the presentation
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the presentation
TSX:CFW CALFRAC WELL SERVICES LTD. CAPP Scotiabank Investment Symposium 2016 Forward Looking Statement Certain information contained within this presentation and statements made in conjunction with this presentation constitute forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events or the future performance of the Company. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by the use of words such as “seek”, “anticipate,” “plan”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “predict”, “potential”, “targeting”, “intend”, “could”, “might”, “should”, “believe”, “forecast”, “can” and similar expressions. In particular, forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future capital expenditures, future financial resources, anticipated equipment utilization levels, future oil and gas well activity, projections of market prices and costs, outcomes of specific events and trends in the oil and gas industry. The forward-looking statements within this presentation and made in conjunction with this presentation are derived from certain assumptions and analyses made by the Company based on its experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors that it believes are appropriate in the circumstances, including assumptions and analyses relating to: the economic and political environment in which the Company operates; the Company’s expectations for its customers’ capital budgets and geographical areas of focus; the effect unconventional oil and gas projects have had on supply and demand fundamentals for oil and natural gas; the Company’s existing contracts and the status of current negotiations with key customers and suppliers; the effectiveness of cost reduction measures instituted by the Company; and the likelihood that the current tax and regulatory regime will remain substantially unchanged. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s expectations. Such risks and uncertainties include the items discussed under the heading “Business Risks” in the Company’s 2015 Annual Report and under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s most recently filed Annual Information Form. Consequently, all of the forward-looking statements contained within this presentation and made in conjunction with this presentation are qualified by these cautionary statements and there can be no assurance that actual results or events anticipated by the Company will be realized or that they will have the expected consequences or effects on the Company or its business or operations. Other than as required by applicable securities laws, the Company assumes no obligation to update publicly any such forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 2 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1/4/2013 Number of Active WCSB Land Rigs Number of Rigs Active Rig Counts: North America & International 1/4/2014 1/4/2015 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jan 1/4/2016 2012 1,100 360 1,050 340 1,000 320 950 300 900 280 850 260 800 240 750 220 700 200 © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. International Offshore Rig Count Number of Rigs Number of Rigs Lower 48 Active Land Rig Count International Land Rig Count Feb Mar Apr May 2013 Jul Aug 2014 Sep Oct Nov 2015 Dec 2016 - U.S. land rig count down ~27% sequentially in Q1/16, off ~80% from peak - WCSB active rig count down ~50% from Q1/15 - International rig count down ~30% from peak Source: Baker Hughes 3 Company Snapshot TSX Stock Symbol: CFW Share Price* $1.19 30-Day Average Volume* 1,222,800 Market Capitalization* $137.5 million Enterprise Value* $954.0 million Shares Outstanding* 115.6 million Insider Ownership ~25% * As at 16:00:00 ET on 4/7/2016 - On February 24, 2016 Calfrac’s Board of Directors suspended the dividend until further notice Canada Frac Crew Operator (2012). Calfrac Well Services Photo © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 4 Full Service Pressure Pumping As at December 31, 2015 Canada Fleet: 425,000 Horsepower 18 Coiled Tubing Crews U.S. Fleet: 674,000 Horsepower 18 Cementing Crews 5 Coiled Tubing Crews Russia Fleet: 70,000 Horsepower 7 Coiled Tubing Crews Latin America Fleet: 131,000 Horsepower 13 Cementing Crews 7 Coiled Tubing Crews © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 5 Committed To Safety, Quality And Flawless Execution GLOBALLY DIVERSE OPERATIONS © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 6 Canadian Operations Canada Fleet: 425,000 Horsepower 18 Coiled Tubing Crews © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 7 Canada – Market Update Calfrac Market Positioning Positioned in key areas of frac demand: – Montney, Duvernay, Deep Basin, Cardium and Viking Diversified customer base gives us exposure to all key areas of the world-class Montney resource play Greater proportion of 24-hour operations Pricing & Utilization Continued pricing headwinds (pricing off ~15% from Q4/15) ~50% of horsepower parked 14 of 18 coil units idled © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. Market Trends Stages per well increasing Frac spacing tightening Operators refocusing on highest quality plays and assets Market Outlook Weak activity levels in the first few weeks of Q1/16 and early spring break-up in midMarch Visibility for 2016 is limited Customer capex is expected to be meaningfully lower than 2015 8 United States Operations U.S. Fleet: 674,000 Horsepower 18 Cementing Crews 5 Coiled Tubing Crews © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 9 United States – Market Update Calfrac Market Positioning Focus on customers that are financially strong and intend to remain active in key plays across the U.S. Target an equal mix of oil/gas exposure Positioned in key areas of frac demand: – Bakken, Marcellus, Rockies, Utica, Eagle Ford (temporarily suspended) ~90% of work is 24-hour operations Pricing & Utilization Pricing largely stabilized but remains down ~40% from peak ~60% of horsepower parked Temporarily suspended coiled tubing and cementing operations © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. Market Trends Stages per well increasing Frac spacing tightening Market Outlook Average U.S. land rig count decreased ~27% from Q4/15 Visibility in 2016 is limited Customer capex is expected to be meaningfully lower than 2015 10 Managing The Downturn Service Line Strategy – Equipment will be idled if operating margins do not meet the company’s return requirements – Optimize completion methods Utilization and Maintenance Planning – More efficient equipment utilization and maintenance schedules – Elimination of unnecessary discretionary spending Logistics and Supplier Initiatives – Transload facilities in key locations and increase in rail car fleet – Reduce supplier costs – proppant costs down ~30%-40%, chemical costs down ~10%-25% and third-party subcontractor rates down ~20% Working Capital – Focus on improving working capital management – Appropriately manage and maintain lower levels of inventory (sand, chemicals and spare parts) © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 11 Workforce & Fixed Cost Optimization Canada – – – – Reduced field workforce by ~60% from January 1, 2015 Fixed costs down ~50% from the end of 2014 (as at 12/31/2015) Further compensation reductions as of January 1, 2016 Transportation group and the majority of frac and coiled tubing groups transitioned to variable pay structure – Closed Medicine Hat District U.S. – – – – – Reduced field workforce by ~70% from January 1, 2015 Fixed costs down ~60% from the end of 2014 (as at 12/31/2015) Closed district in Arkansas Temporarily suspended fracturing operations in San Antonio Suspended all coiled tubing and cementing operations © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 12 Latin America Operations Neuquén, Argentina Frac Operation (2014). Calfrac Well Services Photo © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 13 Argentina – Market Update Calfrac Market Positioning One of the largest pressure pumping companies in Argentina Customer expansion to IOCs and domestic players First company to complete 12 fractures in under 8 hours on a horizontal well Contracts based in USD Argentina Fleet: 108,250 Horsepower 13 Cementing Crews 6 Coiled Tubing Crews Market Outlook Country focused on reducing reliance on imported energy Third fleet added in Q1/16 Shift towards gas-focused activity Medium-to-longer term upside potential following reforms by new President Macri © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 14 Mexico – Market Update Calfrac Market Positioning Long-term opportunity due to Mexican energy industry reforms – Low oil prices will limit immediate impact Round One tenders are ongoing Market Outlook Limited near-term activity Right-sized business to reflect current activity levels © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. Mexico Fleet: 22,500 Horsepower 1 Coiled Tubing Crew 15 Russia Operations Siberia, Russia Frac Crew (2006). Calfrac Well Services Photo © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 16 Russian Operations Russia Fleet: 7 Fracturing Spreads 70,000 Horsepower 7 Coiled Tubing Crews © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 17 Russia – Market Update Calfrac Market Positioning Horizontal fracturing in conventional reservoirs is a significant amount of Calfrac’s activity Small rouble-based pricing increases achieved in 2015 Rouble devaluation has negatively impacted reported financial results Market Outlook 2016 activity expected to be down modestly from 2015 Change in customer mix Introduction of multi-stage annular fracture treatments is a market differentiator © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. Russia Fracturing Crew (2015). Calfrac Well Services Photo 18 Committed To Safety, Quality And Flawless Execution LICENSE TO OPERATE © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 19 Our License to Operate HSE QUALITY Plan ▪ Do ▪ Assess ▪ Adjust Monitor ▪ Refine ▪ Execute ▪ Improve TECHNOLOGY Research ▪ Develop ▪ Test ▪ Refine SUPPLY CHAIN Evaluate ▪ Negotiate ▪ Finalize ▪ Implement Calfrac employee on a Canadian hydraulic fracturing job. Calfrac Well Services Photo © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. Calfrac sand terminal in Whitecourt, Alberta. Calfrac Well Services Photo 20 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 21 The Balance Sheet Term Debt US$600 mm with an interest rate of 7.5% Matures in 2020 Credit Facilities Recently renegotiated facility structure and covenants Loan facility now $300 mm Facility matures in September 2018 Capital Program 2016 capital budget set at $50 million – Includes $35 mm of carryover Neuquén, Argentina Frac Operation (2014). Calfrac Well Services Photo © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 22 Relaxation Of Covenants Funded Debt/EBITDA covenant amendments including two periods of waivers Introduction of Equity Cure: – Applicable up to December 31, 2017 – Not to exceed the greater of 50% of total EBITDA over the prior twelve month period or $25 million per cure – Positively impacts both EBITDA and Funded Debt – Can be utilized twice during period of covenant relief – Not be utilized in consecutive quarters The Total Debt to Capitalization ratio removed Funded Debt to Capitalization ratio introduced - 30% (does not include Calfrac’s unsecured senior notes or any prospective second lien issuance) © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 23 Amendments To Credit Facility A voluntary reduction in the Credit Facilities commitment from $400 mm to $300 mm – Advances under the Credit Facilities will be limited by borrowing base based on North American accounts receivable, cash on hand and fixed asset values Distributions will be restricted and no increase in dividends will be permitted A conditional increase in the accordion feature of the syndicated credit facility (from $100 million to $200 million) Two pricing levels were added which will result in Calfrac paying higher fees for advances and for standby fees Second lien financing of up to $400 million will be permitted, subject to certain conditions, including the execution of a satisfactory intercreditor agreement © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 24 Senior Note Indenture Considerations Offside our Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio (FCCR) but not in breach of covenants or defaults Indenture restricts ability to incur additional debt or make certain restricted payments when offside FCCR unless baskets available – Number of baskets available to us – The most relevant for the incurrence of indebtedness is the greater of $175 million or 30% of consolidated tangible assets (which was over $500 million as at 12/31/2015) – US$20 million basket that allows for restricted payments (dividends, share buybacks, etc.) We do not foresee an issue with either of these restrictions and believe we have sufficient liquidity © Calfrac Well Services Ltd. 25 Ashley Connolly Manager, Capital Markets 587-955-1704 [email protected] www.calfrac.com