MEĐUNARODNE VALUTE Prvi deo: SAVREMENI PROBLEMI I
Transcription
MEĐUNARODNE VALUTE Prvi deo: SAVREMENI PROBLEMI I
originalni naučni rad UDK 336.744/.746 ; 336.76 MEĐUNARODNE VALUTE Prvi deo: SAVREMENI PROBLEMI I ANTIČKA ISKUSTVA Prof. dr Biljana Stojanović Fakultet za međunarodnu ekonomiju, Beograd, Megatrend univerzitet [email protected] Rezime U savremenim uslovima ne postoji jedinstveni svetski novac. U antičkom periodu su plemeniti metali bili svetski novac a njihov kovani oblik su bile razne monetarne jedinice koje su mogle postati međunarodne valute, kao što je to bio slučaj sa grčkom tetradrahmom i rimskim denariusom. Antičko iskustvo daje nekoliko pouka o neophodnim preduslovima koje jedna valuta mora da ispuni da bi bila prihvaćena kao međunarodna valuta. Prvo, valuta mora da održava stabilnost vrednosti u relativno dužem periodu. Drugo, osnovni faktori stabilnosti valute su: rast privrede, spoljno-ekonomska i fiskalna ravnoteža. Treće, centralizovana organizacija upravljanja novcem je važan uslov stabilnosti valute. Četvrto, politička filozofija upravljanja državom je od fundamentalnog značaja za stabilnost valute jer ona utiče na model upravljanja privredom, te samim tim i na način održavanja fiskalne ravnoteže i privrednog rasta. JEL: B11, F31, P51 Rad primljen: 07.02.2013. Odobren za štampu: 22.02.2013. bankarstvo 2 2013 Ključne reči: svetski novac, međunarodna valuta, međunarodni monetarni sistem, monetarna stabilnost, internacionalizacija valute, tetradrahma, denarius, kovani novac, fiskalni deficit 48 UDC 336.744/.746 ; 336.76 INTERNATIONAL CURRENCIES Part One: CONTEMPORARY PROBLEMS AND EXPERIENCE FROM ANTIQUITY original scientific paper Prof. dr Biljana Stojanović School of International Economy, Belgrade, Megatrend University [email protected] Summary bankarstvo 2 2013 In modern times, there is no single world money that globally prevails. In the period of antiquity (classical Greece and Rome), precious metals were recognised as the world money and their minted coins deemed to be appropriate monetary units that could acquire the status of international currency, as was the Greek tetradrachm and the Roman denarius. Experience from antiquity offers quite a few lessons on the prerequisites required for any single currency to be recognised as an international currency. Firstly, currency must maintain value stability over a rather substantial period of time. Secondly, the underlying currency stability factors are: economic growth, foreign economic and fiscal equilibrium. Thirdly, centralised money management organisation stands as an important prerequisite for stability of currency. Fourthly, political philosophy of state management is of fundamental importance for stability of currency as it impacts the model applied to the managing economy, and hence the manner of maintaining fiscal equilibrium and economic growth. 49 Key words: world money, international currency, international monetary system, monetary stability, currency globalisation, tetradrachm, denarius, minted coin money, fiscal deficit JEL: B11, F31, P51 Paper received: 07.02.2013 Approved for publishing: 22.02.2013 Savremena finansijska i ekonomska kriza dala je novi impuls za aktivnosti i diskusije o budućnosti međunarodnog monetarnog sistema (MMS). Tako je već novembra 2008. održan samit svetskih lidera u Vašingtonu sa ciljem da se započne proces sklapanja sporazuma o “novom Breton-vudsu” - novom MMS za 21. vek koji bi, kao i prethodni breton-vudski sistem (BVS) koji je trajao do 1973. obezbeđivao stabilnost međunarodnih monetarnih odnosa i finansijskih tržišta [Boughton, 2009]. U akademskoj literaturi ove diskusije traju upravo od rušenja BVS sa ciljem da se koncipira reforma MMS koja bi otklonila postojeće slabosti. Jedna od osnovnih slabosti je nerešeno pitanje mehanizma regulisanja međunarodne likvidnosti u skladu sa potrebama međunarodnog ekonomskog sistema, što se svodi na pitanje adekvatnog izbora svetskog novca i njegovog emitenta. Umesto jedinstvenog međunarodnog novca koga emituje neka supranacionalna vlast, funkciju svetskog novca danas igraju nacionalne valute koje su međusobno povezane sistemom plivajućih kurseva. Druga osnovna slabost se sastoji u tome što ne postoji ugrađeni mehanizam koji bi naterao zemlje čije valute igraju ulogu svetskog novca, kao i suficitne zemlje, na makroekonomsko i platno-bilansno prilagođavanje. Polazeći od definicije da MMS predstavlja skup “pravila igre” [Mc Kinnon, 1993]1 tj. institucija i monetarnih pravila koja obezbeđuju stabilnost međunarodnih monetarnih odnosa, s jedne strane i od mehanizma zlatnog standarda, sa druge strane, nobelovac Robert Mandel naglašava da MMS danas u suštini ne postoji [Mundell, 1997]. Oni koji se sa njim slažu, koriste termin međunarodni monetarni “ne-sistem” kada govore o funkcionisanju savremenog MMS [Lago, Duttagupta and 1 Goyal, 2009]. Prema ovom tumačenju, ono što sada postoji su samo nacionalni monetarni sistemi koji su međusobno povezani nacionalnim odlukama o modelu uključenosti u međunarodne monetarne odnose, pre svega, izborom sistema deviznog kursa i određenog nivoa deviznih i kapitalnih ograničenja. Iako i dalje postoji Međunarodni monetarni fond (MMF) koji je 1944. stvoren sa ambicijom da postane centralna međunarodna monetarna institucija, današnji MMS, ne samo da nema jedinstven svetski novac, već ne obezbeđuje ni čvrstu povezanost nacionalnih valuta i preko toga nacionalnih privreda. Ovu razdeljenost na nacionalne valute je još početkom 19. veka Džon Stjuart Mil (1773-1836) nazivao monetarnim varvarstvom [Mundell, 2005]. Smatra se da je MMS u ovakvom stanju zato što je MMF rušenjem BVS izgubio najvažnije instrumente koje je do tada imao za održavanje međunarodne monetarne stabilnosti - generalni sistem fiksnog deviznog kursa i zlato kao denominator tog sistema. Ovim je oslabljena uloga MMF kao centralne međunarodne monetarne institucije što je vodilo i u promenu njegovog karaktera pa se MMF pretvorio u ad hoc forum za nadgledanje deviznih kurseva, međunarodnih dugova i makroekonomskih politika zemalja članica, tj. u konsultanta za nacionalne makroekonomske politike [Mundell, 1997]. Zbog ove promene karaktera MMF-a, nije mogla da se do kraja realizuje ideja da Specijalna prava vučenja (SPV), koje je MMF počeo da emituje 1969. zamene zlato i američki dolar u funkciji svetskog novca, iako je Drugi amandman na Statut MMF-a (1978) obavezao zemlje članice da u saradnji sa MMF-om učine SPV glavnom rezervnom valutom [Articles of Agreement, IMF, 1978]. U stvarnosti se desilo suprotno - učečće SPV se u svetskim rezervama vremenom smanjivalo i to sa oko 8% (1971), na oko 2% (2000) i konačno na ispod 1% (2008) [Rogoff and Brau, 2001]. Smatra se da je izraz “pravila igre” (“rules of the game”), uveo J.M. Kejns u svom radu “Ekonomske posledice gospodina Čerčila” iz 1925. govoreći o “pravilima zlatnog standarda” koja su prisiljavala Banku Engleske da vrši kreditnu kontrakciju. Kejns, međutim, nikada nije napravio listu tih pravila na jedan sistematičan način ali je zato izraz koji je on upotrebio ostao u ekonomskoj teoriji da označava uređeni sistem međunarodnih monetarnih odnosa. bankarstvo 2 2013 Uvod 50 bankarstvo 2 2013 Introduction 51 The contemporary financial and economic crisis gave a new impetus to activities and discussions focused on the future of the International Monetary System (IMS). Thus already in November 2008, summit meeting was held of the world leaders in Washington D.C. with the objective of initiating a process of contracting an agreement on “A New Bretton Woods” - a new IMS for the 21st century, which would secure, just like the previous BrettonWoods System (BWS) had done up to 1973, stability of the international monetary relations and financial markets [Boughton, 2009]. In the academic literature these discussions have been continuing actually throughout the period from the collapse of the BWS, with the aim of conceiving such a reform of the IMS that would eliminate the identified weaknesses therein. One of the basic drawbacks was the unresolved matter of the mechanism for regulating international liquidity concordant with the requirements of the international economic system, which comes down to the question of an adequate selection of the world currency and its issuer. Instead of having international money issued by some supranational government, the function of the world money is exercised today by the national currencies which are mutually connected through the system of the fluctuating exchange rates. The second basic flaw is the absence of any built-in mechanism that would force countries with currencies playing the role of world money, and those countries having surplus revenues, to engage in macro-economic and balance of payment adjustments. Starting from the definition that the IMS is a set of the “rules of the game” [McKinnon, 1993]1, i.e. institutions and currency regulations providing for stability in international monetary relations, on the one hand, and the mechanisms of the gold standard, on the other, the Nobel Prize Winner, Robert Mundell, argues that the IMS, in essence, is not in existence today [Mundell, 1 1997]. Those who concur with his argument would rather use the term international monetary “non-system” when speaking of the functioning of the contemporary IMS [Lago, Duttagupta and Goyal, 2009]. According to this interpretation, what is present at this day and age are only the national monetary systems which are mutually connected through national decisions selecting the model for their participation in the international monetary relations and, most of all, deciding on the choice of the exchange rate system and a certain level of foreign currency and capital limitations. Although the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is still present and operating, which was created in the year 1944 with the ambition of becoming the central international monetary institution, the present-day IMS is not only short of any single world money, but it can not even provide for any strong connection between the national currencies, and hence, between the national economies. This division into national currencies was called, even as early as the beginning of the 19th century by John Stewart Mill (1773-1836), a monetary barbarism [Mundell, 2005]. Opinions that the IMS is in such a poor state because the IMF, with the collapse of the BWS, lost its most important instruments that it had available until then to maintain international monetary stability - the global system of a fixed exchange rates, and gold as the common denominator of this system. Thus the role of the IMF as the central international monetary institution was weakened, which led to the change of its character as well, so that the IMF turned into an ad hoc forum for supervision of exchange rates, international indebtedness and macro-economic policies of the membercountries, i.e. it became a consultant for national macro-economic policies [Mundell, 1997]. This change in character of the IMF prevented the idea on the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) to be fully implemented, which the IMF started issuing in 1969, with the intent of replacing gold and the US dollar in the function of the world It is deemed that the expression “rules of the game” was introduced by J.M. Keynes in his work “Economic Consequences of Mr. Churchill” in 1925, when speaking of the “rules of gold standard” that were forcing the Bank of England to conduct crediting contraction. Keynes, however, never had made a list of such rules in any systematic manner, but the term that he used was to remain in economic theory as designation for a regulated system of international monetary relations. je da je MMF kao antikriznu meru 2009. izvršio novu alokaciju SPV kojom su povećani ukupni svetski holdinzi SPV sa 21,4 milijarde na 204,0 milijarde. Ovo desetostruko povećanje podiglo je učešće SPV u rezervma na 4% ali je to nedovoljno za potpunu afirmaciju SPV u ulozi rezervne valute i drugih funkcija svetskog novca [Moghadam, 2011]. Prateći trend korišćenja monetarne istorije kao proksi laboratorije, u ovom radu će se prikazati dve antičke međunarodne valute - grčka tetradrahma i rimski denarius sa ciljem da se izvuku pouke za sadašnjost i budućnost. Pri tome će se prvo dati teorijsko-metodološke osnove analize, zatim će se prikazati osnovne karakteristike ovih valuta i na kraju dati zaključak o faktorima koji su učinili da ove valute igraju ulogu svetskog novca. Grafikon 1. Učešće SPV u rezervama i međunarodnoj trgovini 1969-2014 Optimistička očekivanja da će se SPV, budući korpa valuta koja garantuje veću stabilnost od nacionalnih valuta, afirmisati u ulozi denominatora za valutne paritete i za iskazivanje finansijskih instrumenata, takođe se nisu ostvarila. Vezivanje nacionalnih valuta za SPV je bilo najveće tokom 1970-ih, pre svega zato što je u toj deceniji američki dolar permanentno slabio. Sredinom 1980-ih, svega 15 nacionalnih valuta je bilo vezano za SPV a krajem 1989. taj broj je pao na sedam [Boughton, 2001]. Tokom 1990-ih, prosečno je godišnje tek oko pet valuta bilo vezano za SPV dok u 2011. više nijedna valuta nije koristila SPV kao denominator [IMF Annual Report, 1999 i 2011]. Interesantno je da je, umesto SPV, jedna druga novostvorena korpa - Evropska valutna jedinica (eki - prethodnica evra), potisnula SPV u rezervama i to već od trenutka njenog nastanka 1979. [Boughton, 2001]. U savremenim razmatranjima o reformi MMS za 21. vek, primetno je da se veliki broj radova bavi analizom evolucije MMS tj. koristi monetarnu istoriju kao proksi ekonomsku laboratoriju. Mnogi autori su analizirali mogućnost uspostavljanja jedinstvenog svetskog novca, u obliku zlata ili neke supranacionalne valute - posebno SPV, kao meru koja bi globalizovanoj svetskoj privredi dala jedan stabilan globalizovani MMS [Capie, Wood, 2001 i Mundell, 1997, 2005]. U praksi, međutim, iako su SPV, eki i njegov naslednik evro, institucionalizovane supranacionalne valute, ni jedna od njih još uvek nije zamenila američki dolar u funkciji glavne međunarodne valute [Bordo, James 2011]. Ipak, indikativno Šta je svetski novac a šta međunarodna valuta? Pojmovi “svetski novac” i “međunarodna valuta” se razlikuju. Izraz “svetski novac” se koristi kao teorijski pojam a međunarodna valuta je otelotvorenje teorijskog pojma u privrednoj praksi. U engleskoj termminologiji se za svetski novac koristi izraz “world money” a međunarodna valuta se pojavljuje pod sledećim terminima: “international currency”, “leadnig currency”, “world currency” i “key currency”. U monetarnoj teoriji se pod svetskim novcem podrazumeva jedna od funkcija novca koja se pojavljuje onda kada neki monetarni medij (u bilo kom obliku - primitivnog, nekovanog, kovanog, papirnog ili elektronskog novca) počne da igra funkcije novca - mere vrednosti, prometnog sredstva, platežnog sredstva i blaga, u međunarodnim razmerama, tj. izvan područja monetarne vlasti koja ga je emitovala. Za taj monetarni medij se onda kaže da je međunarodni novac. Pošto je i sam novac evoluirao u svom pojavnom obliku - od primitivnog (kauri školjka, platno, stoka, zubi od kita, pšenica itd), preko nekovanog metala, kovanog novca, papirnog novca (certifikati, banknote, čist papirni novac) do elektronskog novca, onda bankarstvo 2 2013 Izvor: Rogoff and Brau, [2001]. 52 In the modern-days contemplations on the IMS reforms for the 21st century, it is notable that a large number of studies are engaged in the analysis of the IMS evolution, i.e. that it is using monetary history as a proxy for an economic laboratory. Many authors are analysing the options for establishing a single world money, in the form of gold or some supra-national currency - especially the SDR, as a measure that would provide the globalised world economy with a single stable globalised IMS [Capie, Wood, Graph 1 Share of the SDR in reserves and international 2011 and Mundell, 1997, 2005]. In trade 1969-2014 practice, however, although the SDR, ECU and its successor EUR are the institutionalised supra-national currencies, none of them has as yet replaced the US dollar in the function of the main international currency [Bordo, James 2011]. Nevertheless, it is indicative that the IMF has engaged in 2009, in the form of an anti-crisis measure, in the new allocation of the SDR which increased the total world Source: Rogoff and Brau, 2001. SDR holdings from 21.4 billion to 204.0 billion. This ten-fold increase raised the share of the SDR in the Optimistic expectations that the SDR, reserves to 4%, but this was insufficient for the being the currency basket which guarantees full affirmation of the SDR in the role of the higher stability than the national currencies, reserve currency and other functions of the will be confirmed in the role of the common world money [Moghadam, 2011]. denominator for the currency parities and Following in the trend using monetary expression of financial instruments, have history as a proxy laboratory, this paper will also failed to materialise. Linking of national present two international currencies from the currencies to the SDR was the highest during the times of antiquity - Classical Greece and Rome, 1970s, primarily because during that decade the the Greek tetradrachm and the Roman denarius, US dollar was permanently on the fall. In midwith the aim of learning lessons from them both 1980s, only 15 of the national currencies were for the sake of our present day’s improvement pegged to the SDR, and by the end of 1989 this and for the future times to come. But firstly it number fell to only seven of them [Boughton, is necessary to give theoretical-methodological 2001]. During the 1990s, there was an annual basis for the analysis, and then to present the average of only some five currencies that were basic characteristics of the said currencies, and pegged to the SDR, while in 2011 none of the finally draw conclusions on the factors that currencies was using the SDR as the common have made it possible for these currencies to denominator [IMF Annual Report, 1999 and play the role of the world money. 2011]. It is interesting to note that, instead of the SDR, another newly created basket What is world money, and what is international currency? European Currency Unit (ECU - precursor to EURO) suppressed the SDR in reserves and this from the very moment of its inception in 1979 The notion “world money” and that of [Boughton, 2001]. the “international currency” are two different bankarstvo 2 2013 money, although the Second Amendment to the IMF Statute (1978) prescribed mandatory for the member-countries, in cooperation with the IMF, to render the SDR status of the main reserve currency [Articles of Agreement, IMF, 1978]. In reality, it was the opposite that happened - the share of the SDR is the world reserves was falling in time, and this from some 8% (in 1971) to some 2% (in 2000), finally to fall below 1% (in 2008) [Rogoff and Brau, 2001]. 53 su se u funkciji svetskog novca pojavljivali različiti konkretni oblici monetarnih medija. U najvećem delu rane monetarne istorije su plemeniti metali u nekovanom obliku, od prvih malih neoblikovanih komada (dumps) do poluga (bullion, ingot), svuda u svetu predstavljali međunarodni novac koji se prihvatao pensatornim plaćanjem (merenjem). Onda se pojavio kovani novac (coin) koji je od sedmog veka pre n. e. bio u opštoj upotrebi u Kini, Lidiji (Mala Azija) i Indiji [Stojanović, 2005 i Lal Gupta 1969]. Kovani novac je na scenu uveo monetarnu jedinicu (currency/ monetary unit) kao tačno utvrđenu količinu plemenitog metala pa su se plaćanja olakšala jer su sada moglada se obavljaju brojanjem. Grčke drahme, rimski denarius, vizantijski solidus, venecijanski dukat, arapski dirhem i florentinski florin su kovane monetarne jedinice koje spadaju u najznačajnije međunarodne valute do 18. veka. Sa stvaranjem modernih nacionalnih država, monetarne jedinice sublimiraju u nacionale valute jer dobijaju od države isključivo pravo, tj. monopol da igraju sve funkcije novca na državnoj teritoriji (legal tender) [Stojanović, 2003]. Nacionalne valute koje su u periodu od 18. do kraja 20. veka, bile najvažnije međunarodne valute su britanska funta i američki dolar. Pored nabrojanih, u Tabeli 1 su prikazane i ostale međunarodne valute (monetarne jedinice i nacionalne valute) koje su u naznačenim periodima igrale ulogu svetskog novca. Od svih tih valuta, ulogu svetskog novca su najduže igrale grčka tetradrahma, rimski denarius, vizantijski solidus (nomizma, perper), britanska funta i američki dolar. Prikaz tih valuta će se dati u seriji od tri rada. U ovom prvom će se dati analiza prve dve, antičke valute. Tabela 1: Međunarodne valute od antike do danas Zemlja Period Zlato Srebro Grčka 7-3 vek pre n. e.* Persija 6-4 vek pre n. e. darik Makedonija 4-2 vek pre n. e. filipik Rim 3 vek pre n. e. - 4 vek aureus denarius Vizantija 4-12 vek solidus /nomizma/ perper silikva Islamske zemlje 7-13 vek dinar dirhem Franačka država 8-11 vek Italijanski gradovi države 13-16 vek dukat, florin, cekin groš (veliki dinar) Francuska 13-18 vek denier, zlatni Louis d’or livra Nemačka 14-19 vek Holandija 17-18 vek gilder stiver Francuska 1803-1870 franak (20 i 40) franak Velika Britanija 1816-1914 funta sterlinga (”Sovereign”) peni, šiling SAD od 1915 dolar (“Eagle”) EU od 1999 Papir atinska drahma tetradrahma šekel dinar taler dolar stiver 1573 dolar 1973 evro bankarstvo 2 2013 Izvor: 1. Mundell [1999] 2. Stojanović [2005] * n. e. = nova era 54 bankarstvo 2 2013 55 notions. The term “world money” is used as a theoretical term, while the “international currency” is a personification of a theoretic notion in the economic practices. In the English terminology to designate world money the term “world money” is used, while the international currency appears under the following terms: “international currency”, “leading currency”, “world currency”, and “key currency”. In the monetary theory, the notion of world money describes the function of such money which is manifested once the designate monetary medium (in any form whatever - either primitive, nonminted, coined, paper, or electronic money) starts to play the role of money - as a measure of value, tool for a global turnover, payment and wealth asset, within international proportions, i.e. well above and beyond the area of monetary authority that has issued it. Such a monetary medium is then called an international monetary unit. The money itself, having evolved in its original form - from a primitive (kauri shell, canvas, cattle, whale tooth, wheat, etc.), through the non-minted money, to the coined money, paper money (certificates, banknotes, pure paper money), and up to the electronic money, what appeared in the function of the world money were the different concrete forms of monetary media. In the major part of the early monetary history what prevail are the precious metals in a non-coined form, from the earliest small formless pieces (dumps), up to the gold ingots (bullions), all over the world representing international money accepted and recognised through the pensatorium payment (payment by measurement). Thereupon, what emerged was the coined money (coin) which was, starting from the seventh century B.C., in general use in China, in Lydia (Asia Minor), and in India [Stojanovic, 2005, and Lal Gupta, 1969]. Coined money introduced on the world scene a monetary unit (currency/monetary unit) as a precisely determined quantity of precious metal, so that the process of payment transactions could be facilitated as they could now be carried out by counting alone. The Greek drachma, the Roman denarius, Byzantine solidus, Venetian ducat, Arab dirham, and Florentine florin are the monetary units that belong within the ranks of the most important international currencies up to the 18th century. With the creation of the modern-times nation states, monetary units were sublimed into national currencies as they are awarded by the state an exclusive right, i.e. a monopoly, to play the function of money throughout the state territory (legal tender) [Stojanovic, 2003]. National currencies, which played the role of the most important international currencies, from the 18th and up to the end of the 20th century, were the British pound sterling and the US dollar. In addition to the above currencies, Table 1 presents some other international currencies (monetary units and national currencies) that have played in the designated periods the role of the world money. Amongst all of those currencies, the role of the world money was played for the longest period of time by the Greek tetradrachm, the Roman denarius, Byzantine solidus (nomisma perper), British pound sterling, and the US dollar. Presentation of these currencies will the given in the series of three research studies. In this first of the three studies, an analysis will be presented of the earliest two currencies, the ones from antiquity (the classical Greece and Rome) period. Funkcije međunarodne valute Monetarna istorija pokazuje da internacionalizacija valute započinje igranjem uloge sredstva prometa i plaćanja u međunarodnim razmerama, tako da valuta postaje najvažnija međunarodna transakciona valuta. Redovna je pojava, što se vidi i iz Tabele 1, da je transakcionu ulogu dobijala monetarna jedinica zemlje koja je bila najveća trgovačka sila svoga doba. Na primer, u staroj Grčkoj su gotovo svi polisi kovali svoje veoma kvalitetne srebrne drahme (različitih metričkih i slikovnih karakteristika) ali je najvažnija međunarodna valuta bila atinska tetradrahma zato što je Atina bila najveća trgovačka sila u starogrčkom svetu. Međunarodna transakciona valuta koja je stekla poverenje u prometu, gotovo redovno je dobijala i ulogu međunarodne mere vrednosti čime se povećavao stepen njene internacionalizacije. Kao međunarodna mera vrednosti, valuta je postajala glavna fakturna valuta jer se najveći deo cena robe u međunarodnoj trgovini počeo da izražava tom valutom. Funkcija međunarodne mere vrednosti se u modernom dobu proširivala, naročito sa napuštanjem zlatnog standarda, time što je međunarodna valuta počinjala da služi za izražavanje vrednosti (valutnog pariteta) ostalih valuta što se u teoriji definiše kao funkcija denominatora. U svim sistemima fiksnog deviznog kursa, funkcija denominatora je direktno i automatski obezbeđivala toj valuti status glavne interventne pa otuda i rezervne valute. Sa intenziviranjem međunarodnog kretanja kapitala, posebno od 18. veka, međunarodna 2 valuta dobija i ulogu nosača (vehicle) tih kretanja. Najveći deo finansijskih instrumenata (bankarskih zajmova i depozita, obveznica, akcija i ostalih hartija od vrednosti) uvek je bio izražen u glavnoj međunarodnoj valuti. Neke najvažnije međunarodne valute su krajem 20. veka dobile još jednu funkciju - počele su da zamenjuju nacionalne valute u obavljanju funkcija novca u nacionalnim monetarnim sistemima. Ova pojava je poznato kao valutna supstitucija tj. dolarizacija (evroizacija). Od 1970-ih je valutna supstitucija intenzivirana sa prelaskom svih nacionalnih valuta na papirni standard i to u kontekstu visokih stopa inflacije kombinovanih sa liberalizacijom deviznog poslovanja [Ćirović, 2000]. U velikim razmerama je valutna supstitucija najpre započela u nekim zemljama Latinske Amerike a kasnije se proširila i pojavila 1990-ih u zemljama u tranziciji [IMF Annual Report, 1998]. Valutnu supstituciju treba razlikovati od ranije prakse slobodnog međunarodnog kretanja valuta koja je značila nesmetan ulazak stranih valuta u domaću monetarnu cirkulaciju i njihovo korišćenje za unutrašnje transakcije. Ova sloboda je bila uobičajena u gotovo svim državama a ograničavana je, ili zabranjivana, samo onda kada je trebalo zaštititi domaću cirkulaciju od iskvarene (debased) tj. nepunovredne strane valute. Tek od 1800. sa stvaranjem suverenih nacionalnih država, dolazi do uvođenja monopola domaće valute u domaćoj cirkulaciji što je, kao što je to već rečeno, dovelo do sublimacije monetarne jedinice u nacionalnu valutu [Cohen, 2000]. Monetarni nacionalizam je suverenoj državi davao mogućnost da koristi nacionalnu valutu prevashodno za realizaciju nacionalnih ciljeva a primarni cilj svih zemalja je bio ekonomski rast. Suverene države su sa monetarnim monopolom dobile mogućnost da mnogo lakše nego ranije koriste ekspanzivnu monetarnu i fiskalnu politiku radi postizanja što viših stopa privrednog rasta [Cohen, 2000].2 Dugotrajno i/ili prekomerno korišćenje ove mogućnosti je, međutim, mnoge nacionalne valute Zavođenje monopola nacionalne valute je državi, osim autonommnosti u vođenju finansijske politike, donosilo i druge koristi među kojima su najznačajnije dve: 1. političko-psihološke (jer je nacionalna valuta jedan od nacionalnih simbola koji doprinosi jačanju nacionalnog identiteta i društvene kohezije); 2. finansijske ( jer država od emisije nacionalnog novca prikuplja prihode, tzv. seigniorage, a može da zavede i “inflacioni porez” radi pokrića nedostajućih prihoda). bankarstvo 2 2013 Međunarodna valuta može da igra sve funkcije novca ili samo neke od njih. Nekovano zlato i srebro su oduvek i svuda igrali sve funkcije novca dok su monetarne jedinice i nacionalne valute obično postepeno dobijale jednu po jednu funkciju novca na međunarodnom planu. Taj process je poznat kao internacionalizacija valute. 56 Tabela 1: Međunarodne valute od antike do danas Country Period Greece 7th to 3rd century B.C. Persia 6th to 4th century B.C. Macedonia 4 to 2 century B.C. Rome 3 century B.C. to the 4 century A.D. Byzantium th Gold Darik Shekel Philippic th Aureus Denarius 4th to 12th century A.D. Solidus (nomisma) perper Silikva Islamic countries 7 to 13 century A.D. Dinar Dirham Frank state 8 to 11 century A.D. Italian city-states 13th to 16th century A.D. Ducat, Florin, Zekin Groschen (greater dinar) France 13th to 18th century A.D. Denier, Gold Louis d’or Lira Germany 14 to 19 century A.D. Holland (Netherlands) 17th to 18th century A.D. Guilder Stiver France 1803-1870 Franc (20 and 40) Franc Great Britain 1816-1914 Pound Sterling (“Sovereign”) Penny, shilling USA from 1915 Dollar (“Eagle”) Dollar EU from 1999 th th th Paper Athens drachma tetradrachm nd rd Silver th Dinar th Taler th Stiver 1573 Dollar 1973 EURO Source: 1. Mundell [1999], 2. Stojanovic [2005] International currency can either play all the functions of money, or only some of them. Non-minted gold and silver, since time immemorial and everywhere on the globe, played all the functions of money, while some of the monetary units and national currencies usually were obtaining rather gradually one by one of the money functions on an international level. This process is known as the currency internationalisation. bankarstvo 2 2013 Function of the international currency 57 Monetary history suggests that currency internationalisation starts with the playing of the role of means for trading and payments within international proportions, so that the currency acquires the status of the most important transaction currency. What was a regular occurrence, as presented in Table 1, is the fact that the transaction role was obtained by the monetary unit of the country which was the greatest trading power of its time. In ancient Greece, for example, almost all of the polis were minting their high-quality silver drachma (of different metric and pictorial characteristics), yet the most important international currency was the Athens tetradrachm because Athens was the greatest trading power in the ancient Greek world. The international transaction currency, which gained confidence in trading operations, almost regularly obtained also the role of an international measure for value, thus boosting the level of its internationalisation. As an international value measure, this currency grew into the main currency of invoice, as the major part of price of goods in the international trade was being expressed in this currency. The function of international value measure was expanding in the modern times, especially with the abandon of the gold standard, in the manner that the international currency was starting to express the value (currency parity) of other currencies as well, which is defined in theory as the denominator function. In all of the fixed exchange rate systems, the denominator Grčka tetradrahma Svi grčki polisi su bili na monometalizmu srebra i svi su koristili istu jedinicu za merenje težine koja se zvala “drahma” (“šaka žita”), od koje je nastao i naziv njihovih monetarnih jedinica. Međutim, u raznim polisima su drahme kao težinske jedinice imale različitu težinu. Na primer, u Korintu je drahma iznosila 3 grama a na Egini 6 grama. Zbog ovih razlikla su onda i kovane drahme, kao monetarne jedinice različitih polisa, imale različitu težinu, tj. nisu imale isti sadržaj srebra. Ta razlika je spolja bila vidljiva jer su drahme različitih polisa imale različit izgled. Svaki polis je na svojoj drahmi utiskivao simbol svoga grada - Korint je utiskivao sliku krilatog konja Pegaza, Egina kornjaču a Milet lava. U Atini su se prvo koristile drahme susednih država Egine i Argosa a onda je Solon (639-559 pre n. e.) propisao da se u Atini iz jedne m i n e srebra k u j e 100 drahmi, čime je započet život atinske drahme sa sadržajem od 3 4,02 grama srebra (67 grejna).3 Atinske drahme su na licu novca imale sliku boginje Atine kao zaštitnice polisa a na naličju sliku sove pa su zato bile poznate kao sove. Atinske sove su se kovale u raznim denominacijama - od jedne, dve (didrahma ili stater), četiri (tetradrahma) a veoma retko od 8, 10 i 12 drahmi. Arheološki podaci iz pronađenih ostava, kao i sačuvani rukopisi i dokumenta, pokazuju da je od svih ovih sova, tetradrahma bila najtraženiji novac antičkog sveta, tj. da je bila međunarodna valuta. Sve do Aleksandra Makedonskog (336323 pre n. e.), atinske drahme su se kovale po kovničkoj stopi koju je propisao Solon. Održavanje stabilnosti kovanja bilo je podržano zakonom koji je predviđao kaznu progonstva (ostrakizam) za sve one koji bi falsifikovali ili na bilo koji drugi način kvarili novac. Aleksandar Makedonski je samo neznatno smanjio sadržaj srebra u drahmi na 3,9 grama (65 grejna). Sa ovim sadržajem su se sove nadalje kovale sve do rimskog osvajnja Grčke sredinom drugog veka pre n. e. Stabilnost sadržaja srebra, tj. vrednosti sove u ovom periodu od skoro 450 godina, predstavljala je jedan od najznačajnijih faktora njenog prihvatanja u međunarodnom prometu, ne samo Grčke i ostalih mediteranskih država, već i u Aziji gde su one prodrle stvaranjem velike države Aleksandra Makedonskog [Touratsoglou, 2007]. U svim kovnicama svoje države, Aleksandar je kovao ogromne količine srebrnog i zlatnog novca, uključujući i tetradrahme koje su posle njegove smrti nastavili da kuju njegovi Prema troj mernim jedinicama gde je: 1funta = 373,242 grama; njen dvanaesti deo unca = 31,1035 grama i 1 grejn = 0,065 grama. bankarstvo 2 2013 oslabilo, a poneke i potpuno uništilo, visokim inflacijama i hiperinflacijama. Ukoliko napori nacionalnih vlada nisu bili blagovremeni ili efikasni da reformama stabilizuju nacionalnu valutu, onda bi domaći privredni subjekti i stanovništvo spontano prihvatali kao novac neku drugu, najčešće, međunarodnu valutu koja bi u domaćoj privredi funkcionisala kao paralelna valuta što je značilo ulazak u valutnu supstituciju. Ulogu svetskog novca su, od monetarnih jedinica prikazanih u Tabeli 1, najduže igrale grčka tetradrahma, rimski denarius, vizantijski solidus (nomizma, perper), britanska funta i američki dolar. U ovom radu će se prikazati prve dve - tetradrahma i rimski denarius. 58 bankarstvo 2 2013 function is directly and automatically securing for that currency the status of the main intervention currency and thus that of the reserve currency. Together with an intensified international movement of capital, especially starting from the 18th century, international currency acquires also the role of the capital movement vehicle. The major part of financial instruments (banking loans and deposits, bonds, stocks and other securities) always was denominated in the main international currency. Some of the major international currencies by the end of the 20th century acquired yet another function - they started replaying national currencies in the function of money within the national monetary systems. This phenomenon is known as the currency substitution, i.e. dollarisation (Eurisation). From the 1970s, currency substitution was intensified with the transition of all the national currencies to the paper standard, and this in the context of high inflation rates combined with the liberalisation of the foreign exchange operations [Cirovic, 2000]. In global proportions, currency substitution firstly started in some of the Latin American countries, later to expand and appear, in the 1990s, in the transition countries [IMF Annual Report, 1998]. Currency substitution should be distinguished from an earlier practice of a free international currency circulation which meant a free entry of foreign currencies into a domestic monetary circulation and their engagement in domestic transactions. This freedom of movement was a rather usual occurrence in almost all of the states, and was limited or prohibited only where it was necessary to protect domestic circulation from a deteriorated (debased) i.e. non-validated foreign currency. It was only from 1800 onwards, with the creation of the sovereign national states, that an introduction of monopoly of the domestic currency in the domestic money circulation was introduced, which as already stated, caused 59 2 the sublimation of the monetary unit into the national currency [Cohen, 2000]. Monetary nationalism in a sovereign state was offering an opportunity for the use of the national currency primarily for the realisation of the national objectives, and the primary objective of all the countries is their economic growth. Sovereign states have, with the monetary monopoly, gained an opportunity to use much easier than previously, the expansionist monetary and fiscal policy for purpose of reaching the highest possible economic growth rates [Cohen, 2000].2 Implementation over long-term or excessive application of this option, however, weakened many national currencies, and even completely destroyed some of them, through high inflation and at times even hyper-inflations. In case efforts of the national governments were not timely or efficient to stabilize, through reforms, the national currency, then the domestic economic stakeholders and population in general would spontaneously adopt as money some other, often international currency, which would function within the domestic economy as a parallel currency, which in turn led to the currency substitution. The role of world money amongst the monetary units presented in Table 1 was played for the longest time by the Greek tetradrachm, Roman denarius, Byzantine solidus (nomisma, perper), the British pound sterling, and the US dollar. This paper will present the first two of these currencies - the Athenian tetradrachm and the Roman denarius. The greek tetradrachm In every ancient Greek polis, the silver monometal standard was applied and all of them were using the same unit for measuring weight, which was called “drachma” (“a handful of wheat”), hence the name of their monetary units. In different polises, however, the drachmae used as weighing units were having varying weight Introduction of the national currency monopoly has brought about for the state, in addition to an autonomy in conducting financial policies, also other benefits among them the most important being the following two: 1. Political-psychological ones (because the national currency is one of the national symbols contributing to the strengthening of the national identity and social cohesion); 2. Financial (as the state is collecting revenues from the issue of national currency, the so-called seigniorage profit, and can also introduce the “inflation tax” for purpose of covering shortage of revenues). Rimljani su sav svoj novac - bakarni, srebrni i zlatni, neprekidno kvarili i to od samog početka redovne upotrebe kovanog novca [Kemmerer, 1944] Stoga rimski novac nije mogao da istisne tetradrahmu u međunarodnim plaćanjima. Neprestano kvarenje je dovelo do toga da sredinom trećeg veka u rimskoj državi nije postojao nijedan punovredan rimski novac pa je zavladao pravi monetarni haos. Da ne bi došlo do potpunog privrednog rasula, imperator Gordijan III (238-244) je spas potražio u kvalitetnim drahmama pa je tetradrahme koje su se kovale u Antiohiji proglasio za zvanični novac rimskog carstva. Međutim, čim su ove tetradrahme dopale u ruke Rimljana, počelo je njihovo kvarenje pa su i one doživele istu sudbinu kao i rimski novac - izgubile su opštu prihvatljivost i status međunarodne valute. Rimski denarius Rimljani su relativno kasno, u odnosu na Grke, počeli da upotrebljavaju kovani novac - negde u 4. veku pre n. e. Prvo su koristili branzani as, zatim su u trećem veku pre n. e. uveli srebrni denarius i na kraju su u prvom veku pre n. e. počeli da kuju zlatni aureus, tako da je rimska imperija bila na trimetalizmu. Za vreme Republike, pravo kovanja se formalno nalazilo u rukama Senata a u vreme Imperije u rukama imperatora. Međutim, veoma često su upravnici provincija i vojni komandanti dobijali pravo kovanja, tako da proizvodnja novca nije bila centralizovana, što je umanjivalo efikasnost kontrole kovanja te povećavalo mogućnost kvarenja novca. Rim je prevashodno bila vojnička država pa je plaćanje vojske bio najvažniji podsticaj za uvođenje kovanog novca, tj. monetizaciju privrede [Oliva, 2007]. Glavni izvor metala za kovanje su bila uspešna osvajanja rimske vojske koja su donosila bogatstvo u monetarnom i nemonetarnom obliku. Ogromne količine srebra i zlata su se slivale u državnu kasu iz ratnog plena, osvojenih rudnika metala, zavođenja danka, pljačke i detezauracije zatečenog blaga na osvojenim teritorijama. Prvi veliki priliv srebra koji je vodio u redovno kovanje denariusa, došao je od pobede u prvom Punskom ratu (264-241 pre n. e.) kada je Kartagina, pored izgubljenih ostrva, morala da plati Rimu 3.200 bankarstvo 2 2013 naslednici i kasniji vladari raznih helenističkih država. Ove tetradrahme su, kao i one p r v o b i t n e atinske, dominirale u međunarodnom prometu i služile kao model za kovanje novca plemenima koja su živela na rubu tog helenističkog sveta - Tračanima i Keltima na Balkanu i Arapima u Aziji. Kada su Grčki polisi potpali pod vlast Rima, mnogi od njih nisu želeli da prihvate rimski novac zahtevajući da i dalje koriste svoje drahme. Rimska država je ovaj zahtev odobrila nekim polisima, jer se to uklapalo u njenu politiku “zavadi pa vladaj”, tako da su se razne drahme kovale sve do imperatora Dioklecijana (284-305). Među ovim drahmama opet se našla atinska tetradrahma koja je i u ovom periodu služila kao međunarodna valuta [Touratsoglou, 2007]. Ako se pođe od Solona, onda proizilazi da je tetradrahma skoro 900 godina igrala ulogu svetskog novca. Sačuvana dokumenta pokazuju, međutim, da su se tetradrahme kovale i u Aleksandriji posle potpadanja Egipta pod rimsku vlast i da su na toj teritoriji bile osnovni novac sve do trećeg veka [Howgego, 1992]. Aleksandrijske tetradrahme su nađene u ostavama novca pronađenim u Centralnoj Evropi što upućuje na zaključak da su i one bile prihvaćene kao međunarodna valuta [Bursche, 2006]. Osnovni faktor dugotrajne upotreba tetradrahme kao međunarodne valute je bila njena stabilnost koja je i zakonski bila podržana kaznom proterivanja iz države za kvarenje novca. Drugi faktor je kvarenje rimskog novca sa kojim je tetradrahma koegzistirala u vreme rimske države. 60 bankarstvo 2 2013 61 applied. In Corinth, for example, one drachma amounted to 3 grams, while in Aegina it weighted 6 grams. Due to these differences, the minted drachma coins, as monetary units of different polise cities had a different weight, i.e. they did not have the same content of silver. This difference was also manifested in the visual form of the coins, as the drachmae of different cities had a different exterior outlook. Every polis had its drachma stamped with the symbol of its city - Corinth was stamped with the image of the winged horse Pegasus, Aegina with its Turtle symbol, and Millet coin was stamped with the Lion image. In Athens, the earliest drachmae in use were those of the neighbouring states of Aegina and Argos, until such time when the ruler of Athens, Solon (639-559 B.C.), decreed that in the city of Athens, 100 drachmae were to be minted from one bullion of silver thus bringing into life Athenian drachma with 4.02 grams of silver content (67 grains).3 Athenian drachma coin was stamped on the obverse with the head of Goddess Athena, iconographic symbol of the goddess protector of Athenian polis, and on the reverse it was stamped with the image of owl, to become renown through the ages as Athenian Owls. Athenian coins depicting owls were also minted in a host of smaller denominations - from one, two (didrachm or stater), four (tetradrachm), up to the rare 8, 10, and 12 drachmae. Archaeological data from the discovered depositories and the manuscripts and preserved documents show that amongst all of the Owls, the tetradrachm was the most 3 widely in demand coined money in the world of antiquity, i.e. it served as the first international coin or currency used in circulation. Until the advent of Alexander the Great (336-323 B.C.), Athenian drachma was minted according to the minting rate prescribed by Solon. Maintaining stability of minting was supported by law prescribing a penalty of Ostracism pronounced against all perpetrators engaged in any counterfeiting or forging of the money. Alexander the Great had only slightly reduced the content of silver in the drachma, down to 3.9 grams (65 grain). With this content of silver Owls continued to be minted throughout the times and up to the Roman conquests of Greece in the middle of the second century B.C. Stability of the silver content, i.e. value of the Owl in this period of over 450 years, was one of the most significant factors for its broad acceptance in the international trade and commerce, not only in Greece and in other Mediterranean states, but also in Asia where it was introduced with the creation of the greater state of Alexander the Great [Touratsoglou, 2007]. In all the minting plants of his empire, Alexander was minting enormous quantities of silver and gold money, including also tetradrachm, which have after his demise continued to be minted and circulated by his successors and later the rulers of different countries of the Hellenistic world. This tetradrachm, just like the original Athenian drachma of the earliest times, remained predominant in the international trade and served as a model for money minting to the tribes that were living on the outskirts of this Hellenistic world - Thracians and Celts in the Balkans, and Arabs in Asia. When the Greek cities fell under the rule of Rome, many among them were reluctant to accept Roman Based on troy measuring units where: 1 pound = 373.242 grams; its twelfth part was an ounce = 31.1035 grams, and 1 grain = 0.065 grams. drahme. U tom sistemu, osnovni novac je bio srebrni denarius sve do trećeg veka. Prvi denarius se pojavio negde Velike s u m e denariusa i aureusa, iskovanih u vreme Avgusta i Tiberija (14 - 37), pronađene su u dalekim oblastima južne Indije i Šri Lanke [Walburg, 2006]. U severnoevropske predele rimski novac je odlazio najviše isplatom plata varvarima koji su služili u rimskoj vojsci kao najamnici i kupovanjem slobode (davanjem velikih suma novca varvarima zauzvrat obećanja da oni neće upadati na rimske teritorije) a mnogo manje trgovinom (koja se uglavnom sastojala od bankarstvo 2 2013 talenata u novcu. Pobeda nad Hanibalom u Drugom Punskm ratu (218201 pre n. e.) još je bila važnija u monetarnom smislu jer je rimskoj državi donela 10.000 talenata u novcu i celu Španiju sa svim njenim rudnicima metala. Zatim su sledila osvajanja Makedonije, Grčke, Numidije, Galije i Egipta kojiima je rimska država došla u posed velikog broja novih rudnika metala što je povećalo kovanje i količinu rimskog novca u opticaju. Da je u tom periodu osvajanja do prvog veka postojala visoka stopa monetizacije privrede govore zabeleške o naglom skoku cena nekretnina i smanjivanju kamatnih stopa u Egiptu posle njegovog pada u rimske ruke 30 pre n. e. [Howgego, 1992]. Smatra se da je faza dramatične ekspanzije novčane ponude iz osvajanja bila završena u vreme vladavine Oktavijana Augusta (31 pre n. e. - 14 posle n. e.) zato što je tada bila završena i faza vojnih osvajanja koja su donosila profit (kao razliku između osvojenog bogatstva i troškova za vojsku). Na osvojenim teritorijama, ujedinjenim u Pax Romana, uspostavljan je rimski trimetalistički monetarni sistema, osim u ranije spomenutim grčkim polisima kojima je rimska država odobravala da nastave da koriste s v o j e oko 300 pre n. e. a redovno kovanje je otpočelo 269 pre n. e. . Denarius je bio iskovan po ugledu na atinsku drahmu. Imao je težinu od 4,29 grama, odnosno kovničku stopu od 76 komada iz jedne rimske litre teške 327,45 grama. Kornelije Sula (138-78 pre n. e.) je započeo kovanje zlatnog aureusa težine 8,4 grama, zatim ga je u težini od 7 grama kovao Pompej (106-48 pre n. e.) a Julije Cezar (100-44 pre n. e.) je uspostavio njegovo redovno kovanje sa težinom od 7,5 grama (kovničkom stopom od 40 komada iz jedne litre zlata). Oktavijan Avgust (31pre n. e. - 14 n. e.) je monetarnom reformom povećao kovničku stopu aureusa na 42 a denariusa na 84 pa je tako u njegovom monetarnom sistemu jedan aureus vredeo 25 denariusa i 100 sesterciusa [Kemmerer, 1944]. Istraživanja pokazuju da je denarius postao međunarodna valuta, tj. novac koji je prihvatan izvan rimske države - čak do udaljenih predela severne Evrope (gornji Barbarikum) i Azije. Posebno jak priliv denariusa u oblast Barbarikuma se odvijao u periodu između vladavine Marka Aurelija (161-180) i Septimija Severa (193-211) [Bursche, 2006]. 62 bankarstvo 2 2013 63 money, demanding the use of their drachma to prevail. Roman Empire approved this request and granted this right to some of the cities (polis) as this fitted in well with the Roman policy of “divide and rule”, so that different drachmae were minted throughout the period of Roman rule and up to the Emperor Diocletian (284-305 AD). Amongst these drachmae what prevailed again was the Athenian tetradrachm and served in this period as well as an international currency [Touratsoglou, 2007]. If we are to start counting from Solon, it appears that the tetradrachm was playing, for an entire period of 900 years, the role of the world money. Preserved documents highlight, however, that the tetradrachm was also minted in Alexandria after the fall of Egypt under the Roman rule, and that it was the basic monetary unit in its territory, all through the period until the third century AD [Howgego, 1992]. Alexandrian tetradrachm was found in the money depositories discovered in Central Europe, which leads to the conclusion that it was also accepted there as an international currency [Bursche, 2006]. The main factor sustaining such a longlasting use of tetradrachm as an international currency was its stability which was also supported by legal regulations prescribing penalty of Ostracism from the country for the offence of counterfeiting or debasing money. Another factor was the debasement of Roman money with which tetradrachm coexisted throughout the times of the Roman Empire. Romans were continuously debasing all of their coined money - whether copper, silver or the gold one, and this from the very start of regular circulation of coined money [Kremmerer, 1944]. Thus the Roman money could not really eject tetradrachm from international payments. Continuous debasement of Roman money caused, in the mid-third century AD, Roman Empire to be faced with the absence of any fully-fledged and valid Roman currency in circulation, and a true monetary chaos ensued. In order to avoid total economic collapse, Emperor Gordian III (238244) looked for salvation in the high-quality drachmae, and proclaimed tetradrachm coins, minted in Antioch, as the full-fledged official currency of the Roman Empire. However, as soon as this tetradrachm fell in the hand of Romans, what started was its debasement, so the tetradrachm also experienced the same fate as the other Roman money did - and lost its generally recognised feature and status of an international currency. The roman denarius Romans have rather belatedly, in respect to Greeks, produced coined money for circulation - around the 4th century B.C. Their earliest currency were the bronze asess, and in the 3rd century B.C. they introduced the silver denarius coin, to start minting, by the end of the 1st century B.C., the gold aureus, thus introducing in the Roman Empire the trimetal standard. During the times of the Roman Republic, minting right was formally entrusted to the Senate, while in the period of the Roman Empire minting rights were in the hands of the ruling emperor. Often was the case, however, that the governors of provinces and military commanders would be granted minting rights, and with the money minting no longer centralised, this consequently undermined efficient control capacity over minting and boosted options for money debasement. Rome was predominantly a military state, and payment of the standing army was the most important impetus for the introduction of the coined money, i.e. monetisation of the economy [Oliva, 2007]. The main source of minting metal bullion originated from successful conquests of the Roman army which supplied wealth to the country in both monetary and non-pecuniary forms. Enormous quantities of silver and gold were pouring in into the state coffers as the war bounty, from the seized metal mines, taxation imposed, plunder, and cleansing of treasuries from the treasures found in the occupied territories. The first important inflow of silver bullion which was to lead to the minting of denarius, arrived with the victory in the first Punic War (264-241 B.C.) when Carthage, in addition to its lost islands, also had to pay Rome 3200 talents in money. Victory kupovine ćilibara u gornjem Barbarikumu). Međutim, rimski novac je na Istok odlazio prevashodno jačanjem trgovine, tj. povećavanjem uvoza. To se vidi i iz Plinijevih beleženja u kojima on sa žaljenjem konstatuje da “luksuzna roba” iz Indije, Kine i Arabije svake godine košta carstvo 100 miliona sestercijusa (25 miliona denariusa ili 1 milion aureusa), od čega je polovina išla u Indiju [Howgego, 1992]. Da je odliv novca za luksuzne proizvode bio zabrinjavajući, govori i zabrana nošenja odela od uvezene svile koju je uveo Tiberije čim je postao imperator a koja je važila do kraja njegove vladavine [Oliva, 2007]. Zabrane izvoza i uvoza su se u rimskoj državi koristile još za vreme Republike, posebno kao monetarne mere. Tako je zabrana izvoza zlata i srebra bila korišćena kao instrument zaštite unutrašnje cirkulacije od nestašice novca koja je u rimskoj Republici bila uobičajena pojava [Howgego, 1992]. Pretpostavlja se da je Imperija ušla u trajniji spoljnotrgovinski deficit od vladavine Oktavijana Avgusta, upravo u vreme kada je intenzivirana trgovina sa Istokom. Već je rečeno da su u tom periodu prestala uspešna rimska osvajanja koja su donosila profit (i plemenite metale) što je imalo za posledicu pojavu fiskalnog deficita. Zbog ovih deficita, rimska država je opet počela da kuburi sa sve češćim novca, tj. smanjivanjem njegove težine ili finoće i/ ili povećavanjem njegove nominalne vrednosti, čime su u promet ubacivali veće količine manje vrednog novca. Prevelik oslonac ne meru kvarenja novca je vodio u sve slabiji rimski novac koji je postepeno gubio prihvatljivost, najpre u međunarodnim transakcijama čime je prestajao da bude međunarodna valuta, a zatim i u unutrašnjem prometu. Do prvog veka, bronzani as je izgubio 75% svoje težine da bi usled daljeg kvarenja prestao da se kuje početkom trećeg veka. Srebrni denarius se kvario nešto sporijim tempom, kako legalno (monetarnim reformama), tako i nelegalno. Do sredine trećeg veka, srebrni sadržaj denariusa je pao na 40% i tada je ovaj novac prestao da se prihvata u transakcijama izvan granica rimskog carstva, posebno u trgovini sa Istokom. Imperator Galineus (260268) je doveo kvarenje denariusa do krajnjih granica, kujući ga sa svega 4% sadržaja srebra čime je denarius praktično bio pretvoren u bakarni novac. Obezvređenom denariusu čak ni carski autoritet nije više mogao da obezbedi prihvatljivost ni u unutrašnjem prometu. Zlatni aureus je najduže zadržao svoju vrednost ali je do sredine trećeg veka i aureus izgubio 50% metalnog sadržaja. Pokušaj imperatora Dioklecijana da zaustavi kvarenje monetarnom reformom kojom je uveo u promet novoiskovane kvalitetne aureuse i denariuse, nije uspeo jednostavno zato što je njegov kvalitetan novac Grešamovim zakonom nestao iz prometa. Tako je rimska država bankarstvo 2 2013 nestašicama novca koja su dovodila do zastoja trgovine i proizvodnje kao i nemogućnosti plaćanja vojske. Osim zabranama izvoza plemenitih metala, prevazilaženje novčane nestašice su Rimljani još od Punskih ratova otklanjali kvarenjem 64 bankarstvo 2 2013 over Hannibal in the Second Punic War (218-201 B.C.) was even more significant in the monetary sense as it brought the bounty of 10,000 talents in wealth to the Roman state coffers, and the conquest of entire Spanish lands together with all of their metal mines. What followed were the conquests of Macedonia, Greece, Numidia, Gallia, and Egypt when the Roman state came in possession of a large number of the new metal mines, thus enhancing minting operations and quantity of Roman money in circulation. W i t h that period of conquests 65 completed, until the 1st century AD, the enhanced high rate of monetisation of economy is best witnessed by the records kept on the sudden soar in real-estate property prices and the fall in the interest rates in Egypt, after its fall into the Roman hands in 30 B.C. [Howgego, 1992]. It is assumed that the phase of dramatic expansion of monetary supply from the conquests ended during the rule of Octavian Augustus (31 B.C. - 14 AD), because the phase of military-conquests bringing to the empire substantial profits (as the difference between wealth conquered and costs of the army) was over. In the subjugated territories, now united under the Pax Romana, the Roman trimetal monetary standard was introduced, except in the earlier mentioned Greek cities (polis), where the Roman Empire granted cities the right to continue with the use of their drachma. The basic currency in this system was the silver denarius, which was to prevail throughout the time up to the 3rd century AD. The first small silver coin denarius appeared around 300 B.C. and its regular minting started in 269 B.C. Denarius was minted after the fashion of the drachma of antiquity. It had a weight of 4.29 grams, or the minting rate of 1/76 pieces of a Roman pound of silver weighing 327.45 grams. Cornelius Sulla (138-78 B.C.) initiated minting of the gold aureus weighing 8.4 grams, to be minted in the weight of 7 grams by Pompey (106-48 B.C.), while Julius Caesar (100-44 B.C.) determined its regular minting weight of 7.5 grams (minting rate of 1/40 pieces of one gold pound). Octavian Augustus (31 B.C. - 14 AD) introduced a monetary reform enhancing minting rate of aureus to 42, and that of denarius to 84, hence in his monetary system one aureus acquiring the value of 25 silver denarii, or equal to 100 bronze sestertii [Kremmerer, 1944]. Research shows that denarius was to become an international currency, i.e. m o n e y that was recognised outside of the Roman Empire even as far reaching as the far-remote areas of Northern Europe (Upper Barbaricum), and Asia. An especially strong inflow of denarii in the region of Barbaricum was evolving in the period between the rule of Marcus Aurelius (161-180 AD), and Septimius Severus (193-211 AD) [Bursche, 2006]. Large sums of denarii and aureus, minted at the time of Emperors Augustus and Tiberius (14-37), were found even in the far-remote areas of Southern India and Sri Lanka [Walburg, 2006]. In the northern European regions, money was circulating mostly through the payment of salaries to Barbarian manpower serving in the Roman Army as mercenaries, and to freedombuyers (paying large sums of money to Barbarians in return for the pledge not to attack Rim - kovači novca, reljef Rome - coin-minters, relief Zaključak Savremeni MMS funkcioniše bez jedinstvenog svetskog novca. U antičkom periodu su plemeniti metali bili svetski novac, kako u nekovanom obliku, tako i u liku nekih kovanih monetarnih jedinica. Samo one monetarne jedinice kojima je održavan sadržaj metala, tj. stabilnost njihove vrednosti, prihvatane su kao međunarodne valute. Tetradrahma, prvo atinska pa kasnije helenistička, igrala je mnogo duže ulogu svetskog novca od rimskog denariusa - skoro 900 godina jer se njena kovnička stopa retko menjala. Zasnivajući državu prevashodno na ratnim osvajanjima, Rimljani su zapostavili rast sopstvene privrede pa su time došli u problem održavanja spoljno-ekonomske i fiskalne ravnoteže koje su uzrokovale kvarenje denariusa i njegovo istiskivanje iz međunarodne upotrebe. Primer rimske države ističe važnost vladajuće političke filozofije na stabilnost valute jer od nje zavisi koji će se model upravljanja privredom izabrati a samim tim i način održavanja fiskalne ravnoteže i privrednog rasta kao fundamentalnih determinanti međunarodne prihvatljivosti valuta. bankarstvo 2 2013 sredinom trećeg veka došla u situaciju da u prometu više nije bilo rimskog novca. Pošto je pokušaj da se monetarni sistem održi na tetradrahmi propao, rimska privreda se vratila osam vekova unazad - na trampu i plaćanja merenjem plemenitih metala. Umesto rimskog novca, u međunarodnim transakcijama je počeo da se koristi vizantijski solidus koga je uveo imperator Konstantin I Veliki (306-337). Spoljnotrgovinski i fiskalni deficiti su bili direktni uzročnici kvarenja rimskog novca jer su izazivali novčane nestašice. Decentralizovano pravo kovanja je, takođe, doprinelo kvarenju. Međutim, krajnji uzrok se nalazio mnogo dublje - u nezdravoj rimskoj političkoj filozofiji koja se zasnivala na ideji jačanja države prevashodno ratnim osvajanjima zbog koje je rimska država, od početka do kraja, ostala ratno preduzeće. Zbog ove ideje, da je ratno osvajanje najbolji način stvaranja bogatstva i punjenja državne (i privatne) kase, u rimskoj državi je bio zapostavljen razvoj domaće privrede čime je potkopan najzdraviji temelj na kome se zasniva vrednost jedne nacionalne valute iz koje onda proizilazi i njena međunarodna prihvatljivost. 66 bankarstvo 2 2013 67 and invade Roman territories), with much lower circulation through trading transactions (mostly consisting of the purchase of amber from the Upper Barbaricum). However, Roman money was circulating also eastwards, primarily through strengthening of trade links, i.e. enhanced imports. This is best documented in the records kept by Pliny where he regretfully states that “luxury goods” coming from India, China and Arabia are every year costing the Empire 100 million sestertii (an equivalent to 25 million denarii, or 1 million aureus), from which amount one half was spent in India [Howgego, 1992]. That this money outflow spent on luxury products was a matter of concern is best witnessed by the prohibition prescribed on wearing clothing made of imported silk, promulgated by Tiberius as soon as he was proclaimed Emperor, and which was to remain in force and effect until the end of his rule [Oliva, 2007]. The bans on imports and exports in the Roman state were used even from the times of the Republic, especially in the form of monetary measures. Hence the bans on exports of gold and silver were used as an instrument to protect internal circulation from the shortage of money, which was in the Roman Republic an ordinary occurrence [Howgego, 1992]. The assumption is that the Empire entered into a rather protracted foreign-trade deficit period from the times of the rule of Octavian Augustus, actually at the time when an intensive trade was taking place with the East. It was already mentioned that in that period successful Roman conquests have ended, which used to bring substantial gains and profits (but also precious metals) into the country, resulting in an emergence of fiscal deficit. Due to this deficit, Roman Empire started again to struggle against a frequently recurring shortage of money in circulation, causing delays in trading and production, but also inability to pay the Army. In addition to bans on precious metal exports, solution for the money shortage were sought by the Romans, even from the early times of Punic Wars, through the debasement of money, i.e. reducing its weight or finesse, and/or increasing its nominal value, where they would inject into circulation higher quantities of lower value money. An excessive reliance on the money debasement m e a s u r e led into an ever weaker Roman money which was gradually losing its property of acceptability, firstly in the international transactions when it ceased being an international currency, and then also in the domestic trading turnover. Up to the first century, the bronze as coin lost 75% of its weight, and after further debasement, it was not minted any longer at the beginning of the third century. Silver denarius was debased at a rather slower pace, both legally (through monetary reforms), and illegally. Until the middle of the third century, the silver content of denarius fell to 40% and then this money was not longer accepted in transactions outside of the borders of the Roman Empire, especially not in the trading with the East. Emperor Gallineus (260-268) brought the denarius debasement to its ultimate lows, minting it with only a 4% silver content which practically turned denarius into a copper money. The debased denarius could not be helped even with the support of the imperial authority and render it acceptable even in domestic trade. Gold aureus was the longest to preserve its value, but from the middle of the third century even aureus lost 50% of its metallic contents. The attempts by Emperor Diocletian to improve coinage and stop currency to bleed to death through monetary reform, where he introduced in trading transactions a newly-minted highquality aureus and denarius, simply failed because this high-quality money disappeared from circulation under the Gresham’s Law. Thus the Roman Empire, in the mid-third century, faced the situation where no Roman money was in circulation in the empire. As the attempts to sustain monetary system based on tetradrachm 1. Articles of Agreement of the International Monetary Fund, Washington D. C.: IMF, 1978. 2. Bordo, Michael D.; Harold James. Reserves and Baskets. Working Paper 17492, October 2011, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, www.nber.org/papers/w17492, 20. oktobar 2012. 3. Boughton, James M., A New Bretton Woods? , Finance and Development, Volume 46, Number 1, March 2009, 44-46. 4. Boughton, James M. Silent Revolution, The International Monetary Fund, 1979-1989. Washington D. C.: IMF, 2001, www.imf.org/ external/pubs/ft/history/2001/index.htm, 5. novembar 2012. 5. Bursche, Aleksander, Relations between the Late Roman World and Barbarian Europe in the Light of Coin Finds, XIV International Economic History Congress, Helsinki, Session 30, www.helsinki.fi/iehc2006/ sessions1_40.html, 3. oktobar 2012. 6. Capie, Forrest H. and Wood, Geoffrey E. Monetary problems, monetary solutions & the role of gold. Research Study 25, 2001, World Gold Council, London, www.gold.org, 8. septembar 2012. 7. Cohen, Benjamin J. Life at the top: international currencies in the 21st century, Cuadernos de Economia, Ano 37, No 110, abril 2000, 9-34. 8. Howgego, Christopher. The Supply and Use of Money in the Roman World 200 BC to 300 AD, Journal of Roman Studies, Vol. 82, 1992, 1-31. 9. Ćirović, Milutin. Devizni kursevi, Bridge Company, Beograd: Bridge Company, 2000. 10.IMF Annual Report 1998, IMF, www.imf.org 11.IMF Annual Report 1999, www.imf.org 12.IMF Annual Report 2011, www.imf.org 13.Kemmerer, Edwin Walter. (1944), Gold and the Gold Standard, The Story of Gold Money Past, Present and Future, Inc. New York and London: McGrow-Hill Book Company, 1944. 14.Lago, Mateosy Isabelle; Duttagupta, Rupa and Goyal, Rishi. The Debate on the International Monetary System, IMF Staff position note, November 11, 2009, SPN/09/26, www.imf.org. 15.Lal Gupta, Parmeshwari. Coins, New Delhi: National Bank Trust, India, 1969. 16.Moghadam, Reza Approved by. Enhancing International Monetary Stability - A Role for the SDR? . IMF, January 7, 2011, www.imf.org. 17.Mundell, Robert A. The International Monetary System in the 21st Century: Could Gold Make a Comeback? Lecture delivered at St. Vincent College, Letrobe, Pennsylvania, March 12, 1997. 18.Mundell, Robert. The Euro and the Stability of the International Monetary System. Recent Policy Essays, Columbia University, January, 1999, www.columbia.edu/~ram15/ lux.html. 19.Mundell, Robert. The Case of a World Currency. Elsevier: Journal of Political Modeling, Vol. 27 (4), 2005, str. 465-475. 20.Oliva, Juan Carlos Martinez. Monetary Integration in the Roman Empire, in: Edited by Philip L. Cottrel, Gerassimos Notaras and Gabriel Tortella, From the Athenian Tetradrachm to the Euro, Studies in European Monetary Integration, England, USA: Ashgate, 2007. 21.Rogoff, Kenneth and Brau, Eduard, Approved by. SDR Allocation in the Eight Basic Period - Basic Considerations. 22.IMF, November 16, 2001, www.imf.org. 23.Ronald I. McKinnon. The Rules of the Game: International Money in Historical Perspective, Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 31 No. 1, March, 1993, 1-44. 24.Stojanović, Biljana. Ekonomska istorija sveta do 16. veka, Beograd: Megatrend, univerzitet primenjenih nauka, 2005. 25.Stojanović, Biljana. (2003), Novac, konvertibilnost i platni bilans. Beograd: Megatrend univerzitet primenjenih nauka, 2003. 26.Touratsoglou, Ioannis (2007), Common Currency from Antiquity: Plus ca change, plus c’est la meme chose, in: Edited by Philip L. Cottrel, Gerassimos Notaras and Gabriel Tortella, From Athenian Tetradrachm to the Euro, Studies in European Monetary Integration, England, USA: Ashgate, 2007. 27.Walburg, Reinhold (2006), Rome beyond its eastern frontiers: „Chicken feed copper“ in ancient Sri Lanka The impact of a foreign currency on the local economy, XIV International Economic History Congress, Helsinki, Session 30, www.helsinki.fi/iehc2006/sessions1_40. html, 10. oktobar 2012. bankarstvo 2 2013 Literatura / References 68 bankarstvo 2 2013 had failed, Roman economy suffered a set-back, plunging itself eight centuries into the past - now surviving on exchange in kind and payments effected by precious metals measurement. Instead of Roman money, what prevailed in the international trade and commerce was the Byzantine money, solidus, introduced by Constantine I the Great (306-337 AD). Foreign trade deficit and fiscal deficit were the direct cause of the Roman money debasement, as they caused currency shortages. Decentralised rights to money minting also aided debasement. However, the ultimate cause was to be looked for much more profoundly into an unhealthy Roman political philosophy based on the idea of strengthening the state primarily through the war conquests, thus causing the Roman Empire to remain, from its very beginning and to its end, a straightforward war-faring enterprise. With this idea in mind that military conquest was the best way to acquire and amass wealth and fill the state (and private) coffers, Roman Empire disregarded and neglected development of domestic economy thus undermining the healthiest fundament on which to base the value of its national currency, and from there on to create and establish its international recognition. 69 Conclusion The modern day IMS functions without any single world money. In the period of antiquity, precious metals were deemed to be the world money, both in their non-minted form and in the form of some minted monetary units. Only those monetary units which contained a sustained quantity of metal, i.e. stability of their value, were recognised and accepted as international currency. Tetradrachm, firstly the one of Athens and later on as Hellenistic, played much longer the role of the world money than the Roman denarius - for a period of almost 900 years, as its minting rate was very seldom changed. Basing the state primarily on the war conquests, Romans neglected the growth of their own economy thus encountering the problem of maintaining foreign-economic and fiscal equilibrium which caused the debasement of denarius and its expulsion from the international trade. The example of the Roman state points out at the importance that the ruling political philosophy has on the currency stability, as on it depends the model that will be chosen to manage economy, and thus the manner of maintaining fiscal equilibrium and economic growth as fundamental determinants for the international recognition of any given currency.