NEW ZEALAND`S FREIGHT TASK – Connecting road, rail, sea and
Transcription
NEW ZEALAND`S FREIGHT TASK – Connecting road, rail, sea and
Logistics & Transportnz $7.50 THE OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF CILT NEW ZEALAND Volume 11 Issue 4 JUNE 2013 NEW ZEALAND’S FREIGHT TASK – Connecting road, rail, sea and air for productivity Developing a shared blueprint for improving NZ freight supply chains Wellington – paving its way to capture transport-related growth South Pacific strategic architecture LOGISTICS & TRANSPORT NZ IS THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE CHARTERED INSTITUTE OF LOGISTICS & TRANSPORT NZ ON THE COVER KiwiRail Freight’s forestry business is experiencing strong growth in response to international demand for export logs, and the key to maintaining this growth is to continue to build capacity – see page 4. Photo by Michael Kilgour 13 8 Contents Guest editorial: Greg Steed 1 Small country, smart thinking 2 Growth through investment and improved performance 4 The CILT UK Knowledge Centre 5 Developing a shared blueprint for improving NZ freight supply chains 6 Looking at freight through a different lens 8 Trucks, certificates of fitness and public reassurance 9 FIGS now has data for all of 2012 10 Supply chain management as a team sport 12 Wellington – paving its way to capture transport-related growth 13 Value delivery to customers through network optimisation 14 Letter to the editor 15 South Pacific strategic architecture 16 In the next edition The editorial team welcomes expressions of interest for submitting an article for the September 2013 edition, which will focus on funding Auckland’s transport future. Contributors should in the first instance contact the editorial convenor, Murray King (email [email protected]) to discuss their article. 4 Deadline for the September 2013 edition: 23 August 2013 6 CILT NZ National Office: PO Box 1281, Shortland Street, Auckland Tel: 09 368 4970, Fax: 09 368 4971 Advertising Contact: CILT national office Tel: 09 368 4970, Email: [email protected] Editorial Contact: Lynne Richardson, Aston Publishing Ltd Tel: 09 481 3056, Email: [email protected] Published under contract by: Aston Publishing Ltd PO Box 340173, Birkenhead, Auckland 0746, New Zealand Fax: 09 480 4768 Email: [email protected] Disclaimer: This publication is the official magazine of the Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport New Zealand Inc (CILT NZ). It is published quarterly. All material appearing in this publication is copyright and may not be reproduced without the permission of CILT NZ. The views expressed in this publication are not those of the editorial committee, CILT NZ, its council, officers or Aston Publishing Ltd, unless expressly stated as such. June 2013 1 BIGGER SHIPS Guest editorial – Greg Steed WHAT’S HAPPENED to the bigger ships? In August 2010, the New Zealand Shippers’ Council released a report calling for bigger ships to call at New Zealand ports. It identified economic value, infrastructure investment requirements (mainly around ports), supply chain vulnerabilities and constraints faced by all those involved in the supply chain for the next 10 years. As a case study to answer questions about the feasibility and cost benefits of bigger ships, we focused on bigger ship services between New Zealand and South East Asia, being the biggest route by volume. The net benefit after all costs (including infrastructure investments and aggregation costs) was estimated at $144 million per year from having ships between 5000 and 7000 TEU operating on the South East Asian trade route calling at two ports in New Zealand by 2015/16. It was also recognised that if New Zealand ports are not capable of handling bigger ships, these benefits will not be realised and there is a risk that shipping services would hub through Australia – increasing net supply chain costs by $194 million per year. So the real value of bigger ships to New Zealand is $338 million per year. So how are we positioned now to cater for bigger ships? The answer is we are proceeding forward diligently. Are the ports making progress? The main requirement is for the four major ports – in Auckland, Tauranga, Lyttelton and Dunedin – to invest to become big ship capable. All four will be needed by 2020 even at modest cargo growth rates. Progress has been mixed on an individual basis: •Ports of Auckland – updated development plan released subject to consultation; funding to be confirmed •Port of Tauranga – capital plans and funding in place; berth extension complete and a new crane commissioned; resource consent for dredging finally achieved March 2013 •Lyttelton Port of Christchurch – earthquakes have required remedial work and altered development plans; funding to be confirmed; resource consent for dredging in process •Port Otago – development plan finalised; “While ports are readying themselves to become capable of handling bigger ships, surface transportation modes need to plan for the increase in cargo movements that will inevitably arise. Road, rail and coastal shipping will all have a role to play.” funding confirmed; resource consent appeal close to agreement. Can cargo volumes support bigger ships? The answer to this is yes. The Bigger Ships report analysed data from Statistics NZ for the 2008 calendar year, then used growth forecasts supplied by a number of sources. From there we chose mid-points of 4% for export growth and 5% for import growth to estimate future volumes. To update this, we obtained high-level volume figures for the 2009, 2010 and recently the 2011 years. Total container growth being exports is estimated to have increased 10% in the 2009 year, 11% in 2010, but decreased by 4% in 2011. Imports have decreased by 4% in the 2009 year, but increased by 11% in 2010 and 5% in 2011. Growth is therefore on track. Is non-port infrastructure investing for bigger ships? While ports are readying themselves to become capable of handling bigger ships, surface transportation modes need to plan for the increase in cargo movements that will inevitably arise. Road, rail and coastal shipping will all have a role to play. Roads have been allocated $10.7 billion over 10 years, with the Roads of National Significance grabbing the lion’s share. Specific improvements dedicated to freight have not been numerous, but freight has shared in upgrades or new corridors for all types of vehicles. The linkages required to meet container exchanges of over 4000 TEU need reviewing and planning to ensure gridlock is prevented, particularly at the four major ports. The use of inland ports and night running must be considered. In 2010, rail track capacity was sufficient to move significantly larger volumes of cargo on the existing network. Since then, KiwiRail has made significant investments both above and below tracks, particularly on the line between Auckland and Tauranga. New passing loops and coupling equipment upgrades have been steadily completed. At the same time, new rolling stock and locomotives have been purchased. Coastal shipping is likely to increase with big ships. The introduction of a new vessel by Pacifica is encouraging. Infrastructure investments are therefore heading in the right direction. Are there ships of the right size and configuration available to meet our needs? According to Alphaliner, 69% of the global container fleet vessels are larger than 4000 TEU, and if the ships in the order book are all delivered, the total rises to 78%. In the 4000 to 7500 TEU range, the figures are 38% currently in service, but only increasing to 40% as ships greater than 10,000 TEU dominate ordering. The economies of scale associated with larger fuel-efficient ships are too compelling to resist for ship owners, as well as expansion in the Panama Canal to allow 10,000 TEU ships to pass through. If we look individually, there are ships being delivered right now that would suit our trade. The 7450 TEU Maersk Laguna was delivered in December 2011, eighth of 16 ships. It has 1700 reefer plugs and is aimed at the East Coast South America trade lane. Hamburg Sud also has similar ships. Bigger ships are on their way – and New Zealand can look forward to benefiting from them. Greg Steed has been the chairman of the NZ Shippers’ Council since January 2008; he can be contacted at [email protected] 2 Logistics & Transport NZ CLOSING THE GAP Small country, smart thinking by Nigel Jones Although as an economy we are small and remote, we are relatively smart – and in recent years there has been an increasing level of smart thinking demonstrated across the logistics and supply chain sector NEW ZEALAND is the most remote country in the developed world. Compared with key competing nations, our supply chains lack scale, flexibility and responsiveness. Our export supply chains are disadvantaged by the balance of trade – in volume terms we export more than we import. In relative terms they have to carry high costs, and competing economies are becoming more competitive every day. This means New Zealand needs to pursue the most effective and efficient supply chains practicably possible, not to improve our competitive position, but to ensure it is not eroded any further. We must constantly work just to keep the international playing field level (or as near level as we can hope for). Although as an economy we are small and remote, we are relatively smart, which in theory should work in our favour when it comes to collectively innovating to close this gap. In recent years there has been an increasing level of smart thinking demonstrated across the logistics and supply chain sector. Future potential Leading the charge six years ago was the Ministry of Transport when they undertook the National Freight Demands Study (NFDS), for the first time developing a consolidated long-term view of the country’s potential future freight activity. It is good to see that the NFDS is to be refreshed over the coming months. Building upon and complementing the NFDS, the MoT has also established its Freight Information Gathering System (FIGS). This system was developed to provide an overview of containerised freight movements around New Zealand. Building upon information currently provided by Statistics New Zealand, the system makes valuable new information on freight movements available for the first time (more on FIGS on pages 10–11). The role good-quality, reliable information and data have to play in helping us work and think smarter should not be underestimated. I had the privilege of being part of the team that researched and then wrote the New Zealand Shippers’ Council’s report, The Question of Bigger Ships. Having the sort of data now being collated and published by the MoT to hand then could have dramatically reduced the time to produce such a piece of work. Enabling smarter planning and strategy through access to good data is a positive start, but action needs to follow. Rather than excuses and procrastination from its supply chain community, New Zealand and its economy need to see progress that will deliver the efficiencies that will keep the country competitive. Infrastructure investments It’s really encouraging therefore to witness how the port sector has responded to the discussion relating to bigger ships. It has to be appreciated when looking at large, step-change infrastructure initiatives that approvals can take a while. Undertaking dialogue and initiating the resource consent processes must start years before any particular asset may eventually be required. It has literally taken years, but finally the country now has two ports with the required consents to dredge, hopefully helping to future-proof New Zealand Inc’s links with the world. Action hasn’t only come from the ports. Reinforcing the value of quality information has been the New Zealand government’s preparedness to support the KiwiRail Turnaround Plan. Fronting up with large amounts of money isn’t easy, even at the best of times. I suspect therefore that having the necessary confidence to invest in New Zealand’s rail operation would not have been easy, especially given that the fallout from the global financial crisis was still at the forefront of everyone’s thinking when key decisions needed to be made. Had not visibility as to the magnitude of the pending freight task been available in the form of the NFDS, would we have received the commitment required to enable investment in key assets such as locomotives and wagon renewals? Regulations and systems Supply chains aren’t only about physical assets; industry also needs the right regulation and systems in place. The government has shown a lead on this front also, with the NZ Customs Service progressing their Trade Single Window (TSW) initiative. TSW is a major component of a system that ultimately will enable parties involved in international trade and transport to submit clearance data that is required by our border agencies electronically, just once, through one entry point. On the regulation front, progress is also being made. Maritime NZ (with support from the New Zealand Shippers’ Council) championed the cause of New Zealand exporters when it came to an IMO (International Maritime Organisation) proposal for the compulsory weighing of shipping containers. If not familiar with the issue, Denmark, The Netherlands and surprisingly Australia tabled a proposal with the IMO requiring the mandatory weighing of every shipping container prior to loading. There is ample justification for clamping down on erroneous declaration of con- June 2013 tainer weights. Safety through the entire supply chain has to be non-negotiable, and unfortunately around the world there are numerous occasions when safety has been jeopardised through blatant, at times intentional mis-declarations being made. The approach initially put forward, however, would have penalised all and added costs, even for those exporters who can and do already declare weights accurately. The final form is still pending, but at a meeting late last year, a provision was put forward for an alternative to include the use of “a certified method approved by the competent authority of the State in which packing of the freight container was completed”. Although perhaps resulting in a further audit process, this will enable the majority of New Zealand exporters who are reputable and able to measure weights to avoid the costs and inefficiencies that would have otherwise been associated with the weighing of every individual container. International freight It is not only transport-related departments who have been active. We’ve also had the Productivity Commission undertake its International Freight Transport inquiry. Historically, supply chain practitioners – perhaps with some justification – felt freight was left off the agenda when it came to government policy (freight doesn’t vote), yet here we were, second cab off the rank with the Productivity Commission’s report. A key recommendation made by the Productivity Commission was the proposal to reform the Commerce Act, removing liner shipping’s exemption from collective rate-setting legislation. The proposal – welcomed and supported by shippers – requires shipping companies wishing to collaborate to fix prices or limit capacity to demonstrate to the Commerce Commission that there will be a public benefit which will outweigh any anti-competitive effects. Equally (and perhaps more importantly), the Productivity Commission report acknowledged the efficiencies and benefits realised by shippers from carriers being still able to enter into operational arrangements such as vessel-sharing agreements. As legislation and supporting guidelines are developed, of critical importance to New Zealand importers and exporters over the coming months is that the Productivity Commission’s original intent is not lost or eroded. Whatever form the final guidelines take, they have to recognise the role vessel-sharing arrangements have to play ensuring adequacy of services to and from New Zealand. This needs to be achieved by still enabling carriers to develop and revise vessel-sharing arrangements with a level 3 Photo courtesy of the NZ Customs Service NZ Customs’ Joint Border Management System (JBMS) will ultimately provide the Trade Single Window, through which importers and exporters can deal directly with government agencies, and Customs and the Ministry for Primary Industries can more effectively manage risks for goods crossing the border of agility and responsiveness that reflects the dynamics of the international world of shipping, while at the same time avoiding a costly and potentially bureaucratic compliance regime – either of which would not be in New Zealand’s interests. Collaboration Using good data and quality information to ensure we have the right infrastructure and regulations in place are great starting points, but collectively these are only enablers (be they very important ones). Operationally, business needs to ensure the supply chain is then utilised and optimised appropriately. A more collaborative approach towards how we manage freight and use infrastructure is the only way this will be achieved. If New Zealand is truly serious about being a global player, its shippers need to come together and take the New Zealand economy to the world. Acknowledgment of this challenge was behind Fonterra and Silver Fern Farms coming together to form Kotahi. Perhaps unique in the world, Kotahi represents a key piece of the jigsaw that will help lift the performance of the country’s supply chains. It’s only by working collaboratively through arrangements such as this, across a variety of importers and exporters, that New Zealand will be able to create the necessary efficiencies along the entire supply chain. Through thinking and working smarter, reducing waste and improving utilisation, New Zealand will ultimately have more sustainable and international competitive links with its global markets. Compared with only six or seven years ago we’ve come a long way, not only defining what is required to future-proof our supply chains, but taking some significant steps to deliver them. As a logistics and supply chain community, we can look back with some pride as to what has been happening, and the progress that is being made. We shouldn’t, however, sit back as there is still much to be done. New Zealand is and will continue to be a country whose economy is more dependent in relative terms upon seaborne trade than most other comparable or competing economies. Just as many in our primary industries view their businesses and investments on a multigenerational basis, then so must the logistics and supply chain community too. This will mean we must at times be prepared to challenge populist debate on topics such as port footprints and the corridors serving them. For trade to operate, we need access to adequate infrastructure and capacity, not just today but long term. Just as efforts are going into enhancing our infrastructure, effort is needed to ensure existing assets that are hard to replace are protected. Nigel Jones is the general manager of strategy for NZ milk products, Fonterra, and a fellow of CILT NZ; he can be contacted at [email protected] 4 Logistics & Transport NZ KIWIRAIL FREIGHT Growth through investment and improved performance by Leonard Sampson The new DL locomotives have enabled KiwiRail to meet increased demand in two areas of strong growth – forestry traffic out of the eastern Bay of Plenty and MetroPort services from Tauranga to Auckland Photo by Michael Kilgour THE NUMBERS tell a very positive story for KiwiRail as our freight business, constituting approximately 65% of KiwiRail group revenue, continues to grow both revenue and volumes. Overall, there was an 8% growth in freight revenue in the first half of this financial year (FY), which in turn followed a 25% increase in freight revenue over the previous two years. Over the same period, there has been an increase of just under 3 million tonnes in rail freight volumes from 14.7 million tonnes in FY 2010 to 17.4 million tonnes in FY 2012. The biggest success story is in the import/export market segment which as at 1 May was 12% ahead of the same period last year and has seen positive growth of 34% from 2010. Our forestry business is also experiencing strong growth, showing a 12% increase in the same period in response to international demand for export logs, along with the development of log-hubs in the lower North Island and increased volume from the eastern Bay of Plenty as harvests mature. Unfortunately, over the past 12 months our bulk sector has not achieved the same results, largely due to the Solid Energy closure of the Spring Creek mine. This, however, has been partially offset by growth in domestic coal and strong early season bulk milk volumes which have now obviously finished with the drought in the North Island. Whilst we have also seen some growth in our domestic market segment, this has been flatter than in the export sector – a reflection of the subdued retail market in New Zealand. Nevertheless, we have recorded a 6% increase over the previous 12 months, and there are promising signs of further growth as existing customers commit more volumes to rail and returning or new customers use our services. Locomotives This growth across all our markets is driven by the provision of additional capacity through investment into new equipment, technology and infrastructure, and the resulting improvements in our performance. The key to maintaining this growth is to ensure we continue to build our capacity – and strengthen our performance. Investment already made in new rolling stock has led to significant improvements in the on-time performance needed for customers to be confident of a reliable rail freight service. The new DL locomotives have proven their worth over the past 18 months with their performance being amongst the best in our fleet. They have A dedicated log train operating on the key eastern Bay of Plenty route Photo by Michael Kilgour enabled us to meet the increased demands in the two areas where we have seen strong growth – forestry traffic out of the eastern Bay of Plenty and MetroPort services from Tauranga to Auckland. A further 20 locomotives are currently in production and due to arrive in New Zealand mid-year. Their arrival will allow the deployment of DLs to the lower North Island to support growing demand through those regions. It also allows the transfer of locomotives to the South Island and retirement of older locomotives. A further 10 DLs are proposed for the next financial year, with the longer-term intention to build the fleet to 80 locomotives over the next five to 10 years. Containers and logs Already 535 56-tonne container flat wagons are in operation around the network, and a further 300 will be in the country and in use for the 2013 peak. The intention is to continue to build the fleet progressively, adding 300–400 a year over the next five years to form the backbone of our fleet. Complementing these has been the provision of intermodal equipment that gives us the flexibility to meet seasonal demands across differing market sectors and the specific requirements of customers. Our long-term strategy – to build a standardised container wagon fleet complemented by intermodal containers – is already driving operating efficiencies as we are able to merge seasonal demand from the import/export and domestic market sectors to provide both greater capacity and improved utilisation of wagon assets. Further log bolsters, a proven technology widely used throughout Europe, have been acquired to meet demands for growing forestry traffic complementing the fleet of 100 wagons we already have in service. The bolsters allow for up to three bunks of short logs on a 15 m deck, fitted onto June 2013 5 older container wagons, providing a cost- effective option to cater for increasing export log demand. Partnering for freight As we continue to see Key New Zealand ports invest in new infrastructure, along with larger vessels becoming the norm in global fleets, it is inevitable that the effects will cascade to New Zealand. From a rail perspective, our role is to continue to partner with the country’s major exporters and shippers to ensure we are able to provide the appropriate investment in both infrastructure and rolling stock in the right areas to meet further consolidation of freight to meet these larger vessels. Leonard Sampson is the general manager, sales, for KiwiRail Freight Log bolsters allow for up to three bunks of short logs on a 15 m deck, fitted onto older container wagons, and provide a cost-effective option to cater for increasing export log demand The CILT UK Knowledge Centre by Murray King ONE OF the benefits of CILT NZ membership is access to the CILT UK Knowledge Centre. To gain access, you become an e-member of CILT UK (unfortunately though through the payment of an additional fee of £40). The Knowledge Centre has a normal ‘bricks and mortar’ library – The John Williams Library – which is at Corby in Northamptonshire in England, somewhat inconveniently located for New Zealand members. But it does lend books, which might be useful to us. However, the Knowledge Centre offers extensive online services, with 4600 journals and 37,000 journal abstracts, 1400 country economic reports, and 5200 fulltext industry reports. It also has access to a worldwide database of 10,000 companies. So if you want to find information on Maersk, there’s a company profile. So too is there one for Fonterra, along with a 35-page report from Datamonitor. There are further links to periodical articles relating to each company, and even to academic journal articles. So if you want to know about ‘Characteristics of Ice Cream containing Flax Seed Oil’, you can find it there. Media and legal There are 2200 full-text newspapers from 97 countries, including 112 from New Zealand, not only the majors, but also provincial newspapers and give-aways. The papers are right up to date, and there is a 90-day archive. There is a legal database, and even legal advice, though this is likely to be UK oriented. A list of links to other transport websites (freely accessible), and to various logistics, supply chain, and transport glossaries of terms; book reviews; and discounted transport-related publications complete the offering. As well, the membership includes a weekly current awareness bulletin, albeit with a UK focus. Staff are available to help with queries and searches, and users report that the online resources, including this help, is what makes the Knowledge Centre valuable to them. Further details are to be found at www.ciltuk.org.uk. CILT NZ’s national office can assist with arranging membership. And look out for Global Logistics and Transport News – an online TV channel in conjunction with the UK ITN channel. This is promised to give news and insights into the key issues in transport and logistics. Check out www.ciltuk.org.uk from June this year. Logistics and Transport New Zealand wishes to formally acknowledge the following organisations for their national sponsorship of CILT NZ. It is because of this support that this forum for transport and logistics professionals is possible. 6 Logistics & Transport NZ A COORDINATED APPROACH Developing a shared blueprint for improving NZ freight supply chains The use of high productivity motor vehicles (HPMVs) is seen as a ‘quick win’ to achieve greater freight efficiency IT HAS been over a year since the Productivity Commission released its report into international freight transport services. One of its key recommendations was for the government to play a greater role in coordinating investment planning across the freight transport system. The freight system, being the infrastructure and services that make New Zealand’s freight supply chains work, contains many different public and private components. Each component has its own decisionmakers, which include those that own the freight (freight producers), organise its storage and distribution (logistics providers), move it (transport operators), as well as the private and public sector organisations that provide infrastructure and services to enable commercial activity (port companies, KiwiRail, local, regional and central government). Because our freight system is complex with many decision-makers, there is a risk of what the Commission called ‘coordination failures’. These may result in poor or inadequate investment, missed efficiency opportunities, or insufficient/excessive regulation. The Commission’s call for a government coordination role was a response to submissions it received asking for greater certainty around the government’s long-term intentions for investment and regulation. Greater certainty would give industry a better idea of what investments they could make to improve productivity and grow their businesses. The Commission found that the public sector also needed to understand private sector intentions to plan its investment. This more coordinated approach was a middle ground between having an atmosphere of investment uncertainty, which could reduce business confidence, or a return to centralised planning where well-intentioned public agencies sought to mould how the private sector manages its freight task. Developing a national freight discussion The NZTA has been involved in coordinated freight planning processes around the country – in the Upper North Island Freight Story development led by the Upper North Island Strategic Alliance (UNISA), as well as in Central New Zealand and the South Island (both facilitated by the NZTA). The processes have involved engaging through workshops with people from across the freight system to discuss the challenges and opportunities they face, and the strengths and barriers they see in their businesses and regions. Through this we have gained a much richer insight into the critical questions that need to be addressed to ensure our freight system is effective, efficient, resilient and safe. Much of the feedback was about local or regional issues, such as providing more efficient access to and from ports and their economic hinterland. However, a number of critical questions are emerging that are national in scope – see below. These questions may not be new, but through bringing everyone into the discussion with good information we can better test our assumptions. Challenges and opportunities What will New Zealand’s freight task look like in 30 years? The forecasts are for a 100% increase in by Marinus LaRooij Photo courtesy of the Road Transport Forum NZ freight moved by 2040. This squares with the growth in heavy vehicle kilometres travelled over the last 10 years (about 2% on average every year). The Commission recommended the need for better freight data to better inform planning, so the Ministry of Transport has work underway on this. But to better understand this data, we will need insights and information from decision-makers across the freight system. What impact would changes in international shipping and ports have on the land transport system (including coastal shipping)? Most agree that significant changes to international shipping services are coming (if not already happening). But there is little agreement on how fast change will happen, the form it will take, and its impact on access to markets, the cost of moving freight and the investments needed in the freight system to respond. How do we improve the options businesses have in moving their freight, including recognising the value of competition and modal choice? All the modes in New Zealand’s freight system (air, coastal and international shipping, rail and road) have a role in getting goods to market. Most see the value in the modes going forward, but how do we ensure better connectivity between the modes, as well as encouraging greater choice? Importance of the strategic freight network Another major question is how do we deliver a high-performing strategic freight network? Investing in the strategic freight network and better connecting New Zealand is something the government has already identified as a priority. June 2013 The NZTA is delivering improved connectivity on the strategic national network through delivering the Roads of National Significance (RoNS) programme. The RoNS will provide significantly improved network capacity and enhanced safety on critical parts of the state highway system, while also improving connectivity to ports, airports, areas of significant freight production, storage/distribution and consumption. Those moving freight, together with other road users, will have improved travel times, greater travel reliability, reduced fuel costs and a safer transport system. KiwiRail is also focusing, through the Turnaround Plan, on improving capability and capacity on key rail lines. Building on these improvements is the next step. How can we take further advantage of these network improvements, identify further significant blockages that remain, and ensure the strategic freight network is protected for its critical freight function? Another major question is ensuring land-use planning (especially private sector investment in new freight facilities) is integrated with network planning. Knowing what New Zealand’s future industrial land-use needs are, and how this land should be integrated into the strategic freight network, is a significant question. Fewer truck trips to move more freight We are also hearing about the value of moving more freight with fewer truck trips. Using high productivity motor vehicles (HPMVs – being heavier and/or longer trucks) is seen as a ‘quick win’ to achieve greater freight efficiency. A review of HPMVs, undertaken in 2011, concluded that these trucks allow for productivity improvements of around –20% decrease in truck trips (for over-mass HPMVs) and –14% decrease in trips (for over-dimensioned HPMVs). These efficiencies include reduced fuel consumption, vehicle operating costs and driver hours (per unit of freight moved). HPMVs also provide safety benefits as fewer truck trips reduce the crash risk exposure of these trucks on our roads. Accelerating the uptake of HPMVs is therefore something that can be done now. The current National Land Transport Programme 2012-15 (NLTP) has signalled investment of around $45 million over three years to deliver a strategic HPMV network across the country. This network of 4500 km of state highways and local roads will allow HPMV access up to 62 tonnes. While these kilometres represent only a small proportion of the overall network, they account for around 50% of heavy LOCAL ROAD 7 STATE HIGHWAY RAIL LOCAL ROAD PORT STATE HIGHWAY The NZTA’s freight planning approach takes a ‘whole of supply chain’ perspective that recognises that the private sector makes many of the key decisions about how freight is moved road freight movements. Consolidating this freight onto fewer truck trips will have significant economic and safety benefits. For the remainder of the road network, in cases where heavier HPMV access is not feasible, the NZTA has developed the 50MAX HPMV concept. This innovative truck design allows for the carriage of an extra five tonnes of freight, with minimal infrastructure upgrades. The design of 50MAX HPMVs, which uses nine axles to spread out the load (the ninth axle making up the other tonne), will mean its impact on pavements and bridges will be comparable to the current 44-tonne trucks operating across the network. 50MAX HPMVs have the potential to provide safety and efficiency benefits through reduced truck travel in areas where the road infrastructure is not suitable for full HPMVs. Work is underway with local councils and industry to further develop this concept. Smarter regulation and moving beyond compliance Another major national theme is the idea of developing a new regulatory paradigm that encourages, and even rewards, operators for making the right choices and operating at best practice. Land transport regulations are designed to ensure public safety, protect infrastructure from damage and enable fair market competition. In developing a refreshed regulatory model we have the opportunity, particularly with the use of intelligent transport systems (ITS), to better focus on areas of significant risk. We also have the opportunity, working with the NZ Police, local government and transport operators, to better recognise and reward compliance and free up resources to focus on non-compliance. While there is much to work through, the economic and safety benefits could be significant to industry and most importantly to the New Zealand public as a whole. A coordinated approach Our task ahead is to ensure an ongoing coordinated approach that ensures the exchange of information and ideas. This coordinated approach also needs to produce clear actions as the answers to critical questions emerge. While we have made progress, there is more work to be done and this work is not something that the public sector can or should tackle on its own. We therefore look forward to developing a national discussion, with those working across New Zealand’s freight system, on what we can do to improve the safety and efficiency of freight movements. Marinus LaRooij is the portfolio manager – freight, strategy & performance – for the NZTA, and is on the committee of the CILT NZ Central Section; to contact the NZTA freight team, email [email protected] 8 Logistics & Transport NZ UPPER NORTH ISLAND FREIGHT STORY Looking at freight through a different lens THE UPPER North Island Strategic Alliance (UNISA) is a local government collaboration initiative which consists of elected representatives and senior staff from Northland Regional Council, Whangarei District Council, Auckland Council, Waikato Regional Council, Hamilton City Council, Bay of Plenty Regional Council and Tauranga City Council. The overall objective of UNISA is to maximise sustainable development opportunities for all of the upper North Island and its contribution to New Zealand. Due to the potential economic gains, UNISA’s 2012 work programme focused primarily on the priority areas of transport and ports (mainly in a freight context), through two pieces of work: •An independent investigation of current and future freight demand and supply and scenarios to meet that demand in the context of ports and other associated infrastructure for the upper North Island (led by Auckland Council) •An Upper North Island Freight Story in partnership with the NZTA, KiwiRail and Auckland Transport. Developing the Story The Upper North Island (UNI) Freight Story (the Story) is designed to identify land-based freight system issues at a UNI scale and provide supporting evidence so that decisionmakers can then make more informed land use and transport planning and investment decisions. The aim has been to “reduce the cost of doing business in New Zealand though an upper North Island lens”. A collaborative ‘facilitated discussion’ approach has been taken to develop the Story, allowing key decision-makers to be better informed and able to agree on a shared evidence base to support decisions on critical issues. This included regional workshops with local and central government partners (e.g. other territorial authorities) and stakeholders (e.g. industry) facilitated during the preparation of the Story. As an example, three of the four regions in the UNI identified the need to improve implementation of the high productivity motor vehicles (HPMV) programme as a critical issue as it has potential to undermine economic productivity in New Zealand. A summary of the seven confirmed critical The Upper North Island Freight Story is designed to identify land-based freight system issues and support decision-makers to make more informed land use and transport planning and investment choices issues for the UNI identified through the Story are summarised below: •Strategic road and rail network constraints •Delivery of an HPMV programme •Utilisation of industrial land •Lack of strategic, integrated land use and transport planning and investment •Lack of shared and accurate data •Need to understand cost of freight supply chains for critical industries in UNI •Challenging local government and central government funding structures. Copies of the UNI Freight Story’s Summary of Critical Issues and Summary Evidence Base documents can be sourced from the project partners’ websites. Constraints and benefits Key considerations for the Waikato region related to the Story include the amount of industrial land zoned and/or planned in the UNI, the management of HPMV routes and permits, and the role of key strategic road by Greg Morton and rail corridors in the region in providing gateway port options for exporters moving freight across the UNI area, given the region’s geographic location. Waikato Regional Council, like other project partners, realised there are benefits in having a clearer understanding of neighbouring region characteristics and issues to appreciate where constraints and benefits lie at a UNI scale. The council has noted that while the Story isn’t a statutory process or recognised strategy or plan, it has raised awareness and made transparent for all partners the key freight system issues (and related evidence) and can be used as an input to statutory planning processes across the UNI area. The project has also identified key strategic questions that are beyond project partners’ ability to answer. As an example: “How do we develop a robust, integrated way in New Zealand to gather, share, monitor and use freight data across public and private sectors?” This strategic question has relevance to more than one of the critical issues identified in the Story. Other initiatives On reflection, while different in approach, the UNI Freight Story is of similar value to and compatible with industry-led initiatives such as the Bay of Plenty-based Bay of Connections Freight Logistics Advisory Group (FLAG) – the Waikato Regional Council is a participant. The FLAG has been an illustration for the council of the effective pragmatic action that can come from industry and services collaboration and effective leadership within the freight logistics sector. The two pieces of work to be undertaken by UNISA in the 2013/14 financial year pick up on the two critical issues identified in the Story that local government is best placed to progress, relating to the integration of land use and infrastructure, and the provision of industrial land. The latter will include working with industry to better understand the need and future plans for this land, as well as identify what attracts (and/or places barriers on) industry to develop across the UNI area. Greg Morton is a senior transport planner with the Waikato Regional Council; he can be contacted at [email protected] June 2013 9 ROAD FREIGHT Trucks, certificates of fitness and public reassurance by Ken Shirley Under proposed changes for CoF inspections, operators will have more choice over where inspections take place and by whom – which is good news for rural operators THE ROAD freight sector has a fundamental difference from virtually every other industry. Its principal workplace is a public place, the road, which it shares with literally millions of other users every day. They rightly need reassurance that the trucks on the road with them meet suitable safety standards. Certificates of fitness (CoF) for heavy vehicles help provide that comfort. The Road Transport Forum strongly favours retention of regular CoF testing. What it wants, and has long argued for, is more choice in vehicle inspection services, not just because we are a strong supporter of competition in the provision of services to the trucking industry, but mainly because of the time and cost implications of a limited number of vehicle testing providers. The current restriction to ‘bricks and mortar’ service providers has major implications for rural operators who may have to travel a considerable distance to an accredited service provider. It’s also an issue for the industry generally, with the wait times for pre-CoF and CoF inspections. The government has certainly picked up on these points. It has calculated that about $20 million in time is spent annually getting a CoF. It also says the benefits from its proposed changes are estimated to be between $160 and $460 million over 30 years. This isn’t covered in the current proposed amendment to the Land Transport Rule, but good news for the industry and their customers that the NZ Transport Agency has been tasked with reviewing its policies to make more inspection options available. More choice As usual, the devil will be in the detail. The government, in its previous discussion Vehicle licensing reform THE VEHICLE LICENSING REFORM PROJECT is a joint Ministry of Transport and NZ Transport Agency initiative that is looking to reform warrant of fitness/certificate of fitness, annual vehicle licensing (commonly known as registration), and transport services licensing. Work on the reforms was announced by Transport Minister Gerry Brownlee in March 2012. Recommendations for change were developed following an in-depth process involving research, analysis and modelling, discussions with transport sector stakeholders and wideranging public consultation. Changes to the WoF and CoF systems were documents, has said that operators will have more choice over where inspections take place and by whom. It mentioned that inspections will be able to be carried out at the place where vehicles are serviced, and is also proposing operator workshops be used. The RTF has reservations about this, basically on the grounds of possible public perceptions, so the auditing and monitoring of in-house CoF testing will be critical. It is significant that the government papers acknowledge that what it calls “robust” auditing and monitoring of approved inspection providers is a transition risk. Greater flexibility in the periods for CoFs is a good idea, and extending the maximum period to 12 months will reward operators with good safety records while announced in January this year. The current six-monthly CoF default inspection frequency will be retained, with the NZTA able to apply a different frequency between three and 12 months, depending on the operator’s safety record. In addition, there will be opportunities for a broader range of CoF inspecting organisations and sites, including allowing providers to do vehicle maintenance as well. Changes to the CoF system will be made through the Land Transport Rule: Vehicle Standards Compliance 2002 and are expected to be in place by July 2014 or earlier. potentially focusing attention on operators with poor CoF or roadside inspection records. However, in practice the NZTA has only sporadically used its current powers to require a three-monthly CoF check, so again it will come down to the resources available to make it work in a worthwhile way. Agricultural vehicles What does concern the RTF, and should concern other road users, is the proposed removal of WoF or CoF requirements for agricultural vehicles operated at speeds under 40 kmh on the open road and only an annual WoF inspection for those travelling at over 40 kmh. These vehicles can easily be carrying loads of 25 tonnes or more – as much as a heavy truck. The RTF is firmly of the opinion that all vehicles carrying such loads should be required to meet the same standards, for the safety of all road users. Ken Shirley is the chief executive officer of the Road Transport Forum NZ 10 Logistics & Transport NZ FREIGHT INFORMATION Port of Tauranga is New Zealand’s largest export port, both by volume and value – its current investment programme in its container terminal is the largest expenditure since the facility opened two decades ago FIGS now has data for all of 2012 THE MINISTRY of Transport’s freight information gathering system (FIGS) was introduced in an article in this journal in December last year. The MoT now has a full year’s worth of data from more participants than previously, and so their quarterly information report (published in March 2013) has extensive information on movements for all of 2012. The report is available online (see below) and this includes extensive data in spreadsheet form, allowing users to easily make their own calculations from the data. New in this report, as well as the full year’s data, are import and export information on air freight from New Zealand Customs records, information on container services calling at New Zealand ports in the year, and a full year of rail freight data. Sea trade Customs data provides a rich source of information on what comes in and out of our ports. FIGS summarises this both by commodity and by port, and in terms of volume and value. There are no surprises on the commodity side. Wood products (principally logs) are the single biggest export by volume. Dairy products are the biggest by value. For imports, minerals, coal and fuels (mainly oil) dominate both volume and value. Tauranga is the largest export port, both by volume and value, and Auckland the largest import port by value (by volume it is beaten by North Port, for oil). An interesting analysis is the average value of freight per tonne, Auckland having the highest value for both imports and exports. A valuable part of FIGS is its information on coastal cargo, not available for several decades until FIGS started to gather it. There are figures for oil deliveries by coastal tanker, and container movements for general cargo. Coastal containers are subdivided into transhipments of exports and imports, and domestic cargo. Of the 1,653,831 containers handled at New Zealand ports in 2012, 16% were domestic; 81% of all coastal containers (half of them empty) were carried on international ships. The overwhelming majority of containers, 71%, were imports or exports that were not transhipped to or from coastal vessels. FIGS gives data for net weight of containers, so the load per container can be calculated. The average load for a 20 ft container was 15.76 tonnes, and for a 40 ft 19.26 tonnes. There is even an analysis of the types of containers used for each commodity, although there are a large number of containers where the commodity is not known. by Murray King The ship call information shows not only the number of container ships that visited New Zealand, but also how many port calls were made, and how many containers were exchanged during those calls, by port. During 2012, 925 ships made 2481 port calls. The average number of containers handled per ship visit varied from 1271 in Auckland to 350 in Taranaki. There are also figures breaking this down into ship sizes. There is further information on the number of visits by other types of ship, including cruise liners. Road dominates the land side of port traffic: 72% of traffic into ports and 77% of traffic from ports went by road. There are time series by port of containers handled, and productivity numbers. Auckland has the best ‘ship rate’, the number of containers moved on or off a ship per hour (and a sharply improving trend), but Tauranga and Wellington have the best ‘crane rate’, the number of containers lifted on and off a ship per crane per hour. Our best ports exceed the average for the top five Australian ports. Rail traffic Apart from the data in the 2008 National Freight Demands Study (NFDS), there has been a drought of detailed information on rail traffic since it ceased to be published in rail’s annual reports as far back as 1962. June 2013 Now there is very detailed information on rail traffic from inter-regional flows to commodity analysis, in both tonnes and tonne kilometres. The ‘golden triangle’ of Auckland, Waikato and the Bay of Plenty is the most important part of the rail network. Its share of total traffic was 47%. That is, 47% of the traffic was generated by only 17% of the total operational network (and nearly 60% has one end or the other of its route in the area). Traffic within the golden triangle accounted for 25% of all net tonne kilometres. FIGS also gives traffic flow information for wood products, coal, dairy and containers. Wood products were 2.9 million tonnes. This figure includes logs, timber and panel products like fibreboard, but excludes pulp and paper. Wood products mainly flowed within the Bay of Plenty, but there were important flows elsewhere, like within Northland, within the Wellington region (mainly from the Wairarapa to the port), and from Southland to Otago. Pulp and paper tonnes were 1.2 million tonnes, making forestry products the largest single commodity group with 4.1 million tonnes. There were over 3 million tonnes of coal moved in 2012, from the West Coast to Canterbury (mainly for export), from Huntly to the steel mill at Glenbrook, and from Nightcaps in Southland to Temuka for the Clandeboye dairy plant. A significant flow identified in the NFDS, from Tauranga to the Huntly power station, has disappeared entirely. Dairy products are the second biggest single commodity group carried by rail (after forest products), with 3.9 million tonnes hauled in 2012, 22% of all rail tonnes. The largest flows are from Waikato to the Bay of Plenty (export product) and within Waikato (from the plants to the Crawford Street packing hub), and from Manawatu to Taranaki (bulk milk), Taranaki to the Bay of Plenty and Hawke’s Bay, internal Canterbury, and Otago and Southland to Port Chalmers (export product). An interesting recent flow is from Canterbury to the West Coast, westbound across the Southern Alps, which is largely bulk milk for the Hokitika plant, providing some balance to the mainly eastbound flows on that route. On average, a tonne of goods is hauled 265 km on rail, but this figure varies a lot between commodities. Dairy is hauled only 190 km on average, and forest products 145 km. At the other end of the scale, freight forwarding traffic is hauled 571 km, reflecting the important Auckland–Christchurch flow, and fuels 701 km (inter-island movement of LPG). Of KiwiRail’s traffic, 42% was hauled in containers not owned by KiwiRail, essen- 11 Key findings: January - December 2012 Largest TEU imports/exports by location 36.6% Imported through Ports of Auckland 46.9% Exported through Port of Tauranga Coastal container traffic 81% of coastal TEU’s were moved on international ships Most exported commodities (value) Most exported commodities (volume) Commodities are both bulk and containerised Commodities are both bulk and containerised 28.0% 12.4% 10.0% 47.6% 17.9% 8.0% Dairy products Meat products Foodstuffs Wood Minerals, coal and fuel Dairy products Rail: top 3 commodities 21.5% 16.8% Transportation mode of containers to/from port 16.2% 3,892,864 tonnes 3,038,148 tonnes 2,918,353 tonnes Dairy & milk Coal Wood products 74.3% 21.7% 4.0% by road by rail by unknown land mode Exports/Imports of 20ft and 40ft containers 20 ft. Exports 79% full Imports 89% full 40 ft. Exports 89% full Imports 66% full 20 ft. Exports 99% full Imports 17% full 40 ft. Exports 95% full Imports 39% full Dry tially import/export containers, showing the importance of import and export traffic to it. The major flows were from the Bay of Plenty to Auckland and vice versa, reflecting the MetroPort traffic, followed by Waikato to the Bay of Plenty and within Canterbury (dairy products). Air cargo Volumes of air cargo are small relative to sea, but they are valuable. Nearly all air freight comes in and out of Auckland: 85,700 tonnes inwards and 83,700 tonnes outwards. Christchurch handled 27,600 tonnes in total. But each tonne of Auckland’s imports was worth $106,000 and exports $56,000. Total value of all Auckland’s imports was $9.1 billion, and exports $4.7 billion. By Refrigerated value, Auckland Airport is the country’s third largest export port, after Tauranga and Ports of Auckland, and the second largest import port, behind Ports of Auckland. A full commodity analysis is given as for sea traffic. The biggest volume exports for Auckland and overall are fish, vegetables and fruit, and the biggest imports machinery and electrical goods. As for value, a small quantity of ‘stone/glass’ was worth a national average of nearly $1.3 million per tonne. This is dominated by gold out of Christchurch, worth $59 million per tonne! Conclusions This article has barely scratched the surface of the great wealth of information that FIGS provides. Readers should delve into it for themselves to see what it can tell them. The Freight Information Gathering System January to December 2012 quarterly report (published in March this year) is available at www.transport.govt.nz/ourwork/Sea/FIGS/ 12 Logistics & Transport NZ PRODUCTIVITY Supply chain management as a team sport Supply Chain Dependency Network Example Forestry Wood Mills Hauliers > = > Wood Processor > = > > > > = Farmers Chipping Companies = > Supplier Dependence = = Independent < Customer Dependence IN NEW ZEALAND today, seamless value-creating supply networks remain little more than academic fantasy. Far from transforming the economy, real-life supply chains are hindered by a lack of customer visibility. They are disjointed and rendered dysfunctional by internal competition and opportunistic behaviour toward supply chain ‘partners’. Although recognised around the world for our friendliness, laidback attitude and ability to perform at sport, it seems that as soon as we go to work, the culture becomes one of unhealthy competition, mistrust and one-upmanship. Why is it that organisations seemingly cannot work together towards achieving a shared business goal? How can this cultural schizophrenia be overcome to improve supply chain productivity? We have been investigating New Zealand supply chains for over a decade, and time and again we discover indifferent performance. The underlying root causes typically involve short-termism and excessive use of power by supply chain members. Despite the rhetoric of supposed collaboration and commitment to long-term relationships, most decision-makers struggle to see beyond this year’s bottom line. Thus there remains a significant gap between the rhetoric and the reality of supply chain management, caused by behaviours that have perhaps been exacerbated by recent recessional pressures. Case example Last year we were required to investigate a supply chain that provides an important resource for dairy farmers – a product which has its roots literally in the forestry sector. The network diagram (above) illustrates the key members of the supply chain and its three alternative material flows from original source to final customer. We studied the dependencies between the different supply chain members and their behaviour toward one another. Once again we were struck by the opportunistic use of power for short-term individual gain. Due to great demand for the forestry byproduct, which helps farmers increase their stocking rates, the dairy farmers are dependent on the hauliers for timely material supply. Wood mills and similar processors also need hauliers to by Paul Childerhouse, Pradtana Amornchat and Eric Deakins reliably dispose of their byproducts. In combination this places the hauliers in an enviable position of strength in this supply chain. Not content with enjoying their dominant power situation, the level of service offered by the hauliers can be truly appalling; the quality of the byproduct is extremely variable and farmers may have to wait months for delivery as hauliers focus on maximising utilisation of their own assets. Given the power dependency of the network, the farmers are price-takers who currently have little option but to accept the terms of trade of the hauliers. In short, the extra value being created by recycling forestry byproducts as inputs into the dairy industry is being seriously jeopardised by the opportunistic behaviour of a select powerful few. Acceptable practice? Our experiences suggest that this short-term opportunistic behaviour by the hauliers is typical of many powerful New Zealand businesses. Of course, the hauliers run the risk of being circumvented in some way – perhaps by a dairy cooperative investing in its own haulage, or by flexing its collective muscle in some other way. That being said, as soon as one member is brought into line, another one will likely seize the chance to flex its muscles. While this might be accepted Kiwi business practice, what shared opportunities are not being identified? And what about the intangible value of a partner that can come to your aid when you are in strife? And while that cheaper overseas supplier may seem to be a better ‘value’ proposition, without a cultural appreciation how does what they say really translate into what you understand? Coopetition – another way For as long as people have traded there has been tension between getting the most out of today’s exchanges and fostering shared benefits over the longer term. In supply chain ‘speak’ we call this the transactional partnership continuum, and it is well recognised that excessive use of power leads to adversarial relationships typified by limited information sharing, stagnation and lost opportunities. So, could the answer be to foster the desirable types of teamwork behaviour we observe in sport? Coopetition is the paradoxical relationship that emerges when two firms cooperate in some activities, and at the same time compete with each other in others. Net realised value can be enhanced by focusing first on how to grow the opportunity via synergies between supply chain members. The idea is that, through cooperation and agreeing to equitably share the spoils, the relationship will deepen and endure beyond the first round of price negotiations. Often people at the company interfaces are fully aware of these issues, so a good starting point is to encourage them to educate their colleagues to the pitfalls of excessive use of power for shortterm gain. Paul Childerhouse is a professor and director of logistics and supply chain management at Massey University; Pradtana Amornchat is a masters gradate from Waikato University; and Eric Deakins is an associate professor of management systems at Waikato University June 2013 13 CENTRAL NEW ZEALAND Wellington – paving its way to capture transport-related growth by Blair O’Keeffe THE NEW ZEALAND economy depends on the efficient movement of freight and people. Both domestic and international transport systems must operate effectively for the nation to maximise its competitive position. Connecting road, rail, sea and air transport to people and cargo and local and international markets is vital. At the heart of a successful transport network is a working transport hub which connects the transport modes and aggregates and relays both people and freight. From such transport and trade hubs cities are born. Wellington is a working example of this. The capital city’s origins are anchored in its roots as one of New Zealand’s leading transport hubs. Today, Wellington remains one of the largest transport hubs in the country, with approximately 20 million tonnes of cargo and 40 million people passing through it each year, by road, rail, air and sea. With its central location, large population, deep-water big-shipcapable seaport, its status as a key part of the nation’s main-line state highway and rail network, and quality airport, Wellington has considerable capacity as a transport hub. This is an important point when the nation assesses its readiness for growth. Investment in infrastructure The movement of both people and freight is increasing across New Zealand. The freight task is predicted to double over the next 20 years. By the end of this period the population is predicted to be just over 5 million people, and tourism is expected to grow 4% annually. This growth demands considered and timely investment in infrastructure to meet these needs. In most cases, the investment needs to occur years – if not decades – in advance to maintain the seamless flow of the transport modes. Whilst some question the source of future economic growth in the Wellington region, those involved in providing transport infrastructure read a different set of tea leaves. Wellington is literally paving the way to capture its share of transport-related growth, with unprecedented levels of investment occurring across all key modes of transport. Millions have been invested in the seaport, which now boasts industry-leading productivity and capacity to increase container traffic to 400% of current scale. All that remains is its dredging programme which comes at a fraction of the cost of other New Zealand ports. Billions are being invested in the primary road networks, with the ‘Levin to Ports’ Road of National Significance, including Transmission Gully. Millions have been invested in the rail network and trains, with double tracking to support freight and passenger growth, new passenger trains, new freight wagons and development of the Wellington rail yard. Millions have been spent upgrading Wellington Airport, with runway extension plans also under development. And both coastal ferry operators have also recently upgraded their fleets, commissioning larger vessels. Wellington remains one of the largest transport hubs in the country, with approximately 20 million tonnes of cargo and 40 million people passing through it each year, by road, rail, air and sea All of this investment is predicated on Wellington continuing to be one of New Zealand’s leading transport hubs. It is a positive growth story featuring actual growth and a financially supported belief in more to come. Centre hub The ‘golden triangle’ in the upper North Island and the Christchurch rebuild are not the only infrastructure investment stories of our nation. This country needs a strong north–centre–south transport hub system to operate efficiently and effectively. This reflects the logical aggregation points of New Zealand for people and cargo. Wellington has always been the logical transport hub for the lower North and upper South Island area (the ‘centre’ hub). This logic prevails in the investment decisions being made today. With much of the necessary investment already completed or started, the ‘centre’ of New Zealand is well positioned for the predicted growth. The locational advantage of Wellington, proximity to a large central New Zealand cargo base and population, and core infrastructure created by the critical mass of this transport hub create a clear model for the future of New Zealand – the north–centre– south transport hubs. For those looking for speed to market, short transit times, reliable daily transport services, connections to multiple markets (local and international), and low-cost land for transport and freight options due to the abundance of two-way services and competition, Wellington has the platform to offer it all, providing certainty, sustainability and profitability as part of its basic value proposition. It is an exciting time for the transport sector in the centre of New Zealand. Blair O’Keeffe is the chief executive of CentrePort Wellington 14 Logistics & Transport NZ DOMESTIC FREIGHT SERVICES Value delivery to customers through network optimisation THE NEW ZEALAND freight task is estimated to be around 225 million tonnes, with the road transport industry carrying more than 92% of this. Our freight task is growing at 1.3 times our real GDP, a relatively higher growth rate than the rest of the OECD due to our export-based freight demand created by the primary product industries such as dairy, forestry, meat and pip fruit. Due to industry collaboration, those companies with substantial market share of these commodity products hold significant country-wide freight transport networks. Together with the retail (consumption) and domestic manufacturing markets, they create the road transport freight tasks that make up the strategic freight corridors of the country. More than 80% of the total New Zealand freight task is moved within the Auckland, Northland, Waikato and Bay of Plenty regions, indicating that the majority of the freight task is short haul. Only 18% of the freight volume contributes to long-haul transport demand. There is no single carrier who has the capability and capacity to provide a comprehensive transport solution covering the geographic scope of the country, or even more than one region. Many carriers have specific regional and local strengths, but lack overall regional and national coverage with consistent capability. This means customers with significant country-wide freight tasks have to contract multiple carriers with varying degrees of capability and capacity in order to create uniform transport solutions in an optimal manner across the whole network. Freight service providers The supply side of the New Zealand road transport industry is heavily fragmented. There are more than 5000 transport operators owning just over 20,000 commercial vehicles, with the majority (up to 92%) of the operators owning less than five trucks. Only 6% of the operators own more than 20 trucks, and a handful of operators own more than 50 trucks. This demonstrates the substantial challenge faced by customers with significant freight transport networks spread across the country. Over the last two decades New Zealand has seen increased centralisation of the freight management tasks of the large freight owners, similar to the trends seen in the more mature US and European markets. Transport companies have evolved as lead logistics providers by offering a single freight desk, consolidating the multi-site multi-carrier operations environment through transaction workflow transport management systems. However, the transport-companyprovided single freight desk limits valuecreation potential due to the inherent conflict that exists between the company’s own asset utilisation and pure market optimisation. The lack of specialised independent freight management service providers has not only hindered the freight owner’s ability to evolve out of the current model to reap the full benefits of transport optimisation available, but has also reduced the carrier’s ability to maximise its asset utilisation across the total market capacity available. Netlogix’s service offering targets this gap in the market. Domestic transport requirements As in any industry, in the long run almost all of the fixed and variable costs are subject to domestic CPI (consumer price index), PPI (producer price index) and other cost impacts, except fuel which is exposed to global macro-economic conditions and the socio-political environment. This cost impact, adjusted for transport capacity availability, national freight transport demand, and long-run optimisa- by Chinthaka Abeywickrama tion opportunities embedded structurally in the freight corridors, sets the market transport rate for any given route in the short run (up to two years) with variation over time and a long-term continuous trend upward. Freight owners who have significant domestic transport requirements spread locally, regionally and nationally can cap their exposure for shorter periods and seize the benefits due to their scale, reputation and certainty. This capping of costs creates certainty in the short run, but denies the opportunity to maximise value due to the fixed nature of the price. This can be mitigated by contracting a multitude of carriers with different rates for a single route, but this in turn brings complexity – the bigger the carrier mix and the spread, the higher the value and complexity. Not only does it deny optimisation opportunities for the short-run transport network, it also provides no certainty beyond two or three years (some customer contracts offer only a one-year term) for carriers to invest in assets to sustain the levels of service demanded by their customers. The Netlogix solution Netlogix brings together high-tech transport management systems, comprehensive business processes and people capability and capacity, and adopts a mix of strategies to keep the short and long-run freight cost below the fixed-term-rate model, with no compromise on service delivery and improved carrier asset utilisation. Netlogix provides this by contracting multiple carriers for each route to improve rates, optimising loads by consolidating less than truck load (LTL) consignments to full truck loads (FTL), determining optimal drop routines and targeting complementary customers with directional product flows. Netlogix employs around 12 staff and June 2013 uses an OPSI transport management system, together with cloud-based finance and purpose-built business processes to manage the complex freight transport requirements of its customers. On a typical day, Netlogix moves more than 500 full truck-and-trailer loads across the country from its customers’ manufacturing and distribution centres to their end customers, secondary processing centres and ports for exports. The transport task includes bulk cargo, such as wood residue and coal, which requires constant monitoring of demand through various means (including CCTV), to very time-sensitive pick-up and delivery driven timber products, wood pulp, paper reels, recycled fibre and packaging products. Long-distance and inter-island transport moves are routed through Netlogix and third-party-managed cross-docking facilities across the North and South Islands. These cross-docking facilities enable Netlogix to move inter-island and longdistance freight efficiently by utilising the carriers with regional and national distribution networks. Netlogix uses more than 100 carriers across the country to manage its day-today transport demand as no single carrier has the capacity or the regional or national reach to provide true national service from Kaitaia to Invercargill. Technology at work Netlogix deploys OPSI-PLATO systems to manage its complex transport task. OPSIPLATO is a suite of next-generation fully integrated workflow systems that bridge the gap between primary and secondary transportation tasks. OPSI-PLATO also manages the entire workflow process from a customer’s ERP system that generates a transport request via EDI interfaces. Phone/email transport orders complete load build, carrier selection, carrier allocation and acceptance, pick-up and final delivery, including a one-stop billing mechanism for customer and individual carrier transaction settlements. It complements other cloud-based plug-and-play applications to provide a unique blend of technology and methods specifically targeted at addressing the emerging needs of the New Zealand transport markets. OPSI Systems is headquartered in South Africa and in the recent decade its products have been widely used across Australasia by leading transport providers and companies with complex transport demands. Netlogix’s decision to use the OPSI-PLATO transport management system as its core engine was based on its scalability, stateof-the art enterprise planning platform, four-tiered architecture and its 10-step transaction workflow management. OPSI-PLATO features complex heuristic optimisation modules. Its optimisation module (business logic tier) caters for almost all of the variables you would find in any complex transport task or challenge within New Zealand – or any part of the world. Our OPSI-PLATO transport management system, together with our experienced staff, established business processes, and initiatives that concentrate on rate optimisation, asset utilisation (by minimising empty backhaul transport legs, for example) and using economies of scope and scale, provides Netlogix with a leading edge and unmatched capacity to improve costs and service delivery for its customers and carriers under demanding and complex circumstances. Chinthaka Abeywickrama, FCILT, is the CEO of Netlogix and the president-elect of CILT NZ Letter to the editor 6 April 2013 Dear Sir … It was exciting to read in the March issue of the redevelopment of Christchurch into a smart, thrilling and vibrant city. But I was shocked that no mention was made of creating a suburban rail system using the existing rail infrastructure, which at minimal cost would do much to blunt the main road corridor traffic peaks, decongest the city centre, promote a one-city atmosphere and provide a most satisfactory way to shift all those cruise-ship passengers around the varied delights of the greater Christchurch area. The great drawback is that the railway corridors do not come nearly close enough to the city centre, but that can be so easily fixed. Picture a double-track alignment leaving the Main North Line in the Addington area (where a new station would serve those smart office towers), east across South Hagley Park, past the hospital, along Tuam Street adjacent to the Sports, Justice and Emergency Services precincts, to platforms at the new transport centre. From there it passes the new stadium before swinging south to join the Lyttelton line at Waltham. All three radiating lines (to Lyttelton, Rolleston and Rangiora) would be directly linked to the city centre, and all passenger traffic would be segregated from freight in the busiest central zone of the rail network. The central transport station would include a platform for long-distance trains so arriving passengers would no 15 longer alight in a suburb miles from the attractions of the city. Some former double-track areas would need to be reinstated, and modern signalling installed, but still this would cost only a tiny fraction of the money spent on urban rail in Wellington and Auckland in recent years, and yet could support attractive, fast and frequent services with no outward sign of having been built on a shoestring. As-new SA train-sets (perhaps about 10) would of course be transferred from Auckland, and equipped with a quieter, greener motive power unit at each end to give first-class level-crossing safety, acceleration rates, economy and reliability. Existing mechanical maintenance facilities at Waltham could be renovated modestly to support the fleet. Structures clearances should allow for future electrification. The new Christchurch will be such a handsome and liveable city it would be tragic to ‘spoil the ship for a half-penny worth of tar’. Great cities, even great little cities, use rail services to improve their quality of life, and history will judge us harshly if we miss this historic and affordable opportunity to re-introduce them to Christchurch. Yours faithfully, Randall Prestidge, [email protected] 16 Logistics & Transport NZ RISK ASSESSMENT South Pacific strategic architecture 36th Parallel’s interactive map identifying all major trade routes, including the risks, threats and opportunities that lie within them, is best viewed on the 36th Parallel website THE SOUTH PACIFIC strategic architecture involves trade, politics/diplomacy and security. Although intertwined, they can be analytically distinguished from each other. The regional strategic architecture can be subdivided into production, commerce and services, political regimes/foreign relations, and enforcement authority and armed force. Four major trade routes cross the region. The Western trade route covers the north–south sea and air lanes of communication between Japan, China and South Korea through Singapore, Jakarta, Sydney to Auckland and Christchurch. The Eastern trade route extends north–south from Chile to the Panama Canal and west coast of North America and includes the major ports of Valparaiso (Chile), Callao (Peru) and Guayaquil (Ecuador). The Northwest/ Southeast route traces its course from East Asia to the South American west coast via the south-central and southeastern Pacific. The Southwest/Northeast trade route connects Australia and New Zealand with North America via the transshipment ports of Suva and Apia. A fifth trade route, the Southwestern/ Southeastern route from Sydney–Auckland to the South American ports, is expected to increase in importance over the next 20 years. Asia/Pacific–Latin American trade has risen from US$10 billion in 2000 to US$241 billion in 2011. China has replaced Japan as South America’s largest Asian trading partner, with South Korea also a significant player in trans-Pacific commerce. Likewise, China has become the largest trading partner of Australia and New Zealand, and is increasing its commercial and diplomatic presence throughout the South Pacific. According to the Asian Development Bank, South American exports to East Asia rose from 9.7% of total exports in 2001 to 23.4% in 2011, while imports from East Asia to South America rose from 13.4% to 24.6% during that time period. Over those 10 years, the overall share of world trade between the two regions rose from 11.5% to 24.0%. Aggregate trade between Australasia and South America is now worth in excess of US$500 billion a year. Asian foreign direct investment (FDI), especially from China, in South America and the Antipodes has also increased markedly. The US continues to be the main trading and investment partner for most Latin American states, but China is on its way to overtaking the US by 2020. In support of its expanding trade and investment ties, in 2010 China provided US$376 billion in loans to Latin American states, more than that lent by the World Bank, Inter-American Development Bank and US Import-Export Bank combined. South Pacific trade The boom in South Pacific commerce is brought about by two factors: rapid growth of Asian and Latin American economies, which has led to an expanding middle class hungry for consumer durable consumption; and the rise in commodities prices worldwide as a result of increased demand brought about by Asian-fuelled growth. Australia, New Zealand and South America are commodity exporters, mostly in primary goods and raw materials. Asian demand for those commodities continues at a sustained pace, although the rise by Dr Paul G. Buchanan in value of regional commodity exports exceeds the increase in volume of these goods due to high prices. The impact of increased volumes of South Pacific trade has placed strong pressure on infrastructure as well as regulatory and enforcement mechanisms. Capacity limits at ports, poor road and train networks, and a lack of skilled labour have contributed to inefficiencies in the commodity chains binding the region’s east and west flanks. The demand for skilled labour in the Antipodes and South America has produced labour market distortions, along with a rush of legal and illegal migration to production centres. Inadequate infrastructure in the face of increased trade volumes has created logistical and transportation logjams, at the same time that it offers opportunities for investors in those sectors. Service sector provision relevant to international commerce and trade stands to increase markedly in the South Pacific over the next decade. The 2008/09 recession alleviated some pressure on South Pacific infrastructure, but in the ensuing years of rebounding growth, the maritime and airfreight overcapacity built up prior to 2008 has had negative consequences on shipping rates and transportation sector profits. Although trans-Pacific trade volumes have returned to positive figures and the value of imports and exports has risen concomitantly since 2010, shipping demand and freight rates can be expected to continue at pre-2008 values until 2015. Air cargo services will extract premium rents until then. Regulatory context One significant aspect of the South Pacific strategic architecture is the absence of uniform regulatory capabilities. Some member states have robust systems that remain consistent in application in spite of changes in government. Other states, while exhibiting regulatory authority on paper, are more susceptible to government variation in interpretation and sometimes interference. Many South Pacific states do not have the enforcement capability to ensure that what is written is followed in practice. This is particularly true for the maritime environment, where small island states, as June 2013 well as Indonesia, New Guinea and New Zealand, lack the force projection capability to ensure adherence to national standards within their territorial limits, much less enforcement of international conventions in adjacent waters. The absence of a regional enforcement capacity, on top of limited national capabilities in that regard, raises the risk profile of the region for legitimate enterprise while creating opportunity for illicit ventures (such as piracy, arms, drug and human trafficking, hazardous waste dumping and illegal fishing). The lack of effective regulatory enforcement matters because of the increased economic utility of South Pacific resources. Coupled with high commodity prices, advances in technology have made endeavours such as deep seabed mining and drilling economically viable. Likewise, access to forestry and mining in previously remote and inaccessible areas in the region, particularly in Melanesia and the Andean foothills, has opened significant avenues of commercial opportunity. Investment in mining and drilling operations has been a major vehicle for South American growth, and extra-regional investors are now competing in Melanesia and Polynesia for onshore and offshore resource concessions. The commodities boom has led to a commercial rush on the part of interested parties, which in the absence of effective regulatory enforcement and oversight has compounded problems of governance in weak states and contributed to a ‘cowboy’ capitalist culture in some newly opened economic sectors. That culture often involves militarised private security, acceptance of private and public corruption, and direct involvement in contentious local community politics. The hallmark of this approach is self-maximising opportunism, which is accentuated by the lack of shared corporate ethics standards amongst multinational actors with differing approaches to business ethics. Governance issues The problem is made acute in some areas because of the geography and culture of many South Pacific nations. Most of Polynesia is resource-poor outside of traditional fishing and limited agricultural cultivation, now supplemented by traditional and eco-tourism. In Melanesia pre-modern culture often outweighs modern practices, to include traditional forms of deference and authority. These pose risks in two ways. The resource-poor or pre-modern nature of some societies can lead to economic opportunism on the part of decision- 17 One significant aspect of the South Pacific strategic architecture is the absence of effective regulatory and enforcement mechanisms – not many South Pacific states have the enforcement capability to ensure that what is written is followed in practice makers, to include governments. The opportunity can be constructed in several ways. For example, it can take the form of tying contracts and business regulations to political or personal favours. This involves more than lobbying and political endorsements. The sale of tokens of sovereignty has become a major revenue generator for small island states. Innocuous when it comes to things such as stamp issuance and retail flag or other emblem sales, the traffic in tokens of sovereignty has potentially negative consequences when it comes to passports, offshore banking accounts and maritime vessel registration. Loose regulatory environments provide incentives for abuse of sovereign tokens in pursuit of profit or as a cloak on legally nebulous activities. Money laundering in national banks, passport fraud, commercial shipping regulatory evasion and violation of international fishing standards under flags of convenience are common abuses of sovereign tokens. Corruption is a significant regional problem. In island states, the influx of extra-regional money has compounded traditional cultures of tribute, whereby elites exact treasure from subjects and prospective investors or partners. This has eased the way for side-payments and exchanges of favours in pursuit of material and diplomatic gain. A similar situation occurs on the South Pacific periphery, where poor wage conditions for government officials and bureaucrats, coupled with traditional patronage-based approaches to business, contribute to ‘off the books’ rent-seeking. The Antipodean neighbours and Chile have largely honest bureaucracies. However, even they have issues with corruption, in part owed to reduced state oversight in increasingly deregulated domestic markets. Immigration, labour relations, resource licensing and political party-business links have been areas in which non-transparent approaches have been uncovered in these countries. Growing South Pacific commerce has attracted the attention of governments situated along trade routes as points of origin, destination and transit. New taxation and levy schemes will be employed by governments seeking to generate revenue off the increase in trade. Increased taxation will be used to enhance the enforcement capabilities of states, so the regional regulatory environment can be expected to tighten in future years. Assessment The regional investment climate is fluid, but one of strong growth. Given that fluidity, commercial interests need to weigh riskassuming versus risk-avoidance approaches to inter-regional commerce. Risk assumption will not insure against catastrophic loss, but can maximise shortterm opportunities that leave a foundation for long-term returns. Risk-adverse strategies can maximise long-term opportunity by avoiding short-term entry costs and uncertainty, but can lose the means for establishing a foundational stake in the long-term governance of a chosen sector. Private agents should not rely exclusively on home government assurances about foreign investment or trade relations, as diplomatic necessities influence official appraisal of international, regional and bilateral trends. Dr Paul G. Buchanan is the director and principal of 36th Parallel Assessments, a non-partisan, non-governmental geopolitical risk and strategic assessment consultancy which is located in Auckland; for further information, visit www.36th-parallel.com The Chartered Institute of Logistics and Transport in New Zealand Inc. 2013 ANNUAL FORUM AND AWARDS DINNER 17 OCTOBER 2013 FORUM THEME: GETTING CONNECTED – Globally, Nationally and Locally The highlight of the year is the annual CILT NZ Forum and Awards, at which those that have excelled in academic, industry and personal achievement are recognised. Join the CILT NZ Northern Section at Auckland’s Rendezvous Hotel from 10.00am for the morning Forum of presentations, followed by lunch, and then a choice of two afternoon site visits: the Waterview Connection project, one of the country’s most important infrastructure developments; or Pacifica’s container ship Spirit of Endurance in port at Auckland. The CILT NZ AGM will be held at 4.30pm at the Rendezvous Hotel, followed at 6.00pm by the Annual Awards and Dinner. Award nominations are now open If you know of a company, person or project that has made an outstanding achievement this year, nominate them for a CILT Award. Full details are available on the CILT NZ website – click the ‘Awards’ tab Full details of the Forum will be advised shortly – visit www.cilt.co.nz for further information For further information, contact Marilyn Henderson CILT NZ National Office PO Box 1281, Shortland Street, Auckland 1140, New Zealand Phone 09 368 4970 Email [email protected] Website www.cilt.co.nz