here. - Borenius
Transcription
here. - Borenius
19 OCTOBER 2015/£3.95 In-house interview Numis GC on working for a stockbroker: 6 WWW.THELAWYER.COM Industry comment Female lawyers are more ethical: 8 Hot 100 alumni Stephen Parkinson, Kingsley Napley: 9 Special reports Finland’s hope; E-discovery in the ‘shadow IT’ era: 20, 24 Think different Lessons from GC innovator, Vodafone’s Rosemary Martin TL_191015 1 16/10/2015 17:42 20 The Lawyer | 19 October 2015 Special report Finland Healthy H y outlook Privatised healthcare and the push for energy diversity are likely to be big generators of legal work as Finland slowly recovers after the global crash Q There seems to have been little consolidation in the Finnish legal market. Why is that, and do you see it changing in the coming year? Juha Pekka Katainen, managing partner, Krogerus: Eversheds’ entry into the Finnish market in 2014 through its consolidation with Juridia Bützow resulted in a firm with a significant lawyer headcount in Finland. But, as is the case with other international brands in the country, such as Bird & Bird and White & Case, it remains to be seen if it will develop into a full-service firm or retain a presence in certain niche sectors. Pauliina Tenhunen, managing partner, Castrén & Snellman: Some medium-sized law firms might consider consolidation to compete with the bigger firms, but we see no other significant changes In brief On the panel Our experts discuss the continuing economic challenges in Finland and their effect on activity levels in the region. Despite these challenges law firms see new opportunities for work in the energy and healthcare sectors. Borenius Juha Koponen, Helsinki partner, and Jari Vikiö, managing partner Castrén & Snellman managing partner, Pauliina Tenhunen Hannes Snellman Helsinki managing partner, Mikko Heinonen Krogerus managing partner, Juha Pekka Katainen Roschier managing partner, Rainer Hilli “Not only are companies using IPOs for funding, private equity players are using them as an exit strategy” Juha Pekka Katainen in the market. Finland is quite a small marketplace with well-established players. Juha Koponen, Helsinki partner, and Jari Vikiö, managing partner, Borenius: In the Finnish market there are five larger full-service firms of 100-plus lawyers. We do not anticipate consolidation among the big firms. Some smaller firms may consolidate, but there is usually a niche market or service they would target. Mikko Heinonen, Helsinki managing partner, Hannes Snellman: There has only been limited consolidation in the Finnish legal market and we are not expecting any major changes in this area in the coming year. The Finnish legal market is fairly well-developed, stable and of limited size. In the past few years we have seen more boutiques appearing than consolidation. Q The general election saw prime minister Alexander Stubb lose to Centre Party candidate Juha Sipila. What could be the long-term effects of TL_191015 20 this and how might it affect your business? Koponen and Vikiö: It could have an effect on taxation. Our corporate tax rate is low, even by international standards, at 20 per cent. We have a new government but we believe the corporate tax will remain low. We have seen some inversion-type deals, such as the latest Konecranes-Terex one, which has been classified in the press as partially driven by tax reasons from the US to Finland. If the tax rate were to increase we could see fewer of these cross-border deals. Tenhunen: The change is not so significant for companies operating in Finland. Stubb’s Coalition Party is still in the government and new prime minister Sipilä has a strong background as an entrepreneur. Based on this we believe the government is willing to develop our country by supporting companies. If they succeed it will naturally be good for our business. Rainer Hilli, managing partner, Roschier: The change of government is not radical and the present government is in front of difficult reforms to boost the competitiveness of Finnish industry. I do not think the government’s actions will affect our firm’s business significantly. It will be growth in our export countries that improves the Finnish economy. Heinonen: The fact that the Coalition lost its position as the largest party will not make a great difference because tough decisions will have to be taken no matter which party is at the helm. We will see the public sector undergo some reorganisation, which will lead to new opportunities for the private sector and more work for law firms. 16/10/2015 11:19 The Lawyer | 19 October 2015 21 CAPITAL MARKETS BRIEFING FINLAND There has been an upswing in IPOs recently, after many years of virtually no activity By Juha Koponen, partner and head of capital markets, Borenius Why IPOs are growing The IPO market has opened up and Finland has seen a surge of equity capital markets activity recently. In 2014 there were a total of nine IPOs, three on the Nasdaq OMX Helsinki main list and six on the market regulated exchange Nasdaq First North Finland list. To date this year there have been nine IPOs in Finland, three on the NASDAQ OMX Helsinki main list and six on the NASDAQ First North Finland. This rise may be explained by the lack of adequate returns in other markets as investments and available funds were directed to the equity capital markets. Stricter banking regulation around the globe after the financial crisis can also be seen as a cause, as this affected the availability of financing on good terms – or at all – for many companies, leading to them seeking other financing options, such as looking at the capital markets. Dual-track processes Alongside pure IPOs, dual-track processes have been on the rise in recent years due to demand from institutional investors in European equity and successful IPO exits in the Nordics. Also, given the volatility of the M&A market and the subsequent uncertainty over timings, focusing solely on an M&A exit can be risky. There have been a few dual-track processes that, in the end, have led to trade sales, but more recently the IPO track has been dominant due to higher pricing in the public market. Lately, there has been an increased amount of volatility on the Finnish equity markets, partially caused by recent developments in China. Some of the dual-track processes that, in the financial press, have been strongly tipped to end up as IPOs, may turn out to be trade sales. One example of such a dual-track process turning into a trade sale was seen last week when UK-based private equity firm Vitruvian Partners acquired Helsinki-based Accountor, a leading provider of financial services. An IPO will typically require the owner to maintain a stake in the company for a period of time following the IPO. In Finnish IPOs in 2015 the lock-up period has varied between six and12 months, so the lock-up period for selling shareholders has varied between six and 12 months while the lock-up period for the issuer itself has usually been six months. The market standard has been developing towards a management lock-up period of 12 months. In terms of 2015 Finnish IPO structures there have been pure primary offerings by the issuer and pure share sales by the shareholders (a secondary offering), but probably most common has been a combination of primary and secondary offering. Cornerstone investors and dual listings One recent trend in European and Finnish IPOs has been the use of cornerstone investors. These are typically large investors whose name carries weight across the market. In practice this means that these investors agree to subscribe for a certain number of shares in the IPO throughout the range. These commitments are then disclosed in the prospectus to generate interest in the IPO. This practice has been very successful and used in deals recently, as it creates credibility and interest in the IPO. It has also been used in one Finnish IPO so far in 2015. Another interesting development in the IPO market is the growing interest in dual listings. Dual listing means listing of the company’s shares on two or more exchanges – for example, in Finland and the US. Once more, the US securities exchanges are becoming popular places to list among non-US companies, as such an IPO gives access to a large pool of investor capital in the US and offers the potential for higher valuations for companies in certain industry sectors than might be available on other exchanges. Companies in the pharmaceutical, gaming and high-tech sectors are especially keen on exploring a US listing option, and we have seen one Finnish pharmaceutical company list on Nasdaq this year. In addition, the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act effected in the US in recent years has introduced a new type of “Emerging Growth Company” definition that would qualify most growth companies considering an IPO for exemptions from certain governance and reporting requirements. These changes have made the option of listing in the US more attractive again for non-US growth companies. A positive outlook The Finnish IPO market outlook for the rest of the 2015 is positive. There are some interesting IPOs expected for Q4 launch. And the outlook for 2016 seems similarly promising. The IPO market is not slowing down in Finland. Specific needs The reasons for doing an IPO and the use of the proceeds vary depending on need and the specific field the issuer operates in. Borenius Attorneys Ltd Eteläesplanadi 2 00130 Helsinki, Finland Tel: +358 20 713 33 Email: [email protected] Web: www.borenius.com TL_191015 21 16/10/2015 11:03 22 The Lawyer | 19 October 2015 Special report Finland Key figures: Finland GDP $271bn Inflation -0.2% Population 5.5m Unemployment 8.3% Life expectancy at birth 81 Source: World Bank, Statistics Finland Q With Finland’s economy still not quite recovered from the downturn, what are your predictions for activity levels in the coming year? Katainen: Our fiscal year ends in March 2016 so we make predictions far ahead with caution. Based on our current estimates we anticipate moderate growth. On the transactional side we are seeing steady deal flow as Nordic private equity firms remain active and Finnish banks continue to provide financing for good borrowers. However, terms and conditions are more stringent than before the global recession. Coincidentally, this has helped spur growth for our capital markets practice. Not only are industrial companies using IPOs for funding, but private equity players are using them as an exit strategy for their portfolio holdings. Reasons for the revival of the equity capital markets include the increasing valuations in equities generally and the ability of companies to get more lucrative funding in the equity markets than from banks – a result of the tightened lending environment. In 2014/15 some 16 Finnish companies have been listed through an IPO including Ferratum Oyj which was, by market capitalisation, the largest IPO in Finland last year, and the first listing of a Finnish company on a German exchange. Tenhunen: At the moment activity is quite low but the good news is that we see no increase in insolvency assignments. That means companies are doing okay and, once they have the confidence and courage to take action, the situation might change. There may be a pent-up need for transactions that will activate later. Koponen and Vikiö: M&A volumes will probably be at a lower level than last year. As the economy is still in recession there is no natural need for growth for many Finnish companies. Next year, with the economy hopefully rebounding, there should be a healthier environment. Q Deals involving Finnish multinational Nokia continue to make the headlines. How has its merger with Alcatel-Lucent affected the overall M&A market? Koponen and Vikiö: It was a big one-off deal. It is hard to say whether it will have any effect on general M&A activity. At least it sends out a positive signal that Finnish companies should invest in times like these. Heinonen: In the short term the effect is limited, but in the long term a leading company like Nokia will energise and develop an “There may be a pent-up need for transactions that will activate later” Pauliina Tenhunen infrastructure and network of suppliers, co-operation partners, service providers and activities, including transactions. Katainen: While headline-making, this is one deal and not indicative of the Finnish M&A market as a whole. We are only able to peek some months into the future but based on our best estimates, our M&A deal flow for the second half of 2015 looks robust. “The Nokia deal sends out a positive signal” Jari Vikiö “There will be opportunities for the private sector and more work for law firms” Mikko Heinonen Q Outside technology, which sectors will provide most work for lawyers in the next few years and why? Koponen and Vikiö: Healthcare is a growing area as we have an ageing population. Private healthcare will become a major player in the macroeconomic market. We also believe the retail sector will see some new players coming in from abroad. Hilli: The energy sector is changing. As we have huge projects in that sector, ranging from biofuels and nuclear power plants to windmills, there will be a lot of work for lawyers in the next few years. Katainen: Commercial real estate deal volume is on an upswing. According to Finnish market research group KTI, the size of the Finnish commercial property investment market at the end of 2014 amounted to some €50bn (£37bn) – an increase of €2bn on the previous year. Domestic pension funds remain the most significant participants in the market but their share has decreased recently due to the entry of new players and the increasing allocation of property to foreign and indirect investments. On the energy front we see opportunities in projects related to Finland’s increased use of renewable energy, including wind power and biofuels, for which subsidy systems are in development. We are also seeing more consolidation in the traditional electricity market, where specialisation is needed to understand the connections between transactional and regulatory issues. Finland is converting part of its public healthcare delivery system to the private sector, providing opportunities for private equity investors. This structural change means significant deal potential for law firms too. Read more online at: TheLawyer.com/Europe TL_191015 22 16/10/2015 11:19