BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION
Transcription
BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION
BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION EXECUTIVE SUMMARY PROPERTY: Valley Ridge Industrial PT NW ¼ Section 27, Township 39, Range 27, West of the 4th Blackfalds, Alberta PRICE: $300,000 - $325,000 per acre USE: Designated for I-1 Industrial Light District Use Total Acres Available: 47.02 acres Lot Sizes Available: 3.00 acres to 3.72 acres; maximum size of 13.18 acres DETAILS: Fully serviced light industrial lots located north of an existing industrial neighborhood located on the extreme west side of the Town of Blackfalds. These 13 sites are well-suited for light industrial use as permitted under the existing area structure plan. QEII highway exposure on 8 of the 13 lots. UTILITIES: Sewer: Town of Blackfalds Water: Town of Blackfalds Electricity: FortisAlberta Inc. Gas: Atco Gas and Pipelines Ltd. SPHERE OF INFLUENCE: County of Lacombe BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 1 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION PROJECT DESCRIPTION Valley Ridge Industrial is located in Blackfalds, Alberta, along the Queen Elizabeth II Highway (“QEII”) Edmonton-Calgary corridor. The Industrial Park consists of thirteen (13) fully-serviced lots ranging in size from 3.00 acres to 3.72 acres. In total there are 47.02 acres available. The subject property is located in an established/developing industrial district in the southwest quadrant of the Town of Blackfalds, located along the QEII. The district is enclosed by the QEII Highway to the west, by a residential subdivision to the east, a newly developing residential subdivision to the north and Highway 597 to the south. The traffic count of the QEII provides that 36,000 cars per day traverse in front of the subject area. Access to the general neighborhood is currently provided via South Street and Vista Trail. As a major thoroughfare through the subdivision, Vista Trail extends south and joins with South Street, Highway 597 and through to the QWII Highway. The subject neighborhood is fully serviced with all of the site services requisite an industrial subdivision. These include hydro, water, telephone service and natural gas, which is provided to the property line of each site. These services are available to the subject property via the established industrial park to the south. This area represents one of Blackfalds’ original industrial areas. Development dates back to the town’s conception and was desirable due to the relative proximity to the Canadian Pacific Railway, the Central Business District, and Highway 2A, which was at one point known as Highway 2, connecting the cities of Edmonton and Calgary. Development within the area is sporadic with a scattering of industrial uses in the north and west quadrants and residential developments to the north and east. A wide range of development types are found in this neighborhood; the majority are single tenanted, owner/user facilities. An intensified poultry operation used to be located in this area, which was removed in the past five years. The area, located in the extreme southwest quadrant of Blackfalds is in close proximity to an active rail line operated by the Canadian Pacific Railway. Ingress and egress is considered very good via the QEII and Highway 597, as well as an assortment of local connector routes. The neighborhood represents a typical light industrial neighborhood for a community the size of Blackfalds. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 2 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION MARKET ANALYSIS Canadian Economy Canadian economic growth remained on the softer side during the second quarter of 2012, with real GDP expanding at a modest annualized rate of 1.8 percent, matching the prior quarter’s downgraded and slightly below potential pace. The modest level of output, observed for the third consecutive quarter, is largely attributable to adverse external conditions in addition to some domestic setbacks (weak global environment, debt-laden governments, elevated exchange rate, growing household debt). However, so far third quarterly monthly real GDP numbers have surprised on the positive side with the posting of a 0.2 percent expansion in July. This rate outperformed market expectations and implied the possibility of a gain in traction. Considering the existing international setbacks to growth, TD Economics expects the Canadian economy to advance at a modest pace of 1.8 percent in 2012. Alternatively, CIBC economists present a more optimistic scenario of a 2.1 percent annualized increase in 2012. Despite the differences in projections, forecasters uniformly agree that economic activity will rebound to slightly above the 2.0 percent mark next year, provided that global economic uncertainty subsides. Consumer spending in the second quarter of 2012 was weaker than expected and increased at a modest annualized rate of 1.1 percent as Canadian households reduced their spending on debt-financed big ticket purchases. This slowdown suggests that households may no longer be the primary engine of growth in the Canadian economy due to a slowing pace of borrowing, a trend observed over the past year. The global economic slowdown has taken its toll on Canadian exporters. Exports registered an anemic growth rate of just 0.8 percent in the second quarter of the year, attributable to a weak global market and a strong Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar remained strong in the third quarter of 2012, securing an above parity position relative to the U.S. dollar. The CAD/US exchange averaged approximately $1.01 in the third quarter of 2012, representing a significant appreciation relative to the below-parity second quarter 2012 average of $0.99. On a year-over-year basis, quarterly inflation in Canada is expected to remain at or below 2.0 percent for the remainder of 2012 and into 2013. For the third quarter, forecasters predict a very low range of 1.2 to 1.4 percent quarterly inflation. Higher levels of inflation are anticipated, but forecasters generally agree that levels beyond 2.0 percent will not be observed until the third quarter of 2013. Most forecasters are in agreement that the overnight rate should increase at some point in 2013, but the timing remains highly uncertain. The Bank of Canada’s decision to keep the overnight rate unchanged despite months of repeated warnings has led most forecasters to push back their estimate for the timing of a rate hike by one or two quarters – in some cases into 2014. Over the second quarter of 2012, the population of Canada increased by 126,600 (+0.4 percent) relative to their first quarter, and stood at 34,880,500 as of July 2012. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 3 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Canadian Labor Market Trends Overall, employment in Canada rose by 17,200 in the third quarter o f2012, compared to the previous quarter. Yearover-year, employment in Canada increased by 163,400 or 0.9 percent. TD Economics expects modest employment growth for Canada in the range of 15,000 – 20,000 jobs per month on average for the remainder of 2012 and into 2013. Canada’s unemployment rate edged up on the third quarter of 2012 on average of 7.3 percent, from 7.2 percent from the previous quarter and from 7.2 percent year-over-year. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting Canada’s unemployment rate will slowly decline from an average of 7.3 percent this year (2012) to 6.5 percent in 2014. In June 2012, businesses in Canada had 263,100 job vacancies. With an estimated 1.38 million unemployed in the country in June 2012, Canada had 5.3 unemployed persons for every job vacancy. Alberta had the lowest unemployment to job vacancies ratio in Canada in June 2012. With an estimated 64,300 job vacancies and 104,000 unemployed, Alberta’s ratio was 1.6 percent. Alberta Economy Alberta is expected to lead the nation in economic growth this year as a result of continued growth in the energy sector and solid growth in consumer spending, employment and income. With real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the province projected to advance 3.8 percent in 2012, Alberta’s economy is forecasted to significantly outperform the national average of 2.1 percent. Economic growth in Alberta is expected to moderate somewhat in 2013, though growth is forecast to rise by a solid 3.0 percent. Output in the services—producing industries is forecast to ease to 2.6 percent in 2013, from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2012. Growth in the goods-producing industries is also forecast to ease, from an estimated 4.0 percent in 2012 to 3.4 percent in 2013. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil averaged $92.24 U.S. per barrel in the third quarter of 2012, down 1.3 percent from the previous quarter but up to 2.8 percent year-over-year. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is forecasting WTI crude oil will average $93 U.S. per barrel in the second half of 2012 and largely remain at this level throughout 2013. Natural gas prices averaged $1.65 CAD per gigajoule (GJ) in the second quarter of 2012, down 24 percent from the previous quarter and down over 51 percent year-over-year. Prices remained depressed as a result of growing natural gas production and a surplus of supply in storage. Unless North American experiences an unusually cold winter, prices are expected to remain contained. Consumer prices in Alberta rose 1.0 percent year-over-year in August 2012, up slightly from the previous quarter and down over 51 percent year-over-year. Alberta’s inflation rate has been below 2.0 percent since February 2012 and has also trended below the national average over this time period. The majority of forecasters are expecting Alberta will continue to record a modest rate of inflation through the remainder of 2012 in the range of 1.1 to 1.3 percent. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 4 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Housing starts in Alberta are forecast to total 31,800 units in 2012, a 24 percent increase from 2011. Starts in 2013 are projected to be very similar to those of 2012, increasing at an annual rate of 1.3 percent to 32,200 units. Alberta contractors took out $3.85 billion in building permits during the second quarter of 2012, a 17 percent increase from the previous quarter. Residential permits, amounting to $2.03 billion, accounted for 53 percent of the total value of permits issued during the second quarter, while non-residential permits, totaling $1.82 billion, accounted for the remainder. The Conference Board of Canada is projecting retail sales in Alberta will increase 9.4 percent in 2012 to $70 billion, from $64 billion in 2011. Retails sales are then forecast to rise an additional 6.4 percent to $74.5 billion in 2013. The average weekly earnings of Alberta payroll employees rose by $64 (+6.1 percent) year-over-year in July 2012 to $1,095. On average, Albertans earned $188 more per week in July 2012 than the national average of $907. The average number of Albertans receiving regular Employment Insurance (EI) benefits fell 13 percent in the second quarter of 2012, compared to the previous quarter, continuing the downward trend started in the first quarter of 2010. Year-over-year, regular EI beneficiaries were down 31 percent in Alberta in the second quarter of 2012. In an extensive report recently completed by Toronto Dominion Bank, the Calgary-Edmonton corridor is described as an economic powerhouse in Canada and the only region in the country to match U.S. cities in productivity and standard of living. The 260 kilometer stretch of QE II highway between the province’s two largest cities is not only blessed with massive resource wealth, but is also rich with a young skilled work force and one of the lowest costs of business on the continent. The report also stated that if the Province of Alberta was a country, it would outrank Canada, the United States and virtually all industrialized nations in gross domestic product per capita, second only to Luxembourg. Alberta Labor Market Trends Overall, employment in Alberta increased by 6,600 or 0.3 percent in the third quarter of 2012, compared to the previous quarter. Year-over-year, employment was up by 42,100 or 2.0 percent, which was more than double the national growth rate of 0.9 percent. Looking ahead, steady employment growth is projected for the province over the next two years. Employment in Alberta is forecast to increase 2.9 percent in 2012, translating into approximately 61,190 new positions, and by a further 2.6 percent or 55,270 new jobs in 2013. Alberta’s unemployment rate averaged 4.5 percent in the third quarter of 2012, down from 4.7 percent the previous quarter and down a full percentage point from 5.5 percent year-over-year. The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting Alberta’s unemployment rate will average 4.7 percent in 2012 and 4.5 percent in 2013. An increase of 51,400 full-time jobs in Alberta was offset by a decline in 9,300 pert-time positions in the third quarter of 2012. On an annual basis, full-time employment increased by 2.9 percent in the third quarter of 2012, while parttime employment was down by 2.6 percent. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 5 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION On a year-over-year basis, there was strong employment growth in a number of Alberta industries in the third quarter of 2012, including utilities (+55 percent), mining and oil and gas (+20 percent), agriculture (+15 percent) and construction (+11 percent). Albertans are among the best educated people in North America. Alberta has a total of 26 publicly-funded post secondary institutions, including 4 universities, 2 technical institutes, 14 public colleges and 6 private university colleges that receive public funding. The Banff Centre is a globally respected arts, cultural and educational institution and conference facility located in Banff. In 2008, 61.6% of the labor force, 25 years and older, reported holding a post secondary education certificate, diploma or university degree. This is slightly below the Canadian average of 63.9%. Community Overview – The Town of Blackfalds Overview Blackfalds, a growing community with a population of 6,789, is nestled halfway between Red Deer and Lacombe. It is situated in Lacombe County in Central Alberta. The ten minute commute in either direction provides the residents of Blackfalds not only a short drive to a wide range of employment opportunities and post secondary educational institutions, but to regional scale shopping outlets and entertainment. Blackfalds is located within 150 kilometers of both Calgary and Edmonton. Blackfalds is situated along Highway 2A, with connector access west to the Queen Elizabeth II (“QEII”) highway, a four lane divided highway that is the primary north/south transportation corridor in Alberta (from north of Edmonton through Calgary to the United States border). Highway 597, running east and west, intersects these two highways. The Canadian Pacific Railway and Greyhound passenger buses serve the town. Air service is available from the Red Deer Regional Airport. The nearest commercial and airfreight services are available at the Edmonton International Airport. Union Carbide’s ethylene glycol plant, built some 10 kilometers due east of Blackfalds, is one of the area’s largest employers. They have a loading facility on the north side of Blackfalds that stores ethylene glycol piped from Prentiss. The facility loads it into custom-designed rail cars for shipment to various Pacific Rim countries and the United States.” Through the Municipal Development Plan, the Town of Blackfalds is fulfilling its commitment to maintaining a smalltown atmosphere while expanding the industrial and residential base and improving the quality of life for their citizens. Affordable housing, a quiet place to live, new recreational facilities, plus ample business opportunities and close proximity to major transportation routes will continue to increase the population and economy, making it easy to say that, indeed, Blackfalds is “A Nice Place to Grow!” People Blackfalds is a friendly community of young families. Currently, eighty-five percent of the population consists of people under the age of 40 years. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 6 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION In 1995, Blackfalds was known as the “birth capital of Canada”. Thirty-five percent of the population is children. Blackfalds residents choose their community over others because of its quality of life. Results of a recent survey show sixty-five percent of the population indicated they live in the community because of its rural lifestyle, recreational amenities and low crime rate. The remaining thirty-five percent prefer the town for its affordable cost of housing and living. “Community pride” is not just talked about in Blackfalds. It’s evident in the participation in community events such as Blackfalds Days, which are held each spring, as well as other similar events throughout the year. It shows up in the welltended yards and flower gardens seen throughout the town and it is evident in the response to volunteer needs. Some projects have seen men, women and children working together for the betterment of the community. In Blackfalds, the residents know their neighbors. They watch out for each other’s children and property. They’re like family. If you like to live in that kind of community, you would be welcome in Blackfalds! Blackfalds is a “community of commuters”. At present, over sixty-five percent of the working population travel to Red Deer for employment. The remainder works in Blackfalds, the nearby petrochemical plants or the Blindman Industrial Park. Blackfalds is their home-base, partly due to its central location and convenient highway access. Education Blackfalds School has an excellent reputation for academic achievement. Under the Wolf Creek School Division #32, education is a high priority in the community. With a teaching staff of 26 and support staff of 10, the school offers its students a full range of programs, including computers at the elementary level, a band program and many other optional subjects. With considerable population growth anticipated, land on the west side of town has been set aside for additional school development. At present, education facilities are available for children attending kindergarten through grade nine. High school students are bused to Lacombe Composite High School in Lacombe, approximately 10 minutes north of Blackfalds. Lacombe Composite High School is one of the top secondary schools in all of Alberta. History The community was first called Eleventh Signing by the Railway Company. The name was later changed to Waghorn, North-West Territories after the area’s first postmaster, Walter Waghorn. A young CPR engineer gave the town of Blackfalds its name. The engineer thought the terrain was much like his home in Blackfalds, Scotland. Blackfalds was chosen, due to its central location between Edmonton and Calgary, as Alberta’s capital city when Alberta first became a province. This lasted a short time, as the legislature was finally located and constructed in Edmonton. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 7 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Many settlers from the United States and England came to the area around the 1900’s and, in 1904, the Village of Blackfalds was incorporated. In 1980, it was incorporated as a town. Government The Town of Blackfalds is governed by a Chief Elected Officer and six councilors. Policing is handled by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police rural detachment located in Red Deer. There is also a Citizens on Patrol group of volunteers to assist with the safety and well-being of the town. The fire department is serviced by volunteers. Recreation Blackfalds has a lot to offer its residents in the way of community development. It offers a community hall concession building, library and over 20 service clubs and organizations working within the community. A number of recreation facilities are available in the town and within close distance in both Red Deer and Lacombe. The residents also have a number of additional recreation facilities available. Population The Town of Blackfalds has shown steady growth over the years with a growth rate of 77.73% from 1991 to 2001 and a growth rate from 2001 to 2012 of 115.94%. The population of Blackfalds is distributed fairly evenly by sex, while the largest age sector is between the ages of 24 and 38. Blackfalds continues to attract young families to the area. Originally, Blackfalds was primarily a bedroom community to the City of Red Deer, with most residents of Blackfalds working and using the Red Deer services. However, with the construction of the large petrochemical plants located at Joffre and Prentiss, Blackfalds has become home to many of the employees at the plants as well as those who choose the smaller centre to live and commute to Red Deer for work. Blackfalds is a community of commuters. Approximately 65% of the working population travels to the City of Red Deer to work. In addition, a substantial portion of the working population travels to the nearby petrochemical plants near Joffre and to the Blindman Industrial Park, between Blackfalds and the City of Red Deer, for employment. Following is a summary of population growth statistics. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 8 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Table 1 – Blackfalds Population Growth Statistics Year Population Growth Growth Percentage 1991 1,769 - - 1996 2,001 232 11.6% 2001 3,144 1,143 36.4% 2002 3,540 396 11.2% 2003 3,812 272 7.1% 2004 3,955 143 3.6% 2005 4,373 418 9.6% 2006 4,741 368 7.8% 2007 4,843 102 2.1% 2008 4,843 0 0.0% 2009 5,610 767 13.7% 2011 6,399 789 12.3% 2012 6,789 390 5.8% BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 9 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Building Permits The level of permit activity is often a good indication of local economic activity. Following is a summary of the level of building permit values for residential, commercial, industrial and institutional properties in the Town of Blackfalds from 2001 to 2011. Table 2 – Blackfalds Building Permit Values ($) Year Residential Commercial Industrial Institutional Total 2001 14,160,000 185,000 20,000 153,000 14,518,000 2002 8,536,000 1,259,000 0 3,635,000 13,430,000 2003 7,791,000 1,770,000 649,000 66,000 10,276,000 2004 11,902,000 1,131,000 90,000 2,222,000 15,345,000 2005 17,279,000 240,000 2,092,000 0 19,611,000 2006 39,300,000 50,000 1,650,000 7,900,000 48,900,000 2007 39,335,100 949,000 740,000 7,892,500 48,916,600 2008 25,203,779 5,271,000 3,435,000 100,000 37,227,779 2009 28,274,464 610,400 10,000 539,000 29,433,864 2010 22,796,991 202,000 211,597 5,312,000 28,522,588 2011 25,632,402 3,828,000 3,444,000 150,000 33,054,402 Observations Building permits in 2006 and 2008 reached record numbers due to the high demand for residential properties in Central Alberta. As the economy slowed in 2008, residential building permits also subsided and have remained fairly stable over the past 4 years. The Subject Neighborhood The subject property is located approximately 2.25 kilometres north of the downtown core. It is situated on the west side of Duncan Avenue as shown on the area map below. It is accessible via the Town of Blackfalds paved roadways and is considered to be easily accessible. BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 10 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION To the north and east of the subject is vacant land, to the south is Step Energy Services and to the west is the Queen Elizabeth II Highway. Additional properties in the area include Castle Guard Storage, Nugget Oilfield Hauling and Andy’s Oilfield Hauling. Please refer to the area map below. Figure 1 – Area Map Subject BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 11 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Figure 2 – Aerial Map Subject BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 12 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Figure 3 – Land Use Map Subject BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 13 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION AVAILABLE VACANT LOTS AVAILABLE VACANT LOTS Lot Number Area (Acres) Location Price per Acre 7 3.56 Interior Lot PENDING 8 3.61 Highway Exposure $325,000 $1,173,250 9 3.24 Highway Exposure $325,000 $1,053,000 10 3.00 Highway Exposure $325,000 $975,000 11 3.00 Highway Exposure $325,000 $975,000 12 3.00 Interior Lot SOLD 13 3.00 Highway Exposure $325,000 14 3.00 Interior Lot PENDING 15 3.00 Interior Lot $300,000 $900,000 16 3.19 Highway Exposure $325,000 $1,036,750 17 3.72 Interior Lot $300,000 $1,116,000 18 3.27 Highway Exposure $325,000 $1,062,750 19 3.51 Highway Exposure $325,000 $1,140,750 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION List Price $975,000 REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 14 BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION Figure 4 – Site Map BLACKFALDS LAND INFORMATION REV #: 0 03.DEC.2013 15