Analysis of China`s top 10 listed banks` results for the third
Transcription
Analysis of China`s top 10 listed banks` results for the third
November 2014 Banking Newsletter Analysis of China’s Top 10 Listed Banks’ Results for the Third Quarter of 2014 www.pwccn.com Banking Newsletter Editorial Team: Editor-in-chief: Elaine Wang Deputy-editor-in-chief: Ray Chen, Jeff Deng Special focus: Ray Chen Macro review: Jeff Deng Operating performance: Elsie Gao, Ray Chen Financial position and capital management: Jo Liu, Emma Zhang, Daisy Wu, Elsie Gao Advisory Board: Raymond Yung, Jimmy Leung, Margarita Ho, and Richard Zhu Introduction We are pleased to present the 21st edition of our Banking Newsletter, a quarterly publication showing PwC’s analysis of China’s Top 10 Listed Banks’ performance. The Top 10 Listed Banks, as defined by the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC), are: Large commercial banks Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited (ICBC) China Construction Bank Corporation (CCB) Agricultural Bank of China Limited (ABC) Bank of China Limited (BOC) Bank of Communications Co., Ltd. (BOCOM) Joint-stock commercial banks (JSCBs) China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. (CMB) Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co., Ltd (SPDB) Industrial Bank Corporation Limited (CIB) China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited (CITIC) China Minsheng Banking Corporation Limited (CMBC) The newsletter presents the financial position and operating performance of the Top 10 Listed Banks in the first three quarters of 2014. The total assets of the Top 10 Listed Banks by the end of the third quarter of 2014 accounted for 74.32% of China’s commercial banking sector. The Top 10 Listed Banks are presented according to the size of their total assets as of 31 December 2013. Unless otherwise noted, all of the information in the Newsletter was obtained from publicly available sources (e.g. annual reports of listed banks and statistics from regulators). All the figures are prepared according to PRC Accounting Standards and stated in RMB (except for ratios). For more information, please ask your PwC contacts or any of the Banking and Capital Markets Contacts listed in the Appendix. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 3 Table of Contents Special focus: Overview of the Top 10 Listed Banks’ cross-boarder M&A activities 5 Macro overview 11 Analysis of operating performance 15 Analysis of financial position and capital management 19 Appendix 29 Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 4 Special focus : Overview of the Top 10 Listed Banks’ crossborder M&A activities • 2014: momentum regained • Seeking controlling interests, eyes on emerging markets • Features and risk factors for M&A • Overview of Top 10 Listed Banks’ cross-boarder M&A Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 5 2014: momentum regained If history is a guide, a global presence and diversified business portfolio have helped many international banks to thrive. That is why cross-border mergers & acquisitions (M&A) have been a vital part of Chinese commercial banks’ global strategy. Another robust year by number of deals Since 2006, Chinese banks have accelerated the pace of cross-border M&A, with both amount and volume increasing significantly. The number of deals for Chinese banks reached a record high in 2008. In the last two years, M&A activities have been gathering pace again, with the number of deals in 2014 hitting another record. ICBC the most active buyer Among the Top 10 Listed Banks, the largest tended to be most active in M&A markets. ICBC, the world’s largest bank by market capitalisation, is the most active buyer. Compared to setting up overseas networks, M&A is a more effective way of expanding overseas. ICBC prefers to grow its international business through M&A. Graph 1 Cross-border M&A Deals by Amount and Volume Volume (No. of deals) 5 Amount (In millions) 40,000 35,000 4 30,000 25,000 3 20,000 2 15,000 10,000 1 5,000 - 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Amount Volume Source: Annual reports and other disclosures of the Top 10 Listed Banks Graph 2 Cross-border M&A Amounts and Volume by Banks Volume (No. of deals) Amount (In millions) 60,000 12 50,000 10 40,000 8 30,000 6 20,000 4 10,000 2 - 0 ICBC CCB Amount BOC CMB SPDB CMBC Volume Source: Annual reports and other disclosures of the Top 10 Listed Banks Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 6 Seeking controlling interests, eyes on emerging markets Seeking controlling interests A close examination of the Top 10 Listed Banks’ overseas M&A activities reveals that most banks prefer to acquire controlling interests. As a majority shareholder, banks can better leverage deals to strengthen their existing operations and avoid the risk of losing say. ICBC is a typical example, as most of its 10 M&A deals closed with it gaining controlling interest, except for the acquisition of Standard Bank of South Africa and SinoPac Holdings (of Taiwan) due to regulatory restrictions. Eyes on neighbouring area & emerging markets Before 2006, Top 10 Listed Banks’ cross-boarder M&A were mainly in Greater China region and neighbouring areas like Southeast Asia, with small scale and less frequent. Since 2006, their M&A scope have expanded to America, Europe and Africa. The development pattern can be summarised as: rapid growth in Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, decent presence in Europe, active expansion in Southeast Asia, increased focus on emerging markets such as South America Africa. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC Graph 3 Cross-boarder M&A Deals by Holding Structure 30% With controlling interest With non-controlling interest 70% Source: Annual reports and other disclosures of the Top 10 Listed Banks Graph 4 Cross-boarder M&A Deals by Geographical Regions Volume (No. of deals) Amount (In millions) 40,000 7 35,000 6 30,000 5 25,000 4 20,000 3 15,000 10,000 2 5,000 1 0 HK, Macau North & Taiwan America Amount Europe Southeast South Asia America Africa Volume Source: Annual reports and other disclosures of the Top 10 Listed Banks November 2014 7 Features and risk factors for M&A Features With their corporate clients’ needs for financial services increasing, the Top 10 Listed Banks’ cross-border M&A activities are becoming more diversified, sophisticated and comprehensive: CCB acquired a 72.00% stake in Banco Industrial e Comercial S.A. in 2014, which is the largest M&A deal with controlling interest for a Chinese bank; SPDB acquired South Asia Investment Management Limited in Hong Kong in 2014; CMB managed to get a wide range of licenses for securities, insurance, futures and trust business in Hong Kong by acquiring 53.1o% interest in Wing Lung Bank, marking the beginning of the bank’s business diversification in 2008; ICBC acquired a 20.00% stake in Standard Bank of South Africa in 2006, which is the largest M&A deal with non-controlling interest for a Chinese bank; BOC acquired Singapore Aircraft Leasing Enterprise Pte. Ltd at the end of 2006, and Heritage Fund Management in 2008. Risk factors Not all M&As ended up as expected, due to the inherent risks and complexity of each deal. A number of risk factors need to be considered: Inadequate information obtained due to insufficient preliminary investigation and weak due diligence; Insufficient diversification due to incomprehensive assessment; Higher acquisition costs as a result of inappropriate timing; Acquisition of non-controlling interest leads to the risk of losing say; Synergy after M&A cannot be properly identified and realised; Challenges of employee integration due to cultural differences between entities; Failure of management integration after merger causes problems in operations; Fluctuation of regulatory indicators, eg. capital adequacy, due to M&A; Burden of compliance risks, as banking is a highly regulated industry. Should you require any further information, or wish to further discuss cross-border M&A related matters, please do not hesitate to contact Mr. Nelson Lou, Advisory (M&A) Partner, at +86 (10) 6533 2003. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 8 Overview of Top 10 Listed Banks’ cross-boarder M&A An overview of Top 10 Listed Banks’ cross-boarder M&A deals as follow: Listed Year banks Price Economy % Controlling interest? Bank Halim Indonesia Indonesia 90.00% Yes South Africa 20.00% No Macau 79.93% Yes ICBC 2006 ICBC 2007 USD5.46 billion Standard Bank of South Africa ICBC 2007 MOP4.68 billion Seng Heng Bank of Macau ICBC 2010 Industrial and Commercial Bank CAD15.71 million of China Canada (the former Bank of East Asia Canada) Canada 70.00% 10.00% Yes ICBC 2011 USD140 million Bank of East Asia United States United States 80.00% Yes ICBC 2011 THB3.55 billion Thailand 97.24% Yes ICBC 2011 USD600 million Standard Bank of Argentina Argentina 80.00% Yes ICBC 2013 TWD18.7 billion SinoPac Holdings(Bank SinoPac) Taiwan 20.00% No ICBC 2014 USD770 million Standard Bank Plc United Kingdom 60.00% Yes ICBC 2014 USD316 million Tekstil Bankası A.Ş. Turkey 75.50% Yes CCB 2006 HKD9.71 billion Bank of America Asia Hong Kong 100.00% Yes CCB 2009 USD70 million Hong Kong 100.00% Yes CCB 2013 USD100 million VTB Capital Russia 0.60% No CCB 2014 BRL1.621 billion Banco Industrial e Comercial S.A. Brazil 72.00% Yes BOC 2006 USD965 million Singapore Aircraft Leasing Enterprise Pte. Ltd Singapore 100.00% Yes BOC 2008 EUR236 million La Compagnie Financiere Edmond de Rothschild Banque France 20.00% No BOC 2008 CHF9 million Heritage Fund Management Swiss 30.00% No USD126 million United Commercial Bank(UCBH) United States 9.90% No Hong Kong 53.12% Yes Hong Kong 100.00% Yes CMBC 2008 No data Acquiree ACL Bank of Thailand AIG Finance (Hong Kong) Limited CMB 2008 HKD19.3 billion Wing Lung Bank Ltd. SPDB 2014 HKD8.5 million South Asia Investment Management Limited Source:: Annual Report of Top 10 Listed Banks and Related Announcements Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 9 Banking Newsletter Banking Newsletter PwC NovemberNovember 2014 2014 10 10 Macro overview • China’s economy feeling the pinch, while growth continued to slow globally • Interest rates fluctuated despite ample liquidity Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 11 China’s economy feeling the pinch, while growth continued to slow globally The global economy continued to recover at different paces in 3Q 2014: the US economy recovered sufficiently to end quantitative easing (QE); Japan’s output is weak; Europe is on the brink of recession. China’s growth was still the strongest among emerging economies. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the first three quarter of 2014 remained 7.40%, the same as for the first two quarters. On a quarterly basis, growth in 2014 Q3 slowed slightly to 7.30% from 7.50% in 2Q. While China’s growth remained stable, investment and consumption slowed in the first three quarters. Real estate experienced the most significant slowdown in 3Q 2014, which led to the policy easing by People’s Bank of China (PBoC) and China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) to lift purchasing restrictions and review the definition of “second house”. Mortgagebacked securities (MBS) were encouraged, too. Graph 5 China Quarterly GDP Growth Trend 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 1998 Q2, 7.20% 2009 Q1, 6.60% 4% 2014 Q3, 7.30% 2% 0% Source:National Bureau of Statistics Graph 6 FAI, Real estate Investment and Retail Sales Growth 28% 26% 24% 22% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% Fixed assets investment Growth continue to slow Real estate investment Retail sales Source:National Bureau of Statistics Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 12 Liquidity ample; interest rates fluctuated slightly Price levels were stable in 3Q 2014, with ample liquidity in the market. Open market operations of PBoC show that the bank had been pumping cash into the market (the amount of money injected was greater than that taken out) in the previous two quarters, with the net amount injected in 3Q totalling 173 billion. PBoC recently disclosed it provided a Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) of 500 billion to large commercial banks and the largest joint-stock banks in September, aiming at bring down borrowing costs and overall financing rates. Market interest rates fluctuated slightly in 3Q 2014. Weighted average Shanghai interbank offering rate (SHIBOR) and bondpledged repos went down slightly in September but still higher than it was in June. Graph 7 Net Effect of Open Market Operations by PBoC In billions 900 814 700 533 503 500 369 355 300 173 127 100 (100) -68 -6 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 (300) Q2 Q3 2013 Q4 Q1 Q2 2014 Q3 (500) -524 (700) -706 (900) Source: China Foreign Exchange Trade System Note: The amount in the above graph is the net value of open market operations, i.e. the difference between money injected (maturity of central bank bills and repo agreements, reverse repos) and money taken out (repo agreements, issuing of central bank bills and maturity of reverse repos). A positive amount implies net money injection and negative indicates net money take-out. Graph 8 Weighted-average SHIBOR and Bond-pledged repo rate 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% SHIBOR bond-pledged repo Source: China Foreign Exchange Trade System Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 13 Banking Newsletter Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 2014 November 14 14 Analysis of operating performance • Profit growth slowed; cost control remained strong • ROE dropped by 0.58 ppts QoQ; NIM narrowed slightly • Negative growth for intermediary business Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 15 Profit growth slowed; cost control remained strong In 3Q 2014, the Top 10 Listed Banks realised aggregate net profit of RMB 301.2 billion, 7.02% more than in Q3 2013. The year on year (YoY) growth rate was lower than that of Q3 2013 (12.15%) and Q2 2014 (9.00%). Profit growth for the Top 10 Listed Banks has dropped to single digits since Q2 2014, which indicates that the turning point for profit growth is approaching. In 3Q 2014, the Top 10 Listed Banks continued to improve their cost controls. All of the eight banks that disclosed their cost to income ratio saw a reduction, with the average level falling to below 27% and 1 percentage point lower on a YoY basis. Graph 9 Net profit growth trend of The Top 10 Listed Banks Net profit (in 100 millions) 3,500 15.21% Slowdown in profit growth indicates the approaching turning point YoY growth 18% 3,000 16% 12.15% 2,500 14% 2,000 12% 1,500 10% 1,000 7.02% 8% 500 6% - 4% 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Net Profits YoY Growth Graph 10 Change in Cost-to-income ratio 35% ABC CMBC 30% CMB BOC 25% ICBC CCB BOCOM CIB 20% 2014 Q1-3Q 2013 Q1-3Q Note: SPDB and CITIC did not disclose cost-to-income ratios for the first three quarters of 2014 and 2013 Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 16 ROE dropped by 0.58 ppts QoQ; NIM narrowed slightly In the first three quarters of 2014, the weighted-average ROE declined by 0.58 percentage points to 20.71% as compared with 21.29% in the first half of 2014. Graph 11 Change in ROE for the Top 10 Listed Banks 26% CIB 24% 22% CMBC CCB ABC ICBC CMB 20% BOC 18% CITIC 16% BOCOM 14% SPDB 2014 Q1-Q3 2014 1H Note: To ensure the consistency, the data of SPDB and CIB was annualised Net interest margin (NIM) was disclosed by seven of the listed banks for the first three quarters of 2014. Based on stable yields of inter-bank assets being sustained, the weightedaverage NIM decreased by just 0.01 percentage point compared with that of the first half of 2014. It is increased by 0.04 percentage point compared to the first three quarters of 2013. Graph 12 Change in NIM for 7 Listed Banks 3.0% ABC CCB 2.8% CMBC CMB 2.6% BOCOM 2.4% CITIC 2.2% 2.0% BOC 2014 Q1-Q3 2014 1H Note: ICBC, SPDB and CIB did not disclose NIM for the three quarters of 2014. The data were all annualised. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 17 Negative growth for intermediary business For 2014 3Q, the fees and commissions income of the Top 10 Listed Banks were RMB 134,487 billion, decreasing by 13.94% on a quarter on quarter (QoQ) basis, while it increased by 15.06% in Q3 2013 on a QoQ basis. In 3Q 2014, the fees and commissions income for most of the banks fell on a QoQ basis, partially due to the coming into force of Interim Measures for the Management of the Service Prices of Commercial Banks, jointly issued by PBoC and National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC). Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC Graph 13 Net Fees & Commissions Income Growth, QoQ BOC 200% 150% 100% BOCOM 50% 0% CCB ABC CMB SPDB CITIC ICBC CIB CMBC -50% 2014 Q3 2013 Q3 November 2014 18 Analysis of financial position and capital management • QoQ decline in assets and liabilities • Increases in both the NPL balance and NPL ratio • PBOC provided liquidity support through MLF to the Large Commercial Banks • QoQ increase of CARs driven by Tier-2 capital instruments Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 19 QoQ decline in assets and liabilities Total assets of the Top 10 Listed Banks amounted to RMB 94.98 trillion at the end of 3Q 2014, increasing by 9.17% from the end of 2013. Growth continued to decline. It was their first decline QoQ since 2012, due to pressure on deposits, CBRC’s regulatory requirement (No.127) on inter-bank business and off-balancesheet business. Graph 14 Change of Total Assets at Top 10 Listed Banks 100 10% 80 8% 60 6% 40 -0.29% 4% 20 However, total liabilities decreased by 0.66% from the end of June 2014, which was also the first fall since 2012, mainly due to the decrease in deposits. 1.27% 0.67% 0% -20 -2% Total assets QoQ growth rate Graph 15 Change of Total Liabilities of the Top 10 Listed Banks Total assets (in trillion) 90 QoQ growth 9% 70 7% 50 5% 30 10 -0.66% 3% 1.01% 0.32% 1% -10 -1% Total liabilities Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC 2% 0 The decline for the five largest joint-stock commercial banks was 1.46% QoQ, while growth for the five large commercial banks was 0.03% QoQ. As at the end of 3Q 2014, total liabilities of the Top 10 Listed Banks amounted to RMB 88.60 trillion, with an increase of 9.07% from the end of 2013. QoQ growth rate Total assets (in trillion) QoQ growth rate November 2014 20 Slowdown in QoQ growth of loans on weak demand As at the end of 3Q 2014, total loan balances for the Top 10 Listed Banks were RMB49.91 trillion, increasing by 9.81% as compared to the end of 2013. The growth declined compared to 3Q 2013 (10.56%). Due to the slowdown of growth in deposits and weak demand in the market, total loan balances increased at a lower rate of 12.05% yearon-year, as compared to 13.13% in 3Q 2013 and 12.78% in 2Q 2014. In 2014 3Q, the loan growth rate of the Top 10 Listed Banks declined compared to the first half of 2014 due to the impact of high pressure on maintaining customer deposits, CBRC’s regulatory requirement (No.127) on inter-bank business, development of off-balancesheet business and seasonal fluctuation of credit supply. Graph 16 YoY Growth of Loan Balances Loan balances (in trillions) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 - YoY growth 20% 13.90% 10% 5% 0% Total loans Graph 17 YoY growth rate QoQ Growth of Loan Balances 5% CIB ABC 4% CCB 3% 12.05% 15% 13.13% CMB BOCOM BOC CITICCMBC SPDB ICBC 2% 1% 0% 2014 Q3 Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC 2014 Q2 November 2014 21 Increases in both the NPL balance and NPL ratio As at the end of 3Q 2014, the Top 10 Listed Banks experienced increases in both the NPL ratio and balances, as the quality of credit assets deteriorated. Graph 18 Changes of NPL Balance at the Top 10 Listed Banks NPL balances (in 100 million) 1,200 QoQ growth 50% 1,000 40% 800 The total amount of NPLs amounted to RMB564.05 billion at the end of 3Q 2014 which represented an increase of RMB 44.04 billion or 8.47% from the end of 2Q 2014. NPL growth for the five largest joint stock commercial banks (12.13%) was still higher than that of the five large commercial banks (7.63%). As at the end of 2014 Q3, the NPL ratio reached 1.13%, an increase of 0.07 percentage point compared to the end of 2014 Q2. The NPL increase was due to slower economic growth, which leads to a decline in market demand and increase in credit risks for pro-cyclical industries and small and medium enterprises. These sectors were vulnerable to economic downturn. Credit risk of industries with excess capacity was also on the rise as a result of restructuring of sectors. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC 30% 600 20% 400 10% 200 0 0% 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 QoQ growth Graph 19 Changes of NPL Ratios CITIC 1.40% ABC 1.30% 1.20% 1.10% ICBC BOCOM CCB BOC CMB CMBC CIB 1.00% SPDB 0.90% 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 November 2014 22 The initial impact of new regulation on interbank business ICBC CCB ABC BOC BOCOM 2014.09.30 2014.06.30 58% 58% 2014.09.30 2014.06.30 2014.09.30 2014.06.30 8% 64% 22% 9% 5% 25% 24% 11% 17% 10% 17% 30% 52% 4% 13% 27% 58% 21% 59% 4% 17% 7% 14% 7% 13% 21% Held to maturity Financial assets at fair value Available for sale Receivables CMB 2014.09.30 SPDB Five large Joint-stock Commercial Banks 2014.09.30 2014.09.30 2014.09.30 2014.09.30 36% 2014.06.30 36% 25% 2014.06.30 24% 13% 2014.06.30 15% 29% 26% 19% 4% 42% 4% 46% 3% 18% 65% 4% 63% 20% 34% 4% 42% 2014.06.30 19% 36% 3% 42% 19% 2014.06.30 17% 21% 20% Held to maturity Financial assets at fair value Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC 25% 8%5% 53% 2014.09.30 2014.06.30 8% 8% 9% 23% 49% 2014.09.30 2014.06.30 26% 64% 47% CIB CBRC’s regulations of No.27 which regulated inter-bank businesses, such as trust beneficiary right products and asset management schemes of financial institutions, had some impact on the banks’ investment structure. The proportion of investment in receivables of CMB and CITIC decreased while that of SPDB and CMBC increased relative to 30 June 2014. Five large commercial banks CITIC There was some change in the investment mix for the five largest joint-stock commercial banks, as investment classified as receivables decreased slightly from 50.24% as at 30 June 2014 to 49.36% as at 30 September 2014. Graph 20 Movement in composition investments CMBC The proportion of each investment remained stable for the five large commercial bank at the end of 3Q 2014 relative to the end of 2Q 2014. Held-to-maturity remained the most popular investment and accounted for more than 50% of investment portfolios. 2% 58% 2% 61% 30% 33% 6% 7% 28% 24% Available for sale Receivables November 2014 23 Negative QoQ growth in deposits As at the end of 3Q 2014, total deposits of the Top 10 Listed Banks amounted to RMB69.56 trillion. This is an increase of 6.89% from the end of 2013, but a decrease of 1.98% from the end of June 2014, which is the first negative QoQ growth since 2012. Graph 21 Growth trend of total deposits, QoQ Total Deposits (in Trillions) QoQ growth rate 70 10% 60 8% 50 6% 40 30 4% 20 In September 2014, the CBRC, MoF and PBOC jointly released [2014]No. 236 to monitor banks’ deposit stability and deviation, aiming at to constrain aggressive deposit taking activities. Negative growth in deposits was partly due to this rule. With the impact of the above regulation, most of the Top 10 Listed Banks showed negative growth in deposits in 3Q 2014, compared to 2Q. 1.60% 10 2% 1.37% 0 -1.98% -10 0% -2% Total customer deposit QoQ growth Graph 22 Changes of deposits’ quarterly growth 16% CMB 12% SPDB CIB 8% BOCOM ICBC 4% ABC CITIC CMBC BOC CCB 0% -4% -8% 2014 Q3 Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC 2014 Q2 November 2014 24 Proportion of time deposits increased; QoQ loanto-deposit ratio grew slightly Graph 23 Change of deposit portfolio CIB SPDB CMB BOCOM ABC CCB ICBC As at the end of 3Q 2014, six banks that disclosed the breakdown of deposits saw an increase in the proportion of time deposits compared to the end 2Q 2014. 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. Time deposit 52% 50% 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. 47% 46% 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. Demand deposit 46% 48% 50% 51% 43% 42% 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. 53% 50% 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. 53% 52% 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. 54% 51% 3% 3% 51% 52% 54% 57% 2014.09.30. 2014.06.30. Others 2% 2% 6% 6% 46% 43% 47% 50% 31% 33% 16% 15% 34% 37% 12% 12% Note: The time deposits of CMB represent its bank level balance, while those of other banks represented group level balances. In addition, BOC, CITIC and CMBC offered no information on deposit structure in 2014 Q3 disclosures. As at the end of 3Q 2014, five banks saw an increase in loan-to-deposit ratio as compared to the end of June 2014. This is probably due to the fall in deposits in 3Q 2014. Graph 24 QoQ Change of Loan-to-deposit Ratio 75% BOCOM BOC CCB SPDB CMBC 70% CITIC ICBC CMB 65% CIB 60% ABC 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 Note: CMB,CIB,CITIC and CMBC did not disclose their loan-to-deposit ratios as at the end of third quarter of 2014. ICBC,BOC,BOCOM,SPDB disclosed their loan-to-deposit ratios according to CBRC [2014] 34. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 25 PBoC provided liquidity support through MLF to the large commercial banks The above change reflected the impact of liquidity provided by PBOC to the large commercial banks during September. According to the China Monetary Policy Report ssued by the PBoC, the central bank introduced a new tool of what was called MLF in September. Through this new tool an aggregate of RMB 500 billion was provided to the large commercial banks and joinstock commercial banks in an attempt to bring down the overall borrowing costs (including banks lending rates) and in turn support the real economy. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC Five large commercial banks Graph 25 Change of composition of inter-bank liabilities Five large JSCBs As at the end of 3Q 2014, the five large commercial banks had relatively higher percentages of borrowings from the central bank. The borrowings were doubled as compared to the end 2Q 2014 with an increase of RMB368.64 billion. 2014.09.30 55% 2014.06.30 2014.09.30 2014.06.30 69% 52% 45% 21% 24% 19% 12% 48% 55% Placements from banks and other financial institutions Financial assets sold under repurchase agreements Borrowings from the central bank November 2014 26 QoQ increase of CARs driven by Tier-2 capital instrument At the end of 3Q 2014, the Core Tier-1 Capital Adequacy Ratios (CARs) of the Top 10 Listed Banks as calculated on the basis of the Administrative Rules for Capital Management of Commercial Banks (Provisional) generally increased from 2Q 2014. The increase was primarily due to the higher growth rate in accumulation of retained earnings than that of risk-weighted assets. Graph 26 Comparison of Core Tier-1 CAR, QoQ 13% ICBC CCB 12% BOCOM BOC 11% 10% ICBC, CCB, ABC, BOC, BOCOM and CITIC issued Tier-2 capital bonds during 3Q which led to the increase in their CARs. In October 2014, BOC became the first Chinese bank to issue offshore USD preference shares (for a total amount equivalent to RMB39.94 billion). With more and more banks starting to issue preference shares, banks will further improve their CARs. Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC CIB CITIC CMBC ABC SPDB 9% 8% At the end of 3Q, the weighted-average CAR of the Top 10 Listed Banks was 13.20%, up by 0.61 percentage point from 2Q. CMB 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 Graph 27 Comparison of CAR, QoQ 15% CCB ICBC BOCOM BOC 14% CITIC 13% ABC CMB CIB 12% 10% CMBC SPDB 11% 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 November 2014 27 Newsletter BankingBanking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 2014 November 28 28 Appendix • Financial highlights of the Top 10 Listed Banks • Banking and Capital Markets Contacts • PwC Offices in China Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 29 Financial highlights of the Top 10 Listed Banks Table 1 Income Statements ICBC CCB ABC BOC 1. Net Interest Income 362,934 323,237 317,793 238,775 102,380 82,267 71,508 69,954 70,048 67,405 2. Non-interest income 125,655 105,806 76,173 107,559 32,789 42,760 18,265 20,896 22,520 32,511 2.1. Net fee and commission income 100,885 83,801 65,920 72,078 22,984 34,246 15,647 19,665 18,835 27,810 24,770 22,005 10,253 35,481 9,805 8,514 2,618 1,231 3,685 4,701 3. Operating income 488,589 429,043 393,966 346,334 135,169 125,027 89,773 90,850 92,568 99,916 4. Operating expenses 201,084 185,235 197,728 168,369 68,650 65,153 44,039 41,384 49,552 50,754 5. Operating and administrative expenses 118,873 104,254 121,332 93,462 36,549 35,127 20,665 19,475 25,282 30,486 6. Business tax and surcharges 30,750 25,983 21,718 19,699 9,731 7,783 6,060 6,592 6,496 6,647 7. Other operating cost 19,005 15,574 9,657 16,130 4,061 245 266 197 No data 442 8. Asset impairment losses 32,456 39,424 45,021 39,078 18,309 21,998 17,048 15,120 17,774 13,179 9. Operating profit 287,505 243,808 196,238 177,965 66,519 59,874 45,734 49,466 43,016 49,162 10. Profit before tax 288,231 245,233 197,271 178,335 67,015 60,372 45,859 49,780 43,093 49,349 67,376 54,548 44,766 41,537 15,321 14,453 10,692 11,212 10,240 11,919 220,855 190,685 152,505 136,798 51,694 45,919 35,167 38,568 32,853 37,430 In RMB millions 2.2. Other non-interest income 11. Income tax expenses 12. Net profit BOCOM CMB SPDB CIB CITIC CMBC Table 2 Balance Sheet In RMB millions ICBC CCB ABC BOC BOCOM CMB SPDB CIB CITIC CMBC Total Assets 20,150,956 16,735,863 15,959,249 15,427,957 6,212,718 4,722,648 3,956,642 3,995,577 4,045,887 3,769,341 Total loans and advances to customers 10,603,544 Net investment 4,441,560 3,567,684 3,557,179 2,533,324 1,102,653 994,893 1,063,259 875,259 885,337 461,698 Cash and deposits with central bank 3,472,425 2,737,700 2,810,852 2,560,566 932,196 590,593 489,574 433,425 536,648 438,533 9,102,547 7,650,922 8,256,032 3,396,875 2,384,121 1,920,895 1,450,544 2,070,721 1,714,728 Deposits and placements with banks and other financial institutions 582,741 600,335 950,130 1,050,306 340,462 275,626 173,492 190,676 180,145 271,437 Financial assets held under resale agreements 432,604 317,706 566,629 330,027 155,447 371,451 223,287 909,811 282,134 657,257 N/A 93,503 97,807 78,882 34,459 23,892 14,963 25,318 24,155 15,490 Others 21,825,170 316,388 325,730 618,820 250,626 82,072 71,172 110,544 66,747 210,198 Total Liabilities 18,718,581 15,527,684 15,000,556 14,381,700 5,754,838 4,420,250 3,722,143 3,758,661 3,788,202 3,528,538 Deposits from customers 15,339,964 12,982,406 12,638,575 11,047,285 4,116,546 3,265,520 2,688,621 2,205,228 2,875,725 2,397,690 Interest receivable Deposits and placements from banks and other financial institutions 1,429,869 1,260,899 1,118,068 2,081,343 1,118,686 866,642 727,765 1,215,196 649,442 782,112 Financial assets sold under repurchase agreements 310,136 1,129 35,644 32,714 176,736 48,179 39,556 136,283 52,725 50,037 Debt securities issued 268,726 434,863 331,208 282,002 116,757 101,047 105,410 123,378 126,959 129,829 1,369,886 848,387 877,061 938,356 226,113 138,862 160,791 78,576 83,351 168,870 Others Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 30 Financial highlights of the Top 10 Listed Banks (cont’d) Table 3 Key Financial Ratios of the Top 10 Listed Banks ICBC CCB ABC BOC BOCOM CMB SPDB CIB CITIC CMBC Profitability Return on assets (ROA) 1.51% 1.58% 1.33% 1.24% 1.13% No data 0.92% No data 1.14% No data Return on equity (ROE) 21.52% 22.14% 22.34% 18.03% 15.58% 21.33% 15.92% 17.54% 18.10% 22.71% Net interest spread No data No data 2.75% No data 2.21% 2.30% No data No data No data No data Net interest margin No data 2.80% 2.91% 2.26% 2.40% 2.50% No data No data 2.37% 2.61% Cost-to-income ratio 24.33% 25.21% 30.80% 26.99% 27.39% 28.10% No data 21.65% No data 30.51% 1.06% 1.13% 1.29% 1.07% 1.17% 1.10% 0.96% 0.99% 1.39% 1.04% 105,320 103,466 90,695 40,872 26,923 18,977 14,774 29,428 18,124 234.47% 335.07% 207.70% 201.29% 227.99% 267.90% No data 181.49% 199.96% 9.40% 9.29% 8.73% Asset quality NPL Ratio NPL balances (in millions) 115,471 Provision Coverage ratio 216.60% Capital adequacy Core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio 11.79% 11.65% 8.90% 10.51% 11.10% 10.35% Capital adequacy ratio 14.20% 14.53% 12.38% 13.07% 13.80% 12.28% 10.91% 12.18% 12.99% 10.95% Loan-to-deposit ratio 68.10% 72.02% 63.28% 71.65% 73.92% No data 70.85% No data No data No data Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC 8.63% November 2014 31 Banking and Capital Markets Contacts Assurance Advisory Tax Raymond Yung – Beijing James Chang – Beijing Danny Yiu – Beijing Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2121 Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2755 Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2787 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Margarita Ho – Beijing Addison Everett – Beijing Oliver Kang – Beijing Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2368 Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2345 Tel: +86 (10) 6533 3012 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Richard Zhu – Beijing William Gee – Beijing Matthew Wong – Shanghai Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2236 Tel: +86 (10) 6533 2269 Tel: +86 (21) 2323 3052 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Jimmy Leung – Shanghai William Yung – Shanghai Florence Yip – Hong Kong Tel: +86 (21) 2323 3355 Tel: +86 (21) 2323 1984 Tel: +852 2289 1833 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Michael Hu -Shanghai Matthew Phillips – Hong Kong Assurance – Risk & Quality Tel: +86 (21) 2323 2718 Tel: +852 2289 2303 [email protected] [email protected] Tracy Chen – Shanghai Tel: +86 (21) 2323 3070 Shirley Yeung – Guangzhou Chris Chan – Hong Kong Tel: +86 (20) 3819 2218 Tel: +852 2289 2824 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Nigel Dealy – Hong Kong Tel: +852 2289 1221 Charles Chow – Shenzhen Nelson Lou - Beijing Tel: +86 (755) 8261 8988 Tel:+86 (10) 6533 2003 [email protected] [email protected] Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC [email protected] November 2014 32 PwC Offices in China Beijing Shanghai Hong Kong 26/F, Office Tower A, Beijing Fortune Plaza 11/F, PricewaterhouseCoopers Center, 2 Corporate Avenue 22/F, Prince's Building 7 Dongsanhuan Zhong Road, Chaoyang District 202 Hu Bin Road, Huangpu District Central, Hong Kong Beijing, P.R.C. Shanghai Tel: +852 2289 8888 Zip: 100020 Zip: 200021 Fax: +852 2810 9888 Tel: +86 (10) 6533 8888 Tel: +86 (21) 2323 8888 Fax: +86 (10) 6533 8800 Fax: +86 (21) 2323 8800 Shenzhen Guangzhou Tianjin 34/F, Tower A, Kingkey100 18/F, PricewaterhouseCoopers Center 36/F, The Exchange Tower Two, 5016 Shennan East Road, Luohu District 10 Zhujiang Xi Road, Pearl River New City, Tianhe District 189 Nanjing Road, Heping District Shenzhen, P.R.C Guangzhou, P.R.C. Tianjin, P.R.C. Zip: 518001 Zip: 510623 Zip: 300051 Tel: +86 (755) 8261 8888 Tel: +86 (20) 3819 2000 Tel: +86 (22) 2318 3333 Fax: +86 (755) 8261 8800 Fax: +86 (20) 3819 2100 Fax: +86 (22) 2318 3300 Dalian Qingdao Hangzhou 8F Senmao Building 37/F, Tower One, HNA IMC Center Unit 3205, Canhigh Center 147 Zhongshan Road, Xigang District 234 Yanan Third Road, Shinan District 208 North Huancheng Rd Dalian, P.R.C. Qingdao, P.R.C. Hangzhou, P.R.C. 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Zip: 215028 Zip: 210009 Zip: 710068 Tel: +86 (512) 6273 1888 Tel: +86 (25) 6608 6288 Tel: +86 (29) 8469 2688 Fax: +86 (512) 6273 1800 Fax: +86 (25) 6608 6210 Fax: +86 (29) 8469 2600 Macau Wuhan 29/F, Bank of China Building Unit 04, 41/F Wuhan Wanda Center 323 Avenida Doutor Mario Soares, Macau 96 Linjiang Avenue, Jiyuqiao, Wuchang District, Tel: +853 8799 5111 Wuhan, PRC Fax: +853 8799 5222 Zip: 430060 Tel: +86 (27) 5974 5818 Fax: +86 (27) 5974 5800 Banking Newsletter 普华永道 PwC November 2014 33 www.pwccn.com The newsletter is purposed to provide the general information, and should not be used to replace the professional advice provided by consultants. ©2014PricewaterhouseCoopers Zhong Tian LLP all rights reserved. PwC refers to the Chinese member institutions of PwC network , sometimes refers to the PwC network.. Each member institution is independent. More detail, please enter www.pwc.com/structure .