selling channel and establishing a centrally managed Global Direct Selling function. Relaunch direct selling in China, largest growth opportunity market. Become leaner, faster-moving, more empowered organization and increase training and development for employees. New global operating structure that increases the number of geographic business units. Flatten the organization and reduce management layers to bring senior leaders closer to markets, and markets closer to Representatives and consumers. Rename geographic regions to Commercial Business Units, or CBUs, as key commercial strategies. Empowered Global Business Units, GBUs Marketing and Global Supply Chain. Dramatically improve merchandising excellence and shopping appeal with enhanced brochure and more compelling consumer promotions. Brand Realign total cost structure and leverage assets more strategically to fuel bigger investments and drive revenue growth. Implement projects focused on realigning global manufacturing base; Securing additional supply chain efficiencies in the areas of procurement and distribution processes; and Regionalizing, centralizing and outsourcing certain activities and transactional processes. Strategy proposal for Serbian market Sources: Business Intelligence Roadmap: The Complete Project Lifecycle for Decision-Support Applications, By Shaku Atre, Larissa T. Moss , Published by Addison Wesley, 2003 www.avoncompany.com www.youravon.com www.avon.co.yu www.nyse.com www.reuters.com www.dsa.org www.colipa.com www.in-cosmetics.com www.euromonitor.com