- Gulf of Mexico Foundation
Transcription
- Gulf of Mexico Foundation
THE POTENTIAL SOCIOECONOMIC EFFECTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE ON THE STATE OF VERACRUZ Secretary of Civil Protection State of Veracruz Government International Integration Workshop on Sea-Level Rise for the Gulf of Mexico October 21-23, 2013 Merida, Yucatan, Mexico The sea level is rising, 9 cm in 50 years, measured at Veracruz Port The 2 meters sea level rise effect is small 76 people at risk, says the Population Office (INEGI) The IPCC in September 2013 forecasts a máximum sea level rise of 99 cm for year 2100. The city of Veracruz and the only mexican nuclear power plant (Laguna Verde) are 10-11 meters above the main sea level WE ARE MORE WORRIED ABOUT THE MIGHTY TROPICAL CICLONES Highest Storm Surges registered in the Gulf of Mexico: Katrina, 8.5 m, 29/August/2005, hurricane clase 3 measured in Buras, Louisiana, Mississippi’s delta Camille, 7.5 m, 17/August/1969, hurricane 5 at San Luis Bay, Mississippi’s delta In red color, 10 meters sea level rise. One million and a half people at risk. Hurricane Karl, 2010, some 1.6 million dollar damages. First class 3 hurricane registered having a direct hit in the Veracruz coast. In the last 10 years we have had 1,8 ciclones direct hits per year. Some coastal structures are already presenting sea wave impacts, not necesarily due to climate change (Hotel in Costa Esmeralda) “FORUM ON COASTS AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO” January 30th to February first, 2013 more than 70 scientist from 21 institutions presented more than 50 conferences Organizers: CENTER FOR STUDIES AND METEOROLOGICAL FORECAST VERACRUZ CIVIL PROTECTION SECRETARY CLIMATE CHANGE PROGRAM VERACRUZ UNIVERSITY Water quality in coastal zones. Estuarine ecology. Pollution in lake systems. Extreme meteorological phenomena. Coastal proceses. Circulation in the Gulf of Mexico (bio-physical aspects), Human settlements in risk zones A PROGRAM HAS BEEN STARTED TO MEASURE BEACH PROFILES IN TWO POINTS OF “COSTA ESMERALDA” BEFORE AND AFTER THE RAINY SEASON. SOME OTHER POINTS WILL BE INCLUDED AND KEEP THE PROGRAM RUNNING FOR AT LEAST TEN YEARS Proyect in incubation COASTAL ZONE MONITORING OF VERACRUZ-CAMPECHE FOR EVALUATION OF RISK DUE TO EXTREME METEOROLOGYCAL PHENOMENA AND CLIMATE CHANGE Participants: Center for Studies and Meteorological Forecast (Veracruz Civil Protection Secretary) Engineering Institute, Autonomous National University of Mexico (II-UNAM) National Institute of Ecology (INECOL) University of Veracruz Others Goals 1.- To measure for a long time, enough to capture the wave climatology and dynamic’s granulometry 2.- Evaluation of the extreme meteorological phenomena and climate effects on coastal processes. 3.- Monitoring of the sediment flux in the main rivers 4.- Numerical modeling of the coastal dynamics and flooding events for the coastal plains 5.- To obtain long time series of the topographybathimetry evolution in the coastal zone 6.- Inventary and characterization of the coastal dunes 7.- Integration of the measured data base to the National Risk Atlas “Regional program for the characterization and monitoring of mangle-echosystems in the Gulf of Mexico and Mexican Caribbean Sea: Starting a multi-institutional web. Veracruz” 2009-2012-2015 Dr. Jorge López-Portillo Dra. Ana Laura Lara Domínguez Instituto de Ecología A.C. Red de Ecología Funcional Palm trees almost disapeared in our coasts. Lethal yellowing disease of coconut palms. A coastal protection against wind and water sediment transport was lost 1700 hectares will be planted with 80% tolerant palms coming from the Pacific coast. Federal program. Executes the Environment Secretary. The ecology federal institute (INECOL) will be supervising A REFORESTATION PROGRAM FOR VERACRUZ HAS JUST STARTED THIS MONTH 3 MILLION TREES TO BE PLANTED IN ONE YEAR IN DISASTER PRONE AREAS. 2500 HECTARS MORE THAN THREE MILLION DOLLARS FOR TEMPORAL JOBS. TO PLANT TREES AND TAKE CARE OF DEBRIS ON THE RIVER DELTAS ACCUMULATED AFTER HURRICANE INGRID. MANY OF THE COASTAL PROBLEMS ARE BORN IN THE HIGH PARTS OF THE BASINS: UPROOTED TREES CARRIED DOWN THAT DESTROY THE CORAL REEFS, EXCESIVE ORGANIC MATTER, MUD, STONES THE END FIN SECRETARÍA DE PROTECCIÓN CIVIL DEL GOBIERNO DE VERACRUZ CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS Y PRONÓSTICOS METEOROLÓGICOS