introduction to the canback global income distribution database (c
Transcription
introduction to the canback global income distribution database (c
INTRODUCTION TO THE CANBACK GLOBAL INCOME DISTRIBUTION DATABASE (C-GIDD) May 2016 MANAGEMENT CONSULTING THROUGH SCIENCE EIU CANBACK Boston, Massachusetts www.canback.com +1-617-399-1300 Agenda Introduction to EIU Canback C-GIDD Classic C-GIDD extensions Leveraging C-GIDD in consulting work Appendix: C-GIDD geographic coverage 2 EIU Canback is an elite management consulting firm anchored in science, predictive analytics, and consumer market knowledge. We serve clients through five practices: Strategy, M&A Due Diligence, Growth, Operations, and Organizational Performance. We operate globally with the world’s largest companies as clients. This has taken us to 77 countries since our founding in 2004. We also offer analytic services with the Canback Global Income Distribution Database (C-GIDD) as our flagship product. EIU Canback is a subsidiary of The Economist Group since 2015. 3 Canback is the leader in scientific and quantitative management consulting, and in particular the use of predictive analytics, which bring better results to organizations MANAGEMENT CONSULTING INDUSTRY S-CURVE A new approach with higher performance Performance Scientific and quantitative management consulting Few, if any, breakthroughs since the early 1990s Traditional management consulting 1900 1960 1990 2016 Canback is the best-known firm in management consulting based on science 4 Canback is often cited in the press, research reports, annual reports, and investor presentations by some of the largest companies and organizations in the world Quarterly divisional seminar: Africa (2015) Quarterly divisional seminar: South Africa (2014) Quarterly divisional seminar: Asia-Pacific (2013) Mapping the Path to Future Prosperity: Emerging Markets Growth Index (2014) Chinese politics: A crisis of faith (2016) Hot spots: Benchmarking Global City Competitiveness (2012) E-Trade: Opening the Wallets of 2.8 Billion People (2015) Abuja +12: Shaping the Future of Health in Africa (2013) 2014 New York Analyst Day (2014) Contextualising the Mass Market Banking Opportunity (2011) Consolidated Annual Report (2012) The Shifting Urban Economic Landscape: What Does it Mean for Cities? (2013) The Future of Retailer Brands (2010) Annual Results Presentation (2013) Amfiteatru Economic: Income Distribution Determinants and Inequality (2014) Constructing Official Inequality Poverty Lines for Countries in Transition (2014) 5 Canback’s focus is management consulting, but we also offer related services. Each service line has predictive analytics based on the scientific method at its core Strategy development 40% Management consulting 75% M&A due diligence 35% Canback Predictive modeling 10% Research 5% Data 10% We pioneered, and are still the world’s only provider of GDP and income data at the subdivision and city level: C-GIDD 6 Canback has offices in twelve key markets. From these offices we have worked on the ground in 58 countries. The core offices have full-time Canback employees CANBACK OFFICES Core office Satellite office Tokyo Jakarta Sao Paulo Mexico City Singapore Shanghai Dubai Chicago Johannesburg Beijing London Boston OFFICE CAPABILITIES Management consulting Predictive analytics C-GIDD Research 7 Canback has worked on the ground in 77 countries and done in-country projects in 58 of those, helping clients draw reliable, fact-based conclusions through data-driven analyses GLOBAL FOOTPRINT Global projects: 14% Europe: 7% United States: 7% Mid America: 11% Asia: 8% Africa: 24% South America: 30% Core office Satellite office Country projects Consultants work travel 8 Agenda Introduction to EIU Canback C-GIDD Classic C-GIDD extensions Leveraging C-GIDD in consulting work Appendix: C-GIDD geographic coverage 9 Data from C-GIDD have been purchased by companies from a wide range of industry areas since the database launched in 2008. Here we highlight some of our repeat customers 10 The Canback Global Income Distribution Database (C-GIDD) is used to quantify market size and demand drivers. C-GIDD is the only commercial database of its kind in the world C-GIDD COVERAGE EXAMPLES OF C-GIDD USES • The world's only database with complete subnational data series • Quantify number of households at specific income or socioeconomic levels • GDP, household income, size of income brackets, size of socioeconomic classes, population • Compare consumer market sizes across geographies in a uniform way • 213 countries, 696 subdivisions and 997 cities • Merge with category or sales data to spot new or under-developed opportunities • Subnational: 2001-2026 National: 1970-2036 EXPLANATORY POWER OF C-GIDD Demand variance explained by income above category-specific thresholds C-GIDD MODULES Televison sets C-GIDD income distribution data Available as a commercial service at cgidd.com Oil consumption Cellphone subscribers C-GIDD economic, demographic, social and psychographic data C-GIDD benchmark products and services data Internal to Canback Internal to Canback Internet users Personal computers McDonald's restaurants Milk consumption Cash machines (ATMs) Insurance premiums Bank deposits Electricity consumption Airline passengers 0.00 0.50 1.00 R2 11 C-GIDD draws on more than 1,600 data sources which are harmonized and econometrically analyzed to extract the most information as possible at the city or subdivision level FROM DISCRETE AND INCOMPLETE SOURCES THROUGH PROPRIETARY HARMONIZATION AND PROJECTION TECHNIQUES TO UP-TO-DATE, HARMONIZED AND COMPREHENSIVE DATABASE WITH A SIMPLE AND INTUITIVE INTERFACE UN and national household economic surveys • Population data • GDP • Household income data Sophisticated econometric models to find true income at city level IMF • Short and medium term economic projections UN and US Census Bureau • Population projections Proprietary purchasing power and cost-of-living adjustments C-GIDD WIDER and national surveys • Income distributions National statistics offices Proprietary income distribution algorithms • City and other subdivision data UN, Eurostat, CityPopulation and national censuses • City data International Comparison Program (ICP) Robust income projection algorithms • PPP data 12 C-GIDD contains detailed income distribution data at varying geographic levels, including 1,000 cities. It allows the user to analyze populations and households in specific cities and at certain income levels – today, in the past, and in the future C-GIDD’s data includes values in US dollars, local currency, and PPP* Total GDP in PPP$ trillions Millions of households with income higher than PPP$ 20,000 2005 constant values 2005 constant values 2014 Shanghai 2019 EU 14.0 US 13.8 China Japan 4.1 16.1 India 4.4 2.8 3.0 2.1 17.6 4.3 4.0 5.1 15.3 11.7 Mumbai 1.6 1.1 0.7 2004 2009 2014 2019 2004 2009 2014 2019 6.0 Millions of middle-class households by location in 2014 Income per household in Egypt in 2014 Socioeconomic levels A, B, C+ and C Egyptian Pounds, 2014 current values Major Cities Other Urban Brazil 5.5 Mexico 5.6 2.5 Argentina Colombia Chile 1.2 0.5 1.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 * Purchasing power parity dollars 3.1 1.8 0.1 121,382 Cairo Rural 0.6 0.7 99,097 Alexandria 88,767 Suez 79,855 Port Said 69,209 Other Urban Rural 49,913 13 C-GIDD also contains socioeconomic level population data, used to conduct powerful growth projections of unique consumption classes Socioeconomic Levels (SEL) We use an international definition developed by AMAI to define socioeconomic levels (SEL) and apply it consistently to all countries (regardless of a country’s own SEL definition). This allows for comparability between countries, subdivisions and cities. The international definition is the most well defined scheme and is independent of climate and culture. BRAZILIAN POPULATION BY SOCIOECONOMIC LEVEL HEALTHCARE CONSUMING CLASS Millions, 1974 - 2034 Millions of people, 2014-2024 110 +64.6% 100 55.0 90 80 70 33.4 Marginalized 60 50 Lower middle 40 Lower Upper middle 30 Middle 20 10 Upper forecast 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Source: C-GIDD; Canback analysis 2014 2024 Healthcare consuming class is statistically demonstrated to comprise middle class and above 14 In many emerging countries the E class (marginalized) is >90% of the population. For more nuanced analysis, we can break down the E class into five unique economic classes TANZANIAN SEL DISTRIBUTION BY REGION TANZANIAN POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY SEL ABC+C <1% 2.1% 5.5% 2.4 % Highest economic level 2.0% 4.3% 11.3% 1.6% 5.2% D+ 4.2% E1 8.6% E2 17.2% E3 35.6% E4 26.6% E5 D 22.6% 33.1% 67.4% 45.9% Lowest economic level 2003 Source: C-GIDD; Canback analysis 2013 2023 Dar Es Salaam Mwanza Mbeya Kagera Tabora Morogoro Kigoma Dodoma Tanga Mara Geita Arusha Kilimanjaro Simiyu Shinyanga Manyara Ruvuma Singida Zanzibar Mtwara Pwani Rukwa Iringa Lindi Njombe Katavi ABC+C D+ D E1 E2 E3 E4 E5 15 C-GIDD can be used to examine macroeconomic and demographic trends beyond numerical indicators, allowing users to gain both broad and in-depth understanding of economies COUNTRY DECKS Completed and available for purchase • Angola • Algeria • Brazil • Cuba • Ethiopia • Ghana • Iran • Mexico • Myanmar • Nigeria • Pakistan • Tanzania In progress • Egypt • Indonesia • Kenya • Saudi Arabia Other country decks readily created on-demand 16 Agenda Introduction to EIU Canback C-GIDD Classic C-GIDD extensions Leveraging C-GIDD in consulting work Appendix: C-GIDD geographic coverage 17 The first type of C-GIDD extension are customized web portals where we adapt C-GIDD to the needs to large corporate customers. This may mean adding category data, age brackets, and adding organizational cuts to the dataset CUSTOMIZED WEB PORTALS FOR ENTERPRISES We work closely with enterprises, including some of the world’s largest corporations, to create customized web portals with seamless access to C-GIDD/customer data. We provide a dedicated support team to meet their needs. Such customers include: Procter & Gamble – C-GIDD includes the traditional variables provided in the public site, plus P&G specific data on consumer profiles and category spending with a 5-year outlook. The site matches P&G’s organizational structure and aggregates cities and countries thereafter. (pg.cgidd.com) Mondelez - C-GIDD site covers the public variables plus food consumption data and demographic data relevant to Mondelez. The site has a 5 year horizon. (mondelez.cgidd.com) CORPORATE ACCOUNT HOLDERS We provide subscription-based C-GIDD access and full support to companies of various sizes to meet their needs on an ongoing basis. Corporate account customers include: INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMERS In addition to providing data to large corporations on a subscription basis, we also work with smaller entities who have occasional data needs. We have over 300 active customers who have purchased C-GIDD in the last 2 years. Such purchases are made by credit card over the web. 18 The second type of extension is to build more detailed datasets. Our sub-Saharan Africa database (sold separately) illustrates this SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA (SSA) DATABASE Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is one of the fastest growing and most attractive regions in the world: “Across Sub-Saharan Africa, consumer demand is fueling the continent’s economies in new ways… ‘The future is about that lower middle class that’s expanding quickly,’ said Staffan Canback” -New York Times, July 2014 Given Sub-Saharan Africa’s rapid growth, large corporations are shifting their focus and devoting more resources to the region. This includes the need to prioritize investment among countries and even cities. These needs led EIU Canback to develop the SSA database. ADVANTAGES OF THE SSA DATABASE 1 With a dataset that includes 393 cities, we offer a wider and more in-depth view of Sub-Saharan African cities. This in turn allows for more accurate as-is evaluations and better-informed to-be projections: • Gross domestic product • Household spending • Income distribution • Socioeconomic levels • Population 2 Data on specific business categories, ranging from number of ATMs to international hotels in each city, allows for more precise strategies and clearer awareness of the playing field 19 The third type of extension is to use C-GIDD together with customer category data from various syndicated sources to model the size of markets today and into the future ORAL CARE DATABASE In 2005, we were commissioned by a client to analyze the manual and rechargeable toothbrush market. Forecasting models, a specialized C-GIDD dataset, and analysis of market dynamics formed the basis for our recommendations Using the oral care database, we were able to estimate demand, measured by disposable income per capita, price, and population. This in turn was used to explain growth with a high degree of accuracy BUILDING THE ORAL CARE DATABASE PREDICTED VERSUS ACTUAL UNITS SOLD Market research data from Nielsen and Euromonitor 2004 - log-log scale 14 R2=0.97 Predicted Client shipment data for 27 countries 12 C-GIDD Economic, demographic, and social indicators provided by the UN, IMF, and World Bank Insights, adjustments, and additional information provided by regional teams 10 8 8 10 Actual 12 14 20 Agenda Introduction to EIU Canback C-GIDD Classic C-GIDD extensions Leveraging C-GIDD in consulting work Appendix: C-GIDD geographic coverage 21 EIU Canback leverages a variety of statistical methods to model demand growth, calculate elasticities and analyze commercial opportunities Using C-GIDD in combination with other data (from client, local statistics agency, etc.) enables powerful analysis. Our analysts regularly create advanced statistical models in our consulting services, and C-GIDD provides the foundation for many of these predictive analytics COMMONLY USED STATISTICAL MODELS POOLED CROSS-SECTIONAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS PRAIS-WINSTEN REGRESSION META ANALYSIS What is it? What is it? What is it? The pooled cross-sectional time series is the hybrid of two traditional methods of comparative research; time series analysis and cross-sectional analysis. A pooled crosssectional time series is a dataset which has observations of multiple cross-sectional units such as countries (X) over time (T) Classic regression study with standard correction for autoregressive or lagged time variable errors. The Prais-Winsten approach is most often the choice for explanatory time series analysis Collect and compare results from different analyses. Meta analysis constitutes an important scientific approach to elasticity calculation. By analyzing results, and not only data, a broader understanding of market movements is achieved ARMAX CONJOINT CLASSIC TIME SERIES What is it? What is it? What is it? A combination of regression and time series. Armax works best for predictions, but the inclusion of time series methods distorts the elasticities. No autoregressive problems Predicts the future based on the past behavior of the dependent variable. Time series do not work on explanatory models since they have no independent variables A choice model to determine which attributes are most influential on respondent choices. Conjoint analysis models trade-offs that are only loosely linked to elasticities 22 In one project, Canback leveraged C-GIDD and our management consulting practice for a market sizing and product launch effort in healthcare OBJECTIVE A large US company seeks to quantify the market potential of parasitic worm prevention/treatment and to understand how it can best capture the opportunity TARGET COUNTRIES DRIVERS OF REDUCED INTESTINAL PARASITE PREVALENCE China Brazil Mexico Philippines C-GIDD database was complemented with data from WHO, UNESCO, and similar databases PRIMARY DRIVERS PARASITIC WORM PREVALENCE DISPOSABLE INCOME 13,364 MATERNAL EDUCATION 17% 17,700 23% 22,508 12,188 23% Disposable income per Household-equivalent in 2005 PPP$ 32% % of women with tertiary education SECONDARY DRIVERS 87% 96% 98% ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE 79% % of children getting DPT3 vaccination 75% SANITATION CONDITIONS 44% QUALITY OF HOUSING 36% 79% 72% % of population with sustained access to improved sanitation 55% 65% 41% % of population living with durable floors, walls, and roofs; water, and electricity 23 Canback identified three clear stages of parasite prevention and visited four countries for consumer insights, health perspectives, and to understand distribution capabilities. STAGES OF PARASITE PREVENTION High prevalence Low socioeconomic readiness High to moderate prevalence High socioeconomic readiness Malaysia Panama Philippines Peru Honduras Interest in prevention of parasitic infections South Africa Thailand El Salvador Paraguay Colombia Indonesia Viet Nam Bangladesh Cambodia Cameroon Guyana Laos Ghana Nepal Guinea China Uganda Nigeria India Kenya Madagascar Ethiopia Burkina Faso Morocco Pakistan BurundiMali Tanzania Algeria Mongolia Mauritania Yemen Low prevalence High socioeconomic readiness Current state of 4 countries under review Argentina Namibia State of 4 countries under review in 10 years time Dominican Republic Oman Botswana Costa Rica Brazil Iran Jordan Mexico Uruguay Saudi Arabia Statistically fitted trendline South Korea • • • • Largest infested population in the world; prevalence declined due to socioeconomic development, but no concerted effort to reduce levels of infection About 60% of survey respondents expressed high-level concern about parasites Prevention has higher appeal than treatment Relative ignorance regarding sources and symptoms of infection Interest in preventing parasites peaks when there is a high level of socioeconomic readiness and a moderate level of prevalence Three preconditions determine whether a branded anthelmintic food product is viable: (1) Socioeconomic readiness to prevent parasitic worms (2) Branded food products consumption (3) Maternal perception of infection risk None of the four countries will reach a stage where prevention is unnecessary for at least another generation Income COUNTRY PROFILE INTERPRETATION FINDINGS FROM CONSUMER ENGAGEMENT Low penetration of powdered beverages and negative brand image impacts the new product perception Believability of the product is a concern Milk has wide appeal as a substitute carrier product Respondents are willing to pay a premium for a new product that fights parasite infection 24 Finally, Canback delivered specific recommendations for a distribution and marketing strategy as well as provided “to-be” market projections for each country WHERE TO SELL OR DISTRIBUTE PROJECTED GROWTH OF FOOD RETAIL Mean score on a scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree) Billion CNY Large supermarkets 3.98 1800 1,615 1600 Given at schools for free 3.91 Primarily shelved with “health food” 3.74 cagr: 9% 1400 1200 1,063 1000 Primarily shelved with “regular food” 3.73 Doctors’ clinics and hospitals 77% 400 2.94 Pharmacy Traditional stores Traditional cagr: 26% 44% 200 0 2.37 56% 800 600 3.08 cagr: 2% Modern 23% 2006 2011 RECOMMENDATION Product A: Extension of preexisting product B: Milk-centric product Small pack sizes for affordability and large pack sizes to give lower unit cost with sustained use Distribution • Skewed to modern trade • Initial focus on greater Shanghai area where modern trade is welldeveloped • Marketing • Social networkdriven: Word-ofmouth • Address believability issues Possible Outcome Price 20-30% premium above current product price • $100M in retail revenue 4-6 years after launch • Contribution to brand image + distribution footprint Shelved with regular food 25 Agenda Introduction to EIU Canback C-GIDD Classic C-GIDD extensions Leveraging C-GIDD in consulting work Appendix: C-GIDD geographic coverage 26 Appendix A C-GIDD countries Updated February 2016 Afghanistan Albania Algeria Andorra Angola Anguilla Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Belize Benin Bermuda Bhutan Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Brunei Bulgaria Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cameroon Canada Cape Verde Cayman Islands Central African Republic Chad Chile China Colombia Comoros Congo-Brazzaville Congo-Kinshasa Cook Islands Costa Rica Cote d'Ivoire Croatia Cuba Curacao Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Djibouti Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Fiji Finland France French Polynesia Gabon Gambia Georgia Germany Ghana Note: Countries in green have subdivisions, see next page Greece Greenland Grenada Guatemala Guinea Guinea-Bissau Guyana Haiti Honduras Hong Kong Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran Iraq Ireland Israel Italy Jamaica Japan Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kiribati Korea, North Korea, South Kosovo Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Laos Latvia Lebanon Lesotho Liberia Libya Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macao Macedonia Madagascar Malawi Malaysia Maldives Mali Malta Marshall Islands Mauritania Mauritius Mexico Micronesia Moldova Monaco Mongolia Montenegro Montserrat Morocco Mozambique Myanmar Namibia Nauru Nepal Netherlands New Caledonia New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Norway Oman Pakistan Palau Palestine Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Puerto Rico Qatar Romania Russia Rwanda Saint Kitts and Nevis Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Samoa San Marino Sao Tome and Principe Saudi Arabia Senegal Serbia Seychelles Sierra Leone Singapore Sint Maarten Slovakia Slovenia Solomon Islands Somalia South Africa South Sudan Spain Sri Lanka Sudan Suriname Swaziland Sweden Switzerland Syria Taiwan Tajikistan Tanzania Thailand Timor-Leste Togo Tonga Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Turks and Caicos Islands Tuvalu Uganda Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States Uruguay Uzbekistan Vanuatu Venezuela Viet Nam Virgin Islands, British Western Sahara Yemen Zambia Zimbabwe 27 Appendix B C-GIDD subdivisions Updated October 2015 Argentina Catamarca Chaco Chubut Ciudad Autonoma de Buenos Aires Cordoba Corrientes Entre Rios Formosa Jujuy La Pampa La Rioja Mendoza Misiones Neuquen Provincia de Buenos Aires Rio Negro Salta San Juan San Luis Santa Cruz Santa Fe Santiago del Estero Tierra del Fuego Tucuman Australia Australian Capital Territory New South Wales Northern Territory Queensland South Australia Tasmania Victoria Western Australia Austria Eastern Austria Southern Austria Western Austria Bangladesh Barisal Chittagong Dhaka Khulna Rajshahi Rangpur Sylhet Belgium Brussels-Capital Region Flemish Region Walloon Region Brazil Acre Alagoas Amapa Amazonas Bahia Ceara Distrito Federal Espirito Santo Goias Maranhao Mato Grosso Mato Grosso do Sul Minas Gerais Para Paraiba Brazil Parana Pernambuco Piaui Rio de Janeiro Rio Grande do Norte Rio Grande do Sul Rondonia Roraima Santa Catarina Sao Paulo Sergipe Tocantins Bulgaria North Bulgaria South Bulgaria Canada Alberta British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick Newfoundland and Labrador Northwest Territories Nova Scotia Nunavut Ontario Prince Edward Island Quebec Saskatchewan Yukon Territory China Anhui Beijing Chongqing Fujian Gansu Guangdong Guangxi Guizhou Hainan Hebei Heilongjiang Henan Hubei Hunan Inner Mongolia Jiangsu Jiangxi Jilin Liaoning Ningxia Qinghai Shaanxi Shandong Shanghai Shanxi Sichuan Tianjin Tibet Xinjiang Yunnan Zhejiang Colombia Amazonia Andina Norte Andina Sur Atlantica Bogota Orinoquia Pacifica Finland Aland Mainland Finland France Bassin Parisien Center-East East Ile de France Mediterranee Nord-Pas-de-Calais Overseas departments South-West West Germany Baden-Wurttemberg Bavaria Berlin Brandenburg Bremen Hamburg Hesse Lower Saxony Mecklenburg-Vorpommern North Rhine-Westphalia 28 C-GIDD subdivisions, continued Germany Rhineland-Palatinate Saarland Saxony Saxony-Anhalt Schleswig-Holstein Thuringia Greece Aegean Islands and Crete Attica Central Greece Northern Greece Hungary Central Hungary Great Plain and North Transdanubia India Andaman and Nicobar Islands Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Assam Bihar Chandigarh Chhattisgarh Dadra and Nagar Haveli Daman and Diu Delhi Goa Gujarat Haryana Himachal Pradesh Jammu and Kashmir India Jharkhand Karnataka Kerala Lakshadweep Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Manipur Meghalaya Mizoram Nagaland Orissa Puducherry Punjab Rajasthan Sikkim Tamil Nadu Telangana Tripura Uttar Pradesh Uttarakhand West Bengal Indonesia Aceh Bali Bangka Belitung Islands Banten Bengkulu Central Jawa Central Kalimantan Central Sulawesi East Jawa East Kalimantan East Nusa Tenggara Indonesia Gorontalo Jakarta Raya Jambi Lampung Maluku North Maluku North Sulawesi North Sumatera Papua Riau Riau Islands South Kalimantan South Sulawesi South Sumatera Southeast Sulawesi West Jawa West Kalimantan West Nusa Tenggara West Papua West Sulawesi West Sumatera Yogyakarta Italy Center Islands North-East North-West South Japan Aichi Akita Aomori Japan Chiba Ehime Fukui Fukuoka Fukushima Gifu Gunma Hiroshima Hokkaido Hyogo Ibaraki Ishikawa Iwate Kagawa Kagoshima Kanagawa Kochi Kumamoto Kyoto Mie Miyagi Miyazaki Nagano Nagasaki Nara Niigata Oita Okayama Okinawa Osaka Saga Saitama Shiga Shimane Japan Shizuoka Tochigi Tokushima Tokyo Tottori Toyama Wakayama Yamagata Yamaguchi Yamanashi Korea, South Busan Chungcheongbugdo Chungcheongnamdo Daegu Daejeon Gang'weondo Gwangju Gyeonggido Gyeongsangbugdo Gyeongsangnamdo Incheon Jejudo Jeonrabugdo Jeonranamdo Seoul Ulsan Mexico Aguascalientes Baja California Baja California Sur Campeche 29 C-GIDD subdivisions, continued Mexico Chiapas Chihuahua Coahuila Colima Distrito Federal Durango Guanajuato Guerrero Hidalgo Jalisco Mexico Michoacan Morelos Nayarit Nuevo Leon Oaxaca Puebla Queretaro Quintana Roo San Luis Potosi Sinaloa Sonora Tabasco Tamaulipas Tlaxcala Veracruz Yucatan Zacatecas Netherlands Eastern Netherlands Northern Netherlands Southern Netherlands Western Netherlands Nigeria Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Federal Capital Territory Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nassarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Nigeria Taraba Yobe Zamfara Pakistan Azad Kashmir Balochistan Federally Administered Tribal Areas Gilgit-Baltistan Islamabad Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Punjab Sindh Philippines ARMM Bicol Cagayan Valley CALABARZON Caraga Central Luzon Central Visayas Cordillera Davao Eastern Visayas Ilocos MIMAROPA National Capital Region Northern Mindanao SOCCSKSARGEN Western Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Poland Central East North North-West South South-West Portugal Azores Continental Portugal Madeira Romania Macroregion 1 Macroregion 2 Macroregion 3 Macroregion 4 Russia Central Far East North Caucasus Northwest Siberia South Ural Volga South Africa Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng KwaZulu-Natal Limpopo South Africa Mpumalanga Northern Cape North-West Western Cape Spain Canary Islands Center East Madrid Northeast Northwest South Sweden Eastern Northern Southern Taiwan Central Eastern Northern Southern Thailand Bangkok and Vicinities Central Eastern Northeastern Northern Southern Western 30 C-GIDD subdivisions, continued Turkey Aegean Central Anatolia Eastern Black Sea Eastern Marmara Istanbul Mediterranean Mideastern Anatolia Northeastern Anatolia Southeastern Anatolia Western Anatolia Western Black Sea Western Marmara United Kingdom East Midlands East of England London North East North West Northern Ireland Scotland South East South West Wales West Midlands Yorkshire and the Humber United States Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado United States Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island United States South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming 31 Appendix C C-GIDD cities Updated October 2015 Afghanistan Kabul Australia Sydney Albania Tirana Austria Vienna Algeria Algiers Constantine Oran Azerbaijan Baku Angola Huambo Luanda Argentina Buenos Aires La Plata Mar del Plata Mendoza Rosario Salta San Miguel de Tucuman Santa Fe Armenia Yerevan Australia Adelaide Brisbane Gold Coast Melbourne Newcastle Perth Bangladesh Chittagong Dhaka Khulna Rajshahi Sylhet Belarus Minsk Belgium Antwerp Brussels Gent Liege Benin Abomey-Calavi Cotonou Bolivia Cochabamba La Paz Santa Cruz Brazil Aracaju Baixada Santista Belem Belo Horizonte Blumenau Brasilia Campinas Campo Grande Cuiaba Curitiba Feira de Santana Florianopolis Fortaleza Goiania Joao Pessoa Joinville Juiz de Fora Jundiai Londrina Maceio Manaus Maringa Natal Porto Alegre Recife Ribeirao Preto Rio de Janeiro Salvador Sao Jose dos Campos Sao Luis Sao Paulo Sorocaba Teresina Uberlandia Brazil Vale do Aco Vitoria Bulgaria Plovdiv Sofia Burkina Faso Bobo Dioulasso Ouagadougou Burundi Bujumbura Cambodia Phnom Penh Cameroon Douala Yaounde Canada Calgary Edmonton Hamilton Montreal Ottawa Quebec Toronto Vancouver Winnipeg Central African Republic Bangui Chad N'Djamena Chile Concepcion Santiago de Chile Valparaiso China Anqing Anshan Anyang Baoding Baoji Baotou Beijing Bengbu Benxi Binzhou Changchun Changde Changsha Changshu Changzhi Changzhou Chaozhou Chengde Chengdu Chenzhou Chifeng Chongqing Cixi China Dalian Dandong Daqing Datong Deyang Dezhou Dongguan Dongying Ezhou Foshan Fuling Fushun Fuxin Fuyang Fuzhou Ganzhou Guangzhou Guigang Guilin Guiyang Haicheng Haikou Handan Hangzhou Harbin Hefei Hegang Hengyang Heze Hohhot Huai'an Huaibei Huainan Huangshi 32 C-GIDD cities, continued China Huizhou Huludao Huzhou Jiamusi Jiangyin Jiaozuo Jiaxing Jieyang Jilin Jimo Jinan Jingzhou Jinhua Jining Jinzhou Jiujiang Jixi Kaifeng Kunming Laiwu Langfang Lanzhou Leshan Lianyungang Liaocheng Liaoyang Linfen Linyi Liu'an Liupanshui Liuyang Liuzhou Lufeng Luohe China Luoyang Luzhou Ma'anshan Maoming Mianyang Mudanjiang Nan'an Nanchang Nanchong Nanjing Nanning Nantong Nanyang Neijiang Ningbo Panjin Panzhihua Pingdingshan Pingxiang Pizhou Puning Putian Qingdao Qingyuan Qinhuangdao Qiqihar Qitaihe Quanzhou Rizhao Rugao Rui'an Shanghai Shangqiu Shantou China Shaoguan Shaoxing Shaoyang Shenyang Shenzhen Shijiazhuang Shiyan Siping Suining Suqian Suzhou Suzhou Taian Taixing Taiyuan Taizhou Taizhou Tangshan Tengzhou Tianjin Tianmen Tianshui Tongliao Urumqi Wanzhou Weifang Weihai Wenling Wenzhou Wuhan Wuhu Wuxi Wuzhou Xiamen China Xi'an Xiangtan Xiangyang Xiantao Xianyang Xiaogan Xinghua Xingtai Xining Xintai Xinxiang Xinyang Xinyu Xuzhou Yancheng Yangquan Yangzhou Yantai Yibin Yichang Yichun Yinchuan Yingkou Yiwu Yongzhou Yueqing Yueyang Yulin Yuyao Zaozhuang Zhangjiakou Zhangzhou Zhanjiang China Zhaoqing Zhengzhou Zhenjiang Zhongshan Zhoushan Zhucheng Zhuhai Zhuji Zhuzhou Zibo Zigong Zoucheng Zunyi Colombia Barranquilla Bogota Bucaramanga Cali Cartagena Cucuta Ibague Medellin Pereira Congo-Brazzaville Brazzaville Pointe-Noire Congo-Kinshasa Bukavu Kananga Kinshasa Congo-Kinshasa Kisangani Lubumbashi Mbuji-Mayi Tshikapa Costa Rica San Jose Cote d'Ivoire Abidjan Bouake Croatia Zagreb Cuba Havana Czech Republic Brno Ostrava Prague Denmark Copenhagen Dominican Republic Santiago de los Caballeros Santo Domingo Ecuador Guayaquil Quito 33 C-GIDD cities, continued Egypt Alexandria Cairo Port Said Suez El Salvador San Salvador Eritrea Asmara Estonia Tallinn Ethiopia Addis Ababa Finland Helsinki France Bordeaux Grenoble Lille Lyon Marseille Montpellier Nantes Nice Paris Rennes Rouen Saint-Etienne Strasbourg France Toulon Toulouse Gabon Libreville Georgia Tbilisi Germany Wurzburg Ghana Accra Kumasi Sekondi Takoradi Greece Athens Thessaloniki Germany Aachen Augsburg Guatemala Berlin Guatemala City Bonn Bremen Guinea Cologne Conakry Dresden Dusseldorf Haiti Erfurt Port-au-Prince Frankfurt Freiburg Honduras Hamburg San Pedro Sula Hannover Tegucigalpa Heidelberg Karlsruhe Hong Kong Kiel Hong Kong Leipzig Mannheim-Ludwigshafen Hungary Munich Budapest Nuremberg Osnabruck India Ruhr Area Agra Saarbrucken Ahmadabad Stuttgart Ajmer India Aligarh Allahabad Amravati Amritsar Asansol Aurangabad Bangalore Bareilly Belgaum Bhavnagar Bhiwandi Bhopal Bhubaneswar Bikaner Bokaro Steel City Chandigarh Chennai Coimbatore Cuttack Dehra Dun Delhi Dhanbad Durgapur Durg-Bhilai Nagar Erode Firozabad Gorakhpur Gulbarga Guntur Guwahati Gwalior Hubli-Dharwad Hyderabad Indore India Jabalpur Jaipur Jalandhar Jammu Jamnagar Jamshedpur Jhansi Jodhpur Kannur Kanpur Kochi Kolhapur Kolkata Kota Kozhikode Lucknow Ludhiana Madurai Malegaon Mangalore Meerut Moradabad Mumbai Mysore Nagpur Nanded Nashik Nellore Patna Puducherry Pune Raipur Rajkot Ranchi India Raurkela Saharanpur Salem Sangli Siliguri Solapur Srinagar Surat Thiruvananthapuram Tiruchirappalli Tiruppur Ujjain Vadodara Varanasi Vijayawada Visakhapatnam Warangal Indonesia Balikpapan Bandar Lampung Bandung Banjarmasin Batam Denpasar Jakarta Jambi Makassar Malang Medan Padang Palembang Pekanbaru Pontianak 34 C-GIDD cities, continued Indonesia Samarinda Semarang Serang Surabaya Tasikmalaya Iran Ahvaz Esfahan Hamadan Karaj Kerman Kermanshah Mashhad Orumiyeh Qom Rasht Shiraz Tabriz Tehran Zahedan Iraq Baghdad Basra Erbil Karbala Kirkuk Mosul Najaf Sulaymaniyah Ireland Dublin Israel Be'er Sheva Haifa Jerusalem Tel Aviv-Jaffa Italy Bari Bologna Catania Florence Genoa Milan Naples Padova Palermo Rome Turin Venice Verona Jamaica Kingston Japan Fukuoka Hamamatsu Himeji Hiroshima Kobe Kumamoto Kyoto Nagoya Niigata Japan Osaka Sapporo Sendai Shizuoka Tokyo Utsunomiya Jordan Amman Kazakhstan Almaty Astana Shymkent Kenya Mombasa Nairobi Korea, North Chongjin Hamhung Pyongyang Korea, South Busan Changwon Cheongju Daegu Daejeon Gwangju Jeonju Seoul Ulsan Kuwait Kuwait City Kyrgyzstan Bishkek Laos Vientiane Latvia Riga Lebanon Beirut Liberia Monrovia Libya Benghazi Misratah Tripoli Lithuania Vilnius Luxembourg Luxembourg Macao Macao Malawi Blantyre Lilongwe Malaysia Ipoh Johor Bahru Kuala Lumpur-Klang Valley Kuching Penang Mali Bamako Mauritania Nouakchott Mexico Acapulco Aguascalientes Cancun Celaya Chihuahua Cuernavaca Culiacan Durango Guadalajara Hermosillo Juarez Leon Merida Mexicali Mexico Mexico City Monterrey Morelia Oaxaca Pachuca Poza Rica Puebla Queretaro Reynosa Saltillo San Luis Potosi Tampico Tijuana Tlaxcala Toluca Torreon Tuxtla Gutierrez Veracruz Villahermosa Xalapa Moldova Chisinau Mongolia Ulaanbaatar Morocco Agadir Casablanca Fes Madagascar Antananarivo 35 C-GIDD cities, continued Morocco Marrakech Meknes Rabat Tangier Mozambique Maputo Matola Nampula Myanmar Mandalay Nay Pyi Taw Rangoon Nepal Kathmandu Netherlands Amsterdam Eindhoven Hague, The Rotterdam Utrecht New Zealand Auckland Nicaragua Managua Niger Niamey Nigeria Aba Abuja Benin City Enugu Ibadan Ilorin Jos Kaduna Kano Lagos Maiduguri Nnewi Onitsha Osogbo Owerri Port Harcourt Uyo Warri Zaria Norway Oslo Oman Muscat Pakistan Bahawalpur Faisalabad Gujranwala Hyderabad Islamabad Karachi Lahore Pakistan Multan Peshawar Quetta Rawalpindi Sargodha Sialkot Palestine Gaza Panama Panama City Paraguay Asuncion Peru Arequipa Chiclayo Lima Trujillo Philippines Antipolo Bacolod Cagayan de Oro Cebu Dasmarinas Davao General Santos City Manila Zamboanga Poland Bydgoszcz Gdansk Katowice Krakow Lodz Lublin Poznan Warsaw Wroclaw Portugal Lisbon Porto Puerto Rico San Juan Qatar Doha Romania Bucharest Russia Astrakhan' Barnaul Chelyabinsk Irkutsk Izhevsk Kazan Kemerovo Khabarovsk Krasnodar Krasnoyarsk Russia Lipetsk Makhachkala Moscow Naberezhnye Chelny Nizhny Novgorod Novokuznetsk Novosibirsk Omsk Orenburg Penza Perm Rostov Ryazan Saint Petersburg Samara Saratov Tolyatti Tomsk Tula Tyumen Ufa Ulyanovsk Vladivostok Volgograd Voronezh Yaroslavl Yekaterinburg Rwanda Kigali Saudi Arabia Dammam Hufuf-Mubarraz Saudi Arabia Jedda Mecca Medina Riyadh Tabuk Ta'if Senegal Dakar Touba Serbia Belgrade Sierra Leone Freetown Singapore Singapore Slovakia Bratislava Slovenia Ljubljana Somalia Hargeysa Mogadishu South Africa Cape Town Durban Emfuleni 36 C-GIDD cities, continued South Africa Johannesburg Port Elizabeth Pretoria Spain Barcelona Bilbao Cordoba Granada Las Palmas Madrid Malaga Murcia Palma di Mallorca Seville Valencia Vigo Zaragoza Sri Lanka Colombo Sudan Khartoum Nyala Sweden Gothenburg Malmo Stockholm Switzerland Geneva Zurich Syria Aleppo Al-Raqqa Damascus Hamah Homs Latakia Taiwan Hsinchu Kaohsiung Taichung-Changhua Tainan Taipei-Keelung Taoyuan-Jhongli Tajikistan Dushanbe Tanzania Dar es Salaam Mwanza Thailand Bangkok Chiang Mai Samut Prakan Togo Lome Tunisia Safaqis Tunis Turkey Adana Ankara Antalya Bursa Diyarbakir Eskisehir Gaziantep Gebze Istanbul Izmir Kayseri Konya Mersin Turkmenistan Ashgabat Uganda Kampala Ukraine Dnipropetrovs'k Donetsk Kharkov Kiev Krivoi Rog Lvov Mykolaiv Odessa Zaporizhzhya United Arab Emirates Abu Dhabi Dubai United Arab Emirates Sharjah United Kingdom Belfast Birmingham Bournemouth Bristol Cardiff Coventry Edinburgh Glasgow Kingston-upon-Hull Leeds-Bradford Leicester Liverpool London Manchester Newcastle Nottingham Portsmouth Sheffield United States Akron Albany Albuquerque Allentown Atlanta Augusta Austin Bakersfield Baltimore Baton Rouge Birmingham United States Boise City Boston Buffalo Charleston Charlotte Chattanooga Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Colorado Springs Columbia Columbus Dallas-Fort Worth Dayton Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach Denver Des Moines Detroit Durham El Paso Fort Myers Fresno Grand Rapids Greensboro Greenville Harrisburg Hartford Honolulu Houston Indianapolis Jackson Jacksonville Kansas City Knoxville 37 C-GIDD cities, continued United States Lakeland Lancaster Las Vegas Little Rock Los Angeles Louisville Madison McAllen Memphis Miami Milwaukee Minneapolis-Saint Paul Modesto Nashville New Haven New Orleans New York Ogden Oklahoma City Omaha Orlando Oxnard Palm Bay Philadelphia Phoenix Pittsburgh Portland Portland Providence Provo-Orem Raleigh United States Uzbekistan Richmond Tashkent Riverside-San Bernardino Rochester Venezuela Sacramento Barcelona-Puerto La Cruz Saint Louis Barquisimeto Salt Lake City Caracas San Antonio Ciudad Guayana San Diego Maracaibo San Francisco Maracay San Jose Valencia Sarasota Scranton Viet Nam Seattle Bien Hoa Spokane Can Tho Springfield Da Nang Stamford Haiphong Stockton Hanoi Syracuse Ho Chi Minh City Tampa Toledo Yemen Tucson Aden Tulsa Sana'a' Virginia Beach Taiz Washington Wichita Zambia Winston-Salem Kitwe Worcester Lusaka Youngstown Zimbabwe Uruguay Bulawayo Montevideo Harare 38 C-GIDD contact information C-GIDD Boston EIU Canback, Inc. 210 Broadway, Suite 303 Cambridge MA 02139 +1-617-399-1300 ext. 210 Bobo Shen [email protected] 39 Canback contact information AMERICAS Boston EIU Canback, Inc. 210 Broadway, Suite 303 Cambridge MA 02139 +1-617-399-1300 Irina Blinova [email protected] Mexico City Chicago EIU Canback USA 500 N. Michigan Ave. Suite 1925 Chicago IL 60611 +1-312-853-3716 or 3823 Tom Andrews Sao Paulo [email protected] EIU Canback Europe 20 Cabot Square London E14 4QW +44-20-7576-8181 Chris Pearce [email protected] Maureen Lanigan [email protected] Canback Mexico Bosque de Ciruelos 194, PH3 Bosques de las Lomas 11700 Ciudad de México, D.F. +52-55-4164-8500 +52-155-4354-9806 Francisco Maciel Morfin [email protected] EIU Canback Brazil Av. Brigadeiro Faria Lima, 3144 3º andar Jardim Paulistano São Paulo, 01451-000 +55-11-3845 4767 Marcio Zanetti [email protected] EUROPE London Asif Chaudhary [email protected] MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA Dubai EIU Canback MENA Aurora Tower, 13th Floor Office 1301A, PO Box 450056 Dubai Media City +971-4433-4202 +971-52-269-8425 Paul Yata [email protected] Johannesburg EIU Canback SA (Pty) Ltd Inanda Greens Business Park Building 8 54 Wierda Road West Wierda Valley, Sandton, 2196 +27-83-786 2450 Arshad Abba [email protected] EIU Canback China Unit 1711, 17/F, Block 1 Taikang Financial Tower 38 East 3rd Ring Rd. North Chaoyang District 100026 +86-10-8571-2188 Alex van Kemenade Singapore EIU Canback Southeast Asia 8 Cross St, #23-01 PWC Bldg. Singapore 048424 +65-6534-5177 Vanny Dang [email protected] Tokyo Shin Ito [email protected] EIU Canback China Rm 2508A, 25/F, Rui Jin Bldg 205 Mao Ming South Rd, Shanghai 200020 +86-21-6473-7128 Seumas Graham EIU Canback Japan Ginza Wall Building UCF 5F 6-13-16 Ginza Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061 +81-3-6338-0002 Jakarta EIU Canback SE Asia Jl. Tiang Bendera 5 no. 2A DKI Jakarta 11230 +62-812-8743 7578 Teddy Purnomo [email protected] ASIA Beijing Shanghai [email protected] [email protected] 40
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